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FE D E R A L R ES ER VE B A N K O F R I C H M O N D SEP TEMBER 1964 WEST VIRGINIA An Economic Profile Few states in the nation have experienced such sweeping economic change as has W est V irginia during the last 15 years. Stated in broad terms, the State has been going through a period of m ajor readjustm ent. P rior to and during W orld W ar II. coal mining and agriculture were thriving activities, providing the bulk of employment. Even before the war, however, agricultural employment had begun a steady decline. In the 1950's, mining employment fell off drastically, due to both reduced demand for coal and large-scale automation by the mining com panies. W hile employment declines in both of these activities have slowed, the heart of the S tate’s problem remains that of finding new industries and employment opportunities. Recent expansion of the manufacturing sector has begun to partially fill the job gap. More im portant for the long run, the State and Federal gov ernments and interested private groups are cooperat ing in program s to retrain workers and bring new job-creating investments into the State. The fight is far from won, but developments in the last few years have been encouraging. N atu ral R eso urces W e s t V irg in ia has an ab u n dance of natural wealth. Today, as in the past, these resources provide a broad base for economic activity. The State is especially well endowed with m inerals, but timber, w ater, and land are also important resources. Although, in large measure, current economic problems have stemmed from developments in the m ining industry, bituminous coal must be counted as the S tate’s most valuable single asset. W est V ir ginia bituminous is a high-quality coal, with a wide variety of uses, and total reserves are estimated at 103 billion short tons, about 6.2% of all coal re serves for the nation. A t present, only about half of these are classified recoverable, but a larger fraction should become available over time as tech nology continues to improve. As shown by the map at the bottom of page 3, 2 bituminous reserves are distributed over most of the State. M ining activities, however, are centered in the southwestern and northcentral sections, and dur ing recent years, more than two thirds of total annual production has come from the two areas. N atural gas and crude petroleum are also avail able in substantial quantities, though reserves are but small fractions of the nation’s stocks. Estimated recoverable natural gas reserves at the present time are almost two trillion cubic feet; recoverable natural gas liquid reserves, approxim ately 59 million b arrels; and crude oil reserves, 56 million barrels. Depletion of these reserves has not become a m atter for con cern. as new discoveries have generally matched or exceeded consumption. Deposits of other mineral resources occur in com m ercially significant quantities in various parts of the State. These include different types of limestones, building stone, rock and brine salt, sandstone, glass sand, clays, and sand and gravel. W est V irg in ia’s stock of hardwood timber is one of the largest in the East. Softwoods also are found in various parts of the State, but are relatively much less important. In all. the State has almost 9.9 million acres of commercial forest land, and the estimated grow ing stock is almost 100 million cords. M easures have been taken to preserve the timber and in recent years new grow th has exceeded volume cut by about 50 °/c. W ater resources are abundant, and in most parts of the State potentially more than adequate for ag ricultural. recreational, and industrial use. Usable water, however, is not evenly distributed over the State, and further development is needed in many areas. In the river valleys, where chemical plants, paper mills, mines, and other industries use the rivers for waste disposal, pollution has caused some problems. Even some of the mountain streams have suffered, due m ainly to the w ashing operations of small mining companies. C urrently, both government and industry are taking action to elim inate these difficulties. Flooding is also a problem in some river- valley areas, and while there has been substantial investm ent in flood control, the task is not finished. Two national forests, nine State forests, and tw enty State parks give W est V irgin ia a total of almost two million acres of developed recreational land. W ithin the next few years, five new State parks w ill be opened. W ith the rapid growth of tourism, recreational areas are assuming an increas ingly significant role in the S tate’s economy. Indeed, development of this recreational acreage m ay well prove to be one of the S tate’s wisest investments. Population Characteristics In 1963, W e s t V ir ginia had a total population of 1,778,000, ranking thirtieth among the states of the nation. Since 1950, however, population has been declining steadily, and between the last two census years, the total fell by 7.2% . W'hile this decline contrasts sharply with experience in the nation and in all bordering states, it should probably be viewed as a natural part of the S tate’s economic readjustm ent. Only with the com ing of new industry and job opportunities can the trend be expected to reverse. About three fifths of all W est V irginians live in towns with populations of 2,500 or under and are classified by the Bureau of the Census as “rural residents.” U rban population is concentrated in seven cities— Charleston, Huntington, W heeling, P ark ers burg, Wreirton, Fairm ont, and Clarksburg. A pproxi m ately one half of the entire urban population lives in these cities, the locations of which are shown on the map at the bottom of page 4. Not surprisingly, the decline in total population NATURAL RESOURCES West V irg in ia LEGEN D Bituminous Coal Limestone r Rivers Sources: W est V irg in ia G eo logical and Economic Survey; W est V irgin ia Departm ent of Com m erce. during the 1950's was confined largely to rural and m ining areas. Most of those m igrating from the rural areas left the State, but there was some intra state m igration to the cities, and six of the seven urban, industrialized counties gained population. The age structure of the W est V irgin ia population today does not differ notably from that for the nation as a whole. Sligh tly more than half of the S tate’s population is in the w orking age group, between 18 and 64 years. In 1960, the median age in the State w as 28.5 y e a rs; in the nation, 29.5 years. U ntil the outm igration of the last decade, the State’s popu lation was, on balance, appreciably younger than the nation’s. In 1950, for example, the median age was 26.3 years, compared w ith 30.2 years for the United States. The trend toward an older age structure, which has been under w ay since the beginning of the century, has l>een due to net outm igration of young people, a declining birth rate, and an increase in life expectancy. The general level of educational attainm ent in W est V irgin ia has risen during recent years but has remained below the level for the nation as a whole. Between 1940 and 1960, the percentage of the popu lation 25 years old and over that had completed four years of high school or more rose from 17.6% to 30.5% . In the cities, where the level of attainment has been higher throughout the period, the compar able increase wras from 30.5% to 42.4% . In addition, special retraining program s have been operating suc cessfully in the larger urban areas for the past sev eral years. Labor Force, Employment, W est V irg in ia’s civilian labor bered 586,700, about 33% of B y comparison, approxim ately _i \ ............................ !...../ V ‘*'* / '-X-J1 -------i \ - j < and Unemployment force in 1963 num the total population. 36% of the nation’s /- \i y V - - ; . .. .. .. . ) Vv r — Vvr-....... A c /V ” ......i j / \ , , { i ™ V ;VV\ j J \ / \ X " / CO U N TIES AND MAJOR CITIES W e s t V i r g in i a ........ / ' population was in the civilian labor force. The State’s total labor force, civilian and m ilitary, was only 600 persons greater than the civilian force. M ilitary employment in the State runs well below that in other states, as W est V irginia has only one operational m ilitary installation, an A ir Force Station near Charleston. Since 1950, the S tate’s civilian labor force has declined 10.3%. The decline, however, has been less rapid than the reduction in either total population or total employment. Total employment at the end of 1963 stood at 535,900, including 453,500 nonfarm wage and salary w orkers, 46,000 farm ers and farm workers, and 36,400 proprietors, self-employed per sons, unpaid fam ily w orkers, and domestics in pri vate households. T his figure represented a decrease of about 92,000 or 15% from the 1950 level. A l though the decrease in the number of jobs is con tinuing, figures from the W est V irgin ia Department of Employment Security show that the rate of de cline lias slowed during the last several years. Be tween 1950 and 1960, the average annual rate of decrease wras 1.6% ; since 1960, only 0.1% . The employment situation in W est V irgin ia con trasts most sharply to that in the nation when rates of unemployment are compared. In every year since 1950, the average annual rate of unemployment has been higher in the State than in the United States as a whole—-during most of the period, appreciably higher. It should be noted, though, that the unemploy ment situation has improved since 1961. Also, use of figures for the entire State tends to give a distorted picture of the unemployment problem. A ctually, the situation has been brighter in the industrialized rivervalley areas. M uch of the S tate’s unemployment is, and has been, concentrated in the rural and mining areas. The southern m ining counties have been especially hard-hit. Distribution of Nonfarm Employment A s show n by the table at the top of page 5, the distribution of nonfarm employment for W est V irgin ia is roughly sim ilar to that for the nation. M anufacturing is the most important source of employment, followed by wholesale and retail trade, government, and serv ices. Employment in m ining, however, is ten times as important in the State as in the nation. Since 1950, there have been significant changes in the distribution of employment w’ithin the State. The relative importance of m anufacturing has in creased even though the number employed in the sector declined until 1960, when an upturn began. DISTRIBUTION O F N ON FARM EM PLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY W EST V IR G IN IA AND THE UNITED STATES, 1950 AND 1963 1950 1963 United States 100.0 Industry W est V irg inia United States West V irg inia 100.0 100.0 100.0 25.1 33.5 27.4 29.3 74.9 66.5 72.6 70.7 16.9 22.3 18.8 21.8 (Per Cent) TOTAL NONFARM M anufacturing ................... N onm anufacturing Trade ........ .......................... ........................ 11.6 13.7 16.2 16.9 ............................... 8.0 10.8 11.6 14.3 Transportation, Com munication, and Public Utilities ............. ........ .. 10.2 8.7 9.0 6.7 5.1 3.8 5.0 Governm ent Services Contract Construction Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate ................... Mining .. 3.4 1.8 3.9 2.9 4.9 22.9 2.0 10.2 1.1 Note: Details m ay not add to totals because of rounding. Sources: W est V irg inia Department of Employment Security and U. S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. In transportation, communications, and public u tili ties, employment has fallen, but the share of total employment accounted for by the sector has increased. Employment in m ining has decreased both absolutely and in relative importance, while the trade, services, government, and finance, insurance, and real estate sectors have gained both absolutely and relatively. Personal Income B etw een 1940 and 1963, W e s t V irg in ia’s total personal income increased by 328% , from $777 million to $3.3 billion. Most of the in crease took place during the relatively prosperous 1940’s, but even during the period of readjustm ent in the 1950’s and early 1960’s, the rise was a sub stantial 54% . P er capita personal income rose by an even greater percentage during the 24-year span, advancing 360% from $407 to $1,872. D uring the period 1950 through 1963 the increase was 75% . The seeming paradox of rising income during the recent period of declining employment is explained m ainly by substantial w age increases in the m anu facturing industries and in the m ining sector. W ages in the K anawha V alley’s chemical industries, for exam ple, are among the highest in the nation today. Although income increases in the State have been appreciable, they have been less than those in the nation as a whole and in all bordering States (K en tucky, M aryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and V irg in ia ). A s shown in the chart on this page, the gap between W est V irg in ia’s per capita personal income and the national average has widened substantially since the early 1940’s. Forms and Sources of Income S lig h tly more than two thirds of all income received by W est V ir ginians is in the form of w ages and salaries. Pro prietors’ income (earnings of self-employed persons and owners of unincorporated businesses), property income, and tran sfer paym ents account for the bulk of the rem ainder. C urrently, the division of income by m ajor form is quite sim ilar to the division in the nation and in bordering states. Between 1950 and 1962, however, the share of total income derived from w ages and salaries de creased in W est V irgin ia, but increased in the nation and in all bordering states. A t the same time, tran sfer paym ents became relatively more important in the State. The same trend was evident in the nation as a whole, although the increase in relative importance of transfer payments was only half as large. Nine tenths of W est V irg in ia’s total personal in come originates in the private nonfarm sector of the economy. i\bout 9% is generated by Federal, State, and local government u n its; only 1% comes from the farm sector. It is of special interest to note that income from the three levels of government is a sm aller part of the total in the State than in the nation or in any bordering state, and that the governm ent’s share of the W est V irgin ia total has declined since 1950. In the private nonfarm sector, (Continued on page 8) PER CAPITA PERSONAL INCOME WEST VIRG IN IA AND UNITED STATES Dollars 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 1930 Source: 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 U. S. Department of Commerce. 5 Facilities for higher education in West V irg in ia Total enrollment at the State's colleges and universities in include 1963 w a s approxim ately 35,000. two universities, fourteen liberal arts colleges, one techno logical institute, and three technical colleges. of 24,300 in 1950 and a pre-World W ar II level that never WS ,| E^ West V irg in ia Uni- institutions, eleven are State-supported. O f the twenty This com pares with a total ij exceeded 14,500. About 4,000 bachelor's degrees and 500 versify at M organtown is by fa r the largest of these institu- higher degrees have been aw ard ed an n u ally by the State's tions, with an enrollment of about 10,000. colleges and universities since 1960. if / ,-T i ^ t ! / | -r “ - ....... }» { / r r WOOD J ✓ i v 1 * lM j ^ = o r g o n to w p M o ^ n r~ r ‘v x fAIRM O NT STAT& * } / -0. y \ MA S O N , RITCHIE r I i. ( r 'x / v P R E S T O * 1 / Ss , . ’ V / / \ ------^ \ mmtuiki y - .-s . / / « a h > s h ire : / "X J " " J ........ s ••• j z '7 (* * * •* / < t f c / d a v .s and h k .n s B,m k j- > ,> i 'V c . , \ / J / / S • ) .Sh«pnerc)s(own r ;• x \ ; R A N D 0 LP H / ^ <»«"/ / . / B E R K E L E Y / V SHEPHERD CO ^tlGE / a iO E M O N -B R d A D O U S T $m m m f >d j i 4' \ V j N n},fokow * /M TAYLOR v w ,-J ' I w.I.S . I . <&-> y f R T K. filftnv T WJ F W ^ --\CA LH 0U «\ ^ ^ / ^ (' f fSILWiv^ /uPSHUR I * % / X .UPSHUR f \ JACKSON I . i \ / K / ROANE » ..______ j ......... y ■ / V — eiENvmi / { A w sw e W EST^ V IR G ^ ^ U N IV ^ R SITY M A R I O N ” » X/ , ' \ \ / / Top—W orking in conjunction with the State Road Com m ission, engineering students at West V irg in ia University test the durability of road -b uild in g m aterials. Center—In classroom s like this one at M orris H arvey College, students pursue their varied academ ic interests. Bottom—Faculty m em bers at West V irg in ia W esleyan College assist students during registration. Top—The architecture of the State's college cam puses v arie s from the very modern to the more traditional. M cM urran Hall at Shepherd College exem plifies the latter. Center—Each ye a r new facilities are added to accom m odate increasing enrollments. Pictured is the new student center at Concord College. Bottom—This m odern, $31 million com plex, is West V irg in ia University's new M edical Center. The entire project w a s financed, in less than five years, by a special tax on soft drinks. (Continued from page 5) approxim ately half of all civilian income received for participation in current production comes from com modity-producing industries. Another fourth comes from distributive industries; the balance from serv ice industries. Since 1950, the share of the S tate’s current production income from m anufacturing has increased substantially, w hile the share from mining has fallen by more than half. B itu m in o u s C oal M in in g T he S ta te ’s recen t economic history has paralleled closely the vicissi tudes of the bituminous coal industry. D uring the 1940’s, when activity in the industry was at a high level, production reached an all-tim e record of 176 million tons in 1947 and employment reached a high of 125,000 in 1948. This was reflected in general prosperity in the State. Then during the 1950's and early 1960’s, the demand for coal fell off and pro duction declined, reaching a low of 113 million tons in 1961. As production fell so did employment. The employment problem was intensified as m ajor coal companies responded to upward w age pressures by autom ating rapidly. Although there were other con tributing factors, the substantial decline in mining employment w as largely responsible for the State's overall economic downturn. The production slump during the 1950’s was attributable in large measure to reduced demand in the industrial, home-heating, and export markets. The most serious single blow to the industry oc curred when railroads switched from coal-burning locomotives to diesels. In 1947, railroads consumed about 109 million tons, or one fourth of all United States production; by 1961, this figure had dropped to less than two million tons. The decline in employment proceeded against a background of wage increases well in excess of pro ductivity gains. D uring the period from 1939 through 1963, average hourly earnings increased from $.86 to $3.29. U ntil 1958, as the chart on this page shows, these increases exceeded gains in productiv ity by an average of approxim ately 1% a year, encouraging the larger coal companies to mechanize. M ost important has been the introduction of con tinuous cutting and loading machinery, which has substantially raised productivity but has displaced miners in large numbers. D uring the last few years, the downward produc tion trend appears to have reversed. Production in 1963 rose to more than 129 million tons, and prelim inary estim ates for this year indicate a further increase. Increased sales in the electric utilities and export markets have been prim arily responsible for 8 PRODUCTIVITY AN D EARN IN GS IN THE BITUMINOUS C O A L INDUSTRY 193*>= 100 400 350 300 A verag e H ourly