Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : January 10, 1977
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Capital Market Developments A 1Le. January 1 0 , 1 9 7 7 - t > t < - )N Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with the MORTGAGE and CONSUMER FINANCE SECTION - T h i s ^ i s s v * • ? ^ . l ^ c C e A x e . , DIVISION OF RESEARCH AND STATISTICS BOARD OF GOVERNORS FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 V V Index SUBSCRIPTION RATES: Weekly $15.00 per year or $.40 each in the United States, its possessions, Canada, and Mexico; 10 or more of the same issue to one address, $13.50 per year or $.35 each. Elsewhere, $20.00 per year or $.50 each. Address requests to Publications Services, Division of Administrative Services, and make payment remittance payable to the order of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in a form collectible at par in U.S. Currency. TABLES 1 - 6 S E C U R I T Y VOLUME AND Y I E L D S 7, 8 STOCK MARKET AND S E C U R I T Y CREDIT 9-16 MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS e ESTIMATE P PRELIMINARY r REVISED n . a NOT AVAILABLE — DATA DO NOT EXIST 3 Table 1 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE BOND MARKET YIELDS WEEK ENDING 1976 - November NEW ISSUE Aaa UTILITY 5 12 19 26 December January 1 8.23 8.28 8.15 8.04 8.31 8.24 8.05 3 10 17 24 31 7.95 7.93 7.96r 7 7.75p VOLUME RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY — — 2 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK 0 127 431 275 97 90 84 7.97 7.94 r 7.97r 7.92 7.84 1,020 992 720 0 0 100 83 67 7.86p 100 97 —— — NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 65 24 70 156 0 152 266 116 44 26 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE BOND BUYER 20-80ND INDEX VOLUME 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ( $ MILLIONS) PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ( $ MILLIONS) 1976 - November 5 12 19 26 5.31 5.36 5.24 5.16 6.34 6.39 6.26 6.16 537 729 1,353 379 83 79 94 90 253 343 176 97 December 3 10 17 24 31 5.10 5.07 5.07 5.07 5.04 6.03 5.96 5.95 5.93 5.83 691 694 746 114 30 88 87 83 80 75 122 144 226 201 143 January 7 5.01 5.78 314 58 188 I NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5 year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the besis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW I S S U E Am# UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S S E A S O N E D CORPORATE A a a 3 U S . GOVT. 2 0 - Y E A R C O N S T A N T MATURITY 4 B O N D BUYER 2 0 - B O N D INDEX 1972 - High Low 7.60 (4/21) 6.99 (11/24) 7.49 (4/21) 7.15 (12/1) 7.36 (4/28) 7.05 (2/12) 6.19 (4/14) 5.74 (11/17) 6.54 (4/13) 4.96 (10/21) 1973 - High Low 8.52 (8/10) 7.29 (1/21) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 (8/24) 7.11 (1/5) 7.79 (8/10) 6.42 (1/5) 5,59 (8/3) 4.99 (10/11) 1974 - High Low 10.61 (10/4) 8.05 (2/15) 10.52 (10/11) 8.13 (1/4) 9.39 (10/11) 7.73 (1/4) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 (1/4) 7.15 (12/12) 5.16 (2/7) 1975 - High Low 9 ^ 0 (5/2) 8.89 (2/7) 9.71 (5/25) 9.06 (2/28) 9.01 (5/2) 8.57 (2/28) 8.63 (9/19) 7.63 (2/21) 7.67 (10/3) 6.27 (2/13) 1976 - High Low 8.95 (5/28) 7.93 (12/10) 9.10 (1/2) 7.84 (12/31) 8.66 (5/28) 7.91 (12/31) 8.17 (5/28) 7.27 (12/31) 7.29 (1/2) 5.95 (12/16) 7.95 7.93 7.96 7.97 7.94r 7.97r 7.92 7.84 8.09 8.01 8.00r 7.96 7.91 7.39 7.32 7.34r 7.28 7.27 6.03 5.96 5.95 5.93 5.83 7.86 p 7.88p 7.24p 5.78 1976 - Dec. 1977 - J a n . 