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FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release For Immediate release G.3 (402) February 16, 1984 CAPACITY UTILIZATION Manufacturing, Mining, Utilities, and Industrial Materials Capacity utilization In manufacturing, mining and utilities rose 0.7 percentage point in January to 79*9 percent, the highest rate since September 1981* Manufacturing also operated at 79.9 percent of capacity in January compared to a downward-revised rate of approximately 79 percent that prevailed in the last months of 1983. The rate for mining increased 1 percentage point further in January to 76*2 percent• In contrast, the rate for utilities declined by 2.1 percentage points to 83.9 percent as the unusually low temperatures experienced in December were followed by more typical weather In January• Within manufacturing, operating rates for producers of durable goods rose 1-1/4 percentage points in January. The rates for the primary metals and transportation equipment industries advanced strongly, but the level of utilization was still quite low for steel, copper, commercial aircraft, ships, and railroad equipment* The utilization rate for nondurable goods industries advanced 0.4 percentage point in January to 81.8 percent, following a slight decline in the last two months of 1983. Some nondurable manufacturing Industries have been operating at relatively high rates. The utilization rates for paper and products and for rubber and plastics products were above the highs observed in the 1978-1980 period, and the rate for textile mill products was above the average of the 1967-1982 period. The overall operating rate for producers of industrial materials rose 0.8 percentage point in January to 80.8 percent which remains below its 1967-82 average of 83.3 percent. Capacity Utilisation: Summary Percent of capacity, seasonally adjusted 1973 Series 1975 LOB 1978 1982 LOU -80 HIGH J 1967 -82 1983 OCT I 10? 1984 I SEC 1 JAN 88.<§ 71.1 87.3 69.6 82.4. 78.7 78-3 79.2 79.9 Manufacturing Durable Nondurable 87,9 87.9 89*1 69.0 67.6 71-0 87.5 89. 4 87.2 68.8 64.8 73.8 8L8. 80.5. 83*9. 78.9 76.5 81.8 78.9 76.8 81.5 79.0 77.1 81.4 79.9 78.3* 81.8 Mining Utilities 91,8 94.9 86.0 82.0 90.% 86.8 69.6 79.0 86.5. 88.6. 71.5 83.3 73.1 83.0 75.2 §6.0 76.2 S3. 9 92.6 69.3 88. 9 66.6 83.3. 79.5 79.8 80.0 §0.8 Total Industry Industrial aiateriats CAPACITY UTILIZATION JANUARY DATA SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, PERCENT 110 TOTAL INDUSTRY TOTAL MATERIALS 90 70 I I I I 50 110 MINING UTILITIES 90 \l MANUFACTURING 70 50 110 MANUFACTURING REFINED PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 90 NONDURABLE V 70 DURABLE 50 110 MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS 90 70 50 I 1 1 11111I 111 1 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 I IIIIIII|IIIII I .1989 1972 1975 1978 1981 MANUFACTURING, MINING AND UTILITIES Table 1 Series I V973 HIGH LOU 1982 -80 LOU | HIGH j I 1967 -82 LAYER. IEAB AGO HOMTB I 196.3 B Y ! A JOBSS J0L1! A0€ 1 SEP ! OCS 1 HO9 1 I DEC 1 1984 JAE 70.7 73.9 74.8 76.3 77.3 78.2 78.7 76.8 79-2| 79.9 f Total Industry 88.4 71.1 87.3 i 69.6 82.4 Manufacturing 87.9 69.0 87.5 68.8 81.8 70.0 73.8 74.9 76.4 77.3 78.4 78.9 93.7 85.5 68.2 69.4 91.4 | 65.9 6fc.2 [ 70.0 , 84.0 80.6 68.6 70.9 74.6 73.4 75-7 74.4 77.1 76.0 78.1 76.9 79.7 77.8 80.4 77.9 87.9 67.6 89.4 | 64.8 88.0 j 6 4 . 0 90.4 J 63.0 ! 103.3 69.2 97.5 1 38.8 59.0 | 6 0 . 8 98.2 | 62.1 | 86.3 I 6 5 . 7 90.0 | 60.7 j 88.3 I 7 1 . 8 I 8 3 . 1 j| 61.6 ( 88.7 8 6 2 . 3 I 90.6 , 7 4 . 7 J 98.7 1 5 1 . 3 94.5 46.1 MA UK 9 1 . 6 |I 3 5 . 8 | 76.0 I 6 8 . 0 | S3.9 69.1 I 89.6 I 7 3 . 7 1 92.3 73.1 80.5 78.4 82.3 83.8 79.6 79.8 80.0 78.6 RA 78.1 83.5 i 66.4 | 64.2 49.1 | 66.2 60.9 I 61.0 |I 76.4 | 58.7 57.8 69.4 72.6 | | | | \ : 70.7 69.5 57.8 75.7 65.0 64.0 80.4 67.7 64.0 68.0 72.9 71.8 70.6 56.0 75.4 66.6 65.4 81.2 70-8 7^.5 67.9 72.8 73.6 72.6 59.7 74.1 68.9 67.3 83.6 74.1 77.3 68.0 74.2 74.6 73.6 62.5 73.9 70.6 68.5 83.8 75.3 78.6 68.3 75.1 76.0 75.3 65.1 76.0 71.3 68.8 66.5 78.9 80.5 68.7 75.9 74.5 | 78.5 | | 76.9 | } 90.4 | 65.2 i | 69.2 I 76.3 i 77.7 78.3 85.4 91.6 63.8 76.0 85.5 ?8.7 86.8 92.3 69.8 75.6 87.2 79.9 8S.0 89.9 93.4 70-8 76.5 S7.8 80.8 79.6 90.3 §5.3 71.2 16.0 90.9 73.8 68.2 68.1 §§.5 80.9 80.0 80.8 79.4 83.. 5 82.9 Primary processing Advanced processing Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metals, subtotal Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, ©qp. Instrument® Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mil! products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products 89.1 85.7 95.4 96.7 86.2, 99.1 97.4 I I I I 9 3 ! Mining 91.8 i 86.0 Utilities Electric utilities 94.9 97.6 I 82.0 I 8 6 . 8 79.0 ! 8 2 . 1 I 87.0 77.9 1 1 71.0 77.2 61.3 69.1 65.9 84.6 62.1 I > | I ! ! | 87.2 85.2 91.3 95.1 83.6 93.0 91.5 90.% I | | I S | 63.9 73.8 7 6 . 5 j 83.3 73.0 86.2 84.2 I 89.6 6 4 . 0 j 78.7 71.5 89.6 74.0 86.3 69.6 i 86.5 ®8.6 78.4 ! 89.8 I 77.2 I I | I 1 I 78.9 i 79.9 80.1 78.1 79.08 79.8J 78.5J 80.8 79.4 76.5 75.3 70-2 77.5 71.0 69.1 87.5 79.0 77.2 69.6 75.5 76.8 75.6 66.0 78.0 71..7 69.9 87.9 63. 2 77.1 70.5 75.3 77.IJ 75.2! 63-11 80.0| 71.4J 70.01 63.5g 83*08 81.6| 7 1 . 0J 75-0| 78.4 31.5 78.8 91.2 96.3 72.2 77.3 92.0 81.8 78.3 91.2 96.8 73.4 76.5 91.9 81.5 78.1 89.5 97.1 72.8 77.8 91. 3 81.4! 1 88.6g 96.7| 72.88 74.6j 90.9§ 81-8 76.2 70.8 71.5 .73.1 85.0 84.5 34.8 83.9 83.3 32.1 83.0 81.7 1982 Of XLIZ AT 1015 1983 L _M . I 86.0§ 85.5| $ 72.3 70.8 90.3 85-2 83.2 72-2 75.9 75.1 76.2 83.9 82-7 Table 2 Output, Capacity, and Capacity Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted Series 1982 If 0DTP0T 1983 I I J Ifl Total Industry 135.3 138.5 144.5 151.8 Manufacturing 134.5 138.4 145.2 152.8 a 1982 If CAPACI1T 1983 XI I ..Ml 193-7 194.6 195.5 196.4 156.6J 194.8 195.7 196.6 197.5 155.61 S f Xfl 1 197.31 1 19©.