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101st Congress, 1st Session

Economic Indicators
JULY 1989
(Includes data available as of July 31, 1989)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1989

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Chairman
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
FREDERICK S. UPTON (Michigan)

SENATE
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
ALBERT GORE, JR. (Tennessee)
RICHARD H. BRYAN (Nevada)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
PETE WILSON (California)
CONNIE MACK (Florida)

JOSEPH J. MINARIK, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
MICHAEL J. BOSKIN, Chairman
JOHN B. TAYLOR, Member
RICHARD L. SCHMALENSEE, Member-Designate
[PUBLIC LAW 120—SlST CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.25 a single copy
($2.81 foreign), or by subscription at $24.00 per year ($30.00 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402




TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the second quarter of 1989, according to advance estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose
6.6 percent (annual rate) or $81.8 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 1.7 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 4.9 percent. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

5,600

5,600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

5,200

5,200
-

•^"
^"1

4,800

4,800

fS~

—

-

GNP
IN CURRENT CXJLLARb

4,400

4,400

^
^

-

—

>\

4,000

4,000

v

-

3,600

,„—•-''

—

3,600

\

GNP
IN 1982 DO .LARS

^
*•**

-

/'''
f^'"*

3,200

—

3,200

~-—^*~<~— — *

—

^~

2,800

2,800

2,400

1

1

1981

1

\

1

1

1

1

1

1983

1982

\

1 1
1984

\

1

1

1

1

1

1986

1985

1

1

\ \ \

1

1988

1987

1

1

1

2,400

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Government purchases of
goods and services

Exports and imports of goods
and services

Persona!
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,014.9
4,231.6
4,524.3
4,880.6

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
-58.9
-78.0
97 4
-112.6
73 7

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
370.9
396.5
448.6
547.7

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
448.9
493.8
561.2
621.3

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
820.8
872.2
926.1
968.9

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
355.2
366.5
381.6
381.3

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.1
277.8
294.8
298.0

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
96.0
88.7
86.8
83.3

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV '

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8
4,107.9
4,297.3

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8

14.1
25 8
-67.9
103 2
-108.9

335.9
364.7
385.7
369.2
402.4

321.9
390.5
453.6
472.4
511.3

671.8
676.1
764.5
856.7
888.9

293.2
276.1
326.0
376.6
368.8

205.4
221.5
244.1
268.6
280.7

1987- III '
IV '

4,566.6
4,665.8

3,055.9
3,083.3

692.8
749.7

1153
— 114.6

458.0
482.6

573.4
597.2

933.2
947.5

384.5
388.1

1988- I T
II *
IIIr
IV '

4,739.8
4,838.5
4,926.9
5,017.3

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

82 8
— 74.9
-66.2
708

521.6
532.5
558.8
579.7

604.3
607.5
623.0
650.5

945.7
960.1
958.6
1,011.4

1989- I '
II '

5,113.1
5,194.9

3,381.4
3,437.9

769.6
777.9

-54.0
524

605.6
625.2

6S9.6
677.5

1,016.0
1,031.4

Gross
national
product

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 r
1987 '.
1988 '
1982:
19831984:
19851986-

. .

Net
exports

1
GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.
Note.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Surrey of Current Business, July 1989.




Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
465.6
505.7
544.5
587.6

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,003.6
4,224.8
4,495.0
4,850.0

2,699.8
3,018.7
3,139.7
3,411.8
3,831.1
4,092.8
4,329.0
4,636.8
4,954.3

87.7
54.6
81.9
108.0
88.1

378.7
400.0
438.5
480.1
520.1

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8
4,100.7
4,309.4

3,198.5
3,571.6
3,919.7
4,211.2
4,406.2

300.2
296.8

84.3
91.3

548.7
559.4

4,557.1
4,602.5

4,681.9
4,780.4

374.1
377.1
367.5
406.4

297.4
298.0
296.1
300.5

76.7
79.1
71.4
105.9

571.6
583.0
591.0
604.9

4,709.8
4,809.2
4,882.3
4,998.7

4,822.5
4,913.4
4,993.]
5,088.1

399.0
403.9

298.7
302.4

100.4
101.5

617.0
627.5

5,085.4
5,162.4

5,167.1
5,247.2

Federal
Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Exports and imports of
goods and services

Gross private
domestic investment

Government purchases of
goods and services

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,618.7
3,717.9
3,853.7
4,024.4

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,354.8
2,446.4
2,513.7
2,598.4

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
453.5
438.4
455.5
493.8

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.4
195.7
194.8
194.1

57.0
-6.9
49.4
23.9
26.3
-24.5
64 -19.9
840
62.3
9.1 - 104.3
129 7
5.6
23.7 -115.7
74.9
27.9

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
367.2
397.1
450.9
530.1

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
471.4
526.9
566.6
605.0

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
731.2
761.6
781.8
785.1

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV '.

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2
3,662.4
3,733.6

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1
2,386.9
2,477.8

352.3
390.4
444.4
460.9
435.7

115.8
159.9
169.6
179.4
200.3

11.7
-59.3
462
27.0
41.1 -94.8
125 3
7.7
-135.4
-20.8

336.0
355.5
376.6
367.4
406.5

324.3
401.6
411.4
492.6
541.9

1987: in '
IV '

3,872.8
3,935.6

2,536.5
2,532.3

472.8
472.7

192.1
191.9

461.3
484.1

1988: I '
II '

3,974.8
4,010.7
4,042.7
4,069.4

2,570.8
2,586.8
2,608.1
2,627.7

483.6
497.8
501.0
492.7

189.1
194.2
195.1
198.1

6.8 -118.9
56.6 -109.8
34.3 -78.2
72 6
21.5
37.5 -74.9
18.3
73 8

4,106.8
4,123.9

2,641.0
2,648.2

501.0
510.2

195.6
188.6

24.5
22.0

55 0
-52.6

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 '.
1987 '
1988 '.
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

m*
IV '

1989- I r

n*

1

Gross
national
product

Change
in
business
inventories

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

State
and
local

Final
sales

Gross
domestic
purchases 1

National
defense

Nondefense

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
326.0
334.1
339.6
328.9

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
237.2
252.1
265.2
261.5

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
88.8
82.0
74.4
67.4

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
405.2
427.5
442.1
456.2

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,609.6
3,712.4
3,830.0
3,996.5

3,130.1
3,199.4
3,139.7
3,299.1
3,585.4
3,723.0
3,847.6
3,969.4
4,099.3

660.1
642.2
693.2
752.7
776.0

289.5
266.0
300.5
340.6
342.4

201.4
211.6
225.3
241.4
255.8

88.2
54.4
15.2
99.2
86.6

370,6
376.2
392.1
412.1
433.6

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5
3,654.7
3,754.4

3,147.6
3,411.3
3,630.0
3,787.6
3,869.0

580.2
593.9

783.5
792.1

340.7
344.9

270.6
266.7

70.1
78.2

442.8
447.2

3,866.0
3,879.0

3,991.7
4,045.5

517.4
519.7
531.9
551.4

595.6
592.3
606.9
625.2

775.1
783.0
775.9
806.4

323.8
327.9
319.8
343.9

263.0
262.5
258.8
261.6

60.8
65.4
61.0
82.3

451.3
455.1
456.1
462.5

3,940.5
3,989.2
4,005.2
4,051.0

4,052.9
4,083.3
4,117.6
4,143.2

569.7
585.1

624.6
637.7

799.7
807.6

335.5
341.3

254.4
256.1

81.1
85.1

464.2
466.3

4,082.3
4,101.9

4,161.8
4,176.5

Imports

Total
Total

Note.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GNP less exports of goods and services plus imports of goods and services.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982 = 100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted}
Personal consumption
expenditures
Period

Gross
national
product

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 r
1987 '
1988 '

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Gross private
domestic investment

Services

Nonresidential
fixed

Exports and imports of
goods and services

Government purchases of goods and
services
Federal

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
110.9
113.8
117.4
121.3

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.6
114.3
119.8
124.5

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.8
105.6
108.1
110.1

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.3
112.1
116.3

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
116.8
122.4
129.0
134.9

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.7
99.3
97.5
98.7

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.3
111.1
116.2
119.7

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.0
99.8
99.5
103.3

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
95.2
93.7
99.0
102.7

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.0
109.7
112.4
115.9

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.2
110.2
111.1
114.0

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.2
108.1
116.7
123.6

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
114.9
118.3
123.2
128.8

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV '

101.7
105.4
109.0
112.2
115.1

101.8
105.7
109.3
113.1
115.8

100.7
103.1
104.1
104.7
106.2

101.0
103.1
105.8
108.7
107.8

102.7
108.3
113.5
119.0
124.9

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.9
100.0

99.1
103.1
107.2
109.0
112.4

100.0
102.6
102.4
100.5
99.0

99.3
97.2
96.2
95.9
94.4

101.3
103.8
108.5
110.6
107.7

102.0
104.7
108.3
111.3
109.7

99.5
100.3
108.9
108.8
101.7

102.2
106.3
111.7
116.5
120.0

1987: III r.
IV r

117.9
118.6

120.5
121.8

108.8
109.0

112.8
113.7

129.8
131.5

96.7
97.0

117.8
118.7

99.3
99.7

98.8
100.6

112.8
112.5

110.9
111.3

120.3
116.8

123.9
125.1

1988: I '
II "
III '
IV '..

119.2
120.6
121.9
123.3

122.5
123.9
125.1
126.5

109.3
109.6
110.2
111.2

114.0
115.9
117.1
118.2

132.7
134.2
135.6
137.3

97.7
97.8
98.4
100.6

119.5
119.5
119.6
120.4

100.8
102.5
104.7
105.1

101.5
102.6
102.7
104.0

115.5
115.0
114.9
118.2

113.1
113.5
114.4
114.9

126.2
121.0
117.1
128.7

126.7
128.1
129.6
130.8

1989: I '

124.5
126.0

128.0
129.8

111.2
111.0

120.0
123.3

139.0
140.4

100.4
100.3

122.1
124.1

106.3
106.9

105.6
106.2

118.9
118.4

117.4
118.1

123.8
119.2

132.9
134.5

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

n*

Note. — Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal consumption expenditures

Gross national product
Period

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

-0.2
1.9
-2.5
3.6
6.8
3.4
2.7
3.7
4.4
.6
7.3
1.7
3.0
2.3
5.3
6.6
4.0
3.7
3.2
2.7
3.7
1.7

8.9
11.7
3.7
7.6
10.8
6.4
5.4
6.9
7.9
4.2
12.4
4.7
6.2
4.2
8.4
9.0
6.5
8.6
7.5
7.5
7.9
6.6

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 r
1987 T.
1988 r
..
1982: IV
1983- IV
1984: IV
1985- IV
1986- IV '
1987- III r
IV r.
1988- I *r
n .r

m

IT '.
1989- I '
Ii"

Implicit
price
deflator

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9
3.7
3.0
2.6
3.2
3.3
3.6
4.7
3.0
3.3
1.8
2.8
2.4
2.0
4.8
4.4
4.7
4.0
4.9

Chain price
index

9.0
9.4
6.3
4.1
3.9
3.3
2.5
3.4
3.7
4.1
3.9
3.1
3.2
2.7
3.7
3.3
3.3
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.6
5.0

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

Fixedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.4
2.7
3.6
4.2
4.0
4.0
3.2
3.3
3.1
3.8
3.8
3.8
4.8
5.2
4.3
4.8
5.2

Implicit
price
deflator

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

10.6
10.5
7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.4
7.6
7.4
10.3
9.7
7.2
6.0
6.2
9.2
3.6
8.7
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.1
6.9

Chain price
index

Fixedweighted
price index
(1882
weights)

-0.2
1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.7
3.9
2.8
3.4

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8
3.2
2.4
4.8
3.9

10.9
9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.1

10.5
9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.5
2.7
4.7
4.3

5.3
5.5
4.3
1.9
2.2

4.4
4.3
3.0
4.0
3.9

4.8
4.1
3.1
4.2
3.9

4.8
4.1
3.2
4.3
3.9

4.7
— .7

4.4
4.4

4.4
4.3

4.4
4.5

6.2
2.5
3.3
3.0

2.3
4.7
3.9
4.6
4.8
5.7

2.6
5.0
4.3
4.8

2.6
5.1
4.6
4.9

4.7
5.9

4.8
6.4

2.0
1.1

Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Current-dollar cost and profit per unit of output (dollars) l

Gross domestic
product of
nonfinancial
corporate business
(billions of dollars)
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 '.
1987 '.
1988 '
1982: IV...
1983- IV
1984: IV
1985: IV..
1986- IV *
1987: III '
IV r
1988: I r...
II '
111'
IV '
1989- I
1

r

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

1982
dollars

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,267.1
2,367.1
2,520.7
2,731.3
1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8
c
2 309 4
2,408.7
2,556.2
2,598.4
2,648.1
2,705.9
2,754.9
2,816.4

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,117.4
2,173.9
2,282.6
2,419.5
1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5
2,137.7
2,198.5
2,309.2
2,343.3
2,381.8
2,408.9
2,434.1
2,453.2

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.071
1.089
1.104
1.129
1.011
1.037
1.064
1.080
1.096
1.107
1.109
1.112
1.123
1.132
1.148

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.123
.123
.123

.131
.120
.118
.120
.124
.123
.122
.122
.122
.122
.124

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.106
.106
.107
.096
.098
.102
.104
.106
.107
.106
.106
.107
.108
.108

2,842.7

2,459.1

1.156

.125

.110

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.
3
Indirect business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
4
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




Indirect
business
taxes 3

Current
dollars

lars.
2

Corporate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.704
.721
.730
.744
.685
.680
.694
.713
.727
.726
.734
.732
.740
.746
.756

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.038
.041
.047
.052
.042
.037
.042
.037
.042
.048
.050
.050
.051
.053
.055

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.106
.098
.098
.103
.057
.103
.107
.106
.096

.768

.057

.096

Total

.103
.098
.102
.103
.102
.105

Output
per hour
of all
employees
(1982
dollars) *

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars) *

17.096
17.194
17.318
17.865
18.287
18.584
18.927
19.216
19.471

.041
.044
.044
.045

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.073
.064
.058
.059
.034
.066
.075
.072
.058
.060
.057
.060
.059
.058
.061

17.383
18.029
18.359
18.639
19.043
19.362
19.357
19.560
19.481
19.443
19.454

9.939
10.861
11.699
12.122
12.569
13.075
13.605
14.062
14.640
11.814
12.261
12.746
13.288
13.815
14.110
14.291
14.397
14.546
14.743
14.908

.045

.051

19.392

15.097

Profits
tax
liability

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.035
.041
.044
.023
.036
.032
.033
.038
.044
.041

Profits
after
tax 4

Note.—Series revised beginning 1986, except as noted. See Survey of Current Business, July
1989.
* Data do not reflect revisions beginning 1986 of GNP and related items published July 21,
1989.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
{Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees1

Proprietors' income
with inventory
valuation and capital
consumption
adjustments

Farm

Rental
income of
persons
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Noniarm

Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustment and without capital
consumption adjustment
Total
Total

Profits
before tax

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

Capital
consumption
adjustment

Net
interest

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 '
1987 '
1988 '
1982- IV
1983- IV
1984- TV
1985- IV
1986- IV *
1987- III '
IV

2,518.4
2 719 5
3,028.6
3,234.0
3,412.6
3,665.4
3,972.6
2 548 2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,312.8
3,473.1
3,694.8
3,799.9

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,367.5
2,511.4
2,690.0
2,907.6
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,426.7
2,571.2
2,709.8
2,778.7

24.6
12.4
30.5
30.2
34.7
41.6
39.8
28.5
19.3
28.1
29.2
37.2
33.6
48.4

150.9
178.4
204.0
225.6
247.2
270.0
288.0
159.8
188.6
209.7
235.0
252.0
271.6
280.3

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.2
11.6
13.4
15.7
15.8
12.4
5.6
7.8
13.5
11.5
14.3

150.0
213.7
266.9
282.3
282.1
298.7
328.6
146.1
248.5
266.9
291.4
275.2
313.0
308.2

159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8
150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1
261.5
255.8

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3
221.6
266.7
306.8
164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0
234.1
281.0
276.2

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-19.4
-20.4

-9.2
17.0
32.7
59.7
53.8
50.9
46.8
-4.5
25.1
42.3
63.0
49.1
51.5
52.4

272.3
281.0
304.8
319.0
325.5
351.7
392.9
266.9
290.2
313.1
322.7
324.0
355.3
370.0

1988: I r.

3,853.6
3,933.6
4,005.7
4,097.4

2.819.4
2,878.9
2,935.1
2,997.2

44.0
45.4
37.7
32.0

279.9
286.5
289.3
296.3

15.6
14.6
16.3
16.1

318.1
325.3
330.9
340.2

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

288.8
305.3
314.4
318.8

-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
-20.1

49.9
48.9
46.9
41.5

376.6
383.0
396.4
415.7

4,185.2

3,061.7
3,115.7

59.0
52.6

300.3
302.6

11.8
8.7

316.3

279.7

318.0

-38.3
-21.0

36.6
31.7

436.1
458.0

III'.
IV '
1989- I r..
II"
1

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Note. — Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Nondurable goods

Durable goods

Period

Total
personal
consumption
expenditures

Total
durable
goods

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

Total
nondurable
goods

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Services

Other

Retail sales of
new passenger
ears (millions of
units)

Domestics

Imports

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 '
1987 r
1988 '.
1982- IV
1983: IV
1984- IV
1985: IV
1986- IV r
1987: HI '
IV '.

