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WEDNESDAY October 31, 2007

GDP GROWS 3.9 PERCENT IN THIRD QUARTER
“Advance” Estimate of GDP

ug

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 3.9 percent in the third quarter of 2007 after increasing 3.8
percent in the second, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Quarter-to-Quarter Growth in Real GDP
6

Percent

4

2

0
IV
I
2003

II
III
2004

IV

I

II
III
2005

IV

I

II
III
2006

IV

I

II
III
2007

Real GDP growth is measured at seasonally adjusted annual rates.

GDP
Sources of real GDP growth in the third quarter:
•
•

Personal consumption growth rebounded to 3.0 percent after rising 1.4 percent in the second quarter.
Goods export growth was the largest since the fourth quarter of 1996.

In contrast:
•
•

Housing registered a bigger decline than in the second quarter.
Import growth resumed after a decline in the second quarter.

Prices
Led by a decline in energy prices, prices of goods and services purchased by U.S. residents decelerated in the
third quarter, rising 1.6 percent after rising 3.8 percent in the second quarter.

Personal Income
Real disposable personal income—income adjusted for inflation and taxes—increased 4.4 percent in the third
quarter, compared with a 0.6 percent increase in the second quarter. The higher growth rate reflected the decline
in inflation.
BEA data—including GDP, personal income, the balance of payments, foreign direct investment, the input-output accounts, and
economic data for states, local areas, and industries—are available on the BEA Web site: www.bea.gov. E-mail alerts are also available.
NOTE: The “preliminary” estimates of GDP and corporate profits for the third quarter of 2007 will be released on November 29, 2007.
Contact: Ralph Stewart 202–606–2649

Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce