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N a tio n a l E c o n o m ic
D o m e s tic
fe d e ra l
d o m e s tic
q u a rte r

o f

th is

G ro s s

in c lu d e s

In

re d u c e d

s a v in g

T h e

and

in c lu d e s

by

th e

T h e
d e c lin e
o f

o f

in

ca sh

o f

fin a n c e d

in

th e

o f

rise

in

T h e

d e s p ite

ty p ic a lly

g ro ss

U .S .

ra te

w as

p e r c e n t

to

a fid

w as

lo c a l
and

p e r c e n t

m a s k s
G N P

th e

in

by

an

In v e s tm e n t

and

S a v in g

N e t

In v e stm e n t!./

G ro s s

fo re ig n

the

rose

rise

in v e s tm e n t

S ta te

V

and

G ro s s

a b o u t

th e

sa m e

out

the

th ird

in

both

o f

17.9

p e rc e n t

G N P

la r g e r
G ro s s

o f

o v e r

in v e s tm e n t
in

the

in c re a s e

p r iv a te

(w h ic h
U .S.

in

savin g ,

a

d e g re e

o f

c ro w d in g -o u t.

4.8

s a v in g

p e r c e n t

d e f ic it

o f

o f

o f

o f

w h ic h

as

p r iv a te

sh are

G N P .

1.4

G N P

2.7

P ro d u c t

T h e

p e rc e n t

in ste a d

p e rc e n t

o f

o f

C h a n g e

P e r c e n t

d o lla rs

o f

$545.1

fro m

G N P

$

14.8%

198

55.1

662.3

17.9

178.1

-117.1

-3.2

-1 2 2 .9

16.4

0.2
16.4

555.5

15.0

71.2

-6 4 .3

s u r p lu s / d e fic it

-2.2

-1 7 6 .9

-4 .8

-11 2.6

37.6

e q u a ls

c a p ita l

1.3
17.2

686.7

s u rp lu s

g ro ss

g ra n ts

to

s a v in g

th e

1.2

45.8

509.9


V ie w


p lu s

th e

s ta tis tic a l

8.2

18.6

d is c re p a n c y

(not

176.8

show n).

G ro s s

T H E
F E D E R A L

e x p re s s e d

d o

n o t

sa vin g

U .S.

— Jo h n

s

o f

G N P

A c c o u n ts )

B illio n s

G N P

16.6%

5.8

g o v e r n m e n t

in v e s tm e n t

by

p riv a te

484.3

lo c a l

n et

P e r c e n t

484.2

sa v in g

in c lu d e s

th e

III/1984

o f

d o lla rs

in v e s tm e n t

g o v e r n m e n t

an d

P r iv a te

fo r

s h a rp ly

in

g o v e r n m e n t

In c o m e

$ 4 9 0 .0
in v e s tm e n t

S a v in g !/

F e d e ra l

o f

c ro w d

s a v in g

in v e s tm e n t

e v e n

c o n s id e ra b le

and

to ta l

( N a tio n a l

B illio n s

d o m e s tic

to

d iffe r e n c e .

o f

P r iv a t e

b a llo o n in g

an d

fo re ig n

su rp lu s.

sa vin g ,

a

n et

in c re a s e d

g o v e rn m e n t

p e rso n a l

o f

in

an d

o ffs e t

d o m e s tic

in c re a s e

16.4

1981

G ro s s

th e

e x p e c te d

in v e s tm e n t

re d u c tio n

re s id e n ts

d e fic it

p r iv a te

fro m

m a s s iv e

in v e s tm e n t

3.4

o f

y e a rs,

a re

u n e m p lo y m e n t

s h a rp ly

a

b u sin e ss

d o m e s tic

a

rose

s ta te

o f

re c e n t

re c e n tly .

by

by

in

d e fic its

c o m p o n e n ts

c iv ilia n

fe d e ra l

flo w

in c re a s e .

th e

G ro s s

th e

in v e s tm e n t

p e r c e n t

m o st

fin a n c e d

in v e s tm e n t

s tre n g th

h a v e

1.5

T h e
p e r c e n t

in v e s tm e n t

in c re a s e

fo re ig n

c o u ld

up

s lig h t

u n d is trib u te d

n et

a c tu a l

so a k e d

fo re ig n

s h o w s

7.5

w as

s tro n g

In cre a se d

1981.

d o m e s tic
th is

u n u s u a lly

1981.

b e lo w

and

e x p lo s io n

re c e n t

in

G N P

the

a

fo r

1981

p a rt,

b ee n

s in c e

ta b le

an d
in

p r iv a te

fo re ig n e rs).

T h e

y e a r

p e rc e n t

p e rio d .

has

d e fic it

in v e s tm e n t.

p e r io d s — 7.6

the

in v e s tm e n t

g o v e r n m e n t

T r

n e c e s s a rily

re fle c t

o ffic ia l

p o s itio n s

o f

th e

F e d e ra l

R e s e rve

S y s te m .

A .

T a to m

TO TA L

C IV IL IA N

EM PLO YM EN T

CO POUNDED ANNUAL RATES Of CM
M
A*fi.E
TE R M IN A L

IN IT IA L

TH O USAN D S

M ONTH

OF

MONTH
3 -8 3

5 -8 3

4 -8 3

_ ie â 2 _

7 -8 3

5 -6 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

X -S 4

. 8 -8 4

PERSONS

9 -8 4

3 .6

5 -8 3

9 9 ,6 0 6

2*7

4 -0 3

9 9 ,7 6 2

JL iSL

5 .9

100*743

12 *? _

5 .9

6 .7

5*3

7 -8 3
8 -8 3

5 .8

9 .1
7 .1

101«225

5 ,9
4 .5

3 .1

1 0 1,4 8 4
1 0 1 ,8 7 6

4 .7

9 -8 3

5 .2

5 .6

6 .5

4 .6

3 .9

1 0 -8 3

4 .6

4 .8

5 .4

3 .7

3 .0

2 .9

1 .1

5*Q

5 .2

5 .8

4 .5

4 .1

4*5

4 .4

1 1 -8 3

1 0 1,9 7 0
7 »7

1 0 2,6 0 6
1 0 2,9 4 1

1 2 -8 3

4 .9

5 .1

5 .5

4 .4

4 .1

4 .4

4 .2

5*9

4 .0

1 -8 4

4 .7

4 .8

5 .2

4 .2

3 .9

4 .1

3 .9

4 .9

3 .5

2 .9

2 -8 4
_

3 -8 4

5 .0

5 .2

5 .6

4 .7

4 .6

4 .8

4 .8

5 .8

5 .1

5 .7

8 .5

_ 3 -8 4

4 .9

5 .0

5 .3

4 .5

4 .4

4 .5

4 .5

5 .2

4 .6

4 .7

5 .7

2 .9

1 0 3 ,1 9 0
1 0 3 ,8 9 2
1 0 4 ,1 4 0
1 0 4 ,4 0 2

4 -8 4

4 .7

4 .8

5 .1

4 .4

4 .2

4 .3

4 .3

4 .8

4 .3

4 .3

4 .8

3 .0

3 .1

.5 -8 4

5 .1

5.3

5 .5

4 .9

4 .8

5 .0

5 .1

5 .6

5 .3

5 .6

6 .2

5 .5

6 .8

1 0 .7

6 -8 4

5 .1

5 .3

5 .5

5 .0

4 .9

5 .1

5 .1

5 .6

5 .3

5 .5

6 .1

5 .5

6 .3

8 .0

5 .4

7 -8 4

4 .6

4*6

4 .8

4 .3

4 .1

4 .2

4 .2

4 .5

4 .1

4 .1

4 .3

3 .5

3 .7

3 .9

0 .6

8 -8 4

4 .0

4 .0

4 .2

3 .6

3 .4

3 .4

3 .3

3 .5

3 .1

3 .0

3 .0

2 .1

1 .9

1 .6

-1 .2

-4 .3

-4 .7

9 -8 4

3 .9

4 .0

4 .1

3 .6

3 .4

3 .4

3 .3

3 .5

3 .1

3 .0

3 .0

2 .2

2 .1

1 .9

-0 .1

-1 .9

-0 .9

3 .1

2 .3

0 .7

-0 .5

0 .7

3 .6

4 ,0

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -0 4

7 -8 4

8 -0 4

9 -6 4

3 .9

4 .0

4 .1

3 .6

3 .4

3 .5

3 .4

3 .5

3 .2

3 .1

3 .1

2 .5

2 .4

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -0 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

1 0 -8 4

Ï N T f ÏA T

1 0 5,2 8 0
1 0 5 ,7 4 8
1 0 5,3 9 5

-3 .9

1 0 4 ,9 6 9
1 0 5 ,2 3 9
1 0 5 ,5 8 6

MON t i n

PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT
.COMPOUNDED ANNUAL RATES J1F-CHANGE
TERMINAL__________________________________________________________________ I N I T I A L M
ONTH____________________________________________________________________ THOUSANDS
OF

MONTH
3 -8 3
4 -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -0 3

6 -8 3

8 -8 3

7 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 -8 4

1 2 -8 3

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -6 4

6 -6 4

7 -8 4

8 9 ,2 5 9
8 9 ,5 7 8

5 -8 3

4 .3

4 .4

4 .5

4 .6

4 .8

7 -0 3

4 .5

4 .6

4 .0

4 .7

1 .5

-0 .1

-4 .6

4 .7

4 .8

4 .9

4 .9

5 .0

1 5 .7

1 0 -8 3

4 .7

4 .7

4 .8

4 .8

4 .8

9 .9

4 .4

1 1 -8 3

4 .7

4 .7

4*6

4 .6

4 .8

8 .1

4 ,5

4 .6

8 9 ,9 2 7
9 0 ,2 7 4
8 9 ,9 1 8
9 1 ,0 1 8
9 1 ,3 4 5
9 1 ,6 8 8
9 2 ,0 2 6

1 2 -8 3

4 .6

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

7*2

4 .5

4 .6

4 .5

1 -8 4

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

6 .7

4 .6

4 .7

4 .7

4 .9

2 -0 4

4 .8

4 .0

4 .9

4 .9

4 .9

6*6

4 .9

5 .0

5 .1

5 .5

9 2 ,3 9 1
9 2 ,8 4 6

6 .1

9 3 ,0 5 8

3 -8 4

...

4 .6

4 .7

4*7

4 .7

4 .7

6 .1

4 .5

4*6

4 .5

4 .6

4 .4

2 .8

4 -6 4

..

4 .7

4*7

4*7

4*7

4*7

5*9

4*6

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

4 .7

4 .0

5 .2

5*8

4 .6

4*6

4 .6

4 .7

4 .6

4 .1

4 .8

4 .4

5*7

4**

4 .6

4 .6

4*6

4 .6

4 .2

4 .7

4 .5

4 .6

5 .4

4*4

4 .4

4 .4

4 .4

4 .3

3 .9

4 .2

3 .9

3 .7

2 .8

**?

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

4 .0

3 .6

3 .8

3 .5

3 .2

2 .5

2 .2

1 -6 4

_ _4 ,6

fc.T«4-

_A*A_

.. .7 _ -6 4

_

_6rM __
9 -6 4

. 1 9 -6 4 .

4 .5

.4*7

4*1

4 .5 .

-.4 ,5

4
3 -8 3

4*7

_4*J_
4 .7

4*1
.

4 .5

4*5
4 .3

4 .4

4*4

4*4

_ 4*3

4 .3

4 .3

*4 . 44 _

4 ,4

6 -6 3

4
4 t?

* „4

4

4 -0 3

5 -6 3

5 .1

P

R

E




L

I

—

9 3 ,4 4 9
9 3 ,7 8 6
9 4 ,1 3 5
9 4 ,3 5 0
9 4 ,5 2 3

5 .0

4 .1

4 .1

4 .0

4 .0

3 .9

3 .5

3 .7

3 .4

3 .1

2 .7

2 .6

3 .0

4 .3

5 ,0

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

3 .6

4 .0

3 .8

3 .6

3 .4

3 .6

4 .3

7 -6 3

8 -6 3

9 -6 3

1 0 -6 3

1 1 -6 3

1 2 -6 3

2 -6 4

3 -6 4

IN IT IA L

P -

PERSONS

9 -8 4

4 .3

6 -8 3

..

8 -8 4

M

I

N

A

R

Y

1— 6 4

4

- 6

4

5 -6 4

6 -8 4

7

- "3

4

6 -5 4

9 4 ,7 5 4 P
5 .7

9 5 , 195P

9 —8 4

M ON TH

~

-------- --------------------------------- PRiPÀJtf0"5V ?É&#ftÀL ftËSÉRVÉ 6AM O ST. LOUIS
K P
NOVEM BER

2

2»

1984




E M P L O Y M E N T

RATIO SCALE
MILLIONS OF PERSONS

SEASONALLY

RATIO SCALE
MILLIONS OF PERSONS

A D JU STED

1 15

I 10

105

100

95

90

85

80

75

70
1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982
SOURCEt

PER C EN TA GES

ARE

LATEST

PLOTTED»

DA TA

A NN UA L

RATES

OCTOBER

OF

C HA NG E

FOR P E R I O D S

U.S.DEPAR TM EN T

1984
OF

LA BO R

ST.

LOUIS

INDICA TED.

PRELIMINARY
P R EP A R E D

U N E M P L O Y M E N T

SEASONALLY

PERCENT

1983

BY FEDE RA L

RESE RV E

BANK OF

R A T E

ADJ USTED

PERCENT
12.0

.

I 1

II .0

10.

10.0

9.

9.0

8.

