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100th Congress, 2d Session

Economic Indicators
APRIL 1988
(Includes data available as of May 3, 1988)

Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the




Council of Economic Advisers

UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON : 1988

JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE
(Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.)
PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Chairman
LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Vice Chairman
SENATE
WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin)
LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas)
EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts)
JOHN MELCHER (Montana)
JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico)
WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware)
STEVE SYMMS (Idaho)
ALFONSE M. D'AMATO (New York)
PETE WILSON (California)

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California)
DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin)
JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York)
FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California)
STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York)
CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio)
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine)
HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York)
J. ALEX McMILLAN (North Carolina)

JUDITH DAVISON, Executive Director

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS
BERYL W. SPRINKEL, Chairman
THOMAS G. MOORE, Member
MICHAEL L. MUSSA, Member
[PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION]
JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55]
To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators"
Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the
Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that
a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant
at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two
copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the
Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for
distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies
printed for sale to the public.
Approved June 23, 1949.
Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce.

Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.50 a single copy
($3.13 foreign), or by subscription at $27.00 per year ($33.75 for foreign
mailing) from:
SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS
GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402

11



TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
In the first quarter of 1988, according to preliminary estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose
4.7 percent (annual rate) or $53.5 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 2.3 percent and the
implicit price deflator rose 2.4 percent.
BILLIOr-is

OF DOLLAR:

B LLIONS OF DO LLARS (RATIO J CALE)

(RATIO SCALE )

4, BOO!

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL R «ES

^_^

4,800

_-

—
n^i
.-

4,400

S^^

4400

—

GNP
IN CUR RENT DOLLAR 5^^,

4,000

—
4000

^

____,_.
^ •»•»"• *~ "•*"

3,600

|3,600i

^^r.
GNP

/^*'^

,3,200

~--^^-f^.~

r=^

13,200

N 1982DOLLA RS

^~
/"^
!2,800

2,800

^
2,4001

: 2,400

2,000

,^,000

1

1 1
1980

1 ! 1

\

1981

\

\

1982

1

1

1

1

1983

1

1

1984

1

1

1

1 1 1

1

1986|

1985

1

1

1987

1

1

1

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

s

[Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross
private
domestic
investment

Government purcl ases of
goo Is and senices

Exports ind imports of goods
ind service

Final

Federal
Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total

National
defense

Nondefense

and

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

2,732.0
3,052.6
3,166.0
3,405.7
3,772.2
4,010.3
4,235.0
4,488.5

1,732.6
1,915.1
2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.4
2,799.8
2,967.8

437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
641.6
671.0
717.5

32.1
33.9
26.3
-6.1
58.9
— 79.2
105.5
-119.6

351.0
382.8
361.9
352.5
383.5
369.9
376.2
427.8

318.9
348.9
335.6
358.7
442.4
449.2
481.7
547.4

530.3
588.1
641.7
675.0
735.9
818.6
869.7
922.8

208.1
242.2
272.7
283.5
310.5
353.9
366.2
379.4

142.7
167.5
193.8
214.4
234.3
259.3
277.8
295.2

65.4
74.8
78.9
69.1
76.2
94.6
88,4
84.2

322.2
345.9
369.0
391.5
425.3
464.7
503.5
543.4

2,740.3
3,028.6
3,190.5
3,412.8
3,704.5
4,000.3
4,219.3
4,442.5

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

3,212.5
3,545.8
3,851.8

2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4

409.6
579.8
661.8

14.1
25.8
-67.9

335.9
364.7
385.7

321.9
390.5
453.6

671.8
676.1
764.5

293.2
276.1
326.0

205.4
221.5
244.1

87.7
54.6
81.9

378.7
400.0
438.5

3,272.4
3,514.8
3,806.8

1985: m
IV

4,042.0
4,104.4
4,174.4
4,211.6
4,265.9
4,288.1

2,665.4
2,700.1

628.6
650.8

84.7
- 103.5

364.2
368.7

448.9
472.2

832.8
857.0

361.9
378.0

265.1
268.2

96.8
109.8

4,044.4
4,101.9

2,737.9
2,765.8
2,837.1
2,858.6

683.4
679.4
660.8
660.2

-93.8
100.8
-110.5
116.9

373.5
371.3
376.6
383.3

467.3
472.1
487.1
500.2

846.9
867.2
878.5
886.3

356.7
368.4
371.2
368.6

266.6
278.2
287.6
279.0

90.1
90.2
83.6
89.6

470.9
479.0
490.2
498.8
507.3
517.7

4,136.1
4,184.0
4,262.4
4,294.6

n
m
IV

4,377.7
4,445.1
4,524.0
4,607.4

699.9
702.6
707.4
760.2

112.2
-118.4
-123.7
124.3

397.3
416.5
439.2
458.1

509.5
534.8
562.9
582.4

896.2
917.1
929.0
948.8

366.9
379.6
382.1
388.9

287.5
294.5
299.0
299.8

79.4
85.1
83.0
89.2

529.3
537.6
546.9
559.9

4,326.0
4,404.8
4,501.1
4,537.9

1988: I "

4,660.9

2,893.8
2,943.7
3,011.3
3,022.6
3,068.7

761.9

-115.4

470.6

586.0

945.6

376.8

297.7

79.1

568.9

4,603.9

1986: I

n
m
rv

1987: I

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS
[Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

Gross
national
product

Personal
consumption
expenditures

Gross privat e
dome stic investinent

Export s and imp jrts of
gooi s and senices

Nonresidential
fixed

Residential
fixed

Change
in
business
inventories

Govern![nent purch ases of
gooe s and senices
Federal

Net
exports

Exports

Imports

Total
Total

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and
local

Final
sales

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

3,187.1
3,248.8
3,166.0
3,279.1
3,501.4
3,607.5
3,713.3
3,821.0

2,000.4
2,024.2
2,050.7
2,146.0
2,249.3
2,352.6
2,450.5
2,497.2

379.2
395.2
366.7
361.2
425.2
454.1
443.8
448.3

137.0
126.5
105.1
149.3
170.9
174.6
196.4
196.4

-6.9
23.9
-24.5
6.4
62.3
7.4
13.8
42.9

57.0
49.4
26.3
19.9
-84.0
108.2
- 145.8
-135.5

388.9
392.7
361.9
348.1
371.8
365.3
377.4
425.8

332.0
343.4
335.6
368.1
455.8
473.6
523.2
561.3

620.5
629.7
641.7
649.0
677.7
726.9
754.5
771.7

246.9
259.6
272.7
275.1
290.8
324.2
332.5
336.0

171.2
180.3
193.8
206.9
218.5
236.7
250.7
264.2

75.7
79.3
78.9
68.2
72.3
87.5
81.8
71.7

373.6
370.1
369.0
373.9
387.0
402.7
422.1
435.8

3,194.0
3,225.0
3,190.5
3,285.5
3,439.1
3,600.1
3,699.5
3,778.1

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

3,159.3
3,365.1
3,535.2

2,078.7
2,191.9
2,281.1

352.3
390.4
444.4

115.8
159.9
169.6

-59.3
27.0
41.7

11.7
-46.2
-94.8

336.0
355.5
376.6

324.3
401.6
471.4

660.1
642.2
693.2

289.5
266.0
300.5

201.4
211.6
225.3

88.2
54.4
75.2

370.6
376.2
392.7

3,218.6
3,338.1
3,493.5

1985: m

3,623.0
3,650.9

2,376.1
2,383.2

454.1
465.2

174.9
179.7

-5.7
-1.6

-114.9
-129.3

360.5
366.5

475.4
495.8

738.6
753.7

332.5
345.3

243.3
241.1

89.3
104.2

406.1
408.4

3,628.7
3,652.5

1986: I

3,698.8
3,704.7
3,718.0
3,731.5

2,409.7
2,434.3
2,477.5
2,480.5

453.2
441.0
437.7
443.2

185.9
196.5
201.1
202.2

35.3
28.1
6.1
-14.4

-123.0
-146.8
-161.6
-151.8

371.5
370.2
379.6
388.3

494.4
517.0
541.2
540.1

737.6
751.6
757.2
771.8

322.1
330.6
332.6
344.6

240.0
250.1
259.8
252.7

82.0
80.4
72.8
91.9

415.5
421.0
424.6
427.1

3,663.4
3,676.7
3,711.9
3,745.8

1987: I

n
m
IV

3,772.2
3,795.3
3,835.9
3,880.8

2,475.9
2,487.5
2,520.7
2,504.6

426.0
437.9
463.8
465.6

198.2
196.8
193.5
197.0

47.6
39.0
24.6
60.5

-135.2
-132.7
-138.4
-135.8

397.8
414.5
437.1
453.5

533.0
547.2
575.6
589.3

759.6
766.7
771.7
788.9

327.3
332.6
336.3
347.6

257.4
263.5
268.3
267.7

69.9
69.1
67.9
80.0

432.3
434.1
435.4
441.3

3,724.5
3,756.3
3,811.4
3,820.3

1988: I"

3,902.6

2,528.2

488.3

192.2

57.9

-132.2

464.6

596.8

768.3

325.3

261.8

63.5

442.9

3,844.7

rv
n
m
rv

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
[1982—100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted]
Personal c onsumption
expen ditures
Period

national
product

Gross private
domestic iinvestment

Exports an [ imports of
goods an . services

Gove rnment pure bases of goc ds and
serpices
Federal

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

Services

dential

Residential fixed

Exports

Imports

National
defense

Nondefense

State
and local

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

85.7
94.0
100.0
103.9
107.7
111.2
114.1
117.5

86.6
94.6
100.0
104.1
108.1
111.8
114.3
118.8

89.2
95.7
100.0
102.1
103.8
104.5
104.9
106.6

89.4
96.9
100.0
102.1
105.0
107.5
107.1
111.9

83.9
92.6
100.0
106.2
111.6
117.1
122.5
127.6

85.1
93.4
100.0
98.8
97.9
97.5
98.5
98.9

89.4
96.6
100.0
102.2
106.0
108.2
111.1
116.1

90.2
97.5
100.0
101.3
103.2
101.3
99.7
100.5

96.0
101.6
100.0
97.4
97.1
94.8
92.1
97.5

84.3
93.3
100.0
103.1
106.8
109.2
110.2
112.9

83.4
92.9
100.0
103.6
107.2
109.5
110.8
111.7

86.4
94.3
100.0
101.4
105.5
108.1
108.1
117.3

86.2
93.4
100.0
104.7
109.9
115.4
119.3
124.7

1982: IV
1983: IV
1984: IV

101.7
105.4
109.0

101.8
105.7
109.3

100.7
103.1
104.1

101.0
103.1
105.8

102.7
108.3
113.5

99.1
103.1
107.2

100.0
102.6
102.4

99.3
97.2
96.2

101.3
103.8
108.5

102.0
104.7
108.3

99.5
100.3
108.9

102.2
106.3
111.7

1985: m
IV

111.6
112.4

112.2
113.3

104.6
104.3

107.6
108.6

118.0
119.4

100.7
98.3
97.9
97.3
97.1

108.0
109.5

101.0
100.6

94.4
95.2

108.8
109.5

109.0
111.2

108.4
105.4

116.0
117.3

1986: I

112.9
113.7
114.7
114.9

113.6
113.6
114.5
115.2

104.5
104.6
105.4
105.2

107.8
106.2
106.8
107.5

120.7
122.0
123.3
124.3

97.2
98.4
99.0
99.2

110.0
111.0
111.3
112.2

100.6
100.3
99.2
98.7

94.5
91.3
90.0
92.6

110.7
111.4
111.6
107.0

111.1
111.2
110.7
110.4

109.8
112.2
115.0
97.5

118.0
118.5
119.5
121.2

1987: I

116.1
117.1
117.9
118.7

116.9
118.3
119.5
120.7

105.4
106.1
107.4
107.4

109.8
111.7
112.6
113.6

125.5
126.9
128.3
129.8

99.3
99.2
98.4
98.7

113.7
115.7
117.8
117.4

99.9
100.5
100.5
101.0

95.6
97.7
97.8
98.8

112.1
114.1
113.6
111.9

111.7
111.8
111.4
112.0

113.6
123.1
122.2
111.5

122.4
123.8
125.6
126.9

1988: I"

119.4

121.4

107.5

113.7

131.1

97.7

118.5

101.3

98.2

115.8

113.7

124.5

128.4

n
m
rv

n
m....
rv

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND
RELATED PRICE MEASURES
[Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Gro ss national prctduet

Period

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

1980

8.9

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

11.7

-0.2

1.9
2.5
3.6
6.8
3.0
2.9
2.9
.6
7.3
1.7
4.1
3.1
5.4
.6
1.4
1.5
4.4
2.5
4.3
4.8
2.3

3.7
7.6
10.8

6.3
5.6
6.0
4.2

IV
IV
IV
m
IV
1986: I

12.4

4.7
7.1
6.3
7.0
3.6
5.3
2.1
8.6
6.3
7.3
7.6
4.7

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
in

IV
1988: I"

Implicit
price
deflator

9.0
9.7
6.4
3.9

3.7
3.2
2.6
3.0
3.6
4.7
3.0
2.9
2.9
1.8
2.9
3.6
.1
4.2
3.5
2.8
2.7
2.4

NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter.

Personal consumption ea penditures
Fkedweightcd
price index
(1982
weights)

Chain price
index

10.6
10.5

9.3
9.3
6.2
4.1
4.0
3.6
2.7
3.4
4.0
4.0
3.2
2.9
3.4
2.2
2.2
2.6
2.3
4.5
4.1
3.4
3.6
3.7

9.0
9.4

6.3
4.1
3.9
3.5
2.4
3.2
4.1
3.9
3.1
2.8
3.4
1.7
1.9
2.6
2.0
4.2
3.7
3.3
3.1
3.5

Constant
(1982)
dollars

Current
dollars

Implicit
price
deflator

-0.2

1.2
1.3
4.6
4.8
4.6
4.2
1.9
5.3
5.5
4.3
6.9
1.2
4.5
4.1
7.3
.5
.7
1.9
5.4

7.1
9.0
8.8
8.2
6.5
6.0

10.3
9.7
7.2

10.1
5.3
5.7
4.1

10.7
3.1
5.0
7.1
9.5
1.5
6.2

-2.5
3.8

Chain price
index

10.7
9.2
5.7
4.1
3.8

3.4
2.2
3.9
4.4
4.3
3.0
3.3
4.0
1.1
.0
3.2
2.5
6.0
4.9
4.1
4.1
2.3

Pbtedweighted
price index
(1982
weights)

10.9

10.5

9.2
5.7
4.2
3.9
3.6
2.5
4.1
4.8
4.1
3.1
3.2
4.2
1.5
.3
3.6
3.0
5.5
5.2
4.0
4.0
2.6

9.0
5.6
4.2
4.0
3.7
2.6
4.2
4.8
4.1
3.2
3.3
4.2
1.7
.3
3.6
3.0
5.7
5.2
4.0
4.2
2.7

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS
[Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Curren t-dollar cos t and profit per unit o : output (deliars) 1

Gross <3 omestic
produ ct of
nonfin ancial
corporate business
(billions o f dollars)

Period

Corp irate profits with
inventory valuation and capital
consun\ption adjvis tmente

Total
cost
and
profit 2

Capital
consumption
allowances
with
capital
consumption
adjustment

Indirect
business
taxes 3

Compensation of
employees

Net
interest

Profits
tax
liability

Profits
after
tax*

Output
per how
of all
employees
(1982
dollars)

Compensation
per hour
of all
employees
(dollars)

Current

1982

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r.
1982: IV
1983: W
1984: IV
1985: m

1,540.8
1,738.4
1,782.2
1,914.2
2,146.7
2,282.8
2,376.1
2,493.8

1,807.9
1,837.2
1,782.2
1,866.0
2,036.5
2,127.1
2,182.2
2,239.0

0.852
.946
1.000
1.026
1.054
1.073
1.089
1.114

0.095
.109
.125
.123
.118
.119
.121
.123

0.077
.090
.094
.098
.100
.103
.104
.106

0.581
.632
.676
.679
.687
.702
.715
.728

0.031
.037
.043
.037
.039
.043
.045
.047

0.068
.078
.063
.089
.109
.107
.103
.109

0.037
.035
.026
.032
.036
.033
.036
.048

0.031
.044
.037
.057
.073
.074
.068
.061

17.096
17.194
17.318
17.867
18.288
18.674
18.969
19.017

9.939
10.861
11.699
12.124
12.570
13.103
13.566
13.850

1,779.4
2,012.5
2,201.8

1,760.2
1,940.5
2,069.5

1.011
LOST
1.064

.131
.120
.118

.096
.098
.102

.685
.680
.694

.042
.031
.042

.057
.103
.107

.023
.036
.032

.034
.088
.075

17.382
18.029
18.359

11.914
12.261
12.746

2,312.4
2,321.8

2,148.7
2,153.5

1.076
1.078

.118
.120

.102
.103

.699
.709

.043
.044

.114
.103

.034
.033

.080
.070

18.849
18.787

13.173
13.324

1986: I

n
m

2,353.3
2,358.6
2,387.7
2,404.7

2,176.7
2,171.9
2,180.8
2,199.3

1.081
1.086
1.095
1.093

.119
.121
.122
.123

.104
.101
.106
.104

.709
.714
.717
.720

.045
.046
.046
.045

.104
.104
.104
.102

.033
.034
.037
.040

.071
.069
.068
.062

18.941
18.930
18.974
19.073

13.437
13.525
13.608
13.724

n
mr
iv

2,434.8
2,465.4
2,521.1
2,554.0

2,207.6
2,219.9
2,254.4
2,274.1

1.103
1.111
1.118
1.123

.123
.124
.123
.123

.105
.107
.107
.107

.724
.728
.727
.735

.045
.046
.048
.049

.106
,106
.114
.110

.045
.047
.051
.049

.061
.059
.063
.060

18.933
18.964
19.119
19.070

13.708
13.798
13.897
14.009

rv

IV
1987: I

1

Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol-

lars.
2

This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with
the decimal point shifted two places to the left.




3
Indirect
4

Total

business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies.
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor
(Bureau of Labor Statistics).

NATIONAL INCOME
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

National
income

Compensation of
employees1

Proprieto s' income
with in ventory
valuation md capital
consulnption
adjust ments

Farm

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

2,518.4
2,719.5
3,028.6
3,229.9
3,422.0
3,636.0
2,548.2
2,851.5
3,096.1
3,254.4
3,304.4
3,364.2
3,414.1
3,438.7
3,471.0
3,548.3
3,593.3
3,659.0
3,743.5

IV
IV
IV
HI
IV
1986: I

n
in

IV
1987: I

n
m

IV

1988: I p
1

Kental
income of
persons
with
capital

Nonfarm

tion
adjustment

1,907.0
2,020.7
2,213.9
2,370.8
2,504.9
2,647.6
1,931.1
2,092.7
2,272.7
2,386.3
2,430.5
2,464.8
2,487.6
2,515.1
2,552.0
2,589.9
2,623.4
2,663.5
2,713.5

24.6
12.4
30.5
29.7
37.2
48.4
28.5
19.3
28.1
22.9
31.7
28.0
48.1
36.3
36.6
51.3
47.3
40.6
54.3

150.9
178.4
204.0
227.6
252.6
279.0
159.8
188.6
209.7
229.5
236.3
242.8
250.1
256.2
261.2
269.7
275.8
282.1
288.4

13.6
13.2
8.5
9.0
16.7
19.3
15.8
12.4
5.6
9.3
10.1
14.0
17.4
17.2
18.4
20.0
18.9
17.3
20.9

2,762.4

44.1

292.6

21.1

Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.)

