Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : February 1, 1956
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Not f o r P u b l i c a t i o n BECOHTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS Helli February 1 , 1956 CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS One l a r g e c o r p o r a t e d e b e n t u r e i s s u e of $20 m i l l i o n and two l a r g e S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s w i t h t o t a l proceeds of $1$ m i l l i o n were f l o a t e d p u b l i c l y f o r new c a p i t a l d u r i n g the week ending J a n u a r y 27. The.volume of l a r g e i s s u e s s c h e d u l e d t o be o f f e r e d t h i s week i s g r e a t e r , t o t a l i n g $6$ m i l l i o n f o r c o r p o r a t i o n s and $13 m i l l i o n f o r S t a t e and l o c a l governments. Februaiy e s t i m a t e s - The volume of c o r p o r a t e f i n a n c i n g f o r new c a p i t a l i n February i s e s t i m a t e d a t $600 m i l l i o n , more than o n e - t h i r d g r e a t e r than t h e t o t a l a y e a r ago. Large p u b l i c i s s u e s a l r e a d y scheduled account f o r about o n e - t h i r d of t h e expected v o l ume t h i s month while l a s t y e a r such o f f e r i n g s r e p r e s e n t e d only ones e v e n t h of t h e t o t a l . The February e s t i m a t e of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y i s s u e s i s $$2$ m i l l i o n , compared t o a t o t a l of $312 m i l l i o n o f f e r e d i n February 1955 • Included i n t h i s e s t i m a t e , and accounting f o r most of t h e gain over l a s t y e a r ' s February volume, a r e the P u b l i c Housing A u t h o r i t i e s i s s u e of #106.8 m i l l i o n and t h e C o n n e c t i c u t Expressway o f f e r i n g of #100 m i l l i o n . The l a t t e r o f f e r i n g was p r e v i o u s l y scheduled i n December 1955 b u t was postponed due t o u n f a v o r a b l e market c o n d i t i o n s . Bond y i e l d s - Corporate Aaa and Baa bond y i e l d s d e c r e a s e d two and one b a s i s p o i n t s r e s p e c t i v e l y d u r i n g t h e week ending J a n u ary 27. Other y i e l d s shown i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s remained s t a b l e . During t h e f i r s t two days of t h i s week, no change was r e c o r d e d i n c o r p o r a t e and U. S. Government bond y i e l d s . Stock p r i c e s i n c r e a s e - The SEC i n d e x of 265 common s t o c k s r o s e moderately t o 259.O l a s t week i n an average d a i l y t r a d i n g v o l ume of 2 . 1 m i l l i o n s h a r e s a day. P r i c e s made f u r t h e r moderate i n c r e a s e s on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday of t h i s week. More d e t a i l e d i n f o r m a t i o n concerning r e c e n t c a p i t a l market developments i s p r e s e n t e d i n t h e a t t a c h e d e x h i b i t s . Business Finance and C a p i t a l Markets S e c t i o n , D i v i s i o n of R e s e a r c h and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of t h e F e d e r a l Reserve System. EXHIBIT A H I G H - G R A D E B O H D YIELDS Weekly CORPORATE A a o - U . S. GOVERNMENT _4—i—rv^t' i STATE AND LOCAL \ GOVERNMENT A a a T ^ ---.-r -|- r \ \ j U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ Corporate Aaa y State and local govt., Aaa Spread between p. S» Govt, and Corporate State an$ Aaa local Aaa (Per cent) 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.1k 3.09 December 30 January 6 January 13 January 20 January 27 3.16 3.1h 3.13 3-11 3.09 3.1$ 2.78 2.7U 2.a 2.9h 2.62 2.90 2.83 V (6/6) (12/26) (1/9) (8/7) (8/3) (1/7) (1/6) (1/27) 2.89 2.90 2.88 2.83 2.83 1/ Weekly average of dally figures! yearS 2/ 2.73 1.98 2.21 1.90 2.3U 2.05 2.29 2.27 2.30 2.29 2.27 2.27 2.27 .8U • 30 .61 .29 •70 •5U .61 .56 .38 .19 • U3 32 • 3U .13 .28 .2b .27 • 2U .25 .28 .26 - .59 .61 .61 .56 .56 Average term of bonds included i s 25-20 Weekly average of daily figures; old series. °f term Ts 20 years. (6/25) (1/8) (6/10) (9/2) (9/8) (5/26) (1/5) (1/26) Average term to f i r s t call Only 8 general o r a t i o n bonds are included, average Note.