Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 14, 1975
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Capital Market Developments April 1 4 , 1 9 7 5 Prepared by the CAPITAL MARKETS SECTION in conjunction with the MORTGAGE, AGRICULTURAL, a n d CONSUMER FINANCE SECTIOfJ DIVISION O F RESEARCH AND STATISTICS BOARD O F GOVERNORS F E D E R A L RESERVE SYSTEM Washington, D C. 20551 Index TABLES 1.-6 SECURITY VOLUME AND YIELDS 7, 8 STOCK MARKET AND SECURITY CREDIT 9-16 MORTGAGE MARKET SYMBOLS e ESTIMATE p PRELIMINARY r REVISED n.a NOT AVAILABLE — DATA DO NOT EXIST Table 1 3 YIELDS, VOLUME AND RECEPTION CORPORATE BOND MARKET YIELDS WEEK ENDING NEW ISSUE 1 Aaa UTILITY 1975 - Mar. 7 14 21 28 8.91 9.27 9.60 9.60 Apr. 4 11 9.80r 9.65p RECENTLY OFFERED Aaa UTILITY 9.17 . 9.31 9.41 9.62 9.70 9.60p 2! 3 GROSS . OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) VOLUME PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK 850 821 1,130 714 92 78 79 96 576r 662 ' 97 98 NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ($ MILLIONS) 266 290 464 208 47r 13 MUNICIPAL BOND MARKET VOLUME YIELDS WEEK ENDING MOODY'S NEW ISSUE BOND BUYER 2Q-BOND INDEX 3 GROSS OFFERINGS ($ MILLIONS) PER CENT SOLD BY END OF WEEK NEW ISSUES 4 IN SYNDICATE ($ MILLIONS) 1975 - Mar. 7 14 21 28 6.10 6.20 6.35 6.45 6.54 6.65 6.80 6.95 613 478 379 373 88 78 66 91 U7 168 389 107 Apr. 4 11 6.45 6.55 6.93 7.03 450 403 76 87 15 4r 92 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection, released from price restrictions sometime during the last four weeks. 3 Estimated by F.R. on the basis of available data. 4 Corporate Market: Salomon Brothers Bond Market Roundup; Municipal Market: Weekly Bond Buyer. Data are adjusted by Federal Reserve when necessary to make coverage of this series consistent with the gross offerings series. Table 2 HIGH GRADE BOND YIELDS NEW ISSUE A a a UTILITY DATE 1 RECENTLY OFFERED A a a UTILITY 2 MOODY'S SEASONED CORPORATE A a a 3 U.S. GOVT. 20-YEAR CONSTANT MATURITY 4 BOND BUYER 2G-BOND INDEX 1971 - High Low 8.26 (7/30) 7.02 (2/5) 8.23 (1/1) 7.17 (12/31) 7 . 7 1 (8/21) 7.06 (2/12) 6 . 5 1 (6/18) 5.69 (3/23) 6.23 (6/23) 4.97 (10/21) 1972 - High Low 7.60 (4/21) 6.99 (11/24) 7.49 (4/21) 7.15 (12/1) 7.36 (4/28) 7.05 (2/12) 6.19 (4/14) 5.74 (11/17) 5.54 (4/13) 4.96 (10/21) 1973 - High Low 8.52 (8/10) 7.29 (1/21) 8.32 (8/10) 7.28 (1/5) 7.77 (8/24) 7 . 1 1 (1/5) 7.79 (8/10) 6.42 (1/5) 5.59 (8/3) 4.99 (10/11) 1 9 7 4 - High Low 10.61 (10/4) 8.05 (2/15) 10.52 (10/11) 8.13 (1/4) 9.39 (10/11) 7.73 (1/4) 8.68 (8/30) 7.39 (1/4) 7.15 (12/12) 5.16 (2/7) 1975 - High Low 9.83 (4/4) 8.89 (2/7) 9.70 (4/4) 9.06 (2/28) 8.93 (4/11) 8.57 (2/28) 8.44 (4/11) 7.63 (2/21) 7.08 (1/2) 6.27 (2/13) 1975 - Mar. 7 14 21 28 8.91 9.27 9.60 9.60r 9.17 9.31 9.41 9.62 8.59 8.61 8.69 8.78 7.75 7.83 8.09 8.29 6.54 6.65 6.80 6.95 Apr. 4 11 9.80r 9.65p 9.70 9.66p 8.87r 8.93p 8.32r 8.44p 6.93 7.03 5 NOTES: 1 Federal Reserve series of implied yield on newly issued, Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection. 2 Federal Reserve series of implied free-market yield on competitively bid Aaa-rated utility bond with 5-year call protection released from price restrictions sometime during the last 4 weeks. 3 Weekly average of daily closing figures. 4 Weekly average of daily figures. U.S. Treasury data. 5 Thursday figures. The average rating of the 20 bonds used in this index falls midway between the four top groups as classified by Moody's Investors Service. Weekly Bond Buyer data. i f Table 3 $ LONG-TERM CORPORATE AND STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT SECURITY OFFERINGS AND PLACEMENTS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS GROSS PROCEEDS l CORPORATE PERIOD 1975 1 1974 | 2,173 2,190 1974 I 1973 1,977 1,515 2,467 2,497 2,543 3,578 2,397 2,304 2,166 1,826 1,939 2,152 3,260 2,668 1,629 2,631 1,806 1,915 1,459 1,106 1,701 2,028 1,657 1,750 4,358 3,690 3,398 3,563 3,238 2,860 2,483 1,479 2,257 9,247 9,218 7,557 8,222 8,618 6,352 10,199 6,283 6,867 4,266 6,822 5,959 5,917 5,435 6,659 18,465 26,022 16,840 23,192 33,391 13,150 17,416 24,238 11,876 17,311 23,970 2,327 1,962 3,933 April May June 3,067 3,164 2,987 July August September October November December NOTES: 1 Securities and Exchange Commission estimates of gross proceeds. Securities Industry Association estimates of principal amounts. 