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inside:

2

• What We’re Learning from

the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
• St. Louis Fed’s Check
Restructuring Speeds Up

3

• The Past, Present and

Future of the U.S.
Mortgage Market

5

• Housing and the ‘R’ Word

6

• Central Banker Coverage

Is Expanding Online

• Subscribe to

Central Banker

Summer 2008

News and Views for Eighth District Bankers

New President Bullard Bullish on Economics

T

oo often, says new St. Louis Fed President
Jim Bullard, economics is regarded as a
mere college subject.
“Many people think economics is too com­
plicated. Not everyone goes to college; so,
not everyone gets it—even though they live
with the consequences of supply and demand
every day,” Bullard says. “We live in a market
system, and people need to understand how that
system works.”
Bullard, who succeeded Bill Poole as presi­dent April 1, is an advocate of the power of economic ideas and financial literacy. He pursued
those ideals through 18 years of study in the
St. Louis Fed’s Research division, as well as
through professional associations and speaking
engagements. Since joining the Fed, Bullard
has already spread this message to many groups
in the Eighth District.
He’s also well-versed on monetary policy, having worked closely with Poole on briefings before
each Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
Bullard’s expertise in monetary policy and familiarity with FOMC procedures are among the
many reasons why he was tapped for the job.

“I’ve seen many of the events of the recent years
from the inside out, including the Asian currency crisis, the bursting of the tech bubble and
the S&L predicament. By intimately knowing
monetary policy, I’m not coming in cold during
a time when the situation is very tense,” he says.
“It’s actually the most tense it’s been since 1980.”
The key thing for commercial bankers to keep
in mind, Bullard says, is that the U.S. economy is
resilient and has weathered many shocks over the
years. “We’ll get through this one as well. The
economy continues to surprise at how it adapts
and comes back,” he says.
Bullard, 47, was
appointed president
by the St. Louis Fed’s
Board of Directors after
an extensive search and
was approved by the
Fed’s Board of Governors. To read Bullard’s full biography, see
www.stlouisfed.org/
news/press_room/
bios.html#bullard. n

Eighth District banks and their national peers
continue to face pressure on earnings amid rising asset quality problems and weakness in the
regional and national economies. First-quarter
results illustrate these pressures, yet indicate
that banks in the District have been remarkably
resilient thus far.
Return on average assets (ROA) increased
slightly in the first quarter at District banks. They

posted an average ROA of 0.96 percent compared
with 0.94 percent at year-end 2007. The District’s
first-quarter performance substantially exceeded
that of U.S. peer banks (banks with average
assets of less than $15 billion), which, as a group,
recorded an average ROA of 0.81 percent. ROA
for both sets of banks is down markedly from
year-ago levels, though the drop at peer banks is
more substantial at 36 basis points.
continued on Page 4

www.stlouisfed.org

By Michelle Neely

1

District Banks: Profits Steady, But Problem Loans Mount

Feditorial
What We’re Learning from
the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
By Bob Schenk, senior vice president, Public and Community Affairs

F

ew public policy issues have burst onto the
American scene so rapidly and with such
intensity as the subprime mortgage crisis.
Over the past several months, we have seen an ever
expanding quagmire of those caught up by such
causal factors as poor underwriting standards, inaccurate financial information, over-speculation in a
very hot real estate market or simply people assuming new financial obligations for which they were
not adequately prepared.
In addition to the widespread media coverage,
there has been an unprecedented response by a wide
variety of federal, state and local agencies, as well as
innumerable social service and nonprofit organizations. Yet, we continue to hear and see advertising
and marketing campaigns striving to lure prospective homeowners with teaser rates, promises of 100
percent financing or pledges to overlook poor credit.
While the dream of homeownership is one of the
strongest threads in the fabric of American society,
the latest tear reflects a crisis beyond the current
issues in the mortgage and credit markets. What is
apparent is the continuing lack of financial education at all levels of society and of efforts to address
issues related to household finances and personal
financial literacy.
However, the Federal Reserve System is helping
homeowners, prospective buyers, bankers, community groups and related organizations get a better

handle on understanding the myriad issues of subprime and foreclosure.
In the Eighth District, we’re providing more
information and knowledge about these issues to
bankers, lenders and consumers through a variety
of briefings, speeches and Bank publications. In
St. Louis, we partnered with a local agency to
convene nearly 60 different organizations working
together to share resources and knowledge. We
have dozens of additional public forums scheduled
in the coming months to address mortgage issues.
We also have a Foreclosure Resources web site
(www.stlouisfed.org/financial/foreclosure_fin.html),
which includes a section dedicated to financial
institutions and lenders. It contains some of our latest mortgage and foreclosure research; several years’
worth of articles from our publications, including
Central Banker; news on pending regulations, forums
and tools; as well as links for consumers and community groups. Zone-specific information is also
available for Louisville and Little Rock. (Memphis
will be added soon.)
Over the coming months and years, the St. Louis
Fed will continue to muster resources to provide
leadership on subprime and foreclosure issues (as
well as on a wide variety of other District and
national issues) and to foster financial literacy and
economic education as the underpinnings of our
community outreach. n

continue to be processed in St. Louis after 2009.
Memphis office: After the city fine-sort
deposit deadline on Friday, July 18, 2008,
Memphis will no longer accept paper checks for
processing. Instead, they will be delivered to the
Atlanta office. Memphis and Little Rock customers should drop off their work at their respective transit points for transportation to Atlanta.
If you have questions or concerns regarding the consolidation, call Sales Support at
513-455-4242. n

www.stlouisfed.org

Check volumes are continuing to decline at a
significant rate as people are increasingly switching to electronic forms of payment. A recent
review by the Federal Reserve’s Retail Payments
Office determined that the scheduled consolidations of St. Louis Fed Check operations with
those at other Feds needs to happen sooner.
St. Louis office: Previously, St. Louis Check
operations were going to be consolidated with
the Atlanta Fed in the first quarter of 2011. This
will now take place in the fourth quarter of 2009.
Treasury check and postal money orders will

2

St. Louis Fed’s Check Restructuring Speeds Up

The Past, Present and Future of the U.S.
By William R. Emmons

T

he U.S. mortgage market evolved through
several distinct phases to reach its current status as the largest, most innovative
and most complex home-financing market in the
world. Broadly, there were five major eras during
the last century. How the mortgage market evolves
during the next few years depends in large part on
whether the private-label mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market recovers and on the extent and
nature of any potential federal government interventions into housing and mortgage markets.
The pregovernment era. Before the Great
Depression, the mortgage market was strictly a private affair. There was no federal deposit insurance
or federal regulation of mortgage lending. The
homeownership rate was below 50 percent. Mortgage down-payment requirements of 50 percent
were typical. Most mortgage loans were shortterm, sometimes as short as five years, and were set
up as balloon mortgages. Homeownership was not
a viable option for most households.
The era of the Great Depression. The Great
Depression damaged the entire financial system,
especially the mortgage sector. By 1934, the
mortgage-delinquency rate was about 50 percent
nationwide, as banks, thrifts and mortgage lenders failed. The federal government responded

by creating a host of regulations and institutions.
Included were greater federal supervision of mortgage lending and depository institutions; federal
deposit insurance; the Federal Housing Administration (FHA); the Federal Home Loan Bank
System (FHLBS); the now-defunct Home Owners’
Loan Corp. (HOLC); the Reconstruction Finance
Corp. (RFC); and the Federal National Mortgage
Association (Fannie Mae).
The era of federally insured depository institutions. Increased federal supervision and the
introduction of federal deposit insurance greatly
strengthened banks and thrifts. These depository
institutions came to dominate mortgage lending
after World War II, achieving a combined mortgage-market share of 75 percent by 1973. The
predominant loan type became the long-term,
self-amortizing, fixed-rate mortgage that was created by the FHLBS. The Veterans Administration
and FHA guaranteed mortgages for a large number
of households, contributing to a rising homeownership rate, which reached 64 percent by 1970.
The era of the GSEs and secondary markets.
The key vulnerabilities of depository institutions
were exposure to high default rates in local markets
and an interest-rate mismatch between short-term
deposits and long-term fixed-rate mortgages. An
important policy response to these weaknesses was
the creation of two government-sponsored

