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E.15 (125) AGRICULTURAL FINANCE DATABOOK Second Quarter 1998 Guide to internal tables of contents and notes on sources Amount and characteristics of farm loans made by commercial banks Page 3 Selected statistics from the quarterly reports of condition of commercial banks Reserve bank surveys of farm credit conditions and farm land values Division of Research and Statistics Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington, D.C. 20551 Nicholas A. Walraven and Melissa Post 22 33 2 General Information The Agricultural Finance Databook is a c o m p i l a t i o n of various data on current d e v e l o p m e n t s in agricultural finance. Large portions of the data come from regular surveys conducted by the Board of G o v e r n o r s of the Federal Reserve System or Federal Reserve Banks. Other portions of the data come from the quarterly call report data of commercial banks or from the reports of other financial i n s t i t u t i o n s involved in agricultural lending. When the current issue went to press, data from the survey of terms of bank lending w e r e available for the second quarter of 1998; the other data generally were available through March 1998. Parts or all of the A g r i c u l t u r a l Finance D a t a b o o k may be copied and distributed freely. Any redistribution of selected parts of the D a t a b o o k should be accompanied by the "contents" pages at the b e g i n n i n g of the corresponding section, together with the front cover identifying the Databook and date of issue. and this page providing subscription information. R e m a i n i n g questions may be addressed to N i c h o l a s W a l r a v e n or M e l i s s a Post at the address shown on the cover. The Databook is furnished on a complimentary basis to college and university teachers, libraries of educational institutions, government d e p a r t m e n t s and agencies, and public libraries. Others should enclose the annual subscription fee of $5.00. New subscriptions to the Databook (including zip code) to: (Statistical Release E.15) may be entered by sending a m a i l i n g address Publications Services, Mail Stop Federal Reserve Board Washington, D.C. 20551 138 Notice of change of address also should be sent to Publications Services. the old address should be included. A copy of the back cover showing SECTION I: AMOUNT AND CHARACTERISTICS OF FARM LOANS MADE BY COMMERCIAL BANKS Estimates from the quarterly survey of non-real-estate farm loans Summary charts Page 5 Tables: I.A I.B I.C I. D I.E I.F I.G I.H I.I Number Average size Amount Average maturity Average effective interest rate Percentage of loans with a floating interest rate Distribution of farm loans by effective interest rate Detailed survey results Regional disaggregation of survey results 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 21 SOURCES OF DATA: These data on the farm loans of $1000 or more made by commercial banks are derived from quarterly sample surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve System during the first full week of the second month of each quarter. Data obtained from the sample are expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, which are shown in the following tables. Before August 1989, the farm loan survey was part of a broader survey of the terms of lending by a sample of 348 commercial banks. A subset of 250 banks was asked for information regarding agricultural lending, and about 150 typically reported at least one farm loan. Since August of 1989, the data have been drawn from a redesigned sample of 250 banks that is no longer part of the broader survey. In the redesigned sample, banks are stratified according to their volume of farm lending; previously, they had been stratified according to the volume of business loans. However, the sample data always have been expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, and these estimates necessarily exhibit variability due to sampling error. The estimates are sensitive to the occasional appearance of very large loans in the sample. In addition, the breakdown of national estimates into those for large banks and small banks may have been affected somewhat by the new sampling procedures that were implemented in August 1989; apparent shifts in the data as of that date should be treated with caution. Beginning with the May 1997 survey, data on the assessment by the lender of the risk associated with each loan, the next date that the rate of interest could be adjusted, whether the loan was callable by the bank, and whether the borrower could prepay the loan without penalty began to be collected. Over time, the data on the lender's perception of the riskiness of farm loans should help provide a better picture of the effect of fluctuations in the creditworthiness of farm borrowers as either farm financial conditions or the broader economic environment changes. The new data on loan repricing dates, callability of the loan, and the existence of prepayment penalties should help to refine estimates of the duration of farm loans made by commercial banks. Tables I.H.I through 1.H.6 contain most of the new data, while the other tables in section I attempt to show estimates that are comparable to those that have been presented for a number of years. However, for several quarters while the new survey was being designed, banks that left the survey panel were not replaced immediately, because new replacement banks would soon have been forced to revise their newly-instituted reporting procedures when the new survey form went into effect. As a result, the size of the survey panel dwindled through early 1997, and with the May 1997 survey, an unusually -large number of new reporters (about 25) were added. While this does not affect the validity of the May survey information, it likely introduced sampling error, especially when the May survey results are compared with those of previous quarters. The format and the information contained in the tables are likely to change over time as more of the new survey information is acquired. SECTION I: (CONTINUED) More detailed results from each quarterly survey previously were published in Statistical Release E.2A, "Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers". Beginning in February, 1992, the more detailed results are included at the end of this section of the Databook. and the E2.A has been discontinued. Starting with the August 1986 survey, farm loans secured by real estate are included in the data shown in the table of detailed results, whereas such loans are excluded from the tabulations in Tables I.A through I.G and the summary charts. Beginning in November 1991 , several survey statistics are estimated for each of ten farm production regions as defined by the USDA. These statistics, which are presented in table I.I, should be treated with some caution. Although an effort was made to choose a good regional mix of banks for the panel, the panel never has been stratified by region. Consequently, the survey results are less precise for each region than for the totals for the nation. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: In the May 1998 survey, the estimated number of non- real - estate farm loans made by banks was a bit below the estimate of one year earlier, with the largest decline among these year - over-year comparisons appearing in the number of loans in the "other" category of purposes. However, the average size of loans was larger, leaving the estimated amount of loans up a bit from the previous year. Nevertheless, since mid 1996, the estimated amount of farm non-real - estate loans generally has been coming in towards the low end of the ranee seen during, the rest of the 1990s. In the May survey, the average maturity of farm non-real - estate loans was about 10-1/2 months, towards the middle of the range seen for the past several years. The average effective rate of interest on non-realestate farm loans was 9.2 percent in the May survey, up 10 basis points from the previous quarter. The percentage of loans that were made with a rate of interest that floats remained below 60 percent in May, with larger loans accounting for the bulk of the movement towards fixed rate arrangements. The weighted average repricing interval (line 4 of Tables I.H.I through I.H.6) rose to about 9-1/2 months across all sizes of loans, and the maturity (line 3) lengthened as well. Most of the change in maturity and repricing interval came for loans of more than $50 thousand. Relative to the previous survey, the percentage of the volume of loans to purchase or improve farm real estate (line 23) roughly doubled to about 10 percent of the volume of survey loans, and this type of loan likely carried a longer maturity and may have tended to carry a fixed rate of interest. The weighted average risk rating (line 5) edged up in the May survey, with the largest increases in perceived riskiness apparent for large loans. Relative to the February survey, bankers required somewhat more collateral for farm loans (the total percentage of loans that are secured is obtained by summing lines 25 and 26), and the percentage of loans that were secured by real estate assets contributed most to the increase. When broken out by the riskiness of the loan (Tables I.H.4 through I.H.6), about 60 percent of the estimated volume of loans was rated either "moderate" or "acceptable", roughly the same proportion of loans that received these rankings in the previous survey. As has generally been the case since the survey was redesigned, for the less risky categories of loans, rates seemed to decline as reported risk increased. Collateral requirements where lowest for loans falling in the "acceptable" category--loans either higher or lower on the risk scale were more likely to be secured. By farm production region, changes in the weighted average rates of interest compared with the February survey were very mixed. The regions showing the largest declines were the Corn Belt and Southern Plains, which each recorded a decline of 20 basis points, while estimated rates rose 40 basis points in the Lake States. in Chart 1 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Millions, Annual rate 5.0 Number of non-real-estate farm loans 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 - Four quarter moving average 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Thousands of dollars Average size of non-real-estate farm loans — Four quarter moving average 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Billions of dollars, Annual rate 10 130 Amount of non-real-estate farm loans 120 110 100 - Four quarter moving average 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Chart 2 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Months Average maturity of non-real-estate farm loans - Four quarter moving average 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Percent 20 18 Average effective interest rate on non-real-estate farm loans 16 14 12 10 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Percent Share of farm loans with a floating interest rate 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 - Four quarter moving average 30 20 10 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 0 E S T I M A T E S FROM T H E Q U A R T E R L Y S A M P L E S U R V E Y OF BANK N O N - R E A L - E S T A T E L O A N S TO F A R M E R S T A B L E I.A N U M B E R OF L O A N S M A D E (MILLIONS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN OTHER ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK BY SIZE OF BANK FARM CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER A N N U A L N U M B E R OF L O A N S M A D E 1986 1 1 1987 1988 .55 1 o .30 0 .17 1 .66 0 .17 0 .24 1 .71 2 .38 2 .21 | 0 .39 0 .13 1 0 . 14 0 . 19 1 .57 | 0 .29 0 11 1 .45 0 .14 0 .21 1 .42 2 60 | 0 .30 0 20 1 .73 0 .16 0 .20 1 .67 2 54 1989 1 | 1990 1 2 .63 | 0 .32 0 24 1 .69 0 . 19 0 .19 1 .70 1991 1 2 .60 | 0 .35 0 .23 1 .64 0 .17 0 .21 1 .66 1992 1 2 .69 | 0 .35 0 .25 1 .67 0 .18 0 .24 1 .67 1993 I 1 j 2 .70 | 0 .36 0 .27 1 .62 0 .18 1 .65 2 .53 2 .49 | 0 .28 0 .23 1 .56 0. 0 .27 0 .27 | 0 .26 0 .. 1 9 1 .48 0 .17 0 .39 1,. 4 5 1 | 2 .22 2 .27 | 0 .18 0,1 9 . 1, 3 8 . . 1, 4 0 0, 1 4 . 0, 1 5 . 0 .36 | 0. 1 7 . 0. 2 0 . 1, 3 3 . . 1, 3 2 1994 1995 1996 1997 NUMBER | 2. 74 . 1 2 .. 2 4 1 j Q4. . . 1997 Q2 . . . Q3 . . . 1996 | . 1. 9 5 j 1 2 ., 1 9 2. 6 5 1 Ql. . . Q2 . . . 1 OF LOANS o ., 1 5 0, 1 6 , 0. 2 5 , o. 2 0 o., 1 7 Q3 . . . 2. 2 1 j 0. 1 5 Q4. . . 1998 1 j 1 2. 0 5 1 o. 2 3 1 j 2. 08 2. 51 1 Ql... Q2 . . . j o. 1 9 0. 1 2 MADE DURING FIRST FULL 18 WEEK OF 1 .55 0 .33 SECOND MONTH OF 0. 4 6 0. 4 6 0. 4 3 0. 5 2 0. 4 9 0. 5 1 0. 5 4 0. 5 6 0. 5 1 0. 5 7 0. 4 8 0. 5 0 QUARTER, 0 .29 0 .08 0 .27 0. 0 8 . . 0. 0 7 0. 0 9 . 0. 0 9 . 0. 1 0 . 0. 1 1 . 0. 1 2 . 0. 1 2 . 0. 1 2 . 0. 1 1 , 0. 1 1 , 0 .28 0 .31 0 .35 0 .32 0 .37 0 .37 0 .35 0 .36 0, 3 1 . 0 .34 ANNUAL 2 .34 2 . 18 0 .23 1 .99 0 .36 2 .23 0 .44 2 .20 0 .50 2 .10 0 .51 2 .18 0 .55 0 . 54 2 .15 1 .98 0 .66 | 1 .83 0 . 53 0. 4 6 1 .69 0.6 8 . 0. 6 3 . 0. 3 7 . 2 ,. 0 7 1 .82 RATE 0. 1 7 0. 1 1 0. 1 7 . 1. 8 3 , 1. 4 5 1. 0 8 . 0. 1 5 , 0. 1 1 , 0. 4 5 , 0. 3 7 , 0. 3 4 . 1. 6 4 , 1. 3 8 , 1. 1 8 , 0. 6 0 0. 4 9 0. 4 1 0. 3 8 . 0. 2 8 . 0. 2 5 . 0. 1 3 0. 0 9 0. 1 0 0. 2 4 0. 2 2 0. 1 4 0. 2 1 1. 1 3 1. 7 2 1. 5 3 1. 2 3 0. 1 8 0. 1 4 0. 1 4 0. 1 5 0. 4 6 0. 4 0 0. 2 3 0. 2 2 1. 1 8 1. 6 2 1. 3 4 1. 1 5 0. 4 9 0. 5 7 0. 4 7 0. 4 5 0. 3 7 0. 3 7 0. 3 1 0. 3 3 0. 1 5 0. 0 9 0. 0 9 0. 1 2 0. 2 0 0. 2 2 1. 2 9 1. 7 2 0. 1 8 0. 2 2 0. 2 2 0. 2 4 1. 0 7 1. 4 4 0. 4 7 0. 5 8 0. 3 8 0. 3 7 0. 1 6 0. 1 2 0 ., 1 4 o .20 0 .20 1 | j j 1 j o., 4 9 j 0. 5 1 0. 4 3 0, 3 8 | | 0.3 8 , 0.4 7 j 1, 6 2 . 1. 5 8 . . 1. 7 0 2 .. 1 4 ,77 1. , 1. 6 6 . 1. 7 0 2 ., 0 4 ESTIMATES FROM THE T A B L E I.B QUARTERLY S A M P L E S U R V E Y OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE A V E R A G E SIZE OF LOANS TO LOANS MADE FARMERS (THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN OTHER ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES BY SIZE OF BANK FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER 280,.4 320,.4 320,.4 272 , .1 4 8 7 ,.7 5 3 9 ..9 4 6 8 .,2 4 9 0 ..3 4 8 0 .,7 4 5 1 ,,3 62 .0 85 .5 70,.0 53 .7 100,.7 107,.0 97,.0 106.,0 101..3 84..0 15 .3 14 .9 16 .3 14 .4 13,.9 13,.9 15,.8 15,.8 15,.4 15,.7 5 4 5 .,9 3 8 5 ..3 115..0 92 .0 15,.4 16,.3 ANNUAL AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE 1986 1987 | | 1988 1989 1990 1991 1 1 | j 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1 | | | 1 j 19 .0 2 0 .8 21 .8 19 .9 28 4 31 .9 | | | | | j 31 .2 34 .3 33 .9 33 .8 39 .2 31 .4 | j j j j j 35 33 34 42 69 61 68 79 60 49 .0 .8 2 5 .8 26 .3 .1 .7 .7 .2 .7 .3 .7 40 6 29 5 22 7 25 .2 26,.9 23,.1 27 .6 26,.7 59 .0 4 2 .3 24 .2 26,.0 .0 A V E R A G E SIZE OF 1996 Q2. . . | 43 .3 33 .3 .2 36, | j j 04... | j j j 38. .7 24. 3 28. 3 36. 1 1 9 9 8 0 1 . .. 02... | j 37. 9 28. .0 03... | j 04... 1997 oi... 02... 03... 14 .0 14 6 16 7 14 1 15 7 15 .6 14 , .7 15,.2 16,. 3 18,.5 26,.0 16..8 LOANS MADE DURING FIRST 13 .6 16 .1 13 .9 12 . 1 11,.9 15,.1 15,.9 13,.9 17,.5 15,.6 17..2 17..8 FULL WEEK 32.9 44.6 34.7 32.2 94.3 129.3 108.7 1 1 | 3 3 .5 .6 14..9 14 , .6 .7 14 , 4 4 .9 46,.5 45,.2 45,.9 46,.1 46..6 45..9 46..1 47.,0 44..9 15,.0 14,.9 45..2 45..8 QUARTER, ANNUAL 3 .7 112.0 123 . 6 93.6 | j | 3 .6 3 .6 3 .6 3 .7 3 .7 3 .7 3 .7 95.2 97.2 | j 3 .7 3 .8 OF 1 1 | j SECOND MONTH OF 14 .9 14 .7 14,.8 .7 14 , 14,.8 14,.9 14,.8 RATE 4 4 .0 116,.7 31,.3 25..4 25..6 23.,5 39.,6 15..5 15.,8 15.,7 16. 2 19. 0 73.2 76.4 118.1 1 | | .7 3, .7 3, 3, .9 14.,9 14.,5 15.,5 44.,8 45. 8 45. 5 673. 1 554. 3 467. 7 131..1 89.,6 119. 1 14.,5 11. 4 16. 9 | 50..7 28.,1 24.,3 13. 6 15. 5 16. 1 73.2 106.6 160.5 1 | i 22. 2 23. 0 29. 6 5 6 0 8 .7 3. 3. .7 .7 3. ,9 3. 14. 14. 14. 15. 7 27.,6 51.,9 39.,5 18. 17. 17. 17. 82.1 | 4 4 48. 0 45. 6 45. 1 44. 2 371. 9 357. 7 419. 3 398. 5 95. 0 67. 9 91. 7 120. 5 22. 4 13. 9 12 .9 16. 5 | j 37..7 43..4 29. 6 21. 0 23. 3 17. 2 39. 6 24. 5 130.7 107.4 3. ,8 .7 3. 15. 1 14. 4 45. 8 46. 6 320. 2 335. 7 100. 3 80. 3 24. 2 16. 0 | | 1 | 1 9 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.C AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) FEEDER LIVESTOCK ALL LOANS OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES BY SIZE OF BANK BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER ANNUAL AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE 1986 | 48. .5 1 0 .,4 4 .,5 2 3 ..2 2 . .4 8 ..0 1987 j 4 9 ,. 6 1 3 ..2 3 ..4 2 2 ..5 2 ..3 8 ..3 1 j 6 ..0 5 ..7 6 ..9 13 . .2 2 2 ..3 1 12. 6 3 5 ..9 6 ..8 1 2 ..6 2 4 ..5 | 17. 1 32. 5 1988 4 8 ..2 1 0 ..0 4 .,6 2 4 ..3 1 ..9 7 ..4 | 5. .2 6 .,4 12 . .9 23 . .7 j 1 5 .,9 3 2 .3 1989 5 1 ..6 1 2 ..9 6 ..0 2 4 ..3 2 ..0 6 ..4 j 6 .,1 7 ..7 1 4 ..4 .4 23 . j 1 9 .,6 32 . .0 74. .7 2 2 ..0 5 ..5 2 6 ..6 2 ..3 1 8 ..3 j 6 ..1 7 ..3 1 5 ..9 4 5 ..3 j 4 4 .,2 3 0 ..5 8 2 ..8 2 1 ..4 5 ..8 2 5 ..5 .5 2 , 2 7 ..6 6 ..1 7 ..6 1 5 ..1 5 4 ..0 j 5 3 ..7 2 9 .1 8 3 .7 2 3 ..6 6 ..7 2 4 ..6 2 ,.9 2 6 ..0 j 6 ..2 8 ..0 1 6 ,.8 5 2 .8 j 4 9 ,.4 3 4 .3 9 2 .6 2 8 ..7 6 .,2 2 4 ,.7 2,.5 3 0 ..6 1 8 ..3 1 7 ,.1 6 1 ,.0 j 5 8 ,.8 3 3 .8 8 5 ,.7 1 6 ..8 6 ..4 2 5 .4 3,.2 3 3 ,.9 - .1 5,.8 7 ,.4 1 6 ..5 5 6 .0 j 5 5 ,.1 3 0 .6 8 4 .1 1 2 ..7 5..2 2 7 .3 2 , .7 3 6 ,.1 j 5,.4 8 ..3 1 6 ,.0 5 4 .4 1 5 5 ,.3 2 8 .8 8 7 ,.3 1 0 ..6 4 ..0 3 5 .9 2 .4 3 4 ,.5 j 5,.0 7 ,.1 1 3 ,.9 6 1 .3 j 6 1 ,.2 2 6 .1 7 1 .4 8,.0 5 ..3 2 3 .6 2 .7 3 1 ,.9 1 .0 7 ,.4 1 5 .8 43 , .3 j 4 1 ..9 2 9 .6 2 9 ,.9 | 1990 1991 j 1992 1993 j 1994 1995 1996 | 1997 6 5 AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1996 Q2 . . . 1 6 ..6 4 ..2 72 . ,7 2 . .2 3 3 .,2 1 1 8 ..6 1 2 . ,8 2 2 ..6 ,4 2 . 2 8 .,3 2 . 1 3 9 .,6 I j | Ql. . . | Q2 . . . 1 6 ..8 8 7 .,2 | 89. 1 . .0 13 . 4 9 ..5 j 5 6 ..3 1 8 ..5 6 .,4 1 1 ,.6 4 8 ,. 1 j 4 4 ..0 2 6 ..7 j 8 ..0 3 . .9 1 7 .,2 8 4 . 92 . | 1 0 ..1 6 ..7 2 7 ..4 3 ..2 37 . .5 | .4 4. 7 . .3 17 , .8 5 5 ..5 | 46, .8 3 8 ,.2 j 4 ..6 5 ..0 2 3 ..3 2 ..4 2 9 ..0 j 6 ..1 8 ..5 16 , .9 .0 33 , j 3 4 ,.7 2 9 .7 1 j 5 ..0 4 ..4 6 ..8 1 3 ,.9 3 6 ,.8 1 3 9 ,.6 2 2 .9 7 ..0 1 4 ,.5 47 , .9 | 46, .4 27 , .5 1 j 4 ..1 5 ..4 7 ..0 1 7 ,.6 5 0 ,.1 | .7 37, 4 1 .2 8 ..4 1 7 ,.4 3 9 ,.2 j 3 7 ,.7 3 2 .6 6 2 .. 4 9 j 8 ..0 3 ..3 23 . .8 2 ..4 2 4 ..9 1 7 3 .. 8 3 | 9 ..2 6 ..3 1 9 ..7 2 ..7 3 6 ..0 Ql... 1 7 8 .. 8 0 1 7 ..1 5..9 3 0 ..0 7 . .1 2 8 ..6 Q2... | . 70. 30 j 5 ..3 4 ..6 2 9 ..5 5 ..4 2 5 ..6 8 ..9 7 . ,1 , 7 0 . 77 Q4. . . Q3 . . . 1998 6 ..1 5 .,1 4 ..7 6 4 .. 4 4 Q4. . . 1997 1 1 8 ., 9 6 7 4 ., 7 2 Q3. . . 9 ESTIMATES FROM T A B L E I.D THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE AVERAGE MATURITY OF BY ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK PURPOSE OF LOANS TO LOANS MADE FARMERS (MONTHS) BY LOAN LOAN OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER 1 to 9 10 to 24 SIZE OF ($1,000s) 25 to 99 BY OF SIZE BANK 100 and over ANNUAL AVERAGE MATURITY | | 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1 I 1 1 | 1 1 1 | 1 8 .0 8 .4 8 .7 .1 7 .5 7 .3 8 .9 9 .2 io .3 9 .9 8 .5 9 .9 8 | 5. 8 1 1 | 5. 5 6. 4 6.8 6. 0 6. 7 6. 1 7. 3 7. 6 8. 7 7. 8 9. 1 1 1 1 1 | 1 1 1 MATURITY OF 1996 Q2 . . . Q3 . . . Q4. . . 1 1 1997 Ql. . . Q2 . . . | 11, ,7 1 03... Q4 . . . 1 j 11. 0 8. 8 7. 9 | j 10. 6 10. 4 1998 01... 02... | 7, 1 . ,8 7, .4 8, | j 16 . 1 5 .2 | 6 .3 7 .7 4 .7 7 .4 8 .8 8 .5 9 .5 9 .6 9 .8 9 .9 11,.3 11,.0 7 .6 7 .6 8 .5 7 .2 7 .5 7 .2 8 .6 8 .3 8 .6 8 .5 7 .6 10,,7 LOANS MADE DURING 21 22 19 18 .0 .8 .8 .7 2 1 .9 2 4 .6 20,.1 30,.4 36,.6 26,.5 29..4 30.,6 FIRST FULL WEEK 8 .8 12 .1 10 .9 11 .8 6 .4 5 .3 9 .4 9 .4 9 .4 10 .0 9 .2 7,.4 OF 6 .8 7 .5 7 .1 7 .4 7 .4 7 .7 8 .3 8 .5 8 .6 9 .0 8,.6 8,.8 8.0 8.1 9.2 8.3 9.2 8.3 9.7 10.0 11.6 10.8 10.5 11.6 9 .8 9 .3 10 .2 9 .3 11 .9 10 .6 11,. 1 11,.1 13,.5 12,.1 12,.1 12,.4 7 8 7 7 . 1 .3 .7 . 1 4 .9 5 .8 7 .2 7 .4 7,.2 8,.2 7,.3 8,•8 | j j j j j j j j j j 5 5 8 7 | .5 .9 .1 .8 4 .7 5 .2 6,.4 6 .4 5 .8 7 .3 , 6,.4 7,.6 8 .8 9 .3 8 .8 8 .2 10,.2 9 .6 10,.1 10,.4 12..6 11..4 12 . .3 12,.8 S E C O N D M O N T H O F Q U A R T E R ,, A N N U A L R A T E 6 .4 7 . .4 10.,8 10. 9 6..0 10..0 9. 2 35. 7 28. 0 28. 5 5.,8 5.,3 7.,0 9., 8 8.,2 7 . 1 , 10.7 9.1 9.4 13.,0 11. 2 11. 1 5. 6 6.,7 7 .6 | j j 5., 1 6., 1 6. 4 12.. 7 12 .5 11. 1 1 | 14 .6 7 .2 10. 0 13. 5 12. 2 13. 6 5 .3 7 .4 9. 4 11. 1 9. 5 6. 7 8. 5 6. 8 7. 8 6. 3 9.,5 9. 5 8.,4 7. 5 11.8 12.6 10.7 11.0 13. 4 14. 1 10. 9 10. 6 11. 3 9. 1 7. 8 6. 6 | j j j 9. 1 6. 6 7. 6 6. 8 14 .2 15. 5 | j 34 . 1 32. 1 23. 2 31. 8 1 | 8 .1 7 .8 12. 1 7. 5 9. 9 10. 4 23 .9 33 . 1 8. 2 9. 1 9. 8 13.1 11.3 13. 2 13. 8 9. 5 8. 8 | j 7. 4 6. 6 6. 8 10. 8 9. 6 13. 4 14. 5 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.E AVERAGE EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE ON LOANS MADE OTHER FEEDER ALL LIVESTOCK LOANS FARM CURRENT OPERATING MACHINERY AND EXPENSES OTHER LIVESTOCK BY SIZE OF BANK BY SIZE OF LOAN ($l,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN EQUIPMENT 1 10 25 100 to to to 9 OTHER 24 99 and over LARGE OTHER ,6 9. 9. ,2 10..2 12 . 1 , ANNUAL AVERAGE INTEREST RATE 1986 1 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1 j 1 1995 1996 1997 j 9 .5 8 .4 9 .2 10.,8 11,.1 11..4 .7 12 . 9.,9 1 0 .,8 1 | j 11.,5 ,7 9. 9. ,0 12..7 12 . ,4 11.,2 9..3 8,,7 | j j 9. .1 10,.6 10,.2 10,.2 8,.8 8,.6 9.,2 7..1 6..9 7,.3 10,.5 10,.1 10,.0 10,.3 9,.8 9,.9 9..0 7,.8 8,.8 11.,5 12..2 11..2 | 10.,8 11. 2 12., 6 11. 7 11..5 11..7 9..5 10..7 j .8 12 . .3 12 . 11.,0 8.,6 8.,1 8..0 10. 4 8.,8 8.. 1 8..4 11..3 9,.3 8..7 8,.6 12..3 10..7 8,,6 6..3 6..2 7,.0 10..2 9..5 9..8 10..0 8,, 6 9..9 10,.3 9 .7 9 .8 8,.8 8 .0 8 .5 9,,6 11..8 11.,3 11..6 j j j 11. 9 10. 2 11. 9 12. 4 12.,0 10.,1 8.,8 11..2 12.. 5 11..4 .8 9. 7, .8 7 .5 7..8 12..0 ,4 12. 11. .6 11. ,7 12. .8 12. ,5 11., 1 10. 7 10. 9 12. 3 11. 5 10. 2 8. 2 8..0 8.,3 11 .5 10,.6 j 12,.1 10,.7 8,.8 8,.3 12. 2 1 0 .,9 1 j j j | j j j j 1 j | 12., 1 10. ,9 9. .0 6. .8 6. .7 7, .2 11.,3 11.,6 12 .7 12. 3 11. 3 9.,4 8,, 7 8,.8 .0 9, 7 .8 8 .7 10,.4 1 0 .0 10 .0 AVERAGE RATE ON LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1996 8. 