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FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release G.3 (402) For Immediate release May 1 6 , 1985 CAPACITY UTILIZATION Manufacturing, Mining, Utilities, and Industrial Materials Capacity utilization in manufacturing, mining, and utilities fell 0.5 percentage point in April to 80.6 percent. The decline in the manufacturinc operating rate was also 0.5 percentage point, but the mining rate dropped 1.2 percentage points while the utilities operating rate remained unchanged. Revised estimates indicate that utilization for total industry held steady during the first three months of 1985 at rates near 81.1 percent. Utilization in both durable and nondurable manufacturing decreased in April. The major contributors to the decline in durables were electrical machinery and motor vehicles and parts. The utilization rates in both, however, were still well above their 1967-82 average. Operating rates remained about the same in several industries, including aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment and instruments. Only petroleum products showed a substantial utilization gain in April. Capacity utilization in materials production fell 0.6 percentage point in April. Utilization in durable and energy materials production fell, and the nondurable materials operating rate edged slightly lower. The overall materials utilization rate has now fallen 3.0 percentage points since August 1984, its high during that year. Capacity Utilization: S u m m a r y Perceni of capacity, seasonally adjusted Series 1973 HIGH 1975 LOU 1978 -80 ! HIGH 1982 LOH 1967 -82 A? EH. 1985 JAN | FEB | MAE | APB 88 « 4 71. 1 87.3 69.6 82.4. 81. 1 81.0 81.1 80.6 Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 87.9 87.9 89,1 69.0 67.6 71.0 87.5 89.4 87.2 68.8 64.8 73.8 81.8. 80.5. 83.9. 81.2 8U8 80.6 80*9 81.7 80.0 81.0. 79«8 80.5 8U4 79.5 Mining Utilities 91,8 94.9 86«Q 90.4 86.8 69.6 79.0 86.5. 88.6* 75.4 83.7 74,9 85.6 75*7 85*2 74.5 85.2 66*6 83. 3* 80.5 80.8 80*8 80*2 Total industry i SndystriaS ^af®r§ais 92*6 69.3 88.9 CAPACITY UTILIZATION APRIL DATA SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, PERCENT 110 TOTAL INDUSTRY TOTAL MATERIALS 90 70 50 110 MINING UTILITIES 90 70 50 110 MANUFACTURING REFINED PETROLEUM PRODUCTS /\ 90 NONDURABLE 70 50 110 MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS 90 70 50 30 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 MANUFACTURING, MINING AND UTILITIES Table 1 Capacity Utilization Monthly, seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity 1975 I 1978 8 1982 ] 1967 j YEAH ! -80 I LOU | -82 | AGO \ 1973 j HIGH , Series LOS i 8 8 8 , 4 j 7 1 . 1 1 87.3 j 69.6 I 8 7 . 9 i 69.0 j 68.8 j I 93.7 | 68.2 ] 91*4 1 66.2 , 69.4 ! 