Full text of Economic Indicators : April 1988
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100th Congress, 2d Session Economic Indicators APRIL 1988 (Includes data available as of May 3, 1988) Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1988 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) PAUL S. SARBANES, Maryland, Chairman LEE H. HAMILTON, Indiana, Vice Chairman SENATE WILLIAM PROXMIRE (Wisconsin) LLOYD BENTSEN (Texas) EDWARD M. KENNEDY (Massachusetts) JOHN MELCHER (Montana) JEFF BINGAMAN (New Mexico) WILLIAM V. ROTH, JR. (Delaware) STEVE SYMMS (Idaho) ALFONSE M. D'AMATO (New York) PETE WILSON (California) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES AUGUSTUS F. HAWKINS (California) DAVID R. OBEY (Wisconsin) JAMES H. SCHEUER (New York) FORTNEY H. (PETE) STARK (California) STEPHEN J. SOLARZ (New York) CHALMERS P. WYLIE (Ohio) OLYMPIA J. SNOWE (Maine) HAMILTON FISH, JR. (New York) J. ALEX McMILLAN (North Carolina) JUDITH DAVISON, Executive Director COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS BERYL W. SPRINKEL, Chairman THOMAS G. MOORE, Member MICHAEL L. MUSSA, Member [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sT CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [S.J. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required numbers of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts drawn by Art Production Branch, Office of the Secretary, Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at $2.50 a single copy ($3.13 foreign), or by subscription at $27.00 per year ($33.75 for foreign mailing) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 11 TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT In the first quarter of 1988, according to preliminary estimates, current-dollar gross national product (GNP) rose 4.7 percent (annual rate) or $53.5 billion. Real GNP (GNP adjusted for price changes) rose 2.3 percent and the implicit price deflator rose 2.4 percent. BILLIOr-is OF DOLLAR: B LLIONS OF DO LLARS (RATIO J CALE) (RATIO SCALE ) 4, BOO! SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL R «ES ^_^ 4,800 _- — n^i .- 4,400 S^^ 4400 — GNP IN CUR RENT DOLLAR 5^^, 4,000 — 4000 ^ ____,_. ^ •»•»"• *~ "•*" 3,600 |3,600i ^^r. GNP /^*'^ ,3,200 ~--^^-f^.~ r=^ 13,200 N 1982DOLLA RS ^~ /"^ !2,800 2,800 ^ 2,4001 : 2,400 2,000 ,^,000 1 1 1 1980 1 ! 1 \ 1981 \ \ 1982 1 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1984 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1986| 1985 1 1 1987 1 1 1 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE s [Billions of current dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross national product Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment Government purcl ases of goo Is and senices Exports ind imports of goods ind service Final Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total National defense Nondefense and 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 2,732.0 3,052.6 3,166.0 3,405.7 3,772.2 4,010.3 4,235.0 4,488.5 1,732.6 1,915.1 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.4 2,799.8 2,967.8 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 641.6 671.0 717.5 32.1 33.9 26.3 -6.1 58.9 — 79.2 105.5 -119.6 351.0 382.8 361.9 352.5 383.5 369.9 376.2 427.8 318.9 348.9 335.6 358.7 442.4 449.2 481.7 547.4 530.3 588.1 641.7 675.0 735.9 818.6 869.7 922.8 208.1 242.2 272.7 283.5 310.5 353.9 366.2 379.4 142.7 167.5 193.8 214.4 234.3 259.3 277.8 295.2 65.4 74.8 78.9 69.1 76.2 94.6 88,4 84.2 322.2 345.9 369.0 391.5 425.3 464.7 503.5 543.4 2,740.3 3,028.6 3,190.5 3,412.8 3,704.5 4,000.3 4,219.3 4,442.5 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 3,212.5 3,545.8 3,851.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 409.6 579.8 661.8 14.1 25.8 -67.9 335.9 364.7 385.7 321.9 390.5 453.6 671.8 676.1 764.5 293.2 276.1 326.0 205.4 221.5 244.1 87.7 54.6 81.9 378.7 400.0 438.5 3,272.4 3,514.8 3,806.8 1985: m IV 4,042.0 4,104.4 4,174.4 4,211.6 4,265.9 4,288.1 2,665.4 2,700.1 628.6 650.8 84.7 - 103.5 364.2 368.7 448.9 472.2 832.8 857.0 361.9 378.0 265.1 268.2 96.8 109.8 4,044.4 4,101.9 2,737.9 2,765.8 2,837.1 2,858.6 683.4 679.4 660.8 660.2 -93.8 100.8 -110.5 116.9 373.5 371.3 376.6 383.3 467.3 472.1 487.1 500.2 846.9 867.2 878.5 886.3 356.7 368.4 371.2 368.6 266.6 278.2 287.6 279.0 90.1 90.2 83.6 89.6 470.9 479.0 490.2 498.8 507.3 517.7 4,136.1 4,184.0 4,262.4 4,294.6 n m IV 4,377.7 4,445.1 4,524.0 4,607.4 699.9 702.6 707.4 760.2 112.2 -118.4 -123.7 124.3 397.3 416.5 439.2 458.1 509.5 534.8 562.9 582.4 896.2 917.1 929.0 948.8 366.9 379.6 382.1 388.9 287.5 294.5 299.0 299.8 79.4 85.1 83.0 89.2 529.3 537.6 546.9 559.9 4,326.0 4,404.8 4,501.1 4,537.9 1988: I " 4,660.9 2,893.8 2,943.7 3,011.3 3,022.6 3,068.7 761.9 -115.4 470.6 586.0 945.6 376.8 297.7 79.1 568.9 4,603.9 1986: I n m rv 1987: I Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT IN 1982 DOLLARS [Billions of 1982 dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period Gross national product Personal consumption expenditures Gross privat e dome stic investinent Export s and imp jrts of gooi s and senices Nonresidential fixed Residential fixed Change in business inventories Govern![nent purch ases of gooe s and senices Federal Net exports Exports Imports Total Total National defense Nondefense State and local Final sales 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 3,187.1 3,248.8 3,166.0 3,279.1 3,501.4 3,607.5 3,713.3 3,821.0 2,000.4 2,024.2 2,050.7 2,146.0 2,249.3 2,352.6 2,450.5 2,497.2 379.2 395.2 366.7 361.2 425.2 454.1 443.8 448.3 137.0 126.5 105.1 149.3 170.9 174.6 196.4 196.4 -6.9 23.9 -24.5 6.4 62.3 7.4 13.8 42.9 57.0 49.4 26.3 19.9 -84.0 108.2 - 145.8 -135.5 388.9 392.7 361.9 348.1 371.8 365.3 377.4 425.8 332.0 343.4 335.6 368.1 455.8 473.6 523.2 561.3 620.5 629.7 641.7 649.0 677.7 726.9 754.5 771.7 246.9 259.6 272.7 275.1 290.8 324.2 332.5 336.0 171.2 180.3 193.8 206.9 218.5 236.7 250.7 264.2 75.7 79.3 78.9 68.2 72.3 87.5 81.8 71.7 373.6 370.1 369.0 373.9 387.0 402.7 422.1 435.8 3,194.0 3,225.0 3,190.5 3,285.5 3,439.1 3,600.1 3,699.5 3,778.1 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 3,159.3 3,365.1 3,535.2 2,078.7 2,191.9 2,281.1 352.3 390.4 444.4 115.8 159.9 169.6 -59.3 27.0 41.7 11.7 -46.2 -94.8 336.0 355.5 376.6 324.3 401.6 471.4 660.1 642.2 693.2 289.5 266.0 300.5 201.4 211.6 225.3 88.2 54.4 75.2 370.6 376.2 392.7 3,218.6 3,338.1 3,493.5 1985: m 3,623.0 3,650.9 2,376.1 2,383.2 454.1 465.2 174.9 179.7 -5.7 -1.6 -114.9 -129.3 360.5 366.5 475.4 495.8 738.6 753.7 332.5 345.3 243.3 241.1 89.3 104.2 406.1 408.4 3,628.7 3,652.5 1986: I 3,698.8 3,704.7 3,718.0 3,731.5 2,409.7 2,434.3 2,477.5 2,480.5 453.2 441.0 437.7 443.2 185.9 196.5 201.1 202.2 35.3 28.1 6.1 -14.4 -123.0 -146.8 -161.6 -151.8 371.5 370.2 379.6 388.3 494.4 517.0 541.2 540.1 737.6 751.6 757.2 771.8 322.1 330.6 332.6 344.6 240.0 250.1 259.8 252.7 82.0 80.4 72.8 91.9 415.5 421.0 424.6 427.1 3,663.4 3,676.7 3,711.9 3,745.8 1987: I n m IV 3,772.2 3,795.3 3,835.9 3,880.8 2,475.9 2,487.5 2,520.7 2,504.6 426.0 437.9 463.8 465.6 198.2 196.8 193.5 197.0 47.6 39.0 24.6 60.5 -135.2 -132.7 -138.4 -135.8 397.8 414.5 437.1 453.5 533.0 547.2 575.6 589.3 759.6 766.7 771.7 788.9 327.3 332.6 336.3 347.6 257.4 263.5 268.3 267.7 69.9 69.1 67.9 80.0 432.3 434.1 435.4 441.3 3,724.5 3,756.3 3,811.4 3,820.3 1988: I" 3,902.6 2,528.2 488.3 192.2 57.9 -132.2 464.6 596.8 768.3 325.3 261.8 63.5 442.9 3,844.7 rv n m rv Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. IMPLICIT PRICE DEFLATORS FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT [1982—100; quarterly data are seasonally adjusted] Personal c onsumption expen ditures Period national product Gross private domestic iinvestment Exports an [ imports of goods an . services Gove rnment pure bases of goc ds and serpices Federal Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Services dential Residential fixed Exports Imports National defense Nondefense State and local 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 85.7 94.0 100.0 103.9 107.7 111.2 114.1 117.5 86.6 94.6 100.0 104.1 108.1 111.8 114.3 118.8 89.2 95.7 100.0 102.1 103.8 104.5 104.9 106.6 89.4 96.9 100.0 102.1 105.0 107.5 107.1 111.9 83.9 92.6 100.0 106.2 111.6 117.1 122.5 127.6 85.1 93.4 100.0 98.8 97.9 97.5 98.5 98.9 89.4 96.6 100.0 102.2 106.0 108.2 111.1 116.1 90.2 97.5 100.0 101.3 103.2 101.3 99.7 100.5 96.0 101.6 100.0 97.4 97.1 94.8 92.1 97.5 84.3 93.3 100.0 103.1 106.8 109.2 110.2 112.9 83.4 92.9 100.0 103.6 107.2 109.5 110.8 111.7 86.4 94.3 100.0 101.4 105.5 108.1 108.1 117.3 86.2 93.4 100.0 104.7 109.9 115.4 119.3 124.7 1982: IV 1983: IV 1984: IV 101.7 105.4 109.0 101.8 105.7 109.3 100.7 103.1 104.1 101.0 103.1 105.8 102.7 108.3 113.5 99.1 103.1 107.2 100.0 102.6 102.4 99.3 97.2 96.2 101.3 103.8 108.5 102.0 104.7 108.3 99.5 100.3 108.9 102.2 106.3 111.7 1985: m IV 111.6 112.4 112.2 113.3 104.6 104.3 107.6 108.6 118.0 119.4 100.7 98.3 97.9 97.3 97.1 108.0 109.5 101.0 100.6 94.4 95.2 108.8 109.5 109.0 111.2 108.4 105.4 116.0 117.3 1986: I 112.9 113.7 114.7 114.9 113.6 113.6 114.5 115.2 104.5 104.6 105.4 105.2 107.8 106.2 106.8 107.5 120.7 122.0 123.3 124.3 97.2 98.4 99.0 99.2 110.0 111.0 111.3 112.2 100.6 100.3 99.2 98.7 94.5 91.3 90.0 92.6 110.7 111.4 111.6 107.0 111.1 111.2 110.7 110.4 109.8 112.2 115.0 97.5 118.0 118.5 119.5 121.2 1987: I 116.1 117.1 117.9 118.7 116.9 118.3 119.5 120.7 105.4 106.1 107.4 107.4 109.8 111.7 112.6 113.6 125.5 126.9 128.3 129.8 99.3 99.2 98.4 98.7 113.7 115.7 117.8 117.4 99.9 100.5 100.5 101.0 95.6 97.7 97.8 98.8 112.1 114.1 113.6 111.9 111.7 111.8 111.4 112.0 113.6 123.1 122.2 111.5 122.4 123.8 125.6 126.9 1988: I" 119.4 121.4 107.5 113.7 131.1 97.7 118.5 101.3 98.2 115.8 113.7 124.5 128.4 n m rv n m.... rv Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. CHANGES IN GNP, PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES, AND RELATED PRICE MEASURES [Percent change from previous period; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Gro ss national prctduet Period Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars 1980 8.9 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 11.7 -0.2 1.9 2.5 3.6 6.8 3.0 2.9 2.9 .6 7.3 1.7 4.1 3.1 5.4 .6 1.4 1.5 4.4 2.5 4.3 4.8 2.3 3.7 7.6 10.8 6.3 5.6 6.0 4.2 IV IV IV m IV 1986: I 12.4 4.7 7.1 6.3 7.0 3.6 5.3 2.1 8.6 6.3 7.3 7.6 4.7 n m IV 1987: I n in IV 1988: I" Implicit price deflator 9.0 9.7 6.4 3.9 3.7 3.2 2.6 3.0 3.6 4.7 3.0 2.9 2.9 1.8 2.9 3.6 .1 4.2 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.4 NOTE.—Annual changes are from previous year and quarterly changes are from previous quarter. Personal consumption ea penditures Fkedweightcd price index (1982 weights) Chain price index 10.6 10.5 9.3 9.3 6.2 4.1 4.0 3.6 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.2 2.9 3.4 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.3 4.5 4.1 3.4 3.6 3.7 9.0 9.4 6.3 4.1 3.9 3.5 2.4 3.2 4.1 3.9 3.1 2.8 3.4 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.0 4.2 3.7 3.3 3.1 3.5 Constant (1982) dollars Current dollars Implicit price deflator -0.2 1.2 1.3 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.2 1.9 5.3 5.5 4.3 6.9 1.2 4.5 4.1 7.3 .5 .7 1.9 5.4 7.1 9.0 8.8 8.2 6.5 6.0 10.3 9.7 7.2 10.1 5.3 5.7 4.1 10.7 3.1 5.0 7.1 9.5 1.5 6.2 -2.5 3.8 Chain price index 10.7 9.2 5.7 4.1 3.8 3.4 2.2 3.9 4.4 4.3 3.0 3.3 4.0 1.1 .0 3.2 2.5 6.0 4.9 4.1 4.1 2.3 Pbtedweighted price index (1982 weights) 10.9 10.5 9.2 5.7 4.2 3.9 3.6 2.5 4.1 4.8 4.1 3.1 3.2 4.2 1.5 .3 3.6 3.0 5.5 5.2 4.0 4.0 2.6 9.0 5.6 4.2 4.0 3.7 2.6 4.2 4.8 4.1 3.2 3.3 4.2 1.7 .3 3.6 3.0 5.7 5.2 4.0 4.2 2.7 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS-OUTPUT, COSTS, AND PROFITS [Quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Curren t-dollar cos t and profit per unit o : output (deliars) 1 Gross <3 omestic produ ct of nonfin ancial corporate business (billions o f dollars) Period Corp irate profits with inventory valuation and capital consun\ption adjvis tmente Total cost and profit 2 Capital consumption allowances with capital consumption adjustment Indirect business taxes 3 Compensation of employees Net interest Profits tax liability Profits after tax* Output per how of all employees (1982 dollars) Compensation per hour of all employees (dollars) Current 1982 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r. 1982: IV 1983: W 1984: IV 1985: m 1,540.8 1,738.4 1,782.2 1,914.2 2,146.7 2,282.8 2,376.1 2,493.8 1,807.9 1,837.2 1,782.2 1,866.0 2,036.5 2,127.1 2,182.2 2,239.0 0.852 .946 1.000 1.026 1.054 1.073 1.089 1.114 0.095 .109 .125 .123 .118 .119 .121 .123 0.077 .090 .094 .098 .100 .103 .104 .106 0.581 .632 .676 .679 .687 .702 .715 .728 0.031 .037 .043 .037 .039 .043 .045 .047 0.068 .078 .063 .089 .109 .107 .103 .109 0.037 .035 .026 .032 .036 .033 .036 .048 0.031 .044 .037 .057 .073 .074 .068 .061 17.096 17.194 17.318 17.867 18.288 18.674 18.969 19.017 9.939 10.861 11.699 12.124 12.570 13.103 13.566 13.850 1,779.4 2,012.5 2,201.8 1,760.2 1,940.5 2,069.5 1.011 LOST 1.064 .131 .120 .118 .096 .098 .102 .685 .680 .694 .042 .031 .042 .057 .103 .107 .023 .036 .032 .034 .088 .075 17.382 18.029 18.359 11.914 12.261 12.746 2,312.4 2,321.8 2,148.7 2,153.5 1.076 1.078 .118 .120 .102 .103 .699 .709 .043 .044 .114 .103 .034 .033 .080 .070 18.849 18.787 13.173 13.324 1986: I n m 2,353.3 2,358.6 2,387.7 2,404.7 2,176.7 2,171.9 2,180.8 2,199.3 1.081 1.086 1.095 1.093 .119 .121 .122 .123 .104 .101 .106 .104 .709 .714 .717 .720 .045 .046 .046 .045 .104 .104 .104 .102 .033 .034 .037 .040 .071 .069 .068 .062 18.941 18.930 18.974 19.073 13.437 13.525 13.608 13.724 n mr iv 2,434.8 2,465.4 2,521.1 2,554.0 2,207.6 2,219.9 2,254.4 2,274.1 1.103 1.111 1.118 1.123 .123 .124 .123 .123 .105 .107 .107 .107 .724 .728 .727 .735 .045 .046 .048 .049 .106 ,106 .114 .110 .045 .047 .051 .049 .061 .059 .063 .060 18.933 18.964 19.119 19.070 13.708 13.798 13.897 14.009 rv IV 1987: I 1 Output is measured by gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business in 1982 dol- lars. 2 This is equal to the deflator for gross domestic product of nonfinancial corporate business with the decimal point shifted two places to the left. 3 Indirect 4 Total business tax and nontax liability plus business transfer payments less subsidies. With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics). NATIONAL INCOME [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period National income Compensation of employees1 Proprieto s' income with in ventory valuation md capital consulnption adjust ments Farm 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 2,518.4 2,719.5 3,028.6 3,229.9 3,422.0 3,636.0 2,548.2 2,851.5 3,096.1 3,254.4 3,304.4 3,364.2 3,414.1 3,438.7 3,471.0 3,548.3 3,593.3 3,659.0 3,743.5 IV IV IV HI IV 1986: I n in IV 1987: I n m IV 1988: I p 1 Kental income of persons with capital Nonfarm tion adjustment 1,907.0 2,020.7 2,213.9 2,370.8 2,504.9 2,647.6 1,931.1 2,092.7 2,272.7 2,386.3 2,430.5 2,464.8 2,487.6 2,515.1 2,552.0 2,589.9 2,623.4 2,663.5 2,713.5 24.6 12.4 30.5 29.7 37.2 48.4 28.5 19.3 28.1 22.9 31.7 28.0 48.1 36.3 36.6 51.3 47.3 40.6 54.3 150.9 178.4 204.0 227.6 252.6 279.0 159.8 188.6 209.7 229.5 236.3 242.8 250.1 256.2 261.2 269.7 275.8 282.1 288.4 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.0 16.7 19.3 15.8 12.4 5.6 9.3 10.1 14.0 17.4 17.2 18.4 20.0 18.9 17.3 20.9 2,762.4 44.1 292.6 21.1 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 5.) Corpora ,e profits wi ti inventory valuation an [ capital consulnption adjust ments Profits with inventory valuation adjustmei it and witho at capital consu:mption adjus tment Total Profits before tax 150.0 213.7 266.9 277.6 284.4 304.7 146.1 248.5 266.9 292.8 277.8 288.0 282.3 286.4 281.1 294.0 296.8 314.9 313.0 159.2 196.7 234.2 224.1 238.4 256.5 150.7 223.4 224.6 236.8 223.7 236.7 235.6 242.4 239.0 245.7 248.8 267.3 264.3 Inventory valuation adjustment 169.6 207.6 240.0 224.8 231.9 274.1 164.1 231.5 226.1 230.2 233.5 218.9 224.4 236.3 247.9 257.0 268.7 284.9 285.6 Capital consumption Net interest 7 6.5 -17.5 -13.4 8.1 -1.6 6.5 -9.8 17.8 11.3 6.0 -8.9 -11.3 20.0 -17.6 21.3 -9.2 17.0 32.7 53.5 46.0 48.2 -4.5 25.1 42.3 56.0 54.2 51.3 46.7 44.0 42.1 48.2 48.0 47.7 48.7 272.3 281.0 304.8 315.3 326.1 337.1 266.9 290.2 313.1 313.7 317.9 326.6 328.7 327.5 321.7 323.6 331.1 340.6 353.3 15.9 45.9 356.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES [Billions of dollars, except as noted; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Non durable g sods Durabl 3 goods Period 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: IV IV IV DJ IV 1986: I n in rv 1987: I n m rv 1988: I f conexpendiures 2,050.7 2,234.5 2,430.5 2,629.4 2,799.8 2,967.8 2,117.0 2,315.8 2,493.4 2,665.4 2,700.1 2,737.9 2,765.8 2,837.1 2,858.6 2,893.8 2,943.7 3,011.3 3,022.6 252.7 289.1 335.5 368.7 402.4 413.7 263.8 310.0 346.7 383.7 370.5 375.9 386.4 427.6 419.8 396.1 409.0 436.8 413.0 108.9 130.4 157.4 177.6 194.9 193.9 115.7 144.4 162.3 191.9 174.1 177.4 184.2 217,0 201.2 177.6 189.6 215.2 193.3 3,068.7 425.7 201.4 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Motor vehicles and parts Total durable goods Furniture and household equipment Other durable goo s Food Clothing and shoes Gasoline and oil Serv- Retail sales of new pa ssenger cars (nu llions of units) Other Domestics Imports 99.1 112.4 122.7 129.5 133.5 134.7 138.3 142.9 143.8 146.0 146.0 147.9 146.8 48.1 51.6 59.3 62.4 67.6 73.1 49.0 53.2 61.8 62.4 62.9 63.8 64.0 67.8 74.8 72.5 73.5 73.7 72.9 771.0 816.7 867.3 913.1 939.4 982.9 786.6 837.9 879.6 918.4 929.3 936.8 934.3 940.0 946.3 969.9 982.1 986.4 993.1 398.8 421.9 448.5 472.8 497.8 515.8 407.0 430.8 456.1 474.9 481.7 489.4 494.7 499.6 507.5 514.8 515.0 514.0 519.3 124.4 135.1 146.7 157.2 167.5 177.0 126.5 141.1 149.8 158.8 160.9 163.4 167.2 169.8 169.6 174.0 175.8 178.7 179.6 89.1 90.2 90.0 92.6 75.3 80.3 89.8 91.9 89.0 93.5 92.1 87.7 74.4 70.6 68.4 75.8 80.6 82.7 82.1 158.7 169.5 182.1 190.5 198.8 209.7 163.4 174.0 184.7 191.2 194.5 196.3 198.0 200.0 200.8 205.3 210.7 211.0 212.0 1,027.0 1,128.7 1,227.6 1,347.5 1,458.0 1,571.2 1,066.5 1,167.9 1,267.1 1,363.3 1,400.3 1,425.2 1,445.1 1,469.5 1,492.4 1,527.7 1,552.6 1,588.1 1,616.5 5.8 6.8 8.0 8.2 8.2 7.1 6.0 7.4 7.7 9.3 7.1 7.7 7.9 9.5 7.8 6.7 7.0 8.0 6.7 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.2 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.5 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.3 151.1 73.3 993.9 520.7 177.2 81.0 215.0 1,649.0 7.6 3.1 95.7 107.1 118.8 128.7 139.9 14:6.7 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME Personal income rose $29.6 billion (annual rate) in March, following a rise of $22.2 billion in February. The changes reflect several special factors: Profit-sharing payments to employees in the motor vehicle industry and a large increase in retroactive social security benefit payments affected the March change; subsidy payments to farmers affected both the March and February changes. Excluding these special factors, personal income increased $8.9 billion in March and $18.7 billion in February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) 4,200 4,200 3,200 3,200 1,600 1,600 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 800 800 OTHER INCOME 400 400 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 200 200 1980 1982 1981 1983 1984 1985 1986 ' SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE 1987 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Total personal income Proprietors ' Wage and come 2,258.4 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,327.0 3,534.3 3,746.5 1,372.0 1,510.3 1,586.1 1,676.6 1,838.6 1,974.9 2,089.1 2,212.7 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 3,683.4 3,701.9 3,708.5 3,715.3 3,739.2 3,760.6 3,783.2 3,854.4 3,839.8 3,869.1 2,173.1 2,181.5 2,193.7 2,198.9 2,209.7 2,228.8 2,239.8 2,257.6 2,271.9 2,281.1 1988: Jan r. Feb r. Mar" 3,872.5 3,894.7 3,924.3 2,293.3 2,306.9 2,319.2 138.4 150.3 163.6 173.6 182.9 192.3 201.1 210.2 207.4 210.0 209.0 209.6 210.4 211.1 211.9 212.7 213.5 214.4 214.9 215.4 215.9 Farm 20.5 30.7 24.6 12.4 30.5 29.7 37.2 48.4 55.6 58.0 41.6 42.3 43.9 37.7 40.2 77.5 37.5 47.9 38.9 42.4 51.0 1 The total of wage and salary disbursements and other labor income differs from compensation of employees (see p. 4) in that it excludes employer contributions for social insurance and the excess of wage accruals over wage disbursements. * Consists primarily of employer contributions to private pension and private welfare funds. 3 With inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. income 3 Personal interest income Transfer payments 5 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance Nonfarm personal income 8 Rental income of persons 4 Personal dividend income 160.1 156.1 150.9 178.4 204.0 227.6 252.6 279.0 6.6 13.3 13.6 13.2 8.5 9.0 16.7 19.3 52.9 61.3 63.9 68.7 75.5 76.3 81.2 87.5 271.9 335.4 369.7 393.1 444.7 476.5 497.6 516.2 324.7 368.1 410.6 442.6 456.6 489.7 518.3 543.1 88.6 104.5 112.3 120.1 132.7 148.9 159.6 169.9 2,215.8 2,465.6 2,618.7 2,799.0 3,052.1 3,273.5 3,475.2 3,676.6 273.2 274.1 275.8 277.7 279.9 282.8 283.6 286.0 289.1 290.2 20.4 19.7 18.9 18.2 17.8 17.3 16.7 19.1 21.3 22.5 85.0 85.3 86.5 87.0 87.9 88.8 89.4 90.0 90.5 91.0 501.6 503.8 506.3 508.8 514.0 519.8 526.2 533.0 538.9 544.5 534.3 537.3 545.4 541.7 545.2 545.2 547.0 551.4 550.8 551.8 167.3 167.7 168.6 168.9 169.6 170.8 171.6 172.8 173.7 174.3 3,607.2 3,622.8 3,645.1 3,651.2 3,673.5 3,701.1 3,721.1 3,755.0 3,780.4 3,799.2 299.0 292.0 295.8 21.9 21.1 20.3 91.4 92.2 92.6 545.3 545.9 546.3 565.3 568.3 573.6 188.4 189.5 190.4 3,811.7 3,830.3 3,851.2 Nonfarm 4 With capital consumption adjustment. Consists mainly of social insurance benefits, direct relief, and veterans payments. Personal income exclusive of farm proprietors' income, farm wages, farm other labor income, and agricultural net interest. 8 6 Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME Real per capita disposable personal income rose in the first quarter of 1988. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 3,800 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 4,000 3,800 3,400 ,800 1,400 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 16,000 PER CAPITA DISPOSABLE PE RSONAL INCO ME 1,400 DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) 16,000 14,000 14,000 ^ CLJRRENT DOLLA RS 12,000 10,000 p____j__— -=-- . ^-<1 ,_---"~~ . 12,000 - ... \^.~ 5- . 1 10,000 \ 1982 DOLLARS __^' 8,000 8,000 1 6,000 I ! 1 1980 I ! 1981 1 1 1 1982 1 1 1 ! 1 1 1984 1983 1 1 1 1 1985 1 ! 1986 1 1 1 198!? 1 1 6,000 1 1988 • SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period Personal income Less: Personal tax and nontax payments Disposable personal COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Less: Personal outlays 1 Equals: Personal saving Per c Eipita disposable personal Disposable personal income in inc me 1982 C nt dollars dollars (billions) 2,258.4 2,520.9 2,670.8 2,838.6 3,108.7 3,327.0 3,534.3 3,746.5 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 340.5 393.3 409.3 410.5 440.2 485.9 512.2 564.8 1,917.9 2,127.6 2,261.4 2,428.1 2,668.6 2,841.1 3,022.1 3,181.7 Current dollars 1982 dollars 1,781.1 1,968.1 2,107.5 2,297.4 2,504.5 2,714.1 2,891.5 3,062.7 136.8 159.4 153.9 130.6 164.1 127.1 130.6 119.0 2,214.3 8,421 2,248.6 2,261.5 2,331.9 2,469.8 2,542.2 2,645.1 2,677.2 9,243 9,724 10,340 11,257 11,872 12,508 13,050 Percent change in real per capita disposable personal income Saving as percent of disposable personal income Population, including Armed Forces abroad (thousands)2 PerceiIt Dolla rs Billio us of dollars 1980 1982 dollars Per capitji personal consulnption expen [itures 9,722 9,769 9,724 9,930 10,419 10,622 10,947 10,980 7,607 8,320 8,818 9,515 10,253 10,987 11,588 12,172 8,783 8,794 8,818 9,139 9,489 9,830 10,142 10,242 -1.1 9,749 10,151 10,491 10,592 10,679 10,842 11,024 10,968 10,956 11,008 10,865 10,958 11,090 11,151 9,068 9,825 10,479 11,124 11,239 11,371 11,461 11,729 11,789 11,910 12,090 12,337 12,352 8,904 9,299 9,587 9,916 9,920 10,008 10,088 10,242 10,229 10,190 10,216 10,327 10,235 10,307 1.2 9.1 1.7 -4.2 3.3 6.2 6.9 -2.0 -.4 .5 -.5 2.1 4.9 1.9 3.1 .3 7.1 7.5 6.8 5.4 6.1 4.5 4.3 3.7 227,75' 6.2 5.8 5.8 3.4 4.1 233,466 235,707 237,946 239,618 240,246 240,782 241,313 241,896 242,489 242,971 243,480 244,094 244,703 245,297 230,185 232,549 234,829 237,051 239,323 241,620 243,812 £ easonally adjusted am ual rates 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: IV IV IV HI.... IV 1986: I n m.... IV 1987: I n m.... IV 1988: I" 2,729.2 2,941.8 3,188.3 3,338.2 3,406.4 3,463.4 3,526.6 3,553.6 3,593.6 3,662.0 3,708.6 3,761.0 3,854.4 3,897.2 411.1 413.9 459.7 491.0 499.7 497.4 504.2 515.3 532.0 536.1 578.0 565.7 579.4 577.0 2,318.1 2,527.9 2,728.6 2,847.2 2,906.6 2,966.0 3,022.4 3,038.2 3,061.6 3,125.9 3,130.6 3,195.3 3,275.0 3,320.2 2,174.9 2,382.5 2,571.3 2,751.5 2,788.1 2,827.6 2,856.4 2,929.4 2,952.6 2,987.5 3,037.4 3,106.5 3,119.3 3,167.1 143.1 145.4 157.3 95.7 118.5 138.4 166.0 108.9 109.0 138.4 93.2 88.8 155.7 153.1 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers to business, and personal transfer payments to foreigners (net). 9,929 10,725 11,467 11,882 12,099 12,318 12,525 12,560 12,626 12,865 12,858 13,090 13,384 13,536 2,276.1 2,392.7 2,496.3 2,538.2 2,565.5 2,610.5 2,660.2 2,653.2 2,656.7 2,674.6 2,645.5 2,674.7 2,713.8 2,735.4 2 12,510 1.9 -5.1 3.5 4.9 2.2 4.7 5.5 3.6 3.6 4.4 3.0 2.8 4.8 4.6 Annual data are averages of quarterly data, which are averages for the period. Source: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and Bureau of the Census). FARM INCOME In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, gross farm income rose $6.0 billion (annual rate) and net farm income rose $5.2 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS * (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 240 240 200 160 —-^ 1 — ^~^^__^—^^/r S=S= ^—— ... 120 --^N 160 GRC SS FARM 1NCC>ME 120 80 60 -. *• ""N '\ 40 ,. / ~\ j *«. 1 20 '"\ ' \/ \ t . s \ . V* 1 1 \ , \ 1 * / * 1 " — -/' \ / v / \i " \ ^ \x 1 1 1 1 10 X t ;V * /" 20 NET FARM INC OME A i \ . \ • \/ i , 10 V| t , 1 \1 ! 1980 1 1 1 1 1 J 1 1 1982 1981 1 1983 1 1985 1984 1 1 1 I 1986 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 1 1 1 1987 i S 1 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] In come (jross farm Period Cas h Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1985: I n m IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I rr nr m rv * :..... Net farni marketing rece ipts 1 149.3 166.3 163.5 153.1 174.7 166.0 159.5 164.3 168.5 164.0 159.5 172.1 149.8 168.8 154.7 164.8 163.8 166.5 160.4 166.4 Total 139.7 141.6 142.6 136.6 142.3 144.2 135.2 135.6 137.9 138.0 144.8 156.1 134.4 130.6 135.0 140.7 127.7 142.3 142.4 130.1 Livestock and products 68.0 69.2 70.3 69.4 72.9 69.8 71.6 74.7 69.9 69.0 68.9 71.4 68.3 66.8 77.8 73.3 72.5 74.0 79.9 72.4 1 Cash marketing receipts and inventory changes plus Government payments, other farm cash income, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Physical changes in end-of-year inventory of crop and livestock commodities valued at average prices during the year. of farm ope rators from farm ng incom e Crops 71.7 72.5 72.3 67.1 69.4 74.4 63.6 60.9 68.0 68.9 76.0 84.7 66.0 63.8 57.2 67.4 55.2 68.3 62.5 57.7 inventory changes 3 -6.3 6.5 -1.4 -10.9 6.2 -2.7 -3.3 -3.0 1.1 -2.4 -4.2 -5.1 -4.2 3.5 -3.0 -2.4 -3.4 -3.5 -3.0 -2.0 Production expenses 133.1 139.4 140.0 140.4 142.7 133.7 122.1 119.9 138.3 135.3 132.2 129.0 125.7 122.9 120.6 119.0 119.4 119.5 119.9 120.7 Current dollars 16.1 26.9 23.5 12.7 32.0 32.3 37.5 44.4 30.2 28.7 27.3 43.1 24.1 45.9 34.2 45.8 44.4 47.0 40.5 45.7 3 Income in current dollars divided hy the GNP implicit price deflator. NOTE.—Data include net Commodity Corporation loans and operator households. Sources: Department of Agriculture and Department of Commerce. income 1982 dollars 3 18.8 28.6 23.5 12.2 29.7 29.0 32.9 37.8 27.5 25.9 24.5 38.4 21.4 40.3 29.8 39.9 38.2 40.2 34.4 38.5 CORPORATE PROFITS In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, corporate profits before tax rose $0.7 billion (annual rate) and after-tax profits rose $3.7 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 320 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 320 280 120 120 80 80 40 40 1987 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Pr jfits (before t ax) with inve ntory valuati on adjustmen t 1 F rofits after t£IX Do mestic indust ries Period Nonfinancial Total 2 Total Financial Total 3 Manufacturing Profits before tax Tax liability 237.1 226.5 169.6 84.8 81.1 63.1 77.2 93.9 96.7 105.0 136.3 59.8 88.1 87.0 100.5 99.1 98.1 102.1 106.1 113.9 128.0 134.2 143.0 140.0 Total Dividends sale and retail Undistributed profits Inventory valuation adjustment trade 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: IV IV IV HI IV 1986: I,. n m IV 1987: I n mT IV 1988: 1 2 194.0 202.3 159.2 196.7 234.2 224.1 238.4 256.5 150.7 223.4 224.6 236.8 223.7 236.7 235.6 242.4 239.0 245.7 248.8 267.3 264.3 159.6 173.8 131.2 166.6 203.3 193.6 207.2 222.5 121.6 190.7 193.9 208.3 189.7 202.3 207.0 210.2 209.3 213.1 215.8 235.4 225.6 21.0 138.6 16.5 11.8 18.1 13.0 18.4 26.1 27.0 18.7 15.5 13.6 18.4 20.8 26.2 26.9 25.2 26.1 27.6 27.8 27.0 25.5 157.3 119.4 148.5 190.3 175.2 181.1 195.5 102.9 175.2 180.3 189.9 168.9 176.2 180.0 185.1 183.2 185.5 188.0 208.4 200.1 77.1 88.5 58.0 70.1 88.8 72.2 69.4 88.6 46.8 88.6 79.8 80.1 72.4 61.9 72.5 68.0 75.4 75.4 85.5 100.7 92.9 21.6 32.5 34.6 38.9 51.2 51.4 52.1 50.5 33.6 43.1 51.8 55.7 45.0 55.8 48.2 54.6 49.7 56.2 45.2 52.1 48.7 I". See p. 4 for profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments. Includes rest of the world, not shown separately. 3 207.6 240.0 224.8 231.9 274.1 164.1 231.5 226.1 230.2 233.5 218.9 224.4 236.3 247.9 257.0 268.7 284.9 285.6 152.3 145.4 106.5 130.4 146.1 128.1 126.8 137.8 104.3 143.4 139.2 129.7 134.4 120.9 122.3 130.2 134.0 129.0 134.5 141.9 145.6 54.7 97.6 63.6 66.9 71.5 79.0 81.3 86.8 93.8 68.5 73.9 80.8 81.2 81.7 84.3 86.6 87.7 88.6 90.3 92.4 95.2 97.3 99.3 81.8 39.6 58.9 67.0 46.8 40.0 43.9 35.8 69.5 58.4 48.5 52.7. 36.6 35.7 42.5 45.4 38.7 42.1 46.7 48.3 Includes industries not shown separately. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. -43.1 -24.2 -10.4 -10.9 -5.8 -.7 6.5 -17.5 -13.4 -8.1 -1.6 6.5 -9.8 17.8 11.3 6.0 -8.9 -11.3 -20.0 -17.6 -21.3 15.9 GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT According to preliminary estimates for the first quarter of 1988, nonresidential fixed investment rose $17.6 billion (annual rate) while residential investment fell $3.4 billion. There was a $57.0 billion increase in inventories, following an increase of $69.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 1987. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 600 500 400 400 300 300 200 100 -100 1988 SOURCE. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] ] ""ixed investment Change i l business mven tories Nonresidential Period investment 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: IV IV IV TH IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n m rv 1988: I " Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 437.0 515.5 447.3 502.3 664.8 641.6 671.0 717.5 409.6 579.8 661.8 628.6 650.8 683.4 679.4 660.8 660.2 699.9 702.6 707.4 760.2 761.9 Total 445.3 491.5 471.8 509.4 597.1 631.6 655.2 671.5 469.5 548.8 616.8 631.0 648.3 645.1 651.9 657.3 666.6 648.2 662.3 684.5 690.8 704.9 Total 322.8 369.2 366.7 356.9 416.0 442.6 436.9 443.4 354.9 383.9 435.0 442.0 451.5 440.7 433.8 433.5 439.7 422.8 434.6 456.6 459.6 477.2 Structures 113.9 138.5 143.3 124.0 141.1 152.5 137.4 134.2 137.6 127.4 146.6 152.9 152.1 149.6 135.9 131.1 132.9 128.7 129.7 137.1 141.1 140.4 Producers' durable equipment 208.9 230.7 223.4 232.8 274.9 290.1 299.5 309.2 217.3 256.5 288.4 289.1 299.3 291.0 297.9 302.4 306.7 294.1 304.9 319.5 318.5 336.8 Residential 122.5 122.3 105.1 152.5 181.1 189.0 218.3 228.1 114.7 164.0 181.8 189.0 196.8 204.4 218.1 223.8 226.9 225.4 227.7 227.9 231.2 227.8 Total -8.3 24.0 -24.5 -7.1 67.7 10.0 15.7 46.1 -59.9 31.0 45.0 -2.4 2.5 38.3 27.5 3.5 -6.4 51.6 40.3 22.9 69.4 57.0 Noil/arm -2.4 18.3 -23.1 .4 60.5 13.6 16.8 36.2 -51.1 21.3 41.3 5.2 17.8 38.5 24.5 .9 5.1 48.7 27.3 11.1 57.5 37.7 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT According to the Commerce Department January-March 1988 survey, business spending for new plant and equipment is expected to rise 8.8 percent in 1988, following a rise of 2.4 percent in 1987. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (RATIO SCALE) 500 500 SEASO ALLY ADJUSTED ANN UAL RATES — ^T-n — -"""""" 300 — ^-^^/UL INDUSTRIES ^-~ 1 300 ^.*- — —•-- A •"""7 — 200 -., — •'''" NO•MMANUFACTU *INGu/ x-" k-r" __ __ ^ -' A Ai ANUFACTUR^JG -.-•- ~~- , , --• "' . — — 80 '80 — — Ml- AH — — 40 1 1 1980 1 I 1 1 it 1 1981 JL//SURVEYED QUARTERLY _£/'5EE FOOTNOTE 4 BELOW S'OURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE' I 1982 1 I I 1 1983 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1985 1 ! i 1 1986 1 1 1 1987 2J I -I/ \ \ 1988 * SECOND HALF COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Addenda Industries surveyed quarterly Noiimanufactui •ing M mufacturii Period 1987: * Total Durable Nondurable Total ' Mining Transportation Public utilities Commercial and other Total nonfarm busi- 284.94 314.47 349.26 347.47 343.35 398.99 431.94 427.23 Non manufactu ring Manufacturing 95.92 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.46 159.68 Total 189.02 202.15 222.72 226.79 227.15 260.16 278.46 284.54 Surveyed quarterly 159.04 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.14 263.28 254.96 282.80 315.22 310.58 304.78 354.44 387.13 379.47 388.60 422.96 95.92 112.33 126.54 120.68 116.20 138.82 153.48 142.69 145.46 159.68 48.50 55,36 59.81 55.35 53.08 66.24 73.27 69.14 70.91 75.75 47.42 56.96 66.73 65.33 63.12 72.58 80.21 73.56 74.55 83.93 159.04 170.47 188.68 189.89 188.58 215.61 233.65 236.78 243.14 263.28 12.81 15.99 21.39 20.05 15.19 16.86 15.88 11.22 11.34 12.07 16.05 16.60 15.84 14.79 13.97 16.52 18.02 18.80 18.85 21.09 35.63 37.74 41.21 45.43 44.96 47.48 48.81 46.38 44.76 46.55 94.56 100.14 110.24 109.63 114.45 134.75 150.94 160.38 168.19 183.57 HI IV 375.50 386.09 139.43 144.07 69.42 69.87 70.01 74.20 236.07 242.02 10.14 10.31 18.81 19.50 45.81 46.12 161.31 166.08 139.43 144.07 236.07 242.02 I 374.23 377.65 393.13 409.37 140.65 140.79 147.56 152.84 70.47 68.76 71.78 72.64 70.18 72.03 75.78 80.20 233.58 236.87 245.58 256.53 10.31 11.02 11.64 12.39 18.98 17.67 19.17 19.57 43.60 43.48 44.90 47.07 160.70 164.69 169.87 177.50 140.65 140.79 147.56 152.84 233.58 236.87 245.58 256.53 422.75 427.09 421.00 161.13 161.45 158.06 81.00 80.13 84.53 76.92 72.96 - 85.10 261.62 265.64 262.93 12.26 12.41 11.81 22.49 20.44 20.72 46.15 46.83 46.60 180.72 185.97 183.80 161.13 161.45 158.06 261.62 265.64 262.93 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 19884 1986: All industries n in IV'. 1988: I 44 n 2nd half 4 1 Excludes forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate, which, effective with the April-May 1984 survey, are no longer surveyed quarterly. See last column ("nonmanufacturing surveyed annually") for data for these industries. 2 "All industries" plus the part of nonmanufacturing that is surveyed annually. 10 Surveyed annual- Ly" 29.98 31.68 34.04 36.89 38.56 44.55 44.81 47.75 3 Consists of forestry, fisheries, and agricultural services; medical services; professional services; social services and membership organizations; and real estate. 4 Planned capital expenditures as reported by business in January-March 1988, corrected for biases. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES In March, seasonally adjusted civilian employment fell 306,000 and unemployment fell 137,000. MILLIC3NS OF PERSO NS* 124 MILLI ONS OF PERSC)NS* 124 SEASONALLY ADJUST ED 120 _^ . ^^ ^ cn /ILIAN LABOR -1 12 -» -" ORCE •_••"•' ----108 , -* ~* "* ~* "* 104 ^-^•*~-*-->-~ ** «• 120 116 _„-• 1 _—~ 100 : S. ' ,-/v"1 J />——"1-— 1 _^.X~*-^" .. s —-•">.- -^- —• "" * -'"V ' 104 CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 100 96 -v. ^ ^ 12 ^~^~ — — ~—— 8 -, 4 — 0 Illllflllll Illlillllll iiinliini 1980 1981 1982 - 12 .x -~V~ \ iNEMPLOYMEN T ^~~-^ — 8 . —•- .. — 4 Illlllllll! Illlillllll Illlillllll Illlillllll I l l l i l l l l l l Illlillllll 1984 1983 1985 1987 1986 1988 0 •16 YEARS: Of AGE A NO OVER COUNCIL OF CONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMEN r OF LABOR [Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted except as noted by NSA] Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986* 1987 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb Mar Noninstitutional population including resident Armed Forces NSA 169,349 171,775 173,939 175,891 178,080 179,912 182,293 184,490 183,915 184,079 184,259 184,421 184,605 184,738 184,904 185,052 185,225 185,370 185,571 185,705 185,847 Civilian e mployment Resident Armed T \\ f including resident NSA Forces 1,604 1,645 1,668 1,676 1,697 1,706 1,706 1,737 1,736 1,735 1,726 1,718 ,720 ,736 ,743 ,741 ,755 ,750 ,749 ,736 ,736 108,544 110,315 111,872 113,226 115,241 117,167 119,540 121,602 120,982 121,098 121,633 121,326 121,610 122,042 121,706 122,128 122,349 122,472 122,924 123,084 122,639 Employment including resident Armed Forces 100,907 102,042 101,194 102,510 106,702 108,856 111,303 114,177 113,191 113,541 114,060 114,018 114,359 114,786 114,615 114,951 115,259 115,494 115,878 116,145 115,839 Civilian labor force 106,940 108,670 110,204 111,550 113,544 115,461 117,834 119,865 119,246 119,363 119,907 119,608 119,890 120,306 119,963 120,387 120,594 120,722 121,175 121,348 120,903 1 Persons at work. Economic reasons include slack work, material shortages, inability to find fulltime work, etc. 2 Labor force as percent of noninstitutional population (both including resident Armed Forces). 3 Civilian labor force as percent of civilian noninstitutional population. Unempl jyment NonagTicultural Total 99,303 100,397 99,526 100,834 105,005 107,150 109,597 112,440 111,455 111,806 112,334 112,300 112,639 113,050 112,872 113,210 113,504 113,744 114,129 114,409 114,103 Agricultural 3,364 3,368 3,401 3,383 3,321 3,179 3,163 3,208 3,237 3,250 3,269 3,192 3,212 3,143 3,184 3,249 3,172 3,215 3,293 3,228 3,204 Total 95,938 97,030 96,125 97,450 101,685 103,971 106,434 109,232 108,218 108,556 109,065 109,108 109,427 109,907 109,688 109,961 110,332 110,529 110,836 111,182 110,899 Part-time for economic reasons 1 4,064 4,499 5,852 5,997 5,512 5,334 5,345 5,122 5,180 5,104 5,058 4,979 5,154 5,016 4,986 5,067 5,241 5,004 5,145 5,254 5,106 Total 7,637 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 7,791 7,557 7,573 7,308 7,251 7,256 7,091 7,177 7,090 6,978 7,046 6,938 6,801 15 weeks and over 1,871 2,285 3,485 4,210 2,737 2,305 2,232 1,983 2,055 2,060 2,067 2,029 1,920 1,896 1,904 1,801 1,834 1,791 1,733 1,740 1,722 Labor force partici jation rate (p« rcent) Total 2 Civilian 3 64.1 64.2 64.3 64.4 64.7 65.1 65.6 65.9 65.8 65.8 66.0 65.8 65.9 66.1 65.8 66.0 66.1 66.1 66.2 66.3 66.0 63.8 63.9 64.0 64.0 64.4 64.8 65.3 65.6 65.5 65.5 65.7 65.5 65.6 65.7 65.5 65.7 65.7 65.7 65.9 66.0 65.7 "Data beginning January 1986 not strictly comparable with earlier data because of change in estimation procedures. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 11 SELECTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATES In March, the seasonally adjusted overall unemployment rate fell 0.1 percentage point, to 5.5 percent; the civilian unemployment rate also fell 0.1 percentage point, to 5.6 percent. PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) PERCENT* (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 25 20 X A rr v - ./r. TEENAGERS (16-19) 15 10 10 WOME N 20 YEARS AND OVER MEN 20 YEARS AND OVER Illllllllll mnliim 1988 1984 1985 1988 1987 1986 'UNEMPLOYMENT AS PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE IN GROUP SPECIFIED, COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Unemp oyment ra te (percen t of civilia n labor force in group) Period 5.9 6.3 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.1 7.1 7.6 9.7 9.6 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.2 8.8 8.9 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.4 6.4 6.8 8.3 8.1 6.8 6.6 6.2 5.4 Oct Nov Dec 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.7 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.0 4.9 Jan Feb Mar 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.1 4.9 4.9 7.0 7.5 9.5 9.5 Mar Apr May Aug Sept civilian workers Both sexes Experienced wage and salary workers White Black and other 17.8 19.6 23.2 22.4 18.9 18.6 18.3 16.9 6.3 6.7 8.6 8.4 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.3 13.1 14.2 17.3 17.8 14.4 13.7 13.1 11.6 15.6 18.9 19.5 15.9 15.1 14.5 13.0 6.9 7.3 9.3 9.2 7.1 6.8 6.6 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 17.8 17.3 17.6 16.0 15.8 16.2 16.4 17.2 16.6 16.1 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.2 5.1 4.9 12.4 11.8 12.1 11.5 11.4 11.3 10.9 10.8 11.0 10.9 13.9 13.0 13.7 12.8 12.7 12.4 12.3 12.1 12.2 12.2 5.1 5.2 4.8 16.0 15.4 16.5 5.0 4.8 4.7 10.9 11.3 11.5 12.2 12.6 12.8 16-19 years 1 Unemployed as percent of total labor force including resident Armed Forces. z Aggregate hours lost by the unemployed and persons on part time for economic reasons as percent of potentially available labor force hours. 12 By elected grou 3S By race A 1] All Women 20 years and over June.... July 1988: By sex and a go Men 20 years and over 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Unemployment rate, all workers 1 Black 14.3 Married men, spouse present Women who maintain families Labor force time lost (percent) * Fulltime workers Parttime workers 6.5 6.5 4.6 4.3 4.4 3.9 9.2 10.4 11.7 12.2 10.3 10.4 9.8 9.2 6.9 7.3 9.6 9.5 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.8 8.8 9.4 10.5 10.4 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.4 10.9 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.4 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.4 9.7 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.9 8.5 8.4 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.4 9.1 8.6 8.7 7.3 8.1 8.2 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.6 5.5 5.3 5.2 3.6 3.4 3.4 8.9 8.3 7.5 5.4 5.3 5.3 8.3 7.9 7.7 6.6 6.6 6.5 4.2 4.3 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 7.9 8.5 11.0 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In March, based on seasonally adjusted data, the percentages of unemployed persons who had been out of work for less than 5 weeks and for 27 weeks and over fell, the percentage for 5-14 weeks was unchanged, and the percentage for 15-26 weeks rose. The mean duration of unemployment fell and the median rose. PERCENT DISTRIBUTION* PERCENT DISTRIBUTION 70 70 REASOh•J FOR DURATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT UNE ^PLOYMEN T 60 60 50 - 50 _ — "\."- LESS THAN 5 WEEKS ' \ — 1OB LOSERS " V 40 40 5-14 WEEKS A . 30 REENTRANTS 30 — A * -X ^«. -•*"•/ V-. '""•' 20 10 27 WEEKS AND OVER 20 •v 10 NEW ENTR \NTS c^ 15-26 WEEKS 1985 1987 1986 7-C^ --(""•' J DB nutlinti innliini ntiiluni iiiiilnni milling 1984 " \ LEAVERS \niiilnui innlinii nniliiin jjnihnji j ) i n ) j j ) j j 1985 1984 1988 1986 1987 1988 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [Monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Be ason for unemplojinent: percent distributi on Dur ation of imemployment Period Unemployment (thousands) I'ercent di stributio i Stat£ progriims Number of ks Insured unemployment, all regular programs (unadjusted) 1 Less than 5 weeks 5-14 weeks 15-26 weeks 27 weeks and over Average (mean) Medi- Job losers Job leavers Reentrants New entrants 7,637 8,273 10,678 10,717 8,539 8,312 8,237 7,425 43.1 41.7 36.4 33.3 39.2 42.1 41.9 43.7 32.3 30.7 31.0 27.4 28.7 30.2 31.0 29.6 13.8 13.6 16.0 15.4 12.9 12.3 12.7 12.7 10.7 14.0 16.6 23.9 19.1 15.4 14.4 14.0 11.9 13.7 15.6 20.0 18.2 15.6 15.0 14.5 6.5 6.9 8.7 10.1 7.9 6.8 6.9 6.5 51.7 51.6 58.7 58.4 51.8 49.8 48.9 48.0 11.7 11.2 7.9 7.7 9.6 10.6 12.3 13.0 25.2 25.4 22.3 22.5 25.6 27.1 26.2 26.6 11.4 11.9 11.1 11.3 13.0 12.5 12.5 12.4 3,350 3,047 4,061 3,396 2,476 2,611 2,650 2,332 488 460 583 438 377 396 378 328 3,837 3,410 4,594 3,775 2,561 2,693 2,746 2,401 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct NOT Dec 7,791 7,557 7,573 7,308 7,251 7,256 7,091 7,177 7,090 6,978 42.9 42.5 43.9 42.9 43.9 44.2 45.5 45.3 45.4 46.2 30.8 30.0 28.7 29.4 29.6 29.6 27.6 29.4 28.7 28.2 12.1 13.1 12.9 13.3 13.0 11.5 13.0 11.9 12.7 12.8 14.2 14.3 14.5 14.4 13.4 14.7 14.0 13.4 13.2 12.9 14.9 14.8 14.8 14.7 14.2 14.3 14.2 14.1 14.0 14.2 6.7 6.9 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.4 5.8 6.2 6.1 6.0 48.5 49.1 47.9 48.4 48.4 47.0 46.8 47.7 46.8 45.7 12.7 12.7 12.4 13.1 13.6 13.8 13.8 13.5 13.1 13.5 26.6 26.1 26.5 26.9 26.5 27.3 26.9 26.0 28.0 27.8 12.2 12.2 13.3 11.6 11.6 11.9 12.5 12.9 12.1 13.0 2,439 2,367 2,321 2,297 2,273 2,223 2,102 2,035 2,037 2,090 342 334 333 331 329 307 289 293 303 317 2,933 2,526 2,216 2,108 2,210 2,030 1,800 1,759 1,931 2,322 1988: Jan Feb Mar 7,046 6,938 6,801 43.6 44.3 44.0 31.9 30.8 30.8 11.8 12.1 13.0 12.6 12.9 12.2 14.4 14.4 13.7 6.4 6.4 6.6 45.2 45.9 45.8 15.3 13.8 15.7 27.0 27.9 25.6 12.5 12.4 12.9 2,242 2,208 2,140 356 327 308 2,870 2,775 Insured unemployment Initial claims Weekly a perage, t lousands 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1 Includes State (50 States, District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Virgin Islands), ex-servicemen (UCX), Federal (UCFE), and railroad (BJR) programs. Also includes Federal and State extended benefit programs. Does not include Federal supplemental compensation program. Source: Department of Labor (Bureau of Labor Statistics and Employment and Training Administration). 13 NONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT Total nonagricultural employment as measured by the payroll survey rose 262,000 in March MILLIONS OF PERSONS* (ENLARGED SCALE) MILLIONS OF PERSONS 26 m — 100 r" — -1 -"•~"~ 90 .— -"1 sERVICES 24 ALLr-JONAGRICU TURAL E 5TABLISHMEf-4TS __ —« --•"I 22 •""* - J>--''"" 80 20 (ETAIL TRAD • __ :ING SER\flCE-PRODUC 70 INDUSTRIES — — 60 - 18 — 16 .- — -T-" ---'- _—— --""'^ GOVERNME NT Ulllillllll lilllilllU mill!!!!! IMIlllllII |H|lllllilf 1 ' 50 MA NUFACTURI MG 20 -L_ — 40 — jliliillllli IllllllilU illlillllil liiilliilii GO ODS-PRODU(:ING 30 '" -—" 1984 nmlnij! iiMilnii! 1985 iiiiihiiiil CO NSTRUCTIOrM INDUSTRIES (Mlllllllll - 18 lilllllllll Miulmm 1987 1986 1 minliiiii 1984 1988 umliiiH IMilllllll IJIIllllIli 1986 1985 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR iniiiiiim 1987 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Thousands of wage and salary workers; * seasonally adjusted] Se rvice-produ< ing industn es Goods-p reducing in iustries Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 Total nonagricultural employment M anufacturin g Total 2 C nn onstruction Total Durable goods Nondurable goods Total Transportation and public utilities Wholesale trade Jxetaii trade Government Finance, insurance, and real estate Services Total Federal 90,406 91,156 89,566 90,200 94,496 97,519 99,610 102,112 25,658 25,497 23,813 23,334 24,727 24,859 24,681 24,884 4,346 4,188 3,905 3,948 4,383 4,673 4,904 5,031 20,285 20,170 18,781 18,434 19,378 19,260 18,994 19,112 12,187 12,109 11,039 10,732 11,505 11,490 11,244 11,237 8,098 8,061 7,741 7,702 7,873 7,770 7,750 7,875 64,748 65,659 65,753 66,866 69,769 72,660 74,930 77,228 5,146 5,165 5,082 4,954 5,159 5,238 5,244 5,378 5,275 5,358 5,278 5,268 5,555 5,717 5,735 5,797 15,035 15,189 15,179 15,613 16,545 17,356 17,845 18,264 5,160 5,298 5,341 5,468 5,689 5,955 6,297 6,589 17,890 18,619 19,036 19,694 20,797 22,000 23,099 24,137 16,241 16,031 15,837 15,869 16,024 16,394 16,711 17,063 2,866 2,772 2,739 2,774 2,807 2,875 2,899 2,943 101,329 101,598 101,708 101,818 102,126 102,275 102,434 102,983 103,285 103,612 24,749 24,759 24,752 24,761 24,850 24,886 24,917 25,064 25,169 25,259 5,032 5,019 4,999 5,008 5,002 5,006 4,989 5,053 5,074 5,121 18,995 19,011 19,018 19,015 19,104 19,129 19,169 19,247 19,336 19,382 11,176 11,175 11,175 11,176 11,195 11,248 11,268 11,319 11,367 11,403 7,819 7,836 7,843 7,839 7,909 7,881 7,901 7,928 7,969 7,979 76,580 76,839 76,956 77,057 77,276 77,389 77,517 77,919 78,116 78,353 5,333 5,348 5,344 5,350 5,363 5,377 5,416 5,436 5,459 5,473 5,766 5,772 5,775 5,781 5,797 5,807 5,815 5,831 5,851 5,871 18,136 18,197 18,205 18,226 18,274 18,256 18,314 18,408 18,443 18,458 6,526 6,558 6,576 6,586 6,608 6,624 6,629 6,650 6,657 6,668 23,842 23,926 24,025 24,083 24,214 24,279 24,295 24,406 24,493 24,612 16,977 17,038 17,031 17,031 17,020 17,046 17,048 17,188 17,213 17,271 2,922 2,933 2,935 2,935 2,936 2,940 2,962 2,965 2,977 2,981 1988: Jan r... 103,827 Feb r... 104,344 Mar ".. 104,606 25,205 25,342 25,426 5,058 5,175 5,254 19,401 19,418 19,417 11,403 11,412 11,414 7,998 8.006 8,003 78,622 79,002 79,180 5,485 5,504 5,522 5,884 5,903 5,920 18,619 18,720 18,724 6,684 6,687 6,694 24,683 24,884 24,967 17,267 17,304 17,353 2,977 2,979 2,972 1987: Mar.... Apr May.... June ... July.... Aug.... Sept.... Oct Nov .... Dec etors, self-employed persons, domestic servants, and personnel of the Armed Forces. Total derived Irom this table not comparable with estimates o! nonagricultwral employment o! the civilian labor force, shown on p. 11, which include proprietors, self-employed persons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes, bad 14 weather, etc., even U they &re not paid (ot the time oCf; vsA -wiroli Mft liased on & swaiple ot the working-age population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. 2 Includes mining, not shown separately. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. AVERAGE WEEKLY HOURS AND HOURLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Average gi oss hourly earn ings Average weekly hours J Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1988: Jan r Feb r Mar" Manufa cturing Total private nonagricultural ' Total Total private nonagrieultural ' Overtime Manufacturing Adjuste d hourly earnin gs index — total private nonagnc ultural 2 Ind ex, 1977 -100 Current dollars a year Percent chang e 4from earlie r 5 1977 dollars 3 Current dollars 1977 dollars 35.3 35.2 34.8 35.0 35.2 34.9 34.8 34.8 39.7 39.8 38.9 40.1 40.7 40.5 40.7 41.0 2.8 2.8 2.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 $6.66 7.25 7.68 8.02 8.32 8.57 8.76 8.98 $7.27 7.99 8.49 8.83 9.19 9.54 9.73 9.91 127.3 138.9 148.5 155.4 160.3 165.2 169.3 173.5 93.5 92.6 93.4 94.9 94.6 94.1 95.0 94.0 9.0 9.1 6.9 4.6 3.2 3.1 2.5 2.5 -4.0 -1.0 .9 1.6 -.3 — .5 1.0 -1.1 34.8 34.7 34.9 34.8 34.8 34.9 34.6 34.9 34.9 34.6 40.9 40.6 41.0 41.0 41.0 41.0 40.6 41.3 41.2 41.0 3.6 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.6 4.0 3.9 3.8 8.91 8.91 8.95 8.94 8.96 9.02 9.02 9.08 9.12 9.11 9.83 9.86 9.88 9.88 9.87 9.93 10.02 10.00 10.01 10.02 172.2 172.6 172.9 172.9 173.2 174.1 174.6 174.9 175.8 175.7 94.4 94.2 94.0 93.8 93.7 93.7 93.8 93.6 93.8 93.6 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 -.6 -1.2 -1.3 -1.4 -1.4 -1.5 -1.4 -1.7 -1.8 -1.7 34.8 34.8 34.6 41.2 41.0 40.9 3.9 3.7 3.7 9.15 9.13 9.19 10.02 10.03 10.05 176.4 176.5 177.1 93.7 93.6 93.6 3.0 2.8 2.9 -1.0 -1.1 -.9 AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS PRIVATE NONAGRICULTURAL INDUSTRIES [For production or nonsupervisory workers; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Percent c] ange from a year earlier, total private n onagricultural 5 Average gross weekly ea rnings Period Current dollars 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan r Feb r Mar" Manufacturing Total private nonagnc ultural * Construction Retail trade Current dollars 1977 dollars 3 1977 dollars Current dollars $235.10 255.20 267.26 280.70 292.86 299.09 304.85 312.50 $172.74 170.13 168.09 171.26 172.78 170.42 171.07 169.28 $288.62 318.00 330.26 354.08 374.03 386.37 396.01 406.31 $367.78 399.26 426.82 442.97 458.51 464.46 466.38 477.28 $147.38 158.03 163.85 171.05 174.33 174.64 176.08 179.32 6.9 8.5 4.7 5.0 4.3 2.1 1.9 2.5 -5.8 -1.5 -1.2 1.9 .9 -1.4 .4 -1.0 310.07 309.18 312.36 311.11 311.81 314.80 312.09 316.89 318.29 315.21 169.99 168.67 169.85 168.71 168.64 169.43 167.61 169.55 169.94 168.02 402.05 400.32 405.08 405.08 404.67 407.13 406.81 413.00 412.41 410.82 478.30 471.61 481.97 478.27 478.93 480.44 449.79 485.64 487.92 483.23 177.27 179.36 179.05 178.12 179.02 181.45 183.22 180.49 180.16 178.85 1.8 1.8 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.3 2.4 3.7 3.2 3.3 -1.0 1.9 -1.1 -1.0 .9 -.9 -1.8 -.9 -1.3 -1.1 318.42 317.72 317.97 169.10 168.46 167.97 412.82 411.23 411.05 473.62 476.10 489.59 180.09 180.13 179.76 3.1 2.9 2.5 -.9 -.9 -1.2 1 Also includes other private industry groups shown on p. 14. 2 Adjusted for interindustry employment shifts and for overtime 3 in manufacturing. Current dollar index (or earnings) divided by the consumer price index for urban wage earnei and clerical workers (on a 1977=100 base). 4 5 Monthly changes based on indexes to two decimal places. Based on seasonally unadjusted data. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 15 84-687 0 - PRODUCTIVITY AND RELATED DATA, BUSINESS SECTOR Output pe r hour of all pe rsons Period Business sector Nonfarm business sector Outpu t 1 Business sector per Compens ition hour 3 Hours of 2all perso ns Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Business sector Nonfarm business sector Real com]wnsation per h )ur 4 Business sector Nonfarm business sector Unit labOT COStS Business sector Nonfarm business sector Implici t price defla lor 5 Business sector Nonfarm business sector 19" 7 = 100; q uarterly c ata seasor ally adjus ,ed 1979 99.6 99.3 107.9 107.9 108.3 108.7 119.1 118.9 99.4 99.2 119.5 119.7 117.0 116.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 99.3 100.7 100.3 103.0 105.6 98.8 99.8 99.2 102.5 104.6 106.7 108.9 105.5 109.9 119.2 106.7 108.5 104.9 110.1 119.2 107.5 108.2 105.2 106.7 112.9 108.0 108.7 105.7 107.5 114.0 131.5 143.7 154.9 161.5 168.0 131.3 143.6 154.8 161.5 167.8 96.7 95.8 97.3 98.2 98.0 96.6 95.8 97.2 98.3 97.9 132.5 142.7 154.5 156.7 159.1 132.9 144.0 156.0 157.6 160.4 127.6 139.8 148.1 153.0 158.2 127.8 140.3 149.2 154.3 1985 1986 1987 r. 107.5 109.5 110.5 105.8 107.5 108.4 123.9 128.0 132.2 123.6 127.5 131.8 115.2 116.9 119.7 116.8 118.6 121.6 175.9 182.8 188.2 175.2 182.0 187.1 99.1 101.1 100.4 98.7 100.6 99.8 163.6 166.9 170.3 165.6 169.3 172.7 162.4 165.8 170.0 164.1 167.8 171.9 IV 101.0 99.7 105.0 104.2 103.9 104.5 158.3 158.2 98.0 97.9 156.8 158.7 150.2 151.4 1983: IV 103.7 103.3 113.6 114.1 109.4 110.4 163.6 163.4 98.0 97.9 157.7 158.2 155.2 156.2 1984: IV 105.9 104.8 120.8 120.7 114.0 115.2 170.3 170.2 98.1 98.1 160.8 162.4 159.8 161.0 1985: m TV 108.2 107.9 106.4 105.9 124.7 125.3 124.3 124.9 115.2 116.1 116.9 117.9 177.0 179.3 176.2 178.3 99.5 99.7 99.0 99.2 163.6 166.1 165.7 168.3 163.0 164.0 164.9 165.7 1986: I 109.5 109.7 109.6 109.6 107.7 107.7 107.5 107.5 127.3 127.5 128.1 129.0 126.9 127.1 127.6 128.5 116.3 116.3 116.9 117.8 117.9 118.0 118.7 119.6 180.7 182.2 183.6 185.2 180.0 181.3 182.6 184.4 100.1 101.3 101.5 101.7 99.8 100.8 100.9 101.2 165.0 166.2 167.5 169.0 167.2 168.4 169.8 171.5 164.3 165.4 166.9 166.7 166.4 167.3 168.8 168.8 n mr 109.7 110.1 111.3 110.9 107.6 108.0 109.1 108.8 130.2 131.1 133.1 134.4 129.7 130.7 132.7 134.1 118.7 119.1 119.6 121.2 120.6 121.1 121.7 123.2 185.8 187.3 189.1 190.6 184.9 186.3 187.9 189.5 100.7 100.3 100.3 100.2 100.2 99.7 99.7 99.6 169.4 170.2 169.8 171.8 171.8 172.5 172.2 174.1 168.2 169.6 170.7 171.4 170.3 171.4 172.5 173.3 1988: I p . 111.1 109.1 135.3 135.0 121.7 123.7 192.2 191.1 100.2 99.7 173.0 175.2 172.0 173.8 11.1 11.2 9.0 8.9 10.9 7.7 8.3 1.4 1.5 11.0 8.3 8.4 1.0 1.8 9.0 9.6 5.9 3.3 3.3 9.7 9.7 6.3 3.5 3.0 2.8 2.0 2.0 3.2 2.2 2.0 2.7 2.1 2.5 3.2 2.3 2.4 1982: n m IV 1987: I IV .... 159.0 Pe rcent chan ?e; quarte rly data a seasonal] y adjusted annual rates -1.2 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 2.0 1.9 3.2 3.5 9.7 9.5 -.3 1.4 -.4 2.7 2.5 -.4 1.0 g 3.3 2.1 -1.1 2.1 -3.1 4.2 8.4 -1.2 1.7 -3.3 5.0 8.3 -.8 .7 -2.8 1.5 5.7 -.7 .7 -2.7 1.6 6.0 10.5 9.2 7.8 4.2 4.1 10.5 9.4 7.8 4.3 3.9 -2.7 -1.0 1.6 1.0 -.2 -2.7 -.8 1.5 1.1 1.8 1.9 .9 1.2 1.6 .8 4.0 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.2 3.4 2.1 1.4 2.4 2.5 1.6 2.6 4.7 3.9 2.9 4.4 3.9 2.8 1.1 2.0 -.7 .8 2.0 -.8 1985 1986 1987 r. 4.5 5.0 3.2 3.8 1.5 2.6 2.4 3.0 8.3 5.4 4.3 1.3 .2 2.4 2.9 4.8 3.1 3.5 3.1 2.1 2.1 3.8 3.9 .5 .7 2.3 2.9 2.7 3.3 4.4 2.2 4.1 2.0 .7 3.2 1.5 3.6 5.7 5.1 4.9 4.9 3.4 1.1 2.6 .8 1.9 6.2 2.2 6.6 2.5 2.5 3.2 2.0 6.6 .1 -.6 .0 6.4 .7 1.8 3.0 6.4 .6 1.7 2.9 .5 .1 2.1 3.1 -.2 .6 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.0 3.6 3.9 2.9 2.8 4.0 1.6 4.9 .6 .8 2.3 4.3 .5 1.3 -2.5 2.8 3.3 3.7 -2.6 2.8 3.5 4.0 .9 2.6 3.7 5 1.6 2.3 3.7 .0 .5 1.4 4.7 -1.5 .4 1.4 4.2 -1.0 3.5 3.0 6.3 4.0 3.8 3.2 6.3 4.2 3.0 1.6 1.5 5.6 3.4 1.7 2.0 5.2 1.4 3.3 3.8 3.2 1.1 3.0 3.6 3.5 g -4.1 -1.8 -.3 -.1 .9 1.8 -.9 4.7 .8 1.5 -.6 4.5 3.7 3.4 2.5 1.8 3.4 2.6 2.7 1.9 .8 .9 2.5 2.7 1.7 1.7 3.5 3.4 .1 .0 2.7 2.4 1.2 1.1 3.0 2.4 -.5 TV 3.0 1.4 10.4 1984: IV 1.5 1.0 1985: m IV 3.7 -1.0 2.6 -1.6 5.8 .6 -.3 -.1 n mr 1988: I". I IV 1987: I IV ... A 7.2 IV 1983: n m -1.5 9.8 1982: 1986: j1 1.6 -1.2 -3.4 -3.5 1 Output refers to gross domestic product originating in the sector in 1982 dollars. 2 Hours of all persona engaged in the sector, including hours of proprietors and unpaid family workers. Estimates based primarily on establishment data. 3 Wages and salaries of employees plus employers' contributions for social insurance and private benefit plans. Also includes an estimate of wages, salaries, and supplemental payments for the selfemployed. * Hourly compensation divided by the consumer price index for all urban consumers. 16 -3.8 -1.5 .0 6 Current dollar gross domestic product divided by constant dollar gross domestic product. NOTE.—Data relate to all persons engaged in the sector. Percent changes are from preceding period and are baaed on original data; they therefore may differ slightly from percent changes based on indexes shown here. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION Industrial production rose 0.1 percent in March, following no change in February. The index for March was 5.6 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE) 240 FINAL PR ODUCTS 220 INDEX, 1977=100* (RATIO SCALE) 160 TOTAL If vJDUSTRIAL PRODUCTI ON 140 200 .• - ^-~ DEFENS E AND SPA CE EQUIP/\AENT 180 ^-— ' 160 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 160 ^~~ i<JONDURABL Illllllllll 100 140 UTILITIES _S~^ — *. — * 120 r^^-^" ^^ BUSINESS EQUIPMENT 140 ' DURABLE imihiiii Illllllllll 1JTILITIES A •_• ^-*^~-\> •—xoci-^^ / 100 V^--- MINING 80 . S'"~* 1^;=**—- •—~—i • i— i_.ij *~ 70 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1986 1985 1984 Illllllllll 1987 mnlinii iiiiiiiiiu PERCENT* 100 CAPACI1rY UTILIZAT ION RATE (TOTAL 1 NDUSTRY) 90 ANDMIN NG PRODIJCTION 120 *- -s. *-**"*"""" ~" -- CONSUMER GOODS 100 Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll -— \ •'''" -" MANUF/ kCTURING PRODUCTIC3N 140 • —> -^ ._, •'- Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1984 1985 1986 Illllllllll 1988 "SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL REStRVE SYSTEM "~n iiiiiiiiiu 1987 Illllllllll 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER? [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Total indu trial produ ction Period Index, 1977 = 100 Industry prot uction indexes , 1977 = 100 Manufacturing Percent change from year earlier 1977 proportion 100.0 1980 108.6 111.0 103.1 109.2 121.4 123.7 125.1 129.8 -1.9 2.2 -7.1 1981....: 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec r 1988: Jan T Feb r Mar". 1 Output as percent of capacity. Capacity utilization rate, p< rcent ' Mining Total Durable Utilities Nondurable Total industry Manufacturing 84.21 49.10 35.11 9.83 5.96 5.9 11.2 1.9 1.1 3.8 108.2 110.5 102.2 110.2 123.4 126.4 129.1 T 134.7 109.1 111.1 99.9 107.7 124.2 127.6 128.4 133.1 107.0 109.7 105.5 113.7 122.3 124.6 130.1 r 136.8 112.4 117.5 109.3 102.9 111.1 108.9 100.4 100.7 107.3 107.1 104.8 105.2 110.7 111.1 108.5 110.3 79.9 72.1 74.6 81.0 80.4 79.4 80.7 79.3 78.2 70.3 73.9 80.5 80.1 79.7 81.0 127.4 127.4 128.2 129.1 130.6 131.2 131.0 132.5 133.2 133.9 2.9 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.1 5.2 5.8 6.0 5.6 132.4 132.4 133.2 134.0 135.6 135.9 135.7 137.3 137.9 138.9 131.5 130.9 131.4 132.0 133.5 133.8 133.7 136.8 136.7 137.3 133.7 134.6 135.7 136.9 138.5 138.8 138.6 138.1 139.6 141.3 98.3 98.6 99.2 99.2 99.2 100.9 101.9 103.6 104.6 104.6 107.9 106.0 109.6 109.4 111.2 112.9 111.2 112.1 113.2 111.7 79.7 79.6 79.9 80.3 81.1 81.4 81.1 81.9 82.1 82.4 80.3 80.2 80.4 80.8 81.5 81.5 81.3 82.0 82.2 82.6 134.4 134.4 134.6 6.5 5.8 5.6 139.5 139.5 139.8 137.7 137.9 138.3 141.9 141.8 141.9 102.9 101.9 102.3 115.2 115.8 114.4 82.6 82.4 82.3 82.8 82.6 82.5 80.9 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 17 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION—MAJOR MARKET GROUPS AND SELECTED MANUFACTURES [1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Produc ts Mate rials ^inal product s Internlediate prot ucts C 3nsumer go ads Equipment Period Total Durable goods Nondurable goods 25.52 102.7 104.1 101.4 109.3 118.0 119.8 124.0 127.8 6.89 88.4 89.7 82.9 98.5 112.2 112.5 115.6 120.2 18.63 126.7 125.5 127.3 127.2 128.9 129.4 127.7 129.0 129.4 129.8 119.8 116.7 120.1 117.4 120.4 121.2 118.6 124.3 123.9 120.3 131.4 131.9 131.9 121.5 121.2 122.0 Total 1977 proportion 44.77 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1987: Mar Apr May 112.2 115.2 109.5 114.7 127.3 131.0 132.5 136.8 135.1 134.5 135.5 136.2 137.9 138.4 137.8 139.3 139.2 139.8 141.1 141.6 141.9 June July Aug Sept 1988: Got Nov Dec1" Jan r. Feb r . Mar" 1 108.1 109.3 108.3 113.3 120.1 122.5 127.1 130.6 129.3 128.7 130.0 130.9 132.1 132.5 131.0 130.8 131.5 133.3 135.0 135.8 135.5 Total ' 19.25 124.7 129.9 120.2 121.7 139.6 145.8 143.6 148.9 146.2 146.4 146.3 148.1 149.7 150.2 151.2 153.0 152.2 153.1 154.0 154.4 155.2 Business Defense and space equipment 14.34 3.67 125.1 127.6 113.6 115.4 134.2 140.2 139.5 144.5 141.9 142.1 141.7 144.2 145.6 145.6 146.3 148.7 148.3 149.8 150.9 115.4 119.8 133.0 143.1 156.4 171.4 182.0 188.9 188.6 189.2 189.3 188.6 188.7 189.1 189.8 190.3 188.7 188.9 190.1 190.3 189.8 151.4 152.4 Total 12.94 106.9 107.3 101.7 111.2 124.7 129.3 136.2 143.4 140.9 140.3 141.8 143.3 145.0 145.3 144.9 146.1 147.3 146.5 148.5 148.8 148.3 Construction supplies Busi- Total supplies 5.95 6.99 100.6 98.6 88.3 100.6 114.0 119.2 126.4 131.5 130.4 128.2 129.1 131.5 133.1 132.5 132.3 133.3 134.2 133.8 136.9 112.3 114.7 113.1 120.3 133.8 137.9 144.6 153.5 149.9 150.6 152.6 153.4 155.2 156.3 155.6 157.1 158.4 157.4 158.4 136.2 159.6 134.4 42.28 105.3 107.7 96.7 102.8 114.2 114.3 113.8 118.2 115.2 115.9 116.3 117.2 118.5 119.4 119.7 121.2 122.5 123.7 123.0 122.4 122.6 Energy 11.69 105.5 104.7 101.2 98.4 103.9 103.3 99.7 99.8 97.2 97.8 98.7 99.4 99.0 100.9 100.2 101.8 102.8 101.7 101.5 100.7 100.5 Includes rigs and prefabs, not shown separately. [1977 = 100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Nc ndurable manufactui res Durable m mufactures Transp Drtation equip ment Primarj metals Fabricated metal products Nonelectrical machinery 3.49 6.46 86.3 92.5 57.5 66.1 73.4 70.4 63.4 70.6 65.4 65.0 65.7 68.3 70.9 76.0 74.6 82.0 79.7 81.9 77.9 75.7 101.8 101.6 86.6 89.1 102.6 107.1 108.0 111.0 110.5 109.9 108.5 111.1 111.1 110.1 111.1 113.5 113.6 115.8 117.2 117.9 118.2 9.54 123:3 129.8 115.6 118.3 141.8 146.2 145.0 152.7 Period Total 1977 proportion 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 r 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec r 1988: Jan r. Feb r . Feb" 5.33 90.4 95.0 65.8 73.0 82.3 80.4 75.1 81.3 77.0 76.1 77.0 78.8 81.4 85.1 84.5 90.6 90.2 90.6 86.6 85.6 85.9 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 18 Iron and steel 148.5 150.4 149.7 151.8 155.3 154.3 156.6 158.0 157.2 161.0 162.5 162.7 164.0 Electrical machinery 7.15 130.3 134.1 128.4 143.8 170.5 168.3 165.7 172.3 168.5 168.4 171.1 170.5 172.5 174.3 173.4 175.5 175.6 175.9 177.0 177.8 177.9 Total 9.13 96.9 95.1 87.6 99.2 112.2 122.8 127.5 129.2 132.2 127.8 129.4 126.5 127.6 128.1 125.5 132.0 130.4 128.1 128.6 128.4 129.9 Motor vehicles and parts Lumber and products Apparel products 2.79 97.3 5.25 2.30 71.1 92.9 90.1 82.8 100.2 109.1 114.3 124.1 130.3 96.1 87.3 95.3 102.7 100.4 103.1 107.4 128.9 127.8 130.3 131.1 132.8 131.1 126.9 129.8 134.0 133.6 105.4 105.3 106.4 107.7 109.7 108.4 107.6 108.0 109.4 107.8 136.1 135.5 108.8 71.6 66.8 85.8 104.4 111.9 111.5 111.8 116.5 109.8 112.0 107.4 109.4 109.1 105.6 116.0 114.0 110.2 109.7 109.1 112.8 Printing and publishing Chemicals and products 4.54 8.05 106.4 112.6 103.8 114.0 121.6 126.4 132.0 140.2 115.1 118.6 120.2 129.8 146.5 151.4 160.9 172.1 167.6 169.2 171.4 174.1 174.0 174.7 174.9 175.2 175.7 176.9 179.2 180.7 181.4 135.3 137.3 138.1 139.3 140.8 142.3 142.4 141.5 144.4 147.9 148.9 148.0 Foods 7.96 111.4 113.7 114.9 120.4 126.9 130.5 134.4 137.8 137.3 136.0 137.4 137.7 138.5 138.8 139.5 138.0 138.9 140.1 141.2 142.0 NEW CONSTRUCTION [Monthly data seasonally adjusted] Constructio n contracts 3 Private Total new construction expenditures Period Real lential Total New housing Total' Commercial and industrial 2 Other Federal, State, and local Total value index (1982 = 100) Commercial and industrial floor space (millions of square feet) B illions of dollars 42.3 46.2 49.4 49.5 48.1 48.5 50.5 51.5 52.6 58.5 56.5 53.7 53.8 57.7 64.3 72.2 75.2 109 97 100 100 124 136 150 158 162 197.0 194.5 193.7 194.5 139.5 139.7 139.4 138.2 137.9 138.2 140.0 141.1 142.4 143.1 71.3 69.8 73.8 72.0 72.6 75.2 74.1 74.3 79.1 75.6 50.1 51.1 51.7 51.4 53.2 54.4 53.8 53.4 54.1 56.1 76.1 75.7 75.3 72.9 74.6 73.0 77.9 76.7 76.9 77.6 167 157 157 167 165 174 160 164 157 157 926 938 921 1,011 1,017 1,016 1,032 987 911 1,012 192.0 189.9 191.4 138.9 136.8 138.3 74.6 74.2 75.3 52.6 53.8 52.9 75.3 78.1 82.3 145 159 154 833 1,103 887 200.7 281.3 227.5 328.6 356.0 388.8 398.2 271.0 291.7 316.6 388.3 396.2 396.7 397.2 398.5 402.9 402.8 398.9 404.0 403.9 312.2 324.3 323.8 329.8 324.9 322.2 327.0 326.3 200.9 Jan '. Feb" 394.5 396.0 Mar* 401.8 319.2 317.9 319.5 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 193.3 203.6 192.9 322.9 89.3 69.6 69.4 57.0 94.6 113.8 114.7 133.2 139.7 42.0 46.7 55.0 58.7 53.8 68.6 82.7 78.0 73.5 116.4 100.4 99.2 84.7 125.5 153.8 158.5 187.1 196.8 252.4 251.7 260.2 246.6 1979 51.7 Annual rates 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Ocf Nov r Dee r 1988: 320.5 321.4 190.8 199.5 195.9 198.0 200.2 1 Includes the following categories of private construction not shown separately: residential improvements, railroads, electric light and power, gas, petroleum pipelines, and farm nonresidential. 2 Includes hotels and motets. 1,059 904 919 690 756 955 1,097 1,016 1,004 Annual rates 3 F.W. Dodge series. Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census) and McGraw-Hill Information Syst Company, F.W. Dodge Division. NEW PRIVATE HOUSING AND VACANCY RATES [Thousands of units or homes, except as noted] New priv ate homes New private housing units Period Units started, by type of structure Total 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1,745.1 1,292.2 1,084.2 1,062.2 1,703.0 1,749.5 1,741.8 1,805.4 1,620.5 1 unit 1,194.1 852.2 705.4 662.6 1,067.6 1,084.2 1,072.4 1,179.4 1,146.4 2-4 units 122.0 109.5 91.1 80.0 113.5 121.4 93.4 84.0 65.3 5 or more units 429.0 330.5 287.7 319.6 522.0 544.0 576.1 542.0 408.7 Units authorized 1,551.8 1,190.6 985.5 1,000.5 1,605.2 1,681.8 1,733.3 1,769.4 1,539.0 Units completed Homes sold Homes for sale at end of period 1 3 Vacancy rat* for rental housing units (percent) * 397 337 275 253 301 353 346 357 365 5.4 5.4 5.0 5.3 5.7 7.4 586 358 359 356 359 359 361 361 360 362 365 552 630 655 369 362 377 1,870.8 1,501.6 1,265.7 1,005.5 1,390.3 1,652.2 1,703.3 1,756.4 ' 1,668.8 709 545 436 412 623 639 688 750 671 720 728 649 640 672 673 644 653 625 5.9 6.5 7.3 7.7 Seasonal y adjusted annu al rates 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan '. Feb r . Mar" 1 ; 1,723 1,635 1,599 1,583 1,594 1,583 1,679 1,538 1,661 1,399 1,206 1,201 1,125 1,086 1,142 1,109 1,211 1,105 1,129 1,035 85 66 65 85 59 58 49 67 51 51 432 368 409 412 393 416 419 366 481 313 1,719 1,598 1,493 1,517 1,487 1,502 1,502 1,463 1,469 1,361 1,720 1,786 1,687 1,612 1,680 1,633 1,591 1,565 1,571 ' 1,624 1,382 1,514 1,543 1,016 1,106 1,185 53 57 59 313 351 299 1,257 1,422 1,466 1,532 1,425 Seasonally adjusted. 2 Quarterly data entered in last month of quarter. Series beginning 1979 not strictly comparable with earlier data. 3 New aeries beginning March 1979. r 7.5 8.1 7.8 8.0 NOTE.—Beginning 1984, units authorized are for 17,000 permit-issuing places and for 1978-83 data are for 16,000 places. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 19 BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES—Manufacturing and Trade In February, manufacturing and trade sales rose 0.9 percent, and inventories rose $1.0 billion. In March, according to advance data, retail sales rose 0.8 percent, following a rise of 0.6 percent in February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATiq SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 220 _ 800! — 700 _/' [-""" _^^Ann! ^^ \ MANL IFACTURING TRA 3E INVENTO ilES — s'** — ' ^ * —\ / V i"~ _^*-'' f ~~~ *• — ** *" " **** •' — "\ RETAIL SALES J MA NUFACTURir~\G AN 3 TRADE SA ES — __ S — ,-''"" _,- s "-~r~i \ — TAIL INVENT DRIES RE j\-—' - AND — _/1-~- X^ - 100.1 — miiliini 80i — Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll RATIO* 1.80' — - INVENTORY-SALES RATIO 1.60 1.40 MANUFACTURING AND TRADE 1.20 ••• Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1985 1984 1986, IJOOi 1985 1984 1988 1987 1986 1987 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE" Manufact iring and tra( e 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Sales Inventories 3 Sales 2 Inventory-s ales ratio 4 Ee tail Wholesale Sales 2 1988 InvenTotal z Durable goods stores Inventories 3 Manufacturing Retail Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores 60,937 64,783 69,046 72,529 74,907 79,290 134,468 147,581 167,517 181,524 185,996 211,100 61,469 69,066 79,431 88,998 91,085 107,948 72,999 78,515 88,086 92,526 94,911 103,152 1.67 1.56 1.53 1.55 1.55 1.51 1.49 1.44 1.49 1.53 1.56 1.59 78,409 78,320 78,716 79,092 79,527 79,651 80,367 79,867 79,919 80,181 80,615 190,727 193,186 194,576 196,806 200,424 202,210 202,684 203,708 206,577 208,260 211,100 94,988 96,162 96,352 98,712 100,716 101,590 101,569 102,394 104,846 106,490 107,948 95,739 97,024 98,224 98,094 99,708 100,620 101,115 101,314 101,731 101,770 103,152 1.50 1.50 1.51 1.51 1.50 1.51 1.49 1.48 1.50 1.52 1.52 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.58 1.58 1.59 1.56 1.59 1.63 1.64 1.64 80,080 79,930 80,758 209,824 207,572 106,377 103,746 103,477 103,826 1.54 1.52 1.63 1.60 Nondurable goods stores trade ' Millions of dollars, seasonally !idjusted 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Febr. Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Get Nov Dec 1988: Jan ' Feb" Mar" 1 2 348,746 368,931 408,142 418,517 425,259 453,313 574,085 590,178 644,302 655,449 657,121 709,853 96,290 100,324 113,390 114,645 116,026 126,736 128,196 130,445 142,622 147,145 152,887 165,097 442,408 444,932 445,252 447,215 453,701 454,330 460,047 464,984 464,947 462,975 468,303 665,679 1668,461 671,128 677,214 680,880 684,154 685,150 689,513 697,648 703,425 709,853 123,766 124,039 124,550 125,511 126,599 127,705 129,662 131,437 131,743 128,501 128,332 154,821 155,241 155,767 158,560 158,835 158,611 157,072 159,135 162,517 163,353 165,097 465,730 469,830 715,027 716,014 '••> 129,720 131,338 168,388 169,890 r r r 123,292 124,105 124,744 124,775 126,511 127,230 129,981 127,815 126,808 127,248 128,615 128,769 129,579 130,660 See page 21 for manufacturing. Monthly average for year and total for month. End of period. Data beginning December 1980 for wholesale and retail and beginning January 1982 for manufacturing are not comparable with data for prior periods. 4 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. 3 20 28,169 32,582 37,836 41,415 44,885 46,592 89,107 97,364 106,882 113,944 119,791 125,882 44,883 45,785 46,028 45,683 46,984 47,579 49,614 47,948 46,889 47,067 48,000 r 48,689 " 49,649 49,902 T r NOTE.—Wholesale series revised for 1982-1986 (data for 1987 forward were revised in March ssue); retail series revised for 1982 (data for 1983 forward were revised in March issue). Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND ORDERS In March, manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders rose. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280! 240! 440 SHIPMEENTS INVEN TORIES 360 1 200 ' " 280 TOTAL 160 DU RABLE GOOt )S . 1 120 's~=-~Z'~'-. . _ _ _ _ _ - •—•-"" — 160; 120 .-- NCENDURABLE GOODS \ 60; •" NCENDURABLE GOODS lltlltlltl! Illllllllll Illllllllll M BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 280 240 TOTAL * 1 V DtJRABLE GOC DS 200i _x r;^ 80 ' _,..— 60 NEWO RDERS Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll s~ -—-~"1 160 RATIO, 2.20 — TOTAL— i INVENTORY-SHIPWiENTS RATIO 2.00' DU RABLE GOO 3S 120) A "• ... 80 S*'—J -? -- h-_V-Hy~'?:~ ~-~ 1.80 h-v-H 1.60 NON )URABLE GC ODS 1.40 I Illllllllll miiliim 1984 1985 llllllllJII Illllllllll Illllllllll 1986 1 "0 ^nr^ir^i h""~ Mii ini i niiiiiiiii 1984 1988 1987 — 1985 — Illllllllll 1987 1986 'SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS j Manufa cturers' shiprnents l Manufac turers' inven tories 2 ]< anufac turers new orders i Nondurable goods Manufacturers' unfilled orders 3 Manufacturers' inventoryshipments ratio 4 76,801 84,199 83,924 86,431 91,189 91,030 89,351 95,595 92,562 93,125 93,647 94,405 96,273 96,852 96,479 97,374 98,304 98,677 98,202 98,375 98,322 100,621 323,393 319,094 306,302 338,849 365,177 373,495 372,974 403,496 370,244 372,531 375,886 380,354 385,217 391,887 394,640 395,627 398,630 401,030 403,496 408,826 412,554 414,278 1.67 1.65 1.95 1.80 1.74 1.74 1.70 1.62 1.64 1.63 1.64 1.63 1.60 1.62 1.62 1.59 1.59 1.60 1.58 1.63 1.62 1.58 Durabl 3 goods Period 1988 Durable goods Nondurable goods 77,550 83,872 79,352 84,956 96,623 98,930 100,142 105,300 103,256 104,175 102,747 102,477 104,476 103,032 104,135 108,433 108,251 108,378 113,026 108,946 110,522 113,783 76,841 84,257 83,998 86,286 91,246 90,997 89,300 95,395 92,094 92,613 93,211 94,452 96,115 96,363 96,269 97,299 98,145 98,848 98,330 98,295 98,391 100,568 Durable goods Capital Nondurable goods Total industries, nondefense M dlions of do lars, seasoimlly adjust 3d 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Febr Mar r. Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb r Mar" 1 2 3 154,391 168,129 163,350 171,242 187,869 189,928 189,442 200,695 195,350 196,788 195,958 196,929 200,591 199,395 200,404 205,732 206,396 207,226 211,356 207,241 208,913 214,351 264,281 282,645 2 311,421 312,152 334,163 326,780 318,238 333,656 320,131 320,034 320,785 321,848 321,621 323,333 325,394 326,670 328,554 331,812 333,656 336,815 338,552 339,376 Monthly average for year and total for month. Shipments are the same as sales. End of period. Data beginning 1982 are not comparable with data for prior periods. End of period. 174,620 186,347 200,711 200,220 218,524 213,750 207,854 216,753 208,431 208,111 208,683 209,096 208,654 209,951 210,921 211,680 213,436 215,931 216,753 219,014 220,318 220,796 2 2 89,661 96,298 110,710 111,932 115,639 113,030 110,384 116,903 111,700 111,923 112,102 112,752 112,967 113,382 114,473 114,990 115,118 115,881 116,903 117,801 118,234 118,580 156,161 167,752 161,600 173,915 190,065 190,631 189,482 203,196 194,633 199,075 200,624 201,397 205,454 206,065 203,157 206,719 209,399 209,626 213,822 212,571 212,641 216,075 79,360 83,553 77,676 87,485 98,875 99,600 100,131 107,601 102,071 105,950 106,977 106,992 109,181 109,213 106,678 109,345 111,095 110,949 115,620 114,196 114,319 115,454 23,259 24,050 21,469 22,143 26,714 26,970 26,671 29,632 27,036 27,693 28,310 30,031 29,987 31,982 29,540 29,753 30,416 30,085 33,879 34,791 33,764 32,496 4 Annual data are averages of monthly ratios. Data beginning 1982 are not comparable with data for prior periods. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 21 PRICES PRODUCER PRICES In March, the producer price index for all finished goods rose 0.6 percent, seasonally adjusted. Prices of finished consumer foods rose 0.7 percent while prices of other finished consumer goods rose 0.5 percent. Capital equipment prices rose 0.4 percent. INDEX, 1982= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982 =100 (RATIO SCALE) 120 s 120 ASONALLY ADJUSTEC FINISHED GOODS PRI CES 110 / ' ,'/'' CAPIT/VL EQUIPMENT ,'">c/c~--^ ..\.--^j ^ e 'f&--"' ^S*^-' - 100 / "^ 'S*;,/ "''^V -' , "V' V 110 \V-v^'^ TOTAL — FINISHED GOODS /.-'' \ v /I / I *•' ,.,''—- -' V/"' : '<~--~ -JZ~~- -./ 90 -""...-i ,-' C<DNSUMER FOODS .•-'I "\ \ 100 ' CONSUMER GOODS EXCLUDING FOODS ! /f/ I 'f\ 90 " v' /'/,'' j A / ' /'-' 'it 80 lllllllllll 1980 lllllllllll 1981 lllllllllll lllllllllll 1982 mnlimi Minium iimlniu 1984 1983 1985 lllllllllll lllllllllll 1987 1986 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1982=100; monthly data seasonally adjusted] Pin shed F uushed Period Total finished goods Consumer foods Consumer g )ods 88.0 96.1 100.0 101.6 103.7 104.7 103.2 105.4 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov r Dec 1988: Jan Peb Mar 104.5 105.1 105.3 105.4 105.7 106.0 106.4 106.1 106.2 105.7 106.1 105.9 106.5 Durable Internlediate ma terials On[ide maten als Foods Foodstuffs Total finished Capital equipment con- Total Other Total 100.6 103.1 102.7 99.1 101.5 89.4 98.2 100.0 100.5 103.0 102.6 103.3 103.6 103.7 104.1 104.3 104.7 104.5 104.5 103.9 99.8 100.2 100.8 101.3 101.9 102.4 102.7 103.2 103.6 103.9 104.3 103.9 104.6 104.2 104.2 104.8 87.1 96.1 100.0 101.2 102.2 103.3 98.5 100.7 91.0 96.4 100.0 102.8 104.5 106.5 108.9 111.5 85.1 95.8 100.0 100.5 101.1 101.7 93.3 94.8 85.8 94.6 100.0 102.8 105.2 107.5 109.7 111.7 88.6 96.6 100.0 101.3 103.3 103.8 101.4 103.6 90.3 98.6 100.0 108.2 109.6 110.8 110.7 110.3 109.5 110.2 109.9 108.6 103.3 103.6 103.5 103.6 104.2 104.8 105.2 104.9 104.9 104.8 99.9 100.2 100.1 100.3 101.0 101.7 102.0 101.8 101.7 101.6 110.8 111.3 111.2 111.3 111.5 111.5 112.2 112.2 112.1 111.8 94.0 94.3 94.1 94.4 95.3 96.3 96.4 96.2 96.1 96.0 111.1 111.4 111.5 111.4 111.6 111.9 112.5 112.0 112.1 112.3 110.5 109.3 110.1 104.6 104.7 105.2 101.2 101.3 101.8 112.2 112.3 113.0 95.3 95.4 95.8 112.5 112.7 113.2 and Otl feedstuffs 105.5 104.6 100.0 103.6 105.7 97.3 96.2 99.2 86.7 95.6 100.0 101.8 103.2 104.6 101.9 104.0 110.0 and feeds » sumer goods 92.4 97.8 100.0 101.0 105.4 104.6 107.3 109.5 1 Intermediate materials for food manufacturing and feeds. Note.—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967 = 100 to 1982 = 100. 22 as Nondurable Total Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987" goods go dds excluding consumer foo 103.0 99.3 101.7 95.3 103.0 100.0 101.3 103.5 95.8 87.7 93.6 104.6 103.9 100.0 101.8 104.7 94.8 93.2 96.2 84.t 101.8 100.0 100.7 102.2 96.9 81.6 87.9 95.7 97.3 100.2 100.6 100.2 100.0 101.0 101.0 101.3 101.3 100.1 100.4 100.9 101.4 102.0 102.6 102.8 103.3 103.7 104.0 90.6 92.3 94.3 94.6 95.6 96.7 96.0 96.1 94.9 94.6 93.3 96.8 100.4 98.7 97.3 97.5 97.5 98.1 95.6 96.2 84.8 85.4 86.3 87.9 90.3 91.8 90.8 90.6 90.2 89.3 102.6 101.9 102.7 104.3 104.3 104.9 93.6 94.5 94.1 97.1 99.3 100.1 87.3 87.3 86.2 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS In March, the consumer price index for all urban consumers rose 0.5 percent, seasonally adjusted (0.4 percent not seasonally adjusted). The index was 3.9 percent above its year-earlier level. INDEX, 1982-84= 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1982-84=100 (RATIO SCALE) 130 130 SEA SONAUY ADJUSTED 120 120 CONSUMER PF ICES— ALL ITE VIS N 110 — "'""" -^_— 110 V-~- 100 90 80 /\ 100 r""" 90 ^^ 80 / 70 60 70 iimlmii i l f i i l m i i mnlimi 1981 1982 1980 mil HIM nm mn 1984 1983 mnhim mnlimi 1985 M i n i m i ! mu nm 1986 1987 SEE NOTE ON TABLE BELOW SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 60 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1982-84 = 100, except as noted; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] All it.ems * T ^ansportat on Housing All She Iter Not Period seasonally adjust- ed (NBA) Fuel Season- Rent- Food Total ed 100.0 16.1 42.5 82.4 90.9 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 1987: Mar.... 112.1 Apr.... 112.7 May ... 118.1 June .. 113.5 July... 113.8 Aug ... 114.4 Sept... 115.0 115.3 Oct Nov.... 115.4 Dec.... 115.4 115.7 1988: Jan Feb.... 116.0 Mar. . 116.5 86.8 93.6 97.4 99.4 103.2 105.6 109.0 113.5 112.3 112.7 113.3 113.9 113.8 113.9 114.5 114.7 114.8 115.3 115.6 115.3 115.7 81.1 90.4 96.9 99.5 103.6 107.7 110.9 114.2 113.0 113.4 113.7 114.0 114.2 114.8 115.0 115.3 115.5 115.9 116.4 116.8 117.2 Rel. imp.3.... ers' Total 1 ally adjust- 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 112.3 112.8 113.2 113.5 113.8 114.3 114.6 115.0 115.3 115.5 115.9 116.1 116.7 27.8 81.0 90.5 96.9 99.1 104.0 109.8 115.8 121.3 119.7 120.2 120.6 120.8 121.2 121.9 122.2 122.8 123.1 123.8 124.5 125.1 125.7 costs Home- owners' costs and (Dec. 1982 = 100) (Dec. 1982 = 100) repairs 7.9 19.7 0.2 82.4 90.7 96.4 99.9 103.7 106.5 107.9 111.8 110.7 110.3 110.2 111.1 113.2 112.9 112.7 112.8 113.5 113.3 113.7 114.3 113.3 103.0 108.6 115.4 121.9 128.1 126.5 126.8 127.1 127.5 128.5 128.9 128.8 128.6 128.8 129.5 130.9 131.5 133.0 102.5 107.3 113.1 119.4 124.8 123.1 123.7 124.2 124.4 124.5 125.4 125.9 126.9 127.2 127.9 128.4 129.0 129.3 1 Includes items not shown separately. 2 Household fuels—gas (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc. also included through 1982. 3 Relative importance, December 1987. Nora—Beginning with data for January 1988, the reference base was changed from 1967= 100 Maintenance and Appar- other utilities upkeep Medi- el and Total1 New cars Motor fuel cal care Ener- gy 2 items less food, shel- ter, and energy (NSA) 7.7 75.4 86.4 94.9 100.2 104.8 106.5 104.1 103.0 102.3 102.4 102.6 103.0 103.1 103.6 103.3 103.0 103.4 103.3 103.2 103.7 103.5 6.3 90.9 95.3 97.8 100.2 102.1 105.0 105.9 110.6 109.6 111.0 111.4 110.8 109.9 110.3 111.3 112.7 113.1 112.2 112.3 112.0 114.2 17.5 83.1 93.2 97.0 99.3 103.7 106.4 102.3 105.4 104.0 104.6 104.8 105.3 105.9 106.7 106.8 107.2 107.7 107.4 107.3 107.1 107.2 4.4 88.4 93.7 97.4 99.9 102.8 106.1 110.6 114.6 113.3 113.9 114.1 114.4 114.8 115.0 115.2 115.5 115.7 115.7 115.5 115.8 116.2 3.3 97.4 108.5 102.8 99.4 97.9 98.7 77.1 80.2 78.3 79.1 79.2 80.1 81.1 83.8 83.2 83.0 83.0 81.6 80.4 78.9 79.2 5.8 74.9 82.9 92.5 100.6 106.8 113.5 122.0 130.1 127.8 128.6 129.3 130.0 130.7 131.3 131.9 132.4 133.0 133.5 134.6 135.4 136.0 7.6 86.0 97.7 99.2 99.9 100.9 101.6 88.2 88.6 87.1 87.5 87.6 88.5 88.7 90.2 89.8 89.3 89.6 88.9 88.3 87.8 87.8 48.5 80.6 88.3 95.1 100.0 105.0 109.0 112.7 117.0 115.8 116.4 116.7 116.9 117.3 117.6 117.9 118.5 118.9 118.9 119.5 119.8 120.4 to 1982-84=100. Data beginning 1983 incorporate a rental equivalence measure for horaeownership i therefore are not strictly comparable with figures for earlier periods. Data beginning 1987 and 1988 calculated oa a revised basis. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. 23 CHANGES IN PRODUCER PRICES FOR FINISHED GOODS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Period Chitnge from pr eceding peri >d Change from 3 month s earlier, aim ual rate Change from 6 montl s earlier, arm ual rate Consuin r goods Consume r goods Consum r goods Total finished goods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Total finished goods Capital equipment Excluding foods Foods Change from year earlier, total finished goods NSA Cha nge, Dec. bo Dec., N 3A 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 » 7.