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E.15 (125) AGRICULTURAL FINANCE DATABOOK Second Quarter 1997 Guide to internal tables of contents and notes on sources Page Amount and characteristics of farm loans made by commercial banks 3 Selected statistics from the quarterly reports of condition of commercial b a n k s 2 2 Reserve bank surveys of farm credit conditions and farm land values Division of Research and Statistics Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Washington, D.C. 20551 Nicholas A. Walraven and Melissa Post 33 2 General Information The Agricultural Finance Databook is a compilation of various data on current developments in agricultural finance. Large portions of the data come from regular surveys conducted by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Federal Reserve Banks. Other portions of the data come from the quarterly call report data of commercial banks or from the reports of other financial institutions involved in agricultural lending. When the current issue went to press, data from the survey of terms of bank lending were available for the first quarter of 1997; the other data generally were available through the end of 1996. Parts or all of the Agricultural Finance Databook may be copied and distributed freely. Any redistribution of selected parts of the Databook should be accompanied by the "contents" pages at the beginning of the corresponding section, together with the front cover identifying the Databook and date of issue, and this page providing subscription information. Remaining questions may be addressed to Nicholas Walraven or Melissa Post at the address shown on the cover. The Datftbook is furnished on a complimentary basis to college and university teachers, libraries of educational institutions, government departments and agencies, and public libraries. Others should enclose the annual subscription fee of $5.00. New subscriptions to the Databook (including zip code) to: (Statistical Release E.15) may be entered by sending a mailing address Publications Services, Mail Stop 138 Federal Reserve Board Washington, D.C. 20551 Notice of change of address also should be sent to Publications Services. the old address should be included. A copy of the back cover showing • . t SECTION I: . # # e e # # # AMOUNT AND CHARACTERISTICS OF FARM LOANS MADE BY COMMERCIAL BANKS Estimate ^ from the quarterly survey of non-real-estate farm loans Summary charts Page 5 Tables: I.A I.B I. C I.D I.E I. F I.G I. H I.I Number Average size Amount Average maturity Average effective interest Percentage of loans with a Distribution of farm loans Detailed survey results Regional disaggregation of rate floating interest rate by effective interest rate survey results 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 21 SOURCES OF DATA: These data on the farm loans of $1000 or more made by commercial banks are derived from quarterly sample surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve System during the first full week of the second month of each quarter. Data obtained from the sample are expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, which are shown in the following tables. Before August 1989, the farm loan survey was part of a broader survey of the terms of lending by a sample of 348 commercial banks. A subset of 25 0 banks was asked for information regarding agricultural lending, and about 15 0 typically reported at least one farm loan. Since August of 1989, the data have been drawn from a redesigned sample of 250 banks that is no longer part of the broader survey. In the redesigned sample, banks are stratified according to their volume of farm lending; previously, they had been stratified according to the volume of business loans. However, the sample data always have been expanded into national estimates for all commercial banks, and these estimates necessarily exhibit variability due to sampling error. The estimates are sensitive to the occasional appearance of very large loans in the sample. In addition, the breakdown of national estimates into those for large banks and small banks may have been affected somewhat by the new sampling procedures that were implemented in August 1989; apparent shifts in the data as of that date should be treated with caution. Beginning with the May 1997 survey, data on the assessment by the lender of the risk associated with each loan, the next date that the rate of interest could be adjusted, whether the loan was callable by the bank, and whether the borrower could prepay the loan without penalty began to be collected. Over time, the data on the lender's perception of the riskiness of farm loans should help provide a better picture of the effect of fluctuations in the creditworthiness of farm borrowers as either farm financial conditions or the broader economic environment changes. The new data on loan repricing dates, callability of the loan, and the existence of prepayment penalties should help to refine estimates of the duration of farm loans. Tables I.H.I through 1.H.6 contain most of the new data, while the other tables in section I attempt to show estimates that are comparable to those that have been presented for a number of years. However, for several quarters while the new survey was being designed, banks that left the survey panel were not replaced immediately, because new replacement banks would soon have been forced to revise their newly-instituted reporting procedures when the new survey form went into effect. As a result, the size of the survey panel dwindled through early 1997, and with the May 1997 survey, an unusually-large number of new reporters (about 25) were added. While this does not affect the validity of the May survey information, it likely introduced sampling error, especially when the May survey results are compared with those of previous quarters. The format and the information contained in the tables are likely to change over time as more of the new survey information is acquired. 3 SECTION I: (CONTINUED) • 4 : More detailed results from each quarterly survey previously were published in Statistical Release E.2A, "Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers". Beginning in February, 1992, the more detailed results are included at the end of this section of the Databook. and the E2.A has been discontinued. Starting with the August 1986 survey, farm loans secured by real estate are included in the data shown in the table of detailed results, whereas such loans are excluded from the tabulations in Tables I.A through I.G and the summary charts. Beginning in November 1991, several survey statistics are estimated for each of ten farm production regions as defined by the USDA. These statistics, which are presented in table I.I, should be treated with some caution. Although an effort was made to choose a good regional mix of banks for the panel, the panel never has been stratified by region. Consequently, the survey results are less precise for each region than for the totals for the nation. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: In the May 1997 survey, the estimated number of non-real-estate farm loans made by banks edged down relative to the reading of one year earlier. The average size of loans was the lowest since 1991, but as mentioned in the introduction to this section, a large influx of new panel members may have affected this estimate, among others. Relative to one year earlier, the reduction was most apparent in the estimated number of loans of more than $100,000; the estimated number of smaller loans was fairly stable. The projected annual volume of loans in the May survey was about $65 billion, the lowest level for this series since the early 1990s . Although subsequent surveys should help indicate whether this drop in the estimated amount of farm lending reflects the change to the panel, at this point, other indicators from the Call report and from Reserve Bank surveys do not indicate a drop in farm lending. In the May survey, the average maturity of farm non-real-estate loans was 11 months, towards the upper end of the range seen for the past several years. The average effective rate of interest on non-real-estate farm loans rose 20 basis points to 9.3 percent in the May survey, continuing the upward drift that has been evident since the spring of 1996. By purpose of the loan, rates of interest picked up for all categories of loans except the "other" category. Contrary to the survey in February, when the pickup seemed to be concentrated at larger banks and for larger loans, most of the increase was for loans of $10,000 to $100,000, and for loans made by smaller banks. The percentage of loans that were made with a rate of interest that floats rose in May to about 75 percent, towards the upper end of the range seen during the 1990s. The weighted average repricing interval (line 4 of Tables I.H.I through I.H.6) was about 5 months across all sizes of loans, but the interval was much shorter for loans of more than $250,000. Also, the weighted average risk rating (line 5) for these larger loans was higher, while the weighted average rate of interest (line 6) was lower. Most of the loans in amounts greater than $250,000 were under lines of commitment (line 16), and as may be calculated by adding lines 25 and 26, only about 46 percent of large loans were secured while more than 90 percent of smaller loans were secured in some way. When broken out by the riskiness of the loan (Tables I.H.4 through I.H.6), more than half of the estimated volume of loans was rated "moderate" or "acceptable" . The repricing interval shrank considerably as the riskiness reported by the bank rose. Neither the weighted average rate of interest nor the values of the 75th or 25th percentiles suggested that rates increased with reported riskiness: Although loans rated "special mention" and loans that were not rated carried higher rates of interest, rates seemed not to vary systematically with risk for the other loan categories. Also, loans at either end of the rating scale were more likely to be secured. By farm production region, weighted average rates of interest fell in the May survey in the Cornbelt, while rates generally were mostly up in other regions. The estimated standard errors of the weighted average rate of interest rose, on balance. As mentioned in the introduction, a number of new banks were added to the panel, and the sample coverage (the proportion of farm loans held by banks that are on the panel) increased in most regions, most dramatically in the Northeast and the Southeast. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ • s Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis e e • # e # # # # LT) Chart 1 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Millions, Annual rate 5.0 Number of non-real-estate farm loans 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 - Four quarter moving average 2.0 1.5 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 i i 1989 1990 i i i i i i i i 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Thousands of dollars 1.0 45 Average size of non-real-estate farm loans 40 35 30 Four quarter moving average 25 20 15 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 i ... i ... t ... i ... i ... i 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Billions of dollars, Annual rate Amount of non-real-estate farm loans 10 130 120 110 100 90 quarter moving average 80 70 60 50 40 ... i ... i ... i ... i ... i ••• i ••• i • i i l i i i I i i i I i i i I i i i l i i i I i i i I i i i I i i i l i i i I > ' i l i i i i i i i —————————————————————————————————— — — — — — — — — —30 — 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Chart 2 Results from the Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers Months Average maturity of non-real-estate farm loans — Four quarter moving average 1978 i ... i ... i 1979 1980 1981 1982 i ... t • i • i 1983 1984 1985 1986 i ... i ... i ... i ... i 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 i ... i ... i ... i ... i 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Percent 20 18 Average effective interest rate on non-real-estate farm loans 16 14 12 10 8 1978 1979 l ... I ... I 1980 1981 1982 1983 l ... I ... I 1984 1985 1986 6 1987 1988 ... i ... i ... t ... i ... i ... i ... i 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Percent Share of farm loans with a floating interest rate 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 Four quarter moving average 30 20 10 1978 1979 1980 i ... i 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 i . . . i 1987 1988 1989 i 1990 1991 1992 I ... I ... I . .. i ... i 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 • , # . • • # e # # e e ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.A NUMBER OF LOANS MADE (MILLIONS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN FEEDER LIVESTOCK ALL LOANS OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT OTHER BY SIZE OF BANK 1 to 9 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over 2 . 06 1. 7 1 1 . 57 1 . 42 1 . ,67 1 ., 7 0 1 ., 6 6 1 . ,67 1 .. 6 5 1 . .55 1 .. 4 5 1 .. 3 3 0. 5 1 0. 4 6 0. 4 6 0. 4 3 0. 52 0. 49 0. 5 1 0. 5 4 0. 5 6 0. 5 1 0. 5 7 0. 4 8 0. 3 0 0. 2 9 0. 27 0. 2 8 0. 3 1 0. 3 5 0. .32 , 0. 3 7 , 0, 3 7 0. 3 5 . . 0. 3 6 0. 3 1 . 0. 0 9 0. 0 8 0. 0 8 0. 0 7 0. 09 0. 0 9 0. 1 0 0. 1 1 , 0. 12 0. 1 2 , 0. 1 2 , 0. 1 1 , LARGE OTHER 0.1 8 0.20 0.2 0 o . 23 , 0.3 6 o .,44 2 . 78 2 .3 4 2 .1 8 1 . 99 2 .2 3 2 .. 2 0 ,1 2. 0 2 ., 1 8 2 .. 1 5 1 .. 9 8 1 .. 8 3 1 .. 6 9 ANNUAL NUMBER OF LOANS MADE 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1 1 1 | | 1 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1 1 | | 2 . 96 2 . 55 2 !R 2 21 2 60 2 ., 63 2 -. 6 0 2 .. 6 9 2 .. 7 0 2 .53 . 2 .. 4 9 2. 22 1 1 1 1 1 o 34 o 30 o 39 o 29 o 30 .32 0, . 0, 3 5 . 0, 3 5 . 0, 3 6 | 0 .28 0 .26 0 .18 0. 23 0. 17 0. 13 0. 1 1 0. 2 0 0. 24 0. 23 0. 25 ,27 0. 0. ,23 0. 1 9 , , 0. 1 7 1 77 1 66 1 54 1 45 1 73 1 ., 6 9 1 .. 6 4 1 . .67 1 .. 6 2 1 . .56 1 .. 4 8 1 . .38 , 0. 3 6 , 0. 1 7 , 0. 1 4 , 0. 1 4 , 0. 1 6 0. 1 9 . . 0. 1 7 . 0. 1 8 0. 1 8 . . 0. 1 8 . 0. 1 7 0. 1 4 . 0. 2 7 0. 2 4 0. 1 9 , 0. 2 1 , , 0. 2 0 0. 1 9 . . 0. 2 1 0. .24 0. .27 0. .27 . 0, 3 9 0. .36 | | | 1 | 1 1 1 1 | | 1 o .. 5 0 o ., 5 1 o ..55 0.5 4 . . 0.6 6 . o.5 3 NUMBER OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE Q2 . . . Q3 . . . Q4. . . 1 1 1 1996 Ql. . . Q2 . . . Q3 . . . Q4. . . 1 | | Ql... Q2 . . . 1 | 1995 1997 0. 1 5 0 .15 0 .16 1 .19 2.65 1 1 2 1 1 | 1 o.45 o .68 0.63 o. 3 7 1 .50 2 .07 1 .62 1.58 1 o .49 0. 5 1 1.70 2 .14 0.31 0 .38 0 .28 0, 1 3 . 0 .13 0 .09 1 .18 0 .25 0 .10 1 .18 1 .62 0. ,49 0. 5 7 , 0 .37 0 .15 0 .09 1 .10 1 .64 1.38 1 .13 1 .72 0.18 0 . 14 0 .46 0.40 0. 2 4 . 0, .22 1 0. 4 1 0. 6 0 0. 49 0. 4 1 , 0 .29 0.45 0 .37 0.34 o .20 o .17 1 .95 2 .74 2 .24 1.95 0.63 1 1 | 0 .15 0 .14 0 .15 0 .11 o .25 o .29 . 0. 1 4 . 0. 1 0 . 0. 1 3 .14 .83 .45 .08 1 1 1 1 1 . 0. 4 0 . 0, 3 7 . 0, 3 1 . 1, 8 0 .55 1, 0. .22 0. 1 7 . 0. .11 0. 1 7 . 2 .. 0 4 2 .22 . 1, 8 9 . 1, 4 1 0. 63 0. 60 0. 4 7 0 .39 0 .44 0 .38 . 1, 8 9 1, .68 . 1, 0 1 o .23 0 .22 ..61 0 .23 0 .15 0 .15 0. .22 . 0. 1 3 . 0. 2 0 1 2 ..96 2 1 ,. 1 3 0 .37 | . o, 7 4 .73 0 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.B AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE (THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS) BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 BY SIZE OF BANK 100 and over LARGE OTHER 254 .7 280 .4 320 .4 320 .4 272 . 1 487 .7 539 .9 468, .2 .3 490, 480, .7 451, .3 545, .9 82 .0 , 62 .0 .5 85, 70, .0 53, .7 100, .1 107, .0 97 .0 106 .0 101 .3 84 .0 .0 115, 13, .4 .3 15, 14, .9 16, .3 14 .4 , 13 .9 , 13 .9 , 15, .8 .8 15, 15, .4 .7 15, 15, .4 ANNUAL AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 . 1995 1996 , | | | | | | 1 | | | | | 17.6 19 0 20 8 21 8 19 9 .4 28, .9 31. .2 31, .3 34. .9 33. .8 33. .2 39. | | | | | j j j j j j j 25 .7 35 .0 33 .8 34 .1 42 .7 69 .7 61 .0 68 .2 79 .7 60 .3 49 .7 59 .0 22 5 25 8 26 3 40 6 29 5 22 .7 25, .2 26, .9 23, .1 27. .6 26. .7 24. .2 12 8 14 0 14 6 16 7 14 1 .7 15, 15, 6 . .7 14, 15, .2 16, .3 18, .5 .0 26, 12 .4 13 .6 16 . 1 13 .9 12 .1 11 .9 15 . 1 15, .9 13 .9 . 17, 5 . 15, 6 . 17, .2 42 .1 32 .9 44 .6 34 .7 32 .2 94 .3 129 .3 108 .7 112 .0 .6 123, 93 . 6 , .2 95, | | | j j j 3 .5 3. 5 . 3, 6 3, 7 . . 3, 6 3, 6 . 3. 6 . .7 3, .7 3, 3, .7 3, .7 .7 3, 14, .4 14, .9 14 .1 , .8 14, 14 .7 , .8 14, 14. .9 .8 14. 14 .9 . 14 .6 . ,7 14. 15. ,0 45 .5 44, .9 46, .5 45, .2 45. .9 46, 1 . .6 46, .9 45, 46, .1 47. .0 44. .9 45. .2 AVERAGE SIZE OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1995 Q2. . . 03... Q4. . . | j 1 .0 33. .7 27. .7 41. | j j 62 .7 , 33 .9 , 35, .7 28. ,1 26. 4 28. ,0 17. 4 ,6 14. ,6 24. 18. .7 14. ,4 12 ,4 . 101. .7 79. ,5 .0 110. | | j , 3. 8 3. 6 , 3. .9 14. 5 . 14. .5 15. 2 43 ,7 . ,5 44. 45. 1 , .5 466. 437. .5 464. .0 82 .8 , .8 66, .8 99, 16. .4 12 .6 . 15. ,9 1996 Ql. . . 02.. . 03... 04... | 1 | j 43. .4 .3 43. ,3 33. 36. ,2 | j j j 59, .7 .0 44, 116. .7 31. .3 23. 2 25. 4 25. 6 23 . 5 27. 1 39. 6 15. 5 15. 8 18. ,4 15. ,7 16. 2 19. ,0 127. ,0 2 73 . 76. 4 118. 1 | j | | 3. 6 , 3. ,7 3. 7 . 3. 9 . 15. 1 14. 9 14. 5 15. 5 45. ,0 8 44 . 45. 8 45. 5 474. 1 , 673 . ,1 554. .3 467. ,7 .8 122. 131. 1 . .6 89. 119. ,1 19. ,6 14. .5 11. ,4 16. ,9 1997 oi... 02.. . | 1 38.7 24.3 | j 50. ,7 27. ,6 28. 1 22. 2 24. 3 13. 6 18. 5 17. 6 82. 1 2 73 . 1 j 3. 7 3. 7 14. 7 14. 9 48. 0 45. 6 371. 9 357. ,7 95. .0 67. ,9 22. 4 13 . 9 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.C AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN FEEDER LIVESTOCK ALL LOANS OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES BY SIZE OF BANK BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER ANNUAL AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE 1985 . 1986. 1987 . 1988. 1989. 1990. 1991. 1992 . 1993 . 1994. 1995. 1996. 8.6 10.4 13.2 10.0 12.9 22.0 21.4 23.6 28.7 16.8 12.7 10.6 52.1 48.5 49.6 48.2 51.6 74.7 82.8 83.7 92.6 85.7 84.1 87.3 5.2 4.5 3.4 4.6 6.0 5.5 5.8 6.7 6.2 6.4 5.2 4.0 22.6 23.2 22.5 24.3 24.3 26.6 25.5 24.6 24.7 25.4 27.3 35.9 37. 3 4 .,4 11. 3 1 7. 2 7 ..4 13. 5 24. 0 1 .4 2 . 8. 0 | 6. 0 6 ..9 1 3 ..2 22. 3 j 14. 9 12. 6 35. 9 .3 2 . 8 .,3 | ,7 5. 6 ..8 .6 12 . 2 4 .,5 | 17. 1 32. 5 1,.9 7 .,4 5 .,2 6 ..4 .9 12 . 2 3 .,7 | .9 15. 3 2 .,3 .0 2 . 6 .,4 6 ..1 .7 7 , 1 4 ..4 .4 23 . j 1 9 ..6 3 2 .,0 .3 2 , 1 8 ..3 6 ..1 7 ..3 1 5 ..9 4 5 ..3 j 4 4 ..2 3 0 ..5 2 .5 2 7 ..6 6 ..1 7 .6 1 5 ,.1 5 4 ,.0 j 53 . .7 2 9 ..1 2 .9 2 6 ..0 6 ..2 8 .0 1 6 .8 5 2 ..8 j 4 9 ..4 3 4 ..3 2 .5 3 0 ..6 1 7 .1 6 1 ,.0 j 5 8 ,.8 3 3 ,.8 3 .2 .1 6. .8 5. 8 .3 3 3 .9 1 | 7 .4 1 6 .5 5 6 .0 1 5 5 .1 3 0 .6 2 .7 3 6 ..1 | 5 .4 8 .3 1 6 .0 5 4 .4 j 5 5 .3 2 8 .8 2 .4 3 4 .5 .0 7 .1 1 3 .9 6 1 .3 j 6 1 .2 2 6 .1 1 5 AMOUNT OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE 1995 Q2. Q3. 04. 97.62 72.31 84.85 14.4 7.5 10.2 1996 Ql. 02. Q3. Q4. 84.76 118.96 74.72 70.77 9.1 6.6 18.6 8.0 1997 Ql. 84.92 64.44 10.1 4.6 02. 4 ..2 3 9 ..7 ,9 6. 9 ..2 1 7 .3 6 4 .,3 | .3 61. 3 6 ..4 5 ..5 8 ..7 1 6 .,3 4 1 ..7 j 4 8 ..6 .7 23 . .4 4. .1 7 . 1 4 .,1 5 9 ..2 j 6 2 ..5 22 . .4 4 ..0 6 ..1 6,.2 1 4 ..1 6 0 ..5 | .3 55. 2 9 ..5 8,.9 1 6 ..8 8 7 ..2 j 8 9 ..1 2 9 ..9 5 .1 7 .1 1 3 ..0 4 9 ,.5 j 5 6 ,.3 1 8 ,.5 j 4 ..7 6 .4 1 1 ..6 4 8 ,.1 j 4 4 ,.0 2 6 ,.7 | , 6 . 3 . 33 . 0 ,4 3 . 2 4 .5 2 ..1 3 4 ..9 5 ..6 2 4 ..9 1 ..9 42 . .2 | . 5 , 1 3 1 ..0 .7 2 , 3 6 ..9 1 j 4,.2 . 2 , 8 .7 72 . 2,.2 33 , .2 .6 22 , 2,.4 2 8 ,.3 2 .1 3 9 ,.6 27 , .4 3 .2 3 7 .5 1 4 .4 7 .3 1 7 ,.8 5 5 .5 | 4 6 .8 3 8 .2 2 3 ,.3 2 .4 2 9 .0 j 6 .1 8 .5 1 6 .9 3 3 .0 j 3 4 .7 2 9 .7 3,.9 1 7 ..2 6 .7 5 .0 9 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.D AVERAGE MATURITY OF LOANS MADE (MONTHS) ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES BY SIZE OF BANK BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 10 to 24 1 to 9 OTHER 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER , 9. 1 .8 9. 9. .3 10, .2 .3 9. 11, .9 .6 10, 11, .1 11, .1 13 .5 , 12 . 1 , 12 .1 , 7. ,9 7 .1 . 8. .3 7. .7 7. .1 .9 4, .8 5, 7, .2 7, .4 7, .2 8, .2 .3 7, 6. .9 .5 5. 5. .9 8, .1 .8 7. .7 4, 5, .2 6. .4 6, .4 .8 5, 7, .3 6, .4 8. .4 8, .8 .3 9, 8, .8 8, .2 10, .2 9, .6 10, .1 10, .4 .6 12, 11, .4 12, .3 ANNUAL AVERAGE MATURITY 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1 | 1 .0 8, 8, .0 8, .4 8 .7 8.1 7 .5 7 .3 8. 9 9, .2 .3 10. 9. .9 .5 8, 6. ,1 .8 5. 5. .5 6. .4 .8 6. 6. .0 6, .7 6. 1 . 7. 3 7. ,6 8. ,7 7 .8 . .8 7, .3 6, .7 7. .7 4. 7, .4 8. .8 8. 5 . . 9, 5 . 9. 6 .8 9. .9 9. .3 11, .4 13. .0 21. , 22. 8 19. 8 , 18. 7 . . 21. 9 . 24. 6 20. 1 . 30. .4 . 36. 6 26. ,5 29. .4 .3 7, 7. 6 , 7, .6 .5 8, 7 .2 , 7 .5 , 7, .2 .6 8, 8, .3 8. .6 .5 8, 7, .6 8. .8 8. .8 12 .1 . 10, .9 .8 11, 6. .4 .3 5, 9, .4 9, .4 .4 9, .0 10. .2 9, 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 j 1 1 1 | 7 .7 . .0 8. 8. .1 .2 9, .3 8, .2 9, 8, .3 .7 9. .0 10, .6 11, .8 10, .5 10, .7 6, .8 6, 1 .5 • .1 7, .4 7, .4 7, .7 7, 8, .3 8 .5 .6 8. 9 .0 8.6 MATURITY OF LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE .6 10, 9 .0 9.4 7.1 7.9 13.0 9. .2 10, .4 .6 10. .5 9, 6, .8 6, .8 24. .7 30. .4 23 .9 . .7 12, 10, .9 8, .6 | j 1 10, .2 8, .0 .2 8, 12 .1 . .8 9. 10. .0 13. .6 .4 9. .4 11. 8. .4 7. .6 8, .7 6. ,9 ,7 6. ,6 9. ,6 12. 10. ,1 9. 2 j 11, .2 7, .1 7, .8 8, .4 8.3 16.1 5.2 6.4 15. .0 7. .4 10. .8 .9 10. 8, .7 6, .0 .0 10, 9 .2 26, .3 .7 35. .0 28, . 28, 5 17, .4 .8 5, 5, .3 7 .0 , 1 1 j j .9 8, .8 9, 8, .2 7, .1 13 .0 . .7 10, 9. .1 .4 9, 12 .7 , 13, .0 .2 11, 11, .1 10, .1 .6 5, .7 6, 7 .6 , 8. .7 5. .1 6. .1 6. .4 .8 12. .7 12. 12 .5 . 11. .1 1 j .7 11. 11, .0 14.6 7.2 10. .0 .5 13. 12 .2 , 13, .6 . 34, 1 32, 1 . 8 .5 6 .8 1 1 9 .5 9 .5 .8 11, .6 12, 13 .4 , 14, .1 .3 11, 9 .1 9, .1 .6 6. 14, .2 15, .5 1995 Q2 . . . Q3 . . . 04... I 1996 01... 02... 03... 04... | 1997 Ql. . . 02.. . | # # * # * ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.E AVERAGE EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE ON LOANS MADE FEEDER LIVESTOCK ALL LOANS OTHER LIVESTOCK OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES BY SIZE OF BANK BY SIZE OF LOAN ($1,000s) BY PURPOSE OF LOAN FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER 10 to 24 25 to 99 100 and over LARGE OTHER 11.2 9.6 9.2 10.2 12. ,1 10. 9 ,0 9,8 6. 6. ,7 .2 7. .0 9. .8 7. 13. 4 1 12 . 11. 3 11. 6 7 12 . 12. 3 11. 3 9. 4 8. 7 8. ,8 10. ,4 .0 10. ANNUAL AVERAGE INTEREST RATE 12.8 11.5 10.6 11.2 12.5 11.4 9.8 7.8 7.5 7.8 9.5 8.4 1985. 1986. 1987. 1988. 1989. 1990. 1991. 1992. 1993. 1994. 1995. 1996. | j | j j j | j j j | j 12 5 11 1 10 7 10 9 12 ,3 . .5 11. 10. .2 8. ,2 8. .0 .3 8. .1 10, .8 8, 12 7 11 9 10 2 11 9 12. 4 ,0 12. ,0 11. 8. ,6 8. ,1 .0 8. 10. .2 .5 9. 13 0 11. 5 10 8 11 2 12 6 ,7 11. 10. ,4 8. ,8 8. .1 8. ,4 .0 10, 8, .6 13. 7 2 12 . 11. 5 11. 7 12. 8 12 ,3 . ,3 11. .3 9. ,7 8. ,6 8. 10. .3 .7 9. ,1 12. ,2 11. ,5 9. ,7 10. ,3 12. .7 10. 8. .6 .3 6. 6. .2 7. .0 .8 8, .0 8, | j | j | j | j | j | 13. 7 12. 4 11. 6 11. 7 12. 8 12. 5 11. 5 9. 7 9. 0 ,1 9. ,6 10. 10. ,2 2 13 . 12. 0 11. 3 11. 6 7 12 . 12. 4 11. 2 ,3 9. ,7 8. .8 8. 10. ,5 10. .1 13 . 2 11. 8 11. 1 11. 4 12. 7 12. 1 10. 7 ,8 8. 8. ,3 8. .6 10. ,3 ,8 9. 12. 1 10. 8 9. 9 10. 8 12. 2 10. 9 9. 