Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : March 10, 1955
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Not f o r Publication l.u c __ DECONTROLLED. AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lk March 10, 1955 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Heavy volume of security i s s u e s l a s t week - Proceeds from l a r g e public o f f e r i n g s f o r .new c a p i t a l t o t a l e d 366 million d o l l a r s f o r corporate issues and h9 million f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments during the week ending March The volume of large issues t o be f l o a t e d t h i s week i s Ho8 million d o l l a r s and includes 328.6 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s from the General Motors common stock o f f e r i n g , the expirat i o n date for which was March 7. Bond y i e l d s - Yields on outstanding corporate Aaa and high-grade municipal bonds rose l a s t week. Corporate Baa y i e l d s did not change, and y i e l d s on Treasury obligations decreased two b a s i s p o i n t s . A decrease occurred in the Government y i e l d s on Tuesday of t h i s week. « As indicated i n Exhibit F, y i e l d s on newly-offered 30-year f i r s t mortgage e l e c t r i c power bonds with Aa- and A-ratings have r e cently been s u b s t a n t i a l l y above y i e l d s on s i m i l a r l y r a t e d outstanding bonds of somewhat shorter maturity. The A-rated newly-offered bond y i e l d s had been below seasoned bond y i e l d s f o r most of 195k, while o f f e r i n g y i e l d s on the Aa-rated bonds had been j u s t s l i g h t l y above comparable seasoned y i e l d s . Stock prices - The SEC index of 26£ common stocks i n creased f u r t h e r t o a new high of 231.0 for the week ending March h . However, according t o d a i l y indexes, a sharp, decline occurred on March 8, and a smaller decrease on March 9. Corporate Security Offerings Fourth Quarter and Year of 1953 and 195b Net proceeds f o r new c a p i t a l Net proceeds from corporate s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s for new c a p i t a l i n 195U declined 11 per cent from the volume f l o a t e d in 1953 and t o t a l e d 7,5&1 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s , as shown in Table 1. The volume of t h e l a r g e s t major i n d u s t r i a l group in both y e a r s , the e l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t i e s , decreased 8 per cent t o 2,673 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s ,from 2,905 million i n 1953* Sales finance companies declined from t h e i r high l e v e l of issues o f f e r e d in 1953 -• and dropped t o 332 million d o l l a r s l a s t y e a r . Although the common stock o f f e r i n g from banks, and in p a r t i c u l a r the National City Bank of New York issue f o r 131 million d o l l a r s , are included i n H.Ik the finance and r e a l estate t o t a l , the volume for t h i s major group was j u s t half as large in 195k as in the year e a r l i e r as a r e s u l t of the decline in finance company issues. ^ Manufacturing companies as a whole issued about the same volume of securities in both years. Three of the largest indust r i e s in the manufacturing group each year—namely, the iron and s t e e l , petroleum and chemical companies in 195U, and the chemical, petroleum and automobile companies i n 1953—were large primarily . because of the inclusion of the proceeds from at l e a s t one issue of over 100 million d o l l a r s . An exception was the machinery company volume which was made up of a greater number of only modera t e l y large issues. The large issues r e f e r to public offerings or single takedowns of private placements.. United States S t e e l ' s 300 million dollars of debentures i n July was the largest public issue floated l a s t year. The largest growth, both in dollar value and percentagewise was in the mining group, which rose from a 220 million dollar t o t a l in 1953 to 460 million in 195k. Communication company f l o tations decreased primarily because of the American Telephone and Telegraph financing program which offered 602 million dollars of convertible debentures in December 1953 in contrast t o about 25>0 million of straight debentures in September 19%kIn the fourth quarter last, year, the volume of issues f o r new capital was 22 per cent less than in the l a s t three months of 1953. Manufacturing companies floated about the same amount of issues both years. The General Motors offering mentioned above was . the only large issue of over 100 million dollars issued in 1953 and accounted f o r over half the manufacturing volume. In l?5k three industries reached the level of over 100 million dollars—the chemi c a l , petroleum, and machinery companies—the two former cnes as a r e s u l t of a very large o f f e r i n g . E l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t y offerings were l i t t l e more