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n f m o i M L Economic t r c d d s
P R EP A R ED

MONTH E N D IN G :

BY

December 31, 1971

FE D ER A L

R ESER VE

BANK

OF

ST. LOUIS

RELEA SED :

January 25, 1972

Total spending increased at a 7.7 percent annual rate
from the third quarter of 1971 to the fourth quarter. Most of
the gain was in real product rather than prices. Real product
rose at a 6.1 percent annual rate from the third to the fourth
quarter, and prices increased at a 1.4 percent rate. Year-end
advances in economic activity offset some earlier sluggishness,
with the result that 1971 GNP was $1046.8 billion, a 7.5 per­
cent increase over the recession year 1970.
Nineteen seventy-one could be characterized as a year
of moderate recovery in that some progress was made in correcting
the upward movement of prices and downward movement of output in
recent years. Real product growth had slowed in each successive
year since 1968, from a 4.7 percent rise in that year to a 0.6
percent decline in 1970. Real product rose 2.7 percent in 1971.
The rate of price increase had moved up each successive year
since 1962, from a 1.1 percent increase that year to a 5.5 per­
cent increase in 1970. The inflation rate slowed to 4.6 percent
in 1971.
Industrial production and employment, which changed
little from 1970 to 1971, have picked up in the past few months.
Industrial production rose at a 7.3 percent rate from August to
December, compared with a 1 percent rate of increase from December
1970 to August. Payroll employment increased at a 2.5 percent rate
from August to December, after rising at a 0.5 percent rate from
December 1970 to August. Unemployment as a percentage of the
civilian labor force remained near the 6 percent level through­
out the year 1971.
Price advances moderated from August to November, the
period of the wage-price "freeze." Many prices increased sharply
at year-end with the transition from Phase I to Phase II of the
Administration's Control Program. However, price rises in the
last four months of the year were generally not as rapid as in
the first eight months. Wholesale prices of industrial commod­
ities increased at a 0.5 percent rate from August to December,
after rising at a 4.6 percent rate in the preceding eight months.
Consumer price increases slowed to a 2.5 percent rate from August
to December, compared with a 3.8 percent rate from December 1970
to August.




2
TOTAL C I V I L I A N EMPLOYMENT
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OP CHANGE

INITIAL MONTH_______________________________________________________________ THOUSANDS
MONTH
__________ 5 - 7 0
6-70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

OF PERSONS
10-70 11-70 12-70
1 -7 1
2-71___ 2 z l l __ ±=11___I z U ___fc z ll___I z l l ___ ± l L1----? - 7 j

lQ -7j

U ~ 7 -L.

-4.5

7-70

-0.2

4 . 3 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 8 , 5 7 4

8-70

-0.5

1.6

- 1 . 0 ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 7 3 , 5 0 8

9-70

-0.5

0.9

-0.7

10-70

0.3

1 .5

0.6

1.4

3 . 3 _______________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________Z8,_69L_

1 1 - 7 _____0 - 0 , 1 __ 0 . 8

-0.1

0.?

0.5

_L2-U 2___ - 0 . 3 ____ iJLJt__ - 0 . 3 __ - P . ?
1-71

o, » 5

1.2

Ui ,7

7 — 71

-

0 ., 1

0-5

-o,,

1

3-71

-

0 ,, 7

0-3

-o ,,

2

- 0 . 4 _________________________________________________________________________________________ _______________________________ 7 8 , 4 7 9

- 2 . 1 ________________________________________________________ ________ _________________________________________ 7 8 .5 5 Q

-0.1

-1.7

1 '1

1 ,5

0,9

I ,4

11

o ,7

- n •6

-0 , ]

o •A

- 4 ,9

-0 , 1

-0 .0

-0 , 7

- 0 ,3

o,

1

- 7 ,9

-0 , 9
_p

o

- 1 . 3 .............................................................. .... .... ...................................... -.......................... J Â s A h l 7 8 , 8 6 * . .....

6,3

78.537

4-71

0 ,. 1

0.6

0 ,, 7

o ,4

o .5

0 #0

n ,5

o •9

- 0 .8

5-71

0., 5

0.9

o, .

6

o •*

o ,9

0 •6

l •ft

1 G

fl , 4

0 ., 7

0.7

0 ., 7

-0 , 1

-0 , 1

- n .5

- n .7

1

- 1 .3

7-71

o. , 4

0.3

Oi , 5

()

.6

0 .7

0 ,4

0 ,7

1 .0

0 .?

8— 71

0 .. 6

1 -0

0,7

o #C|

1 .0

n

l ,

1

1, 4

.7

9-71

0,9

1 .3

1 ,.0

1,7

1 .3

i ,7

i ,

5

1 ■8

].3

7 ■?

10-71

1 ,, 1

1.5

1 ,, 3

1 ,5

1 • <7

i ,5

1 .8

7,

1

1 ,7

11- 71

1,

1.5

1 ,, 4

1,5

1t7

i •6

1 ,9

?, 7

17- 71

1.?

1 .6

1 .. 4

1 . 5

1 .7

l

.6

i. Q

?. 1

5-70

6-70

7-70

8 - '70

6-71

-

-

■R

-n .

9 - 70 1 0 - 70 1 1 - 70 1 2 - 7 C

1

7,

7

14

73,475

.
7 . 3 , 6 9 8 _____

.5
3

,8

78.961

4- 1
-7-

6

7 3 , 4 4 3 .... .

-0 , 7

-1.9

1, 7

1 # «1

1.7

0.2

7.9

1 ,7

7, 7

1. 9

1. ?

5.9

4.0

7,7

7-5

7.7

5.6

4.5

5.1

7 m r;

*.0

7-9

7.7

S .5

4.7

5

4.9

1 .8

7, 5

3 ■ft

7.0

7.7

4.9

4.7

4 ,7

3. 9.

2.7

1

?. 4

. H

7 .7

7.6

¿*-4

3.7

3.6

3.1

2.2

1 .7

2 - 71

3 - 71

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8 - 71

9-71

1 0 -7 1

11-71

- ft,

l - 71

IN IT IA I

-

..

ISLtSAi—
79.197
7 9.1.5 25 ..... .
7 9 , 8 4 . 5 . ........
80.022

80.133

MONTH

PȣPAKhO BY F FOE P.AL RES ERVE BANK OF S T. L O U I S
JAN UA3Y 7. 1 9 7 7 .
PAYROLL E M P L O Y E MT
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL KATES OF CHANGE______________________________________________________________
TER MINAL________________________________________________________________ I N I T I A L

j^HNTH__________________________________________________________________ THOUSANOS

7 -7 0

OF
9 -7 0

1 0 -7 0

1 1 -7 0

-2 .7

1 2 -7 C

1 -7 1

2 -7 1

3 - 71

4 -7 1

5 -7 1

6 -7 1

7 -7 1

8 -7 1

9 -7 1

î 0—7 1

PERSO N S

1 1 -7 1

7 0 ,6 3 4

-J
1
-j
o

6 -7 0

6 -7 0

O

5 -7 0

JO
1

MONTH

-1 .6

-0 .5

8 -7 0

-2 .0

-1 .6

9 -7 0

-1 .3

-0 .9

-1 .1

1 0 -7 0

-2 .4

-2 . ?