2 7. ,1 6. .9 7. .3 .0 9. .8 7. | j j j j j 1 1 j 1 | 1 AVERAGE RATE ON LOANS MADE DURING FIRST FULL WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER, ANNUAL RATE .9 9 .0 8.8 10, .3 .5 10, 10, 6 . | j | j 7.7 7 .4 8.1 8 .0 10 .0 10 .1 10 .2 9 .9 1 j 8 .6 8 .6 9 .8 10 .1 1995 Q2. Q3 . 04. 9.4 9.5 9.2 | | j .6 9, 9 .8 9 .7 .2 10, .8 9, .6 10, 9 .9 10 .2 9 .4 10, .2 10 .4 10 .0 8 .7 8 .8 8 .8 | j | .6 10, .6 10, .6 10, .6 10, 10 .6 10 .5 10 .4 10 .2 10 .2 8 .8 8 .8 8 .8 1 1 | 1996 Ql. 02. 03. 04. 8.5 8.1 8.6 8.7 | j | | 9 .5 9 .3 8 .0 9 .5 9 .9 8 .9 9 .6 9 .6 8 .8 7 .9 9 .7 9 .8 9 .8 9 .8 9 .9 9 .3 7 .8 8 .1 7 .9 8 .0 | | | j .3 10, 10 .2 10 .2 10 .1 10 .1 10 .1 10 .1 10 .1 9 .8 9 .9 9 .8 9 .7 7 .9 7 .4 7 .9 8 .2 1997 Ql. 9.1 9.3 | j 9 .2 9 .7 9 .6 10 .0 9 .8 10 .0 9 .7 9 .9 8 .5 8 .5 | j 10 .1 10 .2 9 .8 10 .1 9 .7 10 .0 8 .8 8 .6 02. 8 ESTIMATES FROM THE QUARTERLY SAMPLE SURVEY OF BANK NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS TO FARMERS TABLE I.F PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE WITH A FLOATING INTEREST RATE ~ 12 " " BY ALL LOANS FEEDER LIVESTOCK PURPOSE OTHER LIVESTOCK OF BY SIZE OF LOAN OTHER CURRENT OPERATING EXPENSES LOAN FARM MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT 1 to 9 OTHER " BY SIZE ($1, 0 0 0 s ) 10 to 24 25 to 99 OF 100 and over LARGE BANK OTHER ANNUAL PERCENTAGE OF LOANS MADE | 1985 45 3 1 61 4 44 0 19. 6 47. 3 | 2 7 .6 31. 5 4 2 .,0 5 6 .,6 | 77. 1 32. 6 57. 2 30. 9 5 0 .,6 j 40. 6 41. 8 4 8 ..2 ,7 63 . j 71. 9 ,0 47 . 43 9 1986 | 53 4 | 60 5 34 8 1987 1 59 5 | 51 6 69 6 62. 1 5 5 ..5 6 2 .,1 j 48. 5 4 5 .,6 5 4 ..4 6 8 .,5 j 7 7 ., 6 49 . 9 . 5 63 8 54. 9 63 . .2 j 49. 3 5 1 ..5 6 0 ..8 6 7 ..0 j 7 9 ..1 . 52 . 6 4 0 .,0 5 9 ..7 3 2 ..9 ,6 73 . j 50. 4 4 9 ..6 5 8 ..5 6 9 ..1 j 83 . 6 47 . 2 . 4 0 ..0 5 1 .,2 j 53. 6 5 9 ..2 66 . .0 6 7 ,.5 j 6 9 ..4 .3 59 , 1988 1 61 4 1 65 1989 | .0 61. | 7 1 .,4 3 39 1990 | .2 65. j 7 6 .. 8 6 1 ..6 6 8 ..3 1991 | .1 65. j 8 1 ..5 6 9 .,3 6 8 ..8 4 0 .,6 5 0 ..3 j 52. 0 5 9 ..0 6 4 ..0 .8 67 . j 7 0 ..0 5 6 .. 1 7 8 .. 5 63 . ,5 6 6 ..3 4 7 .,8 7 5 ..3 j 57. 3 5 9 ..1 6 1 ..2 7 8 ..6 j 8 2 ..9 5 5 ..5 8 4 ., 6 7 0 ..0 7 0 ..3 4 8 ..2 7 8 ..1 j 60. 1 6 1 ..0 6 4 ..5 83 . .9 j 8 6 ..9 58 . .9 .3 72 . 5 1 ..6 7 5 ..7 | 58. 6 5 9 ..8 7 0 ..4 8 0 ..2 j 8 3 ..7 5 9 ..7 1992 1 j 1993 7 1 ..7 7 6 ..7 1994 7 3 8 2 ..9 7 4 ..3 j 8 3 ..9 7 5 ..9 73 . .0 5 3 ..1 7 2 ..2 j 61. 7 6 3 ..9 7 3 ..6 7 6 ..7 j 7 9 ..9 6 2 ..3 j 5 8 .. 1 7 1 ..2 .3 67 . 3 2 ..9 6 1 ..4 j 60. 6 6 1 ..5 6 9 ,.1 62 . .2 L 6 5 ..4 5 7 ..9 PERCENTAGE DURING .8 82 , 7 9 .5 7 5 ..1 1995 | 1 j 1996 .8 • .1 63 . AVERAGE 1995 Q2 . . . Q3 . . . 1 j 6 7 ,.3 | FIRST FULL 6 5 .7 WEEK OF SECOND MONTH OF QUARTER 5 9 ..7 6 2 ,.0 | 60. .9 6 3 ..2 6 6 ,.1 6 9 ,.0 6 1 ..7 6 5 ,.1 7 2 ..1 7 7 ,.2 1 j 7 3 ,.7 8 3 ,.3 5 6 ,.7 j 6 0 ..6 6 6 ,.3 7 7 .0 7 9 ,.1 j 8 0 .8 6 5 .5 6 3 .3 7 3 .4 . 7 6 .3 5 1 ..1 6 5 ..3 5 0 ..2 8 2 ..0 8 6 .5 7 8 ..0 3 7 ..9 7 5 ,.0 j 5 3 .2 Q4... 7 6 ..7 | Ql. . . 1 7 0 .4 1 8 6 .4 5 6 ,.6 7 4 ..6 4 0 .0 6 7 .0 | .1 58. 6 1 ,.6 6 7 .1 7 2 .8 | 7 4 .1 Q2 . . . 1996 j 82 . 8 j 6 1 .9 j 8 5 .9 8 2 .0 6 2 .4 2 6 .9 5 5 .8 j 6 1 ..8 6 3 ,.9 6 9 .2 6 0 .3 j 6 3 .7 5 6 .4 3 4 .8 7 6 .3 7 0 .5 3 2 .2 5 6 .5 | .7 62. 6 3 ,.3 7 3 .0 4 8 .7 .8 5 6 .9 7 1 .0 3 1 .2 6 4 .4 j 5 8 ..3 5 6 .2 6 6 .7 6 6 .1 1 j 7 1 .1 5 4 .3 5 5 .3 Q3 . . . 5 4 Q4... 1997 | 6 4 .8 | 5 7 .0 7 5 .1 Ql... 1 7 1 .2 7 5 .6 | 7 2 .6 7 5 .0 6 7 ,.3 5 2 .0 7 4 .7 | .8 59, 5 6 .3 6 9 .2 7 4 .7 | 8 1 .3 5 8 .9 j 6 4 .6 6 7 .1 6 1 .9 4 5 .1 9 2 .4 j 6 0 ..1 5 6 .3 6 7 .7 8 7 .4 j 8 9 .9 5 8 .8 Q2... j PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS MADE BY BANKS. 1 BY EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE Effective interest rate (percent) All Loans Under 5 percent Memo: Perecentage Distribution of Number of Loans, May 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Feb 97 May 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 - - - - - - - 4 - - - - - * - 14 * * 23 3 14 6 1 1 5.0 to 5.9 - - - - 1 11 4 4 6.0 to 6.9 - - - - 11 13 14 7.0 to 7.9 1 1 - - 30 18 22 21 14 19 11 2 2 8.0 to 8.9 11 10 - - 17 23 18 22 11 15 20 14 10 9.0 to 9.9 21 20 - 1 9 17 16 20 35 18 30 41 37 10.0 to 1 0 . 9 . . . 23 27 5 8 22 10 20 4 24 15 21 31 33 11.0 to 11.9 . . . 22 23 8 33 8 7 5 2 11 3 9 11 15 12.0 to 1 2 . 9 . . . 19 15 39 39 2 1 1 * 1 1 2 9 3 1 * * 2 * * * * * * * * * * * * 34 14 - - - - 8 5 - - - - - 4 - - - - - - - 16.0 to 16.9.. . - - - - - - - - — 17.0 to 1 7 . 9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 18.0 to 1 8 . 9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13.0 to 13.9.. . 3 3 14.0 to 1 4 . 9 . . . - 15.0 to 15.9 . . . 1 * - * 19.0 to 1 9 . 9 . . . - - - - - — - - - - - 20.0 to 20.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 21.0 to 21.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 22.0 to 22.9 . . . - — - - - - - - - - - - - 23.0 to 23.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 24.0 to 24.9 . . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - 25.0 and over . . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1. Percentage distribution of the estimated total dollar amount of non-real-estate farm loans of $1,000 or more made by insured commercial banks during the week covered by the survey, which is the first full business week of the month specified. Data are estimates from the Federal Reserve survey of terms of bank lending to farmers. Percentages may not add to 100 percent because of rounding. * indicates less than .5 percent. 14 TABLE I . H I SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 5-9, 1997 Loans to .armers Size class of loans (thousands) all sizes $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over 1,368,271 54.100 18 . 36 5 . 11 3 .09 121,197 32,284 9 . 64 4 .37 2 .71 175,769 11,806 .86 12, 6, .99 2 .70 158,789 4,812 15. .62 ,47 5. ,75 2. 196,713 2,968 20 .38 6 .39 2 .80 226,684 1,600 31, .56 .23 11, .78 2, 489,118 631 16.54 1.39 3.62 ALL BANKS Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating 3 6 Weighted average interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 5 8 Interquartile Range 6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 9 .33 0 .20 10 .15 0 .10 10 .06 0 .03 10. .09 0. ,15 9 .91 0 .20 .31 9, 0 .16 8.40 0.36 10 .25 8 . 57 10 .70 9 .61 10 .52 9 .51 .75 10. .51 9. 10 .52 9 .15 10 .08 8 .84 9.11 7.09 10 .10 10 .11 10 . 16 10 .38 10 .37 10 .04 10 .05 10 .05 10 .18 9 .77 9 .99 9 .75 .17 10. 10. .21 .13 10. .57 10. 9. .92 9. .76 9 .72 10 .22 10 .23 10 .23 8 .76 9 .53 9 .52 9 .10 9 .46 10 .10 9 .19 9 .16 9.25 9.90 9.52 7.54 9.39 7.97 74 . 13 78 .24 21 .21 2 .74 59 .85 73 .65 27 .36 2 .25 55 .59 72 .63 29 .84 1 .16 63 .75 . .81 71, .18 24. .47 1. 69 .11 66 .37 23 .06 2 .86 68 .82 70 .13 23 .56 4 .33 92.18 92.02 13.80 3.05 6 . 80 7 . 12 36 .44 3 . 82 4 . 93 40 . 88 6 . 16 8 .49 68 .29 4 .69 1 .20 11 .17 6 .91 9 .42 58 .53 7 .62 3 .84 13 .68 .59 11, 7, .78 .40 49, .55 6, .92 5, .76 18, 7 .49 12 .60 42 .54 4 .62 6 .47 26 .29 5 .75 6 .00 31 .86 3 .78 10 .95 41 .67 5.58 4.06 16.08 1.06 2.52 70.70 9 .74 63 .88 4 .22 88 .42 7 .56 84 .83 8, .65 81 .15 9 .33 85 .01 22 .46 62 .12 6.51 36.98 9 . 72 9 . 96 9 . 97 9 . 91 9 .35 8 . 53 TABLE I.H.2 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 5-9, 1997 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) $1-9 $10-24 $25-49 $50-99 $100-249 $250 and over 794,678 15,391 10.39 2.75 3.55 28,849 7,584 9.20 2.45 2.98 53,418 3,547 10.67 3.55 3.01 54,472 1,649 13.84 4.32 3.15 84, 685 1,249 13.05 3.49 3.19 130,112 873 15.61 8.98 3.36 443,142 489 7.85 1.14 3.78 8.84 0.25 10.06 0.13 10.02 0.11 9.87 0.04 9.51 0.08 9.21 0.13 8.26 0.33 9.84 7.91 10.63 9.46 10.69 9.38 10.50 9.35 9.99 8.90 9.84 8.77 11 07 9.60 9.75 9.75 8.82 9.03 8.41 10.01 10.10 10.16 9.97 10.23 9.88 9.77 9.85 10.26 9.82 10.35 9.73 9.56 9.90 10.07 9.99 9.73 9.73 9 56 9 74 9 66 9.94 9.20 9.37 9.36 9.33 9.65 9.38 ,66 88.66 81.30 90.66 23.95 0.72 81.82 91.22 25.79 1.15 85.97 85.20 23.09 1.49 80.35 84.91 22.08 0.59 40.88 ,36 , 67 54.68 2.42 2.83 11.17 4.54 8.37 47.75 33 76 13.68 7.25 6.65 37.27 4.55 5.00 18.76 5.98 52.35 4.14 83.12 78.93 8.80 9.43 73.98 all sizes LARGE FARM LENDERS1 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans 15 With floating rates 16 Made under commitment 17 Callable 18 Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 92.64 16.70 2.40 4.58 4.82 21.60 1.41 2.86 8.61 9.08 ,87 ,36 .54 8.36 7.97 82.22 93.77 96.88 12.33 3.37 7.12 8.85 31.60 1.16 6.38 26.29 4.68 5.73 20.94 09 41.67 3.76 2.94 12.65 1.17 1.45 70.70 10.52 76.34 7 35 73 86 4.06 33.58 87.37 20.09 1.52 12 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 15 16 TABLE I.H.3 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 5-9 z 1997 Loans to farmers Size class of loans (thousands) all sizes -9 $1- 24 $10-: $25-49 $50-! 39 $100-249 $250 and over 573,593 38.709 28 .27 7 . 57 2 .53 92,347 24,700 .77 9. .81 4. .65 2, 352 122,: 8,258 13 .78 8 .09 2 .59 317 104,: 163 3,: 16 .49 5 .89 2 .57 112,028 1,719 25 .56 7 .91 2 .55 96,572 727 51 .03 12 . 98 2 .31 45,976 142 .53 89, .38 3, .49 2, 10 . 01 0 . 16 .18 10, .13 0, 10 .08 0 .05 10 .20 0 .22 10 .22 0 .29 0 .23 .45 0, 10 . 56 9 . 33 .70 10. .64 9. 10 .52 9 .62 10 .80 9 .66 11 .02 9 .47 10 .20 8 .84 10, .51 .61 8, 9 .79 10 . 09 10 .09 10 .21 9 . 52 9 . 91 .12 10. .11 10, .16 10, 10, .44 .55 10, 10, .28 10 .12 10 .13 10 .15 9 .76 9 .84 9 .79 10 .34 10 .34 10 . 14 10 .75 10 .00 9 .82 9 .83 10 .44 10 .49 10 .27 8 .43 9 .96 9 .67 8 .82 9 .35 10 .11 9 .35 9 .79 .61 8, .96 9, 9, .92 54 .00 58 . 30 27 .46 3 .21 53. .15 68, .34 28, .43 .73 2, 44 .14 64 .51 31 .62 1 .16 52 .14 64 .83 24 .75 1 .46 60 .61 52 .36 23 . 81 4 .57 50 .77 46 .91 28 .23 8 . 12 76 .85 45 . 18 27 . 89 9 . 88 10 .31 57 .01 7 . 16 7 .80 40 .88 6 .72 8 .75 72 .54 , .40 5, .70 0, . 11, 17 7 .94 9 .88 63 .24 9 .49 3 .87 13 .68 13 .85 8 . 37 55 .74 7 .60 6 .40 18 .76 7 .76 15 .43 50 .80 7 .24 6 .53 26 .29 7 .19 6 .36 46 . 57 8 .76 20 .15 41 .67 23 .15 14 .79 49 .16 14 .96 79 .86 4 .25 90 .08 7 .02 87 .41 8 .25 84 .90 8 .43 91 .57 42 .82 46 .29 30 .18 69 .82 OTHER BANKS7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans 15 With floating rates 16 Made under commitment 17 Callable 18 Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 9 .45 .70 9, 10, .51 12 .89 70 .70 TABLE I.H.4 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 5-9, 1997 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low Moderate Acceptable Special Not Rated Not Reported ALL BANKS Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent) 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.2 5th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 271 54, 100 18 . 3 6 5 . 11 3 .09 9 .33 0 .20 84, 457 5, 560 17 .03 7 .56 1 .00 9 .69 0 . 12 189,329 9, 324 32 .39 5 .72 2 .00 9 . 55 0 .22 335,439 18, 591 26 .04 5 . 60 3 .00 356,476 6,671 7.15 2.09 4.00 46, 745 1, 323 17 . 97 0 . 64 5 .00 69,349 3, 577 19 . 04 9.41 286,477 9,055 12.86 9.99 9 .90 0 .19 8.60 0.29 10 .45 0 .22 10.23 0.30 8.93 0.23 10 . 52 9 .31 9.38 7.48 11 . 02 9 .99 11. 02 9.78 9.84 7.96 9 .74 10 .34 10 .09 9 .95 9 . 51 9 .20 9.86 9.40 10.15 9.29 9.89 8.19 10 .85 10 .40 10 .43 9 .43 10 .79 10 . 53 10.03 10 .28 10. 50 10. 92 8 . 84 10.64 9.18 10.03 9.83 9 . 69 9.24 8.59 10 .25 8 . 57 10 .27 9 . 01 9 .72 9 . 96 9 . 97 9 . 91 9. 3 5 8. 5 3 10 . 12 10 . 11 9 .46 10 .47 10 . 00 9 . 50 9 .50 9 .50 9 .66 9 . 64 9 . 18 9 .46 74 .13 78 .24 21 .21 2 . 74 56 .70 39 . 60 24 .07 6 .87 61, 16 . 67, .71 32 .27 . 6, .84 70 .82 74, .72 24 .50 , 3 .07 . 89.47 93.33 8.47 2.36 90 . 58 89 .47 48 .48 43 .16 35 . 88 30.09 77.43 90.39 18.48 6, .80 , 7 . 12 3 6.,44 3 . 82 . 4 . 93 40 . 88 13, .98 6, 10 . 66, 73 , 7 , 05 4. ,52 1. 63 , 15. ,41 11. ,84 45. 95 7. 84 10. 29 8. 66 7. .04 9. ,47 56. ,29 4 ,35 . 7. .25 15. 59 1.49 3.86 15.20 2.15 0.93 76.37 2 .21 , 1, 61 . 69. .24 0. .92 0. .04 25. 98 , 18 .71 18.29 38. 24 8.20 10.99 5.59 3.19 3.80 18.63 1.10 3 .10 70.18 9. ,74 63 , 88 . 11. 07 , 81. 42 17 . 48 77 . 38 14 . 36 77 . 01 3.66 23.01 11. 96 62. 73 10.89 87.42 5.75 79.76 10 .09 8 .76 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 17 18 TABLE I. H. 5 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 5-9, 1997 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low Moderate Acceptable Special Not Rated Not Reported 39, 855 520 19 .45 0 .20 5 .00 4,<476 56 8 .22 8 .09 234,582 5,362 12.14 11.05 LARGE FARM LENDERS7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent)4 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan 9 Feeder livestock 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans With floating rates Made under commitment Callable Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other 15 16 17 18 Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 794, 679 15, 391 10 .39 2 .75 3 .55 12,: 284 705 19 .41 7 . 62 1 .00 60, 265 1, 742 15 .58 2 . 14 2 .00 130,538 4,494 12 .77 3 .88 3 .00 312, 676 2, 513 5 .98 1 . 13 4 .00 8 .84 0 .25 9 .42 0 .17 9 .11 0 .23 9 .49 0 .22 8 .33 0 .30 10 .46 0 .20 10 .89 0 .24 8.75 0.31 9 .84 7 .91 10 .15 8 .90 9 .95 8 .55 10 .42 8 .84 9 .11 7 .37 11 .02 9 .99 11 .02 11 .02 9.65 7.32 9 .60 9 .75 9 .75 8 .82 9 .03 8 .41 9 . 66 9 .68 9 .43 10 .06 8 .66 9 .30 9 .79 9 .67 8 .99 8 .51 8 .84 8 .39 9 .55 9 .71 9 .84 10 .09 8 . 60 8 .92 9 .14 9 .30 9 .79 7 .84 9 .74 8 .13 11 .14 10 .77 10 .41 9 .37 10 .79 10 .54 11 .04 10 .91 10 .26 10 .75 9.33 9.94 9.92 10.02 9.24 8.58 88 . 66 92 . 64 16 .70 2 .40 69 . 15 45 .73 9 .58 13 .29 80 .34 86 .38 32 .43 16 .28 78 . 10 88 .94 31 .08 5 . 83 93 .73 96 .72 5 . 66 95 .52 94 .92 50 .61 87 .31 89 .22 99 .64 89.79 93.02 12.42 4 . 58 4 .82 21 . 60 1 .41 2 .86 40 .88 6 .65 2 . 17 72 .84 6 .41 9 . 30 1 .63 17 .01 10 .21 54 . 10 3 .71 5 .56 8 .66 13 .34 6 .58 47 .31 1 .26 5 .09 15 .59 0 .78 3 .98 8 .54 1 .47 0 .86 76 .37 2 .13 1 .42 65 .43 0 .95 0 .05 25 .98 1 .59 94 .06 4 .23 35 .46 198 .47 5 .59 1.96 2.58 6.55 70.18 5 .98 52 .35 6 .70 89 .13 9 .81 81 . 56 11 .86 71 .00 1 .91 14 .67 13 .34 60 .55 311 .98 100 .00 80.45 - - - TABLE I.H.6 SURVEY OF TERMS OF BANK LENDING MADE DURING MAY 5-9, 1997 Loans to farmers Risk Rating All Minimal Low Moderate Acceptable Special Not Rated Not Reported 573,593 38,709 28.27 7.57 2.53 72,172 4,855 16.63 7.55 129,063 7,582 40.18 7.38 2.00 204,901 14,097 34.48 6.63 3.00 43,799 4,158 15.41 8.97 4.00 6,890 803 9.50 3.20 5.00 64,873 3,522 19.14 9.42 51,895 3,692 15.08 8.90 10.01 0.16 9.73 0.15 0.21 9.75 10.17 0.18 10.48 0.42 10.42 0.56 10.19 0.35 9.71 0.34 10. 56 9.33 10.33 9.01 10.41 9.00 10.65 9.55 11.47 9.95 11.57 10.11 10.79 9.75 10.38 8.95 9.79 10.09 10.09 10.21 9.52 9.91 10.16 10.14 9.46 10.53 10.57 9.56 9.34 10.47 10.34 10.50 11.44 10.56 10.09 9.50 9.28 10.50 9.88 10.12 10.03 9.96 10.50 10.92 8.84 10.64 9.02 10.15 9.79 9.36 10.02 10.28 10.57 10.22 9.93 9.85 9.73 54.00 58.30 27.46 3.21 54.58 38.56 26.54 8.04 52.20 58.99 32.19 8.77 66.19 65.66 20.30 0.24 59.08 69.12 28.55 1.85 61.97 57.91 36.15 40.11 32.20 25.29 21.56 78.50 45.89 9.88 10.31 57.01 7.16 7.80 40.88 15.22 6.76 65.68 7.16 3.71 1.63 14.67 3.04 11.31 6.60 19.89 13.06 40.58 8.76 8.75 9.32 73.25 3.00 5.59 70.18 14.96 79.86 11.82 80.11 11.65 86.55 4.82 76.66 OTHER BANKS7 1 2 3 4 5 Amount of loans (thousands) Number of loans Weighted average maturity (months)1 Weighted average repricing interval (months)2 Weighted average risk rating3 4 6 Weighted average 5 interest rate (percent) 7 Standard error 8 Interquartile Range6 a.75th Percentile b.25th Percentile By purpose of loan Feeder livestock 9 10 Other livestock 11 Other current operating expenses 12 Farm machinery and equipment 13 Farm real estate 14 Other Percentage of the amount of loans 15 With floating rates 16 Made under commitment 17 Callable 18 Subject to prepayment penalty By purpose of the loan 19 Feeder livestock 20 Other livestock 21 Other current operating expenses 22 Farm machinery and equipment 23 Farm real estate 24 Other By type of collateral 25 Farm real estate 26 Other Footnotes are at the end of table I.H 1.00 10.06 9.84 9.25 12.60 42.15 9.77 12 . 50 8.66 21.06 75.42 6.32 8.63 15.59 7.03 1.44 76.37 2.67 2.69 91.25 0.73 110.59 25.98 15.96 80.84 16.15 82.55 3.94 75.31 62.01 2.97 62.80 9.17 o CM NOTES TO TABLE I.H The Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers collects data on gross loan extensions made during the first full business week in the mid-month of each quarter by a sample of 250 banks of all sizes. The sample data are blown up to estimate the lending terms at all insured agricultural banks during that week. The estimated terms of bank lending are not intended for use in collecting the terms of loans extended over the entire quarter or those residing in the portfolios of banks. Loans of less than $1,000 are excluded from the survey. 1. Average maturities are weighted by loan size and exclude loans with no stated maturity. 2. The repricing interval measures the period from the date the loan is made until it first may be repriced. For floating-rate loans that are subject to repricing at any time-such as many prime-based loans-the repricing interval is zero. For floating rate loans that have a scheduled repricing interval, the interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it is next scheduled to reprice. For loans having rates that remain fixed until the loan matures (fixedrate loans), the interval measures the number of days between the date the loan is made and the date on which it matures. Loans that reprice daily are assumed to reprice on the business day after they are made. 3. A complete description of these risk rating categories is available from the Banking and Money Market Statistics Section, mail stop 81, the Federal Reserve Board, Washington, DC 20551. The category "Moderate Risk" includes the average loan, under average economic conditions, at the typical lender. The weighted-average risk ratings are calculated by assigning a value of "1" to minimal risk loans; "2" to low risk loans; "3" to moderate risk loans; "4" to acceptable risk loans; and "5" to special mention and classified loans. These values are weighted by loan amount and exclude loans with no risk rating. Some of the loans are not rated for risk. 4. Effective (compounded) annual interest rates are calculated from the stated rate and other terms of the loans and weighted by loan size. 5. The chances are about two out of three that the average rate shown would differ by less than this amount from the average rate that would be found by a complete survey of lending at all banks. 6. The interquartile range shows the interest rate range that encompasses the middle 50 percent of the total dollar amount of loans made. 7. Among banks reporting loans to farmers, most "large banks" (survey strata 1 and 2) had over $25 million in farm loans, most "other banks" (survey strata 3 to 5) had farm loans below $25 million. Table I.I Survey of Terms of Bank Lending to Farmers, (selected quarters) hv TISDA Farm Production Region* Proportion of farm loans outstanding, Mar. 1996 HE_ USDA Region _AE_ _££L _DL_ -PA- _£E_ 2.8 .3 10. .9 25. 17.3 6. .1 5. .0 5. .1 9. .4 .9 6. 11. .1 Sample Coverage, May 1997 survey (%) 29.4 .9 4. 6. .9 14.0 12. .1 13, .5 6. .4 6, .6 .3 25. .9 71. Avg. Loan Size, . Mav 1997 survev ($1000) 75.6 17, .9 19. .1 23.8 63, .3 20. .2 .0 25, 32 .4 16. .1 107. .1 Weighted Average Interest Rate; During Samole Week Survey date: Nov. 1991 9. 8 ( 23) 10. 6 ( 27) 10.2 ( 38) 9.3 ( .71) 7. .1 (1. .03) 9.4 (. 18) 9.2 (. 33) 10. 0 (.52) 9. 5 (. 58) 8.3 (.36) Feb. 1992 8.4 ( 15) 10.2 ( 16) 9. 3 ( 21) 8.8 ( .44) 6. .3 .06) (1. 8. 0 (. 33) 8.2 (. 67) 8. 7 ( .57) . 8. .2 ( .45) . 6.8 ( .21) May 1992 8. 6 ( 20) 9. 8 ( 19) 9. 1 ( 13) 8.4 ( .55) 6. .3 (1. .29) 8. 0 (. 35) 8. 3 (. 53) 9. .0 ( .81) . .9 7. ( • 43) . 7.3 (.19) Aug. 1992 7. 7 ( 15) 9. 3 ( 21) 9. 1 ( 10) 8.6 (.50) .6 5. (1. .36) 7. 0 (17) 8. .1 ( ,30) . 8. .3 ( .94) . 7. .5 ( .32) . 7.1 (.27) Nov. 1992 7. 9 ( 28) 9. 2 ( 18) 8 3 ( 25) 7.9 (.56) .5 5. .38) (1. 7. 3 (. 39) 8. .4 ( .13) . 8. .2 ( .50) . 7. .6 ( .47) . 6.9 (.33) Feb. 1993 7 8 ( 27) 9. 0 ( 28) 8 0 ( 27) 8.0 ( .47) 5. .6 ( .90) . ' 8. 3 ( .22) . 7. ,8 ( .41) - 7. .8 ( .61) . 7. .5 ( .41) . 6.5 ( .44) May 1993 8 1 ( 24) 8 7 ( 21) 8 1 ( 27) 7.9 ( .32) 5. .2 ( .57) . 8. 4 (. 29) 7. ,8 ( .43) . 8. .3 ( .48) . 7. .7 ( .52) . 6.8 (.26) Aug. 1993 8 2 ( 35) 7 5 ( 69) 8 2 ( 18) 8.0 (.33) 5, .7 ( .94) . 7. 3 . ( .37) . 7. .0 ( .74) . 7. .7 ( .62) . 7. .1 ( .34) - 7.2 (.39) Nov. 1993 8. .3 ( .28) - 8. .1 ( .19) • 7. .8 ( .22) • 7.4 ( .50) 5. .3 (1. .73) 6. .3 ( .07) . 8. .2 ( .12) . 7. .8 ( .57) . 7. .1 ( .36) . 6.7 ( .49) Feb. 1994 7. .7 ( .32) . 8. .6 ( .25) • .9 7, (.22) • 7.5 ( .39) 5. .2 (1 .09) 7. .3 ( .09) . 7. .7 ( .33) . 7. .6 ( .43) . 7. .3 ( .69) . 6.9 ( .31) May 1994 .7 8. ( .28) . 9. .0 ( .26) . 8, .0 (.17) • 8.1 ( .23) 6 .1 (.79) 8. .2 ( .29) . 7. .8 ( .60) . 8. .4 (. .36) 7. .5 ( .34) . 7.2 (.26) Aug. 1994 9. .1 (.19) . 8, .6 (.41) • 8 .3 (.40) 8.6 (.19) 6 .5 (.83) 8. .6 ( .11) . 7. 6 . ( .72) . 8. .6 ( .37) - 7, .6 ( .35) . 7.5 ( .25) Nov. 1994 10. .2 (.38) 9, .7 (.18) • 8 .9 (.18) 8.5 (.39) 7 .1 (.39) 8. .5 ( .37) . 8. .8 ( .68) . 9. .0 ( .17) - .0 8. (.43) • 8.5 (.20) Feb. 1995 11 .7 (.65) 10, .7 (.14) 10 .0 (.14) 9.9 (.16) 8 .6 (.79) 7. .2 (1. .79) 10, .4 (.34) . 10. .4 ( .21) . 9. .4 (.50) • 9.4 ( .25) 1995 9 .0 (.38) 10 .4 (.29) 9 .3 (.45) 9.4 (.42) 8 .5 (.93) 10, .2 ( .31) , 10 .7 (.74) 10. .1 (.18) , 9 .3 (.23) . 9.3 ( .34) Aug. 1995 9 .6 (.36) 10 .3 (.21) 9 .3 (.46) 9.8 (.16) 8 .1 (.96) 9. .6 (.10) • 10 .4 (.31) 10 .1 (.22) 9 .4 (.39) 9.5 (.29) Nov. 1995 10 .8 (.32) 10 .3 (.21) 8 .3 (.93) 9.6 ( .26) 7 .9 (.80) 10 .1 (.25) 10 .3 (.32) 9 .8 (.24) 9 .3 (.66) 8.9 ( .40) Feb. 1996 8 .8 (.32) 9 .9 (.25) 8 .0 (1 .10) 9.4 (.22) 7 .3 (.99) 9 .4 (.31) 10 .9 (.22) 9 .9 (.24) 8 .9 (.85) 8.1 (.65) 1996 10 .3 (.25) 10 .2 (.13) 7 .3 (.93) 9.0 (.38) 8 .1 (.86) 9 .6 (.68) 10 .4 (.36) 9 .8 (.25) 8 .7 (.78) 8.3 (.65) Aug. 1996 8 .3 (.87) 9 .9 (.18) 8 .9 (.49) 9.4 (.25) 7 .6 (.82) 9 .4 (.59) 10 .0 (.37) 9 .4 (.18) 8 .9 (.58) 8.1 (.56) Nov. 1996 10 .1 (.21) 9 .9 (.14) 9 .3 (.11)' 9.0 (.55) 7 .5 (.82) 9 .3 (.57) 9 .9 (.40) 9 .1 (.25) 9 .0 (.75) 8.6 (.48) Feb. 1997 8 .8 (.11) 9 .5 . .26) ( 9 .5 (.12) 9.3 (.22) 8 .0 (.51) 9 .9 (.32) 9 .5 (.35) 9 .5 (.24) 10 .1 (.27) 8.7 (.35) May May 8 .3 9 .9 9.5 9 .2 10 .2 9 .7 10 .0 (.27) ( ,62) (,66) {,29) (.22) (,23) (,29) NE is Northeast, LS is Lake States, CB is Cornbelt, NP is Northern Plains, AP is Appalachia, SE Southeast, DL is Delta States, SP is Southern Plains, MN is Mountain States, and PA is Pacific. May 1997 9 .4 ( .43) 10 .1 f.17) Standard errors are in parentheses below each estimate. Standard errors are calculated from 100 replications of a bootstrap procedure (resampling of banks) in each region. 