Full text of Economic Indicators : August 1955
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84th Congress, 1st Session : <** • * ^S ^ 1 '**" Economic Indicators AUGUST 195S Prepared for the Joint Committee on the Economic Report &"' by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1955 JOINT COMMITTEE ON THE ECONOMIC REPORT (Created pursuant to Sec. 5 (a) of PubUc Law 304, 79th Gong.) PAUL H. DOUGLAS, Illinois, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. WILLIAM FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) JOSEPH C. O'MAHONEY (Wyoming) RALPH E. FLANDERS (Vermont) ARTHUR V. WATKINS (Utah) BARRY GOLDWATER (Arizona) RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) WILBUR D. MILLS (Arkansas) AUGUSTINE B. KELLEY (Pennsylvania) JESSE P. WOLCOTT (Michigan) HENRY O. TALLE (Iowa) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) GROVER W. ENSLEY, Staff Director JOHN W. LEHMAN, Clerk COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ARTHUR F. BURNS, Chairman RAYMOND J. SAULNIER JOSEPH S. DAVIS [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S. J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Committee on the Economic Report be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House9 and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Committee on the Economic Report; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Graphics Unit, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce 11 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Per Capita Disposable Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment Page 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours—Selected Industries Average Hourly Earnings—Selected Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries 11 12 13 14 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Merchandise Exports and Imports 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 23 24 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Currency and Deposits Bank Loans, Investments, and Reserves Consumer Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Stock Prices 26 27 28 29 30 FEDERAL FINANCE Budget Receipts and Expenditures Cash Receipts from and Payments to the Public 31 32 iii TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING THE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Estimates of total income and expenditures for the second quarter of 1955 reflect the continued rise in over-all economic activity. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES CONSUMERS 300 300 250 250 DISPOSABLE. INCOME ^EXPENDITURES 200 200 150 150 I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I BUSINESS 100 100 GROSS RETAINED EARNINGS^ 0 I I I I I I I GOVERNMENT-FEDERAL, STATE, AND LOCAL 100 100 (LESS TRANSFER PAYMENTS) 1955 FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT. •^INCLUDES CORPORATE UNDISTRIBUTED PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT, AND CAPITAL CONSUMPTION ALLOWANCES. ^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES. NOTE: THE SUM OF THE THREE INCOME AND RECEIPT ITEMS SHOWN IN THIS CHART IS NOT EQUAL TO THE SUM OF THE EXPENDITURES.OR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT, BECAUSE OF STATISTICAL DISCREPANCIES. FOR EXPLANATION AND USE OF THIS ARRANGEMENT, SEE SENATE REPORT NO. 1295, JOINT ECONOMIC REPORT, PR 92-93, 99-105, AND THE ANNUAL ECONOMIC REPORT OF THE PRESIDENT, JANUARY 1953, APPENDIX A. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE The gross national product rose substantially in the second quarter to a new record high of about $385 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), according to current estimates. Increases of about $5 billion in personal consumption expenditures and $6 billion in gross private domestic investment were partially offset by a $1 billion decline in government purchases. •v BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 4OO 350 300 300 ____^ 250 250 200 I 50 -50 L I955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars] Personal Gross Total conNet private gross sump- domestic foreign national tion investproduct expend- invest- ment ment itures Period 1939 1946 1947 1948 1949_ 1950. 1951 1952 1953 1954 _. _ __ 1954: First quarter Second quarter _ Third quarter Fourth quarter 1955: First quarter Second quarter J 91.1 209.2 232.2 257. 3 257.3 285. 1 32a 2 345.2 364.5 360.5 67.6 146. 6 165.0 177.6 180.6 1940 208.3 218. 3 230. 6 236.5 358. 3 357.6 358.8 367. 1 375.3 384.8 232. 2 235. 1 237.9 241. 0 245.8 250.5 Government purchases of goods and services Federal State and Total » Total * National Other 2 local security 5.2 13.3 0.9 9.3 20.9 30.9 46 27. 1 28. 6 15.8 8.9 29.7 21.0 36.6 41.2 2.0 25.4 43.6 .5 32.5 22. 1 42. 0 -2.2 51. 2 41. 0 62.8 .2 56. 9 2 54.3 77.5 49. 6 59.5 84.5 -2.0 51.4 49. 2 77,0 -.3 47. 2 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 54.7 81.7 -1. 1 45.5 48.6 75.9 3 46. 9 47.7 75.8 -.7 45.9 45.7 74.5 .9 50.7 46.4 75.8 -.4 54. 1 45.2 74.9 -.7 60. 1 a2 1.3 21.2 13.3 16.0 19.3 18.5 37.3 48.8 51.4 43.2 3.9 2.5 3.8 5.6 6.6 3.9 4.2 5.8 8.5 6.3 10.0 12.8 15.6 18. 2 19.9 21.8 23.2 25.0 27.8 46.8 43.6 42. 1 40.5 41.2 40. 4 8.3 5.4 6. 1 5.5 5.5 5.2 27.0 27.3 28. 1 28.7 29.4 29.7 Less Government sales. Includes expenditures for military services, international security and foreign relations (except foreign loans), development and control of atomic energy, promotton of the merchant marine, promotion of defense production and economic stabilization, and civil defense. For further details, see Economic Report of the President, January 1955 (p. 137), and National Income, 195J, Edition (p. 148). These expenditures are not comparable with the "national security" category in The Budget of the U, S. Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June SO, 1955, and shown on p. 31 of Economic- Indicators. - . 31 of E( NOTE —The figures beginning with 1952 are the revised series. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1955. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. J NATIONAL INCOME The increase in general business activity during the second quarter was reflected in a $9 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) rise in national income. Increases in employee compensation and corporate profits accounted for most of the rise. ilLLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 150 300 300 250 - 250 ISO CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT 1950 1955 -'PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCJL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERSSOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total national income Period 1939 _„ 1946 1947 1948 1949 I960 _ 1951- - _ 1952 1953 . 1954 Proprietors' income Farm 72.8 179. 6 197.2 221. 6 216.2 240. 0 277.0 289.5 303. 6 299. 7 - -. _ ... 1954* First quarter Second quarter ~ „ _ Third quarter Fourth quarter 1955: First quarter Second quarter. Compensation of em-l ployees 2 48.1 117.7 128.8 140. 9 140.9 154.3 180. 4 195. 3 209.2 207. 9 4.3 13. 9 14.5 16. 7 12.7 13. 3 16.0 14. 3 12.3 12. 0 297. 7 298. 9 298. 7 303. 2 311.4 320. 3 200. 7 207. 2 207. 8 209. 8 213. 1 219. 5 13. 2 11.9 11. 7 11.2 11.5 11.0 Business and professional Rental income of persons Net interest 4.6 2.7 7.3 6.2 21. 3 3. 1 3.8 19. 9 6.5 7.2 4.5 21.6 5.2 21.4 7.9 5. 9 8.5 22.9 6.8 24.8 9. 1 7.4 25.7 9.9 8.8 25. 9 10.3 9.5 10.5 25.9 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 9.4 10. 4 25.3 9.5 10.5 25.9 10.6 9.5 26.0 9.7 26. 3 10.7 9.9 26.6 10.7 10.3 10.7 27.1 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment Total Profits Inventory before valuation taxes adjustment 5.7 17.3 23.6 30. 6 28. 1 35. 1 39.9 36.9 37.2 33. 8 2 6.4 22. 6 29. 5 32.8 26.2 40. 0 41.2 35.9 38. 3 34.0 32.6 34.0 33. 1 35.5 39.6 41. 7 32. 7 33.7 33.5 36.0 40.9 42. 5 2 > Includes employer contributions for social Insurance. (See also p. 4.) 2 Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. NOTE.—The figures beginning with 1952 are the revised series. For details, see Survey o/ Current Business, July 1955. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). -0.7 -5.3 -5.9 -2.2 1.9 -4.9 -1.3 1.0 -1. 1 f 2 -. 2 .2 F c — 1.3 o .o SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income remained at a level of about $301 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in June, Labor income and investment income rose somewhat, while farm income and transfer payments declined. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY. ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES TOTAL PERSONAL INCOME* LABOR INCOME FARM PROPRIETORS' INCOME TRANSFER PAYMENTS BUSINESS,PROFESSIONAL,AND RENTAL INCOME ; 1 ..—•DIVIDENDS AND PERSONAL INTEREST I95I SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE . Period 1939 1946 1948_ 1949 1950. 1951 1952 1953 _ 1954 Total personal income 72.9 178.0 208.7 206.8 227.1 255.3 271.1 286.2 287.6 1954: May 286. 7 June 286.7 July 287. 1 August 286.7 September. _ 287.9 October. 288. 4 November. _ 290.8 December 293.4 1955: January 292.2 February 293.2 March 295.7 April 298.9 May 4 301.4 June _ _ 301. 2 (Billions of dollars] Labor income Proprietors' income (wage and Rental salary disBusiness income Divibursements of dends Farm and proand other 1 fessional persons labor income) 46.6 4.3 2.7 7.3 3.8 113.8 13.9 5.8 6.2 21.3 137.9 16.7 7.2 21.6 7.2 137.4 12.7 21.4 7.9 7.5 150.3 13.3 9.2 22.9 8.5 175.6 16.0 9.1 9.1 24.8 14. 3 190.5 25.7 9.9 9.0 204. 6 12. 3 25. 9 10.3 9.3 202.8 12. 0 25.9 10.5 10.0 Seasonally adjusted annual 202. 2 11.8 10. 5 25. 7 9.8 202. 4 11. 7 26.0 10.5 9.9 203.2 11.0 26. 0 10. 6 9.9 202.4 11. 6 10.6 9.9 25.9 202.4 12.5 26.0 10. 6 10.0 203.5 10.9 10.7 10.1 26.0 205.3 10.7 11.3 10. 1 26.3 205. 5 11. 5 10. 7 11.7 26. 7 206.1 11.7 10.7 10. 1 26. 6 207. 1 11.7 10.7 26.4 10.2 209. 4 10.7 11. 1 10. 4 26. 7 211.5 11.4 10.6 10.6 26.9 214.2 10.7 10.9 27. 2 10.7 214. 6 10. 5 10.7 10. 8 27. 1 1955 COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC AOVISIRS Less: PerPersonal Transfer sonal contributions interest payincome ments for social insurance 0.6 5.8 3.0 2.0 11.4 7.6 2.2 9.0 11.3 2.2 12.4 9.8 2.9 10.6 815.1 3.4 12.6 11.6 3.8 13. 2 12.3 3.9 14.0 13.8 4. 5 16.2 14.7 rates 4.5 16.5 14.7 4.5 16.0 14.7 4. 4 14. 7 16.1 4.6 16.1 14.7 4.5 16. 3 14. 7 4.5 17.0 14.8 4.5 16. 8 14.8 4.6 17.1 14.9 5.0 17.0 14.9 5.0 17.0 15. 1 5. 1 17.4 15.2 5. 1 17.6 15.3 5.2 15.4 17.5 5.2 17.2 15. 5 Nonagrieultural personal income8 67.1 161. 1 188.5 190.8 210.5 235.7 253.1 270. 2 271. 9 271.0 272.1 272. 1 271.5 272.1 273. 8 275.9 278. 1 276. 5 277.7 280. 9 283.7 286.6 286. 8 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance. s Includes $2.7 billion National Service Life Insurance 2 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agridividend, most of which was paid in the first half of the year, cultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations. * Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—The figures beginning with 1952 are the revised series. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1955. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Disposable personal income rose by $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter. Personal consumption expenditures rose almost $5 billion/ $3 billion of this rise was for increased purchases of nondurables. The rate of personal saving rose moderately. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 300 300 250 200 200 I 00 1955 i960 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal Disposincome Personal able l personal taxes income Period 1939 1946 1947 _ 1948 - ._ . . . 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 . ... . __ 1 U5-I : Fin-4. quarter Second < j u a n e r Third quarter T^uurtli quarter 1955; Pir^t quarter >Se('ond quarter ... . 72.9 178. 0 190. 5 208. 7 206. 8 227. 1 255. 3 271. 1 280. 2 287. (> 2Sf>. 2S6. 287. 2*K) 293. 300. 8 (i 3 8 (> 5 Less: Personal consumption expenditures Total Equals : Saving as percent of disPersonal posable NonDurable durable Services saving income goods goods Billions of dollars 70. 4 6. 7 67. 6 35. 1 25.8 146. 6 15.9 159. 2 46.2 84.5 20. 6 93. 1 169. 0 } 65. 0 51. 3 187. 6 22. 2 177. 6 98.7 56.7 180. 6 18.7 188. 2 23. 6 96. 9 60. 1 20. 9 206. 1 194. 0 100.4 28.6 65. 0 22(1 1 29. 3 208. 3 27. 1 70. 1 111. 1 34. 4 236. 7 218. 3 26. 6 116.0 75. 7 5. 8 250. -1 29. 8 230. 6 118.9 81. 8 2. 8 251. 8 236. 5 29. 3 120. 9 86.4 illions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rates 253. 1 2. 7 232. 2 119.2 84. 7 28. 3 2. 7 2,r»H. 9 235. 1 29. 0 120.4 85. 7 r 2. 8 2, »-l. 5 237. 9 29. 4 121. 5 87.0 241. 0 io 1 30. 4 122. 5 257. 8 88. 1 12. 6 261. 0 245. 8 34. 4 122. 4 89. 0 33. J 250. 5 125.3 90. 2 267. 1 35. 1 2.4 18. 8 21.5 21. 1 i Includes such items us lines, penalties, and donations. NuTtf.—Tho. tisures beginning with !Uf>2 are the revised series. Detail svUl not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 06672—55——2 Equals : For details, see Hiirvey of Current Business, July 1955. Source: Department of Commerce. 2.9 12. 6 4. 0 10.0 7.6 12. 1 17.7 18. 4 19. 8 18.3 4. 1 7.9 2.4 5.3 4.0 5.9 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.2 21.0 18. 8 16.6 16. 8 15.3 16.6 8. 3 7.4 6.5 6.5 5.9 6.2 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE INCOME Per capita disposable income (seasonally adjusted) reached a new high in the second quarter of this year, constant prices, it exceeded that of the corresponding quarter of 1954 by 4 percent. DOLLARS 2,000 In DOLLARS 2,OOO SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1954 PRICES^' 1,500 1,500 1,000 1,000 J_ 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 %EE FOOTNOTE Z ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE, DEPARTMENT OF LABOR, AND COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS- Total disposable personal Per capita disposable personal income (dollars)1 income (billions of dollars)1 Period Current prices 1939 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ _ _ -. -. --' --- 1954 prices 2 70. 4 159.2 169.0 187. 6 188.2 206. 1 226. 1 236. 7 250. 4 254.8 136.3 219.3 203. 1 209.6 212. 1 230.3 233. 8 239. 4 251. 1 254.8 Current pricei 538 1, 126 1, 173 1,279 1,261 1,359 1,465 1, 508 1,568 1,569 1954 prices a Population (thousands) » 1,041 1,551 1,410 1,429 1,422 1,518 1,515 1, 525 1,573 1, 569 131, 028 141, 389 144, 126 146, 631 149, 188 151, 683 154, 360 157, 028 159, 643 162, 409 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1954* First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter l')f)f)' First quarter Second ciuarter. - -~ -- - - -- 253. 1 253. 9 254. 5 257.8 252. 6 253.6 254. 2 258. 6 1,568 1, 567 1, 563 1,576 1, 565 1,565 1, 561 1, 581 161, 162, 162, 163, 261. 0 267. 1 262.0 268.2 1, 589 1,620 1, 595 1,627 164, 262 164, 911 J Income less taxes. ' I >oHnr estimates in current prices divided by consumer price index on base 1954=100. i Includes armed forces overseas. .Annual data as of July 1; quarterly data centered in the middle of the period, interpolated from monthly figures. NUTK. The Ili'ures bcpltmiii!' w i l h 11)52 arc the revised series. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1955. ; ourccr,: Department of Commcrc.-, I >cpartinent of Labor, and Council of Economic Advisers. 6 439 075 806 582 FARM INCOME Gross and net farm income (seasonally adjusted) declined in the second quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES NET FARM INCOME (INCL, ADJUSTMENT FOR INVENTORY CHANGE 5 -!/ \ •' 1 I960 I 1951 J7 INCOME OF FARM OPERATORS FROM FARMING. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. Period 1939 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ _ _ _ -- - -- - _ - _ _ _ -- - - -- 1954" First quarter _ Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1 955 : First quarter Second quarter Realized gross farm income 1 10.4 29.0 34. 0 34.5 31. 8 32. 1 36. 9 36. 8 35. 3 34. 0 35. 8 33. 9 33. 3 32. 9 34. 2 33.3 IS52 1953 1954 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Farm operators' income Net income per farm (inNet income 2 cluding adjustment for Excluding Including Farm proinventory change) duction adjustment adjustment for invenfor invenexpenses 1954 Current tory change 3 tory change4 prices 5 prices Billions of dollars Dollars 6. 1 4. 3 4.3 1, 523 670 13.9 14. 8 14.2 2,353 3, 180 17. 2 14. 5 16. 8 2,466 2,867 18. 9 15. 6 16.7 2,884 3, 135 13. 6 18. 2 12.7 2,222 2,497 19. 7 13. 3 2,352 2,613 12.4 22. 4 14. 5 15. 8 2,877 2,819 23. 2 13. 6 14. 3 2, 579 2, 605 22. 4 12.9 2,235 2,258 12. 3 2,212 22. 4 12.0 11.6 2,212 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 22. 7 13. 2 2,458 13. 1 2,433 22. 5 2,194 11. 9 2, 194 11.4 22. 2 11. 1 11. 7 2, 157 2, 136 22. 1 11.2 2,086 10.8 2,065 2, 166 22.7 11.5 2, 144 11. 5 10.8 22. 5 2,050 11.0 2,050 Number of farms (thousands)8 6, 441 5,927 5,873 5,804 5, 723 5,648 5,596 5,535 5,482 5, 425 5,425 5,425 5,425 5,425 7 5, 365 7 5, 365 1 Includes cash receipts from farm marketings, value of farm products consumed directly in farm households, gross rental value of farm dwellings, and Government payments to farmers. 2 Excludes («) farm waps paid to workers living on farms and (b) any income to farm people from nonfarrn sources. These items in 1954 were as follows: (a) 2.1 billion dollars and (ft) 5.7 billion dollars. a Rt-alixed gross income less farm production expenses. * Same as farm proprietors' income on pages 3 and 4 except for 1951, which includes revisions by the Department of Agriculture not yet incorporated into the nat ional income accounts of the Department of Commerce. s Dollar estimates in current prices divided by index of prices paid by farmers for items used in family living, on base 1954=100. 8 For the quarterly data, the number of farms is held constant within a given year. 7 Estimate by Council of Economic Advisers. Source: Department of Agriculture (except as noted). NOTE —Estimates for 1952-55 reflect interim revisions made in connection with the annual report on national income by the Department of Commerce. Final revisions will be completed by the Department of Agriculture in October. CORPORATE PROFITS Corporate profits (seasonally adjusted), both before and after taxes, continued to rise in the second quarter of 1955, according to preliminary estimates. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1955 ALLOWANCE FOR INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. ^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES BY COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE (EXCEPT AS NOTED). COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Corporate profits before taxes Period 1939 1946 1947. 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 . 1953 1954 6.4 22. 6 29.5 32.8 26. 2 40.0 41. 2 35.9 38.3 34.0 _ . Corporate tax liability 1.4 9. 1 11.3 12. 5 10. 4 17.8 22.5 19. 8 21.3 17. 1 Corporate profits after taxes Total 5.0 13.4 18.2 20.3 15. 8 22. 1 18. 7 16. 1 17.0 17.0 Dividend payments Undistributed profits 1.2 7.7 11.7 13.0 8.3 12. 9 9.6 7. 1 7.7 7. 0 3.8 5.8 6.5 7.2 7.5 9.2 9. 1 9.0 9.3 10.0 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1955 : First quarter Second quarter . . 32.7 33.7 33.5 36.0 _ _ 1 16. 4 16. 9 16.8 18. 1 16. 3 16.8 16.7 17. 9 9.7 9.8 10.0 10. 6 40. 9 42. 5 20. 5 !21. 3 20. 4 i 21.2 10. 2 10.7 * Preliminary estimates by Council of Economic Advisers. NOTE.—The figures beginning with 1952 are the revised series. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1955. See p. 3 for profits before taxes and after inventory valuation adjustment. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce (except as noted). 8 6. 6 7.0 6.7 7.3 1 10. 2 10.5 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Gross private domestic investment increased by $6 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the second quarter of 1955. Investment in inventories and producers1 equipment rose considerably. Construction continued to increase. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 50 50 GROSS PRIVATE *S DOMESTIC INVESTMENT 40 40 30 20 10 v * I I I I i960 I I I CHANGE IN BUSINESS —r\ INVENTORIES *« I I I 1952 1951 I I I \ I 1954 1953 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE \ 1955 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISiRS [Billions of dollars] Total gross private domestic investment Period 1939 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 _ ... 9.3 27. 1 ' 29. 7 41.2 32. 5 51.2 56.9 49. 6 51.4 ^47.2 Change in business inventories Fixed investment New construction Total 8.9 21.0 30. 7 37.0 35.3 43.9 46.5 46. 8 50.2 50. 1 Residential nonfarm Total 4.8 10. 3 14.0 17.9 17.5 22.7 23.3 23. 7 25.8 27. 8 Commercial and industrial l All other 2 Producers' durable equipment 2.7 4.0 6.3 8.6 8.3 12. 6 11. 0 11. 1 11. 9 13. 5 1. 2 4.2 4. 9 5. 7 5.3 5. 7 7. 2 7.5 8.4 8. 6 0.8 2. 1 2.8 3.6 3.9 4.5 5. 1 5.2 5.4 5.7 4.2 10. 7 16.7 19. 1 17.8 21. 1 23. 2 23. 1 24.4 22.3 0.4 6. 1 -1.0 4.2 -2.7 7.4 10.4 2.8 1.2 -2.9 0.3 6.4 1.3 3.0 -1.9 6.4 9-0 2. 1 1.9 -3.2 22.9 22.4 22. 2 21. 9 21.5 23.7 -3.2 -2.7 — 4. 9 -.6 1.5 4.3 -3.4 -3.2 -5.4 -1.0 1.5 4.2 Total Nonfarm Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1954: First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1955: First quart er« Second quarter 45. 5 46. 9 45. 9 50. 7 54. 1 60. 1 48. 8 49. 7 50.7 51. 3 52. 7 55. 8 25. 9 27.3 28. 5 29. 4 31. 2 32. 1 11. 8 13. 0 14. 2 15. 0 16.0 16. 4 8.5 8.5 8. 6 8.7 9.3 9.8 5. 6 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.9 i Includes public utility. 3 Includes petroleum and natural gas well drilling. NOTE.—The figures beginning with 1952 are the revised series. For details, see Survey of Current Business, July 1955. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Source: Department of Commerce. EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to a survey made in April and May, expenditures for new plant and equipment were expected to increase 9 percent between the first and second quarters—the largest quarterly rise since the last half of 1950. Plans for the third quarter indicated an additional rise of 3 percent to a level of about $29 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate), equaling the previous peak in the third quarter of 1953. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES COMMERCIAL AND OTHER. TRANSPORTATION J I 1951 1950 1952 1953 1954 - SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW. SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE. 1955 QF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Transportation Mining Durable NonduraRailroads Other goods ble goods 0.36 0.28 0.33 0.76 1. 19 . 92 ,.58 .43 3. 11 3.68 1. 30 .89 3.41 5. 30 .69 1.28 1.32 5.65 .88 3.48 .89 .79 1. 35 2.59 4. 56 1.21 1. 11 .71 3. 14 4.36 1.49 1.47 .93 5.68 5. 17 1. 50 1.40 6.02 .98 5. 61 1.56 .99 1.31 6.26 5.65 1.51 .85 .98 5.09 5.95 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1.57 1.04 .94 6. 22 5.40 1.44 .91 1.04 5.90 5. 18 .80 1.51 1.00 5.06 5.93 1. 53 .68 .91 5.79 4.80 1. 46 .74 .80 4. 78 5.39 1.58 .80 . 94 5. 21 6.01 1.62 .86 .95 5. 92 5.38 Manufacturing Period 1939 1946 1947 . 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 Total * _. - _ _ 1 954 : First quarter Second quarter Third quarter Fourth quarter 1955; First quarter 3 Second quarter Third quarter 3 Total 5.51 14.85 20.61 22.06 19.28 20.60 25.64 26. 49 28.32 26.83 1.94 6. 79 8.70 9. 13 7. 15 7.49 10.85 11. 63 11.91 11. 04 27.46 26. 92 26.84 26. 18 25.65 27.86 28.83 11.62 11.09 10.98 10.58 10. 17 11.22 11.30 eludes agriculture. mmcrcal and other includes trade,, service, finance, communications,, and construction.. , , Public utilities Commercial and other 2 0.52 .79 1.54 2.54 a 12 3.31 3.66 3.89 4.55 4.22 2.08 5.33 7.49 6.90 5.98 6.78 7.24 7.09 8.00 8.23 4.33 4.37 4. 12 4.01 4. 01 4.37 4. 77 7.97 8.07 8.42 8.46 8. 46 8. 96 9. 34 ntmitrs hfisnd on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business in April and May 1955. rfc, Tl »M» figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the >V*'t HIT cultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. t iieei\ss:irily add to totals because of rounding. rlties mid Kxcliun^.f Commission and Department of Commerce, EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE Employment rose between early June and mid-July to an ailtime high of almost 65 million, as young workers found jobs after the close of school. Unemployment declined by over 200,000; there is usually no change at this time of year. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS 75 75 55 50 14 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total Unemployment3 Insured unemployment 4 Employment l labor Tempo%of Thousands % of covered force (in- Civilian Period rary labor cluding Agricul- Nonagri- layoffs 2 Number civilian of persons employment force Total (all pro(State prolabor tural armed cultural grams) grams) force forces) 5 Thousands of persons 14 years of age and over 9,480 17.2 1939 9,610 36, 140 55, 600 55, 230 45, 750 6.2 2,470 5.5 1949 - ... 8,026 185 3,395 50, 684 63, 721 62, 105 58, 710 4.6 1,599 5. 0 92 3,142 1950 7,507 52, 450 64, 749 63, 099 59, 957 2. 8 996 3.0 1951 . --_. 7,054 117 1,879 65, 982 62, 884 61, 005 53, 951 2.9 1,064 1952_>_ 2.7 142 1, 673 6, 805 54, 488 66, 560 62, 966 61, 293 2.8 1,058 6,562 142 1,602 2.5 1953 67, 362 63, 815 62, 213 55, 651 5.2 2,039 221 3,230 5.0 6,504 1954 54, 734 67, 818 64, 468 61, 238 5.3 2,082 229 3,347 1954: June 5. 1 7,628 54, 470 68, 788 65, 445 62, 098 5. 1 2,037 July 5. 1 298 3,347 7,486 54, 661 68, 824 65, 494 62, 148 4.6 1,871 5.0 6,928 55, 349 143 3,245 August 68, 856 65, 522 62, 277 4. 3 1,752 4.8 September 198 3, 100 7,527 54, 618 68, 566 65, 244 62, 145 4.0 1,631 4.2 54, 902 136 2,741 7,239 October 68, 190 64, 882 62, 141 4.0 1,643 4.5 November 120 2,893 6,154 55, 577 67, 909 64, 624 61, 732 4.6 1,869 4.5 137 2,838 December 55, 363 5,325 66, 811 63, 526 60, 688 5.5 2,201 5.3 5,297 54, 853 1955: January 251 3,347 66, 700 63, 497 60, 150 5.2 2,109 5.3 February 5,084 145 3,383 54, 854 66, 550 63, 321 59, 938 4. 7 1,875 5.0 5,692 75 3,176 54, 785 March 66, 840 63, 654 60, 477 4. 1 1,651 4.6 April 108 2, 962 6, 215 55, 470 67, 784 64, 647 61, 685 3.6 1,392 3.8 133 2,489 6,963 May 55, 740 68, 256 65, 192 62, 703 3.2 1,226 4.0 107 2, 679 7,681 June 56, 335 69, 692 66, 696 64, 016 6 3.1 1, 202 3. 7 157 2,471 7,704 July 57, 291 70, 429 67, 465 64, 995 * jLJUuitiu.es pari-uuic wurjiers auu muse wiwi jous but not at work for such reasons as vacations, Illness, bad weather, temporary layoff, and industrial disputes; excludes armed forces. 3 Shown separately so as to afford a basis for further analysis of employment and unemployment. 3 See footnote 2. * Weekly average. « Data for 1949-53 (1953 revised series) based on 68area sample; beginning 1954, on 230-area sample. Starting July 1955, data are for week ending nearest month. e Preliminary estimate. Sources; Department of Commerce (labor force) and Department of Labor (insured unemployment). 11 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Employment in nonagricultural establishments (seasonally adjusted) rose by 200,000 from June to July. Employment fell less than seasonally in durable goods manufacturing and rose seasonally in nondurable goods manufacturing, MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS DURABLE J MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS MANUFACTURING F M A M J NONDURABLE J A S O N D S L CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION MANUFACTURING I J F M A M J J A I S I O N D N D WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE ^1955 J of J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J Period 1939 1946 1948 1949. 1950 1952_ 1953 1954 1954: June July August September. October NovemberDecember. 