Corpora ,e profits wi ti inventory valuation an [ capital
consulnption adjust ments
Profits with inventory valuation
adjustmei it and witho at capital
consu:mption adjus tment
Total
Profits
before tax

150.0
213.7
266.9
277.6
284.4
304.7
146.1
248.5
266.9
292.8
277.8
288.0
282.3
286.4
281.1
294.0
296.8
314.9
313.0

159.2
196.7
234.2
224.1
238.4
256.5
150.7
223.4
224.6
236.8
223.7
236.7
235.6
242.4
239.0
245.7
248.8
267.3
264.3

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

169.6
207.6
240.0
224.8
231.9
274.1
164.1
231.5
226.1
230.2
233.5
218.9
224.4
236.3
247.9
257.0
268.7
284.9
285.6

Capital
consumption

Net
interest

7
6.5
-17.5
-13.4
8.1
-1.6
6.5
-9.8
17.8
11.3
6.0
-8.9
-11.3
20.0
-17.6
21.3

-9.2
17.0
32.7
53.5
46.0
48.2
-4.5
25.1
42.3
56.0
54.2
51.3
46.7
44.0
42.1
48.2
48.0
47.7
48.7

272.3
281.0
304.8
315.3
326.1
337.1
266.9
290.2
313.1
313.7
317.9
326.6
328.7
327.5
321.7
323.6
331.1
340.6
353.3

15.9

45.9

356.2

-10.4
-10.9
-5.8

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES
[Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Non durable g sods

Durabl 3 goods

Period

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
DJ
IV
1986: I

n
in
rv

1987: I

n
m
rv

1988: I f

conexpendiures

2,050.7
2,234.5
2,430.5
2,629.4
2,799.8
2,967.8
2,117.0
2,315.8
2,493.4
2,665.4
2,700.1
2,737.9
2,765.8
2,837.1
2,858.6
2,893.8
2,943.7
3,011.3
3,022.6

252.7
289.1
335.5
368.7
402.4
413.7
263.8
310.0
346.7
383.7
370.5
375.9
386.4
427.6
419.8
396.1
409.0
436.8
413.0

108.9
130.4
157.4
177.6
194.9
193.9
115.7
144.4
162.3
191.9
174.1
177.4
184.2
217,0
201.2
177.6
189.6
215.2
193.3

3,068.7

425.7

201.4

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Total
durable
goods

Furniture
and
household
equipment

Other

durable
goo s

Food

Clothing and
shoes

Gasoline
and oil

Serv-

Retail sales of
new pa ssenger
cars (nu llions of
units)

Other
Domestics

Imports

99.1
112.4
122.7
129.5
133.5
134.7
138.3
142.9
143.8
146.0
146.0
147.9
146.8

48.1
51.6
59.3
62.4
67.6
73.1
49.0
53.2
61.8
62.4
62.9
63.8
64.0
67.8
74.8
72.5
73.5
73.7
72.9

771.0
816.7
867.3
913.1
939.4
982.9
786.6
837.9
879.6
918.4
929.3
936.8
934.3
940.0
946.3
969.9
982.1
986.4
993.1

398.8
421.9
448.5
472.8
497.8
515.8
407.0
430.8
456.1
474.9
481.7
489.4
494.7
499.6
507.5
514.8
515.0
514.0
519.3

124.4
135.1
146.7
157.2
167.5
177.0
126.5
141.1
149.8
158.8
160.9
163.4
167.2
169.8
169.6
174.0
175.8
178.7
179.6

89.1
90.2
90.0
92.6
75.3
80.3
89.8
91.9
89.0
93.5
92.1
87.7
74.4
70.6
68.4
75.8
80.6
82.7
82.1

158.7
169.5
182.1
190.5
198.8
209.7
163.4
174.0
184.7
191.2
194.5
196.3
198.0
200.0
200.8
205.3
210.7
211.0
212.0

1,027.0
1,128.7
1,227.6
1,347.5
1,458.0
1,571.2
1,066.5
1,167.9
1,267.1
1,363.3
1,400.3
1,425.2
1,445.1
1,469.5
1,492.4
1,527.7
1,552.6
1,588.1
1,616.5

5.8
6.8
8.0
8.2
8.2
7.1
6.0
7.4
7.7
9.3
7.1
7.7
7.9
9.5
7.8
6.7
7.0
8.0
6.7

2.2
2.4
2.4
2.8
3.2
3.2
2.5
2.6
2.6
3.0
3.2
2.9
3.1
3.5
3.5
2.8
3.0
3.6
3.3

151.1

73.3

993.9

520.7

177.2

81.0

215.0

1,649.0

7.6

3.1

95.7
107.1
118.8
128.7
139.9
14:6.7

SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME
Personal income rose $29.6 billion (annual rate) in March, following a rise of $22.2 billion in February. The
changes reflect several special factors: Profit-sharing payments to employees in the motor vehicle industry and a
large increase in retroactive social security benefit payments affected the March change; subsidy payments to
farmers affected both the March and February changes. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased
$8.9 billion in March and $18.7 billion in February.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

4,200

4,200

3,200

3,200

1,600

1,600
WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS

800

800
OTHER INCOME

400

400
TRANSFER
PAYMENTS

200

200
1980

1982

1981

1983

1984

1985

1986

' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1987

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

Total
personal
income

Proprietors '

Wage and
come

2,258.4
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,327.0
3,534.3
3,746.5

1,372.0
1,510.3
1,586.1
1,676.6
1,838.6
1,974.9
2,089.1
2,212.7

1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

3,683.4
3,701.9
3,708.5
3,715.3
3,739.2
3,760.6
3,783.2
3,854.4
3,839.8
3,869.1

2,173.1
2,181.5
2,193.7
2,198.9
2,209.7
2,228.8
2,239.8
2,257.6
2,271.9
2,281.1

1988:

Jan r.
Feb r.
Mar"

3,872.5
3,894.7
3,924.3

2,293.3
2,306.9
2,319.2

138.4
150.3

163.6
173.6
182.9
192.3
201.1
210.2
207.4
210.0
209.0
209.6
210.4
211.1
211.9
212.7
213.5
214.4
214.9
215.4
215.9

Farm

20.5

30.7
24.6
12.4
30.5
29.7
37.2
48.4
55.6
58.0
41.6
42.3
43.9
37.7
40.2
77.5
37.5
47.9
38.9
42.4
51.0

1
The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of
employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of
wage accruals over wage disbursements.
* Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds.
3
With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.




income 3

Personal
interest
income

Transfer
payments 5

Less:
Personal
contributions
for social
insurance

Nonfarm
personal
income 8

Rental
income of
persons 4

Personal
dividend
income

160.1
156.1
150.9
178.4
204.0
227.6
252.6
279.0

6.6
13.3
13.6
13.2
8.5
9.0
16.7
19.3

52.9
61.3
63.9
68.7
75.5
76.3
81.2
87.5

271.9
335.4
369.7
393.1
444.7
476.5
497.6
516.2

324.7
368.1
410.6
442.6
456.6
489.7
518.3
543.1

88.6
104.5
112.3
120.1
132.7
148.9
159.6
169.9

2,215.8
2,465.6
2,618.7
2,799.0
3,052.1
3,273.5
3,475.2
3,676.6

273.2
274.1
275.8
277.7
279.9
282.8
283.6
286.0
289.1
290.2

20.4
19.7
18.9
18.2
17.8
17.3
16.7
19.1
21.3
22.5

85.0
85.3
86.5
87.0
87.9
88.8
89.4
90.0
90.5
91.0

501.6
503.8
506.3
508.8
514.0
519.8
526.2
533.0
538.9
544.5

534.3
537.3
545.4
541.7
545.2
545.2
547.0
551.4
550.8
551.8

167.3
167.7
168.6
168.9
169.6
170.8
171.6
172.8
173.7
174.3

3,607.2
3,622.8
3,645.1
3,651.2
3,673.5
3,701.1
3,721.1
3,755.0
3,780.4
3,799.2

299.0
292.0
295.8

21.9
21.1
20.3

91.4
92.2
92.6

545.3
545.9
546.3

565.3
568.3
573.6

188.4
189.5
190.4

3,811.7
3,830.3
3,851.2

Nonfarm

4

With capital consumption adjustment.
Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments.
Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income,
and agricultural net interest.
8
6

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME
Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the first quarter of 1988.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000
3,800

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
4,000
3,800
3,400

,800
1,400
DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)
16,000
PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PE RSONAL INCO ME

1,400
DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

16,000

14,000

14,000
^

CLJRRENT DOLLA RS

12,000
10,000

p____j__— -=-- .

^-<1

,_---"~~

.

12,000
-

...

\^.~

5-

.

1

10,000

\
1982 DOLLARS

__^'

8,000

8,000

1

6,000

I

!

1

1980

I

!

1981

1

1

1

1982

1

1

1

!

1

1

1984

1983

1

1

1

1

1985

1

!

1986

1

1

1

198!?

1

1

6,000

1

1988

• SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Period

Personal
income

Less:
Personal
tax and
nontax
payments

Disposable
personal

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Less:
Personal
outlays 1

Equals:
Personal
saving

Per c Eipita
disposable personal

Disposable
personal
income in

inc me

1982

C
nt
dollars

dollars
(billions)

2,258.4
2,520.9
2,670.8
2,838.6
3,108.7
3,327.0
3,534.3
3,746.5

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

340.5
393.3
409.3
410.5
440.2
485.9
512.2
564.8

1,917.9
2,127.6
2,261.4
2,428.1
2,668.6
2,841.1
3,022.1
3,181.7

Current
dollars

1982
dollars

1,781.1
1,968.1
2,107.5
2,297.4
2,504.5
2,714.1
2,891.5
3,062.7

136.8
159.4
153.9
130.6
164.1
127.1
130.6
119.0

2,214.3

8,421

2,248.6
2,261.5
2,331.9
2,469.8
2,542.2
2,645.1
2,677.2

9,243
9,724
10,340
11,257
11,872
12,508
13,050

Percent
change in
real per
capita
disposable
personal
income

Saving as
percent of
disposable
personal
income

Population,
including
Armed
Forces
abroad
(thousands)2

PerceiIt

Dolla rs

Billio us of dollars
1980

1982
dollars

Per capitji personal
consulnption
expen [itures

9,722
9,769
9,724
9,930
10,419
10,622
10,947
10,980

7,607
8,320
8,818
9,515
10,253
10,987
11,588
12,172

8,783
8,794
8,818
9,139
9,489
9,830
10,142
10,242

-1.1

9,749
10,151
10,491
10,592
10,679
10,842
11,024
10,968
10,956
11,008
10,865
10,958
11,090
11,151

9,068
9,825
10,479
11,124
11,239
11,371
11,461
11,729
11,789
11,910
12,090
12,337
12,352

8,904
9,299
9,587
9,916
9,920
10,008
10,088
10,242
10,229
10,190
10,216
10,327
10,235
10,307

1.2
9.1
1.7
-4.2
3.3
6.2
6.9
-2.0
-.4

.5
-.5
2.1
4.9
1.9
3.1
.3

7.1
7.5
6.8
5.4
6.1
4.5
4.3
3.7

227,75'

6.2
5.8
5.8
3.4
4.1

233,466
235,707
237,946
239,618
240,246
240,782
241,313
241,896
242,489
242,971
243,480
244,094
244,703
245,297

230,185
232,549
234,829
237,051
239,323
241,620
243,812

£ easonally adjusted am ual rates
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV

HI....
IV

1986: I

n
m....
IV

1987: I

n
m....
IV

1988: I"

2,729.2
2,941.8
3,188.3
3,338.2
3,406.4
3,463.4
3,526.6
3,553.6
3,593.6
3,662.0
3,708.6
3,761.0
3,854.4
3,897.2

411.1
413.9
459.7
491.0
499.7
497.4
504.2
515.3
532.0
536.1
578.0
565.7
579.4
577.0

2,318.1
2,527.9
2,728.6
2,847.2
2,906.6
2,966.0
3,022.4
3,038.2
3,061.6
3,125.9
3,130.6
3,195.3
3,275.0
3,320.2

2,174.9
2,382.5
2,571.3
2,751.5
2,788.1
2,827.6
2,856.4
2,929.4
2,952.6
2,987.5
3,037.4
3,106.5
3,119.3
3,167.1

143.1
145.4
157.3
95.7
118.5
138.4
166.0
108.9
109.0
138.4
93.2
88.8
155.7
153.1

1
Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net).




9,929
10,725
11,467
11,882
12,099
12,318
12,525
12,560
12,626
12,865
12,858
13,090
13,384
13,536

2,276.1
2,392.7
2,496.3
2,538.2
2,565.5
2,610.5
2,660.2
2,653.2
2,656.7
2,674.6
2,645.5
2,674.7
2,713.8
2,735.4
2

12,510

1.9
-5.1
3.5
4.9
2.2

4.7
5.5
3.6
3.6
4.4
3.0
2.8
4.8
4.6

Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period.
Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census).

FARM INCOME
In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, gross farm income rose $6.0 billion (annual rate) and
net farm income rose $5.2 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

240

240
200
160

—-^
1

—

^~^^__^—^^/r S=S= ^——

...

120

--^N

160

GRC SS FARM 1NCC>ME

120

80
60
-. *• ""N
'\

40

,.

/

~\

j
*«.

1

20

'"\ '
\/

\
t

.
s \
.

V*

1

1

\

,

\

1

*

/

*

1

" — -/'

\

/
v /
\i

"

\

^
\x

1
1
1

1

10

X

t

;V

*

/"

20

NET FARM INC OME

A i
\ . \ •
\/ i ,

10

V|
t

, 1

\1

!
1980

1

1

1

1

1

J 1 1

1982

1981

1

1983

1
1985

1984

1

1

1

I

1986

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES

1

1

1

1987

i

S 1
1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

In come
(jross farm
Period

Cas h
Total

1980

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1985: I

n
m
IV

1986: I

n
m
IV

1987: I rr
nr

m
rv *

:.....

Net farni

marketing rece ipts

1

149.3
166.3
163.5
153.1
174.7
166.0
159.5
164.3
168.5
164.0
159.5
172.1
149.8
168.8
154.7
164.8
163.8
166.5
160.4
166.4

Total

139.7
141.6
142.6
136.6
142.3
144.2
135.2
135.6
137.9
138.0
144.8
156.1
134.4
130.6
135.0
140.7
127.7
142.3
142.4
130.1

Livestock and
products

68.0
69.2
70.3

69.4
72.9
69.8
71.6
74.7
69.9
69.0
68.9
71.4
68.3
66.8
77.8
73.3
72.5
74.0
79.9
72.4

1
Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash
income,
and nonmoney income furnished by farms.
2
Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average
prices during the year.




of farm ope rators from farm ng

incom e

Crops

71.7
72.5
72.3
67.1

69.4
74.4
63.6
60.9
68.0
68.9
76.0
84.7
66.0
63.8
57.2
67.4
55.2
68.3
62.5
57.7

inventory
changes 3

-6.3
6.5
-1.4
-10.9
6.2
-2.7
-3.3
-3.0
1.1
-2.4
-4.2
-5.1
-4.2
3.5
-3.0
-2.4
-3.4
-3.5
-3.0
-2.0

Production
expenses

133.1
139.4
140.0
140.4
142.7
133.7
122.1
119.9
138.3
135.3
132.2
129.0
125.7
122.9
120.6
119.0
119.4
119.5
119.9
120.7

Current
dollars

16.1
26.9
23.5
12.7
32.0
32.3
37.5
44.4
30.2
28.7
27.3
43.1
24.1
45.9
34.2
45.8
44.4
47.0
40.5
45.7

3
Income in current dollars divided hy the GNP implicit price deflator.
NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Corporation loans and operator households.
Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce.

income
1982 dollars 3

18.8
28.6

23.5
12.2
29.7
29.0
32.9
37.8
27.5
25.9
24.5
38.4
21.4
40.3
29.8
39.9
38.2
40.2
34.4
38.5

CORPORATE PROFITS
In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $0.7 billion (annual
rate) and after-tax profits rose $3.7 billion.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
320

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
320

280

120

120

80

80

40

40

1987
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

Pr jfits (before t ax) with inve ntory valuati on adjustmen t 1

F rofits after t£IX

Do mestic indust ries

Period

Nonfinancial

Total 2
Total

Financial

Total 3

Manufacturing

Profits
before tax

Tax
liability

237.1
226.5
169.6

84.8
81.1
63.1
77.2
93.9
96.7
105.0
136.3
59.8
88.1
87.0
100.5
99.1
98.1
102.1
106.1
113.9
128.0
134.2
143.0
140.0

Total

Dividends

sale and
retail

Undistributed
profits

Inventory
valuation
adjustment

trade

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
HI
IV

1986: I,.

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
mT
IV

1988:
1
2

194.0
202.3
159.2
196.7
234.2
224.1
238.4
256.5
150.7
223.4
224.6
236.8
223.7
236.7
235.6
242.4
239.0
245.7
248.8
267.3
264.3

159.6
173.8
131.2
166.6
203.3
193.6
207.2
222.5
121.6
190.7
193.9
208.3
189.7
202.3
207.0
210.2
209.3
213.1
215.8
235.4
225.6

21.0

138.6

16.5
11.8
18.1
13.0
18.4
26.1
27.0
18.7
15.5
13.6
18.4
20.8
26.2
26.9
25.2
26.1
27.6
27.8
27.0
25.5

157.3
119.4
148.5
190.3
175.2
181.1
195.5
102.9
175.2
180.3
189.9
168.9
176.2
180.0
185.1
183.2
185.5
188.0
208.4
200.1

77.1
88.5
58.0
70.1
88.8
72.2
69.4
88.6
46.8
88.6
79.8
80.1
72.4
61.9
72.5
68.0

75.4
75.4
85.5
100.7
92.9

21.6

32.5
34.6
38.9
51.2
51.4
52.1
50.5
33.6
43.1
51.8
55.7
45.0
55.8
48.2
54.6
49.7
56.2
45.2
52.1
48.7

I".

See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.
Includes rest of the world, not shown separately.




3

207.6
240.0
224.8
231.9
274.1
164.1
231.5
226.1
230.2
233.5
218.9
224.4
236.3
247.9
257.0
268.7
284.9
285.6

152.3
145.4
106.5
130.4
146.1
128.1
126.8
137.8
104.3
143.4
139.2
129.7
134.4
120.9
122.3
130.2
134.0
129.0
134.5
141.9
145.6

54.7

97.6

63.6
66.9
71.5
79.0
81.3
86.8
93.8
68.5
73.9
80.8
81.2
81.7
84.3
86.6
87.7
88.6
90.3
92.4
95.2
97.3
99.3

81.8
39.6
58.9
67.0
46.8
40.0
43.9
35.8
69.5
58.4
48.5
52.7.
36.6
35.7
42.5
45.4
38.7
42.1
46.7
48.3

Includes industries not shown separately.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

-43.1
-24.2
-10.4

-10.9
-5.8
-.7
6.5
-17.5
-13.4
-8.1
-1.6
6.5
-9.8
17.8
11.3
6.0
-8.9
-11.3
-20.0
-17.6
-21.3
15.9

GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT
According to preliminary estimates for the first quarter of 1988, nonresidential fixed investment rose $17.6 billion
(annual rate) while residential investment fell $3.4 billion. There was a $57.0 billion increase in inventories,
following an increase of $69.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 1987.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
800

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

700

600

500

400

400

300

300

200

100

-100

1988
SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]

] ""ixed investment

Change i l business
mven tories

Nonresidential
Period

investment

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:

IV
IV
IV
TH
IV
1986: I

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
m
rv

1988: I "
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.




437.0
515.5
447.3
502.3
664.8
641.6
671.0
717.5
409.6
579.8
661.8
628.6
650.8
683.4
679.4
660.8
660.2
699.9
702.6
707.4
760.2
761.9

Total

445.3
491.5
471.8
509.4
597.1
631.6
655.2
671.5
469.5
548.8
616.8
631.0
648.3
645.1
651.9
657.3
666.6
648.2
662.3
684.5
690.8
704.9

Total

322.8
369.2
366.7
356.9
416.0
442.6
436.9
443.4
354.9
383.9
435.0
442.0
451.5
440.7
433.8
433.5
439.7
422.8
434.6
456.6
459.6
477.2

Structures

113.9
138.5
143.3
124.0
141.1
152.5
137.4
134.2
137.6
127.4
146.6
152.9
152.1
149.6
135.9
131.1
132.9
128.7
129.7
137.1
141.1
140.4

Producers'
durable
equipment
208.9
230.7
223.4
232.8
274.9
290.1
299.5
309.2
217.3
256.5
288.4
289.1
299.3
291.0
297.9
302.4
306.7
294.1
304.9
319.5
318.5
336.8

Residential

122.5
122.3
105.1
152.5
181.1
189.0
218.3
228.1
114.7
164.0
181.8
189.0
196.8
204.4
218.1
223.8
226.9
225.4
227.7
227.9
231.2
227.8

Total

-8.3
24.0
-24.5
-7.1
67.7
10.0
15.7
46.1

-59.9
31.0
45.0
-2.4
2.5
38.3
27.5
3.5
-6.4
51.6
40.3
22.9
69.4
57.0

Noil/arm

-2.4
18.3
-23.1
.4
60.5
13.6
16.8
36.2
-51.1
21.3
41.3
5.2
17.8
38.5
24.5
.9
5.1
48.7
27.3
11.1
57.5
37.7

EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT
According to the Commerce Department January-March 1988 survey, business spending for new plant and
equipment is expected to rise 8.8 percent in 1988, following a rise of 2.4 percent in 1987.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE)

500

500

SEASO ALLY ADJUSTED ANN UAL RATES

—

^T-n

—

-""""""

300

—

^-^^/UL INDUSTRIES

^-~

1

300

^.*-

—

—•--

A

•"""7 —

200

-., — •'''" NO•MMANUFACTU *INGu/

x-"

k-r"

__

__ ^

-'

A

Ai ANUFACTUR^JG

-.-•-

~~-

,

,

--•
"'

.

