Full text of Economic Indicators : June 1973
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Congress, 1st Session Economic Indicators June 1973 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1913 (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Vice Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) HUBERT H. HUMPHREY (Minnesota) LLOYD M. BENTSEN, Jr. (Texas) JACOB K. JAVTTS (New York) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) JAMES B. PEARSON (Kansas) RICHARD S. SCHWEIKER (Pennsylvania) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) HUGH L. CAREY (New York) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) BARBER B. CONABLE, Jr. (New York) CLARENCE }. BROWN (Ohio) BEN B. BLACKBURN (Georgia) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director LOUGHLIN F. McHuGH, Senior Economist OF HERBERT STEIN, Chairman MARINA v. N. WHITMAN Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sr CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—1st SESSION] [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" "Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public, Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Aft Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, Is available at 55 cents a single copy or by subscription at $6.50 per year ($1.75 additional for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING WASHINGTON, B.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive It at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. Gross national product rose by an extraordinary $43 billion (seasonally adjusted annua! rate) to $1,238 billion in the first quarter, according to current estimates. There was a huge rise of $28 biiiion in consumer expenditures. The excess of imports over exports improved somewhat while business investment and government purchases at aii ievels increased. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] (.iovernme nt Persons Disposab le personsil income Period Total 5 Less: Interest paid and transfer payments to foreigners Surplus or Equals : Personal sonal Less: Less: Tax Equals: deficit Total consump- saving TransTransPurexcludand fers, Equate: Total or fers, tion ing nontax interest, chases income interest, expendNet expenddisof goods interest itures saving receipts and and receipts itures and and and or product S13.D™ SUD"" transaccruals sidies 2 sidies 2 services accounts fers 731. 7 670. 7 61. 0 'TQO V RCA K KC\ 9 739. 7 i 680. 5 I 59. 3 323. 3 106. 5 1 f\Q A Q Q A *7 330. 7 j 108. 4 216. 8 OOO Q 222. 3 ^.in 4 A 349. 1 AQ 4 A 108. 751. 7 13. 0 13. 9 15. 1 16. 7 17. 9 18. 5 19. 3 498. 9 532. 4 575. 9 617. 7 671. 6 725.8 1971: III. TV.. 750. 4 *7KQ K 758. 5 18.7 1 Q 8 Q 18. 1972: 770. 782. 798. 828 18. cS I 775. 9 466. 492. 536. 579. 3 1 2 5 616. 8 664. 9 721. 0 32. 5 40. 4 39. 8 38. 2 54. 9 60. 9 213. 228. 263. 296. 302. 321. 366. 54.8 1971:III. IV.. 1972: I II III _ IV 1973:1 1 | 233. 6 -16. 9 ojn n i Q rr 62. 3 241.7 247.3 253. 1 254. 5 361. 368. 371. 385. 6 3 2 5 112. 1 114. 1 115.7 126. 2 249. 4 254. 1 255. 6 259.3 -7.7 -6.9 -2.4 830. •2 773 6 56. 5 399. i | 125. 8 273. 6 392. 6 125.8 266.8 6.8 Net Net exports of goods transfers Excess of _ Total and services StatisGross Excess Gross private to fortransfers income tical of retained domestic invest- eigners or or discrepearnby perof net receipts ancy investment sons Less: Equals: ings 3 Net and Exports Imports exports ment * (-) 5 Governexports (-) ment Gross national product or expenditure 20. 2 121.4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 112. 114. 115. 126. -30. 1 — 23. 5 — 30. 6 -42. 0 — 39. 7 -42. 1 2. 8 3. 0 43.4 46. 2 50. 6 55. 5 3. 7 62. 9 66. 1 73.7 38. 1 41. 0 48. 1 53. 6 59. 3 65. 4 77. 9 5. 3 5. 2 2. 5 1. 9 3. 6 .7 -4.2 2. 9 2. 9 3. 2 3. 6 124. 1 152. 0 180.4 110. 5 117. 2 152. 2 i -41. 7 158. S i —41. 6 3. 8 4. 0 68. 5 63. 0 68. 2 65. 1 .4 2 i 168. 1 177. 0 183.2 193.4 3. 8 3. 8 3. 8 3. 3 70. 7 70. 0 74.4 79.6 75. 3 75. 2 77. 8 83. 1 -4. 6 -5. 2 -3. 4 -3.5 87. 6 89. 8 i — 2. 2 130. 1 -4. 8 Iiiternation al — 56. 3 -52. 2 — 52. 2 -58. 1 — 63. 3 Personal incoiao (p. 5) less personal tax and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.)- G overnment transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers "by Government, net interest paid by government, subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises, and disbursements less wage accruals, 3 Capital consumption allowances, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, undistributed corporate profits, and private wage accruals less disbursements. Does not include retained earnings of unincorporated business, which are included 106. 5 93. 0 1 1 7 2 ! 115. 9 i 124.8 ! 125.1 : 340. 2 105. 7 117. 1 1. 1 — 13. 9 -6. 8 8. 8 — 10. 1 -16.9 -5.4 353. 8 361. 4 368. 8 380. 1 | 91. 3 93. 0 95. 4 97. 0 97. 3 109.9 . ... 312. 1 338. 5 371. 6 156. 8 180. 1 199. 6 210. 0 219. 0 232. 8 254.6 55.7 50. 1 50. 8 Business 1966 ._ 1967 1968. 1969 1970_ 1971. 1972_ 242. 9 270. 3 287.9 696. 1 713.4 728. 6 745 7 2 Period 3 9 5 7 0 6 1 763. 5 19. 1 779.4 19.4 19 8 | 808 4 5 6 8 \ 850. 4 1973: I 55. 5 62.8 70.7 77.9 157. 9 166. 2 192. 7 218. 8 209. 0 215. 9 249.0 511. 9 546. 3 591. 0 634. 4 689. 5 744. 4 795. 1 II Til. IV___| 212, 3 55. 5 62. 8 70. 7 77. 9 93. 0 105. 7 117. 1 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1966 E xpenditur es N et receipts P — 2. 4 -2. 2 4. 1. 0 750, 9 794. 6 866. 9 936. 3 981. 1 -. 4 2. 8 1, 055. 2 7.8 1, 152. 7 3.4 11, 062. 8 6. 1 1, 083. 2 -L 0 —.7 -2. 7 -6. I — 4, 7 — 4. 8 Q —,o -5. -5. 2 -4. 1 749.9 793. 9 864. 2 930.3 976.4 1, 050. 4 1, 151. 8 1, 056. 9 1; 078. 1 7. 2 6. 8 1, 113. 1 1, 139. 4 1, 16L 6 1, 196. 3 -1.5 is 1, 109. 1 1, 139. 4 1, 164. 0 1,194.9 5.5 1,236.6 13 1,237.9 9. 0 -j in4 disposable personal income. Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. 5 Net foreign investment less capital grants received by Umlted States, with sign changed. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) rose at an annual rate of 15.2 percent in the first quarter. Real GNP at an 8.0 percent rate while prices increased at a 6.6 percent rate. r ose B1LUONS OF DOLLARS 1,400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 1,000 800 600 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 200 200 ,.„„, „„..•••«•' !«»"•"" n NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES \ GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 1969 1968 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT Period OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Personal Gross congross Total private sump- domestic national gross product national tion investin 1958 product expendment dollars itures iiillions 3f dollars quarterly 1963_ 1964. 1965. 1966. 1967_ 1968. 1969. 1970_ 1971. 1972 551. 0 5 4 9 9 9 2 3 4 4 8 375. 0 401.2 432. 8 466. 3 492. 1 536. 2 579. 5 616. 8 664. 9 721. 0 87. 1 U4. 0 108. 1 121. 4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 152. 0 180. 4 1971: III. IV.. 742. 5 1, 056. 9 754. 5 1, 078. 1 670. 7 680. 5 1972: I... II. IIL. IV.. 1973: I... 766. S 783. 9 796.1 811. 6 1 4 0 9 827, 3 1, 237. 9 1 581. 1 en. s 658. 1 67B.S 70S. 6 7S5. 6 7S2. 1 741. 7 789.6 590. 032. 884. 749. 793. 864. 930. 976. 1, 050. 1, 151. 1, 1, 1, 1, 109. 139. 164. 194. Net exports of goods and services Gove rnment purchases of good s services Federal Total National Total defense1 Other and Implicit price deflator State for total and GNP, local 1958= 1002 data at s easonall v adjusts>d annual rates 5.9 8. 5 6.9 5. 3 5. 2 2. 5 122. 5 -4.2 128. 137. 156. 180. 199. 210. 219. 232. 254. 7 0 8 1 t> 0 0 8 6 152.2 158. 8 .4 -2. 1 233. 6 240. 9 696. 1 713.4 728. 6 745. 7 168. 1 177.0 183. 2 193. 4 773.6 199.7 -4. 6 — 5. 2 — 3. 4 -3.5 -2. 2 249. 254. 255. 259. 266. This category corresponds closely with budget outlays for national defense, shown on p. 36. 1973 1972 1971 1970 1. 9 3. 6 .7 3 4 1 6 3 8 64. 2 65. 2 66. 9 13. 5 58. 2 15.2 16. 8 63. 5 105. 8 50. 8 50.0 50. 1 60.7 72. 4 78. 3 78. 4 75. 1 71. 4 75. 9 18. 4 20. 5 20. 4 21. 5 26. 3 29. 9 100. 111. 122. 135. 148. 97. 9 100. 7 70. 1 71. 9 27. 8 28. 7 105. 7 108. 1 105. 4 104.0 106. 6 76. 7 28. 9 29. 6 30. 2 30. 8 31. 6 77. 8 90. 7 98. 8 98. 8 96. 5 97. 8 78. 6 75. 1 73. 2 75. 0 17. 1 70. 1 79. 0 89. 4 8 2 5 0 8 107. 17 108. 85 110. 86 113. 95 117. 59 30 20 23 61 89 135. 7 140. 2 122. 128. 135. 141. 145. 142. 142. 143. 146. 150. 155. 160. 144. 145. 146. 147. 149. 68 34 21 23 62 7 0 2 2 1 35 88 Gross national product in current dollars divided by gross national product in 1968 dollars. Source: Department of Commerce. NATIONAL INCOME According to revised estimates, national income rose $34 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter following a rise of $31 billion in the fourth quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,200 - 1,000 tjOOO 800 1967 1973 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVJ5ERS (Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Total national income Period 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 ... 1971 1972 . _ .. 1971: III IV 1972: I II IIL IV . 1973: I 1 2 . Cornpen- of emplovees l Propricto rs' income Farm 2 Net inter- est 481. 9 518. 1 564. a 620. 6 653. 6 711. 1 766. 0 798. 6 855. 7 935. 6 341. 0 365.7 393. 8 435. 5 467. 2 514. 6 566. 0 603. 8 644. 1 705. 3 13. 1 12. 1 14.8 16. 1 14. 8 14. 7 16. 7 16. 9 17. 3 19. 6 37. 9 40.2 42.4 45. 2 47. 3 49. 5 50. 5 49. 9 52. 6 55. 6 17. 1 18.0 19.0 20. 0 21. 1 21. 2 22. 6 23. 3 24. 5 25. 6 21. 4 24. 4 26. 9 30. 5 34. 8 38. 5 41.3 860. 8 876. 2 648. 0 660. 4 17. 6 18. 1 53. 1 53. 8 24. 8 25. 0 903. 1 922. 1 943. 0 974. 2 1, 008. 3 682. 7 697. 8 710. 2 730. 3 757. 0 19. 1 18. 7 19. 1 21.6 54. 3 54. 4 56. 2 57. 4 58.7 25. 2 24. 2 26. 2 22. 5 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in farming and therefore differs from net farm income (including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes such profits. Business and professional Rental income of per- 26. 9 26.5 13. 8 15.8 18.2 Corpora ;e profits and inventory va luation acijustment Total 58. 9 66.3 76. 1 Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment -0. 5 79. 8 69. 9 78. 6 88.2 59. 4 66.8 77.8 84. 2 79. 8 87. 6 84. 9 74. 3 83. 3 94. 3 39. 1 39. 7 78.3 79. 4 84. 1 83. 2 -5. 8 -3. 9 40. 1 40. 9 41. 7 42. 5 43. 4 81. 8 86. 1 88. 2 91. 6 95. 7 101.5 114. 3 — 5. 5 -6. 1 -5. 9 — 14. 1 Source: Department of Commerce. 82. 4 78.7 84. 3 89. 6 95.6 100. 2 K .O — 1. 7 — 1. 8 — 1.1 0 0 -5. 1 -4. 4 — 4. 7 -6. 0 -G. 5 or Personal income rose in May at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $4.8 billion, somewhat less than in the 3 preceding months. Most of the slowdown was in wage and salary disbursements, which increased $3.1 billion compared to an average monthly rise of $5.3 billion for the 3 months ending in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,000 1,000 900 — 800 700 600 500 PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 100 100 NET INTEREST sjp-isEs^i 1967 SOURCE; I 1968 1969 DEPA37MENT Of COMMERCE Period Total personal income 1985 538. 9 1966 587.2 1967 629. 3 1988 688. 9 1969 750.9 1970 . 806.3 1971 861. 4 1972 935. 9 1972: Apr 919. 4 May 924. 0 June 922. 9 July.-.. 932. 9 Aug 940. 0 Sept 946.8 Oct 964. 8 Nov 976. 2 Dec 982.9 1973: Jan 986. 0 994 5 Feb Mar 1, 001. 3 Apr 1, 007. 4 May * 1, 012. 2 197! 1972 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISEBS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Rental and Other Propriet ars' income income Transfer Divi- Persona; salary labor 1 2 interest Business paydends of and pro- persons disburse- Income Farm income ments ments ' fessional 18.7 19.0 19.8 38.7 358.9 14.8 42.4 39. 9 45. 2 20. 8 394. 5 20.7 16. 1 20. 0 43. 6 44. 1 22. 3 21. 4 14. 8 47. 3 48. 0 51. 8 423. 1 21. 1 23. 6 464. 9 25.4 49. 5 21. 2 52. 9 59. 6 14. 7 24. 3 509,7 22. 6 59. 3 2a4 16. 7 50.5 65. 8 24. 8 54L 9 32. 1 49. 9 65. 8 79. 5 16. S 23. 3 17. 3 25. 4 572.9 36.5 52. 6 69. 6 aa 6 24. 5 72. 9 627. 0 40. 3 55. 6 26. 4 104. 0 19.6 25. 6 617. 6 39. 5 54. 9 26. 1 72. 0 19.1 25. 5 99. 7 55. 3 100. 9 619. 9 39. 8 18.7 25. 6 26. 3 72. 7 624. 0 40. 1 53. 2 26. 3 18.4 21. 5 73. 4 101. 3 40. 5 26. 4 102. 2 625.7 18. 6 55.7 25. 8 73. 5 102. 8 40. 8 26. 6 73.4 630. 6 19. 1 56. 3 26. 3 41. 1 26. 5 103. 2 636. 0 19. 5 56. 7 26. 5 73. 3 643.0 4L4 20.7 26. 7 57.0 27. 0 73. 7 111. 6 57.4 26.7 26. 6 74. 5 648.5 22. 1 115. 2 41.8 42.1 22.0 5 /„ 8 26. 9 26. 8 75.4 113.6 654.9 42. 4 27. 1 662. 7 22. 2 58. 2 113. 3 26. 