than half the volume of the fourth quart e r of 1953. The largest growth from one fourth period to the next occurred in the f i n a n c i a l and r e a l estate group due mainly t o the National City Bank o f f e r i n g . Consumer finance companies issued about the same volume of securities in both fourth quarters. However, while the fourth quarter of 195k was the largest that year, i n 1953 the l a s t three months t o t a l was the smallest and represented a decline from the f i r s t three periods when finance offerings were at t h e i r highest l e v e l . A breakdown of net capital proceeds between public issues and private placements i s not available. Estimates indicate t h a t about one-half of bonds were privately placed, a s l i g h t l y higher portion than in 1953. Affecting t h i s r e s u l t was the high repre- < sentation in 195k of manufacturing issues, which are frequently p r i vately placed. Common stock issues for new c a p i t a l , although declining s l i g h t l y from the dollar amount offered in 1953, increased s l i g h t l y as a r a t i o of t o t a l new c a p i t a l . Table 1 Corporate Security Offerings f o r New Capital by Type of Business of Issuer Fourth Quarter and Year of 1953 and 195k (Net proceeds i n millions of d o l l a r s ) Year Fourth quarter Type o f ' b u s i n e s s 195k All corporate o f f e r i n g s 1,8 99 Manufacturing Iron and s t e e l Nonferrous Machinery Automobile Chemical Petroleum Other ' 531 S 6 115 17. 131 116 11*0 1 1953 195k 2,m 7,561 8,U95 2,131 1 1953 77 307 20 1* 117 153 336 107 21*8 . 293 631 2,128 105 72' 305 322 1*1*6 335 510 555 ~~9 21 E l e c t r i c , gas and water u t i l i t i e s hoQ 771 2,673 2,905 Communication 162 627 655 871 Railroad 6k 7k 213 267 Other t r a n s p o r t a t i o n 28 77 29k 286 Commercial and other 175 79 368 282 Mining Financial and r e a l e s t a t e Consumer finance companies Other • 11*9 382 I6H 278 92 168 100 68 _ . 160 220 766 332 it3li 1,536 1,268 268 Note.—Components of manufacturing t o t a l s are shown net of f o r e i g n s e c u r i t i e s . D e t a i l s may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission and Federal Reserve. -4- H.I4 Gross proceeds Unlike new c a p i t a l , the volume of t o t a l corporate securi t y offerings was slightly larger in 1954 than in 1953* The volume was 9,^63 million dollars l a s t year, and 8,898 million i n 1953 as shown in Table 2. The major difference between the gross proceeds from corporate offerings and net proceeds for corporate new capital in 1954 as shovm in Table 1 i s the large volume of refunding issues f l o a t e d . About 1,860 million dollars of such issues were offered in contrast with 260 million offered during 1953• Approximately one-third of the proceeds from refunding programs in 1954 was used to refinance bonds which had been offered from April to September 1953 when i n t e r e s t rates were higher than they had been in recent years. Increased refunding began at the end of March and remained sizable throughout l a s t year; the December volume was the largest month of the year. Table 2 ' Total Corporate Security Offerings by Type of Issue Fourth Quarter and Year of 1953 and 195b (Gross Proceeds in millions of dollars) Type of issue . Total corporate offerings Fourth quarter 1954 I 1953 2,581 2,540 Type of offering Public Private 1,400 1,180 Type of security Bonds and notes Public Private 2,003 874 1,129 Preferred stock 151 Common stock 427 1% 9,563 8,898 1,691: 8JU6 5,844 3,719 5,580 3,318 2,113 1,305 808 7,515 4,004 3,541 7,083 3,856 3,228 . . 98 814 330 1,204 . Note.—Details may not add to t o t a l s due to rounding. Source.—Securities and Exchange Commission. Year I 1953" 489 1,326 H»lii -£>- Public o f f e r i n g s and p r i v a t e placements changed only s l i g h t l y in t h e i r r a t i o s t o t o t a l o f f e r i n g s as compared t o the 1953 f i g u r e s . Public o f f e r i n g s were 5# 81*4 million d o l l a r s , ,61 per cent of t o t a l corporate issues i n 1954. During the year b e f o r e , 63 per cent of a l l corporate o f f e r i n g s was publicly f l o a t e d . Bonds and notes continued t o account f o r the major portion of o f f e r ings; lyShS m i l l i o n d o l l a r s were issued l a s t year and of t h a t t o t a l , ii,OOU million were publicly o f f e r e d . Common stock volume decreased moderately both i n absolute and r e l a t i v e terms; p r e f e r r e d issues rose t o about 9 per cent of t o t a l issues from 5 per cent in 195)3. In the f o u r t h q u a r t e r , the proportions in the. two years were somewhat d i f f e r e n t . L i t t l e more than half of the 2,581 million d o l l a r s of t o t a l corporate volume was publicly offered in the fourth quarter of 1954.. Bonds and notes represented about f o u r - f i f t h s of t o t a l i s s u e s , but 1,129 million d o l l a r s or 56 per cent were p r i v a t e l y placed. In the same quarter