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EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET BUDGET OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT FISCAL YEAR 1988 Supplement THE BUDGET DOCUMENTS Budget of the United States Government, 1988 contains the Budget Message of the President and presents an overview of the President’s budget proposals. It includes summary information on goals of the 1988 Budget, economic assumptions, receipts and outlays, defense and international programs, social security benefits, other programmatic changes, financing changes, reductions and terminations, a listing of the budget by agency and account, and various summary data tables. Budget of the United States Government, 1988—Supplement repeats the Budget Message of the President and the summary information. In addition it includes sections on the Federal program by function, perspectives on the budget, the budget system and concepts, reform of the Federal credit system, and summary tables (both the tables included in the Budget and additional tables). United States Budget in Brief, 1988 is designed for use by the general public. It provides a more concise, less technical overview of the 1988 budget than the above volumes, including summary and historical tables on the Federal budget and debt, together with graphic displays. Budget of the United States Government, 1988—Appendix contains detailed infor mation on the various appropriations and funds that constitute the budget. The Appendix contains more detailed information than any of the other budget docu ments. It includes for each agency: the proposed text of appropriation language, budget schedules for each account, new legislative proposals, explanations of the work to be performed and the funds needed, and proposed general provisions appli cable to the appropriations of entire agencies or groups of agencies. Supplemental and rescission proposals for the current year are presented separately. Information is also provided on certain activities whose outlays are not part of the budget totals. Special Analyses, Budget of the United States Government, 1988 contains analyses that are designed to highlight specified program areas or provide other significant presentations of budget data. This document includes information about alternative views of the budget; i.e., current services and national income accounts; economic and financial analyses of the budget covering Government finances and operations as a whole; and Government-wide program and financial information for Federal research and development programs. Data on Federal civilian employment are also included in this volume. Historical Tables, Budget of the United States Government, 1988 provides data on budget receipts, outlays, surpluses or deficits, and Federal debt covering extended time periods—in many cases from 1940-1992. These are much longer time periods than those covered by similar tables in other budget documents. The data in this volume and all other historical data in the budget documents are consistent with the concepts and presentation used in the 1988 Budget, so the data series are comparable over time. Management of the United States Government, 1988 includes the President’s Man agement Message and provides the goals and strategies of the President’s Manage ment Improvement Program. It reports on the nine point credit management pro gram, the program to improve financial management in executive branch agencies, the President’s Productivity Program, the activities of the President’s Council on Integrity and Efficiency, and the President’s Council on Management Improvement. This document also describes the status of Grace Commission recommendations, the status of debt collection and prompt payment efforts, and a report on the motor vehicle cost reductions required by the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (COBRA) of 1985. Instructions for purchasing copies of any of these documents are on the last two pages of this volume. GENERAL NOTES 1. All years referred to are fiscal years, unless otherwise noted. 2. Detail in the tables, text and charts of this volume may not add to the totals because of rounding. For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Washington, D.C. 20402 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page PART 1. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT.................................. PART 2. BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES............................................. Programmatic changes......................................................................................... Social security.................................................................................................... National defense................................................................................................ Major medical programs................................................................................... Other mandatory programs................................................................................ Economic subsidies and development............................................. Social programs................................................................................................... General government ........................................................................................... Revenue changes..................................................................................................... Governmental receipts........................................................................................ Credit reform........................................................................................................ Other loan asset sales......................................................................................... Privatization......................................................................................................... User fees.............................................................................................................. Other revenue changes........................................................................................ Summary of tables.................................................................................................. PART 3. THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND FEDERAL INVESTMENT......... 3a. THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK............................................................................. 3b. FEDERAL CREDIT: INVESTMENT IN FINANCIAL ASSETS.................... 3c. CAPITAL SPENDING: INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL ASSETS.................... PART 4. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE....................................................... Summary............................................................................................................... Enacted legislation................................................................................................ Tax Reform Act of 1986........................................................................................ Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985 (COBRA)................. Federal Employees’ Retirement System Act of 1986........................................... Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986......................................................... Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986................................. Continuing Resolution for fiscal year 1987.......................................................... Receipts proposals.................................................................................... Effects of enacted and proposed changes on receipts.......................................... Changes in receipts................................................................................................. Receipts by source................................................................................................... Proprietary receipts.............................................................................................. PART 5. FEDERAL PROGRAMS BY FUNCTION: MEETING NATIONAL NEEDS............................................................................................................... Introduction........................................................................................................... National defense.................................................................................................... International affairs............................................................................................... General science, space, and technology................................................................ Energy...................................................................................................................... iii M-l 2-1 2-3 2-3 2-3 2-5 2-10 2-14 2-26 2-32 2-36 2-36 2-36 2-37 2-38 2-41 2-45 2-46 3-1 3a-l 3b-l 3c-l 4-1 4-2 4-3 4-6 4-11 4-12 4-13 4-13 4-14 4-17 4-21 4-22 4-25 4-26 5-1 5-2 5-4 5-18 5-28 5-34 iv THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988—SUPPLEMENT Page Natural resources and environment................................................................... 5-43 Agriculture............................................................................................................. 5-53 Commerce and housing credit............................................................................. 5-60 Transportation....................................................................................................... 5-69 Community and regional development............................................................... 5-80 Education, training, employment and social services........................................ 5-88 Health..................................................................................................................... 5-106 Medicare...................................................... 5-114 Income security..................................................................................................... 5-118 Social Security....................................................................................................... 5-135 Veterans benefits and services............................................................................. 5-137 Administration of justice...................................................................................... 5-146 General government.............................................................................................. 5-151 General purpose fiscal assistance........................................................................ 5-157 Net interest............................................................................................................ 5-161 Allowances.............................................................................................................. 5-166 Undistributed offsetting receipts......................................................................... 5-169 PART 6. SUPPLEMENTS........................................................................................ 6-1 6a. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET............................................................... 6a-l Relationship of budget authority to outlays....................................................... 6a-l Limitations on the availability of funds............................................................. 6a-3 Fiscal activities outside the Federal budget........................................................ 6a-6 Budget funds and the Federal debt..................................................................... 6a-17 Comparison of actual and estimated Federal Government totals for 1986...... 6a-20 Comparison of the actual and estimated relatively uncontrollable outlays for 1986................................................................................................................ 6a-27 Allocation of windfall profit tax receipts............................................................. 6a-30 6b. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS..................................................... 6b-l The budget process................................................................................................ 6b-l Coverage of the budget totals..................................... 6b-6 Budgetary resources and related transactions................................................... 6b-8 Federal credit activities........................................................................................ 6b-12 Collections............................................................................................................... 6b-12 Other transactions................................................................................................ 6b-14 Basis for budget figures........................................................................................ 6b-15 6c. SUMMARY TABLES.......................................................................................... 6c-l Explanation of the summary tables.................................................................... 6c-2 Table 1. Summary.............................................................................................. 6c-7 Table 2. Summary of current services and the President’s proposals........... 6c-8 Table 3. Receipts by source and outlays by agency, 1986-92......................... 6c-ll Table 4. Outlays by function, 1986-92.............................................................. 6c-13 Table 5. Credit budget: new direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments by agency.................................................................................... 6c-14 Table 6. Federal government financing and debt........................................... 6c-15 Table 7. Full-time equivalent of Federal civilian employment...................... 6c-17 Table 8. Budget authority by function, 1986-92.............................................. 6c-18 Table 9. Budget authority by agency, 1986-92................................................ 6c-19 Table 10. Budget authority and outlays available with and without current action by Congress............................................................................................ 6c-21 Table 11. Relation of budget authority to outlays............................................. 6c-22 Table 12. Balances of budget authority.............................................................. 6c-23 Table 13. Receipts by source................................................................................ 6c-24 Table 14. Offsetting receipts by type.................................................................. 6c-28 Table 15. Legislative proposals for major new and expanded programs in the 1988 budget, projection of costs................................................................. 6c-31 CONTENTS V Page Table 16. Controllability of outlays, 1986-88...................................................... Table 17. Receipts by source, 1978-88................................................................ Table 18. Outlays by function and subfunction, 1978-88.................................. Table 19. Federal finances and the gross national product, 1969-90.............. Table 20. Composition of receipts and outlays in current prices: 1968-90...... Table 21. Composition of receipts and outlays in constant (fiscal year 1982) prices: 1968-90................................................................................................... Table 22. Total receipts and outlays, 1789-1992................................................ Table 23. On-budget and off-budget receipts and outlays, 1937-92.................. 6c-32 6c-34 6c-37 6c-44 6c-46 6c-47 6c-48 6c-49 PART 1 THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M-l The Federal Government Dollar Fiscal Year 1988 Estimate Where It Comes From ... THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT To the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President of the Senate: The current economic expansion, now in its 50th month, is al ready one of the longest of the postwar era and shows promise of continuing to record length. This has not been due simply to chance—it is the result of successful policies adopted during the past 6 years. Disposable personal income is at an all-time high and is still rising; total production and living standards are both in creasing; employment gains have been excellent. Inflation, which raged at double-digit rates in 1980, has been reduced dramatically. Defense capabilities, which had been dangerously weakened during the 1970’s, have been substantially rebuilt, restoring a more ade quate level of national security. An insupportable growth in tax burdens and Federal regulations has been halted, an intolerably complex and inequitable income tax structure has been radically reformed, and the largest management improvement program ever attempted is in full swing in all major Federal agencies. It has been a good 6 years. Now in its 5th year, the current expansion already has exceeded 5 of the 7 previous postwar expansions in duration, and leading economic indicators point to continued growth ahead. Our policies have worked. Let me mention a few highlights of the current economic expansion: • In the past 4 years 12.4 million new jobs have been created, while the total unemployment rate has fallen by 3.7 percent age points. By comparison, jobs in other developed countries have not grown significantly, and unemployment rates have remained high. • Inflation, which averaged 10.3 percent a year during the 4 years before I came to office, has averaged less than a third of that during the last 4 years—3.0 percent; inflation in 1986, at about 1 percent, was at its lowest rate in over two decades. • The prime rate of interest, and other key interest rates, are less than half what they were in 1981. • Between 1981 and 1986, numerous changes in the tax code, including a complete overhaul last year, have simplified re porting, made the tax law more equitable, and significantly lowered tax rates for individuals and corporations. Six million low-income taxpayers are being removed from the income tax M-3 M-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 rolls. The inhibitive effect of our tax code on individual initia tive has been reduced dramatically. Real after-tax personal income has risen 15 percent during the last 4 years, increas ing our overall standard of living. • Our defense capabilities have been strengthened with mod ernized equipment and successful recruiting and retention of higher caliber personnel; the readiness, training, and morale of our troops has been improved. • After years of unsustainably rapid growth, Federal spending for domestic programs other than entitlements has been held essentially flat over the last 4 years. • Since 1981, the amount of time spent by the public filling out forms required by the Federal Government has been cut by over 600 million hours, and the number of pages published annually in the Federal Register has been reduced by over 45 percent. • Our continuing fight against waste, fraud, and abuse in Gov ernment programs has paid off, as the President’s Council on Integrity and Efficiency has saved $84 billion in funds that have been put to more efficient use. • Finally, Federal agencies have instituted the largest manage ment improvement program ever attempted to bring a more business-like approach to Government. The dramatic improvement in the performance of our economy stemmed from steadfast adherence to the four fundamental princi ples of the economic program I presented in February 1981: • limiting the growth of Federal spending; • reducing tax burdens; • relieving the economy of excessive regulation and paperwork; and • supporting a sound and stable monetary policy. BUDGET SUMMARY (In billions of dollars) 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 842.4 916.6 976.2 1,048.3 1,123.2 1,191.2 769.1 Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 989.8 1,015.6 1,024.3 1,069.0 1,107.8 1,144.4 1,178.9 12.3 Surplus or deficit (-).. .. .. . -220.7 -173.2 -107.8 -92.8 -59.5 -21.3 Gramm-Rudman-Hollings def 0.0 0.0 icit targets.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -171.9 -144.0 -108.0 -72.0 -36.0 23.5 21.3 -12.3 20.8 29.2 -0.2 Difference.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 48.8 Note—Totals include social security, which is off-budget. NEED FOR DEFICIT REDUCTION The foundation has been laid for a sustained era of national prosperity. But a major threat to our future prosperity remains: THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M-5 the Federal deficit. If this deficit is not brought under control by limiting Government spending, we put in jeopardy all we have achieved. Deficits brought on by continued high spending threaten the lower tax rates incorporated in tax reform and inhibit progress in our balance of trade. We cannot permit this to happen. Therefore, one of the major objectives of this budget is to assure a steady reduction in the deficit until a balanced budget is reached. This budget meets the $108 billion deficit target for 1988 set out in the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act, com monly known for its principal sponsors as Gramm-Rudman-Hollings. Gramm-Rudman-Hollings committed both the President and Congress to a fixed schedule of progress toward reducing the defi cit. In submitting this budget, I am keeping my part of the bar gain—and on schedule. I ask Congress to do the same. If the deficit reduction goals were to be abandoned, we could see unparalleled spending growth that this Nation cannot afford. This budget shows that eliminating the deficit over time is possi ble without raising taxes, without sacrificing our defense prepared ness, and without cutting into legitimate programs for the poor and the elderly, while at the same time providing needed additional resources for other high priority programs. DEFICIT REDUCTION IN 1988 Although the deficit has equalled or exceeded 5 percent of the gross national product (GNP) in each of the past 4 years, each year I have proposed a path to lower deficits—involving primarily the curtailment of unnecessary domestic spending. Congress, however, has rejected most of these proposals; hence, our progress toward reducing the deficit has been much more modest than it could have been. This year there appears to be a major turn for the better. The 1987 deficit is estimated to be about $48 billion less than in 1986 and should decline to less than 4 percent of GNP. As the economy expands, Federal receipts will rise faster than the increase in out lays Congress enacted for the year. However, there is no firm guarantee that progress toward a steadily smaller deficit and eventual budget balance will continue. On a current services basis the deficit will continue to decline over the next 5 years, but this decline is gradual and vulnerable to potential fiscally irresponsible congressional action on a multitude of spending programs. It is also threatened by the possibility of a less robust economic performance than is projected, for that projec tion is based on the assumption that the necessary spending cuts will be made. M-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 This 1988 budget can deal the deficit a crucial blow. If the proposals in this budget are adopted and if the economy performs according to the budget assumptions for growth and inflation, then for the second consecutive year the deficit should shrink substan tially, by $65 billion, and thus decline to less than 2^2 percent of GNP. Reducing the deficit this far would bring it within the range of our previous peacetime experience and bring our goal of a bal anced budget much closer to realization. Moreover, if Congress adopts the proposals contained in this budget, it will ensure additional deficit reductions in future years, because in many cases the savings from a given action, although small in 1988, would mount in later years. Given the good start made in 1987, Congress has an opportunity this year—by enacting this budget—to put the worst of the deficit problem behind us. Adopting the spending reductions and other reforms proposed in this budget would reduce the Federal deficit an average of $54 billion annually for the next 3 years. This represents $220 each year for every individual American and about $600 for every household. I believe this is the appropriate way to deal with the deficit: cutting excessive Federal spending rather than attacking the family budget by increasing taxes, weakening our national security, break ing faith with the poor and the elderly, or ignoring the require ments for additional resources for other high priority programs. A MORE COMPETITIVE, PRODUCTIVE AMERICA The task of deficit reduction is a formidable one—but it can and should be achieved with serious attention to the effects on Ameri ca’s economy, businesses, State and local governments, social orga nizations, and individual citizens. Reducing the deficit will reduce the burden the Federal Government places on private credit mar kets. The specific deficit reduction measures proposed in this budget would also help make our economy more competitive—and more productive. These objectives have been major considerations in the formulation of this budget. High priority programs must be funded adequately. Despite the very tight overall fiscal environment, this budget provides ade quate funds for maintaining and, in selected cases, expanding high priority programs in key areas of national interest. For example: • essential services and income support for the aged and needy are expanded; • the prevention, treatment, and research efforts begun in my 1987 drug abuse initiative are continued, while resources de voted to drug law enforcement have tripled since my adminis tration began; • the budget allocates $85 million to more intensive health care for those with the highest incidence of infant mortality; THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M-7 • over half a billion dollars is provided for AIDS research and education in 1988—a 28 percent increase above the 1987 level and more than double our 1986 effort (an additional $100 million is provided for AIDS treatment and blood screening by the Veterans Administration and the Department of De fense); • building upon the Nation’s preeminence in basic biomedical research, the budget seeks funding for the full multiyear costs of biomedical research grants made by the National Institutes of Health; • a $200 million increase over the 1987 level is proposed for compensatory education for educationally disadvantaged chil dren; • current ineffective programs intended to assist dislocated workers are replaced by an expanded billion-dollar program carefully designed to help those displaced from their jobs move quickly into new careers; • a 68 percent increase in funding is provided to permit the Federal Aviation Administration to modernize the Nation’s air traffic control system; this includes the procurement of doppler radars capable of detecting severe downdrafts that imperil landings and takeoffs at airports where this is a hazard; • for 1988, $400 million is provided to carry out newly enacted immigration reform legislation; • substantial increases in funding for clean coal technology demonstrations, as well as research on acid rain formation and environmental effects, are provided to address the acid rain problem; and • a new civil space technology initiative, together with previ ously planned increases to construct a space station, develop a national aerospace plane, and foster the commercial develop ment of space, are provided in this budget. Restoring our national security also has been one of my highest priorities over the past 6 years due to the serious weakness arising from severe underfunding during the middle and late 1970’s. None theless, defense and international programs have not escaped the effects of fiscal stringency. The defense budget actually has de clined in real terms in each of the past 2 years. This trend cannot be allowed to continue. I am proposing in this budget a 3 percent real increase over last year’s appropriated level. This request— some $8 billion less than last year’s—is the minimum level consist ent with maintaining an adequate defense of our Nation. Likewise, my request for our international affairs programs is also crucial to our effort to maintain our national security. I urge M-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Congress not to repeat last year's damaging cuts, but rather to fund these programs fully. The incentive structure for other Federal programs should be changed to promote efficiency and competitiveness. One of the prob lems with many Federal programs is that they provide payments without encouraging performance or efficiency. They are perceived to be “free” and, therefore, there is potentially unlimited demand. This has to be changed—and this budget proposes creating needed incentives in critical areas. Our farm price support programs, under the Food Security Act of 1985, are proving much too costly—half again as costly as estimat ed when the bill was enacted just one year ago. The $25 billion being spent on farm subsidies in 1987 is 14 percent of our total Federal deficit and equivalent to taking $415 of each nonfarm family's taxes to support farmers' incomes—over and above the amount that price supports add to their grocery bills. Some of the provisions of the Act encourage farmers to overproduce just to receive Federal benefits. Other provisions give the greatest benefits to our largest and most efficient agricultural producers instead of to those family farmers most in need of help. My administration will propose amendments to the Food Security Act to focus its benefits on the full-time family farmer by placing effective limita tions on the amount paid to large producers and removing the incentive for farmers to overproduce solely to receive Federal pay ments. Reform of the medicare physician payment system is also pro posed. Under the proposals, medicare would pay for radiology, anesthesiology, and pathology (RAP) services based on average area costs instead of inflationary fee-for-service reimbursements. The current fee-for-gervice payment distorts incentives and induces in appropriate billing for unneeded services. This initiative would remove the distortions caused by medicare's current reimburse ment rules, eliminating a key barrier preventing the restoration of traditional arrangements between RAP physicians and hospital staffs. The budget proposes continued increases in federally supported basic research that will lead to longer term improvements in the Nation's productivity and global competitiveness. For example, the budget projects a doubling within 5 years of the National Science Foundation's support for academic research. I also propose to in crease support for training future scientists and engineers, and to foster greater technology transfer from Government to industry. Another way of attaching a “value” to Government-provided services—and an incentive to use them only as needed—is to charge user fees where appropriate. Those who receive special Federal services—not the general taxpayer—should bear a greater THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M-9 share of the costs of those services. Accordingly, this budget im poses fees for Federal lending activities, for meat and poultry inspection, for National park and forest facilities, for Coast Guard services, for Customs inspections, and for many other services. The Government should stop competing with the private sector. The Federal Government interferes with the productivity of the private sector in many ways. One is through borrowing from the credit markets to finance programs that are no longer needed—as in the case of the rural housing insurance fund, direct student financial assistance, urban mass transit discretionary grants, voca tional education grants, the Federal Crop Insurance Corporation fund, sewage plant construction grants, justice assistance grants, the Legal Services Corporation, and rural electrification loans. I am proposing in this budget that we terminate these programs and rely instead on private or State and local government provision of these services. The budget also proposes that a number of programs that have real utility be transferred back to the private sector, through public offerings or outright sales. Following our successful effort to authorize sale of Conrail, I am now proposing the sale of the Naval Petroleum Reserves, AMTRAK, the Alaska Power Administration, the helium program, and excess real property. In addition, I am proposing legislation to authorize study of a possible divestiture of the Southeastern Power Administration. These “privatization” ef forts continue to be a high priority of my administration and, I believe, will result in increased productivity and lower total costs of providing these services. The Federal Government needs to pro vide essential services that are truly public in nature and national in scope. It has no business providing services to individuals that private markets or their State or local governments can provide just as well or better. The Federal Government should depend more on the private sector to provide ancillary and support services for activities that remain in Federal hands. The budget proposes that the work asso ciated with over 40,000 Federal positions be contracted out to the private sector as yet another way to increase productivity, reduce costs, and improve services. Federal credit programs should operate through the private mar kets and reveal their true costs. The Federal Government provides credit for housing, agriculture, small business, education, and many other purposes. Currently, over a trillion dollars of Federal or federally assisted loans are outstanding. Including lending of Government-sponsored enterprises, federally assisted lending amounted to 14 percent of all lending in U.S. credit markets in 1985. M-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Under current treatment, loan guarantees appear to be “free”; they do not affect the budget until and unless borrowers default. Direct loans are counted as outlays when they are made, but as “negative outlays” when they are repaid; thus, direct loans seem “free” too, inasmuch as it is presumed they will be repaid. But neither direct loans nor loan guarantees are free. Besides the better terms and conditions a borrower gets from the Government, there is the matter of default. When a borrower does not repay a direct loan, the negative outlay does not occur, and this is a subsi dy implicit in the original loan transaction. When a borrower defaults on a guaranteed loan, the Government has to make good on repayment—also a program subsidy. Since these effects are poorly understood and lead to grave ineffi ciencies in our credit programs, we will ask Congress to enact legislation whereby the true cost to the economy of Federal credit programs would be counted in the budget. By selling a substantial portion of newly made loans to the private sector and reinsuring some newly made guarantees, the implicit subsidy in the current practice will become explicit. This reform will revolutionize the way Federal credit activities are conducted. The private sector will also be increasingly involved in the man agement of our huge portfolio of outstanding loans and loan guar antees. Delinquent Federal borrowers will be reported to private credit bureaus, and private loan collection agencies will be used to help in our collection efforts. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) will expand its “offsetting” of refunds to pay off delinquent Federal debts, and Federal employees who have not paid back Federal loans will have their wages garnisheed. Increased role for State and local governments. Over the past 6 years I have sought to return various Federal services to State and local governments—which are in a much better position to respond effectively to the needs of the recipients of these services. To me, this is a question of reorganizing responsibilities within our Feder al system in a manner that will result in more productive delivery of the services that we all agree should be provided. Thus, this budget phases out inappropriate Federal Government involvement in local law enforcement, sewage treatment, public schools, and community and regional development. Transportation programs will be consolidated or States will be given greater flexibility in the use of Federal funds for highways, mass transit, and airports. Federal regulations must be reduced even further to improve productivitg. My administration will continue the deregulation and regulatory relief efforts that were begun in 1981. The Task Force on Regulatory Relief, headed by the Vice President, has been rein stated. In the past, excessive Federal regulations and related paper work have stifled American productivity and individual freedom. THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M-ll We must continue our efforts to streamline the regulatory process and to strike the proper balance between necessary regulation and associated paperwork on the one hand, and the costs of these requirements on the other. Federal activities should be better managed. The American people deserve the best managed Federal Government possible. Last year, I initiated the Federal Government Productivity Program, with the goal of improving productivity in selected areas by 20 percent by 1992. A substantial portion of total direct Federal employment falls within the program, including such activities as the Department of Agriculture meat and poultry inspection, Navy aircraft mainte nance and repair, social security claims processing, National Park maintenance, operation of Federal prisons, and IRS processing of tax returns. Credit reform, privatization, productivity improvement, and other proposals will be described in more detail in the Management Report to be issued this month. It will also identify further meas ures to reduce waste, fraud, and abuse; to improve management of the Government’s $1.7 trillion cashflow; to institute compatible financial management systems across all Federal agencies; and other initiatives to improve the management of Government oper ations. These ambitious management reform undertakings, called “Reform ’88,” constitute the largest management reform effort ever attempted. The budget also proposes a new approach to paying Federal employees who increase their productivity. I ask that Congress approve a new plan to transform the current system of virtually automatic “within-grade” salary increases for the roughly 40 per cent of employees eligible each year for these 3 percent hidden pay raises to one that is “performance-oriented”. This will give Federal employees stronger incentives to improve service delivery. I include with this budget my recommendations for increases in executive level pay for the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of the Federal Government. The Quadrennial Commission report submitted to me on December 15, 1986 documented both the substantial erosion in the real level of Federal executive pay that has occurred since 1969 and the recruitment and retention prob lems that have resulted, especially for the Federal judiciary. The Commission is to be commended for its diligent and conscientious effort to address the complicated and complex problems associated with Federal pay levels. Every one of the Quadrennial Commissions that have met over the past 18 years has recognized that a pay increase for key Feder al officials was necessary. Each Commission concluded that pay for senior Government officials fell far behind that of their counter parts in the private sector. They also understood that we cannot M-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 afford a Government composed primarily of those who are wealthy enough to serve. Unfortunately, the last major Quadrennial Com mission pay adjustment was in 1977—a decade ago. However, I recognize that we are under mandated efforts to reduce the Federal deficit and hold down the costs of Government to the absolute minimum level. In this environment, I do not believe it would be appropriate to implement fully the Quadrennial Commission recommendations. Accordingly, I have decided to propose a pay increase, but have cut substantially the recommendations made by the Quadrennial Commissioners in their report to me last month. Moreover, I have decided to establish a Career Manager Pay Commission to review and report to me by next August on appropriate pay scales for our elite corps of career Government managers. The pay increases I am proposing to Congress, plus the results of this new Commission, should place Government compensation on a fairer and more com parable footing. PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH I have become convinced that the only way we can bring our adversaries to the bargaining table for arms reduction is to give them a reason to negotiate—while, at the same time, fulfilling our responsibility to our citizens and allies to provide an environment safe and secure from aggression. We have built our defense capabilities back toward levels more in accord with today’s requirements for security. Modest and sus tained growth in defense funding will be required to consolidate the real gains we have made. Because of severe fiscal constraints, we are proceeding at a slower pace than I originally planned, and the budget I propose provides the minimum necessary to ensure an adequate defense. I am also submitting, for the first time, a two-year budget for National Defense. This will permit greater stability in providing resources for our defense efforts and should lead to greater econo my in using these resources. BUDGET PROCESS REFORM The current budget process has failed to provide a disciplined and responsible mechanism for consideration of the Federal budget. Budget procedures are cumbersome, complex, and convoluted. They permit and encourage a process that results in evasion of our duty to the American people to budget their public resources responsi bly. Last year Congress did not complete action on a budget for 8 months and 2 weeks—2 weeks past the statutory deadline. Except for the initial report of the Senate Budget Committee, Congress missed every deadline it had set for itself just 9 months earlier. In THE BUDGET MESSAGE OF THE PRESIDENT M-13 the end, Congress passed a yearlong, 389-page omnibus appropria tions bill full of excessive and wasteful spending. Because Congress had not completed action on the annual appropriations bills, at one point I was compelled by law to initiate a shutdown of Federal Government activities. Such abrogation of a responsible budget process not only discourages careful, prudent legislation—it encour ages excessive spending and waste. Furthermore, since I, as President, do not have a line-item veto, I had to ignore the many objectionable features of the omnibus appropriations legislation and sign it to avoid a Federal funding crisis. I am sure that many Members of Congress do not approve of this method of budgeting the Federal Government. Last Fall's funding crisis and its slap-dash resolution are only one of the most obvious manifestations of the flaws in the system. Congress passes budget resolutions (without the concurrence of the President) based on functions; it considers 13 separate, but related, appropriations bills based on agencies, not functions; it develops a reconciliation bill; it passes authorizing legislation, sometimes an nually; and it enacts limits on the public debt. The words alone are obscure and confusing; the process behind it is chaotic. The process must be streamlined and made more accountable. Shortly, I will outline specific reforms designed to make the process more efficient and increase accountability, so that we can give the American people what they deserve from us: a budget that is fiscally responsible and on time. CONCLUSION Looking back over the past 6 years, we can feel a sense of pride and satisfaction in our accomplishments. Inflation has been brought under control. Growth and investment are up, while inter est rates, tax rates, and unemployment rates have all come down substantially. A foundation for sustained economic expansion is now in place. Our national security has been restored to more adequate levels. The proliferation of unnecessary and burdensome Federal regulations has been halted. A significant beginning has been made toward curbing the excessive growth of domestic spend ing. Management of the Government is being improved, with spe cial emphasis on productivity. Important tasks, however, still remain to be accomplished. The large and stubbornly persistent budget deficit has been a major source of frustration. It threatens our prosperity and our hopes for continued economic growth. Last year, the legislative and executive branches of Government responded to this threat by mandating gradual, orderly progress toward a balanced budget over the next 4 years. The proposals outlined here achieve the 1988 target while preserving legitimate M-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 programs for the aged and needy, providing for adequate national security, devoting more resources to other high-priority activities, and doing this without raising taxes. This budget presents hard choices which must be faced squarely. Congress must not abandon the statutory deficit targets of GrammRudman-Hollings. Honoring the provisions and promises of this legislation offers the best opportunity for us to escape the chronic pattern of deficit spending that has plagued us for the past half century. We must realize that the deficit problem is also an oppor tunity of a different kind—an opportunity to construct a new, leaner, better focused, and better managed Federal structure sup porting a more productive and more competitive America. Ronald Reagan January 5, 1987 PART 2 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-1 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES The President’s budget for 1988 proposes further reduction in the deficit while maintaining Federal support for the core functions of Government. In particular, this budget: • meets the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings 1988 deficit target of $108 billion—a reduction of $65 billion in 1988, following a reduction of $48 billion in 1987; • avoids increasing the Nation’s tax burden; • reflects bipartisan consensus to protect social security; • provides 3 percent real growth in funding for national de fense, that is, 3 percent real growth above the 1987 appropri ated level; and • reforms, reduces, or terminates an assortment of programs, saving taxpayers $19 billion in 1988 alone. PRESIDENT’S 1988 BUDGET (In billions of dollars) 1986 1992 1987 1988 842.4 1,015.6 -173.2 916.6 1,024.3 -107.8 976.2 1,069.0 -92.8 1,048.3 1,107.8 -59.5 1,123.2 1,144.4 -21.3 1,191.2 1,178.9 12.3 -144.0 -108.0 -72.0 -36.0 0.0 0.0 73.3 25.8 +47.5 74.2 8.8 + 65.4 59.6 44.6 + 15.0 72.1 38.8 + 33.3 74.9 36.6 +38.2 68.1 34.5 +33 .6 1989 1990 1991 Totals: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 769.1 Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 989.8 Deficit or surplus.. .. .. .. .. .. . -220.7 Gramm-Rudman-Hollings targets.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -171.9 Year-to-Year Changes: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deficit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 35.0 43.5 -8.5 As a share of gross national product (GNP), the proposed reduc tion in the deficit is dramatic—from 5.3 percent of GNP in 1986 to just 2.3 percent in 1988. The President’s budget calls for holding the outlay increase to $9 billion, from $1,016 billion in 1987 to $1,024 billion in 1988. After adjustment for inflation, spending would decline in real terms. The $9 billion increase in proposed outlays reflects the net impact of: 2-2 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-3 • an increase of $2 billion for net interest payments; • an increase of $11 billion for social security benefits under existing law; • an increase of $15 billion in spending for national defense; • an increase of $1 billion for major medical programs; and • a net decrease of $21 billion for other Federal spending. This decrease reflects the net impact of increased revenues from asset sales, privatization initiatives, and user fees—a total of $13 billion—as well as a wide variety of programmatic in creases and decreases. The following sections describe the major budget proposals by programmatic category. Social security, national defense, major medical, and the category of other mandatory programs are dis cussed separately from domestic discretionary programs. Spending for mandatory programs is determined largely by the number of individuals or businesses that meet eligibility and benefit criteria established by law. Funding for national defense and domestic discretionary programs is determined by authorizations and appro priations, rather than by benefit criteria in substantive legislation. Domestic discretionary programs are described in three broad groupings—economic subsidies and development, social programs, and general government functions (including the conduct of inter national affairsL The discussion of programmatic changes is fol lowed by a discussion of the proposed changes in revenues from the sale of assets, the collection of user fees, and other sources. Sum mary tables on these categories are provided at the end of this chapter. PROGRAMMATIC CHANGES Social Security,—The administration proposes no changes in social security benefits. Approximately one in every six Americans is a social security beneficiary. The average benefit for a retired worker and spouse will be about $10,000 in 1987—an increase of approximately $265 per month (or nearly $3,200 per year) over the 1981 level. Benefits will continue to increase as new retirees re ceive higher benefits based on higher average wages. Nearly all Americans participate in the social security program, either by receiving benefits or by paying payroll taxes that finance them. Primarily because benefits will increase by the change in the consumer price index and a growing number of beneficiaries, out lays for social security benefits are estimated to increase from $205 billion in 1987 to $217 billion in 1988. National Defense,—Defense budget authority levels declined in real terms in both 1986 and 1987. The 1987 appropriated amount is now 6 percent below that for 1985. In those years, Congress cut $65 2-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 billion from administration requests, with reductions in both oper ations and investment programs. As a result, the rebuilding of our national security capabilities has been delayed, and in the end may prove more costly. Fewer aircraft, missiles, and ships are being purchased than is prudent. There is less investment in ammuni tion, in war reserve stocks, and in the development of systems that will provide new capabilities. Fewer resources are available for combat readiness. Specific congressionally mandated reductions in the President’s budget request over the past 2 years include: • a 65 percent cut in Peacekeeper strategic missiles—a reduc tion of 45 missiles from a 2-year request of 69 missiles; • a 30 percent cut in funding for the Strategic Defense Initia tive—a reduction of $2.8 billion from a 2-year request of $9.3 billion; • a 27 percent cut in a variety of tactical missiles—a reduction of 14,000 from a 2-year request of over 53,000 missiles; • a 9 percent cut in tactical fighter aircraft—a reduction of 73 F-15, F-16, and F-18 aircraft, from a 2-year request of 834 aircraft; • a cut of 14 percent in funding for spare parts for aircraft—a cut of $1.9 billion out of a total request of $13.4 billion; and • a cut of 17,000 in active duty military strength from levels requested in 1986 and 1987. To meet the most critical unmet needs resulting from the 2-year decline in real defense budget authority levels, the administration proposes a 1987 supplemental appropriation of $2.8 billion to be followed by sustained moderate real growth of about 3 percent annually. The amounts requested are those minimally necessary to maintain national security and to allow the consolidation of real gains in military strength made in this administration. The budget resumes improvements in the capabilities of strategic and conventional forces but at a slower rate than originally planned. Because of severe fiscal constraints, the budget accepts certain risks in reducing the rate of force improvements. Procure ment is being stretched out for several major ground forces sys tems—including the Abrams tank, the Bradley Fighting Vehicle, and the Blackhawk helicopter. Similarly, ship procurement is being delayed—in 1988 only 16 ships are funded rather than the 24 projected in last year’s budget. The goal of achieving 40 Air Force tactical wings has been reduced to 37 wings. Increased Efficiencies.—To maximize the benefits of defense spending, the administration is making every effort to increase the efficiency and productivity of the defense program. For example, to improve the acquisition process, the Department of Defense is car rying out key recommendations of the President’s Blue Ribbon BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-5 Commission on Defense Management (i.e., the Packard Commis sion). The President recently appointed a new Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition with responsibility for setting acquisition policies governing procurement, research and development, and contract administration. The budget reflects several specific efforts to reduce costs. These include: legislation to revise thresholds for applying the DavisBacon and related acts (discussed in the general government sec tion below), which cover Federal construction contracts, and the Service Contract Act, which covers Federal service contracts; and recovery of excess pension costs included in prior contracts and reducing current pension costs to reflect recent changes in the financial position of pension funds. The Department also intends to recover an equitable share of excess pension assets that become available when companies terminate their current plans and sub stitute annuity plans. Very importantly, the Department plans to increase competition for defense contracts. In 1984 and 1985, the Department saved an estimated $4.8 billion from competition in shipbuilding and acquisi tion of spare parts. Further savings are anticipated from a greater proportion of defense procurement being subject to competition, and from competition on work now done by Government civilian employees that might be performed by private contractors. The administration is also proposing two other projects to im prove conditions for service men and women and their families, as well as to reduce costs. The first is a plan to collect, on a test basis, nominal fees for outpatient medical care provided to non-activeduty patients to determine whether such fees can reduce costs and improve the quality of care in military medical facilities. The second is a test, in a limited area, of whether the private sector can manage efficiently the operations of commissaries now run by the military. Under this plan, commissary privileges would remain the same for service members. If the private sector can run the com missaries more efficiently than the military, however, then services and costs for the military members would improve, and the costs to taxpayers would decline. Finally, in keeping with the recommendation of the President’s Commission on Defense Management and as required by the 1986 Defense Authorization Act, the administration is proposing a 2year national defense budget. Favorable response by Congress should lead to enhanced program planning and execution, and more stability at the operational level where commanders and program managers carry out mandated policy. Major Medical Programs.—Since 1960, Americans’ per capita spending on health care has increased rapidly—more than three times faster than the rate of inflation. Americans now spend 10.7 2-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 HEALTH COSTS AS PERCENT OF GNP, 1975-1984 YEAR • AUSTRALIA. CANADA, FRANCE, WEST GERMANY, fTAU, JAPAN, NETHERLANDS, AND UNTIED MNGDOM percent of GNP on medical care, more than any other industrial ized nation. Federal health spending has also continued to grow rapidly, despite major policy reforms enacted since 1981. Federal spending for health care is growing even faster than medical spending generally and will more than double in this decade unless present trends are reversed. Health care costs are growing far more rapidly than can be explained by inflation or by the aging of the population. In the first half of the 1980s, medicare expenditures increased an average of 9.7 percent per year more than general inflation. During the same period, the elderly population increased only 2.2 percent annually, and there were many medical advances that decreased (as well as increased) the cost of care. Americans spend more per capita on health than citizens in any other industrialized nation—28 percent more than in Canada, 52 percent more than in West Germany, and 100 percent more than in Japan. Justifiably, the Nation can be proud of the quality of its health care system. Nevertheless, the other major industrialized nations have achieved a high degree of overall health care—as indicated by their citizens’ having virtually the same average life expectancy. BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-7 Rising medical costs have been cited as a factor in the declining international competitiveness of many industries. During the last decade, the competitive burden of health care costs on American industry has doubled, widening the gap between the U.S. and its major trade competitors. More efficient use of health resources would not diminish the quality of health care, but, as shown by the experience of major international competitors, would free the Na tion’s resources for other productive efforts. Without substantial health spending reform, America’s competi tive position will continue to erode. The Nation’s businesses, which pay for most health care in the U.S. through payroll taxes and fringe benefits, have recognized the urgent need for reform. They have brought competitive market principles to the health care system, promoting among other reforms the wider use of health maintenance organizations (HMOs), i.e., a single institution that is responsible for all of an individual’s health care. So, too, must Federal health spending be brought under control. Medicare,—By far the largest Federal health program is medi care. Medicare’s prospective payment system (PPS) has curbed hos pital spending, which increased only 2.0 percent between 1985 and 1986 after almost doubling from 1980 to 1985. In contrast, spending on physician services grew 8.5 percent between 1985 and 1986, even though the number of beneficiaries grew only 2 percent and hospi tal admissions actually declined by 2 percent. And this occurred during a congressionally imposed freeze on physician charges! The budget includes urgently needed medicare reforms that will restrain the rapid growth in Federal health spending and, in turn, will help improve the Nation’s competitive position. The principle of capitation—paying a fixed, predetermined price for health serv ices—would be expanded in medicare and medicaid, replacing the inflationary incentives inherent in cost reimbursement. By creat ing incentives for the efficient delivery of quality care, capitation and other reforms can bring to Federal programs the same efficien cies realized by employers and private insurers. This budget pro poses that medicare payments to physicians whose practices are based in hospitals—radiologists, anesthesiologists, and pathologists (RAPs)—be incorporated in the set price for each procedure, provid ing incentives for hospitals and these physicians to provide quality care at lower costs. The role of capitation in bringing greater efficiencies to the provision of services paid for by medicare would also be enhanced by encouraging HMOs to participate in medicare and by promoting the development of preferred provider organizations (PPOs). A pri vate sector innovation, PPOs lower costs by contracting only with efficient providers. 2-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Under the budget, medicare payments for hospital capital costs would become part of the hospital's fixed, predetermined price per admission (depending on the patient's diagnosis). This reform would reverse the inflationary incentives of the current system, which rewards hospitals for building excess capacity even though one out of every three hospital beds currently is empty. Prospective payment for capital costs would give hospitals the incentive to allocate resources efluiently and to restrain escalations in costs. However, consistent with provisions of the Omnibus Budget Recon ciliation Act of 1986. capital reforms would not reduce medicare spending in 1988. Revenue proposals would restrain spiraling health care costs by increasing medicare premiums to 35 percent of supplementary medical insurance costs for new enrollees and extending medicare coverage to the minority of State and local employees that are not already covered (most of whom are eligible for medicare benefits). Medicaid.—The Federal Government's second largest medical program—medicaid—has grown 10 percent per year since 1980. The administration proposes an optional capitation demonstration program with fiscal incentives for States to place medicaid benefici aries into HMOs. For the initial years of each new State-initiated capitation program, the Federal matching rate would be in creased—as an incentive and to aid States during transition. To qualify for a demonstration, a State program would have to capi tate all eligible beneficiaries in a particular geographic area—such as a county—and must have certain provisions that protect quality of care and access to care. In particular, in spite of not having a choice of reimbursement system, beneficiaries would be guaranteed freedom-of-choice of provider. Finally, the administration reproposes the institution of a rea sonable limit in the growth of Federal medicaid payments to States. Federal payments would be limited to $1 billion below projected outlays in 1988 and then be allowed to grow at the rate of the medical consumer price index. Federal Employees Health Benefits (FEHB).—The FEHB program is the world's largest multiple-choice health plan. The administra tion proposes that the formula used to determine the Government's contribution to enrollees' health premiums be changed to a weight ed average that reflects the premiums of all FEHB plans and the distribution of enrollees among those plans. Currently, this contri bution is based on a simple average of the high-option coverage offered by six of the largest plans. The limitations of this outdated formula prevent it from reflecting the recent shift of enrollees from high-option to low-option coverage and the dramatic growth in the number of FEHB plans. The proposed formula would reflect these BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-9 OUTLAYS FOR MAJOR MEDICAL PROGRAMS* $ BtLUONS • INCUDES MEDICARE. MEDICAID. FEDERAL EMPLOYEE HEALTH BENEFITS. HOSPITAL AND MEDICAL CARE FOR VETERANS. AND INDIAN HEALTH CARL and other changes in the FEHB program, providing more equitable cost sharing between the Government and its employees. Veterans Medical Care.—Adequate medical care for America’s disabled and needy veterans is one of the Nation’s highest prior ities. The administration’s proposal for Veterans Administration (VA) medical care provides ample resources to meet this objective. No-cost care would be provided to all service-disabled veterans who request it, as well as to former prisoners of war and veterans exposed to certain toxic substances and radiation. No-cost care would also be provided to veterans of wars prior t'l World War II and those receiving VA pensions. Among other veterans, funding would be provided for no-cost care for all earning less than $25,000 per year (for a veteran with one dependent; $20,000 for a single veteran); funding would not be provided for the care of those whose annual incomes exceed these levels. The administration believes that as a rule when veterans’ illnesses are completely unrelated to their military service and they are financially able to provide for their own health care, they should do so. This policy will allow the VA to concentrate its efforts on serv ice-disabled veterans and those least able to finance the cost of their own health care. It carries out the Veterans Health Care 2-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Amendments of 1986, which established the current set of eligibil ity criteria for veterans’ health care. The VA may, however, con tinue to furnish care to non-service disabled veterans with incomes above $25,000 in locations where resources remain available. Within the $10 billion requested in 1988 for veterans’ medical care, VA expects to fund 20.4 million outpatient visits. In addition, 1.3 million hospital in-patients will be treated by the VA, and almost 83,000 nursing home patients will be treated through VAfunded nursing home care—an increase of almost 3,000 nursing care patients over the number treated in 1987. Conclusion.—As the chart on the previous page reveals, under current services major medical expenditures are projected to in crease by 54 percent during the period 1988 through 1992. Howev er, adjusting for the increase in the expected number of benefici aries and general inflation, expenditures should have to rise by only 27 percent to maintain the same level of resources per benefi ciary. Without some kind of reforms, expenditures would rise at twice the rate that would appear warranted. The proposals out lined above would increase real expenditures per beneficiary by 1 percent per year while lowering the overall increase during the next 5 years to 36 percent. This difference is hardly a trifle; it would save taxpayers $7.2 billion in 1988 and $65.8 billion during the period 1988 through 1992. Other Mandatory Programs.—This category includes farm price supports, deposit insurance, Federal employee retirement, unem ployment compensation, food and nutrition assistance, and other income maintenance programs, including those for veterans. The runaway growth in Government spending of the 1970s was in part a product of the unchecked expansion of outlays for these pro grams. Outlays for this category doubled in real terms between 1970 and 1981. With the major exception of agriculture price sup ports, constant-dollar outlays for this category have all but stabi lized since 1981. The administration proposes no cuts in the benefit levels for supplemental security income, veterans compensation, and food stamps. For some “other mandatory” programs, however, the ad ministration proposes carefully targeted reforms to make the system more equitable and to reduce unnecessary costs. Farm pro grams must be modified to target payments better and to encour age market-oriented planting decisions. The old civil service retire ment system should be put on equal standing with the newly established Federal employee retirement system. Means-tested enti tlements should be reformed to focus on genuine need and on reducing administrative expenses. BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-11 Restructure Farm Price Supports.—The administration will pro pose legislation to modify farm commodity price support programs in order to solve the farm program problems once and for all. In the past 5 years, spending on farm programs has increased by over sixfold—rising from $4 billion in 1981 to $25.8 billion in 1986. This $25.8 billion would amount to an average payment of more than $16,000 to each of the 1.6 million farm families if made directly. It would be enough to pay almost $42,000 to each of the 619,000 commercial sized farms in the U.S. In comparison, in calen dar year 1985 U.S. median family income was $27,735. On average, each nonfarm family spent more than $425 in 1986 to support farm prices and incomes. Despite this enormous commitment of resources, economic condi tions in agriculture are not good, in large part because of contra dictory and counterproductive farm programs. This situation is untenable and must be changed. Farm programs base certain direct payments and price support loans on the volume of crops produced, so that higher production leads to higher Federal benefits. Consequently, farmers overpro duce, which causes commodity prices to decline. Because current crop programs are designed to support farm income when prices decline, this overproduction generates ever-increasing Federal sup port. In addition, too much Federal money goes to a relatively small proportion of farmers—and those tend to be the owners of the largest and most efficient farms. In 1985, two-thirds of American farmers did not receive price supports. Of the one-third of Ameri can farmers who did receive direct assistance, one-fifth—with annual sales of over $100,000—received almost 70 percent of the payments. Moreover, during 1986, 12 percent of those receiving subsidies for producing cotton received more than half the total payments, with some receiving millions of dollars; and during 1986, 50 of the largest rice producers received subsidies of over $1 million each. Finally, certain farm programs are directly counter to the Feder al Government’s international objectives and responsibilities. For example, the Government’s support for domestic sugar producers conflicts with the policy to encourage increased trade between the United States and the Philippines and certain Caribbean countries. The administration’s proposals will address the major shortcom ings of the 1985 farm bill but will retain that bill’s basic price support mechanisms. Outlay savings of $24 billion over the 19881992 period are projected to result from enactment of these propos als. Specifically, the administration’s proposed changes will modify farm programs to: 2-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 • remove the incentive for farmers to overproduce by decou pling program benefits from an obligation to harvest certain crops; • limit to $50,000 (instead of $250,000 under current law) the amount of Federal payments each farmer may receive; • close loopholes that make current payment limitations inef fective for a large number of farmers; and • reduce target prices by 10 percent per year in order to reduce incentives for farmers to overproduce, and to reduce the burden on the taxpayer. The administration will also seek changes in the counter-produc tive sugar program to make it more market-oriented while provid ing adjustment assistance to current program participants. Reform the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS).—A new Fed eral employee retirement system (FERS) was enacted in June 1986 for Federal employees hired on or after January 1, 1984. The FERS more closely parallels private sector practice, reducing the overly generous features still retained in the old civil service retirement system (CSRS) that covers most Federal employees. The budget proposes that retirement benefits under the existing CSRS program be brought in line with FERS by changing the way cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) are provided to annuitants. While only 3 percent of all private pensions are fully and automatically adjusted for inflation, the existing civil service system continues to have full indexation to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The administration’s proposal generally would limit future COLAs to the percentage change in the CPI minus 1 percent. This change would be identical to the COLA that will be granted under the new FERS system for employees retiring at age 62 and beyond. The administration is also seeking repeal of the lump sum with drawal provisions in both CSRS and FERS, which enable employ ees to withdraw all their contributions toward retirement in a lump sum at retirement. Indexing the Veterans Compensation COLA to the CPI.—The ad ministration proposes to link the veterans compensation COLA to the annual change in the CPI. The Veterans Administration com pensation program makes payments to 2.2 million veterans with service-connected disabilities and to 380 thousand survivors of vet erans who died due to service-connected conditions. The purpose of this proposal is to ensure that these veterans and survivors receive full and timely adjustments to their benefits—and that they be protected from the possible erosion of their benefits and the uncer tainties of an annually legislated COLA. BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-13 Improve the Self-Sufficiency of AFDC Recipients.—The adminis tration is proposing several changes designed to prevent and reduce welfare dependency in the aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) and child support enforcement programs. Under a new AFDC work and training proposal, teenage recipients will be encouraged to remain in or return to school; older recipients will participate in a variety of employment and training activities de signed to improve their employability, including job search, remedi al education, training under the Job Training Partnership Act, time-limited training directed at immediate employment, and other State-designed activities approved by the Secretary of the Depart ment of Health and Human Services. A proposal to require States to establish mandatory child support guidelines will also promote self-sufficiency and family stability. These guidelines will help ensure that single-parent families receive adequate support from parents who are absent from the home. Withhold Funds From States for Excessive Issuance of Food Stamp Benefits.—Over the past decade, substantial progress has been made by States in giving the proper food stamp benefits to those who lawfully deserve them. But State laxity, resulting in the over-issuance of food stamps, remains a large problem that costs taxpayers dearly. Actual State error rates for 1983 and 1984 (8.4 percent and 8.6 percent, respectively), and the estimated error rate for 1985 (8.4 percent), are too high and show no recent improve ment. In contrast, AFDC and medicaid State error rates are much lower (6.0 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively, in 1984). To date, only $1.3 million of approximately $100 million in outstanding State food stamp liabilities have been collected. This budget proposes to withhold from grants to States the value of their excessive food stamp issuance. As in medicaid, at the beginning of the fiscal year Federal grants to States would be adjusted for each State’s estimated erroneous payments above the national food stamp error tolerance rate of 5 percent. As States improve their benefit issuance systems and error rates fall, Federal withholdings would also fall. It is estimated the proposal would save $264 million in 1988. Target School Meal Subsidies to Low-Income Students.—The child nutrition programs give cash and commodity subsidies to institutions for meals served in schools, child care facilities, and other places. In 1987, schools and other institutions will receive $4.5 billion in Federal subsidies for meals served to 27.6 million students. Of that amount, $705 million will subsidize meals to 14.7 million students whose families earn more than 185 percent of the poverty level—approximately $20,350 per year for a family of four. 2-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The administration proposes to maintain Federal nutrition subsi dies to institutions for meals served to children from families with incomes below 185 percent of the poverty level, but discontinue subsidies for students from families with incomes above that level. Under the administration’s proposals, nearly 13 million needy chil dren will receive federally subsidized meals in 1988, for total budget authority of $4 billion. But by limiting the subsidy to those who need it most, savings of nearly $757 million will be realized. Economic Subsidies and Development—This category covers dis cretionary programs for science and space, energy, natural re sources and the environment, agricultural research and services, commerce and housing credit, transportation, community and re gional development, and subsidies for health professions. Many programs in these areas should be and are being increased, includ ing those that improve the safety and efficiency of the national airspace system, address the acid rain issue, and encourage invest ments in science and technology that over the longer run will enhance America’s competitiveness. Other programs no longer war rant current levels of Federal support. Many reward inefficient private activities, and much of the State and local development funded by the Federal Government is more appropriately financed directly by these governments or by the private sector. Discussed below are the major changes for these programs proposed in this budget. Improve the National Airspace System.—The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) operates and maintains the national air space system and provides funds to the Nation’s airports to ensure the safe and efficient movement of the Nation’s air traffic. For these activities, the administration proposes a 20 percent increase in budget authority—from $4.8 billion in 1987 to $5.8 billion in 1988. Most of this increase would be used to modernize our Na tion’s airspace system, for which the administration proposes a 68 percent increase in budget authority—from $805 million in 1987 to $1,350 million in 1988. Among other activities, these funds would be used to finance the advanced automation system, precision land ing systems, improved surveillance radar and communications equipment, and weather radars designed to detect potentially deadly wind shears. The airport improvement program is proposed to be funded at $1,017 million in budget authority in 1988, slightly more than the $1,000 million made available for obligation in 1987. Airports that can be self-financing would be allowed to withdraw from the Feder al grant program and to assess their own local passenger facility charges, in addition to landing and other fees they currently assess. This change would give these airports more discretion in their BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-15 capital investment programs. In addition, 27 percent of the Federal grant funds would be turned over to the States to administer, thereby allowing greater State involvement in funding general aviation and small commercial service airports. Large commercial service airports that remain in the Federal program would contin ue to receive grants directly from the FAA. Discretionary grants would be channeled primarily into projects to increase airport ca pacity nationwide and to improve airport safety. The administration also proposes a 17 percent increase for FAA operations. This would increase budget authority from $2.8 billion appropriated in 1987 to $3.2 billion in 1988. Among other items, this will permit increases in the controller workforce from a mini mum of 15,000 to a minimum of 15,225 and increases in the safety inspection workforce from 2,020 to 2,198. Increase Efforts To Resolve the Acid Rain Issue.—In March 1985, the President and the Prime Minister of Canada requested a full report by the Special Envoys on the acid rain issue. In 1986, the President and the Prime Minister endorsed the Envoys’ Report. As a first step in carrying out the Envoys’ recommendations, the Department of Energy committed $400 million that already had been appropriated to share costs with the private sector for nine clean coal technology demonstration projects at an estimated total cost of just under $1 billion. Over the period 1981 to 1985, the administration committed over $2 billion to clean coal technology research and development. From 1986 to 1992, the administration proposes an additional $1 billion for clean coal research. The administration proposes an additional $350 million in spend ing over 5 years for new clean coal technology demonstration projects, with at least as much funding to be provided by industry. These additional demonstrations are in response to the recommen dations in the Envoys’ Report. The amounts proposed in this budget to address the acid rain issue do not include the funds being spent by non-Federal sources. States such as Ohio, Illinois, and New York are allocating approximately $300 million, and the utili ty industry’s Electric Power Research Institute is investing more than $300 million over the next four years to develop clean coal technologies. Additional funds are being provided by other private sources. Together, the Federal and non-Federal investments begin ning in 1986 constitute a national effort exceeding $5 billion in research, development, and demonstration of new technologies. The administration also will continue to press forward its re search program to resolve the scientific uncertainties regarding the cause and effect of acid rain. The Government-wide acid rain re search task force has received more than $300 million through 1987. An additional $86 million is requested in 1988, and another $170 million is anticipated for 1989 through 1990. 2-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Finally, the President has instructed the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to determine whether the current Clean Air Act can be used to promote the implementation of innovative ways of reducing those pollutants that are thought to cause acid rain (e.g., emissions of sulfur dioxide). The Administra tor’s report is scheduled to be completed early in 1987. The United States has reduced the emission of sulfur dioxide by almost 30 percent since 1973 under the current clean air program at a cost of $45 to $50 billion, and further emission reductions are projected to occur through 1995 under current law. It is critical to know with a significant degree of confidence the environmental effects of any further new emission reduction ef forts, because such efforts will be extremely expensive for the American people. Estimates of the costs of programs now under consideration, using existing technology, range between $3 billion and $9 billion per year and could affect adversely up to 80,000 jobs in mining and related industries. These costs would have to be borne by Americans who use electricity and by manufacturers who use fossil fuels. Before assuming a commitment to bear such costs, the American people should be assured that there will be sufficiently positive environmental effects, and should know, with some degree of cer tainty, the extent and location of those effects. To the extent possi ble, ways must be found to reduce the tremendous costs of such control efforts. The program funded in this budget moves toward these objectives. Restore America's Competitiveness.—The ability of the Nation to meet global competition, to provide for national security, and to improve the quality of life for all citizens depends in part upon national investments in science and technology. The Nation’s future position in global markets will depend upon: • the allocation of national resources to the generation of new knowledge; and • the effective and timely transfer of this new knowledge to specific applications. To satisfy these needs, the administration proposes continued increases in federally supported basic research, including: • an increase of about 18 percent in funding for basic research for the National Science Foundation and a doubling of its budget by 1992; • an increase of about 22 percent in basic research activities of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, includ ing the initiation of two new science and technology pro grams; and BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-17 • an increase of about 15 percent for the general science pro grams of the Department of Energy, permitting better use of basic research facilities. Support for basic research, particularly at universities, is a key factor in generating sufficient new knowledge to ensure continued technological innovation. The Federal Government traditionally has assumed a key role in the support of basic research, because the private sector has insufficient incentives to invest in this area. Federal support for basic scientific research is estimated to in crease by 76 percent between 1982 and 1988—an average rate of growth of nearly 10 percent annually. All this is in recognition of the critical importance of basic research in universities to the welfare of U.S. citizens and our international competitiveness. With the increased level of support of basic research proposed for 1988, interdisciplinary research will receive special emphasis. Basic research among several disciplines often leads to the creation of important new fields of science. The administration proposes to establish between 5 and 10 new interdisciplinary basic science and technology centers through the National Science Foundation, mod eled after the existing engineering research centers. These new centers will focus on basic research among scientific disciplines and will attract and encourage substantial participation by industry and the States to speed the transfer of new knowledge from the laboratory to the marketplace. A second key element in the continued leadership of the U.S. in science and industry is the future availability of high-quality scien tists and engineers. Academic basic research is a primary means to help expand the U.S. pool of trained scientists and engineers; this in turn helps to ensure, over the long term, the ability of the United States to compete in global markets. The administration proposes to increase the emphasis on research programs that would contribute to the development of such “human capital/’ This em phasis will be reflected in the new basic science and technology centers, and in a variety of ongoing programs of the National Science Foundation (NSF), including the engineering research cen ters, the advanced scientific computing centers, the graduate fel lowship program, and programs to improve student research and increase funds for scientific equipment at undergraduate institu tions. Increased support will also be provided for other NSF pro grams aimed at improving the quality of pre-college science and mathematics education. The Federal Government should also encourage the transfer to the private sector of technology and new knowledge created in Federal laboratories. New knowledge generated through research and development in Federal laboratories is of little use unless that knowledge is made available to the private sector to permit the 2-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 marketplace to make economically efficient choices. To achieve this end, there will be increased Federal efforts to transfer the results of federally supported research and development both through greater use of incentives for federally employed scientists and engi neers and through the exchange of scientists and engineers be tween Government and industry. Finally, the administration proposes to strengthen the Nation’s “leading edge” technologies to meet other national needs. Exam ples include: • initiation of a new civil space technology initiative, together with previously planned funding increases to deploy the space station, develop the national aerospace plane, and foster the commercial development of space; • the Strategic Defense Initiative, and associated Department of Defense initiatives involving strategic computing and very high speed integrated circuits; and • support for cooperative research and development ventures by the Department of Energy to encourage greater private sector participation in fossil, solar, and energy conservation research and development. Increase the Number of Subsidized Housing Units.—Housing vouchers continue to be the cornerstone of the administration’s housing policy. They are less expensive than new construction subsidies and benefit tenants by giving them more freedom of choice about where they live. For 1988, the administration is pro posing to provide 102,000 additional households with subsidies— twice the level proposed in 1987. Most are vouchers: 79,000 funded through the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and 20,000 through the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA). The other 3,000 subsidized units include new construction of housing specifically for Indians and for the elderly and handi capped. With the exception of the Indian and elderly/handicapped housing units, this budget envisions no other commitments for new housing construction in FmHA or HUD. Another 1,700 vouchers are being proposed in 1988 for those tenants currently living in HUD or FmHA projects. To prevent economic hardship or displacement resulting from higher rents that may occur when project owners prepay their mortgages, exist ing tenants would be provided vouchers that they could use either in the project or elsewhere. The administration also proposes a series of reforms in the sec tion 8 program for existing housing to increase the similarity be tween section 8 certificates and vouchers. Both the section 8 exist ing and voucher programs rely on the private market to supply rental units. However, the section 8 program is more restrictive than the voucher program since section 8 tenants must occupy only BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-19 units that rent for less than the HUD-established “fair market rent.” In addition, section 8 tenants must pay 30 percent of their income for rent and therefore receive no benefit from renting a lower cost (but acceptable quality) unit. Voucher recipients have more freedom to choose the kind of housing they prefer, as well as access to more neighborhoods than households that use the current version of section 8 certificates. The 1988 budget reforms would give the section 8 program participants the same freedom of choice and access to housing as voucher recipients. A demonstration project is also proposed to test ways of promot ing more housing choices for both public housing tenants and voucher holders. Public housing tenants will be given vouchers to use for public housing or for the private rental market. Voucher holders, including individuals not currently residing in public hous ing, could use their vouchers to live in public housing. Public housing would thus become an integral part of the community’s overall housing supply. Set Federal Highway Funding Equal to User Fee Receipts.—High way construction and repair on the 834,000-mile Federal-aid high way system is financed by Federal highway user fees in combina tion with State and local funds. The administration proposes to set annual Federal highway spending equal to the average annual amount of user fee receipts, excluding interest, deposited in the highway trust fund. This approach is necessary, because in recent years highway program authorizations have exceeded annual user fee collections and hence have contributed to the deficit. Consolida tion of several Federal-aid programs, together with provisions to increase the flexibility States have in spending these funds, would improve the abilities of States to meet highway needs. Limit the Federal Role in Mass Transit Funding and Distribute Funds More Appropriately.—The Federal Government assists States and localities with their mass transit programs through grants for capital and operating expenses. These grants are fi nanced in part by a dedicated source of funding from a share of motor fuel tax receipts. These funds currently provide financial assistance for selected capital and planning projects, at the discre tion of the Secretary of Transportation (though often directed by Congress). The return on the taxpayer’s investment on many of these projects has been low. For example: • In 1973 Detroit estimated that its automated people mover would cost $30 million to build. It is now estimated that the people mover will cost $210 million to build and will attract no more than 15,000 riders daily—far fewer than the 37,000 originally projected. 2-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 • In 1969 the 63rd Street tunnel on Manhattan’s East Side was projected to cost $245 million. By 1985, when further Federal financing was suspended, the cost had risen to $800 million, with only 1,700 passengers expected to use the tunnel each day. After almost 17 years of construction, the tunnel remains unfinished. • In Miami, a $1 billion transit investment carries only onetenth of the ridership originally estimated to justify the project. The bus riders of Miami have endured higher fares and reduced service because current transit funds have been diverted to the rail system. Moreover, the administration seeks a more appropriate distribu tion of this dedicated source of transit funding. Currently, 83 per cent of these funds benefit fewer than 20 cities. The administration is proposing that these funds, which are collected in every State, be allocated by formula to States and local agencies. Because benefits derived from mass transit accrue primarily to localities, and because the Federal deficit is so high (among other reasons), the administration advocates increased financial partici pation by States and localities in federally subsidized projects. The administration’s proposal would eliminate discretionary grants for new transit systems because they encourage investment in ineffi cient and expensive systems. The Federal role in transit would be limited to management and allocation of the dedicated penny tax for transit, with no further funding of transit from general funds (except for the Washington, D.C. system, which is separately au thorized). Moreover, the proposal includes an increased local match on Federal funds from 20 percent to 50 percent. Terminate Costly and Unjustified Electrification and Telephone Subsidies.—The Rural Electrification Administration (REA) pro gram has gone far beyond its original purpose of making loans available to cooperatives to provide electricity and telephone serv ice to rural areas. Recipients of subsidized REA loans today include electric cooperatives serving prosperous urban or suburban areas of cities such as Washington, D.C., Atlanta, Houston, Minneapolis, and Denver. Loans are also used to provide electric service to exclusive recreation communities, such as ski resorts in Vail, Aspen, and Steamboat Springs, Colorado, as well as other resorts in Myrtle Beach, Kiawah Island, and Hilton Head Island in South Carolina. In addition, REA has provided loans to telephone borrow ers that are subsidiaries of large multi-million dollar holding com panies with excellent credit ratings. When the REA was established in 1935, only 12 percent of the farms in the country received electricity; today over 99 percent of farms have electric service. In 1949 the REA act was amended to bring telephone service to rural areas; today over 95 percent of BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-21 farms have telephones. The REA’s original mission is complete, and reforms to the loan subsidy programs are needed. The administration proposes to terminate the costly existing sub sidized direct loan program (5 percent interest), the 100 percent REA guaranteed Federal Financing Bank (FFB) loans, and the subsidized Rural Telephone Bank lending to electric cooperatives and telephone companies. To ensure continued credit availability, most borrowers will be eligible for a new program of privately originated loans with an REA guarantee of 70 percent of the loan principal. Electric and telephone borrowers serving largely urban, suburban, or recreation areas and most telephone borrowers who are subsidiaries of larger holding companies would no longer be eligible for any REA assistance starting in 1988. Moreover, to encourage privatization, the administration is proposing that any borrower with existing REA loans outstanding have an opportunity to prepay all loans without a prepayment premium or at a discount determined by the Administrator if the borrower agrees not to seek REA assistance again. Fill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at 35,000 Barrels per Day.— The strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) is a Government stockpile of crude oil to supplement the market in the event of a severe disrup tion in world oil supplies. The administration is proposing to con tinue development and fill of the reserve at the current rate of 75,000 barrels per day during 1987, but to reduce the rate to 35,000 barrels per day in 1988. This proposal is consistent with the admin istration’s support for development of a 750 million barrel reserve and continues to preserve the Nation’s energy security. By the end of 1987, SPR will contain 534 million barrels of crude oil. This amount is equal to over 100 days of 1986 net U.S. imports from all countries, nearly 200 days of imports from all OPEC countries, and 20 months of imports from the Persian Gulf. This level of the SPR more than meets U.S. obligations to the Interna tional Energy Agency. In view of the more than 10 million barrels per day of surplus oil production capacity in the world, the 350 million barrels of stocks under the control of other major import ing nations’ governments, and the stocks contained in the private sector, there is no need to fill SPR at the 75,000 barrel daily rate, at a yearly extra cost of more than $225 million. Reduce or Eliminate Unnecessary Subsidies for Energy Technolo gy.—The Department of Energy now supports technology research and development in renewable energy, fossil energy, and energy conservation. The administration proposes a reduction of $269 mil lion in funding for spending in this area—a reduction of more than 40 percent from the 1987 enacted level of $625 million. This reduc tion reflects the administration’s belief that the proper Federal 2-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 role is to support longer term, high-risk, or generic technologies. Most of the activities proposed for elimination are near-term or are subsidies that benefit primarily one company. Other activities pro posed for elimination are inordinately expensive compared to other options for achieving similar benefits, such as coal-fired magneto hydrodynamics. The administration also proposes to use Federal research and development funding more effectively by promoting the formation of industrial cooperative research and development ventures. Such ventures provide a mechanism to spread the costs, risks, and benefits of federally supported technology research and development more broadly. Constrain or Eliminate Community and Economic Development Programs for State and Local Governments.—In 1988, the adminis tration will continue its effort to concentrate Federal resources on national priorities and provide maximum opportunities for State and local governments to meet their own local community and development needs. Shifting responsibility for economic develop ment programs to the State and local levels brings both economic development funding and priority decisions closer to the people. To achieve this, the administration proposes to eliminate a number of Federal categorical programs currently providing support for spe cific local community and economic projects. The comprehensive and more flexible community development block grants (CDBG) will be the principal vehicle for continued Federal support. The administration proposes to establish the CDBG program level at $2.6 billion for 1987 and 1988. Although this will be a reduction in total resources, the most needy communities will con tinue to receive adequate resources through legislation to target resources to such areas. Many communities with the resources to meet their own needs amply without Federal assistance—such as Cherry Hill, New Jersey, and Montgomery County, Maryland— currently receive Federal aid from this program. As part of the Government-wide effort to reduce unnecessary subsidies and excessive Federal intervention in the economic deci sions of private firms and individuals, the administration is propos ing termination and rescission of most of the 1987 appropriations of the urban development action grants (UDAG) program and the Economic Development Administration (EDA), and part of the 1987 appropriations of the Appalachian Regional Commission (ARC). These grant programs siphon productive resources from private investment projects to politically designed projects that may pro vide local benefits, but that are less efficient for the national economy as a whole. By approving awards for hotels in resort areas such as Stowe, Vermont, and Newport, Rhode Island, or for office buildings for major banks, the UDAG program is diverting precious capital from its best possible use. BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-23 The UDAG and EDA programs warrant termination because they have become tools through which the Congress provides “pork barrel” Federal funds for favored local areas, to the detriment of the overall national economy. In 1987 alone, for example, Congress used the EDA program to target $7.5 million for the renovation of stockyards in Fort Worth, Texas; $1 million for the improvement of a county road in Sumter County, Alabama; and $1 million for the renovation of a museum in Portland, Oregon. Phase Out EPA Sewage Treatment Grants.—The Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) sewage treatment grant program pro vides financial assistance to State and local governments for the construction of publicly owned sewage treatment systems. The ad ministration’s budget provides $2 billion each in 1987 and 1988 and declining amounts in future years as part of a major legislative proposal to phase out the program by 1994. In addition to the $47 billion already provided for this program between 1972 and 1985, the proposal provides $12 billion for the period 1986 through 1993. This amount is halfway between the $6 billion proposed in the administration’s 1987 budget and the $18 billion included in the Clean Water Act amendments of 1986, which was disapproved by the President at the close of the last Congress. The administration’s program fulfills the remaining Federal com mitment made in 1972 to help local governments finance the back log of needed improvement in their sewage treatment systems. By providing these funds through 1993, the proposal gives State and local governments a lengthy and stable period to reassume finan cial responsibility for this program. The Federal commitment will be limited strictly to assistance for construction of treatment facili ties and related appurtenances to ensure maximum environmental benefits and cost-effectiveness from the use of these remaining funds. Defer Land Acquisition for Recreation and Refuge Purposes.— The administration proposes that discretionary land acquisition for recreation and refuge purposes be deferred through 1992 except for wetlands acquired with Duck Stamp and other receipts collected under the Migratory Waterfowl Conservation Act. The Federal Government owns over 730 million acres of land—one-third of the Nation’s total land area. About 410 million of these acres are in the lower 48 States and 320 million acres are in Alaska. The total comprises an area more than 25 times the size of the State of Pennsylvania; the lower 48 State total alone is more than 14 times the size of that State. Most of this acreage is available for outdoor recreation. The budget includes funds for administering the acqui sitions in progress from prior year appropriations and for limited emergency acquisitions. 2-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Eliminate Extension Service Funds for Certain Directed Pro grams.—The Extension Service, created in 1914 to provide agricul ture and home economics instruction to the farm population, now provides free, non-means-tested social and economic services that would seem totally beyond the responsibility of the Federal Gov ernment. The administration proposes to reduce (but not eliminate) Federal funding for the Extension Service by terminating categori cal grants to States that are used for such programs as urban gardening, pest management, support for rural development cen ters, financial management, and food and nutrition education. These activities are either not essential activities of the Federal Government or are already partially carried out under the Exten sion Service formula grant program that is fully funded in this budget. States and localities can increase their allocations within their share of the Federal formula grants, their own contributions, and/or their pool of volunteers if they wish to offset some or all of the reduction in Federal categorical grants. Outlay savings for this proposal are estimated to be $518 million over the next 5 years. Terminate Small and Fragmented Conservation Assistance Pro grams.—The Federal Government provides several forms of conser vation cost-sharing assistance, including financial assistance for the construction of small watershed and flood prevention projects, con servation technical assistance to landowners, and soil and snow surveys. The administration is repeating its 1987 proposal to termi nate immediately the outdated conservation cost-sharing and wa tershed financial assistance programs. However, the administration continues funding for technical assistance, soil and snow surveys, and plant materials center programs. The existing array of small fragmented conservation assistance programs duplicates activities in the new conservation reserve pro gram, which has the same objective. Through this program, Feder al funds will subsidize the 10-year retirement of between 40 and 45 million acres of highly erodible cropland to less intensive use. The 5-year eligibility period for enrolling in this program began in 1986. The Federal Government will pay farmers a total of about $25 billion over the 15-year life of this new program to take these lands out of production and put them in permanent cover, while saving about $2.1 billion during the 1988-92 period by eliminating the former programs. Finally, the small watershed program is proposed for elimina tion. This program provides highly localized benefits and is com posed of small construction projects that landowners and local governments are able to finance without Federal assistance. Eliminate Subsidies for Most Health Professions.—Twenty-five years of Federal training subsidies for health professions have BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-25 resulted in a significant expansion of the supply of physicians and other health professionals. Initiated primarily to address perceived shortages of health professionals, the broad array of federally sub sidized institutional and student grant and loan programs have also helped improve the distribution of health care practitioners throughout medically underserved areas of the country. Since 1965, the number of professionals in every major health occupation has increased both in absolute number and relative to the population. For example, by 1985 there were 218 doctors for every 100,000 Americans, compared to 148 in 1965—a 48 percent increase. Be cause the supply of health professionals is now adequate (in fact, many disciplines are now in oversupply), direct Federal subsidies for clinical health professions training are no longer essential for most professional specialties. With projected outlay savings of $1,082 million between 1987 and 1992, the administration's proposal would eliminate funding for most health professions training subsidies administered by the De partment of Health and Human Services. Funding for family medi cine and geriatric training would continue. Federal contributions to health professions and nursing student loan funds, combined with the multi-billion dollar Department of Education and Department of Health and Human Services loan guarantee programs, have established a continuing foundation of Federal student aid for health professions training. These programs ensure access for all students who otherwise lack the resources to pursue an education in one of the health professions. In addition, the administration proposes unlimited, non-needs tested access to market rate student loans in certain guaranteed student loan programs. Terminate Remaining Economic Regulation of the Motor Carrier Industry and Related ICC Activities.—Legislative changes, begin ning in 1980, partially deregulated the surface transportation in dustry and reduced the Interstate Commerce Commission's (ICC) jurisdiction, workload, and staff. The administration proposes to terminate all remaining economic regulation of the motor carrier, freight forwarder, interstate water carrier, and bus industries. The ICC would close by October 1, 1987, with most railroad activities transferred to the Department of Transportation, except for anti trust matters, which would be transferred to the Department of Justice. Handling of consumer complaints regarding those who move household goods would be transferred to the Federal Trade Commission. Termination of the ICC reflects the administration's commitment to deregulation of the surface transportation industry, based on its strong belief that continued economic regulation im poses greater costs than benefits to the public. 2-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Social Programs.—The Federal Government supports a wide range of social programs involving education, training and employ ment, social services, health, and income support. This section discusses major administration initiatives that affect discretionary programs in these areas. For some programs, the administration is proposing increases, including research and education activities for acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), basic biomedical re search, and demonstration projects designed to help State and local governments provide for the homeless. Provide Major Increases for AIDS Research and Education.— Acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) remains the admin istration’s highest public health priority. The administration pro poses $534 million for the Department of Health and Human Serv ices (HHS) AIDS research and education programs in 1988—a 28 percent, or $118 million, increase over the 1987 level and more than twice the level for 1986. The administration also proposes to expand the discretion per mitted in its AIDS programs. Broadening the authority to transfer funds would expedite mid-year funding allocations for new re search and education opportunities that might emerge after sub mission of the budget. Permitting AIDS funds to be used over several years will reinforce efforts to develop the AIDS programs according to the best scientific judgment. These improvements will build upon administrative actions undertaken recently to improve the programs’ management. In addition, the administration pro poses $98 million for use by the Veterans Administration and the Department of Defense to screen for the AIDS antibody and to counsel and provide medical care for veterans with AIDS. Provide Stable Support for Basic Biomedical Research.—The ad ministration proposes to adopt a long-term policy of stable and sustainable support for basic biomedical research by seeking obligational authority of $5.8 billion for the National Institutes of Health (NIH) in 1987 and 1988. The 2-year total of $11.6 billion represents a 12 percent increase over the previous 2-year total of $10.4 billion. These funds would permit NIH to fund about 19,100 research project grants in 1987 and 1988, compared to about 18,800 funded in 1986. As part of the administration’s efforts to ensure long-term fund ing stability for NIH, the administration requests that Congress appropriate the full budget authority associated with multi-year NIH research project grant commitments incurred in 1988. Replac ing the current system, which funds new awards without regard to their full eventual cost, with a new policy of fully funding multi year commitments at the time they are incurred would eliminate grantees’ annual uncertainties over the level and timing of NIH BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-27 non-competing awards; allow NIH program managers to take ad vantage of rapidly emerging scientific opportunities; permit proper review and consideration of the total costs of funding additional project grants; and result in a more rational allocation of funds between NIH and other Federal priorities. Provide Assistance to the Homeless. —The administration believes the problem of the homeless is one characterized by intense person al suffering, but one not given to easy solutions. This administra tion responds to the problem of homelessness in several ways, including: • funding emergency needs for food and shelter; • directing that more efforts be made to ensure that the home less have access to entitlement programs, such as food stamps, supplemental security income, aid to families with dependent children, VA benefits, and social security; • encouraging States and local governments to use Federal grant funds, such as the community development block grant (CDBG) and the social services block grant, to assist the home less; for example, to date, more than $100 million of CDBG funds have been used to renovate and acquire buildings for use as emergency shelters for the homeless and for related services; • providing information and assistance to State and local gov ernments and private providers on Federal and other re sources available to help the homeless; • redirecting surplus Federal commodities and facilities to assist local groups in providing services to the homeless; and • conducting research and demonstration projects. (For exam ple, the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has issued 1,000 housing vouchers for use in a national demonstration for chronically mentally ill; vouchers are pro vided to the homeless in conjunction with health and other services supported by the private sector.) Thus the administration proposes to continue and expand efforts that benefit the homeless. Resources will be provided in 1987 and 1988 to establish a clearinghouse on the homeless in the Depart ment of Health and Human Services (HHS), which heads the Inter agency Task Force on the Homeless. The clearinghouse will serve as the Federal focal point for information and technical assistance, helping States and communities develop strategies and package resources available to help the homeless. The budget proposes to continue the emergency funds for feeding and housing the homeless for the Federal Emergency Management Agency at $80 million in 1988, to be distributed through a national board of major private charities. 2-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Additional initiatives are being taken. For example, $5 million in budget authority for the transitional housing demonstration project in HUD is requested for 1988. This program tests innovative ap proaches to providing shelter and supportive services for the home less. The budget also proposes to increase funding for the communi ty support program of State and local demonstrations sponsored by the Alcohol, Drug Abuse and Mental Health Administration in HHS. Budget authority is proposed to increase these grants from $15 million in 1987 to $20 million in 1988. This additional funding would be provided to complete demonstration projects targeted on mental health services for the homeless mentally ill. Limit the Federal Role in the Financing, Content, and Structure of Education Programs.—Education has always been and should remain primarily a State, local, and family responsibility. Al though the Federal Government plays an important role—particu larly for programs for the disadvantaged the handicapped, and others in special need of additional support—the administration seeks to reduce the current size of the Federal financial involve ment in education. In total, budget authority for Department of Education programs is proposed to be $14.0 billion for 1988. Major program proposals are described below. Handicapped and rehabilitation.—For these programs the budget allows for increases to offset inflation for the major State grants in 1987 and 1988. A significant increase over 1986 is provided in the preschool State grant. Reductions are requested in selected smaller programs in which the Federal investment exceeds legitimate pro gram needs. For example, reduced funding is sought for training because available data on personnel shortages do not support cur rent appropriation levels. The administration requests $2.9 billion for these programs—a reduction of $0.3 billion from the 1987 en acted level. Compensatory education.—For over 20 years, the Federal Govern ment has provided support to States and local school districts to operate compensatory (remedial) education programs for education ally disadvantaged children. About 4.8 million children receive services. The administration proposes $4.1 billion for these compen satory education programs for 1988—a $200 million increase over the 1987 appropriation. The budget will be accompanied by a legis lative proposal to revise and strengthen these programs, which are authorized under Chapter 1 of the Education Consolidation and Improvement Act. Adult education.—The administration requests $130 million for programs funded under the Adult Education Act—the central Fed eral program in the fight to reduce adult illiteracy. This 20 percent BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-29 increase over the 1987 enacted level will allow State and local agencies that operate adult education programs for more than 2.3 million participants to expand program services or to enhance the quality of existing activities. The budget also provides for increased funding for adult education each year until 1992, when total fund ing will reach $200 million. Student aid.—Although society benefits from a better educated workforce, students are the principal beneficiaries of their invest ment in higher education. It is therefore reasonable to expect them—not taxpayers—to shoulder most of the costs of that invest ment. The Federal Government’s role is to help make the invest ment possible, primarily by providing support for student loans. The administration accordingly proposes that guaranteed loans that have no direct costs to the Government be made available to all students without any limit other than the cost of education. The administration recognizes the particular needs of low-income students, who may be reluctant to borrow significant amounts for school or who may have more trouble in paying off loans once they have left school. A Pell grant program for the neediest students would be maintained, with targeting improvements allowing fund ing reductions from $3.8 billion in 1987 to $2.7 billion in 1988 and $2.0 billion in 1989 and beyond. In addition, the need-tested, income-contingent loan program, with its more manageable repay ment arrangements that tie the repayment amount to the recipi ent’s income, would be expanded substantially to assist more poor students. Vocational education.—The administration proposes to eliminate all Federal support for vocational education, for which $0.9 billion was appropriated in 1987. Federal funds are not essential to the maintenance and expansion of the vocational education system, which currently is supported with more than $10 of State and local funds for every $1 of Federal support. The existing Federal statutes are too prescriptive and contain too many (about 40) conditions or set-asides that affect fund distribution. Research has shown that investment in vocational education produces only small marginal benefits to participants, and these tend to disappear after several years. Reform Job Training Programs.—The various programs now pro viding job search, job training, and cash benefits to dislocated workers, such as Title III of the Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA) and the trade adjustment assistance programs, are pro posed to be replaced by an entirely new program. This new pro gram would assist all dislocated workers without regard to whether they were unemployed because of increased imports, or because 2-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 they were permanently laid off, lost their farms, or were long-term unemployment insurance recipients. Services, which would include counseling, job search assistance, basic education, and job skill training, would be provided in a two-tiered approach, with the quick-action services provided first. States would be responsible for operating the programs, which would be linked to the unemploy ment insurance system, with the private industry councils set up under JTPA given local oversight responsibilities. These changes will allow States and local areas to use a variety of new approaches to encourage workers to recognize when their old jobs are gone and move more quickly on to new careers. The new program would receive $980 million in 1988, compared to the $344 million appro priated for job search, training, and cash assistance in 1987. It is expected that the new approach will provide readjustment services faster than is possible under current programs. The summer youth employment program is proposed to be con verted into a year-round program of remedial skill training, subsi dized summer jobs, or a mixture of both, as determined by local areas, for youth in families receiving support from the aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) program. This new pro gram is aimed at the multiple objectives of helping these at-risk youth achieve higher earnings throughout their lives, increasing the number of workers with needed skills, and reducing welfare dependency. The administration proposes to provide $800 million, $50 million more than the 1987 enacted appropriation for the summer youth employment program. For the basic block grant for training and employment services under the Job Training Partnership Act, the administration is proposing $1.8 billion—the same amount as in 1986—to assist State and local governments, in cooperation with industry, in helping some 1 million disadvantaged people prepare for a productive life. Legislation will be proposed to decentralize authority, financing, and responsibility for administering State unemployment insur ance and employment service programs to the States. Based on an extensive consultative process involving all interested groups, the legislation will answer the many questions raised by States and others over the equity of current Federal allocation of administra tive resources, the adequacy of the resources provided, and lack of flexibility provided for States to use resources to meet their re quirements. This decentralization will place administrative policy, financing, and decisionmaking at the same State level of govern ment that already is responsible for unemployment insurance ben efit policy, financing, and decisionmaking. The Department of Labor will retain its current responsibilities of ensuring that State programs meet the general requirements of Federal law and of financing the costs of State administration of Federal programs. BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-31 Continue Support for Important Social Services Programs; Reduce Support for Others,—The supplemental nutritional assistance pro gram for women, infants, and children (WIC) will give food supple ments every month to more than 3 million low-income women and young children in 1988. WIC is designed to lessen health problems associated with inadequate diets during critical—particularly pre natal—stages of child development. Federal funding for the pro gram has expanded rapidly in recent years, more than doubling since 1980. The administration is requesting $1.7 billion in budget authority in 1988—$24 million above the 1987 level. The administration proposes $253 million for the refugee and entrant assistance program, reflecting continued declines in refu gee admissions and continuing efforts to encourage refugees’ early self-sufficiency. Beginning in 1988, the administration proposes to reduce subsidies to States and limit the time during which refugees may receive special Federal assistance that is not available to similarly situated U.S. citizens. The foster care and adoption assistance programs provide pay ments for approximately 108,000 foster care children and 25,000 children in adoption assistance. Federal funding for these entitle ment programs has grown uncontrollably since 1981, primarily as a result of rapidly rising State claims for administrative expenses rather than increased benefit payments to families. Thus, the ad ministration proposes to limit Federal matching of State adminis trative and training costs for these programs to 50 percent of maintenance payments. This proposal will save an estimated $84 million in 1988 without reducing assistance to the beneficiaries. The low-income home energy assistance block grant helps States provide heating and cooling assistance to low-income households. The administration requests $1.2 billion in budget authority for this program for 1988—a reduction of $0.6 billion from 1987—in recognition of the hundreds of millions of dollars in oil overcharge settlements available to States for these purposes. Consistent with the last five budgets, the administration again proposes no new Federal funding and no substantive reauthoriza tion for the Legal Services Corporation. Efforts to prevent inappro priate activities by local legal aid grantees have not been fully successful, and adequate State funds are available to fund legal aid through the social services block grant, currently funded at $2.7 billion. Responsive and accountable to local needs, States are in the best position to structure and finance legal aid programs. Further more, Federal supply of these services has stunted the development of low-cost legal services supplied by the private sector. The administration proposes to begin to phase out Federal sup port for the community services block grant (CSBG); in 1988, the administration is requesting $310 million in budget authority. Com 2-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 munity action agencies—the primary recipients of these funds— derive less than 13 percent of their funding from this block grant. A phased reduction in Federal CSBG support will provide these agencies time to solicit funding from other sources. At this time of Federal budget constraints, it is hoped that contributions from nonFederal sources can maintain critical activities. Social services for the needy will continue to be supported. Effec tive community action agencies can be funded through the social services block grant, Head Start, low-income energy, community development, job training, and other available funding sources that are already the main sources of funding for community action agencies. General Government.—This category of discretionary programs includes many of the core functions of Government: conduct of international affairs, administration of justice, legislative and cen tral executive functions, and fiscal operations such as tax collec tion. International Affairs.—The President proposes to reverse the sharp decreases in funding for many international affairs programs that have taken place over the past 2 years. A 1987 supplemental appropriation of $1.3 billion in budget authority is proposed. Budget authority for 1988 is requested at $19.1 billion, which is $1.0 billion above the 1987 level with the supplemental. Outlays in 1988 are estimated to be $15.2 billion. The increases proposed for international affairs reflect full con sideration of the need for tight control of all Federal spending in order to achieve the overall Federal deficit targets established by the President and Congress. Thus, international spending will be carefully targeted. A major portion of the proposed increases is needed to make good on firm commitments of the United States to other countries and organizations, commitments that Congress has fully reviewed and affirmed. The increases also will allow vital support for the national security of the United States in a variety of ways, particularly through the provision of military and eco nomic aid to democratic governments struggling to maintain their freedom. Further, the increases are intended to protect the lives of American citizens and officials against widespread threats by inter national terrorists. Finally, the United States must further strengthen its international information programs. These programs reach out to peoples throughout the world to provide them with the truth about the United States, the rest of the democratic world, and repressive, totalitarian regimes. Nearly 60 percent of the 1987 supplemental is directed at inter national security assistance objectives. Over half of these security funds are needed to honor the obligations of the United States to BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-33 countries that provide military bases or base access for United States forces. These commitments simply cannot be ignored with out impairing the Nation’s security. Much of the remaining securi ty aid will provide crucial economic assistance to four major Cen tral American democracies. Lesser amounts are being provided to meet special needs, including support for friendly countries in southern Africa and encouragement to nations that are taking major and difficult steps to halt international narcotics trade. The various objectives of this additional security assistance have had widespread support in Congress and among the American people. It is necessary now to provide the funding to meet these objectives. The 1988 security assistance request for budget authority would continue to meet worldwide commitments, including the objectives addressed in the proposed supplemental. For international development and humanitarian assistance, the supplemental proposes $100 million in urgently needed reconstruc tion funds for El Salvador in the wake of that country’s recent severe earthquake. The supplemental also partially would reduce large arrearages in U.S. payments to the multilateral development banks—the World Bank and the Asian, African, and Inter-Ameri can Development Banks. The arrearages have occurred because of congressional reductions to the 1986 and 1987 budget requests for U.S. contributions to these institutions. The administration has achieved significant reforms in the way that these institutions operate. Given these accomplishments, the U.S. must meet its pledges, confirmed in authorizing legislation, to provide specific annual amounts over multiyear periods. For 1988, the elimination of the remaining multilateral bank arrearages is proposed, and other development and humanitarian programs are held below 1987 levels in total. The conduct of foreign affairs is inherently a Federal governmen tal function carried on for all Americans. If the United States is to remain a world power, it must be prepared to provide adequate levels of personnel and funding to carry out diplomacy. The budget calls for modestly increased funds for the State Department’s regu lar operations—including enhanced reporting and analysis and im proved data processing and telecommunications capability. Most of the $0.6 billion in increased spending in this area would protect U.S. facilities and officials abroad from attack. The increase in such attacks over the past decade and the resulting loss of life demand a major upgrade for diplomatic security by the United States. In trying to communicate more effectively with the peoples of the world—particularly those of communist countries—the United States has embarked on a major worldwide modernization and expansion of Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liber 2-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 ty broadcasting facilities. This is the primary reason for the budget increases requested for foreign information and exchange activities. The U.S. broadcasting effort is exceeded in funding by that of the Soviet Union, but it is superior in quality, primarily because it speaks the truth. To ensure that the U.S. message gets through to a growing audience, increases in radio construction and moderniza tion programs are needed. Expand Government-wide Drug Enforcement and Fight Drug Abuse.—Overall, for drug law enforcement, prevention, and treat ment, budget authority has climbed from $1.2 billion in 1981 to more than $3.0 billion proposed in 1988. Improvement of the Federal drug law enforcement program has been one of the administration's top domestic priorities. Since 1981, budget authority for drug law enforcement has grown by almost 200 percent, from $0.9 billion in 1981 to a proposed level of $2.5 billion in 1988. In 1986, in response to nationwide concern over the level of illicit drug abuse in the country, Congress passed and the President signed the Anti-Drug Abuse Act of 1986. The Act estab lished tougher penalties for drug traffickers, and authorized large budget increases for a number of Federal agencies. This budget proposes resource levels for 1988 necessary to contin ue the Federal priority given to drug enforcement. The 1988 re quest is $0.5 billion lower than the enacted 1987 level of $3.0 billion for two reasons. First, $225 million was appropriated in 1987 for grants to assist in drug enforcement activities at the State and local level. The administration believes that this one-time infusion of funds will provide significant assistance to local drug enforce ment efforts, so such grant funds will no longer be needed for 1988. Second, approximately $350 million was appropriated for capital purchases made in 1987, which need not be repeated in 1988. Partially offsetting these decreases are about $70 million of in creases for drug enforcement operations in 1988. For example, budget authority for the Drug Enforcement Administration is pro posed to increase from $490 million in 1987 to $522 million in 1988. The administration also proposes to expand the drug abuse treat ment, research, and prevention programs begun in the President's drug abuse initiative. The recently created Office for Substance Abuse Prevention, which coordinates the Department of Health and Human Services' prevention efforts, will increase the effective ness of these programs; the Department will also support a second year of expanded State and local drug abuse treatment services. The budget proposes to continue substantial levels of drug abuse research funding. The administration also proposes to continue the Department of Education's 3-year program of grants to States and localities for school and community-based drug abuse programs and related national activities. Funding for the second and third years BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-35 is lower than funding for the first year, reflecting one-time, start up costs and increased State and local participation. Finally, block grant funding for State and local government programs will be maintained at the 1987 level of $495 million, and the Veterans Administration and Department of Defense will maintain their drug abuse treatment and prevention programs. Implement Immigration Reform.—On November 6, 1986, the President signed into law a landmark revision of the Nation’s immigration laws—a revision 6 years in the making. The Immigra tion Reform and Control Act of 1986: • prohibits the hiring of illegal aliens; • provides legal status to certain aliens who have been living in the country illegally; • establishes new programs to permit the entry of aliens to harvest perishable crops; and • provides increased staff for the Immigration and Naturaliza tion Service (INS) for its new responsibilities under the Act. The budget seeks $138 million in supplemental 1987 budget au thority and $194 million in 1988 budget authority for INS to carry out this legislation. In addition, INS is expecting to obligate an additional $149 million in 1987 and $181 million in 1988 from fees charged to applicants in the legalization program. The actual fee charged will be established by regulation and will be sufficient to make the legalization program entirely self-financing. Provide Necessary Resources for Securities and Exchange Commis sion (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).— The administration is proposing budget increases for the independ ent regulatory agencies responsible for ensuring that the nation’s financial markets are kept efficient and that their integrity is preserved. A 30 percent increase in the SEC’s budget authority for 1988 and almost a 10 percent increase in the CFTC’s budget au thority for 1988 will enable these agencies to address workload increases—particularly in the areas of market surveillance and enforcement. Since 1980, the annual volume of securities transac tions and financings has more than doubled, as has the number of registered broker-dealers. The futures and options markets also have grown rapidly in terms of the number and types of traders, as well as contracts and financial products offered. In a joint venture with a private contractor, the administration is proposing to fund an electronic disclosure system (EDGAR) to increase the efficiency and integrity of the securities markets for the benefit of investors, corporations, and the economy. This system will accelerate dra matically the filing, processing, dissemination, and analysis of time-sensitive corporate information. 2-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Reform of the Davis-Bacon and Related Acts and the Service Contract Act.—The administration is proposing legislation to in crease the thresholds of coverage under the Davis-Bacon and relat ed acts and the Service Contract Act. The Davis-Bacon Act covers wages paid to workers on Federal and federally aided construction projects. The Service Contract Act covers wages and benefits paid to workers under Federal service contracts. The threshold of cover age under the Davis-Bacon Act has not been revised since it was set at $2,000 in 1935. Similarly, the threshold of coverage under the Service Contract Act has not been revised since it was set at $2,500 in 1965. An increase in the thresholds of coverage under these statutes is appropriate in recognition of economic changes in the past several decades and to encourage competition and efficiency in Government procurement. REVENUE CHANGES In addition to the programmatic changes discussed above, the administration proposes a number of revenue changes to: • collect taxes owed but not paid; • improve the allocation of Federal credit; • sell loan assets where appropriate; • shift to the private sector the production of certain goods and services; and • charge reasonable user fees for Federal programs that deliver services to identifiable beneficiaries. Governmental Receipts.—Thanks to the support of the American people and a bipartisan coalition in the Congress, one of the most sweeping tax bills in this Nation’s history became law last year. With the enactment of the Tax Reform Act of 1986, the Nation now has the lowest marginal tax rates and the most modern tax code of any major industrialized country. Having come this far, tax reform must not be undone with tax rate increases. The President believes firmly that certainty must be restored to the tax code and the economy, and has pledged to oppose any attempt to raise taxes. In keeping with this pledge, the receipt changes proposed in this budget are limited to initiatives to collect taxes owed but not paid, increased user charges for Federal services, and trust fund reforms. Together, these changes are esti mated to increase receipts $6.1 billion in 1988, resulting in total receipts in 1988 of $916.6 billion. The major changes being proposed are discussed in Part 4, “Federal Receipts By Source.” Credit Reform.—The administration proposes to change the way Federal credit programs are treated in the budget. The proposal would charge the true economic cost of credit—the present value of the subsidy—to any agency making or guaranteeing loans. Adop BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-37 tion of this proposal would be a significant improvement over current practice. It would: • accurately and equitably measure the benefits of Federal credit programs; • encourage delivery of benefits in the form most appropriate to the needs of beneficiaries; • put the cost of credit programs on an expenditure basis equiv alent to other Federal spending; and • improve the allocation of resources among credit programs and between credit and other spending. Under this reform, Federal agencies would obtain appropriations equal to the subsidy component of the direct loans and loan guar antees they make each year. As agencies make new direct loans or loan guarantees, they would pay the subsidy value of those loans into a newly created central revolving fund that would be estab lished in the Department of the Treasury. The cash disbursement for direct loans would be recorded in the central fund; in this way, the subsidy value of a direct loan would be evaluated and recorded separately from its financing in the budget account of the originat ing agency. The subsidy value of a loan guarantee would be evalu ated and recorded directly for the first time in the budget account of the originating agency. As a result of this process, loan guaran tees would be put on a basis comparable to direct loans. The central fund would oversee the sale of all direct loans for which there are no policy or programmatic constraints to asset sales, and it would oversee the private sector reinsurance of guar anteed loans insofar as it is available. The subsidy cost of direct loans sold and loan guarantees reinsured would be determined by the actual price established by the market. Other loan subsidies would be calculated according to the procedures already estab lished. Because of the limited availability of reinsurance for Federal loans at present, the net savings from the sale of direct loans—$1.8 billion—would exceed the cost of reinsurance by an estimated $1.3 billion in 1988, reducing the deficit by this amount compared to past accounting practices. As a private industry develops to rein sure these guarantees, the amount of reinsurance purchased would grow and is expected to exceed the proceeds from loan sales by 1990. Details of this proposal and specific legislative language will be prepared and sent to the Congress at a later date. Other Loan Asset Sales.—The Federal Government will continue and expand its pilot program of selling existing loan assets without recourse—a program first proposed in the 1987 budget. These sales are designed to achieve four main goals: • reduce the Government’s cost of administering credit; 2-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 • provide an incentive for agencies to improve loan origination and documentation; • assist in determining the subsidies on Federal credit pro grams; and • increase budgetary offsetting receipts in the year of sale. The sales program includes loans with a face value of $11.2 billion in 1988, which are estimated to produce offsetting receipts of $5.3 billion. The loans will be sold from the portfolios of the following agencies: Farmers Home Administration, Rural Electrifi cation Administration, Small Business Administration, Department of Housing and Urban Development, Department of Education, Veterans Administration, Export-Import Bank, Bureau of Reclama tion, Department of Health and Human Services, Department of Transportation, and the Tennessee Valley Authority. Small portfolios of terminated programs will be liquidated in their entirety in 1 to 2 years. For larger portfolios, a sustainable rate of sales is proposed throughout the 5-year budget horizon. Agencies are being encouraged to hire private sector financial con sultants to assist them in evaluating and marketing their loans. Privatization.—Privatization is a strategy to shift the production of goods and services from the Government to the private sector in order to reduce Government expenditures and to take advantage of the efficiencies that normally result when services are provided through the competitive marketplace. Privatization is a natural counterpart to other administration initiatives—such as federalism, deregulation, and an improved tax system—that seek to return the Federal Government to its proper role. Privatization can be an important part of efforts to build a more productive America, because the central rationale for privatizing public activities is to enhance productivity—to get greater output from fewer inputs. Building on the sale of Conrail, which was approved by the Con gress last year and is expected to take place in 1987, the adminis tration proposes in this budget a number of privatization initia tives. The administration’s privatization program rests on several basic principles. The first principle is that the Government should not compete with the private sector in supplying ordinary goods and services. The proper role of Government is to provide goods that are truly public in nature, such as national defense and law en forcement, and to provide assistance in obtaining the necessities to those who are truly in need. Candidates for privatization should include any Government operation that sells goods or services in competition with the private sector or that provides goods or serv ices that could be offered by the private sector. Once a decision is made that Government responsibility should be reduced or terminated, there are a variety of privatization meth BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-39 ods that can be used, depending on the circumstances. For exam ple, Government can simply sell on-going businesses and produc tive assets to the private sector, using a public offering, negotiated sale, or auction. Government can reduce legal barriers to competi tion, or otherwise scale back the operations, and thereby encourage the development of private alternatives. Even where Government needs to play a continuing role, private sector efficiencies can be obtained by contracting out for the provision of commercially pro duced goods and services, and by using vouchers to provide finan cial help for individuals unable to pay the market price for certain goods (e.g., housing, food, and education). Major privatization initiatives in this year’s budget include: Amtrak.—Following on the sale of Conrail, the administration proposes that the Federal Government get out of the passenger rail business by severing its financial ties to Amtrak. The budget pro poses to terminate all Amtrak subsidies and dispose of some or all of Amtrak’s assets, the majority of which are in the Boston-toWashington corridor, to one or more private sector companies, rail passenger organizations, or other entities. Such transactions will be designed to preserve viable intercity rail passenger services to the extent economically feasible. Despite providing the only intercity rail passenger service and a subsidy averaging $27 per passenger, Amtrak carried less than 0.5 percent of all intercity travel in 1985. The disposal of Amtrak’s assets will generate offsetting receipts estimated to be $1.0 billion in 1988, which will partially repay the more than $12 billion in Federal subsidy already paid to Amtrak. Naval Petroleum Reserves (NPRs).—The administration proposes, as it did last year, that the Federal Government sell the two oil fields it operates—Elk Hills, California, and Teapot Dome, Wyo ming. Running an oil field is a business, not a Government activity. Private owners can produce and market oil more efficiently and effectively than can the Federal Government. There is little national security reason for the Government to retain these oil fields, which were originally set aside by President Taft and President Wilson to fuel the Navy as it converted from coal to oil-fired ships. In 1975, Congress decided emergency petrole um needs could best be met by creating the strategic petroleum reserve, which, in an emergency, can pump out oil 30 times faster than can the NPRs. That same year, Congress also decided to start selling NPR oil commercially. By selling the NPRs, the Federal Government—and taxpayers— will get a better financial return than by holding onto them. There is no reason to delay the sale to wait for oil prices to rise: the price potential buyers are willing to pay will reflect expectations about 2-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 future oil prices, and those who are willing to bet their own money are in a better position to gauge the validity of speculation that prices will begin to escalate. Selling the NPRs is estimated to reduce the deficit by $2.5 billion in 1988 and $0.3 billion in 1989. In addition, if the assets are sold, they will generate hundreds of millions of dollars in tax receipts for the Treasury in future years. Power Marketing Administrations,—The budget reproposes dives titure of the five power marketing administrations (PMAs), which supply 6 percent of the electricity generated in the country. These are commercial activities, which in most areas of the country are performed by private and other non-Federal enterprises. The administration continues to believe that divestiture can lead to creation of new enterprises that are more responsive to regional and customer needs, without significant increases in power rates. Consequently, legislation is being proposed with the budget to study a possible divestiture of the Southeastern Power Administra tion. Also, work will continue on the Alaska Power Administration divestiture. Administration activities will be coordinated with Con gress and with existing power customers, and legislative authoriza tions will be sought when necessary. (Implementation, of course, cannot proceed until there are necessary legislative approvals.) The budget assumes that divestiture of the Southeastern and Alaska Power Administrations will be authorized and implemented at the end of 1989. As long as the PMAs remain under Federal ownership and con trol, it is highly appropriate that they repay the federally financed investment on a regular, business-like basis. To assure regular repayments, the budget proposes reforms that would require the PMAs to repay the Federal investments on a fixed, straight-line amortization schedule. The proposal would not increase the PMAs’ interest costs or the total Federal investment to be repaid, but merely would ensure that annual repayments occur on a predict able and stable schedule. Debt repayment reform will result in near-term power rate in creases of zero to 13.5 percent for bulk wholesale power sales. The impact on retail power rates for residential and other customers will be only zero to 5 percent. Home electric bills in the Pacific Northwest, the region most affected, will increase less than $5 per month for all-electric homes, yet the resulting monthly bills will still be only about half of the national average. On a long-term basis, however, the PMA power customers will benefit from putting the PMAs on a sound financial basis. Without reforms to require meaningful and regular repayments of princi pal, PMA customers will experience even larger rate increases in the longer run, resulting from higher interest costs on the growing BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-41 debt and large “balloon” principal payments that become due in future years. Bonneville Power Administration customers already are paying higher power rates partly as a result of a lack of past repayment, because their interest costs almost quadrupled over a decade (from $89 million in 1975 to $334 million in 1985). Auction of the Unassigned Spectrum.—The administration pro poses to allow the use of auctions, instead of the present practice of using hearings and lotteries, in assigning Federal Communications Commission licenses for use of the unassigned spectrum. Auction authority will not affect the terms of the licenses awarded and will not apply to licenses awarded in any medium of mass communica tions, or for public safety or amateur services. Only those licenses for unassigned spectrum allocated for non-mass media services are affected. Non-mass media services include 2-way common carrier paging, common carrier cellular, private multiple address, and lowpower television. Public auctions will capture the true value of the license and give taxpayers a return for the use of the spectrum, which is considered public property. Auctioning the assignments for fre quencies is expected to generate $600 million in 1988. Hundreds of licenses currently assigned through lotteries could be assigned through an auction in future years. Helium Operations.—The budget proposes an increased role for industry in supplying helium to U.S. Government users. The pri vate helium industry will provide purification and transportation services to Federal helium consumers using crude helium from the Government’s existing inventory in the Cliffside field storage reser voir. Government-owned helium facilities and helium program assets other than the inventory of crude helium will be offered for sale. The Bureau of Mines will continue its helium resource assess ment activity. Excess Real Property.—In 1987, Federal agencies will identify more than $800 million in excess real property for disposal. The General Services Administration will sell this property over the next 2 years; the receipts will help reduce the deficit. User Fees.—Some of the services the Federal Government pro vides are utilized by narrowly defined groups or individuals. Agen cies should recover a portion of their costs for providing these services through “user fees,” in which recipients of the service are charged directly. Direct charges to users are appropriate because those who benefit from the service pay the cost; taxpayers do not. User fees increase efficiency of service delivery by reaching those willing to pay. Cost-based user fees may also provide an incentive for the private sector to provide comparable service at lower cost. 2-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The beneficiaries of the services for which the administration is proposing new or increased fees generally consist of corporations or the relatively affluent. Charging these groups directly avoids the need to impose additional general taxes on lower- and middleincome citizens. Increase Fees in the Mortgage Finance Programs of the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) and the Government National Mort gage Association.—The FHA enjoys certain governmental privi leges that enable it to charge significantly lower mortgage insur ance premiums than private insurers charge. This makes it diffi cult for private firms to compete with FHA. Preliminary estimates indicate that FHA may be charging 25 percent less for the same guarantee. The administration proposes legislation to allow FHA to increase its premium to levels on a par with those that private insurers would have to charge to provide a comparable guarantee. In the secondary mortgage market, Federal agencies and Govern ment-sponsored enterprises compete directly with private mortgage conduits. The President’s Housing Commission in 1982 concluded that these organizations impeded the growth of private conduits and recommended that the administration seek to privatize them. The administration proposes to reduce the ability of the principal Federal agency—the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA)—to compete with the private sector by increasing GNMA’s guarantee fee to a level closer to that charged by private market entities performing similar secondary mortgage market functions. The administration is studying ways of privatizing the Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (“Freddie Mac”)—the major Government-sponsored enterprises involved in the secondary mort gage market. The administration also plans to propose legislation that will limit permanently the maximum amount of a mortgage these Government-sponsored enterprises can purchase. This will limit their continued encroachment on the market served by pri vate firms for as long as these entities enjoy the advantages con ferred by their association with the Federal Government. Increase Fee for Veterans Administration (VA) Home Loans.—The VA home loan program provides a partial mortgage guaranty that enables eligible veterans to purchase a home without a downpay ment. The administration proposes to increase the current 1 per cent origination fee, which expires at the end of 1987, to 2.5 per cent. The increased fee is essential to offset costs associated with high levels of future foreclosures, and would keep the fund solvent while still providing subsidized mortgages to veterans. Since 1978 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-43 the program has required $2 billion in appropriations and internal transfers to cover costs associated with foreclosures. Charge for Coast Guard Services.—The Coast Guard currently provides services such as inspections, licenses, navigation aids, and search and rescue without charge to commercial operators and recreational boaters. The administration proposes a phased imple mentation of fees for users of Coast Guard services, totaling $355 million in 1988 and $474 million a year thereafter. Fees for direct services involving a transaction (e.g., issuing licenses) would be set to recover the cost to the Coast Guard of providing the specific service. Fees for other services would be set in proportion to the Coast Guard’s cost of providing the availability of the services to each class of users—recreational, commercial fishing, deep-sea com mercial, and inland commercial. The cost of Coast Guard programs that benefit the general public (e.g., defense preparedness, law enforcement, and polar ice operations) would not be included in the user fees, because they are core functions of Government that should be paid for by all taxpayers. Increase Recreation User Fees.—The administration again pro poses, as it has in past years, the enactment of permanent author ity to expand national park entrance fees. This authority will permit the Federal Government to recover from users a greater share of the costs of providing recreational opportunities where it is feasible to collect fees. Although substantially higher than exist ing charges, the proposed fees will continue to be modest. The maximum fee to enter a single park would be $10 per vehicle, and would entitle all occupants to admission to the park for 1 week. Entrance fees would be priced at less than $10 for most units. The price of the Golden Eagle Passport, which entitles all occupants of a vehicle to enter all units of the national park system for a year, would be increased to $40. Total revenue is expected to be $74 million in 1988, an increase of $52 million over revenue anticipated under current law. All revenues obtained will be available for use within the national park system without further appropriation action. This authority will succeed the temporary 1-year fee pro gram enacted in the 1987 appropriations bill. Legislation will also be proposed to permit charges at many developed sites in the national forest system. Current law prohibits charges at many primitive and developed sites that lack certain improvements. Revenue is anticipated to increase from $31 million in 1987 to $52 million in 1988. The legislation would return all receipts to the national forest system for operation and mainte nance of recreation programs. 2-44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Charge User Fees for the Food Safety and Inspection Service.— The administration reproposes user fees for Federal meat and poul try inspection. Federal health and safety laws require that all slaughter and processing of meat and poultry occur under Federal inspection and supervision. The Food Safety and Inspection Service currently provides these services free of charge. Although the im portance of uncontaminated meat supplies would seem to justify continuing a strong Federal role in setting standards and supervis ing compliance and enforcement, there is no rationale for providing these services free. Rather, they should be a normal cost of doing business for companies selling animal products for human con sumption. This proposal would place the meat and poultry industry on a par with other industries that include their quality control and standardization activities in product costs. The user fees would have a negligible impact on consumer prices and would not affect enforcement of Federal health standards. Full implementation of these charges, if completely passed on to the consumer, would result in an average price increase of less than 0.3 cents per pound of federally inspected product. The industry would still be subject to Federal requirements and Federal inspection, and individual plants would be charged a fee to recover the costs of their inspection. Collection of the fees would be separated from the provision of services to ensure the absence of industry influence in the setting or enforcement of safety standards. The savings expect ed from this initiative are $361 million in 1988. Reform Pension Benefit Guaranties.—Legislation will be proposed to ameliorate the extremely weak financial position of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation. Despite last year’s tripling of the premium rate charged to private pension plans and the repeal of provisions of law that allowed employers to dump their unfunded pension promises on the Corporation at will, the termination of underfunded pension plans in failing companies is expected to double the Corporation’s deficit to $4.5 billion in 1987. Cash pay ments to retired workers will exceed the Corporation’s income, depleting its already inadequate reserves. The proposed legislation would permit the Corporation to charge higher premiums to those employers who do not adequately fund their pension promises. The current minimum funding requirements in law would be revised to protect both the pensions expected by workers and the Corporation. Revise User Fees for Guaranteed Student Loans.—Currently the Government pays nearly all of the costs of borrower defaults in the guaranteed student loan (GSL) program. These costs have mush roomed in recent years, exceeding $1 billion in 1985 and in 1986. GSL borrowers themselves should bear this risk; the Federal role is BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES 2-45 properly limited to actions that ensure the continued existence of a strong student loan market. The budget proposes new insurance fees on regular and supple mental GSLs of 9 percent and 2 percent, respectively. These one time, up-front fees are intended to generate revenues equal to the estimated present value of the costs of defaults arising from new loans. The current 5 percent origination fee on regular GSL loans, intended to cover a portion of Federal interest subsidy costs, would be eliminated. Establish User Fees for the United States Travel and Tourism Administration.—The administration proposes to fund from user fees the United States Travel and Tourism Administration’s annual budget of $12 million. Legislation will be proposed to estab lish an international ticket-writing charge of $1 per ticket for international travel to and from the United States, its possessions, and its territories. The charge would be collected from airline and cruise ship carriers, which, together with their customers, are the primary beneficiaries of the program. Receipts collected in excess of the level required to support the existing program will be depos ited in the Treasury. Increase User Fees for Commerce Products and Services.—Begin ning in 1988, the administration proposes increasing fees for spe cialized products and services of the Census Bureau, the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration, and the Interna tional Trade Administration. Collections will be phased in, with increased receipts of $18 million in 1988, rising to $38 million in 1992. Other Revenue Changes.—The administration proposes several revenue changes from other sources. Strengthen the Banking Agencies and Recapitalize the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation (FSLIC).—The adminis tration continues to support the plan—originally proposed by the Department of the Treasury last year and included in both House and Senate banking bills—to recapitalize the FSLIC fund. Failure to enact the recapitalization plan, combined with continued eco nomic difficulties in the agriculture and energy sectors, poses a direct short-term budget threat. Outlays by the major deposit in surance funds are estimated to exceed previously planned levels by $5.8 billion in 1987 (net of a change in accounting) and $4.0 billion in 1988. The FSLIC recapitalization plan would create a separate financ ing facility, which would be capitalized from earnings of the Feder al Home Loan Banks (FHLBs). The financing facility would issue bonds without any Federal guarantee and use the proceeds to 2~46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 purchase FSLIC stock. FSLIC would raise between $10 billion and $15 billion from the sale of stock over 5 years and use these resources to accelerate its efforts to close those unprofitable and insolvent thrifts that pose the most severe financial threat. The additional resources from the recapitalization plan, together with current premium income, are expected to be sufficient to enable the Federal Home Loan Bank Board to take action to close down or merge a large portion of those failing institutions. Share Natural Resources Receipts on a Net Basis.—Since the early 1900s, the Federal Government has been sharing with State and local governments the gross receipts from mineral leasing and timber sales on Federal lands. These payments from Federal re ceipts added over $800 million to State and local treasuries in 1986. The administration again proposes to deduct from gross receipts the Federal cost of generating the natural resource receipts before sharing them according to current formulas with State and local governments. Current law distributes Federal “profits” that often do not exist, and creates an incentive for State and local govern ments to advocate unprofitable sales and uneconomic uses of Feder al resources. After the proposed reform, State and local govern ments would still receive about $460 million in shared Federal receipts in 1988, while the Federal Government would save over $350 million. The Federal program of payment-in-lieu-of-taxes, funded at more than $100 million per year, would continue to offset the impact of undeveloped Federal land on local property tax bases. SUMMARY OF TABLES The first table in this section shows total outlays for the major components of the budget: social security benefits; national defense; major medical programs; other mandatory programs; programs that provide economic subsidies and development; social programs; general government programs; and net interest. The next table summarizes the deficit reduction proposals described in the sec tions above. For each of the major categories of programmatic changes and revenue changes, the table shows budget savings rela tive to a current services level. The current services level is a measure of the budget outlook assuming no changes in policy. Current services estimates are based on an assumption that exist ing laws and programs will simply be carried forward, adjusted only for inflation and other anticipated relatively uncontrollable changes such as increases in the number of beneficiaries. 2-47 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES MAJOR COMPONENTS OF THE BUDGET (In billions of dollars) Social security benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. National defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Major medical programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other mandatory.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Discretionary: Economic subsidies and development.. .. .. .. .. Social programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . General government.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, discretionary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Net interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, gross Federal outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Undistributed offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total Federal outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 196.5 273.4 106.4 151.9 205.5 282.2 111.2 156.3 216.9 297.6 112.3 144.5 230.0 312.2 122.1 143.4 244.4 330.0 130.8 144.8 259.1 349.5 140.7 146.8 273.2 370.9 151.2 148.3 84.5 81.3 80.9 82.2 82.3 79.8 79.9 45.4 46.6 44.4 45.0 44.8 45.2 44.6 28.7 32.1 34.1 38.3 40.2 42.6 44.5 158.7 160.0 159.4 165.4 167.4 167.6 169.0 136.0 137.5 139.0 141.5 139.0 134.8 122.1 1,022.8 1,052.7 1,069.7 1,114.7 1,156.3 1,198.5 1,234.6 -33.0 -37.1 -45.4 -45.8 -48.5 -54.0 -55.6 989.8 1,015.6 1,024.3 1,069.0 1,107.8 1,144.4 1,178.9 SUMMARY OF DEFICIT REDUCTIONS (Change from current services, in billions of dollars) 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 Programmatic changes: Major medical programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other mandatory.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense discretionary: Economic subsidies and development.. Social programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . General government.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, nondefense discretionary.. Subtotal, programmatic changes.... -0.1 -0.1 -6.7 -3.4 -7.7 -8.2 -10.0 -11.4 -11.8 -13.1 -13.9 -13.9 -1.3 -0.5 1.1 -0.7 -0.9 -4.6 -4.5 0.5 -8.6 -18.7 -10.7 -7.5 3.2 -15.0 -30.8 -11.9 -10.0 2.5 -19.3 -40.8 -15.0 -11.3 2.1 -24.2 -49.1 -16.2 -12.5 1.5 -27.3 -55.1 -0.1 -8.0 -0.6 -1.7 -3.7 -3.5 -2.6 -20.1 -3.2 -8.6 0.9 -0.8 -3.8 -3.6 -3.6 -19.5 -6.0 -8.8 2.2 -0.3 -6.5 -3.7 -4.3 -21.5 -9.3 -8.9 3.6 _* -5.3 -3.8 -6.7 -21.2 -14.3 -54.2 -66.2 -79.9 -90.6 Revenue changes: Governmental receipts1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Credit reform.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other loan asset sales.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Privatization.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. User fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other revenue changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, revenue changes.. .. .. .. .. .. . Interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -0.4 _* -6.1 -1.3 -4.2 -5.4 -3.2 -2.1 -22.4 -1.3 Total deficit reductions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -1.3 -42.4 -0.1 -0.3 *$50 million or less. 1 For additional details, see Part 4, "Federal Receipts by Source”, and Special Analysis A, “Current Services Estimates.” The administration proposes to reduce the 1988 deficit by $42.4 billion below the current services level. Nearly 56 percent of these reductions are a result of the various revenue changes discussed above, and lower interest. Only 44 percent of the reductions are a result of programmatic changes. Even after these proposed reduc tions, outlays for many programs will increase between 1987 and 2-48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 1988. The next table provides additional detail on the dollar amounts of proposed changes in specific programs. The last table shows that of the $42.4 billion in reductions, $12.8 billion results from privatization and other proposed terminations. PROPOSED DEFICIT REDUCTIONS (Change from current services, in billions of dollars) 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 Programmatic changes: Major medical: Medicare.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Medicaid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Veterans medical care.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal employees health benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, major medical.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other mandatory: Farm price supports.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal retirement systems.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Child nutrition.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Family support payments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Food stamps.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, other mandatory.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense Discretionary: Economic subsidies and development:.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural Electrification Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Natural resources and environment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Rural housing insurance fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural development insurance fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subsidized housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, economic subsidies and development.. Social programs: Student financial assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Low income home energy assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. National Institutes of Health.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Legal Services Corporation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, social programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. General government: IRS enforcement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Department of Justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Conduct of foreign affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Public Law 480 food aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal supply service.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Export-Import Bank.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, general government.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, programmatic changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. _* -0.1 _* -0.1 -0.1 * -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.8 _* -0.1 -1.3 -0.2 ♦ -0.2 -0.1 -0.5 -4.6 -1.4 -0.1 -0.5 -0.1 -6.7 -4.0 -5.1 -5.6 -6.3 -3.0 -4.0 -5.2 -6.6 _* -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -7.7 -10.0 -11.8 -13.9 0.5 -1.5 -0.8 -0.6 -0.3 -0.8 -3.4 -3.5 -6.1 -6.9 -6.9 -1.7 -1.9 -2.1 -2.2 -0.9 -1.0 -1.1 -1.1 -0.6 -0.5 -0.6 -0.9 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -1.2 -1.8 -2.3 -2.7 -8.2 -11.4 -13.1 -13.9 -1.5 -1.8 -2.1 -3.3 -3.9 -1.1 -1.6 -1.8 -2.1 -2.3 -0.8 -1.4 -1.5 -1.7 -1.8 -0.5 -1.6 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 -0.6 -1.2 -1.9 -1.9 -0.4 -3.6 -4.9 -5.8 -6.0 -4.6 -10.7 -11.9 -15.0 -16.2 -1.8 -1.1 -0.6 -0.5 -0.3 -0.3 -4.5 -3.7 -4.5 -4.9 -5.3 -1.9 -2.5 -2.9 -3.2 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.1 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.3 -1.0 -1.3 -1.6 -7.5 -10.0 -11.3 -12.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 * 0.2 0.1 0.1 -0.4 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.7 -0.2 1.9 2.1 1.5 3.2 2.5 1.1 0.5 -0.9 -18.7 -30.8 -40.8 -49.1 -55.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2-49 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES PROPOSED DEFICIT REDUCTIONS—Continued (Change from current services, in billions of dollars) Revenue changes: Governmental receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Credit reform.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other loan asset sales.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Privatization: Amtrak sale and grant termination.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Sale of NPRs.. .. 5... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sale of PMAs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Auction of the unassigned spectrum.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . GSA real property sales.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Terminate crop insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Health professions training subsidies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, privatization.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. User fees: Credit fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other user fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, user fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other revenue changes: FSUC.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Medicare premium increase.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, other revenue changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, revenue changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . ... .. .. . Total deficit reductions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. *$50 million or less. 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 -0.1 -6.1 -1.3 -4.2 -8.0 -0.6 -1.7 -8.6 0.9 -0.8 -8.8 2.2 -0.3 -8.9 3.6 _* -1.6 -2.5 -0.6 -0.3 -1.8 -0.7 0.5 -2.6 -0.7 0.7 -5.4 -0.7 0.6 -4.0 -0.6 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -5.4 -0.4 -0.5 — 0.2 -3.7 -0.2 -0.6 -0.2 -3.8 -0.2 -0.7 -0.2 -6.5 -0.2 -0.8 -0.2 -5.3 -1.6 -1.7 -3.2 -1.6 -1.9 -3.5 -1.7 -1.9 -3.6 -1.8 -1.9 -3.7 -1.9 -1.9 -3.8 -0.1 -0.1 -0.3 _* -0.3 0.1 -0.9 -1.6 -0.8 -0.5 -0.6 -1.8 -3.1 -4.4 -5.8 -2.1 -2.6 -3.6 -4.3 -6.7 -0.4 -22.4 -20.1 -19.5 -21.5 -21.2 _* -1.3 -3.2 -6.0 -9.3 -14.3 -1.3 -42.4 -54.2 -66.2 -79.9 -90.6 2-50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 PROPOSED PHASE-OUTS AND TERMINATIONS (Outlays, in millions of dollars) Current services 1987 Savings from current services 1988 1989 1990 Privatization: Amtrak sale and grant termination.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Naval petroleum reserves.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Power marketing administrations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Auction of the unassigned spectrum.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. GSA real property sales.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Crop insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Health professions training subsidies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, privatization.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 640 -442 -501 -1,617 -2,500 -640 -274 -1,756 -662 518 -2,631 -250 637 232 316 -600 -305 -178 -186 -5,386 -353 -471 -188 -3,682 -213 -627 -201 -3,816 -2,162 -776 -344 -276 -69 -14 —2 -1 -485 -2,266 -1,395 -473 -392 -92 -39 -3 -1 -1,589 -2,267 -1,530 -438 -464 -104 -70 -3 -1 -279 -60 -3 -6 -44 -11 -130 -184 -11 -68 -6 -12 -81 -1 -10 -23 -97 19 -71 -73 -126 -47 -311 -133 -84 -106 -52 -9 -12 -219 -9 -27 -406 -10 -39 -90 -39 -230 -45 -390 -50 -523 -35 -12 -11 -9 -5,156 -564 -46 -13 -3 -29 -7,967 -582 -51 -13 -61 -7,670 7 48 -6 -41 -8 -53 -8 -56 2 941 -38 -312 -49 -749 -53 -914 Economic Subsidies and Development: Department of Agriculture: Rural electrification loans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -35 Rural housing insurance fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,999 Telephone Bank.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -5 Conservation programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 599 Extension Service categorical grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 332 Rural water and waste disposal grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 168 Office of Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2 Marketing payments to States.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2 Rural development insurance fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,023 Department of Commerce: Economic Development Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 358 Trade adjustment assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 12 National undersea research program.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 11 Coastal zone management and sea grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 80 Public telecommunications facilities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 21 Department of Housing and Urban Development: Categorical housing programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 515 Urban development action grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 440 Rehabilitation loans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 25 Housing development action grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 157 Department of Transportation: Mass transit discretionary grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 898 State maritime schools.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 8 Miscellaneous highway projects.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 115 Environmental Protection Agency: Sewage construction grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2,610 Asbestos-in-schools loans/grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 15 Other Agencies: Postal subsidy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 729 Interstate Commerce Commission.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 46 TVA economic development programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 12 Communication technology satellite.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 75 Appalachian Regional Development Commission.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 143 Subtotal, economic subsidies and development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 11,355 Social Programs: Department of Education: Compensatory education (HEP & CAMP).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Several elementary and secondary programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Education for the handicapped (grants for infants and families).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Vocational education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2-51 BUDGET SUMMARY AND PRIORITIES PROPOSED PHASE-OUTS AND TERMINATIONS—Continued (Outlays, in millions of dollars) Current services 1987 Immigrant and refugee education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Several higher education programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Several student aid programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Library grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other Agencies: Legal Services Corporation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Community services block grant.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, social programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Savings from current services 1988 1989 1990 22 124 1,161 200 -23 -80 -1,239 -55 -44 -94 -1,321 -100 -48 -96 -1,367 -139 303 368 3,176 -276 -54 -2,124 -323 -127 -2,868 -333 -220 -3,234 267 -118 -259 -375 -12,784 -14,776 -15,095 General Government: Justice assistance grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 15,114 PART 3 THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND FEDERAL INVESTMENT 3-1 THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND FEDERAL INVESTMENT This part of the budget supplement has 3 sections. The first reviews the economic assumptions underlying the 1988 budget esti mates. The second discusses the Federal Government’s financial investments, its role in credit markets, and the administration’s credit reform initiatives. The third section highlights the Federal Government’s investment in physical assets. 3-2 Part 3a THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK This section begins by reviewing the economic developments of 1986, explains why they differed from forecasts made a year ago, and shows the effect of this divergence on the 1986 budget deficit. This is followed by a discussion of why the expansion is expected to continue. The next subsection describes the economic assumptions and compares them with last year’s. The final subsection reviews the sensitivity of the budget to changes in economic assumptions. In this section, annual statistics refer to calendar years, rather than fiscal years. Economic Developments in 1986—A year ago, there was a broad consensus among economic forecasters that the economic expan sion, then beginning its fourth year, would continue. Real GNP growth was anticipated to rise to between 3 and 4 percent on a fourth-quarter to fourth-quarter basis. The administration’s fore cast was at the upper end of this narrow range. Little further progress was expected by most observers toward reducing inflation or lowering interest rates, although the administration assumed such progress would resume in later years. Instead, real economic growth continued at the moderate 2% percent rate that began in mid-1984. At the same time, inflation and interest rates were also lower than predicted. Indeed, by late 1986, interest rates had returned to their lowest levels since 1978. For several reasons, growth was lower than expected during 1986. First, and perhaps most important, was the decline in net exports, which, in accounting terms, cut about % percentage point from real GNP growth. Had U.S. output managed to keep pace with the growth of domestic demand, it would have increased 3% percent instead of 2% percent. This calculation is somewhat mis leading, however, because one of the factors sustaining the healthy growth in U.S. domestic demand throughout the expansion has been strong consumer spending on goods and services (including housing) resulting from higher real disposable income and the surge in consumer real net worth. A strong dollar contributed greatly to these developments during the early phase of the expansion. Last year, real incomes and net worth were boosted partly by the sharp fall in oil prices and the associated decline in inflation and interest rates. Lower domestic 3a-l 3a-2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Economic Forecasts tor 1986 Real GNP GNP Deflator Congmswi Socfeet CMSss* W Samsrtfe W BodsM Cteffcafc fW WearcUS, ?s$7-«; B&»*¥&$£ £W Beswo W axaewer Wmy W fcoosessus of SO private forecasts}.i Source; OMB, interest rates were made possible by the massive inflow of capital from abroad, the counterpart of the trade deficit. Reduced inflation and interest rates have contributed to stock and bond market rallies that boosted consumer wealth. A second reason for lower growth was the negative effects of the sharp drop in oil prices on domestic oil producers, the industries that supply them, and the regions in which they are located. The refiner’s acquisition cost of a barrel of crude oil averaged less than $15 last year, compared with about $27 in 1985. Few had anticipat ed such a large decline. The oil price drop led to drastic reductions in drilling activity, as well as to other investment cutbacks in energy related sectors of the economy. Although over time the effects of lower oil prices will be positive for the economy, shortrun disruptions in the energy sector offset these favorable effects last year. Lower energy prices were the principal reason for the betterthan-expected inflation performance. The GNP deflator rose only 2.2 percent last year,1 1% percentage points below the consensus forecast, and the consumer price index (CPI) increased just 1 per1 This is less than the 2.6 percent shown on p. 3a-6, which represents a forecast made before fourth quarter GNP data was available. THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 3a-3 cent. The CPI includes the prices of imported consumer goods that are excluded from GNP, so it tends to rise less than the GNP deflator when import prices are falling, as they were last year due to the oil price decline. Instead of seeing the inflation rate go up slightly, as was widely expected, 1986 turned in the best inflation performance in nearly a quarter century. A third reason for lower real growth was the weakness in real business fixed investment. A combination of events has temporarily stalled the rapid rate of capital formation maintained since the beginning of the expansion. In addition to the oil price decline, the prolonged deliberations on the tax reform legislation caused some capital spending to be postponed or cut back. Tax reform eliminat ed the investment tax credit, as well as some of the tax advantages for commercial real estate. The gains in economic efficiency from these changes in the law will eventually outweigh their near-term effects on investment and real GNP, but last year they had a temporarily depressing effect. Although the economy did not perform as well as many had hoped, 1986 was nonetheless a good year. Almost 2.5 million jobs were added in 1986, bringing the total in this expansion to 12.7 million. Real per capita disposable personal income gained 2.1 per cent last year, and 10.1 percent since the beginning of the expan sion 4 years ago. The combination of slow growth and low inflation contributed to the lower-than-expected interest rates. Although the deficit rose somewhat last year, the long-term budget outlook improved as actions were taken that will hold nominal spending growth to 2.6 percent in fiscal year 1987. Monetary policy attempted to follow a carefully balanced course, providing liquidity without excessive stimulation. Eventually, however, the Federal Reserve will have to rein in the growth of the monetary aggregates if the disinflation ary trend is to continue. By the fourth quarter, the Treasury bill rate was just 5.3 percent, P/2 to 2 percentage points below the forecasts of a year earlier. The long-term corporate bond rate was 8.7 percent, the lowest rate in almost 9 years—V2 percentage point below the administration’s January forecast, and P/i percentage points below the Blue Chip consensus forecast. As interest rates were falling, stock prices were rising. By year’s end, the Dow-Jones Industrial average was up 27 percent. Declining interest rates, rising equity prices, and falling oil prices helped spur consumer spending Total personal consumption expenditures were up 4.0 percent in real terms, while expenditures on consumer durables rose even faster—7.3 percent. Consumer con fidence remains high. Lower interest rates also stimulated a resur gence in the housing market. Sales of new and existing homes last year were at the highest level since 1979, as were single-family 3a-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 housing starts. Multifamily starts were not as strong, especially in the last half of the year, due to the effect of changes in the new tax law. Although the economy’s performance last year differed in impor tant respects from the forecast used to estimate the 1986 budget, this divergence accounted for only a small part of the larger-thanexpected deficit. Last year’s budget estimated the 1986 deficit at $202.8 billion; the actual figure was $220.7 billion. Of the nearly $18 billion increase, only $5.3 billion was due to unexpected eco nomic developments. The failure of the economy to grow as rapidly as expected was largely offset by the favorable effects of lowerthan-expected interest rates. The remaining $12.7 billion reflects policy and technical differences unrelated to the economic assump tions. (For details of how 1986 actual receipts and outlays differed from the original budget estimates made 2 years ago, see Part 6a of this budget supplement.) Economic Assumptions.—The economic and finanical develop ments of last year—continued moderate GNP growth coupled with declining inflation and interest rates—have strengthened the foun dation for noninflationary future growth. The resource constraints and capacity shortages that usually put upward pressure on prices at this stage of a business expansion are absent. The rate of capac ity utilization is only 79 percent, well below the 83-85 percent rate that often in the past has been associated with an acceleration in the rate of inflation. Despite a healthy increase in the number of jobs, the civilian unemployment rate has hovered around 7 percent since mid-1984, well above the 5V2 percent rate at which labor shortages might be expected to slow output growth and put upward pressure on wages and prices. The disinflationary trend that has marked the expansion so far should resume, after an expected rebound from the oil-price-depressed 1 percent 1986 rate to the 3% percent rate of 1983-1985. Previous postwar expansions were often cut short when mounting inflation led to a tightening of monetary policy. With disinflation continuing, there is little risk that the current recovery will be brought to an end in this manner. The Outlook for 1987-1988.—The current expansion is already the second longest peacetime expansion in the postwar period, but it has proceeded in two distinct phases. The first phase was one of very rapid growth, averaging 6.8 percent a year. This was followed by a second phase of more moderate growth beginning in mid-1984. The economy is now about to enter a third phase in which growth should gather strength. Real GNP is projected to grow about 3 Vi percent this year, rising to 3% percent in 1988. THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 3a-5 A likely improvement in the merchandise trade balance, result ing from the 35 percent fall in the value of the dollar relative to other major currencies since February 1985, is the main factor arguing for a pickup in real GNP growth in 1987-1988. As already indicated, the deterioration in U.S. net exports has been a drag on the economy in recent years. That deterioration can be traced, in large part, to the marked dollar appreciation during the first half of the decade. Sluggish economic growth in the other industrial countries, as well as the adjustment problems of Mexico and the other LDC debtors, have also hampered American efforts to in crease exports. As the dollar rose, American industry found it increasingly diffi cult to match the prices of its foreign competitors, either in over seas markets or here in the United States, despite the progress that was made toward holding down U.S. production costs. Manu facturing productivity rose sharply, while wages were restrained. Yet this was not enough to offset the advantage foreign products received from the rising dollar. During the past 2 years, however, other currencies have appreci ated sharply relative to the dollar and by the end of 1986, about 70 percent of the dollar’s earlier runup had been reversed. Despite this, improvement in the trade balance has been minimal to date. The lag between the changing exchange rate and its effect on trade flows has proven to be much longer than originally anticipated. Initially, following the dollar’s peak in February 1985, importers were able to absorb the fall in the dollar without raising prices by reducing their profit margins, thus protecting their newly won share of the U.S. market. More recently, the falling dollar is finally having an effect on the prices of most imported commodities aside from oil. Between September 1985 and September 1986, nonoil import prices rose by 10.2 percent, with even larger increases for automobiles and transportation equipment. At the same time, U.S. export prices fell by 1.5 percent. Although the effects of this shift in relative prices have yet to be reflected in the trade data, this is likely to change in 1987. A slowdown in import growth, an increase in exports, and an improvement in real net exports should add significantly to real GNP growth. While the turnaround in net exports is the main reason for expecting a faster rate of growth in 1987-1988, inventory accumu lation should also contribute to this acceleration. Inventory stocks are generally lean. The improvement in net exports should encour age manufacturers to add to inventories as sales improve. The needed inventory build-up could add % percentage point to GNP growth during 1987. Other factors, however, may work to constrain growth, especially in the first half of this year. Some deceleration in real consumer 3a-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 SHORT-RANGE ECONOMIC FORECAST (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Item Forecast Actual 1985 1986 6 1987 1988 Major economic indicators: Gross national product, percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter: Current dollars.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Constant (1982) dollars.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. GNP deflator (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Unemployment rate (percent, fourth quarter)2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 6.3 2.9 5.4 2.7 6.9 3.2 7.3 3.7 3.3 2.6 3.6 3.5 3.3 6.9 0.9 6.9 3.8 6.5 3.6 6.2 3,998 6.2 4,218 5.5 4,493 6.5 4,816 7.2 3,585 2.7 3,681 2.7 3,794 3.1 3,928 3.5 3,314 1,966 223 3,493 2,075 240 3,700 2,210 309 3,941 2,371 341 111.5 3.4 114.6 2.8 118.4 3.3 122.6 3.5 318.5 3.5 323.4 1.6 333.1 3.0 345.2 3.6 7.1 2.8 6.9 2.8 6.7 2.6 6.3 2.4 6.0 7.7 3.0 3.0 5.4 6.7 4.0 2.0 5.6 6.6 Annual economic assumptions: Gross national product: Current dollars: Amount.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Constant (1982) dollars: Amount.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Incomes: Personal income.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Wages and salaries.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporate profits before tax.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Price level: GNP deflator: Level (1982=100), annual average.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Consumer Price Index:1 Level (1967=100), annual average.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Unemployment rates: Total, annual average2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Insured, annual average3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal pay raises, January (percent): Military 4.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Civilian.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interest rate, 91-day Treasury bills (percent)5.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interest rate, 10-year Treasury notes (percent).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.0 3.5 7.5 10.6 1 CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Two versions of the CPI are now published. The index shown here is that currently used, as required by law, in calculating automatic cost-of-living increases for indexed Federal programs. 2 Percent of total labor force, including armed forces residing in the U.S. 3 Unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage of covered employment under the program; does not include recip ients of extended benefits under the program. 4 Two military pay raises occurred in calendar year 1985: 4 percent in January and 3 percent in October. 5 Average rate on new issues within period, on a bank discount basis. 6 Data released after the January 5th transmittal of the budget indicate a preliminary actual for 1986 GNP of $4,208 billion in current dollars and $3,677 billion in constant dollars. The GNP deflator is 114.5; the CPI is unchanged. The fourth quarter unemployment rate is 6.7 percent. spending is likely this year. The beneficial effects of lower oil prices on consumption have largely been realized, and households are likely to try to boost saving rates to more normal levels. The saving rate stood at a relatively low 2% percent in the final quar ter of last year. Furthermore, it is likely that investment in both nonresidential structures and multifamily housing units will con tinue to be adversely affected by high vacancy rates and the transi tion to the new tax law. 3a-7 THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK LONG-RANGE ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Item Assumptions 1990 1989 1992 1991 Major economic indicators: Gross national product, percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter: Current dollars.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Constant (1982) dollars.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. GNP deflator (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Consumer Price Index (percent change, fourth quarter over fourth quarter) 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Unemployment rate (percent, fourth quarter)2.. .. .. .. .. 7.2 3.6 6.8 3.6 6.3 3.5 5.4 3.3 3.5 3.0 2.7 2.0 3.5 5.9 3.0 5.7 2.6 5.5 2.0 5.5 5,165 7.3 5,524 6.9 5,879 6.4 6,214 5.7 4,071 3.6 4,218 3.6 4,367 3.5 4,514 3.4 4,201 2,546 377 4,452 2,716 411 4,703 2,885 444 4,959 3,057 459 126.9 3.5 131.0 3.2 134.6 2.8 137.7 2.3 357.4 3.6 369.0 3.2 379.1 2.8 387.5 2.2 6.0 2.3 5.8 2.2 5.6 2.0 5.5 2.0 4.3 3.0 5.3 6.1 4.6 3.0 4.7 5.5 4.5 3.0 4.2 5.0 4.2 3.0 3.6 4.5 Annual economic assumptions: Gross national product: Current dollars: Amount.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Constant (1982) dollars: Amount.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Incomes: Personal income.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Wages and salaries.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporate profits before tax.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Price level: GNP deflator: Level (1982=100), annual average.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Consumer Price Index:1 Level (1967=100), annual average.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Percent change, year over year.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Unemployment rates: Total, annual average 2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Insured, annual average3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal pay raises, January (percent): Military.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Civilian.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interest rate, 91-day Treasury bills (percent) 4.. .. .. .. .. . Interest rate, 10-year Treasury notes (percent).. .. .. .. .. . 1 CPI for urban wage earners and clerical workers. Two versions of the CPI are now published. The index shown here is that currently used, as required by law, in calculating automatic cost-of-living increases for indexed Federal programs. 2 Percent of total labor force, including armed forces residing in the U.S. 3 Unemployment under State regular unemployment insurance as a percentage of a percentage of covered employment under that program; does not include recipients of extended benefits under that program. 4 Average rate on new issues within period, on a bank discount basis. These projections assume, by convention, that interest rates decline with the rate of inflation. Some of the factors that seem likely to limit real GNP growth in the near term should abate later this year and in 1988. Conse quently, real GNP growth is assumed to rise to 3.7 percent in 1988. Some increase in the rate of inflation is also expected as the effects of the fall in oil prices dissipate and the lower exchange rate of the dollar boosts prices of imported goods. As a consequence, inflation during 1987-1988 is forecast to rise to about 3^2 percent. At this 3a-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 rate, inflation would still be well under control. Long-term interest rates are forecast to decline slightly over the next 2 years. In summary, 1987 should be a good year for the economy, with activity accelerating as the year progresses. Next year should be even better: businesses and consumers will have adjusted to the new tax system and the improvement in the trade balance should be in full swing. By late 1988, another 4 ¥2 million Americans will have found employment. The unemployment rate should be near 6 percent, its lowest level since 1979. Most importantly, inflation should remain moderate. The Long-Term Economic Assumptions: 1989-1992.—The long term economic assumptions are not intended to be forecasts. They are based on long-term trends and the implications of the adminis tration’s policy proposals. The underlying assumption is that economic growth will gradual ly slow over the 1989-1992 period toward its long-run trend rate as the unemployment rate declines to 5x/2 percent. Inflation is assumed to decline gradually over this period, assum ing that major unexpected shocks to costs and prices are avoided. At present, the economy is operating somewhat below capacity. These projections assume that it will reach more normal operating rates only toward the end of the forecast period. The projections do not envision any point at which the economy would experience the pressures of excess demand. Thus, the growth assumed here should be consistent with a continuation of disinflation. This will require that the Federal Reserve avoid an excessive expansion in money and credit that could push the economy across its inflationary threshold. Policy Changes Needed to Sustain the Recovery in the Outyears.— As growth picks up, the economic slack that has served to restrain inflation will gradually be eliminated. Saving will have to rise in order to provide the extra capacity needed to sustain economic growth once the current margin of unused capacity is eliminated. Similarly, productivity growth will need to increase to offset a slower pace of employment growth as the unemployment rate ceases to decline. The administration’s projection of sustained economic growth assumes that the policies proposed in this budget will benefit the economy in a number of ways. Federal spending restraint should free resources that could be more efficiently utilized by the private sector; particularly, cuts in Federal programs that are not essential or that are ineffective and inefficient. Should there be insufficient spending restraint, the long-run benefits of tax reform could be put in jeopardy. Eventually, either interest payments on the mounting 3a-9 THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK COMPARISON OF FEBRUARY 1986 AND CURRENT ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Calendar years; dollar amounts in billions) Nominal GNP: 1986 assumptions1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Real GNP (percent change):2 1986 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1987 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. GNP deflator (percent change):2 1986 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1987 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interest rate on 91-day Treasury bills (per cent): 1986 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1987 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Unemployment rate (percent): 1986 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1987 assumptions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 4,288 4,218 4,645 4,493 5,011 4,816 5,377 5,165 5,727 5,524 6,056 5,879 4.0 2.7 4.0 3.2 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.8 2.6 4.1 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.2 3.5 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.7 7.3 6.0 6.5 5.4 5.6 5.6 4.8 5.3 4.3 4.7 4.0 4.2 6.7 6.9 6.5 6.7 6.3 6.3 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.6 1 Adjusted for July 1986 revisions. 2 Fourth quarter to fourth quarter. debt must cut severely into other Federal spending priorities, taxes must be indirectly raised by rising inflation, or tax rates must increase, any of which would destroy incentives for economic growth. The budget and credit reforms proposed in the budget will also help improve the Government’s efficiency. Tax reform will encour age the more efficient use of capital, increasing the productivity of all economic resources, including labor. In addition to the positive steps that can be taken by the Govern ment to enhance efficiency, it is essential to avoid the kind of policy mistakes that, in the past, have often hampered capital formation and productivity growth. Protectionist measures, de signed to help special interests at the expense of the general wel fare, must be resisted. The short-run help such protection might provide particular interests costs the Nation as a whole far more than it is worth. This does not apply, however, to efforts to end unfair foreign trade practices abroad that hamper American ex porters. Continued efforts to reduce the Federal regulatory burden will also help sustain the recovery. More efficient regulation can lead to increased productivity and higher levels of real income. Finally, the durability of the economic expansion is predicated on the assumption that monetary policy will continue to provide sufficient liquidity for real growth without stimulating a resur gence of inflation. This places a large burden on the monetary authorities to maintain a careful balance between these two objec tives. So far in this expansion, the Federal Reserve has managed this task successfully. 3a-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The preceding table compares the current economic assumptions with last year’s, showing that projected nominal GNP has been reduced by about $200 billion a year for 1988-1991. Changes in Economic Assumptions and the Budget.—The table below shows changes since last year’s budget in the budget outlook for 1987-1991 resulting from actual economic performance during calendar year 1986 and the revisions to the economic outlook for coming years. As shown in the addendum, which separates the budgetary effects of these two sources of change, economic perform ance in 1986 widened the budget deficit by $13.4 billion for the current fiscal year, 1987, and by $22.6 billion in 1991. On the other hand, the revisions to the economic outlook for 1987-1991 have tended to reduce the deficit by roughly similar amounts in each year. In 1991, for example, the effects of 1986 developments add $22.6 billion to the deficit, but the effects of changes in the econom ic outlook almost completely offsets this, so that the 1991 deficit of $21.3 billion is virtually identical to the deficit that would have been estimated with the February 1986 economic assumptions. EFFECTS ON THE BUDGET OF CHANGES IN ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS SINCE LAST YEAR (Fiscal years; in billions of dollars) Budget totals under February 1986 economic as sumptions and January 1987 policies: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Deficit (-).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Changes due to economic assumptions: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays: Inflation and pay raises.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Unemployment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interest rates.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interest on changes in borrowing.. .. .. .. Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Increase in deficit ( + ).. .. .. .. .. .. Budget totals under January 1987 economic as sumptions and January 1987 policies: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Deficit (-).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 865.0 1,035.4 -170.5 941.8 1,056.9 -115.2 997.6 1,094.8 -97.3 1,065,4 1,123.9 -58.5 1,131.2 1,152.4 -21.2 -22.6 -25.2 -21.4 -17.1 -8.0 -4.4 0.8 -16.7 0.5 -19.8 2.7 -16.2 0.2 -16.9 0.3 -32.6 -7.4 -17.5 0.0 -8.2 -0.1 -25.8 -4.5 -16.1 -0.3 0.5 -0.2 -16.1 1.0 -12.1 -0.1 4.4 -0.2 -8.0 0.1 842.4 1,015.6 -173.2 916.6 1,024.3 -107.8 976.2 1,069.0 -92.8 1,048.3 1,107.8 -59.5 1,123.2 1,144.4 -21.3 11.9 16.8 20.8 22.6 (-6.7) (18.6) -19.3 (-3.7) (20.5) -21.3 (-2.5) (23.3) -19.8 (-0.9) (23.5) -22.5 Addendum: Increase in deficit ( + ) due to: Actual 1986 economic performance.. .. .. 13.4 Of which: Interest rates.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-12.6) Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (26.0) Change in the forecast for 1987-1991... -10.7 THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 3a-ll The differences between actual 1986 performance and last year’s assumptions include lower oil prices, lower inflation, lower interest rates, and slower real growth. The changes in the economic outlook for 1987-1991 reflect lower real GNP growth, especially during 1987, which lowers nominal GNP, and an upward revision to the aggregate tax base—the sum of all income subject to personal income and payroll taxes. The increase in total taxable income as a share of nominal GNP compared to what those shares were in last year’s budget is due largely to the effects of the Tax Reform Act of 1986. First, wages and salaries have been raised relative to nontaxable forms of com pensation. Tax reform, by lowering marginal tax rates, reduces incentives to shelter compensation in untaxed fringe benefits. Moreover, businesses have increased their efforts in recent years to control the costs of such nontaxable fringe benefits as pension contributions and health insurance. Required pension fund contri butions have been growing very slowly because the stock and bond rallies have increased the value of pension fund assets. Second, corporate pretax profits have been raised as a share of GNP to reflect the less favorable depreciation schedules of the new tax law and the tapering off of the effects of the earlier accelerated depreciation schedules. Third, dividends have been increased be cause the new lower marginal tax rates on dividends and the higher tax rates on capital gains suggest that shareholders will prefer that corporations distribute more of their profits rather than retain them. Sensitivity of the Budget to Economic Assumptions.—Both re ceipts and outlays are significantly affected by changes in economic conditions. This sensitivity seriously complicates budget planning because the inevitable errors in forecasting the performance of the economy lead to errors in the budget forecast. Since the budgetary impacts of changes in economic assumptions are fairly predictable, a set of rules of thumb can be useful for analysis of the budget. For example, a 1 percentage point higher rate of inflation per year beginning in October 1986 would raise total outlays by $40 billion on a current services basis and receipts by $52 billion by 1992. Outlays for indexed entitlement programs would be raised $13 billion in that year, and those for nonindexed entitlement programs that rise automatically with the rate of inflation, such as medicare and medicaid, would be $4 billion higher. Discretionary spending would increase by $22 billion, assuming that appropria tions were provided through the budget process to maintain real program levels. These effects assume that nominal GNP would increase 1 percentage point a year reflecting the higher rate of inflation, while real economic growth and unemployment remained unchanged. 3a-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 SENSITIVITY OF THE BUDGET TO ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS (Fiscal years; in billions of dollars; current services basis) Budget effect 1988 1 1989 1990 1991 1992 INFLATION Sustained 1 percentage point higher rate of inflation beginning October 1987: Outlays, entitlements: Indexed programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Non-indexed programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays, discretionary programs: Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Nondefense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 0.4 2.3 1.1 5.6 2.0 9.2 3.0 13.0 4.2 1.2 0.5 6.1 3.6 1.6 16.1 7.0 3.4 27.2 10.8 5.3 39.5 15.0 7.3 52.2 REAL GROWTH Sustained 1 percentage point lower real GNP growth beginning October 1987: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -5.6 -15.3 -26.5 -39.0 -54.5 INTEREST RATES (EFFECT ON NET INTERESD Sustained 1 percentage point increase in interest rates begin ning October 1987 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 5.7 10.9 14.3 16.6 18.5 3.8 7.0 7.1 6.8 6.6 3.8 1.8 2.4 2.0 2.6 2.0 2.7 2.0 2.9 2.0 0.5 0.5 -0.2 0.7 0.7 -0.3 0.8 0.7 -0.4 0.8 0.8 -0.4 0.8 0.8 -0.4 INTEREST COST OF HIGHER FEDERAL BORROWING Effect of $100 billion in 1988 2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .... .. .. .. . UNEMPLOYMENT RATE One percentage point higher beginning October 1987: Unemployment benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other unemployment-sensitive outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . FEDERAL PAY RAISES Outlay effect of 1 percentage point increase (January 1988): Military personnel.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Civilian employees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Employer share, employee retirement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. COMBINED EFFECTS Effect of a sustained 1 percentage point higher annual rate of inflation (and interest rates) beginning October 1987: 52.2 39.5 27.2 Change in receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6.1 16.1 46.4 60.0 20.2 33.3 8.2 Change in outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.8 6.9 6.2 4.1 2.1 Increase in deficit (+).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1.4 -0.5 -1.4 2.1 1.6 1% higher rates during FY 1988 only, increase in deficit ( + )... Effect of a sustained 1 percentage point lower annual rate of real growth, with higher unemployment, beginning October 1987: Change in receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -5.6 -15.3 -26.5 -39.0 -54.5 8.4 18.3 13.1 3.8 1.0 Change in outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 72.7 52.1 34.9 Increase in deficit (+).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6.6 19.1 17.1 15.2 12.2 6.6 14.0 1% lower growth during FY 1988 only, increase in deficit ( + ). 1 Omits increase in receipts due to higher Federal Reserve System deposits of earnings. 2 Includes subsequent interest on borrowing incurred to pay for previous costs. Higher inflation is likely to affect other economic factors that influence the deficit, such as interest rates and Federal pay. The THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 3a-13 direct and indirect effects of a 1 percentage point higher rate of inflation per year beginning October 1987 are shown on a current services basis in the lower part of the accompanying table. Note that the effects of the higher inflation rate on outlays and receipts are roughly offsetting and the net effect on the deficit is compara tively small. The second set of figures shows the impact of a rate of real and nominal economic growth one percentage point lower per year than in the budget for the 1988-1992 period. By 1992, the budget deficit would be $73 billion higher. Inflation and interest rates are assumed to be unchanged, but the unemployment rate is assumed to rise by 1 percentage point for each 2 percentage points that the level of real GNP falls below its base path. Outlay effects include the interest costs due to the increased deficit. From this analysis, it is clear that, while the budget is relatively immune to fluctuations in the inflation rate, threats to the economy’s real growth potential are also serious threats to progress on the deficit. The direct and indirect effects of 1 percentage point higher infla tion and interest rates or lower real growth for one year only, beginning in October 1987, are also shown in the lower part of the table. The impacts are much smaller in these cases since the differ ence from the assumed inflation, interest, and real growth rates occurs in only 1 year. After 1988, the effects shown are the outyear impacts of a price level/real GNP level permanently 1 percentage point higher/lower than in the base case. The effects of changes in economic assumptions in the opposite direction are approximately symmetric. The impact of a 1 percent age point lower inflation or higher real growth would be of about the same magnitude as shown, but of opposite sign. These rules of thumb ignore possible changes in the assumed income share composition of GNP that would be likely to accompa ny any changes in real growth, inflation, or interest rates. Because different income components are subject to different taxes and tax rates, estimates of total receipts can be affected significantly by changing the income shares. These relationships are too complex, however, to reduce to simple rules of thumb. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT Part 3b FEDERAL CREDIT: INVESTMENT IN FINANCIAL ASSETS This section begins by reviewing the scope of Government credit activities. This is followed by a description of the problem in con trolling Federal credit, and an explanation of the credit budget and how it tries to limit growth of direct loans and loan guarantees. It then outlines the administration’s response to the inadequacies of the credit budget—a proposal to reform the way credit programs are treated in the budget. Also discussed are other administration credit policies, including improved credit management, the sale of existing loan assets, and credit program user fees. It finally ana lyzes the allocation of credit by means of direct loans, loan guaran tees, and the activities of Government-sponsored enterprises. Overview of Federal Credit Activities.1—The Federal Govern ment is the largest financial intermediary in the United States. At the end of 1986, it held outstanding loans with a face value of $252 billion in its direct loan portfolio and had another $450 billion in guaranteed loans outstanding. Government-sponsored enterprises had lent another $453 billion. Thus, directly or indirectly, the Government had influenced the allocation of more than one trillion dollars of credit. Through direct loans and loan guarantees, the Government has provided subsidized credit to many different types of borrowers: farmers, homeowners, students, small businesses, exporters, utili ties, shipbuilders, and State, local, and foreign governments. The subsidies inherent in Federal and federally sponsored lending to these groups have come at the expense of the general taxpayers and in direct competition with all borrowers who did not receive subsidized credit. The unsubsidized borrowers have paid higher interest rates or fees for their credit or have not been able to borrow at all. Controlling Federal Credit.—The problems in directing or control ling Federal credit are enormous and systemic. The discipline that the private market imposes on financial intermediaries is absent. 1 See also Special Analysis F, “Federal Credit Programs,” and the 1988 report on Management of the U.S. Government. 3b-l 3b-2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The discipline that the current budget process imposes on most Federal agencies is not fully effective in controlling Federal credit programs. The unified budget, with its focus on budget authority, outlays, and receipts, provides a comprehensive system for record ing and controlling most receipts and outlays, but it is an incom plete mechanism for recording and controlling Federal credit pro grams. The unified budget measures net outlays, not the full volume of new credit extended for direct loans. Furthermore, guar anteed loan commitments, an important form of credit, are not reflected in the unified budget. The Federal credit budget, discussed in the next section, while an improvement over the previous control and display mechanisms of the unified budget, does not capture and price explicitly the most important aspect of Federal credit—the economic subsidy offered to borrowers. In order to focus on that subsidy, the administration is proposing a reform of budgeting for credit programs, discussed below, that would remedy the shortcomings of existing practices by incorporating into the unified budget the subsidies provided by credit programs. The Credit Budget.—The Federal credit budget measures and controls the volume of new direct loans and loan guarantees ex tended to borrowers. The credit budget is a necessary supplement to the unified budget because it corrects some of the deficiencies of the unified budget noted above. The credit budget is based on three principles. First, it is intend ed to measure new credit at the point at which the Government legally contracts to provide a loan or a loan guarantee. Usually a legal contract occurs when a direct loan agreement or loan guaran tee agreement is signed. Second, the credit budget is based on credit authority—the au thority to make new offers of credit. In contrast to the treatment of credit programs in the unified budget, credit authority is measured on a gross basis and does not reflect repayments of loans or de faults on loan guarantees. In the unified budget, budget authority for direct loan programs is required only when collections are insufficient to finance new loans for those programs funded through revolving funds. For loan guarantees in the unified budget, budget authority is needed only to pay for defaults when other resources are insufficient to fund those costs. As a result, credit authority is a needed tool because subsidies are provided to all new recipients of direct loans and loan guarantees, regardless of the extent to which borrowers are repaying loans previously made. Third, guaranteed loan commitments are measured as the full principal of the loan, even if the Government’s contingent liability is less than the full loan principal. The full principal is included in the commitment because the entire loan, even if only partially FEDERAL CREDIT 3b-3 guaranteed, is assisted by the guarantee. Moreover, in some pro grams that offer nominal partial guarantees, the private lender is at risk only when the value of the collateral and the guarantee combined are less than the full loan principal. The accompanying chart shows Federal credit activity for 1965 to 1992. The credit budget is included in the budget resolution, and limi tations for many programs are subsequently enacted in annual appropriations acts. The administration proposes limitations annu ally on direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments for many credit programs. The limitations serve as ceilings on the volume of new credit that may be offered by the account in a given year. The limitation is specified in the appropriations language for individual budget accounts that include credit activity. The administration proposes appropriations limitations in 1988 for programs amounting to 61 percent of the credit budget totals. Approximately 32 percent of direct loan obligations (excluding obli gations for defaulted loans) and 68 percent of guaranteed loans are included under the proposed limitations. (The relatively low per centage for direct loans results because the largest direct loan program—CCC commodity loans—is exempt from limitation.) Ap 3b-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 propriations act limitations are not proposed for certain programs primarily for two reasons. First, programs that provide a clear entitlement to qualified applicants, such as farm price support loans, credit assistance to veterans, and guaranteed student loans, are controlled by authorizing legislation. Second, direct loans that arise from payment of claims on defaulted guaranteed loans are exempt from limitation since the effective point of control at the time of the original loan guarantee is past. The Congressional Budget Act, as amended by the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, also known as Gramm-Rudman-Hollings, requires functional allocations for direct loan obligations, primary loan guarantee commitments, and sec ondary loan guarantee commitments in the budget resolution. The functional targets are then allocated to the Appropriations Com mittees and other committees. In the event of a sequestration under Gramm-Rudman-Hollings, direct loan obligations and guar anteed loan commitments would be reduced by the general nonde fense sequestration percentage. Credit Reform Initiative.—The credit budget, which does not measure the economic subsidy offered to borrowers, has proved to be an incomplete way of displaying and controlling Federal credit activity. To rectify the inadequacies of the current credit budget, the administration is proposing a reform in the way Federal credit programs are treated in the budget. The proposal would: • measure accurately and equitably the benefits of Federal credit programs; • put the cost of credit programs on an expenditure basis equiv alent to other Federal spending; • encourage delivery of benefits in the form most appropriate to the needs of beneficiaries; and • improve the allocation of resources among credit programs and between credit and other spending. The proposal would charge the true economic cost of credit—the present value of the subsidy—to any agency making or guarantee ing loans. For direct loans, this value can be measured as the difference between the face value of a newly made loan and its market value on immediate competitive sale; for guaranteed loans, it is the cost to purchase private reinsurance of a newly made loan guarantee. Another way to evaluate the same concept would be to measure the difference between the terms and conditions associat ed with a Government loan and the terms and conditions of financ ing for a similar loan from a private lender. In either case, the subsidy, as used here, measures the benefit to the borrower of Federal credit. An alternative measure of subsidy calculates the direct cash costs to the Government, which are always less than the benefit to FEDERAL CREDIT 3b-5 the borrower for two reasons. First, the Government’s cost of bor rowing is always lower than that of the private sector due to the Government’s sovereign power to tax and to print money, and to the safety and liquidity of Treasury securities. Second, the Govern ment does not need to hold any reserves against its loan guaran tees, which makes the Government less risk averse than is the private sector to the level and variance of risk inherent in the credit it grants. If the cost to the Government were used instead of the benefit to the borrower as the basis for measuring subsidies, distortions would be created. The budget would continue to favor credit pro grams over direct spending programs; it would not give policymak ers and the public the information they need to compare fairly those two kinds of programs and to determine what form of assist ance is most cost effective. Furthermore, using cost to the Govern ment would not take full account of the borrower’s riskiness, which would skew the allocation of resources among borrowers, among credit programs, and between credit and other spending. A new Federal credit revolving fund (referred to as “the fund”) would be established within the Department of the Treasury. Fed eral agencies would be required to obtain appropriations equal to the estimated subsidy to the borrower of the direct loans and loan guarantees they make each year. As agencies make obligations for new direct loans, they would pay the estimated subsidy value of those loans into the fund, which would be recorded in the budget account of the originating agency. The fund would provide the balance, or financing portion, of the loan. As agencies make com mitments for new loan guarantees, their estimated subsidy value would be paid into the fund and recorded in the budget account of the originating agency. Agencies would continue to originate and close loans as they do now. A large part of the ultimate success of this reform depends on the ability of the fund to establish correct subsidy values for direct loans and loan guarantees. The best way to determine the true subsidy implicit in Federal credit programs would be through a market evaluation of the loan. The agencies, with the fund and OMB providing oversight, would manage the sale to the public of direct loans soon after they were disbursed, and the reinsurance with the private sector of guaranteed loans soon after they were issued. The difference between the market price offered for a direct loan and its face value would represent the subsidy provided by the direct loan. Similarly, the market premiums charged for insuring a guaranteed loan would represent the economic subsidy provided by it. Agencies would request appropriations based on these subsidies. Not all direct loans made by the Federal Government are suita ble for sale to the public. Many loans made for sensitive foreign or 3b-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 domestic policy reasons will remain in the hands of the Govern ment. Direct loans in this category would have their subsidies evaluated by the fund using a method that approximates the value that would have been set in the market if these loans had been offered for sale. The appropriations requested for these loan pro grams would be based on the fund’s subsidy calculation. Reinsurance for some federally guaranteed loans will probably not be available in the early years of this reform. In that case, the central fund would evaluate the subsidies provided by those loans using a method that approximates the premium that would have been set by the market if reinsurance were available. The appro priations requested for guaranteed loan programs for which rein surance is not available would be based on the fund’s subsidy calculation. Account-level details of this proposal and specific legislative lan guage will be sent to the Congress in March 1987. This legislation would create the fund and authorize establishment of agency ac counts at the fund for each program. Appropriated subsidies, as well as principal payments and interest, will be credited to these accounts. Loans in program portfolios at the end of 1987 will not be transferred to the fund, but will continue to be recorded in the present accounts of the originating agencies. However, revolving funds currently authorized to make loans will be prohibited from making new loans, which instead will be included in the new credit regime. Credit Policy Issues.—The reform of budgeting for credit pro grams is a fundamental credit policy issue. Also important is the phase-out or termination of some credit programs proposed in the budget. Details of those proposals are described in Special Analysis F. The budget also contains other important aspects of credit policy—improved credit program management, sales of existing loan assets, and credit program user fees. Credit Management.—Since 1981, the administration has made a major effort to establish a Government-wide policy framework for credit management. This framework is contained in OMB Circulars A-70 and A-129, which set forth basic credit principles and the first comprehensive guidance on improving Federal credit manage ment. Legislative support for improved credit management was achieved with the passage of the Debt Collection Act of 1982, authorizing agencies to use proven private sector debt collection tools for the first time. The Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 (DEFRA) contributed to an even stronger program by allowing a two-year income tax refund offset experiment at the Internal Revenue Serv ice. In addition, the Federal Debt Recovery Act of 1986 authorized FEDERAL CREDIT 3b-7 the Justice Department to use private attorneys for debt collection litigation. While substantial progress has been made toward achieving a sound and comprehensive credit management program, a great deal remains to be done. Credit management will be improved by adoption of the credit reform initiative described above, and by implementation in each agency of the administration’s nine-point management program. The nine-point program, described more fully in Management of the United States Government, focuses ef forts on the origination, servicing, and collection of loans and ac counts receivable. Loan Asset Sales.—The Federal Government will continue and expand its pilot program of selling existing loan assets without recourse—a program first proposed in the 1987 budget. These sales are designed to achieve four main goals: reduce the Government’s cost of administering credit; provide an incentive for agencies to improve loan origination and documentation; assist in determining the subsidies on Federal credit programs; and increase budgetary offsetting collections in the year of sale. The administration firmly believes that sales must be on a non recourse basis. Sales with recourse are undesirable because such sales would defeat the basic objectives of selling loan assets: • Private investors would have less incentive to pursue rigor ous, but legal, collection efforts since bad loans could be re turned to the Government. Agencies would still have to ad minister bad loans as they do now. Existing staffs for that purpose would have to be maintained and agencies would not achieve any administrative savings from the sale. • Investors would look to the guarantee placed on the loan, and not to the credit risk underlying the loans. Consequently, investors would not be as concerned with the information supporting the loan, and agencies would not have to improve loan documentation. • Investors would bid for the loans based on their evaluation of the guarantee, not on the underlying loan value. As a result, the information derived from the sale would not reveal any thing about the true cost of Federal loan programs. • Sales with recourse are a very short-sighted policy because total Government revenues would not be greater if loans are sold in this way. Although the Government would receive higher revenues at the time of sale if the loans were guaran teed, those additional revenues would be offset in the future as the defaults on the guaranteed loans began to occur. • Loans sold with the full faith and credit of the United States are similar in form to a Treasury security. As such, both 3b-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 OMB and the Congressional Budget Office consider the paper being sold as a form of Federal borrowing. The sales program includes loans with a face value of $11.2 billion in 1988, which are estimated to produce offsetting collec tions of $5.3 billion. Loans will be sold from the portfolios of the following over the years 1988-92: Farmers Home Administration, Rural Electrification Administration, Small Business Administra tion, Department of Housing and Urban Development, Department of Education, Veterans Administration, Export-Import Bank, Bureau of Reclamation, Department of Health and Human Serv ices, Department of Transportation, and the Tennessee Valley Au thority. Small portfolios of many terminated programs will be liquidated in their entirety in 1 or 2 years. For larger portfolios, a sustainable rate of sales is proposed throughout the 5-year budget horizon. Agencies are being encouraged to hire private sector financial con sultants to assist them in evaluating and marketing their loans. Credit User Fees.—The administration believes that a consistent, Government-wide policy of assessing interest rates and other fees on Federal credit programs ought to be established. In accordance with OMB Circular A-70, interest rates and other fees for loan programs should be based on private sector benchmarks. Fees should compensate the Government for the administrative and servicing costs of operating programs, and all or a specified portion of the estimated cost to the Government of the expected liabilities incurred by the program. Assessing fees is necessary to charge the operating costs of pro grams to those individuals or businesses that benefit from the program instead of passing along those costs to the general taxpay er. But of equal importance is the fact that, in comparison to private sector fees, the level of fees charged by Federal credit programs, or the absence of fees in some cases, contribute to the subsidy conferred by those programs. The identification and meas urement of that subsidy, as noted earlier in the discussion of credit reform, is required to evaluate the impact of Federal credit on the economy. In the coming months, the administration will study ways to establish standard procedures for setting and charging fees that would apply to all credit programs. The budget takes a first step in the direction of assessing appro priate fees by proposing new or increased fee levels for guaranteed student loans, home mortgage loans, secondary mortgage guaran tees, agricultural export loans, small business loans, rural electrifi cation and telephone loans, and new debt securities issued by Sallie Mae. In addition, the Federal Financing Bank proposes to increase the fee it charges to agencies using its lending facilities. FEDERAL CREDIT 3b-9 Other.—The role played by the Federal Government in allocating credit involves activities in addition to those described in this part of the budget. Deposit insurance and other contingent liabilities, leasing, and tax-exempt financing are among the other aspects of Federal involvement in the credit market that affect the economy. Special Analysis F discusses those issues. Direct Loans.—The Federal Government makes direct loans to individuals, businesses, and State, local, and foreign governments. The primary example of a direct loan is the disbursement of funds by a Federal agency under the terms of a loan contract in which the borrower agrees to repay the loan principal to the Government, with or without interest. Three other types of transactions are also considered direct loans: (1) acquisition of defaulted private loans that the Govern ment had guaranteed and for which the Government made direct payment to the lender to honor the guarantee; (2) the purchase by the Government of a private loan in the secondary market; and (3) a sale of agency assets on credit terms of more than 90 days. Direct loans are financed from a variety of sources, including appropriated funds derived from taxation, borrowing, and repay ments of previous loans. Such loans are designed to direct economic resources to federally determined uses by providing credit on more favorable terms than would otherwise be available from private sources. A direct loan is best justified when the Federal objective cannot be met with financing from private sources, even with a Government guarantee. The objectives of a direct loan program, for example, may require financing at interest rates that are lower or loan maturities that are longer than those available from private lenders. The accompanying chart shows the shifting composition of new direct loans issued over the past 35 years. Four sectors of the economy receive the bulk of direct lending: housing, business, agri culture, and education. (This chart and all subsequent discussions are based on the face value, not the unsubsidized market value, of loans.) 