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February 28, 2019 2018Q4 (Initial Estimate) Comparisons -- Percent Change From Preceding Period in Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures [Percent] Seasonally adjusted at annual rates Gross domestic product (GDP) Personal consumption expenditures Goods Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Equipment Intellectual property products Residential Change in private inventories Net exports of goods and services Exports Goods Services Imports Goods Services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense State and local Addenda: Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases Final sales to domestic purchasers Final sales to private domestic purchasers Gross domestic income (GDI) Average of GDP and GDI Gross national product (GNP) Disposable personal income Current-dollar measures: GDP Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases Final sales to domestic purchasers Final sales to private domestic purchasers GDI Average of GDP and GDI GNP Disposable personal income Chain-type price measures: Gross domestic purchases Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy GDP GDP excluding food and energy GDP implicit price deflator PCE PCE excluding food and energy Market-based PCE Market-based PCE excluding food and energy Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2018:Q4 % change 2.6 2.8 3.9 5.9 2.8 2.4 4.6 3.9 6.2 -4.2 6.7 13.1 -3.5 ............................ ............................ 1.6 1.6 1.4 2.7 1.6 7.5 0.4 1.6 6.9 -5.6 -0.3 Last period with Last period with Last period with equal value larger value smaller value 2005Q4 2.6 2018Q3 3.4 2018Q1 2.2 2010Q3 2.8 2018Q3 3.5 2018Q1 0.5 2005Q3 3.9 2018Q3 4.3 2018Q1 -0.6 2006Q3 5.9 2018Q2 8.6 2018Q3 3.7 1997Q4 2.8 2018Q3 4.6 2018Q1 0.1 2016Q3 2.4 2018Q3 3.2 2018Q1 1.0 2013Q2 4.6 2018Q3 15.2 2018Q2 -0.5 ................ ................ 2018Q2 6.4 2018Q3 1.1 ................ ................ 2018Q2 8.7 2018Q3 2.5 ................ ................ 2018Q3 -3.4 2017Q3 -5.7 ................ ................ 2018Q1 8.5 2018Q3 3.4 ................ ................ 2018Q1 14.1 2018Q3 5.6 2014Q1 -3.5 2018Q2 -1.3 2018Q3 -3.6 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 1970Q3 1.6 2018Q2 9.3 2018Q3 -4.9 ................ ................ 2018Q2 13.5 2018Q3 -8.4 2008Q4 1.4 2018Q3 2.4 2017Q4 -1.0 2005Q3 2.7 2018Q3 9.3 2018Q2 -0.6 ................ ................ 2018Q3 10.5 2018Q2 -0.4 ................ ................ 2016Q3 7.9 2018Q3 4.3 1987Q3 0.4 2018Q3 2.6 2017Q3 -1.0 2016Q3 1.6 2018Q3 3.5 2017Q3 -1.3 2002Q2 6.9 2009Q2 10.7 2018Q3 4.9 ................ ................ 2018Q3 1.6 2013Q4 -7.6 2015Q4 -0.3 2018Q3 2.0 2017Q3 -0.9 2.5 2016Q3 2.5 2018Q2 5.4 2018Q3 1.0 2.7 2017Q3 2.7 2018Q3 5.3 2018Q1 2.2 2.6 2017Q2 2.6 2018Q3 2.9 2018Q1 1.9 3.1 1997Q2 3.1 2018Q2 4.3 2018Q3 3.0 ............................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ............................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ............................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 4.2 1988Q2 4.2 2018Q1 4.4 2018Q3 2.6 4.6 4.3 4.6 4.3 4.6 ............................ ............................ ............................ 5.7 1999Q2 1997Q1 2013Q1 2008Q2 ................ ................ ................ ................ 2014Q3 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.5 2015Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2016Q3 2018Q1 1965Q3 2016Q1 2018Q3 2017Q1 4.6 2018Q3 4.9 2018Q1 4.3 4.3 2018Q2 8.6 2018Q3 2.8 4.6 2018Q3 6.8 2017Q3 4.4 4.3 2018Q3 4.8 2017Q3 3.6 ................ 