Earning s 250 S ' / / 200 / S 150 Per Man Per Day 100 0 t l l 1 1 1940 1945 1950 1955 I9 6 0 Sources: U. S. Departm ent of the Interior and N ational C oal A ssociation. this upturn. L ast year, electric utility users con sumed approxim ately 62 m illion tons of W est V ir ginia bituminous, roughly half of total production, and another 30 million tons went to the export m ar ket, mostly to m etallurgical users in W estern Europe, Japan, and South America. Expansion in the important electric utilities market has been possible only because the cost of coal has been kept competitive w ith other energy fuels. The companies, by autom ating, have kept the cost “at the m ines” relatively stable over the past ten years, and the railroads, which move about three fourths of total annual production, have recently introduced numerous cost-saving techniques, reducing trans portation costs. The transportation factor, of course, has been important in expanding sales in the export m arket also. Demand of electric utility users m ay be expected to rise even further if the development of “minemouth” power generating stations catches on among the electric companies. Also, current research efforts indicate that a number of new uses for bituminous m ay be feasible in the not-too-distant future. It is possible today, for exam ple, to produce gaseous and liquid fuels, including gasoline, from coal. If these processes can be made economical, the increased de mand for coal as a source of derived fuels could be substantial. Other possible new sources of demand include the use of coal in processing sewage and industrial waste, the use of coal flv-ash as a soil conditioner and as a lightw eight foamed ceramic, and the use of coal as the base for an electricityproducing cell. The hope for significant expansion of mining employment, however, is apparently slight. A uto mation within the industry is continuing, perhaps at an increasing pace. Even if production rises well above the 1947 record, only a limited employment increase is likely. M a n u fa c tu rin g T h e S ta te ’s m a n u factu rin g sec tor has grown rapidly since W orld W ar II. Between 1947 and 1962, the increase in total value added by m anufacture w as 145%, about the same as the national gain and greater than the increases in the bordering industrial States of Ohio and Penn sylvania. In 1962, value added by m anufacture totaled $1.6 billion, a sum slightly more than twice as great as the value of mineral production and almost sixteen times greater than cash receipts from farm m arket ings. Nevertheless, m anufacturing was relatively less important in W est V irgin ia than in the nation and in all bordering states except Kentucky. Chemicals, prim ary metals, and stone, clay, and glass products are the S tate’s m ajor m anufacturing industries shown in the table at the bottom of this page. Combined, these industries account for about three fourths of total value added, and each provides roughly one fifth of m anufacturing employment. The structure of m anufacturing in W est V irgin ia presents an interesting contrast to that in the nation. In the State, the m anufacture of nondurable goods accounts for more than half of total value added but for only about a third of m anufacturing employment. N ationally, nondurables account for about half of both value added and employment. This differ ence is explained principally by the relative impor tance of the S tate’s chemical industry, where value added per worker is extrem ely high. A ll of the S tate’s m anufacturing industries have shared in the increase in value added since 1947. The largest gains have been in chemicals, prim ary m etals, and food processing. Between 1947 and 1962, value added by chemical production almost quadrupled. In prim ary metals, the gain was close to 200% and in foods, about 150%. Most of the gains in value added were the result of rising output per worker. As noted earlier, total m anufacturing employment actually fell during the period. In the panhandle, firms producing p rim ary metals, fabricated metals, and glass account for almost a fourth of the S tate’s m anufacturing employment and a third of its total value added by m anufacture. In the Charleston area, chemicals, food products, and stone, clay, and glass products industries gener ate about a fifth of the employment total and a fourth of value added. Establishments in the H unt ington area, m ainly in food and stone, clay, and glass lines, account for about a tenth of both employ ment and value added. Clarksburg, Fairm ont, M or gantown, and P arkersburg are sm aller, but signifi cant, m anufacturing areas. In v estm en t in M a n u fac tu rin g One of the m ost prom ising trends in W est V irgin ia m anufacturing has been the substantial volume of new investment. Between 1951 and 1962, expenditures for new plant and equipment totaled about $1,700 million. These expenditures w ere for both plant establishment and expansion. Most significantly, the annual rate of increase in plant and equipment expenditures was approxim ately equal to the rate for the nation and exceeded the rates in all bordering states except M aryland. A g ric u ltu re A g ric u ltu re is a sm all and d eclin in g part of the W est V irgin ia economy. In 1963, cash receipts from farm m arketings totaled $98 million, about 6% of total value added by m anufacture and 14% of the value of m ineral production. Farm em ployment was less than 2% of the State total, and M A N U FA CTU RIN G E m p lo y e e s V a lu e A d d e d Pe r C e n t Am ount P e r Cen1 N u m b er o f Total ($ T ho us.) o f Tota 112,393 100.0 1 ,62 5,5 02 100.0 ...................... 