Full text of Economic Indicators : June 1970
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91st Congress, 2nd Session Economic Indicators June 1970 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1970 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) W. E. BROCK 3d (Tennessee) BARBER B. CONABLE, Jr. (New York) CLARENCE J. BROWN (Ohio) SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HERMAN E. TALMADGE (Georgia) STUART SYMINGTON (Missouri) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director JAMES W. KNOWLES, Director of Research COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS PAUL W. McCRACKEN, Chairman HENDRIK S. HOUTHAKKER HERBERT STEIN Economic Indicators f refared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—Slsx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 25 cents a single copy or by subscription at $3.00 per year (foreign, $4.00) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $3.60 additional per year. The 1967 edition of the Historical and Descriptive Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available at 70 cents a copy from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Current estimates indicate that gross national product advanced about $71/2 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter, $2 billion less than in the fourth quarter of 1969. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Ci overtime]at Persons N et receip ts Disposab le personail income Period Total l 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: I II_._ III__ IV_ 1970: I 385.3 404. 6 438. 1 473. 2 511. 9 546. 5 590. 0 629. 7 610. 2 622. 0 639. 0 647. 5 660. 4 PerLess: Equals: Personal sonal Less: Less: Tax Interest Total consump- saving Trans- Equals: Total Trans- Equals: tion and or Purpaid and excludfers, fers, nontax interest, expend- interest, ing expenddisNet transfer chases interest itures saving receipts receipts itures payof goods and and or and and ments (-) subsubaccruals sidies 2 to fortrans2 services sidies fers eigners 8. 6 9. 7 10. 7 12. 0 13. 0 13. 9 15. 0 16. 1 15.7 15. 9 16. 1 16. 3 16.5 376.6 394 9 427.4 461. 3 498.9 532. 6 575. 0 613.6 594. 5 606. 1 622. 9 631. 2 643. 9 355. 1 375. 0 401. 2 432. 8 466. 3 492. 3 536. 6 576. 0 562. 0 572. 8 579.8 589. 5 600. 4 157.0 168. 8 174. 1 189. 1 213.3 228.4 264.2 301. 8 294. 1 302. 0 303.4 307.8 305. 6 21. 6 19. 9 26.2 28. 4 32.5 40.4 38. 4 37. 6 32. 5 33. 3 43. 1 41. 7 43. 5 42. 8 44. 4 46. 7 49. 9 55. 5 62.8 70.6 78. 5 75.8 77.6 78.9 81. 2 82. 0 114. 2 124 3 127.3 139. 2 157.9 165.6 193. 6 223. 3 218. 3 224.4 224.4 226.6 223. 6 159. 9 166. 9 175.4 186. 9 212.3 242. 9 270.8 293. 0 285.9 290. 6 296. 0 299. 6 303. 2 42.8 44 4 46. 7 49. 9 55.5 62. 8 70.6 78. 5 75. 8 77. 6 78.9 81. 2 82. 0 117. 1 122.5 128.7 137.0 156. 8 180. 1 200. 3 214. 6 210.0 212.9 217. 0 218. 3 221. 2 Net exports of goods Net Total Statisand service s transfers Excess of income tical Gross Gross Excess to foror transfers discrepprivate retained domestic of or eigners receipts ancy earn-3 invest- by perof net investEquals: ment sons and Exports Less: ings exports ment 4 Net GovernImports exports (-) (~)5 ment 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967_ 1968 1969 1969: I II III IV 1970: I 66.3 68. 8 76.2 84. 7 91. 3 93. 3 96. 7 98. 3 97.7 98.0 99.7 97. 6 96.7 83.0 87. 1 94. 0 108. 1 121.4 116. 0 126. 3 139. 4 135. 2 137.4 143. 3 141. 8 135.0 — 16. 8 -18. 4 -17. 8 — 23. 4 -30. 1 -22.7 -29. 6 -41. 1 -37.5 -39.4 -43. 6 -44. 2 38. 3 2.7 2.8 2. 8 2.8 2. 8 3.0 2. 9 2. 7 2 4 2.8 2. 6 3. 0 2.7 30.3 32.3 37. 1 39.2 43.4 46.2 50. 6 55. 3 47. 6 57. 1 57. 8 58. 6 60.8 1 Personal income (p. 5) less personal tax and nontax payments (lines, penalties, 2 etc.). Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net Interest paid by government, subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises, and disbursements less wage accruals. 3 Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, Capital consumption allowance!, and wage accruals less disbursements. Does ncorporated business, which are included \at include retained earnings of uninc disposable personal income. Surplus or deficit (-), income and product accounts -2.9 1.8 -1.4 2.2" 1. 1 -14.5 -6.7 8.S 8.3 11.4 7.4 8.2 2. 4 I]iternation al Business Period E.spenditur ss 25. 1 26.4 28. 6 32. 3 38. 1 41. 0 48. 1 53. 2 46. 1 55.5 55. 2 55. 9 57.8 5. 1 5.9 8.5 6.9 5. 3 5.2 2. 5 2. 1 1. 5 1. 6 2. 7 2. 7 3.0 -2. 5 -3. 1 -5.7 — 4. 1 -2.4 -2.2 .3 .6 1.0 1.2 .0 .3 0 559. 8 590. 8 633.7 688. 0 750.9 794. 5 868. 2 937. 9 912. 9 931. 3 949. 7 958. 4 966. 9 0.5 -.3 -1. 3 -3. 1 -1. 0 -1. 0 -2.5 -5. 9 -4. 2 -6.5 -6.9 -6. 0 -7.3 Gross national product or expenditure 560. 3 590. 5 632.4 6849 749. 9 793.5 865.7 932. 1 908.7 924.8 942.8 952. 2 959. 6 4 Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. * Net foreign investment less capital grants received by U.S., with sign changed. NOTE.—Corporate profits tax and related items for 1969 reflect repeal of investirent tax credit. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) increased at an annual rate of 3 percent in the first quarter, according to current estimates. Adjusted for price changes, there was a decline of 3 percent (annual rate). BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1,000 1,000 900 900 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 800 800 700 700 600 600 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 500 500 400 400 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 200 200 minim ,...„.•.««••"«•»»•«•»•"""•*•.« 100 100 NET EXPORTS.OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1 I GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT I I 1964 1965 1966 1967 SOURCES DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: I II III IV 1970: I 1969 I 1 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Gove rnment ipurchases of good s and Total Personal Gross Implicit Net services congross Total price private exports Federal sump- domestic of goods national gross deflator State for product national tion total Total investand and in 1958 product expend- ment services GNP, Total National defense1 Other local 1958= 1002 prices itures Billions <if dollars; quarterlyr data at £seasonall.y ad justejd annual rates 0. 1 43.3 311. 2 75.3 101. 63 475.9 483.7 46. 0 7.6 97.0 53.7 4.0 487.7 46. 1 103. 29 503.7 74, 8 44 9 99. 6 53. 5 8.6 325. 2 5.6 107. 6 50.2 104.62 497.2 47.8 520. 1 9.6 335. 2 71.7 57. 4 5. 1 117. 1 105. 76 560. 3 83. 0 63. 4 53.7 529.8 51. 6 11.8 355. 1 5.9 122. 5 58.2 590. 5 107. 17 551.0 64. 2 375. 0 87. 1 50.8 13.5 8.5 128.7 581. 1 632.4 50.0 15.2 108. 84 401. 2 94.0 65. 2 63.5 6.9 70.1 432. 8 617.8 684. 9 137.0 66.9 110.86 108.1 50. 1 16. 8 5.3 121.4 79. 0 658. 1 749.9 60.7 113. 94 466.3 77.8 17. 1 156. 8 5.2 180. 1 72.4 18.4 674*6 793.5 492.3 116.0 117. 63 90.7 89.3 2. 5 200. 3 707.6 865.7 122. 34 536. 6 126. 3 78.0 21. 5 100.7 99. 5 2. 1 214. 6 101. 9 932. 1 576.0 727. 5 139. 4 79. 2 22. 7 112. 7 128. 12 1. 5 210. 0 101. 6 723. 1 908.7 562. 0 135. 2 79.0 22. 6 108. 5 125. 68 137.4 1. 6 212.9 100. 6 572. 8 924.8 78.5 22. 1 112. 3 726.7 127. 26 942. 8 2. 7 217. 0 103. 2 730. 6 579. 8 80.3 22. 9 113.8 143. 3 129. 05 952. 2 2. 7 218. 3 102. 3 729. 8 79. 2 23. 1 116. 0 589. 5 141. 8 130. 48 600. 4 135. 0 3.0 221. 2 102. 3 132. 50 724.3 959. 6 78. 9 23.3 118. 9 J Tliis category corresponds closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 36. 2 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1968 prices. 1968 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. NATIONAL INCOME National income rose only $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter, according to current estimates. A large increase in employee compensation was partly offset by a sharp decline in corporate profits. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1900 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 800 800 700 700 TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME 600 600 COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES 500 500 400 400 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME 100' 1964 1966 1965 1967 1970 1969 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Total national income Compenof employees l Proprieto]rs' income Farm 2 Business and professional 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: I_ II III IV __ 400, 0 414. 5 427. 3 457. 7 481. 9 518. 1 564.3 620. 6 654. 0 714. 4 771. 0 751. 3 765. 7 780. 6 786. 5 279. 1 294. 2 302. 6 323. 6 341. 0 365.7 393.8 435. 5 467.4 513. 6 564. 3 546. 0 558. 2 571. 9 581. 1 11. 4 12. 0 12. 8 13. 0 13. 1 12.1 14.8 16. 1 14. 7 14. 6 16. 1 14.9 16. 4 16. 8 16. 3 35. 1 34. 2 35. 6 37. 1 37.9 40.2 42.4 45. 2 47. 2 49. 2 50. 2 49. 7 1970: I 792. 6 592.0 16. 5 1 2 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See nlso p. 4.) Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in farming and therefore differs from net farm income (including net inventory change) on p. G which includes such profits. Rental income of per- Net interest Corpora jQ profits and inventory va] uatlon ad justment 3 Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes 3 adjustment 50. 5 50. 4 15. 6 15. 8 16.0 16.7 17. 1 18.0 19.0 20. 0 20. 8 21. 2 21. 6 21. 5 21. 6 21. 7 21. 8 7.1 8.4 10.0 11. 6 13. 8 15.8 18.2 21.4 24. 7 28. 0 30. 6 29. R 30. 3 30. 9 31. 6 51.7 49. 9 50.3 55. 7 58. 9 66.3 76.1 82. 4 79. 2 87.9 88. 2 SO. 5 89. 2 88.8 85. 2 52.1 49.7 50.3 55.4 59. 4 66.8 77.8 84. 2 80. 3 91. 1 93. 7 95.5 95. 4 92. 5 91.4 50. 1 22. 0 32. 3 79. 7 85.6 r>o. i » See Note p. 7. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. __0. 5 .2 -. 1 .3 —.o CJ -1.7 -1. 8 __ L i -3.2 -5.6 -6. 1 6.2 -3.7 -6. 2 -5.9 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income (seasonally adjusted), which had increased sharply in April because of the rise in Federal pay and social security benefits, declined in May. Apart from these special influences, personal income increased $1A billion (annual rate) in April and declined $1A billion in May. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS :900 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 900 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES* BOO 800 700 700 TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME £00 600- 500 500 I r., * WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 400 400 300 300 OTHER INCOME 200 200 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 100 1964 1965 1966 100 1968 1967 SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 _ 1969 1969: Apr May June___ July— Aug Sept__. Oct Nov___ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr p May __ 1969 1969 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Rental Total and Transfer Other Propriet<ITS' income income Divi- Personal personal salary labor 2 Business interest paydends of income disburseand pro- persons income ments income Farm 1 ments fessional 416.8 442.6 465. 5 497.5 538. 9 587.2 629. 4 687.9 747. 2 735. 3 740. 0 746. 1 751.4 757. 5 760. 7 763. 9 767. 6 770. 6 774.3 778. 3 783. 3 801.3 793.5 278. 1 296. 1 311. 1 333. 7 358.9 394. 5 423. 5 465. 0 509. 9 500. 8 503. 8 508. 5 512. 8 517. 9 519. 9 522.2 525. 1 527. 8 530.0 532. 2 535. 1 540. 3 539. 9 12.7 13.9 14,9 16.6 18.7 20.7 22. 1 24. 2 26. 2 25. 8 25. 9 26. 1 26. 3 26.4 26. 6 26. 8 26. 9 27. 1 27. 3 27. 5 27. 7 27. 8 27. 9 12.8 13.0 13. 1 12. 1 14.8 16. 1 14.7 14. 6 16. 1 15.8 16. 4 16.9 16. 8 16. 8 16. 8 16. 7 16. 3 15. 9 16. 2 16. 5 16. 8 16. 7 16. 5 35.6 37. 1 37. 9 40.2 42.4 45. 2 47. 2 49. 2 50. 2 49.8 50. 1 50. 4 50. 5 50. 5 50. 5 50. 6 50. 4 50. 3 50.2 50. 1 50. 1 50. 0 50. 0 » Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and wage accruals less disbursements. 2 Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensa msation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. 16.0 16.7 17. 1 18. 0 19.0 20. 0 20.8 21.2 21. 6 21. 5 21. 6 21. 6 21. 7 21.7 21. 7 21. 8 21. 8 21. 9 21. 9 22. 0 22. 0 22. 1 22. 2 13.8 15.2 16.5 17. 8 19.8 20.8 21.5 23. 1 24. 6 24. 2 24. 3 24. 5 24. 6 24. 8 25. 1 25. 3 25.4 25. 0 25. 2 25. 2 25. 2 25. 3 25. 3 25.0 27.7 31.4 349 38.7 43. 6 48. 3 54. 1 59. 4 58. 3 58. 8 59. 2 59. 5 59.8 60. 2 60.8 61. 3 61. 8 62. 1 62. 5 62. 9 63. 3 63. 7 32.4 33.3 35.3 36.7 39.9 44. 1 52. 0 59. 2 65. 5 64. 7 64. 9 65. 2 65. 7 66. 1 66. 4 66. 7 67. 2 67.8 68.9 70. 0 71. 3 84. 0 76. 1 Less: Personal con- Nonagritributions cultural for social personal 3 insurance income 9.6 10.3 11.8 12.5 13.4 17.7 20.6 22. 6 26. 2 25. 7 25. 8 26. 1 26. 4 26.6 26. 7 26. 9 26. 