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In i s issu e: The Very C ontroversial Tax on V alue A dd ed S m ooth Sailing for G eorgia's E conom y District Banking N o tes D istrict Business C ond ition s T h e V e r y C o n tr o v e rs ia l T a x o n V a lu e A d d e d by Robert H. Floyd By n o w on v a lu e th e tax a lm o s t has p r o b le m s . a m u ch (o r, o fte n fo r o f th e m an y e a r ly h o w e ve r, p o s s ib le s u b s t it u te b y state a n d r e m a in s th e o f th e U n ite d fro m in to lie u an d th e by m an y J o in t th e o f in n a t io n s th e ta x a r t ic le n e x t d is c u s s e s T h is se rve s to illu s t r a t e in or o f th e th e th e th e to th e v a r io u s u se s fo r s im ila r it y o f p o s s ib le u se s o f V A T in th e in to has been n o w p ress, p r o v id e p ro p o se d its th e in ad d e d th e a th e re a fo r ge n e ral it in th e ; d iffe r U n ite d an d v a lu e State s are as h e a v ily r e a s o n s f o r its M ark e t u se th e C o n gre ss. th e C o m m o n b e tw e e n U n ite d in r e c e n t ly , e m p lo y e d th e ad d e d m a n y o t h e r a l r e a d y - e x is t in g ta x e s . F in a lly , t h e v a r i o u s p r o s a n d o v e r th e in c o m e tax w o u ld c u r r e n t e x p e r ie n c e s w it h v a lu e , u n d e r stu d y b y o f is s h a ll s e e t h a t th e c la im e d taxe s as c e n te re d s p o t lig h t — tax a r t ic le State s c o r p o r a t io n p a ym e n ts C o m m it t e e it. T h i s co n ce p t V A T e x a m p le , M o re r e c e n t ly b e e n g iv e n E u rop e an th e For im p r o v e m e n t p ro p e rty ta x e c o n o m ic in c o m e th e th e s u r r o u n d in g fo r th e o f in ab o u t au ra n a t io n . U n ite d th a t b a la n c e o f ta x h a s Eu rop e . W e th e s u b s titu tio n . E c o n o m ic th e m an y p a rt o f r e m a in e d b u rd en an d in argu e d T he c la im e d c o r p o r a t io n r e v ie w s e a r lie r a n d a d v an tage s T he V A T th e ab o u t fo r been tax e s t h is in s o m e t h in g V A T ). p an ace a a ls o a t t e n t io n ad d e d le a s t th e have o f th e has o f th e th e S t a t e s . It b r i e f l y at f o r a ll fro m V A T m is u n d e r s t a n d in g v a lu e a th e M a n y r e s u lt c o n s id e r a b le th e be im p r o v e m e n t t a x in t h is c o u n t r y a n d a d o p t io n g iv e n lo c a l g o v e r n m e n t s . T h e m u ch o v e r v ie w to a s a s u b s t it u te But re ad n o t - s o -p o p u la r fo r so m e A d m in is t r a tio n D e s p it e th e w o u ld a lle g e d q u e s t io n e d . or a b b r e v ia t e d , ad v a n ta ge s e ffic ie n c y . s t r o n g ly th e h e ard ap p ear t h a t its u s e p a ym e n ts th e of u se e c o n o m ic of it a t t e n t io n ta x . It w a s a l l e g e d b a la n c e has c o m m o n ly n u m e ro u s its p o s s i b l e im p r o v e as m ad e In d e e d , s u b s t it u te aro u n d e ve ry o n e ad d e d s ig n if ic a n t ly State s. tax tax o n it. an d co n s r e v ie w e d . 1 T h e V a lu e In s i m p l e at e a ch 110 is a t a x l e v i e d T a x in o n s t a g e o f its p r o d u c t i o n . T h e V A T Monthly Review, V o l. upon th e re q u e st A t la n ta , te rm s, th e V A T A d d e d to G e o r g ia L V II, No. R e se arch 7. Fre e O t h e r N a t io n s th e v a lu e is n o t a n s u b s c r ip t io n D e p artm e n t, Fe deral ad d e d A m e r ic a n and to a c o m m o d ity in v e n t io n . a d d it io n a l R e serve Bank of c o p ie s a v a ila b le A t la n ta , 30303. M O N T H L Y REVIEW It is n o w in c o m m o n u se in n a t io n s . F r a n c e a d o p t e d th e ta x w a s lim it e d w h o le s a le r s a n d n o t a p p ly th e o p tio n o r a w h o le s a le a d o p te d Eu rop ean o f p a y in g s a le s ta x . In an d r e t a il s a le s . W i t h th e e it h e r th e e x e m p te d . V A T . T h e D a n is h in c lu d in g r a t if ic a t io n o f th e T re a ty o f R o m e , th e m e m b e r n a t io n s o f th e E u rop e an M a r k e t c o m m it t e d C o m m o n to a d o p t in g a V A T a s a fir s t s t e p to w ard e v e n t u a lly h a r m o n iz in g t h e ir v a r io u s ta x s t r u c tu r e s . an d In G e rm a n y a d o p te d G e rm a n y , th e V A T V A T 's c o m p r e h e n s iv e B e lg iu m C o m m o n m em b er, have V A T . T he V A T 's . In a d d it io n h a v e a ls o to p u r c h a s e ta x a n d T h e D e n m ark, N o rw a y E u rop e an V A T 's M a rk e t m e m b e rs have In an G e rm a n y , th e in c r e a s e ho w e ve r, so m e s e r v ic e s , a n d rate s. T h e raw ta x e d 7 .5 p e rc e n t. p e r c e n t . R a t e s in n e c e s s it ie s to 2 5 is 1 4 p e r c e n t . In th e fu e l a n d B e lg iu m In In w as in t r o d u c e d to 15 N o r w a y , th e th e sta n d a rd rate s a re 5 e m p lo y e d . In D e n m ark, a t a 1 0 - p e r c e n t rate . T h e to 1 2 .5 p e rc e n t. In p e rc e n t a n d S w e d e n , th e r a is e d to 1 7 .6 5 s t ill g o o d s an d s e r v ic e s . T h e r e a re n o t u n ifo r m d o c to rs' an d a t a ll s t a g e s o f a n in E u rop ean th is r e g a r d . la w y e r s ' f e e s a r e to b o th F o r e x a m p le , FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K OF ATLANTA s e r v ic e s p ro ce ss. P r o d u c e r s , m a n u fa c t u r e r s , w h o le s a le r s , a n d to c o lle c t th e tax w h e r e a p p lic a b le . T h u s , a d m in is t r a t io n th at o f th e ta x , w h ic h is w i d e l y F in a lly , t h e as th e e m p lo y e d E u rop e an o f a V A T d iffe r s m o r e f a m ilia r s in g le - s t a g e s a le s ta x e s, s u c h r e t a il s a le s in t h e U n i t e d S tate s. V A T 's a p p ly to im p o r t s a s p ro d u ce d go o d s an d s e r v ic e s . It d o e s n o t , h o w e v e r , a p p l y t o e x p o r t s . E x p o r t-d e s tin e d g o o d s a re e it h e r e x e m p t e d on th e m are t im e o f e x p o r t a t io n . T h is fe a tu r e th e U n ite d S ta te s (w h ic h tru e ) th a t th e ta x c re a te s a n ad v an tage fo r E u ro p e a n re b a te d le d fro m at th e to c la im s in a re , a t b e s t, o n ly p a r t ly u n f a ir c o m p e t it iv e n a t i o n s in It is n o w in t e r n a t io n a l g e n e r a lly a c c e p t e d , h o w e v e r , th a t a n y in t e r n a t io n a l c o m p e t it iv e o n ly te m p o r a r y . E u rop ean re ason ad v a n ta ge N o r w a s it t h e n a tio n s a d o p t e d fo r th e a d o p t io n s in g le -s t a g e c o n c e r n in g T in b e r g e n w a s th e tax, b u t m a n y s a le s ta x e s. E u r o p e a n a s fa r b a c k t u r n o v e r t a x e s in a c o m m o n N e u m a rk C o m m o n M a r k e t s t u d ie d and D e n m ark, n a t io n s s t u d ie s in t h e i r t a x n a t io n s . B o t h th e th e p r o b le m s o f m a r k e t s e tt in g . In R e p o rt to th e E u ro p e a n th e p r o b le m s an a m o n g r a is e d e c o n o m ic t h e g a i n s in e f f i c i e n c y t h a t w o u l d ta x h a r m o n iz a t io n gro ss r e p la c e d as 1953, w h en R e p o rt d o cu m e n te d 1 96 3, th e m o st m u ltis t a g e p o t e n t ia l im p r o v e m e n t s stru c tu re s b e g a n E u rop e , r e p la c e e x is tin g o r an o th e r. T h e r e p la c e d tu rn o v e r, o r c a s c a d e p r im a r y r e s o u r c e s . In m o s t n a t io n s a d o p t e d V A T 's to fo rm be th a t th e V A T . T h e th e e ffic ie n t u s e o f e c o n o m ic s a le s ta x e s o f o n e w o u ld re aso n o f V A T 's w a s to e n h a n c e r e s u lt fr o m re p o rts s o u g h t to d e te r m in e stru c tu re s th a t w o u ld by u n io n th e v a r io u s m e m b e r tax r e s u lt in t h e g r e a t e s t g a i n s re co m m e n d e d n a t io n s e x e m p t in go o d s an d e c o n o m y 's p r o d u c t io n to e c o n o m ic e ffic ie n c y , a n d a re e x c e p tio n s , h o w e v e r . in t h e v a r i o u s on p u rch aser c a p ita l g o o d s . a p p lie s to t a x a b le p e rc e n t. p r o fe s s io n a l s e r v ic e s a re n o t a lw a y s ta x e d , b u t th e V A T 's tax o n T he V A T b o th s u b s t it u tio n re p o rts o f V A T 's f o r e x is tin g t u r n o v e r ta x e s. T he V A T 's a p p ly b y th e a g a in s t h is o t h e r ta x lia b ilit y . C o n s e q u e n t ly , t h e r e in it ia l r a t e is c u r r e n t l y 2 0 p e r c e n t o n Eu rop ean b e c r e d it e d d iffe r e n t ta x s y s t e m s w it h in added. G e n e r a lly , th e So m e 18 n o n m e m b e r n a t io n s , a has been 1 1 .1 -p e r c e n t ra te h a s b e e n In 6 p e rc e n t o n N e t h e r la n d s , th e L u x e m b o u r g , th e S c a n d in a v ia n la t e r r a is e d a re ta x e d at lu x u r ie s , w i t h th e t h e t a x in c a p ita l g o o d s . T a x e s p a id c a p ita l g o o d s m a y p r e v a le n t fo r m e le c tr ic ity a re v a ry fro m p e rc e n t o n r a t e w a s la t e r i n c r e a s e d v a lu e fo o d v a lu e 1 0 p e r c e n t , r e s p e c t iv e ly . s in g le - r a t e V A T th e V A T h a s f o u r d iffe r e n t n e c e s s i t i e s is 4 p e r c e n t , a n d p e rc e n t an d p r o fe s s io n a l r a t e is o n l y L u x u r ie s a r e t a x e d a t 3 3 .3 p e rc e n t b e in g s ta n d a r d . rate o n F o r fo o d stu ffs, p e rc e n t o n p ro d u cts an d p e rc e n t, w h ile a t 1 7 .6 p e rce n t, b u t m a t e r ia ls , s o m e F re n ch V A T an d C o m m o n m u lt i r a te V A T 's . o t h e r it e m s , t h e g e n e r a l r a t e is 2 3 a d d e d , b u t fa rm o n ly a d o p te d n o t. tra d e . m u ltir a t e p e r c e n t is p l a n n e d . a fe w 5 .5 p e r c e n t . T h e Sw e d e n g e n e r a l, th e r a t e is g e n e r a l l y 1 1 to 1 2 p o p u la r . its a d o p t i o n . u se b o th In an d c la s s o f g o o d s — th e tax , o r ta x e s p a id Ir e la n d , A u s t r ia , a n d are c o n s id e r in g s in g le -r a te stru c tu re s. fo r th e are p r o d u c t s a re g e n e r a lly n o t. T h e w e ll a s d o m e s t ic a lly has th e n o n m e m b e rs M a r k e t , t h e t a x is a l s o a d o p t e d V A T 's . S w it z e r la n d I t a l y is to s u b s t it u te a V A T th e s e le c t iv e e m p lo y m e n t tax. A m o n g o f th e C o m m o n n e w e st in J a n u a r y 1 9 7 3 . B r i t a i n its i n t e n t i o n p r e s e n t ta x e s— It a ly o f t h e B r it a in , t h e n o t yet a d o p te d F a rm s u b s t a n t ia lly f r o m N e t h e r la n d s a n d fe e s t h e tax. B a r b e r s ' b u t n o t in S w e d e n . R e n t s a r e g e n e r a l ly r e t a ile r s a r e r e q u ir e d e x is tin g tu rn o v e r , s u i t in 1 9 6 9 . O n l y to c h a n g e an n o u n ce d an t h e e a r lie r , le s s M a r k e t n a t io n s a n d s c h e d u le d tw o F re n ch f o llo w e d in J a n u a r y 1 9 6 8 . r e p la c e d o r g r o s s s a le s tax , a s h a d F ran ce v e t e r in a r ia n s ' m o s t i m p o r t a n t e x e m p t i o n , h o w e v e r , is a p a r t i c u l a r is n o t h e m s e lv e s an d h a ir d r e s s e r s ' fe e s a r e e x e m p t f r o m D e n m ark, 1967, D e n m ark t h e fir s t c o m p r e h e n s i v e a r c h it e c ts ' M e d ic in e s a re u s u a lly s u b je c t to r e t a ile r s . a t a ll t o ta x in c l u d e s a ll s t a g e s o f p r o d u c t io n , t h e fin a l but in 1 9 5 4 , b u t to m a n u fa c tu re rs a n d d id W h o le s a le r s h a d V A T m an y th e fir s t V A T w ill b e tu r n o v e r ta x fo r m e r ly sh o w n c o n s id e r a b ly m o re c le a r ly d iffe r e n t fr o m th e t u r n o v e r ta x a p p lie d p r o d u c t io n r e s u lt, t h e n o t o n ly to u se d in E u rop e— th e V A T . gross s a l e s sta ge , w h e re a s th e V A T o f th e In is e ffe c t, at each d o e s n o t. A s a t u rn o v e r tax a t th e s e c o n d to th e v a lu e as la t e r in t h e a r t ic le — stage a p p lie d p r o d u c t cre a te d in 111 th e s e c o n d sta