Full text of Economic Indicators : September 1972
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92d Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators September 1972 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1972 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) HUBERT H. HUMPHREY (Minnesota) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, Jr. (Texas) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) JAMES B. PEARSON (Kansas) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) BARBER B. CONABLE, Jr. (New York) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) BEN B. BLACKBURN (Georgia) JOHN R . STAUK, Executive Director LOUGHLIN F. McHuGH, Senior Economist COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS HERBERT STEIN, Chairman EZRA SOLOMON MARINA v. N. WHITMAN Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—Isr SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 2 5 cents a single copy or by subscription at $3.00 per year (foreign, $4.00) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product tosc $30.3 billion in the second quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1/139.4 billion. This followed a rise of $31.0 billion in the first quarter. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Persons Government Net receipts Expenditures PerEquals: Less: Less: Less: sonal Tax Interest Total Personal Transsaving Trans- Equals: and paid and exclud- consumpPurfers, or fers, Total Equals: tion nontax interest, Net ing expend- interest, ofchases expenddis- receipts Total * transfer interest goods payand receipts itures itures saving and or and and ments subsubtransaccruals sidies 2 to forsidies 2 fers eigners Disposable personal income Period 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 473.2 511.9 546.3 591. 0 634.4 689.5 744.4 10.7 12.0 13. 0 13. 9 15. 1 16.7 17.9 18.5 427.4 461. 3 49a 9 532.4 575.9 617.7 671.6 725.8 401.2 432.8 466,3 492. 1 536. 2 579.5 616.8 664.9 26. 2 28. 4 32. 5 40.4 39. 8 38. 2 54.9 60. 9 174.1 189. 1 213. 3 22a 9 263.5 296. 7 302.0 321. 6 46.7 49. 9 55. 5 62. 8 70.7 77.9 93. 0 105. 7 127.3 139.2 157.9 166. 2 192. 7 218.8 209.0 215. 9 175.4 186. 9 212.3 242. 9 270. 3 287.9 312. 1 338.5 46. 7 49. 9 55.5 62.8 70. 7 77.9 93. 0 105.7 128.7 137.0 156.8 1971: I II.. III.. IV.. 725.7 742.9 750.4 758.5 18.3 18.4 18.7 18.8 707.4 724.5 731.7 739.7 648.0 660.4 670.7 680.5 59. 3 64. 1 61.0 59.3 313. 5 318.8 323.3 330.7 100.6 107.4 106.5 108.4 212.9 211.4 216.8 222.3 327.5 336. 9 340. 2 349.4 100.6 107.4 106.5 108.4 227.0 229.5 233.6 240.9 1972: I... !!„. 770.5 782.6 18.8 19.1 751.7 763.5 696. 1 713.4 55.7 50. 1 353.8 361.4 112. 1 114, 1 241.7 247.3 361.6 368. 3 112. 1 114.1 249.4 254.1 199. 6 210.0 219.0 232.8 -1.4 2.2 1. 1 -13.9 -6.8 as -10. I -1&9 -14.0 -iao -16.fr -18,7" -7,7 -as International Business Period isa i Surplus or deficit (—), income and product accounts Net Net exports of goods Gross and services transfers Excess of Total Statis- national Gross Excess to forGross private transfers income tical product of retained domestic investor or eigners discrepor earn-3 by perEquals: of net receipts ancy expendment Less: investNet sons and Exports Imports ings exports iture ment 4 Governexports ment 28. 6 32. 3 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 76.2 84,7 91.3 93.0 95. 4 97. 0 97.3 109.9 94.0 108. 1 121. 4 116.6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 152. 0 -17. 8 -23. 4 -30. 1 -23. 5 -30. 6 -42. 0 -39.7 -42. 1 2. 2.8 2. 8 3. 0 2. 9 2.9 3. 2 3.6 37. 1 39. 2 43.4 46. 2 50. 6 55. 5 62.9 66. 1 41. 0 48. 1 53. 6 59. 3 65.4 8.5 6. 9 5.3 5. 2 2. 5 1.9 3.6 .7 1971: !_.. II.. III. 103. 2 108.7 110.5 117. 2 143. 9 153. 0 152. 2 158.8 -40. 7 -44. 3 -41.7 -41.6 3. 2 3.4 3. 8 4. 0 66.3 66.7 68. 5 63. 0 61.8 66.6 68.2 65. 1 4.5 .1 .4 -2.1 1972:1 II 115.9 124.8 168. 1 177. 0 -52. 2 -52.2 3.8 3.8 70.7 70.0 75.3 75. 2 -4.6 -5. 2 0 O 1 Personal income (p. 5) less personal tax and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.). 2 Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises, and disbursements less wage accruals. 8 Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, capital consumption allowances, and private wage accruals less disbursements. Does not include retained earnings of sa i -5.7 633.7 -4. 1 688. 0 -2.4 750. 9 -2.2 794, 6 .4 866.9 1.0 936. 3 -.4 981. 1 2. 8 1, 055. 2 -1.3 -3. 1 -1. 0 f -2". 7 -6.1 -4. 7 -4.8 632. 4 684. 9 749. 9 793. 9 864. 2 930. 3 976. £ 1, 050. 4 -1.4 3. 2 3. 4 6. 1 1, 026. 7 1, 048. 0 1, 062. 8 1, 083. 2 -3. 3 -4. 9 -5. 9 -5. 2 1, 023. 4 1, 043. 01, 05a 9 1, 078. 1 8.4 1, 113. 1 9.0 1, 139. 4 -4. 1 -. 1 1, 109. 1 1, 139. 4 unincorporated business, which are included in disposable personal income. * Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. 5 Net foreign investment less capital grants received by United' States, with sign changed. Source : Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) rose at an annual rate of 11.4 percent in the second quarter, according to current estimates. Reai gross national product rose at a 9.4 percent rate while prices increased at a 1.8 percent rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT \ 1,000 t,000 800 800 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 600 600 -GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 400 200 400 200 _l_ NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES I 1966 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT ! 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 SOURCE i DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: I II III IV 1972: I II COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Personal Gross conTotal gross private sump- domestic national gross product national tion investin 1958 product expend- ment dollars itures Billions (5f dollars; quarterly Period __ 497. 2 629. 8 551. 0 581. 1 617. 8 658. 1 675.2 706.6 725. 6 722. 1 741. 7 731. 9 737. 9 742. 5 754- 5 766.5 783.9 520. 1 560.3 590. 5 632.4 684. 9 749.9 793. 9 864. 2 930. 3 976. 4 1, 050. 4 1, 023. 4 1, 043. 0 1, 056. 9 1, 078. 1 1, 109. 1 1, 139. 4 335.2 355. 1 375.0 401.2 432.8 466. 3 492. 1 536. 2 579. 5 616. 8 664. 9 648. 0 660.4 670. 7 680. 5 696. 1 713.4 71.7 83. 0 87.1 94.0 108. 1 121.4 116, 6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 152. 0 143. 9 153. 0 152. 2 158. 8 168. 1 177.0 3 This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 36. * 1972 j)urchases of good s and Implicit services price Federal State deflator for total and National GNP, defense1 Other local 1958= 1002 data at g easonall.y adjuste d annual rates Gove rnment Net exports of goods Total and Total services 107. 6 117. 1 5.9 122. 5 8. 5 128.7 6.9 137.0 5.3 156. 8 5. 2 180. 1 2. 5 199. 6 1. 9 210. 0 3. 6 219. 0 . 7 232. 8 4. 5 227.0 . 1 229.5 . 4 233. 6 -2. 1 240. 9 -4.6 249. 4 -5.2 254.1 5.6 5. 1 57.4 63.4 64. 2 65.2 66.9 77.8 90. 7 98. 8 98. 8 96. 5 97.8 96. 2 96.3 97. 9 100. 7 105. 7 108. 1 47.8 51. 6 50. 8 50.0 50. 1 60. 7 72. 4 78. 3 78.4 75. 1 71.4 72.5 71. 2 70. 1 71. 9 76.7 78.6 9.6 11.8 13. 5 15.2 16. 8 17. 1 18.4 20. 5 20.4 21.5 26. 3 23.7 25.0 27.8 28.7 28.9 29.6 50.2 53.7 58.2 63. 5 70. 1 79.0 89. 4 100. 8 111. 2 122.5 135.0 130. 8 133. 3 135. 7 140. 2 143.7 146.0 104.62 105. 78 107. 17 108. 85 110. 86 113. 94 117. 59 122. 30 128. 20 135. 23 141. 61 139. 84 141. 34 142. 35 142. 88 144. 68 145. 34 2 Gross national product in current dollars divided by gross national product in 1958 dollars. Source: Department of Commerce. RATIONAL INCOME National income rose $19 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter with increases occurring in most types of income. Flood damage in June held down second quarter proprietors' and property income. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 400 400 •PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT* ...I Li 100 100 NET INTEREST \ J I J I 1966 1967 1968 L J 1969 1970 L J L 1972 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Total national income Period 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: I II III IV__ _ 1972: I_ II 1 Includes 2 _ Compenof employees l Proprietoi"s' income Farm 2 of per- Net inter_ _j. est 427. 3 457.7 481. 9 518.1 564. 3 620. 6 653. 6 711. 1 766.0 798. 6 855. 7 302. 6 323. 6 341. 0 365.7 393.8 435. 5 467. 2 514. 6 566. 0 603. 8 644. 1 12. 8 13. 0 13. 1 12.1 14.8 16. 1 14. 8 14. 7 16. 7 16.9 17.3 35. 6 37. 1 37. 9 40.2 42.4 45. 2 47. 3 49. 5 50. 5 49. 9 52.6 16. 0 16.7 17. 1 18.0 19.0 20. 0 21. 1 21. 2 22. 6 23.3 24.5 10. 0 11. 6 13. 8 15.8 18.2 21. 4 24. 4 26. 9 30.5 34. 8 38.5 834. 5 851. 4 860. 8 876. 2 628. 6 039. 6 648. 0 660. 4 16. 8 16. 9 17. 6 18. 1 51. 3 52. 4 53. 1 53. 8 23. 9 24. 4 24. 8 25. 0 903. 1 922. 1 682. 7 697. 8 19. 1 18. 7 54. 3 54. 4 25. 2 24. 2 employer contributions lor social Insurance. (See also p. 4.) Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in fanning and therefore differs from net farm income (including net inventory cbange) on p. 6 which includes such profits. Business and professional Rental income Corporal >Q profits and inventory va luation ac Ijustment Total 50. 3 55.7 Profits Inventor}' valuation before taxes adjustment 66.3 76.1 82. 4 78. 7 84. 3 79. 8 69. 9 78. 6 50. 3 55.4 59. 4 66.8 77.8 84. 2 79. 8 87.6 84.9 74. 3 83. 3 37.3 38. 1 39. 1 39. 7 76. 6 80. 1 78. 3 79.4 81. 3 84. 5 84. 1 83. 2 -4.7 -4.4 -5.8 40. 1 40. 9 81. 8 86. 1 88. 2 91. 6 -6.5 -5.5 Source: Department of Commerce. sa 9 -0. 1 .3 —.5 K ^"^ . «J -1.7 -1.8 — 1. 1 -3.3 -5.1 -4.4 -4.7 — ^j^ y SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose about $7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in August as payrolls increased by $5 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,000 1,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME 800 800 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS " \ " 600 600 --B - «..«-**-«- 400 400 OTHER INCOME inj .iiiiiniiumi" 200 200 TRANSFER PAYMENTS • ,, 1966 SOURCE: 1967 1968 ,1 I ! I I I I I 1 I 1 1970 1969 1972 1971 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Period Propriet ors' income Total and Other personal salary labor Business income disburse- income 2 Farm and prol ments fessional 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 465. 5 497. 5 311. 1 750.9 806.3 861.4 1971: July Aug Sept Get 862.4 869.1 872.2 Nov 874. 8 879. 4 890. 4 1972: Jan Feb Mar 81 )$. 9 908. 5 Dec Apr___. May Juno.... July ... Aug " _ ^ 1) 1 3. (') 1)11). 4 DIM. 0 D1T2. 1) 1W2. 1) I);*'.). S Less: PerPersonal Transfer sonal con- Nonagricultural interest paytributions personal income ments for social income * insurance 423. 1 464. 9 509. 7 541. 9 572. 9 13.1 12. 1 14.8 16, 1 14.8 14. 7 16.7 16. 9 17.3 37. 9 40. 2 42.4 45.2 47. 3 49. 5 50. 5 49. 9 52. 6 17.1 18.0 19.0 20.0 21. 1 21. 2 22.6 23.3 24.5 16.5 17. 8 19.8 20.8 21. 4 23. 6 24. 3 24.8 25.4 572. 5 577. 2 577. 9 579. 9 583. 4 594. 3 36. 9 37. 2 37. 5 37. 8 38.0 38. 3 17.2 17.6 17.9 18. 0 18. 1 18. 1 52.8 53. 1 53.4 53. 6 53. 8 53. 9 24.7 24.9 24. 9 24. 9 25.0 25. 1 25.5 25.6 25.5 25.5 25.5 24. 6 602. 6 609. 0 612. 4 617. (i Gil). 9 (ilM. 0 38. 5 18. 6 54. 0 25. 1 26.0 70.8 97. 6 34. 3 873.4 38. 8 19. 1 54. 1 25.2 26. 1 71.0 100. 0 34.7 882.4 39. 1 19. 5 54.7 25. 3 71.3 26. 0 100. 1 34. 8 887. 1 39. 5 19. 1 54. 9 25.5 26. 1 72.0 99. 7 35.0 893.4 39. 8 18.7 55.3 26.3 25.6 72. 7 100. 9 35. 1 898. 3 40. 1 18.4 53.2 26. 3 73.4 21.5 101.3 35.3 897.5 40. 5 18. 6 55.7 25. 8 26. 4 102.2 73.5 35.5 907.3 40. 8 18. 8 56. 1 25.9 26. 6 73. 6 103.0 35. 7 914. 1 8 : employer contributions for Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, Ull::. farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agriculture1 M i l t l i , und welfare funds; cpmcorporations. •M- pay; and a few other minor Source: Department of Commerce. ()!2f>. 7 <>:«). 7 1 Compensatioi social insurance und WIIKO uivruah, i 'Employer contribution. 1 to prlv pensation for Injuries; dlri«ci« m' fmv items. 4 Dividends 14.9 16. 6 18.7 20.7 22. 3 25. 4 28.4 32. 1 36.5 333.7 358.9 394.5 538.9 587. 2 629. 3 688. 9 Rental income of persons 31.4 34.9 38.7 43. 6 4a o 52.9 59.3 65.8 69. 6 35.3 36.7 39.9 44. 1 51.8 59. 6 65. 8 79.5 93.6 11.8 12.5 13.4 17. 7 20. 5 22. 8 26. 3 28. 0 31.2 448. 1 480.9 519.5 566. 3 609. 4 668. 8 728. 3 782. 8 837.2 69.8 70.2 70. 5 70.5 70.6 70.7 94. 2 94.7 96. 1 96.2 96. 8 97.6 31.2 31.4 31. 5 31. 6 31.8 32. 3 838.4 844. 7 847.6 850. 0 854. 