Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 30, 1970
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX HOOTS . L.5.8 Confidential. (F.R-K\ ^ / March 30. 1 9 7 0 . ^ ' ' V " 4 ^ CAPITAL oaP'>,A MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital MarkeTVolume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.a. ; Not available / TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED 1 NEW ISSUE Aaa WEEK ENDING: 1970 - Feb. . Mar. 6 13 20 27 8.63 8.40 8.32 8.20 7.97 7.97 7.93 7.83 206 140 408 297 100 86 96 81 842 1,065 1,039 980 6 13 20 | 27 8.25 8.52 8.76 8.74 7.79 7.80 7.88 7.92 370 470 410 460e 78 71 98 100 1,074 851 1,108 725 3j>/ n. a. n.a. 750e Apr. YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED WEEK ENDING: Aaa 1970 - Feb. 6 13 20 27 Mar. 6 13 20 27 Apr. CORPORATE BOND MARKET < VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULED OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS 6.28 6.26 6.24 6.00 1 3j>/ ' BOND BUYER SEASONED 20 BOND INDEX 6.54 6.42 6.32 . 6.16 n. a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END OFFERINGS , OF WEEK n.a. BONDS -SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 343 142 300 450 74 74 83 87 740 785 746 496 5.85 5.75 5.84 5.80 6.00 5.95 6.18 5.98 276 322 356 327 72 59 87 84 784 954 962 803 n.a. n.a. 270e n.a. n. a. 1 Derived by adjusting t o a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government.). 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: See footnotes -to Table 3 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DATE OFFERED CORPORATE,BONDS /IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND YIELD CALL PROTECTION ISSUER ,COUPON AMOUNT (MIL. $) ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD NONE OFFERED DATE | RELEXSED CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM -SYNDICATE DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PRO- ' AMOUNT ISSUER COUPON IN'YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD NONE INVENTORIES • MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST | IN SYNDICATE DATE 1970 - Feb. -1 Mar. 27 339 6 13 20 272/ 409 510 580 445 63 84 • 157 80 86 • 1 I CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE ; ! 55 j , 81 138 8 o 1 | I N.C. - No. call protection. Digitized forAll FRASER figures in millions of dollars. which is daily average o,' three days Blue List is daily .average for week ended Fridav, except for latest week ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. BONDS IN SYNDICATE Friday figures , Millions of dolla r s CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE 200 100 MUNICIPAL BONDS IN SYNDICATE 300 200 100 DEC. SEPT. '68 MAR. JUN. SEPT; DEC. MAR. 1969 JUN. 1970 X SEPT. DEC. TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields • NEW ' CORPORATE Aaa 1 DATE 'MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 ) U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR . CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 , BOND ' BUYER'S SEASONED ' MUNICIPALS 4 1967 - High Low 6.55(12/8) 5.11(2/10) 6.24(2/29) 5.00(2/10) 5.73(11/7) 4.48(1/20) 4.45(12/7) 3.40(2/2) 1968 - High Low 7.02(12/13) 6.13(8/30) 6.55(1/27) 5.95(9/13) 5.90(1/20) 5.18(8/9) 4.85(1/26) 4.07(8/8) 8.85(12/5) 6.90(2/21) 7.84(12/26) 6.55(1/3) 6.97(12/26) 5.96(12/24) 6.90(12/18) 4.82(1/28) 8.25 8.52 8.76 8.74 7.79 7.80 7.88 7.92 6.60 6.77 6.85 6.66 6.00 5.95 6.18 5.98 1969 - High Low 1970 - Mar. 1 6 13 20 272/ 1 New corporate issues, with call protection, adjusted (as described in footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. 2 Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. ! 3 Weekly average of daily figures. 1 4 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. , v " HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW CORPORATE Aaa MOODY'S CORPORATE Aaa U S. GOVT. 2 0 YR " CONSTANT MATURITIES BOND BUYER MUNICIPAL 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security. Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE PERIOD STATE AND LOCAL 2 1 1970 1969 196 8 January February March 2,400e l,810e 3,500e 2,075 2,045 2,098 1,771 1,608 1,799 April May ; June 2,400e 2,748 2,076 2,530 1,428 1,866 2,411° July August September 2,478 1,427 2,427 2,143 1,432 1,557 October " November December 1,933 . 2,375 . 2,532 2°, 129 1,767 2,054 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 7,7l0e 6,218 7,354 6,332 6,840 5,178 5,704 5,133 5,950 13,572 19,904 26,744 10,882 16,015 21,965 . 1968 19 Z0 -7 196 9 ! j 1,320 1,206 l,350e 1,262 987 538 1,178 1,158 1,404 j 1,500 1,801 1,110 737 1,318 1,143 1,395 1,097 808 359 1,444 1,280 886 816 2,230 1,021 1,115 2,787 3,648 2,464 2,982 3,840 3,856 4,612 4,366 6^35 8,899 11,881 7,956 12,008 16,574 , ' 3,876e Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Y ar Note; ,5,107 5*427 4,785 5,654 20,973 " 1 2 3 6,170 Securities and Exchange Commission -estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of-principal amounts. Total gross proceeds excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. . • AT&T rights offering excluded from April estimate. TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) QUARTER OR MONTH TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON MEMO: AND PRIVATELY PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED CONVERTIBLE PLACED STOCK FOREIGN 1968 - IV 1969 - I II III IV 5,951 6,218 7,354 6,332 6,840 2)555 2,657 3,411 3,186 3,479 1,922 1,540 1,623 1,347 1,053 1,474 2,023 2,268 1,797 2,307 1969 - Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1970 - Jan. Feb. e 2,045 2,098 2,748 2,076 \ 2,530 2,478 1.426 2.427 1,933 2,375 2,532 2,400 1,810 842 835 1,268 .871 1,272 1,279 685 1,222 969 1,164 1,346 1,550 395 509 649 510 514 609 259 479 313 226 514 300 300 807 755 830 694 744 589 482 726 651 984 672 550 450 1 1,060 113 215 227 289 115 74 38 62 28 137 132 122 .35 59 8 48 n.a. n.a. GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY OTHER ISSUERS1 902 1,355 1,126 750 809 1,712 1,407 1,773 1,862 1,314 1,435 1,346 1,878 1,544 1,967 319 473 432 684 598 2,483 2,993 3,266 2,243 2,961 578 401 430 4,63 233 214 167 369 105 303 401 330 225 513 491 513 569 691 875 362 625 260 453 601 800 500 315 404 784 392 702 493 507 544 745 622 600 650 480 56 231 44 197 191 286 126 272 120 201 277 125 220 1,161 972 1,405 915 946 826 433 984 808 1,099 1,054 825 610 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. COMMUNICATIONS TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 / MYPE ' Corporate MATURITY COUPON RATI: OR KKL L-.THR1 ST COST MOOMY' RAT IM OFFERING Y1HL1) \ Baxter Laboratories, Inc. Aluminum Co. of Canada Ltd. Kansas Gas & Elec. Co. Fruehauf Finance Company Pacific Gas & Elec. Co. Mack Financial Corporation Chrysler Corporation Chrysler Corporation U.S. Lines Inc. C&P Telephone of Virginia Michigan Wisconsin Pipe Line VEPCO ^Standard Oil Co. (Jersey) Pitney-Bowes, Inc. Duquesne Light Co. Texas Elec. Serv. Co. Allegheny Ludlum Steel Corporation *South Caroline Elec. & Gas Company Public Service of Indiana Connecticut General Mtg. and Realty Inc. Public Service Elec. & Gas Company General Telephone Co. of Southwest Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co. Crown Zellerback Connecticut General Mtg. and Realty Inc. Central Telephone & Util. Corporation Southern Calif. Edison Co. FRASER Digitized for AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS)' Conv. debs, 60.0 Debs. 100.0 1st mtg. 40.0 Notes 50.0 1st & Ref. 75.0 Sr. debs. 40.0 S.F. debs. 100.0 Notes 100.0 Merchant Marine 32.0 Debs. 75.0 1990 1995 2000 1975 2002 1990 1995 1975 1991 2010 4..75 9.,50 8.,50 8,,70 8.,63 9.,63 8,.88 8,.75 8,.63 8,.75 4.75 9.37 8.50 8.70 8.55 9.63 Bonds 40.0 Com. stk. 74.3 Cap. notes 387.1 Com. stk. 28.4 1st mtg. 30.0 Pfd. cum. !stk. 20.0 . 1990 9,.25 9.25 2000 2000 8,.75 8.77 1995 9 .00 8.95 18.8 40.0 1974 8. 20 8.00 Conv. sub. debs.60.0 . 1990 6. 75 100.0 2000 9. 13 9% 00 1st mtg. 1st & ref. 3.F. debs. 26.0 40.0 125.0 2000 1974 2000 9.25 8. 50 8. 88 -9.25 8.25 8.82 Benf. int. 60.0 S.F. debs. Com. stk.° 1st mtg. 1st mtg. 40.0 " . 3um. pfd. stk. 20.0 50.0 Ba A Aa N.R. Aa N.R. A A Aaa Aaa 8.88 8.75 8.63 8.65 A A Aa — N.R. Aa 9 A Aaa A TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 March 1, through March 27, 1970. (continued) ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY ' COUPON RATI: OR KEI L.TER1 ST COST OFFERING • YIELD MOOHY' . RAT IN*. Corporate(continued) Pennsylvania Pwr. & Light Atlantic City Elec. Co. International Paper Texas Gas Transmission Atchinson Topeka & Santa Fe Railway Utah Pwrr. & Light Co. Montana Power Company Iowa Public Service Co. Mallinckrodt Chemical Works University Computing Co. Tenneco Inc. Honeywell, Inc. 1st mtg. 1st mtg. S.F. debs. Debs. 2000 50.0 50.0 . 1975 1995 150.0 1990 50.0 9.00 8.20 8.85 9.50 8.90 8.20 8.85 9.55 Aa Aa A Baa Equip, trust 1st mtg. 1st mtg. 1st mtg. 37.0 30.0 30.0 25.0 1985 2000 1974 2000 8.75 9.50 8.25 9.00 8.75 9.10 8.10 8.90 Aa A Aa A Conv. debs. Conv. debs. Com. stk Com. stk. 15.0 40.0 64.9 7b. d 1995 1995 5.75 7.20 5.75 7.16 Baa N.R. G.O. G.0. G.O. G.O. G.0. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 12.0 30.4 10.0 13.4 18.0 45.2 11.5 55.0 30.0 1974-77 1972-96 1972-94 1971-85 1971-81 1973-85 1971-80 1971-95 1971-82 Rev. Rev. G.0. 10.0 19. Qi 75.0 1972-91 1971-1998 1973-95 5.35 6.20 5.39 4.20-5.50 4.20-6.40 4.30-5.90 Aaa A Aaa G.O. G.O. 80.0 10.2 1974" 2013 1971-90 6.59 6.35 4.90-6.60 4.60-6.50 A A G.O. 13.4 1972-98 6.95-6.81 5.15-7.20 Baa State & local Government Minnesota, State of Cleveland, Ohio Charlotte, North Carolina Detroit, Michigan Detroit S/D, Michigan Maryland, State of Alaska, State of Ohio, State of South Carolina Indianapolis Airport Auth., Indiana Gainesville, Florida New Jersey, State of New York State Housing Finance Agency Warwick, Rhode Island Greater Anchorage Area Borugh, Alaska 4.98 5.97 . 5.34 6.37 5.86 5.23 5.49 5.65 4.73 4.70-5.00 Aa 4.70-6.25 A 4.40-6.10 Aa 5.00-6.90 Baa 5.00-6.00 Baa 4.40-5.40 Aaa 4.70-5.50 Baa-: 4.25-5.80&6.00 Aaa 4.00-4.88 Aaa . TABLE 6: Large LOIKJ term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) lOthei than U.S. Treasury)1 ISSUER TYPE 2 (continued) AMOUNT (MILLIONS MATURITY OF DOLLARS) 1970. COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST COST ' M'TKR - MOODY'S II,( RATING YIELD State and local Government (continued) Newark, New Jersey Allegheny Co. P/A, Pa. Atlanta, Georgia Pennsylvania State Public School Building New York, State of *Puerto Rico Highway Chicago, 111. 0*Hare Louisiana, State of Alabama Pub. Sch. & Coll. Authority Vermont, State of Dallas, Texas Maine, State of Virgin Islands Wtr.&Pwr. Authority Port of Seattle, Washington Buffalo, New York 6.0. Rev. Rev. 20.5 30.0 18.0 1971-90 1974 1972-2000 7.40 5.71 7.19 Rev. G.0. 30.0 75.0 1972-2009 1971-90 6.83 5.68 Rev. Rev. G.0. 40.0 52.0 50.0 1990 1999 1971-90 6.98 7.00 5.62 Rev. 3.0. 3.0. & Rev. 3.0. 11.9 26.0 38.2 16.5 1971-80 1971-89 1971-90 1971-90 lev. lev. 3.0. 20.0 23.0 17.5 1971-90 1973-2000 1970-83 \ 5.25-7.40 5.40 5.00-7.25 4.75-7.00 N . R . 4.15-6.00, 6.50&6.90 Aa 4.75-6SO&7.00 A 5.17 5.25 5.30,5.36 5.38 6.75 6.80 5.10 Baa A-l Baa 6.82 4.10-6.25 A-l 4.20-5.25 3.75-5.80 3.50-6.10 3.90-6.20 Aa Aaa Aa Aaa 4.75-7.20 4.90-6.90 4.00-5.60 A A Aa •• • • ; •- T A B L E b: Large Long term Public Security Issues for New Cnpitnf (contiiiin d) ' " (OUiet than U.S. Treasury).' '• (continued) March AMOUNT (MILLIONS • ISSUER • • TYPE 2 MATURITY OF DOLLARS) ^ - 1, t h r o u g h M a r c h 2 7 , 1 9 7 0 COUPON R A T E OR N E T INTEREST C O S T ! \ >M'TKRi:.( V j\ VILLI)' MOODY'S Other N o v a S c o t i a (Province O f ) FNMA Tennessee Valley Auth. FNMA S.F. debs. Debs. Bonds Debs. 20.0 200.0 100.0 250.0 1 1995 1975 1995 9.75 8.00 9.00 9.80 1974 7.75 7.75 • • 8.00 8.90 Aaa •' • Rights offering. I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and other security o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n State and local security o f f e r i n g s of $10 m i l l i o n and over. and ovei In case of State and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.0. d e n o t e s geni-ral obii gat i on ; R e v . - U t . , revenue o b l i g a t i o n s secured only by income from public uLilit Rev.-Q.-lit., revenue bonds secured only by income from quas i-ut i1i t i es R e v . - S . T . , revenue bonds secured by r e v e n u e from specific taxes only; R e v . - K e n t . , revenue b o n d s secured solely by lease p a y m e n t s . Includes foreign government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l B a n k for R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development issues and n o n - q u a r a n t e e d issues by Federal A g e n c i e s . TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 As of March 30, 1970. ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporate Memorex Corporation Atlantic Richfield Co. Pacific Tel. & Tel. Co. R.C.A. International Harvester Credit Corporation Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Corporation Central Illinois Pub. Service Arizona Pub. Serv. Co. American Century Mtg. Investors Seaboard Finance Co. Columbia Gas System Inc. Kentucky Utilities Co. Portland General Elec. Co. Big Three Industrial Gas and Equip. Co. i Georgia Power Company Indiana & Michigan Elec. Company Truckline Gas Company Truckline Gas Company Commonwealth Edison Hudson Leasing Corp. S.S. Kresge Company Union Electric Company Washington Wtr. & Pwr. Co. Kansas-Nebraska Natural Gas Company Pennsylvania Elec. Co. AT&T Essex International Inc. VEPCO New York State Elec. & Gas Corporation *Ford Motor Credit Co. *Ford Motor Credit Co. *Appalachian Pwr. Co. Conv. sub. debs. S.Fi^ debs. Debs. Debs. Notes 75.0 150.0 150.0 150.0 March March March March 30 31 31 75.0 April 1 1st pipeline 50.0 April 1 1st mtg. 1st mtg. 25.0 30.0 April April 1 1 Conv. debs S.F. debs. Debs. 1st mtg. 1st mtg. 15.0 50.0 40.0 30.0 20.0 April April April April April 2 2 2 2 2 Conv. debs, 1st mtg. 25.0 60.0 April April 6 6 50.0 20.0 40.0 100.0 15.0 125.0 60.0 25.0 April April April April April April April April 7 7 7 8 8 9 14 15 15.0 25.0 1569.0 40.0 85.0 April April April April April 15 16 18 (1 20 21 50.0 100.0 50.0 70.0 April April April May 28 1st mtg. Pfd. stk. 1st mtg. 1st mtg. Conv. sub. debs. Conv. sub. debs. 1st mtg. Bonds 1st mtg. 1st mtg. Debs, w/w Notes 1st mtg. 1st mtg. Notes Debs. Bonds 5 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term.Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 . (contmued) A s o £ M a r e h 30, 1970. ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) . APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State & local Government Washington, State of Rev. Greater Chicago Metro, Sanitary Dist., 111. Elkhart Comm. HSBC, Ind. Rev. ^Suffolk Co. New York Wtr. Authority Rev. .Tennessee, State of G.O. Baltimore, Maryland G.O. Lake Co., Indiana G.O. *Hawaii G.O. Philadelphia S/D/, Pa. G.O. San Diego Unified Port Dist., California Bonds Nashville and Davidson Co. Metro, Tennessee Bonds Oregon, State of G.O. *Monroe Co., Michigan G.O. *Houston, Texas G.O. *Owens Boro, Kentucky Rev. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., California Rev. Clark Co. S/D , Nevada G.O. ^Suffolk Co., New York G.O. University of California Rev. Montgomery Co., Maryland G.O. G.O. Norfolk, Virginia Sacramento, MUD, Calif. Rev. . Los Angeles Co. Flood Control, Dist., Calif. Rev. *New York State Dormitory Authority Rev. Wayne Co., Detroit Airport ^Virginia Public Sch. Auth. St. Louis Co., Missouri *Columbus, Ohio *Ypsilanti, Mich. S/D Ohio, State of *Allegheny Co.,_ Pa. "*Los Angeles, Calif. Parking Authority 25.0 March 31 20.0 13.1 March March 31 31 11.0 53.0 35.0 15.0 30.0 73.0 April April . April April April April 25.4 April 7 44.0 23.7 19.7 20,1 53.0 April April April April April 7 7 8 8 8 33.0 13.0 11.6 11.6 35.9 35.0 29,0 April April April April April April April 8 9 9 14 14 14 16 20.0 April 21 36.1 April 21 Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. Bonds G.O. G.O. 69.0 20.0 24 >5 15.0 11.9 50.0 19.2 April April April April April April May 21 22 23 27 27 28 1 Rev. 25.0 May 15 1 1, 2 2 6 7 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury)1 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT. (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Included in table for first time. Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local Government issues of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. Postponement: Household Finance; 25.0 - postponed indefinitely. International Harvester; 100.0 - cancelled. TABLE 8: Stock Prices and Volume TRADING1 VOLUME 2 STOCK PRICES 1 S&P 5003 DATE 1967 - High Low 1968 1969 ^ - High Low High Low 1970 - Mar. . 