Mortgage Originations by Product Type
Home-Equity Lines/Loans
Alt-A
Subprime
Jumbo

75%

Conventional/Conforming

50%

0%
2001

FHA/VA
2003

2005

2007 2008 2009
FORECAST

SOurce: Author’s calculations and forecast (for 2008 and 2009)

3

25%

www.stlouisfed.org

Fraction of Market

100%

The era of private-label MBS and the
“originate-to-distribute” business model.
Despite the improvements in risk management
represented by the GSEs, the homeownership
rate remained unchanged, on balance, between
1970 and 1995. In part to encourage greater
mortgage lending to nontraditional or underserved borrowers, and in part as a response to
the rapid innovations in financial markets, a
new business model emerged—private-label
MBS. This so-called originate-to-distribute
business model allowed different firms to
specialize in the various parts of the mortgagelending process, such as origination, securitization, guaranteeing, funding and servicing. By
last year, more than 20 percent of the mortgage
market was funded by private-label MBS.
The collapse of the subprime-mortgage
market in 2007 triggered a broader creditmarket crisis of confidence, which has persisted into 2008. The private-label MBS
model has all but disappeared, buckling under
the weight of misaligned incentives, significant doses of fraud and unrealistic expectations on the part of many of its participants.
There is no realistic prospect that the
private-label MBS model will return to life in
the near future. The most likely future for the
U.S. mortgage market is a return to its past—
namely, the bulk of mortgage funds will be
provided by insured depository institutions and
the GSEs. What is still unclear is whether, and
to what extent, the federal government will
intervene to create entirely new regulations
and institutions that could usher in another era
in the evolution of the mortgage market. n
William R. Emmons is an officer and economist
at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

District banks’ average net interest margin
(NIM) declined in the first quarter, but this drop
was offset by a decline in net noninterest expense.
U.S. peer banks’ average NIM declined, but net
noninterest expense rose. A substantial increase
in loan loss provisions also hurt profits at U.S. peer
banks; loan loss provisions as a percent of average
assets (LLP ratio) rose from 0.34 percent in the
fourth quarter to 0.56 in the first quarter. This
ratio has almost tripled at U.S. peer banks over the
last year, reflecting rising asset quality problems at
banks nationwide. The District LLP ratio has also
risen, but at a lower level and rate of increase.
Asset quality is a continuing concern at both
sets of banks. The ratio of nonperforming loans
in the District to total loans increased 17 basis
points to 1.72 percent in the first quarter and has
doubled over the past year. The pattern is echoed
at U.S. peers.
Most of the weakness remains concentrated
in real estate loan portfolios. Slightly more than
2 percent of the District’s outstanding real estate
loans are nonperforming, as are 1.92 percent at
U.S. peer banks. More than 5 percent of District
construction and land development loans were
nonperforming at the end of March.
On average, District banks remain well-capitalized. At the end of the first quarter, all District
banks but one (which subsequently failed) met or
exceeded the three regulatory capital ratios. n

Michelle Neely is an economist at the Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis.

Tougher Times for District Earnings and Loan Quality1
1st Q 2007 4th Q 2007 1st Q 2008
Return on average assets2

District Banks

1.03%

0.94%

0.96%

Peer Banks

1.17

1.05

0.81

District Banks

3.85

3.90

3.79

Peer Banks

3.92

3.99

3.85

District Banks

0.18

0.36

0.38

Peer Banks

0.20

0.34

0.56

District Banks

0.86

1.55

1.72

Peer Banks

0.73

1.24

1.63

Net interest margin

Loan Loss Provision Ratio

Nonperforming loans Ratio3

SOURCE: Reports of Condition and Income for Insured Commercial Banks
1
2

3

Banks with assets of more than $15 billion have been excluded from the analysis.
All earnings ratios are annualized and use year-to-date average assets (or earning assets) in
the denominator.
Nonperforming loans are those 90 days or more past due or in nonaccrual status.

4

enterprises (GSE)—Fannie Mae in 1968 and
Freddie Mac (Federal Home Loan Mortgage
Corp.) in 1970—while retaining Ginnie Mae
(Government National Mortgage Association)
as a government agency; together, these institutions created a secondary market for mortgages. The GSEs did not originate mortgages,
but bought them from originators with the
proceeds of bond issues made in national and
international capital markets. The GSEs held
some mortgages themselves and packaged and
sold other mortgages in the form of “agency”
MBS. By 2000, the GSEs funded or guaranteed more than half of all mortgages.

continued from Page 1

www.stlouisfed.org

Mortgage Market

Challenging Environment

Housing and the “R” Word
By Daniel L. Thornton

continued on Page 6

Effect of Residential Investment on GDP
100

10.0

50

5.0
0.0

0

–5.0
–10.0

–50
1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

Changes in the growth rate of housing (positive or negative) don’t have a large direct effect on GDP. Even
though housing has had large negative growth since 2005, there is not much difference between GDP with and
without residential investment.
SOURCE: Author’s calculations

5

GDP
GDP Less Residential Investment
Real Private Residential Investment
(RPRI)

15.0

percent change quarter/quarter (RPRI)

20.0

www.stlouisfed.org

T

here has been considerable
discussion of the possibility that the economy could
be heading toward recession—a
sustained period (typically, two
quarters or longer) of negative
growth in real GDP (gross domestic product)—because of ongoing
troubles in the housing market.
The decline in housing alone is
unlikely to cause a recession. Any
recessionary effect of housing on
the economy will be a consequence of the indirect effects that
housing has on aggregate spending, primarily consumer spending.
Real GDP is a measure of the
economy’s current production.
Sales of existing houses have no
impact on current production
because these houses were produced sometime in the past. The
direct effect of housing on current
economic growth comes through
the residential investment component of GDP, such as current
construction of single- and multifamily housing, for example.
Residential investment accounts
for only about 5 percent of GDP,
however. Consequently, the
effect of residential investment
on economic growth is relatively
modest. This is illustrated in the
adjoining figure, which shows
quarterly GDP growth with and
without residential investment
(left-hand scale) and the quarterly
growth rate of residential investment (right-hand scale) over the
period 1970Q1 through 2007Q4.
The figure shows that the direct
effect of changes in residential
investment on economic growth
is small. For example, the difference in growth of real economic
activity including or excluding

percent change quarter/quarter (GDP)

Daniel L.Thornton is a vice president of Research
at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

residential investment since mid-2005 is very small despite
the large negative growth of residential investment. Very
large changes in the growth of residential investment have a
modest effect on economic growth.
Since residential investment peaked in the fourth quarter
of 2005, its decline has reduced growth of real GDP by an
average of about 0.88 percentage points. This decline has
largely been offset by nonresidential investment, which has
continued to grow at a brisk pace.
If the troubles in the housing industry are to cause a recession, it will have to be because of the effect of housing on
consumer spending. Consumers base their spending decisions not only on their current income, but also on their
wealth. An increase in wealth, with other things the same,
should induce consumers to spend more of their current
income. Hence, a decline in wealth could generate a decline
in consumer spending. For many people, the net worth of
their home is the single most important source of wealth.
Consequently, a decline in home prices makes people less
wealthy and may cause them to consume less. Because
consumption accounts for about 70 percent of GDP, even
relatively small changes in consumer spending can have a
relatively large effect on output growth.
Wealth effects are difficult to identify and measure.
Consequently, how large a wealth effect housing has on
output growth due to consumption is difficult to say.
The wealth effect associated with changes in equity values
appears to be weak. Evidence of a wealth effect associated
with housing wealth is stronger, however. This suggests
that the recent and continuing turmoil in the housing

Central Banker Coverage
Is Expanding Online
Central Banker is breaking through its borders.
Beginning with the current issue, new, exclusive
content will be offered online in addition to what’s
in the printed publication. You’ll see more economic views, regulatory updates and other information that the Fed hopes you’ll find useful.
Go to www.stlouisfed.org/publications/cb/
default.html for these and other online articles:
• Fed Research looks at the defining factor of
Bill Poole’s presidency of the St. Louis Fed.
• Bankers have probably heard of the Federal
Reserve’s Beige Book. Now the St. Louis Fed’s
Research division has introduced the quarterly
Burgundy Books, a closer look at the economies
of the four zones within the Eighth District.
• The St. Louis Fed’s accounting department
would like to receive customer feedback from
banks using Fed services in the Eighth District.
• Fed economist and research officer Mike
Pakko examines whether smoking bans make
economic sense.
• A new Fed brochure outlines the Tennessee
Home Loan Protection Act and the dangers of
predatory lending.
• A new Fed pricing policy for carrier documents takes effect Aug. 1. n