3 10 17 24 31 7 — — 7.75p NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaanrated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reeerve series of Implied free-market yield on competitively bid Asa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 weeks. 3 Weekly average of dally closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U S . Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. 5 Table 3 LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS PERIOD 1 CORPORATE 1976 1 1975 I 1974 2 STATE AND LOCAL 1976 1 1975 I 1974 January February March 3 ,381 3,863 6 ,632 5,367 4,528 5,378 3,328 2,687 3,217 2,347 2,707 3,339 2,361 2,387 2,135 2,255 ' 2,003 2,025 April May June 3 ,522 4 ,186 6 ,416 4,294 5,798 5,596 3,060 3,164 2,981 2,429 3,477 3,013 2,406 2,900 3,064 2,397 2,304 2,166 July August September 3 ,007 3,,177 4,327 2,405 2,836 3,248 2,667 1,617 2,682 2,757 2,803 3,580 2,783 2,159 1,459 1,106 1,701 4,705 4,076 4,307 4,609 3,739 3,511 2,323 2,381 2,052 2,860 2,483 1,479 13:,876 14 ,124 15,273 15,688 9,568 13,088 9,232 9,205 7,532 11,859 8,393 8,919 8,242 6,883 8,370 8,522 6,756 6,283 6,867 4,266 6,822 28,,000 30,961 40,529 53,617 18,437 25,969 37,828 17,312 25,554 15,253 23,775 30,531 13,150 17,416 24,238 October November December 01 02 03 Q4 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of «nm proceeds. 2 Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS BY TYPE OF ISSUER G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE PERIOD BONDS TOTAL PUBLICLY OFFERED PRIVATELY PLACED MEMO COMMON AND ISSUES INCLUDED STOCK FOREIGN [CONVERTIBLE rDDCCCDDCn ntrthntU- MANUFACTURING PUBLIC UTILITY COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS 1975 - I I I IV 9,568 13,088 5,428 5,816 .,085 4,158 2,054 3,116 1,225 1,902 463 215 2,420 3,480 3,327 3,424 679 1,215 3,142 4,974 1976 - I II 13,876 14,124 7,569 7,427 2 ,754 3,576 3,553 3,121 1,340 1,843 257 478 4,497 3,737 4,044 3,140 765 1,879 4,569 5,336 2,405 2,836 1,356 1,414 486 585 563 837 300 38 681 619 1,024 1,264 112 297 588 657 4,705 4,076 4,307 2,389 1,666 1,761 769 1,640 1,749 1,547 772 797 102 825 975 61 952 1,103 1,425 1,247 1,275 902 928 55 232 1,579 1,645 1,750 3,381 3,863 6,632 3,522 4,186 6,416 3,007 3,177 2,189 613 2,142 794 1,347 3,238 2,350 x 644 1,051 1,937 1,881 3,140 1,139 1,239 940 1,565 579 927 2,047 528 1,198 1,395 629 672 605 335 400 428 350 1,005 500 367 1,073 1,179 2,245 584 1,709 1,444 1,019 994 1,097 789 2,158 644 1,148 1,348 918 910 16 171 578 450 20 1,409 26 212 1,197 1,723 1,650 1,842 1,309 2,215 1,045 1,062 1975 - Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1976 — Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. NOTES: 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 154 121 15 121 37 15 426 7 1 . T a b l e SA INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' January 3 through January 7, 1977 ISSUER $ TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE OFFERING YIELD MOODY S / S & P ' S RATINGS CORPORATE Missouri P a c i f i c Ry. P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co. of Indiana Equip, t r . 1st mtg. 15.0 85.0 1977-1992 2007 7.50 7.63 6.25-7.60 7.63 / NOTES: • Rights offering. 1 FRASER Includes only corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; excludes options, exchanges, and secondary offerings. Digitized for Aa/AA Aa/AA INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' January 3 through January 7, 1977 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY S / S & P S RATINGS S T A T E AND LOCAL San Antonio, Texas Massachusetts, S t a t e of Denver, Colorado Rev. G.O. G • 0. 60.0 125.0 56.5 NOTES: 1 Includes only state and local security offerings of $10 million and over; excludes secondary offerings. For FRASER State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev. denotes revenue obligations. Digitized2 for 1979-2000 1978-1997 1977-1989 5.25 5.72 4.38 2.90-5.45 3.25-6.00 2.50-4.60 Aa/AA A-l/AA 9 Tabl* 6A FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' As of January 7, 1977 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) CORPORATE Oklahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. New England Power Co. Clark Equipment Credit Corp. Burlington Northern Ry. Middle South U t i l s . Co. • I n l a n d S t e e l Co. Gulf S t a t e s U t i l i t i e s Co. Gulf S t a t e s U t i l i t i e s Co. Iowa P u b l i c S e r v i c e Co. General Motors Acceptance Corp. General Motors Acceptance Corp. *Kraft I n c . *Public Service E l e c . & Gas Co. *Pennzoil Co. *Union P a c i f i c Railroad *Ohio Bell Telephone Iowa I l l i n o i s Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. *Atchison Topeka & Santa Fe Ry. • A s s o c i a t e s Corp. of North America •Associates Corp. of North America •Georgia P a c i f i c Corp. •Georgia P a c i f i c Corp. Iowa I l l i n o i s Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. •Commonwealth Edison Co. Iowa P u b l i c Service Co. Southern Indiana Gas & Elec. Co. •Republic S t e e l Corp. General Telephone of Northwest •Walter E. H e l l e r •Walter E. H e l l e r •Texas Power & Light Co. •Texas Power & Light Co. •Sperry Rand Finance Company •Montana Power Co. •Southern Ry. •Zapata Corporation. •Combanks Corporation •Sears Roebuck & Co. •Household Finance Corporation 1st mtg. 1st mtg. Notes Equip, t r . Com. s f k . Debt. 1st mtg. Pfd. s t k . Com. s t k . Debt. Notes SF d e b t . 1st mtg. Debt. 1st mtg. Debt. Com. s t k . Equip, t r . Notes Notes Notes Notes 1st mtg. Bonds Com. s t k . 1st mtg. SF d e b t . Debt. Notes Debt. 1st mtg. Pfd. stk. Notes Pfd. s t k . Equip, t r . Debt. Notes SF d e b t . Notes 75.0 50.0 50.0 15.4 130.0 125.0 60.0 50.0 20.0 250.0 150.0 100.0 98.0 100.0, 60.0 125.0 15.0 18.9 50.0 25.0 100.0 100.0 30.0 180.0 15.0 30.0 125.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 30.0 125.0 30.0 19.7 40.0 20.0 300.0 100.0 NOTES: • Included in tabte for first time. 1 Include* only corporate end other security issues of $15 million end over; excludes exchanges, options APPROXMATE DATE OF OFFERING Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. t Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 20 20 24 24 25 25 26 26 27 T a b l e 6A Continued FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 As of January 7, 1977 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING CORPORATE *American Credit Corp. *Associated F i r s t C a p i t a l Corp. Commercial Credit Co. * P a c i f i c Telephone & Telegraph *Wisconsin Public S e r v i c e s Corp. *Union P a c i f i c Ry. *Gulf Power Co. Notes Med-term n o t e s Med-term n o t e s Debt. 1st mtg. Equip, t r . Pfd. s t k . 50.0 100.0 100.0 325.0 45.0 16.5 15.0 Jan. Jan. Jan. Feb. Feb. Feb. Feb. 2 2 8 9 OTHER *Ontario, Province of Debt. 300.0 Jan. 11 ; i : 11 Tible e e FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' As of January 7, 1977 AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. Rev. G.O. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 30.6 12.7 72.3 90.5 37.9 12.0 13.2 14.2 114.2 14.0 28.4 30.0 151.0 65.0 13.9 10.0 11.5 10.0 130.0 11.5 74.0 Jan. Jan. Jan. ^ Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 17 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 Rev. G. 0. 