g e b u t a ls o t h e fir s t s t a g e a n d to th e v a lu e t h e ta x le v ie d on sta g e . T h is m e a n t th a t fir m s a n d h ig h d e gre e rate th a n fir m s a n d le s s v e r t ic a l in t e g r a t i o n , e v e n tax rate w a s th e s a m e e ffe c t iv e ta x ra te v a r ie d p ro d u cts, a n d ta x a t io n o f an on can a m o n g in p a id e v a s io n t h e fir s t in d u s t r ie s w it h o f v e r t ic a l in t e g r a t io n effective t a x c re a te d it in a th e le g a l a m o n g fir m s , a m o n g d iffe r e n tia l re so u rce s. T h u s, th e o r to a d o p t s o m e fo rm o f a n a t io n a l in c o m e th a t c o n tin u e d a n a t io n a l s a le s ta x w a s p r e fe r a b le , b o t h in t h e s e M a r k e t n a t io n s a n d o f th e m o re ta x e s w e r e n a t io n s a n d m ig h t h a v e been in th e fa m ilia r a n d A n w o u ld m o re in p r o b a b ly have m o re to h a r m o n iz e ta x e s. T h e V A T ta x e v a s io n p a tte rn s, s u c h n a t io n s . is a l m o s t a B u s in e s s w a s c o n s id e r e d ap p e a re d to be to d iffic u lt a n d le a s t lik e ly t o to t h is c o u n t r y . T h e b y a co rp o rate n a r r o w ly r e s u lt an d o f th e p o lit ic a l. T h e s im ila r ta x w a s tax w e r e in c r e a s e d , o r w ith th e th e c o m p r o m is e , th e th e n u m e r o u s e x e m p t io n s fr o m T h u s, th e V A T w a s n o t e x p e c te d w it h p r o b a b ly a re th e th e to b e u se s o f e c o n o m ic in f lu e n c e d e x e m p t io n s a n d w o u ld fo rm n a t io n s fa c e d w ith t h is a tax w a s a s w e ll. T h e tax . t r u ly n e u tr a l be even n a t io n s w it h tax o f s a l e s t a x a t i o n , it d o e s n o t d i s c r i m i n a t e u n in t e n d e d an d c a p r ic io u s in e c o n o m i c th e V A T e ffic ie n c y . T h e to a s in g le -s t a g e th a t fo r in c o m e fir m s to c o u ld be p r o b a b ly d id ta x e s. T h e m in im iz e u se d in in c r e a s e d . re ason g a in fo r p r e fe r r in g s a le s ta x w a s s im ila r to re co rd s r e q u ir e d th e ir in d iv id u a l V A T b y th e g o v e r n m e n ts to fo r b u rd e n s p reve n t 112 to u p to th e n o n co rp o rate b u s in e s s e s p r o d u c t iv e in a b o u t $ 2 3 . 4 In M ic h ig a n . b y co rp o rate m illio n revenu e d u r i n g its its f is c a l y e a r , it r a is e d m i ll i o n . T h u s , in 1 4 y e a r s t h e t a x y i e ld th a n in c r e a s e d f iv e f o ld . D u r in g t h is t im e , b u t b y o n ly t w o fo ld . ta x b a s e had been e ro d e d a d d e d . C le a r ly , th e ta x w a s a n gro w th T he r a is e r a n d in w as r e s p o n s iv e In as a d d it io n a l e x e m p t io n s , d e d u c tio n s , a n d lo o p h o le s e ffe c t iv e to e c o n o m ic th e State . tax h a d so m e le a s t p a r t ly le d to u n d e s ir a b le its d e m i s e . a s p e c ts , w h ic h at F o r e x a m p le , u t ilit ie s w e r e t a x e d a t a lo w e r rate . M o r e o v e r , c a p it a l e x p e n d it u r e s a n d d e p r e c ia t io n w e re in a d e q u a t e ly t re a te d . T h e t r e a t m e n t o f in t e r e s t a n d e q u ity a m o re e a r n in g s 'Vertical integration refers to the amount of involvement of a single com pany in the entire production process of a commodity. For example, a company that manufactures, wholesales, and retails shoes w ould be more vertically integrated than a company that merely manufactures shoes. A s in c r e a s e d reven u e w as r e s u l t in s o m e tax fr a n c h is e o ver $128 w e re m a n n e r o f th e t u r n o v e r tax . T h u s , t h e s h if t t o t h e V A T e x p e c te d to a n d a p p lie d ta x w a s a h ig h ly a d d it io n , th e le s s n e u t r a l. N e v e r t h e le s s , a s a in c o m e co rp o rate r e a s o n a b l y s u c c e s s f u l in r a is e r , b r i n g i n g rate s h a d ra te d iffe r e n tia ls , th e V A T p o lit ic a l B u s in e s s A c tiv itie s T a x w a s fir s t y e a r o f e x is t e n c e . re so u rce s b y t h e ta x . In a co rp o rate S t a t e 's s a le s in a d e q u a t e need, e n acte d . r e t a il le v e l a n d r e s p e c t t o e c o n o m i c a c t iv it y , a n d , c o n s e q u e n t ly , th e b o th in la t e r . to M ic h i g a n 's m a n u fa c tu r e rs , b u t th e tax e x te n d e d n o t ge n eral even t a x r a te , if f o r n o o t h e r r e a s o n re ason s p r im a r ily fis c a l a n d been w h e th e r ad o p te d , t h is ta x o f th e 14 ye ars th a t th e V A T is p r o b a b l y le g is la t u r e B u s in e s s A c tiv itie s T a x r e a s o n s le a d in g o ve r o n ly r e p la c e d so m e f o r its r e p e a l C o n fro n te d be an d tax . A r e v ie w state h a d en su e d s h o u ld to o f th e ad d e d tax , h o w e v e r , la s t e d b y th e W e s t V ir g in ia im m e d ia t e a d o p t io n v a lu e o th e r sta te s h a v e e m p lo y e d M ic h ig a n T h e a tax its is n o t e n t i r e l y r e p e a le d n e t in c o m e re je c te d It is i n s t r u c t i v e T he w as it w a s fo r th e a d o p t io n ta x b e th e tax w a s e s s e n t ia lly a ta x o n M ic h ig a n . T h u s , th e V A T u n t il 1 9 6 7 , w h e n b a t t le le g is la t u r e a d o p t e d M o s t o f th e to ta l ta x b ill w a s p a id th a n th e b e st in M ic h i g a n a d m i n i s t r a t i v e l y e n f o r c e a b le . Y e t , it w a s r e c o g n i z e d a u n ifo r m m o re B u s in e s s A c t iv it ie s T a x . D e s p it e n a m e , th e re ve n u e s. a s th e p r e v a le n c e o f in d i s t o r t i o n s t o t h e e c o n o m y a n d th e w it h in r a is e r . r e la t iv e ly e a s y . w it h be d o n e m u ch ta x e s b y a d o p t in g e n tir e ly In 1 9 5 3 , t h e M ic h i g a n c a lle d in had O f th e v a r io u s f o r m s o f s a le s t a x a t io n , a g e n e r a l V A T n e w fo rm . o f have been s m a ll s h o p k e e p e r s , m a d e c o lle c t io n e v a s io n fo rm fo r a v o id in g h ig h e r in c o m e m an y E u rop e an o r g a n iz a tio n tax stru c tu re s a n d c o n c e iv a b ly o t h e r t a x e s , it w a s p r o b a b l y in 1 9 6 7 ; n o th e m p o t e n t ia l a s a r e v e n u e w a s th a t in c o m e tr a d itio n e x t e n s iv e ly f u r t h e r in c r e a s e s in a d d it io n a l re a s o n ta x a t io n M a r k e t n a t io n s , h a r m o n iz e t h is c o u ld m ad e a v a ila b le . n e w th e n o n m e m b e r u se d d e tr im e n t a l. S o m e a ls o in tax . u se o f im p o r ta n t re a s o n s w a s a lr e a d y n a t io n a l s a le s tax, h o w e v e r , w o u l d c o n s id e r a b ly to a s in g le -s t a g e th e V A T . th e C o m m o n T h e V A T w a s w h e th e r to c o n tin u e Se ve ral re aso n s su g g e ste d n a t io n s . O n e F in a lly , w it h in an u s e o f a n a t i o n a l s a l e s ta x , b u t in a d i f f e r e n t f o r m , th a t in c o m e reco rd s t o s u b s t i t u t e a b e t t e r t a x f o r it. T h e s e c o n d a r y q u e s t io n C o m m o n w ith d iff ic u lt w it h t h e r e w a s a d e s ir e w ith p o s s ib le r e q u ir e d E u rop ean n a t io n s ' in itia l c o n c e r n w a s t o e lim in a t e in e ffic ie n t ta x a n d m o re fe a s ib le g r e a tly d is t o r t th e e ffic ie n t a llo c a t io n e c o n o m y 's s im p ly , th e rate s. A lt h o u g h b o t h . 1 A s a r e s u lt, t h e in d u s t r ie s . S u c h e v a s io n a lo w e r in d u s t r ie s w it h th o u gh th a t m ig h t b e tax . Q u i t e te n d e d fin a n c in g . T h e se , h o w e v e r , w e r e p r im a r y re a so n s fo r th e A c t iv it ie s T ax . O n e r a is e d d iv id e n d to fa v o r d e b t fin a n c in g o v e r a g a in s t th e p r o f i t , it s h o u l d o f th e p r in c ip a l a r g u m e n ts t a x w a s t h a t if a f ir m pay n o n o t th e r e p e a l o f th e B u s in e s s m akes no t a x in o r d e r t o a v o i d M O N T H L Y REVIEW a d d it io n a l h a r d s h ip fir m sam e to "a d d t im e . t o t h e f i r m . It is p o s s i b l e f o r a v a lu e " a n d If th is h a p p e n s , t h e fir m w o u ld a ta x lia b ilit y . S u p p o r t e r s o f t h e V A T even a m o n e y - lo s in g fir m g o v e r n m e n t s e r v ic e s a n d V a lu e in c u r r e p lie d Added in s h o u ld n o a r g u m e n t w a s v e r y i n f lu e n t ia l in fin a l b e tax e d p r o f it - n o th e to p a y ta x re p e a l o f th e re ason f o r its a S a le s of Output P ro ce ss M a n u - W hole Retail er facturer sa le r Cum u lative $1000 $2400 $100 P u rch a se s of M ate rial In p u ts VALU E ADDED P ro d u c tio n F o u r-S ta g e Raw M a te ria ls Producer th at r e c e iv e s b e n e f it s fr o m fo r t h e m . N e v e r t h e le s s , th e B u s in e s s A c tiv itie s T ax . A TABLE 1 to s u ffe r a lo s s a t th e $500 $800 — 100 500 800 1400 100 400 300 200 1000 re p e a l w a s to e a s e th e s t in g o f in t r o d u c in g a W a ge s 60 275 200 100 635 state in c o m e Rent 10 25 40 50 125 been s u ffic ie n t to b r in g th e d o w n f a ll o f th e U n ite d Interest 10 50 25 25 110 Profit 20 50 35 25 130 tax . T h e s e f a c t o r s s e e m e d S t a t e s ' o n ly e x p e r im e n t w it h W h a t E x p e r ie n c e w it h p o p u la r a n d u se d as an Is a V a lu e th e V A T a d d it io n a v a lu e ad d e d A d d e d Tax? has p ro ve d e ffe c t iv e fo r m to have tax . it t o b e a o f t a x a t io n . It c o u l d to o r as an it s e lf. In be a lt e r n a t iv e to s e v e r a l e x i s t i n g t a x e s in t h is c o u n t r y . L e t u s lo o k , t h e r e f o r e , in s o m e w h a t g r e a t e r d e t a il a t t h e t a x p a r t ic u la r , t h is s e c t io n a d m in is t r a tio n an d c o n c e rn s th e th e b a se o f th e t a x . T h a t is , w e lo o k a t th e im p o r t a n t p r a c t ic a l a s p e c t s o f h o w t a x is a p p l i e d an d th e o f w h a t is t a x e d . W e d iffe r e n c e b e t w e e n lie s in s h a ll f in d th e V A T its a d m i n i s t r a t i o n . h o w e v e r , it is c l o s e l y k i n th a t th e p r im a r y an d In e x is tin g ta x e s its c o n c e p t a n d FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K O F ATLANTA a r e t h a t it a p p lie s a t a ll ( o r m o s t ) s t a g e s o f p r o d u c t io n , r a t h e r th a n o n ly o n e sta ge , a n d ra th e r th a n each p a rt, only t o t h e added a t e a c h p r o d u c t i o n value added i s t h e d i f f e r e n c e s t a g e . T h a t is , t h e t a x a p p l i e s value o f p r o d u c t s t h a t is s ta g e . F o r a fir m , b e tw e e n an d it a p p l i e s t o o n l y a ll, o f t h e v a l u e o f t r a n s a c t i o n s a t t h e v a lu e o f t h a t f i r m 's o u t p u t w h e n th e v a lu e pu rch ased o f th e m a t e r ia ls a n d fro m T h is s a m e d iffe r e n c e in p r o d u c i n g is a t w o - s i d e d in v a l u e s o ld s u p p lie s o th e r fir m s fo r u se th e o u tp u t. B u t v a lu e a d d e d c o in . is a l s o e q u a l t o th e c o s t o f n o n m a t e r i a l in p u t s in t h e p r o d u c t i o n p r o c e s s . T h a t is , it w i l l e q u a l t h e s u m w age, re n t, a n d o f t h e f i r m 's in te r e s t p a y m e n t s , a n d its r e s id u a l p r o fit . T h e A d m in is t r a tio n T h e re are tw o V A T b a s ic g e n e r a lly deduction method a n d th e d e d u c tio n o f th e V A T m e t h o d s o f d e te r m in in g th e lia b ilit y . T h e s e a r e re fe rre d to as th e addition method. th e U n d e r m e th o d , h o w e v e r, th e re a re tw o d if f e r e n t w a y s to c o m p u t e subtraction method an d th e ta x lia b ilit y — th e th e credit method. T h u s, t h e r e a re a c t u a lly th r e e m e t h o d s to d e t e r m in e th e V A T lia b ilit y , t w o an d u n d e r th e a d d it io n o n e T h e c r e d it m e t h o d u n d e r th e d e d u c tio n is g r a