Full text of G.17 Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization : December 15, 1999

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FEDERAL RESERVE statistical release
G.17 (419)

For release at 9:15 a.m. (EST)
December 15, 1999

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production advanced 0.3 percent in November after a 0.8 percent increase in October. At
139.5 percent of its 1992 average, industrial production in November was 4.3 percent higher than in November 1998.
The rate of capacity utilization for total industry was unchanged at 81.0 percent, a level 1 percentage point below its
1967–98 average.
Market Groups
The output of consumer goods ticked up 0.1 percent in November after having risen 1.6 percent in October.
The production of durable consumer goods fell back 0.3 percent, pulled down by a drop in home appliances and
televisions. After having advanced nearly 1-1/2 percent in October, the output of nondurable non-energy consumer goods
rose 3/4 percent, led by increases in food, tobacco, and consumer chemical production. A 3.6 percent decline in the
output of energy products reflected an unusually warm November as well as disruptions at a couple of petroleum
refineries.
(over)

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION: SUMMARY
Seasonally adjusted
Index, 1992=100

Percent change

Industrial Production

1999
Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

Total index
Previous estimates

137.7
137.6

138.0
137.6

139.1
138.5

Major market groups:
Products, total
Consumer goods
Business equipment
Construction supplies
Materials

127.6
117.6
173.9
132.9
154.6

127.5
116.9
173.8
134.0
155.6

Major industry groups:
Manufacturing
Durable
Nondurable
Mining
Utilities

142.5
174.4
111.5
98.5
117.8

142.9
174.9
111.8
98.4
116.9

Capacity Utilization
Total industry
Previous estimates
Manufacturing
Advanced processing
Primary processing
Mining
Utilities

Average
1967–98

1982
Low

1999
Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

139.5

.3
.2

.2
.0

.8
.6

.3

4.3

128.8
118.8
174.9
135.0
156.3

129.0
118.9
175.4
136.0
157.3

.6
.7
.7
–.2
–.3

–.1
–.6
–.1
.8
.7

1.1
1.6
.6
.8
.5

.1
.1
.3
.7
.6

3.1
2.8
5.0
4.4
6.3

144.0
176.1
112.8
99.2
119.2

144.6
177.0
113.2
99.9
116.4

.4
.3
.4
.8
–1.7

.3
.3
.2
–.1
–.8

.8
.7
.9
.8
1.9

.5
.6
.3
.7
–2.3

4.6
7.0
1.4
–1.5
5.0

Percent of capacity
1988–89
1998
1999
High
Nov.
Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

Nov. 98 to
Nov. 99

Capacity
growth
Nov. 98 to
Nov. 99

82.1

71.1

85.4

80.9

80.7
80.6

80.6
80.4

81.0
80.7

81.0

4.2

81.1
80.5
82.4
87.5
87.4

69.0
70.4
66.2
80.3
75.9

85.7
84.2
88.9
88.0
92.6

80.2
79.4
82.6
84.2
87.6

79.7
78.8
82.8
81.9
92.2

79.7
78.7
82.8
81.9
91.4

80.0
79.1
83.0
82.6
93.0

80.1
79.1
83.3
83.2
90.8

4.7
5.6
2.4
–.2
1.4

The production of business equipment increased for a second month; gains in information processing
equipment and other equipment offset decreases in industrial and transit equipment. Within the information processing
group, the output of computers increased 2.1 percent, a step down from the high rates of growth seen recently. Within the
“other equipment” category, farm machinery posted a large increase after having fallen much more sharply during the past
spring and summer. The output of transit equipment was once again constrained by a drop in the production of
commercial aircraft and parts.
The production of construction supplies rose 3/4 percent for the third month in a row to a level 4-1/2 percent
higher than in November 1998. The output of materials increased 0.6 percent, a rise similar to the gains posted in the
previous two months. Sizable increases in the production of steel and semiconductors (the output of which has
accelerated in the past two months) lifted the production of durable goods materials 1.2 percent in November. The
output of nondurable goods materials, which had jumped nearly 1 percent in October, edged up 0.1 percent.
Industry Groups
Manufacturing output rose 1/2 percent in November after a 3/4 percent gain in October. The increase in the
output of durables was led by gains at makers of primary metals (particularly iron and steel), motor vehicles and parts,
computers, semiconductors, and communications equipment. While most other durable goods industries recorded
increases, the output of commercial aircraft and construction machinery declined noticeably. The ongoing contraction in
the production of commercial aircraft reduced the output of aerospace and miscellaneous transportation equipment in
November to a level about 13 percent below that of November 1998.
Production in nondurable manufacturing increased for a fourth month after earlier weakness; the level of
production for nondurable manufacturing is 1.4 percent higher than a year earlier. Among nondurables, food production
increased nearly 1 percent for a second month, as did chemicals and products. Losses were posted by the petroleum
products, textile, apparel, and printing and publishing industries.
The factory operating rate edged up 0.1 percentage point, to 80.1 percent, the highest level since November
1998. The utilization rate for durable manufacturing was a bit above its 1967–98 average, while the rate for nondurable
manufacturing industries was well below its average.
The output at utilities fell back 2-1/4 percent in November; mine production, which was boosted by an
increase in oil and gas well drilling, increased for the second straight month.

2

Revision of Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
On November 30, 1999, the Federal Reserve Board published a revision to the index of
industrial production (IP) and the related measures of capacity and capacity utilization for the period from
January 1992 to October 1999. The updated measures reflect both the incorporation of newly available,
more comprehensive source data typical of annual revisions and, for some series, the introduction of
improved methods for compiling the series. The new source data are for recent years, primarily 1997 and
1998, and the modified methods affect data from 1992 onward. In addition, the supplementary series on the
gross value of products leaving the industrial sector are now expressed in 1996 dollars; these series begin in
1977.
The updated IP measures include some annual data from the Census Bureau’s 1997 Census of
Manufactures and from selected editions of its 1998 Current Industrial Reports. Annual data from the U.S.
Geological Survey on metallic and nonmetallic minerals (except fuels) for 1997 and 1998 are also
introduced. The updating includes revisions to the monthly indicator for each industry (either physical
product data, production worker hours, or electric power usage) and revised seasonal factors.
The revision introduced improved measures of production for computers and office equipment
(SIC 357) and motor vehicles (SIC 3711, 3). The new monthly measure for computers is derived from
detailed information on the major products produced by the industry. For example, from 1994 to 1998,
quarterly data on the physical quantity and average unit values of about 1,100 distinct models of personal
computers, notebooks, servers, and workstations are used to construct the new IP index for computers;
previously, monthly electric power use by the industry was used as the within-year indicator of production.
The new measures of motor vehicle production incorporate price weights for the different models of light
vehicles; previously, all autos and light trucks were weighted equally in compiling an aggregate figure. In
addition, the monthly production indicators for bolts and fasteners (SIC 345) and for metalworking
machinery (SIC 354) were changed from electric power use to production worker hours.
Capacity and capacity utilization rates have been revised to incorporate preliminary data from
the Census Bureau’s 1998 Survey of Plant Capacity, which covers manufacturing, along with other new data
on capacity from the U.S. Geological Survey, the Department of Energy, and other organizations.
The revision is available on the Board’s web site, at www.federalreserve.gov/releases/g17, and
on diskettes from Publications Services (telephone 202-452-3245). The revised data are also available
through the STAT-USA web site of the Department of Commerce (www.stat-usa.gov). Further information
on these revisions is available from the Board’s Industrial Output Section (telephone 202-452-3197).

3

4

Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
(November data, seasonally adjusted)
Ratio scale, 1992=100

Percent of capacity

Capacity Utilization

Industrial Production
140

85
130

Total Industry
Manufacturing

120

Total Industry

110

80

Manufacturing

100
90

75
1990

1995

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

Industrial Production, Market Groups

Ratio scale, 1992=100

155

2000

Consumer goods

Ratio scale, 1992=100

Intermediate Products

155

145

145

135

135

125

125
Durable

115

115
Construction supplies

105

105
Business supplies

Nondurable

95

95

85

85
1990

1995

2000

1990

1995

Ratio scale, 1992=100

205
190
175
160
145
130

2000
Ratio scale, 1992=100

Equipment

Materials

205
190
175
160
145
130

Durable goods
Business

115

115

100

100

Nondurable goods
and energy

85

85
Defense and Space

70

70
1990

1995

2000

5

1990

1995

2000

Table 1A
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: MARKET GROUPS
Index, 1992=100
1998
IP
Proportion1

Seasonally Adjusted
1999
June

100.00

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

1999
June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

136.6

137.4

137.7

138.0

139.1

139.5

139.4

135.1

141.6

142.1

141.9

138.9

61.73
46.71

126.8
128.3

126.9
128.6

127.6
129.5

127.5
129.0

128.8
130.6

129.0
130.8

128.5
129.7

125.3
125.2

131.9
133.4

131.4
132.6

131.6
133.2

127.4
129.0

Consumer goods
Durable
Automotive products
Autos and trucks
Autos
Trucks
Auto parts and allied goods
Other durable goods
Appliances and electronics
Appliances and air cond.
Home electronics
Carpeting and furniture
Miscellaneous
Nondurable
Nonenergy
Foods and tobacco
Clothing
Chemical products
Paper products
Energy products
Fuels
Utilities

28.05
5.92
2.68
1.59
.55
1.05
1.08
3.25
.83
.47
.37
.85
1.57
22.13
19.51
9.89
1.79
4.97
2.86
2.62
.77
1.84

117.0
154.0
147.4
157.5
101.8
214.2
132.5
158.8
319.0
131.0
764.3
121.0
116.2
108.4
107.5
107.3
90.2
120.2
101.5
115.3
109.9
117.4

116.8
153.4
143.7
148.9
102.4
197.2
135.3
161.1
329.9
132.3
815.1
124.1
115.9
108.3
106.9
106.7
89.2
119.4
102.0
118.6
111.1
121.7

117.6
155.5
150.6
162.9
105.0
221.6
132.8
158.7
319.0
127.7
789.7
122.1
115.4
108.9
107.8
106.5
90.1
122.7
103.2
116.6
110.0
119.3

116.9
153.5
145.5
152.8
105.5
201.9
134.4
159.6
326.3
122.2
871.7
124.0
114.3
108.5
107.4
106.1
90.1
120.9
104.5
116.4
112.0
117.9

118.8
156.4
147.4
155.1
103.9
207.8
135.7
163.5
353.8
133.1
941.0
124.4
114.6
110.1
108.9
107.5
90.7
122.7
106.2
118.8
114.3
120.4

118.9
156.0
147.4
154.4
107.4
203.5
136.6
162.6
345.4
132.1
901.8
124.5
114.9
110.3
109.7
108.8
90.4
124.0
105.2
114.5
110.1
116.1

118.5
154.3
151.5
162.8
110.8
216.3
135.3
155.5
304.2
134.7
669.7
125.4
112.0
110.3
111.2
110.9
95.1
127.0
100.8
103.2
112.6
98.7

114.9
130.2
107.4
87.5
62.3
113.8
132.5
150.5
301.3
123.1
741.0
122.8
106.2
110.7
109.4
107.1
89.3
129.2
101.8
120.2
113.0
124.1

122.6
155.0
152.6
165.3
107.0
224.2
134.6
155.9
313.5
122.4
813.5
126.5
110.1
115.0
114.8
113.9
94.2
134.1
104.1
116.1
111.8
118.5

121.1 121.2 116.3
155.3 163.7 153.9
150.6 159.4 144.2
157.9 174.1 150.8
107.4 116.6 104.9
209.8 232.9 198.3
139.5 138.7 134.2
158.4 166.3 161.6
335.3 382.4 363.5
118.6 136.1 126.1
963.8 1093.1 1062.8
127.5 128.9 121.7
108.9 111.0 111.3
113.1 111.6 107.7
114.1 112.8 107.3
112.8 113.0 107.3
93.9
93.4
89.3
133.3 126.9 117.4
104.4 105.3 105.6
105.5 102.6 110.6
112.9 114.7 113.1
102.0
96.7 109.5

Equipment, total
Business equipment
Information processing & related
Computer and office
Industrial
Transit
Autos and trucks
Other
Defense and space equipment
Oil and gas well drilling
Manufactured homes

18.65
15.57
6.24
1.51
4.76
3.10
1.30
1.47
2.08
.74
.26

148.3
171.2
248.2
830.2
133.7
128.2
132.2
130.2
74.6
100.1
158.9

149.3
172.6
253.8
851.9
135.4
127.5
131.2
123.8
74.5
102.0
151.5

150.5
173.9
259.9
892.8
133.6
128.1
135.3
123.2
74.7
107.1
151.3

150.3
173.8
261.0
926.9
133.8
124.6
132.0
126.3
73.6
111.3
144.4

151.3
174.9
266.3
957.0
135.3
121.0
130.6
125.3
73.8
115.7
145.0

151.7
175.4
268.8
977.1
134.4
120.3
133.4
128.0
72.9
120.8
147.0

150.7
174.2
250.5
829.0
136.2
132.3
141.3
132.4
74.0
100.9
171.5

144.5
166.3
257.0
861.4
132.3
105.4
85.3
119.1
73.0
105.2
138.5

153.6
177.6
268.2
917.9
135.0
128.9
137.6
127.3
74.1
109.7
164.1

154.4 155.7 152.9
179.1 180.2 176.6
271.7 274.2 274.4
976.0 1025.3 1038.8
136.4 137.5 133.7
126.7 127.6 119.3
135.1 146.5 129.6
131.3 128.4 127.4
73.0
74.0
73.6
113.9 116.4 121.1
151.1 159.9 142.2

15.03
6.08
8.95

121.7
132.6
115.3

121.5
133.2
114.6

121.7
132.9
115.1

122.6
134.0
115.8

123.4
135.0
116.4

123.4
136.0
115.8

124.9
139.9
116.0

125.7
136.9
119.1

127.7
139.6
120.6

127.9
139.7
120.8

127.2
139.9
119.6

122.7
135.3
115.3

38.27

153.1

155.0

154.6

155.6

156.3

157.3

157.7

151.1

157.2

159.9

158.8

158.3

23.38
4.50
8.63

197.2
150.5
355.2

200.3
153.9
364.6

199.9
147.2
369.0

202.2
155.8
371.0

202.5
153.8
374.8

204.9
155.7
379.8

203.8
156.5
371.1

190.0
127.2
349.5

201.9
150.1
368.1

210.1
156.6
398.6

207.1
161.8
379.7

207.1
154.7
392.5

Item

Total index
Products, total
Final products

Intermediate products
Construction supplies
Business supplies
Materials
Durable
Consumer parts
Equipment parts
Semiconductors, printed circuit
boards, and oth. elec. comps.
Other
Basic metals
Nondurable
Textile
Paper
Chemical
Other
Energy
Primary
Converted fuel

3.00
10.25
3.14
7.92
.87
1.72
3.49
1.83
6.97
4.54
2.43

SPECIAL AGGREGATES
Total excluding:
Autos and trucks
Motor vehicles and parts
Computers
Computers and semiconductors2

97.11
94.75
97.77
94.26

136.4
135.9
130.6
119.3

137.3
136.7
131.2
119.7

137.4
137.1
131.4
119.8

137.9
137.1
131.4
119.8

139.0
138.4
132.4
120.6

139.4
138.7
132.7
120.8

139.0
138.3
133.5
121.2

136.5
136.8
129.0
117.6

141.2
140.8
135.1
122.9

142.0
141.4
135.4
122.3

141.3
140.5
134.9
122.5

138.8
138.1
131.8
119.3

Consumer goods excluding:
Autos and trucks
Energy

26.46
25.44

114.8
117.2

115.0
116.6

115.2
117.7

115.0
117.0

116.8
118.8

117.0
119.4

116.2
120.3

116.0
114.3

120.4
123.3

119.1
122.8

118.5
123.3

114.5
117.0

Business equipment excluding:
Autos and trucks
Computer and office equipment

14.28
14.07

175.7
143.6

177.4
144.4

178.3
144.6

178.5
143.6

180.0
143.9

180.2
143.9

177.8
146.4

176.0
138.0

182.2
147.5

184.1
147.4

183.9
147.3

182.0
143.5

Materials excluding:
Energy

31.30

169.5

171.6

171.3

172.9

173.5

175.0

175.6

165.7

174.0

179.4

178.3

177.3

1457.5 1539.4 1559.1 1581.1 1619.6 1664.2 1579.5 1347.2 1490.2 1830.6 1578.7 1696.6
130.6 131.1 131.6 131.1 131.2 132.5 132.8 130.0 133.4 133.7 133.1 131.9
122.6 122.8 123.3 121.9 123.4 126.1 123.1 119.5 120.9 122.8 123.4 125.3
114.2 114.5 114.4 114.8 115.7 115.9 115.6 113.1 114.6 115.0 117.2 114.6
101.2 101.2 101.1 100.4 102.2 100.8 103.2
96.3 103.8 100.1 105.3 100.4
117.7 116.3 116.3 118.9 118.5 118.5 118.8 116.2 117.2 117.9 118.4 117.0
116.9 117.7 117.4 117.6 118.5 119.1 117.6 116.9 116.4 118.2 118.0 117.5
112.0 113.0 113.2 112.5 114.5 114.5 114.9 111.1 114.0 113.5 120.2 113.6
101.6 102.9 102.3 101.7 102.7 102.0 102.4 104.3 104.5 100.4
99.3
99.9
98.9 100.2 100.3
99.6 100.3
99.9 100.2
99.7 100.8
98.1
97.3
98.2
106.8 108.0 106.1 105.7 107.3 106.0 107.0 114.3 112.5 105.2 103.6 103.5

1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year.
2. Semiconductors include related electronic components.

6

Table 1B
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: MARKET GROUPS
Percent change

Item

1997 Q4
to
1998 Q4

Seasonally adjusted
annual rate
1998 1999
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3r

Seasonally adjusted
1999
Aug.r Sept.r
Oct.r Nov.p

Not seasonally adjusted
1999
Aug.r Sept.r
Oct.r Nov.p

Nov. 98
to
Nov. 99

Total index

2.9

3.3

2.0

4.7

4.7

.3

.2

.8

.3

4.8

.4

–.2

–2.1

4.3

Products, total
Final products

2.5
2.3

2.4
1.6

1.5
1.0

2.7
3.1

2.3
3.1

.6
.7

–.1
–.4

1.1
1.2

.1
.1

5.3
6.6

–.4
–.5

.2
.4

–3.2
–3.1

3.1
3.1

–.9
5.0
4.7
4.2
2.7
5.0
6.0
5.1
23.8
9.8
39.4
2.5
–3.3
–2.5
–2.3
–1.3
–8.1
–.2
–5.4
–3.9
–.6
–5.1

–1.1
14.9
42.7
78.0
39.3
103.1
3.2
–4.2
15.8
20.4
10.3
–.8
–15.4
–5.1
–2.3
.7
–12.0
–1.3
–7.7
–23.1
–6.2
–29.2

4.0
11.8
–1.4
–4.0
–26.7
9.5
2.8
24.4
66.5
13.2
161.1
11.7
10.8
1.9
.6
3.4
–.3
3.0
–12.2
12.4
10.8
13.1

.0
8.1
8.9
13.7
–3.3
22.3
1.6
7.4
8.2
–1.6
19.2
–1.5
12.2
–2.2
–3.5
–4.0
–3.9
–5.0
1.2
8.2
–4.6
13.9

1.3
3.2
4.7
4.3
12.4
1.2
5.1
1.9
8.4
–8.6
34.3
9.1
–5.2
.8
–.2
–4.5
–4.0
4.1
10.9
7.6
.9
10.7

.7
1.4
4.8
9.4
2.5
12.4
–1.9
–1.5
–3.3
–3.5
–3.1
–1.6
–.4
.5
.9
–.2
1.1
2.8
1.1
–1.7
–.9
–2.0

–.6
–1.3
–3.3
–6.2
.5
–8.9
1.2
.6
2.3
–4.2
10.4
1.6
–1.0
–.4
–.4
–.4
.0
–1.4
1.3
–.2
1.8
–1.1

1.6
1.9
1.3
1.5
–1.6
2.9
1.0
2.4
8.4
8.9
8.0
.3
.2
1.5
1.4
1.4
.6
1.5
1.6
2.1
2.0
2.1

.1
–.3
.0
–.4
3.3
–2.0
.6
–.5
–2.4
–.7
–4.2
.1
.3
.2
.7
1.2
–.3
1.0
–.9
–3.6
–3.6
–3.6

6.7
19.0
42.1
89.0
71.8
96.9
1.6
3.6
4.1
–.5
9.8
3.0
3.7
3.9
5.0
6.3
5.5
3.8
2.2
–3.4
–1.1
–4.5

–1.3
.2
–1.4
–4.5
.3
–6.4
3.7
1.6
7.0
–3.1
18.5
.8
–1.0
–1.6
–.6
–.9
–.4
–.6
.4
–9.1
1.1
–13.9

.1
5.4
5.9
10.3
8.6
11.0
–.6
5.0
14.0
14.7
13.4
1.1
1.9
–1.3
–1.1
.1
–.5
–4.8
.9
–2.8
1.5
–5.2

–4.0
–6.0
–9.6
–13.4
–10.0
–14.9
–3.3
–2.8
–4.9
–7.3
–2.8
–5.6
.3
–3.5
–4.9
–5.0
–4.3
–7.4
.3
7.8
–1.4
13.3

2.8
7.3
3.8
2.8
–1.8
5.3
5.1
10.4
26.4
4.0
59.0
5.8
4.3
1.5
.8
.4
–.9
1.6
1.7
7.7
.5
10.8

7.3
10.0
20.0
77.7
.7
10.7
6.4
–1.6
.6
–25.3
6.7

5.7
8.4
15.9
61.4
–4.1
22.0
54.5
–7.4
1.0
–35.6
9.8

–3.2
–1.6
10.3
44.9
–8.0
–15.8
–10.5
1.4
–2.2
–41.2
–.7

7.8
10.0
34.9
67.8
–3.0
–6.8
5.6
–14.1
–2.1
–1.3
–19.1

5.9
6.9
27.2
51.3
–2.0
–6.4
4.6
–24.1
–3.4
35.3
–27.7

.8
.7
2.4
4.8
–1.3
.4
3.1
–.5
.2
5.0
–.1

–.2
–.1
.4
3.8
.2
–2.7
–2.4
2.5
–1.4
4.0
–4.6

.7
.6
2.0
3.3
1.1
–2.9
–1.1
–.8
.3
3.9
.4

.3
.3
1.0
2.1
–.7
–.6
2.1
2.2
–1.3
4.4
1.4

6.3
6.8
4.4
6.6
2.1
22.3
61.3
6.9
1.6
4.3
18.5

.6
.8
1.3
6.3
1.1
–1.7
–1.8
3.1
–1.5
3.8
–7.9

.8
.6
.9
5.1
.8
.7
8.4
–2.2
1.4
2.2
5.8

–1.8
–2.0
.0
1.3
–2.8
–6.5
–11.5
–.8
–.6
4.1
–11.0

3.7
5.0
22.5
52.0
–2.7
–12.3
–.3
–8.4
–3.9
4.2
–14.1

3.0
5.6
1.4

4.8
7.0
3.3

3.2
5.5
1.6

1.6
–.7
3.3

.1
3.5
–2.2

.2
–.2
.4

.7
.8
.7

.6
.8
.5

.0
.7
–.5

1.6
1.9
1.3

.1
.1
.2

–.5
.2
–1.0

–3.5
–3.3
–3.6

2.8
4.4
1.7

3.5

4.8

2.8

7.8

8.7

–.3

.7

.5

.6

4.0

1.8

–.7

–.4

6.3

7.3
–2.8
22.2

10.2
4.7
20.3

4.3
3.4
9.0

10.7
2.6
27.7

12.7
9.5
26.9

–.2
–4.3
1.2

1.2
5.9
.5

.2
–1.3
1.0

1.2
1.2
1.3

6.3
17.9
5.3

4.0
4.3
8.3

–1.4
3.3
–4.7

.0
–4.4
3.4

9.1
7.0
18.8

56.6
–.7
–5.6
–2.9
–9.5
–2.6
–3.5
1.6
–1.0
–.4
–2.2

66.4
4.2
–7.6
–1.8
–18.3
–6.1
1.1
5.5
–4.9
–1.9
–10.3

18.4
.6
–2.0
1.8
–9.1
6.5
3.3
–.2
–1.3
–4.5
5.0

71.7
–.1
8.1
5.4
9.6
1.7
11.1
–3.4
.2
–3.6
7.4

61.4
2.4
6.0
3.4
–2.7
2.4
6.7
.8
1.1
7.6
–10.0

1.3
.4
.4
–.1
–.2
–.1
–.2
.1
–.5
.1
–1.8

1.4
–.3
–1.1
.3
–.7
2.3
.1
–.6
–.6
–.7
–.3

2.4
.0
1.2
.9
1.8
–.3
.7
1.8
1.0
.8
1.5

2.8
1.0
2.1
.1
–1.4
.0
.6
.0
–.7
–.4
–1.2

10.6
2.6
1.2
1.4
7.8
.9
–.4
2.6
.2
1.1
–1.6

22.8
.3
1.6
.3
–3.5
.6
1.5
–.5
–4.0
–2.7
–6.5

–13.8
–.5
.5
1.9
5.2
.4
–.1
5.9
–1.1
–.8
–1.6

7.5
–.9
1.6
–2.3
–4.7
–1.2
–.4
–5.5
.6
.9
.0

42.8
1.7
6.3
3.6
–1.8
5.1
5.7
.7
–.1
–.5
.6

2.8
3.0
1.5
–.1

1.8
1.8
2.3
.5

2.3
2.3
.7
.1

4.5
4.4
3.3
1.0

4.7
4.6
3.6
1.9

.1
.3
.1
.1

.3
.1
.1
.0

.9
.9
.8
.7

.3
.3
.2
.2

3.5
2.9
4.7
4.6

.5
.4
.2
–.5

–.5
–.6
–.4
.1

–1.8
–1.7
–2.3
–2.6

4.4
4.2
3.1
1.8

Consumer goods excluding:
Autos and trucks
Energy

–1.2
–.6

–4.6
1.5

4.5
3.2

–.8
–.8

1.1
.6

.2
1.0

–.2
–.6

1.6
1.5

.1
.5

3.8
7.9

–1.0
–.4

–.5
.4

–3.4
–5.1

2.8
2.3

Business equipment excluding:
Autos and trucks
Computer and office equipment

10.3
4.0

5.0
3.3

–.7
–6.6

10.4
3.2

7.1
1.4

.5
.1

.1
–.7

.8
.2

.1
.0

3.5
6.9

1.1
.0

–.1
–.1

–1.0
–2.6

5.5
–.6

4.5

7.1

3.7

9.5

10.4

–.2

1.0

.3

.9

5.0

3.1

–.6

–.6

7.8

Consumer goods
Durable
Automotive products
Autos and trucks
Autos
Trucks
Auto parts and allied goods
Other durable goods
Appliances and electronics
Appliances and air cond.
Home electronics
Carpeting and furniture
Miscellaneous
Nondurable
Nonenergy
Foods and tobacco
Clothing
Chemical products
Paper products
Energy products
Fuels
Utilities
Equipment, total
Business equipment
Information processing & related
Computer and office
Industrial
Transit
Autos and trucks
Other
Defense and space equipment
Oil and gas well drilling
Manufactured homes
Intermediate products
Construction supplies
Business supplies
Materials
Durable
Consumer parts
Equipment parts
Semiconductors, printed circuit
boards, and oth. elec. comps.
Other
Basic metals
Nondurable
Textile
Paper
Chemical
Other
Energy
Primary
Converted fuel
SPECIAL AGGREGATE
Total excluding:
Autos and trucks
Motor vehicles and parts
Computers
Computers and semiconductors1

Materials excluding:
Energy

Note—Percent changes shown in the first and last columns are based on seasonally adjusted data.
1. Semiconductors include related electronic components.

7

Table 2A
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY GROUPS
Index, 1992=100
1998
IP
SIC Proportion1

Item

Total index
Manufacturing
Primary processing
Advanced processing
Durable
Lumber and products
Furniture and fixtures
Stone, clay, and glass products

24
25
32

Seasonally Adjusted
1999
June

100.00

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

1999
June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

136.6

137.4

137.7

138.0

139.1

139.5

139.4

135.1

141.6

142.1

141.9

138.9

88.29

141.4

142.0

142.5

142.9

144.0

144.6

145.2

138.9

146.6

148.4

148.4

144.6

27.00
61.29

122.7
151.2

123.3
151.8

123.4
152.6

123.6
153.0

124.2
154.4

124.8
155.1

125.0
155.3

121.9
147.3

124.9
157.5

125.1
160.1

126.4
159.6

124.2
154.7

49.36
2.16
1.41
2.45

172.2
122.2
124.4
127.8

173.8
121.5
125.7
129.3

174.4
120.2
126.4
130.2

174.9
119.6
127.9
129.7

176.1
120.5
126.8
130.6

177.0
121.1
126.2
132.3

176.5
127.5
126.9
131.7

164.8
120.1
125.5
131.0

177.0
125.0
133.1
134.7

180.6
123.5
133.4
133.9

181.1
126.0
128.5
134.8

178.0
120.6
125.4
132.3

3.36
1.83
.08
1.53
5.58

127.4
124.5
110.7
130.8
128.3

128.0
126.2
111.1
130.2
128.6

129.6
127.6
115.9
132.1
128.5

128.0
125.3
112.4
131.3
128.3

129.1
126.7
121.8
132.1
128.4

132.3
132.7
127.2
131.8
128.7

128.0
124.9
110.8
131.7
130.4

123.3
122.2
106.5
124.6
127.9

127.3
124.5
112.7
130.7
130.8

128.9
126.0
112.0
132.5
130.9

130.0
128.4
119.8
131.9
131.3

131.2
129.8
124.1
133.0
129.6

Primary metals
33
Iron and steel
331,2
Raw steel
Nonferrous
333–6,9
Fabricated metal products
34
Industrial machinery
and equipment
35
Computer and office equip.
357
Electrical machinery
36
Semiconductors and related
electronic components
3672–9

9.95
2.23
8.82

228.2 230.0 231.4 235.4 239.0 240.3 229.8 223.9 232.2 240.5 244.9 241.2
1048.2 1075.1 1123.7 1167.5 1206.7 1232.9 1024.3 1071.9 1150.3 1235.2 1307.9 1330.7
384.2 399.2 401.3 401.5 408.2 412.8 401.4 383.7 405.7 435.2 415.1 425.1

3.50

1155.2 1212.5 1224.7 1240.9 1267.8 1297.3 1253.5 1090.4 1191.5 1423.0 1254.7 1338.2

Transportation equipment
Motor vehicles and parts
Autos and light trucks
Aerospace and misc.
Instruments
Miscellaneous

372–6,9
38
39

9.41
5.25
2.61
4.16
4.87
1.36

123.5
152.9
142.0
95.2
117.0
124.5

122.9
152.2
135.8
94.7
117.2
125.2

122.9
152.2
146.8
94.7
117.7
125.2

123.3
155.6
139.4
92.6
116.9
125.1

121.9
154.9
140.7
90.5
118.5
125.5

121.9
156.6
141.1
89.0
118.5
124.7

127.5
160.9
148.0
95.6
118.7
125.4

97.7
101.3
80.2
92.9
119.1
122.2

124.3
155.9
148.9
94.1
120.9
126.1

124.4
157.4
143.5
92.9
120.2
126.7

128.9
169.5
157.8
90.5
119.6
129.9

121.0
153.8
137.6
89.6
117.6
128.4

20
21
22
23
26

38.93
8.83
1.58
1.52
1.72
3.42

111.3
110.0
94.5
110.8
90.7
115.7

111.0
108.9
96.0
112.3
89.8
115.0

111.5
108.9
94.8
111.7
89.2
115.8

111.8
109.4
90.9
111.2
89.0
117.4

112.8
110.4
93.6
114.3
89.4
117.6

113.2
111.4
95.9
113.0
89.0
117.8

113.9
112.5
100.1
117.4
93.0
116.9

112.4
111.6
83.9
110.7
88.7
114.7

116.2
115.1
103.8
116.0
91.8
117.2

116.3
116.3
95.0
114.4
91.4
116.8

116.0
115.5
101.8
120.1
90.9
119.1

111.5
110.7
93.9
110.1
89.3
115.5

27
28
29
30
31

6.77
9.74
1.36
3.79
.21

103.5
116.3
113.4
136.4
71.3

102.8
115.8
115.1
138.0
69.1

103.6
117.7
114.1
137.6
70.2

104.7
117.3
114.6
139.2
69.4

106.0
118.5
116.2
137.9
68.6

105.4
119.5
113.9
138.6
68.9

104.1
120.2
118.2
138.5
73.2

106.7
120.5
120.2
133.5
66.4

108.4
122.9
119.9
139.0
71.4

110.4
123.5
118.5
139.1
70.3

110.0
120.2
117.4
139.8
69.6

105.7
114.7
114.9
139.7
69.3

10
12
13
14

5.41
.35
.83
3.60
.63

97.1
98.9
107.0
91.4
123.3

97.8
96.2
110.0
92.3
120.5

98.5
93.0
110.7
93.2
123.0

98.4
92.8
109.4
93.0
125.5

99.2
93.1
108.8
93.9
127.6

99.9
95.8
110.0
94.2
129.4

98.8
101.1
107.0
91.0
143.2

98.1
94.2
102.5
91.8
140.1

100.6
91.7
111.9
92.8
148.1

100.5
95.2
111.6
93.0
143.5

100.9
93.6
111.0
93.8
142.7

100.2
96.4
109.5
94.4
130.7

6.31
5.31
1.00

117.4
119.6
107.5

119.8
122.6
107.4

117.8
120.0
108.2

116.9
118.9
108.0

119.2
121.6
108.0

116.4
119.7
101.4

112.9
123.9
62.9

126.1
140.2
61.4

122.7
136.3
60.1

110.8
122.1
58.9

106.7
113.7
75.6

110.9
110.7
114.2

Computers, communications eq. and
semiconductors2

8.08

780.5

812.1

830.4

842.3

858.9

876.6

805.2

779.7

835.9

914.1

888.1

924.8

Manufacturing excluding:
Motor vehicles and parts
Computer and office equipment
Computers and semiconductors2
Computers, communications eq. and
semiconductors2

83.04
86.05
82.55

140.8
134.3
121.2

141.4
134.8
121.3

142.0
135.1
121.6

142.2
135.3
121.7

143.4
136.2
122.4

144.0
136.7
122.8

144.2
138.3
123.8

141.2
131.9
118.6

146.1
139.2
125.0

147.8
140.5
125.2

147.1
140.3
125.7

144.0
136.3
121.7

80.21

118.9

118.9

119.1

119.2

120.0

120.3

121.6

116.2

122.5

122.8

123.3

119.0

13.1
5.5
7.6
7.2
0.4

12.6
5.5
7.2
6.7
0.4

13.7
5.7
7.9
7.5
0.4

13.0
5.8
7.3
6.9
0.4

13.2
5.7
7.5
7.1
0.4

13.4
5.9
7.5
7.1
0.4

14.1
6.2
7.9
7.5
0.5

7.8
3.4
4.4
4.0
0.4

14.2
6.0
8.2
7.8
0.4

13.7
6.0
7.7
7.3
0.4

14.4
6.2
8.1
7.7
0.4

13.2
5.9
7.3
6.9
0.4

37
371

Nondurable
Foods
Tobacco products
Textile mill products
Apparel products
Paper and products
Printing and publishing
Chemicals and products
Petroleum products
Rubber and plastics products
Leather and products

Mining
Metal mining
Coal mining
Oil and gas extraction
Stone and earth minerals
Utilities
Electric
Gas 492,3pt

491,3pt

SPECIAL AGGREGATES

Memo: Motor vehicle assemblies3
Total
Autos
Trucks
Light
Heavy and medium

1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year.
2. Semiconductors include related electronic components.
3. Millions of units at an annual rate.
Note—Primary processing manufacturing includes textile mill products, paper and products, industrial chemicals, synthetic materials, and fertilizers,
petroleum products, rubber and plastics products, lumber and products, primary metals, fabricated metals, and stone, clay, and glass products. Advanced
processing manufacturing includes foods, tobacco products, apparel products, printing and publishing, chemical products and other agricultural chemicals,
leather and products, furniture and fixtures, industrial machinery and equipment, electrical machinery, transportation equipment, instruments, and
miscellaneous manufactures.

8

Table 2B
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY GROUPS
Percent change

Item

SIC

1997 Q4
to
1998 Q4

Seasonally adjusted
annual rate
1998 1999
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3r

Seasonally adjusted
1999
Aug.r Sept.r
Oct.r Nov.p

Not seasonally adjusted
1999
Aug.r Sept.r
Oct.r Nov.p

Nov. 98
to
Nov. 99

Total index

2.9

3.3

2.0

4.7

4.7

.3

.2

.8

.3

4.8

.4

–.2

–2.1

4.3

Manufacturing

3.7

5.6

2.5

4.9

4.7

.4

.3

.8

.5

5.6

1.2

.0

–2.6

4.6

–.5
5.7

1.8
7.2

3.6
2.0

.9
6.6

3.1
5.3

.1
.5

.2
.3

.5
.9

.5
.4

2.5
6.9

.2
1.6

1.0
–.4

–1.7
–3.0

3.3
5.2

7.7
4.2
3.3
5.0

9.6
6.1
6.9
10.1

3.1
5.1
2.0
6.1

9.3
1.0
–.5
–10.8

8.6
–6.7
8.2
4.5

.3
–1.1
.5
.7

.3
–.5
1.2
–.4

.7
.8
–.9
.7

.6
.5
–.5
1.3

7.4
4.0
6.1
2.9

2.0
–1.2
.2
–.6

.3
2.0
–3.7
.7

–1.7
–4.2
–2.4
–1.9

7.0
1.0
2.0
1.7

–6.4
–11.6
–12.8
.0
.0

–5.7
–15.5
–33.6
6.8
4.1

1.6
7.0
10.0
–4.1
–.6

9.2
16.1
12.4
1.6
–2.5

11.6
17.5
10.0
5.1
2.0

1.3
1.1
4.3
1.5
–.1

–1.3
–1.8
–3.0
–.6
–.2

.9
1.1
8.4
.6
.0

2.5
4.7
4.4
–.2
.3

3.2
1.9
5.8
4.9
2.3

1.2
1.1
–.6
1.4
.0

.9
1.9
7.0
–.4
.3

.9
1.1
3.5
.8
–1.3

9.8
18.3
25.2
.7
.0

16.1
78.9
21.5

8.0
52.0
22.4

10.8
59.1
9.4

12.5
59.0
32.2

8.0
47.0
30.8

.6
4.5
.5

1.7
3.9
.0

1.5
3.4
1.7

.5
2.2
1.1

3.7
7.3
5.7

3.6
7.4
7.3

1.8
5.9
–4.6

–1.5
1.7
2.4

11.6
53.1
20.8

48.5

55.9

15.6

61.2

52.5

1.0

1.3

2.2

2.3

9.3

19.4

–11.8

6.7

36.7

372–6,9
38
39

2.2
1.0
4.0
4.1
1.9
–.6

16.9
33.5
70.4
–1.1
.7
–5.7

–7.7
–3.4
–8.3
–13.0
–.5
5.1

–.2
8.9
10.8
–11.5
10.9
10.2

.9
7.4
5.8
–7.8
3.5
1.4

.0
.0
8.1
.0
.4
.0

.4
2.2
–5.0
–2.2
–.6
–.1

–1.2
–.4
.9
–2.2
1.4
.3

.0
1.1
.2
–1.7
.0
–.6

27.2
53.9
85.8
1.3
1.5
3.2

.1
1.0
–3.7
–1.3
–.5
.5

3.6
7.7
10.0
–2.5
–.5
2.5

–6.1
–9.2
–12.8
–1.0
–1.7
–1.2

–2.4
5.8
2.2
–13.1
4.8
4.4

20
21
22
23
26

–1.1
1.8
–18.4
–6.4
–7.3
–1.2

.5
7.8
–33.3
–14.1
–10.2
–1.6

1.8
3.2
2.3
11.2
–6.9
4.8

–.8
–2.5
–7.2
5.6
–2.9
–2.5

–.4
–4.8
–3.2
2.4
–8.9
3.3

.4
.0
–1.3
–.5
–.6
.7

.2
.5
–4.1
–.4
–.3
1.4

.9
.9
2.9
2.8
.4
.2

.3
.9
2.5
–1.1
–.5
.1

3.4
3.2
23.8
4.8
3.5
2.2

.1
1.0
–8.5
–1.4
–.4
–.3

–.3
–.7
7.2
5.0
–.5
1.9

–3.9
–4.1
–7.8
–8.3
–1.8
–3.0

1.4
.5
.0
5.6
–4.7
4.4

27
28
29
30
31

–1.6
–.7
2.1
3.1
–8.2

2.9
2.4
–.5
5.7
–9.2

–4.0
2.9
8.4
2.7
–14.6

–.6
1.4
–7.7
3.2
–3.4

–.9
2.2
1.9
4.8
–7.5

.8
1.7
–.8
–.2
1.7

1.1
–.3
.4
1.1
–1.1

1.2
1.0
1.4
–.9
–1.2

–.6
.8
–2.0
.5
.5

1.6
2.1
–.2
4.1
7.6

1.8
.4
–1.2
.1
–1.5

–.3
–2.7
–1.0
.5
–1.0

–3.9
–4.6
–2.1
–.1
–.5

.2
2.9
–.8
2.7
–8.2

10
12
13
14

–5.0
–2.1
2.8
–8.4
3.8

–8.7
–10.4
7.8
–15.0
10.3

–10.5
–22.3
–13.7
–11.7
8.1

–2.2
–4.1
–.1
.0
–13.9

4.9
–21.4
12.7
6.7
.0

.8
–3.3
.6
.9
2.0

–.1
–.2
–1.1
–.2
2.0

.8
.3
–.6
1.0
1.7

.7
2.9
1.1
.3
1.5

2.6
–2.6
9.1
1.1
5.7

–.1
3.8
–.2
.2
–3.1

.3
–1.7
–.5
.9
–.6

–.6
3.0
–1.4
.7
–8.4

–1.5
–12.4
–2.1
–.6
.4

491,3pt

–1.4
.8
–12.2

–15.4
–10.8
–36.5

5.9
.3
42.1

7.0
8.1
1.7

5.6
5.5
5.8

–1.7
–2.2
.7

–.8
–.9
–.1

1.9
2.3
.0

–2.3
–1.6
–6.1

–2.7
–2.8
–2.2

–9.7
–10.4
–1.9

–3.7
–6.9
28.3

3.9
–2.6
51.2

5.0
4.4
8.7

43.9

38.8

23.7

51.7

44.7

2.3

1.4

2.0

2.1

7.2

9.4

–2.8

4.1

35.8

3.9
2.2
.3

4.0
4.4
2.5

2.9
1.1
.4

4.6
3.3
.8

4.5
3.4
1.4

.4
.3
.2

.1
.1
.1

.8
.7
.6

.4
.4
.3

3.4
5.5
5.3

1.2
1.0
.2

–.5
–.2
.4

–2.2
–2.8
–3.2

4.5
3.2
1.7

.0

2.4

.3

.0

.6

.2

.1

.6

.3

5.4

.3

.4

–3.4

1.3

Primary processing
Advanced processing
Durable
Lumber and products
Furniture and fixtures
Stone, clay, and glass products

24
25
32

Primary metals
33
Iron and steel
331,2
Raw steel
Nonferrous
333–6,9
Fabricated metal products
34
Industrial machinery
and equipment
35
Computer and office equip.
357
Electrical machinery
36
Semiconductors and related
electronic components
3672–9
Transportation equipment
Motor vehicles and parts
Autos and light trucks
Aerospace and misc.
Instruments
Miscellaneous

37
371

Nondurable
Foods
Tobacco products
Textile mill products
Apparel products
Paper and products
Printing and publishing
Chemicals and products
Petroleum products
Rubber and plastics products
Leather and products

Mining
Metal mining
Coal mining
Oil and gas extraction
Stone and earth minerals
Utilities
Electric
Gas 492,3pt
SPECIAL AGGREGATES
Computers, communications eq. and
semiconductors1

Manufacturing excluding:
Motor vehicles and parts
Computer and office equipment
Computers and semiconductors1
Computers, communications eq. and
semiconductors1

1. Semiconductors include related electronic components.
Note—Percent changes shown in the first and last columns are based on seasonally adjusted data.

9

Table 3
CAPACITY UTILIZATION: MANUFACTURING, MINING, AND UTILITIES
Percent of capacity, seasonally adjusted
1998
Proportion

19671998
Ave.

19781980
High

1982
Low

19881989
High

19901991
Low

19941995
High

1998
Nov.

1999
June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

Total industry

100.00

82.1

87.3

71.1

85.4

78.1

84.4

80.9

80.5

80.7

80.7

80.6

81.0

81.0

Manufacturing

89.42

81.1

86.9

69.0

85.7

76.6

84.0

80.2

79.6

79.7

79.7

79.7

80.0

80.1

26.28
63.14

82.4
80.5

88.1
86.7

66.2
70.4

88.9
84.2

77.7
76.1

89.3
81.8

82.6
79.4

82.7
78.6

82.9
78.6

82.8
78.8

82.8
78.7

83.0
79.1

83.3
79.1

50.65
2.10
1.46
2.34

79.5
82.6
81.2
78.5

87.7
87.9
85.5
88.0

63.9
60.8
68.9
64.3

84.6
93.6
86.6
83.5

73.1
75.5
72.5
69.7

83.3
87.8
83.6
82.3

80.3
83.1
78.6
85.5

79.9
83.3
78.1
82.3

80.3
82.7
78.8
83.1

80.2
81.6
79.1
83.4

80.0
80.9
80.0
82.8

80.1
81.4
79.1
83.2

80.1
81.6
78.7
83.9

3.21
1.79
.09
1.42
.04
.09

81.2
81.2
80.9
81.5
75.5
88.4

94.2
95.8
95.8
91.1
81.5
97.6

45.1
37.0
35.2
60.1
42.1
58.6

92.7
95.2
92.7
89.3
86.3
100.4

73.7
71.8
71.5
74.2
73.5
97.3

94.6
97.0
98.8
92.5
101.5
83.8

82.2
76.3
71.9
89.6
89.4
88.9

85.6
82.8
77.4
89.1
76.7
89.6

85.9
83.7
77.7
88.6
72.5
89.5

86.8
84.4
81.0
89.9
74.7
90.9

85.6
82.6
78.5
89.3
72.2
90.4

86.2
83.3
85.0
89.8
76.7
90.6

88.1
87.0
88.7
89.5

Item

SIC

Primary processing
Advanced processing
Durable
Lumber and products
Furniture and fixtures
Stone, clay, and glass products
Primary metals
Iron and steel
Raw steel
Nonferrous
Primary copper
Primary aluminum

24
25
32

33
331,2
333–6,9
3331
3334

Fabricated metal products
34
Industrial machinery
and equipment
35
Computer and office equip.
357
Electrical machinery
36
Semiconductors and related
electronic components
3672–9

5.93

78.0

83.9

63.7

82.0

71.9

85.4

75.3

74.7

74.9

74.9

74.8

74.9

75.1

9.75
2.36
9.83

81.4
81.2
81.1

93.2
92.6
89.4

64.0
65.5
71.6

85.4
86.9
84.0

72.3
66.9
75.0

88.0
88.4
89.5

84.0
85.4
77.9

81.8
83.9
78.7

81.5
82.7
80.9

81.1
83.0
80.5

81.6
82.9
79.7

81.8
82.3
80.2

81.2
80.8
80.2

4.33

79.9

91.6

75.7

81.1

75.6

92.8

78.9

79.9

82.3

81.7

81.3

81.6

81.9

Transportation equipment
Motor vehicles and parts
Autos and light trucks1
Aerospace and misc.
Instruments
Miscellaneous

75.9
76.7

372–6,9
38
39

9.72
5.56
2.66
4.16
4.94
1.38

75.3
81.6
75.7

84.8
95.0
94.6
81.9
92.7
79.4

57.2
45.5
40.6
66.6
78.4
65.4

85.8
89.1
92.3
87.3
81.4
79.0

68.5
55.9
53.3
79.2
77.2
71.7

77.1
86.1
87.5
69.2
77.7
79.5

80.4
80.1
87.0
80.8
80.2
78.6

79.4
82.7
90.5
75.2
81.2
81.4

79.1
82.3
86.6
74.9
81.1
81.8

79.1
82.3
93.8
75.0
81.1
81.7

79.4
84.1
89.1
73.4
80.3
81.5

78.6
83.7
90.1
71.9
81.1
81.7

78.6
84.6
90.4
70.7
80.8
81.2

20
22
23
26
261–3
27

38.78
8.97
1.49
1.92
3.22
1.25
6.72

83.4
82.9
85.6
80.9
89.2
92.4
85.7

87.5
84.6
91.2
87.5
96.1
98.3
93.9

76.4
79.1
72.3
77.5
80.6
82.0
82.0

87.3
85.4
90.4
85.1
93.5
98.0
91.7

80.7
82.7
77.7
75.5
85.0
89.9
79.6

84.9
83.9
93.0
85.9
93.1
96.9
82.2

80.5
80.6
81.5
70.7
84.8
89.5
81.1

79.7
79.1
84.2
68.9
85.9
92.5
79.9

79.4
78.1
85.3
68.3
85.2
91.7
79.4

79.7
78.0
84.8
68.0
85.6
92.3
80.0

79.9
78.3
84.4
67.8
86.6
93.5
80.9

80.5
78.9
86.7
68.2
86.5
93.5
81.9

80.7
79.5
85.8
68.0
86.5

Chemicals and products
28
Plastics materials
2821
Synthetic fibers
2823,4
Petroleum products
29
Rubber and plastics products
30
Leather and products
31

10.25
.62
.32
1.09
3.61
.23

79.5
86.7
84.8
86.8
84.6
81.1

84.6
90.9
98.6
90.0
91.2
92.1

69.9
63.4
64.4
66.8
72.7
75.8

86.2
97.0
99.7
88.5
89.6
83.3

79.3
74.8
77.6
85.1
77.4
76.1

80.8
102.5
89.8
93.4
91.3
85.9

77.7
93.9
78.2
94.8
85.1
71.4

77.3
89.5
83.5
92.6
83.5
69.6

76.9
90.9
81.0
93.9
84.1
67.8

78.1
87.8
82.0
93.0
83.6
69.2

77.8
90.5
77.3
93.3
84.1
68.8

78.5

79.1

79.7
94.6
83.0
68.2

92.6
83.0
68.9

10
12
13
138
14

4.95
.33
.79
3.23
.83
.60

87.5
79.5
86.7
88.5
74.2
84.8

96.0
87.9
99.4
97.3
104.3
92.7

80.3
44.4
76.6
82.3
50.9
63.3

88.0
89.4
91.5
88.2
69.3
89.0

87.0
79.9
83.4
88.7
60.0
79.4

88.4
89.7
88.0
89.4
74.1
91.9

84.2
89.3
89.0
82.0
64.7
88.4

80.7
81.3
84.4
79.3
56.6
83.6

81.3
79.2
86.8
80.2
57.9
81.6

81.9
76.8
87.3
81.0
61.0
83.2

81.9
76.7
86.3
80.9
63.7
84.8

82.6
77.0
85.8
81.7
66.4
86.1

83.2
79.4
86.7
82.0
69.6
87.3

491,3pt

5.63
4.55
1.08

87.4
89.3
82.1

89.1
88.2
93.7

75.9
78.9
69.1

92.6
95.0
85.0

83.4
87.1
67.1

93.1
95.9
87.8

87.6
92.2
68.2

92.1
95.5
78.1

93.9
97.7
77.9

92.2
95.5
78.4

91.4
94.5
78.2

93.0
96.6
78.2

90.8
94.9
73.4

9.18

80.3

90.9

77.3

81.9

72.4

87.6

79.5

79.7

81.0

81.0

80.2

79.9

79.6

80.24

81.2

87.0

68.0

86.1

76.8

83.8

80.5

79.9

79.8

79.9

79.9

80.3

80.5

Nondurable
Foods
Textile mill products
Apparel products
Paper and products
Pulp and paper
Printing and publishing

Mining
Metal mining
Coal mining
Oil and gas extraction
Oil and gas well drilling
Stone and earth minerals
Utilities
Electric
Gas 492,3pt

37
371

81.5

SPECIAL AGGREGATES
Computers, communications eq. and
semiconductors2
Manufacturing ex. computers,
communications eq., and
semiconductors2

1. Series begins in 1977.
2. Semiconductors include related electronic components.
Note—Primary processing manufacturing includes textile mill products, paper and products, industrial chemicals, synthetic materials, and fertilizers,
petroleum products, rubber and plastic products, lumber and products, primary metals, fabricated metals, and stone, clay, and glass products.
Advanced processing manufacturing includes foods, tobacco products, apparel products, printing and publishing, chemical products and other agricultural
chemicals, leather and products, furniture and fixtures, industrial machinery and equipment, electrical machinery, transportation equipment, instruments, and
miscellaneous manufactures.

10

Table 4
INDUSTRIAL CAPACITY: MANUFACTURING, MINING, AND UTILITIES

Item

SIC

Annual rate
1967 1967 1975
1999- 1975- 1999Ave.
Ave.
Ave.

Percent change
Fourth quarter to fourth quarter
1995

1996

1997

1998

Capacity indexes
Percent of 1992 output

1999p

1998
Nov.

1999
June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Total industry

3.2

3.8

2.9

5.0

5.4

5.4

6.3

4.2

165.3

169.8

170.2

170.7

171.2

171.7

172.3

Manufacturing

3.5

4.0

3.3

5.6

6.1

6.1

7.0

4.7

172.5

177.6

178.2

178.7

179.3

179.9

180.5

2.4
4.1

4.1
4.0

1.7
4.1

3.1
6.9

3.5
7.2

3.9
7.0

3.8
8.5

2.4
5.6

146.4
185.6

148.5
192.3

148.8
193.0

149.0
193.7

149.3
194.5

149.6
195.3

149.8
196.1

4.2
2.0
3.1
1.6

3.7
2.9
4.5
2.5

4.3
1.7
2.6
1.2

8.8
3.3
4.4
2.0

9.3
3.6
4.3
3.3

8.7
3.4
3.8
3.1

10.7
3.1
3.2
2.8

7.3
2.9
2.0
3.5

206.0
144.2
157.3
152.2

215.4
146.7
159.2
155.2

216.5
147.0
159.5
155.7

217.6
147.4
159.7
156.1

218.7
147.7
160.0
156.6

219.8
148.1
160.2
157.1

221.0
148.4
160.4
157.6

.6
–.1
–.5
1.7
.1
1.2

1.7
.7
.3
3.8
1.8
5.2

.1
–.3
–.8
1.0
–.6
–.3

2.5
1.9
3.2
3.2
1.6
.0

5.7
5.2
2.7
6.4
–5.1
.4

3.5
3.8
6.0
3.1
.7
.0

3.5
5.2
6.2
1.5
–.5
.0

2.5
3.9
1.5
.8
–2.2
.0

146.5
146.9
141.2
146.0
122.8
104.2

148.8
150.4
142.9
146.8
121.3
104.2

149.0
150.8
143.0
146.9
121.0
104.2

149.3
151.3
143.1
147.0
120.8
104.2

149.6
151.7
143.2
147.1
120.5
104.2

149.8
152.1
143.3
147.1
120.3
104.2

150.1
152.5
143.4
147.2
120.1
104.2

2.0

3.1

1.7

6.0

5.1

6.1

5.8

.3

170.7

171.7

171.6

171.6

171.5

171.4

171.3

6.2
23.2
9.5

4.7
12.0
5.9

6.8
27.6
10.8

10.0
30.3
29.8

12.3
42.5
30.9

14.2
50.9
22.9

15.8
58.8
30.5

15.3
61.9
17.3

256.4 278.9 282.1 285.3 288.6 292.1 295.7
942.8 1248.9 1300.0 1353.2 1408.5 1466.3 1526.5
438.9 488.3 493.3 498.4 503.6 509.0 514.5

20.9

13.1

24.0

63.0

59.1

43.0

61.1

31.6

1203.8 1446.6 1472.9 1499.3 1526.3 1554.2 1583.4

37
371

2.5
3.2

3.0
4.4

2.3
2.7

372–6,9
38
39

1.5
4.6
2.1

1.1
7.6
4.4

1.6
3.5
1.3

2.2
5.3
.2
–1.4
2.5
2.6

.5
1.5
–4.5
–1.0
.3
2.4

2.4
3.6
4.2
.7
.8
.5

2.7
2.8
2.6
2.7
2.2
1.4

–.1
.2
–1.7
–.7
4.0
1.1

155.4
184.6
158.8
126.6
141.0
152.0

155.5
184.8
157.0
126.5
144.1
153.0

155.4
184.9
156.8
126.4
144.6
153.2

155.3
184.9
156.6
126.2
145.1
153.3

155.2
184.9
156.4
126.1
145.6
153.4

155.2
185.0
156.2
125.9
146.1
153.5

155.1
185.0
156.1
125.8
146.6
153.6

20
22
23
26
261–3
27

2.7
2.3
2.1
1.1
2.8
2.4
2.6

4.3
3.0
4.4
2.3
3.9
2.9
3.0

2.1
2.1
1.2
.7
2.4
2.1
2.4

2.0
2.4
2.6
1.6
3.0
2.9
.3

2.2
2.2
1.9
.3
1.4
1.2
.7

2.6
2.3
2.1
.6
3.3
2.3
1.9

2.4
2.2
.3
.6
3.1
1.4
1.6

1.3
1.9
.3
–.8
2.4
1.2
–.2

138.5
137.5
131.4
132.0
133.0
122.9
129.6

139.6
139.1
131.5
131.5
134.8
123.7
129.6

139.8
139.3
131.6
131.4
135.1
123.9
129.6

139.9
139.5
131.6
131.3
135.3
124.0
129.5

140.0
139.8
131.7
131.1
135.6
124.1
129.5

140.2
140.0
131.7
131.0
135.9
124.3
129.4

140.3
140.2
131.8
130.9
136.1
124.4
129.4

Chemicals and products
28
Plastics materials
2821
Synthetic fibers
2823,4
Petroleum products
29
Rubber and plastics products
30
Leather and products
31

3.6
6.1
3.4
1.6
5.4
–3.2

6.8
12.7
9.7
4.2
8.4
–1.5

2.5
3.7
1.2
.6
4.4
–3.9

2.5
3.0
–.7
–.2
4.1
–2.2

3.4
3.3
–2.0
1.4
4.2
–1.5

2.8
1.7
1.1
2.3
5.3
–1.9

2.9
3.7
.5
2.9
5.1
–2.8

1.0
3.7
1.6
1.6
5.4
–4.9

149.5
134.6
118.2
121.1
158.4
105.2

150.5
137.6
119.2
122.4
163.3
102.3

150.6
138.0
119.3
122.5
164.0
101.9

150.7
138.4
119.5
122.7
164.7
101.4

150.8
138.8
119.7
122.8
165.5
101.0

150.9
139.2
119.9
122.9
166.2
100.5

151.0
139.6
120.1
123.1
166.9
100.1

10
12
13
138
14

.2
1.2
2.2
–.4
.6
1.4

–.1
.5
2.4
–1.0
.8
2.6

.3
1.5
2.1
–.2
.5
1.0

–.4
.7
.3
–1.0
–1.6
2.3

.4
1.6
1.8
–.3
–1.2
3.6

1.6
3.2
.2
1.2
1.0
4.3

.9
1.1
.4
.6
1.9
2.9

–.2
–1.5
.4
–.6
–3.1
1.6

120.4
122.5
126.3
115.6
179.2
145.9

120.3
121.6
126.7
115.1
176.6
147.5

120.3
121.4
126.8
115.1
176.0
147.6

120.2
121.2
126.8
115.0
175.4
147.8

120.2
121.0
126.8
115.0
174.8
148.0

120.2
120.8
126.9
114.9
174.2
148.1

120.2
120.7
126.9
114.9
173.6
148.3

491,3pt

2.6
3.6
.4

6.1
7.8
2.3

1.4
2.1
–.3

1.7
2.3
.5

1.8
1.9
1.9

.2
–.2
1.5

.7
.7
1.1

1.4
1.4
1.0

126.5
124.3
136.9

127.5
125.3
137.7

127.6
125.5
137.8

127.8
125.6
137.9

127.9
125.8
138.1

128.1
125.9
138.2

128.2
126.1
138.3

17.2

9.5

20.2

42.0

45.6

37.9

48.2

35.7

811.7

979.3 1002.3 1025.8 1050.0 1075.2 1101.3

2.4

3.7

1.9

2.7

2.6

3.0

3.0

1.3

147.5

148.8

Primary processing
Advanced processing
Durable
Lumber and products
Furniture and fixtures
Stone, clay, and glass products
Primary metals
Iron and steel
Raw steel
Nonferrous
Primary copper
Primary aluminum

24
25
32

33
331,2
333–6,9
3331
3334

Fabricated metal products
34
Industrial machinery
and equipment
35
Computer and office equip.
357
Electrical machinery
36
Semiconductors and related
electronic components
3672–9
Transportation equipment
Motor vehicles and parts
Autos and light trucks1
Aerospace and misc.
Instruments
Miscellaneous

Nondurable
Foods
Textile mill products
Apparel products
Paper and products
Pulp and paper
Printing and publishing

Mining
Metal mining
Coal mining
Oil and gas extraction
Oil and gas well drilling
Stone and earth minerals
Utilities
Electric
Gas 492,3pt
SPECIAL AGGREGATES

Computers, communications eq. and
semiconductors2
Manufacturing ex. computers,
communications eq., and
semiconductors2

p. Preliminary estimate for current year.
1. Series begins in 1977.
2. Semiconductors include related electronic components.

11

148.9

149.1

149.2

149.3

149.4

Table 5A
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION FOR TOTAL INDUSTRY: HISTORICAL DATA
Seasonally adjusted
Year

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Industrial
Production,
Percent
Change1
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

–.6
.1
.6
–.5
–.5

1.2
.3
–.8
.5
–.8

.4
.0
.9
.5
–.9

.4
.6
.2
–.6
.3

.4
.1
–.6
.4
.8

.9
.1
–.2
.0
1.2

.6
.7
–1.0
.0
.1

.1
.5
.4
.2
.1

–.1
–.4
–.2
.1
1.0

1.4
.3
–.5
–.6
–.1

.3
.8
.4
–1.3
–.1

.6
.5
.5
–.6
–.6

4.2
3.2
3.8
2.0
–8.3

6.7
3.1
.5
.6
1.5

5.6
3.9
–4.4
1.0
6.2

7.1
3.6
–.1
–5.8
1.1

4.6
4.5
1.8
–.2
–2.0

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

.0
.4
.2
.6
–.3

.6
.4
.2
–.1
1.2

.8
.2
.9
.2
–.2

.8
.4
.6
–.1
1.2

.2
–.5
.8
.4
.9

–.1
.3
.6
.5
.7

.7
.1
.3
–.4
.1

–.3
–.2
.5
1.2
.7

.5
1.1
.2
.4
.5

.5
.5
.6
–.1
–.1

.5
.4
.6
.3
.7

.0
.7
.9
.0
.3

.9
3.7
5.1
5.7
2.3

6.5
1.8
8.1
1.6
9.1

2.8
1.4
5.9
3.8
5.8

4.5
6.6
6.6
3.0
4.3

3.1
3.4
5.5
4.9
4.4

1997
1998
1999

.5
.2
.2

.9
–.1
.3

.4
.3
.5

.6
.4
.2

.4
.6
.5

.6
–.7
.3

.5
–.1
.5

.6
1.8
.3

.6
.0
.2

.6
.4
.8

.4
–.2
.3

.3
.0

6.5
2.4
2.0

6.7
3.0
4.7

6.9
2.9
4.7

6.9
3.3

6.4
4.2

Industrial
Production
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

90.2
95.9
99.8
98.6
96.7

91.2
96.2
99.0
99.1
95.9

91.6
96.3
100.0
99.6
95.0

92.0
96.8
100.2
99.0
95.4

92.4
96.9
99.6
99.4
96.1

93.2
97.0
99.4
99.3
97.2

93.7
97.6
98.4
99.3
97.3

93.8
98.1
98.8
99.5
97.4

93.7
97.8
98.6
99.6
98.4

95.0
98.0
98.2
99.1
98.3

95.3
98.8
98.6
97.7
98.1

95.9
99.3
99.0
97.2
97.5

91.0
96.1
99.6
99.1
95.9

92.5
96.9
99.7
99.2
96.2

93.8
97.8
98.6
99.5
97.7

95.4
98.7
98.6
98.0
98.0

93.2
97.4
99.1
98.9
97.0

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

97.6
102.1
105.9
113.3
115.6

98.1
102.6
106.1
113.2
116.9

98.9
102.8
107.0
113.4
116.6

99.7
103.2
107.6
113.3
118.0

99.9
102.7
108.5
113.8
119.0

99.7
103.0
109.2
114.3
119.8

100.5
103.1
109.5
113.8
119.9

100.2
102.9
110.1
115.1
120.7

100.7
104.0
110.3
115.6
121.2

101.2
104.5
110.9
115.5
121.2

101.8
104.9
111.6
115.8
122.1

101.7
105.6
112.7
115.9
122.4

98.2
102.5
106.3
113.3
116.4

99.8
103.0
108.4
113.8
118.9

100.5
103.3
110.0
114.9
120.6

101.6
105.0
111.8
115.7
121.9

100.0
103.4
109.1
114.4
119.4

1997
1998
1999

123.0
130.9
134.1

124.0
130.7
134.5

124.5
131.1
135.1

125.2
131.7
135.5

125.8
132.4
136.2

126.6
131.5
136.6

127.2
131.3
137.4

128.0
133.6
137.7

128.8
133.5
138.0

129.6
134.1
139.1

130.2
133.8
139.5

130.6
133.8

123.8
130.9
134.6

125.9
131.9
136.1

128.0
132.8
137.7

130.1
133.9

127.1
132.4

114.0
115.3
116.8
119.2
121.4

114.1
115.5
117.0
119.3
121.6

114.2
115.6
117.2
119.5
121.7

114.3
115.7
117.4
119.7
121.9

114.4
115.8
117.6
119.9
122.1

114.5
115.9
117.8
120.1
122.2

114.6
116.0
118.0
120.2
122.4

114.7
116.2
118.2
120.4
122.6

114.9
116.3
118.4
120.6
122.7

115.0
116.4
118.6
120.8
122.9

115.1
116.5
118.8
121.0
123.0

115.2
116.7
119.0
121.2
123.2

114.1
115.5
117.0
119.3
121.6

114.4
115.8
117.6
119.9
122.1

114.7
116.2
118.2
120.4
122.6

115.1
116.5
118.8
121.0
123.0

114.6
116.0
117.9
120.2
122.3

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

123.4
126.0
129.0
134.3
141.2

123.6
126.2
129.3
134.8
141.9

123.9
126.4
129.7
135.4
142.5

124.1
126.6
130.1
135.9
143.2

124.4
126.8
130.5
136.5
143.9

124.6
127.0
130.9
137.1
144.6

124.8
127.3
131.4
137.7
145.2

125.0
127.5
131.8
138.2
145.8

125.2
127.7
132.3
138.8
146.4

125.4
128.0
132.8
139.4
147.0

125.6
128.3
133.3
140.0
147.6

125.8
128.6
133.8
140.6
148.2

123.6
126.2
129.3
134.8
141.9

124.4
126.8
130.5
136.5
143.9

125.0
127.5
131.8
138.2
145.8

125.6
128.3
133.3
140.0
147.6

124.7
127.2
131.2
137.4
144.8

1997
1998
1999

148.8
157.1
166.7

149.5
158.0
167.4

150.1
158.9
168.0

150.7
159.8
168.6

151.4
160.7
169.2

152.1
161.6
169.8

152.7
162.4
170.2

153.4
163.2
170.7

154.1
163.9
171.2

154.8
164.6
171.7

155.5
165.3
172.3

156.3
166.0

149.5
158.0
167.3

151.4
160.7
169.2

153.4
163.2
170.7

155.6
165.3

152.5
161.8

79.1
83.2
85.4
82.7
79.6

80.0
83.4
84.6
83.0
78.9

80.2
83.3
85.3
83.3
78.1

80.5
83.7
85.3
82.7
78.2

80.7
83.7
84.7
82.9
78.7

81.4
83.6
84.4
82.7
79.6

81.8
84.1
83.4
82.6
79.5

81.8
84.5
83.6
82.6
79.5

81.6
84.1
83.3
82.6
80.2

82.6
84.2
82.8
82.0
80.0

82.8
84.8
83.0
80.8
79.8

83.2
85.1
83.2
80.2
79.2

79.8
83.3
85.1
83.0
78.9

80.8
83.7
84.8
82.8
78.8

81.7
84.2
83.4
82.6
79.7

82.9
84.7
83.0
81.0
79.6

81.3
84.0
84.1
82.3
79.3

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

79.1
81.0
82.1
84.4
81.8

79.4
81.3
82.0
83.9
82.4

79.8
81.3
82.5
83.8
81.8

80.3
81.5
82.7
83.3
82.4

80.3
81.0
83.1
83.3
82.7

80.0
81.1
83.4
83.3
82.9

80.5
81.0
83.4
82.7
82.6

80.1
80.7
83.5
83.3
82.8

80.4
81.4
83.4
83.3
82.8

80.7
81.6
83.6
82.9
82.4

81.0
81.7
83.8
82.7
82.7

80.8
82.1
84.2
82.4
82.6

79.4
81.2
82.2
84.0
82.0

80.2
81.2
83.1
83.3
82.6

80.3
81.0
83.4
83.1
82.7

80.8
81.8
83.9
82.7
82.6

80.2
81.3
83.1
83.3
82.5

1997
1998
1999

82.6
83.3
80.4

83.0
82.7
80.4

83.0
82.5
80.5

83.1
82.4
80.4

83.1
82.4
80.5

83.2
81.3
80.5

83.3
80.8
80.7

83.4
81.9
80.7

83.6
81.5
80.6

83.7
81.5
81.0

83.7
80.9
81.0

83.5
80.6

82.9
82.8
80.4

83.1
82.1
80.5

83.4
81.4
80.7

83.7
81.0

83.3
81.8

Capacity
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

Utilization
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

1. Quarterly percent changes are at annual rates. Annual percent changes are calculated from annual averages.

12

Table 5B
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION, CAPACITY AND UTILIZATION FOR MANUFACTURING: HISTORICAL DATA
Seasonally adjusted
Year

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Annual

Industrial
Production,
Percent
Change1
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

–.8
–.2
.9
–.2
–.9

1.6
.4
–1.2
.9
–.7

.2
–.1
.8
.3
–1.1

.5
1.0
.1
–.8
.3

.3
–.1
–.7
.4
.7

1.0
.0
.0
–.1
1.4

.7
.7
–1.1
.0
.2

–.2
.3
.3
.3
.2

.1
.2
–.3
–.1
1.1

1.3
.2
–.6
–.6
–.1

.5
.9
.4
–1.3
–.2

.6
.6
.1
–.6
–.5

5.0
2.3
4.3
2.9
–9.7

7.0
4.1
–.7
–.1
1.2

5.5
3.7
–4.5
.8
7.8

7.6
5.2
–1.4
–6.3
1.7

5.3
4.7
1.9
–.5
–2.4

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

.2
.7
.0
.7
–.3

.8
.2
.2
–.3
1.1

.9
.3
1.1
.3
–.4

.7
.5
.8
–.2
1.4

.4
–.4
1.0
.3
.9

.0
.1
.4
.6
.8

.7
.1
.5
–.6
.4

–.2
–.4
.7
1.1
.7

.4
1.3
.3
.8
.5

.5
.4
.7
–.1
–.1

.6
.5
.8
.1
.8

–.2
.8
.9
.0
.4

2.3
4.2
5.2
6.1
1.6

7.3
2.4
10.0
1.4
9.9

3.5
.8
6.7
3.3
7.7

3.9
7.1
8.0
3.6
4.6

4.0
3.7
6.1
5.3
4.7

1997
1998
1999

.4
.4
.1

1.0
–.1
.5

.5
.2
.3

.5
.6
.3

.5
.5
.6

.8
–.8
.3

.4
–.1
.4

.8
2.0
.4

.6
–.1
.3

.6
.7
.8

.6
.0
.5

.4
.1

7.1
3.3
2.5

7.4
2.6
4.9

7.8
3.4
4.7

7.4
5.6

7.3
4.9

Industrial
Production
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

89.6
95.4
100.3
98.1
95.8

91.0
95.8
99.1
99.0
95.1

91.2
95.7
99.9
99.3
94.1

91.6
96.7
100.0
98.6
94.4

91.9
96.6
99.4
99.0
95.0

92.8
96.6
99.4
98.9
96.3

93.4
97.3
98.3
98.8
96.6

93.3
97.5
98.7
99.1
96.8

93.4
97.7
98.4
99.0
97.8

94.6
97.9
97.8
98.4
97.8

95.1
98.9
98.2
97.2
97.6

95.6
99.4
98.3
96.6
97.1

90.6
95.6
99.8
98.8
95.0

92.1
96.6
99.6
98.8
95.2

93.4
97.5
98.5
99.0
97.0

95.1
98.7
98.1
97.4
97.5

92.8
97.1
99.0
98.5
96.2

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

97.2
102.4
106.1
114.9
117.0

98.0
102.6
106.3
114.6
118.3

98.8
102.9
107.5
115.0
117.8

99.5
103.5
108.4
114.8
119.4

99.9
103.1
109.4
115.1
120.5

99.9
103.2
109.8
115.7
121.5

100.6
103.3
110.4
115.0
122.0

100.4
102.9
111.1
116.3
122.8

100.8
104.2
111.5
117.2
123.5

101.3
104.7
112.2
117.1
123.4

101.9
105.1
113.1
117.2
124.3

101.7
106.0
114.1
117.3
124.8

98.0
102.7
106.6
114.8
117.7

99.8
103.3
109.2
115.2
120.5

100.6
103.5
111.0
116.2
122.8

101.6
105.3
113.1
117.2
124.1

100.0
103.7
110.0
115.8
121.3

1997
1998
1999

125.3
134.5
138.6

126.5
134.3
139.3

127.1
134.5
139.7

127.8
135.3
140.2

128.4
135.9
141.0

129.5
134.8
141.4

130.1
134.7
142.0

131.1
137.4
142.5

131.8
137.3
142.9

132.7
138.3
144.0

133.5
138.3
144.6

134.0
138.4

126.3
134.5
139.2

128.6
135.3
140.9

131.0
136.5
142.5

133.4
138.3

130.1
136.4

113.2
115.2
117.0
119.9
122.4

113.4
115.3
117.3
120.1
122.6

113.6
115.4
117.5
120.3
122.8

113.8
115.6
117.8
120.5
123.0

113.9
115.7
118.0
120.7
123.1

114.1
115.8
118.3
120.9
123.3

114.2
116.0
118.5
121.1
123.5

114.4
116.1
118.7
121.3
123.7

114.6
116.3
119.0
121.5
123.8

114.7
116.5
119.2
121.7
124.0

114.9
116.6
119.5
122.0
124.2

115.0
116.8
119.7
122.2
124.3

113.4
115.3
117.3
120.1
122.6

113.9
115.7
118.0
120.7
123.1

114.4
116.1
118.7
121.3
123.7

114.9
116.6
119.5
122.0
124.2

114.1
115.9
118.4
121.0
123.4

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

124.6
127.5
130.7
136.7
144.6

124.8
127.7
131.1
137.3
145.4

125.1
127.9
131.6
138.0
146.1

125.4
128.2
132.0
138.6
146.9

125.6
128.4
132.5
139.3
147.7

125.9
128.6
133.0
140.0
148.5

126.1
128.9
133.4
140.6
149.2

126.4
129.1
133.9
141.2
149.9

126.6
129.4
134.5
141.9
150.6

126.8
129.7
135.0
142.5
151.3

127.1
130.0
135.6
143.2
152.0

127.3
130.4
136.1
143.9
152.7

124.8
127.7
131.2
137.3
145.4

125.6
128.4
132.5
139.3
147.7

126.4
129.1
133.9
141.2
149.9

127.1
130.0
135.6
143.2
152.0

126.0
128.8
133.3
140.3
148.7

1997
1998
1999

153.4
163.0
174.1

154.1
164.0
174.8

154.9
165.0
175.5

155.6
166.1
176.2

156.4
167.1
176.9

157.2
168.2
177.6

157.9
169.1
178.2

158.7
170.0
178.7

159.5
170.8
179.3

160.3
171.7
179.9

161.2
172.5
180.5

162.1
173.3

154.1
164.0
174.8

156.4
167.1
176.9

158.7
170.0
178.7

161.2
172.5

157.6
168.4

79.1
82.9
85.7
81.8
78.2

80.2
83.1
84.5
82.5
77.5

80.3
82.9
85.0
82.6
76.6

80.6
83.7
85.0
81.8
76.8

80.7
83.5
84.2
82.0
77.1

81.4
83.4
84.1
81.8
78.1

81.8
83.8
83.0
81.6
78.2

81.5
84.0
83.1
81.7
78.2

81.5
84.0
82.7
81.5
79.0

82.5
84.1
82.1
80.9
78.9

82.8
84.8
82.2
79.7
78.6

83.1
85.1
82.1
79.0
78.1

79.9
83.0
85.1
82.3
77.5

80.9
83.5
84.4
81.9
77.3

81.6
83.9
82.9
81.6
78.5

82.8
84.7
82.1
79.9
78.5

81.3
83.8
83.6
81.4
77.9

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996

78.0
80.3
81.1
84.0
80.9

78.5
80.4
81.1
83.4
81.4

79.0
80.5
81.7
83.3
80.6

79.4
80.7
82.1
82.8
81.3

79.5
80.3
82.6
82.6
81.6

79.3
80.2
82.6
82.7
81.8

79.8
80.2
82.7
81.8
81.8

79.5
79.7
82.9
82.3
81.9

79.6
80.5
82.9
82.6
82.0

79.9
80.7
83.1
82.2
81.6

80.2
80.9
83.4
81.9
81.8

79.9
81.3
83.8
81.5
81.7

78.5
80.4
81.3
83.6
80.9

79.4
80.4
82.4
82.7
81.6

79.6
80.1
82.9
82.3
81.9

80.0
81.0
83.4
81.8
81.7

79.4
80.5
82.5
82.6
81.5

1997
1998
1999

81.7
82.5
79.6

82.1
81.9
79.7

82.1
81.5
79.6

82.1
81.5
79.5

82.1
81.3
79.7

82.4
80.1
79.6

82.4
79.7
79.7

82.6
80.8
79.7

82.7
80.4
79.7

82.8
80.5
80.0

82.8
80.2
80.1

82.6
79.9

81.9
82.0
79.6

82.2
81.0
79.6

82.5
80.3
79.7

82.7
80.2

82.4
80.9

Capacity
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

Utilization
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991

1. Quarterly percent changes are at annual rates. Annual percent changes are calculated from annual averages.

13

Table 6
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES
Index, 1992 = 100
Item

SIC

1998
IP
Proportion

Seasonally adjusted
1999
May

June

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

1999
May

June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

10
101
102–4,8,9
102

.35
.06
.29
.08

100.2
113.0
98.0
99.6

98.9
106.2
97.7
88.2

96.2
108.4
94.1
92.7

93.0
76.5
96.2
86.4

92.8
68.6
97.4

93.1
79.7
95.7

100.2
117.2
97.2
97.6

101.1
110.0
99.6
90.8

94.2
110.4
91.3
86.8

91.7
82.9
93.5
80.6

95.2
72.7
99.5

93.6
79.3
96.4

12

.83

106.1

107.0

110.0

110.7

109.4

108.8

103.4

107.0

102.5

111.9

111.6

111.0

13
131
132
138

3.60
2.69
1.41
1.27
.18
.74

91.8
91.0
80.8
105.1
106.4
99.8

91.4
90.2
79.6
105.0
109.4
100.1

92.3
90.9
80.2
105.9
111.9
102.0

93.2
91.3
80.4
106.4
110.3
107.1

93.0
90.2
78.4
106.5
113.0
111.3

93.9
90.7
79.3
106.4
112.7
115.7

91.6
90.9
80.7
104.9
105.0
99.7

91.0
89.7
78.9
104.7
108.8
100.9

91.8
89.8
79.1
104.5
112.0
105.2

92.8
90.4
79.4
105.6
109.9
109.7

93.0
89.7
78.0
105.9
113.9
113.9

93.8
90.3
79.6
105.1
113.9
116.4

14

.63

123.9

123.3

120.5

123.0

125.5

127.6

136.8

143.2

140.1

148.1

143.5

142.7

20
201

202
2021
2022
2023
2024
2026

8.83
1.14
.36
.31
.46
.01
.81
.02
.18
.15
.14
.32

110.6
120.6
113.7
109.8
136.7
72.0
107.3
114.5
120.5
108.4
104.3
101.4

110.0
122.4
114.8
115.3
136.4
68.5
107.1
113.1
122.2
107.2
103.9
100.8

108.9
122.1
115.3
112.7
137.2
72.9
106.8
111.7
123.2
104.2
106.0
100.2

108.9
121.5
114.4
114.5
134.9
75.1
110.2
104.6
125.3
116.3
108.2
101.3

109.4
122.2
115.8
112.5
137.3
71.4
111.0
109.6
121.6
124.6
105.2
102.5

110.4
123.1
119.6
113.3
135.7
74.4
112.2
115.2
123.4
126.3
105.8
103.4

108.5
119.9
114.8
101.1
139.6
68.0
116.8
120.2
123.4
129.2
120.3
106.4

112.5
124.6
121.3
110.5
139.3
66.7
116.2
96.7
126.9
119.8
132.1
103.7

111.6
117.8
115.5
101.9
133.1
66.7
108.0
83.5
119.2
99.3
127.6
99.1

115.1
123.1
120.7
109.3
136.7
72.3
107.2
74.4
118.9
102.3
122.8
98.5

116.3
123.1
118.9
113.0
135.2
72.3
103.3
88.7
120.5
96.2
104.3
98.5

115.5
128.6
120.9
121.1
141.7
75.8
103.5
107.3
121.4
104.7
91.4
99.5

203
204
205
206
207
208
2082,3
2086,7
209
2095

1.20
.91
1.03
.63
.19
1.82
.56
1.04
1.11
.14

97.3
102.2
105.0
116.3
107.3
120.5
107.1
131.8
115.2
91.1

100.3
99.9
103.5
114.1
106.3
117.8
102.6
130.1
114.0
102.5

98.4
100.8
103.6
111.2
108.7
115.5
99.5
127.8
111.8
89.3

99.1
98.7
103.8
107.2
111.5
116.4

98.6
98.5
104.5
106.3
112.3
118.0

100.3
99.6
105.0
103.8
108.1
121.4

112.4
102.5
109.6
121.7
113.1
125.4

135.0
111.7

102.2
100.9
112.3
99.8
99.2
124.4
109.3
141.9
118.4
81.4

118.9
102.3
115.9
109.9
109.7
126.7

130.3
112.0
93.7

99.2
98.5
107.9
103.8
101.6
127.2
118.3
137.7
115.5
89.8

112.9
99.9
114.4
103.9
106.7
127.4

127.8
111.1
90.7

91.3
100.3
101.6
102.7
102.8
120.6
116.0
127.7
111.6
88.5

145.1
120.6
90.1

148.7
120.2
84.8

142.2
116.8

21

1.58

95.4

94.5

96.0

94.8

90.9

93.6

90.5

100.1

83.9

103.8

95.0

101.8

Textile mill products
22
Fabrics
221–4
Cotton and synthetic
221,2
Narrow fabrics
224
Knit goods
225
Knit garments
2253,4,7–9
Fabric finishing
226
Carpeting
227
Yarns and miscellaneous
228,9
Cotton and synthetic yarns 2281,2,4

1.52
.36
.30
.04
.43
.31
.14
.21
.38
.16

110.9
96.7
98.4
110.8
123.8
123.0
83.4
126.0
114.9
103.9

110.8
96.9
98.9
109.7
125.4
126.2
81.0
124.3
114.2
102.0

112.3
97.0
99.1
110.2
126.6
125.7
81.2
132.3
114.2
100.1

111.7
97.2

111.2
94.8

114.3
96.6

120.1
101.0

112.7
131.1
132.3

111.7
138.0
148.6

111.2
139.1
146.6

113.8
139.4
136.0

122.2
113.8
98.4

124.2
114.8
101.4

133.9
117.6
107.7

110.7
92.4
94.0
106.0
127.9
130.1
75.4
140.2
109.3
93.9

114.4
93.6

110.2
128.7
128.8

117.4
98.9
100.1
112.5
140.7
138.3
81.8
133.9
116.8
104.2

116.0
98.9

110.5
129.8
130.7

113.6
100.6
102.1
111.5
128.4
125.1
89.1
120.3
117.4
108.7

126.6
116.7
102.1

128.1
116.7
103.1

146.7
119.3
109.8

Apparel products

23

1.72

91.2

90.7

89.8

89.2

89.0

89.4

91.5

93.0

88.7

91.8

91.4

90.9

24
241,2
241
243–5,9
243
2435,6
245

2.16
.82
.28
1.35
.70
.13
.26

123.9
117.3
91.6
129.1
123.7
96.0
161.3

122.2
113.4
93.0
129.0
123.4
94.4
158.9

121.5
112.3
91.2
128.6
123.7
94.6
151.5

120.2
109.9
91.9
128.0
124.3
93.8
151.3

119.6
110.4
90.9
126.5
123.7
93.1
144.4

120.5
111.3
91.8
127.5
124.4
95.4

123.2
113.4
87.4
130.7
125.0
99.1
169.2

127.5
120.2
96.2
133.3
127.0
98.1
171.5

120.1
110.5
95.7
127.5
126.7
94.6
138.5

125.0
115.6
99.4
132.1
128.3
95.9
164.1

123.5
116.3
97.3
129.1
125.4
94.4
151.1

126.0
117.6
99.3
132.4
127.2
98.3

Metal mining
Iron ore
Nonferrous ores
Copper
Coal mining
Oil and gas extraction
Crude oil and natural gas
Crude oil, total
Natural gas
Natural gas liquids
Oil and gas well drilling
Stone and earth minerals

Foods
Meat products
Beef
Pork
Poultry
Miscellaneous meats
Dairy products
Butter
Cheese
Concentrated milk
Frozen desserts
Milk and misc. dairy products
Canned and frozen food
Grain mill products
Bakery products
Sugar and confectionery
Fats and oils
Beverages
Beer and ale
Soft drinks
Coffee and miscellaneous
Roasted coffee

Tobacco products

Lumber and products
Logging and lumber
Logging
Lumber products
Millwork and plywood
Plywood
Manufactured homes

1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year.