8.7 ( -51) 22 SECTION II: SELECTED STATISTICS FROM THE QUARTERLY REPORTS OF CONDITION OF COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLES: Commercial banks: II. A II.B II.C II.D II.E Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated Estimated volume of farm loans at insured commercial banks delinquent non-real-estate farm loans at insured commercial banks . net charge - off s of non-real-estate farm loans at insured commercial banks delinquent real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks net charge-offs of real estate farm loans at insured commercial banks 24 25 26 27 28 Agricultural banks: II.F II.G II.H II.I Distribution of agricultural banks by ratio of nonperforming loans to total loans Distribution of agricultural banks by rate of return to equity Loan-deposit ratios at agricultural banks Failures of agricultural banks 29 30 31 32 SOURCES OF DATA: The data in tables II.A through II.H are prepared using data from the quarterly reports of condition and income for commercial banks. Delinquencies and charge-offs of non-real-estate farm loans for the nation as a whole (table II.B and table II.C) are estimated from reports of banks that hold more than 90 percent of total non-real-estate farm loans. The incomplete coverage arises because banks with less than $300 million in ^ assets have been excused from some reporting requirements. First, these smaller banks report delinquencies and charge - offs of "agricultural loans" according to the particular bank's own definition, which may include loans that are secured by farm real estate. Furthermore, small banks that hold less than 5 percent of total loans as farm production loans are not required to report any information regarding delinquencies or chargeoffs of "agricultural loans." In constructing the data presented in the tables, banks that are not required to report these data are assumed to have the same delinquency rates as those that do report. Recently, banks began to report delinquencies of loans that are secured by farm real estate. These data, which are shown in tables II.D and II.E, are reported by all banks, regardless of the size of the institution or the relative amounts of farm loans that they hold. Because "agricultural loans" and loans secured by farm real estate may overlap for some small banks, it is unclear whether it is proper to add the data in table II.B to its counterpart in table II.D to obtain total agricultural delinquencies. A similar caveat applies to the data concerning charge - offs in tables II.C and II.E. Examination of total lending at banks that have a high exposure to agricultural loans provides an alternative perspective on the agricultural lending situation. Agricultural banks in table II.D through table II.I are those that have a proportion of farm loans (real estate plus nonreal estate) to total loans that is greater than the unweighted average at all banks. The estimate of this average was 15.0 percent in March of 1997. Information on failed banks (table II.I) is obtained from news releases of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, with agricultural banks broken out in our tabulation according to the definition stated in the previous paragraph. SECTION II: (continued) Recent D e v e l o p m e n t s : Loans outstanding: As of March 1997, the quarterly change in the volume of farm loans, both those secured by farm real estate and other farm loans, was roughly in line with the average change seen during the same season for the past several years. The yearly change in total farm loans was 3.4 percent, a bit faster growth than in the previous year, but far short of the average rate of expansion in farm lending seen during the 1990s. Problem loans: At the end of March 1997. delinquent farm non-real- estate loans amounted to $1/3 billion, about 3.3 percent of such loans outstanding. Both in absolute levels and as a p e r c e n t a g e of loans outstanding, are about the same as in the first quarter of 1996, w h e n a slight increase in the rate of d e l i n q u e n c i e s first was noticeable. However, after a slight increase last year, net c h a r g e - o f f s of farm non-real - estate loans dropped back to roughly the average seen in 1993 through 1995. The v o l u m e outstanding of delinquent farm real estate loans was unchanged from year - earlier levels, and charge - offs of these loans were about flat as well. Compared with the previous year, the proportion of agricultural banks that reported a level of nonperforming loans that was greater than 2 percent of total loans b e g a n to shrink a bit, after edging up on a year - over-year basis for about two years. Performance of agricultural banks: The average rate of return on assets at agricultural banks in the first quarter of 1997 was 0.3 percent, identical to the annual return at agricultural banks for the past several years. On March 31, 1997, the average capital ratio for agricultural banks remained near the high seen in mid 1995. Although capital ratios edged down slightly, on average, in 1996 as the volume of problem loans grew, agricultural banks were able to weather the apparently temporary slip in loan repayments, and now appear to remain well - capitalized as farm financial prospects seem to be improving. As has been the case for the past three or four years, at the close of 1996, the ratio of loans to deposits at a g r i c u l t u r a l banks remained quite high relative to historical norms. Failures of agricultural banks: No agricultural banks failed in the first two quarters of 1997. Given the strong capital positions of most agricultural banks and their low levels of problem loans, the number of failures seems likely to remain fairly small in coming quarters. 23 24 TABLE II.A FARM DEBT OUTSTANDING AT COMMERCIAL BANKS, END OF QUARTER PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS QUARTER LOAN VOLUME, BILLIONS OF DOLLARS REAL ESTATE LOANS NONREAL ESTATE LOANS REAL ESTATE LOANS NONREAL ESTATE LOANS TOTAL LOANS 1989 Q l . . . Q2 . . . Q3 . . . Q4. . . 1990 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1 1 j REAL ESTATE LOANS NONREAL ESTATE LOANS 44.2 47. 0 48. 0 47.4 15. 8 16. 3 16. 5 16. 6 28. 4 30. 7 31. 5 30. 8 | j j j -2.2 6.3 2.1 -1.2 2. 7 3. 0 1.2 0. 9 -4.7 8. 2 2. 5 -2.2 1 | j j 3-2 3.5 4.1 4.9 7.5 7.6 7.6 8.0 1.0 1.5 2.4 3.3 | j j j 46. 1 49. 0 50. 5 50. 1 16. 8 17. 1 17. 3 17. 2 29. 3 31. 9 33. 2 32. 9 | j j -2.8 6.4 3.1 -0.8 0. 7 2. 2 1. 1 -0. 6 -4.7 8. 7 ,1 4. -0. 9 1 | j 1 4.3 4.3 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.1 5.0 3.5 3.4 3.9 5.5 6.9 | j j j 49. 5 52. 6 53. 9 53. 0 17 5 18 1 18. 3 18. .4 32. 0 34. 5 35. 6 34. 6 | j | | -1.3 6.2 2.5 -1.6 1. 5 3. 4 1. 4 0. 6 -2. 8 ,7 7. 3. ,1 -2. ,7 1 j 7.4 7.2 6.6 ,7 5. 4.3 5.5 5.8 7.0 9.1 8.1 7.1 5.1 | | 51. 9 55. ,1 56. ,2 ,5 54, 18, .9 .5 19, 19, .9 19, .9 33. 0 35. 6 36. 2 34. 7 | -2.1 6.2 1.9 -2.9 ,7 2. .3 3. .9 1. -0. .2 .6 -4. ,8 7, .9 1, .4 -4, 1 1 j ,9 4. .9 4. 4. .2 .9 2, 8.2 8.1 8.6 7.8 3.1 3.2 1.9 0.2 | | .8 52. 56, .0 58, ,0 57. .7 20, .0 ,6 20, .8 20. 20, .9 32. 8 35. ,4 37. ,1 36. .8 | -3.2 6.0 3.5 -0.5 0. .5 3, .1 .2 1, 0, .1 -5, .3 .8 7, 4. .9 . -0. 8 1 .7 1" 1, .6 .2 3, .8 5, 5.6 5.4 4.7 5.0 -0.5 — 0.6 2.4 6.2 | | j | .8 56. 61, .1 63, .0 .3 61, 21, .2 21. .9 22 .4 .6 22. ,5 35. 39. .2 .6 40, 38, .7 | -1.5 7.6 3.1 -2.7 .8 1. 3. .2 .2 2. 0..7 -3. .4 10, .2 .6 3, -4 .6 1 1 .6 7, 9 .1 8, .7 6, .2 6.4 6.4 7.5 8.2 8.3 10.7 9.3 5.2 | .9 59, 63, .5 65 .3 63 .7 22 .9 23 .6 23 .8 23 .9 36, ,9 40, ,0 .5 41, .8 39, | -2.3 6.1 2.9 -2.5 .6 1. 2 .7 1, .1 0 .4 .6 -4, 8 .2 3 .9 -4 .1 .4 4 .0 3 .7 3 .9 8.0 7.5 6.3 5.9 2.0 2.3 2.8 24 .0 24 .7 24 .9 25 .0 .7 37, .0 41. . 41, 6 .5 40. | | | 0 .5 2 .7 1 .1 0 .3 -5 .3 8 .9 1 .5 -2 .8 1 1 .1 3 .4 1 .9 2 .8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 2.0 2.7 0.3 1.8 j j j -3.1 6.5 1.3 -1.6 25 .4 38. .4 | -2.6 1 .4 -5 .1 1 3 .4 5.5 2.0 | 1991 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . I 1992 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1993 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1994 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1995 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1996 Q l . . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 j | 61 .7 65 .7 66 .6 65.5 1997 Q l . . . 1 63 .8 j | j | j TOTAL LOANS j | j j j | | TOTAL LOANS j 1 1 j 1 1 j | 1 1 j 1 1 1 5 3 j j j j j j j j. | | | | | TABLE II.B ESTIMATED DELINQUENT FARM NON-REAL-ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS NONPERFORMING TOTAL AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM PRODUCTION LOANS NONPERFORMING PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING I | | | | | 1 | | 4 .5 3.7 3.1 3.2 2.8 2.2 2 .0 2.1 2.4 1, .2 1 .3 1 .3 .3 1, 1 .0 0 .8 0 .9 0 .9 1 .2 3 .3 . 2 .3 , .9 1. .9 1, 1, .8 .4 1. 1 .1 1 .1 1 .3 MEMO: RESTRUCTURED LOANS IN COMPLIANCE NONACCRUAL MEMO: RESTRUCTURED LOANS IN COMPLIANCE 0, .5 0. .5 0, .3 0, .3 0 .3 0, .2 0 .2 0 .3 0 .3 ,9 2. ,9 1. .6 1. .6 1. .5 1. .2 1, 0 .9 0 .9 1 .0 1. 6 1. 4 1. .1 0. .9 .7 0, 0 .5 0 .4 0 .0 0 .0 PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING -December 31 of year indicated1, .4 .1 1. 1 .0 1 .1 1 .0 0 .8 0 .8 0. 8 .0 1, 1988. 1989. 1990. 1991. 1992. 1993 . 1994. 1995. 1996. 0. .4 0. .4 0. .4 0, .4 0 .3 0 .3 0, .3 0 .4 0 .5 ,0 1, 0, .7 0, .6 .7 0. .6 0, 0. .5 0, .4 0. .4 .5 0. 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0, .1 0, .1 0, ,1 0, .1 0, .1 0, .1 0, .9 .6 0. 0, .5 0, .5 0 .5 0 .4 0 .3 0 .3 0 .4 ,5 0. 0. 4 0. ,4 .3 0. 0, ,2 0, .2 0, .1 0, .0 .0 0, -End of quarter- 1994 01... 02... 03... 04... | i 1 1 1.1 0. 9 .8 o. . o. 8 0. ,5 0. 3 0. .3 0. .3 0. ,6 0. ,6 0. ,5 0, ,4 0. 1 0. 1 0. 1 0. .1 0. 4 0. 4 0. 4 0. .3 0. 2 0. 2 0. ,1 0. ,1 1 1 1 | ,1 3. .2 2. 1 ,9 2 .0 . 1. 5 0. 7 , 0. 6 0. .9 .6 1. ,5 1. 1. .3 1 .1 , 0. .4 0. ,4 0. .3 0. .2 .2 1. .1 1. .0 1. 0 .9 , 0. 4 0. 4 0. 4 0. .4 1995 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3... 04... 1 | 1 1 1 .1 0. .9 .8 o, .8 o. 0, .6 0 .4 0 .3 0 .4 0 .5 0 .5 0 .5 0 .4 0. .1 0, .1 0. .1 0, .1 0, .4 0 .4 0 .4 0 .3 0, .0 .0 0. 0. .0 0, .0 1 1 1 1 2 .9 , 2 .3 1 .9 2 .1 1 .6 , ,9 0. 0, .7 0, .9 .4 1, 1, .3 1, .2 1 .1 .4 0, 0 .4 , 0 .3 0 .3 .0 1, .0 1, 0 .9 0 .9 0. .0 0 .0 , .0 0, 0 .0 1996 Ql... Q2 . . . 03... 04... 1 1 | 1 1 .3 1 .2 .0 1, 1. 0 0 .7 0 .5 0 .3 0 .5 0 .6 0 .7 0 .6 0 .5 0, .2 0 .2 , 0 .2 0. 1 0 .4 0 .5 0 .4 0 .4 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 1 1 1 1 3 .4 .8 2 .3 2 .4 .8 1, 1 .2 0 .8 1 .2 1 .6 1 .6 1 .5 1 .3 0 .5 0 .5 0 .4 0 .3 1 .1 1 .1 1 .0 1 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 1997 Ql... 1 1 .3 0 .7 0 .6 0 .2 0 .4 0 .0 1 3 .3 1 .7 1 .5 0 .5 1 .0 0 .0 2 Data are estimates of the national totals for farm non-real-estate loans. After 1984, estimates are based on reports from banks that hold more than 90 percent of such loans. Earlier, only large banks that held about one-fourth of such loans reported nonaccrual and renegotiated farm loans; for other banks, estimates of delinquent farm loans are based on a study of delinquent total loans at these banks. 26 TABLE II.C ESTIMATED NET CHARGE-OFFS OF NON-REAL-ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* TOTAL Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 TOTAL Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 199 0 | 51 -5 19 10 28 | 0.20 -0.02 0.06 0.03 0.08 199 1 | 105 12 25 36 32 j 0.32 0.04 0.08 0.10 0.09 1992 | 82 14 20 29 18 j 0.24 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.05 1993 | 54 7 16 5 26 j 0.15 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.07 199 4 | 69 10 11 15 33 | 0.19 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.08 199 5 | 51 -2 14 13 25 j 0.13 -0.00 0.04 0.03 0.06 199 6 | 95 16 27 24 30 j 0.24 0.04 0.07 0.06 0.07 1997 I ** ** ** ** g ** 0.01 ** ** ** * Data are estimates of the national charge-offs of farm non-real-estate loans based on reports from banks that hold more than 90 percent of the outstanding national volume of such loans. Additional uncertainty of the estimates arises because small banks report only charge-offs of 'agricultural' loans as defined by each bank for its internal purposes. Banks first reported these data on the March 1984 Report of Income. TABLE II.D DELINQUENT FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS BILLIONS OF DOLLARS AS PERCENTAGE OF OUTSTANDING FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS NONPERFORMING NONPERFORMING TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL TOTAL PAST DUE 30 TO 89 DAYS ACCRUING TOTAL 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 PAST DUE 90 DAYS ACCRUING NONACCRUAL December 31 of year indicated1992 1993 199 4 199 5 199 6 . | | | | 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 | j | | j 2.1 1.8 1.5 2.1 1.5 End of quarter 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 | 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 j j j 1.6 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 | j j | 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 | 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 j | j 1.7 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 I 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.5 1994 Ql... 02... 