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EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 a.m. EST, Thursday, February 29, 2024 Technical: Media: Lisa Mataloni (Personal Income) Kyle Brown (PCE Goods) Harvey Davis (PCE Services) Connie O'Connell (301) 278-9083 (301) 278-9086 (301) 278-9719 (301) 278-9003 BEA 24–06 piniwd@bea.gov pce@bea.gov Connie.OConnell@bea.gov Personal Income and Outlays, January 2024 Personal income increased $233.7 billion (1.0 percent at a monthly rate) in January, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 2 and 3). Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $67.6 billion (0.3 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $43.9 billion (0.2 percent). The PCE price index increased 0.3 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.4 percent (table 5). Real DPI decreased less than 0.1 percent in January and real PCE decreased 0.1 percent; goods decreased 1.1 percent and services increased 0.4 percent (tables 3 and 4). 2023 2024 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Percent change from preceding month Personal income: Current dollars Disposable personal income: Current dollars Chained (2017) dollars Personal consumption expenditures (PCE): Current dollars Chained (2017) dollars Price indexes: PCE PCE, excluding food and energy Price indexes: PCE PCE, excluding food and energy 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.3 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 -0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 Percent change from month one year ago 3.4 3.0 2.7 2.6 2.4 3.6 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.8 The increase in current-dollar personal income in January primarily reflected increases in government social benefits, personal income receipts on assets, and compensation (table 2). The increase in government social benefits was led by social security benefits, reflecting a 3.2 percent cost-of-living adjustment, and other government social benefits, primarily reflecting an increase in Affordable Care Act enrollments. The increase in personal income receipts on assets was led by an increase in personal dividend income, reflecting information from company financial statements. The $43.9 billion increase in current-dollar PCE in January reflected a $121.0 billion increase in spending for services that was partly offset by a $77.0 billion decrease in spending for goods (table 2). Within services, the largest contributors to the increase were housing and utilities, financial services and insurance (led by financial service charges, fees, and commissions), and health care (led by hospitals). Within goods, the leading contributors to the decrease were motor vehicles and parts (led by new light trucks), gasoline and other energy goods (led by gasoline), and other nondurable goods (led by prescription drugs). Detailed information on monthly PCE spending can be found on Table 2.4.5U. Personal outlays, the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments , increased $54.3 billion in January (table 2). Personal saving was $779.3 billion in January and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.8 percent (table 1). Prices From the preceding month, the PCE price index for January increased 0.3 percent (table 5). Prices for services increased 0.6 percent and prices for goods decreased 0.2 percent. Food prices increased 0.5 percent and energy prices decreased 1.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Detailed monthly PCE price indexes can be found on Table 2.4.4U. From the same month one year ago, the PCE price index for January increased 2.4 percent (table 7). Prices for services increased 3.9 percent and prices for goods decreased 0.5 percent. Food prices increased 1.4 percent and energy prices decreased 4.9 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 2.8 percent from one year ago. Real PCE The 0.1 percent decrease in real PCE in January reflected a decrease of 1.1 percent in spending on goods and an increase of 0.4 percent in spending on services (table 4). Within goods, decreases were widespread, led by motor vehicles and parts (mainly new light trucks). Within services, the largest contributor to the increase was housing and utilities (led by utilities). Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found on Table 2.4.6U. Updates to Personal Income and Outlays Estimates have been updated for July through December. For July through September estimates for compensation, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance reflect the incorporation of updated third-quarter wage and salary data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program. Revised and previously published changes from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2017) dollar DPI and PCE, are provided below for November and December. Page 2 of 10 Change from preceding month November December Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised (Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent) Personal income: Current dollars Disposable personal income: Current dollars Chained (2017) dollars Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars Chained (2017) dollars 89.4 79.8 0.4 0.3 60.0 74.8 0.3 0.3 83.1 79.8 74.9 63.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 51.8 14.4 61.9 30.9 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 73.1 70.6 73.0 61.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 133.9 84.3 126.7 85.9 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 * * * Next release: March 29, 2024, at 8:30 a.m. EDT Personal Income and Outlays, February 2024 Page 3 of 10 Additional Information Resources Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. Additional Resources available at www.bea.gov: • • • • • • Stay informed about BEA developments by reading The BEA Wire, signing up for BEA’s email subscription service, or following BEA on X, formerly known as Twitter @BEA_News. Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA’s Interactive Data Application. Access BEA data by registering for BEA’s Data Application Programming Interface (API). For more on BEA’s statistics, refer to our online journal, the Survey of Current Business. BEA's news release schedule NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Definitions Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses. Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, “persons” who reside in the United States. Personal outlays is the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments. Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes. The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. For more definitions, refer to the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts. Statistical conventions Annual rates. Monthly and quarterly values are expressed at seasonally-adjusted annual rates (SAAR). Dollar changes are calculated as the difference between these SAAR values. For detail, refer to the FAQ “Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?” Month-to-month percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are not annualized. Quarter-to-quarter percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are displayed at annual rates. For detail, refer to the FAQ “How is average annual growth calculated?” and “Why does BEA publish percent changes in quarterly series at annual rates?” Quantities and prices. Quantities, or “real” volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2017). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisherchained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (months for monthly data, quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). For details on the calculation of quantity and price indexes, refer to Chapter 4: Estimating Methods in the NIPA Handbook. Chained-dollar values are calculated by multiplying the quantity index by the current-dollar value in the reference year (2017) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year. In tables that display chaineddollar values, a "residual" line shows the difference between the sum of detailed chained-dollar series and its corresponding aggregate. Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at “market value.” Also referred to as “nominal estimates” or as “current-price estimates.” Page 4 of 10 Personal Income and Outlays News Release Tables Table Table Table Table Table Table 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Table 7. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months) Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change from Preceding Period (Months) Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change from Preceding Period (Months) Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months) Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change from Preceding Period (Months) Real Disposable Personal Income and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change from Month One Year Ago Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change from Month One Year Ago Page 5 of 10 February 29, 2024 Table 1. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months) [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2023 Line 1 Personal income Compensation of employees 2 Wages and salaries 3 4 Private industries 5 Goods-producing industries 6 Manufacturing 7 Services-producing industries 8 Trade, transportation, and utilities 9 Other services-producing industries 10 Government Supplements to wages and salaries 11 1 12 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds 13 Employer contributions for government social insurance 14 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 Farm Nonfarm Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Personal income receipts on assets Personal interest income Personal dividend income Personal current transfer receipts Government social benefits to persons 2 Social security 3 Medicare Medicaid Unemployment insurance Veterans' benefits Other Other current transfer receipts, from business (net) Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic Less: Personal current taxes Equals: Disposable personal income Less: Personal outlays Personal consumption expenditures Goods Durable goods Nondurable goods Services 4 Personal interest payments Personal current transfer payments To government To the rest of the world (net) Equals: Personal saving Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income Addenda: r r r r 2024 r r Line p June 22,921.4 14,218.6 11,788.9 10,070.4 1,847.2 1,088.6 8,223.2 1,804.5 6,418.7 1,718.6 2,429.6 1,615.0 July 22,986.4 14,296.4 11,855.6 10,117.4 1,859.0 1,096.9 8,258.4 1,816.7 6,441.7 1,738.2 2,440.8 1,622.0 Aug. 23,094.5 14,372.7 11,921.2 10,167.9 1,867.1 1,102.2 8,300.8 1,828.0 6,472.8 1,753.3 2,451.5 1,628.6 Sept. 23,176.2 14,437.1 11,975.7 10,207.1 1,876.1 1,108.6 8,331.0 1,837.3 6,493.8 1,768.6 2,461.4 1,635.0 Oct. 23,227.0 14,464.6 11,996.2 10,216.8 1,881.4 1,108.2 8,335.4 1,833.5 6,501.8 1,779.4 2,468.4 1,640.6 Nov. 23,306.8 14,527.0 12,049.9 10,263.6 1,898.2 1,120.7 8,365.4 1,835.4 6,529.9 1,786.3 2,477.0 1,645.5 Dec. 23,381.7 14,595.3 12,109.0 10,312.7 1,894.4 1,112.5 8,418.3 1,848.7 6,569.6 1,796.3 2,486.3 1,650.8 Jan. 23,615.4 14,653.4 12,152.4 10,344.6 1,892.4 1,109.6 8,452.2 1,844.7 6,607.5 1,807.8 2,501.0 1,658.6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 814.6 818.7 822.9 826.4 827.8 831.5 835.6 842.4 13 1,829.9 1,839.7 1,861.1 1,877.8 1,882.4 1,888.4 1,886.4 1,882.1 14 55.5 1,774.4 961.8 3,590.7 1,756.1 1,834.7 4,121.3 4,017.8 1,356.7 943.3 909.8 21.6 172.5 613.8 103.5 1,800.9 2,712.9 20,208.4 19,228.3 18,485.4 6,150.1 2,194.2 3,955.9 12,335.3 499.8 243.1 130.6 112.5 980.1 4.8 52.7 1,787.0 967.2 3,594.4 1,766.1 1,828.3 4,097.9 3,993.8 1,358.3 944.8 893.4 21.1 172.7 603.5 104.1 1,809.2 2,744.1 20,242.2 19,351.5 18,595.4 6,188.2 2,206.9 3,981.3 12,407.2 510.0 246.1 130.9 115.2 890.7 4.4 49.9 1,811.2 974.5 3,607.3 1,776.3 1,831.0 4,096.5 3,991.8 1,362.1 946.3 879.5 21.1 172.9 610.0 104.7 1,817.6 2,768.2 20,326.4 19,417.0 18,651.6 6,228.7 2,193.1 4,035.5 12,422.9 519.0 246.4 131.2 115.2 909.4 4.5 47.2 1,830.6 981.5 3,617.9 1,786.7 1,831.2 4,086.6 3,977.7 1,363.4 947.9 868.8 20.8 173.0 603.8 108.9 1,824.6 2,783.7 20,392.5 19,600.9 18,791.5 6,278.4 2,213.4 4,065.0 12,513.0 562.8 246.7 131.5 115.2 791.6 3.9 43.6 1,838.8 985.3 3,644.9 1,799.4 1,845.5 4,077.5 3,971.6 1,378.6 949.6 857.9 22.1 173.3 590.2 105.8 1,827.6 2,774.7 20,452.3 19,622.3 18,810.6 6,250.7 2,191.1 4,059.6 12,559.9 563.0 248.7 131.8 116.9 830.0 4.1 40.1 1,848.3 988.1 3,670.8 1,812.3 1,858.5 4,067.8 3,957.9 1,370.3 951.3 853.6 23.0 173.6 586.1 109.9 1,835.2 2,779.6 20,527.2 19,695.8 18,883.6 6,242.5 2,195.8 4,046.7 12,641.1 563.2 249.0 132.1 116.9 831.4 4.1 36.5 1,849.9 990.9 3,680.3 1,825.4 1,854.9 4,072.3 3,965.4 1,373.8 953.1 856.1 22.9 173.9 585.5 106.9 1,843.6 2,792.5 20,589.2 19,823.1 19,010.3 6,285.3 2,219.1 4,066.3 12,725.0 563.5 249.4 132.5 116.9 766.0 3.7 37.1 1,845.1 1,006.9 3,759.0 1,828.1 1,930.9 4,178.7 4,057.6 1,421.5 958.5 866.7 22.8 174.3 613.8 121.1 1,864.7 2,958.7 20,656.7 19,877.4 19,054.2 6,208.3 2,176.0 4,032.3 12,845.9 573.4 249.8 132.9 116.9 779.3 3.8 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 15,638.0 15,691.7 15,726.6 15,741.9 15,784.6 15,859.9 15,899.0 15,948.8 45 16,809.5 16,816.4 16,826.2 16,816.3 16,858.5 16,921.8 16,952.7 16,949.9 46 60,309 50,166 335,080 60,380 50,161 335,248 60,598 50,163 335,431 60,762 50,106 335,612 60,911 50,208 335,773 61,107 50,374 335,925 61,265 50,444 336,070 61,443 50,417 336,194 47 48 49 Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2017) dollars 5 Disposable personal income: 46 47 48 49 Total, billions of chained (2017) dollars Per capita: Current dollars Chained (2017) dollars 6 Population (midperiod, thousands) 5 p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2023. 1. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 2. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 3. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 4. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. Note that mortgage interest paid by households is an expense item in the calculation of rental income of persons. 5. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 6. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate is the average of estimates for the first of the month and the first of the following month; the annual and quarterly estimates are averages of the monthly estimates. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Page 6 of 10 February 29, 2024 Table 2. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change from Preceding Period (Months) [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2023 Line 1 Personal income Compensation of employees 2 Wages and salaries 3 4 Private industries 5 Goods-producing industries 6 Manufacturing 7 Services-producing industries Trade, transportation, and utilities 8 Other services-producing industries 9 10 Government Supplements to wages and salaries 11 12 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds 1 Employer contributions for government social insurance 13 14 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments 15 Farm 16 Nonfarm 17 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Personal income receipts on assets 18 19 Personal interest income 20 Personal dividend income Personal current transfer receipts 21 22 Government social benefits to persons 23 Social security 2 24 Medicare 3 25 Medicaid 26 Unemployment insurance 27 Veterans' benefits 28 Other Other current transfer receipts, from business (net) 29 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic 30 31 Less: Personal current taxes 32 Equals: Disposable personal income 33 Less: Personal outlays 34 Personal consumption expenditures 35 Goods 36 Durable goods 37 Nondurable goods 38 Services 39 Personal interest payments 4 40 Personal current transfer payments 41 To government 42 To the rest of the world (net) 43 Equals: Personal saving Addenda: 44 Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, 45 2024 Line Jan. p 233.7 1 58.1 2 43.4 3 31.9 4 -2.0 5 -2.9 6 33.9 7 -4.0 8 37.9 9 11.5 10 14.7 11 7.9 12 June 44.7 67.5 58.2 50.6 10.5 9.1 40.1 11.3 28.7 7.6 9.3 5.6 July r 65.0 77.8 66.6 47.0 11.8 8.3 35.2 12.2 23.0 19.6 11.1 7.0 Aug. r 108.2 76.3 65.6 50.5 8.1 5.3 42.4 11.3 31.1 15.1 10.7 6.5 Sept. r 81.7 64.4 54.5 39.2 9.0 6.4 30.2 9.2 21.0 15.3 9.9 6.5 Oct. r 50.8 27.4 20.5 9.6 5.3 -0.4 4.3 -3.7 8.1 10.9 7.0 5.6 Nov. r 79.8 62.4 53.7 46.8 16.9 12.5 30.0 1.9 28.1 6.9 8.7 4.9 Dec. r 74.8 68.3 59.1 49.1 -3.9 -8.3 52.9 13.3 39.6 10.0 9.3 5.2 3.7 4.1 4.2 3.5 1.4 3.7 4.1 6.8 13 8.6 9.8 21.4 16.7 4.6 6.0 -2.0 -4.3 14 -2.8 11.3 1.0 -2.8 12.6 5.4 -2.8 24.2 7.3 -2.8 19.4 7.0 -3.6 8.2 3.7 -3.6 9.5 2.8 -3.6 1.6 2.8 0.5 -4.9 16.0 15 16 17 -19.5 1.3 -20.8 -5.5 -6.1 2.1 1.4 -6.4 -0.7 0.1 -2.6 0.6 7.3 21.7 23.0 102.9 77.6 5.4 -8.6 14.0 72.3 25.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 -79.9 3.7 10.0 -6.4 -23.4 -24.1 1.5 1.5 -16.4 -0.5 0.1 -10.3 0.6 8.3 31.2 33.8 123.2 110.0 38.1 12.7 25.4 71.9 10.2 2.9 0.3 2.7 -89.4 12.9 10.2 2.7 -1.3 -1.9 3.9 1.5 -13.9 -0.1 0.2 6.5 0.6 8.4 24.0 84.1 65.5 56.2 40.4 -13.8 54.2 15.7 9.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 18.7 10.6 10.4 0.3 -10.0 -14.1 1.3 1.6 -10.7 -0.3 0.2 -6.2 4.2 7.1 15.6 66.2 184.0 139.9 49.8 20.2 29.5 90.1 43.8 0.3 0.3 0.0 -117.8 27.0 12.7 14.3 -9.1 -6.1 15.2 1.7 -10.9 1.3 0.3 -13.6 -3.0 3.0 -9.0 59.8 21.4 19.1 -27.7 -22.3 -5.4 46.8 0.2 2.0 0.3 1.7 38.5 25.9 12.9 13.0 -9.7 -13.7 -8.3 1.7 -4.2 0.9 0.3 -4.1 4.0 7.6 4.9 74.9 73.5 73.0 -8.2 4.7 -12.9 81.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.4 9.5 13.1 -3.6 4.5 7.4 3.5 1.8 2.4 -0.1 0.4 -0.6 -2.9 8.4 12.9 61.9 127.3 126.7 42.8 23.3 19.5 83.9 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 -65.4 78.7 2.7 76.0 106.4 92.2 47.7 5.4 10.7 -0.2 0.4 28.3 14.2 21.1 166.2 67.6 54.3 43.9 -77.0 -43.0 -34.0 121.0 10.