1,419 1.3 7,79 0 0.5 Products ...... 7 ,1 3 2 6.3 67,651 4.2 3 ,0 2 4 2 .7 10,240 0.6 In d u stry ......................................................... TOTAL T e x tile Food M ill and P ro d u cts K in d re d A p p a re l and Lu m b er a n d C h e m ic a l R e la te d W ood and P ro d u cts ... P ro d u cts......... A llie d Pro d u cts . . 5.8 2 4 ,1 9 7 1.5 19.2 688,361 4 2 .3 1,557 1.4 14,867 0.9 3.3 18,893 1.2 895 0.8 6,24 5 0.4 P rod u cts 2 0 ,7 6 9 18.5 2 09 ,13 8 12.9 In d u strie s ............ 2 2 ,0 9 5 19.6 3 6 0 ,0 6 0 22.2 6,660 5.9 69,9 74 4.3 ............ 1,872 1.7 2 3 ,6 7 5 1.4 A u x ilia r y ... 3,39 7 3 .0 .............................................. ........... 1 1,785 10.5 124,411 7.6 P rin tin g A llie d and L e a th e r a n d P r o d u c t s ......... P u b lish in g L e a th e r P ro d u cts ...... S to n e, C l a y , a n d G la s s P r im a r y M e ta l M e ta l P ro d u cts............ T ra n sp o rta tio n E q u ip m e n t A d m in is t r a t iv e and O th e r 6 ,5 6 4 2 1 ,5 4 6 3,67 8 Paper and F a b r ic a t e d G eo grap h ical C on cen tratio n of M a n u factu rin g W est V irg in ia’s m anufacturing is concentrated in the northern panhandle, around W eirton and W heel ing, and in the Charleston and Huntington areas. IN W EST V IR G IN IA 1962 S o u rce : U. S. D e p a rtm e n t of C o m m e rce , B u re a u of the C e n su s. 9 farm income accounted for only about 1% of total personal income. Employment in agriculture dropped by more than half during the 1950-1963 period, declining more than in any other state in the nation except New Hampshire, and the number of farm s also fell by almost half. Farm output, as reflected by cash re ceipts, declined by 14%. T o u rism T o u rism is the fastest g ro w in g in d u stry in the State today. Though still a relatively small industry, tourism could become a m ajor economic activity. T his year, the W est V irgin ia Department of Commerce estimates that more than eight million tourists and vacationers w ill visit the State, bringing approxim ately $250 million into the economy and providing jobs for about 25,000 men and women. Especially in the central and eastern sections, the State has much to offer the vacationer. Principal attractions for the summer vacationer are State parks and forests which offer not only natural beauty, but also comfortable lodging or improved camping sites, swimming, boating, riding, game courts, fishing, and hunting. For the w inter vaca tioner and sports enthusiast, there are four devel oped ski resort areas— Bald Knob near Beckley, Chestnut R idge near M organtown, Oglebay P ark near W heeling, and W eiss Knob and Cabin M oun tain near Davis. The State also has numerous addi tional attractions for the tourist, including an exhibi tion coal mine at Beckley, the Coal Town Museum at Stotesbury, 20 hand-blown glass factories around the State, and several historical pageants during the summer months. The only significant drawback to the expansion of tourism as an industry is the need for a better highw ay system, a matter which is treated below. N eeds for the F u tu re From the stan d p o in t of economic development in the interm ediate-term future, W est V irgin ia is faced with special problems in two important areas. The first of these is public education; the second, the highw ay system. W h ile the S tate’s public school system confronts numerous problems common to many other state school system s, there are special problems as well. Expenditure per pupil is only about two thirds the national average and is lower than the comparable figures in all bordering states except K entucky. Also, the average annual salary of public school teachers is more than $1,000 below the national average and is lower than the average in all bordering states except Kentucky. Perhaps the most pressing problem is the existence of a relatively large number of rural schools 10 with seriously lim ited physical plants. In 1962-1963, more than 500 of the rural schools were one-room facilities. These problems have been attacked on a broad front, and in recent years significant progress has been made. Since 1950, almost 2,000 one-room schools have been closed and the students moved to larger