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FRIDAY, MARCH 25, 2016

GDP INCREASES IN FOURTH QUARTER
Corporate profits decline
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2015, according to the “third”
estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was 0.4 percentage point more than the
“second” estimate released last month. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 2.0 percent.
Quarter-to-Quarter Growth in Real GDP
6

4
Percent

GDP highlights
The fourth-quarter increase in real GDP largely
reflected a rise in consumer spending. Spending
on services increased, notably on recreation services and health care. Spending on durable goods
also increased, notably on recreational goods and
vehicles. Spending on nondurable goods also
increased.

2

0

Residential investment and federal government
spending also contributed to real GDP growth. In
addition, imports, a subtraction in the calculation
of GDP, decreased.

-2
I

II III
2012

IV

I

II III
2013

IV

I

II III
2014

IV

I

II III
2015

IV

Real GDP growth is measured at seasonally adjusted annual rates.

Partly offsetting these positive contributions
were declines in business investment, exports, inventory investment, and state and local government spending.
Revisions
The upward revision to real GDP growth was mainly accounted for by an upward revision to consumer spending
on services, notably on recreation services. Exports of goods and services were also revised up. Partly offsetting
these upward revisions, private inventory investment was revised down, notably in manufacturing and retail trade.

Corporate profits
Profits decreased 7.8 percent at a quarterly rate in
the fourth quarter after decreasing 1.6 percent in
the third quarter.

Quarter-to-Quarter Growth in Corporate Profits
10
8
6
4
2

Percent

Profits of nonfinancial corporations decreased
10.2 percent in the fourth quarter, profits of financial corporations decreased 6.0 percent, and
profits from the rest of the world decreased 1.7
percent.

0
-2
-4
-6

Annual corporate profits
For the full year 2015, corporate profits decreased 3.1 percent, after rising 1.7 percent in
2014.

-8
-10
I

II

III

2012

IV

I

II

III

IV

2013

I

II

III

2014

IV

I

II

III

IV

2015

Corporate profits growth is measured as the percent change from the previous quarter.

Profits of nonfinancial corporations decreased 2.6 percent, profits of financial corporations fell 0.6 percent, and
profits from the rest of the world fell 7.0 percent.

BEA data—including GDP, personal income, the balance of payments, foreign direct investment, the input-output accounts, and economic
data for states, local areas, and industries—are available on the BEA Web site: www.bea.gov. E-mail alerts are also available.
NOTE: The “advance” estimate of GDP for the first quarter of 2016 will be released on April 28, 2016.
Contact: Jeannine Aversa (202) 606-2649

Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce