Full text of Economic Indicators : September 1961
The full text on this page is automatically extracted from the file linked above and may contain errors and inconsistencies.
87th Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators SEPTEMBER 1961 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1961 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 500 °f Public Law 304, 19th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman SENATE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) CLAIBORNE PELL (Rhode Island) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) PRESCOTT BUSH (Connecticut) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) JOHN MARSHALL BUTLER (Maryland) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) WM,, SUMMERS JOHNSON, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Deputy Executive Director and Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS WALTER W. HELLER, Chairman KERMIT GORDON JAMES TOBIN [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 20 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.00 per year (foreign, $2.75) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON 25, B.C. Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $4.60 per year. The I960 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is now available at 60 cents a copy. Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment iv 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 9 10 11 12 13 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Trade Sales and Inventories Manufacturers' Sales, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balance of Payments 14 15 16 17 13 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. 31 32 ill TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product rose $15.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), or 3.1 percent, from the first to the second quarter of 1961, accordins to recent revisions. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Business Persons Period 1951 1952 1953... 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1959: Third quarter.. Fourth quarter. 1960: First quarter. _. Second quarter. Third quarter. _ Fourth quarter. 1961: First quarter. _. Second quarter.. Personal Disposable consumption personal expenditures 227. 5 238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308.8 317.9 337.3 351. 8 338. 7 342.3 345.7 352. 7 354. 4 354.9 354. 3 361.8 209.8 219. 8 232.6 238.0 256.9 269.9 285. 2 293. 2 314.0 328.9 316. 5 320.0 323. 8 329. 9 329.7 332.3 330.7 336. 1 International Personal Gross Excess saving Gross private of (+) or retained domestic investearn-2 disinvestment saving ings ment 17.7 18. 9 19.8 18. 9 17.5 23.0 23. 6 24. 7 23. 4 22. 9 22. 3 22. 3 21. 8 22. 8 24. 6 22. 7 23.7 25.8 56.3 49. 9 50.3 48.9 63.8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 68.2 71.8 78. 9 74. 6 70. 5 65.6 59.8 68.8 3.1.5 33.2 34. 3 35.5 42. 1 43. 0 45. 6 44. 8 50.7 51.7 49.7 51.4 52.0 51. 9 51. 7 51.2 50.4 -24. 8 -16. 6 -16.0 -13. 4 -21.8 -24. 3 -20. 5 -11. 9 -21.7 -20.7 -18. 5 -20. 4 -26. 9 -22. 7 -18. 8 -14 4 -9.4 Foreign Net exports of goods net and services transfers by Govern- Net ExImment exports ports ports 2. 1 1. 5 1. 6 1. 4 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.9 1.5 1. 6 1. 5 1. 6 1. 6 1.5 2.4 1. 3 —. 4 1. 0 1. 1 2.9 4. 9 1.2 -. 7 3. 0 —. 5 .0 1. 8 2. 3 3.0 5. 1 5. 3 3.9 17. 9 17.4 16. 6 17. 5 19. 4 23. 1 26. 2 22. 7 23. 1 26.7 24. 0 24 1 25. 6 26. 7 26. 8 27.6 27.6 26.4 15.5 16. 1 17.0 16. 5 18. 3 20. 2 21.3 21. 5 23.8 23. 6 24 5 24 0 23. 9 24 4 23. 8 22. 4 22.3 22. 5 Excess of transfers ( + ) or of net exports 0.2 .2 2.0 .4 .4 1. 5 3. 5 .1 2. 3 1. 5 1. 8 1.9 -.3 7 1." 5 3. 5 3.7 2.4 Government Surplus ( + ) or deficit PurTrans- (-) on Tax and TransTotal income fers, nontax chases fers, Net and interest, of goods expendi- interest, receipts receipts and and sub- product and subor tures 4 account sidies accruals sidies Net receipts Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 .... 1959 1960 1959: Third quarter.. Fourth quarter. 1960: First quarter. _. Second quarterThird quarter. _ Fourth quarter. 1961 : First quarter Second quarter,. 1 66. 6 72. 2 75.7 68. 5 78. 4 84 2 87. 5 82.0 949 102. 0 95. 3 94 4 103. 5 103. 3 101. 5 99. 7 97. 1 85. 5 90. 6 94 9 90. 0 101. 4 109. 5 116. 3 115. 1 129.3 139. 1 129. 3 130. 4 139. 5 140. 1 138.8 138.3 136. 8 Expenditures 18. 9 18.4 19. 2 21. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 344 37. 1 34.0 36. 0 36.0 36. 8 37.3 38. 6 39.7 41.2 60. 5 76. 0 82.8 75.3 75. 6 79. 0 86. 5 93. 5 97. 1 100. 1 98. 1 96. 5 96. 9 99. 6 101. 9 101.6 105.0 107. 3 Personal Income (p. 3) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penal.). llstrihuted corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, consi inption allowances, and excess of wage accruals over disbursements, ford MI investment with sign changed. •mn <>nt transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Govern:st paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of 'ntorprises. IV 79. 4 94 4 102.0 96. 7 98.6 104 3 115. 3 126. 6 131. 5 137. 2 132. 1 132.5 132. 9 136. 4 139. 2 140. 2 144 7 148. 5 18. 9 18.4 19. 2 21. 5 23.0 25.3 28.7 33.1 34 4 37. 1 34 0 36.0 36.0 36. 8 37. 3 38. 6 39. 7 41. 2 6. 1 -3.9 -7. 1 -6.7 2. 9 5.2 1.0 -11.4 -2. 2 1. 9 -2. 8 -2. 0 6.5 3.5 —. 5 — 1. 9 -7.9 Gross Total Statis- national income tical product or discrepor receipts ancy expenditure 327.7 345. 6 364 1 362.3 396. 5 421. 6 443. 4 446. 0 484 4 507. 1 485.0 490. 0 502.7 509.5 509. 1 507. 4 503.4 1.2 1. 4 1. 3 .9 1.0 -2.4 -. 6 — 1. 5 — 1. 7 -2.6 -2.8 -1.8 -1. 1 -2. 9 -4 0 -2. 9 -2.6 * Not available. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. 329. 0 347. 0 365. 4 363. 1 397.5 419. 2 442. 8 444 5 482. 8 504 4 482. 3 488. 3 501. 6 506. 4 505. 1 504 5 500. 8 516.1 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product in current prices (seasonally adjusted) rose 3.1 percent in the second quarter of 1961; when adjusted for price changes, the increase was 2.8 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 500 400 400 200 200 100 1955 1961 SOURCE".. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period OOOHQC OTECONOMIC ADVISERS ' [Billions of dollars] Government purchases of goods Total Personal Gross Net services gross Total conexports private national gross sump- domestic of goods Federal tion product national and Total Total * National in 1960 product expend- invest- services ment defense2 Other prices itures and State and local Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1960= 1001 1949_ __ __ 1950 1951 1952 1953 __ _ 1954_ __ __ _ 1955 1956 1957 1958_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1959 _ _1960 384. 2 862. 8 S91. 8 406. 6 425. 2 416. 6 449.6 459. 1 467. 6 459. 9 491. 0 504. 4 258. 1 284. 6 329. 0 347. 0 365.4 363. 1 397. 5 419. 2 442. 8 444. 5 482. 8 504. 4 181.2 195.0 209. 8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269.9 285.2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 22.2 33.0 40.2 3.8 19. 3 50.0 39.0 .6 56.3 60. 5 2.4 38. 8 49. 9 52. 9 1. 3 76.0 50. 3 58. 0 82.8 —.4 48. 9 75. 3 1.0 47.5 63. 8 1. 1 75.6 45.3 2.9 79. 0 67.4 45.7 66. 1 4. 9 86. 5 49. 7 56. 6 52. 6 1. 2 93. 5 72. 4 53. 5 -.7 97. 1 72. 4 52. 9 3.0 100. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 13.6 14. 3 33. 9 46.4 49.3 41.2 39. 1 40. 4 44. 4 44. 8 46. 2 45. 5 a9 5.2 5.2 6.7 9.0 6.7 6. 6 5. 7 5. 7 8.3 7.8 8.0 17.9 19.7 21. 7 23. 2 24. 9 27. 7 30.3 33. 2 36. 8 40. 8 43. 6 47. 2 77.2 78. 6 84.0 85.3 85. 9 87. 2 88. 4 91.3 94. 7 96.7 98.3 100. 0 1959: Third quarter. _ _ Fourth quarter— _ 1960: First quarter Second quarter. _ Third quarter Fourth quarter _ _ 1961: First quarter Second quarter- 488. 8 493. 1 504. 5 507. 6 504- 1 501. 2 496. 1 510. 1 482.3 488. 3 501.5 506. 4 505. 1 504. 5 500. 8 516. 1 316. 5 320. 0 323. 8 329. 9 329. 7 332. 3 330. 7 336. 1 68. 2 71. 8 78. 9 74. 6 70. 5 65.6 59. 8 68. 8 46. 3 45. 9 45. 5 45. 5 45. 4 45. 7 47. 2 48. 8 8.3 7.5 6.9 7. 9 9. 1 7.9 8.0 8.3 44. 0 43. 6 45. 0 46. 8 48. 0 48. 6 50. 3 50. 6 98. 7 99. 0 99. 4 99. 8 100. 2 3 00. 7 100. 9 101. 2 1 Less Government sales. 2 These expenditures correspond closely with budget expenditures for "major national security," shown on p. 31. 3 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1900 prices. -0. 5 .0 1.8 2.3 3.0 5. 1 5. 3 3.9 98. 1 96. 5 96. 9 99.6 101. 9 101. 6 105. 0 107. 3 54 1 52. 9 51.8 52.9 54. 0 53. 0 54. 7 56. 6 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. Source: Department of Commerce. NATIONAL INCOME National income increased $13.8 billion (seasonally adjusfed annual rate) in the second quarter of 1961. was concentrated in compensation of employees and corporate profits. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS The rise BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME 400 300 COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES 200 200 100 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME 1961 i960 1955 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. •COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC >bvjsefts [Billions of dollars] Period 1949__. _ _ _ 1950 1951 1952 1953 1-954. .. 1955-1956 1957 1958__. 1959 . 1960 _ . Total national income Compensation of em- J ployees 217.7 241.9 279. 3 292. 2 305. 6 301. 8 330. 2 350. 8 366. 9 367. 4 399. 6 417. 1 140. 8 154. 2 180. 3 195. 0 208. 8 207. 6 223. 9 242. 5 255. 5 257. 1 278. 4 293. 7 Business and professional Rental income of persons 22. 7 23. 5 26. 0 26. 9 27. 4 27. 8 30. 4 32. 1 32. 7 32. 5 35. 0 36. 2 8. 3 9.0 9. 4 10. 2 10. 5 10. 9 10. 7 10. 9 11. 9 12. 2 11. 9 11. 7 Proprietors' income Farm 12. 9 14.0 16. 3 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11. 8 11. 6 11. 8 13. 5 11. 3 12. 0 Net interest 4. 8 5.5 6. 3 7. 1 8. 2 9. 1 10. 4 11. 7 13.4 14. 8 16. 6 18.4 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventor}7 before valuation taxes adjustment 28. 2 35. 7 41. 0 37. 7 37. 3 33. 7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 37. 2 46. 4 45. 1 26. 4 40. 6 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 9 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 46. 8 45. 0 1. 0 5 0 1 2 1.0 — 1.0o 44. 4 45. 5 47. 4 45. 9 44. 1 42. 9 40. 0 45. 5 44. 8 44, 9 48. 1 46. 3 43. 2 42. 6 39. 6 45. 2 -0. 4 .7 7 —!4 .9 .3 .4 .3 — 1. 7 -2. 7 -1. 5 g 1 5 .0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1959: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter Second quarter 399. 4 402. 8 413. 5 419. 2 419. 0 416. 5 412. 2 426. 0 * Includes employer contributions for social insurance. 280.5 282. 4 290. 2 294. 6 296.0 294. 0 292. 6 300.2 (See also p. 3.) 10. 6 10. 8 10. 5 12. 3 12. 4 12.7 12. 9 12. 9 35. 3 35. 3 35. 8 36. 4 36.3 36. 3 36. 0 36. 3 11.8 11.7 11. 7 11.7 11. 7 11.7 11. 5 11.5 16.7 17.0 17. 8 18. 3 18. 6 18. 9 19.2 19. 