Full text of Economic Indicators : June 1968
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90th Congress, 2nd Session Economic Indicators June 1968 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee hy the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1968 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 ( 0 of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HERMAN E. TALMADGE (Georgia) STUART SYMINGTON (Missouri) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) DONALD RUMSFELD (Illinois) W. E. BROCK 3d (Tennessee) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director JAMES W. KNOWLES, Director of Research COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ARTHUR M. OKUN, Chairman JAMES S. DUESENBERRY MERTON J. PECK Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC L A W 120—81ST CONGRESS; C H A P T E R 237—1ST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S J- Res, 55] To print the monthly publication entitled *'Economic Indicators*' Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled^ That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce, Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 25 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $6.10 per year. The 1967 revised edition of the Historical and Descriptive Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available at 70 cents a copy from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office. ii TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Current estimates indicate that gross national product advanced a record $ 1 9 % billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Persons Government i Disposable personal income Period Less: Interest paid and Total» transfer payments to foreigners Net receipts Expenditures Surplus or deficit PerEquals: Personal sonal Less: Less: Total consump- saving Tax Trans- Equals: Total Trans- Equals: excludor tion and Purfers, fers, ing expend- disnontax interest, Net expend- interest, chases interest itures saving receipts and receipts itures of goods and and or and subsub- 2 services transaccruals sidies 2 sidies fers income and product accounts 1 1960 196U 1962 1963 1964.. 1965.. 1966 1967 1966: I IV_".I 1967: I III... 1968: I 350. 0 364. 4 385. 3 404. 6 438. 1 472. 508. 8 544. 7 497. 5 503. 3 512. 4 522. 0 532. 7 540. 0 548. 2 557. 9 571. 5 7. 8 8. 1 8. 6 9.7 10.7 11.9 13. 1 14.2 12.6 13. 0 13.1 13. 5 13.8 14.3 14.3 14.5 14.8 342. 3 356. 3 376. 6 394. 9 427. 4 460. 3 495. 7 530. 5 484. 9 490. 3 499. 3 508. 5 518. 9 525. 7 533. 9 543. 4 556. 7 325. ?, 335. 2 355. 1 375. 0 401. ? 433. 1 465. 9 491. 7 458. 2 461. 6 470. 1 473. 8 480. 2 489. 7 495. 3 501. 8 518. 7 17.0 21.2 21. 6 19.9 26.2 27.2 29.8 38.7 26.6 28.7 29.2 34.6 38.8 36.0 3a 5 41.6 38.0 139.8 144 6 157. 0 168.8 174. 1 188.8 213.0 227.6 204.3 210.6 216.3 220.9 222.8 223.2 229.3 235.2 244.0 103. 3 103.3 114, 2 124.3 127. 3 139. 1 157.5 163. 0 150.9 157.5 16a 2 161.5 159.6 160.1 164.9 171.0 176.8 136. 1 149.0 159.9 16a 9 175.4 186. 1 209.8 240.0 199.8 204.4 213.7 221.2 233. 6 238. 1 242. 6 245.9 255.4 International Business Period 36.5 41.3 4Z8 44.4 46.7 49. 7 55.5 63.7 53.4 53.1 56. 1 59.4 63.2 63. 1 64.4 64. 2 67.2 36. 5 41.3 42. 8 44.4 46.7 49.7 55.5 63.7 53.4 53. 1 56. 1 59.4 63.2 63. 1 64. 4 64.2 67.2 99. 6 107.6 117. 1 122.5 128.7 136. 4 154.3 176.3 146.5 151.2 157.7 161.7 170.4 175.0 178.2 181.7 188.3 3. 7 -4.3 — 2.9 1.8 -1.4 2.7 3.2 -12.4 4. 6 6. 1 2.6 -.3 -10. S -15.0 -13.3 -10.8 -11.4 i | Gross Total Statis- national Net exports of goods Net product tical Excess of income and services transfers Gross or " discreptransfers or Excess to forGross expendor of eigners retained private receipts ancy domestic invest- by periture of net earn1 investment sons and Exports Less: Equals: exports ings3 Net ment 4 Imports exports Government 1 1960 1961 1962_ 19631964 1965._ 1966 1967. 1966: I II III. IV. _ 1967: I II IV. _ 1968: I 56.8 58. 7 66. 3 68. 8 76. 2 83. 7 89.7 90. 5 87. 6 88.4 89. 5 93.6 88. 9 89. 1 90.4 93.9 94. 1 74.8 71. 7 83. 0 87. 1 94. 0 1 L07. 4 ]L18. 0 112. 1 1 L15. 2 1 118. 5 1 116.4 ]L22. 2 L10. 4 1 1 L05. 1 1 L12. 2 1 L20. 8 ]118. 0 -18. 0 -13.0 — 16.8 — 18.4 -17. S -23.8 -28.3 -21.6 -27.6 -30. 1 -26.9 -28.6 -21.5 -16.0 -21.8 -26.9 -23.9 2. 4 2.6 2. 7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.4 2.9 2.8 2. 5 2.9 3. 1 3. 1 2.7 2.9 27.2 28. 6 30. 3 32.3 37. 1 39. 1 43. 0 45. 3 42. 0 42. 5 43. 7 44. 0 45.3 45. 1 45.6 45.4 47. 2 1 Personal income ( P . 5) less personal tax and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.). 2 Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. * Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, capital consumption allowances, and wage accruals less disbursements. Does not include retained earnings of unincorporated business, which are included In disposable personal income. 23. 2 23. 0 25. 1 26.4 28.6 32.2 37.9 40.6 36. 0 37. 1 39.0 39.7 39.9 39. S 40. 2 42.4 4o. 5 4.0 5.6 5. 1 5.9 8.5 6.9 5. 1 4.8 6. 1 5.4 4. 6 4.3 5.3 5.3 5. 4 3.0 1. 7 -1.7 -3.0 -2. 5 -3. 1 -5.7 -4. 1 -2.2 -1.8 -2.7 -2.5 -1.8 -1.8 -2.5 -2.3 -2.3 -.3 1.2 504.8 520. S 559.8 590. 8 633.7 685. S 745.9 787. S 726.8 738.8 751.9 765.9 770.3 777.9 792.4 811. 0 S30. 5 -1. 0 -. 8 .5 -.3 -1.3 -2. 0 -2. 6 -3.0 -.9 -2.2 -3.2 -3. S ; -4. 0 : — 2. S; -1.2 -3. o -4.0 i 503.7 520. 1 560. 3 590. 5 632.4 683.9 743. 3 785.0 725. 9 736. 7 748. S 762. 1 766. 3 775. 1 791. 2 807. 3 826. 7 * Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. »Net foreign investment with sign changed. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) advanced at an annual rate of about 10 percent in the first quarter, according to current estimates. About three-fifths of the increase represented a rise in physical output and the rest higher prices. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 100 1962 SOUHCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Personal Gross Net gross Total conprivate exports national gross sump- domestic of goods product national tion investand in 1958 product expend- ment services itures prices Government purchases of goods and services Federal State Total and National Other Total defense1 local Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1958=100* Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 452-5 447. S 475.9 487,7 497.2 529.8 551.0 581.1 616.7 652.6 669.3 1966: 645. 4 649. 3 654.8 661.1 660.7 664. 7 672.0 679.6 689.7 II.,. Ill 1V__ 1967: I___, II... III.. IV-. 1968: ! , . _ 441. 1 447,3 483.7 503.7 520. 1 560. 3 590. 5 632.4 683.9 743.3 785.0 725.9 736.7 748. S 762. 1 766.3 775. 1 791. 2 807.3 826.7 281.4 290. 1 311. 2 325.2 335. 2 355. 1 375. 0 401.2 433. 1 465.9 491.7 458.2 461.6 470. 1 473.8 480.2 489. 7 495. 3 501.8 518. 7 67. 8 60.9 75.3 74.8 71.7 83.0 87. 1 94. 0 107.4 118. 0 112. 1 115.2 118.5 116.4 122.2 110.4 105.1 112. 2 120. 8 118,0 »This category corresponds closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 36. 'Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 195? prices. 5.7 2. 2 . 1 4.0 5.6 5.1 5.9 8.5 6.9 5.1 4.8 6, 1 5.4 4.6 4. 3 5.3 5.3 5.4 3.0 1.7 86.1 94.2 97.0 99.6 107. 6 117. 1 122. 5 128.7 136.4 154.3 176.3 146.5 151.2 157.7 161.7 170.4 175. 0 178L 2 181.7 188. 3 49.5 53.6 53.7 53. 5 57. 4 63.4 64.2 65,2 6a s 77. 0 89.9 72.1 74.9 79. 5 81. 5 87.1 89. 5 90. 9 92,2 96. 2 44.2 45.9 46.0 44.9 47.8 51.6 50.8 50. 0 50.1 60.5 72.5 55. 1 58.4 63. 0 65. G 70.2 72.5 73. 3 74.2 76,7 5.3 7.7 7.6 8.6 9.6 11.8 13.5 15.2 16,7 ias 17.4 17. 1 16. 6 16. 6 15, 9 16.8 17.0 17. 6 18.0 19. 5 36.6 40.6 43.3 46. 1 50.2 53.7 58.2 63.5 69.6 77.2 86.4 74.3 76.2 78. 1 80.2 83.3 85.4 87.4 89.5 92. 1 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. Source: Department of Commerce. 97.5 100.0 101.6 103.3 104.6 105.8 107. 2 108.8 110.9 113.9 117.3 112.5 113.5 114.4 115.3 116. 0 116.6 117. 7 118.8 119. 9 NATIONAL INCOME Revised estimates indicate that national income rose $17 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the firsf quarter, reflecting a record $14 billion advance in compensation of employees. Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment increased $ 1 % billion. Other types of income also increased. BILUONS OF DOLLARS 700 BILUONS OF DOLLARS 1 700 SEASONA1LY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 600 600 TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME JlpNAL I 500 500 COMPENSATION OF EMPLOYEES 400 400 300 300 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME 100 1962 100 1963 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF CQMMEft« _„ . .. . IV 1967: I II_ Ill IV_ 1968: I . _ II III . COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADV1SEK [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Corporate profits and invenRental Proprietors' income tory valuation adjustment3 CompenMet income Total sation of international Profits Inventory Business of emperest income before valuation Total and proFarm 2 ployees l sons taxes * adjustment fessional Period 1958-_-_ 1959_ . 1960 1961__ 1962 1963._ 1964 1965 1966 1967 1966: I 367.8 400. 0 414. 5 427. 3 457.7 481. 9 518. 1 562.4 616.7 650.2 600.3 610.4 622.1 634. 1 636.4 641. 6 653.4 669.3 686.2 257. 8 279. 1 294. 2 302. 6 323. 6 341. 0 365.7 393.9 435.7 469.7 420.8 430.7 441.2 450.2 459.1 463.4 472.6 483.6 497.6 13.4 11. 4 12.0 12.8 13.0 13. 1 12.1 14.8 16.1 14.8 17.1 16.0 15.9 15.1 14.6 14.3 15.0 15.2 15.5 1 Includes employer contributions for social Insurance. (See also p. 4.) a Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged In farming and therefore differs from net farm incomo (Including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes such profits. 1968 1967 33.2 35. 1 34.2 35.6 37.1 37. 9 40.2 41.9 43.2 43.6 42.8 43.3 43.3 43.4 43.2 43.4 43. S 44. 1 44.4 15.4 15.6 15.8 16.0 16.7 17. 1 18.0 19.0 19.4 20.1 19.2 19.3 19.4 19.6 19.8 20.0 20.2 20.4 20.6 6.8 7.1 8.4 10.0 11.6 13.8 15.8 17.9 20.2 22. 4 19.3 19.8 20.4 21.1 21.6 22.1 22.7 23.3 23.9 41. 1 51.7 49.9 50. 3 55.7 58.9 66.3 74.9 82.2 79.6 81.1 81.3 81.9 84.6 78.1 78.3 79.2 82.7 84.2 41.4 52.1 49.7 50.3 55.4 59.4 66.8 76.6 83.8 80.7 83.7 83.6 84.0 83.9 79.0 78.9 SO. 0 85. 1 88.7 s Sec Note, p . 7. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 19C0. Source: Department of Commerce. -0.3 -.5 .2 -. 1 .3 —. 5 1.7 — 1.6 -1.2 -2.6 -2.3 -2.2 .7 o -.7 -2.3 -4 5 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose nearly $41/4 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in M a y after a rise of a bit more than $ 3 % billion in April. Compared with M a y 1967 personal income was up a record 3>55.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 100 100 1968 1962 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Total personal income 1959 I960 1961___ _ 1962 1963 1964 _ 1965 1966 . 1967 1967: Apr May June July Aug___ Sept_._ Oct Nov... Dec. 196S: Jan Feb.... Mar.... Apr... May »__ 383,5 401.0 416.8 442.6 465. 5 497. 5 537. 8 584. 0 626.4 616.5 618. 2 622.6 627.0 631,6 634.4 635.9 642.4 649.3 650. 9 659,4 666.5 669,8 674. 0 [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Personal Transfer Other Proprietors' income Rental and Divi- interest Business income salary labor payOI dends income ments and prodisburse- income2 Farm nf fessional persons ments 1 11.4 35.1 20.7 258. 2 11.3 15.6 12. 6 26.6 12.0 34.2 13.4 12.0 15.8 23.4 270.8 28.5 35.6 25.0 16.0 13,8 32.4 12.7 278.1 12.8 13.0 37.1 27.7 13.9 16.7 15. 2 33.3 296. 1 14. 9 13. 1 16. 5 37. 9 311. 1 17. 1 35. 3 31. 4 12. 1 40.2 333. 7 16. 6 18. 0 17. 8 34 9 36. 7 14. 8 18. 6 19. 0 41. 9 359. 1 19. S 38. 4 39. 7 43. 2 394, 6 20. 8 19. 4 21. 5 42. 4 16. 1 43. 9 23.2 43. 6 423. 8 14 8 20. 1 22 8 46, 5 51. 9 14 4 416.7 22,6 43.3 22.8 20.0 45. 8 51.0 417.2 22.8 14 4 20. 0 23. 1 46.0 51.5 4a 4 14 3 43.6 420.9 23. 1 20, 1 23. 3 46. 1 51.6 14 7 43.7 423.4 23. 3 20. 2 23. 5 46.4 52.2 426.7 23.6 15.0 43.8 20.2 23. 5 46.9 52.4 428.5 23.8 15,3 43.9 20.3 23.4 47.3 52.5 15. 1 44 0 429.4 24 0 20.3 23.2 47.6 52.8 15.2 44 1 435.3 24.3 20.4 23. 1 48.0 52.8 443. 1 24.6 15.3 44 2 20. 4 21.0 48.5 53. 1 442.4 24.9 15.3 44 3 20.5 22.9 48.9 54 0 15.4 44.4 449.0 25.2 20.5 23.2 49.5 54.7 15.6 44 5 451.4 25. 5 20.6 23. 6 50.1 58. 1 452.8 25.8 15.5 44 5 20. 6 24.0 50.5 58.8 455.7 26. 1 15.5 44.6 20.7 24.4 50.8 59. 1 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and vrase accruals less disbursements. 2 Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. COUNCrt. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 7. 9 9.3 9.6 10. 3 11. 8 12. 5 13. 4 17. 9 20 4 20!l 20. 1 20. 3 20.4 20.6 20.6 20.6 20.8 21. 1 22. 3 22.6 22.8 22. 7 22.8 Nonagricultural personal 3 income 368. 5 385.2 400.0 425. 5 448. 1 480, 9 518. 4 563. 1 606* 5 596*. 9 598.8 603.2 607. 2 611.4 614.0 615. 7 622.0 628.8 630.3 638.7 645.6 649. 1 653.2 3 Personal income exclusive of net Income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. NOTE,—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Current estimates indicate that personal income advanced a record $16V& billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter and disposable income rose $1 Vk billion. With personal outlays sur$ing ahead by a record $1 Vh billion, the saving rate dropped sharply from 7.5 to 6.6 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 DOLLARS 3,000 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 DOLLARS 3,000 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL I N C O M E SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES *** 2,800 2,800 ^ 2,600 2,600 .— —• IN CURRENT PRICES — 2,400 -——"1 2,200 *- ^ ^ ^^-^^ »»• 2,000 1,800 A V \ 1 1962 2,200 IN 1958 PRICES 2,000 } I r : n 1963 t 1 1964- 1 \ \ 1965 \ ( 1 1 M966 t 1 1967 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Less: PerPersonal sonal tax and income nontax payments 337.3 350.0 364.4 385.3 404.6 438. 1 472.2 508.8 544.7 1966: I . . . II-_ III. IV. 1967: I . . . II__ III. IV. 1968: ! „ 70. 74 76. 79. 80. 79. 82. 84. 87. 497. 503. 512. 522. 532. 540. 548. 557. 571. 4 1 9 6 2 1 8 7 5 5 3 4 0 7 0 2 9 5 Billions of dollars 318.3 44.3 146.6 120. 3 333. 0 151.3 128.7 45.3 44.2 155.9 135.1 343.3 162.6 143.0 363.7 49.5 384.7 53.9 168.6 152.4 411.9 59. 2 178.7 163. 3 445. 0 66. 0 191.2 175.9 479. 0 70.3 207. 5 188. 1 505.9 72.1 217.5 202. 1 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 470. 9 71.6 203. 2 183.5 68.2 207. 1 186.3 474,6 483.2 70.9 209. 5 189.8 487.4 70.6 210. 3 192.9 493.9 69.4 214, 2 196.6 504.0 72.5 217. 2 200.0 509.6 72. 7 218. 5 204. 1 516.2 73.8 220. 3 207.7 78.4 228. 1 212.1 533.5 includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers, and personal transfer payments to foreigners. : Sec p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. includes armed forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data are for middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. t f 1 Is 1,800 1968 Per capita disLess: Personal outlays posable personal Equals: Personal consumption Equals: Disexpenditures 2 Personal Total posable saving Current Non1958 personal personal Durable durable Services prices prices income outlays x goods goods 46.2 50.9 52.4 57.4 60. 9 59.4 65.6 75.2 81.7 S 3 3 6 9 1 0 5 0 I COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADYttEKS 1959 383.5 1960 401.0 1961 416.8 1962.. 442.6 1963 I 465. 5 1964 497.5 1965 537.8 1966_._ . 584.0 1967 I 626.4 567. 577. 589. 601. 612. 619. 631. 642. 659. 2,400 —7 19.1 17.0 21.2 21.6 19.9 26.2 27.2 29.8 38.7 Dollars 1,905 1,881 1,883 1,937 1,909 1,983 1,968 2,064 2,013 2,136 2, 123 2,280 2,232 2,427 2,317 2,584 2,393 2,736 26. 28. 29. 34. 38. 36. 38. 41. 38. 2,537 2,560 2,598 2,639 2,686 2,716 2,749 2,789 2,851 6 7 2 6 8 0 5 6 0 2,304 2,302 2,324 2,341 2,373 2,388 2,394 2,413 2,445 Saving as percent of Population dis(thouposable personal sands) 3 income (percent) 5.6 4.9 5.8 5.6 4. 9 6.0 5.8 5. 9 7. 1 177,073 180, 684 183, 756 186, 656 189,417 192, 120 194, 592 196, 920 199, U S 5.3 5.7 5.7 6.6 7.3 6.7 7.0 7.5 6.6 196, 096 196, 629 197, 216 197, 834 198, 356 198, 852 199, 425 200, 006 200, 433 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. Net farm income excluding inventory change (seasonally adjusted) advanced 6 % percent in the first quarter, according to current estimates. Including inventory change, there was a rise of 2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 60 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 60 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL HATES 50 50 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 40 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY. CHANGE 20 20 1 0 10 J 1962 L J J L 1963 ! 1964 1 L < 1965 ' Personal income received by total farm population 1966: I — II— III, IV. 1967: I_._ II,. III. IV1968: I . . . From all sources 18.1 18L7 19.0 19.2 18.7 18.0 20.3 21.3 20.1 From From farm nonfarm sources sources 1967 1 1968 11.0 11.4 12. 1 12.2 12. 0 11.2 13.4 14.4 13.2 7.0 7.2 6.9 7.0 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 Net to farm operators Net income per farm including net inventory changea ProducCash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ingnetin- ing net in- Current 1967 from Total prices prices 4 ventory ventory 2 marketchange change ings Dollars Billions of dollars 3, 106 2,795 11.5 37.5 33.5 26. 1 11.4 3,381 3,043 12.0 37.9 34. 0 26.2 11,7 3,724 3,389 12.9 39.6 34.9 27.0 12.6 3,872 3,562 13. 1 41.1 36.2 28.5 12.5 3,947 13. 1 3,671 42. 1 37.2 29,6 12.5 3,774 12.2 3,510 42.4 37. 1 29.4 13.0 14.9 4,645 4,413 44.8 39. 1 30.9 13.9 16. 2 5,090 4,988 49.7 43. 2 33.3 16. 4 14.9 4,705 4,705 48.9 42.5 34.4 14,5 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 5,480 17. 3 5,320 43,3 32.6 16.9 49.5 5,080 33. 1 16.4 16.2 4,980 49.5 43. 1 5,000 4,950 50.0 43.3 33.5 16.5 16. 1 4,760 15.9 15. 3 4,710 49.9 43.2 34.0 4,720 14.8 4,670 42,6 34.3 15.0 49.3 4, 580 34.5 14,6 14. 5 4,580 49. 1 42.4 4,750 4,800 49. 2 42,9 34.4 14.8 15.2 4,810 13.9 15.4 4,860 48.1 42.1 34.2 5,040 15.7 5, 140 43. 3 34.9 14.8 49.7 * Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney Income furnished by farms. 'Inventory of crops and livestock valned at the average price for the year. Also, sec footnote 2, p. 3. 1 Based on 1950 Census of Agriculture definition of o farm. The number of farms Is held constant within a year. I 1 Income received from farming Realized gross 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1 1966 COUNOL O f ECONOMIC ADVIKSS DEPARTMENT OF ACWCUlTUtE Period \ * Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living Items on a 1967 base. Source: Department of Agriculture. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Dominated by a $ 6 % billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) drop in inventory investment, gross private domestic investment fell almost $3 billion in the first quarter. Business fixed investment advanced over $3 billion to a new record high. Residential construction continued to rise with a gain of over $1/2 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 120 120 KX GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 10 0 100 80 80 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT. 60 60 2.—•••••' 40 40 20 20 -ra NONRESIDENTIAL STRUCTURES ^ .CHANGE IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES 1962 1965 1964 1966 1967 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed investment Period Total gross private domestic Total investment Structures Total Total 1957. 1958, 1959. 1960. 19G1. 1962. 1963. 1964. 1965, 1966. 1967. 1966: II. III IV-.. 1967: I II III IV 1968: I 67. S 60.9 75.3 74. 8 71.7 83. 0 87. 1 94 0 107.4 118. 0 112. 1 115. 2 H 118. 5 ! 116.4 _; 122.2 110.4 105. 1 112.2 120.8 118.0 66.5 62.4 70.5 71.3 69. 7 77.0 81.3 88.2 98. 0 104. 6 107. 0 105. 3 104 5 104 9 103. 7 103.3 104 6 108. 4 111.6 115. 4 46.4 41.6 45.1 48.4 47.0 51.7 54 3 61. 1 71. 1 80.2 82.6 78.3 78.7 81. 2 82.8 81. 9 81.5 82. 8 84.0 87.2 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1900. 8 Residential structures Nonresidential 18.0 16.6 16.7 18. 1 18.4 19. 2 19.5 21.2 25.1 27.9 26.8 28.3 27.5 28.2 27.7 27.7 26.3 26. 6 26.7 28. 5 Nonfarm 17. 2 15.8 15.9 17.4 17.7 18. 5 18.8 20.5 24.4 27.2 26. 1 27.6 26.8 27.4 26.9 26.9 25,6 25.9 25.9 27. 8 Producers' durable equipment Total 28.4 25. 0 28. 4 30.3 28. 6 32.5 34 8 39.9 46. 0 52.3 55.7 50. 0 51. 2 53. 1 55. 1 54 2 55.2 56. 2 57. 3 58.7 Nonfarm 25.9 22.2 25. 4 27.7 25.8 29. 4 31.2 36.3 4f.9 47.8 51.4 45.5 46.9 48.7 50.1 50.0 50.6 51.9 53,0 54.3 Total 20.2 20.8 25. 5 22. 8 22.6 25.3 27. 0 27.1 27.0 24.4 24 4 27.0 25.8 23.7 20.9 21.4 23.1 25. 6 27.6 28. 2 Nonfarm 19. 5 20. 1 24 8 22.2 22.0 24 8 26,4 26. 6 26.4 23.8 23.9 26. 5 25. 3 23. 2 20. 4 20.9 22. 5 25. 0 27.0 27.6 Source: Department of Commerce. Change in business inventories Total 1.3 -1.5 4 8 3.6 2.0 6,0 5.9 5.8 9.4 13.4 5.2 9.9 14 0 11. 4 18. 5 7. 1 .5 3.8 9.2 2.7 Nonfarm 0.8 -2.3 4 8 3.3 1.7 5.3 5. 1 6.4 S. 4 13.7 4 8 9.6 14 4 12.0 19.0 7.3 .6 3,4 7.7 1.8 CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes increased $ 3 % billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) to a record of almost $90 billion in the first quarter, according to revised estimates. Profits after taxes increased about $21/2 billion and dividend payments increased nearly $1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 30 20 10 1968 COUNCIL'OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment TransCorpoManufacturing portation, rate comprofits NonAll All 1 before Durable durable muniindusgoods taxes goods cations, other tries Total indusand indus- public tries tries utilities 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1966: I . . . . II™ IIL_ IV. _ 1967: I.___ IT— IV._ 1968:1 51. 7 49.9 50.3 55.7 58.9 66.3 74.9 82.2 79.6 81.1 SI. 3 81.9 84.6 78.1 78. 3 79.2 82.7 84.2 26. 3 24. 4 23.3 26. 6 28.8 32.7 38.7 43. 1 39.3 42.7 42.5 42.7 44.4 39.6 38.9 38. 2 40.6 41.9 13. 6 12.0 11. 4 14. 1 15.8 17.8 22.2 24.4 21.3 24.3 24.0 23.9 25.3 21.1 21. 1 20.5 22.4 22.5 12. 7 12. 4 11.9 12.5 13.0 14.9 16.5 18.7 18.0 18.3 18.5 18.8 19.2 18.4 17.8 17.7 18. 3 19.4 7.0 7.5 7.9 8.5 9.5 10.1 11.2 11.9 12. 0 11.7 12.0 11.8 12.0 11.7 11.9 12. 1 12.3 12.5 18L4 17.9 19. 1 20.5 20.6 23.5 25.0 27.2 28.3 26.7 26.8 27.3 28.2 26.9 27.5 28.9 29.8 29.8 includes all other industries and financial institutions. 'Includes depreciation, capital outlays charged to current account, and accidental damapes. 'Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 95-22 G°—6S- 52. 1 49.7 50.3 55. 4 59.4 66.8 76.6 83.8 80.7 83.7 83.6 84.0 83.9 79.0 78.9 80.0 85. 1 88.7 adjusted annual rates] Corporate profits after taxes Corporate UnDivitax liabil- Total dend distributed payity ments profits 23.7 23.0 23. 1 24. 2 26.3 28.3 31.4 34.5 33.2 34.5 34.5 34.6 34.6 32.5 32.5 32.9 35.0 36.2 28. 5 26.7 27.2 31.2 33. 1 38.4 45.2 49.3 47.5 49.2 49.2 49.4 49.3 46.5 46.5 47. 1 50. 1 52.5 12.6 13.4 13.8 15.2 16. 5 17.8 19.8 21.5 22.8 21.4 21.6 21.6 21.2 22.2 23.1 23.4 22. 4 23.2 Corporate capital consumption allowances3 15.9 13.2 13.5 16. 0 16.6 20.6 25.4 27.8 24.7 27.8 27.6 27.8 28.2 24.2 23. 4 23.0 27.6 29.2 1 23.5 24.9 26.2 30. 1 31.8 33.9 36.5 39.0 41.4 38.3 38.7 39.2 39.8 40.3 40.9 41.8 42.5 43. 1 Profits plus capital consumption allowances 3 52. 0 51. 6 53. 5 61. 3 64. 8 72.3 81.7 88.3 88.9 87.5 87.9 88.6 89.1 86.7 87.4 88.8 92.6 95.6 NOTE.—Data beginning 1962 adjusted for effects of new depreciation guidelines ($2M billion for 1962) and therefore not comparable with preceding data. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning I960. Source: Department of Commerce. EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the latest survey of investment intentions, business expenditures for new plant and equipment in the second quarter of 1 9 6 8 should change little from the upward revised first quarter level. A pick-up is anticipated in the second half of the year, leading to a projected increase of 7 % percent from the fourth quarter of 1 9 6 7 to the fourth quarter of 1 9 6 8 . BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 70 TOTAL NEW P U N T AND EQUIPMENT 20 10 1966 1962 I 1967 1968 - i t e NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION! AND DEPARTMENT O f COMMERCE [Billions of dollars ; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual ratesJ Transportation Manufacturing Period Total 1 Total Durable goods Nondurable goods 5.95 6.00 7.33 7. 94 5. 96 6.29 7.30 7.40 7.65 7.84 9. 16 11.05 13.00 13.00 13.24 13.70 13.25 12.65 12.55 12.70 13.20 13. 40 13.55 1967: I II III IV 26.83 28. 70 35. 08 36.96 30. 53 32.54 35.68 34.37 37. 31 39.22 44.90 51.96 60.63 61.66 65.78 61. 65 61. 50 60.90 62.70 11. 04 11.44 14.95 15.96 11. 43 12.07 14.48 13.68 14. 68 15. 69 18. 58 22.45 26.99 26.69 27.63 27.85 27. 00 26.15 26.00 5. 09 5.44 7.62 8.02 5.47 5.77 7. 18 6.27 7.03 7.85 9.43 11.40 13.99 13.70 14.40 14.20 13.75 13.50 13.50 1968: I II3 III 3 IV3 64.90 64. G O 66. 05 67. 50 26.35 27.65 28.30 28. 05 13.65 14.45 14.90 14.50 1954 1955 1956. 1957_ 1958. 1959. 1960. 1961 1962 1963. 1964. 1965 1966 1967. 1968 5 * 1 E xcludes agriculture. 1 Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and construction. 3 Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business In late April and May 19G8. Includes adjustments when necessary for systematic tendencies in anticipatory data. NOTE.—Beginning 1959 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million. Mining Railroads .98 . 96 1.24 1.24 . 94 .99 . 99 . 98 1. 08 1. 04 1. 19 1.30 1.47 1.42 1.63 1. 40 1. 30 1.45 1.50 1. 55 1.55 1. GO 1. 7 5 Other .85 .92 1.23 1.40 .75 . 92 1.03 .67 . 85 1.10 1.41 1.73 1.98 1.53 1.44 1.80 1.55 1.40 1.40 1. 65 1.30 1.35 1.45 1.51 1.60 1.71 1.77 1. 50 2.02 1.94 1.85 2.07 1.92 2.38 2.81 3.44 3.88 4.46 3.05 3.90 4.10 4.45 4.35 3.65 4.75 5.20 Public utilities Commercial and other 2 4. 22 4.31 4.90 6.20 6.09 5. 67 5.68 5.52 5.48 5.65 6.22 6.94 8.41 9.88 11.17 9.20 ! 9.70 9.80 10.65 11.60 11. 