14

Table 6 (continued)
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES
Index, 1992 = 100
Item

SIC

1998
IP
Proportion1

Seasonally adjusted
1999
May

June

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

1999
May

June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

25
251

1.41
.64

124.4
119.3

124.4
119.9

125.7
121.3

126.4
122.0

127.9
123.9

126.8
121.3

121.5
116.6

126.9
122.6

125.5
117.0

133.1
126.5

133.4
127.3

128.5
122.9

26
261–3
261
262
263
265,7
265
267

3.42
1.39
.09
.86
.44
2.03
.75
1.27

114.6
113.2
99.0
110.9
121.4
115.7
119.0
113.9

115.7
114.5
101.6
112.6
121.5
116.7
117.1
116.6

115.0
113.6
97.2
111.7
121.6
116.0
119.1
114.4

115.8
114.4
98.9
112.3
122.5
116.8
119.8
115.2

117.4
116.0
97.8
116.1
120.5
118.3
117.2
119.2

117.6
116.2
98.7
113.3
126.5
118.6
122.9
116.2

112.5
111.3
97.4
108.7
119.9
113.4
114.8
112.7

116.9
115.3
100.9
113.0
123.6
118.1
121.3
116.3

114.7
113.5
99.8
111.2
121.6
115.5
118.6
113.8

117.2
115.7
100.7
113.0
125.0
118.3
122.1
116.2

116.8
115.3
97.2
114.7
121.0
117.9
119.4
117.2

119.1
116.6
98.0
113.6
127.2
120.9
130.7
115.2

Printing and publishing
27
Newspapers
271
Periodicals, books, and cards 272,3,7
Job printing
274–6,8,9

6.77
1.64
2.07
3.06

104.1
98.5
99.1
110.8

103.5
98.3
100.6
108.5

102.8
98.1
101.4
106.4

103.6
98.7
102.9
106.8

104.7
98.9
104.9
107.8

106.0
98.6
107.5
109.1

101.1
96.4
98.3
105.6

104.1
96.1
99.5
111.7

106.7
94.8
101.3
117.2

108.4
92.0
104.1
120.7

110.4
99.8
104.5
120.3

110.0
107.9
106.0
113.6

Chemicals and products
Industrial chemicals and
synthetic materials
Basic chemicals
Alkalies and chlorine
Inorganic pigments
Inorganic chemicals, nec
Acids and other

28

9.74

117.0

116.3

115.8

117.7

117.3

118.5

115.5

120.2

120.5

122.9

123.5

120.2

281,2,6
281
2812
2816
2819

3.12
.71
.06
.10
.41
.32

114.4
101.2
119.5
99.8
98.1
118.9

113.2
92.5
118.3
105.6
83.4
117.2

113.5
89.4
117.1
100.3
79.5
113.2

113.6
89.5
115.5
110.1
77.8
110.4

114.6
92.2
119.5
105.2
82.4
109.9

115.6
93.7
116.7
107.6
84.4

114.6
102.0
120.5
97.7
99.6
116.2

113.8
94.7
117.3
110.7
86.1
121.4

112.7
87.1
117.5
98.5
76.7
111.0

112.2
89.7
116.0
107.3
78.4
113.2

115.1
92.9
119.1
104.2
83.5
112.7

115.5
95.7
116.6
106.6
87.7

282
2821
2823,4
286

1.09
.67
.30
1.32

115.6
124.2
97.0
121.9

115.6
123.2
99.5
124.7

116.0
125.4
96.7
127.4

114.4
121.5
98.0
128.9

114.5
125.6
92.5
129.6

116.3

116.6
123.4
101.4
124.1

115.5
124.4
96.9
127.4

111.7
119.0
95.3
127.8

116.1
127.5
93.9
129.1

117.2

95.6
129.4

115.5
124.6
94.6
122.0

98.3
127.3

283–5,9
283
284
285
287

5.99
3.38
1.59
.43
.63

119.5
120.5
120.1
106.2
113.1

119.1
119.0
122.4
105.0
112.6

118.2
118.5
120.9
106.1
110.9

121.4
122.5
122.8
106.8
110.0

120.0
121.9
118.5
107.1
111.7

121.6
123.9
119.9
107.4
109.9

117.0
118.2
114.0
117.0
114.5

126.0
127.4
126.0
121.0
110.5

127.2
128.7
130.3
112.2
107.9

131.6
134.5
133.1
113.2
107.8

130.7
134.8
129.9
109.0
110.9

125.0
128.5
123.3
108.1
109.9

Petroleum products
29
Petroleum refining and misc.
291,9
Miscellaneous petroleum products
Distillate fuel oil
Residual fuel oil
Aviation fuel and kerosene
Automotive gasoline
Paving and roofing materials
295

1.36
1.15
.25
.22
.04
.10
.54
.20

114.2
110.2
110.4
114.2
83.5
114.6
109.8
144.6

113.4
108.9
109.1
112.6
82.0
111.2
109.0
147.6

115.1
110.4
112.5
119.1
83.7
111.4
108.0
150.6

114.1
109.7
112.7
114.5
79.3
112.6
108.4
147.5

114.6
110.3
108.6
116.0
78.6
115.1
110.5
147.3

116.2
112.3
113.9

118.2
113.1
121.3
114.0
79.7
110.9
112.3
157.2

120.2
114.6
126.5
118.6
82.0
111.3
111.0
163.1

119.9
114.2
128.1
115.3
78.5
113.7
110.6
163.5

118.5
112.9
117.7
117.3
78.7
115.9
111.4
161.6

117.4
112.0
112.9

145.5

116.7
112.7
118.0
116.3
81.2
110.2
111.9
148.1

158.1

Rubber and plastics products
30
Tires
301
Other rubber products
302,5,6
Plastics products, nec
308

3.79
.32
.61
2.86

137.4
134.5
125.4
140.8

136.4
123.4
124.1
141.0

138.0
125.8
128.2
141.9

137.6
127.0
126.7
141.7

139.2
126.6
129.2
143.3

137.9
128.3
125.9
142.2

137.6
134.8
123.5
141.4

138.5
126.1
127.6
142.7

133.5
108.9
128.0
137.8

139.0
131.6
133.2
141.5

139.1
128.1
134.5
141.7

139.8
134.1
129.7
143.1

31
314

.21
.08

70.9
64.9

71.3
63.9

69.1
58.7

70.2
61.9

69.4
59.4

68.6
59.2

71.6
65.5

73.2
66.0

66.4
56.7

71.4
64.5

70.3
60.7

69.6
60.7

Stone, clay, and glass products 32
Pressed and blown glass
322
Glass containers
3221
Cement
324
Structural clay products
325
Concrete and miscellaneous
326–9

2.45
.31
.13
.20
.11
1.49

128.5
108.9
84.7
120.1
113.4
133.0

127.8
110.3
84.7
117.9
113.8
131.2

129.3
110.1
84.2
114.8
116.9
133.9

130.2
110.3
85.0
118.8
119.9
134.3

129.7
109.4
82.2
114.0
120.4
134.7

130.6
107.2
81.7

128.9
109.6
86.4
131.7
118.4
131.8

131.7
112.8
88.5
140.6
120.8
133.1

131.0
111.8
87.1
132.6
112.9
133.9

134.7
113.4
88.7
142.3
126.5
136.5

133.9
110.7
81.6
133.6
123.0
137.1

134.8
109.7
83.2

Furniture and fixtures
Household furniture
Paper and products
Pulp and paper
Wood pulp
Paper
Paperboard
Paper products
Paperboard containers
Converted paper products

Synthetic materials
Plastics materials
Synthetic fibers
Industrial organic chemicals
Chemical products
Drugs and medicines
Soap and toiletries
Paints
Agricultural chemicals

Leather and products
Shoes

120.6
136.1

1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year.

15

122.4
137.8

Table 6 (continued)
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES
Index, 1992 = 100
Item

Primary metals
Iron and steel
Basic steel and mill products
Basic iron and steel
Pig iron
Raw steel

SIC

33
331,2
331

1998
IP
Proportion1
3.36
1.83
1.35
.27
.15
.08

Seasonally adjusted
1999
May

June

123.9
120.1
118.6
99.7
97.3
111.4

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

1999
May

June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

127.4
124.5
122.4
99.0
96.2
110.7

128.0
126.2
124.5
100.1
98.4
111.1

129.6
127.6
128.3
102.6
100.1
115.9

128.0
125.3
126.4
100.2
97.6
112.4

129.1
126.7
128.2
107.8
105.9
121.8

124.8
121.4
120.0
101.2
98.9
113.6

128.0
124.9
122.8
98.2
95.0
110.8

123.3
122.2
121.6
97.2
95.5
106.5

127.3
124.5
126.0
100.1
97.3
112.7

128.9
126.0
126.4
100.4
97.8
112.0

130.0
128.4
129.1
106.1
103.9
119.8

124.1
138.6
98.5
148.6
101.9
122.0
125.5

129.3
145.4
99.5
155.0
103.2
127.6
131.7

131.7
143.8
104.8
160.2
99.4
130.4
132.2

135.8
150.0
109.1
161.9
102.2
134.5
126.6

134.1
146.8
110.3
156.4
100.2
133.3
122.9

134.2
138.0
108.8
159.8
93.9
135.9
123.3

125.5
144.5
99.7
151.5
101.6
122.5
126.3

130.1
144.8
98.8
161.9
104.7
128.2
131.8

128.8
111.9
102.2
163.6
101.4
133.9
125.0

133.7
146.7
107.6
162.4
105.3
132.0
121.0

134.1
149.5
109.4
157.7
102.8
132.7
125.4

135.9
148.9
110.5
170.3
92.5
134.3
127.1

Steel mill products
Consumer durable steel
Equipment steel
Construction steel
Can and closure steel
Miscellaneous steel
Iron and steel foundries

332

1.08
.17
.11
.14
.04
.62
.48

Nonferrous metals
Primary nonferrous metals
Copper
Aluminum

333–6,9
333
3331
3334

1.53
.18
.04
.09

128.6
103.9
98.3
93.2

130.8
103.1
93.0
93.3

130.2
102.1
87.7
93.2

132.1
103.6
90.3
94.7

131.3
103.2
87.1
94.2

132.1
102.9
92.3
94.4

128.9
103.3
92.5
93.2

131.7
101.0
88.0
93.5

124.6
100.0
85.3
93.3

130.7
100.6
87.5
94.5

132.5
102.6
88.0
93.6

131.9
103.9
95.9
94.3

Nonferrous products
Nonferrous mill products
Aluminum
Nonferrous foundries

335,6
335
3353–5
336

1.10
.79
.30
.31

131.0
123.0
115.5
158.1

133.4
125.9
122.0
158.8

132.8
125.3
118.0
158.2

135.5
129.3
125.6
156.7

134.7
128.5
121.7
155.9

135.3
129.3
124.2
156.2

131.9
124.1
116.6
157.3

135.0
127.8
126.9
158.6

126.3
119.7
112.7
148.2

134.4
128.4
124.3
154.3

136.0
130.0
125.2
155.9

134.8
128.0
123.1
157.5

Fabricated metal products
34
Metal containers
341
Hardware, tools, and cutlery
342
Hardware and tools
3423,5,9
Structural metal products
344
Other fabricated metal products 345–9
Fasteners, stampings, etc.
345–7

5.58
.18
.59
.50
1.51
3.08
1.79

127.2
102.8
124.6
123.4
128.3
129.1
138.9

128.3
106.0
126.1
125.1
127.8
130.4
141.1

128.6
104.4
126.0
125.7
128.3
131.4
141.8

128.5
105.9
128.2
127.5
128.1
130.7
140.3

128.3
104.4
130.5
130.4
128.4
130.0
138.9

128.4
104.9
128.9
128.3
129.5
129.6
137.8

126.7
112.1
122.7
121.7
127.4
129.5
139.8

130.4
124.8
128.9
128.3
129.4
131.8
143.0

127.9
116.4
127.4
128.1
129.9
128.6
138.6

130.8
119.4
132.9
132.9
130.3
131.1
141.7

130.9
109.6
136.8
137.9
129.0
130.7
141.7

131.3
101.9
132.3
131.7
132.3
131.5
141.2

Industrial machinery
and equipment
35
Engines and turbines
351
Farm
352
Construction and allied
353
Metalworking
354
Special industry machinery
355
General industrial machinery
356
Bearings and gears
3562,6,8
Equipment
3561,3–5,7,9
Computer and office equip.
357
Service industry machines
358
Refrig. and heating equip.
3585
Miscellaneous machinery
359

9.95
.53
.56
1.07
1.11
.96
1.19
.34
.85
2.23
.92
.66
1.37

Electrical machinery
Major electrical and parts
Electric distribution equip.
Household appliances
Cooking equipment
Refrigerators and freezers
Laundry
Miscellaneous
Electrical housewares
Appliances, nec

36
361,2
361
363
3631
3632
3633
3634,5,9
3634
3639

8.82
1.01
.33
.44
.06
.10
.08
.20
.04
.09

365
366
367

.09
2.34
3.57

77.9
80.8
95.2
80.4
99.4 115.1
257.6 260.0 271.6 275.5 272.0 272.0
1043.6 1102.7 1158.5 1169.4 1183.7 1209.9

3672–9
369
3691

3.50
.70
.12

1091.7 1155.2 1212.5 1224.7 1240.9 1267.8 1014.4 1253.5 1090.4 1191.5 1423.0 1254.7
133.9 132.8 139.0 132.0 132.7 136.2 130.8 134.5 131.6 134.1 138.6 140.2
148.2 138.9 165.4 140.2 140.4 151.5 132.8 145.8 153.5 150.9 183.1 166.2

37
371

3714
3716

9.41
5.25
1.20
1.79
1.69
1.05
.64
2.19
.07

122.8
150.6
94.2
205.2
206.5
207.4
204.2
160.0
138.1

123.5
152.9
95.9
209.5
210.6
214.2
204.0
161.3
141.4

122.9
152.2
96.6
199.5
198.5
197.2
200.0
166.3
137.9

122.9
152.2
99.0
214.4
216.4
221.6
207.3
153.3
142.7

123.3
155.6
99.5
199.0
200.2
201.9
196.7
172.7
147.0

121.9
154.9
97.9
202.0
203.4
207.8
195.6
170.1
145.4

126.5
158.2
101.3
220.1
222.1
224.2
217.7
163.2
137.1

127.5
160.9
104.5
214.4
215.8
216.3
214.1
171.8
137.4

97.7
101.3
58.7
127.1
123.1
113.8
137.7
118.5
121.6

124.3
155.9
100.9
217.5
219.2
224.2
210.0
159.7
131.0

124.4
157.4
101.2
206.2
207.2
209.8
202.1
170.7
153.4

128.9
169.5
109.9
225.2
228.0
232.9
219.0
181.1
155.0

372–6,9
372
373
374–6,9

4.16
2.90
.39
.86

96.0
100.4
86.2
86.5

95.2
98.6
87.9
87.1

94.7
98.0
88.6
86.6

94.7
97.4
93.5
86.1

92.6
94.5
91.9
86.1

90.5
91.5
91.1
86.1

96.1
100.0
87.6
87.1

95.6
99.1
87.7
87.6

92.9
95.9
86.4
85.7

94.1
96.6
92.3
86.3

92.9
95.1
91.8
85.5

90.5
91.2
92.9
86.2

Audio and video equipment
Communication equipment
Electronic components
Semiconductors and related
electronic components
Misc. electrical supplies
Storage batteries

Transportation equipment
Motor vehicles and parts
Autos
Trucks and truck trailers
Trucks and buses
Consumer trucks
Business trucks
Motor vehicle parts
Motor homes
Aerospace and miscellaneous
transportation equipment
Aircraft and parts
Ships and boats
Railroad and miscellaneous

228.4 228.2 230.0 231.4 235.4 239.0
144.4 144.2 142.8 148.7 149.3 151.2
150.3 139.5 120.1 117.1 126.1 121.8
166.5 158.8 167.8 160.4 166.4 171.0
127.9 127.1 126.6 126.0 124.1 125.0
146.0 147.0 148.3 147.4 146.3 145.7
121.7 121.2 122.3 122.7 122.3 124.1
110.5 109.6 112.8 112.8 113.8 114.9
126.8 126.4 126.6 127.1 126.2 128.2
1021.6 1048.2 1075.1 1123.7 1167.5 1206.7
157.6 162.0 163.4 156.7 160.7 161.2
166.2 172.9 174.2 165.8 170.9 171.7
160.2 156.4 156.1 157.8 157.3 158.4
373.3
123.7
122.7
123.2
135.0
137.0
137.3
107.8
89.4
100.0

384.2
125.2
124.1
120.4
126.0
130.0
137.5
107.3
86.8
99.5

399.2
125.4
121.5
124.5
131.0
139.2
139.5
109.8
91.8
101.7

401.3
128.1
120.5
123.3
117.4
139.5
146.7
108.6
89.5
100.5

401.5
127.3
120.1
117.4
120.1
121.4
133.9
107.7
89.1
98.5

408.2
128.6
123.1
126.4
143.9
140.9
145.1
107.6
87.6
99.0

228.8 229.8 223.9 232.2 240.5 244.9
144.9 143.6 135.6 144.8 149.1 151.1
192.8 123.8
78.4
93.9 101.7 102.3
167.6 168.5 152.3 160.2 170.8 181.3
127.9 127.4 124.3 124.0 123.1 125.1
145.9 146.4 143.6 144.6 143.9 145.4
120.0 123.7 123.7 127.7 127.2 124.3
110.3 109.7 108.0 111.1 111.6 113.4
124.1 129.8 130.5 134.9 134.0 129.0
974.2 1024.3 1071.9 1150.3 1235.2 1307.9
167.5 173.8 157.6 148.1 157.2 157.5
179.4 189.2 166.2 152.7 165.8 165.6
156.3 161.0 164.0 169.1 168.7 159.7
358.8
122.1
118.4
123.0
138.9
148.0
132.5
103.5
87.1
99.1

401.4
128.0
125.8
122.9
122.9
142.4
141.7
106.9
88.0
100.8

405.7
135.0
132.3
123.2
123.8
137.1
141.8
109.4
92.1
98.9

435.2
134.4
132.6
119.0
122.7
120.4
136.0
109.9
94.2
97.4

415.1
129.1
124.3
132.8
151.3
147.5
156.3
112.1
94.9
104.6

75.0
75.2
84.1
86.6 109.1 128.5
252.6 258.7 265.5 277.3 272.7 273.6
971.2 1193.5 1045.0 1143.7 1358.0 1204.7

1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year.

