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F E D E R A L RE SE RVE B A N K OF R I C H M O N D




M A Y 1959

C H A R LE S

CENTER

—a n o ta b le u rb an
re n e w a l p ro ject to re v ita liz e
22 a cre s in the h e art
o f D o w n to w n B a ltim o re .

Urban Renewal
One of the stock features of the Sunday news­
paper supplements for many years has been the
“City of Tomorrow.” Replete with sketches of
imaginary towering skyscrapers and speedways
that tunnel under as well as soar above the city,
these articles wipe out the slums and obsolescence
of our cities by the mere strokes of the artist's
brush and the writer’s pen.
This artistic and literary license is about the
only fanciful part of these Sunday newspaper
feature articles. Certainly the need for urban
innovation, renovation, and replacement is real.
There are few, if any, major cities in the nation
that do not sorely need to tear down and rebuild
large areas. Cities generally are marked by con­
siderable areas of slums and deteriorating resi­
dential and business structures. The process of
obsolescence in many areas of urban centers is
hastened by strangling street and highway sys­
2



tems and by inadequate parking facilities. The
nation’s cities are undergoing far-reaching changes
in their economic functions and structure that
merit, if not require, careful study. Few prob­
lems confronting the country are more serious or
pressing than those arising from the existence of
slums and the spread of blight and obsolescence.
Urban renewal programs are advanced by many
students of urban developments as a promising
solution to such problems.
The problem of slum clearance and urban re­
development is not, of course, a new one. It is
almost as old as cities themselves. It was not
until 10 years ago, however, that the first Federal
legislation was enacted that dealt directly with the
problem of slum clearance and urban redevelop­
ment. Title I of the Housing Act of 1949 author­
ized a Federal Government program of financial
assistance to urban communities on slum clearance

projects. The scope of Federal aid was soon
broadened, however, beyond the bounds of slum
clearance and redevelopment. In the Housing
Act of 1954 provisions were made for extending
Federal aid to localities for rehabilitating blighted
areas as well as clearing slums.
CITY-WIDE CONCEPT
The concept of urban re­
newal continues to broaden. It recognizes the
inadequacy and inefficiency of a piecemeal ap­
proach to the many problems already besetting our
urban centers as well as those which will develop
as the “population explosion” continues to change
our urban areas. The city is the sum of all its
parts, and the troubles and needs of these com­
ponents are best answered by treating them in the
framework of their interrelated association. In­
creasingly, it is recognized that an urban renewal
program influences and is influenced by almost
every phase of community activity.
Where the “City of Tomorrow” featured in the
Sunday newspaper supplement used to be pre­
sented as a revolutionary replacement of the city
of today, urban renewal now contemplates the
evolutionary development of the city in accordance
with the provisions of a master plan of clearance,
renovation, replacement, and new construction.
This is, of course, practical recognition of the facts
of urban growth and deterioration. There are
sections in all cities that have worn out and should
have long since been replaced. There are other

areas that are badly deteriorating but which do
not need to be replaced lock, stock, and barrel.
There are still other areas in many urban centers
that are new but whose favorable growth could
be better guided by plans to preclude maladjust­
ment with the rest of the city or to prevent the
onslaught of blight and obsolescence.
A COMPREHENSIVE PLAN
There are a number
of other aspects of a comprehensive program of
urban renewal for an urban center. Considera­
tion of the problem of slums and spreading blight,
for example, cannot be restricted to the downtown
areas. Unless checked, slums and substandard
business conditions will follow on the heels of the
surging growth of suburban parts of metropolitan
areas and outer areas of smaller urban centers.
Also, enactment of new zoning ordinances and
building codes and provision for their strict en­
forcement are necessary adjuncts of urban renewal
programs. Another aspect is the stimulation of
community do-it-yourself programs of renovation
and alteration. Experience has shown that if
a few home owners on a block can be persuaded
to set this ball rolling, the resistance of some
others on the block or nearby to making improve­
ments may be weakened considerably.
Urban renewal, or whatever term you choose
to call it, then, means a comprehensive, carefully
designed program for restoring, maintaining, and
developing an urban area. It embraces both pub-

The " b e fo re - a n d - a fte r" o f an u rb an re n e w a l p ro ject—one o f se v e ra l in B a ltim o re d esig n e d to im p ro ve liv in g an d b u sin ess co n d itio n s.