3b-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 During the 1950s and 1960s, housing accounted for roughly 30 percent of new direct loans; however, this percentage dropped off sharply in the following years. This change reflected the increasing amount of direct lending to business and agriculture in the 1970s and 1980s, and, to a lesser extent, the conversion of the lending activity of the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) in 1968 from a direct on-budget spending program to a Governmentsponsored enterprise that is outside the budget. In recent years, business borrowers have received more than onethird of the Government’s new direct loans. The Export-Import Bank, Small Business Administration, Rural Electrification Admin istration, and Agency for International Development are the princi pal lenders to the business sector. During the 1980s, the share of new direct loans provided to agriculture has ranged from one-third to more than one-half of the annual total. This includes lending of the Farmers Home Adminis tration for farm ownership, farm operations, and rural housing, and the price support program of the Commodity Credit Corpora tion. Direct loans for education include loans for construction of facili ties, payments for defaulted guaranteed student loans, and direct financial assistance to students. Although defaults now exceed $1 FEDERAL CREDIT 3b-ll billion a year, this sector takes only a small share of total new direct loans. Guaranteed Loans.—Government guaranteed loans are loans for which the Government guarantees the payment of the principal and the interest, in whole or in part, in the event of borrower default. Loan guarantees are contingent liabilities of the Federal Government. They generally result in budget outlays only in the case of default. The guarantees may be for the full or only a partial value of the loan principal. In some programs, such as the guaranteed student loan program, they are supplemented by explicit subsidies or other forms of assistance. Most guaranteed loans are made by banks or other private institutional lenders and may take the form of mort gages or bank loans. Others are sold in securities markets. A loan guarantee transfers from the private lender to the Gov ernment some or all of the default risk of the loan. Where the Government guarantees timely payment of 100% of the loan prin cipal and interest, it transforms a private loan into a near-Government direct loan financed by a Government security. However, the guaranteed loan will not have all the attributes of a direct Govern ment loan, since private lenders will negotiate different financial terms and conditions than would a Government agency. Nor will the guaranteed loan have all of the attributes of a U.S. Treasury security because it will be less liquid and may involve higher transaction costs. Loan guarantees are designed to allocate economic resources to particular uses by providing credit at more favorable terms than are otherwise available in the private market. If loan guarantee recipients are not sufficiently creditworthy to borrow without Fed eral assistance, the subsidy provided by the guarantee is large and the guarantee will directly reallocate credit towards federally se lected uses, thereby increasing the total volume of credit channeled into these uses. This leaves a smaller supply of credit to be allocat ed to those potential borrowers who do not receive assistance and increases the costs to these borrowers. However, the guarantee does not always change the allocation of credit to such a large degree. Some beneficiaries of loan guarantee programs would have been able to secure the funds privately, without Government sup port. For example, a federally guaranteed mortgage might be used to finance, at a lower cost, a house that would have been purchased anyway. Many of the guarantee programs operated by the Federal Gov ernment began in efforts to revive the economy during the depres sion of the 1930s. The Reconstruction Finance Corporation, created in 1932, was the forerunner of the Export-Import Bank, the Small Business Administration, and other credit programs. The Nation’s 3b-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 single largest credit program, the Federal Housing Administra tion’s (FHA) home mortgage insurance program, was created in 1934 to stimulate housing purchases. As the accompanying chart shows, housing guarantees dominat ed Federal guarantee credit activities during the 1950s and 1960s. The housing programs of the FHA and Veterans Administration accounted for 82 percent of the total volume of new commitments for guaranteed loans in 1965. The range of activities financed with Federal guarantees has widened since that time. Guarantees are now offered for business, agriculture, and education, although housing continues to dominate, particularly because falling interest rates in the past 2 years have led many homeowners to refinance their mortgages. For the 1988 budget, housing programs account for three-quarters of all new guaranteed loan commitments. New Guaranteed Loans by Sector Percent of Total Percent of Total Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs).—The third means by which the Federal Government allocates credit, albeit indirectly, is through Government-sponsored enterprises. GSEs have been estab lished and chartered by the Federal Government to perform spe cialized credit functions. The first GSEs were created with partial or full Government ownership and with direct Government control; in time, however, they were converted to private ownership and 3b-13 FEDERAL CREDIT some new enterprises were created as privately owned institutions. GSEs have greatly increased their activity in domestic credit mar kets in the last few years. The accompanying table shows the net increase in their loans and their loans outstanding. LENDING BY GOVERNMENT-SPONSORED ENTERPRISES (In billions of dollars) Net change .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstanding.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1971 1976 1981 1986 1.3 32.4 6.8 90.1 33.3 186.6 83.3 453.3 The budget treatment of these enterprises was established in 1967 in accordance with a recommendation by the President’s Com mission on Budget Concepts. The Commission basically recom mended that the budget exclude those Government-sponsored en terprises that are entirely privately owned. However, the Commis sion recommended that financial statements of their operations be included in the budget because the enterprises carry out federally designed programs and receive benefits from their close association with the Government.2 These benefits differ from one enterprise to another and from one type of debt security to another. In most cases, but not all, they include such advantages as the following: their debt securities can be held by federally regulated financial institutions under circum stances where other private securities or State and local securities are not eligible; the interest on their debt securities is exempt from State and local income taxation; they are exempt from SEC regis tration requirements and various State banking laws. Further more, the enterprises are perceived by the securities market to have a special relationship with the Federal Government. Because of these benefits, the Government-sponsored enterprises can borrow at interest rates significantly below even the best rated private borrowers. The administration is studying ways of more fully privatizing the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Fed eral Home Loan Mortgage Association (Freddie Mac)—the major Government-sponsored enterprises involved in the secondary mort gage market—and the Student Loan Marketing Association (Sallie Mae). The privatization study will be completed by the end of the fiscal year. While moving toward the goal of privatization, the administra tion plans to propose legislation that will limit permanently the maximum amount of mortgages that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 2 Report of the President’s Commission on Budget Concepts, pp. 29-30. Financial statements for the Govern ment-sponsored enterprises are published in the Appendix, Part IV, “Government-Sponsored Enterprises.” Their borrowing is discussed in Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt.” 3b-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 can purchase. This will limit their continued encroachment on the market served by private firms for as long as these entities enjoy the advantages conferred by their assocation with the Federal Gov ernment. The administration will also resubmit last year’s proposal to charge a fee to Sallie Mae for the new debt it issues in the marketplace. The fee would partly eliminate the borrowing advan tage enjoyed by Sallie Mae as a Government-sponsored enterprise. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT INVESTMENT Part 3c CAPITAL SPENDING: INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL ASSETS This section discusses the Federal Government’s investment, direct or indirect, in public physical assets. More detailed informa tion is provided in Special Analysis D, “Federal Investment and Operating Outlays,” Special Analyses, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. In addition, data on historical trends in gross Federal physical capital investment are provided in section 9 of the separate volume entitled Historical Tables, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. In accordance with the requirements of the Federal Capital Investment Program Infor mation Act of 1984 (Title II of Public Law 98-501), a separate report will be transmitted to the Congress showing 10-year projec tions of Federal physical investment spending (excluding weapons), in current and constant dollars, and assessing civilian investment needs for selected purposes. Federal outlays for investment take several forms and are made for many purposes. They are in the form of direct outlays or grants and they include the acquisition of physical assets, which yield a stream of services over a period of years; expenditures for human capital in the form of education and training; expenditures for research and development, which provide less tangible long-term benefits; and lending, which yields a monetary return. 3c-l 3c-2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 SUMMARY OF TOTAL FEDERAL INVESTMENT OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) 1986 1987 estimate 1988 estimate Physical capital investment: Direct Federal: Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Direct Federal investment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Grants to State and local governments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Physical capital investment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Conduct of education and training.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Conduct of research and development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Loans and financial investments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other (including commodity inventories).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 84.7 11.3 95.9 26.3 122.2 23.7 52.1 20.5 11.0 90.8 12.9 103.7 24.9 128.6 23.6 55.1 5.2 7.8 91.2 10.9 102.1 23.4 125.5 22.2 59.5 2.0 9.6 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 229.5 220.3 218.8 The Federal Government’s investment in public physical assets is of two general types: direct investment by the Federal Govern ment, and Federal grants to State and local governments to finance physical capital acquisition. Physical capital investment by the private sector, State and local governments, and others as a result of Federal loans and loan guarantees, leases, contracts, tax policy, and regulatory policy is not covered. Direct Federal Physical Capital.—A business only invests in structures and equipment that it expects will generate future reve nue. The Federal Government also invests directly in physical assets that generate future revenue. The budget proposes to spend $4.3 billion on such projects in 1988, including those for TVA power generating stations and equipment, many Corps of Engineers projects, and Postal Service buildings and equipment. An additional $6.7 billion is proposed to be spent in 1988 on federally owned nondefense physical capital that will provide long term benefits, but that is not expected to generate future Federal revenue. This includes Government office buildings, veterans’ hos pitals, research facilities, park buildings, space shuttles, and com puters. Total direct nondefense physical investment of the Federal Government amounts to $10.9 billion, or 8.7 percent of all Federal investment spending, and 1.3 percent of total Federal outlays. The remaining purchases of long-lived physical assets by the Federal Government are for defense. Military bases and facilities, ships, planes, and missiles are in this category, along with ware houses, offices, and computers. In 1988, $91.2 billion is budgeted for Federal investment in such assets. This amount is 72.7 percent of CAPITAL SPENDING: INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL ASSETS 3c-3 total Federal physical capital investment and 8.9 percent of total Federal outlays. Grants for Physical Capital Investment.—The Federal Govern ment also helps pay for many public physical assets that it does not own. Federal grants finance a large share of State and local public works, mainly highways, mass transit facilities, airports, and pollution control facilities. In 1988, grants to State and local governments for investment purposes are proposed to be $23.4 bil lion, which is 18.6 percent of total Federal physical capital invest ment and 2.3 percent of total Federal outlays. All Federal outlays for physical capital investment, both direct outlays and grants, come to $125.5 billion or 12.5 percent of total Federal outlays. GROSS FEDERAL INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL CAPITAL 1 (In billions of dollars) I960 Direct Federal investment in physical capital: National Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense: Water and power projects.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Acquisition of major equipment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Nondefense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Direct Federal investment.. .. .. Grants to State and local governments for physical capital: Highways.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, Gross Federal investment in physical capital.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1970 1980 1985 1986 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 17.2 23.6 32.5 78.0 84.7 90.8 91.2 1.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 19.1 1.5 0.2 0.8 2.5 26.1 4.6 0.7 2.7 8.1 40.5 4.6 3.6 3.5 11.7 89.7 4.3 3.3 3.7 11.3 95.9 5.2 3.7 4.0 12.9 103.7 4.7 4.4 1.8 10.9 102.1 2.9 4.3 9.0 12.7 13.9 12.4 12.6 0.4 2.7 13.5 12.2 12.3 12.5 10.8 3.3 7.1 22.5 24.9 26.3 24.9 23.4 22.4 33.2 63.0 114.6 122.2 128.6 125.5 (As percentages of Federal outlays) National Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Direct Federal investment.. .. .. Grants to State and local governments.. .. .. .. Total, Gross Federal investment in physical capital.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 18.6 2.1 20.7 3.6 12.1 1.3 13.4 3.6 5.5 1.4 6.9 3.8 8.2 1.2 9.5 2.6 8.6 1.1 9.7 2.7 8.9 1.3 10.2 2.4 8.9 1.3 10.2 2.3 24.3 17.0 10.7 12.1 12.3 12.7 12.5 1 See Special Analysis D, "Federal Investment and Operating Outlays”, for more detail. Trends in Federal Investment.—Throughout the 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s, Federal investment in physical capital trended downward as a proportion of all Federal outlays, largely because payments for individuals grew very rapidly. More recently, Federal investment in physical capital rose from 10.3 percent of outlays in 1981 to a 3c-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 projected 12.5 percent in 1988, primarily as a result of investment in national defense. The greatest variation in investment during the post-World War II period has been for defense. Defense investment as a proportion of all Federal spending dropped from an average of 23.3 percent in the 5 years after the Korean war to an average of 5.4 percent in the latter half of the 1970s. Since then, defense investment has increased to 8.6 percent in 1986 and it is estimated to be 8.9 percent in 1988. This brings the share of defense investment back to that of the early 1970s—though well below the share in all but 2 years between 1940 and 1972. Spending for nondefense physical capital owned by the Federal Government has been much more stable. It has varied between 1.6 percent and 1.0 percent of total Federal outlays for the past two decades, and in 1988 it is estimated to be in the middle of that range. Federal grants to State and local governments for physical in vestment averaged 3.6 percent of all Federal outlays in the 1960s and 1970s. In recent years, they have declined to about 2.7 percent of all outlays and are estimated to decline to 2.3 percent in 1988. During this period, while the Federal Government was running large deficits, State and local governments, on average, were run ning surpluses. The cutback has been greatest in Federal grants for community and regional development and for natural resource investments; grants for transportation have nearly kept pace with the growth of Federal spending. These reductions reflect the ad ministration’s federalism initiatives, which have shifted responsi bilities funded by the Federal Government back to State and local governments if the benefits were primarily local or regional in nature. Real Net Nondefense Investment—Net capital investment is sig nificantly lower than gross investment because depreciation offsets part of new investment. The following table shows the estimated net values, in constant 1987 dollars, of Federal and federally fi nanced nondefense capital investment. Recently, direct Federal real net investment has been stable at a rate of about $3 billion. Real net investment financed by Federal grants to State and local governments has experienced a marked drop since the late 1970s, with the decline concentrated in community and regional develop ment and natural resources. Real net investment in transportation financed by Federal grants is expected to decline in 1987 and 1988, but from a relatively high base in 1986. Nondefense gross investment in physical assets has declined only moderately in constant dollars from the peak years of 1978-1980. However, net investment dropped substantially, from about $21 billion in the late 1970s to an estimated $10 billion currently. The CAPITAL SPENDING: INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL ASSETS 3c-5 investments proposed in this budget are directed toward projects of high national priority and will improve the efficiency of the Gov ernment and the economy. GROSS AND NET NONDEFENSE FEDERAL INVESTMENT IN PHYSICAL CAPITAL 1 (Estimates, in billions of 1987 dollars) 1960 1970 1980 1985 1986 1987 1988 Gross nondefense investment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 22.6 29.3 42.6 38.6 38.6 37.7 35.5 Depreciation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -10.0 -15.6 -21.8 -25.7 -26.6 -27.3 -28.0 7.5 10.4 Net nondefense investment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 12.7 13.8 20.8 12.9 12.0 Composition of net investment Direct nondefense: Water and power projects.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, direct nondefense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1.7 1.1 2.8 0.9 _* Grants to State and local governments.. .. .. .. .. . Total, Net nondefense Federal in vestment in physical capital.. .. .. . 0.8 1.7 0.9 2.6 -0.3 3.1 2.8 -0.8 2.5 1.7 0.2 2.7 2.9 -0.4 3.1 2.8 9.9 12.9 18.2 10.1 10.2 7.5 4.8 12.7 13.8 20.8 12.9 12.0 10.4 7.5 *$50 million or less. 1 See Special Analysis D, “Federal Investment and Operating Outlays”, for more detail. PART 4 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-1 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE Receipts (budget and off-budget) are taxes and other collections from the public that result from the exercise of the Government’s sovereign or governmental powers. They are compared with outlays to determine the surplus or deficit. This section of the budget discusses receipts for 1986 to 1990 and the legislative proposals and administrative actions affecting them.1 SUMMARY Total receipts in 1988 are estimated to be $916.6 billion, an increase of $74.2 billion from the $842.4 billion estimated for 1987. Receipts in 1989 and 1990 are estimated to be $976.2 billion and $1,048.3 billion, respectively. These estimates include the effects of: • previously enacted tax legislation, including the Tax Reform Act of 1986; and • the receipts proposals—primarily Internal Revenue Service initiatives, increased user fees, and trust fund reforms—in this budget. As a share of GNP, receipts are projected to rise from 19.1 percent in 1987 to 19.3 percent in 1990. This is primarily due to real economic growth and increases in the combined employeremployee social security (OASDHI) tax rate from 14.3 percent to 15.02 percent on January 1, 1988, and to 15.3 percent on January 1, 1990. Composition of Receipts.—The Federal tax system relies predomi nantly on income and payroll taxes. In 1988: • Income taxes paid by individuals and corporations are esti mated at $392.8 billion and $117.2 billion, respectively. These sources combined account for 55.6 percent of estimated re ceipts. • Social insurance taxes and contributions—composed largely of payroll taxes levied on wages and salaries, most of which are paid in equal amounts by employers and employees—will yield an estimated $333.2 billion, 36.4 percent of the total. 1 Detailed estimates of receipts by source for 1986 to 1988 are shown in Tables 13 and 17 of Part 6c. The economic assumptions on which the receipts estimates are based are presented in Part 3, and estimates of receipts for 1986-1992 are presented in Table 3 of Part 6c. Part 6a contains an analysis of the difference between actual receipts for 1986 and the estimates for 1986 transmitted to the Congress in February 1985. Part 6b explains the conceptual basis for classifying certain amounts collected by the Federal Government as receipts and other amounts as offsetting collections. 4-2 4-3 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE • Excise taxes imposed on selected products, services, and ac tivities are expected to provide $33.4 billion, 3.6 percent of the total. • Estate and gift taxes, customs duties, and miscellaneous re ceipts are estimated at $40.0 billion, the remaining 4.4 per cent of receipts. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE (In billions of dollars) 1986 actual Source Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 349.0 63.1 Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 283.9 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (83.7) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (200.2) 32.9 Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.0 Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 13.3 Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Miscellaneous receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 19.9 Total receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. On-budget....................................................... Off-budget....................................................... 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 1989 estimate 1990 estimate 364.0 104.8 301.5 (87.4) (214.0) 32.6 6.0 14.4 19.1 392.8 117.2 333.2 (91.1) (242.1) 33.4 5.8 15.3 18.9 417.3 128.6 357.2 (93.8) (263.4) 32.9 5.0 16.2 19.0 450.8 139.8 384.0 (97.3) (286.6) 33.7 4.4 16.8 18.8 769.1 842.4 916.6 976.2 (568.9) (200.2) (628.4) (214.0) (674.5) (242.1) (712.8) (263.4) 1,048.3 (761.6) (286.6) Under the tax policy and economic assumptions presented in this budget, the income tax share of total receipts is projected to rise to 56.3 percent by 1990, 0.7 percentage point more than its 1988 share. This rise is the combined effect of a 0.1 percentage point rise in the individual income tax share to 43.0 percent and a 0.5 percentage point rise in the corporation income tax share to 13.3 percent. Social insurance taxes and contributions are projected to increase slightly as a share of total receipts to 36.6 percent. The excise tax share is projected to decline to 3.2 percent in 1990, 0.4 percentage point less than for 1988. The projected share of all other receipts declines by 0.5 percentage point between 1988 and 1990. ENACTED LEGISLATION Several major tax laws have been enacted since this administra tion took office in January 1981. The first, the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA), provided incentives for work, saving, and investment. The major provisions of the Act included an across-theboard reduction in individual income tax rates and other reduc tions in individual income taxes; the annual adjustment of the zero bracket amount, the personal exemption, and individual income tax brackets for inflation beginning in 1985; and the accelerated cost recovery system (ACRS) for depreciation of capital expendi tures. 4-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The second major tax law, the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibil ity Act of 1982 (TEFRA), improved the fairness of the tax system while preserving the incentives for work, saving, and investment enacted in 1981. This Act increased receipts primarily by eliminat ing unintended benefits and obsolete incentives, and providing mechanisms to improve tax law enforcement and collection tech niques. The Highway Revenue Act of 1982 was the third major tax law enacted after January 1981. This Act increased the excise tax on gasoline and diesel fuel to 9 cents per gallon and restructured other highway related taxes to make the taxes paid by various highway users correspond more equitably to the wear and tear that such users cause to the highway system. Three major laws affecting receipts were enacted during 1983: the Social Security Amendments of 1983, the Interest and Divi dends Tax Compliance Act of 1983, and the Railroad Retirement Revenue Act of 1983. The first, the Social Security Amendments of 1983, restored the solvency of social security trust funds through a combination of revenue increases and benefit reductions. The major provision of the Interest and Dividends Tax Compliance Act of 1983 repealed the withholding of taxes on interest and dividend income provided in TEFRA. The tax increases provided in the Railroad Retirement Revenue Act of 1983, together with the bene fit reductions provided in the Railroad Retirement Solvency Act of 1983, were designed to place the railroad industry pension program on a sounder financial basis. Despite these changes, further deterio ration in the system has forced the rail pension actuaries to recom mend financing increases in the pension program. The most recent major tax law enacted prior to 1986 was the Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 (DEFRA). The major provisions of this Act increased the efficiency of the tax system by curbing tax shelter abuse, limiting unwarranted tax benefits, and further im proving tax law enforcement. One of the most sweeping overhauls of the tax code in our Nation’s history became law on October 22, 1986, when President Reagan signed the Tax Reform Act of 1986. The major provisions of this Act, which broadened the individual and corporation income tax bases and substantially lowered individual and corporation income tax rates, were designed to restore simplicity and fairness to the Federal income tax code. Other major laws enacted during 1986 affecting receipts included the Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985, the Federal Employees’ Retirement System Act of 1986, the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986, the Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986, and the Continuing Resolution for 1987. 4-5 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE As a result of these legislated changes, taxes have been reduced, on net, by $743.8 billion over the 1986-1990 period relative to what they would have been under pre-1981 tax law. As shown in the following table, there is a net tax reduction of $117.5 billion to $193.1 billion every year during this period. Individuals have bene fited the most from these legislated changes, realizing reductions in income taxes of $933.2 billion over the 5-year period. NET EFFECT OF MAJOR ENACTED LEGISLATION ON RECEIPTS 1 (In billions of dollars) 1986 Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981.... -209.8 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility 46.7 Act of 1982 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .... . Highway Revenue Act of 1982 .. .. .. .. . 4.5 10.2 Social Security Amendments of 1983... Interest and Dividends Tax Compliance Act of 1983 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . . -2.1 Railroad Retirement Revenue. Act of 1983.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1.1 Deficit Reduction Act of 1984.. .. .. .. .. 16.1 Consolidated Omnibus Budget Recon ciliation Act of 1985.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 0.9 Federal Employees’ Retirement System Act of 1986 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Superfund Amendments and Reauthor ization Act of 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Continuing Resolution for 1987.. .. .. .. . Tax Reform Act of 1986 2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Net tax reduction. .-132.4 ADDENDUM Net effect on receipts by source-. Individual income taxes.. .. .-134.4 Corporation income taxes... . -14.8 Social insurance taxes and con tributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 11.3 Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 11.3 Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. . -5.9 * Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. . Miscellaneous receipts.. .. . 0.1 1987 1988 1989 1990 1986-90 -238.5 -258.7 -282.0 -309.4 -1,298.4 56.8 4.7 12.1 58.8 4.9 24.6 58.2 5.1 31.0 59.9 5.1 23.8 280.4 24.2 101.7 -1.7 -1.8 -2.0 -2.5 -10.0 1.1 22.0 1.0 25.3 1.1 27.7 1.1 31.1 5.4 122.1 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.1 12.7 -0.4 -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 -2.9 2.6 2.8 2.4 1.0 8.8 0.6 1.9 18.6 -117.5 1.0 2.7 0.9 -136.4 1.1 2.4 -11.7 -164.4 1.1 2.5 -9.0 -193.1 3.9 9.5 -1.2 -743.8 -157.0 18.5 -186.2 19.7 -216.9 20.6 -238.6 24.2 -933.2 68.3 13.8 14.4 -7.9 0.6 0.2 27.3 11.2 -9.2 0.5 0.3 33.4 8.7 -11.0 0.6 0.1 25.1 8.5 -12.4 * 0.1 110.9 54.0 -46.4 1.8 0.8 *$50 million or less. 1 These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects on the economy are taken into account in forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. 2 The Tax Reform Act of 1986 also increases outlays by the following amounts: 1987, $0.1 billion; 1988, $1.7 billion; 1989, $2.8 billion; and 1990, $2.8 billion. The cumulative amount for 1987-90 is $7.4 billion. The major provisions of the laws enacted in 1986 affecting re ceipts are described below.2 2 For a more detailed discussion of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, see Part 4 of the 1983 Budget. A more detailed discussion of the Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 1982 and the Highway Revenue Act of 1982 is provided in Part 4 of the 1984 Budget. Detailed discussions of the Social Security Amendments of 1983, the Interest and Dividends Tax Compliance Act of 1983, and the Railroad Retirement Revenue Act of 1983 are provided in Part 4 of the 1985 Budget. The major provisions of the Deficit Reduction Act of 1984 are described in Part 4 of the 1986 Budget. 4-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 TAX REFORM ACT OF 1986 Reduction in Individual Income Tax Rates,—The 15 tax brackets and tax rates of prior law will be reduced to two tax brackets and two rates—15 and 28 percent—effective January 1, 1988. Beginning in 1988, the benefit of the 15 percent bracket will be phased out for taxpayers with taxable income exceeding specified levels, implicitly creating a marginal tax rate of 33 percent in the affected income range. These levels and the taxable income threshold at which the 28 percent rate applies will be adjusted annually for inflation beginning in 1989. A transitional tax rate schedule, consisting of five tax brackets and five tax rates—ranging from 11.0 percent to 38.5 percent—is in effect in 1987. Increase in Standard Deduction (Zero Bracket Amount),—The zero bracket amount, which was $3,670 for a married couple filing a joint return in 1986 and $2,480 for a single taxpayer or a head of household, was replaced with a standard deduction. For a married couple filing a joint return, the standard deduction is $3,760 in 1987 and will rise to $5,000 in 1988. For a single taxpayer, the standard deduction is $2,540 in 1987 and will rise to $3,000 in 1988. For a head of household, the standard deduction is $2,540 in 1987 and will rise to $4,400 in 1988. Beginning in 1989, the standard deduction will be adjusted annually for inflation. For elderly or blind taxpayers, the standard deduction in 1987 will rise to $5,000 on a joint return, $3,000 on a single return, and $4,400 on a head of household return. For 1987 and 1988, each elderly or blind individ ual will receive an additional standard deduction of $600 if they are married or a surviving spouse, and $750 if they are unmarried. These additional standard deductions will be adjusted annually for inflation beginning in 1989. Increase in Personal Exemption.—The personal exemption was increased from $1,080 in 1986 to $1,900 in 1987, and will increase to $1,950 in 1988, and to $2,000 in 1989. The exemption will be in dexed annually for inflation beginning in 1990. The additional exemptions provided elderly and blind individuals under prior law were repealed effective January 1, 1987, and replaced with the additional standard deductions discussed above. Repeal of Two-earner Deduction.—Under prior law, two-earner married couples filing a joint return were allowed a deduction equal to the lesser of $3,000 or 10 percent of the earnings of the lower-earning spouse. This deduction was repealed effective Janu ary 1, 1987. Repeal of Income Averaging.—Under prior law, eligible individ uals could apply a marginal tax rate that was lower than their FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-7 statutory rate to the portion of their taxable income that was more than 40 percent higher than their average taxable income for the prior 3 years. Income averaging was repealed for all taxpayers effective January 1, 1987. Limitation on Deduction for Medical Expenses.—Under prior law, unreimbursed medical care expenses were deductible to the extent that they exceeded 5 percent of adjusted gross income (AGI). Effective January 1, 1987, the floor on the amount of deductible medical expenses was increased to 7.5 percent of AGI. Taxation of Unemployment Compensation Benefits.—A portion of unemployment compensation benefits received under a Federal or State program was excluded from income subject to tax under prior law. Unemployment compensation benefits became fully taxable effective January 1, 1987. Limitation on Exclusion for Scholarship and Fellowship Income.—Scholarship and fellowship income, which generally was excluded from tax under prior law, became taxable to the extent that it exceeds tuition and related expenses effective January 1, 1987. Increase in Earned Income Tax Credit.—Under prior law, individ uals with one or more children and earned income of less than $11,000 were eligible for a refundable income tax credit. The credit was equal to 11 percent of the first $5,000 of earned income, for a maximum credit of $550. The amount of the credit was phased out for individuals with earned income (or, if greater, adjusted gross income) between $6,500 and $11,000. Effective January 1, 1987, the earned income tax credit was increased to 14 percent of the first $6,080 of earned income, for a maximum credit of $851. The amount of the credit is phased out for individuals with earned income (or, if greater, adjusted gross income) between $6,920 and $15,432. In 1988, the credit will be indexed for inflation and the phaseout range will be raised substantially. Depending on the exact inflation rate, the credit will be 14 percent of the first $6,200 of earned income for a maximum credit of about $865. The phase out range will be approximately $9,700 to $18,400. Repeal of State and Local Sales Tax Deduction.—The prior law itemized deduction for State and local sales taxes was repealed effective January 1, 1987. Repeal of Capital Gains Exclusion for Individuals.—Under prior law, individuals were allowed to exclude 60 percent of their net long-term capital gains from tax, resulting in a maximum marginal tax rate on long-term capital gains of 20 percent. The net capital 4-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 gains exclusion was repealed effective January 1, 1987. Because of the transitional individual income tax rate schedule in effect in 1987, the law provides that net long-term capital gains for that year cannot be taxed at rates exceeding 28 percent. Limitation on Miscellaneous Itemized Deductions.—Miscellane ous itemized deductions, such as union dues, tax preparation fees, and business periodicals, were fully deductible under prior law. In addition, moving expenses and certain employee business expenses such as unreimbursed travel and transportation costs, were deduct ible whether or not a taxpayer itemized deductions. Effective Janu ary 1, 1987, these items became itemized deductions and all but moving expenses are deductible only to the extent that they exceed 2 percent of adjusted gross income. Moving expenses are deductible without regard to the 2 percent floor. Limitation on Deductibility of Contributions to an Individual Retirement Account (IRA).—Individuals who do not actively partici pate in an employer sponsored pension plan are allowed to deduct up to $2,000 in annual contributions to an IRA ($2,250 in annual contributions to a spousal IRA), as under prior law. Effective Janu ary 1, 1987, the deduction was eliminated for individuals who file a joint return if either spouse actively participates in an employersponsored plan and their adjusted gross income is greater than or equal to $50,000; the maximum deductible contribution was phased out for such individuals with adjusted gross income between $40,000 and $50,000. The deduction was eliminated for single tax payers who actively participate in an employer sponsored plan and have adjusted gross income greater than or equal to $35,000; the maximum deductible contribution was phased out for such individ uals with adjusted gross income between $25,000 and $35,000. How ever, employees not eligible for deductible IRAs, or whose incomes fall within the phaseout range and are eligible for only partial deductible IRAs, can contribute to non-deductible IRAs. Taxpayers will be able to make deductible contributions for 1986 up to the due date of their 1986 return, as under prior law. Limitation on Consumer Interest Deduction.—The deductibility of interest on credit cards, car loans, student loans, and other con sumer loans was repealed. The deductibility of interest on a princi pal residence or a second home was retained, provided the indebt edness does not exceed the purchase price of the property plus improvements, or any excess is used for certain educational or medical expenses. This limitation, which applies to all interest paid after December 31, 1986, will be phased in and become fully effec tive January 1, 1991. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-9 Limitation on Deductibility of Passive Losses.—Losses from pas sive trade or business activities, which were fully deductible under prior law, are deductible only to the extent that they do not exceed passive income. An exception is provided for individuals who ac tively participate in rental real estate activities; these individuals are allowed to deduct up to $25,000 in annual passive losses against other sources of income. However, the $25,000 amount is reduced by 50 percent of the amount by which the taxpayer’s adjusted gross income (excluding losses from passive activities) exceeds $100,000. These limitations will be phased in beginning January 1, 1987, and will become fully effective January 1, 1991. Repeal of Investment Tax Credit.—A credit against the income tax of up to 10 percent of a taxpayer’s investment in depreciable property (generally not including buildings or their structural com ponents) was allowed under prior law. This credit was repealed for most property placed in service after December 31, 1985. However, certain property will continue to be eligible for the investment credit for various periods through 1990. Reduction in Corporation Income Tax Rates.—Under prior law, corporate income was subject to tax under a 5-bracket rate sched ule, with rates ranging from 15 to 46 percent. The benefit of the graduated rate structure was phased out for corporations with taxable income in excess of $1 million. Effective July 1, 1987, corporate income will be subject to tax under a 3-bracket rate schedule, with rates of 15, 25, and 34 percent. The benefit of the graduated rate structure is fully phased out for corporations with taxable income in excess of $335,000. Modification of Accelerated Cost Recovery System (ACRS) of De preciation.—Under ACRS, personal property is depreciated over 3, 5, 10, or 15 years, under the 150 percent declining balance method. Real property generally is depreciated over 19 years under the 175 percent declining balance method. ACRS was modified for property placed in service after December 31, 1986. Under the modified system, personal property and certain real property are depreciat ed over 3, 5, 7, 10, 15, and 20 years; real property generally is depreciated over 27.5 years for residential rental property and 31.5 years for non-residential property. Each class of property is depre ciated under prescribed depreciation methods. Property in the 3-, 5-, 7-, and 10-year classes is depreciated under the double declining balance method, switching to the straight line method. The 150 percent declining balance method, switching to the straight line method, is used to depreciate 15- and 20-year property. The straight line method is used to depreciate 27.5- and 31.5-year property. 4-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Extension of Research and Experimentation Credit.—The 25 per cent credit provided certain incremental research and experimenta tion expenditures paid or incurred in carrying on an existing trade or business was extended, at a reduced 20 percent rate, from Janu ary 1, 1986 through December 31, 1988. The credit had expired December 31, 1985. Modification of Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) for Individ uals.—Under prior law, the AMT was equal to 20 percent of an individual's AMT taxable income (regular adjusted gross income plus certain tax preferences) less an exemption amount ($40,000 for a married couple filing a joint return and $30,000 for a single taxpayer). Effective January 1, 1987, the AMT tax rate was in creased to 21 percent and the computation of certain tax prefer ences was modified. In addition, the exemption amount was phased out for married taxpayers with AMT taxable income exceeding $150,000 and for single taxpayers with AMT taxable income ex ceeding $112,500. Replacement of Corporate Add-on Minimum Tax With an Alter native Minimum Tax.—The corporate add-on minimum tax of prior law was replaced with an alternative minimum tax (AMT) effective January 1, 1987. The AMT is equal to 20 percent of a corporation’s AMT taxable income (regular taxable income plus certain adjust ments and preferences) less a $40,000 exemption. The exemption is phased out for corporations with alternative minimum taxable income in excess of $150,000. The excess, if any, of the AMT over the regular corporation income tax may generally be credited against future regular tax payments. Limitation on Deductibility of Investment Interest.—Under prior law, investment interest was deductible to the extent of net invest ment income (the excess of investment income over investment expenses) plus $10,000. This Act limited the deductibility of invest ment interest to the extent of net investment income. This limita tion, which applies to all interest paid after December 31, 1986, will be phased in and become fully effective January 1, 1991. Deductibility of Health Insurance Costs of Self-Employed Individ uals.—Effective January 1, 1987 through December 31, 1989, 25 percent of the amount paid for health insurance on behalf of a selfemployed individual and the individual’s spouse and dependents is deductible, provided the health insurance satisfies nondiscrimina tion requirements. Limitation on the Issuance of Tax-Exempt Bonds.—Two existing State-by-State volume caps on the issuance of private activity bonds (those financing loans to industry or to individuals for mort FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-11 gages or student loans) were combined into a single tighter volume cap. Bonds issued for certain purposes such as pollution control and sports facilities will no longer be tax exempt; on the other hand, prior law sunsets for both single family mortgage revenue bonds and certain industrial development bonds were each ex tended by one year. The number of advance refundings of taxexempt bonds was limited and the ability to earn arbitrage by investing proceeds of tax-exempt bonds in taxable instruments was reduced. These changes generally apply to bonds issued after August 15, 1986. Increase in Taxpayer Compliance.—The tax penalty for under statement of tax was increased from 10 percent to 20 percent; penalties for fraud, failure to file information returns, and failure to pay penalties were increased; the interest rate on tax deficien cies was increased; and information reporting requirements were expanded. Limitation on Deduction for Business Meals and Entertain ment.—Expenses for business meals and entertainment were fully deductible under prior law. Effective January 1, 1987, this deduc tion was limited to 80 percent of expenses incurred. Repeal of Dividend Exclusion for Individuals.—The $200 divi dend exclusion for married couples filing a joint return ($100 for single taxpayers) was repealed effective January 1, 1987. Changes in Requirements for Qualified Pensions.—Effective Jan uary 1, 1987, the amount an employee can exclude from his adjust ed gross income under a qualified cash or deferred arrangement with his employer was limited to $7,000 per year. The amount an employee may exclude from his taxable income by his own contri bution to a tax-sheltered annuity cannot exceed $9,500 per year. Existing nondiscrimination rules were tightened and qualified pen sion plans were required to cover a broader group of employees. To improve income security after retirement for individuals who change jobs, an individual's employer-provided pension benefits must vest more rapidly than under prior law. CONSOLIDATED OMNIBUS BUDGET RECONCILIATION ACT OF 1985 (COBRA) Extension of Cigarette Excise Tax.—The 16 cents per pack ciga rette excise tax, which was scheduled to decline to eight cents per pack effective March 15, 1986, was permanently extended. Taxation of Smokeless Tobacco.—Effective July 1, 1986, an excise tax of eight cents per pound was imposed on chewing tobacco and an excise tax of 24 cents per pound was imposed on snuff. 4-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Increase in Excise Tax on Coal Production.—The excise tax on coal production was increased to the lesser of $1.10 per ton for coal from underground mines and 55 cents per ton for coal from surface mines, or 4.4 percent of the sales price. These taxes became effec tive April 1, 1986. Extension of Medicare (HI) Coverage to New State and Local Government Employees.—Medicare coverage was extended to all State and local government employees hired after March 31, 1986, for services performed after that date. States also were allowed to extend medicare coverage (without extending coverage for social security benefits) to State and local government employees hired prior to April 1, 1986, by means of a voluntary agreement with the Secretary of Health and Human Services. Repeal of Income Averaging for Former Students.—Effective Jan uary 1, 1986, income averaging was repealed for individuals who were full-time students during any of the preceding three years.3 FEDERAL EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM ACT OF 1986 Establishment of Federal Employees9 Retirement System (FERS).—Federal employees hired after December 31, 1983 are covered under FERS and social security. These employees are con tributing 1.3 percent of their pay to FERS in 1987, and will contrib ute 0.94 percent in 1988 and 1989, and 0.8 percent beginning in 1990. Employees hired before January 1, 1984, who are currently covered under the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS), may make an irrevocable election to join FERS and social security between July 1, 1987 and December 31, 1987. Establishment of Thrift Savings Fund.—After an initial transi tion period, employees covered under FERS may contribute up to 10 percent of their pay to a special tax deferred savings plan. The employing agency automatically contributes 1 percent of pay into each employee’s thrift plan, even if the employee contributes noth ing. The agency will match 100 percent of the first 3 percent of pay contributed by the employee, and 50 percent of the next 2 percent of pay contributed by the employee.4 After an initial transition period, employees covered under CSRS may contribute up to 5 percent of pay to the thrift fund; however, the employing agency will not match the contributions of these employees.5 3 The Tax Reform Act of 1986 subsequently repealed income averaging for all taxpayers, as discussed above. 4 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986 delayed the effective date of the Thrift Savings Fund from January 1, 1987 to April 1, 1987, but increased the maximum allowable employee contribution to 15 percent of pay through September 30, 1987. 8 The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986 changed the date on which employees covered under CSRS may begin contributing to the thrift plan from July 1, 1987 to April 1, 1987. This Act also increased the maximum allowable contribution of these employees to 7.5 percent of pay through September 30, 1987. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-13 OMNIBUS BUDGET RECONCILIATION ACT OF 1986 Elimination of 3 Percent Threshold for Social Security Cost-ofLiving Increases.—Under prior law, social security benefits were not provided a cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) if the consumer price index (CPI) increased by less than 3 percent. The maximum level of wages and salaries subject to the social security (OASDHI) payroll tax was adjusted annually for inflation only if a COLA was provided. This 3 percent threshold was eliminated, effective the date of enactment. Acceleration of State and Local Deposit of Social Security Payroll Taxes . —Under prior law, States were required to make semi monthly deposits of social security taxes on their own behalf and for sub-State entities. Private employers and the Federal Govern ment deposit these taxes under a more timely, flexible schedule. Effective for social security taxes on wages paid after December 31, 1986, States are no longer liable for deposit of taxes by sub-State entities. In addition, State and local government employers are subject to the same deposit schedule, and the same interest charges and penalities for late deposit, as private employers. Acceleration of Collection of Certain Excise Taxes.—Under prior law, excise taxes on alcohol and tobacco products were paid semi monthly, with payments due 15 to 30 days after the close of each semi-monthly period. Effective for semi-monthly periods ending on or after December 31, 1986, excise taxes on these products are due 14 days after the close of the semi-monthly period. Increases in Certain Tax Penalties.—The penalty for failure to comply with deposit requirements was increased from 5 percent to 10 percent effective for all penalties assessed after the date of enactment. The penalty for substantial understatement of tax was increased from 10 percent to 25 percent, effective for such penalties assessed after the date of enactment. Increase in Customs User Fee.—An ad valorem tax of 0.22 percent was imposed on the value of imported merchandise. This tax, which was in addition to the customs processing fee on certain passengers and conveyances required under prior law, will decline to 0.17 percent effective October 1, 1988, and expire September 30, 1989. SUPERFUND AMENDMENTS AND REAUTHORIZATION ACT OF 1986 Reauthorization of Hazardous Substance Response Trust Fund (Superfund).—To help finance a 5-year extension of the Superfund 4-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 toxic waste cleanup program, the following taxes became effective January 1, 1987: • Excise taxes of 8.2 cents per barrel and 11.7 cents per barrel were levied on domestic crude oil and imported petroleum products, respectively. Under the prior law authorization, which expired September 30, 1985, importers and domestic producers were taxed at a rate of 0.79 cent per barrel. • The excise taxes imposed on the sale of 42 organic and inor ganic substances generally remained at their prior law rates. The excise tax on xylene was increased from its prior law rate of $4.87 per ton to $10.13 per ton. • A broad-based tax, equal to 0.12 percent of alternative mini mum taxable income in excess of $2 million, was imposed on all corporations. Establishment of Leaking Underground Storage Tank (LUST) Trust Fund.—To help finance the cleanup of wastes from leaking underground petroleum storage tanks, which pose a threat to drinking water, a 0.1 cent per gallon excise tax was imposed on gasoline, diesel fuels and other special motor fuels effective Janu ary 1, 1987. CONTINUING RESOLUTION FOR FISCAL YEAR 1987 Increase in Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Funding.—Funds were provided IRS for additional examiners; additional staff to handle appeals and litigation related to tax shelters; an automated exami nation system; and a system to match information documents sup plied by third parties against taxpayer returns. These increases in staffing and equipment will help IRS close the gap between taxes owed and taxes paid. Establishment of Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) Inspection Fee.—To cover the cost of immigration inspection and pre-inspection services, a fee of $5 was levied on each passenger arriving at a port of entry in the United States, or receiving pre inspection prior to such arrival. Passengers entering from Canada, Mexico, or a territory or possession of the United States are ex empted from this fee, which generally applies to immigration in spection services rendered after November 30, 1986 and before December 1, 1988. 4-15 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE EFFECT OF MAJOR LEGISLATION ENACTED IN 1986 ON RECEIPTS 1 (In billions of dollars) 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 -0.2 * 1.2 0.1 -0.2 0.3 2.3 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.4 2.3 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.5 2.3 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.6 2.3 0.9 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.1 -0.1 -0.3 -0.7 -0.2 -0.7 -0.8 -0.1 -0.4 -0.8 -0.8 -0.9 0.7 0.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.7 * 1.5 * 0.4 0.1 0.7 0.1 1.1 ♦ 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 2.6 2.8 2.4 1.0 -0.1 0.2 0.6 -0.2 0.4 0.9 -0.2 0.4 0.9 -0.2 0.4 0.9 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 -0.1 0.1 1.9 1.4 1.2 _* 0.1 2.7 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 2.4 2.5 Individual income tax provisions: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions.. Subtotal, individual income tax provisions.. -37.7 1.4 0.1 -36.3 -48.6 2.2 0.1 -46.3 -62.7 2.2 0.1 -60.3 -69.1 2.4 0.1 -66.6 Capital cost provisions: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, capital cost provisions.. 4.7 18.9 23.6 3.9 17.1 21.0 5.3 23.3 28.6 6.7 29.0 35.7 Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985 Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. . Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, Consolidated Omnibus Budget Rec onciliation Act of 1985.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal Employees’ Retirement System Act of 1986 Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, Federal Employees' Retirement System Act of 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986 Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Miscellaneous receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986 Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, Superfund Amendments and Reau thorization Act of 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Continuing Resolution for 1987 Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. Miscellaneous receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, Continuing Resolution for 1987 Tax Reform Act of 1986 4-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 EFFECT OF MAJOR LEGISLATION ENACTED IN 1986 ON RECEIPTS—Continued (In billions of dollars) 1987 1988 1989 1990 Accounting provisions: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, accounting provisions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 0.3 8.9 9.2 1.3 12.6 14.0 1.2 11.8 13.0 1.2 11.1 12.3 Capital gains: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, capital gains.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 12.5 0.5 13.0 -1.5 0.9 -0.6 -0.1 1.0 1.0 3.4 1.2 4.6 2.2 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.3 * * 2.4 0.4 * * 2.5 0.5 * ♦ 2.4 1.4 2.7 3.0 0.1 -6.2 -0.4 -17.7 * -0.9 -25.8 * -0.9 -29.7 * -6.0 -18.0 -26.7 -30.6 Interest expense (individual income taxes).. .. .. .. .. 1.2 3.1 4.6 5.8 Minimum tax provisions: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, minimum tax provisions.. .. .. .. .. .. 1.4 2.7 4.1 3.7 4.6 8.3 0.9 4.8 5.7 -0.5 4.2 3.7 Pensions and employee benefits: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. . Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, pensions and employee benefits 3.2 1.2 -0.1 0.2 -0.7 3.8 8.4 0.9 _* 0.1 -0.6 8.7 8.2 0.2 ♦ -1.2 7.2 9.0 -0.1 * -1.9 7.0 _* -1.7 _* -1.2 _* -0.7 _* -0.4 -1.7 -1.2 -0.8 -0.4 0.8 * 0.8 3.4 -0.2 3.3 5.7 -0.6 5.1 8.0 -1.0 7.0 1.9 2.4 * 1.3 5.5 0.3 1.2 6.9 0.2 1.2 8.2 0.2 1986 Compliance and administration: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, compliance and administration.. .. Corporate and general business taxation: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, corporate and general business taxation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Research and development provisions: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, research and development provi sions .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Tax shelters and real estate: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, tax shelters and real estate.. .. .. . Other: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4-17 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE EFFECT OF MAJOR LEGISLATION ENACTED IN 1986 ON RECEIPTS—Continued (In billions of dollars) 1987 1988 1989 1990 Subtotal, other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 4.3 7.2 8.3 9.6 Total, Tax Reform Act of 1986 2.. .. .. .. .. .. 18.6 0.9 -11.7 -9.0 -7.7 29.1 0.9 3.7 -0.7 0.6 0.1 26.0 -22.8 26.7 1.8 3.7 -0.6 0.5 0.2 9.5 -33.0 24.9 1.6 3.5 -1.2 0.6 * -31.4 26.9 0.8 3.5 -1.9 * -3.5 -2.1 1986 ADDENDUM Total effect on receipts by source: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. . Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Miscellaneous receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . _* -0.2 * 1.2 * 0.9 * $50 million or less. 1 These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects on the economy are taken into account in forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major source and in total. 2 The Tax Reform Act of 1986 also increases outlays by the following amounts: 1987, $0.1 billion; 1988, $1.7 billion; 1989, $2.8 billion; and 1990, $2.8 billion. RECEIPTS PROPOSALS The President believes firmly that tax reform must not be undone with income tax rate increases, and has pledged to oppose any such attempt to raise taxes. In keeping with this pledge, the receipt changes proposed in this budget are limited to initiatives to collect taxes owed but not paid, increased user charges for Federal services, and trust fund reforms. Together, these changes are esti mated to increase receipts $6.1 billion in 1988. The major changes being proposed are discussed below. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Initiatives.—As a result of the Tax Reform Act of 1986, the tax system is simpler and fairer, making it easier for taxpayers to pay the correct amount of taxes and for IRS to determine how much each taxpayer owes. The administration proposes to increase IRS funding in 1988 to ensure the smooth implementation of tax reform, to improve tax law enforcement, and to close the gap between taxes owed and taxes paid. These initiatives are estimated to increase 1988 receipts by $2.4 billion. This increase is in addition to the $5.0 billion in 1988 receipts (reflected in the current services receipts estimates) that is estimated to result from increased taxpayer compliance due to tax reform, recent increases in penalties, and more effective enforce ment. Extension of Medicare Hospital Insurance (HI) Coverage to All State and Local Government Employees.—A minority of State and local government employees who were hired prior to April 1, 1986 may not be assured of medicare coverage. Moreover, because of 4-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 eligibility through their spouse or short periods of work in covered employment, as many as three out of four State and local employ ees who contribute nothing to the program are entitled to the full range of medicare benefits. Coverage of these employees, who are the only major group of employees not assured of medicare cover age, would eliminate this drain on the medicare trust fund. This change in coverage, proposed to be effective January 1, 1988, is estimated to increase receipts $1.6 billion in 1988. Repeal of Exemptions from Gasoline and Other Highway Excise Taxes.—Under current law, gasohol and certain other alcohol fuels are exempted from Federal excise taxes on gasoline and diesel fuel. Public bus operators are fully exempted from Federal gasoline, diesel fuel, and other highway excise taxes; in general, private bus operators are fully or partially exempted from these taxes. State and local governments are exempted from all Federal highway excise taxes. Consistent with its position that highway users should pay taxes that correspond to the wear and tear that they cause the highway system, the administration proposes to repeal these ex emptions effective October 1, 1987, resulting in increased receipts to the highway trust fund of $0.8 billion in 1988. Increase in Contribution to the Rail Industry Pension Fund.— Financing legislation for the rail industry pension fund enacted in 1974, 1981, and 1983 was based on what have proven to be optimis tic assumptions, and Railroad Retirement Board actuaries now recommend raising rail pension finances. To protect the solvency of the fund, the administration proposes to increase rail pension con tributions 1.5 percent effective January 1, 1988, and an additional 1.5 percent effective January 1, 1989. These changes are estimated to increase receipts $0.1 billion in 1988 and $0.3 billion in 1989. Requirement that Employers Pay the Employer Portion of the Social Security (OASDHI) Payroll Tax on Total Tips.—Under cur rent law, employees must pay their portion of the OASDHI payroll tax on the total amount of cash tips; the liability of their employ ers, however, generally is limited to the amount of tips considered to be wages under the Federal minimum wage law. Benefits are based on the total amount of cash tips. To eliminate this cross subsidy from other employers, the administration proposes that the employer contribution be based on the total amount of cash tips. This proposal is estimated to increase 1988 receipts by $0.2 billion. Increase in Excise Tax on Coal Production.—The excise tax paid by coal mine operators is insufficient to cover the cost of medical and income replacement benefits for miners disabled by the black lung disease, for which those operators are legally responsible. The black lung disability trust fund will be $2.9 billion in debt by the FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-19 end of 1988, even though the Federal Government has assumed responsibility for paying almost $1 billion a year in income replace ment benefits for some miners and the general taxpayer currently is required to pay the interest cost on the amounts the trust fund has borrowed. The administration proposes to increase the excise tax receipts to the trust fund by $357 million in 1988 and to repeal the requirement that the general taxpayer pay the interest costs. These changes, together with modest benefit reforms, would elimi nate the trust fund deficit by the year 2007. Extension of Social Security (OASDHI) Coverage to Certain Earn ings.—Under current law some 1.4 million Armed Forces reservists do not receive social security credit for their inactive duty earn ings, because inactive duty training has not been covered employ ment. Earnings from full time active duty or active duty training are covered. The administration proposes to extend coverage to inactive duty earnings. The administration also proposes to extend coverage to certain students and agricultural workers, children age 18-21 employed by their parents, and spouses employed by the other spouse. The proposal would also conform the social security treatment of group term life insurance to the income tax treat ment. These changes, proposed to become effective January 1, 1988, are estimated to increase receipts $0.3 billion in 1988. Increase in Customs User Fee.—Last year Congress enacted an ad valorem tax on imports of 0.22 percent of value in 1987, dropping to 0.17 percent in 1988, and expiring September 30, 1989. In imple menting this change, Congress exempted imports with Americanmade components. The administration proposes to correct this tech nical deficiency to ensure that the costs of services provided by the U.S. Customs Service are borne by the users of those services and not the general taxpayer. The administration also proposes to extend the fee beyond its scheduled expiration date. This proposal is estimated to increase receipts $0.1 billion in 1988. Extension of Federal/State Unemployment Insurance Coverage to Railroad Employment.—Railroad employment is the only sector not covered by the Federal/State unemployment insurance system. The separate Railroad Sickness and Unemployment Insurance Fund (RSUI), which is financed by payroll taxes paid by rail em ployers, is deeply in debt to the rail pension fund. Rail pension actuaries have recommended immediate action to begin improving the solvency of the rail pension fund. This fund cannot afford to be a “rich uncle” to the unemployment fund when it is facing poten tially serious financial problems. To ensure sound financing of rail unemployment benefits and repayment of debts to the financially ailing rail pension fund, the 4-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 administration is renewing its proposal that Federal/State unem ployment insurance coverage be extended to railroad employment. Under a transitional Federal program, all rail workers becoming unemployed after September 30, 1987 would be eligible for general ly higher benefits under the Federal/State system. Existing RSUI debt repayment contributions from rail employers would remain in place to finance sickness payments and ensure that RSUI’s debt to the rail pension fund is repaid. This proposal is estimated to in crease receipts by $0.1 billion in 1988. Initiation of Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Fees.—The adminis tration is again proposing that the IRS impose fees on letters of determination and private letter rulings. The IRS, upon written request by a taxpayer, will issue a private letter ruling to give assurance of the IRS position on a transaction under consideration. This ensures that the transaction can be completed in such a way that it will not be challenged by the Government. Determination letters primarily concern employee benefit plans and tax exempt organizations. These fees, proposed to become effective October 1, 1987, are estimated to increase receipts by $0.1 billion in each year, beginning in 1988. Initiation of Rail Sector Financing of a Portion of Windfall Subsidy.—The Federal Government subsidizes 100 percent of the windfalls created when railroad retirement and social security ben efits were uncoordinated. Prior to 1985, railroad retirees covered under both social security and railroad retirement received higher benefits than they would have received had all employment been covered under railroad retirement. Congress enacted legislation in 1974 to stop accrual of these additional benefits, or windfalls, and authorized 25 level annual appropriations to fund remaining wind falls. The General Accounting Office has found that rail industry funded pensions are reduced by some 25 percent of windfall amounts, and has suggested that it may be more accurate to subsi dize only 75 percent of total windfall costs. Consistent with the administration’s policy of limiting subsidies provided to higher income recipients of Federal benefits, rail sector financing of 25 percent of windfall benefits is being reproposed. This change, pro posed to become effective October 1, 1987, is estimated to reduce the annual windfall subsidy of some $1,100 per employee to about $820 in a sector with average annual wages of some $40,000 per rail worker. This proposal is estimated to increase receipts $0.1 billion in each year, beginning in 1988. Increase in the District of Columbia (D.C.) Employer Contribution to the Civil Service Retirement System (CSRS).—The D.C. Govern ment currently contributes 7 percent of wages and salaries to FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-21 CSRS; D.C. Government employees contribute an additional 7 per cent. The cost of civil service retirement exceeds the combined contribution of the D.C. Government and its employees. Beginning in 1988, the administration proposes to increase the D.C. Govern ment employer contribution as necessary to cover the full cost of the program.6 This proposal is estimated to increase receipts by small amounts in each year. Increase in Fees on Nuclear Power Plants,—The administration is proposing increasing existing fees to recover 50 percent of Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and Federal Emergency Manage ment Administration (FEMA) costs for regulating nuclear power plants. It is estimated that these fees will increase receipts $0.1 billion in each year, beginning in 1987. Other,—Additional changes being proposed include: extension of the Immigration and Naturalization Service inspection fees at cur rent rates; inclusion of income replacement benefits for miners disabled by the black lung disease in taxable income; initiation of Federal marine fishing license fees for commerical and recreational fishing; increases in fees for services provided by the Treasury’s Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms; and repeal of the wind fall profit tax. EFFECT OF ENACTED AND PROPOSED CHANGES ON RECEIPTS The actual change in receipts that will result from an enacted or proposed tax revision will depend on both the direct effect of the tax change and the indirect or “feedback” effect. The direct effect is the increase or decrease in receipts due only to the tax change at the levels of income reflected in the administration’s forecast. The indirect or feedback effect is the increase or decrease in receipts due to the effect of the tax change on income levels. The estimates of the effect of enacted and proposed tax changes shown in this budget represent the direct effect of these changes on receipts, based on the levels of corporate and individual income reflected in the administration’s forecast. These levels of income already reflect enactment of the tax change; therefore, the estimat ed indirect or feedback effect on receipts due to the tax-induced change in incomes is already included in the baseline (pre-tax change) estimates of receipts. For example, the estimates of the effect of the Economic Recov ery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA) shown in this budget represent only the direct effect of the changes provided in the Act, based on the 6 The administration proposes to increase the contribution of the Postal Service in the same way. Contribu tions of the Postal Service to CSRS are shown on the outlay side of the budget and do not affect receipts. 4-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 EFFECT OF PROPOSED LEGISLATION AND ADMINISTRATIVE ACTION ON RECEIPTS 1 (In billions of dollars) 1987 IRS initiatives.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Extend HI coverage to State and local employees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Repeal gasoline and other highway tax exemptions2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Increase contribution to rail industry pension fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Require employer tax on total tips2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Increase tax on coal production2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Extend OASDHI coverage to certain earnings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Customs user fee2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . * Railroad unemployment insurance coverage.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. IRS user fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Railroad windfall subsidy financing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. D.C. employer contribution to CSRS.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Nuclear power plant fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 0.1 Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 0.1 1988 1989 1990 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 * 0.1 0.1 6.1 3.1 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 ♦ 0.1 0.4 8.0 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 * 0.1 0.4 8.6 1.1 1.0 2.4 (2.0) (0.4) 1.2 0.4 6.1 (5.8) (0.4) 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 3.5 3.5 (2.9) (2.9) (0.6) (0.6) 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.5 8.0 8.6 (7.5) (8.0) (0.6) (0.6) ADDENDUM Effect of proposals on receipts by source: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -* Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 0.1 Total.. .. .. .. . 0.1 On-budget. (0.1) Off-budget * $50 million or less. 1 These estimates are based on the direct effect only of legislative changes at a given level of economic activity. Induced effects on the economy are taken into account in forecasting incomes, however, and in this way affect the receipts estimates by major sources and in total. 2 Net of income tax offsets. levels of income reflected in the administration’s forecast. These levels of income already reflect enactment of ERTA. The increased receipts resulting from the tax-induced increase in incomes there fore are included in the baseline estimates of receipts. The esti mates of the direct effect of the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 on receipts therefore overstate, in this sense, the net loss to the Treasury of the income tax reductions and other tax changes pro vided in the Act. The estimates in this budget of the effect of the administration’s proposals on receipts also represent only the direct effect of these changes. The indirect effect of these proposals is likewise included in the baseline estimates of receipts. CHANGES IN RECEIPTS Receipts are estimated to increase by $73.3 billion in 1987, $74.2 billion in 1988, $59.6 billion in 1989, and $72.1 billion in 1990. These year-to-year changes can be divided between changes due to 4-23 FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE growth in the tax base and changes due to revisions in the tax structure. For example, under the tax rates and structure in effect on January 1, 1981, receipts would have risen by $77.6 billion in 1988. The combined effect of administrative action and enacted and proposed tax law changes reduces the growth in 1988 receipts by $3.4 billion. COMPONENTS OF CHANGES IN RECEIPTS (In billions of dollars) 1987 1988 1989 1990 Growth in receipts: Under existing law and administrative action and proposed legislation.. .. .. .. . 73.3 74.2 59.6 72.1 Under tax rates and structure in effect January 1,1981.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 53.1 77.6 77.0 74.5 Difference.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 20.2 -3.4 -17.4 -2.4 4-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CHANGES IN RECEIPTS (In billions of dollars) 1986 Receipts under tax rates and structure in effect January 1,19811.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 868.6 0.2 Administrative action.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Enacted legislative changes: Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981.. .. .. .. .. . -209.8 Tax Equity and Fiscal Responsibility Act of 46.7 1982.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4.5 Highway Revenue Act of 1982.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 8.2 Social Security Amendments of 1983 2.. .. .. .. Interest and Dividends Tax Compliance Act of 1983.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -2.1 Railroad Retirement Revenue Act of 1983.. .. . 1.1 Deficit Reduction Act of 1984.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 16.1 Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation 0.9 Act of 1985.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal Employees’ Retirement System Act of 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986 3.. Superfund Amendments and Reauthorization Act of 1986 4.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Continuing Resolution for 1987.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tax Reform Act of 1986 5 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social security taxable earnings base in creases: 6 $29,700 to $32,400 on Jan. 1,1982.. . 5.1 $32,400 to $35,700 on Jan. 1,1983.. . 5.0 $35,700 to $37,800 on Jan. 1,1984.. . 2.5 $37,800 to $39,600 on Jan. 1,1985.. . 2.0 $39,600 to $42,000 on Jan. 1,1986.. . 0.9 $42,000 to $43,800 on Jan. 1,1987.. . $43,800 to $45,300 on Jan. 1,1988.. . $45,300 to $47,400 on Jan. 1,1989.. . $47,400 to $50,100 on Jan. 1,1990.. . Social security (OASDHI) tax rate in creases: 6 7 13.3% to 13.4% effective Jan. 1,1982.. .. 1.6 13.4% to 14.0% effective Jan. 1,1984.. .. 11.6 14.0% to 14.1% effective Jan. 1,1985.. .. 2.2 2.7 14.1% to 14.3% effective Jan. 1,1986.. .. 14.3% to 15.02% effective Jan. 1,1988.... 15.02% to 15.3% effective Jan. 1,1990.... Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1.2 Proposed legislation and administrative action... Total, receipts under existing and pro posed legislation and administrative action 8.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 769.1 1987 1988 1989 1990 921.6 0.3 999.2 1.0 1,076.2 0.9 1,150.7 0.2 -238.5 -258.7 -282.0 -309.4 56.8 4.7 9.5 58.8 4.9 11.0 58.2 5.1 12.1 59.9 5.1 15.3 -1.7 1.1 22.0 -1.8 1.0 25.3 -2.0 1.1 27.7 -2.5 1.1 31.1 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.1 -0.4 1.9 -0.8 1.5 -0.8 2.3 -0.9 1.0 0.4 1.9 18.6 0.8 2.7 0.9 0.9 2.4 -11.7 0.9 2.5 -9.0 5.9 5.8 3.0 2.3 2.7 0.7 6.7 6.7 3.5 2.8 3.2 2.1 0.6 7.7 7.8 4.1 3.3 3.8 2.5 1.9 1.0 8.7 8.9 4.8 3.8 4.5 3.0 2.2 3.0 1.3 1.7 12.3 2.3 4.1 1.8 13.2 2.5 4.5 10.6 1.9 13.9 2.6 4.7 15.7 0.7 0.1 3.4 6.1 3.8 8.0 2.0 14.6 2.8 5.0 16.6 5.3 4.1 8.6 842.4 916.6 976.2 1,048.3 1 These figures assume a social security taxable earnings base of $29,700 through 1990. 2 Excludes the effect of increases in the OASDHI tax rate that are shown below. 3 Excludes the effect of increases in the social security taxable earnings base that areshown below. 4 These estimates represent the net increase in receipts relative to receipts under the tax rates in effect January 1, 1981. 5 The Tax Reform Act of 1986 also increases outlays by the following amounts: 1987, $0.1 billion; 1988, $1.7 billion; 1989, $2.8billion; and 1990, $2.8 billion. 8 When the tax rate and the taxable earnings base increase at the same time, dividing up the total effect on receipts is arbitrary to some small extent because of an interaction effect. Tne increase in receipts due to this interaction effect is attributed to the rate and base changes in proportion to the increases in receipts that would occur if the rate and base were each changed separately. 7 The combined employer-employee old age and survivors, disability, and hospital insurance (OASDHI) tax rate. 8 These estimates include both the direct and indirect effects of administrative action and legislative changes. FEDERAL RECEIPTS BY SOURCE 4-25 RECEIPTS BY SOURCE Individual Income Taxes.—Individual income taxes are estimated to increase by $86.8 billion or 23.9 percent from 1987 to 1990, largely due to increases in incomes resulting from both real eco nomic growth and inflation. These estimates reflect the legislated changes in individual income taxes provided since this administra tion took office, and the proposed changes reflected in this budget. The administation’s IRS initiatives and other proposals are esti mated to add $3.9 billion to individual income taxes between 1987 and 1990. Corporation Income Taxes.—Corporation income taxes are esti mated to increase from $104.8 billion in 1987 to $139.8 billion in 1990. This increase of 33.4 percent is in large part due to higher corporate profits. These estimates reflect the changes in the invest ment tax credit and depreciation provided in the Tax Reform Act of 1986, and other tax changes enacted since January 1981. They also reflect the administration’s IRS initiatives and other propos als, which are estimated to increase corporation income taxes by a net $1.0 billion in 1988, and $1.5 billion in 1989 and 1990. Social Insurance Taxes and Contributions.—This category in cludes social security and railroad retirement taxes, unemployment insurance taxes and deposits, and other retirement contributions. Receipts from this source are expected to increase from $301.5 billion in 1987 to $384.0 billion in 1990. These estimates reflect scheduled increases in the combined employer-employee social se curity (OASDHI) tax rate from 14.3 percent to 15.02 percent on January 1, 1988, and to 15.3 percent on January 1, 1990. The estimates also reflect annual increases in the social security tax able earnings base to $50,100 in 1990. The administration’s propos als, primarily the extension of medicare coverage to State and local government employees and the extension of social security (OASDHI) coverage to certain earnings, are estimated to increase this source of receipts by $2.4 billion in 1988, and $3.5 billion in 1989 and 1990. Excise Taxes.—Excise taxes are levied on a variety of products, services, and activities. Receipts from these taxes are estimated to increase from $32.6 billion in 1987 to $33.7 billion in 1990. These estimates reflect the extension of airport and airway trust fund taxes and highway trust fund taxes scheduled to expire under current law. The estimates also reflect Army Corps of Engineers harbor maintenance user fees and inland waterway fuel tax in creases enacted in the Water Resources Development Act of 1986. The administration’s proposals, which include the repeal of high way tax exemptions and increases in excise taxes on coal produc 4-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 tion, are estimated to increase excise taxes by $1.2 billion in 1988, 1989, and 1990. Other Receipts.—Estate and gift taxes, customs duties, and mis cellaneous receipts (almost all of which are deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System) are estimated to total $39.6 billion in 1987, $40.0 billion in 1988, $40.2 billion in 1989, and $40.0 billion in 1990. PROPRIETARY RECEIPTS In addition to receipts, the Government receives significant pro prietary income from the public. This income is derived from vari ous market-oriented activities and takes the form of interest, rents, royalties, and the sale of Government property, products, and serv ices. Because this income arises from business-type transactions rather than from taxation, it is treated as an offset to related outlays and budget authority rather than as receipts. These offset ting collections from the public are discussed in Part 6b; they are divided between collections offset in expenditure accounts and pro prietary receipts from the public. Proprietary receipts from the public are shown in Table 14 of Part 6c. PART 5 FEDERAL PROGRAMS BY FUNCTION: MEETING NATIONAL NEEDS 5-1 INTRODUCTION This part of the budget presents Federal programs in terms of functions, which are broad categories of activities with similar purposes. Programs are grouped into functions so that related Fed eral activities that meet particular national needs may be consid ered together, regardless of which agencies are responsible for them. To the extent feasible, the functional structure classifies these activities according to their primary purpose. Each activity is classified only in the function that defines its most important purpose, even though it may serve more than one. There are 19 functions, each of which consists of one or more subfunctions, which are generally narrower and more homogene ous groupings of programs. Two additional categories—allowances and undistributed offsetting receipts—are not themselves functions because they do not consist of programs, but are needed to encom pass the entire budget. There have been no major changes in the functional structure of the budget since last year. The function-subfunction-program hierarchy is used in the tables of budget authority and outlays presented for each function. These tables quantify the President’s proposals; the accompanying text explains them. Each function starts with a statement of the nation al needs served by programs in the function. A summary para graph or two describe the function and major proposals. Individual programs within the subfunctions are discussed in terms of budget authority and outlays. While budget authority and outlays are the most important measures of resources allocated to Federal programs, they do not cover all Federal activities. Federal loan guarantees generally re quire no outlays unless the borrower defaults. To monitor and control Federal credit activities, a separate credit budget measures all guaranteed loan commitments and direct loan obligations. Most functions contain Federal credit programs; the functional sections discuss these programs and contain a table of credit activity. The figures in these tables add up to the credit budget totals, which appear in Table 1 of Part 6c of this volume. The credit budget is explained in Part 3b of this volume and in Special Analysis F, “Federal Credit Programs.” Tax expenditures, also not measured by budget authority or out lays, are another means by which the Federal Government can achieve policy objectives. Tax expenditures are provisions of 5-2 INTRODUCTION 5-3 income tax law that allow a preferential rate of tax, a special credit, a deferral of tax liability, or a special exclusion, deduction, or exemption. Most of the functions include a discussion, and in several cases a table, of tax expenditures. All tax expenditure estimates are based on current law, and do not reflect any pro posed changes in tax law. The definition and measurement of tax expenditures are explained in Part 6a of this volume and in Special Analysis G, “Tax Expenditures/’ The following tables appear in other parts of this volume: • Outlays by function and subfunction for 1978 through 1988, in Table 18 of Part 6c. • Outlays and budget authority by function for 1986 through 1992, in Tables 4 and 8, respectively, of Part 6c. • Budget authority and outlays for 1986 through 1989 for each agency and account, in Part 4 of the Budget. Each account has a 3-digit code indicating the function and subfunction in which it is classified. Data for earlier years are published in Historical Tables, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. 5-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL DEFENSE The objective of the national defense program is to protect the Nation and its allies from foreign aggression. This program seeks to preserve peace by maintaining sufficient military strength to deter both nuclear and conventional war. Should war nonetheless occur, we must be prepared to defend ourselves successfully, while minimizing the scope and intensity of the conflict. Deterring foreign threats to our vital interests and those of our allies and friends requires a full range of defense capabilities, including survivable and flexible capabilities for nuclear deter rence; maritime superiority; strong air and ground forces in Europe and other critical forward areas; and the ability to deploy military forces rapidly anywhere in the world and to sustain them in the field. Our defense program is designed to develop and maintain these necessary military capabilities in an efficient and timely manner. Budget authority for defense declined in real terms in both 1986 and 1987. The 1987 appropriated amount is now 6 percent below that for 1985. Congress cut $65 billion from administration requests for 1986 and 1987, with reductions in both operations and invest ment programs. As a consequence, the rebuilding of our national security capabilities is proceeding at a slower pace and may prove more costly. Fewer aircraft, missiles, and ships are being purchased than is prudent. There is less investment in ammunition, in war reserve stocks, and in the development of systems that will provide new capabilities. Fewer resources are available for combat readi ness. To address the most critical unmet needs resulting from the 2year decline in real defense budget authority levels, the adminis tration proposes a 1987 supplemental appropriation of $2.8 billion, to be followed by sustained moderate real growth in 1988 and thereafter. The amounts requested are those minimally necessary to maintain national security and to allow the consolidation of real gains in military strength made in this administration. The budget proposal would continue improvements in the capa bilities of strategic and conventional forces. Because of severe fiscal constraints, the rate of force improvements is slower than original ly planned. Procurement is being stretched out for several major ground forces systems and some Navy ship construction delayed. Progress toward the Air Force’s mid-term goal of 40 active and reserve tactical wings is being held temporarily to 37 wings. In keeping with the recommendation of the President’s Blue Ribbon Commission on Defense Management, and as required by the 1986 Defense Authorization Act, a 2-year budget for 1988 and 1989 is submitted for national defense. The budget proposes $312.0 NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-5 billion in budget authority and estimates $297.6 billion in outlays for the national defense function in 1988, and $332.4 billion in budget authority and $312.2 billion in outlays in 1989. The accom panying table shows budget authority and outlays for the three major national defense subfunctions: military functions of the De partment of Defense, atomic energy defense activities, and defenserelated activities of other agencies. Department of Defense-Military.—The $303.3 billion in budget authority requested for the military functions of the Department of Defense in 1988 and the $323.3 billion requested for 1989 provide about 3 percent real growth per year starting from the 1987 level enacted by the Congress. These levels are essential to maintain the military strength to ensure the Nation’s security and deter war. Maintaining our defense capabilities requires continuing efforts to: • modernize all components of U.S. strategic forces to ensure that they deter nuclear attack by virtue of their ability to survive and retaliate should an attack occur; • develop and procure conventional equipment that performs efficiently and effectively on the modern battlefield; • improve the readiness and combat endurance of conventional forces; • develop sufficient maritime and airlift capacity to ensure that we can deploy U.S. forces to critical regions overseas in order to protect our interests, support our allies, and allow contin ued access to essential resources; and • strengthen alliances and coalitions to protect U.S. interests worldwide and, in particular, to achieve NATO objectives. Budget authority requested for the Department of Defense-Mili tary is shown by mission category in the second table of this section. These categories are discussed below. Strategic Forces.—The budget continues the President’s strategic modernization program, which is essential for strengthening deter rence and achieving meaningful arms control agreements. Our bomber forces are being modernized by acquiring 100 B-1B bombers, the Advanced Technology Bomber, and the Advanced Cruise Missile. Land-based missile forces are being improved sub stantially through the deployment of the first 50 Peacekeeper mis siles in refurbished Minuteman silos; development of a new, surviv able rail-mobile basing mode for deployment of Peacekeepers in the early 1990’s; and development of the single-warhead small ICBM. To continue modernization of our submarine-based forces, the budget provides for procuring one new Trident ballistic missile submarine per year, and continues development and procurement of the new, advanced Trident II missile. Substantial funding in creases also are proposed for the President’s Strategic Defense Initiative to fund research to determine whether a thoroughly 5-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL DEFENSE (Functional code 050; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 67,794 74,888 92,506 33,609 5,281 2,803 5,262 -753 74,203 79,674 85,847 36,724 5,382 3,121 678 -699 76,299 86,065 83,974 43,719 6,592 3,484 1,225 -750 505 2,008 174 76,632 90,045 94,624 44,203 6,885 3,679 1,156 -766 1,419 4,927 485 78,336 96,549 105,587 39,586 7,463 4,005 1,748 -785 2,528 8,187 694 281,390 284,931 7,287 470 7,478 518 303,295 8,050 622 323,290 8,500 574 343,900 8,980 583 289,146 292,927 311,967 332,364 353,463 71,511 75,259 76,517 32,283 5,067 2,819 2,933 -753 70,808 76,714 82,695 34,178 4,952 2,767 2,785 -699 75,677 81,368 82,798 38,266 5,186 3,012 1,212 -750 496 1,979 57 76,135 86,212 83,561 42,095 5,652 3,352 951 -766 1,403 4,884 221 77.693 94.694 88,739 38,866 6,431 3,566 1,256 -785 2,243 7,884 413 265,636 7,445 274,200 7,440 289,300 7,817 303,700 8,290 321,000 8,768 294 606 294 606 613 -180 433 587 -380 207 595 -380 215 273,375 282,246 297,550 312,197 329,983 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Department of Defense-Military: Military personnel.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Operation and maintenance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Procurement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Research, development, test and evaluation... Military construction.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Family housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Revolving funds and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Allowances: Civilian pay raises.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Allowances: Military pay raises and benefits.. Allowances: Other legislation (proposed).. .. Subtotal, Department of Defense-Mili tary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Atomic energy defense activities Defense-related activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, budget authority OUTLAYS Department of Defense-Military: Military personnel.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Operation and maintenance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Procurement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Research, development, test and evaluation.. Military construction.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Family housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Revolving funds and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Allowances: Civilian pay raises.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Allowances: Military pay raises and benefits. Allowances: Other legislation (proposed).. .. Subtotal, Department of Defense-Mili tary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Atomic energy defense activities.. Defense-related activities: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Defense-related activities.. Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . effective defensive system against ballistic missiles can be de ployed. Finally, the budget also supports improvements to our stra tegic command and control systems, as well as to our early warn ing and strategic defensive capabilities. These strategic force pro grams are essential to ensure that our deterrent remains strong in the near term and through the 1990’s. 5-7 NATIONAL DEFENSE MISSION CATEGORIES: DEFENSE, MILITARY (Functional code 051; in billions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 Strategic forces1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. General purpose forces.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Intelligence and communications.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Airlift and sealift.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Guard and reserve.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Research and development2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Central supply and maintenance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Training, medical, and other general personnel activities.. .. .. . Administration and associated activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Support of other nations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 24.2 116.2 26.4 7.6 15.6 25.7 24.4 33.6 7.1 0.5 21.5 117.2 28.2 7.2 16.0 28.0 23.1 36.3 6.7 0.7 23.7 118.8 30.2 6.0 17.5 35.1 26.0 38.8 6.3 0.9 27.7 126.8 31.5 6.6 18.6 36.5 27.0 41.0 6.7 0.9 32.9 135.6 33.5 7.1 19.5 35.8 29.7 42.0 6.9 0.9 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 281.4 284.9 303.3 323.3 343.9 Prior-year funds and other financial adjustments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -0.9 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 Total obligational authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 280.5 286.3 304.1 324.1 344.7 Major missions and programs 1 Excludes strategic systems development included in the research and development category. 2 Excludes research and development in other program areas on systems approved for production. General Purpose Forces.—Strengthening general purpose forces will deter and counter non-nuclear military aggression. U.S. forces must be able to respond effectively to all levels of potential con flict—up to and including a war between NATO and the Warsaw Pact—while retaining the flexibility to meet other threats to U.S. interests. The budget provides support for 18 active-duty Army divisions, 3 Marine divisions, 3 Marine and 14 Navy active-duty tactical airwings, 25 active-duty wings of Air Force tactical aircraft, and a 582-ship Navy (including strategic missile submarines and support ships). Army General Purpose Forces.—The budget provides the re sources to buy weapons that will improve the firepower, tactical mobility, and survivability of Army forces, and supports the main tenance and training of these forces. In 1988 and 1989, the Army will procure a total of 1,134 M-l Abrams tanks, 1,234 Bradley fighting vehicles, and other modern equipment to strengthen armored combat capability. Attack and assault support helicopters improve the Army’s ability to destroy enemy tanks and move rapidly on the battlefield. Funds are includ ed for 67 Apache attack helicopters, procurement of which will be completed in 1988, and for 133 Blackhawk utility helicopters in 1988 and 1989. The budget continues the development of a new family of light rotorcraft helicopters (LHX) to perform scout, utility and attack missions. The budget provides funding for both short- and long-range air defense missile systems vital to the survivability of conventional land forces. Short-range systems such as Stinger and Chaparral 5-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 defend troops near the front lines while longer-range, area defense systems like Patriot and Hawk are capable of defending larger, more widely dispersed areas of the battlefield. Initial procurement of a new forward area air defense system, to provide short-range air defense for mechanized infantry and armored divisions, is planned for 1988. A total of 53 of these systems will be bought in 1988 and 1989. By the end of 1989 the activation or conversion of 4 new active light divisions will be completed. This will be done without exceed ing previously planned manpower and equipment requirements. The new light divisions are smaller and require less strategic airor sealift than existing infantry divisions. In 1988 and 1989 the budget supports the continued enhancement of special operations forces by providing them with improved equipment and training. Navy General Purpose Forces.—In peacetime, Navy forces can provide a tangible demonstration of U.S. regional commitments. In wartime, maritime superiority is essential to control the sea lines of communication over which critical U.S. reinforcements and re supply must travel to battle theatres. Naval forces also must be able to conduct offensive operations, if necessary, against Soviet naval forces and facilities. Under the budget proposals, the Navy’s deployable battle force (including strategic missile submarines and support ships) would increase from 569 ships in 1987 to 582 in 1988, and reach the administration’s goal of 600 by the end of the decade. The Navy’s shipbuilding plan for 1988 and 1989 includes 4 cruisers, 6 guided missile destroyers, 6 attack submarines, 3 amphibious ships, 9 sup port ships, and 5 minesweepers. This plan also includes advance funding for 2 nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, with construction to begin in 1990 and 1993. During 1988, the Navy’s 14th active-duty tactical airwing will become fully operational. Active naval aviation forces will then consist of 17 tactical airwings (14 Navy and 3 Marine Corps), 24 land-based patrol squadrons, and various support aircraft. To main tain and modernize these forces, the budget provides funding for continued procurement of F-14, F/A-18, and AV-8B aircraft for the tactical air wings, as well as SH-60B LAMPS III ship-based and SH-60F carrier-based helicopters for anti-submarine warfare. A competitive procurement for an updated P-3 long-range patrol aircraft will begin in 1989. Realizing the full potential of the investment in naval ships and aircraft requires highly trained crews. Navy tactical aircraft pilots will average about 300 flying hours annually during 1987-1989, roughly double that of their Warsaw Pact counterparts. Expansion of naval ordnance inventories over the last several years has contributed significantly to combat endurance. Special NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-9 attention has been paid to meeting requirements for torpedoes, surface-to-air and air-to-air missiles, and anti-ship cruise missiles. Air Force General Purpose Forces.—The tactical air force is equipped with fighter, attack, and support aircraft for the mission of controlling the skies and attacking enemy ground targets. In 1988 and 1989, the Air Force plans to procure a total of 360 F-16 and 84 F-15 multi-mission fighter aircraft as part of its moderniza tion program. These aircraft will improve significantly the combat effectiveness of our tactical forces because of their range/payload characteristics, their ability to operate in adverse weather, and their advanced navigation and targeting capabilities. Funds also are requested for continued improvements in aircraft readiness and combat sustainability with emphasis on spare parts purchases, procurement of more capable missiles and bombs, and more realistic training for aircrews. To maintain their superior combat proficiency, Air Force tactical fighter pilots will continue to fly about twice as many training hours as their Warsaw Pact counterparts. Intelligence and Communications.—To employ our weapon sys tems and forces effectively, we must be able to direct them in accordance with national policy and military strategy. Information on friendly, hostile, and potentially hostile forces must be gathered and evaluated to aid decision makers. Decisions and operational orders, in turn, must be communicated to the appropriate forces. The budget seeks improvements in intelligence and communica tions by providing for development and modernization of command centers, sensors, computers, satellites, and other data-gathering and communication links. These improvements will be made in five broad mission areas: strategic and non-strategic nuclear force man agement; theatre and tactical force management; world-wide infor mation and communication systems; electronic warfare; and intelli gence. Airlift and Sealift Forces.—The ability to conduct a forward defense while maintaining a limited peacetime presence, depends upon the ability to deliver military personnel and combat equip ment rapidly to crisis areas anywhere in the world and to sustain them once deployed. The budget reflects an expansion of airlift capacity through procurement of the new C-17 cargo aircraft. The budget supports continued efforts to improve capabilities of exist ing airlift aircraft and increase their capacity through modifica tions. Sealift capabilities will be strengthened by the addition of ships to the ready reserve force and the continued procurement of equipment to make civilian container ships more useful for mili tary purposes. The budget also includes funds for a new sealift 5-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 enhancement program similar to the Air Force Civil Reserve Air Fleet (CRAF) program. This new program would underwrite the cost of adding militarily useful features to merchant vessels con structed in U.S. shipyards. Stockpiling of equipment and materials near potential trouble spots is critical to our ability to sustain deployed forces in distant areas. The Army has stockpiled in Europe heavy equipment for four divisions and supporting units, and is acquiring equipment for two more divisions. Equipment to support the rapid deployment of tactical fighter squadrons also is being stockpiled in Europe. National Guard and Reserves,—Guard and Reserve forces that are well trained, equipped and readily deployable are essential to U.S. defense planning. As the growth in active duty personnel has moderated, Reserve and Guard units have become key to the U.S. total force concept. As a result, numerical strengths and the number of missions assigned these units have both increased. The budget for 1988 and 1989 reflects these increases and provides for continued improvement in unit strength, equipment, and training. Manpower levels in the Army, Air Force, Navy, and Marine Corps Reserves, and Army and Air National Guards, are projected to reach 1.19 million by the end of 1988, and 1.21 million by the end of 1989. For these two budget years, Reserve components will con tinue to receive modern weapon systems such as M-l tanks, F-16 aircraft, and Perry-class guided missile frigates. Continued empha sis will be placed on the program for screening members of the individual ready reserve, and the system of regional maintenance training sites. Also, the Sixth Quadrennial Review of Military Com pensation will make a comprehensive in-depth study of all Reserve compensation issues. Research and Development,—Programs in this category fund all research and development except improvements to upgrade sys tems that are already operational. New weapon systems are devel oped, tested and evaluated to meet specific military requirements. At the same time, a strong research and technology base allows continued investigation into promising new technologies. This serves to guard against “technological surprise” by potential adver saries. Major strategic force development programs include the landbased small ICBM and the Trident II submarine-launched missile, as well as the Advanced Technology Bomber and the Advanced Cruise Missile. Funding also is requested for development of a railmobile basing mode for Peacekeeper intercontinental ballistic mis siles. Budget authority of $5.2 billion is requested for 1988 and $6.3 billion for 1989 for the Strategic Defense Initiative, a research program to explore the possibility of eliminating the ballistic mis NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-11 sile threat to the United States and its allies. This initiative in cludes research on space surveillance and target acquisition; direct ed energy weapons; kinetic energy weapons; battle management systems; and system survivability. Development efforts continue on new tactical fighters for the Air Force and the Navy, a joint service tilt-rotor aircraft and an ad vanced nuclear-powered attack submarine. The Army is developing advanced anti-tank and air defense systems and a family of light weight helicopters. Training, Medical, and Other General Personnel Activities.—Gen eral personnel activities include training and medical services for active duty personnel. The budget request continues the improve ments to individual training begun several years ago. Also, high priority is given to developing team proficiency of operational units through realistic training that simulates actual combat conditions. Efforts to improve the readiness of our medical forces and the provision of peacetime care continue. Military Personnel and Compensation.—Recognizing that mili tary readiness depends heavily on competent and motivated per sonnel, the budget reflects a continued commitment to maintaining competitive levels of military compensation, providing adequate recruitment and retention incentives and improving the quality of life for military personnel and their families. The budget provides for military pay raises of 4.0 percent in 1988 and 4.3 percent in 1989, which should roughly match increases in private sector pay over the next two years. While overall manpower levels will de cline slightly from 2,174,250 at the end of 1987 to 2,172,400 at the end of 1988, the reductions will occur in support and training areas, and will not affect manning of ships, aircraft and front line units. In 1989, manpower levels will increase to 2,184,400 by the end of the year, reflecting the additional personnel required for new ships, aircraft, and other weapon systems entering the mili tary inventory. Under current law, the new GI Bill educational benefit test program (which began in July 1985) will expire on June 30, 1988. The budget proposes that the GI Bill program be extended with certain modifications to improve its management and effectiveness. Funding responsibility would be transferred from the Veterans Administration to the Department of Defense to reflect appropri ately the function of the GI Bill program as a peacetime military recruiting incentive. Legislation also will be proposed to reduce the basic GI benefit for shorter enlistments to reduce overall program costs and increase the program’s contribution to achieving recruit ing and retention goals. Other aspects of the program would remain unchanged, including the benefits provided to reservists. 5-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 This and other Reserve benefits will be evaluated by the Sixth Quadrennial Review of Military Compensation. The budget provides that beginning in 1988 the Department of Defense budget will include funding for all of the employer social security taxes paid for wage credits earned by military personnel, rather than continuing the current practice of funding portions of the military wage credits in the budget of the Department of Health and Human Services. This change will not affect overall Government outlays. It would, however, ensure that the Depart ment of Defense budget will more accurately reflect all defense costs. The budget also provides that social security coverage be extended to reservists while on inactive duty for training (weekend drills). This change will require legislative approval and will result in an increase in budget authority and outlays of the Department of Defense and a net increase in revenues of the social security trust funds. The budget reflects several major changes that were made in the benefits and financing of the military retirement system in 1986. Persons entering the military on or after August 1, 1986 will receive a reduced annuity for retirement before completion of thirty years of service, to be restored at age 62. This new class of beneficiaries will also be subject to a revised cost-of-living adjust ment (COLA) formula providing an adjustment equal to the annual increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) minus one percent, with a one-time restoration of purchasing power at age 62. The budget reflects the reduced retirement accrual costs that will occur as a larger percentage of the force comes under the new system. Military personnel who began service prior to August 1986 and current retired personnel are not affected by the new benefit struc ture. Another change in the retirement system comes from a new method of calculating accrual costs. Beginning with 1987, active duty and reserve personnel will be subject to two different retire ment accrual rates (expressed as a percentage of basic pay) to reflect the actuarial difference in their retirement benefits. During 1985 and 1986 these groups were subject to a single percentage rate. Starting in 1987, this change will reduce the reserve accrual rate by about 50 percent, while slightly increasing the active duty rate, for a net reduction in accruals of about $580 million in 1987. By reflecting relative personnel costs more accurately, this change will improve personnel mix decisions made by military program managers. Management Initiatives.—The administration is focusing on man agement initiatives to cut costs while increasing the responsiveness and flexibility of the defense establishment. In particular, the ad ministration is committed to carrying out key initiatives recom NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-13 mended by the President’s Blue Ribbon Commission on Defense Management (the Packard Commission). The President recently appointed a new Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition with responsibility for setting acquisition policies governing procure ment, research and development, and contract administration. Other procurement reforms recommended by the Packard Commis sion, such as expanding use of commercial products and improving program management by setting cost and schedule baselines for major weapon systems, are underway. Competition will continue to be emphasized as a means to keep costs down, improve quality, encourage innovation, and strengthen the defense industrial base. In 1986, 57 percent of all Department of Defense contracts, by dollar volume, were let competitively, a significant increase since 1981. The Department plans to increase competition for defense contracts further. In 1984 and 1985, the Department saved an estimated $4.8 billion through competition in shipbuilding and acquisition of spare parts. Additional savings are anticipated from a greater proportion of defense procurement being subject to competition, as well as from competition for work now done by Government civilian employees that might be performed by private contractors. In addition, the Department of Defense will continue its efforts to reform its procurement and financial man agement systems and to carry out the President’s Productivity Initiative. The success of these and other management initiatives are monitored under the Management Improvement Plan. The administration plans several specific initiatives to reduce costs. These include legislation to revise thresholds for applying the Davis-Bacon Act (covering Federal construction contracts) and the Service Contract Act (covering Federal service contracts), recovery of excess pension costs included in prior contracts, and reducing current pension costs to reflect recent changes in the financial position of pension funds. The Department also will recover an equitable share of excess pension assets that become available when companies terminate their current plans and substitute an nuity plans. The administration plans to collect, on a test basis, nominal fees for outpatient medical care provided to non-active duty patients. This measure is expected to improve the quality of military care while reducing costs. Also, a test will be conducted to determine whether private operation of commissary stores will reduce costs and improve customer service. Atomic Energy Defense Activities.—These activities, conducted by the Department of Energy, include research, development, testing, and production of nuclear weapons; production of special nuclear materials; storage of nuclear wastes from defense programs, and design of reactors for nuclear-powered Navy vessels. The accompa 5-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 SUMMARY OF ACTIVE MILITARY PERSONNEL AND FORCES (Year end—i.e., as of September 30) Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 End strength: Army.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Navy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Marine Corps.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Air Force.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 781 581 199 608 781 587 200 607 781 593 200 599 781 603 200 601 Total, Department of Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,169 2,174 2,172 2,184 Average strength: Army.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Navy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Marine Corps.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Air Force.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 778 572 197 607 777 582 199 608 781 588 199 605 780 596 200 602 Total, Department of Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,154 2,166 2,173 2,178 2 998 7 640 20 27 973 46 954 50 950 640 24 640 26* 664 26* 18 3 18 3 18 3 18 3 24.5 13 3 24.5 14 3 24.5 14 3 24.5 14 3 Military personnel (in thousands): Strategic forces: Intercontinental ballistic missiles: Peacekeeper.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Minuteman.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Titan II.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Poseidon-Trident.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Strategic bomber squadrons.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . General purpose forces: Land forces: Army divisions....................................................................................... Marine Corps divisions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Tactical air forces: Air Force wings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Navy attack wings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Marine Corps wings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Naval Forces: Attack and multipurpose carriers.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Battleships.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Nuclear attack submarines.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other warships.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Amphibious assault ship.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 13 3 97 211 60 14 3 97 214 61 14 3 99 214 62 14 4 101 218 65 4 13 64 4 13 61 4 13 61 4 13 61 Airlift and sealift forces: C-5 airlift squadrons.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other airlift squadrons.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sealift fleet.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ♦Includes 4 B-52G squadrons that will be reassigned to conventional forces. nying table shows the funding levels for these programs. In total, budget authority of $8.0 billion is requested for 1988, compared to $7.5 billion for 1987. Outlays are estimated to increase from $7.4 billion in 1987 to $7.8 billion in 1988. The nuclear weapons program involves the design, testing, and production of nuclear warheads for the nuclear weapons stockpile, including quality control and periodic inspection of the finished devices. Budget authority proposed for 1988 would provide for con tinuing missile warhead production for current and new weapon 5-15 NATIONAL DEFENSE systems, and for production of special nuclear materials for use in these warheads. The defense nuclear waste management program provides inter im storage for all defense nuclear wastes. The program also sup ports research and development activities for the isolation and permanent storage of these wastes. The naval reactor development program includes the research and development, design, procurement, and testing of prototype reactors for current and future nuclear-powered naval vessels. Other atomic energy defense and research and development pro grams cover security at defense nuclear facilities, security investi gations, and arms control and verification technology development. ATOMIC ENERGY DEFENSE ACTIVITIES (Functional code 053; in billions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Weapons research, development, test and production.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Weapons materials, production, and waste management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Naval reactor development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other research programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Adjustments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4,176 2,388 536 184 3 4,180 2,531 575 191 1 4,535 2,693 612 210 4,606 2,991 648 255 4,790 3,236 674 280 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 7,287 7,478 8,050 8,500 8,980 Weapons research, development, test and production.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Weapons materials, production and waste management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Naval reactor development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other research programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Adjustments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4,276 2,448 530 188 3 4,160 2,519 573 187 1 4,404 2,615 594 204 4,492 2,917 632 249 4,677 3,160 658 273 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7,445 7,440 7,817 8,290 8,768 OUTLAYS Defense-Related Activities,—Activities of civilian departments and agencies that support national defense include emergency pre paredness programs, maintenance of strategic stockpiles, and the Selective Service System. The Federal Emergency Management Agency conducts civil de fense and other preparedness programs. Budget authority of $135 million is proposed for 1988 for civil defense programs, slightly below last year’s level, but total budget authority for the defense related activities of this agency increases from $306 million in 1987 to $332 million in 1988. 5-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CREDIT PROGRAMS—NATIONAL DEFENSE (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual Direct loans: Navy industrial fund: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Defense stock fund: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Defense production guarantees: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, new obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 568 435 1,748 1 1987 1988 1989 1990 -167 1,582 -169 1,412 -178 1,234 -178 1,056 -169 1,412 -178 1,234 -178 1,056 -1 3 10 -10 568 439 1,760 -178 1,582 568 To meet defense and essential civilian requirements for strategic and critical materials in the event of war, the General Services Administration maintains a stockpile of such materials. In July 1985, the President proposed modernizing the stockpile, including establishing new stockpile goals and retaining a supplemental re serve, for a combined stockpile value of about $6.7 billion. He also proposed disposal of $3.2 billion in surplus material stocks, in amounts not to exceed $500 million a year. Consistent with the President’s program, in 1987 the administration proposes to obli gate $125 million for the purchase of germanium, a beryllium and ferroalloy upgrade program, and the management of stockpile com modities; and to dispose of $125 million in surplus materials. In 1988, the administration proposes to obligate an additional $125 million and dispose of $275 million in surplus materials. Legisla tion will be proposed to authorize these purchases and sales. The Selective Service System maintains a high level of mobiliza tion readiness to meet defense manpower requirements in case of a national emergency. Activities in support of this objective include national and regional operational planning, maintenance of auto mated registration information on eligible inductees, and training of Reserve officers and appeal board members necessary to set up local offices. Greater compliance with registration requirements will be stressed through public awareness efforts, focusing on cities in certain geographic areas, and Federal/State legislation tying registration with employment and educational opportunities. For 1988, a plan to set up a stand-by system to register critically NATIONAL DEFENSE 5-17 needed health care personnel will be submitted to Congress. Esti mated outlays for 1988 and 1989 are $27 million a year. Tax Expenditures,—The exclusion from taxable income of hout ing and meals for military personnel, provided either in cash or inkind, results in a tax expenditure estimated at $2.2 billion in 1988. 5-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS The Federal Government bears the primary responsibility for protecting and advancing the interests of the United States and its people in international affairs. The funds for international affairs proposed in this budget are necessary to carry out that responsibil ity. The administration proposes to reverse the sharp decreases in budget authority for many international affairs programs that have taken place over the past 2 years. For 1988, $19.1 billion in budget authority is requested and outlays of $15.2 billion are esti mated. For 1987, supplemental appropriations totaling $1.3 billion in budget authority and $556 million in 1987 outlays are proposed. When enacted, total 1987 budget authority will be $18.0 billion, and 1987 outlays of $14.6 billion are estimated. For 1988, new direct loan obligations for international affairs are proposed to be $7.5 billion, and new guaranteed loan commitments are proposed to be $10.2 billion. Foreign Aid.—Two budget subfunctions—international security assistance and international development and humanitarian assist ance—comprise foreign aid. International Security Assistance.—Security assistance programs are vital to the exercise of national security and foreign policy and serve to strengthen allied and friendly governments where the United States has special security concerns. These programs make it possible for other governments to strengthen their economies and to acquire and use modern military equipment necessary for their defense. Security assistance also helps ensure U.S. access to military bases and facilities overseas. Because of the importance of national security objectives, but in keeping with current budget requirements, 1988 budget authority of $9.4 billion is proposed. This is approximately the same as the 1987 proposed level, which includes a $0.8 billion supplemental to permit the achievement of essential security assistance goals. Outlays are estimated to be $7.7 billion in 1988. Foreign Military Sales Credit.—This program provides financing for foreign governments to purchase U.S. military equipment, training, and design and construction services for their security needs. In the face of challenges to U.S. interests and economic difficulties in many parts of the world, the 1988 proposed program consists of only forgiven and concessional loans. For 1988, budget authority of $4.4 billion is requested and outlays of $3.0 billion are estimated. These figures reflect both direct loan programs and the loan activity of the Federal Financing Bank. INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-19 This year the budget also reflects the estimated impact of a new foreign military sales debt restructuring program that is being offered to countries with Federal Financing Bank loans. Under this program, debtor countries have the option of prepaying their loans without a premium, or refinancing their loans at current rates with the difference added as a balloon payment due at the end of the loan repayment period. The economic burden on allies, particu larly developing countries, of loans at interest rates that are now considerably above market rates must be reduced lest it have the effect of nullifying the purpose for which these loans were made— to promote the international security of the United States and the recipient countries. Military Assistance.—Providing the same types of articles and services as the foreign military sales credit program, these grants are for countries where the repayment of loans would impose an inappropriate economic burden. For 1988, budget authority of $1.3 billion is requested. Outlays are estimated to be $0.6 billion. Economic Support Fund.—This account finances programs in over 50 countries; the largest portion goes to countries where there are special political and security concerns. Loans and grants pro vide general budget and balance of payments support to friendly governments and finance individual development projects where doing so enhances our ability to achieve important national securi ty objectives. Aid to Egypt and Israel accounts for approximately half of the program. The proposed budget authority for 1988 is $3.6 billion, $0.2 billion for direct loans and the remainder for grants. Outlays are estimated to be $4.1 billion. Other.—The budget authority requested in 1988 for security as sistance includes $46 million for peacekeeping operations, $56 mil lion for international military education and training, and $10 million for anti-terrorism assistance. International Development and Humanitarian Assistance.—An important complement to security assistance is the achievement of international policy objectives through international development and humanitarian assistance programs. These programs are de signed to encourage the expansion of a market-oriented interna tional economic system and to help meet the development and humanitarian needs of developing countries. Budget authority re quested for 1988 is $5.2 billion, a $400 million increase over 1987. Outlays for 1988 are estimated at $4.9 billion. Multilateral Development Banks.—The United States contributes to the World Bank group of institutions and regional banks for Latin America, Asia, and Africa. These institutions provided more 5-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Foreign aid: International security assistance: 4,947 798 3,762 95 -58 4,240 1,161 3,897 98 -76 4,421 1,330 3,600 112 -111 4,499 1,353 3,663 107 -136 4,573 1,375 3,723 108 -198 9,543 9,320 9,352 9,486 9,582 Multilateral development banks.. .. .. .. .. .. . International organizations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Agency for International Development.. .. . P.L. 480 food aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refugee assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, International development and humanitarian assistance.. .. .. .. . 1,143 261 2,026 1,243 324 220 -457 1,242 237 2,144 1,083 361 293 -583 1,819 194 2,192 965 314 269 -568 1,400 200 2,199 1,090 307 263 -569 1,400 206 2,238 1,119 306 269 -573 4,760 4,777 5,185 4,890 4,964 Subtotal, Foreign aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 14,303 14,096 14,537 14,376 14,546 2,445 477 81 3,003 2,093 441 82 2,616 2,655 506 89 3,250 2,653 522 109 3,285 2,704 536 105 3,345 958 1,013 1,147 1,214 1,260 Foreign military sales trust fund (net).. .. .. . Other .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, International financial pro grams.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -3,034 1,514 -87 412 241 -453 100 -89 -90 -92 -94 -1,607 323 151 -545 6 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 16,659 18,049 19,085 18,330 19,157 Foreign military sales credit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Military assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic support fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, International security assist ance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . International development and humani tarian assistance: Conduct of foreign affairs: Administration of foreign affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . International organizations and conferences... Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Conduct of foreign affairs.. .. Foreign information and exchange activi ties .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . International financial programs: than $22.5 billion in long-term loans and technical assistance in 1985 and promoted sound economic policies in recipient countries. Lending programs are funded through the direct contributions of members and through borrowing in world capital markets, backed by guaranteed repayment of that borrowing by member govern ments. Both are provided in accord with multi-year international agreements to replenish the resources of each bank. 5-21 INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS NATIONAL NEED: CONDUCTING INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (Functional code 150; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Foreign aid: International security assistance: Foreign military sales credit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Military assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic support fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Guarantee reserve fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, International security assist ance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4,763 753 4,684 255 102 -58 3,926 237 4,374 8 101 -76 3,002 594 4,097 4,692 922 4,219 4,235 1,251 4,122 113 -111 106 -136 108 -198 10,499 8,570 7,695 9,802 9,518 Multilateral development banks.. .. .. .. .. .. . International organizations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Agency for International Development.. .. . P.L 480 food aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refugee assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, International development and humanitarian assistance.. .. .. .. . 1,607 231 1,990 1,095 348 154 -457 1,078 259 2,038 1,083 330 150 -583 1,639 229 2,103 1,007 318 172 -568 1,635 240 2,154 1,090 312 170 -569 1,373 247 2,189 1,119 306 174 -573 4,968 4,355 4,899 5,031 4,835 Subtotal, Foreign aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 15,467 12,925 12,594 14,833 14,353 Administration of foreign affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . International organizations and conferences... Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Conduct of foreign affairs.. .. 1,717 499 64 2,280 2,181 455 96 2,733 2,395 501 91 2,987 2,452 522 101 3,075 2,622 536 107 3,265 Foreign information and exchange activi ties .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 907 1,032 1,114 1,140 1,184 Foreign military sales trust fund (net).. .. .. . Export-Import Bank.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Exchange stabilization fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, International financial pro grams.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -1,016 -1,167 -772 -1,460 -87 500 -2,389 -32 -73 -89 200 -1,564 -31 -1 -90 100 -964 -29 38 -92 100 -891 -28 36 -94 -4,501 -2,083 -1,486 -948 -876 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 14,152 14,607 15,209 18,101 17,925 International development and humani tarian assistance: Conduct of foreign affairs: International financial programs: To support international commitments to the multilateral devel opment banks, budget authority of $293 million is requested in a 1987 supplemental and $1.8 billion for 1988. Approximately onehalf of the proposed budget authority will be used to meet existing pledges to the International Development Association. The admin istration has also proposed a one-time subscription to the World Bank’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, a new institu tion established to insure investment in developing countries 5-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 against non-commercial risks. The remaining funds will be used to make authorized annual payments to the other multilateral banks. International Organizations.—Voluntary contributions of $194 million in budget authority are proposed for several developmental, humanitarian and scientific programs carried out by the United Nations and other international organizations—$43 million less than the 1987 level. The administration believes that, useful as some of these programs may be, a higher priority must be afforded other foreign assistance activities accomplishing the same objec tives. Agency for International Development (AID).—AID carries out bilateral development assistance programs in more than 60 coun tries in Latin America, Africa and Asia. The agency also supports the overseas humanitarian relief and development programs of U.S. private and voluntary organizations and assists developmentrelated research activities in U.S. universities. Proposed budget authority for AID programs for 1988 is $2.2 billion, approximately the same as for 1987. Included in this amount is a new $500 million development fund for Africa designed to allow AID greater flexibil ity in providing development assistance to that region. Principal objectives of bilateral development programs include supporting sound economic policies in recipient countries, using the private sector as a vehicle for economic growth, improving the capability of indigenous institutions in developing countries, and increasing the use of science and technology in development. Public Law 480 Food Aid.—This program provides U.S. surplus agricultural commodities to foreign governments under either long term (up to 40 years) low interest rate (2 to 3 percent) loans or grants. Food aid commodities are limited to those declared by the Secretary of Agriculture as surplus to normal domestic and export needs. These surplus commodities include wheat, corn, rice, other coarse grains, and soybeans. The U.S. agricultural sector benefits when surplus commodities are disposed of in a manner that does not displace commercial exports. Also, the food aid program serves U.S. objectives in pro moting international security, agricultural export market develop ment and economic assistance. Egypt, Morocco, El Salvador, Jamai ca, Zaire, Pakistan and Bangladesh are major cooperating country recipients of U.S. food aid loans. These governments benefit by not having to repay the total loan immediately, thereby saving their scarce foreign exchange to import needed non-food goods and serv ices beneficial to economic development. Under the Title II grant program, food aid is targeted by the foreign governments and private and voluntary organizations INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-23 mainly to needy children, pregnant women and refugees. India, Pakistan, Sudan, Mozambique, Haiti, and Guatemala are major recipients of this program, which annually delivers approximately 2 million tons of processed foods, wheat, and wheat flour. The budget includes a request of $1.0 billion in 1988 budget authority. With declining commodity prices, a larger volume of commodities may be shipped for fewer dollars. Refugee Assistance.—While there have been no major refugee emergencies this past year, the needs of existing refugee popula tions continue in many parts of the world. Budget authority of $314 million is proposed for assistance to refugees abroad, primarily in Africa, the Near East, Pakistan, and Southeast Asia, and for the admission of up to 55,000 refugees to the United States. This budget request continues United States leadership in international humanitarian programs to assist refugees. Additional funding for refugee assistance in the United States is discussed in the income security section of Part 5. Conduct of Foreign Affairs.—Funds for this group of programs cover primarily the operating costs of the Department of State in carrying out diplomatic and consular activities with foreign govern ments and international organizations. Contributions assessed by international organizations of which the United States is a member are also included here. For 1988, $3.2 billion of budget authority is requested, and $3.0 billion in outlays are estimated. Administration of Foreign Affairs.—To promote United States interests abroad, diplomatic and consular relations are maintained with foreign governments by means of 260 posts throughout the world. The overall request for 1988 budget authority is $2.7 billion with estimated outlays of $2.4 billion. The administration’s commitments to further United States in terests abroad and to ensure that those interests may be pursued in a physically and technically secure environment are reflected in the 1988 request for State Department operations. The diplomatic security program remains a high priority. For diplomatic security construction, the request seeks continuation of the program levels authorized by the Congress, which will enable the Department to undertake nine priority embassy replacement projects. Requested funding for the salaries and expenses portion of the diplomatic security program will permit the continuation of ongoing residen tial and perimeter security programs while increasing high priority countermeasures and office equipment protection programs. The request also seeks increases for the Department’s diplomatic reporting capability as well as initiation of a program to improve proficiency in the “hard languages”—Arabic, Russian, Chinese, and 5-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Japanese. In addition, the Department seeks increases in spending for its communications and information processing systems to im prove its ability to transmit and store information. International Organizations and Conferences.—For 1988, budget authority of $506 million is proposed for assessed contributions to international organizations, for international peacekeeping forces in the Middle East, and for international conferences. Though some international organizations fulfill important needs, the administra tion believes that those organizations must be managed efficiently and economically. Therefore, the administration is continuing to pursue a responsible budget policy for international organizations, a policy that assumes reductions in administrative costs and the elimination of duplicative, low priority, and obsolete activities. In addition, enacted law requires that U.S. assessed contributions to the United Nations and its specialized agencies be limited to 20 percent of each organization’s budget, unless it has adopted a voting system on budgetary matters under which each member’s voting power is in direct proportion to its contributions. A total of $79 million in budget authority and outlays has been deducted from assessments by the United Nations and its affiliated agencies for 1988 in accordance with this provision. The UN General Assem bly took an initial step toward reform in December 1986 by adopt ing a number of budgetary and administrative measures that, if implemented, could achieve significant gains in economy and effi ciency. The United States will monitor the implementation of these measures in the coming year in order to ascertain their bearing on the law. Foreign Information and Exchange Activities.—An important ob jective of this administration is to increase international under standing of American society and foreign policy. The United States Information Agency (USIA) seeks to do so through personal con tacts, academic and leadership exchanges, Voice of America (VOA) radio broadcasting, distribution of books and periodicals, television programming, English language teaching, and the operation of li braries and cultural centers in 127 countries. For 1988, the admin istration proposes $942 million in budget authority for USIA, an increase of $95 million from 1987. The VOA multiyear moderniza tion program totaling $1.3 billion includes funds for new transmit ter facilities and modernization of equipment in existing facilities. The 1988 request of $90 million in budget authority for radio construction maintains strong administration support for VOA modernization while instituting a policy of not requesting funding for new transmitter site projects until acceptable agreements with host governments have been signed. When such agreements are concluded, the administration will request the necessary funding INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-25 from the Congress. The request for USIA also provides increases for educational and cultural exchange programs, including addi tional Central American exchanges. The Board for International Broadcasting provides grants to Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Inc. (RFE/RL), which broadcasts in 22 languages to Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. For 1988, $204 million of budget authority is requested for the Board. This includes $42 million for modernization of existing transmitter sites, which will complete the originally proposed modernization and refurbishment of RFE/RL facilities. Most of the operating budget increase is proposed to offset the decline in value of the dollar against the three foreign currencies which RFE/RL uses to pay for the bulk of its activities. International Financial Programs —To assist in the steady growth of the international economy, the United States conducts programs to improve the international financial system and to facilitate U.S. participation in world trade, including arms sales. For 1988, proposed budget authority is $151 million. Total net outlays for 1988 are estimated to be —$1.5 billion, because ExportImport Bank loan repayments are expected to exceed new loan commitments, and Export-Import Bank loan assets will continue to be sold. Export-Import Bank,—The Export-Import Bank (Eximbank) ad ministers a direct loan and guarantee program to promote U.S. export sales. The direct loan program offers loans generally below market rates, consistent with an international agreement that re duces but does not eliminate interest export subsidies. In 1988, as part of overall Federal credit reform, the administra tion is proposing to appropriate the subsidies associated with Eximbank’s direct loan and guarantee programs to reflect more accu rately the cost to the U.S. economy of these programs. A continu ation of the loan asset sales program involving loans with a face value of $1.2 billion in 1988 is also proposed. A major loophole in existing subsidy reduction agreements is the use of highly concessional aid loans mixed with normal export credits. The administration has made the elimination of these mixed credit or tied-aid credits a major negotiating priority. The administration will continue to press for an international agree ment that ends all officially subsidized export financing. Consistent with this objective, the administration is proposing an additional $200 million in budget authority for the tied-aid credit fund. This fund will be used to promote a negotiated end to the predatory export financing practices of foreign governments. 5-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CREDIT PROGRAMS—INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS (In millions of dollars) Estimate Direct loans: Foreign military sales credit: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic support fund: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Development credit: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Public Law 480 food aid: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .... .. .. Export-Import Bank1: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 4,967 2,979 22,124 4,040 568 22,692 4,421 -163 22,529 4,499 1,396 23,925 4,573 907 24,832 104 83 6,305 176 77 6,381 176 54 6,436 240 120 6,556 240 114 6,670 323 100 12,324 237 -82 12,242 232 -100 12,141 228 -225 11,917 231 -276 11,641 813 577 10,622 819 628 11,251 749 619 11,869 771 637 12,507 800 665 13,172 578 -1,525 14,351 900 -3,681 10,670 1,000 -2,714 7,956 900 -975 6,981 900 -1,025 5,956 1,051 251 1,431 952 5 1,436 892 -4 1,432 901♦ 1,432 901* 1,432 2,466 -2,485 -2,309 7,470 62,364 6,638 954 63,317 6,744 386 63,703 -20 160 -20 140 -20 120 -20 100 -20 80 7,835 67,157 7,125 64,672 Guaranteed loans-. Foreign military sales credit: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Development credit: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Export-Import Bank: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 282 86 1,484 345 92 1,576 250 88 1,665 250 86 1,751 250 84 1,834 5,508 -341 4,785 11,355 703 5,488 10,000 678 6,166 10,000 -500 5,666 10,000 Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 5,790 -276 6,429 11,700 775 7,204 10,250 746 7,950 10,250 -434 7,516 10,250 64 7,580 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 13,625 18,825 17,720 16,888 16,994 5,666 *$500,000 or less. 1 The obligation levels for 1989 and 1990 are not included in the total. Tax Expenditures.—In an effort to encourage exports, a portion of the profits from the export sales of foreign sales corporations (FSCs) is not subject to tax. Also, tax expenditures occur when Americans working abroad are permitted to exclude substantial INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 5-27 amounts of earned income and housing allowances from taxation. Tax expenditures resulting from FSCs and the foreign earnedincome exclusion are an estimated $1.3 billion and $2.2 billion, respectively, for 1988. Additional estimated tax expenditures of $705 million, $55 million, and $100 million result from the source rules exception for inventory property sales, the interest allocation rules exception for certain nonfinancial institutions, and the defer ral of income tax on the undistributed earnings of foreign corpora tions controlled by U.S. shareholders. Total tax expenditures for international affairs are estimated to be $4.4 billion in 1988. No changes are proposed for 1988. 5-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY The programs in this function help to ensure U.S. strength and leadership in science and space technology. All the programs of the National Science Foundation, the space programs of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, and the general science programs of the Department of Energy are included in this func tion. Continued support for these programs in the budget reflects the administration’s view that the ability of the Nation to meet global competition, to provide for national security, and to improve the quality of life for all citizens depends in part upon national investments in science and technology. Proposed budget authority for these programs is $11.5 billion in 1988, a $0.7 billion decrease from the 1987 level, but a $2.2 billion increase over the 1986 level. This decrease in budget authority from 1987 to 1988 reflects primarily the one-time cost in 1987 of replacing the Space Shuttle Challenger. Outlays for programs in this function are estimated to reach $11.4 billion in 1988, an in crease of 20 percent or $1.9 billion over 1987. In 1988, increases are proposed for general science programs, and a strong and balanced space program is maintained. Even in a time of fiscal restraint, the increasing outlays estimated for these pro grams represent a necessary investment in the Nation’s future because of the important contribution such programs make to longrange economic growth and competitiveness of the U.S. economy. Common to the programs in this function is the support of basic research, accounting for more than one-third of overall Federal funding for such research. The programs in this function are of particular importance to the Nation because they, along with re search programs of the Department of Defense (DOD), constitute the predominant Federal sources of funding for basic research in the physical and engineering sciences. General Science and Basic Research.—This area covers all the programs of the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the gener al science programs of the Department of Energy (DOE) in high energy and nuclear physics. Budget authority of $2.7 billion is proposed for these programs in 1988, an increase of 16 percent or $0.4 billion over the 1987 level. National Science Foundation Programs,—The principal mission of NSF is to support basic research in all fields of science and engineering. The NSF’s broad-based research programs comple ment the basic research programs of agencies with specialized mis sions, such as the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, DOD, and the National Institutes of Health. This approach to funding basic research helps ensure balanced Federal support GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY 5-29 across all scientific disciplines. The 1988 budget includes $1.9 bil lion in proposed budget authority for the NSF, an increase of 16 percent or $0.3 billion over the 1987 level. Within this amount, the support of basic research will increase from $1.4 billion in 1987 to $1.6 billion in 1988. The NSF supports research at academic institutions through grants to individual scientists. With the increased level of basic research support proposed for 1988, interdisciplinary research would receive special emphasis. Basic research among several disci plines often leads to the creation of important new fields of science (e.g., biotechnology). The budget proposes to establish 5 to 10 new interdisciplinary basic science and technology centers modeled after the existing engineering research centers. These new centers would focus on research among scientific disciplines and would attract and encourage substantial participation by industry and the States to speed the transfer of new knowledge from the laboratory to the marketplace. Research programs that contribute to the development of “human capital” also will be emphasized in 1988. Continued U.S. leadership in science and industry depends on the future availabil ity of high-quality scientists and engineers. Academic basic re search is a primary means to help expand the U.S. pool of trained scientists and engineers that, over the long term, enhance the ability of the U.S. to compete globally. This emphasis in 1988 will be reflected in the new basic science and technology centers, and also in a variety of ongoing NSF programs, including the engineer ing research centers, the advanced scientific computing centers, the graduate fellowship program, and programs to improve student research and to increase funds for scientific equipment at under graduate institutions. Increased support will also be provided for NSF programs aimed at improving the quality of pre-college science and math education. NSF programs in pre-college science and mathematics are intended to complement the efforts of State and local education agencies and the private sector. In addition, continued support is provided for the U.S. Antarctic program managed by NSF. Through this science program, the U.S. maintains an active and influential presence in that region. Department of Energy General Science Programs—The general science programs of the DOE support basic research in nuclear and high energy physics. The goal of this research is to achieve a comprehensive understanding of the basic components of matter and energy and the forces that govern their interaction. Budget authority of $814 million is requested for support of these programs in 1988, an increase of $106 million or 15 percent from the 1987 level. 5-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: INCREASING BASIC SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE AND USE OF SPACE (Functional code 250; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY General science and basic research: National Science Foundation programs.. .. .. . Department of Energy general science pro grams .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, General science and basic research.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,472 1,636 1,898 2,163 2,479 650 708 814 871 945 2,121 2,345 2,712 3,034 3,424 4,240 2,107 819 6,532 2,239 1,039 5,254 2,361 1,141 6,045 2,626 1,209 6,066 2,704 1,310 Subtotal, Space research and technology.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7,165 9,809 8,756 9,881 10,079 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 9,286 12,154 11,468 12,915 13,504 1,550 1,571 1,806 1,985 2,249 671 697 782 827 905 2,221 2,268 2,588 2,812 3,154 3,794 2,127 835 4,308 2,172 774 5,569 2,250 1,031 6,858 2,447 1,044 6,586 2,615 1,107 Subtotal, Space research and technology.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 6,756 7,255 8,851 10,349 10,308 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 8,976 9,523 11,439 13,161 13,462 Space research and technology: Space flight.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Space, science, applications, and technology.. Supporting space activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . OUTLAYS General science and basic research: National Science Foundation programs.. .. .. . Department of Energy general science pro grams .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, General science and basic research.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Space research and technology: Space flight.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Space, science, applications, and technology.. Supporting space activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . The budget proposes additional funding for operation of nuclear and particle physics accelerators supported by DOE, restoring oper ations to the levels achieved in 1986. Funds are requested for construction and operation of accelerator facilities at Fermilab (Illi nois), Stanford University (California), Brookhaven National Labo ratory (New York), and Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator (Virginia). The budget also requests continued funding for ad vanced accelerator and detector research and development related to the next generation of high energy particle accelerators. Space Research and Technology.—This part of the function covers the space-related activities of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). To continue U.S. leadership in space, a strong and balanced program will be maintained in the primary areas of space flight, space science, and space technology. Budget authority of $8.8 billion is proposed for these programs in 1988, GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY 5-31 compared to $9.8 billion in 1987. Estimated outlays will increase 22 percent from $7.3 billion in 1987 to $8.8 billion in 1988. The de crease in budget authority from 1987 to 1988 is due to the one-time cost of $2.1 billion in 1987 to replace the orbiter Challenger offset in part by an increase of about $1.1 billion for other space shuttle recovery-related costs, program enhancements, and new activities. Space Flight.—The space flight programs help sustain and im prove the Nation’s ability to supply space transportation services and to develop the facilities to establish a permanent U.S. presence in space. Budget authority of $5.3 billion for these programs is proposed for 1988, compared to $6.5 billion in 1987 and $4.2 billion in 1986. Outlays will be $5.6 billion in 1988, 29 percent or $1.3 billion over 1987. In 1988, emphasis will be placed on returning the space shuttle safely to flight. Modifications and redesigns identified by post-Challenger accident reviews will be continued on the solid rocket boost ers, orbiters, main engines, and external tank. The recommenda tions of the Rogers Commission will be implemented to enhance the safe and effective operation of the shuttle fleet. The orbiter logistics program will continue to provide hardware to support the increasing flight rate when flights resume in 1988. Funding for operations will support the training, mission planning, hardware and payload processing, and other preparations for flights planned in 1988 and 1989. Four flights are planned for 1988 and nine are planned for 1989. Work on the replacement orbiter will continue with delivery scheduled for 1991. Also, the budget supports the continued development of an orbital maneuvering vehicle to help ferry spacecraft in low-Earth orbit to and from the shuttle. For the manned space station program, budget authority is pro posed to increase from $420 million in 1987 to $767 million in 1988 to expand development activities leading to an initial operating capability in the mid-1990,s. The space station will facilitate spacebased research, help develop advanced technologies potentially useful to the economy, and encourage greater commercial use of space. Space Science, Applications, and Technology.—This area includes programs that study the solar system, the universe, and Earth’s environment, support research on materials processing in space, and develop technology for future space programs. Budget author ity of $2.4 billion is proposed for 1988, an increase of $122 million from the 1987 level. In space science, the administration proposes to continue broadbased, high-quality flight programs and supporting ground-based research. Spacecraft development will continue for the gamma ray observatory, the Magellan mission (formerly the Venus radar 5-32 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 mapper), and the Mars observer. Operational support will be pro vided in 1988 for the Hubble space telescope, the Galileo mission to Jupiter, and the planned Voyager 2 rendezvous with Neptune in 1989. Planning activities will continue for several smaller space physics, astronomy and life sciences experiments, which were re scheduled due to the Challenger accident. In addition, preparations will be made for future science flight missions. For space applications, the budget emphasizes space experiments and ground-based supporting research to study the Earth and its environment and to explore concepts and techniques for materials processing in space. The cancellation of the advanced communica tions technology satellite flight demonstration will avoid possible competition with the private sector and permit greater emphasis on activities more appropriate for Federal support. The budget proposes expanded efforts to develop space-based remote sensing technologies to help better understand the Earth’s environment and the interaction of the Sun and the Earth. A major new cooperative mission, the global geospace sciences pro gram, will be initiated to expand space-based research on the phys ics of the interaction between the Sun and the Earth. Planning activities will continue for the ocean topography experiment to permit oceanographic studies aiding a better understanding of the effect of ocean circulation on the Earth’s climate. In the area of materials processing, increased funding will allow support for the operation of the microgravity materials science laboratory and nu merous ground-based microgravity experiments. Planning activities will continue for space-based experiments to be undertaken when shuttle flights resume. For the generic space technology program, the administration is proposing continued growth in funding for 1988 to help provide the technology base for future space programs in areas such as propul sion, electronics, and materials research. A major new effort, the civil space technology initiative, will develop a variety of generic space technologies such as space-based propulsion, automation and robotics. This initiative is intended strengthen the technology base for continued U.S. leadership in space. The commercial space programs encourage and facilitate greater private sector investment and involvement in space. Increased funding will be provided to help non-aerospace firms and universi ties explore potential new uses of space for future economic bene fits. The transatmospheric research and technology program, a joint program of NASA and DOD, explores new approaches for costeffective hypersonic vehicles for flight in the atmosphere and for access to space. Funding increases are proposed to continue cooper ative research as well as technology development and testing. 5-33 GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY These efforts are expected to lead to a transatmospheric flight research vehicle demonstration in the early 1990’s as part of the National Aerospace Plane program. The budget authority request for civil space-related elements of this activity is in this function; budget authority for NASA efforts related to aeronautical applica tions are discussed in the transportation function. Supporting Space Activities.—Budget authority of $1.1 billion is proposed for spacecraft tracking, data gathering, and data process ing support for the entire space program, an increase of $102 million over the 1987 level. The budget proposes funding in 1988 for replacement of the tracking and data relay satellite (TDRSS) lost in the Challenger accident. The budget also continues repayments of loan obligations for TDRSS services, and provides for other tracking and data acqui sition services required to support planned missions. The accompa nying credit table shows NASA’s repayment schedules on the out standing direct loans made by the Federal Financing Bank for TDRSS construction and acquisition. No new obligations for this account are expected. CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL SCIENCE, SPACE, AND TECHNOLOGY (In millions of dollars) actual 1986 Direct loans: NASA: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 888 Estimate 1987 -79 809 1988 -91 717 1989 1990 -105 612 -121 491 Tax Expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding of basic research, the tax code encourages private sector research and de velopment, including basic research, by allowing expenditures for such purposes to be deducted as a current expense. The 1988 esti mate for this provision is $1.4 billion. A 25 percent tax credit to encourage increases in certain basic research and experimentation was allowed to expire in 1985, but was reinstated at a reduced rate of 20 percent through 1988 by the Tax Reform Act of 1986. This will cost $1.1 billion in 1988. A legislative moratorium on the Internal Revenue Service regulation determining the allocation between domestic and international operations of business research and development expenditures was replaced in the Tax Reform Act. A statutory allocation rule reduces by half the benefits to taxpayers enjoyed during the 10-year suspension of the proposed regulation. The 1988 estimate for this tax expenditure is $200 million. Tax expenditures for general science, space, and technolo gy are estimated to total $3.0 billion in 1988. 5-34 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 ENERGY The Nation needs adequate supplies of energy at reasonable prices. The best way to meet this need is to let market forces work. This policy produces favorable results, as evidenced by develop ments since the President decontrolled oil markets in 1981. Oil prices are down and the economy continues to expand using less energy than in the past. The Federal Government can help the Nation meet its energy needs through limited spending that is carefully focused to meet appropriate Federal responsibilities and through cutbacks that eliminate inappropriate Government involvement in energy mar kets. Major initiatives proposed in the budget include the following: • Selling the Government-run oil fields at Elk Hills and Teapot Dome, since these are businesses, and not appropriate govern mental activites. • Undertaking the transfer of the power marketing administra tions to non-Federal entities in order to improve the service they provide their customers. • Reforming the lending policies of the Rural Electrification Administration (REA) to reduce costly subsidies. A total of $2.5 billion in budget authority is proposed for this function in 1988, a decrease of $0.1 billion from 1987. Total outlays are expected to fall from $3.8 billion in 1987 to $3.3 billion in 1988. This $0.5 billion reduction is the net result of $0.9 billion in in creased REA outlays, offset by proposed reductions in spending for the Tennessee Valley Authority of $0.5 billion; for energy conserva tion of $0.3 billion; for the strategic petroleum reserve of $0.3 billion; and for other programs of $0.3 billion. Receipts resulting from the divestiture of programs in this func tion are estimated to total $2.5 billion in 1988. This income is reported in the last section of Part 5, undistributed offsetting re ceipts. Energy Supply—The Federal Government’s energy supply activi ties fall into three main categories: research and development (R&D), direct production programs, and subsidies for synthetic fuels and certain electric utilities and telephone systems. A total of $2.2 billion in budget authority is proposed for energy supply research and development programs in 1988. This program level is roughly equal to the level of funding in 1987, for which $0.7 billion of prior year unobligated budget authority adds to $1.5 billion of new appropriations. Private industry invests billions of dollars each year in research and development, including R&D related to energy. The Federal Government should complement, rather than supplant, private sector R&D investment. It should limit its spending to support for 5-35 ENERGY NATIONAL NEED: ENERGY (Functional code 270; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Energy supply: Research and development: Fission.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Fusion.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Fossil.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Solar and renewable energy resources.. Energy science.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting transfers.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Direct production (net): Uranium enrichment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal power marketing: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Petroleum reserves: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Nuclear waste disposal.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tennessee Valley Authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other subsidies: Nonconventional fuel production.. .. .. .. Rural electric and telephone: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Energy supply.. 394 362 309 201 669 352 -217 330 345 251 162 745 421 -684 326 346 219 107 779 409 309 360 275 111 845 435 308 375 230 114 881 437 -231 -270 -270 -100 -142 34 -70 61 18 -565 -486 -540 131 985 58 1,450 -12 213 -517 517 -47 434 -504 504 -74 572 1,914 -821 4,745 1,671 27 -27 1,474 28 -28 2,417 28 -28 2,653 Conservation research and development., Conservation grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Energy conservation.. .. .. .. . 164 263 426 136 15 151 86 83 4 87 85 2 87 Emergency energy preparedness.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 113 153 276 401 421 Energy information, policy, and regulation. 763 562 676 699 701 6,047 2,637 2,513 3,604 3,862 Energy conservation: Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 199 3 *$500 thousand or less. basic research and other longer term R&D where the benefits do not readily accrue to individual companies but assist industry as a whole in the development of new technologies. This policy is par ticularly applicable to non-nuclear R&D, where industry makes significant investments. The budget authority requested for nuclear fission R&D includes $326 million for nuclear technology research, a level nearly con stant with 1987. The nuclear fission R&D program shows an in crease in funds for the advanced civilian reactor program but continues the shift toward R&D on reactor concepts that can meet space and military nuclear power requirements. The restructured program, while serving national security interests, will also main tain a technical and industrial base for any future use of advanced nuclear technologies in the commercial sector. 5-36 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: ENERGY (Functional code 270; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Energy supply: Research and development: Fission.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Fusion.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Fossil.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Solar and renewable energy resources.. .. Energy science.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting transfers.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Direct production (net): Uranium enrichment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal power marketing: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Petroleum reserves: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nuclear waste disposal.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tennessee Valley Authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other subsidies: Nonconventional fuel production.. .. .. .. .. .. Rural electric and telephone: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Energy supply.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Energy conservation: Conservation research and development.. .. .. Conservation grants.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Energy conservation.. .. .. .. .. Emergency energy preparedness.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Energy information, policy, and regulation... Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 393 427 336 203 672 372 350 340 361 169 781 390 346 342 367 135 736 408 325 354 324 96 812 412 311 369 337 92 845 428 -91 -200 -231 -270 -270 -408 -500 -556 -691 -70 -519 19 -415 -442 -539 .. .. 17 783 2 806 -12 318 -525 526 -47 -308 -518 518 -74 74 120 89 38 77 208 429 -204 2,839 1,940 1,692 -979 2,065 1,615 -895 1,736 1,075 -842 2,053 172 343 515 597 785 211 228 440 733 675 94 58 153 448 678 96 17 113 415 685 84 2 86 423 686 4,735 3,787 3,344 2,948 3,247 For nuclear fusion R&D, budget authority of $346 million is proposed for 1988. This budget level, which is the same as that in 1987, funds fusion reactor development at a pace consistent with national energy needs and the potential contribution of fusion power. In 1988, the program will continue to focus on resolving scientific questions key to the ultimate achievement of fusion energy. Studies to support the President’s Geneva initiative on expanded cooperation with the Soviet Union in the area of magnet ic fusion will also continue in 1988. The budget proposes a total of $219 million for two R&D pro grams dealing with fossil fuels: a research program and a clean coal demonstration program. A program level of $169 million is proposed for research related to fossil fuels, including $7 million proposed for later transmittal to support cooperative R&D ven ENERGY 5-37 tures. This is a reduction of $82 million from 1987. The program supports research in universities and national laboratories and cooperative R&D with industry. The request continues to empha size clean use of coal, with $109 million in budget authority for coal-related R&D. The administration proposes spending $350 million over 5 years for additional clean coal technology demonstration projects, in re sponse to the recommendations in the Report of the U.S. and Canadian Special Envoys on Acid Rain. This amount is in addition to the $396 million committed by the Department of Energy in 1986. The budget requests $50 million in 1988 and an advance appropriation of $100 million for 1989 for this expanded funding. As with the 1986 commitments, non-Federal sources are expected to contribute at least equal amounts of funding to these projects. Federal outlays are estimated to be $26 million in 1987 and $146 million in 1988. A program level of $107 million, including $5 million proposed for later transmittal to support cooperative R&D ventures, is pro posed in 1988 for solar and renewable energy research, a reduction of $55 million from 1987. The research covers a broad range of technologies. Like fossil fuel R&D, it supports university and na tional laboratory research as well as applied research and develop ment in cooperation with industry. The reduced budget authority proposed for fossil, solar and other non-nuclear R&D will continue to support vigorous programs of research on longer-term concepts that can later be applied by industry as a whole, while eliminating Federal subsidies for propri etary products or process development by individual firms. The emphasis on more generic technology development, coupled with the use of cooperative R&D ventures, will support industry broadly with greater cost effectiveness and more effective technology trans fer. It also reduces the need for continuing previous levels of Feder al investment. For energy science programs, the budget proposes $779 million in new budget authority, a $34 million increase over the 1987 level. Spending on these programs has increased 34 percent in the past 5 years. These are programs where the Government clearly has a key role to play. They support energy-related basic and applied research at major universitites and the DOE national laboratories in the physical, biological, environmental, and engineering sci ences. Their goal is to provide fundamental scientific knowledge and a broadened engineering data base for future industrial devel opment of a wide spectrum of energy technologies. Other energy supply R&D programs include DOE research on health and safety issues, and Environmental Protection Agency research on acid rain and on an advanced environmental control 5-38 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 technology. Investments for energy conservation at the national laboratories are also included, together with spending for environ mental cleanup at DOE sites. For the nuclear fission remedial action program, $252 million is proposed in 1988 for the cleanup of waste from uranium mining and other contaminated sites. The budget proposes privatization of two of the Federal Govern ment's direct production activities*, the naval petroleum reserves (NPRs) and the power marketing administrations (PMAs). In addi tion, the administration is developing plans to privatize the Gov ernment's uranium enrichment program. The NPRs are located at Elk Hills, California and Teapot Dome, Wyoming. These oil fields were set aside by President Taft and President Wilson to ensure fuel supplies for the Navy as its ships converted from coal to oil. They have outlived their usefulness as national security assets. The strategic petroleum reserve now pro vides an adequate emergency reserve; it can pump out oil 30 times faster than the NPR. The budget assumes the oil fields are sold for $3.3 billion. The proceeds from this sale are not included in this function; instead, they are classified as undistributed offsetting receipts. The budget reproposes divestiture of the five power marketing administrations (PMAs), which supply 6 percent of the electricity generated in the country. These are commercial activities, which in most areas of the country are performed by private and other nonFederal enterprises. The administration believes that divestiture can lead to creation of new enterprises that are more responsive to regional and cus tomer needs, without significant increases in power rates. Conse quently, legislation is proposed with the budget to study a possible divestiture of the Southeastern Power Administration. Also, work will continue on the Alaska Power Administration divestiture. All activities will be coordinated with Congress and with existing power customers, and legislative authorizations will be sought for divestitures. The budget assumes that divestiture of the Southeast ern and Alaska Power Administrations will be authorized and carried out at the end of 1989. As long as the PMAs remain under Federal ownership and con trol, it is appropriate that they repay Federal investment on a regular, business-like basis. To ensure regular repayments, the budget proposes that the PMAs repay the Federal investments on a fixed, straight-line amortization schedule. The proposal would not increase the PMAs' interest costs or the total Federal investment to be repaid, but merely would ensure that annual repayments occur on a predictable and stable schedule. In 1988, the uranium enrichment program will reduce plant operating costs so as to be more competitive in the world enrich ENERGY 5-39 ment market, repay $231 million to the Treasury for prior unrecov ered costs, and transfer the responsibility for further development of enrichment technologies to the private sector. Also in 1988, legislation will be proposed to authorize privatization of the urani um enrichment enterprise. The commercial nuclear waste program is financed by a fee on electricity generated by nuclear power plants. Proposed budget authority of negative $12 million in 1988 results from expenses of $500 million, offset by receipts of $512 million. The request is consistent with levels appropriated in 1986 and 1987. If certain external issues affecting the scope and pace of the program are resolved, a budget amendment supporting a more aggressive pro gram will be submitted at a later date. The Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) estimates its total bor rowing (budget authority) to be $213 million in 1988, a decrease of $1.2 billion from 1987. Restoration and construction of the agency’s nuclear power plants and other power system modifications and upgrades will be financed primarily out of internally-generated funds. TVA will guarantee $209 million in borrowing by the Seven States Energy Corporation from the FFB to finance the TVA nucle ar fuel inventory. TVA’s economic development programs are de scribed in the community and regional development function. The Rural Electrification Administration (REA) in the Depart ment of Agriculture provides direct loans and guarantees of direct loans by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) for the construction and operation of rural electric utilities and telephone systems. Total REA loans outstanding, including FFB direct loans, are esti mated to be $37.0 billion at the end of 1986. The administration proposes that rural electric and telephone systems increase their reliance on private financing and that all REA direct lending programs be phased out by the end of 1989. Under this proposal, revolving fund direct loans and Rural Tele phone Bank loans would be phased out by the end of 1989, and 100 percent REA guaranteed FFB loans would end in 1987. A less costly program offering a 70 percent REA guarantee of the princi pal of privately originated loans would be substituted. Electric and telephone borrowers that serve largely urban, suburban, or recrea tion areas and most telephone borrowers who are subsidiaries of larger holding companies would no longer be eligible for REA assistance. Consistent with this approach, the budget proposes that REA reduce its direct loan obligations in 1988 by $0.7 billion from the 1987 obligations of $1.1 billion. In addition, to encourage privat ization, the administration proposes that any borrower with exist ing REA loans outstanding have the opportunity to prepay all FFB and Rural Telephone Bank loans without a prepayment premium 5-40 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CREDIT PROGRAMS—ENERGY (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual Direct loans: TVA fund: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural electrification: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Geothermal resources and other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Guaranteed loans: Biomass energy development: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural electrification: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Synthetic fuels: Change in outstandings...................................... TVA fund: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Geothermal resources and other: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 1989 1990 268 180 2,091 301 -211 1,880 280 74 1,954 343 -634 1,319 346 -66 1,253 2,953 304 35,941 1,305 2,045 37,986 290 276 38,262 145 -320 37,942 -720 37,222 4 2 23 -1 23 -1 22 -1 21 -1 21 3,224 486 38,055 1,606 1,833 39,888 570 349 40,238 488 -955 39,283 346 -787 38,496 283 796 273 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,069 1,118 840 317 1,435 1,115 824 2,260 1,388 1,306 3,565 -15 1,030 -4 -1 1 1 -4 50 50 50 50 50 Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 262 1,877 .. .. .. .. 361 2,238 840 316 2,554 1,115 824 3,378 1,388 1,306 4,684 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3,224 1,606 1,410 1,603 1,734 and all Revolving Fund direct loans at a discount if the borrower agrees not to seek REA assistance in the future. Energy Conservation.—The budget proposes a total of $86 million in new budget authority for programs in this subfunction, which includes energy conservation research and development and State and local conservation grants. Energy conservation R&D supports development of methods to use energy more efficiently in buildings, transportation, and indus try. The budget proposes a program level of $80 million, including $5 million proposed for later transmittal to support cooperative ENERGY 5-41 R&D ventures, a reduction of $56 million from 1987. The reduction largely reflects proposed elimination of Federal support for devel opment of specific proprietary products for individual companies, because it is not appropriate for the Federal Government to pro vide that kind of company-specific assistance. This subfunction also includes programs providing energy grants to State and local governments. These grants are used to weather ize school buildings, hospitals, and the homes of low-income fami lies. They also support State energy planning and extension activi ties. States received $2.8 billion this past year from the settlement of cases involving petroleum pricing violations under the old price control program. Consequently, no new budget authority is pro posed for these grants. Emergency Energy Preparedness.—The strategic petroleum re serve (SPR) is a Government stockpile of crude oil that is being built up to supplement the market in the event of a severe disrup tion in world oil supplies. The administration proposes to continue development and fill of the reserve at the current rate of 75,000 barrels a day during 1987, then to reduce the rate to 35,000 barrels a day in 1988. This proposal is consistent with the administration’s support for a 750 million barrel reserve and provides adequately for the Nation’s energy security. By the end of 1987, the SPR will contain 534 million barrels of crude oil, an amount equal to over 100 days of 1986 net U.S. imports from all countries. This inventory level will more than meet U.S. obligations to the International Energy Agency. In view of the more than 10 million barrels per day of surplus oil produc tion capacity in the world, the 350 million barrels of stocks under the control of other major importing nations’ governments, and the stocks held by the private sector, there is no need to continue filling SPR at the 75,000 barrel daily rate at an additional annual cost of more than $225 million. At the proposed 35,000 barrels per day rate, SPR outlays for petroleum acquisition and for storage facilities development and maintenance for 1988 are estimated to be $442 million. Energy Information, Policy, and Regulation—Budget authority for energy information, policy, and regulation of $676 million is proposed for 1988, a $14 million increase over 1987. Included in this total is $428 million to support the work of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. This subfunction also includes the operating expenses of the Department of Energy’s Federal Energy Regulatory Commis sion and Energy Information Administration, as well as the De partment’s general administrative expenses. 5-42 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Tax Expenditures.—To encourage energy resources exploration and production, the tax code permits certain capital costs to be deducted as current expenses rather than amortized over the useful life of the property. In addition, extractive industries are generally permitted to use percentage depletion rather than cost depletion. A number of residental tax incentives designed to stimulate energy conservation and encourage conversion to energy sources other than oil or natural gas expired on December 31, 1985. Special tax credits for business investments in specified energy property, which were scheduled to expire at the end of 1985, were extended at declining rates through 1988 by the Tax Reform Act of 1986. Tax expenditures for energy are listed in the accompanying table and discussed in more detail in Special Analysis G. TAX EXPENDITURES FOR ENERGY (Outlay equivalents; In millions of dollars) Description Estimates 1986 Expensing of exploration and development costs: Oil and gas.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -765 Other fuels.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 35 Excess of percentage over cost depletion: Oil and gas.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,375 Other fuels.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 340 125 Capital gains treatment of royalties on coal.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Exclusion of interest on State and local industrial development bonds for certain energy facilities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 180 Residential energy credits: Supply incentives.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 175 Conservation incentives.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 70 Alternative, conservation and new technology credits: Supply incentivies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 375 * Conservation incentives.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Alternative fuel production credit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 25 Alcohol fuel credit1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 10 Energy credit for intercity buses.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 5 55 Special rules for mining reclamation reserves.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total (after interactions), energy2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,420 1987 1988 -820 35 -485 35 850 235 30 585 190 200 205 20 325 ♦ 15 10 90 50 680 45 490 * * 15 10 * *500 thousand or less. 1 In addition, the exemption of alcohol fuel from the excise tax on gasoline results in a reduction in excise receipts of $400 million in 1986, $340 million in 1987, and $300 million in 1988. 2 The estimate of total tax expenditures for this function reflects interactive effects among the individual items. Therefore, the estimates cannot simply be added. NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-43 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT Federal natural resources and environment programs manage public lands and resources for their preservation, conservation, and economic development; work with State governments to ensure a clean environment; and encourage increased knowledge and under standing of the environment. A total of $14.1 billion in budget authority is requested for this function in 1988, an increase of $0.8 billion from 1987. This change results primarily from a $1.4 billion increase for conservation of agricultural lands. While funding for water resources and other natural resources is increased, decreases for recreational resources and pollution control and abatement offset these increases. Pollution Control and Abatement.—Efforts to control pollution of air, water, and land are carried out through direct Federal pro grams and through financial assistance to State and local govern ments. Regulatory, Enforcement, and Research Programs.—Proposed budget authority for these programs will continue at about the 1987 level. However, programs with new or recent statutory man dates, such as the Safe Drinking Water Act (SDWA) Amendments, are increased significantly. This Act requires new drinking water standards, and ensuring compliance with public water supply standards and underground injection control requirements. The budget also includes increases for State environmental agencies. Other initiatives begun or maintained in 1987 are continued in the 1988 budget. Budget authority is also requested to continue aggres sive implementation of the Hazardous and Solid Waste Amend ments of 1984. The acid rain task force is classified in the energy function. Hazardous Substance Superfund.—This trust fund finances the cleanup of abandoned hazardous waste sites and hazardous chemi cal spills. To implement the provisions of the Superfund Amend ments and Reauthorization Act of 1986, the administration pro poses budget authority of $1.2 billion for 1988. Including unobligat ed budget authority from 1987, this request represents a $450 mil lion increase in activity by all agencies involved in the Superfund program. Sewage Treatment Plant Construction Grants.—With the comple tion of the original Federal mission, communities will be expected to finance waste treatment facilities through charges for the serv ices they provide, combined with assistance that State governments may provide. In order to complete the Federal role in assisting State and local governments to build sewage treatment facilities, 5-44 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 the administration requests $12 billion in budget authority through 1993. New budget authority of $2.0 billion will be requested in 1988 for the construction of sewage treatment systems once an accepta ble program has been reauthorized. NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Pollution control and abatement: Regulatory, enforcement, and research pro grams .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Hazardous substance response fund.. .. .. .. .. Oil pollution funds (gross).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sewage treatment" plant construction grants.Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Leaking underground storage tank trust Offsetting receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Pollution control and abate ment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,373 261 6 1,394 1,411 7 1,436 1,200 5 1,435 1,300 5 1,432 1,500 5 1,774 1,200 800 2,000 1,900 1,600 25 25 50 -16 -35 -10 -57 -40 -132 -43 -207 -45 3,399 4,817 4,544 4,491 4,311 2,774 3,354 3,503 3,677 3,661 Water resources: Corps of Engineers.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Bureau of Reclamation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Water resources.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 768 298 -161 3,678 953 129 -422 4,014 1,053 87 -475 4,168 1,127 24 -437 4,390 1,141 20 -405 4,417 1,946 470 278 595 307 1,978 559 304 437 315 1,828 487 292 1,801 218 1,836 560 292 2,403 218 1,839 561 292 2,731 219 -2,166 -2,217 -2,292 -2,424 -2,520 1,430 1,375 2,334 2,886 3,121 195 79 24 9 89 -30 91 -30 94 -30 1,312 1,320 1,379 52 1,402 52 1,416 52 -74 -49 1,456 1,359 -136 -63 1,291 -138 -64 1,313 -131 -64 1,337 Conservation and land management: Management of national forests, cooperative forestry, and forestry research (Forest Service).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Management of public lands (BLM).. .. .. .. .. Mining reclamation and enforcement.. .. .. .. .. Conservation of agricultural lands.. .. .. .. .. .. . Other resources management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Conservation and land man agement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Recreational resources: Federal land acquisition:1 Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Urban park and historic preservation funds.... Operation of recreational resources: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Recreational resources.. .. .. .. 5-45 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT—Continued (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Other natural resources: Program activities: Existing law............ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts........ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,778 -17 Subtotal, Other natural resources.. .. .. .. 1,761 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 11,724 Estimate 1987 1,690 1988 1989 1990 -15 1,734 29 -24 1,792 29 -24 1,702 29 -24 1,675 1,738 1,796 1,707 13,241 14,076 14,876 14,893 1 Includes budget authority from State grants financed by the land and water conservation fund. Water Resources.—Total net proposed budget authority of $4.2 billion for the Department of the Army’s Corps of Engineers, the Department of the Interior’s Bureau of Reclamation, and the De partment of Agriculture’s Soil Conservation Service (SCS) is an increase of about 4 percent from the 1987 level. The increase is due primarily to the construction of new Federal water resource projects initiated since 1985 and is partially offset by increases in commercial navigation user fees, higher non-Federal project financ ing, and proposed termination of the SCS small watershed pro gram. Most of the proposed funding for water resources develop ment covers ongoing construction of projects started in previous years, and operation and maintenance of completed projects. The administration proposes up to 13 new construction starts for the Corps of Engineers. Construction of these projects is contingent upon the willingness of State and local governments, and other non-Federal project sponsors, to share in project costs in accord ance with the Water Resources Development Act of 1986 (WRDA). WRDA authorized a new ad valorem fee for use of the 200 U.S. commercial harbors, annually recovering up to 40 percent of the expenses of the Corps of Engineers for harbor operation and main tenance (O&M) that were previously financed entirely by general tax funds. The fee is equivalent to 4 cents for every $100 of value of cargo loaded or unloaded. The administration requests estimated budget authority of $149 million in 1988 and $67 million in 1987 for Corps of Engineers harbor O&M costs to be recovered from the new ad valorem re ceipts. In addition, the administration proposes to offset 1988 con struction costs of inland waterway projects with $38 million in receipts from the existing tax on fuel to transport cargo on the inland waterway system (WRDA imposed a gradual increase in this tax, doubling it by 1995). Both harbor and inland revenues are classified as governmental receipts and are discussed in Part 4. 5-46 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 In addition, WRDA authorized greater concurrent non-Federal financing of Corps of Engineers construction-period costs and estab lished new requirements for repayment of construction costs over time with interest. Budget estimates are based on these new cost sharing policies. NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Pollution control and abatement: Regulatory, enforcement, and research pro grams .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Hazardous substance response fund.. .. .. .. .. Oil pollution funds (gross).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Sewage treatment plant construction grants: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Leaking underground storage tank trust Offsetting receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Pollution control and abatement. Water resources: Corps of Engineers.. .. . Bureau of Reclamation.. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. Subtotal, Water resources. 1,291 435 9 1,419 550 10 1,458 900 5 1,441 1,175 6 1,439 1,325 6 3,113 2,592 8 1,814 506 1,600 550 1,100 980 18 22 25 -16 -35 -10 -57 -40 -132 —43 -207 -45 4,831 4,541 4,603 4,620 4,624 2,855 1,050 298 -161 4,041 3,365 1,007 228 -422 4,178 3,522 907 144 -475 4,099 3,677 1,129 54 -437 4,423 3,661 1,139 26 -405 4,421 1,846 529 327 553 299 1,983 558 345 606 322 1,841 494 327 1,889 216 1,856 558 317 2,460 218 1,858 561 297 2,753 218 -2,166 -2,217 -2,292 -2,424 -2,520 1,388 1,598 2,474 2,984 3,167 262 32 269 29 132 14 107 2 78 1,293 1,384 1,371 45 1,403 52 1,401 52 -74 -49 1,513 1,633 -136 -63 1,362 -138 -64 1,362 -131 -64 1,336 Conservation and land management: Management of national forests, cooperative forestry, and forestry research (Forest Service).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Management of public lands (BLM).. .. .. .. . Mining reclamation and enforcement.. .. .. .. . Conservation of agricultural lands.. .. .. .. .. .. Other resources management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts-. Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Conservation and land man agement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Recreational resources: Federal land acquisition1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Urban park and historic preservation funds.. Operation of recreational resources: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Recreational resources.. 5-47 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT NATIONAL NEED: USING AND PRESERVING NATURAL RESOURCES AND PROTECTING THE ENVIRONMENT—Continued (Functional code 300; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 Other natural resources: Program activities: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Other natural resources.. .. .. . Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -15 1,907 1,706 21 — 24 1,703 1,783 27 -24 1,785 1,785 29 -24 1,789 13,857 14,241 15,175 15,336 1,883 1,922 -17 1,866 13,639 1 Includes outlays from State grants financed by the land and water conservation fund. The Bureau of Reclamation is included in the administration’s loan asset sale initiative. Bureau loans worth about $350 million will be offered for sale, yielding estimated net receipts of $154 million. Funding for the Bureau gives highest priority to complet ing ongoing construction and planning activities that are substan tially underway and constrains funding of new activities and projects. This initiative will allow the Bureau to complete more projects or major project features on schedule than would be possi ble if funding were distributed to all projects regardless of their relative stage of completion. Also, funding for Bureau planning activities is substantially reduced, reflecting the emphasis on com pleting work on ongoing projects before starting new ones. The administration proposes to terminate the Soil Conservation Service (SCS) small watershed program in 1988. While the program can provide flood control facilities under Public Laws 78-534 and 83-566, these facilities are usually within the financial and engi neering capability of non-Federal entities to provide. The facilities also duplicate services of the Corps of Engineers in some cases, and often provide added capacity to produce surplus commodities. Conservation and Land Management.—Changes in these pro grams reflect the administration’s continuing efforts to improve the management of the national forests and public lands, to make mineral leasing programs more efficient, and to place maximum responsibility with the States for surface coal mining regulatory and reclamation programs. Budget authority for these programs is proposed to increase by $1.0 billion because of increases in the conservation of agricultural lands subfunction. Management of National Forests, Cooperative Forestry, and For estry Research.—Proposed budget authority in 1988 for direct man agement of National Forests is $1.8 billion, a decrease from 1987 of $134 million, after adjusting the 1987 and 1988 levels of funding for forest fire fighting and increased pay and retirement costs. This 5-48 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 net decrease occurs primarily as a result of a postponement of some construction and recreational land acquisition and termina tion of financial assistance and some technical assistance to State forestry agencies. The productivity of national forest management will be improved through careful control of costs and close attention to benefit-cost relationships. The administration’s objective is to produce timber, minerals, recreation, and other products or services at the lowest unit costs. Both market and nonmarket benefits and costs of re sources will be carefully considered. Planned timber sales from National Forest lands in 1988 are 11.1 billion board feet (BBF). Together with the estimated 25 BBF sold but still uncut at the end of 1987, this level will be adequate to respond to anticipated housing construction needs in 1988 and subsequent years. Gross receipts from the harvest of timber are estimated to be approximately $1.0 billion in 1988. Under current law, 25 percent of these receipts are paid to States for schools and roads in the counties of origin. The administration will propose legislation, dis cussed in the general purpose fiscal assistance function, to deduct appropriate Federal costs from receipts before calculating the share paid to the States. Federal payments in lieu of taxes on Federal lands, also classified in the general purpose fiscal assist ance function, will continue to be paid to counties. The administration proposes to reduce budget authority for con tributions to State and private forestry programs from $58 million in 1987 to $35 million in 1988. Funding will be retained to provide for pest suppression on Federal and closely associated lands, and collection and dissemination to States of data on national problems. General financial assistance to States for pest suppression, fire protection and forestry technical assistance on non-Federal lands is not proposed for 1988. Management of Public Lands.—The Bureau of Land Manage ment (BLM) administers 310 million surface acres of public lands for multiple use and 370 million acres of federally owned subsur face mineral rights. The BLM will continue to emphasize mineral leasing, realty management, data support systems, and renewable resource activities such as those affecting water, timber, or wildlife, including hazardous waste assessment. Mining Reclamation and Enforcement.—The 1988 budget reflects a continuation of the regulatory program at the current services level. A budget authority decrease of $12 million from the 1987 level reflects maturation of the abandoned mined land reclamation grant program, balancing annual obligations at a rate that can be absorbed by States and sustained each year until program comple NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT 5-49 tion in 1992. Approximately 225 projects to reclaim abandoned mined lands in 22 States will be financed by the $187 million of the proposed budget authority. Conservation of Agricultural Lands.—A new Federal conserva tion reserve program is authorized by the Food Security Act of 1985. Under the new program, the Secretary of Agriculture will enter into contracts with owners of highly erodible lands to remove those lands from active crop production. In return, the landowners will receive assistance in establishing appropriate conservation cover on the land and rental payments for each acre put into reserve status. The administration proposes to terminate a number of existing conservation cost share and Soil Conservation Service programs. Technical assistance will continue to be provided to farmers to achieve sound conservation of farm land as well as to aid in the implementation of the new conservation reserve pro gram. Other Resources Management.—The apparent reduction of $97 million in budget authority is primarily due to the budget-neutral reclassification of certain Bureau of Indian Affairs activities to the community and regional development function. Recreational resources.—Excluding offsetting receipts paid into the Treasury, and after proposed rescissions, budget authority for recreation is proposed to be increased from $1.40 billion in 1987 to $1.49 billion in 1988. Budget authority for Federal land acquisition is proposed to be reduced from $216 million appropriated in 1987 to $59 million in 1988. A rescission is proposed to reduce budget authority for land acquisition by $137 million in 1987, and discre tionary acquisitions for park and refuge purposes are proposed to be postponed through 1992 except for wetlands acquired with reve nue from the sale of duck stamps, refuge entrance fee collections and other dedicated receipts. Grants to States for acquisition and development of outdoor recreation lands and for support of State historic preservation staffs are proposed for elimination in 1988. In addition, a rescission is proposed to reduce budget authority for land acquisition grants by $33 million in 1987 and historic preser vation grants by $15 million in 1987. These needs can be met through State, local, and private resources and the positive effect of Federal tax incentives on private investment in historic build ings. The administration proposes to increase entrance fees to national parks and service charges for recreational use of national parks, forests, and other Federal recreation facilities, so that those who use them will pay more for their upkeep and maintenance than will those taxpayers who do not use them. The agency collecting 5-50 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 the user fees will retain them for operation and maintenance of recreation areas. For 1988, recreation receipts, are estimated to be about $167 million, $92 million above what would otherwise be collected in 1988 under current law. Total 1987 budget authority of $715 million, an increase of $31 million over 1987, is proposed to operate and maintain the national park system’s 338 units and 79 million acres. The total budget authority includes $74 million to be financed by increased entrance and user fees. Other Natural Resources.—These activities focus on the under standing, conservation, and careful husbandry of the Earth’s re sources, structure, and environment through research and develop ment and information dissemination programs. They comprise ele ments of the Geological Survey (USGS), the Bureau of Mines (BOM), and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). USGS 1988 budget authority totals $420 million and reflects proposed reductions for numerous lower priority program activi ties. Budget authority of $119 million is requested for the Bureau of Mines. No funds have been requested for the Mineral Institutes program. BOM research activities will be focused on long-term projects with high potential benefit. The 1988 budget proposal also includes the privatization of Federal helium operations. All helium operation assets are proposed for sale. However, BOM will retain the helium inventory for Federal agency use. For the NOAA programs, budget authority for this category reflects an increase of 6 percent in budget authority to $1,130 million in 1988. Increased funding is included for the procurement of the next generation of polar-orbiting weather satellites, doppler weather radars, automated surface observation and weather infor mation processing systems, and commercialization of the Land Remote Sensing Satellite (Landsat) program. Reductions are pro posed for State and industry financial assistance and lower priority research and service programs. Funding for other life safety, re source management and development programs, and atmospheric and oceanic research and services is maintained. The administration proposes a $6 marine fishing license for both commercial and recreational fishing, to offset partially the costs of managing and conserving this exhaustible natural resource. Coast al states will retain one-half of the license fee. The budget assumes a 3-year phase-in of the Federal share of the fee from $46 million in 1988 to $69 million by 1990. Upon enactment of the fishing license, the administration will request a $29 million increase for fisheries management programs. Part 4 provides a more complete discussion of governmental receipts. 5-51 NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT Offsetting Receipts.—Offsetting receipts from the entire natural resources and environment function—primarily from user fees, sales of products, rents and royalties—are expected to rise from $2.7 billion in 1987 to $3.1 billion in 1988. More than half of these collections are rents and royalities. Credit Programs.—The administration proposes to (1) sell about $350 million of Bureau of Reclamation loans (with proceeds from the sale estimated at $154 million), and (2) continue funding 11 ongoing Bureau loans. These direct loans are made to local govern ment project sponsors, generally for construction and rehabilitation of irrigation systems and for storage of municipal or industrial water supplies. CREDIT PROGRAMS—NATURAL RESOURCES AND ENVIRONMENT (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 Direct loans: Water resources and other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 79 64 541 44 64 606 27 -336 270 22 19 289 15 26 315 Total, new obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 79 44 27 22 15 Tax Expenditures.—As an incentive to encourage production, cer tain capital costs associated with exploration and development of nonfuel minerals may be recovered at preferentially rapid rates. In addition, most nonfuel mineral extractors are permitted to use percentage depletion, rather than cost depletion. Percentage deple tion is more generous than cost depletion in that total deductions are not limited to the cost of the investment. The estimates for these two provisions are $35 million and $300 million, respectively, in 1988. Beginning in 1987, the Tax Reform Act of 1986 eliminates the use of State and local government debt to finance privately owned pollution control facilities and caps the use of such debt to fund waste disposal facilities of private firms. Previously, investment for all of these purposes could be financed at below market interest rates because the interest is excluded from income subject to Fed eral income tax. The estimated cost for 1988 is $1.9 billion. Prior to 1987, a special 25 percent tax credit was available for expenditures made to restore certain historic structures. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 reduced the credit to 20 percent. The 1988 cost estimate is $420 million. 5-52 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Special benefits are provided to the timber and iron industries in order to encourage production. The gains on the cutting of timber and royalties from iron ore deposits are taxed at capital gains rates, which are lower than rates on ordinary income. However, the Tax Reform Act of 1986 has repealed the special capital gains rates beginning with 1987, but constrains the maximum rate to 28 percent for that year. Therefore, there will no longer be a tax expenditure for this provision in 1988. The act exempted timber growers from the newly codified rules for capitalizing production and holding costs for all producers of goods beginning in 1987. In 1988, this tax expenditure will cost an estimated $430 million. Private forestry is encouraged additionally because a limited amount of reforestation expenditures are eligible for special tax credits and write-offs that will cost $330 million in 1988. Tax expenditures for natural resources and environment total an estimated $3.4 billion in 1988. AGRICULTURE 5-53 AGRICULTURE Federal agricultural programs help meet domestic and interna tional trade demands for food and fiber while mitigating the ad verse effects of price fluctuations on farmers. To improve U.S. agriculture’s competitive position in world markets and strengthen the Farm Credit System, the administration will act under two major recently enacted laws: the Food Security Act of 1985 (known as the farm bill); and the Farm Credit Amendments Act of 1985. The farm bill permits a greater market orientation in the Federal Government’s farm price support programs. The Farm Credit Act provides the needed authority for the Farm Credit System to deal more effectively with its current financial problems. The administration will propose legislation to modify farm com modity price support programs to ensure a fair deal for taxpayers while meeting commitments to America’s farmers. The administration’s request for the Farmers Home Administra tion (FmHA) contains almost $4 billion in budget authority for agricultural credit in 1988 to help ensure that viable but high risk farmers have operating credit available to continue operations. Within this level of credit authority direct Government lending is reduced and guarantees of private loans are increased. This trend began in 1986 and was ratified by the farm bill. In addition, the budget proposes to scale down Federal interven tion and subsidies in other areas of agriculture, particularly in crop insurance, applied research, and other business services. Farm Income Stabilization.—Outlays on farm income stabiliza tion programs are estimated to drop from $29.2 billion in 1987 to $24.5 billion in 1988. Commodity Price Support and Related Programs.—These pro grams were created to stabilize, support, and protect farm income and prices, and to provide consumers with a dependable supply of agricultural products at affordable prices. Price and income sup port activities currently constitute the largest portion of Federal Government expenditures in the agricultural sector of the econo my. The Department of Agriculture (USDA), working through the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC), provides income support through deficiency payments, and price support through loans to farmers. Deficiency payments are made to farmers based on the difference between target prices that are set by law and the higher of either the market price or loan level. Through these payments, the Government guarantees farmers a certain level of income. Using their crops as collateral, farmers also have access to pricesupport loans that enables them to hold their crop for later sale. If 5-54 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: IMPROVED AGRICULTURE (Functional code 350; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 23,085 21,514 16,069 308 21,325 -3,663 21,245 -6,232 344 345 500 -157 444 -270 443 -324 4,627 3,506 9 28,065 3,685 50 4,552 -115 4,749 22 25,365 20,456 22,273 19,903 775 834 ”328' ”332” 783 _* 263 785 _* 263 786 _* 263 133 134 140 -40 140 -40 140 -41 310 ........... 308 ......... 303 -86 200 300 -86 201 295 -87 201 206 211 -97” -99 247 -4 -102 244 -4 -102 238 -4 -102 1,836 1,910 1,703 1,698 1,689 29,901 27,275 22,158 23,972 21,592 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Farm income stabilization: Commodity price support and related pro grams: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Crop insurance: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Agricultural credit: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other programs and unallocated overhead.. . Subtotal, Farm income stabilization.. Agricultural research and services: Research programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Extension programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Marketing programs.Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Animal and plant health programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic intelligence.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other programs and unallocated overhead: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Agricultural research and services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, budget authority.. *$500 thousand or less. market prices are below the price-support loan rate determined by law, the producer can default on the loan without penalty, forfeit ing the loan collateral as settlement of the loan. The administration does not plan to provide advance deficiency payments on 1988 crops during FY 1988. In addition, the adminis tration plans to utilize fully the discretion provided in the farm bill to set price supports at market clearing levels. The elimination of artifically high price supports should increase U.S. exports, thereby reducing the need for export subsidies. The value of agricultural exports in 1986 was $26.3 billion, while imports totaled $20.9 bil lion, resulting in a positive agricultural trade balance of $5.4 bil lion. The importance of agricultural trade to the economic health of the farm sector and the nation as a whole mandates the contin ued reliance on free markets for farm products. 5-55 AGRICULTURE NATIONAL NEED: IMPROVED AGRICULTURE (Functional code 350; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 25,891 25,288 20,978 308 21,325 -3,663 21,245 -6,232 516 637 672 -190 481 -270 409 -332 3,234 3,187 -33 29,608 .. .. 5i” 29,163 2,888 -133 2,059 68 1,420 21 24,524 20,000 16,531 761 ......... 832 880 _* 274 843 _* 263 805 _* 263 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Farm income stabilization: Commodity price support and related pro grams: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Crop insurance: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Agricultural credit: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other programs and unallocated overhead.. . Subtotal, Farm income stabilization.. Agricultural research and services: Research programs.Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Extension programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Marketing programs.Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Animal and plant health programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Economic intelligence.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other programs and unallocated overhead: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Agricultural research and services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, outlays.. "332" 154 152 140 -40 140 -40 140 -41 283 ......... 298 303 -86 198 303 -86 200 295 -87 201 203 218 —97 -99 246 -4 -102 244 -4 -102 239 -4 -102 1,841 1,921 1,809 1,760 1,708 31,449 31,084 26,333 21,760 18,240 188 *$500 thousand or less. The administration will propose legislation to modify farm com modity price support programs in order to move to a more marketoriented agricultural sector and to expand export markets. In the past 5 years, spending on price support programs has increased over 500 percent—rising from $4.0 billion in 1981 to $25.8 billion in 1986. If made directly, the 1986 outlays would amount to an average payment of more than $16,000 to each of the 1.6 million farm families. It would be enough to pay almost $42,000 to each of the 619,000 commercial sized farms in the U.S. In comparison, in calendar year 1985, U.S. median family income was $27,735. On average, more than $425 of each nonfarm family’s taxes was spent to support farm prices and incomes in 1986. Despite this enormous commitment of resources, in part because of contradictory and counterproductive farm programs, economic 5-56 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 conditions in agriculture are not good. This situation is untenable and must be changed. Farm programs base certain direct payments and price support loans on the volume of crops produced, so that higher production leads to higher Federal benefits. Consequently, farmers overpro duce, which causes commodity prices to decline. Because current crop programs are designed to support farm income when prices decline, this overproduction generates ever-increasing Federal sup port. In addition, too much Federal money goes to a relatively small proportion of farmers who tend to be the owners of the largest and most efficient farms. In 1985, two-thirds of American farmers did not receive price supports. Of the one-third who did, those with annual sales of more than $100,000 received almost 70 percent of the payments. Moreover, during 1986, 12 percent of those receiving subsidies for producing cotton received more than half the total payments, with some individual farmers receiving millions of dol lars. Similarly, 50 of the largest rice producers received subsidies of over $1 million each in 1986. Finally, certain farm programs are directly counter to the Feder al Government’s international objectives and responsibilities. For example, the Government’s support for domestic sugar producers conflicts with the policy to encourage increased trade between the United States and the Philippines and certain Caribbean countries. The administration’s proposal will address the major shortcom ings of the 1985 farm bill, but will retain that bill’s basic price support mechanisms. Outlay savings of $24 billion over the 19881992 period are projected to result from enactment of these propos als. Specifically, the administration’s proposed changes will modify farm programs to: • remove the incentive for farmers to overproduce by decou pling program benefits from the obligation to harvest certain crops; • limit to $50,000 (instead of $250,000 under current law) the amount of Federal payments each farmer may receive; • close loopholes that make current payment limitations inef fective for a large number of farmers; and • reduce target prices by 10 percent per year in order to reduce incentives for farmers to overproduce. These proposals are made within the basic structure of the Food Security Act of 1985. The administration’s proposal will continue to help America’s family farmers adjust to changing world economic conditions. However, this help will be provided equitably, without placing an unnecessary burden on the general taxpayer and with out giving some farmers undue advantage or favored treatment. AGRICULTURE 5-57 The administration will also seek to make changes in the coun terproductive sugar program to make it more market-oriented while providing adjustment assistance to current program partici pants. Crop Insurance.—Since 1938, the Federal Crop Insurance Corpo ration (FCIC) has offered insurance to producers against crop losses from natural hazards such as excessive rainfall or drought. In 1980, legislation was enacted to develop a market for self-sustaining private crop insurance. Today, all-risk crop insurance is available in more than 3,000 agricultural counties and more than 90 percent is delivered by private companies. Insurance in force is expected to reach $8.6 billion in 1988, an increase of $200 million over the 1987 estimate. The budget proposes privatization of crop insurance serv ices and a 5-year phaseout of the Federal role. Over the phaseout period, premium rates will be increased to an actuarially sound level, and all Federal subsidies will be eliminated. FCIC will contin ue to provide a reinsurance function operated on a business-like basis. Agricultural Credit.—The Nation relies on private credit for agri culture, as in other sectors of the national economy. However, the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) currently holds about 13 percent of total farm debt outstanding, primarily for family farm ers with limited resources. At the end of 1986, outstanding FmHA agricultural credit insurance fund direct loans totaled $28.7 billion. The FmHA has lent over 50 percent of this amount during the last 10 years. In 1986 alone, new direct lending totaled $2.8 billion, with 8 percent of this amount for disaster loans. Farm operating direct and guaranteed loan activity in 1987 is estimated to be $3.5 billion. The 1988 budget proposes $3.5 billion in direct and guaranteed farm operating lending, continuing to shift gradually away from direct Federal lending to Federal guar antees of private loans as provided for in the farm bill. Disaster loan programs are proposed to be funded at levels used in recent years, $295 million. No new Federal funds or guarantees are budg eted for farm ownership. Also, as mandated in the farm bill, $185 million will be available in 1988 for interest rate buy-downs on guaranteed loans. Agricultural Research Programs.—The proposed 1988 research program increases genetic and biotechnology research to improve the competitiveness and profitability of U.S. agriculture. Research will be conducted in areas of plant and animal productivity, com modity conversion, conservation, and human nutrition. The 1988 program emphasizes long-term, basic research rather than applied research and product development, which are more appropriately 5-58 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CREDIT PROGRAMS—AGRICULTURE (In millions of dollars) 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 Direct loans.Commodity price support and related loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Agricultural credit insurance fund: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 17,719 6,504 21,608 17,803 -2,017 19,591 13,488 -2,419 17,172 11,202 -1,246 15,925 10,236 -1,512 14,413 2,799 136 28,698 1,817 -924 27,775 1,295 -1,135 26,639 500 -1,596 25,043 400 -1,731 23,312 Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 20,518 6,639 50,306 19,620 -2,941 47,365 14,783 -3,555 43,811 11,702 -2,842 40,968 10,636 -3,243 37,725 2,503 1,485 3,609 5,500 3,428 7,038 3.500 745 7,782 3,500 322 8,104 3,500 -317 7,788 1,560 776 2,161 2,498 1,098 3,258 2.500 1,175 4,434 3,500 957 5,391 3,600 1,284 6,675 4,062 -709 5,770 7,998 4,526 10,296 6,000 1,920 12,216 7,000 1,279 13,495 7,100 968 14,463 24,580 27,618 20,783 18,702 17,736 Guaranteed loans.Commodity price support and related loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Agricultural credit insurance fund: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings............................ Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . financed by private industry. Budget authority of $783 million is requested for these activities in 1988. Extension Programs.—The Federal Extension Service, States, and localities finance the Cooperative Extension System. This system provides social and economic services in agriculture, home econom ics, community development, and 4-H youth programs. Federal support, which accounts for only one-third of the resources avail able to the system, is proposed to decrease from $332 million to $263 million in budget authority in 1988. The administration pro poses to reduce funding for the Extension Service by terminating categorical grants to States that are used for such programs as urban gardening, pest management, support for rural development centers, financial management, and food and nutrition education. These programs can be funded out of the formula grant program, which is proposed to be $238 million in 1988, an increase of ap proximately $8 million over the 1987 level. AGRICULTURE 5-59 Marketing Programs.—The Federal Government provides a varie ty of services to aid in the orderly marketing of farm products such as grain inspection and weighing; tobacco inspection; cotton classi fication; and meat, poultry, and livestock grading. Most of these services are now provided on a user fee basis. Legislation will be proposed to finance more services with user fees including compli ance and standardization for Federal grain inspection, market news information and other activities of the Agricultural Market ing Service. These new fees are estimated to generate $40 million in additional offsetting collections in 1988. Animal and Plant Health.—The Federal Government carries out a number of programs to prevent the introduction and spread of plant and animal pests and diseases that can cause severe losses in crop yields or livestock. Outlays in 1988, estimated to be $303 million, include funds to support the eradication of brucellosis infection in domestic livestock through a Federal-State-industry cooperative program. The goal is to eradicate brucellosis by 1991, after which time the Federal role will be reduced to surveillance only. New user fees totaling about $86 million are proposed for services rendered through the agricultural quarantine inspection, import-export inspection, veterinary biologies and veterinary diag nostics programs. Tax Expenditures.—Agriculture is promoted by several tax ex penditures. Farmers are permitted to deduct the costs of soil and water conservation projects on their land. In addition, the Tax Reform Act of 1986 permits farmers and timber growers to deduct the costs of producing products that have multi-year growing sea sons. In contrast, non-agricultural entities are required to capital ize the costs of multi-year production processes. The tax expendi tures for these two agricultural deductions are estimated to be $530 million and $5 million, respectively, in 1988. The 1986 tax legislation repealed the capital gains benefit farm ers could derive from the sale of such products as livestock, which were treated as capital assets. However, farmers were accorded a new tax expenditure that provides for preferential treatment when collateralized loans are settled for less than the principal owed. This preferential treatment will cost $10 million in 1988. Addition ally, under the act, farmers will gain $310 million in 1988 through a special refund of previously unused investment tax credits. Altogether, the estimated 1988 cost of tax expenditures in sup port of agriculture is $795 million. 5-60 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT The Federal Government seeks to support an environment in which all sectors of the economy may compete equally for credit. Commerce and housing credit programs supplement private sector financing of business and housing by providing assistance for mort gage credit, deposit insurance and other subsidies for business. This function also includes non-credit programs for the advancement of commerce. The budget proposals reflect the administration’s goals of main taining low-inflation, growth-oriented monetary and fiscal policies, reducing Federal intervention in private markets, and making ex isting programs more efficient. These policies have brought about the lowest interest rates in nearly a decade. These low rates have resulted in over 700,000 new business incorporations last year and the strongest levels of housing starts and home sales since the 1970’s. Because of the booming private sector activity in this area, the budget proposes to reduce, terminate, or privatize programs in which the beneficiaries can be better served by the private sector. The budget also proposes to raise user fees for credit programs in which the Government does not recover the full program costs and unfairly competes with the private sector. The budget proposes $8.8 billion in budget authority in 1988 and $2.5 billion in estimated outlays for commerce and housing credit. Mortgage credit and deposit insurance programs and activities are a major portion of the assistance, with $3.6 billion in proposed budget authority in 1988. In addition, the budget proposes $1.4 billion in direct loan obligations and $73.8 billion in guaranteed loan commitments in 1988. Mortgage Credit and Deposit Insurance.—In support of both the housing and financial markets, the Federal Government’s primary goal is to have fiscal and monetary policies that result in stable, non-inflationary economic growth. Additionally, the Government has long provided direct support—in the form of grants, and direct and guaranteed loans—to those areas of the economy that the private sector may not adequately serve. Mortgage-Backed Securities.—The Government National Mort gage Association (GNMA) supports the mortgage market through guarantees of mortgage-backed securities issued by private lenders and backed by mortgages that are insured by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) or guaranteed by the Veterans Administra tion. The GNMA guarantee enhances the saleability of these secu rities in the capital markets. In 1987, guarantees are expected to be issued on $87.7 billion in securities. For 1988, the administration proposes a new commitment limitation of $100 billion, as shown in 5-61 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT NATIONAL NEED: COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (Functional code 370; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Mortgage credit and deposit insurance: Mortgage purchase activities (GNMA).. .. .. . Mortgage credit (FHA and other).. . .... .. .. . Housing for the elderly or handicapped.. .. .. . Rural housing programs (FmHA).. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corpo ration and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Mortgage credit and deposit insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Postal Service: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal Postal Service.. .. .. .. .. Other advancement of commerce: 1 90 415 2,476 432 704 877 3,125 3,039 2,766 6,666 2,982 3,557 3,743 3,643 2,504 3,183 2,504 3,183 2,972 376 3,348 2,178 552 2,731 2,084 735 2,819 757 323 217 493 569 334 298 551 384 425 511 561 465 432 684 556 485 439 1,528 549 137 493 3,036 3,000 Small and minority business assistance.. .. .. . Science and technology.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic and demographic statistics.. .. .. .. . International trade and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Other advancement of com merce .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,790 1,751 1,882 2,137 3,001 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 10,960 7,916 8,787 8,610 9,463 the credit programs table in this section. Of that amount, new guarantees are estimated to be issued on $67.0 billion in securities. The administration is adopting a Grace Commission recommen dation to increase the guarantee fee that GNMA currently charges mortgage-backed securities issuers from 6 basis points to 10 basis points. This fee is closer to that charged by ether issuers of mort gage-backed securities and is part of a coordinated effort to in crease opportunities for private sector activity in the secondary mortgage market for home mortgages. Mortgage Credit.—The FHA provides mortgage insurance on single-family homes, apartments, manufactured housing, and health care facilities. This insurance protects lenders from loss in the event of default on loans. The single-family mortgage insurance program (the largest of the FHA programs) is currently available to all qualified applicants regardless of income level. The program has liberal underwriting and nominal downpayment requirements intended to assist low- and moderate-income families who other wise would not be able to afford to buy a home. However, many families using the FHA program may be qualified for private mort gage insurance. Over the past year, the administration has been studying the extent to which FHA activity duplicates private mort 5-62 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 gage insurance activity. A report will be forthcoming this spring from the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), which will analyze the extent of duplication as well as feasible approaches to transferring duplicative business to the private sector. There are two clear-cut areas of overlap between FHA and the private sector that the administration addresses in the 1988 budget: mortgage insurance for families earning over $40,000 per year and for buyers of non-primary residences. Beginning in 1988, families earning over $40,000 would be required to make a minimum 5 percent downpayment to participate in the FHA mortgage insur ance program—consistent with the downpayment requirements in the private mortgage insurance (PMI) industry. Families in the top quartile of the income distribution tend to make higher downpay ments than the average FHA mortgagor and are better able to accumulate the financial resources needed to buy a home. In addi tion, legislation will be proposed to limit the FHA single-family program to purchasers of primary residences in order to target limit ed credit subsidies to homebuyers rather than investors. The budget would prohibit the inclusion of closing costs as part of the mortgage, although the mortgage insurance premium could continue to be financed. This would make the FHA policies on closing costs consistent with those for conventional mortgages and would reduce the risk of default by ensuring that the home buyer has a greater stake in the home. Consistent with the administration’s initiative of instituting, and in some cases raising, credit user fees, legislation will be proposed to allow FHA to charge a mortgage insurance premium comparable to private market premiums. An increase from 3.8 percent to 5.0 percent is estimated to bring the FHA premium in line with those that private insurers would have to charge to provide comparable guarantees and would permit FHA to pay for the full cost of reinsuring its loan guarantees under the credit reform proposal, as discussed in Part 3b. Housing for the Elderly or Handicapped.