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F E D E R A L R E S E R VE B A N K OF R I C H M O N D



M A R C H 1959

A New Look In Business Finance
The sweet potato, Mr. Webster says, is “a large,
thick, sweet, and mealy tuberous root, which is
cooked and eaten as a vegetable.” To the people
of Williamston, a small Eastern North Carolina
town, it’s much more than that. It’s a source of
110 jobs and weekly payrolls of $8,000 several
months of the year and a means to a more profit­
able use of nearby farm land.
H ere’s how it all came about. A few years ago
Williamston—like so many other small towns—
was scoring zero in its efforts to attract new in­
dustry. There were several small manufacturing
plants, but jobs were scarce. Workers were leav­
ing town, and tobacco acreages had just been cut
drastically. Townspeople, farmers—everyone—
agreed that new industry was needed and needed
badly. The trouble was that no one knew exactly
what to do.
Then the people decided to grab the bull by the
horns and establish their own factory. The re­
sult was Martindale Foods, Incorporated—a suc­
cessful Eastern Carolina owned sweet potato canner whose market area already covers most of
Southeastern United States. And there’s more
to come. Already Martindale plans to double in
size through the sale of new stock, the acquisition
of another plant in adjoining Halifax County, and
the addition of more vegetables to the company
line. Almost everyone in the area has felt the
beneficial effects of its operations.
A typical success story? To a large degree it
is, but the establishment of the Martindale factory
involved an interesting new angle—a loan from
the privately owned Business Development Cor­
poration of North Carolina. Conventional lenders
were not equipped to provide the needed risk capi­
tal, so the project threatened to bog down from
lack of funds before it got rolling. The Develop­
ment Corporation was contacted; it examined
Martindale’s prospects carefully, liked them, and
extended the credit necessary to launch the opera­
tions. W ithin a year, their faith in Martindale
had been vindicated; the loan had been fully re­
paid with proceeds from a larger longer term loan
from a conventional lender.
DEVELOPMENT CREDIT CORPORATIONS
The
Martindale story typifies the work of state-wide



2

development credit corporations—the providing of
risk capital to industrial firms that are unable to
meet the standards for conventional long-term
credit. State development corporations are en­
tirely privately owned and financed, but they
have the quasi-public responsibility of fostering
state economic development and are actively en­
couraged by the chartering states. Almost all aid
is extended in the form of direct loans to firms,
but some states also permit direct stock purchases,
acquisition of plants for sale or lease to prospec­
tive customers, and loans to other development
groups.
State development credit corporations should
not be confused with state development credit au­
thorities, local development corporations, or small
business investment companies established under
the provisions of the Small Business Investment
Act of 1958. State-wide development credit au­
thorities— such as the Pennsylvania Industrial
Development Authority—have much the same pur­
pose but are state authorities financed largely by
state funds. Local development corporations—
though similar in many respects—engage in more
diverse development activities and confine their
operations to a small part of the state. The small
business investment companies will provide funds
only for small businesses, will not necessarily oper­
ate over an entire state or within a single state, and
may obtain a large part of their funds from the
Small Business Administration.
ORIGINS AND PRESENT STATUS State wide de­
velopment credit corporations are a New England
innovation. Maine organized the first in 1949;
New Plampshire authorized one a couple of years
later; and Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Rhode
Island followed suit in 1953. New York, Wiscon­
sin, Vermont, and North Carolina have since
formed corporations.
These nine are still the only active state-wide
development credit corporations, but a number of
other states are about ready to join the fold.
Some have already chartered their corporations,
others have passed enabling acts, and still more
are devoting serious thought to the idea.

The Fifth District, following North Carolina’s
lead, is taking quite an active part in the move­
ment. South Carolina has already chartered a
corporation and hopes to begin accepting loan ap­
plications by midyear. A bill to charter a West
Virginia development corporation is now pending
before the legislature, and Maryland is actively
considering establishing a corporation. An ena­
bling bill was introduced in the Maryland legisla­
ture a few years ago, but no action was taken.
OWNERSHIP AND CONTROL
S to c k h o ld e rs of
state-wide development corporations typically in­
clude not only individuals but also businesses and
other organizations interested in state economic
development. The average corporation has some
313 stockholders and $311,000 in outstanding com­
mon stock, but there are large variations among
states. The Wisconsin corporation, for example,
has around 110 stockholders and has issued only
$25,000 worth of stock. North Carolina’s develop­
ment corporation—the largest of the corporations
in terms of outstanding capital stock—has 1,860
stockholders and has sold all its authorized capital
stock, $1,000,000. The South Carolina _ corporatlOll proposes to issue $250,000 worth of stock.