—

—

80

'80

—

—

Ml-

AH
—

—

40

1

1
1980

1

I 1 1

it

1

1981

JL//SURVEYED QUARTERLY
_£/'5EE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW
S'OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE'

I
1982

1

I

I

1

1983

1

1 1
1984

1

1
1985

1

!

i

1

1986

1

1 1
1987

2J
I

-I/

\

\

1988

* SECOND HALF
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Addenda

Industries surveyed quarterly

Noiimanufactui •ing

M mufacturii
Period

1987:

*

Total

Durable

Nondurable

Total '

Mining

Transportation

Public
utilities

Commercial
and
other

Total
nonfarm
busi-

284.94
314.47
349.26
347.47
343.35
398.99
431.94
427.23

Non manufactu ring
Manufacturing

95.92
112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.46
159.68

Total

189.02
202.15
222.72
226.79
227.15
260.16
278.46
284.54

Surveyed
quarterly
159.04
170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.14
263.28

254.96
282.80
315.22
310.58
304.78
354.44
387.13
379.47
388.60
422.96

95.92
112.33
126.54
120.68
116.20
138.82
153.48
142.69
145.46
159.68

48.50
55,36
59.81
55.35
53.08
66.24
73.27
69.14
70.91
75.75

47.42
56.96
66.73
65.33
63.12
72.58
80.21
73.56
74.55
83.93

159.04
170.47
188.68
189.89
188.58
215.61
233.65
236.78
243.14
263.28

12.81
15.99
21.39
20.05
15.19
16.86
15.88
11.22
11.34
12.07

16.05
16.60
15.84
14.79
13.97
16.52
18.02
18.80
18.85
21.09

35.63
37.74
41.21
45.43
44.96
47.48
48.81
46.38
44.76
46.55

94.56
100.14
110.24
109.63
114.45
134.75
150.94
160.38
168.19
183.57

HI
IV

375.50
386.09

139.43
144.07

69.42
69.87

70.01
74.20

236.07
242.02

10.14
10.31

18.81
19.50

45.81
46.12

161.31
166.08

139.43
144.07

236.07
242.02

I

374.23
377.65
393.13
409.37

140.65
140.79
147.56
152.84

70.47
68.76
71.78
72.64

70.18
72.03
75.78
80.20

233.58
236.87
245.58
256.53

10.31
11.02
11.64
12.39

18.98
17.67
19.17
19.57

43.60
43.48
44.90
47.07

160.70
164.69
169.87
177.50

140.65
140.79
147.56
152.84

233.58
236.87
245.58
256.53

422.75
427.09
421.00

161.13
161.45
158.06

81.00
80.13
84.53
76.92
72.96 - 85.10

261.62
265.64
262.93

12.26
12.41
11.81

22.49
20.44
20.72

46.15
46.83
46.60

180.72
185.97
183.80

161.13
161.45
158.06

261.62
265.64
262.93

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '
19884
1986:

All
industries

n
in

IV'.
1988: I 44

n

2nd half 4

1
Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May
1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries.
2
"All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually.

10



Surveyed
annual-

Ly"
29.98
31.68
34.04
36.89
38.56
44.55
44.81
47.75

3
Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services;
social services and membership organizations; and real estate.
4
Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in January-March 1988, corrected for
biases.

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
In March, seasonally adjusted civilian employment fell 306,000 and unemployment fell 137,000.
MILLIC3NS OF PERSO NS*
124

MILLI ONS OF PERSC)NS*
124

SEASONALLY ADJUST ED

120
_^ .

^^

^

cn /ILIAN LABOR

-1 12

-» -"

ORCE
•_••"•'

----108

, -* ~* "* ~* "*

104

^-^•*~-*-->-~

** «•

120
116

_„-•

1

_—~

100

:

S.

'

,-/v"1

J

/>——"1-—

1

_^.X~*-^"

..

s

—-•">.- -^-

—• "" *

-'"V '

104

CIVILIAN
EMPLOYMENT

100

96
-v.

^
^
12

^~^~ —

—

~——

8

-,

4

—

0

Illllflllll

Illlillllll

iiinliini

1980

1981

1982

- 12
.x

-~V~
\
iNEMPLOYMEN T

^~~-^

—

8

. —•- ..

— 4

Illlllllll! Illlillllll Illlillllll Illlillllll I l l l i l l l l l l Illlillllll
1984
1983
1985
1987
1986
1988

0

•16 YEARS: Of AGE A NO OVER
COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMEN r OF LABOR

[Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA]

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986*
1987
1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988: Jan
Feb
Mar

Noninstitutional
population
including
resident
Armed
Forces
NSA

169,349
171,775
173,939
175,891
178,080
179,912
182,293
184,490
183,915
184,079
184,259
184,421
184,605
184,738
184,904
185,052
185,225
185,370
185,571
185,705
185,847

Civilian e mployment
Resident
Armed

T \\

f

including
resident

NSA

Forces

1,604
1,645
1,668
1,676
1,697
1,706
1,706
1,737
1,736
1,735
1,726
1,718
,720
,736
,743
,741
,755
,750
,749
,736
,736

108,544
110,315
111,872
113,226
115,241
117,167
119,540
121,602
120,982
121,098
121,633
121,326
121,610
122,042
121,706
122,128
122,349
122,472
122,924
123,084
122,639

Employment
including
resident
Armed
Forces

100,907
102,042
101,194
102,510
106,702
108,856
111,303
114,177
113,191
113,541
114,060
114,018
114,359
114,786
114,615
114,951
115,259
115,494
115,878
116,145
115,839

Civilian
labor force

106,940
108,670
110,204
111,550
113,544
115,461
117,834
119,865
119,246
119,363
119,907
119,608
119,890
120,306
119,963
120,387
120,594
120,722
121,175
121,348
120,903

1
Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime
work, etc.
2
Labor force as percent of noninstitutional population (both including resident Armed Forces).
3
Civilian labor force as percent of civilian noninstitutional population.




Unempl jyment

NonagTicultural

Total

99,303
100,397
99,526
100,834
105,005
107,150
109,597
112,440
111,455
111,806
112,334
112,300
112,639
113,050
112,872
113,210
113,504
113,744
114,129
114,409
114,103

Agricultural

3,364
3,368
3,401
3,383
3,321
3,179
3,163
3,208
3,237
3,250
3,269
3,192
3,212
3,143
3,184
3,249
3,172
3,215
3,293
3,228
3,204

Total

95,938

97,030
96,125
97,450
101,685
103,971
106,434
109,232
108,218
108,556
109,065
109,108
109,427
109,907
109,688
109,961
110,332
110,529
110,836
111,182
110,899

Part-time
for
economic
reasons 1
4,064
4,499
5,852

5,997
5,512
5,334
5,345
5,122
5,180
5,104
5,058
4,979
5,154
5,016
4,986
5,067
5,241
5,004
5,145
5,254
5,106

Total

7,637
8,273

10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425
7,791
7,557
7,573
7,308
7,251
7,256
7,091
7,177
7,090
6,978
7,046
6,938
6,801

15
weeks
and
over

1,871
2,285
3,485
4,210
2,737
2,305
2,232
1,983
2,055
2,060
2,067
2,029
1,920
1,896
1,904
1,801
1,834
1,791
1,733
1,740
1,722

Labor force
partici jation
rate (p« rcent)
Total 2

Civilian 3

64.1
64.2
64.3
64.4
64.7
65.1
65.6
65.9
65.8
65.8
66.0
65.8
65.9
66.1
65.8
66.0
66.1
66.1
66.2
66.3
66.0

63.8
63.9
64.0
64.0
64.4
64.8
65.3
65.6
65.5
65.5
65.7
65.5
65.6
65.7
65.5
65.7
65.7
65.7
65.9
66.0
65.7

"Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in
estimation procedures.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

11

SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES
In March, the seasonally adjusted overall unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage point, to 5.5 percent; the civilian
unemployment rate also fell 0.1 percentage point, to 5.6 percent.
PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED)

25

20
X

A

rr
v - ./r.

TEENAGERS
(16-19)

15

10

10

WOME N 20 YEARS
AND OVER

MEN 20 YEARS
AND OVER

Illllllllll mnliim
1988

1984

1985

1988

1987

1986

'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED,
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Unemp oyment ra te (percen t of civilia n labor force in group)

Period

5.9
6.3

7.4
7.1
6.9
6.1

7.1
7.6
9.7
9.6
7.5
7.2
7.0
6.2

8.8
8.9
6.6
6.2
6.1
5.4

6.4
6.8
8.3
8.1
6.8
6.6
6.2
5.4

Oct
Nov
Dec

6.4
6.2
6.2
6.0
6.0
5.9
5.8
5.9
5.8
5.7

6.5
6.3
6.3
6.1
6.0
6.0
5.9
6.0
5.9
5.8

5.7
5.6
5.6
5.5
5.4
5.2
5.0
5.1
5.0
4.9

Jan
Feb
Mar

5.7
5.6
5.5

5.8
5.7
5.6

5.1
4.9
4.9

7.0
7.5
9.5
9.5

Mar
Apr
May
Aug
Sept

civilian
workers

Both
sexes




Experienced
wage and
salary
workers

White

Black
and
other

17.8
19.6
23.2
22.4
18.9
18.6
18.3
16.9

6.3
6.7
8.6
8.4
6.5
6.2
6.0
5.3

13.1
14.2
17.3
17.8
14.4
13.7
13.1
11.6

15.6
18.9
19.5
15.9
15.1
14.5
13.0

6.9
7.3
9.3
9.2
7.1
6.8
6.6
5.8

5.7
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.3
5.4
5.2
5.2
5.2

17.8
17.3
17.6
16.0
15.8
16.2
16.4
17.2
16.6
16.1

5.6
5.5
5.4
5.3
5.2
5.2
5.1
5.2
5.1
4.9

12.4
11.8
12.1
11.5
11.4
11.3
10.9
10.8
11.0
10.9

13.9
13.0
13.7
12.8
12.7
12.4
12.3
12.1
12.2
12.2

5.1
5.2
4.8

16.0
15.4
16.5

5.0
4.8
4.7

10.9
11.3
11.5

12.2
12.6
12.8

16-19
years

1
Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces.
z
Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours.

12

By elected grou 3S

By race

A 1]
All

Women
20 years
and
over

June....
July

1988:

By sex and a go
Men
20 years
and over

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987:

Unemployment
rate,
all
workers 1

Black

14.3

Married
men,
spouse
present

Women
who
maintain
families

Labor
force
time lost
(percent) *

Fulltime
workers

Parttime
workers

6.5
6.5
4.6
4.3
4.4
3.9

9.2
10.4
11.7
12.2
10.3
10.4
9.8
9.2

6.9
7.3
9.6
9.5
7.2
6.8
6.6
5.8

8.8
9.4
10.5
10.4
9.3
9.3
9.1
8.4

10.9
8.6
8.1
7.9
7.1

6.1
5.9
5.9
5.8
5.8
5.7
5.5
5.5
5.5
5.4

4.1
4.1
4.0
4.0
3.8
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.5
3.4

9.7
9.4
9.5
9.5
9.3
9.0
8.8
8.9
8.5
8.4

6.1
5.9
5.9
5.9
5.7
5.6
5.5
5.6
5.5
5.4

9.1
8.6
8.7
7.3
8.1
8.2
8.4
8.3
8.2
8.0

7.4
7.3
7.2
7.1
6.9
6.9
6.8
6.8
6.8
6.6

5.5
5.3
5.2

3.6
3.4
3.4

8.9
8.3
7.5

5.4
5.3
5.3

8.3
7.9
7.7

6.6
6.6
6.5

4.2
4.3

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

7.9
8.5
11.0

SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
In March, based on seasonally adjusted data, the percentages of unemployed persons who had been out of work
for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell, the percentage for 5-14 weeks was unchanged, and the
percentage for 15-26 weeks rose. The mean duration of unemployment fell and the median rose.

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION*

PERCENT DISTRIBUTION

70

70

REASOh•J FOR

DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT

UNE ^PLOYMEN T

60

60

50

-

50 _
— "\."-

LESS THAN
5 WEEKS

' \ —
1OB LOSERS

"

V

40

40
5-14

WEEKS

A .

30

REENTRANTS

30 —
A

*

-X ^«. -•*"•/

V-. '""•'
20

10

27 WEEKS
AND OVER

20

•v

10

NEW ENTR \NTS

c^

15-26
WEEKS

1985

1987

1986

7-C^ --(""•'

J DB

nutlinti innliini ntiiluni iiiiilnni milling
1984

" \

LEAVERS

\niiilnui innlinii nniliiin jjnihnji j ) i n ) j j ) j j
1985

1984

1988

1986

1987

1988

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Be ason for unemplojinent:
percent distributi on

Dur ation of imemployment

Period

Unemployment
(thousands)

I'ercent di stributio i

Stat£
progriims

Number of
ks

Insured
unemployment,
all
regular
programs
(unadjusted) 1

Less
than
5
weeks

5-14
weeks

15-26
weeks

27
weeks
and
over

Average
(mean)

Medi-

Job
losers

Job
leavers

Reentrants

New
entrants

7,637
8,273
10,678
10,717
8,539
8,312
8,237
7,425

43.1
41.7
36.4
33.3
39.2
42.1
41.9
43.7

32.3
30.7
31.0
27.4
28.7
30.2
31.0
29.6

13.8
13.6
16.0
15.4
12.9
12.3
12.7
12.7

10.7
14.0
16.6
23.9
19.1
15.4
14.4
14.0

11.9
13.7
15.6
20.0
18.2
15.6
15.0
14.5

6.5
6.9
8.7
10.1
7.9
6.8
6.9
6.5

51.7
51.6
58.7
58.4
51.8
49.8
48.9
48.0

11.7
11.2
7.9
7.7
9.6
10.6
12.3
13.0

25.2
25.4
22.3
22.5
25.6
27.1
26.2
26.6

11.4
11.9
11.1
11.3
13.0
12.5
12.5
12.4

3,350
3,047
4,061
3,396
2,476
2,611
2,650
2,332

488
460
583
438
377
396
378
328

3,837
3,410
4,594
3,775
2,561
2,693
2,746
2,401

1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
NOT
Dec

7,791
7,557
7,573
7,308
7,251
7,256
7,091
7,177
7,090
6,978

42.9
42.5
43.9
42.9
43.9
44.2
45.5
45.3
45.4
46.2

30.8
30.0
28.7
29.4
29.6
29.6
27.6
29.4
28.7
28.2

12.1
13.1
12.9
13.3
13.0
11.5
13.0
11.9
12.7
12.8

14.2
14.3
14.5
14.4
13.4
14.7
14.0
13.4
13.2
12.9

14.9
14.8
14.8
14.7
14.2
14.3
14.2
14.1
14.0
14.2

6.7
6.9
6.6
6.6
6.6
6.4
5.8
6.2
6.1
6.0

48.5
49.1
47.9
48.4
48.4
47.0
46.8
47.7
46.8
45.7

12.7
12.7
12.4
13.1
13.6
13.8
13.8
13.5
13.1
13.5

26.6
26.1
26.5
26.9
26.5
27.3
26.9
26.0
28.0
27.8

12.2
12.2
13.3
11.6
11.6
11.9
12.5
12.9
12.1
13.0

2,439
2,367
2,321
2,297
2,273
2,223
2,102
2,035
2,037
2,090

342
334
333
331
329
307
289
293
303
317

2,933
2,526
2,216
2,108
2,210
2,030
1,800
1,759
1,931
2,322

1988: Jan
Feb
Mar

7,046
6,938
6,801

43.6
44.3
44.0

31.9
30.8
30.8

11.8
12.1
13.0

12.6
12.9
12.2

14.4
14.4
13.7

6.4
6.4
6.6

45.2
45.9
45.8

15.3
13.8
15.7

27.0
27.9
25.6

12.5
12.4
12.9

2,242
2,208
2,140

356
327
308

2,870
2,775

Insured
unemployment

Initial
claims

Weekly a perage, t lousands

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

1
Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (BJR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program.




Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration).

13

NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT
Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 262,000 in March
MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE)

MILLIONS OF PERSONS

26

m

—

100

r"

—

-1

-"•~"~
90

.— -"1

sERVICES

24

ALLr-JONAGRICU TURAL
E 5TABLISHMEf-4TS

__
—«

--•"I

22
•""*

-

J>--''""

80

20

(ETAIL TRAD •

__

:ING
SER\flCE-PRODUC

70

INDUSTRIES

—

—

60

-

18

—

16

.-

—

-T-"

---'-

_——

--""'^

GOVERNME NT

Ulllillllll lilllilllU mill!!!!! IMIlllllII |H|lllllilf
1

'
50

MA NUFACTURI MG

20

-L_
—

40

—

jliliillllli IllllllilU illlillllil liiilliilii

GO ODS-PRODU(:ING

30

'"

-—"
1984

nmlnij! iiMilnii!
1985

iiiiihiiiil

CO NSTRUCTIOrM

INDUSTRIES

(Mlllllllll

-

18

lilllllllll Miulmm
1987

1986

1

minliiiii
1984

1988

umliiiH

IMilllllll IJIIllllIli
1986

1985

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

iniiiiiim

1987

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted]

Se rvice-produ< ing industn es

Goods-p reducing in iustries
Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

Total
nonagricultural
employment

M anufacturin g

Total

2

C nn
onstruction

Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable
goods

Total

Transportation
and
public
utilities

Wholesale
trade

Jxetaii
trade

Government

Finance,
insurance,
and real
estate

Services
Total

Federal

90,406
91,156
89,566
90,200
94,496
97,519
99,610
102,112

25,658
25,497
23,813
23,334
24,727
24,859
24,681
24,884

4,346
4,188
3,905
3,948
4,383
4,673
4,904
5,031

20,285
20,170
18,781
18,434
19,378
19,260
18,994
19,112

12,187
12,109
11,039
10,732
11,505
11,490
11,244
11,237

8,098
8,061
7,741
7,702
7,873
7,770
7,750
7,875

64,748
65,659
65,753
66,866
69,769
72,660
74,930
77,228

5,146
5,165
5,082
4,954
5,159
5,238
5,244
5,378

5,275
5,358
5,278
5,268
5,555
5,717
5,735
5,797

15,035
15,189
15,179
15,613
16,545
17,356
17,845
18,264

5,160
5,298
5,341
5,468
5,689
5,955
6,297
6,589

17,890
18,619
19,036
19,694
20,797
22,000
23,099
24,137

16,241
16,031
15,837
15,869
16,024
16,394
16,711
17,063

2,866
2,772
2,739
2,774
2,807
2,875
2,899
2,943

101,329
101,598
101,708
101,818
102,126
102,275
102,434
102,983
103,285
103,612

24,749
24,759
24,752
24,761
24,850
24,886
24,917
25,064
25,169
25,259

5,032
5,019
4,999
5,008
5,002
5,006
4,989
5,053
5,074
5,121

18,995
19,011
19,018
19,015
19,104
19,129
19,169
19,247
19,336
19,382

11,176
11,175
11,175
11,176
11,195
11,248
11,268
11,319
11,367
11,403

7,819
7,836
7,843
7,839
7,909
7,881
7,901
7,928
7,969
7,979

76,580
76,839
76,956
77,057
77,276
77,389
77,517
77,919
78,116
78,353

5,333
5,348
5,344
5,350
5,363
5,377
5,416
5,436
5,459
5,473

5,766
5,772
5,775
5,781
5,797
5,807
5,815
5,831
5,851
5,871

18,136
18,197
18,205
18,226
18,274
18,256
18,314
18,408
18,443
18,458

6,526
6,558
6,576
6,586
6,608
6,624
6,629
6,650
6,657
6,668

23,842
23,926
24,025
24,083
24,214
24,279
24,295
24,406
24,493
24,612

16,977
17,038
17,031
17,031
17,020
17,046
17,048
17,188
17,213
17,271

2,922
2,933
2,935
2,935
2,936
2,940
2,962
2,965
2,977
2,981

1988: Jan r... 103,827
Feb r... 104,344
Mar ".. 104,606

25,205
25,342
25,426

5,058
5,175
5,254

19,401
19,418
19,417

11,403
11,412
11,414

7,998
8.006
8,003

78,622
79,002
79,180

5,485
5,504
5,522

5,884
5,903
5,920

18,619
18,720
18,724

6,684
6,687
6,694

24,683
24,884
24,967

17,267
17,304
17,353

2,977
2,979
2,972

1987:

Mar....
Apr
May....
June ...
July....
Aug....
Sept....
Oct
Nov ....
Dec

etors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived
Irom this table not comparable with estimates o! nonagricultwral employment o! the civilian labor
force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants;
which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad

14



weather, etc., even U they &re not paid (ot the time oCf; vsA -wiroli Mft liased on & swaiple ot the
working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing
establishments.
2
Includes mining, not shown separately.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Average gi oss hourly
earn ings

Average weekly
hours

J

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Get
Nov
Dec

1988:

Jan r

Feb r

Mar"

Manufa cturing

Total
private
nonagricultural '

Total

Total
private
nonagrieultural '

Overtime

Manufacturing

Adjuste d hourly earnin gs index — total private
nonagnc ultural 2

Ind ex,
1977 -100
Current
dollars

a year
Percent chang e 4from
earlie r 5

1977
dollars 3

Current
dollars

1977 dollars

35.3
35.2
34.8
35.0
35.2
34.9
34.8
34.8

39.7
39.8
38.9
40.1
40.7
40.5
40.7
41.0

2.8
2.8
2.3
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.4
3.7

$6.66
7.25
7.68
8.02
8.32
8.57
8.76
8.98

$7.27
7.99
8.49
8.83
9.19
9.54
9.73
9.91

127.3
138.9
148.5
155.4
160.3
165.2
169.3
173.5

93.5
92.6
93.4
94.9
94.6
94.1
95.0
94.0

9.0
9.1
6.9
4.6
3.2
3.1
2.5
2.5

-4.0
-1.0
.9
1.6
-.3
— .5
1.0
-1.1

34.8
34.7
34.9
34.8
34.8
34.9
34.6
34.9
34.9
34.6

40.9
40.6
41.0
41.0
41.0
41.0
40.6
41.3
41.2
41.0

3.6
3.5
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.8
3.6
4.0
3.9
3.8

8.91
8.91
8.95
8.94
8.96
9.02
9.02
9.08
9.12
9.11

9.83
9.86
9.88
9.88
9.87
9.93
10.02
10.00
10.01
10.02

172.2
172.6
172.9
172.9
173.2
174.1
174.6
174.9
175.8
175.7

94.4
94.2
94.0
93.8
93.7
93.7
93.8
93.6
93.8
93.6

2.2
2.5
2.4
2.2
2.4
2.7
2.9
2.8
2.7
2.7

-.6
-1.2
-1.3
-1.4
-1.4
-1.5
-1.4
-1.7
-1.8
-1.7

34.8
34.8
34.6

41.2
41.0
40.9

3.9
3.7
3.7

9.15
9.13
9.19

10.02
10.03
10.05

176.4
176.5
177.1

93.7
93.6
93.6

3.0
2.8
2.9

-1.0
-1.1
-.9

AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS
PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES
[For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Percent c] ange from
a year earlier,
total private n onagricultural 5

Average gross weekly ea rnings
Period

Current dollars
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1988: Jan r

Feb r

Mar"

Manufacturing

Total private
nonagnc ultural *

Construction

Retail trade
Current dollars

1977 dollars 3

1977 dollars

Current dollars

$235.10
255.20
267.26
280.70
292.86
299.09
304.85
312.50

$172.74
170.13
168.09
171.26
172.78
170.42
171.07
169.28

$288.62
318.00
330.26
354.08
374.03
386.37
396.01
406.31

$367.78
399.26
426.82
442.97
458.51
464.46
466.38
477.28

$147.38
158.03
163.85
171.05
174.33
174.64
176.08
179.32

6.9
8.5
4.7
5.0
4.3
2.1
1.9
2.5

-5.8
-1.5
-1.2
1.9
.9
-1.4
.4
-1.0

310.07
309.18
312.36
311.11
311.81
314.80
312.09
316.89
318.29
315.21

169.99
168.67
169.85
168.71
168.64
169.43
167.61
169.55
169.94
168.02

402.05
400.32
405.08
405.08
404.67
407.13
406.81
413.00
412.41
410.82

478.30
471.61
481.97
478.27
478.93
480.44
449.79
485.64
487.92
483.23

177.27
179.36
179.05
178.12
179.02
181.45
183.22
180.49
180.16
178.85

1.8
1.8
2.6
2.6
3.0
3.3
2.4
3.7
3.2
3.3

-1.0
1.9
-1.1
-1.0
.9
-.9
-1.8
-.9
-1.3
-1.1

318.42
317.72
317.97

169.10
168.46
167.97

412.82
411.23
411.05

473.62
476.10
489.59

180.09
180.13
179.76

3.1
2.9
2.5

-.9
-.9
-1.2

1
Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14.
2
Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime
3

in manufacturing.
Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earnei
and clerical workers (on a 1977=100 base).

