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89th Congress, 2nd Session

Economic Indicators
July 1966

1 PUBUC LIBRARY

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1966

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman
PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri)
HALE BOGGS (Louisiana)
HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin)
MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan)
THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri)
WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey)
ROBERT F. ELLSWORTH (Kansas)

SENATE
JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama)
J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas)
WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin)
HERMAN E. TALMADGE (Georgia)
JACOB K. JAVITS (New York)
JACK MILLER (Iowa)
LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho)

JAMES W. KNOWLES, Executive Director
JOHN R. STARK, Deputy Director
MARIAN T. TRACY, Financial Clerk
HAMILTON D. GEWEHR, Administrative Clerk

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
GARDNER ACKLEY, Chairman
JAMES S. DUESENBERRY
ARTHUR M. OKUN
Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES

[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint
Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a
sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at
Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to
the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic
Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository
libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts draivn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 2 5 cents a single copy
or by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C 20402
Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription
price is $5.40 per year.
The 1964 Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series
and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available
at 65 cents a copy.

11



TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING
Gross national product rose by $11 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter, according to
preliminary estimates. The regular annual revisions issued in July show an increase of $17 billion in the first quarter.
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Government

Persons
Disposable personal income
Period

1958
1959
I6...
90...
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965-_-_.
1964: III_.
I.
V.
1965: I .
..
II"
I.
I.
V.
1966: I _ _ _

Less:
Interest
paid and
Total* transfer
payments
to foreigners
318.8
337. 3
350. 0
3644
385.3
404. 6
436. 6
469. 1
441. 2
446. 6
453.2
461.0
476. 2
486. 1
495. 1
499.7

6. 5
7.0
7.8
8. 1
8.6
9.7
10.7
11.9
10.9
11. 2
11.4
11.8
12. 1
12.4
12.7
13.3

Net receipts

PerLess:
Less:
Equals: Personal sonal
Tax
TransTotal 3onsump- saving
Trans- Equals:
and
fers, Equals: Total
tion
Purexcludfers,
(+) or
nontax interest, Net
expend- disexpend- interest,
ing
and
interest itures saving receipts and receipts itures
of goods
or
suband
sub?
and
accruals sidies2
sidies 2 services
transfers
312.4
330. 3
342. 3
356.3
376.6
3949
425.8
457.2
430. 3
435.4
441.8
449.2
464 1
473.7
482. 4
486. 4

290. 1
311. 2
325. 2
335. 2
355. 1
375.0
401.4
431.5
407. 5
408.8
418.9
426.8
435. 0
445. 2
455. 6
458. 9

1147
128.9
139.8
144 6
157. 0
168. 8
1742
189.0
175. 4
178. 2
186. 4
188. 5
188.6
192. 6
203. 1

22.3
19. 1
17.0
21. 2
21. 6
19.9
245
25.7
22.8
26. 6
22. 8
22. 4
29. 0
28.5
26.9
27.6

33.0
340
36. 5
41.3
42. 8
44 4
46.7
49.6
46. 7
46. 7
48. 5
48. 0
51. 9
50.0
53.4
53.3

81.6
95. 0
103. 3
103. 3
114 2
124 3
127.5
139.4
128. 7
131. 5
137. 9
140. 5
136. 7
142. 6
149.7

127.2
131.0
136. 1
149. 0
159. 9
166.9
175.6
185. 8
176. 2
176. 2
180. 1
182.4
189. 6
191. 1
198. 4
202. 6

33.0
34 0
36. 5
41.3
42. 8
444
46.7
49. 6
46. 7
46. 7
48.5
48.0
51. 9
50.0
53.4
53. 3

94 2
97. 0
99.6
107.6
117. 1
122.5
128. 9
136.2
129.5
129.4
131.6
134 3
137.7
141. 2
145.0
149.4

Surplus
(+) ; or
deficit
(-) on
income
and
product
account

-12.5
-2. 1
3.7
—4 3
-2. 9
1.8
— 1.4
3.2
—. 8
2. 1
6.4
6. 1
-1.0
1.4
47

International

Business

Period

Expenditures

Net
Net exports of goods
Total
StatisGross
and services
Gross
Gross
Excess of income
Excess transfers
tical
national
of
to foror
retained private
transfers
discrep- product
earn- domestic invest- eigners
( + ) o r receipts ancy
or
ings3
ment by perinvestof net
expendment 4
sons and
Less: Equals: exports
iture
Govern- Exports Imports
Net
ment
exports

1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
,
1964
1965
1964: III..
IV..
1965: I—_.
II...
III.
IV..
1966: I....
II 6 .

49. 4
56.8
56.8
58.7
66. 3
68. 8
76.9
83.4
78.4
77.9
82. 6
82.3
83.8
85. 1
86.6

60.9
75.3
748
71.7
83. 0
87. 1
93. 0
106.6
92.5
97.4
103.8
103. 7
106. 7
111.9
1145
118.4

-11.5
-18.5
-18.0
-13.0
— 16.8
-18.4
-16. 0
-23. 1
-14 1
-19.5
-21. 2
-21.4
-22.9
-26.8
-27.9

2.3
2.4
2.3
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
2.7
2.6
3. 1
2. 8
2.5
3.4
2.9

23. 1
23.5
27. 2
28.6
30.3
32.3
37. 0
39. 0
37. 2
38. 1
35. 1
40. 5
40. 1
40. 3
41.7
42.3

i Personal income (p. 5) less personal taxes and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.).
a Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of
government enterprises.
3 Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment,
capital consumption allowances, and wage accruals less disbursements. Does
not include retained earnings of unincorporated business, which are included
in disposable personal income.
* Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit
institutions, and residential housing.




20. 9
23.3
23.2
22.9
25. 1
26. 4
28. 5
32. 0
28.8
29.6
28.7
32.3
33. 0
34 2
35.6
37.0
8
6
7

2.2
.1
41
5.6
5. 1
5. 9
8.5
7. 0
8.4
8.6
6.4
8.2
7. 1
6. 1
6.0
5.3

0. 1
2.3
-1.7
-3. 1
-2.5
-3. 1
-5.7
-4 2
-5.7
-5.9
-3. 8
-5. 1
-4 2
-3.5
-2.6
-2. 5

445.8
4845
5048
520. 8
559. 8
590. 8
633. 1
682.8
640. 2
647. 5
664 9
675. 0
687.3
7040
722.0

1.6
-.8
— 1.0
-. 7
.5
-.3
-1.4
-1.6
-2.3
-3.3
-4 1
-2. 1
-.8
.4
-.8

447. 3
483.6
503.8
520. 1
560. 3
590.5
631. 7
681. 2
637.9
6442
660.8
672. 9
686. 5
7044
721.2
732.0

Net foreign investment with sign changed.
Preliminary.
Not available.
NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For detais, see Survey of Current
Business, July 1966.
Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce.

GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE
Gross national product on a seasonally adjusted basis increased 11A percent in the second quarter. After adjustment for price changes, the increase was 1/i percent. The corresponding changes for the first quarter, according to
revised data, are 21/2 percent and 11A percent, respectively.

BILLIONS OF' DOLLARS

BILLIONS OP DOLLARS

700

700

600

600

500 -

500

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION
EXPENDITURES

.400

400

300

300
GOVERNMENT PURCHASES
OF GOODS AND SERVICES

1966

1960
•^PRELIMINARY.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1964: III
IV
1965: I
II
III
IV
1966: I_ 3
II

K

Total
Personal Gross
Total
gross
conprivate
national gross
sump- domestic
product national tion
investin 1958 product expend- ment
prices
itures
Billions <}f dollars; quarterly
438.0
254. 4
398. 0
67. 4
419. 2
266.7
70.0
446.1
452.5
441. 1
281. 4
67. 8
447. 3
60. 9
447. 3
290. 1
475. 9
483.6
311. 2
75. 3
487.8
503. 8
325. 2
74.8
497. 3
520. 1
335. 2
71.7
529.8
560. 3
355. 1
83.0
551.0
590. 5
375.0
87. 1
631. 7
401. 4
93.0
_ 580. 0
681. 2
431. 5
106.6
614.4
585. 0
637. 9
92. 5
407. 5
644. 2
587. 2
97. 4
408. 8
660.8
103.8
600.3
418. 9
607.8
672.9
426.8
103.7
618.2
686. 5
435. 0
106.7
631.2
704. 4
445. 2
111.9
721. 2
455.6
640.5
114.5
458.9
644-2
732.0
118.4

1
This category corresponds closely witn budget expenditures for national
. defense, shown on p. 35.
2
Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product
in 81958 prices.
Preliminary.




COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Gove]rnment
Net
exports
of goods
and
Total
Total
services

pmrchases of good s
services
Federal
National Other
defense1
data at s easonall;Y ad juste d annual rates
44. 1
38. 6
5. 5
74. 2
2.0
5.3
40. 3
4. 0
45. 6
78. 6
5.3
44. 2
49. 5
86. 1
5. 7
7.7
94. 2
53. 6
2. 2
45. 9
7.6
53.7
46. 0
,1
97. 0
44. 9
4. 1
53. 5
8.6
99. 6
57.4
9.6
47. 8
5. 6 107. 6
63. 4
51. 6 11.8
5. 1 117. 1
50. 8 13. 5
64. 2
5.9 122.5
65.2
50.0 15. 2
8.5 128.9
66.8
50. 1 16. 7
7. 0 136. 2
49.8 15.3
8.4 129. 5
65. 1
64. 1
48. 5 15. 6
8.6 129. 4
64. 4
48. 2 16. 2
6. 4 131.6
8.2 134. 3
49. 1 16. 5
65. 6
50. 7 16. 8
7. 1 137. 7
67.5
52. 5 17.3
69.8
6. 1 141. 2
54. 6 17. 4
6. 0 145.0
71. 9
57. 0 17. 6
5.3 149. 4
74.6

and

State
and
local

Implicit
price
deflator
for total
GNP,
1958 =1002

30. 1
33. 0
36. 6
40. 6
43. 3
46. 1
50. 2
53. 7
58.2
63. 7
69.4
64.4
65. 3
67. 3
68.7
70.2
71.4
73. 1
74. 8

90.9
94. 0
97. 5
100. 0
101. 6
103.3
104. 6
105. 8
107.2
108. 9
110. 9
109. 1
109.7
110. 1
110. 7
111. 0
111. 6
112. 6
113. 6

NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1966. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce.

NATIONAL INCOME
Employee compensation rose $8 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter. Farm proprietors1
income dropped $% billion below the peak reached in the first quarter. Most other forms of noncorporate ir
income
showed little or no change.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
•600

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

600

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

TOTAL NATIONAL INCOME

\

500

500

400

400-

300

300

PROPRIETORS' AND
RENTAL INCOME

CORPORATE PROFITS AND
INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT

100

100

NET INTEREST

J_
1960

1961

1963

1962

_1_
1964

1965

1966

-I/PRELIMINARY .
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

*SEE NOTE, PAGE 7.

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1964: III
IV

1965: I
II
III
IV
1966: I 6
II
1
2

Total
national
income

331. 0
350. 8
366. 1
367.8
400. 0
414. 5
427. 3
457. 7
481. 9
517. 3
559. 0
522. 9
528. 5
543. 3
552. 2
562. 7
577. 8
595.7
(6)

Compensation
of em- 1
ployees

224. 5
243. 1
256. 0
257. 8
279. 1
294. 2
302. 6
323. 6
341. 0
365. 7
392. 9
369. 8
375.3
381.7
387.8
395. 6
406. 5
419. 6
427. 7

Proprieto rs1 income
Farm 2

30. 3
31.3
32. 8
33. 2
35. 1
34. 2
35. 6
37. 1
37. 9
39. 9
40. 7
40. 3
40.3
40. 5
40. 4
40. 7
41. 1
41. 4
41. 6

11. 4
11.4
11.3
13.4
11. 4
12. 0
12. 8
13. 0
13. 1
12. 0
15. 1
11. 7
11.9
12. 9
15. 5
16. 0
16. 0
17.0
16. 3

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.)
Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in farming and therefore differs
from net farm income (including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes
such profits.
s See Note, p. 7.
4
Less than $50 million.
5
Preliminary.




Business
and professional

6

Rental
income
of
per-

13.9
14.3
14. 8
15.4
15. 6
15. 8
16. 0
16. 7
17. 1
17. 7
18. 3
17.8
17.9
18. 1
18. 3
18. 4
18. 5
18.7
18. 8

Net

interest

4. 1
4. 6
5. 6
6. 8
7. 1
8.4

10. 0
11. 6
13. 8
15. 5
17.8
15. 7
16. 3
16. 9
17. 5
18. 1
18.7
19.1
19. 6

Corpora be profits and inventory va uation ad justment s
Total

46. 9
46. 1
45. 6
41. 1
51.7
49. 9
50.3
55. 7
58.9
66.6
74.2
67. 8
66. 8
73. 2
72.7
74. 0
76. 9
80.0
(6)

Profits Inventory
before valuation
taxes 3 adjustment

48. 6
48.8
47. 2
41.4
52. 1
49.7
50.3
55. 4
59. 4
67.0
75. 7
67. 8
67. 7
74.5
74.5
75. 0
78.7
82.7
(6)

-1.7
-2.7
— 1.5

-.3
~~"~ . t)

.2

— .1
.3

—.5

—.4

-1.5
(4)

-.9

-1.3
-1.8
-1.0
-1.8
-2.8
-2.0

Not available.
NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Survey of Current
Business, July 1966.
Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce.

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME

Personal income in June scored its largest monthly increase since March by rising $31A billion (seasonally adjusted
annual rate). Wages and salaries had a growth of $2% billion and transfer payments $% billion while farm income
declined $Vi billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
400

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
600

500

400

WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

300

300

100

1966

SOURCii DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Total
personal
income

1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: May___
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June 5 __

351. 1
361.2
383.5
401.0
416.8
442.6
465. 5
496.0
535. 1
528.0
532.2
535.4
537.8
4
552. 5
547.2
553.2
558. 2
560. 2
564.7
569. 0
570.5
573. 0
576. 4

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Wage
Rental
Other Propriet<Drs' income income Divi- Personal Transfer
and
salary
labor 2
interest payBusiness
of
Farm
disburse- income
and pro- persons dends income ments
1
fessional
ments
11.3
21.4
238.7
9.5
32.8
14.8
11.7
17.6
13.4
33.2
15.4
239.9
9.9
18.9
25.7
11.6
258.2
11.4
11.3
35. 1
15.6
20.7
26.6
12.6
34.2
12.0
12.0
23.4
270.8
13.4
28.5
15.8
32.4
12.8
35.6
16.0
25.0
12.7
278.1
13.8
13.0
37.1
16.7
15.2
27.7
33.3
296.1
13.9
31.4
311. 1
14. 9
13. 1
37. 9
35. 3
16. 5
17. 1
12. 0
34. 6
36.8
39. 9
333. 6
16.6
17.7
17.3
19.2
38. 4
39. 7
358.4
40. 7
18.5
15. 1
18. 3
40.4
18.3
354. 1
18. 2
15. 7
38.0
18.7
37.7
38. 4
18.4
16. 9
40. 4
18.3
37.5
356. 1
19.3
38.4
16.3
40. 7
18.4
358.3
19.3
38.7
18. 6
18.4
38.9
38.3
18.8
40. 6
15. 9
19. 5
360. 6
39. 2 4 49. 2
15. 9
40. 7
18. 5
363. 5
19. 0
19. 8
39. 4
39.8
15.8
19. 2
40. 8
18. 5
20. 0
366. 9
16. 0
41. 1
39. 7
40.3
371.4
18. 6
19. 4
20. 2
41. 4
16. 2
41.3
18.6
20. 5
40.0
374. 1
19. 6
42. 3
16.8
41.3
18.6
19.8
20.8
40.5
376. 8
42.6
41. 0
17. 0
41.3
18. 7
21.0
20. 0
380. 1
41. 4
42.9
17.3
41. 5
18. 7
20. 9
382.9
20. 2
41.8
42.6
16.7
20. 4
18.7
21.0
41.5
384.7
42. 1
42. 5
21. 2
16.3
41. 6
18.8
387.0
20. 6
43. 1
21.2
42.4
15.9
41. 7
18.8
20.7
389. 7

1
Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for
social insurance and wage accruals less disbursements.
2
Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor
items.
3
Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises,
farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural
corporations.




COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Less: Personal contributions
for social
insurance
6.7
6.9
7.9
9.3
9.6

10.3
11.8
12.5
13.2
13. 1
13. 2
13. 2
13. 2
13.2
13.3
13. 5
13. 6
16. 8
16.9
16. 9
17.0
17. 1
17.2

Nonagricultural
personal
income 3
336.6
344.3
368.5
385.2
400.0
425.5
448. 1
479.7
515. 6
507.9
510. 8
514. 6
517.6
4
532. 3
526.9
532. 6
537.2
538. 8
543. 0
547.0
549. 1
551. 9
555. 7

4
Includes retroactive social security benefits of $885 million or $10.6 billion at
annual rate,
s Preliminary.
NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Survey of Current
Business, July 1966.
Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income in the second quarter slowed down from its recent pace but still registered a strong gain of $8% billion
(seasonally adjusted annual rate). Personal taxes rose sharply with the advent of graduated withholding/ hence,
disposable income was up only $41A billion, but the saving rate remained virtually unchanged.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
550

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
550

500

500

450

450

400

400

350 —

300 [/(

I

1

I

DOLLARS
2,600

DOLLARS
2,600

2,400 -

2,400

2,200

2,200

2,000

2,000

1,800

1,800
1960

1966

•1/PRELIMlNARr.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

1956
1957
1958
1959_ _ _ _
1960
1961
1962__ _ _ _
1963
1964
1965
1964: III__
IV..
1965: I...
II...
III..
IV__
1966: I 3 _
II _

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Saving
Per capdta disUBBS: Perse nal outlawfs
posable personal as perEquals :
Persor lal consunaption
Less :
Equals:
incc>me
cent of PopulaPerDisexpenditure s 2
PerPersonal
tion
dissonal sonal posable Total
saving Current
posable
(thouincome taxes personal personal Durable Non1958 personal sands)
prices
prices income
income outlays * goods durable Services
goods
(percent)
Billions of dollars
Dollars
168,221
7.0
38.9
272.6
129.3
1,838
333.0
293.2
98.5
20.6
1,743
39.8
171,274
6.7
40.8
1,844
287.8
135. 6
105.0
1,801
351.1
308.5
20.8
42.6
174, 141
7.0
140.2
361.2
296.5
37.9
1,831
112.0
22.3
1,831
42.3
318.8
177, 073
5.7
318.2
44.3
46.2
337.3
146.6
120.3
19. 1
1,905
1,881
383.5
180, 684
4.9
45.3
333.0
151.3
128.7
17.0
1,937
1,883
401.0
50.9
350.0
183, 756
5.8
343.2
44.2
155.9
21.2
1,983
1,909
135. 1
52.4
364.4
416.8
186, 656
5.6
49.5
363.7
162.6
143.0
2,064
21.6
442.6
57.4
385.3
1,968
4.9
189,417
53. 9
384. 7
152. 4
168. 6
19. 9
404. 6
2,013
2,136
60. 9
465. 5
192,120
5.6
412. 1
59. 4
2,272
178. 9
163. 1
24. 5
2,116
59. 4
436. 6
496. 0
5. 5 194,572
66. 1
2,214
443. 4
190.6
174. 8
2,411
469. 1
25. 7
535. 1
66. 0
Seasonally adjiisted anmlal rates
192,492
5.2
181. 7
2,292
61. 1
22. 8
2,134
418. 4
164. 7
441. 2
59. 1
500.3
6. 0 193,196
2,312
58.9
182.4
2,140
420. 0
167. 5
26.6
60.9
446.6
507. 5
5. 0 193,731
2,162
65. 1
184. 5
22. 8
2,339
169. 3
453.2
430. 3
518. 0
64.9
4. 9 194,268
64. 4
22.4
2,181
189. 4
173. 0
2,373
438.6
66. 6
461. 0
527. 6
6. 1 194,898
2,241
66. 7
191. 4
447. 1
176.9
29. 0
2,443
476. 2
541. 9
65. 7
5. 9 195,543
68. 0
197. 0
28. 5
2,270
180. 2
2,486
457.6
552. 8
66. 7
486. 1
5. 4 196,082
2,287
70.3
26.9
468. 4
201.9
2,525
69. 5
183. 4
495. 1
564. 6
5. 5 196,585
2,542
472. 1
66.8
2,277
27.6
204.7
187. 4
499.7
73.6
573. 3

1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers,
and personal transfer payments to foreigners.
2 See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures.
3
Preliminary.




NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1966.
Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers.

FARM INCOME
In the second quarter seasonally adjusted net farm income, including net inventory change, fell 4 percent from the
record high of the 1st quarter. According to revised estimates, net income per farm rose 29 percent in 1965.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF' DOLLARS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES'

50

50
REALIZED GROSS
FARM INCOME

40

40

30

30

NET FARM INCOME
INCLUDING NET INVENTORY
CHANGE

20

20

\
10

10

J

L
1960

1961

1963

1962

1964

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

Income received from farming
Realize d gross

From
all

sources

1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1964: III
_„
IV
1965: I _ _ _
II
III
IV
1966: I 5
II -.. .

17.7
19.5
18. 1
18.7
19.0
19.2
18.7
17.9
20.6

From
From
nonfarm
farm
sources sources

11.0
12. 8
11. 0
11.4
12. 1
12,2
12. 0
11. 1
13.8

6.6
6.7
7.0
7.2
6.9
7.0
6.7

6. 8

6.8

Net t<3 farm
oper ators

Net inc ome per
farm incl uding net
inventory change 3

ProducCash
tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ing net in- ing net in- Current
1965
Total *
from
ventory ventory2
prices prices 4
marketchange change
ings
Dol lars
Billions c)f dollars
2,786
2,590
34.0
23.3
11.3
10.7
29.7
3,429
3,189
37.9
25.2
12.7
13. 5
33.5
2,973
2,795
37. 5
11.4
11. 5
26. 1
33.5
3,203
3,043
37.9
12. 0
26.2
11.7
34.0
3,567
3,389
39.6
12. 9
34. 9
12.6
27. 0
3,562
3,710
41. 0
36.2
13. 1
12.5
28. 5
37.2
3,671
3,785
42. 1
29.6
12.5
13. 1
42.3
29.4
3, 550
3,479
12.9
12. 1
36.9
4, 493
4,493
44.9
30.7
14.2
39. 2
15. 2
Seas onally ad lusted amluaJ rates
11.8
3,400
3,470
29.3
13.0
36. 9
42.3
3, 460
3, 530
12.0
42.2
29.2
13.0
36. 7
3,820
3,860
30.0
12. 9
37.3
12.9
42.9
4, 590
4, 590
45.4
15.5
30.8
14.6
39. 7
4,770
4, 770
16. 1
45.5
30.9
14.6
39.7
4,770
4, 770
31.2
16. 1
45.9
14.7
40.0
5, 210
5, 110
48.4
42.2
31.9
17.1
16.5
5,000
16.4
4,850
42. 2
16.2
32.5
48. 7

1
Cash receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year.
Also, see footnote 2, p. 3.
3
Based on 1959 Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of
farms is held constant within a year.




1966
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Personal income received by I
total farm population
Period

1965

* Income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for
family living items on a 1965 base.
s Preliminary.
NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Farm Income Situation.
July 1966.
Source: Department of Agriculture,

CORPORATE PROFITS
After revisions in corporate profits, profits (before taxes) and inventory valuation adjustment in the first quarter
amounted to $80 billion (seasonally adjusted1 annual rate) or 9 percent above a year earlier.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

30

20

20

10

10

I960

|

1961

1966

J/EXCLUDING INVENTORY VAL.OATION, ADJUSTMENT.
SOURCE> DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

f

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW.

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates!
Cor]porate pi ofits
aifter taxe s
Corpo- Profits
plus
rate
TransCorpo- CorpoM anufactur ing
capital capital
portation,
rate
rate
conconcomAll
DiviUntax
profits
NonDurable durable muni- other before liabil- Total dend distrib- sump- sumption
tion
paygoods
uted
ity
Total indusgoods cations, indus- taxes
and
tries
ments profits allow- allowl
ances an ces 2
public
tries
tries
utilities
47.2
21. 2
10. 7
26. 0
14.2
24. 0
15. 8
11.7
20.8
46.8
13. 3
5.8
22. 3
10. 0
41. 4
11. 6
5. 9
19. 0
22.0
44. 3
9. 3
15. 9
10.8
19. 3
12. 7
12. 6
18.4
52. 1
28.5
7. 0
23.7
52. 0
26. 3
13. 6
15. 9
23. 5
12.4
26.7
13.4
12. 0
7. 5
49. 7
23.0
13.2
24. 4
17.9
51. 6
249
11. 4
27. 2
11.9
50.3
23. 1
13.8
13. 5
26. 2
23. 3
7.9
19. 1
53. 5
31.2
12. 5
24. 2
14. 1
8. 5
16. 0
61. 3
20. 5
55. 4
15. 2
30. 1
26. 6
13.0
59.4
33. 1
26.3
15.8
16. 5
16.6
31.8
64. 8
9.5
20. 7
28. 8
28.4
38.7
32. 4
14.5
10.4
23.8
67.0
17.3
33.9
17.9
21.3
72.5
31.2
19.2
22. 1
15.7
11. 1
25.3
44.5
25.3
37. 8
75. 7
36. 3
80.8
24. 1
39. 1
17.4
34.2
14. 6
10. 6
67. 8
28.7
21.7
18. 4
73.3
33.0
14. 7
24. 1
39. 0
32. 2
10. 5
67.7
28. 6
17.7
21.4
34.8
73.8
17.5
74.5
43.8
35.2
15.5
10. 7
25.0
30. 7
18. 1
25.7
79. 0
37.4
21.9
74.5
30.7
43. 8
18. 8
25.0
79.8
21. 2
10.9
36.0
36. 7
15. 5
25. 1
75.0
44. 1
11. 2
30.9
24.6
80.9
21. 9
15. 5
25.3
19.5
36.8
37.4
32.4
46. 3
20. 2
26. 1
37.2
16. 4
11. 5
78.7
83.5
25. 9
39.6
23. 2
34. 1
82.7
20.9
27.8
37.7
17. 2
11. 3
26.8
48.7
86. 4
41. 9
24.7
21. 1
38.3
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)

Conjorate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inveritory
valuation adjustme]nt

Period

All
industries

1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965_-_ _
1964: III.

45. 6
41. 1
51. 7
49. 9
50. 3
55. 7
58. 9
66.6
74.2
67.8
66.8
73.2
72.7
74.0
76. 9
80. 0

IV—

1965: I __
II- _
III.
IV-

1966: ! _ _ _
II 3 _

(4)

1
Includes depreciation, capital outlays charged to current account, and accidental damages.
2
Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances.
a
Preliminary.
* Not available.




NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1966.
Data beginning 1962 adjusted for effects of new depreciation guidelines
($2^billion for 1962) and therefore not comparable with preceding data.
Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce.
*7

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
Gross private domestic investment advanced $4 billion in the second quarter as inventory accumulation accelerated
by $3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate). Fixed investment gained nearly $1 billion despite a decline of
$1/s billion in residential structures.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
.120

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

120

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC
INVESTMENT

40

20

1960

1966

1961

.I/PRELIMINARY",
SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Fixed ini/estment

Period

Total
gross
private
domestic
investment

Struc tures

Total

Total
Total

1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1964: III
IV___
1965: I
II
III
IV

1966: I 1
II
1

67. 4
70. 0
67. 8
60. 9
75. 3
74. 8
71. 7
83.0
87. 1
93.0
106. 6
92. 5
97. 4
103. 8
103.7
106.7
111. 9
114. 5
118. 4

61. 4
65. 3
66. 5
62. 4
70.5
71.3
69. 7
77.0
81. 3
88.3
97. 5
88.9
90. 0
94.4
96.0
98. 0
101. 5
105. 6
106. 4

38. 1
43.7
46. 4
41. 6
45. 1
48. 4
47. 0
51.7
54.3
60.7
69. 7
61. 7
63. 3
66. 7
67.9
70.2
73. 9
77. 0
78. 3

14.3
17.2
18.0
16. 6
16.7
18. 1
18. 4
19. 2
19. 5
21. 0
24. 9
21.0
21. 8
23. 6
24.6
24.4
26.8
28. 5
28. 0

Preliminary.
NOTE. — Series revised be.ginning 1962 . For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1966. Data for Alaska and Ilawaii inclu<led beginnin g!960.

8



Resid ential
struc tures

N onresidenl ial

Nonfarm
13. 6
16. 5
17.2
15. 8
15. 9
17. 4
17. 7
18. 5
18. 8
20. 3
24. 2
20.3
21. 2
22.9
24. 0
23.8
26. 1
27.8
27. 3

Producers7 durable equ ipment
Total

23.8
26.5
28. 4
25. 0
28. 4
30. 3
28. 6
32. 5
34. 8
39. 7
44. 8
40.7
41. 4
43. 1
43. 3
45. 8
47. 1
48. 5
50. 3

Nonfarm
21. 2
24 2
25. 9
22. 0
25. 4
27. 7
25. 8
29. 4
31. 2
35.9
40. 6
36. 9
37. 7
39.3
39.4
41.3
42. 3
43.7
45. 4

Total

23.3
21. 6
20. 2
20. 8
25. 5
22. 8
22. 6
25. 3
27. 0
27. 6
27. 8
27. 2
26.7
27.7
28. 1
27. 8
27. 6
28.6
28. 1

Nonfarm
22. 7
20. 9
19. 5
20. 1
24. 8
22. 2
22. 0
24. 8
26. 4
27. 0
27. 2
26.6
26. 2
27. 2
27.5
27.3
27. 0
28. 0
27. 6

Source: D epartment o ; Commerce.

Change in business inv entories

Total
6. 0

4.7
1.3

-1. 5
4.8

3. 6
2. 0

6.0

Nonfarm
5.5

5. 1
.8
-2.3
4.8
3.3
1.7
5.3

5. 9
4. 7
9. 1

5. 1
5. 3
8. 1

3.6
7.4
9.5
7.6

4.6
7.9
9.4
6.7
7.2

8.9

8.5

8. 7
10. 4
12. 0

9. 0

11. 8

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
Business expenditures for new plant and equipment in 1966 are now expected to rise 17 percent above 1965, to
$60.8 billion. This is 1 percent more than reported in February. Outlays in the last half of 1966, seasonally adjusted, are expected to maintain a steady advance.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
70

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
70
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL HATES

60

50

TOTAL
40

40

30

30
NONMANUFACTURING

20

20

MANUFACTURING

10

10

i

i

t

i

1960

1

i
1963

1962

1961

1964

t JL/iJL/
1966

1965

-I/SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE- SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
M anufacturij ng

Period

1953
1954_
1955
1956
---1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965 3
1966
1965: I
II
III
IV
1966: I 3
II 3
III3
IV

.;
..

Total i

-

28.32
26. 83
28. 70
35. 08
36.96
30. 53
32. 54
35. 68
34. 37
37.31
39.22
44. 90
51.96
60. 78
49.00
50.35
52. 75
55.35
58. 00
59. 60
61.65
63.55

Total
11. 91
11.04
11. 44
14.95
15. 96
11. 43
12. 07
14. 48
13. 68
14.68
15. 69
18. 58
22.45
27.02
20. 75
21. 55
23. 00
24. 15
25. 60
26. 60
27. 55
28. 10

Transpojrtation

Durable Nondura-^
goods ble goods

5.65
5.09
5.44
7.62
8.02
5.47
5.77
7. 18
6.27
7. 03
7. 85
9. 43
11.40
13.78
10.40
10. 80
11. 75
12.45
13. 15
13. 55
14. 00
14. 30

6. 26
5. 95
6. 00
7.33
7. 94
5. 96
6.29
7. 30
7. 40
7. 65
7.84
9. 16
11.05
13.24
10.40
10. 70
11. 25
11.70
12.45
13.05
13. 50
13. 75

Mining
Railroads Other

0.99
.98
. 96
1.24
1.24
. 94
. 99
. 99
. 98
1. 08
1. 04
1. 19
1.30
1. 42
1.25
1. 30
1.25
1.35
1.40
1.40
1.40

1.31
. 85
. 92
1.23
1. 40
.75
. 92
1. 03
.67
. 85
1. 10
1.41
1.73
2. 05
1.75
1. 55
1.70
1.95
1.75
1.85
2. 10

1.56
1.51
1. 60
1.71
1.77
1. 50
2. 02
1. 94
1.85
2. 07
1. 92
2.38
2.81
3.49
2. 55
2. 70
3.00
3.00
3.30
3.40
3. 65
35.50

Public Commerutilities cial and
other 2

4.55
4.22
4.31
4, 90
6.20
6. 09
5. 67
5. 68
5. 52
5. 48
5.65
6.22
6.94
7. 99
6.80
6. 85
6.75
7.30
8.25
7.80
8.10

8.00
8.23
9.47
11.05
10.40
9. 81
10.88
11.57
11.68
13. 15
13.82
15. 13
16.73
18. 80
15. 85
16. 40
17. 00
17.55
17.70
18. 50
18.85

Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily
1 Excludes agriculture.
coincide with the average of seasonally adjusted figures.
2 Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and
These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product
construction.
* Estimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover
in late April and May 1966. Includes adjustments when necessary for sys- agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays
charged to current expense.
tematic tendencies in anticipatory data.
NOTE.—Beginning 1969 all quarterly data are rounded to nearest $50 million.
Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce.




EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
STATUS OF THE LABOR FORGE

Employment, seasonally adjusted, rose by 766,000 in June while the civilian labor force increased by 818,000.
Nonasricultural employment rose by 604,000 and agricultural employment by 162,000, according to the household
survey.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
90

MILLIONS OF PERSONS*
90

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

85

85

80

-TOTAL LABOR FORCE-

60

75

75

70

70

65

65
10

10

0U
PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
•i
I IE/U PL OYAAE NT R/MFE
Jh

3.

33Fg

PI

PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE
SE ASC>NA LL T" AC)JL SIFEE)

T 7^

In

in

1

TT

n

Hi E:

-.p

n

••••

} 9 6C

19 6

)

1962

i

96:J

1966

96^5

964I

*14 YEARS OF AGE ANDiOVER.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Total
labor
force
(including
armed
forces)

1961...
19622..
1963...
1964...
1965___

74, 175
74, 681
75, 712
76, 971
78, 357

1965:
AprMay.
JuneJuly.
Aug.
Sept.
Oct__
Nov.
Dee.
1966:
Jan..
Feb..
Mar.
AprMay.
June

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Ci villatn emTotal
Civilisin employment
ployioaent
labor
force Civilian
UnemNonNonAgriploy- (includ- labor
agriagriing
ment
Total
force
Total
culculcularmed
tural
tural
tural
forces)
Thousands of \jersons 14 years of age and over
66, 796 61. 333 4,806 74, 175 71, 603 66, 796 5,463 61, 333
67, 846 62, 657 4,007 74, 681 71, 854 67, 846 5,190 62, 657
68, 809 63, 863 4, 166 75, 712 72, 975 68, 809 4, 946 63, 863
70, 357 65, 596 3,876 76, 971 74, 233 70, 357 4,761 65, 596
72, 179 67, 594 3,456 78, 357 75, 635 72, 179 4,585 67, 594
Unadji listed
Seasonally adjustec 1

Unemp] oy ment
rate (pe rcent of
Unem- civiliaia labor
for oe)
ployment Unad- Seasonjusted ally adjusted
Percent
4,806
6.7
4,007
5. 6
4, 166
5.7
3,876
5.2
3,456
4.6

77, 307
78, 425
80, 683
81, 150
80, 163
78, 044
78, 713
78, 598
78, 477

71, 070
72, 407
73, 716
74, 854
74, 212
72, 446
73, 196
72, 837
72, 749

66, 597
67, 278
68, 094
69, 228
69, 077
67, 668
68, 242
68, 709
69, 103

3,552
3,335
4,287
3,602
3,258
2,875
2,757
2,966
2,888

77, 988
77, 990
78, 832
78, 747
78, 465
78, 384
78, 606
78, 906
79, 408

75, 302
75, 306
75, 652
76, 054
75, 772
75, 611
75, 846
76, 111
76, 567

71, 688
71, 816
72, 085
72, 618
72, 387
72, 297
72, 561
72, 914
78, 441

4, 769
4,869
4,651
4,639
4,572
4,418
4,551
4,273

66, 919
66, 947
67,434
67, 979
67, 815
67, 879
68, 010
68,641
68, 955

3,614
8,490
8,567
3,486
3,385
3,314
8,285
8,197
8, 126

4. 8
4.4
5.5
4.6
4.2
3.8
3.6
3.9
3.8

77, 409
77, 632
78, 034
78, 914
79, 751
82, 700

71, 229
71, 551
72, 023
73, 105
73, 764
75, 731

67, 652
67, 939
68, 244
68, 900
69, 472
70, 543

3,290
3, 158
3,037
2,802
2,942
3,870

79,644
79, 279
79, 315
79, 674
79, 818
80, 185

76, 754
76, 855
76, 341
76, 666
76, 268
77, 086

78, 715
73, 521
73, 485
78, 799
73, 231
78, 997

4,429 69, 286
4,442 69, 079
4,363 69, 072
4,482 69, 317

3,039
2,834
2,906
2,867
3, 087
3,089

4.4
4.2
4.0
3.7
3.8
4.9

» Total labor force as percent of noninstltutional population.
2
Not strictly comparable with preceding data. See Employment and Earnings. May 1962, p. XIV.

10



4,486

4,076
4,288

69, 155
69, 759

NOTE.—Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii.
Source: Department of Labor.

4-8
4.6
4.7

4.5
4.5
4-4

4.3
4.2
4.1
4.0

8.7
3.8

8. 7

4.0
4.0

Labor
force
participation
rate,
unadjusted »
58.0
57.4
57.3
57.4
57.5
56.9
57.7
59.3
59.6
58.7
57. 1
57. 5
57. 4
57.2
56. 3
56.4
56.7
57.2
57.7
59. 8

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.0 percent in June for the second consecutive month.

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

LABOR FORCE TIME LOST THROUGH UNEMPLOYMENT
AND PART TIME WORK

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE,
ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED
WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS

4.0

4.0

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE,
MARRIED MEN

2,0

2.0

1960

1966

SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Uneniploymenlb rate
(percen t of civiliiin labor
for ce in. grou

Labor
force
time lost
Experi- Married through
unemenced
ployment Over 40
All
wage and men
(wife and part- hours
workers salary
present)
time
workers
•work 1

P)

Period

Per cent

1961
1962
1963
1964
1965

_..

1965: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar._
Apr
May
June

6. 7
5.6
5.7
5.2
46

6. 8
5. 5
5. 5

4. 6
3. 6

8.0

J

6. 7
6. 4

5.0

3.4
2.8
2.4

4.6
4.7
4.5

4.4
4.5
4.1

2.5
2.4
2.3

5.2
5.3
5.2

4.4
4.3

4.0

2.2

4.7

3.8
3.7
3.5
3.3

2.0
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8

4.5
4.4

4. 5

4. 2
4. 1

4.0
3.7
3.8

3. 7

4.0

4. 0

4. 2
Seasonall.y adjusted I

4. 2

4. 0

3. 5

3.4
3.7
3.7

2. 6
2. 1

1. 8
1. 9

5.8

5. 0

5. 1
4. 6

4. 3

4.0

4. 1
4. 1

4.4
4.8

18, 210
19, 025
19, 257
19, 294
20, 808
21, 354
20, 856
20, 244
20, 424
22, 040
21, 900
21, 006
22, 477
20, 851
20, 690
21, 288
20, 926
21, 440
21, 656

1
Man-hours lost by the unemployed and those on part-time for economic
reasons as a percent oi total man-hours potentially available to the civilian labor
force. Beginning 1963, series reflects whether unemployed persons sought fullor part-time jobs.
2 Differs from total nonagricultural employment (p. 13), which includes persons with jobs but not at work lor such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather,
and industrial disputes.




Persons at work in nonagri cultural 2 idustries
ir
by hours worked p er week
Unider 35 hours
Part-ti me for
Part-ti me for
economic3 reasons economi<3 reasons
35-40
hours
Total
Usually Usually Usually Usually
fullfullpartparttime 3
time 4
time 3
time 4
Thousan ds of pers ons 14 ye*u*s of age and over
29, 047 11, 132
1,297
1, 516
28, 853 11, 675
1,049
1, 288
29, 422 11, 856
1, 070
1,219
29, 127 13, 850
985
1,151
30, 802 12, 618
897
1,031
IJnad juste d
Seasonal^7 adjusted
31, 654 11,966
892
936
947
957
32,. Oil 11,462
944
1,292
948
1,035
874
1,466
30,295 10, 778
961
1,127
30, 684 10, 408
932
959
1,358
1, 038
31, 626 11, 159
854
851
843
937
30, 846 13, 052
829
848
853
973
28, 341 17, 195
830
916
817
1,002
32, 330 12, 447
761
866
766
979
32, 125 12, 408
972
794
902
917
732
32, 389 12, 555
871
782
899
32, 543 12, 156
826
743
820
802
32, 263 12, 825
796
711
776
795
32, 951 12, 772 5 829 5 716
839
768
1, 036
33, 258 11, 420
1,040
1, 203
964

3
Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material
shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated.
* Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work.
5 Average hours worked: usually full-time, 23.2; usually part-time, 16.7.
NOTE.—Beginning 19€0, data include Alaska and Hawaii.
Source: Department of Labor.
"I 1

UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In June, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 269,000 less than in June 1965. The insured unemployment rate on a seasonally adjusted basis was at a low of 2.1 percent for the third consecutive month.
MILLIONS OF PERSONS

MILLIONS OF PERSONS
WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT
(STATE PROGRAMS)

1963

J

r-I/

\
FEB.

JAN.

MAR.

APRIL

MAY

JUNE

JULY

AUG.

SEPT.

OCT.

NOV.

DEC

J/ SEE NOTE | ON TABLE BELOW.
•SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

A 11 progranis

Period

1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: May
June
July.
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June 2
Week ended:
1966: June 4
11
18
25
July 22
92

Insured Total
unem- benefits
Covered ploypaid
(milemployment
(weekly
ment
lions
averof dolage)
lars)
Thou sands
47, 776 1 1,946
48, 434
1, 973
49, 635
1, 753
2
1,450
51,568
51, 186
1,316
1,182
52, 088
1,262
52, 280
52, 611
1,235
1,089
52, 713
2
52, 702
1,030
2
1, 133
52, 709
2
1,396
53, 411
1,739
1,679
1,381
1, 112
916
841

3, 160. 0
3, 025. 9
2, 749. 2
2, 434. 7
179. 2
169.3
160. 6
160.7
150.3
128. 2
143.0
184.7
226.5
230. 2
240. 0
166. 4
136. 1
127. 8

St£ite

Insured
unemployment




Insurec unemploymen t as perExhaus- cent of covered
emplo yment
tions
Unad- Seasonjusted ally adjusted

Weekly tiverage, t lousands
302
32
1,783
1
*298
1, 806
30
1,605
268
26
21
232
1, 328
1, 179
24
186
22
1,059
191
252
1, 139
19
1,120
215
18
981
173
17
933
189
16
1,042
225
15
290
17
1,308
1,644
19
329
1,590
19
238
171
1,301
18
166
19
1, 044
152
17
862
156
15
790

868
850
835
831
835

Programs include Puerto Bican sugarcane workers for initial claims and
insured unemployment beginning July 1963.
2 Preliminary.

12

Initial
claims

816
799
786
783
787

142
149
152
150
188
283

progra ms

Per<3ent
4. 4
4. 3
3.8
3.0
2.7
2.4
2. 6
2. 5
2.2
2.0
2.3
3.0
3.7
3.6
2.9
2.3
1.9
1.8

3.0
3.0

3. 0
3. 1
2. 9
2. 7

2.7

2. 7

2.7
2.6

2. 3
2. 1

2.1

2. 1

Benefii bs paid
Total Average
(milweekly
lions of
check
dollars) (dollars)

2, 675. 4
2, 774. 7
2, 522. 1
2, 166. 0
165.7
156.3
149. 5
148. 0
138. 6
117. 8
132. 2
172. 1
212.7
217. 2
225.5
155. 5
126. 1
118.7

34.56
35.28
35. 96
37.19
36.40
36.07
36. 40
36. 58
37. 23
37.32
38. 08
38. 81
39.36
39.66
39. 83
39.38
38.86
38.59

1.8
1. 8
1.8
1.7
1.8

NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1964 Supplement to Economic
Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods and for Puerto
Rico since January 1961.
Source: Department of Labor.

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Nonagricultural payroll employment increased by 324,000 (seasonally adjusted) in June.
in manufacturing, contract construction, and government.
MIL LIONS OF WAGE
AN 3 SALARY WORK ERS
66

MIL LIONS OF WAGE
AN D SALARY WORK ERS (SEASONALLY
22
MANUFACTlJRING
20

(SEASONALLY A DJUSTED DATA)

ALL NONA GRICULTURAL ESTABLISHME!HTS
64

AIXIUSTED DATA)

TOTAL

—*

,18

6Q

S^ ^—

16

_^~s

56
54

10

^-"-"^

^=H

'""

1

'"'"

6

\

I"" 1

__— „„,„„,«.«

'

' ^

13.5

4.5

CONTRACT CONSTRUCTK3N.

WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE

(ENLARGED SCA LI)

(ENLARGED SCAI-E)

4.0

f

13.0

3.5

3.0

^

i ^.—~--1

NONDURA BLE GOODS INDU STRIES

8

V""

1r*"^

DURABLE coon?:
INDUSTRIES

£

' ^

x-*^
^••^1

^^g^-

\

-^
62

58

The largest gains were

f-^

12.5

^
V
****^^~s r^V

^
^
12.0

^ •
" ^

,

2.5
'

,

,

f i i i i

1964

1963

, , , ,,

," 1965

.

1966

11,5

^

^1
.—^— ^^
, ,, ,,1
,
^

1963

1964

M 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 .>

1966

1965

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

1

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted]
N onmanu facturin^ 5 (private )

Manufac turing (]Drivate)

Transtract portation
Mining conand
strue- public
tion utilities
732 2,960 4,011
712 2,885 4,004
672 2, 816 3,903
650 2,902 3,906
635 2,963 3,903
633 3,056 3,947
628 3,211 4,031
627 3, 188 4,020
626 3, 195 4,034
633 3,154 4,031
627 3, 189 4,049
617 3,186 4,067
622 3, 202 4,071
627 3,267 4,079
630 3,386 4,079
632 3,383 4,090
631 3,374 4, 104
632 3,462 4,107
591 3,370 4,112
624 3,275 4, 123
630 3,332 4, 128
Prm
vyUU—

Period

Total

1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: May.
Junc_
July.
Aug__
Sept.
Oct_.
Nov_
Dec_.
1966: Jan__
Feb__
Mar_
Apr__2
May
June 2

53, 297
54, 203
53, 989
55, 515
56, 602
58, 156
60, 444
60, 032
60, 290
60, 501
60, 621
60, 756
61, 001
61, 472
61,884
62, 148
62, 501
62, 918
62, 935
63, 060
63, 384

Total

16, 675
16, 796
16, 326
16, 853
16, 995
17, 259
17, 984
17,835
17, 943
18, 032
18,072
18, 098
18, 163
18, 321
18, 429
18, 522
18, 691
18, 780
18, 860
18, 939
19, 047

NonDurable durable
goods goods
9,373
9,459
9,070
9,480
9,616
9, 813
10, 379
10, 266
10, 345
10, 424
10, 476
10, 494
10, 523
10, 615
10, 707
10, 805
10, 919
10, 996
11,056
11, 109
11, 180

7,303
7,336
7,256
7, 373
7,380
7,446
7,604
7,569
7, 598
7, 608
7, 596
7, 604
7, 640
7, 706
7,722
7, 717
7,772
7, 784
7,804
7,830
7,867

Total

28, 539
29, 054
29, 069
29, 772
30, 381
31,301
32, 409
32, 242
32, 333
32,415
32, 464
32, 539
32, 667
32, 882
33, 127
33, 236
33, 338
33, 567
33, 439
33, 426
33, 568

3
Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricnltural
establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period
which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from
this table not comparable with estimates of npnagrieultural employment of the
civilian labor forces, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed
persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they
are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enu-




Whr»U
VV IlU*tJ—

sale
and
retail
trade

11, 127
11,391
11, 337
11, 566
11,778
12, 132
12, 588
12, 532
12, 580
12,619
12, 600
12, 641
12, 684
12, 754
12, 822
12, 909
12, 942
13, 015
13, 004
13, 016
13, 060

Finance,
insurance,
and
real
estate
2,594
2,669
2,731
2,800
2,877
2,964
3,044
3,032
3,041
3,049
3,053
3,061
3,069
3,074
3,082
3,080
3, 082
3, 100
3, 101
3, 105
3,115

Gover nment
Service
State
and
and
miscel- Federal local
laneous
7, 115
7,392
7,610
7,947
8,226
8,569
8,907
8,843
8,857
8,929
8,946
8,967
9,019
9,081
9,128
9, 142
9,205
9, 251
9,261
9,283
9,303

2,233
2,270
2,279
2,340
2,358
2,348
2,378
2,345
2,355
2,376
2,379
2,379
2,386
2,400
2,395
2,425
2,451
2,477
2,501
2,521
2,546

5,850
6,083
6,315
6,550
6,868
7,248
7,673
7,610
7,659
7,678
7,706
7,740
7,785
7,869
7,933
7,965
8,021
8, 094
8, 135
8, 174
8,223

meration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports
from employing establishments.
2 Preliminary,
NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data Include Alaska and Hawaii.
Source: Department of Labor.

13

WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES
The average workweek in manufacturing, seasonally adjusted, fell slightly in June to 41.2 hours.
the average workweek increased by 1.3 hours to 37.5 hours.
HOUR_S PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
46
DURABLE MANUFACTURING
44

HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

42

42

40

40

In construction,

46

NONDURABLE

MANUFACTURING

44

i*** s* —

a '•"' » ^. i
^—^
"

38

oo

36

ox

.4
3
1963

1965

1964

1966

1964

1963

1965'

1966

^

44

44

RETAIL TRAC)E

CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION
42

A*)

40

40

38

38

>

36
—

34

^

OX

3?

32
1963

1964

1965

-i, , , , , i
¥

1966

1964

1963

. . i . . 1 i i i i .K
•1966
"

1965

*SEE TABLE BELOW.
SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

l

[Average hours per week; seasonally adjusted]

Marmfacturing Indus tries
Period

1955
1956
1957
1958..;
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963 _
1964
1965
1965: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct..__
Nov__ . .
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr 2
May 2
June

Durable
goods

All

...

_

.__ ...
_

40. 7
40. 4
39. 8
39. 2
40. 3
39. 7
39. 8
40. 4
40.5
40.7
41.2
41. 1
41.0
41. 0
41. 0
40.9
41.2
41. 4
41.4
41.5
41.6
41.5
41. 5
41. 4
41. 2

1 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Data for
Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959.
2
Preliminary.

14



41.3
41.0
40. 3
39.5
40.7
40. 1
40. 3
40. 9
41. 1
41.4
42.0
42. 0
41.8
41. 7
41.7
41. 6
42.0
42. 2
42. 2
42. 4
42. 4
42. 3
42.4
42. 2
41. 9

Nondurable
goods

39.9
39. 6
39. 2
38. 8
39. 7
39.2
39.3
39.6
39. 6
39.7
40. 1
40.0
39.9
40. 0
40. 0
40. 1
40. 1
40. 3
40. 2
40.2
40. 6
40. 4
40.4
40.3
40. 1

Contract construction

37. 1
37. 5
37.0
36.8
37.0
36.7
36. 9
37.0
37.3
37.2
37.4
37.5
37.1
37.4
37.3
36. 2
37.0
37. 1
39.2
37.8
38.2
38. 5
37.2
36. 2
37. 5

* Beginning 1964, includes eating and drinking places.
Source: Department of Labor. I

Retail trade

39.6
39. 1
3&7
38.7
38.7
38.5
38. 1
37. 9
37.8
*37. 0
36. 6
36. 8
36. 6
36. 8
36. 7
36. 5
36. 4
36.3
36.4
36.2
36. 1
36.0
35.9
36. 0
36. 0

AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES
Average weekly earnings in manufacturing were $112.05 in June—the same as in May and $4.26 above June 1965;

DOLLARS
130

DOLLARS
3.00

AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS

AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS

2.80

120

2.60

no

2.40

)00
ALL MANUFACTURING
INDUSTRIES

90

2,20

2.00

-A/

^

NONDURABLE
GOODS INDUSTRIES

80

1963

1966

1963

1964

1965

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

1966
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[For production workers or nonsupervisory employees]
Averaige hourly earnings-—current prices
Period

Aver age weekl y earnings»— current> prices

Manuf*icturing iiidustries Contract
Retail
conNontrade
Durable durable strucAll
goods
tion
goods

Manuf.icturing iiidustries Contract
conRetail
NonDurable durable structrade
All
goods
tion
goods

$1. 95
1956
2. 05
1957___
2. 11
1958
2. 19
1959
2. 26
1960
2. 32
1961
2. 39
1962
2. 46
1963
2. 53
1964
2. 61
1965
1965: May.. 2. 61
JIIIIP__ 2. 61
July.. 2. 61
A u g _ _ 2. 59
Sept__ 2. 63
O c t _ _ 2. 63
Nov__ 2. 65
Dec.. 2. 66
1966: Jan.. 2. 67
Feb.. 2. 67
Mar__ 2. 68
Apr__ 3 2. 70
2. 70
May
June 3 2. 70
1
2
3

$2. 08
2. 19
2. 26
2. 36
2. 43
2. 49
2. 56
2. 63
2. 71
2. 79
2. 79
2. 79
2. 79
2. 77
2. SI
2. 82
2. 83
2.84
2.85
2. 86
2.86
2. 88
2. 88
2. 88

$1. 77
1. 85
1. 91
1. 98
2. 05
2. 11
2. 17
2. 22
2. 21)
2. 30
2. 35
2. 35
2. 36
2. 36
2. 38
2. 38
2. 39
2. 40
2. 40
2. 40
2.41
2. 43
2. 43
2. 44

$2. 57
2. 71
2. 82
2. 93
3. 08
3. 20
3. 31
3. 41
3. 55
3. 09
3. 65
3. 66
3. 64
3. 68
3. 74
3. 76
3. 74
3.76
3.78
3. 81
3. 79
3. 80
3. 82
3. 82

$1. 40
1. 47
1. 52
1. 57
1. 62
1. 68
1. 74
1. SO
*1. 75
1. 82
1. 82
1. 82
1. 82
1. 82
1. 85
1. 86
1. 87
1. 85
1.88
1. 88
1. 89
1. 89
1. 91
1. 91

$78. 78
81. 59
82. 71
88. 26
89. 72
92. 34
96. 56
99. 63
102. 97
107. 53
107. 53
107. 79
107. 01
106. 45
107. 83
108. 62
109. 71
110. 92
110.00
110. 27
110. 95
111. 24
112. 05
112. 05

Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude overtime and interindustry shifts.
Ear-nines in current price-divided by the consumer price index.
Preliminary.




$85. 28
88. 26
89. 27
96. 05
97. 44
100. 35
104. 70
108. 09
112. 19
117. 18
117. 46
117. 74
116. 06
115. 51
117. 18
118. 72
119. 43
120. 98
119.99
120. 41
120. 69
121. 54
121. 82
121. 82

$70. 09
72. 52
74. 11
78. 61
80.36
82. 92
85. 93
87. 91
90. 91
94. 64
94. 00
94. 47
94. 87
95. 11
95. 68
95. 68
96. 32
96. 96
95. 52
96. 48
96. 88
96. 96
97. 93
98. 58

$96. 38
100. 27
103. 78
108. 41
113. 04
118. 08
122. 47
127. 19
132. 06
138. 01
140. 16
139. 08
140. 50
143. 15
138. 75
144 01
136. 14
139. 50
137. 97
138. 30
142. 88
140. 22
141. 72
146. 69

$54. 74
56. 89
58. 82
60. 76
62. 37
64. 01
65. 95
6R04
*64. 75
66. 61
66.43
67. 16
68. 25
68.07
67.53
67. 33
67. 13
67. 90
67.49
67. 30
67. 47
67. 47
68. 19
69. 33

Manufa( rturing
indust ,ries
Adjusted Average
weekly
hourly
earnings, earnings,
1957-59= 1957-59
100 l
prices 2

91. 5
96. 2
100. 2
103. 5
106. 6
109. 6
112. 3
115. 2
118. 0
121. 0
120. 6
120.8
120. 9
120. 7
121.7
121. 8
122. 3
122. 7
123.2
123. 4
123. 5
124.2
124.4

$83. 19
83. 26
82. 14
86. 96
87. 02
88. 62
91. 61
93. 37
95. 25
97. 84
98. 11
97. 90
97. 11
96. 77
97. 85
98. 39
99.20
99.93
99. 10
98.81
99. 06
98. 88
99. 51
99. 25

*Beginnmg ]964f .ncJudes eating and drinking places,
NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii.
Source: Department of Labor.

15

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

Industrial production, seasonally adjusted, increased about % percent in June bringing the increase in the second
quarter to about 1% percent or about one^half as much as in the first quarter.
. •; : : •
Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
200

Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

140

120

100

1966

1963
SOURCE, BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF .THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

Period

1956
1957
1958
1959
_ „ _ _ _.
1960
1961
1962 _
._
1963
1964
1965 i.
1965: May
June
July__
Aug...
Sept
Oct
Nov
__
Dec.
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar_ __
Apr
May
June 1
__ _ _
1

Preliminary.

16



Total
industrial
production

99.9
100.7
93.7
105. 6
108. 7
109. 7
118.3
124. 3
132. 3
143. 3
141. 6
142. 7
144. 2
144.5
143. 5
145.1
146.4
148.7
150. 2
151.9
153. 4
153. 7
155. 0
155. 8

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[ 1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted]
Industry
M anufaetur ing
Mining Utilities
NonTotal Durable durable

Total

100. 2
100. 8
93. 2
106. 0
108. 9
109. 6
118. 7
124. 9
133. 1
144. 9
143. 1
144. 1
145. 7
146.0
145. 2
146.7
148.2
150.6
152.4
154. 1
155. 6
156. 4
157. 7
158. 5

98. 1
99. 4
94.8
105. 7
109.9
111. 2
119.7
1249
131.8
142.4
140. 2
140.7
141. 7
142.3
143. 3
145.7
147.4
148. 8
149. 5
151.4
152. 4
152. 7
153. 5
154.5

104. 0
104. 0
90. 3
105. 6
108. 5
107. 0
117. 9
124. 5
133. 5
148.4
146. 4
148. 1
150. 0
150.5
148. 2
150.3
151.3
155.0
157. 6
159. 7
161. 7
162. 7
164.3
165. 1

95. 4
96. 7
96. 8
106. 5
109. 5
112. 9
119. 8
125. 3
132. 6
140.7
138.8
139.0
140. 4
140.4
141. 3
142. 1
144.2
145. 1
146.0
147. 0
147. 9
148.4
149. 5
150. 2

104. 8
104. 6
95. 6
99.7
101. 6
102. 6
105. 0
107. 9
111. 3

1144
114.0
115.3
116.0
117.0

112. 6
115.8
116.0
117.9
117. 2
117. 7
120. 2
115. 8
118. 1
118. 4

87. 9
93. 9
98. 1
108.0
115.6
122. 3
131. 4
140.0
151.3
161.0
159.7
161. 9
161. 2
161. 6
165. 3
165.8
165.3
165.7
164.9
168. 9
168.8
168.3
169.0
169.5

Ma rket
Final produ cts

Consumer
goods

Equipment

95. 5
97. 0
96. 4
106. 6
111. 0
112.6
119.7
125. 2
131. 7
140.2
138. 6
138.7
139. 3
139.5
140. 7
141.7
142.8
144. 1
144. 1
145. 5
146. 0
146. 0
145.8
146. 6

103. 7
104 6
91. 3
104 1
107. 6
108. 3
119. 6
124 2
132. 0
146. 9
143. 7
144 9
147. 0
148.4
149. 0
154.3
157.3
158.8
161. 3
164. 1
166. 2
166. 9
170.0
171. 4

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

TV/T 4.
iviaterials

101. 6
101. 9
92. 7
105. 4
107. 6
108. 4
117. 0
123. 7
132.8
144 1
142. 6
144 5
146. 4
146.1
143. 7
144.3
145. 6
148.7
150.4
152. 0
154 3
154 6
156. 0
156. 8

PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES
Production of machinery and transportation equipment (all in aircraft) increased 1 percent in June on a seasonally
adjusted basis while the output of primary metals declined 1 percent—the first decline since November 1965. All
major nondurables posted gains.
Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
180

Index, 1957-59 = 100 (SEASONAUY ADJUSTED)
200

180

120

80

I . . I I I »"I I I I

t II I »I I I I M

100

M l l l l

1963

1966

160

CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM,
AND RUBBER

TEXTILES, APPAREL,
AND LEATHER

140

>
^

0-^

120

*~

«•«

FOODS, BEVERAGES,
AND TOBACCO

140
100
120

80

1963

1963

1966

1964

1965

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM*

1966
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1957-59=100, seasonally adjusted)
.

Durab le manufabctures
Period

1956
1957
1958
1959
I960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965 '
1965: May
June
July
Aug_
Sept
Oct
Nov__
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr__
May
June1
A

i Preliminary.




No ndurable manufactu res

Transpor- Lumber Textiles,
Fabriapparel,
and
Primary
cated Machin- tation
and
prodery
equipmetals , metal
leather
ment
ucts
products

__

_--_
•

116. 4
112. 2
87. 5
100.4
101. 3
98. 9
104. 6
113.3
129. 1
137.5
140.2
143. 0
148.7
146. 5
131.2
123.7
119.4
126.5
130. 8
133.6
141. 4
142.4
146.3
145

98. 8
101. 5
92. 9
105. 5
107. 6
106. 5
117. 1
123. 4
132. 7
147.8
146.0
146. 4
148. 0
147.5
147.0
150.9
153.6
156.3
157.0
160.7
161, 4
160. 7
162. 3

107. 1
104. 2
88.8
107. 1
110. 8
110. 4
123. 5
129. 2
141. 4
160.4
156. 9
159. 0
160.6
161.4
162. 3
166.0
167.5
170.7
174.3
176. 7
176. 0
178.4
181. 0

163

183

97.4
106. 4
89. 5
104. 0
108. 2
103. 6
118. 3
127. 0
130. 7
149.2
147. 3
149. 5
149. 8
151.5
149.4
155.0
157.3
160.7
163. 1
163. 2
165.8
166. 0
165.7
167

105.4
95.9
95.6
108. 5
102. 1
101. 3
106. 1
108.9
112. 6
117.4
117.1
112. 8
115.4
117.2
116.2
118.3
119.1
125. 4
125. 6
126.5
129. 3
130.7
125.9

98. 0
96.9
95. 0
108. 1
107. 5
108. 4
115. 1
118. 5
125. 2
135.7
135. 0
134. 5
134. 7
134. 1
135. 5
137.3
138.8
140.3
139. 1
139. 8
139. 5
141. 6
141. 9
143

Paper Chemicals, Foods,
and
beverpetroprint- leum, and ages, and
ing
rubber tobacco
97. 1
97.8
97. 0
105.2
109.0
112. 4
116. 7
120. 1
127. 5
135.3
134.2
134.0
135.9
136.4
135. 4
136.4
139.2
139.9
141. 1
142. 5
143. 7
143.3
146.7

148

91. 4
95. 6
95. 5
108.9
113. 9
118. 9
131. 2
141. 8
152. 5
164.6
161. 2
161.6
164. 1
164.9
166. 9
167.7
170. 1
171.7
173.6
174. 1
175.8
177.5
179. 3

180

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

96.6
96. 7
99.4
103.9
106.6
110.2
113.3
116. 8
120. 8
123. 1
121. 5
122. 3
122.9
122.3
123. 1
123.0
124.5
124. 7
125.5
127. 0
127. 6
126. 6
125.6
126

17

WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION
Steel production and cars and trucks assembled declined in June on a seasonally unadjusted basis.

MILLIONS OF

MILLIONS OF TONS

SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE)

BITUMINOUS COAL

STEEL

2.5

3.5

1965

1964

2.0

—\

2.5

1.5

1.5

> ) . . . . i ...i
v

J

F

M

A

V

M

J

F

. . . i . . \ . If.. . .1 . . . h . . . I . . . I . . . I . . . . I . . . 1 . . . N l

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

6

N

D^

BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS

18

M
SOURCES- AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR,
EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE. AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS

Period
Weekly average :
1959_.__
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
"...
1965
___
1965: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr__
May
June 2
Week ended:
1966: June 11
18__.-.._
.25-.—* —
July 22
9 ___ __
16 2 __
1
2 Dally

Electric
Bituminous Freight Paperboard
Steel pi-oduced
Car 3 and truicks
power
coal mined
produced
loaded
Index
Thousands
distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands assemb led (thoiisands)
of net
(1957-59= (millions of
of short
Total
Cars Trucks
of cars)
of tons)
tons
kilowatt-hours) tons) l
100)

1,792
1,899
1,880
1,886
2,096
2,431
2,521
2,712
2,702
2,613
2,556
2,325
2,098
2,056
2, 178
2,388
2,562
2,728
2,697
2,752
2,657

96. 2
101. 9
100.9
101. 2
112. 5
130. 5
135.3
145. 6
145. 1
140. 3
137.2
124.8
112. 6
110.4
116.9
128.2
137. 5
146. 4
144. 8
147.7
142.6

13, 297
14, 424
15, 139
16, 325
17, 490
18, 728
20, 169
19, 314
19, 842
20, 833
21, 395
20, 414
19, 741
20,027
21, 010
22, 138
21,969
21, 051
20, 542
20, 826
22,078

1, 380
1,390
1,353
1, 414
1, 535
1, 630
1,728
1,669
1,802
1,811
1,778
1, 734
1,792
1, 900
1,901
1,677
1,675
1, 785
1,196
1,803
1,922

596
585
550
552
555
550
563
596
578
550
588
573
620
581
524
526
524
558
557
609
593

307
306
322
343
358
384
410
424
404
360
416
414
441
443
401
421
446
453
450
466
459

129. 5
151. 8
127.8
157. 5
175. 0
178. 8
213.7
244.2
233.3
199. 9
98. 4
142.6
240. 1
242.3
224.0
233.8
228.7
234. 6
230. 7
229. 7
215. 3

107.6
128. 8
106. 1
133. 4
146. 9
148. 8
179.4
206. 5
196. 1
171. 2
73. 1
109.7
203. 6
207.6
189.0
196.0
190.2
197. 5
192. 8
190.2
177. 2

21. 9
23. 0
21.7
24. 1
28. 1
30. 0
34.3
37.7
37.2
28.7
25. 2
32.9
36.6
34.7
35.0
37.7
38.5
37. 2
37. 9
39.4
38.0

2,660
2,670
2,645
2,571
2,484
2,469

142. 8
143. 3
142. 0
138. 0
133.3
132. 5

21,863
21,967
22,578
23,747
22,752

1,903
1,923
1,946
1,786
2, 081

621
625
617
554
445

450
460
477
467
327

228. 2
225.8
226. 6
216. 6
151. 2
177. 1

188.4
186. 3
187. 6
177. 0
120. 5
142. 0

39.8
39.6
39. 0
39.6
30. 8
35. 1

average. Includes data for Alaska.
Preliminary.