O ne b o rro w e r fro m The Busin ess D e velo pm en t C o rp o ratio n
of N orth C a ro lin a m a n u fa c tu re s this b e a u tifu l ceram ic tile .

O f f ic ia ls o f sta te business d eve lo p m e n t co rp o ratio n s fre q u e n tly discuss p la n t lo catio n a n d o p e ra tio n s w ith th e ir b o rro w in g cu sto m ers.




3

Development corporations borrow substantial
additional funds from commercial banks, mutual
savings banks, savings and loan associations, in­
surance companies, and other financial institutions
known as “members.” These lenders pledge to
extend the corporations a certain amount of credit
—often at a preferential rate—and frequently
donate their services in credit investigations of
loan applicants. Usually development corpora­
tions’ borrowings are limited to 8-10 times their
capital and a single member’s participation to about
2 c/c of its capital and surplus.
The North Carolina stipulations are fairly typi­
cal. The Development Corporation is granted the
right to borrow up to 10 times its outstandingcapital stock at an interest rate not less than *4 ot"
1°/c above the then prevailing prime rate on un­
secured commercial loans. Limits on member
participation are : commercial banks, 2 c/c of own
capital and surplus ; building and loan associations,
J/2 of 1% of outstanding loans; fire insurance com­
panies, .V /c of assets; other stock insurance com­
panies, 1c/o of capital and unassigned surplus; and
other mutual insurance companies, 1c/o of un­
assigned surplus.
Control of state-wide development credit cor­
porations rests in the hands of a board of directors
elected by both members and stockholders. Dayto-day operations—like those of any corporation
—are conducted by a slate of appointed officials.
As a rule, member corporations elect around twothirds of the board members, the percentage vary­
ing from state to state. Stockholders have one
vote per share ; members typically have one vote
plus an additional vote for loan limits in excess of
a specified figure.
The North Carolina corporation has 21 direc­
tors, two-thirds of whom are elected by member
institutions. Stockholders are allowed one vote
per share, and members have one vote for each
$1,000 in their loan limits.
MEMBER PARTICIPATION
The corporations have
had reasonably good success in encouraging par­
ticipation by member institutions—by far their
largest source of funds. At the end of 1958, the
nine active corporations had 684 institutional mem­
bers—an average of 76 per state. Five hundred
ten of these were commercial banks, 99 were sav­
ings banks, 30 were insurance companies, and 45

S ta te -w id e d eve lo p m e n t cre d it co rp o ratio n s a re ch arte re d un der
sp e cial le g isla tiv e acts o f the sta te s in w h ich they a re lo cated .


4


were miscellaneous financial institutions. In all
they had pledged to lend upon request $35.2 mil­
lion, of which the corporations had called $15.2
million. Outstanding stock at the time totaled
$2.8 million.
The Business Development Credit Corporation
of North Carolina now has 139 members with
aggregate loan limits of $4,465,000. Of this total,
$2,444,000 is pledged by 92 commercial banks,
$1,003,000 by 12 life insurance companies, and
$1,018,000 by 35 savings and loan associations.
The Corporation has already called $1,232,000 of
the $4,465,000.
THE CUSTOMERS Borrowers from state develop­
ment credit corporations are firms that are unable
to obtain conventional financing. They must be
considered good moral risks and must show
reasonable promise but are not compelled to have
as much capital or collateral as most lenders re­
quire. Some are large; some are sm all; almost
all are manufacturers. A few are entirely new
firms, others are moving in from out of state or
establishing a branch, and the rest are state firms
attempting to expand or improve operations.
Typical of these are the following companies
that have obtained credit at The Business Develop­
ment Corporation of North Carolina: manufac­
turers of industrial machinery and equipment,
ceramic tile, industrial and medical gases, special
metals and alloys, paper products, textiles, wood
products ; owners of grain storage facilities; and
processors of poultry, soybeans, vegetables, meat

