Full text of Economic Indicators : October 1972
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Congress, 2d Session t 1 • t*z&'Tf~\TQ JL \rO * T \'Y\r\'\r XIJLULJLOCL ILJI o October 1972 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1972 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) HUBERT H. HUMPHREY (Minnesota) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, Jr. (Texas) JACOB K. JAVTTS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) JAMES B. PEARSON (Kansas) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) BARBER B. CONABLE, Jr. (New York) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) BEN B. BLACKBURN (Georgia) JOHN R . STARK, Executive Director LOUGHLIN F. McHuGH, Senior Economist COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS HERBERT STEIN, Chairman EZRA SOLOMON MARINA v. N. WHITMAN Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—Isr SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled ''Economic Indicators*' Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch ^ Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 25 cents a single copy or by subscription at $3.00 per year (foreign, $4.00) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Gross national product rose $22% billion in the third quarter to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,162 billion. This followed rises of about $31 billion in each of the 2 preceding quarters. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Persons Government Disposable personal income Period Net receipts Expenditures PerLess: Equals: sonal Less: Tax Interest Total Personal saving TransTrans- Equals: and paid and exclud- consumpPuror tion fers, Total Equals: fers, nontax interest, Net ing chases disexpendexpendinterest, Total i transfer pay- interest itures saving receipts of goods and receipts itures and or and ments and subSUbaccruals sidies 2 to for- transservices fers eigners Surplus or deficit <—), income and product accounts 473.2 511.9 546.3 591. 0 634.4 689.5 744.4 12.0 13. 0 13.9 15. 1 16.7 17.9 18.5 461. 3 498. 9 532.4 575. 9 617. 7 671.6 725.8 432.8 466. 3 492. 1 536. 2 57.9. 5 616.8 664.9 28.4 32. 5 40.4 39. 8 38. 2 54.9 60. 9 189.1 213. 3 22a 9 263.5 296. 7 302. 0 321.6 49.9 55. 5 62. 8 70.7 77.9 93. 0 105. 7 139.2 157. 9 166. 2 192.7 218. 8 209. 0 215. 9 186.9 212. 3 242. 9 270. 3 287.9 312. 1 338. 5 49. 9 55.5 62. 8 70. 7 77. 9 93.0 105.7 137.0 156. 8 180. 1 199. 6 210.0 219.0 232.8 2.2 1. 1 -13. 9 -6.8 8.8 -10. 1 -16.9 1971 I... 725.7 742.9 750.4 758.5 18.3 18.4 18.7 18.8 707.4 724.5 731.7 739.7 648.0 660.4 670. 7 680.5 59. 3 64. 1 61. 0 59.3 313. 5 318. 8 323.3 330.7 100.6 107.4 106.5 108.4 212. 9 211.4 216. 8 222. 3 327.5 336. 9 340. 2 349.4 100.6 107.4 106. 5 108.4 227. 0 229.5 233.6 240. 9 -14. 0 -18. 0 -16.9 -18.7 1972: I 770.5 782.6 798.7 18.8 19.1 19.3 751.7 763.5 779.4 696.1 713.4 728. 1 55. 7 50.1 51.3 353.8 361.4 112. 1 114.1 116.2 241. 7 247.3 361. 6 368. 3 372.7 112. 1 114.1 116.2 249.4 254.1 256.6 -7.7 -6.8 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. II.. III.. IV.. International Business Period 1965. 1966. 1967. 1968. 1969. 1970. 1971. 1972:1 IliT_~_~ Net Net exports of goods Gross and services Excess of Total Statis- national transfers Excess Gross transfers income to fortical Gross private product of or or eigners discrepretained domestic or investby perEquals: of net receipts ancy earn-3 investexpendLess: ment Net exports sons and Exports Imports ings iture ment 4 Governexports ment 847 91. 3 93. 0 95. 4 97.0 97.3 109.9 108. 1 121.4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 2.8 2.8 3. 0 2. 9 2. 9 3. 2 3. 6 39.2 43.4 46. 2 50. 6 55. 5 62. 9 66. 1 32. 3 38. 1 41. 0 48. 1 53. 6 59. 3 65. 4 6. 9 5. 3 5. 2 2. 5 1. 9 3. 6 .7 -4. 1 152. 0 -23. 4 -30. 1 -23.5 -30. 6 -42. 0 -39.7 -42. 1 688. 0 -2.4 750. 9 -2. 2 794. 6 .4 866. 9 1. 0 936.3 -. 4 981. 1 2. 8 1, 055. 2 -3. 1 684.9 -1. 0 749. 9 -. 7 793. 9 -2. 7 864. 2 -6. 1 930. 3 -4.7 976.4 -4,8 1, 050. 4 103. 2 108. 7 110. 5 117. 2 143. 9 153. 0 152. 2 158. 8 -40. 7 — 44. 3 -41. 7 -41. 6 3. 2 3. 4 3. 8 4. 0 GO. 3 (56. 7 (58. 5 63. 0 61. 8 66. G 08. 2 G5. 1 4. 5 .1 .4 2. 1 -1. 4 3. 2 3. 4 G. 1 026. 7 048. 0 062. 8 083. 2 -3.3 -4,9 -5.9 -5.2 115. 9 124. 8 1G8. 1 177. 0 181. 0 — 52 3. 8 3. 8 4. 0 70. 7 70. 0 75.0 75. 3 75. 2 78. 4 4. 6 5. 2 3. 4 8.4 9. 0 7.4 113. 1 139.4 -4. 1 1, 109. 1 -. 1 1, 139. 4 1, 162. 2 i Personal income (p. 5) loss personal tax and nontax payments (lines, penalties, etc.). 3 Government transfer payments to persons, foreign not transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, subsidies less current surplus of govern~~ent enterprises, and disbursements less wage accruals. L Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, [jital consumption allowances, and private wage accruals less disbursements. oes not include retained earnings of unincorporated business, which are included 1, 023. 1, 043. 1, 056. 1, 078. 4 0 9 1 in 4 disposable personal income. Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. a Net foreign investment less capital grants received by United States, with sign changed. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) rose at an annual rate of 8.3 percent in the third quarter, according t^ preliminary estimates. Real gross national product rose at a 5.9 percent rate while prices increased at a 2.2 percen. rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,000 1,000 BOO 800 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 600 600 - GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 400 400 200 200 \ '">..».„„„. NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES I J 1966 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT L 1967 1968 1969 1970 Period 1962 1963 1964 _ 1965 1966 1967. 1968.. _ 1969 1970 1971 1971: I II _ III IV.. 1972: I II III" COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Personal Gross congross Total private sump- domestic national gross tion product national investin 1958 product expend- ment itures dollars Billions <Df dollars; quarterly 529.8 561.0 581. 1 617.8 658. 1 676.2 706.6 725.6 . 722. 1 741. 7 731.9 7S7. 9 742.6 754.5 766.5 783.9 795. 3 560.3 590. 5 632.4 684. 9 749. 9 793. 9 864, 2 930. 3 976.4 1, 050. 4 1, 023. 4 1, 043. 0 1, 056. 9 1, 078. 1 1, 109. 1 1, 139. 4 1, 162. 2 355. 1 375. 0 401.2 432. 8 466. 3 492. 1 536. 2 579.5 616. 8 664.9 648.0 660. 4 670. 7 680. 5 696. 1 713.4 728. 1 83. 0 87. 1 94.0 108. 1 121.4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 152.0 143.9 153.0 152. 2 158. 8 168. 1 177.0 181.0 1 This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 36. 1972 1971 .I/PRELIMINARY" SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE jjurchases of good s and Implicit services price Federal State deflator for total National1 Other and GNP, local defense 1958=1002 data at £ easonall 7 adjusteid annual rates Gove rnment Net exports of goods and Total services Total 117. 1 122. 5 128. 7 137.0 156.8 180. 1 199. 6 210. 0 219. 0 232. 8 227. 0 . 1 229. 5 .4 233. 6 2. 1 240. 9 -4. 6 249. 4 -5.2 254. 1 -3.4 256.6 5. 1 5.9 8.5 6.9 5.3 5.2 2.5 1.9 3.6 .7 4,5 63.4 64. 2 65.2 66.9 77.8 90. 7 9a 8 98.8 96. 5 97.8 96.2 96. 3 97. 9 100. 7 105. 7 108. 1 106. 2 51.6 50. 8 50.0 50. 1 60.7 72.4 78. 3 78.4 75. 1 71.4 72. 5 71. 2 70. 1 71. 9 76. 7 78. 6 75.2 11.8 13. 5 15.2 16.8 17. 1 18.4 20. 5 20.4 21. 5 26.3 23. 7 25. 0 27. 8 28. 7 28. 9 29. 6 31. 0 53. 7 58. 2 63. 5 70. 1 79.0 89. 4 100. 8 111. 2 122.5 135.0 130. 8 133. 3 135. 7 140. 2 143. 7 146.0 150.4 105. 78 107. 17 108. 85 110. 86 113. 94 117. 59 122. 30 128. 20 135. 23 141. 61 139. 84 141. 34 142. 35 142. 88 144. 68 145. 34 146. 14 2 Gross national product in current dollars divided by gross national product in 1968 dollars. Source: Department of Commerce. NATIONAL INCOME (Employee compensation rose $12 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter after a $15 billion •ise in the second. Proprietors' and rental income recovered from the effects of the hurricane in the second quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES 600 500 500 400 400 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 100 100 1972 1966 y PRELIMINARY SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Total national income Compensation of em- 1 ployees Proprieto]rs' income Farm 2 Business and professional Rental income of per- Net interest 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 457.7 481. 9 518. 1 564.3 620. 6 653. 6 711. 1 766. 0 798. 6 855. 7 323.6 341. 0 365.7 393. 8 435. 5 467. 2 514. 6 566. 0 603. 8 644. 1 13.0 13. 1 12.1 14.8 16. 1 14. 8 14.7 16. 7 16. 9 17. 3 37. 1 37. 9 40.2 42.4 45. 2 47. 3 49. 5 50. 5 49. 9 52. 6 16.7 17. 1 18.0 19.0 20. 0 21. 1 21. 2 22.6 23.3 24. 5 11. 6 13.8 15.8 18.2 21. 4 24. 4 26. 9 30.5 34.8 38.5 1971: I 11 III IV 834. 5 S51. 4 860. 8 876. 2 628. 6 039. (J 648. 0 6(H). 4 16. 8 1 0. 9 17. 6 18. 1 51. 3 52. 4 53. 1 53. 8 23. 9 24. 4 24. 8 25. 0 1972: I 11 III » 903. 1 922. J 682. 7 697. 8 709. 7 19. 1 18. 7 19. 1 54. 3 54. 4 56. 2 25. 2 24, 2 26. 2 1 Includes employer contributions ior soclnl Insurance. (8ee also p. 4.) 'Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged In fanning and therefore differs from net farm income (including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes such profits. Corpora )e profits and in veil tory va luation ac [justment Total 55.7 Profits before taxes Inventory valuation adjustment 0.3 7a7 84. 3 79.8 69.9 78.6 55. 4 59.4 66.8 77.8 84, 2 79. 8 87. 6 84.9 74.3 83. 3 — .5 -1.7 — 1. 8 — 1. 1 -3.3 — 5. 1 -4.4 -4.7 37.3 38. 1 39. 1 39. 7 76.6 80. 1 78.3 79. 4 81.3 84. 5 84. 1 83. 2 -4.7 — 4. 4 -5.8 -3.9 40. 1 40. 9 41. 7 81.8 86. 1 88.2 91.6 -6.5 — 5. 5 -6. 1 Source: Department of Commerce. 5a9 66.3 76.1 82.4 """"• O SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $5.7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in September. Higher payrolls accounted f $4.2 billion of the increase. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,000 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAi PERSONAL INCOME 300 800 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 600 600 400 400 OTHER INCOME 200 200 TRANSFER PAYMENTS I I I I ! I > I 1 I 1966 1967 1968 I I I I I I I I I 1 1> t I I I M I 1 11 J970 1969 1971 1972 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Wage Total Other Propriet< 3rs' income and personal salary labor Business income disburse- income 2 Farm and prol ments fessional Rental income of persons Dividends Less: Per- NonagriPersonal Transfer sonal con- cultural interest paytributions personal income ments for social income 3 insurance 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 497.5 538.9 587. 2 629. 3 688. 9 750.9 806. 3 861.4 333. 7 358.9 394,5 423. 1 464. 9 509. 7 541. 9 572. 9 16. 6 18.7 20. 7 22. 3 25. 4 28.4 32. 1 36. 5 12. 1 14.8 16. 1 14.8 14,7 16. 7 16.9 17.3 40. 2 42.4 45. 2 47. 3 49. 5 50.5 49. 9 52.6 18.0 19.0 20.0 21. 1 21. 2 22. 6 23.3 24.5 17.8 19.8 20.8 21. 4 23. 6 24. 3 24.8 25.4 34, 9 38.7 43.6 48. 0 52. 9 59. 3 65. 8 69.6 36.7 39.9 44, 1 51. 8 59. 6 65.8 79. 5 93. 6 12. 5 13.4 17.7 20. 5 22. 8 26. 3 28. 0 31. 2 480. 519. 566. 609. 668. 728. 782. 837. 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 869. 1 872. 2 874.8 879. 4 890. 4 577.2 577.9 579. 9 583. 4 594. 3 37. 2 37. 5 37. 8 38. 0 38. 3 17. 6 17. 9 18.0 18. 1 18. 1 53. 1 53. 4 53. 6 53. 8 53. 9 24.9 24. 9 24.9 25. 0 25. 1 25. 6 25. 5 25.5 25. 5 24. 6 70. 2 70. 5 70. 5 70. 6 70. 7 94. 7 96. 1 96.2 96. 8 97. 6 31.4 31. 5 31.6 31. 8 32. 3 844.7 847.6 850. 0 854.5 865. 0 1972: Jan Feb Mar____ Apr May June July .„ Aug Sept»— 898. 9 908. 5 913. 6 919.4 924. 0 922. 9 932. 9 940.0 945.7 602. 6 609. 0 612.4 617. 6 619. 9 624, 0 625. 7 630.6 634. 8 38. 5 38.8 39. 1 39. 5 39. 8 40. 1 40. 5 40. 8 41. 1 18.6 19. 1 19. 5 19. 1 18. 7 18.4 18.6 19. 1 19. 5 54. 0 54. 1 54. 7 54.9 55.3 53.2 55.7 56. 3 56. 7 25. 1 25. 2 25. 3 25. 5 25. 6 21. 5 25.8 26. 3 26. 5 26. 0 26. 1 26. 0 26. 1 26. 3 26.3 26. 4 26. 6 26. 5 70. 8 71. 0 71. 3 72. 0 72. 7 73.4 73.5 73.4 73.3 97. 6 100. 0 100. 1 99. 7 100. 9 101. 3 102. 2 102. 8 103. 3 34.3 34. 7 34.8 35.0 35. 1 35.3 35. 5 35.8 36. 0 873.4 882. 4 887. 1 893. 4 898. 3 897. 5 907. 3 914. 0 919. 4 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and wage accruals less disbursements. 2 Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fee?; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. 9 5 3 4 8 3 8 2 * Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. Source: Department of Commerce." DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income (seasonally adjusted) rose sharply in the third quarter but saving also increased and the saving rate remained unchanged at about 6% percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 1966 1972 J/PRELIMINARY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Less: PerPersonal sonal tax and income nontax payments Period Per cap>ita disL ess : Perso nal outlayfs posable personal Equals: Persorlal consuroption Equals: incc>me Disex penditure 3 2 Personal Total posable saving Nonpersonal personal Durable Current 1958 durable Services dollars dollars income outlays * goods goods Billions of dollars . 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 497.5 538.9 587. 2 629. 3 688. 9 750. 9 1 806. 3 ! 861. 4 ! 59. 4 65.7 75.4 83. 0 97. 9 116. 5 116. 7 117. 0 438. 1 473.2 511. 9 546. 3 591. 0 634. 4 689. 5 744. 4 411. 9 444.8 479. 3 506. 0 551. 2 596.2 634, 7 683. 4 59. 2 66.3 70. 8 73. 1 84. 0 90. 8 90. 5 103. 5 Dol lars 178.7 191. 1 206. 9 215. 0 230. 8 245. 9 204. 4 278. i 163. 3 175. 5 188. 6 204. 0 221. 3 242. 7 201. 8 283. 3 Seaso nally adji is ted annii a I rates 26. 2 28.4 32. 5 40. 4 39. 8 38. 2 54. 9 60. 9 Saving as percent of Population dis(thou-3 posable personal sands) income ( percent) ! 2, 283 2,436 2, 604 2,749 2,945 3, 130 3, 366 3, 595 2, 126 2, 239 2,335 2,403 2,486 2, 534 2,603 2, 679 6.0 6.0 6.4 7.4 6. 7 6.0 8.0 8.2 191, 194, 196, 198, 200, 202, 204, 207, 889 303 560 712 706 677 879 049 310 806 312 856 . 838. 0 858. 1 867. 9 881. 5 112. 3 1 1 5. 2 117. 5 123. 0 725. 742. 750. 758. 7 9 4 5 066. 4 678. 8 689. 4 699. 2 99. 8 101. <) 106. ! 106. 1 2711 4 277. 2 278. f> 283. 4 274. 8 281. 3 280. 1 290. 9 59. 3 64. 1 61. 0 59. 3 3, 517 3, 592 3,620 3,649 2,650 2, 682 2? 684 2,698 8.2 8.6 8. 1 7. 8 206, 206, 207, 207, 1972: ! _ _ _ 907. 0 922. 1 11 III". 939. 5 136. 5 1 39. 5 140. 8 770. 5 782. () 798. 7 714. 9 732. 5 747.4 111. 0 113. 9 118. 4 288. 3 297. 2 301.4 296. 7 302. 4 308. 3 55. 7 50. 1 51. 3 3,700 3,751 3,821 2, 716 2,739 2,774 7.2 6.4 6.4 208, 255 208, 628 209, 053 1971: ! _ _ _ II Ill_ IV__ ^Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers, and 8 personal transfer payments to foreigners. See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. 3 Includes Armed Forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data are for middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. Source: Department of Commerce. FARM INCOME Net farm income excluding inventory change (seasonally adjusted) rose 2% percent Li the third quarter. Inciudin< inventory change the rise was 1% percent. I BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE -V 20 20 10 1966 1968 1967 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT Of AGRICULTURE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Personal income received by total f arm popu lation 3 income re ceived from farmingr Net t<3 farm oper ators Realize d gross Period From aD sources 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968. 1969 1970 1971 1971: I II III IV 1972: I_ II III _ _ ._ 20.6 23.6 24. 9 24. 0 25. 1 27.6 2& 2 29. 5 From From nonfarm farm sources sources 11.3 13.5 14. 4 13. 1 13. 2 14. 9 15. 0 15.6 9.3 10.0 10. 5 10. 9 11. 9 12. 7 13. 2 13. 9 ProducCash tion ex- Excludreceipts penses ingnetinfrom Total1 ventory marketchange ings Billions c)f dollars 42.6 37.2 13.1 29.5 44.9 39.3 30.9 14.0 49. 7 16. 3 43. 3 33. 4 14.2 49. 0 42.7 348 50. 9 14. 7 44, 1 36.2 55. 6 38. 8 16.8 48. 1 57.9 41. 1 16. 8 50. 5 60. 1 44. 0 16. 1 53. 1 Seaso nally adjhisted annual rates 51. 9 59. 0 43. 2 15.8 52. 1 59. 1 15.4 43.7 60.4 53.4 44. 3 16. 1 61.8 44,9 54,9 16.9 __ 1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. * Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. »Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. 1972 1971 1970 1969 64. 1 64. 8 66. 1 56.5 56.9 58. 1 45.6 46.5 47. 3 18.5 18.3 18.8 Net inc ome per farm incl tiding net inventoryr change 3 Including net in- Current 1967 ventory dollars dollars * change 2 Dol lars 12.3 15.0 16.3 14. 9 14.8 16. 9 16. 8 17.4 3,564 4, 487 5,019 4,730 4,854 5,674 5,754 6,049 3,832 4,723 5, 121 4,730 4,667 5,206 5,047 5,083 16.8 16.9 17.7 18.2 5,840 5,880 6, 150 6,330 4,990 4,980 5, 130 5,280 19.3 18. 9 19. 2 6,820 6,680 6,780 5,590 5,390 5,420 < Income in current dollars divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1967 base. Source: Department of Agriculture,- CORPORATE PROFITS Current estimates for the second quarter show that corporate profits before taxes rose $3.4 billion to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $91.6 billion. After taxes the rise was $2.0 billion. Second quarter profits were adversely affected by the hurricane in June. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 - 40 20 20 1967 1966 1968 1969 1971 1970 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted Corj>orate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inveritory valuation adjustme nt TransCorpo- CorpoM anufactui •ing portation, rate rate comtax profits NonAll Durable All munibefore liabildurable indus1 goods cations, other ity taxes Total indusgoods tries and indus- public tries tries utilities 17.8 32.7 14.9 23.5 66.3 10.1 66.8 28. 3 39. 3 22. 8 16. 6 76. 1 25.6 77. 8 31. 3 11. 1 42. 6 24. 0 82. 4 18. 6 84. 2 34.3 27. 9 11. 9 38. 7 20. 7 18. 0 78. 7 29. 1 33.2 10.8 79. 8 41. 7 22. 4 19. 3 84, 3 32. 0 87. 6 10. 6 39.9 36. 6 18. 8 17.7 79. 8 10. 1 33. 1 84. 9 40. 1 27. 7 11. 0 16.7 69. 9 34. 6 7. 6 34. 1 74.3 14. 1 30. 9 16. S 78. 6 8. 2 39. 6 83. 3 37.3 annual rates] CoriDorate pi ofits a fter taxe s Total Corporate capital conDiviUndend distrib- sumption payuted ments profits allow-2 ances Profits plus capital consumption allow-3 ances 38.4 46.5 49. 9 46.6 47. 8 44.8 40.2 45.9 17.8 19. 8 20. 8 21. 4 23. 6 24. 3 24. 8 25. 4 20.6 26. 7 29. 1 25. 3 24, 2 20. 5 15.4 20. 5 33.9 36.4 39.5 43.0 46. 8 51.9 55.2 60.3 72. 3 82.9 89. 5 89. 6 94. 6 96. 7 95.4 106. 2 1971:1 II.-IIL__ IV_._ 76. 6 80. 1 78. 3 79. 4 30.9 31. 2 30. 1 31. 2 14. 3 14. 4 13. 3 14. 3 16. 6 16. 8 16. 9 16. 9 7. 8 8. 8 8. 5 7. 6 37. 8 40. 2 39. 6 40. 5 81. 3 84, 5 84. 1 83. 2 38. 0 38. 6 37. 5 35. 3 43. 2 45. 8 46.6 48. 0 25. 5 25.4 25. 5 25. 2 17. 7 20. 4 21. 0 22. 7 57.5 59.4 61.2 63. 0 100. 7 105. 2 107.8 111. 0 1972: I II. -_ III"_ 81. 8 86. 1 35. 4 37. 0 1 9. 4 17. 7 17. 7 1 7. G 7. 8 8. 8 38. 5 40. 3 88. 2 91. 6 38. 8 40. 1 49. 5 51.5 26. 0 26. 2 26. 5 23.5 25. 3 64.8 68. 0 114.3 119. 5 21 Includes ail other industries and financial institutions. Includes depreciation and accidental damages. * Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 85-086°—72 Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT The rise in gross private domestic investment (seasonally adjusted) slowed down in the third quarter. Smail increase: were recorded for all major types of investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 180 1 180 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 160 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 140 140 120 120 100 PRODUCERS1 DURABLE EQUIPMENT BO 40 1972 1966 .I/PRELIMINARY SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF CO/AMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed imvestment Total gross private domestic Total investment 15 « j Jrenoa Strue tures Total Total 1962 1963 1964.. 1965__ 1966._ 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 83.0 87.1 94 0 108.1 121.4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 137.1 152. 0 1971: 1_ II III IV 1972: 1_ II Ill » __ 19.2 19. 5 21.2 118.9 131. 1 132.2 148.3 51.7 54. 3 61. 1 71.3 81.6 83. 3 88. 8 98. 5 100. 9 105. 8 143. 9 153.0 152. 2 158.8 139.0 146.4 150.9 157.2 101. 9 105.0 106.3 109.8 37. 6 38.3 168. 1 177.0 181.0 167.7 172.0 175.3 116.1 119. 2 121. 1 Source: Department of Commerce. 8 77.0 81.3 8R2 98. 5 106.6 ioa4 Resid ential structures N(Dnresident ial Nonfarm Producere' durable equ ipment Total 18.5 18.8 20.5 24. 9 27.8 27.3 29. 6 33.5 35.2 37. 5 32.5 34.8 39.9 45. 8 53.1 55. 3 58.5 64.3 64.9 67.4 sa7 sa 8 36. 8 37.5 37.9 38. 0 64.3 66.7 67.6 71.0 41.3 42. 0 41.6 40. 5 41. 2 40.8 74.8 77.2 79.4 25. 5 2a5 28. 0 30.3 34.2 36.0 3a4 Nonfarm 29.4 31.2 36.3 41.6 Total Nonfarm Change in business inv entories Total Nonfarm 25.3 27.0 27.1 27.2 25.0 25. 1 30. 1 32.6 31.2 42.6 24.8 26. 4 26.6 26.7 24.5 24.5 29.5 32.0 30.7 42.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 9.6 148 8.2 7. 1 15.0 7. 5 6. 9 60.4 60.8 64. 2 37.0 41.4 44. 5 47.3 36.6 40.9 43.9 46.7 4.9 3.9 1.3 1.7 -.2 .8 67.7 69. 6 71.8 51.6 52. 8 54.2 51. 0 52. 1 53.4 4a4 50.0 53.6 59.2 59.2 60.9 sa3 7.8 4.9 3.6 6. 6 .4 5. 0 5.7 5.3 5.1 6.4 8.6 7.7 4.8 2.4 5. 1 .1 4.3 5.3 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT i Businessmen have projected a 10 percent increase in plant and equipment expenditures from 1971 to 1972. Outlays are expected to rise from the first to the second half of 1972. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100. 1 100 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 80 80 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 60 NONMANUFACTURING 40 40 ,•••»»*•* *~~~r MANUFACTURING 20 20 f t I f I 1967 1966 ! ! i ! t { 1969 1968 f ! 1970 I I T 1971 1 J/ SEE FOOTNOTE 3 BELOtf. SOURCES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE I *1 1972 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufaetui ing Period Total Total 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 3 1972 _ 38. 39 Durable goods Non- 79.71 81.21 89. 10 6. 79 7. 53 9. 28 11. 50 14. 06 14. 06 14. 12 15. 96 15. 80 14. 15 15. 70 8. 26 8. 70 10. 07 11. 94 14. 14 14. 45 14. 25 15. 72 10. 15 15. 84 1 5. DO !!___ Ill _ 79. 32 81. 61 80. 75 83. 18 30. 30. 29. 30. 14. 4. 3. 4. 10. 1 (i. l. r >. 15. I II 86. 79 30. 09 ;>o. ;>7 5. 00 4. 77 32. 02 1 0. 22 Hi. r>S 63.51 65.47 67. 76 75.56 IV III 3 IV 3 87. 12 90. 38 1)1. 84 46 12 19 35 i>;» 22 21 (Hi 70 01 Mining durable goods 15. 06 16. 22 19. 34 23. 44 28. 20 28. 51 28. 37 31. 68 31. 95 29. 99 31. 66 40.77 46.97 54.42 1971: I 1972: Transportat ion l Air Other 0. 52 Com- Com- munication mercial and other 2 1. 40 1. 27 1.34 1. 46 1. 62 1. 65 1. 63 1. 86 1. 89 2. 10 2. 44 1. 02 1. 26 1. 66 1. 99 2. 37 1. 86 1.45 1. 86 1. 78 1.67 1. 81 1. 02 1. 22 1. 74 2.29 2. 56 2. 51 3. 03 1. 88 2.50 1.65 1.58 1. 50 1. 68 1. 64 1.48 1. 59 1. 68 1. 23 1. 38 1. 38 4. 90 4. 98 5. 49 6. 13 7. 43 8. 74 10. 20 11. 61 13. 14 15.30 17. 32 3.85 4.06 4, 61 5.30 6.02 6. 34 6.83 8.30 10. 10 10.77 11.99 9. 99 10.99 12.02 13. 19 14.48 14.59 15. 14 16.05 16. 59 18.05 19. 99 2. 2. 2. 2. 04 08 23 30 1. 1. 1. 1. 46 88 72 04 1. 29 2. 28 1. 68 2. 26 1. 33 1. 40 1.48 1. 33 14. 64 14. 91 15. 87 15. 74 10. 70 IL 21 10.73 10. 44 17.39 17. 72 17.85 19. 10 1 5. 02 Jfi. 00 2. 42 2. 38 1. 2. 2. 2. 16.92 16. 60 17. 36 18. 36 11.71 11.59 20. 10 19. 88 '2. 40 10 88 71 50 1.48 1. 53 10. 40 Hi. 05 2. J. 1. 1. 2.r> (Hi 43 74 1 Excludes agricultural business; real estate operators; medical, l<\",al, educational, and cultural service; nnd nonprofit organizations. 2 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance. 3 Estimates based on expected capital expenditures as reported by business .late July and August 1972. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic bdencies in expectations data. NOTE.—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not Railroad Public utilities 2. r>2 .40 90 89 57 59 1. 49 1. 10 32 19 32 49 necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These Hguras donoi agree with the totals included in thegross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Source: Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES, STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Civilian employment grew by 249,000 (seasonally adjusted) in September to a new record level and the civilian labor force increased somewhat less (189,000) so that unemployment fell slightly. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 1EJIS Oh4ALL r UNE/v\l>L OY7rilEhIT *AT E AC>Jl SI"ED — r „1 ~ ~ n- n - i "T rn i* 1967r 19d>6 96£$ 19<39 197C> Total labor force Period (including Armed Forces) 1967... 1968... 1969... 1970... 1971... 1971: Aug. Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec. 1972: Jan*. Feb.. MarApr. May. June. July. Aug. Sept. 80, 793 82, 272 84, 239 85, 903 86, 929 CODNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civili*in emTotal ploy ment labor force Non- Unemploy- (includagriTotal ment ing eulArmed tural Forces) Thousands of j3ersons 1C 74, 372 70, 527 2,975 80, 793 75, 920 72, 103 2,817 82, 272 77, 902 74, 296 2,831 84, 239 78, 627 75, 165 4,088 85, 903 79, 120 75, 732 4,993 86, 929 Unadj usted Civilijin emplo yment Civilian labor force years of 77, 347 78, 737 80, 733 82, 715 84, 113 Total Agricultural age and o ver 74, 372 3,844 75, 920 3, 817 77, 902 3,606 78, 627 3,462 79, 120 3,387 <Seasonally adjustea I Nonagricultural 70, 527 72, 103 74, 296 75, 165 75, 732 oyinent Labor Unem- Unempl force rate (pe rcent of participloycivilia Q labor ment pation for ce) rate * 2,975 2,817 2,831 4,088 4,993 88, 453 80, 618 76, 853 5,061 86, 884 79, 295 75, 851 4,840 87, 352 80, 065 76, 595 4,570 87, 715 80, 204 76, 942 4, 815 87, 541 80, 188 77, 240 4, 695 87, 088 87, 240 87, 467 87, 81% 87, 883 84, 313 84, 491 84, 750 85, 116 85, 225 79, 199 79, 451 79, 832 80, 020 80, 098 3, 407 3,363 3,416 3,419 3,400 75, 792 76, 088 76, 416 76, 601 76, 698 5,114 5, 040 4,918 5,096 5,127 87, 147 79, 106 76, 237 5, 447 87, 318 79, 366 76, 458 5,412 87, 914 80, 195 77, 101 5,215 87, 787 80, 627 77, 339 4,697 87, 986 81, 223 77, 692 4,344 90, 448 82, 629 78, 653 5,426 91, 005 83, 443 79, 383 5, 173 90, 758 83, 505 79, 475 4,857 89, 098 82, 034 78, 376 4,658 88, 301 88, 075 88, 817 88, 747 88, 905 88, 788 88, 855 89, 256 89, 454 85, 707 85, 535 86, 313 86, 284 86, 486 86, 395 86, 467 86, 860 87, 049 80, 636 80, 623 81, 241 81, 205 81, 394 81, 667 81, 682 81, 973 82, 222 8,393 3,357 3,482 3, 324 3,353 3,337 3,445 3,625 3,575 77, 243 77, 266 77, 759 77, 881 78, 041 78, 830 78, 237 78, 348 78, 647 6,071 4,912 5, 072 5,079 5,092 4,728 4, 785 4, 887 4,827 1 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutlonal population. Source: Department of Labor. 10 19 7:2 97 *16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Percent 38 3 6 3. 5 4. 9 5. 9 Unadj. 5. 9 5. 8 60 6 60 7 61 1 61 3 61. 0 Seaso nally adju Med 5.4 6. 1 6. 0 5. 8 6. 0 6. 0 60.9 61. 0 61. 0 61.2 61.1 6. 4 6. 4 6 1 5. 5 5.1 6. 2 5. 8 5. 5 5. 9 5. 7 5 9 5. 9 5.9 5. 5 5. 5 5. 6 5.5 61. 0 60. 8 61 2 61. 1 61. 1 61. 0 60. 9 61 1 61. 1 5. 7 5. 5 5.4 *Data beginning January 1972 not strictly comparable with prior data becau of adjustment to the 1970 Census data, which added 333,000 to the civilian Jabj force and 301,000 to civilian employment. SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT PIC overall unemployment rate declined to 5.5 percent (seasonally adjusted) in September from 5.6 percent the month before. While joblessness among married men rose in September to 2.8 percent from 2.6 percent in August, it was below the 3.3 percent mark of September 1971. PERCENT PERCENT 110 10 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED • A ' A £. JIV""1' /y 1966 1972 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF LABOR linenaploymen t rate (percen t of civili?in labor for ce in grouip) Period Persons at work in nonagri cultural in dustries 2 by hours worked p>er week Urider 35 hours Experi- Married Labor force enced All men time lost l wage and (wife workers salary workers present) 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 3.8 3.6 3. 5 4.9 5. 9 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan. _ _ _ Feb Mar Apr_ May June _ July Aug Sept 6. 1 6. 0 5. 8 6. 0 6. 0 6. 9 5. 7 5. 9 5. 9 5. 9 Per cent 1. 8 3.6 1.6 3.4 1.5 3.3 2. 6 4. 8 3. 2 5.7 Seasonal V adjusted 4. 2 4.0 3. 9 5. 3 6. 4 Over 40 hours 20, 20, 20, 18, 19, 920 600 608 925 095 35-40 hours Part-ti me for economi e reasons Total Part-ti me for economi<3 reasons Usually Usually fullparttime 3 time 4 Thousan ds of pers ons 16 ye ars of age and over 32, 616 13, 290 1,060 853 32, 658 14, 785 895 820 34, 201 15, 210 955 855 1, 201 33, 537 18, 222 995 1, 184 35, 752 16, 298 1, 256 (Jnadjustec I Seasonall y 35, 307 13, 329 1, 262 1,752 1,147 36, 888 15, 081 1, 126 1,094 1,076 32, 957 21, 039 1, 080 1, 166 1,148 37, 495 1 6, 294 1, 120 1, 191 1, 263 37, 428 16, 799 1,045 1, 153 1,084 36, 820 17, 008 1, 220 1,146 1, 101 3(>, 460 17, 360 1, 147 1,087 1, 127 37, 517 17, 774 1, 172 1, 140 1, 156 37, 592 16, 571 1, 081 1, 170 1,1S1 37, 468 16, 700 996 1, 117 1, 102 37, 608 15, 169 1, 177 1, 022 1, 878 36, 143 14, 046 1, 034 2, 140 1,086 36, 103 13, 869 1, 190 1,082 1, 927 37, 409 15, 176 5 1, 107 5 1, 136 1,068 Usually fulltime 3 Usually parttime 4 adjusted 1,278 1,236 1,364 1,341 1, 304 1,28S 1, 176 1,261 1,427 1,319 1.499 1,424 1,406 1, 282 8. 2 6. 5 17, 949 3. 3 6. 3 19, 1)64 6. 5 19, 109 5. 0 3. 3 (>'. 4 20, 2-19 3. 2 (L /, 20, 2,'W 3. 0 6.4 19, 170 2. 8 6. 1 1 9, 302 6.4 2 H f). r> 6'. 3 21, S76 5. 3 S. t) 6'. 3 20, 239 r>. r> (>. 3 '2. 9 20, 478 r}. 6 5. 0 2. 9 >'). i) 1 9, 989 { 5. 3 2. 7 5. 5 0, 0 18, 824 f . C> f). 3 5. G (>. 2 19, 026 r>. f) 5. 2 S. 8 f). 9 21, 881 3 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, teens as a percent of potentially available labor force man-hours. shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 1 'Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 10), which includes perPrimarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. 8 ~~.is with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, Average hours worked: usually full-time, 24,0; usually part-time, 18.8. and industrial disputes. Source: Department of Labor. 5.7 5. 7 5. 5 5. 7 5. 8 /). 6 material 11 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In September, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 351,000 lower than a year earlier. The seasonall adjusted insured unemployment rate was unchanged at 3.4 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED" UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) 1970 JAN. FEB. MAR. APRIL MAY JULY JUNE AUG. SEPT. OCT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR NOV. DEC COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS A 11 progran08 Period 1968 1989 1970 1971 v 1971: Aug Sept Oct"p Nov v _„ _ Dec 1972: Jan" Feb* Mar" Apr * May p» _ June _ July "__ Aug* Sept" Week ended: 1972: Sept 2 — 9 16 23 30 » Oct 7 " Steite progra ms Insured Total Insurec 1 unemunem- benefits Insured ploymen t as perCovered ploypaid unem- Initial Exhaus- cent of covered employ- ment (milemployment tions ployclaims ment (weekly lions ment averof dolUnad- Seasonadage) lars) justed ally justed Thou sands Per cent Weekly tiverage, t lousands 57, 977 1, 187 2, 191. 0 2. 2 16 201 1, 111 59, 999 1, 177 2, 298. 6 2. 1 16 200 1, 101 _ 59, 526 2,070 4, 170. 1 25 296 3. 4 1, 805 2, 313 5, 963. 3 37 4. 1 2,150 295 2, 349 282 483. 1 1, 912 3.6 35 4-2 2, 174 418.5 1,739 33 3. 3 236 4*3 2, 129 252 3.2 388. 5 1,716 31 4-4 _____ 2,311 430.7 1,879 3. 5 31 298 4-% 2,666 2,221 514.6 4. 2 358 32 3. 8 <& 4/ 3,097 2, 524 581.3 37 4. 8 385 o. 3, 186 2,492 594.0 293 4.7 8.5 38 2,987 242 601. 6 41 4.3 2,280 S.5 2,706 487.3 2,006 237 3.6 39 3.8 2, 106 480.4 1,736 216 35 3. 7 3.3 478. 7 1,634 1,951 3.6 250 30 3. 1 2,087 321 445. 6 1,823 3.4 3. 7 27 & 4i 1,764 431. 8 1,806 213 3. 2.9 29 1; 554 384. 2 32 1, 388 190 2.6 3. 4 0 1, 601 1, 622 1, 555 1, 535 1,499 1,433 1,449 1, 389 1, 370 1, 340 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators. 12 193 178 196 194 193 233 Source: Department of Labor. 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 1 Benefi bs paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) 2, 031. 6 2, 127. 9 3, 848. 5 5, 694. 5 433.6 377.8 348. 3 387.0 467.9 550.9 563.2 574.0 459. 3 451.5 449. 7 403. 1 399. 7 369. 7 43. 43 46. 17 50.34 55.49 56. 08 56. 25 53. 07 53.31 57.85 55.35 56.34 56. 63 56. 94 57.22 57.31 56. 85 56. 89 56. 94 NONAGRICULTURAIi EMPLOYMENT Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by a substantial 241,000 (seasonally adjusted) in September and was 2.4 million above a year 030. The number of workers on manufacturing payrolls rose by 87,000 in September to the highest level in 2 years. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 76 - (ENLARGED SCALE) ^^ - 16 ^"^~ 68 ^*~" — I \ ^^-^ ALL NONAGRICULTURAL 14 **"^ ESTABLISHMENTS - - 12 64 NONMANUFACT URING (PRIVATE) \ """*" """""" SERVICES \~ *•"**"' DURABLE MANUFACTURING 12 36 ^ /MANUFACTURING \ "" L.,..,^^-^^ 20 "*"* 10 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING — /I -— „ CGOVERNMENT \ 12 A t ! I ! 11 I 1 I 1 I 1969 - ... . . , , il , . i , , 1970 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION - ! 1 | I | | | | \ \ |h 1969 1972 1971 1970 197V SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1972 COUNCIL C* ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1 [Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted] Period Total Total 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug.. Sept— Oct.... Nov__Dec___ 1972:Jan___ Feb... Mar__ Apr-_ May__ June._ July__ Aug"~ Sept*5.. 63, 955 65, 857 67, 915 70, 284 70, 593 70, 645 70, 548 70, 843 70, 861 71, 103 71, 291 71, 552 71, 744 72, Oil 72, 240 72, 592 72, 699 72, 661 72, 980 73, 221 19, 214 19, 447 19, 781 20, 167 19, 349 18, 529 18, 393 18, 517 18,495 18, 534 18, 519 18, 551 18, 612 I S , 68f> 18, 790 18, 892 18, 931 18, 861 18, 932 19, 019 NonDurable durable goods goods 11, 284 11, 439 11, 626 11, 895 11, 195 10, 565 10, 466 10, 552 10, 547 10, 560 10, 552 10, 575 10, 621 10, 073 10, 755 10, 837 10, 857 10, 843 10, 899 10,969 7,930 8,008 8, 155 8, 272 8, 154 7,964 7,927 7, 965 7, 948 7, 974 7, 967 7, 976 7, 991 8, 012 8, 035 8, 055 8, 074 8, 018 8, 033 8,050 Total Whole- Finance, Con- Transinsurtract portasale tion ance, Services Federal State Mining conand and and and retail strue- public local real Lion utilities trade estate 33, 950 35, 012 36, 288 37, 915 38, 709 39, 261 39, 296 39, 445 39, 438 39, 588 39, 741 39, 908 39, 987 40, 145 40, 238 40, 420 40, 544 40, 521 40, 730 40, 797 1 Includes all full- and part-time wngo and salary workers in noriagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which Includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagrlcultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed Cover nment N onmanu facturinj I (private]) Manufac Jturing (]private) 627 613 606 619 623 602 612 618 521 524 611 615 613 614 605 604 600 599 603 606 3,275 3, 208 3,285 3,435 3, 381 3,411 3,408 3,436 3, 475 3, 518 3, 468 3, 523 3, 494 3, 512 3, 493 3, 535 3, 550 3, 489 3, 537 3, 538 4, 151 4,261 4,310 4,429 4,493 4,442 4, 397 4, 420 4, 406 4, 403 4, 432 4, 455 4, 438 4, 487 4, 481 4, 490 4, 491 4, 473 4, 487 4, 490 13,245 13, 606 14, 084 14, 639 14, 914 15, 142 15, 186 15, 232 15, 250 15, 299 15, 333 15, 379 15, 456 15, 508 15, 561 15, 632 15, 682 15, 692 15, 743 15, 774 3,100 3, 225 3,382 3,564 3,688 3,796 3,804 3, 821 3,835 3,847 3,855 3,867 3,874 3, 885 3, 892 3, 913 3,931 3,927 3,936 3, 951 9,551 10, 099 10, 623 11, 229 11, 612 11, 869 11, 889 11, 918 11, 951 11, 997 12, 042 12, 069 12, 112 12, 139 12, 206 12, 252 12, 290 12, 341 12, 424 12, 438 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2, 705 2,664 2,663 2,663 2, 662 2,666 2,666 2,673 2,669 2, 667 2, 664 2, 665 2,646 2,621 2,618 2,636 8,227 8, 679 9, 109 9,444 9,830 10, 191 10, 196 10, 218 10, 266 10, 315 10, 365 10, 420 10, 476 10, 514 10, 554 10, 609 10, 578 10, 658 10, 700 10, 769 persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establisliments. Noto.—Series revised beginning 1970; see note, p. 14. Source: Department of Labor. J3 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek (seasonally adjusted) of production workers in private nonfarm industries rose 0.2 hour to 37.3| hours from August to September, with the factory workweek increasing 0.1 hour to 40.7 hours. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED} 46 46 MANUFACTURING TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE 44 44 40 40 38 36 36 34 ! I 1 1 1969' 1971 1970 1972 1969 f f I1 1 1970 1971 1970 1971 I ?1 fI I If fI 1972 42 RETAIL TRADE CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 40 38 36 34 32 30 1969 1970 1971 1972 1969 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1 [Average hours per week ] Total n onagricultural private 2 Period Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 3 Total nonagricultural private 2 Unad justed 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970___ . _ 1971 1971: Aug Sept Oct. Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug "__ Sept 9 sa7 3&8 sa7 _ _ 38.8 38.6 3a o 37. 8 37.7 37. 1 37. 0 37.4 37.0 37.0 37.0 37. 3 36. 7 36. 8 36. 9 37. 0 36.9 37.4 37.6 37.6 37.4 40. 4 40. 5 40. 7 41. 2 41. 3 40. 6 40. 7 40. 6 39. 8 39. 9 39.8 39.8 40.0 40. 2 40. 7 39. 8 40. 1 40. 3 40. 5 40. 5 40. 9 40.4 40.6 40. 9 1 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. 2 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 13. 3 Includes eating and drinking places. 