5 865.0 DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Although the growth in personal income (seasonally adjusted) was much less in the second quarter than in the first, the rise in disposable income was about the same. Consumption showed a large gain and the saving rate fell. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 500 DOLLARS 4,000 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME DOLLARS 4,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUM RATES 3,500 3,500 3,000 3,000 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 1966 1967 1968 1971 1972 SOURCEt DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Less" PerPersonal sonal tax and income nontax payments COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per cap>ita disL ess: Perse>nal outla^fs posable personal Equals: Persoilal consuEaption Equals: incc>me Disex penditure s 2 Personal posable Total saving Current personal personal Durable Non1958 income outlays * goods durable Services dollars dollars goods Billions of dollars 1963 1964. 1965. _ _ _ 1966 1967 1968_ _ _ _ 1969_ _ _ _ 1970__ _ _ 1971 465. 5 497. 5 538.9 587. 2 629. 3 688. 9 750. 9 806. 3 861. 4 60. 9 59. 4 65.7 75.4 83. 0 97.9 116. 5 116. 7 117. 0 404. 6 438. 1 473.2 511. 9 546. 3 591. 0 634. 4 689. 5 744. 4 384. 7 411. 9 444.8 479. 3 506. 0 551. 2 596. 2 634. 7 683. 4 53.9 59. 2 66.3 70. 8 73. 1 84.0 90. 8 90. 5 103. 5 Saving as percent of Populadistion posable (thou-3 personal sands) income (percent) Dol iars 168. 6 178.7 191. 1 206. 9 215. 0 230. 8 245. 9 264. 4 278. 1 19. 9 26. 2 28.4 32. 5 40.4 39. 8 38. 2 54. 9 60. 9 2,138 2,283 2,436 2,604 2,749 2,945 3, 130 3,366 3,595 2,015 2,126 2,239 2,335 2,403 2,486 2,534 2,603 2,679 4. 9 6.0 6.0 6.4 7.4 6.7 6.0 8. 0 8.2 189, 191, 194, 196, 198, 200, 202, 204, 207, 8 3 1 9 59. 3 64. 1 61. 0 59. 3 3,517 3,592 3,620 3,649 2,650 2, 682 2,684 2,698 8.2 8. 6 8. 1 7.8 206, 310 206, 806 207, 312 207, 856 296. 7 302.4 55. 7 50. 1 3, 700 3,751 2,716 2,739 7.2 6.4 208, 255 208, 628 152. 4 163.3 175.5 188. 6 204.0 221. 3 242. 7 261. 8 283. 3 242 889 303 560 712 706 677 879 049 Seascmally adjij,8ted annik a I rates 1971:1— II__ III _ IV__ 838. 858. 867. 881. 0 1 9 5 1972: I — 907.0 II.. 922. 1 112. 115. 117. 123. 3 2 5 0 136. 5 139. 5 725. 742. 750. 758. 7 9 4 5 666. 4 678.8 689. 4 699. 2 99. 8 101. 9 106. 1 106. 1 273. 277. 278. 283. 770. 5 782. 6 714. 9 732. 5 111. 0 113. 9 288. 3 297. 2 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers, and1 personal transfer payments to foreigners. See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. 4 2 5 4 274. 281. 286. 290. 8 Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data are for middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. Source: Department of Commerce. FARM INCOME Net farm income excluding inventory change (seasonally adjusted) declined 1 percent in the second quarter, including inventory change the decline was 2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 50 50 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE -V 20 20 10 10 1966 1967 1968 1970 1969 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Personal income re ceived by income re ceived fro m farming T total i"arm popu lation Net t<^ farm oper ators Realize d gross From all Period sources 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: I II III_IV 20.6 20.6 23. G 24. 9 24. 0 25. 1 27.6 28. 2 29. 5 __ From From nonfarm farm sources sources 12. 1 11.3 13. 5 14. 4 13. 1 13. 2 14. 9 15. 0 15. 6 8.5 9.3 10. 0 10. 5 10. 9 11. 9 12. 7 13. 2 13. 9 Net inc ome per farm incl uding net inventory change 3 Produc— Cash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ing net in- ing net in- Current 1967 from Total i ventory ventory2 dollars dollars 4 marketchange change ings Billions c)f dollars Dol lars 42.3 37.4 29.7 4,030 13.2 12.6 3, 708 42. 0 29. 5 37. 2 3, 832 13.1 12.3 3, 564 44.9 39. 3 30.9 4,723 14.0 15.0 4,487 43. 3 16. 3 49. 7 33. 4 16. 3 5, 121 5, 019 14.2 4,730 49. 0 42.7 34. 8 14. 9 4,730 44. 1 50. 9 14. 8 4, 854 36. 2 14.7 4, 667 55.6 48. 1 38.8 16. 8 16. 9 5, 674 5,206 41. 1 57. 9 5,047 50. 5 16.8 5,754 16. 8 60. 1 44. 0 53. 1 16. 1 17. 4 6,049 5,083 Seaso nally adjiisted annu al rates 51. 9 15.8 59.0 43. 2 5,840 4, 990 16.8 52. 1 15.4 4,980 59. 1 16.9 5,880 43.7 60.4 17. 7 44. 3 16. 1 5, 130 53. 4 6, 150 44. 9 16. 9 54.9 18. 2 6,330 5,280 61.8 1972: I II : Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. 8 Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. 1972 1971 64. 1 64. 8 56. 5 56.9 45.6 46. 5 18. 5 18. 3 19.3 18.9 6,820 6,680 5,590 5,390 * Income in current dollars divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1967 base. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Revised estimates for the second quarter show that corporate profits before taxes rose $3.4 billion to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $91.6 billion. After taxes the rise was $2.0 billion. Second quarter profits were adversely affected by the hurricane in June. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILUONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 100 100 PROFITS BEFORE TAXES \ PROFITS AFTER TAXES SO 40 20 20 1967 1966 1968 1970 1969 1972 1971 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Cor]^orate pi ofits Corjuorate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inveritory a fter taxekS Corpo- Profits valuation adjustmei at rate plus TransCorpo- CorpoM "anufactui ing capital capital portation, rate rate conconUnDivicomPeriod tax profits NonAll Durable durable AH l before liabil- Total dend distrib- sump- sumpmuniindustion tion goods uted paytaxes ity Total indusgoods cations, other tries ments profits allow-2 allow-3 and indusances ances tries public tries utilities 28. 8 13. 0 15. 8 16.5 1963 58. 9 20.6 59.4 33.1 16.6 9. 5 26. 3 31.8 64. 8 17.8 32.7 14.9 23.5 20. 6 17.8 1964______ 66.3 38.4 33. 9 10.1 66.8 28. 3 72.3 16. 6 39.3 1965 76. 3 22. 8 46. 5 26. 7 36.4 25. 6 19. 8 82.9 77.8 11. 1 31. 3 42. 6 24. 0 18. 6 1966 82. 4 84. 2 49. 9 20. 8 29. 1 39. 5 27.9 34.3 11. 9 89. 5 18. 0 20. 7 38. 7 1967. _ _ _ 78.7 33.2 46. 6 25. 3 29. 1 21. 4 43. 0 10.8 79. 8 89. 6 41. 7 22. 4 19. 3 84. 3 23. 6 24. 2 32. 0 1968 87. 6 47. 8 46. 8 91 6 10. 6 39. 9 17. 7 36. 6 18.8 79. 8 33. 1 1969_ 84. 9 44. 8 24. 3 20. 5 40. 1 10. 1 51. 9 96. 7 27. 7 11. 0 16. 7 69. 9 15.4 24. 8 1970. 34. 6 74. 3 34. 1 40. 2 7. 6 55. 2 95. 4 30. 9 14. 1 16. 8 78. 6 1971 37.3 20. 5 39. 6 83. 3 45, 9 25. 4 60. 3 8. 2 106. 2 1971: I 11. - _ IIL_. !¥__„ 1972: I !!___ 76. 0 80. 1 78. o 79. 4 30. 9 14. 3 30. 1 31. 2 34. 4 13. :j 14. 3 16. 6 16. 8 10. 9 16. 9 7. 8 S. 8 37. 8 40. 2 7. 6 81. 8 86. 1 35. 4 17. 7 19. 4 17. 7 17.6 7. 8 8. 8 ;u. 2 37. o s. r> 25.5 25.4 25. 5 25. 2 17.7 20. 4 21. 0 22. 7 57.5 59. 4 61. 2 63. 0 100.7 105. 2 107. 8 111.0 -38. 8 40. 1 49. 5 51. 5 26. 0 26. 2 23.5 25. 3 64. 8 68. 0 114.3 119. 5 38. : 0 4(1 it 8-1. 1 S3. 2 38. f> 40. o 88, 2 91. 6 39. <; 12 Includes all other industries and financial institutions. Includes depreciation and accidental damages. * Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 37. 5 ~J5. 3 43. 2 45. 8 46. G 48. 0 81. 3 84, r> ;a (> Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment (seasonally adjusted) showed another large gain in the second quarter, aided by a step-up in inventory investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 40 20 20 1966 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed imvestment Total gross private domestic investment Period Total Struc tures Total Total 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969... 1970 1971 _ __ 1971:1. II Ill IV 1972:1 II _ 71.7 83.0 87.1 94. 0 108.1 121.4 116.6 126.0 139.0 137.1 152.0 69.7 77.0 81. 3 88.2 98. 5 106.6 47.0 51.7 54. 3 61.1 71. 3 81.6 131. 1 132.2 148. 3 88. 8 98. 5 100. 9 105. 8 143.9 153.0 152.2 158. 8 139. 0 146.4 150. 9 157.2 168. 1 177.0 167.7 172.0 Source: Department of Commerce. 8 Kesid ential struc tures N<jnresident ial ioa 4 na 9 18.4 Nonfarm Total Nonfarm Total Nonfarm Total Nonfarm 30. 3 34.2 36. 0 38. 4 18.8 20.5 24. 9 27. 8 27. 3 29. 6 33. 5 35. 2 37. 5 32. 5 34.8 39.9 45. 8 53. 1 55. 3 58. 5 64. 3 64. 9 07. 4 25.8 29.4 31.2 36.3 41. 6 4a 4 50.0 53. 6 59. 2 59. 2 60. 9 22.6 25.3 27.0 27.1 27.2 25. 0 25. 1 30. 1 32.6 31. 2 42. 6 22.0 24.8 26. 4 26.6 26.7 24. 5 24. 5 29. 5 32. 0 30. 7 42. 0 101. 9 105. 0 106. 3 109. 8 37. 6 38. 3 38. 7 38. 8 36. 8 37. 5 37. 9 38. 0 64. 3 66. 7 67. 6 71. 0 58. 3 60. 4 60. 8 64. 2 37. 0 41. 4 44. 5 47. 3 36. 6 40. 9 43. 9 46. 7 4.9 1.7 3.9 5.1 —.2 .8 116. 1 119.2 41.3 42.0 40. 5 41. 2 74. 8 77.2 67. 7 69. 6 51. 6 52. 8 51. 0 52. 1 .4 5.0 4.3 sa 3 19.2 19.5 21.2 25. 5 2R5 2a o 17.7 Produce re' durable equ ipment Change in business inv entories ias 28.6 2.0 6.0 5. 9 5.8 9. 6 14.8 a2 7. 1 7.8 4. 9 3. 6 6. 6 1. 3 1.7 5.3 5.1 6.4 8.6 15.0 7.5 6.9 7.7 4,8 2.4 .1 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Businessmen have projected a 10 percent increase in plant and equipment expenditures from 1971 to 1972. Outlays are expected to rise from the first to the second half of 1972. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 1100 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 80 80 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 60 60 NONMANUFACTURING 40 40 MANUFACTURING 20 20 I 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 \ I ! I V I 1972 1971 J/ SEE FOOTNOTE 3 BELOW. SOURCE i DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufactui "ing Period Total * Transportat ion Durable goods Nondurable goods Mining Total 40. 77 46. 97 54. 42 63. 51 65. 47 67. 76 75. 56 79. 71 81. 21 89 10 15. 06 16. 22 19. 34 23. 44 28.20 28. 51 28. 37 31. 68 31. 95 29. 99 31. 66 6. 79 7. 53 9.28 11. 50 14. 06 14. 06 14. 12 15. 96 15. 80 14. 15 15. 70 8.26 8.70 10.07 11. 94 14. 14 14. 45 14. 25 15. 72 16. 15 15. 84 1 5. DO 1.40 1.27 1. 34 1. 46 1. 62 1. 65 1. 63 1. 86 1. 89 2. 16 2. 44 1971: I 79. 32 81. 61 80. 75 83. 18 30. 46 30. 12 29. 19 30. 35 14. 14. 13. 14. 10. 10. 15. 15. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1972: I 11 86. 79 S7. 12 30. 09 30. 37 32. 0'2 33. 22 1 5. 06 14. 77 Hi. 22 10. 5S 1962 1963 1964__ _ _ _ _ . _ 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 3 1972 !!___ Ill IV III ^ IV3 sa 39 oo. as 91. 84 21 06 76 01 2f» 00 43 74 15. 02 15. (J() 10. 40 JO. 65 1 Excludes agricultural business; real estate operators; medical, lop-al, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. -3 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance. Estimates based on expected capital expenditures as reported by business n late July and August 1972. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic #ndencies in expectations data, NOTE.—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not Railroad Air Other Public utilities Communication Commercial and other 2 1. 02 1. 26 1. 66 1. 99 2. 37 1. 86 1. 45 1. 86 1. 78 . 67 . 81 0. 52 . 40 1. 02 1. 22 1.74 2. 29 2. 56 2. 51 3. 03 1.88 2. 50 1. 65 1. 58 1. 50 1. 68 1. 64 1.48 1. 59 1. 68 1. 23 1. 38 1. 38 4.90 4. 98 5.49 6. 13 7.43 8.74 10.20 11. 61 13. 14 15. 30 17. 32 3. 85 4. 06 4.61 5. 30 6.02 6. 34 6. 83 8. 30 10. 10 10.77 11. 99 9. 99 10. 99 12.02 13. 19 14.48 14.59 15. 14 16. 05 16. 59 18. 05 19.99 04 08 23 30 . 46 . 88 . 72 . 64 1. 29 2. 28 1.68 2. 26 1. 33 1. 40 1.48 1. 33 14. 64 14, 91 15.87 15. 74 10. 70 11. 21 10.73 10. 44 17.39 17.72 17.85 19. 10 2.42 2. 38 2. 46 2. 52 2. 10 1. 88 1. 71 1. 56 1. 2. 2. 2. 1.48 1. 53 1. 49 1. 10 16.92 16.60 17.36 18.36 11.71 11. 59 2aio 96 89 57 59 19.88 32. 19 32 49 necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures donot agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Source: Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Civilian employment rose by 291,000 (seasonally adjusted) in August to a record 82.0 million, but the civilian labor force rose even more (393,000) and unemployment increased slightly. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 190 MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 90 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 85 H85 CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE uNEl vAI3LoY/v* Ehn £• v c- 5 E;^5 Oh4Airf *VC A SI"ED More w ^fflTp - XW Mr i + >,i 1967 1?<!>6 5= 3 1 96*J - r* Period 1967___ 1968___ 1969___ 1970.._ 1971... 