Full text of H.16 Capital Market Developments : April 10, 1958
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DECONTROLLED AFTER SIX MONTHS • Not for Publication H.lU | , April 10, 1958. CAPITAL MARKET DEVELOPMENTS (Including Quarterly Review of State and Local Government Security Financing) Large public security offerings jfor new capital during the week ending April It, totaled $71 million for corporations and $60 million for State and local governments. Foreign government issues with aggregate proceeds of $93:million' were also sold. The calendar for this week includes corporate offerings amounting to $310 million and State and local government issues totaling million. Bond yields - Bond yields showed little change last week. Yields on outstanding corporate* bonds remained stable last week, while those for State and local government and U. S. Government obligations declined slightly. Stock prices - Stock prices, as measured by the Standard and Poor's index of 500 common stocks, declined 2 per cent last week, closing at 1&.U8 on April 3. Prices increased, on balance, in trie early part of this week, closing at hi.65 on Wednesday. State and Local Government Security Offerings in the First Quarter 1958 State and local governments sold $2.3 billion of bonds during the first three months of 1958, a record first quarter volume and nearly one-fourth greater than last year. New.issue volume was unusually large in January and February, but declined markedly in March as some congestion developed in the market. A number of issues postponed in late 1957 were successfully offered during the first quarter of this year, and despite some increase in interest rates in February and early March, postponements of announced offerings were less frequent than last year. Purpose of issue - School construction was the most important purpose of financing as it has been in other recent years. However, the volume of #779 million was only 3 per cent higher in the first quarter this year than a year earlier. New financing for highways, bridges and tunnels showed the largest increase in the first three months of 1958 as compared to 1957. These issues, aggregating $392 million, were more than twice as large in volume as in the corresponding period of 1957. H.lU 2 - Long-Term Security Issues of State and Local Governments First Quarter (In millions of dollars) 1958 Issuing authority: State County and township Municipality School district Special authority Unidentified 1/ Total Purpose of issue: New capital total Schools 2/ Highways, bridges, and tunnels Residential buildings' Hospitals and institutions Sewer and water Misc. public service enterprises • Veterans' aid Other Unidentified 1/ Refunding Total Type of issue: General obligation Revenue Utility Quasi-Utility Special tax Rental Public Housing Authority Federal Government loans 3/ Total 633 1957 1956 340 270 94 444 270 253 186 111; 106 615 I4.76 420 604 527 252 — — 1955 1954 344 217 126 412. 232 #8 139 109 333 . 294 167 162 2,258 1,829 1,517 1,409 1,384 &250 3*821 1^490 1,385 1*372 779 392 99 85 292 145 ill 348 753 164 151 28 252 449 176 175 30 159 77 82 79 159 405 145 182 15 186 70 67 167 137 — 68 53 351 — 401 280 111 22 264 80 147 186 7 8 27 24 11 2,258 1,829 1,517 1,409 1,384 960 1,004 1,55k 1,312 560 . 385 289 m 24 33 62 31 41 54 67 29.,. • 102 " 76 2,258 1,829 44i n.a. n.a. 107 9 1,517 286 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 118 1 1,409 909 354 HX n.a. n.a. 119 2 1,384 1/ Issues.of less than $500,000 not further classified. ~ 2/ Data for years prior to 1957 probably understate school issues by about one-fourth because of unclassified small issues. 