Full text of Economic Indicators : April 1968
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90th Congress, 2nd Session Economic Indicators April 1968 r »WT 24W68 , .. BANK OF Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee by the Council of Economic Advisers UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON : 1968 JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE (Created pursuant to Sec. 5(a) of Public Law 304, 79th Cong.) WILLIAM PROXMIRE, Wisconsin, Chairman WRIGHT PATMAN, Texas, Vice Chairman SENATE JOHN SPARKMAN (Alabama) J. W. FULBRIGHT (Arkansas) HERMAN E. TALMADGE (Georgia) STUART SYMINGTON (Missouri) ABRAHAM RIBICOFF (Connecticut) JACOB K. JAVITS (New York) JACK MILLER (Iowa) LEN B. JORDAN (Idaho) CHARLES H. PERCY (Illinois) HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES RICHARD BOLLING (Missouri) HALE BOGGS (Louisiana) HENRY S. REUSS (Wisconsin) MARTHA W. GRIFFITHS (Michigan) WILLIAM S. MOORHEAD (Pennsylvania) THOMAS B. CURTIS (Missouri) WILLIAM B. WIDNALL (New Jersey) DONALD RUMSFELD (Illinois) W. E. BROCK 3d (Tennessee) JOHN R. STARK, Executive Director JAMES W. KNOWLES, Director of Research COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS ARTHUR M. OKUN, Chairman JAMES S. DUESENBERRY MERTON J. PECK Economic Indicators -prefared under supervision of FRANCES M. JAMES [PUBLIC LAW 120—81sx CONGRESS; CHAPTER 237—IST SESSION] JOINT RESOLUTION [SJ. Res. 55] To print the monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators" Resolved by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress assembled, That the Joint Economic Committee be authorized to issue a monthly publication entitled "Economic Indicators," and that a sufficient quantity be printed to furnish one copy to each Member of Congress; the Secretary and the Sergeant at Arms of the Senate; the Clerk, Sergeant at Arms, and Doorkeeper of the House of Representatives; two copies to the libraries of the Senate and House, and the Congressional Library; seven hundred copies to the Joint Economic Committee; and the required number of copies to the Superintendent of Documents for distribution to depository libraries; and that the Superintendent of Documents be authorized to have copies printed for sale to the public. Approved June 23, 1949. Charts draivn by Art Production Branch^ Office of the Secretary^ Department of Commerce. Economic Indicators, published monthly, is available at 2 5 cents a single copy or by subscription at $2.50 per year (foreign, $3.50) from: SUPERINTENDENT OF DOCUMENTS GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE WASHINGTON, D.C. 20402 Subscribers who wish to receive it at an earlier date after release may take advantage of provisions for airmail subscriptions. The domestic airmail subscription price is $5.40 per year. The 1967 revised edition of the Historical and Descriptive Supplement to Economic Indicators, which describes each series and gives annual data for years not shown in the monthly issues, is available at 70 cents a copy from the Superintendent of Documents, Government Printing Office. TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING teE NATION'S INCOME, EXPENDITURE, AND SAVING Preliminary estimates indicate that gross national product rose by $20 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter. [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Government Persons Net receipts Disposable personal income Period 1960 1961 1962 1963__ 1964 1965___ __ 1966 1967__ 1966: I II___ III__ IV___ 1967: I !!____ III___ IV___ 68: I » _ _ _ PerLess: Equals: Personal sonal Interest Total consump- saving tion paid and excludor expendTotal * transfer dising interest itures saving payand ments (-) to fortranseigners fers 350.0 364.4 385. 3 404 6 438. 1 472. 2 508. 8 544. 7 497. 5 503. 3 512.4 522. 0 532. 7 540. 0 548. 2 557.9 571.7 7.8 8. 1 8.6 9.7 10.7 11.9 13. 1 14.2 12. 6 13. 0 13. 1 13. 5 13. 8 14. 3 14. 3 145 148 342.3 356. 3 376. 6 394 9 427.4 460.3 495.7 530.5 484 9 490. 3 499. 3 508. 5 518. 9 525. 7 533. 9 543.4 556. 9 325.2 335.2 355. 1 375. 0 401. 2 433. 1 465. 9 491. 7 458. 2 461. 6 470. 1 473. 8 480. 2 489. 7 495. 3 501.8 517. 8 Surplus or deficit Less: Less: Tax Trans- Equals: Total Trans- Equals: Purand fers, fers, nontax interest, Net expend- interest, chases income and receipts receipts of goods product itures and and or and subsubaccounts accruals sidies 2 sidies 2 services (->, 17.0 21. 2 21. 6 19. 9 26.2 27. 2 29. 8 38.7 26.6 28.7 29. 2 34. 6 38. 8 36. 0 38. 5 41. 6 39. 1 139.8 144 6 157.0 168.8 174 1 188. 8 213.0 227.6 204 3 210. 6 216.3 220. 9 222. 8 223. 2 229. 3 235.2 Business Period 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1966: I II III.. IV__ 1967: I II III IV 1968: I" 36.5 41.3 42. 8 44 4 46.7 49. 7 55.5 63.7 53.4 53. 1 56. 1 59.4 63. 2 63. 1 64 4 642 66. 9 103.3 103.3 1142 1243 127. 3 139. 1 157.5 163. 9 150.9 157.5 160. 2 161. 5 159. 6 160. 1 164.9 171. 0 136. 1 149. 0 159.9 166. 9 175.4 186. 1 209.8 240. 0 199. 8 2044 213.7 221. 2 233. 6 238. 1 242. 6 245.9 2544 36. 5 41.3 42.8 44 4 46.7 49.7 55. 5 63. 7 53.4 53. 1 56. 1 59.4 63. 2 63. 1 64 4 64 2 66. 9 99. 6 107.6 117. 1 122. 5 128.7 136.4 154 3 176.3 146. 5 151. 2 157. 7 161. 7 170.4 175. 0 178.2 181.7 187. 5 Net Net exports of goods Total Statisand services transfers Excess of income tical Gross Gross to foror transfers discrepprivate Excess eigners retained domestic of or receipts ancy earnby of net 3 invest- invest- sons perEquals: exports ment ings and Less: Net ment 4 Govern- Exports Imports exports (-) (-)5 ment 56. 8 58. 7 66. 3 68. 8 76. 2 83. 7 89. 7 90.5 87. 6 88.4 89.5 93.6 88.9 89. 1 90.4 93. 9 74 8 71. 7 83. 0 87. 1 94 0 107. 4 118. 0 112. 1 115. 2 118. 5 116. 4 122. 2 110. 4 105. 1 112. 2 120.8 119. 4 3. 7 -4 3 -2.9 1.8 -1.4 2.7 3.2 -12.4 4.6 6. 1 2.6 -.3 -10.8 -15. 0 -13. 3 -10. 8 International -18. 0 -13. 0 -16. 8 -18. 4 -17.8 -23. 8 -28. 3 -21.6 -27. 6 -30. 1 -26. 9 -28. 6 -21. 5 -16.0 -21. 8 -26. 9 2. 4 2. 6 2. 7 2.8 2.8 2. 8 2. 9 2.9 3.4 2.9 2.8 2.5 2. 9 3. 1 3. 1 2.7 2.8 27. 2 28. 6 30. 3 32. 3 37. 1 39. 1 43. 0 45.3 42. 0 42. 5 43.7 44 0 45. 3 45. 1 45. 6 45.4 47. 6 1 Personal income (p. 5) less persona] tax and nontax payments (fines, penalties, etc.). 2 Government transfer payments to persons, foreign net transfers by Government, net interest paid by government, and subsidies less current surplus of government enterprises. * Undistributed corporate profits, corporate inventory valuation adjustment, -T)iLal consumption allowances, and wage accruals less disbursements. Does include retained earnings of unincorporated business, which are included sposable personal income. Expenditures 23. 2 23. 0 25. 1 26. 4 28. 6 32.2 37. 9 40.6 36. 0 37. 1 39. 0 39. 7 39. 9 39.8 40. 2 42.4 44 9 40 5. 6 5. 1 5. 9 8. 5 6. 9 5. 1 48 6. 1 5.4 4. 6 4.3 5.3 5.3 5. 4 3.0 2.6 -1. 7 -3. 0 -2.5 -3. 1 -5. 7 -4 1 -L8 -2. 7 -2.5 -1.8 -1.8 -2. 5 -2.3 -2.3 -.3 .2 5048 520. 8 559. 8 590.8 633. 7 685. 8 745. 9 787.8 726.8 738.8 751.9 765.9 770.3 777. 9 792.4 811. 0 -1.0 -. 8 .5 -. 3 -1. 3 -2. 0 -2. 6 -3.0 -. 9 -2. 2 -3. 2 -3.8 -4 0 -2.8 -1.2 -3.5 Gross national product or expenditure 503. 7 520. 1 560. 3 590. 5 632.4 683. 9 743. 3 785.0 725. 9 736. 7 74a 8 762. 1 766.3 775. 1 791. 2 807.3 827. 3 * Private business investment, purchases of capital goods by private nonprofit institutions, and residential housing. s Net foreign investment with sign changed. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT OR EXPENDITURE Gross national product (seasonally adjusted) advanced at an annual rate of about 10 percent in the first quart according to preliminary estimate*. About three-fifths of the increase represented a rise in physical output and 1 rest higher prices. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 800 700 GOVERNMENT PURCHASES OF GOODS AND SERVICES •200 100 1962 ^PRELIMINARY. SOURCE, DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1966: 1967: _ I II III IV... I II III _ IV 1968: I* COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Personal Gross congross Total private national gross sump- domestic product national tion investin 1958 product expend- ment prices itures Billions of dollars; quarterly 452.5 447.3 475.9 487.7 497. 2 529.8 551. 0 581.1 616. 7 652. 6 669. 3 645. 4 649. 8 654. 8 661. 1 660. 7 664. 7 672. 0 679. 6 689. 7 441. 1 447.3 483.7 503.7 520. 1 560. 3 590. 5 632.4 683.9 743.3 785.0 725. 9 736. 7 748. 8 762. 1 766.3 775. 1 791. 2 807.3 827.3 281. 4 290. 1 311.2 325.2 335.2 355. 1 375. 0 401. 2 433. 1 465.9 491.7 458. 2 461. 6 470. 1 473.8 480. 2 489. 7 495. 3 501. 8 517. 8 67. 8 60.9 75.3 74. 8 71.7 83. 0 87. 1 94. 0 107.4 118.0 112.1 115.2 118. 5 116.4 122.2 110.4 105. 1 112. 2 120. 8 119. 4 *This category corresponds closely with budget expenditures for national defense, shown on p. 35. 2 Gross national product in current prices divided by gross national product in 1958 prices. Net exports of goods and services Government purchases of goods and services Federal State Total and National Other 1 Total defense local Implicit price deflator for total GNP, 1958 =100* data at seasonally adjusted annual rates 5.7 2.2 .1 4.0 5. 6 5. 1 5. 9 8.5 6.9 5.1 4.8 6. 1 5.4 4. 6 4.3 5.3 5. 3 5.4 3.0 2. 6 86. 1 94.2 97.0 99.6 107. 6 117. 1 122.5 128. 7 136.4 154.3 176.3 146.5 151.2 157.7 161. 7 17a4 175. 0 178. 2 181.7 187. 5 49. 5 53.6 53.7 53. 5 57. 4 63.4 64. 2 65. 2 66. 8 77. 0 89.9 72. 1 74.9 79. 5 81. 5 87. 1 89. 5 90. 9 92.2 95. 7 44, 2 45. 9 46. 0 44. 9 47.8 51. 6 50.8 50. 0 50. 1 60. 5 72.5 55. 1 58.4 63. 0 65.6 70.2 72. 5 73. 3 74. 2 76.6 5.3 7. 7 7.6 ae 9.6 11.8 13.5 15. 2 16.7 16. 5 17.4 17. 1 16. 6 16.6 15. 9 16.8 17.0 17. 6 18.0 19. 1 36.6 40. 6 43.3 46. 1 50. 2 53. 7 58. 2 63.5 69.6 77.2 86.4 74.3 76.2 78. 1 80. 2 83. 3 85. 4 87.4 89.5 91.9 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. 97.5 100. 0 101. 6 103. 3 104. 6 105. 8 107. 2 108.8 110.9 113. 9 117.3 112. 5 113. 5 114.4 115.3 116. 0 116. 6 117. 7 118.8 120. 0 RATIONAL INCOME "orporate profits before taxes advanced $5 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the fourth quarter to a record 15 billion. According to preliminary estimates, compensation of employees rose by a record $14 billion in the jt quarter. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 300 CORPORATE PROFITS AND INVENTORY VALUATION ADJUSTMENT PROPRIETORS' AND RENTAL INCOME 100 1962 1968 J^RELIMINARY. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Total national income Period 1958 1959 __ 1960 _ _ 1961_ 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 _ _ _ __ _ __ 1967__ 1966: I II III IV 1967: ! _ _ _ II III IV _ 1968: I ^ 1 _ _ 367. 8 400. 0 414. 5 427. 3 457. 7 481. 9 518. 1 562.4 616.7 650. 2 600.3 610.4 622. 1 634. 1 636.4 641. 6 653. 4 669. 3 Compensation of em- l ployees 257. 8 279. 1 294. 2 302. 6 323. 6 341. 0 365.7 393.9 435.7 469.7 420.8 430.7 441.2 450.2 459. 1 463.4 472.6 483.6 497. 5 Proprietors7 income Farm 2 13. 4 11. 4 12. 0 12. 8 13. 0 13. 1 12.1 14.8 16. 1 14,8 17. 1 16.0 15.9 15. 1 14.6 14.3 15. 0 15.2 15. 5 Includes employer contributions for social insurance. (See also p. 4.) * Excludes farm profits of corporations engaged in farming and therefore differs from net farm Income (Including net inventory change) on p. 6 which includes such profits. Business and professional Rental income of persons 33.2 35. 1 34. 2 35. 6 37. 1 37. 9 40.2 41.9 43.2 43. 6 42.8 43.3 43.3 43.4 43.2 43.4 43.8 44. 1 44. 4 15. 4 15. 6 15. 8 16. 0 16.7 17. 1 18.0 19.0 19.4 20.1 19.2 19.3 19.4 19.6 19.8 20.0 20. 2 20. 4 20.6 Net interest 6.8 7. 1 8. 4 10. 0 11. 6 13.8 15.8 17.9 20.2 22. 4 19.3 19.8 20.4 21. 1 21.6 22. 1 22. 7 23. 3 23.9 Corporate profits and inventory valuation adjustment 3 Total 41. 1 51.7 49.9 50. 3 55. 7 58. 9 66.3 74.9 82.2 79.6 81.1 81.3 81.9 84.6 78.1 78.3 79. 2 82. 7 Profits Inventory before valuation taxes 3 adjustment 41. 4 52. 1 49.7 50. 3 55. 4 59. 4 66.8 76.6 83.8 80.7 83.7 83.6 84.0 83.9 79.0 78. 9 80.0 85. 1 »See Note, p. 7. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. -0.3 -. 5 .2 -. 1 .3 5 7$ -1.6 -1.2 -2.6 -2.3 -2.2 .7 -.8 — .7 Q _^ ^ -2.3 -4.7 SOURCES OF PERSONAL INCOME In March, personal income rose $6% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rafe), following a revised increase of $8 billion in February. The higher Social Security benefits which started in March were responsible for about half of tl rise. Transfer payments increased $31/3 billion, most of which was due to higher Social Security benefits which start* in March. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 700 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 600 600 500 500 WAGE AND SALARY DISBURSEMENTS 400 400 \ 300 300 OTHER INCOME 100 100 TRANSFER PAYMENTS 1962 1963 1964 1965 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1959__ 1960___ _ 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966__ _1967 1967: Feb____ Mar Apr May___j June__J Julv — j Aui___ Sept____ Oct Nov___ Dec 1968: Jan Feb Mar ?__ 1966 1967 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; monthly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Wage Rental Total and Other Proprietors' income income Personal Transfer Divipersonal salary labor 2 Business paydends interest ments of income disburse- income and pro- persons Farm income 1 ments fessional 383.5 258. 2 11. 3 11. 4 12. 6 35. 1 15. 6 20. 7 26. 6 401. 0 270. 8 12. 0 12. 0 34. 2 23. 4 28. 5 15. 8 13. 4 416. 8 12. 7 278. 1 12. 8 32. 4 35. 6 25. 0 16. 0 13. 8 442. 6 296. 1 13. 9 13. 0 37. 1 15. 2 27! 7 16. 7 33. 3 465. 5 14. 9 311. 1 13. 1 37. 9 16. 5 17. 1 31. 4 35. 3 497. 5 12. 1 333. 7 16. 6 40! 2 is! o 17! 8 34* 9 36. 7 537. 8 359. 1 14. 8 18. 6 41. 9 19. 0 38. 4 39. 7 19. 8 584. 0 394. 6 20." 8 16. 1 21. 5 43. 2 42. 4 19.' 4 43! 9 626.4 423. 8 14, 8 23. 2 43. 6 20. 1 22. 8 46* 5 51. 9 612. 6 414. 2 22. 2 14. 6 43. 2 19. 8 22. 3 45. 2 51. 1 615. 6 i 416. 2 22. 4 14. 3 43. 1 22. 6 51. 7 19. 9 45. 5 616. 5 416. 7 22. 6 14. 4 22. 8 43. 3 51. 0 20. 0 45. 8 618.2 417. 2 22. 8 14. 4 43. 4 23. 1 51. 5 20. 0 46. 0 622. 6 14. 3 420. 9 1 23. 1 43. 6 51. 6 20. 1 46. 1 23. 3 627. 0 423. 4 14.7 23. 3 46.4 52.2 43. 7 20. 2 23. 5 631. 6 426. 7 23.6 15. 0 43. 8 52. 4 20. 2 46. 9 23. 5 634.4 428.5 23. 8 15. 3 52. 5 43. 9 23.4 47. 3 20. 3 635. 9 429. 4 24. 0 15. 1 44. 0 52. 8 20. 3 23. 2 47. 6 642.4 435. 3 24. 3 15.2 44. 1 48. 0 52. 8 20. 4 23. 1 649.3 443. 1 24. 6 15. 3 44. 2 20. 4 48. 5 53. 1 21. 0 650. 9 442. 4 24. 9 i 15. 3 44. 3 22. 9 54. 0 48. 9 20. 5 659.3 449. 0 15.4 25.2 44.4 23.2 49.4 20.5 54.7 666. 0 451. 1 25. 5 15. 6 44. 5 58.0 20.6 23. 6 49. 9 1 Compensation of employees (see p. 3) excluding employer contributions for social insurance and wage accruals less disbursements. 2 Employer contributions to private pension, health, and welfare funds; compensation for injuries; directors' fees; military reserve pay; and a few other minor items. Less: Personal con- Nonagritributions cultural 3 for social personal insurance income 368. 5 7. 9 385. 2 9. 3 400. 0 9. 6 425. 5 10. 3 11. 8 448. 1 12. 5 480. 9 518. 4 13. 4 56 3! 1 17! 9 606. 5 20. 4 593.0 20. 0 596. 2 20. 1 596. 9 20. 1 598. 8 20. 1 603. 2 20. 3 607.2 20. 4 20.6 611. 4 20. 6 614.0 615.7 20.6 622.0 20.8 21. 1 628.8 22. 3 630.3 638.6 22.6 645.0 22. 7 3 Personal income exclusive of net income of unincorporated farm enterprises, farm wages, agricultural net interest, and net dividends paid by agricultural corporations, NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. DISPOSITION OF PERSONAL INCOME jpliminary estimates indicate that personal income advanced a record $16 billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) ^the first quarter and disposable income rose $14 billion. With persona! outlays surging ahead by a record $16% uillion, the saving rate dropped sharply from 7.5 to 6.8 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS -OF bOLURS 600 600 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 550 500 DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME 450 400 350 2,200 2,000 ^1,800 1968 J/PRELIMINARY. SOURC& DEPASTMENT OF COMMERCE L Period PerPer sonal • sonal tax and | income nontax i payments i I - COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Per capita disLess: Personal outlays posable personal Equals: Personal consumption Equals: income Disexpenditures 2 Personal posable Total saving Current 1958 personal personal Durable Nondurable Services prices prices income outlays l goods goods ; 1959 383.5 40. '2 1 337. 3 401. 0 416. 8 350. 0 1960 _ 1961 ! 1963. 1964 1965 1966 ; -105. :» ' 497. 5 537. S 5X4. 0 50. 52 57 00. 59. 05. 75. 1967 ' »>2(J. 4 81.7 1962 4-12.0 1966: I ; !!___ III_ i IV.J 1967: I i IL._i III J 1V_J 1968: I " _ J 567. 8 577. 3 589. 3 601. 6 612. 9 619. i 631. 0 642. 5 658. 7 '.) ' *-1 ',} -1 ; (\ I' 364. 4 385. 3 404. 0 438. 1 472. 2 508. 8 544.7 70. 4 ! 497. 5 503. 3 74. 1 512. 4 76. 9 522. 0 79. 6 80. 2 79. 1 82.8 84.7 87. 1 532. 7 540.0 548. 2 557.9 571. 7 Billions of dollars 146. 0 120.3 44. 3 318. 3 128.7 333. 0 45. 3 151.3 135. 1 155. 9 343. 3 44. 2 143. 0 102.6 49.5 363. 7 108. 0 152. 4 53. <) 384. 7 178. 7 i 03. 3 411.1) 59.2 175. <> 445. 0 GO. 0 19.1. 2 188. 1 70. 3 207. 5 470. 0 202. 1 217. 5 505. 9 72. 1 Seasonalhi atljuxled annual rates 203. 2 i 183. 5 71. 0 470. i) 186. 3 ! 207. 1 474. G (38. 2 189. S 209. 5 483. 2 70. <> 192. 9 210. 3 70. 6 487. 4 214. 2 196. 6 i 69. 4 493. 9 200. 0 217. 2 504. 0 72.5 204. 1 218. 5 72. 7 509. 6 207. 7 220. 3 73.8 516. 2 211. 9 77. 9 i 228. 0 532. 6 1 Includes personal consumption expenditures, interest paid by consumers, id personal transfer payments to foreigners. See p. 2 for total personal consumption expenditures. neludes armed forces abroad. Annual data are for July 1; quarterly data or middle of period, interpolated from monthly data. 19. 1 17. 0 21.2 21. 6 19. 9 26. 2 27. 2 29. 8 38. 7 l>(5. 0 28. 7 29. 2 34. 6 38. 8 36. 0 38. 5 41. 6 39. 1 Saving as percent of Population dis(thou-3 posable personal sands) income (percent) Dollars 1,905 1,881 1,883 1, 937 1,983 1,909 2,064 1,968 2,130 2,013 2, 280 2, 123 2, 427 2,232 2, 584 2, 317 i 2, 736 2, 393 ' 2, 304 2, 537 2, 302 2, 560 2. 324 2, 598 2, 341 2,639 2, 373 2, 686 2, 716 2, 388 2,394 2, 749 2,789 2, 413 i 2, 852 2, 442 II 5.6 4.9 5.8 5.6 4. 9 6. 0 5.8 5.9 7. 1 5. 3 5. 7 5. 7 6. 6 7. 3 6.7 7.0 7. 5 6. 8 177, 073 180, 684 183, 756 186, 656 189,417 192, 120 194, 592 196, 920 199, 118 196, 196, 197, 197, 198, 198, 199, 200, 200, NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Sources: Department of Commerce and Council of Economic Advisers. 096 629 216 834 356 852 425 006 433 FARM INCOME Net farm income excluding inventory change (seasonally adjusted) advanced 61/2 percent in the first quarter, accordi to preliminary estimates. Including inventory change, there was a rise of 2 percent. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 60 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 60 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES /— 50 REALIZED GROSS FARM INCOME - A ^-S 50 ^ ^ 40 30 30 NET FARM INCOME INC1UDING NET INVENTCDRY CHANGE 20 \ 20 + ****** Ml i ++* *»^ *«- — —-*'^ 10 10 ! 1 \ ! I I 1963 1962 1 ! 1 I ! 1965 1964 1 Personal income received b}^ total farm population 1966: I II _ ._ III . IV 1967: I II III _ _ IV 1968: I From all sources __> . From farm sources From nonfarm sources I 1 1 I 1967 I ! 1968 18. I 18.7 19. 0 19. 2 18. 7 18.0 20.3 21. 3 20. 1 11. 0 11.4 12. 1 12.2 12. 0 11.2 13.4 14. 4 13. 2 7.0 7.2 6.9 7. 0 6. 7 6.8 6.9 6. 9 6. 9 Net to farm operators Net income per farm including net inventory change 3 ProducCash tion ex- Exclud- Includreceipts penses ing net in- ing net in- Current 1967 Total i from ventory ventory prices prices * 2 marketchange change ings Dollars Billions of dollars 3, 106 37.5 26. 1 11.4 33. 5 2,795 11. 5 3,381 26.2 37.9 12. 0 34. 0 11.7 3,043 3,724 39.6 3,389 34.9 27. 0 12.6 12.9 3,872 41. 1 3,562 12. 5 36. 2 13. 1 28. 5 3,947 37.2 42. 1 29. 6 12. 5 13. 1 3,671 42.4 3, 774 29.4 37. 1 13.0 3, 510 12. 2 4, 413 4,645 39. 1 30.9 13.9 14.9 44.8 5, 090 49. 7 43. 2 4,988 16. 4 33. 3 16. 2 42. 5 34. 4 14. 5 14. 9 4,705 48.9 4,705 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 17. 3 49. 5 43. 3 32. 6 5,320 5,480 16. 9 4,980 49. 5 43. 1 33. 1 16. 2 5, 080 16. 4 4, 950 5, 000 43. 3 33. 5 16. 5 50. 0 16. 1 4, 760 49. 9 34. 0 4, 710 43. 2 15. 9 15. 3 42. 6 34. 3 14. 8 4,720 49. 3 4, 670 15. 0 42. 4 34. 5 14. 5 4, 580 4, 580 14. 6 49. 1 4, 800 4, 750 34. 4 14. 8 15. 2 49. 2 42.9 42. 1 34. 2 15.4 4,810 4,860 48. 1 13. 9 5, 040 34. 9 14. 8 15. 7 5, 140 43. 3 49. 7 1 Oasli receipts from marketings, Government payments, and nonmoney income furnished by farms. 2 Inventory of crops and livestock valued at the average price for the year. Also, see footnote 2, p. 3. 3 Based on 1959 Census of Agriculture definition of a farm. The number of farms is held constant within a year. I Income received from farming Realized gross 1959 I960 _ 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 I 1966 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Period ! 4 income in current prices divided by the index of prices paid by farmers for family living items on a 1967 base. Source: Department of Agriculture. CORPORATE PROFITS orporatc profits before taxes (seasonally adjusted annual rate) jumped $5 billion in the fourth quarter, rising to a cord $85 billion, according to current estimates. For the year 1967 as a whole, profits before taxes were down 3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 1962 J/EXCLUDING INVENTORr VALUATION ADJUSTMENT. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE : Period 1959 1960 1961 1962__ _ 1963- _ 1964___ 1965— 1966 1967 _ _ 1966: I !!___ IILIV_. 1967: I II III IV.__ 1968: I» _. 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Corporate profits (before taxes) and inventory Corporate profits valuation adjustment after taxes Corpo- Profits plus rate TransCorpo- CorpoManufacturin g capital capital portation rate rate conconcomDiviUntax profits NonAll Durable durable muniAll 1 before liabil- Total dend distrib- sump- sumpindustion tion goods uted paytaxes ity Total indusgoods cations, other tries and ments profits allow-2 allowindusances ances 3 tries public tries utilities 26.3 13. 6 12.7 51. 7 52. 1 18. 4 23. 7 7.0 28. 5 12.6 15. 9 52. 0 23. 5 12. 0 12. 4 24, 4 49. 9 17. 9 49. 7 23. 0 26.7 13. 2 7.5 13.4 24. 9 51. 6 11. 4 23. 3 11. 9 50. 3 50.3 19. 1 23. 1 7.9 27. 2 13. 5 13.8 26. 2 53. 5 14. 1 12. 5 26. 6 55. 7 24. 2 8. 5 20. 5 55. 4 31. 2 16. 0 15. 2 61. 3 30. 1 15. 8 28.8 13.0 58. 9 20. 6 26. 3 33. 1 59. 4 9.5 16. 5 16. 6 31. 8 64, 8 32.7 14.9 17.8 23.5 66.3 10.1 28.3 38.4 66.8 20.6 17.8 72.3 33.9 22. 2 38.7 16.5 74.9 11.2 25.0 31.4 45.2 76.6 25.4 19.8 81.7 36.5 24.4 18.7 43. 1 82. 2 27.2 34.5 83.8 49.3 11.9 21.5 27.8 39.0 88.3 21. 3 39.3 18.0 79.6 12. 0 33.2 28.3 47.5 80.7 41. 4 22.8 88.9 24.7 42.7 24.3 18.3 26.7 83.7 81. 1 49.2 34.5 11.7 21.4 27.8 38.3 87.5 24.0 42. 5 18.5 81.3 12.0 34.5 49.2 83.6 26.8 27.6 21.6 38.7 87.9 42.7 23.9 81.9 18.8 27.3 84.0 34.6 49.4 11.8 21.6 27.8 39.2 88.6 44.4 25.3 19.2 84.6 28.2 12.0 83.9 34.6 49.3 28.2 21.2 89. 1 39.8 39.6 21. 1 18.4 78.1 26.9 11.7 79.0 32.5 46.5 22.2 24.2 86.7 40.3 21. 1 38. 9 17. 8 78. 3 11. 9 27. 5 78. 9 32. 5 46.5 23.4 23.1 40.9 87. 4 38. 2 20.5 79.2 17.7 12. 1 80.0 32. 9 28. 9 23.4 47. 1 2&6 88.8 41.8 22. 4 40. 6 82.7 18. 3 12. 3 29. 8 85. 1 35.0 50. 1 22. 4 27. 6 42. 5 92.6 2a 2 4a 1 1 Includes all other industries andfinancialinstitutions. 'Includes depreciation, capital outlays charged to current account, and accidental damages. ^ * Corporate profits after taxes plus corporate capital consumption allowances. 92-721 *—6 NOTE.—Data beginning 1962 adjusted for efiects of new depreciation guidelines ($2H billion for 1962) and therefore not comparable with preceding data. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. GROSS PRIVATE DOMESTIC INVESTMENT Dominated by a $5% billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) drop in inventory investment, gross private domes! investment fell $11/2 billion in the first quarter. Business fixed investment advanced over $3 billion to a new reed high. Residential construction continued to rise with a gain of over $1A billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 140 40 40 20 —ss* 20 1968 1962 J4>RELIWINARY. SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Fixed investment Period Total gross private domestic investment Total Structures 67. 8 60. 9 75. 3 74. 8 71. 7 83. 0 87. 1 94. 0 107. 4 118. 0 112. 1 115. 2 118. 5 116. 4 122. 2 110. 4 105. 1 112. 2 120.8 119.4 66. 5 62. 4 70. 5 71.3 69.7 77.0 81. 3 88. 2 98. 0 104.6 107.0 105. 3 104. 5 104. 9 103. 7 103. 3 104. 6 108. 4 111.6 115.5 46. 4 41. 6 45. 1 48. 4 47.0 51. 7 54. 3 61. 1 71. 1 80. 2 82.6 78.3 78. 7 81. 2 82.8 81. 9 81. 5 82. 8 84.0 87.2 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. S Producers' durable equipment Total Total Total 1957 1958__ _ __ 1959 _ 1960 1961 1962 1963. _ 1964 1965 1966. _ ___ 1967 1966: I II III IV 1967: I _ II III IV 1968: I *__ Residential structures N onresidential 18.0 16. 6 16. 7 18. 1 18. 4 19. 2 19. 5 21.2 25.1 27.9 26.8 28.3 27.5 28.2 27.7 27.7 26.3 26. 6 26.7 28.7 Nonfarm 17.2 15. 8 15. 9 17.4 17. 7 18. 5 18.8 20.5 24.4 27.2 26. 1 27.6 26.8 27.4 26.9 26.9 25.6 25. 9 25.9 27.9 Total 28. 4 25. 0 28. 4 30.3 28. 6 32. 5 34. 8 39.9 46. 0 52. 3 55. 7 50. 0 51. 2 53. 1 55. 1 54. 2 55. 2 56. 2 57. 3 58. 5 Nonfarm 25. 9 22. 2 25. 4 27. 7 25. 8 29. 4 31. 2 36.3 41.9 47.8 51.4 45.5 46.9 48.7 50. 1 50.0 50.6 51. 9 53.0 54. 1 20.2 20.8 25. 5 22. 8 22. 6 25. 3 27. 0 27.1 27.0 24.4 24. 4 27.0 25.8 23.7 20.9 21.4 23.1 25. 6 27.6 2a3 Nonfarm 19.5 20. 1 24.8 22. 2 22. 0 24. 8 26. 4 26. 6 26. 4 23.8 23.9 26. 5 25. 3 23. 2 20. 4 20. 9 22. 5 25.0 27.0 27.8 Source: Department of Commerce. Change in business inventories Total 1.3 — 1. 5 4. 8 3. 6 2. 0 6. 0 5. 9 5.8 9.4 13. 4 5.2 9.9 14 0 11. 4 18. 5 7. 1 .5 as 9.2 3.9 Nonfarm 0. 8 -2.3 4. 8 3.3 1.7 5. 3 5. 1 6. 4 8. 4 13.7 4.8 9. 6 14. 4 12. 0 19. 0 7.3 .6 3. 4 7.7 3.0 EXPENDITURES FOR NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT isiness expenditures for new plant and equipment totaled $61.7 billion in 1967, or about 2 percent above 1966. p most recent survey shows a jump of 3% percent in the first quarter (seasonally adjusted) while an advance of ..jarly 6 percent is expected for 1968 as a whole. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1 70 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 70 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES 60 60 TOTAL NEW PLANT AND EQUIPMENT 50 50 40 40 ••„„„,»»»»»*"*"" NONMANUFACTURING 30 30 .»•"" .••" ' „.„ ««"•' i^^ 20 20 MANUFACTURING 10 10 I I t f 1962 \ I i 1963 I j/ \ J/ \ y i i 1964 1965 1966 1968 1967 -I/SEE NOTE 3 ON TABLE BELOW SOURCES: SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION AND DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars; quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Manufacturing Period Total i Total 1953 _ 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964_ _ 1965 1966 1967 __ 28. 32 26.83 _ _ ___ _ _ ___ ,_ _ _ _ _ _ __ _ 28. 70 35. 08 36. 96 30. 53 32. 54 35. 68 34. 37 37. 31 39. 22 44. 90 51.96 60.63 61.66 19683 65.23 1967: I II III IV. 1968: I 33 II -- 2d half 3 1 Excludes 1 - 61.65 61. 50 60.90 62.70 64.80 64.30 66.05 11. 91 11. 04 11. 44 14.95 15. 96 11. 43 12. 07 14. 48 13. 68 14. 68 15. 69 18. 58 22.45 26. 99 26. 69 27.93 27.85 27. 00 26.15 26.00 28.00 28. 10 27.85 Durable goods Nondurable goods 5.65 5. 09 5. 44 7. 62 8. 02 5. 47 5. 77 7. 18 6. 27 7. 03 7. 85 9. 43 11.40 13.99 13.70 14.39 14. 20 13. 75 13.50 13.50 14.60 14.55 14.25 6. 26 5. 95 6. 00 7.33 7. 94 5. 96 6.29 7. 30 7. 40 7. 65 7. 84 9. 16 11.05 13.00 13.00 13.54 13. 70 13. 25 12. 65 12.55 13.40 13.55 13.60 agriculture. Commercial and other includes trade, service, finance, communications, and fraction. stimates based on anticipated capital expenditures as reported by business te January and February 1968. Includes adjustments when necessary for „ _.jmatic tendencies in anticipatory data. NOTE.—Beginning 1969 all quarterly data are rounded to nearert $50 million. Transportation Railroads Other Public utilities 1.31 . 85 . 92 1.23 1. 40 .75 . 92 1. 03 .67 . 85 1.10 1. 41 1.73 1.98 1.53 1.27 1.80 1. 55 1.40 1.40 1.45 1. 15 1.25 1. 56 1.51 1. 60 1.71 1.77 1. 50 2. 02 1. 94 1. 85 2.07 1. 92 2. 38 2.81 3.44 3.88 4.51 3. 05 3.90 4. 10 4.45 4.00 3.90 5. 10 4.55 4. 22 4.31 4. 90 6. 20 6. 09 5. 67 5. 68 5.52 5. 48 5.65 6. 22 6.94 8.41 9.88 10.88 9. 20 9. 70 9.80 10.65 11.25 10.95 10.70 Mining 0.99 .98 .96 1.24 1. 24 . 94 . 99 . 99 . 98 1. 08 1. 04 1. 19 1.30 1.47 1.42 1.58 1. 40 1. 30 1.45 1.50 1.55 1.60 1.60 Commercial and other 2 8. 00 8.23 9.47 11.05 10. 40 9.81 10.88 11. 57 11. 68 13. 15 13. 82 15. 13 16.73 18.36 18.25 19.05 18.30 18. 05 17.95 18.70 18. 55 18. 60 19.50 Annual total is the sum of unadjusted expenditures; it does not necessarily coincide with the average oJ seasonally adjusted figures. These figures do not agree with the totals included in the gross national product estimates of the Department of Commerce, principally because the latter cover agricultural investment and also certain equipment and construction outlays charged to current expense. Sources: Securities and Exchange Commission and Department of Commerce. EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGEP STATUS OF THE LABOR FORCE , The civilian labor force, seasonally adjusted, declined slightly in March. Total employment reached a new high 75.8 million. Unemployment dropped to below 2.9 million, about the same as a year earlier. MILLIONS OF PERSONS* MILLIONS OF PERSONS* 90 90 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 85 85 TOTAL LABOR FORCE 80 80 75 75 70 70 ^-xr»—~ \ EMPLOYMENT 65 10 UNEMPLOYMENT 0 1 ' i i i i I t t i i i Ii t t i t i i i i I i Ii i i i i i i i i i i Ii ii i i I i i i i i It i i i i I i i i i i I i i t i i I i t i i i I i i i i i I i i i t i I 0 PERCENT OF CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE SEASONALLY ADJUSTED UNEMPLOYMENT RATE _™ n - r -, ~~l n t J; : n ? 1962 1964 1963 - '* i< 1966 1965 Jfj 1967 1968 *16 YEARS OF AGE AND OVER. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period 1963___ 1964___ 1965___ 1966___ 1967___ 74, 75, 77, 78, 80, Civilian emUnemployment Labor Total Civilian employment ployment rate (percent of force labor force Unem- civilian labor partici"NT JNon- Unem- (includ- Civilian Nonforce) pation labor Agriployployagnagning Total ment force Total ment Unad- Season- rate, culculculunadarmed tural tural tural justed ally ad- justed * forces) justed Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over Percent 67, 762 63, 076 4,070 74, 571 71, 833 67, 762 4,687 63, 076 4,070 5. 7 59. 6 69, 305 64, 782 3,786 75, 830 73, 091 69, 305 4,523 64, 782 3,786 5. 2 59. 6 71, 088 66, 726 3,366 77, 178 74, 455 71, 088 4,361 66, 726 3,366 4. 5 59. 7 72, 895 68, 915 2,875 78, 893 75, 770 72, 895 3,979 68, 915 2,875 3. 8 60. 1 74, 372 70, 527 2,975 80, 793 77, 347 74, 372 3,844 70, 527 2,975 3.8 60. 6 Unadjusted Seasonally adjusted Total labor force (including armed forces) 1967: Feb.. MarApr _ May. June. July. Aug_ Sept. Oct__ Nov_ Dec_ 1968: Jan__ Feb_ Mar_ 571 830 178 893 793 79, 107 78, 949 79, 560 79, 551 82, 464 82, 920 82, 571 80, 982 81, 595 81, 582 81, 527 1 79, 811 80, 869 80, 938 72, 506 72, 560 73, 445 73, 637 75, 391 76, 221 76, 170 74, 631 75, 181 75, 218 75, 338 69, 225 69, 149 69, 724 69, 812 70, 996 71, 705 71, 792 70, 700 71, 148 71, 460 71, 793 3, 183 2,954 2, 666 2,457 3, 628 3,250 2,942 2, 895 2, 951 2,894 2,719 80, SS9 80, 112 80, 268 79, 958 80, 658 80, 944 81, 057 81, 263 81, 535 81, 459 81, 942 76, 921 76, 676 76, 814 76, 502 73, 273 74, 114 74, 517 69, 908 70, 653 70, 980 3,074 3,288 2,929 81, 388 82, 138 82, 150 77, 495 77, 598 77, 807 78, 072 77, 989 78, 478 74, 063 73, 822 73, 939 73, 550 74, 169 74, 478 74, 664 74, 638 74, 735 75, 005 75, 577 8,876 3,858 3,843 3, 728 3, 739 3,847 3,956 3, 697 3, 718 3,839 4,216 70, 187 69, 964 70, 096 69, 822 70, 430 70, 631 70, 708 70, 941 71,017 71, 166 71, 361 2,858 2,854 2,876 2, 952 3,045 3,017 2,934 3, 169 r 77, 923 78, 672 78, 658 75, 167 75, 731 75, 802 4,003 4,127 71, 184 71, 604 71, 788 2,756 2,941 2, 856 77, 814 1 Total labor force as percent of noninstitutional population. NOTE.—Seasonally adjusted series revised; see Employment and Earnings and Monthly Report on the Labor Force, February 1968. Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 10 4,014 Source: Department of Labor. & <s& o, oo ty 2,984 2,896 4. 2 3.9 3. 5 3.2 4, 6 4. 1 3. 7 3. 7 3. 8 3. 7 3. 7 8. 7 3. 9 3. 9 8. 9 8.8 4. 1 4. 8 3.7 3.5 8.8 4. 0 3.5 4.2 3.8 8. 7 8. 7 8. 6 59.7 59. 5 59.9 59. 8 6L 9 62. 2 61.8 60. 5 60. 9 60.8 60.7 59. 3 60.0 60. 0 SELECTED MEASURES OF UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME EMPLOYMENT [ seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined from 3.7 percent in February to 3.6 percent in March. Most asures of unemployment showed improvement. LABOR FORCE TIME LOST THROUGH UNEMPLOYMENT AND PART-TIME WORK UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, ALL CIVILIAN WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, EXPERIENCED WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS UNEMPLOYMENT RATE, MARRIED MEN 0 I ! I I I I I I I ! I 1I 1I I I i I i I i ' i I i I i ! I I I I 1I I I I I I I i 1i 1I I i j i I I I I I I I I I I I I I f I I I I I I I ! I I I I I I I I I I l l I 0 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF IABOR Unemployment rate (percent of civilian labor force in group) Labor force time lost Experi- Married through unemenced All ployment Over 40 wage and men workers salary (wife and part- hours present) time workers work * Period 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 _ _ 1967- Feb Mar__ Apr May June July * J Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec __ ___ 1968: Jan Feb Mar 5. 7 5.2 4.5 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 3. 9 3.8 4. 1 4. 3 3.8 3. 7 3.5 3.7 3. 6 Percent 3.4 5. 5 5.0 2.8 2. 4 4.3 3. 5 1. 9 3.6 1.8 Seasonally adjusted 3.4 1.7 1.8 3.5 3.4 1.9 3.6 1.9 3.7 1.9 3. 7 1.8 3.6 1.9 3. 9 1.8 4. 1 1. 9 3.7 1.7 3.5 1.7 3. 3 1. 6 3.5 1.7 3.4 1.7 J 6. 4 5.8 5. 0 4.2 4.2 19, 271 20, 788 21, 334 20, 920 4. 1 4. 1 4.0 3.8 4.4 4.2 4.3 4. 6 4. 7 4. 2 4. 1 40 4.2 4.0 20, 625 20, 490 20, 759 20, 677 20, 577 22, 143 22, 485 22, 019 21, 411 21, 628 21, 954 19, 746 20, 557 20, 912 Man-hours lost by the unemployed and those on part-time for economic tis as a percent of total man-hours potentially available to the civilian labor , Beginning 1963, series reflects whether unemployed persons sought fullptime jobs. Hers from total nonagricultural employment (p. 13), which includes pervith jobs but not at work for such reasons as vacation, illness, bad weather, LU industrial disputes. 1968 Persons at work in nonagricultural 2 industries by hours worked per week Under 35 hours 35-40 hours Part-time for economic reasons Total Part-time for economic reasons Usually Usually Usually fullpartfulltime 3 time 4 time 3 Thousands of persons 16 years of age and over 1,069 1,222 29, 100 13, 101 986 1, 151 30, 768 11,818 897 1,031 32, 088 12, 034 871 793 32, 616 13, 290 1,060 853 Unadjusted Seasonally 31, 050 15, 243 1, 171 830 1, 178 32, 506 13, 777 1, 213 765 1, 229 32, 858 13, 791 1,179 730 1, 181 33, 273 13, 473 910 885 568 33, 082 12, 323 1, 133 1, 091 1, 072 32, 608 12, 477 997 1, 226 1, 058 33, 390 12, 066 1, 012 992 1, 163 33, 145 12, 219 1,073 1, 094 810 31, 641 15, 246 922 976 765 33, 413 13, 952 1, 078 1, 108 751 33, 628 14, 026 774 944 911 32, 031 14, 753 805 720 729 32, 383 15, 081 942 799 915 6 5 33, 566 13, 976 866 804 851 Usually parttime 4 adjusted 899 843 827 629 867 953 863 873 890 842 863 808 860 892 3 Includes persons who worked part-time because of slack work, material shortages or repairs, new job started, or job terminated. * Primarily includes persons who could find only part-time work. • Average hours worked: usually full-time, 24.2; usually part-time, 17.8. NOTE.—See Note, p. 10. Source: Department of Labor. 1 1 UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PROGRAMS In March, insured unemployment under State programs averaged 143,000 lower than in March 1967. The seasonc adjusted insured unemployment rate was 2.3 percent for the fifth month in a row. MILLIONS OF PERSONS MILLIONS OF PERSONS 13 3 WEEKLY INSURED UNEMPLOYMENT (STATE PROGRAMS) 1966 FEB. JAN. MAR. APRIL MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEPT. OCT. 1964_ ___ 1965 1966 1967 " 1967: Feb__ Mar Apr May June— JulyULUJ Aus Sept Oct Nov _ Dec 1968: Jan _ All programs Total Insured unem- benefits Covered ploypaid (milemploy- ment ment (weekly lions averof dolage) lars) __ Feb Mar "_ _ _ Week ended: 1968* Mar 9 Apr 16 23 30 6 13" " Thousands 49, 637 1, 753 51,580 1,450 54, 739 1, 129 1,270 "54,659 1,654 1,603 "55, 097 "55,591 1, 423 "55,985 1, 197 "57, 017 1,071 1, 245 1,123 956 953 1,068 1,339 1, 719 1, 653 1,480 _ _ 2, 749. 2 2, 360. 4 1, 890. 9 2, 220. 1 230.9 270.1 210. 5 193. 1 165. 4 155.3 184.0 132. 3 133. 0 146. 5 171.8 264.8 259. 4 240. 0 1, 566 1, 514 1, 444 ! 1, 370 1, 277 Insured unemployment 12 Initial claims State programs Insured unemployment as perExhaus- cent of covered employment tions Unad- Seasonjusted ally adjusted Weekly average, thousands 1, 605 26 268 21 232 1, 328 203 15 1, 061 17 226 1,205 267 16 1, 583 239 17 1, 533 244 20 1,360 1, 142 19 188 1, 019 19 186 1, 184 17 288 17 1,060 187 894 15 158 15 889 180 997 15 208 16 1,259 278 19 1, 624 316 227 19 1, 556 1, 390 183 18 1, 469 1,421 1,358 1,288 1,200 ! NOTE.—For definitions and coverage, see the 1967 Supplement to Economic Indicators. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included for all periods and for Puerto Kico since January 1961. DEC COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF IABOR Period NOV. 208 179 176 165 184 168 Source: Department of Labor. Percent 3.8 3. 0 2.3 2. 5 3.4 3.3 2. 9 2.4 2. 1 2.4 2.2 1. 8 1. 8 2.0 2.6 3.3 3. 2 2.8 3. 0 2. 9 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.6 2. 7 2.7 2.6 2. 8 2.6 2.4 2.4 2. S 2.3 2.3 2. S 2.3 Benefits paid Total Average (milweekly lions of check dollars) (dollars) 2, 522. 1 2, 166. 0 1, 771. 3 2, 101. 0 219. 5 257.5 200.6 183.6 156. 1 147. 3 172. 8 122.6 122. 1 134.9 159.2 248.5 243.7 225. 0 35. 92 37. 19 39.75 41. 25 41.97 42.07 41. 81 40.99 39. 99 40. 10 41. 08 40. 10 40. 70 41. 19 41.85 42.59 43.58 44. 00 ^TONAGRICULTURAL EMPLOYMENT tal nonagricultural payroll employment, seasonally adjusted, rose 143,000 in March. The increase was concentrated trade (64,000), State and local government (57,000), and services (27,000). Contract construction declined by ,000 while other major industries showed little or no change. MILLIONS OF WAGE AND SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) MILLIONS OF WAGE AND. SALARY WORKERS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED] (ENLARGED SCALE) 68 64 SERVICE AND MISCELLANEOUS 60 56 NONMANUFACTURING (PRIVATE) 36 32 DURABLE MANUFACTURING 24 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING \ MANUFACTURING 20 16 CONTRACT CONSTRUCTION GOVERNMENT \ 1 12 *-~J~~~ 8 1966 1965 1967 1968 1965 1966 1967 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR J [Thousands of wage and salary workers; seasonally adjusted] Nonmanufacturing (private) Manufacturing (private) Transtract portation Mining conand strue- public tion utilities 672 2,816 3,903 650 2,902 3,906 635 2,963 3.903 634 3, 050 Si 951 632 3,186 4,036 625 3,292 4, 151 613 3,264 4,262 624 3,352 4,247 624 3,313 4,246 620 3, 276 4,212 617 3, 192 4,267 619 3, 187 4, 266 623 3, 231 4, 292 606 3, 223 4, 283 601 3, 238 4, 262 597 3, 236 4, 251 597 3, 289 4,287 598 3,353 4,290 598 3, 175 4,294 602 3,461 4, 321 602 3,442 4, 321 Prm V_/UU— Period Total 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 _ _ 1967 1967: Feb. Mar. Apr_ MayJuneJuly. Aug_ Sept_ Oct__ Nov _ Dec__ 1968: Jan__ Feb * Mar * 54, 042 55, 596 56, 702 58, 332 60, 832 63, 982 66, 063 65, 692 65, 749 65, 653 65, 639 65, 903 65, 939 66, 190 66, 055 66, 243 66, 918 67, 126 67, 137 67, 712 67, 855 Total 16, 326 16, 853 16, 995 17, 274 18, 062 19, 186 19, 339 19, 507 19, 445 19, 331 19, 238 19, 285 19, 169 19, 318 19, 142 19, 169 19, 422 19, 491 19, 511 19, 525 19, 522 NonDurable durable Total goods goods 9,070 9,480 9,616 9, 816 10, 406 11, 256 11, 327 11, 482 11, 434 11, 322 11,283 11,285 11, 218 11,351 11, 149 11, 143 11, 364 11,399 11, 444 11, 422 11,417 7,256 7, 373 7, 380 7, 458 7, 656 7,930 8,012 8, 025 8,011 8, 009 7, 955 8, 000 7, 951 7,967 7,993 8,026 8,058 8,092 8,067 8, 103 8, 105 29, 122 29, 853 30, 481 31, 461 32, 678 33, 925 35, 110 34, 812 34, 865 34, 847 34, 877 34, 982 35, 101 35, 159 35, 245 35, 329 35, 660 35, 747 35, 648 36, 161 36, 242 1 Includes all full- and part-time wage and salary workers in conagricultural "'tablishments who worked during or received pay for any part of the pay period dch includes the 12th of the month. Excludes proprietors, self-employed peris, domestic servants, and personnel of the armed forces. Total derived from i table not comparable with estimates of nonagricultural employment of the ilian labor force, shown on p. 10, which include proprietors, self-employed sons, and domestic servants; which count persons as employed when they are not at work because of industrial disputes; and which are based on an enu Government Whole- Finance, Service insurState sale and ance, and and and miscel- Federal local retail real laneous trade estate 6,315 11,337 2,731 7,664 2,279 6,550 11, 566 2,800 8,028 2,340 6,868 11,778 2,877 8,325 2,358 12, 160 2,957 8, 709 2,348 7,249 7,714 12,716 3,023 9,087 2,378 13, 211 3,102 9,545 2,564 8,307 13, 672 3,228 10, 071 2,719 8,897 13, 541 3,165 9,883 2,673 8,700 8,754 13, 557 3,179 9,946 2,685 13, 572 3,194 9,973 2,688 8,787 8,826 13, 609 3,205 9,987 2, 698 13, 648 3,227 10, 035 2,747 8,889 13, 647 3, 234 10, 074 2, 759 8.910 8,967 13, 664 3,253 10, 130 2,746 13, 719 3,264 10, 161 2,715 8,953 13, 776 3,270 10, 199 2,712 9,033 13, 900 3,290 10, 297 2,698 9, 138 13, 870 3,304 10, 332 2,708 9,180 9,257 13, 915 3,308 10, 358 2,721 14, 047 3,321 10, 409 2,719 9,307 14, 111 3,330 10, 436 2,727 9,364 meration of population, whereas the estimates in this table are based on reports from employing establishments. NOTE.-—Beginning 1959, data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Department of Labor. 13 WEEKLY HOURS OF WORK - SELECTED INDUSTRIES The seasonally adjusted workweek in manufacfuring was unchanged at 40.7 hours in March. With the exceptic of a sharp weather-related dip in January, the factory workweek has held comparatively stable since August 196 There was a decline in the March weekly hours in construction and retail trade. HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 46 HOURS PER WEEK (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED; 46 NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING DURABLE MANUFACTURING 44 44 42 42 40 40 38 38 36 36 34 34 1965 1966 1967 1968 -v> /i i i 1 1 l i . . . i V 1965 . . . , , 1 , , , ., 1966 f > . , . , 1 , <, . . 1967 . , t . . 1 i i . ,.K N 1968 42 42 CONTRACT CONSTRUaiON RETAIL TRADE 40 40 38 38 36 36 34 34 32 32 30 30 L . . . . I . i . i 1965 1966 1967 -^~s^_r*"wte-«i—«n, ^^-^^^"^x^—X^ 4t i i i i 1 i i i i j V 1968 , , ! , , 1 1 1 1 1 . ,1,1,1,,',' *N .- . HI 1 . 1 LJ ! . 1 1 1 !K 1—1 1 1 UN 1963 1967 1966 1965 -- COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR 1 (Average hours per week; seasonally adjusted] Manufacturing industries Period 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1967: Feb Mar Apr ___ . ._ __ Mav June. _ JulyAue Sept Oct __ _ ___ __ _ _ _ _ Nov ^ Dec 1968: Jan Feb* Mar v __ Durable goods All _ _ 39. 2 40. 3 39. 7 39. 8 40. 4 40.5 40. 7 41.2 41. 3 40.6 40.3 40. 4 40. 5 40. 3 40. 3 40. 4 40.7 40. 8 40. 7 40. 8 40. 7 40. 2 40.7 40. 7 *Data relate to production workers or nonsupervisory employees. Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1969. 14 39. 5 40. 7 40. 1 40. 3 40. 9 41. 1 41. 4 42.0 42. 1 41. 2 41. 0 41. 1 41. 0 41. 0 40. 9 41. 0 41.3 41. 6 41. 3 41. 2 41.4 41. 0 41.4 41. 4 3 Nondurable goods Contract construction 38. 8 39. 7 39. 2 39. 3 39. 6 39. 6 39. 7 40. 1 40. 2 39. 7 39. 5 39. 5 39. 8 39. 5 39. 5 39. 6 39.7 39. 9 39.7 40. 1 39. 8 39. 2 40.0 39. 7 Includes eating and drinking places. Source: Department of Labor. 36. 8 37. 0 oG. 7 36. 9 37. 0 37. 3 87. 2 37. 4 37.6 37.7 37. 6 37. 4 37. 4 36. 4 37. 4 37. 5 37.5 38. 3 37. 1 39. 4 37. 3 36. 0 38.0 36.9 Retail trade s 38. 1 38. 2 sao 37.6 37.4 37.3 37. 0 36.6 35. 9 35. 3 35.3 35. 3 35. 1 35. 2 35.4 35.4 35.5 35. 4 35. 1 35.2 35. 1 34. 9 34.9 34.6 VERAGE HOURLY AND WEEKLY EARNINGS - SELECTED INDUSTRIES Wkly earnings in manufacturing rose slightly to $1 20.1 8 in March, bringing the over-the-year gain to $7.74. ConAuction earnings held steady while those in retail trade declined slightly. DOLLARS DOLLARS AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS AVERAGE WEEKLY EARNINGS 3.25 DURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES INDUSTRIES \ 3.00 |v; \\-J V'** DURABLE GOODS 120 110 ALL MANUFAaURING INDUSTRIES 2.50 _ i 100 NONDURABLE GOODS INDUSTRIES 2.25 90 1965 1968 1965 1966 1968 1967 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEs DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [For production workers or nonsupervisory employees] Average hourly earnings — current prices Period 1958 _ _ _ _ _ 1959 1960 — 1961 1962 _ 1963 1964.. _ __ 1965__ 1966 1967 1967: Feb.__ Mar _ _ Apr May_ _ June _ _ July.. Aug__ Sept— Oct___ Nov__ Dec-_ 1968: Jan___ Feb "_ Mar V. Average weekly earnings— current prices Manufacturing industries Contract conRetail J NonDurable durable structrade All goods tion goods Manufacturing industries Contract Retail 1 conNonDurable durable structrade All goods tion goods 2. 11 2. 19 2. 26 2. 32 2. 39 2. 46 2. 53 2. 61 2. 72 2. 83 2. 79 2.79 2. 80 2.81 2. 82 2. 82 2. 82 2. 85 2.85 2. 88 2.91 2. 94 2. 95 2. 96 2. 26 2. 36 2. 43 2. 49 2. 56 2. 63 2. 71 2. 79 2. 90 3. 00 2. 96 2. 96 2. 97 2.99 2. 99 3. 00 3. 00 3. 03 3.03 3. 06 3. 10 3. 13 3. 13 3. 14 1. 91 1. 98 2. 05 2. 11 2. 17 2. 22 2. 29 2. 36 2.45 2. 57 2. 53 2. 54 2. 55 2. 55 2. 56 2.57 2. 57 2. 61 2. 61 2. 62 2.64 2. 67 2.68 2. 69 2. 82 2. 93 3. 08 3. 20 3. 31 3. 41 3. 55 3. 70 3.88 4. 09 4.00 3.99 3. 99 4. 02 4. 02 4. 08 4. 10 4. 18 4. 21 4. 21 4.24 4. 33 4. 26 4. 26 1. 42 1. 47 1. 52 1. 56 1. 63 1. 68 1. 75 1. 82 1. 91 2. 01 1. 98 1. 98 2.00 2. 00 2. 01 2. 01 2. 01 2.03 2. 05 2. 05 2.04 2. 09 2. 12 2. 12 82. 71 88. 26 89. 72 92. 34 96. 56 99. 63 102. 97 107. 53 112. 34 114. 90 111. 88 112. 44 112. 56 113. 52 11.4. 49 113. 65 114. 77 116. 57 116. 28 117. 50 119.31 117. 60 119. 48 120. 18 [Includes eating and drinking places. Earnings in current prices, adjusted to exclude overtime and interindustry shifts. •Earnings in current prices divided by the consumer price index. 92-721 ° — 68 89. 27 96. 05 97. 44 100. 35 104. 70 108. 09 112. 19 117. 18 122. 09 123. 60 120. 77 121. 36 121. 18 122. 89 123. 19 122. 40 123. 30 126. 05 125. 44 126. 07 129. 58 127. 70 128. 96 129. 68 74. 11 78. 61 80. 36 82. 92 85. 93 87. 91 90. 91 94. 64 98. 49 102. 03 99. 18 100. 08 100. 22 100. 73 101. 63 102. 03 102. 80 104. 66 104. 14 105. 06 105. 60 103. 86 106. 40 106. 52 103. 78 108. 41 113. 04 118. 08 122. 47 127. 19 132. 06 138. 38 145. 89 154. 19 143. 60 146. 83 147. 23 149. 54 153. 56 157. 90 159. 08 162. 60 160. 40 161. 24 154. 76 151. 55 154. 64 154. 64 54, 10 56. 15 57. 76 58. 66 60. 96 62. 66 64. 75 66. 61 68. 57 70. 95 69. 10 69.30 69.80 69.80 71. 56 72. 96 72.96 71.66 71. 55 71. 34 72.22 72. 11 73. 14 72.72 Manufacturing industries Adjusted Average hourly weekly earnings, earnings, 1957-59= 1957-59 100 2 prices 3 100. 2 103. 5 106. 6 109. 6 112. 3 115. 2 118. 0 *121. 1 125. 1 130. 9 129. 0 129. 4 129. 9 130. 2 130.5 130. 8 131. 1 131. 9 132. 4 133.4 134.3 135.7 136. 5 * Based on the new benchmark beginning 1965. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Source: Department of Labor. 82. 14 86. 96 87. 02 88. 62 91. 61 93. 37 95. 25 97. 84 99. 33 98. 80 97. 46 97. 77 97. 62 98. 20 98. 70 97. 55 98. 18 99.55 98. 96 99.75 100. 94 99. 16 100. 40 15 PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION The seasonally adjusted index of industrial production rose almost % percent in March to a new hi$h, slightly above the previous record of last December and 31/2 percent above a year earlier. Increased output of consumer goods was largely responsible for the March rise. Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 200 TOTAL 180 160 140 120 120 100 100 1965 1966 1967 1965 1968 1968 180 200 MARKET GROUPS 160 .MATERIALS. 140 140 120 120 100 1965 1966 1965 1968 Period 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 „ 1964 _ _ 1965 ._. 1966 1967 *__ 1967: Feb Mar_ 93. 7 105. 6 _ ioa7 _ . . ._ Apr May J_-Xd,J _ _ _ June July__ Aug Sept Oct _ _ Nov_ _ __ Dec 1968" Jan Feb Mar v _ _ 109. 7 118. 3 124. 3 132.3 143.4 156. 3 158.0 156.6 156.4 156.5 155.6 155.6 156.6 158. 1 156. 8 156. 9 159.5 162. 0 161.2 161. 5 162. 1 [1957-59 = 100, seasonally adjusted] Industry Manufacturing Mining Utilities NonTotal Durable durable 93. 2 106. 0 108.9 109. 6 118. 7 124.9 133. 1 145.0 158. 6 159.6 158. 5 158.2 158.2 157.2 157.0 157.6 159. 4 158. 1 158. 3 161. 1 164. 0 162.6 162.9 163. 5 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 16 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCfc. JOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Total industrial production 1967 90.3 105. 6 108. 5 107.0 117. 9 124. 5 133.5 148.4 164. 8 163.8 162.9 162.6 162.5 162.2 161.5 162.5 163. 6 161. 1 160. 7 164. 1 168. 1 167. 1 167. 3 168. 3 96.8 106. 5 109.5 112. 9 119. 8 125. 3 132.6 140.8 150.8 154.4 152.9 152.6 152.8 151. 1 151.4 151.5 154. 0 154 2 155. 2 157.2 158. 9 157. 1 157.4 157. 5 95. 6 99. 7 101. 6 102. 6 105. 0 107. 9 111.5 114.8 120. 5 123.5 122.4 121.5 122.0 120.2 123.8 128.0 127. 8 124. 3 122. 4 123.6 122. 3 122.7 124. 1 126. 3 9a 1 108. 0 115. 6 122. 3 131. 4 140. 0 151.3 160.9 173. 9 184.4 180.5 181.9 182.7 182.7 183.2 184. 1 184. 8 184.8 187. 6 190.5 191. 8 195.3 196. 5 196. 0 Market Final products ConTotal sumer Equipment goods 94, 8 105. 7 109.9 111. 2 119. 7 124, 9 131.8 142.5 155. 5 158.3 157.0 157.1 157.3 156.3 156.8 157. 1 isa 2 157. 0 156. 9 160.0 161.9 160.9 161. 9 162. 6 96. 4 106. 6 111. 0 112. 6 119. 7 125. 2 131.7 140.3 147. 5 148.4 146.1 146.6 147. 1 146.0 146.9 147.1 148. 6 147. 0 147.9 150.1 152. 8 151.4 152. 3 153. 5 91. 3 104. 1 107. 6 108. 3 119. 6 124. 2 132.0 147.0 172.6 179.6 180.3 179.6 179.2 178.5 178. 1 178.4 178. 9 178. 6 176. 1 181.1 181. 5 181.4 182.4 182. 1 Materials 92.7 105.4 107.6 108.4 117.0 123.7 132.8 144.2 157.0 157.7 155.8 155.5 156.0 154.6 154.9 156.1 157. 9 156. 7 157. 4 159.5 162.2 161.J* wim 161^1 PRODUCTION OF SELECTED MANUFACTURES *n March, production of most durable manufactures (seasonally adjusted) registered increases/ with the largest being |% percent in transportation equipment. On the average, nondurables changed little. Index, 1957-59=100 (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED! Index, 1957-59=100 {SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 180 200 FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS \ 160 140 120 LUMBER AND PRODUCTS 100 7965 200 140 ^ 7 120 1967 1966 1965 1968 160 CHEMICALS, PETROLEUM, AND RUBBER 1968 - TEXTILES, APPAREL, ANDV LEATHER 140 180 PAPER AND .PRINTING 160 120 FOODS, BEVERAGES, AND TOBACCO ***,--****** 100 140 1965 1965 1968 1967 1966 1966 1968 1967 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM [1957-59=100, seasonally adjusted] Durable manufactures Period 1958 1959 1960 1961. _ _ _ _ 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 . _ __. 1967 " 1967: Feb Mar Apr Mav June Julv Aug Sept.. Oct Nov_ _ _ Dec 1968: Jan_ Feb p Mar Primary metals _ _ _ 87. 5 100. 4 101. 3 98. 9 104 6 113. 3 129. 1 137.6 142. 7 132. 5 131. 9 129. 2 129. 1 ] 28. 1) 129. 0 129. 6 1 29. 3 129.2 131.7 135.0 140. 9 137. 0 137.3 138 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Nondurable manufactures FabriTranspor- Lumber Textiles, cated Machintation and apparel, ery metal equipand prodment leather products ucts 92.9 105. 5 107. 6 106. 5 117. 1 123. 4 132.7 147.8 163. 0 162.0 165. 0 162. 9 161. 0 160. 8 160. 8 159. 8 159. 1 158. 1 158.2 159. 8 162.4 162. 5 163. 8 164 88. 8 107. 1 110.8 110.4 123. 5 129. 2 141.4 160.5 183.8 183.4 186. 8 184. 5 182. 1 180.5 177. 5 180. 0 182.8 182.2 179.6 183.2 182. 2 183. 0 183. 4 183 89. 5 1040 108. 2 103. 6 118. 3 127. 0 130.7 149.2 166.9 166.0 157. 5 162. 6 165. 7 167. 5 169. 3 170. 8 171.9 159.2 159.2 165. 6 177. 5 175. 6 175.8 180 95.6 95.0 108. 5 108. 1 102. 1 107. 5 101. 3 108. 4 106. 1 115. 1 108. 9 118. 5 125.2 112.6 117.4 135.8 119.4 141.6 116.5 139.6 115. 2 137.6 117. 3 135. 5 119. 1 135.5 115. 6 135. 3 114. 9 . 134. 8 115. 5 135. 3 109.2 137.6 114.3 139.1 140.4 117.0 143.0 120.6 125. 7 145.9 140.8 118. 1 121.7 140. 9 141 Paper and printing 97.0 105. 2 109. 0 112. 4 116. 7 120. 1 127.5 135.3 146.4 149.6 148. 7 149. 5 149.9 149. 1 149. 4 148. 6 150.3 148.5 148.6 149.9 149.5 148. 1 150. 8 152 Chemicals, Foods, beverpetroleum, and ages, and rubber tobacco 95. 5 108. 9 113.9 118.9 131. 2 141. 8 152.5 164.6 181. 9 189.5 186.5 186. 8 186. 4 182. 2 183. 0 184 0 189.5 191.2 192.8 195.8 199.0 197.6 197. 1 197 99. 4 103.9 106. 6 110. 2 113. 3 116. 8 120.8 123.4 128. 1 131.5 131. 5 131. 1 131.8 130. 9 131. 3 130.9 131.0 130.4 131. 1 132.2 133. 1 132.6 132.2 132 17 WEEKLY INDICATORS OF PRODUCTION In March, most weekly indicators of production increased again on a seasonally unadjusted basis. Auto assemblies were up 81/2 percent for the month of March but declined in early April. Steel production rosk slightly in March an Dearly April. MILLIONS OF SHORT TONS (DAILY AVERAGE) MILLIONS OF TONS 2.5 20 AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE, DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR, EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE. AND WARD'S AUTOMOTIVE REPORTS Electric Bituminous Freight Paperboard Steel produced Cars and trucks power coal mined produced loaded Index distributed (thousands (thousands (thousands assembled (thousands) Thousands of net (1957-59= (millions of of short Total Cars Trucks of tons) of cars) tons 100) kilowatt>hours) tons) l Period Weekly average: iy61__ 1962 _ _ 1963_ 1964 1965 1966 ___ 1967 _ _ 1967: Feb Mar. _ _ Anr_ May j June July Aug £ept Oct Nov Dec 1968: Jan __ _ Feb Mar *_ _ __ Week ended: 1968: Mar 16__ 23_ 30 Apr 6 * 131 1,880 1,886 2, 096 2,431 2, 521 2, 572 2, 440 2,510 2, 475 2,412 2, 388 2, 232 2,176 2,325 2, 439 2, 522 2, 634 2, 704 2, 712 2,849 2, 866 100. 9 101. 2 112. 5 130. 5 135.3 138. 1 131. 0 134. S 132.8 129.5 128.2 119. 8 116. 8 124. 8 130. 9 135. 4 141.4 145. 2 145. 6 152.9 153. 8 15, 139 16, 325 17, 490 18, 728 20, 169 21, 971 23, 169 23, 268 22, 465 21, 953 21, 841 23, 938 23, 747 24, 400 22, 871 22, 662 23, 533 24, 405 25, 365 25, 338 24, 081 1,353 1,414 1, 535 1,630 1,735 1,798 1, 863 1,785 1,786 1, 844 1, 904 1, 939 2,015 1,885 1,819 1,873 1, 923 1, 727 1, 738 1, 715 1,810 550 552 555 558 562 570 539 513 532 555 558 555 492 558 551 586 552 496 487 514 535 322 127.8 343 157. 5 358 175.0 384 178. 8 410 213.7 446 199. 3 439 172. 9 452 168.9 444 175. 9 454 198. 4 452 198. 8 454 207. 4 376 119. 0 86. 5 448 413 160. 4 463 171. 2 458 190. 1 421 219. 8 421 207. 3 486 211.0 480 229.5 106.1 133.4 146.9 148. 8 179.4 165. 4 142. 4 134.2 142. 8 164. 4 164. 5 172.8 95. 4 64. 4 135. 3 146. 7 158.6 185. 0 172. 9 174.5 189. 2 21.7 24. 1 28. 1 30. 0 34.3 33. 9 30. 5 34.7 33. 0 34.0 34 2 34. 6 23.7 22. 1 25. 0 24, 6 31.4 34. 7 34.4 36.5 40. 2 2,854 2, 842 2,885 2,885 2, 893 153. 2 152. 6 154. 9 154.9 155. 3 24, 294 23, 938 23, 579 23, 510 23, 042 1,788 1, 852 1,973 1,833 526 528 554 528 535 480 477 480 477 191.7 192. 1 191. 6 179.9 130. 4 39.2 40. 1 39. 6 36. 7 28. 1 Dally average. Includes data for Alaska. 18 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS 230. 9 232. 2 231. 2 216.6 158. 5 Sources: American Iron and Steel Institute, Edison Electric Institute, Department of the Interior, Association of American Railroads, American Paper Institute, and Ward's Automotive Reports. NEW CONSTRUCTION According to preliminary estimates, total spending for new construction (seasonally adjusted) increased 1 percent in February to a new high. Residential building rose about % percent while private nonresidential building and public ronstruction were up about 1 percent each. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL (NONFARM) 20 1968 1962 SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total new construction expenditures Period 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 _ -„ _ 59.7 63.4 66. 2 71. 9 74. 4 74. 9 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Private Federal, State, Residential nonfarm Total 41. 8 44. 1 45. 8 49. 8 50.4 49. 6 CommerNew ' cial and Total i housing industrial units Billions of dollars 24.3 26.2 26. 3 26.3 23.8 23.6 18. 6 20.4 20.4 20. 4 18. 0 17.9 8. 0 7.9 9.0 11.9 13. 6 13. 1 Other 9. 5 10.0 10.6 11.7 13.0 12.9 and local 17.9 19.4 20.4 22. 1 23. 9 25.4 Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug __ _ Sept Oct Nov Dec 1968: Jan Feb *_ __ 74.8 75.0 73.1 72.0 73.9 72.4 73.4 74.4 76.9 77.5 78.4 78.4 80.5 81. 3 48.3 48.0 46.9 46. 0 47.8 48. 1 49. 2 50.2 51.7 52.2 52. 6 52.4 54.5 54.9 19. 9 20.3 20.8 21. 1 22. 1 22. 9 23. 7 24. 6 25.3 26.0 26. 6 26.9 26.9 27. 1 14.0 14.3 15.0 15. 5 16.5 17. 3 18. 0 18. 9 19.6 20.3 21. 0 21.2 21.0 21. 1 i Includes nonhousekeeping residential construction and additions and altera*ons, not shown separately. ^ Compiled by F. W. Dodge Company and relates to 48 States. 15. 1 14.8 13. 3 12. 5 13. 1 12. 6 12. 9 12. 4 13.3 13.2 12. 8 12.6 14.1 14. 1 119. 7 132.0 137.0 142. 8 145. 3 153. 3 Seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1967- Jan . Construction contracts2 CommerTotal value cial and (index, industrial 1957-59 = floor space 100) (millions of square feet) 13.4 12.9 12.8 12.4 12.6 12. 6 12. 6 13. 1 13.1 13.0 13. 2 12.9 13.5 13.8 26. 5 27.0 26.2 25.9 26. 1 24.3 24.2 24.2 25.2 25.3 25.8 26.0 26.0 26.3 126 143 149 138 154 164 149 165 168 171 168 166 159 156 500 534 599 680 769 694 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 589 694 674 699 657 748 681 740 725 701 758 769 774 737 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1959. Sources: Department of Commerce and F. W. Dodge Company. 19 NEW HOUSING STARTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR FINANCING Private nonfarm housing starts (seasonally adjusted) dropped 3 percent in March, following increases in Janu and February. However, starts were 35 percent above a year earlier. Permits for future starts were about the sarm March as in February. MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 MILLIONS OF UNITS 2.5 1.0 1.0 1962 1968 SOURCES: DEPARTMENT OF CO/AMERCE, FEDERAL HOUSING ADMINISTRATION (FHA). AND VETERANS ADMINISTRATION (VA» Total private and Period public (including farm) 1962 1, 492. 4 1963 ._ ... 1, 642. 0 1964. _ _ 1, 561. 6 1, 509. 6 1965 1, 196. 2 1966 1, 321. 9 1967 * 1, 462. 7 1, 610. 3 1, 529. 3 1, 472. 9 1, 165. 0 1, 291. 6 63.2 92.9 115.9 134.2 131.6 126. 1 130. 2 125. 8 137.0 120. 2 83.1 82.7 86.9 125.9 61.4 91.5 113.7 132.0 125.4 125. 3 127. 4 121.9 135.4 118. 4 80.1 80.5 84.3 123. 8 1967: Feb.Mar__ Apr__ May. June_ July__ Aug__ Sept__ Oct.. Nov_. Dec__ 1968: Jan__ Feb"_ Mar p _ Total private (including farm) [Thousands of units] Housing starts Private nonfarm Private nonfarm Total private Government Two or (includOnemore Total home programs ing Total family famifarm) FHA VA lies 1, 439. 0 967. 8 471. 2 1, 462. 7 1, 439. 0 197. 3 77. 8 993.2 589.7 1, 610.3 1, 582.9 166. 2 71. 0 1, 582.9 59.2 944.5 557.8 1, 529.3 1, 502.3 154.0 1, 502.3 49.4 1, 450. 6 941. 4 509. 2 1, 472. 9 1, 450. 6 159.9 36. 8 1, 141.5 755.3 386.2 1, 165.0 1, 141.5 129. 1 52. 5 820. 7 447.7 1, 291. 6 1, 268. 4 141.9 1, 268. 4 Seasonally adjusted 60.2 21.1 134 47 1, 132 39.1 1, 149 89.2 126 49 64.3 24.9 1,067 1,094 50 112.0 125 33.9 78.1 1, 116 1,099 49 129.7 44. 7 1,254 143 85.0 1, 274 123.4 144 85.6 51 1, 214 37.8 1, 233 124.0 42.9 81. 1 140 53 1,369 1,356 123. 6 80.0 141 43. 6 57 1,407 1,381 56 119. 5 75.8 43.7 150 1,415 1,445 155 79. 4 58 133. 1 53.7 1,478 1,496 154 116. 8 67.4 54 49.4 1,590 1,567 46.1 79.1 55 149 33.0 1,250 1,235 79.8 52 157 44.5 35.3 1,456 1,430 53,2 82.4 29.2 1,491 164 63 1,529 121. 1 63 1,444 75.0 149 46. 1 1,476 Authorized by issuance of local building permit; in 10,000 permit-issuing places prior to 1963, and 12,000 or more thereafter. 2 Units represented by mortgage applications for new home construction. 20 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS New Proposed home construction private housing Applica- Requests units tions for for VA FHA appraisauthorized 1 commitals 2 ments 2 221. 1 171. 2 1, 186. 6 190. 2 1, 334. 7 139. 3 182. 1 113. 6 1, 285. 8 102. 1 188.9 1, 239. 8 971. 9 153. 0 99. 2 167.2 124.3 1, 078. 7 annual rates 894 928 1,028 1, 033 1, 109 1,093 1, 127 1, 159 1,212 1, 158 1,323 1,102 1,360 1,362 137 151 159 162 169 155 180 176 185 189 162 163 152 160 107 103 122 109 135 146 122 131 151 136 125 122 141 125 NOTE.—Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Sources: Department of Commerce, Federal Housing Administration (FHA), and Veterans Administration (VA). BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES - TOTAL AND TRADE jreliminary estimates indicate that retail sales rose $530 million (seasonally adjusted) in March, following increases T- $420 million in February and $595 million in January. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 160 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 20 RETAIL TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) BUSINESS SALES AND INVENTORIES 18 DURABLE GOODS STORES 140 INVENTORIES 16 120 14 12 100 SALES 10 80 8 6 I 1 22 \- WHOLESALE TRADE (ENLARGED SCALE) 22 20 18 16 14 12 1965 1968 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCEi DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Total business Period Sales 2 1 Inventories 3 Wholesale Sales2 4 Inventories 3 Sales 2 Total Retail NonDurable durable goods goods stores stores 5 Inventories 3 Total Durable goods stores Nondurable goods stores Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 1960 _ 1961 1962... _ 1963__ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1964 _ 1965 1966 1967 * _ 1967: Jan_ Feb ___ Mar Apr__ _ _ May. _ _ _ _ June July_- _ _ Aug Sept Oct Nov__ _ _ Dec . 1968: Jan Feb *>_ Mar *>___ __ 1 2 60, 746 61, 106 65, 594 68, 692 73, 459 79, 528 6 86, 254 88, 137 87, 182 86, 138 87, 255 86, 656 87, 358 88, 368 88, 759 89, 067 88, 633 87, 517 89, 938 92, 453 92, 892 93, 056 94, 747 95, 813 100, 627 105, 578 111, 051 120, 896 6 135, 233 140, 742 136, 304 136, 491 136, 815 137, 080 137, 191 136, 805 137, 111 137, 850 137, 794 138, 268 139, 331 140, 742 141, 342 141, 565 11, 656 11, 988 12, 674 13, 382 14, 527 15, 595 16, 979 17, 099 17, 239 16. 897 16, 853 16, 972 16, 769 17, 117 17, 145 17, 198 17, 330 17, 195 17, 419 17, 641 17, 694 18, 095 The term "business" also includes manufacturing (see page 22). Monthly average for year and total for month, ^ook value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. ginning 1961, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 14, 120 14, 488 14, 936 16, 048 16, 977 18, 274 20, 691 21, 635 20, 780 20, 742 20, 859 20, 785 20, 587 20, 599 20, 5 1 1 20, 789 20, 810 20, 945 21, 061 21, 635 21, 641 21, 609 18, 294 18, 234 19, 613 20, 536 21, 802 23, 654 25, 306 26, 125 25, 687 25, 470 25, 739 25, 918 25, 897 26, 544 26, 444 26, 422 26, 732 26, OS9 26, 411 26, 470 27, 065 27, 482 28, 009 5, 880 5,581 6, 210 6, 627 7,014 7,810 8, 151 8,306 8, 200 7, 955 8, 150 8, 104 8, 187 8, 546 8, 592 S, f>08 S, 743 S, 235 S, 221 8, 327 8, 523 8,760 8,919 12, 414 12, 654 13, 402 13, 909 14, 788 15, 844 17, 155 17, 820 17, 487 17, 515 17, 589 17, S14 17, 710 17, 998 17, 852 17, 914 ] 7, 9cS9 17, 854 18, 190 18, 143 18, 542 18, 722 19, 090 26, 26, 27, 29, 31, 34, 36, 36, 36, 30, :*f>, 813 238 938 383 130 607 961 682 924 044 520 :{(>, i>;w 30, 20:5 30, 087 35, 1)97 36, 028 36, 143 36,217 36, 474 36, 682 37, 130 37, 094 11, 923 10, 965 11, 656 12, 386 13, 136 15, 194 16, 536 1 5, 977 10, 491 1 (>, :* 1 5 1C), 142 10, ();>:> 1 5, 1)04 15, 061 15, 549 1 5, 503 15, 711 15, 681 15, 728 15, 977 16, 238 16, 268 14, 890 15, 273 16, 282 16, 997 17, 994 19, 4i:> 20, 4 L>f> 20, 705 20, 4.'W 20, VJ!) 20, *S4 20, 2()l> 20, 3f>9 20, 420 20, 448 20, 525 20, 432 20, 536 20, 746 20, 705 20, 892 20, 826 * Beginning 1960, data include Alaska and Hawaii. 6 Series revised beginning 1966. Source: Department of Commerce. 21 MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS, INVENTORIES, AND NEW ORDERS Manufacturers' new orders increased 0.2 percent (seasonally adjusted) in February, following a drop in January With shipments dropping $650 million, and inventories increasing $290 million, the inventory-shipments ratio roi from 1.72 to 1.75. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) BILLIONS OF DOLLARS (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) 90 MANUFACTURERS' INVENTORIES MANUFACTURERS' SHIPMENTS 50 TOTAL 80 — TOTAL 40 \ 70 30 DURABLE GOODS 60 DURABLE GOODS 20 NONDURABLE GOODS 50 40 NONDURABLE GOODS 30 , .U « ' H » l , ,H . i ,l ,..,...«•<*""' 20 1965 1966 1968 1966 1965 1967 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS Manufacturers' shipments 1 Manufacturers' inventories 2 Period Total 1968 NonDurable durable goods goods Total NonDurable durable goods goods Manufacturers' new orders 1 Durable goods Total Total NonMachinery durable and goods equipment Manufacturers' inventoryshipments ratio 3 Millions of dollars, seasonally adjusted 30, 796 1960 1961 30, 884 1962 _„_ 33, 308 1963 _ 34, 774 1964 _ _ 37, 129 1965. 40, 279 4 1966 43, 969 1967 v 44, 912 1966: Dec 45, 326 1967: Jan 44, 256 Feb 43, 771 Mar 44, 663 Apr_ _ _ 43, 766 May 44, 692 June 44, 707 July_ 45, 170 Aug 45, 447 Sept__ __ 44, 571 Oct 44, 233 Nov __ 46, 108 Dec_p 48, 342 1968: Jan p 48, 133 Feb 47, 479 1 15, 817 15, 532 17, 184 18, 071 19, 231 21, 020 23, 006 23, 123 23, 715 23, 060 22, 622 23, 137 22, 269 22, 900 23, 052 23, 192 23, 633 22, 949 22, 311 23, 487 25, 290 25, 227 24, 667 14, 979 15, 352 16, 124 16, 704 17, 898 19, 258 4 20, 963 21, 789 21, 611 21, 196 21, 149 21, 526 21, 497 21, 792 21, 655 21, 978 21, 814 21, 622 21, 922 22, 621 23, 052 22, 906 22, 812 53, 814 55, 087 57, 753 60, 147 62, 944 68, 015 4 77, 581 82, 425 77, 581 78, 600 79, 105 79, 430 80, 059 80, 341 80, 119 80, 603 81, 033 80, 841 81, 106 81, 796 82, 425 82, 571 82, 862 32, 360 32, 646 34, 326 36, 028 38, 412 42, 824 50, 037 53, 930 50, 037 50, 620 51, 079 51, 216 51, 593 51, 784 51, 809 52, 346 52, 784 52, 572 52, 918 53, 506 53, 930 53, 742 54, 070 Monthly average lor year and total for month. *Book value, end of period, seasonally adjusted. For annual periods, ratio of weighted average inventories to average monthly shipments; for monthly data, ratio of inventories at end of month to shipments for month. 3 22 21, 454 22, 441 23, 427 24, 119 24, 532 25, 691 4 27, 544 28, 495 27, 544 27, 980 28, 026 28, 214 28, 466 28, 557 28, 310 28, 257 28, 249 28, 269 28, 188 28, 290 28, 495 28, 829 28, 792 4 30, 115 31, 061 33, 167 35, 036 37, 697 41, 023 4 45, 106 45, 166 45, 610 43, 205 43, 390 43, 516 43, 689 45, 546 45, 881 45, 786 45, 621 45, 128 45, 296 46, 208 49, 660 47, 628 47, 714 15, 223 15, 664 17, 085 18, 300 19, 803 21, 728 24, 153 23, 378 23, 960 22, 072 22, 329 22, 065 22, 226 23, 857 24, 263 23, 715 23, 726 23, 416 23, 381 23, 545 26, 492 24, 771 24, 817 2,791 2,854 3, 090 3,326 3,706 4, 140 4, 731 4, 641 4, 603 4, 545 4, 242 4,315 4,443 4, 607 4,794 4, 853 5, 058 4,665 4, 614 4,791 4,827 4,866 4,530 14, 892 15, 397 16, 082 16, 736 17, 895 19, 295 4 20, 953 21, 789 21, 650 21, 133 21, 061 21, 451 21, 463 21, 689 21, 618 22, 071 21, 895 21, 712 21, 915 22, 663 23, 168 22, 857 22, 897 Series revised beginning 1966. NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1958. Source: Department of Commerce. 1. 76 1.74 1.70 1. 69 1.64 1.61 1. 64 1. 79 1.71 1. 78 1.81 1. 78 1. 83 1. 80 1. 79 1. 78 1.78 1.81 1. 