Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 26, 1959
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st^cJL & 9 ' Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.li+ . January 26, 1959 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS I -t v• - (Including Review of State and Local Government Financing in 1958) During the week ending January 23, corporations sold large issues for new capital amounting to $85 million and State and local governments offered large issues totaling #31 million. The corporate financing total includes a $20 million bond issue of Indiana and Michigan Electric Company, which had been originally scheduled for sale in early November and then postponed. The calendar for this week includes large corporate offerings totaling $105 million and State and local government issues with aggregate proceeds of $63 million. Bond yields - Yields increased last week for all types of outstanding bonds, except those for Aaa-rated State and local government bonds, which remained stable. The increase for U. S. Government obligations was substantial, but for the other categories was slight. Two new Aa-rated first mortgage electric utility bond issues were offered to investors last week, each at a yield of I1.6O per cent— 16 basis points above that for the last comparable issue, an offering made in mid-December. Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding that for U. S. Government securities) increased $65 million further in December. At a record level of $li,li88 million, customer credit was one-fourth Higher than at the close of 1957. Customers' net debit balances increased nearly one-third in 1958, while bank loans to "others," rose 10 per cent. End of Month Dec. | Novi - Customer credit excluding U. S. Government securities - total ^et debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt. securities Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on,U. S. Government securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances nhan (Millions of dollars) . k,m -3,281 1,207 1U6 W23 3,21:5 '1,178 124 +65 +36 +29 +22 63 50 +13 2,071 1,797 23U 1,159 1,923 1,677 210 1,11*8 +II18 +120 +21* +11 H.lli Borrowing by member firms of the New York Stock .Exchange maintaining margin accounts (excluding borrowing on U. S. Government securities) also increased last month, principally in borrowing on customer collateral. Customers' net free credit balances increased for the seventh consecutive month totaling $1,159 million at the end of December. These and other data on stock market credit for December and Novanber are shown in the table on the preceding page. Stock prices - Stock prices continued to increase last week. Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks closed at 56.00 on January 23, <>19 points higher than the previous Friday. Trading volume declined somewhat, averaging 3.9 million shares a day. State and Local Government Security Offerings in 1958 Long-term security offerings by State and local governments, including borrowings from the Federal Government, reached a record volume of $7.8 billion in 1958, nearly one-tenth larger than in 1957. Volume was particularly large in the early months of the year. In the fourth quarter new issue volume was smaller than a year earlier. The increased volume of State and local government financing in 1958 reflected mainly a rise in the number of medium-sized issues, as it had a year ^earlier. Last year, no issues over $100 million were offered, while in 1957 there had been only one—a $250 million issue of Chelan County, Washington. Nearly all bonds sold were for the purpose of raising new funds, as refunding issues continued to be small in volume.Purpose of issue - In contrast with the 1953-5U recession, when most of the increase in borrowing was for financing the construction of toll highways, the increase in 1958 reflected growth in the financing of most types of community facilities. As in other recent years, more issues were sold for school building construction than for any other purpose. Accounting for more than one-third of total new capital offerings, the volume of school bonds amounted to 32,61# million, $100 million more than in 1957. New financing for highways, bridges and tunnels aggregating spl.2 billion, was one-eighth greater than in 1957. Issues to obtain funds for sewer and water purposes totaled $1.1 billion, slightly more than a year earlier. Miscellaneous public service enterprise bonds were the only major type in smaller volume during 1958 than in the previous year. H.lli - 3Long-tenn Security Issues of State and Local Governments 1954 - 1958 (In millions of dollars) 1958 State County and township Municipality School district Special authority Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of issue: New capital total Schools 2/ Highways, bridges and tunnels Residential buildings Hospitals and institutions Sewer and water Misc. public service enterprises Veterans' aid Other Unidentified 1/ Refunding Total Type of issue: General obligation Revenue Utility Quasi-utility Special tax Rental Public Housing Authority Federal Government loans 3/ Total I 1957~ 1956 I 1955 I 1951i 2,016 540 2,1*32 1,469 1,364 1,508 434 2,327 1,602 1,279 818. 328 1,81k 1,111 1,103 351 1,1408 472 1,313 1,005 1,097 683 2,01*7 442 1,601 828 1,463 587 7,821 7,150 5,525 " 5,976 6,969 M35 7,099 2,61*0 1,172 530 215 1,086 31U 339 1,138 2,551 1,041 299 136 1,020 503 333 1,216 — • —; 1,682 701 258 61 817 663 110 817 351 M m 6,789 1,516 1,362 570 98 712 169 169 637 680 1,432 2,136 456 77 674 597 162 681 576 86 50 66 65 180 7,821 7,150 5,525 5,976 6,9# 5,441 1*772 I7oS3 163 331 273 187 420 4,795 3,570 1,610 3,770 1*730 54 289 188 66 324 n. a. n.a. n.a. 199 146 n.a. n.a.. n.a. 474 2 3,380 3,205 n.a. n.a. 7,821 7,150 5,525. 5,976 374 9 6,969 n.a.—Not available* 1/ Issues of less than $500,000 not further classified in 195b, 1955 and first half of 1956. 2/ Data for years prior to 1956 probably understate school issues by about onefourth because of unclassified small issues. 3/ Coverage for 1956-1958 is broader than for earlier years. Note.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. • Source.—195b, 1955 and first half 1956, Bond Buyer and Federal Reservej July 1956-1958, Investment bankers Association of America. Data for 1956-1958 not strictlycomparable with data for earlier years. -H.llt - 4 - Type of issuer- Most major types of issuing units sold a larger volume of bonds than in 1957. The only exception was school districts, whose sales were nearly one-tenth smaller than a year earlier. In 1958,. a larger proportion of bonds for educational purposes was sold by States and special authorities than in 1957• Municipalities sold the largest volume of bonds, accounting for over 30 per cent of all issues last year. Offerings of State governments, representing one-fourth of* the total, showed the largest increase from 1957—one-third. Type of issue - General obligations continued to be the most important type' of issue. Totaling a record $5.It billion in 1958, these obligations accounted for 70 per cent of all offerings last year, slightly more than in 1957. Federal Government loans and Public Housing ^Authority bonds were also in larger volume than in 1957. Revenue bond financing declined last yeair. Totaling $1.8 billion, these issues were one-tenth smaller than in 1957. • More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. ,EX_"i?lT * HIGH-GRADE BOND YIELDS K / LOWER-GRADE BOND YIELDS H.Ik Exhibit B Tables for Exhibit A High-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Spread between U. 6. Govt, and Corporate State and . Aaa local Aaa State and local govt. Aaa y (Per cent) 1953 195k 1957 1958 -High - Low - High - High Low 3.W2 (6/1?) 