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 3.5 .6 2.8 -.3 11.8 7.1 3.6 .6 1.7 1.8 -2.3 2.1 14.1 11.4 8.6 4.2 -.9 .8 2.1 9.2 3.9 2.0 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.3 -6.6 3.9 13.4 9.2 4.1 1.6 2.1 1.0 -1.4 2.1 Cr singe, moil th to monl h 1987: 0.4 .6 .2 .1 .3 .3 .4 -.3 .1 -.5 Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov ' Dee '. .4 2 .6 1988: Jan Feb ' Mar 0 1.3 1.1 .1 -.4 .7 .6 3 0.8 .3 -.1 .2 .7 .7 .3 -.2 .1 — .1 — .4 -1.3 -.1 .1 .2 1.7 -.4 .1 .5 .2 .2 .4 -1.1 .7 4.3 4.7 4.7 3.5 2.3 2.7 3.8 1.5 .8 0.1 .3 .1 .1 .2 .3 .5 -2.5 6.1 9.3 5.8 10.0 4.1 1.6 3.2 6.5 7.0 3.2 0 9.6 2.6 -4.6 -1.8 -1.4 1.8 -2.6 -5.7 2.2 0 -2.5 -1.1 3.1 1.1 .7 1.8 1.1 .7 1.4 4.0 1.4 .7 -1.6 7 -2.3 -1.6 1.8 2.2 3.2 .8 5.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.5 3.7 3.7 1.9 1.7 .6 -1.3 -.4 2.4 3.3 5.6 5.8 5.4 5.4 4.3 2.4 3.7 .5 4.5 5.3 4.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 -1.4 -3.8 .8 .4 -.4 -.2 O .2 .4 -.8 -.4 1.6 1.7 2.7 2.4 2.3 3.4 3.1 3.2 2.5 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.2 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.1 .7 1.6 2.5 1.1 1.1 Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. CHANGES IN CONSUMER PRICES—ALL URBAN CONSUMERS [Percent change from preceding period; monthly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Tr ansportation Housing Shelter Period All items ' Food Total1 Total1 KeMers' costs owners' costs Fuel and other utilities Apparel and New Total ! Adden dum: All ite ms, percent change (annue 1 rate) All Motor Medical Ener- a* keep items less food, shelter, and energy From previter 3 From 3 months earlier From 6 months earlier From earlier NSA change, E eeember to Dec smber, N SA 12.5 1980 1981 8.9 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.8 1.1 4.4 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 10.2 4.3 3.1 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.8 3.5 13.7 10.2 3.6 3.5 4.3 4.3 1.7 3.7 15.0 9.9 2.4 4.7 5.2 6.0 4.6 4.8 13.8 14.4 5.1 5.9 6.3 5.0 3.9 4.5 5,1 5.9 4.6 5.3 9.7 1.8 4.2 1.8 -5.6 1.6 6.8 3.5 1.6 2.9 2.0 2.8 .9 4.8 18.8 7.4 9.4 6.8 1.5 -6.5 3.4 1.7 2.5 -2.4 3.4 3.1 5.9 -30.7 18.7 1.8 14.6 10.9 1.8 3.9 3.1 2.6 -5.9 6.1 9.9 12.5 11.0 6.4 6.1 6.7 7.7 5.8 18.0 11.9 1.3 -.5 .2 1.8 8.2 5.0 4.3 3.7 3.3 3.8 0.4 .6 .5 .5 .5 .5 .5 .4 .5 .4 0.8 .5 .1 1.0 .2 1.7 -.4 -.6 .3 -.8 0.4 .5 .3 .2 .3 .3 .3 .5 .3 0 .8 .6 ,4 __7 -.6 0 .5 .3 .5 -19.7 13.5 10.3 9.8 9.4 6.1 6.2 3.2 4.3 3.6 1.9 3.6 Chitnge, mo nth to nlonth 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 0.4 .4 .4 .3 .3 .4 .3 .3 .3 .2 0.2 .4 .5 .5 -.1 .1 .5 .2 .1 .4 0.3 .4 .3 .2 .5 .3 .3 .3 1988: Jan Feb Mar 1 2 .2 .3 .2 .3 0.5 .4 .3 .2 .3 .6 .2 .5 .2 .6 0.5 .2 .2 .3 .8 .3 -.1 .4 .3 .3 .6 .5 .5 .3 .S .2 .5 .4 -.1 1.6 1.3 .4 -.5 -.8 .4 .9 1.3 .4 -.8 0.6 .6 .2 .5 .6 .8 .1 .4 .5 -.3 0.3 .5 .2 .3 .3 .2 .2 .3 .2 0 -.1 .5 -.2 .1 -.3 2.0 — .1 g -.2 .1 .3 .3 0 .1 .2 .4 .1 .5 -.3 .2 .5 0.5 .5 .4 .2 .1 .7 .4 .8 .2 .6 1.1 .5 1.1 .4 .5 .2 q — .3 Includes items not shown separately. Household fuels—gaa (piped), electricity, fuel oil, etc.—and motor fuel. Motor oil, coolant, etc., also included through 1982. 24 3 2.1 1.0 .1 1.1 1.2 3.3 -.7 -.2 0 -1.7 -1.5 -1.9 .4 3.9 6.3 5.1 5.1 4.3 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.3 3.5 3.2 4.4 5.0 5.1 5.3 4.4 4.5 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.0 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.4 3.2 3.2 2.8 4.2 3.7 3.2 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.9 5.2 5.1 3.6 Quarterly changes are shown in the last month of the quarter. Source: Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS Prices received by farmers in April were unchanged from their March level. Prices paid by farmers in April were 1.8 percent above their January level. INDEX, 1977 = 100 (RATIO SCALE) INDEX, 1977= 100 (RATIO SCALE) 180 180 PRICES PAID \ 160 160 140 140 120 120 100 100 80 80 HIM 60 RATI 140 111 111 n inn 60 yy - TOO RA TIO-^ 140 - 120 I^y. 1 " RATIO \ "V ^ 80 Illllllllll 1980 . n ~ v_,-— -^ ' 1 - 100 ""1 -- .^- 80 ^. 1 1 1 11 Illllllllll I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l I l l l l l l l l l l Illllllllll 19 81 1982 1983 1987 1986 1988 1984 1985 ! urn I/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID. COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE [1977^100] I'rices paid by farmei s Pri ces received by farm ers Period 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 : 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dee 1988: Jan Peb Mar Apr 1 All farm products Livestock and products 134 139 133 135 142 128 123 127 125 128 130 129 127 129 127 132 127 131 130 130 130 125 134 121 128 138 120 107 106 101 108 110 108 103 104 106 120 113 115 109 110 111 Includes items not shown separately. Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates. See also footnote 3. 3 Beginning March 1986, prices paid by farmers are available only for first month in quarter, and for each month the received/paid ratio is based on latest data available. 2 144 143 145 141 146 136 138 146 147 148 150 149 151 152 147 143 141 147 149 148 148 All commodities, services, interest, taxes, and wage rates 1 Production items, interest, taxes, and wage rates 138 150 159 161 165 163 159 162 162 (3) (3) 164 (3) (3) 165 139 151 159 159 162 157 150 152 152 (3) (3) 154 (3) (3) 155 (3) (3) 155 (3) (3) 158 (3) (3) 165 (3) (3) 168 Production items 138 148 153 152 155 151 144 147 147 (3) (3) 148 (3) (3) 150 (3) (3> 152 (3) (3) 155 Ratio 2 97 92 84 84 86 79 77 78 77 79 80 79 77 79 77 80 77 79 79 79 77 NoTB.—The official indexes are published on a 1910-14 base as required by law. The indexes have been converted to a 1977= 100 base to facilitate comparison with, other indexes. Source: Department of Agriculture. 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS MONEY STOCK, LIQUID ASSETS, AND DEBT MEASURES Growth in Ml accelerated in March; growth in M2 was little changed; and growth in M3 slowed. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS*(RATIO SCALE) • =——-=l 3,600 r __ M3 3,200 __-- _ - __— — 1 -~~ 3,600 3,200 - _—— • "" _ _^^- 2 400 -^ ----""" 2,000 2,000 M2 ^ . — —"""" 1,600 ^ ?,200 1,200 800 700 — 700 — 500 —•• —"^ 600 500 -'— __ 300 •"""^ nr imiliim iiuilnni M i i i l n i n II, nil!..! nuiliini 1981 1983 !984 1980 1982 uinlinii iiiiihiin innluin IIMllllll! 1985 1987 1986 AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES; SEASONAL Y ADJUSTED 300 1988 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [Averages of daily figures, except as noted; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted] Period Ml M2 M3 Sum of currency, demand deposits, travelers' checks, and other checkable deposits (OCDs) Ml plus overnight KPs and Eurodollars, MMMF balances (general purpose and broker/dealer), MMDAs, and savings and small time deposits M2 plus large time deposits, term RPs, term Eurodollars, and institution-only MMMF balances M3 plus other liquid assets L Debt Debt of domestic nonfinaneial sectors (monthly average) * Perc< nt change from yeair or 6 months earlier z Ml M2 M3 Debt 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec ' 412.2 439.1 476.4 522.1 551.9 620.1 725.4 750.8 1,633.1 1,795.5 1,954.0 2,185.2 2,363.6 2,562.6 2,807.8 2,901.0 1,990.8 2,236.5 2,443.2 2,693.2 2,978.3 3,196.0 3,491.5 3,660.8 2,327.6 2,599.0 2,852.9 3,154.4 3,519.4 3,825.4 r 4,135.0 4,325.4 3,880.9 4,262.1 4,645.5 5,181.7 5,932.6 6,749.4 7,607.1 8,318.8 6.8 6.5 8.5 9.6 5.7 12.4 17.0 3.5 8.9 9.9 8.8 11.8 8.2 8.4 9.6 3.3 10.2 12.3 9.2 10.2 10.6 7.3 9.2 4.8 9.6 9.8 9.0 11.5 14.5 13.8 12.7 9.4 1987: Mar Apr May June ' July'. Aug r Sept * Ocf Nov r Dec r 734.2 744.7 746.5 742.1 743.6 746.5 747.5 756.2 752.7 750.8 2,834.3 2,847.4 2,849.1 2,851.7 2,858.1 2,869.5 2,880.9 2,894.6 2,896.5 2,901.0 3,532.9 3,549.8 3,564.6 3,581.8 3,588.5 3,605.5 3,620.5 3,642.0 3,656.5 3,660.8 r 4,174.2 4,189.6 4,217.9 4,234.0 4,236.0 4,257.8 4,283.5 4,312.5 4,324.2 4,325.4 7,764.6 7,827.4 7,894.2 7,953.9 7,997.6 8,051.2 8,114.4 8,180.2 8,259.0 8,318.8 14.1 14.8 11.7 4.7 3.4 4.2 3.7 3.1 1.7 2.4 6.7 6.0 4.8 3.2 2.2 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.4 11.1 11.0 10.5 9.3 8.5 8.8 9.2 9.2 9.5 3.5 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.2 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.2 4.5 1988: Jan r Feb r Mar" 758.9 759.6 763.2 2,925.0 2,946.3 2,968.0 3,686.0 3,717.5 3,740.1 4,363.5 4,398.4 8,379.2 8,457.6 4.2 3.5 4.2 4.7 5.4 6.1 5.5 6.3 6.7 9.8 10.4 1 Consists of outstanding credit market debt of the U.S. Government, State and local governmeats, and private nonfinaneial sectors; data from flow of funds accounts. 2 Annual changes are from December to December and monthly changes are from 6 months earlier at a seasonally adjusted annual rate. 26 Nors.—See p. 27 for components. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 9.4 COMPONENTS OF MONEY STOCK AND LIQUID ASSETS [Averages of daily figures; billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted by NSA] Demand deposits Cur- Period rency Other checkable deposits (OCDs) Overnight repurchase agreements (RPs), net, plus overnight Eurodollars Money market mutua fund balaiices General purpose and broker/ dealer NSA 1980: Dec 1981: Dec 1982: Dec 1983: Dec 1984: Dec 1985: Dec 1986: Dec 1987: Dec 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan ' Feb r Mar. " NSA Institution only NSA Money market deposit accounts (MMDAs) Savings deposits Small denomination time deposits 1 Large denomination tune deposits 1 NSA Term repurchase agreements Term Eurodollars (net) NSA NSA (RPs) Commercial paper 84.9 90.8 72.3 133.5 67.8 149.4 68.0 183.5 71.1 211.9 74.2 260.9 79.3 301.2 91.6 ' 284.2 100.2 * 259.8 32.1 40.0 44.5 45.1 45.7 42.5 37.8 45.7 98.8 105.3 113.6 133.1 160.3 206.5 229.9 258.9 94.2 r 267.7 95.1 257.6 95.9 261.6 96.6 ' 259.6 97.5 r 254.8 98.1 * 258.9 98.4 r 263.7 98.8 r273.0 99.3 270.9 100.2 259.8 39.6 40.9 42.1 43.1 43.4 43.5 44.3 44.5 45.0 45.7 239.9 246.3 253.7 252.8 251.8 251.8 256.6 254.2 252.5 258.9 43.5 40.9 269.0 274.1 115.3 122.5 132.6 146.3 156.1 167.7 180.4 196.5 261.4 231.4 234.1 238.6 244.1 267.2 303.3 288.0 31.4 80.9 105.4 132.3 146.4 179.2 235.2 259.3 28.3 35.9 38.8 53.8 56.3 70.2 78.4 77.9 61.6 150.6 185.2 138.2 167.5 176.5 208.0 r 221.1 15.2 38.0 51.1 43.2 62.7 64.5 84.4 89.6 0.0 .0 43.2 379.2 416.8 513.6 572.5 525.2 400.2 343.9 356.8 305.5 285.4 301.4 370.7 414.3 728.4 822.9 850.5 783.6 883.3 879.5 853.2 913.1 260.0 302.5 326.7 327.1 416.9 436.4 439.2 484.7 36.0 34.5 51.8 61.9 65.6 84.0 105.4 184.4 185.6 187.0 187.8 189.0 190.2 191.4 193.1 195.0 196.5 295.0 299.3 298.9 293.3 292.3 292.1 290.5 295.9 291.3 288.0 248.0 253.1 253.9 254.3 255.6 257.2 258.6 260.3 259.5 259.3 76.9 77.0 76.2 74.9 75.6 79.7 83.4 85.9 79.6 77.9 212.5 212.1 209.9 210.6 210.6 213.1 216.3 r 218.2 r 219.7 r 221.1 85.4 83.5 82.1 81.7 83.8 84.0 81.3 82.5 89.5 89.6 571.8 566.8 558.6 555.1 549.4 545.0 540.5 533.9 527.7 525.2 396.3 404.1 409.5 413.1 415.5 417.8 418.6 417.0 415.0 414.3 847.0 845.1 845.9 852.1 859.1 865.9 872.1 883.3 901.7 913.1 445.6 448.9 454.0 458.6 460.2 462.4 465.3 472.3 480.5 484.7 87.2 94.4 102.5 107.4 107.0 107.5 109.2 106.2 108.7 105.4 88.7 83.9 87.0 r 89.5 r 85.3 r 90.2 r 94.4 r 92.9 r 92.8 r 90.8 198.4 289.9 199.3 287.8 200.9 287.9 263.4 265.1 267.0 82.7 78.1 74.9 225.0 231.1 235.0 94.4 98.7 97.4 524.0 522.6 524.7 414.3 416.2 924.6 941.6 953.8 482.8 489.7 491.5 105.5 108.8 105.7 85.1 84.0 86.9 1 Small denomination and large denomination deposits are those issued in amounts of less than $100,000 and more than $100,000, respectively. 419.8 Shortterm Treasury securities Bankers' acceptances 50.3 67.5 81.7 91.5 82.9 76.1 34.0 r Sou oaV- ings on 101.4 102.6 263.5 263.4 here Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. NOTE.—Travelers checks of nonbank issuers are a component of money stock but are not shown CONSUMER INSTALLMENT CREDIT [Millions of dollars; seasonally adjusted] Net change in in stallment ere dit outstandir g1 Ins tallment credit outstanding (end of perio d) Period Total 1978: 1979: 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: 1987: Dec Dec Dec r Dec * Dec ' Dec r Decr Decr Dec T Decr Feb r Mar r Apr r May '. June r July' Aug r Sept ' Ocf Nov r Dec r 1988: Jan r Feb" 261,976 296,483 297,566 310,682 323,536 367,869 442,538 517,754 571,833 613,021 573,612 575,452 580,072 581,233 587,878 593,512 598,190 602,978 606,927 608,726 613,021 619,259 624,563 Automobile Revolving 98,739 112,475 111,936 118,956 124,218 143,799 173,704 209,636 246,109 267,180 248,318 249,498 251,211 251,741 254,212 256,585 259,558 261,902 263,823 264,474 267,180 269,883 273,195 45,202 53,357 54,894 60,838 66,243 78,667 100,212 122,013 136,381 159,307 137,238 137,761 140,339 141,876 144,777 147,809 149,815 152,553 155,196 156,425 159,307 162,065 163,551 1 For year-end data, change from preceding year-end; for monthly data, change from preceding month. Mobile home 16,921 18,207 18,621 20,302 22,833 23,704 25,795 26,834 26,883 25,957 26,933 26,811 26,825 26,639 26,810 26,966 26,879 26,845 26,698 26,604 25,957 25,926 25,869 Other 101,114 112,444 112,115 110,586 110,242 121,698 142,827 159,272 162,460 160,578 161,123 161,383 161,697 160,978 162,079 162,153 161,938 161,677 161,209 161,225 160,578 161,384 161,948 Total 40,501 34,507 1,083 13,116 12,854 44,333 74,669 75,216 54,079 41,188 2,646 1,841 4,620 1,162 6,643 5,635 4,677 4,787 3,949 1,802 4,296 6,236 5,304 Automobile 17,791 13,736 -539 7,020 5,262 19,581 29,905 35,932 36,473 21,071 1,323 1,180 1,713 530 2,471 2,373 2,973 2,344 1,921 651 2,706 2,704 3,312 Revolving 8,513 8,155 1,537 5,944 5,405 12,424 21,545 21,801 14,368 22,926 1,646 523 2,579 1,537 2,900 3,032 2,006 2,738 2,643 1,229 2,882 2,758 1,486 Mobile home 559 1,286 414 1,681 2,531 871 2,091 1,039 49 -926 -25 122 14 186 171 156 -87 -34 -147 -94 -646 -32 -57 Other 13,638 11,330 329 -1,529 344 11,456 21,129 16,445 3,188 -1,882 -298 260 314 -719 1,101 74 -215 -261 -468 16 -646 807 564 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 27 BANK LOANS AND SECURITIES, AND RESERVES Commercial and industrial loans fell 0.3 percent in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* (RATIO SCALE) 2,400 — ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 2,000 2,000 "TOTAL 1,600 1,600 1,200 1,200 LOANS AND LEASES 800 800 400 400 U.S. GOVERNMENT SECURITIES 200 200 160 160 OTHER SECURITIES 120 1980 1981 1983 1982 120 Illllllllll ill Illllllllll Illllllllll 1984 1988 1987 1986 1985 * SEASONALLY ADJUSTED SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Depo sitory institutk ns 3 Al . commercial ban ks ' Period Total loans and securities 2 R eserves adjust ed for changes in res erve requirements Loans a nd leases Total 2 Commercial and industrial loans U.S. Government securities Borr d wings (millions of dollars, unac justed) securities Total borrowed Required Total Seasonal 1980: 1981: 1982: 1983: 1984: 1985: 1986: 1987: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dee 1,239.1 1,307.5 1,401.3 1,553.4 1,722.9 1,908.6 2,089.9 2,230.6 913.9 967.3 1,033.9 1,123.7 1,320.4 1,456.9 1,584.5 1,701.4 325.7 355.4 392.6 414.1 472.8 499.4 535.6 565.5 170.6 179.3 201.7 259.1 260.0 270.5 309.3 333.2 154.7 160.9 165.7 170.6 142.6 181.2 196.1 196.0 30.81 32.08 34.32 36.11 36.91 46.06 56.17 57.44 29.12 31.44 30.29 1,690 31.76 33.69 35.33 36.72 44.74 55.34 56.66 33.82 35.55 39.06 45.00 54.80 56.41 636 634 774 3,186 1,318 827 777 116 54 33 96 113 56 38 93 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aag Sept Oct Nov Dec 2,130.7 2,152.0 2,166.0 2,176.7 2,181.3 2,199.0 2,214.7 2,227.6 2,232.1 2,230.6 1,622.3 1,639.6 1,649.3 1,659.6 1,664.1 1,676.8 1,689.8 1,701.7 1,704.8 1,701.4 546.2 549.1 551.9 554.4 553.6 554.0 559.0 562.8 563.1 565.5 315.4 318.1 321.3 321.3 322.9 328.5 331.3 331.7 331.1 333.2 193.1 194.4 195.5 195.9 194.3 193.7 193.7 194.2 196.2 196.0 56.85 57.95 58.35 57.71 57.60 57.88 57.83 58.50 57.99 57.44 56.33 56.96 57.32 56.93 56.93 57.23 56.89 57.55 57.36 56.66 55.94 57.13 57.27 56.52 56.84 56.84 57.03 57.37 57.06 56.41 527 993 1,035 776 672 647 940 943 625 777 91 120 196 259 283 279 231 189 126 93 2,242.0 2,257.6 2,273.1 1,713.9 1,727.9 1,736.8 568.5 569.9 568.1 334.1 334.0 338.9 194.0 195.7 197.4 58.32 58.44 58.63 57.23 58.04 56.88 57.02 57.31 57.70 1,082 396 1,752 59 75 119 1988: Jan Feb Mar" r 1 Data are prorated averages of Wednesday figures for domestically chartered banks and averages of month-end data for foreign-related institutions. Data beginning January 1984 are not strictly comparable with data for earlier periods, largely because beginning January 1984 certain obligations of States and political subdivisions are included in loans rather than in other securities. 28 2 3 Excludes loans to commercial banks in the United States. Data are averages of daily figures. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS, NONFARM NONFINANCIAL CORPORATE BUSINESS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Sources Uses External Period Total Internal C edit market funds 1 Total Total 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 " 1986: n m IV 1987: I n m IV ". 