Full text of Economic Indicators : July 1965
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St Louis Public Library $t f.;; REFERENCE DEPT. 89th Congress, 1st Session ]J{ Economic Indicators July 1965 Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1965 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Chairman PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Vice Chairman HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) ROBERT F. ELLSWORTH (Kansas) SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) HERMAN E. TALMADGE (Georgia) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho) JAMES W. KNOWLES, Executive Director JOHN R. STARK, Deputy Director MARIAN T. TRACY, Financial Clerk HAMILTON D. GEWEHR, Administrative Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS GARDNER ACKLEY, Chairman OTTO ECKSTEIN ARTHUR M. OKUN Economic Indicators prepared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949Charts draivn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 2 5 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $5.40 per year. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING According to preliminary estimates, gross national product rose $9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) to $658 billion in the second quarter. Consumer spending accounted for more than half of the rise. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Personal Disposable consumption personal1 expendiincome tures Period 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 1 349.9 364. 7 384. 6 402. 5 431. 8 419.5 430.2 435. 6 442. 1 448. 3 455. 3 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: I II III IV 1965: I 5 II 256. 9 269. 9 285. 2 293. 2 313. 5 328. 2 337.3 356. 8 375. 0 399. 3 390. 0 396. 1 404. 6 406. 5 418. 1 423. 0 In bernation al Business Persons Personal Gross Excess saving Gross private of ( + ) or retained domestic investearn-2 disinvest-3 ment saving ings ment (-) (-) 17. 5 23. 0 23. 6 24.7 23. 6 21. 7 27. 3 27. 8 27. 5 32. 5 29. 5 34. 0 31. 0 35. 5 30. 2 32. 3 42. 1 43. 0 45. 6 44. 8 51. 3 50. 7 51.2 57. 5 59. 1 65. 0 64. 1 65. 2 65. 9 65. 3 69. 6 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72.7 71.8 68. 8 79. 1 82.0 87. 7 85.9 87. 2 87. 3 90.4 94 7 94. 3 — 21. 8 — 24. 3 -20. 5 -11. 9 -21. 4 -21. 1 -17.6 -21. 7 -22. 9 -22. 6 -21. 8 22. 0 21.4 -25. 1 25. 1 Foreign Net e?cports of goods Excess of arid service3S net transfers trans(+) or of net fers by ImExGovern- Net exports ports ment exports ports (-.) * . 1. 5 1. 5 1. 5 1. 3 1. 5 1. 6 1. 6 1. 6 1.6 1. 8 1. 5 1.6 1. 7 2. 2 1.8 1.9 1. 1 2. 9 4. 9 1.2 -. 8 3. 0 4. 6 4. 0 4. 4 7.0 7.7 5.7 7. 0 7.7 5.0 7. 1 19. 4 23. 1 26. 2 22. 7 22. 9 26.3 27. 6 29. 2 30.7 35. 2 34. 5 33. 7 35. 7 37. 1 33. 7 39. 2 18. 3 20. 2 21. 3 21. 5 23.6 23. 3 23. 0 25. 2 26.3 28. 2 26.8 27.9 28.7 29.4 28. 7 32. 2 - 0.4 -1.5 -.3. 5 .1 2.3 — 1.4 -3.0 -2.4 -.2. 8 -5. "5 -6. 2 -4. 1 -5. 2 -O. t} — 3. 2 -5. 2 G overnmerit Gross Surplus Total nationaf /( + i \) ^». or income Statistical product deficit or discrepor Tax and TransPurTrans- (-) on receipts ancy expendinontax fers, chases Total fers, income "NTckf ture interest, of goods expendi- interest, and receipts receipts and subor and tures and subproduct 6 accruals sidies services sidies 6 account >Jet receiptjS Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1950 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: I IT III IV 1965: I 5 II _ _ 1 _ _ _ _ ___ 78. 4 84. 2 87. 5 82. 0 95. 7 103. 5 103. 8 114. 4 123. 4 125. 7 125 2 124. 1 126. 6 127. 7 133. 4 101. 4 109. 5 116. 3 115. 1 130. 2 140. 0 145. 6 157. 8 1 OS. 9 1 73. 3 172. 7 171. 1 173. 9 176. 1 182. 3 Expenditur es 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 41. 8 43. 4 45. 4 47. 6 47. 5 47. 0 47. 3 48. 4 48. 9 48. 9 75. 6 79. 0 86. 5 93. 5 97. 2 99. 6 108. 0 116. 3 122. 6 128. 6 125. 2 129. 6 129. 5 130. 0 131. 0 133. 6 Personal income (p. 5) less personal taxes ant! nontax payments (fines, penalties, 2 etc.). Undistributed corporate profits, 1 corporate inventory valuation adjustment, adju - - - - —' cruals over disburs disbursements. capital consumption allowances, and excess of wage accruals are inDoes not include retained earnings of unincorporated business which ^ „, eluded in disposable personal income. 3 Private business investment,, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institution.?, and residential housing. 4 Net foreign investment with sign changed. 5 8 98. 6 104. 3 115. 3 126. 6 131. G 136. 7 149. 8 159. S 168. 0 176. 2 172. 7 176. 6 176. 9 178. 4 179. 9 182. 5 23. 0 25. 3 28. 7 33. 1 34. 4 37. 1 41.8 43. 4 45. 4 47. 6 47. 5 47. 0 47. 3 48.4 48. 9 48. 9 2. 9 5. 2 1. 0 -11. 4 -1. 5 3.9 -4. 2 — 1. 9 .9 -2. 7 (7) -5. 5 -3. 0 -2.3 2. 4 396. 421. 443. 446. 485. 505. 521. 558. 586. 624. 610. 621. 629. 637. 653. 5 6 4 0 7 6 2 0 7 4 4 0 8 3 1 1. 0 -2. 4 -. 6 -1. 5 -3. 0 -3. 0 -2.6 -1. 8 -2. 7 -2.0 — 1 . (') 397. 5 419. 2 442. 8 444. 5 482. 7 502. 6 51 S. 7 r>r,<>. 2 r>x:t 9 (522. G <>OS S 9 .J ( i i X . |J — 1. -1 G2S. 1 CM. ("« (i-IS. X - 2. (> -• I. 2 Preliminary estimates. Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net I r a n s f n ment, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less rum government enterprises. 7 Less than $50 million. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included bcginnm:- \W>0. Source: Department of Commerce. <;r>x. o GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE In the second quarter, gross national product rose 11/2 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis/ after adjustment for price changes, it rose about 1 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 600 600 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT 500 500 PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES 400 400 \ 300 300 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES 100 100 " GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT NET EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 1959 1961 1960 1962 1964 1963 1965 J/ PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: I II III IV 1965: I 4 II Gove rnment p urchases of good s and Total Personal Not services Total congross exports private Federal national gross sump- domestic of goods State tion product national and Total Total i National2 Other and in 1964 product expend- investment services local defense prices itures Billions of dollars3, quarter^ y data at seasonal ly adjust,ed annua . rates 448.9 439. 8 478.4 483. 5 493. 0 486. 0 518. 1 531. 2 541. 6 575. 7 595.3 622.6 612. 9 620. 2 626. 6 630.6 641-5 647. 5 365. 4 363. 1 397. 5 419.2 442.8 444. 5 482. 7 502. 6 518. 7 556. 2 583. 9 622.6 608.8 618.6 628.4 634.6 648. 8 658. 0 232. 6 238. 0 256. 9 269.9 285. 2 293. 2 313. 5 328. 2 337. 3 356. 8 375.0 399.3 390. 0 396. 1 404. 6 406.5 418. 1 423.0 50.3 48.9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 7 71. 8 68. 8 79. 1 82. 0 87.7 85. 9 87. 2 87.3 90.4 94. 7 94. 3 1 Less Government sales. 3 Prior to 1959, this category corresponds closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 35. Beginning with 1959, they differ because of inclusion of space program expenditures in this table; these expenditures, small in 1959-61, amounted to $4.3 billion in 1964. -0.4 1. 0 1. 1 2.9 4. 9 1. 2 -. 8 3. 0 4. 6 4.0 4. 4 7.0 7.7 5. 7 7.0 7.7 5. 0 7. 1 82. 8 75. 3 75.6 79.0 86.5 93. 5 97. 2 99. 6 108. 0 116. 3 122. 6 128.6 125.2 129. 6 129. 5 130.0 131. 0 133. 6 58. 0 47. 5 45.3 45. 7 49. 7 52. 6 53. 6 53. 1 57. 4 62. 9 64. 7 65.5 64. 3 67. 1 65. 5 65.3 65. 1 66.7 49.3 41. 2 39. 1 40. 4 44. 4 44. 8 46. 2 45. 7 49. 0 53. 6 55. 2 55.4 54. 0 57. 0 55. 2 55.3 54.4 55. 4 9. 0 6.7 6.6 5. 7 5. 7 8.3 7.9 8. 0 8. 9 10. 2 10. 3 11.2 11. 5 11.0 11. 2 11.3 11. 9 12. 4 24. 9 27.7 30.3 33. 2 36. 8 40. 8 43. 6 46. 5 50.6 53. 5 57.9 63.0 60.9 62. 5 64. 1 64.6 65.9 66. 9 Implicit price deflator for total GNP; 1964=100 3 81. 4 82. 6 84.0 86. 7 89.8 91. 5 93.2 94. 6 95. 8 96. 6 98. 1 100.0 99.3 99. 7 100. 3 100.6 101. 1 101. 6 3 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1964 prices. * Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. NATIONAL INCOME Farm proprietors' income rose strongly by more than $2 billion to $14.5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter. Employee compensation increased $5% billion, while other types of income showed moderate or no change from the first quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 500 400 300 100 1959 1965 JL/ PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES •See Note, page 7. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Total national income Period 1953 1954_._ 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 Compensation of em- 1 ployees Proprietoi*s' income Farm Business and professional Rental income of per- Net interest Corpora ie profits and in yentory val uation ad justment2 Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes 2 adjustment 305. 6 301.8 330.2 350.8 366. 9 367.4 400. 5 414. 5 426.9 455. 6 478.5 510. 1 208.8 207.6 223.9 242.5 255. 5 257. 1 278. 5 293. 6 302.2 323. 1 340. 3 361.7 13. 3 12.7 11.8 11. 6 11.8 13.5 11. 4 12. 0 12.9 13.2 13. 0 12.7 27.4 27.8 30. 4 32. 1 32.7 32. 5 35. 1 34. 2 35.3 36.6 37.6 39. 3 10. 5 10. 9 10. 7 10. 9 11. 9 12. 2 11. 9 12. 1 12.2 12.2 12.3 12.4 8.2 9. 1 10.4 11.7 13. 4 14.8 16. 4 18. 1 20. 1 22. 1 24.4 26. 8 37. 3 33. 7 43. 1 42. 0 41. 7 37. 2 47.2 44. 5 44. 1 48. 4 50.8 57.4 38. 3 34. 1 44.9 44.7 43.2 37. 4 47. 7 44. 3 44.2 48.2 51.3 57. 6 -1.0 -.3 -1.7 -2.7 -1.5 -.3 —.5 m 2 —. 1 .3 —.4 -.2 1964: I II III IV 498.4 507. 1 514 5 520. 6 352.5 358.6 364. 8 370. 6 12. 6 12. 6 12.6 12. 9 38.6 39. 1 39. 6 39.9 12.4 12.4 12.4 12. 5 25.9 26. 5 27. 1 27.6 56.4 57. 9 58. 1 57.0 56.6 57.9 58.0 57.7 -.2 __ i .1 -.7 1965: I 3 II 534 5 378.3 383.7 12. 2 14.5 40. 4 40.7 12. 5 12. 5 28. 2 28.8 62. 9 643 -1.4 -1.5 1 . Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) a See Note, page 7. 3 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income increased by $4 billion in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $524 billion. A $2 billion gain in wages and salaries accounted for one-half of the rise. Other types of income with significant gains were farm proprietors, up over $1 billion, and dividends, up $Vi billion. BILLIC N5 OF DOLLARS 550 BILLIONS OF DOl LARS 550 SEAS DNALLY ADJUSTED ANNUA I RATES ^ _^x 500 TO'FAL PERSONAL INCOME \ \ 450 ^-^ —^ 500 ^^\ -^^ ^ ACf\ ^^ ^ 400 ^—' 400 •i en .«*"" WAGE AND SAL ^RY DISBURSEMENTS •*^ ^** \ 300 --*"* 350 — -^ 300 •*•***"* -0-- 1 ++* 250 BUSIN ESS, PROFESSIONAL, AN!) RENTAL INCOME 50 \ wm^\ N. n Q 1_LJ_I 1959 I 1 I 1960 1 ! 1 1 I . I I ! I 1 1961 , . ! 1 1 1962 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF CCDMMERCE Total personal income Period 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: Apr May June July____ Aug Sept Oct Nov__ Dec 332. 9 351. 4 360. 3 383. 9 401. 3 417. 6 442. 4 464. 1 491. 4 486. 6 487. 8 489. 3 491. 4 494. 9 497. 9 498. 7 502. 3 505. 9 510. 2 511. 0 513. 8 515. 8 520. 0 523. 9 1 1 1 I 1 t 1 1 1 1963 ! i i i i i Ii ti ii 1 1965 1964 u i n r exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, Q COUN CIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER' [Billions of dollars, monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Rental Transfer Other Propriet( >rs' income income and Divi- Personal interest paysalary labor 2 Business dends of Farm ments income and proincome disbursefessional persons ments 1 18. S 11. 6 12. 1 32. 1 17. 5 8. 1 10. 9 227. 6 12. 6 19. 6 32. 7 11. 9 9. 1 11. 8 21. 9 238. 5 13. 5 12. 4 21. 0 26.3 32. 5 12. 2 9. 4 239. 8 10. 4 23. 5 11. 4 11. 9 27. 5 35. 1 13. 7 258. 5 12. 0 34. 2 12. 1 14. 5 25. 8 29. 5 271. 3 11. 0 12. 9 12. 2 11. 6 27. 5 33. 6 15. 2 35.3 278.8 12. 3 34. 7 13. 2 12. 2 30. 0 36. 6 16. 5 297. 1 32. 9 312. 1 13. 0 36. 7 13. 1 12.3 37. 6 18. 0 12. 7 14. 1 12. 4 36. 0 38. 2 19. 8 331. 6 39. 3 12. 5 12.4 13.9 38.2 327. 7 39. 0 19. 8 35. 5 12. 6 12. 4 14. 0 19. 8 39. 1 35. 7 38. 0 328. 7 12. 6 12. 4 14. 1 37. 6 19. 9 39. 3 35. 9 330. 1 12. 4 12. 4 14. 2 20. 0 36. 0 37. 8 39. 5 331. 8 12. 6 14. 2 12. 4 20. 0 38.0 36. 2 334.6 39. 6 12. 7 12. 4 14.3 36. 5 39. 7 19. 9 38.0 337. 2 12. 7 19. 9 14. 4 12. 5 38. 3 39. 8 36. 7 337. 3 12. 9 12. 5 19. 9 14. 5 39. 9 36. 9 38.4 340. 4 38. 5 342. 6 14. 5 12. 5 37. 2 13. 1 40. 1 20. 6 12. 7 *40. 8 20. 4 37. 4 344. 7 14. 6 12. 5 40. 3 14. 7 12.2 12. 5 37. 6 38. 9 40. 4 20. 6 347. 3 39.2 11. 9 12. 5 14. 7 20. 7 37. 8 40. 5 349. 6 12. 9 39. 5 14. 8 12. 5 20. 8 38. 0 349. 9 40. 6 39.2 38. 2 14.7 40.7 12.5 20.8 352.3 14.8 21. 3 38.4 39. 2 14. 9 15. 9 12. 6 40. 7 354. 2 HM;,",: ,!;m I*VI> M:ir . . . Apr..... MMV . J u n e "V _ n of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for mid l lie excess of wage accrual? over disbursements. < i i i i r i h u l , I o n s J.o private pension, health, and welfare funds; comnjurles; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other 50 ^FARM PROPRIE1FORS' INCOME TRANSFER PAYMENTS , . , i i i • r/i i 250 !> DIVIDENDS AND PERSONAL 11MEREST Less: Personal contributions for social insurance 5. 8 6. 7 6.9 7. 9 9. 2 9. 6 10. 3 11. 8 12. 7 12. 5 12. 5 12. 6 12. 7 12. 8 12. 9 12. 9 13.0 13. 1 13. 2 13. 2 13. 2 13. 3 13. 3 13. 4 Nonagricultural personal3 income 317. 9 336. 1 343. 0 368. 6 385. 1 400. 4 424. 9 446. 6 474. 2 469. 7 470. 7 472. 1 474. 4 477. 8 480. 6 481. 4 485. 0 488.6 493. 2 494. 5 497. 6 498. 6 500.9 503. 5 farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. « Preliminary. * Reflects stepped-up payments for veterans' insurance. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Haw7aii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME According to preliminary estimates, disposable personal income rose $7 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter. Consumption increased $5 billion, while personal saving went up $2 billion to a rate of 7.1 percent of disposable income. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 500 450 400 350 - 300 DOLLARS 2,400 2,400 2,200 2,000 2,000 1,800 1,800 1959 1961 1960 1962 1963 1965 1964 -I/ PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Personal income Personal taxes Equals: Disposable personal income Less: 1954 1955 _ _ _ 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964_ 289. 8 310. 2 332. 9 351. 4 360. :}> 383. 9 401. 3 417. 6 442. 4 464. 1 491. 4 32. 9 35. 7 40. 0 42. 6 42. 3 46. 8 51. 4 52. 9 57. 9 61. 6 59. 5 256. 9 274. 4 292. 9 308. 8 317. 9 337. 1 349. 9 364. 7 384. 6 402. 5 431. 8 1964: I II — III IV___ 480. 487. 494. 502. 9 9 5 2 61. 4 57. 7 58. 8 60. 2 419. 430. 435. 442. 1965: L _ _ - 511. 6 63. 3 64. 6 448. 3 455. 3 II 3__ 519. 9 5 2 6 1 L ess: Persona 1 eonsump>tion expe nditures Total NonDurable durable Services goods Billions of dollars5 32. 4 119. 3 86. 3 238. 0 39. 6 124. 8 92. 5 256. 9 38. 5 131. 4 269. 9 100. 0 40. 4 137. 7 285. 2 107. 1 141. 6 37. 3 114. 3 293. 2 43. 6 122. 8 313. 5 147. 1 44. 9 328 2 151. 8 131. 5 155. 4 337. 3 43. 7 138. 3 48. 4 162. 0 356. 8 146. 4 52. 1 167. 5 375. 0 155. 3 57. 0 177. 3 399. 3 165. 1 Seaso u ally adji isted anm-ial rates 172. 9 390. 0 55. 9 161. 1 175. 3 396. 1 57. 0 163. 8 179. 5 404. 6 58. 7 166. 4 181. 3 56. 3 406. 5 169. 0 418. 1 423. 0 62. 0 60. 6 184. 3 187. 7 1 Income in current prices divided by the implicit price deflator for persona) consumption expenditures on a 1964 base. 2 Population of the United States including armed forces abroad. Annual data as of July 1; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures. 171. 7 174. 7 Per cap ita disas posable perse nal Saving percent Populainco me Equals : of distion Personal posable (thou-2 saving Current 1964 personal sands) prices } income prices (percent) Dol lars 162, 388 .4 18.9 1,815 1, 582 .4 1, 896 165, 276 17.5 1, 661 .9 168, 225 23. 0 1,741 1, 956 171, 278 23.6 .6 1, 968 1, 803 174, 154 1, 957 .8 24.7 1,826 7.0 177, 080 2,015 23. 6 1, 904 6. 2 2,021 ISO, 684 21.7 1,936 27. 3 2, 057 7. 5 183, 756 1, 985 7.2 2, 060 186, 656 27. 8 2, 116 2, 125 27. 5 6. 8 189, 417 2, 155 2,248 32. 5 2, 248 7. 5 192, 119 29. 5 34. 0 31. 0 35. 5 2, 194 2,243 2, 263 2, 289 2, 204 2,245 2, 260 2,278 7. 0 7. 9 7. 1 8. 0 191, 160 191,780 192, 478 193, 182 30. 2 32. 3 2, 314 2, 343 2, 291 2, 306 6. 7 7. 1 193, 762 194, 298 FARM INCOME Net farm income, seasonally adjusted, rose sharply in the first half of 1965. The $ain over a year earlier was $1 billion excluding inventory change and $11/2 billion including the effects of changes in inventories. Surging farm prices, particularly for meat animals, was a major factor in the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 50 50 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME 40 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INCLUDING NET INVENTORY CHANGE 20 1960 1963 1961 Personal income re ceived by total i arm popn 1 at ion p. r; ._ _ I ! ;s __ 1 1'. ; ' > I n !' 1< 1 '.' i ( :•; i '. ; i r.M.I; ! 11 111 IV 1'".., i II' ___ _ ___ 1965 ]"ncome re ceived fro m farming.i Realize d gross i 1 . :<; 1964 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Period 20 From all sources From farm sources From nonfarm sources 17. 8 17. 6 19. 5 18. 1 18. 6 19. 0 19. 2 18. 7 17.9 11. 2 11. 0 12. 8 11. 0 11. 4 12. 1 12. 2 12. 0 11. 1 6. 6 6. 6 6. 7 7.1 7. 2 6.9 7. 0 6. 7 6.8 Net tc3 farm oper.itors Net inc ome per farm incl tiding net inventory change 3 ProducCash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ing net in- ing net in- Current 1964 Total i from ventory ventory2 prices prices 4 marketchange change ings Billions c)f dollars Dol lars 34. 3 30.4 22.4 11.4 11. 9 2,535 2, 786 34. 0 29. 7 23. 3 10. 7 11. 3 2,590 2, 755 37. 9 12. 7 33. 5 25. 2 3, 189 13. 5 3,357 37.5 26. 1 33. 5 11. 4 11. 5 2, 795 2,911 37.9 34. 0 26. 2 11. 7 12. 0 3, 043 3, 137 39. 6 34.9 27. 0 12.6 12.9 3,389 3,494 41. 0 36. 2 28. 5 12. 5 3,562 13. 1 3,635 42. 1 29. 6 12. 5 37.3 3,671 13. 1 3, 708 42. 2 36. 9 29.3 12. 9 12. 1 3,486 3, 486 Seas onallv ad justed anrnial rates 42. 1 36. 9 29. 5 12. 6 12. 0 3,460 3,460 42.3 37. 0 29.3 13. 0 12. 1 3,480 3,480 42. 3 37. 0 29. 2 12. 1 13. 1 3,480 3,480 42. 1 29. 0 36.7 12. 3 13. 1 3,540 3,540 42. 2 36.7 29. 6 12. 6 12. 1 3,580 3,540 45. 0 39. 5 30. 0 15. 0 14. 6 4,320 4,240 M M I K < - t l n ; ' . s , (Jovormncnt payments, and nonmoney ini n t live: lock valued at f he average price for the year. i in <>f A ^ r l r u M u r e definition of a farm. The number of i l l i i n si year i iron t U v i d i - d by the index of prices paid by farmers for s Preliminary. NOTE.—Data revised; see Farm Income Situation, July 1965. Therefore, net farm income including inventory change differs from farm proprietors' income on p. 4 (to be revised in August). Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits before taxes advanced $6.6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. taxes, corporate profits rose $4.7 billion. After BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 1965 1962 J/EXCLUDING INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. •SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Corj)orate pr ofits (befc>re taxes) and inverj tory valuation adjustmei it TransM anufactur ing portation, comAll Period All NonDurable durable muniother indusgoods indusTotal tries goods cations, indusand tries industries public utilities 14. 2 1955 10. 8 43. 1 25. 0 5. 4 12.8 1956 12. 6 10. 9 23. 5 42. 0 5. 6 12. 9 22. 9 1957 13. 1 9. 8 41. 7 5. 5 13. 3 1958 9. 3 37. 2 IS. 3 9. 0 5. 6 13.3 1959 13. 4 47. 2 25. 4 11. 9 6. 7 15. 1 1960 23. 0 11. 6 11. 4 44. 5 7.0 14. 4 21. 7 1961 44. 1 10. 8 10. 9 7. 3 15. 1 1962 48. 4 24. 7 13. 2 11. 5 8.0 15. 7 12. 3 50. 8 14. 4 1963 26. 7 8. 4 15. 7 1964 57. 4 16. 7 14.3 30.9 8.9 17.5 1964: I 56. 4 30. 6 16. 6 13. 9 8. 5 17. 4 57. 9 14. 8 17. 0 31. 7 8. 8 17. 4 II— III__ 58. 1 31. 2 14. 3 16. 9 9.3 17. 6 14. 1 I V _ . 57. 0 30. 3 16. 2 9.3 17. 5 1965: I 15. 1 62.9 35.3 20. 1 9. 1 18.5 II 3 __ 1 Includes depreciation, capital outlays charged to current accounts and accidental damages. *8 Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. Preliminary estimates. 50-680°—-65 2 CorjDerate pr ofits a fter taxe s Corpo- Corporate rate profits tax before liabiltaxes ity 44. 9 44. 7 43. 2 37. 4 47.7 44. 3 44. 2 48. 2 51. 3 57. 6 56. 6 57. 9 58.0 57.7 64.3 21. 8 21. 2 20. 9 18. 6 23. 2 22. 3 22. 3 23. 2 24. 6 25. 8 25. 4 26. 0 26. 0 25. 9 27.7 Total 23. 0 23. 5 22. 3 18. 8 24. 5 22. 0 21. 9 25. 0 26. 7 31. 8 31.2 31. 9 32. 0 31. 9 36.6 Corporate capital conDiviUndend distrib- sumption payuted ments profits allow-l ances 11. 2 12. 1 12. 6 12.4 13.7 14. 5 15.2 16. 5 18. 0 19. 8 19.4 19. 8 20. 0 20.2 20.5 21. 0 11.8 11.3 9.7 6. 4 10. 8 7. 5 6.7 8. 5 8.7 11. 9 11.8 12. 1 12. 0 11.7 16.1 18.4 20.0 21. 8 22. 7 24. 3 25. 6 26. 9 30. 5 31. 8 33.7 33. 0 33. 4 33. 8 34. 4 34.8 35.2 Profits plus capital consumption allow-2 ances 41.4 43. 5 44. 1 41.4 48.7 47. 6 48. 8 55. 5 58.5 65. 5 64.2 65. 3 65. 8 66. 3 71.4 NOTE.—Data beginning 1962 adjusted for effects of new depreciation guidelines ($2^ billion for 1962) and therefore not comparable with previous data. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment declined slightly on a seasonally adjusted basis in the second quarter. Fixed investment led by new construction, registered a gain of nearly $1 billion (annual rate). However/ inventory investment fell by more than $1 billion. BSLLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 100 100 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT NEW CONSTRUCTION 40 40 PRODUCERS' DURABLE EQUIPMENT 20 CHANGE IN BUSINESS / INVENTORIES ! J/ , I I960 1961 1964 1963 1962 i 1965 -i/ PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: I TI III IV 1965: I 3 II Total gross private domestic investment 50. 3 48. 9 63. 8 67. 4 66. 1 56. 6 72. 7 71. 8 68. 8 79. 1 82. 0 87.7 85. 9 87. 2 87. 3 90.4 94. 7 94. 3 New cons truction Total Total 49. 9 50. 5 58. 1 62. 7 64. 6 58. 6 66. 2 68. 3 66. 9 73. 3 77. 6 84.0 83. 4 83.5 84. 5 84.7 87. 8 88. 6 Residential nonfarm 27. 6 29. 7 34. 9 35. 5 36. 1 35. 5 40. 2 40. 7 41. 0 44. 2 46. 6 48.9 49 2 48. 9 48. 9 48.7 49. 9 50. 9 1 Revisions in series OB new construction shown on p. 18 have not yet been incorporated into these series. 2 "Other" construction in this series includes petroleum and natural gas \veil drilling, which are excluded from estimates on p. 19. 8 Change in business inv entories Fixe3d investnlent 13. 8 15. 4 18. 7 17. 7 17.0 18. 0 22. 3 21. 1 21. 1 23. 6 25.2 26.0 26. 9 26. 2 25. 7 25. 1 26. 2 26. 3 3 l Otrter - Total 13. 8 14. 3 16. 2 17. 8 19. 0 17. 4 17. 9 19. 7 19. 8 20. 6 21. 3 22. 9 22. 3 22. 7 23. 1 23.6 23. 7 24. 6 Nonfarm 12. 1 12. 7 14. 6 16. 3 17. 5 15. 9 16. 2 18. 0 18. 2 19. 0 19. 8 21.4 20. 8 21. 1 21.6 22. 1 22. 2 23. 2 'reducejrs' durble eqilipment o] L^r»t otai 22. 3 20. 8 23. 1 27. 2 28. 5 23. 1 25. 9 27. 6 25. 9 29. 0 31. 0 35. 1 34. 2 34. 6 35. G 36.0 37. 9 37. 7 Total Nonfarm 19. 5 18. 5 20. 6 25. 0 26. 2 20. 3 23. 1 25. 1 23. 3 26. 3 27. 9 31. 6 30. 7 31. 2 32. 1 32.3 34. 2 34. 0 0.4 — 1. 6 5. 8 4. 7 1. 6 -2. 0 6. 6 3. 5 1.9 5. 9 4. 4 3.7 2. 5 3. 7 2.8 5. 7 6. 8 5. 7 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. Nonfarm 1. 1 -2. a 5. i 5. 1 .5 -2. € 6. £ 3. 2 1. £ 5. c 3. £ s.e 2. 5 3. 4 2. 7 6. 1 7. ( 5. £ EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT The May survey of plant and equipment expenditures reported business plans for spending $50.4 billion in 1965, up slightly from the amount reported in the February survey and up 1 2 percent from the 1964 total. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50 j- 10 •1959 1 1960 1965 Jj SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] M anufacturi u g Period Total i Total 1953 1954 1955 195G 1957 1958 _ - _ .__ 1959 I960 1901 1902 1903 1904 :5 1905 1904: III IV 1905: I 3 II _ III3 IV3 _ _ _ 28. 32 20. S3 28. 70 35. 08 30. 90 30. 53 32. 54 35. 08 34. 37 37. 31 39. 22 44. 90 50.40 45. 05 47. 75 49.00 49. GO 50.80 52. 10 11. 91 11. 04 11. 4.4 14. 95 15. 90 11. 43 12. 07 14. 48 13. 08 14. 08 15. 09 18. 58 21.78 18. 85 20. 15 20.75 21.25 22.35 22. 55 Trans po rtatioii Durable Nonduragoods ble goods 5. 05 5. 09 5. 44 7. 02 8. 02 5. 47 5. 77 7. 18 0. 27 7. 03 7. 85 9. 43 10.89 9. GO 10. 15 10.40 10.45 11. 20 11. 45 0. 26 5. 95 6. 00 7. 33 7. 94 5. 96 6. 29 7. 30 7. 40 7. 65 7. 84 9. 16 10.89 9. 20 10. 00 10.40 10.85 11.20 11. 10 Mining Railroads 0. 99 . 98 . 96 1. 24 1. 24 . 94 .99 . 99 . 98 1. 08 1. 04 1. 19 1.32 1. 20 1. 30 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.31 . 85 . 92 1. 23 1. 40 . 75 . 92 1.03 . 67 . 85 1. 10 1. 41 1.63 1. 50 1. 55 1.75 1.45 1. 50 Other 1. 56 1. 51 1. 60 1. 71 1.77 1. 50 2. 02 1. 94 1. 85 2. 07 1. 92 2. 38 2.04 2. 40 2. 00 2. 55 2. 75 2. 50 29. r>f Public utilities 4. 55 4. 22 4. 31 4. 90 0. 20 6. 09 5. 07 5. G8 5. 52 5. 48 . 05 22 . 07 . 30 . 35 . SO . 00 . on Commercial and. other ~ 8.00 8. 23 9. 47 11. 05 10. 40 9. 81 10. 88 11. 57 11. 6S 13. 15 13. 82 15. 13 16. 36 15. 40 15. SO 15. 85 16. 20 16. 50 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE After an unusual period of gains, agricultural employment returned to its long-term downward trend in June with a decrease of 299,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis. This offset part of the 480,000 increase in nonagricultural employment. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED TOTAL LABOR FORCE 60 55 10 5 - PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE uNEAM>L D /AAE NT RA FE ~ - ~r - -^ 1 19 59> s EA SC>A IV\r " -r - ~: 96(3 AC JL SI EC> -- 961 96:3 19 6 2 _ —( 1 196^t 965 *14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Period 1960___ 1961__. 19622.. 1963... 