-2 .9

-3 .1

-6 .6

1 1 -7 0

-2 .3

-7 .2

-2 .6

-2 .6

-4 .1

-1 .6

1 2 -7 0

-1 .2

-0 .9

-1 .0

-0 .6

-0 .9

2 .0

5 .8

1 -7 1

-0 .7

-0 .4

-0 .4

Ü. J

-J . 1

2 .1

4 .1

2 .4

7 0 ,6 0 5
-2 .7

7 0 ,4 4 5
0 .6

7 0 ,4 8 0
7 0 ,0 8 2
6 9 ,9 8 5
7 0 ,3 1 3
7 0 ,4 5 4

2 -7 1

-0 .8

-0 .5

-0 .5

-0 . 2

-0 .3

1 .3

2 .3

0 .7

-1 ,1

3 -7 1

-0 .5

-0 .3

-0 .3

0 .1

0 .0

1 .4

2 .1

l.C

0 .2

1 .5

7 0 .4 8 0

4 -7 1

-0 .3

-0 .1

-0 .0

0 .3

0 .3

1 .5

2 .1

1 .2

0 .8

1 .3

2 .0

7 0 ,5 9 9

5 -7 1

-0 .0

0 .2

0 .3

0 .6

0 .6

1 .7

2 .3

1 .6

1 .3

2 .2

? t5

2 .Q

6 -7 1

-0 .2

0 .0

0 .1

0 .4

. 0 .3

L *2 _ .

Li.7

1 ,0

0 .7

l. l

i .0

0 .5

— 1 .9

7 -7 1

-0 .3

-0 .1

-0 .1

0 .1

0 .1

C.9

1 .2

0 .5

G.2

0 .5

0.

i

-0 .4

-2 ,0

-¿,1

8 -7 1

-0 .3

. -0 .1

-0 .1

0 .1

0 .1

0 .8

1 .0

0 .5

0 .2

0 .4

J 7

-0 .3

-1 .3

-1 .1

-0 .0

9 -7 1

0 .1

0 .2

0 .3

0 .5

0 .5

1 .2

1 .5

.l.C

0 .9

1 .1

1 .1

0 .9

0 .4

1 .1

2 .S

5 .7

1 0 -7 1

0 .1

0 .2

0 .3

0 .5

G. 5

1 .1

1 .3

0 .9

0 .7

1 .0

1 .9

0. 7

0. 3

0 .9

1 .8

7 .7

1 1 -7 1

0 .2

0 .3

0 .4

0 .6

0 .6

1 .7

1 .4

l.C

0 .9

1. 1

1 .1

0 .9

0 .6

1 .1

1 .9

7 .6

1 .1

7 .3

. 1 2 - 1 1 ...... 0 . 3

0 ,4

0 ,5

.. Q*2._

0 .7

1 *2

-1 *1

1 .0

1 .2

I

„7

. 1 .1

0 .8

1 .3

2^0

2 .5

1 .4

2 .7

7 .1

5 -7 0

6 -7 0

7-70

9 -7 0

10-70

3 - 71

4 -7 1

5 -7 1

6 -7 1

7-71

8 -7 1

9-71

1 0 -7 1

1 1 -7 1

8-70

... 1 ..5 .

11-70 12-7 C

1 -7 1

7 0 ,3 9 1

.

2-71

IN IT IA L

7 0 ,7 6 9
7 0 ,6 5 7
7 0 ,5 3 1
7 0 .5 7 9
7 0 .8 5 3
-0 .1

7 0 .8 4 8
7 0 .9 8 1

MONTH

P- PRE LI MIN ARY




P

7 1 .1 0 4 P

PSr-PA^PO 3Y FFDFRAL R6S FRVF BANK r!F ST. LOUIS
JANUARY 7, 1972

3

EMPLOYMENT
R A T I O SC A L E

RATIO SCALE

M I L L I O N S OF P E R S O N S

SEASONALLY

M I L L I O N S OF P E R S O N S

ADJUSTED

SOURCE:

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR P ER I O D S
LATEST DATA PLOTTED»




U. S . DEPARTMENT

OF LABOR

INDICATED.

DECEMBER P R E L I M I N A R Y
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERV E BANK OF ST.

L O U IS

4

I N D U S T R I A L PRODUCT I ON
C QMPD UN P^ P ANNUAL .* M S S OF CHANGE
INITIAL

terminal

196)7 = 100

MONTH

MONTH

5-70
6-70

6-70

7-70

8- 70

9 - 7 0 10- 70 11- 70 1 2 - 7 0

2- 71

4- 7 1

5- 71

6- 71

7- 7 1

8- 71

9- 71

10- 71 11- 71
10 7. 6

107. 5

8- 70

0.0

9-70

-?. 8

0.6

0.0

107. 5

-4.0

-5.5

106. 5

-

103. 7

-8.3 -10.5 -13.4 -19.4 -27.4
- 8 . 9 -10.8 -13.1 -17.0 -20.1

-12.0

5-70

10-70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

il-TQ

12-70

1- 71

2- 71

INITIAL
P-

3- 71

1.1

7- 70

10- 70

1- 71

3- 71

4- 7 1

5- 71

fe-71

7- 7 1

8- 71

9- 7 1

10- 71

11- 71

MONTH

PREL I MI NA R Y




PREPARED 9Y |_E0 ERA I
JANUARY 19, 19/?

RFSF VE BANK OF S T .

LOUI S

5

INDUSTRIAL
RATIO

PRODUCTION

SCALE

1967-100

RATIO
SEASONALLY

ADJUSTED

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR P E R I O D S
LATEST DATA PLOTTED.




SCALE

1967-100

I ND I C A T E D .

DECEMBER P R E L I M I N A R Y
PREPARED BY FEDERAL R E SE RV E BANK OF ST.

L O U IS

RET AI L SALES
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
TERMINAL
MONTH

IN IT IA L

__ftrlQ

5-70.

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

11-70

12-70

1-71

MONTH
?•?!

Mi t . L I O N S QP
DOLLARS
> 7 1

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8-71

9-7110-71

- — 7 . 7___________________________ _________________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________

. **-70.

3 1 t 198

-6 t I 0 -

-1 * 7____1*7_

3 1 t 293

-Ir.ISL.