2/ Coverage for 1957 and 1958 is broader than for earlier years. Note.—Details may not add to totals because of rounding. Source.—1954-1956, Bond Buyer and Federal Reserve; 1957-1958, Investment Bankers Association of America. Data for 1957 and 1958 not strictly comparable .with data for earlier years. ri.a.—Not available. . Issues to obtain funds for hospitals and institutions, miscellaneous public service enterprises and veterans' aid also were sold in larger volume this year than last. Residential building bonds were the only major type of issue sold in smaller volume in the first quarter than a year earlier. . Type of issuer - States were the most important group of issuers during the first three months of 19583 selling bonds totaling $633 millione This volume accounted for nearly 30 per cent of total offerings and was 85 per cent greater than in 1957» A larger volume of offerings for financing veterans' aid and highway con- . struction accounted for most, of the increase. Offerings of special authorities also increased significantly, -while issues of counties and townships and municipalities were in moderately larger volume than last year. Financing by school districts declined, however, as a larger proportion of educational issues were offered by municipalities and special authorities than in the first quarter 1957. Type of issue •= General • obligations continued to be the most Important type of issue. However, the proportion of total sales accounted for by such bonds declined from 72 per cent in the January-March 1957 peribd to 69 per cent this year as the share of revenue bond financing increased. Federal Government loans were in smaller volume this first quarter, while Public housing Author-. ity offerings increased. More detailed information concerning recent capital market developments is presented in the attached exhibits. Capital Markets Section, Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. H I G H - G R A D E B O N D YIELDS 1953 1954 Corporate Aaa 1/ 1955 1956 U. S. Govt, long-term 2/ State and local govt. - Aaa y 1957 1958 Spread between U. S. Govt, and Corporate I State and Aaa )local Aaa (Per cent) . 1953 - High Low 195U - High Low 1955 - High 1956 - High 1957 - High Low 1958 - High March March March March April 7 iL 21 28 h 3.U2 (6/19) 2.99 (1/9) 3.09 (1/8) . 2.85 (1/23) 3.17 (12/23) 2.91 (1/7) 3.79 (12/28) 3.07 (3/2) U.Ut (9/27) 3.66 (V12) 3.68 (1/3) 3.56 (1/31) 3.62 3.62 3.63 3.6k "3:624 3.19 2.714 2.71 2.15 2.97 2.6k 3.1x5 2.81* 3.76 3.18 3.28 3.19 3.27 3.27 3.21 3.21 3.19 (6/5) (12/31) (1/8) (8/6) (8/5) (1/7) (12/28) (2/17) (10/18) (2/8) (1/31) (VW 2.73 (6/25) 1.98 (1/8) 2.21 (6/10) 1.90 (9/2) 2.31 (9/8) 2.05 (5/26) 3.05 (12/27) 2.17 (2/23) 3.1:5 (8/29) 2.76 (2/21) 2.86 (1/9) 2.65 (1/23) V 2.78 2.78 2.79 2.79 - 2:77' .38 .83 .33 .62 .20 .1*3 .30 .27 .11 .hi .12 .60 .27 .he .28 ' .L7 .15 .62 .3h .35 .35 .39 .L3 .hS • 1*9 .li9 .145 .1*2 .1*2 .30 .76 .57 .71 .32 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds included is 25-26 years. 