Subscribe to Central Banker
Central Banker is the St. Louis Federal Reserve’s quarterly
overview of Fed policies, initiatives and news affecting
financial institutions in the Eighth District. Subscriptions
are free.
Consider adding subscriptions for all offices in your organization
and all executives and officers. Go to www.stlouisfed.org/
publications and click Subscribe. Feel free to subscribe to any
of the Fed publications listed there.

Housing
continued from Page 5

industry may adversely affect economic
growth.1 Growth of real consumption
expenditures slowed somewhat in 2007 from
its average pace of more than 3 percent over
the period 2003-2006. The extent to which
this represents a wealth effect of housing on
consumer spending is unclear. n
EndnoteS
1

See “Comparing Wealth Effects: The Stock Market vs.
the Housing Market,” Karl E. Case, John M. Quigley, and
Robert X. Shiller, Advances in Macroeconomics, 2005, 5(1),
pp. 1-34.

FIRST-CLASS
US POSTAGE
PAID
PERMIT NO 444
ST LOUIS, MO
P.O. Box 442
St. Louis, Mo. 63166-0442
Editor
Scott Kelly
314-444-8593
scott.b.kelly@stls.frb.org
Central Banker is published
quarterly by the Public Affairs
department of the Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
Views expressed are not
necessarily official opinions
of the Federal Reserve
System or the Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis.

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/do-smoking-bans-make-economic-sense

Views: Do Smoking Bans Make Economic Sense?
Do you know any businesses in your community that have been told to extinguish those butts-or else? Do
smoking bans help or hurt business? Fed economist and Research officer Mike Pakko clears the haze in this
21-minute audiocast on the economics of smoking bans.

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/poole-reflects-on-presidency-in-banks-annual-report

Views: Poole Reflects on Presidency in Bank's
Annual Report
After serving 10 years as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Bill Poole has much to say. The
St. Louis Fed's 2007 annual report features an in-depth interview with Poole, who retired March 31. He
discusses how monetary policy was affected by the turbulent economic events that marked his tenure, as well
as the FOMC's communication policies and the evolving nature of Reserve banks. Also included are highlights
from some of Poole's nearly 150 speeches as president and comments from colleagues regarding his impact
on monetary policy over the past decade.

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/send-feedback-online-to-st-louis-feds-accounting

Tools: Send Feedback Online to St. Louis Fed's
Accounting
The St. Louis Fed’s accounting customer support now offers depository institutions an online service feedback
tool.
The new online tool replaces the hard copy feedback card you may have received through regular mail in the
past. Customers who contact the Fed for accounting information services now receive an e-mail survey a few
days later. Your service expectations are important to the Fed; so, please look for this e-mailed survey and
send your responses.
You may have recently read in other Fed publications about accounting customer support services at the
Dallas and Chicago Feds that are transitioning to the Minneapolis and Boston Feds, respectively. At this time,
there are no plans for the St. Louis Fed to consolidate accounting customer support; local staff will continue to
provide your accounting customer support services.

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/st-louis-fed-now-publishing-quarterly-economicemburgundy-booksem

Tools: St. Louis Fed Now Publishing Quarterly
Economic Burgundy Books
You’ve probably heard of the Beige Book, the economic report that the Federal Reserve publishes eight times
a year before each FOMC meeting. In March, the St. Louis Fed’s Center for Regional Economics—8th District
(CRE8) released the first Burgundy Books.
Like the Beige Book, the Burgundy Books provide anecdotal information and formal data to help assess
current and future economic conditions within the District. The Burgundy Books are produced for each of the
District’s four zones, which surround St. Louis, Little Rock, Louisville and Memphis. Fed economists provide
audio commentary and supplement the Burgundy Books, which are published online only.
The new report will be published on a quarterly basis and will coincide with the release of a Beige Book report.
The next Burgundy Books will be released June 26. (A Beige Book will come out June 11.)