- L t S ____9jlQ - l ? t *

31, 601

-fir.7J3._

-J^ö___ è x l ___ 8jl3___

9-70

■11- .TQ.

3 1 t 710
9.5

- 4 * 0 ------- I m I ____ 1 x 2 ____Q» 3

r it i

-11.7

- 1 ^ 5 --------ft«.5

- 5.3

z! U

- 0 .1

r .3 . Q

-1x1___ Ì.-1___ 2*0___ Li2___ 0.5

-2.»

2.7

20.0

____ £*2____ ÌL*it____ ± x ± ____ 1 x 2 ____ 8 . 7

lxÛ

31. 761
32.290

21.0

21.9

21.6

22.4

22.9

____ &JLÛ____ Sjl5____ SjlQ____ fljJî___ ________ 1 3 , 0

2 0. 3

¿0.5

19.7

- ^ 2 ____ L a ____ 1*6____ 6*9____ 2 ± 1 ____ 6 . 9
S

31,621
31.282

9 - 1 2 .1

12.1

■h Z L

a- 7i .

31,951

____I * * ____SLt?____ 6 . 8

32.850
33.274

16.6

+11.6%"

.

frr l i

-Sjl2------- fl.ti

£=11-

-J L a A ____ I * « ____ 7 . 7

7.8

9 . 9 ____ 2*4____i d 2 ____ 6t_9— 1 2 ^ 8 — 1 8 . 5

7.8
- 6« 8

7.3

8.1

7.7

8.1

18.2

16.9

14.1

11,5

7.4

10.4

14.7

13.7

11.7

8.2

4.2

7.9

10.6

14.3

13.4

11.8

33.578

-2.7

33.502

4.5

12.3

33,827

7.0

6.6

11.8

10.6

8.8

6.2

3,8

1.3

3.4

-4.8

a-ii

8.7

8.8 _

9.1

8.9

9.3

9.3

11.6

14. b

14.0

12.9

11.3

10.3

9.9

14.5

15.6

40.4

_ 9 £ L1.

9.4

9.5

9.9

9.7

10.2

10 . 2

12,5

1 5 . 3 ___14 . 8

13.9

12.7

12.0

12.1

16.2

17.5

30. 6

7 r .Il.

_ 1 * J ____ 8 . 4 ,

...10 - 11..

J u h ____ 8 . 8

21.4

35,219
34,964P

8.7

8.4

8.7

8.f

10.S

12.9

12.2

11.2

9.8

8.4

10.8

10.4

16.3

5.5

-8.3

9.2

9.2

9.6

9.4

9.7

9 .8

11 .6

1 3 . 9 ___1 3 . 3

12.5

11.4

10. 3

10.7

13.0

13.2

18.?

11.6

7.0

25.0

4-^0

5-70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70 11-70 12-70

1- 71

2-71

3-71

4- 71

5-71

6 -7 1

7-71

8-71

9-71

10-71

11- 71

,Î N I T Î & L

8._V

33.688
34,655

3 5t 620°

M0NTH

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE RANK OF S T . LOUI S
JANUARY 13, 1972
PERSONAL INCOME
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
BI LLI ONS Of
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RA T E S

I N I T I A L MONTH

TERMINAL
MCNTH
T^fO
_

6-TÔ

T^To

8- 70

9- Vo 10->0 11- 70 Ï 2 - 7 C

Î^Tï

Z P fl

3Pf!

v T l

5^71

6^71

T -f

I

ë^T!

9-71 10-11 ll->l

_

801*4

6-70

80**3
"8=TÎT

80975“

1 7 5 --------575------- 5 T T "

814*9

9-70

4.9

6.9

7.4

9.1

1 0-70

3.5

4.6

4.2

3.5

-1.9

813*6
81§."Y"

1 1-70

3.4

4.3

3.9

3.4

0.6

3.1

12-70

4.1

4.9

4.7

4.5

3.0

5.5

7.9

1 - 71

5.3

6.2

6.2

6.3

5.6

8.3

10.9

14.0

5.2

7.1

8.4

8.7

3.7

820*9
829*9
832*4

2-71

5.1

5.9

5.8

5.9

3-71

5.5

6.2

6.2

6.3

5.8

7.4

8.5

8.e

6.2

8.8

4-71

5.6

6.3

6.3

6.4

6.0

7.4

8.2

8.3

6.5

7.9

6.9

6.9

8.0

7.6

8.3

838*3
843*0
848*6

5-71

5.8

6.4

6.5

6.6

6.3

7.5

6.2

8.3

6-71

7.6

8.4

8.6

8.9

8.9

10.3

11.4

12.C

11.6

13.6

15.3

19.7

7-71

5.9

6.5

6.5

6.6

6.3

7.3

7.8

7.8

6.8

7.5

7.1

7.2

6.6 -1 4.1

8.4

7.6

8.3

8.1

8.4

8.5

8-71

6.3

9-71

6.3

10-71

6.0

6.9

7.8

868*6

32.3

-1.7

837*7

866*1

12.4

6.9

7.1

fc.S

6.8

6.8

6.9

6.7

7.6

6.0

8.C

7.3

7.8

7.7

7.8

7.7

0.6

8.8

5.4

6.5

6.5

6.6

6.4

7.1

7.4

7.4

6.7

7.1

6.3

6.8

6.5

0.9

6.4

3.6

1.8

6.5

6.9

6.6

6.6

6.3

1.7

6.1

4.1

3.5

5.2

7.3

7.3

7.2

3.5

7.5

6.3

6.5

9.0

3-71

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8-71

8.3

11-71

6.0

6.4

6.4

6.5

6.3

6.9

7.3

7.2

12-71

6.3

6.7

6.8

6.9

6.7

?. 4

7.7

7.7

7.1

7.5

5-70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

11-70

12-7 C

1-71

2-71

INITIAL

869*9

8T1.2
874*9»
12.9

883.8P

9-71 10-71 11-71

MONTH

P - PRELIMINARY




PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST* LOUIS

T À ü ü W H r T57*----------------------------------------




7
RETAIL
RATIO

SALES

SCALE

BILLIONS

OF

RATIO
DOLLARS

BILLIONS

SEASONALLY ADJ USTED

SOURCEt U .S .

OF

SCALE

DOLLARS

DtPARTM INT OF COMMERCE

PERCENTA8ES ARC ANNUAL RATES 3F CHANCE FOR PER 1008 ?NO«CATES,
LATEST OATA PLOTTEO j N0VEM9ER PRELIM»NARY

PERSONAL
RAT I 0

TRILLIONS

I NCOME

M O N T H L Y T O TALS AT A N NUAL RATES

SCALE
OF

DOLLARS

SEASONALLY ADJUSTED

RATIO
TRILLIONS

OF

SCALE

DOLLARS
0

0.9

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

0.4
1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

1970

SOURCEi U .S .
PERCENTAOES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANOE FOR PERIO DS

1971

1972

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

IN DICATED .