85.9 1 70.0 | 85.5 Total Industry Manufacturing Primary processing Advanced processing Durable manufacturing Stone, ciay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metals, subtotal Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery ma * J Motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. Instruments ^ 1 1 ft. Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products 89.4 '90.4 97*5 1 98*2 I 90.0 | 83.1 I 90.6 I 94,5 Ml| 91.6 76.0 | 68.0 | 93.9 89.6 | 73.7 I 92.3 87.9 86.0 103.3 99.0 66.3 88.3 88.7 98.7 67.6 64.0 69.2 | 60.8 | 65.7 1 71.8 | 62.3 | 51.3 | 64.8 63.0 j 38.6 i 62. 1 60.7 I 61.6 74.7 | 46.1 35.8 I 69.1 I 73.1 i 89.1 85.7 95.4 96.7 86.2 99.1 97.4 I I I \ 1 | | 71.0 77.2 61.3 69.1 65.9 84,6 62.1 I 8 8 8 S 8 I 87.2 85.2 91.3 S5. 1 83.6 93.0 91.5 II 1 ! I 1 I I 73.8 76.5 73.0 84.2 64.0 71.5 74.0 J 82.4 j 81.3 ! 1 19§4 Aflfi 1 82.5 1985 <?FP i 81.9 HAS i iJPR 81.0 81. 1 80.6 80.9 61.0 80.5 60.1 82.0 80.7 81.3 80.7 8U2 80.4 80.7 MOV | DEC 4 JAM 1 FSB | 61.4 81.4 1 81.21 81.1 81.48 81.2 QCT | 81.8 j 81.5 ! 82.8 62.0 81.7 81.6 84.0 i 82.2 j 80.6 | 81.0 J I 80.5 1 60.9 | 73.4 { 78.4 | 82.3 I 71.5 | 1 83.8 | 85.4 j1 | 79.6 | 75.1 1 I I 79.8 | 75.3 1 91.9 1 8 60.0 8 78.6 j 84.4 | ! N A 79.2 1 I 78.1 I 73.6 1 I 83.5 I 78.6 ! I 1 83.9 I 82.3 ! ! 83.3 | 79.9 8 1 86.2 | 65.0 ! $ 89.6 I 96.0 8 I 78.7 I 72. £ 8 8 89.6 5 79.4 1 | 66.3 | 94.6 1 82.1 83.1 81.5 62.4 81.2 81.8 80.6 82.0 79.58 82.2 8 82.9 77.7 67.9 83.6 77.2 81.1 92.5 87.5 77.9 76.5 81.1 82.3 82.2 76.7 65.9 82.6 76.3 80.8 91.3 87.5 79.8 75.8 80.6 82.08 76.58 64.5| 78.08 76.8| 80.48 91.58 87.8 8 81.8 76.5 64.8 81.5 76.3 80.7 89.2 89.8 8 1e 6 8 86.5 77.5 8 77.9 82.0 8 81.4 81.7 76.8 66.9 82.9 77.4 80.2 88.4 87.6 82.5 78.6 81.1 81.9 77.0 71.4 81.9 77.8 80.1 88.5 87.4 83.5 79.5 81.8 81.4 83.3 76. a 80.5 92.5 83.6 70.0 76.5 81*5 62.1 77.4 66.0 84.2 77.4 80.4 91.7 83.0 71.2 76.3 80.5 82.6 79.9 84.1 97.3 73.2 78.5 96.0 81*7 79.5 61.0 97.4 72.9 77.5 94.5 81.1 79.2 79.5 95.0 7L9 77.9 94.0 81.0 78.5 78.5 94.4 72.5 78.7 91.6 8 80.6 80.61 78.8 8 7 9 . 1 78.31 77.9 94.58 94.6 71.7! 71.5 76.5 8 73*9 90.81 91.2 80.0 78.1 77.7 95*5 71.3 75* 1 90.6 79.8 79.5 77.5 94.8 71.0 77.2 90.5 6ali 77.9 79.8 86,9 86.7 81.0 79.6 81.8 79.3 1 Mining 91.8 | 86.0 I 90.4 | 69.6 I 86.5 | 74.3 I 77,3 77.4 74.3 75. 1 74.8 8 75.4 74.9 75.7 74.5 Utilities Electric utilities 94.9 I 82.0 f 86.8 I 79.0 | 68.6 i 85.0 | 97.6 8 82.1 j 8 7 . 0 i 77.9 I 69.8 ) 83.6 I 83.3 81,3 83.2 81.2 82.9 30.8 64.6 82.7 83.98 80.91 83.7 81.3 85.6 33.8 85.2 83. 1 85.2 83.1 I 1985J 1984 i Table 2 Output, Capacity, and Capacity Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted OOTPUT Series S 1985} 1984 I II III Total Industry 159.8 163. 1 165.6 Manufacturing 161.0 164. i* 167.2 160.5 161.7 162.1> 162.2 165.2 169.7 Primary processing Advanced processing 150.2 159.5 83.7 119.0 133.1 170.8 209.4 165.5 141.2 106.8 168.7 153.6 160. I 8 3 . '7 124.« 3 136.< ) 178.6 215.C) 163.4 134.15 109.* I 172. i^ 176.7 160.2 143*2 174.2 223.8 124.5 319.8 130. I 181.3 164. 1 164.6 140. < 138.5 » 173.