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 13.3 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 billions of chained (2017) dollars 5 15.6 53.7 34.8 15.4 42.7 75.3 39.1 49.9 44 Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2017) dollars 5 -9.0 6.8 9.8 -9.9 42.2 63.3 30.9 -2.8 45 p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2023. 1. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 2. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 3. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 4. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. Note that mortgage interest paid by households is an expense item in the calculation of rental income of persons. 5. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Page 7 of 10 February 29, 2024 Table 3. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change from Preceding Period (Months) Seasonally adjusted at monthly rates 2023 Line r r June July Aug. Based on current-dollar measures 0.2 0.3 0.5 1 Personal income 2 Compensation of employees 0.5 0.5 0.5 3 Wages and salaries 0.5 0.6 0.6 4 Supplements to wages and salaries 0.4 0.5 0.4 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital 5 0.5 0.5 1.2 consumption adjustments 0.1 0.6 0.8 6 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment 7 Personal income receipts on assets -0.5 0.1 0.4 8 Personal interest income 0.1 0.6 0.6 9 Personal dividend income -1.1 -0.3 0.1 10 Personal current transfer receipts -0.1 -0.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 11 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic 0.8 1.1 0.9 12 Less: Personal current taxes 0.1 0.2 0.4 13 Equals: Disposable personal income Addenda: 14 Personal consumption expenditures 0.4 0.6 0.3 15 Goods 0.1 0.6 0.7 16 Durable goods -0.4 0.6 -0.6 17 Nondurable goods 0.4 0.6 1.4 18 Services 0.6 0.6 0.1 Based on chained (2017) dollar measures 19 20 Real personal income excluding transfer receipts Real disposable personal income 0.1 -0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2024 r Sept. Oct. r Nov. r Dec. r Jan. Line p 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.6 1 2 3 4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 -0.1 0.3 -0.2 1.6 5 6 0.3 0.6 0.0 -0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.8 -0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 -0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 -0.2 0.1 0.5 2.1 0.1 4.1 2.6 1.1 7 8 9 10 11 0.6 0.3 -0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.3 6.0 0.3 12 13 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.1 -0.4 -1.0 -0.1 0.4 0.4 -0.1 0.2 -0.3 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 -1.2 -1.9 -0.8 1.0 14 15 16 17 18 0.1 -0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 19 20 p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2023. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 4. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months) Line 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 2023 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. r Nov. r Billions of chained (2017) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 15,376.3 15,448.3 15,439.8 15,496.0 15,505.2 15,566.9 Goods 5,357.2 5,404.7 5,397.7 5,431.5 5,422.5 5,445.4 Durable goods 2,024.6 2,051.0 2,044.9 2,065.8 2,050.0 2,064.1 Nondurable goods 3,341.6 3,363.5 3,362.3 3,376.1 3,381.5 3,391.0 Services 10,045.9 10,072.0 10,070.3 10,093.7 10,111.0 10,149.9 Change from preceding period in billions of chained (2017) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 38.9 72.0 -8.5 56.2 9.2 61.6 Goods 8.8 47.5 -7.0 33.8 -9.0 22.9 Durable goods -0.8 26.4 -6.1 20.9 -15.8 14.1 Nondurable goods 9.2 21.9 -1.3 13.8 5.4 9.4 Services 29.9 26.1 -1.8 23.4 17.3 38.9 Percent change from preceding period in chained (2017) dollars, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 0.3 0.5 -0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 Goods 0.2 0.9 -0.1 0.6 -0.2 0.4 Durable goods 0.0 1.3 -0.3 1.0 -0.8 0.7 Nondurable goods 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 Services 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 p Preliminary r Revised Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Page 8 of 10 2024 Dec. r Jan. p Line 15,652.7 5,495.6 2,095.6 3,411.1 10,187.4 15,635.0 5,437.4 2,050.6 3,395.3 10,223.2 1 2 3 4 5 85.9 50.2 31.5 20.1 37.5 -17.8 -58.2 -45.0 -15.8 35.8 6 7 8 9 10 0.6 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.4 -0.1 -1.1 -2.1 -0.5 0.4 11 12 13 14 15 February 29, 2024 Table 5. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change from Preceding Period (Months) Line 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2023 June July Aug. Sept. Oct. r Nov. r Chain-type price indexes (2017=100), seasonally adjusted Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 120.221 120.373 120.803 121.267 121.319 121.307 Goods 114.794 114.492 115.390 115.588 115.267 114.630 Durable goods 108.390 107.616 107.261 107.154 106.890 106.385 Nondurable goods 118.369 118.354 120.012 120.395 120.040 119.325 Services 122.797 123.192 123.370 123.976 124.228 124.551 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy 119.189 119.332 119.449 119.842 120.027 120.134 124.790 125.082 125.395 125.770 126.020 125.855 Food 1 134.192 134.319 142.555 144.958 141.367 138.758 Energy goods and services 2 118.814 118.990 119.437 119.911 120.011 120.000 Market-based PCE 3 117.400 117.569 117.658 118.051 118.311 118.438 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy 3 Percent change from preceding period in price indexes, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 Goods -0.1 -0.3 0.8 0.2 -0.3 -0.6 Durable goods -0.4 -0.7 -0.3 -0.1 -0.2 -0.5 Nondurable goods 0.1 0.0 1.4 0.3 -0.3 -0.6 Services 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.3 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 1 -0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 -0.1 Food 0.6 0.1 6.1 1.7 -2.5 -1.8 Energy goods and services 2 3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Market-based PCE 3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy Dec. r 2024 Jan. p 121.451 114.363 105.898 119.193 124.917 121.870 114.169 106.122 118.745 125.662 1 2 3 4 5 120.308 125.912 138.364 120.096 118.560 120.808 126.500 136.436 120.407 118.948 6 7 8 9 10 0.1 -0.2 -0.5 -0.1 0.3 0.3 -0.2 0.2 -0.4 0.6 11 12 13 14 15 0.1 0.0 -0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 -1.4 0.3 0.3 16 17 18 19 20 Line p Preliminary r Revised 1. Food consists of food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption; food services, which include purchased meals and beverages, are not classified as food. 2. Consists of gasoline and other energy goods and of electricity and gas services. 3. Market-based PCE is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most imputed transactions (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 6. Real Disposable Personal Income and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change from Month One Year Ago Line 1 Disposable personal income 2 Personal consumption expenditures 3 Goods 4 Durable goods 5 Nondurable goods 6 Services 2023 June 5.3 2.1 1.8 4.3 0.4 2.2 July r 4.4 2.5 2.9 4.8 1.9 2.3 Aug. r 4.1 2.0 2.3 4.1 1.3 1.8 Sept. r 3.9 2.1 2.5 5.1 1.1 1.9 p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2023. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Page 9 of 10 Oct. r 3.9 2.0 2.0 3.1 1.4 2.0 Nov. r 4.3 2.8 3.6 6.2 2.1 2.3 Dec. r 4.2 3.2 4.7 8.0 2.9 2.5 2024 Line Jan. p 2.1 1 2.1 2 1.5 3 0.7 4 2.0 5 2.3 6 February 29, 2024 Table 7. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change from Month One Year Ago Line Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 1 2 Goods 3 Durable goods 4 Nondurable goods 5 Services Addenda: 6 7 8 9 10 PCE excluding food and energy Food 1 Energy goods and services 2 Market-based PCE 3 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy 3 June 3.2 -0.4 -0.5 -0.3 5.1 4.3 4.7 -17.5 2.9 4.1 3.3 -0.2 -1.0 0.2 5.1 Aug. 3.3 0.7 -1.9 2.1 4.7 2023 Sept. 3.4 0.9 -2.3 2.7 4.6 Oct. r 3.0 0.2 -2.2 1.6 4.3 Nov. r 2.7 -0.1 -2.1 1.0 4.2 Dec. r 2.6 0.2 -2.3 1.6 3.9 4.2 3.7 -13.0 3.0 4.0 3.7 3.1 -3.5 3.1 3.6 3.6 2.7 0.1 3.2 3.5 3.4 2.4 -4.6 2.8 3.3 3.2 1.7 -5.0 2.7 3.2 2.9 1.4 -1.7 2.6 3.0 July 2024 Line Jan. p 2.4 1 -0.5 2 -2.4 3 0.5 4 3.9 5 2.8 1.4 -4.9 2.3 2.8 p Preliminary r Revised 1. Food consists of food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption; food services, which include purchased meals and beverages, are not classified as food. 2. Consists of gasoline and other energy goods and of electricity and gas services. 3. Market-based PCE is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most imputed transactions (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Page 10 of 10 6 7 8 9 10