Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 9, 1973
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
DECONTBOLLED AFTER SIX MOUTHS L.5.8 Confidential (F.R.) CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D. C. INDEX Developments in the Corporate and Municipal Bond Markets Capital Market Yields Capital Market Volume Stock Market Mortgage Market SYMBOLS: e Estimate p Preliminary r Revised n.a. Not available TABLE 1: Yields, Volume and Reception WEEK ENDING: 1973 - Mar. 2 9 16 23 30 Apr. 6 13 WEEK ENDING: 1973 - Mar. Apr. 1 YIELDS MOODY'S SEASONED NEW ISSUE ' 7.25 7.27 7.29 7.31 --w 7.52 7.45 — 7.51 MOODY'S NEW ISSUE Aaa CORPORATE BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 PER CENT GROSS SOLD BY END BONDS SCHEDULED OFFERINGS OF WEEK WITHIN 28 DAYS 20 234 270 465 110 -- . 139 60e 7.27 YIELDS BOND BUYER SEASONED 20 BOND INDEX 100 88 84 100 94 n.a. n • 3. • n. 3. * 90 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME 2 | | PER CENT ! GROSS SOLD BY END J BONDS SCHEDULED OFFERINGS OF WEEK | WITHIN 28 DAYS 2 9 . 16 23 30 5.00 5.05 5.10 5.10 5.10 5.22 5.27 5.34 5.35 5.26 366 483 631 703 399 77 78 82 81 94 1,552 1,419 1,344 1,043 777 6 13 5.05 5.22 304 647e 90 941 1,020 ; - New series derived by adjusting to a Aaa utility basis, new issues of publicly-offered corporate bonds with call protection, rated A , Aa, or Aaa by Moody's Investors' (Service (except serial and convertible issues, offerings of natural gas pipeline.and foreign companies, and bonds guaranteed by the Federal Government). 2 Millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated. Note: See footnotes to Table 3 ; TABLE 2: Details on Inventories DATK OFFERED CORPORATE BONDS IN SYNDICATE END OF LATEST WEEK ORIGINAL RATING AND ISSUER COUPON YIELD CALL PROTECTION AMOUNT' (MIL. $) 4/5 25.0 DATE OFFERED | RELE\SED Continental Bank 7.50 7.61 — 10 yrs. ESTIMATED PROPORTION SOLD 85% CORPORA!'E BONDS RELEASED FROM SYNDICATE DURING LATEST tiF.F.K ORIGINAL INCREASE RATING AND ESTIMATED PROAMOUNT ISSUER COUPON IN YIELD CALL PROT. PORTION RELEASED YIELD NONE INVENTORIES 1 MUNICIPALS BLUE LIST 1 IN SYNDICATE DATE 1973 - Mar. Apr. 2 9 16 23 30 6 789 746 740 67C 587r 586 104 126 142 168 63 55 CORPORATES IN SYNDICATE 0 27 44 12 6 15e N.C. - No call protection. A H figures in millions of dollars. Blue List Is daily average for week coded Friday, except for latest '..cc-k vhich If daily average of three days endvd Wednesday. All other figures arc as of Friday. TABLE 3: High Grade Bond Yields NEW CORPORATE Aaa 1 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE Aaa 2 U.S. GOVERNMENT 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITIES 3 1971 - High Low 8.26 (7/30) 7.02 (2/5) 7.71 (8/12) 7.06 (2/12) 6.51 (6/18) 5.69 (3/23) 6.23 (6/23) 4.97 (10/21) 1972 - High Low 7.60 (4/21) 6.99 (11/24) 7.36 (4/28) 6.19 (4/14) 7.05 (12/8) 5.74 (11/17) 5.54 (4/13) 4.96 (10/21) 1973 - High ' Low 7.52 (3/16) 7.29 (1/12) 7.31 (3/30) 6.93 (3/16) 7.11 (1/5) 6.42 (1/5) 5.35 (3/22) 5.03 (1/12) 7.25 7.27 7.29 7.31 7.31 6.90 6.91 • 6.93 6.92 6.88 5.22 5.27 5.34 5.35 5.26 7.27 6.87 5.22 DATE 1973 - Mar. Apr. 1 2 9 16 23 30 6 -- 7.52 7.45 7.51 BOND BUYER'S SEASONED MUNICIPALS 4 New issue. Aaa utility, with call protection, adjusted (as described in footnote 1 of Table 1) to a Aaa basis. 2 Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 22-24 years. 3 Weekly average of daily figures. 