* 1 177.0 229. ! 231.5 127.' * 123.9 334»<i 340.4 Mining 124.2 125. 1 129.0 Utilities Electric utilities 179.2 203.8 183. « 208. 3 181.1 204.8 Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metals, subtotal Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. Instruments Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products 157.4 159.6 77.2 124.7 140.0 188.0 221.9 167.0 131.4 114.0 177.5 IV II I I 164.71 165.41 1 166.58 166.7J > 159.61 160.81 169.6f 170.31 • I 157.4J 158.21 159.3| 160. 3 J 73.58 75.31 121.2j 121.91 140.0| 141.3J 188.3| 188.78 223.11 220.5) 168.11 173*71 135.0J 147.81 114.71 118.71 178.11 179.71 179.5| 163.7} 132.41 !73.4j 228.8) 122.48 334.01 1 124.31 1 183*0? 206.1} CAS&CI1I 1984 I II I I I 198.4 199.7 201.1 199.5 201.0 202.5 196.5 20 1. 1 197.2 203.0 198.0 204.9 IS IV 1 202.4j 1 204.01 * 198.71 206.68 UTILIZATION I 1985 II I I I I 204.0} 1 205.7J 80.7 199.7| 206.91 81.7 30.3 82.4 81.4 81.9 62.8 l 80.5 81.7 82.4 82.5 I IV 8 81.38 1 81.61 81.1 61.0 80.5 81.5 187.8 203.0 119.0 148.4 179.8 232.0 230. 4 190.9 168.7 147.2 217.1 189.1 204.4 116.7 146.4 180.6 232.6 234.9 192.3 170.5 148.1 217.9 190.4 205.9 114.5 148.4 181.4 233.1 239.3 193.8 172.3 149.0 216.8 191.7J 207a3J 112.21 148.41 182.21 233.7J 243.81 195.2J 174.11 149.9J 219.61 193o4j 208.71 111.01 148.41 183.11 234.91 248.51 196.6! 175.61 150.81 220.6| 79.9 78.5 70.4 80.2 74.0 73.6 90.8 86.6 83.6 72.6 77.7 81.2 78,3 71.7 84.2 75.8 76.8 91.5 84.9 78.9 73.8 79.1 62-6 77.5 67.5 84.0 77.2 80.6 92.7 86.2 76.2 76.5 81.2 80.4! 82.01 • 62.1! 76.9} 65.5] 81.71 76. 8 1 80.51 91.5J 86.11 77.5J 76.5! 81.11 216.5 203.1 163.7 178,, 5 314.0 160.4 342.3 216.2 204.6 165.2 180. 1 315.1 159.4 349.1 220.0 206.1 166.7 181.6 316.3 158.5 355.8 221.71 207.6J 168.21 183.21 317.41 157*5! 362.61 223.51 81.6 78.9 87.5 97.6 71.3 77.6 93.4 82.5 60.2 85.0 96.5 72.7 79.9 95.8 82.4 79.9 83.1 97.4 73.2 78.2 95.7 81.01 78.8! 78.8! 94.6) 72.1! 77.71 92.11 77.7 95.0 71.3 75.4 90.7 125.5J 165.7 165.9 966.1 75.0 75.4 77.7 74.7! 75.4 165*5j 213.8 210.9j 246.9 1 215.3 248.9 216.8 251.0 83.8 82.5 85.0 83.6 83.5 81,6 83.61 81.41 179.1| 1 131.41 175.4| 227*41 118*3| 334.8$ I 1 i 169.11 184.7! 319.01 156.81 369.01 1 * 166.38 166.5J 1 • 218.3! 219.8| 253.0J 255.0J g a 1 1 81.8 76.8 67.7 82.1 77.2 80.3 88.7 88.3 84.1 78.7 81.4 80.1 84.8 82.7 INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS Table 3 Capacity Utilization Series 1973 SIGH Industrial Materials 92.6 Durable goods materials 91.4 1975 | 1978 \ 1982 f 1967 \ YEAS L W S - 8 0 ; LOtf \ -82 j AGO 4 1 1984 O AfJG | I A¥Bfi. I fiOHTB i HIGH 1 { BO? 1 88.9 I 66.6 J Q3^2 82. 5 I 1 j I 1 j 79.7 | 8 1 . 5 | 63 « 5 1 38.4 I 59.8 83«2 82.4 81.0 82.9 82.2 81.3 80.8 82.2 1 73.0 I 70.8 69.8 67.6 80.4g J I 8 0 . 0J 1 64. 51 80.9 66.7 69.3 46.2 I | 6 6 . 0 1 95*4 I 107.1 j 6 8 . 0 1102.9 I 40.2 | Raw steel Aluminum 73.4 I 979 9 ! 57*9 I 96.8 I I I i 94.4 67.4 ! 