8.0

7.

7.0

6

.

6.0

5.

5.0

4.

4.0
1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982
SOURCEt

PER CEN T
LATEST

OF
DA TA

C IV ILIA N
PLOTTED.

L A BO R

O .S .

1983
DE PAR TMENT

1984
OF

LABOR

FORCE

OCTOBER

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

3

C O N SU M ER P R IC E
____ __________________________________________________________________
TE R M IN A L
MONTH

IN D E X

FOR

ALL

com p o u n d ed

URBAN

a n n u a l

__________________ I N I T I A L

CONSUM ERS,
r a t e s

o f

S E A S O N A LLY A D JU S TE D
________________________________________________________ ____________________

c h an g e

M O N T H ____________________________________________________________________ _____________

1967*100

~
3 -8 3

4 -6 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

4 -8 3
5 -8 3

6 .9
5 .4

7 -8 3

5 .2

4 .1

3 .5

5 .1

4 .2

3 .8

4 .5

5 .0

4 .3

4 .0

4 .5

4 .5

1 1 -9 3

1 2 -3 3

1 -8 4

2 -9 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -0 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

9 -8 4

4 .5

9 -8 3

10— 8 3

4 .5

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

5 .4
3 .9

8 -8 3

0 .5

6 -8 3

2 .5
2 9 8 .7
2 9 9 .8
4 .5

3 0 0 .9

1 0 -8 3

5 .0

4 .4

4 .2

4 .6

4 .6

4 .7

4 .9

1 1 -8 3

4 .9

4 .4

4 .2

4 .6

4 .6

4 .6

4 .7

4 .5

1 2 -8 3

4 .7

4 .2

4 .0

4 .3

4 .2

4 .2

4 .0

3 .6

2 .8

1 -8 4

5 .0

4 .6

4 .5

4 .8

4 .8

4 .9

5 .0

5 .0

5 .3

7 .8

2 -8 4

4 .9

4 .6

4 .5

4 .7

4 .8

4 .8

4 .9

4 .8

5 .0

6 .1

4 .4

3 -8 4

4 .7

4 .4

4 .3

4 .5

4 .5

4 .5

4 .5

4 .4

4 .4

5 .0

3 .6

4 -8 4

4 .8

4 .5

4 .4

4 .6

4 .6

4 .6

4 .7

4 .6

4 .7

5 .1

4 .3

4 .2

5 .6

5— 8 4

4 .6

4 .3

4 .2

4 .4

4 .4

4 .4

4 .4

4 .3

4 .3

4 .6

3 .8

3 .6

4 .0

2 .4

6 -8 4

4 .4

4 .2

4 .1

4 .2

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

4 .0

3 .9

4 .1

3 .4

3 .2

3 .3

2 .2

2 .0

7 -8 4

4 .4

4 .1

4 .0

4 .1

4 .1

4 .1

4 .0

3 .9

3 .9

4 .0

3 .4

3 .2

3 .4

2 .6

2 .7

3 .5

3 0 2 -1
3 0 3 .2
ÎKL
3 0 5 .8
3 0 6 .9
3 0 7 ,6

2 .8
3 0 9 .0

3 0 9 .6
3 1 0 .1
3 1 1 .0

8 -8 4

4 .5

4 .2

4 .1

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

4 .2

3 .7

3 .6

3 .8

3 .3

3 .7

4 .5

5 .5

9 -8 4

4 .4

4 .2

4 .1

4 .3

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

4 .2

3 .8

3 .7

3 .9

3 .5

3 .8

4 .5

4 .9

4 .3

1 0 -8 4

4 .4

4 .2

4 .1

4 .3

4 .2

4 .2

4 .2

4 .1

4 .1

4 .2

3 .9

3 .8

3 .9

3 .7

3 .9

4 .4

4 .7

4 .3

4 .3

> -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -93

6 -8 ^

? -8 3

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -6 3

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

9 -8 4

IN IT IA L

PRODUCER P R IC E I N D E X , F I N I S H E D
_______________________ C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L
IN IT IA L
3 -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -83

6 -8 3

4 -8 3
5 -8 3

1 .5
2 .6

4 .1

1 .9

2 .7

2 .3

2 .5

3 .2

3 .1

2 .3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

BANK

OF

LO U IS

SEASONALLY AD JUSTED *
O F C H A N G E _______________________
1967

MONTH
1 -8 4

ST.

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -0 4

5 -8 4

6 -6 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

-

100

9 -8 4

0 .0

0 -8 3

9 -8 3

RESERVE

4 .7

7 -8 3

8 -8 3

GOODS
RATES

BY F È 0 E R A L
21,
1984

3 .4

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

-0 .4

3 1 4 .6

MONTH

PREPARED
NOVEMBER

TE R M IN A L
M ONTH

3 1 2 .4
3 1 3 ,5

2 8 3 ,3
_______ 2 8 4 . _ 1 _____
2 8 5 .2
2 8 5 .2
2 8 6 .3

4 .7

2 8 6 .6

9 -8 3

2 ,3

2 .8

2 .7

2 .0

3 .0

1 .3

1 0 -0 3

2 .2

2 .7

2 .6

2 .0

2 .7

1 .7

2 .1

1 1 -0 3

1 .9

2 .2

2 .0

1 .4

1 .8

0 .0

0 ,6

-0 .8

1 2 -8 3

1 .9

2 .2

2 .0

1 .5

1 .9

1 .2

1 .1

0 .6

2 .1

1 -8 4

2 .4

2 .7

2 .7

2*4

2 .8

2 .4

2 .6

2 .8

4 .7

7 .3

2 -8 4

2 .6

2 .9

2 .9

2 .6

3 .0

2 ,7

3 .0

3 .3

4 .7

6 .0

4 .7

3 -8 4

2 .0

3 .1

3 ,1

2 ,9

3 .3

3 .1

3 .4

3 .6

4 .6

5 .7

4 ,9

5 .1

2 8 7 .1
2 8 6 .9
2 0 7 ,4
2 8 9 ,1
2 9 0 .2
2 9 1 ,4
291*4

4 -6 4

2 ,*

2 ,9

2 ,0

2 .6

¿ .9

2 .7

2 .9

3 .0

3 .8

4 .2

3 .2

2 .5

0 .0

5 -8 4

2

,3

2 ,5

2 ,5

2 ,3

2 ,5

2 ,2

2 .4

2 .4

2 .9

3 .1

2 .1

1 .2

-0 .6

-1 .2

6 -8 4

2 ,2

Z* 4

2 ,3

2 a

2 ,3

2 .0

2 .1

2 .1

2 .5

2 .6

1 .7

0 .9

-0 .4

-0 .6

0 .0

_

2 9 1 .1
2 9 1 .1

7 -0 4

2 ,3

2 .5

2 ,4

2 .3

2 .5

2 .3

2 .3

2 .4

2 .8

2 .9

2 .2

1 .7

0 .8

1 .1

2 .3

4 .6

... . 9 - 9 4

2 ,1

2*3

2 ,2

2 .0

2 .2

2 .0

2 .0

2 .0

2 .3

2 .4

1 .7

1 .2

0 .4

0 .5

1 .1

1 .7

-1 .2

9 -8 4

1 .9

2 .0

1 .9

1 .7

1 .9

1 .6

1 .7

1 .6

1 .9

1 .9

1 .2

0 .7

0 .0

0 .0

0 .3

0 .4

-1 .6

-2 .0

1 0 -8 4

1 .7

1 .8

1 .7

1 .5

1 .6

1 .4

1 .4

1 .3

1 .5

1 .5

0 .8

0 .4

-0 .3

-0 .3

-0 .2

-0 .2

-1 .8

-2 .0

-2 .0

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -83

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3—9 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