6 75. 9 42. 7 22. 5 27. 3 114. 8 668. 4 53. 7 26. 6 76. 2 43. 0 27. 4 673. 1 22. 8 59. 1 76. 8 115. 5 28. 3 27. 6 678. 7 43. 3 21. 9 59. 5 77. 5 116. 0 26. 0 27. 6 43. 6 21. 5 59. 7 26. 2 78. 4 116. 7 681. 8 1 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 3) in that It excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. s Consists of employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. 1970 Less: Personai contributions for social insurance 13.4 17.7 20. 5 22. 8 26. 3 28.0 31. 2 35.5 35.0 35.1 35. 3 35. 5 35. 8 36. 0 36. 4 36. 5 36. 6 42. 4 4-2. 7 42. 8 43. 2 43.4 Nonagricultural personal income z 519. 5 566. 3 609. 4 668. 8 728. 3 782.8 837. 2 909. 3 893. 4 898. 3 897. 5 907. 3 914. 0 920. 3 937. 1 947. 2 953. 9 956. 6 964. 6 97L 1 978. 2 983. 4 3 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises. farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. Source: Department of Commerce, OF Real per capita disposable income (seasonally adjusted) rose again in the first quarter and was 6 percent above a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 2,000 1973 SOURCEi DEPASTMENT OF COMMERCE Period COUNCil OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per cajjita disSaving L ess : Perse>nai outla ys Less : posable personai as perPer- Equals: Perso lal consulnption Equals: ino 3tne cent of PopulaPersonal Dtsex penditures 2 Personal distion 1 sona! tax anc | posable Total saving posable (thou-8 ! income nontax personal persona!1 Durable NonCurrent 1958 personal sands) pay- income outlays durable Services dollars dollars goods 1 income ments goods (percent) Billions of dollars 538.9 587. 2 1967 629. 3 1968 688. 9 1969 750. 9 1970 806. 3 1971 861. 4 1972.. ._ 935.9 1965_ _ _ _ 1966 65.7 75. 4 83. 0 97. 9 116.5 116. 7 117. 0 140. 8 473.2 511. 9 546. 3 591. 0 634. 4 689.5 744. 4 795.1 444.8 479.3 506. 0 551. 2 596. 2 634.7 683. 4 740. 2 66. 3 70. 8 73. 1 84. 0 90. 8 90. 5 103. 5 116. 1 Do lars 191. 206. 215. 230. 245. 264. 278. 299. 1 9 0 8 9 4 1 5 175.5 isa 6 204. 0 221. 242. 261. 283. 3 7 8 3 305. 4 28.4 32. 5 40. 4 39. 8 38. 2 54. 9 60. 9 54. 8 2,436 2, 604 2, 749 2, 945 3, 130 3, 366 3,595 3, 807 2,239 2, 335 2, 4-03 2, 486 2, 534 2,603 2, 679 2, 770 6. 0 8. 0 8. 2 6.9 194, 303 196, 560 198. 712 200, 706 202, 677 204, 879 207, 0-15 208, 842 6.0 6.4 7. 4 a7 •Sease nally adjt isted annu al rales 1971: III. 887. 9 IV__ 881. 5 117. 5 123. 0 750. 4 758. 5 689. 4 699. 2 106. 1 278. 5 106. 1 283. 4 1972:1- — 907. 0 II_. 922. 1 III.. 939. 9 770. 5 782. 6 798. 8 828. 2 714. 9 732. 5 748. 0 111. 0 IV-. 974.6 136. 5 139. 5 141. 1 146.4 1973:1—. 993. 9 143. 5 850. 4 288. 3 61. 0 3, 620 3, 649 2, 684 59. 3 2,698 &1 7.8 207, 313 207, 862 765. 5 113. 9 118. 6 120. 8 297. 2 302. 0 310.4 296. 7 302. 4 308.0 314.5 55. 7 50. 1 50.8 62. 8 3, 700 3,751 3,821 3, 953 2, 716 2, 739 2,773 2,851 7.2 6.4 6.4 7.6 208, 208, 209, 209, 793. 9 130. 4 322. 6 320. 6 66. 5 4,052 2,882 6. 6 209, 871 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures^ interest paid by consumers, and personal transfer payments to foreigners. 2 See p. 2 for total persona] consumption expenditures. 286. 1 290. 9 259 634 058 514 g Includes Armed J^ces abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data ars for middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. : Department of Commerce. FARM INCOME In the first quarter, net farm income (seasonally adjusted) rose by about 4 percent. Nef income from farming in constant dollars per farm was 10 percent above a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 80 80 70 70 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME (50 50 50 40 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 20 20 10 10 J I r 1967 L j 1968 l I I 1 1970 1969 Personal income re ceived by total "arm popu lation From all sources 23.6 24. 9 24. 0 25. 1 27. 6 28. 2 29. 5 33.2 1971: III IV 1972: I II III IV— 1973: I I J I 1973 T From From nonfarm farm sources sources 13.5 14, 4 13. 1 13. 2 14. 9 15. 0 15. 6 17. 7 10.0 10. 5 10. 9 11. 9 12. 7 13. 2 13. 9 15.5 Net t D farm oper ators Net inc ome per farm incl uding net3 inventor]T change Cash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ingnetin- ing net in- Current 1967 from Total ventory ventory2 dollars dollars 4 marketchange change ings Billions 3i" dollars Do lars 44.9 39.3 30.9 14.0 15.0 4, 487 4, 723 49. 7 43. 3 33. 4 16. 3 5, 019 16. 3 5, 121 42. 7 49. 0 34. 8 14. 2 14. 9 4, 730 4,730 44, 1 50. 9 36. 2 14.7 4, 854 14.8 4, 667 55. 6 48. 1 38. 8 16. 8 16. 9 5, 674 5,206 57. 9 50. 5 41. 1 16. 8 5, 754 16. 8 5,047 60. 1 53. 1 44. 0 6, 049 16. 1 17. 4 5, 083 66.4 58. 5 47. 2 19. 2 7, 000 19.8 5, 645 Seaso natly adjii fted annu at rates 60. 4 53. 4 44. 3 16. 1 17.7 6, 150 5, 130 54. 9 44. 9 61. 8 16. 9 18. 2 6, 330 5, 280 64. 1 56. 5 45. 6 6, 820 18. 5 19. 3 5, 590 64. 8 56. 9 46. 5 6, 680 18.3 IS. 9 5, 390 58. 1 66. 1 47. 3 18. 8 6, 780 19. 2 5.420 70. 6 62.5 49. 4 21. 2 7, 660 21. 7 6, 080 22. 1 75. 6 68. 5 53. 5 22. 6 8,070 6, 160 1 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney Income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2. p. 3. ' Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. J 1972 income received fro m farming Realize d gross 1965.. 1966.. 1967.. 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 I COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISEES SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Period j 197! 1 4 Income in current dollars divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for 'amily living Items on a 1967 base. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes including inventory valuation adjustment rose $4.6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. The sharp rise in wholesale prices brought about a pronounced increase in inventory gains, so that book profits (excluding inventory valuation adjustment) rose $12.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 20 20 —, 1967 I 1973 1968 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] 1 Cor porate pi ofits Cor p orate pi ofits (bef Dre taxes) and inveiitory 'cifter taxcig Corpo- Profits valuation adjustme nt rate plus TransCorpo- Corpo3V anufactu •ing capital capital portation rate rate conconUnDivicomPeriod tax profits NonAll Durable durable dend distrib- sump- sumpAll ! before liabil- Total muniindustion tion goods uted payother taxes ity Total indusgoods cations, tries ments profits allow-2 allow-3 and ances ances tries public utilities 39. 3 22. 8 16. 6 76. 1 25. 6 31. 3 46. 5 26. 7 1965. 36. 4 11. 1 77.8 19. 8 82.9 42. 6 24. 0 34. 3 29. 1 82. 4 18. 6 49. 9 1966. _ _ 20. 8 39.5 11. 9 27. 9 84. 2 89.5 38. 7 20. 7 25. 3 18. 0 46. 6 21. 4 1967. 78. 7 33. 2 43. 0 29. 1 79. 8 10. 8 89. 6 41. 7 22. 4 24. 2 19. 3 47. 8 1968 32. 0 87. 6 39. 9 23. 6 46. 8 84. 3 10. 6 94, 6 36. 6 18. 8 17.7 44. 8 20. 5 1969- _ _ 79. 8 33. 1 84. 9 40. 1 24. 3 51. 9 10. 1 96.8 27. 7 11. 0 16. 7 34. 1 40. 2 24. 8 15. 4 1970- - _. 69. 9 34. 6 74. 3 55. 2 7.6 95.3 30. 9 14. 1 16. 8 37. 3 45. 9 20. 5 1971- . 78. 6 25. 4 60. 3 8. 2 39.5 83. 3 106. 2 37.9 1972 94. 3 41. 3 18.9 41. 3 53.0 88. 2 19.0 67.7 9.0 26.4 26.6 120.7 30. 1 13. 3 16. 9 16. 9 8.5 7. 6 39.6 40.6 84. 1 83. 2 37.5 35. 3 46. 6 48. 0 25. 5 25. 2 21. 0 22. 7 61. 2 63.0 107.8 110. 9 19. 4 18.4 19. 9 17.7 17. 7 17. 6 19. 5 21. 3 7. 8 8. 8 9.6 9.9 38. 5 40. 3 42. 1 44. 4 88. 2 91. 6 95. 7 101. 5 38. 8 40. 1 41.8 44. 3 49.5 51. 5 53. 9 57.2 26. 0 26. 2 26. 5 26.7 23. 5 25. 3 27.3 30.5 64. 8 68. 0 68.4 69.5 114.3 119. 5 122.2 126.7 21.3 25.0 9.2 44.8 114.3 50.6 63.7 27. 3 36.4 70.6 134. 3 1971 : III... IV... 78. 3 79. 4 31. 2 14. 3 1972: I II III-. 81. 8 86. 1 89. 6 95. 6 35.4 37. 0 37.9 41. 3 100. 2 46. 2 IV. _ 1973: I 12 Includes all other industries and financial institutions. Includes depreciation and accidental damages. 8 Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 97-231c -73- Source: ^Department of Commerce. Gross private domestic investment rose $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. Increases in fixed investment were partly offset by a decline in the rate of inventory accumulation. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 200 200 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 150 100 50 1967 1972 1968 SOURCES; DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed imvestment 13 Total gross private domestic Total invest^ ment ' J Struc tures Total Total 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 . 1971 1972 1971: III IV 1972: I il _ Til IV 1973: I 8 54. 3 87. 1 94. 0 108. 1 121. 4 116. 6 126. 0 139. 0 137. 1 152. 0 180. 4 81. 3 88.2 98. 5 106. 6 108. 4 118. 9 131. 1 132. 2 148. 3 174. 5 98. 5 100. 9 152. 2 158. 8 iea i 61. 1 71. 3 81. 6 83. 3 88. 8 19. 5 21.2 25. 5 Nonfarm 18.8 20.5 120.6 30. 3 34. 2 36. 0 38. 4 42. 2 24. 9 27. 8 27. 3 29. 6 33. 5 35. 2 37.5 41.4 150. 9 157.2 106. 3 109. 8 38. 7 38. 8 37. 9 38. 0 177.0 183.2 193.4 167. 7 172.0 175.2 183. 1 116. 1 119. 2 120. 7 126. 1 41. 3 40. 5 199.7 192. 9 133. 5 Source: Department of Commerce. Kesld ential struc tures N snresideni ial 105. 8 28. 5 28. 0 Produce rs' durable equ ipment Total 34.8 39. 9 45. 8 53. 1 55. 3 58. 5 64. 3 64. 9 67.4 78. 3 67. 6 71. 0 74. 8 Nonrarm Tota! 26. 4 26. 6 26. 7 24.5 24. 5 29. 5 32. 0 Total Nonfarm 60. 9 70.5 42. 6 54.0 42. 0 53. 2 5.9 5. 8 9. 6 14, 8 8. 2 7. 1 7.8 4. 9 3. 6 5.9 60. 8 64. 2 44. 5 47. 3 43. 9 46. 7 1. 3 1. 7 -.2 .8 67. 7 51. 6 51. 0 52. 1 53. 7 58. 1 .4 5.0 8.0 10.3 4. 3 10. 1 58. 4 6.8 6.5 31. 2 36.3 41. 6 48.4 50. 0 53. 6 59.2 59.2 27.0 27. 1 27. 2 25. 0 25. 1 30. 1 32. 6 31. 2 41.8 43.7 41. 2 40. 9 42.9 77. 2 79.0 82.3 69. 6 71.0 73.5 54.4 57.0 46. 7 45.8 86. 8 78. 0 59.4 42.0 Nonfarm Change in fousiness m\'entories 52.8 30. 7 5. 1 6.4 8.6 15.0 7.5 6. 9 7. 7 4. 8 2.4 5.6 .1 7.9 Businessmen continue *o project a large rise in plant and equipment expenditures from 1972 to 1973. The strong increase of $41/i billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) from the fourth quarter of 1972 to the first quarter of 1973 fell slightly short of expectations. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONAU.Y ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 100 TOO TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 80. h 80 <50 NONMANUFACTURING .„.•"""' »„.»»»••' MANUFACTURING 20 H_L_l__L J 1968 1967 I I 1969 1 ,1 J 1 1970 L 20 1973 1972 1971 y SEE FOOTNOTE 3 BELOW. . SOUHC£« DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Is onman ufaoturk 'g M anufactur ing Traiisportai ion Period Total' 54. 42 1965 1966 - 63. 51 1967 . . _ _ -- 65. 47 67. 76 1968 _ 75. 56 1969 ._ 79.71 1970 . -. 81. 21 1971 . S& 44 1972 3 . _ 100. 12 1973 86. 79 1972: I 87. 12 TI Til. 87. 67 91. 94 IV 1973: I .. 96. 19 113 98. 57 III 101. 80 3 103. 44 IV 3 Total Durable goods Nondurable goods 23. 44 28. 20 28. 51 28. 37 31. 68 31. 95 29. 99 31. 35 37. 16 30. 09 30. 37 30. 98 33. 64 35. 51 37. 05 38. 01 37. 78 11. 50 14. 06 14. 06 14. 12 15. 96 15. 80 14. 15 15. 64 19. 03 15. 06 14. 77 15. 67 16. 86 17. 88 19. 14 19. 68 19. 27 11. 94 14. 14 14. 45 14. 25 15. 72 16. 15 15. 84 15. 72 18. 13 15. 02 15. 60 15. 31 16. 78 17. 63 17.91 18. 34 18. 50 Total 30.98 35. 32 36. 96 39. 40 43. 88 47. 76 51. 22 57. 09 62. 96 56. 70 56. 75 56. 70 58. 30 60.68 61. 52 63. 79 65. 66 1 Excludes agricultural business; real estate operators; medical? legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. -3 Includes trade, service, construction, finance, and insurance. Estimates based on expected capital expenditures as reported by business in late April and May 1973. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in expectations data. Mining 1. 46 1. 62 1. 65 1. 63 1. 86 1.89 2. 16 2. 42 2.74 2. 42 2. 38 2. 40 2. 46 2. 59 2. 68 2. 90 Railroad Air 1. 99 2. 37 1. 86 1. 45 1. 86 1. 78 1. 67 1. 80 2. 01 2. 10 1. 88 1. 50 1. 71 2. 11 1. 75 2. 05 1. 22 1. 74 2. 29 2. 56 2. 51 3. 03 1. 88 2. 46 2. 21 1. 96 2. 89 2. 67 2. 33 2.21 2. 58 2. 03 ComPublic Comutilities muni- mercial cation other 2 Otter 1.68 1. 64 1. 48 1. 59 1. 68 1. 23 1. 38 1. 46 1. 54 1. 48 1. 53 1.41 1. 42 1. 53 1. 58 1.61 6. 13 7. 43 8.74 10. 20 11. 61 13. 14 15. 30 17. 00 19. 66 16. 92 16. 60 17. 01 17. 53 18. 38 18. 68 20. 18 5. 30 13, 19 14. 48 6. 02 14. 59 6. 34 6. 83 15. 14 8.30 16.05 10. 10 16. 59 10. 77 laos 11. 89 20. 07 13. 14 21. 65 20. 10 11. 71 19. 88 11. 59 20. 16 11. 56 12. 63 20. 21 12. 34 21. 53 34 25 35 03 NOTE.—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures: it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures donot agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Source: Department of Commerce,, EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE May marked the second consecutive month of small increases (seasonally adjusted) in the labor force and employment which followed the exceptionally large gains recorded during February and March. Over the past year, the labor force has grown by 1.9 million, employment has risen by 2.5 million, and the level of unemployment has declined by 600,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* , _ _ _ _ . _ — ___..„__.__. I 1 t t I t t I 1 f I t I I I I ? I 1 t PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE uNEW PLOY V* Eh•IT PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE EAS Of-JA uf AC Jt;STE WaE ' -, —rl j "T 1 i | ii 19 5£ 1967 I 1 II 19 59 | "1 -1_,_ - j ,,. 19;'0 - __, -,—l~1 ™] 97;> 9 71 *16 Y E A R S OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPASTMENT OF LABOR Period 1969— 1970— 1971 1972*— 1972: Apr* May. June. July. Aug. Sept. Oct.. Nov_ Dec.. 1973: Jan__ Feb.. Mar*. Apr-May- Total labor force (including Armed Forces) COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civili in employ ment Total Nonagricul- Unemployment Total labor force (including Armed Forces) persons It 84, 240 85, 903 86, 929 88, 991 84, 240 85, 903 88, 929 88, 991 Thous ands of 77, 902 74, 296 2, 832 78, 627 75, 165 4,088 79, 120 75, 732 4, 993 81, 702 78, 230 4, 840 Unadj usted 87, 787 87, 986 90, 448 91, 005 90, 758 89, 098 89, 591 89, 400 89, 437 80, 627 81, 223 82, 629 83, 443 83, 505 82, 034 82, 707 82, 703 82, 881 77, 339 77, 692 78, 653 79, 383 79, 475 78, 376 78, 986 79, 340 79, 719 4,697 4, 344 5, 426 5, 173 4, 857 4, 658 4, 470 4, 266 4, 116 88, 647 88, 850 88, 947 88, 985 89, S37 89, 471 89, 651 89, 454 89, 707 88, 122 89, 075 89, 686 89, 823 89, 891 81, 043 81, 838 82, 814 83, 299 83, 758 78, 088 78, 882 79, 683 80, 004 80, 291 4, 675 4, 845 4,512 4, 174 3, 799 89, 325 89, 961 90, 629 90, 700 90, 739 1 Total labor force as percent of nonlnstitutional population. Source: Department ol Labor. 1973 Civili in emplc yment Civilian labor force Total Agricultural years of age and o ver 80, 734 77, 902 3, 606 82, 715 78, 627 3, 462 84, 113 79, 120 3, 387 86, 542 81, 702 3, 472 Seasonally adjusted 86, 184 88, 431 86, 654 86, 597 86, 941 87, 066 87, 236 87, 023 87, 267 86, 921 87, 569 88, 268 88, 350 88, 405 81, 209 81, 468 81, 752 81, 782 82, 061 82, 256 82, 397 82, 625 82, 780 S3, 555 83, 127 83, 889 83, 917 84, 024 S Nonagricul- oyment Labor Unem- Unemp; force rcent of particirate (pe ployn labor civilia ment pation1 for ce) rate Percent 74, 296 75, 165 75, 732 78, 230 2,832 4, 088 4,993 4, 840 77, 896 78, 120 78, 4S1 4, 975 4, 973 4, 802 4, 815 4, 880 4,810 4, 839 4, 498 5. 5 5. 1 6. 2 5. 8 5. 5 5. 1 4. 9 5.2 4, 487 4.7 5. 1 4, see 5.5 5.6 5.1 3, 313 3, 338 3, 331 3, 443 3, 610 3, 679 3, 658 3, 556 3, 650 78, 339 78, 451 78, 677 78, 739 78, 969 79, 130 3, 501 3, 424 3, 480 3, 311 3, 275 79, 054 79, 70S SO, 409 80, 606 80, 749 4, 442 \ 4, 379 4,433 4, 381 3. 5 4.9 5. 9 5. 6 Unadjusted 5.4 5. 2 4. 8 4. 3 61. 1 61. 3 61. 0 61.0 Sense natty adjv sted _ 5. 8 5. 8 5. 6 5. 6 5. 6 5. 5 5. 5 5. 0 5. 0 5. 0 5.0 61. 0 61. 1 61. 1 61. 0 61. 2 61. 2 61. 2 61. 0 61. 1 60. 7 61. 1 61.4 61.4 61. S 13ata beginning January 1972 not strictly comparable with prior data because ol adjustment to 1970 Census data, which added 333,000 to the civilian labor iorce and 301,000 to civilian employment. A further adjustment in March 1973 added 60,000 to the labor force and to employment. SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT The unemployment rate (seasonally adjusteo!) remained at 5.0 percent in May, about the same as during the preceding; 5 months, but well below the 5.8 percent of a year earlier. PERCENT PERCENT 110 10 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED LABOR FORCE TiME LOST UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 1967 1972 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Uneuaploymen t rate (percen t of oivili an labor for ce m groi. P) Period a5 1972: Apr 5.8 5. 8 5. 5 6. 6 May June.. July Aug Sept Oct. Nov Deo 1973: Jan .. Feb Mar Apr May Persons at work in nonagn cultural ir idustries by hours worked i>er week 2 Uiider 35 ho urs Experi- Married Labor force enced All men time lost ' Over 40 wage and hours workers salary (wife workers present) 1969 1970 1971 1972 4. 9 5.9 5. 6 5. 6 5.5 5. 5 5. 2 5. 1 5. 0 5. 1 B. 0 5. 0 5. 0 Per cent 3. 3 1.5 2. 6 4.8 3 2 5. 7 5.3 2.8 /SeasoraaW y adjusted B. 3 2. 9 2. 8 5.4 5. 1 2. 9 5. 3 5. 3 5. 2 5. 2 A. 9 4.8 4.6 4-7 A. 6 /,.. 7 4.8 a. 7 a. e 2. 8 2. 8 3. 5 2.4 '-2• 1, *t 2.4 2. B 2.4 2. S 3. 9 5. 3 6. 4 6. 0 6. 1 20, 608 18, 925 19, 095 20, 320 6. 2 5. 9 6. 0 6. 1 B. 8 6. 8 5.4 5. S 5. 3 20, 239 20, 478 19, 989 18, 824 19, 626 21, 881 20, 735 21, 404 21, 740 19, 527 B. S 5. S B. S 21, 485 20, 968 21, 968 5. 4 20, 311 1 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force man-hours. 2 Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 10), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and industrial disputes. 3 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 1973 35-40 hours Part-ti me for economi c reasons Total Part-ti me for economi c reasons Usually Usually Usually fullpartfulltime 3 time 3 time * Thousan ds of pers ons 16 ye ars of age and over 34, 201 15, 210 955 855 33, 537 18, 222 1, 201 995 35, 752 16, 298 1, 184 1, 256 36, 794 16, 549 1, 081 1, 327 I Jnadjustei I Seasonall j 37, 592 16, 571 1, 081 1, 170 1, 103 37, 468 16, 700 996 1, 117 1, 093 37, 608 15, 1.69 1, 177 1,878 1, 066 36, 143 14, 046 1, 034 2, 140 1, 091 38, 103 13, 869 1, 190 1, 927 1, 076 37, 409 15, 176 1, 107 1, 136 1, 070 33, 864 20, 979 980 1, 086 1, 027 37, 566 17, 379 946 1, 065 1, 02B 37, 483 17, 543 917 1, 073 968 35, 819 18, 557 951 948 893 35, 844 19, 305 1, 020 1, 068 1, 020 37, 537 17, 378 967 1, 096 940 37, 983 18, 000 966 5 962 987 5 37, 904 17, 239 949 1, 031 1, 042 4 £ Primarily Usually parttime * adjusted 1, 396 1,316 1, 603 1,385 1,363 1,277 1,237 1, 192 1, 21S 1, ISO 1, 2B4 1,253 1, 149 1, SIS Includes persons who could find only part-time work. Average hours worked: usually full-time, 23.9; usually part-time, 19.3. Source: Department of Labor. In May, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 282,000 lower than a year earlier. The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate remained at 2.7 percent. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT iSTATE PROGRAMS) 1971 "X,--.. •••-,., 1972 JAN. FEB. MAR. MAY APRIL JUNE JULY AUG SEPT OCT. SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LA8OS 1972: Apr * Aug "_ Sept " Oct " . . Nov Dec" 1973: Jan " . Feb"_ Mar " Apr 31 May => Week ended: 1973: May 12 19 26 June 2 "_ _ 9» Initial claims . _ 2, 185 5, 000. 0 2,430 516.4 2, 105 472,7 1, 951 423. 0 2, 087 402. 0 >, 763 405. 3 I , 554 313. 5 1, 511 311. 4 338.7 1, 691 1, 993 372. 1 2, 332 425. 3 2, 250 432. 9 2, 077 481. 6 402. 9 1, 828 1, 811 368. 3 1, 850 2.005 1,740 1, 636 1,823 1, 564 1,388 1,357 1, 507 1, 801 2, 124 2,069 I, 898 1, 66S 1, 458 265 237 216 250 321 213 190 214 253 324 331 247 213 216 193 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 497 1, 485 1,406 1,427 198 190 190 174 210 645 610 547 56S NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators, State programs Benefi ts paid Insurer1 unemploymerit as perExhaus- cent of oovered emplo yment tions Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Thou sands Weekly <average, t lousands 59, 999 1, 177 2, 298. 6 200 16 1, 101 59, 526 2,070 4, 179. 1 296 25 1,805 2, 313 5, 498. 2 59, 375 38 2,150 295 1989 1970 1971 *_ _ _ _ 1972" May " June "_ Julv ". COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All programs Total Insured unem- benefits Insured Covered ploypaid unem(milemploy- ment ployment (weekly lions ment averof dolage) lars) Period DEC 37 43 39 36 35 33 29 26 28 29 31 29 31 29 31 Source- Department of Labor Per cent 2. 1 3. 4 4. 1 3.5 3. 8 3. 3 3. 1 3. 4 2.9 2.6 2.5 2 7 3. 3 3, 8 3. 7 3.4 2 9 2.5 3. 6 S. 7 S.6 3. 7 8.4 S. 4 3.4 S. S S. 0 S. 7 S. 7 H. 8 S. 7 S. 7 Total Average (milweekly lions of check dollars) (dollars) 2, 127. 9 3, 848. 5 4, 957. 0 4, 550. 0 472.9 429. 2 382. 1 364. 3 363.0 280. 1 280. 3 307. 2 342. 2 392. 7 399. 1 438. 9 374. 5 341. 4 2.6 2. 5 2. 4 2.5 _ - _| 46. 17 50. 34 54.02 57.00 56. 90 56.32 55.23 55. 75 55. 53 60. 16 56. 95 57.59 58. 10 57. 09 57. 13 57. 16 57. 21 57. 23 Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 148,000 (seasonally adjusted) in May, bringing the rise over the past 12 months to 2.7 million. Employment in contract construction rebounded sharply during the month to hit a record levei. Factory employment snowed little change during the month (up 16,000), but was 0.9 million higher than a year earlier iargeiy because of the growth in durable goods employment. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS CEASONAUY ADJUSTED: MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED! 76 72 - ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS ! I NONMANUFACTURING (PRIVATE) 40 36 241 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING MANUFACTURING /I 20 .,.„»••"•'"'»"""" "X,,,. GOVERNMENT 12 1970 1972 1971 1970 1973 1973 1972 SCUHCE; 'DEPARTMENT OF IABO3 COUNOl OF ECONOMIC ADV1SESS [Thousands of wage and salary workers;* seasonally adjusted] i Period 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1972: AprMay. June_ Julv_ A^Sent. Oct.. Nov. I)ec__ 1973: Jan_. Feb.. Mar _ Anr p. May* Manufa during ( private) Total 65, 857 67, 915 70, 284 70, 593 70, 645 72, 764 72, 224 72, 534 72, 705 72, 694 73, 016 73, 268 73, 584 73, 835 74, 002 74, 252 74, 715 74, 914 75, 074 75, 222 Total 19, 447 19, 781 20, 167 19, 349 18, 529 18, 933 18, 780 18, 864 18, 931 18, 893 18, 975 19, 069 19, 210 19, 312 19, 402 19, 463 19, 586 19, 643 19, 724 19, 740 NonDurable durable §oocis goods 11, 439 11, 626 11, 895 11, 195 10, 565 10, 884 10, 750 10, 821 10, 857 10, 867 10, S33 11, 003 11, 112 11, 194 11, 270 11, 326 11, 421 11, 463 11, 528 11, 558 8, 008 8, 155 8. 272 8, 154 7, 964 8, 049 8, 030 8, 043 8, 074 8, 026 8, 042 8, 066 8, 098 8, 118 8, 132 S, 137 8, 165 8, 180 8, 196 8, 182 IS onmanu facturic g (private ) Total 1 Con- Trans- Whole- Finance insurtract portasale tion ance, Services Federal State Mining conand and ana aoo struc- public retail local real tion utilities trade estate 35, 012 36, 288 37, 915 38, 709 39, 261 40, 541 40, 228 40, 407 40, 547 40, 530 40, 718 40, 814 40, 968 41, 070 41, 098 41, 311 41, 596 41, 697 41, 737 41, 836 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in noiiagr! cult Lira i establishments who worked during or received pay for any parr, of the pay period which includes the 12th oi the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel oi the Armed "Forces.'Tola! derived from this table not comparable with estimates of noaagricuitura! employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10. which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they Gover nmeat 613 606 619 623 602 607 605 605 601 601 603 606 608 608 607 610 612 610 604 600 3, 208 3, 285 3, 435 3, 381 3, 411 3, 521 3, 500 3, 532 3, 540 3, 499 3, 544 3, 551 3, 561 3, 524 3, 459 3. 498 3, 594 3, 604 3, 567 3, 617 4, 261 4, 310 4, 429 4,493 4, 442 4) 495 4, 476 4, 4S1 4, 486 4, 477 4, 487 4, 507 4, 540 4, 549 4, 558 4, 574 4, 580 4, 580 4, 592 4, 603 13, 606 14, 084 14, 639 14, 914 15, 142 15, 683 15, 561 15, 624 15, 678 15, 685 15, 762 15, 794 15, 839 15, 911 15, 946 16, 013 16, 114 16, 163 16, 201 16, 217 3, 225 3, 382 3, 564 3,688 3, 796 3, 927 3, 892 3, 913 3. 927 3, 927 3, 940 3, 953 3, 969 3, 981 3, 991 3, 995 4, 014 4, 024 4, 030 4, 040 10, 099 10, 623 11, 229 11, 612 11, 869 12, 309 12, 194 12, 252 12, 315 12, 341 12, 382 12, 403 12, 451 12, 497 12, 537 12, 821 12, 682 12, 716 12, 743 12, 759 NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted data, revised beginning 1988. Source: Department of Labor. 2,719 2,737 2,758 2, 705 2, 664 2,650 2, 662 2, 665 2, 639 2,613 2,624 2. 633 2, 639 2, 644 2, 650 2, 634 2,628 2, 631 2, 628 2, 631 8, 679 9, 109 9,444 9,830 10, 191 10, 640 10, 554 10, 598 10, 588 10, 658 10, 699 10, 752 10, 767 10, 809 10, 852 10, 844 10, 905 10, 943 10, 985 11,015 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek (seasonally adjusted) for production workers in the private nonfarm sector was unchanged during May, while the workweek in the manufacturing subsector declined by 0.2 hour. HOIJRS PER WEEK ISE* SONALLY 46 HOURS PER WEEK ISE 4SONAILY 46 ADJUSTED) TOTAL NOh^AGRICULTUREa ADJUSTED) MANUFACT JRING PRIVATE 44 44 42 42 40 40 38 38 /•"* ^"•V^i fa^S"**^*^ ^— — ^#«o«" 36 34 36 11. 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1. 1 1 .1 i i i i 1 i i i i i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1970 1972 1971 1 1 P 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 IK i i i i i ! i i i I-IK 1973 t 1 1 I.I 1 ll M H| 40 7**Kr/lVs/-i/V y-x^-y — V- 38 **""V_«»—oAk ~^ \J— 36 34 32 30 I I I I i I I i i i.i 1972 RETAIL TRAE)E CONSTRUCTIC>N 40 34 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1975 42 CONTRACT 36 1 1 I.I Jl\ 1 1 T i I 1 1 1 1 1 1970 42 38 34 1973 **-^—*»*~^ 32 r ,„!,,,,, 1970 ! i r t i f i ii ii p p 1 p p 1 p p 1 , p 1972 1971 ,,,,,!,,,,,,, 30 ! " 1970 1973 f t 1 1 ( I I 1 1 i 1. 1971 I 1 1 1 1 r 1 1 t 1 1973 1972 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMJC ADVISERS [Average hours per week1 Total nonagricultural private 2 Period Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 3 Total nonagricultural private 2 _. ... 1 Data relate to production 2 Also includes other private s 38.7 38.8 38. 6 38. 0 37. 8 37. 7 37.1 37. 0 37. 2 37. 0 36. 9 37. 4 37. 6 37. 6 37. 4 37. 3 37. 1 37. 2 36. 6 36. 8 36. 9 37. 0 37. 1 40. 7 41. 2 41. 3 40. 6 40. 7 40. 6 39. 8 39. 9 40. 6 40. 5 40. 5 40. 9 40. 4 40. 6 41. 0 40. 8 41. 0 41. 2 40. 0 40. 6 40.8 40. 8 40.8 workers or nonsupervisory employees; industry groups shown on p. 33. Includes eating and drinking places. 14 Contract construction Retail trade 3 Seasonallyr adjusted Unad usted 1964 1965 1966 1967. 1968 1969 1970_. 1971 1972 1972: Apr. May June July Aug Sept. Oct Nov.. _ Dec 1973: Jan Feb Mar . Apr " May » Manufacturing 37. 2 37. 4 37. 6 37. 7 37.4 37. 9 37. 4 37. 3 37.0 36. 6 36. 8 37. 6 37. 9 38. 2 38. 2 38. 2 36. 0 35. 2 34. 8 34. 9 36.6 36. 9 37. 5 37. 0 36. 6 35. 9 35. 3 34. 7 34. 2 33. 8 33. 7 33. 6 33. 3 33. 3 34. 1 34. 7 34. 7 33. 6 33. 3 33. 2 33. 9 32. 9 32. 9 32. 9 33. 0 i 33. 1 37. S 37.1 37. 1 37. % 37. 1 37. S 37. 3 37. 2 37. 0 38. 9 37. 2 37. 1 ST. 3 37. 8 40. 7 40. 5 36. 8 36. 8 40. e 36. 9 37. 0 37. 0 40. 6 40. 6 40. 8 40. 7 40. 8 40. 7 40. S 41. o 40.9 41.0 40.8 36. 9 37. A 36. 9 35. 8 36. 1 36. g 37.0 37. 1 87. S NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1968. Source: Department of Labor. S3. 7 33. 7 33. 8 33. 8 33. 6 33. 6 S3. G 33. o 33. 6 S3. 4 S3. S 33. 4 S3. 4 33.5 AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of private nonfarm production workers increased 2 cents in May to $3.84 (not seasonally adjusted) to a level 6.1 percent above a year earlier. Average weekly earnings rose by $1.12 to $142.46 and were 6.6 percent higher than a year before. DOLLARS DOLLARS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 6.00 240 A xvX CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 5.00 200 4.00 160 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION MANUFACTUR NG ...»•'" „,.,•••"•"•• TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE 3.00 120 -TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE „,#" RETAIL TRADE *•—*' 80 2.00 RETAIL TRADE 1970 1971 1972 1973 1970 1971 1972 SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Average h 3urly earni tigs — current dollars Average vreekly earn ings— curr 3nt dollars Total nonagricultural private ' Period 1964 1965 1966_ 1967. 1968 1969-.- ___ 1970 1971 1972 1972: Apr ___ __ ..... May June Julv Aug__ — Sept Oct Nov - _-. Dec 1973: Jan Feb MarApr » May " 1 2 Also includes other Includes eating and 3 $2. 36 2. 45 2. 56 2. 68 2. 85 3. 04 3. 22 3. 43 3.65 3. 61 3. 62 3. 63 i. 64 3. 66 i 72 3.74 3.74 3. 74 3.77 !. 78 ',. 80 3. 82 3. 84 Manufacturing $2. 53 2. 61 2. 72 2. 83 3. 01 3. 19 3. 36 3. 56 3. 81 3. 76 3. 78 3. 79 3. 78 3. 80 3. 86 3. 86 3. 89 3. 95 3. 98 3. 97 3. 98 4. 01 4. 02 Contract construction $3. 55 3. 70 3. 89 4. 11 4. 41 4. 79 5. 24 5. 69 6.06 5. 96 6. 01 5. 94 5. 96 6. 03 6. 15 6. 22 6. 23 6. 32 6. 42 6. 31 6. 28 6. 30 6. 33 Retail trade 2 $1. 75 1. 82 1. 91 2. 01 2. 16 2. 30 2. 44 2.57 2.70 2. 68 2. 69 2. 69 2. 70 2. 70 2. 73 2. 74 2. 75 2.75 2. 78 2. 80 2. 81 2. 83 2. 84 private industry groups shown on p. 13. drinking places. Ad]usted to exclude the eilects oi overtime and interindustry shifts. Total nonagrieultural private ' Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 2 $91. 33 95. 06 98. 82 101. 84 107. 73 114. 61 119. 46 126. 91 135. 78 133. 57 133. 58 135. 76 136. 86 137. 62 139. 13 139. 50 138. 75 139. 13 137. 98 139. 10 140. 22 141. 34 142. 46 $102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 133. 73 142. 04 154. 69 152. 28 153. 09 155. 01 152. 71 154. 28 158. 26 157. 49 159. 49 162. 74 159. 20 161. 18 162. 38 163. 61 164. 02 $132. 06 138. 38 146. 26 154. 95 164. 93 181. 54 195. 98 212. 24 224. 22 218. 14 221. 17 223. 34 225. 88 230. 35 234. 93 237. 60 224. 28 222. 46 223. 42 220. 22 229. 85 232. 47 237. 38 $64. 75 66. 61 68. 57 70. 95 74. 95 78. 66 82. 47 86. 61 90. 72 89. 24 89. 58 91. 73 93. 69 93. 69 91. 73 91. 24 91. 30 93. 23 91.46 92. 12 92. 45 93. 39 94. 00 Manufsicturing indu stries Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings, ings, 1967 3 100 dollars 4 90. 3 92. 6 95. 7 100. 0 106. 2 112. 6 119. 6 127. 5 135. 4 134. 1 134. 6 134. 7 135. 0 135. 5 136. 7 137. 0 137.7 139. 140. 140. 140. 141. 141. 2 1 1 7 3 9 $110. 84 113. 79 115. 58 114. 90 117. 57 117. 95 114. 99 117. 10 123. 46 122. 51 122. 77 124. 01 121. 68 122. 74 125. 40 124. 40 125. 68 127.84 124. 67 125. 33 125. 10 125. 18 124. 73 * Earnings in current dollars divided by the consumer price index. Source: Department oi Labor. 15 PRODUCTION industrial production (seasonally adjusted) rose 1/2 percent in May, somewhat less than in April. The May was 9 percent above the level a year earlier. index Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY .ADJUSTED) Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 140 INTERMEDIATE PRODUCTS, Wi «,."•». 1973 1970 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total industrial production Period 1964 1965 _ 1966 1967. 19681969 ___ 1970 1971 1972* 1972: Apr May June _ Juiv Aug: Sept Oot- _ Nov Dec 1973: Jan Feb Mar p Apr _ May * - 81.7 89. 2 97. 9 100. 0 105.7 110. 7 106. 6 106. 8 114.4 112. 8 113. 2 113. 4 113. 9 115. 1 116. 1 117. 5 118. 5 119. 2 120. 0 121. 1 122. 0 122. 8 123. 4 [1967=100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Market Mjmufaoturi np Final produ ote InterConmediate MateMining Utilities NonEquiprials Total Durable durable Total sumer ment products goods 81. 2 89. 1 98. 3 100. 0 105. 7 110. 5 105. 2 105. 2 113.2 111. 8 112.3 112. 5 113. 2 114. 1 115. 2 116. 6 117. 4 118. 5 118. 8 120. 4 121. 8 122. 3 123. 2 79.0 88. 5 99. 0 100. 0 105. 5 110. 0 101.4 99. 4 107.4 105. 8 106. 3 106. 8 107. 7 108. 4 109. 7 111.4 112. 4 114. 1 114. 3 116. 2 117.5 118. 4 119.3 Source: Board of Governors ol the Federal Koserve System. 16 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 84. 4 90. 0 97. 3 100. 0 106. 0 111. 1 110. 6 113. 5 121. 5 120. 3 120.8 121. 3 121. 0 122. 6 123. 3 124. 3 124. 7 124. 9 125. 4 126. 6 128. 0 128. 1 128. 9 91. 1 93. 9 98. 4 100. 0 103.9 107. 2 109.7 107.0 108. 2 109. 0 107. 9 108. 2 107. 9 107. 7 110. 2 110.0 110. 1 108. 3 108. 4 109.2 106. 3 106. 0 106. 1 81. 9 86. 9 93. 6 100. 0 109. 4 119. 5 128. 3 133.9 143. 5 140. 2 141. 1 141.0 142. 5 144. 1 145. 6 146.6 148.7 148. 5 151. 9 150. 4 149. 6 151. 4 151. 1 79. 6 86. 8 96. 1 100. 0 105. 8 109. 0 104. 5 104. 7 111. 2 109. 8 110. 2 110. 1 110. 2 111. 3 112. 4 113. 9 115. 0 115. 3 116. 4 117. 3 118. 1 118. 7 119. 4 86. 8 93. 0 98. 6 100. 0 106. 6 111. 1 110. 3 115. 7 123. 1 122. 0 122. 2 122. 1 122. 0 123. 1 124.4 125. 5 126. 8 126. 7 127. 5 128. 3 129. 4 129. 6 130. 5 70. 1 78. 7 93. 0 100. 0 104. 7 106. 1 96. 3 89. 4 94.6 92. 7 93. 4 93.3 93. 4 94. 8 95. 8 97. 3 98. 5 99. 4 101. 0 102. 0 102. 3 103. 4 103. 8 87. 3 93. 0 99. 2 100. 0 105. 7 112. 0 111. 7 112. 5 120.4 117. 3 119. 3 119. 1 120. 5 121. 2 121. 7 1 23. 4 125. 9 125. 7 126. 5 127.4 127. 6 127. 9 129. 2 82. 6 91. 0 99. 8 100. 0 105. 7 112. 4 107. 7 107. 4 116. 5 115. 0 115. 6 116. 1 116. 8 117. 4 119. 1 120. 3 120. 6 122. 0 121. 7 124. 0 125. 0 126. 5 126. 8 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED Most durable and nondurable manufactures (seasonally adjusted) contributed to the May sain in indusfriai production. Index, 1967=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED] 140 Index, 1967=100 [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 .<?•».«.-A 7^ ^* ^ ^>« ^* LUMBER A MD PRODUCTS 120 /1 \ 110 MAC HINERY 0s, &* x^—*v k*v s»-** ^^i V*' , V, % 90 RO ^^ \.fS*^ >C£v 100 x<1 ** 120 £ L> / ".^-^^-"^ TRA NSPORTATION E QU1PMENT i! i i i i i 1 i i i l i l 1 l l i 1 i l l l i 1972 1971 110 \1 «! i , i , , 1 , ,« 1970 11111111111 100 1973 1970 \ 1973 100 1970 SOURCEi BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1967^100, seasonally adjusted] Nc ndurable manufactu res Durab le manufEictures Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 .. 1969 1970 1971 1972» Primary metals ... . . _ _ __ . 1972: Apr May June _ July, Aug Sept Oct.. Kov Dec 1973: Jan Feb Mar Apr " May r . . .. . __ ^ ^ __ _ . . ... . - . _. _ . ... .._ _ . _ . FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods and cated Machin- tation apparel, petroand ery and metal equipprodprint- leum, and leather ing rubber products ment ucts 95. 7 104. 0 108. 8 100. 0 103. 2 114. 1 106. 9 100. 9 113. 1 83. 3 92. 6 100. 5 100. 0 106. 3 113. 6 109. 4 107. 4 113. 4 74. 3 84. 1 98. 6 100. 0 101. 9 106. 8 100. 3 96. 2 105. 3 79. 6 91. 3 101. 2 100. 0 109. 7 107. 6 90. 4 92. 9 98. 8 91. 0 94. 7 98. 4 100. 0 104. 8 108. 6 106. 3 113. 9 122. 2 91. 9 97. 8 101. 7 100. 0 104. 9 105. 9 100. 2 100. 7 106.4 84. 5 90. 5 98. 9 100. 0 104. 2 109. 1 107. 8 107. 8 115. 4 75. 9 83. 8 94. 1 100. 0 109. 6 118. 4 118. 2 124, 7 137. 6 90. 6 92. 6 97. 0 100. 0 103. 6 107. 5 110. 8 113. 7 117. 4 110. 2 113.5 111. 9 114. 9 113. 6 117. 4 119.3 120.2 126. 6 110. 8 111. 9 112. 3 114. 1 114. 4 115. 2 117. 5 118. 8 118. 6 102. 6 103. 0 104.8 104. 8 107. 1 108. 3 109. 6 110. 4 113. 1 100. 4 98. 9 97. 4 98. 2 98. 4 99. 8 102. 1 105. 0 105. 9 119. 9 119. 1 121. 8 121. 5 121. 1 122. 8 128. 1 128. 2 124. 3 106. 1 104. 9 105. 9 104. 8 106. 8 108. 0 109. 1 109. 1 110. 7 112. 3 114. 1 115. 1 115. 2 116. 4 115. 3 118. 6 120. 9 120. 6 136. 1 137. 5 137. 1 137. 4 139. 9 141. 1 141. 6 140. 8 141. 5 117. 6 117. 1 117. 6 116. 8 117. 6 118. 8 117. 8 118. 9 118. 3 120. 6 123. 1 122. 5 123.4 124. 4 119. 9 122. 1 124. 1 125. 0 126. 3 113. 114. 117. 119. 121. 106. 7 110. 0 110. 3 109. 4 109. 5 126. 8 128. 3 129. 3 129. 0 107. 7 109. 8 111. 4 112. 6 113. 5 119. 9 121. 9 122. 6 122.0 123. 0 145. 2 144. 3 147. 2 148. 4 147. 8 118. 2 120. 9 120. 4 119. 3 121. 1 7 5 1 6 0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Most weekly indicators of production rose in May. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS MILLIONS OF TONS 25 SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE 1NTER1C EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Steel p reduced Index Thousands (1967= of net tons 100) Period Weekly average: 1966 1967,__ 1968 1969. . . _ _ 1970 1971 1972 » 1972: Apr May JuneJuly Aug Sept Oct Nov... Dec., _ 1973: Jan... _ Feb Mar Anr Mav " Week ended: 1973: Mav 5 12. 19 Jane 26 2 9 " .. 16 " includes data for Alaska Not charted. 2 . 2, 572 2,440 2, 515 2,709 2, 522 2, 310 2, 549 2, 701 2, 694 2, 559 2, 340 2,447 2, 550 2, 631 2, 657 2, 687 2, 793 2, 906 2, 954 2, 981 2,970 2,981 2,929 3,015 3,010 2,948 2,915 2 2, 932 105. 4 100. 0 103. 1 111. 0 103. 4 94. 7 104.5 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboarc Car s and tnicks power coal mined loaded produced assemb led (thoiisands) distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands (millions of of short Total of cars) of toas) Cars Trucks kilowatt-hours) tons) ' 110. 4 104. 9 95. 9 100. 3 104. 5 107. 9 108.9 110. 2 114. 5 119. 1 121. 1 122. 2 121. 7 23, 169 25, 244 27, 588 29, 317 30, 923 33, 540 31, 372 31, 402 34, 174 35, 905 36, 374 34, 360 32, 547 33, 674 35, 264 35, 861 35, 800 33, 643 33, 164 33,543 10, 267 10, 627 10, 485 10, 779 11, 595 10, 619 11, 346 11, 651 11, 961 10, 878 9, 428 11, 582 11, 404 11, 498 11, 211 9, 964 10, 598 11, 059 11, 116 10, 945 11,493 570 540 543 543 522 486 501 507 515 514 459 521 524 551 524 471 491 509 515 518 543 122. 