1971: July. Aug_ Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec. 1972: Jan*. Feb__ Mar.. Apr. May. June. July, Aug_ Civilisin employ inent NonagriTotal cul- Unemployment Total labor force (including Armed Forces) jpersons 16 1 80, 793 82, 272 84, 239 85, 903 86, 929 88, 808 88, 453 86, 884 87, 352 87, 715 87, 541 80, 681 80, 618 79, 295 80, 065 80, 204 80, 188 76, 710 76, 853 75, 851 76, 595 76, 942 77, 240 5,330 5,061 4, 840 4,570 4,815 4,695 86, 727 87, 088 87, 240 87, 467 87, 812 87, 883 87, 147 87, 318 87, 914 87, 787 87, 986 90, 448 91, 005 90, 758 79, 106 79, 366 80, 195 80, 627 81, 223 82, 629 83, 443 83, 505 76, 237 76, 458 77, 101 77, 339 77, 692 78, 653 79, 383 79, 475 5,447 5,412 5,215 4,697 4,344 5,426 5, 173 4, 857 88, 801 88, 075 88, 817 88, 747 88, 905 88, 788 88, 855 89, 256 1 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. Source: Department of Labor. i \ 197 2 97 97< COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Thousands of 80, 793 74, 372 70, 527 2,975 82, 272 75, 920 72, 103 2,817 84, 239 77, 902 74, 296 2,831 85, 903 78, 627 75, 165 4,088 86, 929 79, 120 75, 732 4,993 Unadji jisted 10 T . *16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE! DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Total labor force (including Armed Forces) " ^ ) 19^>9 - Civiliein emplo yment Civilian labor force Total Agricultural years of age and o ver 77, 347 74, 372 3,844 78, 737 75, 920 3, 817 80, 733 77, 902 3, 606 82, 715 78, 627 3,462 84, 113 79, 120 3,387 *Seasonally adjuster I Nonagricul- oyment Labor Unem- Unempl force (pe rcent of participloy- rate civih'a Q labor pation ment for ce) rate1 Percent 70, 527 72, 103 74, 296 75, 165 75, 732 2,975 2, 817 2,831 4,088 4,993 3.8 3. 6 3. 5 4. 9 5.9 Unadj. 84, 750 85, 116 85, 225 79, 014 79, 199 79, 451 79, 882 80, 020 80, 098 3,374 3,407 8,863 3,416 3,419 8,400 75, 640 75, 792 76, 088 76, 416 76, 601 76, 698 4,916 6,114 5,040 4,918 5,096 5,127 6. 2 5. 9 5. 8 5. 4 5. 7 5. 5 85, 707 85, 535 86, 313 86, 284 86, 486 86, 895 86, 467 86, 860 80, 636 80, 623 81, 241 81, 205 81, 894 81, 667 81, 682 81, 973 8,393 3,357 3, 482 8,324 3,858 8,337 3,445 3,625 77, 243 77, 266 77, 759 77, 881 78, 041 78, 830 78, 237 78, 348 5,071 4,912 5,072 5,079 5,092 4, 728 4,785 4, 887 6. 4 6. 4 6. 1 5. 5 5. 1 6. 2 5. 8 5. 5 88, 980 84, 318 84, 491 60. 6 60. 7 61. 1 61. 3 61. 0 Seaso natty adju sted 5. 9 6. 1 6. 0 5.8 6. 0 6.0 5. 9 5. 7 5. 9 5. 9 5.9 5. 5 5. 5 5. 6 60.8 60. 9 61. 0 61. 0 61.2 61. 1 61. 0 60. 8 61. 2 61. 1 61. 1 61. 0 60.9 61. 1 'Data beginning January 1972 not strictly comparable with prior data because of adjustment to the 1970 Census data, which added 333,000 to the civilian labor force and 301,000 to civilian employment. SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT The overall unemployment rate edged up to 5.6 percent (seasonally adjusted) in August from the 5.5 percent rate of the previous 2 months. However, joblessness among married men declined from 2.7 percent in July to 2.6 percent in August, the lowest rate since June 1970. PERCENT PERCENT MO 10 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED LABOR FORCE TIME LOST .<-# \ UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 1972 1966 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISEES UneEaploymen t rate (percen t of civilijin labor for ce in grotip) Experi- Married enced All and men (wife workers wage salary present) workers Period 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 „ 3.8 3.6 3. 5 4. 9 2. 6 3. 2 Seasonal!.?/ adjusted 5. 9 5. 6 S. 1 6. 1 S. 2 5. 7 6. 0 8. 3 5. 7 5. 8 5. 5 3. 0 3. S f>. 7 6. 0 6. 0 6. 8 S. 2 5. 9 3. 0 5. 6 5. 7 2. 8 6.4 5. r> 5. 9 2. 8 5. 9 5. 8 2. 9 5.5 5.9 2. 9 5. 5 5. 0 2. 9 6. 5 5. S 2. 7 5. 6 5. 8 2. 0 5.9 1971: July _ Aug___ Sept__ Oct _ Nov ___ ___ ___ __ Dec_ 1972: Jan Feb.. Mar___ Apr May June _ _ July Aug _ _ Per cent 1. 8 3.6 1.6 3.4 3.3 1. 5 4. 8 5. 7 Persons at work in nonagn cultural in dustries by hours worked p>er week 2 Uiider 35 hoUTS Labor Part-time for Part-ti me for force economi e reasons economic3 reasons time lost l Over 40 35-40 hours Total hours Usually Usually Usually Usually partfullpartfulltime 3 time 4 time 3 time 4 Thousan ds of pers ons 16 ye*irs of age and over 4.2 20, 920 32, 616 13, 290 1,060 853 20, 600 32, 658 14, 785 4.0 895 820 3. 9 20, 608 34, 201 15, 210 855 955 18, 925 33, 537 18, 222 1, 201 5.3 995 19, 095 35, 752 16, 298 1, 184 C. 4 1,256 (Jnadjustec i Seasonall y adjusted 6. 8 17, 805 34, 528 13, 898 1, 094 1,939 1,148 1,290 1, 262 0. 5 17, 949 35, 307 13, 329 1, 752 1,278 1,147 6. 3 19, 964 36, 888 15, 081 1, 126 1,094 1,076 1,285 6.5 ! 19, 169 32, 957 21, 039 1, 080 1,166 1,148 1,354 1, 120 1, 191 1, 263 1, 341 a. 4 20, 249 37, 495 16, 294 6. 4 20, 239 37, 428 1 6, 799 1, 045 1, 153 1, 304 1,084 (>. 4 19, 176 36, 820 17, 008 1, 220 1, 101 1, 146 1,283 6. 1 19, 362 36, 460 17, 360 1, 147 1,087 1, 127 1, 176 1, 172 (>. S 21, 876 37, 517 17, 774 1, 140 1,155 1,261 6. 3 20, 239 37, 592 16, 571 1, 081 1,170 1,181 1,427 6. 3 20, 478 37, 468 16, 700 996 1, 117 1,102 1,319 5. 5 19, 989 37, 608 15, 169 1, 177 1,022 1,878 1,499 6. 0 18, 824 36, 143 14, 046 2, 140 1, 034 1,085 1,424 6. 2 19, 626 36, 103 13, 869 5 1, 190 5 1, 927 1,082 1, 406 1 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force man-hours. 2 Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 10), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and industrial disputes. ^ Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. *6 Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. Average hours worked: usually full-time, 22.9; usually part-time, 18.6. Source: Department of Labor; 11 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In August, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 347,000 lower than a year earlier. The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate declined sharply from 3.7 percent to 3.4 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) 1971 t I Y I JAN. V T t FEB. T MAR. I t f V ? i r I v t APRIL MAY JUNE t ( t JULY AUG. SEPT. A 11 prograrOS 1968 1969 1970 1971 » 1971: July. Aug Sept Oct* Nov v* Dec 1972: Jan» Feb» Mar15 ._ Apr »_v May June » __ July*— Aug» Week ended: 1972: Aug 5 12 19_ 26 Sept 2" 9* 12 Stiite progra ms Insured Total unem- benefits Insured Covered ploypaid unememploy- ment (milployment (weekly Lions ment averof dollars) age) Thou sands 57, 977 1, 187 59, 999 1, 177 59, 526 2,070 2,313 2,431 2, 349 2, 174 2, 129 2,311 2,666 3,097 3, 186 2,987 2,706 2, 106 1,951 2,087 1,811 2, 191. 0 2, 298. 6 4, 170. 1 5, 963. 3 467.7 483. 1 418.5 388.5 430.7 514.6 581.3 594.0 601.6 487.3 480.4 478. 7 445. 6 431. 8 1,930 1,852 1, 757 1,684 1,600 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators. DEC COUNOt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IABOR Period NOV. OCT. ><-: Initial claims Benefi ts paid Insurec1 unemploymec t as percovered Total Average Exhaus- cent of yment emplo (miltions weekly check lions of Unad- Season^ ad- dollars) (dollars) justed ally justed Weekly iiverage, t bousands 1, 111 16 201 16 200 1, 101 25 296 1,805 37 2, 150 295 342 1,993 37 282 1, 912 35 1,739 33 236 252 1,716 31 31 1,879 298 2,221 32 358 2,524 37 385 2,492 293 38 2, 280 242 41 39 2,006 237 35 1,736 216 1,634 250 30 321 1,823 27 1, 565 213 29 1, 713 1,636 1,555 1, 502 1,432 257 221 203 195 193 178 Source: Department of Labor; Per cent 2. 2 2. 1 3. 4 4. 1 3. 8 3. 6 3.3 3. 2 4*1 4.2 4*8 4-4 4.2 3.5 4.2 4.8 4.7 4.3 3.8 3.3 3. 6 3. 7 3.4 2.9 8. 7 3. 4 3. 1 3.2 3. 1 2.9 2.8 2.7 S. 8 3.4 3.5 8.5 3.6 0 / 2, 031. 6 2, 127. 9 3, 848. 5 5, 694. 5 425.4 433.6 377. 8 348.3 387.0 467.9 550.9 563. 2 574.0 459. 3 451. 5 449.7 403. 1 399. 7 43.43 46. 17 50. 34 55. 49 55. 23 56. 08 56. 25 53.07 53.31 57.85 55.35 56. 34 56.63 56.94 57. 22 57.31 56. 85 56. 89 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 279,000 (seasonally adjusted) in August as a result in part of decreased strike activity and the return to more normal operations in areas that had been affected by tropical storm Agnes. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED! MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 76 ^^ f-r*~r -^ (ENLARGED SCALE) 16 -^ 14 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABUSHMENTS <S8 V/HOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ftO4 V V NONMANUFAa LJR1NG (PRIVATE) ^ jfi . -—-. *•••"•* SERVICES \~ - '^ - DURABLE MANUFACTURING 12 v 10 *4 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING /MANUFACTURING -A, 20 - '(•MMMMNMun^nniMlt J.. „.„*«•«»«« IX CGOVERNMENT ,- CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION - 12 ft 41 I I I I I . 1 1 1 l " 1 f ! 1 f f f f 1 [I 1969 1970 ! ! 1 f I Y1 1 f f 1 I| | 1 I I » \ \ \U 1971 1972 1971 1970 1969 1972 COUNCIL OF KONOWC ADVISERS SOURCE DEPAItTMfNT Of LABOR [Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted] OnnvyUi-l"" Period I960 1967. 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971:, Tuly_ _ Aug.. Sept.. Oct... Nov., Dec.. 1972: Jan. _ Feb__ Mar.. Apr__ May_ June. July". Aug*. Total 63, 955 65, 857 67, 915 70, 284 70, 616 70, 699 70, 531 70, 529 70, 853 70, 848 71,042 71, 185 71, 584 71, 729 72, 030 72, 263 72, 558 72, 630 72, 592 72, 871 NonTotal Durable goods durable goods 19, 214 19, 447 19, 781 20, 167 19, 369 18, 610 18, 533 18, 457 18, 616 18, 560 18, 603 18, 566 18, 609 18, 690 18, 777 18, 870 18, 973 18, 999 18,915 18, 999 11,284 11,439 11, 626 11, 895 11, 198 10, 590 10, 552 10, 485 10, 597 10, 561 10, 572 10, 518 10, 574 10, 637 10, 696 10, 770 10, 857 10, 866 10, 849 10, 887 7,930 8, 008 8, 155 8,272 8, 171 8,020 7, 981 7, 1)72 8, 019 7, 999 8, 03 1 8, 018 8, 035 8, 053 8, 081 8, 100 8, 116 8, 133 8, 066 8, 112 Total tract Mining construclon 33, 950 35, 012 36, 288 37, 915 38, 712 39, 231 39, 186 39, 229 39, 382 39, 353 39, 452 39, 581 39, 877 39, 878 40, 046 40, 156 40, 292 40, 413 40, 344 40, 503 'Includes all full-and part-time wage and salary workers In nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed Cover nment N onmanu facturini 5 (private) Manufac Jturing (]srivate) 627 613 606 619 622 601 597 609 616 521 525 607 616 612 613 603 602 598 597 595 3, 275 3, 208 3, 285 3,435 3, 345 3, 259 3, 228 3, 219 3, 250 3, 290 3, 320 3, 245 3, 320 3, 236 3,272 3, 233 3, 256 3, 247 3, 177 3, 227 Trans- Whole- Finance, portainsursale tion ance, Services Federal State and and and andi local public retail real utilities trade estate 4, 151 4,261 4,310 4, 429 4, 504 4,481 4, 476 4, 428 4, 460 4, 442 4,434 4, 465 4, 502 4,479 4,536 4,522 4,539 4,539 4,520 4, 524 13, 245 13, 606 14, 084 14, 639 14, 922 15, 174 15, 158 15, 223 15, 273 15, 270 15, 278 15, 315 15, 447 15, 495 15, 518 15, 647 15, 671 15, 712 15, 716 15, 775 3,100 3, 225 3,382 3,564 3,690 3,800 3, 806 3,804 3, 821 3, 834 3,851 3,860 3,872 3,879 3,890 3,897 3,921 3,938 3, 930 3,940 9,551 10, 099 10, 623 11, 229 11, 630 11,917 11, 921 11,946 11, 962 11, 996 12, 044 12, 089 12, 120 12, 177 12, 217 12, 254 12, 303 12, 379 12, 404 12, 442 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,705 2,664 2,643 2,650 2,674 2,675 2,669 2,669 2,675 2,672 2,669 2,669 2,670 2,625 2,606 2,606 8, 227 8,679 9, 109 9,444 9,830 10, 194 10, 169 10, 193 10, 181 10, 260 10, 318 10, 369 10, 423 10, 489 10, 538 10, 568 10, 623 10, 593 10, 727 10, 763 persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of Industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates In this table are based on reports from employing establishments. Source: Department of Labor. JO WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek of production workers (seasonally adjusted) in private nonfarm industries was unchangec from July to August. The factory workweek, however, rose 0.1 hour to 40.7 hours. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 HOURS PER WEEK {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 MANUFACTURING TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE 44 42 40 38 36 34 Ui t i i i I i i i i i .1 i i t i l.i i i i i 1969 i i i t i Ii i f t i 1970 1971 i ii it Iiit i 1969 1972 42 1970 1971 1972 1970 1971 1972 42 CONTRACT RETAIL TRADE CONSTRUCTION 40 40 38 38 36 36 34 34 32 32 1969 1970 1971 1972 1969 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Average hours per week1] Total nonagricultural private 2 Period Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 3 i Total nonagricultural private 2 Unad justed 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: July Aug___ Sept. Oct Nov _ Dee 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July" Aug* sa 7 _ 1 3 Data relate to production 8 Also includes other private 38. 8 38.7 38. 