2,050.7
2,234.5
2 430 5
2,629.0
2,797.4
3,010.8
3,235.1
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,700.4
2,868.5
3,055.9
3,083.3

252.7
289.1
335.5
372.2
406.0
421.0
455.2
263.8
310.0
346.7
373.2
422.0
439.3
424.5

108.9
130.4
157.4
179.1
196.2
195.5
211.6
115.7
144.4
162.3
173.8
201.1
211.3
196.3

95.7
107.1
118.8
129.9
139.7
149.1
162.0
99.1
112.4
122.7
134.7
143.8
151.0
151.4

48.1
51.6
59.3
63.2
70.0
76.5
81.6
49.0
53.2
61.8
64.7
77.1
77.0
76.7

771.0
816.7
867.3
911.2
942.0
998.1
1,052.3
786.6
837.9
879.6
932.7
952.1
1,006.0
1,015.4

398.8
421.9
448.5
471.6
500.0
529.2
559.7
407.0
430.8
456.1
482.5
511.9
531.7
536.8

124.4
135.1
146.7
156.4
166.8
177.2
186.8
126.5
141.1
149.8
160.6
168.7
178.9
180.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
90.6
73.5
75.2
76.8
89.8
91.9
89.0
91.0
66.0
76.8
76.7

158.7
169.5
182.1
192.6
201.7
216.6
229.0
163.4
174.0
184.7
198.5
205.5
218.6
221.3

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,345.6
1,449.5
1,591.7
1,727.6
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,394.5
1,494.4
1,610.6
1,643.3

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
7.5
6.0
7.4
7.7
7.0
7.7
7.8
6.6

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.1
3.4
3.5
3.3

1988: I '
II r
III r
IV '.

3,148.1
3,204.9
3,263.4
3,324.0

446.4
454.6
452.5
467.4

210.3
212.5
208.4
215.3

156.9
162.2
162.7
166.1

79.2
79.9
81.4
86.0

1,022.2
1,042.4
1,066.2
1,078.4

542.5
554.5
567.8
574.1

180.8
183.6
188.9
193.9

74.3
76.9
78.3
77.6

224.5
227.5
231.2
232.8

1,679.5
1,707.9
1,744.7
1,778.2

7.7
7.5
7.4
7.5

3.2
3.2
3.0
3.0

1989: I '
llp

3,381.4
3,437.9

466.4
470.3

211.7
213.3

172.1
173.3

82.6
83.7

1,098.3
1,116.6

587.3
588.6

195.0
198.5

77.9
88.7

238.1
240.9

1,816.7
1,851.0

7.0
7.3

2.8
3.0

Note.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.




Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $12.6 billion (annual rate) in June, following an increase of $8.2 billion in May. Wages and
salaries increased $13.8 billion in June, compared with an increase of $1.0 billion in May. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,000

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
5,0001
4,000:

4,000

3,000

3,000

2,000

2,000

WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

1,400

1,400

OTHER INCOME

800

800

TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

400

400

Illllllllll
1981

1982

1985

1984

1983

1986

1987

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 r
1987 r
1988 r
1988: June *
July T.
Aug r
Sept T
Oct r
Nov r
Dec r
1989: Jan ',
Feb r.
Mar p
Apr r
May r
June p.

personal
income
22584
2 5209
2 6708
2 8386
3 108 7
3 3253
3 526 2
3 777 6
40645
40494
4079 8
4094 2
4 118 6
4 180 4
4 168 9
4 206 3
4 273 1
4 3195
4 3607
43865
4 394 7
4407 3

Wage and
salary
disbursements *
1 3720
1 5103
1 586 1
1 676 6
1 838 6
1 9754
20948
2 249 4
2 4290
2420 1
2 4434
2447 7
2 465 6
2 497 1
2 501 6
2 516 7
2 5454
2 557 3
2 5794
2 601 3
2 602 3
2 616 1

Proprietors ' income 3
Other labor
income 1 2

1384
150 3
163 6
173 6
182 9
187 6

199 3
212 8
228 9
227 5
229 3
231 1
232 9
234 7
236 5
238 2
239 7
241 3
242 9
244 4
246 0
247 5

Farm

205
30 7

24 6
12 4
30 5
30 2
34 7
41 6
39 8
44 7
41 0
38 6
334
47 1
19 5
29 4
48 0
65 9
63 0
57 5
56 1
44 1

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p, 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
4
With capital consumption adjustment.
8
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.




Nonfarm

Rental
income of4
persons

160 1
156 1
150 9
178 4
204 0
225 6
247 2
270 0
288 0

66
13 3
13 6
13 2
85
"9 2
11 6
13 4
15 7

287 9
288 5
2885
290 9
295 8
295 7
297 4
299 6
3006
300 8
303 4
302 0
302 3

14 6
15 6
16 5
16 7
16 4
16 1
16 0
13 8
11 8
99
93
86
81

Personal
dividend
income

52 9
61 3
63 9
68 7
75 5
78 7
85 8
92 0
102 2
101 1
102 4
103 9
104 7
105 8
106 5
106 9
108 4
1094
110 3
111 0
111 4
111 8

Personal
interest
income

271 9

335 4
369 7
393 1
444 7
4780
493 2
523 2
571 1
565 1
570 1
5760
583 0
590 8
598 6
606 4
616 5
628 9
641 5
648 4
655 2
661 8

Transfer
payments 5
324 7
368 1
410 6
442 6
456 6
489 8
521 5
548 2
584 7
582 7
585 7
587 9
588 7
592 2
593 5
595 6
610 7
614 2
624 2
623 9
625 7
629 0

Less:
contributions
for social
insurance

Nonfarm
personal
income 6

886
104 5
112 3
120 1
132 7
149 3
161 9
172 9
194 9
194 3
196 1
195 9
197 2
199 5
199 1
200 1

2 215 8
2 465 6
2 618 7
2 799 0
3 052 1
3 271 3
3 469 4
3 714 7
4 003 7
3 983 6
4 017 9
4 034 6
4 064 1
4 112 3
4 128 4
4 155 9

209 0
209 8
211 3
212 6
212 6
213 4

4 204 0
4 232 4
4 276 5
4 307 7
4 317 2
4 341 8

8
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.

Note.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income fell slightly in the second quarter of 1989. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000
3,800

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000

3,800

PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME

6,000

6,000
1989

1981

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

.

Personal
income

Period

Less:
Personal

tax and
nontax
payments

F 1
Disposable
personal
income

Less:
Personal
outlays l

Equals:
Personal
saving

Disposable
personal
income in

1982
dollars
(billions)

Per capita
disposable personal
income
Current
dollars

Billions of dollars

1980
1981
1982....
1983
1984
1985
1986 r.... .
1987 r
1988 '.

c

2,258.5
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,325.3
3,526.2
3,777.6
4,064.5

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
486.6
512.9
571.7
586.6

c

1,918.0
2,127.6
2^261.4
2,428.1
2^668.6
2,838.7
3^013. 3
3,205.9
3477.8

1982
dollars

Per capita personal
consumption
expenditures
Current
dollars

1982
dollars

Dollars
1,781.1
1,968.1
2^107.5
2,297.4
2^504.5
2,713.3
2388.5
3,104.1
3,333.1

c

136.9
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
125.4
124.9
101.8
144.7

2,214.3
2,248.6
2'261.5
2,331.9
2469.8
2,542.8
2^635.3
2,676.6
2^793.2

8,421
9,243
9,724
10,340
11 ^257
11 861
12469
13,140
14J116

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands) 2

Percent

9,722
9,769
9^724
9,930
10,419
10,625
10^905
10,970
11337

7,607

8,783

8,320
8J818
9,515
10J253
10,985
11^576
12,340
isil31

8,794
8^818
9,139
9J489
9,839
10,123
10,303
10^546

i 1
— .5

7.1
7.5
6.8

2.1
4.9
2.0
2.6
.6
3.3

5.4
6.1
4.4
4.1
3.2
4.2

230,182
232^549
234,829
237J051
239,322
241J660
243,985
246^378

.5

227,754

Seasonally adjusted annual rates

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV r ..

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,399.1
3,597.8

411.1
413.9
459.7
499.6
534.4

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,899.5
3,063.4

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,787.7
2,961.4

143.1
145.4
157.3
111.7
102.0

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,562.8
2,646.2

9,929
10,725
11,467
12,068
12,629

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,667
10,909

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,240
11,825

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,935
10,214

1.2
9.1
1.7
3.3
.3

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.9
3.3

233,466
235,707
237,946
240,257
242,579

1987: HI r..
IV r...

3,795.5
3,908.7

572.0
589.2

3,223.5
3,319.4

3,149.9
3,177.6

73.6
141.8

2,675.6
2,726.2

13,196
13,552

10,953
11,130

12,510
12,588

10,384
10,339

5.6
6.6

2.3
4.3

244,274
244,936

1988: I *
II r....
Ill r..
IV r...

3,948.5
4,026.6
4,097.6
4,185.2

572.2
590.7
585.9
597.8

3,376.4
3,435.9
3,511.7
3,587.4

3,244.4
3,301.9
3,362.1
3,424.0

131.9
134.0
149.6
163.4

2,757.2
2,773.3
2,806.4
2,835.9

13,754
13,966
14,235
14,504

11,232
11,273
11,377
11,466

12,824
13,028
13,229
13,439

10,473
10,515
10,573
10,624

3.7
1.5
3.7
3.2

3.9
3.9
4.3
4.6

245,476
246,008
246,685
247,343

1989: I T
II"...

4,317.8
4,396.2

628.3
651.6

3,689.5
3,744.5

3,483.8
3,540.9

205.7
203.7

2,881.7
2,884.4

14,884
15,071

11,625
11,609

13,641
13,837

10,654
10,659

5.7
-.5

5.6
5.4

247,890
248,453

1
Includes persona! consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and person1 transfer payments to foreigners (net).
2
Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.




NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
n the first quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, gross farm income rose $18.8 billion (annual rate) and
let farm income rose $21.5 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

240
200

240

200
160

160

120

120

" GROSS FARM INCOME

80

80

60

60

40

40

20

20

NET FARM INCOME

10

10

I I I

I I I

1981

1982

I I I

1 1 I

I I I

I I I

I 1 I

I I I

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1983

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Income of farm operators from fanning
Net farm income

Gross farm income
Period

Cash marketing receipts
Total1

1980
1981 .
1982
1983 . ..
1984
1985 ...
1986
1987 ...
1988 r
1986- III
IV
1987: I

n
in

1988:

IV ....
I'
II r r .
mr

rv
1989:

I

T

149.3
166.4
163.5
153.0
174.9
166.2
159.8
169.8
177.5
158.1
162.6
173.6
162.5
168.9
173.7
175.3
182.5
174.9
177.1
195.9

Total
139.7
141.7
142.6
136.6
142.4
144.0
135.1
138.1
151.3
137.8
137.7
134.9
134.4
146.5
136.6
144.2
148.6
160.2
152.0
153.2

Livestock and
products

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1
69.5
74.2
63.6
61.9
72.5
60.5
64.7
61.6
57.4
66.9
61.5
62.5
73.4
82.0
71.8
70.2

68.0
69.2
70.3
69.4
73.0
69.8
71.5
76.2
78.8
77.3
73.0
73.3
77.0
79.6
75.1
81.7
75.2
78.2
80.2
83.0

1
Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




Crops

3

Value of
inventory
changes 2
-6.3
6.5
-1.4
-10.9
6.3
-2.4
-2.8
6
-4.3
-2.3
-1.9
-.3
.1
1.9^
-3.2
38
-4.7
5.4
4.7

Production
expenses

Current
dollars

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
134.0
122.3
123.5
132.1
121.1
120.7
120.3
124.1
125.0
124.6
126.7
129.3
135.4
137.0
134.3

1982 dollars 3

16.1
26.9
23.5
12.7
32.2
32.3
37.5
46.3
45.4
37.0
41.9
53.4
38.4
43.9
49.0
48.7
53.2
39.5
40.1
61.6

Income in current dollars divided by the GNP implicit price deflator.

NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Credit Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

18.8
28.6
23.5
12.2
29.9
29.1
32.9
r
39.4
37.4
32.3
r
36.4
r
46.0
32.8
r
37.3
r
41.3
40.8
44.1
32.4
32.6
49.2

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the first quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax fell $0.8 billion (annual
rate) and after-tax profits fell $2.0 billion. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
360

360

320

320

/^

280

280
//

200

^\

V-_

160

PRO
FITS BEFORE T/ X

\

240

/^

y

200

-

^
S-,

N4

80

*"\...

"^

—v

'<~

120

80

-J
\

-

^.ir.^-^'~

TAX LIABILITY

/

\

40

.'--"- —

,..,V"N

X
\

160

PR
DFITS AFTER T/^X

s

\

240

rJvS

' —x

120

./

,„---

,

--

40

1V

UNDIST ?IBUTED PROFI rs '— —
I

1

1 1 1

1

1981

1982

\

1
1983

I

1

1

1

1

1

I I I

1

1986

1985

1984

I

1
1987

!

[

1 I
1988

1

1

1

1989

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT Of COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Profits (before tax) with inventory valuation adjustment

1

Profits after tax

Domestic industries
Total

2

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986 r
1987 r
1988 r
1982:
1983:
1984:
19851986:
1987:

IV
IV..
IV
IV
IV r
HI r
IV r..

1988: Ir r
II r

mr
IV

1989- I r
TJ"
1
2
3

Financial

Total 3

Manufacturing

198.0
206.1
207.3
222.1

21.6
32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
44.1
44.1
41.1
40.1
33.6
43.1
51.8
38.5
41.0
43.2
41.2
42.2
37.3
39.2
41.8

203.9

96.5

34.1

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
191.4
195.2
208.7
238.2

21.0
16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
22.8
32.0
30.5
29.8

138.6
157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
168.6
163.2
178.2
208.4

150.7
223.4
224.6
228.4
226.1

121.6
190.7
193.9
193.6
193.4

18.7
15.5
13.6
26.0
28.6

102.9
175.2
180.3
167.6
164.8

261.5
255.8

222.6
211.8

30.2
29.9

192.4
181.9

268.1
276.4
284.1
298.7

225.7
235.8
239.0
252.2

27.7
29.7
31.6
30.1

279.7

233.1

29.3

Tax
liability

Wholesale and
retail
trade

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
79.7
59.5
76.6
98.4
46.8
88.6
79.8
83.8
64.8
87.3
84.5
94.6
98.2
95.1
105.5

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
222.6
228.3
247.8
281.8

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.
Includes industries not shown separately.




Profits
before tax

Nonfinancial

Period

Total

Dividends

Undistributed
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

314.4
318.8

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.4
106.3
124.7
137.9
59.8
88.1
87.0
99.8
113.1
132.7
127.3
129.0
138.4
141.2
143.2

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
127.8
115.3
142.0
168.9
104.3
143.4
139.2
135.2
121.0
148.3
148.9
159.9
166.9
173.2
175.6

54.7
63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
83.3
91.3
98.7
110.4
68.5
73.9
80.8
84.0
93.6
100.0
102.8
105.7
108.6
112.2
115.2

97.6
81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
44.6
24.0
43.3
58.5
35.8
69.5
58.4
51.2
27.4
48.3
46.1
54.2
58.3
61.1
60.4

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4
-10.9
-5.8
-1.7
6.7
-18.9
-25.0
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
-6.6
-8.0
-19.4
-20.4
-20.7
-28.8
-30.4
-20.1

318.0

144.4

173.6

118.5
120.9

55.1

-38.3
-21.0

237.1
226.5

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.3

221.6
266.7
306.8

164.1
231.5
226.1
235.0

234.1
281.0
276.2
288.8
305.3

Note.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to advance estimates for the second quarter of 1989, nonresidential fixed investment rose $8.4 billion
(annual rate) and residential investment fell $4.8 billion. There was a $32.4 billion increase in inventories, following
an increase of $27.7 billion in the first quarter of 1989. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
900

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

800

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
1MVFSTMFNT

700

y

600

500

/

--—,

^^

NONRESIDENTIA
ED INVESTMEf

/

400

--"""

1r-\^

f

^N
"""•---.

/^
/

r^~i
i

—
500
—
—

600

.--""'
-

'

400

^ S*

RESIDENTIAL
H> ED INVESTMEI-4 1

300

-

300

,.A-

200

.

.*--'

100

700

-^"

-X^-l

^-~~

800

^~1C~

-

~--V

/

—
—

CHA NGE IN BUSIN ESS
INVENTORIES

/-V_
f*

0

——

—•

|-X ,•-v

^•».

t
r

*

200

100

+*""*~. *••.+*

t*

-100

1 1 1

i i i

1981

1982

^

1

1

1

1983

1

1 1
1984

1 1 1

1 1 [

1985

1986

1

1 1
1987

SOURCE-. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1 1 I

i i i

1988

1989

-100

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Change in business
inventories

Fixed investment
Period

Gross
private
domestic
investment

Nonresidential
Total

Total

Structures

Producers'
durable
equipment

Residential

Total

Nonfarm

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
643.1
659.4
699.9
750.3

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.8
652.5
670.6
719.6

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.9
435.2
444.3
487.2

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
153.2
139.0
133.8
140.3

208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
289.7
296.2
310.5
346.8

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
188.8
217.3
226.4
232.4

-8.3
24.0
^24.5
-7.1
67.7
11.3
6.9
29.3
30.6

-2.4
18.3
-23.1
.4
60.5
14.6
8.6
30.5
34.2

IV
IV
IV
IV
IV T

409.6
579.8
661.8
654.1
648.8

469.5
548.8
616.8
646.8
660.9

354.9
383.9
435.0
451.3
435.8

137.6
127.4
146.6
155.9
133.7

217.3
256.5
288.4
295.5
302.2

114.7
164.9
181.8
195.5
225.1

-59.9
31.0
45.0
7.2
-12.2

-51.1
21.3
41.3
23.7
-8.0

1987- III r
IV r

692.8
749.7

683.2
686.3

457.0
458.6

137.3
138.9

319.8
319.7

226.2
227.7

9.5
63.3

14.0
61.3

1988- I r
II r
III r
IV *

728.8
748.4
771.1
752.8

698.7
719.1
726.5
734.1

472,7
487.1
493.2
495.8

237.1
139.9
142.0
142.5

335.6
347.2
351.3
353.3

226.1
232.1
233.2
238.4

30.0
29.3
44.6
18.7

24.2
30.4
41.5
40.8

1989- I r
II p

769.6
777.9

742.0
745.5

503.1
511.5

144.7
142.6

358.5
368.9

238.8
234.0

27.7
32.4

19.1
25.3

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986 r
1987 r
1988 r.
19821983198419851986-

NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1986. See Survey of Current Business, July 1989.