18



COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

-

Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper Institute, and Ward's Automotive Reports.
'

NEW CONSTRUCTION
New construction expenditures fell % percent (seasonally adjusted) in June.
cent while public construction advanced about 1 percent.

Residential structures dropped 2 per-

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

80

80
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

70

70
TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION

60

60

V.

50

50

PRIVATE

40

40

30

30
PUBLIC

20

20

10 l|j I 1 I I I 1 I I I I

I I I I i I I I I I

J_i_LJ_L_^l 10

30

1960

1966

SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Total new
construction
expenditures

Period

1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965

___

53.9
55.4
59.7
63. 0
66. 2
71.9

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Total

38. 1
38.3
41.8
43. 6
45. 9
50.0

Residentsil nonfarm
CommerNew
cial and
Total *
housing industrial
units
BiJ lions of doll ars
16.4
7.0
21.7
7.5
16.2
21.7
8.0
24. 3
18. 6
7. 9
20. 1
25. 8
20. 6
9.0
26.5
11.8
20.8
26.7

Federal,
State
Other

9.3
9.2

9. 5
9. 9
10.4
11.5

and

local

15.9
17. 1
17. 9
19.3
20.3
21.9

72. 0
71.8
70.4
70.9
72.8
72. 7
74. 0
76. 0
76. 1
77. 0
78. 1
76. 8
74. 1
73.7

50. 1
50.3
49. 1
49. 2
50.2
50. 1
51.2
53.4
53. 3
54.3
55. 1
54. 3
51. 8
51. 2

27. 1
27. 2
27. 0
26. 6
26. 4
26.3
26.2
26.7
27.5
27.5
27.3
27.4
27. 0
26. 4

21. 1
21. 2
21. 0
20. 7
20. 5
20.4
20.3
20.8
21. 6
21.6
21.4
21.6
21. 1
20.5

. i Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and alterations, not shown separately.
2 Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation and relates to 48 States.
s Preliminary.




11. 5
11. 6
10.8
11.2
12.3
12. 1
13.0
14.3
13. 8
13. 9
14.7
143

12.4

24 8

105.2
107.6
119.7
132. 0
137. 0
142. 8
Seasonally
adjusted

SeasonalliI adjusted an nual rates
1965: May
June_
July
Aug__ _ _
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
;
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June 3

Constructio Q contracts2
CommerTotal value cial and
industrial
(index,
1957-59 = floor space
100)
(millions of
square feet)

11. 6
11.5
11.4
11.4
11. 5
11.6
12.0
12.5
12. 0
12.9
13.0
12. 6
12.4

21. 8
21.4
21.2
21.6
22.7
22. 6
22.8
22. 6
22. 8
22. 7
23. 1
22. 5
22. 3
22. 5

461
443
500
534
599
680

Seasonally
adjusted
annual
rates

145
139
149
139
147
147
141
153
152
157
158
161
156

674
663
671
595
762
726
724
772
720
810
829
860
744

NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii Included beginning January 1959.
Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Corporation.

19

NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING
Total private Housing starts (seasonally adjusted) remained near 1.3 million in June, following a 14 percent decline
in May. June starts were 18 percent below the level of a year earlier and 141A percent below the 1965 rate.
Permits dropped sharply by 44-percent.

MILLIONS OF UNITS
2.5

MILLIONS OF UNITS

1 2.5

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

2.0

2.0

PRIVATE NONFARM
HOUSING STARTS

1.5

1.5

1.0

1.0

VA APPRAISAL
REQUESTS

FHA APPLICATIONS
™ ,.
».

1961

1960

1964

1963

1962

SOURCES' DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA)

1965

1966
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of units]
Houising star ts

Period

1960
1961
1962
1963..1964 3
1965 _
1965: May_
June.
July..
Aug..
Sept..
Oct..
Nov..
Dec..
1966: Jan..
Feb_.
Mar._
Apr..
May 3
June 3

Total
private
and
public
(including
farm)
1, 296. 0
1, 365. 0
1, 492. 4
1,641.0
1, 590. 7
1, 542. 7

1, 252. 1
1, 313. 0
1, 462. 7
1, 609. 2
1, 557. 4
1, 505. 0

1, 230. 1
1, 284. 8
1, 439. 0
1, 581. 7
1, 530. 4
1, 482. 7

972.9
946. 2
967. 8
993. 2
944.5
940. 0

Two or
more
families
257.2
338.6
471.2
588. 5
585.9
542.7

162. 1
162. 3
143. 9
138.0
125.9
135.7
118.3
103.2
87.3
81.0
130.9
149.2
137. 1
130. 9

157.5
155. 5
141. 3
134.7
124.3
133. 6
116. 1
102.3
84.6
78.2
126.3
147. 1
133.2
127. 7

155.2
152.8
139.0
132.8
122.7
130.9
114.9
100.8
83.7
76.7
124. 1
144. 8
129.9
125.3

99.9
97.0
91.8
86.5
78.4
84.4
70.2
58.3
47.2
45.3
78. 7
92. 8
86. 1

55. 3
55.8
47.2
46.3
44.3
46.5
44.7
42.5
36.5
31.4
45. 4
51.7
44. 5

Total
private
(including
farm)

Prhrate nonfa rm

Total

Onefamily

Total
private
(including
farm)
1, 252. 1
1, 313. 0
1, 462. 7
1, 609. 2
1, 557. 4
1, 505. 0

-•Authorized by issuance oi local building permit; in 10,000 permit-issuing
places prior to 1963, and 12,000 or more thereafter.
2
Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction.
•Preliminary.

20



1, 516
1,566
1,473
1,427
1,453
1,411
1,547
1,769
1,611
1,374
1,569
1,502
1,295
1,288

Proposed home
constr uction
New
private
Applica- Requests
housing
Gover nment
units tions for for VA
home pirograms author- FHA appraisTotal
ized l commit- als 2
ments 2
FHA
VA
142. 9
242. 4
1, 230. 1 225. 7
74. 6
998. 0
243. 8
177. 8
1, 284. 8 198.8
83. 3 1, 064. 2
221. 1
171. 2
1, 439. 0 197. 3
77.8 1, 186. 6
71. 0 1, 334. 7
190. 2
139.3
1, 581. 7 166. 2
59.2 1, 285. 8
182.1
113.6
1, 530. 4 154.0
102.1
188.9
1, 482. 7 159.9
52.5 1, 240. 6
Sesasonally adj usted annual ra tes
54
113
180
1,501
1,243
155
154
100
154
54
1,539
1, 245
52
1,234
95
1,447
165
151
95
1, 409
48
186
1,228
148
97
47
189
1,436
1, 180
160
1, 244
192
94
1,380
49
167
222
54
100
1,280
1,531
173
219
1, 292
105
48
1,735
189
214
1,255
1, 585
53
181
89
72
1,349
40
1,197
179
177
92
160
45
1,538
187
1, 268
168
1, 185
111
1, 481
37
151
133
98
1,264
38
128
1,098
44
941
127
1,264
89
121
Priv ate nonf iirm

NOTE.—Data include Alaska and Hawaii.
Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA),
and Veterans Administration (VA).

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES - TOTAL AND TRADE
Despite the drop in retail sales, total business sales (seasonally adjusted) rose slightly in May. Pushed by the large
accumulation at the retail durable level, business inventories rose $1.4 billion. Following 2 months of declines,
:
retail sales for June were up 1 percent, on a preliminary basis.
__
'
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

•BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

130

20

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES

RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE)
18

120
INVENTORIES

16

\

110

DURABLE GOODS STORES

INVENTORIES
14

100
12

90

10

80

SALES

8

SALES

6

70

22

NONDURABLE GOODS STORES
20

WHOLESALE TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE)

INVENTORIES
18
16

\

14

SALES
12

1963

1963

1966

1964

1965

1966

* SEE TABLE BELOW.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Total b usiness
Period

1

Whol<jsale
Sales 2

Inventories 3

Sales 2

4

Re tail

Sales 2

Inventories 3

Total

5

] inventories 3

NonDurable durable
goods
goods
stores
stores

Total

Durable
goods
stores

24, 113
25, 305
26, 813
26, 238
27, 938
29, 383
31,130
33, 957
32, 546
32, 823
33, 014
33, 088
33, 360
33, 045
33, 296
33, 533
33, 957
34, 113
34, 427
34, 556
34, 737
35, 266

10, 526
11,029
11,923
10, 965
11,656
12, 386
13, 136
14, 782
14, 298
14, 566
14, 546
14, 592
14, 819
14, 621
14, 782
14, 774
14, 782
14, 949
15, 113
15, 201
15, 336
15, 813

Nondurable
goods
stores

H/[illions of (lollars, se asonally a djusted

1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: Apr
May__
June
July
Aug___
Sept__
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan__ _
Feb
Mar
Apr?__
May 7
June 7

__

6

54, 233
59, 583
60, 530
60, 748
65, 078
68, 002
72, 647
78, 740
77, 513
77, 849
78, 001
79, 948
78, 932
78, 862
79, 737
81, 555
82, 810
84, 669
84, 744
86, 991
85, 455
85, 589

6

86, 922
91, 964
94, 610
95, 576
100, 271
105, 127
110, 535
119, 847
113, 761
114, 542
115,049
116,012
116, 683
116, 967
117,653
118, 500
119, 847
120, 938
122, 047
123, 085
124, 091
125, 500

6

10, 257
11,413
11,440
11, 629
12, 158
12, 692
13, 715
14, 799
14, 620
14, 718
14, 736
14, 828
14, 829
14, 936
14, 995
15, 505
15, 372
16, 981
16, 779
17, 334
16, 966
17, 004

6

12, 739
13, 952
13, 983
14, 251
14, 580
15, 597
16, 461
17, 875
17, 216
17, 450
17, 410
17, 530
17, 535
17, 655
17, 715
17, 775
17, 875
18, 231
18, 580
18, 881
19, 008
19, 202

1
The term "business" herB includes wh(>lesale and reta il trade, and nlanufaeuring (see page 22).
2
Monthly average for year and total for month.
8
Book value, end of perlo<I, seasonally a djusted.
* Beginning 1961, data include Alaska an d Hawaii.




8

16, 696
17, 951
18, 294
18, 234
19, 613
20, 536
21,802
23, 662
22, 849
23, 317
23, 322
23, 668
23, 585
23, 753
24, 194
24, 647
24, 816
25, 023
25, 263
25, 536
24, 949
24,555
24, 841

5,284
5,967
5,880

5,581
6,210
6, 627
7,014
7,810

7,454

7,616

7,665
7,827
7,755
7,768
7,865

8, 092
8, 252

8,324
8,399
8,649
7,939

7, 532
7, 832

11,412
11,984
12, 414
12, 654
13, 402
13, 909
14, 788
15, 853
15, 395
15, 701
15,657
15, 841
15, 830
15, 985
16, 329
16, 555
16, 564
16, 699
16, 864
16, 887
17, 010
17, 023
17, 009

13, 587
14, 276
14, 890
15, 273
16,282
16, 997
17, 994
19, 175
18, 248
18, 257
18, 468
18, 496
18, 541
18, 424
18, 514
18, 759
19, 175
19, 164
19, 314
19,355
19, 401
19, 453

1Jeginning 19(50, data inclu de Alaska aiid Hawaii.
compara ble with pre ceding data.

,6Jtfew sample;
not
71'reliminary.

Source: Depar ;ment of Coinmerce.

21

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS
Manufacturers continued the April pace of inventory accumulation by adding almost $700 million (seasonally
adjusted) in May. But the sharp rise in shipments left the inventory-shipment ratio almost constant.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)
80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS

3Q

,20

10
30

,30

MANUFACHJRERS' NEW <DRDERS
DURABlE C;OODS
20

"O^IT^

^ vVJxir^^~^^\»
^... .«...«"»-»^ ^,.,,.....»«»"««^

r^^"
„„»»«•!••

20

M

NONDURABLE GOODS

* , , , , , [ , , , ' , , . . . . . i ...'..
1964

,

1965

, , , , 1

, , , , ,K

1963

1966

1966

SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Manufac turers' sh ipments 1 Man uf actAirers' inv entories 2

Ma nufacture rs' new orde rs »

.

Total

NonDurable durable
goods
goods

Total

NonDurable durable
goods
goods

Durah>le goods
Total

Total

NonMachinery durable
and
goods
equipment

Manufacturers'
toryshipments
ratio 3

Millions of dollars seasonal y ad juste d
1958_.__
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: Mar
Apr
May
June.
July
Aug
Sept
Get
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr 4
May 4
June

27, 280
30, 219
30, 796
30, 884
33, 308
34, 774
37, 129
40, 279
40, 285
40, 044
39, 814
39, 943
41, 452
40, 518
40, 173
40, 548
41, 403
42, 622
42, 665
42, 702
44, 121
43,540
44,030

13, 572
15, 544
15, 817
15, 532
17, 184
18, 071
19, 231
21, 020
21, 284
20, 915
20, 513
20, 652
21, 820
21, 191
20, 924
21, 146
21, 606
22, 316
22, 307
22, 433
23, 238
22,708
22,961
22, 838

13, 708
14, 675
14, 979
15, 352
16, 124
16, 704
17, 898
19, 258
19, 001
19, 129
19, 301
19, 291
19, 632
19, 327
19, 249
19, 402
19, 797
20, 306
20, 358
20, 269
20, 883
20,832
21,069

50, 070
52, 707
53,814
55, 087
57, 753
60, 147
62, 944
68. 015
63, 708
63, 999
64, 269
64, 625
65, 394
65, 788
66, 267
66, 642
67, 192
68, 015
68, 594
69, 040
69, 648
70,346
71,032

30, 095
31, 839
32, 360
32, 646
34, 326
36, 02S
38, 412
42, 324
38, 972
39, 233
39, 475
39, 951
40, 600
40, 814
41, 300
41, 523
41, 869
42, 324
42, 589
42, 884
43, 273
43,779
44,256

1
Monthly average for year and total for month.
2 Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted.
a For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly
shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments
for month.

22



19, 975
20, 868
21, 454
22, 441
23, 427
24, 119
24, 532
25, 691
24, 736
24, 766
24, 794
24, 674
24, 794
24, 974
24, 967
25, 119
25, 323
25, 691
26, 005
26, 156
26, 375
26,567
26,776

26, 901
30, 679
30, 115
31, 061
33, 167
35, 036
37, 697
41, 023
40, 712
41, 120
40, 181
40, 689
41, 846
40, 926
41, 483
41,843
42, 234
43, 868
43, 986
44, 129
45, 833
45,064
45,152

13, 170
15, 951
15, 223
15, 664
17, 085
18, 300
19, 803
21, 728
21,714
22, 043
20,992
21,310
22, 195
21, 509
22, 163
22, 425
22, 389
23, 403
23, 578
23, 741
24, 888
24,197
24,189
24, 100

< Preliminary; June not charted.
Source: Department of Commerce.

