Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : December 15, 1969
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DECOTOOLW L.5.8 A F T E R S I X WDT3THS Confidential (F.R.) December I 1. 196 9 „ 1 - " 1 1 M d u U u u t - CAPltAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS C a p i t a l Markets Section, D i v i s i o n of Research and S t a t i s t i c s , Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. 15. INDEX 3-5 Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets 6-7 Capital Market Yields 8-13 Capital Market Volume 14-17 Stock Market 18-33 Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r n.a. Revised Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception WEEK ENDING: 1969 - Nov. Dec. 7 14 21 28 8.13 8.27 8.44 8.67 7.26 7.29 7.38 7.48 5 12 19£y 8.85 8.70 n.a. r/7.60 7.64 n.a. WEEK ENDING: 1969 - Nov. Dec. YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED ' NEW ISSUE 1 YIELDS MOODY'S BOND BUYER SEASONED 20 SEASONED Aaa BOND INDEX CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME;2 GROSS OFFERINGS PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK 261 365 241 185 67 81 79 91 517 424 400e 99 92 n.a. MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT SOLD BY END GROSS OF WEEK OFFERINGS 7 14 21 28 5. 75 5.78 5.95 6.05 6.11 6.17 6.36 6.58 246 83 314 21 5 12 19j>/ 6.34 6.48 n.a. 6.72 6.88 n.a. 249 . 232 300e BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 991 1,071 903 733 586 643 n.a. BONDS SCHEDULED WITHIN 28 DAYS 48 67 59 86 903 954 913 683 97 77 n.a. 437 442 n.a. . 1 Derived by adjusting to a Aaa basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A, Aa, or Aaa by'Moody' s Investors Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural.gas pipeline and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed bv the Federal Government.-) 2 Millions of-dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: See footnotes to Table 3 TABLE 2: Details on Inventories CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ' jORIGINAL! RATING AND ISSUER ; COUPON YIELD CALL PROTECTION "AMOUNT ' (MIL.\$) DATE OFFERED 12/11 12/10 12/10 12/9 11/24 25.0 20.0 3o;o 80.0 13.0 [. DATE i OFFERED | RELEXSED Arkansas Pwr. & Ltg. North Illinois Gas Walter Heller Ohio Power General Tel. of New York 9..25 9.,00 9.,50 9.,00 9.,50 9,,08 8,,80 9,,50 8,,82 9.,45 A Aa N.R. Aa Baa 5 5 10 5 5 yrs. yrs. yrs. yrs. yrs. ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 5p% 50% 95% 90% 90% CORPORATE BONDS RELEASED FROM. SYNDICATE DURING LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PRO'ISSUER AMOUNT COUPON IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION- RELEASED YIELD NONE INVENTORIES 1 MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST • | . INSYNDICATE DATE 1969 - Nov. 1 Dec. 14 21 28 560 609 583 5 12£/ 515 481 N.C. - No call protection. 1 figures in millions of dollars. Digitized forAll FRASER which is daily average of three days , 164 223 142 ! j j 83 " | i - CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 88 68 59 16 33 l Blue List is daily average for week ended Friday, except for latest week ended Wednesday. All other figures are as of Friday. BONDS IN SYNDICATE Millions of dollars C O R P O R A T E B O N D S IN S Y N D I C A T E 200 L_ iiJ. M U N I C I P A L B O N D S IN i l.. I lid SYNDICATE 300 i SEPT. DEC. 67 MAR JUN 1968 SEPT. DEC. MAR JUN. llilil SEPT 200 •1 1 0 0 0 DEC V , . vX TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields' NEVJ CORPORATE Aaa 1 DATE MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 1" 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 | BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 4 1967 - High Low 6.55(12/8) 5.11(2/10) 6.24(2/29) 5.00(2/10) 5.73(11/7) 4.48(1/20) 4.45(12/7) 3.40(2/2) 1968 - High Low 7.02(12/13) 6.13(8/30) 6.55(1/27) 5.95(9/13) 5.90(1/20) 5.18(8/9) 4.85(1/26) 4.07(8/8) 1969 - High Low 8.85(12/5) 6.90(2/21) 7.59(12/5) 6.55(1/3) 6.84(11/12) 5.96(1/24) 6.72(12/5) 4.82(1/28) 14 21 28 8.27 8.44 8.67 7.29 7.38 7.50 6.71 6.84 6.80 6.17 6.36 6.58 /12R/ 8.85 8.70 7.59 7.64 V 6.82 6.85 . 6.72 6.88 1969 - Nov. Dec. 1 2 3 4 New corporate issues, with call protection, adjusted (as described in .footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. . ' Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. Weekly average of daily figures. Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by M p o u v ' s Investors Service. Note--Highs and lows are for individual,series•and may be on different dates for different series. „ HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS F H NEW CORPORATE Aaa MOODY'S X CORPORATE Aaa U S. GOVT.20 YR CONSTANT MATURITIES BOND BUYER MUNICIPAL 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 8 CORPORATE PERIOD 1969p .1968 January February March 2,075 2,045 2,098 1,771 1,608 1,799 April May . June 2,748 2,076 2,530 July August September • October November December 1st 2nd 3rd - 4th , 1 Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year •f "^ 1967 1969 p 1968 1 ,684 1 ,418 2,362 1,262 987 538 1,178 1,158 1,404 1,492 1,236 1,450 1,428 1,866 2,411 2 ,015 1 ,518 2 ,674 1,801 1,109 734 1,318 1,143 1,395 1,130 1,254 1,497 2,450 1,489 2,480e 2,143 1,432 1,557 2 ,589 2 ,481 1 ,763 1,092 804 534 1,469 1,699 1,444 950 860 .1,340 2, H O e K 2,560e 2,500e 2,129 1,767 2,054 2 ,409 1 ,500 2, ,385 1,264 870e 600e 2,230 1,021 1,115 975 1,401 1,182 6,218 7,354 6,419e 7,170e 5.178 5,704 5,133 5,950 5,,464 6,,208 6,,832 6, 294 2,787 3,644 2,430e 2,734 e 3,840 3,856 4,612 4,366 4,177 3,881 3,150 3,557 13,522 19.991e 27,161e 10,882 16,015 21,965 11, 672 18, 504 24, 798 7,956 12,008 16,574 8,059 11,209 14,766 Excluding finance companies 3 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter Year 6,170 , ! STATE AND " 1 1 GROSS PROCEEDS 1 f| TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) = ' 6,431 8,861 11,595 1967 ; 5,107 5,427 4,785 5,654 5, 308 6, 063 6, 584 5, 859 ! 20,973 -23,814 j , Securities arid Exchange Commission,estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. Total gross proceeds excluding offerings of sales and consumer financecompanies . ! TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars). OVARTER OR MONTH TOTAL GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON AND MEMO: BONDS PRIVATELY PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED PUBLICLY MFG. STOCK FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE PLACED OFFERED 1968 - III IV 1969 - I II IIIef 5,133 5,951 6,218 7,354 6,419 2 606 2 555 2,657 3 411 3 194 1968 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.ey Oct. e/ Nov. ey 2,129 1,767 2,055 2,075 2,045 2,098 2,748 2,076 2,530 2,450 1,489 2,480 2,110 2,560 1,,009 939 607 980 842 835 1,,268 871 1.,272 1,,279 685 1,,230 960 1:,060 1 ' 1 1 1 1 1 361 922 540 673 460 1,166 1,474 2,023 2,268 1,764 595 362 965 636 395 509 649 510 514 591 319 550 500 500 525 466 483 460 807 755 830 694 744 579 485 700 650 1,000 .124 113 215 227 24 49 40 103 74 38 62 28 . 137 132 122 n. a. n. a. GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER PUBLIC UTILITY 1,037 902 1,355 1,126 673 1 ,657 1,,712 1.,407 1,773 1,,954 1,,160 1 ,435 = 1.,346 1,,878 1.,417 490 319 473 432 672 365 211 326 376 578 401 430 463 233 206 167 300 50 110 640 421 651 403 513 491 513 569 691 881 382 700 450 750 674 443 319 627 315 404 784 392 702 492 505 420 640 620 115 162 41 186 56 231 44 197 191 286 126 260 120 190 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. 'Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS 1,,825 2,,483 2,,993 3,,266 2.,368 700 741 1,,044 860 1,,161 972 1,,405 915 946 792 476 l;,100 900 l,,000 TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ' ' V December 1 through December 12, 1969 CORPON MOODY'S OITKRKAIE OR RATI;.6 : ER IK/TIVU1N.C . VI KM) nst COST AMOUNT' (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) Corporate First & Merchants Corp. Detroit Edison Co. Columbus & Southern Ohio Electric, Company Pacific Telephone & Telegraph Union Tank Car Co. Conv. sub. debs. Gen. ref. 1st mtg. Debs. Equip, trust ctfs. N 20.0 75.0 1994 1999 \ 6.00 \ 9.00 6.00 8.84 N.R. Aa 9.00 8.90 Aa 20.0 1999 150.0 2004 9-1/8 9.10 Aaa 25.0 1989 9.30 9 . 30 A 1999 1974 9-5/8 9-3/8 9.40 9.38 Aa Baa 1989 9-1/2 9-1/2 ' Aa Meridian Investing and Development Company Com. stk. 40.0 United Tank Car Company Com. stk. 22.0 . Mississippi Pwr. & Lt. Co. 1st mtg. 20.0 1st mtg. Northwest Natural Gas Co. 15.0 Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America 1st pipeline 30.0 Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Cum. pfd. stk. 15.0 Transworld Airlines, Inc. Gtd. Loan Ctfts .70.0 Investment Properties Assoc .Jr. Mtge. 81.7 Public Srv. Elec. &.Gas Co. Com. stk. 42.5 General Public Utilities Debs. 50.0 Tenneco Corporation Debs. 75.0 Ohio Power Company 1st mtg. 80.0 Atlanta Gas & Lt. Co. Bonds 20.0 Georgia - Pacific Corp. Conv. sub. debs. 75.0 Beeton Dickinson & Company Conv. sub. debs. 40.0 Walter E. Heller & Co. Sr. debs. 30.0 Northern Illinois Gas Co. Bonds 20.0 Citizens Mortgage InvestBenf. int. ment Trust w/w 21.0 Arkansas Power & Light Co. 1st mtg. 25.0 1985 1992 10.00 9.00 10.00 9.00 Baa N.R. 1974 1975 1994 1974 1994 1989 1989 1994 10-1/4 10.00 9.00 9-1/8 5-3/4 5.00 9.50 9.00 8.83 9.06 5.75 5.00 9.50 8.80 . Ba Ba Aa A Ba Baa N.R, Aa 1999 9.25 9.08 . A TABLE b: Lnrqp LOIKI trim Public Security Issues for Nev. R,I;-jtnl fc<>ntm-1. Mi lOtliot than U.S. Tro.isuiy)1 .\:n u ::i " ISSl'KR OF' DOLLARS) December 1 through December 1%, 1969. riuipoN ' RATF. OK "I I L:L<- MOODY'S MATURITY : NI:I INTKR I:.( RATING ; EST COST VI I.I.I) ' State & local Government West Virginia, State of Montgomery Co. , Maryland New York State Dormitory Authority Mecklenburg Co., N.C. Richmond, Virginia Texas Oregon, State of Oregon, State of Port of New York Authority Greater Chicago Metropolitan Sanitary Dist., 111. Tulsa Municipal Airport Trust, Oklahoma Tulsa Municipal Airport Trust, Oklahoma Other Quebec Hydro-Elec. Comm. F.N.M.A. F.N.M.A. Rev. G.O. . 90.0 33.0 1970-94 1971-90 Rev. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Ctinsol. notes 32.2 14.3 38.0 15.0 40.0 12.0 50.0 1971-2000 1971-94 1971-90 1979-95 1974-83 1973-2000 1972 G.O. 20.0 1980 Rev. Rev. Debs. Debs. Debs. 3.0- 6.89 7.00 5.50-7.15 5.60-7.50 A-l A 7.55 6.45 6.28 ' 6.25 6.55 6.86-6.90 7-1/2 6.00-7.50 5.50r6.60 5.40-6.35 5.80-6.50 6.00-6.50 5.90-6.80 7.50 A Aa Aaa Aaa Aa Aa . 6.10-6.70 197.2-80 11.0 1994 50.0 250.0 400.0 1995 1973 1971 6.40-7.20 7.75 9-3/4 8.30 8.60 9.88 8.30 8.60 —— — A - X Rights offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 mi I l.i or\ State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. 1 h case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes b 1 igat ion ; '<ev. - Ut. , revenue obligations secured on I v by income from publ i c ut i1i Rev.-Q.-l't. , revenue binds secured only by income from quasi ut i1iL ies ; Rev.-S .T. , revenue bonds secured by revenue trom specific taxes only; K v.- Kent. , revenue bonds secured sol ely.by lease payments. Inc1udes fori- i gn government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-quaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital ^ (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 " (continued) ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Corporate Kane-Miller Corporation Southwestern Elec. Pwr. Co, Eastern Air Lines, Inc. *MGIC Investment Corp. *Mohawk Data Science Corp. General Telephone of - California Pennsylvania Co. South Carolina Elec. & Gas ^Central Tele. & Util. Corp. University Computing Co. *Zayre Corporation *Pennzoil United Inc. ^Guardian Mtg. Investors Iowa Pwr. & Light Ohio Bell Central Pwr. & Light Co. S.F. debs. 1st mtg. Conv. sub. debs. Conv. debs! Conv. debs, 22.5 35.0 80.0 50.0 25.0 December December December December December 15 15 15 16 16 1st mtg. Debs. Bonds S.F. debs. Conv. debs. Conv. sub. debs. Debs. Conv. sub. debs. Bonds Debs. Bonds 60.0 50.0 15.0 25.0 40,0 20.0 45.0 15.0 15.0 100.0 25.0 December December December December December December December December January Janaury January 16 16 17 17 18 18 18 22 5 6 7 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 (continued^ As of December 12, 