'WII'T "I'urr'iii,,,
"»J u u u n r in u u ji

lie and private projects, and pools private, local
government and Federal Government resources.
It is a long-range plan designed to achieve care­
fully selected economic and social objectives.
A final point that needs to be mentioned in
connection with the scope of an urban renewal
program is the necessity for selling it to the
citizens. Why it is needed; what will be done;
how, when, and where it will be done—all this has
had to be spelled out to home owners and business­
men. The over-all program, one of possible alter­
natives, including decentralization, of coping with
the problems involved, does not sell itself— despite
the economic advantages that may accrue in the
form of increased site and structure values, greater
tax revenues, lower fire, police, and welfare ex­
penditures in former slum and blighted areas, and
greater attractiveness to new industry.
The alternatives to the undertaking of urban
renewal programs by the cities of the nation have
been expressed by one expert in such dire terms
as “urban bankruptcy” and “state-administered
receiverships” leading finally to “social disorder,
disintegration, and economic chaos.”
RELIANCE ON PRIVATE FUNDS The reference in
the preceding section to a pooling of private and
local and Federal government resources needs
elaboration. The point does not need to be la­
bored that most urban renewal projects involve a
series of exceedingly costly projects. Professor
Isaacs of Harvard, an expert in the field of city
planning, estimated a couple of years ago that
depending on condition and market, “the costs of
rehabilitation and conservation of residential areas
are within a range of fifteen to one hundred million
dollars per square mile. The cost of razing a
square mile slum and rebuilding it for residential
purposes is in terms of two to three hundred mil­
lion dollars i>er square mile.”
Obviously, most local public and private inter­
ests need a helping hand in financing urban re­
newal projects. Aid in a number of forms may
be obtained from the Federal Government through
provisions of the Housing Act of 1949 dealing
with slum clearance and broadened by the Act of
1954 to include aid for slum prevention. Private
investors must be persuaded to purchase cleared
land, invest in new construction, and renovate
existing properties. Such private outlays are
made, of course, in the expectation of their re­
covery and the realization of net profits. Capital
grants from the Federal Government, on the other
hand, are not directly recoverable. Federal as­
4



sistance, however, appears necessary in many cases
to provide through loans and grants the tremen­
dous sums required for purchasing property, de­
molishing structures, and relocating residents.
COMMUNITY COMMITMENT
The principal re­
quirement a city must fulfill to qualify for Federal
aid is the formulation of a “workable program” of
urban renewal. This is “a community’s own
long-range practical guide to achieve civic face
lifting, to rid itself of blighted neighborhoods, pre­
vent recurrence of urban decay, improve building
and housing standards, and prepare for orderly
municipal growth.”
In order to meet the requirements for approval
of its workable program, a locality must commit
itself to the attainment of the following objectives :
(1) a comprehensive community plan; (2) adop­
tion and enforcement of adequate building and
welfare codes and ordinances; (3) a detailed
analysis of blighted neighborhoods to determine
treatment ; (4) establishment of an administrative
organization to carry out the program ; ( 5) state­
ment of the provisions made for meeting its share
of the costs ; (6) plans for housing displaced fami­
lies ; and (7) community-wide citizen participa­
tion and support.
Upon approval of the workable program, the
urban renewal project becomes a joint venture of
the locality and the Federal Government. The
city may then avail itself of any or all of a number
of financial and technical aids offered by the Fed­
eral Government. These include planning loans
and grants, temporary and long-term loans, and
capital grants to help defray the net cost of pro­
jects. This is usually the difference between the
return received from the sale of cleared land to
private interests and the total cost of carrying out
the project. Other Federal assistance includes
relocation payments to families and businesses,
mortgage insurance, and grants for developing
techniques for prevention and elimination of slums
and blight.
FIFTH DISTRICT PROJECTS
The latest tally shows
that at the end of last year, 392 communities in
41 states, the District of Columbia, Hawaii, and
Puerto Rico had completed, were planning, or
were carrying out 685 urban renewal projects.
The distribution of Fifth District projects at that
time is shown in the following table.
Md. D.C. Ya. W.Va. N.C. S.C.
Planned 5 4 7
1
5 1
In process 5 5 8
Completed 2