n t e d T he f o r ta x e s p a id s u b t r a c t io n m e th o d d ir e c t ly b y s u b t r a c t in g s a le s a n d to to ta l s a le s a n d o n m e th o d m e th o d . a c q u i r e s its n a m e t h e t a x r a t e is a p p l i e d b e cau se a c r e d it m a t e r ia l p u r c h a s e s . c o m p u t e s v a lu e ad d e d m a t e r ia l p u r c h a s e s fr o m a p p lie s th e ta x ra te to t h e d iffe r e n c e . F in a lly , u n d e r t h e a d d i t i o n is c o m p u t e d its b a s e , to se v e r a l e x is t in g ta x e s. T h e d is t in g u is h in g fe a tu r e s o f a V A T An example may clarify the concept of value added. Table 1 depicts a production process inI volving four stages—raw materials production, manufacturing, wholesaling, and retailing. It is assumed for simplicity that the raw materials pro| ducer buys no material inputs for his own use other than his capital investment. He sells raw I materials to the manufacturer for $100. The differ ence between his sales and purchased inputs is $100, which is his value added. From this amount, he must pay wage, rent, and interest expenses | totaling $80, thus leaving a profit of $20. The manufacturer converts the raw materials into prod ucts that he sells to a wholesaler for $500. The dif ference between this amount and his $100 worth of purchased materials leaves his value at $400, which again must equal the sum of wages, rent, interest, and profit. Similar columns summarize the activities of the wholesaler and the retailer. Some general characteristics should be noted from Table 1. First, at any particular stage in the process, value added is equal to either (1) the j difference between sales and material purchases or (2) the sum of factor payments including profits (wages, rents, interest, and profits). Second, the | sales value at any one stage equals the sum of value added at that stage and all previous stages. Thus, the $1,000 sales value at the final or retail | stage equals the sum of value added at all four \ production stages (as shown in the cumulative col umn), and, hence, the sum of factor payments at I all stages. It also equals the difference between the cumulative totals of sales and purchased maj terial inputs. th e im p o r ta n t c o n c e p tu a l a s p e c t m e t h o d , v a lu e a d d e d b y a d d i n g t o g e t h e r a ll f a c t o r 113 TABLE 2 Table 2 depicts how the VAT would be com\ puted under the credit method in a highly simpli fied economy. The table retains the same four- j stage production process shown in Table 1. For simplicity, it is assumed that there is no capital in- 1 vestment and no depreciation. Suppose that the ; VAT is levied at a 10-percent rate. Under the credit j method, the selling firm determines its t a x liability i by applying the 10-percent tax rate to its total sales, j It then deducts from this gross amount the amount j of any VAT paid on its purchases of material in puts. The difference is its net tax liability of the firm. In Table 2, for example, the raw materials producer applies the 10-percent tax rate to its sales of $100. Since it has no purchased material inputs, its gross and net tax liabilities are both $10. The total cost of the sale t o t h e manufacturer is $110, j of which $10 is paid to the government and $100 to the raw materials producer. The manufacturer then converts the raw material into a finished prod uct, thereby adding $400 in value. In order to deter mine his tax liability, the manufacturer follows a similar procedure. He sells his output for $500 and applies the 10-percent tax rate to this sale. His gross tax liability is thus $50, making the total cost to the wholesaler $550. The manufacturer, how\ ever, deducts from the $50 gross tax liability the j 5 7 0 tax he paid on his purchases from the raw materials producer, leaving his net tax of $40—or 10 percent of his value added of $400. Similar pro cedures are followed by the wholesaler and the •. retailer until the final sale for consumption ends the production process. The second deduction method, the subtraction method, is much simpler. In this case, the firm computes its value added by subtracting its pur chases of material inputs from its sales of output \ and applies the VAT rate directly to this amount. I The method is shown in Table 3. The addition method, however, takes a fundamentally different ! approach. As shown in Table 1, the sum of factor payments and profits equals value added. Thus, under the addition method, the VAT liability is computed by adding factor payments and profits and applying the tax rate to the sum. The process \ is illustrated in Table 4. VAT is a p p l i e d in c lu d in g T h e a d d it io n se em p r o f it s — an d th e tax rate (S e e th e e x a m p le th a n in t h e b o x .) H o w e v e r, th e u se d in t h e th e V A T r e c o r d s a re a u t o m a t ic a lly g e n e r a t e d d is c o u r a g e 114 ta x e v a s io n . $500.00 $800.00 $1000.00 100.00 500.00 800.00 A dded 100.00 400.00 300.00 200.00 Tax on Total S a le s 10.00 50.00 80.00 100.00 10.00 50.00 80.00 10.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 110.00 550.00 880.00 1100.00 V alue Credit for Taxes Paid on Pu rch a se s V A T Lia b ility to G overnm ent Total C o st of O utput to Buyer JThe total cost figu re s in the table involve several h ighly sim p lifie d a ssu m p tio n s. In general, they a s su m e that taxes are fu lly reflected in h ighe r sa le s prices. For broad ly based taxes a p p ly in g to all or nearly all g o o d s and se rvice s in the eco n o m y (su ch a s a VAT), th is is a h igh ly s u sp ic io u s a ssu m p tio n . The respon se of s a le s price s to taxe s in su ch c a se s w ould depend not o n ly on the tax but a lso on n u m er o u s other e q u ally im p o rtant factors, su ch a s m onetary p olicy actions. TABLE 3 VAT C o m p u t a t io n under th e S u b t r a c t io n Raw M anu M a te ria ls Produ ce r facturer Sa le s of Output $100.00 P u rch a se s of M ate rial In p u ts Value Added M e th o d W ho le sa le r R e ta il er $500.00 $800.00 $1000.00 __ 100.00 500.00 800.00 100.00 400.00 300.00 200.00 10.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 VA T TABLE 4 VAT C o m p u t a t io n u n d e r th e A d d it io n Raw M a te ria ls Produ ce r M anufactu re r M e th o d W holesa le r Retailer $ 60.00 $275.00 $200.00 Rent 10.00 25.00 40.00 $100.00 50.00 Interest 10.00 50.00 25.00 25.00 20.00 50.00 35.00 25.00 100.00 400.00 300.00 200.00 10.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 VAT c r e d it th e lia b ilit y , th at te n d r e c e iv e V A T to F o r e x a m p l e , in o r d e r t o $100.00 Eu rop ean n a t i o n s in o r d e r t o c o m b a t t a x e v a s i o n . W i t h o f c o m p u t in g R e ta il er th e c r e d it m e t h o d . is t h e a p p r o a c h c r e d it m e t h o d W ho le s a le r — Profit m e t h o d s m ig h t M e th o d 1 M anu facturer S a le s of Output Valu e A dded s u b tr a c tio n le s s c o m p l i c a t e d m e th o d an d to th e su m . C r e d it Raw M a te ria ls Produ ce r C o st of In p u ts W a ge s p a ym e n ts— u n d e r th e h is ta x c r e d it a n d , t h e r e fo r e , r e d u c e lia b ilit y , t h e pu rch ase p a id tax p a ye r m u st b e r e c e ip t s t h a t it e m iz e b y h im on a b le th e V A T to h is p r o v id e a c t u a lly h is p u r c h a s e s . T h is s a m e r e c e ip t M O N T H L Y REVIEW p r o v id e s th e ta x c o lle c t o r w it h a reco rd o f th e s e ll e r 's s a le s . T h u s , t h e s e ll e r h a s d i f f i c u lt y u n d e r s t a t in g h is s a le s (a n d , h e n c e , u n d e r s t a t in g h is t a x lia b ilit y ) . T h e t o h e lp r e c e ip t , w h ic h th e b u y e r m in im iz e p r o v id e s a re c o r d to th e is n e c e s s a r y h is V A T lia b ilit y , a ls o go v e rn m e n t— d is c o u r a g e s th e s e lle r f r o m lia b ilit y . In E u ro p e , th e se v a lu a b le in c h e c k in g w h ic h c h e a t in g o n h is V A T r e c e ip t s h a v e in c o m e a ls o p ro ve d ta x re tu rn s. T h r e e T y p e s o f V A T 's T he d is c u s s io n b e tw e e n t h u s fa r h a s n o t d is t in g u is h e d p u r c h a s e s o f c a p ita l a n d g o o d s . T h is d is t in c t io n an d th e c o n s u m p t io n m e th o d c a p ita l g o o d s fo r ta x c o m p u t a t io n d e te r m in a n t s o f th e ta x b a s e a n d b e t w e e n V A T 's g o o d s t h a t a fir m tra n sfo rm e d o n e an d are p u rc h a se s are o f th e t h a t is o n l y n e w sp ap e r o r even u se d p r in tin g up o v e r a lo n g p e r io d T w o r e la t io n s h ip s im m e d ia t e ly F o r e x a m p le , p r i n t i n g p r e s s is n o t e n t i r e l y u s e d a n e w sp ap e r. T h e h a n d lin g o t h e r t y p e s o f t a x e s . N o t a ll in t o a d if f e r e n t p r o d u c t . p r o d u c in g o n e o f im p o r ta n t in u p in o n e e d it io n th e p r o d u c t io n p ro ce ss o f t im e . p r im a r y t y p e s o f V A T 's e v o lv e f r o m in w h i c h o f p r e s s is a c a p i t a l g o o d c a p ita l g o o d s a re tre a te d . a re fu lly d e d u c t ib le a t t h e t im e th e w a y If c a p it a l g o o d s th e y are p u rc h a se d , j u s t a s a r e p u r c h a s e s o f o t h e r m a t e r ia l in p u t s , th e n th e y a re e x c lu d e d fro m th e re fo re , o n ly to th o se g o o d s p ro d u c e d th e tax b a se . T h e c o n s u m p t io n . T h is ty p e o f V A T consumption type VAT. o n ly th e d e p r e c ia t io n fro m s a le s , t h e n th e O n on in c o m e ad d e d typ e V A T c a p i t a l g o o d s is d e d u c t i b l e is v e r y s i m i l a r t o w h a t an d income type VAT. th e T h e b a s e e s s e n t ia lly c o n s is t s o f v a lu e fo r c o n s u m p t io n u se p lu s v a lu e a d d e d n e t a d d i t i o n s t o t h e c o u n t r y 's s t o c k In to as a t h e o t h e r h a n d , if ta x b a s e to as an f o r fin a l is r e f e r r e d e c o n o m is t s c a ll n e t n a t io n a l in c o m e t a x is r e f e r r e d ta x a p p lie s , E u ro p e , th e c o n s u m p t io n fo r o f c a p ita l g o o d s . typ e V A T is e m p lo y e d . 2 V A T C o m p a re d U s i n g t h e e x a m p l e s in co m p are cascade so m e V A T th e V A T w it h O th e r Taxes th e b o x e s p e r m it s th e in t e r p r e t a t io n , w it h w e a c o m b in a t io n as th e V A T in u s to r e t a il s a le s ta x a n d t a x p r e v i o u s l y p o p u l a r in C o n s id e r a c a s c a d e S in c e W it h m ay a ls o co m p are o f ta x e s o n ta x le v ie d th e E u ro p e . W it h th e in c o m e s . at th e sa m e t h e e x a m p l e s , t h a t is , a t 1 0 rate p e rc e n t. t h e t a x a p p li e s f u lly t o a ll s a le s w i t h o u t c r e d it f o r p r e v io u s ta x e s p a id , a n d c u m u la t iv e s a le s a re $ 2 ,4 0 0 The differences between the computations of value added under these two types and the result ing taxes may be described with tabular examples. Table 5 shows the computation of the tax bases for an income type and a consumption type VAT. Purchases and sales are broken down in the table according to whether the goods sold are used by the buyer as an intermediate or capital good in the production process or as a final consumer good. Value added under the consumption base is simply the difference between total sales and total purchases of inputs, whether used as inter mediate or capital goods by the buyer. Value added under the income base is the difference between total sales and the sum of purchases of intermediate goods and depreciation of capital goods. Thus, value added under the income base for the raw materials producer is only $90, since his capital stock is assumed to have depreciated by $10. Even though he did not actually purchase any capital goods, he is still allowed a deduction for depreciation. The manufacturer computes his value added by deducting the costs of his inter mediate input