9 -8 4

♦DATA

FOR

FOUR: M O N TH S




AGO

R E V ISE D

TO

REFLECT

LATE

IN IT IA L
REPO R TIN G

2 9 1 .9
2 9 1 .4
2 9 0 .9

M ONTH

PREPARED
NOVEM BER

4

2 9 2 .2

BY FEDERAL
1 3 , 1984

RESERVE

B A I* .

OP

S T.

L O U IS




R AT I O SCALE

P R IC E S

R A T I O SCALE

C NSUM
O
ER PRICE IKOEX IE6INNIH« JANOARY 107« IS FO* ALL URBAN COM KJIS (CPI-O).
SM
CPI-9 DATA »EC IK IH« I M3 IHCO*PO*ATE A RENTAL EQUIVALENCE KEASME FO H0NE0WNER3HIP C05TS.
M
R
PERCENTAGES AR A N L RATES Of CHANCE FO PER 1
E N tJA
R
00$ INDICATED.

LATEST &ATA PLOTTEDt OCTOW
R

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE tANK Of ST. LO«IS

RATI O

PRODUCER

SCALE

I967-100

SEASONALLY

PRICES

RATI O

ADJUSTED

SCALE

19 6 7 - 1 0 0

PERCENTAGES ARE a nn ua l RATES OF CHAN6E FOR PERIODS INDICATED
LATEST DATA PLOTTED-

OCTOBER

PREPARED 0Y FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST

5

LOUIS

PR O D U C ER P R IC E IN D E X , F IN IS H E D CONSUM ER FO O D S - S E A S O N A L L Y A D JU S TE D *
________________________ C O M P O U N D S D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E ________________ ___ ____ _______
T E R M I N A L __________________________ _________________________________ _____________________________I N I T I A L
MONTH
3 -8 3

4 -8 3

6 -8 3

5 -8 3

7 -9 3

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -9 3

1 1 -9 3

M O N T H _________________ ___________________________________________________________________ 1 9 6 7 _ j ^ ¿ 0 0 ^ _

1 2 -8 3

1 -9 4

2 -9 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

7 -8 4

6 -8 4

9 -8 4

8 -8 4

9*6

2 6 3 .1

________ 5 - _ 9 3

2*1

2 6 2 .0

6 -8 3

-0 .9

-5 .8

-6 .7

7 - 9 3 ____ “ 2 , 1

-5 .7

-6 .0

-5 .4

-0 * 8

-3 * 3

-2 .7

-0 .7

4*2

0 .8

-0 .9

0 .1

2 .5

6*7

9 .1

________ 4 - 8 3

_____ . 3 - 8 3
9 -9 3
1 0 -8 3

_

2^4

-4 .9

.

2 6 0 .5
2 5 9 .3
2 6 0 .2
2 6 2 .1

1 .3

2 .6

5 .0

9*9

1 1 .1

1 ,5

3 .2

5 .4

5 .8

2 6 4 ,8

1 3 .1

Q*5_ _

1 1 - 6 3 ______l , 6 _

4 .2

2 6 3 .9

-4 .0

1 2 -8 3

2 ,4

1*5

2 ,5

4*1

6 .1

6 .6

5*8

2*3

9 .0

... L - 0 4

5 .4

4 .9

6*2

8*2

10*7

12*0

12*9

12*6

22*0

36*6

9*2

10*3

11*3

11*7

1 1 .4

1 7 .1

21*3

7*7

9 .2

10*1

10*9

1 1 .2

10*8

1 4 .9

1 6 .9

8*2

________ 2 - 9 4 _____

.._5_._2_ _ _ 6 . _ 4 _ _
5*9

272*8
2 7 4 .5

6 .6

4-84
. _

5 .5

A t J . . j*,3
.

5 ,2

6 .4

7 .8

9*3

9 .2

7*4

9 .8

1 0 .0

2*4

-0 .2

-8 .3

5~94_ _

3*4

2*9

3 .6

4 .6

5 .6

5*9

5 .4

4 .3

5 .8

5 .1

-1 .5

-4 .4

-1 0 .4

-1 2 .4

2 ,8

2 .3

2 .9

3 .8

4 .6

4 .7

4 .2

3*1

4 .2

3 .4

-2 .2

-4 .5

-8 .5

—9 . 6

6 -8 4

2 7 6 .4

8 .6

2 7 4 .4
2 7 1 .4
2 7 0 .3

-4 .8

2 7 4 .1

7 -8 4

3*7

3*3

3*9

4 .8

5 .7

5 .8

5 .5

4 .7

5 .9

5 .4

1 .0

-0 .3

-2 .5

-0 .4

6 .1

1 8 .2

0 -8 4

3*4

3 .0

3*6

4 .3

5 .1

5 .2

4 .8

4 .0

5 .0

4 .5

0 .6

—0 . 6

-2 .3

-0 .8

3 .4

7 .8

-1 .7

9 -8 4

2 .9

2 .5

3 .0

3 .7

4 .3

4 .4

4 .0

3*2

3 .9

3 .4

-0 .2

-1 .2

-2 .8

-1 .7

1 .2

3 .3

-3 .5

-5 .1

4 .1

3 .7

3*0

3 .6

3 .1

0 .0

-1 .0

-2 .3

-1 .2

1 .2

2 .7

-2 .0

-2 .2

0 .9

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -9 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

9 -8 4

1 0 -8 4

2 .4

2 .9

3 .5

3 -8 3

♦DATA

2 .8

4 .1

4 -8 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

FOR

FOUR

M ONTHS

AGO

R EVISEO

TO

PROOUCER

REFLECT

LATE

IN D EX ,

P R IC E

IN IT IA L
R E PO R TIN G

EX CLUD IN G

COMPOUNDED
TE R M IN A L
MONTH
5 -6 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -6 3