9 27. 1 27.5 27. 6 27. 8 28. 1 28. 1 400.0 425.5 448. 1 480. 9 519.5 566. 3 609. 7 667. S 725. 2 713. 5 717.7 723.4 728. 8 734. 9 738. 1 741. 5 745. 3 748.6 752. 0 755. 6 760.4 778. 4 770. 8 3 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprisesfarm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agriculti' corporations. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income rose $1 3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter, or about billion more than in the fourth quarter of 1969. With first quarter personal outlays up $11 billion, the saving rate rose to 6.6 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 600 600 DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 500 500 PERSONAL OUTLAYS 1 1 1 I I ! I PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME l l I I I I I I I I I I I ! SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES IN CURRENT PRICES 2,500 2,500 2,000 2,000 1964 1970 SOURCE! DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Less * Personal Personal tax and income nontax payments COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per cap>ita disLess: Perse nal outla PS posable personal Equals: Persoilal consurnption Equals: incc)me Disex penditures 2 Personal Total posable saving Current Nonpersonal personall Durable 1958 income outlays Services prices prices goods durable goods 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 416.8 442.6 _ 465. 5 497.5 538.9 587. 2 629. 4 687.9 747. 2 52.4 57.4 60. 9 59.4 65.7 75.4 82. 9 97. 9 117.5 364.4 385.3 404. 6 438. 1 473.2 511. 9 546. 5 590. 0 629. 7 1969: !_._ 724. 4 II__ 740. 5 III. 756. 5 IV__ 767. 4 114.2 118. 5 117. 5 119. 9 610. 622. 639. 647. !___ 778. 6 118. 2 660. 4 1970: 2 0 0 5 Billions of dollars 343. 3 44.2 155.9 135.1 363.7 49.5 162.6 143.0 152. 4 168. 6 384. 7 53. 9 411. 9 59. 2 178.7 163. 3 444.8 175.5 66.3 191. 1 479.3 188. 6 206. 9 70.8 204. 2 506.2 73. 0 215. 1 222. 8 83.3 230.6 551. 6 592. 0 243. 6 242. 6 89. 8 Seascmally adjiisted anni lat rates 577. 7 235. 0 88. 4. 238. 6 242. 1 588. 8 90. 6 240. 1 244. 9 596. 0 89. 8 245. 1 605. 8 250. 3 90. 4 248. 7 616. 9 89.4 255. 4 Includes personal consumption expe nditures, interest paid by consumers, lartorly data 255. 6 Saving as percent of Populadistion posable (thou-3 personal sands) income (percent) 21.2 21.6 19. 9 26. 2 28.4 32. 5 40. 4 38. 4 37. 6 Dollars 1,983 1,909 2,064 1,968 2,136 2,013 2, 280 2, 123 2, 432 2, 235 2, 599 2, 331 2,745 2, 399 2,474 2, 933 3, 099 2,507 5.8 5.6 4. 9 6. 0 6.0 6.4 7.4 6. 5 6.0 183, 756 186, 656 189,417 192, 120 194, 592 196, 907 199, 119 201, 177 203, 213 32. 5 33.3 43. 1 41. 7 3, 3, 3, 3, 014 065 140 172 2, 482 2,494 2,526 2, 522 5. 3 5.3 6.7 6.4 202, 202, 203, 204, 43. 5 3,228 2,536 6.6 204, 586 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department oi Commerce. 475 953 505 091 FARM INCOME According to current estimates, net farm income including and excluding inventory change (seasonally adjusted) rose slightly in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 60 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 20 20 10 J J L 1964 1966 J L L SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [ncome re ceived frc m farmingf Realizeid gross From all sources 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: I__ II III IV _ 19.7 20.4 20.6 20.6 23.6 24. 9 23.9 24. 9 27. 1 From From farm nonfarm sources sources 12.2 12.3 12. 1 11.3 13. 5 14. 4 13. 0 13. 1 14.5 7.5 8.2 8.5 9.3 10.0 10. 5 10. 9 11.8 12. 6 Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. s Based on Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. 1 Nett o farm oper ators Net incomeper farm inclruding net3 inventory change Cash Produc— ex- Exclud- Includreceipts tion penses ingnetin- ing net in- Current 1957-594 from Total i ventory ventory2 | prices prices marketchange change ings Billions c)f dollars Do Jars 27. 1 1 12.6 3,332 39.8 35.1 13.0 i 3, 399 13.2 3,482 41.3 28.6 36.4 12.6 3, 586 29.7 13.2 42.3 37.4 12.6 3, 708 3, 565 37.2 29.5 3,564 42.6 13. 1 12.3 3,394 4, 487 44.9 30.9 14.0 39.3 15.0 4, 193 33.4 43. 3 4,563 49. 7 16. 3 16. 3 ! 5, 019 14.2 42.7 34. 8 4, 144 14. 7 4, 683 49. 0 14. 8 36. 3 14. 7 4, 107 4, 805 51. 1 44. 4 16. 0 5, 468 54. 6 47.4 4,446 38. 6 16. 2 Seasc nally adjiisted annu o.l rates 4, 170 52.9 46. 0 37. 9 15. 0 15. 0 i 5, 050 4, 510 5,550 16. 3 16. 5 55. 1 38. 8 48. 2 5, 690 38. 8 16. 5 16. 9 4, 630 55. 3 48. 0 16. 2 16. 4 ! 5,520 4,420 47. 5 38. 9 55. 1 1970: ! _ _ _ 1 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Personal income re ceived by total J 'arm popi.ilation Period 1 1969 1968 1967 56. 0 4 48.8 39. 7 16. 3 16. 6 5, 730 4, 510 Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1957-59 base. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Current estimates indicate that profits before taxes and including inventory valuation adjustment declined $5% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter and were about $10 billion below those of a year earlier. The cut in the surcharge helped to cushion the decrease in after-tax profits. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 40 20 20 1964 1970 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Or COMMERCE Period 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966_ 1967_ _ „ „ 1968_ 1969 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 0Millions of dollars: c uarterly ciata at s<3a son ally adjuste< i annual rates] CoriDerate pr ofits Corj)orate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inveiitory a fter taxe 8 Corpo- Profits valuation adjustme nt plus rate TransCorpoCorpoM anufactur ing capital capital portation rate rate conconDiviUncomtax profits NonAll Durable durable dend distrib- sump- sumpmuniAll 1 before liabil- Total industion tion goods uted paySj other taxes ity Total goods cation tries indusments profits allow-2 allow-3 and ances ances tries public tries utilities 11. 4 27. 2 13. 8 23.3 11. 9 23. 1 13. 5 50.3 50. 3 7. 9 19. 1 53. 5 26. 2 12. 5 26. 6 14. 1 31. 2 24. 2 15. 2 16. 0 55. 7 20. 5 55. 4 30. 1 8. 5 61. 3 28. 8 15. 8 13. 0 33. 1 16. 5 59.4 26. 3 16. 6 58. 9 20.6 9. 5 31.8 64. 8 14.9 32.7 17.8 38.4 23.5 17.8 66.3 28.3 20.6 66.8 33.9 10. 1 72.3 39. 3 16. 6 46. 5 19. 8 22. 8 76. 1 77. 8 31.3 26.7 25. 6 36. 4 82.9 11. 1 42. 6 24. 0 18.6 49. 9 34. 3 82.4 84. 2 20.8 29. 1 27. 9 11. 9 39. 5 89. 5 39. 0 20. 9 18. 1 47. 3 21. 5 29.4 79, 2 80. 3 33. 0 25. 9 10. 8 42. 6 90. 0 24. 5 44. 4 19. 9 49. 8 41. 3 23. 1 87. 9 91. 1 26. 7 31. 9 45. 9 95.7 11. 6 20. 4 43. 9 23.5 50. 5 24. 6 93. 7 43. 3 32. 6 88. 2 11. 7 25.9 49. 1 99. 6 1969: !___. II... I1I__ IV... 89. 5 89.2 88. 8 85. 2 45. 1 44. 9 43. 8 41. 7 24. 7 23. 9 23. 8 21. 6 20. 3 21. 0 20. 0 20. 1 11. 8 11. 7 11. 9 11. 4 32.6 32.6 33. 1 32. 1 95. 5 95. 4 92. 5 91. 4 43. 9 44. 1 42. 8 42. 4 51. 7 51. 3 49. 7 49. 0 23. 8 24. 3 24. 9 25. 2 27.9 27.0 24.9 23. 8 47. 7 48.6 49. 6 50. 5 99.4 100.0 99.3 99. 5 1970:1 79, 7 37.4 17.7 ! ! 19.7 10. 7 31. 6 85. 6 39. 1 46.5 25. 2 21. 3 51. 5 98.0 12 Includes ail other industries and financial institutions. Includes depreciation and accidental damages. 1 Corporr.U- profits after tim-s plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 46-368°—70—2 NOTE.—Corporate profits tax and related items for 1969 reflect repeal of investment tax credit. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960, Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment was down $6% bfllion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. This was due chiefly to a decline of almost $7 billion in the rate of inventory investment. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 160 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 160 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC_ INVESTMENT 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 40 20 20 1964 1970 SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed urvestment D • Total gross private domestic investment 1 Total __ 75.3 74.8 71.7 83. 0 87. 1 94. 0 108. 1 121.4 116.0 126.3 139. 4 135. 2 137.4 143. 3 141.8 135.0 Total 70.5 71. 3 69. 7 77. 0 81. 3 88. 2 98. 5 106. 6 108. 6 119. 0 131.4 128. 6 130. 5 132. 5 134. 0 134. 2 45. 1 48. 4 47.0 51.7 54, 3 61. 1 71.3 81. 6 83.7 88.8 99.2 95.3 97.8 101. 1 102. 5 104. 0 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. 8 Producere' durable equ ipment Struc;tures Total 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: I II IIL IV 1970: I Resid[ential struc tures N<coresident ial 16.7 18. 1 18.4 19. 2 19.5 21.2 25.5 28. 5 27. 9 29. 3 33. 4 32. 3 32. 1 34. 7 34.5 35. 6 Nonfarm Total 15. 9 17.4 17.7 18. 5 18.8 20.5 24.9 27. 8 27.2 28.6 32.7 31. 6 31.4 34. 0 33. 8 34. 8 28.4 30.3 28. 6 32.5 34.8 39. 9 45. 8 53. 1 55.7 59.5 65.8 63. 0 65.7 66. 4 68.0 68. 5 Nonfarm 25.4 27.7 25. 8 29.4 31. 2 36.3 41. 6 48.4 50. 9 54. 6 61. 4 58. 7 61.0 62. 4 63. 6 64. 3 Total 25.5 22.8 22.6 25. 3 27.0 27. 1 27.2 25. 0 25.0 30.2 32. 2 33. 3 32. 7 31.4 31. 6 30. 2 Source: Department oi Commerce. Nonfarm 24.8 22. 2 22.0 24.8 26.4 26.6 26. 7 24. 5 24.4 29. 6 31.7 32. 8 32.2 30. 9 ! 31. 0 29. 7 Change in business in\rentories Total 4.8 3.6 2. 0 6. 0 5.9 5.8 9. 6 14.8 7.4 7.3 8. 0 6.6 6. 9 10.7 7. 7 .8 Nonfarm 4.8 3.3 1.7 5.3 5.1 6.4 8. 6 15. 0 6.8 7.4 7.8 6.6 6.7 10.3 7.4 .4 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT Businessmen have scaled down projected increases in their investment programs for 1970 and now expect an 8 percent rise over 1969. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 20 1964 1970 J/SEE FOOTNOTE 3 BELOVL SOURCE& SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufacturi ng Period 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 3 1969: III IV 1970: I s II 3 III IV 3 Total i 37. 94 31.89 33.55 36.75 35. 91 38. 39 40. 77 46. 97 54.42 63. 51 65.47 67. 76 75. 56 81.45 77. 84 77.84 78. 22 80. 66 83.28 83. 12 Total 16. 51 12. 38 12.77 15. 09 14.33 15. 06 16. 22 19. 34 23.44 28. 20 28.51 28.37 31. 68 32.85 33. 05 32. 39 32. 44 32. 88 33. 25 32.80 Durable Nonduragoods ble goods 7.84 5.61 5. 81 7.23 6.31 6. 79 7. 53 9. 28 11. 50 14. 06 14. 96 14. 12 15. 96 16. 44 16. 53 15. 88 16.40 16. 69 16. 89 15. 81 Excludes agricultural business; real estate operators; medical, legal, educational, and cultural service; and nonprofit organizations. 2 Includes trade, service, finance, communications, insurance, and construction. s Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business In late April and May 1970. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in anticipatory data. NOTE.—Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not Transpo rtation 8. 68 6.77 6. 95 7. 85 8. 02 8.26 8. 70 10. 07 11.94 14. 14 14. 45 14. 25 15. 72 16. 42 16. 52 16. 50 16. 05 16. 18 16. 36 17.00 Mining 1. 69 1.43 1. 36 1. 30 1. 29 1.40 1. 27 1. 34 1.46 1. 62 1. 65 1.63 1. 86 1. 88 1. 89 1. 85 1.92 1.80 1. 90 Railroads Other 1. 58 . 86 1. 02 1. 16 1.71 1.43 2. 10 1.97 1.96 2. 17 1. 98 2. 52 2. 91 3. 39 3. 77 4. 15 4. 19 4. 67 3.88 4. 43 4.31 4.46 4.82 50. 31 .82 1. 02 1. 26 1.66 1. 99 2.37 1. 86 1.45 1. 86 1. 99 2. 06 1. 94 1.74 1.97 2. 22 Public Commerand utilities cial other 2 5. 67 5.52 5. 14 5.24 5.00 4. 90 4. 98 5.49 6. 13 7. 43 8.74 10. 20 11. 61 13. 58 11. 48 11. 80 12. 14 13. 48 14. 68 I 10.79 10. 27 11. 16 11.99 12. 52 13.84 15.06 16. 63 18.49 20. 50 20. 94 21. 97 24. 35 26.47 25.49 25. 44 25. 66 26. 06 26.40 necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce; 9 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE The civilian labor force (seasonally adjusted) declined by 317,000 in May. Employment fell by 475,000 and unemployment increased by 1 58,000. Employment in nonagricultural industries decreased by 502,000, MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 0 I ! 1 I M i M I M I I ! M 1 I M M I I I I M I i I I I I I I I I II I I I I! I I I I 1 M f I M t f I I I M M I I f I II PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE uNEl vA >L OYJvVEf<•JT T - \r rr^ VaE „ £ E>kS DhJA li( AC JlJS1ret) ~\ hTT 1 - ; 19<!>4 i9 5* 19<56 Civilisin emTotal ploy ment labor force UnemXT w JNonploy- (includagriing Total ment cularmed tural forces) Thousands of ' Dersons 16 1965___ 77, 178 71, 088 66, 726 3,366 77, 178 1966... 78, 893 72, 895 68, 915 2, 875 78, 893 1967 80, 793 74, 372 70, 527 2,975 80, 793 1968___ 82, 272 75, 920 72, 103 2,817 82, 272 1969___ 84, 239 77, 902 74, 296 2, 831 84, 239 Unadji isted 1969: Apr_ 83, 137 77, 079 73, 471 2,542 88, 950 May- 83, 085 77, 264 73, 374 2, 299 83, 652 June- 85, 880 78, 956 74, 589 3,400 84, 028 July_ 86, 318 79, 616 75, 460 3, 182 84, 810 Aug_ 86, 046 79, 646 75, 669 2,869 84, 517 Sept_ 84, 527 78, 026 74, 397 2,958 84, 868 Oct__ 85, 038 78, 671 75, 110 2,839 85, 051 Nov. 84, 920 78, 716 75, 395 2,710 84, 872 Dec_ 84, 856 78, 788 75, 805 2,628 85, 028 1970: Jan.. 84, 105 77, 313 74, 398 3,406 85, 599 Feb_. 84, 625 77, 489 74, 495 3,794 85, 590 Mar. 85, 008 77, 957 74, 786 3,733 86, 087 Apr.r 85, 231 78, 408 74, 877 3, 552 86, 148 May. 84, 968 78, 357 74, 632 3,384 85, 788 | Total labor force Period (including armed forces) Total labor force as percent oi noninstitutional population. 10 •') 1970 19 5S> 196£ * 19<57 *16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1 I t I f M I ! M I I !0 COUNCIL Or ECONOMIC ADVISERS years of age and o ver 74, 455 71, 088 4,361 75, 770 72, 895 3,979 77, 347 74, 372 3,844 78, 737 75, 920 3, 817 80, 733 77, 902 3, 606 <Seasonally adjusted 66, 726 68, 915 70, 527 72, 103 74, 296 Unempl oyment rate (percent of Unem- civilia n labor for ce) ployment Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Percent 3,366 4.5 2,875 3. 8 2,975 3.8 2,817 3.6 2,831 3.5 80, 484 80, 180 80, 504 80, 789 80, 987 81, 825 81, 528 81, 879 81, 588 77, 589 77, 321 77, 741 77, 981 78, 142 78, 194 78, 445 78, 528 78, 787 8,661 8, 777 8, 683 3,561 3, 614 8,498 3,446 3,434 3,435 78, 928 78, 544 74, 058 74, 370 74, 528 74, 696 74, 999 75, 094 75, 302 2,845 2, 809 2, 768 2,858 2,845 3,181 3, 078 2,851 2,846 82, 218 82, 249 82, 769 82, 872 82, 555 79, 041 78, 822 79, 112 78, 924 78, 449 8,426 8,499 8,550 8,686 8,613 75, 615 75, 323 75, 562 75, 888 74,886 8,172 8,427 3,657 8,948 4,106 Civili*in emplo yment Civilian labor force Total Agricultural Nonagricultural 3.2 2. 9 4. 1 3. 8 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.3 3. 2 3.5 8.5 8.4 8.5 3.5 3. 8 3.8 8.5 3.5 4. 7 3. 9 4. 2 4. 1 5.0 4,2 4.6 4.3 NOTE.—Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 4*4 4-8 Labor force participation rate, unadjusted * 59. 7 60. 1 60.6 60.7 61. 1 60. 5 60.4 62. 4 62. 6 62. 3 61. 1 61.4 61. 2 61. 1 60. 5 60.8 60. 9 61. 0 60. 7 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate increased from 4.8 percent in April to 5.0 percent in May, the highest rate since February 1965. The unemployment rate for married men rose from 2.4 to 2.6 percent. PERCENT 10 PERCENT 10 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED LABOR FORCE TIME LOST / UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS \ UNEMPLOYMENT RATEv EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN I , ,, 1968 t 1I ! t I t 11II 1966 1965 1964 1967 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS linennploymen b rate (percen t of civili*in labor for ce in grou P) Period 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr Mav _ . _ _ June July Aug Sept Oct Nov_ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav 1 Persons at work in nonagri cultural ic idustries by hours worked p)&T week 2 Uiider 35 hours Labor Experi- Married force enced All men time lost l Over 40 wage and hours (wife workers salary present) workers 4.5 3.8 3.8 3.6 3. 5 3.5 3. 5 3. 4 3.5 3. 5 3.8 3.8 3. 5 3. 5 3. 9 4. 2 4.4 4. 8 5. 0 Per cent 2.4 4.3 3. 5 3. 6 3.4 1. 9 1. 8 1.6 1. 5 3. 3 Seasonall y adjusted 1.5 3.3 3. 2 1. 5 3. 2 1. 5 3. 3 1. 6 3. 3 1. 5 3.6 1. 7 3. 6 1.6 1. 5 3.4 3. 4 1. 7 3. 6 1.8 2. 0 3.9 4.2 2.2 4. 2 2. 4 4.7 2.6 5.0 4. 2 4.2 4.0 3. 9 3. 8 3.8 3. 8 4.0 4.0 4.3 4. 3 4. 0 3. 9 4. 2 4. 5 4. 8 5. 1 5. 4 20, 788 21, 334 20, 920 20, 600 20, 608 20, 128 21, 185 20, 914 19, 352 20, 045 21, 651 21, 370 20, 097 21, 415 19, 939 19, 456 20, 321 19, 818 19, 928 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of potentially available labor force man-hours. 2 Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 10), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, ind industrial disputes. 2 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 1970 1969 35-40 hours Part-ti me for economi c reasons Total Part-time for economi G reasons Usually Usually Usually fullpartfulltime 8 time 4 time * Thousan ds of pers ons 16 ye<u*s of age and over 30, 768 11, 818 897 1,031 32, 088 12, 034 871 793 32, 616 13, 290 1,060 853 32. 658 14, 785 895 820 34, 201 15, 210 955 855 1Jnadjustec 1 Seasonall' j 34, 370 15, 650 823 690 881 34, 834 14, 620 806 703 905 35, 107 13, 42C 1, 143 1, 078 974 33, 545 12, 533 862 1,294 888 34, 112 12, 222 1,088 1,235 1,040 35, 350 13, 668 1,089 798 1,046 34, 173 16, 462 950 790 1,017 31, 868 20, 633 742 937 1,005 35, 974 15, 785 986 733 1,046 35, 325 16, 139 1,108 768 1,036 34, 249 17, 562 1, 088 723 1, 044 35, 857 15, 807 1, 120 768 1,093 36, 110 16, 019 799 1, 308 1,400 6 35, 898 15, 737 * 1, 116 835 1,253 Usually parttime 4 adjusted 829 839 844 901 915 887 928 825 812 879 777 843 960 996 4 Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. «Average hours worked: usually full-time, 24.6; usually part-time, 18 NOTE.—See Note, p. 10. Source: Department of Labor. 11 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAM In May, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 761,000 higher than a year earlier. The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate rose from 3.2 to 3.6 percent. MltllONS OF WRSONS MfLUONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS} 1969 T JAN. FEB. MAR. APRIL f I MAY f f '! I f JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. A 11 progranas Insured Total unem- benefits Insured Covered ploypaid unememploy- ment (milployment (weekly lions ment averof dolage) lars) Thou sands 54, 739 1, 129 » 56, 342 1,270 "57, 969 1, 187 1, 175 "59, 268 1, 163 '59, 862 970 "60, 965 912 1, 089 1,016 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1970: Jan Feb___ __ Mar Apr__p May Week ended: 1970: Mav 1 G _ _ 903 930 1, 106 1,465 1,958 1,987 1,917 1, 885 1,778 23 30 June 6 v 13 * 1 _ 1, 801 1,749 1,686 1,692 1, 890. 9 2, 220. 0 2, 191. 3 2, 265. 0 214. 9 164. 9 145. 7 171.8 169.7 148.3 153.8 147.7 208.5 250. 7 328. 7 355. 5 344.2 322. 8 t !.. I T DEC. Steite progra ms Initial claims Insurec unemploymen t as perExhaus- cent of covered emplo yment tions Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Weekly jiverage, t lousands 203 15 1,061 17 226 1,205 201 16 1,111 197 1,098 15 19 167 1, 090 906 144 17 852 162 17 1,021 246 15 172 14 948 840 146 13 864 167 13 1,030 213 12 289 1, 375 13 1,847 355 18 1,874 17 290 245 1,798 20 22 1,770 298 1, 667 249 25 1, 689 1,639 1, 579 1 1, 582 ixiot charted. NOTE.—For definitions and coverape, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included and for Puerto Rico since 1963. 12 f NQY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOUXCEt DEPARTMENT OF IABO* Period T 242 231 224 234 242 Source: Department of Labor, Per<sent 2.3 2. 5 2.2 2.2 2. 2 1.8 1. 7 2. 0 1. 8 1. 6 1.6 2. 0 2. 0 2. 1 2. 2 6> 6) <G. & 9 & 9 &. <Q 6) &. & 6) O <Z? 6. 2. 0 2. 7 2. 8 3.6 3.6 2.5 2.6 3. 5 3. 4 3. 2 3.2 3. 1 3. 0 3.0 2. 7 S.2 S. 6 Benefit s paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) 1,771.3 2, 101. 0 2, 031. 9 2, 099. 5 200. 1 153. 0 135. 0 159. 2 156.7 136.2 139.5 136. 6 214.3 299.4 310. 8 331. 1 320. 2 298. 1 39.75 41. 25 43.43 46. 10 46. 03 45. 14 44. 88 45. 30 46.16 45.70 46. 25 46.47 47. 42 48.49 49. 11 48. 50 47. 94 48.63 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural payroll employment (seasonally adjusted) decreased by 269,000 in May. Most of the decline occurred in manufacturing (225,000). A substantial decline also occurred in contract construction (79,000). Mill.IONS OF WAGE ANE) SALARY WORKERS 76 MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONAllY 16 (ENLARGED S(:ALEJ {SEASONALLY ADJ JSTED) 72 14 •••"•^ 5 ,/^ALL NOt^AGRICULTURAL ^* EST/^BLISHMENTS -——^ ' - - NONMANUFACJURING (PRIVATE ) V- £ -.1 "~ -.-- 10 -^P^—**'*"""' DURABLE MANUFACTURIhIG 1 „ *.«-"*"""" - 12 -....,,.ww^^» ^ MANUFAaURU^IG \ f 10 u "*"**,, *••—""" 1 piiittitt,,iHHltU»BllH«** ^ "^ NONDURABLE AMANUFACTURING \ 8 ^ — :- 16 - - COhiTRACT CONS1fRUCTION - GOVERNMENT 4 12 8 — «.„••» .- — .i""*"*"^*" ^•*^ 1 20 SERVICES -. J *- —^ 12 *~ 64 36 " WHOL ESALE AND RET* IL TRADE \ ^** • ^^^^^ 40 ^—— " 1 ^-^•""""^""1 68 ADJIUSTEDJ J ill 1 I 1 1 I t ! 1 1 I ! 1 1 f 1 I 1 ! I I! I 1 1 J 1 ! f t f ! I 1968 1967 2 I 1 1 1 ! I f 1 1 I IK 1969 1970 (ii i i t i 1 i i i i i 1967 1 1 1 1 ! ! 1 ! 1 I I 1968 SOURCE, DEPARTMENT CX IABOR , 1 ! ! 1 1 1 ! ! 1f ! 1969 ! » t t I I f f t I IK 1970 " COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1 [Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted) Manufac turing (]Drivate) Period 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr__ May _ June_ JulyAug— Sept__ Oct.. Nov.Dec__ 1970: Jan. _ Feb_. Mar__ Apr p _ May" Total 58, 331 60, 815 63, 955 65, 857 67, 915 70, 275 69, 992 70, 172 70, 348 70, 400 70, 498 70, 568 70, 838 70, 810 70, 845 70, 992 71, 139 71, 256 71, 124 70, 855 Total 17, 274 18, 062 19, 214 19, 447 19, 781 20, 169 20, 182 20, 195 20, 248 20, 247 20, 246 20, 252 20, 233 20, 082 20, 083 20, 018 19, 937 19, 944 19, 787 19, 562 NonDurable durable goods goods 9,816 10, 406 11, 284 11, 439 11, 626 11, 893 11, 903 11, 915 11, 957 11, 955 11, 950 11, 968 11, 965 11, 782 11,774 11, 679 11, 625 11, 648 11, 525 11, 394 7,458 7,656 7,930 8,008 8,155 8,277 8,279 8,280 8,291 8,292 8,296 8,284 8,268 8,300 8,309 8,339 8,312 8,296 8, 262 8, 168 N onmanu facturinj 5 (private) Total Contract Mining construetion 31, 461 32, 679 33, 950 35, 012 36, 288 37, 902 37, 675 37, 791 37, 879 37, 956 38, 040 38, 131 38, 313 38, 405 38, 401 38, 584 38, 761 38, 795 38, 713 38, 640 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they 634 632 627 613 606 619 615 614 614 618 621 623 622 624 627 625 626 626 622 620 3, 050 3,186 3,275 3,208 3,285 3,437 3,425 3,441 3,442 3,439 3,420 3,436 3,445 3,473 3,496 3,394 3,466 3,481 3, 424 3, 345 Transportation and public utilities 3,951 4,036 4, 151 4,261 4,310 4,431 4,414 4, 420 4,445 4,454 4,457 4,459 4,463 4,464 4,470 4,504 4, 497 4, 502 4,464 4,473 Whole- Finance, insursale ance, Services and and retail real i"TA.Hf* I/I cLUt> estate 12, 160 2,957 8,709 12, 716 3,023 9,087 13, 245 3, 100 9,551 13, 606 3, 225 10, 099 14, 084 3,382 10, 623 14, 645 3,557 11, 212 14, 546 3,529 11, 146 14, 606 3,540 11, 170 14, 647 3, 556 11, 175 14, 672 3,567 11, 206 14, 712 3,580 11,250 14, 738 3,584 11, 291 14, 824 3,596 11, 363 14, 847 3,611 11, 386 14, 749 3,626 11, 433 14, 937 3,648 11, 476 14, 987 3, 652 11, 533 14, 984 3,665 11, 537 14, 975 3,676 11, 552 14, 958 3, 683 11,561 Gover nment Federal State and local , 2,348 2,378 2,564 2,719 2,737 2,758 2,761 2,757 2,782 2,765 2,749 2,747 2,739 2,730 2,721 2,717 2,718 2,780 2,851 2,840 7,248 7,696 8,227 8,679 9,109 9,446 9,374 9,429 9,439 9,432 9,463 9,438 9,553 9,593 9,640 9,673 9,723 9,737 9,773 9,813 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1968; see note, p. 14. Beginning 1959, data Include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 13 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek for private nonfarm production workers decreased in May to 37.2 hours (seasonally adjusted). Hours declined in manufacturing (from 40.0 to 39.9) and in contract construction (from 38.3 to 38.2), and increased in retail trade (from 33.7 to 33.8). HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 I MANUFACTURING TOTAL NONAGR1CULTURAL PRIVATE 44 44 'r~ 42 42 40 38 38 36 36 34 34 1968 1967 1969 -LJLJ-fs 1967 1970 42 j 1968 1969 1970 1968 1969 1970 42 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTIC)N RETAIL TRADE 40 x^^r~v 38 38 36 34 34 32 32 30 At } 1 1 1 1 ! 1 f 1 1 v 1968 30 i r i i t l _ i .1 i i iN ' f M f t I ' ' i' 1967 1969 1970 N 1967 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF IABOR 1 [Average hours per week ] Total nonagricultural private 2 Period Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 3 Total ] nonagricultural private 2 38. 6 38.6 38.7 38. 8 38.7 38. 8 38. 6 38. 0 37. 8 37. 7 Unad [usted 39. 7 36. 7 36. 9 39. 8 37. 0 40. 4 37. 3 40. 5 40. 7 37. 2 41. 2 37. 4 37. 6 41. 3 37. 7 40. 6 37. 4 40. 7 40. 6 38. 0 38. 0 37. 6 37. 4 37. 3 37. 0 36. 6 35. 9 35. 3 34.7 34. 2 1969: Apr Ivlay June July Aug _ Sept___ Oct Nov. Dec 1970: Jan Feb 37.5 37.7 38. 0 38. 1 38.2 38. 0 37. 7 37. 5 37. 7 37. 1 37. 1 37. 2 37. 0 37. 1 40. 5 40. 7 40. 9 40. 4 40. 6 41. 0 40. 7 40. 6 41. 0 40. 1 39. 8 40. 0 39. 7 39. 9 33. 8 33. 9 34. 6 35. 2 35. 3 34.2 33.7 33. 6 34. 1 33. 4 33. 3 33.4 I 33. 3 33. 4 _ _ _ __ __ _ __ _ Mar p Apr _p Mav _ _ __ 37. 5 38. 2 38. 4 38. 7 39. 1 39. 3 38. 3 37. 1 37. 6 35. 7 36.8 37. 2 37. 9 38. 