Aikman, David , Lehnert, Andreas , Liang, J. Nellie (Jean Nellie) and Modugno, Michele. "Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy, 2016-055," Finance and Economics Discussion Series (July 2016). https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/1491/item/723845, accessed on May 17, 2026.