Like

m a n y other citie s, N o rfo lk

s u ffe rs fro m

tra ffic -c ro w d e d

All 12 Maryland projects are in Baltimore. This
city was one of the nation’s pioneers in urban re­
newal and is the first in the nation to designate its
entire downtown district as an urban renewal area.
It is now planning a $127 million project, Charles
Center, for the revitalization of 22 acres in the
heart of its downtown district. This project is a
story in itself and will be the subject of an article
in an early issue of the M o n th ly R e v ie w .
The nine projects listed for the District of
Columbia are the latest steps in the 14-year his­
tory of its urban renewal program. Extensive
renewal projects are under way in the 550-acre
southwest area of Washington, and a plan has
been drawn for a 10-year, $117,500,000 program
to renovate an 830-acre urban renewal area in the
northwest section. The urban renewal program
is based on the comprehensive master plan for the
City of Washington as prepared and amended
from time to time by the National Planning Com­
mission.
NORFOLK MOVES AHEAD
Of the 15 projects
credited to Virginia, seven are in the planning
stage and eight are being executed. Plans for
urban renewal are in the making at Charlottesville,
Danville, Harrisonburg, Norfolk, Portsmouth, and
South Norfolk. 1959 additions to this list are
Alexandria and Richmond, both currently work­
ing on plans for extensive slum clearance.



n a rro w stre e ts.

U rb an re n e w a l op ened up th is im p o rtan t th ro u g h fa re ,

Four of the eight Virginia plans in process are
being carried out in Norfolk. The massive face­
lifting job started there in 1948 with a study of
slum clearance and redevelopment has resulted in
the clearing and redevelopment of 465 acres and
the relocation in better quarters of 5,568 families.
The latest program started is designed to rebuild
the central business district. Over 800 old resi­
dential and business buildings will be torn down
to make room for a 17-acre civic center, commer­
cial center, parking facilities, new and widened
streets, office buildings, and a new shopping center.
Other urban renewal projects are in process in
Danville, Newport News, Richmond and Roanoke.
The remaining seven projects in the Fifth Dis­
trict were all in the planning stage at the end of
1958. In W est Virginia, Fairmont was working
on plans for a project approved November 1956.
Five cities in North Carolina were getting ready
to start on projects that were approved during
1958. They are Charlotte, Fayetteville, Greensboro,
Raleigh, and Winston-Salem. In South Carolina,
Spartanburg had plans ready for execution pend­
ing passage of enabling legislation by the state
legislature. South Carolina has not enacted legis­
lation permitting its local governments to partici­
pate in urban renewal projects receiving financial
aid from the Federal Government.
5




Farmers Plan Larger Crop Acreages
Farmers' plans for the 1959 planting season point to another year of big crop
production in the Fifth District.

Total acreage of the principal crops planted or

grown in 1959 is now expected to exceed last year's by 1,020,000 acres or 7%.
This outlook for larger crop plantings is based on the U. S. Department of Agri­
culture's March survey of farmers' intended spring plantings, the acreages seeded
to winter wheat, and estimates of the acreage that will be planted to cotton.
Most of the intended boost is due to the expiration of the Soil Bank's acreage
reserve, under which about 1,000,000 acres of District cropland were banked
in 1958.

Other factors in the prospective increase are the new cotton legisla­

tion permitting farmers to overplant their allotments by 40%, removal of corn
allotments in the commercial corn-producing counties, and growers' disapproval
of Maryland tobacco marketing quotas for this year.
These factors, together with virtually unchanged allotments on other controlled
crops, provided the background against which District farmers have planned
this year's operations.

Highlights of what can be expected from their tentative

plans are reported below.

Farmers, of course, may change their thinking and

plant more—or less—than is presently indicated.

PEANUTS Growers expect to
plant about the same acreage
as last year.




SOYBEANS Plans are for the
largest acreage to date—up 3%
from last year and 50% above
the 1948-57 average.

WHEAT Considerably more acreage—15% above last year—w as
seeded for the 1959 crop.

POTATOES Farmers intend to
cut Irish potato acreage 9%
and
increase sweet
potato
plantings slightly.

