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» # ^ # * # e # • • • # E.15 (125) AGRICULTURAL FINANCE DATABOOK Third Quarter 2001 Guide to internal tables of contents and notes on sources Amount and characteristics of farm loans made by commercial banks Page 3 Selected statistics from the quarterly reports of condition of commercial banks Reserve bank surveys of farm credit conditions and farm land values Division of Research and Statistics Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington, D.C. 20551 N i c h o l a s A. Walraven 22 33 General Information The Agricultural Finance Databook is a compilation of various data on current developments in agricultural finance. Large portions of the data come from regular surveys conducted by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Federal Reserve Banks. Other portions of the data come from the quarterly call report data of commercial banks or from the reports of other financial institutions involved in agricultural lending. When the current issue went to press, data from the survey of terms of bank lending were available for the third quarter of 2001; the other data generally were available through the second quarter of 2001. Parts or all of the Agricultural Finance Databook may be copied and distributed freely. Any redistribution of selected parts of the Databook should be accompanied by the "contents" pages at the beginning of the corresponding section, together with the front cover identifying the Databook and date of issue, and this page providing subscription information. Remaining questions may be addressed to Nicholas Walraven at the address shown on the cover. The Databook is furnished on a complimentary basis to college and university teachers, libraries of educational institutions, government departments and agencies, and public libraries. Others should enclose the annual subscription fee of $5.00. New subscriptions to the Databook (Statistical Release E.15) may be entered by sending a mailing address (including zip code) to: Publications Services, Mail Stop 138 Federal Reserve Board Washington, D C. 20551 Notice of change of address also should be sent to Publications Services. A copy of the back cover showing the old address should be included. SECTION I: AMOUNT AND CHARACTERISTICS OF FARM LOANS MADE BY COMMERCIAL BANKS Estimates from the quarterly survey of non-real-estate farm loans Summary charts. page 5 Tables: I.A IB I.C ID IE IF IG I.H I.I Number Average size Amount Average maturity Average effective interest rate Percentage of loans with a floating interest rate Distribution of farm loans by effective interest rate Detailed survey results Regional disaggregation of survey results 7 8 9 . . . . . . . . . . 1 0 " %j 12 13 14 21 SOURCES OF DATA: These data on the farm loans of $1000 or more made by commercial banks are derived from quarterly sample surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve System during the first full week of the second month of each quarter. Data obtained from the sample are expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, which are shown in the following tables. Before August 1989, the farm loan survey was part of a broader survey of the terms of lending by a sample of 348 commercial banks. A subset of 250 banks was asked for information regarding agricultural lending, and about 150 typically reported at least one farm loan. Since August of 1989, the data have been drawn from a redesigned sample of 250 banks that is no longer part of the broader survey. In the redesigned sample, banks are stratified according to their volume of farm lending; previously, they had been stratified according to the volume of business loans. However, the sample data always have been expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, and these estimates necessarily exhibit variability due to sampling error. The estimates are sensitive to the occasional appearance of very large loans in the sample. In addition, the breakdown of national estimates into those for large banks and small banks may have been affected somewhat by the new sampling procedures that were implemented in August 1989; apparent shifts in the data as of that date should be treated with caution. Beginning with the May 1997 survey, data on the assessment by the lender of the risk associated with each loan, the next date that the rate of interest could be adjusted, whether the loan was callable by the bank, and whether the borrower could prepay the loan without penalty began to be collected. Over time, the data on the lender's perception of the riskiness of farm loans should help provide a better picture of the effect of fluctuations in the creditworthiness of farm borrowers as either farm financial conditions or the broader economic environment changes. The new data on loan repricing dates, callability of the loan, and the existence of prepayment penalties should help to refine estimates of the duration of farm loans made by commercial banks. Tables I.H.I through 1.H.6 contain most of the new data, while the other tables in section I attempt to show estimates that are comparable to those that have been presented for a number of years. However, for several quarters while the new survey was being designed, banks that left the survey panel were not replaced immediately, because new replacement banks would soon have been forced to revise their newly-instituted reporting procedures when the new survey form went into effect. As a result, the size of the survey panel dwindled through early 1997, and with the May 1997 survey, an unusually-large number of new reporters (about 25) were added. While this does not affect the validity of the May survey information, it likely introduced sampling error, especially when the May survey results are compared with those of previous quarters. The format and the information contained in the tables are likely to change over time as more of the new survey information is acquired. 3 4 SECTION I: (CONTINUED) More detailed results from each quarterly survey previously were published in Statistical Release E.2A, "Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers". Beginning in February, 1992, the more detailed results are included at the end of this section of the Databook, and the E2.A has been discontinued. Starting with the August 1986 survey, farm loans secured by real estate are included in the data shown in the table of detailed results, whereas such loans are excluded from the tabulations in Tables I.A through I.G and the summary charts. Beginning in November 1991, several survey statistics are estimated for each of ten farm production regions as defined by the USDA. These statistics, which are presented in table I.I, should be treated with some caution. Although an effort was made to choose a good regional mix of banks for the panel, the panel never has been stratified by region. Consequently, the survey results are less precise for each region than for the totals for the nation. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: In the August 2001 survey, the estimated number of non-real-estate farm loans made by banks was below the estimated level of one year earlier, continuing the gradual downward trend that seems to have begun around 1994. The average size of loans in the August survey was towards the lower end of the range seen in recent years, although the reading was a little greater than one year earlier. The estimated volume of farm loans in the August survey was the lowest since the late 1980s, as larger loans seem to have become increasingly scarce in the survey. Relative to one year earlier, the declines in the volume of loans outstanding largely reflected lower volumes of loans for operating expenses. In the August survey, the average maturity of farm non-real-estate loans remained a bit less than twelve months, well below the maturity of 18 months that was recorded in the February survey. Relative to the previous year, maturities shortened most on larger loans. In August, the average effective rate of interest on non-real-estate farm loans fell more than half a percentage point from the reading in the previous quarter, bringing the rate below 8 percent for the first time since 1994. Roughly three of every four loans in the August survey were made with a rate of interest that floats, towards the upper end of the range seen for this series in the entire history of the survey. The weighted average risk rating (line 5 of Tables I.H.l through I.H.6) was 3.08 in the August survey, pretty much in line with previous ratings this year. The weighted average repricing interval (line 4 of the tables) rose to 7.39 months in August, almost a full month longer than early in 2001. The percentage of the volume of loans that were to purchase or improve farm real estate (line 23) moved above 10 percent, compared with about 5 percent early in the year. The proportion of farm loans that were secured (the sum of lines 25 and 26) remained a touch above 90 percent, but the proportion of the volume of loans that was secured by farm real estate rose to almost 20 percent. When broken out by the riskiness of the loan (Tables I.H.4 through I.H.6), more than a third of the estimated volume of loans in August was rated "moderate". Weighted-average rates of interest have fallen more than 2 percentage points this year, and while rates have fallen for all risk categories, the declines in rates tended to be larger at the riskier end of the spectrum. Changes in weighted average rates of interest varied considerably across farm production regions in the August survey, ranging from a 1.1 percentage point increase in the Lake States to a decline of a similar magnitude in the Appalachian region. Chart 1 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Millions, Annual rate Number of non-real-estate farm loans 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 — Four quarter moving average 2.0 1.5 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Thousands of dollars 1.0 50 45 Average size of non-real-estate farm loans 40 35 30 - Four quarter moving average 25 20 15 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Billions of dollars, Annual rate Amount of non-real-estate farm loans 10 130 120 110 100 