4 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Note--Highs and lows are for individual series and may,be on different dates for different series. TABLE 4: Long-term Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS CORPORATE PERIOD 1973 1 STATE AND LOCAL 2 1972 1971 3,205 3,369 3,229 3,115 3,000 6,075 April May June 3,275 3,598 4,341 4,042 3,300 4,375 July August September 3,582 2,893 2,720 4,147 2,532 3,768 October November December 3,791 3,377 3,396 3,387 3,704 3,673 9,803 11,214 9,195 10,564 12,190 11,688 10,447 10,764 21,017 30,212 40,776 23,844 34,325 45,089 January February March 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Quarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1st half Three quarters Year 1 2 2,235 2,175e I 1973 1972 1971 1,902 1,445 2,270 1,776 2,005 2,239 2,732 1,851 2,258 1,989 2,017 2,270 1,891 2,167 2,013 1,805 1,966 1,726 1,989 1,903 2,098 2,200 1,861 1,794 1,728 2,264 2,068 6,020 6,276 5,494 5,855 6,841 6,081 5,990 6,060 12,296 17,790 23,645 12,812 18,902 24,962 j j j 5,617 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Investment Bankers Association of America estimates of principal amounts. i - TABLE 5: New Corporate Security Issues, Type of Issue and Issuer (In millions of dollars) GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE COMMON AND MEMO: BONDS PUBLICLY 1 PRIVATELY PFD. ISSUES INCLUDED MFG. STOCK PLACED FOREIGN | CONVERTIBLE OFFERED GROSS PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER OUARTKR OR MONTH TOTAL 1972 - I II III IV 9,805 11,214 9,195 10,564 5, 361 4, 634 4, 192 4, 158 1,593 2,781 1,867 3,147 2,851 3,798 3,136 3,258 74 245 57 245 511 449 836 428 1,,525 2;,109 1.,629 1.,398 2,261 3,495 2,680 2,934 1,,476 1,,369 856 1.,079 4,541 4,240 4,030 5,151 1972 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 3,205 3,369 3,229 1,,767 1,,907 1,,677 604 412 57? 834 1,041 976 59 12 3 195 83 233 392 529 604 533 988 740 752 498 227 1,529 1,354 1,658 Apr. May June 3,275 3,598 4,341 1,,622 1,,676 1,,336 789 744 1,218 864 1,148 1,786 15 100 130 92 226 131 581 761 767 1,219 738 1,538 178 391 800 1,297 1,708 1,235 July Aug. Sept. 3,582 2,893 2,720 1:,807 1,,523 863 657 421 789 1,118 948 1,070 3 17 37 450 183 203 574 452 603 798 635 1,247 586 237 33 1,624 1,568 838 Oct. Nov. Dec. 3,791 3,377 3,396 1 ,773 1 ,361 1 ,024 564 982 1,601 1,454 1,034 770 28 124 93 162 171 95 383 426 589 1,280 794 860 371 658 50 1,757 1,499 1,895 2,235 2,175 989 625 195 700 1,050 850 14 79 10 138 250 896 850 31 1,168 100 975 1973 - Jan. , Feb.S. 1 PUBLIC UTILITY Other issuers arc extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. Quarterly supplements are available. COMMUNICATIONS OTHER ISSUERS 1 T A B L E 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER Con. Light & Power Continental Bank Commercial Credit Co. Louisville Gas & Elec. TYPE 2 1st mtge Notes Notes Pref sjtk AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 50.0 25.0 50.0 21.9 MATURITY 2003 1983 1993 " COUPON RATE OR NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING 7.63 7.50 7.75 ' * 7.45 7.58 7.61 • 7.80 7.30 AA -- A TABLE 6: Large Long-term Public Security Issues for New Capital (continued) (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 _ _ _ _ _ j ISSUER Connecticut, State of Tacoma, Washington Buffalo, New York Ohio, State of Orange Co., Fla. G.O. Rfg. Rev. G.O. G.O. Swr-Rev. Other Farmers Home Admin. Farmers Hdme Admin. Province of Quebec Notes Notes Deb. \ MATURITY March 1 through March 30, 1973 COUPON I RATE OR oitkr- MOODY'S NET INTER- 1 INC RATING EST COST i YIELD ! Rev. 1 3 Jacksonville Elec. Auth, Fla. TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 0 68. 