of 1953> privately-placed bonds and notes were j u s t over one-third of t o t a l debt o f f e r i n g s . Both p r e f e r r e d and common stocks accounted f o r s l i g h t l y larger proportions of t o t a l issues in the l a s t three months of 195L than in the comparable period of 1953. Further d e t a i l s on c a p i t a l market developments available from e x h i b i t s - More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market developments w i l l be found in the following e x h i b i t s which are attached h e r e t o : A - Bond Yields B - Stock Market C - Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements D - Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury.) E - Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New,Capital (Other than U. S . Treasury) F - Yields on Mew and Outstanding E l e b t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A BOND YIELDS PER CENT PER ANNUM 4 WEEKLY CORPORATE Baa CORPORATE A a a 4 GOVERNMENT / V \S" / H I G H - G R A D E M U -N I C I P A L V I STANDARD AND POOR SxCORP. I JVLI M i l l I I I I I I 1 1 ' I I I I I J S 1952 B I 11 I Corporate 1/ J S 1953 TJ. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between HighCorporate Aaa and U. S. Govt. K!V (Per cent per annum) 1952 - Hi Lor 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low February February February February March k 3.03 I2.99 S 3.09 4 11 18 25 .37 .19 .38 .19 .1*3 .32 .29 .25 .27 .28 .27 2.h3 2.00 jt 2.1.6 i3 2.56 2.23 2.U6 2.36 2.ia 2.L3 -/^Moody's Investors Service; weekly average of daily f i g u r e s . 2/ Federal Reserve; weekly average of daily figures. i f standard and Poor's Corporation; Wednesday f i g u r e . Note Highs arri lows are for individual series and may be cn d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. . STOCK MARKET Date Bank loans Trading Common stock Customers' to "others" for purchases yields 3 / volume 2/ (per cent balances U/ of secur(millibns ities y (millions (19?M9-100) of shares) •per annum) of dollars) (millions of dollars) Stock price 1952 - High Low 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low January February February 18 February 25 March h 165.3 151.7 167.1 m.o 221.1; 156.5 231.0 217. it 2l8.lt 226.8 227.6 226.2 231.0 0.9. 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.lt lt.6 2.8 3.6 3.2 3.L 2.9 3.0 5.77 5.13 5.75 5.15 5.33 lt.20 1,328 l,2ltl 1,665 l,3Ut 2,388 1,653 It .22 It .21 2,517 • . 295 250 327 252 -1*87 328 lt97 US lt8l 2t90 189 U97 lt93 "1 / spr. Iriffor of cnnvflrtpd to •Irs. w n n l r l v fOofllncr nrio.A 19ii7-C9»100 by Federal Reserve. The cdiversion factor i s 123.91. 2/ Weekly averages of daily trading volume on New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 caamon stocks; end of month f i g u r e s . It/ End of month figures for member firms of New York Stock Exchange; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks in New York and Chicago; excludes loans for purchase of U. S. Government s e c u r i t i e s . On March h, 1953, the l a s t date on which figures for a l l reporting banks were available, New York and Chicago accounted for US per cent of such loans. In the past New York and Chicago loans have fluctuated more than t o t a l loans.• n.a.—Not available. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on d i f f e r e n t dates for d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . H.l4 Exhibit C Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1 Nevr capital Corporate 1 1954 1 1953 5a 439 660 623 623 666 April May • June 486 652 859 779 675 . 1,123 July August September 898 346 776 1,008 298 592 1955 January February March e/USO e/350 e/1,150 . October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year. e/1,950 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter 4th quarter Year e/1,575 1,643 1,998 2,021 1,899 7,561 State and local 1955 • 1 1954 1 5® e/750 396 1953 389 360 426 & 3 853 329 649 434 183 325 753 279. 261 6JU9 519 259 475 577 594 423 877 453 408 774 1,372 2,334 1,188 1,894 6,789 1,176 1,412 1,253 1 , ^ / 1,912 2,578 e/1,595 8,195 1,636 5,477 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1,562 1,931 1,9U 1,795 7,229 1,669 1,991 1,223 2,3a 7,227 - 2/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies. e/ Estimated. Note*—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due to rounding. . H.ll; Exhibit D Large Public Security Issues f o r New Capital (Other than U . S . Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month Corporate 19$h - February March April May June July August September October November. December 1955 ~ January February State and l o c a l government 103 160 169 213 378 557 557 603 92 86 b55 388 268 689 3U 101 32k #0 336 75 335 to 0 9h 1U 72 OtheF 2 / - 50 30 35 Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through 1* Issuer Type 3 / Coupon Amount (millions r a t e or Offering Maturity net i n t e r Rating of yield dollars) e s t cost CORPORATE May Department Store SF deb. 25.0 . 