—The housing program for elderly and handicapped households provides direct loans at subsidized rates to non-profit organizations for the construction of housing for the very-low-income elderly and the handicapped. Projects are also subsidized by the Section 8 rental assistance pro gram in HUD, described in the income security function. The administration proposes to address the needs of elderly and handicapped households primarily through the rental housing voucher program rather than housing construction programs. Vouchers allow low-income households to shop for their own hous ing in the existing rental market. For 1988, the budget proposes a limited construction program of 2,000 units financed by a supple 5-63 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT NATIONAL NEED: COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (Functional code 370; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 -293 -790 -315 -373 -399 58 -451 -6 -506 -5 -1,750 -2,398 531 3,235 262 515 498 4,046 -2,574 -487 47 834 1,535 -2,179 -401 489 562 -458 -2,450 -454 304 205 -620 1,072 3,745 -368 -203 850 -1,550 -326 800 -783 -226 800 -501 -256 1,899 5,515 -2,013 -2,653 -3,483 758 1,781 758 1,781 2,669 376 3,045 1,051 552 1,604 1,054 735 1,789 OUTLAYS Mortgage credit and deposit insurance: Mortgage-backed securities (GNMA).. .. .. .. . Mortgage purchase activities (GNMA).. .. .. . Mortgage credit (FHA and other): Existing law.................................... Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Housing for the elderly or handicapped.. .. .. . Rural housing programs (FmHA).. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.. .. .. .. Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corpo ration and other: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . National Credit Union Administration.. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Mortgage credit and deposit insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Postal Service: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Postal Service.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other advancement of commerce: Small and minority business assistance.. .. .. . Science and technology.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Economic and demographic statistics.. .. .. .. . International trade and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Other advancement of com merce .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 774 334 208 475 627 479 270 628 5 411 491 594 118 430 635 547 520 436 1,617 539 1,790 2,004 1,501 1,730 3,113 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4,448 9,300 2,533 680 1,419 mental legislative request to extend the availability of 1987 funds into 1988. This would permit the construction of 10,000 units in 1987, a small reduction from the 11,500 units constructed in 1986. Loan asset sales of $500 million are assumed in 1988 and outlays for this program are estimated to be $515 million in 1987 and $47 million 1988. Rural Housing Programs.—The administration proposes to estab lish a voucher program, discussed in the income security function, to replace the two principal loan programs of the Farmers Hpme Administration (FmHA). As in metropolitan areas where vouchers are already in use, vouchers increase household choices and permit more efficient use of private market housing. The administration proposes to terminate those traditional lending programs that have not been cost-effective in helping low-income families move to standard housing units. 5-64 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Credit and Banking.—A number of programs enhance the safety and soundness of the banking system and affect its responsiveness to the needs of both savers and borrowers. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) insures the deposits of all federally chartered and many State-chartered commercial and savings banks. A record number of FDIC-insured banks failed in 1986. A significant portion of the failed banks suffered unsustainable losses caused by weaknesses in the agricultural economy. The net loss incurred by the fund in 1986 was $42 million, resulting in an equity balance of $18.8 billion. Increased bank closing activity is estimated to lead to net losses of $1.9 billion in 1987 and $408 million in 1988. FDIC equity is projected to decline to an estimated $16.5 billion by the end of 1988. CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (In millions of dollars) Estimate actual Direct loans: Mortgage-backed securities (GNMA): New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Mortgage purchase activity (GNMA): Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Mortgage insurance (FHA): New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Housing for the elderly or handicapped: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural housing (FmHA): New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Central liquidity facility (NCUA): New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Small business assistance: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . FDIC: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . FSLIC: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 1988 1989 1990 8 7 10 802 * 10 306 * 10 196 —2 8 128 —2 6 -750 884 -522 361 -45 316 -1 315 -1 315 423 42 4,246 321 -393 3,853 395 -476 3,377 443 6 3,382 573 -109 3,273 556 523 6,189 502 521 6,710 131 3 6,713 24 464 7,177 14 284 7,460 1,826 615 29,295 508 -2,594 26,702 -2,020 24,682 -2,139 22,543 -2,269 20,274 31 -117 106 56 24 129 72 25 154 150 25 179 150 25 204 1,027 77 4,950 591 -181 4,769 454 -1,814 2,956 448 -1,486 1,470 428 152 1,622 128 -194 3,423 -53 3,370 -1 3,369 -50 3,319 -50 3,269 21 -73 1,686 25 8 1,694 25 25 1,718 25 15 1,733 25 15 1,748 8 -28 66 13 -10 55 14 -6 50 7 -8 42 7 -4 38 5-65 COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT—Continued (In millicns of dollars) Estimate actual Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1987 1988 1989 1990 4,027 102 50,854 2,819 -3,202 47,652 1,397 -4,308 43,344 1,293 -3,175 40,169 1,325 -1,959 38,210 137,962 40,204 241,230 132,500 50,817 292,047 100,000 34,246 326,292 100,000 29,397 355,689 100,000 28,800 384,489 102,592 28,041 223,520 86,975 57,030 280,550 70,000 41,952 322,502 68,999 34,628 357,129 71,347 33,058 390,188 -138 617 -15 602 -291 311 -184 127 -3 124 2,780 -512 8,638 3,617 710 9,348 3,510 715 10,063 3,510 610 10,673 3,510 530 11,203 506 438 2,952 103 53 3,005 300 294 3,299 100 50 3,349 100 50 3,399 25 31 220 52 29 249 1 -23 226 -14 211 -12 199 750 -884 522 -361 45 -316 1 -315 1 -315 Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 105,903 28,610 235,065 90,746 58,328 293,393 73,811 42,692 336,084 72,609 35,090 371,175 74,957 33,624 404,798 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 109,929 93,565 75,208 73,902 76,282 Guaranteed loans: Mortgage-backed securities (GNMA)1: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Mortgage insurance (FHA): New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural housing (FmHA): Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Small business assistance New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . FSLIC: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Less guaranteed loans held as direct loans by GNMA2: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . * $500,000 or less. 1 GNMA guarantees securities that are backed by pools of loans previously insured by FHA, VA, or FmHA. These secondary guarantees of loans are not included in the guaranteed loan totals on tnis table. 2 When guaranteed loans are acquired by another budget account, they are counted as direct loans in the creditbudget. This deduction for GNMA eliminates double counting. The Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation under the direction of the Federal Home Loan Bank Board, insures deposits of member savings and loan associations and savings banks. While the thrift industry did exceptionally well in 1986, about 20 percent of thrifts experienced losses. Estimated 1987 outlays of $3.7 billion, $2.7 billion above 1986 outlays, reflect the mounting caseload of troubled institutions to be handled by FSLIC. To enable FSLIC to take the necessary action during the next few years, the adminis tration proposes legislation to recapitalize the FSLIC fund. Through a new financing facility to be created and capitalized from 5-66 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 earnings of the Federal Home Loan Banks, funds would be raised in the long-term credit markets and invested in FSLIC stock. FSLIC would use the proceeds, in addition to its premium and investment income, to accelerate its efforts to close unprofitable and insolvent institutions. With recapitalization, cash receipts are anticipated to exceed cash disbursements in 1988. The equity bal ance of the fund is projected to increase from its 1986 level of $3.6 billion to $5.4 billion in 1988. The National Credit Union Administration regulates credit unions, provides liquidity assistance to member credit unions, and insures depositors’ accounts. The equity of the National Credit Union share insurance fund climbed from $1.1 billion in 1985 to $1.4 billion at the end of 1986. In 1987 and 1988, insurance fund equity is expected to grow to $1.6 billion and $2.0 billion, respectively. Collections are expected to exceed gross outlays by $226 million in 1987 and $350 million in 1988. Postal Service.—The U.S. Postal Service is an independent part of the executive branch. There are two components of Postal Serv ice outlays: the subsidy for religious and charitable mailings (the revenue forgone appropriation) and the difference between receipts (e.g., stamp sales receipts) and disbursements. Total outlays for 1988 are estimated to be $3.0 billion. Although the subsidy would be virtually eliminated, outlays would be $1.3 billion greater than in 1987. Costs continue to rise, but rates will remain constant until late in 1988. Consistent with a recent Postal Rate Commission study of subsi dized postal mailings, the budget proposes to eliminate nearly all of the subsidy while continuing lower rates for most religious and charitable mailings. This would reduce outlays by $523 million. The proposal would also eliminate some currently subsidized mailings and establish separate subclass pricing for the remaining reducedrate payers. It would continue a small appropriation for worker compensation liabilities for the former Post Office Department, and free mail for the blind and for overseas voters. The budget also proposes termination of the Postal Service’s borrowing from the Federal Financing Bank for financing capital projects. Under this legislative proposal, any bonds issued by the Postal Service would be without Federal guarantee, and would be subject to the Securities and Exchange Commission’s filing require ments, and all other requirements demanded of private corporate issues. The administration’s legislative proposals to reform the current civil service retirement system, discussed in the income security function, would require the Postal Service to begin paying the actuarial cost of employee pensions less the employer share. An COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT 5-67 other legislative proposal would require it to begin paying the cost of its annuitants’ health benefit premiums. Other Advancement of Commerce,—Federal programs attempt to support an environment for fair and equitable business opportuni ties and increase international competitiveness by providing techni cal assistance, developing and distributing scientific standards, col lecting and disseminating information on the economy and popula tion, administering U.S. trade laws, and providing export promo tion assistance to small and medium-sized businesses. Small and Minority Business Assistance.—The administration proposes to continue Federal credit assistance to small and minori ty businesses, primarily in the form of guaranteed, rather than direct, loans. Guaranteed loans of $3.5 billion are proposed for the Small Business Administration (SBA) general business, small and minority enterprise business investment company, and develop ment company programs in 1988. Except for $20 million in deben tures purchased from minority enterprise small business invest ment company, no direct business loans are proposed. An estimated $434 million in direct loans will be made to repurchase defaulted guaranteed loans in 1988. As part of the administration’s effort to improve Federal credit management, increases in guarantee fees for SBA’s programs and reductions in the Federal Government’s contingent liability will be proposed. By increasing both the borrowers’ and the lenders’ share of default costs, these proposals encourage sounder credit origina tion decisions and should result in lower default rates. The budget also proposes to sell $2.9 billion in loans between 1988 and 1989. Other.—The U.S. Travel and Tourism Administration’s (USTTA) international marketing program encourages foreign travel to the United States by providing technical assistance to private, State, and local tourism organizations. In 1988, the administration pro poses financing the $12 million program from a charge of $1 per ticket for international travel to and from the United States, its possessions, and its territories. The charge would be collected through airline and cruise ship carriers, which are the primary beneficiaries of the program. Financial Markets.—The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) are responsible for ensuring that the Nation’s financial markets are kept efficient and fair. The securities, commodity futures and op tions markets perform important roles in the economy. The admin istration proposes increases in budget authority in 1988 for the SEC by 30 percent and the CFTC by 10 percent to strengthen these agencies, particularly in enforcement and market surveillance. 5-68 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 TAX EXPENDITURES FOR COMMERCE AND HOUSING CREDIT (Outlay equivalents; in millions of dollars) Description Commerce and housing credit: Dividend exclusion.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Exclusion of interest on State and local industrial development bonds.. .. .. .. .. . Exemption of credit union income.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Excess bad debt reserves of financial institutions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Exclusion of interest on life insurance savings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deductibility of interest on consumer credit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Deductibility of mortgage interest on owner-occupied homes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deductibility of property tax on owner-occupied homes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Exclusion of interest on State and local housing bonds for owner-occupied housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Exclusion of interest on State and local debt for rental housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Capital gains (other than agriculture, timber, iron ore and coal).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deferral of capital gains on homes sales.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Exclusion of capital gains on home sales for persons age 55 and over.. .. .. .. .. Carryover basis of capital gains at death.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Investment credit (other than employee stock ownership plans, rehabilitation of structures, energy property, and reforestati on expenditures).. .. .. .. .. .. .. Special investment credit carryback rules for steel companies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Accelerated depreciation of rental housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Accelerated depreciation of buildings other than rental housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Accelerated depreciation of machinery and equipment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Safe harbor leasing rules.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Amortization of start-up costs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Reinvestment of dividends in public utility stock................................................... Estimates 1986 1987 1988 740 2,470 285 735 9,450 18,155 30,670 8,595 185 2,635 270 525 7,960 10,835 23,840 7,955 2,805 250 75 8,345 5,560 19,855 7,205 1,900 1,275 46,835 2,960 1,275 7,690 2,010 1,335 16,195 5,240 2,255 13,600 2,035 1,320 1,445 6,550 2,820 17,010 31,365 20,615 2,900 5,160 37,835 1,600 330 2,780 5,175 32,340 975 285 13,180 565 2,320 4,720 30,500 660 220 170 7,915 Reduced rates on the first $100,000 of corporate income.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 8,700 5,845 Deductions for special percentage of taxable income for life insurance 2,110 1,440 companies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total (after interactions), commerce and housing credit1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 219,600 163,720 130,540 1 The estimate of total tax expenditures for this function reflects interactive effects among the individual items. Therefore, the estimates cannot simply be added. Tax Expenditures .—There are numerous tax expenditure pro grams designed to increase the supply of savings, to encourage homeownership, and to reduce the cost of acquiring or financing the purchase of assets used in commerce. These are listed in the table. Some of the programs, such as the dividend exclusion to encourage stock ownership and the exclusion of interest on certain saving certificates, expired before 1987; others, such as the depre ciation and bank bad debt reserve provisions, have been modified by the Tax Reform Act of 1986; and still others, such as the capital gains and investment tax credit, were repealed. Altogether, the estimated 1988 budget cost of these aids to commerce and housing credit is $130.5 billion, 20 percent less than the $163.7 billion total for 1987. A detailed description of these tax expenditure programs and the way they have been affected by the Tax Reform Act will be found in Special Analysis G. TRANSPORTATION 5-69 TRANSPORTATION The Federal Government seeks to facilitate a safe and efficient national transportation system that contributes to the national economy, advances interstate commerce, supports the national de fense, and provides for the free movement of people among States. An integrated and efficient national, State, and local transporta tion network requires the combined and cooperative efforts of the Federal Government, States, localities, and the private sector. Each level of Government should promote and maintain those transpor tation services and facilities for which it is appropriately responsi ble, with the Federal Government concentrating its efforts and limited resources on the interstate transportation system. The pri vate sector, when freed of unnecessary governmental restrictions and allowed to compete freely in the transportation market, is an invaluable partner with all levels of Government in the effort to ensure appropriate levels of transportation services at the lowest reasonable cost. The administration requests $24.6 billion of budget authority in 1988 for national ground, air, and water transportation systems, about $2.4 billion less than estimated for 1987. The administration has proposed legislation to reauthorize highway, transit, and high way safety programs for 1987-1990 and to reauthorize aviation programs for 1988-1989. Funding for those highway, highway safety, and transit programs supported by the highway trust fund in 1987-1990 is planned at the level of anticipated user fee re ceipts—this budget authority totals $14.7 billion in 1987 and in creases to $15.0 billion for 1988 through 1990. Requested funding for air transportation increases by $1 billion, or 18 percent, be tween 1987 and 1988, with the largest increase associated with modernization of the air traffic control system. The administration continues to stress the importance of trans portation users paying the full cost of their transportation benefits. The administration proposes to finance 85 percent of transporta tion costs by user fees in 1988, compared to 49 percent of these costs funded by user fees in 1982. For example, the budget proposes increased user fees for many services currently provided free of charge by the Coast Guard to commercial and recreational boaters. Subsidizing certain transportation services at the expense of all taxpayers results in a misallocation of society’s resources by penal izing unsubsidized, but socially and economically useful, transpor tation services. 5-70 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: EFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS (Functional code 400; in millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 14,644 254 3,616 13,476 303 3,504 13,386 285 1,556 13,386 298 1,556 13,386 300 1,556 789 675 17 -9 60 -18 60 -40 46 47 19,349 18,005 48 -17 15,265 49 -32 15,299 50 -33 15,279 4,815 642 27 5,484 4,800 699 30 5,529 5,803 725 5,944 725 5,930 783 6,529 6,669 6,712 2,306 2,575 2,717 15 -355 2,802 15 -474 2,884 15 -474 1,609 733 Other transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3,915 115 3,307 115 328 -29 2,676 135 146 —2 2,486 134 205 _* 2,629 135 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 28,863 26,956 24,604 24,587 24,755 Major missions and programs BUDGET AUTHORITY Ground transportation: Highways.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Highway safety.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Mass transit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Railroads: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Regulation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Ground transportation.. .. .. .. . Air transportation: Airports and airways (FAA).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Aeronautical research and technology.. .. .. .. . Air carrier subsidies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Air transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. . Water transportation: Marine safety and transportation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed Coast Guard fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Ocean shipping: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Water transportation.. .. .. .. .. *$500 thousand or less. Ground Transportation.—Proposed budget authority in 1988 is $15.3 billion for highway, highway safety, mass transit, and rail road programs. The administration is committed to maintaining the quality of the Federal-aid highway system within available user fee resources, promoting highway safety, eliminating subsidies for Amtrak, and providing States and localities flexibility to fund local transportation projects. Highways.—The Surface Transportation Assistance Act of 1982 (STAA) expired at the end of 1986. The 99th Congress failed to reauthorize funding for 1987 or 1988 for the highway, highway safety, and transit programs. The administration’s 4-year (1987— 1990) reauthorization legislation proposes that budget authority and planned obligations supported by the highway trust fund be equal to average annual anticipated highway user fee receipts from the public. Proposed budget authority for the Federal Highway Administration is $13.5 billion in 1988 and $54.0 billion over the TRANSPORTATION 5-71 1987-1990 period. To maximize the funding available for highway programs, the administration proposes a repeal of existing gas tax loopholes, which inequitably benefit public and private bus oper ations, State and local governments, and users of gasohol and other special fuels. Closing these tax loopholes would increase highway trust fund receipts by $0.8 billion in 1988 and $0.9 billion annually through 1992. These additional receipts would be prorated by exist ing formulae between the highway and mass transit accounts of the highway trust fund. Several policy changes are reflected in the reauthorization legis lation proposal and the 1988 estimate. Specifically, funding for the categorical interstate construction, interstate rehabilitation, and primary highway programs would be replaced by a combined interstate/primary program totaling $8.2 billion annually. States would have the discretion to use these funds for either construction or repair of the 42,796-mile interstate system or for the 308,418-mile primary system. The primary system consists of connected main roads that are important to interstate and regional travel. In con trast, rural and urban roads are primarily the responsibility of State and local governments, which must decide their own prior ities and expenditures for construction, maintenance, and rehabili tation. To help States meet these needs, the administration pro poses to consolidate into a $2.2 billion block grant the trust fund resources for urban and secondary highway systems, including bridges on those systems. States would have the discretion to use the funds on any main public road, other than interstate or pri mary highways, without advance Federal project approval. Highway Safety.—Proposed budget authority of $303 million in 1987 and $285 million in 1988 for Federal highway safety programs is, on average, 16 percent higher than the 1986 level of $254 mil lion. The proposed 1987 and 1988 funds would maintain current support for Federal vehicle safety research and development and for promulgation and enforcement of Federal safety standards. The administration continues to support State and local efforts to develop awareness of the benefits of protecting the occupants of motor vehicles. In 1988, $6 million in Federal funds would be used to encourage the use of seat belts and passive restraints in vehicles. Mass Transit.—The administration seeks a four-year reauthoriza tion for transit programs (1987-1990). The reauthorization proposal provides two fundamental changes in subsidies for mass transit beginning in 1988. First, mass transit funding (except for Washing ton Metro) would be limited to the level of receipts provided by the one cent per gallon of the motor fuel tax dedicated to mass transit activities. Second, these subsidies would be distributed by formula 5-72 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: EFFICIENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS (Functional code 400; in millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 14,138 257 3,399 12,633 287 4,010 12,861 315 3,426 13,843 311 3,479 13,536 310 3,132 885 891 -42 -9 71 -18 53 -40 45 46 18,725 17,866 48 -17 16,581 49 -28 17,707 50 -33 17,007 4,615 648 24 5,287 4,650 621 33 5,304 5,251 683 2 5,935 5,430 721 5,627 745 6,152 6,372 2,491 2,642 2,753 15 -355 2,801 15 -474 2,828 15 -474 1,473 1,074 Other transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3,964 140 3,717 130 483 -25 2,871 136 412 1 2,755 135 479 3 2,852 134 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 28,117 27,017 25,523 26,748 26,365 Major missions and programs OUTLAYS Ground transportation: Highways.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Highway safety.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Mass transit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Railroads: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Regulation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Ground transportation.. .. .. .. . Air transportation: Airports and airways (FAA).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Aeronautical research and technology.. .. .. .. . Air carrier subsidies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Air transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. . Water transportation: Marine safety and transportation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed Coast Guard fees.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Ocean shipping: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Water transportation.. .. .. .. .. to States and large urban areas for their use on local transit projects. Proposed 1988 mass transit budget authority from the trust fund is $1.4 billion. The majority, about $1.2 billion, would be distributed by existing formula to States and large urban areas. States and localities could then use their formula grant funds on any public transportation capital project, provided that they make matching contributions of at least 50 percent. Only small urban and rural areas could use funds for transit operating subsidies, which also require a 50 percent match. Remaining budget authority, about $150 million, would be used for program administration, research (including a continued emphasis on promoting private sector mass transit initiatives), planning, special assistance for the elderly and handicapped, and rural areas. The administration is also proposing an immediate end to discre tionary grant funding for building new or expanding current tran sit systems in 1988. In the past, these subsidies have promoted the TRANSPORTATION 5-73 construction of local transit systems that often have been unneces sary, too costly, and underutilized. For example, in 1973 Detroit estimated that the automated people mover would cost $30 million to build. The people mover is now estimated to cost $210 million and the Urban Mass Transportation Administration (UMTA) esti mates that it will attract no more than 15,000 daily riders, far less than the 37,000 originally projected. In 1969 the 63rd Street tunnel on Manhattan’s East Side was projected to cost $245 million. By 1985, when UMTA suspended further Federal financing, the cost had risen to $800 million, with only 1,700 passengers expected to use the tunnel each day. After almost 17 years of construction, the tunnel remains unfinished. In Miami, a $1 billion transit investment carries only one-tenth of the ridership originally estimated to justify the project. The bus riders of Miami have endured higher fares and reduced service because current transit funds have been diverted to the rail system. Funding for these discretionary grants has come from the one cent of the gas tax that is dedicated to transit. The administration believes that it is inequitable to continue subsidizing the projects of less than 20 cities by taxes paid throughout the country. Therefore, the administration seeks to allocate the one cent per gallon re ceipts more equitably, by formula to States and localities. The changes in Federal subsidies for local transportation also reflect the administration’s view that support of essentially local activities is not an appropriate Federal role. In addition to the $1.4 billion from trust funds, the administra tion proposes a $130 million construction grant from general funds for the Washington, D.C. Metrorail. The administration is also proposing that the interstate transfer grants-transit program be made eligible for Federal-aid highway funding from the trust fund instead of a separate general fund appropriation. Railroads.—In keeping with the administration’s policy of reduc ing Federal responsibility for rail activities unrelated to safety, proposed budget authority for railroads in 1988 is reduced to $17 million, $658 million less than in 1987. The decrease is largely attributable to the proposed elimination of subsidies for Amtrak. Since 1970, the Federal Government has provided Amtrak with more than $12 billion in direct and indirect subsidies. After more than 15 years of operation and despite a virtual monopoly on intercity rail passenger service and a subsidy averaging $27 per passenger in 1986, Amtrak served less than 0.5 percent of all intercity travel. The administration is proposing to terminate all Amtrak subsidies and to dispose of some or all of Amtrak’s assets, the majority of which are in the Boston-to-Washington corridor, to non-Federal entities. Such transactions will be designed to preserve 5-74 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 viable intercity rail passenger services to the extent economically feasible. Conrail, the Government-owned freight railroad that provides service in the Northeast and Midwest, is to be sold in a public offering of its stock in 1987. Receipts from the sale of Conrail and proposed sale of Amtrak are shown in the undistributed offsetting receipts section. Regulation.—The administration will continue its efforts to eliminate unnecessary Federal transportation regulations and to remove nonessential constraints on the competitive operation of the private transportation sector, especially the motor freight transportation industry. Legislation will be proposed to deregulate completely the motor carrier, freight forwarder, bus and water transportation industries, and to abolish the Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) as an independent agency by October 1, 1987. Although most ICC rail activities would transfer to the Department of Transportation, rail antitrust matters would be policed by the Department of Justice. Handling of consumer protection com plaints regarding household goods movers would be administered by the Federal Trade Commission. Air Transportation.—Budget authority of $6.5 billion is requested for air transportation in 1988, an increase of $1.0 billion from 1987. Federal spending for air transportation is for the improvement, operation, and maintenance of the national airspace system, air port grants, aeronautical research and technology. Airports and Airways.—The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) operates and maintains the national airspace system and provides funds to the Nation’s airports to ensure the safe and efficient movement of the Nation’s air traffic. The administration will seek a 2-year (1988-1989) reauthorization of FAA programs and the Airport and Airway Improvement Act of 1982. Budget authority of $5.8 billion is proposed for 1988, a 20 percent increase from that provided in 1987. Tax receipts, primari ly from passenger ticket and freight waybill taxes, are estimated to be $3.5 billion in 1988, an increase of 10 percent over estimated 1987 receipts of $3.1 billion. Most of the requested 1988 funding increase is due to a proposed 68 percent increase in funding for the FAA’s program to modernize our Nation’s airspace system. In 1988, the administration is re questing $1,350 million in budget authority to continue the FAA’s airspace modernization program; this is $545 million more than the $805 million appropriated in 1987. This increase in funding reflects the administration’s continued strong commitment to improving the reliability, capacity, and safety of the current air traffic control TRANSPORTATION 5-75 system. The funds will be used for a variety of important activities and improvements, including the advanced automation system, pre cision landing systems, surveillance radar, communications equip ment, and terminal doppler weather radar systems designed to detect deadly wind shears. Proposed budget authority for the airport improvement program is $1,017 million in 1988, slightly more than the $1,000 million made available for obligation in 1987. Three important structural changes are being proposed to the program. First, commercial air ports that can be self-financing would be allowed to withdraw from the Federal program and to assess their own fees to finance capital improvements. Second, 22 percent of the funds would be allocated to States to administer general aviation, reliever, and small com mercial service airports. Third, discretionary grant funds would be targeted to projects that increase national airport capacity and improve safety. These proposed changes would provide increased flexibility to large airports and allow States to meet their own needs better. Commensurate with increases in air traffic, the budget also pro poses a 16 percent increase in funding for FAA operations—from $2.8 billion in 1987 to $3.2 billion in 1988. Among other items (e.g., increased telecommunication costs), this funding increase will permit increases in the number of air traffic controllers from a minimum of 15,000 in 1987 to a minimum of 15,225 in 1988 and in the number of safety inspectors from 2,020 in 1987 to 2,198 in 1988. As an integral part of the 2-year reauthorization proposal, the administration will again propose that 85 percent of all FAA costs be funded from the user-supported Airport and Airway Trust Fund. This proposal is consistent with several studies that have shown that 85 percent of all FAA costs are attributable to the non-Federal use of the national airspace system and only about 15 percent is attributable to Federal, mostly defense, use of the system. The administration will propose that penalty provisions built into the 1982 act not be extended, because they have resulted in the trust fund paying far less than the 85 percent share of FAA costs attrib utable to the users. As a result, during the period 1982-1987, there has been an unwarranted $7.4 billion subsidy of aviation programs by the general taxpayer. This is in addition to the subsidy provided to Federal aviation programs through general fund interest pay ments to the trust fund. No funding is requested for the Washington Metropolitan Air ports in 1988 and beyond. The transfer of the two federally-owned Washington, D.C. airports (Washington National and Dulles Inter national Airports) to a regional authority via a 50-year lease was authorized by the “Metropolitan Washington Airports Act of 1986.” The transfer is expected to be completed by the end of 1987 and 5-76 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 will provide for a total of $150 million in 1987 dollars over the lifetime of the lease. Aeronautical Research and Technology.—The National Aeronau tics and Space Administration (NASA) conducts research in aero nautical sciences and operates unique research and testing facili ties to help maintain U.S. leadership in aeronautics. In 1988, the budget reflects a strong program of fundamental research, includ ing expanded use of advanced computers to solve complex aerody namic problems and the continuation of a joint NASA/Department of Defense program of research and advanced technology develop ment in hypersonic flight. The administration requests $725 mil lion in 1988 budget authority for aeronautical research and tech nology, an increase of 4.0 percent from 1987. Air Carrier Subsidies.—In conjunction with airline deregulation, the air carrier subsidy program was designed to guarantee essen tial air services to small communities. Consistent with the termina tion of the Civil Aeronautics Board on January 1, 1985 and the airline industry’s adaptation to a deregulated environment, the air carrier subsidy program is proposed to end in 1987. Water Transportation.—To meet its Federal responsibility in water transportation, the administration requests $2.7 billion in budget authority for 1988, a reduction of $0.6 billion from the 1987 level. Marine Safety and Transportation.—Coast Guard services include search and rescue, maintenance of navigation aids, enforcement of maritime laws, and other activities. The administration’s request of $2.7 billion in 1988 budget au thority for the Coast Guard represents a 6 percent increase over 1987. The majority of these funds will be used for Coast Guard operations, including search and rescue and law enforcement ac tivities. In addition, the administration proposes a phased imple mentation of fees for certain Coast Guard services provided to commercial operators and recreational boaters. The fees, which would be set to recover part of the cost to the Coast Guard of providing the services, would total an estimated $355 million in 1988 and $474 million annually thereafter. The cost of Coast Guard programs that benefit the general public (e.g., defense prepared ness, law enforcement, and polar icebreaking) would not be includ ed in the user fees, because they are core functions of Government that benefit all taxpayers. Upon full implementation, the proposal would recover less than 25 percent of the Coast Guard’s $2.0 billion operating budget. In 1988, drug law enforcement will continue to receive major emphasis with 22 percent of the Coast Guard’s operating budget TRANSPORTATION 5-77 supporting interdiction of drug smuggling. At the same time, Coast Guard’s other missions (e.g., search and rescue) will continue at current or increased operating levels. The Coast Guard’s air search and rescue operations will benefit from 18 replacement short-range recovery helicopters that will be put into service during 1988. The Coast Guard will continue to modernize its fleet of medium and high endurance cutters, resulting in expanded law enforcement and defense preparedness capabilities and extension of the usable lives of the ships. In support of Coast Guard’s wartime mobilization role, the administration proposes an increase in the Coast Guard’s selected reserve strength to 13,500 members. Ocean Shipping.—Programs in ocean shipping are administered by the Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration and Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation, the Panama Canal Commission, and the Federal Maritime Commis sion. Proposed budget authority for ocean shipping in 1988 is $299 million, a decrease of $434 million from 1987. The decrease reflects a lower projection of borrowings required to cover ship construction loan guarantee defaults, partly offset by a financing change in the Panama Canal Commission. The Maritime Administration has traditionally provided subsi dies to assist the U.S. merchant marine and shipbuilding industries in competing with foreign maritime industries. In 1988, the administration will continue to provide operating subsidies to offset the higher costs of operating U.S.-flag vessels. The 1988 cost to meet the Federal Government’s obligations on existing operating subsidy contracts is estimated to be $250 million; no new contracts are anticipated. The administration will pursue legislative reforms that would increase the competitiveness of sub sidized U.S.-flag operators. In maritime operations and training, the 1988 budget requests funding for technical and policy studies and proposes funding in creases for the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy and the National Defense Reserve Fleet. The 1988 budget also includes several initia tives to reduce unwarranted maritime subsidies. First, the adminis tration proposes to eliminate all Federal aid to the six State mari time schools, with the single exception of honoring previously com mitted student incentive payments. Given projections for a contin ued oversupply of licensed merchant marine officers through the early 1990’s, Federal subsidies for the State maritime schools cannot be justified. Second, the budget proposes no funding in 1988 for the maritime research and development appropriation. Third, the administration will seek administrative reforms to reduce the cost of implement ing the expanded cargo preference requirement enacted as part of the Food Security Act of 1985. This provision increases from 50 5-78 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 percent to 75 percent the amount of specified concessional food programs that must be shipped on U.S.-flag vessels. The administration is seeking a supplemental of $6 million for operations and maintenance of the Saint Lawrence Seaway Devel opment Corporation in the second half of 1987. Prior to April 1, 1987, Corporation operations and maintenance were funded from toll revenues. Starting on April 1, 1987, the Corporation’s toll revenues must be deposited in a newly created Harbor Mainte nance Trust Fund that will finance operations and maintenance expenses. For 1988 and beyond, the administration will propose legislation to return the Corporation to direct financing from toll and other revenues, consistent with its organization and mission. With regard to the Panama Canal Commission, the administra tion will seek legislation to convert the Commission’s financing structure from a special fund to a revolving fund. A revolving fund not only would simplify the Commission’s financial structure, but also would provide the Commission with the flexibility it needs to meet unforeseen business conditions. The revolving fund proposal would not result in any cost to the U.S. taxpayer. Credit Programs.—The Department of Transportation provides direct loans and guaranteed loans for water and ground transporta tion projects. The largest loan and guarantee program is part of the Maritime Administration. It guarantees construction mortgage loans to build U.S.-flag vessels in the United States and makes direct loans in the form of advances to operators to avoid defaults on federally guaranteed loans. The administration is proposing rio new loan guarantee commitments after 1986. The maritime indus try should be encouraged to rely on the private credit market, without Federal intervention, as the source of capital. The adminis tration will continue its policy of not providing loans to private freight railroad companies, in light of the health of the railroad industry. The administration is also proposing the sale of its direct railroad loan portfolio; these direct loans were made to private railroad companies from 1977 to 1985. Tax Expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding, tax expenditures provide assistance to shipping concerns and mass transit systems. Prior to 1987, certain companies that operate U.S.flag vessels were able to defer taxes indefinitely on income invested in construction, repair and modernization of ships. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 limits the deferral to 25 years, which results in a tax expenditure of $115 million in 1988. State and local governments could issue tax-exempt bonds for mass transit vehicles until Decem ber 31, 1984, which results in a tax expenditure estimated to be $55 million in 1988. Total tax expenditures for transportation are esti mated to be $170 million in 1988. 5-79 TRANSPORTATION CREDIT PROGRAMS—TRANSPORTATION (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual Direct loans-. Highway and mass transit programs: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Aid to railroads: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Aircraft purchase guarantee defaults.New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Assistance to ocean shipping: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other transportation: Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 1988 1989 1990 74 17 208 48* 208 48* 208 48 48 208 208 -80 1,569 -884 685 -583 102 -6 96 -4 92 2 -21 48 —6 42 -5 37 -5 32 -4 27 1,260 878 1,475 610 608 2,082 105 103 2,185 105 103 2,288 105 103 2,390 11 11 11 11 11 1,337 793 3,311 658 -282 3,028 153 -485 2,543 153 92 2,634 153 94 2,728 997 997 997 997 997 -131 276 -76 200 -37 163 -31 132 -30 102 4,995 -750 4,245 -300 3,645 -300 3,345 -9 3 —2 1 -300 3,945 -1 Total, guaranteed loans.New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 48 -1,588 6,272 -828 5,444 -338 5,106 -331 4,775 -330 4,444 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,385 658 153 153 153 Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Guaranteed loans: Highway and mass transit programs: Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Aircraft purchase: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Assistance to ocean shipping: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other transportation: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . '$500,000 or less. 48 -1,448 5-80 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT The Nation requires healthy and thriving communities to main tain the economic vitality and general well-being of society. Feder al programs for community and regional development supplement State and local government efforts to sustain economic and social growth in urban and rural neighborhoods, communities, and re gions. Specific programs assist particular regions, provide disaster relief, and accomplish the major goals of Federal Indian policy. Most of this assistance takes the form of grants, but direct and guaranteed loan programs exist as well. In 1988, the administration will continue its effort to concentrate Federal resources on national priorities and provide maximum op portunity for State and local governments to meet their own local community and economic development needs. Shifting responsibil ity for economic development programs to the State and local levels brings both economic development funding and priority deci sions closer to the people. To achieve this, the administration pro poses to eliminate a number of Federal categorical programs cur rently providing support for specific local community and economic projects. The comprehensive and more flexible community develop ment block grants (CDBG) program will be the principal vehicle for Federal support. The administration is requesting budget authority of $5.3 billion in 1988 for community and regional development, a reduction of 13 percent from the 1987 level. Outlays are estimated to total $5.5 billion in 1988, a reduction of 11 percent from 1987. Community Development.—The principal Federal program in this category is the community development block grant program, which is administered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Community Development Block Grants (CDBG).—The community development block grant program provides Federal support for cities, counties, Indian tribes, and U.S. territories, to help them meet their community and economic development needs. After cer tain funds are set aside for the Secretary’s discretionary fund, which provides grants for Indians, insular areas, technical assist ance, and special projects in support of CDBG activities, CDBG funds are allocated by formula to States, large cities, and urban counties. Seventy percent of the funds allocated by formula go to the large city/urban county program and 30 percent to the Stateadministered small cities program. The States receive funds to distribute to smaller communities and rural areas in their jurisdic tions. 5-81 COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1990 1989 BUDGET AUTHORITY Community development: 3,023 316 72 72 244 3,726 2,625 20 95 2,510 2,625 2,625 75 75 75 231 2,971 227 2,811 212 2,912 213 2,913 1,552 216 968 120 100 -273 1,857 130 1,035 77 100 -298 1,306 1,772 1,612 1,169 1 73 -298 1,173 1,177 79 -300 87 -302 2,684 2,900 2,251 2,724 2,573 Disaster relief.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Disaster relief and insurance.. 346 129 475 120 80 200 125 77 202 230 77 307 230 78 308 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6,884 6,071 5,264 5,943 5,793 Community development block grants.. .. .. .. Urban development action grants.. .. .. .. .. .. . Rental rehabilitation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rental development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. '... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Community development .. Area and regional development: Rural development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Economic development assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. . Indian programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Regional commissions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Tennessee Valley Authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Area and regional develop ment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Disaster relief and insurance: The administration proposes to rescind $375.2 million of 1987 budget authority and establish the CDBG program level at $2.6 billion for 1987 and 1988. The 1988 program level includes $2.5 billion of new budget authority and a transfer of $115 million from the rehabilitation loan fund upon its termination at the end of 1987. Although this will reduce the total resources available for the CDBG program, the administration is proposing legislation that would target assistance toward the most needy communities. Many communities with the resources to meet their own needs currently receive Federal aid from this program. Urban Development Action Grants (UDAG).—The administration proposes to terminate the UDAG program and rescind $238 million of budgetary resources in 1987 as part of the Government-wide effort to cut back categorical local economic development subsidy programs that distort economic investment choices and impose Federal priorities on State and local governments. These grant programs siphon productive resources from private investment projects to Government-subsidized projects that may provide local benefits, but are less efficient for the national economy as a whole. By approving awards to assist successful companies, major hotel chains, and large commercial banks, the UDAG program is misus 5-82 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (Functional code 450; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Community development: Community development block grants.. .. .. .. Urban development action grants.. .. .. .. .. .. . Rental rehabilitation.. .. .. . 7... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rental development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Community development.. .. .. Area and regional development: Rural development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic development assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. . Indian programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Regional commissions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Tennessee Valley Authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Area and regional develop ment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Disaster relief and insurance: Small business disaster loans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Disaster relief.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. National flood insurance fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Disaster relief and insurance.. Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3,337 461 80 62 155 4,095 3,284 428 165 157 219 4,254 2,996 355 120 162 28 3,661 2,662 251 89 _5 112 3,109 221 2,986 1,505 253 957 163 122 -5 -273 609 330 1,036 145 118 —2 -298 565 170 1,145 123 98 -12 -298 149 70 1,130 90 101 _9 -300 -173 43 1,131 53 93 -8 -302 2,723 1,937 1,791 1,231 837 -172 336 144 108 416 -457 313 -23 143 -24 -304 225 -9 99 11 -188 230 -27 77 92 -119 230 -31 77 157 7,233 6,167 5,463 4,432 3,981 2,574 109 83 ing government dollars and diverting scarce capital from its best possible use. Cities may, at their discretion, continue to use remain ing CDBG resources to assist economic development projects. The $355 million in outlays estimated for this program in 1988 reflects the continued spendout of funds for projects approved in prior years. The administration continues to support the enterprise zone con cept as a more economically efficient approach for assisting struc turally depressed local economies. Sometime during 1987 the ad ministration intends to propose legislation to establish enterprise zones. The specific details of the new enterprise zone legislation would be determined following analysis of how enterprise zones can encourage business development most efficiently. Rental Rehabilitation Grants.—In 1983, the administration pro posed, and the Congress enacted, a new housing rehabilitation program to support the voucher program in communities with an insufficient supply of standard quality low- and moderate-income housing. The administration is proposing to rescind $125 million of 1987 budget authority, which will provide $95 million for the pro COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-83 gram in 1987. The administration also proposes to provide $75 million for rental rehabilitation grants in 1988—a level adequate to meet this program’s objectives. Outlays in 1988 are estimated to be $120 million. Rental Development Grants.—In the Housing Urban-Rural Re covery Act of 1983, the Congress created a new rental development grant program to subsidize the construction or substantial rehabili tation of rental housing in low- and moderate-income neighbor hoods experiencing a severe shortage of rental housing. This pro gram was intended to be funded on a one-time demonstration basis for 2 years, with a total of $315 million in budget authority made available. The administration proposes to discontinue this program and rescind $99.6 million of 1987 budget authority as well as $10 million in recaptured funds from previous years’ appropriations. This program is a costly subsidy supporting construction of new rental units during a period of historically high vacancy rates, and, thus, cannot be justified. Furthermore, the program is not well targeted for low-income people—those most in need of housing assistance. Outlays in 1988 are estimated to be $162 million from grants awarded in previous years. Area and Regional Development.—Programs in this category sup port rural development, development programs of American Indian tribal governments, and multi-State regional development. Rural Development.—The administration proposes to terminate the Farmers Home Administration (FmHA) rural development loan and grant programs that finance construction of water and waste-water systems and community facilities. Financing such projects is primarily a State and local responsibility, using the Nation’s private credit system. When such financing is locally man aged, communities are better able to determine the appropriate size of their own facilities and thus avoid unnecessary and over built infrastructure. In addition, communities can move ahead on such facilities when they are needed rather than stand in line awaiting Federal help. Termination of these programs in 1988 will achieve outlay savings of approximately $500 million. Economic Development Assistance.—The Department of Com merce’s Economic Development Administration (EDA) provides public works grants to States and communities, and loan guaran tees to businesses. Because the grant program interferes in the decisionmaking process of States and local governments by approv ing local projects at the Federal level, and the loan guarantee program distorts private financial markets by funding projects that would not merit resources under other criteria, the administration 5-84 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 proposes to terminate the EDA and rescind the unobligated portion of the 1987 appropriation. Indian Programs.—The three major objectives of Federal Indian policy are to fulfill the trusteeship responsibilities of the Federal Government, to increase self-determination for American Indian tribal governments, and to encourage economic development on Indian reservations. Outlays for regional development from the Indian programs and miscellaneous trust funds administered by the Bureau of Indian Affairs are estimated to be $1.0 billion in 1987 and $1.1 billion in 1988. The Department of Housing and Urban Development also provides community development support specifically for Indians through a set-aside in the community development block grant program described above. Total Federal outlays for special Indian programs Government-wide, including programs in other functions such as income security and education, are expected to be $2.9 billion in 1988. This amount does not include payments received by Indians from several trust funds established for their benefit or from programs serving all qualified U.S. citizens. Appalachian Regional Commission (ARC).—The ARC was estab lished in 1965 to provide economic development assistance to the 13-State Appalachian region. Since 1965, more than $5 billion in Federal funds has supported highway construction and financed community development-related facilities. The administration pro poses to terminate ARC and rescind the unobligated portion of the 1987 congressional appropriation. ARC highway funds unnecessar ily duplicate the Department of Transportation's Federal Highway program. ARC development programs target resources to rural districts that are no worse off economically than rural communities in other parts of the country, and therefore not deserving of special injections of Federal resources. Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA).—The administration proposes to terminate direct support for TVA’s regional economic and com munity development programs, which are more appropriately pri vate or State and local government responsibilities. These pro grams have included activities such as assistance to cities, towns and businesses, and the promotion of tourism, forestry and wildlife. To the extent that Federal assistance might be warranted, it can be allocated more equitably by programs administered nationally by other Federal agencies. TVA’s basic responsibilities for water re sources systems management and fertilizer research would contin ue. Outlays for TVA’s activities in this function are estimated to be $98 million in 1988, down from $118 million in 1987. The TVA COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-85 power program, financed through the sale of electricity, is unaffect ed by this reduction and is discussed in the energy function. Disaster Relief and Insurance.—Providing insurance against losses from floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, and other natural disas ters is primarily the responsibility of private insurers. State and local governments aid recovery when necessary, and Federal insur ance and disaster relief programs are available to supplement State and local resources when those resources are insufficient. Small Business Disaster Loans.—The Small Business Administra tion (SBA) provides loans to homeowners and businesses for unin sured losses suffered as a result of physical disasters. In order to be eligible for the loans, recipients must be able to demonstrate the financial ability to repay the loans. These loans are currently available to borrowers at an interest rate of 4 percent if credit cannot be obtained elsewhere (i.e., if the borrower is not likely to satisfy commercial credit requirements) and no more than 8 per cent if credit can be obtained from private sources. The administra tion will propose legislation to limit this program to those homeowners and businesses unable to obtain credit elsewhere and to raise the interest rate to the Treasury rate plus 1 percent. In order to allow those who would no longer be eligible for the program time to obtain adequate insurance coverage or make other prepara tions for potential disaster losses, the change in eligibility would not be effective until 1989. These changes are designed to encour age those homeowners and businesses who can afford to obtain and maintain adequate insurance coverage against disaster-related losses to rely upon these alternatives instead of relying on direct Federal loans at preferential interest rates. The General Account ing Office has found that insurance is a better form of disaster protection than direct Federal loans. The administration also pro poses to sell the disaster loan portfolio over 6 years beginning in 1987. Disaster Relief.—The Federal Emergency Management Agency administers this nationwide program, which provides supplemental assistance to individuals and State and local governments in the event of a Presidentially-declared emergency or disaster. In addi tion, States or Federal agencies may be reimbursed for disaster relief work performed under this authority. Outlays are estimated at $225 million in 1988. National Flood Insurance Fund.—The Federal Emergency Man agement Agency operates a national program of direct Federal flood insurance at subsidized rates. Since the program began in 1968, losses have amounted to $1.4 billion. The administration pro poses to eliminate this costly subsidy by 1988 through a combina 5-86 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 tion of rate increases, coverage changes, and optional deductibles, thereby recovering clearly allocable costs of flood insurance from beneficiaries of this program. Receipts for this program are esti mated to exceed outlays by $8 million in 1988. CREDIT PROGRAMS—COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual Direct loans: Rural development (FmHA): New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic development assistance: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Small business disaster loans1: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rural telephone bank: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . 1987 1989 1990 421 245 7,990 107 -1,518 6,471 -769 5,702 -860 4,842 -1,035 3,806 5 -62 568 152 99 668 8 -41 626 7 -40 587 6 -37 550 516 -334 4,222 325 -939 3,283 350 -864 2,419 310 -744 1,675 310 -652 1,023 128 51 1,434 149 64 1,498 93 -493 1,005 46 -490 515 -211 304 93 -19 108 -32 18 -650 17 -519 17 -68 Outstandings.............................. 1,727 1,695 1,045 526 458 Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings... Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,163 -119 15,941 841 -2,326 13,615 469 -2,817 10,798 70 -2,653 8,145 23 -2,003 6,142 55 -285 2,626 115 -290 2,337 -465 1,871 -316 1,555 -220 1,335 22 51 286 22 -149 137 -17 120 3 3 2 -16 104 * 2 -14 90 * 2 118 20 217 190 160 377 34 82 459 28 -35 424 20 -47 377 195 -215 3,132 327 -279 2,854 34 -401 2,453 28 -367 2,085 20 -282 1,804 1,358 1,167 502 98 43 Guaranteed loans: Rural development (FmHA): New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic development assistance.New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Small business disaster loans: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments.. .. .. . Change in outstandings... Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. *$500,000 or less. 1 The obligation levels for 1989 and 1990 are not included in the total. COMMUNITY AND REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT 5-87 Tax Expenditures.—Direct Federal funding for community and regional development is supplemented by several existing tax ex penditures. The provision that allowed certain taxpayers to amor tize rehabilitation expenditures for low- and moderate-income rental housing over a 5-year period expired at the end of 1986. It has been replaced by a tax credit structured to have a present value equal to 70 percent of construction or rehabilitation costs. The credit is reduced to 30 percent for federally subsidized projects. The 1988 tax expenditure for this provision is $575 million. Devel opment is also assisted by the exclusion of interest on State and local industrial development bonds for airports and docks. The estimate for this provision is $785 million. Special tax credits are also available for rehabilitation of older nonresidential buildings. For 1988, the estimated tax expenditure for this program is $235 million. Total tax expenditures for community and regional devel opment for 1988 are estimated to be $1.7 billion 5-88 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES Federal programs for education, training, employment, and social services are intended to: (1) assist parents, States, and local ities in providing education, especially for educationally disadvan taged, low-income, and handicapped persons; (2) assist economically disadvantaged or dislocated workers in gaining job skills and find ing permanent, unsubsidized employment opportunities; (3) help employers and employees maintain stable and productive relations; and (4) help provide social services for needy children, families, the elderly, and other persons. Historically, the responsibility for meet ing most of these needs has rested with State and local govern ments and the private sector. Total outlays for this function are estimated to be $28.4 billion for 1988, $1.4 billion below the pro posed 1987 level, which reflects requested rescissions. EDUCATION The administration’s policies for funding education activities con tinue the Nation’s tradition that primary responsibility for educa tion lies with the family, State and local governments, and private institutions. Federal programs should provide mainly supplementa ry aid for persons with disabilities and for the educationally and economically disadvantaged, support national-level research, and finance statistics-gathering and analysis. Budget authority requested for education programs in these sub functions in 1988 is $13.9 billion, $5.3 billion below the level en acted for 1987. The level requested for 1987 reflects proposed rescis sions of $2.3 billion in budget authority. Elementary, Secondary and Vocational Education,—The budget requests $7.6 billion in budget authority in 1988, $0.5 billion below the level requested for 1987, which includes $0.8 billion in proposed rescissions. Block Grant and Special Programs.—This activity includes the education block grant, maintained in 1988 at the 1987 level of $500 million in budget authority, and a variety of smaller programs. In general, the budget continues to seek elimination of small, less important programs. The administration will submit legislation to convert the current math, science and foreign language education program into a new general teacher education program, to be named in honor of the late Christa McAuliffe. The drug-free schools programs, which began in 1987 with $200 million in budget authority, are proposed to continue for the two additional author ized years at $100 million per year. The reduced level reflects the one-time start-up costs of the first year and the increased support EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-89 for such activities that result from the assumption of responsibility by States and localities. NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Education: Elementary, secondary, and vocational education: Block grant and special programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Compensatory education: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education for the handicapped.. .. .. .. .. .. . Impact aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Vocational and adult education.. .. .. .. .. .. Other .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Elementary, secondary, and vocational education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 675 884 3,537 3,944 1,350 683 907 528 175 609 175 609 75 609 1,453 700 556 522 4,144 1,488 548 130 487 4,144 1,527 558 150 487 4,144 1,575 558 170 487 7,680 8,059 7,581 7,650 7,619 4,823 4,214 6,133 -2,797 6,312 -3,685 6,697 -4,069 3,266 2,717 .. . 673’ 7,604 1,237 2,885 -1,313 527 4,727 Research and general education aids. 754 8,776 1,184 2,510 -1,334 546 5,058 1,217 Subtotal, Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 17,640 16,901 13,856 1,285 13,663 2,694 -1,722 518 4,118 989 1,783 1,783 1,783 1,783 1,783 636 650 650 -650 650 -650 650 -650 800 800 800 Higher education: Student financial assistance: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Guaranteed student loan program: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Higher education.. .. .. .. .. Training, employment, and other labor services: Training and employment: Block grants to States.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Summer youth employment: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Welfare youth training and employment: Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Assistance to dislocated workers: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Job Corps.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Older Americans employment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Work incentive program.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other training programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal-State employment service.. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Training and employment Other labor services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Training, employment, and other labor services.. .. .. .. .. . -67 12,725 121 55 612 312 203 250 958 4,875 656 326 103 277 869 4,719 980 652 326 980 658 326 980 676 326 275 873 5,688 274 893 5,714 274 914 5,753 679 730 812 817 837 5,554 5,449 6,500 6,531 6,590 5-90 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Social services: 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 Social services block grant.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Community service programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Rehabilitation services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Family social services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Social services activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Domestic volunteer programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other social services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Social services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2,584 352 1,310 761 1,929 145 23 7,104 2,700 368 1,357 994 2,086 156 22 7,684 2,700 310 1,401 682 2,277 153 953 8,476 2,700 245 1,447 728 2,272 156 678 8,225 2,700 160 1,486 771 2,272 159 767 8,315 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 30,298 30,033 28,832 28,419 27,630 A legislative proposal will be submitted for the reauthorization of the block grant in Chapter 2 of the Education Consolidation and Improvement Act to continue, with some modifications, this essen tial element of Federal support for State and local school improve ment activities. Compensatory Education for the Disadvantaged.—This activity, primarily authorized under Chapter 1 of the Education Consolida tion and Improvement Act, includes the major Federal programs financing remedial education for the educationally disadvantaged. For 1988, $4.1 billion in budget authority is proposed, an increase of $200 million over the 1987 enacted level. A legislative proposal will be transmitted to the Congress for reauthorization of these programs. It will continue existing programs and propose improve ments in the targeting of funds on the schools and the school districts with the highest concentrations of poor children, provide new resources to States to encourage better program performance, provide new resources to the Education Department to conduct demonstrations and research, and restructure the allocation formu la of the State-managed migrant program to weight more heavily children who are migrants or recently were migrants. The legislative proposal will also include a new authority for school districts to use their Chapter 1 allocations to offer parents of children selected for Chapter 1 services an option to purchase compensatory education services from other public or private schools. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-91 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Education: Elementary, secondary, and vocational education: Block grant and special programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Compensatory education: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education for the handicapped.. .. .. .. .. .. . Impact aid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Vocational and adult education.. .. .. .. .. .. Other .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Elementary, secondary, and vocational education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 619 671 833 54 330 528 175 598 3,405 3,108 1,628 684 1,035 461 1,429 803 1,046 562 3,746 207 1,318 581 524 491 822 3,274 1,408 566 234 487 39 4,103 1,516 562 166 487 7,832 7,618 7,755 7,649 7,645 4,585 5,099 -70 4,317 -630 6,119 -2,928 6,386 -3,746 2,741 -959 67 5,535 1,251 14,542 2,880 -1,281 514 5,303 1,150 14,103 2,702 -1,640 479 4,182 1,121 Higher education: Student financial assistance: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Guaranteed student loan program: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Higher education.. .. .. .. .. -67 Research and general education aids. 574 8,415 1,164 Subtotal, Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 17,410 2,367 -144 268 7,519 1,398 16,534 1,911 1,848 1,799 1,783 1,783 746 684 645 650 -422 650 -650 23 724 800 23 980 651 326 2 980 657 326 272 882 5,868 274 902 5,725 Training, employment, and other labor services: Training and employment: Block grants to States.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Summer youth employment: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Welfare youth training and employment: Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Assistance to dislocated workers: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Job Corps.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Older Americans employment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Work incentive program.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other training programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal-State employment service.. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Training and employment. Other labor services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Training, employment, and other labor services.. .. .. .. .. . Social services: Social services block grant.. . Community service programs.. Rehabilitation services.. .. .. .. Family social services.. .. .. .. . 3,323 12,948 211 207 594 321 227 260 986 5,257 625 319 110 266 943 5,001 106 490 649 326 11 279 872 5,201 672 730 802 815 833 5,929 5,731 6,003 6,683 6,558 2,671 348 1,311 2,661 366 1,393 931 2,697 327 1,389 777 2,700 267 1,433 717 2,700 188 1,474 758 5-92 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES—Continued (Functional code 500; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1989 1990 Social services activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Domestic volunteer programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other social services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Social services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,933 154 20 7,246 2,013 152 27 7,543 2,216 154 323 7,885 2,271 155 556 8,099 2,272 158 937 8,486 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 30,585 29,808 28,429 28,885 27,992 Education for the Handicapped.—Increases over 1986 levels are proposed in 1987 and 1988 to offset the effects of inflation on the major State grant for the education of handicapped children and to provide States with additional assistance in the preschool grant for children aged 3-5. Overall, however, programs in this account re ceived an unjustified 29 percent appropriation increase in 1987; therefore, selective reductions are proposed. For example, the new program for infants authorized in the 1986 reauthorization would not be funded because it is not properly designed to provide aid only to families who could not otherwise afford services and because it authorizes health and social services that duplicate authority and funding provided by other Federal, State, local and private programs. The net effect of the administration’s proposals is a reduction in budget authority for 1988 of $254 million from the 1987 enacted level of $1.7 billion. The 1988 request is $138 million or 10 percent above the 1986 appropriation. Impact Aid.—The Government compensates school districts whose enrollments and available revenues are deemed to have been adversely affected by Federal activities. The budget proposes to provide aid only to those districts in which the federally-connect ed children pose a demonstrable burden. Therefore, for the major impact aid program, the budget proposes to maintain 1988 funding at the 1987 level of $533 million for school districts that provide services to children who live on Federal property and whose par ents work on Federal property—so-called “a” children. No funds are proposed in 1988 for the current authority to provide funds for school districts with children who either live on or whose parents work on Federal property—so-called “b” children. Vocational and Adult Education.—The budget proposes to end Federal funding of vocational education. The current vocational education law is overly prescriptive and funds many activities that are inappropriate and, at the postsecondary level, duplicative of other Federal aid. Research has shown that the investment in EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-93 vocational education has only small and transitory benefits for recipients. States and localities that wish to continue vocational education programs will not be seriously hindered by withdrawal of Federal funds. Vocational education is now funded by at least twelve State and local dollars for every Federal dollar. A total of $130 million in budget authority, an increase of $24 million over the 1987 enacted level, is provided for adult education. This increase is part of the administration’s efforts to combat adult illiteracy. It will aid States and localities in the improvement or expansion of their adult education programs and provide $2 million for Federal research and data collection activity. The budget in cludes additional increases in budget authority each year for a total proposed level of $200 million by 1992. Other Elementary and Secondary Education.—Budget authority for bilingual education and for the Education Department’s Indian education programs is maintained at the 1987 enacted levels of $143 million and $64 million, respectively. The administration will propose legislation to eliminate inappropriate statutory restrictions on the allocation of bilingual education funds. In the Interior De partment, the Bureau of Indian Affairs is proposing to accelerate transfer of the operation of the remaining Federal Indian schools to tribal or other school systems, while retaining Federal funding approximately at the 1987 enacted level. No funds are requested for the duplicative programs for immigrants and refugees. Funding is also requested for an elementary and a secondary school for deaf children, the American Printing House for the Blind, and certain administrative costs of the Education Department. Higher Education.—The budget requests $5.1 billion in budget authority for higher education in 1988, $3.9 billion below the 1987 enacted level of $9.0 billion. Student Aid.—The budget continues the Federal Government’s longstanding commitment to ensuring access to higher education for the poor, with significant changes proposed in program struc ture. Current programs are excessively costly and poorly designed. They neither represent a coherent Federal aid policy nor ensure that students and their families bear the appropriate responsibility for higher education costs, since students themselves are the pri mary beneficiaries of the education they obtain. Under the budget proposals, total aid available to students would be maintained at about current levels while costs to taxpayers would be dramatically decreased. Budget authority for student aid for 1988 is requested at $4.5 billion, a reduction of $3.6 billion from the 1987 enacted level. Major proposals include: 5-94 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 • Borrowing limits other than the cost of education would be eliminated for guaranteed student loans that have no direct cost to the government. The Government’s primary responsi bility in student aid financing is to help ensure availability of loan capital. • The newly authorized income-contingent loan program would be significantly expanded to provide additional aid for poor students. Under this program, borrowing is less burdensome because repayments are adjusted annually to fit within the income the student earns after leaving school. • Because some of the poorest students might not go to college if the only financing available were loans, the budget pro poses maintaining a Pell grant program. The program would be better targeted, allowing a reduction in proposed budget authority from the 1987 enacted level of $3.8 billion to $2.7 billion in 1988, and to $2.0 billion in 1989 and each year thereafter, without any reduction in awards to the lowest income students. • The mushrooming cost of loan defaults, over $1 billion per year, is proposed to be offset by insurance fees on new borrow ing, equal to the present value of estimated default costs associated with that borrowing. • Federal payment of student interest during in-school, grace and deferment periods would be eliminated; interest subsidies for lenders reduced; and default risk-sharing with lenders and guarantee agencies increased in the guaranteed student loan program. The borrower and lender subsidies are costly and unnecessary; increased risk-sharing is needed to improve in centives for default prevention and debt collection. • No funding is requested for supplemental educational oppor tunity grants, college work study, Perkins loans (formerly national direct student loans), or State student incentive grants, funded in total at $1.3 billion in 1987. These programs inefficiently provide aid to institutions rather than directly to students and are not needed under the new policies proposed for other programs. The 1987 appropriation for new awards in these programs is proposed for rescission. To eliminate the $287 million unfunded shortfall in the Pell grant program in 1987, a supplemental is requested that would transfer budget authority in that amount from the guaranteed student loan program, where it is not needed to meet 1987 costs. If the supplemental is not enacted or assured of enactment by April 1, 1987, the Secretary will issue a revised award schedule (a “linear reduction” schedule) for the Pell grant program, as provided by law, to ensure that the program would operate within the level of funds appropriated. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-95 Other Aid to Higher Education.—For historically black colleges and universities, base-level funding would be maintained at the level set aside by law in the 1987 appropriation, $50.7 million. Funding at a reduced level is proposed for more tightly-focused support service programs for disadvantaged students. Most of the other small programs, providing aid to institutions for program development and supporting narrow purpose scholarships and fel lowships, are reduced or eliminated. These programs are low priori ty because they duplicate other programs or are no longer neces sary. Funding is maintained at the 1987 enacted level for the operations of Gallaudet University and the National Technical In stitute for the Deaf (NTID), as well as for Howard University. Additional funding is also requested for the new endowment grant programs at Gallaudet and NTID, which are similar to the existing endowment program for Howard. Funding is also provided for cer tain administrative expenses of the Education Department. Loan Asset Sales.—The budget reflects the continuation of Edu cation Department sales of higher education loan assets. About $1 billion of college housing and higher education facilities loans are planned for sale in 1988, with net proceeds estimated at about $600 million. The budget also includes $42 million in 1988 revenues from the sale of defaulted Perkins and guaranteed student loans. Research and General Education Aids.—The budget includes an increase of $6 million in budget authority for Education Depart ment research and statistics over the 1987 enacted level of $64 million. No funding is requested for Education Department library programs. The State grant programs have fulfilled their purpose of extending access to library services to all segments of the popula tion, and these services now receive about 95 percent of their funding from non-Federal sources. The other library programs are small, duplicative, and unnecessary. The budget proposes rescission of the $4 million in 1987 budget authority enacted for the National Capital Arts and Cultural Affairs program. This program, which provides funds for the general operations of large cultural organi zations in Washington, DC, is unnecessary since these organiza tions are eligible for competitive grants. Funding is provided for certain administrative expenses of the Education Department, as well as for the National Endowments for the Arts and for the Humanities, the Institute of Museum Services, the Smithsonian Institution, the Library of Congress, and the Corporation for Public Broadcasting (which receives 2-year advance appropriations). Tax Expenditures—A variety of exclusions, exemptions and de ductions provide assistance for education. Student loans are subsi dized through the exclusion of interest on State and local student 5-96 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CREDIT PROGRAMS—EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND SOCIAL SERVICES (In millions of dollars) 1986 actual Direct loans: Guaranteed student loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Student financial assistance: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . College housing and other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 57 -105 2,628 Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Guaranteed loans: Guaranteed student loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,334 944 9,146 Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1,232 441 9,587 1,404 80 9,667 1,811 275 9,943 1,840 82 10,025 191 139 i_4,739 5,272 532 -14 519 -19 500 -25 475 -1,038 1,590 -1,077 513 -132 381 -103 278 1,582 977 17,046 1,232 -5,336 11,710 1,404 -1,011 10,699 1,811 125 10,824 1,840 -45 10,779 8,575 657 37,482 9,591 2,450 39,931 9,398 1,131 41,063 10,715 1,025 42,088 11,857 1,643 43,731 Outstandings.............................................. 8,575 657 37,482 9,591 2,450 39,931 9,398 1,131 41,063 10,715 1,025 42,088 11,857 1,643 43,731 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 10,157 10,823 10,802 12,526 13,697 Total, guaranteed loans: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1 Reflects reclassification of direct loan capital contribution to schools as grants (-$4,793 million). loan bonds. Students receive additional benefits because scholar ship and fellowship awards are not subject to tax to the extent that they pay for tuition, books, and related fees. These two tax expend itures are estimated at $315 million and $585 million, respectively, in 1988. The exclusion of up to $5,000 from annual taxable personal income of employer-provided educational assistance was extended through December 31, 1987. Other assistance is provided through a special tax exemption available to parents of students age 19 or over who do not claim an exemption on their own tax return and by the deductibility of charitable contributions for education. Tax expenditures for these three items are estimated at $25 million, $2.3 billion, and $1.2 billion, respectively, in 1988. The exclusion of interest on State and local debt for private nonprofit educational facilities results in a tax expenditure estimated at $285 million in 1988. Current tax expenditures for education are estimated to total $4.8 billion in 1988. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-97 TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, AND OTHER LABOR SERVICES Federal training and employment programs are designed to im prove individuals’ abilities to obtain and retain jobs and to facili tate the operation of the labor market by ensuring the develop ment of a labor force that has the skills and flexibility required to meet the needs of a rapidly changing economy over the next decade. Those who have difficulty getting and keeping jobs may receive skill training or information on the location of suitable jobs and how to seek them. Other labor services include the compilation of labor statistics and the regulation of employer-employee rela tions. In 1988, outlays for these activities are expected to be $6.0 billion, an increase of $0.3 billion from the estimate of $5.7 billion for 1987. Training and Employment.—The major Federal activities for training and employment are financed through grants to States for training those having greatest difficulties in the job market, help ing experienced workers displaced from their jobs find new employ ment, providing subsidized jobs for youth in the summer, and oper ating the Employment Service. In addition, the Federal Govern ment contracts for the operation of other job training programs, including the Job Corps. Under the Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA), States have major control over the use of amounts granted them. In each State and locality, the private sector is heavily involved in planning and carrying out the programs. The primary JTPA program is a block grant that provides States and localities program discretion within broad Federal guidelines. To provide lead time for adequate planning, the budget authority enacted for a fiscal year for JTPA and the Employment Service finances a 12month program year beginning on July 1 of that year. Block Grants to States.—Under JTPA, the States design pro grams in close cooperation with private sector employers to meet the needs of their populations and the opportunities in the State job market. These programs are intended to prepare youth and unskilled adults for entry into the labor force and to provide job training to those who are in special need of such training in order to obtain productive employment. Activities are designed in con junction with the Employment Service, educational institutions, and other vocational activities to prepare individuals for jobs in the area. Although few restrictions are placed on the States and local ities, JTPA requires that 70 percent of the grant amount must be used for training and 90 percent of the participants must be eco nomically disadvantaged. At least 40 percent of the resources must be spent for youth, and welfare recipients must be served on an equitable basis. A $57 million rescission is proposed in 1987 because 5-98 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 of large amounts of unexpended balances in this program. The resulting level of funding in 1987 is the same as in 1986. This rescission is not expected to have a significant effect on service levels. Outlays of $1.8 billion in 1988 reflect the budget authority proposed to serve over 1 million people in both program years 1987 and 1988. Summer Youth Employment.—Under the summer youth employ ment program, grants are made to States in the spring of each year to subsidize minimum-wage public sector jobs during the following summer for youth between the ages of 14 and 21. The 1986 budget authority provides jobs in the summer of 1987 and the 1987 budget authority provides jobs in the summer of 1988. While the summer youth employment program has successfully provided summer jobs for youth, there is no evidence that simply providing jobs during the summer has benefitted those youth most at risk, nor is it clear that using these resources only for jobs is the most effective use of tax dollars. Under current law, local areas have very limited flexi bility to use these resources in new and innovative programs mixing jobs and long-term training. This budget therefore proposes replacing the current summer program with a more flexible pro gram of jobs and training directed to youth on welfare. Because of the proposed program, which is described below, and the large amount of prior year unexpended summer jobs money that will be available in the summer of 1987, the administration proposes re scinding $100 million of the 1987 appropriation for summer jobs for youth, thus keeping the program for the summer of 1988 at ap proximately the summer of 1987 level. Welfare Youth Training and Employment.—Legislation will be proposed to amend the Job Training Partnership Act (JTPA) by replacing the existing summer youth employment program with one allowing States and local areas to establish a comprehensive program of services for youth in families receiving support from the aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) program. States and localities could operate a year-round program of remedi al education, basic skills training, and related support; a subsidized summer jobs program as they do now; or a mixture of both pro grams. The mix of services between training and jobs will be up to States and local areas, but if a year-round program is established, it is expected to provide a more intensive, enriched program than that offered under either the JTPA block grant or the summer jobs program. This proposal is intended to allow local areas to put together the best combination of services for their jurisdiction to help youth who suffer from illiteracy and a lack of jobs skills. They are the most seriously at risk of failing to participate fully in our society and having to turn to AFDC for support. Resources will be EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-99 allocated by a formula that gives added weight to the numbers of economically disadvantaged youth and AFDC recipients in a State and in sub-State areas. Budget authority of $800 million in 1988 is proposed for this program, which will be coordinated with other work and training initiatives described in the income security func tion for assisting the welfare population. Assistance to Dislocated Workers.—Two programs have been available to help workers whose jobs have disappeared because of changes in the economy. Trade adjustment assistance (TAA) pro vides unemployment benefit payments for a period beyond that available from unemployment insurance. It also pays for retraining workers whose skills were obsolete or for expenses of searching for and moving to jobs in new locations. This aid is available only to workers who are determined, after investigation, to have been displaced from their jobs by increased imports. Experience under the program has demonstrated that the additional weeks of unem ployment benefits encourage workers to delay efforts to seek new opportunities in the hope that somehow their old jobs will reap pear. Congress provided $30 million for retraining and relocation assistance under TAA in 1987. JTPA authorizes the second readjustment program, providing grants to States to help dislocated workers find new occupations that use their skills, get training in new skills for which there is a demand, or meet the costs of looking for jobs or moving to new locations where they have found long-term jobs. JTPA provides for 75 percent of amounts appropriated for this program to be distrib uted to States by formula and for 25 percent to be granted to States at the discretion of the Secretary of Labor based on applica tions describing special needs. An appropriation of $200 million was enacted to be distributed in this manner in 1987. Experience has shown that these separate worker assistance pro grams have not operated efficiently to help workers adjust. In addition, the separate TAA program targeting one group of unem ployed workers raises serious questions about equity of treatment. The administration proposes to replace these two programs with an entirely new program. This new program would be available to all dislocated workers, whether they are unemployed due to increased imports, have been permanently laid off, have lost their farms, or are long-term unemployment insurance recipients. Services, which could include counseling, job search assistance, basic education, and job skill training, would be provided in a two-tiered approach, with services leading to quick adjustment being provided first. States would apply to the Secretary of Labor for grants and would be responsible for the program and linking it to the unemployment insurance system. The private industry councils set up under JTPA will have oversight responsibilities at the local level. These changes 5-100 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 would allow States and local areas to use a variety of new ap proaches to encourage workers to recognize when their old jobs are gone and to move on more quickly to new careers. In order to move to the new program, the budget rescinds $175 million of the $200 million appropriated in 1987 for dislocated worker assistance under JTPA. The remaining $25 million, when combined with large unexpended balances, will be sufficient to finance worker adjustment services through September 30, 1987, when the new program would take over. This transition amount would be allocated by the Secretary of Labor at his discretion. No resources are requested for the TAA or JTPA programs in 1988. The new program would receive $980 million in budget authority in 1988. Some 700,000 workers are expected to enroll in this pro gram each year. The new approach would provide readjustment services faster than has been possible under the current programs. Job Corps.—The Job Corps provides disadvantaged youth remedi al education and job skills training in 106 residential centers that also provide meals, room, recreation, medical care, and living and readjustment allowances. Because the Job Corps continues to be the most costly domestic job training program financed by the Federal Government, several initiatives are being undertaken to help keep program costs under control and improve program effi ciency while maintaining service levels. Currently there is consid erable variation among the centers in terms of cost, size, and effectiveness. To increase management efficiency, the administra tion proposes to competitively bid all Job Corps center operations, including those now operated by the Federal Government, and to close inefficient and more expensive centers without reducing the total number of youth served. Additional savings will be achieved through implementation of the results of several pilot and demon stration projects testing ways to reduce costs or improve positive outcomes. The 1988 budget authority request of $652 million will be sufficient to support 40,500 training slots, the same level as in previous years. Older Americans Employment.—Part-time public service employ ment for older workers is provided under Title V of the Older Americans Act through contracts with seven national service orga nizations and the U.S. Forest Service and through grants to States. Budget authority of $326 million is requested for 1988, the same as provided in 1987. The wage is fixed by law; some 63,800 job oppor tunities will be provided for older workers in 1987 and 1988. Out lays are also estimated at $326 million in 1988. Work Incentive Program.—This separate categorical program has for years provided job services, training, and public service employ EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-101 ment to recipients of aid to families with dependent children (AFDC). Although its aim is to help curb welfare dependency, it has not proved successful or cost-effective. Other programs, such as JTPA, provide services to AFDC families in a program better de signed to train adults and youth in the skills needed for private sector jobs. For 1987, the Congress appropriated $103 million to be used during the first 9 months of the fiscal year on the understand ing that a replacement program would be enacted. The work incen tive (WIN) program will be phased out with the 1987 appropriation, and new work and training legislation is proposed as described above and in the income security function. No budget authority is requested for 1988. Other Training Programs.—Outlays of $279 million are estimated in 1988 for other national training programs, including research and demonstration projects and special programs for veterans, native Americans, and migrant and seasonal farm workers. A net increase of $8 million in budget authority for research and demon strations will help develop understanding of, and solutions to, em ployment problems faced by youth and dislocated workers. Federal-State Employment Services.—Grants are made for State employment service agencies under a formula based on each State’s share of the civilian labor force and of unemployed individ uals. These grants support the total cost of job search and place ment services to job seekers and of recruitment and special techni cal services for employers. Certain employment services designed to meet national needs are financed with grants under specific agree ments with the State agencies. These national activities include special services to veterans, collection of general purpose labor market statistics, and determinations of labor needs under immi gration laws. Beginning in 1988, States would receive special grants under the proposed new program of assistance for dislocated workers de scribed earlier. States would be able to use these resources to provide adjustment services tailored to the needs of dislocated workers in their jurisdiction. As part of the transition to the new program, the budget proposes to rescind $90 million of the 1987 appropriation for Employment Service grants. This reduction, com bined with the use of unexpended balances and the substantial resources available to States under the worker adjustment assist ance program, would permit States to provide current levels of job search assistance to those seeking work. Legislation will be proposed to decentralize authority, financing, and responsibility for administering State employment service and unemployment insurance programs to the States. Based on an extensive consultative process involving all interested groups, the 5-102 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 legislation will answer the many questions raised by States and others over the equity of current Federal allocation of administra tive resources, the adequacy of the resources provided, and lack of flexibility provided for States to use resources to meet their re quirements. The Department of Labor will retain its current re sponsibilities of ensuring that State programs meet the general requirements of Federal law and of financing the costs of State administration of Federal programs. This proposal is also discussed in the income security function. In 1988, outlays for employment service activities, except those under the worker adjustment assist ance program, are estimated at $872 million. Tax Expenditures.—Training and employment is subsidized through a diverse group of tax expenditures. The largest employ ment incentive was provided by the deduction for two-earner mar ried couples that reduced the tax married people pay. It was justi fied on the ground that the income of second earners is stacked on top of their spouses’ earnings and thus taxed at a higher marginal tax rate than if the second earner had been taxed as a single person. This provision was repealed by the Tax Reform Act of 1986. The Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 (ERTA) expanded the credit for child and dependent care and created a special exclusion for employer payments for child care. These provisions for child and dependent care, designed to provide work incentives for fami lies with children, are estimated to cost $4.6 billion and $45 mil lion, respectively, in 1988. The targeted jobs tax credit, intended to provide incentives for employers to hire disadvantaged individuals from certain target groups and recipients of certain welfare payments, was extended through December 31, 1988, by the Tax Reform Act of 1986. The exclusion of contributions to qualified prepaid legal services plans was extended through 1987. Special tax credits for employee stock ownership plans (ESOPs), designed to encourage employee owner ship of their employer’s stock, will be allowed to expire at the end of 1987. The tax expenditures for these provisions are estimated at $460 million, $20 million and $320 million, respectively, in 1988. Total tax expenditures for training and employment are estimated to be $6.2 billion in 1988. SOCIAL SERVICES The Federal Government makes grants to States and to local public and private institutions to defray the cost of social services. Beneficiaries are low-income persons, the elderly, the disabled, chil dren, youth, and Native Americans. Federal outlays for social serv ices are expected to increase from $7.5 billion in 1987 to $7.9 billion in 1988. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-103 Social Services Block Grant.—Block grant funding of social serv ices gives States discretion to determine which social services will be offered and who will be eligible to receive them. Child day care, foster care, child protective services, preparation and delivery of meals, and legal services are some examples of social services offered by the States. Block grant funds may also be used by State and local governments for administrative costs and are distributed among the States on the basis of population. States may transfer up to 10 percent of their social services block grant allotment to other block grants that support health services, health promotion and disease prevention, and low-income home energy assistance. Budget authority of $2.7 billion is requested for the social serv ices block grant in 1988, the same level as enacted for 1987. Community Services Block Grant.—The administration proposes to begin to phase out Federal support for the community services block grant (CSBG); the administration is requesting $310 million in 1988 budget authority, $58 million less than the 1987 level. Community action agencies—the primary recipients of these funds—derive less than 13 percent of their funding from this block grant. A phased reduction in Federal CSBG support will provide these agencies time to solicit funding from other sources. At this time of Federal budget constraints, it is hoped that contributions from non-Federal sources can maintain critical activities. Rehabilitation Services.—Increases in budget authority over the 1986 level are proposed in 1987 and 1988 to offset the effect of inflation on the vocational rehabilitation State grant. Appropriated amounts in excess of this inflation offset are proposed for rescission ($97 million). Proposed 1988 budget authority for most other pro grams is maintained at the 1987 enacted level, with selected reduc tions requested. For example, the new supported-work State grant is not financed because similar activities are already funded under existing programs. The net effect is a 1988 budget authority request of $1.4 billion, a reduction of $84 million (6 percent) from the 1987 appropriation. The proposed 1988 level would be $91 million (7 percent) over the 1986 appropriation. Family Social Services.—In 1988, budget authority of $682 mil lion is requested for foster care and adoption assistance. Funds support State programs to reunite children with their families or, when this is not possible, to place them promptly in adoptive homes. The levels requested for foster care and adoption assistance assume passage of a legislative proposal aimed at controlling rapid ly growing State administrative costs. The proposal is to limit State 5-104 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 administration and training costs to 50 percent of the amount reimbursed for maintenance payments under each program. Main tenance payments to 110,000 foster care children and 39,000 adop tion assistance families would not be reduced. Social Service Activities.—In 1988, a generic appropriation of $2.2 billion is requested for all of the discretionary social service activi ties administered by the Office of Human Development Services in the Department of Health and Human Services. This generic re quest is in no way a block grant consolidation proposal. The pur pose is to simplify the congressional budget process and to focus resource allocation decisions on the overall direction of Federal policy for social services rather than on 26 separate activities. Programs included in this request will retain their separate stat utory program authorities. Under a generic appropriation for social service activities, the Department of Health and Human Services would be flexible to use its program expertise in determining spe cific program funding levels and inititatives, thus taking advantage of emerging opportunities to best serve children, older Americans, the developmentally disabled, and Native Americans. Congress is invited to selectively define priorities within the $2.2 billion re quested level of effort. These programs have been included in a generic request because they serve similar populations and share common objectives of promoting economic independence, integration, and self-sufficiency. Head Start will continue to be a priority and the administration intends to increase support for Head Start $20 million over the 1987 level. Domestic Volunteer Programs.—The ACTION agency operates programs to help citizens 60 and older provide various social serv ices, pays stipends and other support costs of the volunteers in service to America program (VISTA), and provides small grants to stimulate other volunteer services. In 1988, the foster grandparents program will support 23,800 older volunteers to work with 61,000 children with special needs. The senior companions program will provide support for approximately 7,000 volunteers to work with 24,400 older shut-ins. The retired senior volunteer program (RSVP) will support 392,000 part-time volunteers in 1988 who work on a great variety of community needs. Funds requested for the VISTA program will provide 2,500 volunteer service years in 1988, com pared to 2,400 volunteer service years in 1987. Other Social Serinces.—Funding is provided for certain adminis trative functions of the Education Department and for the interim assistance to States for legalization programs of the Department of Health and Human Services. EDUCATION, TRAINING, EMPLOYMENT, SOCIAL SERVICES 5-105 Tax Expenditures.—The provision of social services by a wide variety of private charitable and religious institutions is encour aged by the tax deductibility of contributions to those institutions. The tax expenditure estimate for charitable contributions, other than to educational and health institutions, is $8.8 billion in 1988. Parsonage housing allowances are excluded from ministers’ taxable incomes. This allows them to accept lower cash remuneration from their congregations. The tax expenditure for parsonage allowances is estimated at $195 million in 1988. The adoption of children with special needs was encouraged by a limited itemized deduction for expenses incurred. Effective January 1, 1987, the Tax Reform Act of 1986 repealed this deduction and explicitly replaced it with a direct expenditure program. For social services, tax expenditures are estimated to total $9.0 billion in 1988. Total tax expenditures for education, training, employment, and social services are estimated at $20.0 billion in 1988. 5-106 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 HEALTH The Federal Government contributes to meeting the Nation’s health needs by financing and providing health care services, pro moting disease prevention, and supporting research, training, and consumer and occupational health and safety. Since 1960, Ameri cans’ per capita spending on health care has increased rapidly— more than three times faster than the rate of inflation. Americans now spend 10.7 percent of GNP on medical care, more than any other industrialized nation. Federal health spending has also con tinued to grow rapidly, despite major policy reforms enacted since 1981. This spending is growing even faster than medical spending generally and will more than double in this decade unless present trends are reversed. The budget contains initiatives to restrain continued cost increases. Health Care Services,—Four-fifths of Federal outlays for health in this function are devoted to financing or providing health care services directly to individuals. Federal outlays for health care services are estimated to decline from $32.0 billion in 1987 to $31.5 billion in 1988. Medicaid Grants.—Under current law, the Federal Government is expected to finance 56 percent of the cost of the joint StateFederal medicaid program; the State and local share is projected to be $22.2 billion, with the Federal share at $28.1 billion in 1988. This program finances health care for 23.8 million poor Americans. The administration’s legislative proposals are designed to foster State action to implement capitation—that is, the payment of a monthly sum to HMOs and other providers who are responsible for all of a person’s health care. Capitation enhances competitive market forces and helps to limit the growth of medicaid expendi tures. To promote competition, the administration is proposing legisla* tion giving States optional authority to capitate acute care medic aid services. To qualify, a State program would have to have all eligible beneficiaries in a particular geographic area—such as a county—enrolled in HMOs or other capitated organizations, and must have provisions that protect quality of care and access to care. For example, within the capitated system, beneficiaries would be guaranteed the freedom to choose among providers. During the first 3 years of each new capitation project, a State would receive a higher Federal matching rate, which could be used to defray the costs of the transition from fee-for-service to capita tion. A State’s regular Federal assistance matching rate, which currently ranges from 50 to 79 percent, would be increased 3 per centage points in the first year, 2 percentage points in the second HEALTH 5-107 year, and 1 percentage point in the third year. States would limit matchable medicaid expenditures to not more than 97 percent of their normal fee-for-service per capita costs in the first year, 96 percent of their norm in the second year, and 95 percent of their norm in the third year. At any point, States could choose to revert to current law, but the transition incentives would end after the third year. The budget assumes no savings from this legislative proposal. A second legislative proposal would reduce Federal assistance to the States for medicaid in 1988 by $1.0 billion in outlays and, in subsequent years, constrain the rate of increase in Federal assist ance to States to the rate of increase in medical care prices. To reform Federal funding for State medicaid administrative costs, the administration is proposing to replace the current com plicated and disparate set of administrative matching rates with a uniform 50 percent Federal matching rate beginning in 1988. Spe cial matching rates, such as those intended to prompt the States to develop information systems and recruit medically trained staff, are no longer necessary. Limited Federal resources should focus on medical assistance, not on overhead and other administrative costs. Similar funding changes are proposed for aid to families with dependent children and food stamps, both described in the income security function. Finally, as part of the medicaid cost reforms, the administration will propose legislation to eliminate the enhanced 90 percent Fed eral assistance to States for family planning services and adminis tration. Savings of $85 million from this proposal would be used, once they become available, for medicaid case management demon strations of comprehensive services to pregnant women at high risk of having low birthweight infants and high incidence of infant mortality. States would be eligible for up to 100 percent Federal funding for these demonstration projects. Case management dem onstration projects would not only deliver medicaid services but also manage the delivery of related federally supported services, including community health centers, maternal and child health grantees, and Women, Infants, and Children clinics. 5-108 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 24,644 26,640 28,120 -1,256 30,870 -2,835 33,450 -3,890 1,537 1,459 3,237 29,418 3,569 31,668 1,789 -502 3,332 31,483 2,082 -589 3,273 32,802 2,599 -657 3,252 34,754 5,013 539 5,552 6,229 731 6,961 7,970 639 8,609 7,516 639 8,156 6,768 640 7,408 262 206 39 286 67 32 291 36 30 291 46 25 291 43 25 507 385 357 361 359 794 856 878 -390 431 874 -386 441 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Health care services: Medicaid grants: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal employees’ health benefits: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. ... .. .. .. .. .. Other health care services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Health care services.. .. .. .. .. Health research: National Institutes of Health research.. .. .. .. Other research programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Health research.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education and training of health care work force: Research training.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Clinical training.