352.6 345.9 383.3 327.5 432.3 518.5 492.3 491.3 495.1 197.6 200.1 239.5 242.3 285.7 336.3 355.4 351.5 347.0 155.1 145.8 143.9 85.1 146.6 182.2 136.9 139.9 148.0 499.9 442.0 597.1 350.9 352.2 342.2 149.0 89.8 439.4 496.2 488.3 556.4 343.2 340.8 350.9 353.2 96.2 155.4 137.4 254.9 203.2 Loans and short-term paper Securities and mortgages Total Other 2 94.5 80.4 88.6 121.6 85.2 109.5 96.1 21.0 53.1 22.8 44.0 57.3 -7.5 15.3 33.3 49.9 66.9 39.5 71.7 36.4 31.3 129.0 69.9 76.1 46.2 67.3 53.2 49.3 4.7 58.0 60.7 51.7 30.4 52.0 117.6 64.1 201.9 52.2 31.8 -12.2 65.3 32.4 214.1 30.9 117.7 82.0 153.7 92.3 22.3 58.1 26.7 61.4 95.3 23.9 127.1 87.8 92.7 1 Undistributed profits (after inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments), capital consumption allowances, and foreign branch profits, dividends, and subsidiaries' earnings retained abro d *, , , . . , „„ * Consists of tax liabilities, trade debt, and direct foreign investment m the u.o. Capital expenditures 3 Increase in financial assets Discrepancy (sources less uses) 368.6 303.5 399.8 488.0 442.4 439.8 453.4 238.3 243.7 286.5 256.5 274.7 370.9 342.8 339.2 362.3 108.4 82.0 47.0 125.1 117.1 99.7 100.6 91.1 -17.9 -6.2 14.8 24.0 32.5 30.5 49.9 51.5 41.7 31.4 25.7 53.0 426.5 399.4 546.8 340.1 322.5 330.7 85.8 76.9 216.1 73.4 42.6 50.3 65.3 37.7 55.3 49.4 398.7 439.8 455.3 354.6 346.0 350.5 398.0 44.1 93.9 104.8 121.7 40.7 56.4 33.0 36.7 370.6 352.1 519.7 132.3 3 Plant and equipment, residential structures, inventory investment, and mineral rights from U.S. Government. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. CURRENT ASSETS AND LIABILITIES OF NONFINANCIAL CORPORATIONS [Billions of dollars, except as noted] C urrent liabiliti 3S Curren assets End of period Total Cash Governsecurities Notes and accounts receivable Invento- Other current assets Total Notes and accounts payable Other current liabilities Net working capital ratio l QFE-FKB series: 2 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1,043.7 1,214.8 1,328.3 1,419.6 1,437.1 1,575.9 1,703.0 1,784.6 105.5 118.0 127.0 135.6 147.8 171.8 173.6 189.2 17.2 16.7 18.7 17.7 23.0 31.0 36.2 33.0 388.0 459.0 507.5 532.5 1983: IV 1,575.9 171.8 1,093.1 1,126.3 1,155.0 1,163.6 601.9 623.4 642.2 647.8 491.2 636.9 537.1 531.2 541.5 548.6 1.467 1.466 1.455 1.447 1.469 35.7 650.3 IV 167.5 167.1 176.3 189.2 35.4 32.6 33.0 654.1 661.0 671.5 665.7 666.7 675.0 666.0 224.9 1,174.1 1,182.9 1,211.9 1,233.6 1986: I" 1,795.7 195.3 31.0 663.4 679.6 226.3 1,222.3 1 Total current assets divided by total current liabilities, Based on data from Quarterly Financial Report for Manufacturing, Mining, and Trade Oorpo'ians. Effective mid-1982, responsibility for the Quarterly Financial Report was transferred to 1.482 1.465 1.460 1.464 187.9 192.9 193.2 1,722.7 1,734.6 1,763.0 1,784.6 2 1.487 622.2 632.5 659.3 656.9 639.1 633.1 I 516.3 526.5 523.7 530.8 539.5 463.9 1,619.5 1,650.0 1,685.9 1,703.0 n m 551.0 595.7 606.4 622.6 1985: 539.5 550.9 1,059.6 35.4 37.2 33.0 36.2 n m rv 515.8 186.7 167.6 164.9 161.3 173.6 I 451.1 516.3 603.4 583.0 1984: 435.3 463.9 203.2 224.9 31.0 583.0 424.1 1.559 1.505 1.492 1.462 1.458 1.487 1.464 1.447 383.0 460.8 514.4 547.1 550.7 595.7 647.8 682.7 633.1 671.5 517.4 374.3 407.5 437.8 448.3 286.5 346.5 376.2 669.5 807.3 890.6 971.3 986.0 1,059.6 1,163.6 1,233.6 101.1 116.0 431.8 505.1 543.0 584.0 579.0 603.4 656.9 666.0 132.1 149.7 169.8 186.1 203.2 203.5 211.2 218.2 651.7 502.9 512.9 515.8 670.4 682.7 550.9 551.7 551.1 551.0 668.4 553.9 573.4 the Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census froift the Federal Trade Comroissraa. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Department of Commerce (Bureau of the Census), and Federal Trade Commission. 29 INTEREST RATES AND BOND YIELDS Interest rates rose in April. PERCENT PER ANNUM PERCENT PER ANNUM [Percent per annum] U.S. T reasury security yields Period 3-month bills (new issues) ' Constant nlaturities 3-year 2 10-year High-grade municipal bonds (Standard & Poor's) 3 14.44 12.92 10.45 11.89 9.64 7.06 7.68 13.91 13.00 11.10 12.44 10.62 7.68 8.39 11.23 11.57 9.47 10.15 5.76 5.75 5.69 5.78 6.00 6.32 6.40 5.81 5.80 7.32 8.02 7.82 7.74 8.03 8.67 8.75 7.99 8.13 1988: Jan Feb Mar r Apr 5.90 5.69 5.69 5.92 Week ended: 1988: Apr 2 9 16 23 30 May 7 5.69 5.98 5.98 5.78 5.92 6.13 14.029 10.686 8.63 9.58 7.48 5.98 5.82 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1 Bank-discount a Prime commercial paper, 6 months * Discount rate (N.Y. F.R. Bank) 5 Prime rate charged by banks 5 New-home mortgage yields (FHLBB)6 14.70 15.14 8.50 8,80 7.69 6.33 5.66 18.87 14.86 10.79 12.04 9.93 8.33 8.22 6.50 7.04 7.00 6.72 6.81 7.55 7.96 7.17 7.49 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-5.50 5.50-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 7.75-7.75 8.00-8.25 8.25-8.25 8.25-8.25 8.25-8.25 8.25-8.75 8.75-9.00 9.00-8.75 8.75-8.75 9.21 9.37 9.45 9.41 9.38 9.37 9.25 9.30 9.15 9.88 9.40 9.39 9.67 6.92 6.58 6.64 6.92 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 8.75-8.75 8.75-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 9.53 9.61 9.61 9.73 9.73 6.70 6.83 6.86 6.99 7.01 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00-6.00 6.00- 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50-8.50 8.50- 9.18 7.38 7.73 14.17 13.79 12.04 12.71 11.37 9.02 9.38 11.89 8.89 10.16 8.01 6.39 6.85 8.02 8.61 8.40 8.45 8.76 9.42 9.52 8.86 8.99 7.62 8.10 7.89 7.83 7.90 8.36 8.84 8.09 8.07 8.85 9.33 9.32 9.42 9.67 10.18 10.52 10.01 10.11 7.87 7.38 7.50 7.83 8.67 8.21 8.37 8.72 7.81 7.55 7.80 7.91 7.66 7.78 7.75 7.88 7.92 8.57 8.62 8.63 8.81 8.82 7.96 7.92 7.93 7.93 7.87 basis. Yields on the more actively traded issues adjusted to constant maturities by the Treasury Department. 3 Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 4 Series excludes public utility issues for January 17, 1984 through October 11, 1984 due to lack of appropriate issues. 30 Corporate Aaa bonds (Moody's) * 14.76 13.41 11.02 12.57 12.38 11.55 10.17 9.31 9.10 9.12 9.14 r 5 Average effective rate for year; opening and closing rate for month and week. 6 Effective rate {in the primary market) on conventional mortgages, reflecting fees and charges as well as contract rate and assumed, on the average, repayment at end of 10 years. Sources: Department of the Treasury, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Home Loan Bank Board, Moody's Investors Service, and Standard & Poor's Corporation. COMMON STOCK PRICES AND YIELDS Stock prices fell in April. INDEX, DEC. 31, 1965 INDEX , DEC. 31, 196- > = 50 (RATIOS CALE) = 50 (RATIOS CALE) 240 220 200 180 240 2201 2001 —/v 180 >s~~^ 160| \ COMPO SITE STOCK PR CE INDEX (NYSE) \ 'f~^~^~^ s—~~\ 120| 100 80' /"lK~ mill inn 40 140 / 120 100 80 — ^J A / 60'| / \\^s— ^ 160 \^ /~ -j -~ - —, 140 60 1 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 11 Illllllllll ',1980 ii ii 1 1 1 mi 1982 1981 nil i Ii mi Illllllllll Illllllllll Illllllllll 1983 1985 | 1984 1 1986 Illllllllll 1 1987 40 1988 PERC ENT PERC ENT 20 20 15 ^^ 10| EAR NINGS-PRICE R ATIO ON COWWON STOCKS (S&P1 s-^~~^1— .——^ r^—" \ 10 , ^-— ^ 5 1 0 1 1 1 1 1981 1980 1 15 \ 1 1 1982 1 1 1 1 1983 1 1 1 1984 1 1 1 ;1985 : r—'—~~ i i i r— i i ^~ i 1986 SOURCES: NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE A vID STANDARD & POO R'S CORPORATION 1987 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1988: Jan Feb Mar r Apr Week ended: 1988: Apr 2 9 16 23 30 1 Industrial 74.02 85.44 68.93 92.63 92.46 108.09 136.00 161.70 140.55 145.13 149.88 148.46 78.18 107.45 108.01 123.79 155.85 195.31 199.03 198.78 206.61 214.12 226.49 219.52 189.86 163.42 162.19 168.47 173.44 181.57 180.88 146.54 148.71 150.60 146.07 148.46 177.70 180.77 183.65 177.95 181.16 163.88 163.00 169.58 174.28 184.18 178.39 157.13 137.21 134.88 Transportation Utility 3 Finance 0 1988 Dow-Jones industrial average 3 Standard & Poor's composite index (194143 = 10)4 Dividendprice ratio 89.28 114.21 147.20 146.48 932.92 884.36 1,190.34 1,178.48 1,328.23 1,792.76 2,275.99 128.05 119.71 160.41 160.46 186.84 236.34 268.83 72.74 71.64 74.25 74.18 78.20 76.13 73.27 69.86 67.39 150.52 145.97 152.73 152.25 160.94 154.08 137.35 118.30 111.47 2,302.64 2,291.11 2,384.02 2,481.72 2,655.01 2,570.80 2,224.59 1,931.86 1,910.07 289.32 289.12 301.38 310.09 329.36 318.66 280.16 245.01 240.96 121.20 126.09 135.15 133.43 70.01 72.89 71.16 69.40 119.40 124.36 125.27 121.67 1,947.35 1,980.65 2,044.31 2,036.13 250.48 258.13 265.74 262.61 5.20 5.81 4.40 4.64 4.25 3.49 3.08 2.99 3.02 2.92 2.83 2.69 2.78 3.25 3.66 3.71 3.66 3.56 3.48 3.57 133.75 135.20 134.97 131.08 132.49 69.40 70.08 70.19 68.23 69.11 121.63 122.23 123.29 119.97 121.21 1,986.07 2,038.43 2,066.55 1,999.10 2,040.45 258.77 263.14 266.52 257.96 262.83 3.60 3.51 3.46 3.70 3.61 72.61 60.41 89.36 85.63 104.11 119.87 140.39 38.91 39.75 47.00 46.44 56.75 71.36 74.30 137.91 141.30 150.39 157.48 164.02 158.58 140.95 117.57 115.85 Average of daily closing prices. Includes all the'stocks (more than 1,500) listed on the NYSE. Includes 30 stocks. 4 Includes 500 stocks. 5 Standard & Poor's series. Dividend-price ratios based on Wednesday closing prices. Earnings2 1 Common st ock yields (perce nt) 5 Nevi York Stock Ex< hange indexes (E ec. 31, 1965-5O ) 2 Composite 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Co Timon stock price s 1 Period 5 1 73.52 71.99 95.34 Earningsprice ratio 11.96 11.60 8.03 10.02 8.12 6.09 5.49 4.75 4.93 7.08 price ratios based on prices at end of quarter. NOTE.—All data relate to stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange {NYSE). Sources: New York Stock Exchange, Dow-Jones & Company, Inc., and Standard & Poor's Corporation. 31 FEDERAL FINANCE FEDERAL RECEIPTS, OUTLAYS, AND DEBT In the first 6 months of fiscal 1988, there was a deficit of $118.9 billion compared with a deficit of $123.2 billion a year earlier. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS RECEIPTS AND OUTLAYS^ 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000 OUTLAYS!/ 900 900 800 800 700 700 RECEIPTS!/ 600 600 500 500 -100 -100 -200 -200 'U 1980 1982 1981 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1989 1988 FISCAL YEARS V INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET [Billions of dollars] Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) Receipts Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) 1976 Transition quarter 1977 1978 1979 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 -73.7 -14.7 53.6 -59.2 -40.2 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 -70.5 -13.3 -49.7 -54.9 -38.2 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 517.1 599.3 73.8 -78.9 -127.9 -207.8 -185.3 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 -72.7 617.8 600.6 666.5 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 1985 1986 1987 1988 (estimates) 1989 (estimates) 734.1 769.1 854.1 909.2 964.7 946.3 990.3 1,004.6 1,055.9 1,094.2 -212.3 -221.2 150.4 -146.7 -129.5 547.9 568.9 640.7 669.3 706.2 Cumulative total, first 6 months: * Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988 383.8 412.0 507.9 530.9 -123.2 -118.9 282.1 299.7 1 From Monthly Treasury Statement for March 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989. NOTE.—Data from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1989, February 1988, 32 Gross Fe ieral debt (end of period) Off-budget On-budget Total Fiscal year or period Receipts 66.4 Outlays Surplus or deficit (-) 631.9 646.4 709.1 780.4 833.8 480.3 498.3 551.8 610.9 644.6 -5.0 -7.9 .2 .3 914.3 1,003.9 1,147.0 1,381.9 1,576.7 715.1 794.4 929.4 1,141.8 1,312.6 176.8 183.5 193.8 203.1 213.3 9.4 16.7 19.6 36.8 45.1 1,827.5 2,130.0 2,355.3 2,581.6 2,825.3 1,509.9 1,746.1 1,897.8 2,025.1 2,152.1 95.4 99.8 6.3 12.4 2,250.7 2,493.2 1,842.2 2,001.8 76.8 85.4 98.0 69.6 39.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 -3.2 -3.4 3.9 -4.3 2.0 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 114.3 135.2 151.4 147.1 165.8 -1.1 -73.9 -120.0 -208.0 -185.6 769.5 806.8 810.8 852.8 880.9 -221.6 -237.9 -170.0 -183.5 -174.7 186.2 200.2 213.4 239.9 258.5 411.6 431.1 -129.5 -131.3 101.7 112.3 iao Held by the public except as noted. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In the first 6 months of fiscal 1988, receipts were $28.2 billion higher than a year earlier and outlays were $23.9 billion higher. BILLIO NS OF DOLLARS 400 BILLIONS OF DO LLARS RECEIPTS-/ INDIVIDUAL INCOME TAXES — 400 , /___ —••— ~ 300 ' 200 SOCIAL INSURANCE TAXES AND CONTRIBUTIONS 200 OTHER RECEIPTS 100 I 0 | ~j 100 j *s CORPORATION INCOME TAXES I ] | "~ OUTLAYS V 800 o 800 NONDFFFNSF 700 " 700 __---•"""""" -•""' 400 NATIONAL DEFENSE 300 300 200 200 ^ 1 1 100 A V 1980 1981 — 1 1982 1 1983 1 1984 1 1985 1 1986 1 1987 1 N 100 1989 ^ 1988 FISCAL YEARS J INCLUDES ON-BUDGET AND OFF-BUDGET ITEMS. SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY AND OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] 0n-budget a nd off-biu ^et receip ts Fiscal year Total Individual Corporation On-budg et and off budget ou tlays Nations 1 defense Social insurance Other Depart- Total 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 Cumulative total, first 6 months: ' Fiscal year 1987 Fiscal year 1988 412.0 383.8 209.9 227.4 204.4 220.9 946.3 990.3 1,004.6 1,055.9 1,094.2 252.7 273.4 282.0 285.4 294.0 245.1 354.6 73.0 73.1 74.3 78.7 80.1 265.5 274.0 277.3 285.5 140.2 151.6 35.8 38.2 507.0 530.9 138.8 146.4 134.7 142.3 265.2 283.9 303.3 412.4 61.3 63.1 83.9 105.6 117.7 172.3 183.5 35.5 38.6 285.9 297.7 288.9 298.4 909.2 964.7 851.8 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 244.1 1988 (estimates) 1989 (estimates) 130.9 153.8 180.7 50.6 69.5 69.3 65.6 71.8 517.1 599.3 734.1 769.1 854.1 134.0 157.5 185.3 157.8 182.7 201.5 54.9 60.0 65.7 1985 1986 1987 6.4 6.4 7.5 64.6 61.1 49.2 37.0 56.9 41.4 157.6 181.0 217.8 600.6 666.5 87.9 95.1 102.3 113.6 34.3 36.6 131.6 617.8 89.6 97.2 104.5 116.3 334.5 349.0 392.6 393.4 209.0 239,4 331.5 37.7 40.8 1 From Monthly Treasury Statement for March 1988. Data for outlays and debt are not strictly comparable with estimates in the Budget for fiscal year 1989. NOTE.—Data from Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1989, February 1988, 371.8 90.8 106.5 121.0 138.9 298.1 355.6 399.6 463.3 Health Medi- Income Social Net inter- Other military butions 1976 1977 1978 1979 International 409.2 458.7 503.5 22.8 26.5 60.8 61.0 61.5 66.4 73.9 85.1 93.9 104.1 42.6 93.0 114.7 119.6 23.2 26.9 27.4 28.6 30.4 32.1 39.1 46.6 52.6 57.5 86.5 99.7 107.7 122.6 112.7 118.5 139.6 156.0 170.7 178.2 52.5 68.7 85.0 89.8 111.1 131.4 133.5 125.4 122.3 118.6 65.8 70.2 75.1 78.9 84.0 128.2 119.8 123.3 129.6 135.6 188.6 198.8 13.3 33.5 35.9 40.0 44.5 47.8 233.8 129.4 136.0 138.6 147.9 151.8 131.8 142.1 126.7 140.1 133.9 6.7 4.7 19.0 21.5 37.2 39.0 63.9 64.8 101.2 106.8 69.9 76.5 70.3 71.2 15.7 17.3 15.8 19.3 7.5 18.5 20.5 12.7 13.1 12.3 11.8 15.9 16.2 14.2 11.6 9.9 207.4 219.7 26.7 29.9 35.4 82.8 except as noted. Data shown here exclude the transition quarter. Sources: Department of the Treasury and Office of Management and Budget. 33 FEDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS In the fourth quarter of 1987, according to revised estimates, Federal receipts rose $14.6 billion (annual rate) and Federal expenditures rose $39.0 billion, yielding a deficit of $160.2 billion. In the first quarter of 1988, according to preliminary estimates, expenditures fell $5.9 billion; receipts data are incomplete. e ILLIONS OF D(DLLARS BILLIO MS OF DOLLARS 1,200 SEASON ALLY ADJUSTED ANN AL RATES 1,000 EXP 1,200 1,000 :NDITURES , — ±'-"" -* __—— -^ 800 ^^ -"1 ^,..600 /-^ — 800 - ^ t^~~ ^ RECEIPTS 600 ^^ 400 400 200 200 0 ^~ ' —\ ?nn 1 1 1 1980 SUR >IUS OR DEFIC ^x 0 TH __ v 1 1 1 ^_ - 1 1 1 1981 1 1 1 I 1983 1982 1 1 1984 -N i i i ^— ^ 1 1985 1 1 1986 i i i 1987 -200 1 1 1 1988 :ALENDAR YEARS COUNCIl Of ECONOMIC ADVIStK s SOURCE: DEPARTMEN T OF COMMERCE [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal G overnment expenditure s Federal Governme at receipts or deficit Subsidies Period Fiscal year: 1984 1985 1986 1987 Calendar year: 1984 1985 1986 1987 1982: TV 1983: IV 1984: IV 1985: HI IV 1986: I n m IV 1987: I n m IV Personal Total 711.9 776.4 814.2 905.6 726.0 788.6 827.4 r 915.7 633.1 675.5 742.7 794.9 805.1 807.6 816.9 832.4 852.5 879.3 922.9 923.0 r 937.6 1988: I" tax and nontax receipts Corporate profits tax accruals 302.5 340.6 358.0 401.9 75.3 74.3 80.3 104.0 310.3 346.6 363.0 403.7 303.0 291.9 326.0 351.0 356.7 352.8 357.6 365.2 376.4 381.5 415.6 404.3 413.5 406.5 75.2 76.1 83.7 109.4 46.4 70.2 69.7 79.1 77.8 78.7 81.3 84.3 90.5 103.0 107.9 114.5 r 112.3 r Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 34 Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Contributions for social insurance Pur- Total chases of goods Transfer in-aid to State pay- and and ments services local govern- interest paid current surplus of Government enter- Net Wage accruals less disbursements 279.2 305.6 324.1 345.6 873.0 961.0 1,027.8 1,055.1 297.2 340.4 368.4 374.9 352.2 374.0 394.8 410.1 90.7 97.8 107.4 103.1 109.7 128.0 134.3 139.6 23.3 20.7 22.9 27.5 0.1 56.0 51.7 54.1 55.7 55.2 50.9 54.1 47.6 53.6 56.2 53.1 53.7 50.4 49.9 52.1 51.1 53.3 54.2 53.9 54.9 56.3 284.7 310.6 329.8 348.4 236.1 259.8 290.7 . 