1 8.,6 ,7 8. | j 9..3 8.,0 8.,9 9..6 7. 9 9.,7 9.,8 9.,9 8.,1 7. 9 | j 10. 2 10. 2 10..1 9.,9 7..4 7.,4 10., 1 10.,1 9.,8 7..9 8..1 10. 2 j 9. 5 9..6 9.,8 9.,3 8.,0 j 10.,1 10..1 9..7 8,.2 8..0 9. 9 I j j j 9. 2 9..7 9,.7 9..6 10,.0 10,.0 9,.6 9.,8 10..0 10..0 9.,7 9..9 9,.8 9,.9 8.,5 8,. 5 | j 8..6 8..6 10., 1 j j 9..8 10.. 1 10.. 1 10,.0 8,.8 8 .6 8,.5 8,.5 10. ,1 10. ,2 10. ,2 10. .2 9..7 10..0 | 9. 1 9..3 9..4 .2 9. 10,.0 9,.8 8 .9 8 .7 8,.9 8,.6 10..1 10..1 1998 1 1 .1 9, .2 9, | | 9,.6 9,.6 9 .9 9,.8 9,.7 9,.3 8,.0 | 10. .2 10,.0 8,.3 | 10. .1 9,.9 9 .8 9 .8 8 .6 9,.5 8 .2 8 .5 9 .9 9 .9 I 04.. . 1997 02.. . Q3 . . . 1 oi... 02... 03.. . 04.. . 1 01.. . 02.. . 9,.7 9 .9 9..9 8 .6 9.,8 11 E S T I M A T E S FROM T H E Q U A R T E R L Y S A M P L E S U R V E Y OF B A N K N O N - R E A L - E S T A T E L O A N S TO F A R M E R S T A B L E I.F P E R C E N T A G E OF L O A N S M A D E W I T H A F L O A T I N G INTEREST R A T E BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN OTHER ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES 12 BY SIZE OF BANK FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER ANNUAL PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE 1986 1 5 3 ,.4 6 0 .5 3 4 .8 5 7 .2 3 0 .9 5 0 .6 | 4 0 .6 4 1 .8 4 8 .2 6 3 .7 7 1 .9 1987 4 7 ,.0 1 5 9 ,.5 5 1 .6 6 9 ,.6 6 2 .1 5 5 .5 6 2 .1 j 4 8 ,.5 4 5 ,.6 5 4 .4 6 8 .5 7 7 .6 1988 4 9 ,.9 | 61, .4 6 5 .3 3 9 .5 6 3 ,.8 5 4 ,.9 6 3 .2 4 9 ,.3 5 1 ,.5 6 0 ,.8 6 7 ,.0 1989 j 6 1 ..0 7 9 .1 5 2 .,6 7 1 ,.4 4 0 ..0 5 9 ,.7 3 2 ,.9 7 3 ,.6 5 0 .. 4 4 9 ,.6 5 8 ,.5 6 9 .1 | 8 3 .6 4 7 ..2 1 1990 j 6 5 ..2 7 6 ,.8 6 1 ..6 6 8 ,.3 4 0 ,.0 5 1 ,.2 5 3 ..6 5 9 ..2 6 6 ..0 6 7 .5 1991 j 6 5 ..1 1 6 9 .4 5 9 ..3 8 1 ,.5 6 9 ..3 6 8 .8 4 0 ,.6 5 0 ,.3 5 2 ..0 5 9 ..0 6 4 ..0 6 7 ,.8 | 70, .0 1992 1 7 1 .,7 5 6 ..1 7 8 ,.5 6 3 ..5 6 6 ..3 4 7 ..8 7 5 ,.3 j 1993 j 7 6 .,7 8 4 ,.6 7 0 ..0 7 0 ..3 4 8 ..2 7 8 ..1 1994 1 75. 1 8 2 ..9 7 4 ..3 7 2 .,3 5 1 ..6 7 5 ..7 1995 j 73. 8 83 . .9 7 5 ..9 7 3 ..0 5 3 ..1 7 2 ..2 1996 j 63. 1 5 8 ..1 71. 2 6 7 .,3 3 2 ..9 6 1 ..4 j 6 0 ..6 1997 j 65. 8 6 6 ..4 73. 2 6 7 ..8 4 9 ..9 6 4 ..3 j 6 0 ..1 5 9 ..1 6 1 ,.2 7 8 ,.6 6 1 ..0 6 4 ..5 8 3 ..9 5 8 ..6 j 5 7 ..3 6 0 ..1 1 5 9 ..8 7 0 ..4 8 0 ..2 6 1 .,7 6 3 .,9 7 3 ..6 7 6 ..7 6 1 .,5 6 9 .,1 6 2 ,.2 5 8 .,0 6 8 .,0 6 7 ..0 8 2 ..9 5 5 .,5 8 6 ,.9 5 8 .,9 83, .7 5 9 .,7 7 9 ,.9 | 6 2 ..3 6 5 ,.4 5 7 .,9 | 71. .4 57. 9 AVERAGE PERCENTAGE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER 02... 6 1 .9 8 5 .9 8 2 ,.0 6 2 .4 2 6 .9 5 5 .8 | 5 5 .3 3 4 .8 7 6 ,.3 7 0 .5 3 2 .2 5 6 .5 Q4. . . 1997 | 03... j 6 4 ,.8 5 7 .0 7 5 ,.1 7 1 ,.0 3 1 ,.2 6 4 .4 | 1 Ql. . . | 71. .2 7 2 .6 7 5 ..0 6 7 ,.3 5 2 ..0 7 4 .7 Q2. . . j 7 5 ..6 6 4 ,.6 6 7 ..1 6 1 ..9 4 5 ..1 | 57. ,2 7 2 ,.2 6 9 .,9 6 9 .,7 4 6 .,9 j 5 8 .,5 5 5 ..4 78. 0 7 3 .,4 5 4 .,5 4 8 ..0 oi... | 56. ,6 5 9 .,4 56. 6 7 0 .,2 5 8 ..1 02... 1 5 4 .,6 7 6 ..2 60. 1 6 8 .,1 48. 2 6 3 .9 6 9 .2 6 0 .3 1 6 3 .7 5 6 ,.4 6 3 .3 73 , .0 4 8 .7 j 5 4 .8 5 6 ,.9 58, .3 5 6 .2 6 6 ,.7 6 6 .1 | 71, .1 5 4 .3 5 9 ..8 5 6 ,.3 6 9 ,.2 7 4 ,.7 | 81, .3 5 8 ..9 6 0 ..1 3 9 ..8 04... 61, .8 6 2 ,.7 9 2 ..4 03... 1998 | 5 6 ,.3 6 7 ..7 8 7 ,.4 j 8 9 ,.9 5 8 ..8 5 9 .,2 6 2 ..3 6 2 .,4 5 4 ..0 j 6 0 ,.3 5 1 ..9 j 6 1 ..6 5 7 ..7 7 2 ..2 5 4 ..2 j 5 7 ..2 6 0 ..6 4 1 .,2 1 6 0 .,5 5 6 ..7 6 7 .,0 5 2 ..6 1 5 3 ..9 5 9 .,1 3 4 ..9 j 5 8 .,0 5 0 ..5 6 1 .,9 5 1 ..7 1 5 7 .,6 51. 1 Table l.G Effective interest rate (percent) All Loans PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS MADE BY BANKS. 1 BY EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE Memo: Perecentage Distribution of Number of Loans, May 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Feb 98 May 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 - 4 - - 11 4 4 - 11 13 14 23 Under 5 percent - - - 5.0 to 5.9 - - - 1 6.0 to 6.9 - - - - - - - - - 14 * * * * 3 14 6 3 1 * 7.0 to 7.9 1 - - 30 18 22 21 14 19 11 14 1 2 8.0 to 8.9 10 - - 17 23 18 22 11 15 20 31 17 18 9.0 to 9.9 20 - 1 9 17 16 20 35 18 30 30 39 40 10.0 to 1 0 . 9 . . . 27 5 8 22 10 20 4 24 15 21 14 28 26 11.0 to 11.9. . . 23 8 33 8 7 5 2 11 3 9 7 11 12 12.0 to 1 2 . 9 . . . 15 39 39 2 1 1 * 1 1 2 1 2 2 13.0 to 1 3 . 9 . . . 3 34 14 - - - * 1 * * * * * 14.0 to 14.9 . . . - 8 5 - - - * * * * * 15.0 to 15.9 . . . - 4 - - - - — - - * * * * 16.0 to 1 6 . 9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - 17.0 to 17.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 18.0 to 18.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 19.0 to 1 9 . 9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - * * * 20.0 to 20.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - — - 21.0 to 21.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 22.0 to 22.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 23.0 to 23.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 24.0 to 24.9 . . . - - - — - - - - - - - - - 25.0 and over . . - - - - - - - - - — - - - 1 * - * 1. Percentage distribution of the estimated total dollar amount of non-real-estate farm loans of $1,000 or more made by insured commercial banks during the week covered by the survey, which is the first full business week of the month specified. Data are estimates from the Federal Reserve survey of terms of bank lending to farmers. Percentages may not add to 100 percent because of rounding. * indicates less than .5 percent. TABLE I.H.I SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 4-8, 1998 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) LI sizes $1- 9 $10- 24 $25- 49 $50- 99 $100-249 $250 and over 610,867 52,133 20.33 9.56 2.93 109,371 29, 022 9 .95 4 .53 2 .55 176, 274 12, 233 13 .03 6 .71 2 .59 156, 393 4, 767 18 .81 7 .82 2 .66 223, 976 3, 342 23 .48 10 .51 2 .72 291,616 2,027 21.71 11.36 2.77 653,238 742 22.73 10.48 3.25 9.13 0.14 10 .10 0 .08 9 .91 0 .09 9 .95 0 .08 9 .71 0 .09 9.40 0.08 8.25 0.17 9.93 8.27 10 .72 9 .53 10 .50 9 .38 10 .51 9 .29 10 .41 8 .86 9.93 8.84 8.84 7.37 9.57 9.92 9.74 9.53 8.65 8.27 10 .04 10 .31 10 .09 10 .34 9 .06 9 .77 10 .03 10 .23 9 .99 9 .65 8 .99 9 .77 9 .54 10 .20 10 .15 9 .84 9 .72 9 .35 9 .83 10 .06 9 .84 9 .70 8 .76 9 .35 9.54 9.63 9.61 9.15 9.02 8.98 9.29 8.92 8.85 8.15 8.42 7.96 54 .58 78 .43 19 .30 8 .05 56 .88 71 .57 22 .00 0 .22 49 .87 66 .27 21, .51 2 .38 61 .34 64 .50 23 .30 2 .05 58 .90 59, .89 21, .02 0. .49 65, 15 . 78, .25 18, .69 6, .36 47 92 16 15 6 .42 5, .54 38 .38 6 .56 10, .15 32. .95 3 .40 7 .80 72, 18 . 8, .61 1, .04 6, .98 5, .66 9, .10 58, .81 13, .96 2, .95 9. .52 5, .90 11, 16 . 53, .24 8. ,96 6. .48 14. ,26 8. .76 6. ,74 53. .53 13. ,31 6. .82 ,84 10. 7, .59 8. 10 . 49. ,59 6. ,27 8. .93 19. ,51 5 1 13 1 16 61 16, ,36 59. ,57 5. 23 84. 72 8. 91 81. 99 10. ,20 81. 08 14. 17 77. 03 19. 59 72. 80 21 32 ALL BANKS 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans Number of loans Weighted average Weighted average Weighted average (thousands) 1 maturity (months) repricing interval (months)2 risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 93 31 44 46 TABLE I.H.2 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 4-8, 1998 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) all sizes $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over LARGE FARM LENDERS' 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans Number of loans Weighted average Weighted average Weighted average (thousands) 1 maturity (months) repricing interval (months)2 risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan Feeder livestock 9 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 71,375 100 2,: 13 .70 4 .34 3 .03 96,! 510 473 1,13 .76 3 . 17 3 . 17 175,503 1, 193 17.18 5.38 3.19 526,282 607 7.90 3.06 3.46 9 .92 0 .09 9 .78 0 .07 9 .52 0 . 10 9.30 0.13 8.22 0.18 10 . 64 9 .46 10 .52 9 .31 10 .43 9 .11 9.93 8.77 8.84 7.25 9.30 9.23 9.52 9.22 8.99 8.25 9 . 66 9 .67 10 .15 10 .16 9 .31 9 .92 9 .72 9 .91 9 .99 10 .14 9 .05 9 .71 9 .53 9 .36 9 .96 9 .63 9 .97 9 .49 9 .35 9 .24 9 .68 9 .89 9 . 14 9 .21 9.17 9.19 9.48 8.92 8.47 9.17 9.02 8.92 8.85 8.15 9.08 8.00 56 .53 89. .19 .69 14. .31 2. 76, .65 89. .81 ,35 28. 0. ,28 45 72 . 87. .59 32. ,78 0. ,37 79. 01 85. 13 31. ,11 0. 79 83. .63 , 83. 16 18. ,88 ,13 1. .27 80, 82. .95 26. .10 2. .23 37 93 4 3 13 3 .86 .19 4. 35. .45 3. .30 3, .47 32 .95 3, ,24 5. .32 73 . .03 6. .15 .73 1, 6 .98 6. 18 . 4. ,88 65. 15 , 6. ,54 1. ,24 .52 9, .25 9. ,57 5. 58. 66 , ,74 5. ,98 1, 14 ,26 , 7. .66 7. 90 , .84 54, ,74 6, 3, .40 .84 10. .15 5. 8. .77 52 .92 3. .09 4 .40 , .51 19 , 1.77 1 1 62 16 68 1 81 3 77 61 10. .27 53. .44 .80 5. 82 , .36 7 . 87 80, .31 ,87 8, 77 , ,66 , 11. 39 . 73. 18 . 13 , 53 73 .82 9 78 34 970,244 19,827 10.76 3.60 3.30 37,907 io,: 115 8 .79 2 . 12 2 .92 8.84 0.20 10 .07 0 . 10 9.58 7.96 62,667 339 4,: 10 . 64 3 . 88 2 . 93 10 .12 8 .84 TABLE I.H.3 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 4-8, 1998 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) $10- 24 640, 623 32,306 34 .49 18 .47 2 .36 71,464 18,906 10 .56 5 .79 2 .35 113, 607 7, 894 14 .30 8 .25 2 .38 9 .57 0 .20 10 .11 0 .09 10 .25 8 .50 10 .75 9 .58 9 .72 10 .49 10 .02 9 . 66 8 .57 8 .48 10 10 10 10 8 9 51 62 26 16 46 61 18 0 $25- 49 99 i in $1- 9 o .1 sizes $ 1 0 0 - 249 $250 and over OTHER BANKS 7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans Number of loans Weighted average Weighted average Weighted average (thousands) maturity (months)1 repricing interval (months) 2 risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 Standard error 5 7 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H .64 .13 .27 .74 85,018 2, 667 22 .94 10 .67 2 .35 127,466 1, 869 30 .67 16 .03 2 .32 116,113 835 28 .41 20 .44 2 .16 126,956 135 83.00 40.66 2.54 10 .10 0 .13 9 .85 0 .16 9 .55 0 .30 8.36 0.13 10 .50 9 .39 10 .70 9 .50 10 .69 9 .06 9 .96 9 .05 8.27 8.27 .23 .51 .06 .39 .73 .61 10 .23 10 .31 9 .99 9 .55 8 . 97 9 . 87 9 .58 10 .45 10 .35 9 .93 9 .67 9 .15 10 . 13 10 . 91 9 .97 9 .65 8 .65 9 .85 9 .80 10 .46 9 .82 9 .25 9 .25 8 .22 9.38 .40 .90 .63 .18 37 54 15 3 46 .52 47 .18 16 .75 3 . 11 40 42 22 11 .17 .28 .64 .48 42 71 7 73 .29 .13 .49 .93 90.78 90.78 67.61 23.17 9 .91 0 . 12 .42 .50 .30 .50 8.27 6.44 10 .29 7 .60 42 .80 11..50 20,.26 32,,95 3 .48 , 9, .12 71..73 9. ,92 ,67 0. 6. ,98 5 .37 11 .43 55 .31 18 .05 3 .90 9 .52 3 .08 15 .85 48 .70 11 .66 10 .26 14 .26 9 .59 5 .86 52 .54 18 .29 9 .41 10 .84 11 7 44 11 15 19 .28 .10 .56 .08 .77 .51 67.61 61.68 25.,58 68.,85 4. 93 85. 97 9 .49 82 .92 11 .32 83 .96 16 .27 79 .94 28 .74 71 .26 67.61 23.17 TABLE I.H.4 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 4-8, 1998 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low 168,488 6,922 17, .49 9. .93 1. .00 177,183 11,957 19 .62 6 .97 2 .00 Moderate Acceptable 629,283 17,717 27, .55 14 .23 , 3 .00 263,053 4,741 .17 9. .74 3. 4. .00 Special Not Rated Not Reported ALL BANKS 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans Number of loans Weighted average Weighted average Weighted average (thousands) maturity (months)1 repricing interval (months)2 risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) Standard error 5 7 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 4 610,867 52,133 20 .33 9 .56 2 .93 77,811 1,328 21 .28 1 .32 5 .00 20,905 656 13 . 