purchases ($425) and the deprecia tion on his capital stock ($35) from his total sales ($800). Similar computations are made by the wholesaler and the retailer. The total t a x base under the income concept is higher than under the consumption concept by the amount of net investment. The income type VAT base is $1,040, but the consumption base is only $1,000. Table 6 shows how the tax liability would be computed under the two concepts by using the credit method. Computation under the consump tion base is the same as was shown in Table 2. For the income base, the taxpayer also computes the tax due on his total sales. In this base, how ever, he is allowed credit for the tax paid on his purchases of intermediate inputs plus his deprecia tion. Thus, his credit for a 10-percent tax rate, as shown in the Table 6, is 10 percent of his pur chases of intermediate inputs plus 10 percent of his depreciation. As seen in the table, the distribu tion of the tax burden is changed when the tax base is changed. For example, the manufacturer's tax bill is reduced by $3.50 when a credit is al lowed for depreciation in the tax base. The whole saler's tax liability, however, rises by $5 because some of his purchases are for capital investment and these purchases exceed his depreciation claimed. In the aggregate, the tax bill is greater by $4 under the income base— o r 10 percent times the amount of net investment. a s s u m in g th a t ( T a b le 1 ), t h e t o t a l ta x b ill w o u l d be $ 2 4 0 . In o r d e r to a c h ie v e a y ie ld e q u a l to th e V A T , th e c a s c a d e to b e o n ly s lig h t ly m o re th a n h o w e v e r , o v e r s im p lifie s o n e d is a d v a n t a g e s o f th e c a s c a d e ta x ra te w o u ld need 4 p e r c e n t . T h is , o f th e p r in c ip a l tax . S in c e th e re is n o c r e d i t f o r p r e v i o u s t a x e s , t h e a c t u a l r e s u lt in a m u ltis t a g e 2A third variation of the VAT, know n as the product type VAT, is generally considered to be inferior to the consum ption and income variations and is consequently not discussed in this article. FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K O F ATLANTA p r o d u c t io n ta x p a y e rs w o u ld had been p a id in p r o c e s s is t h a t la t e r s t a g e p r o b a b ly p r e v io u s p a y a ta x o n tax e s th a t p r o d u c t io n sta ge s an d 115 C o n s id e r TABLE 5 T a x B a s e s o f C o n s u m p t io n T y p e a n d In c o m e Type S in c e Raw M a te ria ls M a n u P roducer facturer P u rch a se s of In p u ts Interm ediate G oods Capital G oo d s W holesa le r R e ta il er $100 100 — — __ — — $500 425 75 — $800 750 50 — $1000 — — 1000 100 100 — 500 425 75 800 750 50 100 90 400 365 300 350 200 235 10 55 10 10 15 35 255 25 50 35 25 185 40 25 25 15 90 50 25 20 Depreciation W ages R ent Interest Profits 1 0 -P e rc e n t sam e 1 ), t h e t a x y i e ld w o u ld as th e c o n s u m p t io n c o n s u m e r w o u ld c o n s u m p t io n th a t th e se be typ e V A T . tw o th e TABLE 6 w o u ld n ot be be h o w th e y are N o w VAT M a te ria ls M a n u P rodu cer facturer in t e n d e d Retailer cu rren t $100 $500 $800 $1000 ___ 100 100 — 500 425 75 800 750 50 10 35 25 15 10 50 80 100 10 50 80 — Depreciation Tax on S a le s (1 0 % ) — U. S. s in c e Tax Credit on P u rch a se s C o n su m p tio n B a se — tax e d , a n d th e 1 10 9 be 13.50 45 76.50 40 30 20 36.50 35 23.50 a d o p t io n t im e o f in c lu d e d s a le or in t h e tu rn o v e r. p r o d u c t 's v a lu e For e x a m p le , m a n u f a c t u r e r m ig h t p a y $ 1 1 0 f o r h is in p u t s fo r m a t e r ia ls a n d in v a l u e , a n d th e $ 1 0 c a s c a d e The ta x ), a d d s e ll h is o u t p u t f o r $ 5 1 0 w h o le s a le r , th e r e fo r e , w o u ld $ 5 1 0 fo r th e in p u t s a n d G o ve rn m e n t has b e gu n th e ta x o n th e $ 1 0 ta x p a id th e d is t o r t io n s b e t w e e n o f tax o n th e b ase fir m s a n d b ase o f a in c o m e tax . in t a x b a s e s , it is n o t r e a l ly a n e w tax . fo rm o f in itia l, b u t lin g e r in g , o v e r th e U n ite d to a n e w p o s s ib le State s fo c u s o n Fe d eral t h is a s p e c t Tax. th e U n ite d S ta te s E m p lo y V a lu e A d d e d Tax? u s in g in th e ($ 1 0 0 The $400 or a 10 u se in d u s t r ie s w it h not th e V A T .3 as a s u b s t it u te d u se d fo r V A T at th e U n ite d in it ia lly le a s t a t a x . T h a t is , t h e in c o r p o r a t e r e p la c e d V A T . O th e rs V A T A m e r ic a n in c o m e a r e d u c t io n be a S tate s th e c o n te x t o f a ta x s u b s t it u tio n . s u b s t it u te c o r p o r a t io n w o u ld ta x le a d s to o f p u t in P ro p o n e n ts o f an its fro m b y th e th at d o p o s s ib ilit y is u s u a l l y p l u s tax . T h e d if f e r e n t d e g r e e s o f v e r t ic a l in t e g r a t io n a s th e su m p r o f it s , t h e V A T to p lu g g e d , b e v e r y s im ila r t a x . T h a t is , s i n c e v a l u e b y th e A th e 1 0 p e r c e n t ta x o f $ 5 1 . m a n u fa c tu r e r . T h is p ilin g o n a p p e a r w ith w o u ld is t h e s a m e th e d is c u s s io n at p a y a to ta l o f $561 r e s u l t is t h a t t h e w h o l e s a l e r h a s p a i d p e r c e n t o r $1 case th a t th e V A T o f a V A T to tax e d ra te a s o th e r in c o m e , a p p r o p r ia t e ly c o n s id e r e d c o n fu s io n , n ot m u n ic ip a l ta x w e r e a p p lie d B e c a u s e o f t h e s e s im ila r it ie s S h o u ld th e in c o m e q u it e c lo s e se e m is m u n ic ip a l b o n d s w e r e typ e V A T in t h e s i m p l e ta x th a t c a p ita l g a in s w e r e c o m p r e h e n s iv e ly d e fin e d o f been in c o m e so r a is in g ta x r e v e n u e . A ft e r s o m e IN C O M E V AT th at h a d in t e r e s t o n if m a n y o t h e r l o o p h o l e s w e r e in c o m e It is m o r e C O N S U M P T IO N V A T in c o m e in c o m e a t lo w e r ra te s o r n o t ta x e d o f fa c to r p a y m e n ts a n d w o u ld go o d s. p e rso n al fro m to a p r o p o r t io n a l w o u ld Tax Credit on Interm ediate P u rch a se s and Depreciation Inco m e Base in c o m e th e ta x m a n y s o u r c e s o f in c o m e , If, h o w e v e r , t h e ad d e d m a j o r p r o b le m c o n s u m p t io n a s c a p ita l g a in s a n d if t h e th e n is fo r u s e a s p r o d u c t iv e as th e y a c c ru e at th e sa m e W holesa le r th a t th e V A T t o c o ll e c t a r e t a il s a le s e x e m p t r e t a il s a le s f r o m a ll f o r m s o f in c o m e L ia b ilit ie s th e ir ta x b a s e s a re c o n s id e r a tru ly c o m p r e h e n s iv e T he a t a ll. o f C o n s u m p t io n T y p e a n d s a id c o st to th e a s th e it is u s u a l l y a r g u e d th e rate s a n d p e rfe c t. O n e to c a p ita l r a th e r t h a n an d S a le s of Output $ 1 ,0 0 0 e x a c t ly t h e th e sa m e In d e e d , b o n d s , a r e e it h e r ta x e d P u rch a se s of In p u ts Interm ediate G oods C ap ital G oo d s Tax p r a c t ic e , o f c o u r s e , t h e e q u iv a le n c e w o u l d p r o b a b ly su ch Type be typ e V A T . T h e s a m e . T h u s , it is o f t e n c o m p r e h e n s iv e In c o m e to S a le s $100— t a x e s a r e e q u i v a le n t in m e r e ly a n o t h e r m e t h o d w h e n be $ 1 ,1 0 0 — e c o n o m ic e ffe c ts w h e n ta x . C o m p u t a t io n R e ta il f in a l r e t a il s a le s a r e a s s u m e d ta x . In VALUE ADDED C o n su m p tio n B a se In co m e Ba se a V A T ’s (T a b le Total Sa le s Interm ediate G oo d s C ap ital G ood s C o n su m e r G oods N o w w it h h a v e a ls o p a rt o f th e revenu e lo s t in c o m e revenu e p ro p o se d fa v o re d tax rate s r a is e d fro m th a t a V A T a n ew be f o r p a r t , o r a ll, o f p a y r o l l t a x e s c u r r e n t ly f o r f in a n c in g t h e S o c ia l S e c u r it y s y s te m . M o r e r e c e n t ly , h o w e v e r , a t t e n t io n p o s s ib le u se o f a V A T to has fo c u se d r e p la c e u p o n th e a t le a s t p a r t o f e x is t in g p r o p e r t y ta x e s. P ro p o n e n ts ^Taking the p iling on effect into account, and assum ing that taxes are fully reflected in higher sales prices, cumulative sales w ould be $2,618, and the total tax bill w ould be $261.80. 116 o f a U n ite d g e n e r a lly e m p h a s iz e d o f a d o p t in g th e tax . State s V A T have s e v e r a l a r g u m e n t s in If t h e V A T w e re fa v o r s u b s t it u te d , M O N T H L Y REVIEW in p a rt, fo r th e c o r p o r a t io n tax stru c tu re w o u ld re sp e cts. w o u ld be L a b o r -in te n s iv e n o t b e fa v o re d m e th o d s. in c o m e n o t b e tax e d i n e f f i c i e n t yu n p r o f i t a b l e m o re is , it is t r u e o n l y is in h e a v ily th a n fir m s . A n d f in a lly , t h e ta x n o t fa v o r n o n c o rp o ra te w e r e s u b s t it u te d in t e n s iv e in d u s t r ie s w o u ld th e c it y p r o p e r t y w o u l d be If be re d u ce d . o n if c o r p o r a t i o n s a v o i d r e d u c e d , t h u s lo w e r in g th e is w r o n g . v a lid o n ly in u n d e r c e r t a in n e v e r t h e le s s f o r m r e s u lt in V A T lo w e r p r ic e s . T h is c o n t e n t io n th e u se o f ta x e x e m p t io n s a n d n o w u s e d w it h th e su p p o rt is s a i d to m in im iz e o f a V A T w o u ld o f le v y in g p r o p e r t y r e s u lt s in s h a r p l y d i f f e r e n t i a t e d p ro p e rty se p a ra te d ta x e s o fte n rate s o n b y o n ly a fe w is t h e p r o d u c t iv e revenu e t a x in t h e E u r o p e a n u se d le s s a n d in a r g u m e n t a g a i n s t it . E v e n in V A T a d m it th a t th e tax w o u ld d is t o r t in g th a n th e c o r p o r a t io n p o in t o u t, h o w e v e r, s o m e th e s u b s t it u tio n . fo rm . T h is w o u ld a ll g o o d s a n d in n o t in v o lv e th e o f th e p u b lic s e c to r o f th e I n a d d i t i o n , it w o u l d im p ly th a t th e o t h e r a lt e r n a t iv e V A T r a is e d q u e s t io n a b le in s u p p o r t o f a U n i t e d a lle g e d c o r p o r a t io n s in c e n o a r g u m e n t o fte n S tate s V A T . th a t s u b s t it u tio n p r o f it s ta x w o u l d U . S. b a la n c e re ve n u e te n d to o f p a ym e n ts. U n d e r an fo r th e im p r o v e th e m ay be tax . C r it ic s a ls o in c o m e tax w e re argu e rem ove d a w in d f a ll g a in it w o u l d th e r is k n ot t h e o t h e r h a n d , it n o to th e o f a V A T c o r p o r a t io n m o re n e u tra l is t h e c o r p o r a t i o n t h a t if t h e c o r p o r a t i o n o r re d u c e d , th e re co rp o rate o r n o t it is s h i f t e d ) . T h i s w o u l d m ig h t p r o f it s ( w h e t h e r m ean th at is e s s e n t i a l l y t h e o p p o s i t e tax— it w o u l d fa v o r h ig h p r o f it fir m s b y a llo w in g th e m to m a k e an d r e t a in la r g e r p r o f it s . s ig n ific a n t e q u ity a r g u m e n ts a g a in s t th e s u b s t it u tio n If a w i n d f a l l g a i n o f a V A T acc ru e d f o r a p r o f it s tax. t o t h e c o r p o r a t io n 's th e a d d it io n a l e a r n in g s w e r e d is t r ib u t e d o n c o r p o r a t io n w o u ld c a p ita l g a in f o r t h e c o r p o r a t io n 's s t o c k h o ld e r s . su rch a rg e o n T rad e , a c o u n try it c h a r g e s o n s im ila r p r o d u c t s p r o d u c e d m ay p r ic e o f a n y e x p o r t e d (o r n o t c h a rg e ) g o o d i n d i r e c t t a x e s it n o r m a l l y it is c o n s u m e d re b a te s m a y tax e s, s u c h th e a s V A T 's o r v a r io u s a t h o m e . S im ila r ly , a n a t io n w h e n a its i m p o r t s e q u a l t o o r le s s t h a n a m o u n t o f in d ir e c t ta x e s (s u c h s a le s ta x e s) m ay ch a rg e re b a te fro m le v ie s o n th e th e an y p ro d u ct d o m e s t ic a lly . S u r c h a r g e s a n d n o t b e a p p lie d , h o w e v e r , fo r d ir e c t as p e rso n al