2 'Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. ^Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. IS. 14 Contract construction Retail trade 3 Seasonally T adjusted 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969__ __ Manufacturing 3 37. 8 37. 8 87. 8 37. 8 37.8 37. 8 37. 6 37.6 37. 5 37. 4 37.4 37. 4 37. 5 37. 2 40. 5 40. 7 AO. 7 40. 7 40. 6 40.7 40. 5 40.5 40.7 40. 5 39.9 40. 2 40.0 39. 9 37. 9 38. 2 37. 6 37. 6 37. 9 38. 1 37. 6 38. 1 38. 2 36. 7 38. 2 38.0 38. 8 38. 2 34. 2 34. 3 34. 3 34. 2 34.2 34. 1 34. o 34. 0 33. 5 33. 8 S3. 7 S3. S 33. 7 S3. 8 Includes eating and drinking places. NOTE.—Series revised to March 1969 benchmark beginning 1968. For detail, see Employment and Earnings, June 1970. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of private nonfarm production workers increased in May from $3.18 to $3.20. Average weekly earnings increased by $1.06 to $118.72. DOLLARS DOLlARS 6.00 240 AVERAGE n WEEKLY EARhJINGS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS 5.00 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION X CONTRACT 1/n 4.00 f* V y MANUFACTURING CONSTRlJCT10N /V v" . -V - MANUF/^TURING ••••••«*** %»,i»»«^ <11,M»»^ 120 TOTAL NONAGRICULTURAL PRIVATE RETAIL TRADE 2.00 ./ \^ 80 *~~~>~* _^^~— ..-' —• 11 ••„ ^M*****"*^*" * ^ i '•• ~*~^ TOTAL NONAGRICULTURA I PRIVATE *,m^ +«-*mm* m RETAIL " ^ADE — 1 ! t ! I 1.00 1967 1 40 { I 1 M ^1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1967 1970 1969 1968 1 1 T ! 1 ! 1 1 ! ! 1 ! ! 1 1! 1 I ! 1 ! 1 1968 1969 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF UBOR i r t f i I t M t IK 1970 V COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969.— 1969: Apr May June. _ _ July Aug_ _ _ _ Sept__ _ _ _ Oct Nov.. Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr " May ''. Average lourly earn ings— curr ent prices Average ^veekly earrdngs— current prices Total nonagricultural private l Total nonagricultural private 1 $2. 09 2. 14 2. 22 2. 28 2. 36 2. 45 2. 56 2. 68 2.85 3. 04 2. 98 3. 01 3. 03 3. 04 3. 05 3. 10 :i 11 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 3. 12 11 13 15 17 18 20 Manufacturing $2. 26 2. 32 2. 39 2. 46 2. 53 2. 61 2. 72 2. 83 3. 01 3. 19 3. 15 3. 16 3. 18 3. 19 3.20 3. 24 3. 25 3. 2G 3. 29 3. 29 3. 29 3. 31 3. 32 3. 35 Contract construction $3. 08 3. 20 3. 31 3. 41 3. 55 3. 70 3. 89 4. 11 4. 41 4. 78 4. 65 4. 72 4. 70 4. 76 4. 80 4. 92 4. ()(> 4. 97 f>. 03 5. 07 5. 06 5. 06 5. 08 5. 09 Retail trade 2 $1. 52 1. 56 1. 63 1. 68 1. 75 1. 82 1. 91 2. 01 2. 16 2. 30 2. 28 2. 29 2. 30 2. 30 2. 30 2. 33 2. 35 2. 36 2. 35 2. 38 2. 40 2, 41 2. 42 2.42 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 13. 2 Includes eating and drinking places. 2 Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude the effects of overtime and interindustry shifts. * Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price index. 46-368°—70 3 $80. 67 82. 60 85. 91 88. 46 91. 33 95. 06 98. 82 101. 84 107. 73 114. 61 111. 75 113. 48 115. 14 115. 82 116. 51 117. 80 117. 25 117. 00 117. 25 116. 12 116. 87 117. 92 117. 66 118. 72 Manufacturing Contract construction Retail trade 2 $89. 72 92. 34 96. 56 99. 63 102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114. 90 122. 51 129. 51 127. 58 128. 61 130. 06 128. 88 129. 92 132. 84 132. 28 132. 36 134. 89 131. 93 130. 94 132. 40 131. 80 133. 67 $113. 118. 122. 127. 132. 138. 146. 154. 164. 181. 174. 180. 180. 184. 187. 193. 189. 184. 189. 181. 186. 188. 192. 194. $57. 76 58. 66 60. 96 62. 66 64.75 66.61 68.57 70.95 74. 95 78. 66 77. 06 77.63 79. 58 80. 96 81. 19 79. 69 79. 20 79. 30 80. 14 79.49 79. 92 80. 49 80.59 80. 83 04 08 47 19 06 38 26 95 93 16 38 30 48 21 68 36 97 39 13 00 21 23 53 44 Manufa icturing indu.3 tries Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings, ings, 1957-59= 1957-59 100 3 prices 4 106. 8 109.9 112. 7 115. 5 118. 4 121. 5 125. 6 131.5 139. 5 147.7 146.0 146.6 146.9 147.8 148. 4 149. 5 150. 2 151.0 152. 0 152. 9 153.4 154. 4 155. 3 $87. 02 88.62 91. 61 93.37 95. 25 97. 84 99. 33 98. 80 101. 08 101. 42 100. 93 101. 43 101. 93 100. 53 100. 95 102. 74 101. 91 101. 43 102. 73 100. 10 98. 82 99. 40 98. 36 99.31 NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1968, see note, p. 14. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) declined nearly 1 percent in May to a level about 3 percent below the July 1969 peak. Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED} 260 I UTILITIES AND MINING TOTAL 180 240 160 220 y^ UTILITIES 140 200 120 180 100 I t I I II I t t t I I I I I I M I t II 1968 .1967 I I I 1I ll I I I1 1969 140 MINING 1970 200 1 111 11 1111I 120 MANUFACTURING 1967 180 1968 1 11 ! I t 1 I ! 1 1970 1969 200 —^ ^^•i-*'1—\ *« ""NONDURABLE' ^-—•\ 160 140 160 120 1967 t ii i iI i i i ii 1968 ! IM 1969 II I IM I 140 1970 1970 1967 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total industrial production Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 _ _ _ _ 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr May June July Aug_ Sept Oct Nov Dec _ 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr__ May » _ _ _ . __ 108.7 109. 7 118.3 124. 3 132.3 143.4 156. 3 158.1 165.5 172.8 171.7 172. 5 173.7 174. 6 174. 3 173. 9 173. 1 171.4 171. 1 170.4 170. 5 171. 1 170.4 169.0 1 [1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Industry M anufaetur ing Non- Mining Utilities Total Durable durable Total Consumer goods Equipment 108. 9 109. 6 118.7 1249 133.1 145.0 158. 6 159.7 166.9 173.9 173. 0 173. 8 174.8 175. 6 175.4 175. 2 173. 9 171.8 171.3 170. 2 170. 3 170. 9 170.0 168.4 109.9 111.2 119. 7 124. 9 131.8 142.5 155. 5 158.3 165.1 170. 8 170. 2 170. 0 170.7 172. 8 172.7 172. 2 170.9 168. 4 168.5 168. 5 169.9 170.0 168.7 167.7 111. 0 112. 6 119. 7 125. 2 131.7 140.3 147. 5 148.5 156.9 162. 5 161. 8 160. 7 161. 5 164.4 164. 2 162. 8 161. 2 160. 5 160. 7 161. 5 162. 4 162.6 162. 9 163. 4 107.6 108.3 119.6 124.2 132.0 147.0 172.6 179.4 182.6 188. 6 188.4 190. 0 190. 4 190. 8 190. 3 192. 4 191. 9 185.6 185. 2 183. 6 186.2 185. 7 181. 0 177.0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 16 COUHOL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 108.5 107.0 117.9 124.5 133.5 148.4 164, 8 163.7 169.8 176.5 175. 7 176.7 178.3 178. 7 178.8 178. 7 177. 3 172. 1 171. 1 169.7 169. 6 170.6 168. 6 166.9 109.5 112.9 119.8 125. 3 132.6 140.8 150. 8 154.6 163.3 170. 6 169. 6 170.3 170. 5 171.8 171. 3 170. 9 169. 5 171. 5 171.5 171. 0 171. 3 171. 2 171.7 170. 2 101. 6 102. 6 105. 0 107. 9 111.5 114.8 120. 5 123.8 126.6 130. 2 128. 8 130. 3 134.4 133. 2 131.2 131.6 130. 2 132. 6 134. 4 131.7 134. 2 135.8 134.5 134.7 115. 6 122. 3 131. 4 140. 0 151.3 160.9 173. 9 184.9 202.5 221. 2 216. 3 213. 6 215. 6 222. 2 222. 6 222. 5 226. 0 226. 0 227. 9 230. 1 232.7 230. 3 231. 5 231.5 Ma rket Final produ cts TVT 4- rials 107.6 108.4 117.0 123.7 132.8 144.2 157. 0 157.8 165.8 174. 6 172. 9 174. 5 176.3 176. 5 175. 9 176.0 175.4 174.6 173. 9 172. 5 171. 5 172. 1 172. 0 170.5 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Production of most major groups of manufactures (seasonally adjusted) declined in May. An exception was transportation equipment which increased because of a sharp rise in motor vehicles and parts. Index, 1957-59=100 {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 240 Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 FABRICAT FD MFTAI PROD 180 -^iSi^W-^ii N >UCTS \/1 s^/^ 160 ~ MET; **""«. " s •••«• 140 7P ^ "X, .......uX' /, 120 = s . \ A\* ^v^r k i i ti i i I i f ii 1967 100 /i 180 PAPER AND. . PRINTING N^ LUMBER AlMD PRODUCTS V k— % 1 1 ! I I 11 1 I I ! 1 ! 11 I 1 1 I 1! 1 I 1 111 ! 1 | 1 f ! 1969 1970 1968 140 i f i... t t t M I f t. . . I t M I I I 1 1967 I I 1 ! t I I II I I 1969 1968 1970 180 22U vy\ *5AA r^ MACHINERY 1RH 160 ^v% V '^-V' 200 Hs <**.. \X ""—,. \v>^. ^ ' '*'* ,^ ""1 PRIMARY CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER 220 v ^ • * 160 ~\f 140 \mf-/ 1 1 ! 1! I 1 I ! !1 ^^jv*t» 140 *^ -" FOODS, \ BEV 1ERAGE.% \ ^ TRANSPORTATI ON EQUIPMENT 1 1 ! 1 ! f ! f | 1 ! 1968 1967 TEXTILE*>, APPAREL, AND LEATHER \ / ""v r^^ "\ ' ! 1 1 ! ! 1 1 ! 1 I ! 160 v-*x 120 1 1 I 1 1 1 I I ! I 1 100 1969 AND TOB ACCO 1 ! ! ! 1 ( I I 1 !I 1970 , , , , , ! , « , , , ,,,,,[,,,,, i t f . i Ii i M ' 1968 1969 1970 1967 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Durat>le manufeictures Period Primary metals Ncmdurable manufactu res FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, cated Machin- tation and apparel, and petrobevermetal ery equipprodand print- leum, and ages, and products ment leather ing ucts rubber tobacco 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 _ 1969 101.3 98. 9 104. 6 113.3 129.1 137.6 142.7 132.5 137.0 149. 1 107.6 106. 5 117. 1 123.4 132.7 147.8 163. 0 161.9 167.9 179. 8 110. 8 110. 4 123. 5 129. 2 141.4 160.5 183. 8 183.4 184.3 195.7 108.2 103.6 118.3 127. 0 130.7 149.2 166.9 165.7 179.5 174. 6 102. 1 101. 3 106. 1 108. 9 112.6 117.4 119. 4 116.9 122. 3 119.1 107. 5 108. 4 115. 1 118. 5 125.2 135.8 141. 6 139.4 144.8 144. 2 109. 0 112. 4 116. 7 120. 1 127.5 135.3 146. 4 149.6 155.5 164. 4 113.9 118.9 131. 2 141. 8 152.5 164.6 181.9 190.0 207.7 222.6 106. 6 110. 2 113. 3 116. 8 120.8 123.4 128.1 131.7 135.3 139. 0 1969: Apr 147. 9 149. 3 153. 1 152.4 151, 3 149. 3 150. 4 150. 3 147. 7 178.3 179. 2 180. 6 179. 1 180. 6 179. 1 179. 4 179. 2 178. 4 194.6 196. 9 197. 2 198. 1 199. 4 201. 2 199. 0 187.4 188.7 172.4 171. 8 176. 6 181. 1 179. 1 178. 8 175. 7 168. 3 163. 9 122.6 120. 7 115. 5 113. 4 114. 1 111. 1 113. 8 114. 1 109. 7 143.7 146. 3 146. 0 145. 4 143. 3 141. 1 142. 0 142.9 141. 5 162.4 163. 8 164.4 165. 9 166. 3 165.8 165. 3 166.1 166.8 221.7 222. 7 223. 2 225.2 222. 4 223. 3 222. 7 225. 3 224. 8 138.2 136. 9 137. 0 138. 4 141. 0 140.4 136. 2 139.2 140.1 143. 139. 142. 139. 180. 0 178. 9 178. 3 175. 1 189. 7 195. 8 198. 3 193. 9 191 159. 6 154. 3 156. 1 155. 2 118. 0 117.5 113. 2 141. 3 138. 8 137.7 137. 6 164. 6 164. 6 164. 6 165. 3 222. 224. 226. 226. 142.7 143. 5 142. 8 142. 7 May June July Aug_ Sept__ Get Nov__ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar_ _ Apr May " _ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ - _ _ . _ .__ - 138 1 2 0 9 171 i 159 137 166 223 1 1 0 5 142 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Output of most weekly indicators of production increased on a seasonally unadjusted basis in May. MILLIONS Of SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) MILLIONS OF TONS STEEL 3.5 25 1.5 w J F M A M J BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS S SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Period Weekly average: 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr May. June July Aug SeptOct Nov Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr.. p May . ... _ Week ended: 1970: May 16 23 30 June 6 13 * 1 N D COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Car 3 and truicks Steel p]reduced power coal mined produced assemb ed (thoLisands) loaded distributed (thousands (thousands Index Thousands (thousands of short of net (1957-59= (millions of Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) tons kilowatt-hours) tons) 1 100) 2,096 2,431 2,521 2,572 2,440 2,515 2,709 2,830 2, 789 2, 753 2, 571 2,578 2, 692 2,782 2,778 2, 672 2, 538 2, 625 2,683 2,654 2, 615 112. 5 130.5 135.3 138.1 131. 0 135.0 145.4 151. 9 149.7 147. 8 138. 0 138.4 144. 5 149.3 149. 1 143. 5 136.2 140. 9 144. 0 142. 5 140.4 17, 490 18, 728 20, 169 21, 971 23, 169 25, 244 27, 588 25, 291 25, 852 27, 897 30, 053 30, 071 27, 873 26, 917 27, 308 28, 426 30, 060 28, 995 28, 116 27, 508 27, 875 1,535 1,630 1,735 1,798 1,868 1,827 1,879 1,852 1,889 1,791 2,076 1,844 1,952 1,983 1,946 1,987 1,751 1,912 1,952 1,950 1, 948 555 558 562 570 540 543 544 550 568 570 514 568 567 595 562 483 489 509 518 536 566 358 384 410 446 439 479 507 515 532 526 475 518 489 525 524 470 479 518 513 508 513 175. 0 178.8 213.7 199.3 172.9 207.6 195.7 199.2 194. 6 226.2 125. 7 122.8 208. 1 228.4 211. 5 155.5 188. 9 172. 8 184. 6 177.9 212. 6 146.9 148.8 179.4 165.4 142.4 170.1 158. 1 161. 9 161.9 187.7 93.4 93.4 171. 6 185. 1 167.9 122. 7 150. 0 137. 6 14R6 145. 5 171. 9 28.1 30. 0 34.3 33. 9 30. 5 37.5 37. 6 37.3 32. 7 38. 5 32. 3 29.4 36. 5 43. 3 43.6 32. 7 38. 9 35. 2 36.0 32. 4 40.7 2,625 2,609 2,670 2,658 2,637 140. 9 140.0 143.3 142.7 141. 6 28, 352 28, 318 27, 851 28, 094 2 29, 583 1,922 1,953 2,276 1,940 569 575 558 537 567 506 508 516 499 208. 3 225.9 212.5 226.7 228.6 167.7 182.3 172. 5 183.4 186. 