consolidated schools. Both average teachersalaries and expenditures per pupil have more than doubled. The State Department of Education is currently em barking upon a program of improve ment which calls for expanded curriculum , addi tional physical facilities, and furth er pay increases for teachers. The S tate’s need for an improved and expanded highw ay system w ill not be easily met. Because of terrain, construction is difficult and costly. Also, because of annual tem perature variation in many parts of the State, pavement does not hold up well and substantial annual expenditures are required for maintenance. E xpenditures for highw ay construction have risen continuously in the last ten years. Between 1950 and 1963, net addition to the prim ary road system totaled about 200 miles, and 51 miles of the new Interstate H ighw ay System w ere built. W hen W est V irgin ia’s presently projected share of the Interstate System is completed in 1972, approxim ately 520 miles of four-lane, lim ited-access highw ay w ill crisscross the State, linking the m ajor industrial areas to each other and to m arkets east and wrest and m aking the vacation areas more readily accessible to tourists. But while the projected improvements should go a long w ay tow ard solving the State’s transportation problem, it seems clear that more years of high level expenditures for all types of roads w ill be needed to give the State an adequate system of highways. C onclusion W^est V irg in ia , then, is a S ta te in transition. Its economic problems are incident to a readjustm ent which, in all probability, w ill not soon be completed. L arge-scale job losses in agriculture and bituminous coal m ining have necessitated an adjustm ent of m ajor proportions, and history has shown that such changes are neither quick nor pain less. Still, appropriate actions are being taken and recent progress has been substantial. This article is the fifth of a series of economic profiles of states hi the Fifth Federal Reserve District. Booklets describing the Virginia Maryland, North Carolina, and South Carolina economies are now available on request, and a similar study of W est Virginia will be published later this year. , THE FIFTH DISTRICT Fifth District business activity continues at a high level. Although the pace in some sectors slowed a little during late spring and early summer, the latest statistics suggest that the District economy is again m oving up, perhaps at a quickening pace. In Ju ly, seasonally adjusted bank debits rose to an all-tim e high, 2°/c above the previous record reached in April and 9 c above Ju ly a year ago. Seasonally adjusted /c nonfarm employment also rose to a new high after sm all gains in three consecutive months made up for the A pril decline. Seasonally adjusted m anufacturing m an-hours likew ise increased slightly, continuing the seesaw behavior that has characterized factory manhours since the all-tim e high in March. Seasonally adjusted department store sales were down in Ju ly, but prosperity elsewhere seems to have boosted con sum er optimism, for department store business jum ped 9% to a new high in A ugust. Most usable economic capacity now appears to be in operation despite some unemployment. Informed spokesmen from many areas indicate that most Dis trict enterprises are handling about as large a work load as they reasonably can, and many feel that sup plies of suitable labor, as far as their particular in dustries are concerned, are just about exhausted. Strength Widespread D istrict em ploym en t statistics reveal substantial stability and strength in almost every sector. In June, seasonally adjusted employment increased by small amounts in both durable and nondurable goods m anufacturing, in m ining, in transportation, communication, and public utilities, in trade, and in finance, insurance, and real estate. In construction and services, the number of w orkers remained unchanged. The government sector alone reported fewer jobs in June. In Ju ly, notifarm employment rose in all m ajor categories except nondurable goods m anufacturing. M ixed movements in Ju ly produced a small net gain in durable goods man-hours but no change in nondurables. In the durable goods sector, strong gains in prim ary metals, lumber, and stone, clay, and glass, aided by a small increase in furniture, more than offset declines in fabricated metals, machinery, and transportation equipment. Strength in non durables was centered in tobacco, chemicals, and ap 4Bt parel, but declines in foods and paper products coun terbalanced these gains. M an-hours in textiles and printing remained at about the June level. Prosperity in Textiles In the te x tile in d u stry the current picture is p articularly bright. Order back logs are large, and new business has maintained good average volume. Prices are firm, even rising a little now and then on individual items, though not enough perhaps to have a noticeable effect on