1 2,255 2,003 2,025 3,341 2,690 3,216 1st Half 3 Qtrs. Year 2 1975 January February March Q1 02 03 04 2 STATE AND LOCAL 1973 2,313 2,089 Table 4 NEW CORPORATE SECURITY ISSUES BY TYPE OF ISSUE AND ISSUER IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD 1974 - I TOTAL G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUE G R O S S PROCEEDS BY TYPE OF ISSUER BONDS COMMON MEMO AND MANUFACPUBLIC COMMUNIOTHER PUBLICLY PRIVATELY ISSUES INCLUDED PREFERRED TURING UTILITY CATIONS ISSUERS OFFERED PLACED FOREIGN [CONVERTIBLE STOCK 9,232 9,211 7,557 11,785 5,818 5,883 5,025 8,611 1,638 1,794 1,237 1,452 1,776 1,534 1,297 1,722 88 115 373 374 58 39 31076 1,927 2,542 1,887 4,023 3,569 3,190 2,376 3,683 874 1,313 1,008 729 2,869 2,172 2,289 3,351 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 3,328 2,687 3,217 2,115 1,683 2,020 783 418 437 430 586 760 56 11 21 2 4 52 896 390 641 1,441 829 1,259 146 397 331 850 1,072 947 Apr. May June 3,066 3,164 2,981 1,594 2,350 1,939 671 607 516 801 207 526 63 42 10 12 15 12 1,202 862 478 1,131 912 1,147 294 663 356 442 730 1,000 July Aug. Sept. 3,260 2,668 1,629 2,086 2,042 897 620 299 318 555 327 415 223 — 150 205 104 1 1,094 605 188 618 1,079 680 295 364 349 1,254 620 413 Oct. Nov. Dec. 4,642 3,734 3,409 3,423 3,016 2,172 366 303 783 853 415 454 175 199 — 76 742 1,684 1,597 2,109 963 611 471 88 170 1,318 1,003 1,030 II I I I IV NOTES: 1 Other issuers are extractive, railroad and other transportation, real estate and finance, and commercial and other. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. 1 T a b l e 5A INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 March 31, t h r u A p r i l .11, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY COUPON RATE MOODY'S RATING OFFERING YIELD CORPORATE D e t r o i t Edison Pennsylvania Power & Light E a s t e r n Gas & Fuel Assoc. Baker Oil Tools Inc Ralston P u r i n a Co. H a l l i b u r t o n Co. GTE Sylvania I n c . El Paso Co. P o r t l a n d General E l e c t r i c Westvaco Corp. Vulcan M a t e r i a l s Corp. Potomac E l e c t r i c Power Co. New England E l e c t r i c System Dresser I n d u s t r i e s I n c . Potomac E l e c t r i c Co. Michigan Wise. P i p e l i n e Co. Rohm & Haas \Rohm & Haas Warner-Lambert Co. Warner-Lambert Co. TRW I n c . TRW I n c . Cent. I l l i n o i s Pub. S e r . Co. Com s t k Com s t k Com s t k Com s t k Conv debt SF debt SF debt Govt g t r 1 s t mtge Notes SF debt Com s t k Com s t k Com s t k Pfd s t k 1 s t mtge SF debt Notes Notes Debt SF debt Notes 1 s t mtge 34.1 54.0 20.1 25.2 100.0 150.0 75.0 130.5 40.0 20.0 60.0 25.0 40.0 20.1 12.5 50.0 50.0 50.0 V 75.0 75.0 50.0 50.0 25.0 —— •— — — — — • — — — — — — 5.75 9.25 10.00 9.25 10.00 9.00 10.25 5.75 9.30 10.00 9.25 10.00 9.00 10.25 — — 2000 2000 2000 2000 1982 1983 2000 — 1995 2000 1985 1985 2000 2000 1983 NOTES: * 1 Rights offering. Includes only corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and over; excludes options, exchanges, and secondary offerings. — — Baa/A Aa A Aaa Baa/Bbb A A — — — — — — —— — — — 10.63 9.88 9.00 8.30 8.88 9.88 9.00 9.00 10.63 10.00 9.00 8.30 8.93 10.12 9.10 8.89 — ' — A . A A Aaa Aaa A A Aa Table 5A Continued INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY March 31, t h r u A p r i l 11, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY 125.0 50.0 25.0 2005 1985 1985 9.20 9.00 8.63 9.20 9.00 8.63 Aa A Aa 75.0 1980 8.50 8.75 Aaa COUPON RATE OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING CORPORATE Anheuser-Busch I n c . Pennwalt Corp. Amp I n c . SF debt Notes Notes Other Asian Dev. Bank Notes INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY ' March 31, t h r u A p r i l 11, 1975 ISSUER TYPE 2 AMOUNT (MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) MATURITY NET INTEREST COST OFFERING YIELD MOODY'S RATING Vi ATE AND LOCAL Rev New York S t a t e Dormitory Auth. Rev New York S t a t e Dormitory Auth. Rev N6w York S t a t e Dormitory Auth. G.O. Dade Co., F l