Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : July 25, 1957
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7/-f 6 Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lh J u l y 25, 1957 CAPITAL MA.RKET DEVELOPMENTS -The volume of l a r g e p u b l i c l y o f f e r e d s e c u r i t i e s was moderate during t h e week ending July 19, but i s expected td be much l a r g e r t h i s week, p r a t i c u l a r l y f o r corporate s e c u r i t i e s » Last week, l a r g e i s s u e s solci by corporations t o t a l e d $81 mil l i o n and o f f e r i n g s of S t a t e and l o c a l governments amounted t o $6? m i l l i o n . The c o r p o r a t e t o t a l does not include t h e $100 m i l l i o n GIT F i n a n c i a l C o r p o r a t i o n ' s s e r i e s debent u r e i s s u e , which i s being o f f e r e d on a continuous b a s i s from J u l y 15, 1957 t o A p r i l 1959 u n l e s s s o l d e a r l i e r e Corporate i s s u e s a r e expected to t o t a l $255 m i l l i o n t h i s week, including t h e e x p i r a t i o n of s u b s c r i p t i o n r i g h t s f o r F i r s t National City Bank of New York's $120 m i l l i o n c a p i t a l stock i s sue e S t a t e and l o c a l government i s s u e s t o t a l i n g $88 m i l l i o n a r e a l s o scheduled f o r s a l e . Bond y i e l d s - Bond y i e l d s increased l a s t week f o r a l l types of outstanding bonds, except those f o r Baa~rated c o r p o r a t e bonds, which remained s t a b l e „ Daily f i g u r e s through Tuesday of t h i s week i n d i c a t e an i n c r e a s e i n corporate bond y i e l d s f o r both t h e Aaa's and Baa's A new Aa-rated, 32-year f i r s t and refunding mortgage p u b l i c u t i l i t y i s s u e was o f f e r e d t o i n v e s t o r s t h i s week t o y i e l d Ho 95 p e r c e n t ~ 30 b a s i s p o i n t s above the y i e l d f o r a s i m i l a r l y r a t e d 30y e a r f i r s t mortgage bond i s s u e o f f e r e d l a s t week. I t should be noted t h a t t h e i s s u e sold t h i s week c a r r i e d a 5 - y e a r , n o - c a l l provision whereas t h e o t h e r i s s u e had no such r e s t r i c t i o n 0 Stock p r i c e s - The SEC. index of 265 common stock declined 3o3 p o i n t s l a s t week, c l o s i n g a t 291=3 on July 19» Daily indexes i n d i c a t e l i t t l e change i n p r i c e s on balance during the f i r s t t h r e e days of t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d information concerning recent c a p i t a l market • developments i s presented i n the a t t a c h e d exhibits» Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , Division of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e Federal Reserve System. HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS \ U. S. GOVERNMENT 1954 1953 long-term iJ Date Corporate Old s e r i e s Hew s e r i e s Spread between U. S. Govt, S t a t e and l o c a l govt. (old s e r i e s ) and Corporate 1 S t a t e and Aaa j / Aaa ( l o c a l Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195k - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 1957 - High June' 21 June 28 Julyl, 3.U2(6/19) 3.15 (6/6) 2.78 (12/26) 2.7k (1/9) 2.hU(8/7) 2.91 (8/5) 2.62 (1/7) 3.19 (12/21) 2.80 (2/17) 3.70 (6/21) 3.15 (2/8) 3.9k 3.97 in 00 3.97 3.98 3.70 3.68 3.61 3.58 3.63 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 LOO 3.66 (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (7/5) (V12) 1 / Weekly average of d a i l y f i g u r e s . n.a. 2.73 1*98 2.21 n.a. 1.90 3.03 (8/5) 2.3U 2.89 (6/10) 2.05 3.39 (12/28)3.05 2.92 (2/3) 2.17 3.62 (6/21), 3.23 3.22 (2/8) 2.76 3.62 3.60 . 