1964_._ 1964: Apr_ May. June_ July. Aug_ Sept_ Oct__ Nov. Dec 1965: Jan__ Feb_ Mar_ Apr_ May. June- Total labor force (including armed forces) 73, 126 74, 175 74, 681 75, 712 76, 971 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Civiligin employ tnent Total labor force Non- Unem- (includployagriing ment Total eularmed tural forces) Thous ands of p>ersons 14 66, 681 60, 958 3, 931 73, 126 66, 796 61, 333 4,806 74, 175 67, 846 62, 657 4, 007 74, 681 68, 809 63, 863 4, 166 75, 712 70, 357 65, 596 3,876 76,971 Unadj usted Civiligtn emplo yment Civilian labor force years of age and o ver 70, 612 66, 681 5,723 71, 603 66, 796 5,463 71, 854 67, 846 5, 190 72, 975 68, 809 4, 946 74, 233 70, 357 4,761 Seasonally adjustec I TO" JNonagricultural 3, 931 4,806 4, 007 4, 166 3,876 65, 695 65, 790 65, 519 65, 632 65, 641 65, 650 65, 658 66, 084 66, 463 4,021 8,838 8,960 3,692 3,797 3,815 8,880 3,654 3,702 69, 877 71, 101 71, 953 72, 405 72, 104 70, 805 71, 123 70, 793 70, 375 65, 448 66, 094 66, 100 66, 586 66, 704 65, 575 65, 997 66,248 66, 590 3, 921 3, 640 4, 692 3, 813 3,654 3, 317 3,252 3, 373 3,466 77, 252 77, 225 77, 049 76, 928 77, 006 77, 023 76, 996 77, 140 77, 432 74, 507 74, 477 74, 305 74, 188 74, 255 74, 280 74, 259 74, 409 74, 706 75, 699 76, 418 76, 612 77, 307 78, 425 80, 683 68, 996 69, 496 70, 169 71, 070 72, 407 73, 716 65, 257 65, 694 66, 180 66, 597 67, 278 68, 094 3,996 4, 218 3, 740 3, 552 3,335 4,287 77, 621 77, 755 77, 647 78, 068 78, 127 78, S56 74, 914 71, 284 4,513 66, 771 3,630 75, 051 71, 804 4,595 66, 709 3, 747 74, 944 71, 440 4,550 66, 890 3,504 75, 377 75, 443 75, 676 labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. Not strictly comparable with preceding data. See Employment and Earnings, May 1962, p. XIV. 70, 486 70, 689 70, 345 70, 496 70, 458 70, 465 70, 879 70, 755 71,004 71, 717 71, 937 72, 118 4, 791 4, 849 4,826 4,864 4,817 4,815 4, 721 4,671 4,541 4, 843 4,958 4, 659 Labor force participation rate, unadjusted * Percent 958 333 657 863 596 60, 61, 62, 63, 65, 76, 544 77, 490 79, 389 78, 958 78, 509 76, 865 77, 112 76, 897 76, 567 1 Total 1 10 Total Agricultural Unemp] oyment rate (percent of civiliaii labor Unemfor ce) ployment Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed 66, 874 66, 979 67, 459 3, 660 3,506 3,558 5.6 6.7 58. 3 58. 0 57. 4 57. 3 57.4 5. 6 5.7 5.2 5. 3 4. 9 6. 1 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.0 5. 0 5. 1 5. 1 5. 2 4.7 5.0 5.5 4.8 4. 8 4. 5 4. 4 4. 5 5. 7 5. 1 4. 8 4.4 5. 5 NOTE.—Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.6 4- 7 57. 3 57.9 59.2 58. 8 58.4 57. 1 57.2 57. 0 56.7 55.9 56. 4 56. 5 56. 9 57.7 59. 3 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT In June, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate of 4.7 percent was little changed from the May rate but significantly lower than the June 1964 rate. The average for the second quarter was also 4.7 percent, the lowest quarterly rate in nearly 8 years. SEASONALLY ADJUSTED LABOR FORCE TIME LOST THROUGH UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME WORK UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS 4.0 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 2.0 2.0 1959 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Uneniploymerii ', rate (percen t of civiluin labor for ce in grou P) Period Per cent I960 1901 _ J9G2 !<)(>:*_ . ___ _ 11)04 1904: J u n e Julv Aug Sept. Oct. Nov Dec Persons at work in nonagri cultural 2ir dustries by hours worked p>er week Urider 35 ho urs Part-ti me for Part-ti me for economi c reasons economi 3 reasons 35-40 Total hours Usually Usually Usually Usually fullpartfullparttime * time 4 time s time 3 Thousan ds of pers ons 14 ye ars of age and over 17, 604 28, 724 11, 528 1, 243 1, 317 18, 210 29, 047 11, 132 1,297 1, 516 19, 025 28 853 11, 675 1, 049 1, 288 19, 257 29, 422 11, 856 1, 219 1, 070 19, 294 29, 127 13,850 985 1, 151 IJnad juste i Seasonalh7 adjusted 19, 783 30, 994 11, 320 1, 431 1,088 1, 114 1, 148 1, 510 878 19, 195 29, 450 10, 476 981 1, 173 904 19, 159 30, 053 10, 284 1, 177 1, 503 900 1, 056 15, 079 18, 907 28, 157 965 1, 155 953 20, 284 29, 065 13, 857 935 988 961 1, 137 19,358 27,757 16,913 975 1,052 926 897 1,021 21,251 31,066 12, 298 968 1,044 1,088 20, 264 31, 166 11,681 1,000 1,128 1,078 979 982 952 20, 018 30, 110 13, 165 927 1, 045 1,082 20,612 31,371 11,981 910 998 877 921 1, 007 862 18, 499 29, 187 16, 117 818 9-U» 936 5 892 950 21, 354 31,654 11,966 5 1 , (KUi 1,292 944 966 20, 856 32,011 11,462 Labor force time lost Experi- Married through unemenced men ployment Over 40 All wage and (wife and part- hours workers salary time1 workers present) work _ _ ___ f>. 0 0. 7 5. 0 r>. 7 f>. 2 r>. 7 0. 8 r>. r>r r>. . ) :j. 7 6.7 4. 0 ;>. o 3. 4 2.8 f>. 0 Season a 11v ndjustec 2. 8 5. 3 5. 3 2. 7 4. 8 5. 0 r>. i 4. 9 2. 6 4. 9 2. 8 5. 1 r>. 2 2.9 5. 0 ! 8. 0 0. 7 6. 4 5.8 6. 1 5.7 4. 9 47 2. 4 5. 7 5. 7 5. 7 5. 2 5.0 4.8 4.5 4.5 2.6 2.7 5.3 5.3 1965: Jan 2. 6 5. 4 4. 6 5. 0 Feb 5. 1 2.5 4.3 4.7 Mar 2. 5 5. 3 4. 5 49 Apr 4.2 2.5 5. 1 4.6 May 2.4 5.5 4.7 4.7 June _ _ * Man-hours lost by the unemployed and those on part-time for economic reasons as a percent of total man-hours potentially available to the civilian labor force. Beginning 1963, series reflects whether unemployed persons sought fullor part-time jobs. 2 Differs from total nonagrieultural employment (p. 13), which includes persons with jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather,. and industrial disputes. 3 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. 4 Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. 5 Average hours worked: usually full-time, 23.0; usually purl-time, l < » '» NOTE.— See Note, p. 10. Beginning 1960, data include A lu.sk u uu«l Source: Department of Labor. UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In June, insured unemployment under Sfate programs averaged 238,000 less than in June 1965. ployment rate remained at the low level of 2.9 percent, seasonally adjusted. MILLIONS OF PERSONS The insured unem- MILLIONS OF PERSONS WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) I JAN. MAR. FEB. 1 ..1 i \ APRIL \ 1 I _J MAY 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 I JULY AUG. 1 1 1 Period 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: May June July Aug . . __ Sept Oct Nov __ _ Dec 1965: Jan ___ Feb Mar_ _ Apr _ _ ._ May 1 June _ Week ended: 1965: June 5 12 19 26 1 July 3 1 10 12 I 1 I I L_J 1 L. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS A 11 progranis Insured Total unem- benefits paid Covered ploy(milemploy- ment (weekly lions ment averof dolage) lars) Thou sands 46, 264 2, 994 1, 92-1 47, 766 2 48, 435 1, 973 1 49, 295 1, 753 J, 60 5 49, 400 1, 448 50, 151 1 50, 349 1,491 1 1, 396 50, 678 1 50, 771 1,256 1,264 1,417 1,801 2, 135 2, 066 1,863 1, 622 1,316 1, 182 1,230 1, 185 1, 168 1,163 1, 165 4, 35S. 2 3, 160. 0 3, 025. 0 2, 749. 2 218. ] 195). ] 195. 6 180. 2 163. 7 157. 8 162. 0 230. 4 273. 0 265. 8 294. 9 242.7 179. 2 157. 0 Steite progra ms Insured unemployment Initial claims Exhaustions Weekly iiverage, t lousands 46 2, 290 350 32 302 1, 783 2 2 294 30 1, 806 26 1,605 268 31 218 1, 447 1,297 27 218 282 24 1,343 23 212 1,261 21 194 1, 125 20 225 1, 138 20 1,293 276 22 1,675 348 25 355 1,996 1,932 25 269 25 222 1, 718 27 220 1, 470 24 1, 179 186 22 1,059 191 1,095 1,061 1,047 1, 046 *1, 049 1 Preliminary. * Not charted. 'Programs include Puerto Rican sugarcane workers for initial claims and insured unemployment beginning July 1963. I _J SEPT. -^SEE NOTE 2 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 169 182 183 199 236 307 Insurec unemploymen t as percent of covered emplo yment Unad- Seasonadjusted ally justed Pensent 5. 6 4. 4 4.3 3. 8 3. 4 3. 1 3. 1 2.9 2.5 2.6 3.0 3.9 4.6 4. 5 4. 0 3. 4 2.7 2.4 Benefi is paid Total Average (milweekly check lions of dollars) (dollars) 3, 2, 2, 2, 3. 6 3. 6 3. 6 3. 5 3.4 3.4 Q / 8. 4 3. 6 3.4 3. 3 3. 2 3. 1 2.9 2. 9 422. 7 675. 4 774. 7 522. 1 201. 5 183. 1 180. 5 164.5 148.4 143. 2 147.0 211. 4 252. 1 245.7 273. 4 224.9 165.7 145.0 33. 80 34. 56 35. 27 35.96 35. 50 35. 27 35. 35 35. 60 35.40 35. 92 36.38 36. 81 37. 18 37.39 37.41 37. 16 36. 40 35. 80 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1964 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods and for Puerto Rico since January 1961. Source: Department of Labor NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Led by an increase of 79,000 in durable goods, nonagricuiturai payroll employment rose by 208,000 (seasonally adjusted) in June. State and local governments continued their recent acceleration in employment gains with a month-to-month gain of 43,000 and a year-to-year gain of 410,000. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA) MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED DATA) MANUFACCURING ALL NONAGRICULTURAL ESTABLISHMENTS TOTAL :iT-^* 16 ' DURAB LE GOODS 1NDUSTF IES .. — — ** 10 -—^ NON DURABLE GOOD'> INDUSTRIES nti( 52 . ! ! I 1 1 1 1 ! 1 1 I „„„„„..,., i i iii iiii ii i i 11 t 1 i i t . i. 1963 1965 WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE CONTRACT CONSTRUaiON •(ENLARGED SCALE) 35 i iii i ii iiii 1962 1965 1963 Viit 125 (ENLARGED SCALE) 3.0 2.5 2.0 U 1962 1 1963 11.0 1965 1964 1962 1964 1963 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR I 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; l seasonally adjusted] N onmanu racturin£I (private Manufac turing (iprivate) eriod Total Total __ 51, 30X 53, 297 54, 203 53, 9X9 55, 5 1 5 5(i, 043 5X, 1 XX : Mny 57, 931 5X, 104 June >X, 250 Julv »X, 301 Au« >X, 45X Srpt ( ) c t . _ _ i >X, 3X2 >X, X7X Nov_ >9, 200 I )cc 9, 334 : .!im__ )9, 070 I'Yb Marl 59, 992 Apr__2 59, 913 GO, 098 May June 2 00, 300 15, 945 10, 075 10, 790 1 0, 320 !('», X53 , 005 , 303 , 225 , 2X5 , 344 ", 339 "\ 449 ,171 ", 505 ~, 022 ", 705 17,772 17,X49 17, X90 17, 912 18, 005 Nondurable goods goods Durable X, 9, 9, 9, 9, 9, X30 373 459 070 4X1 025 9, X 4 X 9, 7X0 9, X20 9, X90 9, XXO 9, 9X0 9, 702 9, 992 10, OXX 10, 150 10, 210 10, 259 10,311 10, 323 10, 402 7, 1 10 7, 303 7, 330 7, 250 7, 372 7, 3X0 7, 455 7, 445 7, 459 7, 454 7, 453 7, 403 7, 409 7, 513 7, 534 7, 555 7, 502 7, 590 7, 585 7,589 7,603 Total 27, 5X4 28, 539 29, 054 29, (Hit) 29, 772 30, 439 31, 3X2 31, 250 31, 349 31, 401 31, 491 31, 500 3 1 , (5 i 5 31, 713 31, 892 31, 922 32, 102 32, 352 32, 182 32, 327 32, 389 Con- Transtract portation Mining conand strue- public tion utilities 751 2,778 3,976 732 2,960 4,011 712 2, 885 4,004 i72 2, 816 3, 903 i50 2, 902 3, 906 035 2, 9X3 3, 914 >35 3, 100 3, 970 >3 1 3, 093 3, 908 i39 3, 100 3, 905 i39 3, 107 3, 9X3 i34 3, 103 3, 999 034 3, 0X0 4, 005 >38 3, 100 3, 990 039 3, 102 3, 997 037 3, 244 4,020 033 3, 235 3,939 635 3, 281 3, 997 633 3,304 4,042 629 * 3, 186 4,044 629 3,210 4,058 632 3,215 4,072 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in Bonagrieultural establishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period which includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servents, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricuiturai employment of the civilian labor forces, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they Wholesale and retail trade 10, 750 11, 127 11,391 11,337 11, 566 11, 803 12, 188 12, 135 12, 187 12, 223 12, 231 12,229 12, 278 12, 311 12, 362 12, 447 12, 532 12, 622 12, 563 12, 632 12, 647 Gover nment Finance, insurance, and real estate 2,519 2,594 2, 669 2,731 2,800 2, 873 2, 944 2, 934 2, 943 2,948 2, 951 2,960 2, 964 2, 970 2,975 2,979 2,987 2,997 2,997 3,004 3,006 Service State and and miscel- Federal local laneous 6, 811 7, 115 7,392 7,610 7,947 8,230 8, 533 8,489 8, 509 8, 561 8,573 8,592 8, 633 8, 634 8, 654 8,689 8, 730 8,754 8,763 8,794 8,817 2, 191 2,233 2,270 2,279 2,340 2,358 2,348 2,339 2, 323 2,322 2,328 2,320 2, 331 2, 354 2,352 2,342 2, 335 2,340 2,344 2,345 2,355 5,648 5,850 6,083 6,315 6,550 6,841 7, 155 7, 117 7, 147 7, 129 7, 143 7, 189 7,265 7, 306 7, 340 7,365 7, 407 7,451 7,491 7, 514 7, 557 are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on meration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on i from employing establishments. 2 Preliminary. NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source r Department of Labor. WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The average workweek in manufacturing, seasonally adjusted, fell slightly in June—from 41.1 to 41.0 hours. decrease was concentrated in nondurable goods. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 46 DURABLE /v\ANUFACTUR ING The NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 44 *~~~^s ^v*s>^ t x^^—*VN< *+*^S*+*i^^ 42 A{\ 40 oo 38 *}A 36 34 34 1962 1963 1964 1962 1965 1963 1965 1964 44 42 RETAIL IRAODE CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION 40 42 38 40 36 38 34 *5A 32 •J A .,-.^.1..,.. .^ •*"-* •»*«—*V/^^^^ 32 30 1962 1964 1963 3965 1963 1962 SOURCE-. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1964 • i . , i i . i i • \j. 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Average hours per week; 1 seasonally adjusted] Mar ufacturing Indus tries Period 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 _ 1964 1964: May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1965: Jan Feb Mar Apr 2 May June 2 1 -~ _.__ _ _ _ _ . ___ _--. _ Durable goods All _ 39. 6 40. 7 40. 4 39. 8 39. 2 40. 3 39. 7 39. 8 40. 4 40. 5 40. 7 40. 6 40. 6 40. 6 40. 8 40.5 40. 5 40. 9 41. 2 41. 4 41. 3 41. 4 40.9 41. 1 41.0 Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. 14 40. 1 41. 3 41. 0 40. 3 39. 5 40. 7 40. 1 40. 3 40. 9 41. 1 41. 4 41. 3 41. 4 41. 3 41. 5 41. 4 41. 2 41. 6 42. 0 42. 2 42. 0 42. 3 41. 7 41. 9 41.9 Nondurable goods 39. 0 39. 9 39. 6 39. 2 38.8 39. 7 39. 2 39. 3 39. 6 39. 6 39.7 39.7 39. 6 39. 5 39. 7 39. 4 39. 9 40. 0 40. 0 40. 1 40. 2 40. 2 39.8 40.0 39.8 2 Preliminary. Source: Department of Labor. Contract construction 37. 2 37. 1 37. 5 37. 0 36.8 37. 0 36. 7 36. 9 37. 0 37. 3 37.2 37. 3 37.3 36. 8 37. 0 35.6 37. 1 37. 7 39. 0 37. 5 37. 4 37. 5 36.9 37.7 37.2 Retail trade 39. 7 39. 6 39. 1 38. 7 38. 7 38. 7 38. 5 38. 1 37. 9 37. 8 37. 4 37. 5 37. 5 37. 7 37. 5 37.3 37. 5 37. 3 37. 3 37. 1 37. 2 37. 1 37.3 37. 1 AVERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES In June, average weekly earnings in manufacturing rose $0.68 to $108.21. The over-the-year gain was $4.73. DOLLARS 130 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 120 DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 110 2.40 100 ALL MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES 2.20 JL. 90 ^'V NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 80 1962 1965 1963 1962 1964 1963 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Aversige hourly earnings-—current prices Period 1955 1956 _ _ 1957___ 1958 1959 1960 _ _ _ _ 1961 1962 1963 _ 1964_ 1964: May._ June__ July-. Aug.. Sept__ Oct.. Nov Dec__ 1965: Jan... Feb.. Mar__ Apr__ May 3 _ June 3 _ Manuff icturing iindustries Contract conRetail NonDurable trade strucAll durable goods tion goods 1. 86 1. 95 2. 05 2. 11 2. 19 2. 26 2. 32 2. 39 2. -16 2. 53 2. 53 2. 51] 2. 53 2. 52 2. 57 2. 53 2. 56 2. 58 2. 59 2. 59 2. 60 2.60 2.61 2.62 1. 99 2. 08 2. 19 2. 26 2. 36 2. 43 2. 49 2. 56 2. 64 2. 71 2. 71 2. 71 2. 71 2. 71 2. 75 2. 70 2. 73 2. 77 2.77 2. 77 2.78 2.78 2.80 2.80 1. 67 1. 77 1. 85 1. 91 1. 98 2. 05 2. 11 2. 17 2. 22 2. 29 2. 29 2. 29 2. 29 2. 29 2. 32 2. 30 2. 31 2. 32 2.33 2.33 2. 34 2.34 2.34 2.35 2. 45 2. 57 2. 71 2. 82 2. 93 3. OS 3. 20 3. 31 3.41 3.55 3. 50 3. 49 3. 53 3. 54 3. 58 3. 61 3. 56 3. 62 3.62 3. 68 3. 65 3.60 3.64 Aver age weekl y earnings 3 — currenl, prices Manufc icturing iiidustries 1. 34 75. 70 1. 40 78. 78 81. 59 1.47 82. 71 1. 52 1. 57 88. 26 1. 62 89. 72 92. 34 1. 68 96. 56 1. 74 99. 63 1. 80 1. 87 102.97 1.87 1102. 97 1.87 103. 48 1.87 102. 97 1.87 103. 07 1. 89 104. 60 1. 89 102. 97 1. 89 104. 70 1.87 106. 81 1.92 105. 93 1. 92 105. 93 1. 92 107. 12 1.93 105. 82 1. 95 107. 53 108. 21 1 Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude overtime and interindustry shifts. 2 3 Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price index on a 1964 base. Preliminary. 50-680°—65 3 Non- Durable durable goods goods All 82. 19 85. 28 88. 26 89. 27 96.05 97. 44 100. 35 104. 70 108. 50 112. 19 112. 47 113. 01 111. 92 112. 47 114. 13 111. 51 113. 57 117. 17 115. 51 115. 51 117. 04 115.65 117.88 118.16 Contract con- struction Retail trade 96. 38 100. 27 103. 78 108. 41 113. 04 118. 08 122, 47 127. 19 132. 06 132. 65 133. 32 134. 49 136. 64 131. 03 138. 62 131. 36 133. 22 54. 74 56. 89 58. 82 60. 76 62. 37 64. 01 65. 95 68. 04 69. 94 69. 75 70. 50 71. 62 71. 43 70. 50 70. 31 69. 74 70.31 92.50 131.41 70.85 92. 73 93. 60 92.20 93. 60 131. 133. 132. 139. 01 59 12 41 Adjusted Average weekly hourly earnearnings, 1957-59 = ings, 100 i 66. 63 70. 09 72. 52 74. 11 78. 61 80. 36 82. 92 85. 93 87. 91 90. 91 90. 91 91.37 91. 14 91. 83 91. 87 92. 00 92. 17 93. 26 90.90 Manufa ^turin 0 " indusl:ries 53.06 70. 85 70. 66 71.60 71.96 94.24 86. 9 91. 5 96. 2 100. 2 103. 5 106. 8 109. 8 112. 5 115. 4 118. 4 118. 2 118. 3 118. 3 118. 3 119. 3 118. 6 119. 2 119. 7 120.0 120. 2 120. 4 120.7 120.9 1964 2 prices $87. 72 89. 93 89. 96 88. 74 93. 99 94. 05 95. 79 99. 04 100. 94 102. 97 103. 28 103. 58 102. 76 102. 97 104. 29 102. 56 104. 08 106. 17 105. 19 105. 19 106. 27 104. 67 106. 05 NOTE.—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The industrial production index (seasonally adjusted) continued to increase in June with a rise of 0.4 percent reflecting mainly continued expansion of most durable manufactures. Index, 1957-59 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 Index, 1957-59 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 UTILITIES A,ND MINING TOTAL 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 i in *s /^yiS /^+ s~^\ UTILI1"IES s~<^~\ __a^jr MIN ING 100 1 ' » i i i.tjj i ' i i t i y i » t i » i i. » i y i i I i i •. i » 1962 1963 i ; i i i 1i i i t i 1965 100 V«^x— •*** »,*»•* ***** I I 1 I i 1 i l l li 1 1 I 1t 1 I ! 1 I ! 1962 i ii iiIiiiit 1965 i i i i i Ii .ii. 1963 1964 160 MARKET G ROUPS 150 ^C^ 140 FINAL PRODIJCTS 130 \ 120 .,"*5^*8^—- 7^ ^x^- ^ no 100 — >^v/ MATERIALS 100 1962 1963 1964 1962 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total industrial production Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 __ I960 901. 1)02 _>_ ... 963 1 90-1 19C)-1: May June July, Auec_ S<>pt Ort, Nov Dec, _ ... I'.H',;,: . I : i f i I'Vh M:»r Apr M:.V June ' _ _ _ _ . 96. 6 99. 9 100.7 93. 7 105. 6 108. 7 109. 7 118. 3 124.3 132. 0 131. 3 131. 6 132. 9 133.8 134. 0 131. 2 135. 0 137. 7 138. 4 139. 1 140. 5 140.8 141. 4 141.9 1965 1964 1963 [1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Mi mufacturi ng Total 97. 3 100.2 100.8 93.2 106.0 108.9 109.6 118. 7 124. 9 132. 9 132. 2 132. 4 133.9 134. 5 134. 9 131. 7 136. 0 139.1 140. 0 140. 6 142. 1 142. 3 142.8 143.4 Mai-ket Fiiaal produt3tS Mining Non- Durable durable 101.9 104.0 104. 0 90. 3 105.6 108.5 107.0 117. 9 124. 5 133. 2 132. 6 133. 2 135. 0 135.7 135. 2 129. 4 136. 7 140.6 141. 9 142.6 144. 7 145. 4 146. 8 147.7 91. 6 95. 4 96. 7 96. 8 106. 5 109.5 112.9 119. 8 125. 3 132.4 131.7 131. 5 132. 5 133. 1 134. 4 134. 5 135. 2 137.3 137. 6 138. 1 138. 8 138.3 137.8 138.0 Con- Utilities Total 99. 2 104. 8 104. 6 95. 6 99. 7 101. 6 102. 6 105. 0 107.9 110. 9 111. 3 111. 4 110. 9 111. 9 111. 9 112. 0 112. 7 112.3 112. 1 111. 5 112. 5 113. 0 114.5 114.6 80.2 87.9 93. 9 98. 1 108. 0 115. 6 122. 3 131. 4 140. 0 150. 5 148. 3 149. 7 151. 4 154. 5 153.2 153. 8 152. 3 154. 7 155. 6 157.4 159. 2 160. 6 160.5 161.0 93. 9 98. 1 99. 4 94. 8 105. 7 109. 9 111. 2 119. 7 124. 9 131. 5 131. 1 131. 7 132. 3 133. 3 132. 5 130. 3 134. 6 137.4 138. 0 138. 2 139. 5 139. 1 139.7 139.9 sumer goods 93. 3 95.5 97. 0 96. 4 106. 6 111. 0 112. 6 119. 7 125. 2 131.3 131.0 131. 5 132. 1 133. 1 132. 0 129. 2 133. 6 137. 0 137.9 137. 7 139.3 138. 2 137. 7 138.0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 16 Equipment 95. 0 103. 7 104. 6 91. 3 104. 1 107. 6 108. 3 119. 6 124. 2 132. 0 131. 3 132.0 132. 7 133. 6 133. 7 132. 6 136.8 138.3 138. 2 139. 4 140. 0 141. 1 143. 8 144. 0 Materials 99. 0 101.6 101.9 92.7 105. 4 107. 6 108. 4 117. 0 123. 7 132. 5 131. 3 131. 8 133. 6 134 7 135. 6 132. 2 135.7 137.7 139. 1 139. 7 141.3 142. 4 142. 8 143.7 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES Output of most durable manufactures increased again in June on a seasonally adjusted basis. Among the nondurable manufactures, production gains in the chemical and food groups were about offset by decreases in the apparel and paper groups. Index, 1957-59 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) Index, 1957-59 = 100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 180 180 160 ^ TRANSPO RTATION EQUIPMENT \ ^S »*•*** -^^^^^——i\ u.£ _ 140 MACHINE RY '"'" v/ \.***^ 120 .^r^ ^tumuli"'* - * Mil *v*v ,-^ » r+»~^,-< v /Vy*""" f =: '/ Hv /v A / 100 LUMBER AND PRODUCTS 80 1 1 I 1! 1 ! ! ! I 1 1963 1962 t ! 1 1 1 f 1 1 1 I I 1964 1965 160 1JA 160 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER T EXTILES, APPAREL, AND LEATHER \ 120 120 r*/ &zz?«z&~ - 100 mm mm*"*. ^•i t^z£^~ X "^^ FOODS, SEVER AGES, AND TOBAC CO PAPER\ND PRINTING 80 !_1_J_J_ 1962 SOURCE, 1963 1964 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 !! 1 1 1 1 ! 1 I 1 II 1! ! 1 1 I1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 | 1 I 11I 1 1963 1964 1965 1962 1965 BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM 1057-59=100, seasonally adjusted] Dumb le manufcictures Per iod 1955 1956_ 19f>7_ _ 195S 118. 4 ...... ___ 195'.) I960 11)01 1902 11)03 1901 '. 190-1: M a y _ . June _ _ _ July AuSept _ <)e,t,_ Nov Dec 1905: Jan Feb__ _ _ Mar Apr May June 1 1 Primary metals Preliminary. _^ .. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1 Hi. <1 1 I 2. 2 S7. f> loo. ^ j o i . ;-} 9S. 9 1 0-1 . 0 113. 3 128. 2 127. 1 120. 1 131. 2 1 32. 8 132. 8 131. 8 134. 0 137. 9 139.0 130. 9 140. 4 141.5 141.4 143 Nc ndurable manufactu res FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, Paper Chemicals, Foods, Machin- tation and cated and apparel, petrobeverery prodmetal equipprint- leum, and ages, and and prod ucts ment leather ing rubber tobacco ucts 98. 3 98. 8 101. 5 92. 9 105. 5 107. 0 100. 5 117. 1 123. 4 132. 0 130. 3 130. 0 133. 3 134.8 134. 3 130. 7 130.9 139.7 140. 0 144. 9 145. 1 147.5 147.2 147 90. 5 107. 1 104. 2 88. 8 107. 1 110. 8 110. 4 123. 5 129. 2 141. 0 138. 5 140. 1 141. 9 142. 8 144. 1 144. 7 147. 4 149. 3 150. 4 152. 3 153. 0 155.2 150.0 157 102. 0 97. 4 100.4 89. 5 104. 0 108. 2 103. 0 118. 3 127. 0 130. 7 134. 1 134.9 134.3 135. 3 130. 9 105. 3 129. 2 140. 3 141. 4 139. 7 144. 4 144. 0 147.0 149 109. 5 105.4 95. 9 95. 0 108. 5 102. 1 101. 3 100. 1 108. 9 112.7 114.9 109. 0 110. 1 114. 1 109. 7 110. 8 109. 2 105. 5 111. 9 115.0 120. 5 114.2 117.7 95. 5 98. 0 90. 9 95. 0 108. 1 107. 5 108. 4 115. 1 118. 5 124.8 123. 5 122. 9 124. 9 120.0 120. 8 128. 4 130. 2 131. 4 132. 7 132. 8 132. 7 132.0 133.5 133 92. 5 97. 1 97. 8 97. 0 105. 2 109. 0 112. 4 110. 7 120. 1 127. 5 128. 2 120. 0 128.0 127. 9 128. 2 129. 2 128. 0 131.7 131. 2 131.8 132. 9 133.5 133.4 132 80. 8 91. 4 95. 0 95. 5 108. 9 113. 9 118. 9 131. 2 141. 8 152. 2 150. 0 152. 1 152. 3 153. 0 150. 9 155.4 155. 5 158. 3 158. 8 100. 4 102. 0 100.0 100.5 102 93. 1 90. 0 90. 7 99. 4 103. 9 100. 0 110. 2 113. 3 110. 8 120. 0 120. 7 119. 5 120. 5 120. 5 120. 0 120. 9 122. 7 123. 7 123. 5 123. 2 123. 3 122.5 120.4 121 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION In June, assemblies of cars and trucks averaged 4% percent lower than in May Other weekly indicators of production displayed mixed trends. and steel production slightly lower. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) MILLIONS OF TONS STEEL BITUMINOUS COAL 2.0 1964 1.5 1963 1.0 \ J F M A 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! J M I ! 1 ! 1 1 1 1 F ELECTRIC POWER 20.0 4r /xV /7j \l v N D 250 ~\ / \ ^ 1964 - . ^ rT 7. A// 16.0 200 50 ' J F M A M J J A S O A SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Weekly average: 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: M a y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ June. _ _ _ _ July Aug Sept Oct Nov_ _ _ Dec ___ ___ 1965: J a n _ _ Feb Mar Apr_ __ May_ _ June 2 _ Week ended: 1965: June 5 12 19 26 2 July 3 2 _ _ _ _ K) O 1, 635 1, 792 1, 899 1, 880 1, 886 2, 096 2,431 2,497 2,374 2, 286 2, 374 2, 493 2,611 2,632 2, 627 2, 671 2, 716 2, 787 2, 789 2,712 2 ; 699 87. 8 96. 2 101. 9 100. 9 101. 2 112. 5 130. 5 134.0 127. 4 122. 7 127.4 133. 8 140. 2 141. 3 141. 0 143. 4 145. 8 149. 6 149. 7 145. 6 144.9 12, 082 13, 297 14, 424 15, 139 16, 325 17, 490 18, 728 17, 914 18, 948 19, 546 19, 470 18, 867 18,268 18, 685 19, 536 20, 348 20, 160 19, 728 18, 896 19,314 19, 842 1, 380 1,380 1,390 1,353 1, 414 1, 535 1,614 1,572 1,678 1,720 1,613 1,731 1,683 1,735 1, 652 1, 576 1,554 1,598 1,647 1,669 1,836 581 596 585 550 552 555 566 578 589 537 589 603 644 594 510 535 519 547 575 604 594 274 307 306 322 343 358 384 393 388 351 404 380 405 391 358 375 409 421 410 423 406 98.4 129. 5 151. 8 127.8 157.5 175. 0 178. 8 204. 9 213. 0 158. 8 64. 3 152.8 112. 1 189. 1 211. 5 243. 1 225. 7 248. 5 231. 5 244. 3 233.3 81.6 107. 6 128. 8 106. 1 133. 4 146.9 148. 8 171. 6 177. 0 131. 4 41. 5 126.6 93. 5 160. 7 180. 7 206. 8 192. 8 210.5 195. 4 206. 6 196. 1 16.8 21. 9 23. 0 21.7 24. 1 28. 1 30.0 33. 4 36. 0 27. 5 22. 9 26. 2 18. 5 28. 5 30.8 36.3 33. 0 37. 9 3(x 1 37. 7 37.2 2,747 2,692 2,740 2,685 2,645 2,615 147.5 144.5 147.1 144.1 142.0 140.4 18, 893 20, 281 19, 740 20, 452 20, 707 s 19, 708 1,810 1,813 1,816 1,861 2,065 537 612 611 617 547 454 403 430 396 394 399 282 200.3 246.4 247.5 239. 1 227.7 188.7 168.2 206.7 207.8 201.8 190.9 160.4 32. 1 39.6 39.7 37.3 36.8 28.3 Daily average. Includes data for Alaska. Preliminary. 3 Not charted. S COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Car s and tai-icks Steel pi-oduced power coal mined loaded produced assemb led (thoiisands) Index Thousands distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands of net (1957-59- (millions of of short Total Cars Trucks of cars) of tons) tons 100) kilowatt-hours) tons) l Period 18 D A 18.0 21 N THOUSANDS BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION New construction outlays (seasonally adjusted) in June were slishtly larger than in May, reflecting a small rise in public expenditures. Compared with a year earlier, private outlays were up about 4 percent and public down 2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 70 70 TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION 60 60 50 50 PRIVATE 40 40 30 30 PUBLIC \ 20 20 1959 1965 SOURCE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1959 1960 1961 1962* 1963* 1964* Total new construction expenditures 55. 3 53.9 55. 4 59. 6 62. 8 65. 8 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Tj 1 r ivate Resi dential noiif arm Total 39. 2 38. 1 38. 3 41. 7 43. 9 45. 9 Total 1 24. 3 21. 7 21. 7 24. 3 25. 8 26. 5 CommerNew Additions cial and housing and al- 2 industrial units terations Billions of dollars 19. 2 4.3 16. 4 16. 2 18. 6 20. 1 20. 6 6. 0 7. 0 7. 5 7. 9 8. 2 9.0 Other 8.9 9. 3 9. 2 9. 5 9.9 10. 4 Federal, State, and local 16. 1 15. 9 17. 1 17. 9 18. 9 19.9 65. 5 66.4 66. 4 65. 5 66. 0 64. 9 65. 2 66. 2 66. 1 66. 9 67. 6 67. 6 67. 3 67. 7 46. 1 46.2 46. 1 45. 5 45. 6 45. 3 45.4 45. 7 46. 3 46. 8 47.2 47. 5 47. 9 47. 9 26. 8 26. 6 26. 6 26. 3 25.9 25. 7 25. 6 26. 0 26. 7 26. 7 26. 6 26. 7 26. 9 26. 8 20. 8 20. 7 20. 6 20. 3 20. 0 19.8 19.8 20. 2 20.8 20. 9 20. 7 20. 8 20. 9 20. 8 1 Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction, not shown separately. a3 Not available for revised series beginning 1960. Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation and relates to 48 States. < Preliminary. 8. 9 9. 0 8.9 8. 9 9. 0 9. 1 9. 2 9.3 9.5 9. 6 9. 8 10. 1 10.3 10.4 105. 1 105. 2 107. 6 119. 7 132. 0 137. 0 Seasonally adjusted Sea sonally adyj.sted annucil rates 1964*: May June July Aug — Sept Oct Nov Dec ___ 1965*: J a n _ _ _ _ Feb Mar Apr. 4 May _ _ _ June 4 Constructiori contracts 3 CommerTotal value cial and (index, industrial 1957-59 = floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 10.4 10.6 10. 6 10.4 10. 6 10. 5 10. 5 10. 5 10.2 10.6 10. 7 10. 8 10. 7 10. 7 19. 5 20.2 20. 3 20. 0 20. 4 19.6 19. 8 20. 5 19. 7 20. 0 20.4 20. 0 19. 5 19. 8 138 138 140 121 131 136 143 154 137 140 141 152 145 440 461 443 500 534 598 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 555 574 631 573 617 645 595 707 638 697 648 771 674 *Beginning 1962, data revised. See Construction Reports, C80-65-6, Ccmus Bureau, June 1965. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January 1959. _ _^ Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Corporation. ^^ NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm starts and units in permits issued (both seasonally adjusted) changed little in June and were about 5 percent lower than a year earlier. FHA starts were about the same as a year earlier, but applications were down somewhat. MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA), VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA) [Thousands of units] I Hoiising star ts Tnf «1 Period 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: MayJuneJuly_ Aug__ Sept_ Oet__ Nov_ Dec__ 1965: Jan.. Fcb.. Mar Apr..3 May June3 Prh^ate nonfa rm private and public (including farm) 1, 553. 5 1, 296. 0 1, 365. 0 1, 492. 4 1, 640. 9 1, 590. 8 1, 516. 8 1, 252. 1 1, 313. 0 1, 462. 8 1, 609. 2 1, 557. 4 1, 494. 6 1, 230. 1 1, 284. 8 1, 439. 1 1, 581. 7 1,530.4 158.3 164. 9 146. 0 145. 7 127. 4 146. 1 114. 6 98. 3 85. 6 87. 9 124. 9 154.9 162. 1 156. 9 155.4 159. 4 143. 5 142. 3 124. 0 144. 0 112. 0 96. 7 81. 5 85.4 120. 7 152. 2 157. 5 151. 9 153. 0 156.7 141.2 139. 7 121. 9 141.4 109.9 94. 8 80. 1 84. 7 118. 8 150. 1 155. 1 149. 3 Total private (including farm) Total Two or more families 1, 211. 9 282. 7 972. 3 257. 8 946. 4 338. 4 967. 8 471. 3 993.2 588. 5 944. 5 585. 9 Onefamily 96.3 99.3 89. 6 87. 5 77.0 89. 3 67. 3 56. 7 50. 4 50. 7 74. 8 97. 7 101.2 Total private (including farm) 1, 516. 8 1, 252. 1 1, 313. 0 1, 462. 8 1, 609. 2 1, 557. 4 56.7 57.4 51. 6 52.2 44.9 52. 1 42. 6 38. 1 29. 7 34. 0 44. 0 51. 8 50.2 1 Authorized by issuance of local building permit; in 10,000 permit-issuing places prior to Iflftf, and 12,000 or more thereafter. 2 Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. s Preliminary. 20 1,518 1,621 1, 500 1, 513 1,445 1, 522 1, 505 1,610 1,442 1,482 1, 489 1, 552 1,516 1,531 Priv ate nonfoirm Total Gover nment home pi"Ograms VA FHA 1,494. 6 307. 0 109. 3 1, 230. 1 225. 7 74. 6 1, 284. 8 198. 8 83. 3 1, 439. 1 197. 3 77.8 71.0 1, 581. 7 166. 2 59.2 1, 530. 4 154.0 Se<is on ally ad j usted 174 61 1,496 152 1, 593 60 56 1,475 145 142 1,489 52 1,422 136 52 146 50 1,495 152 1,480 57 1, 575 53 151 1, 417 69 168 171 69 1,468 1,465 166 59 1,532 147 51 1,501 56 160 1,504 154 54 Proposeid home constr notion New private Applicahousing RIM 1 ucsts units tions for for VA FHA authorappraisized l commitals 2 ments 2 1, 208. 3 369. 7 242. 4 998. 0 1, 064. 2 243. 8 221. 1 1, 186. 6 1, 334. 7 190. 2 182. 1 1, 285. 8 annual ra tes 1, 280 173 177 1,305 1,264 162 176 1, 285 1, 243 174 1, 236 183 194 1, 256 193 1, 195 202 1,280 1, 224 203 1,269 184 1, 187 190 1,240 183 1, 241 155 234. 0 142. <J 177. 8 171. 2 139. 3 113. 6 99 103 109 88 121 112 118 118 113 124 110 95 109 93 NOTE.—Census series for 1964 revised. See Housing Starts, C20-65-5, May 1965 Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Total and Trade According to the advance report, seasonally adjusted retail sales in June were down slightly from May's record total, but were 7 percent above a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED] 112 RETAIL TR/\DE BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES 108 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) (ENLARGED SCALE) DURABLE G(DODS STORES INVENTORIES 104 INVENTORIES X ,i—i i ^ 100 -~^-H 96. SA IF*; ^^«»<*« f»J 76 ^-^ SALES 68 NONDURAf LE GOODS STORl S 64 18 -*^x^ ^^^^ _ WHOLESALE TRADE -*" INVENTORIES (ENLARGED — ** SALES - I 1962 1965 1963 1963 1962 1964 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total b usiness l Whol 3sale 4 Sales Sales Period t i » t i 1 1 i i i i1 1965 2 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Inventories 3 Total 2 Re tail 5 [nventories NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores Total Durable goods stores 3 Nondurable goods stores Millions of dollars, seasonall y adjustec1 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: Apr May June July Aug Sept__ Oct Nov _ _ _ Dec 1965: Jan Feb Mar Apr May °__ _ _ June c _ __ 55, 878 54, 232 59, 583 60, 530 60, 747 65, 078 68, 002 72, 647 71, 787 72, 660 72, 187 73, 693 __ _ 73, 204 73 , 358 _ _ 72,131 73, 371 76, 277 75,913 75, 956 77,815 77, 529 _ _ 77, 889 89, 052 86, 922 91, 964 94, 610 95, 576 100, 271 105, 127 109, 026 106, 371 106, 507 106, 621 106, 634 106, 716 107,323 107,367 108,093 109, 026 110, 012 110,329 111,316 112, 166 112, 567 10, 475 10, 257 11, 413 11, 440 11, 629 12, 158 12, 692 13,715 13, 228 13, 697 13, 623 13, 795 13, 770 13,792 13,937 14, 196 14, 178 14, 128 13, 946 14, 725 14, 620 14, 644 12, 730 12, 739 13, 952 13, 983 14, 251 14, 580 15, 597 16, 461 15, 879 16, 053 16, 043 16, 017 15, 986 16,222 16,276 16, 384 16,461 16, 774 16, 867 17, 064 17,216 17, 234 1 The term "business" here includes wholesale, retail, and manufacturing trade (see page 22). 2 Monthly average for year and total for month. * Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. < Beginning 1961, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 8 6 16, 667 16, 696 17, 951 18, 294 18, 234 19, 613 20, 536 21,802 21, 392 21, 777 21, 773 21, 935 22, 266 22,254 21,383 21, 661 22, 781 22, 900 23,317 22, 805 22, 865 23, 375 23, 294 5, 696 5, 284 5, 972 5, 894 5,608 6, 245 6, 675 7,093 7, 010 7, 218 7, 002 7, 060 7,324 7,541 6,496 6, 695 7,645 7, 855 7,966 7,669 7, 550 7,715 7,687 10, 971 11, 412 11, 979 12, 400 12, 626 13, 367 13, 861 14, 709 14, 382 14, 559 14, 771 14, 875 14, 942 14,713 14,887 14, 966 15, 136 15, 045 15, 351 15, 136 15,315 15, 660 15, 607 24, 451 24, 113 25, 305 26, 813 26, 238 27, 938 29, 383 29, 621 29, 961 29, 926 30, 180 30, 129 29, 967 30,082 29,314 29, 332 29, 621 30, 025 30, 080 30, 544 30, 951 31, 077 11, 283 10, 526 11, 044 11, 951 11, 019 11, 728 12, 509 12, 220 13, 045 13, 024 13, 079 12, 924 12, 762 12,867 12,076 12, 066 12, 220 12, 583 12, 703 13, 078 13,311 13, 483 13, 168 13, 587 14, 261 14, 862 15, 219 16, 210 16, 874 17, 401 16, 916 16, 902 17, 101 17, 205 17, 205 17,215 17, 238 17, 266 17, 401 17, 442 17, 377 17, 466 17, 640 17, 594 Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Preliminary. Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS The aircraft and steel industries contributed heavily to the $900 million drop (seasonally adjusted) in manufacturers* new orders during May. Shipments declined $175 million, while inventories rose $260 million. As a result, the inventory-shipments ratio inched up to 1.61. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES 40 30 DURABLE GOODS 20 MANUFAC1fURERS' NEW ORDERS >v DURA BLE GOODS 20 ^/^W/ ~/\ tH'tnt'**"""111* ""^^V-v^S/l '•»»!* ...Illlll^'XllllIlUti^ A NO NDURABLE GOO )S ~ 10 1963 1962 1964 1965 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Manufac turers' sh ipments l Manufact /urers' inv entories 2 • Total 28, 736 1957 27, 280 1958 1959 30, 219 30, 796 1960 30, 884 1961 33, 308 1962 34, 774 1963 1964 37, 129 37, 167 1964: Apr 37, 186 May June- .. - 36, 791 37, 963 July 37, 168 Aug 37, 312 Sept Oct 36,811 Nov_ _ _ 37, 514 Dec 39,318 1965: Jan_ 38, 885 38, 693 Feb Mar 40, 285 Apr 4 40, 044 39, 870 May NonDurable durable goods goods 15, 237 13, 572 15, 544 15, 817 15, 532 17, 184 18, 071 19, 231 19, 359 19, 138 19, 023 19, 861 19, 164 19, 284 18, 633 19,291 20, 559 20, 415 20, 374 21, 284 20,915 20, 573 13, 499 13, 708 14, 675 14, 979 15, 352 16, 124 16, 704 17, 898 17, 808 18, 048 17, 768 18, 102 18, 004 18,028 18, 178 18, 223 18, 759 18, 470 18,319 19, 001 19, 129 19, 297 21 Monthly average for year and total for month. Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. 3 Total Millions 51, 871 50, 070 52, 707 53, 814 55, 087 57, 753 60, 147 62, 944 60, 531 60, 528 60, 398 60, 488 60, 763 61,019 61,777 62, 377 62, 944 63, 213 63, 382 63, 708 63, 999 64, 256 NonDurable durable goods goods of dollars 31, 728 30, 095 31, 839 32, 360 32, 646 34, 326 36, 028 38, 412 36, 277 36, 300 36, 492 36, 597 36, 790 37, 037 37, 517 38, 040 38,412 38, 495 38, 692 38, 972 39, 233 39, 449 For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. 22 Ma nufacture rs' new orde rs l Durat le goods Total Total seasonal] y ad juste d 20, 143 27, 514 14, 073 19, 975 26, 901 13, 170 20, 868 30, 679 15, 951 21, 454 30, 115 15, 223 22, 441 31, 061 15, 664 23, 427 33, 167 17, 085 24, 119 35, 036 IS, 300 24, 532 37, 697 19, 803 24, 254 38, 184 20, 461 24, 228 37, 893 19, 945 23, 906 37, 782 20, 016 23, 891 39, 315 21, 254 23, 973 37, 509 19, 342 23, 982 38, 018 19, 907 24, 260 37, 846 19, 623 24, 337 37, 720 19, 454 24, 532 39, 590 20, 720 24, 718 39, 704 21,271 24, 690 39, 469 21. 130 24, 736 40, 712 21,714 24, 766 41, 120 22, 043 24, 807 40, 220 21, Oil < Preliminary. Source: Department of Commerce. NonMachinery durable and goods equipment 2, 5G6 2, 354 2, 878 2, 791 2, 854 3, 090 3, 326 3,706 3,610 3, 929 3, 916 3, 774 3,772 3,686 3,786 3, 882 3,917 3,958 3, 799 4,024 4,078 4,085 13, 441 13, 731 14, 728 14, 892 15, 397 16, 082 16, 736 17, 895 17,723 17, 9-18 17, 766 18, 061 18, 167 18, 111 18, 223 18, 266 18, 870 18, 433 18, 339 18, 998 19, 077 19, 209 Manufacturers' t-oryshipratio 3 1. 80 1. 84 1. 70 1. 76 1. 74 1. 70 1. 69 1.64 1. 63 1. 63 1. 64 1. 59 1. 63 1. 64 1.68 1. 66 1.60 1. 63 1.64 1. 58 1.60 1. 61 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS Exports and imports declined further in May as the strike backlog was reduced and foreign trade returned to more normal levels. The trade surplus dropped to $479 million as exports fell more than imports. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.0 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.0 1.0 1965 1959 JL/SEE NOTE 1 BELOW. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars) Merchandise Total ( includ-1 Gener al 2i ra]Domesti c expoi Is trade Impo rts for consum ption ; ports) ing ree? poi ts Indus- Finished surplus, Indus- Finished Season- Unad- Total i Food- trial manu- Season- Unad- Total 4 Food- trial manu- seasonally adally adally ad- justed facstuffs matestuffs matefacjusted justed tures rials rials tures l justed justed M erchandi se expo rts M erchandi se imports 3 Period Montliiv average: 1957 1958 1959 1960__ _ _ 1961 1962 1963 1964 1, 625 1, 364 1, 366 1, 633 1, 679 1, 745 1,869 2, 135 1, 611 1, 351 1, 352 1, 617 1, 659 1, 723 1,839 2, 102 1964: Apr_ _ _ 2 061 May 2 062 June 2 034 Julv 2 128 2 109 Aug Sept _ _ 2 285 2 155 Oct Nov 2 197 Dee_ _ _ 2 480 1965: Jan 1 217 Feb 1 593 Mar __ 2 758 Apr 2 880 May 2 278 2, 138 2,221 2,047 2,046 1, 900 2,085 2,259 2, 183 2,561 1,188 1,514 2,892 2,529 2,381 2,093 2, 184 2, 008 2, 020 1,868 2,058 2,226 2, 158 2,526 1,171 1,491 2,860 2,502 2,351 872 784 776 877 919 530 368 366 510 486 440 488 576 1,002 1, 031 1, 170 U nadjust ed 367 531 552 378 308 549 294 586 308 515 348 569 367 638 390 615 399 738 1, 186 1, 243 1, 143 1, 134 1, 045 1, 141 1,221 1, 154 1,389 208 198 210 230 254 281 314 352 1 Total exports less Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Military Assistance Program. 3 Imports for immediate consumption plus entries into bonded warehouses. 8 Imports for immediate consumption plus withdrawals for consumption from bonded warehouses. 1,541 1,589 1,518 1, 578 1,575 1,546 1,548 1, 698 1, 642 1, 206 1, 600 1,869 1,885 1, 799 534 489 569 539 522 561 574 619 294 326 431 438 423 496 533 611 520 259 64 382 453 379 440 578 U nadjust ed 342 611 581 297 632 303 294 659 280 625 614 320 628 351 620 379 671 366 553 156 603 556 642 662 585 634 665 656 684 429 520 522 516 545 584 689 607 499 788 11 1, 105 1, 105 1, 302 1,251 1, 226 1,366 1, 428 1,557 1, 102 1, 101 1,284 ], 251 1,221 1, 354 1,417 1,550 1, 561 1,456 1, 594 1, 611 1,491 1,562 1,613 1,672 1,755 1, 113 1,464 2,040 1,855 1,724 1, 554 1,432 1, 575 1,613 1,490 1, 568 1,644 1,655 1,720 1, 138 1,489 1,999 1,821 1, 720 274 288 285 274 277 297 310 320 0 88/, 5J,6 47!) * Data through 1960 have been adjusted to include imports of uranium ore. NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1963. Because of revisions, subgroups do not include all data in totals. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES The balance on goods and services fell $2.7 billion at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, in the first quarter of 1965. The shipping strike led to a 16 percent drop in merchandise exports which was only partially offset by lower imports. Investment income/ however, was substantially larger. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES \ 30 30 20 20 7 IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 10 ' 0 1959 1962 1961 1960 1964 1963 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF CO/AMERCE Period Total 1965 [Millions of dollars] E>rports o f goods tind serv ices Incorric on Addendum: invesd nents Goods and OMier services MiliMerfinanced servchan-l tary PriGovvate ices dise sales bv Govt. ernment Krauts and Impor ts of good s and sen/ices Bal- Tutal Merchandise ' ance Milion Other goods tary expend- servitures ices serv- capital 1957 1958 1959 1960* 1961* 1962* 1963*_ 1964* _ . _ 26, 481 23, 067 23, 476 27, 244 28, 557 30, 278 32, 353 37, 017 19, 390 1 6, 264 16, 282 19, 4S9 19, 936 20, 604 22, 069 25, 288 375 300 302 335 402 056 659 762 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 4, 5, 012 538 094 001 501 95-1 150 003 205 307 349 349 380 471 49S 454 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 899 05S 849 070 27S 4, f><):5 4, 971 5, 510 (2) (2) (2) 2, 239 2, (KS 7 2, 92S 3, 420 :i, :wo 20, 20, 23, 23, 22, 2f>, 20, 2S, 752 SOI 342 177 924 12!) 430 457 i:i, 291 1 2, 952 15, 310 14, 7.T2 14, f>07 a, 2 Mi a, 04 s r>. a 97 9f> 1 f>, -KiJi (ITS r>, s?s 929 o, r>ir> IS, ( \ \ \ ) 2, :<, 2, 2, 10, 17:* 10. 9U2 4, 245 3, 435 4, 474 3, 107 4, 925 S24 7, 014 r>, 72'.) 2, 200 !M-J 4. 007 r>. o;u r>, ( 14'j A, .)17 s, r»r»o Seaso mlly adj usted aniiua 1 rates 1964:* I II III IV 36, 336 35, 964 37, 340 38, 428 24, 24, 25, 26, 596 268 528 760 776 764 672 836 5, 064 5, 052 5,040 4, 856 520 528 528 240 1965: I 34, 800 22, 356 716 5,668 556 1 Adjusted 2 from customs data for differences in timing and coverage. Not available. 24 5,572 5, 736 3, 3, 3, 3, 24S 3SO 496 436 27, 512 28, 244 28, 544 29, 52S 17, 040 IS, 390 IS, S36 19, 004 2, 92S 2, SSO 2, 704 2, 724 944 90S 944 200 7, 720 8, 790 8, 900 5, 504 3,032 28, 604 18, 052 2, 656 7, 290 6, 1% 5, 380 5, 352 *Data revised beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. 0, 0, 0, 7, S, S24 U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS The U.S. deficit on regular transactions declined to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.9 billion in the first quarter—down more than half from the previous quarter and somewhat below the 1964 rate. This improvement, stemming in part from special balance of payments measures adopted in mid-February, was limited by the temporary decline in the merchandise surplus. The gold outflow during the quarter was the largest since the end of 1960. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 20 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES \ BALANCE ON OTHER REGULAR TRANSACTIONS -10 -10 -20 -20 1 I I I ! I I I I I t I I { I I 1 I 10 ! BALANCE ON REGULAR TRANSACT ONS [SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (-)] I LJULJU uuuu UUU U u-uy y y 1 -10 i 1 I 1 1 1960 1959 1 1 1 1 i 1962 1961 1 1 H y m m m ij 1 H I i 1964i i i 1963 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE i i i J-io 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] U.S. pi ivate capi tal, net Period 1957 1958 1959 1960*___ 1961*___ 1962*___ 1963*___ 1964*___ 1964:* I II m___ IV 1965: I U.S. Government Direct grants investand capital, ment net i -2, 574 -2, 587 -2, 421 -2,781 -3,396 -3,547 -3,813 -3,636 -3,252 -3,552 -3,684 -4,056 Longterm port-2 folio Shortterm Foreign capital, net 3 Errors Balance Selected and on special regular Governunrement corded transtrans- actions 4 trans- 5 actions actions — 2, 442 -276 487 -859 1, 157 22 -1, 181 -1, 444 -311 488 -1,372 — 77 412 -926 863 -1,674 341 -863 -1,348 -988 622 - 1, 045 - 1, 599 -1,025 -1,556 -1,654 -1,227 — 544 153 -1, 197 -1,976 - 1, 695 -785 303 -401 432 -2, 111 -2,376 -1,975 -1, 161 Scjasonally iid justed a nnual rat es -1,856 -1,096 2,356 56 -1, 152 -2, 160 — 1, 024 — 2, 192 448 -608 - 2, 204 - 2, 448 -1, 624 784 -1, 164 -3,284 -3,332 -2, 272 440 - 1, 720 -3,256 -4,012 -2,736 1, 152 984 Includes balance on goods and services (page 24) as well as net pensions and remittance payments ($839 million in 1964). * Includes official debt prepayment, advances on military exports, and net sales of those nonmarketable, medium-term, nonconvertible securities not included under foreign capital. 6 Includes short-term official and banking liabilities and foreign holdings of U.S. Govt. bonds and notes (other than nonmarketable, nonconvertible). 7 Central banks and governments. - 1, 668 -2, 180 -2,372 - 6, 204 — 2,932 -376 1 Includes associated Govt. liabilities and scheduled loan repayments. 2 Includes banking claims. s Other than liquid funds; includes miscellaneous Govt. nonliquid liabilities. 4 520 -3,529 -4, 178 -3,918 -3,071 -3,605 -3,287 -3, 106 8 435 37 701 1,402 617 308 160 -37 185 65 Chang es in selec ted liabilities (decrease (-)) 6 To f orei^pi official hold Special To nonother marketforeign able, con- Other holders 8 vertible bonds and notes 20 625 735 502 1,248 1,460 1,449 289 681 1,083 457 213 703 970 619 375 698 1,554 Quarterly , totals uii ad jus ted -400 227 122 114 93 562 203 186 50 819 651 51 -912 170 Changes in gold, convertible currencies, and IMF gold tranche position (increase (-)) -1,165 2,292 1,035 2, 143 606 1,533 378 171 -51 303 70 -151 9842 Private holders; includes banks and international and regional organizations. Excludes liabilities to IMF relevant to U.S. gold tranche position. 9 On March 31, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $14,639 million (down $832 million from Dec. 31): IMF position, $701 million; convertible currencies, $490 million. *Data revised beginning 1960. NOTE.—Data exclude military grant aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. Source: Department of Commerce. r\%* PRICES CONSUMER PRICES Sharp increases in the prices of food and nondurable commodities—0.6 and 0.4 percent, respectively—caused the over-all index of consumer prices to increase 0.3 percent in May for the second straight month. Service prices rose 0.2 percent, and durable commodities prices fell 0.1 percent. Index, 1957-59=100 120 Index, 1957-59 = 100 120 100 100 95 95 1959 J_/$EE NOTE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1957-59=100] Services Co mmoditie 3 All items Period 1954 1955 1956 _ 1957. _ _ _ _ _ 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 19641 1964: Apr May__ ___ June _ _ _ _ __ Julv Aug _ _ _ Sept_ Oct Nov __ _ Dec 1965: Jan Feb Mar Apr May__ _ ___ ___ _ -_ 93. 6 93. 3 94. 7 98. 0 100. 7 101. 5 103. 1 104. 2 105. 4 106. 7 108. 1 107. 8 107. 8 108. 0 108. 3 108. 2 108. 4 108. 5 108. 7 108. 8 108.9 108.9 109.0 109.3 109. 6 All commodities 95. 5 94. 6 95. 5 98. 5 100. 8 100. 9 101. 7 102. 3 103. 2 104. 1 105. 2 104. 9 104. 8 105. 0 105. 3 105. 2 105. 4 105. 5 105. 6 105. 7 105.6 105. 5 105.6 105. 9 106.2 Co mm odities les s food Food 95.4 94, 0 94. 7 97. 8 101. 9 100. 3 101. 4 102. 6 103. C 105. 1 106. 4 105. 7 1 05. 5 106. 2 107. 2 106. 9 107. 2 106. 9 106. 8 106. 9 106.6 106. 6 106.9 107. 3 107. 9 1 See note. NOTE.—Prior to January 1964, indexes revised to reflect transfer of homeownership from services to durable commodities. 26 NonDurable durable All 94. 4 97. 1 95. 6 94. 4 94. 9 95. 3 95.4 96. 5 95. 9 99. 1 98. 5 98. 8 100. 0 99. 8 99. 9 101. 0 101. 5 101. 2 102. (» 100. 9 101. 7 103. 2 100. 8 102. 0 in:;, s 101. S 102. 8 101. S 102. 1 103. f> 1 03. 0 1 05. 7 104. 4 102. D 105. C) 104. 3 105. 7 102. S 104. 3 102. 9 105. 6 104. 3 105. C) 102. 9 104. 3 105. 6 1 02. 8 104. 2 102. 8 105. 8 104. 3 106. 0 104. 6 103. 1 104. 8 106. 1 103. 5 103.4 106. 3 104. 9 103.6 106. 1 104.9 103.3 106. 1 104. 7 103.2 106.2 104.8 103. 0 106.8 105. 0 102.9 107.2 105. 2 All services 88. 7 90. 5 1)2. S DC. 6 loo. :; 103. 2 .IOC. 108. 1.10. 1 3. 6 S 1) 0 i r>. 2 1 •!. (S 1 -1. .) 1 1 5. 1 1 1 5. 3 115. 4 1 1 5. 5 115. 7 1 1 6. 0 116. 2 116.6 116.9 117.0 117.3 117.5 Rent 93. 5 9-1. 8 DC). 5 D8. :; 100. 1 101. C) l():i ! 101. •! l(). r ). 7 IOC). S 107. S 107. 7 107. 7 H)7. S 107. S 107. D 107. D 108. 2 108. 3 108. 4 108.4 108. 5 108.7 108.8 108.8 Services less rent 87. 4 SD. 4 Dl. D DC). 1 H)0. 2 103. C> 107. -1 110. 0 12. 1 1-1. 5 17. 0 Hi. f) 1C), (i 1 C). S 17. 0 1 7. 2 117. 4 117. C 117. D 118. 2 118.6 118. 9 119. 1 119. 3 119. 5 Beginning with January 1964, new index with revised weights, coverage, and sampling procedures. For details, see Department of Labor release, Major Changes in the Consumer Price Index, March 3, 1964. Source: Department of Labor. WHOLESALE PRICES For the second straight month, increases in the prices of farm products and processed foods, which rose 1.9 and 2.5 percent, respectively, contributed to a sharp increase of 0.7 percent in the over-all index of wholesale prices in June. Industrial prices rose 0.1 percent. Index, 1957-59 = 100 Index, 1957-59 = 100 COMMODITIES OTHER THAN FARM PRODUCTS AND FOODS (INDUSTRIALS) 95 90 90 I 1959 1964 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR I 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59=100] All commodities Period 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: Mar Apr __ May June July Aug Sept Oct__ Nov Dec 1965: J a n Feb Mar Apr May. June 3 _ __ — _ ____ _ _ ___ __ _ ___ __ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ _ __ _ _ _ __ ( ( J J. 0 100. A 100. (> 100. 7 100. 3 100. (') 100. 3 100. 5 100.4 100. 3 100. 1 100.0 100. 4 100.3 100. 7 100. 8 100. 7 100. 7 101.0 101. 2 101. 3 101.7 102. 1 102. 8 Farm products Processed foods 91). 2 103. 6 97. 2 96. 9 96. 0 97. 7 95. 7 94. 3 95. 2 94.4 93. 7 93. 2 94. 1 93. 6 95.7 93.8 94. 0 92. 7 93.0 94. 5 95. 4 97.6 98. 4 100. 3 97. I) 102. 9 99. 2 100. 0 100. 7 101. 2 101. 1 101. 0 i oo. r> 1 00. 4 99. 4 100. 2 101. 2 101. 0 102. 2 101. 7 100. 9 100. 8 102.2 102. 1 101. 8 102.3 103.3 105.9 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this index. 2 Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured animal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. Commodil ies other 1 lian farm Droducts aind foods (iiidustrials) Consun ler finIndusIndusished gc)ods extrial in- Productrial All iner fincludin g food dustricrude termediDurNonals 1 mate- ate ma-2 goods terials durable rials able 1)9. 2 1)9. 5 101. 3 101. 3 100. 8 100. 8 1 00. 7 101. 2 101. 1 101. 1 101. 1 100. 1) 101. 1 101. 1 101. 1 101. 5 101. 6 101. 8 101.9 101. 9 102. 0 102. 1 102. 3 102.4 100. 1) 96. 9 102. 3 1)8. 3 97. 2 D5. () 1)4. 3 1)7. 1 95. 2 1)6. 2 1)5. (5 1)5. 1) 1)6. 6 98. 3 98. 1 99. 1 99. 8 100. 6 99.0 99.4 99. 7 100.1 101. 0 100. 5 99. 6 99. 4 101. 0 101. 4 100. 1 99. 9 99. 6 100. 2 100. 2 100. 2 100. 1 91). 9 100. 0 100. 0 1)9. 9 100.4 100. 5 100. 6 100.8 100.8 100.9 101.1 101. 4 101. 5 97. 7 100. 2 102. 1 102. 3 102. 5 102. 9 103. 1 104. 1 103. 8 103. 9 104. 3 104. 1 104. 3 104. 3 104. 2 104. 3 104. 6 104. 5 104.9 105. 0 105. 1 105.3 105. 3 105.4 98. 7 100. 1 101. 3 100. 9 100. 5 100. 0 99. 5 99. 9 99. 6 99. 7 100. 1 100.0 100. 1 99.9 99. 9 100. 0 99. 9 99. 9 99.8 99. 7 99. 7 99.7 99.6 99.7 99. 9 99. 3 100. 8 101. 5 101. 5 101. 6 101.9 101. 6 101.5 101. 1 101.3 101. 2 101. 5 101.4 101. 0 101. 6 101.9 102. 