Full text of Economic Indicators : September 1958
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85th Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators SEPTEMBER 1958 Prepared for thejoinf Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1958 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 (a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman JOHN SPARKMAN, Alabama, Vice Chairman RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) PAUL H. DOUGLAS (Illinois) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) JOSEPH C. O'MAHONEY (Wyoming) HENRY O. TALLE (Iowa) RALPH E. FLANDERS (Vermont) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) ARTHUR V. WATKINS (Utah) CLARENCE E. KILBURN (New York) JOHN D. HOBLITZELL, Jr. (West Virginia) RODERICK: H. RILEY, Executive Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS RAYMOND J. SAULNIER, Chairman JOSEPH S. DAVIS PAUL W. McCRACKEN [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S. J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. ii Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving ................................. Gross National Product or Expenditure ........................................ National Income ............................................................. Sources of Personal Income ....... ............................................ Disposition of Personal Income ................................................ Per Capita Disposable Income ................................................. Farm Income ................................................................ Corporate Profits ..................................... ........................ Gross Private Domestic Investment ............ . ............................... Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment .................................... 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force ................................................ ..... N o n a ^ r i c u l t u r a l Employment ................................................. A vcnujjc Week ly Hours - Selected Industries .................................... Average H o u r l y Earnings — Selected Industries .................................. Average Weekly Earnings— Selected Industries ............................. ..... PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production ........................................................ Production of Selected Manufactures ........................................... Weekly Indicators of Production ............................................ New Construction ........................................................... Housing Starts and Applications for Financing .................................. Sales and Inventories —Manufacturing and Trade ................................ Merchandise Exports and Imports ........................................ ..... .. 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices ............................................................. Wholesale Prices ............................................................. Prices Received and Paid by Farmers ........................................... 23 24 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Currency and Deposits ....................................................... Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves ........................................ Consumer Credit ........................................................... Bond Yields and Interest Rates ................................................ Stock Prices ................................................................. .. 26 27 28 29 30 ... 31 32 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures ............................................. Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public .............................. iii TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Current estimates show an increase in total income and expenditures between the first and second quarters of 1958. [Billions of dollars! 1957 Economic group 1958 Year Second quarter Excess of reEx- ceipts Re- pendceipts itures or(+) expenditures (-) Excess of reExceipts Re- pend) ceipts itures or( +expenditures (-) First quarter ExReceipts penditures Excess of receipts (+> or ex- Second quarter ExRe- pendceipts itures penditures (-) Excess of receipts (+) or expenditures (-) Seasonally adjusted annual rates Consumers:i I )i.s|)os. il)I< 1 jHT.son.'il income.. :J05. 1 lVrson;il c o n s u m p t i o n ex- 282 5 28 1. 4 20. 7 IVrsuiril net siivin"' (~1~) Business: ( Iross TV tni nod enrninjrs (Iross private domestic investment 65. 3 Excess of receipts (+) or of investment ( — ) _ O OO. 0 Total government expenditures Less: Transfers, interest, and subsidies (net) Purchases of goods and services -7. 2 « .5 —4 2 .5 —.5 —.5 116. 3 110. 6 (') 27. 5 30. 4 32. 3 88.8 80. 2 C1) 115. 0 119. 9 123. 2 27. 4 27. 5 30. 4 32. 3 87. 1 87. 5 89. 5 90. 9 1. 3 1. 7 .7 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT. _ 440. 3 440. 3 .7 1.5 1. 5 441. 2 441. 2 i Not available. NOTE.—Revised scries beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current J3'imncss, July 1958. For explanation and use of this arrangement, see Senate Report No. 1295, Joint 49. 2 114. 5 Surplus ( + ) or deficit ( — ) on income and product account. Statistical discrepancy C1) -21. 8 -3. 5 19. 2 49. 6 4. 2 Government (Federal, State, and local) : Tax and nontax receipts or 116. 2 accruals Less: Transfers, interest, 27. 4 and subsidies (net) 288.3 18. 8 67. 0 3. 5 QO 286 2 42. 4 -19. 7 International: Net foreign investment 307. 5 23 2 45. 2 45. 6 Excess of investment (—) Net receipts 305. 0 1305. 7 -9. 3 -1. 7 425. 8 425. 8 -1. 7 0) 0) l () 429. 0 429. 0 Economic Report, pp. 92-93, 99-105, and Economic Report of the President, January 1953, Appendix A. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national expenditures rose $3.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the first and second quarters of 1958, according to current estimates. Increases occurred in personal consumption expenditures and government purchases. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50O BILLIONS OF DOLLARS '5OO SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT -X: 300 300 PERSONAL CO ^SUMPTION EXPENDITU RES *w __ ~~ 200 200 ~ GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 100 100 -^ -—^ "-*— — —— ' GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 0 NET FORElGf 4 INVESTMENT ^ ^ I 1 1 1952 1 1 • 1 1953 1 1 ! 1954 I L _J I I J Period 1939 1948 1949 1951 1952 _ _ 1953 _ _ _ 1954 1955 1956 _ _ 1957 204. 7 317. 1 316. 6 370. 1 382. 6 399.3 393.0 425. 1 435. 3 440. 3 \ 1958 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISE SOURCE : DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total gross national product in 1957 prices l \ L 1957 1956 1955 [Billions of dollars] Personal Gross Total conNet sump- private foreign gross domestic national tion investproduct expend- investment ment itures 91. 1 259.4 258. 1 329.0 347.0 365. 4 363. 1 397.5 419. 2 440. 3 67. 6 178.3 181.2 209.8 219. 8 232.6 238. 0 256. 9 269.4 284.4 9. 3 43. 1 33.0 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48.9 63. 8 68. 2 65.3 436. 3 441.2 445. 6 438. 9 425. 8 429. 0 279. 8 282. 5 288.3 287. 2 286.2 288. 3 65. 9 67.0 66. 7 61.5 49. 6 49. 2 0.9 1.9 .5 .2 — .2 -2.0 — .4 _.4 1.4 3. 5 Government purchases of goods and services Federal Total 2 13. 3 36. 1 43. 4 62. 6 77.5 84.4 76.6 77. 1 80. 3 87. 1 National3 Total 2 security 5.2 20.9 25. 5 40. 9 54. 3 59. 5 48. 9 46.8 47. 1 50.8 Other State and local 1.3 15.8 19.3 37.2 48. 9 51. 5 43.0 41.3 42. 5 46. 5 3.9 5.6 6. 6 4.2 5.8 8.4 6.2 5.9 5.0 4.8 8.2 15.2 17.9 21.7 23.2 24.9 27.7 30.3 33. 1 36.3 45.8 47.4 46. 9 46.0 45. 6 46. 0 5. 1 4. 5 4. 5 5.0 5.7 6. 2 35.9 36.0 36. 1 37.8 38. 6 39. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter Second quarter 1 2 Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. •> TLessi Government :, — sales. 3 Includes expenditures for military services, international security and foreign relations (except foreign loans), development and control of atomic energv promotion of the merchant marine, promotion of defense production and economic stabilization, and civil defense. For further details, see Economic Report of the President, January 1955 (p. 137), and National Income, 1954 Edition (p. 148). inese expenditures are not comparable with the "major national security" cate- 4.2 4.2 3.6 1. 9 .5 .5 86.4 87. 5 87. 0 88. 3 89.5 90. 9 50.5 51. 5 50.9 50. 5 50. 9 51. 9 gory in The Budget of the United States Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June SO, 1959, and shown on p. 31 of Economic Indicators. ^ . . XT NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current Business, »«"»*»— July T«I« 1958. TQKC Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). NATIONAL INCOME Compensation of employees remained virtually unchanged between the first and second quarters of 1958. proprietors' income rose about $1 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 Farm BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME 200 100 CORPORATE PROFITS AND ^ INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT NET'"INTEREST. I .1952 1953. .1.954 1955 1956 1958 1957 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEf DEPARTMENT 6F COMMERCE~ [Billions of dollars] Period Total national income Compensation of em- 1 ployees Proprietors* income Farm Business and professional Rental income of persons Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Net interest 1939 _ 1948 1949 1951 1952 1953. 1954 1955_ - _ _ 1956 _ 1957 72. 8 223.5 217. 7 279. 3 292.2 305. 6 301. 8 330. 2 349. 4 364. 0 48. 1 141.0 140. 8 180. 3 195.0 208. 8 207.6 223. 9 241.8 254. 6 4.3 7. 3 2.7 22. 4 7.3 17.8 22. 7 12. 