a . G.O. Middlesex Co., N . J . Washington Suburban S a n i t a r y D i s t . , Md. G.O. G.O. Hous t o n , Texas Rev Sweetwater Co. , Wyoming C a l i f o r n i a , S t a t e of ' G.O. Rev Bryan, Texas G.O. C i n c i n n a t i , Ohio Rev Independence, Mo. Rev S t . Louis, Mo. Rev Green R i v e r , Wyo. Rev Green R i v e r , Wyo. G.O. Tempe, A r i z . Rev Tempe, A r i z . G.O. King County, Wash. G.O. Cuyahoga Co., Ohio New J e r s e y , S t a t e of G.O. NOTES: 1 2 3 15.4 14.4 6.0 49.6 13.4 63.9 26.0 15.0 75.0 12.5 32.0 14,0 25.0 4.0 10.5 6.2 3.9 22.8 29.7 75.0 1978-1990 2002 2007 1976-1999 1976-1990 1978-2010 1977-1989 2005 1982-2000 1977-2000 1976-2000 1976-1991 1976-1995 1981-1985 1999 1976-1985 1985-1989 1977-2015 1981-1999 1979-1995 8.58 8.58 8.58 6.91 6.08 7.11 5.70 — 5.98 6.92 6.46 6.73 7.45 — — 6.10 7.14 7.35 6.83 6.00 6.25-7.25 8.75 8.90 4.25-7.35 4.00-6.50 4.75-7.15 4.00-5.85 8.38 5.10-6.50 4.15-7.10 4.30-7.25 4.75-7.05 5.00-7.70 6.00-6.75 8.00 4.30-6.25 6.90-7.00 4.50-7.40 5.65-7.30 4.75-6.30 A-l A-l A-l A-l Aa Aa Aaa Baa Aaa A-l Aa Aa A A A A-l A-l Aa Aa Aaa \ Includes only state and local security offerings of $10 million and over; excludes secondary offerings. In case of State and local government securities, G O denotes general obligation; Rev. Ut., revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilities; Rev.-Q.-Ut., revenue bonds secured only by income from quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev-Rent., revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues and non-guaranteed issues by Federal Agencies. \ vo 10 Table 6A FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of A p r i l 11, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING 50.0 100.0 200.0 100.0 25.0 30.0 50.0 22.0 50.0 50.0 100.0 100.0 50.0 40.0 15.0 60.0 50.0 75.0 100.0 65.0 30.0 15.0 50.0 100.0 75.0 40.0 20.0 50.0 36.0 40.0 60.0 100.0 75.0 37.5 28.8 50.0 75.0 50.0 A p r i l 15 A p r i l 15 A p r i l 15 A p r i l 15 A p r i l 15 A p r i l 16 A p r i l 16 A p r i l 16 A p r i l 16 A p r i l 16 A p r i l 17 A p r i l 17 A p r i l 21 A p r i l 22 A p r i l 22 A p r i l 22 A p r i l 22 A p r i l 23 A p r i l 23 A p r i l 23 A p r i l 23 A p r i l 24 A p r i l 24 A p r i l 24 A p r i l 29 A p r i l 29 A p r i l 29 A p r i l 29 A p r i l 29 A p r i l 29 A p r i l 30 A p r i l 30 April April April April April April CORPORATE Oklahoma Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. S. Cent. B e l l Tele. Co. S. Cent. B e l l Tele. Co. Williams Co. N. American Car Corp. Scott & F e t z e r Co. Kroger Company Tucson Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. N. I l l i n o i s Gas Co. United Telecommunications I n c . United Technology United Technology Occidental Petroleum Corp. Appalachian Power Co. Norfolk & Western RR Co. Lone S t a r Gas Co. P h i l a d e l p h i a E l e c t r i c Co. Occidental Petroleum Corp. Carolina Power & Light Co. P h i l a d e l p h i a E l e c t r i c Co. Utah Power & Light *Gen. Tele, of the Midwest ^Cleveland E l e c t r i c Ilium. Cleveland E l e c t r i c I l i u m . Ingersoil-Rand Co. Michigan Consol. Gas Iowa Pub. Ser. Co. *NTL Corp. Gulf S t a t e s U t i l i t i e s C i n c i n n a t i Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. C i n c i n n a t i Gas & E l e c t r i c Co. *Union P a c i f i c Corp. Mesa Petroleum Bucyrus-Erie Co. New England Tele. & Tele. Southeast Banking Corp. Pennzoil Co. Earsco Corp. Pfd s t k Notes Debt Notes Equip t r Notes Notes Com s t k 1 s t mtge Debt Debt Notes Com s t k 1 s t mtge Equip t r SF debt Com s t k Notes 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Com s t k Pfd s t k 1 s t mtge 1st mtge Notes 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Notes Com s t k Com s t k 1 s t mtge Notes Pfd s t k Com s t k Com s t k ( r t s ) Notes Debt SF debt NOTES: * Included in table for first time. 1 Includes only corporate and other security issues of $15 million and over; excludes exchanges, options Table 6A Continued 11 FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of A p r i l 11, 1975 TYPE ISSUER CORPORATE Avco F i n . Ser. I n c . B a r n e t t Banks of F l a . , I n c . Houston