LATEST DATA PLOTTED« DECEM9ER PRELIM IN ARY
PREPARED I Y FEDERAL RESERVE SANK OF ST. LO U IS

8
GROSS NA T I O NA L PRODUCT IN CURRENT DOLLARS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RAT ES OF CHANGE_______
T E RMI NAL
QUARTER

INITIAL
1-67

2-67

2-67

3-67

4-67

1-68

2-68

3-68

4-68

1-69

BI L L I O N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

2-69

3-69

4-69

1-70

2-70

3-70

4-70

1-71

2-71

3— 7 !

5.3

784.5

3-67

7.0

8,6

4-67

7.2

8.2

7.7

1-6 8

7.7

8.5

8.4

9.2

2-68

8.5

9.3

9.5

10.4

11.7

800.9
815.9
834.0
857.4

3-68

8.5

9.1

9.3

9.8

10.1

8.6

4-63

8.3

8.8

8.8

9.1

9.1

7.8

7.0

1-69

8.2

8.6

8.6

8.8

8.7

7.7

7.3

7.5

2-6 9

8.1

8.4

8.4

8.5

8.3

7.5

7.2

7.2

7.0

875.2
.

890.2
904.4
921.8

3-69

8.1

8.4

8.3

8.4

8.3

7.7

7.4

7.6

7.6

4-60

7.6

7.9

7.8

7.8

7.6

6.9

6.6

6.5

6.2

5,8

3.4

1-70

7.3

7.5

7.3

7.3

7.1

6.4

6.1

5.9

5.5

5,0

3.4

3.4

2-70

7.1

7.3

7.2

7.1

6.9

6.3

6.0

5.8

5.4

5.1

4.0

4.4

3-70

7.1

7.2

7. 1

7.0

6.8

6.3

6.0

5.9

5,6

5.3

4.6

5.0

5.8

6.3

4-70

6.7

6.8

6.7

6.6

6.4

5.9

5,6

5.4

5.1

4.8

4.1

4.3

4.5

4,2

6.3

6.1

6.0

5,6

6.1

6.8

7.3

7.7

13, 8 \ + 8 . 6 %

6.4

7.0

7,4

7.7

10.7

7.7

X

8.2

I

940.2
948.0

1+4.1%

956.0
968.5

5.3

983.5.
988.4

i .p 'j

1- 71

7.2

7.3

7.2

7.1

7.0

6.5

6.3

2-71

7.2

7.3

7.2

7.2

7.0

6.6

6.5

6.4

6.3

6.2

5.9

3-71

7 .1

7,2

7.1

7.1

6.9

6.5

6.4

6.3

6.2

6. 1

5.8

6.2

6.7

1 .0

7. 1

8.9

6.5

5.3

>

4-71

7.1

7.2

7.1

7.1

7.0

6.6

6*5

6.4

6.3

6.3

6.0

6.4

6.8

7.1

7.2

8. 6

6.9

6.4

7.7

1-V7

2-67

3-67

1-68

2-68

3-63

4-68

1-69

2-69

3-69

4-69

1-70

2-70

3-70

4-70

1-71

2-71

3-71

4-6 7

INITIAL

1.020.8
1.040.0
1.053.4
I

1 , 0 7 3 . OP

QUARTER

P - PRFII MI NARY
PREPAREO BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . L OUI S
J ANUARY 2 1 ,

197?

GROSS' N A T U R A L PRÜÜÜCT IN CONS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE

1-6 7
?-67

B I L L I O N S OF
DOLLARS
a n Nu Al r a t e s

I N I T I A L QUARTfcR

TERMINAL
QUAfcfER
2 — 67

3-67

4-6 7

1-68

2-63

3-68

4-68

1-69

2-69

3-69

4-69

1-70

2-70

3-70

4-70

1-71

2-71

3-71
671.6

3.0

678.9

3-67

3.7

4.4

4-6 7

3.4

3.6

1-68

3.9

4.2

4.1

5.4

2-68

4.6

5.0

*).?

6.4

7.5

3-68

4.5

4.8

4*9

5.6

5.8

4.0

4-68

4.2

4.4

4.4

4.8

4.6

3.2

2.4

1-6 9

4.0

4.2

4.1

4.4

4.2

3.1

2.6

2.8

2-69

3.8

3.8

3.3

3.9

3.6

2.7

2.2

2.2

1.6

3-6 9

3.6

3.6

3.5

3.6

3.4

2.5

2.2

2.1

1.8

2.0

1.9

1.4

1.2

0.7

0.3

-1.4

683.6

2.3

692.6
705.3
712.3
716.5
721.4
724.2
727.8

j

725.2

4-69

3.1

3.1

3.0

3.0

2.7

1-70

2.6

2.6

2.4

2.3

1.9

1.2

0.7

0.4

-0.2

-0.8

-2.2

-2.9

2-70

2.4

2.4

2.2

2.2

1.8

1.1

0.7

0.4

-0.0

-0.4

-1.2

-l.l

0.7

3-70

2.4

2.3

2.1

2.1

1.7

1.1

0.8

0.5

C.2

-0. 1

-0.6

-0.3

1,0

1.2

^

— 1 .3 %

7 1 9. 8
721. 1
7 2 3. 3

4-70

1.9

1.8

1.6

1.6

1.2

0.6

0,2

-o.c

-0.4

“ 0-8

. -1.3

-1.3

-0.7

-1.4

-4.0

1- 71

2.3

2.2

2.1

2.0

1.8

1.2

1.0

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0.5

1.4

1.6

1.8

0.6

715.9
7.9

\ ^ + 5 .0 %

7 2 9. 7
735.8

2-71

2. A

2.3

2.2

2.1

1.9

1.4

1.2

1. 1

0.9

0.8

1.0

1.8

2.0

2.3

5.6

3,4

3-71

2.4

2.3

2.2

2.2

1.9

1.5

1.3

1.2

l.l

1.0

0.9

1.2

1.9

2.2

2.4

4.6

3.0

2*7

4-71

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.4

2.2

1.8

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.5

1 .4

1.8

2.5

2.8

3.1

1 5.0 1 4.0

4,4

6.1

1-67

2-67

3-67

4-67

1-69

2-69

3-68

4-68

1-69

2-69

3-69

4-69

1-70

2-70

3-70

1-71

2-71

3-71

INITIAL
P-

4-70

\

740.7
7 5 1 . 7P

QUARTER

PRELIMINARY




PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK 0* S T . LO UIS
JANUARY 2 It 1972

9

DEMAND
RATIO

SCALE

1964

AND

QUARTERLY

1965

1966

U.6NP

I N CURRENT D OL L A R S .