1980 Central & South West Corp. Common s t k . 20.1 Union Oil Company Conv. deb. 21.0 1975 P a c i f i c Gas & Electric Co. lst&refmtgbds 50.0 1987 General Motors Acceptance Corp. Deb. 250.0 1960;1972 3 1/h 3.25 A 3 3 3/8 3.00 3.30 Baa Aa 3;3 1/2 3.0053.50 — STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Portland, Oregon S t a t e of Louisiana Hempstead & N. Hempstead, New York Houston, Texas G.O. G.O. 8.0 10.0 1958-75 1960-70 2.01 - 1.15-2.20 2.23 1.50-2.35 Aa A G.O. G.O. 15.5 15.0 1955-84 1956-85 3.08 2.59 Baa A 1.10-3.13 1.00-3.10 \d H.lh D-2 Large Individual Issues Offered March 1 through ii (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Coupon (millions Offering Rating r a t e or Maturity of net i n t e r - yield dollars) est cost .OTHER None over;"~State and local government security offerings of 5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general obligationj. Rev,, revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; and, L.L., l i m i t e d - l i a b i l i t y obligations secured by pledge of.designated revenues. Exhibit E H.lh Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U . S . Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent t o date shown During month following date shown Date of computation Corporate | 1954 - Feb. 26 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 28 June 30 July 30 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov, 30 Dec. 31 1 9 # - J a n . 31 Feb. 28 108 201* 323 332 336 100 $ m 16. 710 Other 2 / 1*98 50 I 596 86 5U 300 383 U36 661 567 682 27 Corporate 690 555 6U7 526 532 303 608 hih 30 135 2U6 216 122 1,395 |'Other 2 / 1,916 2,789 2,322 1,971 1,#4 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2,1hh 1,961 1,978 50 27 30 30 35 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of March L Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g , of d o l l a r s ) CORPORATE General Motors Corp. Joy Manufacturing Company New.England Telephone and Telegraph Alabama Power American Telephone and Telegraph Consnon stock SF d&b. Common stock 1st mtg. bonds Conv. deb. 328.6 20.0 15.7 15.0 650.0 March 7 March 22 March 31 May 2k 1955 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Multnomah County, Oregon Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal. New York Bridge Authority S t a t e of South Carolina S t . Petersburg, Florida . •KOyster Bay, New York S t a t e of Mississippi State of New Jersey New Jersey Turnpike Authority G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. L.L. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. 15.5 8.0 16.0 20.0 12; .0 5.8 a 3U.0 March March March March March March March March March 8 9 9 9 10 10 15 15 17 H.lU E-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of March U (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AMD LOCAL GOVERNI.IENT (Cont'd) •^Georgia State School Building Auth. I l l i n o i s Turnpike AuthorityConnecticut Expressway Texas Turnpike Authority *San Francisco", California Los Angeles, California ^Louisville, Kentucky W i c h i t a , Kansas San Diego County, California Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Michigan Turnpike Authority State of Louisiana Florida State Turnpike Authority Sam Houston Turnpike Corp. Texas Turnpike Company Dade County Port Authority, Fla. Springfield, I l l i n o i s Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Sanitary Authority California Toll Bridge Authority Jersey City 'Sewerage Auth., N. J . North Carolina Turnpike Authority Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. n.a. n.a. 30.2 390.0 100.0 58.5 6.9 5-10.0 7-5 7.it Rev. Rev. 60.0 186.0 80.0 7lt.O 1U6.0 HiO.O Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. 8.U 21.0 9.0 85.0 235.0 16.0 200.0 March 22 March Winter Winter April L April 6 April 20 April 26 Spring Spring Spring Spring Spring 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 • OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of 15 million dollars and over; State •and local government issues of 5 million and over. 2 / Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. n.a.—Not available. •a—Included in table for f i r s t time. Exhibit F Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date. 1952 average Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Actual . Amount above Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) 3.16 13 3.U3 15 3.79 195k average 3. Ok 3 3.12 195U - January February March. April May June July August September October November December 3.20 3.02 *2.93 2.99 3.00 *3.00 None None 3.02 3.03 None None 6 0 0 5 *3.35 *3.20 3.05 3.10 3.Hi 3.14 *3,13 3.11 *3.10 3.10 None .3.11 1955 - January 19 3.15 13 3.H 7 February 2h 25 k 1 3 3 — 12 3.35 1953 average 3.23 y.27 "•=3 7 } - -l -10 -6 0 -2 -1 -1 -3 -2 0 9 Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Aver age. maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. *—Single observation, not an average. "