0 24.,3 22.,9 40..0 10.,8 300..2 200..9 100,.0 1980-1990 2001 1974-1993 1982-2007 1974-1999 1978 1988 2003 5.29 4.87 5.49 4.99 4.88 5.52 7.20 7.50 4.,50-5.00 5.35 4..00-5.05 4..80-5.65 4..15-5.50 4..00-5.30 4..20 5.80 7.20 7.58 Aa Aaa A-l A Aaa Baa-1 -— —— Hights offering. Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local security offerings of $10 million and over. In case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligation; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut. , revenue bonds secured only by income from quas i-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruct inn and Development issues and non-quaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 ISSUER Great American Mortgage Inv. Cabot, Cabot & Forbes Land Tr. Union Commerce Corp Continental Bank of Morristowr Metropolitan Ed. Citizens Mtge. Tr. Philadelphia Elec. Alison Mtge Invest. Tr. Bell Tele of Pa. Washington Water Pwr Co. Instrument Systems Corp. Tucson G & E San Diego G & E Tucson Gas & Elec. GTE of Michigan Mid-Continent Tele. Corp Tenneco Ryder System Inc. Wickes Corp _______ Cousins Mtge & Equity Inv. *Gulf Power Toledo Edison Hartford Elect. Co. General Public Utilities ^Baltimore Gas & Elec. *Dayton Pwr. & Light. ^Public Service Colo. Consolidated Edison Co. of NY. ^Industrial National Corp Walter Kidde & Co. Continental Illinois Corp Arrow Investment L & D First Continental REIT Riviana Foods Inc. Investors Realty Trust NJB Prime Investors Petrolane^ Inc. TYPE Bonds Bonds Bonds Bonds Pref stk Bonds Com stk Bonds. Bonds Bonds Bonds Pref stk Pref stk Bonds 1st Mtge. Pref stk Bonds Bonds Debs ' Bene. Ind. Bonds Com stk ~ Bonds Com stk (rtsj Com stk Pref stk Bonds Com stk Notes Debs Bonds Bene Ind. Bene Int __ Com stk Bonds Bonds Com stk AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 25.0 25.0 20.0 25.0 25.0 20.0 48.4 25.0 175.0 20.0 25.0 15.0 30.0 40.0 20.0 18.0 100.0 30.0 60.0 47.7 25.0 22.5 40.0 83.0 45.0 25.0 50.0 120.0 20.0 65.0 100.0 20.0 15.5 15.5 15.0 25.0 35.4 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Apr. . 9 Apr. .10 Apr. 10 Apr. 11 Apr. 12 Apr. 17 Apr. 17 Apr. 24 Apr. 24 Apr. 24 Apr. 25 Apr. 25 Apr. 25 Apr. 25 Apr. 26 Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. May 1 • May 1 May 2 3 May May 8 May 9 May 10 May INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF 11 TABLE 7: Forthcoming Large Long-term Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U.S. Treasury) 1 (continued) ISSUER TYPE State and Local *Lehigh Co. Ind. Dev. Auth Poll. Control Wisconsin *New Mexico Memphis, Term. *San Francisco Muni. R.R. Imp. Corp New York, New York ^Maryland Health & Higher Ed. Fac. Auth ^Massachusetts Port Auth. ^Murray State Univ. Ky. Bldg. Gulf Coast Waste Disposal Auth, Tex. San Jose USD, Cal. ^Seattle, Washington Los Angeles Co, Calif Flood Control Dist. *United National Dev. Corp Sacramento Muni Ut. Dist. Cal. Elec ^Georgia Education Auth. Lacygne, Kan. Los Angeles Reg Airports Corp. Cal. Prince George's Co, Md. Poll Cont. Pensacola, Fla. Washington New Orleans, La. Los Angeles Calif Dept. of Wtr & Pwr. Rev. G.O. G.O & Rev. G.O. AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 28.0 36.5 11.0. 