2.85 ( W li.llt (9/27) it. 13. (10/10) 3.55 (5/2) 3.l| (6/5) S.lA (8/6) 3.76 (10/18) iM (12/26) 3.07 (it/25) 2.73 (6/25) 1.90 (9/2) 3-it5 (8/29) 3.31 (9/11) 2.6b (5/1) .38 .30 .60 .51 .22 .83 .30 .U7 .72 .3U Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 26 2 9 16 23 2/ li.09 It. 10 L09 it. 11 It. 12 3.61 3.83 3.8k 3.89 3.95 3.12 3.12 3.19 3.19 3.19 .25 .27 .25 .22 .17 .12 .71 .65 .70 .76 Lower-grade Bond Yields Date Corporate Baa 1/ State and local govt. Baa 2/ - Spread between Aaa and Baa State and Corporate local govt. (Per cent) 1953 195k 1957 1958 - High - Low - High - High Low 3.89 (9/18) 3.hk (12/31) 5.10 (11/29) L96 (1/3) It. 51 (7/11) 3.79 (6/25) 2.93 (8/5) it.5l (8/29) it.3it (9/11) 3.6it (5/1) Dec. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 26 2 9 16 23 E/ U.86 h. 87 li.85 it. 86 it. 88 ii.10 it. 10 it.12 U.08 it.10 .69 .52 1.27 1.28 .77 1.21 .96 . 1.21 1.11 .93 .77 .77 .76 .75 .76 .98 .98 .93 .89 .91 . 2/ Preliminary. 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. .. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET , 1941-43 Averoge.10 1 1 Ho,. N / V t X. STOCK MARKET CIIDIT 'X/"- Millions of Shorei_ — ^ rU- v M ' j 115* S O M i S 1157 D M J S M5I - D M J S 1151 D Exhibit 1) Table for Exhibit C Stock Market Date Stock price index 1/ Stock market customer credit 'Trading Common Bank stock Customers • volume 2/ (millions yields y Total debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances 4/ "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1958 - High • Low 26.5k (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 21.93 (1/8) 45.89 (12/9) 35.28 (1/14) 49.64 (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 49.08 (7/12) 39.48 (12/20) 54.11 (12/26) 40.37 (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.4 4.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 4.2 1.4 4.9 1.7 5.38 6.25 4.32 5.82 4.08 4.41 3.82 4.34 3.91 4.72 3.30 4.58 2,455 2,0# 3,436 2,405 4,030 3,537 4,047 3,914 4,031 3,576 4,488 3,554 1,665 1,314 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,740 2,887 2,482 3,281 2,487 November December Uan. 9 Jan. 16 Jan. 23 £/ 52.50 53.49 55.77 55.81 56.00 4.1 3.6 4.2 4.2 3.9 3.42 3.35 3.21 3.20 3.19 4,423 4,488 3,245 •3,281 n.a. n.a. 1953 - High Low 1954 - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 1957 - High 780 664 1,048 746 1,241 1,018 1,267 1,155 , .1,163 1,054 1,317 1,051 1,178 1,207 1,210 1,230 n.a. n.a.—Not available. * jd/ Preliminary. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1941-43=10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Friday's data only. 2/ Averages of -daily trading volume on the.New York Stock Exchange. 3/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. Yields shown are for dates on which price index reached its high or low. 4/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. '5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit E H.Ik Long-tern Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) 1959 January February March 1 e/700 New Capital Corporate 1/ State and Local 2/ 1958 1 1958 1 1957 1 1957 1959 723 1,56^/ April May June l.tiil 600 881 July August September October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth quarter quarter quarter quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1,060 1,065 1,320 812 e/650 . six 7k2 572 506 , 765 1,453 798 .895 551 765 5k6 393 1,102 536 l,ikk 1,003 92k 973 806 kQ3 65o 529 58k k31 £/8l5 E/U75 e/950 1,090 r-; 789 1,076 - k53 >72 E/k30 698 633 698 3,135 2,622 2,78k e/2,2k0 .3,kk5 3,119 2,899 2,95k 2,276 2,2a 1,859 2/1,355 1,820 1,70k l,5kk 2,029 5,757 6,59k 9,k93 12,kk7 k,520 6,379 2/7,735 3,52k 5,069 7,099 8,5a e/10,781 Excluding finance companies k/ 1st 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter Year 2,891 2,583 2,753 e/2,165 3,237 2,889 2,582 2,810 a/10,395 11,518 e/ Estimated. 