1955: January February __ March April May J u l v '-' 48, 170 48, 048 48, 029 48, 020 48, U9 48, S86 48, 880 48, 898 48, 440 48, 766 48, 881 4-9 214 40, 483 4-0, 684 S O COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR Total adjusted for seasonal variation A Total 30,311 41, 287 44, 448 43, 315 44, 738 48, 303 49, 681 48, 285 48, 200 47, 866 48, 123 48, 490 48, 580 48, 808 49, 463 47, 741 47, 753 48, 212 48, 643 48, 918 49, 487 49, 465 [Thousands of wage and salary workers *1 GovernManufacturing ment Contract Wholesale Durable Nondu- Mining construc- and retail (Federal, Total State, tion trade goods rable goods local) Not adjusted for seasonal variation 10, 078 14, 461 15, 321 14, 178 14, 967 16, 334 17, 238 15, 989 15, 835 15, 584 15, 822 15, 972 16, 007 16, 057 16, 050 15, 925 16, 060 16, 201 16, 255 16, 334 16, 563 16, 557 4,683 7,739 8,312 7,473 8,085 9,340 10, 105 9, 120 9,066 8,811 8, 820 8,887 9,002 9, 121 9, 144 9, 113 9,220 9,323 9,418 9, 501 9,615 9,557 5,394 6,722 7,010 6, 705 6, 882 6,994 7, 133 6,870 6; 769 6, 773 7,002 7, 085 7,005 6,936 6,906 6, 812 6, 840 6,878 6, 837 6, 833 6, 948 7,000 845 852 982 918 885 852 770 771 760 763 744 743 749 747 741 737 739 739 742 760 748 1, 150 1,661 2, 169 2, 165 2,333 2, 634 2, 622 2, 527 2, 629 2,686 2, 735 2,698 2, 652 2,598 2,426 2,237 2, 169 2, 255 2,399 2, 526 2, 615 2, 694 6,612 8, 602 9,519 9,513 9,645 10, 281 10, 527 10, 498 10, 389 10, 351 10, 321 10, 447 10, 548 10, 745 10, 354 10, 419 10, 309 10, 408 10, 549 10, 534 10, 633 10, 624 3,995 5, 595 5,650 5, 856 6,026 6, 609 6,645 6,751 6,716 6,551 6,563 6,746 6,829 6,917 7, 166 6, 835 6,873 6,922 6,927 6, 881 6,851 6, 706 Other 7, 632 10, 116 10, 807 10, 686 10, 878 11, 563 11, 797 11, 751 11, 860 11, 934 11, 919 11, 883 11, 801 11, 742 11,720 11, 584 11, 605 11, 687 11, 774 11, 901 12, 065 12, 136 1 Includes all full- nud part-time wage and salary workers in nonagricultural establishments wlio worked during or received pay for auy part of the pay period em) it ip nearest the* Jfith of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from this table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of "the civilian labor force reported by the Department of Commerce (p. 11) which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are bn«e<i on an enumeration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 1 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels. Source: Department of Labor. 12 AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Tfie average workweek of factory production workers declined from 40.7 hours in June to 40.3 hours in July, decline is usual at this time of year. HOUR PER WEEK A HOURS PER WEEK DURABLE MANUFACTURING NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING ...;.T 1952 1954 J 1955 BUILDING CONSTRUCTION i 1952 i , I 1954 RETAIL TRADE V^pvy^ ^ SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Hours per week, for production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Manufacturing r Period 1939 1946 1947 . . 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1954: June July August September October November December 1955: January February— March April_ May. _ June22 --. July Total _ .. _ . _ .. . _ ... _ . . . . _ - . „ __ _ _ _ _ _ _._ __ _ _ _ . _ _ _ 37.7 40.4 40.4 40. 1 39.2 40. 5 40. 7 40. 7 40. 5 39. 7 39. 5 39, 4 39. 7 39. 7 39. 9 40.2 40.5 40. 2 40.4 40. 6 40. 3 40. 8 40. 7 40. 3 Durable goods 38.0 40.2 40.6 40. 5 39.5 41.2 41. 6 41.5 41.3 40. 2 40. 0 39.7 40. 1 40. 1 40. 4 40.8 41. 1 40. 9 41. 1 41. 4 41. 2 41. 6 41. 3 40. 7 1 Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. 2 Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels of employment. Source: Department of Labor. 66672—55 3 T)__*| J'_ _. 15 uil ding Nondurable construction Retail trade goods 37.4 40. 5 40. 1 39. 6 38. 8 39. 7 39. 5 39. 6 39. 5 39. 0 38. 9 39. 0 39. 2 39. 3 39. 2 39. 5 39.8 39. 3 39. 5 39 7 39.0 39. 6 39. 9 39. 7 32. 6 38. 1 37. 6 *37. 3 36.7 36.3 37. 2 38. 1 37. 0 36. 2 37. 1 36.9 37.0 36.0 36.6 35. 8 36.0 35. 1 34. 7 35. 9 35.4 36. 7 36.8 (3) 42.7 40. 7 40. 3 40. 3 40. 4 40. 5 40. 2 39. 9 39. 2 39. 2 39 3 39. 8 39.7 39. 1 38.9 38. 7 39. 5 38. 9 38. 9 38 8 38.6 38. 8 39. 1 (3) »Not available. 13 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average hourly earnings of production workers in manufacturing were $1.88 in July, 1 cent higher than in June and 8 cents higher than in July of last year. DOLLARS PER HOUR DOLLARS PER HOUR EARNINGS IN CURRENT PRICES DIVIDED BY CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ON BASE 1954*100. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] All manufacturing Period Current 1954 prices prices l 1939 $0. 633 $1. 224 1946 1.086 1.496 1947 .. _ _ _ _ 1.237 1.487 1948 1.350 1.508 1949 _ _ _ 1.401 1.579 1950 ._ 1.465 1.637 1951 1. 64 1.59 1952 1.69 1.67 1953 1.77 1. 78 1954 1.81 1.81 1954: June1.80 1.81 July 1.80 1.79 August. 1. 79 1.79 Septemb er . 1.81 1.81 October 1.82 1.81 November . . _ 1.83 1.83 December 1.84 1.83 1955 1 January 1.84 1.85 February 1.85 1.86 March . 1.85 1.86 April 1. 86 1.87 May. 1.87 1.88 3 June 1.87 1.88 July* 1.88 (4) 1 2 Durable goods Nondurable goods Building Retail trade manufacturing manufacturing construction 1954 Current Current 1954 Current 1954 l Current 1954 prices prices 1 prices prices l prices prices * prices,^ prices $0. 698 $1. 350 $0. 582 $1. 126 $0. 932 $1. 803 $0. 542 $1. 048 1.592 1.015 1. 156 1.478 2.036 1.398 1.230 .893 1.292 1.553 1. 171 1.213 1.407 2 1.681 2 2.020 1.009 1.410 1.575 2. 065 1.216 1.278 1.428 1. 848 1.088 1. 656 1.469 1.325 2. 182 1. 494 1. 282 1. 935 1. 137 1.717 1.537 1.378 2.031 1. 314 1.540 2.269 1. 176 1.67 1.73 1.48 2. 19 1.53 2.26 1.30 1. 26 1.77 1. 54 1. 79 1.56 1.32 2.31 2.34 1.33 1.87 1.61 1.88 2. 48 1.61 2.49 1.40 1.40 1.92 1. 92 1. 66 1.66 2.60 2.60 1.45 1.45 1.90 1. 66 2.58 1.66 2.57 1.46 1.91 1.46 1.91 1. 66 1.90 1.66 2.58 1.47 1.47 2.57 1. 65 2. 60 1.91 1. 91 2.59 1.46 1.46 1.65 2.62 1.93 1.93 2.62 1.66 1.46 1. 66 1.46 1. 66 1.93 1. 94 2.63 1.47 1.66 2.64 1.47 1.94 1.94 1.67 2. 64 1.67 2.63 1.46 1.46 1.96 1.95 1.67 2.65 2.66 1. 68 1.44 1.45 1.96 1.97 1.68 2.65 2.66 1.69 1.48 1.49 1.97 1.96 1.68 2. 65 1.69 1.48 1.49 2.66 1. 98 1.68 1. 97 1.49 2.64 1.69 2.63 1.48 1. 99 1.98 1. 69 2.63 2.64 1.70 1.49 1. 50 1.99 2.00 1.70 1.71 2. 63 2.64 1. 50 1.51 1. 99 2. 00 1.70 1. 71 2. 64 2 65 1. 51 1.51 1.71 2.00 (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) (4) Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on base 1954=100. Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels of employment. Source: Department of Labor. 14 * Preliminary estimates. * Not available. AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Average weekly earnings of factory production workers declined from $76.11 in June to $75.76 in July as a result of the shorter workweek. The July figure was $4.84 higher than a year earlier. LLARS PER WEEK DOLLARS PER WEEK NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING J/ EARNINGS IN CURRENT PRICES DIVIDED BY CONSUMER PRICE INDEX ON BASE 1954 = 100. COUNCH. OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE:DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. Period 1939 1946 __ _ 1947 1948 ... _. 1949 .. _ 1950 1951 1952 __ 1953 1954 1954: June July « . August .. . September » October... November December 1955: January . February. March AprilMay June 3* July _ _ [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Durable goods Building All manufacturing manufacturing Nondurable goods Retail trade manufacturing construction 1954 Current 1954 l Current Current 1954 l Current 1954 Current 1954 prices prices l prices prices prices prices prices prices l prices * prices $23. 86 $46. 15 $26. 50 $51. 26 $21. 78 $42. 13 $30. 39 $58. 78 $23. 14 $44. 76 64.04 41. 14 60.36 46.49 43. 82 56. 67 56. 24 77.47 50.07 36.35 46.96 56.44 2 63. 30 2 76.08 60.06 52.46 63.05 49.97 40. 66 48.87 54. 14 50. 61 60.49 57. 11 63.81 56. 55 68. 85 76. 93 48.99 43.85 61.92 65. 42 54.92 58.03 51. 41 57.96 79. 99 70.95 51. 78 45. 93 63.32 54. 71 70. 75 66. 29 61. 13 53.22 59.33 73.73 82.38 47.63 66.92 71.84 58.46 69.47 64.71 60. 46 84. 25 81.47 52. 38 50.65 73.46 74.28 60.98 68. 73 61. 66 67.97 88.01 53.26 88.99 52.67 77.23 63. 60 77.46 71.69 71.91 92. 04 63.79 91.76 54.88 55.05 64.74 71.86 77. 18 77. 18 64.74 94. 12 71.86 94. 12 56.84 56.84 76.40 95.72 64.57 71.29 76. 17 64. 38 71. 50 57.21 57. 38 95.43 70.92 64. 74 70.71 75.83 75. 60 64. 55 95.20 94. 92 58.33 58.51 76.44 70. 92 76. 59 64. 68 71.06 64.55 96.20 96. 01 57.84 57.96 77.39 77.47 65.24 71.86 71.93 94. 32 65. 31 94.41 57.09 57. 15 65.07 72. 22 72.44 77.97 78.20 96.26 65.27 57. 18 57. 35 96. 55 73.42 79. 15 65.97 73.57 79.31 66. 10 94. 15 94.34 56.50 56.61 80.47 66.47 74. 12 74.42 66.74 80. 15 95. 40 56. 88 95. 78 57. 11 80. 16 66. 02 74. 27 80. 48 66. 29 93.02 73. 97 93.39 57.57 57.80 75.04 66.36 74.74 80.56 80.88 66.63 57.80 91. 96 57.57 92.33 81.56 81.89 66.70 94.42 75.41 66.97 75. 11 57. 42 57.65 94. 80 81.58 81.99 75.34 74.96 66.24 65. 91 93. 10 93.57 57.51 57.80 67. 32 82.78 83.20 96. 52 76.30 76.68 67.66 97.01 58.49 58. 20 82. 19 82. 44 67. 83 76. 11 97. 15 76. 34 68.03 59. 22 97. 44 59. 04 4 4 4 4 4 4 67. 89 81. 40 75. 76 () () () () () () W 1 Earnings in current prices divided by consumer price index on base 1954=100. 2 Data beginning with January 1948 are not strictly comparable with those for earlier periods. NOTE.—Beginning with 1953, data are based on first quarter 1954 benchmark levels of employment. Source: Department of Labor. 3 Preliminary estimates. * Not available. 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION According to preliminary estimates, the seasonally adjusted index of industrial production reached a new high of 140 (1947-49=100) in July. Durable goods manufacturing reached the previous peak in 1953 for the first time since the current expansion began. INDEX, 1947-49=100 INDEX, I94T-49MOO 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. [1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Total industrial production T>_ *^. J s. enod 1939 1946 1947 1948 _ 1949 1950 . 