and seafood, and dehydrated alfalfa. Loans have
varied in size from $2,000 to $400,000.
TYPES OF LOANS
Customers o f development
credit corporations borrow for a variety of pur­
poses. Around 69% of the loans of the North
Carolina corporation have been for the construc­
tion of new or expanded plants, 17 c/o have fi­
nanced machinery and equipment, 12 c/c have sup­
plied working capital, and 2 c/c have provided funds
for refinancing existing indebtedness.
Loan terms vary considerably to meet the needs
of the individual borrower. North Carolina loans
have averaged $83,000, about typical of those in
other states. Ordinarily, loans are secured by
first and second mortgages on real estate, chattel
mortgages, assignment of accounts receivable and
life insurance, securities, and various other assets.
Some, however, are not secured. Loans generally
run for 5 years or more and are often repayable
in monthly or quarterly instalments. Interest rates
vary but usually are in the neighborhood of 6 -7 °/o ,
plus in some cases certain additional service costs
the first year.
OPERATING EXPERIENCE
Development c re d it
corporations so far have had quite good loan ex­
perience, to a large degree because of their careful
screening of loan applications. By December 31
last year, they had made 398 loans totaling $28.9
million and had incurred only 5 losses—a mere
$94,015. Maine, New Hampshire, and Connecti­
cut were the only states that had experienced any




losses at all. None of the North Carolina loans
even have delinquent instalments at the present
time.
Aggregate loans outstanding at the end of last
year were $19.1 million, several times the level
a few years ago when only a small number of cor­
porations were in operation. Massachusetts had
the largest volume of loans—$7.0 million—quite a
bit ahead of the second place New York’s $5.9
million. North Carolina—with over $2 million—
fell third in line.
Development corporations would undoubtedly be
larger if they did not place economic development
ahead of profits. They do not compete with other
lenders, they make every effort to place loans with
conventional financial institutions so as to conserve
corporation funds, and they encourage borrowers
to shift financing to other lenders once the opera­
tion becomes a suitable risk for such institutions.
Most development corporations—despite the
low interest rates they charge—have been able to
report profits in recent years as a result of efficient
operations, low borrowing rates, free credit assist­
ance from members, and in some cases state tax
remission. The North Carolina corporation, for
example, has been in the black every year since it
began operations.
The corporations so far have added nearly all
profits to loss reserves, and no corporation has yet
paid a dividend. Because of the public service
nature of their operations, many authorities doubt
that dividends will ever be paid. Most stock­
holders expect none.
THE FUTURE
The growth in the number of devel­
opment credit corporations seems assured for some
time. Most states have considered the idea, and
several corporations will probably launch opera­
tions before long. It seems less likely that exist­
ing corporations will expand much because of the
increasing difficulty in selling stock. Although
all are quite small, some are now near their loan
limits so that further growth will require the sale
of additional stock, transferring “seasoned” loans
to conventional lenders, increasing permissible
member contributions, or going “public” by bor­
rowing from the Small Business Administration.
Other major questions concerning their future
include the effect of small business investment com­
panies upon their operations, their abilities to
withstand a protracted business decline should one
develop, and the extent to which they encounter
competition from Government lending agencies.
5

HOUSING
AIDS
RECOVERY

HOUSING STARTS The number of houses started
began an expansion in April 1958 which reached
a four-year high by year-end. Demand for new
houses strengthened just as the recession reached
bottom and provided a timely contribution to the
gathering forces of recovery. Home construction
thus reaffirmed its role as a counteracting force
to economic decline, having cushioned recession
and abetted recovery in 1948-50 and 1953-55.

V a lu e o f m o rtg ag e s o f $ 2 0 ,0 0 0 or less record ed per month fro m A u g u st
1957 th ro u g h O cto b e r 1958

$ B illio n s
1957

1958

20

19

18

17

.