2 120. 1 123. 6 123. 4 120. 8 119. 5 120. 2 32,857 33,495 33,258 34,237 33,869 37,165 2 38, 724 11,520 11,505 11,880 11,810 10,750 11,570 546 547 552 563 506 558 110. 7 21, 971 446 439 479 507 489 501 548 549 569 558 517 566 529 576 564 498 512 583 593 584 589 583 572 587 609 592 565 199. 3 172.9 207.6 195. 8 158. 9 204. 8 217. 2 249. 5 238. 4 230. 7 120. 5 152. 8 225. 5 257. 6 257. 1 202. 5 261. 3 277. 6 276. 1 262. 0 269. 9 165.4 142. 4 170.1 158. 1 125. 9 165. 0 169. 6 194. 3 185. 5 180. 9 93. 1 116. 9 180. 9 203. 1 200. 9 157. 7 201. 5 213. 3 212. 1 200. 8 207. 3 33. 9 30. 5 37.5 37. 8 33. 0 39. 8 47. 5 55. 1 52. 9 49. 8 27. 4 35. 9 44. 6 54. 5 56. 3 44. 7 59. 8 64. 3 64. 1 61. 2 62. 6 274. 1 280. 5 284.3 272. 7 238. 1 285. 7 289. 3 210. 7 214. 5 218. 2 210. 6 182. 9 221. 6 222. 4 63. 5 66. 1 66. 1 62. 1 55. 3 64. 1 67. 0 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper Institute, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NTEW CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) declined in April. The decline in public construction was somewhat more than that in the private sector. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 60 40 20 1967 1973 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total new construction expenditures Period 1967 1968 1969 1970 19711972 v „ ! 77. 5 86. 6 93. 4 94. 2 109. 2 123. 8 COUNCa OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total 52. 0 59. 0 65. 4 66. 1 79.4 93.6 Private Resic ential CommerNew cial and Other housing industrial Total ! units Billions of dol ars 25. 6 2t . 4 19. 0 30. 6 24. 0 14.7 13. 8 33. 2 16. 0 25. 9 16. 2 24. 3 31. 9 16. 3 17.9 43. 3 19. 1 17. 0 35. 1 54.2 44. 7 21. 3 18. 1 | Constructio n contracts Federal, State, and local 25. 5 27. 6 28. 0 28. 1 29. 9 30.2 Seasonall y adjusted at inual rates 1972: Feb MaiApr MavJune _ _ July Aug Sept-__ . Oct- --_ Nov Dec 1973: Jan. _ _ Feb Mar v Apr " 121. 5 123. 0 120. 8 122. 5 121. 6 121. 6 123. 0 125. 1 128. 5 126. 8 131. 6 134. 4 134. 7 136. 9 135. 4 91. 1 92. 6 91. 7 92. 7 92. 6 92. 4 93.9 94. 5 96. 2 97. 5 98. 5 100. 7 102. 4 103. 3 102. 7 52. 0 53. 3 52. 9 52. 7 53. 3 53. 8 54. 5 55. 5 56. 4 57. 2 57. 5 57. 8 59.4 59. 8 59. 2 42. 8 44. 0 43. 6 43. 4 43. 8 44. 1 44. 7 45. 9 46. 9 47. 8 48.0 48. 1 49. 4 49. 6 48. 8 'Includes nonliousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately. 2 F. W. Dodge series. Relates to 50 States beginning 1969 for value index and beginning 1971 for floor space. 17. 9 17. 9 18. 0 18. 8 18. 2 17. 8 18. 1 18. 0 18. 1 18. 2 18.6 20. 3 20. 1 20. 6 20. 5 21 2 21. 4 20. 9 21. 2 21. 1 20. 8 21. 3 21. 0 21. 8 22. 1 22. 3 22. 6 23. 0 23. 0 23.0 30. 4 30. 4 29. 0 29. 8 29. 0 29. 2 29. 2 30. 6 32. 3 29. 3 33. 1 33. 7 32. 3 33. 6 32. 6 2 CommerTotal value cial and index, industrial (1967 = floor space (millions of 100) square feet) 100. 0 113. 2 123. 7 123. 1 145. 4 165. 3 883 155 159 167 801 800 786 694 779 743 727 858 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual rates 165 154 155 180 187 171 177 163 181 191 193 177 983 846 813 908 896 895 992 946 1,031 1,037 1,012 1,006 NOTE.—Expenditures series revised beginning 1969. Sources: Department of Commerce and McGraw-Hill Information Systems Company, F. W. Dodge Division- 19 NEW HOUSING APPLICATIONS FINANCING Private housing starts (seasonally adjusted) rose 1 51/2 percent in May, following 3 consecutive months of decline. Starts for April-May were at an annual rate of 2.27 million units, down slightly from the 2.40 million rate in the first quarter. MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 MILLIONS OF UNITS 3.0 1967 1968 1969 I 1970 1971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS .SOt&CES: DEPARTMENT Of. COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OEl HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT,, AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION Total private Total and private public (includ(including farm) ing farm) Period 1967 1968 .__ 1969 1970 ._ 1971 1972 5. 1972: Apr May June. July Aug Sept.. Oct Nov Dec 1973: Jan . Feb Mar.. Ar>r» May l 2n 1, 321. 9 1, 545. 4 1, 499. 5 1, 469. 0 2, 084. 5 2, 378. 5 ._ _ _ . ___ ... 213. 2 227. 9 226. 2 207. 5 231. 0 204. 4 218. 2 187. 1 152. 7 147. 3 139. 5 201. 1 203. 5 235. 3 [Thousands of units] Hou sing star ts Private Total ( ncludinj:' farm) Total 1, 291. 6 1, 291. 6 1, 507. 6 1, 507. 6 1, 466. 8 1, 466. 8 1, 433. 6 1, 433. 6 2, 052. 2 2, 052. 2 2, 356. 6 2, 356. 6 211. 6 225. 8 223. 1 206. 5 228. 6 203. 0 216. 5 185. 7 150. 5 146. 6 138. 0 200. 0 203. 1 235. 2 2, 204 2, 318 2. 315 2, 244 2, 424 2, 426 2, 446 2, 395 2, 369 2, 497 2, 456 2, 260 2, 104 2, 430 Cover nment home p rograms (non arm) Two or FHA i VA more units 52. 5 843. 9 447. 7 141. 9 899. 4 608. 2 147. 7 56. 1 810. 6 656. 2 51. 2 153. 6 812. 9 620. 7 233. 5 61. 0 1, 151. 0 901. 2 301. 2 94. 0 1, 309. 2 1, 047. 2 198. 4 104. 0 Seasona liy ad jus ted annu al 221 104 1,215 989 100 1, 308 197 1,011 1,032 1, 283 182 99 107 1, 319 925 176 103 1, 373 1, 051 179 1, 382 1, 045 175 106 1, 315 1, 131 149 98 92 1, 324 1,071 125 1, 207 1, 162 86 106 1, 450 96 1, 047 87 1, 372 1, 084 111 105 92 1, 245 1, 015 101 100 1, 197 907 74 1, 162 109 1, 268 One unit Units are lor 1- to -1-fomily housing. Authorized by issuance of local building permit: in 14,000 permit-issuing places beginning 1973;' 13.000 ' for 1967-72;' 12,000 ' for 1963-66; and 10,000 iu,uuu vprior to u 1963. OA Propos ed home constniction 3 New private housing units authorized 2 1, 141. 0 1, 353. 4 1, 323. 7 1, 351. 5 1, 924. 6 2, 130. 4 rates 1, 991 1, 955 2, 121 2, 108 2, 237 2, 265 2,216 2, 139 2,377 2, 254 2, 221 2, 102 1,882 1, 906 Applica- Requests tions for for VA FIT A commit- appraisals ments ' 167. 2 168. 9 187. 6 315. 0 366. 8 225. 2 124. 3 131. 7 138. 2 143. 7 217. 9 209. 4 227 222 221 224 207 166 147 162 131 124 100 93 68 243 198 219 200 202 192 189 207 194 222 217 201 169 162 a Units represented by mortgage applications or appraisal requests for new home construction. „ _ . . o!, Commerce, _ _ „ „ Sources: Department Department of, Housing and. Urban Development, and Veterans Administration. INVENTORIES—TOTAL AND TRADE Business inventories rose $1.1 billion (seasonally adjusted) in April after an average monthly rise of $1.8 billion in fhe first quarter. According to advance reports retail sales rose in May after declining in April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED] BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 25 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) -DURABLE GOODS STORES 20 INVENTORIES 15 SALES 10 35 NONDURABLE GOODS STORES INVENTORIES 30 25 20 20 1973 1970 1970 1971 1973 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Irasinessl | Wholesale R(;tail Sales 2 Period 1965___ 1966— 1987 19681969 1970 1971 1972 1972: Mar Apr Alav June July— Aug.— Sept Get Nov Dec 1973: Jan __ Feb Mar A~or v Sales 2 80, 276 87, 178 89, 698 97, 100 103, 104 104, 708 112, 267 124, 647 120, 237 121, 348 122, 668 122, 353 . _ _ 122, 774 126, 779 127, 646 130, 349 131, 398 133, 487 136, 850 _ 138, 911 141, 006 141, 003 Inventories s Sales 2 120, 900 136, 729 145, 164 155, 376 166, 813 174, 875 183, 622 194, 151 184, 856 185, 655 186, 816 187, 194 187, 681 189, 093 190, 486 191, 583 192, 921 194, 151 196, 295 198, 172 199, 617 200, 738 15, 595 16, 979 17, 099 18, 329 19, 726 20, 554 22, 280 24, 850 23, 884 24, 170 24, 260 24, 230 24, 394 25, 137 25, 407 25, 779 26, 212 26, 962 27, 755 28, 423 29, 312 29, 563 May > 1 2 The term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 22). Monthly average for year and total for month. k value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. Inventories 3 ^lillions of 18, 274 20, 691 21, 557 22, 528 24, 363 26, 604 28, 916 31, 732 29, 174 29, 574 29, 729 29, 641 30, 056 30, 164 30, 657 31, 032 31, 289 31, 732 32, 582 33, 051 33, 245 33, 456 NonDurable durable goods Total goods stores dollars, seasonally a d justed 23, 677 7, 849 15, 828 34, 405 25, 330 8, 192 17, 138 38, 073 26, 151 8, 348 17, 803 38, 952 9, 268 19, 222 41, 973 28, 490 29, 824 9, 626 20, 197 45, 376 9, 524 21, 770 46, 626 31, 294 34, 071 10, 985 23, 086 52, 261 37, 365 12, 472 24, 893 54, 700 36, 450 12, OS7 24, 363 52, 639 36, 296 11, 976 24, 320 52, 814 37, 141 12, 280 24, 861 53, 402 36, 822 12, 253 24, 569 53, 293 37, 342 12, 468 24, 874 52, 940 37, 969 12, 842 25, 127 53, 107 37, 746 12, 614 25, 132 53, 661 39, 106 13, 168 25, 938 53, 934 38, 713 13, 173 25, 540 54, 658 39, 417 13, 640 25, 777 54, 700 40, 707 14, 234 26, 473 55, 526 41, 242 14, 405 26, 837 56, 039 41, 979 14, 612 27, 367 56, 197 40, 978 14, 262 26, 716 56, 705 41, 562 14, 495 27, 067 Total [nventories 3 Durable goods Nondurable goods stores 15, 253 17, 258 17, 277 19, 167 20, 647 20, 345 23, 808 24, 442 23, 674 23, 740 23, 915 23, 685 23, 194 23, 037 23, 608 23, 675 24, 235 24, 442 24, 472 24, 638 24, 538 24, 624 19, 152 20, 815 21, 675 22, 806 24, 729 26, 281 28, 453 30, 258 28, 965 29, 074 29, 487 29, 628 29, 746 30, 070 30, 053 30, 259 30, 423 30, 258 31, 054 31, 401 31, 659 32, 081 NOTE.—Total business (and manufacturing) revised beginning 1967. Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' shipments, new orders, and inventories (seasonally adjusted) rose in April, according to revised figures. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED! BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 110 MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 100 TOTAL 90 80 DURABLE GOODS 70 20 - 60 40 •MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS 50 DURABLE GOODS \ 30 „„„,„„......•»""'•' „.«<•" NONDURABLE GOODS 40 ,. ilillllH'""^ i NONDURABLE GOODS 20 ,...,...^..-"°' 30 i I.i 1970 SOURCE: 1971 1972 1973 1970 1971 Manufae turers' st> ipments ' Manufae turers' inv entories2 Total NonDurable durable goods goods Total 44, 869 46, 449 50, 282 53, 555 52, 860 55, 917 62, 432 59, 903 60, 882 61, 267 61, 301 61, 038 63, 673 64, 493 65, 464 66, 473 67, 108 68, 388 69, 246 69, 715 70, 462 24, 633 25, 212 27, 694 29, 459 28, 231 29, 948 33, 859 32, 186 32, 999 33, 236 32, 925 32, 794 34, 674 35, 239 36, 315 36, 350 36, 618 37, 760 38, 123 38, 060 38, 645 20, 236 21, 236 22, 588 24, 096 24, 629 25, 969 28, 573 27, 717 27, 883 28, 031 28, 376 28, 244 28, 999 29, 254 29, 149 30, 123 30, 490 30, 628 31, 123 31, 655 31, 817 1 Monthly average for year and total for month. 2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. s 77, 965 84, 655 90, 875 97, 074 101, 645 102, 445 107, 719 103, 043 103, 267 103, 685 104, 260 104, 685 105, 822 106, 168 106, 617 106, 974 107, 719 108, 187 109, 082 110, 175 110, 577 NonDurable durable goods goods 49, 818 54, 931 59, 112 63, 371 66, 768 66, 050 70, 218 66, 569 66, 725 67, 161 67, 502 67, 734 68, 568 68, 875 69, 308 69, 613 70, 218 70, 590 71, 136 71, 873 72, 213 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly 22 28, 147 29, 724 31, 763 33, 703 34, 877 36, 395 37, 501 36, 474 36, 542 36, 524 36, 758 36, 951 37, 254 37, 293 37, 309 37, 361 37, 501 37. 597 37, 946 38, 302 38, 364 i Manufacturers' Durat)le goods invenNonCapital durable torygoods shipTotal industries, goods ments3 nondefense ratio Manufacturers' new ordc rs ' Total Millions of dollars, seasonal y 1966 1967 . 1968 1969 1970 1971. _ 1972__. 1972: Mar Apr May June July Aug _ Sept Oct Nov. Dec 1973: Jan Peb Mar. ... Apr " 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1972 adjusted 45, 944 46, 763 50, 243 53, 646 52, 063 55, 732 63, 481 60, 258 61, 743 62, 046 63, 823 61, 477 64, 796 66, 610 66, 368 67, 206 68, 912 70, 003 71, 023 72, 802 73, 319 25, 720 25, 526 27, 666 29, 549 27, 431 29, 751 34, 833 32, 451 33, 799 33, 987 35, 402 33, 198 35, 759 37, 282 37, 140 36, 942 38, 329 39, 205 39, 766 41, 017 41, 335 6, 971 7, 694 1, 021 7, 339 8, 983 8, 304 8, 700 8, 932 8, 981 8, 954 8, 89S 9, 727 9, 625 9, 696 9, 991 10, 277 10, 105 10, 572 10, 619 20, 224 21, 238 22, 577 24, 097 24, 632 25, 981 28, 648 27, 807 27, 944 28, 059 28, 421 28, 279 29, 037 29, 328 29, 228 30, 264 30, 583 30, 798 31, 257 31, 785 31, 984 ; i. 62 1. 76 1. 741. 76 1. 89 1. 82 1. 68 1. 72 1. 70 1. 6» 1. 70' 1. 72 1. 63 1. 65 1. 63 1. 61 3. 61 1. 58 1. 58 I. 58 1. 57 shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month, NOTE.—Series revised "beginning 1987. Source: Department of Commerce. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS U.S. merchandise exports exceeded imports by $196 million in April, on a seasonally adjusted basis. This turnaround in the trade balance From a deficit to a surplus position was the result of across-the-board reductions of imports and increases in exports. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 5.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 i I i I I i i i l i l l I i l i l nJ 2.0 1967 1973 ]/ SEE NOTE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADViSERS [Millions Brferchandi se expor A Total (ineludDornesti e exports ing ree xports) * Food, Crude bever- mate2 Season- Unad- Total » rials ages, ally ad- justed and to- and justed fuels bacco Monthly average: 1964 1965 1966 1967 . 1968 1969 1970 1971 . _ _ 1972 2, 153 2, 229 2, 458 2,586 2, 839 3, 111 3, 555 3,629 4, 101 2, 123 2, 201 2, 421 2, 554 2, 802 3, 066 3,502 3,576 4, 034 386 377 432 392 383 370 422 423 548 361 356 367 394 405 417 558 537 591 of dollars] Manufactured goods Merch andise iinports Gen eral impiarts 3 2 Food, Crude Total bever- mateSeasonages, rials ally ad- Unad- and to- and justed justed bacco fuels 1, 562 1, 786 2, 135 2, 241 2, 769 3, 004 3, 329 3,797 4, 630 1, 377 1,453 1, 602 1, 737 1, 985 2,232 2, 445 2,537 2, 812 U nadjuste i 1972: Mar Apr May___ June. _ _ July Aug _ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1973: Jan Feb... Mar _ Apr 3,869 3,817 3,885 3,971 4,05% 4,200 4,177 4,318 4,473 4,561 4,977 5, 065 5, 380 5, 487 4, 306 3,885 4, 141 4, 015 3, 657 3, 937 3,964 4, 443 4, 583 4,693 4, 747 4,864 5, 923 5, 561 4, 247 3,810 4,075 3,942 3, 599 3,867 3, 894 4, 381 4, 497 4,620 4, 678 4, 795 5, 826 5,456 426 396 508 528 496 539 594 637 710 750 752 744 881 843 334 382 392 447 442 519 534 614 419 453 476 447 503 533 545 606 737 759 937 1, 204 1, 313 1, 719 1, 918 2, 159 2,535 3, 146 590 444 323 345 70 107 226 -168 -529 Unad usted 610 567 565 557 509 548 478 672 760 731 736 815 1, 023 898 \ Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 2 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. B Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 335 Grossmerehandise trade Manu- surplus, seasonfactured ally adjusted goods 3, 116 2, 753 2, 917 2, 762 2, 540 2,710 2, 745 3,009 2, 928 3,040 3, 114 3, 140 3, 829 3, 583 4,515 4,413 4,48% 4,468 4,565 4,7S6 4,606 4,736 5,136 5,002 5, 281 5, 641 5, 4S2 5, SOI 4,844 4, 248 4, 722 4, 766 4, 314 4, 727 4, 485 5, 007 5, 190 4, 795 5, 423 4, 945 5, 596 5, 347 554 544 604 614 548 632 628 692 662 639 726 645 714 757 756 659 731 715 712 728 756 775 810 822 930 853 994 914 3, 401 2, 918 3, 254 3, 305 2, 928 3, 232 2, 969 3, 393 3, 574 3, 190 3, 604 3, 318 3, 737 3, 535 — 646 -596 -597 -497 — 513 — 527 — 428 — 418 — 664 -441 — 304 — 476 — 53 196 NOTE.—Data adjusted to include silver ore and bullion reported separately prior to 1969. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. OM The balance on goods and services improved sisnificanfly from a deficit of $870 million (seasonally adjusted) i., the fourth quarter of 1972 to an approximate balance In the first quarter of 1973. This improvement was due to a sharp decline in the trade deficit. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS -3 1973 1967 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] M erchandis Period Exports 1987 . 1968__ 1989 _ 30, 666 33, 620 36, 400 41, 964 1970 1971— _ — 42, 768 1972 " 48, 7G9 Imports B 12 Net balance Neti ivestmerit i ncome Milikxry trans actions Direct expenditures -26, 866 3, 800 -4, 378 -32, 991 635 — 4, 535 -35, 807 593 -4, 856 -39, 788 2, 176 -4,852 — 45, 466 -2,698 -4, 829 — 55, 681 -G, 912 -4, 724 Sales 1, 240 1, 392 I , 512 1, 478 1. 912 1, 166 Net balance Private 3 -3, 138 5, — 3, 143 6, -'A, 344 5, -3, 374 6, -2, 918 8, — 3, 558 9, U.S. Government Re- Net Baltravel Other ance and on trans- serv- goods portaices, and tion net serv- 4 expendices * itures 848 40 -1, 751 157 63 — i, 548 820 155 -1,782 374 -115 -2, 013 929 -957 -2, 288 751 - 1, 889 -2, 853 335 5, 132 302 2, 465 449 1, 891 581 3,630 739 807 850 — 4, 609 mittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers J -3, 081 -2, 909 -2, 941 -3, 214 -3. 598 -3, 744 Balance on current account 2,051 -443 - 1, 050 416 -2, 790 — 8, 353 489 419 197S III—. IV 1, 167| 1 343 -894 - 954 -846 -864 -824 Excludes military grants. in timingc, and coverage. .'Adjusted ... ,from Census - - data — for - differences „-. "Includes fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the United States. 24 2, 893 4 Equal to net exports ol goods and services in the national income and product accounts of the United States when converted to an annual rates basis, NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1380, Source: Department oi Commerce. 5. ON .'he U.S. balance of payments on an official reserve transactions basis was in deficit by $10% billion (seasonally adjusted) in the first quarter, compared to a deficit of $1 % billion in the fourth quarter. This iarge increase in the overall payments deficit reflected massive dollar outflows during the international monetary turmoil of February and March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SI BILLIONS OF DOLLARS IS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BALANCE ON CURRENT ACCOUNT AND LONG-TERM CAPITAL -5 -10 -15 1973 19.67 SOUSC& DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Period 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971. 1972 » NonLong-term capital Balance liquid on flows, net current shortterm account private U.S. and longcapital GovernPrivate 2 term flows ment l capital net 2 — 2, 423 —2, 932 -3, 304 — 522 -2, 158 1, 191 -1,411 231 -1,926 -70 -3,046 -640 -2,018 -1,429 -3, 031 -482 — 2, 359 —4, 401 — 9, 550 -2, 347 -1,339 -151 — 9, 842 — 1, 637 Allocations of special drawing rights Errors and omissions, net Net liquidity balance Liquid private capital flows, net - Changes in liaOfficial bilities reserve to transactions foreign official balance agencies, net3 Changes in U.S. official reserve assets, net 4 U.S. official reserve assets, net (end of period) -857 -4, 683 1, 265 -3,418 52 14, 830 3, 366 -431 -1, 611 3, 252 1, 641 -761 -880 15, 710 -2, 395 — 6, 08] 8, 820 2, 739 - 1, 552 -1, 1875 16, 964 867 — 1, 205 -3,851 -5,988 -9,839 7, 362 2, 477 14, 487 717 -10, 784 -21, 965 — 7, 788 -29, 753 27, 405 2, 348 6 12, 167 710 — 3, 112 -13, 882 3, 542 - 10, 340 10, 308 32 13, 151 Unadjusted Sea tonally ac justed 1971:111— IV. .. 1972: !_.... EL— III... IV 1973:1 ' 1 2 -598 -2,018 -3, 294 -822 — 544: 201 — 1, 881 -516 OOO -289! — 1, 143 — 3, 775 — 951 604 — 1, 855 310 -366! —393 -2, 652 -430 — 586' 781 — 1, 556 -982 — 344; —120 — 1, 214 — 1, 420 179 179 178 178 177 177 -5,511 -1, 933 944 -940 - 1, 626 - 1, 490 -4, 237 Excludes liabilities to foreign official reserve agencies. Private foreigners exclude the IMF, but include other international and regional organizations. 0 -9,448 -2. 434 — 11, 882 -4, 151 — 1, 749 — 5, 900 -3, 188 -288 -3, 476 -2, 307 1. 456 — 851 — 4, 531 7 — 4, 524 — 3, 851 2, 367 -1, 484| -6,871 -3,631 -10, 502; 10, 6, 3, 1, 4, 1, 10, 688 087 047 082 579 595 282 1, 194 -187 429 — 231 — 55 -111 220 12, 131 12, 167 12, 270 " 13, 339 13, 217 13, 151 S 12, 931 6 Includes $28 million increase in dollar value 01 foreign currencies revalued to reflect market, exchange rates as of Dec. 31, 1971. 7 Includes increase of $1,010 raillion resulting from change in par value of i.he U.S. dollar on May 8. 8 Dollar equivalents not revalued to reflect de facto conversion rates. PRICES CONSUMER PRICES In May, the consumer price index rose 0.6 percent both unadjusted and seasonally adjusted. Food prices rose 1.0 percent (1.1 percent adjusted), the smallest rise for any month so far this year. Nonfood commodity prices increased 0.6 percent (0.4 percent adjusted), while services prices rose 0.4 percent. Index, 1967=100 Index, 1967=100 110 100 100 1967 1973 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IABOR Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969. . 1970 1971 1972 1972: Apr _._ May . June July... Aug Sept . Oet. Nov Dec 1973: Jan Feb Mar Apr May __ Source: Department of Labor. 26 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All items 92. 9 94. 5 97. 2 100. 0 104.2 109. 8 116. 3 121. 3 125. 3 124. 3 124. 7 125. 0 125. 5 125. 7 126. 2 126. 6 126. 9 127. 3 127. 7 128. 6 129. 8 130. 7 131. 5 [] 967 = 100 ] Co mmoditie 3 Services Comm odities lei s food Services All comAll Food Rent less Nonmodities services All Durable durable rent 94. 6 95. 7 98. 2 100. 0 103. 7 108. 4 113. 5 117. 4 120. 9 119. 9 120. 3 120. 7 121. 2 121.4 122. 0 122. 3 122. 7 122. 9 123. 4 124. 5 126. 1 127. 4 128. 3 92. 4 94. 4 99. 1 100. 0 103. 6 108. 9 114. 9 118. 4 123. 5 122.4 122. 3 123. 0 124. 2 124. 6 124. 8 124. 9 125.4 126. 0 128. 6 131. 1 134. 5 136.5 137.9 95. 6 96. 2 97. 5 100. 0 103. 7 108. 1 112. 5 116. 8 119. 4 118. 5 119.2 119. 4 119. 4 119. 5 120. 3 120.8 121. 0 121. 1 120. 5 120. 9 121. 5 122. 3 123. 0 98.8 98. 4 98. 5 100. 0 103. 1 107. 0 111. 8 116. 5 118. 9 117. 7 118. 4 119. 2 119. 6 119. 7 119. 8 120. 1 120. 3 120. 3 119. 9 119. 9 120. 2 121. 0 121. 8 93. 5 94. 8 97. 0 100. 0 104 1 108. 8 113. 1 117. 0 119. 8 119. 1 119.7 119. 5 119.3 119. 4 120. 8 121. 3 121. 7 121. 7 120. 9 121. 6 122.4 123.3 124. 0 90. 2 92. 2 95. 8 100. 0 105. 2 112. 5 121. 6 128. 4 133. 3 132. 4 132. 7 133. 1 133.5 133. 8 134. 1 134. 6 134.9 135. 4 135. 7 136. 2 136. 6 137. 0 137. 5 95. 9 96. 9 98. 2 100. 0 102. 4 105. 7 110. 1 115. 2 119.2 118. 4 118. 6 119. 0 119. 2 119.6 119. 9 120. 3 120. 5 121. 0 121. 5 122. 1 122.6 123. 0 123.5 89. 2 91. 5 95. 3 100. 0 105. 7 113. 8 123. 7 130. 8 135. 9 135. 0 135. 3 135. 7 136. 1 136. 4 136. 7 137. 2 137. 6 138. 0 138. 3 138. 7 139. 2 139. 6 140. 1 WHOLESALE PRICES Jhe wholesale price index rose 2.1 percent in May (2.0 percent after adjustment for seasonal factors), industrial commodity prices rose 1.1 percent (1.2 percent adjusted), the fourth consecutive monthly increase exceeding 1 percent. Farm product prices increased 6.1 percent (4.8 percent adjusted) after declining in April. Prices of processed foods and feeds, which also fell in April, rose 3.7 percent (3.4 percent adjusted) in May. Index, 1967=100 180 Index, 1967=100 180 120 110 100 100 90 90 1967 SOUrtCE, DEPARTMENT OF IAKM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [ 1967 = 10 3] Ail commodities Period 1964 1965 1966 1967_-_ 1968 1969-. 1970 1971 1972 1972: Api\ Mav June July Aua; Sept Oct_ Nov Dec 1973: Jan_ Feb Mar Anr May . .. _ __ ~ _ ... 94.7 96. 6 99. 8 100. 0 102. 5 106. 5 110. 4 113. 9 119. 1 117. 5 118. 2 118. 8 119. 7 119. 9 120. 2 120. 0 120. 7 122. 9 124. 5 126. 9 129. 7 130. 7 133. 5 Farm products 94. 6 98. 7 105. 9 100. 0 102. 5 109. 1 111. 112. 125. 119. 122 124. 128. 328. 0 9 0 1 2 0 0 2 128.6 125. 5 128. 8 137. 5 144. 2 150. 9 160.9 160. 6 170. 4 All industrials1 92. 3 95. 5 101. 2 100. 0 102. 2 107. 3 112. 0 114. 3 120. 8 117. 7 1 1 8. 6 119.6 121. 121. 121. 121. 123. 129. 132. 137. 141. 139. 145. I 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage oi tills Index. 2 Excludes crude foodstuffs and leedstuffs, plant and animal fibers, oilseeds, and leaf tobacco. Iridustrial c ommoditi es Processed foods and feeds 5 0 8 8 1 4 4 0 4 8 0 3 95. 2 96. 4 98. 5 100. 0 102. 5 106. 0 110. 0 114. 0 117. 9 117. 3 117. 6 117. 9 118. 1 118. 5 118. 7 118. 8 119. 1 119. 4 120. 0 121. 3 122. 7 124. 4 125. 8 Crude mate-2 rials 97. 1 100. 9 104 5 100. 0 102. 0 110. 6 118. 8 122. 7 131. 1 129. 3 129. 9 129. 8 130. 2 132. 3 132. 6 133. 8 1 36. 3 136. 8 139. 1 142. 3 142.5 146. 8 149. 6 Inter- Producmediate er finmate-3 ished rials goods 95. 6 96. 9 98. 9 100. 0 102. 6 106. 1 110. 0 114. 3 118. 9 118. 2 118. 6 119. 0 119. 2 119. 5 119. 8 120. 1 120. 3 120. 5 121. 2 322. 6 124. 8 126. 6 128. 0 93. 3 94. 4 96. 8 100. 0 103. 5 106. 9 111. 9 116. 6 119. 5 119. 3 119. 4 119. 6 119. 7 119. 8 119. 9 119. 7 119. 9 120. 3 120. 6 121. 2 121. 7 122. 3 123. 1 Consuraer finished g jods excludin;5 foods DurNonable durable 98.2 97. 9 98. 5 100. 0 102. 2 104. 0 107. 1 110. 9 113. 2 113.2 113. 1 113. 2 113. 5 113. 6 113. 7 112. 7 112. 8 113. 7 113. 8 114. 0 114. 5 115. 3 115. 7 94. 8 95. 9 97. 8 100. 0 102. 2 105. 0 108. 2 111. 3 113. 6 112. 7 113. 1 113. 5 113. 8 114. 2 114. 5 114. 7 115. 0 115.2 115. 4 117. 4 117.8 119. 8 121. 7 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. Source: Department of Labor. 0*7 BY In the month ended May 1 5, prices received by farmers rose 33/4 percent while prices paid rose 2 percent. Both actual and adjusted parity ratios rose 2 points, Index, 1967=100 160 130 120 110 100 90 RATIO J/ 90 a) P ARITY RATIO (ACTIW "—-r— -^ 70 rfO 1 1 1 M M i l l 1967 I I 1 1 1 1 II M 1 ,..^~~—, M i l l 1968 M i l l A t ^* ^asMm**'*^ —-^«5 M i l l M i l l 1 1 M 1970 1969 1 1 M 1971 1 M ^ J^^ 70 \ \ ^ ^ \\ \ \ \ \'\ 1972 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO 1MDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14-100 BASE. SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE 1964___ 19651966 _ _ 19671968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1972: Aor 15, May 15 .. - _June 15 _ - _ __ July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15 Oct 15 - - ..Nov 15 Dec 15 1973: Jan 15 .. Feb 15 ... Mar 15 - _.. _ _ Apr 15 -May 15-_ . _. All farm products 93 98 Crops 106 100 103 105 100 101 108 97 100 105 103 110 112 126 120 123 125 127 128 129 130 131 137 144 149 159 157 163 107 115 112 114 116 Prices paid by far mers All items, Family ProducLivestock interest, tion living and taxes, and items items products wage rates Index, 1967=100 94 92 93 85 96 94 95 94 98 99 98 105 100 100 100 100 102 104 104 104 106 109 117 109 110 114 114 118 115 119 116 120 122 124 127 134 115 117 117 117 120 127 131 133 140 143 154 126 130 132 136 135 138 139 138 145 153 161 174 168 169 1 Percentage ratio of Indes of prices received by fanners to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 28 125 125 126 127 127 128 129 130 131 134 136 138 140 143 M 1 M 1 11 M 1 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Prices received by armers Period 80 / ^S>SW&SS88& 123 124 124 125 125 126 125 127 127 119 129 132 134 132 134 138 139 143 131 136 120 121 122 122 124 125 126 129 Parity ratio l Actual 76 77 80 74 73 74 72 69 74 71 73 74 75 75 75 75 75 78 80 82 86 83 85 Adjusted 2 80 82 86 79 79 80 77 74 79 76 78 79 80 80 80 80 80 83 83 85 89 87 89 2 The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly t© farmers. Source: Department of Agriculture: IT A A, The seasonally adjusted money stock grew at an 11.7 percent annual rate in May, up from a 7.7 percent rate in April. In the past 1 2 months if has risen by 6.9 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 350 300 250 150 1967 1968 SOURCEt BOARD OF GOVERNORS Of THf FEOEWl 8ESESVE SYSTEM Period 1967: 1968: 1969: 1970: 1971: 1972: 1972: Deo Dec Dec. Dec Dec Dec-..Apr Mav June.July_ Aug Sent Oct ... .._ __ -- __- Nov Dec _. 1973: Jan . _ Feb Mar. - _ Apr " May »__ _ _ 1 . __ Deposits at commercial banks. 1969 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] Iilonev stoc k Monev stoc K Time Time CurCurand and DeDerency j reney savings savings mand mand outTotal j outTotai dedededeside I side posits ' posits! posits1 posits l banks 1 banks Seasonally adjusted Unadjusted 41. 2 187. 0 40. 4 146. 6 151. 4 183. 1 192. 7 182. 1 158.2 44. 3 201. 6 43. 4 163.4 204. 2 203.2 207. 7 162. 7 208. 8 46. 1 46. 9 194. 4 214. 9 167. 9 193. 2 221. 3 172. 2 50. 0 49. 1 177.8 229. 2 227. 7 228. 1 236. 0 52. 6 53. 5 183. 4 242. 8 270. 9 1 189. 2 269. 8 255. 5 56. 8 198. 7 312. 8 57. 8 262. 9 205. 0 311. 7 53. 5 243. 0 53. 9 284. 3 189. 1 244. 3 190. 8 284.5 243.8 54. 2 189.6 53.9 288. 6 185. 6 288.6 239. 5 245. 1 54. 4 190. 7 54.4 291.4 291. 7 243. 2 188. 8 54. 6 55. 1 247. 7 193. 1 295. 0 246. 6 191. 5 294. 0 54. 8 193.8 55. 1 248. 6 190.5 298. 9 245. 5 299. 5 250. 1 194. 8 55. 3 55. 2 301. 9 248. 7 193. 5 302. 7 55.7 195. 9 304. 8 55. 7 251. 6 251. 2 195. 5 305. 9 252. 7 56. 2 56. 7 196. 5 308. 4 197. 7 254. 3 307.7 255. 5 57. 8 56. 8 198. 7 312. 8 262. 9 205. 0 311. 7 57. 0 198. 4 316. 9 262. 6 255.4 56. 7 205. 9 316. 6 57. 5 199. 3 56. 7 256. 7 322. 6 254. 0 197. 3 322. 5 57. 9 57. 3 198. 7 330. 9 254. 1 256. 6 196. 7 331. 4 199. 5 258.2 58. 7 58. 2 336. 7 259. 5 201. 3 336. 1 59.0 201. 6 341. 8 58. 7 260. 6 256. 0 197. 3 340. 9 U.S. Government demand deposits 1 5.0 5.0 5.6 7.3 6.9 7.3 7.7 10. 5 6.9 7.3 5.3 5.9 6.6 6.2 7.3 8. 0 9. 6 10. 1 8. 2 8.4 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 29 PRIVATE LIQUID ASSET HOLDINGS - NONFINANCIAL INVESTORS Seasonally adjusted liquid asset holdings of private nonfinancia! investors increased by $11.2 billion in May. categories rose except commercial paper. All BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1100 1,100 1,000 1,000 600 500 500 400 400 300 ML 300 1973 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Curr sncy and deposits Total liquid assets Period 1966: 1967: 1968: 1969: 1970: 1971: 1972: Dec Dec Dee_ Dec Dec Dec Dec 1972: Apr . May — June Julv Aug_ Sept Oct.— Nov Dec. 1973: Jan.. Feb Mar . Apr Mav " ... _. Time c .eposits Total Currency Demand deposits Commercial banks ShortNonbank term thrift Savings marketinstitubonds able setions curities Negotiable certificates of deposit Commercial paper 590. 6 640. 7 699. 1 730. 9 781. 5 865. 7 975. 8 473. 7 520. 4 563. 2 582. 2 630. 7 719. 3 814. 6 38. 3 40.4 43. 4 46. 1 49. 1 52. 6 56. 8 121. 1 129. 4 139. 4 143. 6 151. 5 161. 3 174. 7 136. 9 156. 3 174. 4 177. 2 198. 7 233. 4 264. 8 177. 3 194. 2 205. 9 215. 4 231. 4 272. 0 318. 2 50. 1 51. 0 51. 4 51. 1 51. 3 53. 7 57. 0 43. 6 39. 9 47. 2 65. 3 53. 8 41. 5 43. 4 14. 5 19. 1 22.4 9. 0 23. 0 29. 8 39. 2 8. 8 10. 4 14. 9 23. 4 22. 6 21. 5 21. 6 902. 6 910. 4 918. 1 927. 3 935. 9 944. 4 953. 3 963. 8 975. 8 754. 4 760. 3 767. 1 775. 7 783. 3 790. 9 799. 1 805. 9 814. 6 53. 9 54. 2 54. 4 54. 6 54. 8 55. 3 55. 7 56. 2 56. 8 167. 3 167. 1 167. 8 169. 5 170. 2 171. 2 172. 1 172. 7 174. 7 244. 4 247. 0 249. 4 251. 9 254. 9 257. 0 259. 8 262. 2 264. 8 288. 8 292. 0 295. 6 299. 6 303. 4 307. 4 311. 5 314. 9 318. 2 54. 8 55. 1 55. 3 55. 6 55. 9 56. 1 56. 4 56. 7 57. 0 39. 7 39. 4 38. 9 39. 1 39. 4 40. 2 42. 1 43. 4 32. 1 33. 6 34. 3 35. 2 36. 1 36. 7 36.6 37. 5 39. 2 21. 6 21. 8 21. 9 21. 9 21. 5 21.3 21. 0 21. 5 21. 6 981. 4 990. 7 1, 002. 0 1,011. 6 1, 022. 8 821. 2 827. 5 832. 6 838. 5 845. 0 57. 0 57. 5 57. 9 58. 7 59. 0 173. 9 174. 6 174, 2 175. 2 177. 3 267. 268. 271. 272. 274. 322. 326. 329. 331. 334. 57. 2 57. 6 57. 9 58. 2 58. 5 41. 5 41. 1 42. 2 42. 6 44. 2 39.9 44. 0 49. 8 53. 6 56.7 21. 6 20. 5 19. 4 18. 7 18. 4 Source: Board of Governors of the Federa! Reserve System. 30 U.S. Ciovernment sc;curities 6 9 0 8 5 7 6 5 9 2 39.7 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans and investments (seasonally adjusted) rose at a 25.3 percent annual rate in May, following a 5.7 percent increase in April. Net borrowed reserves rose $105 million to an average level of $1,674 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 BILLIONS Of DOLLARS 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED. END OF MONTH ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 500 500 TOTAL IOANS AND INVESTMENTS 400 400 300 300 200 200 INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 100 100 „.„„. 1967 1968 1969 ...•••"" 1970 1971 SOUflCL BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS All commercial banks (seaso nally adjust ed data) End of period L Dans Investrnents Total loans Total, Comand U.S. Gov- Other mercial invest- excludernment securiing interand indusments securities ties bank trial Bank debits outside New York City (232 centers) , seasonally adjusted annual rates ' AJl membe r banks 2 Total reserves Billions of dollars 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 3 352. 0 390. 6 402. 1 435. 9 485. 7 557. 5 1972: May _ ._ June __ _ July Aug . Sept Oct Nov Dec 1973: Jan * Feb » _ Mar *> Apr ". __ May "_ 1 516. 1 517. o 521. 3 529. 1 535. 6 540. 5 549. 8 557. 5 564. 6 573. 7 582. 6 585. 3 596. 4 231. 3 258. 2 279. 4 292. 0 4 320. 6 378. 2 341. 9 343. 7 347. 8 355. 3 360. 1 366. 9 373. 6 378. 2 385. 5 396. 2 404. 9 408. 0 418. 1 3 86. 2 95. 9 105. 7 109. 6 115. 5 129. 3 121. 2 6 120. 7 121. 5 123. 9 124. 6 126. 7 128. 2 129. 3 133. 2 138. 1 141. 8 144. 1 147. 2 3 3 59. 3 61. 0 51. 5 58. 0 60. 7 62. 4 63. 1 63. 2 62. 3 61. 4 62. 0 59. 9 60. 6 62. 4 61. 9 60. 2 60. 6 60. 6 59. 6 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. 2 Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. 3 Beginning June 1969, data include all bank-premises subsidiaries and other significant majority-owned domestic subsidiaries; earlier data include commercial banks only. 4 As oi'Juno 1971, Farmers Home Administration notes totaling about $0.7 billion are classified as other securities rather than as loans. 1973 1972 Borrowings at Excess Federal Free reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions o ' dollars 61. 4 71. 4 71. 2 85. 9 104. 5 116. 9 111. 1 3 4 110. 6 111. 3 112. 5 113. 5 113. 6 115. 6 116. 9 117. 1 117. 2 117. 2 116. 6 118. 7 3, 755 4, 360 5, ISO o, 717 6, 443 7, 530 7,460 ?', 500 7, 381 7, 818 7, 788 7, 748 8, 175 8, 179 8, 618 S, 822 9, 090 9, 073 25, 260 27, 221 28, 031 29, 265 31, 329 5 31, 353 32, 812 32, 539 33, 021 33, 148 33, 003 33, 803 5 31, 774 31, 353 32, 962 31, 742 31, 973 32, 277 32, 386 345 455 257 272 165 5 219 104 204 147 255 162 247 5 314 219 342 205 295 152 113 238 765 107 -310 -829 1, 086 321 107 1, 049 119 94 202 438 514 574 606 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 049 165 593 858 721 1, 787 5 -49 58 -830 -15 110 -55 5 -183 -352 -327 -292 -830 -823 -1,388 -1,563 - 1, 569 -1, 674 5 Beginning November 9, 1972 adjusted to include certain reserve deficiencies on which penalties can be waived for a transition period in connection with adaptation to Regulation J. 5 Excludes $0.4 billion duo to loan reclassification at a large bank. Note.—Commercial bank data revised beginning July 1972. Source: Board o' Governors of the Federal JSeserve System. 31 Seasonally unadjusted consumer credit increased $2.2 billion in April compared with a $1.5 billion rise a year earlier. Consumer instalment credit (seasonally adjusted) rose by $1.4 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF" MONTH 160 I 160 140 140 TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING 120 120 100 100 INSTALMENT CREDIT 80 80 NONINSTALMENT CREDIT 3 20 20 ^ sn^. 14 JNST>W.MENT CR EDIT EXT ENDED ^~^*~- rrrr^•^^s^sz-?^:?*^. __ —•-^-~~1 ' -^-^^-^nj•£.,—.— ^~~~^^ 14 / tlt /^^x,*»_» .-<•' SEASON MLY ADJUSTED SNLARGEC SCAIE1 /^^^ ^~"~~***~ I INSTALMENT C REDIT REPAID £ 4 A\ ^ \ I 1 ! 1 1 I 1 ! 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 1 ! 1 1 ! 1967 1 ! 11 1 ! J J | 1 ! 1 1 1 ! I i 1 1 1 I1 i i 1 1 i ! i 1 1 ii 1 ! 1 ! 1 1I 1 ! ! | 1970 1971 1972 19t 9 1968 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 1972: Mar 62, 692 70, 893 76, 245 79, 428 87, 745 97, 105 102, 064 111, 295 127, 332 111, 257 112, 439 114, 183 116, 365 117, 702 119, 911 121, 193 122, 505 124, 325 127, 332 127, 368 127, 959 129, 375 131, 022 24, 934 28, 437 30, 010 29, 796 32, 948 35, 527 35, 184 38, 664 44, 129 38, 853 39, 348 40, 063 41, 019 41, 603 42, 323 42, 644 43, 162 43, 674 44, 129 44, 353 44, 817 45, 610 46, 478 N CQUHCB. OF-SCONOMSC ASSESS 17, 848 20, 237 21, 662 23, 235 25, 932 28, 652 30, 345 32, 865 36, 922 33, 272 33, 606 34, 077 34, 588 34, 832 35, 450 35, 755 36, 003 36, 413 36, 922 36, 870 37, 108 37, 486 37, 695 1 Aiso includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 1973 [Millions of dollars] Consum er instalme nt credit extended Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of i>eriod; imadjusted and repaid (seasonaily adjiisted) Automob ile paper Tota! Instalment NonTotal Total » bile Personal instal-2 Extended Repaid Extended Repaid ment paper loans 80, 268 89, 883 96, 239 100, 783 110, 770 121, 146 127, 163 138, 394 157, 564 137, 879 Apr 139, 410 M a y _ _ _ 141, 450 143, 812 June July. _ _ _ 145, 214 Aug 147, 631 Sept 148, 976 Oct. _. 150, 576 152, 968 Kov Dec 157, 564 1973: Jan. _ ^ _ 157, 227 157, 582 Feb Mar 159, 320 Apr _ _ 161, 491 32 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 IJ- 4 17, 576 18, 990 19, 994 21, 355 23, 025 24, 041 25, 099 27, 099 30, 232 26, 622 26, 971 27, 267 27, 447 27, 512 27, 720 27, 783 28, 071 28, 643 30, 232 29, 859 29, 623 29, 945 30, 469 3 70, 670 78, 661 82, 832 87, 171 99, 984 109, 146 112, 158 124, 281 142, 951 11, 741 11, 374 11, 687 12, 057 11, 687 12. 484 11, 953 12, 404 12, 848 12, 627 13, 304 13, 434 13, 852 13, 465 63, 470 70, 463 77, 480 83, 988 91, 667 99, 786 107, 199 115, 050 126, 914 10, 427 10, 384 10, 355 10, 671 10, 593 10, 841 10, 667 10, 908 11, 128 10, 964 11, 355 11,437 11, 808 12, 061 24, 046 27, 208 27, 192 26, 320 31, 083 32, 553 29, 794 34, 873 40, 194 3,176 3, 162 3, 274 3,412 3, 298 3, 491 3, 368 3,504 3, 620 3, 763 4,006 3, 972 4, 001 3, 822 21, 369 23, 706 25, 619 26, 534 27, 931 29, 974 30, 137 31, 393 34,729 2,831 2,867 2,819 2, 922 2, 917 2, 896 2, 873 3,041 3, 023 2,977 3, 097 3, 145 3,225 3,218 End of period, unadjusted. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System- Mortgage debt outstanding, iionfarm, i- to 4family houses 3 197, 600 212, 900 223, 600 236, 100 251, 200 266, 800 280, 200 307, 800 * 346, 100 314, 100 324, 600 335, 800 " 346, 100 » 354, 200 Short-term interest rates rose very sharply in late May and ear!y June. For the 3-month Treasury bill rate the rise was nearly a full percentage point. Long-term rates aiso experienced sizable increases. PERCENT PER ANNUM 10 PERCENT PER ANNUM 10 1967 1973 SOURCE: SEE TABLE BELOW Period 1967 1988 1969 __ 1970__ 1971 . ... 1972 1972: Ivlav June- . . July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1973: Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav. June Week ended: _ 1973: May 18— 25. _ June 1 _ _ 8 15. _ 22 _ i COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISEES [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Gov arnment seenrity yields municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable 2 s Treasury (Standard & issues bonds bills l Poor's) * 4, 321 3. 98 5. 07 4. 85 5.339 4.51 5.59 5.26 6. 677 5. 81 6. 85 6. 12 6. 51 6. 458 7. 37 6. 58 5. 70 4. 348 5.77 5. 74 5. 27 4. 071 5.85 5. 64 5. 26 3.648 5. 69 5. 64 3. 874 5.37 5.77 5. 59 4. 059 5. 38 5. 86 5. 59 4. 014 5. 29 5.92 5. 59 4. 651 5. 36 6. 16 5. 70 4. 719 5. 20 6. 11 5. 69 4. 774 5. 03 6. 03 5. 51 5. 03 5. 061 6. 07 5.63 5. 06 5.307 6. 29 5. 96 5. 12 5. 558 6. 61 6. 14 6. 054 5. 30 6. 85 6. 20 5. 16 6. 289 6. 74 6. 11 6. 348 5. 12 6. 78 6.25 6. 179 6. 452 6. 694 7. 133 7. 129 6 7. 263 6. 76 6. 82 6. 79 6. 72 6. 70 1 £ Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and 8 April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. 4 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. s 6. 24 6. 31 6. 31 6. 31 6. 29 bond issues. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (7 percent beginning February 18, 1971) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. 5. 11 5. 17 5. 17 5. 11 5. 10 Corpora te bonds (Moc dy's) Aaa 5. 51 6. 18 7. 03 8. 04 7. 39 7. 21 7. 30 7. 23 7. 21 7. 19 7. 22 7. 21 7. 12 7.08 7. 15 7. 22 7. 29 7. 26 7. 29 7.29 7. 32 7.35 7. 36 7. 36 Baa 6. 23 6.94 7. 81 9. 11 8. 56 8. 16 8. 23 8. 20 8.23 8. 19 8. 09 8. 06 7. 99 7. 93 7. 90 7.97 8. 03 8. 09 8.06 8. 04 S. 08 8. 12 8. 13 8. 14 Prime FHA commercial new home paper, mortgage 4-6 yields 6 months 5. 10 6. 55 5. 90 7. 13 7. 83 8. 19 7. 72 9. 05 5. 11 7.78 7. 53 4. 69 7. 50 4. 51 4. 64 7. 53 4. 85 7. 54 4. 82 7. 54 5. 14 7.55 7.56 5.30 5. 25 7. 57 5. 45 7. 57 5. 78 7. 56 6.22 7. 55 6. 85 7. 56 7. 14 7. 63 7.27 7.73 7.79 7.28 7.38 7. 53 7.83 7.90 6 Not charted. Sources: Department of Housing and Urban Development, Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Moody's "investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. Q,O COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS The stock market was down sharply in late May and early June. All sectors participated in the decline. Index, 1941-43=10 Index, 1941-43=10 120 120 COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOCKS 110 110 .A. 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 I l i i I i 1 l i l I l l I I i i l l i I r l I l l I l l i i l I l I I l l I l l l l i I I I l l l I l l . l l l I I i i i i I l l r T l I i i i i i I r l i i l I 60 PERCENT PERCENT RAT 10 /b RA TIO 2b PRICE/EARNIN GS RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS \ °0 -i'—.—-- ' "~-^ 15 in , , 1 1 1 ! 1967 SOURCE: 1 1 1968 l I 1969 15 l "^^\ i i i 1970 i 1 i 1971 , , , STANDARD & POOR'S CORPORATION 1967 1968 1969 1970__ . -1971 1972 , .1972: May June _ _ July _ , Aug Sept Oct Nov __ Dec ... ...... 1973: Jan Feb , Mar Apr _ May Week ended: 1973: May 4 11. 18 25__ .. June 1 _ ^ .. _. ... 15 1 Capital goods Consumers' goods Total Total 91.93 98.69 97. 84 83. 22 98. 29 109. 20 107. 65 108. 01 107. 21 111. 01 109. 39 109. 56 115. 05 117. 50 118. 42 114. 16 112. 42 HO. 27 107. 22 99. 18 107. 49 107. 13 91. 29 108. 35 121. 79 120. 16 120. 84 119. 98 124. 35 122. 33 122. 39 128. 29 131. 08 132. 55 127. 87 126. 05 123. 56 119. 95 1941-4 3 = 10 96. 96 79. 18 105. 77 86.33 103. 75 87. 06 80. 22 87. 87 102. 80 99. 78 119. 39 113. 91 119. 65 112. 67 120. 92 113. 43 119. 13 112. 57 124. 47 116. 17 121. 63 113. 19 119. 50 112. 94 122. 11 119. 51 124. 57 122. 26 127. 04 122. 57 125. 56 117. 54 124. 53 116. 41 120. 38 111. 24 116. 48 107. 44 108. 74 109. 99 105. 66 105. 09 105. 58 104. 95 106. 82 121. 77 123. 13 118.07 117. 52 118. 09 117. 41 119. 54 118. 15 120. 58 115. 42 112. 80 115. 45 113. 51 118. 02 Includes 500 common stocks: 425 industrials, 66 public utilities, and 20 railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures; all2 other weekly indeses are averages of daily figures. Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the ag^rejrate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields 34 1 1 K in 1973 COUNCIL Or ECONOMIC ADVISERS Price i ndex ] Industrials Period I 1972 108. 96 110. 76 106. 56 104. 55 106. 37 104. 56 108. 00 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 68. 10 66.42 62. 64 54. 48 59. 33 56. 90 54. 94 53. 73 53. 47 54. 66 55. 36 56. 66 61. 16 61. 73 60. 01 57. 52 55. 94 55. 34 55. 43 46. 72 48. 84 45. 95 32. 13 41. 94 44. 11 45. 06 43. 66 42. 00 43. 28 42. 37 41. 20 42. 41 44. 62 42. 87 40. 61 39. 29 38. 88 36. 14 3. 20 3.07 3. 24 3. 83 3. 14 2. 84 2. 88 2. 87 2. 90 2. 80 2. 83 2. 82 2. 73 2. 70 2. 69 2. 80 2. 83 2. 90 3. 01 55. 30 56. 16 55. 44 54. 90 55. 01 54. 67 55. 18 37. 60 37. 80 35. 78 34. 52 34. 41 34. 09 35. 32 2. 96 2. 92 Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio J 17. 48 17. 66 16.48 15. 69 18. 50 18. 18 17. 95 18. 00 18.30 ::. 03 3. 3. 3. 2. 10 02 . 07 98 are3 averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Ratio of price index for last day of quarter to earnings for 12 months endin? with that quarter. Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS AND DEBT In the first 10 months of fiscal 1973 there was a deficit of $18.5 billion; a year earlier the deficit was $22.9 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) •20 SURPLUS + OR DEFICIT (- -20 -20 -40 -40 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971 1972 SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET 1973 1974 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISFRS [Billio is of dollars] Federal debt ( end of period) Period Receipts Fiscal vear: 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 -. .._ -. 1970 1971 1972__2 19732 1974 Cumulative totals for first 10 months: Fiscal vear 1972 Fiscal year 1973 1 a .. . Total i Held by the public 99. 7 106. 6 112. 7 106. 8 111. 3 118. 6 — 4. 8 — 5. 9 303. 3 310. 8 316. 8 248. 4 254. 5 257. 6 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 118.4 134.7 158.3 178. 8 184. 5 — 1. 6 — 3. 8 — 8. 7 -25. 2 3. 2 323. 2 329. 5 341. 3 369. 8 367. 1 261. 6 264. 7 267. 5 290. 6 279. 5 193.7 188.4 208.6 232.0 266.0 196. 6 211. 4 231.9 249. 8 268. 7 -2. 8 -23. 0 — 23. 2 -17. 8 -2.7 382. 6 409. 5 437. 3 470.0 490.5 284. 9 304.3 323.8 343.0 348.5 165. 8 187.1 188.7 205. 6 -22. 9 -18.5 435. 5 467.3 327. 8 347.4 Excludes non-interest-bearing public debt securities held by IMF. Estimates as revised June t, 1973. Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) -7. 1 Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. 35 BY BY In the first 10 months of fiscal 1973 budget receipts were $21.3 biiiion higher than a year earlier while outlays were $16.9 billion higher. BJLUONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES ,.,..•"""" 18U 180 8 rf.* " OUTLAYS *>«* 160 160 140 140 ^'* NONDEFENSE &*»<*'* ^ — -~~*~ 100 100 RO SO 60 - . — —"" 40 A 1 !963 ^^a^^^^ 1 1964 1 1965 I 1966 NATIONAL DEFENSE I 1967 1 1968 I 1969 60 ! 1970 1971 ! 1972 I 1973' f K .-in 1974 FISCAL YEARS SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] (Outlays ReceijDtS Natio nal defense Period Fiscal year: 1962 .. 1963 1964 1965 . ___ 1966 1967 1968. . 1969- . _ 1970 1971 1972 1973 ' 1974 ' Cumulative totals for first 10 months: Fiscal year 1972_ Fiscal year 1973_ 3 Total Other 33.6 37.4 40.5 42. 6 45.3 54. 1 56. 3 63. 9 70. 5 75. 4 81.7 92. 9 108. 5 178. 8 184.5 196.6 211. 4 231. 9 249. 8 268.7 65. 5 73. 6 188. 7 205. 6 99. 7 106. 6 112. 7 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153.7 187. 8 193. 7 188.4 208. 6 232. 0 266. 0 86. 2 94. 7 103. 0 116. 0 20. 5 21. 6 23. 5 25.5 30. 1 34. 0 28. 7 36. 7 32. 8 26. 8 32. 2 36. 0 41. 5 165. 8 187. 1 77.1 87.1 23. 2 26.4 Estimates as revised June 1,1973. 38 Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes 45. 6 47. 6 48.7 4as 55.4 61. 5 68. 7 87. 2 90.4 Total 106.8 111. 3 118. 6 118.4 134.7 isa 3 Department of Total Defense, military Internar Health tional and Inaffairs income terest Other and security finance 76.4 81. 1 46. 9 48. 1 49. 6 46. 0 54. 2 67.5 77. 4 77. 9 77.2 74. 5 75. 2 74. 2 78. 2 4. 5 4. 1 4. 1 4.3 4. 5 4. 5 4. 6 3. 8 3.6 3. 1 3. 7 3. 3 3. 8 23. 7 25. 5 26. 8 27. 4 31. 5 37. 8 43.7 49. 3 56. 7 70. 6 82. 0 93. 9 103. 7 8.3 9. 2 9. 8 10. 4 11. 3 12. 6 13. 7 15. 8 18. 3 19. 6 20. 6 22. 8 24 7 19. 2 20.3 24. 2 26. 7 30. 6 33. 2 36. 2 34.4 37. 7 40.5 47. 2 53. 3 55. 4 62. 2 61. 6 60. 0 59. 6 3. 0 2.6 65. 9 74. 9 17.1 40.5 47. 9 51.1 52, 3 53.6 46. 6 56. 8 70.1 80. 5 81. 2 80.3 77.7 78.3 iae Sources: Treasury Department and Office of Management and Budget. According to revised estimates for the first quarter, Federal receipts rose $13.9 billion (seasonally adjusted annua! rate) and expenditures declined $2.7 billion. As a result the deficit declined sharply to $7.7 biilion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 120 +20 su .PLUS il n nn i l lHi"" % ^x ™ 1 1 | J. //, % - 11 i1 i- J ^ DEF ICiT 1 I 1 1967 I \ ! 1968 ! 1 1 I 1970 CALENDAR YEARS 1969 1 ! ] I n \ f 1972 197 1 SOURCE DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE -20 \ -40 1973 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal (jovernm ent reeeip ts Period Indirect Personal Corporate business tax and Total nontax profits tax and tax nontax receipts accruals accruals Fe ieral Go irernmen ; expend tures Surplus or Subsidies Less: GrantsContriPurless in-aid Wage deficit (-), butions chases Trans- to State Net current accruals income for Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus of less and social inand ments local paid Govern- disproduct surance services government en- burse- accounts ments terprises ments Fiscal year : 1069 __ 190. 4 1970 _ 195. 0 1971 193. 0 1972" 211.9 Calendar vear: 1969 1970 1971 1972 197. 3 191. 6 199. 1 90.0 93. 7 87. 1 100. 1 37. 4 33. 1 32.0 33.5 18. 6 19. 2 20. 1 20. 1 44. 4 49. 0 53. 8 58. 3 185. 7 99. 4 196. 3 98. 3 212. 8 95. 8 233. 1 103. 1 50. 7 56. 8 69. 8 78. 6 19. 2 22. 6 27. 0 32. 7 12. 3 14. 0 14. 3 13. 5 4. 1 4. 7 5.8 5. 2 0. 0 .1 _. i 94. 8 92. 4 89. 6 36.6 30. 4 33. 1 36.2 19. 0 19. 3 20. 5 20. 1 46. 9 49. 5 55. 9 63.4 189. 2 98.8 204, 5 96. 5 220. 8 97. 8 246.8 105.8 52. 4 63. 3 75. 0 83.4 20.3 24. 5 29. 3 37. 9 13. 1 14. 6 13. 6 13. 6 4.6 5. 5 5. 2 6. 1 .0 .0 1 C) 8. 1 — 12. 9 -21. 7 -18. 1 .0 -23. 1 — 24. 7 —.1 .0 ,0 .0 -14. 8 -21.6 -11. 8 — 24. 3 .0 -7. 7 228.6 109.0 1971: III... 199. 1 rv___ 202. 8 89. 8 93. 8 33.2 31. 1 20. 0 20. S 56. i 57. 0 222. 2 97. 9 227. 5 100. 7 76. 3 77. 8 29. 8 30. S 13. 6 13. 3 4. 6 5. 0 1972: T 221. 4 II_. _ 224. 9 III.. 229.8 238. 4 105.8 107. 3 109. 1 113. 6 34. 0 35.2 36.7 38. 9 19. 9 19. 7 20.2 20. 6 61.7 62. 6 63.8 65.3 236. 3 246. 5 241.6 262.7 105. 7 108. 1 105. 4 104. 0 79. 4 80. 4 82. 0 91. 8 32. 4 38. 1 34.4 46. 5 13. 1 13. 8 13. 6 13. 7 5. 6 6. 0 6. 2 6.7 1973: I 252. 3 109. 6 44.3 20.8 77.6 260. 0 106.6 92. 3 41. 8 14. 2 5. 0 rv.._ * $39 million. '. 0 .0 .1 4.7 — 1. 3 -19. 7 -21. 1 Source: Department of Commerce, 31 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL. BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Balances on Goods, Services, and Transfers U.S. Overall Balances on International Transactions 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock Private Liquid Asset Holdings—Nonfinancial Investors Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts and Outlays and Debt Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 NOTE.—Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. 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