14 Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 3 Seasonallyr adjusted 37. 0 37. 3 37. 2 37. 4 37. 6 37. 7 37. 4 37. 9 37. 4 37. 3 38.4 36. 9 38.2 37. 9 36.4 35. 8 36.0 36.8 36.6 36.8 37. 6 37. 9 38.2 38.3 37.4 37. 3 37. 0 36. 6 35. 9 35. 3 34.7 34. 2 33. 8 33. 7 34.7 33.7 33.5 33. 4 34. 1 33.2 33.0 33.2 33.3 33. 3 34. 1 34.7 34. 8 33. 6 36.9 S6.9 37.0 37. 1 37. 1 37. 0 37. 2 37. 1 37. 3 37.0 37. 1 37.2 37. 1 37. 3 S9.8 39.6 39.9 40.1 40.2 40.1 40.4 40. 4 40.8 40. 5 40. 7 40. 6 40.6 40. 7 37.2 35.8 37.6 39. 0 36.8 37. 1 37. 3 37.2 36. 7 36.7 36.9 37.0 37.1 37.1 S3. 6 S3. 6 33. 7 38. 7 38.9 38. 7 S3. 6 38.6 <?<? 1f OO. (3(2? ry OO. 1 <Z?(2? tJO. o<? 88. 7 33. 7 38. 5 Note.—Series revised to March 1971 benchmark beginning 1970. See Employment and Earnings, October 1972. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of privafe nonfarm production workers rose 6 cents in September to $3.71, but a large portion ff this gain was seasonal in origin. Compared to a year earlier7hourly earnings were up 6.0 percent and weekly earnings were up 7.1 percent. DOLLARS DOLLARS AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS 240 6.00 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 5.00 200 4.00 MANUFACTURING 120 3.00 TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAU PRIVATE TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE W ~"T RETAIL TRADE 80 2.00 RETAIL TRADE LM^ i i i- i i i t Ipjj. 1969 1970 1972 1971 1969 1970 1971. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IABOR 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Fo r productio n workers or nonsupe rvisory em ployees] Period Average h ourly earn ngs — curre nt dollars Average \weekly earclings— curr ent dollars Total nonagricultural private l Total n onagricultural private 1 Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 2 $85. 91 88. 46 91.33 95. 06 98. 82 101. 84 107. 73 114. 01 119. 40 120. 1)1 129. 03 121). 50 121). 50 129. J 3 131. 30 130. 29 131. 01 132. 10 133. 57 133. 58 135. 70 130. SO 137. 24 138. 75 $96. 56 99.63 102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 142. 04 141. 69 143. 28 143. 00 144. 32 150. IS 14.7. 20 149. 17 150. 72 1 52. 28 153. 01) 355. 01 152. 71 154, 28 157. 47 $122. 47 127. 19 132. 06 138. 38 146. 26 154. 95 164. 93 181. 54 195. 98 212. 24 220. 03 215. 13 224. 23 222. 47 214. 70 213. 37 214. 20 2 IS. 59 218. 14 221. 17 223. 34 225. 88 229. 90 235. 16 $60. 96 62. 66 64, 75 66. 61 68. 57 70.95 74.95 78. 66 82. 47 86. 61 89.18 87. 62 87. 10 86. 84 89. 00 88. 31 87. 78 88. 64 89. 24 S9. 58 91. 73 93. 69 93. 61 91. 39 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug Sept__ Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Julv Aug * Sept * 1 Also includes other 2 3 Includes eating and $2. 22 2. 28 2. 36 2. 45 2. 56 2. 68 2. 85 3. 04 3. 22 o. 43 3. 45 3. 50 3. 50 3. 49 3. 52 3. 55 . 50 . 5S . 01 . 02 . 03 . 04 . 05 . 71 Manufacturing $2. 39 2.46 2. 53 2. 61 2. 72 2. 83 3. 01 3. 19 3. 36 3. 56 3. 50 3. GO 3. 59 3. 59 3. 09 3. 70 3. 72 I*. 7-1 3. 70 3. 78 3. 79 3. 78 3. 80 3. 85 Contract construction $3. 31 3. 41 3. 55 3. 70 3. 89 4. 11 4. 41 4. 79 . 24 . 09 . 73 . S3 . S7 . S7 . 90 . 1)0 . l),r> . 94 . DO . 01 . 94 . 90 0. 02 0. 14 Retail trade 2 $1. 63 1. 68 1. 75 1. 82 1. 91 2. 01 2. 16 2. 30 2. 44 2. 57 2. 57 2. 00 2. 00 2. 00 2. 01 2. GO 2. GO 2. 07 2. OS 2. 09 2. 09 2. 70 2. 09 2. 72 private Industry groups shown on p. 13. drinking places. Earnings in current dollars adjusted to exclude the effects of overtime and interindustry shifts. 85-086°—72 3 Manuf£ icturing indu stries Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings. ings, 1 Qf?7 1967 3 100 dollars 4 85.7 87.8 90. 3 92. 6 95.7 100. 0 106. 2 112. 6 119. 6 127. 5 128. 6 128. 9 129. 3 129. 0 131. 3 132. 1 132. 7 133. 2 133. 9 134.5 135. 0 135. 3 135. 9 136. 6 * Earnings in current dollars divided by the consumer price index. NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1970; see note, p. 14. Source: Department of Labor. $106. 108. 110. 113. 115. 114. 117. 117. 114. 117. 116. 117. 117. 117. 122. 119. 120. 121. 122. 122. 124. 121. 122. 124. 58 65 84 79 58 90 57 95 99 10 04 25 32 72 00 53 49 55 51 77 01 68 74 78 IS PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Industrial production, seasonally adjusted, rose 0.6 percent in September, about the same as the August increase. All major industry groups and most market groups contributed to the increase. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 Index, 1967=100 ISEASONALLY-ADJUSTED) IbO UTILITIES Ah D TOTAL 1 on MINING •\tr\ ^^ UTILITIES 110 X"""I*X"^N"N '~*^s~* ^ —^ inn 1969 I 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 I: *~*^\ f^f*\ 1Ofi MINING ^ nn on an i n i 1 1 1 M 1 1 \ 130 1 1( I I I 1 ( 1 1! 1970 i iii i1 iiir i 100 «•» 1 ! I'M ! • ( I 1 1 I- 1969 1972 1971 <A M 1 I! i 1 1 1 | 1 1 1 M I 1 1 1 i/l 1970 1971 1 M 1 1 1 1 1 I1 1 1972 110 100 90 1969 1972 SOURCE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period J.962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 v . 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug » Sept » Total industrial production 72.2 76. 5 81.7 89. 2 97.9 100.0 105. 7 110.7 106. 7 106.8 105. 6 107. 1 106.8 107.4 108. 1 108.7 110. 0 111. 2 112. 8 113.2 113.4 113.7 114.5 115.2 [1i967= 100, seasonal y ad juste d] Market Industry Msmufacturi ng Fulal produ<3tS Intermediate ConMining Utilities EquipNonsumer Total Durable durable Total ment products goods 71.4 75.8 81. 2 89. 1 98. 3 100.0 105.7 110. 5 105. 2 105.2 104. 2 105.7 106. 1 106. 0 106.2 107. 1 108.5 109. 7 111. 8 112. 3 112. 6 113.0 113.4 114. 1 69. 0 73.5 79.0 88. 5 99. 0 100. 0 105. 5 110. 0 101. 5 99.4 97.4 99. 3 100. 1 99. 1 99. 5 100.4 102. 1 103.4 105. 8 106. 3 106.8 107.5 107.8 108. 3 ,Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 16 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 75. 1 79.2 84. 4 90. 0 97. 3 100. 0 106. 0 111. 1 110.6 113. 6 114.0 115. 1 114.7 115. 9 116. 0 116. 8 117. 8 118. 8 120.3 120.8 121.3 121.0 121. 5 122.5 85. 6 89. 0 91. 1 93. 9 98. 4 100.0 103. 9 107. 2 109. 7 107.0 106. 3 105.9 97.7 102. 5 107. 8 107.3 107.2 108. 5 109. 0 107. 9 108.2 107.3 106.5 108. 1 70.2 75. 1 81. 9 86.9 93. 6 100. 0 109.4 119. 5 128. 3 133. 9 134. 1 134. 0 135. 2 136. 0 135. 8 137.4 139.7 139. 7 140.2 141. 1 140.9 142.4 141.7 142.4 70.8 74.9 79. 6 86.8 96. 1 100.0 105. 8 109.0 104.5 104.7 104. 8 105.5 105.4 106. 1 106.2 106.4 107.6 108.2 109. 8 110.2 110. 1 110. 1 110.6 111.2 77. 7 82. 0 86.8 93.0 98.6 100.0 106.6 111. 1 110.3 115.7 115.9 116.7 116. 6 118.0 118.0 118.5 119. 6 119. 6 122.0 122.2 122. 1 122. 1 121.9 122.5 61. 9 65. 6 70. 1 78.7 93. 0 100.0 104. 7 106. 1 96. 3 89.4 89. 5 89. 8 89.8 89. 6 89.6 89. 5 90. 9 92.4 92.7 93.4 93.3 93.5 94.6 95.6 76. 9 81. 1 87. 3 93. 0 99.2 100. 0 105. 7 112. 0 111. 7 112. 6 110. 9 112. 3 113. 2 114. 3 114. 9 115. 9 117. 0 117.3 117.3 119.3 119. 1 119.8 119.4 119. 3 •* yr i rials 72.4 77. 0 82.6 91. 0 99. 8 100. 0 105.7 112. 4 107.7 107.4 104. 8 107.3 106. 6 106. 5 108.4 109. 2 110. 8 113. 1 115, 0 115.6 116. 1 116. 3 117. 9 na 6 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Deduction of most major durable manufactures (seasonally adjusted) rose in September with the largest increase again occurring in primary metals. The textile, apparel, and leather group led the increase in the nondurable sector. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 130 Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY. ADJUSTED) 130 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER 110 TEXTILES, APPAREL, AND LEATHER 100 1972 1969 SOURCE BOARD OF GOVERNORS Of THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Durab le manufstetures Period 1962., 1963 1964_ 1965... 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 * Primary metals _. _._ - _ 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May _ June _ _ _ _ _ Ju:v Aug * Sept p_ __ -- Nc>ndurable manufactu res FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper cated Machin- tation and apparel, and metal ery equipprodand printproducts ment leather ucts ing 7a2 84,3 95. 7 104.0 108.8 100. 0 103.2 114. 1 106. 9 100. 9 75.9 78.4 83.3 92. 6 100. 5 100. 0 106.3 113. 6 109. 4 107. 5 64.8 67.9 74.3 84. 1 98. G 100. 0 101. 9 106. 8 100. 3 96. 2 69. 3 75. 9 79. 6 91. 3 101. 2 100. 0 109. 7 107. 6 90. 4 92. 9 82. 0 85. 8 91. 0 94. 7 98. 4 100. 0 104. 8 108. 6 106. 3 113. 9 84.3 86.9 91. 9 97. 8 101. 7 100. 0 104. 9 105. 9 100. 2 100. 7 81.2 93.8 96. 1 91. 4 94. 3 108. 2 105. 9 107. 1 107. 1 107. 6 90. 7 97. 9 98. 3 97. 8 97. 9 93. 9 94. 2 94. 5 93. 4 92. 7 113. 9 114, 8 118. 2 119. 4 121. 7 100. 102. 102. 101. 103. 8 5 3 8 1 74.3 78. 4 84. 5 90. 5 98. 9 100. 0 104,2 109. 1 107. 8 107. 8 108. 1 108. 2 109. 4 110. 5 110. 7 102. 4 102. (> 105. 1 110. 2 113. 5 111. 9 113. 7 112. 1 113. 8 106. 0 108. (> 110. 1 110. 8 111. 9 112. 3 113. 2 1 1 3. 8 114. 5 98. 5 99. 5 100. 3 102. 6 103. 0 104. 8 105. 1 105. 7 106. 0 92. 0 94. 7 95. 9 100. 4 98. 9 97. 4 98. 2 98. 4 99. 2 122. 0 119. 7 119. 6 119. 9 119. 1 121.8 121. 5 123.0 102. 0 101. 1 103. 7 106. 1 104. 9 105. 9 104.4 105. 9 107.2 111. 3 112. 6 112. 6 112. 3 114. 1 115. 1 116.2 115. 0 115. 1 Chemicals, Foods petroleum, and tobacco rubber 64.5 70. 0 75.9 83.8 94. 1 100. 0 109.6 118.4 118. 2 124. 8 126.3 127.5 126. 6 127. 9 127. 9 129. 8 132.6 133. 4 136. 1 137.5 137. 1 137.6 139.4 140.6 84. 0 87. 0 90. 6 92. 6 97. 0 100. 0 103. 6 107. 5 110. 9 113. 7 113. 1 114, 2 113. 3 115. 8 115.0 115. 7 115. 9 116. 3 117. 6 117. 1 117. 6 116.4 116. 3 117.2 Source: Board of Governors ol the Federal Kesorvc System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Cars and trucks assembled increased sharply in September with the new model year underway. Production of sk also rose while most other weekly indicators of production declined. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS 1 k | » I 11 j i 11 i 1 1 1 1 i i 11 i i | 1 1 i 11 i i i J F M A M J J A S O N D BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS 40 J F M SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Period Weekly average: 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 v 1971: Aug Sept__ _ _ Oct Nov. __ Dec ___ 1972: Jan_ __ Feb Mar Apr _ __ _ May _ June July Aug.. Sept "__ _ Week ended: 1972: Sept 2 9 16 23 30 Oct 7 » 14 »_ ___ 1 Includes data for Alaska. 2 Not charted. 18 Steel p]roduced Thousands Index of net (1967= tons 100) COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Car s and triicks power coal mined loaded produced assemb led (tho\isands) distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands (millions of of short Total of tons) Cars Trucks of cars) kilowatt-hours] tons) 1 2, 521 2,572 2, 440 2, 515 2, 709 2, 522 2, 310 1, 303 1,794 1,853 1,877 1,987 2, 258 2, 411 2, 616 2, 701 2, 694 2, 559 2, 340 2, 447 2, 549 103. 3 105. 4 100. 0 103. 1 111. 0 | 103. 4 94. 7 53.4 73. 5 76. 0 76. 9 81. 5 92. 5 98. 8 107. 2 110. 7 110.4 104. 9 95. 9 100.3 104. 5 2, 524 2,496 2,496 2, 536 2,557 2,568 2, 591 103. 5 102.3 102. 3 103. 9 104. 8 105. 3 106. 2 20, 169 21, 971 23, 169 25, 244 27, 588 29, 317 30, 923 32, 786 31, 887 29, 590 30, 227 31, 218 32, 655 33, 323 31, 692 31, 372 31, 402 34, 174 35, 905 36, 374 34, 360 36, 137 32, 949 35, 170 35, 327 33, 995 2 32, 327 2 32, 417 9,848 10, 267 10, 627 10, 485 30, 779 11, 595 10, 619 12, 797 12, 356 2, 382 5,416 12, 139 11, 243 10, 875 11, 546 11, 651 11, 961 10, 878 9,428 11, 582 11, 404 562 570 540 543 543 522 486 494 503 445 441 449 456 465 494 507 515 514 459 521 524 410 446 439 479 507 489 501 516 503 528 517 475 505 539 562 552 572 561 520 567 533 213.7 199. 3 172. 9 207.6 195. 8 158. 9 204.8 145. 7 215. 1 233. 6 218. 6 171. 7 216. 3 226. 1 225. 1 249. 5 238.4 230. 7 120. 5 152. 8 225.5 179.4 165.4 142.4 170.1 158. 1 125. 9 165. 0 110. 2 172. 5 186. 8 175. 1 136. 9 169. 8 176. 5 175. 4 194. 3 185. 5 180. 9 93. 1 116. 9 180. 9 34.3 33.9 30. 5 37. 5 37. 8 33. 0 39. 8 35. 5 42. 6 46. 7 43. 5 34. 9 46. 5 49. 6 49. 7 55. 1 52. 9 49. 8 27. 4 35. 9 44. 6 11, 670 10, 085 11, 740 12, 050 11, 740 11, 170 541 460 544 545 548 547 583 432 539 581 582 573 209. 0 180. 7 229. 1 246.7 245. 6 256. 6 256. 8 168. 6 146. 6 186. 9 196. 1 194. 0 203. 9 200. 1 40. 4 34 1 42 2 50 6 51 7 52 7 56. 