16

383.7
131.7
129.7
116.7
128.5
139.9
117.5
102.0
88.0
87.7

Table 6 (continued)
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: INDUSTRY SUBTOTALS AND INDIVIDUAL SERIES
Index, 1992 = 100
Item

Instruments
Scientific and medical
Medical instruments
Misc. manufactures
Consumer goods
Business supplies
Electric utilities
Generation
Fossil fuel
Hydro and nuclear

1998
IP
SIC Proportion1

1999
May

June

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

1999
May

June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

38
381–4
384

4.87
4.12
1.59

116.7
117.8
126.6

117.0
118.3
128.6

117.2
117.9
126.0

117.7
118.1
128.1

116.9
117.8
128.1

118.5
118.2
130.1

114.7
115.5
121.4

118.7
120.3
134.6

119.1
120.3
136.3

120.9
121.9
140.7

120.2
121.0
140.5

119.6
119.4
133.6

39
391,3,4,6
395,9

1.36
.62
.74

125.5
110.0
142.1

124.5
108.0
142.3

125.2
107.2
144.5

125.2
107.7
143.9

125.1
107.3
144.1

125.5
108.2
144.0

124.9
109.2
140.9

125.4
107.6
143.6

122.2
101.7
143.2

126.1
106.7
145.9

126.7
108.2
145.7

129.9
112.2
148.1

491,3pt

5.31
1.99
.96
1.03

118.4
114.5
114.7
114.3

119.6
116.8
114.1
119.2

122.6
118.7
116.4
120.7

120.0
116.8
113.6
119.7

118.9
115.5
109.8
120.6

121.6
118.3

108.8
109.5
106.2
112.3

123.9
124.4
121.1
127.3

140.2
132.6
137.9
128.2

136.3
128.3
132.8
124.5

122.1
113.8
114.8
112.9

113.7
107.2

3.32
1.40
1.93
1.19
.73

120.8
122.8
119.3
125.9
109.5

121.5
123.7
119.7
126.8
109.3

125.1
129.4
122.0
129.1
111.6

122.0
126.7
118.6
125.7
108.0

121.1

123.8

145.1
161.3
133.7
146.9
114.7

141.4
154.8
132.0
144.0
114.7

117.8

120.6

123.6
122.6
124.3
132.4
112.6

127.4

118.4

108.6
98.6
115.5
119.0
110.4

125.3

121.4

1.00
.45
.17
.32

105.8
99.9
111.3
111.3

107.5
102.0
116.3
111.3

107.4
103.0
115.3
109.9

108.2
101.3
121.0
112.1

108.0
101.5
121.1
111.3

108.0
101.5
121.7
111.0

76.4
60.4
78.8
93.2

62.9
40.2
63.8
88.0

61.4
33.3
62.5
93.2

60.1
29.7
62.3
94.3

58.9
32.8
61.7
87.8

75.6
57.6
83.6
91.7

Sales
Residential
Nonresidential
Commercial and other
Industrial

Gas utilities
Residential
Commercial and other
Gas transmission

Seasonally adjusted

492,3pt

1. The IP proportion data are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall IP growth in the following year.

Table 7
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION: GROSS VALUE OF PRODUCTS
Billions of 1996 dollars at annual rates, seasonally adjusted
1998
Item
1992
1998
Q2

Q3

Q4

1999
Q1

Q2

Q3r

1999
June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.r

Nov.p

2121.0

2642.2

2630.0

2650.5

2680.9

2698.5

2718.6

2735.5

2723.6

2726.1

2742.0

2738.4

2768.8

2764.3

1613.6

2036.5

2025.7

2040.7

2065.0

2077.3

2094.3

2110.7

2100.3

2102.8

2118.5

2110.8

2137.4

2133.1

Consumer goods
Durable
Automotive products
Other durable goods
Nondurable

1091.1
235.1
130.9
104.5
857.8

1271.0
330.4
177.1
153.3
941.2

1273.0
327.2
173.0
154.6
945.8

1264.9
323.5
170.2
153.5
941.6

1271.0
340.3
188.2
151.6
932.2

1288.9
349.9
187.1
162.7
940.9

1291.2
357.8
191.7
166.0
936.1

1296.3
361.4
193.9
167.4
937.7

1295.1
361.4
195.5
165.6
936.6

1292.4
358.4
189.2
169.5
936.5

1301.3
365.8
200.1
165.1
938.8

1295.2
360.1
192.4
167.7
937.7

1316.9
368.3
194.9
173.7
951.6

1309.8
365.5
194.8
170.8
947.2

Equipment, total
Business and defense
Business
Defense and space

523.5
501.6
413.9
88.4

767.9
736.5
671.0
66.1

753.3
720.6
656.3
65.9

776.8
746.5
682.1
66.2

795.2
766.9
702.3
66.5

789.5
763.3
699.3
65.9

804.5
779.3
716.1
65.4

816.3
791.1
728.5
65.0

806.7
781.5
718.7
65.1

812.3
787.6
724.8
65.1

819.0
793.5
730.5
65.5

817.7
792.1
730.2
64.4

822.1
795.8
733.7
64.6

825.3
798.0
736.8
63.8

508.0
200.5
307.8
76.0

606.1
256.2
349.7
89.4

603.1
253.8
349.2
89.1

608.5
257.5
350.9
91.9

614.7
261.8
352.7
89.5

619.8
265.1
354.4
90.9

623.0
265.3
357.5
92.3

623.6
267.5
355.7
92.5

622.1
265.9
355.9
92.3

622.0
267.8
353.8
93.1

622.4
266.3
355.8
92.7

626.3
268.5
357.5
91.7

630.3
270.6
359.3
93.2

630.0
272.3
357.3
91.4

Products, total
Final products

Intermediate products
Construction supplies
Business supplies
Commercial energy products

Table 8
DIFFUSION INDEXES OF INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
Percent
Year

One Month Earlier
1997
1998
1999
Three Months Earlier
1997
1998
1999
Six Months Earlier
1997
1998
1999

Jan.

Feb.

Mar.

Apr.

May

June

July

Aug.

Sept.

Oct.

Nov.

Dec.

55.2
56.6
47.6

66.8
48.7
52.8

57.5
50.7
49.8

53.4
51.5
57.7

55.2
51.3
53.6

57.1
39.0
49.8

57.2
50.6
57.1

52.4
50.2
52.8

55.4
43.8
46.8

55.8
54.7
62.7

62.5
49.1

52.1
48.3

54.5
62.2
50.9

68.3
52.8
54.3

61.2
55.4
51.3

66.4
53.9
56.2

56.0
54.7
52.8

58.6
43.1
52.4

61.9
44.6
53.9

64.2
39.3
59.6

61.9
47.6
51.7

59.9
51.3
55.8

62.9
49.8

62.2
52.4

63.1
63.3
54.3

67.9
64.8
50.9

64.2
58.1
55.8

62.7
58.4
52.4

63.2
55.8
54.3

68.3
49.1
55.1

69.1
48.3
56.2

61.5
47.9
50.6

66.8
48.3
52.4

70.6
52.8
60.3

70.9
47.6

65.7
50.2

Note—The diffusion indexes are calculated as the percentage of series that increased over the indicated span (one, three, or six months) plus one–half
the percentage that were unchanged.

17

Table 9
ELECTRIC POWER USE: MANUFACTURING AND MINING
Index, 1992 = 100
1992
Billion
KWH
934.1

Seasonally adjusted
1999
May
107.1

June
104.8

854.0
365.8
488.3
80.1

107.6
107.0
108.1
99.9

INDUSTRY GROUPS and SERIES
Metal mining
10
Iron ore
101
Copper ore
102

18.6
7.3
6.6

Coal mining

12

Oil and gas extraction
Crude oil and natural gas
Natural gas liquids

Not seasonally adjusted

105.7

1999
May
106.6

June
106.4

July
105.4

Aug.r
108.0

Sept.r
108.7

Oct.p
107.3

105.7
107.2
104.5
100.7

106.0
106.5
105.6
101.5

107.1
106.6
107.5
99.1

106.8
109.2
104.9
100.3

105.9
109.1
103.3
98.6

108.6
110.5
107.0
100.4

109.3
110.3
108.6
100.3

107.7
108.1
107.4
101.1

111.6
100.6
128.8

110.5
106.5
120.6

109.3
111.3
118.3

114.6
117.0
122.4

112.2
112.8
119.2

112.0
105.1
125.9

112.7
101.2
131.6

109.5
103.3
122.1

111.7
115.1
120.0

101.1

98.2

96.8

98.7

88.9

91.4

85.1

90.9

93.2

94.7

91.9
92.4
76.5

90.4
89.2
86.4

92.9
91.8
90.2

90.2
89.8
78.4

91.5
90.9
83.4

88.4
88.3
75.1

92.5
92.5
77.4

90.5
88.8
87.3

90.3
88.0
92.3

90.7
89.8
80.2

90.8
90.0
82.8

111.3
148.1
113.7
99.9

109.6
146.4
108.7
98.2

114.3
147.4
107.3
107.8

116.3
154.7
112.9
105.7

115.2
150.6
115.4
104.9

116.8
154.9
115.0
105.6

113.7
155.4
117.2
100.5

111.9
154.1
114.6
97.8

114.7
154.1
115.7
103.3

117.6
162.9
121.6
102.6

117.8
160.5
124.4
103.3

117.2
163.6
125.2
99.7

58.8
10.3
6.8
8.1
11.4
3.5
4.0
3.9
6.1
4.7

118.8
128.6
107.7
109.3
140.1
112.7
108.1
106.4
108.5
112.1

118.0
127.7
107.5
113.7
141.1
112.5
107.9
99.5
106.7
108.5

117.0
126.1
110.2
110.1
141.0
112.7
101.9
106.1
105.8
108.1

117.3
126.8
107.1
111.5
141.5
113.0
105.1
113.2
105.5
106.9

117.1
126.8
108.1
109.9
141.0
113.9
106.4
106.9
106.5
107.3

119.4
129.3
106.4
114.2
142.6
114.6
108.6
105.4
110.3
107.0

114.4
124.5
106.0
102.5
139.4
109.0
96.6
101.8
105.1
108.6

120.4
133.3
113.9
112.3
140.4
117.3
103.5
96.8
112.9
112.5

123.2
135.9
120.3
114.2
140.9
122.1
100.1
100.3
117.5
116.7

126.2
137.7
116.5
126.8
144.3
124.6
101.2
105.5
119.7
117.6

127.8
138.4
117.2
132.3
145.6
126.3
102.1
104.8
121.5
117.8

124.7
133.7
108.4
127.7
149.2
119.6
110.7
103.9
116.1
111.9

21

1.5

89.7

90.9

94.7

90.5

91.4

91.9

85.7

91.5

98.2

98.6

102.0

99.1

Textile mill products
Fabrics
Knit goods
Fabric finishing
Yarn and thread
Miscellaneous textiles

22
221–4
225
226
228
229

31.5
11.8
4.1
2.5
8.3
3.4

107.7
103.7
124.1
108.4
94.7
120.5

110.6
108.7
124.1
105.4
101.2
119.9

112.1
107.8
120.3
105.8
105.9
121.6

109.5
106.6
126.1
104.7
94.0
128.4

109.1
104.3
122.3
102.6
97.2
128.2

115.1
110.5
126.8
109.0
104.2
129.2

110.8
106.6
126.4
110.1
100.4
120.8

118.7
117.0
136.2
110.4
110.2
122.1

111.9
107.8
124.7
101.4
103.1
121.7

121.2
118.3
143.5
106.2
107.6
131.6

119.3
114.7
139.4
106.5
107.9
131.2

114.9
110.2
130.5
107.6
100.5
129.7

Apparel products
Men’s outerwear
Women’s outerwear

23
231,2
233

8.2
2.0
2.5

95.0
80.7
112.9

92.1
82.2
108.6

90.4
82.6
104.6

89.2
80.0
110.1

90.7
80.1
108.3

93.8
80.3
109.7

92.0
79.8
109.2

99.1
86.3
118.2

100.1
87.4
116.6

104.6
87.8
130.5

104.2
86.4
125.3

97.0
81.9
113.4

Lumber and products
Lumber
Millwork and plywood

24
242
243

19.8
7.7
5.6

123.1
119.9
122.8

124.3
120.4
128.1

125.7
125.6
128.0

122.6
119.8
127.7

121.6
118.7
127.2

121.4
120.0
124.5

121.6
119.3
121.2

123.5
119.3
127.4

123.0
121.3
125.3

122.6
118.7
127.8

121.8
117.8
127.5

120.3
117.7
123.7

Furniture and fixtures
Household furniture

25
251

6.0
3.2

119.2
114.6

120.1
117.2

121.4
119.2

122.8
119.6

123.2
121.0

121.4
118.3

116.0
112.0

122.3
119.7

120.8
115.0

129.1
124.0

128.8
124.3

123.2
119.9

Paper and products
Wood pulp
Paper
Paperboard
Paperboard containers
Converted paper products

26
261
262
263
265
267

113.3
8.8
62.3
28.3
5.1
8.9

106.5
91.1
104.9
118.8
106.4
112.6

104.4
94.0
101.7
120.6
103.9
109.7

106.8
99.8
104.4
121.5
103.1
113.4

105.0
105.5
101.5
119.9
102.2
112.6

103.7
104.5
101.0
114.1
103.0
109.3

104.2
110.5
101.9
111.8
101.3
108.7

104.6
88.7
103.0
117.8
104.3
110.7

105.0
95.1
102.5
119.7
105.0
110.1

107.8
96.3
105.4
121.6
107.1
115.8

106.9
104.4
103.4
118.6
107.8
116.5

105.7
102.8
102.4
116.4
107.9
114.3

106.4
111.9
104.0
113.5
104.4
111.2

Printing and publishing
Newspapers
Commercial printing

27
271
275

17.3
3.6
9.2

114.5
100.4
126.2

111.5
99.7
122.5

109.6
98.6
119.7

110.6
100.8
120.8

110.6
103.3
119.9

112.4
99.6
124.6

109.3
97.1
120.1

114.9
103.9
126.1

120.6
108.9
132.2

124.5
111.6
137.2

123.2
114.1
134.2

116.9
102.3
129.8

Chemicals and products
28
Basic chemicals
281
Alkalies and chlorine
2812
Inorganic chemicals, nec
2819
Acid and fertilizer materials
Nuclear materials, nondefense

171.7
78.9
14.9
38.3
14.0
24.3

102.5
96.8
81.2
98.0
96.4
98.8

91.8
77.9
81.3
62.1
98.7
44.0

87.6
73.1
79.3
56.4
97.8
35.9

90.4
75.9
91.3
56.8
97.6
36.6

95.2
83.9
98.5
70.7
92.4
59.9

95.1
84.9
91.9
72.4
91.2
63.1

103.4
99.2
81.8
103.4
95.8
107.2

92.5
77.7
81.7
60.7
97.4
42.5

88.6
72.4
79.7
53.1
98.4
30.5

91.8
75.4
91.7
54.5
100.0
32.0

96.1
82.7
94.8
67.0
92.6
54.4

96.1
85.5
93.5
73.5
91.7
64.5

July
104.3

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.p

104.8

105.3

105.0
107.4
103.0
101.8

104.4
108.4
101.2
102.5

105.0
107.7
102.9
102.4

115.2
115.5
124.8

117.0
119.7
123.9

114.5
108.6
128.0

12.7

92.1

95.6

13
131
132

36.0
31.0
3.6

89.4
89.1
76.3

Stone and earth minerals
Crushed stone
Sand and gravel
Chemical and fertilizer materials

14
142
144
147

12.8
3.5
2.7
4.7

Foods
Meat products
Dairy products
Canned and frozen food
Grain mill products
Bakery products
Sugar and confectionery
Fats and oils
Beverages
Coffee and miscellaneous