K.6MP

IN

1967

PRODUCTION

T O T A L S AT ANNUAL

1968

RATIO

RATES

1969
SOURCE*

1970
U.S.

1971

SCALE

1972

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

1958 D O L L A R S .

P E R C E NT A GE S ARE ANNUAL R AT ES OF CHANGE FOR P E R I O D S
L A T E ST OATA P LO T T E D .




INDICATED.

4TH QUARTER P R E L I M I N A R Y
PREPARED BY F ED ER AL R E S E R V E BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

10
FILIAL SALES IN CURRENT DOLLARS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES Of CHANGE
é l Ü J O N S Of

TERMINAL
ÔUÀfttER

INITIAL Q U A R T E R
1-67

-

_

2-67

3-67

4-67

1-68

2-68

3-6 8

4-68

2-67

8.2

3-67

7.3

6.4

4-67

7.2

6.8

7.1

1-68

8.7

8.8

10. i

13.2

2-68

8.6

8.7

9. 5

10.7

8. 2

3-68

8.8

8*9

9.5

10.3

8.9

4-68

8. 5

8.5

9. 0

9. 5

8. 2

8.3

6. 9

1-6 9

8.5

8.5

8.9

9.2

8.3

8 .3

7.6

8 .3

1-69

2-69

3-69

4-69

1-70

3-70

2-70

4-70

1-71

2-71

3-71

760.0
792.2
*

847.8
9.6

847.5
*

8.3

?.3

8 .6

8,8

8.0

7.9

7,4

7 .6

6.9

8.1

8.1

8.3

8.5

7.8

7.7

7. 2

7.3

6.8

6.6

4-69

7.9

7* 9

8.0

e.i

7.4

7.3

6.8

6.3

6 ,3

6,1

7.8

7,9

7.2

7.1

6.7

6.6

6 .2

6.0

1.»

!..

7,5

- 7,5

6. 9

6.8

6.4

6, 3

5.9

5.6

5 .3

5. 2

w o

M

2-70

M

7tA__

982.1

899.8

3-69

7» 7

«05.9

831,2

2-69

.......« 3 * 0 .
f
T

N

^

5. 5

\

942.3
J %
4.6

915.6
966*5

\

\

3-70

7.3

7 t ? - 7.3

7,3

6.7

6, 6

6.2

6.1

5.7

5.5

5 .2

5.1

4.8

M

7 f9

4.9

6.9

6.9

6.4

6.2

5.8

5.7

5.3

5.0

pTTl

4.5

4.1

3.8

2.6

ir.Ti

7 ^

— 7*_4 — 7.4

. 7. 4

7.0

6, 9

6.6

6,6

6.3

6 .3

6.5

7.1

8, 2

7, 4

7,4

7 ,0

6.9

6.6

6.6

6, 4

6.4

6. 3

6.5

6,6

7.1

7, 9

10,6

7.1

_JL*.4 .. 7, 0

. 6,9

6.7

6, 7

6,6

6.5

6 .5

6.6

6.8

7 .2

7,8

9,6

7,4

I m λ

.

7,0

6. 9

6. 7

6. 7

6. 5

6.5

6,5

6,6

6,7

7.1

7.5

8.8 1

7,1

7*0

^1 * 4

I -68

2- 6 8

3- 6 8

1-69

2-- 6 9

3-63

4-69

I -70

2-70

3— 7 Û

1- 7 1

2-71

3-71

_

7,*

7t?

3-71

7.4

.. A - 7 1 ...

7, 4

7,3

1-67

2-67

7. 4

7,4 — 7*4..
3- 6 7

4-67

4-68

...

929.8

4-70

_ 2 - 71

ANNUAL RATES
...

■ i± ± T
6.2
6.4

978.4
9B4.7
1,017.7

4-70

1*035.4
Lm Ù 5 A ■
a'k
I

1.071.2P

I N I T I A L QUARTER
P - PRELIMINARY

..

....................

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK Of T f . LOUI S
JANUARY 2 1 , 1972
FI NAL SALES IN CONSTANT 1958 DOLLARS
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE
B I L L I ONS OF
______ _G5 k k * A $ ..........
Ah INUAL RATES

I N I T I A L QUARTER

4.0

2,0

4-67

3.4

2.1

1-68

2-68

3-68

4-6 8

1-69

2-69

3-69

4-69

Î-7Ç

0
r1

6.1

3-67

4-67

0
h1

2-67

3-67

O

2-67

IV

1-67

f»!

TERMINAL
QUARTER

1-71

2” 71

3 “ 71
.-É A J j I...
6 70 * 6

2,3

674.4
690*0

1-68

4.9

4.6

5,9

9,6

2-68

4,7

4.4

5.2

6,7

3,8

3-68

4.8

4.5

5.2

6,2

4,5

5.2

4-68

4.4

4.1

4.6

5.1

3,7

3.6

1-69

4.3

4.1

4.4

4,9

3,7

3.7

3 , Q .... 3 , 9

2-69

4.0

3.8

4.0

4,3

3,3

3.1

2t}

2.6 _

JL. A __

3-69

3.6

3.3

3.5

3.7

2,7

2,5

It?

1.8

C, 8

4-69

3.4

3.1

3.2

3.3

2,5

2.3

1, 7

1,6

0.8

0.6

0.9

1-70

3.0

2.8

2.9

2,9

2.1

1.9

It?

U2

0, 1-

0.2

0.3

2-70

2.8

2.5

2,6

2.6

1.9

1.6

h i

0,9

0,1

0,1 . - 0 , 3

-0.2

3-70

2.6

2.3

2.4

2,4

1,7

1,4

1,9

0,8

0,3

0.1

O.i

-0.0

4-70

2.2

1.9

1.9

1,9

1,2

0 , 9 ...

<3«?

0.3

-0.2

-0.5

..

—
_

JLÊ2*!.-

____Z M i i L X U jJ -

......... n i a . -7 U .6

0.2

JJO ti,.

— 0.6%
-0.4

-0.2

1-0.6 1 -1.Ü.
!
f

....... _

»1.2

.

Q*2.
-1.7

-3.6

r

\

2.6

2.3

2.3

2,3

1.8

l.*.fe__

1 , 2 ... 1 , 1

0,8

0.7

0,8

0.8

1 , 1 .... I f . ' . L ... A a ____J U 3

2.5

2.3

2.4

2,4

1,8

L.7

1,3

1,3

.1 J L

0.9

1,0

1,1

*.4

3-71

2.7

2.5

2,5

2,6

2,1

1.9

\ il

1.6

) ,4

W.4

1,6

1,6

2 , 0 ...... 1 ± ! L - J . Q . .....