the recent slightly downward trend of textile prices generally. The present improvement has been in progress since the elim ination of two-price cotton. Before the cotton price policy was changed, unfilled orders for broad woven cotton goods had been declining and in A pril were at a level equivalent to only 9.1 weeks of production. Backlogs changed direction in M ay, and all evidence indicates that they have since con tinued to rise. Recent trade reports, for instance, show a substantial volume of orders placed for de livery later this year and in early 1965 at prices equal to or just slightly below those recently charged for immediate delivery from generally tight supplies. Firm prices and risin g volume point to a con tinuing uptrend in textile mill dollar sales in both the District and the nation. In the first half of this year, national sales reached $8.7 billion, 7% above the comparable figure for 1963. More significantly, profits earned over the next year or so are also likely to be higher. How much higher is hard to tell be cause a number of m ills have recently announced pay hikes averaging around 5°/c, and these may well spread through the industry as did sim ilar increases last fall. It seems unlikely, however, that these or other higher costs will offset the effects of the equali zation payments. T extile industry profits in 1963 totaled about $350 million after taxes even though domestic m ills paid for cotton, over and above its market value at world prices, an amount roughly equal to after-tax profits. Department of A griculture experts estim ate that domestic consumption of cotton in the current crop year will reach 9.6 million bales, a volume on which price equalization paym ents would probably exceed $300 million. The impact of these paym ents on 1I Fifth District Ports Million Tons ....................... Fifth District Source: Deportm ent of the Interior, Bureau of Mines. prices and profits w ill be determined by supply and demand conditions in m any m arkets, but the strongcurrent demand for cotton textiles suggests that some share w ill lodge in mill profits in the months ahead. B itu m in o u s Coal C onditions in the D istric t’s b i tuminous coal industry have been im proving gradually for the past several years. Despite stiff competition from other fuels, coal demand has continued to gain strength at a fairly steady rate. Developments over seas, stemming m ainly from economic growth and the rising cost of coal production, have increased the flow of United States coal to foreign m arkets. Do m estically, sales to electric utilities and other trad i tional users have continued to increase, and extensive research has improved coal’s practical potential as a future source of liquid and gaseous fuels and of useful organic raw m aterials. The charts above picture the industry’s more im portant developments during recent years. A s shown in the first chart, output turned a corner in 1961 and followed a m ildly upward trend through 1962 and 1963, although the declines of late 1963 seemed a little greater than seasonal. Production then con tinued to rise during the first half of the current year and exceeded last y ear’s output on a cum ulative basis by 2.8% in the District and by 2.7% nationally. The second chart, showing coal shipments through District ports to both foreign and domestic destina tions, indicates that the volume of exports also moved into a firm uptrend in 1961. The seasonal pattern calls for heavier shipments toward the end of the year. 12 and foreign loadings declined as usual in the first half of this year as compared to the second half of last year. For the first six months, however, District coal exports are up 11% this year over last. Domestic users accounted for less than one third of total shipments in 1960. Although the volume of coal passing through D istrict ports to domestic des tinations has gradually increased, it now represents only about one fourth of total D istrict port loadings. About 8% more coal has been shipped through Dis trict ports for domestic use so far this year than was shipped in the comparable period of 1963. Although D istrict coal production reached 13.4 million tons per month in 1963, up 12% from 1961, 1963 m ining employment averaged only 69,200, down 6% since 1961. Thus, the industry’s continuing efforts to compete with other fuels involve more ex tensive use of labor-saving equipment and have resulted in declining prices for most types of coal. Price reductions during the past year have ranged from 4% on domestic stoker coal to around 2% on larger domestic sizes and 1% or less on screenings for industrial use. Prices for high grade metal lurgical coal remained unchanged, but those for low and medium volatility grades decreased 1% or more. PH O TO CREDITS 6. & 7. West V irg in ia University; Morris H arvey Col lege; West V irginia W esleyan College; Shepherd College; Concord College 12. Bituminous C oal Institute.