1969. ! ' ISSUER . TYPE • AMOUNT • (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING State & local Government G.0. Woodhaven S/D , Michigan Rev. Oakland Co., Wisconsin Rev. *0wensboro, Kentucky Port of Seattle, Washington Bonds G.0. *Peabody, Massachusetts Rev. Ohio, State of Rev. Los Angeles DWAPS G.0. -Pennsylvania, State of Airport Rev. Chicago, Illinois Rev. ^Dallas, Co., Texas G.0. San Francisco Seattle Dept. Lt. & Pwr. Bonds Washington Jefferson Parrish S/D #1, G.0. Louisiana Rev. San Francisco, Port Comm. Rev. , , *San Francisco B.A.R.T. Snohomish Co. Public Rev. Dist. # 1, Washington -Snohomish Co. Public Rev. ' Utility District Rev. Clark Co., Nevada Wheeler Ridge - Maricopa Rev. Wtr. Dist., Colorado Sacramento Municipal Util. Rev. Dist., California *Hennepin, .Ramsey, Anoka, Dakota, Washington, Scott & Carver Cos. Metropolitan Council. Minn. i Rev. Rev. -King Co., Washington 12.0 11.9 52.0 16.0 15.9 50.0 39.0 125.0 56.0 12.0 49.1 December 15 December 16 December 16 December 16 December 16 December,16 December 17 December 18 December January 8 January 12 17.0 January 13 10.0 11.0 50.0 January January January 14 14 15 15.0 January 15 15.0 13.0 January January 15 20 16.0 January 21 58:0 January 22 11.0 13.5 January January 22 27 Other NONE * 1 2." Included in table for first time. Includes corporate arid other issues of $15 millibn and over; State and local Government issues.of $10 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed-issues of Federal Agencies. Postponement this week: Atlanta, Georgia - 18.0; no bids received because of a TL interest limitation. Indianapolis, Indiana - 10.0; no bids received because of 6-1/2% interest limitation. Baltimore Gas & Electric - 25.0; postponed because of market conditions. TABLE 8: Stock Prices and Volume 60.7(8/14) 27.4(1/6) 33.5(10/27) 8.3(1/6) 1968 - High Low 108.37(11/29) 985.21(12/3) 33.25(12/20) 87.72(3/5) 825.13(3/21) 22.00(3/22) j 82.1(6/7) 34.0(2/23) 45.4(6/7) 14.1(2/23) 1969 - High Low 106.16(5/14) 89.93(7.30) 82.6(10/17) 32.8(4/4) 38.4(5/9) 12.9(4/4) 196 •• Nov. Dec. .7 14 21 28 968.85(5/14) 32.91(1/3) 783.53(12/11)25.02(7/29) NYSE ! TRADING 1 1967 - High Low STOCK PRICES 1 s&p ^ D.J. - IND. 500 1 AMEX 4 97.59(9/25) 943.08(9/25) 24.52(12/29) 80.38(1/3) 786.41(1/3) 13.78(1/27) r -DAT!- AMEX 98.26 97.07 94.32 93.81 860.48 849.85 823.13 812.30 28.61 28.31 27.27 27.34 " 60.0 .47.1 54.2 41.7 26.4 19.1 18.1 15.9 5 91.73 12jj90.81 793.03 786.69 26.62 26.34 55. 6 56.9 20.6 21.4 l Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. tor the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Total number of shares traded per week (millions of shares). In the past, trading was normally conducted 5 days a week for 5 1/2 hours per day, or 27 1/2 hours per week. From August 8 through August 20, 1967, daily trading was reduced to 4 hours per day or °20 hours per week. A 20-hour week was also in effect from January 22 through March 1, 1968. From June 30 through December 31, 1968, the exchanges were open 5 1/2 hours for 4 days a week or 22 hours. From January 3 through July 3, 1969, the exchanges were open 4 hours each day, 20 hours per week. Beginning July 7, 1969 the exchanges have been open 4 1/2 hours each day, 22 1/2 hours per week. NYSE is New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is American Stock Exchange. ; 3 1941-43 = 1 0 . 4 Average dollar value of shares listed. - Highs and lows are STOCK PRICES AND TRADING VOLUME AMEX 35 . Weekly - STOCK PRICES 33 AMEX PRICE LEVEL INDEX / 1/1 29 S&P's 500 D.J. IND. (Ind) (500) 1300 130 1260 126 1220 122 1180 118 1140 114 1100 110 1060 106 1020 102 900 90 860 86 820 13 740 AMEX TRADING VOLUME (TOTAL FOR WEEK) 40 20 i. NYSE TRADING 1965 VOLUME (TOTAL FOR WEEK) 1966 1967 1968 1969 TABLE 9: Security Credit NET CRKIUT CUSTOMERS' NET 'EXTENDED BY FREE CREDIT BROKERS AND DEALERS 3 BALANCES CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: TOTAL BROKERS 1 | BANKS 2 ] CUSTOMERS' NET DEBIT BALANCES 6,250 6,200 6,200 2,560 2,630 2,710 8,810 8,830 8,900 ~8>859 9,029 9,970 3,407 3,419 3,717 5,930 5,750 5,590 5,570 5,670 5,340 5,170 5,000 4,940 5,030 2,750 2,810 2,780 2,760 2,770 2,740 2,700 2,670 . 2,620 2,570 8,680 8,560 8,370 8,330 8,440 8,080 7,870 7,670 7,560 7,600 9,042 9,148 8,318 8,044 8,474 8,214 7,515 7,019 7,039 7,243 3,597 3,647 3,294 3,077 3,084 3,085 2,783 2,577 2,579 2,753 1968 - Oct. Nov. Dec. -140 -50 40 70 80 1969 -270 -180 -160 -20 100 -330 -170 -170 -60 90 40 60 -30 -20 10 -30 -40 -30 -50 -50 END OF PERIOD Outstanding:: 1968 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.r/ Oct. j>/ 1 5,452 5,610 6,073 5,445 5,501 5,024 4,967^ 5,390 5,129 4,732 4,442 4,460 4,490 Change in Outstanding: 1 2 3 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept.r/ Oct. £ / 100 20 80 135 170 761 -220 -120 -190 -40 110 -360 -210 -200 -110 40 -928 -51 -830 -274 430 -260 -699 -496 20 204 281 12 298 : -120 50 -351 -271 7 1 -302 -206 2 174 -138 158 563 -628 -9 -477 -57 423 -261 -397 -290 18 30 Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount o! such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and. dealers for purchasing or carrying sv< -.irities other than U.S. governments." The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers' net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data,- figures are supplied by tin* New Yor!< Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securi.L i .*•«; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any sccuritv, v.hether regulated or not. . ' ' /: TABLE 10: Savings FloWs at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries . ($ millions) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS SAVINGS • & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NET SHARE CAPITAL NET ANNUAL ' NEW ANNUAL NEW 2 NET' GROWTH MONEY • NET ' GROWTH MONEY 2 1 1 FLOW RATE FLOW RATE TOTAL . DEPOSITS • ANNUAL NET ' GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW i XKT . NEW j MONEY2 Not Se asonally Adjusted 1966 1967 1968 1969 to date 2,557 5,082 4,186 2,107 1968 - A u g . Sept. Oct. 238 505 202 1969 - Aug. Sept. Oct. . 95 303 -138 4.9 9.3 7.0 - -- — 227 2,376 1,143 -684 3,584 10,687 7,396 3,684 181 -38 89 389 1,133 495 24 -269 -266 3.2 9.4 5.9 - - -. - - - 8 877 -379 -552 6,129 2,676 -782 6,141 15,769 11,582 5,791 366 348 446 627 1,638 697 - 25 -104 -405 87 1,184 -517 3.8 9.4 6.3 — -325 8,505 3,819 -1,466 547 310 535 - 1 - 373 -671 Seasonally Adjusted 1969 - May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. £/ 1 2 3 357 178 -47 191 172 26 6.6 3.3 -0.9 3.6 3..1 0.5 -—— • --- - 498 491 -40 275 500 -101 4.5 4.4 -0.4 2.5 4.5 -0.9 855 669 • - 87 ' 466 672 -75 5.2 4.0 -0.5 2.7 4.0 -0.4 , Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 967 of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts-, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOI RCh: National Association of Mutual Savings Hanks and Federal Home Loan Hank Hoard. -- SAVINGS FLOWS (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Millions of 2000 1600 TOTAL 1200 800 400 0 400 1200 SAVINGS & LOANS 800 400 ' + 0 400 800 MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS 400 + 0 400 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions DATE 1968 - sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. TOTAL OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS 1 NET CHANGE ALL ALL MUTUAL 1 SAVINGS TOTAL SAVINGS & SAVINGS & BANKS • \ LOAN LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS ASSOCIATIONS (Billions of Dollars, Sea sonally Adjusted) 1/ 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.7 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.6 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.1 .14 .35 .27 -.01 1969 - Jan. 9.9 Feb. 10.1 10.3 Mar. Apr. 10.5 10.3 May 10.,2 June July -9.\9 Aug. 9.5 9.1 Sept.£/ 6.7 6.9 ,7.0 7.2 7.1 7..0 6.8 6.5 6.3 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.Q 2.8 .15 .25 .17 •19, -.19 -.09 -.28 -.43 -.36 V 1 \ \MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. STATE) .10 .22 .10 . 08 -.10 .08 .22 .09 .18 -.10 -.05 -.21 -.32 -.21 j07 .03 .08 .01 -.09 -.04 -.08 -.11 -.15 Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor,amount of nonresidential commitments. SS.L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to total's because of rounding. ,04 .13 .ll . MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS OUTSTANDING (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Billions of dollars 10 TOTAL S&L'S I.Y.-MSB'S Includes building loans beginning August 1967 1960 1962 1964 1966, 1968 \ 7 1970 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings DATE TOTAL |INCLUDING I FNMA-GNMA 1 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS TOTALf COMMERCIAL SAVINGS LOAN BANKS BANKS i ASSOC. 1 LIFE . ' INSURANCE , COMPANIES ' r:y_\-r.MA Not Seasonally Adjusted 1966 1967 1968 18,197 19,988 23,776 15,874 18,191 21,268 4,705 4,369 6,677 2,760 3,118 2,796 3,761 7,538 9,330 4,648 2,914 2,465 1968 - June 2,151 July 1,835 Aug.. 1,995 -Sept. 1,997 Oct. 2,258 1969 - June . - 2,387 July 1,688 Aug. 2,124 Sept. 1,987 Oct. -- 1,931 1,683 1,854 1,889 2,097 2,165 1,395 1,596 1,486 645 517 549 746 751 575 200 400 500 300 219 248 233 221 313 230 215 181 120 158 901 718 874 810 845 1,216 865 . 844 687 595 166 200 198 112 188 1969 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr; May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. 1,948 2,025 1,906 1,910 1,808 1,875 1,364 1,370 1,385 -- „ 144 115 171 179 n. a. 638 668 632 567 534 440 151 310 383 244 — 281 266 240 250 251 . 230 181 147 137 80 -885 884 875 899 854 1.022 859 720 . 674 614 . 220 152 141 108 166 i 222 293 528 501 589 . ! Seasonally Adjusted 2,101 2,202 2,099 2,117 2,032 2,153 ' 1,698 1,900 1,896 : 2,323 1,797 2,508 144 207 159 194 169 183 173 193 191 • 153 177 193 207 224 278 334 530 511 568 - i ! Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn.of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute o f Li fe Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for .mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the npf increase estimated for all holders in 1967. NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS (seasonally adjusted) Monthly Billions of dollars 3.0 2.5 TOTAL, INCL. FNMA - GNMA 2.0 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1.5 1.0 1966 1967 1968 1969 . TABLE 13: Net Increases in M o r t o n Ceht Outstanding ' Billions of dollars, SAAB. 2 , QUARTER RESIDENTIAL TOTAL 1- to 4. FAMILY MULTIFAMILY 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.4 4.3 3.5 2.6 ; .2.3 6.9 6.5 5.4 4.3 11.6 10.0 8.3 6.2 2.4 2.2 2.1 1. 7 6.8 10.5 15.3 16. 5 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.4 3.8 4.8 4.8 5.1 7.3 8.1 8.8 8.8 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.6 18.2 17.9 17.7 21,5 15.4 14.8 14.1 17.0 2.8 3.1 2.5 4.5 6.2 5.7 6.4 8.1 9.4 8.7 10.2 11.8 2,4 2.3 1.8 1.7 21.6 20.7 19.5 18.0 16.5 15.6 3.6 4.2 3.8 6,4 5.3 5.1 10.4 *.4 9.2 2.2 . 2.4 2.0 15.1 15.1 15.5 15.8 3.5 3.5 3.8 3.8 1966 - I II III IV 19.0 15.6 10.8 '9.5 14.7 12.1 8.3 7.2 9.9 13.7 19.1 20.9 26.9 25.8 25.8 31.3 1969 - Ip 30.2 lip 28.4 IIIp 26.6 1968 - I P IIP . nil iv p • FARM • 8.0 8.1 .8.4 7.9 18.6 18.5 19.3 19.6 15.5 1967 - I n 20.4 Hp III , 26.3 IVp 28.6 MULTl-AND COMMERCIAL 4.2 4.5 4.4 4.6 24.9 1965 - I 25.2 II III • 25.8 26. 6. IV 28.3 "24.2 18.4 15.6 COMMERCIAL . ; . -—- 1 2 Derived, from data on. mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of non-farm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated by Federal Home Loan Bank Board and the Federal Reserve. Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4-family and multifamily mortgage debt combined. NET INCREASES IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING Quarterly Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate TOTAL TOTAL RESIDENTIAL ,/\ ! I 1-4 FAMILY COMMERCIAL MULTIFAMILY 1965 1967 1969 TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly WEEK ENDED 1969 - Nov.. 3 10 17 24 Dec. 1 8 15£/ Auction" Results COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED 1-YEAR 1 90TOTAL 6TOTAL MONTH & OVER OFFERED DAY 6.6 44.1 81.7 31.0 230.2 6.2 50.6 101.9 45.1 267.4 10.4 67.3 122.7 45.0 242.6 13.0 67.7 122.3 41.6 233.4 235.9 242.9 120.6 24.2 123.0 23.2 (120.0)3/ 67.0 77.0 29.4 22.7 IMPLICIT YIELD 2(per ccnt) 90DAY 8.44 8.47 8.50 8.53 8.57 8.62 , MONTH , 8.49 8.49 8.51 8.54 1-YEAR & OVER 8.45 8.47 8.48 8.50 8. 58 8.64 8.52 8.57 6- 1 Note: Under the FNMA auction system, approved sellers of Governmentunderwritten mortgages bid for FNMA forward purchase commitments, subject to an over-all dollar limit announced by FNMA in advance. Bids accepted by FNMA arc for delivery at the seller's option, and at any time within the specified period. Bids on proposed homes relate to construction not yet started on which mortgages may be delivered only after completion and occupancy. 1 For "proposed construction" of new horhes^only. 2 Average secondary market yield after allowance for commitment fee and required purchase and holding of FNMA' stock, assuming prepayment of 15 years for 30-year Covc rnment-undcrwritten mortgages. Yields shown are gross, before deduction of 50 basis points fee,paid by investors to servicers. I-'NMA announced limit of accepted bids for next w e k ' s auction. V FNMA WEEKLY "AUCTION" RESULTS $ Millions 120 AMOUNT OF ACCEPTED BIDS BY COMMITMENT PERIOD 100 80 1 YEAR A N D OVER 60 40 6 MONTHS 20 3 MONTHS Pei " IMPLICIT YIELD 6-MONTH COMMITMENTS 7.4 _____ 6.8 Millions 400 300 200 TOTAL BIDS RECEIVED 100 TOTAL BIDS ACCEPTED JUNE OCT. AUG. 1968 DEC. FEB. JUNE 1969 AUG. OCT: DEC. TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE TOTAL UNADJUSTED TYPE OF. FINANCING "FHA | VA I OTHER '! 1968 - Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,592 1,570 1,733 1,509 1969 - J a n . 1,878 1,686 « Feb. Mar. 1,584 Apr. 1,563 MayS i , 509 June k,469 July [L,371 - Aug. 1,384 Sept.2/1,533 Oct. £/l,342 944 965 905 922 648 605 828 585 134.3 140.8. 127.1 96.4 1,066 812 711 756 766 626 661 606 661 690 577 101.5 90.0 131.9 159.0. 155.5 147.3 125.2 124.9 975 828 797 883 808 765 723 843 765 128.6 118.7 _ L _ J 18.6 21.4 17.5 16.3 14.2 13.2 18.9 23.0 21.1 21.5 20.8 22.4 18.3 24.9 L 4.6 5.3 4.2 4.4 111.1 3.8 3.5 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.2 4.8 5.0 83.5 73.3 109.1 131.6 130.1 121.2 99.7 98.3 105.5 114.0 105.4 75.7 88.8 BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED • ANNUAL 2 RATE) 1,393 1,378 1,425 1,463 1,403 1,477 1,421 1,502 1,323 1,340 1,228 1,245 1,201 1,119 Total starts are Census estimates, including farm for both permit-issuing and noi.-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is Started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before - footings are poured in.some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. Other starts are derived' as a 'residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. Building permits before January 1963 are Census estimates for about 10,000 areas 'identified as having a local building permit system in 1959. Estimates beginning January 1963 are for approximately 12,000 "and beginning January 1967 13,000, or all. known permit-issuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of working days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage. J PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS M o n t h l y i a n n u a l rates Millions of units SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2.0 HOUSING STARTS 1.6 BUILDING PERMITS (in issuing areas) PER C E N T OF U N A D J U S T E D T O T A L S T A R T S MULTI-FAMILY GOVERNMENT UNDERWRITTEN 1963 1965 1969 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields FHA MORTGAGES 2 25-YEAR 30-YEAR 1957 - High T 1968 - Low 1959-60 - High 1961-66 - Low 1966 - High 1967 - High . Low 1968 - High | Low 5763 ™ 5.35 6.26 5.43 6.73 „ n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n. a. n.a. n.a. 5.44 6.81 6.81 6.29 7.52 6.78 1969 n.a. n. a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n. a. 8.06 8.06 8.38 8.36 8.36 8.40 8.48 Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGES . 3 6.00 5.55 6.30 5.80 6.70 6.65 6.40 7.40 6.75 7.75 7.75 8.00 8.10 8.20 8.25 8.30 1 -NEW SPREAD BE- ! TWEEN YIELDS Aaa CORON CONV. & PORATE FHA MORTBONDS 4 GAGES .47 .15 .23 .25 .30 .11 -.12 .12 -.27 -.31 -.31 -.35 -.26 -.16 -.15 - -.18 4.94 . 