1/ Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of net proceeds. 2/ Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. 3/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. k/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. . x H.Ik Exhibit frOther Security Offerings 1/ (In millions ol' dollars) Long-term Foreign government 2/ Federal agency 3/ 1958 1 1957 1 1956 1958 1 1957 1 January February March 196 53 April May June July August September October November December 81, 1*9 30 37 139 198 120 123 1*8 1*2 50 9 5 17 28 7 30 2 39 161* 58 123 k 60 1 kk 5 21 220 507 300 — Year 8 1,163 251 . 95 — 523 125 — __ 72 — — 60 60 109 215 Short-1ierm State and local government kf 1956 — 100 — — 572 I69 Federal agency 3/ JanuaryFebruary March 233 460 273 326 155 11*7, 196 357 21*9 371 208 ia 638 130 505 380 220 203 April May June 357 35k 26k 205 337 153 125 252 176 209 161 329 336 1*69 501 323 311* 260 July August September 289 2*23 369 272 252 195 207 179 437 206 330 22k 370 512 222 1*25 273 303 9k 159 29k 328 ll*8 k$k 111 1,238 255 116 1*07 222 128 5,51*3 3,1*57 October November December 231 E/l*Ik Year 3,27 k 2,706. 1/ Data presented in this exhibit differ from those .m Erdiibit E in that refunding issues, as well as new capital issues, are included. Long-term securities are defined as those maturing in more th'-n one year. 2/ Includes securities offered in the United States by foreign governments and their subdivisions and by international organizations. Sourcei Securities and Exchange Commission. 2/ Issues not guaranteed by the U. S. Government. Source: long-term, Securities and Exchange Commission; .short-term, Federal Reserve. k/ Principally tax and bond anticipation notes, warrants or certificates and Public Housing Authority notes. In some instances PHA notes included may have a somewhat longer term than one year. Sources Bond Buyer. ' H.lU k iM.iu.ii 11 >; Largo Long-L m m Public SueurII,;/ latinos l'or Now Capital (Oilier Uv.ui il. S. Txxauury) 1/ Pruecud:. of'Lurgu isuueu' offered (Million;! of dollars) Hon th Corporate 1957 - December 1958 - January February March April May June July August September October November December 39? 318 605 1,093 725 356 281 771 209 825 259 227 305 State and 1 local governmentI Wk Uio #3 182 300 505 195 275 109 288 172 259 229 . Other 2/ 1,357 266 653 I61i 86 hi . 18 209 100 79 Large Individual Issues Offered January 1 through 23 Issuer CORPORATE Washington Wtr. Pwr. Co. Household Finance Corp. C. I. T. Financial Corp. San Diego Gas & Elec. Co. Sheraton Corp. of America Commonwealth Edison Co. Southern Calif. Edison Co. Southern Natural Gas Co. Indiana & Mich. Elec. Co. Type 3/ Amount Coupon (millions Maturity rate or Offering hating of net inter- yield dollars) est cost - 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 S.F. deb. 30.0 Deb. 75.0 S.F. deb. 15.0 S.F. deb. 2l.O Deb. 20.0 Com. stk. 30.0 1st mtg.p.1.bds35.0 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 1989 1981* 1979 19 8H 1989 2009 it. 75 h 3A U.69 k 5/8 L 5/8 L70 h 5/8 ; I*. 63 7 1/2 7.50-7.70 It 5/8 k.Sk 1979 1988 k 3A h 3A it. 75 , h. 60 200.0 : 1965-2006 ii.22 3.20-rii.20 18.0 1960-89/67 3.61 2.00-3.75 A A Aa A Aa STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT New York State Power Auth. Rev.-Ut. Los Angeles Dept. of Wtr. and Pwr., California Rev.-Ut. Aa 11 H.1J+ G-2 Large Individual Issues Offered Januaiy 1 through 23 (Cont'd) Issuer Type y Coupon Amount (millions Maturity rate or Offering Rating net inter- yield of est cost dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd)" Sacramento Mun. Ut. Dist., California Rev.-Ut. Dallas, Texas Rev.-Ut. State of Oregon G.O. 25.0 1966-99/69 3.58 11. & 1959-79 3.29 20.0 1964-65 2.78 2.90-3.70 1.75-3.W 2.60-2;70 Aa Aa Aa OTHER Province of Ontario Ext. deb. 75.0 1984 4 3/4 4.85 n.a.—Not available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. 