2018Q3 4.7 2018Q1 4.5 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 5.7 2018Q1 7.0 2018Q3 4.2 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.7 1.2 1.5 2018Q3 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q2 1.8 2.5 3.0 2.9 3.3 1.6 2.1 2.0 2.2 2017Q2 2017Q3 2017Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2017Q2 2018Q3 2017Q2 2018Q3 1.1 1.7 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 1.6 0.0 1.2 February 28, 2019 2018Q4 (Initial Estimate) Comparisons -- Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures Goods Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Equipment Intellectual property products Residential Change in private inventories Net exports of goods and services Exports Goods Services Imports Goods Services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense State and local Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2018:Q4 contribution Last period with equal value Last period with larger value Last period with smaller value 2.6 2005Q4 2.6 2018Q3 3.4 2018Q1 2.2 1.92 0.80 0.41 0.39 1.11 0.82 0.69 0.82 -0.13 0.39 0.56 -0.14 0.13 -0.22 0.19 0.13 0.06 -0.41 -0.20 -0.21 0.07 0.10 0.25 -0.15 -0.03 2009Q3 1975Q4 1985Q2 1992Q3 1967Q2 ................ ................ ................ 2002Q4 1963Q1 ................ 2018Q3 ................ ................ 1982Q2 ................ 2013Q2 2017Q3 1962Q3 2016Q3 ................ 1969Q3 2009Q4 ................ 2015Q4 1.92 0.80 0.41 0.39 1.11 ................ ................ ................ -0.13 0.39 ................ -0.14 ................ ................ 0.19 ................ 0.06 -0.41 -0.20 -0.21 ................ 0.10 0.25 ................ -0.03 2018Q3 2018Q3 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2018Q3 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q1 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q2 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2018Q3 2009Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2.37 0.90 0.60 0.64 1.47 2.53 1.10 1.15 -0.11 0.49 0.58 -0.05 2.33 1.22 1.12 1.06 0.10 0.10 0.06 -0.12 0.44 0.23 0.56 0.04 0.22 2018Q1 2018Q1 2018Q3 2018Q1 2018Q1 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2017Q3 2018Q3 2018Q3 2017Q2 2018Q2 2018Q3 2018Q3 2018Q3 2017Q4 2018Q3 2018Q3 2015Q3 2017Q3 2017Q3 2018Q3 2013Q4 2017Q3 0.36 -0.13 0.26 0.02 0.49 -0.07 0.21 0.35 -0.18 0.21 0.25 -0.22 -1.17 -1.99 -0.62 -0.72 -0.04 -1.37 -1.24 -0.23 -0.18 -0.08 0.18 -0.22 -0.10 February 28, 2019 2018 (Initial Estimate) Comparisons -- Percent Change From Preceding Period in Real Gross Domestic Product and Related Measures [Percent] Gross domestic product (GDP) Personal consumption expenditures Goods Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Equipment Intellectual property products Residential Change in private inventories Net exports of goods and services Exports Goods Services Imports Goods Services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense State and local Addenda: Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases Final sales to domestic purchasers Final sales to private domestic purchasers Gross domestic income (GDI) Average of GDP and GDI Gross national product (GNP) Disposable personal income Current-dollar measures: GDP Final sales of domestic product Gross domestic purchases Final sales to domestic purchasers Final sales to private domestic purchasers GDI Average of GDP and GDI GNP Disposable personal income Chain-type price measures: Gross domestic purchases Gross domestic purchases excluding food and energy GDP GDP excluding food and energy GDP implicit price deflator PCE PCE excluding food and energy Market-based PCE Market-based PCE excluding food and energy Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2018 % change 2.9 2.6 3.8 5.7 2.8 2.1 6.0 5.3 7.0 5.0 7.5 7.7 -0.2 ............................ ............................ 3.9 4.7 2.5 4.6 4.9 3.2 1.5 2.6 3.4 1.5 0.9 Last period with Last period with Last period with equal value larger value smaller value 2015 2.9 2005 3.5 2017 2.2 2002 2.6 2016 2.7 2017 2.5 ................ ................ 2015 4.7 2017 3.7 1992 5.7 2017 6.8 2016 5.5 1969 2.8 2015 3.4 2017 2.1 1982 2.1 2016 2.3 2017 2.0 1968 6.0 2013 6.9 2017 4.8 ................ ................ 2014 6.3 2017 4.8 1969 7.0 2012 9.5 2017 5.3 ................ ................ 2014 10.6 2017 4.6 ................ ................ 2012 11.0 2017 6.1 1967 7.7 2000 9.5 2017 4.6 ................ ................ 2017 3.3 2010 -3.1 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 2014 4.3 2017 3.0 ................ ................ 2011 7.1 2017 3.3 2017 2.5 2014 3.6 2016 -0.9 2017 4.6 2015 5.5 2016 1.9 1940 4.9 2015 5.8 2017 4.6 2011 3.2 2017 4.4 2014 2.6 2004 1.5 2015 1.9 2017 -0.1 1935 2.6 2010 4.1 2017 0.7 ................ ................ 2009 5.7 2017 0.7 2005 1.5 2016 1.9 2017 0.8 ................ ................ 2016 2.0 2017 -0.5 2.8 2006 2.8 2005 3.6 2017 2.2 3.0 2010 3.0 2015 3.6 2017 2.5 2.9 1989 2.9 2015 3.3 2017 2.5 3.2 1979 3.2 2015 3.7 2017 3.0 ............................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ............................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ............................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 2.9 1989 2.9 2015 4.1 2017 2.6 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.1 5.3 ............................ ............................ ............................ 5.0 1993 1993 2003 ................ 2014 ................ ................ ................ 1963 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.6 1995 2000 2001 1995 1992 1956 2012 2012 1996 5.2 2006 6.0 2017 4.2 5.1 2006 5.9 2017 4.2 5.3 2006 6.0 2017 4.3 ................ 2006 6.0 2017 4.4 5.3 2006 6.0 2017 4.8 ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ ................ 5.0 2014 5.6 2017 4.4 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.6 2011 2008 2007 2007 2007 2011 2008 2011 2012 2.4 2.2 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.5 2.0 2.5 1.8 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.3 February 28, 2019 2018 (Initial Estimate) Comparisons -- Contributions to Percent Change in Real Gross Domestic Product Percent change at annual rate: Gross domestic product Percentage points at annual rates: Personal consumption expenditures Goods Durable goods Nondurable goods Services Gross private domestic investment Fixed investment Nonresidential Structures Equipment Intellectual property products Residential Change in private inventories Net exports of goods and services Exports Goods Services Imports Goods Services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Federal National defense Nondefense State and local Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2018 contribution Last period with equal value Last period with larger value Last period with smaller value 2.9 2015 2.9 2005 3.5 2017 2.2 1.81 0.80 0.40 0.40 1.01 1.03 0.91 0.92 0.15 0.44 0.33 -0.01 0.12 -0.22 0.47 0.36 0.10 -0.69 -0.60 -0.09 0.26 0.17 0.13 0.04 0.09 ................ ................ ................ 1971 ................ ................ ................ 2005 1996 ................ 1996 ................ 1978 2001 ................ 2012 2017 ................ ................ 2012 1988 2006 2007 2005 ................ ................ ................ ................ 0.40 ................ ................ ................ 0.92 0.15 ................ 0.33 ................ 0.12 -0.22 ................ 0.36 0.10 ................ ................ -0.09 0.26 0.17 0.13 0.04 ................ 2016 2015 2017 2015 2016 2013 2014 2012 2014 2012 2000 2017 2015 2013 2014 2014 2014 2017 2017 2014 2015 2010 2010 2016 2016 1.85 1.02 0.48 0.49 1.08 1.11 1.02 1.16 0.32 0.62 0.36 0.13 0.25 0.22 0.58 0.42 0.15 -0.67 -0.55 -0.07 0.33 0.35 0.16 0.05 0.22 2017 2017 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2010 2017 2017 2017 2017 2016 2015 2015 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 2017 1.73 0.78 0.39 0.30 0.95 0.81 0.81 0.68 0.13 0.35 0.20 -0.08 0.00 -0.31 0.36 0.26 -0.04 -0.85 -0.74 -0.12 -0.01 0.05 0.03 0.02 -0.06