Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 26, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.U* : ' ; March 26, 1958. " Ql'PITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large public security offerings for new capital was moderate during the week ending March 21, and is expected to be only slightly larger this week. Corporations sold • large issues totaling $89 million and State and local governments offered issues with aggregate proceeds of $61* million. This week, corporate issues are expected to total $1*0 million and • State and local government issues totaling $131 million are scheduled for sale. Bond yields - Yields increased slightly last week for.corporate and State and local government bonds, while those for U. S. Government obligations declined. A new Aa-rated, first mortgage electric utility bond issue was offered to investors on March 25 to yield 1*.05 per cent — 5 basis points above that for comparable offerings made last week and the • week before, and 1*5 basis points above a similar issue in late January. April security volume estimates - The April volume of corporate issues for new capital is expected to total $900 million, two-fifths less than the very large volume in March, but only slightly smaller than in April of last year. Large public issues are expected to total over $500 million. State and local government issues during April are currently estimated at $700 million. This volume would be about one-fourth greater than that estimated for March and not much below the volume in April 1957. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, increased slightly last week, closing at 1*2.1*2 on March 21. Prices declined somewhat, on balance, in the early part of this week, closing at 1*2.30 on Wednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments.is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE ,953 B O N D YIELDS 5 Date ,958 ,955 Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local govt. Aaa j / Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate 1 State and Aaa | 1 local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High 195k - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low February 21 February 28 March 7 March lit March 21 3-1*2 (6/19) 3.19 (6/5) 2.99 (1/9) 2.71 (12/31) 3.09 (1/8) 2.71 (1/8) 2.85 (U/23) 2.U5 (8/6) 3.17 (12/23) 2.97 (8/5) 2.91 (1/7) 2.6U (1/7) 3.79 (12/28) 3.1*5 (12/28) 3.07 (3/2) . 2.814 (2/17) li.lli (9/27) 3.76 (10/18) 3.66 (h/12)3.18 (2/8) 3.68 (1/3) 3.28 (1/31) 3.20 (1/10) 3.56 (1/31) . 3.58 3.60 3.62 3.62 3.63 3.25 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.2b 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) 2.3U (9/8) 2.05 (5/26) 3.05 (12/27) 2.17 (2/23) 3.U5 (8/29) 2.76 (2/21) 2.86 (1/9) 2.65 (1/23) .38 .20 .143 .30 .27 .11 .141 .12 .60 .27 .I46 .28 *83 .33 .62 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32. .U7 .15 .62 .3lt 2.73 2.76 2.78 2.78 2.79 .33 .33 • 35 .35 ' .39 .52 .51 .149 .1*9 .h5 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average terra of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. " 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS LOCAL GOVT. Bo, : Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ 3.89 (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.7k (1/8) 3 . a (12/31) 3.63 (12/30) 3.15 (1/lit) lt.ltl (12/28) 3.58 (3/9) 5.10 (11/29) lt.U2 (lt/12) L 9 6 (1/3) lt.61t (2/21) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96 (1/8) . 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.26 (12/29) 3.02 (1/6) it.22 (12/27) 3.20 (3/3) lt.5l (8/29) 3.90 (2/21) 3.92 (1/2) 3.73 (1/23) Date Spread between Aaa and Baa [State and |local govt. Corporate (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - High ' Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High 1958 - High Low February 21 February 28 March 7 March Ik March 21 U.64 It. 65 It. 66 It. 67 ^ It.68 3.78 3.85 3.85 3.86 3.89 .69 .lt2 .68 .52 .5U .45 .63 .U2 1.27 .61t 1.28 l.Olt 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 l.Olt 1.10 1.02 1.06 1.05 l.Olt 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.09 1.07 1.08 1.10 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK. M A R K E T Date Stock price index 1/ Common Trading Stock market custi Customers' volume 2/ debit bal- loans to (millions yields 3/ of sliarea) (per cunt) ances U/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High 195U - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low January February March 21 26.51 (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.9A (12/31)> 24.93 (1/8) 1,5.6° (12/9) 35.28 (1/lit) 6.25 5.38 5.82 32 2.5 0.9 3.7 l-U 1*.6 1.5 1*9.6b (8/3 ) 3.1 1*3.22 (1/20) 1.5 1,9.08 (7/12) 1*.2 39.U8 (12/20) . 1.1, 1,2.142 (3/21) 2.5 10.37 (1/10) "1.7 3.61 I*. 35 3.82 1<.72 3.91 1,.58. l*-33\ ia.12 Ul. 26 1,2.07 12.33 1,2.1,2 1,-1,8 J».l*9 1,.38 1,-314 14.33 2". 3 2.0 2.1 2.1, 2.3 2,1,55 2,055 3,1,36 2,1,05 14,030 3,537 l,,0l,7 3,911, 4,031 3,576 3,679 3,551* 1,665 1,3114 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,740 2,887 2,482 2,580 2,1*87 3,554 3,679 2,14*7 2,580 n.a. n.a. 780 661* 1,0148 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,051* 1,110 1,051 . 1^099 1,110 1,106 i.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 19l»l-li3"10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Fridaj's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on.Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago.- Weekly renorting hanks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin." Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1958 January February March April May June e/ 800 e/ 900 quarter quarter quarter quarter 92ft 771 1,1*89 818 1,11*6 81*1 • 1,055 792 1,086 e/ 3,175 1st half Three quarters Year 1956 573 712 817 991 91b 973 October November December New capital 1,063 e/ 1,5002/ July August September 1st 2nd 3rd lith Corporate 1 1 1957 . State and local 1/ 1 195? 1 195b 810 91*!* e/550 71*2 572 506 hok e/700 765 51*6 393 378 1*90 735 *•8 529 581* 1*31 1*08 206 357 71*5 . 1,089 3/ 1,088 . 698 633 698 639 31*7 1*09 1,820 1,701* 1,51*1* 2,029 1,1*90 1,603 971 1,395 3,521* 5,069 7,099 3,093 1*,06U 5,1*59 838 3,1*79 3,181* . 2,878 2,933 6,662 9,51*0 12,1*73 - 1958 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 1,907 7,1*63 10,381* e/2,30l* . 696 390 Excluding finance companies b j 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter e/ 2,875 Year 3,268 2,921* • 2,560 2,788 il,5Uo 1,61*7 2,Z 2,826 9,260 e/ Estimated. 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data^ are from the. Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 3/ Includes 0671.5 million AT&T common stock issue. • 5/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. • Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding-. V H.llt Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Corporate Month State and local government 306 19k k99 21*8 176 265 357 185 135 386 139#6 6# 671 788 1957 - February March April May | June July August September October November December 1958 - January February Other 2/ U77 329 877 525 526 537 57k k20 • 3# 318 605 . 50 _ 125 25 39 25 30 75 215 15 Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 21 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Rating Maturity of net inter- yield dollars') est cost CORPORATE Baltimore Gas & Elec. Co. lst&ref.mtg.bds.30.0 1st mtg.bds. kO.O Ohio Edison Co. Union Electric Co. 1st mtg.bds. 35.0 Columbia Gas System, Inc. Deb. 30.0 Pub. Service Elec. & Gas Pfd. stk. 25.0 I " S.F. deb. 20.0 Sylvania Elec. ProductsJhe, Sylvania Elec. ProductsJhc Conv. sub. deb.20.0 Conv. deb. 718.3 American Tel. & Tel. Co. Deb. 30.0 Miss. River Fuel Corp. 1st mtg. bds. 16.0 Chi.,Rock Is. & Pacific RR 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 Carolina Pwr. & Lt. Co. Pfd. stk. 20.0 Tenn. Gas Trans. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 Texas Eastern Trans. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 2k. 0 Georgia Power Co. 1993 1988 1988 1983 k k l/k k 3/8 k 3/8 3.9k k.15 U.22 k.ko Aa' Aa A 1980 1983 1973 1978 1983 1988 k3/k k 1/2 111A k 3/k 5 1/2 k 1/8 k-75 k.5o a. 25 k.71 5.50 ii.00 Baa Ba Aa Baa Baa Aa 1978 1988 k 7/8 k 1/8 U.92 k.07 Baa A H.lU E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 21 (Cont'd) Type 3/ Coupon Amount Offering Rating (millions Maturity rate or of net inter- yield est cost dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT ^"Seattle, Washington Rev.-Ut. 20.0 Miami, Florida G.O. 12.7 State of Mississippi G.O. 20.0 Harrisburg Swge. Auth.,Pa, Rev.-Rent. 7.2 Newark, New Jersey G.O. -/ 15.0 Cuyahoga Co., Ohio G.O. 5.3 Milwaukee, Wisconsin Rev.-Ut. 10.0 Lafayette, Louisiana Rev.-Ut. 8.0 St. Paul, Minnesota G.O. 5.U State of West Virginia Rev.-S.T. 8.7 State of Ohio Rev. —S. T. 32.0 6.1 . Indiana University Rev.-Q.ut. OTHER 1960-88/68 1960-88 1959-73 1961-83/63 1959-78 1959-73 1959-86/68 1960-87/63 1959-88 1959-68 1958-72 1960-87 3.63 3.11 2.68 3.01 3.09 2.55 3.12 lt.13 2.93 2.38 2.56 1.75-3.75 1.80-1:. 