«

4 -8 3

3

4 -8 3

GOODS,

ANNUAL RATES

IN IT IA L
3 -8 3
-3 .3

2 7 2 .5
2 7 2 .7

MONTH

F IN IS H E D

2 7 3 .7

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

OF

FOODS

-

SEASONALLY

AD JUSTED *

CHANGE
1967

MONTH
1 -8 4

2 -9 4

3 -9 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

*

100

9 -8 4

2 8 7 .9

5 —8 3

1 .3

6 .0

6 -8 3

3*7

7 .3

8 .6

7 -8 3

3 .3

5 .5

5 .3

2 .1

2 6 9 .3
2 9 1 ,3
2 9 1 .8

8 -a 3

3 .4

___ 4 . 9

3 .1

4 .2

9 -8 3

2 .7

4 .0

3 .5

1 .8

1 .7

-0 .8

2 9 2 .8

1 0 -8 3

2 .1

3 .1

2 .5

1 .0

0 .7

-1 .0

2 9 2 .6
-1 .2

2 9 2 .3

1 1 -8 3

2 .0

2 .8

2 .2

1 .0

0 .7

-0 .4

-0 .2

0 .8

1 2 -8 3

1 .7

2 .4

1 .8

0 .8

0 .5

-0 .4

-0 .3

0 .2

-0 .4

2 9 2 .5

1 .6

0 .6

0 .3

-0 .4

-0 .3

0 .0

-0 .4

2 9 2 .4

1 -8 4

1 .5

2 .0

2 -8 4

1 .7

2 .2

1 .8

0 .9

0 .8

0 .2

0 .4

0 .8

0 .8

1 .4

3 .3

3 -8 4

1 .8

2 .3

2 .0

1 .2

1 .1

0 .7

1 .0

1*4

1 .5

2 .2

3 .5

3 .7

4 -8 4

1 .9

2 .4

2 .1

1 .4

1 .4

1 .0

1 .3

1 .7

1*9

2 .5

3*5

3*5

3 .3

-0 .4

2 9 2 .3
2 9 3 .1
2 9 4 .0
2 9 4 .8

JZ. mQ

2 .4

2 .1

1 .5

1 .5

1 .2

1 .4

1 .8

2 .0

2 .5

3*2

3 .2

2 .9

2 .5

_2 . 0

2 .3

2 .1

1 .5

1 .5

1 .2

1 .5

1 .9

1 .9

2*3

2 .9

2 .8

2 .5

2 .1

1 .6

7 -8 4

1 .9

2 .2

2 .0

1 .5

1 .4

1 .2

1 .4

1 .6

1 .7

2.1

2 .5

2 .3

2 .0

1 .5

1 .0

0 .4

8 -8 4

1 .7

2 .0

1 .8

1 .3

1 .2

1 .0

1 .2

1 .4

1 .5

1 .7

2 .0

1 .8

1 .4

0 .9

0 .4

-0 .2

-0 .8

9 -8 4

1 .5

1 .6

1 .6

1 .1

1*1

O

1*0

1*2

1 .2

1 .4

1 .6

1 .3

1 .0

0 .5

0 .0

-0 .5

-1 .0

-1 .2

1 0 -8 4

.1 .3

1 .6

1 .3

0 ,9

0 ,9

Q .6

0*7

0 .9

0 .9

1 .0

1 .1

0 .9

0 .5

O
•
o

-0 .5

-1 .0

-1 .5

-1 .8

-2 .4

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

9 -8 4

♦DATA

FOR

FOUR

HQNTHS




AGO

R E V ISE D

TO

CD

5— 3 4
6 -8 4

REFLECT

LATE

2 9 5 .4
2 9 5 .8
2 9 5 .9
2 9 5 .7
2 9 5 .4
2 9 4 .8

I N I T I A L HONTH
R E P O R T I N G _____________________

PREPAREO
NOVEM BER

6

BY FEDERAL
1 3 , 1984

RESERVE

BANK

OF

S T.

L O U IS

INDUSTRIAL
RATI O SCALE
1967-100

1976

PRODUCTION

SEASONALLY

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

PERCENTAGES ABE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PER IO D S
LATEST DATA PLOTTED*

IN D U S TR IA L

IN ITIA L

TE R M IN A L
MONTH
3 -0 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -8 3

1983

1984

IN D IC ATED .

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

BY FE OER AL

RESERVE

BANK OF

ST.