2/ Weekly average of daily figures. The series includes bonds due or callable in 10 years or more. 3/ Thursday figures. Only general obligations bonds are included; average term is 20 years. " Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. LOWER - GRADE B O N D YIELDS STATE AND LOCAL GOVT. Ba< Corporate Baa 1/ Date State and local govt. Baa 2/ Spread between Aaa and Baa 1 State and 1local govt. Corporate (Per cent) 1953 - High 1957 - High Low 1958 - High Low 3.89 3.50 3.7U 3.a 3.63 3.15 U.Ul 3.58 5.10 h.h2 1.96 U.61i March March March March April U.66 a. 67 U. 68 I4.69 a. 69 195k - High 1955 - High Low 1956 - High 7 lU 21 28 it (9/18) (1/2) (1/8) (12/31) (12/30) (1M) (12/28) (3/9) (11/29) (U/12) (1/3) (2/21) 3.79 2.96 3.32 2.93 3.26 3.02 h.22 3.20 U.51 . 3.90 3-92 3.73 3.85 3.86 3.89 3.90 3.88 (6/25) (1/8) (1/7) (8/5) (12/29) (1/6) (12/27) (3/8) (8/29) (2/21) (1/2) (1/23) .69 .1*2 .68 .52 •5U •ii5 .63 .h2 1.27 •6U 1.28 1.01* 1.21 .98 1.16 .93 1.03 .87 1.17 .89 1.21 l.Olt 1.11 1.02 1.0k 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.07 1.08 1.10 1.11 1.11 1/ Weekly average of daily figures. Average term of bonds includes is 25-20 years. 2/ Thursday figures. Only general obligation bonds are included; average term is 20 years. N o t e . — H i g h s and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. STOCK MARKET Bate Stock price index 1/ Common Stock market custamer credit Trading Customers1 volume 2/ debit bal- loans to (millions yields 3/ of shares) (per cunt) ance, V "others" 5/ (Millions of dollars) 26.51 (1/2) 22.95 (9/18) 35.98 (12/31) 2L.93 (1/8) 1*5.69 (12/9) 35.28 (1/Ut) U9.6U (8/3) 1956 - High 1*3.22 (1/20) 1*9.08 (7/12) 195? - High Low 39-1*8 < 12/20) 1*2.1*2 (3/21) 1958 - High Low • 1*0.37 (1/10) 1953 - High Low 195L -'High Low 1955 - High February March 28 April 1, 1*1.26 1*2.11 1*2.1*2 1*2.20 1*1.1*8 2.5 0.9 3.7 1.1* 1*.6 1.5 3.1 1.5 1*.2 1.1* 2.5 1.7 6.25 5.38 5.82 1*.32 1* .1*2 3.61 U.35 3.82 1*.72 3.91 I».58 1*.33 2,1*55 2,055 3,1*36 2,1*05 1*,030 3,537 It,01*7 3,911* It,031 3,576 3,679 3,551* 1,665 1,311* 2,368 1,653 2,805 2,517 2,823 2,71*0 2,887 2,1*82 2,580 2,1*87 2.2 2.3 2.2 1*.1*9 It. 35 It. 33 1*-35 3,679 ' 2,580 780 66L 1,01*8 71*6 1,21*1 1,018 1,267 1,155 1,163 • 1,051* 1,198 1,051 1,099 1,198 1,117 1,198 n.a.—Not available. 1/ Standard and Poor's composite index of 500 common stocks, weekly closing prices, 191*1-1*3-10. Monthly data are averages of daily figures rather than of Fridays' only. Highs and lows are for Fridaj's data only. 2/ Averages of daily trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. 2/ Standard and Poor's composite stock yield based on Wednesday data converted to weekly closing prices by Federal Reserve. h/ End of month figures for member firms of the New York Stock Exchange which carry margin accounts; excludes balances secured by U. S. Government obligations. 2/ Wednesday figures for weekly reporting member banks. Excludes loans for purchasing or carrying U. S. Government securities at banks in New York and Chicago. Weekly reporting banks account for about 70 per cent of loans to others. For further detail see Bulletin. Note.—Highs and lows are for individual series and may be on different dates for different series. Exhibit D H.Ik Corporate and State and Local Government Security Offerings and Placements (In millions of dollars) , 1958 January February March April May e/800 e/87S„/ e/1,500^ 1,063 1,071 e/900 92k 771 l,k89 July August September 1,055 792 1,086 quarter quarter quarter qunrtar e/3,175 3,181 6,662 9,5kO 12,173 - quarter quarter quarter quarter 3,L79 2,878 2,933 1st half Three quarters Year 1st 2nd 3rd kth l,3hk 991 91k 973 October November December 1st 2nd 3rd kth Corporate 1957. I New capital 1956 1958 State and local 1/ 1 1956 1 1957 7k2 572 506 kok 765 5k6 #3 378 k90 735 1,063 ' 65k 838 529 585 k31 k08 7k5 1,089 3/ 698 633 698 639 3k7 k09 573 712 817 812 952 k86 818 l,lk6 811 • e/650 1,088 2,102 2,805 2,556 2,922 2,250 1,820 1,70k 2,029 3,52k 5,069 7,099 i;E 10,381) 696 390 206 357 l,k90. 