4
5

Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places.
Based on seasonally unadjusted data.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

15
84-687 0 -




PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR
Output pe r hour of
all pe rsons

Period
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Outpu t 1
Business
sector

per
Compens ition
hour 3

Hours of 2all
perso ns

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Real com]wnsation
per h )ur 4
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Unit labOT

COStS

Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

Implici t price
defla lor 5
Business
sector

Nonfarm
business
sector

19" 7 = 100; q uarterly c ata seasor ally adjus ,ed

1979

99.6

99.3

107.9

107.9

108.3

108.7

119.1

118.9

99.4

99.2

119.5

119.7

117.0

116.5

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

99.3
100.7
100.3
103.0
105.6

98.8
99.8
99.2
102.5
104.6

106.7
108.9
105.5
109.9
119.2

106.7
108.5
104.9
110.1
119.2

107.5
108.2
105.2
106.7
112.9

108.0
108.7
105.7
107.5
114.0

131.5
143.7
154.9
161.5
168.0

131.3
143.6
154.8
161.5
167.8

96.7
95.8
97.3
98.2
98.0

96.6
95.8
97.2
98.3
97.9

132.5
142.7
154.5
156.7
159.1

132.9
144.0
156.0
157.6
160.4

127.6
139.8
148.1
153.0
158.2

127.8
140.3
149.2
154.3

1985
1986
1987 r.

107.5
109.5
110.5

105.8
107.5
108.4

123.9
128.0
132.2

123.6
127.5
131.8

115.2
116.9
119.7

116.8
118.6
121.6

175.9
182.8
188.2

175.2
182.0
187.1

99.1
101.1
100.4

98.7
100.6
99.8

163.6
166.9
170.3

165.6
169.3
172.7

162.4
165.8
170.0

164.1
167.8
171.9

IV

101.0

99.7

105.0

104.2

103.9

104.5

158.3

158.2

98.0

97.9

156.8

158.7

150.2

151.4

1983:

IV

103.7

103.3

113.6

114.1

109.4

110.4

163.6

163.4

98.0

97.9

157.7

158.2

155.2

156.2

1984:

IV

105.9

104.8

120.8

120.7

114.0

115.2

170.3

170.2

98.1

98.1

160.8

162.4

159.8

161.0

1985:

m
TV

108.2
107.9

106.4
105.9

124.7
125.3

124.3
124.9

115.2
116.1

116.9
117.9

177.0
179.3

176.2
178.3

99.5
99.7

99.0
99.2

163.6
166.1

165.7
168.3

163.0
164.0

164.9
165.7

1986:

I

109.5
109.7
109.6
109.6

107.7
107.7
107.5
107.5

127.3
127.5
128.1
129.0

126.9
127.1
127.6
128.5

116.3
116.3
116.9
117.8

117.9
118.0
118.7
119.6

180.7
182.2
183.6
185.2

180.0
181.3
182.6
184.4

100.1
101.3
101.5
101.7

99.8
100.8
100.9
101.2

165.0
166.2
167.5
169.0

167.2
168.4
169.8
171.5

164.3
165.4
166.9
166.7

166.4
167.3
168.8
168.8

n
mr

109.7
110.1
111.3
110.9

107.6
108.0
109.1
108.8

130.2
131.1
133.1
134.4

129.7
130.7
132.7
134.1

118.7
119.1
119.6
121.2

120.6
121.1
121.7
123.2

185.8
187.3
189.1
190.6

184.9
186.3
187.9
189.5

100.7
100.3
100.3
100.2

100.2
99.7
99.7
99.6

169.4
170.2
169.8
171.8

171.8
172.5
172.2
174.1

168.2
169.6
170.7
171.4

170.3
171.4
172.5
173.3

1988: I p .

111.1

109.1

135.3

135.0

121.7

123.7

192.2

191.1

100.2

99.7

173.0

175.2

172.0

173.8

11.1

11.2

9.0

8.9

10.9
7.7
8.3
1.4
1.5

11.0
8.3
8.4
1.0
1.8

9.0
9.6
5.9
3.3
3.3

9.7
9.7
6.3
3.5
3.0

2.8
2.0
2.0

3.2
2.2
2.0

2.7
2.1
2.5

3.2
2.3
2.4

1982:

n
m
IV

1987: I

IV ....

159.0

Pe rcent chan ?e; quarte rly data a seasonal] y adjusted annual rates

-1.2

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

2.0

1.9

3.2

3.5

9.7

9.5

-.3
1.4
-.4
2.7
2.5

-.4
1.0
g
3.3
2.1

-1.1
2.1
-3.1
4.2
8.4

-1.2
1.7
-3.3
5.0
8.3

-.8
.7
-2.8
1.5
5.7

-.7
.7
-2.7
1.6
6.0

10.5
9.2
7.8
4.2
4.1

10.5
9.4
7.8
4.3
3.9

-2.7
-1.0
1.6
1.0
-.2

-2.7
-.8
1.5
1.1

1.8
1.9
.9

1.2
1.6
.8

4.0
3.3
3.3

3.6
3.2
3.4

2.1
1.4
2.4

2.5
1.6
2.6

4.7
3.9
2.9

4.4
3.9
2.8

1.1
2.0
-.7

.8
2.0
-.8

1985
1986
1987 r.

4.5

5.0

3.2

3.8

1.5

2.6

2.4

3.0

8.3

5.4

4.3

1.3

.2

2.4

2.9

4.8

3.1

3.5

3.1

2.1

2.1

3.8

3.9

.5

.7

2.3

2.9

2.7

3.3

4.4
2.2

4.1
2.0

.7
3.2

1.5
3.6

5.7
5.1

4.9
4.9

3.4
1.1

2.6
.8

1.9
6.2

2.2
6.6

2.5
2.5

3.2
2.0

6.6
.1
-.6
.0

6.4
.7
1.8
3.0

6.4
.6
1.7
2.9

.5
.1
2.1
3.1

-.2
.6
2.3
2.9

3.2
3.5
3.0
3.6

3.9
2.9
2.8
4.0

1.6
4.9
.6
.8

2.3
4.3
.5
1.3

-2.5
2.8
3.3
3.7

-2.6
2.8
3.5
4.0

.9
2.6
3.7
5

1.6
2.3
3.7
.0

.5
1.4
4.7
-1.5

.4
1.4
4.2
-1.0

3.5
3.0
6.3
4.0

3.8
3.2
6.3
4.2

3.0
1.6
1.5
5.6

3.4
1.7
2.0
5.2

1.4
3.3
3.8
3.2

1.1
3.0
3.6
3.5

g

-4.1
-1.8
-.3
-.1

.9
1.8
-.9
4.7

.8
1.5
-.6
4.5

3.7
3.4
2.5
1.8

3.4
2.6
2.7
1.9

.8

.9

2.5

2.7

1.7

1.7

3.5

3.4

.1

.0

2.7

2.4

1.2

1.1

3.0

2.4

-.5

TV

3.0

1.4

10.4

1984:

IV

1.5

1.0

1985:

m
IV

3.7
-1.0

2.6
-1.6

5.8
.6
-.3
-.1

n
mr

1988: I".

I

IV

1987: I

IV ...

A

7.2

IV

1983:

n
m

-1.5

9.8

1982:

1986:

j1

1.6

-1.2

-3.4

-3.5

1
Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars.
2
Hours of all persona engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family
workers.
Estimates based primarily on establishment data.
3
Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private
benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed.
* Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers.

16



-3.8
-1.5
.0

6
Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product.
NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector.
Percent changes are from preceding period and are baaed on original data; they therefore may
differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION
Industrial production rose 0.1 percent in March, following no change in February. The index for March was 5.6
percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
240
FINAL PR ODUCTS
220

INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE)
160

TOTAL If vJDUSTRIAL PRODUCTI ON

140

200

.•

- ^-~

DEFENS E AND
SPA CE
EQUIP/\AENT

180

^-— '

160

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
160

^~~

i<JONDURABL

Illllllllll

100
140

UTILITIES

_S~^

— *. — *

120

r^^-^"

^^

BUSINESS
EQUIPMENT

140

' DURABLE

imihiiii

Illllllllll

1JTILITIES

A
•_•
^-*^~-\> •—xoci-^^

/

100

V^---

MINING

80 .

S'"~*
1^;=**—-

•—~—i

• i— i_.ij

*~
70

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986
1985
1984

Illllllllll

1987

mnlinii iiiiiiiiiu

PERCENT*
100
CAPACI1rY UTILIZAT ION RATE
(TOTAL 1 NDUSTRY)
90

ANDMIN NG PRODIJCTION

120

*- -s. *-**"*""""

~"
--

CONSUMER
GOODS

100 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

Illllllllll Illllllllll

-—

\ •'''"

-"

MANUF/ kCTURING PRODUCTIC3N

140

• —>

-^ ._, •'-

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
1984
1985
1986

Illllllllll
1988

"SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL REStRVE SYSTEM

"~n
iiiiiiiiiu
1987

Illllllllll
1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER?

[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Total
indu trial
produ ction
Period
Index,
1977 = 100

Industry prot uction indexes , 1977 = 100
Manufacturing

Percent
change
from year
earlier

1977 proportion

100.0

1980

108.6
111.0
103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8

-1.9
2.2
-7.1

1981....:

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec r

1988: Jan

T

Feb r

Mar".
1

Output as percent of capacity.




Capacity utilization
rate, p< rcent '

Mining
Total

Durable

Utilities

Nondurable

Total
industry

Manufacturing

84.21

49.10

35.11

9.83

5.96

5.9
11.2
1.9
1.1
3.8

108.2
110.5
102.2
110.2
123.4
126.4
129.1
T
134.7

109.1
111.1
99.9
107.7
124.2
127.6
128.4
133.1

107.0
109.7
105.5
113.7
122.3
124.6
130.1
r
136.8

112.4
117.5
109.3
102.9
111.1
108.9
100.4
100.7

107.3
107.1
104.8
105.2
110.7
111.1
108.5
110.3

79.9
72.1
74.6
81.0
80.4
79.4
80.7

79.3
78.2
70.3
73.9
80.5
80.1
79.7
81.0

127.4
127.4
128.2
129.1
130.6
131.2
131.0
132.5
133.2
133.9

2.9
2.1
3.1
4.1
4.6
5.1
5.2
5.8
6.0
5.6

132.4
132.4
133.2
134.0
135.6
135.9
135.7
137.3
137.9
138.9

131.5
130.9
131.4
132.0
133.5
133.8
133.7
136.8
136.7
137.3

133.7
134.6
135.7
136.9
138.5
138.8
138.6
138.1
139.6
141.3

98.3
98.6
99.2
99.2
99.2
100.9
101.9
103.6
104.6
104.6

107.9
106.0
109.6
109.4
111.2
112.9
111.2
112.1
113.2
111.7

79.7
79.6
79.9
80.3
81.1
81.4
81.1
81.9
82.1
82.4

80.3
80.2
80.4
80.8
81.5
81.5
81.3
82.0
82.2
82.6

134.4
134.4
134.6

6.5
5.8
5.6

139.5
139.5
139.8

137.7
137.9
138.3

141.9
141.8
141.9

102.9
101.9
102.3

115.2
115.8
114.4

82.6
82.4
82.3

82.8
82.6
82.5

80.9

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

17

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND
SELECTED MANUFACTURES
[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Produc ts

Mate rials

^inal product s

Internlediate prot ucts

C 3nsumer go ads

Equipment

Period
Total

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

25.52
102.7
104.1
101.4
109.3
118.0
119.8
124.0
127.8

6.89
88.4
89.7
82.9
98.5
112.2
112.5
115.6
120.2

18.63

126.7
125.5
127.3
127.2
128.9
129.4
127.7
129.0
129.4
129.8

119.8
116.7
120.1
117.4
120.4
121.2
118.6
124.3
123.9
120.3

131.4
131.9
131.9

121.5
121.2
122.0

Total

1977 proportion

44.77

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1987: Mar
Apr
May

112.2
115.2
109.5
114.7
127.3
131.0
132.5
136.8
135.1
134.5
135.5
136.2
137.9
138.4
137.8
139.3
139.2
139.8
141.1
141.6
141.9

June
July

Aug
Sept

1988:

Got
Nov
Dec1"
Jan r.

Feb r .

Mar"
1

108.1
109.3
108.3
113.3
120.1
122.5
127.1
130.6
129.3
128.7
130.0
130.9
132.1
132.5
131.0
130.8
131.5
133.3
135.0
135.8
135.5

Total '

19.25
124.7
129.9
120.2
121.7
139.6
145.8
143.6

148.9
146.2
146.4
146.3
148.1
149.7
150.2
151.2
153.0
152.2
153.1
154.0
154.4
155.2

Business

Defense
and
space
equipment

14.34

3.67

125.1
127.6
113.6
115.4
134.2
140.2
139.5
144.5
141.9
142.1
141.7
144.2
145.6
145.6
146.3
148.7
148.3
149.8
150.9

115.4
119.8
133.0
143.1
156.4
171.4
182.0
188.9
188.6
189.2
189.3
188.6
188.7
189.1
189.8
190.3
188.7
188.9
190.1
190.3
189.8

151.4
152.4

Total

12.94
106.9
107.3
101.7
111.2
124.7
129.3
136.2
143.4

140.9
140.3
141.8
143.3
145.0
145.3
144.9
146.1
147.3
146.5
148.5
148.8
148.3

Construction
supplies

Busi-

Total

supplies

5.95

6.99

100.6
98.6
88.3
100.6
114.0
119.2
126.4
131.5
130.4
128.2
129.1
131.5
133.1
132.5
132.3
133.3
134.2
133.8
136.9

112.3
114.7
113.1
120.3
133.8
137.9
144.6
153.5
149.9
150.6
152.6
153.4
155.2
156.3
155.6
157.1
158.4
157.4
158.4

136.2

159.6

134.4

42.28
105.3
107.7
96.7
102.8
114.2
114.3
113.8
118.2

115.2
115.9
116.3
117.2
118.5
119.4
119.7
121.2
122.5
123.7
123.0
122.4
122.6

Energy

11.69
105.5
104.7
101.2
98.4
103.9
103.3
99.7
99.8
97.2
97.8
98.7
99.4
99.0
100.9
100.2
101.8
102.8
101.7
101.5
100.7
100.5

Includes rigs and prefabs, not shown separately.

[1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Nc ndurable manufactui res

Durable m mufactures
Transp Drtation
equip ment

Primarj metals
Fabricated
metal
products

Nonelectrical
machinery

3.49

6.46

86.3
92.5
57.5
66.1
73.4
70.4
63.4
70.6
65.4
65.0
65.7
68.3
70.9
76.0
74.6
82.0
79.7
81.9
77.9
75.7

101.8
101.6
86.6
89.1
102.6
107.1
108.0
111.0
110.5
109.9
108.5
111.1
111.1
110.1
111.1
113.5
113.6
115.8
117.2
117.9
118.2

9.54
123:3
129.8
115.6
118.3
141.8
146.2
145.0
152.7

Period
Total

1977 proportion

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 r
1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov

Dec r

1988:

Jan r.

Feb r .

Feb"

5.33
90.4
95.0

65.8
73.0
82.3
80.4
75.1
81.3
77.0
76.1
77.0
78.8
81.4
85.1
84.5
90.6
90.2
90.6
86.6
85.6
85.9

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

18



Iron and
steel

148.5
150.4
149.7
151.8
155.3
154.3
156.6
158.0
157.2

161.0
162.5
162.7
164.0

Electrical
machinery

7.15

130.3
134.1
128.4
143.8
170.5
168.3
165.7
172.3
168.5
168.4
171.1
170.5
172.5
174.3
173.4
175.5
175.6
175.9
177.0
177.8
177.9

Total

9.13
96.9
95.1
87.6
99.2
112.2
122.8
127.5
129.2
132.2
127.8
129.4
126.5
127.6
128.1
125.5
132.0
130.4
128.1
128.6
128.4
129.9

Motor
vehicles
and
parts

Lumber
and
products

Apparel
products

2.79
97.3

5.25

2.30

71.1

92.9
90.1
82.8
100.2
109.1
114.3
124.1
130.3

96.1
87.3
95.3
102.7
100.4
103.1
107.4

128.9
127.8
130.3
131.1
132.8
131.1
126.9
129.8
134.0
133.6

105.4
105.3
106.4
107.7
109.7
108.4
107.6
108.0
109.4
107.8

136.1
135.5

108.8

71.6
66.8
85.8
104.4
111.9
111.5
111.8
116.5
109.8
112.0
107.4
109.4
109.1
105.6
116.0
114.0
110.2
109.7
109.1
112.8

Printing
and
publishing

Chemicals
and
products

4.54

8.05
106.4
112.6
103.8
114.0
121.6
126.4
132.0
140.2

115.1
118.6
120.2
129.8
146.5
151.4
160.9
172.1
167.6
169.2
171.4
174.1
174.0
174.7
174.9
175.2
175.7
176.9
179.2
180.7
181.4

135.3
137.3
138.1
139.3
140.8
142.3
142.4
141.5
144.4
147.9
148.9
148.0

Foods

7.96

111.4
113.7
114.9
120.4
126.9
130.5
134.4
137.8
137.3
136.0
137.4
137.7
138.5
138.8
139.5
138.0
138.9
140.1
141.2
142.0

NEW CONSTRUCTION
[Monthly data seasonally adjusted]
Constructio n contracts 3

Private
Total new
construction
expenditures

Period

Real lential
Total

New housing

Total'

Commercial
and
industrial 2

Other

Federal,
State, and
local

Total value
index
(1982 = 100)

Commercial
and industrial
floor space
(millions of
square feet)

B illions of dollars

42.3
46.2
49.4
49.5
48.1
48.5
50.5
51.5
52.6

58.5
56.5
53.7
53.8
57.7
64.3
72.2
75.2

109
97
100
100
124
136
150
158
162

197.0
194.5
193.7
194.5

139.5
139.7
139.4
138.2
137.9
138.2
140.0
141.1
142.4
143.1

71.3
69.8
73.8
72.0
72.6
75.2
74.1
74.3
79.1
75.6

50.1
51.1
51.7
51.4
53.2
54.4
53.8
53.4
54.1
56.1

76.1
75.7
75.3
72.9
74.6
73.0
77.9
76.7
76.9
77.6

167
157
157
167
165
174
160
164
157
157

926
938
921
1,011
1,017
1,016
1,032
987
911
1,012

192.0
189.9
191.4

138.9
136.8
138.3

74.6
74.2
75.3

52.6
53.8
52.9

75.3
78.1
82.3

145
159
154

833
1,103
887

200.7

281.3

227.5

328.6
356.0
388.8
398.2

271.0
291.7
316.6

388.3
396.2
396.7
397.2
398.5
402.9
402.8
398.9
404.0
403.9

312.2
324.3
323.8
329.8
324.9
322.2
327.0
326.3

200.9

Jan '.
Feb"

394.5
396.0

Mar*

401.8

319.2
317.9
319.5

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '

193.3
203.6

192.9

322.9

89.3
69.6
69.4
57.0
94.6
113.8
114.7
133.2
139.7

42.0
46.7
55.0
58.7
53.8
68.6
82.7
78.0
73.5

116.4
100.4
99.2
84.7
125.5
153.8
158.5
187.1
196.8

252.4
251.7
260.2
246.6

1979

51.7

Annual rates

1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Ocf

Nov r
Dee r

1988:

320.5

321.4

190.8
199.5
195.9
198.0
200.2

1
Includes the following categories of private construction not shown separately: residential improvements,
railroads, electric light and power, gas, petroleum pipelines, and farm nonresidential.
2
Includes hotels and motets.