1951 1952.. . 1953 1954 i 1954- June July _ August September October November December1955* January February March _> April May June July » . . _. - »Preliminary estimates. 16 - --- _, - 58 90 100 104 97 112 120 124 134 125 124 123 123 124 126 128 130 132 133 135 136 138 139 140 Manufactures Minerals Total 57 90 100 103 97 113 121 125 136 127 125 124 125 126 128 130 131 133 134 136 138 140 141 143 Durable 49 86 101 104 95 116 128 136 153 137 135 134 135 137 139 142 143 145 147 148 151 153 155 157 Nondurable 66 95 99 102 99 111 114 114 118 116 116 114 114 115 117 118 119 121 121 124 125 127 128 128 68 91 100 106 94 105 115 114 116 111 114 112 109 108 109 113 116 120 123 121 120 121 123 122 Source : Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES production. Durable goods manufacturing industries shared unevenly in the July rise facturing showed i'tfle change, , 1947-49 = 100, SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED Nondurable goods manu- INDEX,I947-49 = 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED MACHINERY FABRICATED METAL 100 L L L CHEMICAL AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS 120 PAPER AND PRINTING FOODS, BEVERAGES, AND TOBACCO 19 TEXT ILES AND APPAREL V 80 1952 1953 1954 1955 1952 1953 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. 1954 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS {1947-49=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1939 __ 1947 1948 _1949 1950 1951 -_ _- .. . 1952 1953 _ _ 1954 l __ _ 1954: June July - - August _ _ _ _ September October NovemberDecember 1955: January February March ADril May June July i _ Nondurable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles Primary Machin- tation cated and and metals ery metal equipprodapparel products ment ucts 53 103 107 90 115 126 116 132 108 108 103 105 105 111 118 121 127 131 136 138 140 142 139 103 104 93 115 122 121 136 123 122 122 124 122 124 125 125 125 126 129 130 134 135 138 38 103 104 93 114 130 147 160 142 139 141 144 147 147 148 145 145 146 146 149 151 155 158 48 96 102 102 120 135 154 189 175 170 170 166 167 169 175 187 191 193 195 197 199 194 204 80 101 106 93 113 113 111 118 115 108 96 97 116 128 124 131 129 127 127 127 128 133 W 80 99 103 97 110 106 105 107 100 99 98 99 98 102 103 104 106 105 109 112 113 112 111 Paper and printing 96 103 101 114 118 118 125 125 126 126 126 127 127 127 127 129 130 133 134 137 138 138 Consumer Chemical Foods, durable and petro- beverleum ages, and goods products tobacco 97 103 100 118 132 133 142 142 142 141 141 144 143 145 148 148 151 153 155 158 160 162 101 100 100 103 105 106 107 106 108 105 105 105 105 106 106 107 106 108 110 110 109 109 98 102 101 133 114 105 127 116 118 116 115 114 112 119 125 131 135 139 144 145 147 155 i Preliminary estimates, 2Not available. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System,, 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION Electric power production was at a new high during July. Car and truck assemblies during the month were higher than in June, but steel and paperboard output and bituminous coal mining were lower. MILLIONS OF TONS MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) BITUMINOUS COAL .•••... ... .......... ***"%..•••.. ... A *^«* J F M BILLIONS OF KILOWATT HOURS SOURCES: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, Period Weekly average: 1950 1951 . __ 1952 1953 __1954 1954: July _ _ August September October November December 1955: January— February March April May June 3 July _ Week ended : 1955: July 2 9 16 23 30 3 August 6 3 13 ___ DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE, AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Steel produced Cars and trucks power coal mined produced loaded Thousands Percent of distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands assembled (thousands) theoretical (millions of of net of short Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) capacity 1 Mlowatt-hours) tons) 2 tons 1,857 2,018 1,782 2, 141 1,694 1,499 1, 505 1,591 1,738 1,886 1,875 1,995 2, 124 2,253 2,288 2,331 2,272 2,061 96.9 100.9 85.8 94.9 71.0 62.9 63. 1 66.7 72.9 79. 1 78.6 82.7 88.0 93.4 94.8 96.6 94. 1 85.4 6, 183 6,958 7,451 8, 244 8,883 8,841 9, 122 9, 040 9, 124 9,240 9,645 9,936 9,902 9,796 9,658 9,741 9,986 10, 386 1,687 1,772 1,548 1,521 1,304 1, 184 1,288 1,379 1,410 1,498 1,502 1,444 1,463 1,376 1,366 1,523 1,617 1,573 748 779 730 737 651 658 677 687 726 671 610 631 644 656 693 766 756 758 214 229 213 241 236 199 246 235 254 254 227 243 260 270 263 275 278 232 154.2 129.8 106.8 141. 1 125.6 117.6 116.4 82.8 70.8 134.2 159.4 178. 9 185. 0 198. 1 207.6 204.2 168. 1 183.8 128.4 102.7 83.4 118. 0 106.0 100.3 99.8 67.5 55.8 113.7 138.9 156.9 169.2 174. 1 177.0 173.3 141.8 158.0 25.9 27.2 23.4 23.2 19.7 17.3 16.5 15.3 15. 0 20.5 20.5 22.0 15. 8 23.9 30.6 30.9 26.2 25. 8 1,716 2,073 2, 202 2, 195 2, 190 2, 098 2, 192 71. 1 85. 9 91. 2 91.0 90. 7 86. 9 90.8 10, 138 9,759 10, 440 10, 620 10, 727 4 10, 925 1, 723 1,478 1,622 1, 582 1, 602 697 653 799 786 796 765 279 156 226 265 280 278 184. 7 155. 7 195.4 196.4 187. 5 165. 7 158.4 134. 1 167.5 169. 1 161. 4 142. 6 26.3 21. 6 28. 0 27.3 26. 1 23. 1 * Percent of capacity based on weekly net ton capacity of 1,906,268 for the first half of 1950; 1,928,721 beginning July 1,1950; 1,999,034 beginning January 1,1951; 2,077,040 beginning January 1,1952; 2,254,459 beginning January 1,1953; 2,384,549 beginning January 1,1954; and 2,413,278 beginning January 1,1955. 2 3 4 Daily average for week. Preliminary estimates. Not plotted. Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Pepartment of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, National Paperboard Association, and Ward's Automotive Reports. 18 NEW CONSTRUCTION In July, expenditures for total new construction, expressed as a seasonally adjusted annual rate, continued at $42 billion. Private construction rose to a new high, while public construction declined. On a seasonally adjusted basis, construction contracts awarded were 5 percent below the June level, but nearly 25 percent higher than a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 50 0 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I -I I I 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 20 PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL^ (NONFARM) >y t.- ^ * ..»**"*** OTHER PRIVATE 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 1 1 1 i I960 i i i 1 i 1 i l I 1 I 1951 I i i l i 1 i i i i | 1952 1 1 1 1 1 I M i l l 1 1 i I i 1 1 1 i 1 1 1954 1953 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEPARTMENT OF LABOR. l i j i i 1 l l I i i 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Total new construction Period 1939. _ 1946 1947 _ 1948 1949 _ 1950__~ 1951 _ 1952. _ 1953 1954 _ __ _ -_ _ _ __ _ _ - _ ... _ _ _ _ _ _ 8.2 12.0 16.7 21.7 22. 8 28.5 31. 2 33.0 35.3 37. 6 Private Total Residential (nonfarm) private 4. 4 2. 7 9.6 4. 0 13. 3 6.3 16.9 8.6 16.4 8. 3 12. 6 21.5 21.8 11.0 22. 1 11. 1 11. 9 23.9 25. 8 13. 5 Other 1.7 5.6 6.9 8. 3 8.1 8.9 10.8 11.0 11. 9 12. 3 Federal, State, and local 3. 8 2.4 3.4 4. 8 6.4 7.0 9.4 10. 9 11. 4 11.8 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1954: June - -_ July August _ September OctoberNovember _ __ December _ __ _ 1955: January February.. _ _ March- _ _ April May June 2 _ ______ Julv 37. 3 37.6 38.4 38.4 37. 6 39.0 41. 1 41. 1 41. 4 41.3 41.9 42. 4 42.0 42. 0 25.5 26.2 26.7 27.0 26. 9 27.2 28. 2 28.8 29.2 29.4 30. 0 30.0 29.8 30. 3 13. 2 13.8 14.3 14.6 14. 5 14. 7 15. 7 16.0 16. 1 16.0 16. 4 16. 4 16.3 16. 6 12. 3 12.4 12.4 12.4 12. 3 12.5 12.5 12. 7 13. 1 13.4 13. 6 13.6 13. 5 13. 7 1 Compiled by F. W. Dodge Corporation; seasonally adjusted by the National Bureau of Economic Research. Omits small contracts, and covers rural areas less fully than urban. Sources: Department of Commerce, Department of Labor, and F. W. Dodge Corporation (except as noted). 11.8 11.4 11. 7 11.4 10. 8 11.8 12. 9 12.4 12.2 12.0 11. 9 12. 3 12.2 11. 7 Construction contracts awarded in 37 Eastern States 1 3. 6 7.5 7.8 9.4 10.4 14.5 15.8 16.8 17.4 19. 8 Annual rates UnSeasonally adjusted adjusted 20. 8 22. 0 18. 9 21. 8 28. 6 18. 0 21.9 18. 0 19. 0 25. 6 27. 9 26. 2 27. 1 27. 3 2 Preliminary estimates. 19.3 19. 3 18. 3 18. 9 23.4 20. 9 22. 9 24.4 25.6 26. 1 24.4 22. 8 25. 1 23. 9 19 HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING The number of private nonfarrn housing starts declined from 1.3 to 1.2 million units (seasonally adjusted annual rate) between June and July. MILLIONS pF UNITS MILLIONS OF UNITS •I/SEE FOOTNOTE I ON TABLE BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of units] Proposed home construction New nonfarm housing starts Period Annual total: 1939___ 1946 1948.-1949 1950___ 1951 . 1952___ 1953 1954___ Monthly average: 1950_ 19531954. 1954: June July August September October November December 1955: Januarv Februarv March April Mav June 4 Julv 1 Total 515. 0 670. 5 931. 6 1, 025. 1 1, 396. 0 1, 091. 3 1, 127. 0 1, 103. 8 1, 220. 4 116. 3 92.0 101. 7 116.5 116. 0 114.3 115. 7 110. 7 103.6 90.6 87.6 89.9 113.8 132.0 4 132. 0 4 129. 0 115.0 Publicly financed 56.6 8.0 18. 1 36. 3 43.8 71.2 58.5 35.5 18.7 3.6 3.0 1.6 3.9 3. 1 1.3 2.3 .2 .3 .7 .3 2.0 1.0 1.5 4 2. 5 4 2. 5 .8 Total 458.4 662. 5 913.5 988. 8 1, 352. 2 1, 020. 1 1, 068. 5 1, 068. 3 1, 201. 7 112. 7 89.0 100. 1 112. 6 112.9 113.0 113.4 110.5 103.3 89. 