Oil & Minerals Corp. McDonalds Corp. Dresser I n d u s t r i e s Inc. P a c i f i c Power & Light * P a c i f i c Gas & E l e c t r i c *San Diego Gas & E l e c t r i c Northern N a t u r a l Gas San Diego Gas E l e c t r i c Union P a c i f i c RR C a l i f o r n i a Water Service *Chesapeake & Potomac Tele. Co. of W. Va. *Atchison Topeka & Santa Fe RR Syborn Corp. Norton Co. F i r s t Maryland Bancorp *IC Products Co. Texaco I n c . Burlington I n d u s t r i e s I n c . General Tele, of Ohio Manufacturers Hanover Tr. Co. Manufacturers Hanover Corp. Emerson E l e c t r i c Co. Ashland Oil I n c . Dominion Bankshares Corp. ERC Corp. American Finance Corp. Potomac Edison Co. *Wal-Mart S t o r e s I n c . Other Newfoundland *French S t a t e Railways *Societe N a t i o n a l e des Chemis de f e r Francis Govt, of I r e l a n d Hydro-Quebec Hydro-Quebec Postponements Gulf S t a t e s U t i l i t i e s Co. Montreal Quebec AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING Notes Notes Conv debt Notes SF debt 1 s t mtge Com s t k ( r t s ) Com s t k 1 s t mtge 1 s t mtge Equip t r 1 s t mtge 50.0 50.0 30.0 80.0 75.0 60.0 150.0 20.0 100.0 40.0 15.0 26.0 April April April April April May May May May May May May Debt Equip t r Notes SF debt Notes Debt Debt SF debt Pfd s t k Debt Notes Notes Debt Notes Debt Debt 1 s t mtge Conv debt 50.0 15.0 35.0 40.0 25.0 50.0 300.0 75.0 20.0 75.0 125.0 50.0 100.0 25.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 15.0 May May INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF INDEF 13 13 SF debt Gtd n o t e s 50.0 50.0 April April 17 17 50.0 25.0 20.0 100.0 April INDEF INDEF INDEF 17 40.0 75.0 April INDEF 3 Notes Notes Debt Debt 1 s t mtge SF debt 1 5 6 6 6 6 7 T a b i e 6B FORTHCOMING INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM PUBLIC SECURITY OFFERINGS OTHER THAN U.S. TREASURY 1 as of A p r i l 11, 1975 ISSUER TYPE AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) APPROXIMATE DATE OF OFFERING STATE & LOCAL Austin Ind. School D i s t . , Texas *Carson Redevelopment Agency, C a l i f . Puerto Rico Telephone Authority P i n e l l a s Co., F l a . *New York S t a t e Medical Care Finance Agy. Clark Co., Nev.. F l o r i d a S t a t e Board of Education Los Angeles Co. Flood Control D i s t . , Calif. *Port of A s t o r i a , Oregon * P a r r i s h I n d u s t r i a l Dev. Board, Ala. S a l t R i v e r ^ A g r i c u l t u r a l Improv. & Power D i s t . , A r i z . * S p r i n g f i e l d , Mass. San F r a n c i s c o , C a l i f . *Memphis, Tenn. Jacksonville Electric Auth., Fla. *Massachusetts, S t a t e of Pennsylvania, S t a t e of *0hio, S t a t e of H a r r i s Co., Texas H a r r i s Co. Flood Control D i s t . , Texas Port of Houston A u t h . , Texas *Florida S t a t e Board of Education *Texas, S t a t e of P h i l a d e l p h i a H o s p i t a l Auth., Pa. Postponement Boston, Mass. P i t t s b u r g h , Pennsylvania G.O. Rev Rev Rev 10.0 35.8 100.0 10.0 April April April April 14 15 15 15 Rev G.O. Rev 82.0 12.0 41.6 April April April 15 15 15 G.O. Rev 48.0 12.0 April April 15 16 Rev 28.7 April 16 Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev G.O. G.O. G.O. G.O. 75.0 12.0 72.0 32.0 40.0 150.0 140.0 50.0 25.0 April April April April April April May May May 16 17 21 22 23 24 1 6 8 G.O. G.O. Rv G.O. Rev 10.0 10.0 48.9 11.0 50.0 May May May May INDEF 8 8 13 14 G.O. G.O. 60.0 13.3 April April 8 8 NOTES: 1 '* Includes state and local government issues of $10 million and over, foreigngovemment, International Bank for Reconstruction issues of Federally sponsored agencies; excludes secondary offerings. Included in the table for the first time. Table 7 STOCK PRICES AND VOLUME 1 STOCK PRICES NYSE INDEX 3 65.48 (1/11) 49.12 (12/13) | DJ INDUSTRIALS 1051. 50 (1/11) 788. 31 (12/5) 4 2 TRADING VOLUME 1 NASDAQ NYSE 130.47 (1/11) 85.26 (12/20) 136.,84 (1/11) 89 .12 (12/13) 26.,0 (9/20) 9..0 (8/20) 5,.5 (1/12) 1 , .4 (8/20) 11 .3 (1/11) 3,.5 (8/27) [ AMEX 1 AMEX | NASDAQ 53.37 (3/13) 32.89 (10/3) 891. 66 (3/13) 577. 