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FRIDAY, February 28, 2014

GDP GROWTH DECELERATES IN FOURTH QUARTER
Growth Revised Down
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013, according to the “second”
estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The growth rate was 0.8 percentage point less than the
“advance” estimate released in January. In the third quarter, the growth rate was 4.1 percent.

Also contributing to the slowdown: a larger decrease in federal government spending and
downturns in housing investment and in state and
local government spending.

Quarter-to-Quarter Growth in Real GDP
6

4
Percent

Fourth-quarter GDP highlights
The slowdown in real GDP growth reflected a
slowdown in inventory investment. GDP less
inventory investment (final sales of domestic
product) rose 2.3 percent, almost as much as the
2.5 percent growth in the third quarter.

2

0

-2

In contrast, exports, consumer spending, and
business investment each accelerated.

I

II III
2010

IV

I

II III
2011

IV

I

II III
2012

IV

I

II III
2013

IV

Real GDP growth is measured at seasonally adjusted annual rates

Fourth-quarter revisions
The revision to real GDP growth reflected the incorporation of newly available, higher quality source data. The
following were revised down:





Consumer spending on both goods and services; the revisions were widespread.
Inventory investment, led by wholesale trade industries.
Exports, mainly nonautomotive capital goods and consumer goods.
State and local government spending, mainly investment in structures.

In contrast, business investment was revised up, mainly in equipment and in software.
Annual GDP highlights
For the full year 2013, real GDP increased 1.9
percent, the same as the previous estimate. In
2012, the growth rate was 2.8 percent.
Business investment slowed, reflecting slower growth in structures (mainly power and
communication) and in equipment (mainly
transportation).
 Federal government spending declined more
in 2013 than in 2012.
 Consumer spending on services slowed.

Percent



Annual Real GDP Growth
4
3
2
1
0
2010

2011

2012

2013

In contrast, imports slowed, state and local government spending declined less, and consumer spending on goods
accelerated.

BEA data—including GDP, personal income, the balance of payments, foreign direct investment, the input-output accounts, and economic
data for states, local areas, and industries—are available on the BEA Web site: www.bea.gov. E-mail alerts are also available.
NOTE: The “third” estimate of GDP for the fourth quarter of 2013 and an estimate of corporate profits will be released on March 27, 2014.
Contact: Jeannine Aversa (202) 606-2649

Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce