The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release G.3 (402) For Immediate release CAPACITY UTILIZATION Manufacturing, Mining, Utilities, and Industrial Materials August 17, 1983 Capacity utilization in manufacturing, mining, and utilities increased 1«2 percentage points in July to 75.8 percent, the highest rate since late 1981. The manufacturing utilization rate also rose to 75.8 percent, and the rates for mining and for utilities increased to 70.1 percent and 82.0 percent, respectively. Producers of industrial materials utilized 76.0 percent of capacity in July, up 1.6 percentage points from the June rate. Within manufacturing, gains in operating rates were widespread again in July, led by large increases in activity among producers of primary metals and autos. The utilization of domestic auto plants jumped almost 7 percentage points to 77.3 percent—the highest rate in four years—and the operating rate for the iron and steel industry rose more than 2 percentage points to almost 61 percent. Among producers of industrial materials, those producing durable goods utilized 71.9 percent of capacity in July, up 1.8 percentage points since June. The rate for producers of nondurable goods materials rose somewhat less, by 1.2 percentage points to 80.3 percent. After remaining relatively flat since February, the operating rate for producers of energy materials increased 2.0 percentage points in July to 80.9 percent. Capacity Utilization: Summary Percent of capacity, seasonally adjusted Series Total Industry Manufacturing Durable Nondurable Mining Utilities Industrial Materials 1967 -82 1983 AVEH. APB 69.6 82.4. 73.1 87.5 89.4 87.2 68.8 64.8 73.8 81.8. 80.5. 83.9. 86. 0 82. 0 90.4 86.8 69.6 79. 0 69.3 88.9 66.6 1978 -80 1973 HIGH 1975 LOW 88.4^ 71.1 87.3 87.9 87.9 89.1 69.0 67.6 71.0 91.8 94.9 92.6 1982 LOW HIGH 1 HAT ! JUNE I JULT 73.9 74.6 75.8 72.9 69.7 76.9 73.7 70.7 77.6 74.5 71.6 78.3 75.8 73.2 79.0 86.5. 88.6. 67.5 80.9 68.4 81.0 68.8 81.0 70. 1 82.0 83.3. 72.5 73. 5 74.4 76.0 CAPACITY UTILIZATION JULY DATA SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, PERCENT 110 TOTAL INDUSTRY TOTAL MATERIALS 90 70 I I ! ! ! i 1 50 110 j UTILITIES MINING 90 70 i I i 50 110 MANUFACTURING 90 NONDURABLE REFINED PETROLEUM PROOUCTS 70 i i i i i i i : i i 50 I IIIII I 110 MOTOR VEHICLES AND PARTS 90 70 50 1 1 1! 1968 1971 1974 Ml IM M 30 1977 1980 1983 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 I I 1983 MANUFACTURING, MINING AND UTILITIES Table 1 Capacity Utilization Monthly, seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity 1973 | 1975 | 1978 1 1982 | 1967 | TEAS | Series | -80 HIGH j LOW j LOII | -82 | AGO | | HIGH j IV ER. 1 HONTH 1 198? MOT 1 Total Industry 88.4 I 71. a i 69.6 Manufacturing 87.9 j 69.0 j 87.5 j 1 68.2 91.4 | 69.4 i 85.9 i \ 67.6 I 89.4 | 64.0 I '90.4 | 69.2 | 97.5 | 60.8 | 98.2 65.7 | 90.0 | 83.1 | 71.8 62.3 | 90.6 5 1 . 3 1 94.5 | 91.6 | MA 93.9 | 68.0 7 3 . 7 1 92.3 I Primary processing Advanced processing Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonferrous metals, subtotal Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. Instruments Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products Mining Utilities Electric utilities 1 1983 JAM I FE6 | HAH APB | RAT | JUKEI JOLT 70.7 71.0 71.8 73.1 M.9 74.6 75.8 70.0 70.6 71.6 72.9 73.7 74.6 75.8 68.6 70.9 70.8 70.8 72.1 71.5 73.4 72-5 74.6 73.3 75.4 74.1 76.8 75.2 66.4 64.2 49.1 66.2 60.9 61.0 76.4 58.7 57.8 69.4 72.6 67.1 66.0 53.6 68.7 62.4 60.1 76.0 63.5 63.9 67.8 72.0 68.3 67.8 55.7 71.8 64.3 61.0 77.9 63.7 59.5 68.1 72.2 69.7 69.1 57.0 73.6 65.0 62.9 79.3 65.0 61.2 68.2 72.6 70.7 69.5 57.8 75.8 65.0 64.0 A0.4 67.7 64.0 68.1 72.9 71.6 69.7 58.5 76.4 66.1 65.2 81.1 70.8 70.5 67.8 72.4 73.2 70.6 60.8 78.5 67.4 66.7 82.9 74.1 77.3 68.3 72.8 |I I | | I I I I I 64.8 64.0 39.5 62.1 60.7 62.0 74.9 52.3 46.2 69.5 7 3. 5 DEC I 1 69.71 1 68.91 66.2| 70.4| 1 65.11 63.0| 38.81 63.0| 60.81 61.61 74.71 56.0| 52.3| 69.4| 73.1J I I | | I | I 73.8 77.7 75.2 88.1 64.0 72.9 74.7 73.8f 77.91 74.61 86.1| 64.8| 72.2| 74.51 74.5 78.5 76.9 90.4 65.2 69.2 76.3 75.1 77.6 79.9 88.5 66.5 68.2 78.6 75.8 76.9 80.7 88.8 67.4 70.2 80.9 76.9 77.5 83.6 89.1 68.2 73.9 84. 1 77.6 77.8 85.4 91.5 68.7 75.4 85.8 78.3 78.7 86.9 91.5 69. 1 75.7 86.9 79.0 78.6 88.5 93.0 69.7 76.7 88.0 91.8 I 86.0 I 90.4 I 69.6 I 86.5 I 72.9 | 1 94.9 | 82.0 | 86.8 | 79.0 | 88.6 | 81.3 | 97.6 I 8 2 . 1 | 87.0 | 77.9 | 89.8 1 80.1 | 70.8 71.7| 73.8 69.9 68.1 67.5 68.4 68.8 70.1 80.9 80.1 81.0 80.1 81.0 80.0 82.0 81.1 93.7 ; 85.5 I 87.9 88.0 103.3 99.0 86.3 88.3 88.7 98.7 MA 76.0 89.6 89.1 85.7 95.4 96.7 86.2 99.1 97.4 jI I | I | I | I t | | | | I | | 71.0 77.2 61.3 69. 1 65.9 84.6 62. 1 87.3 | 69.6 j 82.4 | 7 2 . 1 | I | | I | | | 87.2 85.2 91.3 95.1 83.6 93.0 91.5 I | | | | I | 68.8 | 81.8 j 71.4 1 66.2 j 84.0 j 68.2 70.0 | 80.6 | 73.0 ! 64.8 1 80.5 | 68.8 63.0 | 78.4 i 64.1 38.8 | 82.3 47-8 83.8 1 67.0 62. 1 60.7 ( 79.6 | 65.9 61.6 | 79.8 | 65.8 74.7 | 80.0 | 77.7 46. 1 78.6 | 65.2 67.7 3 5 . 8 | MA 70.4 78.1 69.1 78.5 73.1 83.5 73.8 76.5 73.0 84.2 64.0 71.5 74.0 83.9 I 83.3 86.2 | 89.6 I 78.7 ! 89.6 I 88.3 I I i i | I 1 | 68.8 66.4 70.0 74.6 77.9 75.8 84.3 65.2 75.2 77.0 80.4 79.2 79.0| 77.9| 78.4 77.2 77.7 76.5 79.4 78.5 | i Table 2 Output, Capacity, and Capacity Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted 00TP0T Series 1983 1982 111^ If 1 I I CAPACItT 1982 II 1 144.31 191.9 1983 III If I Total Industry 139. 4 138.2 1 135.31 138.5 192.8 193.7J 194. 6 Manufacturing 138. 1 137.7 134.51 138.4 145.01 192.9 193.9 132.3 141.2 132.4 140.5 144.9| 192.3 144.9) 193.2 193.0 194.3 Durable manufacturing Stone, clay and glass products Iron and steel, subtotal Nonfenrous metals, subtotal Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery Electrical machinery Motor vehicles and parts Autos Aerospace and misc. trans, eqp. Instruments 126.1 126.0 61.8 97.9 116.6 150. 4 171. 3 118.2 9 5. 1 100.7 163.8 124.8 128.7 57.3 101.1 114.0 146.4 169.0 119.1 100.7 98.1 164.2 124.2 131.8 63.4 102.3 110.6 137.6 170.7 120.0 101.4 97.9 154.0 131.01 139.21 69.4| 111.71 116.1) 146.01 179.81 130.7| 109.51 98. 11 155.51 182.5 197.4 122.0 148.4 174.8 222. 6 218.2 195.4 170.0 140.0 209.9 183.3 198. 1 121.3 148.4 175.5 223.9 219.6 194. 9 169.1 141.0 210.9 194.8| I 193.7J 195.4| 1 184.01 198.81 120.5| 148.4| 176.21 225.3! 220.91 194.41 168.21 142.1] 212.01 195.7 137.0 139.7 Nondurable manufacturing Foods Textile mill products Paper and products Chemicals and products Petroleum products Rubber and plastics products 155.5 150. 4 124.5 147.7 19 5. 1 122. 4 257.0 156.4 150.2 125.4 151.3 195.4 122.9 260.0 159.0 153.1 129.5 156.9 201.9 113.3 264.1 165.11 155.01 139.4| 159.91 210.7| 122.21 288.31 208.0 192.9 164.2 174.0 295.5 166.3 332. 5 209.3 194.4 164.0 174.6 298.4 165. 4 333.7 164.8 206.5 236.5 210.51 195.81 163.8| 175.31 301.31 164.6| 335-01 • 165.11 • 207.4| 237.71 Mining 128. 8 117.2 129.31 137.31 1 119.8) 126.9| 49.4| 94.3| 107.31 139.7| 165.51 104.5| 81.7| 98.7| 156.1| 1 155.71 152.11 123.7J 153.51 194.31 120.81 252.1) 1 117. 0| 116.7 112.91 164.6 Utilities Electric utilities 170.4 192.7 167.9 189.1 166.21 163.6 187.41 185.2 169.81 205.7 193. 11 235.2 Primary processing Advanced processing 1 i III I 195.5! • 196.61 0TILIZATIOM 1982 1983 III If 72.6 71.7 71. 2 73. 8 II I II 71.6 71. 0 69.81 1 69.0) 70. 7 73. 7 68. 6 72. 3 66.81 70.21 70. 5 71. 1 74. 4 73. 3 68. 1 65.1| 63.8| 41.0| 63.6| 60.9f 62.0| 74.91 53.8| 48.6| 69.5| 73. 71 74.0!I 67. 2 66. 0 70. 69. 57. 75. 65. 211.7 197.2 163.6 175.9 304.1 163.8 336. 0 194.81 68.8 197.61 73.1 • 185.4| 69.1 200.4| 63.8 120.1| 50.7 148.4| 66.0 177.61 66.7 228. 11 67.6 224.11 78.5 192.7! 60.5 167.8) 55.9 144.2) 71.9 214.11 78.0 • 212.8) 74.7 198.71 78.0 163.4) 75.8 176.4| 84.9 306.9) 66.0 163.0| 73.6 336.8! 77.3 • 77. 79. 89. 66. 69. 7fl. 6 85 >o 165.2 165.31 78.3 71 . 1 77.7| 75.51 87.61 64.5) 73.4) 75.3| ! 70.9! 70. 6 68 . 3 208.5 239.2 209.*! 241.11 82.9 81.9 81 . 3 80 . 0 80. 1| 78.81 78.5 80.9 77. 80 . i 194.3 196.5 184.7 199.6 120.1 148.4 176. 9 226.7 222. 4 193.7 167.8 143. 1 213.0 65.0 47.2 68. 1 64. 6 5 . .4 77.0 6 1 .. 1 59 . 6 69.6 77 • ' 74 . 3 77 . 3 76 . 5 86 . 6 65 . 5 74 . 3 77 . 9 52. 8 68. 9 62. 5 60. 7 76-a 62. 60. 68. 72. 0 4 4 3 75.1 b 1 2 4 2 7 5 8 3 4 64. u 80. .1 67 , 8 65, 2 68 0 72. 6 77, 6 7 8 .. 0 85. J 90. i 68. / 75.0 INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS Table 3 Capacity Utilization Monthly, seasonally adjusted, percent of capacity 1973 | 1975 | 1978 1 1982 | 1967 | YEAR | Series | AGO j HIGH J LOH | -80 \ LOH ! - 8 2 HIGH 1 1 AVER.]LJIOMTHJ 1 1 Industrial Materials 9 2 . 6 j 6 9 . 3 ! 88.9 | 66.6 | *L».3 1 69.7 | Metal materials Raw steel Aluminum Textile, paper, and chemical materials 1983 JAR I PEB | HAH | APR | HAT | JOIEI JOLT 70*1 71.5 72. 5 73.5 f$ 74.4 76.0 64.2 66.0 67.7 68.9 70.1 71.9 53.3 56. 1 5«.8 59.9 60.8 62.4 64.6 4 0 . 2 | 47.9 5 7 . 9 | 59.0 1 1 7I.6J 73.4 • 71.4 70.0| 52.1 58.3 55.7 59.8 56.9 60.5 58.0 63.0 58.2 64.5 63.3 65.7 75.3 76.8 77.2 78. 7 79.1 80.3 91.4 63.5 88.4 1 59.8 ] 7 9 . 7 64.9 59.8 97,8 | 6 8 . 0 1 95.4 | 46.2 | 82.2 51.3 46.2 46.8f 107.1 , 96.8 Nondurable goods materials 1 1 DEC | 6 6 . 6 | 68.7 I 1 5 9 . 8 | 62.3 j Durable goods materials 1982 HOV | ] 67.0 ( 84.8 { 47.2 6 8 .0 102.9 { 40.2 73.4 | 97.9 J 57.9 1 90.6 | 64.6 | 41.3 57.9 94.4 67.4 91.7 70.7 86.5 70.7 72.5 95.1 65.4 92.3 68.6 66.5 I 68.6 70.5 74. 1 75.8 76.4 78.1 78.5 79.6 87.41 65.4| 1 90.9 66.4 90.8 69.9 90.3 71.9 91.0 72.6 93.0 74.1 91.8 74.4 93.8 75.2 7.8.51 80.1 79.2 79.2 78.9 78.7 78.9 80.9 • Paper materials Chemical materials 99.4 95.5 94.5 Energy materials 91.1 93.4 1 87.0 86.3 [ 6 4 . 0 | 8 5 . 1 I 64.0 ! 65.4 1 | 1 I 84.4 ! 88.9 [ 7 8 . 5 I 8 8 . 5 I 8 2 . 5 I 7 9 . 2 1 i 72.4 64.2 97.9 91.3 Table 4 Output, Capacity, and Capacityr Utilization Quarterly, seasonally adjusted OUTPUT Series 1982 II III 1983 I IV 117.1J 125.2 194.4 78.6 8 5 . 4 | 140.8 140.6 140.3| 140.2 4 9 . 9 | 61.9 9 7 . 5 | 99.0 1 1 157.0| 163.7 6 8 . 7 | 120.2 105.11 167.4 I 1 171.4) 214.5 120.0 167.5 119.71 167.61 1 1 216.9| 1 228.3| 1 164.4| 292.8| 1 119.4 167.7 132.6 .Durable goods materials 124.7 73.0 Raw steel Aluminum 62.4 116. 1 55.2 104.9 156. 8 155.1 Nondurable goods materials 66.5| • Textile, paper and chemical materials Paper materials Chemical materials Energy materials 1 • 215.6 • 160.5 158.4 150.81 169.3 179.01 225.4 226.8 142.0 194.0 145.9 188.5 123.8 152.7| 162.7 218.51 288.4 1 1 121.6! 152.3 163.6 290.6 125.5 147.6| 149.9 191.91 204.7 I 1 121.51 122.2 1 Definition. This release contains estimates of output, capacity, and capacity utilization for the nation's factories, mines, and electric and gas utilities. Estimates of actual output and capacity output are expressed as percentages of 1967 actual output. Estimates of capacity utilization are calculated as ratios, in percent, of the Federal Reserve's seasonally adjusted indexes of industrial production to the indexes of capacity. The capacity indexes are based on a variety of data, including capacity data in physical units, surveys of capacity growth and utilization rates, and estimates of capital stock growth. Instead of a formal definition of capacity the concept of practical capacity is applied, which is the greatest level of output that a plant can maintain within the framework of a realistic work pattern, taking account of normal downtime, and assuming sufficient availability of inputs to operate machinery and equipment in place. When the capacity indexes for individual industries are aggregated—for example to total manufacturing—no explicit account is taken of possible general equilibrium constraints such as emerging industry bottlenecks. Groupings. Estimates of capacity and industrial production for manufacturing industries are aggregated to primary processing and advanced processing industries, to durable and nondurable manufacturing industries, and to total manufacturing. The mining, manufacturing, and utilities estimates aggregate to the total index. Industrial materials are items produced and used as inputs by manufacturing plants, mines, and utilities, industrial materials include many of the Items included In the primary processing grouping of manufacturing, as well as some of the output of the advanced processing industries, mines, and utilities—such as iron ore, crude oil, semiconductors, and electricity sold to industry. 1983 I IV 191.0 134.7 7 7 .0 III 190.4 1 1 134.81 194.0 Industrial Materials 127.1 CAPACITY 1982 II 1 191.71 192.3 1 1 194.81 195.2 1 128.7| 134.8 1 Metal materials 1 1 III 152.8 217.8 1 1 III UTILIZATION 1982 II III IV 1983 I 1 67.1| 1 70.1 73.5 60.2| 1 47.4| 64.2 68.9 56. 1 61.0 41.71 58.1| 1 1 72.4| • 70.5| 1 89.7| 65.5| \ 1 79.21 51.9 59.0 57.7 62.7 192.9! 1 70.7 69.4 195.6| * 139.9| 65.5 64.2 54.7 51.9 119.11 .-5-1.9 167.7J 69.4 1 1 218.8) 73.1 46.0 62.6 71.9 • 229.4 230.7| 71.2 69.8 165.3 294.8 166.1| 296.61 87.3 67.2 89.1 64.9 153.31 153.9 154.31 1 82.4 81.0 II 75.2 78.3 73.8 77.6 90.7 69.4 91.9 73.7 79.5 78.8 Perspective. The historical highs and lows in capacity utilization shown in the tables above are specific to each series and did not ail occur in the same month. Industrial plants usually operate at capacity utilization rates that are well below 100 percent: none of the broad aggregates has ever reached 100 percent. For mining, manufacturing, and utilities as a whole, and for total manufacturing, utilization rates as high as 90 percent have been exceeded only in wartime. Revisions. The first estimates for a month are published about the 17th of the following month. These estimates may revise in each of the next three months as new data become available. After the fourth month no further revisions are undertaken until an annual or benchmark revision. The median of the revisions in the total manufacturing utilization rate between the first and fourth estimate is 0.3 of a percentage point; that is, in about half of the cases, the absolute value of the revision from the first to the fourth estimate is less than 0.3 of a percentage point. Sources. The methodology used to estimate the series is discussed in New Federal Reserve Measures of Capacity and Capacity Utilization, Federal Reserve Bulletin, July 1983 Revised data from 1967-82 are included in the statistical supplement to the July 1983 capacity utilization release, which may be obtained from Publications Services, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Washington, O.C. 20551. Rounding. The rounding algorithms applied to the capacity, output, and utilization rate series are independent. Aggregates are derived from unrounded detailed components. Release schedule for 1983. Approximately 11 a.m. on August 17, September 16, October 17, November 16 and December 16.