147.7 62.0 Jan. Jan. 19 19 TYPE ISSUER STATE & LOCAL * I l l i n o i s Health Fac. Auth. * I l l i n o i s Health Fac. Auth. *New J e r s e y Housing Finance Agy. Metro. Water D i s t . of S. C a l i f . *Erie Co., N.Y. *Ohio Water Dev. Auth. *Rockland Co., N.Y. *York Co. I n d u s t . Dev. Auth., Pa. L o u i s i a n a , S t a t e of *Michigan S t a t e Hosp. Fin. Auth. *Fort Worth, Texas Richmond, Va. *Massachusetts Hsg. Finance Agy. *Westchester Co., N.Y. Garland, Texas *Alpine School D i s t . , Utah *Georgia, S t a t e of *Sullivan Co., Tenn. *Oregon, S t a t e of *Arlington, Texas Wisconsin, S t a t e of Los Angeles Dept.of Water & Power, Cal. New Hampshire, S t a t e of *Wayne-Wasteland Comm. Sch. D i s t . , Mich. * S p r i n g f i e l d Exposition & Stadium Auth., 111. Georgia Mun. Elec. Auth. *Gtr. Chicago Metro S a n i t a r y D i s t . , < 111. * F l o r i d a , S t a t e of * J a c k s o n v i l l e Elec. Auth., F l a . *New York S t a t e Power Auth. *Texas, S t a t e of •Washington Sub. S a n i t a r y D i s t . , Md *Castaic Lake Water Agy., Cal. Louisiana Mun. Power Comm. North P l a t t e Hosp. Corp., Neb. G.O. 10.0 Jan. 19 Rev. Rev. 21.0 300.0 Jan. Jan. 19 19 G.O. Rev. Rev. Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev. Rev. 40.0 12.5 45.0 200.0 16.0 70.2 18.6 75.0 16.0 Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. Jan. 20 20 25 25 26 26 26 NOTES: 1 M of $10 million and over, foreign government. International Bank for Reconstruction issues of Federally sponsored agencies; excludes secondary offerings. Included in the table for the first time. Table 7 4S STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME DATE 1 STOCK PRICES NYSE INDEX 3 DJ INDUSTRIALS AMEX 4 T NYSE 1973 - High Low 65.58 (1/11) 49.12 (12/13) 1051.50 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 788.31 (12/5) 130.47 (1/11) 85.26 (12/20) 136.84 (1/11) 89.12 (12/13) 26.0 (9/20) 9 . 0 (8/20) J974 - High Low 53.37 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 32.89 (10/3) 891.66 ( 3 / 1 3 ) 577.60 ( 1 2 / 6 ) 102.01 (3/14) 58.26 (12/9). 9 6 . 5 3 (3/15) 54.87 (10/3) 1975 - High Low 51.24 (7/15) 37.16 ( 1 / 8 ) 881.81 ( 7 / 1 5 ) 632.04 ( 1 / 2 ) 96.86 (7/15) 62.20 ( 1 / 2 ) 1976 - High Low 57.51 48.04 107.05 (7/12) 84.31 ( 1 / 2 ) ii®1 1014.79 858.71 ®!i' | AMEX 24.9 ( 1 / 3 ) 7.5 (7/5) 4.4 (1/3) .9 (9/26) 7.5 (1/3) 2.8 (7/5) 88.00 (7/15) 60.70 ( 1 / 2 ) 35.2 (2/13) 8 . 7 (9/15) 4 . 2 (2/21) 1.1 (9/15) 8 . 1 (2/13) 2.5 (9/15) 92.52 (7/15) 78.06 ( 1 / 2 ) 44.5 (2/20) 10.3 ( 1 / 2 ) 8.6 (2/20) 1.1 (1/2) 11.1 ( 2 / 2 0 ) 3.5 (1/2) 2.3 1.9 2.5 2.3 6.2 6.4 7.1 7.3 hi 8.3 8.4 8.9 8.1 53.94 53.10 54.61 55.33 943.07 927.69 948.80 956.62 99.72 98.55 100.04 100.52 89.47 88.10 89.97 91.42 17.0 16.3 20.8 21.9 Dec. 3 10 17 24 31 55.20 56.33 56.24 56.49 57.88 950.55 973.15 979.06 985.62 1004.65 100.15 103.20 104.07 105.90 109.84 92.31 94.62 94.64 95.22 97.88 24.2 23.8 26.0 2.4 3.1 3.1 3.0 3.4 7 56.79 983.13 109.94 97.53 27.5 3.0 MOTE*: meww otfier tkem M#» a * lows are M * * « + f . Ht#w and tarn are for the year and are not neoeaerity for Frideys. VakMM f l e w * are weakly ii i i i p i «f M y f l e w * (mWtom of * a r * ) . 1 12/31/06-60 4 Baaed on w a r e # price changa until #«p#ember 4 , 1 0 7 3 thereafter, bemad on market value of i h e m listed. NASDAQ 11.3 ( 1 / 1 1 ) 3 . 5 (8/27) 5 12 19 26 1 2 | 5 . 