6 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. SOURCES OF PERSOHAL INCOME Personal income decreased $1.9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in August. If the stepped-up dividend payment to veterans, a nonrecurring item, were excluded from the July total, there would be a rise of $0.7 billion. Labor income accounted for most of the rise. 8H-LIONS OF DOLLARS 450 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 450 400 400 350 300 300 BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME \ FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME ?3idim"ir"""cmm"OT"ni"'rlHnr*f|'IIIYclri I955 1956 I960 Total personal income Period 1952 1953 1954 1955, 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 _ _ _ ----_ _ 273. 1 288. 3 289. 8 310. 2 332. 9 351. 4 360. 3 383. 3 402. 2 405. 2 I960: August September. 405. 5 October___ 406. 4 November. 406. 0 December. 404. 0 1961: January.- 403. 6 February- 3 403. 1 March 407. 3 April 409. 8 May _ _ 413. 2 417. 3 June 3 July. . _ 421. 2 4 August _ _ 419. 3 (Billions of dollars! Labor income Proprietors' income Less: Per(wage and Rental sonal conDivi- Persona] Transfer tributions salary disincome Business paybursements of social and pro- persons ments forinsurand other 1 Farm fessional labor income) ance 15. 3 26. 9 190. 2 10. 2 13.2 9. 0 12. 1 3.8 204. 1 27. 4 13. 3 10. 5 9. 2 13. 4 14, 3 3. 9 12. 7 27. 8 202. 5 10. 9 9. 8 14. 6 4. 6 16. 2 11. 8 30. 4 10. 7 218. 0 11.2 15.8 17.5 5. 2 32. 1 11. 6 10. 9 235. 7 12. 1 17. 5 18. 8 5.8 32. 7 247. 7 11. 8 12. 6 19. 6 21. 9 11. 9 6. 7 32. 5 12. 2 13. 5 249. 2 12. 4 21. 0 26. 3 6. 9 11. 3 35. 0 268. 8 11. 9 27. 2 13. 4 23. 6 7. 9 12. 0 282. 2 36. 2 11. 7 14. 1 26. 2 29. 1 9. 3 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 36. 3 284. 1 12. 4 14. 1 11. 7 26. 4 29. 3 9. 3 12. 4 36.3 283. 9 11. 7 14. 3 29.8 26. 6 9. 4 12. 5 284. 0 36. 4 11. 7 14. 4 26. 6 30. 2 9. 3 282. 7 12. 8 36. 4 11. 7 14. 4 26. 7 30. 7 9. 3 280. 9 12. 8 36.0 14. 1 26. 7 31.0 9.2 11.6 12. 8 280. 6 36. 0 11. 6 14. 2 26. 8 31. 1 9. 6 12. 9 35. 8 14,2 280. 2 11. 5 26. 8 31. 1 9.4 3 36.0 13. 0 14. 2 281. 7 11. 4 26. 8 33. 7 9.6 12. 9 36. 1 285.3 11. 5 14 2 26. 8 32. 5 9. 6 12. 9 36. 3 288. 0 11. 5 14. 2 27.0 33.0 9.7 36. 4 291. 7 13. 0 11. 5 14. 3 33.0 27. 1 9. 8 3 36. 6 293. 4 12. 9 14. 3 11. 5 27. 2 35. 2 9. 8 12. 9 293. 9 36. 6 14. 3 27. 4 32. 4 11. 5 9. 8 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 2) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 2 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. 3 Includes stepped-up payment of National Service Life Insurance dividends 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE "«* 'cs? N onagricultural personal2 income 254. 3 271. 5 273.8 295. 0 317. 9 336/1 343.0 368. 1 386.2 388. 7 389.0 389. 8 389. 1 387.2 386.8 386. 2 3 390. 4 392. 9 396. 4 400. 2 3 404. 0 402. 0 of $1CO million ($1.8 billion at annual rate) in March and $218 million ($2.6 billion at annual rate) in July. * Preliminary. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included b o e i n n i n g I960 Source: Department of Commerce. o DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income (seasonally adjusted) increased in the second quarter of 1961, following a decline in the first quarter. Since the rate of increase was more than in consumption expenditures, the saving rate rose. BILLI DNS OF DOLLARS* BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 400 400 m 350 DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 300 \ ffvr^^ n. ^5^%%£ 350 300 PER! ONAL CONSUMPTION^ EXPENDITURES ^^^ 250 250 200 A t 1 1 1 ! i 1 i ' i 1 1 1 1 I I i I I DOLLAI*S* I *A 200 DOL.LARS* PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME \ 2,000 2,000 IN I960 PRICES *»»^ r 1,800 ss^' _."^T^^^ —^ 1,800 ——- ^tt^**^* IN CURRENT PRICES 1,600 1,600 AK 1,400 I 1 1 1 1955 N 1 1 ! 1956 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. t i 1957 i i i 1958 i t i 1959 I I _ _ _ i Iv 1,400 X4> COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC: ADVISERS Personal consumption expenditures 950 951 952 953 954 955 95 () 957 958 959 960 • 1961 1 --— - SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCED Period 1 1 I960 Disposable personal income 1 Total 207. 7 227.5 238. 7 252. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 3 351. 8 195. 0 209.8 219. 8 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 314. 0 328. 9 338. 342. 345. 352. 354. 354. 354. 361. 316. 320. 323. 329. 329. 332. 330. 336. NonDurable durable Services goods goods Billions of dollars 30. 4 99. 8 110. 1 29.5 115. 1 29. 1 32. 9 118. 0 32. 4 119. 3 124. 8 39. 6 131.4 38. 5 137. 7 40. 4 141. 6 37.3 43. 5 147.3 152. 4 44. 3 64. 9 70. 2 75. 6 81. 8 86. 3 92. 5 100. 0 107. 1 114. 3 123.2 132. 2 Personal saving 12. 6 17. 7 18. 9 19. 8 18. 9 17.5 23. 0 23. 6 24. 7 23. 4 22. 9 Per capita disposable personal income l Current prices 1960 prices 2 Saving as percent Populaof distion posable (thoupersonal sands) 3 income (percent) Dollars 1, 369 1,674 1, 474 1,690 1,520 1,706 1,582 1,760 1, 742 1, 582 1,820 1, 660 1, 742 1, 879 1, 804 1,891 1, 826 1, 877 1,934 1,905 1,947 1,947 6. 1 7.8 7. 9 7.8 7. 4 6. 4 7. 9 7.6 7. 8 6. 9 6. 5 151, 154, 157, 159, 162, 165, 168, 171, 174, 177, 180, 68: 36( 02* 63( 41" 27( 17( 19* 06( 07* 67( 1,931 1, 937 1, 936 1,958 1, 955 1, 941 1, 923 1,954 6.6 6. 5 6. 3 6. 5 6. 9 6. 4 6. 7 7. 1 177, 178, 179, 180, 181, 181, 182, 183, 49^ 291 69C 32* 08^ 89* 60S 29$ Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1)59: Tli ird quarter _ _ _ Ko irth quarter WO: Fir st quarter ond quarter _ _ Tli ird quarter i r t h quarter '.»,!: Fir st (|uarter ond quarter. _ 7 3 7 7 4 9 3 8 5 0 8 9 7 3 7 1 44. 4 43. 7 44. 7 45. 3 43. 4 43. 8 39. 4 42. 0 147. 149. 150. 153. 152. 153. 153. 154. il income (p. 3) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalin c u r n - n i prices divided by the implicit price deflator for personal ; < i i i « - x | r n d i t u r o s on a I960 base. . I I I > M of t h < > United States including armed forces abroad. Annual i n h l , < | i i ; i ! t r r ] y data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated 7 3 5 3 7 1 7 1 124. 127. 128. 131. 133. 135. 137. 139. 4 0 6 2 6 4 5 9 22. 3 22. 3 21. 8 22. 8 24. 6 22. 7 23. 7 25. 8 1, 908 1, 920 1,924 1,956 1, 957 1, 951 1, 940 1, 974 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1&60. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. FARM INCOME Gross and net farm income in the second quarter of 1961 was about the same as in the previous quarter, and remained above the levels of a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME •"• 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGED L 10 I 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 I960 1961 -^INCOME OF FARM OPERATORS FROM FARMING. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Income received by total farm population Income received by farm operators from farming Realized gross Period 1952_ 1953. 1954. 1955. 1956. 1957_ 1958. 1959_ I960. 1959: Third quarter__ Fourth quarter. 1960: First quarter. __ Second quarter. Third quarter. _ Fourth quarter. 1961: First quarter Second quarter. From all sources From From agricul- nonagricultural tural ProducCash tion exreceipts penses from Total 2 marketings Billions of dollars 37.0 32. 6 22. 6 35. 3 21. 4 31. 1 30. 0 33. 9 21. 7 33. 3 29. 6 21. 9 34. 6 30. 6 22. 6 34. 4 29. 8 23. 4 37. 9 33. 4 25.3 37. 5 33.4 26. 3 38. 1 34. 0 26. 4 Seasonally adjusted annual 36. 9 32. 8 26. 3 36.9 32. 9 26. 2 36.8 32. 7 26. 4 38. 5 34. 4 26. 5 38. 3 34. 2 26. 3 38. 7 34. 7 26. 3 39. 3 35. 3 26. 7 39. 2 34. 0 26. 7 1 Net income of farm operators from farming (including net inventory change) and wages received by farm resident workers. 2 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 3 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. 4 The number of farms (based on 1959 Census of Agriculture definition) is held constant within a year. 75114°—61 2 Net income per farm including net inventory change 4 Net Excluding inventory change Including net in- Current 1960 ventory3 prices prices 5 change Dollars 14. 4 13.9 12. 2 11. 5 12. 0 11. 0 12. 6 11. 2 11. 7 rates 10. 6 10.7 10. 4 12.0 12. 0 12. 4 12. 6 12. 5 15. 3 13. 3 12. 7 11.8 11. 6 11. 8 13. 5 11.3 12. 0 2,702 2, 579 2, 607 2,728 3,214 2,756 3,000 2,905 2, 773 2, 773 2, 812 3,246 2,784 3,000 10. 6 10. 8 10. 5 12. 3 12. 4 12. 7 12. 9 12. 9 2, 590 2, 630 2, 620 3,080 3, 100 3, 180 3, 310 3,310 2, 620 2,630 2, 620 3,080 3, 100 3, 180 3,310 3, 310 * Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a I960 base. 8 Not available until fall of 19G1. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes in the second quarter of 1961 are estimated at $45.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), about 14 percent above the first quarter level but about 2 percent below a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 10 I955 ! 1956 I I957 I958 1961 I960 I95S -^EXCLUDING INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1959: Third quarter. __ Fourth quarter. _ 1960: First quarter Second quarter _ _ Third quarter Fourth quarter- _ 1961: First quarter Second quarter __ 1 2 Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment 1 TransManufacturing portation, All All NoncomDurable other durable muniindusgoods Total tries goods cations, indusindustries and industries public tries utilities 12. 0 20. 4 8. 4 11. 3 35. 7 4. 0 24. 4 41. 0 13. 5 10. 9 4. 5 12. 0 21. 1 9. 3 37. 7 4. 8 11.8 11. 8 12. 1 21. 4 9. 3 37. 3 4. 9 11. 0 18. 4 10. 1 4. 4 11. 0 33. 7 8.3 43 1 14. 2 25. 0 12. 8 10. 8 5.4 12. 6 12. 9 42. 0 10.9 23.5 5.6 22. 9 41.7 13. 1 13. 3 9.8 5.5 9. 0 13. 3 37. 2 18. 3 9. 3 5. 6 15.2 24. 8 13. 2 46. 4 11. 6 6. 4 12. 0 23. 3 11. 3 15. 0 45. 1 6. 8 12. 2 24. 1 14. 3 44. 4 11. 9 6. 0 15. 8 23. 4 11. 5 6. 4 45. 5 11. 9 15. 2 47. 4 13. 9 11. 5 6.7 25. 5 12. 0 15. 5 11. 4 6. 9 45. 9 23. 4 14. 9 11. 4 44. 1 22. 6 11. 3 6. 6 14. 6 21. 6 10. 7 10. 9 6. 8 42.9 14. 6 8. 5 6. 5 10. 4 40.0 18.8 2 2 2 2 45. 5 (2) () () () () Bee p. 2 for Inventory valuation adjustment. Not available. Corporate profits after taxes Corporate profits before taxes Corporate tax liability 40. 6 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 9 44. 7 43. 2 37.4 46. 8 45. 0 44. 8 44. 9 48. 1 46. 3 43. 2 42. 6 39. 6 45. 2 17.9 22. 4 19.5 20.2 17. 2 21. 8 21. 2 20. 9 18. 6 23. 1 22. 3 22. 1 22. 1 23. 9 23. 0 21. 4 21. 1 19. 6 22. 4 Total 22. 8 19.7 17.2 18. 1 16. 8 23. 0 23. 5 22. 3 18. 8 23. 7 22. 7 22. 7 22.7 24. 2 23. 3 21. 7 21. 4 20.0 22. 8 Dividend payments 9. 2 9. 0 9.0 9. 2 9.8 11.2 12. 1 12. 6 12. 4 13. 4 14. 1 13.7 13. 8 14. 0 14. 0 14. 1 14.3 14. 2 14.2 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. Undistributed profits 13. 6 10.7 8.3 8. 9 7.0 11. 8 11. 3 9. 7 6. 4 10.3 8. 6 9. 0 8.9 10. 