The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND MONTHLY REVIEW Long-Term Employment and Recent Unemployment Trends Farm Debt Continues To Rise Federal G rants-In-Aid The Fifth D istrict Long-Term Employment And Recent Unemployment Trends In The United States A s the nation's econom y has flourished over the creased unemployment and that, in the current busi past several years, total employm ent has grow n to ness climate, much of the increase w ould concentrate record levels and the unemployment rate has fallen am ong the less-skilled, w ho also make up m ost of to the lowest level since the K orean W a r. the low er incom e groups in U . S. society. But In a especially since 1965, gradually declining rates of society increasingly preoccupied with the problem s unemployment have been accompanied by an accelera of low -incom e groups, the effects o f a deceleration tion in the econ om y’s grow th on unem ployment is ac in the rate of inflation. W ith increasing urgency, policym akers have turned their attention cordingly a matter of m ajor concern. to the inflation problem and have sought prescrip T his article reviews briefly the differential unem tions which w ould at once contain or dissipate in ployment experience of various labor force groups, flationary pressures while allowing the econom y to classified by age and race as well as by occupation, expand at a rate sufficiently rapid to create jobs during the period 1961-68, the nation’s largest busi for all new entrants into the labor force. ness expansion. It is, of It also offers some com m ents on course, widely understood that failure to achieve the changing industrial com position o f employm ent the latter half o f this objective w ould lead to in in the U . S. econom y since 1929. EMPLOYMENT DISTRIBUTION Per Cent Per C ent State and Local Governm ent Services Federal Governm ent Finance, Insurance 'a n d Real Estate Total Trade Construction Mining Source: 2 U. S. Departm ent of Labor. M anufacturing In d u s tria l D is trib u tio n of E m p lo y m e n t, 1929-1968 Chart I shows the percentage distribution o f em ployment by m ajor industry groups from 1929 to 1968. A s might be expected, the percentage o f all em ployed persons engaged in agriculture has shown a consistent decline, from approxim ately 2 5 % in 1929 to around 5 % in 1968. T he Depression years provided the only exception to the decline. From 1929 to 1932, the percentage of the labor force em ployed in agriculture showed a fairly steady increase to a high of approxim ately 3 0 % in 1932. This apparent large m ovem ent back to the farm could be substantially overstated, how ever, since total em ployment also fell from 1929 to 1932. M anufacturing employm ent clearly exhibited an upward trend from 1932 to its peak during the war years of 1943 and 1944. Since the war, however, manufacturing employm ent as a per cent of the total has shown only a slight dow nw ard trend. Until 1932, Federal Governm ent employm ent stayed around 1.5% of total employment, then m oved closer to 2 % between 1932 and 1938. During W o rld W a r II, the percentage em ployed by the Federal G overn ment rose to almost 6 % . Since the K orean W a r. however, it has remained between 3 .5 % and 3 .8 % . In contrast to the Federal Governm ent figures, the percentage o f total employm ent accounted for by state and local governm ents has shown an im pres sive expansionary trend in recent years. T he per centage em ployed in the service industries has shown a similar expansion. These long-term trends clearly illustrate that the U . S., once a prim arily agrarian econom y, has for some years now shown indications o f changing from a “ good s-p rod u cin g” to a “ serviceoriented” econom y. A part from the obvious decline in agricultural employment, and the sizable expansion in services and state and local governm ent employment, the chart shows a remarkable constancy in the percentages. A ll the other categories, including Federal G overn ment employment, have remained approxim ately the same except during the years of depression and war. Employment and Unemploym ent Defined term “ unem ploym ent,” The as used in econom ic and social analysis, is at best an imprecise concept and the measurement of unem ployment raises num erous questions, many of which are settled quite arbitrarily. T he U . S. Department of L abor, which publishes monthly data drawn from a sample survey of 50,000 households, recognizes for statistical purposes three exact categories such that all persons may be classi fied as “ em ployed,” “ unem ployed,” or “ not in the labor force.” 