8 38.6 38. 0 37. 8 37.7 37. 1 37.0 37. 3 37.4 37. 0 37.0 37. 0 37.3 36.7 36. 8 36.9 37. 0 36. 9 37.4 37.6 37.7 40. 4 40. 5 40. 7 41. 2 41. 3 40. 6 40. 7 40. 6 39. 8 39. 9 39.8 39.8 39.8 40.0 40. 2 40. 7 39. 8 40. 1 40. 3 40. 5 40. 5 40. 8 40.4 40. 7 workers or nonsupervisory employees. industry groups shown on p. 13. Includes eating and drinking places. 14 37. 0 37. 3 37. 2 37. 4 37. 6 37. 7 37. 4 37. 9 37. 4 37. 3 38. 1 38. 3 36. 9 38. 2 37.9 36.5 35. 8 36. 0 36.8 36. 6 36.8 37. 6 38.0 38.3 Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade a Seasonally7 adjusted 37. 4 37. 3 37. 0 36. 6 35. 9 35. 3 34.7 34. 2 33.8 33. 7 34. 8 34.7 33. 7 33. 5 33. 4 34. 1 33. 2 33. 0 33.2 33.3 33.3 34. 1 34. 8 34.8 36. 9 36. 9 36. 7 37. 0 37. 1 37. 2 37. 0 37. 2 37. 1 37.3 37.0 37. 2 37.2 87. 2 Source: Department of Labor. 40.0 39. 8 39. 5 39. 8 40. 1 40. 3 40. 0 40.5 40. 4 40.8 40.5 40. 6 40. 6 40. 7 37. 1 37.1 35. 7 37. 6 39. 0 36. 8 37. 4 37. 3 37.5 36. 7 36.6 36.8 37.0 37.1 33.8 33. 6 33. 6 38. 8 38. 7 S3. 9 S3. 7 33.5 83.6 33. 7 33. 7 33.8 88.8 33. 7 AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of private nonfarm production workers rose 2 cents in August to $3.64. Compared to year earlier, hourly earnings were up 5.5 percent and weekly earnings were up 6.4 percent. DOLLARS DOLLARS AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS 240 6.00 *~t " /*\jS CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 5.00 200 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION / 160 4.00 MANUFACTURING MANUFACTURING ,.,„«•»** 120 3.00 TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE •RETAIL TRADE 80 2.00 RETAIL TRADE !1 1 | ! | ! 1 I ! 1 I 1 ! 1 1969 1971 1970 I I I ! ! -! I I 1 1 ! I j 1 ! 1 1972 1969 1970 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or iionsupervisory employees] Average li ourly earn ings— curre;nt dollars Average \vreekly earrlings— current dollars Period 1962 ___ 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 _-._ _ 1971: Julv Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1972: Jan___ _ _ _ Feb Mar Apr __ _ May__ _ _ June r July Aug " Total nonagricultural private l $2. 22 2. 28 2. 36 2.45 2. 56 2. 68 2.85 3. 04 3. 22 3. 43 3. 43 3. 45 3. 49 3.49 3. 48 3. 51 3.54 3. 55 3. 57 3.60 3. 61 3. 62 3.62 3. 64 1 Also includes other 2 Includes eating and 3 Manufacturing $2. 39 2. 46 2.53 2. 61 2.72 2.83 3. 01 3. 19 3. 36 3. 57 3. 57 3. 56 3. 60 3. 60 3. 60 3. 69 3. 71 3. 72 3. 74 3.77 3. 79 3.79 3.79 3. 79 Contract construction $3. 31 3. 41 3. 55 3. 70 3. 89 4. 11 4. 41 4. 79 5. 25 5. 72 5. 68 5. 75 5. 86 5. 90 5. 90 5. 93 5.99 5. 98 5. 97 5. 99 6. 03 5. 97 5. 99 6. 06 Retail trade 2 $1. 63 1. 68 1.75 1. 82 1. 91 2. 01 2. 16 2. 30 2. 44 2. 57 2. 58 2. 57 2. 60 2. 60 2. 60 2. 61 2. 66 2. 66 2. 67 2.68 2. 68 2.69 2.69 2. 69 private industry groups shown on p. 13. drinking places. Earnings in current dollars adjusted to exclude the effects of overtime and Interindustry shifts. 83-678 °—72 2 Total nonagricultural private 1 Manufactur- Contract construction Retail trade 2 $85. 91 88. 46 91. 33 95. 06 98. 82 101. 84 107. 73 114. 61 119. 46 126. 91 127. 94 129. 03 129. 13 129. 13 128. 76 130. 92 129. 92 130. 64 131. 73 133. 20 133. 21 135. 39 136. 11 137. 23 $96. 56 99. 63 102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 142. 44 142. 09 141. 69 143. 28 144. 00 144. 72 150. 18 147. 66 149. 17 150. 72 152. 69 153. 50 154. 63 153. 12 154. 25 $122. 47 127. 19 132. 06 138. 38 146. 26 154. 95 164. 93 181. 54 196. 35 213. 36 216. 41 220. 23 216. 23 225. 38 223. 61 216. 45 214. 44 215. 28 219. 70 219. 23 221. 90 224. 47 227. 62 232. 10 $60. 96 62. 66 64. 75 66. 61 68. 57 70. 95 74. 95 78. 66 82. 47 86. 61 89. 78 89. 18 87.62 87. 10 86. 84 89.00 88. 31 87.78 88. 64 89. 24 89. 24 91.73 93.61 93. 61 Manufc icturing indu stries Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings, ings, 1 QA7 1967 i on 3 dollars 4 85. 7 $106. 58 87. 8 108. 65 90. 3 110. 84 92. 6 113. 79 95. 7 115. 58 100. 0 114. 90 106. 2 117. 57 112. 6 117. 95 119. 7 114. 99 127. 7 117. 43 127. 8 116.66 128.3 116. 04 129. 1 117. 25 128. 9 117. 65 129.0 118. 04 122. 00 131. 7 132. 7 119. 85 133. 2 120. 49 133.7 121. 55 134. 2 122. 84 134. 8 123. 10 134. 9 123. 70 122. 01 135. 2 122. 71 135.8 < Earnings in current dollars divided by the consumer price index. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production rose 0.5 percent, seasonally adjusted, from July to August. A strong increase in durable goods manufacturing, 1.1 percent, was partly offset by a decline in mining and public utilities. The higher August level reflected in part a pickup of production following the effect of the hurricane in late June. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 150 TOTAL 120 140 110 130 100 120 UTILITIES AN D MINING iJTILITIES ' 110 90 80 I I I I I I I I I II 1969 1 1 ! 1 ! 1970 1 1 ! 1I 1971 I 1 1 II I ! 1 1 1 100 ^-^\ -/yM^ ..-^-''' -~\/ I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1,1 ! 1 M 1 111 1M 1 1970 1969 1972 MINING X- / r'""N Mill 1 1 i/l M 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1972 1971 110 100 90 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 ^ 1971: July Aug __ __ Sept Oct Nov Dec___ 1972: Jan Feb Mar _ _ Apr May.__ _ _ June__ _ July » Aug » Total industrial production 72.2 71. 4 76. 5 75. 8 81. 7 81. 2 89. 2 89. 1 97.9 98. 3 100. 0 100. 0 105. 7 105. 7 110. 7 110. 5 106. 7 105. 2 105. 2 106. 8 105. 8 106. 8 105. 6 104. 2 107. 1 105. 7 106. 8 106. 1 107. 4 106. 0 108. 1 106. 2 108.7 107. 1 110. 0 108. 5 111. 2 109.7 112.8 111. 8 113. 2 112.3 113.4 112.8 113.7 ' 113. 0 114. 3 113. 6 69. 0 73. 5 79. 0 88. 5 99. 0 100. 0 105. 5 110. 0 101. 5 99. 4 100. 3 97. 4 99. 3 100. 1 99. 1 99. 5 100.4 102. 1 103. 4 105. 8 106. 3 106. 8 107.2 108.4 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 16 COUNCIL OF ECONOMiC ADVISERS [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Market MJmufacturi ng Firial produ 3tS InterTV/T -tConmediate Mining Utilities NonEquiprials Total Durable durable sumer Total ment products goods 75. 1 79. 2 84. 4 90. 0 97. 3 100. 0 106. 0 111. 1 110. 6 113. 6 113. 8 114. 0 115. 1 114. 7 115. 9 116. 0 116. 8 117. 8 118. 8 120. 3 120.8 121.3 121. 1 121.3 85.6 89.0 91. 1 93. 9 98. 4 100.0 103. 9 107. 2 109. 7 107. 0 105. 6 106. 3 105. 9 97. 7 102. 5 107. 8 107. 3 107. 2 108. 5 109. 0 107. 9 107.5 107. 1 106.0 70.2 75. 1 81. 9 86. 9 93. 6 100. 0 109. 4 119. 5 128. 3 133. 9 136. 2 134. 1 134. 0 135. 2 136. 0 135. 8 137.4 139. 7 139.7 140. 2 141. 1 141.8 141. 1 140.2 70.8 74.9 79. 6 86. 8 96. 1 100. 0 105. 8 109. 0 104. 5 104. 7 105. 0 104. 8 105. 5 105. 4 106. 1 106. 2 106. 4 107.6 108. 2 109. 8 110.2 110. 3 110. 1 110. 7 77.7 82.0 86. 8 93. 0 98.6 100. 0 106. 6 111. 1 110.3 115.7 116. 3 115. 9 116. 7 116. 6 118. 0 118. 0 118. 5 119.6 119. 6 122.0 122.2 122. 2 121.8 122.3 61. 9 65. 6 70. 1 78.7 93. 0 100.0 104.7 106. 1 96. 3 89. 4 89. 3 89.5 89.8 89.8 89.6 89. 6 89. 5 90.9 92.4 92.7 93. 4 93.3 93. 7 94. 6 76.9 81. 1 87. 3 93. 0 99. 2 100. 0 105. 7 112. 0 111.7 112. 6 114. 6 110. 9 112. 3 113. 2 114. 3 114. 9 115. 9 117.0 117. 3 117. 3 119. 3 119.3 119.2 118.7 72.4 77. 0 82. 6 91. 0 99.8 100. 0 105.7 112. 4 107. 7 107.4 106. 4 104. 8 107. 3 106. 6 106. 5 108. 4 109.2 110. 8 113. 1 115. 0 115.6 115. 9 116. 5 117. 5 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES •^reduction of most major durable manufactures (seasonally adjusted) rose in August with the largest increase occurring in primary metals. On balance, nondurables changed little. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY. ADJUSTED) 130 110 100 1969 1972 SOURCEi BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Durab le manufcictures Period Primary metals 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 p 1971: Julv Auo; Sept Oct _ _ _ . _ Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr_ _ . Mav.... June p July _ Aug v FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods cated Machin- tation and and apparel, petroand metal ery equipand prodprint- leum, and tobacco products ment ing leather rubber ucts 78. 2 84. 3 95. 7 104. 0 108. 8 100. 0 103. 2 114. 1 106. 0 100. 9 __ .. _. .. . . _ .. . Nc>n durable manufactu res 75. 9 78. 4 83. 3 92. 6 100. 5 100. 0 106. 3 113. 6 109. 4 107. 5 64, 8 67. 9 74. 3 84. 1 98. 6 100. 0 101. 9 106. 8 100. 3 90. 2 69. 3 75. 9 79. 6 91. 3 101. 2 100. 0 109. 7 107. 6 00. 4 02. 0 82.0 85. 8 91. 0 94. 7 98. 4 100. 0 104. 8 108. 6 106. 3 113. 0 84, 3 86. 9 91. 9 97. 8 101. 7 100. 0 104. 9 105. 9 100. 2 100. 7 74. 3 78.4 84. 5 90. 5 98. 9 100. 0 104. 2 109. 1 107. 8 107. 8 64. 5 70. 0 75. 9 83. 8 94. 1 100. 0 109. 6 118. 4 118. 2 124. 8 114. 1 113. 0 114. 8 118. 2 1 10. 4 121. 7 100. 100. 102. 102. 101. 103. 0 8 5 3 8 1 108. 4 108. 1 108. 2 100. 4 110. 5 110. 7 124. 7 126. 3 127. 5 126. 6 127. 9 127. 9 1 22. 0 1 1 0. 7 110. 0 110. 0 119. 1 121.8 121.0 102. 0 101. 1 103. 7 100. 1 104. 0 105. 8 104. 7 105. 0 111. 3 112. 6 112. 6 112. 3 114. 1 114. 7 115. 1 113. 9 129.8 132.6 133.4 136. 1 137.5 137.4 137. 3 138. 7 08. 0 81. 2 03. S 90. 1 01. 4 04. 3 110. 0 108. 2 105. 0 107. 1 107. 1 107. 0 07. 7 00. 7 07. 0 08. 3 07. 8 07. 0 03. 2 03. 0 04. 2 04. 5 03. 4 02. 7 102. 4 102. 0 105. 1 1 10. 2 1 1 3. 5 1 1 0. 7 1 \ 2. 8 115. 7 100. 0 JOS. 0 1 1 0. 1 1 1 0. 8 111. 0 1 1 2. 3 113. 9 114. 4 08. r> 02. 0 04. 7 05. 0 1 00. 4 08. 0 07. 4 08.2 08. 3 00. 5 100. 3 1 02. f> 1 03. 0 105. 1 104. 5 106. 2 84. 0 87. 0 90. 6 92. 6 97. 0 100. 0 103.6 107. 5 110.9 113.7 114. 1 113. 1 114. 2 113.3 115.8 115. 0 115.7 115. 9 116. 3 117. 6 11 7. 1 117. 6 117.2 117.4 Source: Board ol Governors ol the Federal 11eserve Syste tn. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Weekly indicators of production increased in August. The largest gains were for cars and trucks assembled and bituminous coal mined. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS J F M A J M F THOUSANDS BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS 40 SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Period \V eekly average : 1965 1966 1967 1968 __ 1969 ___ 1970 1971 v 1971: July Aug Sept__ _ Oct Nov__ Dec... 1972: Jan Feb Mar. Apr May June July Aug 9 _ _ _ Week ended: 1972: Aug 5 12 19 26 Sept 2 9 » 16 ». i Includes data for Alaska. 18 Steel p]reduced Index Thousands of net (1967= tons 100) COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboarc Car a and triicks power coal mined loaded produced assemb led (thoiisands) distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands (millions of of short Total Cars Trucks of cars) of tons) kilowatt-hours) tons) 1 2, 521 2, 572 2, 440 2,515 2,709 2, 522 2, 310 2,249 1, 303 1, 794 1,853 1,877 1,987 2,258 2,411 2, 616 2, 701 2,694 2,559 2, 340 2,439 103. 3 105. 4 100. 0 103. 1 111. 0 103. 4 94. 7 92.2 53.4 73. 5 76. 0 76. 9 81. 5 92. 5 98. 8 107.2 110. 7 110.4 104. 9 95. 9 100.0 20, 169 21, 971 23, 169 25, 244 27, 588 29, 317 30, 923 32, 781 32, 786 31, 887 29, 590 30, 227 31, 218 32, 655 33, 323 31, 692 31, 372 31, 402 34, 174 35, 905 36, 374 9,848 10, 267 10, 627 10, 485 10, 779 11, 595 10, 538 8,910 12, 797 11, 919 2, 768 5,486 11, 842 11, 243 10, 875 11, 546 11, 651 11, 961 10, 878 9,428 11, 582 562 570 540 543 543 522 486 431 494 502 445 441 449 456 465 494 507 515 514 459 521 410 446 439 479 507 489 501 463 516 503 528 517 475 505 539 562 552 572 561 520 567 213.7 199. 3 172.9 207.6 195. 8 158. 9 204. 8 131. 5 145. 7 215. 6 233.6 218. 6 171. 7 216. 3 226. 1 225. 1 249. 5 238.4 230. 7 120. 5 152. 8 179.4 165.4 142. 4 170.1 158. 1 125. 9 165. 0 106. 5 110. 2 172. 5 186. 8 175. 1 136. 9 169. 8 176. 5 175. 4 194. 3 185. 5 180. 9 93. 1 116.9 34.3 33. 9 30. 5 37.5 37.8 33. 0 39.8 25.0 35. 5 43. 2 46. 7 43. 5 34. 9 46.5 49. 6 49.7 55. 1 52.9 49. 8 27.4 35. 9 2,444 2,418 2,461 2,430 2, 524 2,496 2,496 100.2 99. 1 100.9 99.6 103. 5 102. 3 102. 3 36, 096 35, 363 36, 733 37, 540 36, 137 32, 949 11,450 12, 065 11, 575 11, 150 11, 670 10, 105 506 515 518 526 541 460 564 559 570 561 583 432 86. 4 107.5 165.4 195.4 209. 0 180. 7 241. 8 1 55. 9 76. 1 130.4 153. 3 168. 6 146. 6 193. 5 30.5 31.4 35.1 42. 1 40. 4 34. 1 48. 3 Sources: Airierlean Iron and Steel Institute, E dison Elect ric Institul Departinent of the Inte rior, Associatio n of American ] lailroads, ALinerican P ,e, aper Institute, and Ward\3 Automotive E eports. CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) in July were unchanged from the June level. A small decline in private outlays was offset by a rise in the public sector. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 40 40 20 20 1972 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 _ Total new construction expenditures 76.0 77.5 86.6 93. 4 94. 0 109.4 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total 52. 0 52. 0 59. 0 65. 4 65. 9 79.5 Private ResidLential CommerNew cial and Other housing industrial Total l units Billions of dol lars 19. 4 25. 7 26. 3 25. 6 19. 0 26. 4 30.6 24. 0 14. 7 13. 8 33.2 25. 9 16.0 16. 2 31. 9 24. 3 16. 3 17.8 43. 1 34.9 17.0 19.4 Federal, State, and local 24. 0 25. 5 27.6 2a o 28. 1 29.9 108.0 108.5 110. 2 111. 0 110. 7 114. 0 114. 6 115. 6 120. 8 121. 7 123. 0 120. 6 122.4 121. 4 121. 4 77.9 79. 7 80. 5 82. 1 81.6 82.4 84. 2 85. 2 88. G 90. 8 92. 6 91. 7 92. 6 92. 8 92. 4 41. 9 42.9 43.6 44.6 45. 6 46.4 47. 1 47. 9 49. 6 51. 9 53. 1 52. 8 52. 5 53. 0 53. 4 33. 8 34. 8 35. 7 36.7 37.5 37. 7 38. 0 38. 7 40. 4 42. 8 44. 0 43. 6 43. 3 43. 6 43.7 1 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately. 2 F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value index and beginning 1971 for floor space. 16. 9 17. 1 17. 8 17. 8 16. 4 16. 8 17. 3 17.3 18. 2 17. 9 18. 0 18. 1 18. 9 18.4 17. 7 94. 8 100.0 113.2 123. 7 123. 1 144. 3 Seasonally adjusted Seasonally / adjusted atinual rates 1971: May June July Aug_ _ _ _ Sept _. Get Nov Dec_ 1972: Jan Feb.- - _ Mar Apr May June _ _ July" Constructic>n contracts2 CommerTotal value cial and index, industrial (1967= floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 19. 1 19. 7 19. 1 19.6 19.6 19. 3 19. 8 20. 0 20. 8 21. 0 21.4 20. 9 21. 3 21.4 21. 3 30. 1 28.8 29.7 29.0 29. 1 31.6 30. 5 30. 3 32. 2 30. 9 30.4 28. 9 29.8 28. 5 29. 0 141 147 151 153 154 137 155 160 165 155 159 167 165 154 155 753 694 779 883 743 730 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 761 754 728 658 849 741 824 800 716 801 800 786 983 846 813 Sources: Department of Commerce and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division. 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING In August, private housing starts (seasonally adjusted) rose sharply by 1 2 percent, more than recovering the July drop. August starts totaled nearly 2.5 million units (annual rate), 103A percent above the August 1971 level. Permits for future housing increased 61/2 percent in August. MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 1966 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT, AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION i Thousands of units] Jlou sing star ts Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Julv Aug Sept. __ _ Get Nov_ Dec _ _ _ __ 1972: Jan Feb Mar _ _ _ _ Apr _ _ _ _ ._ Mav__ June— July * _ Augj p ___ Total Total private and private public (includ(including ing farm) farm) 1, 195. 9 1, 321. 9 1, 545. 5 1, 499. 6 1, 469. 0 2, 084. 5 197.0 205. 9 175. 6 181.7 176. 4 155. 3 150. 9 153. 6 205. 8 213. 2 227. 9 226. 2 205. 0 228. 3 Private Total (includingI farm) Total 1, 165. 0 1, 165. 1, 291. 6 1, 291. 1, 507. 7 1, 507. 1, 466. 8 1, 466. 1, 433. 6 1, 433. 2, 052. 2 2, 052. 194. 3 204. 5 173. 8 179. 7 173. 7 152. 1 149. 1 152. 2 203. 9 211. 6 225. 8 223. 1 204. 0 225. 9 0 6 7 8 6 2 1, 2, 091 2, 219 2,029 2,038 2, 228 2,457 2,487 2,682 2, 369 2, 109 2,350 2,330 2, 190 2, 457 One unit 778. 5 843.9 899. 5 810. 6 812. 9 151. 0 1, 162 1, 198 1, 172 1, 155 1, 242 1,347 1, 415 1, 325 1, 302 1, 167 1, 344 1,296 1,272 1,405 1 Authorized by issuance of local building permit: in 13,000 permit-issuing places beginning 1967:12,000 for 1963-66, and 10,000 prior to 1963. 3 Units represented by mortgage applications or appraisal requests for new home construction. 20 -Propose d home constr uction Gover nment home p rograms (noni"arm) Two or VA FHA more units 386. 4 129. 1 36. 8 447. 7 52. 5 141. 9 608. 2 56. 1 147. 7 656. 2 153. 6 51. 2 233. 5 620. 7 61. 0 901. 2 301. 2 94. 0 Seasona,lly ad jus ted annu al 929 1,021 857 882 985 1, 110 1, 071 1, 357 1, 067 942 1,006 1,034 918 1,052 288 325 294 299 293 383 378 287 262 219 189 177 173 99 103 98 98 105 104 116 118 125 104 98 98 106 102 New private housing units authorized l Applica- Requests tions for f o r V A FHA appraiscommitals 2 ments 2 971.9 1, 141. 0 1, 353. 4 1, 323. 7 1, 351. 5 1, 907. 4 rates 153. 0 167. 2 168. 9 187. 6 315. 0 366. 8 99. 2 124. 3 131. 7 138. 2 143.7 217. 9 2,034 1, 997 1,944 1,983 2,051 2, 142 2, 204 2, 056 2, 007 1, 991 1,955 2, 121 2, 108 2,246 392 359 343 351 291 450 333 326 260 221 217 217 223 234 218 253 231 207 228 232 224 207 248 197 219 203 199 Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Housing and Urban Development, and Veterans Administration. BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES |n July, business inventories rose by $0.4 billion (seasonally adjusted) while sales increased by 1.2 percent. According to advance reports, retail sales rose by 1.5 percent in August. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) 25 -DURABLE GOODS STORES TOTAL BUSINESS INVENTORIES 180 20 INVENTORIES 160 15 140 \ • 10 _TOTAL BUSINESS_ SALES 120 SALES 100 NONDURABLE GOODS STORES | INVENTORIES 60" RETAIL INVENTORIES 25 40 20 \ RETAIL SALES 20 15 1969 1970 1971 1972 1970 1969 1971 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total tmsiness 1 Wholesale Reitail Sales2 Period Sales 2 Inventories 3 Sales2 73, 685 80, 276 87, 178 89, 698 97, 100 103, 104 104, 407 111, 931 112, 647 111, 791 113, 910 113, 450 113, 191 115,757 115, 630 118, 426 118, 077 120, 669 121, 676 122, 793 122, 263 123, 713 111, 457 120, 900 136, 729 145, 108 155, 336 166, 694 174, 871 181, 055 178, 481 178, 775 179, 374 180, 071 180, 464 180, 313 181, 055 181, 387 181, 988 182, 514 183, 215 184, 458 184, 905 185, 296 14, 527 15, 595 16, 979 17, 099 18, 329 19, 726 20, 554 22, 280 22, 716 22, 621 22, 605 22, 549 22, 284 22, 739 22, 994 24, 351 23, 533 23, 884 24, 170 24, 260 24, 230 24, 367 Inventories 3 IMillions of 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: June— July Aug __ _ -_ Sept___ _ _ Oct Nov Dec _ 1972: Jan.. Feb Mar Apr Mav__ _ _ Junev July » Aug »__ _ _ _ 1 The 2 term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 22). Monthly average for year and total for month, s Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 1972 16, 977 18, 274 20, 691 21, 557 22, 528 24, 363 26, 604 28, 916 27, 333 27, 866 27, 795 27, 814 27, 928 28, 237 28, 916 29, 049 29, 181 29, 174 29, 574 29, 729 29, 641 30, 046 NonDurable durable Total goods goods stores stores dollars, seasonally aid justed 21, 823 7,049 14, 773 23, 677 7,849 15, 828 25, 330 8, 192 17, 138 26, 151 8,348 17, 803 28, 490 9,268 19, 222 29, 824 9, 626 20, 197 31, 294 9, 524 21, 770 34, 071 10, 985 23, 086 33, 827 10, 782 23, 045 33, 688 10, 747 22, 941 34, 655 11, 298 23, 357 35, 219 11, 833 23, 386 34, 964 11, 695 23, 269 35, 574 11, 885 23, 689 34, 896 11, 334 23, 562 34, 886 11, 475 23, 411 35, 345 11, 457 23, 888 36, 450 12, 087 24, 363 36, 287 11, 965 24, 322 37, 120 12, 272 24, 848 36, 802 12, 246 24, 556 37, 477 12, 508 24, 969 38, 024 12, 900 25, 124 Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores 31, 094 34, 405 38, 073 38, 952 41, 973 45, 376 46, 555 50, 474 49, 534 49, 592 50, 299 50, 844 50, 800 50, 377 50, 474 50, 542 50, 646 50, 890 51, 213 51, 907 51, 759 51, 362 13, 318 15, 253 17, 258 17, 277 19, 167 20, 647 20, 490 23, 124 22, 679 22, 707 23, 313 23, 769 23, 652 23, 306 23, 124 22, 930 22, 958 23, 025 23, 195 23, 510 23, 262 22, 699 Nondurable goods stores 17, 776 19, 152 20, 815 21, 675 22, 806 24, 729 26, 065 27, 350 26, 855 26, 885 26, 986 27, 075 27, 148 27, 071 27, 350 27, 612 27, 688 27, 865 28, 018 28, 397 28, 497 28, 663 NOTE.—Total business (and manufacturing) revised beginning 1966. Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers1 inventories rose by $0.4 billion (seasonally adjusted) in July, while shipments rose 1.0 percent. New orders for durable goods rose in August after a decline in July. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 70 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 110 MANUFACTlJRERS' TOTAL INVEN1fORIES r_^- 100 50 90 40 ^^ ^^^ TOTAL 80 DURABLE GOODS 30 DURABLE GOOC>s 70 20 —— ^—^ 60 -NONDURABLE GOODS - 50 40 MANUFACTlJRERS' NEW (DRDERS DURABLE GOODS 30 20 »..,M..H.HII.III»lf*>tHI ....an ,..«»••»••««"*« CCZI^ NONDURA iLE GOODS 40 ^~ 30 NO MDURABLE GOOE5S ,,,,,, 1 , , , , . 1 ! , I I 1 I 1 , . 1 i i . t t 1 i i i i i 1969 1971 1970 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 I 1 I |K 20 4. 1 . . . 1 . 1 1 . . V 1972 i i i i i 1 i i t ii 1970 1969 SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total NonDurable durable goods goods 19, 634 22, 216 24, 633 25, 212 27, 694 29, 459 28, 061 29, 886 30, 370 29, 798 30, 835 29, 799 30, 033 30, 792 30, 913 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 37, 335 41, 003 44, 869 46, 449 50, 282 53, 555 52, 560 55, 580 1971: June July 56, 104 55, 482 56, 650 55, 682 55, 943 57, 444 57, 740 59, 189 31, 965 59, 199 32, 041 60, 335 32, 683 61, 219 33, 581 61, 413 33, 705 61, 231 33, 129 61, 869 34, 059 34, 727 Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July1' Aug* 1 Monthly 2 17, 701 18, 788 20, 236 21, 236 22, 588 24, 096 24, 499 25, 694 25, 734 25, 684 25, 815 25, 883 25, 910 26, 652 26, 827 27, 224 27, 158 27, 652 27, 638 27, 708 28, 102 27, 810 Total NonDurable durable goods goods 22 , , . , 1 I , , , , I 1 ! I ! I 1 r ! t IN 1972 1971 Manufacture rs; new ordejrs 1 Total Durafc>ie goods NonCapital durable goods Total industries, goods nondefense Millions of dollars, seasonal y adjusted 63, 386 38, 436 24, 950 37, 952 20, 258 68, 221 42, 227 25, 994 41, 803 22, 986 77, 965 49, 818 28, 147 45, 944 25, 720 84, 599 54, 893 29, 706 46, 763 25, 526 90, 835 59, 053 31, 782 50, 267 27, 690 96, 955 63, 254 33, 701 53, 645 29, 548 101, 712 66, 829 34, 883 51, 663 27; 162 101, 665 65, 874 35, 791 55, 473 29, 768 101, 614 66, 400 35, 214 54, 728 28, 971 101, 317 66, 178 35, 139 55, 190 29, 486 101, 280 66, 093 35, 187 57, 122 31, 335 101, 413 66, 117 35, 296 55, 489 29, 653 101, 736 66, 025 35, 711 56, 290 30, 321 101, 699 65, 877 35, 822 57, 992 31, 294 101, 665 65, 874 35, 791 57, 883 31, 001 101, 796 66, 187 35, 609 59, 871 32, 554 102, 161 66, 422 35, 739 59, 792 32, 466 102, 450 66, 604 35, 846 61, 097 33, 328 102, 428 66, 575 35, 853 61, 685 34, 005 102, 822 67, 035 35, 787 62, 012 34, 302 103, 505 67, 427 36, 078 63, 734 35, 613 103, 888 67, 645 36, 243 62, 504 34, 664 35, 685 average lor year and total lor month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. * For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. , " COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturers' sh ipments1 Manufac turers' in\rentories2 Period HllitUIIIIHll"* .m.,...'""""""""""' Note.—Series revised beginning 1966. Source: Department of Commerce. Manufacturers' inventoryshipments3 ratio 6, 971 7, 694 6, 822 7,398 17, 694 18, 817 20, 224 21, 238 22, 577 24, 097 24, 500 25, 705 1.64 1.60 1.62 1.76 1.74 1.76 1.90 1.83 7,516 7, 213 7, 492 7, 471 7, 859 7,932 8, 131 25, 757 25, 704 25, 787 25, 836 25, 969 26, 698 26, 882 8, 166 8, 196 8,528 8, 785 9, 036 9, 228 9, 100 9, 119 27, 317 27, 326 27, 769 27, 680 27, 710 28, 121 27, 840 1.81 1.83 1. 79 1. 82 1.82 1.77 1.76 1.72 1.73 1. 70 1.67 1. 67 1. 69 1.68 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS The trade balance on a seasonally adjusted basis improved by $79 million in August, leaving a deficit of $463 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.5 35 3.0 3.0 2.5 ZS 2.0 ZO 1972 1966 T/ SEE ROTE BELOW. SOUtCEi DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCI COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] JNlerehandise export s Total (including ree xports) * Period Season- Unadally ad- justed justed Monthly average: 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970. 