1,059
904
919
690
756
955
1,097
1,016
1,004
Annual rates

3
F.W. Dodge series.
Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Syst
Company, F.W. Dodge Division.

NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES
[Thousands of units or homes, except as noted]
New priv ate homes

New private housing units
Period

Units started, by type of structure
Total

1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

1,745.1
1,292.2
1,084.2
1,062.2
1,703.0
1,749.5
1,741.8
1,805.4
1,620.5

1 unit
1,194.1
852.2
705.4
662.6
1,067.6
1,084.2
1,072.4
1,179.4
1,146.4

2-4 units
122.0

109.5
91.1
80.0
113.5
121.4
93.4
84.0
65.3

5 or more units
429.0
330.5
287.7

319.6
522.0
544.0

576.1
542.0
408.7

Units
authorized
1,551.8
1,190.6
985.5
1,000.5
1,605.2
1,681.8
1,733.3
1,769.4
1,539.0

Units
completed

Homes sold

Homes for
sale at end of
period 1
3

Vacancy rat*
for rental
housing units
(percent) *

397
337
275
253
301
353
346
357
365

5.4
5.4
5.0
5.3
5.7

7.4

586

358
359
356
359
359
361
361
360
362
365

552
630
655

369
362
377

1,870.8
1,501.6
1,265.7
1,005.5
1,390.3
1,652.2
1,703.3
1,756.4
' 1,668.8

709
545
436
412
623
639
688
750
671

720
728
649
640
672
673
644
653
625

5.9
6.5
7.3
7.7

Seasonal y adjusted annu al rates

1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov
Dec

1988:

Jan '.
Feb r .

Mar"
1

;

1,723
1,635
1,599
1,583
1,594
1,583
1,679
1,538
1,661
1,399

1,206
1,201
1,125
1,086
1,142
1,109
1,211
1,105
1,129
1,035

85
66
65
85
59
58
49
67
51
51

432
368
409
412
393
416
419
366
481
313

1,719
1,598
1,493
1,517
1,487
1,502
1,502
1,463
1,469
1,361

1,720
1,786
1,687
1,612
1,680
1,633
1,591
1,565
1,571
' 1,624

1,382
1,514
1,543

1,016
1,106
1,185

53
57
59

313
351
299

1,257
1,422
1,466

1,532
1,425

Seasonally adjusted.
2
Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable
with earlier data.
3
New aeries beginning March 1979.




r

7.5
8.1
7.8

8.0

NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places and for 1978-83
data are for 16,000 places.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

19

BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade
In February, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.9 percent, and inventories rose $1.0 billion. In March, according
to advance data, retail sales rose 0.8 percent, following a rise of 0.6 percent in February.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATiq SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

220 _

800!

—

700

_/'

[-"""

_^^Ann! ^^

\

MANL IFACTURING

TRA 3E INVENTO ilES

—

s'** — ' ^ *

—\

/ V i"~

_^*-''