90 - Four quarter moving average 80 70 60 50 40 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 30 Chart 2 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Months 18 16 Average maturity of non-real-estate farm loans 14 - Four quarter moving average 12 10 8 6 4 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Percent 20 18 Average effective interest rate on non-real-estate farm loans 16 14 12 10 8 6 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Percent Share of farm loans with a floating interest rate 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 — Four quarter moving average 30 20 10 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 0 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.A NUMBER OF LOANS MADE (MILLIONS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000#) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER BY SIZE OF BANK 1 to 9 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER 1.67 1.70 1.66 1.67 1.65 1.55 1.45 1.33 1.32 1.20 1.09 1.09 0.52 0.49 0.51 0.54 0.56 0.51 0.57 0.48 0.50 0.45 0.44 0.44 0.31 0.35 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.35 0.36 0.31 0.34 0.33 0.32 0.28 0.09 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.36 0.44 0.50 0.51 0.55 0.54 0.66 0.53 0.46 0.39 0.40 0.57 2.23 2.20 2.10 2.18 2.15 1.98 1.83 1.69 1.82 1.71 1.56 1.34 ANNUAL NUMBER OF LOANS MADE 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 | 1 j 1 j j 1 j j 1 1 1 2.60 2.63 2.60 2.69 2.70 2.53 2.49 2.22 2.27 2.10 1-96 1.91 | j | j j | j | j j j j 0.30 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.36 0.28 0.26 0.18 0.19 0.15 0.14 0.11 0.20 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.23 0.19 0.17 0.20 0.18 0.16 0.17 1.73 1.69 1.64 1.67 1.62 1.56 1.48 1.38 1.40 1.39 1.32 1.30 0.16 0.19 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.15 0.17 0.16 0.13 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.27 0.39 0.36 0.33 0.22 0.18 0.19 NUMBER OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 2.12 1.70 | j 0.10 0.17 0.16 0.14 1.50 1.05 0.15 0.14 0.20 0.20 1999 01.. . Q2.. . Q3.. . 04... 1.93 2.37 2.05 1.49 | j | j 0.20 0.12 0.07 0.15 0.18 0.18 0.13 0.15 1.17 1.77 1.47 0.88 0.17 0.17 0.19 0.13 0.20 0.14 0.19 0.17 2000 Ql.. . Q2.. . Q3. . . Q4... 1.91 2.27 1.86 1.59 | j j j 0.09 0.12 0.09 0.14 0.16 0.19 0.15 0.19 1.36 1.56 1.29 0.96 0.13 0.18 0.12 0.11 0.16 0.22 0.20 0.19 2001 Ql. . . Q2.. . Q3.. . 1.63 2.16 1.66 | j j 0.12 0.13 0.09 0.17 0.19 0.13 0.97 1.34 1.09 0.14 0.16 0.12 0.23 0.34 0.23 03... Q4. . . | | | j j j 1.36 0.94 0.41 0.36 0.26 0.30 0.09 0.11 || j| 0.38 0.33 1.74 1.37 0.96 1.41 1.25 0.74 0.45 0.51 0.44 0.36 0.36 0.34 0.29 0.29 0.15 0.10 0.08 0.10 || jE j| j 0.39 0.45 0.44 0.33 1.54 1.93 1.61 1.16 1.07 1.28 1.10 0.90 0.43 0.54 0.43 0.35 0.27 0.33 0.26 0.26 0.14 0.11 0.08 0.08 | j j j 0.72 0.53 0.52 0.51 1.19 1.74 1.34 1.08 0.84 1.23 1.00 0.37 0.49 0.36 0.30 0.32 0.23 0.11 0.12 0.08 0.52 0.79 0.59 1.11 1.37 1.07 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.B AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE (THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000#) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 320.4 272.1 487.7 539.9 468.2 490.3 480.7 451.3 545.9 385.3 357.0 322.1 258.4 70.0 53.7 100.7 107.0 97.0 106.0 101.3 84.0 115.0 92.0 95.0 76.2 44.1 16.3 14.4 13.9 13.9 15.8 15.8 15.4 15.7 15.4 16.3 18.1 19.3 18.7 120.7 21.0 137.6 63.4 47.5 58.7 23.4 17.4 14.3 23.8 42.0 51.8 40.0 43.3 24.4 17.4 16.2 17.7 55.2 43.6 39.4 23.2 17.3 14.4 ANNUAL AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997, 1998 1999 2000, | | | | | | | j | | | | j 21.8 19.9 28.4 31.9 31.2 34.3 33.9 33.8 39.2 31.4 32.4 30.9 26.3 34.1 42.7 69.7 61.0 68.2 79.7 60.3 49.7 59.0 42.3 41.5 35.6 43.3 40.6 29.5 22.7 25.2 26.9 23.1 27.6 26.7 24.2 26.0 24.3 26.4 26.0 16.7 14.1 15.7 15.6 14.7 15.2 16.3 18.5 26.0 16.8 18.2 21.4 21.3 13.9 12.1 11.9 15.1 15.9 13.9 17.5 15.6 17.2 17.8 28.1 31.8 29.3 34.7 32.2 94.3 129.3 108.7 112.0 123.6 93.6 95.2 97.2 127.9 101.1 48.5 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.9 14.8 14.7 14.8 14.9 14.8 14.9 14.6 14.7 15.0 14.9 14.8 14.8 14.9 45.2 45.9 46.1 46.6 45.9 46.1 47.0 44.9 45.2 45.8 45.4 46.8 45.3 AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1998 Q4. . . 1 40.4 1999 Ql. . . Q2... 03... Q4.. . | j j | 2000 Ql... Q2... 03... 04... 2001 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . | 50.7 29.3 18.9 26.9 161.7 | 1 3.9 15.3 44.6 424.7 46.6 26.1 21.4 31.5 32.7 30.2 30.1 46.5 26.9 21.2 25.1 33.1 25.6 20.5 17.0 24.9 21.9 52.4 . 26.6 25.9 219.2 66.3 44.0 54.5 |1 | j1 j1 3.7 3.8 3.7 4.1 15.5 14.5 14.6 14.9 47.9 46.4 45.9 46.7 412.6 314.6 261.3 242.1 | j j j 31.1 25.4 22.9 25.9 38.5 40.3 56.9 40.2 29.9 23.3 23.8 27.0 27.6 20.1 18.1 18.6 48.0 23.3 25.6 20.6 43.5 58.5 36.2 54.8 3.8 4.0 3.5 4.2 15.1 14.8 14.8 15.1 47.7 45.6 43.6 44.2 256.3 255.6 273.0 252.2 | j | 33.3 26.9 23.2 30.1 31.4 43.6 25.3 29.5 27.2 24.3 19.3 16.2 34.6 41.2 23.4 78.4 47.1 46.1 3.9 3.9 3.7 15.2 14.5 14.7 46.6 44.1 44.0 274.0 263.7 255.6 |1 j1 j1 | | | j j| ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.C AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000#) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 19.6 44.2 53.7 49.4 58.8 55.1 55.3 61.2 41.9 37.0 30.6 25.1 32.0 30.5 29.1 34.3 33.8 30.6 28.8 26.1 29.6 31.1 30.1 25.0 ANNUAL AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE 1989. 1990. 1991. 1992. 1993. 1994. 1995. 1996. 1997. 1998. 1999. 51.6 74.7 82.8 83.7 92.6 85.7 84.1 87.3 71.4 68.0 60.6 50.2 2000. 12.9 22.0 21.4 23.6 28.7 16.8 12.7 10.6 8.0 6.1 4.9 4.8 6.0 5.5 5.8 6.7 6.2 6.4 5.2 4.0 5.3 4.4 4.2 4.5 24.3 26.6 25 5 24.6 24.7 25.4 27.3 35.9 23.6 25.2 28.4 27.6 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.9 2.5 3.2 2.7 2.4 2.7 4.9 5.2 3.9 6.4 18.3 27.6 26.0 30.6 33.9 36.1 34.5 31.9 27.5 18.0 9.3 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.2 4.2 7.7 7.3 7.6 8.0 8.3 7.4 8.3 7.1 7.4 6.7 6.6 6.5 14.4 15.9 15.1 16.8 17.1 16.5 16.0 13.9 15.8 14.9 15.1 12.6 23.4 45.3 54.0 52.8 61.0 56.0 54.4 61.3 43.3 41.9 34.9 26.8 AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE m | 00 1998 Q4 .. . 8.8 4.1 19.7 3.8 32.3 | 1 3.6 5.5 13.2 46.4 | 40.0 28.7 | | j | | 53.9 28.3 20.8 19.3 36.0 33.5 23.1 27.7 30.4 27.2 20.9 22.0 29.0 30.2 21.7 19.3 28.4 34.4 23.2 25.8 23.6 15.5 1999 Ql. . . Q2.. . Q3. . . 04... 89.86 61.85 43.91 46.96 | j j j 6.7 3.5 2.2 7.1 4.8 3.8 3.2 5.0 30.1 36.4 25.0 22.0 3.7 8.7 5.1 3.4 44.6 9.5 8.4 9.4 3.6 5.4 4.6 3.0 7.0 7.4 6.4 5.3 17.4 16.0 13.2 13.7 61.9 33.0 19.7 24.9 2000 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4.. . 59.42 57.44 42.60 41.24 | j | j 3.6 4.8 5.1 5.8 4.8 4.4 3.7 5.1 37.6 31.5 23.4 17.8 6.3 4.1 3.0 2.3 7.1 12.7 7.4 10.2 4.1 5.1 3.8 3.7 6.6 7.9 6.3 5.3 12.7 15.1 11.3 11.4 36.0 29.3 21.2 20.8 2001 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . 54.27 58.02 38.64 | j j 3.6 4.1 4.1 4.3 5.5 3.5 23.7 25.9 17.7 4.7 6.7 2.8 18.0 15.9 10.5 3.3 4.8 3.7 5.7 7.1 5.3 13.9 14.1 10.2 31.4 32.1 19.5 | j| j| 9 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.D AVERAGE MATURITY OF LOANS MADE (MONTHS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000*) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 8.3 9.2 8.3 9.7 10.0 11.6 10.8 10.5 11.6 11.3 11.2 11.5 9.3 11.9 10.6 11.1 11.1 13.5 12.1 12.1 12.4 12.5 12.4 11.1 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 7.8 4.7 5.2 6.4 6.4 5.8 7.3 6.4 7.6 6.8 9.2 10.0 8.2 10.2 9.6 10.1 10.4 12.6 11.4 12.3 12.8 13.2 13.8 12.3 5.9 11.7 7.0 9.9 12.3 10.8 12.6 18.0 11.8 11.9 8.2 11.2 10.3 10.9 14.3 11.9 11.8 10.4 19.6 8.9 9.9 17.8 15.9 12.6 ANNUAL AVERAGE MATURITY | 1 | | 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997, 1998, 1999. 2000, j j | j | j j j 8.1 7.5 7.3 8.9 9.2 10.3 9.9 8.5 9.9 9.8 11.5 11.2 | j j j j | j j j j j j 6.8 6.0 6.7 6.1 7.3 7.6 8.7 7.8 9.1 8.0 8.0 8.0 7.4 8.8 8.5 9.5 9.6 9.8 9.9 11.3 11.0 10.3 11.0 10.8 7.2 7.5 7.2 8.6 8.3 8.6 8.5 7.6 10.7 9.9 11.3 9.5 18.7 21.9 24.6 20.1 30.4 36.6 26.5 29.4 30.6 27.5 20.1 22.4 11.8 6.4 5.3 9.4 9.4 9.4 10.0 9.2 7.4 6.8 10.5 13.2 7.4 7.4 7.7 8.3 8.5 8.6 9.0 8.6 8.8 8.8 9.8 9.7 7.1 4.9 5.8 7.2 7.4 7.2 8.2 7.3 8.8 8.7 11.4 11.4 MATURITY OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER,, ANNUAL RATE 1998 Q4. . . | 8.3 | 8.3 8.6 8.9 31.5 5.2 1999 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. j j j | 9.2 14.4 12.0 11.5 | 8.3 8.8 6.9 7.7 12.8 12.0 7.3 10.9 11.2 14.2 9.3 8.7 28.0 13.9 22.3 24.1 6.1 18.8 17.1 16.9 | 2000 Ql. . . 02... . j j 03... j Q4. . . 11.2 11.6 11.1 10.6 9.0 9.7 6.7 7.2 10.4 9.3 14.8 9.7 10.0 10.1 9.1 7.9 17.4 22.3 30.7 25.8 14.1 13.4 10.2 14.5 | 1 j| | 18.7 11.8 11.0 8.7 8.1 6.8 18.6 16.9 10.7 12.4 10.2 8.6 30.6 14.0 32.3 25.9 12.8 11.3 | | . . . . . . . . 2001 Ql. .. 02... 03... j j j | j | j j j 1 j j | | | j1 7.6 8.9 11.4 7.5 10.1 9.9 9.4 9.7 11.9 11.3 10.4 11.1 10.9 14.7 11.1 12.9 8.4 15.7 13.8 11.1 9.8 10.8 9.0 8.9 12.0 11.9 11.2 10.5 10.9 11.7 10.2 11.5 11.4 11.6 11.9 10.5 9.9 11.1 9.1 13.3 11.9 11.2 13.5 12.5 11.8 23.0 11.6 10.9 | 1 | | | | j ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OP BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE Z.E AVERAGE EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE ON LOANS MADE BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000«) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 12.1 10.9 9.0 6.8 6.7 7.2 9.0 7.8 8.7 8.3 7.9 9.3 12.7 12.3 11.3 9.4 8.7 8.8 10.4 10.0 10.0 9.8 9.4 10.2 ANNUAL AVERAGE INTEREST RATE 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 j j j 1 12.5 H.4 9.8 7.8 7.5 7.8 9.5 8.4 9.2 9.0 8.7 9.7 | | | j | | j j j j j j 12.3 11.5 10.2 8.2 8.0 8.3 10.1 8.8 9.6 9.4 9.1 9.8 12.4 12.0 11.0 8.6 8.1 8.0 10.2 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.1 9.9 12.6 11.7 10.4 8.8 8.1 8.4 10.0 8.6 9.9 9.6 9.2 9.9 12.8 12.3 11.3 9.3 8.7 8.6 10.3 9.7 9.8 9.3 8.8 9.3 12.3 10.7 8.6 6.3 6.2 7.0 8.8 8.0 8.5 8.0 7.6 9.3 12.8 12.5 11.5 9.7 9.0 9.1 10.6 10.2 10.2 10.1 9.7 10.3 12.7 12.4 11.2 9.3 8.7 8.8 10.5 10.1 10.0 9.9 9.5 10.2 12.7 12.1 10.7 8.8 8.3 8.6 10.3 9.8 9.9 9.7 9.3 10.1 12.2 10.9 9.2 7.1 6.9 7.3 9.0 7.8 8.8 8.4 8.1 9.4 AVERAGE RATE ON LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1998 Q4. . . 8.5 | 9.1 9.0 9.3 9.0 7.7 8.2 8.8 9.0 9.2 | j j j 9.1 9.0 9.0 9.3 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.2 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.4 9.2 8.2 9.0 9.4 2000 oi... 02... 03... 04... 9.2 9.7 10.2 10.0 | j j j 9.2 9.6 10.4 10.0 9.3 9.9 10.2 10.3 9.5 9.9 10.3 10.3 2001 oi... 02... 03... 9.1 8.3 7.7 | j j 9.6 8.3 7.8 9.6 8.6 7.5 9.6 8.6 8.1 1999 01. .. 02... 03... 04... 1 | 9.9 9.7 9.3 8.1 |1 7.9 9.4 7.2 7.9 8.5 8.6 9.7 9.5 9.7 9.9 9.4 9.4 9.6 9.7 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.4 7.7 8.3 8.4 8.8 |1 7.4 8.1 8.4 8.7 9.4 9.3 9.6 9.5 8.0 10.1 10.1 10.3 9.2 9.2 9.6 9.4 9.8 10.3 10.7 10.6 9.7 10.1 10.7 10.5 9.5 10.0 10.4 10.3 9.0 9.4 9.8 9.7 8.7 9.4 9.7 9.7 9.8 10.1 10.6 10.5 9.2 8.1 8.2 8.3 7.8 6.9 10.1 9.2 8.9 9.8 8.9 8.5 9.6 8.6 8.0 8.7 7.9 7.1 8.5 7.8 7.1 9.8 9.0 8.7 || |1 11 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I•F PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE WITH A FLOATING INTEREST RATE BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,0008) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 12 OTHER BY SIZE OF BANK 1 to 9 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER 50.4 53.6 52.0 57.3 60.1 58.6 61.7 60.6 60.1 57.6 52.6 53.4 49.6 59.2 59.0 59.1 61.0 59.8 63.9 61.5 58.0 54.8 54.6 54.6 58.5 66.0 64.0 61.2 64.5 70.4 73.6 69.1 68.0 62.7 60.2 61.8 69.1 67.5 67.8 78.6 83.9 80.2 76.7 62.2 67.0 51.1 63.1 74.5 83.6 69.4 70.0 82.9 86.9 83.7 79.9 65.4 71.4 57.1 70.8 82.5 47.2 59.3 56.1 55.5 58.9 59.7 62.3 57.9 57.9 51.3 50.5 51.4 ANNUAL PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 | | j j j j j j j j j j 61.0 65.2 65.1 71.7 76.7 75.1 73.8 63.1 65.8 54.4 60.7 66.9 71.4 76.8 81.5 78.5 84.6 82.9 83.9 58.1 66.4 55.0 45.6 57.3 40.0 61.6 69.3 63.5 70.0 74.3 75.9 71.2 73.2 59.4 66.0 60.7 59.7 68.3 68.8 66.3 70.3 72.3 73.0 67.3 67.8 68.5 68.6 67.0 32.9 40.0 40.6 47.8 48.2 51.6 53.1 32.9 49.9 46.7 58.2 62.2 73.6 51.2 50.3 75.3 78.1 75.7 72.2 61.4 64.3 42.0 52.0 76.7 AVERAGE PERCENTAGE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER 1997 Q4. 58.5 55.4 78.0 73.4 54.5 48.0 61.6 57.7 72.2 54.2 57.2 60.6 1998 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. 56.6 54.6 54.7 51.6 59.4 76.2 51.6 39.9 56.6 70.2 54.2 67.1 68.0 58.1 48.2 28.3 38.9 41.2 34.9 47.4 44.4 60.5 58.0 55.7 56.4 56.7 50.5 57.7 55.9 67.0 61.9 59.3 52.6 51.7 52.4 48.1 53.9 57.6 61.9 55.8 59.1 51.1 44.1 45.7 1999 Ql. Q2. 03. Q4. 46.4 73.7 70.2 62.3 50.2 65.2 72.5 69.1 59.9 63.6 72.6 71.5 65.4 33.9 75.5 48.8 54.1 33.2 79.2 86.3 47.0 57.6 50.2 54.2 50.4 58.8 51.4 58.0 55.0 43.5 83.3 86.4 66.5 43.4 91.5 94.3 91.8 50.8 58.6 48.6 41.7 2000 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. 63.0 68.3 71.0 66.5 46.4 51.0 59.4 69.7 78.9 80.6 62.8 57.6 38.6 51.0 70.8 78.4 72.9 81.6 51.8 53.0 57.3 51.6 52.4 54.7 57.9 53.2 53.0 60.0 66.8 69.2 57.8 59.5 56.2 69.7 78.0 79.2 73.1 65.2 88.4 89.9 91.9 60.7 50.2 52.9 37.6 2001 Ql. Q2. Q3. 67.7 76.1 76.5 64.7 77.5 72.5 73.7 56.8 72.6 73.4 73.8 75.5 50.8 79.0 54.9 63.9 85.1 86.9 60.0 60.4 57.4 63.5 66.4 69.0 70.7 70.4 57.3 58.0 76.2 91.9 95.0 58.4 53.2 48.9 66.6 44.6 31.2 60.1 66.2 68.1 82.6 60.8 66.2 62.3 57.9 61.8 67.8 65.7 86.2 86.6 TABLE I.G PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE OF NON-REAL ESTATE FARM LOANS MADE BY BANKS* EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE (percent) ZERO ALL TO RATES 5.0 5.0 TO 5.9 6.0 TO 6.9 7.0 TO 7.9 15 5 8 4 1 23 18 3 10 10 1 25 25 33 30 35 16 25 22 33 29 32 30 12 15 17 16 12 28 3 4 8 6 4 19 1 1 2 0 1 5 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 8.0 TO 8.9 9.0 TO 9.9 10.0 TO 10.9 11.0 TO 11.9 12.0 TO 12.9 13.0 TO 13.9 14.0 TO 14.9 15.0 TO 15.9 17.0 TO 17.9 18.0 TO 18.9 19.0 TO 19.9 20.0 TO 20.9 —1\ £2 a. Ll-Lily4S .J.WUI *ucviuua years for m e inust rec eiiL quarcer- 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 9 1998 04... 100 0 0 0 3 15 30 34 13 4 0 0 1999 Ql. . 02. . 03. . 04. . 100 100 100 100 0 0 4 4 2 0 17 4 4 3 17 12 10 9 29 37 35 30 23 30 32 36 9 11 12 17 2 2 4 5 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2000 Ql. . 02. . 03. . 04. . 100 100 100 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 4 4 1 3 30 19 16 15 36 36 30 30 18 27 28 34 6 11 19 13 1 2 5 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2001 Ql. . 02. . 03. . 100 100 100 0 0 1 3 9 8 8 23 7 29 25 28 31 25 33 22 12 17 5 3 5 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16.0 TO 16.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ** ** 0 ** 0 0 ** ** * * 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 * Percentage distribution of the estimated dollar amount of nonreal-estate farm loans of $1,000 or more made by insured commercial banks during the survey week. Data are estimates from the Federal Reserve Survey of the Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers # which is conducted during the first full business week of the second month of each quarter. Percentages may not add to 100 percent because of rounding. A value of 0 indicates less than .5 percent, while ** indicates no observation. 14 TABLE I.H.I SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 6-10, 2001 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) all sizes $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over ALL BANKS 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months) 1 Weighted average repricing interval (months) 2 Weighted average risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 917,350 36,857 21.03 7.39 3.08 79,631 21,827 9.37 4.01 2.81 114,848 7,935 11.94 6.01 2.80 117,215 3,450 15.89 8.61 2.93 116,966 1,771 16.34 5.51 3.15 200,522 1,354 19.56 12.01 2.96 288,168 520 32.80 5.95 3.34 7.77 0.19 8.86 0.07 8.56 0.06 8.24 0.18 7.86 0.18 7.54 0.08 7.08 0.34 8.60 6.92 9.64 8.11 9.25 7.81 8.96 7.40 8.50 6.96 8.33 6.70 7.52 6.43 7.83 7.54 8.17 8.09 7.83 6.97 8.86 9.30 8.87 9.18 9.10 8.08 8.26 9.25 8.71 8.34 8.36 7.89 8.24 8.47 8.33 8.30 8.82 7.58 8.60 7.54 7.89 8.00 7.95 7.37 7.70 6.88 7.79 8.41 8.11 6.74 7.11 6.50 7.53 7.38 7.38 6.64 74.64 76.67 21.33 1.08 61.07 76.51 21.98 3.33 63.40 72.79 20.27 0.82 62.17 68.69 23.01 1.65 76.68 74.82 19.63 0.34 68.48 70.34 18.05 0.83 91.41 86.68 23.86 0.82 8.74 7.40 42.52 6.59 11.02 23.74 3.85 7.46 70.56 6.85 2.11 9.17 4.32 4.88 65.31 9.68 1.39 14.42 6.93 10.07 49.15 10.78 6.17 16.90 13.74 6.86 44.69 3.96 8.56 22.19 11.13 9.34 36.08 3.87 17.32 22.26 8.89 6.17 26.57 6.55 15.91 35.91 19.26 71.52 11.41 79.52 11.75 78.58 13.04 78.55 20.73 75.17 25.04 71.07 22.35 62.46 TABLE I.H.2 SURVEY OP TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 6-10, 2001 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) all sizes $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over 69,402 2,040 10.66 3.36 3.26 86,716 1,302 13.13 5.09 3.31 134,605 915 14.84 8.76 3.23 267,678 458 29.28 5.35 3.37 LARGE FARM LENDERS 7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months) 1 Weighted average repricing interval (months) 2 Weighted average risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 659,644 20,104 19.46 5.48 3.29 41,164 11,238 8.69 3.10 60,078 4,151 11.82 4.09 3.20 7.44 0.23 8.31 0.14 8.15 0.19 7.87 0.24 7.62 0.22 7.32 0.19 7.04 0.33 8.14 6.70 9.04 7.63 8.89 7.46 8.60 6.96 8.25 6.92 8.11 6.43 7.51 6.43 41 83 93 64 47 7.69 8.46 8.53 7.64 8.10 7.98 7.75 8.33 7.89 8.17 7.73 7.14 8.11 8.06 7.77 7.76 7.00 7.90 7.33 7.75 7.48 6.88 7.88 8.03 7.64 7.11 6.50 7.45 7.38 7.38 81.18 79.31 82.54 89.82 25.75 80.74 82.19 19.62 73.53 93.12 91.37 23.75 3.69 5.50 56.93 8.50 13.92 34.78 3.20 6.44 22.26 9.57 6.64 26.67 7.05 17.13 35.91 17.94 76.25 18.35 65.30 2.06 84.38 87.75 23.26 93.95 23.71 7.95 7.37 40.78 5.50 9.44 23.74 4.80 3.09 71.95 3.72 1.31 9.17 4.40 3.08 64.25 5.90 1.48 14.42 2.07 16.90 9.42 5.92 49.66 3.80 5.64 22.19 17.65 71.60 20.24 71.84 15.93 75.54 13.68 77.44 76.32 88.61 27.78 6.80 18.16 80.80 21.20 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 15 16 TABLE I.H.3 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 6-10, 2001 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) all sizes $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over 257,706 16,754 24.96 12.19 2.37 38,467 10,589 10.09 6.07 2.44 54,771 3,784 12.08 8.08 2.31 47,813 1,410 23.14 15.92 2.33 30,249 469 25.30 6.70 2.43 65,916 439 28.84 18.50 2.02 20,490 62 78.39 13.71 3.00 8.59 0.10 9.44 0.09 9.00 0.15 8.77 0.12 8.54 0.35 8.00 0.21 7.48 0.92 9.20 7.98 10.17 8.68 9.77 8.30 9.42 8.16 9.14 8.00 8.60 7.50 8.60 5.10 8.63 9.34 8.69 8.76 8.42 7.67 10.23 9.75 9.33 9.43 9.79 9.68 8.59 9.99 9.12 8.55 8.60 8.19 8.47 9.11 8.83 8.45 9.08 8.25 9.47 8.50 7.83 9.65 8.15 8.47 7.94 9.03 7.64 8.87 8.26 9.04 10.19 9.96 8.60 49.71 48.32 16.39 39.54 57.85 20.13 45.94 55.45 12.03 32.60 38.01 19.03 65.04 53.71 19.67 58.16 48.97 11.63 69.04 25.35 25.35 10.75 7.49 46.96 9.40 15.06 23.74 2.82 12.13 69.08 10.20 2.97 9.17 4.22 6.86 66.47 13.83 1.29 14.42 11.62 16.70 37.86 16.57 12.11 16.90 26.10 9.57 30.47 4.40 16.94 22.19 16.48 16.13 38.74 5.26 39.52 22.26 37.57 11.22 25.35 23.40 71.31 1.96 87.74 7.17 81.92 12.11 80.17 28.10 71.90 39.52 60.48 74.65 25.35 OTHER BANKS 7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months) 1 Weighted average repricing interval (months) 2 Weighted average risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H - 8.00 7.10 - 23.80 35.91 TABLE I.H.4 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 6-10, 2001 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low Moderate Acceptable Special Not Ratad Not Reported 917,350 36,857 21.03 7.39 3.08 48,092 3,965 15.11 8.58 1.00 143,361 6,868 41.96 18.29 2.00 342,845 12,865 14.67 3.93 3.00 205,118 6,264 20.54 2.70 4.00 47,047 1,399 5.79 0.62 5.00 53,931 1,486 25.89 9.70 76,956 4,010 21.26 16.78 7.77 0.19 8.50 0.21 8.17 0.18 7.68 0.21 7.40 0.31 8.12 0.42 6.91 0.52 8.28 8.60 6.92 9.42 7.60 8.82 7.51 8.59 6.92 7.98 6.75 8.89 6.96 8.42 5.69 8.95 6.96 7.83 7.54 8.17 8.09 7.83 6.97 7.97 9.04 8.62 8.73 6.79 9.10 8.31 7.81 8.53 7.81 7.74 7.38 7.27 7.84 8.07 7.90 8.66 6.92 6.94 6.73 8.04 8.24 7.56 6.87 7.25 6.86 8.42 6.85 8.08 7.98 8.57 7.21 7.53 8.40 5.87 10.27 9.40 8.24 9.36 7.77 8.05 74.64 76.67 21.33 1.08 64.31 65.53 17.46 0.08 57.50 57.94 27.39 0.09 76.06 76.03 25.26 1.90 91.31 93.55 11.01 1.02 93.79 96.21 6.84 0.61 80.59 77.02 17.36 0.01 46.43 64.27 34.10 1.13 8.74 7.40 42.52 6.59 11.02 23.74 18.65 5.27 47.79 