60 (12/6) 102.01 (3/14) 59.13 (12/6) 96 .53 (3/15) 54 .87 (10/3) 24,.9 (1/3) 7..5 (7/5) 4 .4 (1/3) .9 (9/26) 7 .5 (1/3) 2 .8 (7/5) 45.54 (3/17) 37.16 l l / 8 ) 789.,50 (4/11) 632 .04 (1/2) 81.26 (3/17) 62.20 (1/2) 76 .31 (4/11) 60.,70 (1/2) 35..2 (2/13) 13,.4 (1/20) 4. 2 (2/21) 1 . 5 (1/21) 8,.1 (2/13) 3,.6 (1/20) Feb. 7 14 21 28 41.08 43.21 43.70 43.07 711.91 734.20 749.77 739.05 75.08 76.79 77.73 77.27 71.12 73.26 73.79 73.00 25.7 22.2 23.2 18.8 2.8 2.4. 3.0 2.1 6.4 6.0 6.0 5.1 Mar. 7 14 21, 28 V 44.55 44.74 44.26 44.46 770.10 773.47 763.06 770.26 77.66 80.00 80.47 80.01 74.40 76.07 75.92 76.18 26.0 24.4 24.4 18.3 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.1 5.9 6.2 6.2 5.2 Apr. 4 11 42.98 44.61 747.26 789.50 79.01 81.24 74.73 76.31 14.9r 17.8 1.0 1.8 4.8 4.8 NOTES: 1 Figures other than his** *)nd lews M FriAys only. High* and lows are tor the y w and are not necessarily for Fridays. 2 Volume figure we weekly a v w w of Ally flgun* (millirns of shawl. 3 12/31/fS-M Digitized4 forBaaed FRASER on average price change until Stptsmber 4,1973 th- setter, based on market value of shares listed. w Table 8 SECURITY CREDIT REGULATED MARGIN CREDIT EXTENDED BY END OF PERIOD BROKERS ON 1 MARGIN STOCK BROKERS ON % CONVERTIBLE BONDS BANKS 31 HMDCfllll ATCH UnMUADfllM UNntUULAICU NUNMAnuIn STOCK CREDIT AT BANKS OUTSTANDING 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. . Dec. 1975 - Jan. Feb. 5,130 5,230 5,330 5,370 5,180 5,080 4,760 4,510 4,020 3,930 3,960 3,840 182 183 180 179 172 172 158 156 148 145 139 137 1,020 1,039 1,008 1,009 1,020 1,037 1,023 953 924 916 891 856 1,845 1,843 1,869 1,868 1,858 2,072 2,091 2,119 2,060 2,024 2,053 2,064 3,950 4,130 134 136 848 830 1,919 1,897 80 100 100 40 -190 -100 -320 -250 -490 -90 -30 -120 -7 1 -3 -1 -7 -14 -3 -7 -3 -6 -2 -111 19 -31 1 11 17 -14 -70 -29 -8 -25 -35 -21 -2 26 -1 -10 214 19 28 -59 -36 +29 +11 110 180 -3 2 —8 -18 -145 -22 CHANGE IN OUTSTANDING 1974 - Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1975 - Jan. Feb. NOTES: 1 Margin account debt as reported by the New York Stock Exchange, excluding credit for subscription issues and convertible bonds. 2 3 New York Stock Exchange data. June data for banks are universe totals; all other data for banks represent estimates for all commercial banks based on reports by a reporting sample, which accounted for 60 per cent of security credit outstanding at banks on June 30. 4 Nonmargin stocks are those not listed on a national securities exchange and not included on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System's list of OTC margin stocks. At banks, loans to purchase or carry nonmargin stocks are unregulated; at brokers, such stocks have no Table 9 SAVINGS FLOWS AT NONBANK THRIFT INSTITUTIONS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS SAVINGS & LOAN ASSOCIATIONS MUTUAL SAVINGS BANKS REGULAR DEPOSITS NET FLOW 1971 1972 1973 1974 9,621 10,067 4,815 2,909 1973 - December 1974 - January February 1,057 257 521 1974 - December 1975 - January r / February j>/ 1,053 472 885 1 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 13.5 12.4 5.3 3.0 — - - —— NET NEW MONEY 2 SHARE CAPITAL NET FLOW ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 19.0 18.7 9.8 7.0 5,378 5,451 -442 -2,822 27,793 32,567 20,237 16,008 -42 46 341 2,914 2,177 1,824 __ -37 250 675 3,385 3,285 3,277 — mm —- - - NET NEW MONEY 20,653 23,884 •10,507 4,669 2 TOTAL DEPOSITS NET FLOW 37,414 42,634 25,052 18,917 ANNUAL 3 GROWTH RATE 17.2 16.7 8.4 5.8 406 2,018 1,697 3,971 2,434 — 2,345 — 571 3,094 3,097 4,438 3,757 4,162 —— - - NET NEW MONEY 26,331 29,335 10,062 1,847 364 2,064 2,038 534 3,344 3,772 " " SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1974 - September October November December 172 260 535 431 2.1 3.2 6.6 5.3 1975 - January r / February j>/ 369 691 4.5 8.4 - - — - - ... —- 2,911 3.6 5.5 8.1 10.3 2,824 3,728 9.9 14.8 - - - - 990 1,537 - - 2,287 - - 818 1,277 1,752 2,480 4.1 6.4 8.8 12.3 —— 2,455 3,037 12.1 14.8 — NOTES: 1 Regular deposits at mutual savings banks exclude items such as Christmas club and certain escrow accounts, which represent a very small part of total deposits. 2 New deposits net of both withdrawals and interest. Data for S&L's are for insured associations only, which represent 96 per cent of industry total resources. 