f

~~~

*•

— **

*" "

**** •'

— "\
RETAIL SALES

J

MA NUFACTURir~\G
AN 3 TRADE SA ES

—

__

S

—

,-''""

_,- s

"-~r~i
\

—

TAIL INVENT DRIES
RE

j\-—'

-

AND

—

_/1-~-

X^

-

100.1

—

miiliini

80i

—

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

RATIO*
1.80'

—

- INVENTORY-SALES RATIO
1.60
1.40

MANUFACTURING
AND TRADE

1.20 •••

Illllllllll

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

1985

1984

1986,

IJOOi

1985

1984

1988

1987

1986

1987

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE"

Manufact iring and
tra( e 1

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Sales

Inventories 3

Sales 2

Inventory-s ales ratio 4

Ee tail

Wholesale
Sales

2

1988

InvenTotal

z

Durable
goods
stores

Inventories

3

Manufacturing

Retail

Total

Durable
goods
stores

Nondurable goods
stores

60,937
64,783
69,046
72,529
74,907
79,290

134,468
147,581
167,517
181,524
185,996
211,100

61,469
69,066
79,431
88,998
91,085
107,948

72,999
78,515
88,086
92,526
94,911
103,152

1.67
1.56
1.53
1.55
1.55
1.51

1.49
1.44
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.59

78,409
78,320
78,716
79,092
79,527
79,651
80,367
79,867
79,919
80,181
80,615

190,727
193,186
194,576
196,806
200,424
202,210
202,684
203,708
206,577
208,260
211,100

94,988
96,162
96,352
98,712
100,716
101,590
101,569
102,394
104,846
106,490
107,948

95,739
97,024
98,224
98,094
99,708
100,620
101,115
101,314
101,731
101,770
103,152

1.50
1.50
1.51
1.51
1.50
1.51
1.49
1.48
1.50
1.52
1.52

1.55
1.56
1.56
1.58
1.58
1.59
1.56
1.59
1.63
1.64
1.64

80,080
79,930
80,758

209,824
207,572

106,377
103,746

103,477
103,826

1.54
1.52

1.63
1.60

Nondurable goods
stores

trade '

Millions of dollars, seasonally !idjusted

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987:

Febr.
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Get
Nov
Dec

1988: Jan '
Feb"
Mar"
1
2

348,746
368,931
408,142
418,517
425,259
453,313

574,085
590,178
644,302
655,449
657,121
709,853

96,290
100,324
113,390
114,645
116,026
126,736

128,196
130,445
142,622
147,145
152,887
165,097

442,408
444,932
445,252
447,215
453,701
454,330
460,047
464,984
464,947
462,975
468,303

665,679
1668,461
671,128
677,214
680,880
684,154
685,150
689,513
697,648
703,425
709,853

123,766
124,039
124,550
125,511
126,599
127,705
129,662
131,437
131,743
128,501
128,332

154,821
155,241
155,767
158,560
158,835
158,611
157,072
159,135
162,517
163,353
165,097

465,730
469,830

715,027
716,014
'••>

129,720
131,338

168,388
169,890

r

r

r

123,292
124,105
124,744
124,775
126,511
127,230
129,981
127,815
126,808
127,248
128,615
128,769
129,579
130,660

See page 21 for manufacturing.
Monthly average for year and total for month.
End of period. Data beginning December 1980 for wholesale and retail and beginning January
1982
for manufacturing are not comparable with data for prior periods.
4
Annual data are averages of monthly ratios.
3

20



28,169
32,582
37,836
41,415
44,885
46,592

89,107
97,364
106,882
113,944
119,791
125,882

44,883
45,785
46,028
45,683
46,984
47,579
49,614
47,948
46,889
47,067
48,000

r

48,689
" 49,649
49,902

T

r

NOTE.—Wholesale series revised for 1982-1986 (data for 1987 forward were revised in March
ssue); retail series revised for 1982 (data for 1983 forward were revised in March issue).
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS
In March, manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders rose.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

280!
240!

440

SHIPMEENTS

INVEN TORIES

360

1

200

'

"
280

TOTAL

160

DU RABLE GOOt )S
. 1

120

's~=-~Z'~'-.

.

_ _ _ _ _ - •—•-""

—

160;

120 .--

NCENDURABLE GOODS

\

60;

•"

NCENDURABLE GOODS

lltlltlltl!

Illllllllll Illllllllll

M

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)

280
240

TOTAL
*

1
V
DtJRABLE GOC DS

200i

_x

r;^

80

'

_,..—

60

NEWO RDERS

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll
s~ -—-~"1

160

RATIO,
2.20

— TOTAL—

i

INVENTORY-SHIPWiENTS

RATIO

2.00'

DU RABLE GOO 3S

120)
A

"•

...
80

S*'—J

-? --

h-_V-Hy~'?:~
~-~

1.80

h-v-H

1.60

NON )URABLE GC ODS

1.40

I Illllllllll

miiliim

1984

1985

llllllllJII Illllllllll Illllllllll
1986

1 "0

^nr^ir^i

h""~

Mii ini i

niiiiiiiii
1984

1988

1987

—

1985

—

Illllllllll
1987

1986

'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS j

Manufa cturers' shiprnents l

Manufac turers' inven tories 2

]< anufac turers new orders i

Nondurable goods

Manufacturers'
unfilled
orders 3

Manufacturers'
inventoryshipments
ratio 4

76,801
84,199
83,924
86,431
91,189
91,030
89,351
95,595
92,562
93,125
93,647
94,405
96,273
96,852
96,479
97,374
98,304
98,677
98,202
98,375
98,322
100,621

323,393
319,094
306,302
338,849
365,177
373,495
372,974
403,496
370,244
372,531
375,886
380,354
385,217
391,887
394,640
395,627
398,630
401,030
403,496
408,826
412,554
414,278

1.67
1.65
1.95
1.80
1.74
1.74
1.70
1.62
1.64
1.63
1.64
1.63
1.60
1.62
1.62
1.59
1.59
1.60
1.58
1.63
1.62
1.58

Durabl 3 goods
Period

1988

Durable
goods

Nondurable goods

77,550
83,872
79,352
84,956
96,623
98,930
100,142
105,300
103,256
104,175
102,747
102,477
104,476
103,032
104,135
108,433
108,251
108,378
113,026
108,946
110,522
113,783

76,841
84,257
83,998
86,286
91,246
90,997
89,300
95,395
92,094
92,613
93,211
94,452
96,115
96,363
96,269
97,299
98,145
98,848
98,330
98,295
98,391
100,568

Durable
goods

Capital

Nondurable goods

Total

industries,
nondefense

M dlions of do lars, seasoimlly adjust 3d

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987: Febr
Mar r.
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988: Jan
Feb r
Mar"
1
2
3

154,391
168,129
163,350
171,242
187,869
189,928
189,442
200,695
195,350
196,788
195,958
196,929
200,591
199,395
200,404
205,732
206,396
207,226
211,356
207,241
208,913
214,351

264,281
282,645
2
311,421
312,152
334,163
326,780
318,238
333,656
320,131
320,034
320,785
321,848
321,621
323,333
325,394
326,670
328,554
331,812
333,656
336,815
338,552
339,376

Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales.
End of period. Data beginning 1982 are not comparable with data for prior periods.
End of period.




174,620
186,347
200,711
200,220
218,524
213,750
207,854
216,753
208,431
208,111
208,683
209,096
208,654
209,951
210,921
211,680
213,436
215,931
216,753
219,014
220,318
220,796

2

2

89,661
96,298
110,710
111,932
115,639
113,030
110,384
116,903
111,700
111,923
112,102
112,752
112,967
113,382
114,473
114,990
115,118
115,881
116,903
117,801
118,234
118,580

156,161
167,752
161,600
173,915
190,065
190,631
189,482
203,196
194,633
199,075
200,624
201,397
205,454
206,065
203,157
206,719
209,399
209,626
213,822
212,571
212,641
216,075

79,360
83,553
77,676
87,485
98,875
99,600
100,131
107,601
102,071
105,950
106,977
106,992
109,181
109,213
106,678
109,345
111,095
110,949
115,620
114,196
114,319
115,454

23,259
24,050
21,469
22,143
26,714
26,970
26,671
29,632
27,036
27,693
28,310
30,031
29,987
31,982
29,540
29,753
30,416
30,085
33,879
34,791
33,764
32,496

4
Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Data beginning 1982 are not comparable with data
for prior periods.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

21

PRICES
PRODUCER PRICES
In March, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.6 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished
consumer foods rose 0.7 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.5 percent. Capital equipment
prices rose 0.4 percent.
INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982 =100 (RATIO SCALE)

120

s

120

ASONALLY ADJUSTEC

FINISHED GOODS PRI CES

110

/

'

,'/''

CAPIT/VL EQUIPMENT ,'">c/c~--^
..\.--^j
^
e
'f&--"' ^S*^-'
-

100

/ "^

'S*;,/

"''^V

-'

,

"V'

V

110

\V-v^'^

TOTAL —
FINISHED
GOODS

/.-''

\
v

/I /

I

*•'

,.,''—- -'

V/"'

:

'<~--~ -JZ~~- -./

90

-""...-i ,-'

C<DNSUMER
FOODS .•-'I

"\

\

100

'

CONSUMER GOODS
EXCLUDING FOODS

! /f/
I 'f\

90

" v' /'/,''
j
A

/

'

/'-'
'it
80

lllllllllll
1980

lllllllllll
1981

lllllllllll lllllllllll

1982

mnlimi Minium iimlniu
1984

1983

1985

lllllllllll lllllllllll

1987

1986

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

[1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted]

Pin shed
F uushed
Period

Total
finished
goods

Consumer
foods

Consumer g )ods

88.0
96.1

100.0
101.6
103.7
104.7
103.2
105.4

1987: Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct
Nov r
Dec

1988: Jan
Peb
Mar

104.5
105.1
105.3
105.4
105.7
106.0
106.4
106.1
106.2
105.7
106.1
105.9
106.5

Durable




Internlediate ma terials

On[ide maten als

Foods

Foodstuffs

Total
finished

Capital
equipment

con-

Total

Other

Total

100.6
103.1
102.7
99.1
101.5

89.4
98.2
100.0
100.5
103.0

102.6
103.3
103.6
103.7
104.1
104.3
104.7
104.5
104.5
103.9

99.8
100.2
100.8
101.3
101.9
102.4
102.7
103.2
103.6
103.9

104.3
103.9
104.6

104.2
104.2
104.8

87.1
96.1
100.0
101.2
102.2
103.3
98.5
100.7

91.0
96.4
100.0
102.8
104.5
106.5
108.9
111.5

85.1
95.8
100.0
100.5
101.1
101.7
93.3
94.8

85.8
94.6
100.0
102.8
105.2
107.5
109.7
111.7

88.6
96.6
100.0
101.3
103.3
103.8
101.4
103.6

90.3
98.6
100.0

108.2
109.6
110.8
110.7
110.3
109.5
110.2
109.9
108.6

103.3
103.6
103.5
103.6
104.2
104.8
105.2
104.9
104.9
104.8

99.9
100.2
100.1
100.3
101.0
101.7
102.0
101.8
101.7
101.6

110.8
111.3
111.2
111.3
111.5
111.5
112.2
112.2
112.1
111.8

94.0
94.3
94.1
94.4
95.3
96.3
96.4
96.2
96.1
96.0

111.1
111.4
111.5
111.4
111.6
111.9
112.5
112.0
112.1
112.3

110.5
109.3
110.1

104.6
104.7
105.2

101.2
101.3
101.8

112.2
112.3
113.0

95.3
95.4
95.8

112.5
112.7
113.2

and

Otl

feedstuffs

105.5
104.6
100.0
103.6
105.7
97.3
96.2
99.2

86.7
95.6
100.0
101.8
103.2
104.6
101.9
104.0

110.0

and
feeds »

sumer
goods

92.4
97.8
100.0
101.0
105.4
104.6
107.3
109.5

1
Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds.
Note.—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967 = 100
to 1982 = 100.

22

as

Nondurable

Total
Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987"

goods

go dds excluding consumer foo

103.0
99.3
101.7

95.3
103.0
100.0
101.3
103.5
95.8
87.7
93.6

104.6
103.9
100.0
101.8
104.7
94.8
93.2
96.2

84.t
101.8
100.0
100.7
102.2
96.9
81.6
87.9

95.7
97.3
100.2
100.6
100.2
100.0
101.0
101.0
101.3
101.3

100.1
100.4
100.9
101.4
102.0
102.6
102.8
103.3
103.7
104.0

90.6
92.3
94.3
94.6
95.6
96.7
96.0
96.1
94.9
94.6

93.3
96.8
100.4
98.7
97.3
97.5
97.5
98.1
95.6
96.2

84.8
85.4
86.3
87.9
90.3
91.8
90.8
90.6
90.2
89.3

102.6
101.9
102.7

104.3
104.3
104.9

93.6
94.5
94.1

97.1
99.3
100.1

87.3
87.3
86.2

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
In March, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.5 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.4

percent not

seasonally adjusted). The index was 3.9 percent above its year-earlier level.
INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE)

130

130

SEA SONAUY ADJUSTED

120

120

CONSUMER PF ICES— ALL ITE VIS
N

110

—

"'"""

-^_—

110

V-~-

100

90

80

/\

100

r"""

90

^^

80

/

70

60

70

iimlmii i l f i i l m i i mnlimi
1981
1982
1980

mil HIM nm mn
1984

1983

mnhim mnlimi

1985

M i n i m i ! mu nm

1986

1987

SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR

60

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]

All it.ems *

T ^ansportat on

Housing

All

She Iter
Not
Period

seasonally
adjust-

ed
(NBA)

Fuel

Season-

Rent-

Food
Total

ed

100.0

16.1

42.5

82.4
90.9
96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6
1987: Mar.... 112.1
Apr.... 112.7
May ... 118.1
June .. 113.5
July... 113.8
Aug ... 114.4
Sept... 115.0
115.3
Oct
Nov.... 115.4
Dec.... 115.4
115.7
1988: Jan
Feb.... 116.0
Mar. . 116.5

86.8
93.6
97.4
99.4
103.2
105.6
109.0
113.5
112.3
112.7
113.3
113.9
113.8
113.9
114.5
114.7
114.8
115.3
115.6
115.3
115.7

81.1
90.4
96.9
99.5
103.6
107.7
110.9
114.2
113.0
113.4
113.7
114.0
114.2
114.8
115.0
115.3
115.5
115.9
116.4
116.8
117.2

Rel. imp.3....

ers'

Total 1

ally
adjust-

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

112.3
112.8
113.2
113.5

113.8
114.3
114.6
115.0
115.3
115.5
115.9
116.1
116.7

27.8
81.0
90.5
96.9
99.1
104.0
109.8
115.8
121.3
119.7
120.2
120.6
120.8
121.2
121.9
122.2
122.8
123.1
123.8
124.5
125.1
125.7

costs

Home-

owners'
costs

and

(Dec.
1982 =
100)

(Dec.
1982 =
100)

repairs

7.9

19.7

0.2
82.4
90.7
96.4
99.9
103.7
106.5
107.9
111.8
110.7
110.3
110.2
111.1
113.2
112.9
112.7
112.8
113.5
113.3
113.7
114.3
113.3

103.0
108.6
115.4
121.9
128.1
126.5
126.8
127.1
127.5
128.5
128.9
128.8
128.6
128.8
129.5
130.9
131.5
133.0

102.5
107.3
113.1
119.4
124.8
123.1
123.7
124.2
124.4
124.5
125.4
125.9
126.9
127.2
127.9
128.4
129.0
129.3

1
Includes items not shown separately.
2
Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.
also included through 1982.
3
Relative importance, December 1987.
Nora—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967= 100




Maintenance

and

Appar-

other
utilities

upkeep

Medi-

el and
Total1

New
cars

Motor
fuel

cal
care

Ener-

gy 2

items
less
food,
shel-

ter,
and
energy

(NSA)
7.7

75.4
86.4
94.9
100.2
104.8
106.5
104.1
103.0
102.3
102.4
102.6
103.0
103.1
103.6
103.3
103.0
103.4
103.3
103.2
103.7
103.5

6.3
90.9
95.3
97.8
100.2
102.1
105.0
105.9
110.6
109.6
111.0
111.4
110.8
109.9
110.3
111.3
112.7
113.1
112.2
112.3
112.0
114.2

17.5
83.1
93.2
97.0
99.3
103.7
106.4
102.3
105.4
104.0
104.6
104.8
105.3
105.9
106.7
106.8
107.2
107.7
107.4
107.3
107.1
107.2

4.4
88.4
93.7
97.4
99.9
102.8
106.1

110.6
114.6
113.3
113.9
114.1
114.4
114.8
115.0
115.2
115.5
115.7
115.7
115.5
115.8
116.2

3.3
97.4
108.5
102.8
99.4
97.9
98.7
77.1
80.2
78.3
79.1
79.2
80.1
81.1
83.8
83.2
83.0
83.0
81.6
80.4
78.9
79.2

5.8
74.9
82.9
92.5
100.6
106.8
113.5
122.0
130.1
127.8
128.6
129.3
130.0
130.7
131.3
131.9
132.4
133.0
133.5
134.6
135.4
136.0

7.6
86.0
97.7
99.2
99.9
100.9
101.6
88.2
88.6
87.1
87.5
87.6
88.5
88.7
90.2
89.8
89.3
89.6
88.9
88.3
87.8
87.8

48.5
80.6

88.3
95.1
100.0
105.0
109.0
112.7
117.0
115.8
116.4
116.7
116.9
117.3
117.6
117.9
118.5
118.9
118.9
119.5
119.8
120.4

to 1982-84=100.
Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for horaeownership i
therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods.
Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated oa a revised basis.
Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

23

CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Period

Chitnge from pr eceding peri >d

Change from 3 month s earlier, aim ual rate

Change from 6 montl s earlier, arm ual rate

Consuin r goods

Consume r goods

Consum r goods

Total
finished
goods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding foods

Foods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Total
finished
goods

Capital
equipment

Excluding
foods

Foods

Change
from
year
earlier,
total
finished
goods
NSA

Cha nge, Dec. bo Dec., N 3A

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 »

7.5
1.5
2.0
2.3
3.5
.6
2.8
-.3

11.8

7.1
3.6
.6
1.7
1.8
-2.3

2.1

14.1

11.4

8.6
4.2
-.9
.8
2.1

9.2
3.9
2.0
1.8
2.7
2.1
1.3

-6.6

3.9

13.4

9.2
4.1
1.6
2.1
1.0
-1.4

2.1

Cr singe, moil th to monl h
1987:

0.4
.6
.2
.1
.3
.3
.4
-.3
.1
-.5

Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov '
Dee '.

.4
2
.6

1988: Jan
Feb '
Mar

0
1.3
1.1
.1
-.4
.7
.6

3

0.8
.3
-.1
.2
.7
.7
.3
-.2

.1

— .1

— .4

-1.3

-.1

.1
.2

1.7

-.4
.1
.5

.2
.2
.4

-1.1

.7

4.3
4.7
4.7
3.5
2.3
2.7
3.8
1.5
.8

0.1
.3
.1
.1
.2
.3
.5

-2.5
6.1

9.3
5.8

10.0

4.1
1.6
3.2
6.5
7.0
3.2
0

9.6
2.6
-4.6
-1.8
-1.4

1.8

-2.6

-5.7

2.2

0

-2.5

-1.1

3.1

1.1
.7
1.8
1.1

.7
1.4
4.0
1.4
.7

-1.6

7

-2.3
-1.6

1.8
2.2
3.2

.8

5.6

2.9
3.3
3.5
3.9
3.5

3.7
3.7
1.9
1.7
.6

-1.3
-.4
2.4
3.3

5.6
5.8
5.4
5.4

4.3
2.4
3.7
.5

4.5
5.3
4.2
3.2
3.2
2.6

-1.4
-3.8

.8

.4
-.4
-.2

O

.2

.4
-.8
-.4

1.6

1.7
2.7
2.4
2.3
3.4
3.1
3.2
2.5
2.6
2.1

1.6
1.4
1.2

2.1
1.7
1.8

2.0
1.6
1.3
1.1
.7
1.6

2.5

1.1
1.1

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS
[Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Tr ansportation

Housing
Shelter
Period

All
items '

Food

Total1

Total1

KeMers'
costs

owners'
costs

Fuel
and
other
utilities

Apparel
and

New

Total !

Adden dum: All ite ms, percent change
(annue 1 rate)

All

Motor

Medical

Ener-

a*

keep

items
less
food,
shelter,
and
energy

From
previter 3

From
3
months
earlier

From
6
months
earlier

From
earlier
NSA

change, E eeember to Dec smber, N SA
12.5

1980
1981

8.9
3.8
3.8
3.9
3.8
1.1
4.4

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987

10.2

4.3
3.1
2.7
3.8
2.6
3.8
3.5

13.7
10.2

3.6
3.5
4.3
4.3
1.7
3.7

15.0

9.9
2.4
4.7
5.2
6.0
4.6
4.8

13.8
14.4

5.1
5.9
6.3
5.0
3.9

4.5
5,1
5.9
4.6
5.3

9.7
1.8
4.2
1.8
-5.6

1.6

6.8
3.5
1.6
2.9
2.0
2.8
.9
4.8

18.8
7.4
9.4
6.8
1.5 -6.5
3.4
1.7
2.5 -2.4
3.4
3.1
5.9 -30.7
18.7
1.8

14.6
10.9

1.8
3.9
3.1
2.6
-5.9

6.1

9.9
12.5
11.0

6.4
6.1
6.7
7.7
5.8

18.0
11.9

1.3
-.5
.2
1.8
8.2

5.0
4.3
3.7
3.3
3.8

0.4
.6
.5
.5
.5
.5
.5
.4
.5
.4

0.8
.5
.1
1.0
.2
1.7
-.4
-.6
.3
-.8

0.4
.5
.3
.2
.3
.3
.3
.5
.3
0

.8
.6
,4

__7
-.6
0

.5
.3
.5

-19.7

13.5
10.3

9.8
9.4
6.1

6.2
3.2
4.3
3.6
1.9
3.6

Chitnge, mo nth to nlonth
1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

0.4
.4
.4
.3
.3
.4
.3
.3
.3
.2

0.2
.4
.5
.5
-.1
.1
.5
.2
.1
.4

0.3
.4

.3
.2
.5

.3
.3
.3

1988: Jan
Feb
Mar
1
2

.2
.3
.2
.3

0.5
.4
.3
.2
.3
.6
.2
.5
.2
.6

0.5
.2
.2
.3
.8
.3
-.1

.4
.3
.3

.6
.5
.5

.3
.S
.2

.5

.4
-.1

1.6
1.3
.4
-.5
-.8
.4
.9
1.3
.4
-.8

0.6
.6
.2
.5
.6
.8
.1
.4
.5
-.3

0.3
.5
.2
.3
.3
.2
.2
.3
.2
0

-.1
.5
-.2

.1
-.3
2.0

— .1

g

-.2
.1

.3
.3

0
.1
.2
.4
.1
.5
-.3

.2
.5

0.5
.5
.4
.2
.1
.7
.4
.8
.2
.6

1.1
.5
1.1

.4
.5
.2

q

— .3

Includes items not shown separately.
Household fuels—gaa (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc.,
also included through 1982.

24



3

2.1
1.0
.1
1.1
1.2
3.3
-.7
-.2
0
-1.7
-1.5
-1.9

.4

3.9

6.3
5.1
5.1
4.3
3.6
3.9
3.9
4.3
3.5
3.2

4.4
5.0
5.1
5.3
4.4
4.5
4.1
3.9
3.7
3.6

3.0
3.8
3.9
3.7
3.9
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.5
4.4

3.2

3.2
2.8
4.2

3.7
3.2
3.7

4.0
3.9
3.9

5.2

5.1

3.6

Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter.

Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS
Prices received by farmers in April were unchanged from their March level. Prices paid by farmers in April were
1.8 percent above their January level.
INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE)

INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE)
180

180

PRICES PAID
\

160

160

140

140

120

120

100

100

80

80

HIM

60
RATI
140

111

111 n

inn

60

yy
-

TOO

RA TIO-^
140
- 120

I^y.

1

"

RATIO
\

"V

^

80
Illllllllll

1980

.

n

~ v_,-—

-^

'
1

- 100
""1

-- .^-

80

^.

1 1 1 11 Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l Illllllllll
19 81
1982
1983
1987
1986
1988
1984
1985 !

urn

I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID.
COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

[1977^100]
I'rices paid by farmei s

Pri ces received by farm ers

Period

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
:
1985
1986
1987
1987: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dee
1988: Jan
Peb
Mar
Apr
1

All farm
products

Livestock and
products

134
139
133
135
142
128
123
127
125
128
130
129
127
129
127
132
127
131
130
130
130

125
134
121
128
138
120
107
106
101
108
110
108
103
104
106
120
113
115
109
110
111

Includes items not shown separately.
Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes,
and wage rates. See also footnote 3.
3
Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and
for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available.
2




144
143
145
141
146
136
138
146
147
148
150
149
151
152
147
143
141
147
149
148
148

All commodities,
services,
interest, taxes,
and wage rates 1

Production
items, interest,
taxes, and wage
rates

138
150
159
161
165
163
159
162
162
(3)
(3)
164
(3)
(3)
165

139
151
159
159
162
157
150
152
152
(3)
(3)
154
(3)
(3)
155
(3)
(3)
155
(3)
(3)
158

(3)

(3)
165
(3)
(3)
168

Production
items

138
148
153
152
155
151
144
147
147
(3)
(3)
148
(3)
(3)
150
(3)

(3>
152
(3)
(3)
155

Ratio 2

97
92
84
84
86
79
77
78
77
79
80
79
77
79
77
80
77
79
79
79
77

NoTB.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes
have been converted to a 1977= 100 base to facilitate comparison with, other indexes.
Source: Department of Agriculture.

25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES
Growth in Ml accelerated in March; growth in M2 was little changed; and growth in M3 slowed.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE)

• =——-=l

3,600
r __

M3

3,200

__--

_ - __— — 1

-~~

3,600
3,200

-

_——

•

""

_

_^^-

2 400

-^

----"""

2,000

2,000

M2

^

. — —""""

1,600

^
?,200

1,200

800
700

—

700

—

500

—•• —"^

600
500 -'—
__

300

•"""^

nr

imiliim iiuilnni M i i i l n i n

II, nil!..!

nuiliini

1981

1983

!984

1980

1982

uinlinii iiiiihiin innluin

IIMllllll!
1985

1987

1986

AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONAL Y ADJUSTED

300

1988

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

[Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted]

Period

Ml

M2

M3

Sum of currency,
demand deposits,
travelers' checks,
and other
checkable
deposits (OCDs)

Ml plus overnight
KPs and
Eurodollars,
MMMF balances
(general purpose
and broker/dealer),
MMDAs, and
savings and small
time deposits

M2 plus large
time deposits,
term RPs, term
Eurodollars, and
institution-only
MMMF balances

M3 plus
other liquid
assets

L

Debt

Debt of
domestic
nonfinaneial
sectors
(monthly
average) *

Perc< nt change from yeair or 6
months earlier z

Ml

M2

M3

Debt

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec '

412.2
439.1
476.4
522.1
551.9
620.1
725.4
750.8

1,633.1
1,795.5
1,954.0
2,185.2
2,363.6
2,562.6
2,807.8
2,901.0

1,990.8
2,236.5
2,443.2
2,693.2
2,978.3
3,196.0
3,491.5
3,660.8

2,327.6
2,599.0
2,852.9
3,154.4
3,519.4
3,825.4
r
4,135.0
4,325.4

3,880.9
4,262.1
4,645.5
5,181.7
5,932.6
6,749.4
7,607.1
8,318.8

6.8
6.5
8.5
9.6
5.7
12.4
17.0
3.5

8.9
9.9
8.8
11.8
8.2