40 3 0.75 : 11.00 : 8. 23 9.47 11. 05 10.40 9. 81 10. 8S 11.57 11.68 13. 15 13. 82 15. 13 16.73 IS. 36 IS. 25 19. 44 IS. 30 IS. 05 17.95 IS. 70 10.35 19.00 19.30 20. 05 Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures. Thesefiguresdo not agree with the totals included hi the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural Investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE The civilian labor force, seasonally adjusted, rose 27O#O00 in M a y . Total civilian employment increased 1 9 3 , 0 0 0 , largely due to employment gains for adult women. As a result, unemployment rose 77,000. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 8 ni 1 4 i 4 0 963 962 196^ I 965 1966 fl Ifit | \ 1967 1 1963 * 1 6 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCEj DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civilian em* ployment Total Civilian employment labor force UnemCivilian NonNon(includ- labor Period ployAgriagrig ing Total ment force Total culculcularmed tural tural tural forces) Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over 1963.__ 74, 571 67, 762 63, 076 4,070 74, 571 71, 833 67, 762 4,687 63, 076 75, S30 69, 305 64, 782 3,786 75, 830 73, 091 69, 305 4,523 64, 782 1965___ 77, 178 71, 088 66, 726 3,366 77, 178 74, 455 71, 088 4,361 66, 726 1966__. 78, 893 72, 895 68, 915 2,875 78, 893 75, 770 72, 895 3,979 68, 915 1967... 80, 793 74, 372 70, 527 2, 975 80, 793 77, 347 74, 372 3,844 70, 527 Unadjusted Seasonally adjust ed 967: Apr _ 79, 560 73, 445 69, 724 2,666 80, 268 76, 81A 73, 939 3,843 70, 096 May. 79, 551 73, 637 69, 812 2,457 79, 958 76, 502 73, 660 3, 728 69, 822 June.; 82, 464 75, 391 70, 996 3,628 80, 668 77, 214 74, 169 3, 739 70, 430 July_i 82, 920 76, 221 71, 705 3,250 80, 944 77, 496 74, 478 3,847 70, 631 Aug.- 82, 571 76, 170 71, 792 2,942 81, 057 77, 598 74, 664 3,956 70, 708 SeptJ 80, 982 74, 631 70, 700 2,895 81, £63 77, 807 74, 638 3,697 70, 941 Oct.. SI, 595 75, 181 71, 148 2,951 81, 535 78, 072 74, 735 3, 718 71, 017 Nov, 81, 582 75, 218 71, 460 2, 894 81, 459 77, 989 75, 006 3, 839 71, 166 Dec_ 81, 527 75, 338 71, 793 2,719 81, 942 78, 473 75, 577 4&16 71, 361 1968: Jan__ 79,811 73, 273 69, 908 3,074 81, 386 77, 923 75, 167 4,003 71, 164 Feb_ 80, 869 74, 114 70, 653 3,288 82, 138 78, 672 75, 731 4,127 71, 604 Mar. 80, 938 74, 517 70, 980 2,929 82, 150 78, 658 75, 802 4,014 71, 788 Apr _ 81, 141 75, 143 71, 292 2,491 81, 849 78, 343 75, 636 3,980 71, 656 May_ SI, 770 75,931 71,935 2,303 82, 149 78, 613 75, 829 3,893 71, 936 Total labor force (including armed forces) ^ o t a l labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. NOTE.—Beginning 1000, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 10 Source: Department of Labor. Unemployment | rate (percent of Unem- civilian labor force) ployment Unad- Seasonjusted ally adjusted^ Labor force participation rate, unad- l justed Percent 4,070 3,786 3,366 2,875 2,975 5.7 5. 2 4.5 3.8 3.8 2,875 2,952 3,045 3,017 2,934 3,169 3,337 2,984 2,896 3.5 3.2 46 4. 1 3. 7 3. 7 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 4-1 4.S 3.8 3.7 59.9 59. 8 61. 9 62.2 61.8 60.5 60.9 60.8 60.7 2,756 2,941 2,856 2, 707 2,784 40 4.2 3.8 3.2 2.9 3.5 3.7 3.6 S.5 3.5 59.3 60.0 60.0 59.2 59.6 59.6 59.6 59,7 60. 1 60.6 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT In M a y , the seasonally adjusted unemployment rafe was unchanged at 3.5 percent and equal to the post-Korean low of January. Most measures of unemployment showed little change except for teenagers with an increase. PERCENT 10 1 PERCENT 10 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED LABOR FORCE TIME LOST THROUGH UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME WORK UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILLAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 1962 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Period Labor force time lost through Experi- Married unemenced ployment Over 40 men All wage and (wife and part- hours workers salary time workers present) work 1 19G3 1964 1965 1966 1967 5. 7 5.2 4.5 3.8 3.8 1967: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct _ Nov Dec___ _ _ 1968: Jan Feb Mar Apr May_ 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8 4. 1 4. 3 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5 Percent 5. 5 3.4 5.0 2.8 4.3 2.4 3. 5 1.9 3.6 1.8 Seasonally adjusted 3.4 1.9 3.6 1.9 3.7 1.9 3.7 1.8 3.6 1.9 1.8 a9 1.9 4,1 1.7 3.7 1.7 3.5 1.6 3.3 1.7 3.5 1.7 3.4 1.5 3.2 1.6 3.1 J 6. 4 5.8 5.0 4. 2 4.2 19, 20, 21, 20, 4.0 3.S 4.4 4.2 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.2 4. 1 4.0 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.6 20, 759 20, 677 20, 577 22,143 22, 485 22, 019 21, 411 21, 628 21, 954 19, 746 20, 557 20, 912 17, 651 21,170 1 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and those on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of total man-hours potentially available to the civilian labor force. Beginning 1963. series reflects whether unemployed persons soupht fullor part-time jobs. •Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 13), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, and industrial disputes. 271 788 334 920 Persons at work in nonagricultural industries by hours worked per week3 Under 35 hours 35-40 hours Part-time for economic reasons Total Part-time for economic reasons Usually fulltime 8 Usually fulltime * Usually parttime * Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over 1,222 1,069 29,100 13, 101 1,151 986 30, 768 11, 818 1,031 897 32, 088 12, 034 793 871 32, 616 13, 290 853 1,060 Seasonally Unadjusted 32, 858 13, 791 1,179 730 1,178 33, 273 13, 473 S85 568 903 33, 082 12, 323 1, 133 1,091 1,063 32, 608 12, 477 997 1,226 1,049 33, 390 12, 066 1,012 1,163 1,023 33, 145 12, 219 1,073 810 1,094 31, 641 15, 246 922 765 976 13, 952 33, 413 1.078 751 1, 108 33, 628 14, 026 911 774 944 32, 031 14, 753 805 720 729 32, 383 15, 081 942 799 915 33, 566 13, 976 866 804 851 28, 705 21, 414 828 665 827 5 5 34, 005 14, 182 790 679 1 806 Usually parttime 4 adjusted 839 63S 869 884 893 873 890 S42 863 SOS 860 892 764 763 3 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work materiej shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. • Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. « Average hours worked: usually full-time, 24.4; usually part-time, 17.7. Source: Department of Labor. 11 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In M a y , insured unemployment under State pro3rams avera 3 ed 178,000 lower than in M a y 1 9 6 7 . The seasonally adjusted' insured unemployment rate remained at 2.3 percen^ MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS.'OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS! 1966 1111111 I i I <I I i t I I I i I I I I i I I I 1 I I• 1 1 1 1 ' ' -I I ' ' ' JAN. FEB. MAR, APRIL JUNE MAY JULY AUG SEPT. State programs All programs 1964 1965196G 1967 1967: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 19G8: Jan Feb Mar Apr y : : Week ended: 19G8: May 4 11 18 25 June 1 » 8 *_ Total Insured unem- benefits paid Covered ployment employ(milment (weekly lions averof dolage) lars) Insured unemployment Thousands 49, 637 1,753 51, 580 1,450 54, 739 1,129 1,270 »55, 591 1,423 55y 985 1,197 1,071 "57, 017 1,245 56, 934 1, 123 "57, 358 956 '57, 201 953 1,068 1,339 1,719 1,653 1,480 1,216 1,025 Weekly average, thousands 1,605 26 268 21 232 1,328 15 203 1,061 17 226 1, 205 20 244 1,360 19 188 1,142 19 186 1,019 17 288 1,184 17 187 1,060 15 158 894 15 180 889 15 208 997 16 278 1,259 19 316 1,624 19 227 1,556 18 183 1,390 20 183 1, 142 IS 156 964 1, 106 1,071 1,027 982 976 2, 749. 2 2t 360. 4 1, 890. 9 2, 220. 1 210. 5 193.1 165.4 155.3 184.0 132. 3 13a 0 146. 5 171.8 264.8 259.4 246.0 210,7 185. 0 1,040 1,006 966 922 916 N OTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii Included for all periods and for Puerto Rico since January 1901. 12 DEC COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS S O U t O i D£fAJtTMmr O f IABOC Period NOV. OCT. Initial claims 181 164 156 148 140 149 Benefits paid Insured unemployment as perTotal Exhaus- cent of covered Average employment (miltions weekly Season- lions of check Unad- ally ad- dollars) (dollars) justed justed Percent 3.8 3.0 2.3 2.5 2,9 2.4 2.1 2.4 2.2 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.3 2. 0 2, 2, 1, 2, 2. 7 2,7 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.4 2. 3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2. 0 1.9 1.9 Source: Department of Labor. 522. 1 166. 0 771. 3 101. 0 200. 6 183.6 156. 1 147. 3 172.8 122.6 122. 1 134 9 159.2 248.5 243.7 231. 1 195. 1 170.0 35.92 37.19 39.75 41.25 41.81 40,99 39.99 40. 10 41.08 40.10 40.70 41. 19 41.85 42.59 43,58 43. 64 43. 12 42.50 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural payroll employment in M a y was 67.8 million, seasonally adjusted, about the same as in A p r i l . Employment increases of about 40,000 each in services and State and local government and 20,000 in trade were more than offset by strike-related declines in construction and telephone industries. Other industries showed little or no change. MILLIONS OF WAGE MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE A l l NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS 12 1968 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE* DEPARTMENT OF LABOC [Thousands of wage and salary workers;* seasonally adjusted] Nonmanufacturing (private) Manufacturing (private) Period Total 1961. 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 2 1967 2 1967 2: Apr.. MayJuneJuly. Aug. Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec__ 1968 *: Jan.. Feb.. Mar. Apr*. May K 54, 042 55, 596 5Q7 702 58, 332 60, 832 64, 034 66, 030 65, 619 65, 677 65, 821 65, 920 66, 186 66, 123 66, 286 66, 778 67, 060 67, 058 67, 600 67, 656 67, 784 67, 7S8 NonTotal Durable durable Total goods goods 16, 326 16, 853 16, 995 17, 274 18, 062 19,214 19, 434 19, 425 19, 346 19, 356 19, 288 19, 407 19, 285 19, 302 19, 518 19, 593 19, 612 19, 612 19, 607 19, 670 19, 665 9,070 9,480 9,616 9,816 10, 406 11, 284 11, 422 11,418 11, 389 11,309 11, 335 11,433 11, 272 11, 264 11, 463 11,498 11,541 11,514 11,495 11, 544 11, 538 7,256 7,373 7,380 7,458 7,656 7,930 8,012 8,007 7,957 7,987 7,953 7,974 8,013 8, 038 8, 055 8,095 8,071 8,098 8, 112 8,126 8,127 29,122 29, 853 30, 481 31, 461 32, 678 33, 949 34, 980 34, 728 34, 813 34, 847 34, 979 35,062 35, 140 35, 215 35, 448 35, 578 35, 468 35, 967 35, 996 36, 021 35, 989 Con- Trans- Whole- Finance, Service insursale tract portaand ance, tion and Mining conand misceland struc- public retail real tion utilities trade estate laneous 672' 2,816 3,903 11, 337 2,731 7,664 650 2,902 3,906 11, 566 2,800 8,028 635 2,963 3,903 11,778 2,877 8,325 634 3,050 3,951 12, 160 2,957 8,709 632 3,186 4,036 12, 716 3,023 9,087 627 3,275 4,151 13, 245 3,100 9,551 616 3,203 4,271 13, 613 3,217 10, 060 623 3,204 4,216 13, 529 3,186 9,970 622 3,159 4,273 13, 564 3,199 9,996 621 3,131 4,276 13, 573 3,214 10, 032 626 3,168 4,296 13, 610 3,223 10, 056 610 3,165 4, 2S8 13, 648 3,241 10, 110 606 3,182 4,278 13,684 3,251 10, 139 603 3, 184 4,267 13, 729 3,261 10, 171 603 3,214 4,297 13,791 3,273 10, 270 603 3,275 4,302 13, 793 3,289 10, 316 604 3,107 4,317 13, SIS 3,291 10, 331 608 3,38S 4,342 13, 920 3,304 10, 405 609 3,330 4,332 13, 999 3,311 10, 415 632 3,307 4,331 14, 019 3,322 10, 410 634 3,249 4,285 14, 038 3,333 10,450 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who worked during or received payforany part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they ar© not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enu- Government Federal 2,279 2,340 2,358 2,348 2,378 2,564 2,719 2,688 2,701 2,747 2,743 2,740 2,718 2,718 2,692 2,709 2,721 2,721 2,718 2,717 2,717 State and local 6,315 6,550 6,868 7,249 7,714 8,307 8,897 8,778 8,817 8,871 8,910 8,977 8,980 9, 051 9, 120 9,180 9,257 9,300 9,335 9,376 9,417 meration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. * Scries revised; see note p. 14. NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data Include Alaska and Hawaii, Source: Department of Labor. 13 WEEKLY H O U R S O F WORK-SELECTED INDUSTRIES trade were down 0.4 hours and 0.3 hours, respectively. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED^ HOURS PER WEEK [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 DURABLE NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING MANUFACTURING 44 44 42 42 40 —v 40 ** /V 38 38 36 '36 34 1965 '' ' '' ' '''' ' 1966 1 t . t I ! 1 1 . , .K 34 I I M 1 I I I 1 )•'•'''''•'•. 1968 1967 v 1966 1967 1968 1966 1965 1967 N 1968 42 42 CONTRACT RETAIL TRADE CONSTRUCTION 40 40 38 38 36 36' 34 34 32 32 30 30^ V 1966 1965 1967 1968 1965 " COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT O f 1A6C* | Average hours per week 1 seasonally adjusted] Manufacturing industries Period 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1967: Apr May- _ . June July. Aug Sept .