LOUIS

PR O D UCTIO N

1967

MONTH

1 2 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

*

100

9 -8 4

4-

o
<M

1 4 2 .6

2 4 #7

5 -8 3

4 -8 3

1982

OCTOBER PR ELIM IN A RY
P R EP A R E D

4 -8 3

RATI O SCALE
1967-100

A D JU STED

1 4 4 .4

1 6 .2

14 6 .4

1 9 ,6

1 7 .1

1 7 .9

7 -8 3

2 2 .3

2 1 .5

2 4 .1

3 0 .7

8 -8 3

21 . 4

2 0 .6

2 2 .1

2 4 .3

1 8 .2

9 -8 3

2 0 .7

1 9 .9

2 0 .8

2 1 .8

1 7 .6

1 7 .0

1 0 -8 3

14 9 .7
1 5 1 .8
1 5 3 .8
1 5 5 .0

1 9 .1

1 8 .1

«

«0

6 -8 3

1 8 .7

1 4 .9

1 3 .3

9 .8

1 1 -8 3

1 6 .8

1 5 .7

1 5 .7

1 5 .2

1 1 .6

9 .5

6 .0

2 .3

1 2 -8 3

1 5 .7

1 4 .6

1 4 .4

1 3 .8

1 0 .7

9 .0

6 .4

4 .7

7 .2

1 5 5 .3
1 5 6 .2
1 5 8 .5

1 -8 4

1 6 .1

1 5 .1

1 5 .0

1 4 .6

1 2 .1

1 0 .9

9 .5

9 .3

1 3 .0

1 9 .2

2 -8 4

1 5 .7

1 4 .8

1 4 .7

1 4 .3

1 2 .1

1 1 .1

9 .9

1 0 .0

1 2 .7

1 5 .5

1 2 .0

3 -8 4

1 4 .9

1 4 .0

1 3 .8

1 3 .3

1 1 .3

1 0 .4

9 .3

9 .2

1 1 .0

1 2 .3

9 .0

1 6 0 .0
1 6 0 .8

6 .2

1 6 2.1

4 -8 4

1 4 .5

1 3 .7

1 3 .4

1 3 .0

1 1 .2

1 0 .3

9 .4

9 .4

1 0 .8

1 1 .8

9 .4

8 .1

1 0 .1

5 -8 4

1 3 .8

1 3 .0

1 2 .7

1 2 .3

1 0 .6

9 .8

8 .9

8 .8

9 .9

1 0 .4

8 .4

7 .2

7 .7

5 .3

6 -8 4

1 3 .7

1 3 .0

1 2 .7

1 2 .3

1 0 .8

1 0 .0

9 .3

9 .2

1 0 .3

1 0 .8

9 .2

8 .5

9 .3

8 .8

1 2 .5

7 -8 4

1 3 .6

1 2 .9

1 2 .6

1 2 .2

1 0 .8

1 0 .2

9 .5

9 .5

1 0 .4

1 0 .9

9 .6

9 .1

9 .8

9 .7

1 2 .0

1 1 .5

8 -8 4

1 2 .8

1 2 .1

1 1 .9

1 1 .4

1 0 .1

9 .4

8 .8

8 .7

9 .4

9 .7

8 .4

7 .8

8 .1

7 .6

8 .4

6 .4

1 .5

9 -8 4

1 1 .7

1 0 .9

1 0 .6

1 0 .1

8 .1

7 .4

7 .2

7 .7

7 .8

6 .4

5 .6

5 .5

4 .7

4 .5

2 .0

-2 .5

-6 .3

-1 .7

-3 .2

0 .0

t —84

8 -8 4

9 -8 4

8 .8

1 1 .0

1 0 .3

1 0 .0

9 .5

8 .2

7 .5

6 .8

6 .6

7 .0

4 -8 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -8 3

9 —8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

P -

4 .9

4 .7

3 .9

3 .6

1 .5

1 -8 4

1 2 -8 3

IN IT IA L

1 6 4 .4

5 .7

7 .0

3— B 3

1 0 -8 4

1 6 2 .8

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6—84

1 6 5 .9
1 6 6 .1
1 6 5 . 2P
1 6 5 . 2P

MONTH

P R ELIM IN AR Y




^RE^ARÉÔ bV PÊfrÉRAL RÉS6RVÉ ÔÀftR ÔP ST. LCHJrS
NOVEM BER

7

15,

1984

PERSONAL
RATIO SCALE

INCOME
RATIO SCALE

MONTHLY TOTALS AT ANNUAL RATES

TRI LLI ONS OF DOLLARS

SEASONALLY

TRI LLI ONS OF DOLLARS

A D JU STED

3.

.3
. 2
. I
.0

.9
.8

.7
.6

.5
.4
.3
. 2
. I
.0

.9
.8

.7
.6

.5

.3
.2

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

SOURCEt
PERCENTAGES ARE ANWJAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PER IO D S
LATEST DATA PLOTTED«

U .S .

1983

1984

DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

INDICATED.

OCTOBER PR ELIM IN A R Y
PREPARED BY FEDERAL R ESER VE BANK OF ST.
PERSONAL

_________________ _________ ____________ r a t e s

o f

LO U IS

IN CO M E

.q h a n & e ______________________________________ _____________________________________
B ILLIO N S
ANNUAL

MONTH
3 -8 3

4 -6 3

5-8 3

6 -8 3

7 -8 3

8 -8 3

9 -8 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -8 3

1 2 -8 3

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -8 4

5 -8 4

6 -8 4

7 -8 4

8 -8 4

iO .Q

5 -8 3

10*3

6 —8 3

9 .7

9 .5

8 .5

8 .4

7 .9

6 .6

7 -8 3

______ 8 - 9 3 _____ __ i L * l __

RATES

9 -8 4
2 ,6 9 3 .2

4 -8 3

2 ,7 1 5 .8

1 0 .5

2 ,7 3 4 .4
2 ,7 4 4 .9

4 .7

2 ,7 5 9 .9

6 .9

7*6

6*7

9 -8 3

8 .7

8 .4

7 .8

7 .6

9 .1

1 1 .5

1 0 -8 3

9 .4

9 .2

9 .0

9 .1

1 0 .6

12*6

13*7

2 ,7 8 5 .0
2 ,8 1 4 .9
2 ,8 3 4 .2

1 1 -8 3
_

1 -8 4

OF

9 .3

9 .1

8 .9

9*0

1 0 .1

1 1 .2

1 1 .1

8*5

1 2 -8 3

9 .5

9 .5

9 .3

9*4

10*4

1 1 .3

11*3

10*1

1 1 .7

1 -8 4

1 0 .2

1 0 .2

10*2

10*4

1 1 .4

1 2 .4

1 2 .6

1 2 .2

14*1

1 6 .7

2 ,8 6 0 .4
2 ,0 9 7 .4
2 ,9 2 3 .5

2 -8 4

1 0 .3

1 0 .3

1 0 .3

1 0 .6

1 1 .4

1 2 .2

12*4

12*0

13*2

1 4 .0

1 1 .4

3 —8 4

1 0 .1

1 0 .1

1 0 .0

10*2

1 0 .9

1 1 .5

1 1 .5

1 1 .1

1 1 .7

1 1 .7

9 .3

7 .2

4 -8 4

1 0 .2

1 0 .2

1 0 .2

1 0 .4

1 1 .0

1 1 .5

1 1 .6

1 1 .2

1 1 .6

1 1 .8

1 0 .2

9 .6

1 2 .0

2 ,9 4 0 .6
2 ,9 6 8 .5

5 -8 4

9 .8

9 .8

9 .7

9 .8

1 0 .3

1 0 .7

1 0 .6

1 0 .2

1 0 .5

1 0 .2

8 .7

7 .8

8 .1

4 .2

6 -8 4

9 .9

9 .9

9 .8

1 0 .0

1 0 .4

1 0 .8

1 0 .7

1 0 .4

1 0 .6

1 0 .5

9 .3

8 .8

9 .3

7 .9

1 1 .7

7 -8 4

9 .8

9 .8

9 .7

9 .8

1 0 .3

1 0 .6

1 0 .5

1 0 .2

1 0 .4

1 0 .2

9 .1

8*7

9 .1

8 .1

1 0 .1

8 .5

9 .-9 4

9 .7

9 .7

9 .6

9 .7

1 0 .1

1 0 .3

1 0 .2

9 .9

1 0 .1

9 .9

8 .9

8*5

8 .8

8 .0

9 .2

8 .0

7 .5

9 -8 4

9 .7

9 .6

9 .6

9 .6

1 0 .0

1 0 .3

1 0 .2

9 .8

1 0 .0

9 .8

9 .0

8 .6

6 .8

6 .2

9 .2

8 .4

6 .4

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1 0 -8 4

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9 .4

9 .5

9 .8

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9 .6

9 .7

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8 .7

8 .4

6 .6

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8 .1

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7 .1

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

5 -8 3

6 -8 3

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¿-04

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P R ELIM IN AR Y




HkEPAftÉD ft'TPfKAAL ftESEftVriW O P ST. LOUIS
NOVEM BER

8

19,

1964

RETAIL

SALES

RATI O SCALE

RATIO SCALE

BI LLI ONS OF DOLLARS

1976

1977

SEASO NALLY

1978

1979

BI LLI ONS OF DOLLARS

A D JU ST ED

1980

1981

1982

SOURCE«
P ERC EN TA GE S

AR E A N N UA L

LATEST

PLOTTED«

DATA

RATES

OF

S EP TE MB ER,

C HA NG E FOR P E R I O D S
OCTOBER

A D VA N C E

R E TA IL
ANNUAL

IN IT IA L

TE R M IN A L
MONTH
3 -3 3

4 -3 3

5 -3 3

6 -3 3

7 -3 3

8 -8 3

9 -3 3

1 0 -3 3

1 1 -8 3

1983

1984

DEPA RTMENT

OF

COMMERCE

IW HCATED .