1

L .......J------ S—

1

1

1

1 — i . ____1----- 1----- 1----- 1----- 1----- 1----- 1-----

M on th ly v a lu e o f n e w re s id e n tia l co n stru ctio n , A u g u st
1 958, in se a s o n a lly ad ju ste d a n n u a l rate s




195 7 —D ecem ber

Spending fo r re sid e n tia l b u ild in g in th ree recession s is sh o w n in m onthly
p erce n tag e ch a n g e s, a ccu m u late d fro m the b eg in n in g of each recession

M illio n s

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1
1.0

N u m b er o f n e w houses starte d each m onth from A u g u st 1957 thro u gh
D ecem b er 1 958, e xp re sse d as s e a s o n a lly a d ju ste d a n n u a l rate

Housing sta rts in th re e p o s tw a r recession s a re sh o w n in these m o n th ly
p erce n tag e ch a n g e s, a ccu m u la te d fro m the b eg in n in g o f e ach recession

MORTGAGE RECORDINGS Investors found mort­
gages to be increasingly attractive outlets for
their funds in late 1957 and early 1958 as inter­
est rates on corporate and Government securities
declined. Greater availability of mortgage credit
proved vital in accelerating home-building activ­
ity in 1958, as it had in the two earlier postwar
recessions.

RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION E X P E N D I T U R E S
Spending for new residential construction put
more money to work in the economy in 1958
than in any prior year except 1955. Expendi­
tures on home construction began to expand last
summer and contributed to recovery from the
1957-58 recession. In the two earlier periods
they began to increase as recession progressed,
thus providing an offset to declining activity.




Cotton Dethroned In District
The story of Fifth District cotton is a story of
change—long-run growth and more recent de­
cline. Last year’s crop was the smallest since
1878. Yields per acre were at an all-time high,
but the acreage from which the crop was produced
was the smallest since the records began in 1866.
AN EARLY CROP
Cotton was first grown in the
Fifth District by the Jamestown colonists, and
from their experimental plantings, cultivation of
the crop gradually moved southward into the
Carolinas. Despite this early beginning, cotton
was grown primarily for home use throughout the
colonial period and did not become a major crop
until after the Revolutionary War.
Production then increased in response to rising
demand. The English invention of power weav­
ing and spinning machinery had created a growing
demand for raw cotton from England’s textile
mills, and the American invention of the cotton
gin, making possible faster separation of the seed
from the lint, made it easier to supply this new
demand with American cotton. Tobacco, prin­
cipal District crop of the colonial period, had begun
to decline because the soil had become exhausted
from the constant planting of tobacco. Indigo and
rice, other important colonial crops, had become
increasingly unprofitable. The labor which had
been used in growing these crops could be profit­
ably used in producing cotton, and farmers eagerly
seized the chance to produce the new crop.
S u p p lie s of cotton g re a te r th an d em an d h a v e resu lted in la rg e
stocks a g a in s t w h ic h p rice -su p p o rt lo an s h a v e been m ad e .


8


As cotton production expanded, the cottongrowing area became a one-crop economy devoted
almost exclusively to the production of cotton as
a source of income. The expansion was tem­
porarily interrupted by the W ar Between the
States, which disrupted production, freed the slave
labor force, and brought in its wake the break­
down of the plantation way of life. The needs of
cotton production led to the development of the
farm tenure system. The former slaves became
sharecroppers providing the labor, the landowners
furnished the land, and the merchants advanced
the credit for supplies.
Production of the fiber increased under this new
farming organization, and it became so important
to the economy as to gain the title of “King Cot­
ton” in the 1880’s. It reigned supreme for sever­
al decades, and it was during the time cotton was
king that production in the Fifth District hit an
all-time high at 2.8 million bales. This was in
1911.
District acreage planted to cotton continued to
expand, however, until 1918. That year the 4.3
million acres of cotton harvested represented
slightly more than one-fifth of total cropland har­
vested. During cotton’s monarchy, farmers in
Virginia and the Carolinas produced one of every
five bales of cotton grown in the nation. The num­
ber of cotton farmers hit a high of nearly 350,000
in 1924, when 44 c/c of all farmers in the District
were growing cotton. District farmers that year
received nearly one-third of their income from the
sale of cotton and cottonseed.
COTTON PRODUCTION DECLINES
A succession
of events has led to a steady downtrend in the
District’s production of cotton since the peak of
1911. The first was the boll weevil which invaded
the southern tip of South Carolina in 1917 and
gradually migrated northward to Virginia’s cot­
ton area by 1922. Heaviest boll weevil damage
occurred in 1921 and 1922, when there was severe
infestation in South Carolina. Per-acre yields in
that state dropped nearly one-half in 1921 an:l
another one-sixth the following year. These low
yields, coupled with low cotton prices, forced many
farmers into the production of food and feed crops
and other alternative enterprises, with a sharp de­
cline in cotton acreage. District production in
1922 was nearly 1.2 million bales below the 1920
crop.