1,603 971 1,395 3,093 k,06k 5,k59 Excluding finance companies k/ e/2,875 Year 3,268 2,92k 2,560 1,6147 2,51a 2,788 •ll,5h0 . 9,260 ^ Estimated. ~ 1/ Data through June 1956 are Bond Buyer data classified as new capital by Federal Reserve; later data are from the Investment Bankers Association of America and are somewhat more complete as to coverage than the earlier data, particularly for Federal Government loans. 2/ Includes §716.3 million AT&T convertible debenture issue. 3/ Includes $571-5 million AT&T common stock issue. 5/ Total new capital issues excluding offerings of sales and consumer finance companies. Note.—Details may not add to total; due to rounding. H.lU Exhibit E Large Public Security Issues for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Proceeds of Large Issues Offered (Millions of dollars) Month Corporate . 1957 - March April May June July . August September October November December 1958 - January February March State and local government Other 2/ 1914 k99 . 2li8 176 26$ 357 185 k n 329 877 525 #6 537 125 25 39 25 30 75 h35 57k 1*20 399 318 605 1,093 386 139 506 215 15 629 26k Large Individual Issues Offered April 1 through ii Issuer Type 3/ Amount Coupon rate or Offering (millions Maturity net inter- yield Rating of dollars) est cost CORPORATE Wisconsin Elec. Pwr. Co. 1st mtg. bds. 30.0 Gen. American Transp. Corp. E. T. ctfs. 20.0 General Telephone Corp. Com. stk. 21.1+ 1988 . 1978 U 1/8 h 1/8 3.98 ii.13 Aa A 2.05-3.00 1.20-3.50 1.00-3.35 Aa A Aa Baa A STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Texas Veterans Land Board G.O. Comm. of Puerto Rico G.O. Los Angeles, California Rev.-Ut. Lafayette Par. S.D.#1, La. G.O. Tampa, Florida Rev.-Ut. 12.5 1966-88/68 2.89 18.3 1959-73 3.39 13.5 1959-88 3.15 7.0 1961-88/69 n.a. 8.U 1959-87/68 3.56 1.25-3.70 • OTHER Ontario, Canada Ontario, Canada Edmonton, Alberta, Canada Ext. deb. Ext. deb. Ext. deb. 25.0 50.0 18.0 1963 1983 1983 3 1 / k U h 3 / h 3.h0 U.13 14.93 A A . Baa H.lli E-2 n.a„—Nat available. 1/ Includes corporate and other security offerings of $15 million and overj State and local government security offerings of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. 3/ In the case of State and local government securities, G.O. denotes general obligations3 Rev.-Ut,3 revenue obligations secured only by income from public utilitiesj Rev.-Q.Ut., revenue bonds secured by revenue of quasi-utilities; Rev.-S.T., revenue bonds secured by revenue from specific taxes only; Rev„-Rent„a revenue bonds secured solely by lease payments. H.lU Forthcoming Large Public Security Offerings for New Capital (Other than U. S. Treasury) 1/ Expected Proceeds from Forthcoming Large Issues During month following date shown Date of computation Coiporatell^Jt - Mar. 29 Apr. 30 May 31 June 28 July 31 Aug. 30 Sept. 30 Oct. 31 Nov. 29 Dec. 31 - Jan. 31 Feb. 28 Mar. 31 1*61 187 525 , 370 526 578 576 1*58 .383 378 198 1,123 555 290 179 97 172 252 21*3 370 369 387 383 1*29 175 3li0 Subsequent to date shown Other 2/ W a t e J ^ J o t h e r ^ 25 25 25 30 30 18 150 110 1*86 258 525 1*15 811 81*5 61*7 815 1,153 . 1,161 1,378 . 