3*9

4-71

2,8

2.6

2.7

2,7

2,2

2,1

1,9

1,9

1,7

1,7

1,9

2,Q

2.4

*.*2 ____

1-67

2-67

3-67

4-67

1- 68

2- 6 8

3-68

4- 68

1-69

2-69

3-69

4-69

1-70

IN IT IA L

.

. 2« 8____J # 4 __ I 5 * 2 1

2-70

3- 70

4-70

J I M . .
727*2

1- 71

.1*4 _

JL-

. 2 ü l 4 ...

-----

2-71

1«JB_... 2 , 1

i u j

/ n . + 5 .$ %
...
^
.

1-71

5.3

2-7Î

111*2
1. ..
3-71

QUARTER

P - PRELIMINARY




R v * èANX â f i f T T o u I f
JANUARY 21»

1972

11

FINAL

SALES

TOTAL SPENDING LESS CHANGES IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES

RATIO

SCALE

1964

RATIO

QUARTERLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL RATES

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

1970

SOURCE« U . S .

1971

SCALE

1972

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.
LATEST DATA PLOTTED* 4TH QUARTER PRELIMINARY




PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST.

L O U IS

CONSUMER P R I C E I NDEX *
CUMPCUNDFO AMNUAL RAT ES OF CHANGE
T f - ' VMNAL

INITIAL

MONTH

1 96 7 *

mlnt h

5-70

f t - 70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

11-70

12-7C

1-71

2-71 ” 3-71

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8-71

9-71

10-71

100

11-71

6-7 0

6.4

7 - 7 r)

r. i

4.?

b-70

4.2

3.1

^-70

4.7

4.2

4.2

6.3

IC -70

5.1

4.7

4. c

f

¿.3

1 1-7G

4. i

4.6

4.7

•3.6

5.2

12-70

*>. 1

4.9

5 .j

r».h

5.6

5.2

6.2

i-n

4.6

4.3

4.?

4.«

4.4

.3.8

3.6

l.C

? -n

4.3

4.0

4.0

4.3

3.9

3.3

3.1

1.5

2.0

?-71

4.3

4.0

4.0

4.3

4.0

3.5

3.3

2.4

3.1

4. 1

4-71

4. *

4.0

4.0

4.3

4.0

3.6

3.5

2.8

*.4

4. 1

4.1

5-71

4.4

4.2

4.2

4.5

4.2

4.0

3.9

3.5

4.1

4.8

5.1

6.2

6-71

4.6

r 1 t
1* 5 I

4.5

4.7

4.6

4.3

4.4

4. 1

4.7

5.4

5.8

6.7

7.2

7-71

4.S

4.4

4.4

4.6

4.4

4.2

4.2

3.c

4.4

4.9

5.1

5.4

5.1

3.0

«-71

4.4

4.3

4.3

4.«*

4.3

4.1

4.1

3.8

4.2

4.6

4.7

4.8

4.4

3.0

9-71

4.2

4.0

4.0

4.2

4.0

3 .d

3.8

3.*

3.8

4.1

4.0

4.0

3.5

2.3

2.0

1.0

1C - 71

4.1

3.9

•a# cf

4.0

3.4

3.6

3.6

3.3

3.6

3.8

3.7

3.7

3.2

2.2

2.0

1.5

2.0

11- 71

3 .9

3.8

3.3

3.9

2.7

3.5

3.5

3.2

?.4

3.6

3.5

3.4

3.0

2.2

2.0

1.6

2. 0

2.0

12-71

4.0

3.9

3.8

4.0

3.8

3.6

3.6

3.4

3.6

3.7

3.7

3.6

3.3

r ..... l
| 2.7 |

2.6

2.5

3.0

3.5

5.0

5 - 70

6-70

t - 70

8-/0

«>-70

10-70

il-70

12-70

1-71

2-71

3-71

4-71

5-71

7-71

8-71

9-71

10-71

11-71

1 16 * 3
1 16.7
2.1

116.9
1 17 *5
118.1

\
4.1

118.5

X + 4 . 5 %

119.1
119.2
119.4

INITIAL
*

NCT

119.8
120.2

N

120.8
121.5

6-71

121.8
3.0

122.1

-V + 2 .7 %

122.2
122.4
v

122.6
1

123.1

MONTH

S F . AS r * AL L Y AO J US TED

PREPARED BY F ECERAL
J ANUARY 2 1 «

RESERVE

BANK OF S T .

LOUIS

WHOLESALE P R I C E S - I N D U S T R I A L C OMMO D I T I E S *
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL R A T E S OF CHANGE
INITIAL

T E R MI N A L
MCNTH
5-70
6-70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

H-7.Q, i ? - K ...iTJl

MONTH

3-n,

2-71

19.67 4-71

_LO_

1.0.91ft.

J U Z ___ 2jt2-

9-70

H Qt O .
U0»2

JLsl____ IsJL

8-70
1.9

2.2

?._2 ____

.ll&dL_

4.2

4 . » __________ IQ _ .2 _

11-70

2.9

3.3

3 . 6 ____ 4 j J ____ **£____ fixO_

1 2-70

3 *JL.

3.5

3.7

3.8

4.0

3.7

3.9

4 . 2 ____ ________ 2jl 2____ f u i ____ i t i ____

3.7

3.d

4.1

| 0 - 7 C ._,

_ L lI
JLrZ.

3.4

iu u j l

111.2
A L l± l-

4 . 1 ____ 4 jl §____ 2jl 2____ 4 * 4 _
5.0

3.3

5.0

5.5

1 1 3* 2 .112 «.S.

4 . 4 ____ L t i . ___ i Lt l ____*x-C_____________ 3 ^ 2 _
4.5

_ W

3.6

4.4

4 . A____ 4 . 0

.

___ 5 . 4

JLI3* I .

3.6

3.9

4 . 0 ____ ± jJ ____ i u l ____ 1 *2 ___ iu J t ___ H xh --- I j J ----4*2--- ix2---

3.5

3.7

3.9

7-7

3.7

3.9

J u L .

_£zl

3.9

4.1

4.3

4.4

4 . 7 ____ ^

9-7

3.6

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.2

3 . 6 ___ J u l 1____ 4jJ2____ ________ ________ 1 * 3 - _1*J l ------- 1 m. 5.____ 1*3.

3.7

3.8

3.3

3.6

3.5

3*0

3.2

3 . 1 ____ U 9 ____ I t 9____ 2 ^ ____ U ± .