1971 Domestii3 exports Food, Crude bever- mate- Manu2 facTotal * rials ages, tured and to- and goods fuels bacco 1, 869 2, 153 2, 229 2,458 2,586 2,839 3, 111 3, 555 3,629 1, 845 2, 123 2,201 2,421 2,554 2, 802 3,066 3, 502 3,576 3,338 3, 366 4, 220 2, 826 3,221 4, 056 3,815 3, 780 4, 310 3, 887 4, 143 3,293 3, 319 4, 166 2, 774 3, 177 3, 999 3, 760 3, 723 4, 250 3, 812 4, 074 3, 942 349 386 377 432 392 383 370 422 423 315 361 356 367 394 405 417 558 537 1, 191 1, 377 1, 453 1,602 1, 737 1, 985 2, 232 2, 445 2, 537 468 515 586 394 471 044 567 527 Oil 567 565 557 510 547 2, 362 2, 353 2, 934 2, 020 2, 247 2, 738 2, 601 2, 632 3, 119 2, 754 2, 917 2, 762 2, 543 2,715 Mercb andise irnports Gen eral impc>rts 3 2 Food, Crude Total bever- mateSeasonages, rials ally ad^ Unad- and to- and justed bacco justed fuels 1,428 1, 562 1, 786 2, 135 2, 241 2, 769 3, 004 3, 329 3, 797 All£ 8,493 8, 678 4,505 2,708 8, 160 8,858 4,221 8,806 8,891 8, 760 8, 914 S, 905 4, 019 4, 202 1 4, 015 3, 000 3, 946 3, 002 3, 874 385 384 508 294 395 536 506 485 420 396 508 528 41)6 541 Total excludes Department oi Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies 2 and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. 3 Total arrivals oi imported goods other than intransit shipments. 396 419 453 476 447 503 533 545 606 672 759 937 1, 204 1, 313 1, 719 1, 918 2, 159 2,534 441 590^ 444 323 345 70 107 226 -168 2,367 2,462 2, 760 2,414 2,454 2, 822 2,820 2,763 3,401 2, 918 3,254 3, 306 2, 928 3,232 —800 — 251 268 -815 — 218 -270 — 819 — 598 -584 — 699 — 552 — 590 -542 -46S Unad usted U Q ad juste d 1971: July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May_ June_ July 322 335 334 382 392 447 442 519 534 Grossmerchandise tradeManu- surplus, seasonfactured ally adjusted goods ,*>', 793 3, 928 /,, 237 V, 523 6', 379 4, 128 4,540 4, 40S 4,475 4, 460 4,466 4, 495 4, 561 4,664 3, 693 3,838 4,246 3, 463 3, 522 4,279 4,280 4, 177 4,844 4,248 4, 722 4,767 4, 314 4,727 565 616 714 352 353 606 631 626 554 544 604 614 548 632 629 640 659 571 598 710 702 673 756 659 731 715 712 728 NOTE.—Data adjusted to include silver ore and bullion reported separately prior to 1969. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. BALANCES ON GOODS, SERVICES, AND TRANSFERS Preliminary data show a second quarter deficit for merchandise trade of $7.7 billion, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, compared to a deficit in the first quarter of $6.7 billion. This $1 billion deterioration in the merchandise trade balance was reflected in the current account balance, which showed a deficit of $9.8 billion in the second quarter compared to a deficit of $8.7 billion in the first. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES 1966 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Merchandis e 1 2 Period Exports 1966 1967 1968.. 1969 1970 1971 Imports Net balance Netijavestmenti ncome Milit*j,ry transactions Direct expenditures Sales Net balance Private 3 29, 287 -25,463 3,824 -3,764 829 30, 638 -26,821 3,817 -4, 378 1,240 612 -4,535 1,392 33, 576 -32,964 36, 417 -35,796 621 -4,856 1,512 41, 963 -39,799 2, 164 -4, 852 1,479 42, 770 -45,459 -2,689 -4,817 1,923 -2,935 5,331 -3,138 5,847 -3, 143 6, 157 -3,344 5,820 -3,374 6, 376 -2, 894 8,952 Se«asonally a d justed 44, 068 -42, 912 1,156 -4, 700 2,040 1971: I II 42, 840 -46, 888-4, 048-4, 856 2,064 III__. 45, 916 -47, 804-1,888 -4, 792 1,896 rv_ 38, 256 -44, 232 -5,976 -4, 920 1,692 1972: I 47, 236 -53,928 -6,692 -4, 872 1,336 II "... 45, 852 -53,568 -7,716 -4,928 1,288 1 Excludes military grants. 2 Adjusted from Census data 2 -2, 660 -2, 792 -2, 896 -3,228 -3,536 -3,640 for differences in timing and coverage. Includes fees and royalties from U.S. direct Investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States. 24 7,596 9,408 8,152 10, 652 8,928 8,960 Re- mitBal- tances, Balpenance Other ance and on on sions, trans- servand curU.S. porta- ices, goods and other rent Govtion net servuniac1 ern- expendices < lateral count ment itures transfers 1 44 — 1, 380 5, 170 -2,890 286 2,280 40 - 1, 763 334 5,136 -3,081 2,055 63 - 1, 565 302 -484 2,425 -2,909 155 - 1, 784 442 1,911 -2,946 - 1, 035 574 -115 -2, 061 3,563 -3,208 356 -957 -2, 432 748 727 -3, 575 -2,847 annual nites Net travel -404 -1,992 -644 -2, 500 -1,308 -2,424 -1,472 -2,812 - 1, 480 2,716 - 1, 720 -2,848 848 4,544 -3, 164 720 144 -3,384 728 364 -3, 784 688 -2, 148-3, 968 800 -4, 696-3,960 776 -6, 188 -3,580 1,380 -3, 240 -3,420 -6, 116 -8, 656 -9,768 * Equal to net exports of goods and services in the national income and product accounts of the United States. Source: Department of Commerce. U.S. OVERALL BALANCES ON INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS The balance of payments showed a significant improvement in the second quarter over the first quarter 1972. Preliminary estimates show a decline in the official reserve transactions deficit from $1 3.0 billion to $3.5 billion and a decline in the net liquidity deficit from $12.4 billion to $9.6 billion, at seasonally adjusted annual rates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 20 BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT AND LONG-TERM CAPITAL \ -50 -60 1972 1966 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Long-term capital flows, net Period 1966__ 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 U.S. Government 1 Private 3 Balance Non- Alloliquid cations shortcurrent of term account special private and longdrawcapital on capital Net omissions, liquid- Liquid private capital ity flows, net balance ing flows net2 Official reserve transactions balance rights net 2 -1,469 -2,555 -1,744 -104 -2,424 -2,912 — 3,280 -522 -2, 159 1, 198 -1,444 230 -50 -3,011 -640 — 1,926 -3,059 -482 -2,018 -1,398 -2,378 -4, 149 -9, 374 -2,420 U.S. Changes and Errors -302 -2, 151 2,370 219 -881 -4,683 1,265 -3,418 -399 -1,610 3, 251 1,641 -2, 470 -6, 122 8, 824 2,702 867 -1, 174 -3,851 - 5, 988 -9,839 717 — 10, 927 - 22, 002 -7,763 -29,765 in lia- Changes oflicial in U.S. reserve official to assets, reserve foreign net ofiicial assets, (end of 4 net agencies, period) net 3 bilities -787 568 14, 882 52 14, 830 -761 -880 15, 710 -1, 515 - 1, 1875 16, 964 7,362 2,477 14, 487 6 2,348 12, 167 27, 417 3,366 Unadjusted Scjasoiiiilly adjusted annual ra tes 1971:1 II III... IV 1972:1 II"___ -2,808 -3, 688 — 5, 116 — 2 130 -2,336 — 6, 420 — 1 1, 990 -1 2(50 -2,232 -7, 532 -13, 184 — 3 532 -2, 132 1, 040 - 7, 208-2 752 -1, 372 -4, 30S -14, 33(> 2 152 -530 1 2, 630 -7, G()S 1,648 720 716 716 716 712 712 -3, 776 -10, 344 -21, 520 -8, 072 3, 400 -4, 308 Excludes liabilities to foroliin iliciul reserve* agencies. ^Private foreigners exch do tl * I M F , but include other international and regional organizations. a Includes liabilities to fo eitfn ( flicial agencies reported by U.S. Government and U.S. banks and U.S. li ibilili >s to the I M F arising from reversible gold sales to,4 and gold deposits w i t h , he U lited States. Oflicial reserve assets ir chide gold, special drawing rights, convertible currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. 8 Includes gain of $67 million resulting from revaluation of the German mark in October 1969. -10, 308 -22, 884 -37, 520 -17, 316 -12, 376 -9,616 -11,392 -21,700 -2, 980-25,864 - 10, 204-47, 724 -6,476 -23,792 -648 - 13, 024 6, 164 -3,452 18, 972 23, 228 42, 948 24, 540 11, 308 4,376 14, 13, 12, — 748 6 12, 1,716 12, -924 7 13, 2,728 2,636 4,776 342 504 131 167 270 339 6 Includes $28 million increase in dollar value of foreign currencies revalued to reflect market exchange rates as of Dec. 31,1971. 7 On June 30, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $10,490 million, special drawing rights, $1,958 million; convertible currencies, $457 million; gold tranche position, $434 million. Includes increase of $1,016 million resulting from change in par value of the U.S. dollar on May 8. Sources: Department of Commerce and Treasury Department. 25 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index rose 0.2 percent in August, both before and after seasonal adjustment. Food prices rose contraseasonally 0.3 percent/ after seasonal adjustment they were up 0.5 percent. Commodities other than food increased 0.1 percent (0.3 percent adjusted). Services prices averaged 0.2 percent higher in August. Index, 1967=100 1 140 Index, 1967=100 140 100 100 90 90 1966 1972 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IA8OR [1967 = 100] All items Period 1962 1963 1964_ 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May_ June July Aug. Source: Department of Labor. 26 - _ 90.6 91.7 92. 9 94. 5 97. 2 100. 0 104. 2 109.8 116. 3 121. 3 121. 8 122. 1 122. 2 122.4 122. 6 123. 1 123. 2 123. 8 124. 0 124. 3 124.7 125. 0 125. 5 125. 7 All commodities 92.8 93. 6 94. 6 95.7 98. 2 100. 0 103. 7 108.4 113. 5 117. 4 118. 1 118.2 118. 1 118.4 118. 5 118. 9 118.7 119. 4 119. 7 119. 9 120.3 120. 7 121. 2 121.4 Services Commoditie*3 Comm odities ICE53 fOOd Services All Rent Food less Nonservices Durable durable All rent 85. 5 94. 0 91. 8 89. 9 94, 1 97. 6 86. 8 87. 3 92.7 95.0 91. 2 88. 5 94. 8 97. 9 89. 2 90. 2 95.9 92. 4 93. 5 98.8 95.6 91. 5 98.4 94, 8 92. 2 96. 9 94. 4 96.2 97.0 95. 8 95. 3 99. 1 98. 2 98. 5 97.5 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100.0 100.0 100. 0 102. 4 104. 1 105. 2 105. 7 103. 6 103. 1 103.7 105. 7 112. 5 113. 8 108. 8 108. 9 107. 0 108. 1 121.6 110. 1 113. 1 123. 7 112. 5 114. 9 111. 8 117. 0 128. 4 115. 2 130. 9 118. 4 116. 8 116. 5 131. 2 116. 7 115. 4 119. 8 128.8 117.0 117. 5 131. 9^ 116. 9 129.4 117. 2 115. 8 120. 0 117. 1 132. 3 129. 8 116. 1 116. 4 118. 2 119. 1 117. 4 132. 5 117. 1 130.0 116.4 118.9 118. 7 118.0 132. 9 116. 6 119. 0 117. 4 118. 7 130. 4 118. 1 133. 3 117. 2 118. 8 130. 8 116. 9 120. 3 118. 1 131. 5 134. 1 117. 3 120. 3 117. 1 117.7 118. 1 134. 4 122.2 118. 4 117. 5 117. 1 131.8 117. 8 134. 7 132. 0 117. 3 122. 4 118. 9 117.7 118. 2 132.4 119. 1 122.4 117. 7 135. 0 118. 5 118. 1 119.7 132.7 118. 4 135. 3 119.2 118.3 122.3 119. 5 133. 1 135.7 119. 2 118.8 123. 0 119.4 119. 3 133. 5 119.0 124. 2 136.2 119. 4 119. 6 119.4 119.4 136.4 124. 6 119. 7 133. 8 119.5 WHOLESALE PRICES The wholesale price index increased 0.2 percent unadjusted in August and 0.6 percent after adjustment for seasonal variation. Farm products and processed foods and feeds declined 0.2 percent, much less than the usual August decline/ seasonally adjusted they were up 1.4 percent. Industrial commodity prices were up 0.3 percent (0.4 percent adjusted). Index, 1967=100 130 Index, 1967=100 130 105 100 95 95 90 90 1966 1972 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] Period 1962... 1963 1964 . 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 _ __ _ 1971 1971: July Aug Sept _ Oct Nov .... Dec 1972: Jan_ Fob Mar Apr__ May June July Aug 1 _. _._ All commodities Farm products Processed foods and feeds 94,8 94.5 94.7 96. 6 99. 8 100. 0 102. 5 106. 5 110. 4 98.0 96. 0 94. 6 98. 7 105. 9 100. 0 102. 5 109. 1 111. 0 91. 9 92. 5 92. 3 95. 5 101. 2 100. 0 102. 2 107. 3 1 1 2. 0 112. <) 114. :; 114. 1M. 114. 114. 1 1 3. 4 11G. 0 115. 4 1 14. 6 114. 1 114. 4 115. 9 117. 2 118. 8 118. 6 117. 7 118. 6 119. 6 121. 5 121. 0 1 1 3. 9 _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___ 6 «.) 5 4 114. 5 _ ___ ___ 115. 4 1 1 6. 3 117. 3 1 1 7. 4 117. 5 118. 2 118. 8 119. 7 119. 9 li:i 2 no. r, 111. 3 1 1 2. 2 115. S 117. 8 120. 7 119. 7 119. 1 122. 2 124.0 128. 0 128. 2 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this index. 2 Excludes crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and leaf tobacco. Iiidustrial c ommoditi es All industrials1 94, 8 94. 7 95. 2 96. 4 98. 5 100. 0 102. 5 106. 0 110. 0 114, 0 114. 5 115. 1 115. 0 115. 0 114. 9 115. 3 115. 9 116. 5 116.8 117. 3 117. 6 117. 9 118. 1 118. 5 Crude mate-2 rials 95. 6 94. 3 97. 1 100. 9 104. 5 100. 0 102. 0 110. C> 118. 8 122. 7 122. 7 122. 3 123. 0 122. 9 122. 6 123. 4 125. 6 127. 0 129. 1 129. 3 129. 9 129.8 130.2 132. 3 Inter- Producmediate er finmate-3 ished rials goods 95. 3 95. 0 95. 6 96. 9 98. 9 100. 0 102.6 106. 2 110. 0 114. 3 114, 9 115. 9 115. 9 115. 7 115. 6 115. 8 116. 4 117. 2 117. 6 118. 2 118. 6 119. 0 119. 2 119.5 92. 2 92. 4 93.3 94. 4 96. 8 100. 0 103. 5 106. 9 111. 9 116. 6 116. 8 117. 1 116. 9 117. 1 117. 0 117. 8 118. 4 118.8 119. 0 119. 3 119.4 119. 6 119. 7 119. 8 Consur tier finished g<x>ds exeluding* foods NonDurdurable able 98.3 97.8 98. 2 97. 9 98.5 100. 0 102. 2 104.0 107. 1 110. 9 111. 0 111. 1 110. 4 111. 3 111. 3 112. 6 112. 9 113. 2 113. 1 113.2 113. 1 113. 2 113. 5 113. 6 94. 8 95. 1 94.8 95.9 97. 8 100. 0 102. 2 105.0 108.2 111. 3 111.6 111. 8 111. 9 111. 7 111. 7 111.8 112. 0 112. 1 112. 4 112. 7 113. 1 113. 5 113.8 114. 2 3 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended August 1 5, prices received by farmers increased 1 percent while prices paid were unchanged. The actual parity ratio was unchanged and the adjusted ratio rose 1 point. Index, 1967=100 130 Index, 1967=100 130 100 90 90 RATIO y RATIO J/ 90 90 RATIO (ACTUAL) 80 80 70 10 70 60 60 1966 1967 1969 1968 1971 1970 1972 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14-100 BASE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by rarmers Period All farm products 1962 1963 . 