7 Sources: Ame rican Iron and S teel Institute, IMison Elec ;ric Institu te, Depr| merit of the Into3rior, Association of American 1-lailroads, 1American P a per In| tute, and Ward' s Automotive B eports. NEW CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) rose 1 percent in August. Private outlays for residential and nonresidential construction accounted for the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 120 i«"»«nt"""«Wi.,I,,»«"1"tt*t»"*'''ii«'t*1"""I"'f'»M%'"««M | t 1I I I I I ! I 1I I I ! I I I I I t I 20 1966 SOURCE: 1972 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total new construction expenditures COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971___ 76. 0 77.5 86. 6 93. 4 94. 0 109.4 52. 0 52. 0 59. 0 65. 4 65. 9 79. 5 1971: June July Aug Sept Oct___ _ Nov_ Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar__ _ _ Apr May___ _ June _ __ July. _ _ _ Aug"_ 108. 5 110. 2 111. 0 110. 7 114. 0 114. 6 115. 6 120. 8 121.8 122.9 120.4 122. 1 121. 1 1 20. 1 121. 7 79.7 80. 5 82. 1 81. 6 82. 4 84. 2 85. 2 88. 0 90. 0 92. 5 91. 4 1)2. 2 1 <)!>. f> 1)1. S 93. 5 Private Resid ential CommerNew Other cial and housing industrial Total l units Bi lions of dol] ars 25. 7 19.4 26 3 25. 6 19. 0 26 4 30. 6 24. 0 14. 7 13. 8 33. 2 16. 0 25. 9 16. 2 I 31. 9 16. 3 24. 3 17. 8 34. 9 17. 0 19. 4 43. 1 24. 0 25. 5 27. 6 28. 0 28. 1 29. 9 Constructic>n contracts2 CommerTotal value cial and index, industrial (1967 = floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 94. 8 100.0 113. 2 123. 7 123. 1 144. 3 753 694 779 883 743 730 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted Seasonal!'} / adjusted arinual rales adjusted annual rates 42. 9 17. 1 54. S 19. 7 28. 8 147 754 43. C) 1 7. S 19. 1 55. 7 29. 7 151 728 44. C> W. 7 19. 0 17. S 29. 0 153 658 45. C) 57. 5 1C). 4 19. 6 29. 1 154 849 40. 4 >7. 7 Hi. :19. 3 31.6 137 741 5S. 0 47. 1 17. : 19. S 30.5 824 155 >S. 7 47. <) 20. 0 17. : 30. 3 160 800 1 S. 2 49. 0 40. 4 32. 2 20. 8 165 716 42. <S 1 7. 9 r i. 9 21. 0 30. 9 155 801 IS. 0 44. 0 21. 4 r:j. i 30.4 159 800 43. C> IS. 1 f 2. 7 20. 7 28.9 167 786 IS. 1) 43. 3 21. 1 T2. 3 29.8 165 983 IS. 4 T2. <) 43. 7 21.2 154 28.6 846 f 3. 5 17. 6 44. 0 20. 8 28.3 155 813 44. 3 18. 0 21.4 f 4. 0 28. 3 180 908 Sources: Depai tinent of Com mcrce and McG raw -Hill Infornlation Systems i\nd additions a nd altcra- Includes noiihousekt epiiiK resident! il construction tions, not shown separn -oiy. J F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 S .ales beginning 1969 for value ndex and beginning 1971 for floor i pace. Federal, State, and local Company, F. W. Dodge Divisiori. *• r-v 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Although housing starts declined 4 percent in September, they were still high at a seasonally adjusted annual ratei of almost 2.4 million units. Permits for future housing increased slightly. MILLIONS OF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 3.0 TOTAL PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS 1972 1966 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND. URBAN DEVELOPMENT, AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION Total private Total and private public (includ(including ing farm) farm) Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 _ 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug* Sept" 1 _ _ 1, 195. 9 1, 321. 9 1, 545. 5 1, 499. 6 1, 469. 0 2, 084. 5 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 1, 507. 7 1, 466. 8 1, 433. 6 2, 052. 2 205. 9 175.6 181.7 176. 4 155.3 150. 9 153.6 205. 8 213. 2 227. 9 226. 2 207. 5 228. 1 200. 8 204.5 173.8 179. 7 173.7 152. 1 149. 1 152.2 203.9 211.6 225.8 223. 1 206. 5 225. 8 199. 4 „ _ _ __ _ _ [Thousands of units] Housing star ts Private Total (including\ farm) Total One unit 1, 165. 0 77& 5 1, 291. 6 843.9 1, 507. 7 899. 5 1, 466. 8 810. 6 812. 9 1, 433. 6 2, 052. 2 1, 151. 0 2,219 2,029 2,038 2,228 2,457 2,487 2,682 2,369 2, 109 2,350 2,330 2,218 2,453 2, 352 1, 198 1, 172 1, 155 1,242 1,347 1,415 1,325 1,302 1,167 1,344 1,296 1,289 1,396 1,378 Authorized by issuance of loc.nl building permit: in lo.OOO permit-issuing places beginning 1967: 12,000 for 1903-00, iiiul 10,000 prior to jt»Q. 3 Units represented by mortgage applications or appraisal requests for new home construction. 20 Propose d home constr uction New Government home pi •ograms (nonJ arm) Two or FHA VA more units 386.4 129. 1 36.8 52.5 447. 7 141. 9 608. 2 147. 7 56. 1 656. 2 153. 6 51. 2 620. 7 233. 5 6LO 901. 2 301. 2 94.0 Seasona lly ad justed annu al 1,021 325 103 857 882 985 1, 110 1,071 1,357 1,067 942 1,006 1,034 929 1,057 974 294 299 293 383 378 287 262 219 189 177 173 179 98 98 105 104 116 118 125 104 98 98 106 103 106 private housing units authorized 1 971.9 1, 141. 0 1, 353. 4 1, 323. 7 1, 351. 5 1, 924. 6 rates 2, 046 1, 987 2,027 2, 092 2, 191 2,204 2,056 2,007 1,991 1,955 2, 121 2, 108 2,237 2,252 Applica- Requests tions for forVA FHA commit- appraisals 2 ments - 153. 0 167.2 168.9 187. 6 315. 0 366. 8 359 343 351 291 450 333 326 260 221 217 217 223 206 99.2 124.3 131.7 i.sa2 143. 7 217. 9 218 253 231 207 228 232 224 207 248 197 219 203 199 193 Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Housing and Urban Development, and Veterans Administration. BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES Jn August, business sales rose 2 percent (seasonally adjusted) while inventories increased by $1 billion. According to advance reports, retail sales declined in September. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS- (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) 25 (-DURABLE GOODS STORES 20 INVENTORIES 15 *-"*• 10 A SALES 5 30' NONDURABLE GOODS STORES INVENTORIES 25 40 20 SALES 20 15 1969 1970 1969 1972 1971 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total fc msiness * Period Sales 2 Wholesale Inventories 3 Sales 2 111, 457 120, 900 136, 729 145, 108 155, 336 166, 694 174, 871 181, 055 178, 775 179, 374 180, 071 180, 464 180, 313 181, 055 181, 387 181, 988 182, 514 183, 215 184, 458 184, 905 185, 306 186, 321 14, 527 15, 595 16, 979 17, 099 18, 329 19, 726 20, 554 22, 280 22, 621 22, 605 22, 549 22, 284 22, 739 22, 994 24, 351 23, 533 23, 884 24, 170 24, 260 24, 230 24, 394 25, 160 Inventories z IMillions of 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: July Aug Sept Oct Nov__ Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav__ _ June July » Aug * Sept *__ __. 73, 685 80, 276 87, 178 89, 698 97, 100 103, 104 104, 407 111, 931 111, 791 - _ _ 113, 910 113, 450 113, 191 115, 757 115, 630 118, 426 118, 077 120, 669 121, 676 122, 793 122, 263 123, 605 126, 189 1 The term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 22). 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. *Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 1972 16, 977 18, 274 20, 691 21, 557 22, 528 24, 363 26, 604 28, 916 27, 866 27, 795 27, 814 27, 928 28, 237 28, 916 29, 049 29, 181 29, 174 29, 574 29, 729 29, 641 30, 056 30, 257 Sales 2 R(itail NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores dollars, seasonally £idjusted 21, 823 7,049 14, 773 23, 677 7,849 15, 828 25, 330 8, 192 17, 138 26, 151 8,348 17, 803 28, 490 9,268 19, 222 29, 824 9, 626 20, 197 31, 294 9, 524 21, 770 34, 071 10, 985 23, 086 33, 688 10, 747 22, 941 34, 655 11, 298 23, 357 35, 219 11, 833 23, 386 34, 964 11, 695 23, 269 35, 574 11,885 23, 689 34, 896 11, 334 23, 562 34, 886 11, 475 23, 411 35, 345 11, 457 23, 888 36, 450 12, 087 24, 363 36, 287 11, 965 24, 322 37, 120 12, 272 24, 848 36, 802 12, 246 24, 556 37, 342 12, 468 24, 874 37, 843 12, 800 25, 043 37, 297 12, 326 24, 971 Total Inventories Total Durable goods stores 31, 094 34,405 38, 073 38, 952 41, 973 45, 376 46, 555 50, 474 49, 592 50, 299 50, 844 50, 800 50, 377 50, 474 50, 542 50, 646 50, 890 51, 213 51, 907 51, 759 51, 362 51, 495 13, 318 15, 253 17, 258 17, 277 19, 167 20, 647 20, 490 23, 124 22, 707 23, 313 23, 769 23, 652 23, 306 23, 124 22, 930 22, 958 23, 025 23, 195 23, 510 23, 262 22, 699 22, 512 3 Nondurable goods stores 17, 776 19, 152 20, 815 21, 675 22, 806 24, 729 26, 065 27, 350 26, 885 26, 986 27, 075 27, 148 27, 071 27, 350 27, 612 27, 688 27, 865 28, 018 28, 397 28, 497 28, 663 28, 983 Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Shipments, inventories, and new orders of manufacturers (seasonally adjusted) all showed sizable increases in August. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 110 MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES BILLIONS OF DOLLARS {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 70 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS TOTAL 100 90 50 40 80 DURABLE GOODS ^ I \ 30 DURABLE GOODS- 70 20 \ r 60 - NONDURABLE GOODS - IF50 MANUFACTlJRERS' NEW (3RDERS DURABLE GOODS 7 30 r^^ „„,.«.«.,.•<•««• 30 ~^ 20 NO NDURABLE GOOC)S t i i t i! i i i i i A \ \ I! I 1 1 1 1 1 t 1969 . . . . . 1971 1970 NONDURABLE GOODS 40 1 I . 1 . 1972 IK " -20 . 1970 1969 1971 SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total t I I l i t t .1 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Ma nufacture rs' new orders l Manufad burers' shi pments * Manufacl ,urers' inv entories 2 Period t NonDurable durable goods goods Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total Durafc le goods NonCapital durable goods Total industries, goods nondefense Manufacturers' mventoryshipments3 ratio Millions of dollars seasonal] y ad juste d 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: July Aug__ _ _ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug * 37, 335 41, 003 44, 869 46, 449 50, 282 53, 555 52, 560 55, 580 55, 482 56, 650 55, 682 55, 943 57, 444 57, 740 59, 189 59, 199 60, 335 61, 219 61, 413 61, 231 61, 869 63, 186 19, 634 22, 216 24, 633 25, 212 27, 694 29, 459 28, 061 29, 886 29, 798 30, 835 29, 799 30, 033 30, 792 30, 913 31, 965 32, 041 32, 683 33, 581 33, 705 33, 129 34, 059 34, 835 17, 701 63, 386 18, 788 68, 221 20, 236 77, 965 21, 236 84, 599 22, 588 90, 835 24, 096 96, 955 24, 499 101, 712 25, 694 101, 665 25, 684 101, 317 25, 815 101, 280 25, 883 101, 413 25, 910 101, 736 26, 652 101, 699 26, 827 101, 665 27, 224 101, 796 27, 158 102, 161 27, 652 102, 450 27, 638 102, 428 27, 708 102, 822 28, 102 103, 505 27, 810 103, 888 28, 351 104, 569 1 Monthly average lor year and total for month. 2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 38, 436 42, 227 49, 818 54, 893 59, 053 63, 254 66, 829 65, 874 66, 178 66, 093 66, 117 66, 025 05, 877 65, 874 24, 950 25, 994 28, 147 29, 706 31, 782 33, 701 34, 883 35, 791 35, 139 35, 187 35, 296 35, 711 35, 822 35, 791 37, 952 41, 803 45, 944 46, 763 50, 267 53, 645 51, 663 55, 473 20, 22, 25, 25, 27, 29, 27, 29, 258 986 720 526 690 548 162 768 6,971 7,694 6,822 7,398 55, 57, 55, 56, 57, 57, 66, 187 66, 422 66, 604 66, 575 67, 035 67, 427 67, 645 68, 127 35, 609 35, 739 35, 846 35, 853 35, 787 36, 078 36, 243 36, 442 59, 871 59, 792 61, 097 61, 685 62, 012 63, 734 62, 504 64, 300 29, 486 31, 335 29, 653 30, 321 31, 294 31, 001 32, 554 32, 466 33, 328 34, 005 34, 302 35, 613 34, 664 35, 900 7,213 7,492 7,471 7,859 7,932 8, 131 8, 166 8, 196 8, 528 8,785 9,036 9,228 9, 100 9,130 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. 22 190 122 489 290 992 883 Source: Department of Commerce. 17, 694 18, 817 20, 224 21, 238 22, 577 24, 097 24, 500 25, 705 25, 704 25, 787 25, 836 25, 969 26, 698 26, 882 27, 317 27, 326 27, 769 27, 680 27, 710 28, 121 27, 840 28, 400 1.64 1.60 1.62 1.76 1.74 1.76 1.90 1. 83 1.83 1.79 1. 82 1. 82 1.77 1. 76 1. 72 1.73 1. 70 1. 67 1. 07 1. 69 1. 68 1.65 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS "he trade balance on a seasonally adjusted basis improved by $79 million in August, leaving a deficit of $463 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.0 3.0 2.5 25 2.0 2.0 1966 I/ SEE NOTE BELOW. SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS I Millions of dollars J Merch andise irnports fclerchandi se export s Gen<sral impc>rts 3 Total (includDomesti<3 exports 2 ing ree~sports) * Food, Crude Food, Crude Total bever- matebever- mate- Manuages, rials Season- Unad- Total * 2 ages, Seasonrials facally ad- Unad- and to- and tured ally ad- justed and to- and justed justed bacco fuels justed goods bacco fuels Monthly average: 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1,869 2, 153 2,229 2,458 2,586 2, 839 3, 111 3, 555 3,629 1,845 2, 123 2, 201 2,421 2, 554 2, 802 3, 066 3, 502 3, 576 3,493 1971: July 3, 678 Aug Sept 4,505 Oct 2, 708 Nov 3, 160 3,858 Dec I <3?0 / Jf, && I 1972: Jan 3,806 Feb 3,891 Mar Apr 3, 760 3,914 May June__ __ 3, 905 4,019 July Aug _ _ _ 4,202 3,338 3,366 4,220 2,826 3,221 4,056 3,815 3,780 4, 310 3,887 4, 143 4, 015 3, 660 3,946 3,293 3, 319 4, 166 2, 774 3, 177 3,999 3, 766 3, 723 4,250 3,812 4, 074 3,942 3, 602 3,874 349 386 377 432 392 383 370 422 423 315 361 356 367 394 405 417 558 537 1, 191 1, 377 1, 453 1, 602 1,737 1, 985 2,232 2, 445 2,537 468 515 586 394 471 644 567 527 611 567 565 557 510 547 2, 362 2,353 2,934 2,026 2,247 2,738 2, 601 2, 632 3, 119 2,754 2,917 2,762 2,543 2,715 1,428 1, 562 1,786 2, 135 2,241 2, 769 3,004 3, 329 3,797 Total excludes Department oi Defense shipments of grant-aid military supes and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 3 396 419 453 476 447 503 533 545 606 672 759 937 1,204 1,313 1, 719 1, 918 2, 159 2,534 441 590 444 323 345 70 107 226 -168 2,367 2, 462 2, 760 2, 414 2,454 2,822 2, 820 2, 763 3,401 2, 918 3, 254 3, 306 2, 928 3,232 —300 — 251 268 -815 -218 — 270 — 319 — 598 -584 -699 — 552 — 590 — 542 — 463 Unad justed U nad juste 1 385 384 568 294 395 536 506 485 426 396 508 528 496 541 322 335 334 382 392 447 442 519 534 Grossmerchandise trade Manu- surplus, seasonfactured ally adjusted goods 3, 793 3,928 4, 237 3, 523 3,379 4,128 4,540 4,403 4,475 4,460 4, 466 4,495 4, 561 4,664 3,693 3,838 4,246 3,463 3, 522 4,279 4,280 4, 177 4,844 4,248 4, 722 4,767 4, 314 4,727 565 616 714 352 353 606 631 626 554 544 604 614 548 632 629 640 659 571 598 710 702 673 756 659 731 715 712 728 NOTE.