Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. "When Might the Federal Funds Rate Lift Off? Computing the Probabilities of Crossing Unemployment and Inflation Thresholds (and Floors), Number 2013-19,"
Economic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)
(December 4, 2013).
https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/4515/item/690142, accessed on January 23, 2026.