20
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209

Item
Total

1987 SIC

MAJOR INDUSTRY GROUPS
Manufacturing
Durable
Nondurable
Mining

Tobacco products

18

Table 9 (continued)
ELECTRIC POWER USE: MANUFACTURING AND MINING
Index, 1992 = 100
1987 SIC

1992
Billion
KWH

Seasonally adjusted
1999
May

June

Chemicals and Products (cont.)
Synthetic materials
282
Plastics materials
2821
Drugs and medicines
283
Soap and toiletries
284
Industrial organic chemicals
286
Agricultural chemicals
287

29.2
18.3
6.7
3.0
39.2
9.7

104.2
131.7
129.2
111.1
102.7
118.4

Petroleum products

29

47.0

Rubber and plastics products
Tires
Rubber products, nec
Plastics products, nec

30
301
306
308

Leather and products
Shoes
Stone, clay, & glass products
Flat glass
Pressed and blown glass
Cement
Structural clay products
Concrete products

Not seasonally adjusted

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.p

1999
May

June

July

Aug.r

Sept.r

Oct.p

106.3
134.2
125.3
112.6
110.9
118.2

102.1
128.6
126.4
110.9
105.2
116.1

105.6
133.3
132.2
113.7
100.1
115.0

105.6
132.6
129.1
108.4
103.5
117.9

102.9
129.3
131.5
107.7
101.0
113.6

103.8
129.9
126.8
105.5
100.4
120.2

107.8
135.3
134.3
116.0
109.3
117.6

104.1
130.3
137.3
119.7
106.9
115.3

108.5
134.5
145.3
123.3
103.3
114.9

107.9
135.6
142.9
119.0
107.9
116.5

104.2
132.2
136.5
110.9
104.8
113.5

108.6

105.9

101.5

109.6

109.0

111.0

107.6

106.6

103.6

113.5

112.8

111.6

38.0
4.3
3.2
28.9

127.6
112.1
117.3
133.0

128.5
115.4
115.7
133.8

128.9
112.2
120.1
134.4

129.7
115.2
117.5
135.1

129.4
112.7
120.0
135.0

129.4
112.9
116.2
135.5

127.2
110.5
115.2
133.2

133.0
119.2
118.8
138.7

130.9
115.2
119.9
136.5

134.2
122.5
123.6
138.8

135.3
120.7
125.3
140.5

132.4
117.4
119.8
138.2

31
314

1.0
.3

73.7
69.8

75.8
72.4

75.5
70.1

72.0
65.6

73.3
65.1

73.9
67.4

72.3
67.7

79.1
76.2

77.3
74.0

77.9
73.3

78.9
72.6

75.4
69.2

32
321
322
324
325
327

33.8
1.5
7.3
9.6
1.4
4.7

112.5
113.2
105.2
110.9
98.0
127.6

111.8
111.8
107.3
110.1
100.0
125.4

114.3
111.4
107.5
116.6
101.5
128.7

112.7
113.8
107.0
109.1
102.3
129.5

112.8
112.8
107.9
110.4
100.1
130.4

110.8
112.8
104.9
107.7
98.7
131.3

113.3
112.3
104.7
113.8
98.9
127.5

113.9
114.0
108.2
112.8
101.9
127.6

115.4
113.4
107.7
118.8
103.0
129.1

115.3
113.8
108.8
113.2
103.7
131.9

115.4
116.3
110.4
112.1
102.6
133.9

114.0
113.5
107.5
112.7
98.7
134.0

Primary metals
Basic steel and mill products
Iron and steel foundries
Primary nonferrous metals
Aluminum
Nonferrous foundries

33
331
332
333
3334
336

150.9
57.0
9.9
66.2
60.3
2.7

98.7
107.3
116.5
79.6
72.5
135.8

101.1
110.7
122.5
80.2
73.4
140.6

100.7
109.8
123.2
79.0
72.1
143.7

99.4
109.1
118.3
77.9
70.5
137.2

99.3
109.6
115.0
78.7
72.2
137.1

97.8
106.2
115.5
78.7
72.3
136.5

99.7
109.4
117.2
80.1
73.7
134.3

101.2
110.2
122.6
81.0
73.5
139.8

98.9
105.5
116.5
81.1
73.4
136.5

98.8
107.7
113.0
79.5
71.6
135.3

98.7
108.7
117.3
77.3
71.3
140.9

98.9
107.8
119.1
78.4
71.6
140.1

Fabricated metal products
Metal containers
Hardware, tools, and cutlery
Structural metal products
Fasteners
Metal stampings

34
341
342
344
345
346

31.4
2.9
2.7
5.4
1.7
6.7

115.2
101.4
109.4
119.6
119.6
127.3

116.5
102.3
110.8
119.3
119.1
130.7

116.3
103.2
110.4
117.0
119.4
133.9

116.9
106.1
113.7
121.0
116.4
130.7

116.5
105.3
115.3
121.8
118.7
128.4

115.8
103.1
113.5
123.9
117.5
126.9

113.9
100.6
107.9
116.8
116.7
128.9

118.4
104.5
113.6
119.3
121.9
132.8

117.6
105.7
112.5
119.2
121.7
130.6

120.2
107.2
118.6
124.9
121.3
132.5

120.7
106.9
122.1
125.5
124.9
131.8

117.8
101.7
116.4
124.9
120.7
131.3

Industrial machinery
and equipment
Engines and turbines
Farm
Construction and allied
Metalworking
Special industry
General industrial
Computer and office equip.
Service industry machines

35
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358

33.2
2.6
2.0
3.8
4.1
2.4
5.2
5.1
3.5

112.5
115.8
88.1
120.3
120.2
119.4
116.4
88.0
111.5

110.2
110.3
91.8
109.9
122.7
119.4
116.1
86.0
109.1

111.4
113.9
98.4
111.0
123.2
119.0
116.4
88.0
110.9

111.4
108.4
96.4
111.9
123.5
126.7
116.9
85.3
113.1

109.8
103.2
90.7
113.7
120.3
122.3
115.6
84.5
112.1

111.6
107.4
89.0
113.7
122.3
119.4
118.5
86.1
114.0

110.2
115.0
87.4
118.0
116.4
114.8
114.0
86.2
112.0

113.7
114.4
89.4
112.4
125.7
122.1
119.3
89.4
115.8

116.5
109.5
94.9
116.6
128.9
125.4
120.0
95.1
117.9

119.1
113.0
95.4
119.5
132.5
136.6
124.1
92.1
121.8

117.4
108.5
92.2
120.3
129.5
132.7
122.7
91.6
118.8

112.4
107.3
87.2
114.6
123.6
120.9
119.2
87.1
114.4

Electrical machinery
Electrical distribution
Electrical industrial
Household appliances
Lighting and wiring products
TV and radio sets
Communication equipment
Electronic components

36
361
362
363
364
365
366
367

33.0
1.3
4.0
2.4
3.0
.8
3.3
14.5

107.2
96.1
83.0
96.9
122.1
116.0
106.1
116.2

106.5
97.6
83.4
98.5
123.2
117.6
100.9
115.1

106.7
94.5
83.9
97.4
121.1
121.5
103.4
114.7

108.0
93.5
86.5
91.2
126.0
117.5
103.8
118.5

107.8
93.0
85.5
91.0
121.7
121.9
100.4
119.3

108.2
95.2
85.4
92.2
117.6
120.2
107.0
119.3

105.4
92.7
82.9
98.0
121.2
114.3
102.2
114.0

109.7
99.0
85.6
102.2
125.6
120.9
105.0
118.9

111.7
100.9
87.4
101.7
123.5
124.9
112.6
120.6

114.4
102.7
89.3
97.0
128.0
126.3
112.3
125.5

114.7
102.7
88.3
94.8
127.3
128.6
110.6
126.9

110.5
96.1
85.6
94.3
120.4
124.7
108.3
121.7

Transportation equipment
Motor vehicles and parts
Aircraft and parts
Ships and boats

37
371
372
373

39.6
22.8
10.7
2.2

110.7
122.5
93.7
95.5

108.1
118.7
92.5
94.2

113.1
127.4
92.7
93.9

113.0
126.8
91.4
108.1

110.6
122.8
89.9
112.0

110.3
122.6
89.1
112.4

109.3
121.0
92.7
93.3

112.2
124.5
94.2
96.7

113.1
125.3
95.5
94.9

118.1
131.9
96.8
108.4

117.4
130.6
95.9
112.7

112.6
125.5
91.0
110.1

Instruments
Photographic equip. & supplies

38
386

13.7
1.8

106.5
90.4

104.9
95.6

105.2
91.5

104.4
89.7

103.8
86.5

103.8
84.9

102.8
88.3

109.1
98.5

113.5
99.0

113.5
95.7

111.7
89.6

105.9
85.1

Miscellaneous manufactures

39

4.5

132.3

135.9

137.3

130.8

137.4

140.7

133.1

142.3

147.5

143.3

147.8

142.4

909.8
835.3
98.8

107.5
107.1
104.0

107.6
104.9
105.2

107.4
104.8
103.3

107.9
105.3
102.9

107.4
106.0
98.7

107.6
106.3
96.0

106.6
106.9
101.4

109.3
106.7
102.2

108.8
105.4
105.2

111.5
108.2
105.1

111.2
109.5
97.3

109.2
107.8
98.8

Item

SUPPLEMENTARY GROUPS
Total, excluding nuclear nondefense
Utility sales to industry
Industrial generation

19

Explanatory Note
The statistical release of Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization reports
measures of output, capacity, and capacity utilization in manufacturing, mining, and
the electric and gas utilities industries. The release also includes monthly indexes on
the use of electric power in manufacturing and mining. Files containing data in the
release and historical data are available under statistical releases at
http://www.federalreserve.gov, the Board’s World Wide Web site. For paid access
to these files through the Department of Commerce’s Economic Bulletin Board or
World Wide Web site, please call STAT-USA at 1-800-STAT-USA or (202) 452-1986.
Diskettes containing historical data and the data published in this release are
available from the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Publications
Services, (202) 452-3245.

Industrial Production
Coverage. The industrial production (IP) index measures output in the
manufacturing, mining, and electric and gas utilities industries; the reference period
for the index is 1992. For the period since 1992, the total IP index has been
constructed from 267 individual series based on the 1987 Standard Industrial
Classification (SIC). These individual series are classified in two ways: (1) market
groups (shown in table 1), such as consumer goods, equipment, intermediate
products, and materials; and (2) industry groups (shown in tables 2 and 6), such as
two-digit SIC industries and major aggregates of these industries—for example,
durable and nondurable manufacturing, mining, and utilities.
Market groups. For purposes of analysis, the individual IP series are grouped into
final products, intermediate products, and materials. Final products are assumed to be
purchased by consumers, businesses, or government for final use. Intermediate
products are expected to become inputs in nonindustrial sectors, such as
construction, agriculture, and services. Materials are industrial output requiring
further processing within the industrial sector. Total products comprise final and
intermediate products, and final products are divided into consumer goods and
equipment.
Timing. The first estimate of output for a month is published around the 15th of the
following month. The estimate is preliminary (denoted by the superscript “p” in
tables) and subject to revision in each of the subsequent three months as new source
data become available. (Revised estimates are denoted by the superscript “r” in
tables.) After the fourth month, indexes are not revised further until the time of an
annual revision or a benchmark revision. The last three benchmark revisions were
published in 1990, 1985, and 1976.
Source data. In annual or benchmark revisions, the individual IP indexes are
constructed from a variety of source data, such as the quinquennial Censuses of
Manufactures and Mineral Industries and the Annual Survey of Manufactures,
prepared by the Bureau of the Census; the Minerals Yearbook, prepared by the
Department of the Interior; and publications of the Department of Energy. On a
monthly basis, the individual indexes of industrial production are constructed from
two main types of source data: (1) output measured in physical units and (2) data on
inputs to the production process, from which output is inferred. Data on physical
products, such as tons of steel or barrels of oil, are obtained from private trade
associations as well as from government agencies including those listed above; data
of this type are used to estimate monthly IP where possible and appropriate. When
suitable data on physical product are unavailable, estimates of output are based on
either production-worker hours or electric power use by industry. Data on hours
worked by production workers are collected in the monthly establishment survey
conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data on electric power use are
described below. The factors used to convert inputs into estimates of production are
based on historical relationships between the inputs and the comprehensive data used
to benchmark the IP indexes; these factors also may be influenced by technological
or cyclical developments. Especially for the first and second estimates for a given
month, the available source data are limited and subject to revision.
Weights. In the index, series that measure the output of an individual industry are
weighted according to their proportion in the total value-added output of all
industries. The industrial production index, which extends back to 1919, is built as an
annually weighted chain-type index since 1977. The components of IP are combined
using estimates of value added per unit of output. For months from January to June,
the weights are drawn from the year containing the month being estimated and the
preceding year; for months from July to December, the weights are drawn from the
current and following year. The IP proportions shown in column 1 of tables 1A, 2A,
and 6 are estimates of the industries’ relative contributions to overall growth in the
following year. For example, a 1 percent increase in durable goods manufacturing in
1997 would account for an increase in total IP of nearly 1/2 percent.
Seasonal adjustment. Individual series are seasonally adjusted by the X–11 ARIMA
method, developed at Statistics Canada. For series based on production-worker
hours, the current seasonal factors were estimated with data through October 1998;
for other series, the factors were estimated with data through at least June 1998.
Series are preadjusted for the effects of holidays or the business cycle where
appropriate. For the data since 1977, all seasonally adjusted aggregate indexes are
calculated by aggregating the seasonally adjusted indexes of the individual series.
Reliability. The average revision to the level of the total IP index, without regard to
sign, between the first and the fourth estimates was 0.28 percent during the 1987–97
period. The average revision to the percent change in total IP, without regard to sign,

20

from the first to the fourth estimates was 0.21 percentage point during the 1987–97
period. In most cases (about 83 percent), the direction of change in output indicated
by the first estimate for a given month is the same as that shown by the fourth estimate.
Rounding. The published percent changes are calculated from unrounded indexes,
and may not be the same as percent changes calculated from the rounded indexes
shown in the release.

Capacity Utilization
Definition. Capacity utilization is calculated for the manufacturing, mining, and
electric and gas utilities industries. For a given industry, the utilization rate is equal to
an output index divided by a capacity index. Output is measured by seasonally
adjusted indexes of industrial production. The capacity indexes attempt to capture
the concept of sustainable practical capacity, which is defined as the greatest level of
output that a plant can maintain within the framework of a realistic work schedule,
taking account of normal downtime, and assuming sufficient availability of inputs to
operate the machinery and equipment in place. The 76 individual capacity indexes
are based on a variety of data, including capacity data measured in physical units
compiled by trade associations, surveys of utilization rates and investment, and
estimates of growth of the capital input.
Groups. Estimates of capacity and utilization are available for a variety of groups,
including primary and advanced processing industries within manufacturing,
durable and nondurable manufacturing, total manufacturing, mining, utilities, and
total industry. Component industries of the primary and advanced processing groups
within manufacturing are listed in the note on tables 2 and 3 of the release.
Weights. Although each utilization rate is the result of dividing an IP series by a
corresponding capacity index, aggregate utilization rates are equivalent to
combinations of individual utilization rates aggregated with proportions that reflect
current capacity levels of output valued in current-period value added per unit of
actual output. The implied proportions of individual industry operating rates in the
rate for total industry for the most recent year are shown in the first column of table 3.
Perspective. The historical highs and lows in capacity utilization shown in the tables
above are specific to each series and did not all occur in the same month. Industrial
plants usually operate at capacity utilization rates that are well below 100 percent:
none of the broad aggregates has ever reached 100 percent. For total industry and
total manufacturing, utilization rates have exceeded 90 percent only in wartime.

Electric Power
Data on electric power (expressed in kilowatt hours) are collected by the Federal
Reserve District Banks from electric utilities and also from manufacturing and
mining establishments that generate electric power for their own use (cogenerators).
The indexes of power use shown in table 9 are sums of kilowatt hours used by an
industry or industry group expressed as a percentage of that industry’s or group’s
usage in 1992. The first column of the table shows, for reference, electric power use
in billions of kilowatt hours as reported by manufacturing and mining industries in
the 1992 censuses of those industries. The supplementary group, “Total, less nuclear
nondefense,” is shown separately because the value-added proportion for the
nondefense nuclear material series (part of SIC 2819) in total IP is considerably
smaller than its share of total electric power use. Excluding this component from total
power use facilitates comparisons with total IP.

References
The annual revision published on November 24, 1998 is described more completely
in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol.85 (January 1999).
A description of the aggregation methods for industrial production and capacity
utilization is included in an article in the Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 83 (February
1997), pp. 67–92. Industrial Production—1986 Edition contains a more detailed
description of the other methods used to compile the industrial production index, plus
a history of its development, a glossary of terms, and a bibliography. To obtain
Industrial Production—1986 Edition ($9.00 per copy), write to Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System, Publications Services, Washington, DC 20551. The
major revisions to the IP indexes and capacity utilization since 1990 have been
described in the Federal Reserve Bulletin (April 1990, June 1990, June 1993, March
1994, January 1995, and January 1996, February 1997, February 1998, January
1999). The basic methodology used to estimate capacity and utilization is discussed
in the June 1990 Federal Reserve Bulletin.

Release Schedule for 1999 and 2000
At 9:15 a.m. on:
1999: January 15, February 17, March 16, April 16, May 14, June 16, July 16, August
17, September 16, October 15, November 16, and December 15
2000: January 14, February 15, March 15, April 14, May 15, June 15, July 14, August
15, September 15, October 17, November 15, and December 15