Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 16, 1958
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Not for Publication DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS H.lk April 16, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The volume of large public security offerings for new capital continues to be substantiale During the week'ending April 11, corporations sold large issues amounting to $310 million and State and local governments offered issues totaling $14j. million. This week, corporate issues, including the expiration of subscription rights, are expected to total $139 million and State and local government issues with aggregate proceeds of $lltlt million are expected„ A foreign govem• ment offering is also scheduled for sale. ; Bond yields - Yields declined last week for all categories of outstanding bonds. The decline was moderate for corporate bonds, but sharp for yields on State and local and U. S„ Government obligations. Stock market credit - Customer credit in the stock market (excluding that for U, S„ Government securities) increased again in March, after rising sharply in February. Totaling $3,863 million at . the end of the month, such credit is about 9 per cent higher than when margin requirements were reduced in January and about U per cent below the June 1957 peak. In March, net debit balances increased $85 million. Bank, loans to "others" increased $99 million reaching $1,198 million, the highest since July 1956. Borrowings by member firms of the NYSE maintaining margin accounts (excluding borrowings on U. S. Government securities) also increased last month. Customers' net free credit balances continued to increase slightly, totaling million at the end of March. These and other data on stock market credit for March and February are shown in the following table. End of month Mar. 1 Feb. Customer credit Excluding U. S. Govt, securities - total Net debit balances Bank loans to "others" Net debit balances secured by U. S. Govt, securities "Bank loans to others for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities Broker and dealer credit Money borrowed except on U. S„ Govt, securities On customer collateral Money borrowed on U. S. Government securities Customers' net free credit balances i c/ Corrected. Change (millions of dollars) +181: 3,863 3,679 2,665 2,580 +85 1,198 +99 1,099 111 102 +9 86 79 +7 1,781*. - 1,61*7 1,165 c/1,392 206 199 95k 939 +137 +73 +7 +15 - 2 - Stock prices - The Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks increased last week, closing at 1+1.7U on April 11. Prices increased further, on balance, in the early part of this week, closing at 1+2.10 on Wednesday. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS Date State and local govt. Aaa 1/ Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate 1 State and (local Aaa Corporate Aaa 1/ U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ 3.12 2.99 3.09 2.85 3.17 2.91 3.79 3.07 k.lk 3.66 3.68 3.56 3.19 (6/5) 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.7k (12/31) 2.7k (1/8) . 2.21 (6/10) 2.U5 (8/6) 1.90 (9/2) 2.3k (9/8) 2.97.(8/5) 2.6k (1/7) 2.05 (5/26) 3.U5 (12/28) 3.05 (12/27) 2.8k (2/17) 2.17(2/23) 3.76 (10/18) 3.k5 (8/29) 3.18 (2/8) 2.76 (2/21) 3.28 (1/31) 2.86 (1/9) . 3.19 (k/k) 2.65 (1/23) .38 .20 .k3 .30 .27 .11 .kl .12 .60 .27 •k7 .28 .83 .33 .62 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32 .k7 .15 .62 •3k 3.27 3.2k 3.21 ' 3-19 3.15 .35 .39 .k3 •k5 .k7 .k9 .k5 .k2 .k2 .k5 (Per cent) 1953 - High 195b - High 1955 - High 1956 - High Low 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low March March March April April lit 21 28 it 11 (6/19) (1/9) (1/8) (V23) (12/23) (1/7) (12/28) (3/2) (9/27) (k/12) (1/3) (1/31) 3.62 3.63 ,3.6k 3.61 3.62 2.78 2.79 2.79 2.77 2.70 ' 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. EXHIBIT B L O W E R - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS 1953 1954 Date 1955 Corporate Baa 1/ 1956 State and local govt. Baa 2/ 1957 J 1958 Spread between Aaa and Baa 1 State and Corporate 1local govt. (Per cent) 1953 - High 1958 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.a 3.63 3.1*5 4.lA 3.58 5.10 h.h2 li.96 L6L March March March April April Ii.67 L68 L69 L.69 1.67 195U - High 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High lit 21 28 k 11 (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1/1W (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (ii/12) (1/3) (2/21) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 14.22 3.20 li.5l 3.90 3.92 3.73 3.86 3.89 3.90 3.88 3.81 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) (8/29) (2/21) (1/2) (1/23) . .15 .63 • U2 1.27 .6U 1.28 1.0U 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 l.Oii 1.11 1.02 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.08 1.10 1.11 1.11 1.11 .69 .1*2 .68 .52 • $k 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-26years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. :• STOCK MARKET Stock price Trading Common Stock market customer credit volume 2/ Customers' Bank (millions yields 3/ Total debit bal- loans to of shares) ances It/ "others'! 