25.0 As of April 6, 1973 APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Apr. Apr. Apr. Apr. 10 10 10 10 Rev. G.O. 10.8 285.4 Apr. Apr. 10 11 Rev. Rev. Rev. 23.9 112.5 11.8 Apr. Apr. Apr. 11 12 12 Rev. G.O. 25.0 13.0 12.0 Apr. Apr. Apr. 16 16 16 G.O. 22.0 54.3 Apr. Apr. 17 18 Rev. 50.0 30.0 30.0 Apr. Apr. Apr. 18 18 Rev. Rev. 25.5 Apr. Rev. Rev. G.O., G.O. 25.0 12.5 18.0 Apr. Apr. Apr. May Rev. 47.0 June 10.0 16 Included in table tcr first time. ' — Includes corporate and other issues of 515 million and over; State and local Government issues of 510 million and over. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues of Federal Agencies. 12 Table 8 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME STOCK PRICES 1> TRADING VOLUME2" DATE NYSE INDEX3* D J . INDUSTRIALS NYSE AMEX 22.1 (2/12) 11.0 (9/17) 6.7 (2/5) 2.7 (8/13) AMEX * 1971 - High Low 57.76 (4/28) 48.73 (1/4) 1972 - High Low 65.14 (12/11) 1036.27(12/11) 28.53 (4/14) 56.23 (1/3) 889.30 (1/3) 25.61 (1/3) 21.8 (11/10) 11.2 (9/8) 7.4 (3/10) 2.6 (9/8) 1973 - High Low 65.48 (1/11) 1051.70 (1/11) 26.70 (1/8) 56.85 (3/26) 922.71 (3/23) 24.05 (4/5 20.4 (1/12) 12.4 (4/6) 4.8 (1/12) 2.7 (3/16) 950.82 (4/28) 26.68 (4/28) 797.97 (11/23 )22.72 (1/4) 1973 - Mar. 2 9 16 23 30 60.17 61.02 60.75 58.15 59.58 961.32 972.23 963.05 922.71 951.01 24.68 24.88 24.71 24.17 24.41 17.2 16.0 14.2 15.5 15.6 4.0 2.9 2.7 3.1 2.8 Apr. 6 58.23 931.07 24.06 12.4 2.9 NOTES: 1. Figures other than highs and lows are Fridays only. Highs and lows are for the year and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2. NYSE is the New York Stock Exchange; AMEX is the American Stock Exchange. Volume figures are daily averaged for the entire week. (millions of shares). Trading is normally conducted for 5-1/2 hours per day and 5 days per week, or In recent years, however abbreviated trading to the extent, and over the time Hours/ Days/ From Through: Day Week January 3, 1969 July 7, 1969 January 2, 1970 July 3, 1969 December 31, 1969 May 1, 1970 3. 12/31/65 = 50 4. Average dollar value of shares listed. 4 4-1/2 5 5 5 5 27-1/2 hours per week. periods, shown below: Hours/ Week 20 22-1/2 25 13 TABLE 9: Security Credit END OF PERIOE Outstanding: 1972 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1973 - Jan. Outstanding Changes: 1972 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1973 - Jan. CREDIT EXTENDED TO MARGIN CUSTOMERS BY: BROKERS 1 I " BANKS ? TOTAL 5,700 6,180 6,620 7,010 7,200 7,510 7,600 7,780 7,800 7,800 7,890 7,900 2,490 2,510 2,520 2,530 2,560 2,650 2,690 2,780 2,830 2,860 2,860 2,440 8,190 8,690 9,140 9,540 9,760 10,160 10,350 10,560 10,630 10,660 10,750 10,340 7,700 2,910 10,610 300 480 440 390 190 310 150 120 20 50 20 10 10 30 90 50 90 50 30 90 10 -420 350 500 450 400 220 400 200 210 70 .20 90 410 -200 470 270 I NET LREDTT CUSTOMERS' = CUSTOMERS' NET EXTENDED BY NET DEBIT : FREE CREDIT ' BR OK j BALANCES | | DEALERS BALANCES 1 I 1 j 1 ! I j (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) 2,488 2,542 2,512 2,459 2,300. 2,231 2,245 2,117 2,056 2,097 2,218 2,317 -- 2,296 —— 268 54 -30 -53 -129 -99 14 -128 -61 41 121 99 .