9 8.3 9.4 26.0 16. 3 26. 9 15. 3 10. 2 27.4 13. 3 10.5 12.7 27. 8 10. 9 30. 4 10.7 11.8 10. 9 11.6 30.8 11. 6 31.4 11. 8 Seasonally adjusted annual 1957: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter. __ _ Fourth quarter __ _ 1958: First quarter Second quarter 361. 5 364. 1 368. 7 361. 5 350. 6 (2) 251. 6 254. 9 257. 3 254. 8 250. 9 250. 7 11. 5 11. 6 11. 8 11. 5 12. 6 13. 4 1 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) " Not available. 31. 1 31. 4 31. 7 31. 3 30. 6 30. 7 11. 4 11. 7 12. 0 12. 2 12. 1 12. 1 Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 4. 6 4. 2 4.8 6.3 7. 1 8.2 9. 1 10. 4 11.3 12. 6 rates 5.7 30.8 28.2 41.0 37.7 37.3 33.7 43.1 42. 9 41. 9 6.4 33.0 26.4 42.2 36.7 38.3 34.1 44.9 45.5 43.4 -0.7 -2.2 1. 9 -1. 2 1. 0 -1.0 -.3 -1.7 — 2. 6 — 1.5 12. 1 12. 5 12. 8 12. 9 13. 0 13. 1 43. 7 42. 0 43. 1 38. 8 31.3 (2) 46. 1 43. 5 44. 2 39. 9 31.7 (2) -2.4 -1. 5 — 1.1 — 1. 1 -. 3 .5 NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1958. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income in August was about $1Vz billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) higher than the comparable July total (excluding the lump-sum retroactive salary payments to Federal employees). Wages and salaries accounted for most of the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME \ 300 LABOR INCOME r> | BUSINESS, PROFESSIONAL, AND RENTAL INCOME^ FARM PROPRIETORS' J NCOff£ . I vmitfiniiiiiifiiiiniiii/niiini nti»iiiimi« i B"1 j^ DJV DENDS AND PERSONAL- INTEREST 1 1 I 1 1 1 11 1 II 1 II 1952 1! 1 1 1 1 1 1 1953 1 1 1 1 1 1 II 1954 1 1 1 "'"'THZT.- "TRANSFER PAYMENTS 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 II 1955 i iI M 1 i i i i i 1956 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period Total ; personal income 1939 _ __ 1949 _ 1951 1952 _ _ _ _ _ _ 1953 ___ 1954 1955 1956 _ 1957 72.9 208. 3 256. 7 273. 1 288. 3 289. 8 310.2 330. 5 347. 9 1957: July _ August September. October November. December. 1958: January _ _ February. March April May June July. _ August 4 ___ 351. 8 352. 1 351.4 350. 6 350. 2 348.4 348. 2 346.4 347. 1 348. 1 349. 9 352. 0 3 358. 8 355. 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1957 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1958 COUNCIL Or ECONOMIC [Billions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors' income (wage and Rental salary disDiviincome Business bursements of dends Farm and proand other fessional persons labor income)l 46. 6 4.3 2. 7 7. 3 3.8 137.4 12.9 22. 7 8. 3 7.5 175. 5 16. 3 9.4 26. 0 9.0 190.2 15. 3 10. 2 26. 9 9. 0 204. 1 13. 3 9.2 27.4 10. 5 202. 5 12. 7 10. 9 27. 8 9.8 218.0 11.8 30. 4 10.7 11.2 235.2 11. 6 30. 8 10. 9 12.0 247. 1 11. 6 31.4 12.4 11.8 Seasonally adjusted annual 249. 6 11.9 31. 8 11.9 12. 8 249. 9 11.8 31. 8 12.0 12.8 249. 3 12. 1 11.7 31. 6 12. 7 247. 8 11.4 12. 1 31. 6 12. 6 247. 2 11.4 31. 2 12.2 12. 6 246. 5 11.8 31. 2 12. 2 10. 8 244.2 12.0 12. 5 30.9 12.2 242. 2 12. 7 12. 1 30.4 12.4 241. 5 13.0 12. 1 12.4 30.5 240. 9 13. 4 12. 1 30. 6 12.4 242. 0 13. 7 12. 1 30. 7 12. 4 244. 7 13. 2 12. 2 30. 8 12. 5 3251. 2 13. 1 12. 2 31. 0 12. 5 274. 5 12.9 12.2 31. 2 12. 5 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over disbursements. 2 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. tOTimiBi » tan _— Less: PerconPersonal Transfer sonal tributions interest paysocial income ments forinsurance 5.8 3.0 0. 6 9.4 12.4 2.2 11. 2 12. 6 3.4 12. 1 13.2 3.8 14. 3 13. 4 3.9 16.2 14. 6 4. 6 17. 5 5.2 15. 8 17.0 18. 6 5. 7 21. 5 18. 8 6.6 rates 21.7 18. 9 6. 7 21. 5 19.0 6. 7 21. 5 19. 1 6. 6 22. 6 19. 1 6.6 19. 1 23.0 6. 6 19.2 23. 3 6.6 19. 3 23. 9 6. 7 19. 3 23. 8 6. 7 19. 3 24. 8 6.6 19. 3 26. 1 6. 6 19. 3 26. 4 6.7 19. 3 26. 0 6. 7 19. 3 26. 5 7.0 26.7 19. 4 6.8 Nonngricul tu ral personal2 income 67. 1 192. 1 237.0 254.3 271.5 273.8 295.0 315. 4 332. 7 336.2 336. 6 336. 1 335. 7 335.2 333. 0 332.5 330. 1 330. 5 331. 0 332.4 335. 1 3 342. 0 338. 9 3 Includes lump-sum retroactive salary payments to Federal employees at an annual rate of $4.6 billion ($380 million multiplied by 12). 4 Preliminary estimates not charted. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income rose $2.5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between the first and second quarters of 1958. Total consumer expenditures rose $2.1 billion, though outlays for durable goods continued to fall. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 350 S E A S O N A L L Y ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 300 TOTAL PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 200 EXPENDITURES FOR NONDURABLE GOODS> I X l ' l NDITUHLS FOR S E R V I C E S >, )'! MM 1 t l l - ' l '. I 1 > M M I M A I H I r.ni>tr, v. JL 1954 >UHCi: 1956 1955 1957 1958 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1)1 P A M T M L N T OF COMMENCE Equals: Less: DisposPersonal Personal able income taxes 1 personal income Period 1939 _ 1948 1949___ _ 1951 __ 1952 1953 » 1954 „ 1955 _ _ 1956 __ 1957 _ 1957: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter _ Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter Second quarter___ _ 72. 9 210. 4 208. 3 256. 7 273. 1 288. 3 289. 8 310. 2 330. 5 347. 9 2. 4 21. 1 18. 7 29. 2 34. 4 35. 8 32. 9 35. 7 40. 1 42. 7 342. 3 348. 4 351. 8 349.7 347. 3 349. 8 42. 3 42. 7 43. 1 43. 0 42. 3 42.3 2 Total Saving Equals: as percent Personal of disNonsaving posable Durable durable Services income goods goods Billions of dollars 67. 6 6. 7 70. 4 178. 3 22. 7 189.3 24. 6 181. 2 189. 7 227. 5 209. 8 29. 5 219. 8 238. 7 29. 1 252. 5 232. 6 32. 9 32. 4 256. 9 238. 0 274.4 256. 9 39.6 269.4 38. 4 290. 5 284. 4 305. 1 39. 9 Seasonally adjusted annual 279. 8 300. 0 40. 2 282. 5 305. 7 39. 5 288. 3 40. 4 308. 7 306. 8 287. 2 39. 6 305. 0 286. 2 36.3 307. 5 288. 3 35. 6 1 Includes such items as fines, penalties, and donations. NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1958. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. 31337°—58 Less: Personal consumption expenditures 35. 1 98. 7 96. 6 110. 1 115. 1 118. 0 119. 3 124. 8 131. 4 138.0 rates 135. 5 137. 1 140. 5 138. 8 139. 8 141. 4 25. 8 56. 9 60.0 70.2 75. 6 81. 8 86. 3 92. 5 99. 6 106.5 2. 9 11. 0 8. 5 17. 7 18. 9 19. 8 18. 9 17. 5 21. 1 20. 7 4. 1 5.8 4. 5 7.8 7.9 7. 9 7. 3 6.4 7.2 6. 8 104. 1 105. 9 107.4 108. 7 110. 1 111. 3 20. 3 23. 2 20. 4 19. 6 18. 8 19. 2 6.8 7.6 6. 6 6.4 6. 2 6. 2 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE INCOME t\'» cupitu (Jr.po'.dbU* income, measured in current prices, rose a little in the second quarter, but fell slightly when mr'iuHr*! in constant prices. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 2,000 1,800 1,800 „-*-* 1,600 "^ 1,600 • ^ 1,400 1,400 L200 1,200 0 ' , ,, I 1 I 1953 1952 ^SEE FOOTNOTE 2 ON T/VBLE BELOW. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT (DF COMMERCE, DEPARTM :NT ! ! I 195 I I 1955 I I 1956 1958 1957 1 OF LABOR Total disposable person:!.! income (billions of dollars)! Period I 1957 prices 2 Current prices 1939 1948 1949 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ 1955 1956 1957 70. 4 189. 3 189. 7 227. 5 238.7 252. 5 256.9 274. 4 290. 5 305. 1 142.6 221. 4 223. 9 246. 5 252. 9 265. 2 269.0 288. 0 300. 4 305. 1 Per c a p i t a disposable personal income (dollars) ' Current prices 538 1,291 1,271 1,474 1, 520 1,582 1,582 1,661 1, 727 1,782 1957 prices ~ Population (thousands) 3 1, 089 1,510 1,501 1,597 1,610 1,662 1,657 1,743 1, 786 1,782 131,028 146, 631 149, 188 154, 360 157, 028 159, 636 162, 417 165, 270 168, 176 171, 196 1,786 1,796 1,786 1,762 1,726 1,722 170, 151 170, 839 171, 612 172, 393 173, 054 173, 705 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter _ __ Second quarter1 Income 2 less taxes. Dollar estimates in current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1957 base. 3 Includes armed forces overseas. Annual data as of July 1; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures. 300. 0 305. 7 308. 7 306. 8 305. 0 307. 5 304. 0 306. 9 306. 6 303. 8 298. 7 299. 1 1, 763 1,789 1,799 1,780 1, 762 1, 770 NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1958. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. FARM INCOME In the second quarter of 1958, farm operators' net income (seasonally adjusted), whether excluding or including inventory change, was 6 percent above the first quarter, according to current estimates. BILLIONS OF, DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 20 ^\ NET FARM INCOME (INCL. NET CHANGE IN INVENTORIES)!/ I954 I953 I952 I955 I956 I957 1958 J/INCOMC Of TAfJM OPl HA10RS FROM FARMING. soiwcr ni j'AiuMi rji of ACHIGULTUHE 'COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC'ADVISERS Farm operators' income IVriod Roali/.ed tfross far in income 1 <KW '.MS.. <)-!<) r <), j_ <). 2 <)r:5_ <)f4 ( rr r ). . > <)f(> . _ . 1)57 _ ___ _ 1957' First, quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 10. 6 34. 9 31. 8 37. 3 37.0 35. 3 33. 9 33. 3 34. 6 34. 3 34. 4 34. 3 34. 3 34. 3 37. 0 38. 0 Net income 2 Excluding Including net change net change in invenin inventories tories 3 Net income per farm including net change in inventories Current 1957 prices 4 prices Billions of dollars Dollars 4. 4 6. 2 4. 5 697 1, 660 18. 9 3,483 16. 1 17. 8 3, 065 13. 8 18. 0 12. 9 2,658 2,259 22. 2 15. 2 16. 3 3, 139 2, 951 22. 6 14. 4 2, 978 15. 3 2, 829 2,662 13. 9 2,502 21. 4 13. 3 12. 2 2,542 12. 7 2,440 21. 7 21. 9 11. 5 2,435 11.8 2, 313 12. 1 22. 5 2,413 11. 6 2, 341 10. 8 23. 5 2,388 11. 6 2,388 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 2,390 11. 0 23. 4 2, 370 11. 5 2,390 10. 7 2, 390 23. 6 11. 6 2,430 10. 9 2,430 23. 4 11. 8 2,350 10. 7 2,370 23. 6 11. 5 2,600 24. 2 12.8 2,650 12. 6 2,760 24. 4 13.6 13. 