„ Oct Nov Dec 1968: Jan. Feb Mar Apr* May » _ __ Durable goods All 39. 2 40.3 39.7 39.8 40.4 40.5 40.7 41.2 41.3 40.6 40. 5 40. 5 40.4 40.5 40.6 40.9 40.7 40.7 40. 7 40.2 40.8 40.7 40.0 40,6 »Data relate to production workers or nonsupcrvisory employees. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included heeiimtntr 1959. »Includes eating and drinking; places. 14 Nondurable goods Retail trade2 38, 1 3&2 39.7 36.8 37.0 36.7 36.9 37.0 37.3 37.2 37.4 37.6 37.7 39.7 39. 5 39.6 39.6 39.7 40.0 39.7 39.9 39. 9 39.2 40.0 39. 8 39. 2 39.7 37.4 36. 8 37.4 37.4 37.4 38.0 37.2 39. 4 37.2 36.0 37.9 36. 8 37. 8 37.4 35.3 35. 2 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.3 35. 1 35. 2 35. 1 34,8 34.9 34. 7 34 9 34.6 39.5 40.7 40. 1 40.3 40. 9 41. 1 41.4 42.0 42. 1 41.2 38.8 39.7 39.2 39.3 39.6 39.6 39.7 40. 1 41.0 41. 0 41.0 41. 1 41.1 41.4 41.2 41. 2 41. 3 40.9 41.4 41.4 40. 5 41. 1 ' Contract construction 4a 2 3a o 37.6 37.4 37.3 37.0 36.6 35.9 35.3 NOTE.—Series revised to March 1967 benchmark beginning 1966. For details see Employment and Earnings, June 1968. Source: Department of Labor. AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average weekly earnings in manufacturing were $120.99 in May for a gain of $3.08 over April and $7.18 over a year earlier. Mosr of the gain over April was due to the longer workweek.. DOLLARS DOLLARS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 3.25 130 3.0C| 120 2.75 110 ALL MANUFACTURING v INDUSTRIES x-" 2.50 100 NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES /""* r 2.25 NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 90 1965 1966 1968 1967 1966 1965 1967 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEt DEPARTMENT OF tABO* |For production workers or nonsupervisory employees! Average hourly earnings—current prices Period Average weekly earnings—current prices Manufacturing industries Contract Retail conNonDurable durable structrade 1 All goods tion goods Manufacturing industries Contract Retaill conNonDurable durable structrade All tion goods goods 1958 1959 1960 1961 . 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966* 1967 4* 1967 : Apr . May . June _ Julv __ Aug „ Sept .. Oct. Xov_ _ Dec. 1968*:Jan __ Feb.. Mar.. p Apr __ May*'. 2. 11 2. 19 2.26 2. 32 2.39 2.46 2.53 2. 61 2.72 2.83 2. SO 2.81 2. 82 2.82 2. 82 2.85 2. 85 2.88 2.91 2.94 2. 94 2.96 2.97 2.98 2.26 2. 36 2.43 2. 49 2.56 2.63 2.71 2. 79 2.90 3. 00 2.97 2.99 2.99 3. 00 3.00 3. 03 3. 03 3.05 3.09 3. 13 3. 12 3. 14 3. 14 3. 16 1.91 1. 98 2.05 2. 11 2. 17 2.22 2.29 2. 36 2.45 2. 57 2.55 2.55 2.56 2.57 2.57 2.61 2.61 2.62 2. 64 2.67 2.68 2.69 2.70 2.72 2.82 2. 93 3. 08 3. 20 3. 31 3.41 3. 55 a 70 3.89 4. 11 4.00 4. 04 4. 03 4. 10 4. 11 4. 20 4. 22 4. 22 4. 25 4.34 4.27 4.28 4.27 4.32 1. 42 1. 47 1. 52 1. 56 1. 63 1. 68 L 75 1. 82 1.91 2. 01 1.99 2. 00 2. 01 2. 01 2.00 2.03 2. 04 2. 05 2. 04 2. 09 2.11 2. 12 2. 13 2. 14 82.71 88.26 89.72 92. 34 96. 56 99. 63 102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114.90 112. 56 113.81 114.49 113.65 114.49 116.85 116. 2S 117.50 119,60 117. 60 119.36 120. 18 117.91 120. 99 1 Includes eating and drinking places. * Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude overtime and interindustry shifts. 3 Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price index. 03-226*—CS- 89.27 96.05 97.44 100. 35 104. 70 108.09 112. 19 117. IS 122. 09 123. 60 121. 18 122. SO 122. 89 122. 40 123. 30 125. 75 125. 44 125. 66 129. 16 127. 70 128. 54 129. 68 126. 54 130. 19 74.11 78. 61 80.36 82. 92 85. 93 87.91 90. 91 94. 64 98.49 102. 03 100. 22 100. 73 101. 63 102. 03 102. 80 10-1.92 104. 14 105. 06 105. 86 103. 80 106. 40 106. 79 104. 76 107.98 103. 78 108. 41 113. 04 118. 08 122. 47 127. 19 132. 06 138. 38 146. 26 154. 95 147. 60 150. 29 153.95 158. 67 159. 06 162.96 160. 78 161. 63 155. 13 151. 90 154. 57 154. 94 159. 27 163. 30 54. 10 56. 15 57.76 5a 66 60.96 62.66 64.75 66.61 68. 57 70.95 69. 45 69.80 71. 56 72.96 72.60 71. G6 71.20 71.34 72. 22 72. 11 72.80 72.93 73.70 73.40 Manufacturing industries Adjusted Average weekly earnings, earnings, 1957-59= 1957-59 100 2 prices l 100.2 82. 14 103, 5 86. 96 106.0 87.02 109. 6 88.62 112. 3 91.61 115. 2 93. 37 nao 95. 25 121. 1 97.84 125. 1 99.33 130.9 98. SO 129. 9 97,62 130.2 9S. 45 130. 5 98.70 130. S 97. 55 131. 1 I 97. 94 131. 9 99. 79 132. 4 98.96 133.4 99. 75 134. 3 101. IS 135.7 99. 16 1 136. 5 100. 30 ! 137. 0 100. 57 137. 9 98. 34 * See note; p. 14. NOTE.—Data lor Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION . , lA1 f. M T, M The seasonally adjusted index of industrial production registered a substantial sain of 0.7 percent in M a y . I he M a y index was 0.4 percent above the previous record set in March of this year- ^ — , M , M M , „„, M •••m •••••!• m w , Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED} Index, 1957-59=100 ISEASONAILY ADJUSTED) 200 200 UTILITIES AND MINING 180 \ UTILITIES 160 140 140 MINING 120 120 V" 100 100 1965 1968 1965 1966 1967 1968 1967 1968 180 '200 MARKET GROUPS MANUFACTURING 160 ISO _ MATERIALS. DURABLE 140 U0 ^—!r—^ 140 r ' 120 NONDURABLE 1 1968 120 1965 1966 1967 100 1966 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [1957-59=100, seasonally adjusted] Period 1958 _. 1959 1900 1961 1902 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 » 1967: Apr__ May. June. July.. A Sept_ Oct.. Nov, Dec196S: J a n . . FebMar, Apr__ May Total industrial production 93. 7 105, 6 108. 7 109. 7 118. 3 124. 3 132.3 143.4 156.3 158.0 156. 5 155. 6 155. 6 156. 6 158. 1 156. 8 156. 9 159,5 162.0 161.2 162. 0 163. 0 162. 5 163.7 Total 93. 2 106.0 108.9 109.6 US, 7 124. 9 133.1 145.0 158. 6 159. 6 158.2 157.2 157.0 157.6 159.4 isa i 158. 3 161.1 164. 0 162. 7 163. 6 164.4 163.7 165. 0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 16 Market Industry Final products j\l anufacturing NonDurable durable Mining 96.8 106. 5 109.5 112. 9 119. 8 125, 3 132.6 140.8 150. 8 154.4 152. 8 151.1 151. 4 151.5 154. 0 154. 2 155. 2 157.2 158.9 157. 1 158. 6 159.7 159. 1 160.4 95. 6 99. 7 101. 6 102. 6 105. 0 107. 0 111.5 114.8 120. 5 123.5 122.0 120.2 123. 8 128.0 127.8 124. 3 122. 4 123.6 122.3 121.6 123.9 126.9 128.2 127. 9 90. 3 105. 6 108. 5 107.0 117. 9 124. 5 133.5 148.4 164. 8 163. S 162. 5 162. 2 161.5 162.5 163. 6 161. 1 160. 7 164. 1 168. 1 167.2 167, 6 168. 2 167.3 168, 9 Utilities Total 9S. 1 108. 0 115,6 122. 3 131. 4 140.0 151.3 160.9 173.9 184.4 183.0 183. 1 1S3.7 184. 6 185. 4 185.6 18S. 7 191.5 192. 6 195.9 197.5 196.8 198. 0 198. 0 94. 8 105.7 109. S 111. 2 119. 7 124. 9 131.8 142.5 155. 5 158.3 157. 3 156. 3 150.8 157. 1 158. 2 157. 0 156. 9 160.0 161.9 160. S 162. 0 163.4 161.4 162.6 Consumer croods 96. 4 106. 6 111. 0 112. 6 119. 7 125. 2 131. 7 140.3 147. 5 148.4 147.1 146.0 146. 9 147. 1 148. 6 147. 0 147. 9 150.1 152.8 151. 3 152.9 154. 8 152.9 154. 8 Equipment 91. 3 104. 1 107. 6 105. 3 119. 6 124. 2 132.0 147.0 172.6 179.0 179.2 178.5 178.1 178.4 178. 9 178. 6 176. 1 181. 1 181. 5 181. 4 181. 6 181. 8 179.5 179. 3 Materials 92.7 105.4 107.6 108.4 117.0 123.7 132.8 144.2 157. 0 157. 7 156. 0 154. 6 154. 9 156. 1 157. 9 156.7 157. 4 159. 5 162.2 161. 7 161.8 162. 8 163. 5 164. 7 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES In M a y , production of most durable and nondurable manufactures (seasonally adjusted) increased. The largest gains were 5 percent in motor vehicles and parts and 3 percent in iron and steel. Index, 1957-59=100 ISEASONAILY ADJUSTED) Index, 1957-59=100 {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED] 200 MACHINERY 180 ***— ^ <H 160 TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT 140 100 120 1965 200 1965 1968 1967 1968 TFYT1LK APPARFI 160 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER ^ — 1966 ANDJLEATHER 140 ISO > . PAPER AND PRINTING 160 ^ 120 ; ^ND TOBACCO * - 100 140 , . 1966 1965 1968 1967 . . . 1 1 f f . ! f COUHCtf. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOUftCEt BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDEWl RESERVE SYSTEM [1957-59=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1958 1959 1960 1961 _ 1962__ 1963 1964 _ 1965 .„ 1966 _ Primary metals _ „ „ 1967 p ^ 1967: Apr May June July . J— oeot > Auc Oct Nov Dec „ 1968: Jan Feb Mar ~ _ Apr May » . . ._ ^ 87. 5 100.4 101. 3 98. 9 104.6 113. 3 129.1 137.6 142.7 132.5 129.1 128. 9 129. 0 129.6 ~_ 129.3 129.2 _-. 131.7 135.0 _- _ 140.9 136.3 139. 3 140.2 144.5 14S Nondurable manufactures Transpor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, Fabribeverpetroand apparel, and cated Machin- tation print- eum, and ages, and and prodequipery metal rubber tobacco ing leather ment ucts products 92.9 105. 5 107.6 106.5 117. 1 123. 4 132.7 147.8 163.0 162.0 161.0 160.8 160.8 159. 8 159.1 158.1 158.2 159. S 162.4 163. 9 165.7 166.8 162.2 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 1963 1967 1966 ' 1965 164 88.8 107. 1 110.8 110.4 123. 5 129. 2 141.4 160.5 183,8 183.4 182.1 180.5 177.5 180.0 182.8 182.2 179.6 183.2 182.2 183.4 183.2 183. 3 179.6 ISO 89.5 104.0 108.2 103. 6 118.3 127. 0 130.7 149.2 166.9 166.0 165. 7 167.5 169. 3 170.8 171.9 159.2 159. 2 165.6 177.5 175.6 175. 1 177.6 175. 1 178 95.6 108. 5 102. 1 10L3 106. 1 10S. 9 112.6 117.4 119.4 116.5 119.1 115.6 114.9 115.5 109.2 114.3 117.0 120. 6 125.7 118.1 119.3 125.8 124.8 95.0 108. 1 107. 5 108. 4 115. 1 118. 5 125.2 135.8 141.6 139.6 135.5 135. 3 134.8 135. 3 137.6 139.1 140.4 143.0 145.9 141. 0 141. 9 143.7 143.6 145 97.0 105. 2 109. 0 112.4 116. 7 120. 1 127.5 135.3 146.4 149.6 149.9 149. 1 149. 4 148.6 150.3 148.5 148. G 149. 9 149. 5 148. G 150. 6 151.3 151.3 152 99.4 95. 5 108.9 103. 9 113. 9 106. 6 118.9 110. 2 131. 2 113. 3 141. 8 116. 8 152. 5 120.8 164.6 123.4 181.9 128. 1 189.5 131.5 186.4 131.8 182. 2 130. 9 183. 0 ! 131. 3 184. 0 130. 9 189. 5 131.0 191.2 130.4 192. S ! 131.1 105. S 132. 2 199. 0 i 133. 1 107. 7 132. 0 200. 2 133. 1 201.7 133.4 199. S 133. 4 203 133 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Steel production declined slightly on a seasonally unadjusted basis in M a y . Most other weekly indicators of production posted gains for the month. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE] MILLIONS OF TONS STEEL 3.5 2.5 , , , 1 , , , f i ,, , I , , , | , , , | , , , , 1 , , , 1 , , , , 1 , , , I , . • ! . : ' J F M A M J BILLIONS O F K I L O W A T T H O U R S 28 M ) 20 O ..N S SOURCES. AME«iCAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS J Period Weekly average: 1961- 1962 1963. 1964 19651966. 1967 1967; Apr_ May June _ __ July. Aug •„ Sept-. Oct Nov.. Dec 1968: Jan_ Feb MarApr. Mav p Week end 1968: Mav 18 25_ June 1 S » 15 * N D COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Bituminous Freight Paperboard Electric Cars and trucks Steel produced coal mined power produced assembled (thousands) loaded Index distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands Thousands of short (1957-59-= (millions of of net of tons) Total Trucks of cars) Cars kilowatt-hours) tons) 1 tons 100) 1,880 1, 886 2,096 2, 431 2,521 2,572 2,440 2,412 2,388 2,232 2,176 2,325 2,439 2,522 2, 634 2,704 2, 712 2, 849 2, 872 2, 902 2,867 100. 9 101. 2 112. 5 130.5 135.3 138. 1 131. 0 129.5 128. 2 119. 8 116. 8 124.8 130. 9 135. 4 141. 4 145. 2 145. 6 152. U 154. 1 155, 8 153.9 15, 139 16, 325 17, 490 18, 728 20, 169 21, 971 23, 169 21, 953 21, 841 ' 23, 938 23, 747 • 24, 400 22, 871 22, 662 23, 533 24, 405 25, 365 25, 338 24, 081 23, 344 • 23, 560 1,353 1,414 1, 535 1,630 1,735 1,798 1, 863 1,844 1, 904 1, 939 2,015 1,885 1,819 1,873 1, 923 1, 727 1, 738 1, 75') 1, 827 1, 910 1, S9S 550 552 555 558 562 570 539 557 559 555 492 558 551 586 552 406 487 514 535 54S 571 322 343 358 384 410 446 439 454 452 4.54 376 44S 413 463 458 421 421 4S6 480 4S0 4SS 127.8 157. 5 175. 0 178.8 213.7 199. 3 172.9 19K. 4 19S. S 207. 4 119. 0 86. 5 160. 4 171. 2 190. 1 219. S 207. 3 211.0 229. 5 215. 4 244.0 106. 1 133. 4 146.9 148. 8 179.4 165.4 142. 4 104. 4 164. 5 172. S 95. 4 o4. 4 135. 3 146. 7 158. 6 185. 0 172. 9 174.5 180. 2 177. 7 200.4 21.7 24.1 28.1 30, 0 34.3 33.9 30, 5 34.0 34 2 34. 6 23. 7 22. 1 25. 0 24. 6 31. 4 34. 7 ' 34 4 36.5 40. 2 37. 6 43. 6 2, 844 2, S60 2, S57 2,708 2 2, 776 152.7 153.5 153. 4 150.2 140.0 23, 23, 23, 25, 1,853 1, S53 1,881 2 1 , 927 5S1 5S9 528 585 477 493 485 482 25S. 5 254. 0 200. S 238,7 2 248. 5 212. 5 208. 0 163. 0 197,5 203.3 46. 0 46. 0 37. 8 41.2 45. 2 1 Dally averace. Includes data for Alaska. *Not chaned. 18 O 961 827 335 155 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper Institute, and Ward'? Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, total spending fornew construction (seasonally adjusted) decreased 0.7 percenf in April. While residential building continued to rise by 1 Vfe percent per months all other major categories fell. Construction contracts dipped substantially in April. - BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 90 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 90 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 80 30 TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION * 70 70 r / 60 1 60 PRIVATE . * 50 50 -*••%, 40 ,> / ^ -—•• 40 30 PUBLIC 20 20 \ 1 1 1 1 [ 1 1 | 1 I i , > r , 1 t i I , . t t 1 I 1 1 i I 1 1 1 i i i 1 1 1 ! 1 . . 1 i i t i 1 | i i i i PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM) 30 -„„„.„. ••« ......,,,....1 «•••* ^ 1962 30 — \ ALL OIHhR PKIVAIt ' i t i ? i 1 i i i i i_ , . . , i 1 . . . , . i i i t i 1 i i i i t 1964 1965 1966 20 1963 20 i i | i i 1 i i i i i 1967 Total new construction expenditures Period 1962 19G3 1964 1965 1966 1967 . . 59. 63. 66 71. 74.4 74.9 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1 l| 7 4 2 9 Total 41.8 44. 45. 49. 50. 49. 1 8 S 4 6 Private Residential nonfarm CommerNew cial and Total i housing industrial units Billions of dollars 8.0 24. 3 18.6 7.9 26. 2 20. 4 9.0 26. 3 20. 4 11. 9 20. 4 26. 3 13.6 23. 8 18. 0 23.6 17.9 13.1 Other 9.5 Federal, State, and local Construction contracts2 CommerTotal value cial and industrial (index, 1957-59 = floor space millions of 100) quarefeet) 17.9 19.4 20. 4 22. 1 23.0 25.4 1968: Feb Mar v Apr 1 73. 72. 73.9 72.4 73.4 74.4 76.9 77.5 7S. 78. SO. 81. 81. SO. 1 0 46.9 46.0 47.8 48. 1 49. 2 0.2 4 4 5 4 3 7 51.7 52.2 52. 6 52.4 54.5 oo* 1 54. 9 54.3 20.8 21. 1 22. 1 22. 9 23.7 24. 6 25.3 26.0 26.6 26.9 26.9 27. 0 27. 4 27.8 15.0 15.5 10. 5 17.3 IS. 0 IS. 9 19.6 20.3 21.0 21.2 21.0 21.0 21. 5 22.0 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and i ilteratlons, not shown separately. 'Compiled by F. W. Dodge Company and relates to 48 States. 13,3 12.5 13.1 12.6 12.9 12.4 13.3 13.2 12. 8 12.6 14.1 14.3 13.8 13.3 12.8 12.4 12.6 12.6 12.6 13.1 13.1 13.0 13.2 12.9 13.5 13.7 13.7 13.1 26. 2 25.9 26.1 24.3 ! 24.2 I 24 2 25.2 25.3 25. S 26.0 20.0 26.3 26. 5 1 26.4 119.7 132. 0 137.0 142.8 145.3 153.3 500 534 599 6S0 769 694 Seasonally adjusted 10.0 10. 6 11.7 13. 0 12.9 Seasonallif adjusted annual rates Mar Apr May.™ June _July Aug_ Sept Oct . _. Nov_ Dec Jan „ N 1968 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1967: n Seasonally adjusted annual rates 149 138 154 074 699 164 149 748 6S1 740 165 168 171 168 166 159 156 176 146 t)57 725 701 758 769 774 737 799 565 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Company. 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm housing starts increased more than 8 percent in April to a seasonally adjured annual rate of 1.6 million units. The over-the-year gain was 45 percent. However, permits for future starts dropped about 6 percent. MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 MILLIONS OF UNITS 25 PRIVATE NONFARM HOUSING STARTS 1.0 1962 1968 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA). AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA) Period 1962. 1963. 1964. 1965. 1966 1967, 1967: Apr__ May_ June. July_. Aug.. Sept., Oct.. Nov.. Dec, 1968: Jan. , Feb*_ Mar* Apr*. May* Total private and public (including farm) lf 492. 4 1, 642, 0 1.5G1.6 1, 509. 6 1, 196. 2 1, 321. 9 115.9 134.2 131.6 126. 1 130. 2 125, 8 137. 0 120. 2 S3. 1 82. 7 87.2 127.8 167.9 Total private (including farm) 1, 462. 7 1,610,3 1, 529. 3 1, 472. 9 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 113.7 132.0 125.4 125.3 127.4 121.9 135. 4 118.4 80.1 SO. 5 84.6 125.7 164.4 [Thousands of unite] Housing starts Private nonfarm Private nonfarm Total private Two or (includGovernment Onemore ing Total Total home programs family famifarm) lies FHA VA 967.8 471. 2 1, 439. 0 462.7 1, 439. 0 197.3 77.8 993,2 589.7 1,582.9 610.3 1,582.9 166.2 71.0 944.5 557.8 1,502.3 529.3 1,502.3 154.0 59.2 941.4 509.2 1, 450. 6 472.9 1, 450. 6 159.9 49.4 755.3 386.2 1, 141.5 165.0 1, 141.5 129. 1 36.8 820.7 447.7 1, 268. 4 291.6 1, 268. 4 141.9 52.5 Seasonally adjusted 112.0 78.1 33,9 1, 116 1,099 125 50 129.7 85.0 44. 7 1, 274 1,254 143 49 123.4 85.6 37.8 1,233 144 51 1,214 124 0 81. 1 42.9 1,369 140 53 1,356 123. 6 80.0 43.6 1,407 141 57 1,381 75.8 119. 5 43.7 1,445 150 56 1,415 79.4 133. 1 53.7 1,496 155 58 1,478 67.4 116.8 49.4 1,590 154 54 1,567 46.1 79.1 33.0 1,250 149 55 1, 235 44.5 79.8 35.3 1,456 157 52 1,430 53.5 82, 8 29.3 1, 537 1,499 164 63 76. 1 46.9 1,500 123.0 149 63 1,468 97.4 64.0 1,620 161. 4 147 59 1,590 133 57 ^Authorized by issuance of local building permit; in 10,000 permit-issuing places prior to 1963, and 12,000 or more thereafter. * Units represented by roortgapo applications for new home construction. 20 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Proposed home construction Applications for Requests for VA FHA commit- appraisals 2 ments 2 171.2 1, 186. 6 221. 1 190.2 1, 334. 7 139.3 182.1 1, 285. 8 113.6 1, 239. 8 188.9 102.1 971. 9 153.0 99. 2 1, 078, 7 167.2 124.3 annual rates 122 1, 028 159 109 1, 033 162 135 169 1, 109 146 155 1,093 122 1, 127 180 131 1, 159 176 151 185 1,212 136 189 1, 15S 125 1,323 162 122 1, 102 163 141 152 1,360 127 160 1,376 126 1,297 144 110 161 New private housing units authorized ! NOTE.—Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (F11A), and Veterans Administration {VA). BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES - TOTAL AND TRADE Preliminary estimates indicate that retail sales (seasonally adjusted) rebounded strongly in M a y , rising by 1 percent following the April decline. Total business inventories rose by $ 1 Ys billion in April with $ % billion of the rise occurring at retail. Total sales were down about 1 percent. - BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS [SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 20 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) BUSINESS SALES A N D INVENTORIES DURABLE GOODS STORES 140 INVENTORIES 16 120 INVENTORIES 14 12 100 SALES 10 80 60 SALES 8 6 1iii.iliii.iliiii-fii.il 22 - WHOLESALE TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) ^NONDURABLE GOODS STORES 20 IS 16 SALES • 14 12 1965 1966 1968 J967 1965 "• COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total business l Wholesale 4 Retail 5 Inventories 3 Sales * Period Sales 2 1968 1967 1966 Inventories 3 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Total NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1060 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1907: M a r . Apr__ MayJuneJuly. g SeptOct „ Nov. Dec— 196$: Jan Feb.. Mar . Apr » Mav 60, 746 61, 106 65, 594 68, 692 73, 459 79, 528 6 86,254 7 87, 969 87, 242 SO, 643 87, 2S6 88, 244 SS, 454 88, 768 88, 323 87, 196 89, 612 92, 057 92, 544 92, 595 94, 327 93, 603 l The term "business" also includes 5 Monthly average for year and total 3 94, 747 95; S13 100, 627 105, 578 111, 051 120, 896 6 135, 233 140, 742 136, S15 137, 0S0 137, 191 136, 805 137, 111 137, 850 137, 794 138, 268 139, 331 140, 742 141, 342 141, 624 141, 840 143, 167 11, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 16, 16, 16, 17, 17, 17, 17, 17, 17, 17, 17, 17, 18, IS, 656 988 674 3S2 527 595 979 099 853 972 769 117 145 198 330 195 419 041 694 953 021 094 manufacturing (see pa?e 22). for montn. Boofc value, end of Derlod. seasonally adjusted. * Beginning 1061, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 14, 120 14, 488 14, 936 16, 048 16, 977 18, 274 20, 691 21, 635 20, 859 20, 7S5 20, 5S7 20, 599 20,511 20, 789 20, 810 20, 945 21, 061 21, 635 21, 641 21, 623 21, 018 21, 699 IS, 294 IS, 234 19, 613 20, 530 21,802 23, 654 25, 306 26, 125 25, 739 25, 9 IS 25, 897 26, 544 26, 444 26, 422 26, 732 26, 089 26,411 26, 470 27, 065 27, 399 28, 120 27, 565 27, 876 5, SSO 5,581 6,210 6,627 7,014 7,810 8, 151 8,306 8, 150 S, 104 8, 187 S, 546 8,592 8, 508 8,743 8,235 8, 221 S, 327 S, 523 S, 765 9, 053 8,822 8, 966 12, 414 26, 813 12, 654 26, 238 13, 402 27, 938 13, 909 29, 383 14, 788 31, 130 15, 844 34, 607 17, 155 36, 961 17, 820 36, 682 17, 5S9 36, 526 17, 814 36, 236 17,710 36, 263 17, 998 36, 087 17, 852 35, 997 17, 914 36, 028 17, 9S9 i 36, 143 17, 854 ' 36,217 IS, 190 36, 474 18, 143 36, 6S2 18, 542 37, 130 18, 634 37, 0S2 19, 067 37, 003 IS, 743 37, 512 18,910 '6 Beginning 19G0, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Series revised beginning 1966. 7 Series revised beginning 1967. Source: Department of Commerce. 11,923 10, 965 11,056 12, 386 13, 136 15, 194 16, 536 15, 977 16, 142 16, 033 15, 904 15, 661 15, 549 15, 503 15,711 15,681 15, 728 15, 977 16, 23S 16, 26S 16, 253 16, 681 14, 890 15, 273 16, 282 16, 997 17, 994 19, 413 20, 425 20, 705 20, 384 20, 203 20, 359 20, 426 20,448 20, 525 20, 432 20, 536 20, 746 20, 705 20,892 20, S14 20, 750 20, S2S 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Following an upward revised increase of 5% percent in March, manufacturers1 new orders for durable goods fell by 3y2 percent (seasonally adjusted) in April, New orders for nondurables increased 1V2 percent. The manufacturing inventory-shipments ratio edged up from 1.73 to 1.75 in April as inventories rose by $740 million while shipments dipped by $240 million. _ ^ » _ _ ^ ^ « _ _ BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ISEASONAUY ADJUSTED) 90 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS 80 TOTAL, \ 70 60 DURABLE GOODS 50 40 MANUFACTURERS' NEW ORDERS 30 NONDURABLE GOODS 30 20 20 1965 1965 1968 1966 1967 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ] Manufacturers inventories NonDurable durable goods goods NonDurable durable goods goods Manufacturers' shipments Period Total 1960_ 1961 1962 1964 1965 _ 1966 1967 1967: Feb Mar Apr May, June JulyAug Sp Oct Nov Dec_. 196S: Jan Apr p 30, 796 30, 884 33, 308 34, 774 37,129 40, 279 4 43, 969 5 44, 745 43, 766 44, 650 43, 75.3 44, 620 44, 583 44, 865 45, 148 44, 261 43,912 45, 782 47, 946 47, 785 47, 243 48, 186 47, 944 15, 817 15, 532 17, 184 18, 071 19,231 21, 020 23, 006 23, 123 22, 622 23, 137 22, 269 22, 900 23, 052 23, 192 23, 633 22, 949 22,311 23, 487 25, 290 25, 227 24, 646 25, 260 24, 716 14, 979 15, 352 16, 124 16, 704 17, 898 19, 258 4 20, 963 5 21, 622 21, 144 21, 513 21, 484 21, 720 21, 531 21, 673 21, 515 21, 312 21, 601 22, 295 22, 656 22, 558 22, 597 22, 926 23, 22S 1 Total shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. 2 Manufacturers' new orders 1 Durable goods Total Total Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 53, 814 32, 360 21, 454 30, 115 15, 223 55, 087 32, 646 22, 441 31, 061 15, 664 57, 753 34, 326 23, 427 33, 167 17, 085 60, 147 36, 028 24, 119 35, 036 18, 300 62,944 38, 412 24, 532 37,697 19, 803 68, 015 42, 324 4 25,691 4 41,023 21, 728 1 77, 581 50, 037 27, 544 45, 106 24, 153 82, 425 53, 930 28, 495 ' 44, 999 23, 378 79, 105 51, 079 28, 026 43, 385 22, 329 79, 430 51, 216 28, 214 43, 503 22, 065 80, 059 51, 593 28, 466 43, 676 22, 226 80, 341 51, 784 28, 557 45, 474 23, 857 80, 119 51, 809 28, 310 45, 757 24, 263 80, 603 52, 346 28, 257 45, 481 23, 715 81, 033 52, 784 28, 249 45, 322 23, 726 80, 841 52, 572 28, 269 44, 818 23, 416 81, 106 52, 918 28, 188 44, 975 23, 381 81, 796 53, 506 28, 290 45, 882 23, 545 82, 425 53, 930 28, 495 49, 264 26, 492 82, 571 53, 742 28, 829 47, 280 24, 771 82, 919 54, 136 28, 783 47, 432 24, 829 83, 219 54, 274 28, 945 49, 163 26, 278 83, 956 54, 737 29, 219 48, 528 25, 320 1 M o n t h l y average for year and total for m o n t h , 2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. o alue, end of period, seasonally adjusted. *For annual periods ratio f i h t d *For annual periods, rati of wr-ijrhted average i inventories to average monthly 22 1968 4 NonMachinery durable and goods equipment 2,791 2,854 3,090 3,326 3,706 4, 140 4,731 4,641 4,242 4,315 4,443 4,607 4,794 4,853 5,058 4,665 4,614 4,791 4,827 4,866 4, 494 4,622 4,746 14, 892 15, 397 16, 082 16, 736 17, 895 10, 295 4 20, 953 5 21, 621 21, 056 21, 438 21, 450 21,617 21, 494 21, 766 21, 596 21, 402 21, 594 22, 337 22, 772 22, 509 22, 603 22, 885 23, 208 Series revised beginning 1966. * Series revised beginning 1967. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1958, Source: Department of Commerce. Manufacturers' inventoryshipments ratio 3 1.76 1.74 1.70 1.69 1.64 1.61 1.64 1.79 1.81 1.78 1.83 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.79 1.83 1.85 1.79 1.72 1.73 1.76 1.73 1.75 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS The U.S. merchandise trade balance rebounded sharply in April by registering a surplus of $248 million (seasonally adjusted) or $406 million over March's $1 58 million deficit. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.5 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 35 3.0 1968 E MOTE 1 BELOW. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports Merchandise imports J Total ( includDomestic5 exports General imports 3 5 ing reexports) * Total Food, Crude Food, Crude Manubever- matefacSeason- Unad- Total l s bever- mateSeason- Unad- ages, rials ages, rials tured ally ad- justed and and to- and goods ally ad- justed and to- fuels justed justed bacco bacco fuel Monthly average: 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1 1967: Mar. Apr__ May. June. JulyAugSept. Oct.. Nov_ Dec1968: Jan.. Feb__ MarApr— COUNCIL O f ECONOMIC ADVBEXS 1 368 1, 636 1, 682 1,748 1 869 2, 141 2, 225 2, 448 2,578 2,551 2,654 2,547 2,576 2,584 2,548 2,643 2,392 2,692 2,604 2,785 2,773 2,455 2,888 2,797 2,666 2,683 2,618 2,376 2,395 2,505 2,440 2,761 2,813 2,674 2,667 2,639 2,944 239 1, 353 1, 620 264 1, 662 289 312 1,725 1, 845 349 2, 111 387 2, 196 377 432 2, 412 393 2,546 Unadjusted 406 2,762 387 2,630 387 2,650 382 2,586 363 2,347 366 2,358 404 2,473 390 2,411 481 2,730 425 2,782 398 2,645 407 2,636 391 2,601 3S1 2, 90S 252 329 32? 280 315 361 356 367 394 1,047 1,062 1,138 1. 188 1, 366 1, 449 1,592 1,729 398 377 421 410 377 383 364 408 452 373 377 387 412 426 1,902 1,829 1, 822 1,779 1,581 1,559 1,688 1,595 1,767 1,935 1,828 1,833 1,767 2,074 1,302 1,251 1,226 1,366 1,428 1,557 1,780 2,129 2,235 298 283 288 306 322 335 334 382 392 382 365 359 387 391 415 449 473 445 591 571 544 636 672 758 936 1, 201 1,310 66 385 456 382 441 584 444 320 344 Unadjusted Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 1 Total arrivals of imported goods other than in transit shipments. 897 Grossmerchandise trade Manusurplus, factured seasongoods ally adjusted 2,203 2,226 2,140 2,227 2,208 2,125 2,208 2,202 2,376 2,625 2,615 2,602 2,612 2,640 2,355 2,091 2,222 2,270 2,127 2, 166 2, 112 2,342 2,435 2,431 2,735 2,448 2,558 2,755 433 385 352 389 366 372 362 417 409 439 441 421 395 455 477 428 454 458 396 444 413 445 437 478 506 444 487 466 1,365 1,182 1,330 1,334 1,273 1,263 1,245 1,367 1,482 1,431 1,692 1,49(5 1,598 1,728 $48 428 407 $40 376 428 434 191 $16 79 169 171 -158 248 * Total Includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. NOTE.—Because of revisions subgroups do not include all data in totals. Data include uranium ore and thorium. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES The surplus in the balance on goods and services declined sharply to a level of $1.5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. BILLIONS O F DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 50 50 EXPORTS OF G O O D S A N D SERVICES 40 40 30 30 IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 20 20 j 10 J I 1963 1962 1 1964 J 1966 1965 J I I 10 1967 SOURCE, W A M M B f l C * COMMERCE 1968 COUNOL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Exports of goods and services Imports of goods and services Income on investments Period Total 19G3.._ 19G4._ 19C5 19G6 1967 *_ 32, 432 37, 098 39, 196 43, 142 45, 756 Merchandise i Military sales 22, 071 657 25, 297 747 26, 244 830 29, 176 829 30, 468 1,240 Private Government 4, 151 4,930 5,384 5,659 6,235 498 456 509 593 624 Other services Total Merchandise * 5,055 5,668 6, 229 6,885 7,189 26, 620 28, 688 32, 295 38, 063 40, 989 17, 014 18, 648 21, 516 25, 541 26, 991 Balance on MiliOther goods tary and expend- serv- services itures ices 2,961 2,876 2,945 3,735 4,340 6,645 7,164 7,834 8,787 9,658 8,996 4,536 9,100 4,520 5,812 8,409 6,901 5,080 4,768 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 19G6; III IV 43, 648 44, 236 29, 476 29, 760 820 820 5,768 5,996 588 596 6,996 7,064 39, 112 39, 716 26, 268 26, 700 3,848 3, 916 19G7: I . II... Ill IV 45, 484 45, 508 46, 052 45, 984 30, 644 1,340 30, 812 1,344 30, 504 980 29, 912 1,292 5,772 5,564 6,684 6,916 604 660 624 612 7, 124 7,128 7,260 7,252 40, 312 40, 432 40, 616 42, 592 26, 744 26, 420 26, 164 28, 636 4, 28S 9, 280 4,260 9,752 4,392 10, 060 4,416 9,540 47, 468 31, 696 1,224 6,252 792 7,504 45, 972 31,360 4,432 10, 180 1,496 1968: I > ._. > Adjusted from customs data for differences in timing and coverage. 24 Source: Department of Commerce. 5,172 5,076 5, 436 3,392 U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS The U.S. deficit on the liquidity basis was reduced markedly to a $2.4 billion level (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. O n the official reserve transactions basis, the first quarter deficit was at a $2.0 billion level, less than half the deficit recorded in the fourth quarter of 1 9 6 7 . BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 10 BALANCE O N GOODS AND SERVICES \ • \/ \ \/ \ / / s \ \ \ \V \ BAIANCC OFFICIAL RESERVE A TRANSAaiONS BASIS / \ \ \ y \ AN y7 Jl BALANCE ^ - * ^ LIQUIDITY BASIS A \ \ / V i -10 t 1962 1 1963 i i 1 1 1964 V T I J965 t 1 1 T 1966 r V i 1967 1 t I 1 1968 1 -10 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Millions of dollars] U.S. private capital, net Period 1963___ 19G4.._ 1965.... 1966.__ 1967... U.S. Government grants and capital, net 1 -3, -3, -3, -3, —4, 578 564 370 444 211 Direct investment Other longterm Shortterm Balance Errors Foreign and uncapital, recorded Liquidity net 1 transbasis 2 actions -784 - 1 , 9 7 6 - 1 , 698 690 - 2 , 3 2 8 - 2 , 103 - 2 , 147 689 - 753 -3,468 -1,079 271 -418 -256 - 3 , 623 2,532 - 3 , 020 - 1 , 2 7 0 - 1 , 2 1 4 3,185 Seasonally adjusted annual -244 -860 -315 -210 -532 rates Official reserve transactions basis 3 - 2 , 6 7 0 - 2 , 011 - 2 , 800 - 1 , 5 6 4 -1,335 -1,289 266 -1,357 - 3 , 571 - 3 , 405 Changes in gold, convertible currenTo foreign official cies, and fi To other IMF gold holders foreign tranche holdersfi position NonLiquid (increase liquid -39 1,673 620 577 318 1,075 1,554 171 85 -18 131 1,222 761 -1,595 2,384 568 1,291 2,062 1,457 52 Changes in selected liabilities (decrease [—])4 Quarterly totals, unadjusted 1966: 1,211 90 -598 -524 1,500 924 - 1 , 2 0 4 2,768 82 -28 III___ - 2 , 992 - 3 , 488 — 199 390 671 396 3,184 244 -6 IV.. _ - 2 , 9 8 8 -4,216 -680 -408 -1,332 1967: 332 -709 -SO -502 3,460 - 1 , 0 0 0 - 2 , 020 - 7 , 056 -696 1,027 I . - - - 4 , 7 0 4 - 2 , 612 580 544 95 4,808 - 1 , 8 3 2 - 2 , 088 - 3 , 224 -724 -1,088 -419 II _ - 4 , 156 - 2 , 6 0 4 281 119 1,306 3,064 828 - 3 , 208 988 —375 I I I . . . - 3 , 9 5 2 - 3 , 6 0 8 - 2 , 0 2 4 — 1,520 1,317 1,412 260 765 -136 -6,968 -4,328 -181 I V . . . - 4 , 032 - 3 , 260 - 1 , 6 3 2 - 1 , 6 5 6 1968: 7 364 -1,358 -592 -2,424 -2,040 -332 678 5,244 — 640 904 - 4 , 652 - 1 , 8 7 2 I 9 6 1 Private holders; includes banks and International and regional organizations; Includes certain special Government transactions. excludes IMF* 'Equals changes in liquid liabilities to foreign oflicial holders, other foreign T On March 31, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $10,703 million holders, and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible (down $1,362 million from December 31); I M F position including pold portion of currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position In the IMF. 1 Increased U.S. subscription, $477 million; convertible currencies, $2,746 million. Equals changes in liquid and nonllquid liabilities to foreign official holders and changes In official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible currencies, NOTE.—Data exclude military grant-aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. and the U.S. gold tranche position in the I M F . Source: Department of Commerce. ' Includes short-term official and banking liabilities and foreign holdings of U.S. Government bonds and notes; T_ „„ * Central banks povernments. and U.S. liabilities to the I M F arising from reversible gold sales to, and gold deposits with, the U.B. 25 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index rose rapidly again in April with a rise of 0.3 percent, making this the seventh consecutive month with an increase of 0.3 percent or more. Commodities, both food and nonfood, and services also increased by 0.3 percent each. _ ^ ^ Index, 1957-59= Index, 1957-59=100 110 105 105 100 100 1962 1966 SOWC& DEPARTMENT OP LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVttttS [1957-59=100] Period 19581959 1900 1961 1962 » 1963 - 1964 'I960 1967 '1967: Mar., Apr.. May. JuneJuly., A Sept, Oct_. Nov,. Dec__ 1968: Jan.. Feb.. Mar.. Apr__ Source: Department of Labor. 26 All items 100.7 101.5 103.1 104. 2 105,4 106.7 108.1 109.9 113. 1 116.3 115.0 115.3 115.6 116. 0 116.5 116.9 117. 1 117.5 117. 8 118.2 118.6 119.0 119. 5 110.0 All commodities 100.8 100.9 101.7 102.3 103.2 104. 1 105.2 106.4 109.2 111. 2 110.0 110.2 110.5 111. 0 111. 5 111. 9 112.0 112.4 112.6 112. 9 113.2 113.5 113. 9 114.3 Commodities Services Commodities less food Services All Food Rent less NonAll Durable durable services rent 99.9 101.9 100.2 100.3 100.0 100. 1 99.8 101.2 100.3 103, 6 103.2 101.6 101.0 101. 5 101,7 101.4 107.4 106.6 103.1 102.0 100.9 102.0 102.6 110. 0 108.8 104 4 103. 2 100.8 103.6 102. 8 112. 1 110.9 105.7 103.8 101.8 105. 1 114. 5 113.0 103. 5 106.8 104.8 102,1 106.4 115.2 117.0 104 4 107.8 105.7 103. 0 108.8 117.8 120.0 105.1 108.9 107.2 102.6 114.2 125.0 122.3 106.5 110.4 109. 7 102. 7 115. 2 131. 1 127.7 112. 4 109. 2 104.3 113. 1 114.2 126.3 129.5 111.8 107.8 102.9 111.8 113.7 126.6 130.0 111.9 108.4 103.4 112.4 113.9 130.4 127.0 112.1 108.7 112.7 103. 9 112. 2 108. 9 112.7 127. 4 115. 1 104. 1 130. S 112.4 109.1 112.8 127.7 104.4 116.0 131. 2 112. 6 109.4 113.2 128.2 104.7 116. 6 131. 7 112.8 110. 0 104.8 114. 1 115.9 128. 7 132. 3 113.0 114.5 115.7 110.6 105.7 129.1 132.7 113.2 106. 0 115.2 115.6 111. 1 129.6 133.2 113.5 115.2 106. 1 116.2 111. 1 130. 1 133.8 113.7 106.3 115.1 117.0 111.2 130.8 134.6 113.9 117.4 106.4 131.3 111. 5 115. 6 135. 2 114. 2 106. 6 117.9 132. 1 111.9 116. 1 136. 1 106. 9 132. fl 114. 4 112. 2 116.4 136. 6 us. 3 WHOLESALE PRICES According to preliminary estimates, the wholesale price index increased for the seventh straight month in M a y with a rise of 0.1 percent. Increases of 1.1 percent in farm prices and 0.6 percent in processed foods and feeds were almost offset by a drop of 0.2 percent in industrial prices. The over-all index was 2.5 percent above a year earlier. Index, 1957-59 120 Index, 1957-59=100 120 90 90 85 85 1962 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1957-59=100) Industrial commodities All commodities Period 1958—_ 1959_ 1960 1961.. 1962 1963_._ 1964., 1965 1966 1967 1967: Apr May June July Aug j ^ _. ._ . . ..__ _ — Sept. _ -- . Oct. .„ . Nov Dec 1968: Jan Feb Mar Apr_, __ __ May » _. .„ _- _^ _ _ - 100. 4 100. 6 100.7 100. 3 100. 6 100.3 100.5 102.5 105.9 106. 1 105.3 105.8 106. 3 106. 5 106. 1 106. 2 106.1 106. 2 106. 8 107.2 108.0 108. 2 108.3 108.4 Farm products 103. 6 97. 2 96.9 96. 0 97. 7 95. 7 94. 3 98.4 105. 6 99.7 97.6 100.7 102. 4 102.8 99.2 98.4 97.1 96.4 98.9 99.0 101.3 102.1 102. 1 103.2 essed foods and feeds 102. 5 99. 9 100. 0 10L 6 102.7 ioa 3 103. 1 106.7 nao 111. 7 110.0 110.7 112. 6 113.1 112. 1 112.7 111.7 110.9 111. 5 112.4 113.3 112.9 112.8 113.5 *Coverace of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this index. 3 Excludes Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, groin products for further processing. Ail industrials 1 99. 5 10L3 101.3 100. 8 100. 8 100.7 101. 2 102. 5 104. 7 106. 3 106.0 106.0 106. 0 106.0 106.3 106.5 106.8 107. 1 107. 4 107.8 108.3 108.6 108.8 108.6 Crude materials 96L9 102. 3 9&3 97. 2 95. 6 94.3 97. 1 100.9 104.5 100.0 99.3 99.4 99. 4 99.0 99.0 99.5 99.4 100.6 101.3 101.4 102.4 103.1 101.7 Inter- Producmediate er finmateished rials* goods 99. 4 101. 0 101.4 100.1 99.9 99.6 100.2 101.5 103.6 104.8 104.7 104.6 104.5 104. 5 104, 6 104. 9 105.0 105.3 105.7 106.1 106.8 107.2 107.4 100.2 102. 1 102.3 102.5 102.9 103. 1 104. 1 105.4 108.0 111.5 110.8 111.1 111.2 111. 2 111. 4 111. 6 112.6 113. 0 113.4 114.0 114.2 114.4 114. 7 Consumer finished goods excluding food NonDurdurable able 100.1 99.3 10L3 100.8 100.9 10L5 100L5 10L5 100.0 101.6 99.5 10L9 99.9 101.6 99.6 102.8 100.2 104.8 101.7 107.2 101.3 106.4 101.3 106.9 101. 0 107.2 101. 1 107.4 101.2 ioao 101.4 108.0 102.8 107.8 103. 0 107.9 103.0 108.0 103.5 108.0 103.5 108.4 103. 6 ioa 6 103.5 109.0 NOTE.—Beginning January 1967, the indexes incorporate a revised weighting structure reflecting 1963 values of shipments. The classification structure also changed. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS During the month ended M a y 1 5, prices received by farmers increased 1 percent while prices paid were unchanged. The parity ratio remained at 73. ^ ^ _ «——^^^^^^^^m^—m^—^— Index, 1957-59=100 index, 1957-59=100 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, A N D WAGE RATES \ 100 * PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) 90 90 RATIO J / 100 00 90 RATIO PARITY so r 70 ^ 80 * - N ^ i i I i . . . i 1962 i . . t . 1 . t i i t 1963 70 1964 1965 1966 1967 1963 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910 : l4-t00 BASE, SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Prices received by farmers Period 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 _._ 1964 1965 1966 1967 1967: Apr 15__ May 15. June 15. July 15. Aug 15__ Sept 15. Oct 15.. Nov 15, Dec 15_. 