2, 354
2, 878
2, 791
2,854
3, 090
3, 326
3,706
4, 140
4, 024
4, 078
4, 069
4, 091
4, 348
4, 159
4, 153
4,249
4,325
4,583
4,450
4, 584
4,587
4,788
4,808
4, 723

13, 731
14, 728
14, 892
15, 397
16, 082
16, 736
17,895
19, 295
18, 998
19, 077
19, 189
19, 379
19, 651
19, 417
19, 320
19,418
19, 845
20, 465
20, 408
20, 388
20, 945
20,867
20,963

1. 84
1. 70
1. 76
1. 74
1.70
1. 69
1.64
1.61
1. 58
1. 60
1. 61
1. 62
1.58
1. 62
1. 65
1.64
1.62
1.60
1. 61
1. 62
1. 58
1. 62
1.61

MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
The seasonally adjusted trade balance recovered somewhat in May as exports moved up 1 percent and imports fell
back from their record high of the previous month. However, at $294 million the U.S. export surplus remained well
below the rate prevailing last year or during the first quarter of 1966.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
3.0

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
3.0

1966

1960
I/SEE NOTE 1 BELOW.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars]
Merchandise expo fts
M erehandi se imports
MerchanGener al 2
imImpo rts for eonsum ption 3
dise
1
Total ( inelud-1
3omestiLC expor ts
trade
por ts
ing ree?cports)
Food, Crude ManuFood, Crude Manusurplus,
bever- mateSeason4
facfacSeason- Unad- Total * 4 bever- mateseasonUnadages,
ages, rials
tured
tured ally ad- justed Total and to- rials
ally ad- justed
ally adand
and to- and
goods
justed
goods justed
justed
bacco fuel
bacco fuel

Monthly average :
1958
1959
1960
1961_
1962
1963
1964
1965

1, 364
1,367
1,634
1,679
1,745
1,869
2,139
2,214

1965: May
2,260
2,230
June
2,256
July
2,383
Aug
Sept
2,324
2,342
Oct_
Nov
2,408
Dec__ __ 2,356
Jan_
2,249
1966: Feb
2,335
Mar
2,594
Apr
2,331
May
2,364
June
*2, 486

2,381
2,219
2, 172
2, 124
2, 140
2,420
2,440
2,551
2, 133
2, 210
2, 747
2,465
2,506
2,468

254
1,351
224
1,352
250
238
324
1,617
263
286
318
1,659
1,723
307
277
342
311
1,846
362
2, 110
387
377
356
2, 185
U nadjust ed
392
378
2,351
382
382
2,191
362
414
2, 139
322
363
2,096
401
303
2,110
383
431
2,387
403
459
2,407
444
416
2,520
324
374
2, 105
332
396
2, 177
366
2,708
486
339
2,422
437
372
2,457
405
2,430

962
931
1,072
1,083
1,157
1,218
1,364
1,438

1,555
1,455
1, 343
1,393
1,371
1,530
1,525
1, 614
1,359
1,468
1,822
1, 624
1,650

* Total excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program.
2
Total arrivals of imported goods other than in transit shipments,
s Imported merchandise released from Customs custody for entry into U.S.




1,105
1,302
1,251
1,226
1,366
1,429
1, 557
1,781
1,789
1,830
1,663

1J64

1,807
2,006
1,903
2,035
1,936
1,993
2, 073
2, 138
2,070

1, 723
1,907
1,633
1,716
1,798
1,997
1,967
2, 160
1,829
1, 822
2,246
2,071
2,092

342
296
1,101
382
296
1,285
283
1,251
379
1,221
286
361
1,354
306
381
320
1,417
386
332
413
1,550
1,773
335
448
U nadjust ed
332
1,719
409
474
349
1,878
410
1,635
261
1,727
315
449
353
431
1,795
462
2,004
409
424
1,953
417
494
429
2, 130
461
1, 801
325
352
1, 806
419
2,232
414
523
378
2, 004
446
456
2,066
359

433
575
556
539
630
666
756
933

259
65
383
453
379
440
582
433

913
989
902
909
946
1,061
1,034
1, 140
974
956
1,225
1, 111
1,181

400
593
569
517
336
505
321
318
842
522
193
294

471

consumption channels, entries into bonded manufacturing warehouses, and ores
and crude metals (after smelting and refining) in bonded warehouses.
«Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind
* Not charted.
Source: Department of Commerce.

23

U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES
The U.S. balance on goods and services in the first quarter of 1966 amounted to $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual
rate)—down slightly from the previous quarter and more than $900 million below the full-year rate in 1965. A
decline of $600 million in the trade surplus together with larger military and other service payments more than offset
a $1.1 billion gain in investment income.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
50

8M1ONS OF DOLtAfcS
50
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

40

40

30

30

*"*

/

IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES

20

20

10

10

.L

J

L

J

1960

L.

J

L

J

1963

1962

1961

_L

L.

1965

1964

_L

1966

J.

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Millions of dollars]

Period

1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965

Total

Exports of good s and sei-vices
Ineorrte on
investrnents
MerMilichantary
GovPridise i
ernsales vate
ment

Impor bs of good s and sen/ices

on

Other
services

Total

Merchandise l

Mili- Other goods
tary
and
expend- serv- services
itures
ices

23, 489
27, 244
28, 575
30, 278
32, 339
36, 958
38, 993

16, 295
19, 489
19, 954
20, 604
22, 071
25, 297
26, 276

302
335
402
656
657
747
844

1964: III
IV

37, 232
38, 148

25, 556
26, 640

648
804

2, 694
349 3,849
3, 001
349 4, 070
3, 561
380 4,278
3, 954
471 4, 593
4, 156
498 4,957
4,932
460 5, 522
512 5,972
5,389
Seas onally <adjusted
532 5, 556
4,940
4, 764
248 5,692

1965: I
II
III
IV

35, 104
40, 544
_ 40, 064
40, 260

22, 500
27, 192
27, 304
28, 108

800
916
796
864

5,688
5,880
5,284
4,704

556
584
596
312

5, 560
5,972
6,084
6,272

28,
32,
32,
34,

656
348
980
160

18, 624
21, 924
22, 380
23, 024

2,656
2,804
2,980
3, 084

41, 664

28, 484

776

5,532

596

6,276

35, 632

24, 012

1966: I

.

_

'Adjusted from customs data for differences in timing and coverage.

24



Balance

23, 342 15, 310
23, 198 14, 732
22, 954 14, 510
25, 148 16, 187
26, 442 16, 992
28, 468 18, 621
32, 036 21, 488
annual ra tes
28, 784 19, 008
29, 560 19, 604

Source: Department of Commerce.

3, 107
3,069
2,981
3,083
2, 936
2,834
2,881

4, 925
5,397
5,463
5,878
6,514
7,013
7,667

4, 046
5, 621
5, 130
5,897
8,490
6, 957

2,744 7,032
2,732 7,224

8,448
8,588

7,376
7,620
7,620
8,052

6,448
8, 196
7,084
6, 100

3,348 8,272

6, 032

147

U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS
In the first quarter of 1966 the U.S. deficit on the liquidity balance was $2.3 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate)
compared to $1.4 billion in 1965. By contrast, the deficit on the official reserve balance declined to an annual
rate of less than $1 billion from $1.3 billion in 1965.
^

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES

BALANCE, OFFICIAL RESERVE
TRANSACTIONS BASIS

-10
1960

1966

SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCa OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Millions of dollars]

U.S. pr ivate capital, net

BaUince

U.S.
Period

Government
grants

and
capital,

net J

1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965

- 1, 986

Direct
investment

1,372

Other
longterm

— 926

Shortterm

-77

-863 - 1, 348
-2,769 -1, 674
-2,780 - 1, 599 - 1, 025 -1, 556

-3, 013
-3, 581
-3, 560
-3, 375

-544
-785
-2,416 -1,961 -2, 146
-3, 371 - 1, 080
761
— 1, 654 -1, 227
- 1, 976 -1,695

Errors
Foreign and uncapital, recorded Liquidtransnet 1
ity
basis 2
actions

Official
reserve
transactions
basis 3

736
423 -3,870
— 941 -3,881 -3,402
366
707 - 1, 006 -2, 370 - 1, 347
1, 021 -1, 159 -2, 203 -2,706
-352 -2,670 -2,044
689
685 -1, Oil -2, 798 - 1, 546
176
— 429 -1, 355 - 1, 302

Season ally ad jus ted annujil rates

1964:
III
IV
1965:
I
II

-3, 540 - 2, 488 — 2, 408 - 1, 460
-4, 236 -3, 116 -3, 252 -2,388

-3, 208 -4,848 -2,656
-3, 796 -3,436
404
!!!____ - 2, 972 -2, 276 -1,452
-3, 524 -2,924
-616
IV
1966:
I
-3,820 -2, 520
-976
1
2

-56

956

1, 449
7
681
7
457
1,673
1,073
-17

254
_7
302
97

289
1,083
213
619
1,554
150

1,035
2, 143
606
1,533
378
171
1,222

389
869

222
91

562
651

70
— 151

0 -2,788 -2,472
-436
904
952
-960 -2, 136
944
— 320 - 1, 400 -4,632

— 860
-107
253
697

-23
-15
-22
157

203
— 150
712
-615

842
68
41
271

-912

-833

29

487

Includes certain special Government transactions.
Equals changes in liquid liabilities to foreign official holders, other foreign
holders, and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible
currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF.
3
Equals changes in liquid and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official holders
and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible currencies,
and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF.
4
Includes short-term official and banking liabilities and foreign holdings of
U.S. Government bonds and notes.
8
Central banks, governments, and U.S. liabilities to the IMF arising from
reversible gold sales to, and gold deposits with, the U.S.




7

Quairterly totatls, unadjiisted

-812 -2,468
688
-924
1,240 - 1, 440 -5, 524 -3, 380

1,084
1, 300
1,648
— 524
420 - 1, 004
932
-108

Changes
in gold,
convertible currenTo foreig n official
cies and
5
hold ers
To other IMF gold
foreign tranche
holders 6 position
Liquid
Non(increase
liquid
(-))
Chan ges in sel(3cted
liabilitie s (decreas56 (-))<

-2, 252
6

-980

8

424

Private holders; includes banks and international and regional organizations;
excludes IMF.
7
Includes change in Treasury liabilities to certain foreign military agencies;
excluding these changes, data ($ millions) are 1,259 (1960), 741 (1961), and 919
(1962).
8
On Mar. 31, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $13,738 million (down
$68 million from Dec. 31); IMF position including gold portion of increased
U.S. subscription, $729 million; convertible currencies, $559 million.
NOTE.—Data exclude military grant-aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. 05*
Source: Department of Commerce.
"&

PRICES

CONSUMER PRICES

The consumer price index rose by 0.3 percent in June. The main thrust came from 0.4 percent increases in food
and in services. Nonfood commodity prices edged upward by 0.1 percent.
Index, 1957-59 = 100

Index, 1957-59=100

125

105

105

100

100

I960

1966

J/SEE NOTE BELOW.
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

All
items

Period

1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963 1
1964
1965.
1965: Apr
May
June
July..
Aug
Sept..
Oct...
Nov

.

Dec

1966: Jan
Feb

Mar

Apr
May.
June

__

_
_ .—

93. 3
94. 7
98. 0
100.7
101. 5
103. 1
104. 2
105. 4
106. 7
108. 1
109.9
109.3
109. 6
110. 1
110. 2
110.0
110. 2
110. 4
110.6
111.0
111.0
111. 6
112. 0
112. 5
112. 6
112. 9

[1957-59=100]
Services
Co mmoditiei3
Comm odities legjs food
Services
All
All comRent
Food
less
Nonmodities
All
Durable durable services
rent
89. 4
90. 5
94.6
94.0
94. 8
94. 4
94.9
95. 3
91.9
92.8
94. 7
95.4
96. 5
95.5
96. 5
95. 9
96. 1
97.8
98.5
96. 6
98.5
9a3
98. 8
99. 1
100. 2
100.8
101.9
100. 1
100.0
99.8
100. 3
99. 9
103. 6
103. 2
100. 9
101. 6
100. 3
101. 2
101. 5
101.0
101.7
102. 6
107.4
101.4
101.7
106. 6
100.9
103. 1
102. 3
110. 0
108.8
104. 4
102. 6
102. 0
103. 2
100.8
112. 1
110.9
105. 7
103. 2
103. 8
103. 6
101.8
102.8
106.8
114. 5
104. 1
102. 1
113.0
103. 5
104.8
105. 1
117.0
105.2
106.4
105.7
107. 8
104. 4
115. 2
103.0
107.2
120.0
106.4
117.8
108.9
108.8
105.1
102.6
117.3
108.8
107. 3
106.8
119.3
105.9
103. 0
105. 0
106.2
105.2
107.2
117. 5
119. 5
107. 9
102. 9
108.8
107.3
117.6
108.8
119.7
106.9
102.6
110. 1
105. 1
102. 3
106.9
117. 8
108.9
120.0
106. 9
110. 9
104. 7
117.9
109.0
106.6
107.1
120.0
110.1
104.7
101.8
109. 1
107.7
120. 7
104. 9
101. 7
109. 7
118. 5
106. 6
118.7
109. 2
121. 0
102. 1
108. 0
106. 9
109. 7
105. 3
119.0
109.3
102.4
108.3
121.3
107. 1
109.7
105.6
108.4
119.3
109.5
102.4
121.6
107. 4
110.6
105.7
111.4
119.5
107.4
108.0
109.7
121.8
101.9
105.3
122. 0
119. 7
109. 8
108.0
105.4
101. 8
108. 3
113. 1
109. 9
122. 5
108.4
102. 0
108. 6
120. 1
113. 9
105. 6
121. 1
102. 3
110. 1
114. 0
109. 0
123.6
106. 0
108. 8
121. 5
102. 5
110. 2
124. 1
108.8
113. 5
109.3
106. 3
110.2
109.5
122.0
106.4
102.6
109. 0
113. 9
124.8

i See Note.
* Not charted.
NOTE. — Prior to January 1964. indexes revis to reflect transfer of ho meed
ownership from services to durable commodities

26




Be mining with January 19C 4, new indejk with revise d weights, cc verage, and
samp ling procedLires. For d(itails, see D epartment o f Labor rel ease, Major
Chan ges in the Cwvsumer Price Index, March 3, 1964.
Sotirce: Depart ment of Labc>r.

WHOLESALE PRICES
Wholesale prices increased by 0.1 percent in June. A fall of 0.4 percent in farm prices was more than offset by a
rise of 0.2 percent in industrial prices. Processed food prices were stable. In the last 4 months wholesale prices
have increased only 0.3 percent as declines of 3.1 percent in farm prices and 1.2 percent in processed food prices
almost offset a 1.1 percent rise in industrial prices.
Index, 1957-59 =100

Index, 1957-59=100

COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM
PRODUCTS AND FOODS
(INDUSTRIALS)

90

1966

1960

SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

.___
_

Nov

Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May 3
June __ _
Week ended: 4
1966: JulyS

123

100. 4
100. 6
100. 7
100. 3
100. 6
100. 3
100. 5
102.5
102. 1
102.8
102.9
102.9
103.0
103. 1
103. 5
104. 1
104.6
105.4
105. 4
105. 5
105.6
105.7
106. 0
106. 1

105. 9
106. 9

All
commodities

Period

1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct

[1957-59=100]
CommoditJes other t hanfarm )OToducts aind foods (iiidustrials)
Consunaer nnIndus- Indus- ProducFarm
Procished g<jods extrial in- er fintrial
All inessed
prodcludin gfood
dustricrude termedi- ished
ucts
foods
DurNonals1
mate- ate ma- goods
2
terials
durable
able
rials
96.9
102.9
99. 5
99. 4
100. 2
100. 1
99. 3
103. 6
97.2
102. 3
102. 1
99. 2
101. 0
10L3
101. 3
100. 8
100. 0
96.9
101. 4
101. 3
9a3
100.9
101. 5
102.3
96.0
100.7
100. 8
97. 2
100. 1
102.5
100.5
101. 5
101.2
100. 8
100.0
101.6
97.7
95. 6
99. 9
102.9
94. 3
101.1
100. 7
99. 6
99. 5
101. 9
95. 7
103. 1
101.2
100.2
94. 3
104. 1
99. 9
97. 1
101. 0
101.6
98.4
105.1
102.5
100.9
101.5
105.4
99.6
102.8
102.3
101.0
101. 4
102. 5
103. 3
98. 4
99.6
105. 3
102.5
106. 1
100.3
100. 5
101. 5
105.4
99.7
102.6
102.5
100.0
100.4
106.6
101.5
99.6
102.7
105. 4
102.7
106.7
101.7
101.7
99. 1
99.5
105.5
102.8
102.7
99.5
106.7
101.3
101.8
103.0
99.5
105.5
99.4
102. 8
102. 0
101. 9
106.9
99.5
105.6
103.3
103. 2
102. 7
102. 1
107. 6
100. 3
103.6
105. 9
99.6
103.2
109.4
102.6
102.2
103.0
99. 6
106.0
103.7
104.5
110.3
103.5
104.0
102.4
106.2
99.7
103.9
102. 6
111. 8
103. 8
105. 7
107. 4
104. 0
106. 6
99. 7
104. 0
102. 9
111. 5
106. 6
106. 8
106. 8
104. 1
99.7
104. 3
106. 1
103. 4
106. 4
110. 6
104. 3
107. 0
99. 8
105.9
104. 5
110.5
104.7
103.8
100. 2
104. 5
107. 6
104. 1
110. 5
104.9
106.5
103.9
107.9
100. 1
104.9

__
_

_

_

110. 5
111. 2

* Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this
index.
2 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured
animal feeds; includes, in part, grata products for further processing.




105. 0
105. 0

1

3 Preliminary.
< Weekly series based on smaller sample than monthly series.
Source: Department of Labor.

27

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
The parity ratio was unchanged in the month ended June 15 as prices paid and prices received by Farmers were
stable.

index, 1957-59=100

Index, 1957-59s=100

100

RATIO

RATIO-^
100

noo

90

90
PARITY RATIO

80

80

70

70
I960

1961

J962

1963

1964

1965

1966

3/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON J910-14=100 BASE.
SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Prices i eceived by 'armers
Period

1956
1957
_
_..
1958—
.
._
1959
_
1960
_._
1961..
.
1962
„
1 6 . . _ _ „ . . ... .
93.
1964
1965
1965: May 15
June 15
July 15
.
.
Augl5
Sept 15
Oct 15
Nov 15Dec 15__ ...
__ .
1966: Jan 15
... _
Feb 15
Mar 15
Apr 15 May 15
June 15

All farm
products

_

_

95
97
104
99
98
99
101
100
98
102
104
105
104
103
103
103
103
107
108
112
111
110
109
109

Crops

105
101
100
99
99
102
104
107
107
104
111
108
104
100
100
99
98
100
101
104
104
106
107
108

1
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index pi prices paid,
interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base.

28



Pricess paid by fairmers

Livestock All items,
interest,
and
taxes, and
products wage rates
Index, 1957-59=100
95
88
98
94
106
100
102
100
102
98
103
98
99
105
95
107
91
107
110
101
110
99
103
110
110
104
110
105
110
105
110
106
110
107
111
112
112
114
112
118
113
118
114
113
114
110
114
110

Family
living
items

96
99
100
101
102
102
103
104
105
107
108
107
107
107
107
107
107
108
108
109
110
110
110
110

Source: Department of Agriculture.

Production
items

95
98
100
102
101
101
103
104
103
105
106
106
106
106
106
105
105
106
107
108
108
108
108
108

Parity
ratio l

83
82
85
81
80
79
80
78
76
77
78
79
78
78
78
7
7

77
80
80
82
81
80
79
79

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY SUPPLY

The average daily supply of money (seasonally adjusted) in June attained again its April peak.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL
COMMERCIAL BANKS

60

60
1960

1966

SOURCE. BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars!
M oney supp>iy
M oney supf >iy
Period

1960:
1961:
1962:
1963:
1964:
1965:
1965:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Mav
June
July
AUK
Sept
Oct.
Nov__
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
ivlav
June 2

Total

__
,

1

__

141. 1
145. 5
147. 5
153. 1
159. 7
167.4
160. 0
161. 8
162. 5
162. 7
164.3
165. 6
165. 7
167.4
168.4
168.0
169. 2
171. 1
169. 5
171. 1

Currency
outside
banks
Seasonally7
28. 9
29. 6
30. 6
32. 5
34. 2
36.3
34. 9
35. 0
35. 2
35. 4
35.6
35. 9
36. 1
36.3
36.7
36.8
36. 9
37. 1
37.3
37.3

de-

posits

de-

posits
adjustec
112. 1
116. 0
116. 9
120. 6
125. 4
131.2
125. 1
126. 8
127. 3
127. 3
128.7
129. 7
129. 6
131.2
131.8
131.2
132. 3
134. 0
132. 2
133. 8

Deposits at all commercial banks.
* Preliminary.
8
Effective June 9, balances accumulated for payment of personal loans (about
$1.1 billion at that time) are excluded from time deposits reported by member
banks and from loans at all commercial banks.




Time

De-

mand

1

Total

Currency
outside
banks

De-

Time

de-

posits

mand

de-

posits

1

3

144, 7
149. 4
151.6
157. 3
164. 0
172.0
157. 6
159.6
160. 9
160. 5
163.2
165. 8
167.4
172. 0
173.0
167.8
167.8
171. 6
166. 9
168. 8

29. 6
30. 2
31. 2
33. 1
35. 0
37.0
34. 6
34. 9
35. 4
35. 5
35.6
36.0
36. 5
37.0
36.5
36.3
36. 5
36. 8
37.0
37. 3

115. 2
119. 2
120. 3
124. 1
129. 1
135.0
123. 0
124. 6
125. 6
125. 0
127.5
129.8
130.9
135.0
136.5
131.5
131. 3
134. 8
129. 9
131. 5

de-

mand
de-

posits

iJnad justed
72. 9
82. 7
97. 8
112. 2
126. 6
147.0
134. 6
135. 9
137. 6
140. 1
141.6
143.6
145. 5
147. 0
148.0
148.8
149. 6
151. 6
152. 9
153. 3

U.S.
Government

3

72. 1
81. 8
96. 7
111. 0
125. 2
145.3
135. 4
136. 6
138. 3
140. 2
141.4
143.5
144. 4
145.3
147.4
148.7
150. 2
152. 2
153. 9
154. 0

NOTE.—See Note, p. 31.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

l

47
4.9
5.6

5. 1
5. 5

4.5
9.7
9.3

9. 1
7. 4

5.6
5.0

4. 0

4.5
3.7
5.1
4.6

3. 0
7.2

6. 2

29

SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC
Nonbank public holdings of liquid assets (seasonally adjusted) increased in June, following a normal pattern. The
moderate increase was concentrated in demand deposits and currency, with an increase in time deposits being canceled
by declines in the holdings of savings and loan shares and short-term government securities.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

600

400

500

500

400

400

300

300

200

200

1960

1966

1961

-I/ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY.
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

I Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted!

End of period

1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct ..
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb 3
Mar
Apr 3 3
May _ _ _ ;
June 3
1

Total
selected
liquid
assets

4

393. 9
399. 2
424.6
459.0
495.4
530. 5
572.8
543.0
550. 2
550.9
555. 7
560. 7
565. 1
568.3
572.8
578. 5
577.5
585. 5
587.0
585. 8
588. 3

Demand
deposits
and
currency *

139.7
138.4
142. 6
144. 8
149. 6
156. 7
164.0
155. 4
159.7
157.7
157. 8
160.6
161. 1
160.4
164. 0
164.8
162.8
167. 1
166. 6
164. 1
166. 4

Time d eposits

Commercial
banks

4

67.4
73. 1
82.5
98.1
112.9
127. 1
147. 1
134. 9
136.3
138.3
139. 8
141.6
144.0
146.5
147. 1
149. 2
149.4
151. 1
152. 3
153.2
153. 8

Agrees in concept with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction of demand
deposits held by mutual savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data
for2 last Wednesday of month.
Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial and mutual savings banks, Federal Reserve Banks, and beginning
February 1060, savings and loan associations.

30



Mutual
savings
banks

34.9
36.2
38.3
41.4
44. 5
49. 0
52.5
50. 4
50. 8
51.1
51. 3
51.6
52.0
52.3
52.5
52.8
53.0
53.1
53. 1
53.3
53.5

Postal
Savings
System
0.9

.8
.6

.5

.5
.4
.3

.4
.4
.4

.3

.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3
.3

.2

Savings
and loan
shares

54. 3
61. 8
70. 5
79.8
90.9
101.4
109.7
104. 5
105. 1
105.5
106.5
107.8
108.4
109.3
109. 7
109.8
110.6
111.4
111. 0
111. 2
111. 0

U.S. Government
U.S. Gov- securities
ernment
maturing
savings
within
bonds 2
year 2
47.9
47.0
47. 4
47. 6
49.0
49. 9
50.5
49. 9
50.0
50.1
50. 1
50.1
50. 1
50.1
50.5
50.5
50.3
50.3
50.4
50.4
50.4

s Preliminary.
* See footnote 3, page 29.
NOTE.—See Note, p. 31.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

48. 8
41.9
42. 6
46. 8
48. 1
46. 1
48.6
47.6
48.0
47.9
49. 8
48.7
49. 1
49.4
48. 6
51.2
51.0
52. 1
53.3
53.3
52.9

BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES
Total commercial bank credit (seasonally adjusted) rose $2.3 billion in June. Loans, lifted by mid-month corporate
tax borrowins, expanded by $3.3 billion. (Both totals would be about $1 billion higher if there had been no change
in reporting in June.) Investments again declined on balance.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
350

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
350

ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS

300

300

250

250

200

50

50
INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES

1966

1960

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

All comntiereial bank s
(s easonally adjusted daita)
Total
Investinents
Loans,
loans excluding
and
inter- U.S. Gov- Other
investsecuribank
ernment
ments
ties
securities

End of period

1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr 5 5
May 5_
June
1

6

185. 9
194. 5
209. 8
22R 3
246. 5
267. 2
294.4
279.4
282.8
281.5
286. 1
286.2
288.8
291. 5
294. 4
297.4
297.5
300.3
303. 0
304. 3
306. 6

6

107. 6
113. 8
120. 5
133. 9
149. 4
167. 1
191.6
179. 5
183.0
182. 7
185. S
186. 2
187.9
189.6
19.1. 6
194.7
195.2
199.0
200. 7
202. 2
205. 5

Billions of dollarsj
57. 8
20. 5
20. 8
59. 9
65. 4
23. 9
(>5. 2
29. 2
62. 1
35. 0
38. 7
61. 4
58. 0
44. 8
58. 0
41. 3
42. 1
57. 7
5(>. 4
42. 4
43. 3
57. 0
56. 5
43.5
43. 9
57. 0
44. 2
57. 7
44. 8
58. 0
44.9
57. 8
56. 8
45.5
45. 2
56. 1
46. 1
56. 2
47.2
54. 9
53.9
47. 2

Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken
membership in the Federal Reserve System.
2
Commercial and industrial loans.
3
Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and
U.S. Government. New series; see Bank Debits and Deposit Turnover, 6.6
FRB, February 19, 1965.
* Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December.




Weekly
reporting
member
banks l
Business
loans a

30. 7
32. 2
32. 9
35. 2
38. 8
42. 1
50. 0
45.2
46.8
4(>. 3
4(>. <)
48. 1
48. 2
49. 0
50. G
50. 3
51. 1
52. 6
52. 5
53. 5
55. 8

Bank
debits
outside
New York
City (224
centers) ,
seasonally
adjusted
annual
rates 3
1, 65V
1, 736
1,832
2, 021
2, 199
3
#, 696
2,997
S, 872
S, 019
3. 021
rtt 019
S, 023
8, 069
5', 179
3,250
3, 198
3, 264
3, 397
8, 890
8,348
8,377

A U member banks l 4

Total
reserves

18, 932
19, 283
20, 118
20, 040
20, 746
21,609
22, 719
21, 472
21, 709
21,863
21, 617
21, 740
21, 958
21, 958
22, 719
22, 750
22, 233
22, 160
22, 528
22, 487
22, 529

Borrowings at
Free
Excess Federal
reserves Reserve reserves
Banks
Millions o f dollars
482
906
87
756
149
568
304
572
327
536
411
243
452
454
325
505
346
528
350
524
564
430
384
528
344
490
369
452
452
454
358
402
371
478
305
551
358
626
722
370
314
674

-424
669
419
268
209
168
o

-180
-182
-174
-134
— 144
_146
-83
-2
-44
-107
-246
-268
-352
-360

5 Preliminary.
• See footnote 3, page 29.
NOTE.—Between January and August 1959, series for all commercial banks
expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Data for all
member banks include Alaska and Hawaii beginning 1954 and 1959, respectively.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
O "I

CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT
Consumer credit outstanding in May increased at a rate below that of a year earlier. Instalment credit extended,
seasonally adjusted, declined for the second month, but the decline can no longer be attributed to the decline in
automobile instalment loans.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
100

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

1 100

END OF MONTH

80

80

TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING

\
60

40

40

20

20

NONINSTALMENT CREDIT
, , , , , I, , ,. . I , , .,

INSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID

nf. i . . .

I . . . . i I . . . . . I . . . . . I . . . . . I . . i . i I, . i , . I, i . . ,
1960

SOURCEi BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEbERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

! . > , . . I . . « . . I ..

1966
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

(Millions of dollars]

Period

1956.. _
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1965: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar__
Apr
May

Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended
Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of p eriod;
Linadjusted)
and r<spaid (seas onally adju sted)
[nstalment
To tal
Automob ile paper
NonAutomoTotal
instal- Extended Repaid Extended Repaid
Total *
bile
Personal
ment 2
paper
loans
42, 334
14, 555
31, 720
15, 515
14,420
6,789
10, 614
37, 054
39, 868
44,970
7,582
16, 465
15, 545
15, 340
42, 016
33, 867
11, 103
39, 868
45, 129
33, 642
14, 152
8, 116
40, 344
14, 226
15, 415
11, 487
40, 119
51, 542
39, 245
9,386
12, 297
42, 603
15, 579
16, 420
48, 052
17, 779
42, 832
56, 028
17, 654
16, 384
17, 688
13, 196
49, 560
45, 972
10, 480
57, 678
16, 472
43, 527
17, 223
16, 007
11, 256
14, 151
48, 396
47, 700
63, 164
48, 034
19, 540
12, 643
15, 130
19, 796
17, 478
50, 620
55, 126
70, 461
22, 292
54, 158
22, 433
14, 464
19, 400
16, 303
55, 171
61, 295
78, 442
21, 676
25, 195
17, 894
24, 435
60, 548
16, 228
67, 505
61, 121
87, 884
27, 914
24, 267
68, 565
28, 843
18, 354
75, 508
67, 495
19,319
79, 237
61, 886
26, 235
2,299
1,975
16, 871
17, 351
6,245
5,500
80, 469
62, 807
17, 662
1,987
26, 717
17, 098
6, 167
5,511
2,249
81, 717
17, 346
2,007
17, 867
6, 196
2,285
63, 850
27, 280
5,601
82, 539
64, 704
27, 779
17,503
17,835
6, 383
5,659
2,355
2,007
83, 319
2,372
17, 753
65, 508
28, 111
17,811
5,729
2,068
6,385
83, 801
65, 979
6,434
2,385
2,056
28, 175
17, 822
5,748
17,911
84, 465
17, 954
5,805
2,338
66, 511
28, 393
17, 950
6,425
2,080
85, 291
67, 168
28, 612
5,831
18, 123
2,148
18, 070
2,480
6,530
87, 884
2,443
28, 843
5,855
68, 565
18, 354
19,319
6,489
2,107
87, 027
68, 314
6,544
5,947
28, 789
18,325
18, 713
2,115
2,340
86, 565
28, 894
6,492
5,954
18, 396
68, 279
18, 286
2,340
2,135
87, 059
6,024
2, 479
68, 827
18, 532
18, 232
2,216
29, 248
6,673
2,302
88, 184
69, 543
29, 597
18, 747
5,974
2, 145
18, 641
6,505
89,092
6,472
29,908
18,883
5,979
2,298
70,209
18,927
2,159

J
Also includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization
loans, not shown separately.
2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit.
3
End of period, unadjusted.

32



Mortgage
debt outstanding,
nonfarm
1- to 4family
houses 3
99, 000
107, 600
117, 700
130, 900
141, 300
153, 100
166, 500
182, 200
197, 600
213, 000

204, 800
209, 000
213, 000
216, 100

NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August
1959. respectively.
Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Home
Loan Bank Board.

BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES
Yields on short-term commercial paper, corporate bonds, and medium- and long-term Government securities have
shown a fairly steady increase since the beginning of May.
Treasury bill yields have not shown this constant uptrend,
although they have increased during the first half of July, reaching new highs by mid-month.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

CORPORATE Aaa BONDS
(MOODY'S)

1966
SOURCES: SEE TABLE BELOW

Period

1959
1960
1961
1962
__
1963
1964
1965
1965: May
June
_
July
Aug
_
Sept
Get
Nov__
Dec
1966: Jan__ _ _ _ _ _ .
Feb
Mar__
Apr
Mav
June
Week ended:
1966: June 18__
25
2___
July 9 _ _ _
16___
23__
1
Rate on new
3
April 1953 to
4

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Percent per annum]
High-grade
U.S. Gov€jrnment secui*ity yields
municipal
3-month
bonds
3-5 year
Taxable
Treasury
(Standard &
issues 2
bonds 3
bills l
Poor's) *
3.405
4.33
4.08
3.95
2.928
3.99
4. 02
3. 73
2.378
3.90
3. 60
3.46
2. 778
3.95
3. 57
3. 18
3. 157
3. 72
4.00
3.23
3.549
4. 06
4. 15
3.22
3.954
4.22
4.21
3.27
3. 895
4. 11
4 14
3. 19
3.810
4.09
4. 14
3.26
3.S31
4. 10
4. 15
3. 26
3. 836
4. 19
4. 10
3. 25
3. 912
4.24
4.25
3. 36
4. 032
4. 33
4. 28
3. 42
4. 082
4. 46
4. 34
3. 47
4. 362
4. 77
A. -13
:*. 56
4.596
4. S9
4.43
:j. 52
r>. 02
4.670
4. 01
:*. 63
4. 626
4. 94
4. 63
3. 72
4. r>r>
4. 86
4.611
:*. 59
4. 642
4. 94
4. 57
3. 08
f). 01
4. 539
4. 63
3. 77
4.
4.
4.
4.
4.
*4.

575
470
435
731
876
996

4.
4.
f>.
5.
5.

97
95
11
14
24

4.
4.
4.
4.
*4.

63
59
69
72
78

2
issues within period.
Selected note and bond issues.
date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after.
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
* Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate
(5?4 percent for June 1966) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years.




3. 76

;;. 72

3. 80
3. 91
3. 95

Corporal ;e bonds
(Moo dy's)

Aaa

Baa

4.38
4.41
4. 35
4.33
4. 26
4.40
4. 49
4. 44
4.46
4. 48
4. 49
4.52
4. 56
4. 00
4. 08
4. 74
4.78
4. 92
4. 96
4. 98
5. 07

5.
5.
5.
5.
*5.

06
07
09
12
14

Prime
commercial
paper,
4r-6

months

5.05
5. 19
5.08
5.02
4.86
4.83
4. 87
4. 81
4.85
4.88
4. 88
4.91
4. 93
4. 95
5. 02
f>. 06
5. 12
5. 32
5. 41
5. 48
5. 58

3.97
3. 85
2. 97
3. 26
3.55
3. 97
4.38
4.38
4.38
4.38
4. 38
4.38
4. 38
4. 38
4. 65
4.82
4.88
5. 21
5.38
5. 39
5. 51

5. 59
5. 61
5. 61
5. 63
5.68

FHA
new home
mortgage
yields 5

5.77
6. 16
5.78
5. 60
5.46
5.45
5.46
5. 45
5.45
5.44
5. 44
5.45
5. 46
5.49
5. 51
5.62
5.70

5. 50
5. 50
5. 58
5.63
*5. 63

6.00
6. 32

*Not charted.
Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve
System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and
Moody's Investors Service.
OO

COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS
Stock prices fluctuated within,a narrow range during most of June and early July.
Inde x, 1941-43 = 10

Index, 1941-43 = 10
MONTHLY

^-^\y

n^

/VS

s>

^^.

\

s~\

^^
50

^_^/^^

COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR
500 COMMON STOCKS

80

i i i i i 1 i i i ii

1

1

1

1

t

1

!

1 1 t

~

1

\

WEEKLY

on

80

s^

S^S

^ ^

i i ii t 1 i i i i i

i i i i i 1 i i i i i

x.r\

1 1 1 1 1 1 ! I ! 1 ]

1

1 1 1 1 1 !

1 1 1 1

1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 J I 1 1

50

1966

1960

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: STANDARD AND POOR'S CORPORATION

l

Period

1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965 ._
1965: June
July
Aug
Sept
Get
_
Nov
Dec___
__
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar__
Apr
May
June
Week ended:
1966: June 10
17
July

24

1
8
15

Total

___
_

Total

55. 85
66. 27
62. 38
69. 87
81. 37
88. 17
85.04
84.91
86. 49
89.38
91. 39
92. 15
91.73
93.32
92.69
88. 88
91. 60
86. 78
86. 06

59.43
69. 99
65.54
73.39
86. 19
93.48
90.19
89.92
91. 68
94.93
97. 20
98. 02
97.66
99. 56
99.11
95. 04
98. 17
92. 85
92. 14

85. 42
86. 72
86. 62
85. 39
86. 97
* 86. 91

91. 40
92. 89
92. 80
91. 42
93.23
93. 11

Price index
Industrials
Capital Consumers'
goods
goods
1941-^13=10
59. 75
47. 21
67.33
57. 01
58. 15
54. 96
63. 30
62. 28
76.34
73. 84
81.94
85. 26
81.62
80.04
80.54
78. 80
83. 25
80. 23
86.91
82.34
90. 28
83. 90
91. 62
83. 75
91.42
83.31
93.35
84.28
93. 69
83.48
90. 28
78. 96
93. 54
79.28
88.78
75. 12
87.34
73. 75
85.79
88. 04
89. 38
86.09
88. 06
87. 11

73.73
74.30
73. 89
72. 75
74.58
74.45

Railroads

Dividend
yield 2
(percent)

46. 86
60. 20
59. 16
64. 99
69. 91
76.08
74.19
74.63
74. 71
76. 10
76. 69
76. 72
75.39
74.50
71.87
69. 21
70. 06
68.49
67. 51

30. 31
32.83
30.56
37.58
45. 46
46.78
42.52
43.31
46. 13
46.96
48.46
50. 23
51.03
53.68
54.78
51. 52
52. 33
47. 00
46. 35

3.47
2.98
3.37
3.17
3. 01
3.00
3.07
3.09
3. 06
2.98
2. 91
2, 96
3.05
3.02
3.06
3.23
3. 15
3. 30
3. 36

67. 54
67. 75
67. 47
66. 96
67. 49
67.99

45. 75
46. 76
46. 80
46. 11
46. 53
46. 21

Price/
earnings
ratio 3

3.39
3.32
3.32
3. 40
3. 31
* 3.34

Public
utilities

17. 09
21. 06
16. 68
17. 62
18. 08
17.08
15. 93
17. 10
17. 61
17. 13

1
3
Includes 500 common stocks: 425 are industrials: 50 are public utilities; and 25
Ratio of price index for last day in quarter to quarterly earnings (seasonally
are railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday
adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data.
figures; all other weekly indexes are averages of daily figures.
2
Not charted
Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by
the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields
Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation.
are averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures.

34



FEDERAL FINANCE

FEDERAL ADMINISTRATIVE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES
Budget receipts for fiscal 1966 came in much stronger than estimated in January.
was $2.3 billion, compared to the January estimate of $6.4 billion.

As a result, the deficit for the year

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

NET BUDGET RECEIPTS

NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES
100

100

75

75

50

50

25

25

1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1961

1966

+10

NATIONAL DEFENSE

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1965

1966

BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-)
(ENLARGED SCALE)

75

+5
0

50

~5
25
-10
-15
1961

1962

1963

1964

1965

1966

1961

1962

1963

1964

SOURCES:TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
Net budg et expenditiires
N ational defe use 1
Net
budget
receipts

Period

Fiscal year 1960
Fiscal year 1961
Fiscal year 1962
Fiscal year 1963
Fiscal year 1964
Fiscal year 1965 3
Fiscal year 1966
1965: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
___
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1966: Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June

_ _

__

__

77. 8
77. 7
81. 4
86. 4
89.5
93.1
104.6
8.5
7.3
13.4
3.8
7.4
11. 0
3.3
8. 1
9.6
6. 5
8.3
11.3
9.9
8.5
17. 1

Total

76. 5
81. 5
87. 8
92. 6
97.7
96.5
106.9
8. 3
8. 1
9. 1
7.2
9.0
9. 5
8.8
9. 1
9.4
8. 8
8. 2
10. 2
8.4
9. 1
9.4

iIn addition to items shown, also includes atomic energy and defense related
services.
2
Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total
shown is subject to statutory debt limitation.




Total
45. 7
47. 5
51. 1
52. 8
54.2
50.2
57.7
4. 3
4. 3
5.0
3.8
4.4
4. 5
4. 5
4. 5
5. 1
4. 6
4. 5
5. 6
5. 0
4. 9
6. 2

Department of
Defense,
military
41. 2
43. 2
46.8
48. 3
49.8
46.2
54.4
4. 1
3.8
4.3
3. 6
4. 1
4.3
4. 3
4. 2
4.8
4. 4
4. 2
5. 2
4.8
4.6
5.9

Military
assistance
1.6
1. 4
1.4
1.7
1.5
1.2
.9
.1
.2
.4
(4)
(4)
(4)
4

()
(4)

Budget
surplus
or
deficit (— )
1. 2

— 3. 9
-6.4
-6. 3
-8.2
-3.4
-2.3
.3
—.8
4.3

.1
.2

— 3.4
-1.6
1. 5
— 5. 5
— 1.0
.1
— 2.4
.2
1. 1

.1
.2

1.6
-.6
7.7

.1
.1
.1

Public
debt
(end ofa
period)
286.5
289.2
298.6
306.5
312.5
317.9
320.4
317.2
319.8
317.9
317. 1
318.7
317.3
319.4
322. 2
321.4
322.4
323.7
321. 5
320. 1
322.8
320. 4

4
s Preliminary.
Less than $50 million.
NOTE.—Total budget receipts and expenditures exclude certain intragovernmental transactions.
Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget.

35

FEDERAL CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND
PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC
Strong cash receipts produced a $10.1 billion surplus in the April-June quarter ($3.8 billion seasonally adjusted)
and reduced the cash deficit for fiscal 1966 to $3.2 billion—less than half the January estimate.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

35

30

20

»

t

'

t

I

t

'

1

'

1

t

t

t

f

i

I

t

t

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

EXCESS OF C KH RECEIPTS

7

F? !
! v

n*

1 •

i

m

EXCESS OF 0\SH PAYMENTS
i
i
i
i
i
1961
1960

m n •* n • . • • • • • ! •
i i t
f

1962

l

i

f

i

1964

1963

I

/;

rc*a

l| i
i

i

1965

i

i

i

t

1966

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCESi TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET

COUNCIL OP ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]
Cash receipts
from the
public

Period
Fiscal year:
1961
1962
1963
..
1964..
1965
1966 *
Calendar year:
1960
.
1961
...
1962
1963..
1964
1965

__.
.
_

_
._

_....
.
_._

Quarterly total (calendar years):
1964: III
IV
1965: III
.
III
IV
1966: I
II

_

___

Cash payments to
the public

97. 2
101. 9
109.7
115.5
119.7
134. 4

99. 5
107. 7
113. 8
120. 3
122. 4
137.6

98. 3
97.9
106.2
112.6
115.0
123.4

94 7
104. 7
111. 9
117. 2
120. 3
127.9
Unadjusted

-3.9
-6.3
2.4
5. 1
— 3. 9
-8. 1
-1.3
10. 1




Cash payments to
the public

Excess of
receipts or
payments
(-)

3.6
-6. 8
-5. 7
-4. 6
-5.2
-4.5

30.9
30.6
2a 3
32.6
33. 1
34.0
34. 6
36. 0

Cash receipts
from the
public

-2.3
-5.8
-4. 0
-4. 8
-2.7
-3.2

27.0
24.3
30.7
37.7
29. 2
25.8
33.3
46. 1

* Kevised.
* Preliminary.
2 Seasonally adjusted data include accelerated corporate tax payments of

36

Excess of
receipts or
payments
(-)

Beeisonally adjusibed
28.4
28.8
29.7
2
32. 6
30.6
30.7
*33. 7
2
39. 6

30.0
29.8
30.2
32.4
32. 1
33. 1
36. 9
35.8

-1.6
— 1. 0
_.4
.3
— 1.5
-2.4
*-3. 2
3.8

about $0.9 billion in 1965, and $2.8 billion in 1966; data also include about $0.3
billion in 1966 for initiation of graduated withholding of personal income taxes
and $1.4 billion for change in schedule for depositing withheld and OASI taxes.
Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget.

FEDERAL BUDGET, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the first quarter, Federal expenditures rose over $6% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) and receipts increased
$9 billion. As a result, there was a surplus of more than $2 billion. Preliminary data indicate there was a surplus
again in the second quarter.

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

140

100

100

80 |yL_J

I

L

J

+20

I

L-V80
-1-20

SEASO NALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

SURPLUS

!l™

1 1
• ••-

•

•-•

""""

DEFICIT
1

-20

!
1960

1

1

I
1961

1

I

!
1962

n-n

I

I

!
1963

I

1

!
1964

1

1

1
1965

!

1

I
1966

1

-20

CALENDAR YEARS
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Fed era 1 Governndent expe aditures

Federal (jrovernment receipt s
Period

Fiscal year:
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966 i
Calendar
year:
1962
1963
1964
1965
1964: III.
IV.
1965: I _ .
II_
III.
IV.
1966: I__
II3

Subsidies Surplus
GrantsPurless
in-aid
or
current
Net
chases Trans- to State
interest surplus deficit
of goods fer payand
(-)
of Govt.
and
paid
ments
local
enterservices
governprises
ments

Indirect ContriPersonal Corpo- business butions
rate
for
Total tax and profits tax and
nontax
tax
nontax social inreceipts accruals accruals surance

Total

104. 2
110. 2
115.5
120.6
(2)

47.3
49. 6
50.7
51.3
56. 6

22.9
23.5
25. 6
27.8
(2)

14.2
15. 0
15. 6
16. 9
16. 1

19. 9
22. 1
23.6
24. 6
28. 4

106. 4
111. 4
116. 9
118.3
131. 2

60. 9
63. 4
65.7
64.3
71.0

27. 2
28.5
29.6
30.4
34.4

7.6
8. 4
9. 8
10.9
12.6

6. 8
7. 5
8. 1
8. 5
9. 1

3. 8
3.6
3. 9
4. 1
4. 2

106.4
114.5
115. 1
124. 9
115. 4
117. 2
124. 0
125.0
123.8
126.9
136. 0
(2)

48. 6
51. 5
48. 6
54. 2
48. 1
49. 6
53.4
54.9
53.8
54.7
57. 1
60. 7

22.7
24. 6
26. 5
29. 1
26. 8
26. 7
28. 7
28.7
28.9
30. 3
31. 9
(2)

14. 6
15. 3
16. 2
16. 8
16. 6
16. 5
17.5
16. 8
16. 3
16. 7
15. 2
16. 2

20.5
23. 1
23. 9
24. 8
24.0
24. 4
24. 5
24. 6
24. 7
25. 2
31. 7
32. 2

110.3
113.9
118. 1
123. 4
118. 4
117.7
119. 6
120. 6
126. 3
127. 0
133. 7
137. 7

63. 4
64.2
65.2
66. 8
65. 1
64. 1
64. 4
65. 6
67. 5
69. 8
71. 9
74. 6

27.7
29. 1
29. 9
32.4
29.7
29.8
31. 3
30. 9
34. 8
32. 8
35.4
34. 8

8.0
9. 1
10. 4
11. 2
10. 8
11. 0
11. 0
11. 1
11. 1
11. 6
13. 0
14.5

7. 2
7. 7
8.3
8.7
8. 4
8. 4
8.6
8.7
8.8
8.8
9. 3
9. 5

4. 0
3.6
4.2
4.2
4.4
4.4
4.3
4.2
4. 1
4. 1
4. 1
4. 3

1 Estimates.
2 Not available.
s Preliminary.




-2. 1

— 1. 2
— 1. 4
2. 3

(2)

-3.8
.7

-3.0
1.6

-3.0

—.o
4.5
4.4
-2.5
-.2
2.3
2
()

NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1962. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1966. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960.
Source: Department of Commerce.

37

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

POSTAGE AND FEES PAID
U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE

DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS

WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2
OFFICIAL BUSINESS

First-Class Mail

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving
Gross National Product or Expenditure
National Income
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment
EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment
Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries
Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries
PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production
Production of Selected Manufactures
Weekly Indicators of Production
New Construction
New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing
Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders
Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services
U.S. Balance of International Payments
PRICES
Consumer Prices
Wholesale Prices
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers
MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Supply
Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public
Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves
Consumer and Real Estate Credit
Bond Yields and Interest Rates
Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings
FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Administrative Budget Receipts and Expenditures
Federal Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public
Federal Budget, National Income Accounts Basis

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37

NOTE.— Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding.
Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted.
Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices.

For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, B.C., 20402
Price 25 cents per copy; $2.50 per year; $3.50 foreign

38



U.S. G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G OFFICE:1966