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/feds-maps-illustrate-subprime-and-alta-loan-conditions

Tools: Fed's Maps Illustrate Subprime and Alt-A
Loan Conditions
Do you need to know where subprime and Alt-A loans are having the biggest affect in your ZIP code, county or
state?
Use the Fed’s new dynamic maps of nonprime mortgage conditions in the United States. The maps, which are
updated monthly, display regional variation in the condition of securitized, owner-occupied subprime and alt-A
mortgage loans. Maps can be tailored to show specific information, including:
loans per 1,000 housing units,
loans in foreclosure per 1,000 housing units,
loans real estate owned (REO) per 1,000 housing units,
share of loans that are adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs),
share of loans for which payments are current,
share of loans that are 90-plus days delinquent,
share of loans in foreclosure,
median combined loan-to-value ratio (LTV) at origination,
share of loans with low credit score (FICO) and high LTV at origination,
share of loans with low or no documentation,
share of ARMs with initial reset in the next 12 months, and
share of loans with a late payment in the past 12 months.
The maps and data can be used to help identify existing and potential foreclosure hot spots. In turn, by
knowing these locations you can assist community groups, which can mobilize resources to bring financial
counseling and other support to at-risk homeowners.

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/a-look-at-key-tenets-of-the-poole-presidency

A Look at Key Tenets of the Poole Presidency
Edward Nelson , Faith A. Weller
On March 31, 2008, William Poole retired as president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis after 10 years
of service. Throughout his time as president and as a participant in Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
meetings, Poole consistently advocated an approach to monetary policy that emphasized communication and
predictability.
As Poole observed, "Since coming to the St. Louis Fed in 1998, I have spoken often on the subject of the
predictability of Federal Reserve policy, emphasizing that predictability enhances the effectiveness of policy.
Predictability has many dimensions, but one is certainly that the market cannot predict what the Fed is going to
do without a deep understanding of what the Fed is trying to do."[1] Therefore, to achieve predictability a policy
agency must state its policy objectives clearly to the public.
In addition to public transparency, Poole helped focus the Fed on meeting its legislated goals, including the
Employment Act of 1946, which gives the federal government responsibility for promoting "maximum
employment, production and purchasing power." As an element of the federal government, the Federal
Reserve is therefore assigned the objectives of both high employment and price stability.
Poole, however, suggested that the best way that the Federal Reserve could meet this legislated role in
practice was to focus on a single, central policy goal. He believed that the Fed's focus should be on achieving
price stability; if this was accomplished, "then we will have done our job and done it well."[2] Price stability
supports a healthy economy as it "appears to be helpful in holding down the average level of unemployment"
and is "conducive to maximum growth and efficient utilization of the resources available to a society."[3] In this
way, the Fed is able to contribute to economic welfare and the goals stated in the Employment Act.
An important reason why the achievement of price stability contributes to achievement of the economic goals,
according to Poole, is that it eliminates a source of uncertainty for consumers and firms when they are making
long-term decisions. Banking decisions are helped, too, for, as Poole said in 2007, "Long-run price stability
contributes to financial stability.... An unstable price level can lead to bad forecasts of real returns to investment
projects and, hence, to unprofitable borrowing and lending decisions."[4]
Poole concluded that the pursuit of price stability would be aided by the Federal Reserve's announcement of
an explicit target for the U.S. inflation rate. Poole believed that "adding formality to that objective can clarify
what the Fed does and why."[5]
In 2007, the FOMC adopted a new transparency and communication policy. As a part of this policy, the
FOMC's economic projections are now released more frequently and in greater detail. There is, consequently,
less uncertainty for financial markets and the general public. The new policy is consistent with the
communication strategy and the price stability objective that Poole advocated.
Endnotes

1. William Poole, "Inflation Targeting," speech before Junior Achievement of Arkansas Inc., Little Rock,
Ark., Feb. 16, 2006. [back to text]
2. William Poole, "A Policymaker Confronts Uncertainty," speech before The St. Louis Gateway Chapter
National Association for Business Economics, St. Louis, Mo., Sept. 16, 1998. [back to text]
3. Ibid. [back to text]
4. William Poole, "Inflation, Financial Stability and Economic Growth," speech before Global
Interdependence Center Abroad, Santiago, Chile, March 5, 2007. [back to text]
5. William Poole, "Inflation Targeting," speech before Junior Achievement of Arkansas Inc., Little Rock,
Ark., Feb. 16, 2006. [back to text]

CENTRAL BANKER | SUMMER 2008
https://www.stlouisfed.org/publications/central-banker/summer-2008/regional-roundup

Regional Roundup
Fed To Use Strap Imaging for Currency Processing
The St. Louis Fed will begin transitioning to currency strap imaging Aug. 18 for currency processing.
Currently, when a difference is found in a depository institution’s (DI) deposits, the Fed returns the straps that
were wrapped around the bundles of 100 notes. Soon, the Fed will begin using image capturing to send
pictures of the straps back to DIs along with advices when a difference is found.
All Reserve banks are transitioning to currency strap imaging. During this period, you could see a day's delay
in receiving cash difference advices for a short period of time, and may receive combinations of original
currency straps and printed images until our systems are fully converted.
The depositor information required on the strap by Operating Circular 2 (OC2) remains unchanged; however,
this information must be readable from a printed image.

New Fed Pricing Policy for Carrier Documents Effective Aug. 1
The Federal Reserve will modify the pricing on forward collection and return items in carrier documents,
effective Aug. 1. Specifically:
Any qualified return item cash letter containing carrier documents will be reclassified as unqualified
(raw) returns, with associated pricing and availability.
Forward collection machineable cash letters containing carrier documents will be charged an additional
$0.02 per item on each item in the cash letter. This fee is in addition to the published fees.
The fee for items in carrier documents contained in machineable cash letters that fail image quality
assurance (IQA) will be increased to $10 per item from $4.
Financial institutions should be aware that Operating Circular 3 (OC 3) imposes the risk of loss on an institution
that sends a carrier item to a Reserve bank in a mixed cash letter and indemnifies the Reserve banks against
any resulting loss. Carrier documents should continue to be used for photos-in-lieu and items with
attachments. These items should be deposited in a non-machineable cash letter (for forward collection) or an
unqualified (raw) return cash letter. For more information, see www.frbservices.org.

Fed’s Memphis Branch Offers Tennessee Consumers Info on
Predatory Lending
A new consumer brochure on predatory lending and the Tennessee Home Loan Protection Act is available
from the St. Louis Fed’s Memphis Branch. The brochure explains predatory lending and the provisions of the
law in easy-to-understand terms.

Generally, the Tennessee Home Loan Protection Act imposes prohibitions and limitations on high-cost home
loans. Lenders and mortgage brokers are prohibited from engaging in activities such as:
knowingly or intentionally making a high-cost loan to a borrower within 30 months of an existing home
loan when there is no reasonable benefit to the borrower;
financing single-premium credit insurance policies in excess of $50,000;
making a loan that a borrower cannot reasonably repay, considering the borrower’s obligations other
than the borrower’s equity in his or her home; and
directly or indirectly financing points and fees that exceed 3 percent of the total loan.
These are just a few of a long list of restrictions outlined in the brochure. To obtain copies or for more
information, e-mail Teresa Cheeks of the Fed’s Memphis Branch or call her at 901-579-4101.

State Quarter Program Completed in 2008
Since 1998, the U.S. Mint has released coins commemorating the 50 states. Each has a unique design
pertaining to its state. The program ends this year, with the release of the coins for Oklahoma, New Mexico,
Arizona, Alaska and Hawaii.
Meanwhile, the Mint’s Presidential $1 Gold Coins program is well under way. (The John Quincy Adams coin is
the latest one released as of this story’s publication.) Next year, the Mint plans to commemorate the
bicentennial of Abraham Lincoln’s birth and the centennial of the penny through the Lincoln One-Cent
Redesign. Four redesigned pennies are planned to be released in 2009.