4 2,820 Farm production expenses 1958: First quarter Second qua.rter. i Cash receipts from farm markelimrs, value of farm products consumed in fwM households, gross rental value ol farm dwellings, and Government payments to sf: rinei's (eal x.ed j^ross farm income less farm production expenses. Excludes farm war "' P id to workers livinf: on farms and any income to farm people from nonfjirn soi -ces, which in n>.r>7 amounted to $1.8 billion and $6.3 billion, respectively. •'' )at? prior to HM(i difVer from farm proprietors' income on pages 3 and 4 hoc; use >f revisions by the Department of Agriculture not yet incorporated into the lational income accounts of the Department of Commerce. Number of farms (millions) 5 6. 4 5. 8 5.7 5. 5 5. 4 5. 3 5. 2 5. 1 5.0 4, 9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4. 8 * Dollar estimates in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for items used in family living on a 1957 base. 5 The number of farms is held constant within a given year. NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Farm Income Situation, July 15, 1958. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits in the first quarter of 1958 were lower than in the fourth quarter of 1957. $8.2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate)/ profits after taxes fell $4.5 billion BILLIONS OF DOLLARS Profits before taxes fell BILLIONS OF DOLLARS I0 1952 !/ NO ALLOWANCE FOR INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Corporate profits before taxes Period 1939 1948 _ 1949 _ __ _ 1951 1952 1953 _ _ _ 1954 _ _ _ _ . 1955_ _ 1956 1957 _ __ Corporate tax liability Total 1. 4 12. 5 10. 4 22. 4 19. 5 20. 2 17. 2 21. 8 22. 4 21. 6 6. 4 33.0 26. 4 42. 2 36. 7 38. 3 34. 1 44. 9 45. 5 43. 4 _ Corporate profits after taxes 5. 0 20. 5 16.0 19. 7 17. 2 18. 1 16. 8 23. 0 23. 1 21. 8 Dividend payments Undistributed profits 1. 2 13. 3 8. 5 10.7 8.3 8. 9 7. 0 11. 8 11. 0 9.4 3.8 7. 2 7.5 9.0 9. 0 9. 2 9.8 11. 2 12. 0 12. 4 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957: First quarter _ Second quarter. Third quarter Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter Second quarter _. 1 __ _ _ P) 46. 1 43. 5 44. 2 39. 9 31.7 Not available. NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1958. See p. 3 for profits before taxes and after inventory valuation adjustment. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. 8 23. 0 21. 7 22.0 19. 9 16. 1 P) 23. 1 21. 8 22. 1 20. 0 15.5 P) 12. 5 12. 6 12. 7 12. 0 12.5 12. 4 10.6 9. 2 9.4 8.0 3. 0 P) GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment (seasonally adjusted) dropped slightly in the second quarter of 1958, according to current estimates. All components of fixed investment declined, but business inventories were liquidated at a slower rate than in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 180 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 801 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES vGROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT NEW CONSTRUCTION- PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT1*^ a *^*%* 2Q 20 „•£. CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES \ -20 J _J JL JL 1952 1953 1954 L J 1955 L_ 1958 1957 1956 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCEi COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS IBillions of dollars] Period 1939 1948 1949 1951 1952__ _ 1953_ _ _ 1954 __ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1955__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1956 1957 Total gross private domestic investment 9.3 43. 1 33. 0 56. 3 49. 9 50. 3 48. 9 63.8 68. 2 65. 3 Change in business inventories Fixed investment New construction 1 Total Total 8.9 38. 4 36. 0 46. 1 46. 8 49. 9 50.5 58. 1 62. 7 64. 3 4. 8 19. 5 18. 8 24. 8 25. 5 27. 6 29. 7 34. 9 35. 7 36. 5 Residential nonfarm 2. 7 10. 1 9. 6 12. 5 12. 8 13. 8 15. 4 18. 7 17. 7 17. 0 Other Producers' durable equipment 2. 1 9. 3 9. 2 12. 3 12.7 13. 8 14.3 16. 2 18. 1 19. 5 Total Nonfarm 4. 2 18. 9 17. 2 21. 3 21. 3 22. 3 20. 8 23. 1 27. 0 27. 9 0. 4 4. 7 -3. 1 10. 2 3. 1 .4 — 1. 6 5. 8 5. 4 1.0 0. 3 3. 0 -2. 2 9. 1 2. 1 1. 1 -2. 1 5. 5 5. 9 .2 28. 7 28. 1 28. 0 26. 7 22. 9 22. 3 1. 1 2. 9 2. 2 -2. 3 -9.5 -8. 0 .6 2. 0 1. 3 -3. 1 -9. 3 -7. 8 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957: First quarter _ __ Second quarter Third quarter __ Fourth quarter 1958: First quarter. _ Second quarter 65. 9 67.0 66. 7 61. 5 49. 6 49. 2 64. 8 64. 2 64. 6 63. 8 59. 2 57. 2 36. 1 36. 1 36. 6 37. 1 36.3 34.9 i "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 19. NOTE.—Revised series beginning 1946. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1958. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. 17,2 16. 5 16. 9 17. 6 17. 1 16. 2 18. 9 19. 6 19. 7 19. 6 19. 2 18. 7 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT The July—August survey of business expenditures on plant and equipment indicates that anticipated capital outlays in the third quarter will be $30.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), the same as expenditures in the second quarter. A moderate rise to $31.0 billion in the last quarter of the year is expected. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1958 1952 I/ SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. [Billions of dollars] Manufacturing Period Total * Total 1939___ _ 1948 1949__ _ _ _ _ 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954___ 1955__ 1956_>_ 1957 19583 5. 51 22. 06 19. 28 20. 60 25. 64 26. 49 28. 32 26. 83 28. 70 35. 08 36. 96 30. 98 1. 94 9. 13 7. 15 7. 49 10. 85 11. 63 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14. 95 15. 96 12. 03 1957: Third quarter Fourth quarter. 1958: First quarter Second quarter- _ _ Third quarter 3 3 Fourth quarter _ 37. 75 36. 23 32. 41 30. 32 30. 32 31. 02 16. 37 15. 27 13. 20 11. 53 11. 57 11. 86 1 2 Commercial and other 2 Railroads Other Public utilities 1. 19 0. 76 0. 33 0. 28 5. 65 3. 48 1. 32 . 88 4. 56 2. 59 . 79 1. 35 3. 14 4. 36 .71 1. 11 5. 17 5. 68 .93 1.47 5. 61 6. 02 .98 1. 40 6. 26 5. 65 . 99 1. 31 5. 95 5. 09 . 98 . 85 . 92 5. 44 6. 00 . 96 7. 62 7.33 1. 24 1. 23 8. 02 7. 94 1. 24 1. 40 6. 25 5. 78 . 93 . 75 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 8.23 8. 14 1. 54 1. 24 7.57 7.70 1. 26 1. 15 6. 62 6. 58 1. 02 1. 00 5. 57 5. 96 . 92 .77 5. 48 6. 09 . 91 . 67 5. 54 6. 32 . 50 . 96 0. 36 1. 28 . 89 . 21 .49 . 50 . 56 . 51 . 60 .71 . 77 1. 50 0. 2. 3. 3. 3. 3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 6. 6. 52 54 12 31 66 89 55 22 31 90 20 28 2.08 6. 90 5. 98 6.78 7.24 7. 09 8. 00 8. 23 9. 47 11. 05 10. 40 9. 48 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 6. 64 6. 43 5. 87 5. 97 6. 20 6. 38 10. 15 10. 21 9. 63 9.73 9. 60 9. 77 Durable goods Excludes agriculture. Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and •construction. 3 Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business in late July and August 1958. NOTE.—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures, which include 10 Transportation Nondurable goods Mining 81 91 69 40 37 55 adjustments, when necessary, for systematic tendencies in anticipatory data. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commercea EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Total employment increased by 200,000 in Ausust, a better than usual rise for the month. by 600,000 to 4.7 million. Unemployment declined MILLIONS OF PERSONS-^ 75 MILLIONS OF PERSONS-!/ 75 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT 1958 J \A YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. Period 1939 New definitions: l 1952 1953 1954 1955 _ __ 1956 __ 1957-_ _ 1957: July August September October November December 1958: January February March April May__ __. June July ._ _ August 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Civilian employment l Unemployment 1 Insured unemployment 2 labor Civilian All pro% of civilian State proforce (inlabor1 Agricul- Nonagri- Number labor force grams grams as cluding Total force tural cultural armed1 Unad- Seas, (thousands % of covered of persons) employment forces) justed adj. Thousands of persons 14 years of age and over 55, 600 55, 230 45, 750 9, 610 36, 140 9,480 17.2 66, 560 67, 362 67, 818 68, 896 70, 387 70, 746 73, 051 71, 833 71, 044 71, 299 70, 790 70, 458 69, 379 69, 804 70, 158 70, 681 71, 603 73, 049 73, 104 72, 703 62, 966 63, 815 64, 468 65, 848 67, 530 67, 946 70, 228 68, 994 68, 225 68, 513 68, 061 67, 770 66, 732 67, 160 67, 510 68, 027 68, 965 70, 418 70, 473 70, 067 61, 035 61, 945 60, 890 62, 944 64, 708 65, Oil 67, 221 66, 385 65, 674 66, 005 64, 873 64, 396 62, 238 61, 988 62, 311 62, 907 64, 061 64, 981 65, 179 65, 367 6, 792 6, 555 6,495 6,718 6, 572 6, 222 7,772 6,823 6, 518 6,837 5, 817 5,385 4,998 4, 830 5,072 5,558 6,272 6, 900 6, 718 6, 621 54, 243 55, 390 54, 395 56, 225 58, 135 58, 789 59, 449 59, 562 59, 156 59, 168 59, 057 59, 012 57, 240 57, 158 57, 239 57, 349 57, 789 58, 081 58, 461 58, 746 1,932 1,870 3, 578 2,904 2, 822 2, 936 3,007 2, 609 2,552 2,508 3, 188 3,374 4,494 5,173 5, 198 5, 120 4, 904 5, 437 5, 294 4, 699 3. 1 2. 9 5.6 4. 4 4. 2 4. 3 4.3 3.8 3. 7 3.7 4.7 5.0 6.7 7.7 7. 7 7.5 7. 1 7. 7 7.5 6.7 See Monthly Peports on the Labor Force, Department of Commerce, for definitions, methods of estimation, periods to which data pertain, etc. 2 Weekly averages. 5. 1 4.8 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.9 5. 0 5.8 6. 7 7. 0 7.5 7. 2 6. 8 7. 3 7. 6 3 1,064 1,058 2,039 1, 388 1, 312 1,560 1,368 1,228 1,240 1,314 1, 623 2,256 3,065 3,375 3, 505 3,527 3, 184 2, 847 2, 717 2, 374 3 2.9 2. 8 5.2 3.4 3. 1 3. 5 3. 1 2.8 2. 8 3.0 3. 6 5. 1 6. 9 7. 6 7. 9 7. 9 7. 1 6.3 6. 0 5. 2 3 Preliminary estimate. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. 11 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Employment in nonagricultural establishments rose by 100,000 (seasonally adjusted) in Ausust, led by increases in manufacturing, trade, and government. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS * MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS * MANUFACTURING ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS DURABLE j GOODS /INDUSTRIES NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES I I I I I I I I I II 1956 1957 1955 1958 12.0 X M M I I 1I M I CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) 1958 II.0 10.5 2.0 1955 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers Total _ __ SO, 311 48, SOS 49, 681 48, 431 50, 056 51, 766 52, 162 30, 311 48, 303 49, 681 48, 431 50, 056 51, 766 52, 162 10, 078 16, 334 17, 238 15, 995 16, 563 16, 903 16, 782 4, 683 9, 340 10, 105 9, 122 9,549 9,835 9,821 1957: July_ August September. October November, December. 1958: January February March April Mav t ^ June2 July 2 August 52, 229 52, 477 52, 692 52, 570 52, 316 52, 610 50, 477 49, 777 J-9, 690 49, 726 49, 949 50, 413 50, 202 50, 541 52, 464 52, 457 52, 224 52, 015 51, 758 51,516 51, 223 50, 575 50, 219 50, 054 50, 147 50, 315 50, 431 50, 529 16, 876 16, 826 16, 678 16, 604 16,455 16, 252 15, 965 15, 648 15, 389 15, 243 15, 202 15, 275 15, 319 15, 354 9,893 9,863 9,726 9,681 9,562 9,393 9, 155 8,895 8,717 8,566 8,498 8,556 8,601 8, 619 1939 1952 1953 1954 1955. _ 1956. _ 1957 GovernContract Wholesale ment Mining construcand retail (Federal, Nonduration trade State, ble goods local) 5, 394 845 6, 612 1, 150 3,995 6, 994 885 2, 634 10, 281 6,609 7, 133 852 2, 622 10, 527 6, 645 777 6,873 2,593 10, 520 6,751 7,014 777 2,759 6,914 10, 846 11, 221 807 7,068 2, 929 7,277 6,961 11, 302 809 7,626 2,808 M anuf acturing Total, unadjusted Period Total Durable goods Other 7,632 11,563 11, 797 11,795 12, 197 12, 629 12, 835 Adjusted for seasonal variation 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period ending nearest the 15th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force reported by the Department of Commerce (p. 11) which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count 12 6,983 6,963 6,952 6,923 6,893 6,859 6,810 6,753 6,672 6,677 6,704 6,719 6,718 6, 735 828 820 814 802 789 784 766 747 733 723 718 713 711 705 2,847 2,805 2, 782 2,763 2, 710 2,679 2,652 2,455 2, 573 2,624 2,698 2, 698 2,699 2,699 11,368 11,402 11,349 11,315 11, 290 11,237 11, 305 11,235 11, 116 11,050 11, 087 11, 105 11, 123 11, 171 7, 638 7,694 7,685 7,674 7,671 7, 747 7,754 7,766 7, 788 7, 816 7,835 7,877 7,900 7,935 12, 907 12, 910 12, 916 12, 857 12, 843 12, 817 12, 781 12, 724 12, 620 12, 598 12, 607 12, 647 12, 679 12, 665 persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data beginning 1956 are the revised series. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek in manufacturing rose seasonally by 0.2 hours to 39.4 hours in August. HOURS PER WEEK 46 HOURS PER WEEK 46 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING DURABLE MANUFACTURING JJ I I I I I | I I I LLI I I I I I I I I I RETAIL TRADE BUILDING CONSTRUCTION .LI II I I I I I I I 1955 1.1 I I I l i t MJ. 1955 I I II I I II II ! i n nInn i 1956 1957 jj 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i i i i M 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 n ! 1 1 M 1 1 n SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Hours per week, for production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Manufacturing • Period 1939 1948 1949 1951 1952 1953 _ 1954 ... _ 1955 1956 ___ 1957 1957: Julv AugustSeptember. _ _ October November December 1958: January _ _ _ _ _ February March At)ril _ May Jime J u l y 2 _ _2_ August « Data hep-inning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. NOTE.—Data beginning 1956 are the icvised series.. 31337°—58 3 Durable goods Total 37. 7 40. 1 39 2 40 7 40 7 40. 5 39. 7 40. 7 40. 4 39. 8 39 8 40. 0 39. 9 39. 5 39. 3 39. 4 38. 7 38. 4 38. 6 38. 3 38. 7 39. 2 39. 2 39. 4 Nondurable goods 38 0 40 5 39 5 41 6 41 5 41 3 40 2 41 4 41 1 40 3 40 0 40 3 40 2 39. 8 39. 7 39. 7 38 9 38 6 39. 0 38. 8 39 1 39 6 39. 4 39. 7 37 4 39 6 38 8 39 5 39 6 39 5 39 0 39 8 39 5 39 1 39 4 39 5 39 6 39 0 38 8 39 0 38 3 38 1 38 1 37. 7 38 1 38 7 38 9 39 1 Building construction 32 i 37 36 37 38 37 36 36 36 36 36 37 36 36 34 34 35 33 35 35 36 36 36 (3) 6 3 7 2 1 0 2 2 4 1 8 2 8 5 4 9 2 0 2 5 3 2 3 Retail trade 42 7 40 3 AQ 4 (3) 40 39 39 39 39 38 38 38 38 38 37 37 38 37 37 37 37 37 38 38 2 9 2 1 0 6 1 6 6 1 6 5 3 8 8 8 8 8 2 7 2 3 Preliminary estimates. Not available. Source: Department of Labor. 13 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing were $2.12 in August, 1 cent below the previous month and 5 cents above August 1957. DOLLARS PER HOUR DOLLARS PER HOUR BUILDING CONSTRUCTION CURRENT PRICES' 3.00 , i4_i i i i I i i i i i r L I i i i 11 i i i , 956 i i t i i It i t i l 1957 I l i l i i I t l t L.L ' 2 CO l^-1 ' ' ' I ' '•-' i i ' t t i l l i i i i i 1958 1955 1956 ' i i > i i ! i i i i i I t i t i 1957 ' ' 1953 1.50 I go U-J ' ' I I I I I f I 1955 ! II II I I i I II I f II I II II M 1956 I I I I II 1.40 U~l t.l I 1 M M I t M Ml 1955 1957 M.I I I I I I I I I I I l-l I 1956 I i I I ' I M I I.JL 1958 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] All manufacturing Period Durable goods manufacturing Current prices 1957 prices l Current prices 1957 prices l Current prices 1957 prices * 1939 _ «_ $0. 633 1948 1. 350 1949 __ ___ 1. 401 1951 1. 59 1952 1.67 1953 --_. _ __ 1. 77 1954 __ __ __ 1. 81 1955 1. 88 1956 1. 98 1957 2. 07 1957: July_ 2. 07 August 2.07 September 2. 08 October 2. 09 November 2. 11 December 2. 10 2. 11 1958: January February.. 2. 10 2. 11 March. April _ 2. 11 May 2. 12 June 3 2. 12 July 3 2. 13 August 2. 12 $1. 281 1. 579 1. 654 1. 72 1.77 1. 86 1. 90 1. 97 2. 05 2. 07 2. 06 2. 06 2. 07 2. 08 2. 08 2. 08 2. 07 2. 06 2. 06 2. 05 2.06 2. 06 2. 07 C4) $0. 698 1. 410 1. 469 1. 67 1. 77 1.87 1. 92 2.01 2. 10 2. 20 2. 20 2. 21 2. 22 2. 23 2. 24 2. 24 2.24 2.24 2. 25 2. 25 2.26 2. 27 2. 28 2. 28 $1. 413 1. 649 1. 734 1. 81 1. 88 1. 96 2. 01 2. 11 2. 17 2.20 2. 19 2. 19 2. 20 2. 21 2.21 2. 21 2.20 2. 20 2. 19 2. 19 2. 20 2. 21 2. 21 (4) $0. 582 1.278 1. 325 1. 48 1. 54 1. 61 1. 66 1. 71 1. 80 1. 88 1. 89 1. 88 1. 90 1. 90 1. 91 1. 92 1. 92 1. 92 1. 93 1. 94 1. 94 1. 94 1. 94 1.93 $1. 178 1. 495 1. 504 1. 60 1. 63 1. 69 1. 74 1. 79 1. 86 1.88 1.88 1.87 1. 89 1.89 1. 89 1. 90 1. 89 1.88 1. 88 1. 89 1. 89 1. 89 1.88 (4) 1 Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1957 base. * Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. 3 Preliminary estimates. 14 Building construction Nondurable poods manufacturing Current prices $0. 932 1. 848 1. 935 2. 19 2. 31 2. 48 2. 60 2.66 2. 80 2. 96 2. 95 2. 97 3. 02 3. 02 3. 03 3. 05 3. 07 3. 08 3.06 3. 06 3.08 3. 06 3.08 (4) 2 Retail trade 1957 prices * Current prices $1. 887 2. 161 2. 285 2. 37 2. 45 2. 61 2. 72 2. 79 2. 90 2. 96 2. 94 2.95 3, 00 3. 00 2. 99 3. 01 3. 02 3. 02 2. 98 2. 98 2.98 2. 97 2. 99 (4) $0. 542 1. 088 1. 137 1.26 1. 32 1. 40 1. 45 1. 50 1. 57 1. 64 1.67 1.66 1. 67 1. 67 1. 66 1. 63 1. 68 1. 68 1. 67 1. 68 1. 69 1. 70 1. 71 (4) 2 * Not available. NOTE.—Data beginning 1956 are the revised series. Source: Department of Labor. 1957 prices * $1. 097 1. 273 1. 342 1. 37 1. 40 1. 47 1. 52 1. 57 1. 62 1. 64 1. 66 1. 65 1. 66 1. 66 1. 64 1.61 1. 65 1. 65 1. 63 1. 64 1. 64 1. 65 1. 66 (4) AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average weekly earnings in manufacturing in August were about the same as in July and 73 cents above ihe year-ago level. DOLLARS PER WEEK DOLLARS PER WEEK 100 | 115 DURABLE MANUFACTURING BUILDING CONSTRUCTION CURRENT PRICES^ /\ CURRENT CURRENT PRICES •L'K^ V ,JJ i i i I i i i i i I I I I I I I I I U_. NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING CURRENT PRICESs^ RETAIL TRADE CURRENT PRICES V 50 UJ_LJ_L -U I I I I I I I I I I I I I II I I I I I I I I III IS55 1955 I I t I I I I I II I 1956 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period 1939 1948 _ 1949 _ _ _ _ 1951 _ 1952 1953 1954 1955 _ _ _ 1950 __ __ _ _ _ 1957 1957: Julv _ August _ _ September _ _ October _ November _ December 1958: January February March April _ _ May June. July 3 ..3 _ _ August M I M I I M I..U 1958 COUNCIL Or ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees! Durable goods Building Nondurable goods All manufacturing manufacturing manufacturing construction Current 1957 1957 Current Current 1957 Current 1957 prices prices l prices prices 1 prices prices l prices prices l Current prices $23. 86 54. 14 54. 92 64. 71 67. 97 71. 69 71. 86 76. 52 79. 99 82. 39 82. 39 82. 80 82. 99 82. 56 82. 92 82. 74 81. 66 80. 64 81. 45 80. 81 82. 04 83. 10 83. 50 83.53 $23. 14 43. 85 45. 93 50. 65 52. 67 54. 88 56. 70 58. 50 60. 60 62. 48 64. 46 64. 08 63. 63 62. 79 62. 25 62. 43 63. 50 63. 50 63. 13 63. 50 63. 88 64. 94 66. 18 (4) $48. 30 63. 32 64. 84 70. 11 72. 00 75. 30 75. 25 80. 29 82. 72 82. 39 81. 98 82. 22 82. 41 81. 99 81. 94 81. 76 80. 29 79. 14 79. 39 78. 69 79. 81 80. 76 80.99 (4) $26. 50 57. 11 58. 03 69. 47 73. 46 77. 23 77. 18 83. 21 80. 31 88. 66 88. 00 89. 06 89. 24 88. 75 88. 93 88. 93 87. 14 86. 46 87. 75 87. 30 88. 37 89. 89 89. 83 90. 52 $53. 64 66. 80 68. 51 75. 27 77. 82 81. 12 80. 82 87. 31 89. 20 88. 66 87. 56 88. 44 88. 62 88. 13 87. 88 87. 88 85. 68 84. 85 85. 53 85. 00 85. 96 87. 36 87. 13 (4) 1 Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on a 1957 base. 2 Data beginning with January 1948 are net strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. 3 Preliminary estimates. l 1957 $21. 78 50. 61 51. 41 58. 46 60. 98 63. 60 64. 74 68. 06 71. 10 73. 51 74. 47 74. 26 75. 24 74. 10 74. 11 74. 88 73. 54 73. 15 73. 53 73. 14 73. 91 75. 08 75. 47 75. 46 $44. 09 59. 19 60. 70 63. 34 64. 60 66. 81 67. 79 71. 42 73. 53 73. 51 74. 10 73. 74 74. 72 73. 58 73. 23 73. 99 72. 31 71. 79 71. 67 71. 22 71. 90 72. £6 73. 20 (4) $30. 39 68. 85 70. 95 81. 47 88. 01 91. 