03... 04... | | | | 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 1995 01... 02... 03... 04... | | | | 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 1996 01... 02... 03... 04... | j j | 1997 01... | All commercial banks began to report these data in 1991. 28 TABLE II.E NET CHARGE-OFFS OF REAL ESTATE FARM LOANS INSURED COMMERCIAL BANKS* CHARGE-OFFS AS A PERCENTAGE OF SUCH LOANS OUTSTANDING ESTIMATED AMOUNT MILLIONS OF DOLLARS ANNUAL TOTAL 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 | 1 1 | j 20 6 -1 3 1 Q1 Q2 Q3 4 0 -1 -0 -1 -1 7 1 -1 -0 -1 4 2 0 2 1 6 3 1 2 2 * All commercial banks began to report these data in 1991. ANNUAL TOTAL 04 | | | | | 0.11 0.03 -0.00 0.01 0.01 Q1 Q2 Q3 0, .019 .002 0, -0, .004 -0 .001 -0 .004 -0 .004 .033 0. .003 0. .004 -0, .001 -0, .003 -0, .022 0. .008 0. .002 0. .006 0. .003 0, Q4 .029 0. 0 .015 . .003 0, 0 .007 0 . 009 | | | | | TABLE II.F DISTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS BY THE SHARE OF THEIR LOANS THAT ARE NONPERFORMING* NONPERFORMING LOANS AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS TOTAL UNDER 2.0 2.0 TO 4.9 5.0 TO 9.9 10.0 TO 14.9 15.0 TO 19.9 20.0 AND OVER -Percentage distribution, December 31 of year indicated1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 100 .0 100,.0 100 .0 100,.0 100,.0 100,.0 100,.0 100,.0 100,.0 59. .0 65. .8 69. .6 70. .8 76. 2 . 80. .6 85. .5 .7 83. 81. .8 28, .9 25 .1 22 .7 22 .3 18, .9 15 .9 12 .3 .8 13, 15, .5 9, .7 7, .6 6, .4 .8 5, 3, .9 2, .8 .9 1, 2, .1 .3 2, 1. .9 1. .2 .0 1. .7 0. 0. .8 0. .6 0. .2 0. .3 0. .2 0. .4 0. .2 0. .2 0. .3 0. ,1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 .2 0. 0. .1 .0 0. 0. .1 .0 0. 0. .0 .0 0. 0. .1 0. .1 -Percentage distribution, end of quarter 1994 02... <23... 04... | | | 100,.0 100,.0 100,.0 81, .1 83, .6 85, .5 16 .0 13 .6 12, .3 2 .4 2 .4 1, .9 0, .4 0, .3 0, .2 0, .1 .0 0. 0. .1 0. .0 .0 0. 0. .0 1995 01... 02... 03... 04... | | | | 100,.0 100. .0 100. .0 100. .0 81, .7 82, .1 83. .0 83 , .7 15, .3 15, .0 14, .3 13, .8 .7 2, .5 2, .3 2, 2, .1 0, .2 0. .2 0, .3 0, .3 0. .1 0. .1 0. .0 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 1996 01... 02... 03... 04... | | | | .0 100. 100. .0 100. .0 .0 100. 78. .4 78. .5 79. .3 81. .8 17, .2 16, .9 17, .0 15. .5 3 .5 , 3 .9 , 3, .1 2, .3 0, .5 .6 0, 0, .5 0, .2 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 0. .1 1997 oi... | .0 100. 79. .0 16. .8 .7 3. 0, .4 0. .1 0. .1 * Nonperforming loans are loans in nonaccrual status or past due 90 days or more. Renegotiated or restructured loans in compliance with the modified terms are not included. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. 29 T A B L E II.O S E L E C T E D M E A S U R E S O P F I N A N C I A L P E R F O R M A N C E OF A G R I C U L T U R A L A N D OTHER B A N K S * N E T INCOME A S A P E R C E N T A G E OF A V E R A G E E Q U I T Y A T AGRICULTURAL BANKS ALL BANKS NEGATIVE 0 TO 4 TO 9 5 10 TO 14 AVERAGE RATE OF R E T U R N TO E Q U I T Y 15 TO 19 20 TO 24 25 AND OVER AGRICULTURAL BANKS OTHER SMALL BANKS RATE OF R E T U R N TO A S S E T S AGRICULTURAL BANKS NET CHARGE-OFFS AS PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL LOANS OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS AVERAGE CAPITAL RATIO (PERCENT) OTHER SMALL BANKS AGRICULTURAL BANKS 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 9.9 10.1 9.9 10.1 10.4 10.8 10.7 11.1 10.9 8.8 9.0 9.0 9.2 9.5 10.0 9.9 10.5 10.6 OTHER SMALL BANKS •percentage distribution1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 | j j | j j j | j 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 9.0 5.0 4.9 4.1 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.4 2.0 .09 7,.0 7,.5 7..7 5..0 5..7 5..7 5..6 5,,5 30. .0 29. .0 33. .4 32. .2 25. .5 27. .8 31. .3 36. .8 33. .5 36 .0 38. .0 37. .6 39. .2 41. .1 40. .6 40. .2 39. ,9 41. .5 12.0 14.0 12.9 13.4 19.8 18.5 17.1 13.3 14.3 3.0 4.0 2.6 2.5 5.1 4.6 3.3 2.4 2.6 2.0 3.0 1.1 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 | | j j j j j j j 10.0 11.0 10.8 10.9 12.6 12.4 11.9 11.3 11.5 9.0 10.0 8.5 8.9 11.5 12.4 12.4 11.6 11.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 QUARTERLY •YEAR TO D A T E 1994 Q2... Q3. .. Q4... | | | 100.0 100.0 100.0 6 .2 9 .2 11, .9 6.3 9.4 12.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 0 .6 0 .9 1 .1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0 .1 0 .2 0 .3 11.0 11.1 10.7 10.1 10.1 9.9 1995 Ql... Q2... Q3... 04... | | | | 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3 .0 5..8 8..9 11. .3 3.1 6.1 9.3 11.6 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0 .3 0 .6 0 .9 1..1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0 .1 0 .1 0 .2 0..3 11.1 11.3 11.3 11.1 10.3 10.4 10.5 10.5 1996 Ql... Q2... Q3... Q4... | | | | 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 3..1 6..2 9..2 11. .5 3.1 6.1 9.0 11.6 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0..3 0..6 0..9 1..1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0..1 0..1 0..2 0.,3 11.0 11.0 11.0 10.9 10.6 10.5 10.5 10.6 1997 Ql... | 3..0 3.1 0.3 0..3 0.0 0..1 11.0 10.6 * Agricultural a n d o t h e r b a n k s are d e f i n e d in the i n t r o d u c t i o n to s e c t i o n II; small banks have less t h a n 500 m i l l i o n d o l l a r s in a s s e t s . Total p r i m a r y and s e c o n d a r y c a p i t a l (items that are a v a i l a b l e at the e n d of the p e r i o d specified) are m e a s u r e d as a p e r c e n t a g e of t o t a l a s s e t s . Q u a r t e r l y data in the lower p a n e l are c u m u l a t i v e t h r o u g h the e n d of the q u a r t e r indicated and, for p e r i o d s of less than a year, are not c o m p a r a b l e to the annual data in the u p p e r p a n e l . TABLE II.H AVERAGE LOAN-DEPOSIT RATIOS A T AGRICULTURAL BANKS IN SELECTED FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICTS* DECEMBER 31 U.S. CLEVELAND ATLANTA CHICAGO MINNEAPOLIS ST. LOUIS KANSAS CITY DALLAS SAN FRANCISCO MINIMUM FARM LOAN RATIO NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS NUMBER LOANS OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO OF TO BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS BANKS DEPOSITS 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 3955 3854 3723 3550 3482 3347 0 .551 0 .555 0 .582 0 .625 0, .641 .658 0, 71 75 67 56 60 55 0 .642 0 .643 0 .660 0 .707 0 .717 0 .775 133 131 130 125 135 126 0 .609 0 .607 0 .618 0 .646 0, .647 0, .682 969 948 912 860 841 814 0 .572 0 .574 .600 0. 0. .643 0. .658 0. .681 470 456 432 402 393 384 0 .567 0, .563 0, .590 0, .629 0, .654 0, .666 725 694 669 658 637 619 0 .569 0, .579 0, .615 0, .674 0, .681 0, .698 1135 1092 1063 1014 981 944 0, .522 0, .533 0, .566 0. .618 0. .634 0, .649 378 384 378 366 359 331 0 .438 0 .422 0 .442 0 .474 0 .499 0 .492 60 61 58 53 55 55 0, .711 0, .708 0. .733 0, .747 0. .741 0, .734 16.56 16.72 17.04 16.99 15.79 15.41 1994 02... 03... 04... 3689 3640 3550 0, .621 0. .643 0. .625 64 61 56 0. .704 0, .701 0. .707 138 131 125 0, .652 0. .669 0, .646 886 889 860 0. .634 0. ,658 0. .643 431 432 402 0. .626 0. .657 0. .629 668 664 658 0. .677 0. .702 0, .674 1046 1023 1014 0. .601 0. ,618 0. ,618 379 367 366 0, .476 0. .503 0, .474 59 56 53 0. .764 0. .768 0. .747 17.42 17.55 16.99 1995 oi... 02... 3484 3488 3617 3482 0. .634 0. .655 0. .668 0. ,641 56 55 64 60 0. .718 0. .730 0. ,736 0,717 129 136 150 135 0. .653 0. .668 0. 680 0. .647 847 844 868 841 0. ,650 0. ,664 0. 685 0. 658 389 397 432 393 0. 634 0. ,665 0. ,692 0.654 638 639 652 637 0. ,684 0. ,714 0,717 0, 681 993 984 1007 981 0. ,622 0. ,637 0.647 0.634 364 361 368 359 0. .491 0. .518 0. .525 0. .499 50 52 56 0. .768 0. .791 0. .763 0. .741 16.75 17.12 17.27 15.79 0. 639 0. 665 0. 674 0.658 58 57 58 04... 3471 3461 3400 3347 55 0.721 0.743 0.780 0.775 143 151 140 126 0.664 0.690 0.708 0.682 828 829 814 814 0. 657 0.671 0.690 0. 681 394 402 406 384 0.650 0.692 0.699 0.666 632 630 623 619 0. 682 0.712 0.716 0. 698 978 964 952 944 0.629 0.651 0.662 0.649 357 349 331 331 0, .489 0. .515 0. .510 0. ,492 55 0. ,737 0. ,778 0.757 0. .734 15.46 15.94 15.84 15.41 1997 oi... 3336 0.660 52 0.780 128 0.706 806 0.685 382 0.662 611 0.701 941 0.644 339 0.499 54 0. 722 15.02 03... 04... 1996 oi... 02... 03... The loan-deposit ratio is defined as total loans divided by total deposits. that shown in the last column, as described in the introduction to section II. 55 57 54 54 Agricultural banks are defined as banks with a farm loan ratio at least as great as 31 TABLE II.I FAILURES OF AGRICULTURAL BANKS* NUMBER OF FAILURES Q1 1986 . . . . 1987 1988. . . . 1989 1990 1991.... 1992 1993 1994. . . . 1995 1996 1997 Q2 03 Q4 14 22 11 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 14 19 6 7 5 2 1 2 0 0 2 0 21 12 12 5 6 3 1 2 0 0 0 16 16 7 5 3 1 4 0 0 0 0 ** *• ANNUAL TOTAL 65 69 36 22 17 8 7 5 0 0 2 ** * Data exclude banks assisted to prevent failure. Industrial banks and mutual savings banks also are excluded. Agricultural banks are defined in the introduction to section II. SECTION III: FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF FARM CREDIT CONDITIONS AND FARM LAND VALUES TABLES: III.A III.B III.C III.D III.E Ra&e Nonreal estate lending experience Expected change in non-real - estate loan volume and repayment conditions Average loan/deposit ratio, and other indicators of relative credit availability Interest rates Trends in real estate values and loan volume 35 37 39 41 43 SOURCES OF DATA: Data are from quarterly surveys of agricultural credit conditions at commercial banks. These surveys are conducted at the end of each quarter by five Federal Reserve Banks. The size of the surveys differs considerably, as is noted in the information below. In addition, the five surveys differ in subject matter covered (as is evident in the tables), wording of basically similar questions, and type of banks covered. Most of the differences in wording are reflected in the use of different column headings on the two pages of each table. The states included in each district are indicated in the table headings; states that fall only partly within a given district are marked with asterisks. Beginning in 1994, the Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank revised its survey considerably. Many questions were changed and it was not always possible to match the data to the categories that we have shown in previous editions of the Databook. Whenever possible, we have tried to fit the data from the revised survey into the older format. Series that were discontinued show no data for the first quarter, while those that were added suddenly appear. When a significant break in the data occurred, we included the new data and added a footnote to highlight the changes. Research departments at each of the five Reserve Banks issue more detailed quarterly reports on their survey results; these reports are available at the addresses given below. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. Box 834, Chicago, Illinois, 60690 The sample includes member banks at which farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans as of June 1972 (a 10 percent standard is used for banks in the state of Michigan). The sample has undergone periodic review. The latest survey results were based on the responses of about 450 banks. Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Federal Reserve P.O. Station, Kansas City Missouri 64198 The sample chosen originally in 1976 consisted of 181 banks selected from banks at which farm loans constituted 50 percent or more of total loans, with appropriate representation of all farm areas. The sample was redrawn and significantly expanded in 1987; roughly 300 banks responded to the latest survey. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Minneapolis, Minnesota 55480 Before 1987, the sample provided a cross - section of banks of all sizes that were engaged in farm lending. Members of the Upper Midwest Agricultural Credit Council formed the core of the survey panel. Beginning in 1987, the sample was redrawn to include only banks at which farm loans represented 25 percent or more of total loans. As outlined above, the Minneapolis survey was changed considerably beginning in the first quarter of 1994. In recent surveys, about 130 banks responded. 34 Section III: (continued) Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. P.O. Box 65 5 906, Dallas, Texas 75265-5906 The sample is stratified regionally and includes banks at which farm loans are relatively important or which hold a major portion of bank loans in their region. The sample was enlarged in the first quarter of 1985 and was redrawn in the second quarter of 1989. The results for the most recent quarter were based on the responses from about 200 respondents. Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. Richmond, Virginia 23261 The number of agricultural banks in this district is much smaller than those of the other districts. When the survey was initiated in 1975, the sample consisted of 43 banks of all sizes; banks with larger amounts of farm loans were sampled more heavily. More recently, the sample has consisted of about 30 banks, roughly three - fourths of which typically respond to the quarterly surveys. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS: Bankers responding to the surveys indicated that the demand for farm loans was roughly unchanged in the first quarter of 1997. Repayment rates continued to improve in both the Dallas and Kansas City districts, where in the spring and summer of 1996 drought and low prices for cattle had reduced farm returns. Consistent with the improved outlook for cattle producers in recent months, bankers in most districts that report anticipated higher loan volumes for feeder livestock. Relative to one year earlier, bankers in the Dallas and Richmond districts anticipate stronger demand for loans for farm machinery. The ratio of loans to deposits edged above year - earlier levels at most banks that report, yet most bankers, especially those in the Kansas City district, characterized their loan-deposit ratio as "lower than desired". Reported rates of interest on farm loans were little changed in all districts in the first quarter of 1997, and rates have remained about flat since early 1996. The year - over - year rate of increase in the price for agricultural land edged down in the Chicago district, but still, the yearly change in prices for farmland in that district was 9 percent through the first quarter of 1997. In most other districts, the yearly change in the price of cropland was around 4 or 5 percent, roughly in line with the increases seen over the past couple of years. The year - over-year changes in the price of ranchland in the Kansas City and Dallas districts picked up, likely reflecting the improved outlook for returns to cattlemen in those areas. # • # # # # e FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) DEMAND FOR LOANS LOWER Ill .Al SAME SEVENTH HIGHER . . . . . . . . 15 13 13 20 49 50 52 48 37 37 36 32 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . . . . . . 15 17 17 14 44 49 45 50 1997 Ql. . . 10 46 1995 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . . . . . . . . . . 1997 Ql. . . LOWER HIGHER SAME HIGHER ) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 17 9 11 32 17 13 13 29 63 71 72 57 20 16 16 14 | 1 1 1 1 o 1 1 87 89 90 90 12 10 9 6 64 76 76 53 62 65 65 71 31 24 24 19 1 1 1 1 13 13 7 24 57 66 74 58 30 21 19 18 29 23 23 19 56 62 69 61 15 16 8 21 1 1 | 1 o 1 1 o 91 89 92 90 9 10 1 6 11 11 9 1 I* 62 24 1 15 66 19 14 69 17 1 o 92 8 1 41 34 38 36 1 44 1 9 7 10 (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( CO, KS, MO* , NE, NM*, OK, WY) A G R I C U L T U R A L BANKS 21 18 20 14 69 69 67 66 10 14 14 20 1 1 1 1 28 32 32 43 67 67 63 53 5 1 5 4 6 2 5 5 69 70 67 55 25 27 28 41 1 1 1 1 0 o o 1 87 88 86 84 13 12 13 15 | 10 16 16 12 69 66 67 71 21 19 16 17 1 1 1 1 51 38 22 15 46 58 65 66 4 4 13 20 5 6 11 14 49 57 67 70 45 37 23 16 1 1 | 1 1 1 0 1 79 78 84 87 20 22 16 13 1 9 72 19 1 10 69 21 16 74 10 1 0 88 12 1 1 1 1 18 15 14 11 56 54 60 64 26 30 26 26 1 1 8 64 28 ELEVENTH 1 1 (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT . . . . . . . . 13 12 17 20 53 50 50 44 34 38 33 35 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . . . . . . 18 26 24 21 51 42 44 50 31 32 32 28 | 1 | 17 54 29 1 ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, W I * SAME 19 16 13 15 39 32 32 28 1 1 LOWER HIGHER 1 1 1 1 1995 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. 1997 Ql... SAME 16 18 19 29 20 14 16 51 58 53 56 I I I .A3 LOWER HIGHER 64 67 65 65 1 10 11 16 16 . . . . 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. TENTH SAME (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 1995 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. I I I .A2 LOWER COLLATERAL REQUIRED RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS LOAN REPAYMENT RATE FUND AVAILABILITY 1 | ( LA*, NM*, TX 1 ) 8 8 10 9 78 79 76 78 14 14 14 14 1 1 1 1 20 21 28 40 72 74 63 53 7 5 9 7 11 9 12 8 67 70 64 54 22 21 24 39 1 1 1 j 1 o 2 1 83 81 78 75 16 19 20 24 5 8 7 73 77 75 74 22 16 16 19 1 1 1 1 49 59 44 31 45 39 47 53 6 2 9 17 7 2 8 10 41 38 48 51 52 60 44 40 1 1 | | o o 1 0 66 61 65 73 34 39 34 27 * 75 21 1 28 57 15 13 60 27 1 o 74 25 7 1 35 3 6 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.A (CONTINUED) FARM NONREAL ESTATE LENDING EXPERIENCE COMPARED WITH NORMAL CONDITIONS (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) FUND AVAILABILITY DEMAND FOR LOANS LOWER I I I .A4 1995 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . .• . . NINTH SAME LOWER HIGHER | 1 35 30 25 26 0 1 1 0 81 74 84 84 19 25 15 16 4 1 1 0 76 75 81 85 20 24 18 15 o 75 25 4 4 0 0 80 84 91 90 16 12 9 10 o 0 2 90 83 85 93 10 17 15 5 o 94 6 ) 51 53 59 49 6 2 6 15 | j 10 7 1 j 9 4 55 63 66 60 57 65 61 67 32 23 21 20 1 | 46 37 19 34 37 48 69 45 17 14 12 21 1 j j j 15 15 15 17 49 54 68 64 36 31 31 19 67 23 | 46 47 7 1 io 57 33 1 1 io I I I .A5 1997 Ql. .• HIGHER 43 45 35 36 1997 Ql.. | SAME 1 1 1 | 1 1996 Ql. . Q2. . Q3. . Q4.. • LOWER HIGHER 13 18 20 27 11 12 18 13 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 4 0 9 5 1 j 1 j 12 4 14 5 84 88 68 67 4 8 18 29 81 78 72 78 5 5 12 17 1 1 j j 5 j 14 17 17 5 3 13 32 75 76 68 56 20 21 18 12 | 1 I | 1 | 1 | 0 88 13 1 13 81 6 1 I 81 71 67 85 19 26 22 12 1 1 o 3 12 3 1 * 77 19 1 71 71 77 76 14 17 12 14 1 I I 1 14 12 12 10 1 9 77 15 1 ) 84 88 82 67 12 16 27 24 12 4 5 14 | 1 12 12 9 29 72 72 64 76 68 76 64 62 ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV* 16 12 9 o 20 20 32 24 1 ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI* SAME 66 62 60 62 1 | | | LOWER HIGHER SAME 21 20 21 11 I I I 1 . LOWER | 1 1 1 | | 1995 Ql. . Q2.. Q3. .. Q4. .• HIGHER (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 1996 Ql. . Q2 • . Q3. . Q4. .• • SAME COLLATERAL REQUIRED RENEWALS OR EXTENSIONS LOAN REPAYMENT RATE 1 | # 0 • # • , • • e # # # # FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B FARM NONREAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH VOLUME OF LOANS MADE A YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) TOTAL LOWER SAME III.B1 1995 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . . FEEDER CATTLE HIGHER LOWER SAME DAIRY HIGHER LOWER SAME CROP STORAGE HIGHER LOWER SAME OPERATING HIGHER LOWER SAME FARM MACHINERY HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER S E V E N T H ( C H I C A G O ) F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D I S T R I C T (IL*# IN*, IA, MI*, W I * ) A G R I C U L T U R A L B A N K S . . . . 1 1 1 14 14 15 17 53 60 59 50 33 26 26 32 32 38 40 47 62 58 54 48 6 3 6 5 | j j | 19 21 21 21 71 74 75 71 10 5 5 8 | I 1 1 19 26 23 37 68 65 58 52 19 11 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 I 1 1 17 17 17 12 44 54 55 48 39 29 28 40 59 62 38 27 38 36 52 59 4 2 10 15 | j j 23 25 18 22 68 67 72 69 9 8 10 9 1 I 1 1 36 33 16 15 56 57 50 58 10 34 27 1997 Ql. . . 1 8 52 40 28 63 9 1 20 69 10 1 19 69 III . B2 1 j | j 13 11 13 13 42 53 60 46 46 36 27 41 1 | 1 1 15 22 16 8 53 61 55 46 33 17 29 45 1 j 1 1 14 12 21 8 37 47 50 39 50 41 29 53 1 1 1 1 io 14 io 12 37 48 39 42 53 38 51 46 13 1 8 42 50 1 9 47 45 12 15 23 67 69 64 54 21 16 14 20 13 9 8 E L E V E N T H ( D A L L A S ) F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D I S T R I C T (LA*, N M * , T X ) 1995 Ql... 02... Q3. . . Q4... 1 1 1 1 15 16 15 16 65 54 59 57 21 30 25 27 22 33 31 41 63 55 50 49 15 12 20 10 | j | j 13 20 25 20 83 78 71 77 3 3 4 3 1 1 1 1 12 11 16 18 86 79 75 71 3 10 9 11 1 1 1 1 12 8 13 15 55 58 54 49 34 33 33 36 1 1 1 1996 Ql. . . Q2... Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1 1 1 30 40 19 18 52 44 58 54 18 17 23 27 49 57 31 24 45 36 51 56 6 7 18 20 | j j j 29 31 20 22 71 67 74 73 1 2 7 5 | 1 1 1 29 30 24 20 65 56 63 76 6 14 13 5 | j j 1 19 22 18 16 47 42 49 55 34 36 33 30 1 1 1 1 33 42 25 22 56 50 55 63 11 8 20 15 1997 Ql... 1 16 57 27 16 56 29 | 24 71 1 21 70 9 1 17 54 30 1 17 61 22 | 1 1 I | 1 | . 1 14 14 25 20 77 86 60 65 9 0 15 15 1 1 1 12 4 15 72 88 80 62 16 | I | I | I | 1 8 4 19 19 71 84 67 67 21 12 14 14 11 18 13 18 83 68 72 67 6 14 15 14 1 j j | 14 7 10 8 57 58 66 70 29 35 24 22 10 17 14 7 81 60 66 65 10 22 20 28 13 82 5 1 6 63 31 io 65 25 III, ,B3 | 26 F I F T H ( R I C H M O N D ) F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D I S T R I C T ( M D , N C , sc, V A , W V * ) 1995 Ql. . . 02... Q3. . . 04... 1 1 1 1 17 8 16 20 67 79 74 65 17 13 11 15 | j | j 25 20 18 35 70 80 82 65 0 0 1996 Ql. . . 02... 03... 04... 1 1 i 20 11 11 7 70 73 71 81 10 16 18 12 | j j j 31 35 29 23 69 63 62 75 1997 Ql. . . i 16 58 26 | 17 73 ! 6 | 5 | j j j 14 21 27 25 76 79 73 75 10 o o o 0 3 10 3 | j j j 20 24 21 19 80 71 71 75 0 6 8 10 | 21 79 o 0 6 1 j 19 5 19 8 1 37 FEDERAL kisSSiivei BAJNK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.B (CONTINUED) EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM LOANS DURING NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL DEMAND (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) FEEDER LIVESTOCK LOWER SAME XII.B4 1995 Ql... 02... Q3... Q4... | 1 1 1 | I 28 47 43 53 68 49 50 36 52 60 51 28 1996 Ql.. . Q2... 03... 04... 