5 (1/12) 1.4 (8/20) Nov. Jan. 2 TRADING VOLUME NASDAQ 0 Table 8 13 SECURITY CREDIT REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD BROKERS ON MARGIN STOCK 1 BROKERS ON 2 CONVERTIBLE BONDS BANKS 1 UNREGULATED NONMARGIN STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING 1975 - S e p t . Oct. Nov. Dec. 5,250 5,300 5,370 5,390 145 144 146 147 852 1,007 1,008 960 2,520 2,311 2,270 2,281 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 5,420 5,950 6,410 6,690 6,940 7,080 7,340 7,450 7,530 7,530 7,610 146 153 162 163 161 166 172 167 173 169 178 1,000 1,037 1,042 1,076 1,007 1,028 898 1,061 859 1,068 n.a. 2,321 2,333 2,355 2,325 2,357 2,368 2,317 2,368 2,830 2,774 30 50 70 20 3 -1 2 1 20 155 1 -48 63 -209 -41 11 30 530 460 280 250 140 260 110 80 -1 7 9 1 -2 5 6 -5 6 -4 9 40 37 5 34 -69 21 -130 163 202 209 40 12 22 -30 32 11 -51 -51 462 -56 CHANGE M OUTSTANDING 1975 - S e p t . Oct. Nov. Dec. 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 80 * NOTES: 1 Margin account debt * reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues end convertible bond*. 2 New York Stock Exchange da*. 3 June data for banks are universe totab; ell other data for banks represent estimates for aN commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governor* of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC mergin stocks. At benks, loans to pwcheee or terry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no value. 4 Table 0 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLE.ARS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS NET FLOW 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 9,621 10,067 4,815 2,909 11,070 1976 - A p r i l May July August September October 586 801 1,207 910 308 1,307 835 1976 - A p r i l May June July August September October 917 1,024 , 646 1,712 1,248 1,315 1,204 1 NET NEW MONEY SHARE CAPITAL ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 13.5 5,378 12.4 5,451 5.3 -442 3.0 -2,822 11.3 4,757 27,793 32,567 20,237 16,053 43,118 352 561 -36 333 47 75 582 2,798 3,050 5,042 3,184 2,165 5,597 3,506 — — — — —— — — 9.8 10.8 6.8 17.9 12.8 13.4 11.8 — —— —— NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 19.0 18.7 9.8 7.0 17.7 SEASONALLY 3,676 3,642 2,861 5,018 5,341 5.626 4,519 — — —— ADJUSTED 14.7 14.4 11.2 19.4 20.3 21.0 16.6 NET NEW MONEY TOTAL 2 DEPOSITS NET FLOW 20,653 23,884 10,507 4,668 29,276 37,414 42,634 25,052 18,962 54,188 2, 583 2,835 1,353 3,282 1,967 1,944 3,252 3,384 3,851 6,249 4,094 2,473 6,904 4,341 —— 4,593 4,666 3,507 6,730 6,589 6,941 5,723 —— — —— —— ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 17.2 16.7 8.4 5.8 15.9 —— —— —— 13.4 13.4 10.0 19.0 18.3 19.0 15.3 NET NEW MONEY 2 26,331 29,335 10,062 1,846 34,033 3,935 3,396 1,317 3,615 2,014 2,019 3,834 — — — —— —— —— NOTES: i 1 Rapilar dsposin at mutual sadnp tanks exdude Hems audias Christinas dub and certain escrow accounts, which represent a vary small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both*withdrawals and interest. Data for SSL's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. 3 Annuel powdi rase for monthly data is the annual bad monthly pwocntep increase in deposits. Jauraa: Nafttond Association of Mutud Savin* Benks end Federal Home Loan Bank Board. H.16 Table 1 0 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS ? 