97.59(9/25) 80.38(1/3) D.J. - IND. AMEX 4 AMEX NYSE 943.08(9/25) 24.52(12/29) 786.41(1/3) 13.78(1/27) 60.7(8/14) 27.4(1/6) 33.5(10/27) 8.3(1/6) 108.37(11/29) 985.21(12/3) 33.25(12/20) 87.72(3/5) 825.13(3/21) 22.00(3/22) 82.1(6/7) 34.0(2/23) 45.4(6/7) 14.1(2/23) 106.16(5/14) 89.20(7/17) 968.85(5/14) 32.91(1/3) 769.93(12/17)25.02(7/29) 82.6(10/17) 32.8(4/4) 38.4(5/9) 12.9(4/4) 784.12 772.11 763.66 791.05 58.2 47.1 45.5 45.0 18.4 15.7 13.6 13.2 6 89.44 13 87.86 - 20 87.06 27f/89.92 25.58 25.10 24.60 25.02 1 Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Total number of shares traded per week (millions of shares). In the past, trading was normally conducted 5 days a week for 5 1/2 hours per day, or 27 1/2 hours per week. From August 8 through August 20, 1967, daily trading was reduced to 4 hours per day or 20 hours per week. A 20-hour week was also in effect from January 22 through March 1, 1968. From June 30 through December 31, 1968, the exchanges were open 5 1/2 hours for 4 days a week or 22 hours. From January 3 through July 3, 1969, the exchanges were open 4 hours each day, 20 hours per week. Beginning July 7, 1969 the exchanges have been open 4 1/2 hours each day, 22 1/2 hours per week. NYSE.is New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is American Stock Exchange. 3 1941-43 = 10. 4 Average dollar value of shares listed. Highs and lows are 15 STOCK PRICES AND TRADING VOLUME AM EX . Weekly 1280 128 STOCK PRICES AMEX PRICE LEVEL INDEX 1200 120 1120 112 1040 104 960 96 880 88 800 80 I 720 Millions of shares AMEX TRADING VOLUME (TOTAL FOR WEEK) NYSE TRADING VOLUME (TOTAL FOR WEEK) 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 72 TABLE 9: Security Credit- END OF PERIOD CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN. CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS', j BANKS 2 [ TOTAL CUSTOMERS' NET DEBIT BALANCES NET CREDIT CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY BROKERS AND FREE CREDIT DEALERS 3 BALANCES 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. O.ct. Nov. Dec. r/ 5,930 5,750 5,590 5,570 5,670 5,340 5,170 5,000 4,940 5,040 5,070 4,970 2,750, 2,810 2,780 2,760 2,770 2,740 2,700 2,670 2,620 2,570 2,520 2,580 8,680 8,560 8,370 8,330 8,440 8,080 7*870 7,670 7,560 7,610 7,590 7,550 9,042 9,148 8,318 8; 044 8,474 8,214 7,515 7,019 7,039 7,243 7,111 7,445 3,597 3,647 3,294 3,077 3,084 3,085 2,783 2,577 2,579 2,753 2,613 2,803 5,445 5,501 5,024 4,967 5,390 5,129 4,732 4,442 4,460 4,490 4,498 4,642 1970 - Jan. £/ 4,720 2,430 7,150 6,683 2,626 4,057 Change in __ Outstanding; 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. r/ -270 -180 -160 -20 100 -330 '.-170 -170 -60 100 30 -100 40 60 -30 -20 10 -30 -40 -30 -50 -50 -50 60 -220 -120 -190 -40 110 -360 -210 -200 -110 50 -20 -40 -928 -51 -830 -274 430 -260 -699 -496 20 204 -132 334 v - -120 50 -351 -271 7 1 -302 -206 2 174 -140 190 -628 -9 -477 -57 423 -261 -397 -290 18 30 8 144 1970 - Jan. j>/ -250 -150 -400 -762 -177 1 2 3 -585 Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carrying securities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers'net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data, includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether regulated or not. , TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries 1 ($ millions) DATE 1967 1968 1969 1968 - Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb. 1969 - Dec. 1970.- Jan. £ / Feb. £ / MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET, NEW 'ANNUAL MONEY 2 GROWTH ' NET FLOW RATE 1 5,082 4,208 2,487 694 218 331 507 -110 225 9.3 7.1 3.9 —— — — —-- SAVINGS . & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS , SHARE CAPITAL NET ANNUAL NEW ' NET MONEY2 GROWTH FLOW RATE 1 Not Seasonally Adjusted 2,376 1,143 -747 10,649 7,399 4,020 -26 106 264 1,646 -91 605 -237 ' * -233 ' 150 1,069 -1,404 280 9.4 6.0 3.1 6,129 2,739 -1,002 15,731 11,607 6,507 178 -130 569 2,340 126 936 -387 -1,418 179 1,576 1,514 505 __ — -- —— -.7 TOTAL -DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH FLOW RATE 1 9.4 6.3 3.3 NET, ' NEW MONEY 2 8,505 3,882 -1,749 152 -24 833 1 — — -620 -1,651 329 Seasonally Ad