Source: Department of Commeree, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department April-May survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is
expected to rise 9.9 percent in 1989, following a rise of 10.3 percent in 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
500

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)
500

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

400

1

400

r

ALL INDUSTRIES

300

300

—T

NONMANUFACTURING -^

200

200

7

MANUFACTURING
100

,100

80

80

60

60

40

40

1981

1982

1985

1984

1983

1987

1986

1988

_i/ SURVEYED QUARTERLY
2J SEE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly
Nonmanufacturing

Manufacturing
Period

All
industries

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985..
1986
1987
1988
1989 4

282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
389.67
429.67
472.08

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
165.70
179.35

55.36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
71.01
78.12
82.13

56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.88
87.58
97.22

1987: III
IV

394.54
406.82

148.20
152.21

71.96
72.28

1988: I . .
II
III. .
IV

412.02
426.94
436.01
443.71

158.60
161.69
168.91
173.61

1989: I 4
II
Ill 4
IV4

457.64
467.50
478.79
484.38

175.83
177.10
182.70
181.79

10

Nonmanufacturing
Manufacturing

Total

Surveyed
quarterly

202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54
294.77
316.70

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
263.97
292.72

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.78
263.97
292.72

15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.39
12.67
12.00

16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.35
24.86

37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.88
46.51
50.77

100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.65
183.44
205.09

76.24
79.92

246.34
254.61

11.81
12.32

19.19
19.34

45.29
46.38

170.05
176.56

148.20
152.21

246.34
254.61

75.70
76.87
79.48
80.42

82.90
84.82
89.43
93.18

253.43
265.25
267.10
270.11

12.59
13.26
12.47
12.35

20.43
20.72
22.17
22.10

44.61
45.43
46.70
49.27

175.79
185.83
185.76
186.38

158.60
161 69
168.91
173.61

253.43
265 25
267.10
270.11

81.71
80.21
84.08
82.54

94.12
96.89
98.61
99.25

281.81
290.40
296.09
302.59

12.12
13.08
12.21
10.60

23.24
23.11
25.85
27.24

50.26
51.42
50.18
51.24

196.20
202.79
207.86
213.51

175.83
177 10
182.70
181.79

281.81
29040
296.09
30259

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total l

1
Excludes fores
irestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and
md membership organizations;
organisations; and
»MU real
rum estate,
F!KT.HT.RI which,
wnj'.'n, effective
enecuve with-the
wiui ~uie H.J.THApril-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See !ast column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed i
ally") for data-for these industries.'
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.




Total
nonfarm
business 2

Commercial
and
other

314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23
440.66
482.40

112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.90
165.70
179.35

Surveyed
annually"
31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75
50.99
52.73

3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in April-May 1989, corrected for biases.

Source: Department of Commerce-, Bureau of the Census'.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In June, civilian employment rose 326,000 and unemployment rose 166,000.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
124

124

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120

CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
116

116

112

112

108

108

T

104

104

CIVILIAN "
EMPLOYMENT

100

100

96

96

*S

"^
^.

**

12

12

8

8

UNEMPLOYMENT

4

4
0

IIMlllll

1982

1981

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

• 16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]
Civilian employment

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

Resident
Armed
Forces

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986'
1987
1988

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
186,322

1,604
1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,709

108,544
110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
123,378

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
116,677

106,940
108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
121,669

99,303
100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
114,968

3,364
3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,169

95,938
97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
111,800

1988:
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

186,247
186,402
186,522
186,666
186,801
186,949
187,098

1,685
1,673
1,692
1,704
1,687
1,705
1,696

123,209
123,331
123,692
123,688
123,778
124,215
124,259

116,686
116,707
116,895
117,074
117,260
117,652
117,705

121,524
121,658
122,000
121,984
122,091
122,510
122,563

115,001
115,034
115,203
115,370
115,573
115,947
116,009

3,121
3,060
3,142
3,176
3,238
3,238
3,193

1989:
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June

187,340
187,461
187,581
187,708
187,854
187,995

1,696
1,684
1,684
1,684
1,673
1,666

125,124
124,865
124,948
125,343
125,283
125,768

118,407
118,537
118,820
118,797
118,888
119,207

123,428
123,181
123,264
123,659
123,610
124,102

116,711
116,853
117,136
117,113
117,215
117,541

3,300
3,223
3,206
3,104
3,112
3,096

Period

1980

NSA

Labor force
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

Nonagricultural
Civilian
labor force

Agricultural

Total

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc.
2
Civilian labor force (or employment) as percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Unemployment

Civilian
Labor
force
participation
rate
(percent) 2

Employment/
population
ratio
(percent) *

Total

15
weeks
and
over

4,064
4,499
5,852
5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
4,965

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
1,610

63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.9

59.2
59.0
57.8
57.9
59.5
60.1
60.7
61.5
62.3

111,880
111,974
112,061
112,194
112,335
112,709
112,816

5,073
5,102
4,972
4,862
4,727
4,819
5,033

6,523
6,624
6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554

1,543
1,619
1,636
1,568
1,554
1,502
1,495

65.8
65.9
66.0
66.0
66.0
66.1
66.1

62.3
62.3
62.3
62.4
62.4
62.6
62.6

113,411
113,630
113,930
114,009
114,102
114,445

4,837
4,697
4,709
4,930
4,609
4,801

6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561

1,512
1,304
1,310
1,426
1,313
1,258

66.5
66.3
66.3
66.5
66.4
66.6

62.9
62.9
63.0
63.0
63.0
63.1

Total

Part time
for
economic
reasons l

63.8

' Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
estimation procedures.
gource. Department „[ Llbor, Bureau of Ubor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In June, both the overall and the civilian unemployment rates rose slightly, to 5.2 and 5.3 percent, respectively.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20

^4H ^vfc

15

TEENAGERS
(16-19)

10

10

WOMEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

MEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER
0

lll

i
1985

1989

1985

1

1986

1987

i n 1 1 1 H 'f | 1 1 n 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
(1989

1988

•UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED.
SOURCE- DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group)

Period

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers l

By sex and age
All
civilian
workers

Men
20 years
and over

Women
20 years
and
over

By selected groups

By race
Both
sexes
16-19
years

White

Black
and
other

Black

7.1

5.9

7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2
5.5

6.3
8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4
4.8

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4
4.9

17.8
19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9
15.3

6.3
6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3
4.7

13.1
14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6
10.4

14.3
15.6

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5
7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1
5.4

1988: June....
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

5.3
5.4
5.5
5.3
5.3
5.3
5.3

5.4
5.4
5.6
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.3

4.6
4.5
4.9
4.6
4.6
4.8
4.7

4.9
5.0
4.8
4.8
4.7
4.7
4.7

14.1
15.1
15.4
15.5
15.0
14.1
14.8

4.6
4.7
4.9
4.7
4.6
4.6
4.6

1989: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June ....

5.4
5.1
4.9
5.2
5.1
5.2

5.4
5.1
5.0
5.3
5.2
5.3

4.6
4.5
4.2
4.6
4.3
4.3

4.7
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9

16.4
14.8
13.7
14.4
15.2
15.6

4.6
4.3
4.2
4.6
4.4
4.5

1980
1981
1982

1
Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
2
Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours.

19




Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) 2

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

10.4
9.8
9.2
8.1

6.9
7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

8.8
9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3

9.1
8.4
7.6

10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1
6.3

18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0
11.7

6.9
7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8
5.2

4.2
4.3
6.5

10.3
10.1
10.0
9.5
9.8
10.0
10.0

11.7
11.5
11.4
10.9
11.2
11.2
11.6

5.1
5.1
5.3
5.1
5.0
5.1
5.0

3.2
3.1
3.4
3.1
3.1
3.3
3.1

7.9
8.5
7.5
8.1
7.9
7.7
8.2

5.0
5.0
5.3
5.1
5.0
5.0
5.1

7.7
8.0
7.4
7.4
7.4
7.1
7.0

6.3
6.4
6.4
6.3
6.1
6.2
6.3

10.6
10.6
9.8
9.6
9.5
10.3

12.0
11.9
10.9
10.8
11.0
11.9

5.2
4.8
4.7
5.1
4.9
5.0

3.1
3.1
2.9
3.2
2.9
2.8

8.0
8.0
7.9
7.6
8.3
7.9

5.0
4.8
4.8
5.0
4.8
4.8

7.9
7.3
6.2
7.2
6.9
7.7

6.2
5.9
5.8
6.0
5.9
6.1

6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9
3.3

9.2
10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

7.9
8.5
11.0

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In June, the percentage of the unemployed who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks rose and the
percentages for 5-14 weeks, for 15-26 weeks, and for 27 weeks and over fell. The mean duration of
unemployment fell and the median duration rose.

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

70

70

REASON FOR UNEMPLOYMENT

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT

60

—

50

-'•

40

-

30

REENTRANTS

-

V--A-.
20
O$ LEAVERS

10 -

- 10
N£W ENTRANTS
iniiliii
1985

1985

1989

1986

1987

1988

1989

"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Duration of unemployment

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

Pereent distribution
Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
6,701

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7
46.0

6,523
6,624
6,797
6,614
6,518
6,563
6,554
6,716
6,328
6,128
6,546
6,395
6,561

Reason for unemployment:
percent distribution

Insured

State
programs

Number of
weeks

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Median

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6
30.0

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7
12.0

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0
12.1

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5
13.5

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5
5.9

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0
46.1

47.3
44.9
46.8
47.4
47.4
47.6
46.2

29.2
30.7
29.0
28.8
28.5
29.5
31.1

11.4
12.4
12.3
11.8
12 2
12.0
11.5

12.1
11.9
11.9
12.1
11.9
10.9
11.2

13.2
13.5
13.5
13.5
13.4
12.6
12.8

5.9
6.2
5.9
5.7
5.7
5.6
5.8

47.0
50.6
49.4
47.2
47.7
50.4

30.7
29.1
29.4
31.1
31.7
30.4

11.2
10.4
10.5
10.5
11.0
10.0

11.1
10.0
10.7
11.3
9.6
9.1

12.7
12.1
12.4
12.7
11.8
11.1

5.7
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.3
55

Job
leavers

Insured
unemployment

ployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) 1

Reentrants

New
entrants

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0
14.7

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6
27.0

11.4
11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4
12.2

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332
2,056

488
460
583
438
377
396
378
328
306

3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401
2,125

46.7
46.1
46.2
46.7
45.9
46.2
46.5

14.5
13.8
14.6
14.9
15.3
14.7
15.1

26.6
28.1
27.3
26.8
27.2
26.9
26.2

12.2
1L9
11.9
11.5
11.6
12.2
12.1

2,050
2,082
2,069
2,025
1,972
1,989
2,032

304
327
305
293
296
301
309

1,881
2,052
1,914
1,734
1,677
1,857
2,205

46.4
45.2
46.0
45.7
42.7
42.0

14.7
15.5
14.4
15.0
17.5
15.5

27.3
27.3
28.1
29.0
29.1
31.2

11.6
12.0
11.6
10.3
10.7
11.3

2,061
2,105
2,143
2,105
2,063
2,134

293
309
323
300
317
335

2,685
2,695
2,567
2,221

Job
losers

Initial
claims

Weekly average, thousands

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:

June
July
Sept

Oct
Dec
1989:

Jan
Fob

Mar
Mav

1
Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (RR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistic and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 180,000 in June.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
7101

."''

.XI

26
SERVICES

100

ALL NONAGRICULTURAL
ESTABLISHMENTS

24

90

s"'

-

V-l
~

^.

---""

-

22

—

80

"V

RETAIL TRADE

—

SERVICE-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

70

-

20

18

^— -

—• "

r^

•

^\ 1
UOVhKNMfcN
J__-A-J—--"*

Timlmiiliimlmiihiiiihiiii mull mi)

60

MANUFACTURING

20

50

\

—,

18

40

1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 M 1 1 1 1 it

IIMIlltllll 1 1 1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
T

1 Ilk

1

GOODS-PRODUCING
INDUSTRIES

30

20 Hhuili
1985

1986

1987

1988

1985

1989

1989

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; l seasonally adjusted]

-1

Penou

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

Manufacturing
Total 2

Construction

Total

1985
1986
1987
1988

90,406
91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,525
102,200
105,584

25,658
25*497
23,813
23*334
24,727
24*859
24,558
24J708
25,249

4,346
4*,188
3,905
3348
4,383
4*373
4,816
4367
5,125

20,285
20470
18,781
18434
19,378
19*,260
18,965
19324
19,403

1988: June...
July....
Aug....
Sept....
Oct
Nov....
Dec

105,561
105,768
105,954
106,207
106,475
106,824
107,097

25,265
25,323
25,303
25,313
25,384
25,460
25,513

5,139
5,150
5,153
5,163
5,162
5,191
5,213

1989:

107,442
107,711
107,888
108,101
108,308
108,488

25,626
25,629
25,646
25,671
25,661
25,610

5,267
5,270
5,252
5,279
5,278
5,270

Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr r...
May r..
June p

Service-producing industries

Goods-producing industries

T notal
tn]
nonagricultural
employment

c

D m-oHlo
urauie
goods

Nondurable
goods

12,187
12*,109
11,039
10*,732
11,505
11,490
11,230

8,098
8361
7,741

Transportation
and
public
utilities

"R
of oil
netan
trade

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

6,676

19,096
19,139
19,182
19,188
19,229
19,282
19,328

6,672
6,678
6,686
6,695
6,710
6,726
6,744

25,597
25,683
25,784
25,888
25,986
26,111
26,230

17,362
17,350
17,376
17,471
17,484
17,525
17,523

2,956
2,958
2,967
2,985
2,986
2,983
2,981

19,407
19,460
19,488
19,489
19,524
19,525

6,746
6,763
6,774
6,776
6,790
6,801

26,318
26,434
26,520
26,651
26,728
26,887

17,545
17,587
17,597
17,626
17,683
17,715

2,978
2,982
2,982
2,982
2,998
2,998

6,027
6,038
6,051
6,071
6,086
6,104
6,125

5,654
5,667
5,666
5,682
5,700
5,721

6,146
6,171
6,197
6,206
6,222
6,229

19,400
19,448
19,425
19,431
19,505
19,557
19,589

11,431
11,475
11,462
11,464
11,509
11,545
11,565

7,969
7,973
7,963
7,967
7,996
8,012
8,024

80,296
80,445
80,651
80,894
81,091
81,364
81,584

19,648
19,648
19,680
19,672
19,661
19,630

11,605
11,594
11,604
11,600
11,591
11,561

8,043
8,054
8,076
8,072
8,070
8,069

81,816
82,082
82,242
82,430
82,647
82,878

5,111

Federal

15337
15369
16,024
16394
16,693
17310
17,372

5,542
5,557
5,572
5,581
5,596
5,616
5,634

11*,437

5,159
5^238
5,255
5372
5,548

Total

2,866
2,772
2,739
2,774
2,807
2,875
2,899
2,943
2,971

5,753
5344
6,029

7,873
7*,770
7,734
7330
7,967

1

5,275
5,358
5,278
5,268
5,555

Government
Services

17,890
18319
19,036
19J694
20,797
22*000
23,053
24*236
25,600

5,160
5J298
5,341
5J468
5,689
5355
6,283

5,146
5,165
5,082
4
954
^IV^^

1,102

Wholesale
trade

15,035
15J189
15,179
15*613
16,545
17*356
17,930
18*483
19,110

64,748
65*659
65,753
66366
69,769
72360
74,967
77*492
80,335

1
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments who
received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad




Total

6,54:1

16,241

weather, etc., even if they are not paid for the time off; and which are based on a sample of the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS, HOURLY EARNINGS, AND WEEKLY
EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gross weekly earnings

Average gross hourly
earnings

Average weekly hours

Total i rivate
nonagric

Manufacturing
Total
private
nonagricultural l

Period

Total

35.3
35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.7
34,7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.8
34.7
34.7
34.8
34.6
34.7
34.9
34.6
34.6

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- June
July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr '
May T.
June p

39.7
39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0
41.1
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.1
41.2
41.2
41.0
41.1
41.1
41.0
41.3
41.0
40.9

Overtime

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.9
3.9
3.9
4.0
3.9
3.8
3.8

Total
private
nonagricultural 1

Manufacturing

$6.66
7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98
9.29
9.27
9.31
9.32
9.37
9.43
9.42
9.45
9.49
9.52
9.54
9.61
9.61
9.62

1

Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
Current dollar earnings divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earners and clerical
workers (on a 1977 = 100 base).
2

$7.27
7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91
10.18
10.18
10.18
10.21
10.25
10.29
10.30
10.31
10.33
10.37
10.40
10.40
10.42
10.45
3

Current dollars

Current
dollars

1977
dollars "

Manufacturing

Construction

Retail
trade

$235.10

$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28
167.81
167.89
168.39
166.82
167.68
168.55
167.28
167.39
167.55
166.44
166.44
167.53
165.18
165.10

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31
418.40
418.40
418.40
418.61
421.28
423.95
424.36
422.71
424.56
426.21
426.40
429.52
427.22
427.41

$367.78
399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.75
480.44
493.08
494.16
493.29
492.53
494.05
499.66
503.04
497.07
496.89
498.39
501.23
505.21
494.54
497.96

$147.38
158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
178.70
183.62
183.33
185.18
183.57
185.08
186.30
185.60
187.11
187.40
186.41
186.98
189.44
187.56
188.43

255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50
322.36
321.67
323.99
322.47
325.14
328.16
326.87
327.92
330.25
329.39
331.04
335.39
332.51
332.85

Percent change from a
year ear ier, total
private
nonagricultural 3
Current
dollars
6.9

8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5
3.2
3.3
4.1
2.8
4.2
4.1
3.3
3.9
4.2
3.5
4.1
4.5
3.3
3.2

1977
dollars
-5.8
15
-1.2
1.9
.9
14
.4
10
-.9
-.5
.1
-1.2
0
-.1
9
-.5
o

12
-.8
7
-2.0
19

Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics

EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX—PRIVATE INDUSTRY
[Not seasonally adjusted]
Percent change from

Index (June 1981 = 100)

12 months earlier

3 months earlier
Period

1980:
198119821983198419851986:
19871988'
1986:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dee
Dec
Mar

Sent
Dec
1987- Mar
June
Sept
Dec
1988- Mar
June
Sept
Dec
1989' Mar
June

. ..