In the Great Depression of the early 1930’s
market prices plummeted. Lower use of fertilizer
caused per-acre yields to drop sharply. Cotton
returns were so low that many farmers were again
forced into the production of food and feed crops.
By 1932 District cotton acreage was nearly 20%
below the 1929 level.
Despite the events which had brought tem­
porary cutbacks in both District and national pro­
duction, a cotton surplus had developed prior to
the beginning of the depression in 1929. This
led by 1933 to the establishment of the first of
many government programs designed to reduce
acreage and control production.
These programs have taken a variety of forms.
Farmers were paid in 1933 to plow up cotton that
was already growing. A crop control law enacted
in 1938 limited the acreage a farmer could plant
in cotton. This legislation, which established a
system of acreage allotments, marketing quotas,
and penalties for noncompliance, was in effect from
1938 through 1943 and again in 1950. These
same control measures were reimposed in 1954
and have been in operation each year since.
The Soil Bank program made still further at­
tempts to reduce cotton acreage in 1956, 1957, and
1958 by paying farmers for each acre of their cot­
ton allotment not planted. Even before the Soil
Bank era, however, many District farmers underplanted their allotments each year. This resulted
in further reductions in the acreage allotted to
each District state in subsequent years.
COSTS AND MARKETS District farmers’ average
yields and returns from cotton are low compared
with those of western growers. This factor has
been important in the decrease in cotton produc­
tion in this area.
Comparison of changes from 1947-49 to 1957 in
yields, costs, and returns on cotton farms in the
southern Piedmont and those on irrigated cotton
farms in the High Plains of Texas indicate that
cost advantages there may be increasing. Crop
yields per acre have risen 13% on southern Pied­
mont farms since 1947-49, compared with a 31%,
rise on the irrigated farms in the Texas High
Plains. Total cost per unit of production has
jumped 15% here as against a 7% increase in the
Texas area. An \ \ c/ ( gain in net income on south­
ern Piedmont cotton farms about equals the 12%
increase on the irrigated Texas farms, but the re­
turn per hour of work to the Piedmont farmer and
his family is presently 33 cents compared with
$3.07 to the Texas farm family.



Loss of markets to competitors has also been
significant in the decline of home-grown cotton.
Foreign growers are now producing around threefourths of the world’s cotton crop contrasted with
30% in the 1890’s, and they are offering great
quantities of cotton on world markets. As a re­
sult, this nation’s share of the world cotton mar­
ket has declined from about three-fifths of the total
during the 1920’s to little more than one-third in
the 1950’s.
American cotton also faces keen competition
from paper and synthetic fibers, products which
now are found in many uses for which cotton alone
was once considered uniquely suitable. Cotton’s
biggest loss has been the industrial market, espeLa rg e a c re a g e s , irrig a tio n , an d m e c h a n iza tio n m ake cotton
g ro w in g in the W e st much m ore p ro fita b le th a n in the D istrict.

9

The sh are of the n a tio n 's cot­
ton g ro w n in the D istrict h as
fo llo w e d

a

ste a d y

dow n­

trend o ve r fo u r d ecad es.

dally the market for tire cord and bags. It has
also lost ground relatively in the home furnishings
market. Because of its losses to man-made fibers,
cotton’s share of the nation’s mill consumption of
all fibers has fallen from around 85% in the 1920’s
to two-thirds of the total today.
RESULTS OF THE DECLINE
Since cotton was de­
throned, its position in the District’s economy has
changed considerably. Last year’s cotton crop
was one-fifth that of the peak year’s production in
1911. Cotton acreage last year was one-seventh
the highest ever harvested and represented just 4%
of all cropland harvested. District farmers in
1958 produced only one of every twenty bales of
cotton grown in the nation, and the small cotton
crops of the past couple of years have contributed
little more than 5 cents to each cash dollar of the
District’s farm income stream. In 1954—year of
the most recent count—cotton was grown by only
one-fourth of all farmers in the District, and this
proportion has likely fallen since then.
W ith the decline of cotton, the District has
gradually revamped its economy. Permanent
pastures and hay crops are now growing on many
of the acres once planted to cotton. The production
of beef and dairy cattle has followed this change
to grassland farming. Small grains and corn are
now being grown on other fields formerly devoted
to the white fiber, and other types of livestock-—
hogs, broilers, laying flocks, and turkeys—have
come with the growing of these grains. Pine trees
stand tall on many acres once white with cotton.