«! _!£_ III I? 69.8 71.2 73.9 77.3 78.9 69.0 70.7 73-8 77.4 78.9 66.3 70.2 70.5 #1.1 74-. 6 73.5 78.3 76.9 80.1 78.1 a 129.3 137.3 137.0 139.7 145.2 145.1 152.8 152.8 156.9! 193.7 156.01 195.4 194.3 196.5 194.8 197.6 195.3 198.6 195.S1 199.7! Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metsls, subtotal Fabricated metal products Non@lectrlcai machinery Bsctrieal machinery m&m vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. instruments 119.8 126.9 49.4 94.3 107.3 139.7 165.5 104. 5 81.7 98.7 156.1 124.2 131.8 63.4 102.3 110.6 137.6 170.7 120.0 101.4 97.9 154.0 131.1 139.7 69.2 111.2 116.4 146.2 179.9 130.7 109.5 98.1 155.7 139.1 148.5 75.0 110.9 125.4 156.6 191.1 145.8 132.3 99.2 161.5 143.51 152.2! 79.7J 116.4| 127.81 160.9| 200.0! 154.08 132.1! 102.9! 162.7S 184.0 198.8 120.5 146.4 176.2 225.3 220.9 194.4 168. 2 142. 1 212.0 184.7 199.6 120. 1 148.4 176.9 226.7 222.4 193.7 167.8 143.1 213.0 185.4 200.4 120.1 146.4 177.6 226.1 224.1 192«.l 167.8 144.2 214.1 186.1 201.1 120.1 148.* 178.3 229.6 225.7 191.7 167.8 145.2 215.1 65.1 63.3 41.0 63.6 60.9 62.0 74.9 53.8 48.6 69.5 73«7 67.2 66.0 52.8 68.9 §2.5 60.7 76.8 62.0 60.4 68.4 72«*3 70.7 69.7 57.6 74.9 65.S 64. 1 80.3 67.8 65.2 63.0 72.8 74.7 73.8 62.5 74.7 70.3 68.2 84.7 76. 1 78.8 68.3 75.1 76.8 75.4 66.4 78.5 71.4 69.7 £8.0 80-7 78.6 70.4 75.3 Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mil! products Paper and product® Chemicals and products F&troieum products mmw and pigsties product® 155.7 152.1 123.7 153.5 194.3 120.8 252. 1 159.© 153.1 129*5 156.§ 201.9 113-3 264.1 165. S 155.7 139.3 160.5 211*4 122.5 288.3 172.7 159.1 147.6 168.0 220.9 124.2 304.6 175.51 157.71 196.3} 171.98 227.9} 123.11 309.4; 210.5 195.8 163.8 175*3 301.3 164.6 335«0 211.7 197.2 212.8 198-7 163.4 176. ft 306.8 163.0 336.3 213.9 200.2 163.2 S76»§ 309.4 162.1 337.7 186.61 201.9! 120. 1| 148.*! 179o0f 231.0! 227.48 190.7J 167.81 146.3} 213.2! i 21s.es 201.78 163.08 177.«| 312.18 161.31 338«S8 1 74.0 77.7 75*5 87.6 64.5 73.4 75.3 75.1 77.6 79.1 B9.2 66.4 69»2 78.6 77.8 '78.3 85.3 91.0 68.9 75.2 65.6 30.7 79.5 90.4 95.0 71.4 76.6 90*2 81.6 76.2 S3., 8 96.9 73.0 76.3 91.4 Minim T17.0 ..116.7 112.3 tliJ 121.2! 165.1 165.2 165.3 165.* U5.5I 70.9 70.6 67.9 ?0»2 73.3 ynssties 166. 2 187. « 163.3 185*2 169*$ 192.5 178.2 203.6 30.1 78.8 78.5 77, 4 30. S 79.8 84»« 33.8 84.1 33.1 Primary processing Advanced processing 1 175.9 304.1 163.8 1 178.7J 207. 4 203.6! 237.7 208.5 239.2 209.8 2*1.1 211.1 243.0 212.4g 3§®.9l a INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS Tabled Cspscify UtHSistlon ftflonthly, seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity 1973 BIGS Series M®t$.i materials Paper materials Gn@m!eal materials B2C | J9.6J* JAB AOC § SIP | OCf 5 68.7 73.5 74.4 76.5 77.4 78.6 79.5 79.8 80.0| 1 eo.8 62.3 63.5 88.4 | 5 9 . 