1997 Ql... NINTH 44 35 41 58 29 56 OTHER INTERMEDIATE HIGHER LOWER SAME FARM REAL ESTATE HIGHER LOWER SAME (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( Ml HIGHER 75 58 64 59 10 16 11 15 | | | 1 30 44 38 31 60 48 52 53 10 16 8 15 24 | 16 | 17 | 19 62 68 73 74 14 17 10 7 1 j | | 31 28 30 30 50 56 56 60 19 16 14 10 15 | 77 11 1 21 58 21 I I 1 | 7 11 4 | 6 12 LOWER SAME FARM MACHINERY HIGHER LOWER SAME HIGHER MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 15 27 25 26 4 4 OTHER OPERATING 10 8 5 5 16 9 58 59 64 62 37 36 20 29 | 5 9 16 14 64 56 65 72 31 35 19 14 1 4 57 39 1 | 1 29 45 36 32 58 49 55 55 9 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 24 24 26 54 58 54 57 15 18 22 17 1 | 22 68 10 13 7 • • • • # • • • • • • FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.C AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT Ill •CI LOWER AT THAN DESIRED DESIRED LEVEL SEVENTH 1995 Ql. . . Q2... 03... Q4... 65 66 67 65 1 9 9 6 Q l . .. Q2... Q3. . . Q 4 . .. 1997 Ql... HIGHER THAN DESIRED (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 49 *8 51 53 34 35 32 36 17 17 17 11 65 66 68 68 56 54 50 48 30 32 33 35 14 14 17 17 68 III .C2 51 32 TENTH 1995 Ql. . . Q2... Q 3 . .. 04... 1 1 1 17 60 62 64 63 NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS CORRESPONDENT BANKS NONE 1 1 1 j | I 70 66 64 66 | 1 | 1 j | 77 76 72 70 10 9 9 9 24 26 32 29 | j j j 3 4 3 2 www www www www www www www www www 62 | 73 7 28 | 1 84 ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 1995 Ql. . . 02... 03... Q4... 45 47 51 49 | | 1 | www www www www www www www www www www 1996 Ql. . . 02... 03... 04... 46 51 52 49 | 1 | | 49 | | 1 | | j 1 I | 1 j I | 68 70 74 68 8 9 11 9 79 81 78 77 13 10 11 14 65 65 70 71 6 8 12 10 77 78 78 83 17 14 10 8 8 83 9 11 18 10 8 84 76 84 81 5 6 6 11 11 7 10 10 70 73 75 75 20 19 16 14 13 73 14 76 78 80 78 9 11 11 8 85 84 83 86 6 5 6 6 80 79 83 82 8 9 12 10 88 86 83 86 4 5 5 4 82 11 86 4 1 69 1 1 1 1 9 14 9 10 85 80 83 81 5 6 8 9 | | | 1 1 www www 1 1 2 2 1 www www I 1 79 79 84 85 *** www www www www www ( CO, KS, MO*, NE, NM*, OK, WY) AGRICULTURAL B A N K S 5 5 4 3 1 COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER 1 *** | | | j 1997 Ql. . . www www www *** WW* | 29 26 25 24 I I I ., C 3 NONE I j I 7 7 7 7 1 COMPARED WITH A YEAR EARLIER LOWER SAME HIGHER 1 61 61 58 59 1997 Ql... NONBANK AGENCIES ( IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, W I * ) A G R I C U L T U R A L B A N K S (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT 61 62 63 61 1996 Ql... 02... Q3... 04... REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS 15 11 8 12 80 78 82 78 5 12 9 10 14 83 3 | ( LA*, NM*, TX) 1 *** | I *** www 39 40 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS T A B L E I I I .C ( C O N T I N U E D ) AVERAGE LOAN-TO-DEPOSIT RATIO AND OTHER INDICATORS OF RELATIVE CREDIT AVAILABILITY (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) AVERAGE LOAN-TODEPOSIT RATIO, END OF QUARTER PERCENT III .C4 1995 01. 02. • 03. • 04. 1996 01. 02. 03. 04. NONE COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER LOWER SAME HIGHER COMPARED WITH NORMAL NUMBER HIGHER LOWER SAME NONE NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 10 9 7 4 58 55 53 57 6 9 3 0 1 1 1 1 31+ 32 42 39 57 57 50 58 12 11 8 3 1 1 1 1 72 71 73 69 6 7 7 7 51 57 64 56 3 8 3 6 1 1 1 1 40 33 32 40 47 51 59 54 13 16 9 6 73 63 2 1 30 52 18 ,C5 III. 1997 01. HIGHER THAN DESIRED NONBANK AGENCIES CORRESPONDENT BANKS 1 1997 01. 1996 01. 02. * 03. * 04. LOWER AT DESIRED THAN DESIRED LEVEL NUMBER OF FARM LOAN REFERRALS TO ACTIVELY SEEKING NEW FARM LOAN ACCOUNTS 66 69 68 71 •. •. 1995 01. 02. # 03. # 04. REFUSED OR REDUCED A FARM LOAN BECAUSE OF A SHORTAGE OF LOANABLE FUNDS LOAN/DEPOSIT RATIO IS | 1 10 1 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT ( MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 75 76 75 71 * * * 1 1 | | | 42 36 45 52 46 41 50 43 13 23 5 5 1 j | j 0 0 0 0 76 83 68 86 | 72 73 73 71 # | | 1 | 53 45 31 39 42 40 56 50 5 15 13 11 1 90 71 75 82 | | j 0 0 0 0 72 1 36 50 14 1 0 77 83 86 81 95 4 0 0 0 13 14 19 5 0 0 0 0 1 j j j 70 77 89 90 9 0 0 0 22 23 11 10 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 11 9 11 7 0 0 0 2 1 j 1 89 89 88 91 j 84 80 80 79 0 4 4 0 16 13 14 21 0 4 2 0 1 85 5 10 0 1 83 3 10 5 | •Beginning in 1994, M i n n e a p o l i s omitted the r e s p o n s e "none" for the number of referrals to either correspondent b a n k s or n o n b a n k agencies. The column that has been added combines responses that formerly would have been reported as either "none" or "low". • # I • • e # # t • • FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS AVERAGE INTEREST RATE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER COMPARED WITH AVERAGE RATES IN THE CURRENT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D1 1995 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . 1 1 9. 6 9. 7 9. 7 9. 6 LOWER SAME HIGHER SAME LOWER HIGHER SAME HIGHER 8..7 8..8 8..8 8..7 9. 7 8..8 1997 Ql... 1 9 .6 | *** *** *** | I j T E N T H ( K A N S A S C I T Y ) F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D I S T R I C T (CO, K S , M O * , N E , N M * , O K ) A G R I C U L T U R A L B A N K S 1 0 ..4 10..3 10..2 10. .1 10..5 10..5 10..4 10..2 10..5 10..4 10..3 10.. 1 10..1 9..9 9..8 9..6 10.,0 10..0 10..0 10..0 9..9 9..9 9..9 9..9 9..3 9..4 9..4 9..3 10..0 9..9 9..4 1996 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 1 1 9..9 9..9 9..9 9..8 1997 Ql. . . 1 9..9 LOWER LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS 9..7 9..6 9..3 8..9 1 | SHORT-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS 10. 3 10. 2 10. 2 9. 9 9 .6 9 .7 9 .7 9 .6 1 INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE 1 0 .3 1 0 .2 1 0 .1 9 .9 1 1995 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . SHORTTERM NONREAL ESTATE S E V E N T H (CHICi .30) F E D E R A L R E S E R V E D I S T R I C T ( I L * , I N * , I A , M I * , W I * ) A G R I C U L T U R A L B A N K S 1996 Ql... Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4. . . III.D2 OTHER OPERATING LOANS | *** *** | *** *** 1 | 41 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.D (CONTINUED) INTEREST RATES ON FARM LOANS MOST COMMON INTEREST RATE ON FARM LOANS (AVERAGE, PERCENT) FEEDER CATTLE LOANS III.D3 OTHER OPERATING LOANS SHORTTERM NONREAL ESTATE INTERMEDIATE NONREAL ESTATE AVERAGE INTEREST RATE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER COMPARED WITH AVERAGE RATES IN THE CURRENT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS REPORTING) LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS 10.6 10.8 10.3 10.0 10.6 10.8 10.3 10.4 *** 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.0 *** 10.0 10.0 11.2 11.1 10.7 10.8 11.0 10.7 10.5 10.6 | | j | j SAME HIGHER www www www www www www www www www www www www | I | I | I | 1 j I www www | | www www www www 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.9 | j 1 j 1 j www *** 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.4 www www 10.3 10.0 | www 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.6 1997 Ql... | 1 10.4 10.6 I 1 I 1 I 1 j 1 www www www www www www ... www www | 1 www www 1 I j 1 | 1 | 1 www www www www www www www www www www 1 FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC, VA, WV*) 1995 Ql. . . Q2... Q3... Q4... 10.7 10.4 10.4 10.1 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.1 10.2 10.0 10.0 9.5 | j j 1 | ... www 1996 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 9.8 9.9 9.8 10.0 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.7 9.7 10.0 9.5 9.5 9.4 9.5 | | | | www www www 9.9 9.9 9.9 9.5 | http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal • Reserve Bank of St. e Louis LOWER HIGHER www www 11.1 11.0 10.9 10.8 | 1 j 1 | 1 | 1 1 LONG-TERM REAL ESTATE LOANS ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1996 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3... Q4... 1997 Ql.. . SAME www www 11.0 11.0 10.8 10.7 III.D5 LOWER HIGHER www www www ... 9.3 www 1995 Ql. . . Q2.. . Q3. • . Q4.. . SAME INTERMEDIATE-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS 9.2 9.3 9.4 9.4 *** III.D4 LOWER 10.1 10.2 9.9 9.7 *** 1997 Ql... SHORT-TERM NONREAL ESTATE LOANS NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI*, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1995 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3.. . Q4. . . 1996 Ql. . . Q2. •. Q3. • . Q4.. . 42 # • e www www www www www www www I 1 I 1 1 j 1 # www www www www www www www www e www www www www www 1 # www | 1 1 1 1 # ' www www www | j e # • # • • • • # • • # FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.E TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES A N D LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED TREND IN FARM REAL ESTATE LOAN VOLUME DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED TO YEAR EARLIER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND ALL Ill .El DRYLAND IRRIGATED RANCHLAND 1996 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3. . . Q4... 1997 Ql. . . 2 . . . . 1997 Ql. . . III .E3 *** DOWN STABLE LOWER UP SAME HIGHER 1 5 67 73 65 41 31 23 31 58 1 1 j j 18 18 16 11 60 69 63 60 22 13 21 29 9 11 12 io 0 1 1 6 30 42 35 61 69 57 64 33 | j j j 12 11 9 16 52 63 58 59 36 26 33 25 9 2 64 34 1 11 61 29 9 -3 9 4 0 5 0 96 96 91 100 0 4 5 0 | j 1 j 17 26 16 26 83 74 74 68 0 0 11 5 0 2 3 0 95 86 82 83 5 12 15 17 1 j j j 17 16 10 5 83 75 80 90 0 9 10 5 2 81 17 1 11 80 9 1 1 1 5 5 4 *** | FIFTH (RICHMOND) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MD, NC, SC , VA, WV*) 1 1 8 -3 3 3 -15 1 RANCHLAND 2 3 3 1 1 18 -6 -8 8 . . . . IRRIGATED I 4 1 3 1 1996 Ql. Q2. Q3. Q4. DRYLAND 1 1 0 1 2 1995 Ql. . . Q2. .. Q3. . . Q4... ALL SEVENTH (CHICAGO) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (IL*, IN*, IA, MI*, WI *) AGRICULTURAL BANKS 1995 Ql. . . Q2... Q3. .. Q4. . . III .E2 TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER | -9 -1 11 -13 16 1 * 1 *** | ELEVENTH (DALLAS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (LA*, NM*, TX) 1995 Ql. . . Q2. . . Q3.. • Q4. . . -1 1 -1 0 1 4 -3 -0 1 9 3 -11 1 1 -0 -1 4 5 4 1 6 14 24 1 | j j j 1 j j | io 17 14 20 78 73 73 67 12 10 13 12 1996 Ql.. . Q2. . . Q3... Q4. . . -2 -0 2 2 -1 -0 -1 2 -1 -1 -0 4 -2 -3 -0 1 -1 -5 -3 -1 -2 -10 -13 2 | j j | | | | 30 38 24 17 58 52 62 69 12 10 14 14 1 2 3 4 2 6 1 1 17 65 18 1997 Ql. . . 1 | *** 43 44 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK QUARTERLY SURVEYS OF AGRICULTURAL CREDIT CONDITIONS AT COMMERCIAL BANKS TABLE III.E (CONTINUED) TRENDS IN FARM REAL ESTATE VALUES AND LOAN VOLUME EXPECTED DEMAND FOR FARM REAL ESTATE LOANS DURING THE NEXT QUARTER, COMPARED WITH NORMAL (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) MARKET VALUE OF GOOD FARMLAND ALL I l l .E4 1995 Q l . . . 02... Q3. . . Q4. . . 1996 Q l . Q2. Q3. Q4. . . . . . . . . 1997 Q l . . . DRYLAND IRRIGATED RANCHLAND ALL 2 1 0 1 3 -o 2 1 I I I I 1 1 -2 0 2 1 -2 1 2 1 IRRIGATED RANCHLAND DOWN 1 1 1 2 4 *** *** j 1 1 *** *** 7 7 6 5 4 4 3 4 6 5 5 5 STABLE | j 1 1 2 2 1 1 3 1 III ,E5 DRYLAND LOWER UP SAME TENTH (KANSAS CITY) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (CO , KS, MO*, NE, NM*, OK, WY) 2 1 1 1 | TREND EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT QUARTER (PERCENTAGE OF BANKS) PERCENTAGE CHANGE FROM A YEAR EARLIER PERCENTAGE CHANGE DURING QUARTER -0 -0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 5 6 9 I *** *** *** j j | *** NINTH (MINNEAPOLIS) FEDERAL RESERVE DISTRICT (MI *, MN, MT, ND, SD, WI*) 1995 Q l . . . Q2.. . Q3. . . Q4. . . 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 6 3 2 3 2 j 1996 Q l . Q2. Q3. Q4. 4 5 4 5 6 4 3 5 2 2 3 4 | j j j 4 6 3 1 . . . . . . . . 1997 Q l . . . 1 1 *** | 1 | j *** 1 *** HIGHER