70.7 I Nondurable goods materials j I 68.6 S 65.4 92.3 Textile, paper, and chemical materials 9 5 . 1 I 72 . 4 | 97.9 I 86.3 | Paper materials 95^5 64.2 I .91.3 i 64.0 I Chemical materials f Metal materials SIP I 97.8 84.3 | 7 4 . 5 | 90.6 | 8 5 . 7 ! 62.9 32.5 62.5 81.0 65.4 79. 4 82.9 81.5 80.5 1 64.0 77.9 86*5 | 83.2 80.2 86.5 j| 82*7 ! 82.4 80.5 79.7 99.7 78.1 99.7 76. 1 98.7 75.7 97*2 75.7 84.7 84.3 81.0 J 79.4| I 73.0| S 98.5| 73.9| 1 i 82.1 • 88.9 94.5 j Energy materials L 88.5 78.5 I 84.5 | 1985 JAM | FSB I HAS | APS 80.5 80.8 80.8 80.2 80.0 79.9 79.8 79.0 65.2 67.7 68.8 68.4 68.2 70.7 75.7 71.5 74.5 79.2 79.5 79.3 78.0 78.2 78.4 78.2 98.2 74,3 96.4 74.7 95.9 75.0 84.2 85.7 86.0 85.3 17 1985 I 111 * I 76.6 79.1 93.4 98.5 | 85,1 | 78.9 | 1 I DEC f 83.21 J 79.2 I Table 4 Output Capacity, and Capacity Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted OUTPUT Series 1984 I II III Industrial Materials 158. 8 162.1 163.4 Durable goods materials 157*6 162.0 164.6 Metal materials Raw steel Aluminum Nondurable goods materials Textile, paper and chemical materials Paper materials Chemical materials Energy materials 97.3 100,3 97.2 84.5 137.5 83.1 144.9 71.6 138.1 183.7 186.6 185.7 193.2 195.9 194.9 165.8 236. 7 168.5 240.4 171.0 238.4 131.2 132.4 133.1 s 1985! 1984 I IV II S 1 194.7 160.2| 1 S J s 162.19 161.88 197. 1 91.01 69.91 131.2J i 1 .181.511 139.61 1 168.3J 233.5] S 1 129.41 8 139. 1 92.0| II III 1 19851 11 1 ]EV 81.6 82.7 82.9 198 . 3 199.5 200. 81 202.41 79. f 81.7 82.5 137.9 I 137. 31 < 136.8J 70.0 72.4 70.5 72.2 82.0 72.5 86.4 63.8 82.3 1 j 82.8 83.5 82.5 82.5 82.9 81.8 98.4 78.3 99.4 78.8 84.2 84.6 S 138 . 5 1 1 223 .4 225. 2 226. 9S 228.41 234.2 236.2 238.2 240. 3 | 168.5 302.3 169.5 305.2 170.5 308.0 171. 51 310, 91 155.8 156 • 4 157.0 157. 6 | I 1 1 I 242.01 I 172.51 313v5j 1 8 158.41 1 80.7| 80.7 1 1 80.71 79.9 1 66-31 6.7.2 t 1 109.71 108.31 167.71 167.5J 1 1 Groupings. Estimates of capacity and industrial production for manufacturing industries are aggregated to primary processing and advanced processing industries, to durable and nondurable manufacturing industries, and to total manufacturing. The mining, manufacturing, and utilities estimates aggregate to the total index. Industrial materials are Items produced and used as inputs by manufacturing plants, mines, and utilities. Industrial materials include many of trie items included in the primary processing grouping of manufacturing, as well as some of the output of the advanced processing industries, mines, and utilities—such as iron ore, crude oil, semiconductors, and electricity sold to Industry. III 197.2 112.2 167.7 I II 195.9 114 • 6 167. 7 189.21 S 167.11 234.01 S 1 135.1J UTILIZATION 1984 I 1 198. 