ESTIM ATE

P R EP A R E D

C OMPOUNDED

U .S .

SALES
RATES

BY F E D E R A L

OF

RE SE RV E

BANK

OF

ST.

LOUIS

C HANGE
M IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS

M ONTH

1 2 -3 3

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3 -8 4

4 -8 4

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6 -8 4

7 -8 4

3 -3 4

9 -8 4
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1 8 .3

5 -6 3

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2 2 .3

2 4 .3

9 7 ,2 3 9
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9 8 ,8 3 2

7 -8 3

1 7 .0

1 6 .5

10*2

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1 0 .3

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9 -8 3

1 2 .6

1 1 .5

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9 8 ,2 7 7
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9 9 ,5 3 7
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9 .0

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1 6 .4

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3 -3 4

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7 .1

7 .7

1 0 .0

8 .9

7 .2

5 .9

5 .7

-1 4 .4

-1 6 .8

1 5 .6

3 .4

1 2 .1

5 1 *0

4 -3 4

1 0 2 ,4 3 8

1 0 5,4 3 2
1 0 3 ,8 7 3
1 0 7 ,5 0 5

1 4 .4

1 4 .1

1 3 .5

1 1 .5

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1 3 .4

1 2 .7

1 2 .8

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4 .7

1 0 .9

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8 .5

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1 2 .7

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9 .6

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1 .6

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8 .5

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6 .8

6 .2

6 .2

0 .0

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7 .4

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9 .0

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7 .5

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7 .8

0 .8

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6 .8

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7 .6

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6 .4

0 .4

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-1 .7

6 -3 3

Y —8 3

8 -3 3

9 -3 3

1 0 -8 3

1 1 -3 3

1 2 -3 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

3 -8 4

4 -3 4

5 -3 4

6—34

7 —6 4

3 -3 4

9 -8 4

1 3 .0

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1 0 .9

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1 2 .7

1 1 .3

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6 -3 4

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1 2 .7

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1 1 .9

P R E L IM IN A R Y
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1 0 6 ,6 0 2

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1 0 1,8 9 6

1 0 3,2 3 7
1 0 9 ,3 2 2
1 0 7 ,4 4 2
1 0 6 ,6 0 6
1 0 7 ,871P
1 0 7 , 7 17E

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUTS'
NOVEM BER

9

14»

1964

H O U R L Y C O M P E N S A T IO N , B U S IN E S S S E C T O R
C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E ______

_____I N I T I A L

TE R M IN A I
QUARTER

4 -7 9

1 -80

2 -80

3 -80

4 -80

2 -8 1

1 -81

3-81

4 -8 1

_

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QUARTER

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ANNUAL

________________ I N I T I A L

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1977*100

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10JL.7.
1 0 7 .0
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I N I T I A L QUARTER

PREPARED
NOVEM BER

10

BY FEDERAL
2 8, 1984

RESERVE

BANK

OF

S T.

L O U IS

PRODUCTIVITY,

C O M P E N S A T IO N ,

RAT I O SCALE
1977-100

SEASONALLY

AND

LABO R

ADJUSTED

SOURCE.
PERCENTAGES

A RE

LATEST

PLOTTED t

DATA

ANNUAL

RATES

3RD

OF

C HANCE

FOR

P ERIODS

U.S.

CO STS
R AT I O SCALE
1977-100

DEPARTMENT

OF

LA B O R

ST.

LOUIS

IN D ICATE D .

QUARTER
PRE PARE!)

U N IT

LABOR

COSTS,

FEDERAL

RESERVE

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BANK

OF

SECTOR

RAT£S

C O H P O U M Æ C LANNUAL

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QUARTER

11

PREPARED
N0VEH6ER

BY FED ERAL
28, 1984

R E S fc R V E

BANK

OF

S T.

L O U IS

GROSS N A TIO N A L PR O D U C T IN C U R R E N T D O L L A R S
C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E ________
T E R M IN A I