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Benefits '

94.7
104.0
110.7
117.0
122.7
127.5
131.6
136.0
142.6
128.9
129.0
130.8
131.6
132.9
133.8
135.1
136.0
138.1
139.8
141.2
142.6
144.4
146.1

95.4
103.8
110.3
115.8
120.6
125.6
129.5
133.8
139.3
126.8
129.9
128.8
129.5
130.8
131.7
133.0
133.8
135.1
136.6
137.9
139.3
140.8
142.2

93.0
104.3
111.7
120.0
127.9
132.4
136.9
141.7
151.3
134.2
134.8
136.1
136.9
138.1
139.3
140.3
141.7
146.1
148.2
149.7
151.3
154.0
156.5

1
Employer costs for employee benefits.
NOTE.—The employment cost index is a measure of the change in the c t of labor, free from the
influence of employment shifts among occupations and industries.




Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

Total
compensation

Wages and
salaries

2.1
2.0
1.3
1.2
1.3
.6
.6
.7
1.0
1.1
.8
.7
.6

2.0
1.8
1.2
1.1
1.2
.6
.5
.6
1.0
1.0
.9
.7
.5

2.2
2.3
1.5
1.3
1.4
.5
.6
1.0
1.1
1.4
.4
1.0
.6

9.8
9.8
6.4
5.7
4.9
3.9
3.2
3.3
4.9
3.8
3.8
3.2
3.2

9.0
8.8
6.3
5.0
4.1
4.1
3.1
3.3
4.1
3.9
3.7
3.1
3.1

11.8
12.2
7.1
7.4
6.6
3.5
3.4
3.5
6.8
3.2
3.5
3.3
3.4

1.0
.7
1.0
.7

1.0
.7
1.0
.6

.9
.9
.7
1.0

3.1
3.0
3.3
3.3

3.2
3.0
3.3
3.3

1.5
1.2
1.0
1.0

1.0
1.1
1.0
1.0

3.1
1.4
1.0
1.1

3.9
4.5
4.5
4.9

3.3
3.7
3.7
4.1

1.3
1.2

1.1
1.0

1.8
1.6

4.6
4.5

4.2
4.1

2.9
3.3
3.1
3.5
5.8
6.4
6.7
6.8
5.4
5.6

Benefits '

Benefits '

Data exclude farm and household workers.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15

PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output per hour of
all persons
Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Output '
Business
sector

Hours of all
persons z

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Compensation per
hour 3

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real compensation
per hour 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labor costs
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Implicit price
deflator 5
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

1977 = 100; quarterly data seasonally adjusted

1983
1984

99.3
100.7
100.3
103.0
105.5

98.8
99.8
99.2
102.5
104.6

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.5
108.2
105.2
106.8
112.9

108.0
108.7
105.7
107.5
114.0

131.5
143.7
154.9
161.4
167.9

131.3
143.6
154.8
161.5
167.8

96.7
95.8
97.3
98.2
97.9

96.6
95.8
97.2
98.3
97.9

132.5
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.0
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3
159.0

1985
1986. .
1987
1988

107.7
110.1
111.0
112.2

106.1
108.2
109.0
110.6

124.2
128.6
133.3
139.4

123.9
128.2
133.0
139.9

115.3
116.8
120.1
124.3

116.8
118.5
122.1
126.6

175.5
183.1
190.4
199.4

174.9
182.3
189.4
198.0

98.8
101.2
101.5
102.1

98.5
100.8
101.0
101.4

162.9
166.3
171.5
177.8

164.9
168.6
173.8
179.1

162.2
165.8
170.5
175.7

16&%"
167.8
172.5
177.3

IV
IV
IV
IV

101.0
103.8
105.9
108.5

99.7
103.3
104.9
106.5

105.0
113.6
120.8
125.9

104.2
114.1
120.7
125.5

103.9
109.4
114.0
116.1

104.5
110.4
115.1
117.9

158.3
163.6
170.3
178.8

158.2
163.4
170.2
177.9

98.0
98.1
98.0
99.4

97.9
97.9
98.0
98.9

156.8
157.6
160.7
164.8

158.7
158.2
162.3
167.1

150.2
155.2
159.8
163.7

151.4
156.2
161.0
165.5

1986: HI
IV

110.0
109.8

108.0
107.8

128.5
129.3

128.1
128.8

116.8
117.8

118.6
119.5

184.0
186.2

183.1
185.4

101.6
102.1

101.2
101.7

167.3
169.6

169.5
172.1

167.0
167.5

169.0
169.5

1987: I

109.9
110.6
111.7
111.8

107.8
108.6
109.6
109.9

130.5
132.2
134.3
136.2

130.1
131.9
134.1
136.0

118.8
119.5
120.3
121.8

120.7
121.5
122.3
123.8

187.3
189.0
191.1
194.0

186.4
187.9
190.0
192.9

101.4
101.1
101.3
101.9

100.9
100.5
100.7
101.4

170.5
170.8
171.1
173.5

172.9
173.0
173.3
175.6

168.7
170.1
171.2
171.9

170.9
171.9
173.2
174.0

112.8
111.8
112.3
112.0

110.8
110.1
110.7
110.9

138.0
138.8
139.8
140.9

137.9
139.2
140.5
142.1

122.3
124.1
124.5
125.8

124.4
126.4
126.9
128.1

195.8
198.1
201.1
203.2

194.6
196.6
199.4
201.9

101.9
102.0
102.4
102.3

101.3
101.3
101.5
101.7

173.5
177.1
179.0
181.4

175.7
178.6
180.2
182.0

172.3
174.7
176.8
179.0

174.2
176.2
178.0
180.6

112.5

110.6

142.7

142.9

126.8

129.2

205.9

204.6

102.3

101.7

183.0

185.0

180.5

182.0

1980
1981
1982.

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

n
ni
IV

1988: I

n
m
IV

1989: I

Percent change; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates

1982
1983
1984

-0.3
1.4
-.4
2.7
2.5

-0.4
1.0
6
3.3
2.1

1i
2.1
-3.1
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
33
5.0
8.3

-0.8
.7
-2.8
1.5
5.7

-0.7
.7
-2.7
1.6
6.0

10.5
9.2
7.8
4.2
4.1

10.5
9.4
7.8
4.3
3.9

-2.7
-1.0
1.6
.9
-.2

-2.7
-.8
1.5
1.1
-.4

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

1985
1986
1987
1988

2.1
2.2
.8
1.1

1.4
2.0
.8
1.5

4.2
3.5
3.6
4.6

3.9
3.5
3.8
5.2

2.1
1.3
2.8
3.5

2.5
1.5
3.0
3.7

4.5
4.3
4.0
4.8

4.2
4.2
3.8
4.6

.9
2.4
.3
.6

.6
2.3
.2
.4

2.4
2.1
3.1
3.7

2.8
2.2
3.1
3.1

2.5
2.3
2.8
3.1

3.0
2.4
2.8
2.8

IV
IV
IV
IV

3.0
3.1
1.7
.7

2.4
1.4
1.2
.2

-.5
10.4
3.5
3.6

-1.2
9.8
3.1
3.5

-3.4
7.1
1.8
2.9

-3.5
8.2
1.9
3.4

4.5
5.5
3.8
5.4

5.0
4.3
3.9
5.1

3.2
1.4
.3
1.2

3.8
.2
.4
.9

1.5
2.3
2.1
4.7

2.6
2.8
2.7
4.9

2.4
4.8
2.7
2.6

3.0
3.1
3.3
2.1

1986: HI
IV

-1.4
-.8

-1.5
-.9

.9
2.5

.8
2.4

2.3
3.4

2.4
3.3

4.4
4.8

4.3
5.1

2.0
2.0

1.9
2.2

5.8
5.7

5.9
6.1

5.0
1.1

5.1
1.2

.3
2.7
3.9
.6

.0
3.2
3.7
.9

3.7
5.3
6.6
5.7

4.0
5.7
6.8
5.9

3.4
2.5
2.6
5.1

4.0
2.5
2.9
4.9

2.5
3.6
4.6
6.2

2.1
3.4
4.5
6.4

-2.8
-1.2
.9
2.4

-3.2
-1.4
.7
2.6

2.2
.8
.7
5.6

2.1
_2
.7
5.4

3.0
3.2
2.8
1.4

3.3
2.3
3.1
1.8

3.5
-3.4
1.7
-1.0

3.4
-2.4
2.0
1.0

5.5
2.4
2.8
3.3

5.6
4.0
3.5
4.8

1.9
6.0
1.1
4.3

2.1
6.6
1.5
3.7

3.7
4.8
6.2
4.3

3.5
4.2
5.7
5.2

.0
.3
1.4
2

^
-.3
.9
.7

.2
8.5
4.4
5.4

.1
6.8
3.7
4.1

1.0
5.8
4.7
5.1

.6
4.7
4.1
6.0

-1.1

5.1

2.2

3.4

3.4

5.4

5.4

.0

.0

3.6

6.6

3.6

3.2

1980
1981....

1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

1987: I

n
m
IV

1988: I

n
m
IV

1989: I

1.7

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persons engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
4
Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.

16



5
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.
NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are based on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Data do not reflect revisions beginning 1986 of GNP and related items published July 27, 1989.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production and capacity utilization fell slightly again in June.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
160

TOTAL INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

140

120

INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
240
FINAL PRODUCTS
220

_— -*

r---^

*" •v

.

SPACE
euuiPMENl

200
180
^-^

100

' "

•"'"

•<*.s~ -"*•""

120

CONSUMER
GOODS

NONDURABLE

120

iiii;li|iii miilitm

100
100

Minium

Illlillllll

Illlillllll

Illlillllll Illlillllll

UTILITIES AND MINING PRODUCTION
120

UTILITIES

pe-,^_^

f- f''""4

-s v X A~-

•^^T^~

-—'
80

-V^__-q

1985

1986

?987

\^-^

1988

^~"1
-

—

MINING

iimium nnilnm Illlillllll Minlmii

Illlillllll Illlillllll IMI.IlMM

/*""*

V

100

^

PERCENT*
100
CAPACITY UTILIZATION RATE
(TOTAL INDUSTRY)
90

140

A-»~*

^~

i

DURABLE
"^~='

^

140

MANUFACTURING PRODUCTION

r

^

BUSINESS
EQUIPMENT

Illlillllll

160
140

~

160

miilmn Illlillllll Illlillllll

DEFEH-E AND

70

Illlillllll
!989

Minium mnlmii imiliMii Illlillllll
!985

1986

1987

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

1988

Illlillllll
J989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Period
Index,
1977=100

Mining
Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

-1.9
2.2
-7.1
5.9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8
5.7

84.21
108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
134.7
142.7

49.10
109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1
141.9

35.11
107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
136.8
143.9

9.83
112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
100.7
103.4

5.96
107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3
114.3

80.9
79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7
83.3

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.1
83.5

Nov
Dec

136.5
138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

5.7
5.7
5.5
5.7
5.2
5.1
4.9

142.1
143.6
144.0
144.4
145.3
145.8
146.3

141.7
142.9
143.2
143.8
144.6
145.2
145.7

142.6
144.6
145.1
145.3
146.3
146.7
147.1

103.0
104.3
103.8
103.7
103.1
104.7
104.9

113.2
114.4
117.8
113.0
113.9
113.7
115.4

83.0
83.7
83.8
83.7
84.0
84.1
84.3

83.3
84.0
84.0
84.0
84.3
84.4
84.4

Jan
Feb
.. ..
Mar r
Apr '
May r
June "

140.8
140.5
140.7
141.6
141.4
141.1

4.8
4.5
4.4
4.6
3.9
3.4

147.2
146.8
147.0
147.8
147.7
147.7

146.2
145.9
145.8
146.9
146.7
146.5

148.5
148.1
148.6
149.2
149.2
149.3

103.0
100.9
101.5
102.6
102.3
101.2

114.0
116.5
117.5
117.4
117.1
115.7

84.3
83.9
83.8
84.1
83.8
83.5

84.7
84.3
84.1
84.4
84.1
83.8

1988- June
July
Sept
Oct

1

Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

100.0
108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1989:

Capacity utilization
rate, percent l

Industry production indexes, 1977 — 100

Total
industrial
production

Output as percent of capacity.




Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977= 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Products

Materials

Final products

Intermediate products

Consumer goods

Equipment

Period
Total
Total

1980
1981
1982 . .
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- June
July
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar

r

Apr r... . .
May r
June "

44.77

25.52

112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
144.3
144.0
145.0
145.8
145.8
146.4
146.8
147.7
148.2
148.6
148.9
150.0
149.9
149.7

102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8
133.9
133.0
134.2
135.0
134.8
136.4
136.8
138.2
138.5
138.7
138.4
139.2
138.7
138.3

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2
125.3
125.3
125.3
125.7
126.3
129.3
129.2
131.9
131.5
131.6
130.1
131.8
130.9
129.8

18.63
108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
137.1

135.8
137.5
138.5
138.0
139.0
139.7
140.5
141.1
141.4
141.4
141.9
141.6
141.5

Total '

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

14.34
125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
157.6

3.67
115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
185.8

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4
151.5

158.1
159.3
160.2
160.8
160.2
161.2
162.6
163.8
165.0
166.3
167.7
168.4
168.0

184.6
184.9
184.9
184.5
184.0
182.2
180.5

150.0
151.6
152.3
152.9
154.0
154.2
155.0

180.0
179.3
178.7
179.9
180.1
180.4

156.6
155.1
156.1
156.6
156.6
156.6

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6
148.9
158.2
158.5
159.4
160.1
160.4
159.7
159.9
160.4

161.1
161.6
162.8
164.3
164.8
164.7

Total

Construction
supplies

5.95
100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
138.6
137.6
138.4
138.1
138.4
140.0
140.7
141.4
142.3
139.5
139.3
139.7
139.9
139.9

Business
supplies

Total

Energy

6.99
112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
162.5
160.6
162.8
164.4
165.2
165.9
165.7
166.7
168.8
168.4
170.4
171.0
170.8

42.28

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.8
101.5
101.3
102.7
103.2
101.5
101.3
102.3
102.6
100.5
100.5
101.0
102.0
101.5
100.0

105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2
125.2
124.5
126.4
126.5
126.5
127.5
128.3
128.3
128.1
127.4
127.3
128.1
127.8
127.3

well drilling and manufactured homes, not shown separately.

[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Nondurable manufactures

Durable manufactures
Transportation
equipment

Primary metals
Iron and
steel

Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

Period
Total

1977 proportion....
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

5.33
90.4
95.0
65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
89.2

3.49
86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
78.1

. 6.46
101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
120.9

9.54
123.3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.7
170.8

1988:

87.5
91 5
90.8
93.1
94.2
92.7
90.0

74.2
80.2
78.9
81.4
83.1
80.8
77.6

120.4
121.7
122.1
122.5
122.6
124.6
125.1

171.2
173.1
174.1
174.8
173.8
175.4
177.8

93.2
91.1
88.4
90.1
87.7
882

82.2
79.1
75.9
77.0
73.5

124.5
124.5
123.8
123.1
123.8
123.4

178.7
180.8
183.0
184.7
185.6
186.1

June.
July

Aue
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr r
May r

June p

Source: Board of Go-

s of the Federal Reserve System.

18



Electrical
machinery

7.15
130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
180.1
179.5
181.5
182.2
181.8
183.0
182.2
180.9 .
180.9
181.7
181.6
182.1
181.0
181.5

Total

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.1
132.8
131.9
131.8
132.7
134.8
135.2
136.8
136.7
136.4
134.8
136.4
135.1
133.4

Lumber
and
products

Apparel
products

Printing
and
publishing

cals
and
products

Foods

5.25
71.1
71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
117.2

2.30
92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3
137.3

2.79
97.3
96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4
109.1

4.54
115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
184.2

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2
151.9

7.96
111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
142.7

119.1
116.6
117.5
118.5
121.7
122.9
125.5

136.4
136.6
133.8
133.5
137.5
139.4
143.0

109.3
109.4
108.9
109.9
109.5
110.1
108.8

182.3
184.9
186.7
188.0
188.1
188.5
188.0

141.3
143.3
143.3
143.2
144.0
145.7
145.8

124.9
123.4
120.4
122.0
119.1
116.1

139.9
132.8
133.4
134.8
134.4

110.2
110.2
109.9
110.6

193.0
194.6
198.5
200.0
199.6
200.9

150.5
153.4
154.8
155.3
156.7
157.5
158.1
159.0
158.5
159.2
159.3
158.5

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

146.6
146.3
145.4
146.4
147.4

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Construction contracts 3

Private
Period

Total new
construction
expenditures

Residential
Total

New housing
units

Total >

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(1982=100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

Billions of dollars
1979 '
1980 r
1981 r

253.0
252.8

201.3
194.3

261.3

204.7

1982
1983 '
1984 r
1985 '
1986 r
1987 r
1988 r

248.0
282.4
329.6
356.6
387.0
397.7
409.7

194.3
228.7

271.9
292.6

315.3
320.1
328.7

42.0
46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
76.5
79.8

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.9
138.9

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
194.7
198.1

42.8
47.2
50.5
50.9
49.3
49.4
51.4
50.2
48.9
50.8

109
97"
100

51.7
58.5

56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.1
71.7
77.6
80.9

100
124
136
150
158
164
161

Annual rates

Annual rates

1988: May '

408.0
408.7

July r
Sept

410.7
408.1
411.5
411.1
415.4

r

Oct
Nov . .
Dec

1989:

425.0

Jan
Peb
Mar

424.8

418.5
419.2
415.9
421.3

Apr
May "
June p

321.6
328.0

328.1
329.2
329.8

331.4
332.8
336.3
339.5
335.0
340.4

335.1
335.1

1,059
904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,019
942

200.8
202.0
202.5

138.3
137.5
137.0
137.0
138.0
139.8
141.9
143.3

81.0
82.0
81.4
80.6
79.7
79.1
78.8
80.6

49.6
49.9
49.9
51.0
51.9
51.5
51.9
53.2

80.4
80.8
82.5
78.9
81.7
79.7
82.6
88.8

166
169
160
162
157
164
158
163

860
904
954
905
880
841
839
942

204.7
202.3
204.5
203.9
200.7

145.6
145.3
143.2
142.1
138.6

82.5
81.1
84.2
79.4
81.2

52.2
51.6
51.8
51.9
53.1

85.3
83.4
78.7
80.8
86.2

155
148
150
163
159
157

943
850
856
836
905
938

197.0
196.2
196.8
197.6
198.3

1
Includes
2
Includes
3

residential improvements, not shown separately.
hotels and motels.
F.W. Dodge series.