18.86 3.78 5.64 13.50 5.62 46.22 8.78 19.84 6.04 8.17 7.69 45.32 7.45 3.99 27.39 5.93 11.38 34.84 3.26 12.44 32.15 3.08 5.86 54.87 1.29 1.49 33.42 8.95 2.85 37.95 5.35 5.44 39.46 6.97 4.33 35.93 4.01 36.38 12.38 19.26 71.52 7.11 86.77 31.65 65.21 16.00 78.19 21.15 59.46 13.99 84.87 12.21 83.61 21.50 59.50 ALL BANKS 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans 15 With floating rates 16 Made under commitment 17 Callable 18 Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 8.06 0.29 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 17 18 TABLE I.H.5 SURVEY OF TERMS 07 BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 6-10, 2001 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low Moderate Acceptable Special Not Rated Not Reported 26,234 1,009 8.06 0.29 LARGE FARM LENDERS7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 4 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent) 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans 15 With floating rates 16 Made under commitment 17 Callable 18 Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 659,644 20,104 19.46 5.48 3.29 13,823 826 21.01 15.72 1.00 79,297 2,831 57.35 23.15 2.00 274,410 8,775 10.52 2.82 3.00 190,013 4,907 20.51 2.38 4.00 46,045 1,235 5.63 0.38 5.00 29,823 520 24.91 10.98 7.44 0.23 8.18 0.36 7.95 0.26 7.45 0.21 7.23 0.29 8.07 0.39 6.04 0.43 7.47 0.75 8.14 6.70 8.84 6.77 8.64 7.51 8.14 6.70 7.52 6.70 8.84 6.96 6.96 5.08 7.91 6.92 7.41 6.83 7.93 7.64 7.47 6.88 8.54 8.98 7.80 8.84 6.79 8.92 8.49 6.58 8.41 6.49 7.64 7.02 7.13 7.22 7.85 7.79 8.10 6.82 6.88 6.55 7.82 7.54 7.51 6.80 7.19 6.43 8.37 6.85 8.08 7.98 8.03 6.34 6.15 6.68 7.69 5.86 9.02 8.29 7.84 8.23 6.96 7.91 84.38 87.75 23.26 1.10 55.06 43.70 17.95 0.27 62.10 67.66 42.90 0.17 82.39 85.94 27.85 1.70 93.83 96.77 11.44 1.10 95.27 97.67 5.81 0.63 88.48 94.76 2.85 0.03 95.82 100.00 58.05 7.95 7.37 40.78 5.50 9.44 23.74 7.26 1.24 37.03 24.18 13.16 5.64 14.02 4.32 45.20 5.44 22.98 6.04 9.66 7.23 46.06 8.15 1.64 27.39 6.13 11.76 33.71 1.94 13.06 32.15 3.08 5.29 54.65 1.32 1.52 33.42 2.14 1.23 18.30 5.79 1.44 39.46 0.33 0.03 26.60 0.87 44.93 12.38 17.65 71.60 22.05 67.36 39.81 57.33 10.11 84.45 22.40 57.92 14.30 84.54 16.05 77.26 0.43 52.40 - - - Footnotes are at the end of table I.H # • s • # e # # # e # TABLE I.H.6 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING AUGUST 6-10, 2001 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low 257,706 16,754 24.96 12.19 2.37 34,269 3,139 12.73 5.71 1.00 8.59 0.10 Moderate Acceptable 64,065 4,037 22.91 12.27 2.00 68,435 4,090 31.25 8.36 3.00 15,105 1,358 20.86 6.75 4.00 8.63 0.17 8.45 0.15 8.61 0.20 9.20 7.98 9.46 7.60 8.87 7.90 8.63 9.34 8.69 8.76 8.42 7.67 7.89 9.04 8.86 8.66 8.07 10.29 8.07 49.71 48.32 16.39 1.05 Not Rated Not Reported I,003 163 13.32 II.51 5.00 24,108 966 26.90 8.40 50,721 3,001 27.89 25.06 9.55 0.49 10.14 0.33 7.99 0.33 8.70 0.36 9.21 8.42 10.14 8.84 10.70 10.10 7.12 8.60 9.46 8.00 8.67 8.51 7.93 8.39 9.80 9.74 9.04 8.67 8.93 7.30 8.25 10.74 9.95 9.09 9.65 8.69 9.58 10.10 10.18 11.58 9.46 8.65 8.60 7.60 8.79 8.52 8.50 10.29 9.40 8.37 9.45 8.37 8.45 68.04 74.33 17.26 5.37 51.80 45.92 8.20 1.36 50.69 36.28 14.86 0.61 59.56 53.02 5.53 22.78 25.91 29.15 54.18 70.84 55.07 35.30 20.89 45.78 21.72 10.75 7.49 46.96 9.40 15.06 23.74 23.24 6.89 52.14 16.72 29.82 5.64 12.86 7.22 47.48 12.90 14.32 6.04 2.17 9.51 42.37 4.67 1.03 27.39 3.47 6.63 49.05 19.94 16.58 32.15 3.24 31.96 64.80 115.57 1,616.75 33.42 17.37 4.85 62.26 11.85 9.58 39.46 10.41 6.55 40.76 7.50 23.40 71.31 1.08 94.60 21.55 74.97 39.59 53.08 5.39 78.74 179.36 100.00 68.16 91.46 16.71 63.18 7 OTHER BANKS 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average5 interest rate (percent)4 Standard error Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans 15 With floating rates 16 Made under commitment 17 Callable 18 Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other - 12.38 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 19 o <N NOTES TO TABLE I.H The Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 250 banks of all sizes. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured agricultural banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or those residing in the portfolios of banks. Loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. 1. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude loans with no stated maturity. 2. The repricing interval measures the period from the date the loan is made until it first may be repriced. For floating-rate loans that are subject to repricing at any time-such as many primebased loans-the repricing interval is zero. For floating rate loans that have a scheduled repricing interval, the interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it is next scheduled to reprice. For loans having rates that remain fixed until the loan matures (fixed-rate loans), the interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it matures. Loans that reprice daily are assumed to reprice on the business day after they are made. 3. A complete description of these risk rating categories is available from the Banking and Money Market Statistics Section, mail stop 81, the Federal Reserve Board, Washington, DC 20551. The category "Moderate Risk" includes the average loan, under average economic conditions, at the typical lender. The weighted-average risk ratings are calculated by assigning a value of "1" to minimal risk loans; "2" to low risk loans; "3" to moderate risk loans; "4" to acceptable risk loans; and "5" to special mention and classified loans. These values are weighted by loan amount and exclude loans with no risk rating. Some of the loans are not rated for risk. 4. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loans and weighted by loan size. 5. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. 6. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 7. Among banks reporting loans to farmers, most "large banks" (survey strata 1 and 2) had over $25 million in farm loans, most "other banks" (survey strata 3 to 5) had farm loans below $25 million. Table I.I Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers, (selected quarters) LS CB USD A Farm Production Region NP AP SE DL 2.5 11.2 26.4 17.0 10.5 5.0 4.3 8.8 5.7 8.5 Sample Coverage, Aug. 2001 survey (%) 19.0 4.3 8.9 10.7 15.4 14.2 6.3 4.8 23.0 63.5 Avg. Loan Size, Aug. 2001 survey ($1000) Survey date: Nov. 1992 Feb. 1993 May 1993 Aug. 1993 Nov. 1993 Feb. 1994 May 1994 Aug. 1994 Nov. 1994 Feb. 1995 May 1995 Aug. 1995 Nov. 1995 Feb. 1996 May 1996 Aug. 1996 Nov. 1996 Feb. 1997 May 1997 Aug. 1997 Nov. 1997 Feb. 1998 May 1998 Aug. 1998 Nov. 1998 Feb. 1999 May 1999 Aug. 1999 14.9 16.6 29.1 20.8 48.5 31.6 11.0 26.7 32.2 43.4 7.9 7.8 8.1 8.2 8.3 7.7 8.7 9.1 10.2 11.7 9.0 9.6 10.8 8.8 10.3 8.3 10.1 8.8 9.4 9.3 9.2 9.3 9.2 10.2 9.4 8.4 9.6 10.2 (.29) Weighted Average Interest Rate During Sample Week 9.2 8.3 7.9 7.3 5.5 8.4 9.0 8.0 8.0 5.6 8.3 7.8 8.7 8.1 7.9 5.2 8.4 7.8 7.5 8.2 8.0 5.7 7.3 7.0 8.1 7.8 7.4 5.3 6.3 8.2 8.6 7.9 7.5 5.2 7.3 7.7 9.0 8.0 8.1 6.1 7.8 8.2 8.6 8.3 8.6 6.5 8.6 7.6 9.7 8.9 8.5 7.1 8.5 8.8 10.7 10.0 9.9 8.6 7.2 10.4 10.4 9.3 9.4 8.5 10.2 10.7 10.3 9.3 9.8 8.1 9.6 10.4 10.3 8.3 9.6 7.9 10.1 10.3 9.9 8.0 9.4 7.3 9.4 10.9 10.2 7.3 9.0 8.1 9.6 10.4 9.9 8.9 9.4 7.6 9.4 10.0 9.9 9.3 9.0 7.5 9.3 9.9 9.5 9.5 9.3 8.0 9.9 9.5 10.1 9.2 9.5 8.3 9.9 10.2 9.8 9.6 9.9 8.5 10.1 9.9 9.5 9.3 9.8 7.5 9.4 9.8 9.0 9.4 9.8 7.3 10.0 10.3 9.4 9.2 9.7 7.6 10.2 10.3 9.5 9.5 9.5 8.8 9.5 9.7 9.2 8.7 9.0 9.4 8.3 9.7 8.9 8.9 9.1 8.2 9.0 9.6 9.1 8.8 9.0 8.0 9.0 9.8 8.9 8.7 9.3 8.2 8.9 10.0 (.56) (.14) (.22) 018) 037) 055) 8.2 7.8 8.3 7.7 7.8 7.6 8.4 8.6 9.0 10.4 10.1 10.1 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.4 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.4 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.2 9.1 9.0 8.8 (.65) 7.6 7.5 7.7 7.1 7.1 7.3 7.5 7.6 8.0 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.3 8.9 8.7 8.9 9.0 10.1 10.0 10.5 10.1 9.6 9.8 9.6 9.1 9.0 8.7 9.0 019) 6.9 6.5 6.8 7.2 6.7 6.9 7.2 7.5 8.5 9.4 9.3 9.5 8.9 8.1 8.3 8.1 8.6 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.8 8.5 8.4 8.5 8.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 (23) NE Proportion of farm loans outstanding, June 2001 SP MN PA Nov. 1999 9.1 (.67) 9.2 067) 8.8 029) 9.4 015) 8.3 031) 8.8 (.50) 9.8 037) 9.0 (.37) 9.5 (16) 8.8 (28) Feb. 2000 9.4 (.49) 9.2 Oil) 9.2 028) 9.6 010) 8.4 015) 9.8 032) 9.3 006) 10.0 (.49) 9.8 021) 8.4 (.66) May 2000 10.7 (.5) 9.5 016) 9.7 009) 9.7 017) 9.1 017) 9.1 (1.15) 10.5 02) 10.0 (28) 10.1 (22) 9.5 024) Aug. 2000 10.5 (96) 10.30 (23) 10.0 (.20) 10.3 (.09) 9.7 035) 9.2 (1.10) 10.5 001) 10.0 031) 10.6 (29) 9.7 (.27) Nov. 2000 10.7 (.75) 9.3 (25) 9.9 (13) 10.1 OH) 9.2 012) 9.4 (.97) 9.2 (1.24) 10.3 033) 10.3 019) 9.8 (20) Feb. 2001 9.3 (.11) 9.1 (22) 9.4 016) 9.7 (13) 8.4 019) 7.8 (1.20) 9.5 025) 9.0 (95) 9.8 037) 8.8 012) May 2001 8.7 058) 8.3 012) 8.8 009) 7.4 022) 8.1 (67) 8.3 051) 9.2 (29) 8.6 041) 7.9 009) Aug. 2001 9.8 (.07) 7.9 016) 8.2 012) 6.3 (.22) 7.6 (1.17) 8.7 025) 8.8 042) 7.8 037) 7.2 036) 8.2 (0.5) 8.3 036) * NE is Northeast, LS is Lake States, CB is Cornbelt, NP is Northern Plains, AP is Appalachia, SE is Southeast, DL is Delta States, SP is Southern Plains, MN is Mountain States, and PA is Pacific. Standard errors are in parentheses below the more recent estimates. Standard errors are calculated from 100 replications of a bootstrap procedure (resampling of banks) in each region. 