3 Annual growth rate for monthly data is the annualized monthly percentage increase in deposits. Source: National Association of Mutual Savings Banks and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. — — - - 2 T a b l e 10 MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS AT SELECTED THRIFT INSTITUTIONS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED OUTSTANDING COMMITMENTS PERIOD ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKJ5 ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE;1 TOTAL 1971 - Dec. 17.7 14.0 ^ NET CHANGE TOTAL ALL SAVINGS MUTUAL & LOAN SAVINGS BKS ASSOCIATIONS (N.Y. STATE) 3.7 .49 .30 .19 1972 - Dec. 25.1 ^ 20.2 4.9 .56 .55 .01 1973 - J a n . Feb . Mar. Apr. May July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 25.8 25.8 25.4 24.8 24.0 23.7 23.1 22.2 21.0 20.0 19.6 19.7 20.8 20.9 20.6 20.2 19.5 19.3 18.8 18.0 17.0 16.1 15.9 16.2 5 .0 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.7 3.5 .80 .21 -.43 -.57 -.89 -.21 -.67 -.92 -1.15 -1.06 -.41 .15 .66 .11 -.28 -.40 -.77 -.15 -.56 -.75 -1.00 -.90 -.26 .35 .14 -.10 -.15 -.17 -.12 -.06 -.11 -.17 -.15 -.16 -.15 -.20 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 19.3 19.4 19.5 19.7 18.5 18.0 17.3 16.7 16.2 14.9 14.4 14.4 15.9 16.0 16.4 16.7 15.6 15.1 14.5 13.9 13.5 12.5 12.1 12.2 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 -.33 -.06 .20 .20 -1.08 -.61 -.64 -.56 -.56 -1.31 -.54 -.03 -.33 .13 .33 .30 -1.02 -.54 -.60 -.55 -.43 -1.01 -.44 .14 - .10 -.19 -.13 -.10 - .06 -.06 -.04 -.01 -.13 -.30 -.10 -.11 1975 - J a n . Feb. 14.4 14.4 12.3 12.6 2.1 1.8 -.04 .04 .06 29 -.10 -.25 NOTES: Based on data from Federal Home Loan Bank Board and Savings Banks Association of New York State. Both series include a minor amount of nonresidential commitments; S&L commitments also include loans in process. Net changes are derived directly from unrounded end-of-period outstanding levels as reported and after seasonal adjustment by Federal Reserve. Subtotals may not add to totals because of rounding. S e r i e s r e v i s e d due to r e e s t i m a t i o n of s e a s o n a l f a c t o r s . T a b l e 11 NET NEW MONEY BORROWINGS BY MAJOR HOUSING AGENCIES 17 IN MILLIONS O F DOLLARS TOTAL INCLUDING SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES PERIOD INTERMEDIATE AND LONG-TERM I S S U E S TOTAL FHLB FHLMC _FNMA & FHLB FNMA +530 +1,475 +1,693 +1,910 +1,946 +11 +598 +1,528 +1,349 +1,850 +1,950 -150 +256 +998 +1,349 +1,500 +1,300 — — -756 -657 +450 -4 +992 +2,250 +1,499 +200 +2,750 +1,599 +93 -%,ooo -800 -657 «• — +44 —— - — +450 p -671 -695 +424 +508 +1,442 +2,699 +1,804 +878 +2,768 +1,665 -89 +595 1975 - J a n . p -12 1973 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1974 - J a n . Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. - - -4 +992. +1,500 +1,000 +400 +1,700 +1,499 -217 +500 Notes: Based on d a t a from t h e Treasury Survey of Ownership. 1/ Sales of FHLB discount notes began i n May 1974. \ ! Preliminary. — —- — +350 +650 -150 —— +256 —— —— - - - —— -200 — - - — —— - - +750 +499 — . +1,050 +100 +310 +500 SHORT-TERM DISCOUNT NOTES!/ -53 +344 +60 -4 +161 +342 +85 -38 -26 +512 +450 +449 +305 +678 +18 +66 -182 -405 -12 T a b l e 12 NET CHANGE IN MORTGAGE HOLDINGS IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERIOD TOTAL INCLUDING FNMA-GNM/ 2 FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TOTAL COMMERCIAL BANKS MSB's S & L's INSURANCE FNMA-GNMA COMPANIES Not S e a s o n a l l y Ad-justed 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 21,736 41,647 57,587 58,372 42,748 16,827 39,259 55,561 55,072 36,526 2,462 9,940 16,800 19,600 11,700 1,845 3,938 5,377 5,642 2,170 10,254 23,919 31,932 25,552 17,578 2,348 1,221 1,452 4,278 5,078 4,909 2,388 2,026 3,300 6,222 1974 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,419 1,992 2,255 1,655 1,476 1,082 500 400 500 45 79 - 22 565 522 595 545 475 729 764 516 453 1975 - J a n . Feb. 1,313 862 100 -200 66 428 1,097 268 451 74 Seasonally Ad l u s t e d 1974 - Oct. Nov. Dec. 2,847 2,461 1,986 2,205 1,973 1,456 533 509 734 98 67 -102 1,037 985 629 537 412 195 642 488 530 1975 - J a n . Feb. 