1 102.3 102.2 102.2 102.2 102. 5 102. 6 3 Preliminary. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS During the month ended June 15, prices received by farmers were up 2 percent from their levels in May, while prices paid by farmers were unchanged. The parity ratio increased 1 point. Index, 1957-59 = 100 PRICES ..._. PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES 80 i—-—^——?-"*r-^*^ M—*^ -^'^^ 4 v 80 ^^A^'-'-s^; **'*"''. J.M, %/ ; : ! ! 1 ! I I 1 1 ! 1 I 1 1 1 ! 1959 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 I960 1 | ! 1 1 1 t 1 t 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1 I 1 I 1962 1961 1 1 1 I : I 1 ' ! 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 ! 1 1 1 1 1 .1 1963 I ! 1 1 1 1 1 1 ! 1 ! 1 1964 f I I I TO 1 I 1965 I/ RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, ::-iTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910- 14 = 100 BASE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Prices i•eceived by r armers Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: May 15 June 15 _ _ July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15 _ _ Get 15 Nov 15 _ _ _ Dec 15 1965: Jan 15 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Feb 1 5 _ _ - - _ _ Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15_ _ _ _ _ _. _ __ _ .June 15 All farm products 96 95 97 104 99 99 99 101 100 98 98 96 97 06 98 98 97 97 98 98 99 101 104 106 Crops 104 105 101 100 99 99 102 104 107 106 111 108 104 101 103 104 105 105 105 105 106 109 111 109 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxo-?, and wa?e rates, on 1910-14=100 base. 28 Price B paid by fa rmers All items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Index, 195 7-59=100 Livestock and products 90 88 94 106 100 98 98 99 95 91 87 87 91 92 95 93 91 91 92 93 93 95 99 103 94 95 98 100 102 102 103 105 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 107 108 109 109 109 110 110 Family living items 95 96 99 100 101 102 102 103 104 105 105 105 105 105 105 105 105 105 106 106 106 106 108 107 Source: Department of Agriculture. Production items 96 95 98 100 102 101 101 103 104 103 103 103 303 103 103 103 103 103 104 104 104 105 106 106 Parity ratio * 84 83 82 85 82 80 79 80 78 76 75 74 7f> 74 76 76 75 75 74 75 75 70 78 79 MONEY SUPPLY According to the new series that incorporate several revisions, the daily average money supply (seasonally adjusted) rose by $1.8 billion in June, wiping out the May decline. The June money supply was 4 percent above a year earlier while time deposits were about 15 percent above June 1964. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS \ 160 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963 I 1964 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE-. BOARD OF GOVE [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] M oney supj)ly Period Total Currency outside banks M oney supy>ly De- mand de- posits Time de- posits Total Currencv outside banks Season all v adjustec 1959 : 1960: 1961 : 1962 : 1963: 1964: 1964: Dec Dec __ Dec Dec Dec __ Dec Mar June Julv Aug . Sept __ . _ Oct . . _ . Nov _ _ _ _ - .. . . . . . Dec 1965: Jan _ Feh __ . . Mar.. _ . Apr Mav June 1 2 2 _ Deposits at nil commercial banks Preliminary. _ _ M l . <> 111. 1 H5. 5 i 47. 5 L ;}. j 1,9. 7 iri. 5 :i . r>. 5 i , 6. () 1T7. 1 1 , 8. 2 1 . 8. S 159. 1 159. 7 160. 0 159. 7 160. 3 161. 1 160. 0 161. 8 '>H 2S. 29. JO. > 2. 54. 9 9 6 6 5 2 JO. 3 '>:>. 4 33. 6 33. 8 33. 9 34. 0 34. 2 34. 2 34. 5 34. 7 34. 7 34. 7 34. 9 35. 0 1 1;;. i 112. 1 116. 0 116. 9 120. 6 125. 4 121. 2 122. 1 123. 0 123. 3 124. 3 124. 8 124. 8 125. 4 125. 5 125. 1 125. 6 126. 4 125. 1 126. 8 U.S. De- Time de- posits mand posits de- 1 Government de- mand de- posits! Unad juste d 67. 4 72. 9 82. 7 97. 8 112, 2 126. 6 117. 3 118. 5 119. 4 121. 0 122. 1 123. 5 125. 1 126. 6 128. 8 131.0 132. 1 133. 5 134. 6 135. 9 145. 6 144. 7 149. 4 151. 6 157. 3 164. 0 152. 2 153. 4 155. 0 155. 0 157. 1 159. 0 160. 7 164. 0 164. 4 159. 5 159. 0 161. 6 157. 6 159. 6 29. 5 29. 6 30. 2 31. 2 33. 1 35. 0 33. 1 33. 4 33. 7 33. 9 33. 9 34. 1 34. 6 35. 0 34. 4 34. 2 34. 3 34. 5 34. 6 34. 9 116. 1 115. 2 119. 2 120. 3 124. 1 129. 1 119. 2 120. 0 121. 3 121. 1 123. 2 124. 9 126. 1 129. 1 130. 1 125. 3 124. 6 127. 1 123. 0 124. 7 66. 6 72. 1 81. 8 96. 7 111. 0 125. 2 118. 0 119. 1 120. 0 121. 1 122. 0 123. 4 124. 1 125. 2 128. 3 130. 8 132. 7 134. 0 135. 4 136. 6 4. 9 4. 7 4. 9 5. 6 5. 1 5. 5 6. 8 7. 6 6. 9 6. 3 (5. 5 5. 5 5. S 5, 5 4. 2 5. 7 6. 7 5. 6 9. 7 9. 3 NOTE.—Series revised beginning 1959. See Federal Reserve BuUeil . July I .<)>;.!. See note, p. 31. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC Nonbcmk public holdings of liquid assets (seasonally adjusted) rose sharply in June, led by the strong recovery in demand deposits and currency. The total was 7.3 percent above a year earlier, in line with the trend during 1964. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 J 100 1959 I960 1965 1964 I/ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] End of period 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: June July Aug Sept _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Oct Nov _ __ Dec _ _ _ __ 1965: Jan__ _ _ Feb 3 Mar3 Apr 3 May _ __ _ June 3 _ Total selected liquid assets 343. 2 356. 0 373. 1 393. 9 399. 2 424. 6 459. 0 495. 4 530.4 511. 4 511. 8 514. 9 521.0 523. 4 526. 9 530. 4 534. 9 536. 4 542. 8 543. 3 542. 8 548. 6 Demand deposits and currency 1 134.6 133.5 138. 8 139. 7 138. 4 142. 6 144. 8 149. 6 156. 7 151. 1 151. 8 152. 2 155. 0 155. 0 155. 0 156. 7 156. 1 154. 8 158. 6 156. 3 155. 4 159. 4 Time d eposits Commercial banks 52. 0 57. 5 65. 4 67. 4 73. 1 82. 5 98. 1 112. 9 127. 1 118. 6 119. 8 120. 6 121. 9 123. 8 125. 9 127. 1 130. 6 131. 9 133. 0 134. 1 134. 7 136. 1 1 Agrees in concept with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction of demand deposits held by mutual savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data for2 last Wednesday of month. Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial and mutual savings banks, Federal Reserve Banks, and beginning February 1960, savines and loan associations. 30 Mutual savings banks 30. 0 31. 6 33.9 34. 9 36. 2 38.3 41. 4 44. 5 49. 0 46. 8 47. 1 47.5 47. 9 48. 3 48. 6 49. 0 49. 4 49. 6 49. 8 50. 1 50. 4 50. 6 Postal Savings System 1. 6 1. 3 1. 1 .9 .S .6 .5 .5 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 .4 Savings and loan shares 37. 0 41. 7 47.7 54. 3 61. 8 70. 5 79.8 90. 9 101. 3 95. 8 96. 6 97. 8 99. 1 99.8 100. 8 101. 3 101. 7 102. 6 103. 6 103. 9 104. 4 105. 1 U S Government U.S. Gov- securities ernment maturing savings2 within bonds one year 2 54. 8 51. 6 50. 5 47. 9 47. 0 47. 4 47. 6 49. 0 49. 9 49. 2 49. 3 49. 3 49. 4 49. 4 49. 5 49. 9 50. 0 49. 9 49. 9 49. 9 49. 9 50. 0 3 Preliminary. NOTE.—See note, p. 31. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 33. 2 38. 8 35.6 48. 8 41. 9 42. 6 46. 8 48. 1 46. 1 49. 4 46. 7 47. 1 47. 4 46.8 46. 7 46. 1 46. 8 47.3 47. 6 48. 6 47. 6 47. 2 BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES Total commercial bank credit (seasonally adjusted) rose strongly in June following 2 months of smaller increases. The $3.1 billion rise was strongly concentrated in loans, particularly business loans, rhat were lifted by mid-month corporate tax borrowing. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED, END OF MONTH ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 INVESTMENTS IN US. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 50 50 INVESTMENTS IN OTHER SECURITIES i I \ 1962 1959 r-OURCE: 1963 1964 BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM —- End of period 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 6 19625 1963 1964 1964: J u n e _ _ _ _ _ July Aug__ Sept Oct Nov Dec _ 1965: Jan. Feb 6 Mar Apr 6 6. May _ _ _ June 6 All conn lercial bank s (& oasonally adjusted dn ta) Total Investi nents Loans, loans excluding and inter- U.S. Gov- Other investsecuriernment bank ments securities ties 106. 4 181. 2 185. 9 194. 5 209. 8 228. 3 246. 5 267. 2 256. 3 254. 5 258. 7 261.7 261. 1 265. 5 267. 2 269. 6 272. 1 275. 5 277.3 279. 1 282. 2 1)1. 4 95. 6 107. (i 113. 8 120. 5 133. 9 149. 4 167. 1 160. 0 159. 7 161. 5 163. 0 163. 2 165. 4 167. 1 170. 2 171.9 175.8 177. 1 179. 3 182.6 Billions of dollarsf)7. 1 17. 9 20. 5 05. 1 57. 8 20. 5 59. 9 20. 8 65. 4 23. 9 65. 2 29. 2 62. 1 35. 0 61. 4 38. 7 60. 0 36. 3 58. 4 36. 4 60. 2 37. 0 61. 2 37. 5 37. 9 60. 0 38. 5 61. 6 61. 4 38. 7 59.9 39.5 60.2 40. 0 59.6 40. 1 59. 1 41. 1 41. 3 58. 5 57. 6 42. 0 1 Member banks are all national banks and those State banks which have taken membership in the Federal Reserve System. 2 Commercial ^oreiai aiia and muusirmi industrial loans. 3 Debits during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and U.S. Government. +,^ series; see Bank Debits and Deposit Turnover, G.G irament. New FRB, February 19, 1965. 4 Averages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. i 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Weekly reporting memberl banks Business loans 2 31. 8 31. 7 30. 7 32. 2 32. 9 35. 2 38. 8 42. 1 38.7 38. 5 38. 9 40. 0 39. 9 40. 5 42. 1 41.8 43. 0 44. 6 44.6 45. 2 46.8 Bank debits outside New \ork City (343 centers), seasonally adjusted annual3 rates 1, 468 1,481 1,656 1, 786 1,882 2, 021 2, 199 3 &, 696 2,607 2, 747 2, 682 2, 756 2, 772 2, 780 2, 804 2, 808 2,845 2,924 2, 962 2, 872 8,028 A 11 member banks l Total reserves 19, 420 18, 899 18, 932 19, 283 20, 118 20, 040 20, 746 21,609 20, 558 20, 665 20, 566 20, 928 21, 033 21,159 21,609 21,619 21, 227 21, 248 21, 505 21, 476 21, 701 4 Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions o f dollars 577 710 557 516 482 906 87 756 149 568 572 304 327 536 411 243 390 270 265 400 334 417 420 331 309 415 430 396 411 243 402 299 437 405 340 416 359 471 327 505 346 528 -133 -41 -424 669 419 268 209 168 120 135 83 89 106 -34 168 103 32 — 76 -112 -178 -182 s Estimates as of December 31. • Preliminary. NOTE.—Between January and August 1959. series for all commercial banks expanded to include data for all banks in Alaska and Hawaii. Data for all member banks include Alaska and Hawaii beginning 1954 and 1959, respectively. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Ol CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT Total consumer credit registered a large seasonal increase in May adjusted basis, was slightly smaller than in April. but the rise in instalment credit, on a seasonally BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 TOTAL CONSUMER CREDIT OUTSTANDING INSTALMENT CREDIT REPAID.. 1959 1 1?60 i 1961 1962 1963 1964 I 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Millions of dollars] Period 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: Apr May June July _ _ Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1965: Jan Feb Mar Apr Mav Mortgage Consu mer credit outstandin g (end of T;>eriod; Consum er instalme nt credit e xtended imad justed) debt out and r epaid (seas onally adjtisted) Instalment Automob ile paper standing, To tal —_ nonfarm "NTrm1- to 4Total Total 1 bile Personal instal-2 Extended Repaid Extended Repaid family ment paper loans houses 3 13, 082 38, 830 6, 112 16, 734 28, 906 9, 924 33, 634 88, 200 13, 460 38, 972 42, 334 14, 555 31, 720 14, 420 6,789 10, 614 37, 054 15, 515 99, 000 39, 868 15, 545 44, 970 7, 582 42, 016 39, 868 16, 465 107, 600 33, 867 15, 340 11, 103 33, 642 14, 152 15, 415 45, 129 8, 116 40, 344 14, 226 117, 700 40, 119 11, 487 51, 542 39, 245 42, 603 15, 579 16, 420 9, 386 48, 052 130, 900 12, 297 17, 779 42, 832 16, 384 56, 028 45, 972 17, 654 17, 688 10, 480 13, 196 49, 560 141, 300 57, 678 43, 527 14, 151 47, 700 16, 007 16, 472 153, 100 17, 223 11, 256 48, 396 17, 478 63, 164 48, 034 12, 643 50, 620 166, 500 19, 540 19, 796 15, 130 55, 126 19, 354 182, 20U 53, 745 69, 890 22, 199 14, 391 60, 822 55, 111 22, 013 16, 145 76, 810 197, 700 59, 397 24, 521 21, 243 16, 071 60, 418 23, 565 66, 070 17, 413 54, 382 1, 75*; 4, 959 1, 961 69, 816 22} 830 14, 748 15, 434 5, 371 1, 776 70, 945 55, 120 14, 902 5, 059 2, 023 23, 255 5, 552 15, 825 1, 768 1, 962 55, 914 23, 702 15, 087 5,029 71, 907 15, 993 5,399 189, 600 72, 456 1,996 1,781 56, 496 24, 024 5, 058 15, 233 15, 960 5, 541 1, 789 5, 094 2,017 73, 069 57, 055 24, 251 15, 415 16, 014 5, 529 2, 024 1, 802 5, 104 73, 495 57, 446 15, 612 5, 617 193, 900 24, 295 16, 049 1,788 1, 924 15, 672 5, 507 5,097 57, 826 24, 423 16, 102 73, 928 1,818 74, 371 5, 155 1, 858 58, 085 24, 367 5, 456 15, 771 16, 286 1, 864 76, 810 24, 521 197, 700 59, 397 5, 256 2,043 16, 071 17, 413 5,816 1,830 2, 120 59, 342 24, 574 5,213 5, 883 76, 145 16, 091 16, 803 1, 897 2, 228 6, 022 5, 381 75, 741 59, 363 24, 743 16, 190 16, 378 1,924 2,229 16,341 5 ; 393 6, 030 76, 085 59, 788 16, 297 200, 300 25, 063 2,272 1, 936 6, 189 5,445 77, 483 25, 615 16, 693 60, 803 16, 680 1,940 5,435 2,215 16,917 6, 105 78, 687 26, 109 16, 948 61, 739 1 Also includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. 