Bank Emergency
Planning
It’s D-day plus 7. The enemy struck hard,
destroying large sectors of our productive capacity.
A dangerous blanket of radiation enshrouds twothirds of the country. Millions of Americans are
dead. Banks holding half our deposits have been
knocked out, and currency is in short supply.
Depositors clamor for money ; borrowers beg for
emergency loans. Financial panic threatens.
Horrible sounding, isn’t it? If such an attack
should come, we’d retaliate with equal vengeance,
to be sure. But recovery at best would be a back­
breaking job. It would be virtually impossible
unless the banking system had prepared before­
hand to withstand the blow. A nation without
money is a nation defeated. Its business grinds
to a halt. Its production stops. Its war ma­
chinery cannot operate.
PLANNING AT THE TOP OF THE PYRAMID
Rec­
ognizing the vital military significance of our pay­
ments mechanism, the Office of Defense Mobiliza­
tion in early 1956 directed that the Federal Re­
serve in cooperation with the Treasury, the Fed­
eral Deposit Insurance Corporation, and “others”
develop “national security preparedness programs
relating to the operation of the banking system.”
Even prior to this order, the Federal Reserve
had begun to take steps to protect its own opera­
tions in the event of attack. It has now estab­
lished duplicate records centers, stockpiled cur­
rency, selected relocation sites, adopted manage­
8




ment continuity programs, distributed emergency
operating circulars, made arrangements for com­
mercial banks to assist in check collection if the
need should arise, laid careful plans for the pro­
tection of its own personnel, and conducted several
trial alerts. The program is constantly being re­
viewed and updated.
GUIDES TO PLANNING
At the national level
also, two committees formed under authority of
the Office of Defense Moblization order—the Ad­
visory Committee on Commercial Bank Prepared­
ness and the Banking Committee on Emergency
Operations—have brought together some of the
nation’s leading bankers to work out emergency
planning procedures for commercial banks.
Realizing that the ultimate success of the pre­
paredness plan depends upon the managements of
individual commercial banks, the committees have
published a series of five booklets entitled P r e ­
p a red n ess P ro g ra m fo r E m e r g e n c y O p era tio n s in
B a n k in g to guide individual banks in setting up

their own pre-attack programs. Topics covered
include organizing and administering a program,
personnel protection, continuity of management,
alternate headquarters, the safeguarding of physi­
cal properties, and the storage of duplicate records.
Copies of each of the booklets have been sent
to every bank. Additional booklets describing
post-attack operating procedures will also be dis­
tributed as soon as they have been completed.

COMMERCIAL BANK PLANNING The pre-attack
booklets stress that a bank should begin its pre­
paredness program by appointing a capable and
imaginative officer to take charge of its defense
planning. He should have the full approval of
top management and must be given enough time
and authority to handle the job properly.
Once the go-ahead signal has been given, the
next step is the careful construction of a program
to fit the needs of the particular bank. The plans
should be put in writing so as to minimize mis­
understanding and inform personnel of their duties
in case of attack. It’s a good idea to place copies
in strategic locations so that at least one set of
instructions will always be available. Once the
plan has been adopted, it may be advisable to run
practice tests from time to time in order to iron
out any possible kinks.
PERSONNEL PROTECTION It is essential that the
bank make careful provisions for personnel pro­
tection. This obviously must include procedures
for providing shelter, for evacuating personnel,
and for supplying food, water, and medicine as
long as dangerous fallout is present. It’s also wise
to consider how special post-attack services such
as information concerning relatives, injury allow­
ances, temporary financial assistance, emergency
food, and adequate medical care might be made
available. Personnel ought to be trained before­
hand in personal safety practices to be used in the
event of attack.
CONTINUITY OF OPERATIONS
Carefully con­
sidered arrangements for management continuity
and alternate headquarters are also necessary if a
bank is to resume operations promptly following
attack. There should be procedures for replacing
directors, appointing new officers, and transferring
authority from one employee to another. Such
plans will probably call for some revisions in by­
laws beforehand.
Alternate headquarters should always be estab­
lished at locations thought likely to be safe in the
event the bank is destroyed. In some cases a cor­
respondent bank may agree to provide space, and
in other instances one of the bank’s branch offices
may be the most suitable spot. Often it’s most
economical for clearing house associations to joint­
ly establish a single relocation and records storage
site for the use of all members. Reciprocal ar­
rangements between two banks located far enough
apart to offer hope of continuity of operations also
offer good possibilities. Where practical, it’s a
good idea to select a second alternate headquarters