—Hishs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. L O W E R - GRADE B O N D YIELDS l O R P O R a i c Baa STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Baa /\ Moody's j ./V 1 ! I r - J STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. REVENUE Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. Baa 2/ State and local govt, "rev. 3/ (Per cent) 1955 - High Low 1956 - High Low 3.89 3-50 3.7k 3. a 3.63 3.1I5 3.62 3.59 December 30 January 6 January 13 January 20 January 27 3.63 3.62 3.61 3.60 3-59 1953 - High , Low 195U - High (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1U) (1/6) (1/27) 3.79 2.96 3-32 2.93 3.26 3.02 3.26 3.22 3.26 3.26 3-25 3.22 3.22 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (1/5) (1/26) 3.27 2.71 3.00 2.72 2.99 , 2.76 2.9U 2.90 (6/26) (1/2) (1/1) (8/13) (12/30) (1/7) (1/6) (1/27) 2.99 2.9U 2.91 2.90 2.90 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average terra of bonds included i s 25-26 years. 2j Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. J / Friday figures. Average rating of bonds included i s between Baa and Aj average term i s 20 years. ' Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Trading Common Stodc market customer credit volume 2/ stock Customers' (millions yields 3/ debit bal- loans to of shares) (per cent) ances V "others" 5/ Date " Stock price index 1/ 1953 - High Low 195U - High 1955 - Higi Low 1956 - High Low 167.1 (1/2) m . 0 (9/18) 221.1* (12/31) 156.5 (1/6) 270.7 (12/30) 217.U ( 1 M ) 268.8 (1/6) 257-U (1/20) 2.5 0.9 3-7 l.li L.6 1-5 2.U 2.1 November December January 13 January 20 January 2? 265-0 269.2 266.2 257.U 259.0 2.3 2.U 2.U 2-3 2.1 (Millions of dollars) 5.75 5.15 5.33 U.20 U.22 3.78 2,UU5 2,055 3,U36 2,105 1,025 3,537 1,665 1,31k 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 n.a. n.a. n.a. U.09 U.06 3,980 It,025 2,759 2,786 n.a- n.a. n.a. 780 66U 1,0U8 7U6 1,21a 1,018 1,253 1,21*1 1,221 1,239 1,253 1,21a n.a.—Not, available. V SEC index of 265 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 1939-100; converted to 19U7-U9-100 ty Federal Reserve. The conversion factor i s 123.91. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. ~y Moody's 200 comnon stocks; end of month figures. Ty End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which cany margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. $J Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U.S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 72 per cent of loans to others. , Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D . H.lU % Corporate and S t a t e and Local Government S e c u r i t y O f f e r i n g s and Placements ( I n millions of d o l l a r s ) 1956 January February March e/600 e/600 ~ April . May June 195U 1956 5h6 U36 1,261 5U7 U26 635 e/36g 1/52.5 L9L 903 697 July August September #3 65U 680 October" November December 1,138 y 601 e/8>0 [ 1st quarter 2nd q u a r t e r 3rd -quarter Uth q u a r t e r Year New c a p i t a l Corporate 1 1955 1 2,2U3 2,09k 1,917 e/2,590 e/8,8ii5 ' S t a t e and l o c a l 1 1955 1 535 312 538 396 101 565 U97 656 8U2 U27 350 6U1 731 7U8 653 909 335 7U7 h702h9 U06 279 261 6U9 1,003. 290 60U 919 658 e/UOO- 59U 1*23 877 1,385 1,118 1,12k e/l,977 e/5,901* 1,372 2,331 1,188 1,89k 6,789 1,608 1,99$ 1,991 1,896 7,190 Excluding f i n a n c e companies 7j 1st quarter 2nd;quarter 3rd quarter Uth q u a r t e r Year - 1,791 1,912 i,m e/2,390 e/7,535 1,527 1,927 1,911 1,792 7,155 e / Estimated. 1 / Includes $637.2 m i l l i o n AT&T c o n v e r t i b l e debenture i s s u e . y Total new c a p i t a l i s s u e s excluding o f f e r i n g s of s a l e s and personal finance companies. Note.—Details may not add t o t o t a l s due t o rounding. Helii Exhibit E W Large Public S e c u r i t y I s s u e s f o r New C a p i t a l (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1 / Proceeds of Large Issues O f f e r e d (Millions of d o l l a r s ) Month 1 Corporate ' 121 1U1 63 750 173 U83 175 101 ho$ 328 80S 269 215 195k - December 1955 ~ January February March April May June July August September October November December S t a t e and l o c a l government - . Other 2 / 689 3U1 107 337 238 152 1*03 278 65 23U 716 396 20$ 30 35 15 25 5° Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered January 2 through 27 Issuer Type 3/ Coupon Amount ' (millions Maturity r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating yield net i n t e r of dollars) est cost CORPORATE Commercial Credit Co. Textron-American S r . notes | Cony. deb. 75-0 20.0 1976 1971 3 5/8 5.oo 3.63 5.00 __ Ba STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT Wayne County Sevier System, Michigan P l a t t e County, Missouri Allegheny Co., Pa. Los Angeles, C a l i f . S t a t e of Colorado D e t r o i t , Michigan Gwinnett County, Ga. San Diego, C a l i f . S p r i n g f i e l d , Ohio G.O. Rev. G» 0. ' G.O. L.L. Rev. L.L. G.O. G.O. 6.7 1956-93 1986 5.1* 6.0 1957-86 10.0 r- 1957-76 8.0 1957-71 8 . 