3 T he Bureau defines as employed persons all those who, during a survey week, did any w ork at all as paid employees in their ow n business, profession, or farm, or w ho w orked 15 hours or m ore as unpaid w orkers in an enterprise operated by a member of the family. A ll persons not w orking but w ho had jobs or businesses from which they were tem porarily absent because of illness, bad weather, vacation, labor-management dispute, or personal reasons, are also counted as em ployed whether or not they were paid by their employers fo r the time off, and whether or not they were seeking other jobs. M o re over, each em ployed person is counted only once. T hose w ho held m ore than one jo b are counted in the jo b at which they w orked the greatest number of hours during the survey week. T he “ unem ployed,” according to the B ureau’s definitions, com prise all persons w ho did not w ork during the survey week, w ho made specific efforts to find a jo b within the past four weeks, and who were available for w ork during the survey week (excep t for tem porary illn ess). A lso included as unem ployed are those w ho did not w ork at all, were available for w ork, and (a ) were waiting to be called back to a jo b from which they had been laid off, or ( b ) were waiting to report to a new wage or salary jo b within 30 days. T h e civilian labor force is the sum of all civilians classified as em ployed and unem ployed. Civilians 16 years of age or over w h o are neither em ployed nor unem ployed are classified by the Bureau as “ not in the labor force.” This group includes persons engaged in housew ork in their own home, those in school, those unable to w ork because o f long-term physical or mental illness, retired persons, those too old to w ork, and the voluntarily idle. In the charts giving the unemployment rates, the figure for each age, sex, or racial classification represents the percentage of the total civilian labor force in that class which is unemployed. R e c e n t U n e m p lo y m e n t T re n d s T h e u n e m p lo y ment rate for all groups o f workers taken as a whole from D ecem ber 1968 to February at 3 .3 % . 1969 remained F or the U . S. econom y, this unem ploy ment rate was very low and represented a culmination of a m ore or less steady decline from a rate o f 7 .1 % in M ay 1961. A t the end of 1968 approxim ately 2.6 million persons were unemployed, whereas 4.8 million were unem ployed in early 1961. T hese totals include persons w ho are between jobs, i.e., the so-called “ frictionally” unemployed, those tem porarily unem ployed for seasonal reasons, those whose principal w ork skills have been rendered 4 obsolete by technological advances, as well as others w ho, for whatever reasons, seek unsuccessfully to market their labor services. It may also include some w ho have concrete jo b offers but w h o elect to probe the market fo r something better. In a rela tively affluent society, marked by personal freedom to m ove from one labor market to another, it is w orkers such as clerical w orkers, farm workers, white-collar workers, craftsmen and forem en, sales workers, and even all white males over 20 had u n employm ent rates o f less than 3 % as o f the fourth quarter of 1968. highly unlikely that, at any given time, the entire categories. T hese classes are not necessarily m u tually exclusive. T he charts illustrate quite clearly that in the 1960’s at least, in periods o f generally labor force will be em ployed. Som e level o f un employm ent is m ore or less “ norm al.” Precisely what fraction of the labor force this level may rep resent is a question that has never been answered to the com plete satisfaction of m ost economists or labor market experts. Som e econom ists put the figure as low as 2 % or 3 % ; others place it higher. But whatever the fraction of the total labor force that makes up this category and thereby represents, as a practical matter, the lowest overall unem ploy T he accom panying charts show unemployment rates by selected age, sex, race, and occupational rising unem ployment, the unem ployment rate for nonwhites and for unskilled workers tended to m ove up substantially faster than it did for other groups. O n the other hand, in periods o f business expansion the unem ployment rates fo r unskilled and nonwhite persons fell considerably m ore than those for other groups. T he unem ployment rate for nonwhite males over 20 was 11.9% in 1961, but it dropped to 3 .5 % ment rate, it is clear that the figure is not the same fo r all groups within the labor force. F or example, in by the end