—Data adjusted to include silver ore and bullion reported separately prior to 1969. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. BALANCES ON GOODS, SERVICES, AND TRANSFERS Preliminary data show a second quarter deficit for merchandise trade of $7.7 billion, at a seasonally adjusted annua rate, compared to a deficit in the first quarter of $6.7 billion. This $1 billion deterioration in the merchandise trade balance was reflected in the current account balance, which showed a deficit of $9.8 billion in the second quarter compared to a deficit of $8.7 billion in the first. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1966 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] M erchandis<3 1 2 Period Exports 1966 1967 1968_ 1969 1970 1971 Imports Net balance 29, 287 -25,463 3,824 30, 638 -26,821 3,817 33, 576 -32, 964 612 36, 417 -35,796 621 41, 963 -39,799 2,164 42, 770 -45, 459-2,689 Netiiavestmentincome Militiiry transactions Direct expenditures Sales Net balance Private 3 -3,764 -4, 378 -4,535 -4, 856 -4, 852 -4, 817 829 1,240 1,392 1,512 1,479 1,923 -2,935 -3, 138 -3, 143 -3,344 -3,374 -2, 894 5,331 5,847 6,157 5,820 6,376 8,952 U.S. Government Remittances, Balpenance on sions, curand other rent uniaclateral count transfers 1 5, 170 — 2,890 2,280 5,136 — 3,081 2,055 —484 2,425 — 2,909 1, 911 -2, 946 -1,035 3,563 -3, 208 356 727 -3, 575 -2,847 Net Baltravel Other ance and on trans- servporta- ices, goods and tion net servexpendices 1 4 itures 44 -1,380 40 -1,763 63 -1,565 155 -1,784 -115 -2, 061 —957 —2, 432 286 334 302 442 574 748 Se asonally a d justed annual r ates 44, 068 1971: I II 42, 840 III___ 45, 916 IV. __ 38, 256 1972: I 47, 236 II *___ 45, 852 1 Excludes 2 -42, 912 1, 156 -4, 700 2,040 -46, 888-4, 048-4, 856 2,064 -47,804 -1,888 -4, 792 1,896 -44, 232 -5, 976-4, 920 1,692 -53, 928 -6,692 -4, 872 1,336 -53, 568 -7, 716 -4,928 1,288 -2, 660 -2, 792 -2,896 -3, 228 -3,536 -3,640 military grants. Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage. "Includes fees and royalties from U.S. direct Investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States. 24 7,596 9,408 8,152 10, 652 8,928 8,960 -404 -1,992 -644 -2, 500 -1,308 -2, 424 -1,472 -2, 812 -1,480 -2, 716 — 1,720 -2,848 848 4,544 -3, 164 720 144 — 3, 384 728 364 -3,784 688 -2, 148 — 3, 968 800 -4, 696-3,960 776 -6, 188 — 3,580 1,380 -3, 240 -3,420 -6, 116 -8,656 -9,768 * Equal to net exports of goods and services in the national Income and product accounts of the United States, Source: Department of Commerce. U.S. OVERALL BALANCES ON INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS The balance of payments showed a significant improvement in the second quarter over the first quarter 1972. Preliminary estimates show a decline in the official reserve transactions deficit from $13.0 billion to $3.5 billion and a decline in the net liquidity deficit from $12.4 billion to $9.6 billion, at seasonally adjusted annual rates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 20 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 10 10 BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT AND LONG-TERM CAPITAL OFFICIAL RESERVE TRANSACTIONS BALANCE -10 -20 -20 -30 -30 -40 -40 -50 -50 -60 -60 1966 1972 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Period 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 Long-ter m capital Balance Nonflows, net liquid current shortterm account private U.S. 2 and longGovernPrivate capital ment 1 capital flows net 2 _. - 1, 469 -2,555 -1,744 Allo- of special draw- Errors and omissions, net ing Net liquidity balance Liquid private capital flows, net 2 Official reserve transactions balance rights -104 -2,424 -2,912 -3,280 -522 -2, 159 1, 198 -1,444 230 -50 -3, Oil -640 - 1, 926 -2,018 -1,398 -3,059 -482 -2,378 -4, 149 -9,374 -2,420 -302 -881 -399 -2, 151 2, 370 219 -4,683 1,265 -3,418 -1,610 3, 251 1, 641 -2,470 -6, 122 8,824 2,702 867 - 1, 174 -3,851 -5,988 -9,839 717 -10,927 -22,002 -7, 763 -29,765 Changes in lia- Changes bilities in U.S. official to foreign reserve official assets, agencies, net 4 net 3 — 787 3,366 — 761 1,515 7,362 27, 417 568 52 -880 1, 187 2,477 2,348 -2,808 -3, 688 -5, 116 -2, 136 -2, 336 -6, 420-11,996 -1 260 III... -2, 232 -7,532 - 13, 184-3 532 II IV 1972: I -2, 132 1,040 -7, 208-2 752 2 152 1 648 -1,372 -4, 308 -14, 336 -536 2,636 -7,668 II*.... 1 2 Excludes 720 716 716 716 712 712 -3, 776 — 10, 308 -11,392 -21,700 — 10, .'M4 -21, 520 -8, 072 3, 400 — 4, 308 liabilities to foreign official reserve agencies. Private foreigners exclude the IMF, but include other International and regional organizations. * Includes liabilities to foreign official agencies reported by U.S. Government and U.S. banks and U.S. liabilities to the IMF arising from reversible gold sales to,4 and gold deposits with, the United States. Official reserve assets include gold, special drawing rights, convertible curirencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. • Includes gain of $67 million resulting from revaluation of the German mark In October 1909. — 22, 884 -2, 980 -25,864 — 37, 520 - 10, 204-47,724 -17,310 -6,476 -23,792 -12, 376 -648 -13,024 6, 164 -3,452 -9,616 14, 882 14, 830 15, 710 5 16, 964 14, 487 6 12, 167 Unadjusted Scjasonally adjusted annual ra tes 1971:1 U.S. official reserve assets, net (end of period) 18. 972 23, 228 42, 948 24, 540 11, 308 4,376 2,728 2,636 4,776 -748 1,716 — 924 14, 342 13, 504 12, 131 6 12, 167 12, 270 7 13, 339 8 Includas $28 million increase in dollar value of foreign currencies revalued to reflect market exchange rates as of Dec. 31,1971. 7 On Juno 30, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $10,490 million, special drawing rights, $1,958 million; convertible currencies, $457 million; gold tranche position, $434 million. Includes increase of $1,016 million resulting from change in par value of the U.S. dollar on May 8. Sources: Department of Commerce and Treasury Department. 25 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index rose 0.4 percent in September/ after seasonal adjustment the rise was 0.5 percent. Food prices were up 0.2 percent (0.6 percent adjusted). Nonfood commodities were up 0.7 percent (0.4 adjusted). Service prices increased 0.2 percent in September. Index, 1967=100 14C Index, 1967=100 140 100 90 1972 1966 SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF UBOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967 = 100] Services Commoditiei3 All items Period 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Source: Department of Labor. 26 _._ . . _ 90.6 91.7 92. 9 94.5 97.2 100. 0 104.2 109. 8 116. 3 121. 3 122. 1 122, 2 122.4 122. 6 123. 1 123. 2 123. 8 124.0 124.3 124.7 125. 0 125. 5 125. 7 126. 2 All commodities 92. 8 93.6 94.6 95.7 98. 2 100. 0 103. 7 ioa 4 113. 5 117. 4 na 2 118. 1 118.4 118. 5 118. 9 118. 7 119. 4 119. 7 119. 9 120.3 120. 7 121. 2 121. 4 122. 0 Comm odities les s food Food 89.9 91. 2 92.4 94. 4 99. 1 100. 0 103. 6 108. 9 114. 9 118. 4 120. 0 119. 1 118. 9 119. 0 120. 3 120. 3 122. 2 122. 4 122.4 122. 3 123. 0 124. 2 124. 6 124.8 All 94. 1 94. 8 95. 6 96. 2 97.5 100. 0 103. 7 108. 1 112. 5 116. 8 117. 1 117. 4 118.0 118. 1 118. 1 117.7 117. 8 118.2 118. 5 119.2 119.4 119.4 119.5 120.3 All NonDurable durable services 97. 6 86.8 91.8 88.5 97. 9 92.7 90. 2 93. 5 98. 8 92.2 94. 8 98. 4 97.0 95. 8 98.5 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 104. 1 105. 2 103. 1 112. 5 107.0 108.8 111. 8 113. 1 121. 6 128.4 117. 0 116. 5 116. 9 129. 3 117. 2 116. 4 129. 8 118.2 117. 1 118.7 129. 9 117. 4 118. 7 130. 3 117. 2 118. 8 130.7 117. 3 131. 5 118. 1 117. 1 118.4 131. 8 117. 3 132. 1 118. 9 132.4 117.7 119. 1 118.4 119.7 132.7 119. 2 119.5 133. 1 119. 6 119.3 133. 5 119.4 119.7 133. 8 120. 8 134. 1 119.8 Rent 94. 0 95. 0 95. 9 96.9 98. 2 100. 0 102. 4 105. 7 110. 1 115. 2 115. 8 116. 1 116. 4 116. 6 116. 9 117. 5 117.8 118.0 118. 4 118. 6 119. 0 119.2 119.6 119.9 Services less rent 85. 5 87. 3 89.2 91.5 95.3 100. 0 105.7 113. 8 123.7 130.8 131.8 132. 3 132.4 132.8 133. 3 134. 1 134. 4 134. 6 135.0 135. 3 135. 7 136. 1 136.4 136.7 WHOLESALE PRICES The wholesale price index increased 0.3 percent in September both before and after seasonal adjustment. Industrial commodities rose 0.2 percent both unadjusted and adjusted. Farm products and processed foods and feeds were up 0.6 percent (0.8 percent adjusted) for the month and stood 10.2 percent above September 1971. Index, 1967=100 130 Index, 1967=100 130 105 100 95 95 90 90 1966 SOURCE* DEPARTMENT Of IABOS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967=100] All commodities Period 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr. _ May _ June_ . July Au<* Sept _ __ _ _ 1 f>. 4 IG. 3 1 7. 3 _ ______ __ _ 948 94. 5 94. 7 96. 6 99. 8 100. 0 102. 5 106. 5 110. 4 113. 9 114. 9 114. f> J 14. 4 14. 5 17. 4 17. f. _ IS. 2 1 S. S 19. 7 19. !) 120. '2 Farm products 98.0 96. 0 94. 6 98. 7 105. 9 100. 0 102. 5 109. 1 1 1 1.. 0 1 1 2. 9 113. 2 110. 5 1 1. 3 1 1 2. 2 1 5. S 17. S 20. 7 19. 7 19. 1 22. 2 24. 0 2S. 0 2S. 2 128. 6 Processed foods and feeds 91. 9 92. 5 92. 3 95. 5 101. 2 100. 0 102. 2 107. 3 112. 0 114. 3 115. 4 1 1 4. G 1 14. 1 1 14. 4 1 1 5. 9 1 1 7. 2 1 1 S. 8 1 IS. C) 1 17. 7 I 1 S. (i 119. f> 121. 5 121. 0 121. 8 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this Index. 3 Excludes crude foodstuffs and foodstuffs, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and leaf tobacco. IEidustrial c ommoditi es All industrials1 94.8 94. 7 95.2 96. 4 98. 5 100. 0 102. 5 106. 0 110. 0 114. 0 115. 1 1 1 5. 0 1 5. 0 1 4. 9 15. 3 15. 9 1 0. 5 1 (>. 8 1 1 7. 3 1 1 7. (i 117. 9 118. 1 i 1 s. r> 118. 7 Crude mate-2 rials 95. 6 94. 3 97. 1 100. 9 104. 5 100. 0 102. 0 110. G 118. 8 122. 7 122. 3 1 23. 0 122. 9 1 22. 0 1 23. 4 1 25. 6 127. 0 129. 1 129. 3 129. 9 129. 8 130. 2 1 32. 3 132. G Inter- Producmediate er finmateished rials3 goods 95. 3 95. 0 95. 6 96.9 98. 9 100. 0 102. G 106. 2 110. 0 114. 3 115. 9 115. 9 1 1 5. 7 115. 6 115. 8 116. 4 117. 2 117. 6 118. 2 1 1 S. 6 119. 0 119. 2 119. 5 119. 8 92. 2 92. 4 93. 3 94. 4 96. 8 100. 0 103. 5 106. 9 111. 9 116. 6 117. 1 116. 9 117. 1 117. 0 117. 8 118. 4 118. 8 119. 0 119. 3 119. 4 119.6 119.7 119. 8 119. 9 Consuiiaer finished gcx>ds exeludingl foods Durable 98. 3 97. 8 98. 2 97. 9 98. 5 100. 0 102. 2 104. 0 107. 1 110. 9 111. 1 110. 4 111. 3 111. 3 112. 6 112. 9 113. 2 113. 1 113. 2 113. 1 113.2 113. 5 113. 6 113. 7 Non- durable 94.8 95. 1 94. 8 95. 9 97. 8 100. 0 102.2 105. 0 108. 2 111. 3 111. 8 111.9 111. 7 111.7 111. 8 112.0 112. 1 112. 4 112.7 113. 1 113.5 113. 8 114. 2 114.5 3 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS In the month ended September 15, prices received by farmers were unchanged while prices paid rose 1 percent. The actual parity ratio was unchanged and the adjusted ratio declined 1 point. Index, 1967=100 130 Index, 1967=100 130 90 80 I f > i i t I i t t ' RATIO y 90 190 PARITY RATIO (ACTUAL) 80 80 70 70 60 60 1966 1967 1970 1969 1968 1971 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14-100 BASE. SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Prices received by farmers Period 1962 1963. 1964 1965 1966__ 1967.. 