10


Cotton’s decline has brought with it a decrease
in the number of farmers. And it has helped
bring about an even greater drop in the number of
tenant farmers. Industrial plants in fields that
once produced cotton now provide off-farm work
for many part-time farmers and full-time employ­
ment to many who have left the farms.
COTTON FIGHTS BACK The demand for cotton
remains large. Compared with the newer syn­
thetics, cotton fabrics have many inherent ad­
vantages that make them still much desired by the
consumer. They are said to be cooler, more ab­
sorbent, and to take dye better than competing
fabrics.
In addition, textile research has developed new
processing methods which overcome some of cot­
ton’s inherent disadvantages. W ith these new
finishes have come wrinkle-shed cottons and washand-wear cottons that require little or no ironing
and have many stay-clean features. Still another
development has brought the combining of cotton
with the newer man-made fibers to produce the
blended fabrics that have the advantages of both
types of fibers.
As cotton looks to the future, it can take hope
from the fact that during the past ten years cot­
ton’s proportionate use in the apparel market has
increased, thus regaining some of the ground it
had lost to the man-made fibers. This is especialIv true in the manufacture of women’s and misses’
wearing apparel.

The Fifth District

Recent reports make it clear that the Fifth Dis­
trict economy has continued to expand its opera­
tions. Seasonally adjusted nonfarm employment
reversed its December decline in January to show
increases in virtually all major categories; the
total was up 0 .6 c/c —a sizable month-to-month
gain. Manufacturing man-hours, compounded of
employment and hours worked in the midmonth
week, rang up similarly broad and even larger in­
creases, particularly in the industries producing
durable goods.
The indications of these comprehensive meas­
ures were confirmed by detailed information on
individual lines of endeavor. Textiles have passed
through a state of some market confusion arising
from wage increases and expectations of lower
priced cotton; demand pressures have apparently
resolved the issue, and recently orders have been
written as far ahead as for the fourth quarter’s
output. The furniture industry reports January
and February as months of excellent sales, and
cigarette manufacturers produced at a seasonally
adjusted record high in December, which was
probably exceeded in January.
BITUMINOUS COAL The chief exception to the
general upward movement was the coal industry.
Through the first half of February, mine produc­
tion continued at a rate above the recession lows
of a year ago but still considerably below the
highs of recent years. Current rates of steel pro­
duction and of other industrial activity are ex­
pected to produce an improved demand for the
fuel, but it has not yet been reflected in coal output.
Competition from residual fuel oils has led to
recent price cuts on coal for eastern utilities.
Other coal prices show stability or upward move­
ment, some having been marked up in January
and others—particularly coal for metallurgical
uses—reported as having increases in sight.
An interesting development was the recent pro­
posal by eastern railways to give a New York
City utility a preferential hauling rate on coal in
excess of 3,000,000 tons per year if total purchases
amounted to at least 5,500,000 tons. The com­
pany’s coal burning plants call for 3,000,000 tons
per year, it is understood, and the additional
2,500,000 tons represent the fuel demand for
which coal competes with fuel oil. The 50 cents
per ton reduction in freight on this tonnage would
improve coal’s competitive position—and, it is
hoped, keep the hauling business for the railroads.