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Education and training of health care work force.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Consumer and occupational health and safety: Consumer safety: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Occupational safety and health.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Consumer and occupational health and safety.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 363 392 881 -397 422 1,157 1,248 906 918 928 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 36,634 40,262 41,355 42,237 43,450 Federal Employees Health Benefits (FEHB).—The administration is proposing two reforms in the FEHB program, which is the world’s largest multiple-choice health program. The administration proposes that the formula used to determine the Government’s contribution to enrollees’ health premiums be changed to a weight ed average that reflects the premiums of all FEHB plans and the distribution of enrollees among those plans. Currently, this contri bution is based on a simple average of the high-option coverage offered by six of the largest plans. The limitations of this outdated formula prevent it from reflecting the recent shift of enrollees from high-option to low-option coverage and the dramatic growth in the number of FEHB plans. The proposed formula would reflect these and other changes in the FEHB program, providing more equitable cost sharing between the Government and its employees. 5-109 HEALTH NATIONAL NEED: HEALTH (Functional code 550; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 24,995 26,700 28,120 -1,256 30,870 -2,835 33,450 -3,890 638 1,871 3,217 28,850 3,469 32,040 1,768 -492 3,313 31,453 2,211 -589 3,279 32,936 2,449 -656 3,247 34,600 4,859 534 5,393 5,244 682 5,925 5,483 674 6,158 5,585 645 6,231 5,633 641 6,274 256 269 279 291 291 232 156 41 30 42 —2 31 46 —2 25 41 —2 25 529 455 350 360 355 799 854 878 -390 429 874 -386 440 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Health care services: Medicaid grants: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal employees’ health benefits: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other health care services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Health care services.. .. .. .. .. Health research: National Institutes of Health research.. .. .. .. Other research programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Health research.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education and training of health care work force: Research training.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Clinical training: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Education and training of health care work force.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Consumer and occupational health and safety: Consumer safety: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Occupational safety and health.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Consumer and occupational health and safety.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 366 391 883 -398 419 1,165 1,245 903 917 927 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 35,936 39,665 38,865 40,443 42,156 In addition, the administration proposes that the respective em ployer health insurance costs for current annuitants be transferred to the U.S. Postal Service and the District of Columbia govern ment. This proposal merely expands current law, which requires these entities to pay for Government contribution costs of prospec tive retirees. Of the $0.5 billion in outlay reductions presented in this function under FEHB, $0.4 billion represents the transfer of annuitants’ costs to the Postal Service and the District of Columbia government. The remaining $0.1 billion is outlay savings from the weighted average proposal. An additional $0.1 billion in outlay savings from the weighted average proposal accrues to agencies throughout the Government, and is presented in the allowances section. 5-110 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Other Health Care Services.—Budget authority of $1.2 billion is requested for health block grants in 1988, $0.1 billion more than the 1987 level. This increase reflects proposed legislation for a family planning block grant to give States greater latitude in deliv ering voluntary family planning services. Block grants allow States flexibility in coordinating and improving the effectiveness of serv ices for their citizens. Under such grants, States are able to stream line program administration and devote more resources to services, because unnecessary Federal regulatory, legal, and reporting re quirements previously imposed on grantees no longer apply. Budget authority of $797 million is requested for the Indian Health Service (IHS) in 1988. In addition, the IHS will collect an estimated $71 million in third-party reimbursements for health services provided to American Indians and Alaskan Natives. To encourage maximum participation in the planning and manage ment of health care services, the IHS will embark on a 10-year selfdetermination goal to have Indian tribal organizations administer 75 percent of IHS hospitals and clinics by 1998. The delivery of health services by the IHS will be made more cost-effective through increased patient registration and the use of fiscal intermediaries for contract health services. The IHS also plans to continue to allocate resources among its health service delivery areas based on indicators of health status. For 1988, $30 million in budget authority is requested for the direct Federal subsidy for the care of District of Columbia residents at Saint Elizabeths Hospital. This represents the seventh year of a 10-year phasedown of this subsidy. In addition, budget authority of $38 million is proposed for facilities renovation and other expenses associated with the transfer of the hospital to the District of Co lumbia on October 1, 1987. An additional transition subsidy is also requested as part of the Federal payment to the District of Colum bia government, which is classified in the general purpose fiscal assistance function. Health Research.—In 1988, the Federal Government will provide an estimated 85 percent of the Nation’s expenditures on basic health-related research, with the bulk of Federal support chan neled through the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Total 1988 outlays for health research are estimated to increase from the 1987 level of $5.9 billion to $6.2 billion in 1988. To stabilize Federal support for basic health research at a strong and sustainable level, and thus ensure continued leadership in this area, the 1988 budget requests funds sufficient to support the full, multi-year costs of new and competing research project grants awarded by NIH in 1988. Full funding reduces the uncertainties associated with annual funding of these multi-year grant commitments, increases the abili ty of program managers to respond to rapidly emerging scientific HEALTH 5-111 opportunities, ensures proper congressional consideration of the full costs associated with grant commitments, and fosters a more considered allocation of Federal funds among competing priorities. In total, the 1988 request for NIH would fund about 19,100 re search project grants, 560 research centers, and 10,900 research trainees. Complementing the NIH effort, funding requested for the Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration would support about 1,600 research project grants. Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) is the highest public health priority of the administration. Supplementing State and local programs, the Federal effort encompasses health educa tion and risk prevention as well as research on the causes of and potential treatments for AIDS. Budget authority of $534 million is requested for AIDS research and education in 1988, an increase of $118 million, or 28 percent, above the 1987 enacted level. Transfer authority is proposed to expedite mid-year adjustments to AIDS spending plans for the purpose of enhancing efforts on newly iden tified research and education opportunities. Education and Training of the Health Care Workforce.—In 1988, $357 million in budget authority is requested for these programs. Since the supply of health care professionals is now adequate, direct Federal subsidies for most clinical health professions train ing are no longer essential. Between 1965, when Federal subsidies for health professions training began, and 1985, the supply of phy sicians per capita grew by 48 percent, and surpluses are projected for most health care disciplines in the 1990's. For this reason, the administration proposes to eliminate the Federal subsidies for most health professions in 1988. Federal emphasis will be on training in family medicine and geriatric health care. In 1988, an estimated 10,000 students in health professions train ing programs—medical and allied health professionals—will be supported by $100 million in new guaranteed loan commitments under the health education assistance loan program. An additional 37,600 health professions and nursing students will continue to receive assistance through revolving fund loans. Direct support will continue for about 12,000 students pursuing careers in health-relat ed research. Research training is projected to have outlays of $279 million in 1988. Consumer and Occupational Health and Safety.—Budget author ity of $906 million in 1988 is requested for protecting consumers from unsafe and defective products and for protecting workers from occupational hazards. Consumer Safety.—Budget authority for consumer safety activi ties is proposed to be $484 million in 1988. This funding would 5-112 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 CREDIT PROGRAMS—HEALTH (In millions of dollars) voluntary and regulatory measures to protect consumers from un reasonable risks. Inspections would be continued to ensure the safety and efficacy of drugs, medical devices, and foods. Legislation will be proposed to provide for more efficient inspection methods for meat and poultry and egg products processing. Legislation that establishes full recovery of inspection and related costs through fees assessed on these industries is also proposed. Charging such fees would neither lower inspection standards nor affect consumer safety, but would reduce net outlays by an estimated $398 million in 1988. Legislation is also being proposed to strengthen Federal enforcement powers under the meat and poultry inspection acts to ensure consumer safety. Occupational Safety and Health,—The budget includes $422 mil lion in budget authority to improve occupational safety and health in 1988. The Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) and the Mine Safety and Health Administration (MSHA) in the Department of Labor issue and enforce standards to elimi nate workplace hazards causing injury, illness, or death. During 1987 and 1988, both OSHA and MSHA will continue efforts to revise or eliminate standards that burden employers without en hancing protection of workers. Resources would be focused on those activities most likely to ensure safe and healthful working condi tions. Cooperative and voluntary efforts of employers and employ ees to increase workplace safety and health will be encouraged. All mine inspections required by the Mine Safety and Health Act in HEALTH 5-113 1987 and 1988 are expected to be accomplished. OSHA plans to increase inspections of occupational health hazards by 20 percent in 1988. Tax Expenditures.—Federal tax laws help finance health insur ance by allowing employees to exclude from their taxable income the insurance premiums paid by their employers. The estimated tax expenditure for this provision is $30.2 billion for 1988. Individ uals also are permitted to itemize as deductions certain expenses for health care. In 1988, the estimate for this health-related tax expenditure is $1.7 billion. In addition, health-related charitable contributions result in a tax expenditure estimated at $1.4 billion for 1988, and the exclusion of interest on State and local hospital bonds results in an estimated 1988 tax expenditure of $2.3 billion. Estimated tax expenditures for existing health provisions total $35.6 billion in 1988. Related Programs.—The Federal Government supports healthrelated expenditures that are reported in other functions. Among the most important are medicare, discussed in the next function, and medical care for veterans and military personnel, discussed in both the veterans benefits and services and national defense func tions. Agency contributions to Federal employees health benefits are described under health care services but are included in indi vidual agency budgets in virtually all functions. 5-114 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 MEDICARE The Federal Government contributes to the health of aged and disabled Americans through medicare. In 1988, medicare will pro vide health insurance for an estimated 32 million persons who are aged, disabled, or suffer from end-stage renal (i.e., kidney) disease. Medicare consists of two parts. Hospital insurance (Part A), funded primarily by social security payroll taxes, pays for care provided by hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, home health agen cies, and hospices. Supplementary medical insurance (Part B), the optional part of medicare, pays for physician services, hospital outpatient and laboratory services, treatment for end-stage renal disease, and durable medical equipment. Enrollees pay about 25 percent (or $17.90 per month per enrollee in calendar year 1987) of Part B costs through premiums. In addition, there is a $20 billion subsidy from general revenue, which averages $54 per month per enrollee. Medicare current services outlays are expected to increase 10 percent annually, increasing outlays $44.8 billion from 1987 to 1992. One cause of continued rapid growth in medicare is physician fees, which is one of the fastest growing parts of the budget and is expected to double in 5 years. Medicare’s prospective payment system (PPS) has curbed rapid increases in hospital spending, which increased only 2.0 percent between 1985 and 1986 after almost doubling from 1980 to 1985. In contrast, spending on physi cian services grew 8.5 percent between 1985 and 1986, even though the number of beneficiaries grew only 2 percent and hospital ad missions actually declined by 2 percent. This 8.5 percent increase occurred during a congressionally imposed freeze on physician charges. The administration’s proposals would reform physician payment rules and make other changes promoting the role of competitive, market-oriented incentives in medicare. Even with savings from legislative proposals, outlays are projected to increase from $71.6 billion in 1987 to $104.4 billion in 1992. This increase significantly exceeds general inflation and the increase in beneficiaries. Under the administration’s proposals, spending per medicare beneficiary would increase in real terms through 1992. Hospital Insurance (HI).—The budget includes legislation restor ing the authority of the Secretary of Health and Human Services, temporarily suspended in the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986, to set the appropriate increase in hospital payment rates. For planning purposes, the average payment for a hospital case is projected to increase 2.5 percent in 1988. The administration is also proposing to extend 1987 reforms of Periodic Interim Payments 5-115 MEDICARE NATIONAL NEED: MEDICARE (Functional code 570; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 67,037 62,627 25,004 -5,739 1989 1990 67,841 1,811 73,000 2,770 78,348 3,116 27,785 5 34,183 -596 39,772 -1,181 45,200 -1,470 -6,545 -8,311 -570 -9,180 -1,828 -9,667 -3,058 87,228 83,872 94,358 103,353 112,469 49,685 48,273 52,553 -3,486 57,134 -2,683 61,072 -2,894 26,217 29,886 34,046 -1,201 38,957 -1,275 44,129 -1,646 -5,739 -6,545 -8,311 -570 -9,180 -1,828 -9,667 -3,058 70,164 71,614 73,032 81,125 87,936 BUDGET AUTHORITY Medicare: Hospital insurance (HI): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Supplementary medical insurance (SMI): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Medicare premiums and collections: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interfund transactions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, budget authority 926 OUTLAYS Medicare: Hospital insurance (HI): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Supplementary medical insurance (SMI): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Medicare premiums and collections: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interfund transactions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (PIP) to hospitals serving a disproportionate share of the poor, and is reproposing reforms in medical education payments. Under the administration’s proposals, medicare payments for hospital capital costs would become part of the hospital’s fixed, predetermined price per admission (depending on the patient’s di agnosis). This reform would reverse the inflationary incentives of the current system, which rewards hospitals for building excess capacity even though one out of every three hospital beds currently is empty. Prospective payment for capital costs would give hospi tals the incentive to allocate resources efficiently and to restrain escalations in costs. However, consistent with current law, capital reforms would not reduce medicare spending in 1988. Further, the budget includes legislation to broaden the types of prepaid health care plans in which Medicare beneficiaries could participate. Beneficiaries would be offered a voucher with which they could choose from a wide variety of plans, each offering bene fits at least equivalent to medicare’s. Under current law, Medicare bills will be paid as close as possi ble to 26 days, the standard enacted last year. The administration 5-116 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 proposes legislation conforming the timing of Medicare bill pay ments to government-wide standards of 30 days. Other hospital insurance proposals would extend medicare cover age to the minority of State and local employees who are not already covered. Most of these workers are eligible for medicare benefits through their spouse or their own employment in the private sector. Supplementary Medical Insurance (SMI).—This budget proposes that payments for radiology, anesthesiology and pathology (RAP) services provided to inpatients be reflected in a set price for each diagnosis, replacing the inflationary fee-for-service payment mecha nism. Medicare would pay the average price for RAP services in an area, thereby retaining variations in physician practice, while cre ating new incentives for these physicians to provide only medically necessary services. Current law rules for the assignment of physi cian claims and beneficiary cost-sharing would be retained. Other SMI proposals would tap competitive market forces by promoting the growth of capitated arrangements in a series of nationwide demonstrations. “Negotiated provider agreements” would build on existing or new preferred provider organizations to harness private sector incentives in the service of medicare benefi ciaries. Medical societies, employers, advocacy groups and others would be eligible to participate in the demonstrations. The SMI premium was originally set to cover 50 percent of the program’s costs in 1966, but it now covers less than 25 percent, with taxpayers subsidizing the remainder. The administration pro poses to maintain the premium at 25 percent for all current benefi ciaries, set the premium at 35 percent for new beneficiaries, and adopt a 50 percent premium where premiums are paid by third parties. The administration is also proposing reforms to: • adjust annually the current SMI deductible, as is done for other medicare cost-sharing amounts. The deductible has been increased only twice since 1966, although beneficiary income in the form of social security automatically increases with inflation; • repeal the costly expansions enacted last year that pay non physicians directly but provide no new services to benefici aries; • extend to medium-size employers requirements enacted last year that medicare pay after private insurance; and • reform the timing of initial medicare entitlement. Related programs.—A number of programs related to medicare are discussed in the health, veterans, and income security func tions; payroll taxes are discussed in Part 4, “Federal Receipts by MEDICARE 5-117 Source.” Social security is now a separate budget function and follows the income security discussion. 5-118 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 INCOME SECURITY Federal programs in the income security function help meet the needs of individuals by insuring against loss of income resulting from retirement, disability, death, or unemployment of a wage earner, and by assisting the truly needy who are unable to provide for themselves. The income security function includes retirement and disability programs for Federal civilian and military personnel, railroad employees, and coal miners. Retirement and disability benefits are financed by a combination of employer and employee contributions and direct Federal payments. This function also in cludes unemployment compensation programs and a wide range of housing, food, and cash assistance programs. General Retirement and Disability Insurance (Excluding Social Security).—This subfunction includes programs that provide retire ment and disability benefits for railroad workers and coal miners. Railroad Retirement.—The Railroad Retirement Board (RRB) will administer retirement and disability benefits to an estimated 922,000 former railroad employees, their dependents, and survivors in 1988. RRB payments include benefits equivalent to social securi ty retirement and disability benefits, as well as rail industry pen sions and federally subsidized windfall payments. Benefits are fi nanced through railroad employee payroll deductions and railroad employer contributions, payments from social security trust funds, and direct subsidies from taxpayers. Estimated 1988 outlays of $4.1 billion include $368 million for the Federal windfall subsidy compo nent, which represents an annual subsidy of more than $1,000 per active railroad employee. Financing legislation enacted in 1974, 1981, and 1983 was based on what have proven to be optimistic assumptions, and RRB actu aries now recommend financing increases to protect the solvency of the fund. Therefore, the administration proposes increasing pay ments into the rail pension fund by 1.5 percent in 1988 and again in 1989. The budget also proposes legislation to improve equity and help move the rail pension toward solvency by: (1) making uniform the treatment of rail pension payments for cost-of-living adjustment purposes by correcting flaws in the law that now treat these indus try pensions like social security; (2) maintaining rail pensions at the 1987 level during 1988, (3) extending Federal/State unemploy ment insurance coverage to railroad employment, ensuring the payment of benefits to unemployed rail workers and paying off the debts of the railroad unemployment system to the rail pension fund; (4) requiring the railroad retirement trust funds to pay the full normal costs of Railroad Retirement Board employees’ civil INCOME SECURITY 5-119 service retirement benefits to the civil service retirement trust fund; and (5) having the rail sector finance 25 percent of Federal windfall subsidy costs. Two other initiatives would correct unintended subsidies to the rail sector that are financed by the social security program. First, the continuing eligibility of railroad retirement disability benefici aries would be reviewed, just like persons getting direct social security disability payments. Second, the rail sector equivalent of workers’ compensation, provided under the Federal Employers’ Li ability Act, would be treated like regular workers’ compensation in that payments would be offset against rail disability payments. The budget also proposes to restore the rail industry pension to the private sector. Railroad retirement is the only private industry pension system embedded in Federal law, subsidized by taxpayers and administered by a Federal agency. Privatization of rail pension would free rail labor and management to bargain collectively for new benefit levels and mechanisms for a new funding arrange ment. Although not included in the budget estimates, privatization would generate long-term savings. Special Benefits for Disabled Coal Miners.—Miners who suffer from chronic dust disease of the lungs—black lung—and who meet specified medical criteria are entitled to monthly cash payments and medical benefits. Cash payments are also made to their de pendents and survivors. The basic monthly cash payment is based on the GS-2 Federal salary level. Total outlays are estimated to be $1.6 billion in 1988. Beneficiaries receive payments from either general revenues or the black lung disability trust fund. The black lung disability trust fund, which is financed by a fee on coal production, is projected to have a deficit of $2.9 billion at the end of 1988. The excise tax paid by coal operators is insufficient to cover the cost of medical and income replacement benefits for miners disabled by the black lung disease for which these operators are legally responsible. This is true even though the Government has assumed full responsibility for paying income benefits to two-thirds of those disabled by black lung disease, and even though the gener al taxpayer is currently paying interest costs on money the trust fund borrowed because coal mine operators have paid too little. The administration proposes to increase the excise tax receipts to the trust fund by $357 million in 1988 and to repeal the require ment that the general taxpayer pay the interest on monies bor rowed from the Treasury. In addition, the budget proposes legislation for both the general and trust fund black lung programs that will slow the growth of benefits now being paid to coal miners who have been determined disabled by black lung disease, their survivors, and their depend ents. The proposed legislation would: (1) maintain the 1988 benefits 5-120 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 at the 1987 level and increase benefits by one half the amount of the percent increase in Federal pay each year thereafter, (2) re strict the maximum amount that can be paid to a family, and (3) end special benefits for students. The administration also proposes counting black lung benefits as income for tax purposes. These changes would not only make the black lung program more consist ent with other Government disability programs, but would also help efforts to restore the trust fund to solvency. Under proposed legislation, trust fund payment calculations would be conformed to general fund payment calculations using the social security rule of rounding down to the nearest dollar. Legislation is also being proposed that would offset social securi ty disability benefits against general fund financed benefits when beneficiaries receive both benefits—in the same way in which the trust fund financed benefits are currently treated. Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC).—This Govern ment corporation insures payment of pension benefits promised to workers by their private employers. When a bankrupt or financial ly weak employer closes a defined benefit pension plan, the corpo ration takes over the plan and pays its monthly retirement benefits up to a legal maximum. PBGC may advance money to an insolvent multi-employer plan to prevent termination, thereby forestalling the need to take over the plan. The Corporation’s revenues include premiums charged to all employers with defined benefit plans, earnings on investments, and collections from sponsors that termi nate plans. Although premiums have been recently increased, li abilities from terminated plans are exceeding income from all sources. PBGC’s deficit is expected to increase from $2.3 billion at the end of 1986 to $4.2 billion by the end of 1988. Payment of benefits will exceed cash income in 1988 and the Corporation will start depleting its already inadequate reserves. The budget reflects legislation that will be proposed to allow the Corporation to collect higher premiums from sponsors with under funded plans. The increased income would avoid depletion of the Corporation’s assets and reduce its deficit. The administration will also propose legislation to require improved funding of poorly fi nanced plans. Federal Employee Retirement and Disability.—Of the several em ployee retirement and disability programs in the legislative, judi cial, and executive branches of the Federal Government, the larg est are civil service retirement and disability and military retire ment. 5-121 INCOME SECURITY NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 5,541 4,589 4,405 230 4,311 411 4,310 463 2,213 1,170 .. .. 67 .. .. 87 1,563 -8 94 1,526 -16 103 1,473 -25 110 7,820 5,846 6,284 6,335 6,330 44,039 31,246 612 226 46,243 85 33,409 1,514 170 48,183 212 34,984 1,908 193 50,008 326 37,075 2,250 222 76,122 81,420 85,480 89,880 22,066 23,332 22,066 23,332 19,859 28 19,887 19,917 23 19,940 19,431 22 19,453 9,394 1,159 895 196 11,643 7,267 1,435 1,829 177 10,709 3,920 1,377 1,552 527 7,376 4,193 1,467 846 590 7,096 4,579 1,482 418 638 7,115 12,582 12,646 12,788 -278 12,950 -268 13,273 -202 6,221 18,803 6,699 -73 19,272 6,954 -860 18,604 7,370 7,785 -942 -1,034 19,110 19,821 10,171 10,856 12,303 12,102 11,771 9,899 10,414 1,415 403 2,281 1,491 340 2,076 10,244 -468 2,910 253 1,423 10,108 -528 3,961 244 1,424 10,696 -382 3,964 226 1,425 BUDGET AUTHORITY General retirement and disability insurance (exclud ing social security): Railroad retirement: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Special benefits for disabled coal miners-. Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, General retirement and disabil ity insurance (excluding social secu rity) .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . ... .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal employee retirement and disability: Civilian retirement and disability programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 43,296 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Military retirement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 29,896 Thrift investment fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal employees workers’ compensation (FECA) ... .. .. 266 Subtotal, Federal employee retirement and disability.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 73,458 Unemployment compensation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed Legislation.. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Unemployment compensation.. . Housing assistance: Subsidized housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Public housing operating subsidies.. Low-rent public housing loans.. .. .. Other housing assistance.. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Housing assistance. Food and nutrition assistance: Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico-. Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Child nutrition and other programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Food and nutrition assistance. Other income security: Supplemental security income (SSI).. Family support payments: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. Earned income tax credit (EITC).. .. Refugee assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 5-122 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY—Continued (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Estimate Major missions and programs 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 Subtotal, Other income security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 24,170 25,177 26,665 27,311 27,700 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 157,960 160,458 160,236 165,273 170,300 Civilian Retirement and Disability Programs,—The civil service retirement and disability system covers most of the Federal Gov ernment’s 2.7 million civilian employees. Under existing law, ap proximately 2.0 million retirees and survivors will receive pay ments in 1987 totaling an estimated $26.7 billion in outlays. Bene fits are paid to former employees who meet eligibility requirements based on age and length of service, and to their survivors. Current ly, full retirement benefits can begin at age 55 for employees with 30 years of service under the civil service retirement system (CSRS); however, under the new Federal employee retirement system (FERS), that retirement age will gradually increase to age 57. Benefit levels under the CSRS are based on the employee’s 3 highest salary years and are indexed to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). CSRS participants and their employing agencies each con tribute 7 percent of wages toward retirement costs. The new FERS was enacted in 1986 for employees hired on or after January 1, 1984. The FERS more closely resembles pension systems in the private sector and reduces the overly generous features in CSRS. The administration proposes that CSRS retirement benefits be brought more in line with FERS. While only a tiny fraction of all private pensions are fully and automatically adjusted for inflation, the CSRS continues to have full indexation to the CPI. The admin istration proposes legislation to limit future cost-of-living adjust ments (COLAs) to the percentage changes in the CPI minus 1 percentage point. This proposal would be virtually identical to the COLA provided under the defined benefit portion of the FERS for employees retiring at age 62 and beyond. The budget also seeks repeal of the lump-sum withdrawal provi sions in both CSRS and FERS, which enables employees to with draw all their contributions toward retirement in a lump sum at retirement. Military Retirement,—Approximately 1.6 million military retir ees and survivors will receive an estimated $18.9 billion in outlays under existing law in 1988. Normal retirement eligibility is at tained at 20 years of service. The initial benefit is 2.5 percent of final basic pay for each year of service. For personnel entering 5-123 INCOME SECURITY NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING INCOME SECURITY (Functional code 600; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1989 1990 OUTLAYS General retirement and disability insurance (exclud ing social security): Railroad retirement: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Special benefits for disabled coal miners: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation: Existing law.. .. .. . .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, General retirement and disability insur ance (excluding social security).. .. .. .. .... .. .. . 3,755 3,855 3,851 65 4,008 44 4,157 30 1,616 1,611 1,573 -8 1,531 -16 1,477 -25 -106 -4 64 82 172 -347 90 185 -355 99 199 -245 106 5,330 5,543 5,396 5,497 5,698 24,237 26,696 17,621 266 -760 17,953 -644 226 -679 41,363 43,551 42,905 45,504 48,172 17,753 17,983 17,753 17,983 17,769 -92 17,677 17,630 -120 17,510 18,042 -106 17,936 10,041 9,472 1,181 1,018 144 12,383 1,344 1,872 256 12,944 10,170 -60 1,489 1,605 188 13,392 11,361 -150 1,424 918 196 13,749 12,134 -150 1,472 495 235 14,186 12,443 12,731 12,782 -277 12,942 -267 13,265 -200 6,159 18,602 6,698 -68 19,362 6,921 -788 18,638 7,332 7,745 -941 -1,033 19,066 19,777 10,345 10,947 12,303 12,102 11,771 9,877 10,607 ........... 379 2,099 25,522 10,244 -468 2,910 288 1,499 26,776 10,108 -528 3,961 251 1,444 27,338 10,696 -382 3,964 233 1,426 27,709 124,905 124,784 128,664 133,478 Federal employee retirement and disability: Civilian retirement and disability programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Military retirement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Thrift investment fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal employees workers’ compensation (FECA).. .. .. . Federal employees life insurance fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Federal employee retirement and dis ability.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Unemployment compensation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Unemployment compensation.. .. .. .. .. .. . 27,874 29,371 30,964 -1,505 -1,686 -1,880 18,887 19,936 21,012 -1,828 -1,599 -1,401 193 170 222 -694 -711 -745 Housing assistance: Subsidized housing: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Public housing operating subsidies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Low-rent public housing loans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other housing assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Housing assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Food and nutrition assistance: Food stamps and aid to Puerto Rico: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Child nutrition and other programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Food and nutrition assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. Other income security: Supplemental security income (SSI).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Family support payments: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Earned income tax credit (EITC).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Refugee assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Other income security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ "$500 thousand or less. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 1,415 435 2,293 24,364 119,796 5-124 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 after September 1980, the average of the member’s highest 3 years of basic pay will be used, as specified by current law, instead of final basic pay. Benefits are indexed to the CPI. Under legislation enacted in 1986, persons entering the military after August 1, 1986 will be subject to a reduction in their initial annuity for retirement with less than 30 years of service. Their initial annuity at 20 years will be reduced to 40 percent of the average of the member’s highest 3 years of basic pay, with the annuity rising 3.5 percentage points with each additional year of service to the full 75 percent for retirement at 30 years. These reduced annuities will be restored to their former levels when the retiree reaches age 62. This new class of beneficiaries will also receive a COLA equal to the CPI minus 1 percent for life, subject to a one-time restoral of purchasing power at age 62. Disability retirees and survivor benefits will not be affected by the reduction in initial annuities, but will be subject to the revised COLA formula. The budget provides for full cost-ofliving adjustments for military retirees in 1988 and 1989. Also, military personnel will continue to make contributions to and be eligible for social security. Thrift Savings Fund.—Part of the new retirement system (FERS), the thrift savings fund is a tax-deferred, voluntary savings plan to which Federal employees may contribute up to 10 percent of their salary and receive matching government contributions of up to 5 percent of their salary. Employees covered by the old retirement system (CSRS) may also contribute up to 5 percent of their salaries to the fund and receive tax deferral benefits, but they receive no matching contributions. The budget estimates for the thrift savings fund assume no policy changes in the basic law as passed and modified by Congress last year. Because the fund is not yet operational and Federal employee participation rates are still speculative, actual receipts and expenditures could vary significant ly from these estimates in this budget. Federal Employees Workers' Compensation.—The Department of Labor provides tax-free cash and medical benefits to Federal em ployees or their survivors for job-related injuries, illnesses, or deaths. About 48,000 workers with long-term disabilities, or their survivors, will receive monthly payments in 1987 and 1988. Unemployment Compensation—About 97 percent of wage and salaried employment in the United States is covered by unemploy ment compensation programs, which pay benefits to individuals who are temporarily out of work and are searching for jobs. Based on the economic assumptions described in Part 3a, an average of 2.3 million workers per week will receive unemployment benefits during 1987 and 2.2 million workers in 1988. Therefore, outlays are INCOME SECURITY 5-125 estimated to decline from $18.0 billion in 1987 to $17.7 billion in 1988. Regular benefits, usually paid for up to 26 weeks, are financed by a State tax on employers and vary according to benefit levels set by each State. Extended unemployment benefits, which increase by 50 percent the number of weeks an unemployed worker can receive unemployment compensation, are payable in States with high rates of unemployment among covered individuals, as defined by statute. The total number of weeks of regular and extended benefits may not exceed 39. Extended benefits are financed in equal portions by State and Federal taxes on employers. Benefits paid to former Federal civilian and military employees are financed by the Federal agency that employed them. Addition al benefits are available to workers in specific circumstances, such as former Conrail employees. As part of the proposed changeover to a comprehensive dislocated worker assistance program, weekly benefits provided under the trade adjustment assistance program for workers affected by imports would be eliminated beginning in 1988. Discussed in the education, training, employment, and social services section, the new program would be tied closely to the unemployment compensation program and would provide workers (whose jobs have been eliminated because of imports or other causes) with special help in finding new work. Under the proposed legislation, workers collecting trade adjustment assistance benefits at the end of 1987 would remain eligible to collect benefits in 1988. Legislation will be proposed to decentralize authority, financing, and responsibility for administering State unemployment insur ance and employment service programs to the States. Based on an extensive consultative process involving all interested groups, the legislation will answer the many questions raised by States and others over the equity of current Federal allocation of administra tive resources, the adequacy of the resources provided, and lack of flexibility provided for States to use resources to meet their re quirements. This decentralization will place administrative policy, financing, and decision making at the same level of government that is already responsible for unemployment insurance benefit policy, financing, and decision making. The Department of Labor will retain its current responsibilities of ensuring that State pro grams meet the general requirements of Federal law and of financ ing the costs of State administration of Federal programs. The administration proposes to ensure comprehensive unemploy ment insurance coverage for rail workers by extending FederalState unemployment insurance coverage to railroad employment beginning in 1988 with a transitional program. Under this propos al, all rail workers becoming unemployed after September 30, 1987, would be eligible for the generally higher maximum weekly bene 5-126 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 fits available under the Federal-State program. Railroads would reimburse States for the costs of benefits paid during the transi tion, allowing States time to gain experience with railroad employ ment before regular State unemployment insurance contributions from the railroads begin. This proposal would speed repayment of the rail sickness and unemployment fund’s debts to the rail pen sion fund. Housing Assistance.—The Federal Government provides housing subsidies for low-income families and individuals through several programs administered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) and the Department of Agriculture (USDA). Eligibility for HUD assistance is generally limited to households with annual incomes below 50 percent of median income in each community. The Agriculture Department’s Farmers Home Admin istration (FmHA) programs serve households with incomes up to 80 percent of the median income, although this would change under the 1988 budget proposals. By the end of 1986, 6.3 million house holds, or 18 million people, were receiving housing assistance. By the end of 1988, the number of assisted households will grow to 6.5 million, reflecting the completion of units under construction, the occupancy of other units funded in 1986 and prior years, and the utilization of units recommended in the budget for 1987 and 1988. The 6.5 million units (4.3 million are HUD-assisted units; 2.2 mil lion are USDA-assisted units) reflect an increase of more than 2.0 million units since 1980. Whereas most of HUD’s subsidized housing programs focus on low-income renters, 60 percent of FmHA’s assisted units since 1980 have been for homeownership. Under the section 502 program, very-low-interest mortgages are provided to households to encour age their owning homes. By its very design, this program excludes very-low-income renters, often those households with the most severe housing need. The other major housing program operated by FmHA (section 515) provides loans for building new rental projects in rural areas. In addition, some of the tenants in these rental projects receive additional rental subsidies from either HUD, FmHA, or other State programs. Data on housing quality indicators and vacancy rates in non-metropolitan areas suggest, however, that the rental housing inventory has improved significantly over the last decade, and rental vacancy rates continue to be higher than in metropolitan areas. Because of the recognition that the primary housing deficiency in rural areas is not a physical shortage of adequate units, insuffi cient homeownership among the low-income, or failure of housing market financial institutions, the 1988 budget proposes to re-orient policy away from the current approach which emphasizes these INCOME SECURITY 5-127 goals. Instead, the main problem in rural and metropolitan areas is income deficiency, a problem most efficiently addressed with hous ing vouchers. As reflected in the budget, housing vouchers are the cornerstone of the administration’s housing policy both in rural and non-rural areas. Vouchers, unlike new construction subsidies, address the main housing problem faced by low-income households: insufficient income to afford decent housing. Vouchers are targeted to the verylow-income households, can be used in most privately-owned rental units that meet certain housing quality standards, and are less costly than other housing subsidies for low-income households. Vouchers provide tenants with greater freedom to choose where they wish to live, including the opportunity to live in better neigh borhoods with access to higher quality schools and services. The evidence suggests that in many cases, voucher recipients choose to move into better neighborhoods. The budget proposes to fund 102,000 additional units in 1988: 99,000 are vouchers or rental subsidies for tenants to use in the private market; the other 3,000 units are subsidies for construction of new units for Indian (1,000) and elderly or handicapped house holds (2,000). Of the 99,000 vouchers, 79,000 will be funded through and administered by HUD. Between 20 percent and 25 percent of the vouchers will be issued in non-metropolitan areas. The other 20,000 vouchers will be funded through FmHA and given to house holds living in rural areas. With the exception of the 3,000 units for Indians and elderly/handicapped households, no units are pro posed to be constructed with Federal subsidies in HUD or FmHA. The budget assumes a 100,000 housing unit program through 1989 and 1992 with the same program mix divided between HUD and FmHA. The proposed 1988 subsidized housing program re quires $3.92 billion in budget authority for HUD and $378 million in budget authority for FmHA. The HUD budget reflects an esti mated $60 million in cost-savings from the passage of income verifi cation legislation. The budget also includes a rescission of HUD funding totaling $473 million for programs over-funded relative to need, including $109.6 million for HUD’s rental development grants. This program supports, via a large subsidy, the construction of new rental units. Given currently high rental vacancy rates, it is not possible to justify a poorly targeted, new rental construction program. The remaining components of the proposed rescission package include $125 million from rental rehabilitation grants and $238.8 million from the section 8 moderate rehabilitation program. It also in cludes a rescission of about $1.5 billion in rural housing loan and grant funds appropriated for 1987 to the FmHA. 5-128 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The administration also proposes increasing the similarity be tween section 8 certificates for existing housing and vouchers, both of which rely on the private market to supply rental units. Howev er, the section 8 program is more restrictive since its tenants must occupy only units that rent for less than the HUD-established “fair market rent.” In addition, section 8 tenants must pay 30 percent of their income for rent, so there is no incentive to shop for a lower cost but acceptable quality unit. These reforms would give the section 8 participants the same freedom of choice and access to housing as voucher recipients. CREDIT PROGRAMS—INCOME SECURITY (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual Direct loans: Low-rent public housing: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 1989 1990 -35 2,111 -37 2,074 -39 2,035 -42 1,993 -44 1,949 3 —2 18 4 —2 16 3 —2 14 3 —2 11 3 -3 9 3 -37 4 -39 3 -42 3 -44 3 -47 Outstandings.............................................. 2,129 2,090 2,049 2,005 1,958 Guaranteed loans: Low-rent public housing: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -275 8,612 -312 8,300 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3 4 Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -339 7,961 3 -367 7,594 3 -394 7,200 3 Also proposed is a project to test ways of providing more choices in subsidized housing by linking the public housing and voucher programs at the local level. Public housing tenants would have access to vouchers to use for public housing or for the private rental market. Voucher holders, including individuals not current ly residing in public housing, could use their vouchers to live in public housing. Public housing and its tenants would thus be inte grated into a community’s overall housing market. Publicly owned rental housing is provided by public housing agencies and Indian housing authorities (PHAs and IHAs). The budget includes $1.4 billion in budget authority for operating subsi dies for almost 1.4 million public and Indian housing units. In 1986, legislation was passed to forgive outstanding direct loans for public and Indian housing construction or modernization. In addition, the legislation also provided that all new direct loans be INCOME SECURITY 5-129 forgiven at the end of the fiscal year when construction is complet ed. In 1987, $5.4 billion of direct loan outlays will be forgiven at the end of the fiscal year. In 1987, the administration proposes modernization funding of $1 billion for capital needs. In 1988, the budget again requests $1 billion for capital needs using a direct grant financing mechanism, but will only need $0.6 billion in new budget authority by using $0.4 billion of proposed carryover from 1987. The proposed $1 bil lion represents a 41 percent increase over 1986 capital funding levels ($0.7 billion). These large funding levels reflect the adminis tration’s emphasis on renovating present public housing stock before constructing new units. Food and Nutrition Assistance.—Low- and middle-income families and individuals receive food and nutrition assistance through a number of Federal programs. Food Stamps and Aid to Puerto Rico.—Food stamps help lowerincome families maintain a nutritious diet. Eligible households receive monthly allotments of stamps based on income and house hold size to finance food purchases. Benefits are entirely Federally funded; administrative costs are shared by the States and the Federal Government. Each year, benefits are adjusted for changes in the cost-of-living, with the next adjustment scheduled for Octo ber 1987. Each month, an estimated 19.3 million people will receive food stamps during 1988, with associated Federal outlays of $11.7 billion under proposed law. Outlays for nutrition assistance for Puerto Rico are estimated to be $826 million in 1988. In aid to families with dependent children (AFDC) and medicaid, the States are held liable for the full dollar value of erroneous payments above a 3 percent tolerance level, while in food stamps, they are held liable for only a fraction of erroneous payments above 5 percent. As a result, States are responsible for repaying the Federal Government only one-tenth of the approximately $920 million in food stamps they issued erroneously during 1984. The administration proposes that food stamps be brought into closer conformity with medicaid and AFDC. Beginning in 1988, States would be held liable for the full dollar value of erroneous benefits issued above 5 percent, equal to only one-third of their total errone ous payments. The administration is also proposing to withhold food stamp liabilities from grants to States. As in medicaid, at the beginning of the fiscal year Federal grants to States would be adjusted for each State’s estimated erroneous payment above the national food stamp error tolerance rate of 5 percent. Withholding liabilities would greatly improve collections; to date only $1.3 million of approxi mately $100 million in outstanding State liabilities have been col 5-130 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 lected. As States improve their benefit issuance systems and error rates fall, Federal withholdings would also fall. Child Nutrition and Other Programs.—The child nutrition pro grams subsidize institutions for meals served to students in schools, child care facilities, and other institutional settings. Schools receive cash and commodity subsidies for meals served to all students, regardless of income level. In 1987, schools and other institutions will be given $4.5 billion in cash and commodities to subsidize meals served to students. Of that amount, $705 million will subsi dize institutions for meals served to students from families whose income levels are above 185 percent of the poverty level. The administration proposes to better target Federal funds to the needy by maintaining institutional subsidies for meals served to students whose family income are below 185 percent of the poverty level. The proposal would discontinue subsidies to students with family incomes above that level. Under this proposal, nearly 13 million needy students would be given federally subsidized free and reduced price meals in 1988, for total program costs of $4.0 billion. Limiting the subsidy to students who need it would save $757 million in 1988. Other proposals to conform coverage, reimburse ment rates, and administrative expenses among the programs would save an additional $89 million in 1988. The supplemental nutritional assistance program for women, in fants, and children (WIC) provides food supplements and nutrition education to more than three million low-income women, infants, and children determined to be at nutritional risk. WIC is designed to lessen health problems associated with inadequate diets during the critical early stages of child development, especially pre-natal. Federal funding for the program has expanded rapidly in recent years, more than doubling since 1980. The administration request of $1.7 billion in budget authority for 1988 is $24 million above the 1987 level, and would maintain monthly participation levels above 3 million. Related Food Assistance Programs in Other Functions.—The Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC) donates surplus food, such as cheese, butter, and nonfat dry milk, for distribution to food banks, charitable institutions, and schools. Acquired as part of the agricul tural price support programs, CCC commodities valued at $1.3 bil lion are expected to be donated in 1988. Other Income Security.—A number of other income security pro grams assist the poor. Estimated outlays for these programs are $26.8 billion in 1988. Supplemental Security Income (SSI).—This program will make cash payments to an estimated four million needy aged, blind, or INCOME SECURITY 5-131 disabled persons in 1988. Benefits are to be automatically increased in January 1988 by the same percentage as social security benefits. Federal outlays in 1988 are for 13 months of benefit payments, and are estimated at $12.3 billion. Some States also finance supple ments to the basic Federal grant, which may be administered by the Federal Government at no charge to the States. The adminis tration proposes no changes to this program. Family Support Payments to States.—Aid to families with de pendent children (AFDC) helps State and local governments fi nance cash assistance to needy families. States administer the AFDC program, determining guidelines for eligibility and the level of benefits within broad Federal rules. The Federal Government reimburses States for, on average, slightly more than half of the benefit costs. Child support enforcement (CSE) finances most State and local administrative expenses for establishing paternity and collecting support from legally liable absent parents. These collec tions offset State and Federal AFDC costs. Federal outlays to States for AFDC and CSE are estimated to be $9.8 billion in 1988, compared with $10.6 billion in 1987. About 3.8 million families are expected to receive AFDC benefits in 1988 under current law. Child support collections on behalf of about 0.8 million of these families are also anticipated. The administration proposes legislation to achieve selected re forms of AFDC. Under a new AFDC work and training proposal, teenage recipients would be encouraged to remain in or return to school; older recipients would participate in a variety of employ ment and training activities designed to improve their employment status. The unsuccessful work incentive (WIN) program terminated by Congress—classified in the education, training, employment, and social services function—would be replaced by this reform. Other changes would prohibit unmarried minor mothers from leav ing their parents’ home solely to qualify for AFDC, and would eliminate payments to employable AFDC parents whose youngest child is age 16 or older. In addition, States would be required to establish mandatory child support guidelines to help ensure that single-parent families receive adequate support from parents who are absent from the home. The administration also proposes legislation to reform Federal funding for State and local administrative costs in AFDC and CSE. A uniform Federal matching rate for all types of administrative costs would be phased in over several years. In addition, the AFDC matching rate would be reduced for States with excessively high administrative costs per recipient. Similar changes are proposed for medicaid (discussed in the health function) and food stamps. Other administrative reforms include accelerating the recovery of State 5-132 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 AFDC overpayments and linking State CSE incentive payments to minimum levels of cost-effectiveness. These AFDC and CSE reforms would save an estimated $554 million in Federal outlays in 1988. Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC).—Wage earners with children are eligible for tax credits if they earn less than $13,500 now and $17,000 beginning in 1988. When the credit exceeds a wage earner’s income tax liability, the Treasury Department makes a cash pay ment. Credits can be received as additions to paychecks or as a lump sum at the end of the year. Total 1988 outlays for these payments are estimated to be $2.9 billion. When the credit does not exceed the wage earner’s tax liability, no direct Treasury payment is made and the credit is considered a tax expenditure rather than an outlay. In 1988, the EITC tax expenditure is estimated to be $1.6 million. Refugee Assistance.—The Federal Government fully subsidizes States for initial costs associated with refugee and entrant resettle ment, including preventive health activities, cash and medical as sistance, employment, and English language training. Estimated 1988 outlays are $288 million. Assistance is intended to help refu gees become self-sufficient as soon as possible after they arrive in the United States. Aid to refugees while they are overseas is dis cussed in the international affairs function. The administration plans to reduce subsidies to States for cash and medical assistance provided to refugees. Benefits paid to refu gees would not be reduced, as States would pick up the normal State share of program costs. The administration also proposes to reduce the time period for which refugees may receive Federal assistance that is not available to similarly situated U.S. citizens. Low-Income Home Energy Assistance.—The Department of Health and Human Services gives States block grants to help pay the fuel bills of low-income families. States can make direct cash payments to eligible families, payments to fuel vendors, or pay ments to public housing building operators. The States may also finance weatherization of homes for some low-income families. For 1988, the administration requests low-income home energy assist ance budget authority of $1.2 billion, in recognition of the hundreds of millions of dollars in oil overcharge settlements available to States for these purposes. Related programs for low-income home weatherization and energy conservation for schools and hospitals are financed by the Department of Energy, and are discussed in the energy function. Tax Expenditures.—Federal tax laws encourage provision for re tirement income by excluding from employee taxable income their 5-133 INCOME SECURITY employer’s contributions to pension plans and by allowing individ uals to exclude their own contributions to individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and Keogh accounts. The maximum IRA contribu tion is limited to $2,000 annually. However, individuals are allowed to make it a tax deductible contribution after 1986 only if (1) they and their spouses, in the case of joint returns, are not active participants in an employer-maintained retirement plan, or (2) their adjusted gross income is below a specified amount. Those individuals who do not meet either restriction may still make nondeductible contributions and defer taxes on the earnings until the funds are withdrawn. Married taxpayers whose spouses have no earnings may invest in a spousal IRA as well. The total invested in both accounts may not exceed $2,250, with no more than $2,000 in any single account. The deductibility of contributions and the deferrral of taxes on the earnings result in tax expenditures. TAX EXPENDITURES FOR INCOME SECURITY (Outlay equivalents; in millions of dollars) Description Estimates 1986 Net exclusion of pension contribution earnings: Employer plans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 71,940 Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 22,470 Keogh plans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 3,730 Exclusion of other employee benefits: Premiums on group term life insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,960 175 Premiums on accident and disability insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 30 Income of trust to finance supplementary umemployment benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Additional exemption for elderly.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,785 Additional deduction for the elderly.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 35 Additional exemption for the blind.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . ... .. .. .. . Additional deduction for the blind.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 110 Tax credit for the elderly and disabled.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 120 Exclusion of military disability pensions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 420 Exclusion of railroad retirement system benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 145 Exclusion of special benefits for disabled coal miners.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2,500 Exclusion of workmen’s compensation benefits.. . .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,080 Exclusion of untaxed unemployment insurance benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .... 270 Deductability of casualty losses.. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 580 Exclusion of public assistance benefits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 700 Earned income credit1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total (after interactions) income security2.. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 107,850 1987 1988 64,505 15,150 2,820 58,185 11,635 1,715 2,730 160 30 710 810 10 10 105 110 400 130 2,425 270 230 490 1,110 90,360 2,485 160 30 1,150 10 90 105 370 115 2,270 225 355 1,595 78,885 1 The figures in the table indicate the tax subsidies provided by the earned income tax credit. The effect on outlays is: 1986, $1,415 million; 1987, $1,491 million; 1988 $2,910 million. 2 The estimate of total tax expenditures for this function reflects interactive effects among the individual items. Therefore, the estimates cannot simply be added. Many tax expenditures related to income security programs result from Government benefits not being included in the taxable income of recipients. For example, workers’ compensation benefits, and other income security assistance for the needy are excluded from taxable income. Part of unemployment compensation benefits paid prior to January 1, 1987, were not taxed. In contrast, Federal 5-134 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 employee retirement benefits are subject to tax and therefore, are not tax expenditures. The largest tax expenditure item in this function is the net exclusion of pension contributions and earnings, including contributions to IRAs and similar pension plans. SOCIAL SECURITY 5-135 SOCIAL SECURITY The Federal Government contributes to the income security of aged and disabled Americans through social security, which is comprised of old-age and survivors insurance (OASI) and disability insurance (DI) programs. Social security represents about one-fifth of estimated total Federal outlays in 1988 and provides benefits to one in every six Americans. The administration proposes no changes in social security bene fits. Social security affects most Americans, either through benefits received or through payroll taxes deducted from earnings. In almost all cases, beneficiaries paid into the system during their working years to help support these programs. The average benefit for a retired worker and spouse will be about $10,000 in 1987—an increase of nearly $3,200 over the 1981 level. Outlays for the com bined OASDI programs are estimated to increase from $207.9 bil lion in 1987 to $219.4 billion in 1988, primarily because of benefit increases tied to the consumer price index and increases in the number of beneficiaries. This function is composed not only of the two off-budget social security expenditure accounts, but of a number of intragovernmental transactions (i.e., payments from accounts within the govern ment to other accounts within the government). The principal intragovernmental transactions are the payments from the general fund to the social security trust funds, which in 1988 amount to an estimated $5.5 billion of Federal fund outlays and trust fund offset ting collections. As discussed in Part 4—Federal Receipts by Source—the admin istration is proposing to extend social security coverage to certain groups and types of earnings, which is estimated to increase re ceipts by $2.4 billion in 1988 and $3.5 billion in 1989 and 1990. Tax Expenditures.—The exclusion from income tax of a portion of social security benefits, including those for dependents and sur vivors, results in a 1988 estimated tax expenditure of $16.6 billion. Up to one-half of social security benefits are subject to tax. This provision affects single taxpayers whose incomes exceed $25,000, and married taxpayers who file jointly and have incomes exceeding $32,000. The threshold for married taxpayers filing separately is zero. 5-136 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: SOCIAL SECURITY (Functional code 650; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Social security: Old-age and survivors insurance (OASI)— Off-budget: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Old-age and survivors insurance (OASI)— On-budget: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Disability insurance (DI)—Off-budget: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Disability insurance (DI)—On-budget.. .. .. .. Interfund transactions (Off-budget).. .. .. .. .. . Interfund transactions (On-budget).. .. .. .. .. . Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 183,055 207,743 236,399 473 259,320 708 281,807 791 -854 -542 -560 -1 -604 —2 -585 —2 22,718 20,237 -45 -8,971 5,760 -53 -5,603 5,603 22,759 42 -54 -5,497 5,497 24,767 67 -58 -6,101 6,101 28,996 80 -59 -6,009 6,009 201,662 227,384 259,058 284,198 311,028 179,412 187,699 198,461 1 210,618 2 223,803 2 -854 -542 -560 -1 -604 —2 -585 —2 22,522 -5 -58 -6,101 6,101 23,621 -6 -59 -6,009 6,009 232,473 246,774 (5,437) (4,861) (5,008) (4,882) (5,363) (196,802) (222,377) (254,176) (278,761) (305,665) OUTLAYS Social security: Old-age and survivors insurance (OASI)— Off-budget: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Old-age and survivors insurance (OASI)— On-budget: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Disability insurance (DI)—Off-budget: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Disability insurance (D,)—On-budget.. .. .. .. Interfund transactions (Off-budget).. .. .. .. .. Interfund transactions (On-budget).. .. .. .. .. . 20,243 20,761 -45 -8,971 8,971 -53 -5,603 5,603 21,546 -5 -54 -5,497 5,497 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 198,757 207,865 219,388 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (5,437) (4,882) (5,008) (5,363) (8,072) (190,684) (202,857) (214,506) (227,035) (241,411) VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-137 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES Federal benefits and services for veterans and their survivors recognize the sacrifices that wartime and peacetime veterans made in military service. Benefits compensate for presumed loss of earn ings resulting from service-related disabilities, provide medical care for physical and psychological disabilities, and assist returning vet erans to prepare themselves for reentry into civilian life. In addi tion, veterans benefits provide financial assistance to needy veter ans of wartime service and their survivors. Outlays for veterans benefits and services are estimated at $26.7 billion in 1987 and $27.2 billion in 1988. The budget implements the major reforms in Veterans Adminis tration (VA) medical care enacted in the Veterans Health Care Amendments of 1986. These sustain quality care, maintain medical care at no charge to veterans with service-connected disabilities and low and moderate incomes, and provide for collecting reim bursements from third-party insurers. The budget also proposes to ensure full and timely increases in veterans compensation benefits by indexing the cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) to the annual change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Income Security for Veterans.—In addition to Federal income security programs for the general population, such as social securi ty and unemployment insurance, several VA programs help certain veterans and their survivors maintain their income when the vet eran is disabled, aged, or deceased. Outlays for this purpose are estimated to increase from $15.1 billion in 1987 to $15.2 billion in 1988. Service-Connected Compensation.—Veterans with disabilities re sulting from military service receive monthly compensation pay ments scaled to the degree of disability. The payment is made regardless of the veteran’s income or age. The amount depends on the average reduction in earnings capacity that is presumed for different individuals with the same degree of disability. Survivors of veterans who die from service-connected injuries also receive payments in the form of death and indemnity compensation. In 1987, benefits were increased by 1.5 percent. The administration is proposing legislation to link the veterans compensation COLA to the annual change in the CPI. This legisla tion would ensure that veterans with service-connected disabilities and survivors of veterans who died from service-connected condi tions would receive full and timely adjustments to their benefits, protecting them from the erosion of their benefits and the uncer tainties of an annually legislated COLA. For 1988, this adjustment is expected to be 3.5 percent. Allowances provided to compensate 5-138 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 beneficiaries for dependents and clothing would be indexed similarlyThe number of veterans and survivors of deceased veterans re ceiving compensation benefits is expected to decline from 2.6 mil lion in 1986 to 2.5 million by 1989. However, because of the pro posed cost-of-living adjustment, outlays for compensation benefits are estimated to increase from $10.5 billion in 1987 to $10.6 billion in 1988. Non-Service-Connected Pensions.—Pensions are provided to lowincome wartime-service veterans—combat and non-combat veterans alike—who are 65 or older, or who have become permanently and totally disabled subsequent to their military service. Survivors of wartime-service veterans also may qualify for pension benefits based on financial need. A 1.3 percent cost-of-living increase became effective with the January 1987 payments. The next cost-ofliving increase, effective with the January 1988 payments, is esti mated to be 3.5 percent. Although the number of veterans age 65 and over is expected to double during the 1980’s, the number of pension recipients is ex pected to decline from 1.3 million in 1987 to 1.2 million in 1988, because veterans over age 65 increasingly have higher incomes. Outlays for veterans pensions are estimated at $3.8 billion in both 1987 and 1988. Burial and Other Benefits.—Families of deceased veterans who received pension or compensation benefits and who are to be buried in private cemeteries may receive burial benefits to assist in defraying funeral expenses of the veteran. Legislation will be pro posed to similarly target existing allowances that apply toward the purchase of burial plots to families of these same veterans. Because of this change, outlays for burial and related benefits are estimated to decrease from $136 million in 1987 to $106 million in 1988. Insurance Programs.—Life insurance programs that assist veter ans and their survivors will continue to provide in excess of $150 billion of coverage to nearly eight million veterans and active duty personnel in 1988. Policy loans, in which veterans borrow against their policy equity, are expected to increase slightly from $65.0 million in 1987 to $65.1 million in 1988. Capitalized interest from policy loans is expected to decrease from $62.1 million to $59.7 million. 5-139 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING VETERANS BENEFITS ANO SERVICES (Functional code 700; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 10,430 10,489 3,850 3,828 10,352 301 3,841 10,200 670 3,879 10,040 1,051 3,926 129 128 1,367 1,372 142 -36 1,375 146 -36 1,369 151 -37 1,358 29 22 -443' 15,363 -405’ 15,433 30 4 -404 15,605 26 4 -392 15,868 25 5 -379 16,139 896 741 626 -20 582 -56 452 -178 -105 ......... -178 -186 223 -128 171 14 28 826 563 642 569 316 390 -390 300 -300 343 -343 BUDGET AUTHORITY Income security for veterans: Service-connected compensation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Non-service-connected pensions.. .. .. .. .. .. Burial and other benefits: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . National service life insurance trust fund.. All other insurance programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Insurance program receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Income security for veterans.. Veterans education, training, and rehabili tation: Readjustment benefits (Gl Bill and related programs): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Post-Vietnam era education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . All-volunteer force educational assistance trust fund: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Veterans jobs program.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Veterans housing: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. Subtotal, Veterans housing.. 200 200 Other veterans benefits and services: Cemeteries, administration of veterans bene fits, and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Non-VA support programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Other veterans benefits and services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Hospital and medical care for veterans: Medical care and hospital services.. .. .. .. .. . Construction.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Medical administration, research, and other.. Third-party reimbursement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Hospital and medical care for veterans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, budget authority.. "$500 thousand or less. 731 68 784 75 831 54 818 59 811 57 799 859 885 877 868 9,130 601 233 9,554 531 256 -65 9,968 568 249 -250 10,213 772 243 -265 10,405 794 239 -275 9,964 10,275 10,534 10,963 11,163 27,151 27,130 27,666 28,277 28,486 5-140 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: PROVIDING VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES (Functional code 700; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 10,426 ............ 10,499 10,369 271 3,840 10,210 640 3,874 10,053 1,019 3,921 122 ............. 136 ............. 142 -36 1,086 146 -36 1,124 151 -37 1,159 14 -29 —443 15,031 -405 15,079 -23 4 -404 15,248 -17 4 -392 15,553 -8 5 -379 15,883 918 756 -99 .. . —8 646 -20 18 590 -55 48 464 -173 68 -321 -413 .. .. 34 .. .. . 42 -300 194 -30 —4 169 -150 -6 -6 -6 —7 -7 526 372 537 543 371 163 -29 -20 114 278 -91 -37 -19 131 254 -390 -30 153 -13 308 -398 -26 350 -372 -25 -116 -47 764 49 772 70 821 67 817 58 811 57 813 841 888 875 869 Medical care and hospital services.. .. .. .. .. .. Construction.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Medical administration, research, and other.., Third-party reimbursement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Hospital and medical care for veterans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 9,095 539 238 9,426 638 257 -65 9,848 650 252 -250 10,091 653 244 -265 10,281 672 240 -275 9,872 10,257 10,499 10,724 10,918 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 26,356 26,679 27,160 27,580 27,994 OUTLAYS Income security for veterans: Service-connected compensation.Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Non-service-connected pensions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Burial and other benefits: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .... .. National service life insurance trust fund.. .. All other insurance programs: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Insurance program receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Income security for veterans.. 3,830 Veterans education, training, and rehabili tation: Readjustment benefits (Gl Bill and related programs): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Post-Vietnam era education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. All-volunteer force educational assistance trust fund: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Veterans jobs program.................................... Other: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Veterans education, training, and rehabilitation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 5 Veterans housing: Loan guaranty revolving fund: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Direct loan revolving fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other (HUD participation sales trust fund).... Subtotal, Veterans housing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other veterans benefits and services: Cemeteries, administration of veterans bene fits, and other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Non-VA support programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Other veterans benefits and services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Hospital and medical care for veterans: '$500 thousand or less. VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-141 Veterans Education, Training, and Rehabilitation.—Several Fed eral programs support job training and finance education for the general population including veterans, and several programs are run by the Department of Labor exclusively for veterans. In addi tion, three VA programs—the Vietnam-era GI bill, the post-Vietnam era education program, and the all-volunteer force education al assistance test program (the new GI bill)—provide education, training, and rehabilitation benefits to veterans and military per sonnel who meet specific eligibility criteria. The budget proposes to make the new GI bill a permanent Department of Defense (DOD) recruitment and retention program, and transfer funding responsi bility for its basic benefit to DOD, which already funds the pro gram’s specialty skill recruitment benefits. VA would continue to administer the new GI bill program, as it has the previous peace time all-volunteer education program. Outlays for these programs are estimated to decline from $756 million in 1987 to $626 million in 1988, because of a continued decline in the number of eligible beneficiaries and the legislative proposal to transfer funding re sponsibility for basic benefits under the new GI bill to DOD. GI Bill.—The GI bill provides education benefits—ranging from college courses to vocational and on-the-job training—to veterans and active duty military personnel who served, at least in part, between February 1, 1955 and December 31, 1976. This program assists beneficiaries in making the transition from military to civil ian life by helping them finance the education they might other wise have received during the time they were in military service. These benefits are also available to active duty personnel and to spouses and children of veterans who were totally disabled in mili tary service or died of service-connected conditions. More than 80 percent of all eligible Vietnam era veterans who live in the United States or Puerto Rico have used GI bill benefits. In 1988, GI bill trainees participating in the program are expected to total 226,200, compared with 282,800 in 1987. The number of GI bill trainees, including dependents, will continue to fall as the number of eligible veterans and military personnel becomes small er. Post- Vietnam Era Education —Individuals who entered military service after 1976 and before July 1985 are eligible for the postVietnam era education program, which allows them to set aside $25 to $100 from their monthly pay to finance future education. These funds are matched by the Government on a two-for-one basis and are returned to the beneficiary as education payments after discharge from the military. The VA administers this program, but it is funded by the DOD. Enrollment in this program was closed 5-142 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 temporarily in July 1985 and will be closed permanently as of March 1987. All-Volunteer Force Educational Assistance Program.—As re cruiting incentive, the DOD Authorization Act of 1984 established a test education program with a larger Federal contribution for individuals who enter the military between July 1985 and July 1988. In addition to a basic benefit, DOD may fund—and VA ad minister—additional educational assistance to retain military per sonnel or to help recruit individuals with critical skills or special ties. Because the Secretary of Defense has determined that educa tion benefits can assist in recruitment and retention, the adminis tration is proposing legislation to make this program permanent. As with other peacetime education programs for the all-volunteer force, under the President’s proposal DOD will fund—and VA will administer—the basic benefit as well. Veterans Housing.—In addition to mortgage assistance available to veterans through the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) insurance program, VA-guaranteed and direct loan programs are expected to assist 340,000 veterans in obtaining mortgages in 1988. Guaranteed loan commitments and direct loan obligations for mortgage loans in 1988 are estimated at $27.9 billion and $0.8 billion, respectively. The administration is proposing to charge origination fees for participation in Federal credit programs in order that the borrower share the cost of the Federal subsidy. These fees would be large enough to cover projected losses from default and obviate the need for future appropriations. In line with this initiative, legislation is being proposed to increase and make permanent the fee charged on VA-guaranteed housing loans and vendee loans from the current 1 percent to 2.5 percent of the mortgage amount. (Vendee loans are direct loans made to both veterans and non-veterans who purchase property that the VA has acquired through prior defaults.) The borrower would be able to add this amount to the mortgage. Veter ans with service-connected disabilities would continue to be exempt from the fee. This change would be effective in June 1987, before the current fee expires in September 1987. The administration will continue to seek enactment of its proposal to permit negotiated interest rates on VA-guaranteed mortgages. Other Veterans Benefits and Services.—Veterans benefits are pro vided through a network of 59 regional offices located throughout the Nation. The budget proposes that VA continue a modernization of its operations to improve cost-effectiveness, accuracy and timeli ness of service delivery to veterans. 5-143 VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES CREDIT PROGRAMS—VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES (In millions of dollars) Estimate 1986 actual Direct loans: Income security-. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Education: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Mortgage insurance and other housing pro grams: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . .... .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1987 * 1988 1989 1990 ♦ * * ♦ * 1 -5 47 1 -6 41 1 -6 35 1 —7 28 1 —7 21 971 -63 1,313 932 48 1,360 828 -293 1,067 917 -288 780 965 -296 484 Total, direct loans: New obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 972 -68 1,359 933 42 1,401 829 -299 1,102 918 -294 808 966 -303 505 Guaranteed loans: Mortgage insurance and other housing pro grams: New commitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 34,297 8,254 142,562 35,000 11,194 153,756 27,930 8,483 162,239 27,700 6,911 169,150 24,800 3,486 172,636 Total, new obligations and new com mitments.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 35,269 35,933 28,759 28,618 25,766 * $500,000 or less. Several other initiatives are included in the budget to improve the management of veterans benefits. These include making better use of contractor support for services that business can provide more efficiently, and achieving a return on the Federal Govern ment’s investment in automated data processing equipment in the form of smaller administrative staff, as this equipment increases staff productivity. Management of the national cemetery system—for burial of eligi ble veterans, active duty military personnel, and their depend ents—is also included in this subfunction. Over 100 national ceme teries are open throughout the Nation. In 1988, a new national cemetery in Florida will be open for interments. Funding is also requested to continue the construction of the Northern California National Cemetery, which is scheduled to be open in October 1990. The policy goal of providing one large national cemetery per Feder al region has now been attained. Outlays for other veterans benefits and services are estimated to be $0.8 billion in 1987 and $0.9 billion in 1988. Hospital and Medical Care for Veterans.—The VA provides medi cal services, including hospital, outpatient and nursing home care, 5-144 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 to veterans by operating a nationwide medical care system. In 1988, this system will provide support for an estimated 20.4 million outpatient visits and treat 1.3 million inpatients and 83,000 nursing home patients in VA and community facilities and state veteran’s homes. This program is carried out in 172 hospitals, 230 outpatient clinics, 120 nursing homes, 16 domiciliary facilities, and, in some situations, in other Federal facilities and the private sector. Out lays for medical programs (excluding receipts expected for thirdparty reimbursement) are estimated to rise from $9.4 billion in 1987 to $9.8 billion in 1988. Medical Care and Hospital Services,—VA’s primary health mis sion is to treat veterans who were injured during military service for their service-connected disabilities. Currently, most of the sys tem’s users are either veterans with service-connected disabilities or needy veterans. Adequate medical care for America’s disabled and needy veterans is one of the Nation’s highest priorities. The administration’s proposal for VA medical care provides ample re sources to meet this objective. No-cost care would be provided to all service-disabled veterans who request it, as well as to former prisoners of war and veterans exposed to certain toxic substances and radiation. No-cost care would also be provided to veterans of wars prior to World War II, and those receiving VA pensions. Among other veterans, funding would be provided for no-cost care for all earning less than $25,000 per year (for a veteran with one dependent; $20,000 for a single veteran); funding would not be provided for other veterans whose annual incomes exceed these levels. The administration believes that as a rule when veterans’ illnesses are completely unrelated to their military service and they are financially able to provide for their own health care, they should do so. This policy will allow the VA to concentrate its efforts on serv ice-disabled veterans and those least able to finance the cost of their own health care. It carries out the Veterans Health Care Amendments of 1986, which established the current set of eligibil ity criteria for veterans’ health care. The VA may, however, con tinue to furnish care to non-service disabled veterans with incomes above $25,000 in locations where resources remain available. Budget authority of $10.0 billion is requested for medical care and hospital services in 1988. As a result of improvements in medical service delivery, 1 percent fewer staff members will be required to treat the same number of patients. Construction of Hospital and Extended Care Facilities,—New budget authority of $526 million is requested for VA medical con struction in 1988. VETERANS BENEFITS AND SERVICES 5-145 The budget proposes to maintain and upgrade the full network of medical facilities throughout the Nation and expand capabilities and bed space. Rather than defer maintenance, renovation, and modification of older facilities, the budget continues funding to maintain and upgrade the physical system. Budget authority of $401 million is requested to support 15 major projects and other maintenance, safety correction, and design activities. The budget proposes to continue the average rate of construction over the last 10 years, replacing or modernizing two large hospitals each year. In 1988, construction funds are proposed for two large hospital projects in Dayton, Ohio and North Chicago, Illinois. The budget also proposes to design a replacement hospital in Atlanta, Georgia, and a new 400-bed hospital in Palm Beach, Florida, the first medical center to be added to the VA system since 1977. Funding in 1988 is also requested for large projects in Huntington, West Virginia; Jackson, Mississippi; Montgomery, Alabama; and Prescott, Arizona. Budget authority of $42 million is requested for 1988 for grants to States for the construction or repair of State homes for the care of aging veterans. This continues the 1987 level and will enable VA to support 17 grants in 7 States, increasing the total number of States participating by 1, for a total of 37. Tax Expenditures.—In addition to direct Federal funding, a number of tax expenditures provide assistance to veterans. All cash benefits administered by VA (disability compensation, pension, and GI bill benefits) are excluded from taxable income. The estimated tax expenditures for these exclusions in 1988 are $1.4 billion, $80 million, and $70 million, respectively. Veterans are aided in obtain ing housing through veterans bonds issued by State and local gov ernments, the interest on which is not subject to tax. In 1988, the tax expenditure estimate for this provision is $305 million. Total tax expenditures for veterans are estimated to be $1.9 billion for 1988. Related Programs.—In addition to the assistance provided specifi cally for veterans by the VA, many veterans receive assistance from other income security, health, housing credit, education, training, employment, and social service programs supported by the Federal Government and available to the general population, as well as preference for Federal jobs. Some of these programs have components specifically intended to assist veterans. 5-146 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE A fundamental responsibility of the Federal Government is to provide for the safety of its people and for the peaceful and fair resolution of disputes. Federal expenditures for the administration of justice are intended to protect persons and property through enforcement of Federal laws, provide Federal courts to resolve disputes, defend the public interest in criminal and civil proceed ings, and operate detention and correctional facilities for those charged with or convicted of violating Federal law. The proposed budget authority for 1988 for this function is $9.0 billion, a $244 million increase from the 1987 level. Federal Law Enforcement Activities.—As in the past, over half of the total Federal resources for the administration of justice is dedicated to law enforcement. Proposed budget authority of $5.1 billion in 1988 will maintain and increase resources dedicated to foreign counterintelligence, drug enforcement, immigration activi ties, and computer and communications upgrades. Criminal Investigations.—Budget authority requested for crimi nal investigations for 1988 is $2.0 billion, an increase of 12 percent over the 1987 level. The Justice Department carries out criminal investigations through the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) and the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA). The FBI and DEA frequently work together with other Federal agencies in 13 regional task forces on organized crime drug enforcement and have concurrent jurisdiction to combat drug trafficking. The administra tion is requesting full funding for over 600 domestic and foreign positions added to DEA by the Anti-Drug Abuse Act of 1986, as well as funding to improve DEA’s computer and technical equip ment capabilities. The FBI also enforces a broad range of criminal statutes, works with other Federal agencies, as well as State and local authorities when appropriate, and assists States and localities through train ing, dissemination of information, and other activities. Additional funding is being requested in 1988 to increase the FBTs foreign counterintelligence activities for the fifth consecutive year. The FBI will also intensify its investigative efforts against organized criminal organizations, white-collar crime, and terrorist activity. The administration is also seeking $13 million for the construction of a joint FBI/DEA Engineering Research Facility for the develop ment of advanced investigative equipment such as customized elec tronic devices and concealed cameras and microphones. 5-147 ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE NATIONAL NEED: ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE (Functional code 750; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 1,522 167 1,375 293 1,794 178 1,992 335 2,006 197 2,056 376 1,973 201 2,022 350 1,969 204 2,003 355 371 386 3,728 4,686 447 5 5,087 448 5 4,998 452 5 4,988 1,296 1 1,471 1,390 1,418 1,519 1,563 BUDGET AUTHORITY Federal law enforcement activities: Criminal investigations (DEA, FBI, and OCDE).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF).. .. .. .. .. .. . Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS).. .. .. .. .. .. .. Protection activities (Secret Service).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other enforcement: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Federal law enforcement activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal litigative and judicial activities: Civil and criminal prosecution and represen- tation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal judicial activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Representation of indigents in civil cases.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Federal litigative and judicial activities.. .. .. .. .. 834 1,080 1,063 292 2,190 1,314 306 2,699 2,767 2,908 2,980 Federal correctional activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 595 868 971 964 988 Criminal justice assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 265 488 159 166 174 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6,777 8,740 8,984 9,036 9,130 1,538 166 1,291 290 1,759 175 1,986 329 1,984 193 2,154 369 1,954 197 1,957 343 1,956 200 1,916 348 348 387 3,632 4,636 449 1 5,150 442 5 4,898 446 5 4,871 1,291 * 1,485 1,305 2,776 2,833 OUTLAYS Federal law enforcement activities: Criminal investigations (DEA, FBI, and OCDE).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Alcohol, tobacco, and firearms investigation (ATF).. .. .. .. .. .. . Border enforcement activities (Customs and INS).. .. .. .. .. .. .. Protection activities (Secret Service).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other enforcement: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Federal law enforcement activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal litigative and judicial activities: Civil and criminal prosecution and represen- tation: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal judicial activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Representation of indigents in civil cases.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Federal litigative and judicial activities.. .. .. .. .. 781 981 1,090 305 2,176 1,275 303 2,559 1,203 1 1,458 37 2,698 Federal correctional activities.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 614 755 936 998 925 Criminal justice assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 181 344 387 232 129 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 6,603 8,293 9,170 8,904 8,758 *$500 thousand or less. 1,528 5-148 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Border Enforcement Activities.—Budget authority for border en forcement activities is proposed to be $2.1 billion in 1988. The Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) and the United States Customs Service are responsible for border enforcement ac tivities. The INS administers laws related to the admission, exclu sion, deportation and naturalization of aliens. The budget proposes budget authority of $298 million in 1987 and $400 million in 1988 to implement immigration reform legislation. All but $3 million of this funding is provided to the Justice Department, the bulk of which, $286 million in 1987 and $375 million in 1988, is provided to the INS. These funds will be used to administer legalization and agricultural worker programs, enforce employer sanctions, launch a public education campaign aimed at businesses and illegal aliens, and deter further illegal immigration. The United States Customs Service assesses and collects duties, excise taxes, fees and penalties on imported merchandise; stops the importation of contraband and seizes it once it is smuggled into the United States; and processes persons, carriers, cargo and mail into and out of the United States. In 1988, the Customs Service’s com mercial processing costs, estimated at $499 million, will be funded from Customs user fee receipts, pursuant to Public Law 99-509. The administration will continue to fund other Customs activities, in cluding specific drug-related activities and cargo export controls, through direct appropriations. Federal Litigative and Judicial Activities.—The Department of Justice prosecutes all of the Federal government’s criminal cases and litigates most of its civil cases. Civil and Criminal Prosecution and Representation.—Budget au thority for civil and criminal prosecution and representation is proposed to be $1.3 billion in 1988, $217 million higher than 1987. The Government’s responsibilities in this area include: • prosecuting offenders under organized crime and drug stat utes; • defending against the tens of thousands of civil suits filed annually against the Government and its officials; and • continuing litigative efforts to combat fraud, waste, and abuse, as well as recover billions of dollars in delinquent debt owed the Government. Federal Judicial Activities.—By law, budget requests from the judiciary are included in the budget without change by the execu tive branch. The U.S. Courts have proposed budget authority of $1.5 billion in 1988 for judicial branch activities in this function, a $157 million increase over the 1987 level. Representation of Indigents in Civil Cases.—The Legal Services Corporation is a private, non-profit organization that funds State ADMINISTRATION OF JUSTICE 5-149 and local agencies providing free civil legal assistance to the poor. Grantees are currently involved in cases both for individual clients and in broader “law reform” activities. The administration proposes that the Corporation not be reau thorized and that no further separate Federal funding be provided. The social services block grant, which is discussed in the education, training, employment, and social services function, includes ade quate authority to fund legal services activities through State and local governments. In addition, State and local bar associations have developed programs to provide free assistance to indigent clients, and these efforts are expected to continue to grow, consist ent with private attorneys’ ethical obligations to provide such free services. Federal Correctional Activities.—The Federal Government is re sponsible for the care and custody of prisoners charged with or convicted of violating Federal laws. In response to the continuing growth of the Federal prisoner population, two new prisons are proposed for construction in 1988. In addition, renovation and ex pansion projects proposed in this budget will further increase and improve existing facilities. Budget authority requested for correc tional activities in 1988 is $971 million, a 12 percent increase from the 1987 level. Criminal Justice Assistance.—Criminal justice assistance is in tended to provide financial, technical, and emergency assistance to States and local units of government to reduce crime and juvenile delinquency as well as establish programs to collect and dissemi nate accurate and comprehensive justice statistics. Financial and technical assistance is provided to States through a number of specific programs, including one for missing and exploited children and another designed to aid victims of crime. Although the Congress has continued to fund the juvenile justice and delinquency prevention programs, the administration is re questing their termination because their primary objective—the separation of juvenile from adult offenders—has largely been ac complished. The administration is also proposing that funding for the State and local assistance program be ended since the States can better afford to pay for these programs than can the Federal Government and because the States and localities benefit from them. No funding is proposed for either the Mariel Cuban or re gional information system sharing system grant programs. The requested funding level for the crime victims program is being reduced from $64 million in 1987 to $35 million in 1988 because the States can and should fund these programs. The missing and ex ploited children program is being maintained at the current level of $4 million. 5-150 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Related Programs.—A number of programs classified in other functions support the administration of justice. Over 100 agencies and regulatory commissions perform some type of law enforcement activity. About 30 Federal agencies, including the Departments of Agriculture and Labor, the Environmental Protection Agency, and most independent regulatory commissions have some litigation au thority independent of the Department of Justice. GENERAL GOVERNMENT 5-151 GENERAL GOVERNMENT The general government function covers the overall manage ment, policy, and central operations of the Federal Government, including the legislative branch. This function focuses primarily on Federal finances, tax collection, personnel management, and prop erty control. A goal of this administration is to provide these basic services in a business-like and efficient manner. The four central management agencies—the Office of Manage ment and Budget, the Office of Personnel Management, the Gener al Services Administration, and the Department of the Treasury— are working with other agencies on a variety of management reform initiatives. These management improvements include im proving financial systems, simplifying procurement procedures, in creasing reliance on the private sector, and improving cash man agement and debt collection practices. Budget authority proposed for general government activities for 1988 is $7.5 billion, an increase of $0.6 billion from 1987. Major goals in this function include broadening efforts to identify and collect unpaid taxes, improving services to taxpayers, and improv ing productivity in the Federal Government. Legislative Functions,—By law, the budget request submitted by the legislative branch is included in the budget without change. Budget authority proposed for the legislative branch activities in this function is $1.8 billion in 1988 and includes funds for the operation of the Congress, the General Accounting Office, the Con gressional Research Service, and legislative branch activities. Some of these activities are in other budget functions. A complete listing of all legislative branch accounts appears in of Part 4 of the Budget transmitted on January 5, 1987. Executive Direction and Management.—Budget authority pro posed for the Executive Office of the President and related activi ties is $130 million in 1988. This office assists the President in the discharge of his budgetary, management, policy development, and other executive responsibilities. Central Fiscal Operations.—The mission of central fiscal oper ations is to collect taxes, administer the public debt, supervise the Federal Financing Bank, and carry out certain other financial operations of the Federal Government. For 1988, $5.4 billion of budget authority is requested, an increase of $0.7 billion from 1987. 5-152 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: GENERAL GOVERNMENT (Functional code 800; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Legislative functions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,412 1,582 1,786 1,759 1,828 Executive direction and management.. .. .. .. . 110 116 130 131 134 3,826 4,448 5,072 5,361 5,361 220 294 4,046 4,742 358 -24 5,405 376 -26 5,711 369 -31 5,699 10 -70 14 97 -345 15 102 -494 16 111 -495 16 114 -349 17 115 330 342 418 -169 430 -172 437 -175 382 113 -119 -107 44 136 139 146 147 148 136 139 146 147 148 221 153 8 277 101 760 76 143 2 355 65 642 144 77 2 350 62 635 147 74 2 350 49 621 148 74 2 341 50 614 -78 -450 -450 -6 14 -450 -12 14 -450 -16 14 -78 -450 -442 -448 -452 6,768 6,884 7,542 7,814 8,015 Central fiscal operations: Collection of taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other fiscal operations: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Central fiscal operations.. .. .. General property and records manage ment: Federal buildings fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Property receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . . Personal property.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Records management.. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, General property and records management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Central personnel management: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Central personnel manage ment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other general government: Compact of free association.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Territories.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Indian affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Treasury claims.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Other general government.. . Deductions for offsetting receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sailie Mae fees (proposed).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other proposed offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Deductions for offsetting re ceipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, budget authority Collection of Taxes.—Budget authority requested for the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in 1988 is $5.1 billion. Within this amount, the IRS plans to meet the requirements of the Tax Reform Act of 1986 and maintain standards for the processing of tax returns. 5-153 GENERAL GOVERNMENT NATIONAL NEED: GENERAL GOVERNMENT (Functional code 800; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Legislative functions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,383 1,768 1,814 109 1,666 116 1,824 Executive direction and management.. .. .. .. . 128 129 131 3,754 4,360 4,974 5,216 5,217 -149 110 3,605 4,470 146 170 5,290 183 161 5,560 169 149 5,535 19 -70 12 96 -82 -345 14 102 -18 -494 16 111 226 -495 16 113 134 -349 16 113 418 339 391 -166 422 -169 428 -171 475 29 -161 114 171 126 147 144 147 148 126 147 144 147 148 10 173 8 277 13 482 278 165 2 355 62 862 144 77 2 350 173 746 147 86 2 351 28 614 148 82 2 342 19 592 Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sallie Mae fees (proposed).. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other proposed offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. Subtotal, Deductions for offsetting re ceipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -78 -450 -450 -6 14 -450 -12 14 -450 -16 14 -78 -450 -442 -448 -452 Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 6,102 6,840 7,528 7,883 7,941 Central fiscal operations: Collection of taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other fiscal operations: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Central fiscal operations.. .. .. General property and records manage ment: Federal buildings fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Property receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Personal property.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Records management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, General property and records management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Central personnel management: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Central personnel manage ment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other general government: Compact of free association.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Territories.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Indian affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Treasury claims.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Other general government.. Deductions for offsetting receipts: The administration proposes to increase the number of auditors by 2,500 and accompanying support staff by 500 as the second installment of a 3-year effort to identify and collect taxes owed but 5-154 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 not paid. In addition, expanded efforts to collect taxes owed in clude: • 3,000 positions to reduce inventories of accounts receivable; • 1,500 positions to institute new programs to detect underpay ment of taxes; and • 500 positions to follow up on tax shelter abuse cases. These expanded efforts are estimated to increase taxes collected in 1988 by $2.4 billion at a cost of about $300 million. Legislation is being requested to impose user fees on letters of determination and private letter rulings. Supplemental funds of $80 million are requested in 1987 to begin implementation of the Tax Reform Act of 1986, (a further $120 million is requested to cover the increased costs of the Federal employee retirement system (FERS)). Federal Financing Bank (FFB).—The Balanced Budget and Emer gency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (P.L. 99-177), requires the trans actions of the FFB on behalf of a Federal agency to be treated as a means of financing for each agency. Therefore, virtually all of the budget authority and outlays of the FFB are distributed to other functions and agencies to reflect the primary purpose of its activi ty. This function contains two credit programs financed by the FFB—one for purchase contract agreements administered by the General Services Administration, and the other for loans to territo ries. No new activity is proposed for credit programs in this func tion for 1988. Legislation will be reproposed to require that, at the discretion of the Secretary of the Treasury, all 100 percent federally guaranteed loans of a kind ordinarily traded in the investment securities market be processed through the FFB. Legislation will also be proposed to fund FFB administrative expenses through direct ap propriations. The budget would return all excess earnings directly to the general fund as proprietary receipts, instead of being a negative outlay “transfer of capital surplus” from this account to the general fund. The budget also proposes legislation to raise the rate charged by the FFB to borrowers from one-eighth to one-half of 1 percent over the yield of equivalent Treasury securities to reflect the economic value of the service provided. This would result in collections of $7 million 1988, increasing to $76 million annually by 1992. These FFB proposals may be superseded by the submission of budget amendments in early March to implement the administra tion’s credit reform initiative and establish a central Federal credit revolving fund in Treasury. 5-155 GENERAL GOVERNMENT CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL GOVERNMENT (In millions of dollars) 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 Direct loans: General Services Administration (GSA): Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Administration of territories: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -6 402 -6 396 —7 389 -8 381 -8 373 -1 62 —2 60 —2 59 —2 57 —2 55 Total, direct loans: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. —7 464 -8 456 -9 448 -9 438 -10 428 Guaranteed loans: General Services Administration (GSA): Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -121 579 -9 570 -24 546 -26 520 -28 492 Other Fiscal Operations.—The administration is proposing legis lation that would correct technical deficiencies in the Customs Service cargo processing user fee legislation passed by Congress in October 1986. Under current law, many importers are exempt from any cargo import processing user fee for Customs inspections. This correcting legislation would increase Customs user fee receipts by $166 million in 1988 and would extend the authorization of these fees beyond its scheduled expiration date of September 30, 1989. The budget provides almost full reimbursement ($72 million or 94 percent) for Federal Reserve Banks (FRBs) from the Bureau of the Public Debt for FRB fiscal agent services, an increase of $37 million over current service levels. (In future years, budget plan ning estimates adopt a policy of full reimbursement). The budget calls for $15 million in new user fees charged to investors in marketable Treasury securities. These fees, together with $11 mil lion in existing fees, would be used to pay some of the FRB reim bursements. The budget provides the full amount of the funds needed to reimburse private agents for issuing and redeeming sav ings bonds ($51 million). It does not call for any user fees for purchasers or holders of savings bonds. Other fiscal operations include the manufacture of coins by the Bureau of the Mint and the printing of currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. General Property and Records Management.—The General Serv ices Administration (GSA) is the Government’s builder, landlord, wholesaler, and retailer. Its services support the activities of other Federal agencies. GSA is also responsible for disposing of proper ties no longer needed by the Government. The administration is proposing a major initiative to improve property management Gov 5-156 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 ernment-wide. Planned disposal of surplus properties in 1988 is estimated to generate $400 million in receipts. Also included in this subfunction is the National Archives and Records Administration, which is responsible for the recordkeeping activites of the Federal Government. Central Personnel Management.—Personnel management func tions are carried out by the Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the Federal Labor Relations Authority, and the Merit Sys tems Protection Board. Outlays for these activities are estimated to be $144 million in 1988. Other General Government.—Other activities in the general gov ernment function include payments of claims and judgments against the Federal Government, funding for the territories, Indian affairs, and other activities. Compact of Free Association.—By Presidential proclamation on November 3, 1986, the Compacts of Free Association with the Fed erated States of Micronesia and the Republic of the Marshall Is lands were placed into full force and effect. The compacts bind the United States to make annual payments to the two freely associat ed states totaling $2.3 billion during the next 15 years. This will aid in their successful development as sovereign states. Budget authority of $144 million is proposed for 1988. Territories.—Budget authority of $62 million is proposed for 1988 for continued support of the U.S. territories of Guam, American Samoa, the Virgin Islands, and the Northern Marianas. Budget authority of $15 million in 1988 is requested for the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands, which includes Palau. The territories and the Trust Territory receive grants and payments from many other Federal agencies for programs classified in other functions. Indian Affairs.—Funding for American Indians in this function includes payment of treaty obligations to tribes and program sup port for the Navajo and Hopi Indian Relocation Commission. Addi tional assistance to Indian tribes is also found in a number of other functions—health; natural resources and environment; community and regional development; and education, training, employment, and social services. Tax Expenditures.—The tax code permitted a 50 percent tax credit on political contributions of up to $100 for individual returns and $200 for joint returns. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 repealed this provision, effective January 1, 1987. GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE 5-157 GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE General purpose fiscal assistance provides financial aid to State and local governments without major restrictions or matching re quirements. This assistance can generally be used for State or local services, construction, debt retirement, and other purposes of gen eral government. Programs in this category include general reve nue sharing, payments to the District of Columbia, Forest Service receipts paid to the States, payments in lieu of taxes, and payments to territories and Puerto Rico. Outlays for this function are esti mated to decline from $1.9 billion in 1987 to $1.5 billion in 1988. General Revenue Sharing.—In 1987 the phasing out of the gener al revenue sharing program essentially will be completed. The administration has opposed further funding for this program, and last year Congress did not enact new authorizing legislation. Ac cordingly, the only 1987 outlays will be to distribute the remainder of funds already appropriated in prior years and otherwise still available, and to satisfy all legitimate claims. Other General Purpose Fiscal Assistance.—Several programs pro vide funds with minimal restrictions to States and localities. Out lays for these programs are estimated to be $1.9 billion in 1987 and $1.5 billion in 1988. Payments and Loans to the District of Columbia.—The District of Columbia’s operating budget is financed in part by annual reim bursement for the net cost of the Federal presence. The administra tion requests $497 million in budget authority for the District of Columbia in 1988, net of loan repayments from the District. Of the total amount, $425 million is for the Federal payment to the Dis trict for general purposes, $52 million is for the annual Federal contribution to the retirement funds for the District’s police offi cers, firefighters, teachers, and judges. The remaining funds are for St. Elizabeth’s Hospital and the construction of a new District prison facility. Beginning in 1988, in order to promote efficiency and account ability, the District of Columbia will treat Federal establishments of all three branches of Government like private customers for the water and sewer services. Thus, in lieu of a lump-sum appropria tion to the District for these services, the Federal establishments will make these payments directly. The administration continues to support legislation to increase the District’s contribution for the city’s participants in both the civil service retirement system and the Federal employees health benefits program beginning in 1988. These changes would begin to 5-158 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NATIONAL NEED: FISCAL ASSISTANCE TO STATE AND LOCAL GOVERNMENTS (Functional code 850; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY General revenue sharing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4,192 6 -34 287 497 466 459 685 274 296 -270 305 -270 306 -271 423 435 391 435 482 95 100 381 5 89 105 378 9 63 105 386 7 63 150 390 7 57 150 395 8 Other general purpose fiscal assistance: Payments ana loans to the District of Columbia.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Payments to States and counties from Forest Service receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Payments to States from receipts under the Mineral Leasing Act.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Payments to States and counties from Fed eral land management activities.. .. .. .. .. . Payments in lieu of taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Payments to territories and Puerto Rico...... . Otner.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, Other general purpose fiscal assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,655 1,576 1,475 1,545 1,587 Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 5,847 1,582 1,475 1,545 1,587 5,121 82 -34 287 497 466 459 399 560 296 -270 303 -270 306 -271 423 435 391 435 482 31 100 384 8 88 105 380 8 63 105 386 7 63 150 390 7 57 150 395 8 1,310 1,862 1,475 1,543 1,586 6,431 1,944 1,475 1,543 1,586 OUTLAYS General revenue sharing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other general purpose fiscal assistance: Payments ana loans to the District of Columbia.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Payments to States and counties from Forest Service receipts: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Payments to States from receipts under the Mineral Leasing Act.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Payments to States and counties from Fed eral land management activities.. .. .. .. .. Payments in lieu of taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Payments to territories and Puerto Rico.. .. . Otner.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Other general purpose fiscal assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, outlays *$500 thousand or less. eliminate the Federal subsidy for such benefits currently provided to the District government. Other Payments.—Some jurisdictions receive payments from the Federal Government based on a percentage of Federal receipts generated from timber sales, mineral leases, grazing permits, and other activities on Federal property. 5-159 GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE CREDIT PROGRAMS—GENERAL PURPOSE FISCAL ASSISTANCE (In millions of dollars) 1986 actual Direct loans: Loans to the District of Columbia: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -564 1,008 Guaranteed loans. Guarantees of New York City loans: Change in outstandings.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -190 Estimate 1987 -293 715 1988 -30 685 1989 -31 654 1990 -33 621 Payments to States and Counties from Various Land Management Receipts.—Under current law, 50 percent of receipts under the Mineral Leasing Act are shared with the State of origin. Twentyfive percent of the receipts from the National Forests, and 50 percent of the receipts from the Oregon and California grant lands are shared with the counties of origin. Sharing is on a gross basis before any costs of obtaining these receipts are deducted. The ad ministration is proposing legislation to permit the costs of generat ing these receipts to be deducted before calculating the State or local government shares. It makes neither economic nor business sense to share gross receipts when the actual returns from manag ing the lands are receipts net of costs. After adjustments for eco nomic factors, this proposal will reduce outlays for receipt pay ments to States and counties in 1988 by $353 million below the levels under current law. These payments to States and counties from Forest Service re ceipts, payments to States from receipts under the Mineral Leasing Act, and payments to States and counties from Federal land man agement activities are offset against and deducted from the formu la amounts of payments in lieu of taxes for the following year. Hence, these deductions will be partially offset beginning in 1989 by increases in payments in lieu of taxes. Payments in Lieu of Taxes provide fees based on a formula to local governments for some Federal lands located within their ju risdictions. The administration proposes to continue this program at a level of $105 million in outlays for 1988. Payments to Territories and Puerto Rico reflect the payment of certain taxes by the Federal Government to the territories and Puerto Rico. These payments comprise annual advance payments of certain income tax withholding and excise tax collections involv ing Guam and the Virgin Islands, and excise tax withholding for Puerto Rico. Outlays are estimated to be $380 million in 1987 and $386 million in 1988. 5-160 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Tax Expenditures.—The Federal Government provides general purpose fiscal assistance through several tax provisions. Interest on State and local government debt is excluded from the taxable income of businesses, mainly commercial banks and casualty insur ance companies, and individuals. As a result, State and local gov ernments can borrow at lower interest rates than would be possible if such interest were taxable. In effect, the Federal Government subsidizes States and localities by paying part of their interest costs. Only the effect of excluding interest on general purpose obligations and revenue bonds for public purposes such as schools, sewers, and roads is included in this function. The exclusion of interest on tax-exempt bonds issued for private or quasi-public activities is covered in applicable budget functions, such as com merce and housing credit. The tax expenditure estimate for the exclusion of interest on general purpose State and local debt is $10.4 billion in 1988. The Federal Government also provides indirect assistance to States and localities by allowing individuals to deduct nonbusiness State and local taxes, primarily income taxes, from income in calculating their Federal tax liability. The value of this assistance is estimated at $14.8 billion in 1988. The Tax Reform Act of 1986 repealed the State and local sales tax deduction. Tax expenditures resulting from deductibility of taxes on owner-occupied homes are included in the commerce and housing credit function. As a means of providing assistance to U.S. possessions, primarily Puerto Rico, the Federal Government permits a special tax credit for qualifying U.S. corporations doing business in the possessions. This tax credit, which effectively exempts earnings attributable to the possessions, results in an estimated tax expenditure of $2.4 billion in 1988. Altogether, tax expenditures for general purpose fiscal assistance are an estimated $27.6 billion in 1988. Related Programs.—In addition to general purpose fiscal assist ance, the Federal Government provides States and localities with assistance through a variety of Federal grant-in-aid programs. These programs, which range from relatively narrow categorical programs to broader grant programs, are more restrictive than general purpose fiscal assistance, and are designed to meet other national needs and priorities. Therefore, they are not included as general purpose fiscal assistance, although, in total, they provide 21 percent in 1985 of the financing of total State and local expendi tures. Total grant-in-aid outlays to States and localities are esti mated to decrease from $109.9 billion in 1987 to $106.3 billion in 1988. Grants are discussed in more detail in Special Analysis H, “Fed eral Aid to State and Local Governments.” NET INTEREST 5-161 NET INTEREST Net interest includes the Federal Government’s cost of borrowing and most of its interest income from lending money. Net interest outlays are estimated to rise from $136.0 billion in 1986 to $137.5 billion in 1987 to $139.0 billion in 1988. Interest on the Public Debt—The public debt consists of Treasury securities sold to the public and to Federal Government accounts, such as trust and revolving funds. Though the public debt also includes debt issued by the Federal Financing Bank (FFB), an arm of the Treasury, this subfunction includes all interest paid on the public debt other than that paid by the FFB. Outlays for interest on the public debt are estimated to be $198.4 billion in 1988. Estimates of interest outlays are directly affected by assumptions about interest rates and the size of the debt. It is assumed that the 91-day Treasury bill rate will decline steadily from an average of 6.0 percent in calendar year 1986 to 4.2 percent by 1990. These declining interest rates largely offset the rise in interest payments due to higher Federal debt. Interest on the public debt is estimated to increase by $1.6 billion in 1987 (less than 1 percent) and an additional $6.6 billion (3.5 percent) in 1988. Trust fund balances in excess of current requirements are invested in public debt securi ties. The interest income to these trust funds constitute offsetting receipts in the two subfunctions for interest received by trust funds. Because the social security trust funds are off-budget, the interest received by those funds is carried separately from interest received by the on-budget trust funds. Interest Received by On-budget Trust Funds.—Interest earnings of on-budget trust funds were $26.6 billion in 1986 and are estimat ed to be $28.7 billion in 1987 and $31.6 billion in 1988. More than half of these interest earnings is received by the civil service retire ment and disability fund, and nearly one-fifth is received by medi care. Interest earned by the on-budget trust funds is deducted, so that the functional total for net interest includes only the Govern ment’s net transactions with the public, not payments between Government accounts. Normally, the vast majority of interest col lected by on-budget trust funds is derived from payments in the subfunction for interest on the public debt. However, for 1986 through 1989, some of the interest income derives from payments by the FFB. 5-162 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 NET INTEREST (Functional code 900; in millions of dollars) 1986 actual Major missions and programs Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Interest on the public debt: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Interest on the public debt.. . 191,744 5 191,749 198,150 244 198,394 204,782 812 205,594 207,226 1,357 208,583 -28,680 -5 -31,372 -236 -34,443 -765 -37,067 -1,264 -28,685 -31,608 -35,208 -38,331 -4,329 -5,084 -6,586 -8 -9,193 -47 -12,173 -93 -4,329 -5,084 -6,594 -9,240 -12,266 Interest on refunds of tax collections.. .. .. .. . 1,814 Interest on loans to Federal Financing Bank.. -16,377 Interest on loans to CCC.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -2,190 Interest on loans to FmHA.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -770 OCS interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -1,072 Other: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -4,689 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Other interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -23,285 1,668 -13,836 -1,741 -1,099 -901 1,621 -14,475 -1,878 -1,024 -604 1,697 -14,156 -1,627 -935 1,754 -13,881 -1,647 -866 -4,617 -20,526 -4,598 -201 -21,159 -4,370 -211 -19,602 -4,123 -224 -18,987 137,454 139,032 141,544 138,999 Interest received funds: by on-budget 190,166 190,166 trust Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -26,570 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Interest received by onbudget trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -26,570 Interest received funds: by off-budget trust Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Interest received by offbudget trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other interest: Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 135,982 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (140,311) (142,538) (145,626) (150,784) (151,265) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-4,329) (-5,084) (-6,594) (-9,240) (-12,266) Interest Received by Off-budget Trust Funds.—The receipts and disbursements of the old-age and survivors insurance trust fund (OASI) and the disability insurance trust fund (DI) are excluded from the budget. Notwithstanding this change in status, OASI and DI hold a large amount of Federal debt securities on which they receive interest. The social security trust funds, like all other Fed eral trust funds, are constituted from funds collected, controlled, and spent by the Federal Government. Hence, any interest paid by Treasury to these funds constitutes payments by Government ac counts to Government accounts, and the offsetting collections must be included to identify net interest paid to the public. Interest earnings of these off-budget trust funds were $4.3 billion in 1986 and are estimated to be $5.1 billion in 1987 and $6.6 billion in 1988. 5-163 NET INTEREST NET INTEREST (Functional code 900; in millions of dollars) 1986 actual Major missions and programs Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 OUTLAYS Interest on the public debt: 191,744 5 191,749 198,150 244 198,394 204,782 812 205,594 207,226 1,357 208,583 -28,680 -5 -31,372 -236 -34,443 -765 -37,067 -1,264 -28,685 -31,608 -35,208 -38,331 -4,329 -5,084 -6,586 -8 -9,193 -47 -12,173 -93 -4,329 -5,084 -6,594 -9,240 -12,266 1,814 Interest on refunds of tax collections.. .. .. .. . interest on loans to Federal Financing Bank.. -18,377 Interest on loans to CCC.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -2,190 Interest on loans to FmHA.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -770 CCS interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -1,072 Other: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -4,702 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Other interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -23,298 1,668 -13,836 -1,741 -1,099 -901 1,621 -14,475 -1,878 -1,024 -604 1,697 -14,156 -1,627 -935 1,754 -13,881 -1,647 -866 -4,611 -20,520 -4,598 -201 -21,159 -4,370 -211 -19,602 -4,123 -224 -18,987 137,461 139,032 141,544 138,999 Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Interest on the public debt.. . Interest received funds: by on-budget 190,166 190,166 trust Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -26,570 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Interest received by onbudget trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -26,570 Interest received funds: by off-budget trust Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Interest received by offbudget trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other interest: Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 135,969 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. ... .. .. .. .. . ,.. .. . (140,298) (142,544) (145,626) (150,784) (151,265) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-4,329) (-5,084) (-6,594) (-9,240) (-12,266) Other Interest,—This subfunction includes interest payments by the Government on tax refunds and, as an offset, interest collec tions from Federal agencies and the public. As a general rule, the Treasury finances all interest earning activities through public debt issuance. The interest income derived from these activities is normally offset within this subfunction. In some cases, the interest income is paid directly by the public, but the bulk of the interest included herein arises from interest charges to revolving funds. The revolving funds, which are in other functions, borrow from Treasury for programs intended to be largely self-supporting. The revolving fund collects interest or other charges from the public and then pays interest to Treasury. The largest such revolving fund is the FFB. 5-164 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Interest on Refunds of Tax Collections.—Interest paid by the Treasury on tax refunds was $1.8 billion in 1986 and is estimated to decline to $1.7 billion in 1987 to $1.6 billion in 1988. This decrease is due, in large part, to improved claims processing by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), which reduces the backlog of re funds subject to interest. Under current law, the rate paid on refunds of tax collections is set quarterly at the average market bid yield on outstanding marketable obligations of the United States with maturities of 3 years or less. Interest on Loans to the Federal Financing Bank (FFB).—The FFB is the major source of funds for a number of Government programs. The FFB normally borrows from the Treasury and uses these borrowed funds to make loans to or on behalf of various Government agencies. It collects interest on its lending, and in turn, pays interest to the Treasury on its borrowings. Since most of its borrowings are from Treasury, the interest paid to the Treasury becomes offsetting collections in this subfunction. Interest pay ments from the FFB to the Treasury were $16.4 billion in 1986 and are estimated to be $13.8 billion in 1987 and $14.5 billion in 1988. Treasury debt issued to finance its lending to the FFB is included in debt subject to statutory limitation. However, the FFB also has authority to issue public debt that is not included under the statu tory debt ceiling. In August 1986, the Treasury came so close to the debt ceiling that it had to take extraordinary steps to continue financing legally authorized spending within the debt limit. One step taken was to disinvest the civil service retirement and disabil ity trust fund of Treasury securities subject to limit and to replace them with FFB securities that are not subject to debt limit. An other step was to delay investing some trust fund balances. The trust funds have been fully reimbursed for the interest foregone during this delay. These procedures have altered the amounts re corded in the subfunctions of net interest but have no significant effect on the functional totals. Other.—Offsetting interest collections from accounts other than the FFB were $8.7 billion in 1986 and are estimated to be $8.4 billion in 1987 and $8.3 billion in 1988. These come from two principal sources: interest charged by Treasury to Federal agency revolving funds, which is by far the larger source; and interest collected from the public by funds other than revolving funds. Revolving funds, such as that of the Commodity Credit Corporation (CCC), borrow from the Treasury primarily to finance direct loans to the public, and then pay interest to the Treasury on their borrowings. Other collections include interest on loans made to the 5-165 NET INTEREST public by non-revolving funds, interest received from the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) escrow account, and interest collected from banks on Federal tax collections kept on deposit in those banks. Net Budgetary Effect—The Federal Reserve System owns Gov ernment securities for the purpose of implementing monetary policy. The Treasury pays interest on these securities but virtually all of the interest the Federal Reserve receives on these securities is returned to the Treasury as deposits of earnings of the Federal Reserve System (classified as receipts). As shown below, deposits of earnings were $18.4 billion in 1986 and are projected to be $15.8 billion in 1987 and $15.4 billion in 1988. Deducting these receipts from the outlay totals for the function shows the net budgetary effect of interest transactions with the public: NET BUDGETARY EFFECT OF INTEREST TRANSACTIONS WITH THE PUBLIC (In millions of dollars) 1986 actual Estimates 1987 1988 1989 1990 Net interest function.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 135,969 137,461 139,032 141,544 138,999 Less: Deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System 1.. .. . 18,374 15,822 15,450 15,771 16,077 Net budgetary effect.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 117,595 121,639 123,582 125,773 122,922 1 Shown as budget receipts. Tax Expenditures.—A tax expenditure arises from the optional deferral of interest income on U.S. savings bonds. Interest is nor mally taxed each year as it is earned, but the holder of a U.S. savings bond may defer paying tax until the bond is redeemed. The estimate for this provision is $710 million in 1988. 5-166 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 ALLOWANCES The budget includes allowances to cover certain forms of budget ary transactions that are expected to occur but are not reflected in the program details shown in the preceding functions. When these transactions actually take place, they are reported as outlays for the appropriate agencies and functions rather than as allowances. For this reason, allowances for completed years are always zero. In 1988, the net effect of the six allowances included in this category is to reduce outlays by $770 million. ALLOWANCES (Functional code 920; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1989 1990 BUDGET AUTHORITY Civilian agency pay raises: Civilian agency pay raises1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Coast Guard military pay raises.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Civilian agency pay raises.. . 656 48 704 1,570 79 1,649 2,692 113 2,805 Credit reform initiative.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -163 1,284 -163 -606 -163 920 Proposed change in Government contribu tion for employee health benefits.. .. .. .. . -140 -205 -225 -200 -500 -883 475 2,836 Civilian agency pay raises1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Coast Guard military pay raises.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Civilian agency pay raises.. . 630 48 678 1,507 79 1,586 2,584 113 2,697 Savings from reform of Davis-Bacon and Service Contract Acts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -24 -90 -127 -1,284 -606 920 -140 -205 -225 -200 -500 485 2,764 Savings from reform of Davis-Bacon and Service Contract Acts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Special productivity savings from person nel policies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Allowance for contingencies: Relatively uncontrollable programs.. .. .. .. .. . Other requirements.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. OUTLAYS Civilian agency pay raises: Credit reform initiative Proposed change in Government contribu tion for employee health benefits.. .. .. .. . Special productivity savings from person nel policies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Allowance for contingencies: Relatively uncontrollable programs.. .. .. .. .. . Other requirements.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1 Includes allowance for administration of the off-budget social security trust funds. -770 ALLOWANCES 5-167 Civilian Agency Pay Raises.—This allowance covers the costs of future pay raises for civilian agency employees and Coast Guard military personnel. Also included are amounts for top level officials in the executive, legislative, and judicial branches. Allowances to cover future pay raises for military and civilian personnel of the Department of Defense are included in the national defense func tion. The budget includes a 2.0 percent pay increase for civilian em ployees, effective in January 1988, and a 4.0 percent pay increase for military personnel, including Coast Guard military personnel, also effective in January 1988. The estimates for this allowance reflect the assumption that 50 percent of the 1988 pay raise for Federal civilian employees will be absorbed by the employing agen cies. The President’s final decision on the 1988 civilian pay adjust ment will be made after he reviews the recommendations of his pay agent and the recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Federal Pay, as provided for by law. The pay raise allowances for 1989 and 1990 reflect the assumption that Federal civilian employ ees will receive a 3.0 percent pay raise in January of each year, and that Coast Guard military personnel will receive pay increases in January of each year that equal the pay increases received by Department of Defense military personnel. Savings From Reform of Davis-Bacon and Service Contract Acts.—The administration is proposing legislation to increase the thresholds of coverage under the Davis-Bacon and related acts and the Service Contract Act to $1 million for defense contracts and $100,000 for nondefense contracts. The Davis-Bacon Act covers wages paid to workers on Federal and federally-aided construction projects. The Service Contract Act covers wages and benefits paid to workers under Federal service contracts. The threshold of cover age under the Davis-Bacon Act has not been revised since it was set at $2,000 in 1935. Similarly, the threshold of coverage under the Service Contract Act has not been revised since it was set at $2,500 in 1965. An increase in the thresholds of coverage under these statutes is appropriate in recognition of economic changes in the past several decades and to encourage competition and efficiency in Government procurement. Credit Reform Initiative.—The administration proposes to change the budgetary accounting of Federal credit programs. The proposal would separate the subsidy value of a loan from its financing. Subsequent sales of direct loans less the costs of reinsuring loan guarantees are expected to produce net savings of $1.3 billion in 1988. A detailed discussion of this proposal is presented in Part 3b. 5-168 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Proposed Change in Government Contribution for Employee Health Benefits.—As discussed in the health function, the adminis tration proposes to change the formula used to determine the Government's contribution for Federal employee health benefits (FEHB) to a weighted average that reflects the premiums of all FEHB plans and the distribution of enrollees among those plans. This proposal is estimated to reduce agency contributions for health benefits for current employees by $140 million in 1988. The reduced contributions for annuitants are recorded in the health function. Special Productivity Savings from Personnel Policies.—The ad ministration's efforts to foster more efficient delivery of Govern ment services are expected to produce, at a minimum, the produc tivity savings estimated in this Government-wide allowance. The replacement of the current system of within-grade increases with more performance-based pay incentives should spur productivity gains. Also included in this allowance are overall savings expected from such reforms as capital/labor trade-offs, simplification of pay and personnel systems, consolidation of functions and organization al units, methods and process improvements, and implementation of a gain-sharing program. The savings represent about 3 tenths of one percent of total Federal civilian compensation costs in 1989. Allowances for Contingencies.—The Congressional Budget Act of 1974, as amended, requires that the budget include an allowance for unanticipated spending or savings in relatively uncontrollable programs and an allowance for other unanticipated spending or savings. The contingency allowance for relatively uncontrollable programs is estimated to be zero for all years, because the chance of these outlays being lower than the estimates is as great as the chance of being higher. The contingency allowance for other re quirements is also assumed to be zero, with probable increases being offset by unanticipated decreases. 5-169 UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS Offsetting receipts are generally deducted from the budget au thority and outlays of the agencies and functions of the receipt accounts. In three instances, however, such collections are deducted from the budget totals as undistributed offsetting receipts. These are for the employer share of employee retirement, rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf, and the sale of major assets. Undistributed offsetting receipts are estimated to be $37.1 billion in 1987 and $45.4 billion in 1988. Details of all offsetting receipts are shown in Table 14 in Part 6c. UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS (Functional code 950; in millions of dollars) Major missions and programs 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 -18,193 -422 -18,782 -1,324 -19,328 -1,499 -20,082 -1,626 -9,398 -11,985 -38 -12,761 -191 -13,490 -324 -28,013 -32,128 -33,779 -35,523 -2,857 -3,275 -5,367 -117 -5,955 -161 -6,580 -169 -2,857 -3,275 -5,484 -6,116 -6,749 -4,716 -3,903 -3,686 -3,530 -3,756 -4,716 -3,903 -3,686 -3,530 -3,756 -2,500 -800 -1,542 -2,513 -2,342 -2,513 -45,767 -48,541 BUDGET AUTHORITY AND OUTLAYS Employer share, employee retirement (onbudget): Military retired contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -17,429 Federal retirement thrift.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other contributions: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -8,006 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Employer share, employee retirement (on-budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. -25,434 Employer share, employee retirement (offbudget): Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Employer share, employee retirement (off-budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. Rents and royalties on the Outer Conti nental Shelf: Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sale of major assets: Sale of Conrail.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Sale of petroleum reserves (proposed).. .. .. . Sale of power administrations (proposed).. . Sale of Amtrak (proposed).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Auction receipts, FCC (proposed).. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, Sale of major assets.. .. .. .. .. Total, budget authority and out lays .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -1,900 -33,007 -1,900 -1,000 -600 -4,100 -37,091 -45,399 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-30,150) (-33,816) (-39,915) (-39,651) (-41,792) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-2,857) (-3,275) (-5,484) (-6,116) (-6,749) 5-170 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Employer Share, Employee Retirement.—The payments made by Federal agencies to employee retirement funds are outlays of the agencies and are counted as such in the functions of the paying accounts.1 Since these are payments made by Federal agencies to other Federal agencies, they must be deducted prior to arriving at total budget authority and outlays in order to measure properly the Federal Government’s transactions with the public. The deduc tions are not made against the paying agencies and functions, because they are deemed appropriate charges that should be in cluded in the costs of these programs. Deductions are also not made against the trust funds and functions receiving the payments, because the size of the deductions would cause the budget author ity and outlay totals to seriously understate the amount of re sources used to carry out these programs. Hence, the deductions for these collections are recorded as undistributed offsetting receipts. The budget distinguishes two categories of these receipts—collec tions by budget accounts and collections by the off-budget social security accounts. Almost all of the $32.1 billion in 1988 that are collected by budget accounts go to the military retirement and the civil service retirement trust funds. Most of the remainder is col lected by the new Federal retirement thrift savings fund and the medicare trust fund. The off-budget undistributed offsetting receipts for the employer share of employee retirement are collected by two funds—the oldage and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. Most of these receipts are collected from on-budget Federal agencies. They are estimated to increase from $3.3 billion in 1987 to $5.5 billion in 1988, in part because it is the first full year in which agencies will make social security contributions for employees who transfer from the civil service retirement system to the new Federal employee retirement system. It is assumed that 40 percent of the eligible workforce will choose to transfer. The administration proposes to require the Department of De fense to make social security and medicare contributions for wage credits earned by military personnel. The administration also pro poses to require the Postal Service to begin paying the full employ er share of the actuarial cost of employee pensions. These propos als, which are discussed in greater detail in the national defense and commerce and housing credit functions, will increase employ ing agency outlays for employee retirement and, therefore, undis tributed offsetting receipts, by $155 million in 1988. Rents and Royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS).— Collections for rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf 1 The effect of future pay increases assumed for Federal civilian employees, which are discussed in the allowances section, is included in the estimates of employing agency payments to retirement trust funds. UNDISTRIBUTED OFFSETTING RECEIPTS 5-171 by the Federal Government are large. They arise from land owner ship by the Federal Government rather than as a result of any major spending program. Their inclusion as an offsetting receipt in any particular function would greatly understate the amount of budget authority and outlays used to carry out programs in that function; hence, they are not distributed by function. These collec tions include cash bonuses received from the leasing of OCS lands that have the promise of containing oil and gas; annual rents on existing leases; and royalties, based on a percentage of the value of production. Collections to which title is in dispute are not recorded as offsetting receipts in the budget. Until the dispute is settled, the collections are retained in escrow in a deposit fund outside the budget. When settlement is reached, only the amounts determined to belong to the Federal Government are recorded as undistributed offsetting receipts. On September 30, 1986, the amounts of disputed OCS collections held in escrow totaled $4.0 billion. Most of the collections held in escrow are expected to be disbursed in 1987. The current estimates of $3.9 billion in 1987 and $3.7 billion in 1988 assume that four OCS sales will be conducted in 1987 and nine sales in 1988. No final decision will be made on any of these sales until environmental studies and other requirements under the National Environmental Policy Act have been completed. Sale of Major Assets.—The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1986 authorized the sale of Conrail via a public offering. It is anticipated that the sale will be concluded in 1987 and that re ceipts from the sale, including cash transfers already made by Conrail to Treasury, could amount to $1.9 billion. The administra tion proposes to sell the naval petroleum reserves for an estimated $3.3 billion. Sales proceeds are expected to be received in 1988 and 1989. The five Federal power marketing administrations are also proposed to be sold, beginning in 1989. Both of these proposed sales are discussed in greater detail in the energy function. As discussed in the transportation function, the administration also proposes to sell some or all of Amtrak’s assets for $1.0 billion in 1988. In addition, the administration proposes to auction Federal Com munications Commission licenses for use of the unassigned spec trum by non-mass media services. Auctioning the assignments for mobile radio services frequencies is expected to generate approxi mately $600 million in 1988. Auction authority will not affect the terms of the licenses awarded and will not apply to licenses award ed in any medium of mass communications or for public safety or amateur services. Public auctions will capture the true value of licenses and give taxpayers a monetary return for use of the spec trum, which is a valuable and limited resource. According to normal budget accounting principles, the receipt from the above sales would be treated as offsets to the budget 5-172 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 authority and outlays for the respective agencies and functions. However, since the receipts from these sales are relatively large, such treatment would seriously distort the budget estimates for those agencies and functions. Hence, gross proceeds from the pro posed sales are classified as undistributed offsetting receipts. The decrease in spending or offsetting collections associated with some of these sales are recorded in the functions in which the program is classified. PART 6 SUPPLEMENTS 6-1 Part 6a PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET This part of the budget explains several topics that help to interpret the budget totals and to place the budget in perspective: • the relationship of budget authority to outlays; • limitations on the availability of funds; • fiscal activities outside the Federal budget: —off-budget Federal entities, —tax expenditures, and —regulation; • Federal debt and the relationship of budget funds to changes in Federal debt; • comparison of the actual and estimated totals in 1986 for: —receipts, —outlays, and —the deficit; • comparison of the actual and estimated relatively uncontrol lable outlays in 1986; and • the allocation of windfall profit tax receipts. RELATIONSHIP OF BUDGET AUTHORITY TO OUTLAYS The Congress must usually provide budget authority, which is generally in the form of appropriations, before Federal agencies can obligate the Government to make outlays. For 1988, $1,142.2 billion of new budget authority is proposed for the Federal Govern ment. Of this amount, $900.1 billion is for agencies included in the budget and $242.1 billion is for off-budget Federal entities. Of this total new budget authority, both on-budget and offbudget, $571.6 billion will require congressional action. New budget authority of $779.9 billion will be available through permanent appropriations under existing law. This consists mainly of trust fund receipts, which in most trust fund programs are automatically appropriated under existing law, and interest on the public debt, for which budget authority is automatically provided under a per manent appropriation enacted in 1847. This gross amount of new budget authority is partially offset by $209.3 billion of deductions for offsetting receipts, which consist of proprietary receipts from the public and collections of one Government account from an other. 6a-1 6a-2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 BUDGET AUTHORITY (In billions of dollars) Description Available through current action by the Congress: Enacted and pending appropriations.. Proposed in this budget: Appropriations1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Supplemental requests.. .. .. .. .. .. . Rescission proposals.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. To be requested separately: Upon enactment of proposed leg islation .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Allowances.Civilian agencies2.. .. .. .. .. Department of DefenseMilitary 3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, available through current action by the Congress.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Available without current action by the Congress (permanent appro priations): Trust funds (existing law).. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interest on the public debt.. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, available without cur rent action by the Congress.. . Deductions for offsetting receipts.... On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1986 actual 535.0 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 1990 estimate 1989 estimate 555.1 4.5 -5.7 0.7 567.3 .3 608.7 636.6 2.2 -6.1 -11.2 -.9 .5 2.8 2.7 6.8 11.4 535.0 554.6 571.6 609.9 639.6 439.0 (233.1) (205.9) 190.2 96.6 448.9 (220.9) (228.0) 191.7 83.6 504.2 (245.1) (259.2) 198.2 77.5 541.3 (257.2) (284.1) 204.8 73.0 582.7 (272.0) (310.8) 207.2 73.6 725.8 724.2 779.9 -188.1 (-171.8) (-16.3) 1,072.8 (883.2) (189.6) -185.0 (-171.0) (-14.0) 1,093.9 (879.9) (214.0) -209.3 (-191.8) (-17.6) 1,142.2 (900.1) (242.1) 819.1 -217.5 (-196.0) (-21.5) 1,211.6 (948.2) (263.4) 863.6 -231.4 (-206.4) (-25.0) 1,271.9 (985.3) (286.6) 1 For 1989, includes advance appropriations that are available without current action by Congress (permanent appropriations). 2 Allowance for civilian agency pay raises, Coast Guard military pay raises, and other purposes. 3 Allowances for civilian and military pay raises and other legislation for Department of Defense—Military. Not all of the new budget authority for 1988 will be obligated or spent in that year:1 • Budget authority for most trust funds comes from the author ity of these funds to spend their receipts. Any balances remain available to these trust funds indefinitely in order to finance benefits and other purposes specified by lawr. • Budget authority for most major construction and procure ment projects covers the entire cost estimated when the projects are initiated, even though work will take place and 1 This subject is also discussed in a separate 0MB report, “Balances of Budget Authority,” which can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service shortly after the budget is transmitted. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-3 outlays will be made over a period extending beyond the year for which the budget authority is enacted. Some exceptions are made to this convention, notably for water resource pro grams. • Government enterprises are occasionally given budget author ity for standby reserves that will be used only in the event of special circumstances. • Budget authority for large portions of the subsidized housing programs is equal to the Government’s estimated obligation to pay subsidies under contracts, which may extend for peri ods of up to 40 years. • Budget authority for most other long-term contracts also covers the estimated maximum obligation of the Government. • Budget authority for many direct loan programs provides fi nancing for a number of years; budget authority for many insurance and loan guarantee programs provides amounts to be used only in the event of defaults or other contingent claims made upon the programs. As a result of these factors, a substantial amount of budget authority carries over from one year to the next. Most of this is earmarked for specific uses and is not available for new programs. A small part may never be obligated or spent, because it is primar ily for contingencies that do not occur or reserves that never have to be used. As shown in the chart on the next page, $292.5 billion of the outlays in 1988 (29 percent of the total) will be made from budget authority enacted in previous years. At the same time, $410.4 billion of the new budget authority proposed for 1988 (36 percent of the total amount proposed) will not lead to outlays until future years. Thus, the total budget authority for a particular year is not useful for the analysis of that year’s outlays, since it combines various types of budget authority that have different short-term and long-term implications for budget obligations and outlays. Budget authority and its relationship to obligations and outlays are discussed further in Part 6b of this volume and displayed in table 11 of Part 6c. LIMITATIONS ON THE AVAILABILITY OF FUNDS Limitations on the availability of funds are a control mechanism that supplements the use of appropriations and other budgetary resources discussed in the previous section. Unlike budget author ity, limitations on the availability of funds generally are not the source of authority to incur obligations; rather, they place a special ceiling on the use of authority by limiting the amount that can be obligated or committed for a specific purpose. These limitations are established most often through the appropriations process. 6a-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Some limitations establish stricter control over the amounts pro vided by appropriations or other acts by limiting the amount to be allocated for specific purposes within an appropriation or fund account. • Many appropriation accounts provide funding for several ac tivities. A limitation can single out and restrict the amount of obligations for one or more of these activities within the overall budget authority provided for the account. For exam ple, the 1987 appropriation of $911 million for Operation of Indian programs in the Department of the Interior includes language specifying that an amount not to exceed $56 million is available for higher education scholarships and assistance to public schools. • A limitation can be established on the amount that can be used for a particular type of expense, such as travel, consult ants, or publications. These limitations can apply to (1) a single account; (2) all amounts within a single appropriations act; or (3) amounts in more than one appropriations act or amounts provided in substantive law. Other limitations can affect the total level—not just the composi tion—of obligations and spending. They are used to control funds that would otherwise become available under relatively broad au thority provided in substantive law without further action by the Congress in an appropriations act. In most cases these limitations 6a-5 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET SELECTED LIMITATIONS THAT AFFECT THE TOTAL LEVEL OF OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) 1986 enacted Direct loan obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Program levels (other than loans).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Administrative expenses of trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, selected limitations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 10.0 17.6 6.8 34.4 1987 estimate 6.1 17.6 6.7 30.4 1988 estimate 3.6 18.3 6.8 28.6 apply either (1) to trust fund activities, which are normally fi nanced through earmarked receipts, like the payroll tax receipts for the social security trust funds; (2) to revolving funds, which finance business-type operations that generate their own income to pay their expenses; or (3) to other accounts for which substantive law provides spending authority. Under the credit control system, limitations on Federal direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments are the princi pal method of controlling the allocation of Federal credit.2 These limitations provide a mechanism for annual Congressional review of the gross level of new credit activity. All direct lending will result in outlays. Guaranteed loan commitments—also important because of their effects on the credit market and the economy— ordinarily lead to Government spending only in the event of de fault. In addition to credit activities, certain other Federal program levels are also constrained through the use of limitations on operat ing and administrative expenses. For example, the use of the budget authority of the highway trust fund and the airport and airway trust fund is controlled by limitations on the agencies' ability to obligate the Federal Government to make payments. Non-loan, business-type activities controlled through limitations in clude the Federal buildings fund, which is controlled through limi tations on the use of receipts. For many trust funds, all income of the fund automatically be comes budget authority and is available for spending. The Congress exercises control over the benefits that are paid from these funds through the use of eligibility criteria and benefit levels established in substantive law. Through the use of limitations, the Congress can also exercise control over the administrative expenses of these trust funds. Such limits apply, for example, to the old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the hospital insurance trust fund. 2 The credit control system is discussed further in Part 3b of this volume and in Special Analysis F, “Federal Credit Programs,” in Special Analyses, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. 6a-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The preceding table summarizes some of the major limits on the availability of funds that affect budget spending. The amounts identified do not include all limitations, but they illustrate that spending can be changed significantly without changing budget authority. FISCAL ACTIVITIES OUTSIDE THE FEDERAL BUDGET The budget does not include some activities of the Federal Gov ernment that result in spending similar to budget outlays. These activities, nevertheless, channel economic resources toward particu lar uses in ways that are analogous to the effects of budget spend ing. The total receipts and outlays of the Federal Government are composed of both on-budget receipts and outlays and off-budget receipts and outlays. The receipts and outlays of the off-budget Federal entities are a significant exclusion from the budget. Legis lation enacted in 1985 made a major change in the budgetary classification of several activities by putting all of the previously off-budget Federal entities into the budget and moving social secu rity off-budget. The first section below discusses the off-budget Federal entities. This is followed by a discussion of fiscal activities that are out side the scope of budget outlays by their inherent nature. Taxation and tax expenditures have significant allocative effects on the economy that are analogous to budget outlays. Some types of regu lation have economic effects that are similar to budget outlays by requiring the private sector to make expenditures for specified purposes such as safety and pollution control. Two other major fiscal activities not recorded in budgetary outlays are the outlays of the Government-sponsored enterprises, which are excluded from the budget because the enterprises are privately owned, and loan guarantees, which generally do not result in budget outlays except in the case of default. Government-sponsored enterprises and loan guarantees are discussed in Part 3b, of this volume, “Federal Credit,” together with Federal direct loans. Part 3b also discusses an Administration proposal to make budgetary accounting for loan guarantees and direct loans more comparable with budgetary ac counting for other programs. Off-budget Federal Entities.—The Federal Government has used the unified budget concept as the foundation for its budgetary analysis and presentation since the 1969 budget. This concept calls for the budget to include all of the Government’s fiscal transac tions with the public. Starting in 1971, however, various laws have been enacted under which several Federal entities have been re moved from the budget or created outside the budget. Other laws PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-7 have moved certain off-budget Federal entities onto the budget. Under current law the off-budget Federal entities consist of the two social security trust funds, old-age and survivors insurance and disability insurance.3 The off-budget Federal entities are federally owned and con trolled, but their transactions are excluded from the budget totals under provisions of law. When an entity is off-budget, its receipts, outlays, and surplus or deficit are not included in budget receipts, budget outlays, or the budget deficit; its budget authority is not included in the totals of budget authority for the budget; and its receipts, outlays, and surplus or deficit ordinarily are not subject to the targets set by the congressional budget resolution.4 5 Nevertheless, the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Con trol Act of 1985 (commonly known as the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act) included the off-budget surplus or deficit in calculating the deficit targets under that Act and in calculating the excess deficit for purposes of that Act.6 Partly because of this reason, attention has focused on the total receipts, outlays, and deficit of the Federal Government instead of the on-budget amounts alone. Many of the tables in the budget documents include both on-budget and offbudget amounts, adding them together to arrive at the total Feder al receipts, outlays, and deficit. Other tables include the on-budget and off-budget amounts only in combination in order to concen trate on the total amounts of the Federal Government. The Federal entities that were off-budget until 1986 primarily made direct loans to the public. The Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act, however, placed on budget all of the entities that were then offbudget. This Act also changed the budgetary status of social securi ty. The Social Security Amendments of 1983 had already provided that beginning in 1993 the old-age and survivors insurance trust fund (OASI), the disability insurance trust fund (DI), and the hospi tal insurance trust fund (HI) would be excluded from the budget. The Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act provided that OASI and DI (but not HI) be off-budget as of 1986, even though, as noted above, it also provided that their receipts and disbursements should be in cluded in calculating the deficit targets. In order to provide consist ent comparisons over time, the on-budget and off-budget amounts for previous years that are published in the budget documents are all calculated on the basis of the current definition of off-budget Federal entities. 3 The “Perspectives” part of the 1986 and preceding Budgets describes the history of the off-budget Federal entities. 4 Financial statements for the off-budget Federal entities are published in the chapter entitled “Department of Health and Human Services, Social Security,” in the Appendix, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988, Part I. 5 The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is a Federal organization. It is excluded from the budget, from this discussion, and from the legislative proposals and changes in law. Financial statements are published for information purposes in the Appendix, Part IV, “Government-Sponsored Enterprises.” 6 The role of these particular deficit figures is explained in Part 6b of this volume. 6a-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 COMPARISON OF TOTAL, ON-BUDGET, AND OFF-BUDGET TRANSACTIONS 1 (In billions of dollars) Outlays Receipts Fiscal year Total Onbudget 1970.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1971.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .... .. .. 1972.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1973.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1974.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 192.8 187.1 207.3 230.8 263.2 159.3 151.3 167.4 184.7 209.3 1975.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1976.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. TQ.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1977.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1978.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1979.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 279.1 298.1 81.2 355.6 399.6 463.3 1980.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1981.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1982.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1983.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1984.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1985.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1986.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1987 est.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1988 est.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1989 est.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Offbudget Total Onbudget 33.5 35.8 39.9 46.1 53.9 195.6 210.2 230.7 245.7 269.4 168.0 177.3 193.8 200.1 217.3 216.6 231.7 63.2 278.7 314.2 365.3 62.5 66.4 18.0 76.8 85.4 98.0 332.3 371.8 96.0 409.2 458.7 503.5 517.1 599.3 617.8 600.6 666.5 403.9 469.1 474.3 453.2 500.4 113.2 130.2 143.5 147.3 166.1 734.1 769.1 842.4 916.6 976.2 1990 est.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,048.3 1991 est.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,123.2 1992 est.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,191.2 Surplus or deficit (-) Offbudget Offbudget Total On-budget 27.6 32.8 36.9 45.6 52.1 -2.8 -23.0 -23.4 -14.9 -6.1 -8.7 -26.1 -26.4 -15.4 -8.0 5.9 3.0 3.1 0.5 1.8 271.9 302.2 76.6 328.5 369.1 403.5 60.4 69.6 19.4 80.7 89.7 100.0 -53.2 -73.7 -14.7 -53.6 -59.2 -40.2 -55.3 -70.5 -13.3 -49.7 -54.9 -38.2 2.0 -3.2 -1.4 -3.9 -4.3 -2.0 590.9 678.2 745.7 808.3 851.8 476.6 543.0 594.3 661.2 686.0 114.3 -73.8 -72.7 135.2 -78.9 -73.9 151.4 -127.9 -120.0 147.1 -207.8 -208.0 165.8 -185.3 -185.6 -1.1 -5.0 -7.9 0.2 0.3 547.9 568.9 628.4 674.5 712.8 186.2 946.3 200.2 989.8 214.0 1,015.6 242.1 1,024.3 263.4 1,069.0 769.5 806.3 821.1 821.9 857.3 176.8 183.5 194.5 202.4 211.7 -221.6 -237.5 -192.7 -147.4 -144.5 9.4 16.7 19.5 39.7 51.7 761.6 815.4 865.9 286.6 1,107.8 307.7 1,144.4 325.3 1,178.9 885.4 911.1 935.1 222.4 233.3 243.9 -59.5 -123.8 -21.3 -95.7 12.3 -69.1 64.3 74.4 81.4 -212.3 -220.7 -173.2 -107.8 -92.8 1 The division of transactions between on-budget and off-budget is based for all years on the current definition of off-budget Federal entities. The accompanying table compares the total Federal Government receipts, outlays, and deficit with the amounts that are on-budget and off-budget (i.e., OASI and DI). In 1988 the off-budget receipts are an estimated 26 percent of total receipts, and the off-budget outlays are an estimated 20 percent of total outlays. The off-budget surplus of $39.7 billion is significant relative to the on-budget defi cit of $147.4 billion. As shown in this table, off-budget receipts and outlays have grown more rapidly than the on-budget amounts since 1970 and are estimated to continue growing more rapidly through 1992. The off-budget entities in total had deficits during 1976-82, but because of the Social Security Amendments of 1983 and an improving economy they have had surpluses beginning in 1983 and are estimated to have growing surpluses through 1992. Taxation and Tax Expenditures.—Taxation provides the Govern ment with receipts, which withdraw purchasing power from the private sector in order to finance direct Government expenditure. In addition to this effect, the structure of the tax system has PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-9 important effects on the allocation of resources among private uses and the distribution of income among individuals. These effects are caused by the choice of taxes and by the structural characteristics of each of these different taxes—for example, by the rate schedules, exemptions, deductions, and exclusions of the individual income tax. The effects of taxation on resource allocation and income distribution are analogous to the effects of outlays. Some features of the tax system have been defined as “tax ex penditures” and receive special attention in the budget. Tax ex penditures are defined as amounts attributable to provisions of the Federal income tax laws that allow a special exclusion, exemption, or deduction from gross income or that provide a special credit, a preferential rate of tax, or a deferral of tax liability. The Congres sional Budget Act requires that estimates of tax expenditures be published in the budget. Tax expenditures are so designated because they are one means by which the Federal Government pursues public policy objectives, and because in many cases they can be regarded as an alternative means of achieving the same objectives as direct expenditures. They can also be regarded as an alternative means of achieving the same objectives as other instruments of Government policy, such as loan guarantees, regulations, and provisions of the tax law other than those provisions that cause tax expenditures. There are nu merous examples of the similarity in objective between tax expend itures and direct outlays. For instance, the cost of medical care is reduced both by direct Government expenditures for the medicare and medicaid programs and by the exclusion from individual income of the medical insurance premiums that employers pay for their employees; and the cost of borrowing by eligible persons and businesses is reduced both by direct loans at subsidized interest rates and by tax exemption for certain bonds. Similarly, State and local governments benefit both from direct grants and from the ability to borrow funds at tax-exempt rates; and individuals benefit both from social security payments and from the tax exemption of most of these payments. Tax expenditures ordinarily result from permanent legislation. They therefore are not submitted to the Congress each year and do not routinely receive a formal and systematic annual review. In this sense they share a legislative status with entitlement pro grams, such as social security, which do not require annual appro priations. However, tax expenditures, other provisions of the income tax, and other tax laws are generally reviewed whenever fiscal policy decisions are considered regarding the overall level of tax receipts. As described in Part 4 of this volume, several major income tax laws have been adopted since 1981. Most recently the Tax Reform Act of 1986, which was enacted after a comprehensive 6a-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 review of the income tax law by the Treasury Department and the Congress, made major revisions to both tax expenditures and other provisions of the individual and corporation income taxes. The classification of certain provisions of law as resulting in tax expenditures requires some baseline tax structure against which the actual tax law can be compared. Deviations of the law from this baseline are deemed to cause tax expenditures. The Congres sional Budget Act does not provide an exact specification of the baseline against which tax expenditures are to be measured. The baseline used in the budget is intended to consist of the general provisions of the Internal Revenue Code. For the individual income tax, the baseline introduced in the 1983 budget specified those provisions that exist under current law for the definition of taxpaying units (including the separate corporation income tax), graduated rate schedules, personal exemptions, standard deduc tions, and basic accounting rules. The baseline before 1983 was similar, but in addition it required that the time pattern of depre ciation deductions approximate the useful life of assets and that all cash transfers from government be included in calculating taxable income. By definition, characteristics of the tax structure included in the baseline do not give rise to tax expenditures. The use of many of the general provisions of the Internal Reve nue Code for defining both of these baseline tax structures makes it clear that listing an item as a tax expenditure does not imply that it is either a desirable or an undesirable provision. When different provisions of the Code are considered to be in the base line, the list of tax expenditures is different and the amounts of particular tax expenditures may also be different. For example, in contrast with the baseline used in earlier years, the baseline intro duced in the 1983 budget has considered the accelerated cost recov ery system (ACRS) to be the general method for depreciating assets placed in service before January 1, 1987 (at which time the Tax Reform Act changed the general method for depreciating assets); this baseline therefore has included ACRS as part of the baseline deductions. This baseline has also excluded public assistance pay ments from baseline income. Therefore, under this baseline, unlike the pre-1983 baseline, tax expenditures do not arise from either the use of ACRS or the exclusion of public assistance benefits from adjusted gross income. The present budget shows tax expenditures relative to both of these baselines. These two baselines are not the only ones that might be used. In particular, a baseline tax structure might reflect a truly compre hensive income tax base. A truly comprehensive income tax base, among other differences from present law, would adjust income for the effect of inflation; would integrate the individual and corpora tion income taxes rather than regard the separate tax treatment of PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-ll individuals and corporations as part of the baseline tax structure; would include imputed income, such as the consumption benefits received from owner-occupied homes; and would tax income when it was accrued instead of when it was realized. Thus, for example, the failure under present law to tax imputed income would be regarded as giving rise to tax expenditures. On the other hand, the failure under present law to take account of inflation in measuring capital gains, depreciation, and interest income would be regarded as negative tax expenditures, since these deviations from the com prehensive baseline would raise the amount of taxes paid. Conse quently, under such a baseline structure, the list of tax expendi tures and their estimated amounts would be different from what they are now. Some of the items listed as tax expenditures under one or both of the present baselines can be regarded to some degree as inexact but practicable adjustments to correct for departures of the base line from a fully comprehensive tax base. For example, the use of more accelerated depreciation methods than economic life—which is a tax expenditure under the pre-1983 baseline—may be regarded as a means of offsetting the failure to adjust depreciation deduc tions for increases in the price level. Regardless of how the baseline is defined, the provisions of the tax law that do not result in tax expenditures deserve as much scrutiny as the provisions of the tax law that do. This is because the other provisions also have major effects on the allocation of resources and the distribution of income, and because these other provisions may be alternative means of achieving the same objec tives or analogous objectives as tax expenditures achieve. For ex ample, investment in equipment may be stimulated by either an increase in the investment tax credit or a decrease in the corpora tion income tax rate; the former is a change in a tax expenditure, but the latter is not. Similarly, income support may be provided by either the exclusion of social security benefits from taxable income or by the standard deduction; the former causes a tax expenditure, but the latter does not. Tax expenditures are estimated in two steps. First, the revenue loss of a tax provision is estimated, i.e., the difference between tax receipts and the amount that tax receipts would be if the tax law conformed to a specified baseline. If removing a tax provision would increase taxable income, for example, the revenue loss is estimated as the increase in taxable income multiplied by the tax rate that would be paid on the additional income. The revenue loss is then adjusted to an outlay equivalent, i.e., the amount of outlays that would be required to provide an equal after-tax income to the taxpayer as the special tax provision pro vides (and thereby also to provide an equal incentive). In many 6a-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 cases the required outlays are greater than the revenue loss, be cause taxpayers would have to pay taxes on the higher income derived from the outlays. For example, one tax expenditure provi sion is the exclusion from taxable income of the value of housing and meals supplied to military personnel. If the Government were to repeal this tax exclusion and instead pay higher salaries, the increase in salaries would be taxed. Consequently, if the Govern ment were to use taxable direct expenditures rather than tax expenditures and were to provide the same total after-tax compen sation, the increase in direct outlays for higher salaries would have to be greater than the revenue loss under the special tax provision. The Federal deficit would be the same in either case, however, because higher outlays would be required only to the extent needed to make up the difference caused by higher tax receipts. This adjustment makes the tax expenditures more comparable with direct outlays than the revenue loss would be and therefore more useful in analyzing Federal programs. For some tax expendi tures, though, the revenue loss is equivalent to a direct outlay without any adjustment. Special Analysis G, “Tax Expenditures,” presents estimates of tax expenditures defined both as outlay equivalents and as revenue losses, but for program analysis in this budget only the outlay equivalent estimates are used. The size of a particular tax expenditure depends not only on the tax provision in question but also on the interaction of this provi sion with the rest of the tax structure. The reductions in the individual and corporation income tax rate schedules provided by the Tax Reform Act of 1986, for example, have automatically de creased most tax expenditures below what they otherwise would have been. A tax rate reduction decreases the amount of receipts that would be gained by repealing deductions, exemptions, and exclusions, because lower tax rates are applied to the increase in taxable income. The interaction among tax provisions means that special calcula tions are generally needed to add tax expenditures together. For example, if more than one exclusion from individual income were ended, the gain in receipts would generally be greater than the sum of the separate tax expenditures, because some taxpayers would move into higher tax rate brackets. If more than one person al deduction were ended, the gain in receipts would generally be smaller than the sum of the separate tax expenditures, because some taxpayers would switch to using the standard deduction. Con sequently, adding together separate tax expenditures would usually be inaccurate, and they are not aggregated in this budget except for specially computed totals by functional category. Tax expenditures are presented at two places in the budget. Part 5, “Federal Programs by Function: Meeting National Needs,” dis PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-13 cusses the major tax expenditures in each functional category, together with outlays and guaranteed loans, in order to describe more fully the Government’s policy. Special Analysis G, “Tax Ex penditures,” analyzes the concept and measurement of tax expendi tures and presents a complete list of tax expenditure estimates for 1986-88. The discussion in Part 5 and the functional totals are based on the pre-1983 baseline. As discussed in Part 4 of this volume, “Federal Receipts by Source,” the Tax Reform Act of 1986 made major revisions to the individual and corporation income taxes. Many of its provisions repeal or directly reduce tax expenditures. For example, the invest ment tax credit is repealed, the personal deduction for sales taxes is eliminated, the personal deduction for interest on consumer credit is phased-out, the exclusion of contributions to individual retirement accounts (IRAs) is restricted, all of long-term realized capital gains are included in income, and the deductibility of pas sive business losses is limited. The Act also changed provisions of law other than tax expenditures, notably by decreasing the individ ual and corporation income tax rates and also by such provisions as raising personal exemptions and the standard deduction. To a significant extent the lower tax rates and the reduction in tax expenditures were a trade-off for each other. The Administration is proposing some changes affecting tax col lections in the present budget, which are largely trust fund reforms and initiatives to collect taxes owed but not paid. One tax expendi ture would be repealed, the exclusion from income of the income replacement benefits for coal miners disabled by black lung dis ease. The other proposed measures would change receipts but not tax expenditures, such as repealing various exemptions from the gasoline and diesel fuel taxes and extending medicare (hospital insurance) coverage to the minority of State and local government employees who are now exempted. Regulation.—Federal regulations provide a large variety of goods and services to the public, including the protection of the environ ment, the creation of incentives for the development of useful innovations, and the fair and efficient disbursement of Federal entitlements. These three types of regulatory activities are exam ples of the major categories of regulation: social, economic, and managerial. Social regulation generally establishes standards either for the characteristics of products or for the methods of producing products. Social regulations are usually aimed at curbing the unintended, harmful effects of products or production methods, such as pollution and accidents from industrial production or prod uct use. Economic regulation directly controls prices and market entry in order to promote competition and curb monopolistic be havior. In the last ten years the scope of economic regulation at 180-600 0 - 87 - 11 : QL 3 6a-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 the Federal level has been significantly reduced as the harmful effects of regulating naturally competitive industries have become better understood.7 Finally, managerial regulation sets the condi tions for the efficient and proper use of Government funds and property and ranges from the terms for procurement of Govern ment purchases to the Federal tax code. Social regulation differs from the other Federal activities outside the budget—from loan guarantees and tax expenditures, in particu lar, and also from the other forms of regulation—by directly re quiring expenditures for specific public purposes rather than induc ing desired private action by offering various types of incentives. Nevertheless, social regulatory activities are directly analogous to budget outlays in two important ways. First, the expenditures required by regulation have many of the same overall economic effects on output, employment, prices, and growth as do budget outlays. The Federal Government finances outlays by diverting resources from the private sector through taxation or borrowing. Similarly, business firms finance expendi tures required by regulation (e.g., for pollution control) by borrow ing, increasing prices, reducing other expenditures, or reducing dividends. These, of course, are the same ways firms finance taxes and thus have the same general effects on the economy as do many taxes. The incentive effects on working, investing, and saving may differ from income taxes, however, to the extent that tax liability is more directly tied to earnings, profits, and interest income than is regulation. Thus regulation may be closer to user fees and excise taxes in such impacts than to income taxes. In such instances social regulation can be considered a cost of production. Second, the effects of social regulation on the allocation of eco nomic resources are also similar to the effects of budget outlays. Most fundamentally, in both cases private resources are diverted to public purposes. Furthermore, in many cases expenditures required by regulation may be an alternative means of achieving the same public policy objectives as budget outlays or other instruments of Government policy such as taxes, tax expenditures, or loan guaran tees. For example, firms can be required by regulation to treat their effluents before dumping. Alternatively, public waste water treatment facilities can be constructed by direct expenditure of the Federal Government; such facilities can be constructed by States and localities with assistance in the form of Federal outlays for grants; they can be constructed by private firms with assistance from Federal loan guarantees for their borrowing, Federal income tax exemption for the interest on their bonds, or rapid amortiza tion of their capital costs for determining their Federal income tax; 7 A brief history of this deregulatory effort is presented in chapter 5, “Reforming Regulation: Utilizing Market Incentives,” of the Economic Report of the President (February 1986). PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-15 or the Federal Government could even charge firms an effluent fee sufficient to cause them to cut back on their dumping by the same amount. The basic allocative effects are similar, although the effi ciency of the method might differ from one policy instrument to another, and the implications for the distribution of income might also differ. Perhaps the most basic procedural difference between budget outlays, loan guarantees, and tax expenditures on the one hand, and expenditures to meet social regulations on the other, is that no systematic accounting is kept of the latter. Some incomplete esti mates of these expenditures have been made by adding up esti mates of the costs of individual regulations made by various re searchers, who often use different methods, assumptions, and time periods. Not surprisingly, these estimates show considerable varia tion. They range from about $50 billion to $150 billion per year, which is equal to about 5 to 15 percent of Federal outlays. The Federal Government thus does not currently have any formal accounting of regulatory costs or any process analogous to the budget process for the purposes of reviewing and controlling regulatory costs, either in the aggregate or for individual pro grams. Nevertheless, new regulatory activities are now examined under a formal review process established by Executive Order 12291, issued in February 1981, and Executive Order 12498, issued in January 1985. Executive Order 12291 established regulatory principles and required each agency covered by the Order to adhere to them, to the extent permitted by law. Agencies must also submit drafts of proposed and final rules and drafts of regulatory impact analyses, before they are issued, to the Office of Manage ment and Budget for review for consistency with the President’s principles. According to these principles, agencies must: • base regulations upon adequate information concerning the need for and consequences of the proposed action, • not issue regulations unless the potential benefits to society outweigh the potential costs to society, and • select the alternative approach to a given regulatory objective that involves the least net cost to society. These policies are conducted within the statutory authorities of the agencies and apply only to the extent of the discretion given by the statutes to Federal regulatory officials. Executive Order 12498 established that an annual regulatory program would be developed and published each year in order to explain the Administration’s regulatory plan and priorities for the upcoming year. Agencies are required to submit to the Office of Management and Budget a statement of the regulatory policies, goals, and objectives they intend to pursue during the coming year. This Executive Order also directs the agencies to provide summary 6a-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 descriptions of all significant regulatory actions underway or planned for the coming year. The Office of Management and Budget is directed by the Executive Order to review each agency’s draft regulatory program for consistency with the Administration’s regulatory policies and priorities and with the regulatory programs submitted by other agencies. The first Regulatory Program of the United States Government was published August 8, 1985, and the second on August 7, 1986. This program moves the regulatory oversight process a step closer toward the budgetary process, because the Administration’s priorities and goals are now spelled out in one document for Con gress and the American people to understand and review. This process, however, cannot deal systematically with the overall impact of regulatory activities on the economy until an estimate of the annual incremental expenditures required by regulation is made. This is extremely difficult because, unlike budgetary deci sions, regulatory decisions are still to a large extent made on an individual basis. In an effort to determine better the overall effects of regulatory activities and to improve the regulatory oversight process, mem bers of Congress and the past two Administrations have considered developing an accounting framework to track expenditures directly required by regulation. This framework, however, is still in the proposal stage, and more work needs to be done to solve the practi cal accounting problems inherent in measuring private regulatory expenditures. One practical problem is that in order to get accurate expendi ture figures it might be necessary to ask private firms and individ uals to keep records, which would create a considerable compliance burden. Second, estimating which expenditures were made because of a regulation compared to which would have occurred in the absence of regulation is often extremely subjective. For example, in the absence of regulations for automobile safety standards some level of safety would still be built into vehicles, but since the amount is unknown the additional cost of regulation cannot be calculated accurately. A third type of problem arises because the indirect costs of regulation are extremely difficult to estimate and probably are relatively more important for regulation than for spending and taxing. Indirect costs result when regulation reduces otherwise desirable economic activities by raising production or product costs, by making the product less desirable, or, in the extreme, by banning the product or making it unprofitable to produce. The economic loss caused by this decline in economic activity is the excess of the value to consumers of this forgone output above the costs of pro duction. Since this indirect cost is not directly measurable, and can PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-17 only be estimated by complicated statistical models, it would be problematic to combine estimates of these indirect costs with the direct costs of regulation. Yet measuring only the direct expendi ture costs of regulation for use in an oversight program may create a bias toward banning substances and products rather than con trolling them, since banning a product, service, or manufacturing process mainly gives rise to indirect costs. These practical prob lems, although important, do not appear to be intractable. They should be addressed, however, in developing an accounting system for measuring the aggregate impacts of regulation. BUDGET FUNDS AND THE FEDERAL DEBT The budget consists of two major groups of funds: Federal funds and trust funds. The Federal funds are derived mainly from tax receipts and borrowing and are used for the general purposes of the Government. Most of these funds are not restricted by law to any specific Government program. The trust funds, on the other hand, collect certain taxes and other receipts for specified purposes, such as paying social security and unemployment insurance bene fits. The social security trust funds (old-age and survivors insur ance and disability insurance) are now excluded from the budget by law and classified as off-budget Federal entities. The budget includes the receipts and outlays of both the Federal funds and the on-budget trust funds and, as shown in the table on the next page, deducts the various transactions that occur between them in order to arrive at the on-budget totals for receipts, outlays, and the deficit. The on-budget totals plus the off-budget totals may be added, as shown in this table, to arrive at the total receipts, outlays, and deficit of the Federal Government. These latter totals for receipts and outlays thus generally represent the net transac tions of the Federal Government with the public.8 Therefore, as shown in the subsequent table, the Federal deficit or surplus is the principal determinant of the change in the Feder al debt held by the public.9 The Federal deficit, together with the other factors noted in this table, is estimated to increase the Feder al debt held by the public by $162.2 billion in 1987 and $106.7 billion in 1988.10 These borrowing projections are based on deficits that are consistent with the economic assumptions explained in Part 3a of this volume. 8 Special Analysis C, “Funds in the Budget,” discusses further the two major groups of funds and the offbudget Federal entities. 9 Table 6 in Part 6c of this volume contains more detail on budget financing through 1992 and shows the levels of debt from 1986 to 1992. Federal borrowing and debt are discussed extensively in Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt.” Historical data since 1940 are published in Historical Tables, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. 10 Some of the data on borrowing and debt for 1985 and 1986 have been retroactively revised from the amounts previously published in budget documents and Treasury reports. These changes are discussed in Special Analysis E. 6a-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 TRANSACTIONS BY FUND GROUP (In billions of dollars) 1986 actual 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 1989 estimate 1990 estimate Receipts: On-budget: Federal funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 473.5 526.1 569.0 601.4 645.7 Trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 206.9 215.1 232.5 243.9 257.3 Interfund transactions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -111.6 -112.9 -127.1 -132.5 -141.3 Total, on-budget receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 568.9 628.4 674.5 712.8 761.6 Off-budget (trust funds).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 200.2 214.0 242.1 263.4 286.6 Total, Federal Government receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 769.1 842.4 916.6 976.2 1,048.3 Outlays: On-budget: Federal funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 756.5 769.1 780.5 813.3 840.5 Trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 161.4 164.8 168.5 176.6 186.2 Interfund transactions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -111.6 -112.9 -127.1 -132.5 -141.3 Total, on-budget outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 806.3 821.1 821.9 857.3 885.4 Off-budget (trust funds).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 183.5 194.5 202.4 211.7 222.4 Total, Federal Government outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 989.8 1,015.6 1,024.3 1,069.0 1,107.8 Surplus or deficit (-): On-budget: Federal funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -283.0 -243.0 -211.4 -211.8 -194.9 Trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 50.3 64.0 67.3 71.1 45.5 Total, on-budget surplus or deficit (—).. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -237.5 -192.7 -147.4 -144.5 -123.8 39.7 Off-budget (trust funds).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 16.7 51.7 19.5 64.3 Total, Federal Government surplus or deficit (-).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -220.7 -173.2 -107.8 -92.8 -59.5 Gross Federal debt is the sum of the debt held by the public and the debt held by the Government itself, which includes such invest ments as the Treasury debt held by the social security, unemploy ment, and other trust funds. At the end of 1988 gross Federal debt is estimated to be $2,585.5 billion, of which debt held by the Gov ernment itself is $570.4 billion and debt held by the public is $2,015.1 billion. Thus, gross Federal debt is much larger than the Federal debt held by the public. Gross Federal debt is estimated to rise by $213.0 billion during 1988. As indicated in the lower section of the following table, $106.3 billion of this increment will be held in trust funds and other Government accounts. This is nearly all due to the investment of trust fund surpluses in Treasury debt. The gross Federal debt consists almost entirely of securities issued by the Treasury Department. However, a few Government agencies are authorized to issue their own debt instruments to the public or to other Government accounts. These securities are part of the gross Federal debt. At the end of 1986 the public held $3.7 6a-19 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCING AND CHANGE IN DEBT OUTSTANDING 1 (In billions of dollars) Description 1986 actual 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 1989 estimate 1990 estimate -220.7 -173.2 -107.8 -92.8 -59.5 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-237.5) (-192.7) (-147.4) (-144.5) (-123.8) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (39.7) (19.5) (16.7) (64.3) (51.7) Surplus or deficit (—).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Means of financing other than borrowing from the public: Decrease or increase (-) in Treasury operating cash balance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Increase or decrease (-) in: Checks outstanding, etc.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Deposit fund balances.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Seigniorage on coins.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total, means of financing other than borrowing from the public.. . -14.3 11.4 1.9 -3.5 .4 1.9 -2.8 .4 1.8 -1.2 ,4 .4 .4 -15.6 10.9 1.0 .4 .4 Total, requirements for borrowing from the public.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -236.3 -162.2 -106.7 -92.3 -59.1 Change in debt held by the public.. .. .. .. .. . 236.3 162.2 106.7 92.3 59.1 .9 63.3 -.9 61.5 1.2 66.6 67.3 71.1 8.6 -3.4 19.5 -2.8 39.7 -1.2 51.7 64.3 69.4 77.3 106.3 119.0 135.4 305.7 239.5 213.0 211.4 194.4 Change in Federal debt held by Govern ment accounts: Federal funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Trust funds (on-budget)2.. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget Federal entities (trust funds) 3 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Deposit funds4.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, change in Federal debt held by Government accounts.... Change in gross Federal debt.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1 Several amounts have been assumed to be zero in 1988-90 because they are usually small and cannot be estimated accurately. 2 Estimates for 1989 and 1990 are equal to the surplus of the trust funds on-budget. 3 Estimates for 1989 and 1990 are equal to the surplus of the trust funds off-budget. 4 Only those deposit funds classified as Government accounts. billion of agency debt, most of which was issued some years ago by agencies that no longer borrow or that borrow only from the Feder al Financing Bank (FFB). The FFB finances its purchases of agency debt mostly by borrowing from the Treasury, which in turn bor rows from the public. The agency debt held by the FFB is not included in gross Federal debt, in order to prevent double counting. Almost all the new agency borrowing from the public is inherent in the way that the agency operates a program. In particular, during 1986 the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation began to issue notes as part of some agreements with prospective purchasers to buy failing banks. The issuance of these notes is an outlay and a borrowing.11 Almost all Treasury securities are covered by a general statutory debt limitation. The present limit is $2,300 billion through May 15, 11 This type of transaction is discussed more fully in Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt.’ 6a-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 FEDERAL FUNDS FINANCING AND CHANGE IN DEBT SUBJECT TO LIMIT (In billions of dollars) 1986 actual 1987 estimate 1988 estimate -283.0 -243.0 -211.4 -14.3 11.4 -7.7 -3.5 .4 -25.1 -9.3 -2.8 .4 — .2 -.9 -1.2 .4 -1.6 Decrease or increase (-) in Federal debt held by Federal funds and deposit funds1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Increase or decrease (—) in Federal funds debt not subject to limit.. .. .. Total, requirements for borrowing subject to debt limit.. .. .. .. .. .. . 2.5 18.5 -287.2 3.7 -2.8 -242.3 -6.7 -219.7 Change in debt subject to limit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 287.2 242.3 219.7 Description Federal funds surplus or deficit (—).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Means of financing other than borrowing: Decrease or increase ( —) in Treasury operating cash balance.. .. .. .. .. Increase or decrease (-) in: Checks outstanding, etc.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deposit fund balances.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Seigniorage on coins.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, means of financing other than borrowing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . _* *$50 million or less. 1 Only those deposit funds classified as Government accounts. 1987, at which time it is scheduled to return to $2,111 billion. The debt subject to limit is estimated to rise to $2,353.3 billion by the end of 1987. Therefore, in order to permit the Federal Government to meet its obligations, the limit will have to be raised. Debt subject to the general statutory limit, like gross Federal debt, includes debt held internally within the Government, such as the Treasury issues held by the social security trust funds. Debt subject to the statutory limit is therefore much larger than the debt held by the public and is nearly as large as gross Federal debt. It is a little less than gross Federal debt because a few types of Treasury debt and most agency debt are excluded from the general statutory limitation. Since trust fund surpluses for the most part have been invested in debt securities, rather than being held as cash assets, the Feder al funds deficit must be financed primarily by borrowing. This debt is almost entirely subject to the statutory limit. As shown in the table above, the estimated Federal funds deficit is $211.4 billion in 1988, and the estimated increase in debt subject to statutory limit is $219.7 billion. Thus, the Federal funds deficit approximately accounts for the increase in the debt subject to limit. COMPARISON OF ACTUAL AND ESTIMATED FEDERAL GOVERNMENT TOTALS FOR 1986 The following sections compare the actual 1986 receipts, outlays, and deficit with the amounts estimated in the 1986 budget, which was transmitted to the Congress in February 1985 for the fiscal year ending on September 30, 1986. 6a-21 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET Comparison of Receipts.—Receipts in 1986 were $769.1 billion, which is $24.6 billion less than the February 1985 estimate of $793.7 billion. This was the net effect of differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in the 1986 budget, lower than anticipated incomes, and different collection patterns and effective tax rates than had been assumed. COMPARISON OF ACTUAL 1986 RECEIPTS WITH THE FEBRUARY 1985 ESTIMATES (In billions of dollars) Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Miscellaneous receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . February 1985 estimate1 Differences in tax law from 1985 proposals Different economic conditions Technical factors Net change Actual 362.8 74.1 285.4 35.0 5.3 12.3 18.7 793.7 0.6 0.6 -0.4 0.9 -14.8 -13.1 -0.5 -2.8 _* 1.1 -1.9 -32.1 0.4 1.5 -0.6 -0.2 1.6 -0.1 3.1 5.7 -13.9 -10.9 -1.5 -2.1 1.6 1.0 1.2 -24.6 349.0 63.1 283.9 32.9 7.0 13.3 19.9 769.1 1.8 *$50 million or less. 1 The February 1985 estimates have been adjusted by the following amounts to reflect changes in the classification of taxes on social security benefits: individual income taxes ($4.0 billion), social insurance taxes and contributions (-$4.1 billion), and miscellaneous receipts ($0.1 billion). Differences in tax law from the legislation proposed in the budget increased 1986 receipts by $1.8 billion. These legislative differences consisted of congressional inaction on, or modification of, the proposals in the 1986 budget, and of changes in law that the administration did not propose at that time. Several user fees and trust fund reforms were proposed in the 1986 budget. Other proposed changes included incentives for higher education, a tuition tax credit, and incentives for the redevelop ment of economically distressed areas. Altogether, the February 1985 proposals were estimated to reduce 1986 receipts by an esti mated $0.2 billion. The Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1985 (COBRA) and several temporary extensions of the 16 cents per pack excise tax on cigarettes, which would have otherwise expired on September 30, 1985, were the only major tax changes enacted after February 1985 that affected 1986 receipts. Several of the provisions of COBRA were modifications of the user fees and trust fund reforms proposed in the budget; but others, such as the per manent extension of the 16 cents per pack cigarette excise tax and the extension of medicare coverage to State and local employees hired after March 31, 1986, had not been proposed in the budget. The provisions of COBRA, together with the previous temporary extensions of the cigarette excise tax and several minor legislative changes, increased 1986 receipts by $1.6 billion, which is $1.8 bil lion more than the administration had proposed. 6a-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Differences between the economic assumptions upon which the original receipts estimates were made and the actual outcome— primarily incomes and oil prices that proved to be lower than anticipated—accounted for a net decrease in receipts of $32.1 bil lion. Individual income taxes were reduced $14.8 billion due to lower than expected personal incomes. Lower than anticipated cor porate profits reduced collections of corporation income taxes by $13.1 billion. Declining oil prices, which reduced collections of the windfall profit excise tax, were primarily responsible for the de crease in excise taxes of $2.8 billion. Higher than expected imports, due primarily to the continued strength of the dollar relative to foreign currencies, increased customs duties by $1.1 billion. Different collection patterns and effective tax rates than had been assumed in February 1985 increased collections of individual and corporation income taxes by $0.4 billion and $1.5 billion, re spectively. Technical factors, including higher holdings of debt se curities by the Federal Reserve, increased other sources of receipts by a net $3.8 billion. Comparison of Outlays.—Outlays for 1986 were $989.8 billion, which is $16.1 billion higher than the initial estimate made by the Administration in its budget transmitted to Congress in February 1985. This section reviews the major causes of the increase. The following table compares the initial outlay estimate with the actual outlay total and shows both as a percentage of GNP. Total outlays were 1.6 percent above the initial estimate. The table also compares defense with nondefense outlays. Actual outlays for de fense were 4.3 percent below the initial estimate, while outlays for nondefense programs were 4.1 percent higher. 1986 OUTLAY DIFFERENCES (Dollars in billions) February 1985 estimate Total outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . National defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total outlays as a percent of GNP.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 973.7 (285.7) (688.0) 23.2 Actual 989.8 (273.4) (716.4) 23.8 Percent change 1.6 -4.3 4.1 2.6 Chronology of the outlay increase.—The Administration’s initial estimate for outlays for 1986 was $973.7 billion. The table below shows subsequent revisions to this estimate. In April 1985, the estimate decreased by $2.0 billion largely due to lower inflation assumptions that reduced estimates of cost-of-living adjustments for indexed programs and also due to technical reestimates for Rural Electrification Administration lending. This decline contin ued through August 1985, when outlay estimates were reduced by PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-23 $14.0 billion. This was primarily the result of the Administration’s acceptance of the lower defense levels included in the 1986 Con gressional Budget Resolution. These decreases were more than offset by an increase of $22.2 billion in the 1987 budget. The largest increases were for farm price supports, net interest, and general revenue sharing. In August 1986, the outlay estimate was revised upward by $15.5 billion. This was largely the result of technical reestimates spread among numerous accounts, but primarily for the national defense function, farm price supports, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Technical reestimates for many programs account for actual outlays being $5.6 billion below the August 1986 estimate, with lower outlays for net interest and other programs partially offset by higher outlays for national defense and medicare. CHRONOLOGY OF THE 1986 OUTLAY INCREASE (In billions of dollars) February 1985 estimate (1986 Budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 973.7 Changes from previous estimate: April 1985 (April Update): Decreases of $1.4 billion for social security, $1.3 billion for the Rural Electrification Administration, and $1.3 billion in net interest were partially offset by increases of $0.5 billion for medicare and a $0.6 billion decline in offsetting receipts from the Outer Continental Shelf.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -2.0 August 1985 (Mid-Session Review): Decreases of $18.6 billion for the national defense function, $3.2 billion for net interest, and $0.6 billion for medicare were partially offset by an increase of $2.9 billion for farm price supports.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -14.0 February 1986 (1987 Budget): Increases of $7.0 billion for farm price supports, $4.6 billion for net interest, $3.2 billion for general revenue sharing, $2.9 billion for income security, $2.3 billion for agricultural credit insurance, and a variety of other domestic programs were partially offset by decreases of $3.4 billion for foreign aid and $1.3 billion for the national defense function.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 22.2 August 1986 (Mid-Session Review): Increases of $5.6 billion for the national defense function, $5.2 billion for farm price supports, $2.6 billion for the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, $1.3 billion for the Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corporation, and $0.9 billion for the Federal ship financing fund were partially offset by decreases of $3.8 billion for net interest, $0.9 billion for the Export-Import Bank, $0.7 billion for the Postal Service, and $0.6 billion for social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 15.5 September 30, 1986: Decreases of $3.0 billion in net interest, $1.4 billion for international monetary programs, and $1.0 billion for the Farmers Home Administration were partially offset by increases of $2.0 billion for the national defense function, and $1.1 billion for medicare.. .. .. . -5.6 Total increase.. .. .. ..... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 16.1 Actual.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 989.8 Major causes of the increase.—The following table distributes the $16.1 billion increase in outlays according to three categories: (1) policy changes, (2) economic conditions, and (3) estimating and other differences. The amounts in the first two categories represent approximations for the major items, while the third category is a residual. Policy changes to the 1986 budget proposals were a result of revised Administration proposals and congressional action that dif fered from the initial Administration proposals. The net effect of 6a-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 all policy changes was a $9.3 billion increase in outlays. This effect includes the $11.7 billion decrease in outlays associated with the across-the-board reductions and other cuts required by the GrammRudman-Hollings Act. Outlays for national defense programs were $19.9 billion lower than proposed, due to policy change, whereas outlays for nondefense programs were $29.2 billion higher. This pattern of decreased defense outlays and increased nondefense out lays also occurred for budget proposals in the four previous years. Outlays for nondefense discretionary programs, including credit programs, were almost $7 billion above the Administration’s origi nal proposals due to policy changes. This includes increases in regular and supplemental appropriations bills, as well as partial offsets from the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings cuts. Outlays for benefit payments for individuals were $6.8 billion above the Administration’s proposals due to policy changes. Policy changes, largely congressional unwillingness to enact savings pro posed by the Administration, increased outlays for medicare by $3.9 billion. Administration proposals to reform medicaid, aid to families with dependent children (AFDC), child nutrition, and guar anteed student loans were also not enacted, thus increasing outlays by $2.5 billion from the President’s original proposals. SUMMARY OF REASONS FOR DIFFERENCE IN 1986 OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) Total Reasons for difference (net): Policy changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Economic conditions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Estimating differences and other changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 9.3 -4.9 11.7 16.1 Policy changes for other mandatory programs increased non defense outlays by $10.3 billion. The advanced deficiency payments and marketing loans required by the farm bill of 1985 caused a $5.3 billion increase in outlays for farm price supports. Outlays for general revenue sharing were $3.9 billion higher than proposed because of a delay in the termination of the program and a timing shift in the payment for the last quarter of 1986. Policy differences affecting collections that offset outlays in creased net outlays by $5.3 billion. Most of this change was due to congressional unwillingness to enact legislation to authorize the sale of Conrail in 1986 and to implement most of the user fees proposed by the Administration. It also reflects congressional inac tion on proposals to partially finance low-income home energy assistance with recovered oil overcharge funds; to change the for mula for sharing mineral and timber receipts with the States; and 6a-25 PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET to liquidate the loan portfolio of the Small Business Administra tion. Economic conditions differed from those forecast in February 1985 as shown in the following table. Growth in real GNP fell short of the growth projected by 1.1 percentage points and 1.3 percentage points for 1985 and 1986, respectively. Inflation, as measured by both the GNP deflator and the Consumer Price Index, was lower than projected for both 1985 and 1986. The total unemployment rate was higher than anticipated in 1985 by 0.1 percentage point and was correctly forecast for 1986. Interest rates, as measured by the 91-day Treasury bill rate, were 0.6 percentage point lower than projected in 1985 and 1.9 percentage points lower in 1986. COMPARISON OF FEBRUARY 1985 ECONOMIC FORECAST AND ACTUAL ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE (Calendar years) February 1985 estimate 1985 Percent change: GNP (constant dollars): 4th quarter over 4th quarter1.. Inflation (4th quarter over 4th quarter): GNP deflator1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Consumer Price Index (CPI).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total unemployment rate (annual average).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interest rate (91-day bills, annual average).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1986 Difference Actual 1985 1986 1985 1986 4.0 4.0 2.9 2.7 -1.1 -1.3 4.3 4.2 7.0 8.1 4.3 4.3 6.9 7.9 3.3 3.3 7.1 7.5 2.6 -1.0 -1.7 0.9 -0.9 -3.4 6.9 0.1 6.0 -0.6 -1.9 1 February 1985 estimates based on data prior to the December 1985 benchmark revision of the national income and product accounts. The difference between the economic forecast and economic per formance resulted in a net outlay decrease of $4.9 billion. Esti mates of the major components of this decrease are shown in the following table. Lower inflation reduced outlays by $1.1 billion. Social security accounts for half of this change. Although the total unemployment rate was correctly forecast for the fiscal year, weekly benefit amounts were higher than expected, which in creased unemployment compensation outlays by $1.4 billion. Out lays decreased by $7.3 billion due to the net effect of lower interest rates and the increased borrowing associated with changes in eco nomic conditions. Estimating differences and other changes account for a $11.7 billion increase in 1986 outlays. The largest estimating adjustments were for national defense programs and farm price supports. Out lays for national defense programs were up by $7.6 billion due to greater spending for procurement than anticipated. Crop produc tion and farm participation were greater than estimated, resulting in an outlay increase of about $10.0 billion for the Commodity Credit Corporation. Comparison of the Deficit—The preceding two sections discuss in detail the differences between the February 1985 budget estimates 6a-26 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 EFFECT OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN ESTIMATED AND ACTUAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ON 1986 OUTLAYS (In billions of dollars) Difference Unemployment assumptions (Unemployment compensation).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Price differences: Cost of living adjustments: Social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Medical prices: Medicare and medicaid.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Subtotal, price differences.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. +1.4 -0.6 -0.6 +0.2 -1.1 Interest differences: Net interest: Interest rates.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Differences in borrowing 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Subtotal, interest differences.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -7.7 +1.0 -0.6 -7.3 Offsetting receipts from the Outer Continental Shelf.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. +2.1 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -4.9 1 Includes only the effect of differences in borrowing associated with differences in economic conditions. and the actual amounts of Federal Government receipts and out lays in 1986. This section summarizes the net impact of these differences on estimates of the deficit. The deficit for 1986 was originally estimated to be $180.0 billion; the actual deficit was $220.7 billion, a $40.7 billion increase. The following table shows the approximate distribution of this differ ence according to three categories: (1) policy; (2) economic condi tions that were different from the original forecast; and (3) estimat ing and other technical differences. Each category is subdivided to show the impact of receipts compared to outlays. An increase in receipts is shown as positive because it reduces the deficit, while an increase in outlays is shown as negative because it raises the deficit. The actual deficit was above the initial estimate due to both large reductions in receipts and large increases in outlays. Almost two-thirds of the increase in the deficit was caused by economic conditions. The remaining increase was caused by both technical reestimates and policy changes. Changes in economic conditions account for a $27.2 billion in crease in the deficit. Receipts decreased due to lower than antici pated incomes and oil prices. This was offset to only a limited extent by lower outlays resulting from lower interest rates than had been estimated. Policy changes increased the deficit by $7.5 billion. Technical reestimates, which increased outlays much more PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-27 SUMMARY OF REASONS FOR THE DIFFERENCE IN THE 1986 DEFICIT (In billions of dollars) Total February 1985 estimate of surplus or deficit(-).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -180.0 Changes: Policy: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1.8 Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -9.3 Subtotal, policy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -7.5 Economic conditions: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -32.1 Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 4.9 Subtotal, economic conditions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -27.2 Estimating and other differences: Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 5.7 Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -11.7 Subtotal, estimating and other differences.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -6.0 Total, changes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -40.7 Actual surplus or deficit (-).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -220.7 MEMORANDUM Total change in receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -24.6 Total change in outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -16.1 Note: Receipt increases and outlay decreases are shown as positive because they lower the deficit. than they increased receipts, further raised the deficit by $6.0 billion. COMPARISON OF THE ACTUAL AND ESTIMATED RELATIVELY UNCONTROLLABLE OUTLAYS FOR 1986 Outlays in any one year are considered to be relatively uncon trollable when the program level is determined by existing statutes or by contracts or other obligations. Outlays for these programs generally depend on factors that are beyond administrative control under existing law at the start of the fiscal year. For example, the criteria making people eligible for programs like medicaid and civil service retirement is established by law. Prior-year contracts and obligations are also legally binding. Relatively uncontrollable outlays are grouped into two major categories: (1) open-ended programs and fixed costs, for which out lays are generally mandated by law; and (2) payments from prioryear contracts and obligations, for which outlays are required be cause of previous action, such as entering into contracts. Estimates of relatively uncontrollable outlays are for outlays mandated under existing law (i.e., they exclude any effect of proposed legislation on the programs). 6a-28 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 A number of factors may cause differences between the amounts estimated in the budget and the actual outlays. For example, legis lation may change benefit rates or coverage; the actual number of beneficiaries may differ from the number estimated; and economic conditions (such as interest rates) may differ from what was as sumed in making the estimates. The following table shows the differences between actual outlays for relatively uncontrollable programs in 1986 and the amounts estimated in the 1986 budget. The list of programs is the same as in Table 16 (Controllability of Outlays) in Part 6c of this volume. Actual outlays for relatively uncontrollable programs in 1986 were $745.4 billion, which is $1.4 billion or 0.2 percent below the initial estimate based on existing law in February 1985. Outlays for openended programs and fixed costs were $4.5 billion above the initial estimate (adjusted for comparable coverage), while outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations were $5.8 billion lower. RELATIVELY UNCONTROLLABLE OUTLAYS FOR 1986 (In billions of dollars) Relatively uncontrollable under present law Open-ended programs and fixed costs: Payments for individuals: Social security and railroad retirement.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Federal employees' retirement and insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (Military retired pay).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (Other).............. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Unemployment compensation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Medical care............ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Assistance to students.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Food and nutrition assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Public assistance and related programs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other...................... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. February 1985 estimate (existing law) Actual Change 203.4 54.1 (18.3) (35.8) 14.8 96.8 4.6 4.1 23.1 2.9 199.9 52.9 (17.6) (35.3) 16.3 97.8 4.5 3.8 24.5 2.9 -3.5 -1.2 (-0.7) (-0.5) 1.5 1.0 -0.1 -0.3 1.5 * Subtotal, payments for individuals.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 403.7 402.6 -1.2 Other open-ended programs and fixed costs: Net interest.............. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . General revenue sharing.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Farm price supports (CCC).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other...................... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 142.9 4.6 12.3 -4.0 136.0 5.1 25.8 -5.4 -7.0 0.5 13.5 -1.4 Subtotal, other open-ended programs and fixed costs.. .. .. 155.9 161.5 5.6 Total, open-ended programs and fixed costs.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 559.6 564.1 4.5 Outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations: National defense.......... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Nondefense.................. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 109.2 78.0 107.8 73.5 -1.4 -4.4 Total, outlays from prior-year contracts and obligations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 187.2 181.3 -5.8 Total, relatively uncontrollable outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 746.8 745.4 -1.4 *$50 million or less. PERSPECTIVES ON THE BUDGET 6a-29 Payments for individuals, which are essentially income transfers, were 71.4 percent of all open-ended programs and fixed costs in 1986. Actual outlays for these payments were $1.2 billion lower than originally estimated. This decrease was the net effect of legis lative action, differences between actual and assumed economic conditions, differences between the anticipated and actual number of beneficiaries, and other technical adjustments. Outlays for social security and railroad retirement, the largest category of payments for individuals, were $3.5 billion lower than estimated. Outlays for social security were $3.2 billion below the initial estimate because of fewer retroactive benefit payments, fewer beneficiaries, and smaller cost of living adjustments as a result of lower inflation. Federal employees’ retirement and disability insurance programs consist of military retirement, civilian employee retirement and disability, and veterans service-connected compensation. Except for the latter, these benefits are automatically indexed to the con sumer price index. However, as a result of the sequester required by Gramm-Rudman-Hollings, the 1986 cost-of-living increase for military and civilian retirement benefits was eliminated. Total out lays were $1.2 billion below the budget estimate of outlays under existing law because of the elimination of this cost-of-living in crease and technical factors. Outlays for unemployment compensation programs were $1.5 bil lion above the initial estimate. This increase was the result of higher weekly benefit amounts than had been estimated, as well as legislation that extended the Trade Adjustment Assistance pro gram. Outlays for medical care were $1.0 billion higher than originally estimated. Medicare outlays were $0.6 billion or 1.2 percent above the initial estimate. Outlays for the medicaid program were $0.2 billion or 1.0 percent above the initial estimate. Both programs experienced higher outlays as a result of increased utilization of services and higher medical costs. The increases in medicare result ing from these factors were largely offset by legislative savings. Assistance to students consists of GI bill benefits and the guaran teed student loan program. Outlays for these programs were not significantly different from the original estimates. Food and nutrition assistance includes the child nutrition and special milk programs. Outlays for the child nutrition program were $0.3 billion below the original estimate largely because of lower than anticipated inflation. Public assistance and related programs include family support payments, supplemental security income, outlays for earned income tax credits, and veterans non-service-connected pensions. Outlays for these programs were $1.5 billion above the estimate. 6a-30 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Most of this increase was in family support payments to States, which were a result of delayed error liability collections from States and higher than estimated State caseload and average bene fits levels. Relatively uncontrollable outlays for all other payments for indi viduals were not significantly different than originally estimated. Open-ended programs and fixed costs other than payments for individuals were 28.6 percent of all open-ended programs and fixed costs in 1986. Outlays for net interest were $7.0 billion or 4.9 percent lower than the original estimate. This decrease is the net effect of lower than expected interest rates, differences in the composition of borrowing, and higher than expected Federal bor rowing. The budget assumed a 7.9 percent interest rate on 91-day Treasury bills for fiscal year 1986 whereas the actual rate averaged 6.4 percent for 91-day Treasury bills. Outlays for general revenue sharing, which expired at the end of 1986, were $0.5 billion above the original estimate. The payment for the last quarter, which the budget assumed would occur in 1987, was instead made in 1986. Outlays for farm price supports (Commodity Credit Corporation) were $13.5 billion above the initial current law estimate. This was due to the Farm Bill of 1985, higher production, particularly for corn, and increased farmer participa tion. Outlays for prior-year contracts and obligations were $5.8 billion below the initial estimate. Outlays for nondefense programs were $4.4 billion lower than the initial estimate, and outlays for defense programs were $1.4 billion lower. These results were due to lower than anticipated spending and the Gramm-Rudman-Hollings Act. ALLOCATION OF WINDFALL PROFIT TAX RECEIPTS Section 102 of the Crude Oil Windfall Profit Tax Act of 1980 requires that each year the President propose the allocation of net receipts from the tax in his budget. The budget estimates that the net receipts from the Windfall Profit Tax will be zero in 1988. Part 6b THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS The budget system of the U.S. Government provides the frame work within which decisions on resource allocation and program management are made in relation to the requirements of the Nation, availability of Federal resources, effective financial control, and accountability for use of the resources. THE BUDGET PROCESS The budget process has three main phases: (1) executive formula tion and transmittal; (2) congressional action; and (3) budget execu tion and control. Each of these is interrelated with the others. Executive Formulation and Transmittal.—The budget sets forth the President’s financial plan and indicates his priorities for the Federal Government. The President’s transmittal of his budget to the Congress early in each calendar year is the culmination of many months of planning and analysis throughout the executive branch. Formulation of a budget begins not later than the spring of the year before it is transmitted. The budget is developed in the con text of a multi-year budget planning and tracking system that includes coverage of the four years following the budget year to integrate long-range planning into the executive budget process. The system requires that broad fiscal goals and agency spending and employment targets be established beyond the budget year. During the period when a budget is formulated in the executive branch, there is a continual exchange of information, proposals, evaluations, and policy decisions among the President, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), other Executive Office units, and the various Government agencies. The President also receives pro jections of the economic outlook that are prepared jointly by the Council of Economic Advisers, OMB, and the Treasury. After con sidering such advice, the President establishes general budget and fiscal policy guidelines. General policy directions and planning ceil ings, both for the fiscal year that will begin about 15 months later and for the following four years, are then given to the agencies to guide the preparation of their budget requests. 6b-l 6b-2 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 The primary phase of the budget process occurs throughout the fall and early winter, when the executive branch is involved in the formulation and preparation of the President’s budget for transmit tal to the Congress. Agency budget requests are submitted to OMB, where they are reviewed in detail, and decisions are made. These decisions may be revised as a result of Presidential review. Fiscal policy issues, which affect outlays and receipts, are reexamined. The effect of budget decisions on receipts, budget authority, and outlays in the years that follow are also considered and are explic itly taken into account, in the form of multi-year budget requests or planning estimates.1 Thus, the budget formulation process in volves the simultaneous consideration of the resource needs of individual programs, the total outlays and receipts that are appro priate in relation to current and prospective economic conditions, and the requirements of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Defi cit Control Act of 1985 (Public Law 99-177).2 The Congressional Budget Act of 1974, as amended, requires that current services estimates be transmitted to the Congress with the budget to provide a basis for reviewing the President’s budget recommendations.3 The current services estimates of budget au thority and outlays are those amounts required to continue Federal programs and activities without policy changes from the fiscal year in progress. Current services estimates of receipts generally assume that tax changes will occur as scheduled under current law. Congressional Action.—The Congress can act to approve, modify, or disapprove the President’s budget proposals. It can change fund ing levels, eliminate proposals, or add programs not requested by the President. It also can enact legislation affecting taxes and other sources of revenue. Usually prior to making appropriations, the Congress enacts leg islation that authorizes an agency to carry out a particular pro gram and, in some cases, includes limits on the amount that can be appropriated for the program. Programs are authorized for a speci fied number of years or indefinitely; some programs require annual authorizing legislation, such as space exploration, foreign affairs, and some construction programs. In making appropriations, the Congress does not vote on the level of outlays directly, but rather on budget authority, the au thority to incur obligations that will result in immediate or future outlays. For most programs, budget authority becomes available each year only as voted by the Congress in appropriations acts. However, in a number of cases the Congress has voted permanent 1 These terms are discussed further under “Data for 1989 through 1992,” which appears later in this part. 2 These requirements are discussed further under “Deficit reduction,” which appears later in this part. 3 See Special Analysis A, “Current Services Estimates,” in Special Analyses, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-3 budget authority, under which funds become available annually without further Congressional action. Many trust fund appropria tions are permanent, as are a number of Federal fund appropria tions, such as the appropriation to pay interest on the public debt. In terms of dollars, more budget authority and outlays result from permanent authority than result from current action by the Con gress. Congressional review of the budget begins when the President transmits his budget estimates to the Congress. The budget is required by law to be transmitted on or before the first Monday after January 3 of each year. Under the procedures established by the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, as amended by the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985, the Congress considers budget totals before completing action on individual appropriations. The Act requires each standing committee of the Congress to report on budget estimates to the House and Senate Budget Committees by February 25. The Congress adopts a concurrent budget resolution as a guide in its subsequent consideration of appropriations and receipt measures. It is not in order for either House to consider a resolution that includes a budget deficit that is greater than the maximum deficit specified in the Act for the budget year. In 1988, the maximum deficit is $108 billion. The budget resolution, which is scheduled to be adopted by April 15, sets targets for total re ceipts and for budget authority and outlays, in total and by func tional category. The resolution also sets targets for direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments. Congressional budget resolutions do not require Presidential ap proval. Frequently, there is informal consultation between the con gressional leadership and the Administration, because legislation developed to attain congressional budget targets must be sent to the President for his approval. In recent years, the Congress has enacted omnibus reconciliation legislation that reduced budget au thority and outlays or increased receipts in response to directives in the concurrent budget resolution. Congressional consideration of requests for appropriations and changes in revenue laws occurs first in the House of Representa tives. The Appropriations Committee, through its subcommittees, studies the requests for appropriations and examines in detail each agency’s performance. The Ways and Means Committee reviews proposed revenue measures. Each committee then recommends the action to be taken by the House of Representatives. After passage of the budget resolution, a point of order can be raised to block consideration of bills that would cause a committee’s targets, as set by the resolution, to be breached. 6b-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 When the appropriations and tax bills are approved by the House, they are forwarded to the Senate, where a similar review process is followed. In case of disagreement between the two Houses of the Congress, a conference committee (consisting of Members of both bodies) meets to resolve the differences. The report of the conference committee is returned to both Houses for approval. When the measure is agreed to, first in the House and then in the Senate, it is ready to be transmitted to the President as an enrolled bill, for his approval or veto. When action on appropriations is not completed by the beginning of the fiscal year, the Congress enacts a continuing resolution to provide authority for the affected agencies to continue financing operations up to a specified date or until their regular appropria tions are enacted. The Congress did not complete action on any of the regular appropriations for 1987. A continuing resolution, in effect, an omnibus appropriations bill, was enacted for the whole year (Public Laws 99-500 and 99-591). Deficit Reduction.—The Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (commonly known as the Gramm-RudmanHollings Act) calls for a balanced Federal budget by 1991 by setting declining deficit targets for each fiscal year beginning in 1986 and specifies a procedure designed to achieve these targets. According to the Act, the President’s budget must propose receipts and out lays consistent with the deficit target for the budget year, and Congressional action on the budget is supposed to ensure that the deficit target for that year will be met. The Act specifies a process to sequester budgetary resources, if necessary, to reduce outlays by the amount required to meet the specified target for the year ahead. On August 20 of each year, the Directors of the Office of Manage ment and Budget and the Congressional Budget Office submit a joint report to the Congress estimating the deficit for the upcoming fiscal year. On October 5 they submit a revised report, which reflects the effects on the deficit of any legislation enacted since August 20. If the average of their estimates shows that the deficit exceeds the specified target by more that $10 billion (zero in 1991), they must calculate the across-the-board reductions required to eliminate the deficit excess. The Act specifies rules for determining uniform percentage reductions for most programs, special rules for certain programs, and a requirement to eliminate cost-of-living increases in some programs. Certain programs are exempt from reduction. The Directors’ reports are submitted to the Temporary Joint Committee on Deficit Reduction, which consists of the entire mem bership of the Budget Committees of the House and Senate. Within 5 days after receiving a report, the Committee is required to report THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-5 to the House and to the Senate a joint resolution setting forth the contents of the report. This joint resolution, upon enactment by the Congress and approval by the President, becomes the basis for a sequester order issued by the President. The President’s order may not change any of the particulars in the joint resolution. Only one sequester order has been issued since the Act was passed, and it was the result of procedures that were different from those described above. For 1986, the President issued a sequester order that was based on a report submitted to him by the Comp troller General of the United States, as the Act then required. Subsequently, the Supreme Court of the United States ruled that the Comptroller General’s role was unconstitutional, thereby in validating the President’s order. The Congress subsequently passed and the President approved a law that ratified the reductions included in the sequester order. The Act specified that the proce dures described above would be used in the event that any of the original procedures were invalidated. In August 1986, the Directors submitted their initial joint report for 1987 to the Committee, which reported a joint resolution that, if enacted, would have re sulted in a sequester order. However, the Directors second report indicated that a number of legislative actions were underway that, if enacted as expected, would avoid the need for a sequestration. The Congress did not enact the joint resolution, so no sequestration was ordered. Budget Execution and Control—Once approved, the President’s budget, as modified by the Congress and reduced by sequestration, if necessary, becomes the basis for the financial plan for the oper ations of each agency during the fiscal year. Under the law, most budget authority and other budgetary resources are made available to the agencies of the executive branch through an apportionment system. The Director of OMB apportions (distributes) appropria tions and other budgetary resources to each agency by time periods or by activities, to ensure the effective use of available resources and to preclude the need for additional appropriations. Changes in laws or other factors may indicate the need for additional appropriations during the year, and supplemental re quests may have to be sent to the Congress. On the other hand, amounts appropriated may be withheld from obligation under cer tain circumstances to provide for contingencies or to effect savings made possible by changes in requirements or greater efficiency of operations. The Impoundment Control Act of 1974 provides that the executive branch, in regulating the rate of spending, must report to the Congress any deferrals or proposed rescissions 4 of 4 These terms are discussed further under “Budgetary resources” which appears later in this part. Litigation challenging the constitutionality of section 1013 of the Act, which concerns deferrals, is currently pending in the Federal courts. 6b-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 budget authority; that is, any effort through administrative action to postpone or eliminate spending provided by law. Deferrals, which are temporary withholdings of budget authority, may be overturned by an act of the Congress at any time. Rescissions, which permanently cancel budget authority, must be passed by the Congress within 45 days of continuing session. Otherwise, the with held funds must be made available for spending. COVERAGE OF THE BUDGET TOTALS Agencies and Program.—The budget totals cover all agencies and programs (including Government corporations) no matter how funded, except that the receipts and disbursements of social securi ty (the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and the Federal Disability Insurance trust funds) are excluded from the budget totals by the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (Public Law 99-177). The outlays and receipts of these trust funds are nevertheless included in calculating the deficit targets specified in the Act. The transactions of these trust funds are shown in a separate chapter of the Appendix, entitled “Department of Health and Human Services, Social Security.” Where on-budget totals are shown in the budget and in other appropriate places, amounts for these trust funds are presented as an off-budget com ponent of total Federal activity. The presentation for the Board of Governors of the Federal Re serve System is included in Part IV of the Appendix. Those amounts are presented for information only because of the inde pendent status of the System. The budget totals do not include transactions of privately owned, Government-sponsored enterprises, such as the Federal land banks and Federal home loan banks. However, these enterprises are dis cussed in several parts of the budget.5 Functional Classification.*—The functional classification arrays budgetary data according to the major purpose served by the unit being classified. In accordance with the Congressional Budget Act of 1974, as amended, the Congressional budget resolution estab lishes budget targets by these functional categories. The following criteria are used in establishing and in assigning activities to functional categories: • A function must have a common end or ultimate purpose addressed to an important national need. (The emphasis is on what the Federal Government seeks to accomplish rather 5 See Part 3b, “Federal Credit,” in this volume; Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt;” Special Analysis F, “Federal Credit Programs;” Part IV, “Government Sponsored Enterprises,” Appendix, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 1988. 8 Part 5, “Federal Programs by Function: Meeting National Needs,” of this volume discusses the budget by function. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-7 than the means of accomplishment, what is purchased, or the clientele or geographic area served.) • A function must be of continuing national importance and the amounts attributable to it must be significant. • Each basic unit (generally the appropriation or fund account) usually is classified into the single best or predominant pur pose and assigned to only one subfunction. However, when an account is large and serves more than one major purpose, it may be subdivided into two or more subfunctions. • Activities and programs are normally classified according to their primary purpose (or function) regardless of which agen cies conduct the activities. National Needs Presentation.—Section 601 of the Congressional Budget Act of 1974 requires that the budget for each fiscal year shall contain a presentation of budget authority, proposed budget authority, outlays, proposed outlays, and descriptive information in terms of— (1) a detailed structure of national needs, which shall be used to reference all agency missions and programs; (2) agency missions; and (3) basic programs. To meet that requirement of law, each major function is de scribed in Part 5 of this volume, “Federal Programs by Function: Meeting National Needs/’ in the context of the national needs being served, and subfunctions are described in the context of the major missions devoted to serving national needs. Part 5 also meets the budget presentation requirements of the Full Employment and Balanced Growth Act of 1978. Types of Funds.—Agency activities are financed through Federal funds and trust funds. Federal funds are of several types. The general fund is credited with receipts not earmarked by law for a specific purpose and with the proceeds of general borrowing. Special funds contain Federal receipts earmarked for specific purposes, other than for carrying out a cycle of operations. Public enterprise (revolving) funds finance a cycle of business-type operations in which outlays generate collec tions, primarily from the public. Intragovernmental funds, includ ing revolving and management funds, finance operations primarily within and between Government agencies and are credited with collections earmarked by law to carry out a cycle of business-type operations primarily within and between Government agencies. Trust funds are established to account for the receipt and ex penditure of monies by the Government for carrying out specific purposes and programs in accordance with the terms of a statute or trust agreement. These monies are not available for other pur 6b-8 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 poses of the Government. Trust revolving funds are credited with trust-type collections earmarked by law to carry out a cycle of business-type operations. There is little practical difference between a trust fund and a special fund or a trust revolving fund and a public enterprise revolving fund. Current Expenses and Capital Investment—The budget includes spending for both current operating expenses and capital invest ment, such as the purchase of lands, structures, and equipment. It also includes capital investment in the form of lending and the purchase of other financial assets.7 BUDGETARY RESOURCES AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS Budgetary Resources.—Government agencies are permitted to enter into obligations requiring either immediate or future pay ment of money only when they have been granted authority to do so by law. This authority, which constitutes the budgetary re sources available to an agency, is usually provided in the form of budget authority. In addition, collections specifically authorized to be credited to appropriation and fund accounts (e.g., repayments of loan principal), while not scored as budget authority, are also avail able for obligation. The use of budgetary resources may be re strained by the imposition of legally binding limitations on obliga tions, including obligations for direct loans.8 Budget authority and other budgetary resources permit obliga tions to be incurred. The amounts of budget authority requested are determined by the nature of the programs or projects being financed and the amounts of other resources available for the purpose. For activities such as operation and maintenance, entitlement programs, and continuing research programs, for which the cost depends upon the program level during the fiscal year, the amount of budget authority requested covers the obligations expected to be incurred during the year. For most projects that are separate and distinct units, particular ly direct Federal major procurement and construction projects, "full funding” generally is requested. That is, budget authority is requested in a sufficient amount at the time the project is initiated to complete it, regardless of the expected time of completion. Budget authority usually takes the form of appropriations, which permit obligations to be incurred and payments to be made. Some budget authority is in the form of contract authority, which permits 7 The division between operating and investment outlays is displayed in Special Analysis D, “Federal Invest ment and Operating Outlays.” 8 See “Limitations on the Availability of Funds,” Part 6a of this volume. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-9 obligations in advance of appropriations but requires a subsequent appropriation or the collection of revenues to liquidate (pay) these obligations. Another form of budget authority is authority to borrow, which permits obligations to be incurred but requires that funds be borrowed, generally from the Treasury, to liquidate these obligations. With certain exceptions, it is not in order for either House of the Congress to consider any bill that provides new borrowing or con tract authority unless that bill also provides that such new spend ing authority will be effective only to the extent or in such amounts as provided in appropriations acts. Most appropriations for current operations are made available for obligation only during a specified fiscal year (annual appropria tions). Some are for a specified longer period (multiple-year appro priations). Others, including most of those for construction, some for research, and many for trust funds, are made available for obligation until the amount appropriated has been expended or until the objectives have been attained (no-year appropriations). Budget authority can be made available by the Congress for obligation and disbursement during a fiscal year from a succeeding years appropriation (advance funding). For many education pro grams, Congress provides forward funding—budget authority made available for obligation in one fiscal year for the financing of ongoing grant programs during the succeeding fiscal year. When advantageous to the Federal Government, an appropriation is pro vided by the Congress that will become available one year or more beyond the fiscal year for which the appropriations act is passed {advance appropriations).9 Included as advance appropriations are appropriations related to multi-year budget requests.10 When budget authority is made available by the Congress for a specific period of time, any part that is not obligated during that period expires (lapses) and cannot be used later. Congressional actions that extend the availability of unobligated amounts that have expired or would otherwise expire are known as reappropri ations. The amounts involved are counted as new budget authority in the fiscal year of the legislation in which the reappropriation action is included, regardless of when the amounts were originally appropriated or when they would otherwise lapse. A rescission is a legislative action that cancels new budget au thority or the availability of unobligated balances, prior to the time the authority would otherwise have expired. Rescissions of new budget authority becoming available are decreases to such author ity for that year. Rescissions of unobligated balances reduce the 9 A list of advance appropriations included in this budget appears in Part III, “Other Materials,” Appendix. 10 Multi-year budget requests are discussed under “Data for 1989 through 1992,” which appears later in this part. 6b-10 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 amounts of those balances available for obligation. Rescission pro posals are identified in separate schedules in Part II of the Appen dix. A deferral is an executive branch action or inaction—including the establishment of reserves under the Antideficiency Act—that delays the obligation and expenditure of funds within the year that the action is taken. Deferrals are not separately identified in the budget. Most authority to obligate funds is enacted by the Congress during or immediately preceding the fiscal year in which it be comes available (current authority). Most current authority is granted year by year. Some budget authority in Federal funds and most budget authority in trust funds becomes available as the result of previously enacted legislation and does not require cur rent action by the Congress {permanent authority). Such authority is presented as “current” in the year in which the legislation is enacted and “permanent” in succeeding years. The amount of budget authority is usually stated specifically or in an amount stated as “not to exceed” a specific aggregate sum in the legislation that makes it available (definite authority). In some cases, the legislation permits the amount to be determined by subsequent circumstances (indefinite authority). Examples of the latter type are authority to borrow that is limited only to the amount of debt that may be outstanding at any time, the appro priation for interest on the public debt, and the trust fund appro priation equal to receipts under the Federal Insurance Contribu tions Act (social security). Indefinite budget authority is presented in the amount of receipts collected or estimated to be collected each year in the case of many special and trust funds, and in the amount needed to finance obligations incurred or estimated to be incurred in the case of certain appropriations, contract authority, and authority to borrow. Obligations Incurred.—Following the enactment of budget au thority and the completion of required apportionment action, obli gations are incurred by Government agencies. Such obligations cover: the current liabilities for salaries, wages, and interest; agree ments to make loans; contracts for the purchase of supplies and equipment, construction, and the acquisition of office space, build ings, and land; and other arrangements requiring the payment of money. Outlays.—Obligations generally are liquidated by the issuance of checks or the disbursement of cash; such payments are called outlays. In lieu of issuing checks, obligations also may be liquidated (and outlays recorded) by the accrual of interest on public issues of Treasury debt securities (including an increase in the redemption value of bonds outstanding); or by the issuance of bonds, deben THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-ll tures, notes, or monetary credits.11 Refunds of collections 12 gen erally are treated as reductions of collections, rather than as out lays. However, payments for earned income tax credits in excess of tax liabilities are treated as outlays rather than as a reduction to receipts. Outlays during a fiscal year may be for payment of obliga tions incurred in prior years or in the same year. Outlays, there fore, flow in part from unexpended balances of prior year budget authority and in part from budget authority provided for the year in which the money is spent.13 Total outlays include both budget and off-budget outlays and are stated net of offsetting collections. Balances of Authority.—Not all budget authority enacted for a fiscal year is obligated and paid out in the same year. In multipleyear or no-year accounts, budget authority that is still available for obligation at the end of a year (unobligated balances) may be carried forward for obligation in the following year. The obligated balance is that portion of the budget authority that has been obligated but not yet paid. For example, in the case of salaries and wages, 1 to 3 weeks elapse between the time of obligation and time of payment. In the case of major procurement and construction, payment may occur over several years. Obligated balances of budget authority are carried forward until the obligations are sub sequently paid.14 These balances may also include collections cred ited directly to appropriations or fund accounts. Therefore, a change in the amount of obligations incurred from one year to the next does not necessarily result in an equal change in either the budget authority or the outlays of that same year. Conversely, a change in budget authority in any one year may anticipate changes in the level of obligations and outlays for sever al years. Allocations Between Agencies.—In some cases, an agency may share in the administration of a program for which appropriations are made to another agency or to the President. This is made possible by the establishment of allocations from the “parent” ac count, that is, the account to which the appropriation was made. Obligations incurred under such allocations are included with the parent account in the Budget (without separate identification) and in the Appendix (which the total obligations of each participating agency are identified separately under each parent account). 11 See Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt,” for further discussion of the use of such instruments. 12 This term is discussed under “Collections,” which appears later in this part. 13 See “Relationship of Budget Authority to Outlays,” Part 6a of this volume. 14 Additional information is provided in a separate report, “Balances of Budget Authority,” which is available from the National Technical Information Service, Department of Commerce, shortly after the budget is trans mitted. 6b-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 FEDERAL CREDIT ACTIVITIES 15 COLLECTIONS In addition to the resource measures previously described, Gov ernment programs may be financed through federally supported credit in the form of direct or guaranteed loans. These are included in the budget as obligations for direct loans and commitments for guaranteed loans. Obligations for direct loans result from agree ments requiring the Government to make a loan immediately or at some future time. Commitments for guaranteed loans result from agreements entered into by the Government to guarantee the re payment of principal and/or interest. Since guaranteed loans, unlike direct loans, do not require obligational authority and, by themselves, do not require Federal disbursements, the amounts are not included in the President’s budget totals. They create Govern ment liabilities of a contingent nature that result in obligations and outlays only in the event of borrower default. The Administra tion is proposing a fundamental change in the way credit programs are financed. This proposal is described in Part 3b of this volume. In General.—Amounts collected by the Government are classified in two major categories: • Governmental receipts, which are compared with outlays in calculating the surplus or deficit.16 • Offsetting collections, which are deducted from gross disburse ments in calculating outlays. Governmental Receipts.—These are collections from the public that result from the exercise of the Government’s sovereign or governmental powers. These collections consist primarily of tax receipts (including social insurance taxes), but also include receipts from customs duties, court fines, certain licenses, and deposits of earnings by the Federal Reserve System. Gifts and contributions (as distinguished from payments for services or cost-sharing depos its by State and local governments) are also counted as governmen tal receipts. Receipts are divided between on-budget receipts and off-budget receipts. Offsetting Collections.—These are amounts received from other Government accounts or the public that are of a business-type or market-oriented nature. They are classified into two major catego ries: offsetting collections credited to appropriations or fund ac counts and offsetting receipts (that is, collections deposited in re ceipt accounts). The offset is applied differently for each type. 15 Part 3b “Federal Credit,” of this volume and Special Analysis F, “Federal Credit Programs,” discuss this subject in detail. 16 Part 4, “Federal Receipts by Source,” of this volume discusses governmental receipts in more detail. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-13 Offsetting Collections Credited to Appropriation or Fund Ac counts.—Amounts treated in this manner are specifically author ized by law and are available, generally, for the purpose of the account without further action by the Congress. However, it is not unusual for the Congress to enact limitations on the obligations that can be financed by these collections. These collections are netted against gross obligations in the account when calculating outlays. Offsetting Receipts.—These amounts are credited to general fund, special fund, or trust fund receipt accounts, and generally they are deducted from budget authority and outlays by subfunction and by agency. Offsetting receipts are subdivided into two categories, as follows: • Proprietary receipts from the public.—These are collections from the public, deposited in receipt accounts of the general fund, special funds, or trust funds, that arise out of the busi ness-type or market-oriented activities of the Government. However, collections from rents and royalties from Outer Con tinental Shelf (OCS) lands are deducted from total budget authority and outlays for the Government as a whole rather than from any single agency or subfunction. When there is a legal dispute over the disposition of rents and royalties from OCS lands, the disputed amounts are placed in interest bearing deposit fund accounts and are not included in the budget totals. Upon settlement of such dis putes, the amounts that are determined to belong to the Government are added to OCS offsetting receipts and the interest on such amounts is also deducted from the outlay totals. The large-scale receipts from the proposed sale of major assets (including Amtrak, the Naval petroleum reserve, the power administrations, and the assignment of frequencies by the Federal Communications Commission) also are shown as undistributed deductions from total budget authority and outlays. • Intragovernmental transactions.—These are payments into re ceipt accounts from governmental appropriation or fund ac counts. In most cases, intragovernmental transactions are de ducted from both the outlays and the budget authority of the subfunction and the agency receiving the payment. However, intragovernmental transactions that involve agencies’ pay ments as employers into employee retirement trust funds and interest received by trust funds appear as special deductions in computing total budget authority and outlays for the Gov ernment rather than offsets at the agency level. There are several categories of intragovernmental transactions. Intrabudgetary transactions include all payments from on-budget 6b-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 expenditure accounts to other on-budget receipt accounts. These are subdivided into three categories: (1) interfund trans actions, where the payment is from one fund group (either Federal funds or trust funds) to a receipt account in the other fund group; (2) Federal intrafund transactions, where the pay ment and receipt both occur within the Federal fund group; and (3) trust intrafund transactions, where the payment and receipt both occur within the trust fund group. In addition there are intragovernmental payments from on-budget ac counts to off-budget receipt accounts, and from off-budget ac counts to on-budget receipt accounts. OTHER TRANSACTIONS Borrowing and Repayment.—Borrowing and debt repayment are not treated as receipts or outlays. If they were, the budget would be balanced simply by classifying borrowing as income or revenue. This rule applies both to borrowing in the form of public debt securities and to specialized borrowing in the form of agency secu rities, including the sale of certificates representing participation in a pool of loans. In addition to participation certificates, individ ual Federal loan assets are sold with recourse (i.e., the Federal Government guarantees repayment of principal and interest in the event of default). In the past, the proceeds from such sales were treated as offsetting collections, even though such transactions, like the issuance of participation certificates, constituted borrowing. Beginning with this budget, the proceeds of such sales are treated as borrowing.17 Many Federal loans have been financed by the Federal Financ ing Bank (FFB), and until passage of the Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (Public Law 99-177), the receipts and disbursements of the FFB were excluded by law from the budget totals. The Act moved the FFB on-budget and required the transactions of the FFB on behalf of an agency to be treated as a means of financing the agency (i.e., agency borrowing from the FFB). The 1987 budget reflected an interim change in the treat ment of FFB transactions to comply with the new law, as fully as was feasible given the short period between enactment of the law and submission of the 1987 budget. This budget implements the requirement more fully by integrating the transactions (e.g., obliga tions, budget authority, and outlays for loans) that are financed by the FFB into the agency program accounts. Exercise of Monetary Power.—Seigniorage is the profit from coin ing money. It is the difference between the value of coins as money 17 See Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt,” for further discussion of this subject. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-15 and their cost of production. Seigniorage on coins arises from the exercise of the Government’s monetary powers and differs from receipts coming from the public, since there is no corresponding payment by another party. Therefore, seigniorage is excluded from receipts and treated as a means of financing a deficit (or as a supplementary amount to be applied to reduce debt in a year with a surplus). The increment (profit) resulting from the sale of gold as a monetary asset also is treated as a means of financing, since the value of gold is determined by its value as a monetary asset rather than as a commodity. Balances in Deposit Fund Accounts.—Certain accounts outside the budget, known as deposit funds, are established to record amounts held in suspense temporarily (for example, proceeds from mineral leases on the Outer Continental Shelf to which title is in dispute) or held by the Government as agent for others (for exam ple, State and local income taxes withheld from Federal employees’ salaries, and payroll deductions for the purchase of savings bonds by civilian employees of the Government). Changes in deposit fund uninvested balances affect Treasury’s cash balances, even though the transactions are not a part of the budget. To the extent that deposit fund balances are not invested, changes in the balances are reflected as changes in the means of financing the deficit. Exchange of Cash.—The Government’s deposits with the Interna tional Monetary Fund are considered to be monetary assets. There fore, the movement of money between the IMF and the Depart ment of the Treasury is not considered in itself a receipt or an outlay, borrowing, or lending. In a similar manner, the holdings of foreign currency by the Exchange Stabilization Fund are considered to be cash assets. Changes in these holdings are outlays only to the extent there is a realized loss of dollars on the exchange and are offsetting collections only to the extent there is a realized dollar profit. BASIS FOR BUDGET FIGURES In general.—Outlays usually are stated in terms of checks issued, including cash paid in lieu of checks, net of offsetting collections received. When a cash-equivalent financial instrument is developed to use as a substitute for cash or checks, the monetary value of the instrument is normally counted as outlays in the budget in order to record the transaction in the same manner regardless of the means of effecting it. The accrual basis is used for interest on the public issues of Treasury debt securities; however, interest on special issues of the debt securities held by trust funds and other Govern ment accounts is stated on a cash basis. When a Government account invests in Federal debt securities, the purchase price is 6b-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 usually close to the par (face) value of the security. The budget records the investment at par value, and adjusts the interest paid by Treasury and collected by the account by the difference between purchase price and par. However, in the case of two trust funds in the Department of Defense, the Military Retirement Trust Fund and Education Benefits Trust Fund,18 the differences between pur chase price and par have routinely become relatively large. Hence, for these funds, the budget now records the original investment at purchase price rather than par, and amortizes the difference be tween purchase price and par over the life of the security. Data for 1986.—The past year (1986) column of the budget gener ally presents the actual transactions and balances as recorded in agency accounts and as summarized in the central financial reports prepared by the Department of Treasury. However, the budget treatment in certain cases is not in agreement with Treasury ac counting. In two cases, the treatment of FFB transactions on behalf of Federal agencies and the treatment of the investments of two Department of Defense trust funds (both described above) the ac counting differences are significant. In such cases, OMB has adopt ed a treatment for purposes of the budget that it believes more accurately reflects the use of budgetary resources than does the accounting system. In addition, occasionally the budget reports corrections to data reported erroneously to Treasury but not discov ered in time to be reflected in Treasury's published data. Data for 1987.—The current year (1987) column of the budget includes estimates of transactions and balances based on the amounts of budgetary resources that were available when the budget was submitted, including amounts provided as appropria tions for 1987, and that are expected to become available during the year. All of the usual 13 appropriations bills were enacted by inclusion or by reference in the continuing resolution for 1987 (Public Laws 99-500 and 99-591). Where the word “enacted” is used with reference to 1987, the amount generally represents budget authority already voted by the Congress. In the case of indefinite appropriations, the enacted sums included the amounts likely to be required. Where the word “esti mate” is used, the amounts include both enacted budget authority and requested supplemental and rescissions. Data for 1988.—The budget year (1988) column of the budget includes estimates of transactions and balances based on the amounts of budgetary resources that are expected to be available, including amounts proposed to be appropriated. The budget gener18 See “Department of Defense—Civil” in Part I, “Detailed Budget Estimates,” in the Appendix. THE BUDGET SYSTEM AND CONCEPTS 6b-17 ally includes the appropriations language for the amounts proposed to be appropriated.19 Where the estimates represent amounts that will be requested under proposed legislation the appropriation lan guage usually is not included; it is transmitted later, instead. In a few cases, language for appropriations to be requested under exist ing legislation are transmitted later, because the exact require ments are not known at the time the budget is submitted. In certain tables of the budget, the items for later transmittal and the related outlays are identified separately. Estimates of the total require ments for 1988 include both the amounts requested with the sub mission of the budget and the amounts planned for later transmit tal. Data for 1989 through 1992.—To place emphasis on longer term objectives and plans consistent with the multi-year budget plan ning system, the budget presents estimates through 1992. These data often reflect specific Presidential policy determinations and are shown in a number of budget tables. This budget also includes multi-year budget requests, which differ from multi-year planning estimates in that advance appropriations for 1989 (and beyond in a few cases) are proposed to be enacted in the 1988 appropriations process. The 1986 Defense Authorization Act (Public Law 99-145) requires two-year requests (1988 and 1989) for accounts of the Department of Defense and related agencies in the national de fense function, and the budget proposes multi-year requests for several non-defense accounts. Advance appropriations language for multi-year budget requests is included in the Appendix presenta tion for the affected budget accounts. The schedules in the Appen dix include a 1989 column only for Defense and related agency accounts because of technical limitations. The “Budget by Agency and Account” in the Budget20 includes a 1989 column for all accounts in the budget; those that represent multi-year budget requests, rather than planning estimates, are footnoted. Allowances.—Lump-sum allowances are included in the tables to cover certain forms of budgetary transactions that are expected to result in increases or decreases in budget authority or outlays but are not reflected in the program details, such as civilian pay in creases.21 Budget authority and outlays included in the allowance section are never appropriated as undistributed allowances, but rather indicate the estimated budget authority and outlays that may be requested for specific programs. 19 See Part I, “Detailed Budget Estimates,” of the Appendix. 20 See Part 4, “Budget by Agency and Account,” of the Budget of the United States Government, 1988. 21 See Part 5, “Federal Programs by Function: Meeting National Needs” of this volume for a further discussion of allowances. Part 6c SUMMARY TABLES TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Explanation of the summary tables.................................................................... Table 1. Summary............................................................................................... Table 2. Summary of current services and the President’s proposals........... Table 3. Receipts by source and outlays by agency, 1986-92.......................... Table 4. Outlays by function, 1986-92............................................................... Table 5. Credit budget: new direct loan obligations and guaranteed loan commitments by agency.................................................................................... Table 6. Federal Government financing and debt........................................... Table 7. Full-time equivalent of Federal civilianemployment....................... Table 8. Budget authority by function, 1986-92.............................................. Table 9. Budget authority by agency, 1986-92................................................ Table 10. Budget authority and outlays available with and without current action by Congress............................................................................................ Table 11. Relation of budget authority to outlays............................................. Table 12. Balances of budget authority.............................................................. Table 13. Receipts by source................................................................................ Table 14. Offsetting receipts by type................................................................... Table 15. Legislative proposals for major new and expanded programs in the 1988 Budget, projection of costs................................................................. Table 16. Controllability of outlays, 1986-88.................................................. Table 17. Receipts by source, 1978-88................................................................. Table 18. Outlays by function and subfunction, 1978-88.................................. Table 19. Federal finances and the gross national product, 1969-90............... Table 20. Composition of receipts and outlays in current prices: 1971-90....... Table 21. Composition of receipts and outlays in constant (fiscal year 1982) prices: 1971-90................................................................................................... Table 22. Total receipts and outlays, 1789-1992................................................ Table 23. On-budget and off-budget receipts and outlays, 1937-92.................. 6c-2 6c-7 6c-8 6c-11 6c-13 6c-14 6c-15 6c-17 6c-18 6c-19 6c-21 6c-22 6c-23 6c-24 6c-28 6c-31 6c~32 6c-34 6c-36 6c-43 6c-45 6c-46 6c-47 6c-48 6c-l EXPLANATION OF THE SUMMARY TABLES Overview.—The tables in this part of the budget are organized as follows: • Tables 1 through 12 provide summary data on the 1988 Budget in terms of budget authority, outlays, receipts, and surpluses or deficits for the period 1986-92. Summary infor mation is also included on Federal Government financing and debt, current services estimates, the credit budget, and Feder al civilian employment. • Tables 13 and 14 provide greater detail on governmental and ofsetting receipts. • Table 15 presents 5-year projections of the estimated costs of proposed legislation pursuant to 31 U.S.C. 1105(a)(12). • Table 16 provides data on controllability of outlays. • Tables 17 through 23 are historical in nature, giving data, for earlier years on receipts by source; outlays by function; total receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits; and the on- and off-budget components of these amounts. Comparisons with the gross national product and receipts and outlays in con stant (fiscal year 1982) prices are also presented. Periods covered.—Due to the change in fiscal year required by the Congressional Budget Act, the following periods are covered by the various columns or stub entries: • July 1 through June 30, for the 1976 and prior fiscal periods. • July 1 through September 30, 1976, for the transition quarter (TQ). • October 1 through September 30, for the 1977 and subsequent fiscal periods. Presentation of data.—As in the 1987 Budget, totals shown in the 1988 Budget include off-budget amounts, but the on- and off-budget components are identified separately. In tables by agency, entries for “Health and Human Services, except social security” present on-budget data, and entries for “Health and Human Services, social security” present the off-budget amounts distributed by agency. In addition, the 1988 Budget reflects the effects of the sequestra tion of 1986 budgetary resources required by Public Law 99-177 without separate identification. Accordingly, data shown in the following tables incorporate the effects of this sequestration. The outlay totals for 1986 exceed those previously reported by the Treasury Department by $27 million primarily because of ad justments in outlays of the Small Business Administration (+$67 6c-2 SUMMARY TABLES 6c-3 million) and the Federal Financing Bank (—$2 million) and inter est on the public debt (—$39 million). Allowances.—Allowances for pay raises in 1988-92 are shown for military personnel and for civilian employees of the Department of Defense (DoD—Military). In addition, allowances for other legisla tion are shown for 1988-92. Included in the allowances for other legislation for DoD—Military are amounts for military benefits, which are partially offset by proposed savings. These allowances are included in the totals for the DoD—Military and in subfunction 051. Allowances for pay raises for non-defense civilian employees and for military pay raises for the Coast Guard in 1988-92 are shown at the end of the tables. Other Government-wide allowances for 198892 presented at the end of the tables reflect proposals for savings from reform of Davis-Bacon and Service Contract Acts, for the Administration’s credit reform initiative, and for a change in the Government contribution for employee health benefits. An allow ance for 1989-92 for special productivity savings from personnel policies is also included. Undistributed offsetting receipts.—Offsetting receipts are general ly deducted from budget authority and outlays at the subfunction and agency levels. However, in some cases these amounts are un distributed, i.e., deducted from totals for the Government as a whole rather than from a single agency or subfunction in order to avoid distortion of agency or subfunction totals. These payments are for the employer share, employee retirement (both on-budget and off-budget amounts), rents and royalties on the Outer Conti nental Shelf (OCS), and the proposed sale of major assets (Conrail, Amtrak, naval petroleum reserves, power marketing administra tions, and the auction of frequencies by the Federal Communica tions Commission) in 1987-92. In addition, some offsetting receipts are undistributed at the agency level but not at the subfunction level. These are interest received by on-budget trust funds and interest received by offbudget trust funds (subfunctions 902 and 903, respectively) and interest received from the OCS escrow account (in subfunction 908). Accordingly, the offsetting receipt totals identified as undistributed in tables by agency are larger than those shown in tables by function by the amount of the interest received by trust funds and the interest received from OCS escrow account. Description of the tables.—Each table in this part is described below. • Table 1, Summary, provides a general overview of budget authority, receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits for 198692. Summary information on the Federal credit budget and on the Federal debt are also provided. 6c-4 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 • Table 2, Summary of current services and the President’s pro posals, provides a bridge between current services estimates of outlays and estimated outlays under the President’s propos als for 1987-90. Changes in outlays are shown by function. Current services estimates of receipts and estimated receipts under the President’s proposals are also provided. Changes are shown by source. For further information on current serv ices, see Special Analysis A, “Current Services Estimates”, in the Special Analyses volume. • Table 3, Receipts by source and outlays by agency, 1986-92, displays data on the composition of receipts by source, the distribution of outlays by the Legislative and Judicial Branches and by major agency in the Executive Branch, and the surpluses or deficits for these years. • Table 4, Outlays by function, 1986-92, distributes outlays by function. Supporting data by subfunction from 1978-88 is found in table 18. Part 5 of this volume provides detail at the program level for 1986-90. • Table 5, Credit budget: new direct loan obligations and guar anteed loan commitments by agency, displays new obligations for direct loans and new commitments for guaranteed loans by agency for 1986-88. Additional information can be found in Parts 3b and 5 of this volume and Special Analysis F, “Feder al Credit Programs”, of the Special Analyses volume. • Table 6, Federal Government financing and debt, shows the means of financing the Federal deficit, the gross debt held by Government accounts and the public, and the amount of debt subject to statutory limitation. Further data related to the totals are contained in Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt”, and Part 6a of this volume. • Table 7, Full-time equivalent of Federal civilian employment, provides full-time equivalent employment estimates for the major departments and agencies of the Executive Branch for 1986-89. For additional information, see Special Analysis I, “Civilian Employment in the Executive Branch”, in the Spe cial Analyses volume. • Table 8, Budget authority by function, 1986-92, distributes budget authority by function. For detail at the program level, see Part 5 of this volume. For the subfunctional classification of budget authority in each account, see Part 4 of the Budget of the United States Government, 1988. • Table 9, Budget authority by agency, 1986-92, presents the distribution of budget authority by Legislative and Judicial Branches and by major agency in the Executive Branch. For account level detail, see Part 4 of the Budget of the United States Government, 1988. SUMMARY TABLES 6c-5 • Table 10, Budget authority and outlays available with and without current action by Congress, presents budget authority, including supplemental requests, for 1986-88 that requires congressional action during or immediately preceding the fiscal year in which it becomes available and ties budget authority and outlays available through current action to totals. In most cases, off-budget (social security trust fund) amounts are available as the result of previously enacted legislation (substantive legislation or prior appropriations acts) and do not require further action by Congress. There fore, they are included in the portion available without cur rent action by Congress. The remaining off-budget amounts are included in the portion available through current action by Congress. • Table 11, Relation of budget authority to outlays, provides a bridge from budget authority to net obligations incurred to outlays for 1986-88. Data on off-budget amounts are included without separate identification. References to other tables in this part that provide detail on data shown in this table are included. A chart on the relationship of budget authority to outlays is shown in Part 6a of this volume. • Table 12, Balances of budget authority, presents data on obli gated and unobligated balances of budget authority for 198688. Detailed information is available in a separate OMB report, “Balances of Budget Authority”, which can be pur chased from the National Technical Information Service shortly after the budget is transmitted. • Table 13, Receipts by source, provides detailed data by source for 1986-88 on receipts that are classified as governmental receipts. The total of these receipts is compared with total outlays to calculate the Federal deficit. Information on gov ernmental receipts is also included in table 17 and in Part 4 of this volume. • Table 14, Offsetting receipts by type, presents, by type, offset ting receipts for 1986-88 that are deducted from gross dis bursements to calculate outlays. Offsetting receipts data are also included in Part 4 of the Budget of the United States Government, 1988. • Table 15, Legislative proposals for major new and expanded programs in the 1988 Budget, projection of costs, provides a description of major legislative proposals and a projection of costs for 1987-92. • Table 16, Controllability of budget outlays, 1986-88, displays data classified as relatively uncontrollable and relatively con trollable outlays. 6c-6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 • Table 17, Receipts by source, 1978-88, provides historical data on governmental receipts by source. • Table 18, Outlays by function and subfunction, 1978-88, in cludes historical data in outlays by function and subfunction. • Table 19, Federal finances and the gross national product, 1969-90, displays receipts, outlays, surpluses or deficits, and Federal debt and shows these amounts as percentages of the gross national product. • Table 20, Composition of receipts and outlays in current prices, 1971-90, includes historical data in the composition of receipts and outlays in current dollars. • Table 21, Composition of receipts and outlays in constant (fiscal year 1982) prices, 1971-90, includes historical data on the composition of receipts and outlays in constant dollars for the same categories shown in table 20. • Table 22, Total receipts and outlays, 1789-1992, includes his torical data and out-year estimates of total receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits. Beginning in 1937, data include amounts for social security trust funds that are off-budget under current law. • Table 23, On-budget and off-budget receipts and outlays, 193792, provides historical data and out-year estimates of on- and off-budget components of total receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits shown in table 22. 6c-7 SUMMARY TABLES Table 1. SUMMARY (In billions of dollars) Description Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 1,211.6 1,271.9 | 1991 1992 1,331.8 1,377.9 TOTALS Budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Surplus or deficit (—).. .. .. .. . 1,072.8 1,142.2 1,093.9 (883.2) (189.6) (879.9) (214.0) (900.1) (242.1) (948.2) (263.4) 769.1 842.4 916.6 976.2 (568.9) (200.2) (628.4) (214.0) (674.5) (242.1) (712.8) (263.4) 989.8 1,015.6 -220.7 1,024.3 (821.1) (194.5) (806.3) (183.5) -173.2 (821.9) (202.4) -107.8 1,069.0 (985.2) (1,024.1) (1,052.6) (286.6) (307.7) (325.3) 1,048.3 1,123.2 1,191.2 (761.6) (815.4) (865.9) (286.6) (307.7) (325.3) 1,107.8 1,144.4 1,178.9 (857.3) (211.7) (885.4) (911.1) (935.1) (222.4) (233.3) (243.9) -92.8 -59.5 -21.3 12.3 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (-237.5) (-192.7) (-147.4) (-144.5) (-123.8) (-95.7) (-69.1) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (16.7) (39.7) (64.3) (74.4) (81.4) (19.5) (51.7) THE CREDIT BUDGET New direct loan obligations.. .. . New guaranteed loan commitments1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 41.3 34.9 27.1 23.1 22.1 21.9 21.0 159.2 155.7 128.4 129.5 130.5 129.6 129.5 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 200.6 190.6 155.5 152.7 152.6 151.4 150.5 Change in outstandings.Direct loans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Guaranteed loans1.. .. .. .. .. . 11.2 34.6 -15.2 76.4 -15.3 54.1 -9.1 43.5 -8.2 40.0 -7.4 36.8 -8.9 34.2 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 45.7 61.1 38.8 34.4 31.8 29.4 25.3 FEDERAL DEBT 2 1985 actual 1986 actual Debt outstanding, end of year: Gross Federal debt.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,827.2 2,132.9 Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 2.372.4 2,585.5 2,796.9 2,991.3 3,162.6 3,309.8 Held by: Government accounts.. .. .. .. .. .. . 317.4 386.8 464.0 570.4 689.4 824.8 975.2 1,135.2 The public3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,509.9 1,746.1 1.908.4 2,015.1 2,107.5 2,166.5 2,187.4 2,174.7 (Federal Reserve Banks).. .. .. (169.8) (190.9) (Others).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (1,340.1) (1,555.3) ADDENDUM Debt subject to statutory limitation.. .. 1..823.8 2,111.0 2,353.3 2,573.0 2,790.8 2,986.7 3,158.0 3,305.3 Ho avoid double counting, excludes guarantees (or commitments) of loans previously guaranteed or guarantees (or commitments) by one Government account of direct loans made by another Government account. 2 For additional information on the Federal debt, see table 6 of this part, Part 6a of this volume, and Special Analysis E, “Borrowing and Debt.” 3 The estimates for 1987-92 have been revised from those shown in the Budget, dated January 5, 1987, due to a technical correction. Note—For all years, transactions of the social security trust funds are presented off-budget and transactions of formerly off-budget accounts are included on-budget. 6 c -8 Table 2. SUMMARY OF CURRENT SERVICES AND THE PRESIDENT'S PROPOSALS (In billions of dollars) Estimates 1986 actual 1987 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget........ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget........ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays by function: National defense............ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. International affairs........ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . General science, space, and technology.. .. .. .. .. . Energy.......................... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Natural resources and environment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Agriculture.................... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Commerce and housing credit.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Transportation................ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Community and regional development.. .. .. .. .. .. . Education, training, employment, and social services.................... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Health.......................... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1989 1990 1987 1988 1989 1990 349.0 63.1 283.9 (83.7) (200.2) 32.9 7.0 13.3 19.9 769.1 (568.9) (200.2) 364.0 104.8 301.5 (87.4) (214.0) 32.6 6.0 14.4 19.1 842.3 (628.3) (214.0) 391.7 116.2 330.7 (89.0) (241.7) 32.2 5.8 15.1 18.6 910.4 (668.7) (241.7) 449.5 415.9 127.1 138.3 380.5 353.8 (91.0) (94.4) (262.8) (286.0) 32.4 31.6 4.4 5.0 16.3 16.1 18.4 18.6 968.2 1,039.7 (705.3) (753.6) (262.8) (286.0) 364.0 104.8 301.5 (87.4) (214.0) 32.6 6.0 14.4 19.1 842.4 (628.4) (214.0) 392.8 117.2 333.2 (91.1) (242.1) 33.4 5.8 15.3 18.9 916.6 (674.5) (242.1) 417.3 450.8 128.6 139.8 357.2 384.0 (93.8) (97.3) (263.4) (286.6) 33.7 32.9 4.4 5.0 16.2 16.8 19.0 18.8 976.2 1,048.3 (712.8) (761.6) (263.4) (286.6) 273.4 14.2 9.0 4.7 13.6 31.4 4.4 28.1 7.2 282.2 14.7 9.5 4.0 14.1 31.1 10.1 26.8 6.3 297.6 16.8 11.1 6.2 15.7 26.6 6.9 26.9 6.7 312.2 16.7 12.7 5.9 16.9 27.0 4.1 29.1 7.8 330.0 16.2 12.7 6.0 17.3 26.2 4.4 29.7 6.6 282.2 14.6 9.5 3.8 13.9 31.1 9.3 27.0 6.2 297.6 15.2 11.4 3.3 14.2 26.3 2.5 25.5 5.5 312.2 18.1 13.2 2.9 15.2 21.8 0.7 26.7 4.4 30.6 35.9 30.3 40.0 32.7 42.0 35.3 45.6 37.0 48.8 29.8 39.7 28.4 38.9 28.9 40.4 330.0 17.9 13.5 3.2 15.3 18.2 1.4 26.4 4.0 1987 1988 1989 1990 * 1.1 1.0 2.4 (2.1) (0.4) 1.2 1.4 1.5 3.5 (2.9) (0.6) 1.2 1.4 1.5 3.5 (2.9) (0.6) 1.3 * 0.1 O.1 (0.1) 0.2 0.3 6.1 (5.8) (0.4) 0.1 0.4 8.0 (7.5) (0.6) 0.5 0.4 8.6 (8.0) (0.6) -0.1 * -0.3 -0.2 * -0.8 0.2 -0.1 -1.6 0.4 -2.9 -1.4 -0.3 -4.4 -1.4 -1.2 1.4 0.4 -3.0 -1.8 -5.2 -3.5 -2.3 -3.4 1.7 0.7 -2.7 -2.0 -7.9 -3.0 -3.3 -2.6 28.0 -0.5 42.2 -0.3 -4.2 -3.2 -6.5 -5.1 -9.0 -6.6 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEA R 1988 Receipts by source: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. On-budget.................. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget................ .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Excise taxes.................. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Estate and gift taxes...... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Customs duties.............. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Miscellaneous receipts.... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1988 Change from current services President's proposals Current services cn -32.1 -33.8 -35.5 -0.3 -0.6 -1.0 -5.5 -6.1 -6.7 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -3.7 -4.1 -45.4 -3.5 -2.3 -45.8 -3.8 -2.5 -48.5 -4.1 -4.5 -2.3 -3.1 -2.5 -3.7 1 -C * . 1 -5.8 -8.2 81.1 87.9 128.7 -5.8 -6.4 133.5 -0.1 232.5 246.8 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 (5.4) (5.4) (-*) (-*) (-*) (227.0) (241.4) (-0.1) (-0.2) (-0.3) 27.6 28.0 -0.2 -0.2 -0.6 -0.8 0.1 8.9 8.8 0.3 0.1 -0.2 7.9 0.1 0.8 7.9 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.6 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 141.5 0.1 -1.3 -3.7 139.0 0.9 (150.8) (151.3) (0.9) (0.1) (-1.3) (-3.6) (-9.2) (-12.3) (-*) (-*) (-0.1) -1.4 -1.1 0.1 0.5 2.8 6 c-9 73.0 124.8 219.4 (4.9) (214.5) 27.2 9.2 7.5 1.5 139.0 (145.6) (-6.6) -0.8 SUMMARY TABLES 70.2 78.2 96.1 71.6 Medicare.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 71.6 86.9 139.9 125.0 129.5 134.4 124.9 Income security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 119.8 247.1 207.9 219.5 232.7 Social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 198.8 207.9 (5.4) (5.0) On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (4.9) (5.4) (5.0) (8.1) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (190.7) (202.9) (214.6) (227.2) (241.7) (202.9) 28.8 26.7 28.2 26.4 26.8 27.5 Veterans benefits and services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 8.9 8.2 8.3 Administration of justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6.6 8.9 8.8 12 7.1 6.7 7.1 6.1 6.8 General government.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 General purpose fiscal assistance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6.4 1.9 142.7 136.6 142.9 Net interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 136.0 139.0 137.5 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (140.3) (141.6) (145.5) (152.1) (154.9) (142.5) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-4.3) (-5.1) (-6.6) (-9.2) (-12.2) (-5.1) 2.7 0.7 1.6 Allowances1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Undistributed offsetting receipts.Employer share, employee retirement (onbudget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -25.4 -28.0 -31.8 -33.2 -34.5 -28.0 Employer share, employee retirement (off-5.4 -6.0 budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -2.9 -3.3 -6.6 -3.3 Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental -3.9 -3.7 -3.8 Shelf.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -4.7 -3.5 -3.9 -1.9 Sale of major assets.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -1.9 Total, undistributed offsetting receipts.. .. -33.0 -37.1 -40.9 -42.6 -44.8 -37.1 6 c -1 0 Table 2. SUMMARY OF CURRENT SERVICES AND THE PRESIDENT'S PROPOSALS—Continued (In billions of dollars) Estimates Current services 1986 actual On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Surplus or deficit (—).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 989.8 (806.3) (183.5) -220.7 Change from current services 1987 1988 1989 1990 1987 1988 1989 1990 1987 1988 1989 1990 1,016.8 1,060.5 1,115.1 1,165.4 1,015.6 1,024.3 1,069.0 1,107.8 -1.3 -36.2 -46.1 -57.6 (822.3) (194.5) -174.5 (857.9) (202.7) -150.1 (903.0) (212.1) -146.9 (942.5) (223.0) -125.7 (821.1) (194.5) -173.2 (821.9) (202.4) -107.8 (857.3) (211.7) (885.4) (-1.3) (-36.0) (-45.7) (-57.1) (222.4) (-0.2) (-0.4) (-0.6) -92.8 -59.5 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (-237.5) (-194.0) (-189.2) (-197.7) (-188.8) (-192.7) (-147.4) (-144.5) (-123.8) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (16.7) (19.5) (39.0) (50.8) (63.1) (19.5) (39.7) (51.7) (64.3) 1.3 42.4 54.2 66.2 (1.3) (41.7) (0.6) (53.2) (1-0) (65.1) (1.2) ADDENDUM Budget authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .... .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,072.8 (883.2) (189.6) 1,102.6 (888.5) (214.0) 1,172.2 1,251.8 (930.5) (241.7) (988.9) (1,037.0) (262.8) (286.0) 1,323.0 1,093.9 (879.9) (214.0) *$50 million or less. 1 Allowances for civilian agencies are separately identified in table 18; all other tables in this part present only the totals for these allowances. 1,142.2 (900.1) (242.1) 1,211.6 (948.2) (263.4) 1,271.9 -8.6 -30.0 -40.1 -51.1 (985.2) (-8.6) (-30.4) (-40.7) (-51.7) (286.6) (0.4) (0.6) (0.6) THE BUD GET FOR FISCAL YEA R 1988 Total outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . President's proposals SUMMARY TABLES 6c-ll Table 3. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE ANO OUTLAYS BY AGENCY, 1986-92 (In billions of Mars) 1980 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 364.0 104.8 392.8 117.2 417.3 128.6 450.8 139.8 489.0 149.2 523.7 160.5 301.5 (87.4) (214.0) 32.6 6.0 14.4 19.1 842.4 (628.4) (214.0) 333.2 (91.1) (242.1) 33.4 5.8 15.3 18.9 916.6 (674.5) (242.1) 357.2 384.0 409.9 431.2 (93.8) (97.3) (102.2) (106.0) (263.4) (286.6) (307.7) (325.3) 33.7 35.2 34.3 32.9 4.4 3.3 3.9 5.0 18.5 16.2 16.8 17.6 18.8 19.3 18.8 19.0 976.2 1,048.3 1,123.2 1,191.2 (712.8) (761.6) (815.4) (865.9) (263.4) (286.6) (307.7) (325.3) Receipts by Source: Individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 349.0 Corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. 63.1 Social insurance taxes and contri butions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 283.9 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (83.7) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. . (200.2) Excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 32.9 Estate and gift taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 7.0 Customs duties.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 13.3 Miscellaneous receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 19.9 Total receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 769.1 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (568.9) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (200.2) Outlays by agency: 2.2 Legislative branch.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 The Judiciary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.5 Executive Office of the President.. . 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 Funds appropriated to the Presi dent.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 12.7 11.4 11.2 12.3 13.3 11.8 Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 58.7 50.7 42.9 55.1 46.5 39.5 Commerce.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2.4 3.3 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.3 Defense—Military1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 265.6 303.7 321.0 340.0 274.2 289.3 Defense—Civil.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 23.4 24.5 25.5 20.3 22.1 20.9 Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 17.7 14.7 14.4 13.3 12.8 16.8 Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 10.2 11.8 12.5 11.0 10.9 10.6 Health and Human Services, except social security.. .. .. .. .. .. . 143.3 165.2 176.4 146.8 156.3 145.3 Health and Human Services, social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 190.7 241.4 256.2 227.0 214.5 202.9 Housing and Urban Development.. .. 14.1 13.6 13.9 14.3 14.0 14.6 Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 4.4 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.8 5.2 Justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 5.4 5.5 3.8 5.6 4.8 5.8 Labor.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 26.2 24.1 25.4 25.4 25.9 24.5 State.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 4.0 2.9 3.7 3.9 3.3 3.6 Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 27.4 25.0 25.9 25.5 26.2 24.6 Treasury.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 179.2 200.7 202.9 180.2 197.0 187.3 Environmental Protection Agency.. . 4.7 4.7 4.9 4.6 4.6 4.6 General Services Administration.. .. 0.2 -0.4 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 -0.3 National Aeronautics and Space Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 7.4 11.1 11.1 11.0 7.9 9.5 Office of Personnel Management.. .. 24.0 27.7 28.4 29.9 31.5 26.8 Small Business Administration.. .. .. . 0.4 0.4 0.6 -0.1 0.1 -0.3 Veterans Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. 26.5 26.8 27.6 27.9 28.5 27.0 Other independent agencies.. .. .. .. .. 11.4 9.2 11.9 17.9 11.5 10.5 Allowances2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4.9 0.5 -0.8 2.8 Undistributed offsetting receipts.. .. -65.0 -71.8 -84.2 -90.2 -99.1 -110.8 Interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (-32.0) (-34.7) (-38.8) (-44.4) (-50.6) (-56.8) Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (-33.0) (-37.1) (-45.4) (-45.8) (-48.5) (-54.0) 2.3 1.6 0.1 11.7 37.6 1.9 361.0 26.5 12.4 13.5 185.9 270.6 13.7 4.3 5.6 26.8 3.9 25.4 196.0 4.5 -0.7 11.0 33.1 0.4 28.9 11.8 7.1 -118.0 (-62.4) ( — 55.6) 6c-12 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 3. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE AND OUTLAYS BY AGENCY, 1986-92—Continued (In billions of dollars) 1986 actual Total outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 989.8 (806.3) (183.5) Surplus or deficit (—).. .. .. -220.7 Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1,015.6 1,024.3 1,069.0 1,107.8 1,144.4 1,178.9 (821.1) (194.5) -173.2 (821.9) (202.4) (857.3) (211-7) (885.4) (911.1) (935.1) (222.4) (233.3) (243.9) 107.8 -92.8 -59.5 -21.3 12.3 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . ( — 237.5) ( — 192.7) (-147.4) — 144.5) ( — 123.8) (—95.7) (-69.1) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (16.7) (19.5) (39.7) (51.7) (64.3) (74.4) (81.4) 1 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for the Department of Defense. 2 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 6c-13 SUMMARY TABLES Table 4—OUTLAYS BY FUNCTION, 1986-92 (In billions of dollars) 050 National defense: Department of Defense—Mili tary 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 150 International affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. . 250 General science, space, and technology.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 270 Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 300 Natural resources, and envi ronment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 350 Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 370 Commerce and housing credit... 400 Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 450 Community and regional de velopment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 500 Education, training, employ ment, and social services.. .. .. .. 550 Health.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 570 Medicare.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 600 Income security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 650 Social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 700 Veterans benefits and services. 750 Administration of justice.. .. .. . 800 General government.. .. .. .. .. .. . 850 General purpose fiscal assist ance .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 900 Net interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 920 Allowances2 950 Undistributed offsetting re ceipts: Employer share, employee re tirement (on-budget).. .. .. .. .. Employer share, employee re tirement (off-budget).. .. .. .. . Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf.. .. .. . Sale of major assets.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total undistributed offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Estimate 1986 actual 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 273.4 282.2 297.6 312.2 330.0 349.5 370.9 265.6 7.7 14.2 274.2 8.0 14.6 289.3 8.2 15.2 303.7 8.5 18.1 321.0 9.0 17.9 340.0 9.5 18.0 361.0 9.9 17.7 9.0 4.7 9.5 3.8 11.4 3.3 13.2 2.9 13.5 3.2 13.8 2.9 14.3 3.1 13.6 31.4 4.4 28.1 13.9 31.1 9.3 27.0 14.2 26.3 2.5 25.5 15.2 21.8 0.7 26.7 15.3 18.2 1.4 26.4 14.9 14.7 0.2 25.8 14.5 13.0 -1.6 26.2 7.2 6.2 5.5 4.4 4.0 4.2 4.2 30.6 35.9 70.2 119.8 198.8 (8.1) (190.7) 26.4 6.6 6.1 29.8 39.7 71.6 124.9 207.9 (5.0) (202.9) 26.7 8.3 6.8 28.4 38.9 73.0 124.8 219.4 (4.9) (214.5) 27.2 9.2 7.5 28.9 40.4 81.1 128.7 232.5 (5.4) (227.0) 27.6 8.9 7.9 28.0 42.2 87.9 133.5 246.8 (5.4) (241.4) 28.0 8.8 7.9 27.5 43.9 95.9 138.9 261.5 (5.3) (256.2) 28.6 8.9 7.9 26.5 45.6 104.4 143.6 275.5 (4.9) (270.6) 29.0 9.1 7.8 1.7 1.7 6.4 1.6 1.9 1.5 1.5 136.0 137.5 134.8 122.1 139.0 141.5 139.0 (140.3) (142.5) (145.6) (150.8) (151.3) (150.4) (141.1) (-4.3) (-5.1) (-6.6) (-9.2) (-12.3) (-15.6) (-19.0) 7.1 4.9 0.5 -0.8 2.8 -25.4 -28.0 -32.1 -33.8 -35.5 -37.3 -39.0 -2.9 -3.3 -5.5 -6.1 -6.7 -7.3 -7.8 -4.7 -3.9 -1.9 -3.7 -4.1 -3.5 -2.3 -3.8 -2.5 -4.0 -5.4 —4.3 -4.5 -33.0 -37.1 -45.4 -45.8 -48.5 -54.0 -55.6 (-30.2) (-33.8) (-39.9) (-39.7) (-41.8) (-46.8) (-47.8) (-2.9) (-3.3) (-5.5) (-6.1) (-6.7) (-7.3) (-7.8) 989.8 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (806.3) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (183.5) 1,015.6 (821.1) (194.5) 1,024.3 (821.9) (202.4) 1,069.0 (857.3) (211.7) 1 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for the Department of Defense. 2 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 1,107.8 (885.4) (222.4) 1,144.4 (911.1) (233.3) 1,178.9 (935.1) (243.9) 6c-14 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 5. CREDIT BUDGET: NEW DIRECT LOAN OBLIGATIONS AND GUARANTEED LOAN COMMITMENTS BY AGENCY (In millions of dollars) Guaranteed loan commitments Direct loan obligations Department or other unit 1987 estimate 1986 actual 1987 estimate Funds Appropriated to the President.. .. .. .. .. .. . Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Commerce.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Health and Human Services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Housing and Urban Development1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Labor.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . State.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Transportation. . .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Environmental Protection Agency.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Small Business Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Veterans Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other independent agencies: Export-Import Bank.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.. .. .. . Federal Savings and Loan Insurance Corpo ration (FHLBB).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . National Credit Union Administration.. .. .. .. . Tennessee Valley Authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 6,443 26,658 10 568 1,582 4 22 1,060 67 2 1 1,337 32 1,543 972 5,405 22,508 160 5,720 15,915 17 282 4,117 41 345 1,113 72 250 6,840 1,232 1,404 8,575 9,591 9,398 32 374 832 102,673 37 45 3 1 153 48 343 87,125 40 100 70,000 34 916 933 804 829 2,780 34,297 3,617 35,000 3,510 27,930 578 128 900 1,000 5,508 11,355 10,000 21 34 268 25 61 301 25 77 280 506 6 103 2 300 1 Total............................................................ 41,329 34,927 27,136 159,243 155,705 128,362 137,962 132,500 100,000 47 1,711 67 3 1 658 1988 estimate 1986 actual 1988 estimate ADDENDUM Secondary guaranteed loans1 1 Commitments by GNMA to guarantee securities that are backed by loans previously insured or guaranteed by the Federal Housing Administration, Veterans Administration, or Farmers Home Administration (secondary guarantees) are excluded from the totals and shown as a memorandum entry. 6c-15 SUMMARY TABLES Table 6. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCING AND DEBT (In billions of dollars) FINANCING 1986 actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 Surplus or deficit (-).. .. .. . -220.7 -173.2 -107.8 -92.8 -59.5 -21.3 12.3 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (-237.5) (-192.7) (-147.4) (-144.5) (-123.8) (-95.7) (-69.1) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (39.7) (74.4) (64.3) (81.4) (51.7) (16.7) (19.5) Means of financing other than borrowing from the public: Decrease or increase (-) in Treasury operating cash balance.. -14.3 11.4 Increase or decrease (-) in: Checks outstanding, etc.1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1.9 1.9 1.8 Deposit fund balances.... -3.5 -2.8 -1.2 0.4 Seigniorage on coins.. .. .. . 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Total, means of financing other than borrowing 0.4 0.4 from the public.. . -15.6 0.4 0.4 10.9 1.0 Total, requirements for borrowing 12.7 from the public.. . -236.3 -162.2 -106.7 -92.3 -59.1 -20.9 Change in debt held by the public.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 20.9 -12.7 236.3 162.2 106.7 59.1 92.3 DEBT, END OF YEAR Gross Federal debt: Debt issued by Treasury.. . Debt issued by other agencies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total, gross Federal debt.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Held by: Government accounts.. .. .. The public.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Federal Reserve Banks.. .. .. .. .. .. . Others.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,128.2 2,364.7 2,580.3 2,793.2 2,989.1 3,160.3 3,307.7 4.8 7.8 5.1 3.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 2,132.9 2.372.4 2,585.5 2,796.9 2,991.3 3,162.6 3,309.8 386.8 1,746.1 464.0 1.908.4 570.4 2,015.1 689.4 2,107.5 824.8 2,166.5 975.2 2,187.4 1,135.2 2,174.7 190.9 1,555.3 6c-16 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 6. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCING AND DEBT—Continued (In billions of dollars) DEBT SUBJECT TO STATUTORY LIMITATION, END OF YEAR 1986 actual Debt issued by Treasury.... .. . Treasury debt not subject to limitation (-)2........ .. .. Agency debt subject to limitation.................... .. .. . Total, debt subject to statutory limitation 3. Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 2,128.2 2,364.7 2,580.3 2,793.2 2,989.1 3,160.3 3,307.7 -18.5 -12.7 -7.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 -2.6 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 2,111.0 2,353.3 2,573.0 2,790.8 2,986.7 3,158.0 3,305.3 1 Besides checks outstanding, includes accrued interest payable on Treasury debt, miscellaneous liability accounts, allocations of special drawing rights, and, as an offset, cash and monetary assets other than the Treasury operating cash balance, miscellaneous asset accounts, profit on sale of gold, and a technical error in recording FDIC outlays in 1986. 2 Consists of Federal Financing Bank debt, the unamortized difference between the purchase price and par value of certain Treasury securities held by Government accounts, and other Treasury debt not subject to statutory limitation. 3 The permanent statutory debt limit is $2,111 billion. Public Law 99-509 temporarily increased the limit to $2,300 billion through May 15, 6c-17 SUMMARY TABLES Table 7. FULL-TIME EQUIVALENT OF FEDERAL CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT 1 Fiscal year Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Commerce.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Defense—civil functions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Health and Human Services.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Housing and Urban Development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Labor.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. State.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Treasury.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Environmental Protection Agency.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. National Aeronautics and Space Administration.. .. .. . Veterans Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other: Agency for International Development.. .. .. .. .. .. . General Services Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Nuclear Regulatory Commission.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Office of Personnel Management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Panama Canal Commission.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Small Business Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tennessee Valley Authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. United States Information Agency.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Miscellaneous.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Estimated nondefense lapse.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1986 actual2 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 1989 estimate difference 1987-88 102,997 32,321 28,511 4,526 16,193 128,105 11,720 70,657 63,307 17,931 25,261 60,375 130,845 12,931 21,660 220,642 106,393 33,849 28,348 4,500 16,100 124,745 12,535 71,350 69,463 18,339 26,147 60,480 136,807 14,165 21,800 221,227 99,085 41,049 28,347 4,500 15,950 119,099 12,438 70,400 76,920 18,060 26,658 59,868 146,188 14,323 22,425 216,709 98,894 43,577 28,347 4,500 15,850 114,208 11,428 70,400 77,782 17,997 26,803 57,404 148,574 14,263 22,425 215,218 -7,308 7,200 -1 4,675 22,745 3,445 5,306 8,336 4,054 27,613 8,981 39,652 4,825 22,281 3,369 5,419 8,550 4,115 29,500 9,120 43,529 -21,939 1,075,017 1,039,000 2,114,017 764,590 2,878,607 4,825 21,677 3,250 5,195 8,665 4,227 29,500 9,020 44,049 -19,292 1,083,135 1,037,000 2,120,135 794,000 2,914,135 4,825 20,877 3,180 5,005 8,665 4,050 29,500 9,020 43,981 -16,452 1,080,321 1,036,000 2,116,321 824,000 2,940,321 Civilian agency employment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 1,072,789 Defense—military functions3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,041,352 Subtotal.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2,114,141 Postal Service Employment4.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 739,574 Total, Executive Branch.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 2,853,715 -150 -5,646 -97 -950 7,457 -279 511 -612 9,381 158 625 -4,518 -604 -119 -224 115 112 -100 520 2,647 8,118 -2,000 6,118 29,410 35,528 1 Excludes developmental positions under the Worker-Trainee Opportunity Program (WT0P) as well as certain statutory exemptions. 2 Data are estimated for portions of Defense—civil functions as well as for the Federal Reserve System, Board of Governors and the International Trade Commission. 3 Section 904 of the 1982 Defense Authorization Act (Public Law 97-86) exempts the Department of Defense from full-time equivalent employment controls. Data shown are estimated. 4 Includes the Postal Rate Commission. 6c-18 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 8. BUDGET AUTHORITY BY FUNCTION, 1986-92 (In billions of dollars) Estimate actual 050 National defense.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 289.1 Department of Defense—Mili tary 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (281.4) Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (7.8) 16.7 150 International affairs.. .. .. .. .. .. 250 General science, space, and technology.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 9.3 270 Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6.0 300 Natural resources and envi ronment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 11.7 350 Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 29.9 370 Commerce and housing credit... 11.0 400 Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 28.9 450 Community and regional de velopment.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 6.9 500 Education, training, employ ment, and social services.. .. .. . 30.3 550 Health.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 36.6 570 Medicare.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 87.2 600 Income security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 158.0 650 Social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 201.7 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (4.9) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (196.8) 700 Veterans benefits and services. 27.2 750 Administration of justice.. .. .. . 6.8 800 General government.. .. .. .. .. .. 6.8 850 General purpose fiscal assist ance .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 5.8 900 Net interest.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 136.0 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (140.3) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (-4.3) 920 Allowances 2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 950 Undistributed offsetting re ceipts: Employer share, employee re tirement (on-budget).. .. .. .. . -25.4 Employer share, employee re tirement (off-budget).. .. .. .. -2.9 Rents and royalties on the Outer Continental Shelf.. .. .. . . -4.7 Sale of major assets.. .. .. .. .. .. . Total undistributed offsetting receipts.. , -33.0 On-budget.. .. .. .(-30.2) Off-budget.. .. .. • (-2.9) . 1,072.8 On-budget.. Off-budget.. . (883.2) . (189.6) 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 292.9 312.0 332.4 353.5 375.0 396.9 (284.9) (8.0) 18.0 (303.3) (8.7) 19.1 (323.3) (9.1) 18.3 (343.9) (9.6) 19.2 (364.9) (10.1) 19.2 (386.5) (10.4) 19.2 12.2 2.6 11.5 2.5 12.9 3.6 13.5 3.9 14.1 4.1 14.6 4.0 13.2 27.3 7.9 27.0 14.1 22.2 8.8 24.6 14.9 24.0 8.6 24.6 14.9 21.6 9.5 24.8 14.1 16.7 8.3 25.7 13.7 18.6 7.9 25.9 6.1 5.3 5.9 5.8 5.3 5.1 30.0 40.3 83.9 160.5 227.4 (5.0) (222.4) 27.1 8.7 6.9 28.8 41.4 94.4 160.2 259.1 (4.9) (254.2) 27.7 9.0 7.5 28.4 42.2 103.4 165.3 284.2 (5.4) (278.8) 28.3 9.0 7.8 27.3 44.9 122.3 185.4 335.9 (5.3) (330.6) 28.8 9.3 8.0 26.2 46.3 132.7 187.8 356.9 (4.9) (352.0) 29.3 9.4 8.1 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 122.1 139.0 134.8 141.5 139.0 137.5 (142.5) (145.6) (150.8) (151.3) (150.4) (141.1) (-5.1) (-6.6) (-9.2) (-12.3) (-15.6) (-19.0) 5.1 2.8 7.3 -0.9 0.5 -28.0 -32.1 -33.8 -35.5 -37.3 -39.0 -3.3 -5.5 -6.1 -6.7 -7.3 -7.8 -3.9 -1.9 -3.7 -4.1 -3.5 -2.3 -3.8 -2.5 -4.0 -5.4 -4.3 -4.5 -37.1 -45.4 -45.8 -48.5 -54.0 -55.6 (-33.8) (-39.9) (-39.7) (-41.8) (-46.8) (-47.8) (-3.3) (-5.5) (-6.1) (-6.7) (-7.3) (-7.8) 1,093.9 (879.9) (214.0) 1,142.2 (900.1) (242.1) 1,211.6 (948.2) (263.4) 1 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for the Department of Defense. 2 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 27.6 43.4 112.5 170.3 311.0 (5.4) (305.7) 28.5 9.1 8.0 1,271.9 1,331.8 1,377.9 (985.2) (1,024.1) (1,052.6) (286.6) (307.7) (325.3) 6C-19 SUMMARY TABLES Table 9. BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY, 1986-92 (In billions of dollars) Department or other unit Legislative Branch.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . The Judiciary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Executive Office of the President.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Funds Appropriated to the President.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Commerce.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Defense—Military1.. .. .. .. .. .. . Defense—Civil.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Health and Human Services, except social security.. .. .. . Health and Human Services, social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Housing and Urban Development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Labor.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. State.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Treasury.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Environmental Protection Agency .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. General Services Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. National Aeronautics and Space Administration.... .. .. .. 1986 Actual 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1.7 1.0 1.9 1.3 2.2 1.5 2.2 1.5 2.2 1.5 2.2 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.1 59.2 2.0 281.4 32.7 17.9 10.6 12.6 53.1 2.0 284.9 34.5 17.1 9.6 13.1 49.0 2.1 303.3 36.7 14.0 10.5 12.2 52.4 2.4 323.3 38.5 13.8 11.9 12.9 50.7 3.1 343.9 40.6 13.3 12.6 12.7 45.7 2.0 364.9 42.5 12.8 13.4 12.8 47.7 1.8 386.5 44.5 12.5 13.7 156.5 158.4 171.0 180.6 190.7 203.3 214.2 196.8 222.4 254.2 278.8 305.7 330.6 352.0 15.9 4.6 3.9 28.8 4.0 28.1 179.7 14.2 4.6 5.3 29.1 3.8 26.1 180.3 10.2 4.4 5.6 28.3 4.3 23.6 187.1 10.3 4.6 5.7 27.9 4.4 23.8 197.1 10.5 4.6 5.7 27.5 4.4 23.9 200.7 18.0 4.5 5.8 28.6 4.5 24.8 202.8 15.6 4.4 5.8 28.1 4.5 25.0 195.8 3.4 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.0 3.7 0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 7.8 10.5 9.5 10.6 10.9 11.0 11.0 44.8 0.5 27.0 16.6 47.0 0.4 27.6 17.0 -0.9 49.2 0.5 28.2 17.2 0.5 51.6 0.5 28.4 17.9 2.8 53.8 0.4 28.7 18.9 5.1 55.8 0.4 29.2 19.8 7.3 -28.7 -31.6 -35.2 -38.3 -41.1 -43.4 -5.1 -6.6 -9.2 -12.3 -15.6 -19.0 -0.9 -0.6 -28.0 -32.1 -33.8 -35.5 -37.3 -39.0 -3.3 -5.5 -6.1 -6.7 -7.3 -7.8 Office of Personnel Management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 44.2 Small Business Administration.. 0.7 Veterans Administration.. .. .. .. 27.1 Other Independent Agencies.. .. 18.2 Allowances2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Undistributed offsetting receipts: Interest received by onbudget trust funds.. .. .. . -26.6 Interest received by offbudget trust funds.. .. .. . -4.3 Interest received by OCS escrow account.. .. .. .. .. . -1.1 Employer share, employee retirement (on-budget).... -25.4 Employer share, employee retirement (off-budget)... -2.9 Estimate 1987 6c-20 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 9. BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY, 1986-92—Continued (In billions of dollars) Department or other unit 1986 Actual Estimate 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 Rents and royalties on the -3.7 -3.5 -4.0 -4.3 -3.8 Outer Continental Shelf.... -4.7 -3.9 -5.4 -4.5 -4.1 -2.3 -2.5 Sale of major assets.. .. .. .. . -1.9 Total undistributed offsetting receipts.. .. . -65.0 -71.8 -84.2 -90.2 -99.1 -110.8 -118.0 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. (-57.8) (-63.4) (-72.1) (-74.9) (-80.1) (-87.9) (-91.3) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. (-7.2) (-8.4) (-12.1) (-15.4) (-19.0) (-22.9) (-26.8) Total budget authority.. .. .. .. On-budget.. .. .. .. .. Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. 1,072.8 (883.2) (189.6) 1,093.9 1,142.2 1,211.6 1,271.9 1,331.8 1,377.9 (985.2) (1,024.1) (1,052.6) (286.6) (307.7) (325.3) (879.9) (214.0) (900.1) (242.1) (948.2) (263.4) 555.1 -1.2 0.7 567.6 4.0 608.7 1.2 636.6 3.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 724.2 779.9 819.1 863.6 N/A N/A -185.0 -209.3 -217.5 -231.4 N/A N/A 1,093.9 1,142.2 1,211.6 1,271.9 1,331.8 1,377.9 MEMORANDUM Available through current action by Congress: Enacted and pending.. .. .. .. 535.0 Proposed in this budget.. .. . To be requested separately... Available without current action by Congress.. .. .. .. .. 725.8 Deductions for offsetting receipts3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -188.1 Total budget authority.. .. .. .. 1,072.8 N/A - Not available 1 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense. 2 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 3 These consist of intragovernmental transactions and proprietary receipts from the public. 6C-21 SUMMARY TABLES Table 10. BUDGET AUTHORITY AND OUTLAYS AVAILABLE WITH AND WITHOUT CURRENT ACTION BY CONGRESS 1 (In millions of dollars) Budget authority Department or other unit 1986 actual Portion available through current action by Congress: Legislative branch.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . The Judiciary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Executive Office of the President.. .. .. Funds appropriated to the President.... Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Commerce.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Defense—Military2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Defense—Civil.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Health and Human Services3.. .. .. .. . Housing and Urban Development.. .. .. Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Labor.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . State .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Treasury .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Environmental Protection Agency.. .. .. General Services Administration.. .. .. . National Aeronautics and Space Ad ministration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Office of Personnel Management.. .. .. Small Business Administration.. .. .. .. . Veterans Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other independent agencies.. .. .. .. .. .. 1988 estimate 1,580 1,030 108 13,565 25,681 2,067 278,453 2,786 17,932 13,336 72,427 14,939 4,928 3,806 6,340 3,484 9,855 10,422 3,660 392 1,766 1,276 119 13,320 24,548 1,958 285,603 3,202 17,046 12,777 78,771 12,267 4,810 5,208 5,303 3,196 19,470 6,547 5,540 383 1,989 1,437 127 14,065 29,659 2,122 303,797 3,357 14,043 13,779 83,905 8,289 4,758 5,322 8,613 3,711 10,484 7,452 4,689 251 7,807 6,040 371 26,230 7,802 10,408 6,115 486 26,300 8,221 535,040 554,641 Allowances4........................................ Subtotal.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Outlays 1987 estimate 1987 estimate 1988 estimate 1,411 945 93 5,695 22,848 1,378 158,202 1,932 7,572 8,128 65,136 826 3,612 2,957 1,999 2,174 5,975 9,626 1,156 321 1,646 1,123 103 5,504 22,409 1,379 163,158 2,411 5,558 7,988 71,650 936 3,864 3,869 1,627 2,334 7,804 5,686 1,930 317 1,884 1,278 111 5,291 24,645 1,564 175,712 2,552 4,139 8,375 69,231 1,022 3,684 4,123 4,260 2,440 6,054 6,511 1,272 156 9,481 6,187 379 26,824 7,805 -883 5,322 5,240 139 23,043 5,698 5,353 5,997 150 23,181 6,190 5,891 4,446 161 23,483 5,457 -770 571,645 341,428 352,169 362,972 1986 actual Portion available without current action by Congress.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 725,804 724,295 779,872 536,769 514,505 513,506 Outlays from obligated balances5.. .. .. . 214,620 216,314 225,849 Outlays from unobligated balances5.. .. 85,072 117,588 131,338 Deductions for offsetting receipts.. .. .. .. -188,073 -185,003 -209,338 -188,073 -185,003 -209,338 Total budget authority and outlays.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,072,773 1,093,933 1,142,180 665 989,815 MEMORANDUM Appropriations to liquidate tract authority: 6 con Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 10 14,958 2,486 12 14,453 15,288 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 14,968 16,952 15,953 1 Includes budget authority and outlays that are off-budget under current law. 2 Includes allowances for civilian and military pay raises for Department of Defense. 3 Includes amounts for social security trust funds that are available through current action by Congress. 4 Includes allowances for civilian agency pay raises and military pay raises for the Coast Guard. 5 Outlays from appropriations to liquidate contract authority are included as outlays from balances. 6 Excluded from budget authority above. 1,015,572 1,024,328 6c-22 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 11. RELATION OF BUDGET AUTHORITY TO OUTLAYS 1 (In millions of dollars) Description 1986 actual 1987 estimate 1988 estimate Budget authority available through current action by Congress: Enacted, pending, or recommended herein: Appropriations2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Contract authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Authority to borrow.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Reappropriations and reauthorizations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . To be requested separately: Appropriations2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Contract authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Authority to borrow.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 542,097 12,496 -1,349 660 560,843 2,501 51 69 737 7,476 -30 734 535,040 554,641 571,645 658,824 34,101 32,880 676,820 15,476 31,999 735,928 22,614 21,331 Intragovernmental transactions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proprietary receipts from the public.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -153,024 -35,049 -148,618 -36,385 -167,304 -42,034 Total budget authority for the year (table 8).. .. 1,072,773 1,093,933 1,142,180 Unobligated balances: Brought forward at start of year (table 12).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Written off (rescinded, lapsed, etc.)3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Carried forward at end of year (table 12).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 479,724 -13,312 -526,141 526,141 -17,760 -580,191 580,191 -16,804 -680,133 Obligations incurred, net 4.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1,013,044 1,022,123 1,025,433 589,316 9,921 -20,692 9 -601,782 601,782 -1,127 -10,334 596,872 -13 -11,210 -596,872 -586,755 989,815 1,015,572 1,024,328 532,048 779,716 781,527 756,486 541,522 779,313 772,116 769,097 559,740 795,201 777,473 780,469 Total budget authority available through cur rent action by Congress (table 10).. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 528,476 5,700 636 228 Budget authority available without current action by Congress (permanent authorizations): Appropriations2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Contract authority.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Authority to borrow.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deductions for offsetting receipts (table 14): Unobligated balances and adjustments: Obligated balances: Brought forward at start of year, funded (table 12).. .. .. .. .. .. . Adjustments in expired accounts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Adjustments in unexpired accounts.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Deficiency appropriations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Carried forward at end of year (table 12).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Outlays (table 3).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ... .. .. .. MEMORANDUM Federal funds included above: Budget authority available through current action by Congress.... Budget authority5.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Obligations incurred, net5.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Budget outlays5.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 1 Includes budget authority and outlays that are off-budget under current law. 2 Excludes appropriations to liquidate contract authority-. 1986 1987 1988 actual estimate estimate 37,008 36,990 36,275 Enacted, pending, or recommended herein....................................................... 3 Includes redemption of agency debt and capital transfers to the general fund, as well as proposed and enacted rescissions of unobligated balances. 4 For additional information on obligations incurred, net, see the 0MB report entitled, “Object Class Analysis”, which can be purchased from the National Technical Information Service shortly after the budget is transmitted. 5 Amounts are net of intrafund transactions and proprietary receipts from the public. 6c-23 SUMMARY TABLES Table 12. BALANCES OF BUDGET AUTHORITY 1 (In millions of dollars) Department or other unit Legislative branch.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. The Judiciary.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Executive Office of the President.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Funds appropriated to the President.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Agriculture.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Commerce.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Defense—Military2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. Defense—Civil.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Education.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Energy.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Health and Human Services, except social security.. .. .. .. . Health and Human Services, social security.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Housing and Urban Development.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Interior.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Justice.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Labor.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. State.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Transportation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Treasury.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Environmental Protection Agency .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . General Services Administration.. National Aeronautics and Space Administration.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Office of Personnel Management.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Small Business Administration.... Veterans Administration.. .. .. .. .. Other independent agencies: Export-Import Bank.. .. .. .. .. . Federal Home Loan Bank Board.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Railroad Retirement Board.. .. All other independent agencies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Allowances3.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Start 1986 Obligated End 1987 End 1986 Unobligated Obligated Unobligated Obligated End 1988 Unobligated Obligated Unobligated 401 124 401 142 388 115 415 122 383 159 195 128 389 176 152 138 21 * 17 * 18 * 19 ♦ 33,740 31,226 32,962 29,634 32,752 29,433 24,521 2,189 29,445 2,255 22,407 1,227 1,643 387 1,129 169 352 1,445 182,861 61,487 196,407 59,046 209,459 50,464 2,184 10,459 2,135 22,939 2,398 36,189 13,683 1,993 13,670 1,676 11,877 2,221 563 7,949 2,450 7,111 2,649 7,613 32,329 29,370 13,404 989 162 946 224,031 49,697 2,664 50,556 11,488 1,320 131 7,883 10,410 58,052 12,869 79,793 7,301 14,727 36,563 7,309 48,447 25,026 15,824 30,046 16,836 48,554 16,838 88,222 212,131 58,427 203,883 56,698 189,933 59,027 171,998 59,605 2,346 2,156 2,165 2,104 1,919 1,735 1,788 1,689 384 282 1,214 730 445 884 338 1,422 4,957 19,802 3,755 25,412 3,585 30,002 4,828 31,412 702 2,990 867 3,962 1,193 4,089 1,352 4,660 35,197 12,252 38,851 12,053 38,075 12,659 37,548 11,905 3,459 22,589 1,016 19,396 996 19,082 1,114 18,815 10,176 970 1,136 1,244 8,828 402 1,048 1,879 8,835 811 1,327 1,587 9,189 1,069 921 1,512 1,631 913 1,640 1,249 2,347 3,096 2,647 2,651 2,994 183,330 850 398 4,848 13,050 3,188 203,329 363 1,176 5,162 13,120 1,982 146,999 260 1,952 4,071 13,174 2,768 166,458 421 589 4,201 13,516 3,109 439 1,732 797 2,628 2,023 2,153 2,650 1,907 71 3,920 4,176 6,671 -259 1,084 6,289 3,812 -191 199 6,955 3,175 -96 1,535 7,809 16,461 14,820 17,128 15,651 17,825 13,704 17,139 -113 16,430 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 589,316 479,724 601,782 526,141 596,872 580,191 586,755 680,133 MEMORANDUM Federal funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 516,596 206,866 531,068 191,579 522,625 181,271 508,407 182,248 Trust funds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 72,721 272,857 70,714 334,562 74,247 398,920 78,348 497,886 Total.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 589,316 479,724 601,782 526,141 596,872 580,191 586,755 680,133 *$500 thousand or 1 Includes balances 2 Includes balances 3 Includes balances less. of budget authority that are off-budget under current law. of allowances for civilian and military pay raises for the Department of Defense. of allowances for civilian agency pay raises. 6c-24 THE BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 1988 Table 13. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE (In millions of dollars) 1986 actual 1987 estimate 1988 estimate Withheld.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 314,838 Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 105,994 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Gross individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 420,832 Refunds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -71,873 313,648 128,428 —2 442,074 -78,072 326,691 137,828 1,097 465,616 -72,795 348,959 364,002 392,821 80,442 Existing law.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refunds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . -17,298 122,243 -17,482 134,955 1,028 -18,776 63,143 104,761 117,207 195,241 220,554 359 21,154 31 59,962 1,690 Source Individual income taxes: Net individual income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Corporation income taxes: Net corporation income taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Social insurance taxes and contributions (trust funds): Employment taxes and contributions: Old-age and survivors insurance (off-budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 182,518 Proposed legislation (off-budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 17,711 Disability insurance (off-budget)^.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation (off-budget).. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 51,335 Hospital insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Railroad retirement: 1,395 Social Security equivalent account.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .... Rail pension fund.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 2,103 Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total employment taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 255,062 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (54,834) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. (200,228) Unemployment insurance: 18,832 State taxes deposited in Treasury 1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 5,044 Federal unemployment tax receipts1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 221 Railroad unemployment tax receipts1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Railroad debt repayment1.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 24,098 Total unemployment insurance.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Other retirement contributions: 4,645 Federal employees’ retirement—employee contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 96 Contributions for non-Federal employees2.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 4,742 Total other retirement contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Total social insurance taxes and contributions.. .. .. .. .. .. .. . 283,901 On-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (83,673) Off-budget.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . (200,228) 18,777 55,811 1,313 2,106 1,370 2,101 217 273,248 (59,230) (214,018) 307,438 (65,340) (242,098) 17,375 16,177 78 5,580 9 207 42 153 22,246 6,016 216 174 23,781 4,431 3,394 96 10 3,500 301,460 333,184 (87,442) (214,018) (91,086) (242,098) 4,097 1,603 4,045 1,615 4,332 99 Excise taxes: Federal funds: Alcohol taxes: Distilled spirits.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Beer.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 4,045 1,597 6c-25 SUMMARY TABLES Table 13. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE—Continued (In millions of dollars) Source Wines.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Special taxes in connection with liquor occupations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refunds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total alcohol taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tobacco taxes: Cigarettes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Cigars.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Cigarette papers and tubes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Smokeless tobacco.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Other.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Refunds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total tobacco taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Manufacturers’ excise taxes: Gasoline.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Firearms, shells, and cartridges.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Pistols and revolvers.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Bows and arrows.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Gas guzzler tax.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Windfall profit tax.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refunds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total manufacturers’ excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Miscellaneous excise taxes: General and toll telephone and teletype service.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Wagering taxes, including occupational taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Employee pension plans.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tax on foundations.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Foreign insurance policies.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refunds.............................................................................................. Total miscellaneous excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Undistributed Federal tax deposits and unapplied collections.. .. .. .. .. Total Federal fund excise taxes.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Trust funds: Highway: Gasoline.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Trucks, buses, and trailers.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Tires, innertubes, and tread rubber.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Diesel fuel used on highways.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. . Use-tax on certain vehicles.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Proposed legislation.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Refunds.. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. Total highway trust fund3.. .. ..