an d co rp o rate FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K O F ATLANTA in c o m e ta x e s. a s d iv id e n d s , th e v a lu e o f s t o c k not in t e r n a t io n a l a g r e e m e n t , t h e G e n e r a l A g r e e m e n t T a r iffs a n d o f in c o m e e a r n in g s a n d e x is tin g re sp e c t to p r o f it a b ilit y th a n T h e r e a re a ls o It is o f th e V A T re sp e c t to s u b s titu tio n by is c o n s i d e r e d . F in a lly , t h e r e is o n e o fte n t o r a is e t h e be w it h ta x c r e d it s f o r lo s s e s a n d , in c o m e be r e la t iv e t o t h e b e s t w a y t o a c h ie v e t h is in c r e a s e w o u l d im p o s in g a n e w s h o u ld rate b e e q u a l fo r th e re fo re , s o m e w h a t o ffs e t th e p e n a lty a g a in s t o t h e r p a r t i c u l a r t a x , is e s s e n t i a l l y a n p r iv a te s e c to r . its e lf w o u l d th e a s p e c ts o f th e c o r p o r a t io n in c o m e ta x th a t a llo w replace s o m in c r e a s e d le s s m ig h t im p r o v e su c c e ssfu l v e n tu re s. O n su c c e ss. T h u s, th e V A T be V A T b u s in e s s v e n tu re s, s in c e p e n a liz e w it h e c o n o m y s h o u ld be tax . T h e y d is a d v a n t a g e s to r e q u ir e t h a t th e s e r v ic e s . A by an e in c o m e F o r e x a m p le , th e V A T a c c o m p a n ie d a rg u m e n t th at th e V A T o f a m o s t c r itic s o f a n A m e r ic a n w o u ld r a is in g to b e a h ig h ly n a t io n s a n d has le s s in s u p p o r t o f t h e V A T . S ta te o f M ic h ig a n . T h is a r g u m e n t , h o w e v e r , u n le s s a r g u m e n t th a t t h e s iz e tax . A s m o re o b v io u s in t h i s c o u n t r y , t h e r e is u s u a l l y a c o u n t e r t a k in g m ile s . p o t e n t ia l o f t h e ta x . It h a s p r o v e d in c o m e r e s u lt b e c a m e n e u tr a lity o f th e ta x s y s te m s im ila r P e r h a p s t h e m o s t s ig n if ic a n t a r g u m e n t r a is e d fa v o r o f a d o p t in g a V A T fo r th e c o rp o ra te s t ill i n v o l v e d i s t o r t i o n s , e x c e p t in its m o s t i d e a l u s e o f d if f e r e n t ia l ta x ra te s. F o r e x a m p le , th e c u rre n t m e th o d V A T a ls o d e d u c tio n s fr o m o u r v a r io u s fo r m s o f in c o m e t a x a t io n . S im ila r ly , s u b s t it u t io n red u ce in w as o n e o f F o r e v e r y a r g u m e n t in f a v o r o f a d o p t i o n a d o p t io n . if h ig h e r p r o d u c t p r ic e s , a d d it io n a l s tu d y , h o w e v e r , th e c o n t e n t io n been is t h a t t h e t a x is a d m in is t r a t iv e ly s im p le . T h e V A T th o se w ith a s s u m p tio n s , th e y a stro n g c a se fo r V A T A n o t h e r a r g u m e n t fr e q u e n t ly g iv e n o f a n A m e r ic a n fa v o r o f s o m e o f th e se a rg u m e n ts are n o t a ffe c t p r ic e s a d d it io n , e v e n t h e e a r lie r a r g u m e n t s in f a v o r o f t h e s u b s t i t u t i o n u n c e r t a in t y a b o u t th e o f th e n e u tr a lity a r g u m e n t s g iv e n In th e p r ic e s it is c e r t a i n l y n o t c l e a r t h a t r e m o v i n g t h e t a x w o u l d o f th e V A T a V A T . A lth o u g h ta x o n r e a s o n i n g is th e p r o f it s ta x w o u l d th e c o n t e n t io n c o n c e r n in g in d u s t r ia l lo c a t io n . T h e s e a r e o n ly a r a is in g th e e c o n o m ic s p r o fe s s io n in c o m e t h e p r o f i t s t a x d o e s r e s u l t in c e n tra l b e a r in g th e tax b y If t r a d it io n a l e c o n o m ic t e n d e n c y f o r p r o p e r t y ta x e s to d is t o r t d e c is io n s fe w in c o m e th e b a la n c e a s s u m p tio n . T h a t a se v e re sta te o f d is a g r e e m e n t a b o u t th e co rre ct, th e n In a d d it io n , fo r a im p r o v e u n c e r t a in im p a c t o f th e c o r p o r a t io n an d a g a in s t c a p it a l- r e la t iv e ly h e a v y p r o p e r t y ta x b u r d e n an o f th e c o rp o ra te o f go o d s. in d u s t r ia l f o r a ll o r p a r t o f t h e p r o p e r t y tax, d is c r im in a t io n ta x w o u ld p r ic e s o f th e ir p r o d u c t s . T h e p r o f it a b le o r g a n iz a t io n s o v e r c o r p o r a t e o r g a n iz a tio n s . th e V A T b u rd e n n o t b e fa v o re d E ffic ie n t a n d th a t s u b s t it u tin g a V A T in c o m e o f p a y m e n t s re sts o n o v e r c a p it a l- in t e n s iv e o v e r e q u ity fin a n c in g . la w s w o u l d c o r p o r a t io n in s e v e r a l m e t h o d s o f p r o d u c t io n D e b t fin a n c in g w o u ld fir m s w o u ld T h e c o n t e n t io n tax, t h e n e w le s s d i s t o r t in g p r o b a b ly r is e a n d T h u s , c r itic s o f th e s u b s t it u t io n c a p ita l g a in s ta x a t io n ra te s o n o r d in a r y e a rn e d s u b s t it u t io n A n w e re even a d o p t io n w o u ld m o re th a t u n le s s r a is e d t o e q u a l t h e ta x in c o m e , th e n th e b e n e f it o w n e r s o f c a p ita l. im p o r t a n t e q u ity a r g u m e n t a g a in s t o r s u b s titu tio n o f a V A T i t s e l f is e q u i v a l e n t t o a t a x o n th e re fo re , argu e in t h e c re a te a is t h a t t h e V A T c o n s u m p t io n r e g r e s s iv e . A t b e s t, a n in c o m e an d is , typ e V A T 117 w o u ld be w h ic h w o u ld r ic h e q u iv a le n t to s h o u ld p o or. In v io la t e a p r o p o r t io n a l in c o m e th e c o m m o n p a y p r o p o r t io n a t e ly o rd e r to o ffse t th e V A T , c r itic s a r g u e m o re be th e se e x e m p t io n s w o u ld ta k e th e fo rm in c o m e an d r e g r e s s iv it y . in c o m e V A T o f w o u ld C r itic s be d is p u t e be c o u p le d lo w -in c o m e th e V A T r e lie f its e lf. E v e n th a t s in c e not a th o ro u gh n e c e s s a r ily o f th e r e s t r ic t e d to a t f a ir ly by lo w r ic h an d rate s. p u rch ase d m ean be g iv e n o f th e at n e u tr a lity P e rh a p s th e t h e t a x in o r d e r t o a c h ie v e g re a te r ta x e q u ity . th e C o n c lu s io n s w o u ld T h e re an d its p o s s i b l e its e f f e c t i v e n e s s in t h e h a v e a lr e a d y a d o p t e d have a d o p t io n n o t a ll b e e n th e in t h e E u rop e an fe w re m arks m a y b e d raw n , h o w e ve r. th e State s n a t io n s th a t tax . A t t h is t im e , t h e y r e s o lv e d . A 118 U n ite d In th a n to w it h tax e v a s io n have f o r t h is e ffic ie n c y a n d m u ch fo r e ffic ie n c y ? is a n s w e r e d q u e s t io n or ta x e s. in t h e a f f i r m a t i v e , b e c o m e s : W h ic h b e e m p lo y e d ? fo rm In t h is fo r y e a r s e m p lo y e d e c o n o m is ts f e e l t h a t it h a v e a F e d e r a l r e t a il s a le s ta x a Fe d eral V A T . T h e are Eu rop ean n o t i m p o r t a n t in th e a d m in is t r a tiv e m e c h a n is m to s h o w p r o b le m s th is c o u n t r y , f o r r e t a il s a le s t a x e s a lr e a d y e x is ts . S u p p o r t e r s o f t h e V A T c h a lle n g e d State s o th e r w o rd s, h o w b e s a c r ific e d w ill b e its s u p e r i o r i t y o v e r t h e m o re r e t a il s a le s tax . T h e a n sw e rs to th e se are m a n y o th e r a r g u m e n ts c o n c e r n in g and ta x sy s te m . b e b e tte r to a fte r F ir s t , U n ite d in c o m e -ty p e tra d e o ff b e tw e e n se co n d upon , an d V A T o f a V A T b e d e c id e d o f w h e th e r th e o f n a t io n a l s a le s ta x s h o u ld fa m ilia r Su m m ary an d a d o p t io n m o s t im p o r t a n t c o n s id e r a t io n is t h e e q u ity o f th e an d u p . D is t o r t io n s w o u ld d a n g e r o u s ly o f n a t io n a l s a le s t a x a t io n r e t a il s a le s t a x e s. M a n y r ic h is a p p l i e d co m e n a t io n , m o s t o f o u r s ta te s h a v e L u x u r ie s th a t th e have p o s s ib le it f o r e x i s t i n g th e n p o o r a lik e b y o n ly th a t th e V A T rate s. T h u s , s o m e a d v a n ta g e s w o u ld a d o p t a fo rm o f th e ta x e d a t h ig h e r rate s. T h is a p p r o a c h , b u ilt in t o be so m e c o u ld d iffe r e n tia l is t h e q u e s t i o n ta x e q u ity s h o u ld lik e ly to be o v e r th e s e ld o m are m o re h o w e v e r, w o u ld th e re q u e s t io n p ro gra m th e p a n a c e a th a t s o m e fu n d a m e n ta l q u e s t io n s a re a n s w e r e d . s u b s t it u te lo w - m ig h t b e o ffse t. N e c e s s itie s p u rch ase d b e ta x e d b y w h ic h is n o t t h e if n o t u se d . O n S ta te s w ill p r o b a b ly If th e fir s t q u e s t io n is a n o t h e r m e t h o d th at m u st b e U n ite d s h o u ld n e c e ssa ry , a d o p t io n w it h d e b a te in t h e tw o lo w - p r o p o n e n t s o f th e V A T r e g r e s s iv it y o f th e V A T be to th e e q u iv a le n t o f a argu e r e a s o n a b ly , it h a s b e e n to c la im in g . T h e have th is p o in t . T h e re c o u ld c lo s e s o m e w h a t o ffse t th e o fte n r e lie f w o u l d s h o u ld be has w o rk e d p e r fe c t ly , w e ll w h e r e o f its s t r o n g e r s u p p o r t e r s p e rso n s. p r o b a b ly th a t th e V A T o th e r h a n d , th e V A T th e n e c e s s a ry to o f G o v e r n m e n t p a y m e n t s to p e r s o n s . T h is w o u ld ta x r e fu n d th an r e g r e s s iv e n e s s o f th e t h a t it w o u l d e m p lo y e x e m p t io n s fo r lo w - in c o m e A c t u a lly tax, fe e lin g th a t th e th e y m a y have be n o t yet been so m e t im e agre ed in a r r iv in g . I n d e e d , it is n o t l i k e l y t h a t t h e y w i l l e v e r b e c o n c lu s iv e ly atte m p te d to s e t t le d . T h is a r t ic le h a s c e r t a in ly a n s w e r th e se q u e s tio n s . h o w e ve r, a tte m p te d c o n c lu d in g p e r s p e c t iv e in t o F ir s t , it is c l e a r ju d g m e n ts m ay to g iv e th e se be m o re th e is s u e s so not It h a s , read er so m e th at h is o w n e a s ily f o r m e d . ■ M O N T H L Y REVIEW S m o o t h S a ilin g fo r G e o r g i a 's E c o n o m y by Em erson A tkinson G e o r g ia 's e c o n o m y an d a p p e a rs to p ic t u r e ro u gh has re sp o n d e d be h e ad e d o f re ce n t ye ars, w h e n g o in g e c o n o m ic th e a n d , th e n , b e g a n s lo w d o w n to th e fo rc e s o f s tro n g e c o n o m ic w in d s fo r sm o o th s a ilin g . T h is c o n t r a s t s w it h Peach to s h o w th a t a ffe c te d S t a t e 's e c o n o m y th e e c o n o m ic fir s t e x p e r ie n c e d s ig n s o f r e c o v e r in g fr o m th e m o s t p a r ts o f t h e n a t io n . S i g n i f i c a n t I m p r o v e m e n t in t h e E m p l o y m e n t S it u a t io n h a s P r o v id e d In c r e a s e d B o th n o n m a n u fa c t u r in g a n d gro w th fo r th e se e m p lo y e d a ffe c te d m o re m o re in th a n go v e rn m e n t, s lo w d o w n s . fo r th a t m atte r, so tw o d id jo b s are c e n te re d s lo w d o w n h it t h e th at th e "o u t A t la n t a o f ir o n s " a n d t r im m e d c o n tin u e d t e x t ile in d u s try m o v in g a g a in e x p e c te d to its e m p l o y m e n t re d u ce to fa ll to its w o r k 1 0 ,0 0 0 FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K OF ATLANTA in tra d e — n o n m a n u fa c t u r in g areas not th e up in n o n m a n u f a c t u r i n g . ) h a rd , a n d w o rke rs u n t il la t e 1 9 7 1 , p e rfo rm a n c e . T h e it w a s e m p lo y e d not u n t il b e gan th e to t h ir d p ic k up. e q u ip m e n t in d u s try , a p p e a r e d m o re . A n A t au to m id -1 9 7 1 , a n d its th e ir w o r k a s s e m b ly Lockh e ed p l a n t in G e o r g ia o f 1 9 7 2 , L o c k h e e d 's e m p lo y m e n t peak p r o d u c t io n 3 2 ,0 0 0 w o rk e rs. A u t o o th e r h a n d , h a ve e x p a n d e d h e ld e m p lo y m e n t , s in c e o v e r B y th e e n d p e rso n s. s e v e r e ly e m p lo y m e n t h a s a ls o b y e a rly 1 9 7 1 , b u t a s th e y e a r w e n t o n ce r o l l s in fo rc e . g ia n t a ir c r a ft p r o d u c e r e m p lo y e d 1 9 7 2 , n o n m a n u fa c t u r in g f o r t h is la g g in g n u m b e r o f t e x t ile b y , e m p lo y m e n t p r o b le m s e m e r g e d on an d to tal n o n fa rm A n o t h e r b ig e m p lo y e r , th e t r a n s p o r t a t io n is an d m a n u f a c t u r i n g . T h i s is n o t (C o n s tr u c t io n m a j o r in d u s t r ie s a c c o u n t in g q u a rte r o f 1971 be in th e o th e r h a n d , m a n u fa c tu r in g e m p lo y m e n t w a s s lu g g is h e c o n o m ic to In 1 9 7 1 d id jo b s m o re ra te o f e m p lo y m e n t e x p a n s io n 50 p e rc e n t o f th e w o rk e rs s e r v ic e s , 7 0 p e r c e n t o f a ll n o n f a r m w it h th e sam e . r a p id ly th a n b y e c o n o m ic w e ll. A n d O n in 1 9 7 1 . B u t t h e se c to rs h a s n o t b e e n s u r p r is in g s in c e are m a n u fa c tu r in g e m p lo y m e n t h a v e s h o w n t h u s f a r in 1 9 7 2 t h a n j o b s in c r e a s e d F a ir W i n d s f o r E c o n o m ic A c tiv ity fo rc e p e r io d , a s s e m b ly th e p la n t s , s in c e e a r ly 1 9 7 2 . 119 In a d d it io n , th e c o n tin u e d 1 9 7 2 , th e d e c lin e to u n e m p lo y m e n t s it u a t io n im p r o v e rate s t o o d fro m s in c e s a la r ie s . G o v e r n m e n t w a g e s has m a jo r so u rc e m id - 1 9 7 1 . In A p r i l s a la r ie s , a n o t h e r at a 7 .4 -p e r c e n t a n n u a l rate . T h e s e c o m p o n e n t s w e r e a t 3 .7 p e r c e n t , a s iz a b le t h e 4 . 2 - p e r c e n t le v e l r e a c h e d an d o f p e r s o n a l in c o m e , in c r e a s e d f o llo w e d in b y tra d e a n d s a la r ie s , w h ic h J u ly 1 9 7 1 . gre w m a n u fa c tu r in g w a g e s 8 .4 p e r c e n t a n d an d 4 .1 p e r c e n t , r e s p e c t iv e ly . R o b u s t P e r s o n a l In c o m e a V it a l R o le to M a k e The G a in s P la y e d in E n a b lin g t h e E c o n o m y 1971 S u b s t a n t ia l w as H e ad w ay Peach in 1 9 7 0 , b u t it w a s a o f th e T h e rate o f e x p a n s io n in p e r s o n a l i n c o m e w a s g r e a t e r in 1 9 7 1 th a n q u a rte r o f 1971 w a s th e o n ly o n e in c o m e d id gro w th th e e x c e p tio n in 1 9 7 0 . n o t exceed co m p o n e n ts h ig h e s t ra te s o f in c r e a s e . O n e in w h i c h th e 1 9 7 0 o f la s t y e a r 's t h ir d p e rs o n a l in c o m e p e rso n al q u a rte r, th e a ls o d is p la y e d la r g e r o f th e fa ste st g r o w in g a ls o in c r e a s e d c o n d itio n s a t a fa ste r rate th a n in c o m e in d ic a t io n s h a s c o n tin u e d to a d v a n c e a t a f a s t p a c e t h u s f a r in 1 9 7 2 . G e o r g i a 's p e r c a p it a p e r s o n a l in c o m e w it h $ 4 ,1 3 9 . T h e r e fo r e , p e r c a p it a Peach im p r o v e . th e . 8 5 .7 p e rc e n t, u p ro se to U . S. fig u r e o f p e r s o n a l in c o m e State as a p e rc e n ta g e o f th e has reach ed r a t e o f 9 .7 p e r c e n t in w a g e s a n d in it p o in t a h e a d in o t h e r p a r t s o f t h e n a t io n . A n d are th at p e rs o n a l th e an E m p lo y m e n t p e rc e n tage $ 3 , 5 4 7 in 1 9 7 1 , c o m p a r e d th e gro w th h ig h e r th a n U . S. ra te . G e o r g i a 's m a j o r s o u r c e s o f p e rs o n a l in c o m e th o se rate . W it h s e c t o r s o f t h e e c o n o m y , s e r v ic e s , r e c o r d e d an n u al gro w th m u ch In fa c t , t h e t h ir d S t a t e 's p e r s o n a l i n c o m e (7 .8 p e r c e n t ) w a s n o t o n l y fro m in U . S. fig u r e 8 5 . 0 p e r c e n t in . 1967 = 100 The u n e m p lo y m e n t s it u a t io n g e ts b e tte r. . . D e p a rtm e n t sto re s a le s gath e r speed Percent of work force - - / \ A M acon _ A tla nta - \ v V . / VSk/ \ f \ a \ r - s / \»> // /jr, A u g u sta V ~ y Savannah ..................... i 1971 120 19 7 2 m o nth ly r e v ie w 1970, an d c o n s id e r a b ly a b o v e r e g is t e r e d in 1 9 6 6 ! th e 8 0 .9 p e r c e n t ave rage d n e a r ly o n e - t h ir d c o n tra c t a w a rd s— D e p a r t m e n t S to r e S a le s P r o v id e d A u x ilia r y P o w e r n o n b u ild in g m o n th ly la r g e S t a n d a r d A r e a s ( S M S A 's ) M e t r o p o lit a n h a v e e x p e r ie n c e d d e p a r t m e n t s t o r e s a le s . In an w h ic h r is e , w h ic h , o n u p l i f t in F a rm C ash s a le s t r e n d e d u p w ard gro w th fir s t q u a r t e r . C r o p gro w th in 1 9 7 1 , a l t h o u g h in A t l a n t a h a s b e e n in t h e s a m e p e r io d in d ic a t o r o f th e u p w a r d o u tp a c in g th a t o f th e u s e ta x c o lle c t io n s fo r th e fir s t q u a r t e r o f 1 9 7 2 w e r e th an th is it s e lf t h is y e a r . R e c e n t ly , s a le s o t h e r S M S A 's . S a le s a n d b u ild in g a n d o n th e ave rage , up 1 9 7 1 's a v e r a g e , w a s u p o n e -th ir d . R e c e ip ts H e a d e d In t h e fir s t q u a r t e r o f t h is y e a r , f a r m w e re s t e a d ily d e c lin e d w e re , S t a t is tic a l d u r i n g n e a r ly a ll o f 1 9 7 1 . B u t M a c o n 's y e a r - t o - y e a r h as re ve rse d in 1 9 7 0 . A lo ft A t la n t a , A u g u s t a , a n d S a v a n n a h , d e p a rtm e n t sto re tre n d in c lu d e c o n tra c ts— o n e - f if t h . T h is , h o w e v e r , fa lls b e lo w A ft e r R u n n in g a t A b o u t H a lf S p e e d M o s t o f th e h ig h e r th a n F o r t h e fir s t f o u r m o n t h s o f t h is y e a r , a ll o t h e r s u b s t a n t ia lly h ig h e r o n e m o m e n tu m in o f g r a in r e c e ip t s fe ll 1 2 p e r c e n t b e lo w s e t t le d b a c k to m o re b e in g a b n o r m a lly h ig h in n o r m a l le v e ls a ft e r b e c a u s e o f a g r a in p r ic e s o f e g g s a n d in c r e a s e r e t a il r e c e ip t s t h e fir s t q u a r t e r o f 1 9 7 1 , m a in ly b e c a u s e t h e p r ic e Lo w y e a r a g o , a fu rth e r cash r u n n i n g o n l y s l i g h t l y a h e a d o f la s t y e a r 's sh o rta g e . b r o ile r s h e ld d o w n liv e s t o c k c a s h r e c e ip t s , w h ic h th e c lim b e d o n ly 6 p e rc e n t. a c t iv it y . D u r in g 1 9 7 1 , to ta l fa rm cash r e c e ip t s w e r e $ 1 ,2 1 0 ,3 0 0 , a 6 -p e r c e n t in c r e a s e o v e r 1 9 7 0 . C a s h F in a n c ia l D e v e lo p m e n t s " P o in t e d U p " r e c e ip t s f r o m crop s sh o w e d t h e g r e a t e s t in c r e a s e , ju m p in g 25 p e rc e n t a b o v e th e y e a r-a g o S u b s t a n t ia l t im e d e p o s it in f lo w s t o s a v in g s a n d even lo a n th o u gh b e co m e b an ks an d a s s o c ia t io n s c o n tin u e d s o m e s lo w d o w n e v id e n t r e c e n t ly . in t h e P e a n u ts, th e in t o 1 9 7 2 , rate h a s In 1 9 7 1 , t im e an d s a v in g s 16 p e rc e n t, w ith in f lo w s o f la r g e f o r n e a r ly o n e - f o u r t h g a in e d lo a n 14 o f th e p e rc e n t. F ro m C D 's in c r e a s e d a c c o u n t in g in c r e a s e . T o t a l d e p o s it s th e le n d in g o f co rn sta te s c o m m e r c ia l b a n k s crop le v e l. in t h e s t a t e , a h e fty 4 4 - p e r c e n t g a in . C o r n r e c e ip t s n e a r ly t r ip le d , p r im a r ily b e c a u s e o f t h e d e p o s it s o f in d iv id u a ls , p a r t n e r s h ip s , a n d c o r p o r a t io n s a t G e o r g ia r e g is t e r e d la r g e s t c a s h s id e , s t r o n g e r ye ar, le a f b lig h t , w h ic h h a rd . as B u t to b a c c o r e c e ip t s fro m 16 p e rc e n t. T h e n , to o , h e ld d o w n p e rce n t in 1970 fa rm e rs h it ab se n ce m o st S o u th e rn had a bad to b a c c o p lu n g e d liv e s t o c k r e c e ip t s w e r e b y s a g g in g p o u lt r y p r ic e s , f a llin g 6 b e lo w th e 1970 le v e l. d e m a n d , p a r t ic u la r ly f o r b u s in e s s lo a n s , c a r r ie d in t o 1 9 7 2 . D u r in g th e p a st ye a r, re al e sta te lo a n s a t c o m m e r c ia l b a n k s a d v a n c e d w h ile c o m m e r c ia l a n d to ju d g in g b y th e P e rfo rm a n c e o f th e G e o r g ia p e rc e n t, in d u s t r ia l lo a n s j u m p e d p e rc e n t. C o n s u m e r s c o n tin u e d fu n d s to 13 r e ly o n E co n o m y S o 19 b y th e 1 8 - p e r c e n t r is e in c o n s u m e r l o a n s in 1 9 7 1 . A c a p s u le v ie w A c tiv ity G o t O f f t o a F a st S ta rt has been r e la t iv e ly 1 9 7 2 , c o n tin u in g th e m o m e n t u m b r is k ge n e ra te d in in 1 9 7 1 . in d ic a t e th a t th e e m p lo y m e n t h a s im p r o v e d , c o n s t r u c t io n h u m m in g , b a n k s ' lo a n a b le s u p p ly , a n d a c t iv it y lo a n d e m a n d has been s t r o n g . M o r e o v e r , r e t a il t r a d e stage , a n d G e o r g i a 's e c o n o m y a p p e a r s w e ll o n o v e r th e sa m e p e r io d c o n tra c ts a w a rd e d th an 4 0 o n e year ago. In p e rc e n t 1971, fo r r e s id e n tia l c o n s t r u c t io n FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K O F ATLANTA s t r o n g e r fin is h tw o r e la t iv e ly in d ic a t io n s a re th a t fa r m e r s w ill h a v e a c o n tra c ts a w a rd e d m o re is is o u t o f t h e s l u g g i s h b e t t e r y e a r in 1 9 7 2 t h a n u p a c t iv it y f u n d s a r e in a d e q u a t e F o r t h e fir s t f o u r m o n t h s o f 1 9 7 2 , r e s id e n t ia l w e re a Stro n g o f G e o r g i a 's 1 9 7 2 e c o n o m ic p e rfo rm a n c e w o u ld s it u a t io n C o n s t r u c tio n S h o w b o rro w e d fin a n c e t h e ir n e e d s , a s e v id e n c e d C o n s t r u c tio n F a r , it S h o u l d F in is h b y t h e E n d o f 1 9 7 2 in 1 9 7 1 . In in 1 9 7 2 t h a n esse n ce , its w a y f o r a in t h e p r e v i o u s ye ars. ■ 121 B A N K IN G S T A T IS T IC S B illio n $ —*30 _ D E P O S IT S -1 2 -2 8 Sis -1 7 —16 Sts - 7 -6 -5 -4 - 3 i i i i i I i i i i i i <i i i i I i i i i i i i J D J J D J J 1970 1971 1972 1971 1970 1972 LATEST M O N T H P LO TTED : M A Y Note: All figures are seasonally adjusted and cover all Sixth District member banks. *D a ily average figures ‘ ‘ Figures are for the last W ednesday of each month. S IX T H D IS T R IC T B A N K I N G N O T E S Billion $ — 1.4 - 1.2 - 1.0 - 0 .8 L a rg e C D V o lu m e at 23 L a rg e Dist. B a n k s r\s 0.6 Percent XI I -I 9 0 - D a y T reas. B ill A s _____ *** 8 Reg. Q C e ilin g 9 0 -1 7 9 D a y s A vg. C D R a te 9 0 -1 7 9 D a y s - 6 4 1969 122 1970 1971 1972 M O N T H L Y REVIEW N E G O T IA B L E L a r g e - d e n o m in a t io n , p o s it ( C D 's ) fu n d s fo r n e g o t ia b le c o n tin u e to be C D 'S R E A C H c e r t ific a t e s an im p o r ta n t R E C O R D o f LEVEL A T D IS T R IC T d e so u rce of LA RG E m an y S lig h t ly m o re in t im e to tal 12 t h is w as to a th e le v e l la s t 12 c it ie s d e p o s its , $ 1 .4 m o n th s in not e x p la in s th o u gh a s re al e sta te been ban ks s io n in s in c e m o n e y is s u in g o f t ie s o f 3 0 d a y s t o a g a in s t o th e r m a t u r it ie s , ra te le v e l. on w it h C D 's th e Q m arke t of th e b e lo w in y ie ld s U . S. T r e a s u r y o n ave rage d 179 days b e lo w to th at days Q have c e ilin g s . on C D 's p e rce n t, w h ereas a 9 0 -d a y m a t u r it y th e th e been th e average n e g o t ia b le m o n th s w it h a average at m a t u r it y C D 's th e M e a n w h ile , b an ks in c o n tin u e d b e g in n in g 1971 to 552 in N e w C D in Jan u ary s t ill acco u n t v o lu m e . A t la n t a , an d FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ATLANTA 1972, o f 3 .3 o f C D 's w h en D is t r ic t m a t u r it y n u m b e r D is t r ic t 1970 m o n th s. June (fro m d o lla r O r le a n s , o f m a t u r it y gro w b an ks h o w e ve r, D is t r ic t 's th e 4 .6 D is t r ic t A p r il average to ta l to o f s in c e w as an average th e C D 's b an ks, had b e g in n in g n a t io n a l m e r c ia l m a t u r it y t r e n d in g d o w n w a r d o f 3 .1 co m p are d 75 p e rce n t a d d it io n , la r g e in s u r e d c o m is s u e n e g o t ia b le 512 b an ks in 1 9 7 2 ). th e La rge A fe w b u lk ban ks N a s h v ille Jan u ary b an k s, to b an k s) th e th a t Ga. - 200 - 100 L a .* - T e n n * M is s . * so m e s in c e u n le s s hand, m a t u r it y D is t r ic t $1 b illio n an am o u n t acco u n t fo r C D 's in fo r C D 's be to o ve r C D 's be C D is C D 's , is le s s b e lie v e in c r e a s e d im p o r t a n t ly , by o th e rs n o n n e g o t ia a u t o m a t ic a lly r e d e m p t io n . m u st an O n n o n n e g o t ia b le eq ual t o t a l. F lo r id a be O n p a id th e o ff at so u rc e of r e is s u e d . are b an k s. D is t r ic t ban ks r u n o ff w it h p re se n te d C D 's n ot M o re o f m ay th e n o n n e g o t ia b le w o u ld C D 's . se ve ra l la r g e So m e In to n a t io n a l n e g o t ia b le typ e th e n N o n n e g o t ia b le fo r la r g e D is t r ic t t h is by ( p a r t ic u la r ly n e g o t ia b le an d is s u e d p e rc e n t o f th e is le s s c h a n c e o f a C D 's , th e lo c a t e d o f o u ts t a n d in g . im p o r t a n t o th e r w is e . n e g o t ia b le ren e w e d 5 is s u e o f be s a le s C D 's are ban ks to m ig h t fe e l th e re fu n d s D i s t r ic t 's C D 's to ta l v o lu m e v o lu m e t h e ir is s u in g b le th e p re fe r to tal it th e le s s t h a n B ecau se la r g e o f o f a lth o u g h am o u n ts o th e r m o n th s. th at fo r Fla. *District portion th a n O v e r a ll, 300 o f 1971, o f 1972. has - s im ila r co m p e te c e ilin g s in c e 400 in t e r e s t b e g in n in g w it h - co m p e te m arket R e g u la t io n p e rc e n t 500 m a t u r i o f 90 Ala. a id e d su sp e n w it h ban ks Q c a te lo a n s , have C D 's is 6 . 7 5 B ills 4 o th e r o f 1971. th a n R e g u la t io n m a t u r in g have 9 0 -to m o re fu n d s co n su m e r in s tru m e n ts in s u b s t a n t ia lly e x a m p le , th e ii t im e stre n gth e n e d ye ar, m o n e y - th e d e m an d s. in s t r u m e n t s th e m arke t m a t u r in g of m a jo r o f in J u n e 1 9 7 0 , t h e on o f th e se c o n d itio n s d a y s e n a b le d r e g a r d le s s of d u r in g th e lo a n o n ly t h is c e ilin g s 89 C D 's , b e g in n in g m arke t m o n e y m o n e y r e m a in e d For o f in in f lo w s s a t is fy F u r th e rm o r e , s in c e rate s p o r tio n b an ks lo a n s a n d C D 's . A n d R e g u la t io n la r g e have F e b ru ary stro n g F a v o r a b le to lo a n s g o r ie s , s u c h have a n e g o t ia b le s u ffic ie n t b u s in e s s 1972 have m o n th s d e m a n d f a v o r a b le s in c e 30, la s t o u ts t a n d in g lo a n W h ile a p p r e c ia b ly th e is s u e s fiv e A P R IL in c r e a s e ban ks C D 's C D ’s O U T S T A N D I N G b illio n . C D 's . in c lu d in g fir s t o f a stro n g e x p e r ie n c e d w e re Even o f th e la r g e N E G O T IA B L E ban ks. d u r in g in c r e a s e d th e se v o lu m e s a t is fy gro w th have a lo n e to ban ks by d u r in g th e m e m b e r $ 8 0 0 -m illio n at th e se M o re o ve r, m illio n d e s ir e cu rre n t h a lf o f t h e b r in g in g re co rd T he D is t r ic t p r o v id e d C D 's . $180 ye ar, th a n d e p o s it s m o n th s n e g o t ia b le ad d e d m a jo r B A N K S 9 im p o r ta n t Jan u ary C D 's 31, w e re p e rc e n t o f 1972, o ver o u ts t a n d in g , th e n a t io n a l to ta l. JO SE P H E. R O S S M A N , JR. 123 C H A N G E IN P A R S T A T U S Effective July 1, 1972, all checks drawn on banks located in Ala bama may be cleared through the Federal Reserve System at par. This is the result of recent legislation in Alabama. June 12, 1972 C IT Y N A T IO N A L B A N K O F H A L L A N D A L E Hallandale, Florida C o n v e rte d Bank A n n o u n c e m e n ts June a n a t io n a l bank. 12, 1972 ST A T E O F to B A N K G O L D E N A N D T R U S T C O M P A N Y M E A D O W Golden Meadow, Louisiana Began June to r e m it a t p a r. 1, 1 9 7 2 B A N K O F Z A C H A R Y June Zachary, Louisiana 15, C E D A R 1972 B LU FF B A N K Cedar Bluff, Alabama Began to r e m it a t p a r. Began June to r e m it at p a r. 1, 1 9 7 2 C IT R O N E L L E ST A T E B A N K June Citronelle, Alabama 15, 1972 C H E R O K E E C O U N T Y B A N K Centre, Alabama Began to r e m it a t p a r. Began June to r e m it a t p a r. 1, 1 97 2 L A M A R ST A T E B A N K June Barnesville, Georgia 15, F IR S T 1972 ST A T E B A N K Carrollton, Alabama O pened L. E. v ic e fo r b u s in e s s H e w le t t, Jr., as a n o n m e m b e r. p r e s id e n t ; and Jo se p h O ffic e r s : E d w a rd s, p r e s id e n t . C a p it a l, $ 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 ; s u r p lu s a n d c a p ita l fu n d s, Began to r e m it a t $ 2 5 0 ,0 0 0 . June 19, 1972 T E N N E SSE E June N A T IO N A L B A N K A T O pened O pened f o r b u s in e s s . O f f ic e r s : A r t h u r H . C o u r s h o n , S. G o ld b e r g , C a r te r , e x e c u t iv e v ic e p r e s id e n t ; and sk y, B a rto n $ 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 ; s u r p lu s c a s h ie r . c a p ita l fu n d s, B A N K K E N D A L L Miami, Florida c h a ir m a n ; ST A T E GatUnburg, Tennessee 7, 1 9 7 2 JE F FE R SO N p a r. o th e r C a p ita l, $ 6 0 0 ,0 0 0 . 1 24 p r e s id e n t ; Je ro m e and J. W . B e lin June fo r b u s in e s s as a n o n m e m b e r. 24, 1972 P E O P LE S B A N K Red Level, Alabama o th e r Began to r e m it at p a r. M O N T H L Y REVIEW R e c e n t P u b lic a tio n s The Discount Rate: Problems and Remedies W illia m N . C o x, III, June 1972, pp. 9 4 -9 8 District Banking: Ten Years of Growth and Change John M . G o d fr e y , A p r il 1 9 7 2 , pp. The 1971 Forecasts Revisited and F r e d e r ic k R. Stro b e l an d 5 4 -6 1 Look at 1972 a W illia m D . T o a l, M a rch 1972, pp. 3 8 -4 1 Liability Management Banking: Its Practice in the Sixth District A r n o ld D ill, D e ce m b e r 1971, pp. 2 2 -3 1 People and Places: A Decade of Southern Change W illia m D . T o a l, N o v e m b e r 1971, pp. 1 9 8 -2 0 4 The Treasury Debt: Someone Else's Assets W illia m N. C ox, III, O c t o b e r 1971, p p . 1 8 2 -1 8 5 The Spread of International Banking: A Regional View John E. L e im o n e , A u g u st 1971, pp. 1 4 2 -1 5 0 Mobile Home Manufacturing: Infant Industry Grows Up W illia m D . T o a l, J u ly 1 9 7 1 , pp. 1 2 9 -1 3 5 1970 Bank Holding Company Amendments: What Is "Closely Related to Banking"? C h a r le s T h e se th e D . S a lle y , p u b lic a t io n s R e se arch A t la n ta , are 1971, now D e p artm e n t, A t la n ta , G e o r g ia FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K O F ATLANTA June pp. 9 8 -1 0 6 a v a ila b le Fe d eral upon R e se rve re q u e st Bank to of 30303. 125 S i x t h D i s t r i c t S ta tis tic s S e a s o n a lly A d ju ste d (A ll d a t a a r e in d e x e s , u n l e s s in d i c a t e d o t h e r w is e . ) Latest Month 1972 One Month Ago Two Months Ago One Year Ago S XTH DISTRICT Unemployment Rate (Percent of Work F o r c e ) ............. May Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) . . . May IN CO M E AND SP E N D IN G Livestock ................ Instalment Credit at Banks* Latest Month 1972 May Apr. Apr. Apr. 148 133 140 139 148 146 193 143 146 144 160 149 133 119 117 123 . May . May 453 405 450 380 434 377 368 338 116 108 108 103 105 103 110 115 105 107 102 111 106 118 123 101 119 111 116 118 125 123 100 125 90 116 108 108 104 104 106 109 114 104 107 102 112 106 118 122 102 119 113 116 125 124 123 100 125 89 116 108 109 104 104 107 109 115 103 107 101 112 106 117 121 104 119 113 115 118 124 123 101 124 93 112 106 107 102 103 106 110 113 105 104 98 107 105 114 117 105 114 108 112 115 121 119 100 118 90 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.8 2.3 41.1 238 259 217 176 84 124 269 233 186 266 290 214 164 299 311 193 183 184 200 267 397 651 413 2.3 41.3 224 282 167 170 91 112 268 231 184 264 287 211 164 294 314 190 179 187 202 266 396 652 425 2.5 41.2 193 222 165 168 89 119 263 227 180 260 279 209 162 292 307 191 178 186 200 261 385 654 403 2.9 40.6 158 181 135 167 90 124 252 217 176 239 276 201 166 260 294 173 176 167 207 240 378 624 387 178 165 173 159 175 161 154 143 167 149 184 161 143 160 143 183 144 132 160 . . . . One Month Ago Two Months Ago One Year Ago 5.7 40.9 5.4 41.2 5.4 40.9 173 162 166 172 157 169 168 154 167 148 140 145 144 131 144 175 144 141 101 May May May May May 126 110 129 131 96 125 110 128 135 97 125 113 128 130 102 121 107 121 130 100 May May 3.7 41.4 3.9 41.6 3.9 41.6 4.4 40.9 May May May 195 186 210 190 177 208 191 179 210 170 162 178 May Apr. 144 128 145 136 142 138 133 129 May May May May May 115 105 120 108 87 115 105 120 109 86 115 105 120 111 92 113 104 117 107 90 May May 3.8 41.1 3.7 41.2 3.8 41.0 4.0 40.4 Bank Debits* May May May 174 151 197 166 146 193 169 143 191 146 128 168 Farm Cash R e c e ip t s ............. May Apr. 139 120 137 122 134 138 128 128 May May May May May 107 102 109 90 85 108 102 109 93 82 108 102 109 93 83 104 100 105 85 76 May May 5.8 42.0 5.7 42.5 6.6 42.7 6.5 41.9 May May May 155 154 151 154 150 149 152 149 151 137 136 137 May Apr. 162 169 164 162 160 179 141 140 May May May May May 114 119 112 95 91 114 119 112 96 88 114 119 112 98 96 111 113 110 96 97 FIN AN CE AN D B AN KIN G Member Bank L o a n s ...................... May Member Bank D e p o s i t s .................May Bank D e b i t s * * .............................. May FLORIDA E M PLO YM EN T AN D PRODUCTION . May . May . May . May . May . May . May Printing and Publishing • May • May • May • • May Stone, Clay, and Glass • May • May • May • May Transportation Equipment . May . May • May . May • May Fin., ins., and real est. . . . . May S e r v i c e s .......................... . May Federal Government . . . . . May State and Local Government . May Farm E m p lo y m e n t...................... . May Unemployment Rate (Percent of Work Force) . . . . . May Insured Unemployment (Percent of Cov. E m p . ) ............. . May Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) . . . May Construction C o n t r a c t s * ............. . May . May . May Electric Power Production* - Feb. Cotton Consumption** . . . Apr. ** June . Apr. . Apr. . Apr. . Apr. . Apr. . Apr. Printing and Publishing . Apr. . Apr. . Apr. . Apr. Furniture and Fixtures . . . Apr. Stone, Clay, and Glass . . . Apr. Primary M e t a l s ............. . Apr. . Apr. Fabricated Metals . . . . Nonelectrical Machinery . Apr. Electrical Machinery . . . . Apr. Transportation Equipment . Apr. FIN AN CE AND BANKING Loans* All Member B a n k s ...................... May Large B a n k s ..............................May Deposits* All Member B a n k s ....................May Large B a n k s .............................. May Bank D e b i t s * / * * .......................... May EMPLO YM ENT Nonfarm E m p lo y m e n t ....................May Manufacturing .......................... May Nonmanufacturing .......................May C o n s t r u c tio n ....................... May Farm E m p lo y m e n t..........................May 126 134 EMPLO YM ENT Unemployment Rate (Percent of Work Force) Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) FIN AN CE AN D B AN KIN G Member Bank L o a n s ............ Member Bank Deposits . . . Bank D e b i t s * * .................... INCOM E Manufacturing Payroll: Farm Cash Receipts EMPLOYM ENT 182 ALABAMA IN COM E Manufacturing P a y r o lls ................... May Farm Cash R e c e ip t s ....................... Apr. Manufacturing P a y r o l l s .................May Farm Cash R e c e ip t s ...................... Apr. Nonfarm Employment Manufacturing . . Nonmanufacturing . Construction . . Farm Employment . . Unemployment Rate Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) FINANCE AND BANKING EMPLOYM ENT Nonfarm Employment . . . . Manufacturing ................ N o n m a n u fa ctu rin g ............ C o n s t r u c t io n ................. Farm E m p lo y m e n t................ Unemployment Rate (Percent of Work Force) . . Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) FINANCE AND BANKING Member Bank Loans* . . . . Member Bank Deposits* . . . Bank D e b i t s * / * * ................ M IS S IS S IP P I 151 165 151 171 109 107 119 108 106 119 113 132 136 IN COM E Manufacturing Payrolls . . . Farm Cash R e c e ip t s ............ EMPLO YM ENT 111 109 108 119 113 107 107 108 Construction Farm Employment MO NTHLY r e v ie w One Month Ago Two Months Ago One Year Ago 4.2 40.8 4.2 41.0 4.0 40.8 5.1 40.3 180 166 184 175 160 173 184 158 171 160 149 161 Latest Month 1972 One Month Ago Two Months Ago One Year Ago EMPLO YM ENT Unemployment Rate (Percent of Work Force) . . . . . May Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) . May FIN AN CE AND BAN KIN G Member Bank L o a n s * ............. Member Bank Deposits* . . . . Bank D e b i t s * / * * .................... Latest Month 1972 . . May . . May May Nonfarm E m p lo y m e n t ............. M a n u f a c t u r i n g .................... N o n m a n u fa ctu rin g................ C o n s t r u c t io n .................... Farm E m p lo y m e n t................... Unemployment Rate (Percent of Work Force) . . . Avg. Weekly Hrs. in Mfg. (Hrs.) . . . . . . . . . . . May May May May May 115 108 119 119 91 116 108 119 124 92 115 108 119 128 89 111 105 112 108 86 . . May . . May 3.7 40.7 3.6 40.9 3.7 40.7 4.7 40.1 • . May . . May 174 161 154 169 156 155 173 155 161 151 138 140 TENNESSEE FIN AN CE A N D B AN KIN G INCOM E Manufacturing P a y r o lls ............ Farm Cash R e c e i p t s ................ 151 134 . . May Apr. 147 137 153 147 *For Sixth District area only; other totals for entire six states Member Bank L o a n s * ............. Member Bank Deposits* . . . . Bank D e b it s * / * * ...................... 136 128 “ Daily average basis tPreliminary data r-Revised N.A. Not available Note: Indexes for bank d eb its, construction co n tracts, cotton consum ption, em ploym ent, farm cash receipts, loans, deposits, petroleum production, and payrolls: 1967= 100. All o th er indexes: 1957-59=100. Nonfarm employment data for all District states have been adjusted to new bench marks and to new seasonal factors. Sources: Manufacturing production estimated by this Bank; nonfarm, mfg. and nonmfg. emp., mfg. payrolls and hours, and unemp., U.S. Dept, of Labor and cooperating state agencies; cotton consumption, U.S. Bureau of Census; construction contracts, F. W. Dodge Div., McGraw-Hill Information Systems Co.; petrol, prod., U.S. Bureau of Mines; industrial use of elec. power, Fed. Power Comm.; farm cash receipts and farm emp., U.S.D.A. Other indexes based on data collected by this Bank. All indexes calculated by this Bank. D e b it s t o D e m a n d D e p o s it A c c o u n ts In s u re d C o m m e r c ia l B a n k s in th e S ix th D is tric t (In T h o u s a n d s o f D o lla r s ) Percent Change May 1972 Apr. 1972 May 1971 STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS Birmingham . . . 2,833,438 Gadsden . . . . 84,430 Huntsville . . . 272,913 M o b i l e ............ 864,611 Montgomery . . 519,443 Tuscaloosa . . . 166,270 2,686,666 80,392 240,627r 834,661 460,303 149,194 2,255,817 78,021 239,560 763,780 486,641 139,736 + 5 + 5 + 13 + 5 + 13 + 11 + + + + + + 26 8 14 13 7 19 + 28 + 3 + 8 + 19 + 10 + 9 Ft. Lauderdale— Hollywood . . . 1,582,039 Jacksonville . . . 3,071,254 M i a m i ............ 5,044,354 Orlando . . . . 1,230,821 Pensacola . . . 379,386 Tallahassee . . . 653,238 Tampa— St. Pete . 3,064,748 W. Palm Beach . 890,782 1,515,806 2,705,866 4,996,580 1,235,180 354,551 584,763 2,995,096 896,686 1,213,395 2,146,791 4,484,125r 904,510 329,304 323,228 2,345,434r 716,234 + 4 + 14 + 1 - 0 + 7 + 12 + 2 - 1 + + + + + + + + 30 43 12 36 15 102 31 24 + 20 + 31 + 14 + 26 + 14 + 115 + 22 + 14 A l b a n y ............ Atlanta . . . . Augusta . . . . Columbus . . . M a c o n ............ Savannah . . . . 162,675 11,061,322 423,352 369,367 425,540 439,209 148,930 9,874,733 398,412 342,346 397,715 418,260 131,512 8,575,888 350,262 346,847 362,624 356,385 + + + + + + 9 12 6 8 7 5 + + + + + + 24 29 21 6 17 23 + + + + + + 16 18 15 12 14 12 . . 206,353 . . . 1,123,759 . . 230,598 212,938 . . . . . 3,470,721 181,871 985,664 194,711 182,416 3,154,009 169,388 904,435 186,181 184,020 3,096,040r + 13 + 14 + 18 + 17 + 10 + 22 + 9 + + + + 24 24 16 12 + 14 + 10 + 5 Biloxi-Gulfport Jackson . . . . 219,213 1,219,777 183,441 984,978 190,450 1,009,371 +20 +24 + 15 + 21 + 13 + 11 Chattanooga . . Knoxville . . . . Nashville . . . . 948,851 731,012 2,647,139 882,787 718,600 2,520,684 933,972 627,369 2,136,220 + 7 + 2 + 5 + 2 + 17 24 + 3 + 11 + 19 96,214 134,417 63,307 87,234 113,469 54,849 86,346 107,620 51,985 47,121 144,136 265,811 144,337 42,094 150,537 247,431 144,111 35,174 110,728 201,123 108,704 189,758 172,253 178,946 + 11 + 25 + 22 + 12 + 34 - 4 + 30 + 7 + 32 + 0 + 33 + 10 + 5 + 11 + 16 + 13 14 + 25 + + 2712 + + 9 Alexandria . Baton Rouge Lafayette . . Lake Charles New Orleans THER C EN TERS Anniston . . . . D o t h a n ............ S e l m a ............ Bartow . . . . Bradenton . . . Brevard County . Daytona Beach Ft. Myers— N. Ft. Myers Percent Change Year to May date 1972 mos. From 1972 May I from Apr. 19711 1971 1972 + 10 + 18 + 15 + + 12 1972 May Gainesville . . Lakeland . . . Monroe County Ocala . . . . St. Augustine . St. Petersburg Sarasota . . . Tampa . . . . Winter Haven . FEDERAL RESERVE BAN K OF ATLANTA + + + + + - + + + + + + + + + 138,282 82,093 158,848 24,025 104,667 58,353 31,078 43,770 119,340 80,481 131,299 73,593 148,285 18,818 101,222 54,413 31,068 37,505 113,652 78,666 172,153 61,101 117,097 15,709 94,186 50,009 51,637 34,876 95,641 72,007 + 5 + 12 + 7 +28 + 3 + 7 + 0 + 17 + 5 + 2 _ 20 _ 19 34 36 53 11 17 — 40 + 26 + 25 + 12 + 21 + 20 + 20 + 5 7 + — 5 + 28 + 17 + 17 15,130 9,179 60,319 53,942 16,317 34,189 15,479 7,965 57,533 47,803 14,403 29,414 12,681 7,770 49,978 54,178 14,263 32,162 - 2 + 15 + 5 + 13 + 13 + 16 + + + + + + 19 18 21 19 14 6 + 10 + 6 + 11 + 7 + 9 + 4 . 105,931 62,771 101,847 47,957 98,994 60,209 95,303 44,655 87,191 53,929 79,076 46,617 + + + + 7 4 7 7 + 21 + 16 + 29 + 3 + 17 + 11 + 18 + 5 . . . 139,364 58,720 38,858 116,030 56,114 39,238 102,107 49,064 36,050 +20 + 5 - 1 + 36 + 20 + 8 + 26 + 4 + 8 123,084 140,369 225,651 115,233 134,552 209,470 116,191 115,533 186,380 + 7 + 4 + 8 + 6 + 21 + 21 + 8 + 21 + 13 . . . . 58,264,973 54,148,078r 47,465,154r + 8 + 23 + 17 . • . . 6,341,802r 5,689,969 + 8 19,120,949 15,699,523r + 4 14,472,675 12,683,960 + 10 5,670,674 5,465,528r + 12 2,264,309 2,180,043 + 16 6,277,669 5,746,131 + 5 + 20 + 26 + 26 16 21 + 15 + 21 + 20 17 8 13 + 11 . . . . . Hattiesburg . . Laurel . . . . Natchez . . Pascagoula— Moss Point Vicksburg . Yazoo City . Bristol . . . . Johnson City . Kingsport . . Alabama} Florida! • Georgia* . Louisiana* M ississippi* Tennessee* May 1971 166,660 217,198 59,285 137,244 29,492 715,793 251,322 1,431,011 129,586 Abbeville . . Bunkie . . . . Hammond . New Iberia . Plaquemine Thibodaux . istrict Total Apr. 1972 175,380 237,661 58,614 140,249 29,081 725,713 242,001 1,488,399 125,054 Athens . . . . Brunswick . . Dalton . . . . Elberton . . . Gainesville . . Griffin . . . . LaGrange . . Newnan . . . Rome . . . . Valdosta . . . -Inclu de s o n ly banks in the Sixth District portion of the state; partially estim ated. Apr. 1972 Year to date 5 mos. 1972 May from 1971 1971 May 1972 From . • . . . . . . • . . . . 6,839,805 19,846,933 15,972,472 . 6,360,722 . 2,627,258 . 6,617,783 ^Partially estim ated. 134,861 179,035 48,754 114,407 24,066 602,827 184,153 l,191,788r 101,814 5 9 1 2 1 1 4 4 3 30 33 20 23 21 20 31 25 23 + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + 21 20 17 25 18 17 24 16 22 + + + N A - N o t available. 127 D i s t r i c t B u s in e s s C o n d i t i o n s E c o n o m ic m o b ile a c t iv it y s a le s in th e reach ed S o u th e a st e x t r e m e ly d e m a n d sh o w e d g r o w in g o u tlo o k fo r fa rm m o n th s, so fte n e d B an ks as m an y h o ld in g s o f b an ks U . ste p p e d an d m ad e W h ile ly , S. up d e m a n d at a m u ch h o w e ve r, fu n d s June, fro m fro m 4 .3 A la b a m a lo s s e s o f w e re Note: s in c e fe ll c lin e d , o f in th e an d R e s id e n t ia l c o n tin u e d to c o n s t r u c t io n m ake s m a ll b a n k s. G o o d c o n d itio n s , th an a p p a r e n t ly th e in an d h e avy r a in s a n d s t ill an d u se o f r is in g d ig e s tin g D e s p it e fro m A p r il m e m b e r fro m w h ic h 1971, an d to expan d o f cate d o m e s t ic b an k p r ic e s ste ad y a u to c r e d it . Loan im p r o v e d g a in s o f th e e a r lie r to M a y , m o n th s; C D la t e le n d in g rate u n ch an ge d C o n su m e r e x p an d e d s u b s t a n t ia l p r e v io u s at th re e a u t o m o t iv e In r e g a in e d t h e ir r e s id e n tia l a n d N o n m a n u f a c t u r in g jo b o ff. P r e lim in a r y in rose p r ic e s d a ta c o n tin u e d in d i to r is e at c o m m e r c ia l H o w e ve r, s m a lle r th a n b an k s th o u gh th o se in fo r au to s Loan s g o o d s g a in s each r e m a in e d s t ill o f an d th e n o n p a r t ic u la r ly s a le s o f d o m e s t ic a lly p ro d u ce d au to s v ig o r , b r ie fly in A p r il. u p w ard tre n d , C o n s t r u c tio n ste a d y s ig an d tra d e . a d v a n c in g A ve ra ge m a n u fa c tu r in g e a ste rn p ro d u cts in c r e a s e s c a t t le c r e d it M a y . co n su m e r s h o w in g been fa rm la r g e an d m o n th s. M ay, e s p e c ia lly had in w e re and s e r v ic e s , o f b r o ile r s . in s t a lm e n t a g a in F lo r id a S tate s in e s t im a b le a fte r s lip p in g N o n fa rm r e g is t e r in g 1972. by h o gs an June. stro n g. e a r ly le d w e re d r o u g h t -s t r ic k e n P r ic e s an d p r ic e s o f A g n e s th e D is t r ic t . h o gs, th a t in sh a rp In fo rc e . th e c it r u s , in in c r e a s e d a ttra c te d p r im e fa c to ry p a y r o lls g a in s . D ata on w h ic h sta te m e n ts are b a se d 128 ban ks ban ks w in d o w . p r e v io u s w o rk le v e le d e a r lie r 1 9 7 2 o th e r H u r r ic a n e fa rm e rs s e c u r it ie s . d e p o s it s a fte r fro m to o f go v e rn m e n ts. D is t r ic t g a in s . R a in s b o o n area b an ks c o n s tr u c tio n , jo b s, la t e o ff, o n ly d e red u ced in t h e ir M a y , p e rc e n t. c iv ilia n 1971 in lo a n d is c o u n t s a v in g s lo c a l 1 /4 th e s lig h t ly , h a lt in g stre n gth e n . t h e ir c o n tin u e d r a is e d 5 re se rve s M ay, la r g e r an d e m p lo y m e n t M a n u fa c t u r in g s m a r t ly th e le v e le d o ccu rre d h o u rs e a r ly pace ban ks th ro u g h o u t n ific a n t m arket u n e m p lo y m e n t ra te r e m a in e d p e rc e n t g a in s an d June e m p lo y m e n t to C o n su m e rs la r g e stro n ge r b o r r o w in g s d e p o s it s p e rc e n t to M a y 's fo r A r e s u lte d s in c e u se t im e state m a jo r 5 has th e ir s lo w e r in p re sse d G o ve rn m e n t g re a te r co n su m e r at b o th Labor stre n gth e n e d . s t r o n g d e p o s it g a in s a ls o in c o m e s . m o re d e m a n d at stre n gth le v e ls . s lig h t ly . b e cam e lo a n m an d h ig h c o n tin u e d h ig h d e ly b e lo w in aw ard s in g la s t c r e d it s a v in g s c o n tin u e d In M a y , its th e v a lu e o f b o th to ta l c o n tr a c t a w a r d s w a s o n ly s lig h t re co rd id e n t ia l th e a c t iv it y F lo r id a . h ig h s , m o ve d t w e lv e c o n tin u e d in f lo w s w h ile up m o n th s. to be at t h r if t th e a fte r v a lu e lit t le o f R e s id e n t ia l r e a d ily d u r m o rtga ge a v a ila b le , in s t it u t io n s n o n re s ch a n ge a lth o u g h d im in is h e d so m e w h a t. h a ve bee n ad ju ste d w h e n e v e r p o s s ib le to e lim in a te se a so n a l in flu e n c e s. M O N T H L Y R E V IE W July 1972