76 94. 12 96. 29 101. 92 106. 86 108. 56 110. 48 111. 14 110. 23 104. 23 106. 45 108. 06 101. 64 107. 71 108. 63 111. 08 110. 77 111. 80 (4) 2 $61. 52 80. 53 83. 77 88. 27 93. 23 96. 39 98. 55 101. 04 105. 40 106. 86 108. 02 109. 71 110. 37 109. 46 102. 99 105. 19 106. 25 99. 74 104. 98 105. 77 108. 05 107. 65 108. 44 (4) 2 Retail trade 1957 prices 1 $46. 84 51. 29 54. 23 54. 88 55. 79 57. 65 59.37 61. 39 62. 67 62. 48 64. 14 63. 63 63. 19 62. 35 61. 51 61. 69 62. 44 62. 32 61. 53 61. 83 62. 14 63. 11 64. 19 (4) * Not available. NOTE.—Data beginning 1956 are the revised series. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The index of industrial production (seasonally adjusted) increased 3 points in August to 137 (1947-49=100). The index has recovered about three-fifrhs of the 1957—58 decline. INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 ISO INDEX, !947-49 = IOO 180 160 1952 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1947-49 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production "Pof-irkrl 1939 1948 1949__ 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ -__ _ _ ___ __ _ i \j «?• r 1957: July August September October November December 1958: January February M arch April Mav-Juno July __ Aim ust l 16 rrcllminury estimates. _ _ 58 104 97 120 124 134 125 139 143 143 145 145 144 142 139 135 133 130 128 126 128 132 134 137 Manufactures Minerals Total 57 103 97 121 125 136 127 140 144 145 147 147 146 143 141 137 135 131 129 128 130 134 137 139 Durable 49 104 95 128 136 153 137 155 159 160 162 163 160 156 154 146 142 137 135 131 134 139 141 144 Nondurable 66 102 99 114 114 118 116 126 129 130 131 132 131 130 128 127 127 125 124 125 126 129 132 134 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 68 106 94 115 114 116 111 122 129 128 128 129 129 127 123 123 121 118 112 109 109 112 115 119 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Production of almost all major groups of durable and nondurable manufactures increased further in August. INDEX, 1947-49 = 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED INDEX, 1947-49 = 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 220 120 1958 1955 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1939 1948 1949 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 _ _ 1956 1957 1957: July August September October November _ December _ _ 1958: January February March April May _ _ _ June July 1 August 1 2 Preliminary estimates. Not available. Nondurable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles Primary cated Machin- tation and and metal metals ery equipprod- apparel products ucts ment 54 107 90 126 116 132 108 140 138 131 134 136 131 128 121 107 100 95 91 86 91 103 102 107 52 104 93 122 121 136 123 134 135 139 141 140 139 137 141 135 129 124 122 118 120 125 129 128 38 104 93 130 147 160 142 155 171 168 173 172 170 164 163 156 151 144 141 137 137 141 144 150 47 102 102 135 154 189 175 203 199 213 216 216 212 208 203 194 191 185 183 178 182 185 185 185 80 106 93 113 111 118 115 127 123 114 113 116 112 109 107 103 110 108 109 105 110 114 119 (2) 80 103 97 106 105 107 100 109 108 105 107 106 106 104 101 97 97 97 95 98 99 102 108 112 ConPaper Chemical Foods, sumer and and petro- bever- durable leum ages, and goods printing products tobacco 6.6 103 101 118 118 125 125 137 145 148 146 149 149 149 149 146 146 144 142 143 143 146 149 151 49 103 100 132 133 142 142 159 167 172 174 175 174 173 171 169 168 164 163 164 165 168 173 175 65 100 100 105 106 107 106 109 112 112 113 112 113 111 110 113 114 114 113 113 114 116 116 116 102 101 114 105 127 116 147 131 130 132 135 134 129 128 119 113 110 104 97 105 111 114 114 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Most weekly indicators of production continued to rise during August and early September, rate dropped again because of model changeovers. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY MILLIONS OF TONS The auto assembly AVERAGE) BITUMINOUS COAL i 111111»1111111111111111111.111111111111111111 J F M AM J J A S ON J 0 F M A M J J A S 0 N D 0 N D BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS ELECTRIC POWER CARS AND TRUCKS A SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. Period Weekly average: 1954 _ 1955 ._ 1956 ___ 1957___ . 1957: July August September October _ _ November December 1958: January February March April .. May June Julv 3 August __ Week ended: 1958: August 9 _ . . _ 16 23 30 3 Sept. 6 ___ 13 33 _ 20 ___ ' « COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Steel produced 1 Cars and trucks power coal mined loaded produced assembled (thousands) Index Thousands distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands of net (1947-49 = (millions of of short of cars) Total of tons) Cars True ks tons 100) kilowatt-hours) tons) 2 1, 694 2, 245 2, 204 2, 162 2,016 2,084 2,098 2, 076 1,956 1, 679 1, 525 1,446 1, 412 1,290 1, 422 1,661 1, 453 1. 644 105. 4 139.7 137. 2 134.6 125. 5 129. 8 130. 6 129. 2 121. 8 104. 5 94. 9 90. 0 87.9 80.3 88.5 103.4 90. 4 102.4 8,883 10, 318 11, 292 11, 873 12, 009 12, 162 11, 828 11,721 11,904 12, 129 12, 247 12, 212 11, 764 11, 239 11,261 11, 872 12, 051 12, 579 1,303 1,542 1, 693 1, 635 1,632 1,594 1,698 1, 684 1, 551 1,480 1,450 1,310 1,228 1, 183 1, 139 1,419 1,327 1, 315 652 724 728 683 690 749 713 727 627 555 543 528 537 528 549 622 552 631 236 269 274 272 228 287 278 299 286 263 224 262 270 257 260 272 234 296 125. 6 176. 7 132. 8 138. 5 128. 7 139.5 84.3 91.7 157.9 146. 5 120. 9 116.3 103. 2 88. 8 96. 6 99.0 82. 8 53. 5 106.0 152. 7 111. 6 117. 6 108. 4 119. 5 70. 1 72.8 136. 3 126. 4 103.7 98. 0 86.2 71.9 79. 8 82.1 68. 4 42. 0 19. 7 24. 0 21. 2 20. 9 20. 3 19.9 14. 2 18. 9 21. 6 20. 1 17. 2 18.3 17.0 16.9 16. 8 16.9 14. 4 11. 5 1, 586 1, 632 1, 690 1, 715 1, 666 1, 780 4 1,797 98.7 101. 6 105.2 106. 8 103. 7 110.8 111. 9 12, 707 12, 851 12, 486 12, 272 12, 025 1, 328 1, 346 1, 380 1,382 1, 416 619 626 634 645 563 289 294 294 308 219 81. 1 72. 7 34. 8 25. 6 16. 5 4 31. 2 65.6 59. 7 25. 9 16.8 12. 0 24. 9 15. 4 13. 0 8. 9 8.8 4. 5 6. 3 3 Weekly capacities (net tons) as of January 1 are: 2,384,549 (1954), 2.413.278 (1955), 2,455,300 (1956), 2,559,631 (1957), and 2,699,320 (1958). 2 Daily average for week. 3 Preliminary. 18 S 4 Not charted. Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION The seasonally adjusted annual rate of private residential construction expenditures continued to rise during August, while private nonresidential outlays dropped. Public construction expendiiures again increased somewhat. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 PRIVA TE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM) "s^ >g*<^^«»^«^ -—- ^ I..*-*"""**"" OTHER PR IVATE "** I M ii I1 I i ( ii 1952 1 1 I I 1 i 1 1 LJJ_ | | | ( i l i i i i i 1953 1954 **-**,*£ 1 1 ! | | ! I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i t 1 1 1 1 I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1956 1957 1955 SOURCES; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! I 1 1 1 1958 .COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period 1939 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1957: July___ August September October _ November _ __ December _ _ 1958: January February March April __ _ May June Julv 4 August, . _. _ _ _ _ _ Total new construction 8. 2 34. 8 37. 1 39. 6 44. 6 46.3 4R. 5 Total private 4. 4 23. 8 25. 7 27. 7 32. 6 33. 3 31. 1 47. 2 48. 4 48. 9 50. 0 49. 6 50. 5 49. 9 48. 9 48. 6 47. 5 47. 1 47. 6 48. 7 49. 4 33. 7 31. 2 31. 4 34. 9 35. 0 34. 7 34. 4 34. 0 33. 5 32. 8 32. 6 32. 9 33. 6 34. 3 1 Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation; seasonally adjusted by the. National Bureau of Economic Research. Omits small contracts, and covers rural areas less mlly than urban. 2 Series begins January 1956. The 37 Eastern States data are probably indicative of the 48 States trend for other periods. 3 Revised series beginning January 1950; not comparable with prior data. Series discontinued beginning January 1958. Private Federal, State, and Residential Other local (nonfarm) 3. 8 2. 7 1. 7 10. 9 12. 8 11.0 11. 4 13.8 11.9 11. 9 12. 3 15. 4 12. 0 13. 9 18. 7 13. 0 17.7 15. 6 17. 0 17. 1 14. 4 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 16. 6 13. 5 17. 1 14, 2 16. 9 17.3 17. 2 17. 3 14. 5 17. 4 17.5 15. 0 17. 7 17. 3 14 6 17. 5 17. 2 15. 8 17.3 17. 0 15. 5 17. 3 16.7 14.9 16. 8 16.7 15. 1 16. 6 14. 7 16. 2 14. 6 16. 0 16. 6 16. 4 14. 7 16. 5 17. 2 16. 5 15. 0 18. 1 16. 2 15. 2 Construction contracts 1 Eastern 3 48 States 2 37States 3. 6 16. 8 17.4 19. 8 23.7 3 31. 6 24. 6 32. 2 25. 3 31. 2 34. 5 28. 7 31. 3 33. 5 25. 3 31. 2 29.6 32. 1 30. 1 35.9 41. 8 38. 8 24. 7 28.0 23. 8 23. 5 26. 5 20. 3 (3) * Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and F. W. Dodge Corporation (except as noted). 19 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm housing starts (seasonally adjusted) rose slightly in August to} an annual rate of 1,170,000 units. Aoolications for FHA commitments increased and VA appraisal requests were the same as in June-July. MILLIONS OF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS 0.5 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 I/SEE FOOTNOTE 2 ON TABLE BELOW.SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA). [Thousands of units] New nonfarm housing starts 1957 1958 COUNCIL 'OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Proposed home construction Private, Requests seasonally Applications for VA adjusted for FHA com2 appraisals annual mitments rates 397. 7 (4) 251. 4 253. 7 535. 4 338. 6 620. 8 306. 2 401.5 197. 7 159. 4 198. 8 33. 1 (4) 21. 0 21. 1 33. 5 16. 5 13. 3 16.6 14. 0 18.4 1,015 14. 5 22. 3 1,056 8.9 1,012 20. 4 6. 4 20. 2 1, 020 3. 7 14. 7 1,009 3. 5 13. 6 1,000 5. 3 17.3 1, 02O 5. 3 915 20. 6 8. 4 25. 0 918 24. 8 31. 6 983 29. 2 34. 6 1, 039 5 28. 4 33. 