1964 1965 1966___ 1967 1968 1969 _ _ _ 1970___ 1971.. 1971: July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15 Oct 15 NovlS Dec 15 1972: Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 June 15 July 15 Aug 15 96 96 93 98 105 100 103 108 110 112 112 113 111 114 115 116 119 122 120 119 123 125 127 128 1 Crops 103 106 106 103 105 100 101 97 100 107 109 107 104 106 109 108 111 110 108 112 115 116 116 119 Prices paid by far mers All items, Family Livestock interest, Producand living tion taxes, and products wage rates items items Index, ] 967-100 92 89 85 94 105 100 104 117 118 116 114 117 117 118 119 122 126 131 129 125 129 131 136 135 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 2 The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to farmers- 28 90 91 92 94 98 100 104 1 09 114 120 120 120 121 121 121 122 123 124 124 125 125 126 127 127 91 92 93 95 98 100 104 1 09 JH 119 119 120 120 120 120 121 121 123 123 123 124 124 125 125 Source: Department of Agriculture. 94 95 94 96 99 100 102 106 HO 115 116 116 116 116 117 117 118 118 119 120 120 121 122 122 Parity ratio * Actual 80 78 76 77 80 74 73 74 72 70 69 69 68 70 70 71 72 73 72 71 73 73 75 75 Adjusted a 83 81 80 82 86 79 79 80 77 74 73 74 72 74 74 75 78 79 77 76 79 79 80 81 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK The seasonally adjusted money stock grew at a 6.2 percent annual rate in August, after growing at a 15.2 percent revised annual rate in July. From December to August it rose at an 8.3 percent annual rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 300 250 150 -^pr 150 1966 1972 SOURCE. BOARD Of GOVERNORS OF THE FIDIRAl RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1966: 1967: 1968: 1969: 1970: 1971: 1971: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan.. Feb Mar __ Apr_. __ May June July * Aug » ___ . __. ___ _ _ ___ __ [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] ]Vloney sto 5k IVloney sto ck U.S. Time Time GovCurCurand and ernDeDerency rency ment mand savings mand savings outTotal outTotal dede- 1 demand dedel l side side posits deposits1 posits banks posits banks posits * 1Qnadjusted Seasonallyf adjusted 133.4 171. 7 3.4 38. 3 39. 1 137. 8 156. 9 158. 1 176.9 40. 4 183. 1 142.7 41. 2 183.4 147.4 182. 1 5.0 188. 6 154. 0 197. 4 43.4 204.2 44. 3 5.0 159. 1 203. 2 203. 4 203. 7 46.0 157. 7 194, 1 162. 9 5.6 46. 9 193. 2 209. 8 214.8 165. 8 49.0 228. 9 221. 2 50. 0 7.3 171. 3 228. 1 52. 5 228. 2 175. 7 269. 9 6.7 53. 5 181. 5 269. 0 235. 1 175. 8 51.6 227.4 256.4 51. 9 174.1 6.8 255.5 226.0 51. 7 228. 0 176.3 257.3 51. 9 224.9 173.0 258. 1 6.8 175. 7 51. 9 259. 6 51. 9 227. 6 174 3 7.5 260. 3 226. 2 52. 2 52. 2 175. 5 26a 3 227. 7 264, 1 175. 3 5.3 227. 5 52. 2 175. 5 52. 8 265. 3 176. 9 3.9 227. 7 229. 6 265.5 228. 2 52. 5 175. 7 269. 9 181. 5 53. 5 6. 7 269.0 235. 1 274.4 176. 0 52. 6 182. 7 273. 7 52. 8 7.2 235. 3 228. 8 178.0 52. 6 176.4 278. 1 277. 3 229.0 7.2 231. 2 53. 2 179. 9 279. 9 53. 2 53. 7 178. 1 233. 5 231. 3 7.7 280.8 282. 8 180. 9 54. 0 53.6 283. 1 235.0 182.6 236. 1 7.6 287.0 54. 0 54.4 181. 1 177.3 10.4 231. 3 286.9 235. 5 290. 9 181.9 180.1 54.6 290.0 234.7 236.6 54.7 6.8 293. 7 292. 7 184,5 239.4 237.9 55. 3 182.6 7.2 54.9 297. 1 182. 0 185. 5 55. 3 237. 3 298. 1 240.6 55.1 5.3 i 1 Deposits at commercial banks. NOTE.—Effective June 9,1066, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from time deposits and from loans at all commercial banks. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOLDINGS - NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS Liquid assets held by private nonfinancial investors (seasonally adjusted) rose $8.6 billion in August, following o revised increase of $10.1 billion in July. The largest increase was again in time deposits at nonbank thrift institutions. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 \ CURRENCY AND DEPOSITS 500 500 400 400 I I I I I t I t i l l 30QH ; 1966 1967 t I I i i I i. I 1969 1968 1970 " f H] 300 1972 1971 SOURCE, BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Cum3ncy and deposits Period 1965: 1966: 1967: 1968: 1969: 1970: 1971: 1971: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec___ July Aug__ _ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June.. _ July 9 Aug » Total liquid assets 557. 7 588. 2 637. 5 694.6 719. 7 770.6 850.5 823. 3 827.6 831. 6 838. 3 842. 8 850. 5 858. 2 867. 8 876. 6 886. 0 894. 2 904. 0 914. 1 922.7 Time d eposits Total 447. 4 469. 6 516. 0 559. 6 576.2 623.6 709.8 684. 8 688.7 692.6 698. 1 703.0 709. 8 719. 7 729.6 738.3 745.2 751. 0 758. 0 766.5 773. 7 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 30 Currency 36. 3 38.3 40.4 43.4 46. 0 49.0 52. 5 51. 6 51. 7 51. 9 52. 2 52.2 52. 5 52. 8 53. 2 53. 7 54.0 54.4 54. 7 54.9 55. 1 Demand deposits 115. 5 117.3 125. 2 135. 2 138. 1 144.7 153.4 153.9 154. 1 153. 5 153.3 153.0 153.4 153.8 155.6 157.4 158.4 158.2 158.5 160.6 161.4 Commercial banks 125. 2 136. 8 156. 2 174. 2 177.0 198. 8 232. 2 221. 7 222. 4 224, 0 226. 5 228. 9 232. 2 237. 2 240. 2 242. 3 243.7 246. 2 249.2 251. 0 253.3 U.S. Grovernment se eurities Nonbank Savings thrift institu- bonds tions 170.4 177. 3 194. 2 206. 8 215. 2 231. 1 271.7 257.5 260. 5 263. 1 266. 1 268. 9 271. 7 275. 8 280. 5 284. 9 289. 1 292. 2 295. 6 300.0 304.0 49. 5 50. 1 51. 0 51.4 51. 1 51. 3 53.7 52.7 52. 9 53.1 53.3 53. 5 53.7 53. 9 54. 2 54. 5 54.8 55. 1 55.3 55. 6 55.9 Other 38.2 43. 3 39. 5 46. 8 62. 5 53.0 39. 2 42.7 43.0 41.7 41.0 40. 6 39.2 36. 6 35. 9 36.0 36. 5 37. 1 38. 5 38.4 38. 2 Negotiable certificates of deposit 15. 5 15.0 19. 5 22. 7 9. 1 23. 2 30. 2 27.3 27.5 28. 1 29. 2 28.9 30.2 29. 9 30. 5 30.2 31. 6 33. 2 34. 0 35.0 36. 2 Commercial paper 7. 1 10.2 11. 5 14. 2 20. 8 19.5 17.7 15. 8 15. 6 16. 1 16.7 16. 8 17.7 18. 1 17.7 17.7 17.9 17.9 18. 1 18. 6 18. 8 i &ANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans and investments (seasonally adjusted) rose at a 19.9 percent annual rate in August, and at a 12.8 percent annual rate from December to August. Net borrowed reserves rose $123 million in August. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 500 500 400 400 300 300 BANK LOANS 200 200 100 100 INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES. INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 1 ) i I I I I I I M L I I 1..1 I \ I I ! I 1966 1967 i I i i i Ii i i i 1968 I I ! I I 1I I1 1969 ! ! I ! I I I Li ! I 1970 \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Bank Weekly debits reporting outside large comNew York mercial Total Investr nents City (232 banks Loans, End of period loans excluding centers) , and seasonally interU.S. GovOther Commercial investbank ernment securi- and indus- adjusted ments annuall securities ties trial loans rates Billions of dollars 3 3 316. 1 3 213. 9 53. 5 60.7 1966 48. 7 3,440 352. 0 231. 3 59. 3 3, 765 61. 4 1967 65. 8 390. 6 61. 0 71.4 4,360 258. 2 73.1 1968 4 4 402. 1 * 279. 4 5, 150 *51. 5 71. 2 1969 81. 5 435. 9 5 292. 0 5, 717 58. 0 5 85. 9 1970 81. 7 60. 7 83. 8 104. 5 1971 485. 7 320. 6 6, 443 309. 7 82. 3 468. 4 60. 9 6, 686 97. 8 1971: Aug___ 472. 4 59. 9 99. 5 83.4 313. 0 6, 68% Sept 6, 466 477. 2 101. 1 59. 1 83. 0 Oct 317. 0 82. 6 102. 2 (>, V97 479. 8 58. 8 Nov 318. 7 6, 860 485. 7 320. 0 83. 8 60. 7 1 04. 5 Dec 81. 7 59. 7 106. 0 325. 7 491. 4 1972: Jan 6, 844 01. 0 328. 5 107. 1 S2. 4 496. (i 7, 014 Fcb v 504. :j 108. 7 02. 2 333. ,'i 83. 8 7, 164 Mar v 334. <S 62. 4 84.8 505. 8 1 OS. 0 7, 868 Apr v 7, 461 02. 8 110. 7 84. 7 340. 3 May p- - - 513. 8 6 110. 0 514. 0 85. 0 02. 8 341. 2 7,501 June 518. 4 110. 7 345. 9 61. 8 85. 2 July p» 7,867 526. 3 353. 6 61. 0 85. 0 111. 7 Aug All comnaercial bank s (s easonally adjusted dabta) 1 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. 2 Averages oi daily figures. Annual data are for December. »Effective June 1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans about $1.1 billion) are excluded from loans at all commercial banks, and certain «rtificates of CCC and Export-Import Bank totaling about $1 billion are included n other securities rather than in loans. ,1 1972 AJl membe r banks Total reserves 23, 830 25, 260 27, 221 28, 031 29, 265 31, 329 30, 455 30, 802 30, 860 30, 953 :U, 329 :.J2, 865 3.1, 922 31, 921 32, 565 32, 812 32, 539 33, 021 33, 155 2 Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions o ' dollars 392 557 345 238 455 765 257 1,086 321 272 107 165 198 804 206 501 207 360 263 407 165 107 173 20 124 33 233 99 136 109 104 119 204 94 147 202 261 439 -165 107 -310 -829 -49 58 -606 -295 -153 -144 58 153 91 134 27 -15 110 -55 -178 * Beginning June 1969, data include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries; earlier data include commercial banks only. 8 As of June 1971, Farmers Home Administration notes totaling about $0.7 billion are classified as other securities rather than as loans. 6 Excludes $0.4 billion due to loan reclassification at a large bank. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Seasonally unadjusted consumer credit rose $1.2 billion in July. A year earlier the rise was $1.0 billion. Seasonali> adjusted instalment credit rose $1.0 billion in July. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 END OF MONTH 140 140 TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING 120 120 100 100 80 80 NONINSTALMENT CREDIT <*• lt»*W'tin»Htii „.„......,.«..»" •««•»•«""""""""»•"•"•*'"iiiilllillillltlt"1" 20 1 1 I I 1 I t 1 ! T t I 1 1 1 1 1 l i t 1 I ...I I f 1 1 1 1 20 I 1 1 I I I 1 I 1 11 12 12 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED {ENLARGED SCALE) \ .INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED 70 8 10 8 6 6 INSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID i i i i r I i i i i i 1 1 1 i il 4 1967 1966 1969 1968 4 1971 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1972 [Millions of dollars] Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of p eriod; Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended umadjusted) and r 3paid (seas onally adjiisted) [nstalment To tal Automob ile paper NonAutomo~" l Total Total bile Personal instal-2 Extended Repaid Extended Repaid ment paper loans 1963 1964 1965____ 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 71, 739 80, 268 90, 314 97, 543 102, 132 113, 191 122, 469 126, 802 137, 237 55, 486 62, 692 71, 324 77, 539 80, 926 89, 890 98, 169 101, 161 109, 545 22, 254 24, 934 28, 619 30, 556 30, 724 34, 130 36, 602 35, 490 38, 310 15, 618 17, 848 20, 412 22, 187 24, 018 26, 936 29, 918 31, 612 34, 432 16, 253 17, 576 18, 990 20, 004 21, 206 23, 301 24,300 25, 641 27, 692 63, 591 70, 670 78, 586 82, 335 84, 693 97, 053 102, 888 104, 130 117, 638 56, 825 63, 470 69, 957 76, 120 81, 306 88, 089 94 609 101, 138 109, 254 22, 126 24,046 27, 227 27, 341 26, 667 31, 424 32,354 29, 831 34, 638 19, 254 21, 369 23, 543 25, 404 26, 499 28, 018 29 882 30, 943 31, 818 1971: June July___ _ _ Aug Sept Oct___ _ _ _ Nov Dec 127, 388 128, 354 129, 704 130, 644 131, 606 133, 263 137, 237 101, 102, 104, 104, 105, 107, 109, 862 848 060 973 763 097 545 36, 349 36, 763 37, 154 37, 383 37, 759 38, 164 38, 310 32, 351 32, 680 33, 134 33, 420 33, 575 33, 977 34, 432 25, 526 25, 506 25, 644 25, 671 25, 843 26, 166 27, 692 9,715 9, 675 10, 049 10, 156 10, 031 10, 572 10, 130 9, 190 8, 914 9,222 9,157 9, 107 9,306 9,230 2,838 2, 773 3,004 3, 147 2, 992 3, 162 2,973 2,678 2, 565 2,697 2,732 2,634 2, 662 2, 696 1972: Jan___ Feb Mar Apr May June July 135, 830 135, 253 136, 135 137, 791 139, 963 142, 215 143, 456 108, 826 108, 634 109, 481 110, 734 112,477 114, 567 115, 832 38, 111 38, 239 38, 762 39, 337 40, 119 41, 104 41, 678 34, 300 34, 448 34, 683 35, 098 35, 552 36, 051 36, 334 27, 004 26, 619 26, 654 27, 057 27, 486 27, 648 27, 624 10, 184 10, 339 10, 996 10, 777 10, 998 11, 118 10, 811 9,547 9, 373 9,632 9,681 9, 557 9,791 9,784 2,978 3,046 3, 143 3,194 3,239 3,398 3, 182 2, 761 2,693 2, 693 2, 767 2, 748 2,851 2, 835 1 Also includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 3 End of Deriod, unadjusted. 