in case the first is wiped out. As a minimum, a
bank should have a predesignated point of rendez­
vous where surviving personnel can regroup fol­
lowing an attack.
PROTECTING PHYSICAL PROPERTY It’s essential
that a bank plan how to safeguard important types
of assets—cash, negotiable securities, and the like.
Vault storage is probably the best choice in most
cases if the vault is reasonably fire-, water-, and
explosion-proof. Personnel should be instructed
beforehand where to place important assets for
maximum protection during and after attack.
DUPLICATE OR ALTERNATIVE RECORDS
Quite
obviously, safeguarding important records is also
a vital part of any pre-attack planning. Each bank
ought to inventory its records to determine the
information that would be needed to reconstruct
its balance sheet position. Carbon copies, micro­
films, or photostats of each of those records should
then be made, kept up to date, and stored in a
carefully selected location, preferably the reloca­
tion center. Commercial underground storage
vaults that rent space for just such purposes are
also available.
AFTER AN ATTACK
Many of the post-attack
measures would depend upon Federal Reserve
decisions as to check collection, currency handling
procedures, and the like. But the key fact would
be that each commercial bank would still be ex­
pected to continue many of its present operations:
check collection, paying out and receiving money,
and extending credit. In addition, it might be
asked to perform several functions now conducted
by the Federal Reserve and the Treasury—to act
as a fiscal agent, to operate emergency check cleariiig groups, and the like. The utmost in manage­
ment flexibility would be required, because no one
can fully foresee the demands upon bank manage­
ment that would result from nuclear war.
IN SUMMARY Should an enemy launch a sneak
attack, most authorities believe wre would be able
to deliver at least an equally devastating blow.
But it seems almost certain that every nation in­
volved would be so badly hit that each would have
to do an almost complete rebuilding job.
In such a case, the victor would be the country
that rebounded most quickly from the initial blow.
Vital to such a recovery would be an efficient
monetary and credit mechanism. Hence, more
and more efforts are being devoted to means for
assuring that the commercial banking system be
able to operate as fully and as usefully as possible
in the event of attack.
9

The Fifth District
Recent weeks have brought news of renewed
vigor in the Fifth District economy. Employment,
paced by the textile industries, made good gains in
March. Manufacturing man-hours showed a January-March increase of 3%. Bituminous coal
continued as the largest dark spot in the District
picture; output through mid-April showed no
gains from the lows of the winter months.
THE CONSUMER
The postwar recessions have
been marked by the strong resistance offered by
consumers to cutbacks in their spending. Even as
employment declined and personal income dropped,
the consumer went right ahead with his buy­
ing and provided an important element of stability
to the economy.
This was a noteworthy aspect of the 1957-58
recession. Employment dropped sharply, but con­
sumer spending on nondurable goods fluctuated
gently around peak levels and then moved upward.
Outlays for services scarcely paused in their con­
tinuing postwar expansion, with each period’s total
rising higher than the one before. Only in pur­
chases of durables did a real decline occur: auto­
mobile sales dropped significantly, reflecting quite
likely many factors other than changes in income
and prospects.
The consumer in the Fifth District fared well
or poorly over the past two years according to his
location and occupation. If he was one of the
84.000 miners of W est Virginia, he had a one-infive chance of losing his job and being still unem­
ployed in early 1959. A Federal Government
worker, on the other hand, stood a good chance
of holding his place through the recession; if he
did, he received in mid-1958 a 10% raise, retro­
active to January of that year. As one of the
400.000 textile workers in the Virginia-Carolinas
Piedmont area, the District consumer might have
faced a shortened work-week or a layoff in the
decline of activity that dated back to the spring of
1956. In the more volatile lines of durable goods
manufacturing and contract construction, he stood
a one-in-ten chance of a layoff.
W ith variations among the states of the District,
the consumer who worked in wholesale and retail
trade found his job stable through the recession,
and the numbers of his fellow employees quickly
increased as recovery came. Service workers—
doctors and dentists, engineers and educators,
household workers and hospital staffs, auto me­
10