3.56 3.56 3.57 3.23 3.23 3.20 3.11 3.1U (6/25) (1/8). (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (12/27) (2/23) (6/27) (2/21) .38 .19 .i»3 .32 •3U .13 .Wi .13 .51» ,24 .81* .30 .61 .29 .70 •5U .68 .32 •1*9 .26 .21* .29 .39 .39 .35 .U7 .1*5, , .a .1*7 .1*9 Average term of bonds included i a 25-26 2 / Weekly averages of daily f i g u r e s . The old s e r i e s includes f u l l y taxable, marketable 2 1/2 per cent bonds due or f i r s t c a l l a b l e a f t e r 12 years through September 1955> and those due or c a l l a b l e in 10-12 years thereafter; the average term to f i r s t c a l l of the bonds included declined from 1U years in early 1953 to 11 1/2 years in early 1956. The new s e r i e s i s comprised of the 3 per cent bond of 1995 and the 3 1/L per cent bond of 1978-83. ' y Thursday f i g u r e s . Only general obligation bonds are included; average . term i s 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are f o r individual s e r i e s and may be-on d i f f e r e n t dates for different series. EXHIBIT B LOWER— GRADE BOND YIELDS W V'! Corporate Baa 1 / Date S t a t e and local govt, rev. y S t a t e and local govt. Baa 2/ (Per cent) 1953 - High 195U - H i g h 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High June June July Jjily July 3.89 (9/18) 3.50 (1/2) 3.7k (1/8) 3.Wt ( 1 2 / 3 1 ) 3.63 ( 1 2 / 3 0 ) 3.15 (1/1W U. l a ( 1 2 / 2 8 ) <3.58 (3/9)^ lt.72 ( 7 / 1 9 ) h.b2. ( V 1 2 ) 21 28 5 12 19 U.66 U.68 U.71 U.72 U.72 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 k.22 3,20 U.35 3.90 U.33 it. 3 5 4.33 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) (6/27) (2/21) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 2.76 3.98 2.89 3.98 3.70 V (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (12/28) (2/2U) (1/ii) (2/22) ' h.2h U.28 1 / W e e k l y a v e r a g e o f d a i l y f i g u r e s . A v e r a g e terra o f bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2 / Thursday f i g u r e s . Only g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n bonds a r e i n c l u d e d ; a v e r a g e term i s 20 y e a r s . 3 / Friday f i g u r e s . Average r a t i n g of bonds i n c l u d e d i s b e t w e e n Baa a n d A j a v e r a g e t e r m i s 2 0 y e a r s . h / S e r i e s d i s c o n t i n u e d , a s o f March 1 5 . N o t e . — H i g h s a n d l o w s a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s a n d may b e on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s f o r d i f f e r e n t s e r i e s . STOCK MARKET : i t / r "i 1 4 T ) A r 2800 1 1 r : «ic r \A /"I ; J - 1 T . . * 1 U T L Date Stock p r i c e index 1 / Trading volume 2/ (millions of shares) Common Stock market c u s t i imer c r e d i t Customers' debit bal- loans to ances h / "others" £ / yields j / (per cent Total " 5.88 5.15 5.1*9 lj.09 li.23 3.59 1*.13 3.65 • 1*.23 . 3.67 2,1*1*5 2,055 3,1*36 2,105 k,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,9U* 1,031 3,832 1,665 1,3H 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 1,713 780 661* 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 1,117 3.82 . 3.79 3.73 3.67 3.69 3,921* a,031 2,791* 2,887 n.a. n.a. 1,130 1,11*1* r / 1.158 1,135 n.a. ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1953 - High 1951* - High 1955 - High 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low May July 5 July 12 J u l y 19 167.1 1M.0 221.lt 156.5 270.7 217.a 295.5 257.U 29L.6 260.3 (1/2) (9/18) (12/31) (1/6) (12/30) (i/iit) (8/3) (1/20) (7/12) (2/8) 38L. 2 286.2 291.8 291.6 291".3 2.5 0.9 3.7 l.L I4.