3 1 40.6 43.5 40. 1 43. 3 42. 3 Daily average. Includes data for Alaska. 2Not charted. 18 O Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper Id' stitute, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, expenditures for new construction (seasonally adjusted) decreased more than 1 percent in April. All major types of private construction declined with the largest drop occurring in commercial and industrial building. Public construction rose about 1% percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES .TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION. PRIVATE M M 1I M M f I I M M I I M PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM) '1970 1964 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total new construction expenditures COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS • Jrrivate Total Residentisil nonfarm New Total i housing Commercial and industrial Other Federal, State, and local Bi [lions of dolJ ars 1964 1965 1966 1967. 1968 1969 66. 2 72.3 75. 1 76. 2 84. 7 90.9 45. 8 50. 3 51. 1 50. 6 57. 0 62.8 26. 3 26. 3 24. 0 23. 7 28. 8 30.6 20. 4 20. 4 18. 0 17.9 22.4 23.7 9. 0 11. 9 13. 6 13. 1 13.9 16.5 10. 6 12. 1 13. 6 13.7 14.2 15. 7 20. 4 22. 1 24. 0 25.6 27.7 28. 1 14. 9 14. 6 15. 1 15. 5 15. 3 16. 0 16. 4 16.7 16. 5 16. 3 16. 2 16. 6 17.0 16.8 16. 4 29.5 29.0 29.7 28. 7 28. 4 27. 6 27.5 27.4 27. 1 27.0 27.9 28.1 28.6 28. 0 28.4 Seasonalh/ adjusted arinual rates 1969: Feb Mar Apr May___ _ _ June. July. Aug. Sept Oct Nov_ _ _ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar_ Apr *_ ._ 92. 1 91.7 92. 8 92. 4 91.5 90.8 89. 9 91. 1 90. 8 88. 9 89. 5 89. 9 90. 7 90. 3 89. 1 62. 6 62.8 63. 0 63. 7 63. 0 63. 2 62. 4 63. 7 63.7 61. 9 61. 6 61.8 62. 1 62. 3 60. 7 31.4 32. 4 33. 0 33. 0 31. 6 30. 3 29. 3 29 2 29.4 28. 9 28. 6 27. 8 27.4 27. 7 27. 6 i Includes nonhousekeepinp residential construction and additions and alte tlons, not shown separately. 2Compiled by F. W. Dodge Company and relates to 48 States 25. 5 25. 5 25. 0 24. 5 23. 9 23. 2 22. 6 22. 6 23. 0 22. 8 22. 5 21.7 21. 2 21. 4 21. 2 16. 3 15. 8 14. 9 15. 2 16. 1 16. 8 16.8 17.8 17.8 16.7 16.8 17. 5 17.7 17.7 16. 6 Constructio n contracts2 CommerTotal value cial and (index, industrial 1957-59= floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 137. 142. 145. 153. 173. 189. 0 8 3 3 4 4 599 680 769 694 779 883 Seasonally Seasonally adjusted adjusted annual rates 205 840 182 762 183 790 210 1, 027 186 964 180 884 216 864 173 827 195 960 178 772 218 1,043 205 1, 066 215 971 208 805 203 768 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Company. 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private housing starts (seasonally adjusted) changed little in May, following a sharp drop in April. Permits increased for the second consecutive month with a rise of 7 percent. MILLIONS OF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 2.5 1.0 1.0 >«^^^ 1964 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA) COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of units] Hou sing star ts Period 1964 1965 1966 1967___ 1968__ 1969 1969: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct . Nov Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr »„ May p _ __ _ ___ _ Total private and public (including farm) Total private (including farm) 1, 561.0 1, 509. 6 1, 196. 2 1, 321. 9 1, 545. 5 1, 499. 9 159. 9 157. 7 150. 8 126. 5 127. 6 132. 9 125. 8 97. 4 85. 3 69. 2 77. 0 117. 8 129. 0 123. 2 Total (includingI farm) Total One unit 1, 528. 8 1, 472. 9 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 1, 507. 7 1, 466. 8 1, 528. 8 1, 472. 9 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 1, 507. 7 1, 466. 8 970. 5 963. 8 778. 5 843. 9 899. 5 810. 6 159. 0 155. 5 147. 3 125. 2 124. 9 129. 3 123. 4 94. 6 84. 1 66.4 74. 3 114. 7 127. 2 120. 9 1,505 1,533 1,507 1,429 1,376 1,481 1,390 1, 280 1,402 1,059 1, 306 1,392 1, 215 797 877 826 803 752 828 766 762 776 577 725 708 691 715 -ir-eeo 'Authorized by issuance of local building pe rmit; in 13, 300 permit-issuing places beginning 1967; 12,000 for 1963--66; and 10,00 0 prior to 1965 . 2 Units represented by mortgage aj)plications fo r new home construction. 20 1 Private Gover nment home p rograms (noni"arm) Two or FHA VA more units 154. 0 558.3 59. 2 509. 1 159. 9 49. 4 386. 5 129. 1 36. 8 ia. 9 52. 5 447. 7 608. 2 147. 7 56. 1 656. 2 153. 6 51. 2 SeasoiiaJly adjus ted annu al 708 656 681 626 624 653 624 518 626 482 581 684 524 485 164 137 149 138 142 151 160 178 191 170 182 187 205 194 48 47 48 46 47 54 52 53 59 54 58 62 60 57 New private housing units authorized l 1, 285. 8 1, 239. 8 971. 9 1, 141. 0 1, 353. 4 1, 299. 6 rates 1,502 1, 323 1, 340 1, 228 1, 245 1, 201 1, 183 1, 191 1, 239 1,013 1, 137 1,099 1,263 -*r%5T" Propose d home constr uction Applica- Requests tions for forVA FHA appraiscommitals 2 ments 2 182. 1 188. 9 153. 0 167.2 168. 9 186. 5 113. 6 102. 1 99. 2 124.3 131.7 138. 2 169 169 178 176 169 193 224 230 210 251 250 258 282 269 124 122 126 145 151 127 130 184 147 141 142 142 134 131 NOTE.— Datei include Alaska and H awaii. Sources: Dep artment of Commerce, Federal Housin U Administra tion (FHA), an d Veterans A dministrati on (VA). BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES - TOTAL AND TRADE Manufacturing and trade firms added $500 million (seasonally adjusted) to their stocks in April, up from an average monthly increase of $400 million in the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 20 1967 SEE^BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCF COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total t>usiness l Period Sales 2 Whol esale * Inventories 3 Sales 2 101, 149 105, 525 111, 548 121, 140 137, 184 143, 694 153, 764 166, 106 156, 401 157, 477 158, 602 159, 264 160, 631 161, 659 162, 733 164, 250 164, 974 166, 106 165, 816 166, 793 167, 283 167, 779 12, 674 13, 382 14, 527 15, 595 16, 979 17, 099 18, 329 19, 726 19, 516 19, 612 20, 105 19, 970 19, 719 20, 059 20, 210 20, 288 20, 207 20, 062 20, 292 20,571 20, 463 19, 900 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Total Reitail 5 [nventories NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total Durable goods stores 28, 001 29, 450 31, 201 34, 687 38, 368 39, 318 42, 657 45, 838 43, 004 43, 118 43, 025 43, 438 43, 874 44, 322 44, 806 45, 378 45, 537 45, 838 45, 270 45, 337 45, 525 45, 493 11, 703 12, 436 13, 189 15, 255 17,309 17, 403 19, 461 20, 597 19, 542 19, 567 19, 044 19, 365 19, 358 19, 756 20, 079 20, 564 20, 602 20, 597 20, 103 19, 936 20, 022 19, 960 3 Nondurable goods stores IMillions of dollars, seasonally aAdjusted 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Mar _ Apr May_ June July Aug Sept Oct _ _ Nov_ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar_ A p r "v_ _ _ May 65, 417 68, 969 73, 685 80, 276 87, 184 88, 962 96, 915 103, 640 101, 475 102, 319 _ _ 103, 232 104, 127 104, 201 104, 644 105, 903 106, 907 105, 666 104, 758 104, 961 106, 139 105, 218 104, 798 1 The terra "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 22). * Monthly average for year and total for month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. < Beginning 1961, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 3 14, 936 16, 048 16, 977 18, 274 20, 691 21, 557 22, 528 24, 363 23, 080 23, 341 23, 438 23, 611 23, 591 23, 609 23, 716 23, 956 24, 021 24, 363 24, 484 24, 853 24, 842 24, 682 19, 630 20, 556 21, 823 23, 677 25, 330 26, 151 28, 277 29, 303 28, 881 29, 409 29, 386 29, 371 29, 090 29, 346 29, 259 29, 620 29, 471 29, 419 29, 570 29, 980 29, 801 30, 387 • 30, 220 6,241 6,661 7,049 7,849 8,192 8,348 9, 187 9,398 9,377 9,575 9,481 9, 545 9, 141 9, 161 9,384 9,354 9,229 9,275 8,886 9, 143 9, 134 9,295 6 9, 166 13, 389 13, 895 14, 773 15, 828 17, 138 17, 803 19, 090 19, 904 19, 504 19, 834 19, 905 19, 826 19, 949 20, 1 85 19, 875 20, 266 20, 242 20, 144 20, 684 20, 837 20, 667 21, 092 6 21, 054 16, 298 17, 014 18, 012 19, 432 21, 059 21, 915 23, 196 25, 241 23, 462 23, 551 23, 981 24, 073 24, 516 24, 566 24, 727 24, 814 24, 935 25, 241 25, 167 25, 401 25, 503 25, 533 6 Beginning fi 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Unofficial estimates. Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Shipments of manufacturers (seasonally adjusted) dipped in April but new orders received by durable goods companies were about the same as the March level. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 70 110 MANUFACTURERS' MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS INVENTORIES 100 60 TOTAL TOTAL 50 90 40 80 DURABLE GOODS 70 30 DURABLE GOODS 20 NONDURABLE GOODS' y i i M 11 M i i 50 40 MANUFACTlJRERS' NEW CDRDERS DURAB LE GOODS , 30 40 ^ NONDURABLE GOODS \a>n mm.""1*1*"""11*"""'1"' 30 20 NONDURABLE GOODS 10 4 1 j i i i ! i i i i i V 1967 1 1 1 I ! ! 1 1 1 ! 1 i i ri i 1 i i i ii 1968 1969 ! ! ! ! 1 ! 1 1 I f IN 1970 H 20 1967 1968 Manufac turers' sh ipments l Manufact Airers' inv entories 2 Total 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Mar Apr- _ _ _ Mav_ _ _ June ~ Julv Aug Sept Oct_ _ _ _ Nov Dec _ _ 1970: Jan__ _ Feb Mar Apr 33, 113 35, 032 37, 335 41, 003 44, 876 45, 712 50, 310 54, 611 53, 078 53, 298 53, 741 54, 786 55, 392 55, 239 56, 434 56, 999 55, 988 55, 277 55, 099 55, 588 54, 954 54, 270 NonDurable durable goods goods 17, 103 18, 247 19, 634 22, 216 24, 635 24, 973 27, 579 30, 300 29, 530 29, 643 29, 573 30, 136 30, 605 30, 868 31, 742 31, 889 30, 944 30, 201 30, 042 30, 402 29, 711 29, 535 Total Millions 16, 010 58, 212 16, 786 60, 027 17, 701 63, 370 18, 788 68, 179 20, 240 78, 125 20, 739 82, 819 22, 731 88, 579 24, 311 95, 905 23, 548 90, 317 23, 655 91, 018 24, 168 92, 139 24, 650 92, 215 24, 787 93, 166 24, 371 93, 728 24, 692 94, 211 25, 110 94, 916 25, 044 95, 416 25, 076 95, 905 25, 057 96, 062 25, 186 96, 603 25, 243 96, 916 24, 735 97, 775 NonDurable durable goods goods 22 Manufacturers' Durafc le goods • i invenNontoryMachinery durable shipTotal and goods equipment ratio 3 Ma nufacture rs' new orde rs Total of dollars seasonal y ad juste d 34, 609 23, 603 33, 005 17, 026 35, 807 24, 220 35, 322 18, 522 38, 433 24, 937 37, 952 20, 258 42, 204 25, 975 41, 803 22, 986 49, 797 28, 328 45, 938 25, 710 53, 540 29, 279 45, 928 25, 189 57, 422 31, 157 50, 597 27, 868 63, 550 32, 355 54, 815 30, 504 58, 978 31, 339 53, 283 29, 697 59, 426 31, 592 54, 635 30, 944 60, 222 31,917 54, 133 29, 998 60, 479 31, 736 53, 861 29, 171 61, 441 31, 725 55, 793 31, 069 61, 724 32, 004 54, 799 30, 482 62, 036 32, 175 56, 829 32, 135 62, 631 32, 285 56, 917 31, 795 63, 076 32, 340 56, 242 31, 188 63, 550 32, 355 55, 362 30, 295 63, 835 32, 227 53, 868 28, 909 63, 969 32, 634 54, 854 29, 657 64, 266 32, 650 53, 881 28, 632 64, 690 33, 085 53, 405 28, 652 1 Monthly average for year and total for month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio ol inventories at end of month to shipments for month. 2 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Porl/M-I 1969 3, 090 3,412 3,935 4,435 5,268 5, 250 5,804 6,553 6,414 7,099 6,428 6, 528 6, 346 6, 245 7,352 6,450 6,696 6,490 6,414 6,603 5,981 6,081 1 15, 979 16, 800 17, 694 18, 817 20, 228 20, 739 22, 728 24, 310 23, 586 23, 691 24, 135 24, 690 24, 724 24, 317 24, 694 25, 122 25, 054 25, 067 24, 959 25, 197 25, 249 24, 753 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1958. Source: Department of Commerce. 1.72 1. 69 1. 64 1. 60 1. 62 1. 77 1. 70 1. 69 1.70 1.71 1. 71 1.68 1.68 1.70 1. 67 1. 67 1.70 1.73 1.74 1. 74 1.76 1. 80 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS In April, the merchandise trade balance was $202 million (seasonally adjusted). For the first 4 months of 1970, the balance averaged $199 million, almost double the average in 1969. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4.0 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1970 1964 }/SEE NOTE 1 BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period [Millions Me]•chandise exports Total (incliidDomesti 3 exports ing ree:tports) l Food, Crude mateSeason- Unad- Total > » beverages, rials ally ad- j listed and to- and justed fuel bacco Monthly average: 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Mar__ Apr__ May_ June_ Juty__ Aug.. Sept. Oct__ Nov_ Dec__ 1970: Jan__ Feb__ Mar. Apr.. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 1, 686 1, 749 1,872 2, 153 2, 229 2, 458 2,586 2, 839 3, 110 8, 197 3,858 3, 296 8,211 S, 168 8.373 3,326 3,362 3,367 8, 289 3,305 3,628 8, 379 3,450 1 3, 368 3, 505 3, 548 3, 098 2,995 3, 154 3, 113 3,563 3, 415 3, 363 3, 238 3, 388 3, 581 3, 599 1, 665 1, 726 1, 848 2, 123 2, 201 2, 421 2,554 2,802 37 064 289 312 349 386 377 432 392 383 370 U nadjuste d 375 3,323 396 3,456 437 3, 503 424 3, 051 386 2,953 370 3, 101 392 3, 069 452 3,519 462 3,364 427 3, 312 356 3, 196 390 3, 336 371 3,542 3,544 367 Mercl landise i mports Gen 3ral impc>rts 2 To tal 3 ManufacSeason- Unadtured goods ally ad- justed justed Food, Crude bever- mateages, rials and to- and bacco fuels 1, 230 1, 372 1, 434 1, 562 1,786 2, 135 2,241 2,769 3,004 288 361 306 391 322 396 335 419 334 453 382 476 392 447 447 503 442 533 Unad iusted 503 544 587 506 486 537 486 515 477 526 418 529 436 528 523 582 442 488 522 622 500 556 475 533 538 580 560 516 322 280 315 361 356 367 394 405 417 1,065 1, 139 1, 191 1,377 1, 453 1, 602 1,737 1, 985 2,230 397 510 479 399 419 418 397 523 508 476 466 485 539 557 2,492 2, 533 2,551 2, 182 2, 115 2,264 2, 222 2, 479 2, 294 2, 357 2,310 2,391 2, 558 2,553 Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 2 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. * Total Includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. of dollars] 2, 976 3,178 8, 276 8, 186 8,066 3, 180 8,055 3, 222 8,214 3,007 3,250 3,256 8,214 3,248 2,988 3,330 3,237 3, 214 3, 154 2, 909 3, 132 3,430 2,989 3,247 3, 126 2,944 3,386 3,391 Grossmerchandise trade Manusurplus, facseasontured goods ally adjusted 545 637 672 759 937 1, 204 1, 313 1,719 1,918 455 377 438 590 444 323 345 70 105 1,843 2. 127 2, 101 2, 096 2,030 1, 855 2,046 2, 198 1, 945 1,976 1,981 1,847 2, 162 2,208 221 180 20 26 102 198 271 140 153 232 56 872 165 202 Note.—Data adjusted to include silver ere and bullion reported separately prior to 1969. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES The merchandise trade surplus increased to $2.1 billion in the first quarter of 1970 (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Data for other components of the balance on goods and services are not yet available. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 30 20 J/^RELIMINARY. SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Exports of good s and sei•vices Impor ts of gooc s and senrices Ineoirle on investinents Period Total 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969* 37, 271 39, 399 43, 360 46, 188 50, 594 55, 387 Merchandise i Military sales Private Government 25, 478 747 26, 447 830 29, 389 829 30, 681 1,240 33, 598 1,427 36, 469 1, 504 4,930 5,384 5, 659 6, 234 6, 934 7,965 456 509 593 638 765 931 Other services Total Merchandise l 5,659 6, 230 6,891 7,394 7,871 8,500 28, 691 32, 278 38, 081 41, Oil 48, 078 53, 314 18, 647 21, 496 25, 463 26, 821 32, 964 35, 837 Balance on Miligoods Other tary and expend- servservices itures ices 2,880 7,164 2, 952 7, 831 3, 764 8, 854 4,378 9,813 4, 530 10, 577 4,882 12, 636 8, 580 7, 121 5,279 5,177 2,516 2,073 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1968: III IV 53, 376 50, 612 35, 516 1, 624 33, 532 1,456 1969: I II_ III IV * 1970: I ^ 47, 57, 58, 58, 29, 888 38, 332 38, 320 39, 336 40, 872 676 016 212 644 1,656 1,324 1,668 1,364 7 312 7 108 848 560 8,076 7,956 49, 740 49, 408 34, 264 33, 832 4, 572 10,904 4,676 10,900 3,636 1,204 7 7 8 8 928 924 980 896 7,640 8, 704 8,772 8, 884 46, 55, 55, 55, 30, 300 38, 432 37, 048 37, 568 38, 796 4,816 4, 832 4,880 4,996 1,392 1, 160 2,824 2,916 1 Adjusted from customs data for differences in timing and coverage. Source: Department of Commerce. NOTE.—Merchandise exports and imports (p. 24) have been revised beginning 1969; the balance on liquidity basis and on official reserve transaction basis (p. 25) 24 540 668 468 184 284 856 388 728 11, 12, 13, 13, 152 628 536 228 as well as some of the data shown on an unadjusted basis (p. 25) have been revised beginning 1969. Other data for these periods shown oni these pages will be revised in June. See the forthcoming issue of Survey of Current ent Business, June 1970, for further details. U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS During the first quarter of 1970, there were balance of payments deficits of $6.9 billion on the liquidity basis and of $12.4 billion on official settlements (seasonally adjusted annual rates). Both these figures include the initial U.S. allocation of $0.9 billion of Special Drawing Rights. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 15 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 15 BALANCE, OFFICIAL RESERVE TRANSACTIONS BASIS -20 1970 1964 J/^RELIMINARY; INCLUDES ALLOCATION OF SPECIAL DRAWING RIGHTS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Bakince U.S. pr ivate capi tal, net Period 1964___ 1965___ 1966... 1967___ 1968_ _ _ 1969 »__ 1968: III___ IV. __ 1969: I II... III... IV *>__ 1970: !"___ U.S. Government grants and capital, net 1 Direct investment — 3, 564 -2, 328 - 3, 406 -3,468 — 3, 444 -3,639 — 4, 223 -3, 154 -3,955 -3,025 -3,866 -3,060 Other longterm Shortterm Errors Foreign and uncapital, recorded Liquidnet 1 transity actions basis 2 537 664 1,017 — 149 -571 - 1, 076 6,552 -4, 956 -6,452 4,768 1,404 -4, 156 -15,272 5, 196 1,364 -4, 136 -9, 236 -2, 460 1,392 6, 160 2, 128 3, 348 -1,708 -538 2, 239 -521 45 -368 -510 -165 3, 024 4,653 1, 419 -173 -48 -299 -686 -154 •' Centra! banks, governments, arid U.S. liabilities to the IMF arising from reversible irokl sales to. and gold deposits with, the U.S. 1,075 318 1,554 171 -18 85 131 1,222 761 -1,595 2, 384 568 2,020 1,346 1,472 52 -3,099 2,341 3,811 -880 -528 — 998 8,923 -1, 187 Qua rterly totsais, unadj listed -38 487 -556 3,448 1,236 -240 certain special Government transactions.. reign official holders, other foreign Equals changes in liquid liabilities to foreign off V . 1 U V f l i U U t 5 l . l t U U U U S lUlU. l i U l L ' O . Changes in U.S. To foreigrn official official 5 hold ers To other reserve foreign 8 assets N"on— holders (increase Liquid [-]) liquid 388 1,468 — 3, 872 - 5, 048 -916 - 1, 508 7,220 -376 10, 752 - 3, 340 — 1, 132 -2,280 1 Includes 2 U.O. -2,800 -1,564 -1,335 -1,289 266 - 1, 357 -3, 544-3,418 168 1,638 -7,208 2,713 -2, 103 -2, 147 689 — 1, 118 270 - 1, 079 753 — 576 2, 531 -256 -415 — 489 -1,292 -1,209 3, 360 - 1, 007 -1,082 -1,049 — 642 8, 565 -552 3, 870 — 2,963 -1,397 Season ally adjus ted annujil rates -628 — 3, 17 J -3,712 -1,088 -4,620 -4,228 -1,908 -2,068 1, 156 -4, 148 -4, 536 -1,736 232 -860 -668 -3, 520 Official reserve transactions basis 3 Chariges in sel ected liabiliti<3S (decrea se[-]) 4 7 7 6, 908 -12,384 2, 742 -1, 621 8 -386 6 Private holders; includes banks arid international and regional organizations; excludes IMF. 7 Includes allocations of $307 million of Special Drawing Rights. 8 On Mar. 31, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $11,903 million (up $44 million from Dec. 31); Special Drawing Rights, $920 million: IMF position including gold portion of increased U.S. subscription, $2,577 million; convertible currencies, $1,950 million. NOTE.—See note, p. 2-1. Data exclude military grant-aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. Source: Department of Commerce. 25 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES Consumer prices rose 0.4 percent in May, less than the 0.6 percent in April. Smaller price increases for most services and nonfood commodities accounted for the slower rate. Prices of food and consumer durable goods accelerated from April's pace. Index, 1957-59=100 160 Index, 1957-59=100 160 no 110 100 100 1964 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF lABOR [1957-59 = 1<30] All items Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr Mav June Julv Aug Sept Oct. . Nov___ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav *___ 1 Not charted 26 _ 103. 1 104 2 105. 4 106. 7 108. 1 109.9 113. 1 :-_ 116. 3 121.2 127. 7 126. 4 .__ _ 126. 8 127. 6 128. 2 __ 128. 7 129. 3 129. 8 130. 5 131. 3 _ _ __ _ 131.8 132. 5 <• 133. 2 134.0 134. i All commodities 101.7 102. 3 103.2 104. 1 105. 2 106.4 109. 2 111. 2 115.3 120. 5 119. 3 119. 6 120. 5 121. 0 121. 4 121. 7 122. 4 122.9 123. 6 123.7 124. 2 124. 5 125. 2 125.8 Services Co mmoditie 3 Comm odities le£53 food Services All Rent Food less Nonservices All Durable durable rent 107. 4 102. 6 101.4 106. 6 103. 1 101.7 100.9 110. 0 104. 4 108. 8 102. 6 102. 0 100.8 103. 2 112. 1 110. 9 105. 7 103. 6 102. 8 103. 8 101. 8 106. 8 113. 0 114. 5 102. 1 103. 5 104. 8 105. 1 117.0 115. 2 107. 8 106.4 105.7 104. 4 103.0 120.0 107.2 117.8 108. 9 105. 1 102.6 108.8 122. 3 110. 4 125. 0 102. 7 114. 2 106. 5 109. 7 112. 4 109.2 127. 7 104. 3 113. 1 115. 2 131. 1 113.2 134.3 138.6 119.3 117.7 115. 1 107.5 143. 7 123. 0 149. 2 111. 6 118. 8 125. 5 118. 0 142. 0 \ 117. S 121. 9 147. 4 123. 2 117. 2 111. 4 142. 7 122. 4 118. 1 148. 1 123. 7 117. 5 111. 3 143. 3 148. 8 123. 0 118. 5 111. 7 125. 5 118. 0 144. 0 123. 1 118. 8 149. 6 126. 7 111. 9 118. 1 150. 7 145. 0 119. 3 123. 3 127. 4 118. 2 111. 9 146. 0 124. 4 151. 7 119. 7 127. 5 118. 7 111. 6 152. 3 120. 1 127. 2 125. 1 146. 5 113. 2 119. 8 147. 2 120. 5 153. 1 120.2 125. 5 128. 1 113. 5 154, 3 148. 3 121. 0 120. 3 113. 6 125. 7 129. 9 121.3 149. 6 155. 8 113.7 125. 2 130.7 120. 1 121. 8 157. 1 150. 7 125. 8 120. 4 113. 7 131. 5 122. 3 152. 3 114. 1 126. 1 120. 8 158. 9 131. 6 122. 6 153. 4 160. 1 127. 0 121. 6 114. 8 132. 0 154. 1 123. 0 161.0 127. 5 122. 3 132.4 115. 9 Sotirce: Depart ment of Labc>r. WHOLESALE PRICES Wholesale prices rose 0.2 percent in May. Industrial commodity prices again increased 0.3 percent. Prices of farm products and processed foods and feeds declined 0.3 percent and 0.6 percent respectively. Index, 1957-59=100 140 Index, 1957-59=100 T40 100 90 90 80 80 1964 SOURCE: 1970 DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59 = 100] All commodities Farm products Processed foods and feeds 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 100. 7 100.3 100. 6 100. 3 100. 5 102. 5 1 05. 9 106. 1 108.8 113. 0 96. 9 96. 0 97. 7 95. 7 94. ;} 98. 4 105. 6 99. 7 102. 2 108. 5 100. 101. 102. 103. 103. 106. 113. 111. 114. 119. 1969: Apr May June__ July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 111. 9 105. 6 110. 5 112. 8 111. 2 113. 2 113. 3 110. 5 113. 4 , 108. 9 113. 6 108. 4 114. 0 107. 9 114.7 111. 1 111. 7 115. 1 Period 1970: Jan FebMar Apr May >> _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 116. 0 116. 4 116. 6 116.6 116. 8 , 112. 113. 114. 111. 111. 5 7 3 3 0 Inter- Producmediate er finmate-2 ished rials goods 101. 4 102.3 102. 5 100. 1 99. 9 102.9 99.6 103. 1 100. 2 104. 1 101.5 105.4 103. 6 108. 0 104. 8 111. 6 107. 5 115.5 111. 3 119. 3 All industrials 1 Crude materials 0 6 7 3 1 7 0 7 2 8 101. 3 100. 8 100. 8 100. 7 101. 2 102. 5 104. 7 106. 3 109. 0 112. 7 98. 3 97. 2 95. 6 94. 3 97. 1 100. 9 104. 5 100. 0 101.8 110. 5 117. 119. 121. 122. 121. 121. 121. 121. 122. 3 4 4 0 5 3 6 8 6 112. 112. 112. 112. 112. 113. 113. 114. 114. 1 2 2 4 8, 2 8 2 6 109. 109. 110. 110. 112. 113. 113. 114. 114. 0 7 2 7 5 9 7 1 5 111. 0 111. 1 110. 8 110. 9 111.3 111. 8 112. 2 112. 6 112. 9 118. 118. 118. 119. 119. 119. 120. 121. 122. 125. 125. 124. 124. 124. 1 2 9 9 1 115. 115. 115. 116. 116. 1 5 8 2 6 116. 0 118. 5 118. 5 120.3 120.0 113. 5 113. 9 114. 2 114,7 115. 2 122. 9 123. 1 123. 5 123.7 124. 0 l Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this Index. a Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured mlmal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. Iri dust rial commodities 1 5 7 3 3 9 8 5, 3 Consunaer finished g(>ods excludin gfood NonDurdurable able 100.9 10L5 100.5 10L5 100. 0 101. 6 99. 5 101.9 99. 9 101.6 99.6 102.8 100. 2 104, 8 101. 7 107.2 103.9 109.6 105.8 112.3 105. 105. 105. 105. 105. 105. 106. 107. 107. 4 4 5 6 2 3 9 1 2 107. 4 107. 6 107.8 107. 8 108.0 111. 5 111. 4 112. 2 112. 6 113.0 113.3 113. 6 113. 8 114. 1 r 114. 2 114. 6 114.7 114. 9 115. 6 NOTE.—Beginning 1967, the indexes incorporate a revised weighting structure reflecting 1963 values of shipments. The classification structure also changed. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS During the month ended May 1 5, the index of prices received by farmers increased 1 percent while the index of prices paid was unchanged. The adjusted parity ratio also was unchanged. Index, 1957-59==100 140 lnde>c, 1957-59=100 140 •ion 130 120 .^—'"' '/C/x r~"—~1\/^f \ S/^^Hs-*r^~ \ 110 100 """' PRIG ES PAID, INTEREST TAXES, AND WA<3E RATES r-J \ •* ^- • S ^^-~ 110 f 100 s) f ,i f ,, , . . , i 1 , , . i , 90 RATI DJ/ 90 RA110 J/ 90 80 ^—/i ^—^* *•*' *" "*'* ***<«.