32 Mortgage debt outstanding nonfarm, 1- to 4family houses 3 182, 200 197, 600 212, 900 223, 600 236, 100 251, 200 266, 800 280, 200 307, 800 290, 900 299, 700 307, 800 313, 800 323, 500 I Sources: Board of Governors oi the Federal Reserve System and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES With the exception of the yield on Baa corporate bonds, interest rates rose sharply in late August and early September. The rise in the yield on 3-month Treasury bills was particularly steep. PERCENT PER ANNUM IN- PERCENT PER ANNUM CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MOODY'S) TAXABLE GOVERNMENT BONDS 1966 1967 1968 1972 1969 SOURCE: SEE TABIE BH.OW Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970___ 1971 1971: July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Week ended: 1972: Aug 18__ 25__ Sept 1__ 8__ 15__ 22__ 1 3 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Govcjrnment secui•ity yields municipal 3-month bonds Taxable 3-5 year Treasury 3 2 (Standard4 & bonds l issues bills Poor's) 3. 549 3.22 4. 15 4,06 3.954 4.21 3.27 4.22 4.881 3. 82 4.65 5.16 4.321 3.98 4.85 5.07 5.339 5.26 4.51 5.59 6. 677 a 12 5. 81 6.85 6. 458 6. 51 6. 58 7.37 4. 348 5. 74 5. 70 5.77 5. 405 6. 31 5. 91 6.77 5. 078 r>. 78 5. 95 6. 39 4.668 5. 56 5. 52 5. 96 4.489 5. 24 5. 46 5. 68 4. 191 f>. 30 5. 48 5. 50 f>. 36 4. 023 5. 62 5. 42 5. 62 3. 403 5. 25 5. 33 r>. 67 5. 33 3. 180 r>. 51 5. 30 3. 723 5. 66 5. 74 5. 74 5. 45 3. 723 6. 01 5. 26 3.648 5. 64 5. 69 3.874 f>. 59 5. 37 5. 77 5. 59 4, 059 5. 39 5. 86 5. 29 4. 014 5. 59 5. 92 3. 956 4.058 4.332 4. 569 4. 759 4. 633 5.87 5. 94 6. 11 6. 19 6. 20 5.57 5. 56 5.62 5.66 5. 68 2 Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond Issues. April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. *fi Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (7 percent beginning February 18,1971) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. 5.23 5. 29 5. 35 5. 37 5. 37 Corporalbe bonds (Moo dy's) Aaa Baa 440 4.49 5. 13 5. 51 6.18 7. 03 8. 04 7. 39 7. 64 7. 59 7. 44 7. 39 7. 26 7. 25 7. 19 7. 27 7.24 7. 30 7. 30 7. 23 7. 21 7. 19 7. 7. 7. 7. 7. 19 17 16 19 23 4.83 4.87 5.67 6.23 6.94 Prime commercial paper 4-6 months 8. 19 3. 97 4.38 5.55 5. 10 5.90 7.83 7. 72 5. 11 5. 75 5. 73 5.75 5. 54 4. 92 4,74 4. 08 3. 93 4.17 4. 58 4. 51 4. 64 4. 85 4.82 8.19 8. 16 8. 15 8. 11 8. 09 4.85 4.88 4. 95 5. 09 5. 13 7.81 9. 11 8. 56 8. 76 8. 76 8.59 8. 48 8. 38 8. 38 8. 23 8. 23 8.24 8. 24 8, 23 8.20 a 23 FHA new home mortgage yields 5 5.45 5.46 6.29 6. 55 7.13 a 19 9. 05 7.78 7.89 7. 97 7.92 7. 84 7.75 7. 62 7. 59 7.49 7.46 7.45 7. 50 7. 53 7.54 7. 54 7. 55 Sources: Department of Housing and Urban Development, Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS From mid-August to mid-September, the stock market declined on balance and in every major sector except public utilities. Index, 1941-43=10 index, 1941-43=10 120 COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOCKS 110 110 100 100 90 rx 90 80 80 70 PERCENT PERCENT MONTHLY DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS j i i t . i. i i I i i j I I . RATIO PRICE/ EARNINGS RATIO ON COMMCDN STOCKS \ x—-—-—-^—————~ ^ 15 10 /I ! 1 ! ? 1966 1 1 1967 1 r^ -x ! ! 1968 ^s*^ ^-| ^^ 15 f f ? 1 1 1971 1970 1969 i i i i t i i t i i IN 2 RATIO SOURCE STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION 1972 I N 10 N COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS l Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov . _ ... Dec 1972: Jan Feb _ Mar Apr May June July Aug Week ended: 1972: Aug 4 11 18 25 Sept 1 8 15 Total Total 85.26 91. 93 98.69 97. 84 83. 22 98. 29 97. 24 99. 40 97. 29 92. 78 99. 17 103. 30 105. 24 107. 69 108. 81 107. 65 108. 01 107. 21 111. 01 91.08 99. 18 107. 49 107. 13 91. 29 108. 35 107. 26 109. 85 107. 28 102. 21 109. 67 114. 12 116. 86 119. 73 121. 34 120. 16 120. 84 119. 98 124. 35 109. 13 111. 03 111. 87 111. 62 110. 76 110. 56 108. 92 122. 124. 125. 124. 123. 123. 121. 32 50 43 89 89 65 78 Price index Industrials Capital Consumers' goods goods 1941--41:3=10 84. 86 74. 10 96. 96 79. 18 105. 77 86. 33 103. 75 87. 06 80. 22 87. 87 102. 80 99. 78 99. 82 100. 90 104. 55 103. 34 100. 66 101. 31 95. 51 97. 47 103. 92 103. 78 109. 69 106. 45 113. 90 109. 42 116. 89 113. 20 120. 19 115. 05 119. 65 112. 67 120. 92 113. 43 119. 13 112. 57 124. 47 116. 17 121. 61 125. 49 125. 76 125. 47 124. 02 123. 16 120. 92 1 Includes 600 common stocks: 425 Industrials, 55 public utilities, and 20 railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures; all2 other weekly Indexes are averages of daily figures. Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields 34 116. 117. 117. 116. 114. 114. 112. 07 26 00 14 39 90 86 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 08. 21 68. 10 66.42 62. 64 54. 48 59. 33 57. 51 56. 48 57. 41 55. 86 57. 07 60. 19 57. 41 57. 73 55. 70 54. 94 53. 73 53.47 54. 66 46.34 46.72 48.84 45. 95 32. 13 41. 94 43. 55 47. 18 44. 58 41. 19 43. 17 45. 16 45. 66 46. 48 47. 38 45.06 43. 66 42. 00 43. 28 3. 40 3. 20 3.07 3. 24 3. 83 3. 14 3. 18 3. 09 3. 16 3. 31 3. 10 2. 96 2. 92 2. 86 2. 83 2. 88 2. 87 2. 90 2.80 53.28 53. 89 54.48 55.87 55. 68 55. 72 55. 21 42. 41 43. 14 43.34 43.67 43. 64 43. 20 42. 55 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio 3 14. 92 17. 52 17. 20 16. 57 15.91 18.86 18. 31 20.79 17.81 17. 01 84 80 78 77 81 81 84 are1 averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday flpures. Eatio of price index for last day in quarter to quarterly earnings (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT In fiscal year 1972 there was a deficit of $23.0 billion, the same as the deficit in fiscal 1971. In the first month of fiscal 1973 there was a deficit of $3.4 billion/ a year earlier the deficit was $5.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 260 260 220 220 100 — {ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) +20 +20 SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) -20 -20 -40 -40 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 FISCAL YEARS J/ ESTIMATE SOURCES, TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973^ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period Receipts Fiscal year: 1961 1962 1963 1964 Outlays Surplus or deficit (— ) Federal debt ( end of period) Total * Held by the public 94. 4 99. 7 106. 6 112. 7 97. 8 106. 8 111. 3 118. 6 -3.4 -7. 1 -4.8 -5.9 292. 9 303. 3 310. 8 316. 8 238. 6 248. 4 254. 5 257. 6 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 118.4 134. 7 158. 3 178. 8 184. 5 -1.6 -3.8 -8.7 -25. 2 3.2 323.2 329.5 341.3 369.8 367. 1 261. 6 264. 7 267. 5 290.6 279. 5 1970 1971 1972 » 19732 193. 7 188. 4 208. 6 225. 0 196. 6 211. 4 231. 6 250. 0 -2. 8 -23. 0 -23.0 -25. 0 382.6 409. 5 437. 3 477.0 284. 9 304. 3 323. 8 356. 0 13. 2 15.2 18. 6 18. 6 -5.3 -3.4 415.7 442.5 308.6 327.5 First month: Fiscal year 1972 Fiscal year 1973 _ _ __ _ ___ 12 Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF. Estimates. Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. 35 FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In fiscal year 1972 both receipts and outlays were $20.2 billion higher than in fiscal 1971. In the first month of fiscal 1973, receipts were $2.0 billion higher than a year earlier while outlays were the same in both periods. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS - 20 20 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES I I I 180 180 OUTLAYS 140 140 NONDEFENSE 100 100 80 80 NATIONAL DEFENSE 60 ! 40 1962 I 1963 ) 1964 60 ! 1965 f 1966 1967 1968 . YEARS 1969 1970 1971 SOURCESi TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET 40 1972 1973 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Recei]pts ()utlays Natio nal defense Period Fiscal year: 1961_ 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 9 19731 First month: Fiscal year 1972... Fiscal year 1973... 1 Estimates. 36 Total Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes 94. 4 99. 7 106.6 112.7 41.3 45. 6 47.6 48.7 nas 4as 21. 0 20. 5 21.6 23. 5 25. 5 30. 1 34. 0 28. 7 36. 7 32. 8 130.9 149. 6 153.7 187.8 193. 7 18R4 208.6 225.0 55.4 61. 5 68. 7 87.2 90.4 86.2 94.8 99.0 32. 0 35.5 13.2 15.2 6.5 7.4 L1 2a 8 .9 Other Total Department of Total Defense, military 32. 1 97.8 33.6 ioas 37.4 111. 3 40.5 118. 6 42. 6 na 4 45. 3 134. 7 54. 1 15a3 56. 3 178. 8 63. 9 184. 5 70. 5 196.6 75.4 211.4 81.7 231. 6 90.5 250. 0 47.4 51. 1 52.3 53. 6 49. 6 56. 8 70. 1 80. 5 81. 2 80. 3 77.7 78.2 78.3 43.3 46.9 48. 1 49. 6 46. 0 54.2 67.5 77.4 77. 9 77. 2 74.5 75.0 75.9 18. 6 18.6 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.8 6.8 Interna- Health tional and Inaffairs income terest Other and security 3.4 4.5 4. 1 4. 1 4. 3 4.5 4.5 4. 6 3.8 3.6 2. 9 3.7 3.7 .3 .3 22. 1 8. 1 23. 7 a3 9. 2 25. 5 26. 8 9.8 27.4 10.4 31.5 11. 3 37.8 12.6 43.7 13.7 49.3 15.8 56.7 18. 3 70.2 19. 6 81. 5 20. 6 89.7 21. 6 37.7 41. 1 47. 7 56.7 1.7 1.7 5.2 5.2 6.2 6.2 Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. 16.8 19.2 20.3 24. 2 26. 7 30.6 33.2 36.2 344 IEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS Federal expenditures exceeded receipts by $21.6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 260 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 260 240 140 120 +20 +20 _ SURPLUS Q ra - H SH W ill ipj ms • 111Hi «* - xxJ -40 JI 1 | £££ -90 1| -~'X\ V& " DEFICIT I f f ! f 1967 1966 f ! f 1968 ! ! . f• ! 1969 CALENDAR YEARS \ \ \ - f 1970 i 197 i I f ! 1972 ! -40 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Feeleral GOT*fernmenl b expend]itures Federal (jovernm ent receip ts Period Fiscal year: 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 i _ _ _ Calendar year: 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 Personal and Total tax nontax receipts Subsidies Less: GrantsPurless in-aid Wage Corpo- Indirect Contrichases Trans- to State Net current accruals rate business butions Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus of less for profits tax and and disnontax social inments local paid Governtax accruals accruals surance services government en- bursements terprises ments 160. 6 190. 4 195. 0 193. 0 211. 0 71. 4 89. 9 93. 7 87. 1 99. 2 33. 7 37. 4 33. 1 32. 0 33. 5 17. 1 18. 6 19. 2 20. 1 20. 1 38. 3 44. 4 49. 0 53. 8 58. 2 172. 5 94, 9 185. 7 99. 4 196. 3 98. 3 212.8 95. 8 233. 1 103. 1 44.8 50.7 56. 8 69. 8 78. 5 17.8 19. 2 22. 6 27. 0 32. 8 10. 9 12. 3 14. 0 14. 3 13. 5 151. 2 175. 0 197. 3 191. 6 199. 1 67. 5 79. 7 94. 8 92. 4 89. 6 30. 7 36. 7 36. 6 30. 4 33. 1 16. 3 la 0 19.0 19. 3 20. 5 36. 7 40. 7 46. 9 49. 5 55. 9 163. 6 181. 5 189. 2 204. 5 220. 8 90. 7 98. 8 98. 8 96. 5 97. 8 42. 2 15. 8 52,4 63. 3 75. 0 20. 3 24. 5 29. 3 10. 2 11. 7 13. 1 14, 6 13. 6 196. 4 !!___ 198.2 III.. 199. 1 IV.. 202. 8 86.6 88. 1 89.8 93.8 33. 9 34. 4 33.2 31. 1 20. 9 20. 2 20. 0 20. 8 55. 0 55. 6 56. 1 57. 0 212. 221. 222. 227. 4 96. 2 2 96. 3 2 97. 9 5 100. 7 69. 1 76. 8 76. 3 77.8 27. 1 29. 5 29.8 30.8 14. 0 13. 6 13. 6 13. 3 5. 1 221.4 224. 9 105.8 107. 3 34. 0 35.2 19. 9 19. 7 61.7 62. 6 236. 3 105. 7 246. 5 108. 1 79. 4 80. 4 32.4 13.1 13.8 5.6 6.0 1971: I 1972:1 II... 1 Preliminary: based on seasonally adjusted quarterly data, except for contrlmtions, which have been adjusted for change in the tax law. 4a 2 1&7 sa i 4,1 4. 1 4. 7 5. 9 5. 3 4.6 4, 1 4, 6 5. 5 5.2 6.0 4.6 5.0 2 $39 million. Source: Department of Commerce. 0.0 .0 .1 — .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 o Surplus or rlofir»i-f dencrc (-), income and product accounts -11.9 4. 7 — 1. 3 — 19. 7 — 22. 1 -12.4 -6.5 ai -12.9 — 21. 7 .0 .0 .0 — 16.0 -23.0 — 23. 1 -24,7 .0 — 14.8 — 21. 6 .1 —. 1 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE U.S. POSTAGE AND FEES PAID GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits.. Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment Page _ __ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 10 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balances on Goods, Services, and Transfers U.S. Overall Balances on International Transactions 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 26 27 28 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings 29 30 31 32 33 34 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 35 36 37 NOTE.—Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures arc current dollars. * Indicates preliminary and not available. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Price 25 cents per copy, $3 per year ; §4 foreign. Domestic air mail, $3.60 additional per year. 38 U.S. G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G O F F I C E : 1972