9 87.3 87.9 112.8 130.5 * 129. 5 4 126. 5 114. 2 Privately financed Government underwritten Total VA FHA 158. 1 158. 1 2 152.0 83. 0 69.0 294. 1 2 102. 0 396. 1 2 468.8 363.8 2 105. 0 200. 0 686.7 486.7 412.2 148. 6 263. 5 421. 2 141.3 279. 9 408. 6 156. 6 252.0 307.0 583.3 276. 3 57.2 40. 6 16. 7 13. 1 34.0 21.0 25.6 48.6 23. 0 27. 9 55.6 27.7 52.2 26. 8 25. 4 60.3 33.3 27.0 33. 9 59.8 25. 9 58.2 33.5 24.7 62. 4 36. 0 26.3 29. 1 50.7 21.5 26. 1 46. 1 20.0 28.0 45.3 17.2 53. 6 29.8 23.8 34. 5 25.8 60.3 37.8 65. 9 28.0 39. 5 32. 1 71. 6 37.4 62.9 25. 5 Private, seasonally adjusted annual rates 4 4 1, 175 1, 188 1, 211 1,248 1,287 1,393 1,478 1,416 1,370 1,367 1,350 1, 306 1, 320 1,202 Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. * Estimated. * Not available. Sources: Department of Labor, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). 20 Applications for FHA commitments l 167.8 121.7 293.2 327.0 397.7 192.8 267. 9 253. 7 338.6 33. 1 21. 1 28.2 35.2 30. 1 32.2 34. 8 29.3 26. 9 24. 3 25.6 28.3 35.6 33. 1 30. 1 30.8 24.3 Requests for VA appraisals 3 (3) () (3) (8) 164. 4 226.3 251.4 535. 4 3 () 21. 0 44. 6 52.7 52.3 55.4 51.3 45.6 47.7 44. 3 46.2 64.2 71.9 65.9 69.3 52.4 51.4 i Preliminary estimates. SALES AND INVENTORIES-MANUFACTURING AND TRADE In July, retail sales increased 2 percent, according to preliminary estimates. Total sales of manufacturing and trade firms (seasonally adjusted) increased 1 percent in June, due principally to a 2 percent increase in manufacturers' sales. Manufacturers1 new orders increased slightly from the May level and continued to exceed sales. Inventories of manufacturers and retailers also increased during June, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED TOTAL* AND MANUFACTURING RETAIL - ^INVENTORIES —»«""*"*"***"* —T" INVENTORIES »^*——— ^ SALES I 1 1 1 t 1 I 1 1 11 1 J 1 II | | 1 1 I I 1 1 1! i i 1 1 1 1 1 1952 1953 1954 i I I I I i i II I I 1955 INDEX, 1947-49- 100, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 140 INVENTORIES i i i I i i i i i * WHOLESALE, MANUFACTURING, AND RETAIL.. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND BO/ Period 1939 1946 . . 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952__ 1953 1954- 1954: May _ June July August _ _ _ _ September October November December 1955: January February March April May 5 June 5 July Man uf acturiiig Manufacturing and trade InvenNew Sales i tories 2 Sales * Inven- orders l tories 2 10.8 27.2 36.4 34. 7 39.9 4 44. 9 45.9 48.4 46. 7 46. 1 46. 9 46.6 46.3 46. 4 45.6 47. 6 48.7 48.7 48. 9 50.7 50.9 51.7 52.2 20. 1 42. 9 55. 6 52. 1 64. 1 4 75. 2 76.7 80.3 76. 9 78.9 78.6 77. 6 77. 3 77.0 76.9 77. 1 76.9 76.9 77. 3 77.5 77.7 78.4 78.8 Wholesale Retail InvenSales i tories 2 Sales * Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 11. 5 5. 1 5.4 3. 5 3. 1 2.2 12. 6 24. 5 8. f, 13.7 6. 6 6.0 ](). «» 17.6 31.7 17.4 8. 1 7.9 10. « : 16.4 7.9 15. 9 28. 9 7.4 Jl.'. < i 19.3 21. 0 34.3 10. 5 8.7 4 •« •» 22. 3 11. 1 24. 5 42.8 9.4 11. 3 23. 6 43. 8 22.8 9.4 -I. :\ 11. 7 24.9 45. 9 23.4 9.3 i. :* 11. f> 22. 4 23. 4 43. 3 9. 1 -1. 0 23.2 21. 9 44. 3 11. X 8.9 -i. I 22. 0 23. 3 44. 2 1. '.) 9. 1 i, :•; 23.2 1. s 21.4 43. 4 9. 1 !. s •J, 2 21. 9 23. 1 43. 1 9. 1 •i. 2 1, 7 42. 9 23. 3 9.2 23. 0 •I, 1 22.5 1. 7 22. 9 43. 2 9.0 -I. -l 1, 7 43. 3 24. 0 9.3 23. 1 5. 1 1. f> 24. 1 43.3 24. 8 9. 5 4. 9 1. 5 43.2 24. 3 24. 6 9. 5 1. 7 24. 8 24. 6 14. 8 43. 3 9. 5 1. 6 15. 1 26. 5 43.3 26.0 9. 7 1. 7 43. 3 15. 3 26. 1 26.0 9. 6 15.4 26.7 9, 7 27. 7 43. 5 1.8 27.2 15.3 27. 8 43.8 9. 7 11. 8 15. 6 I » r l ' ? U i :n Iim-.M tori*- '-' I 1 «> I , , ;-, 1 li'. ;•; V1. ? : i , r» >',». i J'J. S !2. 0 22. 4 22. 5 22. 4 22. 0 22. 1 22. 1 22. 2 22. 4 22. 6 22. 8 23.0 23. 2 •i\\. ;•: lores Inventories 3 • ! » . , ! . • > . HM7T-49 = 100, ..-.-. M i u i l h adjusted 35 :*5 90 77 104 107 98 100 105 109 109 129 110 118 112 126 111 122 121 108 112 122 111 124 112 124 108 125 113 124 114 124 117 124 118 123 112 121 113 123 123 119 124 117 116 128 123 i Monthly average for year and total for month. * New series on retail trade beginning with 1951; not comparable with previous 2 Book value, end of period. data. See Survey of Current Business, September and November 1952, for detail. 8 3 Book value, end of period, except annual data, which are monthly averages. Preliminary estimates. f\~t Sources: Department of Commerce and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. "^ MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS For the first half of the year, commercial exports were 10 percent higher and imports 5 percent higher than in the corresponding period of 1954. Total merchandise exports were 1 percent lower than in the first half of 1954 because of the decline in military aid shipments. MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,800 MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1950 I/SEE FOOTNOTES I AND 2 ON TABLE BEtOW. SOURCES". DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND DEI COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Merchandise exports Period Total i Q^fi—-38 monthly average i oj.7 mnnt.lilv avGiase -i Q4.R monthly average —— — 1 QAQ mnntlllv fLVBTfiffe iQ^l monthly average 101^0 rvi ATI tM v ftVGrace ___ i Q^4 rnonthlv averase Tiilv " September H. i December i Q ^ ^ • la niiarv April Miay June — — -- ——— - __ — — Excess of exports (+) or imports ( — ) Grant-aid shipments 1 Excluding grant-aid shipments 54 96 757 1,182 24 89 166 293 188 264 359 268 200 153 104 85 98 85 95 92 94 131 128 833 1, 164 1, 100 1,022 1,070 1, 137 1, 115 1,023 955 961 1, 161 1, 164 1,221 1,080 1, 138 1, 250 1, 170 1, 177 1, 187 247 812 1,278 1,054 1,003 856 1,253 1,266 1,314 1,258 1,401 1,474 1,291 1, 156 1, 114 1, 265 1, 249 1,318 1, 166 1,233 1,342 1, 264 1,308 1, 315 Merchandise imports 207 412 480 594 552 738 914 893 906 851 829 946 822 825 780 764 839 942 870 850 1,019 871 956 3 925 Total + 40 + 400 + 798 +460 + 452 + 118 + 339 + 373 + 408 + 407 + 572 + 528 + 469 + 331 + 334 + 502 + 410 + 376 + 295 + 384 + 324 + 393 + 352 Excluding grant-aid shipments + 345 + 702 3 + 95 + 250 + 207 + 116 + 219 + 308 + 168 + 202 + 130 + 181 + 398 + 325 + 279 + 210 + 289 + 231 + 299 + 221 +262 TI -rmiru? with 1950 figures include only Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supplies and equipment under the Mutual Security Program Shipments for'the first 6 months of the program (July-December 1950) amounted to 282 million dollars. 22 NOTE—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Department of Commerce and Department of Defense- PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The average of consumer prices increased slightly in June. INDEX, 1947-49- IOO 140 INDEX, 1947-49 = 100 140 - 120 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49=100] All items Period 1939 1946 1947 1948 1949 _ 1950 1951 1952 „ 1953 1954 1954: MayJune July August September October November December 1955: January February . March April May June i Not available. _ _ _ 59.4 83.4 95.5 102.8 101.8 102.8 111.0 113.5 114.4 114. 8 115. 0 115. 1 115. 2 115. 0 114. 7 114. 5 114.6 114.3 114.3 114. 3 114. 3 114.2 114. 2 114. 4 Food Housing Total 47.1 79.0 95. 9 104. 1 100.0 101.2 112.6 114. 6 112. 8 112. 6 113.3 113.8 114. 6 113.9 112.4 111.8 111. 1 110.4 110.6 110.8 110.8 111.2 111. 1 111. 3 1 C) (>) 95.0 101.7 103.3 106. 1 112.4 114.6 117.7 119. 1 118.9 118. 9 119.0 119. 2 119. 5 119. 5 119. 5 119. 7 119. 6 119.6 119. 6 119.5 119. 4 119. 7 Apparel Transportation 52.5 83. 7 97. 1 103.5 99.4 98. 1 106. 9 105.8 104. 8 104. 3 104.2 104. 2 104.0 103.7 104.3 104. 6 104. 6 104. 3 103.3 103. 4 103. 2 103. 1 103. 3 103. 2 « « 90.6 100.9 108. 5 111.3 118.4 126.2 129. 7 128. 0 129. 1 128.9 126. 7 126. 6 126.4 125.0 127. 6 127.3 127. 6 127.4 127.3 125. 3 125.5 125.8 Rent 86.6 91.4 94.4 100.7 105.0 108.8 113. 1 117.9 124. 1 128. 5 128.3 128.3 128. 5 128. 6 128.8 129.0 129. 2 129. 4 129.5 129. 7 130. 0 129.9 130. 3 130. 4 Reading Other Medical Personal and goods care care recreaand tion services (l) C1) 94. 9 100.9 104. 1 106. 0 111. 1 117.2 121. 3 125.2 125. 1 125. 1 125.2 125. 5 125.7 125. 9 126. 1 126.3 126.5 126.8 127. 0 127.3 127.5 127.6 C1) C1) 97.6 101. 3 101. 1 101. 1 110.5 111. 8 112.8 113. 4 113.0 112.7 113. 3 113.4 113.5 113. 4 113.8 113. 6 113.7 113.5 113. 5 113. 7 113. 9 114. 7 C1) 0) 95.5 100.4 104. 1 103.4 106.5 107.0 108.0 107.0 106.4 106.4 107.0 106. 6 106.5 106.9 106. 8 106. 6 106.9 106.4 106. 6 106. 6 106. 5 106. 2 (*) C1) 96. 1 100. 5 103. 4 105.2 109.7 115.4 118.2 120. 1 120. 1 120. 1 120.3 120. 2 120. 1 120. 1 120. 0 119. 9 119.9 119.8 119.8 119.8 119. 9 119.9 Source: Department of Labor. 23 WHOLESALE PRICES The average of wholesale prices increased in July, as increased prices for industrial commodities more than offset declines in the average prices of farm products and processed foods. I960 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1947-49=100] All commodities Period 1939 1946 1947. 1948 194919501951 1952195319541954: June July August September October NovemberDecember 1955: January February _ March April May June _ July Week ended: 1 1355: August 2 9 1 24 . « _ _ 50 1 78. 7 96. 4 104. 4 99. 2 103. 1 114. 8 111. 6 110. 1 110. 3 110. 0 110. 4 110. 5 110. 0 109. 7 110.0 109. 5 110. 1 110. 4 110. 0 110. 5 109. 9 110. 3 110. 1 _ _ _ _ _ no. i Processed foods Other than farm products and foods (industrial) 36 5 83. 2 100. 0 107. 3 92. 8 97. 5 113. 4 107. 0 97. 0 95. 6 94. 8 96. 2 95.8 93. 6 93. 1 93. 