of 1968. the fourth quarter o f 1968, when the unemployment rate for the civilian labor force was 3 .3 % , the rate for the “ all married m en” category was only 1.4% . from 5 .3 % to 1 .6 % . Unem ploym ent am ong unskilled nonfarm w orkers fell from 15.1% to 6 .1 % , while for craftsmen and forem en it declined from 6 .7 % O n the other hand, despite the low overall rate, the rate am ong males in the 16-19 age group was 11.5% . to 2 .2 % . T he unem ployment rate for white-collar workers also dropped only slightly. It is well known that the young change job s far m ore unemployment is probably higher am ong the young A s shown in the table o f selected unemployment rates in 1969, the rate of unemployment fo r all civ i lian w orkers rose in M arch to 3 .4 % from the 3 .3 % than level which had been maintained since year-end 1968. often than married men, and consequently frictional in older age groups. Other categories of D uring the same period, the unemployment rates for white males over 20 fell This increase was mostly due to a rise in teen-age unemployment. A s is evident in the charts, h ow ever, unem ployment rates fo r 16-19 year-olds have SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES, 1969 a great deal of irregular variation. (Season ally Adjusted) Type of W orker Jan . In the case of nonwhite females in that age group, as a matter of Feb. March April fact, the unemployment rate did not seem to have a dow nw ard trend at all during the 1961-68 e x A ll civilian w orkers M arried men Both sexes, 16 to 19 yea rs 3.3 1.4 11.7 3.3 1.4 11.7 3.4 1.4 12.7 3.5 W hite w orkers M ales, 20 yea rs and over Fem ales, 20 years and over Both sexes, 16 to 19 years 3.0 1.7 3.3 10.1 2.9 1.7 3.3 10.1 3.1 1.8 3.1 11.4 3.1 1.8 3.3 11.3 N onwhite w orkers M ales, 20 yea rs and over Fem ales, 20 years and over Both sexes, 16 to 19 y ears 6.0 3.8 5.0 22.9 5.7 3.2 5.3 22.0 6.0 3.2 6.0 21.6 6.9 3.7 7.2 23.6 pansion. In A p ril 1969, the overall unem ploym ent rate rose to 3 .5 % , with much o f the increase concentrated am ong adult w om en and nonwhite workers. T he unem ployment rate fo r nonwhite w orkers rose to 6 .9 % from the 6 .0 % M arch figure. Blue-collar un employm ent increased to 4 .1 % from 3 .7 % and teen age unemployment rose to 12.8% from 12 .7 % , but Type of O ccupation the white w orker unemployment rate held steady at W hite-collar w orkers C lerical w orkers 1.9 3.0 2.6 1.9 2.7 3.3 2.0 3.1 2.9 1.8 2.4 3.3 Blue-collar w orkers Craftsm en and foremen O p eratives N onfarm laborers 3.8 2.1 4.2 6.6 3.6 2.1 4.2 5.5 3.7 2.2 3.9 7.0 4.1 2.2 4.6 6.8 selected age, race, and occupational group since 1961 Service w orkers 4.2 3.8 3.8 4.5 unemployment rate can be a matter o f considerable Source: U. S. Departm ent of la b o r. ' ...... A . .. / 3 .1 % . These trends in the unem ployment rates by illustrate w hy relatively small changes in the total social moment. W illiam E. Cullison 5 FARM DEBT CO FARM -M ORTGAGE DEBT HELD BY M A JO R LENDERS FIFTH DISTRICT, JA N U A R Y 1, 1950-1968 $ Million 1,000 $ Million □ Federal Land Banks [~1 □ 0 0 Farm ers Home Adm inistration Life Insurance Com panies All Operating Banks Individuals and Others Total 0 1950 Source: 1955 U. S. Departm ent of Agriculture. Fifth District farm ers' total farm -m ortgage debt outstanding at the beginning of 1968 reached an all-tim e Ja n u a ry 1 high of $1,301 .8 m illion, $111. 2 million or 9% above a y e a r earlier. The increase continued the u pw ard trend w hich began shortly after W orld W ar II. Since 1950, the an n ual increase in farm -m ortgage debt outstanding has ranged from $19.5 million to $122.8 million and has avera g e d $56.6 million per year. FARM -M ORTGAGE DEBT: TOTAL AM OUNT O U TSTAN D IN G AND PROPORTIONS HELD BY M A JO R LENDERS FIFTH DISTRICT, JA N U A R Y 1, 1950-1968 Proportions Held by M ajor Lenders Y e ar Total Farm -M ortgage Debt Individuals and O thers All O perating Banks Life Insurance Com panies Farm ers Home Adm inistration Federal Land Banks $ Million Per Cent Per Cent Per Cent Per Cent Per Cent 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 283.3 319.6 354.7 394.3 428.0 468.9 507.3 526.8 557.8 596.4 40.8 43.0 46.0 47.0 46.5 45.8 44.3 43.2 42.0 40.9 29.2 27.5 25.0 24.3 24.0 23.6 24.2 23.1 22.0 22.2 7.8 8.3 8.8 8.8 9.7 11.2 12.0 12.8 13.5 13.2 6.6 6.8 6.7 7.0 6.9 6.4 5.8 5.9 6.4 7.0 15.6 14.4 13.5 12.9 12.9 13.0 13.7 15.0 16.1 16.7 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 644.3 679.2 741.3 792.5 872.2 969.7 1,092.5 1,190.6 1,301.8 39.6 38.4 38.3 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4 22.6 