1,578 1,072 -247 -484 - 38 1,156 560 201 506 -51 NOTES: 1 2 Monthly data for commercial banks based on Federal Reserve estimates benchmarked to Call Report data on real estate loans outstanding as available. Other data derived from mortgage debt outstanding as reported separately by National Assn. of Mutual Savings Banks, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance and, through August 1968, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and thereafter by FNMA and the Government National Mortgage Association. Data for mutual savings banks and for Life Insurance companies may differ somewhat from those derived from regular quarterly series because of minor conceptual differences for which adjustments are not made in the monthly series. Altogether, these groups accounted for 89 per cent of the net increase estimated for all holders in 1972. ^Beginning January 1972 data reflect activity in limited amount of conventional mortgages. S e r i e s revised due to r e e s t i m a t i o n of seasonal f a c t o r s . NET INCREASE IN MORTGAGE DEBT OUTSTANDING' IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES cI RESIDENTIAL MULTIFAMILY & COMMERCIAL FARM 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.4 9.5 9.2 10.1 11.3 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.9 4.4 4.6 4.7 5.4 6.0 5.4 5.3 5.3 10.4 10.1 10.0 10.7 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 9.4 11.6 15.0 16.2 5.0 5.2 6.3 6.6 4.8 4.6 5.1 6.8 9.8 9.8 11.5 13.4 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 27.4 35.5 38.5 41.2 19.4 26.2 28.6 31.3 8.0 9.4 9.9 9.9 7.7 9.8 11.5 10.5 15.7 19.2 21.4 20.4 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.5 62.8 64.9 65.1 68.3 46.1 47.0 47.1 49.5 37.7 37.4 38.0 40.0 8.4 9.6 9.1 9.5 14.1 15.3 15.3 16.3 22.5 24.9 24.4 25.8 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 1973 - I II III IV 83.4 75.6 71.3 57.9 63.1 53.9 51.4 38.3 53.1 44.0 41.8 31.7 10.0 9.9 9.6 6.5 16.3 17.8 16.3 15.0 26.3 27.8 25.9 21.5 4.1 3.8 3.6 4.6 1974 - I II III IV 58.5 65.3 50.0 38.6 39.5 44.0 35.7 23.7 32.1 37.1 27.5 17.3 7.4 6.8 8.2 6.4 15.4 17.3 9.0 7.6 22.7 24.1 17.2 14.0 3.6 4.0 5.3 7.3 QUARTER TOTAL TOTAL 1968 - I II III IV 28.1 26.4 25.5 29.6 19.4 18.2 17.2 20.4 16.3 15.0 13.6 16.5 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.9 1969 - I II III IV 32.0 29.1 25.8 25.2 ?3.8 :u.5 18.7 18.5 19.4 16.8 14.0 13.1 1970 I II III IV 20.7 22.9 28.5 31.8 14.4 16.8 21.3 22.8 1971 - I II III IV 37.3 47.7 52.3 54.2 1972 - I II III . IV 1- to 4 FAMILY MULTIFAMILY COMMERCIAL NOTES: 1 Derived from data on mortgage debt outstanding from Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Institute of Life Insurance, National Association of Mutual Savings Banks, Departments of Commerce and Agriculture, Federal National Mortgage Association, Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration and Comptroller of the Currency. Separation of nonfarm mortgage debt by type of property, where not available, and interpolations and extrapolations, where required, estimated mainly by Federal Reserve. 2 May differ somewhat from related flow of funds series mainly because of more aggregative type of seasonal adjustment. 3 Residential mortgage debt includes nonfarm only and is sum of 1-to 4- family and multifamily mortgage debtjwmbined. T a b l e 14 PRIVATE HOUSING PERMITS, STARTS, COMPLETIONS, AND MOBILE HOME SHIPMENTS IN THOUSANDS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES PERMITS PERIOD TOTAL 1—FAMILY COMPLETIONS STARTS 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1—FAMILY 2 - O R MORE FAMILY TOTAL 1—FAMILY 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1,324 1,352 1,952 2,219 1,820 1,052 626 647 928 1,033 882 726 698 705 1,025 1,186 937 419 1,467 1,434 2,052 2,357 2,045. 1,338 811 813 1,151 1,309 1,132 888 656 621 901 1,048 914 450 1,399 1,418 1,706 1,972 2,005 808 802 1,014 1,143 1,166 1974 - J u l y Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1,017 900 823 782 730 822 632 618 577 533 511 486 385 282 246 249 219 336 1,314 1,156 1,157 1,106 1,017 880 920 826 845 792 802 682 394 330 312. 