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EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 a.m. EDT, Thursday, October 26, 2023 Technical: Media: Lisa Mataloni Connie O'Connell (301) 278-9083 (301) 278-9003 BEA 23–49 gdpniwd@bea.gov Connie.OConnell@bea.gov Gross Domestic Product, Third Quarter 2023 (Advance Estimate) Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.9 percent in the third quarter of 2023 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the second quarter, real GDP increased 2.1 percent. The GDP estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency (refer to “Source Data for the Advance Estimate” on page 2). The “second” estimate for the third quarter, based on more complete data, will be released on November 29, 2023. Real GDP: Percent change from preceding quarter 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 Q4 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 2020 U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2021 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2023 Seasonally adjusted annual rates The increase in real GDP reflected increases in consumer spending, private inventory investment, exports, state and local government spending, federal government spending, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by a decrease in nonresidential fixed investment (table 2). Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased. The increase in consumer spending reflected increases in both services and goods. Within services, the leading contributors were housing and utilities, health care, financial services and insurance, and food services and accommodations. Within goods, the leading contributors to the increase were other nondurable goods (led by prescription drugs) as well as recreational goods and vehicles. The increase in private inventory investment reflected increases in manufacturing and retail trade. Within nonresidential fixed investment, a decrease in equipment was partly offset by increases in intellectual property products and structures. Compared to the second quarter, the acceleration in real GDP in the third quarter reflected accelerations in consumer spending, private inventory investment, and federal government spending and upturns in exports and residential fixed investment. These movements were partly offset by a downturn in nonresidential fixed investment and a deceleration in state and local government spending. Imports turned up. Current-dollar GDP increased 8.5 percent at an annual rate, or $560.5 billion, in the third quarter to a level of $27.62 trillion. In the second quarter, GDP increased 3.8 percent, or $249.4 billion (table 1 and table 3). The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.0 percent in the third quarter, compared with an increase of 1.4 percent in the second quarter (table 4). The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 2.9 percent, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 2.4 percent, compared with an increase of 3.7 percent. Personal Income Current-dollar personal income increased $199.5 billion in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $239.6 billion in the second quarter. The increase reflected increases in compensation, proprietors’ income, personal income receipts on assets, and rental income of persons that were partly offset by a decrease in personal current transfer receipts (table 8). Disposable personal income increased $95.8 billion, or 1.9 percent, in the third quarter, compared with an increase of $296.5 billion, or 6.1 percent, in the second quarter. Real disposable personal income decreased 1.0 percent, in contrast to an increase of 3.5 percent. Personal saving was $776.9 billion in the third quarter, compared with $1.04 trillion in the second quarter. The personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income— was 3.8 percent in the third quarter, compared with 5.2 percent in the second quarter. Source Data for the Advance Estimate The GDP estimate released today is based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency. Information on the source data and key assumptions used in the advance estimate is provided in a Technical Note and a detailed "Key Source Data and Assumptions" file posted with the release. The "second" estimate for the third quarter, based on more complete data, will be released on November 29, 2023. For information on updates to GDP, refer to the "Additional Information" section that follows. -2- * * * Next release, November 29, 2023, at 8:30 a.m. EST Gross Domestic Product (Second Estimate) Corporate Profits (Preliminary Estimate) Third Quarter 2023 * * * Release Dates in 2024 2023 Q4 and Year 2023 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 Advance Estimate January 25, 2024 April 25, 2024 July 25, 2024 October 30, 2024 Second Estimate February 28, 2024 May 30, 2024 August 29, 2024 November 27, 2024 March 28, 2024 June 27, 2024 September 26, 2024 December 19, 2024 March 28, 2024 June 27, 2024 September 26, 2024 December 19, 2024 --- May 30, 2024 August 29, 2024 November 27, 2024 March 28, 2024 June 27, 2024 September 26, 2024 December 19, 2024 Estimate Gross Domestic Product Third Estimate Gross Domestic Product by Industry Corporate Profits Preliminary Estimate Revised Estimate -3- Additional Information The personal consumption expenditure price index measures the prices paid for the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, "persons." Resources Additional resources available at www.bea.gov: • • • • • • Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses. Stay informed about BEA developments by reading the BEA blog, signing up for BEA’s email subscription service, or following BEA on X, formerly known as Twitter @BEA_News. Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA’s interactive data application. Access BEA data by registering for BEA’s data Application Programming Interface (API). For more on BEA’s statistics, refer to our online journal, the Survey of Current Business. BEA's news release schedule NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes. Personal outlays is the sum of personal consumption expenditures, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments. Definitions Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes. Gross domestic product (GDP), or value added, is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production. GDP is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private domestic investment, net exports of goods and services, and government consumption expenditures and gross investment. The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. Profits from current production, referred to as corporate profits with inventory valuation adjustment (IVA) and capital consumption (CCAdj) adjustment in the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPAs), is a measure of the net income of corporations before deducting income taxes that is consistent with the value of goods and services measured in GDP. The IVA and CCAdj are adjustments that convert inventory withdrawals and depreciation of fixed assets reported on a tax-return, historical-cost basis to the current-cost economic measures used in the national income and product accounts. Profits for domestic industries reflect profits for all corporations located within the geographic borders of the United States. The rest-ofthe-world (ROW) component of profits is measured as the difference between profits received from ROW and profits paid to ROW. Gross domestic income (GDI) is the sum of incomes earned and costs incurred in the production of GDP. In national economic accounting, GDP and GDI are conceptually equal. In practice, GDP and GDI differ because they are constructed using largely independent source data. Gross output is the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy. It is principally measured using industry sales or receipts, including sales to final users (GDP) and sales to other industries (intermediate inputs). Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at "market value." Also referred to as "nominal estimates" or as "current-price estimates." For more definitions, refer to the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts. Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. The gross domestic purchases price index measures the prices of final goods and services purchased by U.S. residents. -4- Statistical conventions Updates to GDP Annual-vs-quarterly rates. Quarterly seasonally adjusted values are expressed at annual rates, unless otherwise specified. This convention is used for BEA’s featured, seasonally adjusted measures to facilitate comparisons with related and historical data. For details, refer to the FAQ “Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?” BEA releases three vintages of the current quarterly estimate for GDP. "Advance" estimates are released near the end of the first month following the end of the quarter and are based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency. "Second" and "third" estimates are released near the end of the second and third months, respectively, and are based on more detailed and more comprehensive data as they become available. Quarterly not seasonally adjusted values are expressed only at quarterly rates. Percent changes. Percent changes in quarterly seasonally adjusted series are displayed at annual rates, unless otherwise specified. For details, refer to the FAQ “How is average annual growth calculated?” and “Why does BEA publish percent changes in quarterly series at annual rates?“ Percent changes in quarterly not seasonally adjusted values are calculated from the same quarter one year ago. All published percent changes are calculated from unrounded data. The table below shows the average revisions to the quarterly percent changes in real GDP between different estimate vintages, without regard to sign. Calendar years and quarters. Unless noted otherwise, annual and quarterly data are presented on a calendar basis. Second to third 0.3 Note - Based on estimates from 1996 through 2022. For more information on GDP updates, refer to Revision Information on the BEA website. Quantities and prices. Quantities, or "real" volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2017). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisherchained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). For details on the calculation of quantity and price indexes, refer to Chapter 4: Estimating Methods in the NIPA Handbook. Vintage Average Revision Without Regard to Sign (percentage points, annual rates) Advance to second 0.5 Advance to third 0.6 Annual and comprehensive updates are typically released in late September. Annual updates generally cover at least the five most recent calendar years (and their associated quarters) and incorporate newly available major annual source data as well as some changes in methods and definitions to improve the accounts. Comprehensive (or benchmark) updates are carried out at about 5-year intervals and incorporate major periodic source data, as well as major conceptual improvements. Chained-dollar values are calculated by multiplying the quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2017) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year. In tables that display chained-dollar values, a "residual" line shows the difference between the sum of detailed chained-dollar series and its corresponding aggregate. Unlike GDP, advance current quarterly estimates of GDI and corporate profits are not released because data on domestic profits and net interest of domestic industries are not available. For fourth quarter estimates, these data are not available until the third estimate. GDP by industry and gross output estimates are released with the third estimate of GDP. -5- GDP News Release Tables Table 1. Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change from Preceding Period Table 2. Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product Table 3. Gross Domestic Product: Level and Change from Preceding Period Table 4. Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change from Preceding Period Table 5. Real Gross Domestic Product: Annual Percent Change Table 6. Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Quarter One Year Ago Table 7. Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income Table 8. Personal Income and Its Disposition Appendix Table A. Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates: Percent Change from Preceding Period and Contributions to Percent Change Appendix Table B. Not Seasonally Adjusted Real Gross Domestic Product: Level and Percent Change from Quarter One Year Ago -6- October 26, 2023 Table 1. Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change from Preceding Period Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2020 2020 2021 2022 2019 Line Q4 Q1 Q2 2021 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Line Q3 Gross domestic product (GDP) -2.2 5.8 1.9 2.6 -5.3 -28.0 34.8 4.2 5.2 6.2 3.3 7.0 -2.0 -0.6 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.1 4.9 2 Personal consumption expenditures -2.5 8.4 2.5 2.6 -6.4 -30.2 40.5 5.6 8.9 13.6 2.8 4.0 1.6 1.2 3.8 0.8 4.0 2 3 4.9 11.3 0.3 1.9 -2.1 -8.6 51.7 3.2 16.5 14.7 -8.5 5.6 -1.2 -0.3 -0.7 0.0 5.1 0.5 4.8 3 -0.2 100.7 0.9 -1.0 14.0 -0.3 1 Goods 2.0 Durable goods 8.0 16.7 -0.3 5.8 -16.6 7.6 4 5 Nondurable goods 3.3 8.5 0.6 0.0 6.1 -12.5 30.8 1.8 10.1 14.8 1.1 2.6 -2.7 0.0 -1.6 0.5 0.5 0.9 3.3 5 -5.9 6.9 3.7 2.9 -8.4 -38.7 35.1 6.8 9.3 3.2 3.2 1.8 3.1 1.0 3.6 6 7 Gross private domestic investment -4.7 8.7 4.8 -4.6 -9.9 -46.4 98.9 13.2 -3.3 -5.4 16.1 27.9 6.2 -10.6 -7.6 3.4 -9.0 5.2 8.4 7 8 Fixed investment -2.1 7.1 1.3 -1.0 -3.3 -28.2 28.3 15.2 7.2 -0.2 -4.3 -5.4 3.1 5.2 0.8 8 -4.7 5.9 5.2 -1.6 -7.7 -28.6 18.3 10.5 5.7 7.4 -0.1 9 -8.9 Services 9 Nonresidential 10 Structures 11 Equipment 12 Intellectual property products 13 14 Residential -9.5 -3.2 -2.1 -5.1 -5.2 -40.0 -10.1 6.4 4.5 10.4 5.2 -9.2 -20.5 -38.0 9.1 10.2 7.2 10.7 -9.0 6.2 -9.5 1.0 14.1 -26.7 1.5 50.8 15.6 5.1 13.0 9.3 0.6 2.8 5.9 -1.6 1.9 8.9 9.7 -1.3 2.7 10.7 7.8 1.0 -4.1 -7.7 -1.2 -0.5 -1.3 2.0 10.5 -8.0 5.3 4.7 1.7 6.5 30.3 16.1 1.6 10 1.9 16.8 4.9 5.6 -5.0 -4.1 7.7 -3.8 11 9.1 11.4 8.7 7.1 2.7 2.6 12 9.8 -4.4 -2.7 -0.5 -1.8 -14.1 -26.4 -24.9 -5.3 -2.2 3.9 13 7.9 10.4 16.9 13.6 66.1 30.1 1.5 -0.9 1 4 6 5.7 28.4 14.3 -23.1 11.1 0.0 7.1 6.1 3.8 Change in private inventories ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ........... ........... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 14 15 Net exports of goods and services ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ........... ........... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 15 16 17 18 19 20 Exports -13.1 6.3 7.0 1.4 -15.4 -61.5 Goods -10.0 7.6 5.8 1.3 -4.3 -66.9 106.6 27.5 -0.2 -0.5 -1.8 26.9 -8.8 Services -18.7 3.8 9.6 Imports Goods 21 Services 22 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 23 Federal 24 National defense 25 Nondefense 26 State and local 62.0 25.8 0.9 2.0 1.5 24.2 -4.6 10.6 16.2 -3.5 6.8 -9.3 6.2 16 9.2 21.5 -6.3 12.0 -16.0 7.5 17 1.5 -33.1 -49.4 2.7 22.0 2.7 7.3 8.9 18.5 6.2 3.7 18 -9.0 14.5 8.6 -7.5 -13.0 -53.6 88.6 32.0 8.0 7.7 8.5 20.6 14.7 4.1 -4.8 -4.3 1.3 -7.6 5.7 19 -5.9 14.6 6.8 -8.9 -9.5 -49.2 104.5 30.8 8.7 4.1 1.5 21.5 14.5 2.1 -7.3 -4.4 1.9 -6.5 5.9 20 -21.9 13.9 17.5 -1.5 -26.4 -69.3 4.9 3.1 -3.5 25.1 38.2 4.1 28.9 50.8 16.6 15.6 14.2 8.1 -3.9 -1.2 -12.2 4.8 21 -6.1 -1.9 5.7 -4.3 -1.5 -0.3 -2.9 -1.9 2.9 5.3 4.8 3.3 4.6 22 1.2 9.8 5.2 1.1 6.2 23 0.9 -0.3 7.7 1.9 2.3 8.0 24 3.2 -0.3 -0.9 2.6 4.4 6.1 1.4 -2.8 1.0 5.2 2.8 -1.9 -2.8 2.3 3.9 5.9 -2.9 -1.0 7.1 90.1 -25.8 -15.1 63.4 -13.9 -11.4 11.8 -6.9 -9.8 3.3 12.6 9.5 -0.4 3.9 25 4.0 -3.6 3.8 4.6 3.7 26 10.9 1.4 -1.3 0.2 3.5 8.6 5.4 13.9 31.8 -12.3 -1.9 18.1 -8.9 -6.8 0.9 -0.4 2.1 -6.9 -3.9 8.7 -7.1 -4.7 -3.2 -4.8 -6.9 -2.0 -1.9 -1.3 -1.4 2.0 -1.6 -0.4 -0.8 2.8 4.7 Addenda: 27 Gross domestic income (GDI) 1 -2.3 6.1 2.1 3.2 -2.4 -30.5 28.9 15.3 3.1 4.6 3.6 6.2 0.0 2.7 -3.0 0.5 0.7 ......... 27 28 Average of GDP and GDI -2.3 6.0 2.0 2.9 -3.9 -29.3 31.8 9.6 4.2 5.4 3.4 6.6 -0.8 -0.3 2.7 -0.3 1.4 1.4 ......... 28 29 Final sales of domestic product -1.7 5.5 1.3 3.3 -4.2 -24.4 25.1 4.5 7.6 8.3 0.3 2.6 -1.9 1.5 3.4 1.0 4.6 2.1 3.5 29 30 Gross domestic purchases -1.9 6.9 2.3 1.3 -5.2 -27.5 38.1 5.5 6.1 6.9 4.2 7.1 0.6 -1.1 0.1 2.2 1.6 2.0 4.8 30 31 32 Final sales to domestic purchasers -1.5 6.6 1.7 2.0 -4.1 -23.9 28.3 5.8 8.4 8.9 1.3 2.9 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 3.8 2.0 3.5 31 -2.4 8.1 2.3 1.8 -5.8 -29.8 37.9 7.5 8.9 11.9 1.9 3.6 1.5 1.5 0.3 -0.2 3.6 1.7 3.3 32 33 Final sales to private domestic purchasers Gross national product (GNP) -2.5 5.6 1.9 2.2 -5.2 -29.0 35.3 3.7 5.9 3.1 7.1 -2.4 0.2 2.4 2.4 1.8 2.3 ......... 33 34 Disposable personal income 6.4 3.1 -5.9 45.8 -13.3 -7.6 56.1 -27.6 -5.2 -5.7 -9.8 -1.4 3.6 2.2 10.8 3.5 -1.0 34 2.3 2.4 5.0 0.5 Current-dollar measures: 35 GDP -0.9 10.7 9.1 3.9 -3.5 -29.2 39.7 36 GDI -1.0 11.0 9.3 4.5 -0.6 -31.6 33.5 18.6 8.6 11.1 37 Average of GDP and GDI -1.0 10.8 9.2 4.2 -2.1 -30.4 36.6 12.7 9.7 12.0 38 Final sales of domestic product -0.4 10.4 8.5 4.7 -2.5 -25.3 29.4 7.4 13.4 15.1 39 Gross domestic purchases -0.7 11.4 9.3 2.5 -3.4 -28.4 42.7 40 41 Final sales to domestic purchasers -0.2 11.2 8.7 3.3 -2.4 -24.6 -1.3 12.5 9.2 42 Final sales to private domestic purchasers GNP -1.2 10.4 9.0 43 Disposable personal income 7.5 0.2 3.9 7.4 9.5 14.6 6.2 8.5 7.2 6.5 6.3 3.8 9.9 13.8 8.9 9.1 7.3 0.7 4.5 2.4 ......... 36 9.7 14.2 7.5 8.8 7.2 3.6 5.4 3.1 ......... 37 6.6 6.4 10.8 7.9 5.0 8.8 3.9 7.2 38 8.1 11.1 13.1 10.1 14.8 8.7 7.1 4.9 6.1 5.3 3.4 8.0 39 32.4 8.4 13.6 15.3 7.3 10.2 8.9 9.3 5.5 4.6 7.7 3.4 6.7 40 3.1 -4.5 -30.6 42.1 9.8 13.7 18.4 8.0 11.0 9.7 9.3 5.4 3.8 8.0 3.7 6.1 41 3.5 -3.3 -30.1 40.2 6.6 11.5 11.5 9.3 14.7 5.8 9.3 7.0 6.4 5.8 4.0 ......... 42 0.7 -2.9 5.7 8.5 6.4 15.5 3.7 7.1 10.9 12.8 43.2 -10.4 -5.8 63.5 -23.1 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -7- 0.1 9.9 6.1 8.5 35 1.9 43 October 26, 2023 Table 2. Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product 2020 2021 2022 2019 Q4 Q1 Line 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures Goods Durable goods Motor vehicles and parts Furnishings and durable household equipment Recreational goods and vehicles Other durable goods Nondurable goods Food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption Clothing and footwear Gasoline and other energy goods Other nondurable goods Services Household consumption expenditures (for services) Housing and utilities Health care Transportation services Recreation services Food services and accommodations Financial services and insurance Other services Final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households Gross output of nonprofit institutions Less: Receipts from sales of goods and services by nonprofit institutions Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Equipment Information processing equipment Industrial equipment Transportation equipment Other equipment Intellectual property products Software Research and development Entertainment, literary, and artistic originals Residential Change in private inventories Farm 42 Nonfarm 43 Net exports of goods and services 44 Exports 45 Goods 46 Services 47 Imports 48 Goods 49 Services 50 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 51 Federal 52 National defense 53 Consumption expenditures 54 Gross investment 55 Nondefense 56 Consumption expenditures 57 Gross investment 58 State and local 59 Consumption expenditures 60 Gross investment Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -2.2 5.8 1.9 -1.69 1.02 0.56 -0.03 0.13 0.46 5.59 2.51 1.28 0.40 0.23 0.42 1.72 0.07 -0.02 -0.20 -0.05 0.19 Q2 2.6 -5.3 -28.0 1.72 0.37 0.40 0.15 0.10 0.17 -4.34 -0.44 -1.24 -1.14 -0.07 0.14 0.24 0.43 0.17 0.39 3.08 3.36 0.34 0.94 0.38 0.40 0.81 0.00 0.49 -0.11 0.03 0.00 0.16 1.65 1.56 0.13 0.34 0.19 0.21 0.41 -0.09 0.37 -0.07 0.06 -0.13 0.11 1.35 1.40 0.17 0.38 0.01 0.09 0.30 0.12 0.33 1.23 -0.67 -0.37 0.62 -3.90 -5.11 -0.01 -1.73 -0.75 -0.86 -1.62 0.04 -0.19 0.29 -0.28 0.09 -0.06 1.21 Q3 34.8 Q4 4.2 Q1 5.2 Q2 6.2 Q3 3.3 Q4 Q1 Q2 7.0 -2.0 -0.6 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Line Q3 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.1 4.9 1 1.05 -0.18 0.08 -0.10 -0.01 0.18 0.79 -0.01 -0.08 0.12 -0.02 -0.08 2.54 1.14 1.07 0.80 0.03 0.23 0.55 0.11 -0.03 -0.27 0.00 0.27 2.69 1.08 0.60 0.04 0.12 0.37 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.30 0.17 0.18 0.24 0.03 0.14 -0.02 0.06 0.00 -0.09 0.01 -0.02 0.07 4.31 0.26 1.42 2.08 0.16 0.38 -0.42 -0.01 -0.26 0.07 0.07 0.14 0.48 8 9 -21.51 24.93 3.63 5.70 8.73 1.89 2.71 -1.59 10.23 0.71 3.52 3.24 -2.10 1.26 0.11 5.92 0.45 2.10 1.17 -2.26 0.89 -0.12 2.15 0.05 1.11 0.44 -1.87 0.23 -0.11 1.19 -0.02 0.49 0.08 -0.25 0.00 0.99 1.28 0.26 0.32 0.41 -0.16 0.51 0.00 0.24 0.04 -0.01 -0.17 -0.65 0.46 1.22 0.09 -0.03 0.80 -1.70 0.36 -0.13 -0.21 0.43 -2.70 -2.99 0.25 -0.81 -0.54 -0.65 -0.92 0.01 -0.33 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2021 2022 2020 -0.03 -0.30 0.12 -0.01 -0.09 0.24 1.32 -0.09 -0.08 -0.19 0.00 0.05 -0.07 0.25 -0.07 0.67 0.34 -0.01 0.03 -0.18 -0.27 -0.24 -1.08 1.98 0.17 0.51 0.62 -0.07 0.02 -0.09 0.10 0.03 -0.84 0.78 -0.16 0.15 0.53 0.16 0.00 -0.24 0.04 -0.10 0.28 1.30 0.32 0.09 0.59 0.09 0.33 0.08 0.11 0.05 -19.92 14.70 2.92 2.18 5.49 3.99 1.45 0.27 1.41 1.23 -20.80 16.03 3.04 2.51 5.93 3.91 1.26 0.08 1.22 1.22 0.69 0.38 0.32 0.55 0.15 0.27 -0.09 0.39 0.03 -0.09 -6.89 6.53 1.57 -0.09 1.37 0.68 0.44 -0.08 0.00 0.51 -2.58 0.96 0.23 0.20 1.01 0.94 0.14 -0.09 0.07 0.00 -3.34 1.69 0.10 0.57 0.82 0.62 0.37 -0.08 0.15 0.01 -5.53 4.43 -0.15 0.81 2.03 0.77 0.13 -0.16 0.88 0.23 -0.13 0.34 0.28 -0.05 -0.20 -0.08 0.03 -0.24 -0.13 0.13 -3.01 1.70 0.69 0.52 0.76 0.70 0.24 0.33 0.22 0.43 -0.07 0.01 0.03 0.10 0.80 1.02 0.19 0.67 -0.09 0.13 0.10 -0.01 0.03 -0.17 0.02 0.06 0.16 1.40 1.65 -0.17 1.04 -0.03 0.19 0.15 0.08 0.39 0.05 -0.14 0.15 0.08 0.44 0.47 0.08 0.27 0.08 0.04 -0.05 0.21 -0.16 0.11 0.12 -0.13 0.38 1.62 1.59 0.42 0.33 0.06 0.04 0.27 0.29 0.17 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 0.88 -1.33 -0.12 -0.33 -0.45 0.07 0.18 0.20 0.19 0.01 -0.22 -0.26 -0.03 0.03 23 1.05 0.69 -0.44 0.44 0.20 0.42 -0.19 -0.05 0.46 0.23 -0.03 0.05 0.17 24 -0.09 0.17 0.15 0.06 0.06 -1.50 -0.38 -0.85 -0.37 -0.66 -0.30 -0.58 0.01 -0.11 -0.39 -0.09 0.22 0.19 0.05 -0.02 0.28 -0.48 0.02 0.45 1.52 1.25 0.78 -0.09 0.33 0.18 0.07 0.03 0.05 0.54 0.31 0.24 -0.01 0.47 0.26 0.05 0.06 0.86 0.24 0.68 -0.06 0.26 0.14 0.04 0.01 0.07 0.48 0.29 0.15 0.03 -0.44 0.62 -0.07 0.12 -0.89 -0.18 -0.22 -0.16 -0.55 -0.08 -0.22 -0.13 -0.12 0.49 0.32 0.15 0.03 0.04 -0.71 0.11 -1.15 -1.87 -0.57 -1.09 -0.16 -1.23 -0.41 -0.18 -0.52 -0.12 0.31 0.26 0.05 -0.01 0.52 -1.30 -0.14 -2.38 2.37 0.81 -0.11 0.88 0.13 0.23 -0.39 -0.24 0.45 0.45 0.23 0.07 0.14 25 -9.29 13.52 2.36 -0.46 -0.84 2.71 4.63 1.16 -2.10 -1.45 0.62 -1.69 0.90 1.47 26 -5.28 5.04 2.55 1.63 1.05 -0.28 0.35 1.23 -0.05 -0.79 -0.99 0.53 0.90 0.15 27 -4.12 2.69 1.35 1.18 1.27 -0.15 0.37 1.32 0.68 0.62 0.24 0.76 0.98 0.00 28 -1.47 -0.27 0.03 0.19 0.02 -0.12 -0.21 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 0.17 0.77 0.46 0.05 29 -2.16 2.50 0.79 0.15 0.55 -0.40 0.11 0.77 0.25 0.28 -0.26 -0.21 0.38 -0.19 30 0.35 0.58 0.15 0.17 0.00 -0.09 0.49 0.38 -0.13 0.09 -0.38 -0.02 -0.11 -0.09 31 -0.33 0.24 0.13 -0.03 0.19 0.08 0.08 0.10 -0.07 -0.07 0.04 0.04 -0.06 -0.04 32 -1.66 1.14 0.37 -0.03 0.41 -0.41 -0.50 0.03 0.41 0.30 0.16 -0.14 0.54 -0.01 33 -0.51 0.53 0.13 0.03 -0.06 0.02 0.05 0.26 0.04 -0.05 -0.08 -0.11 0.01 -0.05 34 -0.49 0.46 0.53 0.85 0.70 0.37 0.47 0.58 0.45 0.37 0.32 0.20 0.15 0.14 35 -0.02 0.16 0.31 0.52 0.32 0.18 0.20 0.46 0.21 0.28 0.31 0.16 0.13 0.12 36 -0.38 0.35 0.21 0.36 0.36 0.14 0.21 0.12 0.18 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.00 0.02 37 -0.09 -0.05 0.00 -0.03 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.00 0.06 0.04 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 38 -1.16 2.35 1.20 0.44 -0.22 -0.13 -0.02 -0.09 -0.73 -1.41 -1.23 -0.22 -0.09 0.15 39 -4.01 8.48 -0.18 -2.08 -1.89 2.99 4.28 -0.07 -2.05 -0.66 1.61 -2.22 0.00 1.32 40 0.13 0.07 -0.02 0.25 -0.09 -0.01 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.04 0.12 0.12 0.15 0.04 41 -0.50 -0.24 -1.52 -0.75 -0.77 1.28 0.67 0.61 0.21 -1.25 0.66 0.53 0.13 -1.91 -1.60 -0.31 0.69 -0.48 0.76 0.44 0.33 -1.24 -0.82 -0.42 -0.82 1.31 0.21 0.13 0.08 1.10 1.07 0.03 -1.17 0.09 -1.81 -0.27 -1.53 