1968: Jan 15_. Feb 15._ Mar 15. Apr 15.. May 15. All farm products 104 100 99 99 101 100 98 103 HO 104 102 104 105 106 105 105 104 104 105 105 106 107 107 108 Crops 100 99 99 102 104 107 107 104 106 100 100 99 102 99 99 98 101 102 103 103 102 103 104 105 28 Prices paid by farmers Livestock and products All items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Index, 1957-59=100 106 100 102 100 102 98 103 98 105 99 107 95 107 91 110 101 114 113 116 107 103 116 108 116 108 117 110 117 110 117 110 117 107 117 105 117 105 117 107 118 109 119 109 120 109 121 109 121 »Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid Interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base, COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Family living items 100 101 102 102 103 104 105 107 110 113 111 112 112 113 113 113 113 114 114 115 115 116 117 117 Parity ratio > Production items 100 102 101 101 103 104 103 105 108 109 109 109 110 no 109 109 109 109 109 110 111 111 111 112 Actual 85 81 80 80 80 78 76 77 80 74 72 74 75 74 75 74 73 73 74 73 74 74 73 73 Adjusteda 88 82 81 83 83 81 80 82 86 79 78 79 SO 80 80 79 78 78 79 79 80 79 79 79 JTho adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made directly to farmers. Source: Department of Agriculture. MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY SUPPLY The seasonally adjusted money supply increased $1.6 billion in M a y , while time deposits increased only $ 0 . 2 billion. The $0.5 billion increase in time deposits during A p r i l - M a y combined was the smallest two-month increase since October-November 1966. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC A SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] Money supply Money supply CurCurTime DeDerency rency de- l mand mand outoutTotal Total posits dedeside side posits posits banks banks Period 1962: 1963: 1964: 1965: 1966: 1967: 1967: Dec . Dec Dec _ . „_ Dec Dec. ._ . . Dec ... Mar Apr May June _~ July Aug.. _ Sept_ _ „ _ .. Oct . Nov..- . . Dec. 1968: Jan Feb Mar _. Apr . _ Mav * — - 147.4 153.0 159.3 166.8 170.4 181. 5 173.1 172.7 174.5 176.2 177.9 179. 1 179.2 180.3 181.2 181.5 182.5 182.5 183,4 184 7 186. 3 Seasonally 30.6 32.5 34.2 36.3 38.3 40. 4 38.9 39.1 39.2 39.3 39.5 39.6 39.8 39.9 40.0 40. 4 40.5 40.7 41. 1 41.4 41.6 adjusted 116.8 120.5 125.1 130.5 132. 1 141. 1 134.2 133.6 135.3 136.8 138.4 139.6 139.5 140.3 141.2 141. 1 141.9 141.8 142.3 143.3 144.7 * Deposits at all commercial banks. NOTE.—Effective June 9,196G, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans (about $1.1 billion) arc excluded from time deposits and from loans at all commercial banks. 97.8 151.6 112.2 157.3 126.6 164.0 146.9 172. 0 158.6 [ 175.8 187.2 183. 8 166. 1 171.9 173.6 168.1 171.1 170.0 174.3 172.4 175.8 174.6 175.9 177.2 178.4 178.9 180.6 180.8 182.5 182.5 187.2 1S3. 8 183.7 187.8 181.5 185.0 182. 1 186. 6 185. S 1S6. 9 1S2. 7 187. 1 31.2 33. 1 35.0 37.1 39.1 41.2 38.5 38.7 38.9 39.3 39.6 39.6 39.8 40.0 40.4 41.2 40. 5 40.3 40.7 41. 0 41.3 Time deposits l Unadjustec 1 120.3 124.1 129. 1 134.9 136.7 146.0 133.4 134.9 132.2 135. 1 136. 2 136.2 138.6 140.6 142.1 146.0 147.3 141.3 141.4 144. 8 141.3 96.7 111.0 125.2 145.2 156.9 181.8 166.7 168.8 170.8 173.0 175.1 177.7 178.9 180.3 181.1 181.8 183. 5 185.5 187.4 187.6 187. 1 U.S. Government demand deposits 1 5.6 5.1 5.5 4.6 3.4 5.0 4.9 4.8 6.5 13.9 5.6 4.3 5.0 6.2 5.2 5.0 4. 9 7.2 6.7 4.2 6.4 Data Include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC Public holdings of demand deposits and currency (seasonally adjusted) increased $3 billion in M a y , following a decline in April. Time deposits and savings and loan shares outstanding increased very little, however, and holdings of short-term Government securities declined for the second consecutive month. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 300 200 100 100 1962 . 1968 , 1963, I/ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS S O U R C E I BOADD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjustedl Time deposits End of period Total selected liquid assets . Demand deposits and currency l Commercial banks Mutual savings banks Postal Savings System Savings and loan shares U.S. Government savings bonds * U.S. Government securities maturing within one year 8 47.4 38.3 0.6 70,5 42. 6 82.5 142.6 424 6 47.6 41.4 .5 79.8 46.8 9& 1 144 8 459.0 49.0 44. 5 .5 90.9 48. 1 112.9 149.6 495.4 49.0 .4 101.4 49.9 46.1 127.1 156.7 530.5 52,6 .3 109.8 48,6 50.5 147. 1 573.0 164.0 55.2 .1 113.4 53.9 159.3 50.9 168.6 G01. 5 60. 1 50. 5 180. 7 183. 1 650. 2 51. 9 12a 9 613.2 168. 6 56. 8 168.6 117. 1 50.9 .1 51.1 619.7 172.9 170.7 57.4 118.0 49.5 .1 51.1 620.6 57.8 173.7 172. 4 46. 5 118.9 . 1 51.2 623. 0 174.7 58. 4 171.9 119.9 46,7 . 1 51.3 630. 2 177. 2 58,7 174. 1 . 1 121.0 47.8 51.3 635. 4 . 1 176. 2 178. 1 122.5 4a 2 51.4 sa 9 638. 1 175.7 180.1 48.3 123.0 51.4 59.5 645. 8 183. 8 177.8 123. 7 49. 1 51. 5 59.9 123 9 50 5 183. 1 60. 1 650. 2 180. 7 51 9 3 3 179.5 655.8 60. 6 53. 6 186.5 123. 7 51. 9 187.6 61. 1 658.6 178. 2 55. 4 124.6 51.8 56. 9 61. 4 181.5 187.8 665. 2 125. 9 51. 8 126. 0 51. 8 56. 5 187. 3 61. 7 663.9 180.7 62.0 55.6 183.7 187.2 666.8 126.4 51.8 1 Agrees in concept with money supply, p. 29. except for deduction 0/ domand February I960, savings and loan association. 8 deposits held by mutual savings banks and sayings and loan associations. Data Beflects conversion of a savings and loan association with share capital of for last Wednesday ol month, about $175 million to a mutual savings bank. Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic comNOTE.—See Note, p. 29. mercial and mutual savings banks, Federal Reserve Banks, and beginning Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 1961. 1962_ 1963. 1964.. 1965.. 1966. 1967 _ 1967: Apr May... June—. July... Aug— Sept.,. Oct.__. Nov... Dec... 1968: Jan *__ Feb » „ Mar K. Apr *__ Mav *_ 30 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Commercial bank loans, seasonally adjusted, showed little change in M a y while security holdings increased by $1.6 billion. Free reserves increased $80 million to a net borrowed position of about $330 million. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 100 100 50 50 INVESTMENTS I N OTHER SECURITIES I ..... . . i , ,I 1962 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. BOAXD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL KESEKVI SYSTEM Bank Weekly debits reporting large com- outside mercial New York City (232 Investments banks Loans, centers), excluding inter- U.S. Gov- Other Commercial seasonally bank ernment securi- and indus- adjusted securities ties trial loans annual rates 1 Billions of dollars 32.9 1,882 65.2 23. 9 120.5 35.2 2,021 134.1 64.5 29. 2 38.8 2,199 61.5 35. 0 149.7 1 42.1 2, 706 167.7 60.7 3a 7 '53.1 St013 57.3 44.8 192.4 60.7 207.8 53.7 48.7 s%m 65.8 224.9 59.6 61.4 8,897 62.3 56. 1 53.6 213.5 8,690 61.8 56. 1 55.0 213. 5 3,614 63.8 213.9 55.4 56.3 8,788 63.7 58.8 56.5 217.1 8,882 62.2 61.8 57.3 218.2 3,882 63.4 61. 6 57.7 220.2 3,847 63.1 62.3 58.6 221.8 3,891 63.7 61.8 60.3 222.3 3,897 65. 8 224. 9 59. 6 61.4 8,897 65.0 59. 1 62.4 227.5 4,046 65.1 61.8 62.6 228.7 4,047 66.5 59.9 63.5 228.5 4,021 67.6 231. 9 59. 2 63.4 4,215 67.1 60.7 63.5 232. 0 4,243 certain certificates of CCC deposit accounts except interbank and All commercial banks (seasonally adjusted data) End of period 1961. 1962. 1963. 1964. 19651966. 1967 1967: Apr May__ June July.. Aug_. Sept . Oct Nov. Dec „ 1968: Jan ». Feb *_ Mar * Apr *_ May » Total loans and investments 209.6 227.9 246.2 267.2 294.4 310.2 345.9 323.2 324. 6 325. 6 332. 4 337.3 339. 5 342.6 344.4 345.9 349.0 353.0 351.8 354 6 356.3 d e b i t s during period to demand U.S. Government. New series beginning January 1964. 3 Averages of daily figures. Annual data are lor December. »New series; see Federal Reserve Bulletin, March 1967. NOTE.—Effective June 1066, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from loans at all commercial banks, and All member banks Total reserves Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions of dollars 20,118 568 149 20f 040 572 304 20, 746 536 327 21,609 411 243 22, 719 452 454 23, 830 392 557 25, 260 345 238 23, 362 309 134 23, 284 370 101 23, 518 420 123 23, 907 359 87 23, 791 387 89 24, 200 358 90 24, 60S 286 126 24, 740 403 133 25, 260 345 238 25, 834 381 237 25, 610 399 361 25, 580 356 671 25, 546 270 683 25, 502 415 746 419 268 209 168 -2 -165 107 175 269 297 272 298 268 160 270 107 144 38 -315 -413 -331 and Export-Import Bank totaling about $1 billion are included in other securities rather than in loans. Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Total consumer credit outstanding increased more than seasonally in April, and the increase in seasonally adjusted instalment credit outstanding exceeded $500 million for the third consecutive month. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF MONTH 100 100 OUTSTANDING TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT ^ ' - S >l 80 +*** 60 -* -„* - ~ __,—A .- oO — \ - INSTALMENT CREDIT 40 Ad 20 _ \ -^ 'S- 20 HONINSTALMEb T CREDIT t } 1 I 1 t 1 1 I t I t t f 1 ( t l t I r t i i t 1 | | t t 1 T 1 t i t r i i 1 i I I t \ i i 1 i » t . i i i i i 1 1 r \ \ I t t t \ t t 1 i 3 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED A N N U M RATES INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED -V 6 I\ INSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID I i \ ' i I t t 1962 | ' ' t I ' f t T > f 1963 ' ' ' ' ' I ' ' ' ' ' 1964 " I ' M l l i p 1965 SOURCEi BOA*D OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDEKAl RESERVE SYSTEM Instalment Total 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 _. 1964 1965 1966. 1967 1967: Apr.. May. June. Julv. Sept. Oct.. Nov. Dec, 1968: Feb.. MnrApr.. Total i 45, 129 51, 542 56, 028 57, 678 63, 164 70, 461 78, 442 87, 884 94, 786 99, 228 93, 089 93, 917 94, 813 95, 115 95, 684 95, 886 96, 094 96, 802 99, 228 98, 225 97, 672 97, 875 99, 142 33, 642 39, 245 42, 832 43, 527 48, 034 54,158 60, 548 68, 565 74, 656 77, 946 73, 840 74, 290 75, 051 75, 348 75, 889 76, 039 76, 223 76, 680 77, 946 77, 467 77, 327 77, 581 78, 345 t t t r r I t J967 I.I t ' ' ' ' ' f ' ' '• 1968 Consumer instalment credit extended and repaid (seasonally adjusted) Total Automobile paper Mortgage debt outstanding nonfarm, 1- to 4family houses 3 117, 700 130, 900 141, 300 153, 100 166, 500 182, 200 197, 700 213, 200 223, 700 236, 100 NonAutomobile Personal instal- Extended Repaid Extended Repaid ment * paper loans 14, 152 8, 116 11, 487 .40, 119 40, 344 14, 226 15, 415 16, 420 9,386 12, 297 48, 052 42, 603 17, 779 15, 579 17, 688 10, 480 13, 196 49, 560 45, 972 17, 654 16, 384 17, 223 11, 256 14, 151 48, 396 47, 700 16, 007 16, 472 19, 540 12, 643 15, 130 55, 126 50, 620 19, 796 17, 478 22, 433 14, 464 16, 303 61,295 55, 171 22, 292 19, 400 25, 195 16, 228 17, 894 67, 505 61, 121 24, 435 21, 676 28, 843 18,354 19,319 75, 508 67, 495 27, 914 24, 267 30, 961 20, 110 20, 130 78, 896 72, 805 28, 491 26, 373 31, 197 21, 690 21, 282 81, 263 77, 973 27, 221 26, 985 30, 635 20, 193 19, 249 6,606 6, 393 2,217 2,235 30, 852 20, 326 19, 627 6,554 6,361 2,238 2,219 31, 20S 20, 567 19, 762 6,823 6, 531 2,338 2,281 228, 200 20, 666 31, 364 19, 767 6,776 6,551 2,266 2,228 31, 455 20, 936 19, 795 6,929 6,585 2,285 2,240 31, 296 21, 087 19, 847 6,973 6,689 2,322 2,280 232, 200 31, 237 21, 198 19, 871 6,942 6,631 2,321 2,301 31,217 21, 375 20, 122 7,032 6,614 2,305 2,240 31, 197 21, 690 21, 282 7, 035 6,652 2,306 2,250 "236," 100 31, 061 21, 631 20, 758 7,089 6,691 2,437 2,302 31, 137 21, 752 20, 345 7,245 2,519 2,308 6,679 31, 380 21, 873 20, 294 7,380 2,567 2,330 6,814 31, 766 22, 128 20, 797 7,342 2,517 2,339 6,800 »Also includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. J Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. 3 fcnei of period, unadjusted. 32 1966 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Consumer credit outstanding (end of period; unadjusted) Period M I M I T f M MOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginnine January and August 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Horn© Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Interest rates and bond yields rose steadily in late April and early May/reaching new peaks in mid-May. Most rates declined somewhat in late May and early June. PERCENT PER .ANNUM 7 PERCENT P R ANNUM E 7 1963 .COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE* SEE TABLE BEIOW Period 1961 1962 1963_ 1964_ „ 19G5 _ 1966 1967 „. 1967: Apr Mav June Julv. Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 19GS: Jun . . . Feb Mar Apr Mav__ Week ended: 1968: Mav 17 31 June 7 14 2lII 1 [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Government security yields municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable Treasury issues 3 bonds 3 (Standard & bills * Poor's) « 2. 378 3.60 3. 90 3. 46 2. 778 3.95 3. 18 3.57 3. 157 3.72 4.00 3.23 3.549 4.06 4. 