22.3 21.3 21.7 22.8 23.1 22.9 21.7 20.6 12.8 12.5 12.2 12.4 11.7 11.3 11.3 11.3 10.8 7.3 7.8 8.9 8.3 7.4 6.6 5.8 4.9 4.1 17.7 19.0 19.3 19.2 19.7 20.6 21.6 23.7 26.1 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Source: U. S. Departm ent Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis of Agriculture. INUES TO RISE NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM DEBT HELD BY M AJOR REPORTING LENDERS FIFTH DISTRICT, JA N U A R Y 1, 1950-1968 $ Million $ Million 6 qq l Q □ Farm ers Home Adm inistration Production Credit Associations H All Operating Banks Total 0 1950 1955 Source: U. S. Department of Agriculture. Non-real-estate farm debt outstanding in the District on Ja n u a ry 1, 1968 totaled $530.2 m il lion, a record Ja n u a ry 1 high and $51.1 million or 1 1 % above a y e ar earlier. The increase, as in the case of farm -m ortgage debt, m arked a continuation of the uptrend which began fo llo w ing W orld W ar II. Since 1950, the an n ua l increase in outstanding non-real-estate farm debt has ranged from $5.0 million to $51.1 million, or an a v e ra g e of $23.3 million per ye a r. NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM DEBT: TOTAL AM OUNT O U TSTAN D IN G AND PROPORTIONS HELD BY M A JO R REPORTING LENDERS FIFTH DISTRICT, JA N U A R Y 1, 1950-1968 Proportions Held by M ajor Reporting Lenders Y e ar Total Non-Real-Estate Farm Debt* All O perating Banks* Production Credit A ssociations Farm ers Home Adm inistration $ Million Per Cent Per Cent Per Cent 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 110.1 120.2 127.0 146.8 152.0 157.0 169.2 179.2 200.3 222.8 56.4 58.3 59.3 59.7 60.2 59.3 62.0 62.2 57.9 55.5 22.1 22.1 23.4 23.5 22.9 23.0 22.6 23.5 29.0 33.0 21.5 19.6 17.3 16.8 16.9 17.7 15.4 14.3 13.1 11.5 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 253.7 266.9 292.9 54.1 53.3 52.0 35.3 36.2 37.1 387.4 428.9 51.4 51.8 49.9 38.7 39.2 40.6 530.2 47.4 43.8 ■. : ■ ' ■ "- llll 359.5 http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ eed by Comm odity Federal Reserve of St. Louisent of Agriculture. Source:Bank U. S. Hi Credit C orporation. Mmmm. HI* 88 FEDERAL GRANTS-IN-AID In the present fiscal year the Federal Governm ent is providin g nearly $21 billion in grants to state and local governm ents, and it is expected that this figure may reach the $25 billion mark in 1970. Grants-inaid are generally defined as the payment of Federal funds to a low er-level governm ent fo r a specific purpose, usually on a matching basis and in ac cordance with prescribed standards or requirements. T h e present Federal grant system, which has been 1960’s have been characterized by new program s to finance health services and medical care to the poor, to rebuild urban centers, to broaden educational opportunities, to develop econom ically depressed regions, and to com bat poverty generally. Grants-in-aid are a product of our republican form of governm ent with its tradition of decentralized decision-m aking. T h e Federal Governm ent, barred expanding rapidly in the past few years, has a his tory predating the Constitution. Grants developed by Constitutional reservation from intervention in certain state and local affairs, has used grants-in-aid to accomplish its aims. Fiscal realities have rein as an im portant tool for carrying out the essential forced the development of grant program s. partnership of the state and national governm ents in a federal system. T hese grants coordinate the public services of states and localities with Federal nineteenth century the Federal Governm ent was land financial support in program s of national concern. present century the advent o f the incom e tax has The provided the Federal Governm ent with a supply of financial resources far greater than those available com position of Federal grants has varied through time as the areas o f concern to the nation have changed. History and Development T h e first F ed era l grants to state and local governm ents were made in 1785. In that year Congress provided grants of Federal land to support education in the N orthw est T erritory. Land continued to be the prim ary form o f Federal aid until 1837. In that year the Federal G overnm ent realized a $28 million surplus which was distributed am ong the states on the basis o f Congressional representation. N o restrictions were placed on the use o f these funds. T he first restric In the rich, and it used these resources to prom ote its aims in education and econom ic development. In the to state revenues than are used by and local are m ore the sales states and governm ents. A lso