chanics and appliance repairmen, barbers and
beauticians—make up about 10% of District em­
ployment. This group of producers of intangibles
posted a well-nigh consistent record of gains in
employment throughout the recession and the year
of recovery and expansion that has followed. This
was a factor of strength in the District economy,
for rising employment carried with it increasing
income as the basis for added spending. In addi­
tion, this growing level of service employment gave
clear evidence that the District consumer—like the
national composite householder—kept right on in­
creasing his purchases of services.
On the other hand, in the areas where unem­
ployment increased, it brought into action one of
the built-in economic stabilizers. Unemployment
compensation, which had been running at a month­
ly rate of $5-$9 million in District states, started
to rise in the closing months of 1957. By the
spring of 1958, these payments reached a rate of
$22 million per month. They then declined as
benefits expired and as the unemployed began to
be reabsorbed into jobs.
Wages depend on hours worked and pay rates as
well as on the fact of employment. Manufacturing
work-weeks shrank as output declined in 1957, but
the low point had been passed in the average work­
week for each of the District states by April 1958
(which was also the national low), and steady
gains had brought these averages back to prerecession levels by early 1959. Widespread wage
rate increases have come with recovery. In addi­
tion to the 10% scale raise for classified Govern­
ment workers, there have recently been increases
for bituminous coal miners, textile workers, and
furniture makers, as well as a number of smaller
groups.
The combination of increased employment, a
longer work-week, and higher wages have con­
tributed to increased wages and salaries for con­
sumers. In addition, larger social security pay­
ments have added appreciably to personal income
receipts: in fiscal 1958 these payments in the
District were up 27% over the previous year.
B u sin e ss W e e k estimates that January-February
personal income in the District states increased by
4.2% (Virginia) to 8.8% (N orth Carolina) in
1959 over 1958. These are substantial increases
and have been reflected in consumer buying.
Increased buying has shown up in larger depart­

ment store sales. These had peaked in August
1957 (seasonally adjusted) and then quickly de­
clined in step with decreasing activity. A rise
started in March of last year, however, and by
August a new peak had been reached. Since then
sales have fluctuated around a level well above that
of early 1957.
The declines in department store sales had been
particularly marked in departments selling such
durables as refrigerators, washing machines, and
other major appliances. Consumers did not in­
crease their buying of these items in 1958, how­
ever, and the strength in total sales came from
new increases in soft goods.
An interesting insight into consumer optimism
in the District is provided by sales figures on two
lines always believed to be particularly vulnerable
to pessimism. Sales of silverware and jewelry
and of sporting goods and cameras appear to have
been untouched by the downturn and recovery in
business and employment.
New housing for the Fifth District consumer
gave a boost to the District economy in 1958. As
in the country as a whole, contract awards for new
homes had declined from their high level of early
1955. An upturn started in the spring of 1958,
and by midyear the dollar volume of new contracts
wras fluctuating around the highest level it had held
for any period of several months. As the new
year got under way, these awards were below last
year’s peaks, but the first three months produced
the highest total of any first quarter since 1955.
From the evidence at hand, one conclusion
stands out: the Fifth District consumer, having
generally fared comparatively well in the recession,
made a contribution to the recovery through main­
taining his spending. Further, as recovery turned
to prosperity, he registered his vote for a favorable
outlook through spending for immediate wants and
contracting for new homes.
TEXTILES
The District’s largest manufacturing
employer, the textile industry, continued on its up­
ward course during April. Usually April is one
of the slowest months in the year; new orders
received by mills generally shrink and inventories
expand. The situation was quite different this
year. Steady rates of production have been main­
tained as day-to-day orders continued to be re­
ceived in greater volume than usual. In addition,
there was an increased willingness of buyers to
place orders for third and fourth quarter deliveries
at current prices. Previously they had been hold­
ing off, hoping for lower prices. Supplies of gray



goods for immediate and early shipment continued
to be very scarce and limited selling to a consider­
able extent. The market summary of these vari­
ous developments was spelled out in firm prices—
again contrary to the seasonal tendency—with in­
creases for some items bought in large volume for
third quarter delivery.
Despite an impressive across-the-board improve­
ment in orders and production, employment in
District mills has risen only slightly. The most
recent figure available showed the March total
only 1.8% above the low of 380,600 last July. A
better reflection of the industry’s improvement has
been the growth of man-hours. Adjusted for sea­
sonal influences, this production indicator in
March was almost 11% higher than its low point
in April 1958.
Another facet of textiles’ improved position is
the sharp decline in mill inventories of cotton
goods from the overstocked peak last July. This,
together with the increase in new orders, has re­
The p a st recession had little e ffe ct on consum er spen d in g
b e a u ty sh o p s, b o w lin g

a lle y s , g a ra g e s

in

or fo r other se rvice s.