2.1

3.1

3.3

3.2

3.0

3.0

10 -7 0 11 -7 0 1 2 -7 0

1-71

2-71

5-7

3*5

10-7
i 1-7
12-7

3.1

3.3

4.0

7-70

3.5

8 -7 0

___ ¿ jJL.

4 . 2 ____ I_._5____ ________ *LtS_
J u S ____ 1 *3 .____<uj_

- i i 2 ____ L i 4 _

J L t i ____ 3*3____3Li4_
5-70 " 6-7 0

9-70

4 .1

4.3

NCT

4.6

_UJUS_
.1.1.4»,5

4 . 3 ____ 4 j J ___ J&._5_

____ fufi ____ ________ 1*5-------- ± x l -------- 5jlQ--------f u J -------- ¿*¿2--------fi n*

A ± ± ____ 3jl4_ - 1 ± £

A iA .

IN ITIAL
♦

IP0_.

5 - 7 1 . _ . 6 - H . . „ 7 - 7 J L .. i r l l _ . 9 - I L A t f c U ..llzJJL

H-5- a JCL

____ l ± * „

3.0

2.7

2.4

3-71

4-7 1

5-71

6 -7 1

7-71

8- 7 1

9-71

10 -71

11 -71

MONTH

SfcASCNALLY AP J l i S T EO




PREPARED *Y FEOFRAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUIS
JANUARY 14, 1972

13
RAT

0 SCALE

196
130

-1 0 0

PRICES

RATIO

SC

1967- 100
130

125

125

120

120

115

1 15

1 10

110

105

105

100

100

95

95

120

120

1 15

1 15

1 10

1 10

105

105

100

100

95

95

90

90
1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

1970
SOURCE*

ERCENTACES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANCE FOR P E R I O D S
ATEST DATA PLOTTED*



1971

1972

U. S . DE P A R T M E N T OF LABOR

INDICATED.

DECEMBER
PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERV E BANK OF S T .

L O U IS

14
WHOLESALE PRI CES * ALL COMMODI T I ES *
COMPPUNOSO ANNUAL RAT ES OF CHANGE
INITIAL

0
1

7- 70

CO

5-70

1
i o
1
i
<o

T ERMI NAL
MONTH

9- 7 0

1- 71

10- 70 11- 70 12- 70

1967 «

MONTH

2- 71

3- 71

4- 7 1

5- 71

6-71

7-71

8- 7 1

9-71

10- 71 11- 71
110. 3

I
o

¿.2

4.4

7-70

110. 9

6.7

6-70

1. 5

1. 1

-4.2

9-70

2.5

2.6

0.5

5.6

10-70

?.o

1. 9

0.4

2.7

0.0

111. 0

U-7U

1. 5

1.3

0.0

1. 5

-0.5

-1.1

110. 9

12-70

1. 4

1.3

0.2

1.4

0.0

0.0

l.l

1- 71

2.3

2.3

1.6

2.8

2.2

2.9

5. 0

9.0

2-71

3.3

3.4

3.0

4.2

3.9

4.9

7.0

10. 1

11.3

3-71

3.2

3.3

2.9

3.9

3.6

4.4

5.8

7.4

6.6

2.1

4-71

3.2

3.3

2.9

3.8

3.6

4.2

5.3

6.3

5.5

2.7

3.2

3.8

4.4

5.3

6.2

5.5

3.6

4.3

110.5

lii.O

111. 0
111. 8
112. 8
113. 0

5.4

113. 8

4.7

5. 4

5.4

114. 3

4.3

4.7

4.3

3. 2

4.1

4.3

3. 9

3.2

5-71

3.4

3.5

3.1

4.0

6-71

3.5

3.6

3.3

4.1

4.0

4.5

5.3

6.C

5.5

4.0

7-71

3.5

3.6

3.3

4.1

3.9

4.3

5.0

5.6

5.1

3.9

8- 71

3.5

3.6

3.3

4.0

3.8

4.2

4.8

5.3

4.8

3.8

9- 71

3.0

3.0

2. 8

3.3

, ._JL. 4

3.9

4.2

3 . 6 _ _ L * 6 ....... 2 , 7

f\J

113. 3

__2.» 6. . _ U 9

_ L Q - 7 l _____ U 1 ___ 2_S_8____________3±0____ 2^8.___ 3 ^ i ____ 2*4____ 1*7____ I t i ____2 0 ____ L t l ____ 2 . 0
11-71
12-

n

NT T

...0* I . - 0 . 5

114. 9
114. 5

-4, 1,.

1 . 3 ___0

“ 0 *7

-2,6

1. 2

0.4

-0.3

- 1 . 4 ____&&£--------U i ------------------------------ L U h J L

3_.0____ M ____ 2±J___ 3^3____ 3j_2____ 1*4____ L . J ___________ 3_i5____ ¿*8___ ________ 2 . 8

2.4

1. 9____ U I ____ L*J____ 1 ±2 ____ £*4____9*9________U 5 . Ì

2. 7 ____ 2¿4____¿*9____2*7____ g , 9

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

g. ¿____i *4____L i 5 ____ 1 * 0

11-70

12-7C

1-71

2.0

2-71

INITIAL
*

114. 6
3.2

1. 8

, 2 . fa

5-70

3-71

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8-71

- ± * Q _______________________

9-71

10-71

11-71

SEASONALLY ADJ UST ED

T ERMI NAL
MGNTH

INITIAL
•5-70

6-70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

11-70

12-7 C

1 - 71

BANK OF S T .

*0NT H
2-71

LOUIS

1967 *
3-71

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8-71

9-71

10-71

100

11-71

5.5

111.7

7-70

..12±_5.

19.9

8-70

0.0

-2.7

113.4
-20.9

111.2

___ 9 - 7 0

3.8

3.3

-4.2

16.2

10-70

-1.9

-3.7

-10.5

-4.8

-21.9

11-70

-2.3

-3.8

-9.0

-4.6

-13.6

-4.3

112.6
110.3
109.9

12-7C

-2.9

-4.3

-8.5

-5.0

-11.2

-5.3

-6.4

1- 71

-0.7

-1.5

-4.7

-l.l

-5.0

1.5

4.4

16.5

2 - 71

2.9

2.6

0.3

4.4

2.1

9.2

14.2

26. 1

36.4

3-71

2.4

2.C

0.0

3.4

1.4

6.9

9 . 9 .. 1 5 . 9 .