8.4
9.6
3.3

10.2
12.3
9.2
10.2
10.6
7.3
9.2
4.8

9.6
9.8
9.0
11.5
14.5
13.8
12.7
9.4

1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June '
July'.
Aug r
Sept *
Ocf
Nov r
Dec r

734.2
744.7
746.5
742.1
743.6
746.5
747.5
756.2
752.7
750.8

2,834.3
2,847.4
2,849.1
2,851.7
2,858.1
2,869.5
2,880.9
2,894.6
2,896.5
2,901.0

3,532.9
3,549.8
3,564.6
3,581.8
3,588.5
3,605.5
3,620.5
3,642.0
3,656.5
3,660.8

r

4,174.2
4,189.6
4,217.9
4,234.0
4,236.0
4,257.8
4,283.5
4,312.5
4,324.2
4,325.4

7,764.6
7,827.4
7,894.2
7,953.9
7,997.6
8,051.2
8,114.4
8,180.2
8,259.0
8,318.8

14.1
14.8
11.7
4.7
3.4
4.2
3.7
3.1
1.7
2.4

6.7
6.0
4.8
3.2
2.2
2.9
3.3
3.3
3.4

11.1
11.0
10.5
9.3
8.5
8.8
9.2
9.2
9.5

3.5

6.1
6.0
5.9
5.2
4.1
4.6
5.0
5.3
5.2
4.5

1988:

Jan r
Feb r
Mar"

758.9
759.6
763.2

2,925.0
2,946.3
2,968.0

3,686.0
3,717.5
3,740.1

4,363.5
4,398.4

8,379.2
8,457.6

4.2
3.5
4.2

4.7
5.4
6.1

5.5
6.3
6.7

9.8
10.4

1
Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governmeats, and private nonfinaneial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts.
2
Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate.

26



Nors.—See p. 27 for components.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

9.4

COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS
[Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA]

Demand
deposits

Cur-

Period

rency

Other
checkable
deposits
(OCDs)

Overnight
repurchase
agreements
(RPs),
net, plus
overnight
Eurodollars

Money market
mutua fund
balaiices
General
purpose
and
broker/
dealer

NSA
1980: Dec

1981: Dec
1982: Dec
1983: Dec
1984: Dec
1985: Dec
1986: Dec
1987: Dec
1987:
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988:
Jan '
Feb r
Mar. "

NSA

Institution
only

NSA

Money
market
deposit
accounts
(MMDAs)

Savings
deposits

Small
denomination
time
deposits 1

Large
denomination
tune
deposits 1

NSA

Term
repurchase
agreements

Term
Eurodollars
(net)

NSA

NSA

(RPs)

Commercial
paper

84.9
90.8

72.3 133.5
67.8 149.4
68.0
183.5
71.1 211.9
74.2 260.9
79.3 301.2
91.6 ' 284.2
100.2 * 259.8

32.1
40.0
44.5
45.1
45.7
42.5
37.8
45.7

98.8
105.3
113.6
133.1
160.3
206.5
229.9
258.9

94.2 r 267.7
95.1
257.6
95.9 261.6
96.6 ' 259.6
97.5 r 254.8
98.1 * 258.9
98.4 r 263.7
98.8 r273.0
99.3 270.9
100.2
259.8

39.6
40.9
42.1
43.1
43.4
43.5
44.3
44.5
45.0
45.7

239.9
246.3
253.7
252.8
251.8
251.8
256.6
254.2
252.5
258.9

43.5
40.9

269.0
274.1

115.3
122.5
132.6
146.3
156.1
167.7
180.4
196.5

261.4
231.4
234.1
238.6
244.1
267.2
303.3
288.0

31.4
80.9
105.4
132.3
146.4
179.2
235.2
259.3

28.3
35.9
38.8
53.8
56.3
70.2
78.4
77.9

61.6
150.6
185.2
138.2
167.5
176.5
208.0
r
221.1

15.2
38.0
51.1
43.2
62.7
64.5
84.4
89.6

0.0
.0
43.2
379.2
416.8
513.6
572.5
525.2

400.2
343.9
356.8
305.5
285.4
301.4
370.7
414.3

728.4
822.9
850.5
783.6
883.3
879.5
853.2
913.1

260.0
302.5
326.7
327.1
416.9
436.4
439.2
484.7

36.0
34.5
51.8
61.9
65.6
84.0
105.4

184.4
185.6
187.0
187.8
189.0
190.2
191.4
193.1
195.0
196.5

295.0
299.3
298.9
293.3
292.3
292.1
290.5
295.9
291.3
288.0

248.0
253.1
253.9
254.3
255.6
257.2
258.6
260.3
259.5
259.3

76.9
77.0
76.2
74.9
75.6
79.7
83.4
85.9
79.6
77.9

212.5
212.1
209.9
210.6
210.6
213.1
216.3
r
218.2
r
219.7
r
221.1

85.4
83.5
82.1
81.7
83.8
84.0
81.3
82.5
89.5
89.6

571.8
566.8
558.6
555.1
549.4
545.0
540.5
533.9
527.7
525.2

396.3
404.1
409.5
413.1
415.5
417.8
418.6
417.0
415.0
414.3

847.0
845.1
845.9
852.1
859.1
865.9
872.1
883.3
901.7
913.1

445.6
448.9
454.0
458.6
460.2
462.4
465.3
472.3
480.5
484.7

87.2
94.4
102.5
107.4
107.0
107.5
109.2
106.2
108.7
105.4

88.7
83.9
87.0
r
89.5
r
85.3
r
90.2
r
94.4
r
92.9
r
92.8
r
90.8

198.4 289.9
199.3 287.8
200.9 287.9

263.4
265.1
267.0

82.7
78.1
74.9

225.0
231.1
235.0

94.4
98.7
97.4

524.0
522.6
524.7

414.3
416.2

924.6
941.6
953.8

482.8
489.7
491.5

105.5
108.8
105.7

85.1
84.0
86.9

1
Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than
$100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively.

419.8

Shortterm
Treasury
securities

Bankers'
acceptances

50.3
67.5
81.7
91.5
82.9
76.1

34.0

r

Sou
oaV-

ings
on

101.4
102.6

263.5
263.4

here
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown

CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT
[Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted]
Net change in in stallment ere dit outstandir g1

Ins tallment credit outstanding (end of perio d)

Period
Total

1978:
1979:
1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:
1987:

Dec
Dec
Dec r
Dec *
Dec '
Dec r
Decr
Decr
Dec T
Decr
Feb r
Mar r
Apr r
May '.
June r
July'
Aug r
Sept '
Ocf
Nov r
Dec r
1988: Jan r
Feb"

261,976
296,483
297,566
310,682
323,536
367,869
442,538
517,754
571,833
613,021
573,612
575,452
580,072
581,233
587,878
593,512
598,190
602,978
606,927
608,726
613,021
619,259
624,563

Automobile

Revolving

98,739
112,475
111,936
118,956
124,218
143,799
173,704
209,636
246,109
267,180
248,318
249,498
251,211
251,741
254,212
256,585
259,558
261,902
263,823
264,474
267,180
269,883
273,195

45,202
53,357
54,894
60,838
66,243
78,667
100,212
122,013
136,381
159,307
137,238
137,761
140,339
141,876
144,777
147,809
149,815
152,553
155,196
156,425
159,307
162,065
163,551

1
For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding
month.




Mobile
home
16,921
18,207
18,621
20,302
22,833
23,704
25,795
26,834
26,883
25,957
26,933
26,811
26,825
26,639
26,810
26,966
26,879
26,845
26,698
26,604
25,957
25,926
25,869

Other
101,114
112,444
112,115
110,586
110,242
121,698
142,827
159,272
162,460
160,578
161,123
161,383
161,697
160,978
162,079
162,153
161,938
161,677
161,209
161,225
160,578
161,384
161,948

Total
40,501
34,507
1,083
13,116
12,854
44,333
74,669
75,216
54,079
41,188
2,646
1,841
4,620
1,162
6,643
5,635
4,677
4,787
3,949
1,802
4,296
6,236
5,304

Automobile
17,791
13,736
-539
7,020
5,262
19,581
29,905
35,932
36,473
21,071
1,323
1,180
1,713
530
2,471
2,373
2,973
2,344
1,921
651
2,706
2,704
3,312

Revolving
8,513
8,155
1,537
5,944
5,405
12,424
21,545
21,801
14,368
22,926
1,646
523
2,579
1,537
2,900
3,032
2,006
2,738
2,643
1,229
2,882
2,758
1,486

Mobile
home
559
1,286
414
1,681
2,531
871
2,091
1,039
49
-926
-25
122
14
186
171
156
-87
-34
-147
-94
-646
-32
-57

Other
13,638
11,330
329
-1,529
344
11,456
21,129
16,445
3,188
-1,882
-298
260
314
-719
1,101
74
-215
-261
-468
16
-646
807
564

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

27

BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES, AND RESERVES
Commercial and industrial loans fell 0.3 percent in March.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,400

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE)
2,400
—
ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
2,000

2,000

"TOTAL

1,600

1,600

1,200

1,200

LOANS AND LEASES

800

800

400

400
U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES

200

200

160

160
OTHER SECURITIES

120
1980

1981

1983

1982

120

Illllllllll

ill Illllllllll

Illllllllll
1984

1988

1987

1986

1985

* SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Depo sitory institutk ns 3

Al . commercial ban ks '

Period

Total loans
and
securities 2

R eserves adjust ed
for changes in
res erve requirements

Loans a nd leases
Total 2

Commercial
and industrial
loans

U.S.
Government
securities

Borr d wings
(millions of dollars,
unac justed)

securities
Total

borrowed

Required

Total

Seasonal

1980:
1981:
1982:
1983:
1984:
1985:
1986:
1987:

Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dee

1,239.1
1,307.5
1,401.3
1,553.4
1,722.9
1,908.6
2,089.9
2,230.6

913.9
967.3
1,033.9
1,123.7
1,320.4
1,456.9
1,584.5
1,701.4

325.7
355.4
392.6
414.1
472.8
499.4
535.6
565.5

170.6
179.3
201.7
259.1
260.0
270.5
309.3
333.2

154.7
160.9
165.7
170.6
142.6
181.2
196.1
196.0

30.81
32.08
34.32
36.11
36.91
46.06
56.17
57.44

29.12
31.44

30.29

1,690

31.76

33.69
35.33
36.72
44.74
55.34
56.66

33.82
35.55
39.06
45.00
54.80
56.41

636
634
774
3,186
1,318
827
777

116
54
33
96
113
56
38
93

1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aag
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

2,130.7
2,152.0
2,166.0
2,176.7
2,181.3
2,199.0
2,214.7
2,227.6
2,232.1
2,230.6

1,622.3
1,639.6
1,649.3
1,659.6
1,664.1
1,676.8
1,689.8
1,701.7
1,704.8
1,701.4

546.2
549.1
551.9
554.4
553.6
554.0
559.0
562.8
563.1
565.5

315.4
318.1
321.3
321.3
322.9
328.5
331.3
331.7
331.1
333.2

193.1
194.4
195.5
195.9
194.3
193.7
193.7
194.2
196.2
196.0

56.85
57.95
58.35
57.71
57.60
57.88
57.83
58.50
57.99
57.44

56.33
56.96
57.32
56.93
56.93
57.23
56.89
57.55
57.36
56.66

55.94
57.13
57.27
56.52
56.84
56.84
57.03
57.37
57.06
56.41

527
993
1,035
776
672
647
940
943
625
777

91
120
196
259
283
279
231
189
126
93

2,242.0
2,257.6
2,273.1

1,713.9
1,727.9
1,736.8

568.5
569.9
568.1

334.1
334.0
338.9

194.0
195.7
197.4

58.32
58.44
58.63

57.23
58.04
56.88

57.02
57.31
57.70

1,082
396
1,752

59
75
119

1988: Jan
Feb
Mar"

r

1
Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages
of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly
comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations
of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities.

28



2
3

Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States.
Data are averages of daily figures.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATE BUSINESS
[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Sources

Uses
External

Period
Total

Internal

C edit market funds

1

Total
Total

1979
1980
1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 "
1986: n

m
IV

1987: I

n
m

IV ".

352.6
345.9
383.3
327.5
432.3
518.5
492.3
491.3
495.1

197.6
200.1
239.5
242.3
285.7
336.3
355.4
351.5
347.0

155.1
145.8
143.9
85.1
146.6
182.2
136.9
139.9
148.0

499.9
442.0
597.1

350.9
352.2
342.2

149.0
89.8

439.4
496.2
488.3
556.4

343.2
340.8
350.9
353.2

96.2
155.4
137.4

254.9

203.2

Loans and
short-term
paper

Securities
and
mortgages

Total

Other 2

94.5
80.4
88.6
121.6
85.2
109.5
96.1

21.0
53.1
22.8
44.0
57.3
-7.5
15.3
33.3
49.9

66.9
39.5
71.7
36.4
31.3
129.0
69.9
76.1
46.2

67.3
53.2
49.3
4.7
58.0
60.7
51.7
30.4
52.0

117.6
64.1
201.9

52.2
31.8
-12.2

65.3
32.4
214.1

30.9
117.7
82.0
153.7

92.3
22.3
58.1
26.7

61.4
95.3
23.9
127.1

87.8
92.7

1

Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital
consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained
abro d
*, , ,
. .
, „„
* Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment m the u.o.

Capital
expenditures 3

Increase in
financial
assets

Discrepancy
(sources less
uses)

368.6
303.5
399.8
488.0
442.4
439.8
453.4

238.3
243.7
286.5
256.5
274.7
370.9
342.8
339.2
362.3

108.4
82.0
47.0
125.1
117.1
99.7
100.6
91.1

-17.9
-6.2
14.8
24.0
32.5
30.5
49.9
51.5
41.7

31.4
25.7
53.0

426.5
399.4
546.8

340.1
322.5
330.7

85.8
76.9
216.1

73.4
42.6
50.3

65.3
37.7
55.3
49.4

398.7
439.8
455.3

354.6
346.0
350.5
398.0

44.1
93.9
104.8
121.7

40.7
56.4
33.0
36.7

370.6

352.1

519.7

132.3

3

Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S.
Government.
Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL
CORPORATIONS
[Billions of dollars, except as noted]

C urrent liabiliti 3S

Curren assets
End of period
Total

Cash

Governsecurities

Notes and
accounts
receivable

Invento-

Other
current
assets

Total

Notes and
accounts
payable

Other
current
liabilities

Net
working
capital

ratio l

QFE-FKB series: 2

1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985

1,043.7
1,214.8
1,328.3
1,419.6
1,437.1
1,575.9
1,703.0
1,784.6

105.5
118.0
127.0
135.6
147.8
171.8
173.6
189.2

17.2
16.7
18.7
17.7
23.0
31.0
36.2
33.0

388.0
459.0
507.5
532.5

1983: IV

1,575.9

171.8

1,093.1
1,126.3
1,155.0
1,163.6

601.9
623.4
642.2
647.8

491.2

636.9

537.1
531.2
541.5

548.6

1.467
1.466
1.455
1.447
1.469

35.7

650.3

IV

167.5
167.1
176.3
189.2

35.4
32.6
33.0

654.1
661.0
671.5

665.7
666.7
675.0
666.0

224.9

1,174.1
1,182.9
1,211.9
1,233.6

1986: I"

1,795.7

195.3

31.0

663.4

679.6

226.3

1,222.3

1
Total current assets divided by total current liabilities,
Based on data from Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing, Mining, and Trade Oorpo'ians. Effective mid-1982, responsibility for the Quarterly Financial Report was transferred to




1.482
1.465
1.460
1.464

187.9
192.9
193.2

1,722.7
1,734.6
1,763.0
1,784.6

2

1.487

622.2
632.5
659.3
656.9

639.1
633.1

I

516.3
526.5
523.7
530.8
539.5

463.9

1,619.5
1,650.0
1,685.9
1,703.0

n
m

551.0

595.7

606.4
622.6

1985:

539.5

550.9

1,059.6

35.4
37.2
33.0
36.2

n
m
rv

515.8

186.7

167.6
164.9
161.3
173.6

I

451.1
516.3

603.4

583.0

1984:

435.3
463.9

203.2
224.9

31.0

583.0

424.1

1.559
1.505
1.492
1.462
1.458
1.487
1.464
1.447

383.0
460.8
514.4
547.1
550.7
595.7
647.8
682.7

633.1
671.5

517.4

374.3
407.5
437.8
448.3

286.5
346.5
376.2

669.5
807.3
890.6
971.3
986.0
1,059.6
1,163.6
1,233.6

101.1
116.0

431.8
505.1
543.0
584.0
579.0
603.4
656.9
666.0

132.1
149.7
169.8
186.1

203.2
203.5

211.2
218.2

651.7

502.9

512.9
515.8

670.4
682.7

550.9

551.7
551.1
551.0

668.4

553.9

573.4

the Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census froift the Federal Trade Comroissraa.
Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau
of the Census), and Federal Trade Commission.

29

INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS
Interest rates rose in April.
PERCENT PER ANNUM

PERCENT PER ANNUM

[Percent per annum]

U.S. T reasury security yields
Period

3-month bills
(new issues) '

Constant nlaturities
3-year

2

10-year

High-grade
municipal
bonds
(Standard &
Poor's) 3

14.44
12.92
10.45
11.89
9.64
7.06
7.68

13.91
13.00
11.10
12.44
10.62
7.68
8.39

11.23
11.57
9.47
10.15

5.76
5.75
5.69
5.78
6.00
6.32
6.40
5.81
5.80

7.32
8.02
7.82
7.74
8.03
8.67
8.75
7.99
8.13

1988: Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr

5.90
5.69
5.69
5.92

Week ended:
1988: Apr 2
9
16
23
30
May 7

5.69
5.98
5.98
5.78
5.92
6.13

14.029
10.686
8.63
9.58
7.48
5.98
5.82

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987:

Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec

1
Bank-discount
a




Prime
commercial
paper,
6 months *

Discount rate
(N.Y. F.R.
Bank) 5

Prime rate
charged by
banks 5

New-home
mortgage
yields
(FHLBB)6
14.70
15.14

8.50
8,80
7.69
6.33
5.66

18.87
14.86
10.79
12.04
9.93
8.33
8.22

6.50
7.04
7.00
6.72
6.81
7.55
7.96
7.17
7.49

5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-5.50
5.50-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00

7.75-7.75
8.00-8.25
8.25-8.25
8.25-8.25
8.25-8.25
8.25-8.75
8.75-9.00
9.00-8.75
8.75-8.75

9.21
9.37
9.45
9.41
9.38
9.37
9.25
9.30
9.15

9.88
9.40
9.39
9.67

6.92
6.58
6.64
6.92

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00

8.75-8.75
8.75-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50

9.53
9.61
9.61
9.73
9.73

6.70
6.83
6.86
6.99
7.01

6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-6.00
6.00-

8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-8.50
8.50-

9.18
7.38
7.73

14.17
13.79
12.04
12.71
11.37
9.02
9.38

11.89
8.89
10.16
8.01
6.39
6.85

8.02
8.61
8.40
8.45
8.76
9.42
9.52
8.86
8.99

7.62
8.10
7.89
7.83
7.90
8.36
8.84
8.09
8.07

8.85
9.33
9.32
9.42
9.67
10.18
10.52
10.01
10.11

7.87
7.38
7.50
7.83

8.67
8.21
8.37
8.72

7.81
7.55
7.80
7.91

7.66
7.78
7.75
7.88
7.92

8.57
8.62
8.63
8.81
8.82

7.96
7.92
7.93
7.93
7.87

basis.
Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department.
3
Weekly data are Wednesday figures.
4
Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack
of appropriate issues.

30

Corporate
Aaa bonds
(Moody's) *

14.76

13.41
11.02

12.57
12.38
11.55
10.17
9.31

9.10
9.12
9.14

r

5
Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week.
6
Effective rate {in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as
well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years.
Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS
Stock prices fell in April.
INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965

INDEX , DEC. 31, 196- > = 50 (RATIOS CALE)

= 50 (RATIOS CALE)

240
220
200
180

240
2201
2001

—/v

180

>s~~^

160|

\

COMPO SITE STOCK PR CE INDEX
(NYSE)
\
'f~^~^~^
s—~~\

120|

100
80'
/"lK~

mill inn

40

140

/

120
100

80

—

^J

A /

60'|

/

\\^s—
^

160

\^ /~

-j
-~ - —,

140

60

1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 11 Illllllllll

',1980

ii ii 1 1 1 mi

1982

1981

nil i Ii mi

Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll

1983

1985 |

1984

1 1986

Illllllllll

1 1987

40

1988

PERC ENT

PERC ENT

20

20
15

^^

10|

EAR NINGS-PRICE R ATIO ON COWWON STOCKS
(S&P1
s-^~~^1—

.——^

r^—"

\

10

,

^-—
^

5

1

0

1 1

1

1
1981

1980

1

15

\

1

1

1982

1

1

1

1

1983

1

1

1

1984

1
1 1
;1985

:

r—'—~~
i i i

r—
i i ^~
i

1986

SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE A vID STANDARD & POO R'S CORPORATION

1987

1981
1982
1983
1984

1985
1986
1987
1987: Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
1988: Jan
Feb
Mar r
Apr
Week ended:
1988: Apr 2
9
16
23
30
1

Industrial

74.02

85.44

68.93
92.63
92.46
108.09
136.00
161.70

140.55
145.13
149.88
148.46

78.18
107.45
108.01
123.79
155.85
195.31
199.03
198.78
206.61
214.12
226.49
219.52
189.86
163.42
162.19
168.47
173.44
181.57
180.88

146.54
148.71
150.60
146.07
148.46

177.70
180.77
183.65
177.95
181.16

163.88
163.00
169.58
174.28
184.18
178.39
157.13
137.21
134.88

Transportation

Utility

3




Finance

0

1988

Dow-Jones
industrial
average 3

Standard &
Poor's
composite
index (194143 = 10)4

Dividendprice ratio

89.28
114.21
147.20
146.48

932.92
884.36
1,190.34
1,178.48
1,328.23
1,792.76
2,275.99

128.05
119.71
160.41
160.46
186.84
236.34
268.83

72.74
71.64
74.25
74.18
78.20
76.13
73.27
69.86
67.39

150.52
145.97
152.73
152.25
160.94
154.08
137.35
118.30
111.47

2,302.64
2,291.11
2,384.02
2,481.72
2,655.01
2,570.80
2,224.59
1,931.86
1,910.07

289.32
289.12
301.38
310.09
329.36
318.66
280.16
245.01
240.96

121.20
126.09
135.15
133.43

70.01
72.89
71.16
69.40

119.40
124.36
125.27
121.67

1,947.35
1,980.65
2,044.31
2,036.13

250.48
258.13
265.74
262.61

5.20
5.81
4.40
4.64
4.25
3.49
3.08
2.99
3.02
2.92
2.83
2.69
2.78
3.25
3.66
3.71
3.66
3.56
3.48
3.57

133.75
135.20
134.97
131.08
132.49

69.40
70.08
70.19
68.23
69.11

121.63
122.23
123.29
119.97
121.21

1,986.07
2,038.43
2,066.55
1,999.10
2,040.45

258.77
263.14
266.52
257.96
262.83

3.60
3.51
3.46
3.70
3.61

72.61
60.41
89.36
85.63
104.11
119.87
140.39

38.91
39.75
47.00
46.44
56.75
71.36
74.30

137.91
141.30
150.39
157.48
164.02
158.58
140.95
117.57
115.85

Average of daily closing prices.
Includes all the'stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE.
Includes 30 stocks.
4
Includes 500 stocks.
5
Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2

1

Common st ock yields
(perce nt) 5

Nevi York Stock Ex< hange indexes (E ec. 31, 1965-5O ) 2

Composite

1

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

Co Timon stock price s 1
Period

5
1

73.52
71.99
95.34

Earningsprice ratio

11.96
11.60
8.03
10.02
8.12
6.09
5.49

4.75
4.93
7.08

price ratios based on prices at end of quarter.
NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange {NYSE).
Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation.

31

FEDERAL FINANCE
FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT
In the first 6 months of fiscal 1988, there was a deficit of $118.9 billion compared with a deficit of $123.2 billion
a year earlier.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^

1,100

1,100

1,000

1,000

OUTLAYS!/

900

900

800

800

700

700

RECEIPTS!/

600

600

500

500

-100

-100

-200

-200

'U

1980

1982

1981

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1989

1988

FISCAL YEARS
V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

[Billions of dollars]

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

Receipts

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)

1976
Transition quarter
1977
1978
1979

298.1
81.2
355.6
399.6
463.3

371.8
96.0
409.2
458.7
503.5

-73.7
-14.7
53.6
-59.2
-40.2

231.7
63.2
278.7
314.2
365.3

302.2
76.6
328.5
369.1
403.5

-70.5
-13.3
-49.7
-54.9
-38.2

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

517.1
599.3

73.8
-78.9
-127.9
-207.8
-185.3

403.9
469.1
474.3
453.2
500.4

476.6
543.0
594.3
661.2
686.0

-72.7

617.8
600.6
666.5

590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3
851.8

1985
1986
1987
1988 (estimates)
1989 (estimates)

734.1
769.1
854.1
909.2
964.7

946.3
990.3
1,004.6
1,055.9
1,094.2

-212.3
-221.2
150.4
-146.7
-129.5

547.9
568.9
640.7
669.3
706.2

Cumulative total, first 6
months: *
Fiscal year 1987
Fiscal year 1988

383.8
412.0

507.9
530.9

-123.2
-118.9

282.1
299.7

1
From Monthly Treasury Statement for March 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly
comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989.
NOTE.—Data from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1989, February 1988,

32



Gross Fe ieral debt
(end of period)

Off-budget

On-budget

Total
Fiscal year or period

Receipts

66.4

Outlays

Surplus
or deficit
(-)
631.9
646.4
709.1
780.4
833.8

480.3
498.3
551.8
610.9
644.6

-5.0
-7.9
.2
.3

914.3
1,003.9
1,147.0
1,381.9
1,576.7

715.1
794.4
929.4
1,141.8
1,312.6

176.8
183.5
193.8
203.1
213.3

9.4
16.7
19.6
36.8
45.1

1,827.5
2,130.0
2,355.3
2,581.6
2,825.3

1,509.9
1,746.1
1,897.8
2,025.1
2,152.1

95.4
99.8

6.3
12.4

2,250.7
2,493.2

1,842.2
2,001.8

76.8
85.4
98.0

69.6
39.4
80.7
89.7
100.0

-3.2
-3.4
3.9
-4.3
2.0

113.2
130.2
143.5
147.3
166.1

114.3
135.2
151.4
147.1
165.8

-1.1

-73.9
-120.0
-208.0
-185.6

769.5
806.8
810.8
852.8
880.9

-221.6
-237.9
-170.0
-183.5
-174.7

186.2
200.2
213.4
239.9
258.5

411.6
431.1

-129.5
-131.3

101.7
112.3

iao

Held by
the public

except as noted.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND
OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION
In the first 6 months of fiscal 1988, receipts were $28.2 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $23.9
billion higher.
BILLIO NS OF DOLLARS

400

BILLIONS OF DO LLARS

RECEIPTS-/

INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES

—

400

,

/___ —••— ~

300

'

200

SOCIAL INSURANCE
TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS

200

OTHER RECEIPTS

100
I

0

|

~j

100
j

*s CORPORATION INCOME TAXES I

]

|

"~

OUTLAYS V

800

o
800

NONDFFFNSF

700

"

700

__---•""""""
-•""'
400
NATIONAL DEFENSE

300

300

200

200

^
1
1

100 A
V

1980

1981

—
1

1982

1
1983

1
1984

1
1985

1
1986

1
1987

1

N

100

1989 ^

1988

FISCAL YEARS
J INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS.
SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

[Billions of dollars]

0n-budget a nd off-biu ^et receip ts
Fiscal year
Total

Individual

Corporation

On-budg et and off budget ou tlays
Nations 1 defense

Social
insurance
Other

Depart-

Total

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

Cumulative total, first 6 months: '
Fiscal year 1987
Fiscal year 1988

412.0

383.8

209.9
227.4

204.4
220.9

946.3
990.3
1,004.6
1,055.9
1,094.2

252.7
273.4
282.0
285.4
294.0

245.1

354.6

73.0
73.1
74.3
78.7
80.1

265.5
274.0
277.3
285.5

140.2
151.6

35.8
38.2

507.0
530.9

138.8
146.4

134.7
142.3

265.2
283.9
303.3

412.4

61.3
63.1
83.9
105.6
117.7

172.3
183.5

35.5
38.6

285.9
297.7
288.9
298.4

909.2
964.7

851.8

590.9
678.2
745.7
808.3

244.1

1988 (estimates)
1989 (estimates)

130.9
153.8
180.7

50.6
69.5
69.3
65.6
71.8

517.1
599.3

734.1
769.1
854.1

134.0
157.5
185.3

157.8
182.7
201.5

54.9
60.0
65.7

1985
1986
1987

6.4
6.4
7.5

64.6
61.1
49.2
37.0
56.9

41.4

157.6
181.0
217.8

600.6
666.5

87.9
95.1
102.3
113.6

34.3
36.6

131.6

617.8

89.6
97.2
104.5
116.3

334.5
349.0
392.6
393.4

209.0
239,4

331.5

37.7
40.8

1
From Monthly Treasury Statement for March 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly
comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989.

NOTE.—Data from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1989, February 1988,




371.8

90.8
106.5
121.0
138.9

298.1
355.6
399.6
463.3

Health

Medi-

Income

Social

Net
inter-

Other

military

butions

1976
1977
1978
1979

International

409.2
458.7
503.5

22.8
26.5

60.8
61.0
61.5
66.4

73.9
85.1
93.9
104.1

42.6

93.0
114.7
119.6

23.2
26.9
27.4
28.6
30.4

32.1
39.1
46.6
52.6
57.5

86.5
99.7
107.7
122.6
112.7

118.5
139.6
156.0
170.7
178.2

52.5
68.7
85.0
89.8
111.1

131.4
133.5
125.4
122.3
118.6

65.8
70.2
75.1
78.9
84.0

128.2
119.8
123.3
129.6
135.6

188.6
198.8

13.3

33.5
35.9
40.0
44.5
47.8

233.8

129.4
136.0
138.6
147.9
151.8

131.8
142.1
126.7
140.1
133.9

6.7
4.7

19.0
21.5

37.2
39.0

63.9
64.8

101.2
106.8

69.9
76.5

70.3
71.2

15.7
17.3

15.8
19.3

7.5

18.5
20.5

12.7
13.1
12.3
11.8
15.9
16.2
14.2
11.6

9.9

207.4

219.7

26.7
29.9
35.4

82.8

except as noted.
Data shown here exclude the transition quarter.
Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget.

33

FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS
In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $14.6 billion (annual rate) and
Federal expenditures rose $39.0 billion, yielding a deficit of $160.2 billion. In the first quarter of 1988, according
to preliminary estimates, expenditures fell $5.9 billion; receipts data are incomplete.

e ILLIONS OF D(DLLARS

BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS
1,200

SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED ANN AL RATES

1,000

EXP

1,200

1,000

:NDITURES ,

—

±'-""

-*
__—— -^

800
^^

-"1
^,..600

/-^

—
800

-

^

t^~~

^

RECEIPTS

600

^^
400

400

200

200

0
^~

'

—\

?nn
1

1

1

1980

SUR >IUS OR DEFIC

^x

0

TH
__

v

1 1 1

^_
-

1 1 1

1981

1

1

1

I

1983

1982

1

1

1984

-N
i i i

^— ^
1

1985

1

1

1986

i

i i

1987

-200

1

1

1

1988

:ALENDAR YEARS
COUNCIl Of ECONOMIC ADVIStK s

SOURCE: DEPARTMEN T OF COMMERCE

[Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Federal G overnment expenditure s

Federal Governme at receipts

or deficit

Subsidies
Period

Fiscal year:
1984
1985
1986
1987
Calendar year:
1984
1985
1986
1987
1982: TV
1983: IV
1984: IV
1985: HI
IV
1986: I

n
m

IV
1987: I

n
m
IV

Personal
Total

711.9

776.4
814.2

905.6
726.0
788.6
827.4
r
915.7
633.1
675.5
742.7
794.9
805.1
807.6
816.9
832.4
852.5
879.3
922.9
923.0
r
937.6

1988: I"

tax and

nontax
receipts

Corporate
profits
tax

accruals

302.5
340.6
358.0
401.9

75.3
74.3
80.3
104.0

310.3
346.6
363.0
403.7
303.0
291.9
326.0
351.0
356.7
352.8
357.6
365.2
376.4
381.5
415.6
404.3
413.5
406.5

75.2
76.1

83.7
109.4
46.4
70.2
69.7
79.1
77.8
78.7
81.3
84.3
90.5
103.0
107.9
114.5
r
112.3
r

Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

34



Indirect
business
tax and

nontax
accruals

Contributions for
social
insurance

Pur-

Total

chases
of goods

Transfer

in-aid to
State

pay-

and

and

ments

services

local
govern-

interest
paid

current
surplus of
Government
enter-

Net

Wage
accruals
less
disbursements

279.2
305.6
324.1
345.6

873.0
961.0
1,027.8
1,055.1

297.2
340.4
368.4
374.9

352.2
374.0
394.8
410.1

90.7
97.8
107.4
103.1

109.7
128.0
134.3
139.6

23.3
20.7
22.9
27.5

0.1

56.0
51.7
54.1
55.7
55.2
50.9
54.1
47.6
53.6
56.2
53.1
53.7
50.4
49.9
52.1
51.1
53.3
54.2
53.9
54.9
56.3

284.7
310.6
329.8
348.4
236.1
259.8
290.7 .
311.7
316.9
325.8
328.1
330.7
334.5
341.5
345.2
350.3
356.8
382.4

895.6
984.6
1,032.0
1,067.1
835.7
844.7
930.2
990.8
1,020.2
,003.7
,047.1
,036.1
,041.2
,049.8
,062.1
,058.8
,097.8
1,091.9

310.5

354.9
380.1
399.9
413.5
347.4
352.5
362.1
383.7
385.8
389.9
398.3
405.9
405.7
406.7
412.0
413.4
421.8
431.7

93.6
99.7
106.9
103.4
84.5
86.0
96.3
100.2
103.7
105.4
109.6
109.5
102.8
102.2
106.0
103.5
102.0
105.7

115.6

21.2
20.5
23.3
28.0
23.4
29.1
21.0
15.3
19.7
16.8
34.9
15.3
26.3
34.3
24.8
17.2
35.8
25.1

.2
2

54.9

353.9
366.2
379.4
293.2
276.1

326.0
361.9
378.0
356.7
368.4
371.2
368.6
366.9
379.6
382.1
388.9
376.8

130.2
135.7
142.8
87.2
101.0
125.3
129.7
133.0
134.9
135.9
134.2
137.8
139.5
139.8
142.9
148.9
152.6

^

.0
.1

.0
.0
.0
.0
.6
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.0
.3
3

.0

national
income
and

product
accounts

-161.0
-184.5
-213.6
-149.5
- 169.6
-196.0
-204.7
r
- 151.4
-202.6
-169.2
-187.5
- 195.8
-215.0
-196.1
-230.2
-203.7
-188.7
-170.5
-139.2
-135.8
r
- 160.2

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR
INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Industrial reduction (1977 = 1 0; seasonal] ' adjusted
Period

United
States

Canada

Japan

France

Germany

108.1

119.2

103.1
109.2
121.4
123.7
125.1
129.8

108.6
97.9
104.3
119.0
125.2
126.8
132.6

120.4
120.9
125.1
138.9
145.1
144.6
150.4

106
106
104
105
105

108.0
106.2
103.1
104.1
107.6
112.9
115.1
115.7

Dee'

127.4
127.4
128.2
129.1
130.6
131.2
131.0
132.5
133.2
133.9

129.9
129.9
130.8
132.1
131.8
134.2
135.0
r
135.8
136.7
137.2

147.4
145.4
143.7
149.3
151.0
149.3
153.9
157.0
156.6
159.6

Jan
Feb
Mar"

' 134.4
134.4
134.6

137.4

1980

108.6
111.0

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987 '
1987:

Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

Oct

Nov r

1988:

1

106
106

Italy

99.8
96.4
98.2
101.7
103.1
107.9
109.5
r
113.0

114.4
112.6

108.5
105.8
109.2

r

Consumer )rices (19 S2-84=100
United
Kingdom

r

110.4
l!3.5

r

118.0

' 119.8

108
107
109
110
109
109
110
110
110
111

114.5
115.8
116.6
115.1
113.7
118.5
116.3
116.7
116.8
117.3

l!8.3
r
l!7.7
'112.8
r
l!7.2

' 122.3
120.8
116.1

' 114.5
114.8
115.3

111

117.8

126.3

' 114.9
111.9

r

r

Data relate to all urban consumers.

111.9
111.5

l!7.4

' 121.9

r

l!2.3
r
l!2.5
r
l!3.1

' 114.8
r

l!3.5

United
States '

Canada

United
Kingdom

Japan

France

Germany

96.5
99.6
103.9
107.6
109.6
113.6

85.6
94.9
100.4
104.8
108.9
113.4
118.4

90.9
95.4
98.0
99.9
102.1
104.2
104.9
105.0

72.2
81.9
91.7
100.3

108.0
114.3
117.2
121.1

86.7
92.2
97.1
100.3
102.7
104.9
104.6
105.0

87.7
100.8
111.5
121.0
128.5
134.4

78.5
87.9
95.4
99.8
104.8
111.2
114.9
119.7

112.1
112.7
113.1
113.5
113.8
114.4
115.0
115.3
115.4
115.4

116.8
117.3
118.0
118.3
119.2
119.3
119.3
119.7
120.2
120.3

104.3
105.2
105.4
105.2
104.7
104.8
105.7
105.7
105.2
105.1

120.0
120.6
120.9
121.1
121.4
121.7
121.7
122.0
122.2
122.2

104.7
104.9
105.0
105.2
105.2
105.1
104.9
105.0
105.0
105.2

132.6
132.9
133.4
133.9
134.3
134.6
135.6
136.8
137.2
137.4

118.2
119.6
119.7
119.7
119.6
120.0
120.3
120.9
121.5
121.4

115.7
116.0
116.5

120.5
121.0
121.6

104,8
104.6

122.4
122.7

105.4
105.6
105.7

138.1
138.5
139.1

121.4
121.9
122.3

82.4
90.9

76.1

Italy

63.2

ISA

Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis
and International Trade Administration).

U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS
[Billions of dollars; monthly data not seasonally adjusted]
Merch mdise exp orts l

Period

Revised
statistical
month,
adjusted2

Revised
statistical
month

Statistical
month

Total

3

Food,
beverages,
and
tobacco

Crude
materials
and
fuels

Manufactured
goods

Ge leral imp orts 4 (sta tistical m ontb exc 3pt as nol ed)
Tot il 3
Revised
statistical
month

F a.s. valu e
23 3.7
216.4
21 2.3
205.6
20J.5
224.0 218.7 217.9
218.8 212.8 213.1
226.8 216.6 217.3
238.7

1981

1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1987:

Statistical
month

Food,
beverages,
and
tobacco

Crude
materials
and
fuels

Total c.i.f.
val ue)
Manufactured
goods

Revised
statistical
month

Statistical
month

Exports (f.a.s.) less
import. (customs
V Jue)
Revised
statistical
month,
adjusted2

Revised
statistical
month

Exports ( .a.s.) less
imports (c i.f. value)
Revised
statistical
month,
adjusted 2

Revised
statistical
month

Custo ms value

228.9

33.2

207.1
195.9
212.0

27.0
27.0
27.3
22.2
20.2
22.8

154.3
139.7
29.6 132.4
31.5 143.1
28.3 145.4
26.5 148.7
29.1 171.5
33.0
33.5

68.0
72.8
65.0
48.3
56.3

163.4
221.5

405.9

18.4
17.8
18.8
21.6
22.4
24.7
24.7

26 1.0
244.0

25 3.0
325.7
345.3
370.0

92.9 142.5
74.4 144.0

246.8

27 3.4
25 L9
26 3.9
346.4 341.2
352.5 361.6
383.0 387.1
424.1

-22.3
-27.5

-52.4
-101.7
-126.5

5
5

-27.3
-31.8
-57.6

-34.6

-38.4
-64.2

-39.7
-42.6
-69.3

-107.0 -122.4 -127.6
-132.5 -133.6 -139.7
— 149.4 -156.2 -166.3
-159.5 -171.2 -177.6

252.9

246.4

206.9
206,4
243.9

Oct
Nov
Dec

19.4
21.8
20.5
20.8
21.1
21.0
20.2
21.0
21.8
23.8
24.8

18.7
21.1
20.1
20.4
20.5
20.1
20.0
21.0
21.0
23.3
23.9

18.7
21.1
19.8
20.0
20.3
20.3
19.5
20.2
21.0
23.0
23.9

1.6
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.8
2.1
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.1
2.2

2.2
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.5
2.4
2.5
2.8
3.1

13.2
15.0
14.2
14.5
14.5
13.9
13.7
14.8
14.4
16.2
16.1

32.3
33.2
32.0
33.3
35.3
35.8
34.3
33.6
37.7
35.5
35.4

2.1
2.3
2.1
2.0
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.9
2.2
2.1
2.0

4.4
4.2
3.9
4.4
4.9
5.6
5.6
4.9
5.3
5.0
4.7

24.8
25.7
25.1
25.8
27.2
27.2
25.8
25.6
28.8
27.4
27.8

33.7
34.7
33.5
34.8
36.8
37.5
35.9
35.1
39.4
37.0
37.0

-12.9
-11.4
-11.5
-12.5
-14.1
-14.8
-14.1
-12.6
-16.0
-11.7
-10.6

-13.6
-12.1
-11.8
-12.9
-14.7
-15.8
-14.3
-12.6
-16.8
-12.1
-11.6

— 14.4
-12.9
-13.0
-14.0
-15.7
-16.5
-15.7
— 14.1
-17.6
-13.2
-12.2

-15.1
-13.6
-13.3
-14.4
-16.3
-17.4
-15.9
-14.1
-18.4
-13.7
-13.1

Jan
Feb

22.3
23.6

21.9
23.4

21.4
22.7

2.1
2.2

2.6
2.9

14.9
16.1

33.2
35.8

2.1
2.2

4.6
4.9

25.6
27.8

34.8
37.4

-10.9
-12.3

-11.3
-12.4

-12.4
-13.8

-12.9
-14.0

Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July

Aug
Sept

1988:

Merchandise tr ade balance

Merch andise in ports

Dome stic exports (statis ical
mon W

Total domestic and
foreign

366.1

1
Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments are excluded through
1984 and for revised statistical month data for 1985-86; they are included for statistical month data
for 1985-86 and for 1987-88.
2
Adjusted to include undocumented exports to Canada.
3
Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. For exports data
beginning 1987, these include undocumented exports to Canada.
4
Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments.




282.1
312.6

139.3
-153.0

B
Revised statistical month exports less statistical month customs value imports.
NOTE.—Data ahown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Statistical month and revised statistical month refer only to data for 1984-86. Data for 1987-88
are roughly equivalent to revised statistical month data.
For further information, see Bureau of the Census release FT900, April and August 1987.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.

35

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS
In the fourth quarter of 1987, the current account deficit decreased to $39.0 billion and the merchandise trade
deficit fell to $40.2 billion.
BILL ONS OF DOLL>^RS*

BILLIONS OF DOLL ARS*

10

10

5
0

x-V

N.

«
yy v
S
~~*
*., =—J£ BALAr1 •ICE ON

.xAi«\

\

s

S~*"

^

~'-\ ^'

\

\
\

f

^>

0

v>~^x

CURRENT ACCOUNT

-5

5

/\
V

MERCHA MDISE TRADE
BA LANCE

-15

*A*\
\

—

'\\

-25

-15
v

BALA NCE ON GOODS
A ND SERVICES

\ \]A
\

—

\\
J
/
\\x\f-^i
^ '*
A

x

"""v^-';
V

-35

-45

-5

20

-25

\

N--A
~ x \ ]v—^\
^ '" —-~ ^^___
V

30

^-'^"X" ~'-~X//
"X /"

—

|

1 1 1

| |
1979

1

1980

! 1
1981

1

1 1
1982

i i i
1983

1 1 1

i i i

i i i

1984

1985

1986

-35

40

\7"
i i i

-45

1987

• SEASONALLY ADJUS TED
SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits (—)]
Merchandise l

Inv estment incom e 3

2

Net
Period
Exports

1980
1981
1982
1983
1984

224,269
237,085
211,198
201,820
219,900
1985
215,935
1986
224,361
1987 '
250,814
1984: I
53,614
54,590
55,691
IV
56,005
1985: I
55,064
54,040
53,367
IV
53,464
1986: I
53,878
56,928
56,534
TV
57,021
1987: I
56,769
59,875
65,110
IV".... 69,060

n
m
n
m

n
m
n
m

1
Excludes military.
2
Adjusted from Census
3

Imports

-249,749
-265,063
-247,642
-268,900
-332,422
-338,083
-368,700
-410,015
-79,415
-83,684
-84,144
-85,179
-79,946
-83,986
-84,573
-89,578
-88,856
-90,579
-93,649
-95,616
-95,689
-99,617
-105,475
-109,234

Net balance

Receipts

Payments

Net

-25,480
-27,978
-36,444
-67,080
-112,522
-122,148
-144,339
-159,201
-25,801
-29,094
-28,453
-29,174
-24,882
-29,946

72,506
86,411
83,549
77,251
85,910
88,299
88,209
99,772
22,831
21,052
21,515
20,512
18,530
21,931
24,174
23,665
24,076
22,013
21,333
20,787
24,963
22,464
22,689

— 42,120
-52,329
-54,883

30,386
34,082
28,666
24,875
18,491
25,398
20,844
14,484
7,396
3,856
3,537
3,703
2,171
5,261
8,119
9,847
6,425
4,587
5,339
4,492
5,513
1,589
294
7,088

-31,206
-36,114
-34,978
-33,651
-37,115
-38,595
-38,920
-39,742
-40,365
-40,174

29,657

-52,376
-67,419
-62,901
-67,365
-85,288
-15,435
-17,196
-17,978
- 16,809
-16,359
- 16,670
-16,055
-13,818
17,651
-17,426
-15,994
-16,295
- 19,450
-20,875
-22,395
-22,569

data for differences in timing and coverage.
Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the

36



Net
travel and
transportation
receipts

-997
2,237
144
-1,183
-992
274
-243 -4,227
-1,942
-8,604
-3,339 -10,866
3,662
-9,903
-2,079 -11,626
-273 -1,874
-615
-2,039
-255
-2,310
-798 -2,381
242 -2,261
-782
-2,849
-794
-2,892
-1,519
-2,862
-1,298 -2,786
-1,054 -2,278
-815
-2,442
-495
-2,397
37 -3,198
29 -2,759
-735 -2,761
-1,335 -2,909

Other
services,
net 3

Balance on
goods and
services

Remittances,
pensions,
and other
unilateral
transfers 1

-7,593
7,793
9,466
7,460
9,278
14,344
9,320
278 -8,956
-9,480
9,908 -36,766
9,741
-94,835 -12,178
15,301
9,861 -101,093
11,368 - 125,694 - 15,658
13,467
11,208 -147,213
2,629
-17,923 -2,362
2,513 -25,379 -2,461
-3,112
2,436 -25,045
2,164
-26,486 -4,243
2,296
-22,918 -3,296
-3,517
2,458
-25,858
2,403 -24,370 -4,169
2,704 -27,944
-4,321
-3,021
2,618
-30,019
2,808
-29,588 -4,167
-4,334
2,784
-32,249
-4,138
3,156
-33,839
-3,075
2,808
-33,834
-3,064
2,609
-38,274
3,050 -40,517
-2,925
-4,404
2,741
-34,589

Balance
on current
account

1,873
6,884
-8,679
-46,246
-107,013
-116,393
-141,352
- 160,681
-20,285
-27,840
-28,157
-30,729
-26,214
-29,375
-28,539
-32,265
-33,040
-33,755
-36,583
-37,977
-36,909
-41,338
-43,442
-38,993

United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net.
Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued
In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $23.3 billion in the fourth quarter of
1987 compared with an increase of $20.1 billion in the third quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by
U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $32.3 billion in the fourth quarter compared to an increase of
$44.4 billion in the third quarter.
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*
80

BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*
80

-

60

CHANGE IN
FOREIGN ASSETS
IN THE U.S..NET

60
t\
t \

40

40
l\
I \
\/

I

20

20

CHANGE IN
U.S. ASSETS
ABROAD.NET

r\

v

-20

-20

t\

-40

-60

I
1979

1980

I

I

1981

-40

I 1

I

I

I I
1983

1982

I I

I

19.815

1984

I I
1986

-60

1987

•SEASONALLY ADJUSTED
COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS

SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

[Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted]
Foreign assets in the J.S., net
[increas 3/capital inflowo (+)] 2

U.S. assets abroad, net
increase /capit jJ outflow (— ; 1
Period

Total

-86,118
-110,951
-121,153
-49,777
-22,291
-31,399
-95,982
-63,796
-3,602
n
-19,395
17,421
m
-16,712
IV
-1,745
1985: I
-1,551
n
-6,936
m
IV
-21,167
-13,770
1986: I
-25,529
n
-24,478
m
IV
-32,204
1987: I
15,351
-15,078
n
-27,172
m
IV"... -36,898

U.S.

Other U.S.

reserve
assets ' 2

ment
assets

1980

-8,155

1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987"
1984: I

5,175
-4,965
1,196
-3,131
-3,858
312
9,151
-657
566
-799
-1,110
233
-356
-121
-3,148
115
16
280
132
1,956
3,419
32
3,743

U.S.
private
assets

-5,162 -72,802
-5,097 - 100,679
-6,131 -110,058
-5,006 -43,576
5,476 -13,685
-2,831 -24,711
- 1,920 -94,374
1,219 -74,166
-916
-2,029
- 1,340 - 17,490
19,608
-1,388
-717
-14,886
-782
730
-128
1,067
-6,380
-435
547 -17,473
-240 -13,415
-242 -25,303
-1,454 -23,304
15 -32,351
13,170
225
-18,320
-177
355 -27,559
816 -41,457

Total

58,112
83,032

93,746
84,869
102,467
129,872
213,386
202,585
22,120
41,862
2,392
36,094
16,423
25,202
35,020
53,227
36,322
49,042
69,591
58,431
26,754
49,564
67,389
58,878

1
Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve
position in the IMF.
2
Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted.




Foreign
official
assets
15,497
4,960
3,593
5,845
2,987
-1,140
34,698
44,289
-2,953
-149
-963
7,052
-11,060
8,606
2,426
-1,111
2,576
15,568
15,551
1,003
13,953
10,070
363
19,904

Other
foreign
assets

42,615
78,072
90,154
79,023
99,481
131,012
178,689
158,297
25,073
42,011
3,355
29,042
27,484
16,596
32,594
54,338
33,746
33,475
54,040
57,428
12,802
39,494
67,026
38,974

Statistical ( iscrepancy
Allocations
of special
drawing
(SDKs)

1,152
1,093

Total (sum
of the items
with sign
reversed)

24,982
19,942
36,085
11,154
26,837
17,920
23,947
21,892
1,767
5,373
8,344
11,347
11,535
5,724
455
205
10,488
10,241
-8,530
11,750
-5,197
6,852
3,226
17,013

Of which:
Seasonal
adjustment
discrepancy

1,417

-1,381
-3,851
3,809
1,725
-1,712
-3,781
3,766
2,294
-2,044
-4,153
3,904
2,659
-1,700
-4,833
3,577

assets, net *
(unadjusted,
end of
period)

26,756
30,074
33,958
33,747
34,934
43,186
r
48,511
45,798
34,975
34,547
34,306
34,934
35,493
36,088
38,295
43,186
44,919
46,595
48,087
r
48,511
48,824
45,140
45,070
45,798

Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the
Treasury.

37

Contents
TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING

Page

Gross National Product
Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars
Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product
Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures
Nonfmancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits
National Income
Personal Consumption Expenditures
Sources of Personal Income
Disposition of Personal Income
Farm Income
Corporate Profits
Gross Private Domestic Investment
Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment

1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES
Status of the Labor Force
Selected Unemployment Rates
Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs
Nonagricultural Employment
Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagriculrural Industries
Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries
Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector

11
12
13
14
15
15
16

PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures
New Construction
New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates
Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade
Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders

17
18
19
19
20
21

PRICES
Producer Prices
Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods
Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers
Prices Received and Paid by Farmers

22
23
24
24
25

MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS
Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures
Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets
Consumer Installment Credit
Bank Loans and Securities, and Reserves
Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business
Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations
Interest Rates and Bond Yields
Common Stock Prices and Yields

26
27
27
28
29
29
30
31

FEDERAL FINANCE
Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt
Federal Receipts by Source and Oudays by Function
Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis

32
33
34

INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS
Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries
U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports
U.S. International Transactions

35
35
36

General Notes
Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars.
Symbols used:
p
Preliminary.
T
Revised.
c
Corrected.
... Not available (also, not applicable).
NSA not seasonally adjusted.
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Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.50 (single copy) ($3.13 foreign).
Subscription price: $27.00 per year; $33.75 for foreign mailing.

38




U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1988

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