Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : June 15, 1955
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lU June 15, 1 9 # CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Moderate volume of issues for new capital last week - One large State and local government offering of 74 million dollars, and one large public utility bond issue of 25> million dollars were publicly floated for new capital during the week ending June 10. Large issues scheduled for offering this week total 93 million dollars for the State end local governments and hi million for corporations. Bond yields - Yields on outstanding corporate Aaa bonds declined one basis point last week. U. S. Government long-term bond yields did not change. State and local government Aaa yields in-, creased one. basis point. Yields on lower-grade bonds remained steady. According to daily figures, the corporate Aaa yields rose slightly on Monday and remained steady on Tuesday of this week. Treasury yields did not change during the first two days of this week. As indicated in Exhibit G, the spread between yields on newly-offered 30-year first mortgage electric power bonds with A ratings'and yields on similarly rated outstanding bonds of somewhat shorter maturity is currently 10 basis points, moderately less than in the last several months but still considerably larger than the spread in 195b. Stock market credit - Customers' debit balances, excluding borrowings for carrying U. S. Government securities, of member firms of the New York Stock Exchange, declined 20 million dollars to total 2,68U million at the end of May, the first decrease since February 195U. Money borrowed by member firms on collateral other than U. S. Government securities increased but only by 58 million dollars, considerably less than one-half the increase during each of the two preceding months. Free credit balances fell substantially for the third consecutive month aid totaled 928 million dollars at the end of May. Despite the decline in customers' debit balances, total stock market credit increased 2 million dollars during May because bank loans to "others" increased more than debit balances declined. H.lU -2- Below are April and May 1955 figures for stock market credit.outstanding: (Millions of dollars)• April May 2,752 2,731 2,7014. 2,68b. . 2,062 2,119 Customers' debit balances - total Customers1 debit balances - excluding money borrowed for carrying Government obligations " "foney borrowed by member firms maintaining margin accounts 1 Money borrowed, by member firms maintaining margin accounts, on collateral - other than Government obligations 1>988 '2,0H7 973 928 Bank loans to others for purchasing and carrying securities (last Wednesday of month - weekly reporting member banks, excluding Governments for Mew York and Chicago reporting banks) 1,081 1,103 Total stock market credit (equals sum of item 2 and item 6) ' , 3,785 3,787 Customers' free credit balances Stock prices rise - The SEC index of 265 common stocks increased U.U points to a new high of 2U1.9 during the week ending June 10. Trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange averaged 2.9 million shares a day last week, moderately above the low for the year. Stock prices rose moderately on Monday and decreased very slightly on Tuesday of this week according to daily indexes. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments will be found in the attached exhibits. Business Finance and Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. EXHIBIT A HIGH - GRADE BOHD YIELDS CORPORATE A a a — U. S. GOVERNMENT Corporate Aaa 1/ ~ J ! U. S. Govt. I long-term 2/ I ~ H ' ' State and local J govt., Aaa 3/ i ~ T Spread between ! U. S. Govt, and !Corporate!State and ( Aaa 'local Aaa (Per cent) 1952 - High Low 1953 - High 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low May 13 May 20 May 27 June 3 June 10 • 3.03 2.91 3.U2 2.99 3.09 2.85 j 3.05 2.91 (lA) (2/15) (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (U/23) (6/3) (1/7) 3.0U 3.0k 3.05 3.05 3.0U 2.79 (12/27) 2.56 (5/17) 3.15(6/6) 2.73 (12/26) 2.7U (1/9) 2 . W (8/7) 2.77 (5/6) • . 2.62 (1/7) 2.75 2.7U 2.75 2.7U 2.7U 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. 2.00 1.65 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.11 2.05 . 2.07 2.05 2.05 2.06 2.07 (10/23) (5/1) (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (2/10) (5/26) .37 .19 .38 .19 .U3 .32 . 3U .2h .29 .30 .30 .31 .30 • 1.02 .71 . 8U .30 .61 .29 .70 .5U .68 .69 .70 .68 .67 Average term of bonds included is 25-26 . 2/ Weekly average of daily figures; old series. Average term to first call of bonds included is 13-lb years. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term Ts 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS Per cent p e r a n n u m Weekly CORPORATE B e e V \ STATE A N D LOCAL GOVT. V i ' T | I STATE A N D L O C M G O V T . REVENUE 1952 Date 1954 Corporate Baa 1/ j ! State and local govt. Baa 2/ 1955 ' State and 1 local govt. ' rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1952 - High 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High May 13 May 20 May 27 June 3 June 10 3.63 3.U8 3.89 3.50 3.7k 3.UU 3.50 3.U5 1 3.50 3.U9 3.50 3.50 ! 3.50 (1A) (5/16) (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (6/10) (1/lM 2.98 (10/23) 2.U8 (U/17) 3.79 (6/25) 2.96(1/8) 3.32 (1/7) 2.93 (8/5) 3.08 (5/12) 3.02 (1/6) 2.69 2.27 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.90 2.76 3.08 3.06 3.06 3.06 3.06 2.77 2.77 2.77 2.79 2.79 (12/19) (U/25) (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (U/15) (1/7) „ Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are inducted; average term is 20 years. . 3/ Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included is between Baa and A; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows'are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT C STOCK MARKET -1—VOLUME I Stock price I' index 1/ Stock market credit Trading I Common - r " volume 2j I stock I Customers'J Bank (millions yields 3/1 Total debit bail- loans to of shares) I (per cent) I ances k/ ["others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 165.3 151.7 167.1 116.0 221. k 156.5 2kl. 9 217. k 1 9 5 2 - High Low 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1 9 5 5 - High Low April May toy 20 May 27 June 3 . June 10 (12/26) (10/210 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (6/10) (1/lk) 231.ii 233.3 , 233.3 231.6 237.5 2U1.9 2.0 0.9 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.k k.6 2.0 2.7 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.U 2.9 1,986 1,80k 2,165 2,055 3,U36 2,k05 3,787 3,537 1,332 l,2kl 1,665 1,31k 2,38.8. 1,653 2,70k 2,517 656 552 - 780 66k l,0k8 7k6 1,126 1,018 a. 12 k.lk 3,785 3,787 2,70k 2,68k 1,081 1,103 1,092 1,103 1,126 n.a. n.a. n.a."- 5.77 ' 5.13 5.75 5.15 . 5.33 k. 20 It. 22 U. 12 to 19H7-L9"10O by Federal Reserve. The conversion factor is 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 3 / Moody's 200 common stocks; end of month figures. t/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry"margin accounts; excludes money borrowed for carrying U. S. Government obligations. ' ' , 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes all loans on U."S. Governments for 1952; since 1953 only loans secured by Governments at banks in New York and Chicago are excluded. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. n.a. — N o t available. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. E.Ik r • *" , 9 Exhibit'D 1 Corporate and State and Local Gov>rnment Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) January FebruaryMarch . April .May June State and local 1 1954 1 1953 1955 S&6 h3 6 1,261 547 426 6# 623 623 666 • 535 312 538 #6 411 565 e/500 e/900 - h97 656 779 675 1,123 e/425 e/350 3/550 731 748 853 k3k $ 483 279 261 649 519 259 175 1,003 290 604 577 42-9 2/ 1,438 y 5% 423 877 408 1,608 1,992 1,991 1,896 7,190 1,912 2,578 "e/6$0 842 July August September October November December 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter Lth quarter Year New capital Corporate 1954 1 1 1955 2,243 e/2,0# ' % 1,385 1,325 lift1-/ 6 ,k95 1,372 : 2,33k 1,188 1,894 6,789 1953 389 • 360 . k26 329 61*9 . 77k 1,176 1,102 1,253 1,636 5,177 Excluding finance companies 2/ 1st quarter 2nd quarter 3rd quarter l±th quarter Year . 1,791 e/2,000 j 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,128 i:S! 1,223 2,3UU 7,227 1/ Includes 602o million dollar AT&T debenture issue. 2/ Total nevr capital issues excluding offerings of sales and personal finance companies. eJ Estimated. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for Mew Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) l/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) ~t~ 1 Month „ Corporate 195U - May June July August September October November December 1955 - January February March April May State.and | ilocal government 32k 350 336 75 335 U13 o .Other 2/ 557 603 92 86 U55 388 268 6# 3U1 .107 337 238 109 9k lid -72 750 175 U83 —— 30 35 15 Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 10 Issuer Type 3/ 1 Coupon Amount 1 (millions rate or . ° Maturity ! of net inter1dollars) est cost s g CORPORATE Virginia Electric and Power Company • 1st & re£ bds. . 25.0 1985 ' 3'# 3.20 4a - STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Houston, Texas Nexv York City Housing Authority State of North Carolina Baltimore, Maryland Galveston Co. Navigation District, Texas Minneapolis, Minnesota Florida Turnpike Auth. G.O. 12.5 1956-80 2.U7 1. 