1968_ 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug 15 Sept 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 1972: Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15_ June 15 July 15. Aug 15 Sept 15 _. _ All farm products 96 96 93 98 105 100 103 108 110 112 113 111 114 115 116 119 122 120 119 123 125 127 128 128 Crops 103 106 106 103 105 100 101 97 100 107 107 104 106 109 108 111 110 108 112 115 116 116 119 117 92 89 85 94 105 100 104 117 118 116 117 117 118 119 122 126 131 129 125 129 131 136 135 137 » Percentage ratio of index of prices received by fanners to Index of prices paid, Interest, taxes, and wape rates on lfllp-]4«* 100 base. 2 The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to farmers. 28 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Parity ratio j Prices paid by farmers Livestock All items, interest, and taxes, and products wage rates Index, 1967=100 90 91 92 94 98 100 104 109 114 120 120 121 121 121 122 123 124 124 125 125 126 127 127 128 1972 Family living items Production items 91 92 93 95 98 100 104 109 114 119 120 120 120 120 121 121 123 123 123 124 124 125 125 126 Source: Department of Agriculture. 94 95 94 96 99 100 102 106 110 115 116 116 116 117 117 118 118 119 120 120 121 122 122 124 Actual 80 78 76 77 80 74 73 74 72 70 69 68 70 70 71 72 73 72 71 73 73 75 75 75 Adjusted3 83 81 80 82 86 79 79 80 77 74 74 72 74 74 75 78 79 77 76 79 79 80 81 80 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK In September the seasonally adjusted money stock rose at a 6.2 percent annual rate, up from a revised 5.7 percent rate in August. Since December the stock of money has increased at an 8.0 percent rate. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 300 300 250 250 TIME AND SAVINGS / DEPOSITS / 200 200 150 150 1966 1972 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FfDERAl RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1966: 1967: 1968: 1969: 1970: 1971: 1971: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Aug Sept__ _ Oct___ Nov__ __ Dec _ 1972: Jan Feb Mar _ . _ _ _ __ Apr Mav June _ _ _ _ _ Julv Aug " __ _ Sept * __ _ _ __ _ _ _ ___ [Averages of daily figures, billions of JS [oney sto<3k Time Curand Derency mand savings outTotal dede- 1 side posits * banks posits Seasonallyr adjusted 171.7 133.4 38. 3 158.1 183. 1 40.4 142. 7 183.4 197.4 43.4 154. 0 204.2 203.7 46. 0 157. 7 194. 1 49.0 165. 8 228. 9 214.8 52. 5 228. 2 175. 7 269. 9 176. 3 51.7 228.0 257. 3 175. 7 227.6 51. 9 259. 6 52. 2 175. 5 227. 7 263. 3 52. 2 175. 5 227. 7 265. 3 269. 9 228. 2 175. 7 52.5 274 4 52. 8 176. 0 228. 8 178.0 278. 1 231. 2 53. 2 279. 9 179. 9 53. 7 233. 5 282. 8 180. 9 54. 0 235. 0 287.0 181. 1 54. 4 235. 5 290. 9 181. 9 54. 7 236.6 293.7 184. 5 54. 9 239.4 297. 1 185.5 240. 5 55. 0 186.2 300.5 241.7 55.5 1 Deposits at commercial banks. NOTE.—Effective June 9,1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal >ans (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from time deposits and from loans at all xonmereial banks. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS dollars] Aloney sto ek Total Currency outside banks U.S. 1 Govand 1 ernsavings ment de- l demand posits deposits * Time De- mand deposits1 1CJnadjuste d 176.9 188. 6 203.4 209. 8 221. 2 235. 1 224.9 226. 2 227. 5 229. 6 235. 1 235. 3 229.0 231. 3 236. 1 231. 3 234.7 237.9 237. 2 240. 1 39. 1 41.2 44. 3 46.9 50. 0 53. 5 51. 9 51. 9 52. 2 52. 8 53. 5 52.6 52.6 53. 2 53.6 54. 0 54. 6 55. 3 55. 3 55. 4 137.8 147.4 159. 1 162. 9 171.3 181. 5 173.0 174. 3 175. 3 176. 9 181. 5 182. 7 176.4 178. 1 182.6 177.3 180.1 182.6 182. 0 184.7 156.9 182. 1 203.2 193.2 228.1 269. 0 258; 1 260. 3 264. 1 265.5 269. 0 273. 7 277.3 280. 8 283. 1 286.9 290.0 292.7 298. 1 301. 3 3.4 5. 0 5. 0 5.6 7.3 6.7 6.8 7.5 5. 3 3. 9 6.7 7.2 7. 2 7.7 7.6 10.4 6.8 7.2 5. 3 5.8 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOLDINGS - NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS Seasonally adjusted liquid asset holdings of private nonfinancial investors grew at a 12.4 percent annual rate i September, compared with an 11.6 percent rise in August. The rise was spread among all components. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 400 30Q 1966 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Curr<3ncy and deposits Period 1965: Dec 1966: Dec 1967: Dec 1968: Dec 1969: Dec 1970: Dec 1971: Dec 1971: Aug. Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug » Sept ".__ Total liquid assets 557.7 588. 2 637. 5 694. 6 719. 7 770.6 850. 5 827.6 831.6 838.3 842.8 850.5 858.2 867. 8 876. 6 886.0 894. 2 904. 0 913.9 922.3 931. 3 Time d eposits Total 447.4 469. 6 516. 0 559.6 576. 2 623.6 709.8 688.7 692. 6 698.1 703.0 709. 8 719.7 729.6 738. 3 745.2 751.0 758.0 766.6 773.5 780.3 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 30 Currency 36.3 38.3 40.4 43. 4 46.0 49.0 52.5 51.7 51. 9 52. 2 52. 2 52. 5 52. 8 53. 2 53. 7 54.0 54.4 54. 7 54. 9 55.0 55.5 Demand deposits 115.5 117.3 125.2 135. 2 138. 1 144.7 153. 4 154. 1 153. 5 153.3 153.0 153.4 153. 8 155.6 157.4 158.4 158.2 isas 160.8 161.8 162.5 Commercial banks 125.2 136. 8 156. 2 174,2 177.0 198. 8 232. 2 222. 4 224.0 226. 5 228. 9 232.2 237. 2 240.2 242. 3 243.7 246.2 249.2 251.0 253.0 255.4 U.S. G overnment se curities Nonbank Savings thrift institubonds tions 170.4 177.3 194.2 206.8 215. 2 231.1 271.7 260. 5 263. 1 266. 1 268. 9 271.7 275. 8 280.5 284, 9 289. 1 292.2 295.6 299.8 303.6 306. 9 49. 5 50. 1 51.0 51.4 51. 1 51.3 53.7 52.9 53. 1 53. 3 53. 5 53. 7 53. 9 54. 2 54.5 54.8 55. 1 55.3 55. 6 55. 9 56. 1 Other 38. 2 43.3 39. 5 46. 8 62. 5 53.0 39.2 43.0 41. 7 41. 0 40.6 39.2 36. 6 35.9 36.0 36. 5 37. 1 38.5 38.2 37. 9 38. 2 Negotiable certificates of deposit 15.5 15.0 19.5 22. 7 9. 1 23. 2 30.2 27. 5 28. 1 29. 2 28. 9 30. 2 29.9 30. 5 30.2 31. 6 33.2 34.0 35.0 36. 3 37.2 Commercial paper 7.1 10. 2 11.5 14.2 20. 8 19. 5 17.7 15.6 16. 1 16.7 16. 8 17.7 18. 1 17.7 17.7 17.9 17.9 18.1 18.5 18. 7 19.5 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Seasonally adjusted commercial bank loans and investments grew at a 13.2 percent annual rate in September, and nave expanded at a 13.8 percent annual rate since December. Net borrowed reserves doubled to $369 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 300 200 ——' .200 100 100 INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 1966 1972 SOURCE:' BOARD.OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Bank Weekly debits reporting large com- outside mercial New York Total Loans, Investinents City (232 banks End of period loans excluding centers) , and seasonally interU.S. GovOther Commercial investbank securi- and indus- adjusted ernment ments annuall securities ties trial loans rates Billions of dollars 3 3 316. 1 3 213. 9 53. 5 1966 48. 7 60.7 3,440 352. 0 231. 3 59.3 1967 61.4 3, 765 65. 8 258.2 390. 6 61. 0 71.4 4,360 1968 73.1 <402. 1 « 279. 4 5,150 1969. «71. 2 «5L 5 81. 5 435.9 5 292.0 1970. 5,717 58. 0 85. 9 81.7 60. 7 5 104. 5 83. 8 1971 485. 7 320. 6 6,443 472.4 313. 0 99. 5 6, 632 59. 9 83.4 1971: Sept... 6,466 477. 2 317. 0 101. 1 Oct 83. 0 59. 1 102. 2 82. 6 6,997 479. 8 318. 7 58. 8 Nov 104. 5 60. 7 6, 860 320. 6 83. 8 Dec__ 485. 7 106. 0 81.7 491. 4 59. 7 325. 7 1972: Jan— _ 6,844 82.4 61. 0 107. 1 328. 5 7, 014 496. 6 Feb 62. 3 108. 9 83.8 505.0 333.8 Mar 7, 154 7,368 335.9 62.6 108. 9 84.8 507.4 Apr 63. 1 516. 1 341. 9 111. 1 84. 8 May 7,461 6 343. 7 63. 2 110. 6 85. 2 7,501 517. 5 June 348.4 521. 9 62. 3 85.4 7,367 111.2 July v» 112. 3 356. 2 529. 8 85. 2 Aug 61. 4 62. 0 113. 3 360. 0 Sept » 535. 3 86.6 Aill membe r banks 2 All eomjjaercial bank s (s easonally adjusted d£ita) 1 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. 2 Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. 8 Effective June 1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from loans at all commercial banks, and certain certificates of CCC and Export-Import Bank totaling about $1 billion are included other securities rather than in loans. Total reserves Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks VlillioDs o : dollars 23, 830 25, 260 27, 221 28, 031 29, 265 31, 329 30, 802 30, 860 30, 953 31, 329 32, 865 31, 922 31, 921 32, 565 32, 812 32, 539 33, 021 33, 148 32, 984 392 345 455 257 272 165 206 207 263 165 173 124 233 136 104 204 147 255 146 557 238 765 1,086 321 107 501 360 407 107 20 33 99 109 119 94 202 438 515 — 165 107 -310 -829 — 49 58 -295 — 153 — 144 58 153 91 134 27 — 15 110 -55 -183 -369 * Beginning June 1969, data include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries; earlier data include commercial banks only. 8 As of June 1971, Farmers Home Administration notes totaling about $0.7 billion are classified as other securities rather than as loans. 6 Excludes $0.4 billion due to loan ^classification at a large bank. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Consumer credit (seasonally unadjusted) Increased by $2.1 billion in August, compared with a $1.4 billion gain year earlier. Seasonally adjusted consumer instalment credit rose by $1.4 billion in August. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 140 TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING 120 100 80 80 NONINSTALMENT CREDIT 1 20 < ) i t i I i i t t IN! 1 1 I t I II 12 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCAIQ .INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED \ 10 8 ;- •8^*^55—- "—"•—' 6 "INSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID" 41967 1966 1969 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1972 1971 1970 [Millions of dollars] Consu mer credit outs tan ding (end of period; Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended iinadjusted) and r epaid (seasonally adjiisted) [nstalment Total Automob ile paper — _—_ NonTotal Total * bile Personal instal-l Extended Repaid Extended Repaid ment paper loans 1963 1964 1965 1966__ 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 71, 739 80, 268 90, 314 97, 543 102, 132 113, 191 122, 469 126, 802 137, 237 55, 486 62, 692 71, 324 77, 539 80, 926 89, 890 98, 169 101, 161 109, 545 22, 254 24, 934 28, 619 30, 556 30, 724 34, 130 36, 602 35, 490 38, 310 15, 618 17, 848 20, 412 22, 187 24, 018 26, 936 29, 918 31, 612 34, 432 16, 253 17, 576 18, 990 20, 004 21, 206 23, 301 24, 300 25, 641 27, 692 63, 591 70, 670 78, 586 82, 335 84, 693 97, 053 102, 888 104, 130 117, 638 56, 825 63, 470 69, 957 76, 120 81, 306 88, 089 94, 609 101, 138 109,254 22, 126 24, 046 27, 227 27, 341 26, 667 31, 424 32, 354 29, 831 34, 638 19, 254 21, 369 23, 543 25, 404 26, 499 28, 018 29, 882 30, 943 31, 818 1971: July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 128, 129, 130, 131, 133, 137, 354 704 644 606 263 237 102, 104, 104, 105, 107, 109, 848 060 973 763 097 545 36, 763 37, 154 37, 383 37, 759 38, 164 38, 310 32, 680 33, 134 33, 420 33, 575 33, 977 34, 432 25, 506 25, 644 25, 671 25, 843 26, 166 27, 692 9, G75 10, 049 10, 156 10, 031 10, 572 10, 130 S, 914 9, 222 9, 157 9, 107 9, 306 9, 230 2, 773 3,004 3, 147 2, 992 3, 162 2, 973 2, 565 2,697 2, 732 2, 634 2, 662 2, 696 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug 135, 830 135, 253 136, 135 137, 791 139, 963 142, 215 143, 456 145, 557 108, 108, 109, 110, 112, 114, 115, 117, 826 634 481 734 477 567 832 737 38, 111 38, 239 38, 762 39, 337 40, 119 41, 104 41, 678 42, 346 34, 300 34, 448 34, 683 35, 098 35, 552 36, 051 36, 334 36, 871 27, 004 26, 619 26, 654 27, 057 27, 486 27, 648 27, 624 27, 820 10, 184 10, 339 10, 996 10, 777 10, 998 11, 118 10, 811 11, 443 9, 547 9, 373 9, 632 9, 681 9,557 9, 791 9, 784 10, 003 2, 978 3, 046 3, 143 3, 194 3, 239 3,398 3, 182 3,442 2, 761 2, 693 2, 693 2, 767 2, 748 2, 851 2, 835 2,881 iAlso includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 a Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. End of period, unadjusted. 32 Mortgage debt outstanding nonfarm, 1- to 4houses3 182, 197, 212, 223, 236, 251, 266, 280, 307, 200 600 900 600 100 200 800 200 800 299, 700 307, SOO 313, 800 323, 500 Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Hoir Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES In the 4 weeks ending in mid October yields on intermediate-term Treasury securities and municipal bonds fell while other long-term yields were constant and short-term rates mixed. t PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 10 10 f CORPORATE'Aaa BONDS (MOODrS) \ TAXABLE GOVERNMENT BONDS 1966 1972 SOURCE: SEE TABUE BELOW Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr ___ Mav Junc__ July Aug Sept. Oct ___ _ Week ended: 1972: Sept 1. r >__ «>'> Oct COUNCIL. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Govtsrnment seemrity yields municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable 2 3 Treasury (Standard & 1 issues bonds bills Poor's) 4 29 r> 13 _ 20 1 3 Aaa Baa 4. 15 4.21 4. 65 4. 85 5. 26 6. 12 5. 09 5 77 5. SO 5. 92 0. 10 (i. 58 5. 74 5. 78 5. 56 5. 46 5. 4,S 5. 02 5. 02 5. 07 5. 00 5. 74 5. 04 5. 59 5. 59 5. 59 5. 70 3.22 3. 27 3. 82 3. 98 4.51 5. 81 f). 51 5. 70 5. 95 5. 52 5. 24 5. 30 5. 36 5. 25 5. 33 5. 30 5. 45 5. 26 5. 37 5. 39 5. 29 5. 36 4.40 4.49 5. 13 5. 51 6.18 7. 03 8. 04 7. 39 7. 59 7. 44 7. 39 7. 26 7. 25 7. 19 7. 27 7.24 7.30 7.30 7.23 7.21 7. 19 7. 22 4. 83 4.87 5. 67 6. 23 6.94 7. 81 9. 11 8. 56 8. 76 8. 59 8. 48 8. 38 8.38 8.23 8.23 8.24 8. 24 8. 23 8. 20 8. 23 8. 19 8.09 0. 0. 0. (>. 0. 5. 08 5. 70 5. 75 5. 73 5. 70 5.37 5. 38 5. 32 5.23 5. 17 7.23 7.23 7. 24 7.23 7. 22 8.09 8.09 8.08 8.08 8.07 3. 549 3.954 4.881 4.321 5.339 6.677 6. 458 4. 348 5. 078 4.668 4.489 4. 191 4. 023 3. 403 3. 180 3. 723 ;;. 723 4.06 4.22 5. 16 5.07 5.59 6. 85 7. 37 5. 77 6. 39 5. 96 5. 68 5. 50 5. 42 5. 33 5. 51 5. 74 0. 01 ,"». :-i. '1. -1. 4. 048 S74 059 OM 051 <1. -1. •1. 4. 4. 4. 759 033 044 001 743 818 20 15 13 11 10 I 2 Kate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues. April 1953 to date, bonds duo or callable 10 years and after. «Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 6 Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (7 percent bepinnimr February 18, 1971) and 30-year mortgages paid in 16 years. Corpora te bonds (Moc dy's) Prime FHA commercial new home paper mortgage 5 4-6 yields months 3.97 5.45 4.38 5. 46 5. 55 6.29 5. 10 6, 55 5.90 7.13 7. 83 8. 19 7. 72 9. 05 5. 11 7. 78 5. 73 7. 97 7.92 5. 75 5. 54 7.84 4. 92 7.75 4. 74 7. 62 4. 08 7.59 3. 93 7. 49 4. 17 7.46 4. 58 7.45 4.51 7. 50 4. 64 7. 53 4. 85 7. 54 4. 82 7.54 5. 13 7.55 7. 56 5. 13 5. 13 5. 18 5. 28 5.30 1 Sources: Department of Housing and Urban Development, Treasury Depart ment, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS The stock market advanced in the second half of September and retreated in early October. The mid-October com posite price index remained above the index of mid-September. Index, 1941-43 =10 lnde>i, 1941-43=10 WEEKLY MOKFHLY 120 120 IPOSJTE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOQCS COA/ i\ / "y\^ A^^ HO 1AA lOO 90 "X , 60 , . . PE KENT 5 , , ! , . , ii / 100 ^ ^^>/ OA v-^^l / 80 110 f\~ yA/V ^A ^ ^ , ,,,ii ,t ,,i 1 I 1 t 1 1 1 ! 1 11 Ort i i f i i 1 f i i i i i f i f i I f i i ii 1 t 1 1 ! I 1 t- I I f if tit 11 1 1 11 WEEKLY MONTHLY <^0 PERCE NT 5 DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS ^ 3 ^-^r-——^ ? A] RAT6 2i> \ \ I 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 OA 1C 10 _, , ' ' I f M f I i ? I »I i t i f I I i i i \ i ( | ! I | I ! I I } I PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO ON COMM<3N STOCKS \ p-^^X •* ••. "•"• i ' 1966 1967 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971: Sept... Oct Nov Dec 1972: Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July _ . Aug Sept Week ended: 1972: Sept 1 i -1968 i t i 1969 rx ^i i 1 T 1 1970 8 15 22 29 Oct 6 13 _ .. on ^— f '» i 1971 1 1C ! I 10 K 1972 l Total Total 85. 26 91. 93 98.69 97. 84 83. 22 98. 29 99. 40 97. 29 92. 78 99. 17 103. 30 105. 24 107. 69 108. 81 107. 65 108. 01 107. 21 111.01 109. 39 91. 08 99. 18 107. 49 107. 13 91. 29 108. 35 109. 85 107. 28 102. 21 109. 67 114. 12 116. 86 119. 73 121. 34 120. 16 120. 84 119. 98 124. 35 122. 33 1941-^13=10 84.86 74. 10 96. 96 79. 18 105. 77 86. 33 103. 75 87. 06 87. 87 80. 22 102. 80 99. 78 104. 55 103. 34 100. 66 101. 31 95. 51 97. 47 103. 78 103. 92 109. 69 100. 45 113. 90 109. 42 116. 89 113. 20 120. 19 115. 05 119. 65 112. 67 120. 92 113.43 119. 13 112. 57 124. 47 116. 17 121. 63 113. 19 110. 110. 108. 108. 109. 109. 109. 123. 89 123. 65 121. 78 121. 37 122. 31 122. 83 122. 01 124. 02 123. 16 120. 92 120. 57 121. 86 121. 46 119. 48 76 56 92 54 36 81 18 Capital goods 1 Includes 5UU common stocks: 425 industrials, 65 public utilities, and 20 railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures all2 other weekly indexes are averages of daily figures. Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields 34 2 TIO R^ 25 1 f ! I I I t ! 1 1 IK COUNCIL OF KONOM1C ADVISERS Price i ndex Industrials .„ 3 j^ SOURCE,' STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION Period ^ ^ "^^V^V—^—*. i i f i i I i i i it ^-—~~——^ x ^ 1 , ...1 1 .. ,.i ^ _^ Consumers' goods 114. 39 114. 90 112.86 112. 01 112. 99 113. 64 113. 09 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 68. 21 68. 10 66.42 62. 64 54. 48 59. 33 56, 48 57. 41 55. 86 57. 07 60. 19 57. 41 57. 73 55. 70 54. 94 53. 73 53.47 54. 66 55. 36 46.34 46.72 48.84 45. 95 32. 13 41. 94 47. 18 44, 58 41. 19 43. 17 45. 16 45. 66 46. 48 47. 38 45.06 43. 66 42. 00 43.28 42.37 3. 40 3. 20 3.07 3. 24 3. 83 3. 14 3. 09 3. 16 3. 31 3. 10 2. 96 2. 92 2. 86 2. 83 2.88 2. 87 2. 90 2. 80 2.83 55.68 55. 72 55.21 55.02 55.47 55.66 56. 02 43.64 43.20 42.55 42.09 41. 54 41. 59 41. 53 2. 81 2. 81 2. 84 2. 84 2.82 2. 81 2. 82 Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio 3 14.92 17. 52 17.20 16. 57 15. 91 18.66 18. 31 20.79 17. 81 17. 01 are1 averages oi monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Ratio of price index for last day in quarter to quarterly earnings (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT In fiscal year 1972 there was a deficit of $23.0 billion, the same as the deficit in fiscal 1971. In the first 2 months of fiscal 1973 there was a deficit of $5.8 billion; a year earlier the deficit was $9.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 260 260 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 220 220 OUTLAYS 180 180 140 140 100 100 (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) +20 +20 SURPLUS (-f) OR DEFICIT {-) -20 -20 -40 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973-1/ -40 FISCAL YEARS J/ ESTIMATE SOURCES. TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Period Fiscal year: 1961 1962 1963. 1964 Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Federal debt (end of period) Total * Held by the public 94.4 99. 7 106.6 112. 7 97.8 106. 8 111. 3 118.6 — 3.4 — 7. 1 — 4.8 — 5.9 292.9 303.3 310.8 316.8 238.6 248.4 254. 5 257. 6 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 118. 4 134. 7 158. 3 178. 8 184. 5 — 1.6 — 3.8 -8. 7 -25. 2 3. 2 323.2 329.5 341. 3 369. 8 367. 1 261.6 264. 7 267. 5 290. 6 279.5 1970 1971 1972 29 1973 193. 7 188. 4 208. 6 225. 0 196. 6 211. 4 231. 6 250. 0 -2. 8 -23. 0 -23.0 -25.0 382.6 409.5 437. 3 477.0 284. 9 304. 3 323.8 356. 0 28. 9 33.4 38. 1 39.2 -9.3 -5.8 425.0 446. 1 315.4 328.4 Cumulative totals for first 2 months: Fiscal year 1972. _ _ _ _ Fiscal year 1973_ __ 1 Excludes 2 p.on-interest-bcaring public debt securities held by IMF. Estimates. Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. 35 FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION in fiscal year 1972 both receipts and outlays were $20.2 billion higher than in fiscal 1971. In the first 2 months of fiscal 1973, receipts were $4.5 billion higher than a year earlier while outlays were $1.1 billion higher. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS CORPORATION INCOME TAXES I I i 180 Ibl) OUTLAYS ixn J6U ,-'-""" 140 i?n NONDEFENSE 140 ^~~+**~ 100 100 80 80 ,^. — *—""B*"""*"* 60 40 A r \ 1962 I 1963 • 1964 ^v*1******^ 1 1 1965 I 1966 ! 1967 - 60 NATIONAL DEFENSE f . 1968 1969 ! 1970 f 1971 ! 1972 ! K 40 1973 SC I/ESTIMATES « AL YEARS SOURCES, TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Recei]ots (Outlays Natio nal defense Period Fiscal year: 1961. 1962 1963 1964... 1965 1966_ 1967_. 1968 1969 _. 1970__ _ 1971 1972 f 19731 Cumulative totals for first 2 months: Fiscal year 1972___ Fiscal year 1973__. 1 Estimates. 2 Detail notavailable. 36 Total 94.4 99. 7 106.6 112. 7 116.8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 193.7 188.4 208.6 225.0 28.9 33.4 Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes 41.3 45. 6 47.6 4a 7 48.8 55.4 61.5 6a7 87.2 90.4 86.2 94. 8 99.0 13.5 15.7 21. 0 20.5 21. 6 23. 5 25.5 30. 1 34. 0 28.7 36.7 32.8 26.8 32.0 35.5 1. 3 1.7 Other Total Department of Total Defense, military 32. 1 97.8 33.6 106. 8 37.4 111.3 40.5 iiae 42. 6 na4 45.3 134.7 54. 1 158.3 56.3 17a 8 63. 9 184.5 70.5 196.6 75.4 211.4 81.7 231.6 90.5 250.0 47.4 51. 1 52. 3 53. 6 49. 6 56. 8 70. 1 80. 5 81. 2 80. 3 77.7 78.2 14. 1 15.9 10. 8 11.0 38. 1 39.2 (2) 43.3 46.9 4a 1 49. 6 46. 0 54.2 67.5 77.4 77.9 77.2 74,5 75.0 C2) 10. 5 10.9 Interna- Health tional and Inaffairs income terest Other and security 3.4 4.5 4.1 4. 1 4.3 4.5 4.5 4. 6 3. 8 3.6 2.9 3.7 (2) .7 .6 ai as 22. 1 23.7 25.5 26. 8 27.4 31.5 37.8 43.7 49.3 56.7 70.2 81. 5 10.4 11.3 12.6 13.7 15.8 18. 3 19. 6 20.6 16.8 19.2 20.3 24. 2 26.7 30. 6 33.2 36. 2 34.4 37. 7 41. 1 47. 7 12.6 13. 0 3.3 3.4 10.8 11. 1 (2) 9.2 9.8 (2) Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. (2) FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS Federal receipts rose $3% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter and expenditures rose $10% billion, resulting in a deficit of $21% billion. Preliminary third quarter data indicate a $3% billion decline in expenditures. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 260 160 140 120 +20 +20 ^ SURPLUS — H ill in ^ r^ Q .«« ?M5 — m i'l 1^™ i H on .0 L DEFICIT h ! -40 I -! 1966 1 1 1967 1 \ \ \ i 1,1 ! 1969 CALENDAR YEARS 1968 J/PRELIMINARY SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE ! 1970 1 \ Y/s U4 &JL. . I \ 11 -20 W ! 971 1 - ! f -40 1972 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Feeleral Go1/ernmenlb expend]itures Federal (Srovernm ent receip ts Period Fiscal year: 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 i_._ Calendar year: 1968 1969 1970 1971 GrantsSubsidies Less: in-aid Indirect Contriless PurWage Personal CorpoTransNet current accruals business butions chases to State rate and profits and less surplus of tax and for of goods fer payinterest Total tax Total nontax paid Governdisand local tax nontax social inments receipts accruals services government en- burseaccruals surance ments terprises ments Surplus or j _c _;j. deficit income and product accounts 160.6 190. 4 195. 0 193. 0 211.0 71.4 89. 9 93. 7 87. 1 99.2 33.7 37.4 33. 1 32. 0 33. 5 17. 1 18. 6 19.2 20. 1 20. 1 38.3 44. 4 49. 0 53. 8 58. 2 172.5 94. 9 185. 7 99. 4 196. 3 98. 3 212.8 95. 8 233. 1 103. 1 44. 8 50. 7 56. 8 69. 8 78. 5 17. 8 19. 2 22. 6 27. 0 32. 8 10. 9 12. 3 14. 0 14. 3 13. 5 4.1 4. 1 4.7 5. 9 5. 3 0.0 .0 .1 -. 1 .0 -11. 9 4. 7 -1. 3 -19.7 -22. 1 175. 0 197. 3 191. 6 199. 1 79. 7 94. 8 92. 4 89. 6 36. 7 36. 6 30. 4 33. 1 18. 0 19. 0 19. 3 20. 5 40. 7 40. 9 49. 5 55. 9 181. 5 189. 2 204. 5 220. 8 98. 8 98. 8 96. 5 97. 8 48. 2 52. 4 63. 3 75. 0 18.7 20. 3 24. 5 29. 3 11. 7 13. 1 14. 6 13. 6 4. 1 4.6 5.5 5.2 .0 .0 .0 (2) -6.5 8.1 -12. 9 — 21. 7 196. 4 1971:1 II 198. 2 199. 1 111 202. 8 IV II 86. 6 88. 1 89. 8 93. 8 33. 9 34. 4 33. 2 31. 1 20. 9 20. 2 20. 0 20. 8 55. 0 55. 6 56. 1 57. 0 212. 4 96. 2 221.2 96. 3 222. 2 97. 9 227. 5 100. 7 69. 1 76. 8 76. 3 77. 8 27. 1 29. 5 29.8 30.8 14. 0 13. 6 13. 6 13. 3 6. 0 5. 1 4.6 5. 0 .0 .0 .0 -16. 0 -23.0 -23. 1 -24. 7 221. 4 1972:1 !!___ 224 9 III*.. 105. 8 107. 3 108.9 34, 0 35.2 19. 9 19. 7 20. 1 61. 7 62. 6 63. 7 236. 3 105. 7 246. 5 108. 1 243. 1 106.2 79. 4 80.4 82.4 32.4 38. 1 34.6 13. 1 13. 8 13.6 5.6 6.0 6.4 —.1 .0 -14.8 — 21. 6 'Preliminary; based on seasonally adjusted quarterly data, except for contributions, which have been adjusted for change in the tax law. 2 $39 million. Source: Department of Commerce. .1 .0 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE U.S. POSTAGE AND FEES PAID GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page 1 2 3 4 S 6 7 8 9 The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 10 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balances on Goods, Services, and Transfers U.S. Overall Balances on International Transactions 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 26 27 28 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings 29 30 31 32 33 34 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis | 77—; 35 36 37 ; I NOTE.—Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless other: wise stated, all dollar figures are current dollars, p I Indicates preliminary end not available. 1 For sale by the Supei-intc-nr]e;it cf Documents. U.S. Government Printing Office. Washington, D.C. 20402 Price 25 cents per copj, So p?r .rear ; f>4 foreign. Domestic air mail, $3.60 additional per year. 38