lusted 1969 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1970 - ban. j>/ Feb. £ / 1 2 3 148 48 272 165 2.7 0.9 4.9 3.0 ---- -113 277 -2.0 5.0 __ 446 -176 265 47 4.0 -1.5 2.4 0.4 -754 249 -6.7 2.2 — -—— V 594; -125 537 173 3.6 -0.8 3.2 1.3 -867 521 -5.2 3.1 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCES: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. —— — __ 19 VINGS FLOWS (seasonally adjusted) •thly M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s 2000 1600 1200 TOTAL 800 400 400 1200 SAVINGS & LOANS 800 400 400 800 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS 400 400 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 'A' LE.:.' Nlortu < " . ^ lected Thrift Institutions • )i., "ONVU ' :-M.NTS • NET CHANGE ALL • "" - Ai : ' | . Ml n UAL • , SAVINGS & TOTAL . ' A. i:: & .1 i, ' :.JS , • LOAN LOAN j u. \KS A"SOCIATIONS j G .Y. STATE) ! ASSOCIATIONS (Billions of Dollars, SJIeasonally Adjusted) 1/ or DATE 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1970 - Jan. Feb. l T0TA1. 9.9 10.1 10.3 10.5 10.4 10.2 9.9 9.5 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.4 6.7 6.9 7.0 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.1 5.9 5.8 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.6 .18 .24 .18 .15 -.11 -.18 -.32 -.36 -.31 -.33 -.24 -.25 .11 .18 .12 .14 -.06 -.11 -.22 -.24 -.18 -.23 -.18 -.12 8.2 7.9 5.6 5.4 2.6 2.5 -.17 -.31 -.22 -.24 / • MUTUAL SAVING: BANKS (N.Y. STA 1 , Based on data from Federal Home W a n Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. .07 .06 .06 .02 -.05 -.06 -.10 -.12 -.13 -.09 -.06 -.13 .04 -.07 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS OUTSTANDING (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Billions of dollars N.Y.-MSB'S * Includes building loans beginning August 1 9 6 7 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 BLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings "DATE TOTAL -INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA TOTAL 1 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS & SAVINGS COMMERCIAL LOAN BANKS * BANKS ASSOC. LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES Not Seasonally Adjusted 18,197 19,988 23,827 23,485 15,874 18,191 21,319 19,110 4,705 4,639 6,677 5,152 2,760 3,118 2,796 2,495 3,761 7,520 9,350 '9,407 4,648 2,914 2,496 2,056 1969 - Jan. 2,101 1,948 638 281 885 144 1969 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,795 1,636 2,079 1,206 1,042 1,434 300 300 200 158 151 284 608 450 533 140 141 417 112 n. a. 1966 1967 1968 1969 100 1970 - Jan. Seasonally Adjusted 1969 •i 970 Feb. Knr. Opr. ' May June July Au^. Sept, Ocv. Nov. Dec. 2,202 2,099 2,117 2,032 2,153 .1,698 1,910 1,876 1,734 1,652 1,906 j ui. 2,025 1,906 1,910 1,808 1,875 1,364 1,380 1,365 1,166 1,069 1,292 668 632 567 534 440 151 310 383 244 237 347 n.a. 288 - 266 230 240 251 230 181 157 137 124 146 235 884 875 899 854 1,022 859 720 654 627 547 576 26 376 207 159 194 169 183 173 193 191 171 139 134 177 193 207 224 278 334 530 511 568 583 614 n. a. 556 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage dgbt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance-companies'may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1967. : NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Billions of dollars 3.0 2.5 TOTAL, INCL. FNMA - GNMA 2.0 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1.5 1.0 1967 1968 1969 1970 1 3: Net Incr asps in Mortgage Debt Outstanding Billions of dollarsSAAR - . 1- to 4- MULTI- . QUARTER RESIDENTIAL 3 TOTAL FAMILY FAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM 19.2 15.6 11.0 9.2 14.8 12.1 8.4 , 7.0 4.4 3.6 2.62.1 6.9 6.5 5.5 4.2 11.6 10.1 8.2 6.2 2.4 2.2 2.2 1.8 1967. ... - ig/ 15.6 20.5 HP •III|> 27.0 IVp 27.5 10.0 13.8 19.6 19.9 6.8 10.5 15. 7 16.0 3.2 3.4 3.9 3.9 3.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 7.2 8.2 8.7 8.8 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.7 1968 . ip/ HP 18.4 18.0 18.2 20.5 15.4 14.8 14.6 16.5 3.0 3.2 3.5 4.0 6.3 5.7 6.5 7.8 9.4 8.9 10.1 11.7 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.8 --ip/ 22.1 21.2 19.8 16.9 17.9 16. 5 15.1 13.0 4.2 4,7 4.6 3.9 6.1 5.0 4.6 5.1 10.3 9.6 9.1 9.0 2. 