incom e tax responsive to econom ic grow th and property taxes traditionally localities. Thus, the “ reven u e/ responsibility gap,” or the discrepancy between the revenue capabilities of a governm ental unit and its program responsibilities, has been reinforced by the incom e tax. A im s and Criticisms G ra n ts-in -a id are u sed to achieve various objectives. to encourage or M any grants are used stimulate the development of a tions on Federal aid came with the M orrill A ct of specific activity, fo r example, public housing or high 1862, which provided support of higher education. way construction. These restrictions included a definition o f objectives, tended to guarantee a minimum service level to all state matching of funds, and reports on the use states, as the agricultural extension program s do. Other grant program s are in Som e grants are designed to redistribute wealth o f funds. T he early years of this century saw grants e x tended for agriculture, highways, and some social geographically. F or exam ple m ost public assistance program s give larger grants to states with low er welfare program s. D uring the 1930’s Federal grants per capita income, thus transferring revenue from were greatly expanded to include new program s in above-average incom e states to below -average in welfare, com e housing, and econom ic security. In the states. A few grant-in-aid program s are years immediately after W o r ld W a r II aid for health undertaken prim arily to prom ote econom ic stability and housing program s grew significantly, while aid for highway construction was also expanded. The and developm ent rather than to provide good s and services, fo r example, grants to maintain em ploy FEDERAL GRANTS TO STATE AND LOCAL G O VERN M EN TS BY FUNCTION $ Billions 16.0 14.0 1 2 .0 1- i All Other 1 Education I Health ! M iscellaneous Social W elfare I H ighw ays H Public Assistance assistance to the aged and to families with dependent children, and aid to the blind, increased only 2 6 8 % and dropped from 5 5 % of all social welfare grants to 4 2 % . D uring this same period grants to educa tion increased 9 3 3 % , from about 9 % of all social welfare grants to 2 4 % . Grants for health and m is cellaneous social welfare program s remained rela tively stable over the period at around 5 % and 2 7 % , respectively, of total social welfare grants. Grants for highways com pose the next largest com ponent of Federal grants-in-aid. increased 421% during the ten-year These grants period and varied in im portance from a low o f 2 4 % o f all grants in 1957 to a high of 4 1 % in 1959 and then declined to 2 7 % by 1967. rose 5 9 1 % . T he “ all other grant” category This category includes grants for urban affairs, such as urban renewal and water and sewer facilities, mass transportation, and urban planning assistance; such agricultural and natural resources grants as water shed protection, fish and wildlife 1958 Source: 1960 1962 U. S. Departm ent of W elfare. 1964 1966 Health, Education, and restoration, and management and basic scientific re search in agriculture. A ls o included are grants for civil defense, libraries and com m unity services, law enforcement assistance, and the Federal airport program . ment security or for urban redevelopment. O c casionally grants are used to alleviate tem porary or Increasing attention has been focused recently on aid to metropolitan and urban areas. A pproxim ately unusual difficulties in a particular state or locality. Recently some experimental grants have been made to demonstrate the feasibility of a particular ap proach to a problem. Federal grants-in-aid are often criticized for having a tendency to induce states and localities to spend funds to match Federal grants at the expense of other needs not funded from grants-in-aid sources. T he criticism has also been leveled that states lack the necessary revenues because the Federal G overn ment has preempted the m ost productive tax sources, FEDERAL GRAN TS TO FIFTH DISTRICT STATE AND LOCAL G O VERN M EN TS $ M illions U W est V irginia South C aro lin a M aryland B District of Colum bia f§§ V irginia CD North C aro lina and the absence of a direct connection between the taxing and spending authority leads to financial e x travagance and irresponsibility. It is also argued that the strings attached to grants-in-aid may lead to Federal control of local activities. F u n ctio n s In the fiscal year 1967, Federal grants to states and localities totaled $14.8 billion, up about 3 7 6 % from the $3.9 billion in 1957. A b ou t tw o- thirds of this total went to