— --—— -• —— —— —— • 21 (4) (4) • (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) -- --—— -—— —— -—— -- -- Margin debt, as reported by the New York Stock Exchange. Although margin debt until March 1968 included loans secured by U.S. governments, the amount of such loans included is thought to have been small. "Bank loans to others than brokers and dealers for purchasing or carry in/ rities other than U.S. governments."' The difference between customers' net debit balances and customers'net free credit balances, this figure represents the net credit extended by brokers and dealers to the nonfinancial public. NOTE: With the exception of bank loan data, figures are supplied by the New York Stock Exchange and are end of month data. Bank loans are for weekly reporting large commercial banks. Broker data includes loans for regulated securities; bank data includes loans for the purpose of purchasing or carrying any security, whether regulated or not. Series discontinued / TABLE 10: Savings Flows at Nonbank Depositary Intermediaries ($ millions) DATE MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS NET REGULAR DEPOSITS 3 NEW ANNUAL MONEY2 GROWTH NET 1 FLOW RATE 1969 1970 1971 1972 2,549 4,517 9,621 9,788 4.0 6.8 13,5 12.0 1971 - December 1972 - January February December 1,209 855 931 1,333 -- 1973 - January^/ February^/ 766 551 -— 1972 - September r/ October r/ November £./ December t/ 925 780 761 902 808 465 -763 936 5,678 5,397 SAVINGS ,Be LOAN ASSOCIATIONS NET SHARE CAPITAL NEW ANNUAL NET MONEY2 GROWTH 1 FLOW RATE 6,617 15,482 37,851 42,690 4,323 4,121 3,749 4,749 —— -- 1,168 3,117 2,700 1,156 -- 3,105 4,044 2,201 —— 3,855 3,486 3,007 3,066 16.2 14.5 12.3 12.5 -- 4,834 2,045 19.4 8.1 -- 3,114 3,266 2,818 3,416 595 402 3,278 1,650 12 .6 10.5 10.2 12.0 -- 2,930 2,706 2,246 2,164 17.8 16.2 13.3 12.7 -- 10.6 6.1 -- 4,026 1,580 23.3 9.0 -— -- NET NEW MONEY 2 Not Seasonally Adjusted 4,068 3.1 -1,003 10,965 8.1 5,285 28,230 20,653 19.3 32,902 19.5 23,884 325 716 809 323 -— TOTAL DEPOSITS ANNUAL NET GROWTH RATE 1 FLOW -— --- 3.4 7.7 17.5 17.0 -- — -- -1,766 6,231 26,331 29,281 1,493 3,833 3,509 1,479 3,700 n.a. Seasonally Adjusted 1973 - January?/ February^./ 1 2 3 ' — -— --- Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Net New Money is new deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&Ls are for insured associations only, which represent 96% of industry total resources. Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. SOURCE: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. --- TABLE 11: Mortgage Commitments at Selected Thrift Institutions DATE TOTAL OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS | ALL MUTUAL | SAVINGS TOTAL SAVINGS & BANKS LOAN (N.Y. STATE) ASSOCIATIONS 1 NET CHANGE ALL SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS (N.Y. STATE) (Billions of Dollar s, Seasonally Adjusted)r/ Nov. Dec. 16.6 16.6 13.2 13.1 3.4 3.6 .20 .09 08 -.06 .12 .15 •Jan. Feb. March April May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 17 .2 18.5 19.6 20.5 21.6 21.3 22.7 22.3 23.4 23,2 23.5 23.3 13.4 14.4 15.3 16.0 17.0 16.8 17.1 17.8 18.7 18.5 18.8 18.6 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.6 4.5 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 .23 1.36 1.13 .89 1.04 -.26 .38 .71 1.06 -.36 .38 -.19 .12 1.01 .93 .69 .96 -.18 .30 .76 .89 -.25 .34 -.20 .11 .35 .20 .20 .08 -.08 .08 -.05 .17 -.11 .04 .01 1 Based on data from Federal Home loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Associations of New York State. Data for savings banks and S&L's include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments. S&L commitments include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded outstandings levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. 16 TABLE 12: Net Change in Mortgage Holdings TOTAL h INCLUDING FNMA-GNMA FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS & SAVINGS LOAN TOTAL I COMMERCIAL | BANKS ASSOC. BANKS LIFE INSURANCE COMPANIES Not Seasonally Adjusted 1972 - Jul; Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 24,074 21,736 41,647 19,699 16,827 39,259 5,404 2,462 9,940 2,682 1,845 3,938 9,561 10,172 24,160 2,052 2,348 4,872 5,931 5,286 4,779 5,114 5,943 4,717 5,563 4,918 4,684 4,984 5,811 1,500 1,600 1,400 1,400 1,500 1,000 438 553 502 472 517 598 2,758 3,313 2,926 2,673 2,712 3,101 79 97 90 139 255 1,112 1972 - Jan Feb Mar Apr May July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1973 - Jan Feb 162 900 900 1973 - Jan Feb 3,456 3,828 4,464 4,363 4,908 5,176 4,849 5,471 4,748 4,714 5,282 5,697 3,250 3,550 4,329 4,327 4,521 5,060 4,593 5,179 4,714 4,-738 5,212 5,601 n. a. n. a. Seasonally Adjusted 290 315 464 400 453 516 472 515 537 484 513 525 1,112 1,178 1,264 1,361 1,434 1,489 1,451 1,477 1,155 1,393 1,524 1,164 1,112 1,079 1,221 L ,871 2.,075 2 :>596 2 s,481 2.,567 2. ,959 2,,678 3,,108 2S,911 2.,726 2, ,876 3 :,130 -23 -18 5 85 67 96 101 79 111 135 299 782 219 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not. made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 87 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1967. Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. « , y-7 MULTI-AND COMMERCIAL FARM TABLE 13: Net Increases in MortgageT)ebt Outstanding Billions of dollars, SAAR ? TOTAL RESIDENTIAL 3 1- to 4FAMILY 1968 - I II III IV 27.9 26.4 25.6 29.9 19.4 18.2 17.3 20.4 16.2 15.0 13.6 16.5 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.9 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.4 9.4 9.2 10.2 11.2 . 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 1969 - I II III IV 31.7 29.1 25.7 25.6 23.8 21.5 18.7 18.5 19.4 16.8 14.0 13.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 5.4 6.0 5.4 5 .? 5 .3 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2-, 2 2.2 1.7 1.4 1970 - I II III IV 20.9 22.8 ?8 3 32.2 14.4 16.8 21.3 22.8 9.4 11.6 15 .0 16.2 5.0 5.2 4.8 4.6 9.8 9.9 1.5 1.5 6.6 6.8 13.4 2.2 1971 - I II III IV 37.7 47.4 52.3 54.9 27.3 36.0 38.9 40.7 19.2 26.5 30.1 31.9 8.0 9.4 8.8 8.9 8.1 9.5 11.1 11.0 16.0 19.0 19.9 19.9 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.5 1972 - I II III IV 61.8 64.1 64.3 67.2 45.4 47.1 46.4 49.1 35.9 37.5 36.2 39.4 9.5 9.6 10.2 9.8 14.5 15.2 14.9 14.6 23.9 24.6 25.3 , 24.3 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.6 QUARTER MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multifamily mortgage debt combined. * TABLE 14: FNMA Weekly " A u c t i o n " Results COMMITMENTS IN $ MILLIONS ACCEPTED TOTAL TOTAL 9061-YEARH OFFERED DAY M0NTH & OVER WEEK ENDED 1972 - Oct. Dec. 1973 - J a n . Feb. Apr. 90DAY 2 16 30 352.8 271.2 186.4 211.5 224.9 162.7 211.5 224.9 162.7 -- 13 27 78.7 60.8 49.2 36.2 49.2 36.2 -- 11 26 82.2 108.7 42.4 66.3 42.4 66.3 -- -- 8 22 74.2 107.0 61.3 92.1 61.3 92.1 -- -- 7.69 7.70 5 128.7 110.3 65.4 71.6 65.4 71.6 -- -- 7.71 7.73 170.8 297.3 107.7 168.7 107.7 168.7' 234.6 145.9 145.9 20 Mar. IMPLICIT YIELD 2 (per cent) 5 19 2 I --- 6MONTH 1-YEAR & OVER 1 7.70 7.73 7.74 7.72 7.70 __ __ __ 7.68 7.69 —- — 7.75 -- 7 .81 7.86 "" Note: Average secondary market yields are gross--before deduction of 38 basis-point fee paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for FNMA commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements. 