**** , ., . , t , ,,., 1964 i . i t . I, . i ii 1965 'N^X* . i i i i ! i . .i, 1966 80 — PARITY RATIO '"-^ 7fl 60 120 ^ PRICES RECEIVED ALL FARM PRODUC , ,,,, f , , ,,, f 90 ^ • i.. i1 . . .i. 1967 ^"x^.x-'Vu,,,...s/^-^ "V I ! I 1 I ! . 1 , 7f) 60 . I 1968 1970 1969 .J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO M>EX OF PRICES PAID, IHTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14-100 BASE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOUftCEi DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Prices received by Banners Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr 15 May 15 June 15 July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 1970: Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 All farm products 99 99 101 100 98 103 110 105 108 114 112 115 116 116 115 114 115 117 117 119 120 120 116 117 Crops 100 102 104 107 107 104 106 101 101 99 100 102 101 99 97 95 96 99 96 97 99 99 99 104 items, Livestock All interest, and taxes, and products wage rates Index, 19.57-59=100 102 98 103 98 105 99 107 95 91 107 110 101 114 113 117 107 121 112 127 125 121 127 124 128 128 128 128 129 128 128 128 128 128 128 127 130 133 129 134 131 132 135 131 134 132 129 132 126 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, Interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 28 Prices paid by farmers Family living items 102 102 103 104 105 107 110 113 117 123 122 123 123 123 123 124 124 125 125 126 127 127 127 128 Parity ratio * Production items 101 101 103 104 103 105 108 109 111 116 116 117 117 116 116 116 116 117 117 118 119 119 119 119 Actual 80 79 80 78 76 77 80 74 73 74 72 74 75 75 74 73 74 75 75 75 75 75 72 73 Adjusted2 82 83 83 81 80 82 86 79 79 80 78 80 81 81 80 79 80 81 81 81 81 81 78 78 * The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly t farmers. Source: Department of Agriculture. MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY SUPPLY The money supply (seasonally adjusted) rose $0.7 billion in May, less than the April increase. Time deposits also continued to rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 250 125 125 100 100 ot 1970 1964 SOURCE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1964: Dec 1965: Dec 1966: Dec 1967: Dec 1968: Dec 1969: Dec 1969: Apr May June July _ _ Aug . _ Sept Oct Nov___ _ _ Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr p May __ __ __ __ 1 _ _ . ___ Deposits at ail commercial banks. NOTE.—Effective June 9, 1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal ins (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from time deposits and from loans at all mmercial banks. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] M oney supf >iy M oney supf >iy CurCurTime Time DeDerency rency de- l demand mand Total outoutTotal posits posits 1 dedeposits banks posits banks Seasonall}r adjusted 1Jnad juste d 34.2 125.2 159.3 125. 1 126.6 129. 1 164.0 35.0 145.2 36.3 130.4 166.7 37. 1 134.9 146.7 172.0 170.4 38.3 132. 1 156.9 158.5 39. 1 175.8 136.7 141. 3 182. 0 40. 4 41. 2 146.2 183.7 181. 7 187. 5 194. 8 204. 9 43. 4 44. 3 203. 1 151. 4 156. 7 201. 0 192. 4 153. 7 194. 1 199. 6 45. 9 159. 1 46. 9 206. 0 44. 2 202. 7 198. 1 154.0 155. 3 202. 3 43. 8 199. 2 44. 5 202. 2 153.8 150. 3 198. 3 44. 2 201. 7 194. 4 44. 8 154.2 44. 7 152. 3 201.0 200. 8 199. 0 197.0 154. 4 152. 7 45. 0 197. 7 45. 2 197. 7 199. 3 197. 8 45. 3 153. 8 194. 5 45. 4 195. 5 199. 0 195.9 150. 5 194. 1 194. 3 45. 2 152.4 45. 2 199. 0 153. 7 197. 6 45. 6 199. 1 153. 6 193. 5 45. 6 153. 7 193. 7 199. 3 192. 6 153. 4 45. 9 193. 4 201. 0 46. 4 199. 3 154. 7 194. 1 192. 4 153. 7 159. 1 199. 6 45. 9 206. 0 46. 9 46. 1 46. 1 192. 1 161. 1 191. 7 201. 1 155. 0 207. 1 192. 0 46. 4 151.9 153. 0 197.8 45. 9 192. 0 199. 3 46.7 154. 8 46. 3 153. 4 194. 9 201. 5 199. 7 194.3 156.2 46.6 47. 0 197.9 204. 2 157. 6 203.3 198. 3 152. 9 47. 6 200. 0 156. 5 199. 6 47. 2 204. 0 200. 1 U.S. Government demand deposits l 5.5 4.6 3.4 5.0 5.0 5.5 5.4 9. 2 6. 0 5.6 4. 3 5.3 4. 2 5. 1 5.5 4.7 7. 1 6. 9 5.3 6. 4 Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC Public holdings of selected liquid assets (seasonally adjusted) rose in May, reflecting increases in most components. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 700 600 500 400 300 DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY \ \ 200 200 100 100 1965 1966 1963 1967 1969 -I/ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM I 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Total selected liquid assets End of period 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr May June __ Julv Aug _ Sept— -_ Oct "_ _ __ Nov *>__ Dec p __ 1970: Jan * Feb*> ___ Mar v* Apr _ Mav p _- ___ 495. 4 530. 5 573.1 601.5 650.4 709.6 729. 1 711. 2 714. 3 713.8 i 709. 5 713. 1 718. 0 714. 3 720. 6 729. 1 718. 3 719.6 731. 2 729. 6 730.7 Demand deposits and currency l 149. 6 156. 7 164. 1 168. 6 180.7 3 199. 2 205. 7 190. 8 191. 5 194. 1 i 191. 8 193. 2 194. 1 193. 6 195. 0 205. 7 194. 5 193. 9 198. 5 195. 5 196.8 Time dleposits 30 44. 5 49. 0 52.6 55.2 60.3 64.7 67. 0 65.7 66. 1 86. 3 66. 3 66.4 66. 6 66.7 67.0 67. 0 67. 1 67. 5 67. 5 68. 8 68.2 112. 9 127. 1 147. 1 159.3 183. 1 203. 8 195. 9 201. 8 202. 7 200. 4 197. 5 195. 7 195. 6 195.4 197. 1 195.9 194.6 195. 4 197. 4 200. 1 200. 3 1 Agrees in concept with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction of demand deposits held by mutual savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data for last Wednesday of month. Data prior to July 1969 have not been revised to conform to the money supply revision. 2 Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial and mutual savings banks, Federal Reserve Banks, and beginning February 1960, savings and loan associations. Mutual savings banks Commercial banks Postal Savings System 3 0. 5 .4 .3 .1 Savings and loan shares 90. 9 101.4 109. 8 113.4 123. 9 131.0 134. 8 133. 3 133. 5 133. 6 133. 6 134. 1 135. 3 134. 9 135. 3 134. 8 133.6 134. 1 135. 7 136. 4 137.0 U.S. Government U.S. Gov- securities ernment maturing savings2 within bonds year 2 49.0 49. 9 50.5 50. 9 51.9 52.5 52. 4 52. 2 52. 2 52. 2 52. 2 52.1 52. 0 52. 0 52. 0 52. 4 52.2 52. 1 52.0 52. 0 52,0 Estimates for Dec. 31. NOTE.—See Note, p. 29. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 48. 1 46. 1 48. 6 53. 9 50. 5 58.5 7a2 67. 5 68. 3 67. 3 68. 1 71.6 74.6 71. 7 74.2 73. 2 76. 3 76.6 80. 1 76.8 76.4 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Total bank credit (seasonally adjusted) rose $2.0 billion in May. Loans rose $0.6 billion and investments $1.4 billion. Borrowings at Reserve Banks rose and total reserves of member banks declined. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 I 500 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 400 400 TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS 300 300 BANK LOANS 200 200 ^—** INVESTMENTS IN U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 100 100 iiiiiimiu"4'»»,.••11111*11"""'! \ INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES I \ 1t 1 I ! I 1964 I f t I I I I t !1 1965 1966 1967 1968 *SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW SOURCE; BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 1969 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Bank debits Weekly A 11 membe-r banks 2 reporting large comNew York mercial Borrow* Total Investn dents City (232 banks ings at Loans, End of period Free Excess Federal Total loans excluding centers) , reserves reserves Reserve reserves and seasonally interU.S. GovOther Commercial investBanks securi- and indus- adjusted bank ernment ments annual securities ties trial loans rates * Millions o ! dollars Billions of dollars 327 209 536 20, 746 61.7 1963 246.2 149.6 35. 0 38. 8 2,199 1 411 243 168 21,609 1964 267. 2 167. 7 38. 7 42. 1 60. 7 S, 706 3 2 452 454 22, 719 192. 6 8,018 294. 4 57. 1 53. 1 44. 8 1965 392 557 -165 23, 830 208.2 48.7 310. 5 53.6 60.7 1966 8,421 238 25, 260 345 107 346. 5 225. 4 59. 7 65.8 s, 740 61. 4 1967 >._ — 310 27, 221 455 765 4, 35 A 384.6 251.6 61.5 71.5 73.1 1968 -829 257 1,086 28, 031 276. 2 70. 5 5, 160 398. 6 51. 8 81. 6 1969 * 1,402 - 1, 102 300 27, 903 264. 1 392. 2 72.0 5,050 56. 1 76. 6 1969: Mav 1,407 - 1, 064 343 27, 317 264. 3 56. 2 72. 0 392. 5 June 78. 4 6,229 4 4 71. 8 « 397. 3 * 269. 2 56. 3 June _ _ 116 1, 190 - 1, 074 26, 980 56.8 71. 0 397. 7 269. 9 5, 334 July _ _ 77. 6 1, 249 -946 27, 079 303 270. 3 397. 5 56. 9 70. 3 Aug _ 76. 7 5, 282 1,067 236 -831 26, 971 54. 7 271. 3 70. 5 5, 426 396. 5 Sept 78. 1 — 992 143 1, 135 27, 340 5,399 273. 3 70. 1 77. 6 396. 8 53. 4 Oct» 253 1, 241 27, 764 -988 53. 2 78. 0 275. 5 71. 0 399. 7 •1 27 7 Nov " 257 -829 1,086 28, 031 276. 2 o, 362 70. 5 81. 6 Dec * _ _ 398. 6 51. 8 -799 166 965 28, 858 49. 9 275. 3 70. 9 1970: Jan * 396. 1 78. 1 5, 49A 1, 092 27, 976 273 -819 70. S 5, 561 277. 1 49. 4 78. 2 397. 2 Feb " ___ 896 -781 27, 473 115 49. 8 72. 4 5,506 398. 4 276. 2 Mar " 78. 9 s> 822 -704 118 28, 096 5, 742 400. 4 275. 2 51. 9 73. 4 78. 9 Apr 162 977 -815 27, 890 52. 9 402. 4 73. 8 77. S 275. 8 May". _ _ NOTE.—Effective June 1966, balances z ccumnlated for paymentc of personal * Debits during period to demand deposit ace ounts except ii iterbank an I loans (abo at $1.1 billion) f ire excluded froin loans at a] 1 commercia banks, and U.S. Government. New s eries beginni ng January 3 964. 2 certain cer tificatesofCCC and Export-InnDort Bank to taling about $1 billion are ata are for D ecember. Averages of daily figur es. Annual c 2 included iri other securities rather than in k ans. Data in :lude Alaska and Hawaii. New series; see Federal Reserve Bui letin, March 1967. *New series; see Federal Reserve Bui din , August 1969. Source: 13oard of Govern ors of the Feder al Reserve S ystem. All comnicrcial bank S (s easonally adjusted da ta) 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Total consumer credit outstanding rose $700 million in April. Seasonally adjusted instalment credit rose $300 million, repeating the slow growth of March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILL1QNS OF DOLLARS ua END OF MONTH 120 120 TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING 100 100 80 80 INSTALMENT CREDIT 60 60 NONJNSTALMENT CREDIT llltMUltllUMIItlttft*' 1 20 20 im.mtmM""""" f I 1 t ll SEASONALLY ADJUSTED (ENLARGED SCALE) .INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED 1964 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Period 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 196S 1969 1969: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1970: Jan Feb Mar Apr COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of p eriod; and r spaid (seas onally adjuisted) imad justed) Auto mob ile paper To tal Instalment NonAutomoinstal- Extended Repaid Extended Repaid Total Personal Total i bile ment 2 paper loans 57, 982 63, 821 71, 739 80, 268 90, 314 97, 543 102, 132 113, 191 122, 469 111, 950 113, 231 114, 750 115, 995 116, 597 117, 380 118, 008 118, 515 119, 378 122, 469 121, 074 120, 077 119, 698 120, 402 43, 891 48, 720 55, 486 62, 692 71, 324 77, 539 80, 926 89, 890 98, 169 89, 672 90, 663 91, 813 93, 087 93, 833 94, 732 95, 356 95, 850 96, 478 98, 169 97, 402 96, 892 96, 662 97, 104 17, 135 19, 381 22, 254 24, 934 28, 619 30, 556 30, 724 34, 130 36, 602 34, 262 34, 733 35, 230 35, 804 36, 081 36, 245 36, 321 36, 599 36, 650 36, 602 36, 291 36; 119 36, 088 36, 264 11, 673 13, 414 15, 618 17, 848 20, 412 22, 187 24, 018 26, 936 29, 918 27, 230 27, 628 27, 983 28, 305 28, 541 28, 957 29, 207 29, 312 29, 529 29, 918 29, 774 29, 816 29, 809 30, 030 1 Aiso includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. * End of period, unadjusted. 