1.89 1.10 0.79 -4.14 1.00 -8.78 -6.58 -2.20 9.78 7.07 2.71 8.41 -2.58 5.06 4.90 0.16 -7.65 -7.21 -0.44 -0.16 -1.44 2.31 1.65 0.65 -3.74 -3.06 -0.68 -2.34 -1.04 0.06 -0.02 0.08 -1.10 -1.02 -0.08 -1.80 -0.87 0.20 -0.03 0.24 -1.07 -0.51 -0.56 3.00 -1.03 0.16 -0.13 0.29 -1.19 -0.20 -0.99 4.37 -0.34 2.42 1.83 0.59 -2.76 -2.38 -0.38 0.02 -2.59 -0.50 -0.69 0.18 -2.08 -1.72 -0.36 -1.97 0.56 1.19 0.73 0.46 -0.63 -0.28 -0.35 -0.62 2.58 1.80 1.63 0.17 0.77 0.98 -0.21 1.49 0.26 -0.41 -0.52 0.11 0.66 0.55 0.11 -2.34 0.58 0.76 0.89 -0.13 -0.18 -0.22 0.04 -0.14 0.04 -1.09 -1.31 0.22 1.13 0.78 0.35 1.28 -0.08 0.68 0.54 0.14 -0.75 -0.63 -0.12 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 0.56 0.40 0.11 0.06 0.05 0.29 0.20 0.08 0.16 0.14 0.02 -0.05 0.10 -0.08 -0.07 -0.01 0.17 0.14 0.04 -0.15 -0.02 -0.13 -0.16 -0.19 -0.11 -0.12 0.02 -0.08 -0.12 0.03 0.03 0.12 -0.09 0.46 0.07 0.09 0.03 0.06 -0.02 -0.10 0.07 0.39 0.50 -0.12 0.78 0.34 0.15 0.15 0.00 0.19 0.05 0.14 0.44 0.22 0.23 1.78 2.07 0.07 -0.07 0.14 2.00 1.87 0.13 -0.29 -0.21 -0.08 -1.03 -0.89 0.01 0.00 0.01 -0.90 -0.97 0.07 -0.14 -0.04 -0.10 -0.35 -0.13 0.34 0.22 0.13 -0.47 -0.40 -0.07 -0.22 -0.35 0.13 1.04 1.19 -0.30 -0.14 -0.16 1.49 1.43 0.05 -0.15 0.00 -0.15 -0.80 -0.65 -0.19 -0.16 -0.03 -0.46 -0.52 0.06 -0.15 0.11 -0.27 -0.26 -0.48 -0.12 -0.15 0.03 -0.36 -0.41 0.05 0.22 0.49 -0.27 -0.04 0.13 -0.18 -0.24 0.06 0.31 0.28 0.04 -0.17 -0.06 -0.12 -0.52 -0.47 -0.26 -0.25 -0.01 -0.21 -0.23 0.02 -0.04 0.05 -0.09 -0.34 -0.26 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.29 -0.30 0.01 -0.08 0.08 -0.16 0.49 0.07 -0.01 0.05 -0.06 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.41 0.20 0.22 0.90 0.59 0.27 0.07 0.20 0.32 0.25 0.08 0.31 0.14 0.17 0.82 0.33 0.07 0.16 -0.09 0.26 0.17 0.08 0.49 0.29 0.21 0.57 0.07 0.08 0.02 0.06 -0.01 -0.07 0.05 0.50 0.16 0.34 0.79 0.39 0.28 0.22 0.07 0.11 0.09 0.02 0.40 0.23 0.16 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 -8- October 26, 2023 Table 3. Gross Domestic Product: Level and Change from Preceding Period--Continues Billions of dollars Billions of chained (2017) dollars Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 2022 2022 Q3 2022 2023 Q4 Q1 Q2 Change from preceding period Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Q3 2022 Q3 2023 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2022 Line 2023 Q2 Q3 Gross domestic product (GDP) 25,744.1 25,994.6 26,408.4 26,813.6 27,063.0 27,623.5 21,822.0 21,851.1 21,990.0 22,112.3 22,225.4 22,491.6 414.3 113.0 266.2 1 2 Personal consumption expenditures 17,511.7 17,684.2 17,917.0 18,269.6 18,419.0 18,734.3 15,090.8 15,127.4 15,171.4 15,312.9 15,343.6 15,494.2 372.6 30.7 150.7 2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5,997.0 6,046.8 6,047.6 6,133.8 6,144.7 6,230.0 5,281.5 5,275.7 5,275.2 5,341.0 5,347.3 5,410.4 15.6 6.3 63.0 3 2,128.9 2,143.1 2,129.0 2,194.9 2,193.6 2,209.2 1,960.0 1,962.3 1,957.5 2,022.5 2,020.9 2,058.4 -4.9 -1.7 37.5 4 Motor vehicles and parts 730.8 728.2 733.9 776.2 772.7 769.4 572.6 566.5 572.5 614.1 599.6 601.6 -40.8 -14.5 2.0 5 Furnishings and durable household equipment 477.4 482.2 478.0 483.0 475.4 480.6 413.0 413.0 411.8 413.6 413.6 420.8 -11.3 0.0 7.2 6 655.5 265.2 664.9 267.9 653.0 264.1 666.7 268.8 676.4 269.1 687.9 271.3 724.8 277.8 733.6 280.5 727.7 274.1 744.5 274.8 764.5 273.7 793.0 278.4 50.8 11.3 20.0 -1.1 28.5 4.8 7 8 3,868.1 3,903.7 3,918.6 3,939.0 3,951.1 4,020.8 3,327.5 3,319.7 3,323.7 3,327.8 3,335.4 3,362.3 20.0 7.7 26.9 9 1,393.5 500.7 1,409.2 505.9 1,428.9 506.6 1,430.6 515.0 1,434.1 511.4 1,448.5 521.2 1,167.8 497.0 1,158.8 499.4 1,155.0 500.3 1,145.8 501.9 1,148.5 492.7 1,154.5 500.7 -22.7 8.5 2.8 -9.2 Goods Durable goods Recreational goods and vehicles Other durable goods Nondurable goods Food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption 11 Clothing and footwear 12 Gasoline and other energy goods 13 Other nondurable goods 14 15 Services Household consumption expenditures (for services) 5.9 10 8.0 11 510.1 509.0 485.5 465.3 456.7 476.0 311.1 309.3 310.6 313.0 319.8 313.6 0.0 6.8 -6.3 12 1,463.8 1,479.5 1,497.7 1,528.0 1,549.0 1,575.2 1,360.1 1,361.8 1,367.5 1,377.4 1,382.0 1,404.7 37.8 4.7 22.7 13 11,514.7 11,637.4 11,869.4 12,135.7 12,274.4 12,504.3 9,836.1 9,878.2 9,922.3 9,998.9 10,023.1 10,111.7 352.7 24.2 88.6 14 10,982.6 11,092.8 11,324.1 11,595.2 11,730.1 11,953.0 3,053.3 3,081.1 3,155.0 3,206.1 3,243.8 3,313.6 9,413.1 2,549.1 9,449.4 2,544.5 9,505.9 2,554.7 9,597.0 2,545.8 9,622.9 2,550.0 9,710.5 2,572.4 334.1 27.7 25.8 4.2 87.6 15 22.4 16 16 Housing and utilities 17 Health care 2,776.7 2,792.8 2,851.7 2,929.5 2,972.9 3,012.3 2,479.3 2,484.4 2,523.0 2,584.0 2,600.0 2,619.6 74.1 16.1 19.5 17 18 Transportation services 562.2 573.1 582.4 595.5 597.8 607.7 468.6 470.4 465.9 464.2 468.2 471.6 41.8 4.0 3.4 18 19 20 Recreation services 654.9 658.5 677.0 702.7 709.3 720.8 567.2 567.6 574.8 585.3 587.4 589.3 45.5 2.1 1.9 19 Food services and accommodations 1,237.2 1,263.9 1,298.6 1,333.5 1,347.1 1,372.9 1,014.5 1,030.7 1,035.9 1,043.5 1,041.1 1,055.3 84.8 -2.4 14.2 20 21 Financial services and insurance 1,252.5 1,445.8 1,254.3 1,469.1 1,273.0 1,486.3 1,298.0 1,529.7 1,316.7 1,542.5 1,368.7 1,556.8 1,031.4 1,307.8 1,033.2 1,323.2 1,032.8 1,325.0 1,037.3 1,348.0 1,048.7 1,338.4 1,064.3 1,348.1 -18.2 82.2 11.4 -9.6 15.6 21 9.7 22 532.1 1,893.0 544.6 1,916.4 545.3 1,953.2 540.5 1,972.4 544.3 1,996.9 551.3 2,023.2 423.8 1,613.2 429.4 1,621.9 418.1 1,634.7 405.2 1,633.1 403.8 1,635.7 405.1 1,644.9 18.5 31.2 -1.4 2.6 1.3 23 9.3 24 1,360.9 4,756.6 1,371.8 4,724.6 1,407.9 4,796.2 1,431.9 4,725.8 1,452.6 4,780.3 1,471.9 4,899.3 1,189.5 4,102.8 1,192.3 4,024.8 1,218.0 4,058.5 1,231.0 3,963.7 1,235.3 4,014.1 1,243.4 4,096.1 12.1 188.4 4.3 50.4 8.2 25 81.9 26 22 23 Other services Final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households 24 Gross output of nonprofit institutions Less: Receipts from sales of 25 goods and services by nonprofit institutions 26 Gross private domestic investment 27 Fixed investment 4,599.3 4,642.3 4,618.4 4,702.1 4,761.7 4,794.2 3,939.3 3,930.9 3,876.5 3,905.9 3,955.9 3,963.7 52.0 50.0 7.8 27 28 Nonresidential 3,433.0 3,493.1 3,536.0 3,641.3 3,709.1 3,718.0 3,131.6 3,156.3 3,170.0 3,214.5 3,272.7 3,272.1 156.1 58.2 -0.7 28 29 Structures 700.5 712.6 736.1 800.2 832.5 832.1 552.9 549.7 558.4 596.6 619.3 621.7 -11.9 22.7 2.4 29 30 31 Equipment 1,327.2 1,355.0 1,357.1 1,368.7 1,390.4 1,384.4 1,249.2 1,265.5 1,249.5 1,236.4 1,259.6 1,247.4 61.8 23.2 -12.2 30 486.7 299.0 462.6 303.2 465.2 310.6 457.8 308.6 452.0 307.1 509.9 254.8 517.4 251.4 490.7 253.6 489.6 256.0 482.0 252.7 475.3 250.6 36.1 8.9 -7.6 -3.3 -6.6 31 -2.1 32 Information processing equipment 32 Industrial equipment 479.3 300.0 33 Transportation equipment 232.0 247.8 269.9 273.8 302.7 306.2 228.2 242.1 252.1 243.8 276.7 275.8 2.5 32.9 -1.0 33 34 Other equipment 315.9 321.5 321.4 319.0 321.2 319.1 262.1 262.4 258.4 252.7 253.1 250.3 15.4 0.4 -2.7 34 8.9 35 35 1,405.4 1,425.6 1,442.8 1,472.5 1,486.2 1,501.6 1,338.7 1,351.9 1,372.1 1,384.9 1,394.0 1,403.0 112.1 9.2 36 Software 598.1 609.1 616.3 632.4 633.6 638.0 660.2 668.1 690.4 702.2 712.1 720.9 78.3 9.9 8.8 36 37 38 Research and development 703.1 708.8 718.8 730.2 740.2 751.2 597.7 601.0 602.8 604.9 605.1 606.4 32.2 0.2 1.2 37 104.1 1,166.4 107.7 1,149.1 107.7 1,082.5 109.9 1,060.8 112.4 1,052.6 112.3 1,076.2 92.0 822.6 94.4 796.3 93.5 741.2 93.8 731.1 94.4 727.1 94.6 734.0 7.4 -81.2 0.6 -4.0 0.2 38 7.0 39 65.6 40 39 Intellectual property products Entertainment, literary, and artistic originals Residential 157.3 82.3 177.7 23.7 18.6 105.2 128.1 70.7 151.9 27.2 14.9 80.6 115.5 -12.2 41 Farm -19.5 -22.1 -16.3 -7.8 2.0 4.6 -15.2 -15.9 -2.4 -1.5 0.2 0.0 -12.9 1.7 -0.2 41 42 Nonfarm 176.8 104.4 194.0 31.5 16.6 100.6 142.2 85.5 154.8 28.8 14.8 81.1 127.7 -14.0 66.2 42 40 Change in private inventories 1. Real gross domestic income is gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. Note. Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real gross domestic product, use table 2. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -9- October 26, 2023 Table 3. Gross Domestic Product: Level and Change from Preceding Period--Table Ends Billions of dollars Billions of chained (2017) dollars Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 2022 43 Net exports of goods and services 2022 Change from preceding period Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2022 2023 2022 2023 2022 Line 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 -971.1 -892.0 -877.2 -825.7 -806.1 -784.6 -1,051.0 -981.2 -965.6 -935.1 -928.2 -937.7 -117.2 6.9 -9.5 43 158.7 -60.7 37.6 44 30.4 45 44 Exports 2,995.0 3,084.5 3,013.8 3,064.8 2,961.8 45 Goods 2,063.2 2,139.9 2,046.9 2,090.4 46 Services 931.8 944.6 966.9 974.4 Q2 Q3 3,036.9 2,439.6 2,506.2 2,484.1 2,525.4 2,464.7 2,502.3 1,968.6 2,025.9 1,653.3 1,709.7 1,682.0 1,730.5 1,656.8 1,687.2 90.1 -73.7 993.2 1,010.9 790.0 799.6 805.6 798.5 810.7 818.1 69.4 12.2 7.4 46 -67.6 47.1 47 47 Imports 3,966.2 3,976.5 3,891.0 3,890.5 3,767.9 3,821.4 3,490.6 3,487.4 3,449.6 3,460.5 3,392.9 3,439.9 276.0 48 Goods 3,262.4 3,254.0 3,163.0 3,158.5 3,058.0 3,108.7 2,886.2 2,870.3 2,838.6 2,851.6 2,804.3 2,844.6 184.4 -47.3 40.3 48 703.8 722.5 728.0 731.9 709.8 712.7 607.0 619.5 613.4 611.5 591.8 598.7 90.4 -19.7 6.9 49 4,446.8 1,635.5 4,477.9 1,636.3 4,572.4 1,691.8 4,643.9 1,730.6 4,669.8 1,744.3 4,774.5 1,790.2 3,670.4 1,420.9 3,667.0 1,411.2 3,714.8 1,444.5 3,758.8 1,462.8 3,789.8 1,466.9 3,832.6 1,488.9 -34.3 -41.5 31.0 4.1 42.8 50 22.1 51 49 Services 50 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 51 Federal 52 928.4 930.4 956.2 968.7 978.9 1,008.1 800.1 796.6 811.5 815.4 820.1 836.0 -22.9 4.7 15.8 52 53 Consumption expenditures 726.0 731.8 743.6 760.0 764.9 788.1 617.6 618.3 622.1 630.8 632.1 644.1 -26.3 1.3 12.0 53 54 Gross investment 202.4 198.6 212.7 208.8 214.0 220.0 183.2 178.8 190.4 185.2 188.8 192.7 3.8 3.6 3.9 54 707.1 705.9 735.5 761.9 765.5 782.1 620.6 614.5 633.0 647.4 646.7 653.0 -18.6 -0.7 6.2 55 503.0 500.5 524.3 543.0 542.3 556.1 435.3 429.4 443.2 452.8 449.1 454.0 -25.4 -3.7 4.9 56 55 56 57 58 National defense Nondefense Consumption expenditures Gross investment State and local 59 Consumption expenditures 60 Gross investment 61 Residual 204.1 205.4 211.2 218.9 223.2 226.0 185.9 185.9 190.4 195.3 198.6 199.9 7.4 3.2 1.3 57 2,811.3 2,841.5 2,880.6 2,913.2 2,925.5 2,984.3 2,249.6 2,255.1 2,270.8 2,296.5 2,323.0 2,344.0 5.3 26.5 21.1 58 2,341.1 2,363.2 2,386.5 2,399.1 2,388.3 2,434.7 1,874.4 1,878.5 1,885.5 1,900.5 1,909.2 1,921.6 23.3 8.7 12.4 59 470.2 478.4 494.1 514.2 537.2 549.6 374.9 376.3 384.9 395.5 412.8 421.3 -18.1 17.4 8.5 60 ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... ............... -72.0 -93.9 -103.8 -107.2 -102.5 -104.0 .............. .............. .............. 61 Addenda: 62 1 25,796.4 26,149.7 26,198.2 26,485.4 26,643.3 ............... 21,866.4 21,981.4 21,814.9 21,841.7 21,880.7 ............... 453.7 25,770.3 26,072.2 26,303.3 26,649.5 26,853.2 ............... 21,844.2 21,916.3 21,902.4 21,977.0 22,053.0 ............... 434.0 Final sales of domestic product 25,586.8 25,912.3 26,230.7 26,789.9 27,044.5 27,518.4 21,661.2 21,758.5 21,809.9 22,054.3 22,167.1 22,360.6 280.6 112.9 65 Gross domestic purchases 26,715.2 26,886.7 27,285.6 27,639.3 27,869.1 28,408.1 22,854.4 22,809.8 22,936.7 23,028.5 23,140.9 23,415.9 521.1 112.4 275.0 65 66 Final sales to domestic purchasers 26,557.9 26,804.3 27,107.9 27,615.6 27,850.5 28,303.0 22,692.4 22,716.7 22,755.3 22,970.4 23,082.6 23,284.1 386.2 112.2 201.5 66 63 Gross domestic income (GDI) Average of GDP and GDI 64 39.0 .............. 62 76.0 .............. 63 193.5 64 67 Final sales to private domestic purchasers 22,111.1 22,326.5 22,535.5 22,971.7 23,180.7 23,528.5 19,030.0 19,058.1 19,047.2 19,218.1 19,298.9 19,457.3 424.6 80.9 158.4 67 68 69 GDP 414.3 113.0 266.2 68 70 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world 71 72 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world 25,744.1 25,994.6 26,408.4 26,813.6 27,063.0 27,623.5 21,822.0 21,851.1 21,990.0 22,112.3 22,225.4 22,491.6 1,252.6 1,285.5 1,340.7 1,390.7 1,452.7 ............... 1,123.8 1,144.7 1,182.6 1,215.4 1,265.2 ............... 58.2 49.7 .............. 69 Equals: Gross national product 1,070.7 1,094.3 1,155.2 1,231.8 1,279.7 ............... 960.9 974.6 1,019.1 1,076.8 1,114.6 ............... 25,926.0 26,185.9 26,594.0 26,972.5 27,236.1 ............... 21,992.7 22,028.6 22,161.3 22,260.3 22,384.6 ............... 71.3 402.3 37.9 .............. 70 124.3 .............. 71 Net domestic product 21,444.2 21,626.5 21,978.1 22,306.2 22,506.0 23,004.6 18,148.3 18,163.2 18,274.5 18,370.3 18,455.6 18,696.8 303.4 85.3 241.2 72 1. Real gross domestic income is gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. Note. Users are cautioned that particularly for components that exhibit rapid change in prices relative to other prices in the economy, the chained-dollar estimates should not be used to measure the component's relative importance or its contribution to the growth rate of more aggregate series. For accurate estimates of the contributions to percent changes in real gross domestic product, use table 2. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 10 - October 26, 2023 Table 4. Price Indexes for Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures: Percent Change from Preceding Period Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 2020 2021 2022 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 Q2 2021 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Line 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Gross domestic product (GDP) 1.3 4.6 7.1 1.4 1.8 -1.4 3.6 2.8 5.4 6.1 6.1 7.0 8.5 9.1 4.4 3.9 3.9 1.7 3.5 2 Personal consumption expenditures 1.1 4.2 6.5 1.6 1.3 -1.7 3.3 2.0 4.8 6.3 5.6 6.8 7.7 7.2 4.7 4.1 4.2 2.5 2.9 2 -0.8 4.9 8.6 0.5 -1.2 -5.8 4.1 1.3 5.5 8.5 7.7 10.5 11.9 9.9 2.9 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.8 3 1.4 1 3 Goods 1 4 Durable goods -0.9 5.5 6.4 -2.2 -1.1 -3.0 4.5 2.5 1.1 14.4 9.7 2.9 -1.6 -0.9 0.1 -4.4 4 5 Nondurable goods -0.7 4.6 9.8 2.0 -1.2 -7.1 3.9 0.6 8.2 5.3 6.5 11.3 13.9 14.9 2.9 1.0 1.6 0.3 3.9 5 2.0 3.8 5.4 2.1 2.5 0.3 3.0 2.4 4.4 5.1 4.6 4.9 5.5 5.8 5.6 6.3 6.0 3.6 4.0 6 1.2 3.4 7.7 -0.3 1.8 0.5 3.0 2.6 2.6 3.1 6.1 8.5 9.9 9.0 6.7 2.8 3.2 -0.1 1.9 7 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.9 4.0 7.1 8.6 9.6 9.4 6.6 3.6 4.2 0.0 1.9 8 1.2 1.7 -0.2 1.2 -0.1 0.2 4.5 7.5 6.6 7.4 6.0 3.2 6.4 0.2 1.0 9 6.2 9.1 23.1 14.0 16.1 16.1 7.0 7.2 0.9 -1.8 10 4.9 5.9 8.4 8.2 5.6 5.9 1.8 1.9 1.6 2.7 1.7 -1.1 6 Services 7 Gross private domestic investment 8 Fixed investment 1.2 3.7 7.9 -0.1 6.0 -0.8 9 Nonresidential 0.6 1.3 10 Structures 1.5 3.4 14.7 11 Equipment -0.5 0.6 12 Intellectual property products 1.3 1.0 13 Residential 8.6 2.7 -1.5 -0.5 -1.3 0.8 6.2 -1.1 0.7 0.1 -1.5 -1.7 3.0 -3.3 1.7 -2.7 1.1 5.3 1.4 5.3 -3.6 2.4 1.1 9.4 6.6 12.2 15.4 14.9 11.9 18.4 15.4 3.3 11.0 13.8 3.1 9.2 2.4 0.6 8.4 7.9 -1.1 4.5 2.2 11 1.1 1.6 12 4.9 -2.6 -0.9 5.2 13 Change in private inventories ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 14 15 Net exports of goods and services ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 15 14 16 17 18 19 20 Exports -2.5 11.5 Goods Services Imports Goods Services 21 22 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 23 Federal 9.8 -1.2 -1.7 -17.8 13.0 6.4 20.9 18.3 9.5 6.6 18.3 19.8 -9.3 -5.6 0.1 -3.9 4.0 16 7.4 23.6 26.5 -13.8 -10.6 -2.9 -6.4 4.3 17 -3.9 14.1 11.7 -1.1 -4.0 -22.1 15.9 7.1 26.3 23.8 11.1 0.3 6.4 5.7 -1.4 3.0 -9.5 8.0 5.2 10.5 7.2 6.3 5.0 1.6 3.5 18 -2.1 7.2 7.2 -1.0 -1.1 -12.4 8.7 3.1 12.1 12.3 6.1 6.9 13.4 10.7 -4.3 -4.3 -1.3 -4.8 0.1 19 0.9 20 7.2 5.9 1.8 6.5 6.9 -2.7 7.6 7.4 -1.6 -1.7 -13.9 9.5 2.8 13.3 13.0 6.1 7.5 15.4 11.1 -6.1 -6.7 -2.4 -6.1 0.6 5.4 5.8 1.7 1.7 -4.7 4.9 4.9 5.7 8.8 6.3 4.4 4.2 9.1 4.2 7.2 3.5 2.2 5.3 7.0 2.0 3.7 -0.5 3.9 4.3 7.0 6.2 5.6 6.6 8.4 11.2 2.8 3.2 1.5 -1.1 4.5 22 4.5 23 0.8 -3.0 21 1.0 3.2 5.6 1.4 1.3 0.1 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.1 4.6 7.2 6.9 4.8 4.1 4.1 2.1 24 National defense 1.1 3.5 6.3 1.6 0.9 -1.1 3.0 2.7 4.3 4.3 4.2 5.1 9.1 9.1 2.9 3.6 3.3 1.9 4.2 24 25 Nondefense 0.8 2.9 4.7 1.1 1.8 1.7 1.5 3.2 2.2 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.9 3.9 7.5 4.7 5.2 2.3 4.9 25 26 State and local 2.9 6.5 7.9 2.4 5.3 -0.8 4.9 5.1 9.2 7.6 6.5 7.9 9.1 13.8 1.7 2.7 0.0 -2.9 4.5 26 Addenda: 27 Final sales of domestic product 1.4 4.6 7.1 1.4 1.8 -1.3 3.5 2.8 5.4 6.2 6.3 7.0 8.4 9.1 4.4 4.0 4.1 1.8 3.5 27 28 Gross domestic purchases 1.3 4.2 6.8 1.3 1.8 -1.1 3.4 2.5 4.8 5.7 5.7 7.0 8.2 8.2 4.7 3.8 3.6 1.4 3.0 28 29 Final sales to domestic purchasers 1.3 4.3 6.8 1.4 1.8 -1.0 3.2 2.5 4.8 5.9 5.9 7.0 8.1 8.2 4.7 3.9 3.7 1.4 3.0 29 30 Final sales to private domestic purchasers 1.1 4.1 6.8 1.2 1.3 -1.1 3.1 2.1 4.4 5.8 6.0 7.1 8.1 7.7 5.1 4.0 4.2 2.0 2.7 30 31 Gross national product (GNP) 1.3 4.6 7.1 1.4 1.8 -1.4 3.6 2.8 5.4 6.1 6.1 7.0 8.5 9.0 4.4 3.9 3.9 1.7 ......... 