NOTE.—New construction expenditures series revised beginning 1975.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Systems
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New private homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1979

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

1 unit

2-4 units

5 or more units

Units
authorized

1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5
1,488.1

1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,119.4
1,146.4
1,081.3

1,463
1,478
1,459
1,463
1,532
1,567
1,577

1,088
1,067
1,076
1,039
1,136
1,138
1,141

62
50
59
62
63
68
65

313
361
324
362
333
361
371

1,485
1,425
1,466
1,432
1,526
1,508
1,518

1,678
1,465
1,409
1,343
1,309
1,400

1,199
1,029
981
1,029
977
975

66
62
50
62
40
53

413
374
378
252
292
372

1,486
1,403
1,230
1,334
1,347
1,308

122.0
109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3
58.8

576.1

1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3

542.0
408.7
348.0

l!534.8
1,455.6

429.0
330.5
287.7

319.6
522.0
544.0

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period l
3

397

Vacancy rate
for rental
housing units
(percent) 2

5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7
5.9
6.5
1.3
7.7
7.7

1,870.8
1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,156.4
1,668.8
1,529.8

709
545
436
412
623
639
688
150
671
676

1,517
1,528
1,539
1,536
1,516
1,429
1,539

716
701
712
691
718
650
669

367
365
363
361
353
364
366

'i.'s

1,537
1,610
1,459
1,553
1,436

700
621
547
597
613

369
375
377
377
382

7.3

337
275
253
301
353
346
351
365
366

Seasonally adjusted annual rates
1988: June....
July
Sept

Oct
Nov.
Dec

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
May

r

June *
1

Seasonally adjusted.
2
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New series beginning March 1979.




r

7.7

7.3

7.3

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are-for 17,000 permit-issuing places; for 1978-88 data
are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In May, manufacturing and trade sales were about unchanged from their April level and inventories rose $5.5
billion. In June, according to advance data, retail sales fell 0.4 percent, following a decline of 0.1 percent in May.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

800

240

-"
700

__-r —^

-

220

^—

200

MANl FACTURING AND

600

180

TRAC)E INVENTOR IES

-

-

RETAIL INVENTORIES"

160

500

.— — —

400

140

—

r'\"
A/ ANUFACTUR IWfi

/v

120

A gD TRADE Si UES

-

RETAIL SALES

-

100
lllllllllll

lllllllllll

300

-

RATIO*
1.80
_

-

Minium

INVENTORY-SALES RATIO

1.60
1.40

200

MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

1.20

lllllllllll lllllllllll
1985

1986

1.00 I i i i i i f | i i n

|llll{ll||l lll!l|lll« lllllllllll
1987
1988
1989

1986

1985

1987

"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Manufacturing
and
trade 1
Inventories 3

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Wholesale

Inventory-sales ratio 4

Be tail
Inventories 3

Sales 2

Period
Sales 2

1988

Sales

2

Inventories 3

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

Manufacturing
and
trade *

61,093
64,754
68,985
72,434
74,802
79,077
83,384

134,468
147,377
167,159
180,825
185,224
206,981
221,242

61,469
68,984
79,257
88,608
90,477
106,271
114,994

72,999
78,393
87,902
92,217
94,747
100,710
106,248

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51
1.50

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.56
1.57

82,118
82,764
83,378
84,119
84,324
85,117
85,599
85,035

208,346
210,824
211,534
215,396
219,297
216,724
218,093
221,242

105,757
107,064
107,443
110,146
114,303
111,689
112,904
114,994

102,589
103,760
104,091
105,250
104,994
105,035
105,189
106,248

1.50
1.49
1.50
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.49
1.49

1.55
1.56
1.56
1.58
1.62
1.57
1.56
1.59

86,225
86,357
86,630
87,512
r
87,646
87,830

222,584
224,185
224,693
226,656
228,778

115,704
116,169
115,993
117,093
117,735

106,880
108,016
108,700
109,563
111,043

1.48
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.50

1.59
1.61
1.61
1.60
1.62

Nondurable goods
stores

Retail

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986

574,491
590,358
644,306
655,066
653,853
700,761
753,718

96,290
100,244
113,195
114,315
115,677
123,581
132,361

128,196
130,334
142,380
146,745
152,447
162,648
178,313

478,467
486,359
486,193
492,491
492,478
498,846
501,400
506,186

718,506
724,966
729,903
737,562
744,054
743,544
746,756
753,718

128,687
132,317
133,833
134,726
135,332
138,087
137,239
136,170

170,086
172,179
174,581
176,368
176,972
177,408
177,060
178,313

511,881
507,328
507,555
517,745
517,461

759,803
763,051
765,504
771,340
776,843

140,356
139,547
139,991
142,290
143,047

179,761 140,040
179,810 139,428
179,681 139,516
181,226 141.413
182,654 ' 141, 295
140,777

1987
1988

348,747
368,813
407,869
418,151
423,700
449,536
485,756

1988: Mayr
July
Sept
Oct

Dec

1989:

Jan
Feb.
Mar
Apr r
May"
June p

r

'See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period.

2

3

20



28,013
32,574
37,819
41,387
44,861
47,707
52,379

89,107
97,328
106,805
113,821
119,663
126,785
135,763
134,003
!35,161
135,662
136,050
135,751
137,842
139,529
139,189

r

r

51,885
52,397
52,284
51,931
51,427
52,725
53,930
54,154

53,815
53,071
52,886
53,901
r
53,649
52,947
4

r

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In May, manufacturers' shipments and new orders fell, while inventories and unfilled orders rose. In June, according
to advance data, durable goods shipments fell and new orders rose.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

280
240

480
440
400
360

SHIPMENT';

200

•—^•"

^—1

•—

r *
1 TOTAL

160

280

DURABLE GOODS

—
^

-'-

__„

..

•"

.

•

"

-i

TOTAL
i

^

L'— • -- —"*

—-_

-

.

— -— £ —— -*"

200

\

mJRABLE GOC n<=,

160

— •-—' \

80
60

...

1

120

INVENTORIES

120

NONDURABLE G<3ODS

"~\~~~

Iiuiiiiiii Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll iiuiiiiiii

BILLIC3NS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

r^^

11r^^

RATIC *

TOTAL

160

2.20

DUf ABLE GOOD>5

120

A %^./

•-"_
---

v

•

80

imilmii iimlnm Illllllllll Illllllllll III||I|I1II

"S.—l^V

—
~^ <" \

•~'

80
60

NEW ORDERS

240

9OO *—^-

\
NO NDURABLE <3OODS

.-•--

INVENTORY-SHIPMENTS RATIO

2.00
1.80
"~^1

1.60

vIDURABLE C

-

r^

1.40

60

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

iiuiiiiiii

Illllllllll

1986

1988

1989

1985

1987

1.20

\ 1 I \ 1 1 1 1 1 11

1985

1986

ii 1 1 tl 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ii i iiuiiiiiii
1987
1989
1988

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufacturers' shipments 1

Manufacturers' inventories

Manufacturers' new orders l

2

Durable goods
Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Durable
goods

Total

Nondurable goods

Total

Capital
goods
industries,
nondefense

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 2

78,338
87,600
98,581
99,843
100,166
107,770
119,634
115,369
125,442
116,112
122,806
119,321
122,791
123,035
132,149
128,479
124,107
125,377
129,372
r
123,677
124,102

21,661
22,098
26,243
27,067
26,551
29,707
35,028
31,522
35,458
36,213
38,808
34,858
34,623
35,825
39,432
40,352
37,189
38,137
40,389
* 37,294
37,491

83,935
86,522
91,209
91,075
88,497
94,197
101,993
101,029
102,648
103,765
104,203
103,348
104,304
105,118
106,737
107,596
107,199
107,634
110,535
110,000

314,270
349,419
372,586
383,181
387,065
421,243
468,860
434,148
443,357
446,536
451,830
453,103
457,281
460,802
468,860
473,450
476,403
481,366
487,231
487,789

Total

Manufacturers'
inventory —
shipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted
1982
1983
1984
1985

1986
1987
1988
1988: May
July....

1989:

1
2

Sept...
Oct
Nov.
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar. .
Apr r
May ".
June p

163,350
171,242
187,869
190,016
188,360
199,170
217,632
215,777
218,881
216,698
221,715
221,395
222,917
224,632
230,827
231,485
228,353
228,048
234,042
233,119

79,352
84,956
96,623
99,019
99,989
105,291
115,684
114,751
116,522
113,122
117,866
118,030
118,439
119,874
124,175
123,578
120,924
120,432
123,331
r
122,943
121,587

83,998
86,286
91,246
90,996
88,371
93,879
101,948
101,026
102,359
103,576
103,849
103,365
104,478
104,758
106,652
107,907
107,429
107,616
110,711
110,176

311,827
312,647
334,767
327,496
316,182
331,132
354,163
340,074
341,963
343,788
345,798
347,785
349,412
351,603
354,163
357,458
359,056
361,130
363,458
365,411

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales
End of period.




200,825
200,406
218,771
214,066
208,313
216,598
233,666
222,948
224,000
225,467
226,600
228,214
229,735
231,766
233,666
236,810
238,165
239,330
240,486
241,993

111,002
112,241
115,996
113,430
107,869
114,534
120,497
117,126
117,963
118,321
119,198
119,571
119,677
119,837
120,497
120,648
120,891
121,800
122,972
123,418
3

162,273
174,122
189,791
190,918
188,663
201,966
221,627
216,398
228,090
219,877
227,009
222,669
227,095
228,153
238,886
236,075
231,306
233,011
239,907
233,677

Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.58

1.58
1.56
1.59
1.56
1.57
1.57
1.57
1.53
1.54
1.57
1.58
1.55
1.57

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In June, the producer price index for all finished goods fell 0.1 percent. Prices of finished consumer foods fell 0.8
percent and prices of other finished consumer goods fell 0.1 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.7 percent.
INDEX, 1982 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

120

120

110

100

80

1981

1988

1982

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[1982 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Intermediate materials

Finished goods
Finished goods excluding consumer foods
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Total
1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

..

1988' June
July
Sept

1989:

Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb r
Mar
May
June

1

88.0
96.1
100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4
108.0

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5
112.6

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0
106.5

107.6
108.2
108.5
109.1
109.2
109.5
109.9

112.1
112.9
113.6
114.6
114.7
115.1
115.2

106.1
106.6
106.9
107.3
107.4
107.7
108.2

111.1
112.1
112.6
113.1
114.1
114.0

116.7
117.8
118.9
118.2
119.2
118.2

109.3
110.1
110.6
111.4
112.4
112.6

Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.

22



Nondurable

Capital
equipment

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.9
97.3
96.8
97.6
97.6
97.6
97.8
98.3
98.9
100.4
101.6
102.2
104.5
105.8
105.6

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7
114.3
114.0
114.3
114.7
115.7
115.6
115.8
116.2
116.9
117.4
117.5
117.4
117.9
118.7

Consumer goods
Total

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7
103.1
102.7
103.3
103.5
103.7
103.8
104.1
104.7
106.0
107.1
107.6
109.0
110.2
110.1

Durable

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5
113.8
113.4
113.9
114.5
115.1
115.0
115.0
115.4
116.3
116.9
117.2
116.3
117.2
117.4

Total
finished
consumer
goods

Total

Foods
and
feeds '

Other

Crude materials

Total

Foodstuffs
and

Other

stuffs

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6
106.2

90.3
98.6
100.0
100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5
107.1

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2
109.5

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0
103.0
99.3
101.7
106.9

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.7
96.0

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2
106.1

84.6
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9
85.5

105.8
106.5
106.8
107.3
107.4
107.8
108.2

107.1
107.9
108.2
108.6
108.6
109.0
109.5

110.7
115.9
114.9
115.3
115.1
113.2
112.3

107.0
107.4
107.8
108.2
108.3
108.8
109.4

96.9
96.6
97.2
97.1
96.6
94.8
97.8

106.1
108.3
110.9
113.1
113.4
108.8
110.8

86.9
85.2
84.4
83.1
82.0
82.1
85.6

109.5
110.6
111.3
112.0
113.2
112.8

110.8
111.3
112.0
112.5
112.6
112.4

115.2
114.8
116.7
115.2
113.6
111.8

110.5
111.1
111.8
112.3
112.6
112.4

101.8
101.5
103.6
104.2
105.1
103.0

113.3
111.7
115.1
111.9
112.3
109.4

90.2
90.7
91.8
94.8
96.0
94.5

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In June, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.2 percent, seasonally adjusted and not seasonally
adjusted. The index was 5.2 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

120

120
. CONSUMER PRICES—ALL ITEMS .

110

110

100

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

60

1983

1982

Ulllllllll
1988

Ulllllllll

Illllllllil
1981

1984

1987

1986

1985

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

LLLU 60
1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84—100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
All items

1

Transportation

Housing

Medical
care

Energy2

All
items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

3.1
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
80.9

6.0
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
138.6

7.3
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
89.3

48.7
80.6
88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
121.9

Shelter
Period

Rel. imp. 3....
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984 . . ..
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988:
June
July

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1989:
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June

Not
seasonally
adjusted
(NSA)

Seasonally
adjusted

100.0
82 4
90.9
965
99.6
103 9
107.6
1096
113.6
1183

Food
Total '
Total

Renters'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

Homeowners'
costs
(Dec.
1982 =
100)

7.9

19.7

Maintenance
and
repairs
(NSA)

16.2
86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
118.2

42.3
81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
118.5

27.8
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
127.1

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
133.6

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
131.1

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
114.7

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel and
upkeep

Total '

New
cars

Motor
fuel

7.6
75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
104.4

6.4
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
115.4

17.2
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
108.7

4.3
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1
110.6
114.6
116.9

118.0
118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
120.3
120.5

118.1
118.6
119.0
119.5
120.0
120.3
120.7

117.8
118.9
119.5
120.3
120.6
120.8
121.2

118.2
118.5
118.9
119.3
119.6
120.1
120.6

126.7
127.0
127.6
128.1
128.3
128.9
129.4

133.0
133.4
133.8
133.8
134.1
134.2
134.9

130.8
131.2
131.9
132.5
132.7
133.5
133.9

114.7
114.5
115.0
115.3
115.0
115.4
115.8

103.9
104.0
104.0
104.4
105.1
105.5
106.3

115.9
115.7
113.9
116.0
117.4
117.4
117.7

108.4
108.7
109.6
109.7
110.1
110.4
110.4

116.6
116.7
117.0
117.7
117.8
117.9
118.1

80.9
81.3
82.8
82.0
81.3
81.1
79.7

138.4
139.4
140.0
140.7
141.6
142.2
142.9

88.7
88.9
89.5
89.3
89.2
89.5
89.2

121.8
122.2
122.4
123.0
123.8
124.2
124.6

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1

121.4
121.9
122.5
123.3
124.0
124.2

122.1
122.6
123.6
124.2
125.0
125.3

120.9
121.3
121.7
121.8
122.3
122.6

129.7
130.3
131.1
131.2
131.8
132.3

135.2
136.4
138.2
137.3
137.3
138.1

134.2
134.7
135.1
135.6
136.5
136.9

116.1
117.1
117.1
117.3
117.4
118.3

106.9
106.7
106.9
107.4
107.6
107.1

117.7
117.5
119.1
119.4
120.4
119.1

111.2
111.9
112.6
115.0
116.1
115.9

118.9
119.3
119.7
119.8
119.6
119.3

80.5
81.8
83.6
93.0
96.6
95.4

144.0
145.2
145.9
146.6
147.6
148.7

89.9
90.4
91.4
96.1
97.6
96.6

125.4
125.8
126.3
126.6
127.2
127.4

1

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1988.
2




NOTE.—Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for homeownership costs
and therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated on a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics.

«. —

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Change from preceding period

Change from 3 months earlier, annual rate

Change from 6 months earlier, annual rate

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Consumer goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Excluding
foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Change, Dec. to Dec., NSA

11.8
7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3
2.2
4.0

1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

11.4
9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3
3.6

14.1
8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1
-6.6
4.1
3.1

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3

3.5
.6
2.8
2
5.7

13.4
9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4
2.1
2.5

.--

Change, month to month
1988: June
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989:

,

Jan
Peb '
Mar r.

2.9

9.2
6.5
5.4
2.1

2.0
2.4
2.4
4.0
2.0
2.3
3.9

3.2
3.6
6.1
4.6
3.9
1.7

3.6
3.4
4.0
4.4
4.0
3.9
4.3

6.2
4.6
6.7
7.4
7.6
7.1
5.6

2.4
3.2
3.2
3.0
2.2
2.3
3.9

3.2
2.7
2.8
4.5
3.9
3.7
3.9

2.1
2.5
2.6
2.7
3.0
3.3
4.0

7.2
9.7
13.5
5.2
4.8
23

8.8
12.0
11.5
11.8
12.1
9.6

4.6
5.6
4.6
1.7
1.7
4.1

5.4
6.7
6.5
7.3
8.6
7.6

6.8
7.5
7.6
6.2
7.3
5.3

5.3
7.1
7.7
10.3
12.1
10.6

4.6
4.8
3.1
3.1
3.7
4.3

4.5
5.3
5.6
5.6
6.2
5.9

0.2
.6
.3
.6
.1
.3
.4

0.8
.7
.6
.9
.1
.3
.1

-0.2
.6
.2
.2
.1
.3
.6

0.3
.3
.3
.9
-.1
.2
.3

3.0
4.2
4.2
5.7
3.7
3.7
3.0

5.5
8.6
8.9

1.1
.9
.4
.4
.9
— .1

1.3
.9
.9
-.6
.8
-.8

1.2
1.0
.5
1.3
1.1
i

.6
.4
.1
— .]
.4
-7

7.1
9.8
10.2
7.4
7.3
5.1

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted hy NSA]
Housing

Transportation

Shelter
Period

All
items *

Food
Total '
Total '

Homeowners'
costs

Renters'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and
upkeep

New
cars

Total '

Motor
fuel

Addendum: All items, percent change
(annual rate)

All
Medical
care

Energy2

items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

From
previous
quarter 3

From
3
months

From
6
months
earlier

From
year
earlier
NSA

Change, December to December, NSA
1980
1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

12.5
8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4
4.4

10.2
4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5
5.2

13.7
10.2
36

15.0
9.9
24

3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7
4.0

4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8
4.5

5.1

5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9
3.9

4.5
5.1
5.9
4.6
5.3
4.7

0.3
.4
.3
.4
.4
.3
.3

0.6
.9
.5
.7
.2
.2
.3

0.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.4
.4

0.4
.2
.5
.4
2
.5
.4

0.3
.3
.3
0
.2
.1
.5

0.4
.3
.5
.5
.2
.6
.3

-0.1
.1
0
.4
.7
.4
.8

-0.3
-.2
-1.6
1.8
1.2
0
.3

0.2
.3
.8
.1
.4
.3
0

.6
.4
.5
.7
.6
.2

.7
.4
.8
.5
.6
.2

.2
.3
.3
.1
.4
.2

.2
.5
.6
.1
.5
.4

.2
.9
1.3

.2
.4
.3
.4
.7
.3

.6
-.2
.2
.5
.2
-.5

0
-.2
1.4
.3
.8
-1.1

.7
.6
.6
2.1
1.0

13.8
14.4
9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6
1.6
2.9

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8
4.7

14.6
10.9
1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9
6.1
3.0

7.4
18.8
9.4
6.8
1.5 -6.5
3.4 -1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
18.7
1.8
2.1 -2.1

9.9
12.5
11.0
6.4
6.1
6.8
7.7
5.8
6.9

18.0
11.9
1.3
-.5
_2
1.8
-19.7
8.2
.5

5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8
4.7

0.1
.1
.3
.6
.1
.1
.2

-0.6
.5
1.8
-1.0
Q
-.2
-1.7

0.6
.7
.4
.5
.6
.4
.5

-0.2
.2
.7
-.2
-.1
.3
3

0.2
.3
.2
.5
.7
.3
.3

.7
.3
.3
.1
-.2
-.3

1.0
1.6
2.2
11.2
3.9
-1.2

.8
.8
.5
.5
.7
.7

.8
.6
1.1
5'
1.6
— 1.0

.6
.3
.4
2
.5
.2

13 5
10.3
6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6
4.1

9.8
9.4
6.1

Change, month to month
1988: June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989:

Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
May
June

1
2

Y

0
.6

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.

24



9

3

4.0
4.1
4.0
4.2
4.2
4.2
4.4

4.7
5.4
6.1
6.4
7.1
5.7

4.8
4.9
5.1
5.6
6.2
5.9

4.7
4.8
5.0
5.1
5.4
5.2

4.9
4.9
4.5

4.5

4.4

5.4

6.4

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

4.8
4.8
4.4
4.1

4.4
4.4
4.7
4.9
4.8
4.5
4.5

4.5

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in July were 0.7 percent below their June level. Prices paid by farmers in July were 0.6
percent above their April level. (Data are not seasonally adjusted.)
INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977=100 (RATIO SCALE)