32 14, 091 15, 101 16, 253 17, 576 18, 990 20, 004 21, 206 23, 301 24, 300 22, 278 22, 568 22, 937 22, 908 22, 764 22, 648 22, 652 22, 665 22, 900 24, 300 23, 672 23, 185 23, 036 23, 298 49, 048 56, 191 63, 591 70, 670 78, 586 82, 335 84, 693 97, 053 102, 888 8,381 8,720 8,680 8, 705 8,521 8, 680 8,669 8,661 8,632 8, 344 8, 521 8, 625 8, 392 8,491 48, 124 51, 360 56, 825 63, 470 69, 957 76, 120 81, 306 88, 089 94, 609 7,735 7, 960 7,834 7, 910 7, 899 8,080 7, 971 7,992 8,012 7,929 8, 141 8,207 8, 194 8, 195 16, 029 19, 694 22, 126 24, 046 27, 227 27, 341 26, 667 31, 424 32, 354 2,730 2,772 2, 757 2,725 2, 582 2,634 2, 794 2,808 2,683 2,472 2,479 2, 536 2,496 2,571 16, 552 17, 447 19, 254 21, 369 23, 543 25, 404 26, 499 28, 018 29, 882 2,501 2, 519 2,488 2,460 2, 471 2,562 2,498 2,463 2,503 2,499 2,469 2,550 2,501 2, 527 Mortgage debt outstanding n on farm, 1— to 4fam.il v houses 3 153, 000 166, 500 182, 200 197, 600 212, 900 223, 600 236, 100 251, 200 267, 100 254, 800 259, 500 263, 500 267, 100 268, 800 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Ho: Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Interest rates rose in May with the exception of mortgage rates. Corporate bond yields reached new highs and continued rising in the first weeks of June. PERCENT PER ANNUM 10 PERCfNT PER ANNUM 10 CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MOODY'S) » TAXABLE GOVERNMENT BONDS 1964 1970 SOURCE, SEE TABLE BELOW Period 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966._ 1967 1968 1969 1969: Apr May June July Ausj Sept Oct Nov Dec 1970: Jan. Feb Mar___ Apr May Week ended: 1970: Mav 15__ 22__ 29 June 5 _ _ 12 19__ 1 3 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADV1SEBS [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Gov(3rnment secuirity yields municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable 3 3 Treasury (Standard4 & issues bonds bills i Poor's) 2. 778 3.57 3.95 3. 18 3. 157 3.72 4.00 3.23 3. 549 4.06 4. 15 3.22 3.954 4.22 4.21 3.27 4.881 5. 16 4. 65 3.82 4.321 5.07 4.85 3.96 5.339 5.59 5.26 4.51 6.677 6. 12 6. 85 5. 81 6. 150 6. 15 5. 84 5,29 6. 077 6.33 5. 85 5. 47 6.493 6. 64 6. 05 5. 83 7. 004 7. 02 6. 07 5. 84 7. 007 6.02 7. 08 6. 07 7. 129 7.58 6. 32 6. 35 7. 040 7.47 6. 27 6. 21 7. 193 7.57 6. 52 6.37 7.720 7.98 6. 81 6. 91 7. 914 8. 14 6. 86 6. 80 7. 164 7. 80 6. 44 6. 57 6. 710 7. 20 6. 39 6. 14 6. 480 7. 49 6. 53 a 55 7. 035 7. 97 a 94 7. 02 a 994 6. 828 7. 133 (>. 824 6. 785 6. 733 7. 7. 7. 7. 7. 98 97 98 76 86 a 83 6. 88 7. 22 7. 00 7. 09 2 Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues. April 1963 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. *8 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (8>6 percent beginning January 5,1970) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. a 98 7. 7. 7. 7. 06 14 03 11 Corpora be bonds (Moo dy's) Aaa Baa 7. 14 7. 33 7. 35 7. 72 7. 91 7.93 7.84 7. 83 8. 11 5. 02 4.86 4. 83 4.87 5.67 6.23 6.94 7.81 7.54 7. 52 7. 70 7. 84 7. 86 8. 05 8. 22 8. 25 8. 65 8.86 8.78 8.63 8. 70 8. 98 8. 09 8. 16 8.21 8.30 8. 42 8. 9. 9. 9. 9. 4,33 4.26 4.40 4.49 5. 13 5. 51 6.18 7.03 6. 89 6.79 6.98 7.08 a 97 95 02 10 13 18 Prime FHA commercial new home paper, mortgage 4r-6 yields 5 months 3.26 5. 61 5.47 3.55 5.45 3.97 5.46 4.38 6.29 5. 55 6. 55 5. 10 7. 13 5.90 7.83 8. 19 7. 04 8. 05 8. 06 7. 35 8. 23 8. 06 8. 65 8.35 8. 33 8. 36 8.48 8. 36 8.40 8. 56 8.48 8. 46 8. 84 8.48 8.62 8.78 8. 55 8. 33 9. 29 8. 06 9. 20 8. 23 9. 10 8.30 8. 18 8. 13 8. 13 8. 13 Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS The common stock price index dropped sharply in May and recovered somewhat in early June. Index , 1941-43=10 Index, 1941-43 — 1CX MON FHLY ion WEEKLY no 110 COMPOSIT E PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOCKS 100 s^^/ ^ W'^' r\ * s~^\ on ^vA^ r. X \/ ^~**~\ 100' A on Qf\ Vi ^ ~7C\ 60 f 1 ! F»I M 1 M I f f f ?! ?! M I I I M 11 F! ! !? on VAX \ vy^/ 1 f 1 ! I I I I ?! 1 1 f 1 t » 1 1 T, M 1 I I f 1 I 1 1 T1 1 1 7A i r i i i li i M H 60 PERCENT PERCENT MONTHLY DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS RATIO 25 20 PRICE/EARNINGS RA TIO ON COMMON STOCKS —. .——-—--x. 1 -——^ ^v^^-^ ""-^•x^ •15 / f i l l 1 1964 1 ] ! 1965 * ! 1 ^N*H^^*-*»--^! —— ! ! 1 1 ! ! 1968 1967 1966 1 I ! 1969 SOURCE: STANDARD 8, POOR'S CORPORATION 1964 1965 1966 _ 1967__ 1968 1969 1969: May- __ . June _ July Aug Sept _ _ „ _ Oct___ No\ 7 Dec 1970: J a n _ _ Feb _ __ Mar Apr _ _ _ May— Week ended: 1970: May 8 15 22 29 June 5 12 _ „__ ... _ _ __ _ _ Total ! f\ N Total 81.37 88. 17 85. 26 91. 93 98.69 97. 84 104. 62 99. 14 94. 71 94. 18 94. 51 95. 52 96. 21 91. 11 90. 31 87. 16 88. 65 85. 95 76. 06 86. 19 93.48 91. 08 99. 18 107. 49 107. 13 114. 53 108. 59 103. 68 103. 39 103. 97 105. 07 105. 86 100. 48 99. 40 95. 73 96. 95 94, 01 83. 16 79. 77. 74. 72. 77. 75. 34 06 07 69 55 34 86. 81 : 84. 29 80. 93 79. 42 | 84.98 82. 60 l Consumers' goods Capital goods 1941-43 = 10 76. 35 73. 84 85. 26 81. 94 84. 86 74. 10 96. 96 79. 18 105. 77 86.33 103. 75 87. 06 108. 66 91. 57 102. 68 88. 12 100. 55 83. 04 100. 90 83. 44 102. 27 85. 26 103. 67 87. 29 104. 68 89. 84 100. 31 85.62 99. 70 85. 42 96. 55 83. 74 95. 97 85. 09 82. 28 93. 18 80. 47 71. 65 85. 59 82. 02 77. 39 76. 87 83. 89 80. 04 5 Includes 500 common stocks: 425 industrials, 55 public utilities, and 20 railroads. Weekly indexes lor capital and consumer goods are Wednesday figures; all2other weekly indexes are averages of daily figures. Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields are averages ol monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 34 ! 1970 COUNCIL OF iCONOMIC ADVISERS Price i ndex Industrials Period 1 75.77 72. 41 69. 75 68. 67 74. 89 72.85 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 69. 91 76.08 68. 21 68.10 66.42 62. 64 66. 91 63. 29 61. 32 59. 20 57. 84 58. 80 59. 46 55. 28 55. 72 55. 24 59. 04 57. 19 51. 15 45. 46 46.78 46. 34 46. 72 48.84 45. 95 49. 97 46. 43 43. 00 42. 04 42. 03 41. 75 40. 63 36. 69 37. 62 36. 5-S 37. 33 36. 05 31. 10 3. 01 3.00 3. 40 3.20 3.07 3. 24 3. 02 3. 18 3. 34 3. 37 3. 33 3. 33 3.31 3. 52 3. 56 3. 68 3. 60 3. 70 4. 20 52. 75 51. 70 50. 20 49. 41 50. 94 49. 32 32. 83 31. 33 30. 30 29. 43 30. 97 29.79 3. 98 4. 14 4.31 4. 35 4. 03 4. 19 Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio 3 18. 08 17. 08 14. 92 17. 52 17.20 16. 59 16. 59 15. 42 16. 58 4 17. 31 3 Ratio of price index for last day in quarter to Quarterly earnings (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. * Not charted. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS, EXPENDITURES, AND NET LENDING In the first 10 months of fiscal 1970 there was a deficit of $7.6 billion/ a year earlier, the deficit was $4.6 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS 200 160 160 OUTLAYS (EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING) 120 120 RECEIPTS 80 80 t (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) -20 I960 1961 1962 1963 1964 -I/ESTIMATE. SOURCES. TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET 1965 1966 FISCAL YEARS 1967 1968 1969 1970 J/ 1971J/ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Budget receipts, expenditures, and net lending Period Receip fc-expenditure iccount Loan account Expenditures Net lending Receipts Fiscal year: 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 33 1971 Cumulative totals for first 10 months: Fiscal year 1969 Fiscal year 1970 1 Excludes non-interest-bearing public 2 Surplus of $36 million. 3 92. 5 94. 4 99. 7 106.6 112. 7 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187.8 196. 4 204.3 150.7 157. 2 Surplus or deficit ( — ) 90.3 96.6 104.5 111. 5 118.0 117.2 130. 8 153.2 172. 8 183. 1 (44) () 1. 9 2.2 -2.2 -4.8 — 4. 9 -5. 4 1.2 2. 4 -. 1 .5 0 1.2 3.8 -19.1 6.0 (2) 3.6 5. 1 1. 5 4.7 (55) 153. 9 163.3 debt securities held by IMF. () -3.2 -6. 1 0.3 -3.4 -7. 1 -4.8 -5.9 -1.6 -3.8 -8.7 -25.2 3.2 -1.8 -1.3 (4) 4 () Total surplus or deficit (-) 1. 4 1. 5 -4.6 -7.6 Gross Feeleral debt (end of period) Total1 290. 9 292. 9 303. 3 310. 8 316.8 323. 2 329.5 341.3 369. 8 367. 1 C55) () 372.2 379. 3 Held by the public 237.2 238. 6 248.4 254.5 257.6 261. 6 264.7 267. 5 290.6 279. 5 C55) () 289. 6 286. 6 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. Estimates. * Not available. Budget outlays (expenditures plus net lending) are estimated at $198.2 billion in fiscal 1970 and $205.6 billion in fiscal 1971. • Not available. 35 FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 10 months of fiscal 1970, receipts were up $6.5 billion over a year earlier and outlays wree up $9.5 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 RECEIPTS .BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 80 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES 60 40 20 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES J I I ! 120 120 / OUTLAYS (EXPENDITURES AND NET IEND1NG) 100 10Q 80 80 60 60 \ NATIONAL DEFENSE - 40 I 20 1 I960 40 _L 1961 20 J962 1963 1965 1966 FISCAL* YEARS 1964 J^ESTIMATE. SOURCESi TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND pUREAU OF THE BUDGET. 1967 196& 1969 1970V 1971 ^ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] ()utlays Recei]DtB Natio nal defense Period Fiscal year: 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 19702 1971 2 Cumulative totals for first 10 months: Fiscal year 1969___ Fiscal year 1970__. 1 1 Kxp«ml!tim< KMttimt**:., 36 Total Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes Other Total Total Department of Defense,1 military 92. 5 94.4 99.7 106. 6 112. 7 116. 8 130. 9 149. 6 153. 7 187. 8 196. 4 204. 3 40. 7 41. 3 45. 6 47.6 48.7 48. 8 55. 4 61. 5 68. 7 87.2 92. 2 90.5 21. 5 21. 0 20. 5 21. 6 23. 5 25. 5 30. 1 34. 0 28.7 36.7 34. 0 34.0 30. 3 32. 1 33.6 37.4 40. 5 42. 6 45. 3 54. 1 56.3 63. 9 70. 2 79. 8 92. 2 97. 8 106. 8 111. 3 118.6 118. 4 134. 7 158.3 178.8 184.6 198.2 205. 6 45. 9 47.4 51. 1 52. 3 53.6 49. 6 56. 8 70. 1 80.5 81. 2 (33) () 41. 5 43. 3 46. 9 48. 1 49. 6 46. 0 54. 2 67.5 77.4 77.9 76. 5 71. 2 150.7 157. 2 72.4 75.8 27.3 24. 8 51.0 56.6 155. 3 164. 8 66.9 66.9 64. 2 64. 3 Interna- Health tional and Inaffairs income terest Other and security finance 3. 1 3. 4 4. 5 4. 1 4. 1 4.3 4. 5 4. 5 4. 6 3.8 (33) () 3. 2 3.0 18.7 21. 8 23.3 25. 2 26. 6 27. 2 31. 3 37. 6 43. 5 49. 1 (3) (3) 40.8 46. 3 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 8.3 8. 1 8. 3 9. 2 9.8 10.4 11. 3 12. 6 13. 7 15.8 (33) () 13. 3 15. 3 16. 2 17. 1 19.6 20.5 24.5 27.0 30. 8 33. 4 36. 4 34. 6 (3) (3) 31. 1 33. 3 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS According to current estimates, Federal receipts declined $4% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter and expenditures increased $1% billion, reducing the surplus to $1/3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 220 200 140 120 120 100 100 +20 SURPLUS U/A v//\ f//4 """" HI If IT UlA t^f mVA mn wm wm II" ""* M '"^ ~ DEFICIT ! -20 I ! 1 1964 1 1965 1 1 I 1966 ! ! 1 1 f 1967 CALENDAR YEARS El 0 W fi _ 4 1 1 ! I 1968 f 1 1969 SOURCEj DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE f t -20 1970 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fee .eral Go^rernment expend!tures Federal Cxovernm snt receiptbs Period Fiscal year: 1966 1967 1968 1969 Calendar year: 1966 1967 1968 1969 1969 :!__ II_ III IV_ 1970: I _ _ Surplus or deficit GraiitsSubsidies Less : Purin-aid less Wage Indirect ContriPersonal Corpochases Trans- to State Net current accruals income rate business butions tax and less Total of goods fer pay- and interest surplus Total nontax profits tax and for and local and ments paid of Govt. disproduct tax nontax social inreceipts accruals services governenter- burse- accounts accruals surance ments prises ments .<-)• 132.8 147.3 160. 9 192.7 57. 6 64.4 71.3 90. 5 31. 0 31. 1 34. 3 40. 0 15. 7 16. 1 17. 2 18. 6 28.5 35. 8 38. 0 43. 6 131. 9 71. 7 154.6 85. 3 172.4 95. 3 186. 7 101. 1 34. 2 39.4 44. 5 50.3 12. 7 14.8 17. 6 18.9 9. 0 9. 9 10. 8 12. 3 4. 5 5. 1 4. 1 4. 1 142. 5 151. 1 176. 3 201.5 198. 6 202.8 201. 3 203. 3 198. 7 61.7 67. 5 79. 5 95. 6 93.8 96. 9 95. 0 96.7 94. 4 32. 1 30. 6 38. 3 40. 2 40.7 41. 0 39.8 39.3 36. 2 15. 7 16. 3 18. 0 18. 8 18. 5 18. 6 19. 1 19. 1 19. 1 33. 0 36.7 40. 5 46. 9 45. 6 46. 4 47. 5 48. 1 49. 0 142. 8 163. 8 181. 5 192. 0 188. 5 189. 3 193. 6 196. 7 198. 4 35. 7 42. 2 47. 8 52. 4 50. 8 52. 1 52. 7 53. 9 55. 8 14. 4 15. 9 18. 3 20. 0 19.0 19. 3 19. 8 22. 0 23.6 9.5 10. 3 11. 6 13. 1 12.5 12. 9 13. 1 13.7 14. 0 5. 4 4. 7 4. 3 4. 6 4. 6 4. 4 4. 6 4.8 5.3 NOTE: Receipts for 1969 reflect repeal of investment tox credit. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. 77.8 90.7 99. 5 101. 9 101. 6 100. (> 103. 2 102. 3 102. 3 0.9 -7.2 — 11. 5 6.0 0.0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 2. 5 -.2 -12.7 -5.2 9.5 10. 1 13.5 7. 7 6.6 .3 Source: Department of Commerce. 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts, Expenditures, and Net Lending Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis Page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. ! P Indicates preliminary and not available. j * Indicates less than $50 million. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents. U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Price 25 cents per copy, $3 per year ; $4 foreign. Domestic air mail, $3.60 additional per year. 38 U.S GOVFRNWENT PRINTING OFFICE:1970