15 1 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS MUTUAL ALL SAVINGS SAVINGS BKS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS (N Y. STATE) TOTAL NET CHANGE MUTUAL ALL SAVINGS SAVINGS BKS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS (N Y. STATE) 1972 - Dec. 25.2 20 .3 4.9 .45 .43 .02 1973 - Dec. 19.9 16 .4 3.5 .04 .21 .17 1974 - Dec. 14.6 12 .4 2 .2 .09 .09 1975 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 14.6 14.5 15.0 16.2 16.8 17.0 17.9 19.1 20.0 20.1 20.4 20.4 12.5 12 .6 13.0 14 .2 14 .7 14,.9 15,.9 16 .9 17 .9 18 .0 18 .4 18 .5 2 .1 1 .9 2 .0 2 .0 2 .1 2 .1 2,.1 2 .2 2 .1 2 .1 2,.0 2 .0 - .03 -.01 .50 1.18 .55 .25 .92 1.21 .90 .01 .35 .04 .08 .14 .39 1.17 .49 .21 .94 1.10 .96 .07 .42 .08 .11 .24 .11 .01 .06 .04 .02 .11 .06 .06 .07 .04 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 20.5 21.1 21.5 21.9 22.5 22.6 23.2 24.1 25.1 26.3 27.2 18 .5 19 .2 19,.4 19 .7 20 .2 20.4 20.9 21 .6 22 .5 23.,6 24.,5 2,.0 1 .9 2.1 2.,2 2..3 2 .2 2,.3 2 .4 2 .6 2..7 2.7 .06 .61 .48 .38 .48 .27 .50 •87 1.05 1.20 .97 .02 .67 .27 .29 .44 .29 .44 .75 .82 1.11 .94 .04 .06 .21 Juris • NOTES: levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. :°o! .02 .05 .12 .23 .09 .03 T a b l e 11 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD . TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES TOTAL FHLB 1974 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. +2,768 +1,665 -89 +507 +2,750 +1,599 +93 +961 +1,700 +1,499 -217 +470 1975 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. MayJune July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. -242 -659 +440 0 -1,568 +330 +236 -398 215 587 152 669 -5 -254 +689 +69 -1,279 +600 +300 -700 100 850 200 600 -4 -554 -11 -30 -1,279 0 0 -700 0 +150 0 0 1976 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May -197 -1,160 447 131 -946 -101 -49 397 257 0 -800 -100 700 —600 -200 300 -200 200 0 -1,1.00 0 0 -600 0 0 0 0 July Aug. Sept. NOTES: Based on data from Treasury Survey of Ownership. Sales of FHLB discount notes began in May 1974. p INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM ISSUES Preliminary FHLMC FNMA FNMA & FHLB SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES 1 +1,050 +100 +310 +491 +18 +66 -182 -454 +300 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0 200 0 -1 0 +700 +100 0 +600 +300 0 100 700 0 600 -237 -405 -249 -69 -289 -270 -64 302 115 -263 -48 69 0 200 0 0 0 0 300 -300 700 -197 -360 — — 0 0 -200 0 0 -200 300 0 200 -547 -569 -346 99 -349 597 57 % f | ! I Table 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD 2 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA TOTAL [COMMERCIAL BANKS 1 41,406 57,587 58,372 42,732 43,608 39,018 55,561 55,072 36,510 38,769 9,940 16,800 19,600 11,700 4,200 3,938 5,377 5,642 2,172 2,236 23,919 31,932 25,552 17,560 29,400 1,221 1,452 4,278 5,078 2,933 2,403 3,534 4,691 5,424 4,878 5,951 6,213 5,636 5,953 4,983 1,993 3,270 5,531 5,088 5,412 6,594 5,907 5,356 6,093 5,399 300 600 900 900 1,100 1,100 1,000 600 1,300 1,000 700 87 106 324 309 240 517 323 384 364 398 1,378 2,416 4,069 4,171 4,032 4,815 4,522 4,234 4,090 3,895 3,545 228 148 238 -292 40 162 62 138 326 106 410 264 -840 +336 -534 -643 306 280 -140 -416 592 3,873 4,748 4,879 4,697 4,071 4,546 5,407 4,722 5,914 5,358 3,387 4,333 5,565 4,535 4,414 5,111 5,360 4,675 6,311 5,914 678 962 987 762 826 699 968 372 1,129 1,023 814 2,189 2,848 3,844 3,771 3,232 3,894 4,070 3,803 4,359 4,398 4,187 336 274 414 -299 161 147 94 144 365 48 486 415 -686 +162 -343 -565 47 47 -397 -556 582 MSB's S & Ls INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES Not Seasonally Ad lusted 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. » \ 2,388 „ 2,026 3,300 6,222 4,839 Seasonally Ad lusted 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. 