83 1.77 1.71 1.72 1.75 MERCHANDISE EXPORTS AND IMPORTS c U.S. merchandise trade surplus (seasonally adjusted) in February was $171 million, essentially unchanged from 2 January figure. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 3.5 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 35 3.0 1.0 1962 1968 MEENOTE i BELOW. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Period [Millions Merchandise exports Total (includDomestic exports ing reexports) 1 Food, Crude Season- Unad- Total i 3 bever- mateages, rials ally ad- justed and to- and justed bacco fuel Mont lily average: 1959 1960 ___ _ 1961 .__ _ 1962 __ 1963 1964 1965 1966 __ _ 1967 1967: Jan__ Feb__ Mar_ Apr_. May_ JuneJuly. Aug_ Sept_ Oct__ Nov_ Dec. 1968: Jan__ Feb__ 1, 368 1, 636 1, 682 1, 748 1,869 2, 141 2, 225 2, 448 2,578 2,616 2,607 2,551 2, 664 2, 547 2, 576 2, 584 2,548 2, 648 2, 892 2,692 2,604 2,785 2,778 2,470 2, 418 2,797 2, 666 2, 683 2,618 2,376 2,395 2, 505 2, 440 2,761 2,813 2,674 2,667 239 1, 353 1, 620 264 1, 662 289 312 1, 725 1, 845 349 2, 111 387 2, 196 377 432 2,412 2,546 393 Unadjusted 372 2,437 2, 389 349 2, 762 406 2,630 387 2, 650 388 2,586 382 363 2,347 2, 358 366 2, 473 404 2,411 390 2,730 481 2,782 425 2,645 398 407 2,636 Merchandise imports General imports 2 Total 3 Manufactured goods Season- Unadally ad- justed justed 252 329 32? 280 315 361 356 367 394 897 1, 047 1, 062 1, 138 1, 188 1,366 1, 449 1, 592 1, 729 1, 302 1, 251 1, 226 1, 366 1, 428 1,557 1,780 2, 129 2,235 367 394 398 377 417 409 380 384 364 408 452 373 377 387 1,678 1, 615 1, 904 1, 835 1,830 1,789 1, 589 1, 559 1,688 1,595 1,767 1,935 1,828 1, 833 otal excludes Department of Defense shipments of grant-aid military supand equipment under the Military Assistance Program, otal arrivals of imported goods other than intransit shipments. of dollars] 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 256 229 208 226 140 227 208 126 208 202 876 525 615 602 2,261 2,004 2, 355 2,091 2 222 2, 270 2, 127 2, 166 2, 112 2,342 2,435 2,431 2,735 2,448 Food, Crude bever- materials ages, and to- and fuels bacco 382 298 283 365 359 288 306 387 322 391 335 415 449 334 382 473 445 392 Unadjusted 415 495 412 364 433 478 385 428 352 454 389 465 366 396 372 444 362 413 444 417 409 437 478 439 441 506 421 444 Grossmerchandise trade Manusurplus, facseasontured goods ally adjusted 591 571 544 636 672 758 936 1,201 1, 310 66 385 456 382 441 584 444 320 344 1,282 1, 164 1,366 1, 182 1,330 1, 334 1,273 1,263 1,245 1,367 1,482 1,431 1,692 1,496 860 878 848 / tnn 4^0 407 349 876 428 484 191 316 79 169 171 * Total includes commodities and transactions not classified according to kind. NOTE.—Because of revisions subgroups do not include all data in totals. Data include uranium ore and thorium. Source: Department of Commerce. 23 U.S. EXPORTS AND IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES The surplus in the balance on goods and services declined sharply to a level of $2.9 billion (seasonally adjuste annual rate) in the fourth quarter. For the year 1967 as a whole, a surplus of $4.8 billion is estimated. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES 30 20 20 10 10 1962 1968 SOURCE) DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Imports of goods and services Exports of goods and services Income on investments Period Total 32, 426 37, 099 39, 147 43, 039 45, 692 1963 1964_ _ 1965 1966 1967 » Merchandise l Military sales 22, 071 25, 297 26, 244 29, 168 30, 463 1, 657 747 844 847 273 Private 4, 4, 5, 5, 6, 151 929 376 650 162 Government 498 460 512 595 621 Other services 5, 049 5, 666 6, 171 6,779 7, 173 Total 26, 28, 32, 37, 40, 573 637 203 937 894 Merchandise i 16, 18, 21, 25, 26, Balance on Mili- Other goods and tary expend- serv- services ices itures 992 621 472 510 980 2,936 2, 861 2, 921 3,694 4,319 6, 645 7, 155 7,810 8,733 9, 592 5, 853 8,462 6, 944 5,102 4,798 Seasonally adjusted annual rates 1966: I II. III IV 1967: III_ III IV * __ __ 42, 42, 43, 43, 044 472 652 988 28, 28, 29, 29, 812 724 528 608 836 888 824 840 5, 264 5,528 5,776 6,032 612 612 572 584 6,520 6, 720 6,952 6, 924 35, 37, 39, 39, 988 060 048 652 24,100 24,900 26, 320 26, 720 3, 444 3, 644 3,812 3, 876 8, 444 8,516 8,916 9, 056 6,056 5,412 4, 604 4, 336 45, 45, 46, 45, 408 412 120 832 30, 30, 30, 29, 684 1,356 848 1,344 504 948 816 1,440 5,680 5,536 6,720 6,716 620 644 648 576 7,068 7,040 7,300 7,284 39, 40, 40, 42, 996 132 488 956 26, 26, 26, 28, 4, 180 4,280 4,376 4,440 9, 168 9, 620 9,916 9,672 5,412 5,280 5,632 2,876 Adjusted from customs data for differences in timing and coverage. 24 Source: Department of Commerce. 648 232 196 844 U.S. BALANCE OF INTERNATIONAL PAYMENTS The U.S. deficit on the liquidity basis increased markedly to a $7.4 billion level (seasonally adjusted annual rate) i the fourth quarter. For the year 1967, a $3.6 billion liquidity deficit is indicated. On the official reserve transactions asis, the fourth quarter deficit was at a $4.8 billion level and the year as a whole recorded a $3.4 billion deficit. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10 BALANCE ON GOODS AND SERVICES BALANCE, OFFICIAL RESERVE TRANSACTIONS BASIS 1962 1968 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] U.S. private capital, net U.S. Government Period grants and capital, net 1 Direct investment -1, 976 -2,435 -3,418 -3, 543 -3, 026 Other longterm -3, 581 -3, 560 -3, 375 -3,446 -4, 127 1966: !___ II_ — III— _ IV___ 1967: -3, 900 -2, 536 -1, 008 -276 -3, 952 — 4, 024 -20 -3, 036 -3, 600 276 -2, 896 — 4, 012 rv»._ -380 -240 -108 -924 — 724 -2, 488 -724 -2, 592 -720 -1,140 -3,756 -2,044 -1,164 -3,788 -3, 272 - 1, 588 -1,572 -4,052 in: -4, 804 III™ -3,864 Errors Foreign and uncapital, recorded Liquidnet 1 transity actions basis 2 — 1, 695 -785 689 -1,961 — 2, 146 685 -1,078 753 278 2, 512 -257 -413 - 1, 268 -1, 150 3, 076 Seasonally adjusted annual 1963_ _ _ 1964___ 1965___ 1966___ 1967 "__ 1 Shortterm 1, 4, 1, 3, 060 364 504 120 — 285 -949 -415 -302 -595 rates -2, 671 -2, 800 -1,335 -1, 357 -3, 575 -932 -2, 604 -1,772 — 792 -700 -488 3,444 -660 1, 108 -72 — 592 -1, 676 3, 432 — 1, 180 -2, 132 -7, 268 4,776 -2, 184 -2, 212 -3,328 3, 232 1,824 836 -2, 552 868 148 -7,404 -4,820 Includes certain special Government transactions. * Equals changes in liquid liabilities to foreign official holders, other foreign holders, and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible currencies, and the U.S. sold tranche position in the IMF. 3 Equals changes in liquid and nonliquid liabilities to foreign official holders and changes in official reserve assets consisting of gold, convertible currencies, and the U.S. gold tranche position in the IMF. 4 Includes short-term official and banking liabilities and foreign holdings of T J.S. Government bonds and notes. VCentral banks- governments, and U.S; liabilities to the IMF arising from Versible gold sales to, and gold deposits with, the U.S.- Changes in gold, convertible currenOfficial To foreign official cies, and holders 5 To other IMF gold reserve foreign 6 tranche transholders position actions Liquid Nonbasis 3 (increase liquid if "n \) _7 1,673 -2, 044 620 378 1, 075 303 1, 554 - 1, 549 171 -18 100 - 1, 304 131 1,222 802 2,384 225 -1, 595 568 2,072 1,274 -3,398 1,451 52 Quarterly totals, unadjusted Balance Changes in selected liabilities (decrease f — ]) 4 -852 54 -598 — 199 25 263 111 403 475 27 1,211 671 424 68 82 -6 -80 546 282 1,324 333 562 132 247 -709 96 1,304 760 1,027 -419 -375 7 -181 6 Private holders; includes banks and international and regional organizations; excludes IMF. "• On December 31, U.S. reserve assets consisted of gold stock, $12,065 million (down $1,012 million from September 30); IMF position including gold portion of increased U.S. subscription, $420 million; convertible currencies, $2,345 million. NOTE.—Data exclude military grant-aid and U.S. subscriptions to IMF. Source: Department of Commerce. 25 PRICES CONSUMER PRICES The consumer price index rose by 0.3 percent in February with increases in all major categories. The all items index was 3.7 percent above February 1967, led by a 4.6 percent increase in prices of services other than rent. Index, 1957-59=100 135 Index, 1957-59=100 135 110 105 100 100 1962 1968 SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [1957-59=100] All items Period 1958_ 1959 1960 1961 1962. _ 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967_ ___ _ _ _ _ _ _ 1967: J a n _ _ _ _ _ _ Feb. Mar Apr _ May__ June_ _ July._ Aug Sept V _ ___ J Oct Nov Dec 1968: Jan Feb Source: Department of Labor. 26 _ _ _ 100.7 101. 5 103. 1 104, 2 105. 4 106. 7 108. 1 109.9 113. 1 116. 3 114, 7 114.8 115.0 115.3 115.6 116. 0 116. 5 116. 9 117. 1 117.5 117. 8 118. 2 118.6 119. 0 All commodities 100. 8 100. 9 101.7 102. 3 103. 2 104. 1 105. 2 106.4 109. 2 111. 2 109. 9 109.9 110.0 110.2 110.5 111. 0 111. 5 111. 9 112. 0 112.4 112. 6 112. 9 113.2 113. 5 Services Commodities Commodities less food Services All Rent Food less Non- services All Durable durable rent 100. 0 99. 9 99. 8 100. 2 100. 3 100. 1 101. 9 101. 2 101. 0 101. 5 103. 6 103. 2 101. 6 100. 3 102. 6 101.7 100. 9 107. 4 106. 6 103. 1 101. 4 102. 0 103. 2 100. 8 110. 0 104. 4 102. 6 108. 8 102. 8 101.8 103. 8 112. 1 105. 7 110.9 103. 6 102. 1 104. 8 103. 5 106. 8 114. 5 113. 0 105. 1 104.4 105.7 103.0 117. 0 107.8 115. 2 106. 4 107.2 105. 1 102.6 108. 9 120.0 117.8 108.8 106. 5 102. 7 109. 7 110. 4 122. 3 114. 2 125. 0 104. 3 109. 2 113. 1 112. 4 131. 1 115. 2 127. 7 102. 7 107. 3 111. 0 111. 4 128. 8 114 7 125. 5 102.8 111.5 107.6 129.2 111.7 114.2 125.9 107.8 102.9 111.8 111.8 114. 2 126.3 129.5 112.4 108.4 103.4 111.9 126.6 130.0 113.7 112.7 108.7 103. 9 112. 1 130.4 127.0 113.9 112. 7 J 04. 1 108. 9 112. 2 127. 4 130. 8 115. 1 112. 8 104. 4 109. 1 112. 4 127.7 131. 2 116. 0 113. 2 104, 7 112. 6 109.4 128.2 131. 7 116. 6 114. 1 104. 8 112. 8 110. 0 128.7 132.3 115. 9 114.5 110.6 105.7 113.0 132. 7 115.7 129.1 111. 1 115. 2 113. 2 133. 2 106. 0 129. 6 115. 6 111. 1 115. 2 113. 5 133. 8 130. 1 106. 1 116. 2 134. 6 111.2 115. 1 113.7 106.3 117.0 130.8 115. 6 113. 9 135. 2 131.3 117. 4 111. 5 106.4 WHOLESALE PRICES According to preliminary estimates, the wholesale price index rose by 0.3 percent in March, with the largest increase !>eing 0.9 percent in farm product prices. Processed foods and feeds prices declined 0.2 percent, while industrial ;ommodities prices increased 0.3 percent. The all commodities index was 2.5 percent above March 1967. Index, 1957-59=100 120 Index, 1957-59=100 120 95 90 90 85 85 1962 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF LABOR [1957-59=100] All commodities Period 1958 1959 I960 . 1961 1962 1963 _ _ _ 1964 1965 1966 _ 1967 __> 1967: Feb Mar Apr May j June. _ _ _ _ July Aug _ Sept Oct Nov _ Dec ___ _ 1968: Jan Feb Mar* 1 _ ------ _ _ _ _ Farm products Processed foods and feeds 100. 4 100. 6 100. 7 100. 3 100. 6 100. 3 100. 5 102.5 105. 9 106. 1 106.0 105.7 105.3 105.8 106. 3 106. 5 106. 1 106. 2 106. 1 106. 2 106. 8 107.2 108.0 108. 3 103. 6 97. 2 96. 9 96.0 97. 7 95. 7 94. 3 98.4 105. 6 99. 7 101.0 99.6 97.6 100.7 102. 4 102. 8 99.2 98. 4 97.1 96. 4 98. 9 99.0 101. 3 102. 2 102.5 99. 9 100. 0 101. 6 102. 7 103. 3 103. 1 106. 7 113. 0 111. 7 111.7 110.6 110.0 110.7 112. 6 113. 1 112. 1 112. 7 111.7 110. 9 111. 5 112.4 113. 3 113. 1 Coverage of the subgroups does not correspond exactly to coverage of this Index. S s Excludes intermediate materials for food manufacturing and manufactured biimal feeds; includes, in part, grain products for further processing. Industrial commodities All industrials 1 99. 5 101. 3 101. 3 100. 8 100. 8 100.7 101. 2 102.5 104. 7 106. 3 106.0 106.0 106.0 106.0 106. 0 106.0 106. 3 106. 5 106.8 107. 1 107. 4 107.8 108. 3 108.6 Inter- Producmediate er finmateished rials2 goods 99. 4 96. 9 100. 2 102.3 101. 0 102. 1 9a3 101. 4 102.3 97. 2 100. 1 102.5 95. 6 99. 9 102.9 94.3 99.6 103. 1 97. 1 100. 2 104. 1 100.9 101.5 105.4 103. 6 104.5 108. 0 100. 0 104.8 111. 5 101. 1 104.6 110.6 100.2 104.6 110.7 99.3 104.7 110.8 99.4 104.6 111. 1 99. 4 104. 5 111. 2 104. 5 99. 0 111. 2 99. 0 104. 6 111. 4 99. 5 104. 9 111. 6 99.4 105.0 112.6 100. 6 105. 3 113.0 101. 3 105. 7 113. 4 101.4 106.1 114.0 102.4 106. 8 114. 2 Crude materials Consumer finished goods excluding food DurNondurable able 99.3 100. 1 100.8 101. 3 101.5 100.9 101.5 100.5 100.0 101. 6 99. 5 101. 9 99. 9 101.6 99.6 102.8 100. 2 104. 8 101. 7 107. 2 101.3 106.3 106.4 101.3 101.3 106.4 101.3 106.9 101. 0 107. 2 101. 1 107. 4 101. 2 108. 0 101. 4 108. 0 102.8 107.8 103.0 107. 9 103. 0 108. 0 103.5 108.0 108.4 103.6 NOTE.—Beginning January 1967, the indexes incorporate a revised weighting structure reflecting 1963 values of shipments. The classification structure also changed. Source: Department of Labor. 27 PRICES RECEIVED AND PAID BY FARMERS During the month ended March 1 5, prices received by farmers were unchanged while prices paid rose by 1 percen The parity ratio remained at 74. Index, 1957-59=100 Index, 1957-59=100 120 PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES 100 -Nss* PRICES RECEIVED (ALL FARM PRODUCTS) 90 90 RATIO-1/ 100 RATIO^/ 100 90 90 PARITY RATIO 80 80 ii 1 1 70 1962 i ii -T" t i , 1 1963 1964 1965 1966 fi 70 1968 1967 J/RATIO OF INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED TO INDEX OF PRICES PAID, INTEREST, TAXES, AND WAGE RATES, ON 1910-14=100 BASE. SOURCE: COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE Prices received by farmers Period 1958_ _ 1959__ _ I960 1961 1962 1 963 1964 __ 1965 _ 1966 1967 All farm products ___ __ _ ___ __ ___ _ _ __ __ 1967- Feb 15 Mar 15 Apr 15 May 15 June 15 __ July 15 Aug 15 Sept 15 Oct 15 Nov 15 Dec 15 1968: Jan 15 Feb 15 Mar 15 _ _ _ _ _ __ _. _ Crops 104 100 99 99 101 100 98 103 110 104 100 99 99 102 104 107 107 105 105 100 104 103 101 104 105 106 106 104 104 103 105 105 107 107 All items, interest, taxes, and wage rates Index, 1957-59=100 100 106 102 100 102 98 103 98 99 105 107 95 107 91 110 101 114 113 117 107 Livestock and products 100 100 100 99 102 101 100 97 100 102 104 104 103 104 1 Percentage ratio of index of prices received by farmers to index of prices paid, interest, taxes, and wage rates on 1910-14=100 base. 28 Parity ratio 1 Prices paid by farmers 107 105 102 108 108 110 110 110 107 104 105 106 109 110 116 116 116 117 117 118 117 117 118 117 117 118 119 120 Family living items Production items Actual Adjusted 2 100 101 102 102 103 104 105 107 110 112 100 102 101 101 103 104 103 105 108 110 85 81 80 80 80 78 76 77 80 74 88 82 81 83 83 81 80 82 86 79 111 111 111 112 112 113 113 113 113 114 114 115 115 116 110 110 110 110 111 111 110 110 110 109 109 110 111 111 75 74 72 74 75 75 75 73 73 11 74 74 74 74 80 79 77 79 SO 80 80 79 78 2 The adjusted parity ratio reflects Government payments made dir< to farmers. Source: Department of Agriculture. II 79 80 80 MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS flONEY SUPPLY iJic seasonally adjusted money supply rose $0.9 billion in March after remaining unchanged in February. Time deposits increased $1.6 billion, slightly more than the February increase. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED 180 180 140 140 TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 100 100 60 60 i i i t i I i t i i i iC OU_L_L_LJ_L 1962 1963 1964 1966 1965 1967 1968 -SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Averages of daily figures, billions of dollars] Money supply Money supply Period 1962: 1963: 1964: 1965: 1966: 1967: Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 1967: Feb. Mar Apr i-i-dj Mav June July. Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 1968: Jan Feb Mar p Total _ _ _ ___ _ _ __ __ _ _ _ — _ _ _ __ _ 147.4 153.0 159.3 166.8 170.4 181. 5 171.5 173. 1 172.7 174.5 176.2 177.9 179.1 179.2 180.3 181.2 181. 5 182. 5 182.5 183.4 Currency outside banks Seasonally adjusted 30.6 116.8 32.5 120.5 34.2 125. 1 36.3 130.5 132. 1 38.3 141. 1 40. 4 38.7 38.9 39.1 39.2 39.3 39.5 39.6 39.8 39.9 40.0 40. 4 40.5 40.7 41. 1 132.8 134.2 133.6 135.3 136.8 138.4 139.6 139.5 140.3 141.2 141. 1 141. 9 141.8 142. 3 Deposits at all commercial banks. JOTE.—Effective June 9, 1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal jis (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from time deposits and from loans at all commercial banks. Time deposits 1 Demand deposits Total Currency outside banks Demand deposits 97.8 112.2 126.6 146.9 158.6 183. 8 151.6 157.3 164.0 172.0 175.8 187. 2 31.2 33. 1 35.0 37. 1 39. 1 41. 2 Unadjusted 120.3 124. 1 129. 1 134. 9 136.7 146. 0 163.5 166.1 168.1 170.0 172.4 174.6 177.2 178.9 ISO. 8 182.5 183. S 183. 7 185.0 186. 6 170.6 171.9 173.6 171. 1 174.3 175. 8 175.9 178.4 JSO. 0 182.5 187. 2 187. 8 181. 5 182. 1 38.3 38. 5 38. 7 38. 9 39. 3 39. (i 3D. C» 39. 8 40. 0 40. 4 41. 2 40. 5 40.3 40. 7 132. 3 133.4 134.1) 1.T2. 2 135. i 1,10. 2 i:jO.'2 138. 0 140. 6 142. 1 146. 0 147. 3 141.3 141.4 U.S. Government demand deposits 1 Time deposits 1 96. 7 111.0 125.2 145. 2 1.%. 0 181. S 5. (i r>. ri r i 104. 0 100. 7 I OS. S J70. S 17:5.0 J7. r ). 1 177.7 17S. D LSO.o 181. 1 181. 8 183. 5 185.5 187. 4 i Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 4. (i :i. 4 :>. o ;,. o •i.<j -? . s 0. 5 :L 9 o. 0 4.3 5.0 0.2 5.2 5.0 4. 9 7.2 6.7 29 SELECTED LIQUID ASSETS HELD BY THE PUBLIC Public holdings of demand deposits and currency (seasonally adjusted) increased $3.3 billion in March. Savings c loan shares outstanding and holdings of short-term Government securities increased only moderately while holdii of other types of liquid assets showed little or no change. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 700 600 600 500 200 100 v 1962 1963 I/ASSETS OTHER THAN DEMAND DEPOSITS AND CURRENCY. COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE, BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAl RESERVE SYSTEM [Billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted) Total selected liquid assets End of period 1961 1962 _ 1963 _ _ _ 1964 1965 1966 1967 * 1967: Feb Mar Apr May June July _ Aug.. Sept " Oct "____ v Nov v Dec 1968: Jan * Feb p Mar * _ _ _ 424. 6 459.0 495.4 530. 5 573.0 601.5 650.2 604.7 615. 1 613. 2 619.7 620.6 623.0 630. 2 635. 4 638. 1 645. 8 650. 2 655.8 658.6 664. 1 Demand deposits and currency l 142.6 144.8 149. 6 156. 7 164 0 168.6 180. 7 165. 8 171. 0 168.6 172. 9 173. 7 171. 9 174. 1 176. 2 175.7 177.8 180.7 179.5 178. 2 181. 5 Time deposits Commercial banks 82.5 98. 1 112. 9 127. 1 147. 1 159. 3 183. 1 165. 3 167. 6 168. 6 170. 7 172. 4 174. 7 177. 2 17& 1 180. 1 183.8 183. 1 186.5 187.6 187.8 1 Agrees in concept with money supply, p. 29, except for deduction of demand deposits held by mutual savings banks and savings and loan associations. Data for2 last Wednesday of month. Excludes holdings of Government agencies and trust funds, domestic commercial and mutual savings banks, Federal Beserve Banks, and beginning 30 Mutual savings banks 3 38.3 41.4 44 5 49. 0 52.6 55.2 60. 1 55. 9 56.3 56. 8 57.4 57. 8 58. 4 58. 7 58.9 59. 5 59. 9 60. 1 60. 6 61. 1 61. 1 Postal Savings System Savings and loan shares U.S. Government savings bonds 2 70. 5 79.8 90. 9 101.4 109.8 113.4 123.9 114.8 116.3 117. 1 118.0 47. 4 47. 6 49.0 49.9 50.5 50.9 51. 9 50.9 51.0 51. 1 51. 1 51.2 51. 3 51. 3 51. 4 51.4 51. 5 51. 9 51.9 51.8 51.8 0.6 .5 .5 .4 .3 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 .1 na 9 3 119.9 121. 0 122. 5 123.0 123. 7 123.9 123. 7 124.6 125. 9 U.S. Government securities maturing within one year 2 42.6 46. 8 48. 1 46. 1 48. 6 53. 9 50.5 51.7 52.9 50.9 49.5 46. 5 46. 7 47. 8 48. 2 48.3 49. 1 50. 5 53. 6 55. 4 56. 1 February 1960, savings and loan associations. 8 Keflects conversion of a savings and loan association with share capital of about $175 million to a mutual savings bank. NOTE.—See Note, p. 29. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. •5ANK LOANS, INVESTMENTS, DEBITS, AND RESERVES al bank loans and investments, seasonally adjusted, fell $1.1 billion in March, the first monthly decline since iober 1966. Free reserves dropped sharply to the largest net borrowed position since October 1966. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 400 ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS 350 350 300 100 100 50 50 1962 1968 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM Bank Weekly debits reporting large com- outside mercial New York Total Loans, Investments City (232 banks End of period loans excluding centers) , and inter- U.S. Gov- Other Commercial seasonally investbank securi- and indus- adjusted ernment ments ties securities trial loans annual rates l Billions of dollars 120. 5 209.6 65.2 1961 23. 9 32.9 1,882 134. 1 1962 29. 2 35.2 227.9 64.5 2,081 1963 246.2 149.7 61.5 35. 0 38. 8 2,199 1 1964 267. 2 38. 7 42. 1 60. 7 2, 706 167.7 8 57.3 192.4 44.8 1965 294. 4 8,013 53. 1 48.7 53.7 310. 2 207.8 60.7 1966 8,421 224. 0 60.0 344 4 60. 4 1967 » S, 897 65. 8 318.0 211. 0 60.4 51. 1 1967: Feb _ 55.9 3,570 211.3 321. 4 57.8 52. 3 Mar 62. 0 3,559 213. 5 56. 1 53.6 323. 2 62.3 3, 690 Apr 61.8 J 324. 6 213. 5 56. 1 55. 0 ]VIav 8,614 T 213. 9 55. 4 56.3 63.8 3, 788 325. 6 June 332. 4 217. 1 58. 8 8, 882 56.5 63.7 July 218. 2 61. 8 62.2 8, 882 337.3 57.3 Aug ._ v 61. 6 57. 7 220. 2 63. 4 8, 847 Sept _ - _ _ 339. 5 221. 8 62. 3 58.6 63. 1 Oct "__ 342.6 8,891 v 3,897 60.2 61.8 222.3 63.7 344.3 Nov 224 0 60. 0 60. 4 8,897 344. 4 65. 8 Dec * 62. 1 227. 2 4,046 59. 1 65. 0 1968: Jan » _ 348. 4 Feb 9 61.8 4,047 352.4 228.3 62.3 65. 1 4,021 59.9 63.2 228.2 Mar » 351. 3 66. 5 All commercial banks (seasonally adjusted data) 1 Deb its during period to demand deposit accounts except interbank and Government. New series beginning January 1964. verages of daily figures. Annual data are for December. iw series; see Federal Reserve Bulletin, March. 1967. DE.—Effective June 1966, balances accumulated for payment of personal (about $1.1 billion) are excluded from loans at all commercial banks, and All member banks Total reserves 2 Borrowings at Free Excess Federal reserves Reserve reserves Banks Millions of dollars 20, 118 20, 040 20, 746 21,609 22, 719 23, 830 25, 260 23, 709 23, 405 23, 362 23, 284 23, 518 23, 907 23, 791 24, 200 24, 608 24, 740 25, 260 25, 834 25, 610 25, 586 568 572 536 411 452 392 345 358 435 309 370 420 359 387 358 286 403 345 381 399 360 149 304 327 243 454 557 238 362 199 134 101 123 87 89 90 126 133 238 237 361 671 419 268 209 168 -2 -165 107 —4 236 175 269 297 272 298 268 160 270 107 144 38 -311 certain certificates of CCC and Export-Import Bank totaling about $1 billion are included in other securities rather than in loans. Data include Alaska and Hawaii. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 31 CONSUMER AND REAL ESTATE CREDIT The decline in tota! consumer credit outstanding during January and February was less than seasonal. Instalm credit outstanding, seasonally adjusted, showed an unusually large increase of $570 million during February. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 40 20 NONINSTALMENT CREDIT ! I I 1I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I M I 1 SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL RATES INSTALMENT CREDIT EXTENDED I I t I I t I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I t I t ! 1 I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ! I ! I I I i I I I I I 1963 1964 1965 1966 1962 I >( I I 1 I I 1 I I 1967 SOURCE: BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAl RESERVE SYSTEM COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Millions of dollars] Consumer credit outstanding (end of period; Consumer instalment credit extended unadjusted) and repaid (seasonally adjusted) Instalment Automobile paper Total NonAutomoTotal instal- Extended Repaid Extended Repaid Total i bile Personal ment 2 paper loans Period 1958 1959 1960___ _ 1961 .. __ _ _ _ 1962 1963_ . 1964_ _ _ 1965_ 1966 _ _ _ 1967 1967: Feb Mar Apr Mar J-.ir»e July AU£T _ _ Sf'Pt 1968 _„ Get Nov Df-c _ 1968: Jan Feb___ 45, 129 51, 542 56, 028 57, 678 63, 164 70, 461 78, 442 87, 884 94, 786 99, 228 92, 517 92, 519 93, 089 93, 917 94, 813 95, 115 95, 684 95, 886 96, 094 96, 802 99, 228 98, 225 97, 672 33, 642 39, 245 42, 832 43, 527 48, 034 54, 158 60, 548 68, 565 74, 656 77, 946 73, 598 73, 591 73, 840 74, 290 75, 051 75, 348 75, 889 76, 039 76, 223 76, 680 77, 946 77, 467 77, 327 14, 152 16, 420 17, 688 17, 223 19, 540 22, 433 25, 195 28, 843 30, 961 31, 197 30, 530 30, 527 30, 635 30, 852 31, 208 31, 364 31, 455 31, 296 31, 237 31,217 31, 197 31, 061 31, 137 8, 116 9, 386 10, 480 11, 256 12, 643 14, 464 16, 228 18, 354 20, 110 21, 690 19, 976 20, 047 20, 193 20, 326 20, 567 20, 666 20, 936 21, 087 21, 198 21, 375 21, 690 21,631 21, 752 Also includes other consumer goods paper, and repair and modernization loans, not shown separately. Consists of single-payment loans, charge accounts, and service credit. End of period, unadjusted. 32 11, 487 12, 297 13, 196 14, 151 15, 130 16, 303 17, 894 19,319 20, 130 21, 282 18, 919 18, 928 19, 249 19, 627 19, 762 19, 767 19, 795 19, 847 19, 871 20, 122 21, 282 20, 758 20, 345 40, 119 48, 052 49, 560 48, 396 55, 126 61,295 67, 505 75, 508 78, 896 81, 263 6, 497 6,510 6, 606 6, 554 6, 823 6, 776 6,929 6, 973 6,942 7,032 7, 035 7,089 7,245 40, 344 42, 603 45, 972 47, 700 50, 620 55, 171 61, 121 67, 495 72, 805 77, 973 6,281 6, 246 6, 393 6, 361 6, 531 6, 551 6, 585 6,689 6, 631 6,614 6, 652 6,691 6,679 14, 226 17, 779 17, 654 16, 007 19, 796 22, 292 24, 435 27, 914 28 491 27', 221 2, 177 2, 199 2, 217 2, 238 2, 338 2, 266 2, 285 2, 322 2, 321 2,305 2, 306 2,437 2, 519 15, 415 15, 579 16, 384 16, 472 17, 478 19, 400 21, 676 24, 267 26, 373 26, 985 2, 217 2, 193 2, 235 2, 219 2, 281 2, 228 2, 240 2, 280 2,301 2, 240 2, 250 2,302 2,308 Mortgage debt outstanding nonfarm. 1- to 4family houses 3 117, 700 130, 900 141, 300 153, 100 166, 500 182, 200 1 97, 700 213, 200 223, 700 235, 600 225, 200 228, 200 231, 900 235, 600 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning January and August 1959, respectively. Sources: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and FederalHom** Loan Bank Board. BOND YIELDS AND INTEREST RATES tercst rates and bond yields rose during March, in many cases exceeding their November and December peaks. le Treasury bill rate continued to rise during April, reaching the highest level since mid-October 1966. PERCENT PER ANNUM 7 PERCENT PER .ANNUM 7 CORPORATE Aaa BONDS (Mooors) 1962 1968 SOURCE, SEE TABLE BELOW Period 1961 1962 1963 _ _ -_ 1964 1965 _ _ __ -__ 1966 _ _ 1967 ___ 1967: Feb__ Mar Apr Mav June Julv Aug _ _ Sept Oct Nov_ __ Dec 1968: Jan__ _ Feb Mar _ Week ended: 196S: Mar 15__ 22__ 29__ Apr 5 _ _ 12, _ 19. _ T 1 COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Percent per annum] High-grade U.S. Government security yields municipal 3-month bonds 3-5 year Taxable Treasury 2 3 (Standard4 & issues bonds bills i Poor's) 2. 378 3. 60 3.90 3.46 2.778 3. 57 3. 95 3. 18 3. 157 3.72 4.00 3.23 3. 549 4 06 4 15 3.22 3. 954 4.22 4.21 3.27 4.881 5. 16 4 65 3. 82 4321 5.07 485 3.96 4.554 4.73 4.47 3.56 4 288 4 52 4 45 3. 60 3. 852 4 46 4. 51 3. 66 3.640 4.68 4.76 3.92 3.480 4.96 4.86 3.99 4. 308 5. 17 486 4 05 4. 275 5. 28 4. 95 4. 03 4. 451 5.40 4 99 4. 15 4 588 5. 52 5. 19 4 31 4.762 5.73 5.44 4.36 5.012 5.72 5.36 4 49 5. 081 5. 53 5. 18 4 36 4.969 5.59 5. 16 4.39 5. 144 5.77 5. 39 4 56 5. 107 5. 285 5. 186 5. 146 5. 309 5.463 _ _ _ 5.89 5.77 5. 