3.65 5.25 4.41 5.82 6.51 ! 5.18 6.79 6.15 7.17 7.22 7.58 7.63 7.65 7.98 7.89 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON NEW CORPORATE BONDS AND FHA MORTGAGES - 1.58 .88 1.69 .77 i. 16 1.28 .27 1.20 .26 .89 .84 .77 . 73 .71 .42 .59 Ne'i ther~ mortgage nor bond yields include allowance tor servicing co.sL;> wliidi much highejr for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest.semi annually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. • . Based on FIIA-field-off ice opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate .ivifa availiable for 25-year and--beginning July 1961--30-year mortgages with i n i'mum dojwn payments, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed b[y FIIA, assuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 ye airs for 30-year mortgages. Over the period for which they ..can b. . compared, the movement of the two mortgage yield series has been simi lar. Dashed linjes indicate periods of adjustment to-changes in -contractual, intrres! rates. | Based- on FHA-field-office opinion on typical interest rates (rounded) on conventional jfi.rst mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring office cities. Beginning with April 1960, rate, relates only to new-home mortgages; .prior to tjhat date, rate related to both new as well as existing-home mortgages. Dashed line indicates this change in the series. See note for Table 1. * MORTGAGE AND BOND YIELDS Monthlv HOME MORTGAGES CONVENTIONAL Aaa CORPORATE BONDS: NEW ISSUES Basis points Y I E L D S P R E A D (FHA MORTGAGE VS. NEW ISSUE Aaa CORPORATE.BONDS) 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms NEW HOMES DATE CON- FEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY RATE (PER (VKARS) TIVE (PER CENT) RATE CENT) -3" 2 LOAN / PRICE LOAN RATIO . AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 1 EXISTING HOMES CON- FEES & LOAN / TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- Pkjr.i-: (PER RATE TIVE RITY RATIO CENT) RATE (YEARS) (PER (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 LOAN AMT. ($000) 1 1968 Oct. Nov. Dec. 0.88 7..09 0.84 7..07 7,.09 . 0.89 1969 . • i;. Jan: Feb. Mar. Apr. May o.k 0.81 0.93 0.96 0.88 0.84 0.92 0.86 0J92 0.89 7.,16 7.,26 7. 32 |•7.47 7. 50 7. 62 July 7. 76 Aug. 7. 86 Sept. 7. 89 Oct. £/ 7. 97 l -2 3 7 .23 7 .21 7 .23 7..30 7..39 7.,47 7..62 7..65 7..76 7.,91 8. 00 8.,05 8.,12 - 25 .6 25 .4 25 .9 25..6 25..6 25..8 25..4 25..8 25..6,. 25.,5 25.,2 25..3 25.4 74,.5 74..1 74.0 22,.7 22,.5 24,.7 73.,6 73. 3 73. 8 72. 6 73. 2 73. 0 72. 0 72. 3 72.,4 73. 1 24.,1 7.,18 23.,5 7.,28 • 24. 0 . 7. 35 24. 8 7..46 35.0 7.,54' 24. 9 7. 64 24. 5 7. 79 24. 3 7. 90 24..7 7..92 25. 1 7..98 7 .09 7 .07 7,.09 0 .84 0 .82 0.85 7 .22 7 .21 7 .23 22.5 22.7 23.3 0..86 0.,86 0.,84 0.,850..83 0. 86 0. 91 0. 93 0..92 0..91 7 .32 7 .42 7 .49 7 .60 7 .68 7,.79 7,.94 8..05 8 .08 8 .13 22.8 72,.6 20.0 22.9 72,.8 19.6 20.2 23.0 72..7 23.0 71.,8 - 19.9 22.7 71.,9 19.7 20.1 22.8 ' 71. 4 22.8 71. 7 20.1 22.6 71. 2 19.8 19.2 , 22.2 70.7 22.3 70..3 19.6 72 . 4 . 18.3 72 .9 18.9 20.4 73 .2 Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit ''insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender 'groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single,family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to hone-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to own orbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration., .ire ava i 1 ah I e somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLB.B--FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of.new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount--include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. CONVENTIONAL MORTGAGE TERMS Monthly Years 30 MATURITY NEW 25 EXISTING 20 I I II I I I 1.1 M I I II I.I I I l^-LUJ 15 80 LOAN/PRICE RATIO EXISTING h t I II l I i M I ! i II I i i iji i i I 65 Thousands of dollars LOAN AMOUNT 30 NEW 20 EXISTING 1964 1966 1968 1970 * CHANGE IN SERIES