22 SECTION H: SELECTED STATISTICS FROM THE QUARTERLY REPORTS OF CONDITION OF COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLES: Page Commercial banks: II. A II.B II.C II. D HE Estimated volume of farm loans at insured commercial banks Estimated delinquent non-real-estate farm loans at insured commercial banks Estimated net charge-offs of non-real-estate farm loans at insured commercial banks Estimated delinquent real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks Estimated net charge-offs of real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks 24 25 26 27 28 Agricultural banks: II.F Distribution of agricultural banks by ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans II.G Distribution of agricultural banks by rate of return to equity II.H Loan-deposit ratios at agricultural banks II I Failures of agricultural banks 29 30 31 32 SOURCES OF DATA: The data in tables II. A through II.H are prepared using data from the quarterly reports of condition and income for commercial banks. These reports changed substantially beginning in March 2001, and the information on the delinquencies and charge-offs of farm nonreal estate loans after that date is not directly comparable to that shown in earlier editions of the Databook. Under the new system, banks with more than $300 million in assets or any bank with a foreign office continue to report the same information as before. However, smaller banks where farm production loans account for more than 5 percent of total loans now report the same information on delinquencies and charge-offs of farm production loans as larger banks. In the new reporting system, small banks where farm production loans account for less than 5 percent of total loans are excused from reporting delinquencies or charge-offs of farm production loans. Before March 2001, these small banks had reported delinquencies and charge-offs of "agricultural loans" according to the particular bank's own definition, and we used these responses to help estimate total delinquencies of farm production loans. Under the new reporting system, the totals for the nation as a whole include estimates of delinquencies and charge-offs of non-real-estate farm loans for small banks that hold about 35 percent of the volume of such loans that is outstanding. All banks continue to report delinquencies and charge-offs of loans that are secured by farm real estate, which are shown in tables n.D and H E. Examination of total lending at banks that have a high exposure to agricultural loans provides an alternative perspective on the agricultural lending situation. Agricultural banks in table n.D through table HI are those that have a proportion of farm loans (real estate plus nonreal estate) to total loans that is greater than the unweighted average at all banks. The estimate of this average was 15.2 percent in June of 2001. Information on failed banks (table II.I) is obtained from news releases of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, with agricultural banks broken out in our tabulation according to the definition stated in the previous paragraph. SECTION II: (continued) Recent Developments: Loans outstanding: In June of 2001, the total volume of farm loans was 4.0 percent higher than one year earlier, as modest growth in the second quarter came on the heels of first quarter declines that were less than typical seasonal patterns suggested. Year-over-year growth in loans secured by farm real estate was only 4.2 percent at midyear, the slowest rate of growth since 1990. The volume of nonreal estate farm loans at the end of June was 3.9 percent greater than one year earlier, something of a pickup after a fairly poor year-on-year readings in 1999 and 2000. Problem loans: In June 2001, problem non real estate loans totaled $1.4 billion, or 2.9 percent of such loans outstanding. As was mentioned in the introduction to Section II, the estimates for 2001 are not strictly comparable with those of previous years. For those (larger) banks that reported delinquencies of farm production loans on a consistent basis before and after the reporting change, delinquencies of farm production loans grew $286 million in aggregate from 2000:Q4 to 2001 :Q 1—among these 754 banks, the largest increase in delinquencies was $51 million and the largest decline was $14 million. This slight increase in farm delinquencies at larger banks, which as a group held almost half of all farm production loans in 2001 :Q2, suggest that some of the pickup in farm delinquencies in 2001 may have arisen from the changes in reporting. The information on delinquencies of loans secured by farm land was unaffected by the reporting change, and the readings for both the first and second quarters were little changed from the year-earlier figures. However charge-offs of farm production loans (which were affected by the reporting change) and farm real estate loans (which were not affected) both were somewhat elevated compared with most of the 1990s. One indication that the pickup in delinquencies and charge-offs was not completely the result of the reporting change is the information on total delinquencies at agricultural banks (shown in Table H.f). As may be seen, the proportion that reported a level of nonperforming loans that was less than 2 percent of total loans moved back down a couple of percentage points in the first and second quarter, after showing improvement in 2000. Performance of agricultural banks: The average rate of return on assets at agricultural banks was 0.6 percent (1.2 percent at an annual rate) through the first half of 2001, the same rate of profitability as has been seen for most of the past decade. The capital ratio for agricultural banks edged up a couple of tenths relative to the previous year, as banks apparently worked to rebuild the capital cushion towards the 11 percent range that prevailed for several years prior to the declines that began in 1999. The ratio of loans to deposits at agricultural banks continued to increase, and on June 30, the ratio stood at 76.6 percent, a touch higher than in 2000. Failures of agricultural banks: There were no failures of agricultural banks through the third quarter of 2001, and none failed in 2000. Given the growing capital cushions and low level of problem loans of most agricultural banks, the number of failures seems likely to remain fairly small in coming quarters. FARM DEBT OUTSTANDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS, END OF QUARTER LOAN VOLUME, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER NONRZAL ESTATE LOANS TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR NONREAL ESTATE LOANS TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS NONREAL ESTATE LOANS 1992 Ql.. . Q2... Q3. . . Q4... 51.9 55.1 56.2 54.5 18.9 19.5 19.9 19.9 33.0 35.6 36.2 34.7 -2.1 6.2 1.9 -2.9 2.7 3.3 1.9 -0.2 -4.6 7.8 1.9 -4.4 4.9 4.9 4.2 2.9 8.2 8.1 8.6 7.8 3.1 3.2 1.9 0.2 1993 Ql.. . Q2. . . Q3.. . 04... 52.8 56.0 58.0 57.7 20.0 20.6 20.8 20.9 32.8 35.4 37.1 36.8 -3.2 6.0 3.5 -0.5 0.5 3.1 1.2 0.1 -5.3 7.8 4.9 -0.8 1.7 1.6 3.2 5.8 5.6 5.4 4.7 5.0 -0.5 -0.6 2.4 6.2 1994 Ql... Q2.. . Q3.. . Q4... 56.8 61.1 63.0 61.3 21.2 21.9 22.4 22.6 35.5 39.2 40.6 38.7 -1.5 7.6 3.1 -2.7 1.8 3.2 2.2 0.7 -3.4 10.2 3.6 4 6 7.6 9.1 8.7 6.2 6.4 6.4 7.5 8.2 8.3 10.7 9.3 5.2 1995 Ql... Q2.. . Q3.. . Q4... 59.9 63.5 65.3 63.7 22.9 23.6 23.8 23.9 36.9 40.0 41.5 39.8 -2.3 6.1 2.9 -2.5 1.6 2.7 1.1 0.4 -4.6 8.2 3.9 -4.1 5.4 4.0 3.7 3.9 8.0 7.5 6.3 5.9 3.9 2.0 2.3 2.8 1996 Ql.. . Q2... Q3... Q4.. . 61.7 65.7 66.6 65.5 24.0 24.7 24.9 25.0 37.7 41.0 41.6 40.5 -3.1 6.5 1.3 -1.6 0.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 5 3 8.9 1.5 -2.8 3.1 3.4 1.9 2.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 2.0 2.7 0.3 1.8 1997 Ql.. . Q2.. . Q3... Q4.. . 63.8 69.0 71.1 71.3 25.4 26.2 27.0 27.1 38.4 42.8 44.2 44.2 -2.6 8.2 3.0 0.3 1.4 3.3 2.9 0.7 -5.1 11.5 3.1 0.0 3.4 5.1 6.8 8.9 5.5 6.2 8.1 8.5 2.0 4.4 6.0 9.1 1998 Ql.. . Q2. . . Q3.. . Q4.. . 70.1 75.0 76.3 74.7 27.6 28.5 28.9 29.3 42.4 46.5 47.4 45.5 -1.7 7.1 1.7 -2.0 1.8 3.2 1.3 1.3 -3.9 9.6 1.9 -4.0 9.8 8.6 7.2 4.8 9.0 8.8 7.2 7.8 10.4 8.5 7.3 3.0 1999 Ql... Q2.. . Q3.. . Q4.. . 72.7 75.8 76.8 76.0 29.7 30.8 31.4 31.8 42.9 45.1 45.5 44.2 -2.8 4.4 1.3 -1.0 1.7 3.5 1.9 1.5 -5.6 5.0 0.9 -2.8 3.7 1.1 0.7 1.7 7.6 8.0 8.6 8.8 1.1 -3.1 -4.1 -2.8 2000 Ql... Q2.. . Q3.. . Q4.. . 71.5 79.7 80.1 80.9 31.4 33.7 33.9 34.0 40.1 45.9 46.2 46.9 -5.9 11.4 0.6 1.0 -1.4 7.5 0.5 0.3 -9.2 14.4 0.6 1.5 -1.6 5.0 4.3 6.4 5.5 9.6 8.1 6.8 -6.5 1.9 1.6 6.1 79.4 82.9 34.3 35.1 45.1 47.7 -1.9 4.4 0.8 2.5 -3.9 5.8 11.0 4.0 9.2 4.2 12.4 3.9 2001 Ql... Q2... 1 J 1 1 1 | 1 1 TABLE II.B ESTIMATED DELINQUENT FARM NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM PRODUCTION NONPERFORMINO TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONPERFORMINO NONACCRUAL TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL -December 31 of year indicated1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 2.8 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.8 1.4 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 -End of quarter1998 Q2. 03. Q4. 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.4 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 1999 Ql. 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.7 2.8 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 3.0 2.2 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 3.9 2.9 2.2 1.2 1.7 1.8 0.4 0.4 1.3 1.3 02. 03. 04. 2000 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 2001 Ql. 02. 1 |1 Data are estimates of the national totals for farm non-real-estate loans. After 1984, estimates are based on reports from banks that hold more than 90 percent of such loans. Earlier, only large banks that held about one-fourth of such loans reported nonaccrual and renegotiated farm loans; for other banks, estimates of delinquent farm loans are based on a study of delinquent total loans at these banks. 25 26 TABLE II.C ESTIMATED NET CHARGE-OFFS OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* ESTIMATED AMOUNT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 CHARGE-OFFS AS A PERCENTAGE OF SUCH LOANS OUTSTANDING ANNUAL TOTAL Q1 02 Q3 Q4 ANNUAL TOTAL 69 51 95 93 87 126 108 10 -2 16 6 4 18 -35 67 11 14 27 19 15 37 64 53 15 13 24 19 24 35 34 33 25 30 50 45 36 45 0.19 0.13 0.24 0.23 0.20 0.28 0.24 ** ** ** 01 02 03 04 0.03 -0.00 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.04 -0.08 0.15 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.09 0.16 0.12 0.04 0.03 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.06 0.07 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.10 ** 90 percent of the outstanding national volume of such loans. Additional uncertainty of the estimates arises because small banks report only charge-offs of 'agricultural' loans as defined by each bank for its internal purposes. Banks first reported these data on the March 1984 Report of Income. TABLE II.D DELINQUENT FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS NONPERFORMING TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONFERFORMINQ NONACCRUAL TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING ACCRUAL -December 31 of year indicated1995. 1996. 1997. 1998. 1999. 2000. 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.6 2.9 2.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.8 2.4 2.8 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.7 -End of quarter01... 02... Q3. .. Q4... 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 3.5 2.6 2.5 2.9 1.6 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 Ql. .. Q2. .. 03... Q4... 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 3.6 2.7 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.8 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 Ql. .. 02... Q3. .. Q4. .. 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 3.2 2.7 2.1 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 3.2 2.7 1.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.2 Ql... Q2... 1 | 1 1 | All commercial banks began.to report these data in 1991. 27 28 TABLE II.E NET CHARGE-OFFS OF REAL ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* ESTIMATED AMOUNT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 CHARGE - OFFS AS A PERCENTAGE OF SUCH LOANS OUTSTANDING ANNUAL TOTAL Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 ANNUAL TOTAL 10 12 7 16 6 15 12 1 -0 0 -1 -1 -0 -12 10 1 3 1 -0 3 3 3 9 3 6 2 3 -0 5 8 6 4 4 14 5 7 14 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.02 0.05 0.04 ** ** ** All commercial banks began to report these data in 1991. 01 Q2 Q3 Q4 0.003 -0.001 0.000 -0.003 -0.004 -0.001 -0.037 0.030 0.003 0.011 0.003 -0.001 0.009 0.011 0.009 0.027 0.013 0.027 0.009 0.010 -0.000 0.015 0.022 0.026 0.016 0.017 0.054 0.016 0.022 0.040 ** * * # # e 1 < e e e e e e e • e * TABLE II.F DISTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS BY THE SHARE OF THEIR LOANS THAT ARE NONPERFORMINO* NONPERFORMING LOANS AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 76.2 80.7 85.5 83.4 81.9 84.5 81.7 84.8 85.0 2.0 TO 4.9 o o H UNDER 2.0 o in TOTAL TO 9.9 TO 14.9 ueconusor 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 18.8 15.8 12.3 14.0 15.4 12.9 15.1 12.6 12.8 3.9 2.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.4 1.8 15.0 TO 19.9 20.0 AND OVER 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 of year 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 o.o quarter 1998 Q3... Q4 . . . 1 100.0 100.0 80.3 81.7 16.2 15.1 3.1 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 Q3... Q4... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 77.2 78.7 80.4 84.8 17.8 16.9 15.9 12.6 4.5 3.8 3.4 2.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2000 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 81.8 82.2 83.0 85.0 14.8 15.1 14.9 12.8 2.9 2.4 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 100.0 80.3 80.2 16.9 16.6 2.6 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1999 Ql... Q2... 2001 Ql... Q2... 1 J 1 I 1 I 1 * Nonperforming loans are loans in nonaccrual status or past due 90 days or more. Renegotiated or restructured loans in compliance with the modified terms are not included. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. 29 TABLE II.O 30 SELECTED MEASURES OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL AND OTHER BANKS NET INCOME AS A PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE EQUITY AT AGRICULTURAL BANKS 5 TO 9 10 TO 14 20 TO 24 25 AND OVER AGRICULTURAL BANKS 19 .6 18..4 16 .9 13..4 14..2 14..2 13..4 14..2 13..8 5.1 4.6 3.3 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.5 4.9 4.2 1..6 1..3 0..9 0. 6 0. 5 1..1 1. 3 1..9 1..8 12.5 12.3 11.8 11.2 11.4 11.4 11.3 11.8 11.7 NET CHARGE-OFFS AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS AVERAGE CAPITAL RATIO (PERCENT) OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS 11.3 12.3 12.5 12.1 12.3 12.3 11.7 11.9 11.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 0..4 0..2 0..2 0..2 0..2 0..2 0..2 0..3 0..3 0..7 0..4 0..3 0..3 0..3 0..3 0..3 0..3 0..3 10.4 10.8 10.7 11.2 10.9 11.0 10.9 10.5 10.7 9..5 9..9 9..9 10..4 10..4 10..5 10..5 10..3 10.,4 8.9 11.3 9.1 11.7 1.0 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 11.4 10.9 10..8 10..5 1999 Ql... Q2. . . Q3.. . Q4. . . 2.9 6.0 9.1 11.8 3.0 6.1 8.9 11.9 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 11.0 10.8 10.8 10.5 10..5 10..4 10. 4 10. 3 2000 Ql... Q2. . . Q3.. . Q4... 3.2 6.5 9.3 11.7 3.1 6.1 8.9 11.4 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.7 10..2 10..3 10. 4 10..4 2.8 5.6 2.8 5.4 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.0 11.0 10..5 10. 5 NEGATIVE 15 TO 19 RATE OF RETURN TO ASSETS AGRICULTURAL BANKS ALL BANKS 0 TO 4 AVERAGE RATE OF RETURN TO EQUITY OTHER SMALL BANKS •percentage distribution1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 ** 2 .0 1 .6 1..5 1,.4 2..1 1,.6 2..0 2..9 2 .4 5..3 5..9 5,.9 5..7 5. 6 5..9 8..7 7.,9 8..9 25..3 27..8 31..4 37..1 33..4 34..5 35..6 34..8 35. 3 41.1 40.4 40.1 39.6 41.6 39.7 35.5 33.3 33.5 QUARTERLY YEAR TO DATE 1 | 2001 Ql... Q2 . . . 1 1 1| ** ww ** ** ** ** ** * •• ** 1 11 * Agricultural and other banks are defined in the introduction to section II; small bank# have less than 500 million dollars in assets. Total primary and secondary capital (items that are available at the end of the period specified) are measured as a percentage of total assets. Quarterly data in the lower panel are cumulative through the end of the quarter indicated and, for periods of less than a year, are not comparable to the annual data in the upper panel. TABLE II.H AVERAGE LOAN-DEPOSIT RATIOS AT AGRICULTURAL BANKS IN SELECTED FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS* DECEMBER 31 U..S. CLEVELAND ATLANTA CHICAGO MINNEAPOLIS ST. LOUIS KANSAS CITY DALLAS SAN FRANCISCO MINIMUM FARM LOAN RATIO NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS 199 5 199 6 199 7 199 8 199 9 200 0 3352 3239 3101 2968 2866 2767 0.639 0.656 0.685 0.683 0.718 0.751 53 49 45 40 41 39 0.720 0.771 0.747 0.763 0.849 0.859 118 113 113 99 93 92 0.657 0.684 0.704 0.709 0.738 0.766 816 795 759 733 715 693 0.652 0.680 0.719 0.711 0.750 0.776 375 363 346 321 300 293 0.651 0.663 0.698 0.693 0.718 0.748 619 609 574 558 538 519 0.682 0.699 0.725 0.715 0.738 0.760 959 928 890 868 838 796 0.634 0.643 0.680 0.681 0.715 0.760 344 313 312 289 277 269 0.489 0.491 0.523 0.529 0.564 0.619 53 52 49 48 48 50 0.740 0.735 0.661 0.660 0.724 0.741 16.83 16.45 16.44 16.34 15.67 15.08 1998 Q3... Q4... 3036 2968 0.724 0.683 46 40 0.786 0.763 109 99 733 733 0.734 0.693 569 558 0.768 0.715 880 868 0 .721 294 289 0.704 0.660 16.78 16.34 0.689 0.718 0.735 0.718 42 41 44 41 0.793 0.849 0.844 0.849 100 93 106 93 317 302 319 300 0.688 0.719 0.745 0.718 550 539 547 538 0.723 0.738 0.775 0.738 868 838 846 838 297 279 275 277 48 48 51 48 0.692 0.724 0.737 0.724 16.04 16.26 16.23 15.67 2000 Ql... Q2... Si::: 2842 2834 2790 2767 0.726 0.764 0.766 0.751 41 43 42 39 0.865 0.886 0.880 0.859 97 96 93 92 288 306 306 293 0.714 0.757 0.768 0.748 536 529 523 519 0.757 0.799 0.791 0.760 831 814 796 796 50 54 54 50 0.743 0.778 0.764 0.741 15.28 15.36 15.36 15.08 2001 Ql... Q2... 2755 2736 0.749 0.766 40 41 0.840 0.835 95 95 282 291 0.731 0.759 514 508 0.764 0.801 798 791 0 .684 0..715 0,,721 0..715 0.,719 0.,755 0..761 0..760 0.755 0.771 0.549 0.529 0.532 0.566 0.567 0.564 0.571 0.614 0.613 0.619 0.611 0.622 49 48 2957 2872 2918 2866 0.750 0 .711 0 .719 0 .750 0,.765 0..750 0.757 0.790 0,796 0,776 0.781 0.783 341 321 1999 Ql... 02... 0.751 0.709 0.719 0.738 0.746 0.738 0.748 0 .784 0.797 0 .766 0,.754 0,.765 46 44 0.764 0.804 14.95 15.21 11::: 720 716 716 715 705 707 698 693 696 682 * The loan-deposit ratio is defined a» total loans divided by total deposits, that shown in the last column, as described in the introduction to section II. 0 .681 278 268 261 269 266 265 Agricultural banks are defined as banks with a farm loan ratio at least as great as 31 TABLE II.I FAILURES OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS* NUMBER OF FAILURES 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 * * ANNUAL TOTAL 17 8 7 5 0 0 2 1 1 1 0 * * * Data exclude banks assisted to prevent failure. Industrial banks and mutual savings banks also are excluded. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. SECTION HI: FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF FARM CREDIT CONDITIONS AND FARM LAND VALUES TABLES: IH.A Nonreal estate lending experience III.B Expected change in non-real-estate loan volume and repayment conditions.... m.C Average loan/deposit ratio, and other indicators of relative credit availability. III.D Interest rates IDLE Trends in real estate values and loan volume Page 35 37 39 41 43 SOURCES OF DATA: Data are from quarterly surveys of agricultural credit conditions at commercial banks. These surveys are conducted at the end of each quarter by five Federal Reserve Banks. The size of the surveys differs considerably, as is noted in the information below. In addition, the five surveys differ in subject matter covered (as is evident in the tables), wording of basically similar questions, and type of banks covered. Most of the differences in wording are reflected in the use of different column headings on the two pages of each table. The states included in each district are indicated in the table headings; states that fall only partly within a given district are marked with asterisks. Beginning in 1994, the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank revised its survey considerably. Many questions were changed and it was not always possible to match the data to the categories that we have shown in previous editions of the Databook. Whenever possible, we have tried to fit the data from the revised survey into the older format. Series that were discontinued show no data for the first quarter, while those that were added suddenly appear. When a significant break in the data occurred, we included the new data and added a footnote to highlight the changes. Research departments at each of the five Reserve Banks issue more detailed quarterly reports on their survey results; these reports are available at the addresses given below. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Box 834, Chicago, Illinois, 60690 The sample includes member banks at which farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans as of June 1972 (a 10 percent standard is used for banks in the state of Michigan). The sample has undergone periodic review. The latest survey results were based on the responses of about 450 banks. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Federal Reserve P.O. Station, Kansas City Missouri 64198 The original sample chosen in 1976 had 181 banks selected from banks at which farm loans constituted 50 percent or more of total loans, with appropriate representation of all farm areas. The sample was redrawn and significantly expanded in 1987; roughly 300 banks responded to the latest survey. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Minneapolis, Minnesota 55480 Before 1987, the sample provided a cross-section of banks of all sizes that were engaged in farm lending. Members of the Upper Midwest Agricultural Credit Council formed the core of the survey panel. Beginning in 1987, the sample was redrawn to include only banks at which farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans. As outlined above, the Minneapolis survey was changed considerably beginning in the first quarter of 1994. In recent surveys, about 130 banks responded. Section III: (continued) Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. P.O. Box 655906, Dallas, Texas 75265-5906 The sample is stratified regionally and includes banks at which farm loans are relatively important or which hold a major portion of bank loans in their region. The sample was enlarged in the first quarter of 1985 and was redrawn in the second quarter of 1989. The results for the most recent quarter were based on the responses from about 200 respondents. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Richmond, Virginia 23261 The number of agricultural banks in this district is much smaller than those of the other districts. When the survey was initiated in 1975, the sample consisted of 43 banks of all sizes; banks with larger amounts of farm loans were sampled more heavily. More recently, the sample has consisted of about 30 banks, roughly three-fourths of which typically respond to the quarterly surveys. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: Bankers responding to the surveys indicated that the demand for farm loans in the first half of 2001 likely held up fairly well in all the districts that report except perhaps Richmond. In general, responses on fund availability seemed to have remained in line with readings from earlier years. Relative to one year earlier, survey respondents in the Kansas City and Dallas districts noted a somewhat higher incidence of renewals and extensions of loans through the first half of 2001, and the loan repayment rate in these districts seemed to worsen a bit as well. The proportion of bankers that reported higher collateral requirements was more or less in line with year-earlier levels. Scanning through reported expectations for the third quarter of 2001, for most types of loans, few bankers reported diffusion indexes that seemed to indicate concerns about loan demand in the near future. Despite the high ratio of loans to deposits that was noted in section H, there appeared to be little change, on balance, in the proportion of bankers expressing concerns that their ratio of loans to deposits was higher than desired, and hardly any reported refusing a loan because of a shortage of funds. Relative to one year earlier, respondents in the Dallas district seemed to have experienced an uptick in referrals to other sources of funds, but this did not seem to be a problem in other districts. Rates of interest that were reported in these Reserve bank surveys generally have dropped along with other rates thus far in 2001. The declines in farm loan rates that were picked up in the last couple of Survey of Terms of Lending to Farmers (reported in section I of the Databook) likely will continue to show through in the next set of surveys from the Reserve banks. Relative to one year earlier, the nominal price of farmland was up substantially in the Minneapolis and Richmond districts, and prices also were up for ranchland in the Dallas district. Prices in other districts generally were up about 4 percent or so for all types of farmland. # # # # # # # # # # # FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) DEMAND FOR LOANS LOWER Ill • A1 1999 Q2... Q3. . . Q4. . . SAME FUND AVAILABILITY HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER LOAN REPAYMENT RATE LOWER SAME HIGHER 21 22 22 44 46 50 36 32 28 1 1 1 45 55 51 3 4 10 3 3 7 44 53 54 53 44 39 0 0 0 70 74 75 30 26 25 8 5 4 7 57 60 69 68 34 35 27 25 0 0 0 1 78 79 80 78 22 21 20 21 4 4 61 60 35 36 o 0 74 77 26 23 20 35 28 21 66 54 61 66 14 11 10 13 33 31 26 27 57 66 70 65 10 3 3 8 2001 Ql... Q2. . . 1 17 23 48 48 35 29 18 13 64 65 18 22 37 31 58 65 5 4 1 I 1 14 18 17 66 60 67 20 22 17 2000 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1 1 I 1 12 11 16 16 69 66 64 61 19 23 20 22 2001 Ql... Q2. . . 1 I 1 13 14 63 61 24 25 2000 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 2001 Ql... Q2. . . I 1 1 1 1 | 1 TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( COi, KS, MO*, NE, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1999 Q2... Q3. . . Q4... 1 SAMEi HIGHER 52 41 39 34 32 25 26 | LOWER 18 12 17 52 45 56 54 I HIGHER 72 71 71 14 23 19 20 1999 Q2... Q3. . . Q4. . . SAME io 17 12 1 1 I 1 III, A3 LOWER COLLATERAL REQUIRED SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI* ) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 2000 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... III A2 RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS | | | 1 | 1 | 1 1° 22 16 73 66 69 17 12 15 31 29 24 66 68 66 3 3 10 20 30 25 21 65 62 65 68 15 8 10 11 16 19 20 25 75 75 76 68 8 6 4 7 12 18 70 65 18 18 25 26 72 72 3 3 8 67 69 70 30 28 22 1 1 1 86 86 84 13 13 15 | 1 | I | I I 1 9 6 4 4 75 80 79 73 16 14 17 24 0 1 1 0 87 84 86 85 13 15 13 15 3 2 | I I 1 3 2 71 75 26 22 0 1 82 81 18 18 |1 11 | 8 io 22 61 64 52 31 27 26 0 1 0 74 73 75 26 27 25 19 13 12 13 64 73 64 59 18 13 24 28 1 2 1 2 75 79 82 73 24 19 17 25 7 8 62 62 31 31 1 0 72 73 27 27 | |1 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( LA*, NM*, TX ) 22 29 27 63 52 55 18 20 18 23 21 59 63 51 49 21 19 26 30 17 22 54 55 29 23 15 | 19 ! | j | 2 5 4 74 80 75 24 15 21 25 27 24 63 62 52 12 11 24 7 14 17 13 73 72 71 72 20 14 13 15 15 12 22 27 67 71 65 64 18 17 13 10 8 10 74 69 17 21 30 26 61 66 9 7 I 1 | I 35 36 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A (CONTINUED) FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH NORMAL CONDITIONS (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) DEMAND FOR LOANS LOWER III.A4 SAME . . . . HIGHER * . . . . * * 2001 Ql... Q2... * III.A5 SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME 3 7 8 47 44 70 49 48 22 63 67 69 78 20 19 25 11 COLLATERAL REQUIRED HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER 1 | | 11 14 10 64 71 67 25 15 23 1 | j 1 8 27 39 16 69 61 56 68 23 13 5 15 1 | 11 12 70 66 20 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 1 52 59 26 41 39 62 7 2 12 24 18 20 9 46 62 72 69 30 19 8 22 1 | 17 14 5 11 23 17 61 72 16 11 I | 7 6 77 70 16 24 4 3 8 89 71 58 7 26 33 | | 1 | 1 | 1 o o o 68 66 80 32 33 20 0 1 0 1 82 76 82 87 18 23 17 12 | 1 | 1 0 1 83 86 17 13 0 0 0 81 77 69 19 23 31 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV* ) 1999 Q2. . . 03... Q4. . . 1 j 1 19 26 25 81 63 61 o 11 14 2000 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . | j j 1 30 22 34 21 57 68 60 75 14 11 6 4 2001 Ql. . . Q2. . . | j 19 24 58 70 23 6 LOWER RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS LOAN REPAYMENT RATE NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI* ) 1999 Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 2000 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. FUND AVAILABILITY 1 1 | 1 | 1 1 4 11 19 67 66 69 30 23 11 1 1 1 4 26 31 93 71 67 4 3 3 16 19 9 4 76 69 80 92 8 11 11 4 1 | 1 1 27 22 6 13 70 73 83 79 3 5 11 8 | 1 | 1 1 1 I 14 o 11 9 57 78 80 87 30 22 9 4 | 1 | 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 73 78 74 67 27 22 26 33 o 3 85 76 15 21 1 1 15 15 81 85 4 o 1 1 o 6 92 82 8 12 | 1 1 0 0 62 74 38 26 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B FARM NONREAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH VOLUME OF LOANS MADE A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) TOTAL LOWER SAME III.B1 1999 Q2... Q3. . . Q4... | 1 1 2000 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3 • . . Q4. . . 1 1 1 1 14 2001 Ql. . . Q2. . . 1 j 22 FEEDER CATTLE HIGHER LOWER SAME DAIRY HIGHER CROP STORAGE LOWER SAM!1 HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER 28 31 31 | | 1 29 22 18 65 60 58 6 18 24 19 15 21 73 75 68 9 10 11 36 22 29 51 57 62 13 21 8 16 55 54 60 53 31 23 24 31 1 | | I 19 26 23 18 60 63 66 67 21 11 11 15 20 27 26 28 69 64 66 66 11 9 8 7 25 21 17 25 58 49 57 66 17 30 26 9 13 20 54 57 33 23 | | 14 22 70 65 16 13 25 22 68 71 7 7 29 29 61 61 10 9 15 24 16 III.B2 | | | 24 23 25 61 60 58 16 17 17 2000 Ql. . . Q2. . . 03... 04... | | | | 23 18 24 20 57 60 60 57 20 22 16 23 2001 Ql. . . 02... | 1 20 25 58 55 22 21 | 1 |1 | 1 | 1 | 1 LOWER SAME HIGHER | | 1 | I | 1 | 1 | I 1 11 13 8 43 46 46 46 41 46 8 11 11 7 47 52 54 42 45 37 35 51 8 12 43 53 49 35 | | 1 | 1 65 62 53 30 33 39 5 5 9 46 46 43 39 46 47 49 52 8 7 8 9 | | 1 42 42 45 50 13 8 | 1 1 20 24 24 64 58 56 16 17 21 I | I 17 23 13 71 76 82 6 1 5 15 24 15 68 61 72 17 14 13 19 20 19 56 56 63 25 24 17 | | 1 26 34 30 61 58 60 13 8 10 26 25 32 15 53 56 52 65 22 19 16 20 | | 1 | 17 21 18 15 79 77 80 78 4 2 2 2 16 19 16 16 81 71 74 78 3 11 10 6 23 18 17 14 53 58 61 55 24 25 22 31 1 1 1 | 26 26 31 29 59 57 60 55 16 17 10 16 17 65 64 17 I 17 17 78 78 5 5 14 14 83 77 3 9 17 18 57 61 26 21 | 1 29 31 60 56 11 13 sc. VA, WV*) 16 19 | FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, 1999 02... 03... 04... | j j 39 42 23 57 45 61 4 13 16 2000 Ql... 02... 03. . . 04... | j j j 34 24 40 19 53 68 57 71 13 9 3 10 2001 Ql... 02... | j 17 27 70 70 13 3 HIGHER ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1999 02... Q3. . . 