4 J 199.71 8 1 76.11 117.1 126.68 1.67.7 1 S 181.11 221.8 Definition. This release contains estimates of output, capacity, and capacity utilization for the nation's factories, mines, and electric and gas utilities. Estimates of actual output and capacity output are expressed as percentages of 196? actual output. Estimates of capacity utilization are calculated as ratios, in percent, of the Federal Reserve's seasonally adjusted indexes of industrial production to the indexes of capacity. The capacity indexes are based on a variety of data, including capacity data in physical units; surveys of capacity growth and utilization rates, and estimates of capital stock growth. Instead of a formal definition of capacity the concept of practical capacity is applied, which is the greatest level of output that a plant can maintain within the framework of a realistic work pattern, taking account of normal downtime, and assuming sufficient availability of inputs to operate machinery and equipment in place. When the capacity indexes for individual industries are aggregated—-for example to total manufacturing—no explicit account is taken of possible general equilibrium constraints such as emerging industry bottlenecks. CAPACITY 70.2 75.6 100.3 77.4 63. 71 78.21 J 1 80.0] 1 79.0| 1 98.11 75.1| 84.8 82.11 85.3 79.3 78.2 96.8 74.7 Perspective. The historical highs and lows in capacity utilization shown in the tables above are specific to each series and did not all occur In the same month. Industrial plants usually operate at capacity utilization rates that are well below 100 percent: none of the broad aggregates has ever reached 100 percent. For mining, manufacturing, and utilities as a whole, and for total manufacturing, utilization rates as high as 90 percent have been exceeded only in wartime. Revisions. The first estimates for a month are published about the 17th of the following month. These estimates may revise in each of the next three months as new data become available. After the fourth month no further revisions are undertaken until an annual or benchmark revision. The median of the revisions in the total manufacturing utilization rate between the first and fourth estimate is 0.3 of a percentage point; that is, in about half of the cases, the absolute value of the revision from the first to the fourth estimate is less than 0.3 of a percentage point. Sources. The methodology used to estimate the series is discussed in New Federal Reserve Measures of Capacity and Capacity Utilization, Federal Reserve Bulletin,July1983. Revised data from 1967-82 are included in the statistical supplement to the July 1983 capacity utilization release, which may be obtained frbm Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Rounding. The rounding algorithms applied to the capacity, output, and utilization rate series are independent. Aggregates are derived from unrounded detailed components, Release schedule for 1985. Approximately 11 a.m. on January 16, February 19, March 18, April 17, May 16, June 17, July 17, August 16, September 16, October 17, November 18, and December 16.