14 0 .43 - 274,145 8,811 16.58 8.89 - 9 .13 0 .14 9. .42 0. .10 9 .69 0 .08 8 .88 .26 0, 8. .77 0, .21 9 .81 0 .20 9 .70 0 .56 9 .93 8 .27 .84 9, 8. .85 10 .15 9 .19 9 .92 8 .22 9. .28 7. .90 10 .46 8 .84 9 .92 8 .84 9.95 8.84 9 .57 10 .08 9 .54 9 .28 9 .04 8 .82 .49 9, 10 .13 9 .75 9 .96 9 .22 9 .46 9 .55 10 .26 9 .95 9 .48 8 .43 7 .86 9 .63 8 .95 9 .69 10 .03 8 .20 8 .35 .41 9, .04 9, 10, .20 10, .39 9 .91 9 .39 9 .81 9 .57 9 .71 9 .96 9 .87 9 .76 9 .43 9 .48 8 .99 8 .64 9.92 9.74 9.53 8.65 8.27 9.30 54 .58 78 .43 19 .30 8 .05 58 .08 60 .97 19 .01 0 .63 61 .88 75 .16 25 .22 0 .06 50 .40 82 .74 25 .56 19 .45 46 .05 87 .58 6 .27 0 .83 66 .81 85 .12 9 . 13 4 .96 96 .39 93 .22 1 .20 58.86 69.55 18.02 6 .42 5 .54 38 .38 6 .56 10 .15 32 .95 30 .04 5 .29 38 . 13 4 .39 18 .48 3 .68 10 . 61 8 . 11 58 .40 4 .86 9 .57 8 .45 3 .55 4 .48 30 .46 7 .47 16 .52 37 .52 0 .35 2 . 66 29 .21 0 . 69 1 .93 65 .17 1 .95 3 .81 48 .50 2 .05 2 .08 41 .60 44 .09 6 .80 85 .90 0 .73 22 .73 6 .57 9.65 46.06 14.27 16 .36 59 .57 17 .30 77 .89 12 .92 78 .46 27 .99 45 .95 6 .05 33 .82 14 .93 51 .01 2 .36 93 .86 2.67 91.90 - 9 .72 - 9.28 0.16 - - 24.92 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 17 18 TABLE I.H.5 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 4-8, 1998 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All LARGE 1 2 3 4 5 FARM Amount of loans Number of loans Weighted average Weighted average Weighted average Low Moderate Acceptable Special Not Rated Not Reported LENDERS7 (thousands) maturity (months)1 repricing interval (months)2 risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent) 4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H Minimal 970,244 19,827 10.76 3.60 3.30 27,272 1,140 33.35 12.34 1.00 73,467 3,392 10.61 3. .94 .00 2. 390,962 8,084 11.03 4.98 3.00 239,089 2,875 8.40 2.95 4.00 63,327 938 6.26 03 00 19,402 426 13.54 0.18 156,725 2,972 11.09 0.90 8.84 0.20 8.78 0.13 ,44 ,15 8.68 0.33 8.58 0.22 84 28 9. 67 0.77 8.87 0.32 9 .58 7 .96 9 .24 8 .26 9 .96 8 .84 9 .65 7 .25 8 .97 7 .90 10 .77 8 .84 9 .92 8 .84 9 8 8 .80 10 .01 9 .03 8 .61 8 .58 8 .16 9 .38 10, .03 .38 9, 9 .89 9, .74 .41 9, 9 .29 9 .34 9 .77 9 . 12 9 .21 7 .81 9 .28 8 .94 9 .27 10 .58 8 .20 8 .34 9 .81 8 .89 10, .46 10 .39 9 . 91 9 .42 10 . 12 9 .17 9 .07 8 .88 8, 85 . 8, .58 9 9 9 8 8 9 56 .53 89 . 19 14, .69 2, .31 49. ,93 40. 18 , 26. ,96 3. ,86 73 , .11 88 .38 38, .12 21, .41 44, .01 89, .14 16, .16 0. .56 44, .79 90, .61 3, .56 1. .43 60, .20 84. .95 7, .64 99. .08 98. ,86 1. ,29 3, ,86 4 , 19 35. ,45 3, .30 3. ,47 32. ,95 14 . 21 3. ,21 38. 33 8. 58 23. 98 3. 68 18, .79 3, .28 55. .24 3. .72 3 ,85 . 8. ,45 4. .45 2. .36 .69 32. 5. ,65 3. ,88 37. ,52 0. .24 2. .91 23. .12 0. .26 2. .12 65. ,17 2, .40 4, .33 37. .99 2. .52 2. .56 41. .60 1. .63 7. ,32 85. .60 13. 48 12. 77 6. 57 10. 27 53. ,44 22. 51 70. 94 8. ,47 79. ,23 17. ,59 ,89 44. 4. ,92 29. ,04 7. ,19 51. .47 2. 55 93. 38 9 .57 9 . 68 - 9 .72 92 96 19 10 44 24 1 92 52 22 99 25 72 26 TABLE II.C ESTIMATED NET CHARGE-OFFS OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* CHARGE-OFFS AS A PERCENTAGE OF SUCH LOANS OUTSTANDING ESTIMATED AMOUNT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL TOTAL Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 ANNUAL TOTAL 01 Q2 Q3 Q4 1991 105 12 25 36 32 0.32 0. 0 4 0. 0 8 0. 1 0 0. 09 1992 82 14 20 29 18 0.24 0 ., 0 4 0 .. 0 6 0 ., 0 8 0 ., 0 5 0.15 0 ., 0 2 0 ,. 0 5 0 .. 0 1 0 .. 0 7 1993 54 7 16 5 26 1994 69 10 11 15 33 0.19 0 .. 0 3 0,. 0 3 0 ,. 0 4 0 ,. 0 8 0.13 - 0 ,. 0 0 0 .. 0 4 0 ,. 0 3 0 ,. 0 6 1995 51 -2 14 13 25 1996 95 16 27 24 30 0.24 0,. 0 4 0,. 0 7 0,. 0 6 0,. 0 7 1997 93 50 0.23 0,. 0 1 0 .05 0 .05 0 .11 0 .01 * * * * * * 1998 6 19 4 * * 19 * * * Data are estimates of the national cnarge-orrs 01 tarm non-ieai-ca vauc xucno --~ 90 percent of the outstanding national volume of such loans. Additional uncertainty of the estimates arises because small banks report only charge-offs of 'agricultural' loans as defined by each bank for its internal purposes. Banks first reported these data on the March 1984 Report of Income. T A B L E II.B ESTIMATED DELINQUENT FARM NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS A S P E R C E N T A G E OF O U T S T A N D I N G F A R M P R O D U C T I O N B I L L I O N S OF D O L L A R S NONPERFORMING NONPERFORMING TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL ,7 3. 3. ,1 .2 3. .8 2. .2 2, 2 .0 2 .1 2 .4 2 .0 1. 3 1. 3 ,3 1. ,0 1. ,8 0, 0, .9 0, .9 .2 1, 0 .9 2. 3 1. 9 ,9 1. ,8 1. 1, .4 1, .1 1. .1 1 .3 1 .1 0. 5 0. 3 ,3 0. 0. .3 .2 0, 0, .2 0, .3 .3 0, 0 .2 1. 9 , 1. 6 1. 6 ,5 1. .2 1. 0, .9 0, .9 1, .0 0 .9 TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL December 31 of year indicated 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1. 1 1. 0 ,1 1. .0 1. ,8 0, .8 0. .8 0. .0 1, 0 .9 0. 4 0. .4 .4 0. 0, .3 ,3 0. .3 0, .4 0. 0 .5 0 .4 0. ,7 0. ,6 ,7 0, 0. .6 0, .5 0 .4 0 .4 0 .5 0 .5 0. 1 0. ,1 0. ,1 ,1 0. 0, .1 0. .1 .1 0, 0, .1 0 .1 0. 6 ,5 0. 0. .5 0. .5 0. .4 0, .3 0, .3 0 .4 0 .4 End of quarter 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.9 2.3 1.9 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 3.4 2.8 2.3 2.4 1.8 1.2 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9 1998 Ql. 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 3.3 2.4 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 3.2 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.9 Data are estimates of the national totals for farm non-real-estate loans. After 1984, estimates are based on reports from banks that hold more than 90 percent of such loans. Earlier, only large banks that held about one-fourth of such loans reported nonaccrual and renegotiated farm loans; for other banks,estimates of delinquent farm loans are based on a study of 2 5 delinquent total loans at these banks. TABLE II.A LOAN VOLUME, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS TOTAL LOANS 1989 Q3. 04. 1990 Ql. Q2. Q3. 04. 1991 Ql. Q2. 03. 04. 1992 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1993 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1994 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1995 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1996 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1997 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 1998 Ql. 24 FARM DEBT OUTSTANDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS, END OF QUARTER REAL ESTATE LOANS NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER TOTAL LOANS 2.1 | 4 8 . 0 1 6 . 5 3 1 . 5 j 4 7 . 4 16.6 3 0 . 8 -1.2 4 6 . 1 16.8 2 9 . 3 -2.8 4 9 . 0 1 7 . 1 3 1 . 9 6 . 4 5 0 . 5 1 7 . 3 3 3 . 2 5 0 . 1 1 7 . 2 3 2 . 9 -0.8 4 9 . 5 - 1 . 3 3 . 1 REAL ESTATE LOANS 1.2 NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR TOTAL LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS 4 . 1 7 . 6 2 . 4 0 . 9 -2.2 4 . 9 8.0 3 . 3 0 . 7 - 4 . 7 4 . 3 5 . 9 3 . 4 8 . 7 4 . 3 5 . 1 3 . 9 2.2 1.1 -0.6 2 . 5 4 . 1 5 . 3 5 . 0 5 . 5 - 0 . 9 5 . 7 3 . 5 6 . 9 9 . 1 1 7 . 5 3 2 . 0 1 . 5 7 . 4 4 . 3 18.1 3 4 . 5 6.2 -2.8 5 2 . 6 3 . 4 7 . 7 7 . 2 5 . 5 1 8 . 3 3 5 . 6 2 . 5 1 . 4 3 . 1 6.6 8.1 5 3 . 9 5 . 8 7 . 1 5 3 . 0 1 8 . 4 3 4 . 6 -1.6 0.6 - 2 . 7 5 . 7 7 . 0 5 . 1 5 1 . 9 1 8 . 9 3 3 . 0 -2.1 2 . 7 - 4 . 6 4 . 9 5 5 . 1 1 9 . 5 3 5 . 6 6.2 3 . 3 7 . 8 4 . 9 5 6 . 2 1 9 . 9 3 6 . 2 1 . 9 1 . 9 1 . 9 4 . 2 8.2 8.1 8.6 5 4 . 5 1 9 . 9 3 4 . 7 - 2 . 9 - 4 . 4 2 . 9 7 . 8 5 2 . 8 20.0 3 2 . 8 - 3 . 2 0 . 5 - 5 . 3 1 . 7 5 . 6 - 0 . 5 5 6 . 0 2 0 . 6 3 5 . 4 6.0 3 . 1 7 . 8 5 . 4 -0.6 5 8 . 0 2 0 . 8 3 7 . 1 3 . 5 1.2 1.6 4 . 9 3 . 2 4 . 7 2 . 4 5 7 . 7 2 0 . 9 3 6 . 8 - 0 . 5 6.2 5 6 . 8 2 1 . 2 3 5 . 5 —1 . 5 61.1 2 1 . 9 3 9 . 2 7 . 6 3 . 2 6 3 . 0 2 2 . 4 4 0 . 6 3 . 1 2.2 6 1 . 3 22.6 3 8 . 7 - 2 . 7 5 9 . 9 2 2 . 9 3 6 . 9 - 2 . 3 6 3 . 5 2 3 . 6 4 0 . 0 6 5 . 3 2 3 . 8 4 1 . 5 2 . 9 6 3 . 7 2 3 . 9 3 9 . 8 - 2 . 5 6 1 . 7 2 4 . 0 3 7 . 7 6 5 . 7 2 4 . 7 4 1 . 0 66.6 2 4 . 9 6 5 . 5 6.1 -0.2 3 . 1 3 . 2 1 . 9 0.2 0.1 -0.8 5 . 8 5 . 0 1.8 - 3 . 4 7 . 6 6 . 4 8 . 3 10.2 9 . 1 6 . 4 1 0 . 7 3 . 6 8 . 7 7 . 5 9 . 3 6.2 8.2 5 . 2 0 . 7 - 4 . 6 1.6 - 4 . 6 2 . 7 1.1 5 . 4 8.2 8.0 4 . 0 7 . 5 2.0 3 . 9 3 . 9 3 . 7 6 . 3 2 . 3 0 . 4 - 4 . 1 3 . 9 5 . 9 2.8 - 3 . 1 0 . 5 - 5 . 3 3 . 1 4 . 8 2.0 6 . 5 2 . 7 8 . 9 3 . 4 4 . 7 2 . 7 4 1 . 6 1 . 3 1 . 5 1 . 9 4 . 7 0 . 3 2 5 . 0 4 0 . 5 -1.6 1.1 6 3 . 8 2 5 . 4 3 8 . 4 -2.6 6 9 . 0 26.2 4 2 . 8 8.2 7 1 . 1 2 7 . 0 4 4 . 2 3 . 0 2 . 9 3 . 1 6.8 6.2 8.1 7 1 . 3 2 7 . 1 4 4 . 2 0 . 3 0 . 7 0.0 8 . 9 8 . 5 9 . 1 7 0 . 1 2 7 . 6 4 2 . 4 - 1 . 7 9 . 8 9 . 0 1 0 . 4 0 . 3 -2.8 2.8 4 . 6 1.8 1 . 4 - 5 . 1 3 . 4 5 . 5 2.0 3 . 3 1 1 . 5 5 . 1 1.8 - 3 . 9 4 . 4 6.0 SECTION II: (continued) Recent Developments: Loans outstanding: During the first quarter of 1998, the volume of farm loans. both those secured by farm real estate and other farm loans, continued to surge relative to the comparable period of the preceeding year. Indeed, at the end of March 1998, the yearly change in total farm loans was 9.8 percent, a rate of increase not seen in more than a decade. Problem loans: Compared with one year earlier, the dollar volume of delinquent farm non-real-estate loans in March 1998 was unchanged. However, there was a slight uptick in loans that were past due from 1 to 3 months, hinting that some farmers may be beginning to have difficulties meeting their payments. Net chargeoffs of farm non-real-estate loans in the first quarter were quite low. After retreating a bit in 1995 and 1996, the proportion of agricultural banks that reported a level of nonperforming loans that was less than 2 percent of total loans advanced more than 1-1/2 percentage points from the first-quarter 1997 reading. Performance of agricultural banks: The average rate of return on assets at agricultural banks for the first quarter of 1998 was 0.3 percent, identical to the first-quarter readings recorded since 1992. The capital ratio for agricultural banks edged up to 11.1 percent at the close of the first quarter, leaving agricultural banks a substantial cushion to weather any problems that might arise in the farm sector. The ratio of loans to deposits at agricultural banks was 68.9 percent at the end of March 1998. Failures of agricultural banks: Late in July, as this issue went to press, no agricultural bank had failed in 1998. Given the strong capital positions of most agricultural banks and their low levels of problem loans, the number of failures seems likely to remain fairly small in coming quarters. 