11

suited in a substantial reduction in the significant
ratio of inventories to new orders. The most
recent national data made available by the Ameri­
can Cotton Manufacturers Institute show that in
February this ratio was at its lowest point since
April 1956. The February ratio was only onehalf what it was a year earlier.
As expected, all these favorable developments
have enabled the textile industry to realize greater
profits. Mill margins, the difference between the
price of a pound of cotton to the mill and the price
it receives from the sale of cloth, have improved
steadily since last summer. Between last July
and this past March, the mill margin rose 5.2 cents.
This increasing advantage and a rising volume of
sales have hit the mills where it pleases them most
-—increased profits. The rate of increase in profits
for the textile industry since the low point of the
first quarter of 1958 has far exceeded the percent­
age increase for all manufacturing industries.
However, textiles wrere in a recession much earlier
and longer than manufacturing business in general.
BITUMINOUS COAL
Mine production to midApril showed no sign of a recovery from the lower
levels that have prevailed since January. Over­
seas shipments out of District ports likewise re­
main at quite low7 levels, reflecting the continuing
restrictions on American coal imposed abroad.
There is news of two types of price develop­
ments that affect coal. One involves lower coal
prices and lower shipping rates as the means of
improving coal’s competitive position. The other
deals with expectations of higher prices for No. 6
fuel oil—the principal competing fuel for electricity
generation—as a result of lower imports of petro­
leum.
FURNITURE The furniture manufacturers of the
Carolinas and Virginia continued their good level
of operations through March. New orders were
large, and the backlog of unfilled orders, though
down from February, was above any month-end in
1958. Man-hours worked in District furniture
factories, after seasonal correction, rose 1% to a
total that was nearly one-fifth ahead of March
1958.
The Spring Furniture Market was the center of
much interest, with a large attendance unofficially
reported. Manufacturers indicated considerable
satisfaction with the volume of orders written dur­
ing the Market.
12




CONSTRUCTION
The value of contracts awarded
in March for future construction in the District
declined almost an eighth from February on a sea­
sonally adjusted basis. Total contracts awarded
have been declining since last August, with Janu­
ary the only month to halt the downward trend
temporarily. Nevertheless, the March volume was
6% higher than the year-ago level, chalking up the
best March performance on record. First quarter
awards were 13% higher than a year ago.
The big drops in contracts awarded between
February and March came in residential and pub­
lic w'orks and utilities, where declines of 20% each
wrere recorded. Despite this month-to-month de­
cline in residential awards, the first quarter was
more than one-fourth above the same period last
year. Nonresidential building awards in March
declined just 3% from the February level, while
the first quarter rose above a year ago by 9%.
A bright spot in the construction picture was
the 1.2% rise in construction employment, season­
ally adjusted, from February to March—a larger
gain than scored by any other major industry
group.
BANKING District member bank loan demand,
ordinarily quite strong in March and April, this
year has been spectacular. Borrowing has been
quite heavy since early March, and banks have
been forced to liquidate Government securities and
to tap the Federal Reserve discount window more
often as a result of the increased loan pressures.
Business, real estate, and consumer loans—the
three most important categories—have all con­
tributed impressively to the increases. Business
loans in March and April surpassed even their
1955 and 1956 performances, and real estate loans
were almost as strong. Consumer loans, the
boomiest of them all, have chalked up remarkable
gains almost every week since early March.

P H O T O C R E D IT S
C o v e r—D istrict
A gency
B a ltim o re

of

2 . The

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C o m m ittee ,

In c.

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- B a ltim o re

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A g e n cy

5 . N o rfo lk

H o using A u th o rity

R e d e ve lo p m e n t

C o u n cil

of

the

3. H isto ric
U rb an

A m e ric a n

Renew al

R e d e ve lo p m e n t

6 . U . S. D. A . P h o to g ra p h

F re d ric's B e a u ty S a lo n .

Land

G re a te r

an d
an d
11.