social welfare program s. Social welfare grants increased 3 4 9 % over this tenyear period, but the com position of these grants was altered somewhat during the decade. Source: U. S. Departm ent of H ealth, W elfare. Education, and Public as sistance, which includes old-age assistance, medical 9 6 0 % of the $21 billion of total Federal aid scheduled and secondary education, are designed as aids to the for disadvantaged and hence tend to g o to states with distribution in 1969 will g o to urban areas. This is an increase of about $8 billion or 2 0 5 % low er per capita incomes. since 1961 and a gain of $3 billion or 2 5 % chart, this relationship is generally true in the Fifth 1967. since T he m ajor increase in Federal grants for District. A s shown in the second South Carolina and W est V irgin ia have urban areas has occurred in housing and com m unity the lowest per capita incomes in the District, and at development, education, and in program s to im prove the same time the grants to these states measured the plight of the poor. T he fiscal 1970 budget calls relative to population, personal incom e, or state for an increase of $2.8 billion or 2 0 % in grants to and local revenues are am ong the highest in the D is urban areas. trict. Fifth District Grants W h ile total Federal grants- in-aid to all states and localities grew 3 7 6 % in the period 1957-67, total grants to the Fifth District grew slightly m ore rapidly— by about 3 9 2 % . Total Federal grants to the Fifth District increased slightly from around 8 % about 9 % in o f all Federal grants in 1957 to 1967. W ith in the District, North Carolina and V irgin ia have generally received the larger shares of total g ra n ts; each state’s share has generally ranged between 2 0 % and 3 0 % o f grants to the District. M aryland, South Carolina, and W est V irginia have each typically received about 15% of the grants to the District, while the District of C olum bia’s share has increased slightly from less than 4 % in 1957 to almost 8 % in 1967. Generally, per capita aid is larger in states with smaller per capita income. This is due in part to some grant program s, such as grants for hospital construction, requiring low er matching by the rela tively poorer states. In addition, certain program s, N orth Carolina, V irginia, and particularly M aryland all have larger per capita personal in com es than the other states, while they receive rela tively smaller grants-in-aid. rule is the District o f T he exception to this Columbia, which has the highest per capita incom e in the District and at the same time receives relatively larger grants-in-aid. T he states in the District tend to take advantage of different types o f Federal aid. In 1967 M aryland received the largest portion of her Federal grants for public assistance ( 2 7 % ) and education ( 2 6 % ) . V irginia received over 4 0 % o f her grants for high ways, with only 10% fo r public assistance. W est V irginia also took the largest portion of her grants for highways ( 3 7 % ) . N orth and South Carolina placed great emphasis on education, receiving, re spectively, 2 5 % and 2 9 % o f their aid fo r that p u r pose. 33% , W ashington, D . C. took its largest share, for particularly miscellaneous social com m unity action, welfare food program s, stamp, and N eighborhood Y outh Corps program s. W yn n elle W ilson such as those for public assistance and elementary FEDERAL GRANTS TO STATE AND LOCAL G O V ERN M EN TS—FISCAL 1967 G ra n ts a s % of State & Local G e n e ral Revenues* G rants per C ap ita (dollars) United States 74.8 Fifth District 70.1 North C aro lin a 65.6 V irginia 65.9 M aryland W est V irgin ia South C aro lin a District of Colum bia * From ow n sources. Source: U. S. Departm ents of Comm erce and Health, Education, and W elfare. Digitized for10 FRASER 53.5 107.9 66.6 124.8 The Fifth District EARNINGS A N D EXPENSES OF MEMBER BANKS Current operating revenues o f the 378 member banks in the Fifth Federal Reserve District reached an all-time high of $1,055 million in 1968. A s indi largest share— $247 million- -went to N orth Carolina’s 26 member banks. Earnings B y Source L o a n s p ro v id e d $716 m il cated in the current issue o f Operating R atios, a lion of incom e for District member banks last year. publication of this Bank, net income after taxes Loans com prised 52 .1 % of total assets and provided 6 5 .9 % o f total earnings, dow n from 6 6 .8 % in 1967. jum ped from 8 .5 % of total capital accounts in 1967 to 9 .3 % last year. ( Operating Ratios presents arithmetic averages of individual bank ratios e x