22 SECTION II: SELECTED STATISTICS FROM THE QUARTERLY REPORTS OF CONDITION OF COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLES: Page Commercial banks: II.A II. B II.C II.D II.E Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated volume of farm loans at insured commercial banks delinquent non - real - estate farm loans at insured commercial banks net charge-offs of non-real-estate farm loans at insured commercial banks delinquent real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks net charge-offs of real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks 24 25 26 27 28 Agricultural banks: II.F II. G II.H II.I Distribution of agricultural banks by ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans Distribution of agricultural banks by rate of return to equity Loan-deposit ratios at agricultural banks Failures of agricultural banks 29 30 31 32 SOURCES OF DATA: The data in tables II.A through II.H are prepared using data from the quarterly reports of condition and income for commercial banks. Delinquencies and charge - offs of non-real - estate farm loans for the nation as a whole (table II.B and table II.C) are estimated from reports of banks that hold more than 90 percent of total non- real - estate farm loans. The incomplete coverage arises because banks with less than $300 million in assets have been excused from some reporting requirements. First, these smaller banks report delinquencies and charge - offs of "agricultural loans" according to the particular bank's own definition, which may include loans that are secured by farm real estate. Furthermore, small banks that hold less than 5 percent of total loans as farm production loans are not required to report any information regarding delinquencies or chargeoffs of "agricultural loans." In constructing the data presented in the tables, banks that are not required to report these data are assumed to have the same delinquency rates as those that do report. In 1991, banks began to report delinquencies of loans that are secured by farm real estate. These data, which are shown in tables II.D and II.E, are reported by all banks, regardless of the size of the institution or the relative amounts of farm loans that they hold. Because "agricultural loans" and loans secured by farm real estate may overlap for some small banks, it is unclear whether it is proper to add the data in table II.B to its counterpart in table II.D to obtain total agricultural delinquencies. A similar caveat applies to the data concerning charge-offs in tables II.C and II.E. Examination of total lending at banks that have a high exposure to agricultural loans provides an alternative perspective on the agricultural lending situation. Agricultural banks in table II.D through table II. I are those that have a proportion of farm loans (real estate plus nonreal estate) to total loans that is greater than the unweighted average at all banks. The estimate of this average was 15.3 percent in March of 1997. Information on failed banks (table II. I) is obtained from news releases of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, with agricultural banks broken out in our tabulation according to the definition stated in the previous paragraph. Table I.I Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers, (selected quarters) by USPA Farm Production Region J2E_ outstanding. Mar. 1998 _CS_ -L2- _HZ_ VSPA Region _AL_ DL _£ £_ JEA- 2 .7 12 .2 25 .9 17 .5 7 .4 4 .2 5 .0 9 .5 5 .9 9 .6 Sample Coverage. May 1998 survey (%) 25 .8 2 .6 11 .1 13 .6 17 .4 7 .8 6 .8 6 .8 24 .5 74 .0 Avg. Loan Size. Mav 1998 survev ($1000) 59 .8 28 .6 27 .7 18 .3 26 .4 29 .6 18 .7 36 .5 42 .2 123 .0 Survev date: Weighted Averaee Interest Rate During. Samole 1 tfeek Nov. 1992 7 .9 (.28) 9 2 ( 18) 8 .3 (.25) 7 .9 (.56) 5 .5 (1 .38) 7 .3 (. .39) 8 .4 (.13) 8 .2 (.50) 7 .6 (.47) 6 .9 (.33) Feb. 1993 7 .8 (.27) 9 0 ( 28) 8 .0 (.27) 8 .0 (.47) 5 .6 (.90) 8 .3 (.22) 7 .8 (.41) 7 .8 (.61) 7 .5 (.41) 6 .5 (.44) 1993 8 1 ( 24) 8 7 ( 21) 8 .1 (.27) 7 .9 (.32) 5 .2 (.57) 8. .4 ( .29) 7 .8 (.43) 8 .3 (.48) 7 .7 (.52) 6 .8 (.26) Aug. 1993 8 2 ( 35) 7 5 ( 69) 8 .2 (.18) 8 .0 (.33) 5 .7 (. .94) 7 .3 . (. .37) 7 .0 . (.74) 7 .7 (.62) 7 .1 (.34) 7 .2 (.39) Nov. 1993 8 3 ( 28) 8 1 ( 19) 7 .8 ( 22) 7 .4 (.50) 5 .3 (1 .73) 6. .3 (, .07) 8 .2 (.12) 7 .8 (.57) 7 .1 . (.36) 6 .7 (.49) Feb. 1994 7 7 ( 32) 8 6 ( 25) 7 9 (.22) 7 .5 (.39) 5 .2 (1. .09) 7 .3 . (. .09) 7 .7 , ( .33) 7 .6 (.43) 7 .3 (.69) 6 .9 (.31) May 1994 8 7 ( 28) 9 0 ( 26) 8 0 ( 17) 8 .1 (.23) 6, 1 . (, .79) 8. .2 (. .29) 7 .8 , (, .60) 8 .4 (.36) 7 .5 (. .34) 7 .2 , (, .26) Aug. 1994 9 1 ( 19) 8 6 ( 41) 8 3 ( 40) 8 .6 (.19) 6. .5 (. .83) 8. .6 (. .11) 7 .6 . (. .72) 8 .6 (.37) 7 .6 . (. .35) 7 .5 , (. .25) Nov. 1994 10. .2 (. .38) 9. .7 (. .18) 8, .9 (, .18) 8 .5 (.39) 7. 1 . (. .39) 8. .5 (. .37) 8. .8 (. .68) 9 .0 (.17) 8, .0 (, .43) 8. .5 (. .20) Feb. 1995 11. .7 (. .65) 10. .7 (. .14) 10. .0 (, .14) 9 .9 (. .16) 8. .6 (. .79) 7 .2 . (1. .79) 10. .4 (. .34) 10 .4 (.21) 9. .4 (. .50) 9. .4 (. .25) 1995 9. .0 (. .38) 10. .4 (. .29) 9. .3 (. .45) 9, .4 (, .42) 8. .5 (. .93) 10. .2 (. .31) 10. .7 (. .74) 10 . 1 (.18) 9. .3 (, .23) 9. .3 (. .34) Aug. 1995 • 9. .6 (. .36) 10. .3 (. .21) 9. .3 (. .46) 9, .8 (, .16) 8. 1 . (• .96) 9. .6 (. .10) 10. .4 10 . 1 (. 31) (.22) • 9. .4 (. .39) 9. .5 (. .29) Nov. 1995 10. .8 (. .32) 10. .3 (. .21) 8. .3 (. .93) 9. .6 (, .26) 7 .9 . (. .80) 9 .8 (.24) 9. .3 (. 66) . 8. .9 (. .40) Feb. 1996 8. .8 (. .32) 9. .9 (. .25) 8. .0 (1. .10) 9. .4 (. .22) 7. .3 (. .99) 9. ,4 (. .31) 10. .9 (. .22) 9 .9 (.24) 8. .9 (. .85) 8. 1 . (. .65) 1996 10. .3 (. .25) 10. 2 (. .13) 7 .3 . (. .93) 9. .0 (. .38) 8. 1 . (. .86) 9. .6 (. .68) 10. ,4 (. ,36) 9 .8 (.25) .7 8. (. .78) 8. .3 (. .65) Aug. 1996 8. ,3 (.87) 9. ,9 (. ,18) 8. .9 (. .49) 9. .4 (. .25) 7 .6 . (.82) 9. 4 (. ,59) 10. .0 (.37) 9 .4 (.18) 8. .9 (. .58) 8. .1 (. .56) Nov. 1996 10. 1 . (.21) 9. ,9 (. ,14) 9. .3 (. .11) .0 9. (. .55) 7 .5 . (. .82) 9. .3 (. ,57) 9. .9 (. ,40) 9, 1 . (. .25) .0 9. (. .75) 8. .6 (. .48) Feb. 1997 8. ,8 (. .11) 9. ,5 (. .26) 9. .5 (. .12) 9. .3 (. .22) 8. .0 (. .51) 9. ,9 (. ,32) 9. ,5 (. .35) 9, .5 (, .24) 10, .1 (. .27) 8. .7 (. .35) 1997 9. ,4 (.43) 10. 1 . (. .17) 9. .2 (. ,22) 9. .5 (. .27) 8. ,3 (.62) 9. 9 (. ,66) 10. 2 (. .29) 9. .7 (, .23) 10. .0 (. .29) 8. .7 (. .51) Aug. 1997 9. 3 (.47) 9. .8 (. 18) 9. .6 (. .14) .9 9. (. .08) 8. .5 (.26) 10. 1 . (.24) 9. ,9 (. 12) 9, .7 (. .27) 10. .5 (. .23) .7 8. (. .34) Nov. 1997 9. 2 (.41) 9. .5 (. ,17) 9. ,3 (. .10) .8 9. (. .08) 7 ,5 . (.60) 9. 8 (. 11) 9. 4 (.05) 9, .4 (, .38) 10. .1 (. .57) 8. .8 (. .31) Feb. 1998 9. .3 (. .51) 9. ,0 (. ,27) 9. .4 (. .17) 9. .8 (. .09) 7 ,3 . (.77) 10. 0 (.48) 10. 3 (. 13) 9, .8 (. .30) 9. .6 (. .43) 8. .5 (. 19) . May May May May May 10. .1 10. .3 (. 25) (. • .32) 1998 9. .2 9. .7 9. .4 .2 9. 7. 6 10. 2 10. 3 9, .6 .8 9. 8. .4 (, (, (, (, (,,34) (, (, (,30) (,,42) (,,39) ,49) ,24) ,15) ,10) ,54) ,12) NS is Northeast, LS is Lake States. CB is Cornbelt. NP is Northern Plains. AP is Appalachia, SE is Southeast, DL is Delta States, SP is Southern Plains. MN is Mountain States, and PA is Pacific. Standard errors are in parentheses below each estimate. Standard errors are calculated from 100 replications of a bootstrap procedure (resampling of banks) in each region. ° NOTES TO TABLE I.H The Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 250 banks of all sizes. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured agricultural banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or those residing in the portfolios of banks. Loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. 1. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude loans with no stated maturity. 2. The repricing interval measures the period from the date the loan is made until it first may be repriced. For floating-rate loans that are subject to repricing at any time-such as many prime-based loans-the repricing interval is zero. For floating rate loans that have a scheduled repricing interval, the interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it is next scheduled to reprice. For loans having rates that remain fixed until the loan matures (fixedrate loans), the interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it matures. Loans that reprice daily are assumed to reprice on the business day after they are made. 3. A complete description of these risk rating categories is available from the Banking and Money Market Statistics Section, mail stop 81, the Federal Reserve Board, Washington, DC 20551. The category "Moderate Risk" includes the average loan, under average economic conditions, at the typical lender. The weighted-average risk ratings are calculated by assigning a value of "1" to minimal risk loans; "2" to low risk loans; "3" to moderate risk loans; "4" to acceptable risk loans; and "5" to special mention and classified loans. These values are weighted by loan amount and exclude loans with no risk rating. Some of the loans are not rated for risk. 4. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loans and weighted by loan size. 5. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. 6. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 7. Among banks reporting loans to farmers, most "large banks" (survey strata 1 and 2) had over $25 million in farm loans, most "other banks" (survey strata 3 to 5) had farm loans below $25 million. TABLE I.H.6 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 4-8, 1998 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low Moderate Acceptable 640,' 623 32,306 34 .49 9 .46 1 .00 141,: 216 5, 782 14 .35 9 .10 2 .00 103, 715 8,565 25 .96 29 .09 3 .00 238, 321 9, 633 53 .95 11 .48 4 .00 23, 964 1, 866 16 .44 2 .57 5 .00 9 .57 0 .20 9 .55 0 .10 9 .88 0 .06 9 .22 0 .43 10 .66 0 .41 10 .25 8 .50 9 .96 9 .38 10 .39 9 .38 10 .38 8 .27 12 .21 9 .58 9 .54 10 .09 9 .65 9 .59 9 .16 9 .53 10 .03 10 . 16 9 .99 9 .99 9 .12 9 .58 10 .83 9 .60 9 .47 10 .74 9 .74 10 .90 9 .75 Special Not Rated Not Reported OTHER BANKS7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 - 10 .33 9 .79 8 .30 8 .12 - - - 14, 484 391 85 .56 3 .64 9 . 68 0 .82 10 .36 9 .38 - 10 .08 9 .96 - 10 .42 7 .67 95 .74 85 .88 15 .62 61 .60 20 .42 1,263 .68 - 1, 503 230 8 .02 19 .32 117, 420 5, 839 23 . 89 2 . 36 26 .27 10 .07 9 . 82 0 .23 9 .96 9 . 96 10 .25 9 .06 9 .86 10 . 82 9 .86 9 .53 9 .15 9 .93 10 .49 10 .02 9 . 66 8 . 57 8 .48 51 .64 14 .20 33 .47 62 . 13 10 .29 16 .74 25 .58 59 .66 64 .98 17 .47 0 .07 53 .92 65 .80 16 .08 102 .86 60 .89 72 .25 41 .00 0 .18 58 .62 57 .41 33 .39 33 .09 5 .69 38 .10 3 .58 17 .41 32 .95 4 .82 11 .54 60 .64 5 .66 13 .62 3 .68 2 .09 7 .95 26 .79 10 .46 37 .25 8 .45 1 .45 0 .22 89 .94 4 .95 9 .49 37 .52 61 .45 1 .53 94 .48 1 .06 629 .98 89 .79 2,428 .19 48 .62 65 .17 41 .60 6 .57 16 .30 79 .23 16 .07 77 .92 45 .06 47 .68 17 .33 81 .48 48 .78 48 .99 370 .98 100 .00 90 .81 - 7 . 60 42 .80 11 . 50 20 .26 7 . 54 24 .92 68 .85 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 19 • # . • e TABLE II.D e e e # • . , • • DELINQUENT FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS NONPERFORMING NONPERFORMING TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL 2. 1 1. 8 1. 5 2. 1 1. 5 ,3 1. NONACCRUAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING 0. 8 0.7 0. 7 1. 0 0. 7 0. 6 1. 3 1. 1 0. 8 1. 0 0. 8 ,7 0. 0. 3 0. 2 0. 2 0. 4 0. 3 0. 2 1. 0 0. 8 0. 6 0. 6 0. 6 0. 5 1 .5 .7 0, 0, ,8 .2 0, .6 0. | TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL -December 31 of year indicated1992., 1993. 