2 89. 9 92. 5 93. 1 92. 1 94. 2 91. 2 91. 8 89. 5 no. o Weekly series based on a smaller sample than the monthly series Source: Department of Labor. Farm products ' 43 3 77 6 98. 2 106 1 95. 7 99. 8 111 4 108. 8 104. 6 105. 3 105. 0 106. 5 106.4 105. 5 103. 7 103. 8 103. 5 103. 8 103. 2 101. 6 102. 5 102. 1 103. 9 103. 1 58 1 78. 3 95. 3 103. 4 101. 3 105.0 115. 9 113. 2 114. 0 114. 5 114. 2 114. 3 114. 4 114. 4 114. 5 114. 8 114. 9 115. 2 115.7 115. 6 115. 7 115. 5 115. 6 116. 5 87. 2 87.8 101. 1 100. 9 116.7 116.7 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS The index of prices received by farmers declined 2 percent during the month ended July 15. The index of prices paid by farmers was slightly lower than a month earlier. The parity ratio dropped 2 points to 84—4 points below a year earlier. INDEX, I9IO-I4* IOO 325 INDEX, I9IO-I4 *!00 325 125 1955 1950 -^RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO PARITY INDEX. SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Period 1939 1946 1947 1948 _ _ 1949 1950 1951 „ 1952 1953 1954 _ 1954* June 15 July 15 August 15 September 15 October 15 November 15 December 15 1955* January 15 February 15 March 15 April 15 May 15 June 15 J U ly 15 __ _ . _ __ . _ - __.. -- - - Prices paid by farmers Parity index (prices paid, Prices refor items used in ceived by interest, taxes, and farmers Family Producwage rates) living tion Index, 1910-14=100 121 120 95 123 202 191 2 236 208 224 237 276 240 251 260 287 250 243 250 238 251 246 246 256 258 282 302 273 268 274 271 287 288 270 253 279 258 274 252 249 281 252 276 282 247 277 247 245 280 277 250 282 249 273 246 251 280 242 273 250 279 272 251 279 242 272 250 239 279 254 273 283 243 271 256 244 283 256 273 284 243 274 254 247 284 274 251 282 244 274 250 282 243 274 248 237 281 i Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to parity index. * Includes wartime subsidies paid on beef cattle, sheep, lambs, milk, and butterfat between October 1943 and June 1946. Source: Department>f Agriculture. Parity ratio l 77 113 115 110 100 101 107 100 92 89 88 88 88 88 87 87 86 86 86 86 87 87 86 84 25 CURRENCY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS CURRENCY AND DEPOSITS Demand deposits were unchanged between the end of May and the end of June/ a decrease is usual at this time of the year. On a seasonally adjusted basis, total deposits (excluding Government) and currency have changed very little since the end of April. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS END OF MONTH TOTAL DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY TOTAL EXCLUDING U.S. GOVERNMENT DEPOSITS 160 160 120 120 DEMAND DEPOSITS ADJUSTED TIME DEPOSITS CURRENCY OUTSIDE BANKS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] End of period 1946 --1948. 1949 1950. ~ 1951 „__ ____ 1952 1953_._. „-1954. . 1954: May — June July _ August -September „ October November . December 4 1955: January 4 . February March 4 April 44 May June 4 ~_ Total deposits and currency 167. 5 172.7 173. 9 180.6 189.9 200.4 205.7 214.8 203. 6 205.3 204.8 206.3 207.7 211. 3 213.3 214.8 213.4 212.0 210. 6 213.0 212. 6 213.0 U. S. Government deposits * 3.5 3. 6 4. 1 3.7 3.9 5. 6 4.8 5. 1 5.6 6.8 4.4 6.0 5.2 6.6 7.5 5. 1 4.2 5. 1 5.3 5. 6 5.9 5.6 Total excluding U. S. Government deposits (privately held money supply) Currency Demand Time Total outside deposits deposits a banks adjusted a 164.0 169. 1 169.8 176, 9 186.0 194. 8 200.9 209.7 198.0 198.5 200.4 200.3 202. 5 204.7 205.8 209.7 209. 2 206. 9 205.3 207.4 206.7 207.4 26.7 26. 1 25. 4 25. 4 26.3 27.5 28. 1 27.9 26. 8 27. 1 26. 8 26.9 26.9 26.9 27.5 27.9 26.8 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.8 27. 1 83.3 85. 5 85.8 92.3 98.2 101.5 102.5 106.6 98.7 98. 1 100.0 99.4 101.2 103. 1 104.0 106.6 107.0 104.5 102.4 104.5 103.4 103.4 »Includes U. S, Government deposits at Federal Keserve banks and commercial and savings banks, and U. S. Treasurer's time deposits, open account. * Includes demand deposits, other than interbank and U, S. Government, less cash items in process of collection. > Includes deposits in commercial banks, mutual savings banks, and Postal Savings System, but excludes interbank deposits. * Preliminary estimates. Nora.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. 54.0 57. 5 58.6 59. 2 61.4 65. 8 70.4 75.3 72. 5 73.3 73.7 74. 0 74.4 74.8 74.3 75.3 75.4 75.7 76.2 76.2 76.5 77.0 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board. BANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, AND RESERVES Total loans and investments of commercial banks were unchanged between the end of May and the end of June. A rise of $1.8 billion in loans was offset by a decline in holdings of U. S. Government securities. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS TOTAL LOANS AND INVESTMENTS V 120 \ 8O I 20 80 BANK LOANS* 40 20 40 20 ^INVESTMENT IN OTHER SECURITIES 1952 1953 END OF MONTH SOURCE: BOflRO OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYStEM Total loans and investments End of period 1949 1950__ 1951 1952 1953 . 1954 -__ 1954: May June July .. August- -_.. September . October . November December _ 1955: January * 4 .. February _ » March 4 . April 4 .May 4 4 June July 4 _ - __ - 120.2 126. 7 132.6 141.6 145.7 155.9 145. 7 146.4 147.3 149.5 150. 6 154.0 155.7 155.9 156.2 154.8 153.5 155.5 155.5 155.5 [Billions of dollars] All commercial banks Investments U.S. Gov- Other Loans Total ernment securities securities 77.2 43.0 10.2 67.0 74.4 52. 2 12.4 62. 0 57.7 74.9 13.3 61.5 64.2 14. 1 77.5 63.3 67.6 63.4 78. 1 14.7 70.6 85.3 16.3 69.0 67. 1 78. 6 63.3 15.3 79.0 67.3 63.5 15.5 80. 0 67.3 64. 3 15.7 83.0 66.5 67.3 15.7 67.3 83.3 16.0 67. 3 70.2 67.7 86.3 16. 1 69.4 86.3 70. 1 16. 2 70.6 85.3 69.0 16.3 85.7 70.6 69.0 16.7 83.6 71.2 66.8 16.8 81.2 72.3 64. 2 17.0 82.6 72.9 65. 6 17.0 81.6 64. 9 73.9 16.7 79.8 63.0 16. 8 75.7 'COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Weekly reporting member banks * 2 Business loans 2 13. 9 17.9 21. 6 23.4 23.4 22.4 21. 9 21.9 21.5 20.8 21. 0 21.0 22. 1 22.4 22.0 22.1 22.6 22.5 22. 6 23. 5 23.5 All member banks *8 BorrowReserve balances ings at Federal Required Excess Reserve Banks 17.0 .1 .8 15.6 .8 .1 18.5 .8 .3 .7 19.6 .8 19.3 .7 .8 18.5 .8 .1 18. 8 .7 .2 .9 18.8 .1 .8 18.3 .1 17.6 .8 .1 17.6 .8 .1 18.2 ,7 .1 18.4 .8 .2 .7 18.6 .2 18.4 .7 .3 18.2 .6 .4 .6 18.0 .5 18.2 .6 .5 .6 18. 2 .4 .6 18. 1 .4 18.2 .5 .6 1 Member banks include, besides all national banks, those State banks that have taken membership in the Federal Eeserve System. 2 Commercial, industrial, and agricultural loans; revised series beginning January 1952. Such loans by weekly reporting member banks represent approximately 70 percent of business loans by all commercial banks. * Data are averages of daily figures on balances and borrowings during the period. < Preliminary estimates. NOTE.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because>f rounding. Source:lBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 CONSUMER CREDIT In June, total consumer credit outstanding rose $900 million to a new high of $32,5 billion. The increase of $2,5 billion during the second quarter exceeds any past performance. Increased instalment financing of automobile purchases accounted for most of the rise. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 35 35 TOTAL CREDIT OUTSTANDING -INSTALMENT CREDIT NONINSTALMENT CREDIT^ 1955 1950 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM, COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars} Total consumer End of period credit outstanding 1939 1946 1947 . 1948 --1949 1950 1951 . 1952 1953 1954 1954* May June July August September. October November. December. 1U55: January 1'Y.bniary _ Miirch..".. A p r i l . .. 7,222 8,384 11, 570 14,411 17, 104 20, 813 21, 468 25, 827 29, 537 30, 125 28, 372 28, 666 28, 725 28, 736 28, 856 28, 975 29, 209 30, 125 29, 760 29, 518 29, 948 {0, 655 JlllH' VI, -171 May M, r>os Instalment credit outstanding Total 4,503 4, 172 6,695 8,968 11,516 14, 490 14, 837 18, 684 22, 187 22, 467 21, 487 21,717 21, 849 21, 901 21, 935 21, 952 22, 014 22, 467 22, 436 22, 508 22, 974 23, 513 24, 149 24, 914 Automobile paper * 1,497 981 1,924 3,054 4,699 6,342 6,242 8,099 10, 341 10, 396 10, 002 10, 168 10, 298 10, 349 10, 365 10, 340 10, 296 10, 396 10, 459 10, 641 11,053 11, 482 11, 985 12, 561 Other Repair and consumer moderni- Personal zation loans goods paper l loans 2 298 1,620 1,088 1,290 405 1,496 2,143 1,910 718 2,842 2,229 843 3,486 2,444 887 4,337 1,006 2,805 4,270 3,235 1,090 3,851 5,328 1,406 4,366 1,649 5,831 4,787 1,616 5,668 1,634 4,481 5,370 5,367 1, 635 4,547 5,328 1,637 4,586 1,642 5,294 4,616 4,641 1,642 5,287 5,324 4,651 1,637 4,689 5,398 1,631 5, 668 1,616 4,787 1,574 4,794 5,609 1,550 5,484 4,833 1,530 4,912 5,479 5,492 1,534 5,005 1,546 5,555 5,063 1,562 5, 152 5, 639 Noninstalment credit outstanding Total 2,719 4,212 4,875 5,443 5,588 6,323 6,631 7,143 7,350 7,658 6,885 6,949 6,876 6,835 6,921 7,023 7, 195 7,658 7,324 7,010 6,974 7, 142 7,419 7,557 Charge accounts 1,414 2, 076 2, 353 2,713 2,680 3,006 3,096 3,342 3,411 3,518 2,786 2,819 2,773 2,734 2,807 2,892 3,042 3,518 3,225 2,831 2,735 2,859 3,011 3,040 InstalInstalment ment credit ex- credit 8 tended repaid * 8,495 12, 713 15, 540 18, 002 21, 256 22, 791 28, 397 30, 321 29, 304 2,397 2,703 2,549 2,477 2, 441 2,454 2,554 3,046 2,389 2,416 3,159 3,089 3,206 3,443 vdit i-jtiMuicd for the purpose of purchasing automobiles and other consumer goods and secured by the items purchased. s held hy financial institutions; those held by retail outlets are included in "other consumer goods paper." i< l 'lurlnn HH* jmiiod. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Keserve System. 6,785 10, 190 13, 267 15, 454 18, 282 22, 444 24, 550 26, 818 29, 024 2,336 2, 473 2,417 2,425 2,407 2,437 2,492 2,593 2,420 2,344 2,693 2,550 2,570 2, 678 BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES Interest rates rose during July and early August. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM 4 4 1950 1955 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM. Period 1939 1948 - ... 1949 . .. .. _ 1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 . 1954; June July _. August September .. _ ._ October November December 1955: January. February ... March April May June July Week ended: 1955: July 2 9 16 23 ... 30 August 6 13 [Percent per annum] U. S. Government security yields High-grade 3-month municipal Taxable bonds 2 Treasury bonds 6 Old series 8 New series * bills1 0.023 2.76 2.44 2.40 1.040 1. 102 2.31 2.21 2.32 1.98 1.218 1.552 2.57 2.00 2.68 2. 19 1.766 2.93 2.72 1.931 3. 16 .953 2.53 2.70 2.37 2.54 .650 2.70 2.48 .710 2.62 2.47 2.31 .892 2.60 2.48 2.23 2. 51 2.64 1.007 2.29 2.52 2.32 .987 2.65 2. 55 .948 2.68 2.29 2.57 1. 174 2.68 2.33 2.65 1.257 2.39 2.76 4 2.72 1. 177 2. 92 2. 42 2.92 2.71 1.335 2.45 2.77 2. 92 1.620 2.43 2.91 1.491 2.75 2.41 1.432 2.91 2.76 2.48 1.622 2.62 2. 87 2.96 1.401 1. 541 1.606 1.620 1.720 1.850 1.889 2. 81 2.82 2.83 2. 90 2.94 2.94 2.90 1 Rate on new issues within period. 2 Bonds in this classification were first issued in March 1941. i Beginning April 1952, 2H-pereent bonds first callable after 12 yean. Prior to that, only bondi due or callable after 16 years were included. 2.94 2. 94 2.94 2.96 2.99 3.03 3.02 2.55 2.60 2.62 2.62 2. 64 2.66 2. 66 Corporate bonds ( Moody 's) Aaa 3.01 2.82 2.66 2.62 2.86 2.96 3.20 2.90 2.90 2.89 2.87 2.89 2.87 2.89 2. 90 2.93 2. 99 3. 02 3.01 3.04 3.05 3.05 Baa 4. 96 3.47 3.42 3.24 3.41 3.52 3.74 3.51 3.49 3.50 3.49 3.47 3.46 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.47 3.48 3.49 3.50 3.51 3. 52 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 0.59 1.44 1.49 1.45 2. 16 2.33 2.52 1.58 1.56 1.45 1.33 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.47 1.68 1.69 1.90 2.00 2.00 2.11 3.05 3.05 3. 05 3.05 3.07 3.09 3.09 3.51 3.51 3. 52 3.52 3.53 3.55 3.56 2.00 2.05 2.06 2. 14 2. 19 2.28 2.31 * 3H-pereent bonds of 1978-83, issued in May 1953; and 3-percent bonds of IQQ* issued in February 1955. ' 8 Standard and Poor's. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 29 STOCK PRICES Stock prices rose during'July and declined in early August. INDEX, 1939 = 100 INDEX, 1939*100 500 500 400 300 300 200 I960 1955 1951 SOURCE: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION. Period Weekly average: 1946 ..... .... 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952_ 1953 1954 1954: August September October November December 1955: January- - February March.. April May June July Week ended: 1955: July 1 8 15 22 29 August 5 _ 30 Composite index * COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS M anuf acturing TransDurable Nondura- portation Total ble goods goods Utilities Trade, finance, Mining and service 149.4 130.9 132.7 127, 7 154. 1 184.9 195.0 193.3 229.8 237.1 240. 4 243.6 254.4 267.7 270.6 281.0 279.6 286.8 289. 0 302. 9 318.8 146.6 132.4 136.8 132. 1 165.7 206.8 220.2 220. 1 271.3 280.0 285.6 291. 2 305.2 322.7 326.4 340. 0 336. 9 347.0 349.6 370. 1 394.6 138.6 119. 9 124.3 116.0 150.2 178.5 188.8 192. 6 245.2 257.0 260. 2 267.4 284. 4 298.3 306. 9 320. 0 318.2 326. 8 324.5 344.4 366. 1 154.5 144.6 148.6 147.2 180.2 233. 1 249.3 245.2 295.2 301.0 308. 8 312.8 324.0 345.0 344. 0 358.2 353.8 365.3 372.4 393.4 420.7 202.4 149.1 158. 1 136.0 160.0 199.0 220.6 218.7 232.6 237. 1 236.0 240.4 259.4 284.8 288. 1 300.3 305.4 320.5 326.0 336.5 333.9 121.0 105.5 99,3 98. 1 108.9 112.6 117.9 12L5 135.8 140.8 139.8 138.2 141.2 144. 1 145. 3 150.0 150. 9 152. 1 153. 5 154.3 156. 6 204. 3 162.8 156.9 160.7 183.8 207.9 206.0 207.1 235.6 243. 1 247.2 248.6 260.4 267.5 269. 8 276.0 274.6 277.3 280.5 294. 2 304.3 125.5 117.2 133.0 129.4 143.5 204.9 275.7 240.5 267.0 262.6 267.8 269.4 277.9 310.3 314.4 314.6 315. 1 311.3 302.6 313. 8 317.2 314.2 318.5 318.2 321. 1 322. 1 315.6 388. 3 395. 0 393.4 397. 3 399. 2 389. 9 355.4 363. 2 365.4 371. 1 375. 2 369. 2 418. 3 424. 1 418. 9 421.2 420. 9 40S. 7 338.0 331. 1 332. 6 335. 9 331. 7 323. 9 154. 1 154. 6 157. 0 ] 58. 2 159. 0 157. 6 299. 6 307. 6 305. 4 305. 5 303. 4 300. 8 323. 1 313.3 315.8 318.9 315. 1 312.0 1 Includes 2fi5 common stocks: 98 for durable goods manufacturing, 72 lor nondurable goods manufacturing, 21 for transportation, 29 for utilities ,31 for trade, finance, and service, and 14 for mining. Indexes arc for wee&ly closing prices. Source: Securities and Exchange Commission. FEDERAL FINANCE BUDGET RECEIPTS AND EXPENDITURES Fiscal year 1955 closed with a budget deficit of $4.2 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL BUDGET EXPENDITURES NET BUDGET RECEIPTS 75 75 rrr^ 50 __ %;>:;: if 25 i i n 0 1950 <m ^7 !| : _ "•"<•" :-:*x: pi] 50 •//:••/. '•/:••/:< — m :,<;•.;: .*«v. AV. ' n s n ^ K p B ££> :>;-x ^V""^ 1951 1952 :>g W;. 25 1 '//'/.' WA 1953 11 p H •'/s- ;.%< ii ; O 1954 1955 1950 If H 1951 1952 Sf? 5S 1953 $n - '<-'/'-' v^"^ n M ^ us 3p& >^ ^ 1954 ^ ^ K 1955 •HO NATIONAL SECURITY PROGRAMS BUDGET SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT (-) 75 — (MAGNIFIED SCALE) — +5 50 ra 1 ft 1 ii '• \'. _ p^rs3 ^xx 25 :>'>- ': :•:''::: ':>>< ix§: :g | 1951 1952 11 i! 1954 £vi5 1953 H 1 pi p H 8 i^ KSJ-j -5 1955 0 1950 0 ^^ - IO 1950 1951 1952 1^ 1953 1954 — 1955 FISCAL YEARS [Billions of dollars] Net budget receipts Period Fiscal year 1944 Fiscal year 1947 Fiscal year 1948 Fiscal year 1949 Fiscal year 1950 Fiscal year 195 1 Fiscal year 1952 Fiscal year 1953 Fiscal year 1954 Fiscal year 1955 1954: ApriL May June July iTX«*J . -, - - -- -- -- > . September October .. November December 1955: January February March-_ » April . _ May June - . ». - - -- .... - .- 43.6 39.8 41. 5 37.7 36.5 47.6 61.4 64.8 64.7 60.3 2.8 3.6 10.6 2.8 3.9 5.0 2.6 4.2 3.7 4.7 5.4 9.7 3.7 4.4 10.0 Budget sur- Public debt Budget expenditures (end of plus (+) or National Total deficit (-) period) 2 security 1 202. 6 95. 1 75.8 — 51. 4 + .8 258.4 14.4 39.0 + 8.4 252.4 11.8 33. 1 -1.8 12.9 252.8 39.5 -3. 1 257.4 39.6 13.0 44. 1 +3.5 255.3 22. 3 259.2 -4.0 65.4 43.8 -9.4 266. 1 74.3 50.3 -3.1 46.5 67.8 271.3 -4.2 274.4 40.4 64.5 271. 1 -2.5 3.7 5.3 -1.6 5.2 273.6 3.3 + 3.3 7.3 4.5 271.3 -2.0 3.2 271.0 4.8 -2.8 6.7 275.0 3.4 -. 1 274.8 5. 0 3.3 -2.2 4.9 278.8 3.3 +.4 278.9 3.3 3.8 -2.5 3.7 6.3 278.8 -.3 278.5 4.9 3.2 +.6 278.2 3. 1 4.8 + 3.8 274.1 5.9 3.5 -1.5 276.7 5.2 3.3 -.9 5.4 3.3 277.5 + 3.4 274.4 3.9 6.7 i Revised to Include the items classified as "national security" in The Budget of The United States Government for the Fiscal Year Ending June 30,1965. These expenditure items are: Military functions of Defense Department, mutual military program, development and control of atomic energy, and allocation ;of critical and strategic materials. * Includes guaranteed securities, except those held by the Treasury. Not all of total shown is subject to statutory debt limitation. NOTE.—Beginning with February 1954, the reporting of budget receipts and expenditures is on a basis consistent with that used in preparing budget estimates. The figures shown above for fiscal years 1953 and 1954 are those published by the Treasury Department on the new basis. Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Treasury Department <md Bureau of the Budget. 31 CASH RECEIPTS FROM AND PAYMENTS TO THE PUBLIC Federal cash receipts exceeded cash payments by $1.9 billion in the second quarter of this year. A cash surplus is usual at this time of the year. For the entire fiscal year 1955, Federal cash payments exceeded cash receipts by $3.0 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 80 60 + 10 1954-s/ 1953 -^PRELIMINARY ESTIMATES SOURCES: BUREAU OF THE BUDGET AND TREASURY DEPARTMENT. 1955^ CALENDAR YEARS COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Cash receipts from the public Calendar year Calendar year total; 1046 _ 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 19541 Quarterly totals, not adjusted for seasonal variation: 1953: Third Quarter Fourth quarter » 1954:1 First quarter Second quarter Third quarter ,. Fourth quarter - «. 1955: l First quarter Second quarter _ _ _ „ Cash payments to the public Excess of receipts (+) or payments (— ) 41, 441 44, 282 44, 922 41, 346 42, 419 59, 278 71, 339 70, 041 68, 562 41, 399 38, 616 36, 897 42, 642 41, 969 58, 034 72, 980 76, 194 69, 622 +42 +5, 666 +8, 027 1,295 +450 + 1,244 -1,641 -6, 153 -1,060 15, 357 13, 471 23, 693 19, 115 13, 501 12, 253 21, 287 20, 749 18, 870 18, 109 16, 459 18, 431 18, 582 16, 172 17, 161 18, 878 -3, 513 -4, 638 + 7,234 + 684 -5,082 -3,918 + 4, 126 + 1,871 »Preliminary estimates. Nots.—Detail will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Sources: Bureau of the Budget and Treasury Department. 32 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U. S. GoYernment Printing Office, Washington 25, D. C. Price 20 cents per copy; $2.00 per year; $2.50 foreign. U, S . G O V E R N M E N T P R I N T I N G O F F I C E : I 9 S S