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 2.7 1.6 , 2.1* 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.2 n.a.—Not available. v j Revised. 1 / SEC i n d e x o f 2 6 5 common s t o c k s , w e e k l y c l o s i n g p r i c e s , 1 9 3 9 - 1 0 0 ; c o n v e r t e d t o 19H7-U9-100 by F e d e r a l R e s e r v e . The c o n v e r s i o n f a c t o r i s 1 2 3 . 9 1 . 2 / A v e r a g e s of d a i l y t r a d i n g volume on t h e "ew Y o i t S t o c k Exchange. 3 / Moody's 1 2 5 i n d u s t r i a l s t o c k s ; w e e k l y d a t a b a s e d on F r i d a y . u/ End o f month f i g u r e s for'member f i r m s o f t h e New York Stock Exchange w h i c h c a r r y margin a c c o u n t s ; e x c l u d e s b a l a n c e s s e c u r e d by U. S . Government o b l i g a t i o n s . 5 / Wednesday f i g u r e s f o r w e e k l y r e p o r t i n g meuber b a n k s . E x c l u d e s l o a n s f o r p u r c h a s i n g o r c a r r y i n g U. S . Government s e c u r i t i e s a t banks i n New York and C h i c a g o . Weekly r e p o r t i n g b a n k s a c c o u n t f o r about 72 p e r c e n t o f l o a n s t o o t h e r s . N o t e . — H i g h s and l o w s a r e f o r i n d i v i d u a l s e r i e s and may be on d i f f e r e n t d a t e s for different series. Exhibit D H.l4 Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n m i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) 1957 January February March April May June July August September 1,063 1,071 e/950 5/750 e/1,350 e/900 October November December 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd,quarter 4th q u a r t e r 3,479 e/3,050 1st half Three q u a r t e r s Year e/6,529 1 Corporate 1956 I New C a p i t a l S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1956 I 1955 1957 535 1:07 1,223 685 566 1*99 696 390 S3, 312 538 818 1,1246 8U1 478 886 687 762 e/550 |/380 378 1*90 735 427 350 642 1,063 654 838". 644 670 eAoo 376 199 333 470 249 4o6 745 l,089i/ 1,088 1,1621/ 632 900 645 311 426 919 658 408 2,102 2,805 ' 2,556" 2,922 2,165 2,052 1,911 2,695 1,750 ^e/1,692 1,1*90 1,603 908 1,382 1,385 1,418 1,124 1,984 e/3,442 3,093 4,001 . 5,383 2,803 3,927 5,911 573 712 817 : 1,907 7,163 10,381 a , 216 6,127 8,821 - to 1955 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter 3,268 e/2,800 Year - 1,617 2,541 2,21*6 2,826 1,727 1,870l,Wi 2,551 9,259 7,595 e / Estimated. 1 / I n c l u d e s $637.2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e s . 2 / I n c l u d e s $571.5 m i l l i o n AT&T common stock i s s u e s . 3 / T o t a l new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and consumer f i n a n c e companies. N o t e . — D e t a i l s may n o t add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large P u b l i c S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large I s s u e s O f f e r e d ( M i l l i o n s of d o l l a r s ) Month 1956 - June July August September October November December 1957 - January February Marph April May • June Corporate S t a t e and l o c a l government 185 592 217 558 J 386 701 1*30 567 671 788 177 329 877 O t h e r 2j 20 163 161* 35 184 383 135 201 37 35 100 50 3 % 306 19k h99 21*8 176 125 25 39 Large Individual Issues Offered July 1 through 19 Issuer Type ] / Amount Coupon (millions r a t e or Offering Maturity Rating of yield net i n t e r dollars) est cost ~ CORPORATE Southern C a l i f . Edison Co, 1 s t r e f . mtg. bds. Rochester Gas & E l e c . Co. 1 s t mtg. bds. Timken R o l l e r Bearing Co. Common s t k . C e n t r a l I l l i n o i s Light Co. 1 s t mtg. b d s . Wisconsin Telephone Co. Deb. Washington Water Power Co. 1 s t mtg. b d s . West Penn Power Co. 1 s t mtg. b d s . A s s o c i a t e s Investment Co. Deb. Texas E l e c t r i c S e r v i c e Co. 1 s t mtg. b d s . J e r s e y C e n t r a l Pwr. &Lt. Co. 1 s t mtg. b d s . I n l a n d S t e e l Co. 1 s t mtg. b d s . # UO.O 1982 15.0 1987 19.U 15.0 " 1987 30.0 1992 30.0 1987 20.0 1987 20.0 1977 16.0 1987 15.0 1987 50.0 1987 h 3/h 17/8 h.70 k. 80 Aa A h k L h 5 h 5 h 1.57 h.h3 li.88 ii.75 5.75 h.6$ It. 90 U.38 Aa Aaa A Aa 5/8 1/2 7/8 7/8 3/U 3/h 3/8 Aa A Aa H.lU Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s O f f e r e d J u l y 1 through 19 (Cont'd) Issuer Type j / Coupon Amount (millions Maturity net interof dollars) est cost Offering Rating yield STATE AND,LOCAL GOVERNMENT S a l t R i v e r A g r i c . Impr. & G.O. Power D i s t . , Arizona G.O. Fresno U.S.D., C a l i f o r n i a Metro. Wtr. D i s t . of So. Rev. California . P o r t of New York Auth. Airport rev. G.O. Cook Co . S. D. lb, 205, 111. G.O. P h i l a d e l p h i a S. D., Penna. Highway r e v . S t a t e of Minnesota G.O. A t l a n t a , Georgia G.O. S t . Louis Co., M i s s o u r i G.O. S t a t e of Louisiana G.O. W e s t p o r t , Connecticut 5.0 7.0 1960-87 1960-77 15.0 28.8 5.5 1958-69 1958-75 1959-76 1959-82 1960-73 1958-86 1958-77 196U-66 . 1958-77 12.0 12.0 15.5 6.8 10.0 $.k -li.29 3.31 3.20-1.25 2.70-3.35 3.20 3.66 3.50 2 , 5 0 - 3 . 2 0 Aa 2;70-3.70 A 3.10-1*. UO Baa 2.60-3.60 A 2.1*0-2.90 Aa 2 . 1 0 - 3 . 1 5 Aa 2.30-3.30, Aa 3.10-3.20V— 2 . 5 0 - 3 . 5 0 Aa 5 1/h 5.70 ii.U9 3.55 2.89 3.39 3.28 3.20 A Aa OTHER M o n t r e a l , Quebec S . F . deb. 25.0 1977 1 / I n c l u d e s c o r p o r a t e and o t h e r s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $15 m i l l i o n and o v e r ; vate and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of $5 m i l l i o n and o v e r . 2/ I n c l u d e s f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r R e c o n s t r u c t i o n and Development i s s u e s . 3 / I n t h e c a s e of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., g e n e r a l o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s r e v e n u e s ; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s s e c u r e d by pledge of d e s i g n a t e d revenues. h / Part not reoffer-ed. " H.1U Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1956 - June 29 July 31 Aug. 31 Sept,. 28 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 31 1957 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar* 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 • During month following Subsequent to date shown date shown State and State and Other 2/ Corporate Other 2/ Corporate l o c a l govt. l o c a l govt. . 437 21*7 369 315 683 1*36 1*76 591 7U0 i*6l 187 •525 370 81 131 359 162 1*8 280 153 . 153 290 179 97 172 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 567 1,096 1,202 1,009 990 1*81 796 966 795 I486 . 258 525 1*15 690 726 958 1,197 955 979 763 61*8 631 862 396 388 1*98 37 23 100 35 25 25 25 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of July 19 Type Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of dollars) CORPORATE F i r s t National City Bank of New York P a c i f i c Gas and E l e c t r i c Company Tennessee Gas Transmission Company Sears Roebuck Acceptance Corp. Minneapolis-Honeywell Regulator Co. Northern States Power Company *J. Ray McDermott and Co. *American Telephone & Telegraph Co. Public Service E l e c t r i c & Gas Co. # Capital s t k . 