25, / 1.10-2.85=' 1.70-3.50 1.30-3.35 1.10-2.85 1.25-3.25c/ 2.1|0-U.20^ 1.10-3.00 1.10-2.60 . 1.00-2.80 n.a. A' A Aa Aa A Aa Aa Baa Aa A Aa n.a.—Not available. . 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of #15 million and oyer; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only, by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. h/ 1972-73 maturities not reoffered. 5/ 1987 maturity not reoffered. H.lii Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation - Feb. 28, Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec 31 — Jan. 31 Feb. 28 During month following date shown State and Corporate local govt. Other 2/ 740 461 187 525 370 526 578 576 458 383 378 498 1,123 153 290 179 97 172 252 243 370 369 3# 383 129 175 —— 25 25 25 30 30 18 150 — Subsequent to date shown State and Corporate local govt. 795 486 258 #5 415 811 845 647 • 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 ^ 631 862 396 388 498 . 514 4# 587 ,573 589 614 546. . 389 Other 2/ —— 25 25 25 30 15 bB 63 165 — Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 21 Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) 1st mtg. bds. Florida Power & Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. General Telephone Co. of California Wisconsin Electric Power Co. 1st nrtg. bds. General American Transportation Co. Equip.' tr. cert. General Telephone Corp. Common stk. S. F. deb. Pacific Petroleum Ltd. Duquesne Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. -Joseph E. Seagram & Sons, Inc. Deb. Aluminum Co. of America Deb. •Conv. sub. deb. Richfield Oil Corp. Commonwealth Edison Co. Mississippi Power & Light Co. Consolidated Edison Co. of New York American Can Co. Douglas Aircraft Co. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st ref. mtg. bds. Deb. S. F. deb. . 20.0 20.0 30.0 20.0 20.0 30.0 15.0 4o.o 125.0 19;0 5o.o 15.0 50.0 40.0 60.0 Mar. 2-5 Mar. 27 . Apr. 1 Apr. 3 ' Apr. 3 Apr. 3 Apr. 10 Apr. 10 Apr. 11 Apr. 14 (rights expire) Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Apr. 23 Apr. Apr. H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March 21 (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE (Continued) Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Tennessee Gas Transmission Co. Deb.,bds. & common 1st mtg. bds. Deb. U5.0 I4.O.O 30.0 1958 1958 1958 12.5 ' 1:9.5 7.3 8.1 6.7 2Uo7 5.0 7.0 10.6 12.5 18.3 13.5 7.0 8.U 5.0 7.5 2L6 96.9 7.5 100.0 Mar. 25 Mar. 25 Mar. 26 Mar. 26 .Mar. 26 Mar. 27 Mar. 27 Mar. 27 Mar. 27 Apr. 1 Apr. 1 Apr. 2 Apr. 2 Apr. 3 Apr. 8 Apr. 9 Apr. 9 Apr. 16 . Apr. 17 Apr. 23 STATE-AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Orlando Utilities Comm., Fla. State of New York Hoboken, New Jersey State of Louisiana Providence, Rhode Island State of Iowa Fort Worth Ind. Sch. Dist., Texas Harris Co., Texas ^Buffalo, New York *Texas Veterans Land Board -^Commonwealth of Puerto Rico *Los Angeles, California Lafayette Par. Sch. Dist. No. 1, La. Tampa, Florida •sArme Arundel Co., Maryland ^-Chicago, Illinois State of Maryland State of Massachusetts Louisiana State University State of California Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. -G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev„-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Ut.-Q.Ut. G.O. OTHER Ontario, Canada Ext.. deb. Apr. 2 75.0 Apr. h 20.0 Ext. deb. ^Edmonton, Alberta, Canada Included in table for first ti 1/ Includes"corporate and other issues of $15 million and over3 State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. - Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. H.lii Exhibit G Yields.cn New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1956 High Low 1957 - January February March April May July August September October November December 1958 - January 8 9 17 21 23. February 5 IV 20 21 . 25 26 28 March h 5 6 12 19 21 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) h.30(12/12/56) 2.93(3/31/51) : 62 -3 k.hk h.2 5 57 a. None *U.29 k.hk 1.71 . 1^.66 *5.oo a. 83 *L78 . U.79E/ *a.3o 50 58 81 57 . 75 $k U5 U9 Ik 3.60 -8 3.80 .3.80 13 12 3.95 Loo 28 33 li.15 k.22 a. 00 1.00 a 50 28 26 h.58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/5U) 1.62 None li.50 L.55 U.80 ^.10. . L,86E/ None *5.10 5.08 , 5.282/ -x-ii.UO 70 -15 6U hS Sh 79 106 70 51 k6 66 k 3.85 3.80 9 13 -3 -8 3.90 -3 3.92 -3 i.ko •U.25 35 6 U.07 — 1 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Providesfor a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or.more issues with such a provision. Other averages and issues have no such provision.