1994. 1995. 1996. 1997. 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0. 3 0. 2 0. 2 0. 2 0. 2 0. 2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0. 1 0. 0 0. 0 0. 1 0, 1 0. ,1 T w # f T % 9 * 1 ! 1 | | | ^^- Q4. 0.3 0.1 0. 2 .0 0. 0.1 | 1 1995 01. 02. 03. 04. 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 ,2 0. ,2 0. ,2 0. 0, .2 0, .1 0, .1 .1 0, 0, .1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1 .9 1 .5 1 .4 1 .5 0, .9 .6 0, .5 0, 0 .7 .0 1, 0 .9 0 .9 0 .8 0, .3 .3 0, 0 .3 0. .2 > 0, 6 .6 0, 0, .6 0, | | 1996 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 .2 0, .3 0, 0, .2 0 .2 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 2 .1 1 .7 1 .5 1 .5 1 .0 0 .7 0 .5 0 .7 1 .0 1 .0 1 .0 0 .8 0 .4 0 .4 0 .4 0 .3 0 .6 0 .6 0 .6 0 .6 | | | | 1997 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0 .2 0 .2 0 .2 0 .2 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1 .9 1 .4 1 .3 1 .3 1 .0 0 .6 0 .5 0 .6 0 .9 0 .9 0 .8 0 .7 0 .4 0 .3 0 .3 0 .2 0 .5 0 0* •5 0 •5 | 1998 Ql. 0.5 0.3 0 .2 0 .1 0.1 1.9 1 .1 0 .8 0 .3 0 •5 | 1 5 | ! | | All commercial banks began to report these data in 1991. 27 TABLE II.E NET CHARGE-OFFS OF REAL ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* ESTIMATED AMOUNT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL TOTAL 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 6 -1 3 1 4 * * CHARGE-OFFS AS A PERCENTAGE OF SUCH LOANS OUTSTANDING Q1 Q2 Q3 04 0 -1 -0 -1 -1 -2 1 -1 -0 -1 -0 2 0 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 4 * * * * * All commercial banks began to report these data in 1991. ANNUAL TOTAL 0.03 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 * * Q1 02 03 04 0. 002 ,004 -0, -0. 001 ,004 -0, .004 -0. .006 -0, 0. .003 .004 -0, -0, .001 -0, .003 -0 .001 0. .008 .002 0, 0. .006 0. .003 0. .005 .015 0. .003 0, .007 0, .009 0, .013 0. * * * * TABLE II.F DISTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS BY THE SHARE OF THEIR LOANS THAT ARE NONPERFORMING* NONPERFORMING LOANS AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS TOTAL UNDER 2.0 2.0 TO 4.9 5.0 TO 9.9 10.0 TO 14.9 15.0 TO 19.9 20.0 AND OVER -Percentage distribution, December 31 of year indicated100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 100. 0 ,0 100. ,0 100. 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995, 1996, 1997 65 8 69 6 70 8 76 2 80 6 85 5 83. ,7 .8 81. 84, ,4 25. 1 22. 7 22. 3 18. 9 15. 9 12. 3 ,8 13. 15. ,5 13 . .0 7 .6 6 .4 5 .8 3 .9 2 .8 1 .9 2 .1 2 .3 2 .4 Hi et"r i hi 1" i o t 1 r UJLdtJ. XiJULXUli /end of 1995 Q2 . . . Q3. . . Q4. . . || | | j 1. 2 1. 0 0. 7 0. 8 0. 6 0. 2 0. 3 0. 2 0. ,1 0. 2 0. 2 0. 3 0. 1 0. 1 0. ,1 0. .1 0. ,1 0. .1 0. 1 0. 0 0. 1 0. 0 0. 0 0. 0 0. 1 0. .1 0. .0 t 100. .0 .0 100, 100 .0 82.1 83 .0 83 .7 15.0 14 .3 13 .8 2.5 2 .3 2 .1 0.2 0 .3 0 .3 0 .1 0 .0 0 .1 0, .1 0 .1 0 .1 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 100 100 100 100 .0 .0 .0 .0 78 .4 78 .5 79 .3 81 .8 17 .2 16 .9 17 .0 15 .5 3 .5 3 .9 3 .1 2 .3 0 .5 0 .6 0 .5 0 .2 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 1997 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 100 .0 79 .0 80 .6 81 .7 84 .4 16 .8 15 .8 15 .2 13 .0 3 .7 3 .2 2 .7 2 .4 0 .4 0 .4 0 .2 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 0 .0 0 .1 0 .0 100 .0 80 .6 16 .4 2 .8 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 . . . . . . . . 1998 Ql. . . 1 * Nonperforming loans are loans in nonaccrual status or past due 90 days or more. Renegotiated or restructured loans in compliance with the modified terms are not included. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. 29 TABLE II.O 30 SELECTED MEASURES OF FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF AGRICULTURAL AND OTHER BANKS* AVERAGE RATE OF RETURN TO EQUITY NET INCOME AS A PERCENTAGE OF AVERAGE EQUITY AT AGRICULTURAL BANKS ALL BANKS NEGATIVE 0 TO 4 5 TO 9 AVERAGE CAPITAL RATIO (PERCENT) NET CHARGE-OFFS AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS RATE OF RETURN TO ASSETS 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 AND OVER AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS 14, .0 12, .9 .4 13. .8 19, 18, .5 .1 17, 13 .3 .3 14, .3 14, .0 4, .6 2, ,5 2, 5, ,1 4 ,6 3. 3 ,4 2, 2, ,6 .2 3, 3.0 1.1 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 1.2 11.0 10.8 10.9 12.6 12.4 11.9 11.3 11.5 11.6 10.0 8.5 8.9 11.5 12.4 12.4 11.6 11.6 11.8 .0 1, 1, .0 .0 1, 1, ,2 .2 1, .2 1, 1, .2 1, .2 .2 1, .8 0, .7 0, 0, ,7 ,0 1, .1 1, 1, .1 1, .1 ,1 1, .2 1, 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 10.1 9.9 10.1 10.4 10.8 10.7 11.1 10.9 11.0 .0 9, .0 9, 9, .2 9, ,5 10, .0 9, .9 10, .5 10 .6 10 .7 10 TO 14 •percentage distribution1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1 j 1 1 1 | 1 1 | 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.0 4.9 4.1 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.4 2.0 1.6 7.0 7.5 7.7 5.0 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.9 29.0 33.4 32.2 25.5 27.8 31.3 36.8 33.5 34.3 38.0 37.6 39.2 41.1 40.6 40.2 39.9 41.5 39.5 QUARTERLY YEAR TO DATE 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 11.3 11.3 0.3 11.1 10.4 10.5 10.5 3.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 11.0 9.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 11.0 10.6 10.5 10.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 5.8 8.9 11.3 6.1 0.6 0.6 11.6 1.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3.1 9.2 11.5 11.6 3.0 3.1 6.2 9.3 6.1 0.6 1.2 0.3 0.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 1998 Ql. 11.6 11.8 9.3 1.0 1.2 100.0 3.0 3.2 0.3 6.2 9.0 6.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 10.9 10.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 11.0 11.1 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 11.0 10.6 10.7 10.9 10.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 11.1 10.7 1.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 * Agricultural and other banks are defined in the introduction to section II; small banks have less than 500 million dollars in assets. Total primary and secondary capital (items that are available at the end of the period specified) are measured as a percentage of total assets. Quarterly data in the lower panel are cumulative through the end of the quarter indicated and, for periods of less than a year, are not comparable to the annual data in the upper panel. 11.0 11.3 TABLE II.H AVERAGE LOAN-DEPOSIT RATIOS AT AGRICULTURAL BANKS IN SELECTED FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS* DECEMBER 31 U.S. ST. LOUIS CHICAGO ATLANTA CLEVELAND MINNEAPOLIS SAN FRANCISCO KANSAS CITY MINIMUM FARM LOAN RATIO LOANS LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER NUMBER TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997, 3854 3723 3550 3482 3347 3207 0. 555 0. 582 0. 625 0. 641 0 .658 0. 687 75 67 56 60 55 54 0.643 0.660 0.707 0.717 0.775 0.770 131 130 125 135 126 122 0.607 0.618 0.646 0.647 0.682 0.706 948 912 860 841 814 784 0. 574 0. 600 0. 643 0. 658 0. 681 0. 721 456 432 402 393 384 360 0. 563 0. 590 0. 629 0. 654 0. 666 0. 699 694 669 658 637 619 584 0. 579 0. 615 0. 674 0. 681 0. 698 0.727 1092 1063 1014 981 944 904 0. 533 0. 566 0. 618 0. 634 0. 649 0. 679 384 378 366 359 331 325 0. 422 0. 442 0. 474 0. 499 0. 492 0. 528 61 58 53 55 55 53 0.708 0.733 0.747 0.741 0.734 0.660 16.72 17.04 16.99 15.79 15.41 15.40 1995 Q2 . . Q3 . . 04.. 3488 3617 3482 0 .655 0 .668 0 .641 55 64 60 0.730 0.736 0.717 136 150 135 0.668 0.680 0.647 844 868 841 0, 664 0, 685 .658 0, 397 432 393 .665 0, 0 .692 0 .654 639 652 637 0. 714 0, 717 0, ,681 984 1007 981 0 .637 0 .647 0 .634 361 368 359 .518 0, 0, .525 0, .499 52 56 55 0.791 0.763 0.741 17.12 17 .27 15.79 1996 Q1. . Q2 . . Q3. . 04. . 3471 3461 3400 3347 0 .639 0 .665 0 .674 0 .658 58 57 58 55 0.721 0.743 0.780 0.775 143 151 140 126 0.664 0.690 0.708 0.682 828 829 814 814 0 .657 0 .671 0 .690 0 .681 394 402 406 384 0 .650 0 .692 0 .699 0 .666 632 630 623 619 0 .682 0 .712 0 .716 0 .698 978 964 952 944 0 .629 0 .651 0 .662 0 .649 357 349 331 331 0 .489 0 .515 0 .510 0 .492 57 54 54 55 0.737 0.778 0.757 0.734 15.46 15.94 15.84 15.41 1997 Q1. . Q2 . . Q3 . . 04. . 3336 3323 3274 3207 0 .660 0 . 696 0 .703 0 .687 52 55 54 54 0.780 0.809 0.808 0.770 128 144 139 122 0.706 0.714 0.732 0.706 806 799 795 784 0 .685 0.712 0.730 0 .721 382 383 384 360 0 .662 0.703 0.722 0 .699 611 604 591 584 0 .701 0 .763 0 .749 0 .727 941 922 913 904 0 .644 0 .677 0 .686 0 .679 339 338 325 325 0.499 0 .536 0 .543 0 .528 54 54 52 53 0.722 0.704 0.679 0.660 15.02 15.57 15.64 15.40 3176 0 .689 53 0.782 118 0.719 762 0 .726 355 0 .691 583 0 .731 906 0 .681 325 0 .527 53 0.667 15.28 1998 oi.. * The loan-deposit ratio is defined as total loans divided by total deposits, that shown in the last column, as described in the introduction to section II. Agricultural banks are defined as banks with a farm loan ratio at least as great as 31 TABLE II.I FAILURES OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS* NUMBER OF FAILURES Ql 1987 1988 , , 1989 1990 1991.... 1992 1993 1994 , , 1995 ,, 1996 1997 1998 Q2 Q3 Q4 ANNUAL TOTAL 22 11 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 19 6 7 5 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 12 12 5 6 3 1 2 0 0 0 0 16 7 5 3 1 4 0 0 0 0 1 69 36 22 17 8 7 5 0 0 2 1 * * * * * * * Data exclude banks assisted to prevent failure. Industrial banks and mutual savings banks also are excluded. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. SECTION III: FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF FARM CREDIT CONDITIONS AND FARM LAND VALUES Page TABLES: III.A III.B III'c III .D III .E Nonreal estate lending experience Expected change in non-real-estate loan volume and repayment conditions Average loan/deposit ratio, and other indicators of relative credit availability Interest rates Trends in real estate values and loan volume 35 37 39 41 43 SOURCES OF DATA: Data are from quarterly surveys of agricultural credit conditions at commercial banks. These surveys are conducted at the end of each quarter by five Federal Reserve Banks. The size of the surveys differs considerably, as is noted in the information below. In addition, the five surveys differ in subject matter covered (as is evident in the tables). wording of basically similar questions, and type of banks covered. Most of the differences in wording are reflected in the use of different column headings on the two pages of each table. The states included in each district are indicated in the table headings; states that fall only partly within a given district are marked with asterisks. Beginning in 1994. the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank revised its survey considerably. Many questions were changed and it was not always possible to match the data to the categories that we have shown in previous editions of the Databook. Whenever possible, we have tried to fit the data from the revised survey into the older format. Series that were discontinued show no data for the first quarter. while those that were added suddenly appear. When a significant break in the data occurred, we included the new data and added a footnote to highlight the changes. Research departments at each of the five Reserve Banks issue more detailed quarterly reports on their survey results; these reports are available at the addresses given below. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Box 834. Chicago. Illinois, 60690 The sample includes member banks at which farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans as of June 1972 (a 10 percent standard is used for banks in the state of Michigan). The sample has undergone periodic review. The latest survey results were based on the responses of about 450 banks. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas Citv. Federal Reserve P.O. Station, Kansas City Missouri 64198 The sample chosen originally in 1976 consisted of 181 banks selected from banks at which farm loans constituted 50 percent or more of total loans, with appropriate representation of all farm areas. The sample was redrawn and significantly expanded in 1987; roughly 300 banks responded to the latest survey. Federal Reserve Bank nf Minneapolis. M i n n e a p o l i s . Minnesota 55480 Before 1987, the sample provided a cross - section of banks of all sizes that were engaged in farm lending. Members of the Upper Midwest Agricultural Credit Council formed the core of the survey panel. Beginning in 1987 the sample was redrawn to include only banks at which farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans. As outlined above, the Minneapolis survey was changed considerably beginning in the first quarter of 1994. In recent surveys. about 130 banks responded. 34 Section III: (continued) Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. P.O. Box 655906, Dallas, Texas 75265-5906 The sample is stratified regionally and includes banks at which farm loans are relatively important or which hold a major portion of bank loans in their region. The sample was enlarged in the first quarter of 1985 and was redrawn in the second quarter of 1989. The results for the most recent quarter were based on the responses from about 200 respondents. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Richmond, Virginia 23261 ^ , The number of agricultural banks in this district is much smaller than those of the other districts. When the survey was initiated in 1975, the sample consisted of 43 banks of all sizes; banks with larger amounts of farm loans were sampled more heavily. More recently, the sample has consisted of about 30 banks, roughly three-fourths of which typically respond to the quarterly surveys. RF.CF.NT DEVELOPMENTS: Bankers responding to the surveys indicated that the demand for farm loans held up fairly well in early 1998, and funds seemed to remain adequate. A substantial portion of the banks in the Chicago and Kansas City district surveys reported some deterioration in rates of repayment relative to the rates reported one year earlier. There also was an apparent pickup in the incidence of renewals and extensions of loans in these two districts, while banks in the other districts that report seemed to see renewals and extensions about in line with the first quarter of previous years. In general, bankers seem a bit less optimistic about the demand for loans this summer than they were at at a similar point in 1997. For instance, the volume of loans for farm machinery are expected to be a bit weaker in the Chicago and Richmond districts, while the volume of loans for feeder livestock in the Dallas and Minneapolis districts is viewed as weakening a bit. Of course, these indicators are quite noisy from quarter to quarter, so one shouldn't read too much into the latest observation. In all the Federal Reserve districts that report, the ratio of loans to deposits has been quite high by historical standards for the past several years. Nevertheless, most bankers seem more or less comfortable with the upward movement in the level of loans relative to deposits--few report either that the ratio is higher than desired or that they have adjusted their loan growth by, for example. refusing a loan because of a lack of funds or referring a farm loan to another lender. Reported rates of interest on farm loans edged down slightly in the first quarter of 1998 in most districts that report, and rates that are reported in these surveys have remained little changed since early 1996. The year-over-year rate of increase in the price for agricultural land was 10 percent in the Chicago district, as demand seemed to remain fairly strong for the premium farmland that is common there. Prices for farmland edged down in the much-smaller Richmond survey, after rising sharply in that district for much of 1997. Prices picked up through the first quarter in the other districts that report as well, and the average across all districts looks to be around 8 percent or so. FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) LOWER III.A1 1996 Q l . . . Q2... Q3... Q4... |1 III.A2 SAME LOWER HIGHER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI* ) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 15 17 17 14 44 49 45 50 41 34 38 36 6 11 11 9 62 65 65 71 31 24 24 19 13 13 7 24 57 66 74 58 30 21 19 18 29 23 23 19 56 62 69 61 15 16 8 21 0 1 1 0 91 89 92 90 9 10 7 10 46 50 47 52 44 42 42 34 14 17 17 11 62 68 69 69 24 14 14 20 15 17 15 19 66 72 77 68 19 11 8 14 14 13 10 14 69 69 77 72 17 18 13 14 0 1 0 1 92 89 92 90 8 10 8 9 a 49 42 12 64 24 27 64 9 8 64 29 1 89 11 |1 | I 1 |1 TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( CO, KS, MO*, NE, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 18 15 14 11 1997 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3 • . • Q4. . . I1 III.A3 56 54 60 64 26 30 26 26 10 16 16 12 69 66 67 71 21 19 16 17 51 38 22 15 46 58 65 66 4 4 13 20 5 6 11 14 49 57 67 70 45 37 23 16 1 1 0 1 79 78 84 87 20 22 16 13 8 9 6 6 1996 Q l . . . Q2... Q3... Q4... 1998 Q l . . . LOWER HIGHER COLLATERAL REQUIRED 10 8 11 14 1 1 | 1 | 1 1997 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3... Q4... 1998 Q l . . . SAME RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS LOAN REPAYMENT RATE FUND AVAILABILITY DEMAND FOR LOANS 64 57 61 60 28 34 33 34 9 19 21 16 72 67 67 72 19 14 12 13 10 10 7 13 69 76 75 76 21 14 18 12 16 13 15 9 74 78 79 79 10 9 7 12 0 1 1 0 88 89 91 92 12 10 8 8 5 69 25 12 68 20 15 76 9 6 79 15 0 91 9 | 1 |1 1 1 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( LA*, NM*, TX ) 1996 Q l . . . Q2... Q3... Q4... 18 26 24 21 51 42 44 50 31 32 32 28 5 7 8 7 73 77 75 74 22 16 16 19 49 59 44 31 45 39 47 53 6 2 9 17 7 2 8 10 41 38 48 51 52 60 44 40 0 0 1 0 66 61 65 73 34 39 34 27 1997 Q l . . . Q2.. • Q3... Q4... 17 18 15 16 55 54 57 58 28 29 28 26 4 4 3 3 76 69 80 74 21 27 17 24 29 13 16 21 56 71 67 60 16 16 17 19 14 16 14 15 59 66 71 64 27 17 15 21 0 1 0 0 74 79 88 82 26 20 12 18 14 63 24 3 76 21 17 70 13 14 68 17 2 85 13 1998 Q l . . . 1 I | 1 1 |1 1 35 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A (CONTINUED) FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH NORMAL CONDITIONS (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) LOWER III ,A4 1996 01. Q2. 03. 04. 1997 Ql. 02. Q3. 04. • 1998 Ql. LOWER HIGHER SAME LOWER HIGHER SAME LOWER HIGHER SAME! HIGHER *** *** *** ** * 11 12 18 13 57 65 61 67 32 23 21 20 46 37 19 34 37 48 69 45 17 14 12 21 15 15 15 17 49 54 68 64 36 31 31 19 4 1 1 0 76 75 81 85 20 24 18 15 *** *** • 1 1 III .AS 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. 04. • SAME *** ** * *** *# * *** ** * *** *** *** *** *** 10 23 23 15 67 57 65 58 23 20 12 27 46 33 31 24 47 59 61 58 7 8 8 18 10 5 1 12 57 63 72 70 33 32 18 18 0 0 1 0 75 80 81 82 25 20 18 18 *** *** *** 13 59 28 35 54 11 4 64 32 o 77 23 *** 1998 Ql. LOWER HIGHER NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI* ) *** *** *** *** .. 1997 Ql. Q2. Q3. 04. • SAME COLLATERAL REQUIRED RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS LOAN REPAYMENT RATE FUND AVAILABILITY DEMAND FOR LOANS 36 | 1 | 1 1 | 1 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV* ) • 14 12 12 10 71 71 77 76 14 17 12 14 0 3 12 3 81 71 67 85 19 26 22 12 14 17 17 5 81 78 72 78 5 5 12 17 5 3 13 32 75 76 68 56 20 21 18 12 0 0 0 2 90 83 85 93 10 17 15 5 • 9 11 15 13 77 77 73 70 15 11 12 18 4 9 2 5 77 68 76 60 19 23 22 35 0 2 7 18 88 93 88 78 13 5 5 5 13 16 10 13 81 80 85 70 6 5 5 18 0 2 0 0 94 91 83 85 6 7 17 15 8 73 20 o 73 28 io 88 3 8 80 13 3 85 13 1 1 1 1 1 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE XII.B FAHM {jONREAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH VOLUME OF LOANS MADE A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) LOWER SAME LOWER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER HIGHER AGRICULTURAL BANKS SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) ZZZ.B1 17 17 17 12 02... 03... Q4... 1997 Ql... 02... 03... 04... | 44 54 55 48 39 29 28 40 59 62 38 27 38 36 52 59 4 2 10 15 23 25 18 22 68 67 72 69 9 8 10 9 36 33 16 15 56 57 50 58 8 10 34 27 14 12 21 8 37 47 50 39 50 41 29 53 10 14 10 12 37 48 39 42 53 38 51 46 8 12 10 9 1996 Ql... 1998 Ql... LOWER SAME HZGHER FARM MACHINERY OPERATING CROP STORAGE DAIRY FEEDER CATTLE TOTAL 52 55 61 54 40 33 28 37 28 22 23 24 63 64 65 69 9 13 12 8 20 22 24 24 69 69 69 69 10 9 7 7 19 17 10 12 69 65 59 62 13 18 31 26 8 7 9 5 42 52 59 49 50 41 32 46 9 22 12 11 47 53 52 53 45 25 36 36 11 51 38 33 61 6 22 67 11 13 64 23 7 43 50 17 56 27 III.B2 1 1 1 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3... Q4. . . 30 40 19 18 52 44 58 54 18 17 23 27 49 57 31 24 45 36 51 56 6 7 18 20 29 31 20 22 71 67 74 73 1 2 7 5 29 30 24 20 65 56 63 76 6 14 13 5 19 22 18 16 47 42 49 55 34 36 33 30 33 42 25 22 56 50 55 63 11 8 20 15 1997 Ql... Q2. . . Q3... Q4... 16 15 14 14 58 62 68 62 26 22 18 25 15 14 15 14 57 63 62 69 28 23 24 17 23 19 17 24 71 76 81 72 6 5 2 4 19 9 13 18 74 74 67 68 7 17 21 14 17 15 12 11 54 59 66 57 29 25 22 32 16 12 16 17 63 63 63 67 21 26 21 16 17 62 21 25 67 8 17 71 7 17 77 6 15 63 22 22 58 20 1998 Ql... 1 III.B3 1 1 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 20 11 11 7 70 73 71 81 10 16 18 12 31 35 29 23 69 63 62 75 0 3 10 3 20 24 21 19 80 71 71 75 0 6 8 6 11 18 13 18 83 68 72 67 6 14 15 14 14 7 10 8 57 58 66 70 29 35 24 22 10 17 14 7 81 60 66 65 10 22 20 28 02... 16 8 14 7 58 80 74 77 26 13 11 17 17 16 21 13 73 81 79 83 10 3 0 4 21 17 19 20 79 80 81 70 0 3 0 10 13 15 20 17 82 76 60 79 5 9 20 3 6 5 20 8 63 80 61 66 31 16 20 26 10 5 29 18 65 75 54 66 25 20 17 16 1998 Ql... 8 75 17 20 76 4 9 87 4 13 81 6 8 74 18 18 70 13 1996 Ql... 02... Q3. . . 04... 1997 Ql... 03.. . Q4. . . 1 1 1 1 37 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B (CONTINUED) EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM LOANS DURING NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL DEMAND (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) FEEDER LIVESTOCK LOWER SAME XII.B* HIGHER OTHER INTERMEDIATE LOWER SAME FARM REAL ESTATE HIGHER LOWER SAME 52 60 51 28 44 35 41 58 4 6 8 15 24 16 17 19 62 68 73 74 14 17 10 7 1997 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 29 32 28 31 56 52 62 63 15 17 10 7 12 12 18 18 77 79 73 75 1998 Q l . . . 