184 249 320 301 195 371 228 356 445 445 NOTES: 1 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates bench marked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks. Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 83 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1974. 2 Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. Table 13 NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 2 QUARTER TOTAL TOTAL RESIDENTIAL I 1- to 4FAMILY MULTIFAMILY aI COMMERCIAL MULTFAMLY & FARM COMMERCIAL 1969 - I II III IV 34 .1 30.8 28 .2 29.6 25.5 23 .6 21.4 22 .3 21 .2 19 .0 16 .8 16 .0 4.4 4.5 4.6 6.3 6. 6 5. 2 5.2 6. 0 11.0 9.8 9.8 12.3 2.0 2 .0 1 .7 1.3 1970 - I II III IV 23.3 26 .9 34 .1 37 .1 16 .7 19.2 24 .5 28 .1 11 .2 13.6 16.2 19.5 5.5 5.5 8.2 8.6 5. 6 6. 8 8. 3 7. 6 11.1 12.3 16.5 16.1 0.9 1.0 1 .4 1.4 1971 - I II III IV 41.8 51 .4 56 .6 60 .3 32 .8 40 .0 42 .2 46.0 23 .3 30 .0 33 .1 36 .3 9.5 10.4 9.1 9.7 6. 6 8.9 11. 7 11.5 16.1 19.3 20.8 21.2 2 .5 2 .5 2 .7 2.8 1972 - I II III IV 70.6 72 .9 75 .2 89 .3 50 .6 53 .6 56.7 65 .7 39 .4 40 .7 46 .0 49.5 11.2 12.9 10.7 16.2 16 .6 15 .6 14 .7 20.4 27.8 28.6 25 .4 36.5 3 .4 3 .6 3 .8 3 .3 1973 - I II III IV 86.4 84.0 80,.0 71 .4 59 .6 58 .3 55 .2 49,.5 51 .4 45 .3 43,.1 41,.4 8.2 13.0 12.1 8.2 21 .3 20 .2 19 .5 16 .3 29.5 33.2 31.6 24.5 5 .6 5 .5 5,.3 5,.6 1974 - I II III IV 71,.8 69,.0 56,.0 46,.3 49,.3 46,.8 35.,7 28..9 39..8 39,.5 29..5 24..0 9.6 7.3 6.2 4.8 18 .9 17 .4 14 .0 11 .6 28.5 24.7 20.2 16.5 3,.6 4,.8 6..3 5..8 1975 - I ( r ) I I (r) I I I (r) IV ( r ) 38..8 54.,5 62. 9 69. 2 26, 3 40. 3 46. 1 51. 6 26.,3 40, 3 46, ,1 52. 1 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.5 7 .2 9 .4 12 .5 14 .1 7.2 9.3 12.5 13.6 5..3 4 . ,8 4 . ,3 3. 5 1976 - I ( r ) I I (r) III 76. 2 72. 6 84. 0 59. 5 54. 6 64. 9 58. 2 53. 6 61. 5 1.3 1.0 3.5 10 .8 12 .3 12.4 12.1 13.4 15.9 6. 0 5. 6 6. 6 NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration. Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more agpegative type of seasonal adjustment 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1 to 4 family and multifamity mortgage debt. 1 ? i I PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN THOUSANDS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERMITS 1 PERIOD TOTAL 1 —FAMILY STARTS 2 - O R MORE FAMILY 1—FAMILY COMPLETIONS ! 2 - O R MORE FAMILY MOBILE 2 - O R MORE HOME FAMILY SHIPMENTS 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1,324 1,352 1,925 2,219 1,820 1,074 924 626 647 906 1,033 882 644 668 698 705 1,018 1,186 937 431 257 1,407 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045 1,388 1,161 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 888 893 656 621 901 1,048 914 450 269 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,014 1,692 1,296 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,174 932 866 592 617 692 828 840 760 430 1975 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,111 1,127 1,091 794 814 812 317 313 279 1,431 1.381 1,283 1,093 1,048 962 338 333 321 1,115 1,386 1,329 738 992 993 377 394 *336 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,147 1,165 1,188 1,082 1,158 1,150 1,215 1,296 1,504 1,492 1,585 851 863 882 803 807 829 870 874 926 998 1,085 296 302 306 279 351 321 345 422 578 494 500 1,236 I,547 II,417 1,367 1,422 1,510 1.382 1,537 1,840 1,813 1,705 957 1,295 1,110 1,055 1,065 1,139 1,123 1,171 1,280 1,340 1,237 279 252 307 312 357 371 259 366 560 473 468 1,213 1,299 1,399 1,266 1,360 1,373 1,307 1,401 1,390 1,317 926 953 1,032 986 934 1,052 1,038 1,094 1,023 968 287 346 367 