77 5.53 5. 48 5. 5. 5. 5. 5. 49 41 42 26 21 2 Rate on new issues within period. Selected note and bond issues. ipril 1953 to date, bonds due or callable 10 years and after. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. Data for first of the month, based on the maximum permissible interest rate jercent beginning October 1966) and 30-year mortgages paid in 15 years. 461 4 53 458 4. 44 4. 34 435 4 33 426 4 40 4.49 5. 13 5.51 5.03 5. 13 5. 11 5.24 5.44 5. 58 5. 62 5. 65 5. 82 6.07 6. 19 6. 17 6. 10 6. 11 5.08 5.02 4.86 4 83 4. 87 5.67 6. 23 5.82 5. 85 5. 83 5.96 6.15 6. 26 6. 33 6.40 6. 52 6.72 6.93 6. 84 6.80 6.85 Prime commercial paper, 4-6 months 2. 97 3. 26 3. 55 3. 97 4.38 5. 55 5. 10 5.38 5. 24 4 83 4.67 4.65 4 92 5. 00 5. 00 5.07 5.28 5. 56 5. 60 5.50 5. 64 6. 6. 6. 6. 6. 6. 81 6. 87 6. 93 6. 98 6.98 5. 58 5. 75 5. 75 5. 75 5.75 Corporate bonds ( Moody *s) Aaa Baa 08 13 17 20 19 FHA new home mortgage yields 5 5. 80 5. 61 5.47 5. 45 5. 46 6. 29 6.55 6.62 6. 46 6.35 6.29 6.44 6. 51 6. 53 6. 60 6. 63 6.65 6.77 6. 81 6.81 6.78 Sources: Treasury Department, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Federal Housing Administration, Standard & Poor's Corporation, and Moody's Investors Service. 33 COMMON STOCK PRICES, YIELD, AND EARNINGS The common stock price index continued to fall during March, with the monthly average being the lowest since Fe ruary 1967. Stock prices rose sharply in early April, however. lndex,1941-43=10 Index, 1941-43=10 100 100 90 90 80 -COMPOSITE PRICE INDEX FOR~ 500 COMMON STOCKS , . . i ,VK7V, , . . , . . I . , , , , , . , . , . , , , , .,..,I.,,., ,.,,.I,, ,,, .....I.. DIVIDEND YIELD ON COMMON STOCKS \ RATIO RATIO 25 25 PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO ON COMMON STOCKS 20 rO— \_ 15 10 A v i , 1 ^ i 1962 i I t I i ! 1964 1963 20 . —""""'""'""<"'"*i ~~ 1 ! ^^ 1 15 t I r ' 1966 1965 "SOURCE, STANDARD & ppoxs CORPORATION Period 1962 _ 1963 1964 _ _ 1965 1966 1967 1967: Mar Apr May _ June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec _ _ _ 1968: Jan Feb Mar _ Week ended: 1968: Mar 1 8 15__ 22. _ 29 _ Apr 5 12 ! ! I 1967 t 1968 I [\ 10 N COUNCIL Of ECONOMIC ADVISERS Total Total Price index * Industrials Capital Consumers' goods goods 62.38 69.87 81. 37 88. 17 85. 26 91.93 89. 42 90.96 92.59 91.43 93. 01 94. 49 95. 81 95. 66 92.66 95.30 95. 04 90.75 89. 09 65. 54 73. 39 86. 19 93.48 91. 09 99.18 95. 86 97.54 99.59 98.61 100. 38 102. 11 103. 84 104, 16 100. 90 103. 91 103. 11 98.33 96.77 1941-43=10 54. 96 58. 15 63. 30 62. 28 76. 34 73. 84 81.94 85. 26 84.86 74. 10 96. 96 79. 18 90.08 75. 10 92.37 77.53 95.10 79.13 96.34 78.94 98. 35 81. 27 101. 01 83. 88 104. 17 84 62 106. 64 83. 60 103. 58 80.47 81.92 106. 41 102. 87 81. 06 98.13 77.99 77.49 96. 32 89. 85 88. 61 89.56 88. 86 89. 34 93. 14 95. 72 97.36 96. 06 97. 27 96. 59 97. 23 101. 56 104. 44 96. 78 96. 06 96. 79 95. 94 96. 50 101. 29 103. 74 77.67 77.40 78. 17 76. 98 77.42 82.20 84. 54 Railroads Dividend yield 2 (percent) 59. 16 64.99 69. 91 76.08 68.21 68. 10 70. 03 71.70 70.70 67.39 67. 77 68. 03 67. 45 64. 93 63.48 64.61 68. 02 65.61 62. 62 30. 56 37.58 45. 46 46.78 46. 34 46.72 4&78 45.80 47.00 48.19 49. 91 50.43 49. 27 46. 28 42.95 43. 46 43.38 42.35 41. 68 3. 37 3.17 3. 01 3.00 3.40 3.20 3. 29 3.24 3.19 3.19 3. 15 3. 11 3.07 3.07 3.18 3.09 3. 13 3.28 3. 34 64. 63. 63. 61. 61. 62. 64. 41.94 41. 09 41. 51 42. 05 42. 09 42. 76 44. 34 Price/ earnings ratio 3 3. 31 3. 35 3. 32 3. 36 3.33 3. 19 3. 12 Public utilities 88 70 19 83 35 98 01 16. 68 17. 62 18. 08 17. 08 14.92 17. 54 17.86 17.01 17. 81 17.48 Includes 500 common stocks; 425 are industrials; 55 are public utilities; and 20 are averages of monthly data. Weekly data are Wednesday figures. 3 are railroads. Weekly indexes ior capital and consumer goods are Wednesday Ratio of price index for last day hi quarter to quarterly earnings (season figures; all other weekly Indexes are averages of dally figures. adjusted annual rate). Annual ratios are averages of quarterly data. 2 Aggregate cash dividends (based on latest known annual rate) divided by the aggregate monthly market value of the stocks in the group. Annual yields Source: Standard & Poor's Corporation. 34 FEDERAL FINANCE EDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS, EXPENDITURES, AND NET LENDING i the receipt-expenditure account, the increase in receipts in fiscal 1968 is estimated at $6.2 billion and the increase n expenditures at $16.7 billion. The increase in expenditures and net lending is expected to be $17.3 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 200 160 80 80 (ENLARGED SCALE) +20 (ENLARGED SCALE) SURPLUS (+) OR DEFICIT +20 (-) RECEIPT-EXPENDITURE ACCOUNT +10 0 -10 _L _L 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 J/RECEIPTS LESS EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING. J^ESTIMATE. SOURCES. TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET Period Fiscal year: 1958 _ 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 _-_ 1964 ___ . 1965_. _ 1966 _ _ • 1967l _ -_ 1968 l 1969 Fiscal year 1968: Feb Cumulative total, first 8 months 1963 1964 FISCAL YEARS 1966 1967 1968-^ 1969-2/ COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Budget receipts, expenditures, and net lending Loan Receipt-expenditure account Total account surplus or ExpendiSurplus or Net deficit (-) Receipts tures deficit (— ) lending 79.6 79.0 92.5 94.4 99.7 106.6 112.7 116.9 130.9 149.6 155.8 178. 1 81.2 89.7 90.4 96.7 104.7 111.5 118.1 116.7 130.7 153.2 169.9 182.8 — 1.6 -10.6 2.1 — 2.3 -5.0 — 4.9 -5.4 .1 .2 -3.6 — 14.0 -4.7 1.5 2.7 1.9 1.2 2.4 — .1 .5 1.2 3.8 5.2 5.8 3.3 -3.1 -13.3 .2 -3.5 -7.4 -4.7 -6.0 — 1.1 -3.7 — 8.8 -19.8 -8.0 12. 1 91.7 13.7 113.7 -1.6 -22. 0 3."0 Public debt (end of period) 279.1 286.7 289.2 291.0 301.1 308.5 314.4 320.8 329. 5 341.3 370.0 387.2 -2.3 -25.0 1 Estimates in the 1969 Budget, submitted in January 1968. NOTE.—Budget receipts and expenditures, net lending, and the public debt :are based on The Budget of the United States Government, 1969, which shows data •on the basis of budget concepts adopted pursuant to the recommendations of the 1965 President's Commission on Budget Concepts. As soon as all of the data are available on a monthly basis, the table will be expanded to include them. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. 35 FEDERAL BUDGET RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION In fiscal 1968, individual income taxes are estimated to increase by $6.2 billion, corporation income taxes to decline by $2.7 billion, and other receipts to increase by $2.7 billion. National defense outlays are estimated to increase by $6.4 billion and nondefense outlays by $10.8 billion. BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 120 EXPENDITURES AND NET LENDING 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 NATIONAL DEFENSE' I 20 1958 1959 1960 1961 1965 1963 1964 FISCAL YEARS 1962 J/ESTIMATE. SOURCES: TREASURY DEPARTMENT AND BUREAU OF THE BUDGET. 1966 1967 1969 J'1 1968-^ 20 COUNCIl OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars] Receipts Expenditures and net lending National defense Period Individual income taxes Corporation income taxes 79.6 79. 0 92. 5 94.4 99. 7 106.6 112.7 116.9 130.9 149. 6 155.8 178. 1 34. 7 36. 7 40. 7 41.3 45. 6 47. 6 48. 7 48. 8 55.4 61. 5 67.7 80.9 20. 1 17. 3 21. 5 21. 0 20. 5 21. 6 23. 5 25. 5 30. 1 34.0 31.3 34.3 24. 8 25. 0 30.3 32. 1 33. 6 37.4 40. 5 42. 6 45. 4 54. 1 56.8 62.9 82. 7 92.4 92. 3 97. 9 107.0 111. 3 118. 7 118. 0 134.6 158.4 175. 6 186. 1 12. 1 5.6 .5 6. 0 14. 4 Total Other Total Total Department of Defense, military 1 InternaHealth, tional labor, affairs and finance and Other 2 welfare Fiscal year: 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 3 3 _ _ __ 44.5 46.7 45. 8 47.5 51. 2 52. 2 53. 7 49. 6 56. 8 70. 1 76. 5 79. 8 39. 1 41. 2 41. 2 43. 2 46. 8 48. 3 49. 8 46. 2 54.4 67.5 73.7 76. 7 3.3 3.2 3. 1 3.4 4. 6 4. 2 4.2 4.2 4.4 4. 6 5. 0 5. 2 15. 8 18. 0 19. 1 22.4 24. 0 25. 7 27. 2 28.2 33. 2 40. 1 46.4 51. 4 19.2 24. 5 24. 2 24.7 27.3 29. 2 33. 7 36. 0 '40. 1 43. 6 47. 7 49. 7 Fiscal year 1968: Feb 6. 2 Cumulative total, first 8 months 91.7 44. 5 12. 1 35. 1 50.3 116.7 1 Expenditure account. adopted pursuant to the recommendations of the President's Commission on 2 Includes undistributed adjustments to amounts for all functions and special Budget Concepts. As soon as all of the data are available on a monthly basis, allowances for 1968 and 1969. the table will be expanded to include them. a Estimates in the 1969 Budget, submitted in January 1968. Sources: Treasury Department and Bureau of the Budget. NOTE.—Keceipts and outlays in this table are based on The Budget of the United States Government, 1969, which shows data on the basis of budget concepts 36 ^EDERAL SECTOR, NATIONAL INCOME ACCOUNTS BASIS deral purchases jumped $31A billion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter—the biggest increase Kce the first quarter of 1967. With transfer payments rising $2 /i billion due to increased Social Security benefits, ;tal Federal expenditures increased almost $7 billion. 1 BILLIONS OF DOLLARS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 120 100 100 +20 SEASO MALLY ADJUSTED ANNUAL SURPLUS n FI *20 RATES n n W ""* i i i DEFICIT -20 1 1 ! 1 1962 ! 1 I 1 ! 1964 1963 1 I 1 1966 1965 \\ 1 1 1967 I J/ I 1 ! -20 1968 CALENDAR YEARS J/PRELIMINARY. SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE COUNCIL OF ECONOMIC ADVISERS [Billions of dollars, quarterly data at seasonally adjusted annual rates] Federal Government receipts Period Fiscal year: 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 * 19691 Calendar year: 1964 1965 1966 1967 1966:I__ II__ IIIIV. 1967: I _ _ II.. Personal Corporate Total tax and profits nontax tax receipts accruals 115. 120. 132. 147. 161. 182. Indirect business tax and nontax accruals Federal Government expenditures Contributions for soeialinsuran ce Total GrantsSubsidies Purin-aid less chases Trans- to State current Net of goods fer payand interest surplus and local ments of Govt. paid services governenterments prises Surplus or deficit (-), income and product accounts 5 6 9 6 1 5 50. 7 51. 3 57.5 64.6 71.0 83.8 25.7 27.8 31. 0 31.4 34. 3 37.2 15. 6 16. 9 15. 8 15.9 17. 1 18.1 23.5 24. 5 28.6 35. 7 38. 7 43. 4 116. 9 118.3 131.9 155. 1 171. 1 185. 0 3.8 4. 1 4. 5 5.3 4.5 4.5 — 1. 4 2. 3 .9 -7. 5 -10.0 -2.5 115. 0 124. 8 143. 2 151. 8 137. 0 141. 6 145. 6 148. 6 149. 1 148. 1 152. 7 IV__ 157.3 1968: I »^stimates. 48. 6 53. 8 61. 7 66. 5 57.7 60.9 63. 1 65. 2 65. 5 64.0 67.5 69. 1 71.2 26. 4 29. 3 32.3 31. 0 32. 2 32. 2 32.4 32. 3 30. 3 30. 3 30.6 32. 5 16. 1 16. 5 15. 9 16.6 15. 2 15. 9 16. 2 16. 3 16.2 16.5 16.7 17.0 17.5 23. 8 25. 2 33. 3 37.7 31. 9 32. 5 34. 0 34. 7 37. 0 37. 2 38.0 38.7 41. 8 65. 2 29. 9 118. 1 10. 4 8. 3 4. 2 32. 4 66. 8 123. 4 11. 2 8.7 4.3 142. 9 77. 0 14. 8 36.0 5.4 9.5 164,3 42. 9 89. 9 16.0 5. 1 10.5 72. 1 134. 8 35. 2 13.8 9. 1 4. 6 138.4 34. 1 74.9 14. 6 9. 4 5. 3 146. 3 79. 5 35. 9 15. 3 9. 6 6.0 151. 9 38. 8 81. 5 15. 6 10. 0 5.9 42. 2 87. 1 160. 9 15. 6 10. 4 5.6 42.4 162. 8 89. 5 15.3 10. 4 5.3 165.9 90.9 43.5 16. 0 10. 5 5.0 92.2 43.3 167.9 17.1 10.7 4.6 174. 8 95.7 45. 8 18. 2 11. 0 4. 1 NOTE.—Data for Alaska and Hawaii included beginning 1960. Source: Department of Commerce. -3.0 1. 4 .3 -12. 5 2. 2 3. 2 7 -3'. 3 -11. 9 -14.7 — 13. 2 -10.7 m_ 65. 7 64. 3 71.7 84. 5 92. 8 99. 4 29. 5 30. 4 34. 1 39. 8 44.9 49. 9 9.8 10. 9 12. 7 15.4 18. 0 20. 0 8. 1 8.5 9. 0 10. 1 10.7 11.2 O "7 UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE POSTAGE AND FEES PAID U.S GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE DIVISION OF PUBLIC DOCUMENTS WASHINGTON, D.C. 2O4O2 OFFICIAL BUSINESS First-Class Mail Contents TOTAL OUTPUT, INCOME, AND SPENDING The Nation's Income, Expenditure, and Saving Gross National Product or Expenditure National Income Sources of Personal Income Disposition of Personal Income Farm Income Corporate Profits Gross Private Domestic Investment Expenditures for New Plant and Equipment EMPLOYMENT, UNEMPLOYMENT, AND WAGES Status of the Labor Force Selected Measures of Unemployment and Part-Time Employment Unemployment Insurance Programs Nonagricultural Employment Weekly Hours of Work—Selected Industries Average Hourly and Weekly Earnings—Selected Industries PRODUCTION AND BUSINESS ACTIVITY Industrial Production Production of Selected Manufactures Weekly Indicators of Production New Construction New Housing Starts and Applications for Financing Business Sales and Inventories—Total and Trade Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and New Orders Merchandise Exports and Imports U.S. Exports and Imports of Goods and Services U.S. Balance of International Payments PRICES Consumer Prices Wholesale Prices Prices Received and Paid by Farmers MONEY, CREDIT, AND SECURITY MARKETS Money Supply Selected Liquid Assets Held by the Public Bank Loans, Investments, Debits, and Reserves Consumer and Real Estate Credit Bond Yields and Interest Rates Common Stock Prices, Yield, and Earnings FEDERAL FINANCE Federal Budget Receipts, Expenditures, and Net Lending Federal Budget Receipts by Source and Outlays by Function Federal Sector, National Income Accounts Basis OO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 NOTE.—Detail in these tables will not necessarily add to totals because of rounding. Data for Alaska and Hawaii are not included unless specifically noted. Unless otherwise stated, all dollar figures are in current prices. P Indicates preliminary and . . . . not available. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C., 20402 Price 25 cents per copy; $2.60 per year; $3.50 foreign u s - GOVERNMENT