2 9.3 7.6 7.2 5.8 8.6 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Private investment increased $9.0 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 1961. Most of the change was due to inventories, which had been liquidated at a rate of $4.0 billion in the first quarter and were accumulated at a rate of $2.8 billion in the second quarter. BILL IONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES I /M ~\ V V 80 80 GFK)SS PRIVATE DOME!5TIC INVESTMEN1 \ S^~ 60 ^ ^ * NEW CONSTRlJCTION 40 \ M ^*-"* I 60 40 * PRODUCERS DURABLE EQUIP?^ENT •mm."'1"""1"""-.,,,,,^ HHiin"1"11""""1""" ""/,...«,..• '"""""•«.,.„„!,.•»•""" 20 20 c HANGE IN BUSINESS - INVENTORIES '**tj- 0 -20 ,^ y 'X 1 1 1 ! 1955 ! 1 1 1956 1 1 1957 1 I •Ax 1 1958 ! 1 1959 ! s\ * V \.s> 1 f 0 ../ 1 I I960 I I 1961 i -20 c<3wHat 6f "ICONOMic, AtiV&ERS 860!fdt: DEPARTflENf OF~COMWhCE~. [Billions of dollars] Total gross private domestic investment Period 1949 1950 1951_ 1952 _ 1953 _ . 1954 _ _. 1955 1956___ 1957 1958 1959 _ _ 1960 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ___ . __. _ _ _ _ 1959: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter Second quarter Fixed investment Total 33.0 50.0 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 4 72. 4 36. 0 43.2 46. 1 46. 8 49.9 50. 5 58. 1 62. 7 64. 6 5R6 66. 1 68.2 68. 2 71. 8 78. 9 74.6 70. 5 65. 6 59. 8 68. 8 67. 6 66. 2 68. 0 69. 3 68. 1 67. 4 63. 8 66. 0 New construction 1 Producers' durable Residen3 equiptial Total Other ment nonfarm 9. 6 9. 2 18. 8 17. 2 24. 2 14. 1 10. 1 18. 9 24. 8 12. 5 12. 3 21. 3 12. 8 12.7 25. 5 21. 3 27. 6 13. 8 13. 8 22. 3 29.7 15. 4 14. 3 20.8 34 9 18. 7 16. 2 23. 1 17.7 35. 5 17.8 27. 2 19.0 36. 1 17.0 28.5 35.5 18.0 17. 4 23. 1 40.2 22. 3 17.9 25. 9 21. 1 40. 7 19. 6 27. 5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 41.0 22. 6 18.4 26. 6 21. 3 39. 6 18.3 26. 6 21. 5 40. 9 19. 3 27. 1 21. 2 40. 7 19. 5 28. 6 40. 4 21. 0 19. 4 27. 7 40. 7 20. 5 20. 2 26. 7 39. 6 19. 3 20. 4 24. 2 41. 3 20. 6 20. 7 24.7 1 Revisions in series on new construction shown on p. 17 have not yet been incorporated into these series. 3 "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 17. Change in business inventories Total Nonfarm -3. 1 6.8 10. 2 3. 1 .4 -1.6 5.8 4.7 1.6 -2.0 6.3 4. 2 -2.2 6.0 9. 1 2. I 1. 1 -2. 1 5. 5 5. 1 .8 -2. 9 6.2 4.0 0. 7 5. 6 10. 9 5.4 2.4 -1.9 -4.0 2.8 0.7 5. 5 10. 8 5. 1 2. 0 -2.2 -4. 3 2. 4 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce, EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Businessmen plan to spend $34.8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) on new plant and equipment in the third quarter of 1961 and $35.9 billion in the fourth quarter, according to the July-August survey. In the first half of this year the spending rate was $33.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 20 196! 1955 -i/SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION, AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Manufacturing Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 3 Total i _ - 1959: Third quarter Fourth quarter 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 11HVI: First quarter _ Second quarter3 Third quarter 3 F o u r t h quarter Total 25. 64 26. 49 28. 32 26. 83 28.70 35. 08 36. 96 30. 53 32. 54 35. 68 34. 56 10. 85 11. 63 11. 91 11.04 11. 44 14. 95 15. 96 11. 43 12. 07 14. 48 13. 80 33. 35 33. 60 35. 15 36.30 35. 90 35. 50 33.85 33. 50 34. 80 35. 90 12. 25 12.85 14. 10 14. 70 14. 65 14. 40 13. 75 13. 50 13. 75 14. 20 Durable NonduraRailroads Other goods ble goods 5. 17 1.47 1. 49 .93 5. 68 5.61 6. 02 1. 50 .98 1. 40 1.56 5.65 .99 1.31 6. 26 1. 51 5.09 .85 5. 95 .98 5. 44 . 92 6. 00 . 96 1. 60 7. 62 1. 24 1. 23 1. 71 7. 33 8. 02 1. 77 7. 94 1. 24 1. 40 5.47 1.50 . 94 5. 96 . 75 . 99 . 92 2. 02 5. 77 6. 29 7. 18 .99 1. 94 7.30 1. 03 7.52 6.28 . 63 1.88 . 99 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 5. 85 2. 15 1. 00 1. 30 6. 40 6. 15 2. 15 6. 70 1.05 .85 7. 15 2. 00 6. 95 1. 00 1. 00 7. 40 2. 15 7. 30 1. 10 1. 05 7. 35 1. 90 7.30 1.00 1. 00 6. 85 1.80 7. 55 . 90 1. 00 6. 50 .70 1. 75 . 95 7. 25 6. 20 . 70 1. 80 7.30 1. 00 2. 05 6. 15 .60 7. 65 .95 6. 35 . 50 1. 90 1. 05 7. 85 ilture. ni other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and (1 on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business ru.st 1901. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic I pivl.ory data. 0 Transportation Mining Public utilities Commercial and other 2 3. 66 3.89 4. 55 4. 22 4.31 4.90 6. 20 6. 09 5. 67 5.68 5. 75 7.24 7.09 8. 00 8. 23 9.47 11. 05 10. 40 9. 82 10. 88 11. 57 11. 52 5. 60 5. 50 5.75 5. 70 5. 60 5. 70 5.35 5.50 5. 95 6. 05 11. 05 11. 20 11. 35 11.60 11. 75 11. 65 11.30 11. 05 11. 50 12. 20 NOTE.—-Beginning 1959 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million. Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Total employment was unchanged at 68.5 million in August. Unemployment declined by 600,000, as is usual at this time of year, and the seasonally adjusted rate of unemployment remained at 6.9 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE UNEMPLOYMENT f RATE (SEASONALLY AD JUS5TED) - r —t*r-f-] "** r- ~ r7 - - fT -y. n -- -- - - T - 1955 "T * 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE'. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Total labor force (including armed forces) Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 67. 4 67.8 68.9 70. 4 70. 7 71. 3 71. 9 73. 1 _. 1960: July August September October November December 1961: January February. March April May June July August 1956 __ _ _ 75. 2 74.6 73.7 73. 6 73. 7 73. 1 72. 4 72.9 73. 5 73. 2 74, 1 76.8 76. 2 75. 6 1957 1958 19 61 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civilian labor force Civilian employment Total Nonagricultural Civilian employment Unemployment Millions of persons 63. 8 61. 9 55. 4 64. 5 60.9 54. 4 62. 9 65. 8 56. 2 67.5 64.7 58. 1 67. 9 65. 0 58. 8 58. 1 68. 6 64. 0 69. 4 65. 6 59. 7 70. 6 66. 7 61. 0 Unadjusted 72. 7 68. 7 61. 8 72. 1 68.3 61. 8 71.2 67. 8 61. 2 61. 2 71. 1 67. 5 71. 2 67. 2 61. 5 61. 1 70. 5 66. 0 69. 8 64. 5 59. 8 59. 9 70. 4 64.7 71. 0 65. 5 60. 5 70. 7 65. 7 60. 7 71. 5 66. 8 61. 2 62. 0 74.3 68. 7 62. 0 73.6 68. 5 62. 2 73. 1 68. 5 1 Seasonally adjusted totals may diiTer from sum of components because totals and components have been seasonally adjusted separately. I960 1959 Civilian labor force Total Agricultural Nonagricultural 14 years of age and over 1.9 3. 6 2. 9 2. 8 2. 9 4. 7 3. 8 3. 9 Seasonally adjusted l 4.0 70. 7 66. 9 61. 2 5. 9 3. 8 70. 8 66. 7 5. 8 61. 0 3. 4 71. 0 67. 0 6. 1 61. 0 3. 6 70.6 66. 4 60. 7 5. 7 4. 0 71.4 67. 0 61. 2 5. 8 4. 5 71. 1 66. 4 60. 5 5. 8 5. 4 71. 5 66. 6 5. 7 60. 7 5. 7 71.9 66. 8 5. 8 60. 9 72. 2 67. 1 5. 5 5. 8 61. 2 5. 0 71. 4 66. 5 5. 3 61. 2 4. 8 71. 4 66. 6 5. 2 61. 5 5.6 72. 4 67. 3 5. 6 61. 9 5. 1 71. 6 66. 8 61. 4 5. 5 4. 5 71. 8 67. 0 61. 4 5. 7 Uneinployment Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force) SeasonUnad- ally adjusted justed Percent 2 9 5. 6 4. 4 4. 2 4. 3 6. 8 5 5 5. 6 3. 9 4. 1 4. 0 4. 4 4. 4 4.8 4. 7 4. 9 5. 0 4. 9 4. 9 4. 9 4. 9 5. 0 5. 5 5. 3 4.8 5. 0 5. 7 6. 4 7. 7 8. 1 7. 7 7. 0 (>. 7 7. 5 7. 0 (I 2 5. 5 5. 8 5. 7 6. 3 6. 2 (). 8 (). 6 6. 8 (i. 9 G. 8 (). 9 0. 8 O. 9 (>. 9 NOTE. — For definition.-; and coverage, see fcmploiniKut mni J-:umtny.i, l > i - p i u t ment of Labor. Beginning January I960, data include Alaska and J lavs nil. Source: Department of Labor. 0 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS Insured unemployment averaged 2.4 million in August compared to 2.7 million in July. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) FEB. DEC. SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. All programs Insured Total unem- benefits Covered ploypaid (milemploy- ment (weekly lions of ment averdolage) lars) Period 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 I960- July August September _ _ October November December 1961' January February March April May June July 2 August Week ended: 1961: August COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS - - 5 12 19 26 2 September 2 2 _ _ _ 9 ___ Thousands 42, 758 1, 318 1, 567 43, 447 2, 766 44, 501 1, 856 45, 727 2,067 46, 334 1,826 46, 900 1,804 47, 017 47, 012 1, 781 1,839 46, 602 2, 226 46, 270 2, 845 46, 282 3,515 P) 3,638 P)1 3, 403 C1 ) 3 3, 626 C) 3 3, 290 P)1 3 2, 877 C1) 3 2, 678 C) 3 2, 398 P) C1) 0)1 C1) C) P) 0) 3 3 3 3 3 2, 531 2, 450 2, 367 2, 268 2, 162 State programs Insured unemployment Weekly average, thousands 1, 540. 6 1, 913. 0 3, 892. 5 2, 651. 7 3, 022. 8 198. 7 229. 7 230. 8 214. 9 258. 6 332. 4 436. 4 435. 5 500. 9 3 419. 6 3 457. 2 3 404. 0 3 322. 0 3 315. 0 0) 0)1 C) 0) P) 0) 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 212 450 509 682 906 686 657 598 678 2, 3, 3, 3, 639 266 394 168 2,039 2,779 2, 328 1, 991 1,958 1,777 1, 884 1,821 1,753 1, 670 1, 587 ' N o t available. -Preliminary. •Includes Temporary Extended Unemployment Compensation program taglnnlnn April. This program is excluded from State data. 10 Initial claims Insured unemployment as perExhaus- cent of covered employment tions Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed 226 268 370 281 331 339 306 274 332 396 494 541 480 372 367 297 279 357 268 321 279 258 247 242 233 20 23 50 33 31 29 28 27 29 31 36 44 49 53 58 54 53 50 44 P) P) 0) P) P) P) Benefits paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) Percent 3. 2 3.6 6. 4 4. 4 4.8 4.2 4. 2 4. 0 4,2 5. 1 6. 6 8. 1 8. 4 7. 8 6.8 5.7 49 4.8 4. 4 4.6 4. 5 4. 3 4. 1 3. 9 4.7 5, 1 5.4 5. 7 6.3 6.4 6. 1 6.3 6. 3 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.3 5. 3 P) (l) 0) C1) P) 0) Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods. Source: Department of Labor. 1, 1, 3, 2, 2, 380. 7 733. 9 512. 7 279. 0 726. 8 183.8 206. 3 201. 8 189. 9 231. 1 300. 2 397.6 399. 3 461. 5 362. 5 320. 1 264.4 224. 0 221. 0 P) 0) P) P) P) P) 27.02 28. 17 30. 58 30. 41 32. 87 32. 37 32. 99 33. 54 33.73 34. 01 34. 18 34. 34 34. 45 34. 37 34. 18 33. 46 32.92 32. 91 32. 80 P) P) p) p) p) f1) NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT The total number of persons on nonfarm payrolls/ seasonally adjusted, increased by 50,000 in August. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 56 ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 52 3.5 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION (ENLARGED SCALE) WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) 1958 1959 I960 1961 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA, EXCLUDING ALASKA AND HAWAII. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS J [Thousands of wage and salary workers ] Total, Manufacturing (private) Nonmanufacturing (private) Total Total unad- including excluding justed, Period Alaska Contract Wholesale excluding Alaska Durable Nondura- Total 2 construcand Total and and retail Alaska and Hawaii goods ble goods Hawaii tion trade Hawaii 1954 9, 122 15, 995 48, 431 48, 431 6,873 25, 685 2, 593 10, 520 1955 50, 056 9,549 50, 056 16, 563 7,014 26, 579 2,759 10, 846 1956 51, 766 16, 903 9,835 51, 766 2,929 7,068 27, 586 11, 221 1957 52, 162 9, 821 16, 782 52, 162 6, 961 27, 754 2, 808 11, 302 1958 _ _ ._ 8,743 50, 543 50, 543 15, 468 2, 648 6, 725 27, 182 11, 141 1959 51, 975 51, 975 16, 168 9, 290 52, 205 6,878 27, 680 2, 767 11,385 9, 432 52, 898 1960 16, 337 52, 898 2,772 6, 905 28, 103 53, 137 11,642 Seasonally adjusted 1960: July 9, 452 52, 923 53, 145 16, 417 53, 407 6,965 28, 324 2, 858 11, 736 53, 062 53, 046 August 16, 265 53, 304 9, 338 6,927 28, 307 2, 835 11, 764 September. 53, 496 52, 998 53, 242 16, 275 9, 391 6,884 28, 184 2, 800 11, 665 53, 391 52, 809 October 53,047 16, 132 9,266 6,866 28, 153 2, 804 11, 668 November _ 53, 133 52, 591 52, 825 16, 030 9, 190 6,840 28, 030 2,783 11, 568 52, 221 December. 58, 310 52, 453 15, 790 9,030 6, 760 27, 843 2, 647 11, 541 1961: January 52, 232 51, 437 52, 460 15, 676 8, 918 6, 758 27, 947 2, 698 11, 634 8,792 February __ 51, 090 51, 984 52, 213 15, 527 6, 735 27, 814 2, 636 11,576 March 51, 397 52, 166 51, 939 15, 541 8,781 2, 715 6, 760 27, 736 11,479 April 51,843 52, 243 52, 476 15, 678 8,865 6, 813 27, 885 2, 781 11, 546 May. 52, 541 52, 407 52, 780 15, 910 9,058 2,752 6, 852 27, 922 11, 577 52, 949 9, 162 June3 53, 123 16, 048 53, 197 6,886 28, 158 2,843 11, 649 July 3 52, 858 53, 340 53, 078 16,088 2, 854 9,226 6, 862 28, 251 11,687 53, 142 53, 132 August 16,067 9, 194 53, 390 2, 861 6, 873 28, 263 1 1 , 709 includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 9, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they Government (Federal, State, local) 6,751 6,914 7,277 7,626 7,893 8, 127 8,458 8,404 8,474 8, 539 8,524 8,531 8,588 8, 609 8,643 8,662 8,680 8, 709 8,743 8, 739 8,802 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining; transportation and public utilities; finance, Insurance, and real estate; and service and miscellaneous, not shown separately. * Preliminary. Source: Department of Labor 11 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK The average workweek of production workers in manufacturing industries, seasonally adjusted, declined slightly to 40.0 hours in August. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 42 4£ 40 38 36 36 34 1959 42 I960 44 BUILDING CONSTRUCTION RETAIL TRADE 42 -mr™^ 34 36 32 34 , h*^%«——*y*v i^» «••••» 32 30 1958 1958 1959 I960 1959 Period Average hours per week i Manufacturing industries Building Retail Non- construcDurable durable All trade goods tion goods 1955 _ 1956 1957 1958 _ _ __ _.. 1959 . . 1960 40. 7 40. 4 39. 8 39. 2 40. 3 39. 7 1960: July _ _._ August -_ _ _ SeptemberOctober November December 1961: January February March _ _ _ April J ]Vlav i . June 6 July 6 August 39. 9 39. 7 39. 3 39. 5 39. 1 38.3 39. 0 39. 1 39. 3 39.6 39. 8 40. 0 40. 1 40. 0 Hours per week 36. 2 41. 4 39. 8 41. 1 39. 5 36. 4 40. 3 39. 1 36. 1 39. 5 38. 8 35. 7 40. 8 39.6 35. 8 40. 1 35. 5 39. 1 Seasonally adjusted 40. 2 39. 4 36. 0 40. 0 39. 2 35. 8 35. 3 39. 7 38. 7 40. 1 38. 8 35. 9 39. 4 38. 7 35. 3 38. 6 34. 0 37.7 39. 4 36. 1 38. 6 39. 6 37. 0 38. 6 35. 4 39. 5 38. 9 40. 1 39.2 35. 1 40. 3 39. 4 35. 0 40. 4 39. 5 35. 6 40. 6 39. 4 35. 6 40. 5 39. 4 (5) ' Oat a relate to productiot workers or nonsupervisory employees. rs from total nonafrr cultural employment (p. 9), which includes persons s but not at work fo such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and il disputes. Bepim iif£ January 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. ;le.s persons who wo ked part-time because of slack work, material shortepairs, new job started, or job terminated. 12 1961 .COUNCU. Of ECONOMIC APMSEBS SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 39. 0 38. 6 38. 1 38. 1 38. 1 37. 7 37. 6 37. 7 37. 6 37. 6 37. 9 37. 4 37.6 37. 7 37. 6 37. 5 37.6 37. 6 37. 5 (5) Persons at work in nona^ricultural 2 industries by hours worked per week Under 35 hours Part-time for economic reasons Over 40 35-40 Total Usually Usually hours hours partfulltime 4 time 3 Millions of persons 14 years of age and over 18.0 27. 0 8. 7 (5) (5) 0.9 9.4 1. 1 27. 3 18. 7 1.2 1. 0 28.6 9.7 17. 6 1. 6 1.3 16. 6 28. 3 10. 4 1.0 1.3 27. 7 17. 3 11. 7 1.2 28.7 1. 3 11.5 17.7 17.3 17. 1 18. 5 18. 6 17. 0 18. 3 17. 7 17.4 17. 7 17.7 18. 1 17.9 17.2 17. 7 28. 1 29. 1 29.7 29. 0 24.6 29.3 29. 5 27. 9 29. 6 29. 9 29. 8 29. 9 27.8 28. 4 9. 3 8. 8 10. 4 11.7 18. 2 11.6 10. 9 12. 7 11. 4 11. 3 11.4 10. 5 9. 9 9. 7 7 1. 1 1.2 1. 3 1. 3 1. 4 1.5 1. 7 1. 7 1. 5 1. 5 1.3 1.2 1. 1 1. 2 ' Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. Not available. Preliminary. ? Average hours worked: usually full-time, 23.7; usually part-time, 17.5. Source: Department of Labor. 6 c 1.7 1.6 1. 2 1. 2 1.3 1.3 1. 4 1. 4 1. 5 1.5 1.5 2.0 1.9 M.9 AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing industries declined one cent to $2.34 in August. Average weekly earnings also dropped in August but were $3.48 higher than a year earlier. 2.40 2.OO 1.80 i 1958 i i960 1959 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. 1 I96E COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [I'or production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Average hourly earnings— current prices Average weekly earnings— current prices Manufacturing industries Manufacturing industries BuildBuildRetail ing coning con- Retail NonNonstructrade strucDurable durable trade Durable durable All All tion goods goods tion goods goods $2. 19 $1.26 $64. 71 $69. 47 $58. 46 $81. 47 $50. 65 $1. 48 $1. 59 $1. 67 1951 _ 2. 31 52. 67 1.54 73. 46 60. 98 1. 67 1. 32 67. 97 88. 01 1. 77 1952 2. 48 77. 23 91. 76 54. 88 1. 61 1. 40 71. 69 1. 77 1. 87 63. 60 1953 1. 92 2. 60 71. 86 94. 12 1. 81 77. 18 64. 74 1.66 66. 70 1. 45 1954 2. 66 83.21 2. 01 1. 71 68. 06 96. 29 58. 50 1. 50 76. 52 1. 88 1955 2. 80 2. 10 1.98 1. 57 79. 99 86. 31 71. 10 101. 92 60. 60 1. 80 1956 2. 96 62. 48 2.20 1. 64 82. 39 88. 66 73. 51 106. 86 1. 88 1957 _ _ _ _ _ _ 2.07 2. 13 2. 28 3. 10 1. 70 83.50 90. 06 64. 77 1. 94 75. 27 110. 67 1958 __ _ 2. 22 2. 38 2. 01 3. 22 1. 76 89. 47 97. 10 79. 60 115. 28 67. 06 1959 2. 29 2. 08 2. 45 3. 37 3. 81 90. 91 98. 25 81. 33 1 1 9. 64 68. 24 1960 2. 08 97. 76 82. 37 123. 68 2. 29 2. 45 3. 37 69. 52 1. 82 91. 14 1960: July 2. 07 97. 20 3. 37 1.81 90. 35 2. 27 2.43 69. 32 81. 77 123. 68 August 2. 46 2.09 81. 72 122. 40 3. 40 1. 82 91.08 98. 15 68. 43 September _ _ _ 2.30 2. 09 3. 42 2. 46 98. 89 81. 51 125. 17 68. 44 2. 30 1. 83 91. 31 October 2. 46 2. 10 1. 82 90. 39 97. 42 81. 48 117. 99 3. 4.2 68. 25 November,. _ 2. 30 2. 11 2. 32 80. ] 8 1 i 5. 56 o. 46 L 78 89. 55 9G. 97 2. 48 07. I i December 2. 12 1.84 90. 25 3. 47 97. 22 81. 41 123. 53 2. 32 2. 48 69. 00 1961: January 2. 11 2. 47 3. 48 1.84 90. 25 97. 07 81. 02 123. 19 69.00 2, 32 February 90. 71 2. 12 3.46 82. 04 2. 32 1. 83 97.96 68.44 2. 48 120. 41 March 2. 13 3.47 99. 35 82. 43 121. 45 2. 33 2. 49 1.85 91. 57 69. 01 April 2. 13 3. 48 2. 50 83. 07 123. 54 69. 56 2. 34 1. 86 92. 66 100. 50 May 2. 14 3. 48 84. 53 1 26. 32 2. 51 1.87 94. 24 101. 91 70.69 2. 35 June 2 2. 14 2. 51 3. 48 84.74 126. 32 71.63 2. 35 1.88 94.00 101. 15 Julv 2 3 2. 13 93. 83 101. 66 84. 56 2. 34 2. 51 August () (3) (3) (3) Period 1 2 Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price index on a I960 base. Preliminary. 75114° Cl 3 Average weekly earnings, all manufacturing industries, 1 1960 prices $73. 79 75. 77 79. 30 79. 14 84. 55 87. 04 86. 73 85. 55 90. 83 90. 91 91. 05 90. 26 90. 90 90. 77 89. 70 88. 84 89. 62 89. 53 89. 99 90. 84 92. 02 93. 40 92. 79 (3) 3 Not available. Source: Department of Labor. 13 PRODUCTION AND ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (ssasonally adjusted) increased 0.6 percent in August to a new peak. increase in August was somewhat less than in July. INDEX, 1957*100 { SEASOH/fl-LY ADJUSTED) INDEX, 1957 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 140 TOTAL The rate of 80 70 1958 1961 1959 I960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production Period 1951 1 952 1 953 1954 1 955 950 _ _ _ _ 957 958 959 960 l 1900: July August September October November December 1901: January February March April Mav June Julv All 'HlHt ' _ _ > Preliminary. 14 - 80. 8 83. 8 90.8 85. 4 96.0 99. 3 100.0 92, 9 104 9 108.0 109. 5 108. 4 106. 8 . 106. 3 104. 6 1 03. 0 102. 3 102, 1 102. 6 105. 6 108. 3 110. 4 112. 1 112. 8 Market Industry Manufacturing Total 81. 5 84.8 92. 1 85. 8 96. 7 99. 5 100.0 92. 4 105. 3 108. 2 109. 9 108. 4 106. 7 106. 2 104. 1 102. 3 101. 4 101. 3 101.9 105. 2 108. 2 110.5 112. 2 112. 9 Final products NonDurable durable 80. 3 85. 1 96.0 85.0 97. 9 100.0 100. 0 86. 8 101. 5 104.3 105. 6 103. 7 101. 9 100. 8 98. 0 95. 8 94. 6 94. 3 94.7 98. 7 102. 7 105. 3 107. 4 108. 3 Mining Utilities Total Consumer goods Equipment 75. 0 80. 6 79. 3 81.7 87.3 60. 1 85.2 82. 5 90. 0 83.3 65. 2 86. 5 88.1 96. 1 86.9 90.7 71. 1 88. 8 87.2 85.0 86. 9 86. 5 86. 2 76. 5 90.9 94. 6 95. 0 96. 5 94. 8 85. 4 99. 1 98. 9 98.7 93. 6 98. 9 100. 1 100. 0 100.0 100. 0 100. 0 100.0 100.0 99. 9 95. 1 99.0 87. 3 104.5 91. 4 110. 0 99. 5 110.3 115. 0 106. 5 95. 3 1146 113. 5 102.9 123. 1 110.7 97. 0 115.9 1043 97.4 112.0 115. 6 124. 1 114. 8 115. 1 103. 1 111. 1 98. 0 125. 3 113. 1 110. 3 114 0 103. 0 125. 6 96. 3 102. 7 113. 4 110. 7 114 7 124. 1 96. 9 112. 2 112. 9 122. 8 109. 1 98. 0 101. 7 111. 8 108. 1 100. 6 97. 8 122. 8 111. 0 110. 2 110. 5 124. 3 106. 6 99. 5 98. 0 110. 2 110. 8 106. 6 99. 5 96. 9 125. 0 110. 6 99. 0 111. 6 124. 8 106. 7 96. 7 113. 7 126.8 100. 1 113. 9 109. 2 97. 4 110. 8 115. 4 115. 5 130. 1 97. 2 101. 6 112. 7 117. 8 102.4 117. 6 98.0 131. 2 114 2 104 1 98. 2 119. 3 118. 8 133. 5 119.2 105.5 114 7 119. 2 133. 0 99. 1 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Materials 82. 2 82. 7 90. 8 84 4 97. 1 99. 7 100. 0 91. 0 103. 5 105. 6 106. 2 105. 1 103. 7 102.9 101. 1 98.9 98. 1 98.2 99. 1 102. 9 106. 2 108.7 110.0 110. 5 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Output of manufactures (seasonally adjusted) continued to ns« in August, with durables again rising more than nondurables. INDEX, 1957 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) INDEX, 1957= 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) reo r 120 120 - 1958 -1959 I960 1961 *96J SOURCES, BOARO OF GOVERNORS OF THE FE0ERAL 'RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCJL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 _ 1956 1957 1958 _ 1959_1 . _ _ _ . I960 1960: July August _ September October _ November December 1961: January __ February. _ March April May__ _ June July August *_ 1 2 Preliminary. Not available. _ _ „ _ __ Primary metals Fabricated metal products Machinery 96. 9 88.5 100.3 81.3 105. 5 103. 7 100. 0 78. 0 89.5 90.5 85. 1 82.8 79. 8 78. 3 73. 6 69.3 71.2 72. 6 73. 5 82.0 89.9 92. 3 95. 3 97 90. 0 87. 8 98. 8 88. 8 96. 9 97. 4 100.0 91. 6 103. 9 106. 0 108. 7 107. 7 105. 8 105. 4 101. 0 100.7 96. 5 95.7 96. 3 98.6 104.8 107. 3 109. 0 111 79.6 88.4 96. 