280 426 321 269 307 367 349 NOTES: data for 1969 and 1970 based on 13.000 areas with permit systems DigitizedPermit for FRASER \ Table 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET PERIOD HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET EXISTING HOMES NEW HOMES 1 1 RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) NEW HOMES RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 1 YIELD (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) DISCOUNT (PERCENTAGE POINTS) SPREAD BETWEEN NEW Aaa RETURNS ON UTILITY CONVENTIONAL BOND AND HUD(FHA) YIELD NEW HOME MORTGAGES (IN PER CENT) (BASIS POINTS) 1974 - High Low 9.80 8.55 45 -70 9.80 8.60 50 -70 10.38 8.54 44 -25 6.3 2.3 1 -70 10.46 8.10 1975 - High Low 9.25 8.90 15 -70 9.30 8.95 20 -65 9.74 8.69 31 -91 6.2 2.4 21 -49 9.70 8.94 1975 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 9.25 9.20 9.15 3 9.30 9.25 9.20 8 n.a. n.a. 9.53 9.41 9.32 31 n.a. n.a. 4.0 3.1 2.4 -28 -21 -17 9.22 n#a . n.a. 1976 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sepc. 9.05 9.00 8.95 8.90 9.00 9.05 9.05 9.05 9.00 9.00 8.95 39 42 42 32 5 35 33 58 77 71 91 9.10 9.05 9.00 8.95 9.05 9.10 9.10 9.10 9.05 9.00 9.00 44 47 47 37 10 40 38 63 82 71 95 9.06 9.04 40 46 2.4 2.2 - 1 " 4 8.82 9.03 9.05 8.99 8.93 8.82 8.55 8.45 24 8 35 27 46 59 26 40 2.5 4.1 4.2 3.8 3.3 2.5 4.3 3.6 8 - 3 0 6 12 18 45 50 Oct. Nov. 8.66 8.58 8.53 8.58 8.95 8.70 8.72 8.47 8.23 8.29 8.05 NOT##: 1 Gross yield spreed h average mortgage return before deducting servicing costs, minus averega yield on new Issues of high-grede utility bonds with 5-year cell protection. Betes on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fee# end charges) are besed on unweighted HUD (PHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract Interest rates In the market areas of the Insuring offices, rounded to the nearest 8 basis points. For secondary market dote, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loens with minimum downpayment, prepaid In 16 yeers, for Immediate delivery, ere used. Table 16 21 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS CONVENTIONAL GOVERNMENT 4JNDERWR11T EN AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) DATE OF AUCTION OFFERED AVERAGE YIELD ACCEPTED 366 ( 8 / 1 1 ) 9 . 9 5 ( 9 / 2 2 ) 18 ( 2 / 1 0 ) 8 . 7 8 ( 2 / 1 0 ) AMOUNT ( M MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) OFFERED AVERAGE YIELD 1 ACCEPTED 100,(4/7) 51 ( 4 / 2 1 ) 10 ( 1 0 / 2 0 ) 9 (2/10) 10.02 (9/22 8 . 9 6 (3/1C 1975 - High Low 643 ( 8 / 2 5 ) 25 ( 2 / 1 0 ) 1976 - J a n . 12 26 58.4 103.9 31 5 57 7 9.13 9.07 42.7 33.4 32.1 24.7 9.28 9.22 Feb. 9 23 252.2 126.9 179 9 81 2 9.07 9.04 57.8 44.0 36.9 23.3 9.17 9.14 Mar. 8 22 299.9 146.3 171 9 121 6 9.06 9.03 75.4 46.2 45.0 33.7 9.15 9.13 Apr. 5 19 106.2 132.1 5 6 .2 60 .1 8.94 8.83 56.4 55.3 31.8 33.4 9.05 9.00 Hay 4 17 483.3 634.3 222 .3 321 .4 8.94 9.13 110.7 128.8 60.1 68.9 9.09 9.24 June 1 14 28 349.5 146.6 261.2 2 2 4 .7 98 . 8 157 .5 9.20 9.14 9.12 131.4 77.3 93.6 90.5 70.3 59.2 9.31 9.30 9.31 J u l y 12 26 148.3 311.8 88.4 212.0 9.05 9.04 90.7 130.5 82.0 105.2 9.27 9.23 9 23 190.1 171.3 107 . 4 107 . 0 9.01 8.97 136.7 162.1 93.4 115.3 9.17 9.14 Sept . 7 20 121.9 99.1 68 . 8 49 .1 8.92 8.84 170.6 151.1 117.8 107.6 9.13 9.09 Oct. 4 18 124.3 111.2 61 .8 45 .3 8.80 8.70 153.8 143.7 94.4 121.4 9.07 9.02 Nov. 1 15 30 215.3 218.9 59.9 73 . 2 114 . 2 33 .7 8.67 8.68 8.63 141.7 140.9 70.7 112.2 126.5 58.2 9.00 9.00 8.99 Dec 4 13 27 36.0 20.9 22 . 6 18 . 9 8.51 8.39 79.7 70.5 68.1 67.3 8.89 8.80 Aug. •