8 8 79.7 I 97.8 | 68.0 r 95.4 | 46.2 | 82.2 I 53.3 68.9 70.0 72.1 73.6 75.2 76.1 76.6 76.81 78.0 61.0 61.2 62.3 64.0 65.5 68.0 67.0 58.0 63.0 58.2 64.5 59.4 68.0 61.0 71.2 63.3 73.6 67.5 75.1 68.6 76.0 66.81 1 73.81 79.04 J 6S.5 84,8 I «7.9 68.0 102.9' i 73. 4 i 97.9 {I 40.2 I 90.6 j 59.0 1 57.9 I I 70.7 | 86.5 I 73.4 67.4 ! 91.7 78.7 79.6 80.7 81.1 82.9 84.1 84.V 83.71 83.9 S0.4 80.5 32. 6 84.8 84. 1 83. 7 j 83.8 I 69.3 ( 88.9 j 66.6 J 83.3 91.4 95.1 65.4 i 72.4 99. 4 95.5 i 64.2 S4.5 Energy materials 1 1983 J0XY4 Nondurable goods materials T@Kfll©9 p&$mt, arid ehemieai materials 1967 fSAB AGO J -82 I AVEB.jS BOKTBj JOKES 107.1 96.8 f?8w tit®@! Aluminum 1982 LOW HAf JL 92-6 Dure§8® goods materials 1978 1975 LOS J -80 HIGH aa.u 78.1 I 86.5 I 71.« 92.3 68.6 97.9 91.3 93.4 ! 90.S 86.3 6a. o J 85.1 i 66.4 I 79.2 j 1 $2.9 74. Q 93.1 75.3 96.7 75.9 75^5 99.0 77.8 7§I? 101.6 79.5 78.5 73.8 82, § S2.8 81,6 81.$ 8.1.7 I | \ 88.9 j 78.5 9 8 8 . 5 I 80.1 f 1 79I5I 1 i 83.61 83.5 8 Tsbts 4 Output, Capacity, and Cap^9§|f Quarterly, seasonally adjusted Serits Utlfatkm 1982 If GGT2UT 1983 I 11 III a Ifi 1982 IV C&P&CI3I 1983 I II 1 S III III 1982 11 0TILIZATI01 1983 I II 67.1 70.1 73.5 77.5 • ?9«8 60.2 64.2 68.9 73.6 76.5 *7«4 I I I If y@t£f materials 66-5 78.6 84.9 89.3 9 3 . 9 | 140.3 1%0.2 139.9 139.8 8 199.01 8 I 196.5* I 139.61 56.1 60.7 63.9 67.3 Raw §t@#9 Aluminum <49.9 97.5 61.9 99.0 68.7 105.1 72.7 119.0 8 2 . 8 | 119.7 128.61 167.6 119.4 167.7 119.1 113.8 167.7 I18.5g 167.7£ • 1-.-7 58.1 51.9 59.0 57.7 62.7 6U2 ?@.9 69.9 76.7 157.0 163.7 171.7 179.1 217.8 213.6 S 220.61 7 2 . « 75.2 78«5 SU5 84.0 229,4 238.1 231*6 232,7 5 70.5 73.8 77.9 81.2 89.0 165.3 294.3 166.1 296*6 16§.9 293.3 167.7|300.11 I S9.7 90.7 69.« 92.3: 7».€ ; 97.5 76. * 100. 5 79.6 153.9 154S.3 15«,7 155.33 79.2 s- 79.5 78.7 82.3 192.3 192.9 193.4 144.2 154.7j 191.7 I 1 150,39 194.8 195»2 195.6 196.0 gf^yatdtS IS@t@r9s!s 128*7 134.8 141.7 149.9 .Durable goods materials 117.1 125.2 13*.7 Nondurable goods materials Textile, pap#r and ehsmica! materials P*p#r maf@risl@ Chemical materials I 1 160.8 169o3 179.6 183.0 185.31 216.9 1 195.51 228,3 147.6 149.9 204.7 153.4 219.4 162.3 227.8 168.51 16M.fc 238e9§ 292.3 § § Energy ^mmi&m 121.5 122.2 121.5 127.4 127.71 153.3 a K. T^f§ mimm contains estimates of oytpyt, capacity, and cap®c§ty utilization tm ih% nation's fsctorSts, minas, snd e^ctrlc and gas vtmiimi. Estimates of zchml output @nd capacity output are @%pr©§s@d m peccentsgss of 18S7 actual output. Estima!®§ of capacity utilization ®@ calculated a.a rstfoa, in percent, of the F@d@rai Reserve's s@asons$iy adjusted indexes of irv r dustrlsS prodycfion to f?ie indexes of capacity. Th© cspacify £nd®x®@ are based on a variety cf -3zt&, including capacity data in physical units, surveys of capacity growth and utiHzation rates, &r«d ©it9mat©s @ capitsi stock growth, instead of a formal definition of capacity the concept of f pmctteai capacity @ applied, which is ih& gr@at©et i#v@l of output that a plant can maintain i within thm frtm^wor^ of s realistic work pattern, tsking account of normal downtime, snd sssornlng suffici#^t avaiiabilSty of inputs to operate machinery and equipment In pi&se. When tf^s capacity indssts for individual industries ars sggregetes—for enamps© to totsl manuf@ctyr° Sng—no ©gpfl€§f account is fak©o of possible gafiarmi @qu3i9brfum con&tmints swcfs.M ®«i®rgJng S d t l t ? k Qmi^m^ Hstimsts® of capacity and Industrial production for manufacturing Indy©tr3#s @ r ® aggr®9af@d I© primary processing, and advanced processing industries, to durable snd n@n* dursblt m@nuf§€turing industries, and to total manufacturing. Th® mining, manufacturing, and ut!Htf@@ @§timat®s sggregat® to th® total ind$x. Industrial materi&Ss ar® items produesd snd us> @ ®e Input® &y manyfaeturing plants, mlnss, and u!lll!3@§. Industrial mai®rt§38 insiyde many of d m& \Um% 8n@Sudtd in Ih© primary proessslng grouping of manufacturing, as w@!l m som® of tm output of the advanced proeesiing induitrlss, mines, and utHities—such « i iron of®, erud® oS«, "6 5.. 5 @ Tfi# histories! highs md lows in capacity utilization Bhown in the tables above are . specific to each $ r ® and did not aii occur in the same month. Industrial plants "usually @S g operate ®t capacity utlUistion rates ..that ire w H be!ow 100 percent: none of the broad ag@ gregates has ever r @ h d 10© psrs@nt. For mining, manufacturing, and .utilitiesas a ^ho!e, and @ c@ for total mmufaQiwIng, utilisation rates as high ss ©0 percent ht¥# fc^n tse@@d@d only in wartime. irst estimates for a month are published about the 17th of the following month. These estimates may revis© in each of the next three months as new data become available. After the fourth month no further revisions are undertaken until an annual or benchmark revision. The median of the revisions in the total manufacturing utilization rate between the first end fourth estimate is 0.3 of a percentage point; that is, in about half of the cases, the absolute value of th® revision from the first t© the fourth estimate is iess than 0.3 of a percentage point. @ The methodology used to estimate the series is discussed in New Federal Reserve . Massures oi Capacity and Capacity Utilization, Federal Reserve Bulletin, July'1983 Revised data from 1987-82 are included in the statistical supplement to the July 1333 capacity utilization release, which may &s obtained from Publications Services, Soard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, D.C. 20551. Hounding. The rounding algorithms appiied to the capacity, output, and utilization rate series are independent. Aggregates are derived from unrounded detailed components. hadute for 1984. Approximately 1f a.m. on February 16, March 16, April 16. May 15. p p y y , p y l 6 A June 18, July 16, August 16, September 17, October 17, November 16, and December 17.