4 84. 3 92. 6 102. 8 100.0 85.2 102. 8 106. 4 110.0 107. 2 105. 4 102. 0 101. 9 101. 1 101. 3 100. 8 100. 5 102. 9 1043 107. 3 109. 8 111 Nondurable manufactures Transpor- Lumber Textiles, and tation apparel, prodequipand ucts leather ment 59.0 68. 6 86. 2 7a7 95.9 91.5 100. 0 84. 2 97. 8 101. 7 101. 5 101. 3 101. 5 102. 5 96. 8 93. 3 88.9 87.6 88. 1 94,0 99.0 100. 6 102. 2 103 102. 2 100. 9 106. 7 103. 9 114.2 109.9 100.0 99.7 113. 1 106. 6 110. 9 102. 2 103. 0 100. 1 95. 1 95. 9 100. 2 99.2 99. 8 105.7 106. 6 110. 6 112. 2 (2) 90. 1 92. 2 93.6 89. 6 98. 4 101. 1 100.0 99. 2 115. 2 115. 1 118. 7 117.1 112. 1 112. 1 110.9 107.5 105.0 107.4 110. 2 111. 8 113. 3 115. 7 118. 4 118 Paper Chemicals, Foods, petrobeverand print- leum, and ages, and rubber tobacco ing 81. 1 79. 4 84, 5 86.9 94 6 99.3 100. 0 99. 2 107.6 111. 6 112.3 112. 2 112. 3 112. 8 111. 9 110.8 111. 1 111.4 111. 2 113. 1 113. 6 114. 9 115. 4 115 71. 8 74. 5 80. 2 79. 3 91.8 96. 3 100.0 98. 8 112. 7 117.8 122.0 120. 2 117. 5 117. 1 116. 1 114. 6 114.0 113. 4 113. 3 118.0 121.7 125. 1 126. 5 128 88.3 90. 2 91. 2 92.8 96. 2 99. 8 100.0 102. 1 106.5 109. 4 109. 6 109.7 109. 9 111. 1 109. 3 110.0 110.2 110. 1 111. 2 111. 9 112. 1 113. 1 113. 5 114 Source: Board oi Governors of the Federal Reserve Sj'sf.orn. 15 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Most weekly indicators of production increased in August and early September. Auto assemblies dropped sharply in August but increased in early September with the start of the new model year. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) SOURCES; AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, _____ EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE. AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. Period Weekly average: 1956 . _ _ _ _ _ ___ 1957 _ _ _ _ _ 1958 _ _ 1959 __ _ 1960 1960: July August September October _ November December 1961: January February March April _ May June_ _ _ July 2 August Week ended: 1961: August 5__ 12__ 19— 26September 2__ 92_ 16 2 _ 1 I hiily average. 1 Preliminary. J Not charted. 16 COUNCIL.OF ECONOMIC ADVISE Electric Bituminous Freight Paper board Steel produced Cars and trucks power coal mined loaded produced assembled (thousands) Index distributed (thousands (thousands Thousands (thousands of net (1957-59 = (millions of of short Total of cars) Cars Trucks of tons) tons 100) kilowatt-hours) tons) J 2,204 2, 162 1,635 1,792 1,899 1, 437 1,544 1, 509 1,550 1, 439 1, 321 1, 448 1,560 1, 600 1, 768 2,027 1,993 1, 831 1, 954 118.3 116.0 87. 8 96. 2 101. 9 77. 1 82.9 81.0 83. 2 77. 2 70. 9 77. 7 83. 7 85. 9 94. 9 108. 8 107. 0 98. 3 104. 9 11,292 11, 873 12,076 13, 206 14, 685 14, 501 15, 080 14, 408 14, 172 14, 394 15, 086 15, 098 14, 854 14, 473 14, 295 14, 223 15, 100 15, 274 15, 917 1, 693 1, 644 1, 380 1,380 1, 390 1, 277 1,359 1, 388 1, 365 1,371 1, 273 1, 303 1, 207 I, 081 1, 202 1,288 1, 432 1, 276 1, 391 728 683 581 596 585 575 592 582 639 545 470 480 489 501 527 555 582 543 593 274 272 275 307 306 267 320 301 323 301 257 274 303 319 316 320 333 268 334 132. 8 138.6 98. 4 129. 5 151. 8 123. 0 80. 6 117. 1 162. 9 156. 3 136. 7 112. 2 113. 2 109. 9 135.8 141. 0 153. 1 118. 8 60.3 111. 6 117. 6 81. 6 107. 6 128. 7 103.5 65. 1 98. 3 145. 3 136. 1 116. 9 93. 8 91. 4 88.7 111. 7 118. 4 127. 5 97. 7 44. 6 21. 2 21. 0 16. 8 21. 9 23. 1 19. 5 15. 5 18.7 17. 6 20. 2 19. 9 IS. 4 21. 9 21. 1 24. 1 22. 6 25. 5 21. 1 15. 7 1, 850 1,910 1, 944 2,020 2,030 2,032 3 2, 032 99. 3 102. 5 104. 4 108. 4 109. 0 109. 1 109. 1 16, 16, 15, 15, 16, 15, 1,321 1, 370 1,375 1,349 1, 368 589 591 595 592 599 513 328 332 328 342 338 262 45. 4 28.1 29. 6 83. 1 115. 0 102. 4 379. 9 32. 5 21. 0 16. 9 61. 4 91. 0 83. 4 63. 5 12. 9 7. 1 12. 7 21.7 24. 1 19. 0 16. 4 137 080 665 491 214 838 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Kailroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION Total expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) increased slightly in August. construction were the same as in July. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS Outlays for private BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION 1961 • SEE NOTE 4 IN TABLE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Co n si r u e lion con. tracts 1 Private Total new construction expenditures Period 1955 _ 1956 1957 1958 1959 1959 (new series) 1960 44 2 45. 8 47.8 49. 0 54. 1 56. 6 55. 6 3 Total 32. 4 33. 1 33.8 33.5 38. 0 40. 3 39. 6 Residential (nonfarm) Commercial and industrial Billions of dollars 18. 7 5. 6 17. 7 6. 7 17. 0 7. 1 18. 0 6.0 22. 3 6.0 25.0 6.0 22. 5 7.0 Other value, Federal, TotalStates State, and 48(index, local 1947-49 = 100) 8. 1 8. 7 9.6 9.5 9.7 9. 3 10. 0 11.7 12.7 14. 1 15. 5 16. 1 16. 2 16.0 9.9 10. 1 10. 1 10. 1 10. 2 10. 2 10. 0 10. 1 10. 3 10. 4 10. 6 10. 8 10. 8 10. 7 16. 3 16. 4 16. 3 16. 4 16. 5 17. 0 17. 4 17.8 17.3 16. 5 16. 3 16. 9 36. 9 17. 0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1960: July August September. October _ _ November December 1961: January February March April May_ June July August 4 1 _ _ _ 55. 8 55. 8 55. 6 55. 6 56. 1 56. 6 56. 0 55. 7 55. 8 55.9 55. 9 57. 6 58. 2 58. 3 39. 5 39. 5 39. 3 39. 2 39. 6 39. 6 38. 6 38. 0 38. 5 39. 4 39. 6 40. 7 41. 3 41. 3 22. 7 22. 4 22. 1 21. 8 22.0 21. 9 20. 6 20. 0 20. 5 21. 4 21. 6 22. 7 23. 3 23. 4 Compiled by F. \V. Dodpe Corporation. 2 Relates to 48 States beginning 1950 and to 37 Eastern States prior to 1956. Seasonal adjustment, by National Bureau of Economic Research. 3 In addition to rnaior differences between old and new series, data for Alaska 6. 8 6.9 7. 1 7. 3 7. 4 7. 5 7. 9 7. 8 7. 7 7. 6 7. 4 7. 3 7. 2 7. 2 Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) 2 230. 0 231. 3 235.4 256. 8 265. 4 265. 4 265. 7 299 436 421 359 440 440 461 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual rates 285 460 493 276 473 271 294 483 280 489 302 469 273 404 421 239 262 454 261 427 257 433 418 281 277 423 « Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Podge Corporation (except m noted) 17 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private housing starts changed little in August and continued at an annual rate of 1.3 million (seasonally adjusted). The number of FHA applications and VA appraisal requests increased. MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) MILLIONS OF UNITS (ANNUAL RATE) 2 - I955 I96I SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION(FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA). .COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS^ [Thousands of units] Total housing starts (farm and nonfarm) Period Total private and public (22) (2) (2) () (22) () 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1959 1, 553. 5 1, 296. 0 1960 1960: July _ 118. 3 August 135. 1 102. 6 September 113.2 October 94. 5 November __ _ December 70. 9 72. 5 1961: January.. February. 81. 0 March 109. 7 April 115. 3 130.7 May 4 June4 138. 3 127. 9 July 129. 2 August 4 1 2 3 18 Private Nonfarm housing starts Total private and public Old 1, 220. 4 (22) 1, 328. 9 (2) 1, 118. 1 (2) 1, 041. 9 () 1, 209. 4 (22) 1, 378. 5 () New series 3 1, 516. 8 1, 531. 3 1, 252. 1 1, 274. 0 114. 3 116. 6 130.3 133. 0 96. 9 100. 6 110. 4 110. 1 92. 8 93. 5 64. 2 70. 4 69. 8 71. 0 75. 8 77.7 104. 6 107. 3 113. 0 111.0 126. 6 128. 3 132.4 135. 3 124. 7 125. 5 126. 1 126. 3 Private Total Government farm and Nonfarm programs Total nonfarm FHA VA series 1, 201. 7 276.3 307.0 1, 309. 5 276. 7 392. 9 1, 093. 9 189.3 270.7 992. 8 168. 4 128. 3 1, 141. 5 295. 4 102. 1 1, 342. 8 332. 5 109. 3 New series 3 1, 494. 6 332. 5 109.3 1, 230. 1 260.9 74. 6 112.6 23.6 7. 4 1,209 1, 227 8.2 128. 2 1,855 26. 3 1,885 94. 9 1,067 6. 8 1,089 21. 9 22. 6 1,237 107. 3 5. 9 1,273 1,206 20. 2 1,220 5. 5 91. 8 996 987 63. 7 4,8 13. 8 68.3 14. 0 4. 9 1, 127 1, 098 72. 5 1, 115 4. 9 1, 169 13. 0 102. 2 1,296 6.4 1, 262 20. 1 6. 1 1,166 108. 7 1, 148 20. 1 1,291 1,268 124. 2 8. 0 23. 7 22. 1 1,881 1,851 129. 4 7.8 122. 3 1,318 21. 6 7.3 1,388 1, 291 1, 817 123. 2 8. 4 25. 1 Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. Not available. See Housing Starts, C 20-11 (Supplement). Bureau of the Census, May 1900, tor description. (Data for Alaska and Hawaii included.) Private housing starts, seasonally adjusted annual rates Proposed home construction Applications for Requests for VA FHA appraiscommitals 1 ments l 338. 6 306. 2 197.7 198.8 341. 7 369. 7 535.4 620.8 401.5 159.4 234.2 234. 0 369. 7 242. 4 19.6 22.9 20. 1 18. 3 14. 8 13. 2 14.3 16.9 24. 0 20. 8 23. 9 23. 4 20. 6 24. 4 234. 0 142. 9 8. 5 12. 4 11. 6 10. 0 10. 3 10.0 9. 4 12. 0 17.7 17.5 14. 7 17. 6 15.1 17.4 * Preliminary. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). TRADE SALES AND INVENTORIES Trade sales (seasonally adjusted) dropped in July while inventories showed little change. in August, according to preliminary estimates. Retail sales were unchanged BILLIONS OF D O L L A R S * BILLIONS OF DOLLARS • RETAIL TRADE DURABLE GOODS STORES 10 I , I , I I .......I INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 * NONDURABLE GOODS STORES 180 INVENTORIES 14 160 - -^r* 12 120 8 0 1958 I 1959 I I960 1 1961 195 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. COUNCIL OF ECONOMJC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Wholesale Retail Department stores Inventories 2 Sales » s Period Sales i Inventories 2 Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1953 1954 1955 1956 _ _. 1957 __ _ 1958 1959 1960 1960: June July_ _ August September October November December 1961: January February March __ _ April May_ June c6 July August ° 1 Monthly 2 __ 9. 8 9. 7 10. 6 11. 3 11. 3 11. 1 12. 3 12.3 12.5 12. 3 12. 3 12. 2 12. 2 12.2 12. 3 12. 2 12. 4 12. 5 12.1 12. 8 12. 8 12. 5 10. 5 10. 4 11. 4 13. 0 12. 7 12. 0 12. 6 13. 2 13.0 13.0 13. 1 13. 1 13. 2 13. 3 13. 2 13. 1 13. 2 13. 3 13. 4 13.5 13. 5 13. 5 14. 1 14. 1 15. 3 15. 8 16. 7 16. 7 18. 0 18.3 18. 5 18. 1 18. 2 18. 1 18.5 18.4 17. 9 17. 8 17. 8 18.1 17.9 18.0 18. 2 18. 1 18. 1 average lor year and total for month. Book value, end ol period, seasonally adjusted. * Beginning January 1900, data include Alaska and Hawaii. * End of period, except annual data, which arc monthly averages. 5. 0 4. 8 5. 6 5. 5 5. 7 5.3 6.0 5. 9 6. 0 5. 7 5. 8 5. 8 6. 1 5.9 5. 5 5. 4 5. 3 5.5 5.4 5. 5 5. 6 5. 5 5. 5 9. 1 9. 2 9. 7 10. 3 11.0 11.4 12. 0 12. 4 12. 5 12. 5 12. 4 12. 3 12.5 12. 5 12. 4 32. 4 12. 4 12. 6 12.5 12. 4 12. 6 12, 5 12. 6 22. 7 22. 1 23.9 23.9 24.5 24.0 24. 3 25. 4 25. 3 25. 4 25. 2 25. 3 25.4 25.4 25. 4 25. 2 24. 9 24. 4 24. 4 24. 5 24. 6 24. 7 10. 7 10. 1 11. 2 10.7 11. 4 10.8 11.0 11. 9 11. 8 11. 9 11. 7 11.8 11. 9 11.9 11. 9 11. 6 11. 4 11.0 10. 9 11.0 11. 1 11. 2 12. 0 12.0 12. 7 13. 2 13. 1 13. 2 13. 3 13. 5 13. 5 13. 5 13. 6 13. 6 13. 5 13. 5 13. 5 13. 6 13. 5 13. 5 13. 5 13.5 13.5 13.6 Sales 1 Inventories 4 Index, 1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted 5 118 131 118 128 128 136 135 148 135 152 136 148 144 156 145 165 145 164 148 167 144 169 144 168 150 167 142 169 147 165 142 162 145 161 146 161 148 162 144 164 149 164 151 166 150 * Based on retail value. Preliminary. _ T ^ , * -^ * f ^ f ^ Rcservels ston? Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal 6 19 MANUFACTURERS' SALES, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' sales increased in July for the sixth month in a row. time in almost a year. Durable goods sales and new orders estimates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* Inventories increased significantly for the firsf rose in August, according to preliminary BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 60 60 10 DURABLE GOODS \ £0 _MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS. NONDURABLE GOODS \ NONDURABLE GOODS / /J DURABLE GOODS 20 10 1 1 i i I 11 1958 i i i 1 1 l i 11 i i •g i i i i 1 i it t i 1 1 I I f I I I I I 1959 I960 L_iJ_J 1959 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. .COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, sonsonnlly adjusted] Manufacturers' sales * Period Total 1953 1954 1955 1956 ... 1957 1958 1959 . I960 . _ I960- July August September October November December 1961: January February March April _ May _> .Tune 3 3 July August 3 4 _ __ . __ -- NonDurable durable goods goods 24. 5 23.5 26.3 27.7 28. 4 26. 2 29. 7 30. 4 30. 4 30.2 30. 1 29.6 29. 2 29. 1 28. 7 29.0 29. 6 30. 1 30. 8 30. 9 31. 1 1 M o n t h l y average for year and total for month. 2 Hook value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. Preliminary. J 20 12.4 11.2 13. 1 13. 8 14. 2 12. 4 14. 5 14. 7 14.7 14. 4 14. 4 14. 1 13. 8 13.6 13.2 13.3 13. 7 14. 1 14. 6 14. 7 14. 8 14. 9 12. 1 12.3 13.3 13. 9 14. 2 13. 8 15. 2 15. 7 15. 7 15. 7 15. 7 15. 5 15. 4 15. 5 15. 5 15.7 15. 9 16. 0 16. 2 16. 2 16. 2 Manufacturers' inventories 2 Total 45. 4 43.0 46. 4 52. 3 53. 5 49. 2 52. 4 53. 7 54. 9 55. 0 54. 7 54. 4 54. 0 53. 7 53. 7 53. 6 53. 3 53. 4 53. 4 53. 4 53. 6 Durable goods Nondurable goods 26. 2 24. 1 26. 7 30.7 31. 1 27. 9 30. 1 30. 9 32. 0 32. 1 31. 8 31.4 31. 1 30. 9 30. 8 30.6 30. 3 30. 2 30. 2 30. 2 30. 4 19. 2 18. 9 19. 7 21. 6 22. 4 21.3 22. 3 22. 9 22. 8 22. 9 22. 9 23.0 22. 9 22. 9 22. 9 23.0 23. 0 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 23. 2 Manufacturers' new orders Total 23. 1 22. 5 27. 2 28.3 27. 3 25.9 30. 1 29. 9 29. 2 30. 0 30. 4 29. 2 29. 0 28. 7 28. 5 29. 1 29. 9 30. 4 31. 1 31. 1 31. 2 * Not charted. Source: Department of Commerce. l Durable goods NonMachinery durable and goods Total equipment 12. 1 11. 0 3.3 10. 2 12.3 3. 1 13. 9 4.2 13.3 14. 4 4. 7 13.9 13. 1 4. 4 14.2 12.0 13.9 3.9 14. 9 15. 3 5. 0 14.3 4. 9 15. 7 13. 8 15. 4 4. 8 14. 4 15. 6 5. 0 14. 6 15. 8 4. 9 13. 7 4. 7 15. 5 13. 6 4. 8 15.4 13.2 4. 7 15. 5 4.8 12. 9 15. 6 4.8 13. 4 15. 8 13. 8 16. 0 5. 1 14. 4 16. 1 5. 0 5.2 14. 8 16. 3 14. 9 16. 2 5. 3 15. 0 5. 2 16. 1 15. 3 5. 5 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS The merchandise trade surplus (seasonallly adjusted) decreased again in July. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2.5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 2.0 * MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDING MUTUAL SECURITY PROGRAM SHIPMENTS X 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1955 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE , AND DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE. Period COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVMJERS [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports excluding Merchandise imports Mutual Security Program shipments Total (includGeneral 2imImports for consumption * Domestic exports ing reexports)1 ports Indus- Finished Indus- Finished Season- Unad- Total i Food- trial manumanu- Season- Unad- Total Food- trial ally ad- justed ally adstuffs matefacfac- l stuffs matejusted justed justed tures rials rials tures Monthly average: 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1, 164 1, 100 1,022 1, 071 1, 191 1, 444 1, 625 1,364 1, 366 ], 629 ._ _ _ 1960: June July___ August September October November December 1961: January February. March__ April May_ June Jnlv. _ 1 1,626 1, 7 36 1, 622 1, 610 1, 707 1, 677 1, 621 1, 649 1, 764 jf. 687 1, 655 1, 654 1, 591 1, 707 1, 637 1, 629 1, 547 1,557 1,690 1, 724 1, 743 1, 539 1, 606 1,889 1, 647 1, 671 1, 644 1, 558 345 1, 151 190 1,088 300 175 1,012 254 143 310 1,060 131 162 1, 180 351 1, 432 441 216 529 1, 610 208 1,350 368 198 365 1, 351 210 230 509 ], 613 Unadjusted 1, 621 221 525 1,612 210 510 501 1,529 218 242 476 1, 541 524 246 1, 676 569 1,710 247 1,724 250 580 494 1, 511 222 492 1, 594 245 1, 859 283 525 242 454 1, 629 262 474 1,653 457 1, 623 239 446 231 1, 539 Total exports less Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program. 2 Imports for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses. 914 893 906 851 949 1,051 1,082 1,070 1, 267 1, 221 616 612 614 620 667 775 872 784 776 874 876 892 810 822 905 894 894 795 856 1, 051 933 917 927 862 3 1,265 1,258 1, 228 1, 177 1, 196 1, 128 1, 100 1, 119 1, 122 1, 127 1, 129 1, 117 1, 181 1, $71 1, 307 1, 150 1, 229 1, 160 1, 157 1, 161 1, 157 1, 124 1,046 1, 230 1, 042 1, 194 1, 220 1, 208 901 258 485 896 263 459 441 274 898 276 853 394 945 260 468 1,043 267 508 1,079 274 511 1,062 287 450 534 1,249 285 274 1, 221 509 Unadjusted 288 1, 289 551 1, 140 257 466 1,246 280 539 478 1, 159 269 1, 157 268 463 1, 176 280 465 474 1, 151 265 1, 112 260 470 250 1,037 438 502 311 1, 235 1, 046 251 428 497 204 1, 188 492 1, 189 287 1, 241 275 51 1 158 174 183 183 217 268 294 325 431 438 450 417 427 412 425 431 412 382 348 422 367 427 410 4f»r> >rts for imrnedi immediate consumption plus withdrawals for consumption from Imports bonded warehouses. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. /Ltji U.S. BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Despite a sharp drop in exports and a slight rise in imports, net international payments in the second quarter fell by a further $2.4 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) and the United States ran an over-all balance of payments surplus for the first time since 1957. However, special debt repayments on U.S. Government loans more than accounted for the improvement. BILlJONS OF DOLLARS * BILL.IONS OF DOLLARS * 40 40 U.S. PAYMENTS TOTAL U.S, PAYMENTS *^^ ^-*-***X^ 30 '~~-<*^ ^- -< — <s 30 U.S. RECEIPTS 20 20 10 10 I 0 | j I 1 I 1 I I I ! 1 ;SC, ," ,^J-\ ^IMPORTS OF GOODS" v s V , * \ ' AND SERVICES \ ! *v' ' - ?;:=,'. "/: . . /; . - . . , . ' . ' ., % , ,* - 'x - , - 0 20 40 U.S. RECEIPTS TOTAL 10 - EXCESS OF RE 0 30 « u ti y y tl y H -10 EXCESS OF P AV ** CM ' re -20 I u u B | " "X^^^^f^^^ ^iaTirt*1wrw™^^^ - m U = '- ' / 10 fEXPORTsfbF GOODsT , . .%7 AND SERVICES--.'. ; ,,.v: l l 1958 l i i 1959 i i i i I960 '"',' ^ h • 20 l i ,/; •;••-;;:;--:/-'•,,/ 0 1961 1958 1959 I960 1961 ASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES. ^SE CLUDES UNRECORDED TRANSACTIONS, EXCLUDES LIQUID DOLLAR ASSETS sc URGE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] U.S. receipts (recorded) Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 _ Exports of goods and services _ 1960: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter ___ Second quarter 1 2 17, 081 17, 949 20, 003 23, 705 26, 733 23, 325 23, 709 27, 300 26, 27, 27, 28, 28, 27, 260 312 416 212 456 548 Foreign capital Imports other of than goods liquid and dollar assets services (net) 156 210 351 576 428 -27 709 200 724 372 68 -364 796 992 Increase in foreign Balance Unregold and on recorded corded U.S. grants and capital (net) recorded transactransliquid tions—U.S. actions dollar and Govern- Private capital [net pay- errors assets omissions ment ments ( — ) through Total i grants (net transacor receipts receipts) and Total Direct tions with (+)] capital the U.S. U.S. payments (recorded) 16, 644 16, 088 17, 937 19, 829 20, 923 21, 053 23, 537 23, 327 23, 24, 23, 22, 22, 22, 700 096 496 016 084 164 3,041 2,055 369 721 -2, 448 1, 554 1, 619 664 -1,717 3,788 2, 211 1, 211 4,007 779 -1, 590 2, 362 2, 990 1,859 6, 017 1, 565 2, 574 3, 175 2,058 6, 451 213 3, 908 6, 153 2 2, 587 2, 844 1,094 2 1, 986 2, 375 1,372 5, 152 -4, 271 7,454 2, 750 3, 856 1,694 -3,281 Seasonally adjusted annual rates -2,612 2,328 2,776 1, 376 5, 896 6, 072 2, 780 2, 440 1,040 -2, 484 7,588 3 2, 420 4 4, 340 4 1, 624 34— 3, 600 3, 472 5, 868 2, 736 -4, 428 10, 260 -1,304 3,476 4, 156 2,048 8,472 2, 180 96 3,216 1, 412 4, 196 Includes remittances and pensions not shown separately. Excludes $1,375 million increase in U.S. subscription to International Monetary Fund. 3 Includes U.S. subscription to International Development Association of $74 million ($2% million at annual rate). < Includes single direct investment transaction of $370 million ($1,480 million at annual rate). 22 296 167 446 643 748 380 528 -648 2, 152 1, 550 1, 144 922 -535 3,528 3,743 3,929 132 -568 -848 — 1, 308 -100 -1, 184 2, 480 3, 052 4, 448 * 5, 736 1,404 5 — 996 3 * Includes special debt repayment on U.S. Government loans of $650 million ($2.6 billion at annual rate). NOTE.—Data exclude goods and services transferred under military grants. Source: Department of Commerce. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index rose 0.4 percent in July. Seasonally higher prices for food accounted for a major part of the advance, but prices for commodities other than food and services also rose. INDEX, 1947-49=100 INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 150 140 130 "^Z* 100 1955 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. f" ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49 = 100] Commodities Period 1950 . .__ . ... 1951 _ -_ -. 1952 1953-. 1954 _ _ _ 1955 _-_ _ 1956 _ _ 1957 1958 ___ ___ 1959 I960. 1960: June July August _ September OctoberNovember December 1961: January February March_ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ April __ Mav__ June July Source: Department of Labor. All items 102. 8 111. 0 113. 5 114. 4 114. 8 114. 5 116. 2 120. 2 123.5 124. 6 126. 5 126.5 126. 6 126. 6 126. 8 127. 3 127. 4 127. 5 127.4 127. 5 127. 5 127. 5 127. 4 127.6 128. 1 All commodities 101. 2 110. 3 111. 7 111. 3 110. 2 109. 0 110. 1 113. 6 116.3 116. 6 117. 5 117. 6 117. 7 117.6 117. 7 118. 2 118. 3 118. 4 118.0 118. 1 118. 0 117. 9 117. 7 118.0 118. 7 Services Commodities less food Food All 101. 2 112. 6 114. 6 112. 8 112. 6 110. 9 111. 7 115. 4 120. 3 118. 3 119. 7 120. 3 120. 6 120. 1 120. 2 120. 9 121. 1 121. 4 121. 3 121. 4 121. 2 121. 2 120. 7 120. 9 122.0 101. 3 108. 9 109. 8 110. 0 108. 6 107. 5 108. 9 112. 3 113. 4 115. 1 115. 7 115. 3 115. 4 115. 5 115. 6 115. 9 115.9 115. 9 115. 4 115. 5 115. 4 115. 2 115. 3 115. 6 116.0 All Nonservices Durable durable 104. 4 112. 4 113. 8 112. 6 108. 3 105. 1 105. 1 108. 8 110. 5 113. 0 111. 6 111. 5 111. 1 111. 0 110.0 110. 9 110.7 110. 8 110. 2 110. 3 109. 9 110. 7 110. 8 111. 2 111. 5 100. 9 108. 5 109. 1 110. 1 110. 6 110. 6 113. 0 116. 1 116. 9 118.3 1 20. 1 119. 6 119. 9 120. 1 120. 9 120. 9 121. 1 121. 0 120. 5 120. 6 120. 7 120. 0 120.0 120. 3 120. 6 108. 5 114. 1 119. 3 124. 2 127. 5 129. 8 132. 6 137. 7 142. 4 145. 8 150. 0 149. 7 150. 0 150. 3 150. 8 151. 2 151. 3 151. 4 151. 7 151.9 152. 2 152. 3 152. 5 152. 7 152. 8 Rent 108. 8 113. 1 117. 9 124. 1 128. 5 130.3 132. 7 135. 2 137. 7 139. 7 141. 8 141. 6 141. 8 141. 9 142. 1 142. 5 142. 7 142. 8 142. 9 143. 1 143. 1 143. 3 143. 4 143. 5 143. 6 Services less rent 108. 1 114. 6 120. 1 124. 6 127.7 130. 1 133. 0 138. 6 143. 8 147. 5 152. 1 151.8 152. 1 152. 5 153. 0 153. 4 153. 6 153. 6 154.0 154. 2 154. 6 154. 7 154.9 155.0 155. 2 23 WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices increased in Augusf, mainly reflecting seasonal advances in the prices of farm products and processed foods. INDEX, 1947-49*100 INDEX, 1947-49=100 COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIALS) - 130 120 100 1961 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commodities Period 1953 1954 _ . .. 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 . . . I960 _ _ ..__ - _ _ _ 1960: Julv August September October November^ _ _ _ _ _ _ December. 1961: January February March _ April May June Julv August Week ended: 4 1961: September 5 12. 1 _ _ _ _ 110. 1 110.3 110. 7 114. 3 117. 6 119. 2 119. 5 119. 6 119. 7 119. 2 119. 2 119. 6 119. 6 119. 5 119. 9 120. 0 119. 9 119. 4 118. 7 118. 2 118. 6 119. 0 118. 7 118. 7 [1947-49 = 100] Commodities other than farm products and foods (industrials) Consumer finIndusIndusFarm Procished goods exAll intrial trial in- Producprodessed fincluding food dustricrude termedi- er ucts foods ished DurNonals1 mate- ate magoods terials 2 able durable rials 104. 6 114. 0 106.9 97. 0 116. 2 113. 8 123. 1 108. 5 114 7 107. 2 114. 5 116. 7 1247 105. 3 95. 6 103. 3 89. 6 101. 7 117. 0 120. 1 115. 9 107.8 128. 5 113. 4 122. 2 119. 7 109. 9 88. 4 101. 7 126. 0 138. 1 120. 0 112. 4 123. 3 90. 9 129. 3 105. 6 125. 6 146. 7 118. 3 110. 9 94. 9 129. 1 150. 3 125. 0 126. 0 113. 7 111. 7 107.0 128. 2 126. 5 113. 4 89. 1 120. 0 153. 2 131. 2 107. 7 126. 0 114 1 128. 3 88. 8 131. 7 153. 5 115. 3 114 1 sa 9 ioa 9 128. 2 114 8 131. 7 153. 6 126. 3 107. 8 126. 2 114. 4 131. 6 153. 7 114 6 86. 6 128. 2 152. 5 108. 1 127. 9 87. 7 123. 6 114. 8 114. 2 131. 5 109. 0 128.0 112. 7 131.3 89. 5 153. 4 125. 7 114 8 1147 109. 1 127. 9 153.6 89. 9 131. 0 125. 8 111. 8 109. 2 127. 9 114 7 88. 7 111. 0 130. 9 1 53. 8 125. 8 109. 9 89. 7 128. 1 154 0 111. 3 130. 8 125. 8 1149 115.2 128. 1 112. 1 90. 0 110. 5 130. 7 153. 9 125. 6 109. 6 128.2 89. 9 130. 7 153. 8 125.5 115. 0 113. 3 114 2 108. 7 128. 0 153. 7 125.5 88. 5 113. 3 130. 6 107. 5 127. 6 129. 9 86. 8 153. 7 125. 5 113. 5 113. 3 127. 4 125. 6 106. 7 129. 8 153. 9 85. 1 113. 6 113. 8 129. 6 87. 1 114. 4 153. 8 107. 5 127. 4 125. 6 113. 9 108.2 129. 6 153. 7 125. 6 115.8 114 1 127.4 88.8 86. 9 87. 4 108. 2 107. 9 < - o v o r a p e of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this • KxHudes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured tuuiiial feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. 24 3 Not 4 127. 4 127. 3 (33) () (33) () (33) () (33) () (33) () available. Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series. NOTE.—Series revised beginning January 1961 to incorporate 1958 weights. Source: Department of Labor. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS The index of prices received by farmers rose about 2 percent in the month ended August 1 5. but at a slower rate than prices received. As a result the parity ratio advanced one point. INDEX, 1910-14 = 100 325 Prices paid also rose INDEX, I9l0-I4a 250 250 225 225 200 200 RATIO 17 RATIO M 100 PARITY RATIO —S******. n.....,A-"~^...^.X*'""-*-*«--"-..-n.."""" 1 ! 1 1 1 1 I 1955 11 1 '""""-<>^^^f.nn.unrtwa^ " ^ **"*****„*»««• 75 1 1 1 1 1956 1957 1959 1958 I960 INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST,TAXES, AND WAGE RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. 1961 COUNCIL 0> ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by farmers Period 1951. 1952 1953 1954 1955__ - __ 1956 1957 1958 1959_ 1960 1960: July 15 August 15 September 15 October 15 November 15 December 15 1961: January 15 February 15 March 15_ _ April 15 _ _ _ Mav 15 _ June 15 July 15 August 15 All farm products _. _ _ _ _ _ _ Crops 302 288 255 246 232 230 235 250 240 238 236 234 238 241 241 242 241 244 243 239 236 234 237 241 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage lates. 265 267 240 242 231 235 225 223 221 221 222 219 222 222 219 217 218 221 224 226 230 231 232 229 Prices paid by farmers All items, interest, Livestock taxes, Family Producand and living tion wage rates products items items (parity index) Index, 1910-14=100 282 273 268 336 274 306 271 287 256 269 268 277 270 255 249 277 234 251 276 270 274 250 226 278 282 244 257 286 264 287 273 293 256 266 297 288 290 265 253 299 290 263 249 298 262 290 247 298 290 263 251 298 262 257 290 297 262 291 260 297 291 265 263 298 267 291 261 301 267 291 302 263 269 290 302 259 267 290 302 251 266 291 241 302 265 290 236 300 264 290 241 300 265 290 301 251 Parityl ratio 107 100 92 89 84 83 82 85 81 80 79 79 80 81 81 81 80 81 80 79 78 78 79 80 Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY SUPPLY The money supply changed little in August, which is the norma! seasonal pattern. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 150 ^gff***t******^***1*^ TOTAL MONEY SUPPLY r tfa^ 130 150 AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED *-— <^~~^ I4O ^ -^-^ ^ ^— - 130 nFMAhin nFPnsiTS AT AI i COMMERCIAL BANK S 120 1 110 - S*****1** 1 „—— -,"--^—.— • gl^^ *"" ** 110 S*+~~~ "*"""** 100 90 90 - i i i i i I i i i i i 80 1956 1955 1957 1959 1958 , , , , , 1 , 1 . 1 ; I960 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE F E D E R A L R E S E R V E SYSTEM. Total 1953: 1954: 1955: 19561957: 19581959: 1960: 1960: December December. __ December December December December December. _ __ December __ _ _ July.__ ._ _ _ August September October November December 1961* January February- _ _ _ _ March April Mav June J u l y _ _ _ _ __ August 2 First half 2 Second half _ 1 2 _ _ _ _ ___ ._ _ _ Deposits at all commercial banks. Preliminary. 26 128. 1 131. 8 134. 6 136. 5 135. 5 140. 8 141. 5 140. 4 139. 6 139. 7 140. 4 140. 6 140. 2 140. 4 140. 6 141. 2 141. 5 142. 0 142. 0 142. 1 142. 0 141. 9 141. 9 141. 9 I 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 1^ 8O 196! COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS |Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] Money supply Seasonally adjusted | Unadjusted Period 1 Currency outside banks Demand deposits l 27. 7 27. 4 27. 8 28. 2 28. 3 28. G 28. 9 29. 0 28. 9 28. 9 29. 0 29. 0 29. 0 29.0 28. 9 28. 9 29. 0 29. 0 29. 0 28. 9 29. 0 29. 0 29. 0 29.0 100. 4 104. 4 106. 8 108. 3 107. 2 112. 2 112. 6 111. 4 110. 7 110. 8 111. 5 111. 6 111. 2 111. 4 111. 7 112. 3 112. 6 113. 0 113. 0 113. 2 1 13. 0 112. 9 112. 9 112. 9 Total 131. 4 135. 0 137. 9 139. 7 138. 8 144. 3 144. 9 143. 8 138. 7 138. 9 139. 7 1 40. 6 141. 4 143. 8 143. 7 140. 9 140. 1 141. 7 140. 0 140. 7 141. 1 141. 2 141. 9 140. 4 Currency outside banks Demand deposits * 28. 2 27. 9 28.3 28.7 28.9 29. 2 29. 5 29. 5 29. 1 29. 0 29. 1 29. 1 29. 2 29.5 28. 8 28. 6 28. 6 28. 7 28. 7 28. 9 20. 2 29^ 2 29. 3 29. 1 103. 3 107. 1 109. 6 111. 0 109. 9 115. 1 115. 5 114. 3 109. 6 109. 8 110. 7 111. 5 112. 2 114. 3 114. 9 112. 3 111. 4 113. 0 111. 3 111. 8 111. 9 112. 0 112. 7 111. 4 Related deposits (unadjusted) 1 U.S. Gross Governtime ment demand 44. 7 3. 8 48. 5 5. 0 50. 0 3. 4 3. 4 51. 8 57. 1 :.! 5 3. 9 65. 1 4. 9 67. 0 72. 5 4. 7 69. 5 6. 7 70. 3 6. 1 5. 4 71. 2 5. 7 71.8 72. 0 5. 8 72. 5 4. 7 73. 7 4, 1 4. 8 75. 1 75. 9 4. 7 2. 9 76. 9 78. 1 4. 6 79. 0 4, 5 4. 3 79.9 80. 6 4. 8 80. 5 5. 1 80. 8 4. 5 NOTE.—See note, p. 27. Source: Board ol Governors oi the Federal Reserve System. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans rose $400 million in August, compared to $500 million in August 1960, BH_LIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 ISO too 1955 1958 1961 END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commercial banks . End of period 1953 1954 _ _ _ _ _ _ 1955__ 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1960: July August September October November December 1961: January February March 5 April 55 _ _ May June55 July 5 August _ , _ _ _ _ _ Investments Total loans and investments Loans 1 15. 7 155. 9 160. 9 165. 1 170. 1 185. 2 190. 3 199. 5 190. 9 191. 2 193. 3 195. 6 195. 5 199. 5 197. 0 199. 3 198.0 199. 7 201. 0 202. 3 204, 9 205. 0 67. 6 70. 6 82. 6 90. 3 93. 9 98. 2 110.8 117. 6 114. 2 114. 7 115. 4 114, 8 115. 0 117. 6 114. 2 116. 7 116. 6 117. 2 117. 6 118. 2 117. 7 118. 1 U.S. Government securities Billions of dollars 14. 7 63. 4 16. 3 69. 0 61. 6 16. 7 16. 3 58. 6 58.2 17. 9 66. 4 20. 6 20. 5 58. 9 61. 0 20. 9 20. 0 56. 7 20. 0 56. 6 20. 2 57. 7 CO. 4 20. 4 20. 3 60. 2 20. 9 61. 0 20. 9 61. 9 21. 3 61. 3 21. 7 59. 7 60. 7 21. 8 21. 9 61. 5 22. 2 62. 0 22. 4 64. 8 22. 6 64. 3 1 Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. Other securities Weekly reporting member1 banks Business loans 2 23. 4 22. 4 26. 7 30. 8 31. 8 2 31. 7 2 30. 5 31. 9 31. 0 31. 0 31. 5 31. 4 31. 7 31. 9 31. 2 31. 3 32.0 2 31. 7 31. 5 31. 8 31. 3 31. 5 2 Bank All member banks 1 debits outside New York Reserves 4 BorrowCity (343 ings at centers) , Federal seasonally adjusted Required Excess Reserve Banks 4 annual3 rates Millions of dollars 441 1, 126 19, 227 693 246 1, 148 18, 576 703 839 594 ] 8, 646 1,277 652 688 1,385 18, 883 710 577 1, 468 18, 843 557 1, 481 18, 383 516 1 8, 450 482 906 1, 656 18, 514 769 87 1, 736 18, 010 388 508 1, 699 17, 961 293 1, 790 540 639 225 1, 742 17, 931 149 1, 722 18,095 638 ] 42 18, 248 1, 768 756 769 87 18, 514 1, 711 49 1, 783 18, 570 745 137 1, 775 654 18, 310 70 1, 775 18, 263 546 1, 788 56 18, 266 618 1,872 1 8, 307 !M 549 612 03 18, 430 1, 84-6 r>i 18, 482 581 1, 817 67 605 18, 619 1,854 f Preliminary. NOTE.—Between January and August 1959, series for nil commercial Imnk.n expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Data for all member banks include Alaska and Hawaii for all periods. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 2Y CONSUMER CREDIT In July, consumer credit outstanding declined $100 million compared to a rise of $150 million in July 1960. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 60 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ISO TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING M i i i i i 1 . t . . i I i i t i i.l i i t i i 1 t i t i i f f ft I i i i t i f 'i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I j . i i i I i i i i i l l 1955 I 1956 1 1957 I960 1959 1958 1961 SOURCE: BOA^OOF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RE^EWE SYSTEM. Period 1951 1952 1953 1954. _ __ ___ 1955 _ _ _ _ _ _ 1956 1957 1958 _ ... 