31 32 33 GDP excluding food and energy 1 Gross domestic purchases excluding 1.5 4.1 6.2 1.2 2.2 -0.6 3.2 2.6 4.4 5.8 5.5 6.4 6.9 7.2 5.2 4.3 4.6 2.3 3.2 32 1.5 3.9 6.1 1.2 2.1 -0.3 3.1 2.4 4.1 5.6 5.3 6.1 7.1 6.8 4.9 4.1 4.1 2.1 2.7 33 1.3 3.6 5.2 1.3 1.7 -0.8 3.1 1.8 3.6 6.0 4.8 5.2 6.0 4.7 5.0 4.7 5.0 3.7 2.4 34 Market-based PCE Market-based PCE excluding food and 1.0 3.6 6.5 1.6 1.2 -1.3 2.8 1.4 4.0 5.5 5.2 6.6 7.9 7.6 4.7 3.7 3.9 2.3 2.6 35 energy 1,2 1.3 2.9 5.0 1.3 1.6 -0.1 2.4 1.0 2.5 5.1 4.2 4.8 6.0 4.8 5.0 4.3 4.8 3.7 1.9 36 food and energy 1 34 35 36 PCE excluding food and energy 2 1 Implicit price deflators: 37 GDP 1.3 4.6 7.0 1.3 1.9 -1.6 3.6 2.8 5.3 6.2 6.0 7.1 8.4 9.1 4.5 3.9 3.9 1.7 3.5 37 38 Gross domestic purchases 1.3 4.3 6.8 1.2 1.9 -1.3 3.3 2.5 4.7 5.8 5.7 7.2 8.1 8.2 4.8 3.7 3.6 1.4 3.0 38 39 GNP 1.3 4.6 7.0 1.3 1.9 -1.6 3.6 2.8 5.3 6.2 6.0 7.1 8.4 9.1 4.5 3.9 3.9 1.7 ......... 39 1. Food excludes personal consumption expenditures for purchased meals and beverages, which are classified in food services. 2. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 11 - October 26, 2023 Table 5. Real Gross Domestic Product: Annual Percent Change Percent change from fourth quarter to fourth quarter one year ago Percent change from preceding year Line Line 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1 Gross domestic product (GDP) 2 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 3 Goods 2.9 1.8 2.5 3.0 2.5 -2.2 5.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 3.0 2.1 3.2 -1.1 5.4 0.7 3.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.0 -2.5 8.4 2.5 2.6 2.5 3.1 2.0 2.6 -0.8 7.2 1.2 2 5.0 3.6 4.1 4.0 3.0 4.9 11.3 0.3 4.0 3.7 5.4 2.1 3.8 8.8 6.6 -0.6 3 1 4 Durable goods 7.7 5.4 6.8 6.6 3.3 8.0 16.7 -0.3 6.0 6.5 8.6 2.8 5.5 15.3 5.8 0.1 4 5 Nondurable goods 3.7 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.9 3.3 8.5 0.6 3.1 2.3 3.8 1.8 2.9 5.4 7.0 -1.0 5 6 6 Services 7 Gross private domestic investment 2.6 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.5 -5.9 6.9 3.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 -5.1 7.6 2.1 6.2 -0.1 4.4 5.8 3.1 -4.7 8.7 4.8 3.5 2.3 4.9 4.7 1.3 2.1 7.9 -2.4 7 2.9 4.5 5.1 2.7 -2.1 7.1 1.3 2.6 3.5 5.5 3.3 2.9 0.7 3.8 -0.8 8 9 8 Fixed investment 4.6 9 Nonresidential 3.2 1.8 4.6 6.9 3.7 -4.7 5.9 5.2 0.9 3.3 5.6 5.6 3.1 -3.7 4.9 5.6 10 Structures 0.2 -3.1 2.6 5.8 2.5 -9.5 -3.2 -2.1 -5.6 3.7 -0.4 3.5 6.4 -14.9 -0.9 0.8 10 11 Equipment 3.8 -0.9 3.8 5.9 1.1 -10.1 6.4 5.2 2.0 -0.9 7.5 3.3 -2.1 -3.7 1.4 5.3 11 12 Intellectual property products 4.7 9.5 6.9 8.9 7.8 4.5 10.4 9.1 4.3 9.0 7.2 9.9 7.3 3.4 11.6 8.3 12 10.6 7.1 4.3 -0.7 -0.9 7.2 10.7 -9.0 9.7 4.5 5.1 -4.1 2.2 15.9 13 Residential 0.4 -17.4 13 Change in private inventories .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 14 15 Net exports of goods and services .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... .......... 15 14 16 17 18 19 20 Exports 0.3 0.5 4.1 2.9 0.5 -13.1 6.3 7.0 -1.5 1.4 6.1 0.3 0.8 -9.7 6.7 4.3 16 Goods -0.3 0.6 4.1 4.2 0.2 -10.0 7.6 5.8 -2.8 2.4 6.1 1.6 0.0 -4.4 5.5 3.2 17 Services 1.7 0.2 4.1 0.3 1.2 -18.7 3.8 9.6 1.4 -0.6 6.0 -1.9 2.5 -19.3 9.2 6.7 18 5.2 1.5 4.7 4.0 1.2 -9.0 14.5 8.6 3.3 2.2 5.8 3.0 -1.9 0.1 11.1 2.1 19 5.8 1.1 4.5 5.1 0.6 -5.9 14.6 6.8 3.3 2.7 5.5 3.7 -2.7 5.3 8.7 0.9 20 2.5 3.0 5.7 -0.6 4.0 -21.9 13.9 17.5 3.1 0.2 7.1 -0.1 1.7 -20.9 23.9 8.2 21 Imports Goods Services 21 22 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 23 Federal 2.0 2.0 0.6 2.0 3.9 3.2 -0.3 -0.9 2.6 1.5 1.0 1.9 4.7 1.1 -0.2 0.8 22 0.1 0.6 0.5 3.5 3.8 6.1 1.4 -2.8 1.4 0.2 1.4 3.5 3.9 4.5 0.6 -0.1 23 24 National defense -2.0 -0.5 1.0 3.5 5.3 2.8 -1.9 -2.8 -0.2 -0.5 2.1 4.5 4.3 3.2 -5.0 0.2 24 25 Nondefense 3.4 2.2 -0.2 3.4 1.7 10.9 5.9 -2.9 3.8 1.2 0.4 2.1 3.2 6.4 8.6 -0.6 25 26 State and local -0.9 -0.6 1.3 26 3.3 2.8 0.6 1.1 4.0 1.4 -1.3 0.2 3.3 2.2 0.8 0.9 5.2 Addenda: 1 27 Gross domestic income (GDI) 28 Average of GDP and GDI 2.6 1.0 2.4 3.0 2.6 -2.3 6.1 2.1 1.4 1.3 3.0 2.8 2.6 0.2 4.4 0.0 27 2.8 1.4 2.4 3.0 2.5 -2.3 6.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 3.0 2.4 2.9 -0.4 4.9 0.3 28 29 Final sales of domestic product 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.9 2.4 -1.7 5.5 1.3 2.0 2.4 3.1 1.9 3.5 -1.3 4.7 1.0 29 30 Gross domestic purchases 3.6 1.9 2.6 3.1 2.5 -1.9 6.9 2.3 2.7 2.3 3.0 2.5 2.7 0.0 6.1 0.5 30 31 Final sales to domestic purchasers 3.3 2.4 2.6 3.0 2.4 -1.5 6.6 1.7 2.6 2.5 3.1 2.2 3.0 -0.2 5.3 0.8 31 32 Final sales to private domestic purchasers 3.6 2.5 3.0 3.2 2.1 -2.4 8.1 2.3 2.6 2.7 3.6 2.3 2.7 -0.5 6.5 0.8 32 33 34 Gross national product 2.8 1.8 2.7 2.9 2.4 -2.5 5.6 1.9 2.1 2.4 3.3 1.8 3.1 -1.4 5.2 0.7 33 Real disposable personal income 3.9 1.9 3.1 3.6 3.1 6.4 3.1 -5.9 2.8 1.8 3.5 4.0 2.4 4.6 0.3 -1.5 34 Price indexes: 35 36 Gross domestic purchases Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy 2 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.3 4.2 6.8 0.0 1.2 1.9 2.1 1.3 1.6 5.8 6.2 35 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.1 1.6 1.5 3.9 6.1 0.7 1.4 1.7 2.2 1.4 1.8 5.3 5.7 36 37 GDP 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.3 1.7 1.3 4.6 7.1 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.2 1.5 1.7 6.1 6.4 37 38 GDP excluding food and energy 2 1.1 1.2 1.8 2.3 1.8 1.5 4.1 6.2 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.4 1.6 1.8 5.5 5.9 38 39 PCE 0.2 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.4 1.1 4.2 6.5 0.2 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.4 1.2 5.9 5.9 39 40 PCE excluding food and energy 2 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.6 1.3 3.6 5.2 1.2 1.8 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.4 4.9 5.1 40 -0.1 0.7 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.0 3.6 6.5 0.0 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.0 5.3 6.0 41 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.3 2.9 5.0 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.7 1.5 1.2 4.1 5.0 42 41 42 3 Market-based PCE Market-based PCE excluding food and energy 2,3 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. 2. Food excludes personal consumption expenditures for purchased meals and beverages, which are classified in food services. 3. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Note. Estimates under the Percent change from preceding year columns are calculated from annual data. Estimates under the Percent change from fourth quarter to fourth quarter columns are calculated from fourth quarter values relative to the same quarter one year prior. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 12 - October 26, 2023 Table 6. Real Gross Domestic Product: Percent Change from Quarter One Year Ago 2020 2019 Line Q4 Q2 2021 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Line 3.2 1.2 -7.5 -1.5 -1.1 1.6 11.9 4.7 5.4 3.6 1.9 1.7 0.7 1.7 2.4 2.9 2 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) 2.6 0.8 -8.6 -1.5 -0.8 3.0 16.4 7.6 7.2 5.0 2.2 1.9 1.2 2.1 1.8 2.4 2 3 3.8 3.0 -0.9 8.8 13.6 20.3 6.0 6.6 2.3 -1.2 0.8 -0.6 1.0 1.2 2.6 3 3.0 1 Gross domestic product (GDP) Q1 Goods 8.4 4 Durable goods 5.5 1.6 -0.9 15.3 15.3 28.4 32.8 4.5 5.8 -0.2 -3.7 5 Nondurable goods 2.9 3.7 -0.9 6.8 7.0 3.8 6 Services 5.0 5.4 6.4 13.9 0.1 1 3.1 3.2 4.9 4 0.2 -0.5 -1.0 -0.2 0.1 1.3 5 6 2.0 -0.2 -12.1 -6.0 -5.1 -1.8 14.4 8.5 7.6 6.4 4.0 2.5 2.2 2.4 7 Gross private domestic investment 1.3 -2.0 -16.8 -2.2 2.1 3.9 19.8 4.7 7.9 10.5 9.0 2.9 -2.4 -6.1 -2.2 1.8 7 8 Fixed investment 2.9 0.7 3.8 14.4 7.0 3.8 3.3 1.8 1.1 -0.8 -1.8 -0.5 0.8 8 0.4 11.8 6.8 4.9 5.3 4.3 5.8 5.6 4.4 3.7 9 1.4 -0.9 -3.1 -3.4 -2.7 0.8 8.1 12.3 13.1 10 1.9 -7.9 -3.1 2.1 2.7 9 Nonresidential 3.1 0.6 -9.3 -6.4 -3.7 10 Structures 6.4 4.7 -10.8 -16.3 -14.9 -12.1 11 Equipment -2.1 -7.8 -19.2 -9.4 -3.7 2.5 18.4 4.9 3.5 7.2 5.3 0.2 0.9 -1.4 11 12 Intellectual property products 7.3 7.9 5.9 12.2 11.9 11.6 10.3 9.0 9.0 8.3 6.4 4.9 2.2 6.7 -2.7 13 14 Residential 3.3 3.4 3.4 0.1 8.8 15.9 14.8 22.7 4.6 7.3 1.4 4.9 3.8 12 0.4 -2.4 -5.0 -11.4 -17.4 -18.1 -15.4 -7.8 13 Change in private inventories ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 14 15 Net exports of goods and services ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 15 16 0.8 -4.3 -24.1 -14.5 -9.7 -5.7 20.3 7.1 6.7 5.2 7.4 11.1 4.3 7.3 17 Goods 0.0 -2.2 -24.1 -9.7 -4.4 -3.4 27.2 5.6 5.5 3.1 5.6 11.3 3.2 8.6 1.7 -1.3 17 18 Services 2.5 -8.2 -24.2 -22.9 -19.3 -10.2 8.4 10.0 9.2 9.9 11.5 10.5 6.7 4.4 2.6 19 20 Exports Imports Goods 21 Services 22 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment 23 Federal 24 National defense -1.9 -5.5 -22.1 -8.4 8.2 2.1 -1.0 -3.9 -1.4 19 0.9 -2.0 -4.1 -0.9 20 8.2 4.1 -2.6 -3.3 21 4.7 4.4 5.0 2.2 1.1 1.4 -1.8 -0.6 -0.2 -2.3 -1.6 -0.6 0.8 2.7 4.1 3.9 4.3 10.2 5.2 4.5 7.6 -1.9 -0.4 0.6 -5.2 -4.0 -1.9 -0.1 3.0 4.3 5.5 23 4.3 3.0 1.7 3.2 0.3 -1.1 -1.8 -5.0 -4.9 -3.5 -2.8 2.5 2.9 4.9 24 3.5 6.1 6.3 25 2.6 4.0 3.9 26 25 Nondefense 3.2 6.3 20.3 10.6 26 State and local 5.2 4.5 1.9 5.7 30.4 13.6 11.1 12.7 11.8 2.3 18 -2.7 -4.9 -19.8 -3.8 5.3 10.3 31.9 10.7 8.7 10.1 9.6 7.1 1.7 -8.0 -31.5 -27.3 -20.9 -13.8 23.4 29.3 23.9 27.2 23.4 13.6 3.4 0.1 2.1 -0.2 16 6.4 18.3 -3.0 1.4 0.2 8.6 -5.6 -4.5 -0.8 -0.6 0.4 -0.9 -2.2 -1.7 -0.7 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.2 1.3 4.5 22 Addenda: 1 27 Gross domestic income (GDI) 2.6 1.1 -7.9 -2.5 0.2 1.6 12.5 6.6 4.4 3.7 2.5 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 ......... 27 28 Average of GDP and GDI 2.9 1.1 -7.7 -2.0 -0.4 1.6 12.2 5.6 4.9 3.6 2.2 2.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 ......... 28 29 Final sales of domestic product 3.5 1.9 -5.9 -1.6 -1.3 1.6 11.1 5.1 4.7 2.3 0.6 1.4 1.0 2.6 2.7 2.8 29 30 Gross domestic purchases 2.7 0.9 -7.7 -1.0 2.9 13.4 5.7 6.1 4.7 2.7 1.6 0.5 0.7 1.5 2.7 30 31 Final sales to domestic purchasers 3.0 1.6 -6.1 -1.1 -0.2 2.9 12.5 6.1 5.3 3.4 1.5 1.3 0.8 1.5 1.8 2.5 31 32 Final sales to private domestic purchasers 2.7 1.0 -8.5 -1.8 -0.5 3.2 16.0 7.5 6.5 4.6 2.1 1.7 0.8 1.3 1.3 2.1 32 33 Gross national product 3.1 1.1 -7.9 -1.8 -1.4 1.3 11.8 4.4 5.2 3.1 1.9 1.8 0.7 1.7 2.2 ......... 33 Real disposable personal income 2.4 1.8 11.9 7.3 4.6 16.2 -2.5 -0.3 0.3 -12.6 -5.6 -3.5 -1.5 3.7 5.0 3.8 34 34 0.0 Price indexes: 35 36 Gross domestic purchases Gross domestic purchases excluding 1.3 1.5 0.7 1.3 1.6 2.4 4.1 4.7 5.8 6.7 7.3 7.0 6.2 5.0 3.4 2.9 35 1.4 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.8 4.3 5.3 6.0 6.3 6.2 5.7 5.0 3.8 3.2 36 37 food and energy 2 GDP 1.5 1.6 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.6 4.5 5.1 6.1 6.9 7.7 7.2 6.4 5.3 3.5 3.2 37 38 GDP excluding food and energy 2 1.6 1.7 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.4 4.0 4.6 5.5 6.2 6.5 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.1 3.6 38 39 PCE 1.4 1.5 0.5 1.1 1.2 2.1 4.1 4.7 5.9 6.6 6.8 6.6 5.9 5.0 3.9 3.4 39 40 PCE excluding food and energy 2 1.5 1.6 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.9 3.6 4.0 4.9 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.8 4.6 3.9 40 41 Market-based PCE 3 1.3 1.4 0.6 1.1 1.0 1.7 3.4 4.0 5.3 6.3 6.8 6.7 6.0 5.0 3.7 3.1 41 42 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy 2,3 1.5 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.5 2.7 3.2 4.1 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.0 4.7 4.5 3.7 42 1. Gross domestic income deflated by the implicit price deflator for gross domestic product. 2. Food excludes personal consumption expenditures for purchased meals and beverages, which are classified in food services. 3. This index is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most implicit prices (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 13 - October 26, 2023 Table 7. Relation of Gross Domestic Product, Gross National Product, and National Income [Billions of dollars] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 2020 2021 2022 2022 Q3 1 Gross domestic product (GDP) 2 Plus: Income receipts from the rest of the world 3 Less: Income payments to the rest of the world 4 Equals: Gross national product 5 Less: Consumption of fixed capital 6 Less: Statistical discrepancy Line 2023 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 21,323.0 23,594.0 25,744.1 25,994.6 26,408.4 26,813.6 27,063.0 27,623.5 1 993.0 1,112.1 1,252.6 1,285.5 1,340.7 1,390.7 1,452.7 ............... 2 778.1 928.6 1,070.7 1,094.3 1,155.2 1,231.8 1,279.7 ............... 3 21,537.8 23,777.6 25,926.0 26,185.9 26,594.0 26,972.5 27,236.1 ............... 3,625.5 3,873.3 4,299.9 4,368.2 4,430.3 4,507.4 58.2 -5.5 -52.3 -155.0 210.2 328.2 4,557.0 4 4,619.0 5 419.7 ............... 6 7 Equals: National income 17,854.0 19,909.7 21,678.4 21,972.7 21,953.5 22,136.9 22,259.4 ............... 7 8 11,594.7 12,545.9 13,439.2 13,609.2 13,675.0 13,965.2 14,171.7 14,361.1 8 9 Compensation of employees 9 Wages and salaries 9,464.6 10,312.6 11,116.0 11,271.4 11,317.0 11,565.4 11,749.7 11,911.4 10 11 Supplements to wages and salaries 2,130.0 2,233.2 2,323.2 2,337.8 2,357.9 2,399.8 2,422.0 2,449.7 10 1,583.8 756.1 1,749.1 814.2 1,790.9 878.3 1,807.4 893.1 1,825.3 907.5 1,827.4 945.8 1,824.1 961.1 1,845.8 11 974.5 12 2,383.3 529.3 2,922.8 504.6 3,208.7 457.4 3,299.3 438.3 3,248.4 360.7 3,165.1 307.8 3,172.1 ............... 13 212.4 136.8 14 12 13 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment Corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments 14 Net interest and miscellaneous payments 15 Taxes on production and imports less subsidies 863.7 1,189.2 1,682.8 1,705.6 1,711.3 1,729.7 1,721.7 1,729.8 15 16 Business current transfer payments (net) 145.0 189.0 216.8 215.4 227.6 203.1 206.4 215.7 16 -1.8 -5.0 4.4 4.5 -2.3 -7.1 -10.0 -11.1 17 17 Current surplus of government enterprises Addenda: 18 Gross domestic income (GDI) 21,264.7 23,599.5 25,796.4 26,149.7 26,198.2 26,485.4 26,643.3 ............... 18 19 Average of GDP and GDI 21,293.8 23,596.8 25,770.3 26,072.2 26,303.3 26,649.5 26,853.2 ............... 19 20 Statistical discrepancy as a percentage of GDP 0.3 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 14 - 0.0 -0.2 -0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 ............... 20 October 26, 2023 Table 8. Personal Income and Its Disposition [Billions of dollars] Line 1 Personal income 1 2 Compensation of employees 3 Wages and salaries 4 Private industries 5 Goods-producing industries 6 Manufacturing 7 Services-producing industries 8 Trade, transportation, and utilities 9 Other services-producing industries 10 Government 11 Supplements to wages and salaries 12 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds 2 13 Employer contributions for government social insurance 14 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments 15 Farm 16 Nonfarm 17 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment 18 Personal income receipts on assets 19 Personal interest income 20 Personal dividend income 21 Personal current transfer receipts 22 Government social benefits to persons 23 Social security 3 24 Medicare 4 25 Medicaid 26 Unemployment insurance 27 Veterans' benefits 28 Other 29 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net) 30 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic 31 Less: Personal current taxes 32 Equals: Disposable personal income 33 Less: Personal outlays 34 Personal consumption expenditures 35 Goods 36 Durable goods 37 Nondurable goods 38 Services 39 Personal interest payments 5 40 Personal current transfer payments 41 To government 42 To the rest of the world (net) 43 Equals: Personal saving 44 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income Addenda: 45 Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2017) dollars 6 Disposable personal income: 46 Total, billions