15 3.22 3.954 4.22 4.21 3.27 4. 881 5. 16 4. 65 3.82 4 321 4.85 3.96 5.07 3.852 4.46 4 51 3.66 3.640 4.68 4.76 3.92 3.480 4.96 4.86 3.99 4. 308 5.17 4.86 4 05 4. 275 5. 28 4.95 4.03 4. 451 5.40 4 99 4.15 4 588 5.52 5. 19 4 31 4.762 5.73 5.44 4.36 5.012 5.72 5.36 4 49 5.081 5.53 5. 18 4 36 4.969 5.59 5.16 4.39 5. 144 5.77 5.39 4 56 5. 365 5.69 5.28 4 41 5.621 5.95 5.40 4.56 5.558 5. 847 5.696 5.649 5. 713 *5. 578 5.95 6. 09 5.91 5.80 5.75 5.38 5. 52 5.44 5.30 5.27 3 Bate on new Issues within period; Selected note and bond Issues. * April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. 4 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. *Not charted. 1 jData for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate (6 percent beginning October 1066) and 30-year mortgages paid in 16 years. 4.55 4.68 4.65 4 59 4 61 Corporate bonds (Moody's) Aaa 4 35 4.33 4 26 4 40 4 49 5. 13 5.51 5.11 5.24 5.44 5.58 5.62 5.65 5.82 6.07 6.19 6. 17 6.10 6. 11 6.21 6.27 6.27 6.28 6.29 6.29 6.28 Baa 5.08 5. 02 4.86 4.83 4.87 5.67 6.23 5.83 5.96 6.15 6.26 6.33 6.40 6.52 6.72 6.93 6.84 6.80 6.85 6.97 7.03 6.99 7.05 7.10 7.09 7.08 Prime FHA commercial new home paper, mortgage 4-6 yields fi months 2.97 5. SO 3.26 5. 61 3.55 5.47 3.97 5.45 4.38 5.46 5.55 6.29 5.10 6.55 4 83 6.35 4.67 6.29 4.65 6.44 4 92 6. 51 5. 00 6.53 5.00 6.60 5.07 6.63 5.28 6.65 5.56 6.77 5.60 6. 81 5.50 6. SI 5.64 6. 78 5.81 6.83 (5. 18 G. 94 6.13 6.25 6.25 6.25 6.25 Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS The common stock price index reached a record monthly averase level in M a y and showed a further sharp rise in GQrlv lunc Index, 1941*43=10 100 100 90 90 80 80 'COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR 500 COMMON STOCKS 70 70 60 60 > i ' i I t i i t i i • i('t i f t i t i 1 i i i i t I i i . i i PERCENT PERCENT MONTHLY 5 5 4 DIVIDEND 4 YIELD ON COMMON S T O C K S ^ * — - ^ / ^ J *i WEEKLY 2 1 ,1 t 1 1 T 1 f 1 T f 1 T T 1 1 1 1 ' • ' ' ' 1i i i i t i i, t, J.I 1i i 1 1 ! . 1 I. 1 t t t t t r I i t 1 I t i i f i-i-1 1 t t 1 T T f f 2 f i I RATIO RATIO 25 25 PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO O N 20 \ 10 A V COMMON STOCKS 20 . , i i r 1962 15 t i ' t 1963 1 i 1964 r i r i i i r t r r 1967 1966 1965 SOURCE. STANDAK) & FOOTS CORPORATION f T K 10 1968 COUNCIL OF ICONOM1C ADVISERS 1 Period 1962 _ 1963 _ 1964_ 1965 1966 1967,. _ 1967: May. June July Aug Sept Oct.. Nov Dec 1968: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Week ended: 1968: May 3 . 10. 17. 24. 31. June 7_ 14. Total Total 62.38 69.87 81.37 88.17 85.26 91,93 92.59 91.43 93. 01 94.49 95.81 95.66 92.66 95.30 95,04 90.75 89.09 95.67 97.87 65.54 73.39 86. 19 93.48 91.08 99.18 99.59 98.61 100. 38 102. 11 103. 84 104. 16 100.90 103. 91 103. 11 98.33 96.77 104.42 107. 02 98. 05 98.61 97.78 96.94 97.80 100. 44 101. 36 107. 26 107. 90 106.93 105.89 106. 95 109, 95 110. 90 Price index Industrials Capital Consumers goods Railroads Dividend yield » (percent) 1941-43=10 54.96 58.15 62. 28 63.30 73.84 76.35 81.94 85. 26 74. 10 84.86 79.18 96.96 79.13 95.10 78.94 96.34 81.27 98.35 8a 88 101, 01 84 62 104 17 83.60 106. 64 80.47 103.58 81.92 106. 41 81. 06 102, 87 77.99 98.13 77.49 96.32 84. 79 104. 08 87.75 106. 86 59.16 64 99 69,91 76.08 68.21 68.10 70.70 67.39 67.77 68.03 67.45 64 93 63.48 64 61 68.02 65.61 62.62 63.66 62.92 30.56 37.58 45.46 46.78 46.34 46.72 47.00 48.19 49.91 50.43 49.27 46.28 42.95 43.46 43.38 42.35 41.68 44 79 48.00 3.37 3.17 3.01 3.00 3.40 3.20 3.19 3.19 3. 15 3. 11 3.07 3.07 3.18 3.09 3. 13 3.28 3, 34 3. 12 3.07 87.23 88.52 87.92 87,46 87.61 88.62 * 90. 01 63.29 63.50 62.99 62.53 62.33 63.08 63.85 46. 53 46.89 47.44 49.20 49.56 51.33 52.52 Price/ earnings ratio 3 3.06 3.05 3. 08 3.10 3. 07 3. 02 4 • 2 . 96 I 107. 52 108. 03 106. 31 104. 98 107. 47 110. 92 «113. 52 1 Includes 500 common stocks; 425 are industrials; 55 arc public utilities, and 20 are railroads. Weekly indexes or capital and consumer eoods are Wednesday figures; all other weekly,Indpxes are averages of daily lirures. Aprrepato cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the apfregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields 34 Public utilities 16. 68 17.62 18.08 17,08 14 92 17.54 17.01 17.81 17.41 ~*16.~22 are averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures, < Ratio of price Index for last day in quarter to quarterly earning (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. Tuesday prices. * Not charted. Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS, EXPENDITURES, AND NET LENDING In the receipt-expenditure account, the increase in receipts in fiscal 1968 Is estimated at $6.2 billion and the increase in expenditures at $16.7 billion. The increase in expenditures and n^i lending is expected to be $17.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 80 80 (ENLARGED SCALE) (ENLARGED SCALE) +20 +20 SURPLUS (+} OR DEFICIT {-) +10 +10 RECEIPT-EXPENDITURE ACCOUNT 0 0 -10 - -20 -20 h 1958 1959 1960 1961 1965 1963 1964 FISCAL YEARS 1962 J/fcECEIPTS LESS EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING. 1966 1967 J/feSTlUATE. SOURCES. TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET 1968-*' 1969-^ COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Budget receipts, expenditures, and net lending Period Receipt-expenditure account Receipts Fiscal year: 1958_. 1959 1960 1961 . .1962 _ 1963. . _ _. 1964 1965 1966 1967 . . _-1968 1 __ ._ 1969 * Fiscal year 1968: Apr Cumulative total, first 10 months._ Expenditures Net lending Total surplus or deficit ( - ) 79.6 79.0 92.5 94.4 99.7 106.6 112.7 116.9 130.9 149.6 155.8 178.1 81.2 89.7 90.4 96.7 104.7 111.5 118.1 116.7 130.7 153.2 169.9 182.8 — 1.6 -10.6 2.1 -2.3 -5.0 -4.9 -5.4 .1 .2 -3.6 -14.0 -4.7 1.5 2.7 1.9 1.2 2.4 -.1 .5 1.2 3.8 5.2 5.8 3.3 -3.1 -13.3 . 2 -3.5 -7.4 -4.7 -6.0 -1.1 -3.7 -8.S -19.8 -8.0 19. 1 122.6 15.2 143.5 3. S -20.8 .5 4.1 Public debt (end of period) 279.1 286.7 289. 2 291.0 301.1 308.5 314.4 320.8 329.5 341.3 370.0 387.2 3.4 -24.9 'Estimates in the 1969 Budget, submitted in January 1968. NOTE.—Budget receipts and expenditures, net lending, and the public debt are based on The Budget of the United States Government, 1S69, which shows data on the basis of budget concepts adopted pursuant to the recommendations of the Surplus or deficit (—) Loan account President's Commission on Budget Concepts. As soon as all of the data are available on a monthly basis, the table will be expanded to include them. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 3B FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In fiscal 1968, individual income taxes are estimated to increase by $6.2 billion, corporation income taxes to decline by $2.7 billion, and other receipts to increase by $2.7 billion. National defense outlays are estimated to increase by $6.4 billion and nondefense outlays by $10.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 RECEIPTS 80 80 INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES 60 60 \ 40 40 20, 20 CORPORATION INCOME TAXES J 0 120 I 1 0 L 120 EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING 100 100 80 ...^rz 60 40 40 "NATIONAL DEFENSE 20 1958 1959 I960 1961 J/ESTIMATE. SOURCES. TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUIEAU OF THE BUDGET. 1966 1965 1963 1964 FISCAL YEARS 1962 1967 1968-!/ 1969 J/1 20 COUNCIL O f tCONOM1C ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Receipts Period Fiscal year: 1958 1959 1960 1901 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 3 1968 3 1969 ___ Fiscal year 1968: Apr _ __ Cumulative total, first 10 months.. Total 79.6 79.0 92. 5 94.4 99.7 106.6 112.7 116.9 130.9 149.6 155.8 178. 1 Individual Corporation income income taxes taxes 34.7 36.7 40.7 41.3 45.6 47.6 48.7 48.8 55.4 61.5 67.7 80.9 Other Total 82.7 20. 1 17.3 21.5 21.0 20.5 21.6 23.5 25.5 30.1 34.0 31.3 34.3 24.8 25. 0 30.3 32.1 33.6 37.4 40.5 42.6 45.4 54. 1 56.8 62.9 92.4 92, 3 97.9 107.0 111.3 118.7 118.0 134.6 158.4 175.6 186. 1 Expenditures and net lending National defense International Health, Departlabor, affairs ment of and Total and Defense,1 welfare finance military 44.5 46.7 45.8 47.5 51.2 52.2 53.7 49.6 56.8 70. 1 76.5 79.8 39. 1 41.2 41.2 43.2 46.8 48.3 49.8 46.2 54.4 67.5 73.7 76.7 19.1 9.4 4.2 5.5 15.7 57.3 20,7 44.6 147.5 15. 8 18. 0 19. 1 22.4 24. 0 25. 7 27. 2 28. 2 33.2 40. 1 46.4 51.4 19.2 ?A. 5 24.2 24.7 ' 27.3 29.2 33.7 36.0 40. 3 43,6 47.7 49.7 6.8 122.6 3.3 3.2 3. 1 3.4 4.6 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.2 Other2 63. 2 1 Expenditure account. adopted pursuant to the recommendations of the President's Commission on * Includes undistributed adjustments to amounts for all functions and snecial Budget Concepts. As soon as all of the data are available on a monthly basis, allowances for 1068 and 1069. the table will bo expanded to include them. » Estimates In the 1069 Budget, submitted in January 1968. Sources Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. NOTE.—Receipts and outlays in this table are based on The Budget of the UniUd States Government, 1069, which shows data on the basis of budget concepts 36 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter, Federal receipts rose by about %1VA billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) and expenditures by about $ 7 % billion resulting in an increase of almost $Vi billion in the deficit to a level of over $11 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 180 BILUONS o r DOLLARS 180 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES V - / - / 160 160 - - 140 140 RECEIPTS - A - 120 120 EXPENDnURES 100 1 f T \ r •20 f I T t T T t r T r i t 100 •20 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SURPLUS mI DEFICIT 1 T 1962 m -20 1963 1965 CALENDAR YEARS 1964 1966 1968 1967 COUhtdL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT O f COMMERCE [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fed era i Government expenditures Federal Government receipts Period Total Fiscal year: 1964 w . 1965. -_ 1966 1967 1968 * 1969* Calendar year: 1964 . . . 1965 1966 1967 1966:1.. II-. IIIIV. 1967:1.. IIIII. 1968: I~~ 1 Estimates. Personal tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Surplus Subsidies Gran taless in-aid PurContriNet current chases Trans- to State butions interest surplus and for Total of goods fer paypaid of Govt. local ments and social ingovernenterservices surance ments prises 115.5 120. 6 132. 9 147.6 161. 1 182.5 50.7 51. 3 57. 5 64.6 71.0 83.8 25.7 27.8 31. 0 31.4 34.3 37.2 15.6 16.9 15. 8 15.9 17.1 18.1 23.5 24.5 28.6 35.7 38.7 43.4 116.9 US. 3 131. 9 155. 1 171.1 185. 0 65. 7 64.3 71.7 84.5 92.8 99.4 29.5 30.4 34.1 39.8 44,9 49.9 10.9 12.7 15.4 18.0 20.0 115. 0 124. 8 143.2 151.8 137.0 141.6 145.6 148. 6 149. 1 148. 1 152. 7 157.3 164.5 48.6 53. 8 61.7 66.5 57.7 60.9 63.1 65.2 65.5 64.0 67.5 69. 1 71.6 26.4 29.3 32.3 31.0 32.2 32.2 32.4 32.3 30.3 30.3 30.6 32.5 33.7 16. 1 16.5 15.9 16.6 15.2 15.9 16.2 16.3 16.2 16.5 16.7 17.0 17.4 23.8 25.2 33.3 37.7 31.9 32.5 34.0 34.7 37.0 37.2 38.0 38.7 41.8 118. 1 123.4 142.9 164.3 134.8 138.4 146.3 151.9 160.9 162.8 165.9 167.9 175.6 65.2 66.8 77.0 89.9 72.1 74.9 79.5 81. 5 87.1 89.5 90.9 92.2 96.2 29.9 32.4 36.0 42.9 35.2 34.1 35.9 38.8 42.2 42.4 43.5 43.3 45.9 10.4 11.2 14.8 16.0 13. S 14.6 15.3 15.6 15.6 15.3 16.0 17.1 18.2 9.8 8.1 8.5 9.0 10. 1 10.7 11.2 8.3 8.7 9.5 10.5 9.1 9.4 9.6 10.0 10.4 10.4 10. 5 10.7 11.1 3. S 4. 1 4.5 5.3 4.5 4.5 4.2 4.3 5.4 5.1 4.6 5.3 6.0 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.0 4.6 4.2 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. or deficit ncome and nroduct accounts -1.4 2.3 t) -7.5 -10.0 -2.5 -3.0 1.4 .3 -12.5 2 2 3.2 -.7 -3.3 -11.9 -14.7 -13.2 -10.7 -11.1 37 OSTAGE AND PEES PAID SVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING Of DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENT. W A S H I N G T O N . D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income. 1 Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income L — Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment.. • EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment i Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries.. Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production .. Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction. New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices. Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts, Expenditures, and Net Lending Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis.. Page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 -___ 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 , NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. P Indicates preliminary and . . . . not available. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D . C , 20402 Price 25 cents per copy; $2.50 per year: $3.50 foreign 38 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 35 36 37