1,208 670 862 3# 388 1*98 511* 1*39 587 573 589 ' 611* 51*6 389 372 25 25 25 30 15 1*5 63" 165 110 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April 1* Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE Duquesne Light Co. Joseph E.. Seagram & Sons, Inc. American Can Co. Douglas Aircraft Co. Aluminum Co. of America Pacific, Petroleums Ltd.. Richfield Oil Corp. 1st mtg. bds. Deb. Deb. S.F. deb. Deb, S.F. deb. Conv. sub. deb. Commonwealth Edison Co. 1st mtg. bds. Diamond Gardner Corp. S.F. deb. Mississippi Power & Light Co. 1st mtg. bds. Southern Counties Gas Co. 1st mtg. bds. ^Central Hudson Gas & Electric Corp. 1st mtg. bds. ^•Philadelphia Electric Co. 1st mtg. bds. frPotomac Electric Power Co. Conv. deb. 15.0 Apr. 10 . Apr. 10 Apr. 10 60.0 Apr. 11 Apr. 11 125.0 30.0 Apr. 11 Apr. lit 19.0 (rights .expire) Apr. 16 50.0 25.0 . Apr. 16 15.0 Apr. 17 Apr. 21* i5.o 18.0 Apr. 21* z 1*0.0 Apr. 30 May 6 19.7 (rights expire) 1*0.0 1*0.0 H.lU F-2 Forthcoming Large Offerings, as of April ii (Cont'd) Type Amount Approximate date (millions of offering of dollars) CORPORATE (Cont'd) Consolidated Edison Co.. of New York Commerce. Oil Refining Corp, Natural Gas Pipeline Co, of America Tennessee Gas Transmission Co, ref. mtg, bds. ,bds. & common it mtg. bds. Deb. 5o.o 1*5.0 Uo.o 30.0 June ij. 5.0 2l*,6 7.5 6.5 Apr. 8 Apr, 8 Apr. 9 Apr, 10 Apr. ll; Apr. 15 Apr, 16 Apr..17 Apr. 17 Apr. 22 Apr, 23 Apr. 2h Apr. 30 May 20 1958 1958 1958 ; STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT Anne Arundel Co., Maryland Statie of Maryland - Chicago, Illinois Erie Co, Water Authority, N. I. xSan Francisco, California ^Washington Sub. San. Dist., Md. State of Massachusetts Louisiana State University -^Babylon U. iV Sch, Dist, No, 3, N.I. *Burbank, California State of California Washington Toll Bridge Auth, Philadelphia, Pa, State of Ohio • G.O, G.Oo G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Q.Ut. G.O. G.O. G.O. Rev.-Ut. G.O. Rev.—S.To 2hc2 10.0 96.9 7.5 5.5 5.6 100.0 5.2 31.9 32.0 OTHER Belgian Congo •^Commonwealth of Australia Ext. loan bds. . Bonds 15.0 25.0 Apr. 1? Apr. 23 *—Included in table for first time. 1/ Includes corporate and other issues of $15 million and over; State and local government issues of $5 million and over. 2/ Includes foreign government and International Bank for Reconstruction and Development issues. Note.—Deletions for reasons other than sale of issue: None. R.Ik Exhibit G • Yields on New and Outstanding Electric Power Bonds, Rated Aa and A 1/ Aa-rated offering yields A-rated offering yields Amount above Amount above Actual Actual (per cent) seasoned yields (per cent) seasoned yields (basis points) (basis points) . Date 1952 - 1957 High Low 1958 - January 8 9 17 21 23 February 5 . Hi 20 21 25 26 28 March li 5 6 12 19 21 25 April 1 2 5.00(8/lV57) 2.93(3/31/510 87 -3 3.60 -8 3.80. , 3.8CW 13 12 3.95 Loo 28 33 U.15 U.22 luOO U.oo 5o 28 26. 1.05 3.98 U.oo 31 23 25 -5-50(11/7/57) 3.00(3/17/51*) 123 -15 k.07. It. 101/ 3.85 3.80 9 13 -3 • -8 3.90 -3 3.92 -3 li.iiO k.25 35 6 h.07 -7 . hh *—Single observation, not an average. . 1/ Covers only 30-year first mortgage bonds, as reported in Moody's Bond Survey, Except where indicated, the actual yield figure and the amount above seasoned yields are averages of offerings during the indicated period and of the differences between these new offering yields and yields on seasoned issues of similar quality for the same day. Average maturity for the seasoned issues varies from 26 to 28 years. 2/ Provides for a 5-year period during which issue may not be called for refunding at a lower coupon rate. Other issues have no such provision.