15.6

-2.1

4-71

2.1

1.7

-0.1

2 »6

1.1

5.5

7.6

9.7

-1.6

5-71

2.8

2.5

1.0

3. 7

2.3

6.3

8.2

11.3

1 0. 1

2.5

f -71

3 . *5

3.3

1.9

4.5

3.3

7. C

8.7

11.5

1 C. 5

4.8

109.3

11.4

110.7
113.6
113.4

-l.l

113.3
11.1

7.2

114.3

11.6

12 . 2

115.4

7 - 71

2.9

2.7

1.4

3.7

2.6

5.7

7.0

9.1

7.9

3.0

4.3

6.1

3.7

-4.1

8-71

2.4

2.2

1.0

3.1

1.9

4.7

5.7

7.4

6.1

1. 8

2.6

3.5

1. 1

-4.1

-4.1

9-71

1.2

0.9

-0.3

1.5

0.4

2.7

3.4

4.5

3.1

-0.9

-0.7

-0.6

-3.4

-8.1

-10.0

-1 5.5

115.0
1 14.6
113.0

10- 71

1. 1

0.9

-0.3

1.4

0.3

2.4

3.1

4.1

2.8

-0.8

-0.6

-0.5

-2.7

-6.1

-6.8

-8.1

0.0

1 1- 71

1.4

1. 2

0. 1

1.7

0. 8

2.8

3.4

4.3

3.2

0.0

0.3

0.5

-1.2

-3.7

-3.6

-3.4

3.2

6.6

12- 71

2. 6

2.5

1.6

3.2

2. 3

4.3

5.0

6. C

5.1

2.4

3.0

3.5

2.4

Q.9

1,9

3.4

10.7

16.4

27.2

5 - 70

6-70

7-70

8-70

9-70

10-70

11-70

12-7C

1 - 71

2-71

3-71

4-71

5-71

6-71

7-71

8-71

9-71

10-71

11-71

*___NUT

UAaÌL

MONTH

PREPAREO BY FEOERAL RESERVE
JANUARY 1 4 , 1972
WHOLESALE P RI CES - FAKM PRODUCTS , AND PROCESSEO FOCDS AND FEEDS*
COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RAT ES OF CHANGE

,

100

INITIAL
SEASONALLY ADJ U S T F O__________________________________________________ __




113.0
113.6
115.9

MONTH

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LOUIS
JANUARY 14, 1972

15
GENERAL
RATIO

PRICE

INDEX*

SCAIE

RATtO

SCALE

1958-100
150

1958-100

?45
140
155
150
125

120

115
110

105

100

1964

1965

1966

1967

1968

1969

1970

1971

1972

*AS USES !N NATIONAL INCONE ACCOUNT»
SOURCEi U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
PERCENTAOES ARE ANNttAL RATES OF CNANOE FOR FERIOOS iNO(CATEO.
LATEST OATA FLOTTEOt 4TN OUARTER PRELIMINAR?
PREPARES OV FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUlf
I MP L I CI T P R I C E ' OtFLATÜK FOR GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
__________ COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE____________
ERMINAL
4UARTER
2- 67

1958 - 100

I N I T I A L tíUARTER
1- 67

?-67

3- 67

4-6 7

1- 68

2- 6 8

3-68

1- 69

4 - 6 fi

2- 6 9

3-69

4-69

1 - 70

2-70

3-70

4- 70

1- 7 1

2-71

3-71
116.8

2. 1

118.0

3^67

3. 1

4.2

4- 6 7

3. 7

4.5

4.8

+4.2%

119.4

1- 68

3.6

4.1

4. 1

3.4

120.4

2- 68

3.7

4. 1

4. 1

3.7

4.0

121.6

3- 69

3. 8

prn

3. 9

4.2

4. 3

4- 6 8

3.'?

L — J
4. 2

4.2
4.2

4.1

4,3

4.5

4.6

1- 69

4.0

4.2

4.2

4.1

4.3

4.4

4.4

2 - 6 <5

4. 1

4.4

4.4

4.4

4.6

4.7

3- 69

4.3

4.6

4.6

4.6

4.8

5.0

4-69

4.4

4.6

4.6

4.6

4.8

4.9

5.0

1- 70

4.6

4.8

4.8

4. 8

5.0

5._2

5.3.

2- 7 0

4.6

4.8

4.8

4. 8

5.0

5ii

5.2

5. ¿ ..... 5. 5

122.9
+4.8%
4. t

124.3

\

125.6

1

I 4,8 I 4 , «
i. , J
5. 1
5. ?

5. 8

5. 1

5. 5

>f4

5. 7

127.3
6. 1

^ + 5 . 8 %

129.2
130.7

4.7

5. 4

I1,7
5 . 8 I --S.7
— T

6.6

1

5. 3

5.6

_ 4.6

5. 5

132.a

3-70

4.6

4.8

4. 9

4.8

5. 0

5. 1

5.2

5.3

5, 4

%4

5. 3

5.4

4.9

4-70

V?

4.9

5ftf

5.p

5.1

3*2

5. 3

?f4

5. 6

5. 6

5.5

5.7

5.4

1-71

4.7

4.9

5.0

5.0

5. 1

5.2

5,3

5. 4

5. 5

5. 5

2- 71

4.7

4.9

4.9

4.9

5.0

5. 1

5.2

5. 3

5. 4

5*4

3- 71

4.6

4.7

4.8

4.8

4.9

4.9

5. 0

5. 0

4- 71

4.4

4.6

4.6

4.6

4.6

4.7

4.7

4.7

1- 67

2- 6 7

3- 67

4-67

1- 68

2- 6 8

3- 6 8

4-68

4*8.
1- 69

\

134.3
136.0
?t 7

+ 4 .2 %

6.3

131.1
139.9

5. 4

5.6

5.3

5. 6

5.8

5.3

5.2

5. 3

5. 1

5.2

?•*

4. 7

4.1

5.0

4.9

4.9

4. 7

4.7

4f6

4.0

3.3

4.7

4. 5

4.5

4.1

3.9

3. 3

2.7

2.0

1.4

2- 6 9

3-69

4-69

2-70

3-70

4-70

1 -71

2-71

3-7 i

..

m
1-70

. 141.3
142.1
_____ 1 4 2 . 7 P

I N I T I A L QUARTER
P - PRELIMINARY




PREPARED BY FÍOéRAL RéSÉáVE WfÍK
JANUARY 2 1 , 1972

W~ÍY'.

L Ó U ÍS

INVENTORIES

COMPARED

».. T H MONTHLY S A L E S *

MANUFACTURING

AND

TRADE

72
68

64
.60

60

.56

56
52
48

.48

44
40
36
1959 1960 1961
«RATIOS

BASED

1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 1970 1971

ON S E A S O N A L L Y

ADJUSTED

S H A D E D A R E A S R E P R E S E N T P E R I O D S OF
A S D E F I N E D BY THE N A T I O N A L B U R E A U
LATEST




DA T A

PLOTTED:

NOVEMBER

DATA.

SOURCE:

U . S .DEPARTMENT

OF

1972

C O M ME R C E

BUSINESS RECESSIONS
OF E C O N O M I C R E S E A R C H .

PRELIMINARY
PREPARED

BY

FEDERAL

RESERVE

BANK

OF

ST.

LOUIS