4 1, 090 5 28. 5 31. 8 1, 160 28. 5 33. 6 1, 170 Privately financed Government programs Total VA Total i FHA* Annual total: 1950 486. 7 3 200. 0 1 398. 0 43. 8 1, 352. 2 686. 7 1953 252. 0 156. 5 35. 5 1, 068. 3 408. 6 1 103. 8 1954 18.7 1, 201. 7 276. 3 307. 0 1 220. 4 583. 3 392. 9 1955 19. 4 1, 309. 5 669. 6 276. 7 1 328. 9 1956 24. 2 1,093. 9 460. 0 189. 3 270. 7 1 118. 1 1957 1 041. 9 992. 8 296. 7 49. 1 168. 4 128. 3 112. 7 57. 2 Monthly average: 1950_ 3. 6 40. 6 16. 7 116. 3 34. 0 21. 0 1953. 92. 0 3. 0 89. 0 13. 0 1956. 2. 0 22. 6 91. 2 38. 3 15. 8 93. 2 1957_ 4. 1 82. 7 10.7 24.7 14. 0 86. 8 1957: July 3.9 93. 9 12. 3 97. 8 28.0 15. 7 August 3.2 17. 7 29. 3 11. 6 96.8 100. 0 September 90. 2 91. 9 1. 7 16. 4 11. 8 28. 2 October _ 97. 0 88. 4 28. 4 9. 7 8. 6 18. 7 November _ _ 21. 4 75. 7 6. 4 2. 5 15. 0 78. 2 December _ 62. 5 14. 2 4. 6 .9 18. 9 63. 4 1958: January __ 5. 0 62. 9 17. 4 4. 1 13. 3 67. 9 February 2. 8 61. 0 14. 1 5. 1 11. 3 66. 1 March _ 4. 1 77. 3 81. 4 19. 6 3. 1 16. 5 April. 22. 7 94. 2 27. 4 4. 8 4. 9 99. 1 M.«i,v__ 7. 2 101. 3 26.0 6. 0 108. 5 32.0 5 5 5 .lime. 10. 5 115. 0 104. 5 36. 5 8. 5 28. 0 5 5 5 Julv 111. 0 3. 7 107. 3 29. 7 10. 6 40. 3 r> Ati^usl. 119. 0 13. 2 10. 2 108. 8 43. 7 30. 5 5 tf: 2.S.T7 units in 195G, 10,539 units in 1957, and Preliminary estimates. i t h s of lUfiS. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Htrar.o applications for new home construction. Sources: Department of Labor, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). Period Total Publicly financed SALES AND INVENTORIES—MANUFACTURING AND TRADE Manufacturers1 sales and new orders (seasonally adjusted) continued to rise in July and the rate of inventory liquidation was reduced. Distributors1 sales rose slightly. In August, retail sales were up 1 percent, according to preliminary estimates/ department store sales again increased sharply. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED IQOr TOTAL AND MANUFACTURING 20 10 nil M I I I ! I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I M I I 1 I 11I I I I I I I f iNDEXJ947-49 = IOO. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED n t i i i i i I I i M i I I I ! i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i i I i i i i 1 1 i i i.i n 1955 I 1956 i 1957 1 1958 1958 MANUFACTURING, RETAIL TRADE, AND WHOLESALE TRADE. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period Manufacturing and trade Inventories 2 Sales i Manufacturing Sales 1 Wholesale New Inventories 2 orders 1 Sales i Inventories 2 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Retail Sales i Inventories 2 13. 0 13. 5 14. 1 14. 1 15. 3 15. 8 16. 7 16. 8 17. 0 17. 0 16. 9 16. 7 16. 6 16. 8 16.7 16. 1 16. 1 16. 5 16. 6 16. 6 16. 7 16. 9 21. 2 21. 6 22,7 22. 1 23.9 23.9 24. 5 24. 1 24. 1 24. 3 24. 4 24. 2 24. 3 24. 5 24. 5 24. 3 24. 1 23. 9 23. 9 24. 1 24. 0 Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1951 1952 _ 1953 _ 1954 1955 195G 1957 1957: June July August September October November, _ _ December. _ _ _ 1958: January February March Anril _ __ _ M a y_ _ June July 4 4 August 44. 7 45. 9 48. 4 47. 4 52. 3 54.8 56. 3 50. 4 57. 4 57. 0 56. 3 55. 7 54. 7 54. 5 53. 8 52. 1 51. 3 52. 1 52. 4 53. 2 54. 0 s 1 Monthly average for year and total for month. 2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 73. 8 75. 4 78. 6 75. 5 81. 7 89. 1 90. 7 90. 7 91. 0 91. 3 91. 3 91. 1 91. 0 90. 7 90.0 89.3 88. 5 87. 6 86. 9 86. 4 85. 9 22. 3 22. 8 24. 5 23.5 26. 3 27. 7 28. 4 28. 1 29. 0 28. 6 28. 2 28. 1 27. 2 26.7 26. 4 25. 5 24. 9 24. 9 25. 2 25.7 26. 3 42. 8 43. 8 45. 4 43. 0 40. 4 52. 3 53. 5 53. 9 54. 1 54. 2 54. 2 54. 1 53. 9 53. 5 52. 9 52. 4 52. 0 51. 5 50. 9 50. 2 49. 8 Book value, end of period, except annual data, which are monthly averages. 24. 5 23. 6 23. 1 22. 5 27. 2 28.3 27. 3 27. 1 27. 3 27. 3 26. 6 26. 2 26. 0 25. 1 24. 4 24. 1 24. 8 24. 5 25. 0 25.8 26. 3 9. 4 9. 6 9. 8 9.7 10. 6 11. 3 11. 3 11. 4 11. 4 11. 4 11. 2 11. 0 10. 9 10. 9 10.7 10. 5 10. 3 10. 7 10. 7 10. 9 11. 0 9. 7 10. 0 10. 5 10. 4 11. 4 13.0 12. 7 12. 7 12. 7 12. 8 12. 8 12. 8 12. 8 12. 7 12.6 12. 5 12. 4 12. 2 12. 1 12. 1 12. 1 Department stores Inventories 3 Index, 1947-49 = 100 seasonally adjusted Sales i 112 114 118 118 128 135 136 138 138 144 136 129 133 138 130 124 131 130 134 133 140 148 131 121 131 128 136 148 152 153 155 153 154 155 154 150 147 146 142 143 144 148 148 4 Preliminary estimates. Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 21 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS In the first 7 months of 1958, commercial exports (merchandise exports excluding grant-aid shipments) were 1 8 percent lower than in the corresponding period of 1957. In the first 6 months, imports were 3 percent lower than a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 2.5 Z.5 2.0 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS EXCLUDING GRANT-AID SHIPMENTS I952 1958 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE7 [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports Period 1936—38 monthly average 1949 monthly average 1951 monthly average 1952 monthly average 1953 monthly average . 1954 monthly average _. 1955 monthly average 1956 monthly average 1957 monthly average 1957: June July August Sept em her _ _ . _ _ October November December 1958: Januarv __ _ . February. March April May. June Julv__ Total __ _ _ 247 1, 004 1,253 1,267 1,314 1,259 1,296 1, 591 1,734 1,786 1, 692 1,677 1, 540 1, 674 1, 683 1, 639 1, 511 1, 345 1, 557 1, 531 1, 638 1, 408 1, 419 Grant-aid shipments l (2) (2) 1 Beginning with 1950, figures include only Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program. Shipments for the first 6 months of the program (July-December 1950) amounted to 282 million dollars. 22 89 166 293 188 105 146 113 134 187 141 103 74 87 95 109 100 114 122 131 99 129 Excluding grant-aid shipments Merchandise imports (22) () 1, 164 1, 100 1,022 1,071 1, 191 1,444 1,621 1,652 1, 505 1,536 1,437 1, 600 1, 596 1,543 1, 402 1,245 1,442 1, 409 1, 506 1, 309 1, 290 207 552 914 893 906 851 949 1,051 1,082 984 1, 146 1, 042 1,009 1, 148 1, 043 1, 141 1, 095 962 1,072 1,057 1, 063 1, 037 Excess of exports over imports Total 40 452 339 374 408 408 347 540 653 802 546 635 532 526 640 498 416 383 485 473 575 371 Excluding grant-aid shipments (2) (2) 250 207 116 220 242 393 540 668 359 494 428 452 553 402 307 284 371 352 444 273 2 Not available. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES UUJNJbUJyLt.K rKlUr-C) The consumer price index rose slightly in July. index were the main contributors to the rise. Increases in the transportation and medical care components of the INDEX, 1947-49*100 150 INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 150 140 140 no 100 100 9 O I J JJLLJ.J_1_LJ_J_JL. O t t ' A M t M t N T Of t AIH1M 1 Vriod 1939 _. _ 1948 __ _ _ __ 1949 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1951 1952 _ _ 1953. _ ___ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1957: June July _ _ _ August _ __ _ September October November December __ 1958: January February March. April __ May _ _ __ _ _ June July COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS J lousing All items Food 59. 4 102. 8 101.8 111.0 113.5 114. 4 114.8 114. 5 116. 2 120.2 120. 2 120. 8 121. 0 121. 1 121. 1 121. 6 121. 6 122.3 122. 5 123. 3 123. 5 123. 6 123. 7 123. 9 47. 1 104. 1 100.0 112. 6 114. 6 112. 8 112. 6 110.9 111.7 115.4 116. 2 117. 4 117. 9 117.0 116. 4 116. 0 116. 1 118. 2 118. 7 120. 8 121. 6 121. 6 121. 6 121. 7 Total 1 76. 1 101. 7 103. 3 112. 4 114. 6 117. 7 119. 1 120. 0 121. 7 125. 6 125.5 125. 5 125. 7 126. 3 126. 6 126.8 127. 0 127. 1 127. 3 127.5 127. 7 127. 8 127.8 127. 7 Rent 86. 6 100. 7 105. 0 113. 1 117.9 124. 1 128. 5 130.3 132. 7 135.2 135. 0 135. 2 135. 4 135. 7 136. 0 136.3 136. 7 136. 8 137. 0 137. 1 137. 3 137. 5 137. 7 137. 8 Apparel Transportation 52. 5 103. 5 99. 4 106. 9 105. 8 104. 8 104. 3 103. 7 105. 5 106. 9 106. 6 106. 5 106. 6 107. 3 107. 7 107. 9 107. 6 106. 9 106. 8 106. 8 106. 7 106. 7 106.7 106. 7 70. 2 100. 9 108. 5 118.4 126. 2 129. 7 128. 0 126. 4 128. 7 136.0 135. 3 135. 8 135. 9 135. 9 135. 8 140.0 138. 9 138. 7 138. 5 138. 7 138. 3 138. 7 138. 9 140. 3 Medical Personal care care 72. 6 100. 9 104. 1 111. 1 117. 2 121. 3 125. 2 128. 0 132. 6 138.0 137. 9 138.4 138. 6 139.0 139. 7 140. 3 140. 8 141. 7 141. 9 142.3 142. 7 143. 7 143. 9 144. 6 59. 6 101. 3 101. 1 110. 5 111. 8 112. 8 113. 4 115. 3 120. 0 124. 4 124. 2 124. 7 124. 9 125. 1 126. 2 126. 7 127. 0 127. 8 128.0 128. 3 128. 5 128.5 128. 6 128. 9 Reading Other and goods recreaand tion services 63. 0 100.4 104. 1 106.5 107. 0 108. 0 107.0 106. 6 108. 1 112. 2 111. 8 112. 4 112. 6 113. 3 113. 4 114. 4 114. 6 116. 6 116. 6 117. 0 117. 0 116. 6 116. 7 116. 6 70. 6 100. 5 103.4 109.7 115. 4 118.2 120. 1 120. 2 122.0 125.5 124. 6 126. 6 126. 7 126.7 126. 8 126.8 126. 8 127.0 127. 0 127. 2 127. 2 127. 2 127. 2 127.2 1 Includes, in addition to rent, homeowner costs, utilities, housefurnishings, etc. Source: Department of Labor. 23 WHOLESALE PRICES The average of prices in primary markets declined fractionally in August, foods were lower, while industrial prices rose. Prices for farm products and processed OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIAL) [1947-49 = 1001 1939 1948 ._ 1949 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1957: July___ August September. October November December 1958: January February March April May June July August Week ended :1 1958: September 2 9 1 _ __ _ __. _ _ _ Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series. Source: Department of Labor. 24 50 1 104 4 99 2 114 8 111 6 110 1 110 3 110 7 114 3 117 6 118 2 118 4 118 0 117 8 118 1 118. 5 118. 9 119. 0 119. 7 119 3 119. 5 119. 2 119 2 119. 1 36 5 107 3 92 8 113 4 107 0 97 0 95 6 89. 6 88 4 90 9 92 8 93. 0 91. 0 91. 5 91. 9 92. 6 93. 7 96. 1 100. 5 97. 7 98. 5 95. 6 95. 0 93. 2 43 3 106 1 95 7 111 4 108 8 104 6 105 3 101 7 101 7 105. 6 107. 2 106. 8 106. 5 105. 5 106. 5 107. 4 109. 5 109. 9 110. 7 111. 5 112. 9 113. 5 112. 7 111. 3 Other than farm products and foods (industrial) 58 1 103 4 101. 3 115 9 113. 2 114. 0 114. 5 117. 0 122. 2 125. 6 125. 7 126. 0 126. 0 125. 8 125. 9 126. 1 126. 1 125. 7 125. 7 125. 5 125. 3 125. 3 125. 6 126. 1 118. 8 119. 0 92. 6 93. 4 110. 2 110. 8 126. 1 126. 0 All commodities Period Farm products Processed foods PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended August 15, the index of prices received by farmers declined 3 points. (parity index) declined 1 point and the parity ratio was unchanged. The index of prices paid INDEX, 1910-14 = 100 325 INDEX, 1910-14* 100 325 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES 275 250 250 225 225 200 i i IJ I I I M I I I I I II I I I I M 1 I I I M I I I I I I I 1 I I I I I I I II 1 I I I M I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I I I I I I I . 200 100 100 -^RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX QF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prims •ecoivcd by farmers Period 1939 _ _ 1948 _ 1949 . 1951 _ _ _ _ _ _ 1952 _ 1953 _ 1954 _ 1955___ 1956 _ 1957_ 1957: July 15 August 15 September 15 October 15 _ _ November 1 5 _ _ __ December 1 5 _ _ _ _ _ _ 1958: January 15 February 15 March 15 April 15 May 15 June 15 July 15 August 15 All farm products _ _ - _ _ __ ___ _ _ 95 287 250 302 288 258 249 236 235 242 246 247 245 241 242 243 247 252 263 264 264 255 254 251 Crops 82 255 224 265 268 242 242 236 240 233 237 232 227 225 223 219 224 229 245 252 246 232 228 225 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. Prices paid by farmers All items, interest, Family Livestock taxes, Producand and tion living wage rates products items items (parity index) Index, 1910-14=100 121 107 120 123 260 250 251 315 272 238 243 251 282 336 268 273 274 271 306 287 272 279 270 253 274 252 255 281 236 281 273 249 230 278 249 285 249 258 296 286 254 287 257 295 261 287 295 257 260 296 287 258 255 296 286 258 258 289 260 298 263 299 289 263 264 267 289 301 302 290 265 273 280 304 293 269 271 306 293 275 294 280 271 306 305 270 275 293 277 305 293 270 304 291 269 275 Parity1 ratio 77 110 100 107 100 92 89 84 82 82 83 84 83 81 81 81 82 83 87 86 86 84 83 83 Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS CURRENCY AND DEPOSITS The total of demand deposits and currency increased somewhat more than seasonally in July. tinued to rise. Time deposits conBILLIONS OF DOLLARS 240 IONS OF DOLLARS 200 1958 1.952 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM End of period 1951 ,_ 1952___ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1953 _ _ 1954 _.. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1955 1956 1957 1957: July ___ August September. _ _ _ _ October November. December5 _ 1958: January _5 _ February __ March5 5 April 5 Mav _ _ _ _ June 55 July _ Total U.S. deposits Government and curderency posits 1 189. 9 200. 4 205. 7 214. 8 221. 0 226.4 232. 3 225.2 225. 0 225. 4 226. 9 227. 0 232. 3 227. 7 228. 0 230. 9 234. 4 234. 2 239. 6 237. 5 3. 9 5. 6 4. 8 5. 1 4.4 4. 5 4. 7 4. 2 4. 9 4. 5 3.9 3.8 4. 7 2. 9 4. 2 6.4 6.0 6. 1 10. 2 4. 8 [Billions of dollars] Total excluding U. S. Government deposits 2 Demand deposits and currency Time Total de- 3 Demand Currency posits Total deposits outside adjusted* banks 98.2 186. 0 61. 5 26. 3 124.5 194. 8 27. 5 101. 5 65. 8 129. 0 200. 9 102. 5 70.4 28. 1 130. 5 27. 9 209. 7 75. 3 108. 6 134. 4 216. 6 78. 4 138.2 109. 9 28. 3 222. 0 111. 4 82.2 139. 7 28. 3 227. 7 89. 1 110.3 28.3 138. 6 221. 0 86.7 106.6 134. 3 27. 8 87. 1 220. 0 105. 1 132. 9 27. 8 87. 7 220. 9 133. 3 105. 5 27.8 223. 0 88. 1 107.2 134. 9 27. 8 223. 3 87. 6 107. 2 135. 7 28. 5 227. 7 89. 1 110. 3 138. 6 28. 3 224. 8 89. 8 107. 6 135. 0 27. 3 223. 9 90. 9 105. 6 133. 0 27.4 224. 5 92. 5 104. 6 27.4 132.0 228. 4 93. 6 107. 2 134.8 27. 6 94. 6 228. 1 105. 8 133. 5 27. 8 229. 4 95. 9 105. 7 133. 5 27. 8 232. 7 96. 7 136. 0 108. 2 27. 8 1 Includes 17. S. Government deposits at Federal Reserve Banks and commercial 2 and savings banks, and TJ. S. Treasurer's time deposits, open account. Includes deposits and currency held by State and local governments. 3 Includes deposits in commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and Postal Savings System, but excludes interbank deposits. 4 Includes demand deposits, other than interbank and TJ. S. Government, less cash items in process of collection. 26 6 Demand deposits and currency, seasonally adjusted Demand Currency Total deposits outside adjusted banks 136.0 134- 7 133.9 134. 2 134. o 133.2 132. 2 183. 1 134. o 135. 0 135. 5 135. 4 137. 6 108.0 106. 8 106. 2 106.5 105. 9 105. 1 104. 7 105.5 106. 4 107. 2 107. 6 107. 4 109. 6 28. 0 27.9 27. 7 27. 7 28. 1 28. 1 27.5 27. 6 27. 6 27. 8 27. 9 28. 0 28. 0 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Monthly data are for the last Wednesday of the month, except the unadjusted data for December 1957, which are for the last day of the month. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans dropped $1.5 billion in July, compared to $1.0 billion in July 1957. Excess reserves were greater than borrowings again in August but by a smaller amount than in any month since January. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 1952 1 1953 1 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 END OF MONTH COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. End of period 1949______ 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1957: June Julv August ___ _ _ _ September October November December 1958: January 4 4 February March 4 April 44 May June 44 July _ ___ __ Augus'. 4 Total loans and investments 120. 2 132. 6 141. 6 145. 7 155. 9 160. 9 165.1 170. 1 165. 6 165.4 165. 9 166. 3 167. 9 167.3 170. 1 167. 7 168. 6 171.4 175.6 175. 4 179. 7 177. 6 [Billions of dollars] All commercial banks Investments U. S. GovLoans Other Total ernment securities securities 77.2 43.0 67.0 10.2 57.7 74.9 61. 5 13.3 64.2 77.5 14. 1 63.3 67.6 78. 1 63.4 14.7 70. 6 69.0 85.3 16.3 82. 6 61. 6 78.3 16.7 90.3 74.8 58.6 16.3 93. 9 76. 2 58. 2 17.9 93.3 72.3 55. 5 16.8 73.0 92.3 56. 3 16. 8 92. 8 73.1 56. 2 16.9 72.9 93. 4 55. 9 17. 1 93.0 74.9 57.3 17.6 92. 9 74.3 56. 9 17.4 93. 9 76. 2 58. 2 17. 9 92. 0 75. 6 57.7 17.9 92. 1 76. 5 58.3 18.2 93. 0 78.4 59.6 18.9 82. 1 93. 5 62.8 19.3 82. 6 92.8 63. 2 19. 4 94. 9 84. 7 64. 7 20. 0 93. 4 84. 2 64. 3 19. 8 »Member banks include, besides all national banks, those State banks that have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. 2 Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans; revised series beginning January 1952 and again October 1955. Such loans by weekly reporting member banks represent approximately 70 percent of business loans by all commercial banks. Weekly reporting memberl banks Business loans 2 13. 9 21.6 23.4 23. 4 22.4 26. 7 31.3 32. 2 32.5 31. 7 32.0 32. 4 31.8 31. 5 32. 2 30.6 30.4 31.0 30.2 29. 8 30.4 29. 5 29. 9 All member banks * 3 BorrowReserve balances ings at Federal Required Excess Reserve Banks 0.8 17.0 0. 1 18.5 .8 .3 .7 19.6 .8 .7 19.3 .8 18.5 .8 .1 18.3 .6 .6 18.4 .6 .8 18.5 .5 .8 18. 5 .5 1.0 18. 6 .5 .9 .5 18.3 1.0 18.4 .5 1.0 18. 6 .5 .8 18. 4 .5 .8 18.8 .6 .7 18.7 .6 .5 18.4 .6 .2 18. 1 .6 .1 17.8 .6 .1 17.6 .7 .1 18.0 .6 .1 18. 0 .7 .1 17. 9 .6 .3 3 Data are averages of daily figures on balances and borrowings during the period. 4 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 CONSUMER CREDIT In July, consumer credit outstanding decreased about $100 million/ in July 1957 there was an increase of about $175 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 5O 2 Is* 1952 1953 1954 1957 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. 1958 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] End of period 1939 1948 19491951. 1952_ __ _ 1953__ 1954 1955 1956_ 1957__ ___ ._ 1957: J u n e _ _ __ Julv August SeptemberOctober NovemberDecember. 1958: January.. February. March April Mav June July Total consumer credit outstanding 7,222 14, 398 17, 305 22, 617 27, 401 31, 243 32, 292 38, 670 42, 097 44, 776 42, 491 42, 668 43, 101 43, 270 43, 274 43, 530 44, 776 43, 966 43, 043 42, 562 42, 665 43, 027 43, 122 43, 026 Total Automobile1 paper 4, 503 8, 996 11, 590 15, 294 19, 403 23, 005 23, 568 28, 958 31, 827 34, 105 32, 608 32, 968 33, 303 33, 415 33, 504 33, 596 34, 105 33, 737 33, 302 32, 983 32, 932 32, 957 33, 054 33, 133 1, 497 3,018 4, 555 5,972 7, 733 9, 835 9,809 13, 472 14, 459 15, 496 15, 127 15, 329 15, 490 15, 556 15, 579 15, 542 15, 496 15, 326 15, 122 14, 889 14, 788 14, 713 14, 691 14, 673 Other Repair and consumer moderni- Personal goods zation loans paper 1 loans 2 I , 620 2, 901 3, 706 4, 880 6, 174 6,779 6,751 7, 634 8, 510 8, 687 8, 165 8, 189 8, 229 8, 228 8,236 8, 300 8.687 8, 499 8,277 8, 192 8, 134 8, 176 8,203 8, 220 1 Includes all consumer credit extended for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and other consumer goods and secured by the items purchased. 2 Includes only such loans held by financial institutions; those held by retail outlets are included in "other consumer goods paper." 28 Non instalment credit outstanding Instalment credit outstanding 298 853 898 1,085 1,385 1, 610 1, 616 1 , 689 1,895 1,984 1, 905 1, 921 1,954 1,969 1, 988 1, 996 1,984 1,963 1,936 1,915 1,914 1, 933 1, 942 1, 952 3 1,088 2, 224 2,431 3, 357 4, 111 4, 781 5,392 6, 163 6, 963 7, 938 7, 411 7, 529 7,630 7, 662 7, 701 7, 758 7, 938 7,949 7, 967 7, 987 8,096 8, 135 8, 218 8, 288 Total 2, 719 5, 402 5,715 7,323 7, 998 8,238 8,724 9, 712 10, 270 10, 671 9,883 9, 700 9, 798 9,855 9, 770 9, 934 10, 671 10, 229 9, 741 9,579 9,733 10, 070 10, 068 9, 893 Charge accounts 1, 414 2, 673 2, 795 3, 605 4, Oil 4, 124 4,308 4, 579 4,735 4,760 3, 948 3,886 3,925 3,942 3,991 4, 135 4,760 4, 264 3, 710 3,528 3,694 3, 956 3,949 3, 901 InstalInstalment ment credit excredit 3 3 tended repaid 6, 872 15, 585 18, 108 23, 576 29, 514 31, 558 31, 051 39, 039 40, 063 42, 411 3,674 3, 837 3, 704 3,388 3, 545 3,439 4,069 3, 108 2, 754 3, 164 3, 345 3, 386 3,484 3, 494 Credit extended or repaid during the period. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 6,060 13, 284 15, 514 22, 985 25, 405 27, 956 30, 488 33, 649 37, 194 40, 133 3,224 3, 477 3, 369 3,276 3,456 3, 347 3, 560 3, 476 3, 189 3, 483 3,396 3, 361 3,387 3, 415 BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Rates on Treasury bills and prime commercial paper rose sharply in August and early September, and government bonds also rose. Yields on corporate PERCENT PER A N N U M PERCENT PER ANNUM 1958 1952 SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER1 Period 1951 1952 1953__. 1954_._ 1955__. 1956 1957 1957: August SeptemberOctober November December _ 1958 1 January February _ March- _ . . April. _ _ _ May _ June _ _ Julv August Week ended: 1958: August 16 23_ 30 September 6 13 20 1 2 __ [Percent per annum] U. S. Government High-grade security yields municipal 3-month bonds Taxabler Treasury (Standard & bonds bills i Poor's) 3 1. 552 2. 57 2. 00 1.766 2. 68 2. 19 1. 931 2. 94 2. 72 . 953 2. 55 2. 37 1. 753 2. 84 2. 53 2. 658 3. 08 2.93 3. 267 3. 47 3.60 3. 404 3.63 3. 91 3. 578 3.66 3. 90 3. 591 3. 73 3. 79 3. 337 3. 57 3.76 3. 102 3. 30 3. 47 2. 598 3. 24 3. 32 1. 562 3. 28 3. 37 1. 354 3. 25 3. 45 1. 126 3. 12 3. 31 1. 046 3. 14 3. 25 .881 3. 20 3. 26 . 962 3. 36 3. 45 1. 686 3. 60 3. 74 4 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 524 895 162 462 359 605 Rate on new issues within period. First issued in 1941. Series includes: October 1941-March 1952, bonds due or callable after 15 years; April 1952-March 1953, bonds due or callable after 12 years; April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. 4 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 61 62 67 72 75 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 68 76 88 95 98 Corporate bonds (Moody's) Aaa 4 Baa 2. 86 2. 96 3. 20 2. 90 3. 06 3. 36 3.89 4. 10 4. 12 4. 10 4.08 3.81 3. 60 3. 59 3. 63 3. 60 3.57 3. 57 3.67 3.85 3. 41 3. 52 3. 74 3. 51 3. 53 3. 88 4.71 4. 82 4. 93 4. 99 5. 09 5. 03 4. 83 4.66 4. 68 4. 67 4. 62 4. 55 4. 53 4. 67 3. 3. 3. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4, 4. 4, 83 89 94 03 07 66 71 74 80 85 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 2. 16 2. 33 2. 52 1. 58 2. 18 3. 31 3. 81 3. 98 4. 00 4. 10 4. 07 3. 81 3. 49 2. 63 2. 33 1. 90 1. 71 1. 54 1. 50 1. 96 4 1. 2. 2. 2. 2. 68 14 63 88 88 8 4 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Not charted. Sources: Treasury Department and Board of (lovcnior:; System (except as noted). he Federal Reserve 29 STOCK PRICES Stock prices continued to increase in August and early September. The composite index almost equaled its 1957 high INDEX, I939 = IOO 500 INDEX, 1939 = IOO 500 3OO 2OO 1952 1958 SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Composite index 1 Period Weekly average: 1948 1949 _ 1951__ _ __ __ 1952 _ _ _ _ 1953 ___ _ 1954 1955 1956 . 1957__ 1957: August __ September October November December 1958: Januarv February March. April May June July August Week ended: 1958: August _ 8 15 __ 22 _ _ _ 29 September 5 2 12 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVfSERS __ _ ___ [1939 = 1001 Manufacturing TransDurable Nondura- portation Total goods ble goods Trade; finance, Mining and service 132. 7 127. 7 184. 9 195. 0 193.3 229. 8 304. 6 345. 0 331. 4 343. 2 327. 9 306. 4 301. 8 298. 5 304. 7 304, 0 310. 8 311. 9 322. 9 330. 6 339. 2 351. 7 136. 8 132. 1 206. 8 220. 2 220. 1 271. 3 374. 4 438. 6 422. 1 441. 2 419. 1 388. 2 381. 9 376. 1 381. 6 378. 1 388. 2 387. 4 401. 4 411. 7 423. 6 442. 0 124. 3 116. 0 178. 5 188. 8 192. 6 245. 2 352. 4 409. 8 391. 2 408. 1 385. 8 356. 9 350. 1 335. 6 346. 6 345. 8 351. 6 339. 8 353. 2 362. 2 376. 5 399. 4 148. 6 147. 2 233. 1 249. 3 245. 2 295. 2 394. 4 465. 1 450. 7 471. 6 449. 7 417. 0 411. 1 413. 2 413. 6 407. 7 421. 6 425. 7 438. 4 449. 6 458. 9 472. 9 158. 1 136. 0 199. 0 220. 6 218. 7 232. 6 320. 0 327. 1 275. 4 285. 5 263. 3 240. 9 227. 8 214. 7 230. 2 231. 3 230. 6 233. 1 249. 0 259. 2 268. 8 282. 6 99. 3 98. 1 112. 6 117. 9 121. 5 135. 8 152. 9 155. 8 156. 0 155. 2 152. 6 148. 8 149. 3 152. 3 157. 8 160. 5 161. 7 165. 7 168. 9 171. 3 173. 4 173. 9 156. 9 160. 7 207. 9 206. 0 207. 1 235. 6 296. 9 306. 3 277. 5 281. 6 277. 2 266. 5 262. 0 257. 9 269.7 277. 5 283. 4 285. 6 301. 0 305. 1 311. 9 324. 6 133. 0 129. 4 204, 9 275.7 240. 5 267. 0 312. 9 357. 5 342.4 353.9 334. 5 296. 9 284. 2 274. 5 272. 1 266. 8 283. 2 287. 0 300. 1 318. 9 330. 7 341. 1 354. 1 350. 0 351. 9 352, 3 353. 7 357. 6 446. 439. 441. 442. 443. 449. 401. 397. 399. 399. 401. 409. 478. 471. 472. 472. 473. 477. 285. 279. 284. 282. 282. 284. 173. 8 173. 2 173. 5 174. 0 175. 3 176. 0 320. 5 323. 0 331. 6 330. 6 334. 8 335. 2 346. 2 341. 4 341. 0 337. 4 341. 6 338. 1 1 9 9 2 8 6 1 Includes 265 common stocks: 98 for durable goods manufacturing, 72 for nondurable goods manufacturing, 21 for transportation, 29 for utilities, 31 for trade, finance, and service, and 14 for mining. Indexes are for weekly closing prices. 30 Utilities 2 6 0 6 7 9 8 6 0 5 9 9 6 6 0 2 4 6 7 Not charted. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The budget deficit for the first 2 months of the current fiscal year was $5.0 billion. For the same period of last year, the deficit amounted to $4.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET RECEIPTS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES - MAJOR NATIONAL SECURITY - EXPENDITURES FIRST MONTH 50 BUDGET SURPLUS (t) OR DEFICIT H FIRST MONTH (ENLARGED SCALE) -5 -10 -15 1959 1956 1957 1953 1959 _ ___ _ _ > [Billions of dollars] Net budget expenditures Net Major national security 1 Budget budget Department surplus ( + ) receipts Total or of Defense Total deficit (-) military functions 43. 6 95. 1 76. 8 76. 1 -51. 4 74. 3 64. 8 -9. 4 51. 8 43. 6 64. 7 67. 8 47. 9 40.3 -3. 1 60. 4 64. 6 42. 1 -4. 2 35. 5 66. 5 68. 2 41. 8 35.8 4-1.6 44. 4 69. 4 + 1.6 38. 4 71. 0 69. 1 -2. 8 45. 0 71. 9 39.0 67. 0 79. 2 46.8 -12. 2 40.8 6. 3 3. 2 3.7 -3. 3 3. 1 5.9 4. 0 5. 1 3. 5 -. 8 7.2 5. 7 3. 5 3. 0 4-1.6 6. 5 3. 7 3.2 3. 1 -3. 4 5. 8 3. 5 4. 8 3. 1 -1. 0 5. 8 6. 0 3. 8 3. 3 +. 1 6. 0 4. 8 3. 8 3. 1 -1. 2 5. 5 3. 6 6. 3 3. 2 + .8 5. 7 9. 5 3. 7 3. 1 + 3. 8 6. 1 3. 7 3. 2 -2. 6 3. 5 -. 9 4. 9 5. 8 3.7 3.2 6. 6 4. 3 + 4.2 3. 9 10. 8 6. 6 2. 9 3. 8 3. 2 -3. 7 6. 2 3. 7 3. 2 -1. 4 4. 8 8. 2 7. 8 1 Includes military functions of Department of Defense, military assistance and defense support portions of the mutual security programs, Atomic Energy Commission, and stockpiling and defense production expansion. 2 Includes guaranteed securities, except those held by the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. 1955 . COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Feriod Kisonl vi'.'ir 1 •' I 1 I(1iscal year 1( 9f>3 Fiscal year J .). r >l _ Fiscal year 1955 Fiscal year ] 956 Fiscal year 1957 : Fiscal year 1 95S < Fiscal 3year 1959 4 1957: Julv _ _ August ._ _ _ September October November December 1958: 3 January . _ _ _ February. _ _ _ March.. _ _ _ _ _ __ April.. _ _ May June _ _ Julv August Cumulative totals for first 2 months: Fiscal year 1958 Fiscal year 1959 1954 FISCAL YEARS * ESTIMATED SOURCES:TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. 12. 3 12. 8 3 7. 7 7. 5 6. 7 6. 4 __4. i -5. 0 Public debt (end of period) 2 202. 6 266. 1 271. 3 274. 4 272. 8 270. 6 276.4 283. 1 272. 6 274. 0 274. 5 274. 2 274. 9 275. 0 274. 7 274. 8 272. 7 275. 2 275. 7 276. 4 275.9 278. 6 274. 0 278. 6 Preliminary. Cumulative totals for first 2 months, not charted 4 Estimate, "1959 Federal Budget Midyear Review," September 11, 1958. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. O1 CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC According to preliminary estimates, Federal cash payments to the public in the fiscal year 1958 exceeded Federal cash receipts by $1.5 billion. Current estimates for fiscal year 1959 indicate a cash deficit of $13.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BH.LIONS OF DOLLARS £0 (ENLARGED S C A L E ) EXCESS OF CASH RECEIPTS f§§$! Ll'AVxi 1 • EXCESS OF CASH PAYMENTS 1952 1954 1953 PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES. 1955 1956 CALENDAR YEARS 1957 1957^ 1 1958"" COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: BUREAU OF THE BUDGET AND TREASURY DEPARTMENT. [Millions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal year total: 1955 1956 1957 1 1958 2 1959 Calendar year total: 1954 _ 1955 1956 19571 Quarterly total, not adjusted for seasonal variation: 1957: First quarter _. ._ Second quarterJ Third quarter Fourth quarter 1 1958: First quarter 1 l Second quarter _ _ 67, 77, 82, 81, 80 Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts ( + ) or payments ( — ) 836 088 107 855 357 70, 538 72, 617 80, 008 83, 328 94 066 — 2 702 + 4 471 + 2, 099 - 1, 472 — 13 709 68, 589 71, 448 80, 330 84, 520 69, 661 72, 188 74, 807 83, 326 — 1 072 — 740 + 5, 524 + 1, 194 24, 617 24, 846 18, 653 16 404 23, 618 23, 180 19, 814 21, 574 21,099 20 839 19, 626 21, 764 -f-4 802 4-3 273 — 2 447 — 4 435 + 3 992 + 1.417 1 Preliminary. 2 Estimate, "1959 Federal Budget Midyear Review," September 11, 1958. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Bureau of the Budget and Treasury Department. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. Government Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. Price 20 cents per copy ; $2.00 per year ; $2.50 foreign. 32 U. S . G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G O F F I C E : 1 9 5 8