38 58 18 72 9 HIGHER LOWER SAME FARM MACHINERY HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER 1 31 28 30 30 50 56 56 60 19 16 14 10 5 9 16 14 64 56 65 72 31 35 19 14 30 24 24 26 54 58 54 57 15 18 22 17 21 28 28 24 | | | I | 1 11 9 10 7 . . . . OTHER OPERATING NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) . . • . 1996 Q l . Q2. Q3. Q4. 38 58 61 58 60 21 11 14 16 4 6 7 7 57 64 67 74 39 30 27 19 22 18 25 24 68 75 58 63 10 7 17 14 26 56 18 8 65 27 22 63 15 1 | FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT III.CI REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS LOWER AT THAN DESIRED DESIRED LEVEL HIGHER THAN DESIRED NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS NONE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER NONE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1996 Ql. . . Q2... Q3.. . Q4... 65 66 68 68 56 54 50 48 30 32 33 35 14 14 17 17 1997 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3.. . Q4... 68 70 70 71 51 47 43 44 32 32 34 36 17 21 23 21 1998 Ql... 69 43 39 18 III.C2 NONBANK AGENCIES CORRESPONDENT BANKS www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www | I www www www www www www www www www www www | | www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( CO, KS, MO* , NE, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL BANKS . . .. .. .. 60 62 64 63 77 76 72 74 10 9 9 10 24 26 32 30 3 4 3 2 79 79 84 89 80 79 83 82 8 9 12 10 88 86 83 86 4 5 5 4 65 65 70 71 6 8 12 10 77 78 78 83 17 14 10 8 1997 Ql.. . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 62 65 66 66 78 72 55 51 8 9 8 7 30 34 33 31 1 2 1 1 89 89 72 70 82 82 82 78 11 8 6 7 86 87 87 88 4 5 7 6 69 73 75 73 8 9 6 9 83 82 87 83 9 9 7 8 54 8 27 1 71 78 7 89 4 70 8 82 10 15 11 8 12 80 78 82 78 5 12 9 10 11 7 10 10 70 73 75 75 20 19 16 14 www www www 13 12 14 9 83 85 78 84 4 3 8 7 12 12 21 12 74 81 72 80 14 7 6 8 www 18 74 9 17 71 12 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. 1998 Ql... 1 III.C3 66 | 1 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www 46 51 52 49 * ** 1997 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 49 52 54 50 1 | 1 (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( LA*, NM*, TX) ELEVENTH I 1996 Ql... Q2... Q3.. . Q4. . . 1998 Ql. . . | 1 50 www www www | 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 www www www www www www www 1 www www o www I I WWW 39 40 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C (CONTINUED) AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT III .C4 AT LOWER DESIRED THAN DESIRED LEVEL 72 71 73 69 1997 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. • » 73 74 72 72 1 III .C5 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. • 1997 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. • 1998 Ql. HIGHER THAN DESIRED NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS 73 | | ** * ** * ** * ** * *** ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * * * * ** * ** * ** * 6 7 7 7 NONE 10 11 12 13 | 1 7 ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * *** COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER NONE • 53 45 31 39 42 40 56 50 5 15 13 11 0 0 0 0 90 71 75 82 • 72 74 72 73 36 39 45 41 50 49 53 51 14 12 3 8 0 2 2 0 46 35 33 38 63 60 59 61 2 9 6 4 62 4 ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * ** * 3 8 3 6 34 j 1 51 57 64 56 35 31 35 35 | I ** * *** ** * *** ** * 13 16 9 6 52 55 58 52 18 13 10 12 58 *** 47 51 59 54 14 46 41 14 0 78 72 1 1 | 89 89 88 91 0 2 2 0 11 9 11 7 0 0 0 2 84 80 80 79 0 4 4 0 16 13 14 21 0 4 2 0 85 91 85 87 | | j 1 77 82 80 73 5 0 0 0 10 9 15 13 0 0 0 0 83 86 78 74 3 0 0 0 10 14 23 15 5 0 0 10 92 0 8 0 83 3 8 6 1 -•Beginning in 1994, Minneapolis omitted the response "none" for the number of referrals to either correspondent banks or nonbank agencies. The column that has been added combines responses that formerly would have been reported as either "none" or "low". COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, sc. VA, WV*) 72 73 73 71 1 NONBANK AGENCIES CORRESPONDENT BANKS NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1996 Ql. 02. Q3. Q4. 1998 Ql. REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS AVERAGE INTEREST RATE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER COMPARED WITH AVERAGE RATES IN THE CURRENT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS HI.Dl OTHER OPERATING LOANS SHORTTERM NONREAL ESTATE INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 1997 Ql... Q2.. . Q3. . . Q4. . . 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.5 www www www www 8.7 8.8 www www www www 8.8 9.5 I III.D2 LOWER SAME HIGHER INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER www WW* www www www 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.8 8.7 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www 8.4 TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO, KS, MO*, NE, NM*, OK) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3... Q4. . . 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.8 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 1997 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.0 1998 Ql... 9.8 9.9 SHORT-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 1998 Ql... LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS 9.8 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.3 www www www 9.4 9.5 9.4 9.3 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.9 www www www www www www www www www www www www 9.2 41 42 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D (CONTINUED) INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS AVERAGE INTEREST RATE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER COMPARED WITH AVERAGE RATES IN THE CURRENT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D3 OTHER OPERATING LOANS SHORTTERM NONRBAL ESTATE INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS SHORT-TERM NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER SAME HIGHER INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONRBAL ESTATE LOANS LOWER SAME HIGHER LOWER SAME www www www HIGHER www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) www *** www *** 1997 Ql.. Q2., Q3. . Q4. . . WW* www www www 1998 Ql... 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.4 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www 9.3 9.6 9.3 9.4 www www www www www 10.0 10.0 10.1 9.7 10.0 www www www www www www www www www www 9.9 1996 Ql.. Q2. . Q3. Q4. III.D4 LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS 9.8 9.4 www www www www 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.8 www www www www www www www 9.9 www www www ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 www www www 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.4 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.9 1997 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... 10.5 10.6 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.6 10.6 www www www www 10.4 10.5 10.4 10.4 10.1 10.0 1998 Ql.. 10.5 10.5 10.4 www www 9.7 III.D5 1996 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www 9.7 9.7 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 www www www www 9.9 9.7 9.7 10.0 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.5 9.9 9.8 www www www www 9.9 9.8 9.9 9.6 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.2 9.4 9.2 10.0 1997 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... 10.0 9.8 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.7 1998 Ql... 9.9 9.7 www www www www www www www www www www FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.E TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED TREND IN FARM REAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND ALL Ill .El DRYLAND 4 1 3 1 www www www 1997 Ql. . . Q2... Q3... Q4... 2 1 2 2 *** 1998 Ql... 2 *** www WWW www www LOWER UP SAME HIGHER www www www www www www www www 0 1 1 6 30 42 35 61 69 57 64 33 12 11 9 16 52 63 58 59 36 26 33 25 www www www www 2 8 2 2 64 64 60 62 34 27 38 36 11 20 12 11 61 63 62 62 29 17 26 27 www 76 15 17 57 26 0 2 3 o 95 86 82 83 5 12 15 17 17 16 10 5 83 75 80 90 0 9 10 5 2 5 5 5 81 77 80 88 17 18 15 8 11 9 13 18 80 80 79 77 9 11 8 5 3 74 23 16 70 14 www www www www www www www www www www www 30 38 24 17 58 52 62 69 12 10 14 14 www www www www www 15 12 10 15 65 72 77 69 19 17 13 16 12 73 15 *** www *** www www 10 www www | 1 i o | 1 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC , VA, WV*) 1997 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . . . • . . 16 3 12 5 *** -1 www www www www www www www www -9 -1 11 -13 www www www www www www www www www www 4 4 13 41 www www www *** *** www *** www www j 1 www www www www www www www www www www 19 j 1 1 1 1 1 1 j ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... *** 1997 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . *** *** www *** *** *** STABLE DOWN www www www www www www www www www 1 RANCHLAND 9 11 12 10 www www www www -3 3 3 -15 1998 Ql. . . IRRIGATED 9 8 7 10 . . . . III .S3 DRYLAND www www www . . . . 1 ALL www www www www www 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. 1998 Ql. . . RANCHLAND SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI*) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1996 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3. .. Q4... III •E2 IRRIGATED TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER -2 -0 2 1 1 -1 -0 4 3 -1 -0 -1 1 -1 -1 -0 4 www www www www -2 -3 -0 1 -1 -5 -3 -2 -2 -10 -13 2 3 0 6 -2 2 -3 6 www www www www 3 3 1 3 3 3 5 9 1 4 1 3 I | | I www www www www www 8 1 www 6 14 6 I www www 0 j www 1 43 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.E (CONTINUED) TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND ALL III.E4 RANCHLAND ALL DRYLAND IRRIGATED RANCHLAND DOWN STABLE UP LOWER SAME HIGHER *** *** WWW -2 0 2 1 -2 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 www www www www 1 1 2 2 -0 -0 1 2 3 4 5 6 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www #** *** *** *** 1997 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 4 1 3 0 www www www www 5 5 4 5 6 6 6 5 9 9 9 7 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www 2 3 3 www 6 7 7 www www www www www www www | | III.E5 *** j I | | www www | NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MTi, ND, SD, WI*) www www www www www www www www www 4 5 4 5 6 4 3 5 2 2 3 4 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www 4 2 4 3 6 4 3 3 3 4 2 3 www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www www *** *** *** *** *** *** *** www www www 7 6 7 www www www 1996 Ql... Q2... Q3.. . Q4... WWW 1997 Ql... Q2.. . Q3... Q4... *** 1998 Ql... IRRIGATED TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO, KS, MO*, NB, NM*, OK, WY) WWW 1996 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... 1998 Ql... DRYLAND TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER *** *** *** WWW WWW | *** www *** *** *** *** WW* I I | www www www www