19 TABLE 15: Private Housing Starts and Permits STARTS DATE 2 - January February March April May June July August September October November December 3 - January February j ; UNADJUSTED ! TYPE OF FINANCING ! FHA 1 VA || OTHER SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE TOTAL 1-FAMILY 2 OR MORE TOTAL 2 ,439 2 ,540 2 ,313 2 ,204 2.,318 2 ,315 2. ,244 2. ,424 2. ,426 2S ,446 2,,395 2,,369 1,395 1,281 1,310 1,215 1,308 1,283 1,319 1,373 1,382 1,315 1,324 1,207 1,044 1,260 1,003 989 1,011 1,032 925 1,051 1,045 1,131 1,071 1,162 150.9 153.6 205.8 213.2 227.9 226.3 207.5 231.0 204.4 218.2 187.1 150.5 36.1 7.5 27.8 8.0 37.7 10.5 29.1 8.5 32.4 9.4 31.9 9.6 26.2 9.4 30.3 9.9 28.2 8.9 25.4 8.5 21.3 8.0 42.3 5.8 107.3 117.8 155.7 172.9 186.1 184.8 171.9 190.8 167.3 184.3 157.8 102.4 2,,496 2,,444 1,449 1,361 1,047 1,083 147.1 ' 138.8 12.0 126.3 i BUILDING PERMITS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATE) 2 ! 6.8 6.8 I 2,204 2,056 2,007 1,991 1,955 2,121 2,108 2,237 2,265 2,216 2,139 2,377 2,218 2,155 1 Total starts are Census estimates including farm for both permit-issuing and noi,-issuing areas. A dwelling unit is started when excavation begins; all units in an apartment structure are considered started at that time. FHA and VA starts are units started under commitments by these agencies to insure or guarantee the mortgages. As reported by FHA and VA, a unit is started when a field office receives the first compliance inspection report, which is made before footings are poured in some cases but normally after the foundations have been completed. Other starts are derived as a residual, although total and FHA and VA starts are not strictly comparable in concept or timing; other starts include both units financed by conventional mortgages and units without mortgages. 2 Building permits are Census estimates based on 13,000 or all known permitissuing places. Unlike starts, seasonally adjusted building permits reflect direct adjustment for differences in the number of days per month, as well as other differences in timing and coverage.. ; 20 TABLE 16: Mortgage and Bond Yields DATE 1 | FHA MORTGAGES r 30-year 2 | CONVENTIONAL ! MORT| GAGES 3 SPREAD BETWEEN YIELDS ON CONV. & FHA MORTGAGES 5 1 NEW ISSUE Aaa UTILITY 4 | SPREAD BETWEEN j YIELDS ON NEW j CORPORATE BONDS 1 AND | FHA MORTGAGES 6 1971 - High Low 7.97 7.32 7.95 7.55 .28 -.19 8.26 7.02 .52 -.36 1972 - High 7.57 7.45 7.70 7.55 .14 .06 7.40 7.09 .61 .05 1972 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July August September October November December 7.49 7.46 7.45 7.50 7.53 7.54 7.54 7.55 7.56 7.57 7.57 7.56 7.60 7.60 7.55 7.60 7.60 7.60 7.65 7.65 7.70 7.70 7.70 7.70 .11 .14 .10 .10 .07 .06 .11 . 