2 Consists of single-payment loans, charge account?, nnd service credit, s End of period, unadjusted. 32 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and Federal Home Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Treasury bill yields continued lo edge downward during June buf appear to have turned upward in mid-July. Longterm bond yields were relatively stable although yields on some corporate and municipal bonds edged slightly higher between mid-June and mid-July. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (MOODY'S) t 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 SOURCES-. SEE TABLE BELOW Period 1958 1959 1960__ _ ___ 1961 1962 1963 _ 1964 1964: May _ June _ July Aug. _ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1965: Jan Feb Mar AprMay June __ _ Week ended: 1965: June 12__ 19__ 26__ July 3 _ _ 10__ 17__ 1 2 4 [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Gemirnment secuiity yields municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable Treasury 2 3 (Standard4 & issues bonds bills * Poor's) 1. 839 2. 90 3. 43 3. 56 3. 405 4. 33 4. 08 3. 95 2. 928 4. 02 3. 99 3. 73 2. 378 3. 90 3. 60 3. 46 2. 778 3. 57 3. 95 3. 18 3. 72 4. 00 3. 157 3.23 3. 549 4, 06 4. 15 3. 22 3. 482 -1. 07 4. 16 3. 21 3. 478 4. 13 4. 03 3. 20 3. -179 3. 99 4. 13 3. 18 3. 99 4. 14 3. 500 3. 20 3. 527 4. 03 4. 16 3.25 3. 575 4. 04 4. 16 3. 26 4. 12 -1. 04 3. 62-1 3. 18 4. 07 4. 14 3. S50 3. 15 3. 828 4. 14 4. 06 3.06 3. 929 4. 08 4. 16 3. 10 3 942 4. 12 4. 15 3. 18 3. 932 4. 12 4. 15 3.17 4. 14 4. 11 :5. 895 3. 19 4. 14 3.810 4.09 3.26 3. 781 3. 799 3. 789 3. 784 3. 853 3. 883 4. 10 4. 10 4.07 4.08 4.09 4. 10 6 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 4. 15 14 13 14 14 15 2 Kate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues. Series includes: April 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. « Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate &1A percent since May 1961) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. 1965 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 3. 25 3. 25 3.27 3. 31 3.31 3. 26 Corpora be bonds (Moo dy's) 3. 79 4. 38 4. 41 4. 35 4. 33 4. 26 4. 40 4. 41 4.41 4. 40 4. 41 4, 42 4, 42 4. 43 4. 44 4.43 4. 41 4. 42 4.43 4. 44 4.46 4.73 5. 05 5. 19 5. 08 5. 02 4.86 4.83 4. 85 4. 85 4.83 4. 82 4. 82 4.81 4.81 4. 81 4.80 4. 78 4. 78 4.80 4. 81 4.85 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 2. 46 3. 97 3. 85 2. 97 3. 26 3. 55 3. 97 3. 89 4. 00 3. 96 3.88 3. 89 4. 00 4. 02 4. 17 4.25 4. 27 4. 38 4.38 4. 38 4.38 4. 46 4. 47 4.47 4.46 4.47 4. 48 4. 85 4. 85 4. 86 4.87 4.87 4. 87 4.38 4. 38 4.38 4. 38 4.38 4. 38 Aaa 6 Baa 6 FHA new home mortgage yields 5 5. 49 5. 77 6. 16 5. 78 5. 60 5.46 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5.46 5. 46 5. 46 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 5. 45 6 Not charted. Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Rcsorvr System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard <fe Poor's Corporation, and Moody'c Investor? Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS The sharp decline in stock prices experienced during June appeared to taper off in mid-July but stock prices continued to move erratically. Index, 1941-43 = 10 Index, 1941-43 = 10 90 90 80 80 -COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR ' 500 COMMON STOCKS -V 70 70 60 60 50 . i i i f J 50 PERCENT PERCENT RATIO RATIO •jr 25 /-~"\ _/ - 10 - /\_ 20 A i r PRICE/EARNINGS RAT O on x*-—^-^^ ~~~' i I f ? 1960 i \ 1961 1 ! f 15 ! I 1 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964: June July Aug _ Sept , __ _ _ Oct Nov Dec 1965: Jan Feb _ _ Mar Apr May June Week ended: June 11 18 25 July 2 9 16 1 ! ! 1 f I A 10 1965 1964 1963 1962 SOURCE: STANDARD AND POOR'S CORPORATION Period .—-» ** \_— i ^— \ ^\ 1959 ON COMMON SIKXKS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Total 57. 38 55.85 66. 27 62. 38 69. 87 81. 37 80. 24 83. 22 82. 00 83. 41 84. 85 85.44 83. 96 86. 12 86. 75 86.83 87.97 89.28 85. 04 61. 45 59. 43 69. 99 65. 54 73. 39 86. 19 85. 13 88. 19 86.70 88.27 89.75 90. 36 88. 71 91. 04 91. 64 91. 75 93.08 94. 69 90.19 85. 54 84, 96 84.31 83.55 85.19 4 85. 71 90. 76 90. 11 89.40 88.54 90.22 90. 77 Price i ndex ! Industrials Capital Consumers' goods goods 1941-^13=10 47. 35 63. 93 47. 21 59. 75 67. 33 57. 01 54. 96 58. 15 63. 30 62. 28 73.84 76.34 72.42 75.85 75.47 77. 76 75. 91 75. 40 77.97 77. 74 79. 13 79. 08 78. 97 79. 18 77. 24 77.58 80. 19 79. 69 82. 52 80. 74 83.62 81. 50 83.78 84.85 86. 35 85. 21 81.62 80.04 81. 48 81. 56 80.75 80.31 80.50 79. 99 80. 20 79.43 78.64 79.26 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 44. 15 46. 86 60. 20 59. 16 64.99 69. 91 67. 46 70. 35 71. 17 72. 07 73. 37 74. 39 74. 24 75.87 77. 04 76. 92 77.24 77. 50 74.19 35. 09 30. 31 32. 83 30. 56 37. 58 45. 46 46.29 48.93 47. 17 47. 14 48. 69 48. 01 45. 75 46.79 46. 76 46. 98 46.63 45. 53 42.52 3. 23 3. 47 2. 98 3. 37 3.17 3.01 3. 05 2. 96 3. 03 3. 00 2.95 2. 96 3.05 2. 99 2. 99 2.99 2.97 2. 92 3.07 7451 73.94 73.62 73.25 75.01 75. 45 42.33 42.61 42.26 42.35 43.21 43.51 3. 08 3. 07 3.09 3.11 3.09 4 3. 05 Public utilities Price/ earnings ratio 3 17. 05 17. 09 21. 06 16. 68 17. 62 18. 08 17.61 17. 87 18. 67 17.58 1 3 Includes 500 common stock, 425 are industrials; 50 are public utilities; and 25 Ratio of price index for last day in quarter to quarterly earnings (seasonally are railroads. Weekly indexes for capital and consumer goods are Wednesday adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. figures: all other weekly indexes are averages of daily figures. < Not charted. 2 Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by Source: Standard and Poor's Corporation. the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields are averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 34 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL ADMINISTRATIVE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES The budget deficit for the first 11 months of fiscal 1965 amounted to $7.8 billion. fiscal 1964 it was $11.1 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NET BUDGET RECEIPTS NET BUDGET EXPENDITURES 100 100 - 75 75 - 50 50 - 25 25 - 1960 1961 In the corresponding period of 1962 1963 1964 1965 1960 +10 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1964 1965 BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) . NATIONAL DEFENSE (ENLARGED SCALE) 75 +5 FIRST. M MONTHS 0 50 - -5 25 -10 I960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1960 1961 1962 1963 FISCAL YEARS SOURCE: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Net budg et expenditu res N ational defe rise l Period Fiscal year 1959 Fiscal year 1960 Fiscal year 1961 _ _ Fiscal year 1962 _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ Fiscal year 1963 Fiscal year 19641964: Apr May _ __ June _ July Aug.. _ _ Sept Oct Nov.. _ _ _ Dec _ _ _ 1965: Jan Feb Mar _ _ _ Apr__ _ __ _ May_ _ _ _ Cumulative totals first 11 months: Fiscal year 1964 _ _ _ _ Fiscal year 1965 __ __ _„ Net budget receipts Total 67. 9 77. 8 77. 7 81. 4 86. 4 89. 5 6. 6 6. 1 12. 4 3. 5 6. 7 10. 1 3. 4 7. 0 8. 9 5. 6 7. 5 11. 2 8. 5 7. 3 80. 3 76. 5 81. 5 87. 8 92. 6 97.7 77.1 79. 7 88. 2 87.4 46. 5 45. 7 47. 5 51. 1 52. 8 54.2 4. 6 4. 7 5. 7 3. 5 3. 8 4. 2 4. 2 7.9 7. 5 9. 5 7. 4 8. 1 8. 4 8.3 7. 1 8. 8 7. 7 7. 1 8. 1 8. 3 8. 1 1 In addition to items shown, also includes atomic energy and defense related services. 2 Includes guaranteed securities held outside the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. Total Department of Defense, military 4. 5 4. 0 3. 8 4. 5 4. 3 4. 3 41. 2 41.2 43. 2 46. 8 48. 3 49.8 4. 2 4. 3 5. 1 3. 2 3. 5 3. 9 3. 9 3. 7 4. 2 3. 7 3. 6 4. 2 4. 1 3. 8 48. 5 45. 2 44. 6 41. 9 4,0 Military assistance 2. 3 1. 6 1. 4 1. 4 1. 7 1.5 .1 2 - 3 (33) () (3) .1 Budget surplus or deficit (-) -12. 4 1. 2 3. 9 -6. 4 6. 3 -8.2 -1. 3 — 1. 4 2. 9 -3. 9 __1 4 1.6 -4. 9 4 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 •7 1. 1 .8 () .1 2.0 .4 3. 0 .3 o .o -11. 1 -7. 8 Public debt (end of2 period) 284.8 286. 5 289. 2 298. 6 306. 5 312. 5 308. 4 312. 3 312. 5 312. 0 314. 9 316. 5 316. 5 319. 3 318. 8 318. 6 320. 6 318. 4 317.2 319. 8 312.3 319. 8 3 Less than $50 million. * Deficit of $15 million. NOTE.—Total budget receipts and expenditures exclude certain intragoverninental transactions. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 35 FEDERAL CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC In the firsf quarter, cash receipts exceeded cash payments by $2.4 billion/ on a seasonally adjusted basis, however, there was an excess of payments of $0.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 35 35 25 20 20 +5 n pj FI \:-:-A t-;-3' f-:-.i i 1 -5 \ \ mm m n FTTJ m |" «| " 1 EXCESS +5 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED EXCESS OF (IASH RECEIPTS. OF C ASH PAYMENTS i ! 1 1 }959 1959 \ I960 1960 1 1 ! 1 I i 1962 1961 ! tm I 1 1963 1963 1 mil i 1 ! 1964 1964 f i -5 i 1965 1965 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCES : TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BU 3GET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC \DVISERS [ Cash receipts from the public Period Fiscal year: 1959 I960.1961 1962 1963 1964 Calendar vear: 1959 I960 1961 1962 1963___ 1964 _ Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts or payments Cash receipts from the public Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts or payments - _ _ _ _ ___ Quarterly total (calendar years): 1964: I _ 11 III IV 1965: I 81. 7 95. 1 97. 2 101. i) 1 09. 7 1 15. 5 94. 94. 99. 107. 1 13. 1 20. - 13. 1 .8 -2. 3 -5. 8 - 4, 0 - I. 8 87. G 98. 3 97.9 106. 2 112. 6 115. 0 ';>:" 94. 10-1. 1 11. -- S. (! 30.3 33.4 27. 0 24.3 30. 7 Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 36 Billions of dol lars] 117. 120. 3 Unadjusted 28. 6 30. 2 30. 9 30. 6 28. 3 :i (5 — (\. S — 5. 7 •1. (i -5. 3 Se<-isonally ad jus ted 1. 7 :•'». 2 -3. 9 -6. 3 2.4 29. 5 28. 6 28. 2 28. 7 29. 8 30. 5 29. 9 30. 2 29.8 30. 1 -1. 0 -1. 3 2. 0 -1. 1 -.3 FEDERAL BUDGET, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the first quarter, Federal receipts rose $5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) while expenditures changed little. As a result, the budget moved approximately into balance. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 120 100 n r i i i I i i i I i i n I i i i I i i i I i i I +20 SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SURPLUS E%a i i%a "" !»„ m | !* * nn ^ I "" "~ m ^ • • DEFICIT -20 1 1 ! ! 1959 ! . 1 1960 i i \ i i i 1 1962 1961 1 I i i i i 1964 1963 i i -20 1965 CALENDAR YEARS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal (jJovernme nt receipt s Period Fiscal year: 1961 1962 1963 1964 Calendar vear: 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1964:1... II-_ III TV. 1965: T._ IP1 2 Personal Corporate Total tax and profits tax receipts accruals Federa 1 Governrnent expe nditures Indirect Contribusiness butions tax and to social insurnontax ance accruals Total GrantsSubsidies Surplus Purin-aid less or Net current chases Trans- to State deficit interest surplus of goods fer payand and ments local paid of Govt. services goverenterprises ments 95.4 104.3 109. 6 114. 7 44.2 47.750. 1 51.4 19. 7 21. 9 22 1 23. 5 13.6 14. 9 15. 2 16. 0 18. 0 19.7 22. 1 23.8 97. 8 106.2 112. 3 118. 5 54. 9 60. 0 63. 6 66. 1 25.9 27. 8 29. 2 30. 4 6.8 7. 6 8.3 9.8 6.9 6. 8 7.4 8. 1 3.3 4.0 3.8 4. 1 2.4 — 1.9 -2.8 — 3. 9 90. 3 96. 6 98. 3 106. 4 113. 6 114. 1 114. 8 112. 3 114. 0 115. 2 120. 3 40. 4 44. 0 45. 1 49. 1 51. 9 49. 0 51. 2 47. 3 48. 2 49. 3 52.0 53.0 22.0 21.0 20. 9 21.8 23. 0 24. 2 23. 9 24. 4 24. 4 24. 3 26. 0 13.0 14. 0 14. 1 15. 1 15. 6 16. 4 15. 9 16. 4 16. 6 16. 6 17. 1 16.6 14.9 17. 6 18. 2 20.5 23. 0 24. 4 23. 9 24. 2 24. 7 25. 0 25. 2 25.5 91. 4 93. 1 102. 6 110.4 115. 2 119. 2 117. 2 120. 2 119. 2 120. 1 120.3 122.0 53. 6 53. 1 57.4 62. 9 64. 7 65. 5 64. 3 67. 1 65. 5 65. 3 65. 1 66.7 22. 2 23. 8 27.4 28. 3 29. 9 31. 0 31. 1 30. 7 30. 8 31. 5 32. 2 31.9 6. 7 6.3 7. 2 8. 0 9. ] 10. 4 9. 8 10. 4 10. 6 10. 7 10.6 11.0 6. 4 7. 1 6. 7 7. 1 7. 7 8. 4 8. 3 8. 4 8. 4 8. 4 8. 5 8.6 2. 5 2. 8 3. 9 4. 2 3. 8 3. 9 3. 7 3.6 3.9 4 2 3.8 3.8 1. 1 3. 5 -4. 3 -4. 1 — 1. 5 -5. 1 -2.4 -7. 8 — 5. 2 -5.0 (i) Less than $50 million. Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. 37 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment. _ Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Administrative Budget Receipts and Expenditures Federal Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public Federal Budget, National Income Accounts Basis ,__ 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 NOTE.— Detail ID these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. 38 Page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 20402 Price 25 cents per copy: $2.50 per year; $3.50 foreign U.S. G O V E R N M E N T PRINTING OFFICE:I96S