314 215 198 1,655 1,592 1,562 1,627 1,657 1,615 934 919 899 908 893 848 682 673 495 514 187 159 996 977 742 718 254 259 1,500 927 1975 - J a n . Feb. MOBILE 2 - O R MORE HOME FAMILY SHIPMENTS \ 592 617 692 828 838 413 401 497 576 580 721 674 663 721 763 767 380 370 316 248 218 216 573 215 NOTES: P r i v a t e permits ( f o r 14,000 a r e a s w i t h permit systems, excluding farm), s t a r t s , and completions a r e Census Bureau d a t a . A d w e l l i n g u n i t i s s t a r t e d wben e x c a v a t i o n b e g i n s . In the case of apartment b u i l d i n g s , a l l u n i t s a r e considered s t a r t e d a t t h a t timd; Hot'ever, a l l such u n i t s a r e considered completed when more than h a l f of the u n i t s i n the s t r u c t u r e a r e ready f o r use'. P r i v a t e mobile home shipments are Mobil Home Manufacturers Assoc. d a t a converted to s e a s o n a l l y a d j u s t e d annual r a t e by Census Bureau. 1/ Permit d a t a f o r 1969 and 1970 based on 13,000 a r e a s w i t h permit systems. T a b l e 15 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON HOME MORTGAGES HUD(FHA) INSURED LOANS SECONDARY MARKET CONVENTIONAL LOANS PRIMARY MARKET NEW HOMES 1 1 PERIOD RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) 1973 - High Low 8.95 7.70 107 31 8.95 7.75 1974 - High Low 9.80 8.55 45 -70 9.80 8.60 1974 - Jan, Feb. Mar. Apr. May 8.65 8,55 8.60 8.90' 9.15 9.25 9.40 9.60 9.80 9.70 9.55 9.45 40 45 -4 -8 6 -25 -70 -39 —66 -33 -13 9.15 9.05 15 11 July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. 1975 - J a n . Feb. SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) RATE (IN PER CENT) SPREAD BETWEEN RETURNS ON NEW A a a CONVENTIONAL UTILITY 1 AND HUD(FHA) BOND DISCOUNT NEW HOME YIELD (PERCENTAGE MORTGAGES (IN PER CENT) POINTS) (BASIS POINTS) NEW HOMES EXISTING HOMES SPREAD (BASIS POINTS) YIELD (IN PER CENT) 107 37 9.18 7.55 130 14 9.4 2.2 21 -23 8.36 7.38 50 -70 10.38 8.54 44 -25 6.3 2.3 1 -70 10.46 8.10 8.65 8.60 8.60 8.90 9.15 9.25 9.40 9.60 9.80 9.70 9.60 9.45 40 50 -4 —8 6 -25 -70 -39 -66 -33 -8 __ __ 8.54 8.66 9.17 9.46 9.46 9.85 10.30 10.38 10.13 44 2 19 37 -4 -25 31 -8 10 2.3 3.2 5.1 5.3 5.3 6.3 5.8 6,3 4.6 1 -6 -27 -31 -21 -45 -70 -58 -43 — 9.51 3.8 -6 8.25 8.10 8.64 8.98 9.09 9.50 10.10 9.99 10.46 10.03 9.68 9.20 9.05 20 11 8.99 8.84 3.8 2.6 16 21 • ? -1 -10 9.00 8.94 NOTES: 1 Gross yield spread is average mortgage returi) before deducting servicing costs, minus average yield on new issues of high-grade utility bonds with 5-year call protection. Rates on conventional first mortgages (excluding additional fees and charges) are based on unweighted HUD (FHA) field office opinions on prevailing contract interest rates in the market areas of the insuring offices, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points. For secondary market data, weighted HUD office opinions on the average bid price for HUD (FHA) loans with minimum downpayment, prepaid in 15 years, for immediate delivery, are used. ro Table 16 FNMA AUCTION RESULTS HOME MORTGAGE COMMITMENTS CONVENTIONAL GOVERNMENT-UNDERWRITTEN AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) DATE OF AUCTION AVERAGE YIELD 1155 1975 - Jan. Feb. Mar. 26 (11.18) 333 (3/25) 18 (11/18) 13 27 25,.3 41..4 21.2 10 2 4 , .6 18.1 28.6 10.59 8.43 164 i 14 (4/18) (10/21) 17 . 9 .1 63 7 (4/8) (11/18) 14 . 9 .6 10.71 8.47 11 8.98 8.87 9 , .1 9 . .1 9., 2 0 2 0 , .0 14,.8 10 9,. 3 9 3 6 , ,2 10 99. 2 460. 5 321.4 8.85 3 4 . ,4 60.,7 2 2 . .1 35..8 8., 9 6 9 . ,00 551. 6 277.2 8.98 99. 44. 6 9 . 13 7 23.8 60.1 8.78 (9/9) (3/11) 9 , .50 9.37 9.12 24 24 Apr. (3/25) AVERAGE YIELD OFFERED OFFERED 1974 - High Low AMOUNT (IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS) 9.. 0 4 NOTES: Average secondary market yields are gross before deduction of the fee of 38 basis points paid for mortgage servicing. They reflect the average accepted bid yield for home mortgages assuming a prepayment period of 12 years for 30-year loans, without special adjustment for Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) commitment fees and FNMA stock purchase and holding requirements on 4-month commitments. Mortgage amounts offered by bidders relate to total eligible bids received.