5/ (Millions of dollars) 1953 - High Low 1951* - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low 1958 - High February March 28 April 11 26.5!* (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 2k.93 (1/8) 1*5.69 (12/9) 35.28 (1/lii) 19.61, (8/3) 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 39.U8 (12/20) 1*2.1*2 (3/21) 1*0.37. (1/10) 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5_ 1*. 2 1.1* 2.5 1.7 1*1.26 1*2.11 1*2.20 1*1.1*8 1*1.71* 2.0 6.25 ' 5.38 5.82 li.32 • 1*.1*2 " 3-61* 1*. 35 3.82 1*.72 3.91 ' U.58 U.33 It.1*9 1*.35 1*. 35 1*.1*2 1*.1*0 2,1*55 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 i*,030 3,537 l*,0l*7 3,911* L,031 3,576 3,679 3,551* 1,665 1,311* 2,388 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 2,580 2,1*87 3,679 2,580 780 66k 1,018 •71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 i;iif l,051i 1,205 1,051 1,099 1,198 1,198 1,205 n.a.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 191*1-1*3-10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Fridaj's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the Hew York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 5/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. . Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.lli Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) New capital 1958 January February March April May June e/800 e / ® / e/900 1 Corporate 1 1957 1,063 i s 92l* 771 1,1*89 July August September 991 9Hi 973 October November December lat 2nd 3rd Iith quarter quarter quarter quarter 1958 573 712 817 812 952 1*86 71*2 572 506 1*01* 696 390 818 6/650 7 65 51*6 393 378 1*90 735 529 1*08 206 357 • 838 1,055 792 1,086 e/3,125 a 2,878 2,933 6,662 9,51*0 12,U73 let half Three quarters Year State and local 1/ 1 1956 1 195? 1956 2,102 2,922 U 6 3 . 10,381* 2,250 g; 698 633 698 3U7 1*09 1,820 1,701* 1,51*1* 2,029 1,1*90 1,603 971 1,395 7,099 3,093 1*,06U 5,1*59 Excluding finance companies h j let 2nd 3rd Uth quarter quarter quarter quarter e/2,825 Year 3,268 2,921* 2,560 2,788 11,5L0 1,61*7 2,51*1 2,21*6 2,826 9,260 e/ Estimated. 1J Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes $718.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. V Includes $571.5 million AT&T common stock issue. U/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to totals due to rounding. H.lh Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) l/ Proceeds of^Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate 1957 - March April May. June July August September October November December 1958 - January February March State and local government 788 1*77 329 877 525 526 537 57U 1*20 399 318 605 1,093 - Other 2/ 19k 1*99 21*8 176 265 357 185 135 386 1*39 506 62 9 261* 125 25 39 25 30 75 215 15 Large Individual Issues Offered April 1 through 11 Issuer . Type 3/ Coupon Amount rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield of : dollars) est cost Rating CORPORATE Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 20.0 Gen. American Transp. Corp, E. T. ctfs. Com. stk. 21.1* General Telephone Corp. Duquesne Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. 15.0 J. E. Seagram & Sons, Inc. Deb. 1*0.0 American Can Co. Deb. 1*0.0 Douglas Aircraft Co. S.F. deb. 60.0 Aluminum Co. of America Deb. 125.0 Pacific Petroleums Ltd. S.7. deb. 30.0 1988 1978 1* 1/8 1* 1/8 1988 1983 1988 1978 1983 1973 3 k 3 5 3 5 3/1* 1/1* 3/1* 7/8 1/2 3.98 1*.13 Aa A 3.71* 1*.38 3.75 5.00 3.90 5.30 Aaa A Aa Baa Aa Ba STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Texas Veterans Land Board Comm. of Puerto Rico Los Angeles, California Lafayette Par. S.D.#1, La. Tampa, Florida G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.-Ut.• 12.5 1966-88/68 18.3 1959-73 13.5 1959-86) 7.0 1961-88/69 8.1* 1959-87/68 2.89 2.05-3.00 3.39 1.20-3.50 3.15 1.00-3.35 1*.03 2.20-3.90 3.56 1.25-3.70 Aa A Aa Baa A H.lii E-2 Large individual Issues Offered April 1 through 11 (Cont'd) Type j/ Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity of net inter- yielddollars) est cost Rating STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT (Continued) Anne Arundel Co., Maryland State of Maryland Chicago, Illinois Erie Co. Wtr. Auth., N. Y. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. 5.0 2U.6 7.5 6.5 Ext. deb. Ext. deb. Ext. deb. 25.0 50.0 18.0 1960-83 1961-73 •1960-71 1961-97/67' 2.98 2.31 2.1|6 3.69 l.iiO-3.20^ 1.25-2.50 1.20-2.70 1.75-3.70 A A Baa OTHER Ontario, Canada Ontario, Canada Edmonton, Alberta, Canada 1963 1983 1983 3 l/U k k 3A 3.40 ii.13 1.93 A A Baa . 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. j/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations; Rev.-Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T.j revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev.-Rent., , revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. k/ 1982-83 maturities not reoffered. Exhibit F H.IU Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other thin U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues Subsequent to date shown During month following date shown Bate of computation C o * P o r a t e | i ^ e g » £ | Other Z/ 19.57 - Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec; 31 1958 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 U6l 187 525 370 526 578 576 ^Ii58 383 378 1*98 1,123 555 - 290 179 97 172 252 2U3 370 369 387 383 U29 175 3U0 25 25 25 30 30 18 .150 • . 110 C Q i p o r a t e U ^ J o t h e r 2/ I486 258 525 . W.5 811 815 61x7 815 1,193 1,161 1,378 1,208 670 862 396 388 2*98 51U U39 587 573 589 61I4 5U6 389 372 25 25 25 30 15 hS 63 165 110 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 11 Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Richfield Oil Corp. Commonwealth Edison Co. Diamond Gardner Corp. Mississippi Power & Light Co. Tennessee Gas Transmission Co. Southern Counties Gas Co. Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. . Philadelphia Electric Co. *Texas Co. Potomac Electric Power Co. •^Public Service Co. of Oklahoma •it-Long Island Lighting Co. Consolidated Edison Co. Commerce Oil Refining Corp. Natural Gas Pipeline Co. of America Conv. sub. deb, 19.0 1st mtg. bds. S.F. deb. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Conv. deb. 50.0 1st mtg. bds, 1st mtg. bds. 1st ref. mtg. bds. Deb.,bds. & common 1st mtg. bds. 25.0 15.0 30.0 15.0 18.0 liO.O 150.019.7 ' 16.0 20.0 50.0 145.0 liO.O Apr. Ill (rights expire) Apr. 16 Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Apr. Apr. 2k Apr. 2h Apr. 30 May 1 May 6 (rights expire) .May 13 May 15 June k 1958 1958 H.U: F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 11 (Cont'd) Issuer Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT San Francisco, California Washington Sub. San.'Dist., Md. State of Massachusetts Louisiana State University Babylon U. F. Sch. Dist. No. 3, N.Y. Burbank, California *City and Co. of Honolulu, Hawaii State of California Washington Toll Bridge Auth. •^Baltimore, Maryland ^Colleges of the State of Texas W a k e Co., North Carolina Philadelphia, Pa. ^Cincinnati, Ohio •^Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania State of Ohio G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Q.Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-S.T. 2U.2 ' 10.0 96.9 7.5 5.5 5.6 • 7.3 100.0 5.2 2U.2 15.U . 6.3 31.9 13-U 5.0 32.0 Apr. 1U Apr. 15 Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Apr. 17 Apr. 22 Apr. 22 ; Apr. 23 Apr. 2h Apr. 29 Apr. 29 Apr. 29 Apr. 30 May 13 May 20 May 20 OTHER Belgian Congo , Commonwealth of Australia ^Montreal, Canada Ext. loan bds. Bonds S.F. deb. 15.0 25.0 25.0 Apr. 16 ' Apr. 23 May 1 *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate arid other issues of §15 million and over5 State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Mote.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. Exhibit G H.Ik Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Date 1952 - 1957 High Low Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) 5.00(8/lit/57) 2.93(3/31/510 1958 - January 8 • 9 17 21 23 February 5 lit 20 21 25 26 28 March 1* 5 6 12 19 21 . 25 April 1 2 87 -3 3.60 -8 3.80_ , 3.805/: 13 12 3.95 Loo 28 33 U.15 It. 22 It. 00 . lt.OO a 50 28 26 lt.05 3.98 it. 00 31 23 25 5.50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/54) 123 -15 it.°7 , it.ioE/ 3.85 3.80 9 13 -3 -8 3.90 , -3 3.92 -3 U.ltO it. 25 35 6 it.07 -7 *—Single observation, not an average. 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moocty's Bond Survey. Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues have no such provision.