1st & ref. mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. Common s t k . 1 s t mtg. bds. Conv. sub. deb. Deb. Pfd. s t k . 120.0 60.0 25.0 50.0 28,2 18.0 20.3 250.0 25.0 July 22 ( r i g h t s expire) July 2h July 25 July 26 August 1 ( r i g h t s expire) August. Ik August 20 ( r i g h t s expire) October 29 1957 -ti.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of July 19 (Cont'd) Type . Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Rev. Georgia Rural Roads AuthorityWater r e v . Milwaukee, Wisconsin East Baton Rouge Par. Sch. D i s t . , La. G.O. G.0 #i S t a t e of C a l i f o r n i a G.O. S t a t e of Oregon G.O. ttState of New York G.O. Phoenix, Arizona Rev. Kansas Turnpike Authority G.O. ^Sacramento Unif. Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . G.O. . Los Angeles City Sch. D i s t s . , C a l i f . Highway r e v . S t a t e of Ohio San Diego Unified Sch. D i s t . , C a l i f . G.O. S t a t e of Texas G.O. J a c k s o n v i l l e , Florida U t i l i t i e s rev. University System Bldg. Auth., Ga. Rev. Rev. Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Rev. New York S t a t e Thruway Authority G.O. Rev. Oklahoma Turnpike Authority 17.5 10.0 10.0 50.0 15.0 27.9 6.0 18.0 7.0 hh.O 31.0 10.0 12.5 30.0 12.0 62.0 20.0 50.0 65.0 July 23 July 23 July 23 July 2h J u l y 29 J u l y 30 July 31 Aug. 1 Aug. 7 Aug. 13 Sept. 10 Oct. 15 1957 1957 1957 1957' 1957 1957 1957 OTHER None *—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and o t h e r i s s u e s of $15 m i l l i o n and over; State and l o c a l government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . » • Note.—Deletions forr reasons other than s a l e of i s s u e : None. H.Ik je . Exhibit G • Yields on New and Outstanding E l e c t r i c Power Bonds, Rated Aa and ,A y . Date 1952 - 1956 High Low 1957 - January 8 16 18 22 2k February 5 19 27 March 6 12 . 20 29 April 3 10 ^ 12 ™ May-10 15 16 21 23 29 June 5 7 11 July 3 10 11 16 17 Aa-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s A-rated o f f e r i n g y i e l d s Amount above Amount above Actual . Actual seasoned y i e l d s seasoned y i e l d s (per cent) ( b a s i s p o i n t s ) (per cent) ( b a s i s p o i n t s ) L30(12/12/56) 2.93(3/31/54) . 62 - 3 h.50 62 U.h3 56 k.ho h.2 9 U. 25 k.22 53 h5 I46 U3 1.29 50 4.50 14.38 2 / 65 SI I4.63 75 , U.78 87 14.57 1.77 14.65 U8 68 56. 1.58(12/6/56) 3.00(3/17/51) 70 -15 I4.67 70 14.56 57 ii.ia L.58 li .55 14.1,5 35 52 149 143 I4.60 I4.50 14.53 14.53 2 / 14.70 59 14 9 52 52 69 5.00 5.25 98 123 5.10 106 I4.80 2 / ' I4.88 2 / 6I4 7U I4.90 71 •«—Single o b s e r v a t i o n , not an average. 1 / Covers only 30-year f i r s t mortgage bonds, a s r e p o r t e d i n Moody's Bond Survey. Except where i n d i c a t e d , t h e a c t u a l y i e l d f i g u r e and t h e amount above seasoned y i e l d s a r e averages of o f f e r i n g s during t h e i n d i c a t e d p e r i o d and of t h e d i f f e r e n c e s between t h e s e new o f f e r i n g y i e l d s and y i e l d s on seasoned i s s u e s of s i m i l a r q u a l i t y f o r the same day. Average m a t u r i t y f o r t h e seasoned i s s u e s v a r i e s from 26 t o 28 y e a r s . 2 / Provides f o r a 5 - y e a r p e r i o d during which i s s u e may not be c a l l e d f o r r e f u n d i n g a t a lower coupon r a t e . Other i s s u e s have no such p r o v i s i o n . #