of chained (2017) dollars 6 Per capita: 47 Current dollars 48 Chained (2017) dollars 49 Population (midperiod, thousands) 7 19,629.0 21,407.7 21,840.8 11,594.7 12,545.9 13,439.2 9,464.6 10,312.6 11,116.0 7,970.3 8,766.4 9,493.6 1,516.7 1,604.9 1,740.5 905.5 961.6 1,034.8 6,453.6 7,161.4 7,753.1 1,442.7 1,595.3 1,714.1 5,010.9 5,566.2 6,039.0 1,494.3 1,546.3 1,622.5 2,130.0 2,233.2 2,323.2 1,471.5 1,526.8 1,559.1 658.6 706.4 764.0 Seasonally adjusted at annual rates 2022 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 22,018.8 22,274.1 22,643.9 22,883.4 23,082.9 13,609.2 13,675.0 13,965.2 14,171.7 14,361.1 11,271.4 11,317.0 11,565.4 11,749.7 11,911.4 9,639.2 9,660.8 9,879.6 10,038.8 10,165.8 1,766.6 1,776.0 1,809.9 1,843.0 1,873.3 1,051.7 1,050.4 1,067.2 1,086.5 1,102.4 7,872.6 7,884.8 8,069.7 8,195.8 8,292.5 1,736.7 1,738.0 1,790.2 1,810.4 1,832.8 6,135.9 6,146.9 6,279.5 6,385.4 6,459.7 1,632.2 1,656.2 1,685.8 1,710.9 1,745.6 2,337.8 2,357.9 2,399.8 2,422.0 2,449.7 1,562.2 1,579.6 1,598.8 1,609.7 1,627.3 775.6 778.3 800.9 812.3 822.4 1,583.8 44.4 1,539.4 756.1 2,913.7 1,510.3 1,403.5 4,229.9 4,182.7 1,077.9 816.8 657.6 529.5 145.4 955.5 47.2 1,449.3 2,256.5 17,372.5 14,694.0 14,206.2 4,713.1 1,628.9 3,084.2 9,493.1 285.8 202.0 108.6 93.3 2,678.6 15.4 1,807.4 84.0 1,723.4 893.1 3,453.4 1,647.6 1,805.8 3,981.8 3,882.9 1,214.5 927.2 819.0 19.6 172.7 729.9 98.9 1,726.1 3,137.0 18,881.7 18,269.1 17,684.2 6,046.8 2,143.1 3,903.7 11,637.4 342.4 242.5 128.4 114.1 612.6 3.2 2020 2021 1,749.1 72.2 1,676.8 814.2 3,214.7 1,515.5 1,699.2 4,641.9 4,554.1 1,114.6 874.5 736.5 324.0 154.1 1,350.5 87.7 1,558.0 2,743.3 18,664.4 16,543.9 16,043.0 5,506.6 2,006.4 3,500.2 10,536.3 273.6 227.3 120.2 107.1 2,120.5 11.4 2022 1,790.9 81.7 1,709.1 878.3 3,432.0 1,627.5 1,804.5 4,002.1 3,903.0 1,211.5 926.1 814.4 22.3 170.5 758.2 99.1 1,701.7 3,138.3 18,702.5 18,079.7 17,511.7 5,997.0 2,128.9 3,868.1 11,514.7 326.1 241.8 127.7 114.1 622.8 3.3 1,825.3 84.0 1,741.4 907.5 3,525.4 1,706.7 1,818.7 4,073.7 3,974.9 1,225.8 934.2 828.4 22.1 173.7 790.7 98.8 1,732.8 3,095.7 19,178.4 18,556.0 17,917.0 6,047.6 2,129.0 3,918.6 11,869.4 395.3 243.7 129.2 114.4 622.4 3.2 1,827.4 71.2 1,756.2 945.8 3,577.0 1,744.3 1,832.7 4,102.4 4,001.5 1,340.0 938.1 871.5 22.0 172.9 657.1 100.9 1,773.9 2,763.7 19,880.2 18,932.0 18,269.6 6,133.8 2,194.9 3,939.0 12,135.7 419.8 242.6 129.7 112.9 948.2 4.8 1,824.1 58.2 1,765.9 961.1 3,602.6 1,754.8 1,847.8 4,120.1 4,017.3 1,353.8 941.9 911.4 22.3 172.6 615.4 102.8 1,796.2 2,706.7 20,176.7 19,136.6 18,419.0 6,144.7 2,193.6 3,951.1 12,274.4 474.7 242.9 130.4 112.5 1,040.1 5.2 1,845.8 53.4 1,792.5 974.5 3,624.3 1,790.9 1,833.4 4,093.8 3,987.9 1,361.4 946.3 882.7 21.0 172.8 603.7 105.9 1,816.7 2,810.3 20,272.6 19,495.7 18,734.3 6,230.0 2,209.2 4,020.8 12,504.3 515.2 246.2 131.2 115.0 776.9 3.8 Line 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 14,717.0 15,381.3 15,372.5 15,429.2 15,411.3 15,540.8 15,630.4 15,705.0 45 16,603.0 17,123.1 16,116.9 16,151.8 16,239.5 16,662.8 16,807.8 16,766.4 46 52,360 56,159 56,063 56,566 57,372 59,408 60,226 60,425 47 50,041 51,521 48,313 48,388 48,580 49,793 50,170 49,974 48 331,788 332,351 333,595 333,799 334,282 334,641 335,019 335,501 49 1. Personal income is also equal to national income less corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments, taxes on production and imports less subsidies, contributions for government social insurance, net interest and miscellaneous payments, business current transfer payments (net), and current surplus of government enterprises, plus personal income receipts on assets, and personal current transfer receipts. 2. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 3. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 4. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 5. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. Note that mortgage interest paid by households is an expense item in the calculation of rental income of persons. 6. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 7. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 15 - October 26, 2023 Appendix Table A. Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Aggregates: Percent Change from Preceding Period and Contributions to Percent Change Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Line 2020 2021 2022 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 Q2 2021 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2022 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2023 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Line Q3 Percent change from preceding period Gross domestic product (GDP) and related aggregates: 1 GDP -2.2 5.8 1.9 2.6 -5.3 -28.0 34.8 4.2 5.2 6.2 3.3 7.0 -2.0 -0.6 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.1 4.9 1 2 Goods 0.9 8.7 3.5 3.2 -5.7 -28.0 72.3 1.5 4.0 6.4 1.6 19.0 -4.4 -3.1 7.9 6.2 -1.3 0.9 7.7 2 3 Services -4.0 4.9 2.4 3.1 -6.9 -28.1 21.4 4.0 6.0 7.9 5.5 2.7 -0.6 2.3 2.5 2.5 3.2 1.9 3.6 3 4 Structures -2.7 7.0 -27.5 19.4 -4.9 -5.1 -3.7 -2.8 -9.5 -13.5 -9.6 8.9 7.7 3.6 4 5 6 Motor vehicle output 4.3 15.3 -1.2 14.7 15.4 -9.4 5 7 GDP excluding motor vehicle output Nonfarm business gross value added 1 -0.2 2.2 -6.4 15.7 4.5 -13.9 7.9 -2.5 -19.5 -31.4 -85.1 1,189.9 -27.5 10.7 -1.9 5.7 2.1 3.3 -4.5 -25.6 28.0 5.3 5.1 6.7 4.8 6.3 -1.7 -0.7 2.3 2.7 1.9 1.7 5.3 6 -2.8 7.2 2.1 2.7 -7.3 -32.8 45.8 5.4 6.5 7.3 3.4 8.9 -2.8 -1.1 2.8 2.8 1.8 2.0 5.9 7 7.0 -2.0 -0.6 2.7 2.6 2.2 2.1 4.9 8 9 -8.7 -40.1 33.7 -12.5 Contributions to percent change in real gross domestic product Percent change at annual rate: 8 Gross domestic product -2.2 5.8 1.9 2.6 -5.3 -28.0 34.8 4.2 5.2 6.2 3.3 Percentage points at annual rates: 9 Goods 0.26 2.65 1.10 0.94 -1.71 -7.55 19.64 0.57 1.38 2.09 0.56 5.66 -1.39 -0.99 2.44 1.95 -0.40 0.29 2.40 10 Services -2.46 2.95 1.43 1.89 -4.23 -17.82 13.42 2.36 3.48 4.59 3.22 1.64 -0.34 1.49 1.48 1.92 1.13 2.17 10 11 Structures -0.02 0.20 -0.59 -0.23 0.61 -2.65 1.78 1.28 0.38 -0.47 -0.48 -0.34 -0.25 -0.89 -1.27 -0.86 0.72 0.63 0.31 11 12 Motor vehicle output -0.39 0.20 -0.07 -0.61 -0.97 -3.77 6.02 -0.93 0.27 -0.25 -1.33 0.37 0.40 -0.28 12 1. Consists of GDP less gross value added of farm, of households and institutions, and of general government. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 16 - 0.75 -0.35 1.32 0.11 0.38 -0.03 October 26, 2023 Appendix Table B. Not Seasonally Adjusted Real Gross Domestic Product: Level and Percent Change from Quarter One Year Ago Line 2021 Q2 1 2 3 4 Gross domestic product (GDP) Personal consumption expenditures Gross private domestic investment Net exports of goods and services Q3 Billions of chained (2017) dollars at quarterly rates 2022 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Percent change from quarter one year ago 2021 2022 2023 2023 Q2 Q3 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Line Q3 5,337.0 5,386.2 5,568.3 5,303.8 5,434.7 5,487.0 5,596.5 5,415.4 5,569.5 5,633.6 5.0 5.3 3.7 1.8 1.9 0.5 2.1 2.5 2.7 1 3,694.1 3,698.8 3,849.8 3,637.5 3,777.9 3,775.0 3,900.4 3,723.3 3,854.2 3,868.6 7.7 6.9 4.7 2.3 2.1 1.3 2.4 2.0 2.5 2 6.2 9.5 12.6 9.4 3.2 -4.5 -5.0 -2.4 -0.7 3 -227.6 -265.1 -248.7 -262.5 -283.0 -272.0 -233.5 -211.7 -233.0 -249.5 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 4 930.4 1,026.8 1,040.0 1,032.6 1,018.0 1,059.2 993.0 981.4 993.9 1,051.5 5 Exports 566.4 559.0 609.4 573.0 607.8 623.7 635.1 613.1 623.3 624.2 6 7 Imports 794.0 824.1 858.0 835.5 890.8 895.7 868.6 824.7 856.3 873.7 14.4 10.5 13.1 12.2 938.2 925.5 926.5 895.3 918.9 921.3 935.0 921.2 952.4 960.9 -0.1 -1.0 -2.1 -2.1 -0.5 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Q4 7.2 6.1 4.9 7.3 11.6 8.7 4.2 7.0 0.1 5 1.2 -1.3 -3.9 -2.5 6 0.9 7 2.9 2.6 3.7 4.3 Addenda: Current dollar measures: (Billions of dollars) 8 GDP 5,853.3 5,975.1 6,271.5 6,098.9 6,414.3 6,539.2 6,701.5 6,546.7 6,802.4 6,920.7 10.4 11.8 10.8 9.4 6.9 7.3 6.1 5.8 8 9 Gross domestic income 5,723.5 5,911.6 6,340.9 6,309.1 6,340.3 6,516.3 6,630.6 6,729.0 6,596.1 ............. 14.0 11.3 12.2 10.8 10.2 4.6 6.7 4.0 ......... 9 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis - 17 - 9.6
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