pressed as percentages. These averages will be the basis of the ratios used throughout this article.) Cash dividends declared rose to 3 .4 % of total capital after remaining practically unchanged at 3 .1 % from 1962 through 1967. Net incom e rose from 0 .7 5 % o f total assets in 1967 to 0 .7 9 % in 1968. A s usual, the banks with deposits o f over $100 million received the m ajor portion of total operating revenues. A l though only 26 out of the 378 member banks in the D istrict are in that class, their earnings amounted to $715 million or 6 7 .8 % of the District total. M em ber banks in V irginia, which total 152 and out number those of other District states by a wide margin, accounted for $346 million or almost onethird of the total revenues in the District. T he next T he average rate of return on loans soared upward, however, m oving from 7 .1 2 % in 1967 to 7 .4 0 % in 1968. Incom e on loans was relatively m ore im portant for large banks. Banks with deposits over $100 million earned over six times as much on loans as they received from the next largest source, interest on Governm ent securities. Banks in the smallest classification earned less than fou r times as much on loans as on their next largest source. District member banks earned $126 million in interest on U . S. Governm ent securities in 1968, or 17.8% o f total earnings. H oldings of U . S. Governm ent securities represented 19.8% o f total assets, the same as the 1967 level. P ortfolios o f other securities, chiefly municipals, com prised 13.1% of total assets. Interest and dividends from this source— $91 million— rose from 7 .9 % to 8 .7 % o f current earnings. Trust department earnings were concentrated heavily in the larger banks. T he 290 member banks with deposits under $25 million earned less than $1 million of the $33 million total. Expenses C u rren t e x p en ses of F ifth D istrict member banks also reached a record high in 1968, totaling $787 million. Bank expenses amounted to 7 4 .9 % of current earnings. F or the third co n secutive year interest on time and savings deposits was the largest single item o f expense. Interest paid totaled $306 million com pared with $261 in 1967. million T he increase was due to vigorous com petition for deposits, rising interest rates, and in creased participation in the m oney market through the issuance of certificates of deposit. Interest on time and savings accounts averaged 3 9 % of current operating expenses at District m em ber banks, but the proportion varied substantially from state to state. T he percentage was highest at V irginia banks, with 4 5 % ; follow ed by W est V ir ginia with 4 3 % ; District o f Columbia, 4 0 % ; N orth 11 Carolina, 3 8 % ; M aryland, 3 3 % ; and South C aro lina with only 2 0 % . The average rate o f interest V irginia (3 .9 1 % ) ( 4 .3 3 % ) , and the lowest in and W est V irginia ( 3 .7 9 % ). M aryland paid on time and savings deposits at District banks rose from 3 .9 2% in 1967 to 4 .1 0 % last year. H ere The second largest item of expense for District member banks was salaries and wages fo r employees. again variations for the individual states were noticeable. T he highest average interest rates on Such expenses totaled $148 million in 1968. Salaries for officers reached a new high of $85 million. The deposits were paid in N orth Carolina (4 .4 2 % ) and sum of wages, salaries, and benefits for both officers and employees climbed to $265 million. P ro fits FIFTH DISTRICT MEMBER BANKS INCOM E AND EXPENSES L a st y ea r F ifth D istr ic t m e m b e r ban k s earned a total of $157 million after taxes. The D istrict’s 26 largest banks accounted fo r $109 m il lion. M em ber banks declared cash dividends o f $68 million. Profits as a percentage o f current operating incom e rose only slightly to 14.0% from the 13.8% of 1967. T he smallest banks converted the highest proportion of incom e into net profits. F or banks with deposits of under $2 million, after-tax net in com e was 19.1% of current operating income. The next largest proportion, 1 7.2% , was for banks with deposits of $100 million or over. Banks in the $50-100 million class had the low est percentage of profits, only E m p lo y m e n t 13.1% . L a st y ea r D is tr ic t m e m b e r banks had a total o f 41,513 employees, 7,138 of which were bank officers. T he average pay o f officers ranged from a low of $7,200 at the smallest banks to $11,700 at banks in the $25-100 million class. Other em ployees’ pay averaged from $3,600 at banks in the under $5 million deposit class to $4,400 at the largest banks. Carla R. G regory 12