180

180

160

160
PRICES PAID

140

140

120

120
PRICES RECEIVED

100

100

80

80

III

60 I l l l l l l l l l l l

120

_
_

100

:r

III

60

RATION

140

80
60

RATIO^

140
120

~~~\_^

mill
1981

100

KAIIO

-

_->_

"~"-1,

—-—^-——11

\^

- 80
-

-

II 1 1 1 1 II 1 1 1

IIIIlllllll

IIIIlllllll

IIIIlllllll

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1 1987

IIIIlllllll

IIIIlllllll

1988

1989

60

j/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIt OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1977 = 100; not seasonally adjusted]
Prices paid by farmers

Prices received by farmers
Period

1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1988
1988-

July

Aue
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec
1989: Jan
Peb
Mar
Mav
July

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

Crops

139
133
135
142
128
123
126
138
142
144
144
143
144
145

134
121
128
138
120
107
106
126
137
136
135
133
136
136

143
145
141
146
136
138
146
150
147
152
153
152
151
154

149
148
149
147
149
147
146

140
138
136
140
141
138
134

158
158
161
154
156
157
156-

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.




All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

150
159
161
164
162
159
161
170
172
(3)
(3)
173
(3)
(3)
175
(3)
(3)
177
(3)
(3)
178

151
158
159
161
156
150
151
160
162
(3)
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
166
(3)
(3)
167
(3)
(3)
167

Production
items

148
153
152
155
151
144
147
157
159
(3)
(3)
162
(3)
(3)
163
(3)
(3)
165
(3)
(3)
165

Ratio 2

92
84
84
87
79
77
79
81
83
84
84
83
83
84
85
85
85
83
84
r
83
82

NOTE.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
ave been converted to a 1977 — 100 base to facilitate comparison with other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Ml fell again in June; the broader aggregates rose in June after falling in May.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)
4,000

3,600

4,000
,3,600

3,200

3,200

2,800

2,800
2)400

2,400
M2

2,000

2,000

1,600

; 1,600

1,200

1,200

800

1800

600

400

400

Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l

Illllllllll
1981

Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986

1983

1987

1988

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

• AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

Period

19801981:
1982:
19831984:
1985:
1986:
19871988-

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec

1988- June
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan r
Feb'
Mar '
May r.
June "

Ml

M2

M3

L

Debt

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
RPs and
Eurodollars,
MMIvrF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term KPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

Debt of
domestic
nonfinancial
sectors
(monthly
average) 1

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.5
725.9
752.3
790.3

1,633.3
1,795.9
1,954.5
2,186.0
2,367.2
2,567.4
2,811.2
2,909.9
3,069.4

1,991.1
1,236.9
2,443.8
2,694.3
2,982.3
3,201.7
3,494.9
3,677.6
'3,914.2

2,327.8
2,599.4
2,853.5
3,155.5
3,523.4
3,830.6
'4,137.1
* 4,340.2
'4,674.9

3,882.5
4,258.0
4,642.0
5,176.0
5,923.5
6,733.3
7,596.9
8,310.7
9,052.1

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.6
5.1

8.9
10.0
8.8
11.8
8.3
8.5
9.5
3.5
5.5

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.3
10.7
7.4
9.2
5.2
6.4

9.6
9.7
9.0
11.5
14.4
13.7
12.8
9.4
8.9

776.5
782.5
782.4
783.7
785.4
786.6
790.3

3,013.1
3,023.9
3,029.7
3,035.0
3,042.2
3,059.3
3,069.4

r

r

4,521.1
'4,565.1
' 4,583.6
'4,591.7
'4,612.5
r
4,638.4
'4,674.9

8,659.1
8,718.8
8,784.3
8,850.0
8,912.4
8,988.6
9,052.1

6.5
6.5
6.0
5.3
3.7
4.1
3.6

7.2
6.5
5.4
4.5
3.5
4.0
3.8

'7.7
7.5
'6.4
5.6
5.2
5.4
5.2

8.6
8.9
9.0
9.0
8.9
9.3
9.3

786.3
787.4
786.3
783.2
773.4
770.7

3,065.7
3,069.2
3,078.7
3,081.3
3,072.9
3,090.0

4,678.3
4,690.6
4,724.1
4,740.2
4,739.4

9,107.2
9,172.3
9,229.4
9,283.0
9,339.5

1.0
1.3
.7
-.6
3.3
-4.9

2.8
2.6
2.9
2.6
.9
1.3

4.2
4.0
4.7
4.2
3.0
3.1

9.1
9.0
8.8
8.5
8.0

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governments, and private nonfinancial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earli-

26



3,816.4
' 3,839.1
'3,851.1
' 3,860.5
r
3,877.2
r
3,897.2
r
3,914.2
3,918.7
3,928.1
3,950.1
3,958.1
3,954.4
3,975.1

Percent change from year or 6
months earlier 2

Ml

r at an annual rate.
NOTE.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

M2

M3

Debt

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Currency

Demand
deposits

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net,
plus
overnight
Eurodollars

NSA

Money market
mutual fund
balances
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA

Institution
only

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

NSA

Small
denomination
time
deposits 1

Savings
deposits

Large
denomination
time
deposits '

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements
(RPs)

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1
84.9
90.8
105.8

Savings
bonds

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

Commercial
paper

72.3
67.8
68.0
71.1
14.2
79.4
91.7
100.4
109.1

133.5
149.4
183.6
211.9
260.7
300.1
282.3
257.5
r
275.2

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.0
45.4
42.0
37.2
44.7
40.6

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.2
160.1
207.4
231.0
260.3
335.8

1980- Dec
1981: Dec
1982- Dec
1983- Dec
1984- Dec
1985: Dec
1986- Dec
1987- Dec ..
1988- Dec

115.2
122.5
132.6
146.3
156.1
167.8
180.5
196.4
211.8

261.5
231.5
234.2
238.7
244.2
267.3
303.2
288.3
288.6

31.3
80.8
105.3
132.2
146.4
179.5
235.8
260.4
282.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.3
78.3
78.3

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
221.1
239.4

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
64.5
84.4
89.6
87.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.9
513.5
572.5
526.3
502.7

400.2
344.0
356.9
305.6
285.4
301.6
371.0
416.4
431.3

728.6
823.2
851.0
784.0
886.3
882.6
853.9
914.1
1,025.2

260.1
302.5
326.8
327.4
417.2
436.6
439.0
487.4
537.7

34.0
36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.6
84.0
109.1
123.1

1988: June
July....

204.7
206.4
207.0
208.6
209.7
210.5
211.8

289.8
290.4
289.9
288.8
288.9
287.7
288.6

274.7
278.5
278.3
279.0
279.4
281.0
282.3

80.9
77.6
79.9
77.3
76.0
75.6
78.3

228.9
229.6
230.8
231.0
231.3
237.4
239.4

86.3
84.8
84.0
83.7
84.6
87.4
87.6

523.2
522.0
517.7
511.4
507.5
506.7
502.7

427.6
429.7
430.9
430.5
429.2
431.8
431.3

975.7
981.0
988.3
998.7
1,009.7
1,017.8
1,025.2

507.8
514.0
519.4
526.7
532.0
534.4
537.7

124.3 r93.9
125.6 r 97.1
123.8 ' 102.8
122.3 102.7
124.7 100.2
127.5 101.6
123.1 r 105.8

106.0
106.8
107.4
107.9
108.4
108.7
109.1

r

257.6
268.7
272.6
272.8
273.3
268.4
r
275.2

40.7
40.7
41.2
41.7
41.3
40.5
40.6

300.4
309.8
311.3
308.8
S12.S
323.7
335.8

213.4
214.3
215.6
215.9
216.4
217.4

284.0
284.8
284.3
281.5
278.3
275.1

281.3
280.9
279.1
278.5
271.5
271.0

81.6
78.8
77.2
73.9
72.6
74.7

241.7
247.2
256.0
260.2
259.9
266.2

89.3
89.6
87.6
87.7
91.6
95.1

495.2
485.3
480.3
471.3
457.0
456.9

427.8
424.6
420.8
412.9
404.8
402.3

1,035.7
1,048.3
1,061.0
1,083.2
1,106.1
1,120.0

544.4
551.6
558.8
567.7
572.0
573.2

124.1 ' 100.6
127.1 r 100.3
129.4 r 106.0
127.0 r101.8
127.6 101.4
127.9 100.5

109.7 r 274.5
110.6 r267.8
111.5 '272.1
112.3 ' 274.3
112.9 274.0

40.6
39.9
41.2
41.4
40.6

334.9
'344.2
349.2
354.2
357.4

Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar ..
May '
Tune p

1
Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.
NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown

here.
Source; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

AGGREGATE RESERVES AND MONETARY BASE
[Averages of daily figures; millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Borrowings of depository
institutions from the Federal
Reserve (NSA)

Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements
Reserves of depository institutions
Period
Total

1980198119821983:
19841985:
198619871988:

Dec
Dec
Dec .
Dec
Dec ....
Dec
Dec
Dec ...
Dec

1988- June
July
Sept
Oct
Nov.
Dec

1989

Jan
Feb
Mar,.
May
June "

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.




Nonborrowed

Nonborrowed plus
extended
credit

Required

Monetary
base

Total

Seasonal

Extended
credit

33,401
35,315
37,388
39,184
42,321
48,493
58,140
58,693
60,706

31,711
34,679
36,754
38,410
39,134
47,175
57,313
57,916
58,990

31,714
34,827
36,940
38,412
41,739
47,674
57,616
58,399
60,234

32,887
34,996
36,888
38,623
41,468
47,436
56,771
57,665
59,666

152,525
161,043
173,011
188,303
201,889
219,510
241,448
257,991
275,501

1,690
636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777
1,716

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93
130

3
148
186
2
2,604
499
303
483
1,244

60,576
61,058
60,903
60,824
60,862
60,853
60,706

57,493
57,618
57,663
57,985
58,562
57,991
58,990

60,047
60,157
60,316
60,043
60,343
60,314
60,234

59,688
60,051
59,950
59,852
59,800
59,733
59,666

268,205
270,308
270,979
272,420
273,659
274,380
275,501

3,083
3,440
3,241
2,839
2,299
2,861
1,716

311
376
423
421
332
186
130

2,554
2,538
2,653
2,059
1,781
2,322
1,244

60,370
60,260
59,854
59,463
58,740
58,350

58,708
58,773
58,041
57,174
57,019
56,860

59,754
59,822
59,376
58,880
58,217
57,777

59,226
59,106
58,896
58,686
57,709
57,445

276,784
2771553
278,615
278,674
278,329
279,056

1,662
1,487
1,813
2,289
1,720
1,490

76
97
139
213
345
431

1,046
1,050
1,334
1,707
1,197
917

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES
Total commercial bank loans and leases rose 0.6 percent in June; commercial and industrial loans fell 0.2 percent.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,800
2,400

2,800

.ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

_

2,400

2,000

2,000

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

LOANS AND LEASES

800

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

200

200

T

160

160

OTHER SECURITIES •
Illllllllll

120
1981

1982

120

1985

1984

1983

1986

1987

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

1989

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1]
All commercial hanks
Loans and leases
Period

Total
loans and
securities 2

1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1988:

Dec
1,307.7
Dec
1,401.5
Dec
1,553.6
r
Dec
1,723.7
r
Dec
1,911.4
r
Dec
2,094.5
r
Dec
2,239.6
r
Dec .... 2,417.2
July r ... 2,362.7
Aug r.... 2,377.6
Sept
2,381.5
Oct r
2,401.4
r
Nov .... 2,410.2
Dec r.... 2,417.2
1989: Jan r .... 2,422.8
Feb r .... 2,451.9
Mar T.... 2,464.9
Apr r .... 2,470.9
May r.... 2,486.3
June''.. 2,496.8

U.S.
Government
securities

179.3
201.7
259.2
260.2
270.7
r
309.6
335.5
361.4
349.6
350.9
353.1
355.6
358.8
361.4
360.4
361.8
368.8
370.7
373.5
373.8

Other
securities

Total

2

160.9
967.5
165.7 1,034.1
170.6 1,123.9
142.6 r l,321.0
r
181.4 r 1,459.3
* 1 96.5 r 1,588.4
r
195.3 r 1,708. 8
194.0 1,861.9

196.8
196.5
195.2
196.8
195.9
194.0
189.6
190.4
189.7
187.2
186.4
185.7

1,816.3
1,830.1
1,833.2
1,848.9
1,855.6
1,861.9
1,872.9
1,899.7
1,906.5
1,913.1
1,926.5
1,937.3

Commercial
and
industrial

Real
estate

Individual

182.5
355.4 284.1
188.2
392.6 299.8
212.9
330.8
414.1
472.9 376.3 253.8
499.7 r 425.8 ' 294.8
r
536.2 r494.0 r,315.S>
r
562.7 ' 589.0 r 329.54
672.0 355.5
601.9
635.8
345.6
595.0
597.4 643.0 347.7
598.1 650.3 350.2
601.6 659.8 351.6
601.8 665.3 353.0
601.9 672.0 355.5
606.6 678.9 357.9
619.0 685.6 358.9
691.8 360.6
617.8
620.6 699.5 362.9
626.3 705.5 365.4
624.9 712.0 366.0
2

Security

21.5
25.4
28.1
34.3

42.7
40.1
34.4
38.5
38.9
39.6
36.5
38.5
38.2
38.5
37.7
44.7
43.6
40.0
38.0
41.1

Nonbank
financial
institutions
29.9
31.3

30.5
31.4
32.5
35.0
31.9
30.0
31.1
31.1
30.7
30.4
30.2
30.0
30.3
30.6
29.7
29.2
29.0
30.5

Agricultural

33.1
36.2
39.2
40.1
36.1
31.6
29.4
30.7
29.6
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.3
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.7
30.4
30.3
30.3

State
and
political
subdivisions
0.0

.0
3.3
46.0
56.7
58.4
52.5
46.8
48.8
48.2
48.0
48.5
47.7
46.8
44.4
44.5
44.6
44.6
44.6
44.5

Foreign
banks

18.1
14.8
13.4
11.1
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.6
8.1
8.0
7.2
7.6

8.1
7.6
7.8
8.5
8.1
8.3
9.3
9.2

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

28



Foreign
official
institutions

Lease
financing
receivables

Other

7.2
5.9
9.4
7.9
6.0

12.7
13.3
13.7
16.0
r
!9.0
22.3
r
24.5
29.2
28.0
28.1
28.5
28.9
29.1
29.2
29.4
29.6
29.6
29.8
30.0
29.9

23.1
26.6
31.8
31.2
r
36.3
39.4
42.1
44.9
50.3
52.2
49.1
47.5
47.1
44.9
44.4
42.8
45.3
43.0
43.2
44.0

5.9
5.3
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.0
4.8
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.8
4.7

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Uses

Sources
External
Period
Total

Internal

1

Securities
and
mortgages

Total
Total

1979.
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1988- I

n
m
IV

1989- I"

Capital
expenditures 3

Credit market funds
Loans and
short-term
paper

Total

Other 2

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

326.0
324.8
375.8
298.5
420.3
492.6
459.2
519.8
482.9
467.5

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
352.3
357.5
352.8
366.8

128.4
124.7
136.4
56.2
134.6
156.3
106.9
162.3
130.1
100.7

60.1
70.7
90.7
49.8
77.9
95.8
50.9
121.3
68.5
63.8

9.0
34.5
29.4
10.3
52.6
-5.1
5.0
59.0
38.2
-18.2

51.1
36.2
61.2
39.5
25.3
100.9
46.0
62.3
30.3
82.0

68.2
54.0
45.7
6.4
56.8
60.5
55.9
41.0
61.6
37.0

368.1
342.1
383.6
303.5
385.8
502.7
435.3
456.7
437.3
448.3

238.3
243.7
286.5
256.5
270.7
370.6
342.3
333.9
361.7
395.7

129.8
98.4
97.0
47.0
115.1
132.1
93.0
122.8
75.6
52.6

-42.1
-17.3
-1.1
-4.9
34.5
10 1
23.9
63.0
45.5
19.1

464.4
465.8
475.8
463.5

359.9
363.6
365.3
378.3

104.5
102.2
110.5
85.2

100.5
54.0
67.5
32.8

20.5
-20.0
12.4
86 1

80.0
74.0
55.1
118.9

4.0
48.2
43.1
52.4

433.9
447.3
459.6
452.2

387.8
386.7
398.6
409.3

46.1
60.6
61.0
42.9

30.5
18.5
16.1
11.3

431.4

355.8

75.6

-5.4

75.6

80.9

425.3

406.6

18.7

6.0

81.0

1

Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capita!
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abroad.
z
Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment in the U.S.

3

Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors ol the Federal Reserve System.

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in installment credit outstanding

Installment credit outstanding (end of period)
Period
Total

1980:
1981:
19821983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1988:
1988:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
May
June
July
Auer
Sept
Oct

Dec
NEW SERIES:
1989: Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr r
May*1

Revolving

111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
247,313
265,976
281,174
276,458
278,058
277,659
279,585
279,243
278,902
279,926
281,174

54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
137,013
153,884
174,792
162,105
164,408
165,343
167,125
168,273
170,131
173,030
174,792

18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
27,355
26,387
25,744
26,249
26,174
26,213
26,277
26,185
26,033
26,005
25,744

286,382
288,767
288,850
289,531
290,547

176,716
178,570
182,831
184,486
186,428

26,036
25,992
24,168
23,993
23,978

297,566
310,682
323,536
367,868
442,538
517,755
572,047
607,721
659,507
632,431
637,836
639,207
644,666
646,556
649,132
654,413
659,507

Nov

r

682 ,020
687,397
691,162
693,654
697,256

r

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.
2
Because of break in series, net change not available.




Mobile
home

Automobile

Other
112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
160,367
161,475
177,798
167,619
169,196
169,993
171,679
172,855
174,066
175,452
177,798
r

192,886
194,068
195,314
195,643
196,302

Total

1,083
13,116
12,854
44,332
74,670
75,217
54,292
35,674
51,786
3,846
5,405
1,371
5,459
1,890
2,576
5,281
5,094

r

(2)
5,377
3,765
2,492
3,602

Automobile

Revolving

Mobile
home

539
7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
37,677
18,663
15,198
1,169
1,600
-399
1,926
342
-341
1,024
1,248

1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
15,000
16,871
20,908
1,474
2,303
935
1,782
1,148
1,858
2,899
1,762

-31
75
39
64
-92
152
-28
-261

(2)
2,385
82
682
1,016

(2)
1,854
4,261
1,655
1,942

(2)
— 44
-1,824
-174
15

r

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal B*serve System.

414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
521
-968
Q43

1

Other

329
-1,529
344
11,456
21,129
16,445
1,095
1,108
16,323
1,234
1,577
797
1,686
1,176
1,211
1,386
2,346

r

(2)
l,182
1,246
329
659

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rotes fell in July.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

"f\
t \
1

,

,

(

*'/ v

N

''\

•• ; i /

\ «' V

r'

'•

i
1
\i

/A\

\

\

'I.

i \'
\
I
il

f-S
'\ 1

y/

V^

/''\
\

C ORPORATE Aaa BONDS
(MOODY'S

1-'— \

il

\\
\ ••
'••

\
\

.A
\
/ \

i

/

^
/\
\
1
\

\

/•
/

r

'' ^

TREASURY

\

\

v

RATE
FEDERAL
RESERVE
BANK OF
NEW YORK

i— -

/
\/

~!
'^

'"• 1 •

/ r^
.-•'

/'•:

'• --I

\|

.....---•••''I

//v
\
1
J

''-

'•••••••"'
II 1 1

1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 i 1 1 1 1 1 1 !

!

1982

1981

1 1 M

1 ! I 1 1

1984

1983

M

i i i i i 1 i i i li

I!

! 1 i 1 1 I t 1 i

1 1 M

^iiljj_uj

1988

1987

1986

1985

1 1 1 1 1 1 U

1989

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: SEE IABIE BEIOW

[Percent per annum]
U.S. Treasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) *

Constant maturities 2
3-year

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard3&
Poor's)

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) *

Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months *

Discount rate
(N.Y. F.K.
Bank)5

Prime rate
charged 5by
banks

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB) 6

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82
6.69

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68
8.26

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39
8.85

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15
9.18
7.38
7.73
7.76

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38
9.71

14.76
11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85
7.68

13.41
11.02
8.50
8.80
7.69
6.33
5.66
6.20

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22
9.32

14.70
15.14
12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31
9.19

1988: July
Auff
Sept.
Oct
Nov
Dec

6.73
7.02
7.23
7.34
7.68
8.09

8.44
8.77
8.57
8.43
8.72
9.11

7.87
7.86
7.71
7.54
7.58
7.66

9.96
10.11
9.82
9.51
9.45
9.57

7.90
8.36
8.23
8.24
8.55
8.97

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50
6.50-6.50

1989:

8.29
8.48
8.83
8.70
8.40
8.22
7.92

9.20
9.32
9.61
9.40
8.98
8.37
7.83

9.06
9.26
8.98
8.80
8.96
9.11
9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02

7.41
7.47
7.61
7.49
7.25
6.97
6.97

9.62
9.64
9.80
9.79
9.57
9.10
8.94

9.02
9.35
9.97
9.78
9.29
8.80
8.35

6.50-6.50
6.50-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

9.00- 9.50
9.50-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.00
10.00-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-10.50
10.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.50
11.50-11.00
11 00 1050

9.17
9.06
9.26
9.10
9.43
9.39
9.52
9.82
9.99
10.17
10.18
10.42

8.07
7.96
7.76
7.87
8.09

8.20
7.94
7.80
7.89
7.77

8.14
8.08
8.01
8.07
7.97

6.95
6.99
6.90
7.03
6.95

9.02
8.97
8.94
8.93
8.91

8.73
8.56
8.31
8.36
8.27

7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00
7.00-7.00

11.00-11.00
11.00-11.00
11.00-11.00
11.00-11.00
1 1 00 1 1 00

1981
1982

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr..
May
June r
July "
Week ended:
1989: July 1 r
8
15
22
29

1
Bank-discount basis.
2
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.




5
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate (in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.

Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices rose in July.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIOS CALE)

INDEX DEC. 31, 1965 = 50 (RATIO SCALE)

24Q

240
220
200

*

180
160

(

~/\

COMPOSITE STOCK PRICE INDEX
__,
(NYSE)
f —
\
/

140

V/^-^
V,

^y

^
160
;

140

,-X/

120
100

120
100

^^~

80

v/~~v

\S~

60

40

1 1 n 1 1 1 \\ \]

i^y

80

60

1 1 1 1 11 11 1 1 1

1 1111\ \ \ \ \ \

1981

I 1I 1

1

11 1 1 1 \ 1 1 1 1 1

t I 1 1 I1

i ( 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 I 1 I 1 1 I 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1985

1984

1983

1982

1986

1987

1 t t 1 I 1 1I 1 1 1

1988

PERC ENT

PERC ENT

20

20
15

15
EARNINGS-PRICE RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS

^v

10

~"^1

(s&p)

-^1

.V

—

1

0

1

1

I i 1

1981

1982

OURCES: NEW YORK

STOCK EXCHANGE A

1

10

______

r———-—•,

5
1 I
1983

1

1

1

1 1 1

I I i

1985

1984

1986

5
1

1

1

1987

1

1

1

1

New York Stock Exchange indexes (I)ec. 31, 1965 — 5O)
Composite

1981 ..
1982
1983 .
1984
1985...
1986
1987 ..
1988
July
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1989- Jan
Feb
Mar
May

July p
Week ended:
1989: July 1 r.
8
15
22
29
1

Industrial

Utility

3




0

ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Finance

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143 = 10)4

Dividendprice ratio

74.02
68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70
149.91

85.44
78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
180.95

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39
134.12

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30
71.77

73.52
71.99
95.34
89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48
127.26

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99
2,060.82

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
286.83
265.79

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
3.64

152.12
149.25
151.47
156.36
152.67
155.35

184.09
179.72
182.18
188.58
183.79
187.75

136.49
132.53
136.27
141.93
138.60
144.07

71.50
70.67
71.83
74.19
73.83
74.81

129.99
130.77
133.15
134.66
129.61
128.83

2,104.22
2,051.29
2,080.06
2,144.31
2,099.04
2,148.58

269.05
263.73
267.97
277.40
271.02
276.51

160.40
165.08
164.60
169.38
175.30
180.76
185.15

194.62
200.00
199.20
204.81
211.51
216.75
221.74

153.09
162.66
160.14
164.32
168.88
173.47
179.32

75.87
77.84
77.66
79.69
84.07
87.95
90.40

132.26
137.19
137.91
143.26
146.60
154.08
157.78

2,234.68
2,304.30
2,283.11
2,348.91
2,439.55
2,494.90
2,554.03

285.41
294.01
292.71
302.25
313.93
323.73
331.92

3.65
3.75
3.69
3.61
3.70
3.68
3.64
3.59
3.68
3.59
3.52
3.44
3.38

180.78
179.79
183.97
186.13
188.17

216.63
215.07
219.84
223.23
225.74

174.04
174.06
176.39
180.16
183.91

88.35
88.15