04... III.B3 LOWER SAME FARM[ MACHINERY SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 50 50 55 19 OPERATING | | 1 | | 1 20 26 22 80 74 74 o 0 4 25 13 35 13 58 88 65 80 17 0 0 7 12 17 88 83 o 0 1 1 1 I 1 1 | 1 11 | 1 1 37 35 42 53 65 58 11 0 0 30 40 34 60 48 66 10 12 0 44 29 23 52 56 57 4 15 20 44 49 40 52 49 57 4 3 3 38 30 29 25 62 70 71 75 0 0 0 0 31 19 11 13 69 67 59 69 0 15 30 19 17 19 26 14 61 76 65 77 22 5 9 9 50 43 38 30 42 51 53 70 8 5 9 0 18 26 82 74 o o io 19 81 73 10 8 8 13 72 88 20 o 24 26 68 74 8 0 1 1 |1 | 1 | 1 37 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B (CONTINUED) EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM LOANS DURING NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL DEMAND (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) OTHER INTERMEDIATE FEEDER LIVESTOCK LOWER SAME III.B4 37 28 55 64 9 9 3 9 3 10 25 36 44 30 67 51 50 65 8 13 6 5 61 73 71 69 21 16 15 16 27 22 27 23 68 68 65 74 5 9 8 3 76 75 10 8 18 19 76 76 6 6 1| 1 38 28 50 66 13 7 1999 Ql... Q2 . . . Q3... Q4... | 1| | 1 | 1 20 26 39 18 76 64 58 72 18 11 14 15 14 17 2001 Ql... Q2. . . | 1 1| LOWER SAME HIGHER FARM: MACHINERY LOWER iSAME HIGHER HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI *, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1998 Q3. . . Q4. . . 2000 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3... Q4. . . LOWER SAME HIGHER OTHER OPERATING FARM REAL ESTATE | 1 | | 1 | 1 9 58 70 34 24 | 1 | 1 59 46 37 52 4 2 13 19 12 11 4 11 15 12 68 57 56 67 28 32 29 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 51 61 65 56 46 33 33 41 3 5 2 3 44 52 53 55 14 13 12 6 5 7 6 9 82 62 68 78 13 31 26 13 42 42 39 43 56 49 54 53 1 9 7 4 62 64 11 8 7 6 69 67 23 27 34 35 61 60 5 5 33 27 52 57 15 16 32 32 40 33 55 49 48 57 1 I 1 1 I 1 42 35 35 39 1 1 28 28 1 1 I | 1 | 1 1 1 | 1 | 1 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OP AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C AVIRAQK LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT III.CI LOWER AT THAN DESIRED DESIRED LEVEL 1 1 73 73 2000 Ql... Q2.. . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1 1 73 75 77 75 1 2001 Ql... Q2. . . 1 75 75 1 1 1999 Q3... Q4... 1 1 2000 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 2001 Ql... Q2. . . 1 1 III.C3 NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO CORRESPONDENT BANKS NONE NONBANK AGENCIES COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER HIGHER LOWER SAME NONE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER 1 « 33 32 25 21 1 : :: 35 36 32 36 21 29 33 25 41 46 35 34 23 20 1 1 j 1 * * * www *** * * * • WW www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www * * * www 1 1 www www www www www www www www www www www j I www 1 I www 1 % 7 9 84 83 9 8 77 75 77 75 9 9 7 4 82 85 85 87 9 6 8 9 1 % 5 9 85 83 10 8 | I www 9 7 78 77 13 16 www 15 9 13 13 80 82 75 73 5 9 12 14 8 10 75 72 17 18 TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( CO, KS, MO* , NE, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 68 68 1 s 10 9 32 32 67 70 71 71 1 1 1 j 63 51 54 50 6 8 9 8 29 41 37 41 70 70 1 : 11 7 2 | 1 |1 ! 3 4 72 69 80 81 6 5 90 90 4 5 1 3 3 1 73 73 71 73 82 81 82 81 9 9 6 6 86 85 88 90 6 6 5 4 0 1 71 72 84 85 5 7 90 88 4 4 www www 12 6 78 79 10 15 www www www www 15 10 15 12 81 84 77 80 5 5 8 8 I 1 1 1 8 12 82 79 10 9 1 1 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( LA*, NM*, TX) 1999 Q3... Q4. .. 1 1 53 52 2000 Ql... Q2.. . Q3. .. Q4.. . 1 1 1 1 51 55 58 55 2001 Ql... Q2.. . 1 1 56 58 HIGHER THAN DESIRED ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( IL*. IN*, IA, MI*, WI«) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1999 Q3... Q4... IXI.C2 REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS WW* | 1 I ::: Z * * * 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 j 1 2 2 1 * * * * * * www * * * * * * * * * 39 40 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C (CONTINUED) AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT III.C4 1999 Q3... Q4... | 1 1 I 2001 Ql... Q2... LOWER AT THAN DESIRED DESIRED LEVEL | 1 | 1 III.C5 HIGHER THAN DESIRED NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS CORRESPONDENT BANKS NONE NONBANK AGENCIES COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER NONE 70 71 1 | | 1 84 71 | 1 | 63 " 11 10 26 26 | | 5 3 *** *** 70 62 45 62 5 8 11 8 25 30 44 30 | | | | 1 5 10 5 *** *** *** *** 68 64 11 12 21 23 | | 2 *** 2 *** | | *** *** 7 10 85 82 8 8 *** *** *** *** 10 10 4 13 87 81 87 84 4 8 9 3 | | | *** *** 9 7 86 88 5 5 | | 88 88 3 3 9 6 94 77 88 75 0 6 0 5 80 83 0 3 | | *** *** 7 9 80 84 13 7 *** *** *** *** 9 10 2 10 82 80 87 85 10 9 11 4 | | 1 *** *** 8 11 85 82 7 7 0 3 1 | 76 77 3 3 12 13 9 6 6 13 12 20 0 3 0 0 | 1 1 | 80 69 67 80 0 3 0 0 9 16 30 20 11 13 3 0 20 13 0 0 | 1 80 77 0 3 20 17 0 3 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 03... Q4... | | 74 75 1 1 46 38 46 44 9 18 Ql... Q2. . . Q3.. . Q4... | | | | 74 75 75 77 1 1 1 1 42 39 38 39 44 47 44 43 14 14 18 17 Ql... Q2... | | 84 78 1 1 46 61 46 32 8 6 | 1 | 1 1 I 1 o o 66 63 0 3 3 4 68 66 60 67 o o 73 72 | 1 | 1 + Beginning in 1994, Minneapolis omitted the response 'none' for the number of referrals to either correspondent banks or nonbank agencies. The column that has been added combines responses that formerly would have been reported as either 'none' or 'low'. COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 70 73 77 73 2000 Ql... Q2... Q3. . . Q4. . . REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D1 INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1999 03... Q4... | | 9.3 9.4 2000 Ql... Q2... Q3. .. 04... | | | | 9.7 10.1 10.1 9.9 2001 01... 02... | | 9.2 8.6 III.D2 OTHER OPERATING LOANS 9.3 9.4 9.8 10.4 10.2 9.9 9.2 8.6 * * * * 8.4 8.6 * * * * * * * * 8.9 9.2 9.4 8.9 * * * * 8.2 7.9 TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO, KS, MO*, NE, NM*, OK) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1999 Q3... 04... | | 9.6 9.7 2000 Ql... 02... 03... 04... | j j j 10.0 10.4 10.4 10.3 2001 Ql... 02... | | 9.6 9.0 9.8 9.9 9.6 9.7 9.1 9.2 10.2 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.0 10.3 10.3 10.2 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.1 9.5 9.0 8.9 8.5 41 42 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D (CONTINUED) INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D3 OTHER OPERATING LOANS INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1999 03... 04... | | *** *** 9.5 9.7 9.4 9.7 8.7 9.0 2000 01... 02... 03... 04... | j | j *** *** *** *** 9.9 10.1 10.5 10.4 9.9 10.2 10.4 10.3 9.2 9.4 9.7 9.6 2001 Ql... 02... | j *** *** 9.8 9.3 9.8 9.3 9.1 8.6 III.D4 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, MM*, TX) 1999 Q3... 04... | j 10.2 10.4 10.2 10.5 10.1 10.1 9.5 9.6 2000 Ql... 02... 03... 04... | | j | 10.6 11.0 11.0 11.0 10.6 10.8 11.0 11.1 10.5 10.7 10.8 10.8 9.9 10.2 10.1 10.2 2001 Ql... 02... | j 10.3 9.7 10.4 9.7 10.1 9.5 9.5 9.0 III.D5 1999 Q3.. Q4.. 2000 Ql.. 02.. 03.. 04. . 2001 Ql.. Q2. . FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.6 9.3 9.5 10.0 10.2 10.6 10.6 10.4 10.0 10.4 10.4 10.1 9.4 9.2 8.5 10.4 10.6 10.5 9.4 8.6 11.0 9.1 9.2 9.6 10.1 9.9 9.8 8.9 8.3 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.E TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER ALL III.El DRYLAND IRRIGATED TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER RANCHLAND ALL DRYLAND IRRIGATED EXPECTED TREND IN FARM REAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) RANCHLAND DOWN STABLE UP LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1999 Q2... 03... Q4... | | | 1 0 2 0 2 1 45 33 22 47 61 71 8 7 8 36 34 28 54 54 59 9 12 13 2000 Ql... Q2... Q3. . . Q4... | | | | 2 1 1 1 4 5 6 6 13 11 8 12 75 78 80 77 12 11 12 11 26 27 22 22 61 67 66 63 14 6 12 15 2001 Ql... Q2... | | 1 1 4 5 15 io 74 79 11 11 | 1 1 25 25 61 65 14 10 4 14 9 78 66 74 19 20 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 31 32 33 65 62 58 4 6 9 o 0 0 0 84 75 76 74 16 25 24 26 29 24 34 14 60 68 53 77 11 8 13 9 0 0 65 73 35 27 29 23 54 73 17 3 8 0 -0 20 26 27 63 66 62 17 8 11 -1 -1 4 62 62 61 63 17 19 10 10 68 59 12 11 III.E2 *** *** 1 1 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) Q2... Q3... Q4... | | | 5 -24 7 2 -13 -12 WWW WWW Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... | | j | -3 -0 -1 5 -17 -21 2 0 ... • WW ... ... | 1 1 11 11 Ql... Q2... | j 5 4 9 13 ... www 1 j III.E3 *** | www j |1 |1 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1999 Q2... Q3.. . Q4. . . 2000 Ql... Q2.. . Q3.. . Q4... 3 -1 -0 0 1 0 2 -3 :: I 4 2 I I 1 -1 -2 20 19 29 27 2001 Ql... Q2. . . 3 1 7 -1 5 -1 I I 6 4 9 10 20 30 5 -2 -49- 44 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.E (CONTINUED) TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER ALL III.B4 1999 Q2... Q3 . . . 04... | 2000 Ql... Q2 . • • Q3.. . Q4... | j | 2001 Ql... Q2. . . | | | j j III.E5 DRYLAND IRRIGATED ALL DRYLAND IRRIGATED RANCHLAND STABLE DOWN UP LOWER SAME HIGHER TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO, KS, HO*, NE, NM*, OK, WY) *** *** *** o -0 1 1 -1 1 0 1 3 *** www *** *** _i 2 i 2 -0 1 1 3 -1 2 2 2 -1 -0 *** *** 2 i - i o *** - 1 * * * - o www 1 *** *** 1| | 1 2 i * * * 3 *** 4 www *** 3 3 -1 -0 2 -2 1 3 2 3 3 7 4 | j j 7 6 3 3 2 4 | j *** www www www www www ww* www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www | j www www www www www www 49 48 57 19 12 11 14 13 12 11 8 WWW www NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1999 Q2.. . 03... Q4... 1 1 | www www www www www www www www www www www www I j j 2000 Ql... 02... 03... 04... 1 1 1 | www *ww www www www www www www www www www www www www www www I 1 1 j 2001 Ql... 02... | j www www www www www www www www 1 j http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ e e Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER RANCHLAND EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) # e www WWW www www *** *** WWW WWW WWW e 4 6 5 2 1 2 4 2 2 www www www www www www www www www | | j 32 40 4 11 11 10 3 8 7 www www www www www www www www www www www WWW | j | | 42 6 4 5 10 2 39 44 52 53 55 8 10 6 7 2 10 *** www * * * WWW www www | | 28 28 62 64 e I1 1 1 e • 3 3 3 5 3 5 • 6 • •