10 .14 .13 .13 .14 7.21 7.34 7.24 7.45 7.38 7.32 7.38 7.37 7.40 7.38 7.09 7.15 .28 .12 .21 .05 .15 .22 .16 .18 .16 .19 .61 .55 1973 - Jan, Feb. 7.55 7.56 7.70 7.75 .15 .19 7.38 7.40 .32 .35 1 2 3 4 5 6 ' I Neither mortgage nor bond yields include allowance for servicing costs which are much higher for mortgages than for bonds. Generally, bonds pay interest semiannually; mortgages, monthly. Mortgage yields, if computed as equivalent to a semi-annual interest investment, would be slightly higher than given in the table. Based on FHA-fieId-office opinions about average bid prices in the private secondary market for new-home mortgages for immediate delivery. Separate data available for 25-year and—beginning July 1961--30-year mortgages with minimum downpayments, weighted by probable volume of transactions. Yields computed by FHA, assuming prepayment period of 12 years for 25-year mortgages and 15 years for 30-year mortgages. Based on FHA-field-office opinion on typical contract interest rates (rounded) on conventional first mortgages prevailing in the market areas of insuring offices. See note for Table 1. Yield spread equals conventional mortgage rate less FHA secondary market yield. Yield spread equals FHA secondary market yield less new Aaa corporate bond yield. 21 TABLE 17: Conventional Mortgage Terms DATE 1972 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May CONFEES & TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATURITY (PER (YEARS) RATE TIVE CENT) RATE (PER CENT) •3 2 LOAN/ PRICE LOAN RATIO AMT. (PER ($000) CENT) 1 EXISTING HOMES FEES & CONLOAN / TRACT CHARGES EFFEC- MATU- PRICK. (PER RATE TIVE RITY RATIO CENT) RATE (PER (YEARS) (PER CENT) CENT) 2 3 July Aug. Sept, Oct. Nov. Dec. 7 62 7.,45 7,.38 7,.38 7,.40 7,.41 7,.43 7..45 7..43 7.,48 7.,50 7.,51 0 95 1 .02 0,.84 0,.83 0,.84 0,.85 0,.83 0,.86 0,,86 0.,88 0.,91 0.,92 7.78 7.61 7.52 7.51 7.53 7.55 7.56 7.59 7.57 7.62 7.65 7.66 26.5 27.0 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.2 27.5 27,3 27.2 27.5 27.5 ' 75 0 76..5 76,.2 76.0 76.,2 76..5 77.,0 77..5 77.,5 77.,3 77.,3 78. 0 27. 6 27.,8 28.,2 28.,5 28.,5 27. 8 28.,2 27. 9 27. 9 27. 4 28. 0 29. 1 7.,45 7,.35 7,.31 7,.30 7..33 7,.36 7,.37 7..39 7..42 7.,43 7.,44 7.,45 0.82 7.58 0.79 7.48 0.77 7.44 0.78 7.42 0.77 7.46 0.78 7.49 0.83 7.50 0.81 7.52 0.83 7.55 0.84 7.57 0 . 8 4 ' 7.58 0.86 7.59 1973 Jan. r/ Feb. £/ 7. 52 7. 5 3 0. 92 0. 96 7.67 7.69 27.5 28.0 78. 5 79. 0 29. 0 29. 9 7. 46 7. 47 0.83 0.82 7.60 7.61 LOAN AMT. ($000) 24.7 25.4 25.1 25.2 25 . 2 25.5 25.6 26.3 26.2 26.1 26.3 26.4 74. 7 75..8 75..6 75..3 75..4 76.,1 76.,2 76.,5 76.,5 76.,3 76. 8 76. 8 24.1 24.8 24.4 24.9 24.6 25.2 25.2 25.4 24.8 25.0 25.4 25.7 26.1 26.4 77. 0 77. 4 25.6 25.4 Compiled by Federal Home Loan Bank Board in cooperation with Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Data are weighted averages based on probability sample survey of characteristics of conventional first mortgages originated by major institutional lender groups (including mortgage companies) for purchase of single family homes. Data exclude loans for refinancing, reconditioning or modernization; construction loans to home-builders; and permanent loans which are coupled with construction loans to ownerbuilders. Related series on conventional mortgage rates only, based on unweighted opinions of field-office directors of the Federal Housing Administration, are available somewhat sooner than the results of the FHLBB-FDIC survey, and are included-in the case of new home mortgage rates--in Table 16. Fees and charges--expressed as a percentage of the principal mortgage amount — include loan commissions, fees, discounts, and other charges which provide added income to the lender and are paid by the borrower. They exclude any closing costs related solely to transfer of property ownership. 3 Includes fees & charges amortized over a 10 year period in addition to the contract interest rate. .