RAILROAD EARNINGS The principal coal-haul­
ing railroads of the District (Chesapeake and
Ohio, Norfolk and Western, and V irginian)
showed 1958 operating revenues off about onefifth from the year before. This was due pri­
marily to a decline of one-third in foreign coal
shipments through District ports during the year.
The Atlantic Coast Line and Seaboard Air
Line, still looking to a possible merger, showed
decreases in operating revenues of 8% and 6 c/c
respectively. The Southern had a better year,
relatively speaking, than other major District roads
with operating revenues off just 4 °/o.
TEXTILES Early last month mills throughout the
textile industry announced wage increases. The
initial reaction in cotton textile markets was one
of considerable confusion as buyers and sellers

11

alike hesitated to do business in the face of much
price uncertainty.
Since then, however, much of the confusion and
apparently all of the hesitation have been removed.
The first development was mill declarations of in­
tentions of passing along at least part of the in­
crease in wage costs by raising prices on a wide
variety of fabrics. These increases held firm as
demand remained strong for immediate and near­
by deliveries. The next development was an in­
creasing volume of orders for delivery in the
second quarter. Still, some buyers continued to bet
that prices would weaken under natural market
forces—the second quarter is normally a slow sea­
son in cotton textile mill sales—or under the im­
pact of increased output if mills went from the
five-day workweek to a six-day week.
Confidence in lower prices, however, appears to
have waned, as the latest development is the re­
ceipt of orders for third and fourth quarter de­
liveries. Volume so far has not been heavy, but
interest and inquiries are accumulating. This is
a significant development since it is a sharp break
with the policy and practice, long adhered to, of
buyers’ restricting their orders to cover only im­
mediate and nearby needs.
As orders have mounted for second quarter
shipment and as buyers have reached out to the
second half of the year, supply for nearby delivery
has become tight for a number of fabrics. This,
in turn, has strengthened indications of further
higher prices, particularly for a number of print
cloths. The price increases that have been made
on a wide range of cotton gray goods have spread
also to finished fabrics, to cotton yarns, and to
synthetic cloth.
Knitting mills continue very busy with every
indication that this condition will hold through the
first half. Producers of women’s seamless hosiery
report fairly heavy order backlogs. The demand
for full-fashioned hosiery, following a strengthen­
ing in January, has settled down at a lower but still
relatively satisfactory level.
FARM INCOME Bumper crop yields, continued
high livestock production, and improved prices
combined to bring about an 8% gain in District
farmers’ cash returns from marketings during
1958. Equal percentage increases in receipts from
livestock and crop marketings joined forces to
record the $156 million upturn. And for the sec­
ond straight year, farmers received 44 cents of
each cash dollar from the sale of livestock products.
Cash receipts from farm marketings rose in all

12


District states, but the biggest gain— 14%—oc­
curred in North Carolina, hardest hit by the de­
cline in 1957. The Tar Heel state’s increase, in fact,
accounted for more than three-fourths of the total
increase realized in the District. A 32% jump
in broiler income and improvement in income from
tobacco—chief of the state’s cash crops—were im­
portant factors in the upturn.
CONSTRUCTION
January construction contract
awards in the District reversed the 5-month de­
cline that had closed out 1958 and showed a twothirds gain over December after seasonal adjust­
ment. Most of the improvement came in public
works and utilities w'hich rose to an all-time high.
Nonresidential building awards also rose substan­
tially over the December level, while residential
awards declined 7%.
DEPARTMENT STORE SALES
Early reports of
February department store sales indicate that it
was another month of high-level activity. If pre­
liminary figures are confirmed, the three months,
December, January, and February, will show a
record seasonally adjusted level of sales for three
consecutive months. In fact, their average will be
higher than any single month previous to this
period except for the peak total of August 1958.
BANKING Business loan demand perked up
markedly in February after a slow January start.
There were a few soft spots as always, but in­
creases for important types of business loans in
the first three weeks of February contrasted with
declines during the like weeks of most recent years.
Other types of loans showed mixed trends. Real
estate loans lost at least temporarily their claim to
being the boomiest part of the loan picture, as out­
standings dipped fairly sharply the first three
weeks of February. Consumer loans also slipped
downward, but the drop was much less than ordi­
narily occurs this time of the year. Other kinds of
loans—loans to banks and agricultural and security
loans—showed less than their normal February
vigor.

P H O T O C R E D IT S
C o v e r—The

S alem

Com pany,

In co rp o ra te d

3 . M id-

S tate Tile C o m p a n y , In c. • S e lm a S o y b e a n C o rp o ra ­
tion

4 . Richm ond

N e w s p a p e rs ,

tio n a l Cotton C o u n cil o f A m e ric a .

In c.

8.

& 9. N a­