2 2.3 2.0 1.9 1966 - Ip/ II III IV . 1969 28.5 24.3 18.7 15.2 27.1 25.9 III]) 26.5 IVp 30.1 30.4 28.5 III], 26.4 IVp 24.0 IIP ' . Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agri iiiture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Sep-ration of non-farm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available# and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, .estimated by Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the Federal Reserve. Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4-family and multifamily mortgage debt combined. NET INCREASES IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Quarterly Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate TOTAL TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 1-4 FAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY 1966 1968 24 TABLE 14: FNMA '.'Auction" Results WEEK ENDED Weekly Auction: 1970 - Jan. 5 12 19 Biweekly Auction: 1970 - Jan. 26 IMPLICIT YIELD2(per cGnt) •COMMITMENTS -IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1-YEARN 901-YEAR 1 690TOTAL TOTAL 6. & OVER DAY MONTH & OVER OFFERED MONTH DAY 704.7 637.8 122.7 150.7 8.4 8.7 70.4 81.8 43.9 60.2 9.19 9.40 9.19 9.36 9.15 9.40 581.4 297.8 37.7 187.3 72.8 9.37 9.29 9.26 41.2 52.7 188.0 150.4 66.1 76.8 9.23 9.20 9.28 9.25 9.15 9.13 136.5 - 79.2 67.0 124.5 9.16 9.12 9.19 9.14 9.13 9.12 Feb. 9 24 497.0 438.1 295.3 279.9 Mar. 9 23 354.6 395.4 276.4 60.7 239.0 47.5 Apr. 6 (200.0)3/ Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA are for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time within the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered only after completion and occupancy. 1 For "proposed construction" of new homes only. 2 Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA stock, assuming prepayment of 15 years for 30-year Government-underwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 50 basis points fee paid by investors to servicers. 3 FNMA announced limit of accepted bids for next auction. 27 FNMA "AUCTION" RESULTS $ Millions 200 AMOUNT OF ACCEPTED BIDS BY COMMITMENT PERIOD 150 6 MONTHS 100 1 YEAR 50 AND OVER 3 MONTHS Per cent 12 IMPLICIT YIELD 6-MONTH COMMITMENTS . — 1 .1 . 1- ' ' 1 1 • 1 ^ 1 T — T, 1 10 8 1 $ Millions - 1 \, . K T O T A L BIDS RECEIVED y | | JUNE ( T O T A L BIDS A C C E P T E D AUG. 1969 OCT. DEC. i i FEB. r i APR. I I JUNE 1970 i i AUG. i i OCT. i DEC. TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS UNADJUSTED TYP E OF FINANCING FHA VA OTHER SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE TOTAL 1969 - Feb. . Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,6.86 1,584 1,563 1,509 1,469 1,371 1,384 1,542 1,392 1,295 1,299 975 828 797 883 808 765 723 , 846 777 772 729 711 756 766 626 661 606 661 696 615 523 470 13.2 90.1 18.9 131.9 23.0 159.0 21.1 155.5 21.5 147.3 20.8 125.2 22.4 124.9 18.3 129.3 25.1 123.4 18.8 97.4 85. 3 . 23.2 L970 - Jan.r/ Feb. 2 / 1,197 1,321 692 801 505 520 DATE 1 . 69.0 76.5 16.5 17.5 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.2 4.8 5.0 3.9 4.2 3.4 3.9 . BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE) 2 73.4 109.1 131.6 130.1 121.2 99.7 98.3 106.2 93.3 74.7 57.9 1,477 1,421 1,502 1,323 1,340 1,228 1,245 1,201 1,183 1,191 1,239 49.1 55.1 1,013 1,147 . Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and nou-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and.VA . starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. Other starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional- mortgages and units without mortgages. 2 Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas identified as having a local building permit system in.1959. Estimates beginning January 1963 are for approximately 12,000 and beginning January 1967 13,000, or . all known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS Monthly, annual rates Millions of units SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2.0 HOUSING STARTS 1.6 / PER. C E N T OF U N A D J U S T E D TOTAL STARTS BUILDING PERMITS MULTI-FAMILY 40 GOVERNMENT UNDERWRITTEN 1964 1966 1968 1970 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES DATE CONVENTIONAL MORT25-YEAR 30-YEAR GAGES 3 2 1959-60 - High .196i-66 - Low 1966 - High 196 7 - High Low 1968 - High Low 6.26 5.43 6.73 n. a. n. a. n. a. n.a. n.a. 5^44 6.81 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 1969 - Aug. Sept. • Oct. Nov. Dec. n. a. n. a. n. a. n. a. n. a. 8.36 8.40 8.48 -8.48 8.62 1970 - Jan. Feb. n.a. —— 9.29 1 NEW Aaa CORPORATE BONDS 4 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV. & FHA MORTGAGES 6 . 30 5.80 6.70 6.70 6.40 7.40 6.75 .25 .30 .11 -.12 .12 -.27 . 5.25 4.41 5.82 6.51 5.18 6.79 6.15 8.20 8.25 8.30 8.35 8.35 -.16 -.15 -.18 -.13 -.27 7.65 7.98 7.89 8.32 8.75 8.55 8.55 — * -. 64 1 8.46 8.30 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS , ' AND FHA MORTGAGES 1.69 .77 1.16 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 . . 71 I .42 1 ' .59 .16 -.13 __ .99 Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would-be slightly higher than given in the table. . , Ba^ed on.FHA-field-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate • data available for 25-year and--beginning Julfy 1961--30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, weighted by probable volume, of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Over the period for which they can be compared, the movement of the two mortgage yield series has been similar. Dashed lines indicate periods of adjustment to changes in contractual interest rates. Based tin FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring office cities. Beginning with April 1960, rate relates only to new-home mortgages; prior to that date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in.the series. See note for Table 1. MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS onthly . 12 11 10 9 8 7 HOME MORTGAGES: 6 CONVENTIONAL 5 Aaa CORPORATE BONDS: NEW ISSUES 4 iiiiiiiinniiMiiinii E L D SPREAD(FHA MORTGAGE VS. NEW ISSUE Aaa CORPORATE BONDS) its 5 >0 wVV A/ >0 + 0 _L_ L 1962 I 1964 " 1966 I iiiiliiniuiiii 1968 1970 1 u. TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms DATE 1 LOAN/ PRICE LOAN RATIO AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 4 ' EXISTING HOMES CON- 1FEES & LOAN / TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICE (PER RATE TIVE RITY RATIO CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 25.6 25.6 25.8 25.4 25.8 25.6 25.5 25.2 25.3 25.3 25.3 25.4 73 .6 73,.3 73,.8 72..6 73..2 73.,0 72.,0 72.,3 72. 4 72. 9 72. 8 71. 9 24.1 23.5 24.0 24.8 25.0 24.9 24.5 24.3 24.7 25.0 24.6 25.0 7.18 7.28 7.35 7.46 7.54 7.64 7.79 7.90 7.92 7.98 8,00 8.08 0.86 0.86 0.84 0.85 0.83 0.86 0.91 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.93 7.32 22.8 7.42 22.9 7.49 23.0 7.60 23.0 7.68 22.7 7.79 22.8 7.94 22.8 8.05 22.6 8.08 22.2 8.13 22.2 8.15 22.6 8". 24 22.9 72.6 72.8 72.7 71.8 71.9 71.4 71.7 71.2 70.7 70.2 70.4 70.6 20.0 19.6 20.2 19.9 19.7 20.1 20.1 19.8 19.2 19.5 20.1 . 20.8 25.0 7.06 25.1 8.13 0^94 8.29 . 22.5 70.6 20.7 NEW HOMES CON- FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY (PER RATE (YEARS) TIVE (PER CENT) RATE CENT) 2 3 LOAN AMT. ($000) 4 1969 7.16 Jan. Feb.7.26 Mar. 7.32 Apr. / 7.47 May 7_50 June 7.62 July 7.76 Aug. 7.86 Sept. 7.89 Oct. 7.98 Nov. 7.97 Dec. 8.07 0.84 7 .30 0.81 7,.39 0.93 7,.47 0.96 7..62 0.88 7..65 0.84 7.,76 0, 92 7..91 0.86 . 8. 00 0.92 8. 05 0.89 8, 13 0.96 8. 13 -1.06 * 8. 25 1970 Jan. 8.17 - 1.07 8. 35 . T Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available .somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case . of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. 2 Fees and charges—expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts^and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer "of property ownership. 3. Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. 4 . Derived by FRB. CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGE TERMS Monthly 30 MATURITY NEW 25 EXISTING 20 _L _L 1 I I I I I I I M II "1 I I I I I II I I i i 15 80 LOAN/PRICE RATIO 75 NEW EXISTING 70 1 1 ! 1 • : : • 1 ! I II II I II( I MIM I III 1 1 II Thousands of dollars LOAN AMOUNT 30 20 EXISTING 10 i i i I i ii i i i i 1 i i I i i i i i 1964 1966 1968 1970 * CHANGE IN SERIES