0 I 1961-76 5.9 ' 1959-81* 1957-81 9.5 1957-80 5-2 3.21 2.53 2.58 2.29 2.U1 2.56 2.U8 1.90-3.20 3.75 1.75-2.60 1.80-2.65 1.70-2.25 2.10-2.15 3.00-3.50 1.75-2.60 1.75-2.55 A A Aa Aa Aa A A 1 H.lU E-2 ; Large I n d i v i d u a l I s s u e s Offered January 2 through 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type 3 / Amount Coupon (millions | Maturity r a t e or O f f e r i n g Rating of net interyield dollars) e s t cost STATE & LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) S t a t e of Michigan S t a t e of Michigan D e t r o i t , Michigan Caddo P a r i s h , La. La. S t a t e Building Auth. Milwaukee Co., Wis. P h i l a d e l p h i a , Pa. L.L. L.L. G.O. G.O. L.L. G.O. G.O. 10.0 10.0 5.2 5.0 7-6 8.9 6.0 1957-78 1957-72 1957-81 1957-76 1961-85 1957-64 1957-06 2.37 . 2.30 Var. 2.57 3.06 1.96 2.75 1.70-2.1*0 1.70-2.30 1.80-2.60 1.80-2.60 2.50-3.05 1.55-1.90 1.75-3,00 Aa la A A Baa Aaa A OTHER None 1 Yar.—Various. ' _n.a.—Not a v a i l a b l e . 1 / Includes corporate and other s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of &15 m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t y o f f e r i n g s of #5 m i l l i o n and over. 2 / Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s . 3/ In the case of S t a t e and l o c a l government s e c u r i t i e s , G.O. denotes general o b l i g a t i o n ; Rev., revenue bonds; G.R., general o b l i g a t i o n s a d d i t i o n a l l y secured by f a c i l i t i e s revenues; L . L . , l i m i t e d l i a b i l i t y o b l i g a t i o n s secured by pledge of designated revenues. H.lU Exhibit F Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings f o r New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury), 1 / During, month following date shown State and other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. — Date of computation .19$$ - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 . Mar. 31 Apr. 29 May 31 June 30 July 29 Aug. 31 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 30 Dec. 30 1956 - Jan. 31 16 710 211 k2$ 160 67 h07 222 80$ 202 215 70 176 682 $2h 208 116 339 3hU 100 18U 82+3 330 205 121 327 50 Subsequent to date shown State and other 2 / Corporate l o c a l govt. — U22 1,395 922 1,11*1 . 850 . 830 1,135 920 909 U12 230 85 376 1,961 1,978 2,009 1,917 1,861 1,8U5 2,018 1,971 2,205 1,650 756 618 50 917 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of January 27 Issuer Northwestern Bell Telephone Reynolds Metals Chemical Corn Exchange Bank Southern California Edison M. Lowenstein and Sons #West Coast Transmission Bell Telephone of Pennsylvania New York Telephone Southern California Gas Sheraton Corporation of America ^Tennessee Gas Transmission #Koppers Co., Inc. Type Deb. Pfd stock Com. stock Pfd . stock Conv. sub. deb. Sub. deb. Deb. Ref. mtg. bds. Mtg.. bds. Deb. Pfd.. stock Com.. stock Amount (millions Approximate date of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) 25.0 Uo.o 26.0 30.0 3h*3 20.5 35.0 55.0 Uo.o 15.0 Uo.o 15.6 February February February February February February March 6 March 27 May 1956 1956 1956 1 1 8 lit 15 21 STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT State of Maryland Tacoma, Washington Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Public Housing Authorities New Orleans, Louisiana G.O. Rev. n• n. a. 7.8 5.0 13.2 106.8 11.5 January 31 January 31 February 7 February 7 February 8 H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large O f f e r i n g s , as of January 27 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of o f f e r i n g of d o l l a r s ) .STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Cont'd) H a r r i s County, Texas Metropolitan Water D i s t . of So. Cal. *Lubbock, Texas *New York S t a t e Thruway Rochester, New York Weber Basin Water Conservancy D i s t r i c t , Utah *Fort Worth, Texas Connecticut Expressway Georgia Rural Roads Authority F l o r i d a S t a t e Turnpike Authority Inter-American Center Auth., F l a . Oklahoma Turnpike AuthorityPennsylvania Turnpike Commission Washington S t a t e Toll Bridge Auth. S a l t River P r o j e c t , Arizona n.a. n.a» n.a. n.a. Rev. Rev. n.a. Rev. Rev. Rev. Rev. " 5.5 7-3 9.8 5o.o 7.U 5.U . 10.0 100.0 15.5 185.0 25.0 65.0 62.0 227.0 11.0 1 February February February February February 1U Hi lit 15 21 February 23 February 27 February 28 May Late spring 1956 1956 1956 1956 1956 None a—Included i n t a b l e f o r f i r s t time. 1 / Includes corporate and other i s s u e s of $1$ m i l l i o n and over; S t a t e and ' local™"government i s s u e s of $5 m i l l i o n and over. 2/ Includes f o r e i g n government and I n t e r n a t i o n a l Bank f o r Reconstruction and Development i s s u e s .