90.55
90.55
91.26

153.57
153.44
157.40
158.14
159.99

2,488.16
2,464.91
2,528.61
2,513.10
2,610.36

323.70
321.58
329.48
333.79
337.95

3.43
3.49
3.39
3.33
3.31

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
4
Includes 500 stocks.
5
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2

1

Common stock yields
(percent) 5

2

Period
Transportation

1
1989

1988
COUNCIL OF

v|D STANDARD & POC R'S CORPORATION

1

Common stock prices l

1988:

40

1989

Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.48
r
8.01

8.36
r

8.56

8.46

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 9 months of fiscal 1989, there was a deficit of $105.5 billion, compared with a deficit of $119.3 billion
a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
1,200

1,200

RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^

1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000

900

900

800

800
RECEIPTS!/

700

700
600

600

-100

- -200

-200
1981

1983

1982

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

FISCAL YEARS
I/ INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT Or THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]

Fiscal year or period

Receipts

Outlays

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit

Total

Held by
the public

-127.9
-207.8
-185.3

66.4
18.0
76.8
85.4
98.0
113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

69.6
19.4
80.7
89.7
100.0
114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

-3.2
-1.4
-3.9
-4.3
-2.0
-1.1
5.0
-7.9
.2
.3

629.0
643.6
706.4
776.6
828.9
908.5
994.3
1,136.8
1,371.2
1,564.1

477.4
495.5
549.1
607.1
639.8
709.3
784.8
919.2
1,131.0
1,300.0

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,144.1
1,179.4

-212.3
-221.2
-149.7
-155.1
-148.3
-99.2

547.9
568.9
640.7
667.5
731.1
793.3

769.5
806.8
810.0
861.4
933.2
957.1

-221.6
-237.9
-169.3
-193.9
-202.1
-163.8

186.2
200.2
213.4
241.5
264.7
286.8

176.8
183.5
193.8
202.7
211.0
222.3

9.4
16.7
19.6
38.8
53.8
64.5

1,817.0
2,120.1
2,345.6
2,600.8
2,853.5
3,084.8

1,499.4
1,736.2
1,888.1
2,050.2
2,177.8
2,279.2

800.3
855.4

119 3
-105.5

499.9
549.2

649.8
699.8

149 9
-150.6

181.1
200.6

150.6
155.6

30.5
45.0

2,542.8
2,809.1

2,010.0
2,150.8

1985
1986
1987
:
1988
1989 (estimates) l
1990 (estimates) J

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
995.9
1,080.1

681.0
749.9

73 7
-14.7
53 6
-59.2
402
-73.8
7ft
Q
I O.«7

1
Estimates from Mid-Session Review of the Budffet, Office of Management and Budget. July 18,
1989. Data for 1990 include asset sales.
2
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for June 1989, issued July 1989.




Surplus
or deficit

-70.5
-13.3
-49.7
-54.9
-38.2
-72.7
-73.9
1200
-208.0
-185.6

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

32

Outlays
302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5
476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

Cumulative total, first 9
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989

Receipts

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3
403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

Transition quarter
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

1976

Surplus
or deficit

Gross Federal debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget

Total

NOTE. — Data are from Eudget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 9 months of fiscal 1989, receipts were $68.9 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $55.1
billion higher.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
500
RECEIPTS!/
400

IKirWinilAI INCOME TAXES

"

400

\
300

300

\
SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

CORPORATION
INCOME TAXES
\

OTHER RECEIPTS

100

'•

200
100

~
1

0

|

1

1

1

1

1

|

0
900

900

OUTLAYS^
- NONDEFENSE

800

800

L.

700

700

600

600

500

500

400

400

. NATIONAL DEFENSE

300

300

200

200

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

1990

FISCAL YEARS
1J INCIUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
On-budget and off-budget outlays

On-budget and off-budget receipts

Individual
income
taxes

Corporation
income
taxes

298.1
355,6
399.6
463.3
517.1
599.3
617.8
600.6
666.5

131.6
157.6
181.0
217.8
244.1
285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

41.4
54.9
60.0
65.7
64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9
157.8
182.7
201.5
209.0
239.4

34.3
36.6
37.7
40.8
50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

371.8
409.2
458.7
503.5
590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3
134.0
157.5
185.3
209.9
227.4

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.0
995.9
1,080.1

334.5
349.0
392.6
401.2
445.3
484.6

61.3
63.1
83.9
94.5
105.8
117.0

265.2
283.9
303.3
334.3
361.5
387.5

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.9
83.3
91.0

946.3
990.3
1,003.8
1,064.0
1,144.1
1,179.4

681.0
749.9

301.7
334.3

70.6
79.2

250.4
273.7
. J

58.4
62.6

800.3
855.4

Fiscal year
Total

1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982....
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989 (estimates)'
1990 (estimates) '
Cumulative total, first 9
months: 2
Fiscal year 1988
Fiscal year 1989
1
2

See footnote 1, page 32.
Data from Monthly Treasury Statement for June 1989,4ssued July 1989,




National defense

Social
insurance
taxes
and
contributions

Other

Income
security

Social
security

Net
interest

15.8
19.3
22.8
26.5
32.1
39.1
4«.6
52.6
57.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4
86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1
118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

26.7
29.9
35.4
42.6
52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

93.0
114.7
119.6
131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
49.6
56.4

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
86.2
97.1

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.3
136.6
USA

188.6
198.8
207.4
219.3
232.4
249.1

129.4
136.0
138.6
151.7
169.1
176.3

131.8
142.1
125.9
139.4
158.3
142.4

33.2
36.1

59.0
62.1

97.5
108.2

164.5
114.2

113.0
125.6

105.0
118.4

International
affairs

Health

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6
130.9
153.9
180.7
204.4
220.9

6.4
6.4
7.5
7.5
12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9

15.7
17.3
18.5
20.5
23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

252.7
273.4
282.0
290.4
301.2
296.3

245.2
265.5
274.0
281.9
292.7
286.9

16.2
14.2
11.6
10.5
10.7
16.4

219.4
227.7

213.3
221.3

8.7
1.5

Total
Total

Department of
Defense,
military

Medicare

Other

82.8

NOTE.—Data are from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1990, January
1989, except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and.Budget.

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the first quarter of 1989, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $41.6 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures rose $21.6 billion. In the second quarter, according to advance estimates, outlays rose $14.1
billion; receipts data are incomplete. (Series revised.)
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1,200

1,200

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL SATES

. EXPENDITURES.

1,000

1,000

800

800
RECEIPTS

600

600

400

400

200

200

SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)
-200

-200

I I
1981

I

I

I I
1982

I I

I

1 I
1985

1984

1983

1987

1986

I I
1988

1

I I
1989

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal Government expenditures

Federal Government receipts

Period
Total

Personal
tax and
nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax
accruals

Indirect
business
tax and
nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

74.6
81.1
97.7

305.8
326.1
345.0
386.4

310.9
332.1

Purchases
of goods
and
services

Transfer
payments

Grantsin-aid to
State
and
local
governments

962,3
1,028.0
1 ',060.4
1,104.0

341.5
368.6
375.5
378.6

374.0
394.6
411.2
432.7

97.8
107.4
103.1
108.6

128.3

985.6
1,034.8
1,072.8

355.2
366.5

380.1
399.9
414.3
438.2

99.7
106.8
102.6
111.4
84.5
86.0
96.3
103.5
103.0
101.7
102.2

130.1
135.6
141.7
151.4
87.2
101.0
125.3
132.7
136.0
142.5
147.3

110.1
112.2
111.0
112.2
118.7
118.9

144.9
149.9
153.9
157.0
167.0
172.1

Total

Net
interest
paid

Subsidies
less
current
surplus of
Government
enterprises

Less:
Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

Surplus
or deficit
(-),
national
income
and
product
accounts

Fiscal year:

1985
1986 r
1987 r.
1988 T

776.8
815.2
897.3
958.6

340.4
357.0
408.0

108.3

55.9
50.9
53.4
55.8

788.7
827.9
911.4
972.4

346.4

76.3
83.8
101.0
111.4
46.4
70.2
69.7
78'8
88.9
107.4
103.1

55.1
50.5
53.8
56.7
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.5
50.8
53.8
54.5

104.2
111.6
114.0
115.8
117.0

55.9
55.9
57.4
57.8
58.0
58.5

401.2

134.6
138.8
149.0

20.7
22.8

— 0.1
.0
.1
— .1

— 185.5
— 212.8
-163.1

20.3
26.0
32.6
36.0
23.4
29.1
21.0
19.0
29.2
22.7
41.9

— .2
.0
.0
.0

— 196.9

.2
-.2

-143.9
-164.4

34.4
41.2
29.4
38.9
38.5
35.0

.0
.0

— 151.8
— 141.5
— 122.5

31.9
35.1

— 145.4

Calendar year:

1985
1986
1987
1988
19821983:
19841985:
1986:
1987:

r
r
r

.
IV
IV
IV
IV
IV r
III

T

IV

1988: I r ...
Ill ''".'.".'..
IV "

1989:

Ir
II "

361.4
405.8

413.0

633.1
675.5
742.7
805.3
853.8

303.0

921.5
937.4

408.1

291.9
326.0
355.3
376.2
420.0

944.7
973.2
977.3
994.6

402.7

1,036.2

446.8
464.2

417.5
411.4
420.3

NOTE.—Series revised beginning- 1!>8«. See Survey of Current

34



350.8

391.3
236.1

381.6
381.3
276.1

347.4
352.5

326.0
376.6
368.8

385.8
405.8

293.2

337.9

835.7
844.7
930.2
1,017.5
1,042.8

352.2
359.7

1,065.5
1,101.7

382.0
388.2
394.5
400.6

1,096.5
1J14.7
1,099.8
1,162.1

367.5
406.4

433.0
434.4
438.0
447.6

414.3
419.8

1,183.7
1,197.8

399.0
403.9

460.4
467.9

259.8
290.7

317.7

384.5

388.1
374.1
377.1

362.1

414.3
421.9

Sofircc: Department of Oommerec, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

.0
.0
.6
.0
.0

.0
.0
.0
.0

— 206.9

— 161.4
-145.8
— 202.6
-169.2

— 187.5
-212.2

— 189.0

-167.6
-147.5

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Consumer prices (1982-84=100)

Industrial production (1977 = 100; seasonally adjusted)
Period

380
981
882
983
984
985
986
987
988

988- May
}
July

.

Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1989:

Jan
Feb
Mar
May
June *

1

United
States

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

Italy

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8
137.2

104.8
106.9
96.5
102.7
115.2
121.4
123.2
129.6
137.2

119.0
120.3
120.7
124.5
136.1
141.0
140.8
145.7
159.1

107.2
106.1
105.0
105.0
106.1
106.1
107.2
109.4
114.3

108.0
105.9
102.7
103.3
106.2
111.0
113.0
113.7
118.1

114.8
113.0
109.5
105.9
109.5
110.7
113.7
118.3
124.3

136.1
136.5
138.0
138.5
138.6
139.4
139.9
140.4

137.3
137.9
137.4
138.7
138.8
137.8
137.1
137.9

153.3
158.4
156.4
160.8
161.6
160.2
165.0
166.1

112.9
114.9
116.0
116.0
117.2
113.2
118.0
117.3

116.1
118.5
116.1
121.3
120.0
119.4
119.1
121.2

120.8
122.7
126.2
118.9
122.9
126.7
128.5
129.2

r
118.2
140.8
137.5 167.3
117.3
140.5
' 138.2 164.5
116.2
' 140.7 ' 137.5 172.5
' 141.6
139.2 ' 168.3
141.4
167.8
141 1

121.2
120.5
121.3
r
124.3
119.8

Data relate to all urban consumers.

United
States '

United
Kingdom

Canada

Japan

90.9
95.4
98.0
'99.9
102.1
104.2

France

99.8
96.7
98.5
102.2
102.4
107.9
110.2
114.1
r
l!8.1

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
118.3

76.1
85.6
94.8
100.4
104.7
108.9
113.4
118.4
' 123.2

72.2
81.9
91.7
100.3
108.0
114.3
'104.9 117.2
' 105.0 121.1
105.7 ' 124.3

117.9

117.5
118.0
118.5
119.0
119.8
120.2
120.3
120.5

122.8
' 123.0
123.7
124.1

'105.7 123.9
' 105.5 '124.2
'105.3 124.7

'124.2
'124.8

106.4
106.9
106.5
' 106.2

121.1
121.6
122.3
123.1
123.8
124.1

125.7 '106.0 126.5
' 126.6 '105.7 '126.8
'127.2 '106.2 127.2
127.6 '108.1 128.0
128.9
108.7
128.5
129.6

'118.7

' 119.0
' 119.0
'119.6
r
r

119.0

l!9.6

r

118.8

'117.6
r
l!7.3
r
l!7.5

118.1
116.4

125.1
125.1

'105.6 '125.0

125.3
125.6
125.8
126.0

Germany

Italy

86.7
63.2
92.2
75.4
97.1
87.7
100.3 100.8
102.7
111.5
104.9
121.0
104.6
128.5
105.0
134.4
106.2 '141.1
106.2
106.3

140.0
' 140.5

108.1
108.4
108.6
109.2
109.5

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.2
114.9
119.7
125.6
124.8
'125.2

' 143.3

125.4
126.8
127.4
128.7

'144.5

'129.2

'106.3 ' 140.9
106.3 '141.5
106.3 '142.2

106.4
106.7
106.9

United
Kingdom

' 145.0

129.6

'146.1
'147.3
'148.0

'130.4

149.0

134.3
135.1
135.6

r

'149.6

150.3

131.4
'131.9

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Merchandise exports (f.a.s. value) 1

General merchandise imports (customs value) 3

Principal end-use commodity category

1988:

May '
June '
July '..

Aug '
Sept '

Oct '
Nov '.
Dec '

1989: Jan '
Feb'
Mar '
Apr '....
May

4

14.3
13.4
13.3
12.6
14.2
17.7
23.1

20.5
24.0
27.3
35.9
34.6
48.4

9.2
8.8
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.4
9.4
10.1

2.5
2.2
2.1
2.8
2.5
2.5
2.3
2.7

1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.3

9.4
9.3
9.9
10.1
9.8

2.4
2.4
2.5
2.4
2.3

2.4
2.5
2.7
2.8
2.6

322.4

31.3
30.9
31.5
24.0
22.3
24.3
32.3

61.7
56.7
61.7
58.5
57.3
66.7
85.1

72.7
67.2
72.0
73.9
75.8
86.2
109.2

27.4
26.7
26.6
27.5
27.6
27.9
27.5
28.9

2.9
2.7
2.8
2.9
2.9
2.7
2.6
2.8

7.2
7.1
7.1
7.1
7.2
6.8
7.0
7.4

29.0
28.8
30.1
30.8
30.5

2.9
2.9
3.2
3.1
3.2

7.1
7.5
7.6
8.0
7.9

2

116.4
4

15.7

16.8
20.6
22.9
21.7
24.6
29.3

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Total

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988 '...

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Foods,
feeds,
and
beverages

Period

1982
1983

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

205.6
224.0

218.8
227.2

254.1

1
Includes Department of Defense Military Assistance
2
Includes undocumented exports to Canada.
3
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit
4

Capital
goods
except
automotive

Automotive
vehicles,
parts,
and
engines

Consumer
goods
(nonfood)
except
automotive

Other

General
merchandise
imports
(c.i.f.
value)

112.0
107.0
123.7
113.9
101.3
111.0
118.5

35.4
40.9
59.8
65.1
71.8
84.5
101.4

33.3
40.8
53.5
66.8
78.2
85.2
81.7

39.7
44.9
60.0
68.3
79.4
88.7
95.9

6.5
6.3
7.8
9.4
10.4
12.1
12.8

254.9
269.9
346.4
352.5
382.3
424.4
459.5

2.0
1.9
1.9
2.2
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2

10.4
10.2
9.7
10.2
9.3
9.9
9.8
10.2

8.3
8.8
7.9
8.9
8.7
8.2
9.1
9.1

6.8
7.3
6.6
7.2
7.6
7.7
7.5
8.0

7.7
8.0
7.9
8.1
8.0
8.1
8.3
9.0

1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2

37.7
38.8
36.5
39.2
38.2
38.6
39.6
41.3

-8.7
-10.6
-8.5
-10.1
-9.2
-9.2
-10.5
-10.8

-10.2
-12.1
-9.9
11 7
106
-10.7
-12.1
-12.5

2.2
2.0
2.1
2.0
2.2

10.7
10.0
11.0
11.3
11.8

9.0
9.3
9.3
9.1
10.0

7.4
7.6
7.7
7.3
7.2

7.7
8.3
8.3
8.3
8.4

.9
1.0
1.1
1.1
1.1

39.5
39.7
41.2
40.7
42.4

-8.9
-9.4
95
-8.3
-10.2

-10.5
-10.9
11 2
-9.9
11 9

Foods
feeds,
and
beverages

Industrial
supplies
and
materials

244.0
258.0
325.7
345.3
365.4
406.2
441.0

17.1
18.2
21.0
21.9
24.4
24.8
24.8

3.8
4.0
3.5
3.4
3.6
4.4
4.0
3.6

36.1
37.3
35.1
37.6
36.8
37.1
38.1
39.7

4.7
4.2
4.2
4.4
4.6

37.9
38.2
39.5
39.0
40.7

Other z

20.7

Program grant-aid shipments.

shipments.
Total exports are on a revised statistical month basis; end-use categories are on a statistical
month basis.




Trade balance

Principal end-use commodity category

Total

Exports
(f.a.s)
imports
(customs
value)

27 5

-52.4
101 7

Exports
(f.a.s)
less
imports
(c.i.f.)

384
— 64.2
1224

-126.5 -133.6
-138.3
155 1
152 1 -170.3
-118.5 -1ST.1

NOTE.—Data shown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Seasonally adjusted data revised beginning 1987; unadjusted data, beginning 1988.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
in the first quarter of 1989, the current account deficit rose to $30.7 billion, from $28.7 billion in the fourth
quarter of 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLL)\RS*

10

10

5

5

^jH^-lJ/\V
0

-5

0

Vi
v R\

•A\

"*•»

•— X

\\\x

-5

-10

\\ vN
X

\
-25

\

V.
,—,
x
^v 'Vvi
\v ^^\

\

>\

-35

v /s

/

-25
\

-30

^^^* ^^
*^^"***fc
-35

' BALANCE (DN
CURRENT ACC OUNT

MERCHANDISE TRADE
BALANC E

-40
-45

f\

VV
v
p\ >T
x
'^ ^J /
i ii

v-"X%

-30

-20

BALANCE ON G OODS
AND SERVIC ES

1

I

1 1 1

I

1

1982

1981

1

1

1983

1 1 1
1984

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1986

1985

-40

1987

1

1

1

1

1

-45

1989

1988

* SEASONALLY ADJUS TED
SOURCE: OEPARTMEN OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits (—)]
Merchandise *

Investment inconi e3

2

Kemit-

Period
Exports

1980
1981
1982

C

1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1986- I
II

m

IV
1987- I

n
in

IV
1988: I

n
in

1989:
1
2
3

IV
I"

224 269
237 085
211 198
201 820
219 900
215 935
223 367
250 266
319 251
53 899
56,796
56,182
56,490
57 255
60,015
64,297
68,699
76,447
78,471
80,604
83,729
88,496

Imports

249 749
265 063
247 642
268 900
332 422
— 338083
368 425
409 766
446466
89 549
-90,812
-92,983
-95,081
95 916
-99,834
- 104,903
-109,113
- 109,893
-109,882
-110,943
-115,748
-116,130

Net balance

Heceipts

25 480 72 506
27 978 86412
36 444 83 548
67 080 77 251
112 522 85 908
122 148 88 832
145 058 88 615
159 500 104 703
127 215 107 775
35 650 23 970
-34,016 22,078
-36,801 21,744
-38,591 20,822
38 661 25 117
-39,819 22,744
-40,606 23,578
-40,414 33,265
-33,446 26,750
-31,411 23,148
-30,339 24,720
-32,019 33,159
-27,634 26,862

Payments

42 119 30 387
52 329 34083
54 884 28 664
52 376 24 875
67 419 18 489
— 62 901 25931
66 968 21 647
82 420 22 283
2 227
105 548
6 613
17 357
-17,533
4,545
6,015
-15,729
4,472
-16,350
5 362
19 755
2,190
-20,554
1,674
-21,904
-20,207 13,058
2,795
-23,955
-25,613 -2,465
-27,310 -2,590
4,489
-28,670
-30,370 -3,508

Excludes military.
Adjusted from Census data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the

36



Net

Net
military
transactions

2 577
1 523
474
— 343
2 099
— 3 557
4 576
2 857
4 606
1 411
-1,298
-1,089
-777
176
-210
-1,031
— 1,440
-964
-1,033
-1,006
-1,604
-1,482

pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers 1

Balance
on current
account

travel and
transportation
receipts

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

997
144
992
4 227
7 885
—9 832
8 031
7 324
2 633
2 452
-1,465
-1,874
-2,241
1 965
-2,088
-1,279
-1,993
-1,854
-719
-155
94
-464

7 794
11 085
11 436
12 264
12 299
12 351
18 547
17 909
20 335
4 620
4,581
4,539
4,807
4 250
4,372
4,555
4,734
4,787
5,042
5,126
5,381
5,823

1 533
7 593
9 126
8 163
7 647
15 810
6997
9 188
2 191
—44,286
— 34510 — 9776
104 186
12 468
91 718
— 97 256 — 15 426 — 112,682
133 249
15 778
117 470
143 700
14 212
129 488
14 ggg
126 548
111 892
31 348
3 068
28 280
-31,852
-27,653 -4,199
-33,586
-29,210 -4,376
-36,466
-4,136
-32,330
34327
3 137
31 190
-38,820
-35,555 -3,265
-3,225 -39,912
-36,687
-30,641
-26,055 -4,586
-3,364
-32,046
-28,682
-33,485
-30,586
-2,899
-32,340
-3,376
-28,964
-5,018 -28,677
-23,659
-27,265 -3,420 -30,685

United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $22.6 billion in the first quarter of
1989, compared with an increase of $30.9 billion in the fourth quarter of 1988. Liabilities to private foreigners
reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $10.4 billion in the first quarter, compared with an
increase of $32.2 billion in the fourth quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*

CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS
IN THE U.S..NET

20

20

-20

-20

-40

-40

1989

1981
•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
U.S. assets abroad, net
[increase /capit
Period
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983

1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1986: I

n
rn
IV

1987:

I

U.S.

private
assets

-8,155
-5,175
-4,965
1 196
-3,131
3 858
312
9,149
-3,566

-5,162 -72,802
-5,097 - 100,679
-6,131
110058
-5,006 -43,576
-5,489 -13,685
-2,821 -25,950
-2,024 -97,954
997
86,363
2,999 -81,543

-15,401
-24,763
-26,078
-33,422

-115
16
280
132
1,956
3,419
32
3,742
1,503
39
-7,380
2,272
-4,000

-232
238
-1,565
11
40
195
308
843
-1,490
-885
1,961
3,413
1,012

8,759
-22,632
-25,976
-36,370

n
m

4,540
-16,119
-37,886
-32,648

IV
1989: I"

Other U.S.
Government
assets

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,304
-32,628
-99,665
-76,218
-82,110

n
m

IV
1988: I

U.S.
official
reserve2
assets *

Foreign assets in the U.S., net2
[increase /capital inflow ( + )]

]

-31,816

Total

Other
foreign
assets

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

U.S. official
reserve
assets, net 1
(unadjusted,
end of
period)
26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
48,511
45,798
47,802

25,322
18,663
34,404
9,194
23,869
15,298
11,308
1,878
10 641

58,112
83,032
93,746
84,869
102,621
130,012
221,605
218,039
219,299

15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
3,140
1 083
35J594
45,193
38,882

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,096
186,011
172,847
180,418

15054
-24,541
24 793
-33,565

39,048
50,291
69,927
62,339

36,328
34,453
54,142
61,088

7,701
6,324
-10,263
7,549

3,515
-3,306
-4,669
4,463

6,763
-25,856
26 316
-40,955

33,381
51,134
73,575
59,949

2,720
15,838
15,785
1,251
14,040
10,329
753
20,070

19,341
40,805
72,822
39,879

-7,813
10,318
-7,687
7,062

3,895
-2,559
4 501
3,166

44,919
46,595
48,087
48,511
48,824
45,140
45,070
45,798

4,528
15,273
-32,467
38,332

27,027
65,334
46,179
80,759

24,631
5,895
-2,234
10,589

2,396
59,438
48,413
70,170

479
-15,729
24,047
-19,434

3,843
-3,714
-4,556
4,431

43,186
41,028
47,786
47,802

-28,828

49,077

6,914

42,163

13,424

4,264

49,854

1
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDKs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve
position in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Foreign
official
assets

Statistical discrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
rights
(SDKs)

1,152
1,093

Sources; Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfinancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours, Hourly Earnings, and Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Employment Cost Index—Private Industry
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Aggregate Reserves and Monetary Base
Bank Loans and Securities
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Consumer Installment Credit
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
T
Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402. Price $2.25 (single copy) ($2.81 foreign).
Subscription price: $24.00 per year; $30.00 for foreign mailing.
38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1989

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