2/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured only by revenue from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from Specific taxes only; Re v.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. H.lli Exhibit H Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Date of computation 1957 - Nov. 29 Dec. 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 Apr. 30 May 29 June 30 July 31 Aug. 29 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 28 Dec. 31 Subsequent to During month following date shown date shown State and Other 2/ Corporate „ Stf\te a n d Other 2/ local govt. local govt. _ Corporate 383 378 1*98 1,123 II 266 768 161 '4 20k 301 210 is 370 131 298 193 177 225 18 150 110 558 561* 187 3141 330 193 208 235 1*61* & 295 258 229 261 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 561 71 75 1,01*8 381 91k 216 326 1*01 370 63 165 110 150 36 if 521* 675 683 515 ; 71 75 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of Januazy 23 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Transcontinental Gas Pipe Line Co. Inland Steel Co. Champion Paper and Fiber Co. _ Universal Oil Processes, Inc. Southern Company Reynolds Metals Co. Avco Manufacturing Co. Consolidated Edison Co. ^Public Service Co. of Indiana, Inc. Connecticut Light and Power Co. Montana Power Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. 1st mtg. p. 1. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Conv. deb. Cap. stk. Common stk. Conv. pfd. stk. Conv. deb. 35.0 50.0 20.0 60.0 1*0.0 55.0 15.0 Conv. deb. 59.8 1st mtg. bds. Common stk. 25.0 15.0 1 1st mtg. bds. 20.0 |Deb., bds. and common 1*5.0 Jan. 28 Jan. 28 Jan. 29 (rights expire) Feb. It Feb. 5 Feb. 6 Feb. 10 (rights expire) Feb. 13 (rights expire) Feb. 18 Feb. 21* (rights expire) Winter Winter H.llt Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 23 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount (millions Approximate date of dollars) of offering STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT *New York City Housing Authority Houston, Texas Commonwealth of Puerto Rico -^Milwaukee Co., Wise. *Los Angeles, California Louisiana Dept. of Highways •^State of Minnesota *State of Washington State of New Jersey *Los Angeles Co. Flood Control Dist., California -55-San Antonio, Texas Massachusetts Port Authority •HMetro. Water Dist. of So. California *State of California ^Public Housing Authorities Chesapeake Bay Ferry Commission Chicago, Illinois Detroit-Metro. Expressway - G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-S.T. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. Rev.-Ut. 20.3 20.2 20.0 1U.0 14.0 20.0 22.9 3k.9 25.0 Jan. 27 Jan. 28 Jan. 28 -Feb. 2 Feb. 3 Feb. h Feb. 10 Feb. 10 Feb. 16 10.0 10.8 50.3 26.a 100.0 103.0 ill.o 120.0 35.0 Feb. 19 Feb. 26 Feb. Mar. 10 March Winter Winter •Winter Winter 15.0 Feb. 5 OTHER Kingdom of Denmark Ext. loan bds. *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of- $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $10 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal agencies. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. H.lfc Exhibit I Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January February March April May 7 13 15 16 20 21 22 28 June 10 17 25 July 2 9 18 23 Oct. 7 15 28 29 Dec. 17 1959 - Jan. 7 19 Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) (basis points) (basis points) 5.00(8/14/57) 2.93(3/31/5U) 87 -3 *3.60 , 3.89^ U.08 3,91 -8 22 35 18 3.90 21 3.85 3.85 16 16 3.85 3.82 3.95 17 12 21* Loo li.10 1*.10 1*,57 It. 50 25 28 29 25 22 12 1U 23 L a u.60 5.50(11/7/;>7) 3.00(3/17/54) 3.962/ lt.07 1.16 l*.0l >.00 : 123 -15 3 9 -1 . 8 1 3 1*.07 1*.35 1* 32 i*.oo 3.95 wl -6 3.982/ 1 U.352/ 31 k.7& 23 31* •--Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Monthly averages so marked include one or more issues with such a provision. Other issues have no such provision.