20-2.65 A G.R. G.O. G.O. 27.2 11.0 2U.7 1958-03 1957-75 1956-8U. 3.01 1.96 2.15 1.75-2.78 1.20-2.05 1.05-2.30 A Aa Aa G. 0. G.O. Rev. 6.0 5.2 71.0 1957-91 1956-75 1995 2.93 3.32 J_.U0-3.00-i' A 1.15-2.10 Aa 3.25 H.lU E-2 Large Individual Issues Offered June 1 through 10 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount 1 Offering rate or ^ of10nSj Maturity-net interyield est cost dollars) 1 Rating OTHER None 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of 15 million dollars and over;~State and local government security offerings of 5 million and over. . 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general obligations additionally secured by, facilities revenues; and, L.L., limited liability obligations secured by pledge of designated revenues. h/ Subject to avrard. . Exhibit F H.lii Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation ! 195U - May 28 June 30 July 30 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1955 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 Subsequent to " During month following date shorn date shorn State and State and Corporate Other 2/ JCorporate j Other 't (local govt. local govt. 332 336 100 33U 3U3 15 9k 18U 16 .710 211 U25 160 #6 86 5U 300 383 U'36 661 567 682 52U 208 116 339 30 #6 #2 303 608 UlU 135 2U6 216 k22 —— 1,395 922 1,1U1 850 v 1,971 1,521; 1,553 1,876 2,158 1,957 2,682 2,m 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 30 30 35 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of June 10 Issuer ering^8 of "dollar s) j CORPORATE Southern California Edison . Southern New England Telephone and Telegraph Oklahoma Gas and Electric Consolidated Natural Gas Baltimore Gas and Electric Peoples Gas Light & Coke Merritt-Chapman & Scott Corp. ^American Natural Gas American Telephone and Telegraph Southern California Gas ^Goodyear Tire and Rubber Conv. deb. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. Common stock Common stock . Common stock Deb. Common stock Conv. deb. Bonds Common stock Ul.0 20.0 15.0 22.9 17. U 15.7 25.0 37.0 650.9 UO.O 50.0 June lU -June June June June June June July 1955 1955 1955 21 21 21 22 2k June June June June lU ll; lit 16 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Texas Turnpike Authority Kansas City, Kansas Prince George's County, Maryland Dade County Port Authority, Fla. G. 0. Rev. 58.5 7.0 6.0 21.0 H.lU - F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, <?s of June 10 (Cont'd) Issuer Type STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) | Maryland State Roads Commission Cleveland, Ohio Tacoma, Washington -xState of Connecticut . Pennsylvania General State Auth. Dallas, Texas ^Dayton, Ohio School District •it-New York State Thruway Inter-American Center Auth., Fla. Michigan Turnpike Authority State of Louisiana Illinois. Turnpike Authority Connecticut Expressway Texas Turnpike Company Springfield, Illinois Allegheny County, Pennsylvania Sanitary Authority California Toll Bridge Authority -Jersey-City Sewerage Auth., N. J. North Carolina Turnpike Authority None Amount }Approximate date (millions 1 of offering of dollars) Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. . Rev. G.R. Rev. Rev. n. a. Re.v. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev n.a. 25.0 13.2 15.0 . 20.0 50.0 9.2 12.0 125.0 60.0 186.0 80.0 390.0 100.0 1U0.0 9.0 85.0 235.0 16.0 200.0 June 20 June 21 June 21 . June 21 • June 22 june 27 30 July 12 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 1955 ! ~ 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of 15 million dollars and over; State and local government issues of 5 million and- over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. n.a.—Not available. ^--Included in table for first time. Exhibit G Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Pov/er Bonds, Rated 4a and A l/ Date Aa-rated offering yields Actual Amount above A-rated oi'fering yields Amount above Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) 195)2 average 3.16 13 3.35 12 1953 average • r/3.U6 r/l6 r/3.78 r/26 195U average r/3.03 195L - January February March April May .June July August September October November December r/3.19 r/3.01 ~"*2. 93 2.99 3.00 *3.00 None • None 3.02 3.03 None None 1955 - JanuaryFebruary March April May 11 11 18 2U June 9 3 *3.15 *3.H *3.17 None 3.12 6 r/-l ~ 0 5 ' U 1 — — 3 3 • — — 1 13 7 8 — 3.22 10 >3 2 -1 -10 -6 0 -2 -1 -1 -3 -2 *3.35 *3.?0 3.05 3.10 3.1U 3.1h *3.13 3.11 *3.10 3.10 None 3.11 0 None *3.23 3.29 . 3.31 9 1U 16 3.35 3.32 1L 11 3.37 3.30 • 16 10. • i • I 1 Survey. Except v,'here indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues, of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies;from 26 to 28 years. rj Revised. . " *—Single observation, not an average. ,