1959 _ _ _ _ 1960 1960: June July August September _ _ October _ _ November December 1961: January February March April May June July [Millions of dollars] Consumer credit outstanding (end of period; unadjusted) Instalment NonAutomoTotal instal-3 Total * bile 2 ment paper 22, 712 27, 520 31, 393 32, 464 38, 882 42, 511 45, 286 45, 544 52, 119 56, 049 53, 662 53, S09 54, 092 54, 265 54, 344 54, 626 56, 049 55, 021 54, 102 53, 906 53, 972 54, 390 54, 786 54, 687 15, 294 19, 403 23, 005 23, 568 28, 958 31, 897 34, 183 34, 057 39, 852 43, 281 41, 752 42, 050 42, 378 42, 517 42, 591 42, 703 43, 281 42, 782 42, 264 42, 058 41, 988 42, 127 42, 441 42, 457 5,972 7,733 9, 835 9, 809 13, 472 14, 459 15, 409 14, 237 16, 549 17, 866 17, 755 17, 893 18, 020 18, 021 17, 992 17, 967 17, 866 17, 611 17, 383 17, 265 17, 200 17, 242 17, 358 17, 358 7,418 8, 117 8, 388 8, 896 9, 924 10, 614 11, 103 11, 487 12, 267 12, 768 11, 910 11, 759 11, 714 11, 748 11, 753 11, 923 12, 768 12, 239 11, 838 11, 848 11, 984 12, 263 12, 345 12, 230 Consumer instalment credit extended and repaid (seasonally adjusted) Automobile paper 2 Total i Extended 23, 576 29, 514 31, 558 31,051 39, 039 40, 175 42, 545 40, 789 49, 045 50, 343 4, 313 4, 214 4,072 4, 125 4, 108 4, 134 4,007 3, 869 3, 803 4, 002 3,883 4,001 4, 116 3,961 Repaid 22, 985 25, 405 27, 956 30, 488 33, 649 37, 236 40, 259 40, 915 43, 407 46, 914 3, 934 3, 997 3,918 3,958 3,994 3, 946 3, 931 3, 972 4,011 3, 954 4, 022 3,974 4, 016 4,035 Extended 8,956 11, 764 12, 981 11, 807 16, 745 15, 563 16, 545 14, 316 17, 941 17, 839 1, 538 1, 417 1, 422 1,422 1,460 1, 482 1, 325 1, 239 1, 190 1, 288 1, 243 1, 315 1, 347 1, 301 Repaid 9, 058 10, 003 10, 879 11,833 13, 082 14, 576 15, 595 15, 488 15, 698 16, 522 1, 392 1,385 1,388 1, 375 1,417 1, 397 1, 356 1,387 1, 363 1, 353 1,388 1,365 1, 386 1, 403 ided beginning January and August il Reserve System. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES The rate on 3-month Treasury bills and yields on bonds averaged higher in August than in July. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 1961 1955 SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] If. JS. Government High-grade security yields municipal bonds 3-month Taxable Treasury 2 (Standard 3 & bonds bills » Poor's) 0. 953 2. 55 2. 37 2. 84 1. 753 2. 53 2.658 3.08 2. 93 3. 267 3. 47 3. 60 1. 839 3. 43 3. 56 3. 405 4. 08 3. 95 4. 02 2. 928 3. 73 2. 396 3. 72 3. 86 2. 286 3. 79 3.53 3.84 2.489 3. 53 2. 426 3. 91 3. 59 2. 384 3.93 3. 46 2.272 3. 88 3. 45 2. 302 3. 89 3. 44 2. 408 3. 81 3.33 2. 420 3.78 3. 38 2. 327 3. 80 3. 44 2. 288 3. 73 3. 38 2.359 3. 88 3. 53 2. 268 3. 90 3. 53 2. 402 4. 00 3.55 Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 ___ 1959_ _ 1960 1960: July August _ __ * September. October November « December 1961: January February March. April _ _ _ _ Mav__ _ June July August. _ _ Week ended: 1961: August ,«_ ___ _ 5 12 19 26 _ September 2 9 16 1 2 _ __ 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 300 366 519 503 321 392 328 Rate on new issues within period. Series includes: April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after; April 1952-March 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years; October 1941-Marcb. 1952, bonds due or callable after 15 years. 3. 95 4.03 4. 01 4. 01 4. 01 4.02 4 4. 06 3.52 3. 56 3. 56 3. 56 3. 56 3. 57 3. 57 Corporate bonds (Moody's) Aaa 4 Baa 2. 90 3. 06 3. 36 3. 89 3. 79 4 38 4. 41 4. 41 4. 28 4. 25 4. 30 4. 31 4. 35 4. 32 4.27 4. 22 4. 25 4. 27 4. 33 4. 41 4. 45 3. 51 3. 53 3. 88 4, 71 4. 73 5. 05 5. 19 5.22 5.08 5. 01 5. 11 5. 08 5. 10 5. 10 5. 07 5.02 5. 01 5. 01 5.03 5.09 5. 11 4. 45 4. 45 4. 45 4. 44 4. 44 4. 46 4. -11) 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. f>. 11 11 12 11 12 12 r>. 12 Weekly data are Wednesday fh'iires. < ,\Toi churn 1 *!. Sources: Treasury Department'. ; Hoard of Governor,': of th Reserve System, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody':, Service. ' Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 1. 58 2. 18 a 31 3. 81 2. 46 3. 97 3.85 3.39 3. 34 3. 39 3. 30 3. 28 3. 23 2. 98 3. 03 3.03 2. 91 2. 76 2. 91 2.72 2. 92 2. 75 2. 83 :i. oo 3. 00 :i. of)? 4 :;. i; , ;i os 3 OQ STOCK PRICES Stock prices averaged higher in August than in July but changed little in early September. INDEX, 1957-59*100 180 INDEX, 1957-59=100 180 160 120 100 1955 1956 1957 I960 1961 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVVSH4 SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. [1957-59=1001 Composite index 1 Period Weekly average: 1952 1953 1954___ _ 1955 _ _ _ _ ___ 1956 1957 1958 1959 __ __ 1960 1960: July _ „_ . _ _ August September October November December 1961: January February March April Mav __ June July August Week ended: 1961: August 18 _ 25 September 1 8 15 2 Manufacturing NonDurable Total durable goods goods Utilities Trade, finance, and service Mining 52. 3 51. 9 61. 7 81.8 92. 6 89.8 93.2 116. 7 113. 9 114. 5 115. 6 112. 1 109. 1 112. 6 115. 2 120.9 125.4 129. 8 133. 0 134. 9 132. 8 132. 7 137. 4 46. 8 46. 7 57. 6 79. 5 93.2 90.7 92. 5 116. 5 110. 9 111. 2 112. 2 107. 6 104. 9 108. 5 110. 3 115. 3 119. 2 123. 9 125. 8 127. 6 126.0 125. 2 130. 1 42. 1 43. 0 54.7 78.7 91.5 88.5 90. 4 120. 8 117. 3 119. 0 119. 8 114. 1 109. 4 113. 0 114. 5 118. 6 121. 4 127. 8 128. 5 130. 6 128. 0 126. 5 131.3 50. 7 49. 8 60. 0 80. 1 94. 5 92.8 94. 4 112. 6 104. 9 104. 0 105. 1 101. 7 100. 8 104. 5 106. 4 112. 2 117. 3 120. 3 123. 3 124. 9 124. 2 123. 9 129. 0 74. 6 73. 9 78. 6 108.2 110. 6 93. 2 91. 0 115. 6 95. 8 95. 7 96. 1 91. 5 88.0 91. 7 92. 6 100. 3 102. 6 104. 2 103.4 107. 5 105. 1 103. 2 107. 0 65. 4 67. 3 75. 3 84. 8 86.4 86.3 95. 8 117. 6 129. 3 131. 0 132. 6 134. 2 130. 5 132. 0 138. 5 148. 7 156. 0 159.2 168. 9 170.0 164. 0 166. 7 170. 6 60. 4 60. 8 69. 1 87. 1 89. 9 82.2 95. 1 122. 3 127. 4 131. 0 131. 8 127. 2 122.8 129. 3 132. 4 134. 8 139. 8 146. 7 150. 4 153. 1 156. 0 158. 4 164. 2 80. 7 70.4 78.2 91. 6 104. 6 107.2 97. 9 95.0 73. 8 68. a 71.6 70. 1 71. 8 74. 1 78. 2 85. 1 89. 0 89.2 93. 5 96. 9 97. 0 93. 1 92.8 138. 2 136. 6 137. 7 137. 1 136. 7 131.0 129. 2 130. 5 130. 2 129. 4 131.6 129. 7 132. 3 132. 3 132. 8 130. 5 128. 6 128. 9 128. 3 120. 4 108.3 107. 1 107.9 106. 6 107. 2 170. 9 170. 2 169. 7 168.0 169. 4 164. 6 164. 7 167. 1 166. 2 166. 2 92. 9 91.5 91. 5 88.7 86. 3 1 ufacturing, 85 for nonIncludes 300 common stocks: 108 for durable poods manun durable noods manufacturing, 18 for transportation, 34 for m utilities, 45 for trade, finance, and service, and 10 for mining. 30 Transportation 2 Not charted. NOTE.—Indexes are based on weekly closing prices. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES In July 1961, the first month of fiscal year 1962, there was a deficit o? $3.3 billion/compared with a deficit of $3.0 billion for the first month of fiscal year 1961. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET RECEIPTS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 50 50 25 25 1959 75 1960 1961 1962 MAJOR NATIONAL SECURITY -EXPENDITURES BUDGET SURPLUS (+} OR DEFICIT (-) (ENLARGED SCALE) FIRST MONTH 50 1962 1959 1957 1958 1959 1961 1962 FISCAL Y E A R S SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. Period Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal Fiscal 1960: year 1956 _ year 1957 year 1958 year 1959 _ _ _ _ year 1960 4 year 1961 June___ --- July 4 4 August _ 4 _ _ September 4 October November 44 December 1961: Januarv 4 4 February March 4 April 44 May June 4 _ Julv 4 .. . -_ - - _ > _. _-_ _ _ _ _ _ _ --_ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS fBillions of dollars] Net budget expenditures Net Major national security 1 budget Department Total receipts Total of Defense, military 2 66. 2 40. 6 38.4 67. 8 69. 0 43. 3 70. 6 40. 8 71. 4 44. 1 41.2 68. 5 SO. 3 46. 4 67. 9 43. 6 76. 5 77. 8 45. 6 42. 8 81. 5 47. 4 44. 7 77. 6 6. 5 3. 7 4. 0 10. 9 6. 2 3. 5 3. 2 3. 1 6. 8 4. 0 6. 5 3. 7 6. 8 3. 7 3. 9 9. 0 6. 8 3. 7 3.5 2. 8 6. 8 3. 6 3. 9 6.3 6.8 4, 2 4. 0 7. 6 4. 8 6. 5 3. 5 3. 7 6. 2 3. 6 6. 5 3. 8 7.0 4. 3 8. 5 4. 0 6. 5 3. 8 3. 5 5. 1 7. 2 4. 1 3. 9 G. 5 7. 9 4. 6 4.3 10. 7 0. 3 3. 5 3. 2 3. 0 * Includes military activities of the Department of Defense (military functions and the military assistance portion of the mutual security program), Atomic Energy Commission, stockpiling, and defense production expansion. 2 Military functions and military assistance. 3 Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. Budget surplus or deficit (-) Public debt (end of3 period) 1. 6 1. 6 - 2. 8 12. 4 1. 2 — 3. 9 4. 4 3. 0 —. 3 2. 2 -4. 0 F~y '. 8 -1. 6 .3 1. 5 -1. 3 —. 7 2. 8 -3. 3 272. 8 270. 6 276. 4 284. 8 286. 5 289. 2 286. 5 288.5 288. 8 288. 6 290. 6 290. 6 290. 4 290. 2 290. 7 287. 7 288. 2 290. -1 280. '_> L )( .)'J. C> -; PreliminaryNOTE.—Total budget receipts and expenditures have been adjusted !,o certain intragovernmental transactions. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 31 CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the fiscal year 1961, cash payments to the public exceeded cash receipts by $2.1 billion. receipts exceeded cash payments by $800 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS { SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS In fiscal 1960, cash •;/' (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ) 30 30 EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS 1955 1959 1958 CALENDAR Y E A R S SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT, AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal year total: 1957 1958 1959 1960__ 1961 1 Calendar year total: 1957 1958 1959 1 I960 _ _ ._ __ _ Quarterly total (calendar years) : 1959: Third quarter Fourth quarter I960- First quarter Second quarter. Third quarter 1 1 Fourth quarter 1961: First quarter * 1 Second nuarter Cash payments to the public Excess of re- Cash receipts ceipts ( + ) or from the payments public (-) 82. 1 81. 9 81.7 95. 1 97. 1 80.0 83.4 94. 8 94. 3 99. 3 2. 1 -1. 5 -13. 1 .8 2. 1 84. 5 81. 7 87. 6 98. 3 83.3 89. 0 95. 6 94. 7 Unadjusted 1. 2 -7.3 —& 0 3. 6 24. 4 23.9 21. 9 24. 1 24. 2 24. 5 23. 4 27. 2 -3.0 -4. 5 3. 8 4. 5 -.8 -3. 9 1. 4 1. 2 21. 4 19. 4 25. 8 28. 5 23.4 20. 6 24. 8 28. 4 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts (+)or payments Seasonally adjusted 23. 2 23. 6 23.5 25. 0 25. 1 24. 8 22. 5 24. 9 23.8 23. 6 23. 3 23. 6 23. 6 24. 2 24. 9 26. 6 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. For suJe by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D.C. Price 20 cents per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.75 foreign U.S. G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G OFFICE: 1961 32 -. 6 .0 .1 1.5 1.5 .6 -2.3 -1. 7