311.7 316.9 325.8 328.1 330.7 334.5 341.5 345.2 350.3 356.8 382.4 895.6 984.6 1,032.0 1,067.1 835.7 844.7 930.2 990.8 1,020.2 ,003.7 ,047.1 ,036.1 ,041.2 ,049.8 ,062.1 ,058.8 ,097.8 1,091.9 310.5 354.9 380.1 399.9 413.5 347.4 352.5 362.1 383.7 385.8 389.9 398.3 405.9 405.7 406.7 412.0 413.4 421.8 431.7 93.6 99.7 106.9 103.4 84.5 86.0 96.3 100.2 103.7 105.4 109.6 109.5 102.8 102.2 106.0 103.5 102.0 105.7 115.6 21.2 20.5 23.3 28.0 23.4 29.1 21.0 15.3 19.7 16.8 34.9 15.3 26.3 34.3 24.8 17.2 35.8 25.1 .2 2 54.9 353.9 366.2 379.4 293.2 276.1 326.0 361.9 378.0 356.7 368.4 371.2 368.6 366.9 379.6 382.1 388.9 376.8 130.2 135.7 142.8 87.2 101.0 125.3 129.7 133.0 134.9 135.9 134.2 137.8 139.5 139.8 142.9 148.9 152.6 ^ .0 .1 .0 .0 .0 .0 .6 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .0 .3 3 .0 national income and product accounts -161.0 -184.5 -213.6 -149.5 - 169.6 -196.0 -204.7 r - 151.4 -202.6 -169.2 -187.5 - 195.8 -215.0 -196.1 -230.2 -203.7 -188.7 -170.5 -139.2 -135.8 r - 160.2 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMER PRICES—MAJOR INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES Industrial reduction (1977 = 1 0; seasonal] ' adjusted Period United States Canada Japan France Germany 108.1 119.2 103.1 109.2 121.4 123.7 125.1 129.8 108.6 97.9 104.3 119.0 125.2 126.8 132.6 120.4 120.9 125.1 138.9 145.1 144.6 150.4 106 106 104 105 105 108.0 106.2 103.1 104.1 107.6 112.9 115.1 115.7 Dee' 127.4 127.4 128.2 129.1 130.6 131.2 131.0 132.5 133.2 133.9 129.9 129.9 130.8 132.1 131.8 134.2 135.0 r 135.8 136.7 137.2 147.4 145.4 143.7 149.3 151.0 149.3 153.9 157.0 156.6 159.6 Jan Feb Mar" ' 134.4 134.4 134.6 137.4 1980 108.6 111.0 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 ' 1987: Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov r 1988: 1 106 106 Italy 99.8 96.4 98.2 101.7 103.1 107.9 109.5 r 113.0 114.4 112.6 108.5 105.8 109.2 r Consumer )rices (19 S2-84=100 United Kingdom r 110.4 l!3.5 r 118.0 ' 119.8 108 107 109 110 109 109 110 110 110 111 114.5 115.8 116.6 115.1 113.7 118.5 116.3 116.7 116.8 117.3 l!8.3 r l!7.7 '112.8 r l!7.2 ' 122.3 120.8 116.1 ' 114.5 114.8 115.3 111 117.8 126.3 ' 114.9 111.9 r r Data relate to all urban consumers. 111.9 111.5 l!7.4 ' 121.9 r l!2.3 r l!2.5 r l!3.1 ' 114.8 r l!3.5 United States ' Canada United Kingdom Japan France Germany 96.5 99.6 103.9 107.6 109.6 113.6 85.6 94.9 100.4 104.8 108.9 113.4 118.4 90.9 95.4 98.0 99.9 102.1 104.2 104.9 105.0 72.2 81.9 91.7 100.3 108.0 114.3 117.2 121.1 86.7 92.2 97.1 100.3 102.7 104.9 104.6 105.0 87.7 100.8 111.5 121.0 128.5 134.4 78.5 87.9 95.4 99.8 104.8 111.2 114.9 119.7 112.1 112.7 113.1 113.5 113.8 114.4 115.0 115.3 115.4 115.4 116.8 117.3 118.0 118.3 119.2 119.3 119.3 119.7 120.2 120.3 104.3 105.2 105.4 105.2 104.7 104.8 105.7 105.7 105.2 105.1 120.0 120.6 120.9 121.1 121.4 121.7 121.7 122.0 122.2 122.2 104.7 104.9 105.0 105.2 105.2 105.1 104.9 105.0 105.0 105.2 132.6 132.9 133.4 133.9 134.3 134.6 135.6 136.8 137.2 137.4 118.2 119.6 119.7 119.7 119.6 120.0 120.3 120.9 121.5 121.4 115.7 116.0 116.5 120.5 121.0 121.6 104,8 104.6 122.4 122.7 105.4 105.6 105.7 138.1 138.5 139.1 121.4 121.9 122.3 82.4 90.9 76.1 Italy 63.2 ISA Source: National sources as reported by Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis and International Trade Administration). U.S. MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS [Billions of dollars; monthly data not seasonally adjusted] Merch mdise exp orts l Period Revised statistical month, adjusted2 Revised statistical month Statistical month Total 3 Food, beverages, and tobacco Crude materials and fuels Manufactured goods Ge leral imp orts 4 (sta tistical m ontb exc 3pt as nol ed) Tot il 3 Revised statistical month F a.s. valu e 23 3.7 216.4 21 2.3 205.6 20J.5 224.0 218.7 217.9 218.8 212.8 213.1 226.8 216.6 217.3 238.7 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1987: Statistical month Food, beverages, and tobacco Crude materials and fuels Total c.i.f. val ue) Manufactured goods Revised statistical month Statistical month Exports (f.a.s.) less import. (customs V Jue) Revised statistical month, adjusted2 Revised statistical month Exports ( .a.s.) less imports (c i.f. value) Revised statistical month, adjusted 2 Revised statistical month Custo ms value 228.9 33.2 207.1 195.9 212.0 27.0 27.0 27.3 22.2 20.2 22.8 154.3 139.7 29.6 132.4 31.5 143.1 28.3 145.4 26.5 148.7 29.1 171.5 33.0 33.5 68.0 72.8 65.0 48.3 56.3 163.4 221.5 405.9 18.4 17.8 18.8 21.6 22.4 24.7 24.7 26 1.0 244.0 25 3.0 325.7 345.3 370.0 92.9 142.5 74.4 144.0 246.8 27 3.4 25 L9 26 3.9 346.4 341.2 352.5 361.6 383.0 387.1 424.1 -22.3 -27.5 -52.4 -101.7 -126.5 5 5 -27.3 -31.8 -57.6 -34.6 -38.4 -64.2 -39.7 -42.6 -69.3 -107.0 -122.4 -127.6 -132.5 -133.6 -139.7 — 149.4 -156.2 -166.3 -159.5 -171.2 -177.6 252.9 246.4 206.9 206,4 243.9 Oct Nov Dec 19.4 21.8 20.5 20.8 21.1 21.0 20.2 21.0 21.8 23.8 24.8 18.7 21.1 20.1 20.4 20.5 20.1 20.0 21.0 21.0 23.3 23.9 18.7 21.1 19.8 20.0 20.3 20.3 19.5 20.2 21.0 23.0 23.9 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.1 13.2 15.0 14.2 14.5 14.5 13.9 13.7 14.8 14.4 16.2 16.1 32.3 33.2 32.0 33.3 35.3 35.8 34.3 33.6 37.7 35.5 35.4 2.1 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 4.4 4.2 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.6 5.6 4.9 5.3 5.0 4.7 24.8 25.7 25.1 25.8 27.2 27.2 25.8 25.6 28.8 27.4 27.8 33.7 34.7 33.5 34.8 36.8 37.5 35.9 35.1 39.4 37.0 37.0 -12.9 -11.4 -11.5 -12.5 -14.1 -14.8 -14.1 -12.6 -16.0 -11.7 -10.6 -13.6 -12.1 -11.8 -12.9 -14.7 -15.8 -14.3 -12.6 -16.8 -12.1 -11.6 — 14.4 -12.9 -13.0 -14.0 -15.7 -16.5 -15.7 — 14.1 -17.6 -13.2 -12.2 -15.1 -13.6 -13.3 -14.4 -16.3 -17.4 -15.9 -14.1 -18.4 -13.7 -13.1 Jan Feb 22.3 23.6 21.9 23.4 21.4 22.7 2.1 2.2 2.6 2.9 14.9 16.1 33.2 35.8 2.1 2.2 4.6 4.9 25.6 27.8 34.8 37.4 -10.9 -12.3 -11.3 -12.4 -12.4 -13.8 -12.9 -14.0 Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept 1988: Merchandise tr ade balance Merch andise in ports Dome stic exports (statis ical mon W Total domestic and foreign 366.1 1 Department of Defense Military Assistance Program grant-aid shipments are excluded through 1984 and for revised statistical month data for 1985-86; they are included for statistical month data for 1985-86 and for 1987-88. 2 Adjusted to include undocumented exports to Canada. 3 Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. For exports data beginning 1987, these include undocumented exports to Canada. 4 Total arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. 282.1 312.6 139.3 -153.0 B Revised statistical month exports less statistical month customs value imports. NOTE.—Data ahown include trade of the U.S. Virgin Islands. Statistical month and revised statistical month refer only to data for 1984-86. Data for 1987-88 are roughly equivalent to revised statistical month data. For further information, see Bureau of the Census release FT900, April and August 1987. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 35 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS In the fourth quarter of 1987, the current account deficit decreased to $39.0 billion and the merchandise trade deficit fell to $40.2 billion. BILL ONS OF DOLL>^RS* BILLIONS OF DOLL ARS* 10 10 5 0 x-V N. « yy v S ~~* *., =—J£ BALAr1 •ICE ON .xAi«\ \ s S~*" ^ ~'-\ ^' \ \ \ f ^> 0 v>~^x CURRENT ACCOUNT -5 5 /\ V MERCHA MDISE TRADE BA LANCE -15 *A*\ \ — '\\ -25 -15 v BALA NCE ON GOODS A ND SERVICES \ \]A \ — \\ J / \\x\f-^i ^ '* A x """v^-'; V -35 -45 -5 20 -25 \ N--A ~ x \ ]v—^\ ^ '" —-~ ^^___ V 30 ^-'^"X" ~'-~X// "X /" — | 1 1 1 | | 1979 1 1980 ! 1 1981 1 1 1 1982 i i i 1983 1 1 1 i i i i i i 1984 1985 1986 -35 40 \7" i i i -45 1987 • SEASONALLY ADJUS TED SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISER [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted. Credits (+), debits (—)] Merchandise l Inv estment incom e 3 2 Net Period Exports 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 224,269 237,085 211,198 201,820 219,900 1985 215,935 1986 224,361 1987 ' 250,814 1984: I 53,614 54,590 55,691 IV 56,005 1985: I 55,064 54,040 53,367 IV 53,464 1986: I 53,878 56,928 56,534 TV 57,021 1987: I 56,769 59,875 65,110 IV".... 69,060 n m n m n m n m 1 Excludes military. 2 Adjusted from Census 3 Imports -249,749 -265,063 -247,642 -268,900 -332,422 -338,083 -368,700 -410,015 -79,415 -83,684 -84,144 -85,179 -79,946 -83,986 -84,573 -89,578 -88,856 -90,579 -93,649 -95,616 -95,689 -99,617 -105,475 -109,234 Net balance Receipts Payments Net -25,480 -27,978 -36,444 -67,080 -112,522 -122,148 -144,339 -159,201 -25,801 -29,094 -28,453 -29,174 -24,882 -29,946 72,506 86,411 83,549 77,251 85,910 88,299 88,209 99,772 22,831 21,052 21,515 20,512 18,530 21,931 24,174 23,665 24,076 22,013 21,333 20,787 24,963 22,464 22,689 — 42,120 -52,329 -54,883 30,386 34,082 28,666 24,875 18,491 25,398 20,844 14,484 7,396 3,856 3,537 3,703 2,171 5,261 8,119 9,847 6,425 4,587 5,339 4,492 5,513 1,589 294 7,088 -31,206 -36,114 -34,978 -33,651 -37,115 -38,595 -38,920 -39,742 -40,365 -40,174 29,657 -52,376 -67,419 -62,901 -67,365 -85,288 -15,435 -17,196 -17,978 - 16,809 -16,359 - 16,670 -16,055 -13,818 17,651 -17,426 -15,994 -16,295 - 19,450 -20,875 -22,395 -22,569 data for differences in timing and coverage. Fees and royalties from U.S. direct investments abroad or from foreign direct investments in the 36 Net travel and transportation receipts -997 2,237 144 -1,183 -992 274 -243 -4,227 -1,942 -8,604 -3,339 -10,866 3,662 -9,903 -2,079 -11,626 -273 -1,874 -615 -2,039 -255 -2,310 -798 -2,381 242 -2,261 -782 -2,849 -794 -2,892 -1,519 -2,862 -1,298 -2,786 -1,054 -2,278 -815 -2,442 -495 -2,397 37 -3,198 29 -2,759 -735 -2,761 -1,335 -2,909 Other services, net 3 Balance on goods and services Remittances, pensions, and other unilateral transfers 1 -7,593 7,793 9,466 7,460 9,278 14,344 9,320 278 -8,956 -9,480 9,908 -36,766 9,741 -94,835 -12,178 15,301 9,861 -101,093 11,368 - 125,694 - 15,658 13,467 11,208 -147,213 2,629 -17,923 -2,362 2,513 -25,379 -2,461 -3,112 2,436 -25,045 2,164 -26,486 -4,243 2,296 -22,918 -3,296 -3,517 2,458 -25,858 2,403 -24,370 -4,169 2,704 -27,944 -4,321 -3,021 2,618 -30,019 2,808 -29,588 -4,167 -4,334 2,784 -32,249 -4,138 3,156 -33,839 -3,075 2,808 -33,834 -3,064 2,609 -38,274 3,050 -40,517 -2,925 -4,404 2,741 -34,589 Balance on current account 1,873 6,884 -8,679 -46,246 -107,013 -116,393 -141,352 - 160,681 -20,285 -27,840 -28,157 -30,729 -26,214 -29,375 -28,539 -32,265 -33,040 -33,755 -36,583 -37,977 -36,909 -41,338 -43,442 -38,993 United States are excluded from investment income and included in other services, net. Source: Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS—Continued In the capital accounts, claims on foreigners reported by U.S. banks increased $23.3 billion in the fourth quarter of 1987 compared with an increase of $20.1 billion in the third quarter. Liabilities to private foreigners reported by U.S. banks, excluding Treasury securities, increased $32.3 billion in the fourth quarter compared to an increase of $44.4 billion in the third quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS* 80 - 60 CHANGE IN FOREIGN ASSETS IN THE U.S..NET 60 t\ t \ 40 40 l\ I \ \/ I 20 20 CHANGE IN U.S. ASSETS ABROAD.NET r\ v -20 -20 t\ -40 -60 I 1979 1980 I I 1981 -40 I 1 I I I I 1983 1982 I I I 19.815 1984 I I 1986 -60 1987 •SEASONALLY ADJUSTED COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE; DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE [Millions of dollars; quarterly data seasonally adjusted, except as noted] Foreign assets in the J.S., net [increas 3/capital inflowo (+)] 2 U.S. assets abroad, net increase /capit jJ outflow (— ; 1 Period Total -86,118 -110,951 -121,153 -49,777 -22,291 -31,399 -95,982 -63,796 -3,602 n -19,395 17,421 m -16,712 IV -1,745 1985: I -1,551 n -6,936 m IV -21,167 -13,770 1986: I -25,529 n -24,478 m IV -32,204 1987: I 15,351 -15,078 n -27,172 m IV"... -36,898 U.S. Other U.S. reserve assets ' 2 ment assets 1980 -8,155 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987" 1984: I 5,175 -4,965 1,196 -3,131 -3,858 312 9,151 -657 566 -799 -1,110 233 -356 -121 -3,148 115 16 280 132 1,956 3,419 32 3,743 U.S. private assets -5,162 -72,802 -5,097 - 100,679 -6,131 -110,058 -5,006 -43,576 5,476 -13,685 -2,831 -24,711 - 1,920 -94,374 1,219 -74,166 -916 -2,029 - 1,340 - 17,490 19,608 -1,388 -717 -14,886 -782 730 -128 1,067 -6,380 -435 547 -17,473 -240 -13,415 -242 -25,303 -1,454 -23,304 15 -32,351 13,170 225 -18,320 -177 355 -27,559 816 -41,457 Total 58,112 83,032 93,746 84,869 102,467 129,872 213,386 202,585 22,120 41,862 2,392 36,094 16,423 25,202 35,020 53,227 36,322 49,042 69,591 58,431 26,754 49,564 67,389 58,878 1 Consists of gold, special drawing rights (SDRs), convertible currencies, and the U.S. reserve position in the IMF. 2 Quarterly data are not seasonally adjusted. Foreign official assets 15,497 4,960 3,593 5,845 2,987 -1,140 34,698 44,289 -2,953 -149 -963 7,052 -11,060 8,606 2,426 -1,111 2,576 15,568 15,551 1,003 13,953 10,070 363 19,904 Other foreign assets 42,615 78,072 90,154 79,023 99,481 131,012 178,689 158,297 25,073 42,011 3,355 29,042 27,484 16,596 32,594 54,338 33,746 33,475 54,040 57,428 12,802 39,494 67,026 38,974 Statistical ( iscrepancy Allocations of special drawing (SDKs) 1,152 1,093 Total (sum of the items with sign reversed) 24,982 19,942 36,085 11,154 26,837 17,920 23,947 21,892 1,767 5,373 8,344 11,347 11,535 5,724 455 205 10,488 10,241 -8,530 11,750 -5,197 6,852 3,226 17,013 Of which: Seasonal adjustment discrepancy 1,417 -1,381 -3,851 3,809 1,725 -1,712 -3,781 3,766 2,294 -2,044 -4,153 3,904 2,659 -1,700 -4,833 3,577 assets, net * (unadjusted, end of period) 26,756 30,074 33,958 33,747 34,934 43,186 r 48,511 45,798 34,975 34,547 34,306 34,934 35,493 36,088 38,295 43,186 44,919 46,595 48,087 r 48,511 48,824 45,140 45,070 45,798 Sources: Department of Commerce (Bureau of Economic Analysis) and Department of the Treasury. 37 Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING Page Gross National Product Gross National Product in 1982 Dollars Implicit Price Deflators for Gross National Product Changes in GNP, Personal Consumption Expenditures, and Related Price Measures Nonfmancial Corporate Business—Output, Costs, and Profits National Income Personal Consumption Expenditures Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Unemployment Rates Selected Measures of Unemployment and Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Average Weekly Hours and Hourly Earnings—Private Nonagriculrural Industries Average Weekly Earnings—Private Nonagricultural Industries Productivity and Related Data, Business Sector 11 12 13 14 15 15 16 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial Production—Major Market Groups and Selected Manufactures New Construction New Private Housing and Vacancy Rates Business Sales and Inventories—Manufacturing and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders 17 18 19 19 20 21 PRICES Producer Prices Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Changes in Producer Prices for Finished Goods Changes in Consumer Prices—All Urban Consumers Prices Received and Paid by Farmers 22 23 24 24 25 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Stock, Liquid Assets, and Debt Measures Components of Money Stock and Liquid Assets Consumer Installment Credit Bank Loans and Securities, and Reserves Sources and Uses of Funds, Nonfarm Nonfinancial Corporate Business Current Assets and Liabilities of Nonfinancial Corporations Interest Rates and Bond Yields Common Stock Prices and Yields 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Receipts, Outlays, and Debt Federal Receipts by Source and Oudays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis 32 33 34 INTERNATIONAL STATISTICS Industrial Production and Consumer Prices—Major Industrial Countries U.S. Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. International Transactions 35 35 36 General Notes Detail in these tables may not add to totals because of rounding. Unless otherwise noted, all dollar figures are in current dollars. Symbols used: p Preliminary. T Revised. c Corrected. ... Not available (also, not applicable). NSA not seasonally adjusted. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, B.C. 20402. Price $2.50 (single copy) ($3.13 foreign). Subscription price: $27.00 per year; $33.75 for foreign mailing. 38 U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE : 1988 0—84-687