IN IT IA L

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

QUARTER
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1 0 .1

1 1 .2

1 1 .7

1 1 .6

1 2 .0

1 2 .8

8.1

5 .7

1 -64

2 -6 4

8 .1

7 .8

8 .3

4 -8 3

8 .2

8 .0

1 -0 4

8*6

8 .4

2 -6 4

8 .7

8 .5

3 -6 3

3 ,1 0 9 .6

3 ,4 3 1 .7

8 .5

8 .4

8 .8

8 .8

8 .3

7 .4

7 .5

7 .1

7 .5

8 .3

8 .7

9 .5

1 0 .4

1 0 .7

1 0 .4

1 0 .4

4 -7 9

3 -6 4

1 0 .4

1 -6 0

2 -8 0

3 -8 0

4 -0 0

1 -61

2 -0 1

3 -8 1

4 -8 1

1 -8 2

2 -62

3 -62

4—0 2

1 -0 3

2 -»3

3 -6 3

4 -6 3

t n i t t a l

6R0SS

N ATIO N A L

3 ,5 5 3 .3
1 0 .7

3 ,6 4 4 .7

(W ä r t e r

PROOUCT

IN

1972

DOLLARS

C MQ M P A ^Al R T ? O C A ___
OP U S N
A E f H *frE
IN IT IA L

TE R M IN A L

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

QUARTER
4 -7 9

1 -6 0

2 -6 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -8 1

2 -8 1

3 -8 1

4 -8 1

3 ,6 9 5 .2

1 -8 2

2 -8 2

3 -8 2

4 -6 2

1 -6 3

2 -8 3

3 -6 3

4 -6 3

1 -6 4

2 -6 4
1 ,4 9 6 .4

1 —« 0

1 .9

2 -6 0

-3 .7

-9 .0

3 -6 0

-2 .2

-4 .3

0*8

4 —60

-0 .8

-1 .6

2 .3

1 ,4 6 1 .4
1 ,4 6 4 .2
1 ,4 7 7 .9

3 .8

1 ,5 1 3 .5

1 -6 1

1 .3

1 .1

4 .8

6 .8

1 0 .0

2 -8 1

1 .0

0*6

3 .4

4 .3

4*6

-0 .5

3 -6 1

1 .3

1 .1

3 .3

4 .0

4 .0

1 .1

2*8

4 -6 1

0 .4

0 .2

1 .8

2 .0

1 .6

-1 * 1

-1 * 4

-5 .4

1 -6 2

-0 .2

-0 .4

0 .9

0 .9

0 .3

-2 * 0

-2 *5

-5 .0

-4 .7
-0 .8

1 ,5 1 1 .7
1 ,5 2 2 .1
1 ,5 0 1 .3
1 ,4 6 3 .5
1 ,4 8 0 .5

2 -6 2

-0 .2

-0 .5

0 .7

0 .6

0 .1

-1 * 7

-2 * 1

-3 .6

-2 .8

3 -6 2

-0 .3

-0 .5

0 .5

0 .4

0 .0

-1 *6

-1 * 8

-3 .0

-2 .1

-0 .9

-0 .9

4 -6 2

-0 .2

-0 * 4

0*5

0 .4

0 .0

-1 * 3

-1 .5

-2 .3

-1 .5

-0 .4

-0 .2

0 .5

1 -8 3

0 .0

-0 * 1

0*7

0 .7

0 .4

-0 * 7

-0 .8

-1 .4

-0 .5

0 .5

0 .9

1 .9

3 .3

2 -6 3

0*7

0 .6

l* A

1*5

1 .3

0*3

0 .4

0 .1

1 .0

2 .2

3 .0

4 .3

6 .3

9 .4

3 -6 3

1 .1

1*0

1*0_

1*9

1*6

1*0

1 .1

0 .9

1 .8

3 .0

3 .7

4 .9

6 .5

8 .1

6 .8

4 -6 3

1 .4

1*3

2*1

2 .2

2 .1

1*4

1 .6

1 .5

2 .4

3 .4

4 .1

5 .1

6 .3

7 .4

6 .4

5 .9

7 .6

6 .0

1 0 .1

1 ,4 7 7 .1
1 ,4 7 8 .8
1 ,4 9 1 .0
1 ,5 2 4 .8
1 ,5 5 0 .2
1 ,5 7 2 .7
1 ,6 1 0 .9

1 -6 4

1 .9

1*9

2*6

2*8

2 .T

2 .1

2 .3

2 .3

3 .2

4 .2

4 .9

6 .0

7 .1

6 .0

2 -6 4

2 .1

2 .2

2 .9

3 .0

3 .0

2 .5

2 .7

2 .7

3 .6

4 .5

5 .2

6 .1

7 .1

7 .9

7 .5

7 .7

6 .6

7 .1

3 -6 4

2*1

2 .1

2 .6

3 .0

2 .9

2 .4

2 .7

2 .7

3 .4

4 .3

4 .6

5 .6

6 .3

6 .8

6 .3

6 .2

6 .3

4 .5

1 .9

4 -7 9

1 -6 0

2 -6 0

3 -6 0

4 -8 0

1 -81

2 -6 1

3 -8 1

4 -6 1

1 -6 2

4 -8 2

T -* 3

2 -M

3 -6 3

4 -6 3

1 -6 4

2 -6 4




IN IT IA L

2 -6 2

1 ,6 3 6 .6
1 ,6 4 6 .5

QUARTER

"FREFÄ1EÜ “ftY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK DF ST. LOUIS
NOVEMBER 20* 1904

12

G R O S S

RATIO SCALE

1976

N A T I O N A L

QUARTERLY

1977

1978

1979

TOTALS

P R O D U C T

AT ANNUAL R A T E S

1980

RATIO SCALE

1981
1982
1983
1984
SOURCE: U. S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

PERCENTAGES ARE ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE FOR PERIODS INDICATED.

L A T E S T DATA P LO T T E D , 3RD QUARTER



PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF S T . LO U. S

13

GENERAL

PRICE

INDEX*

RATI O SCALE

1 976
«AS

USED

RATIO SCALE

1977
IN N A T I O N A L

1978

PERCENTAGES

ARE A NN UA L

LATEST

PLOTTED»

DA TA

1979

1980

1981

I NCOME A C C O U N T S
RATES

Of

1982

SOOKCEt

C HANGE FOR P E R I O D S

U.S .

1983
DE PARTMENT O f

1984
COMMERCE

IN DICATED.

3RD O U A R T E R
PREPARED

IM P L IC IT

P R ICE

DEFLATOR

_________________________________________ C O M P O U N D E D

TERMINAL __________________________ ______________________________________________________________ I N

FOR

ANNU A L
ITIA L

BY F E D E R A L

GROSS

RATES

R E S E R V E BANK OF

N A TIO N A L

QF

ST.

LOUIS

PROOOCT

C H A N S * _________________________________________

W A RJER

OUARTER
4— T9
1-fiO

1 0 .3

2 -8 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -Û 1

2 -8 1

3 -8 1

4 -8 1

1 -8 2

2 -8 2

3 -8 2

4 -9 2

1 -8 3

2 -8 3

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4
1 7 1 .9 4

9 .6

? -ftO

1 -8 0

1 0 .9

1 7 6 .4 6
1 8 0 .2 4

3 -e o

9 .8

9 .9

4 -8 0

1 0 .2

1 0 .4

1 0 .1

1 1 .3

i -a i

1 0 .3

1 0 .5

1 0 .4

1 1 .1

8 .8

1 8 5 .1 3
1 1 .0

190*01
1 9 3 .0 3

2 -8 1

9 .7

9 .7

9 .4

8 .7

6 .5

3 -8 1

9 .7

9 .8

9 .5

9 .2

8 .3

1 0 .0

4 -8 1

9 .6

9 .5

9 .3

8 .9

8 .3

9 .2

8 .3

1 -8 2

9 .0

8 .9

8 .6

8 .6

8 .1

7 .4

7 .6

6 .5

2 —8 ?

8 .6

8 .5

8 .2

8 .2

7 .6

7 .0

7 .1

3 —82

8 .2

8 .0

7 .7

7 .0

6 .4

6 .4

5 .5

4 .5

4 .5

3 .4

4 -8 2

7 .8

7 .6

7 .3

6 .6

6 .0

5 .9

5 .1

4 .3

4 .1

3 .4

3 .4

4 .4

4 .0

4 .2

5 .0

3 .7

3 .8

2 .6

1 9 7 .7 0
2 0 1 .6 9
2 0 3 .9 8

4 .6
5 .1

2 0 6 .7 7

5 .6

2 0 8 .5 3
2 1 0 .2 7
2 1 2 .8 7

1 -8 3

7 .5

7 .4

7 .1

ft# 7

6 .4

5 .8

5 .7

5 .1

4 .4

2 -8 3

7 .2

7 .0

6 .7

6 t5

6 .0

5 .5

5 .4

4 .7

4 .1

4 .0

3 .6

3 -8 3

6 .9

6 .7

6 .4

p t

5 .7

5 .2

5 .1

4 .5

4 .0

3 .9

3 .5

3 .5

3 .6

2 .9

3 .1

5 .0

4 .5

4 .0

3 .9

3 .7

3 .7

3 .8

3 .4

3 .7

4 -8 3

6 .7

6 .6

Z

5 .6

6 .3

5 .2

^#0

5 .4

6*3

5 .8

5 .3

4 -7 9

1 -8 0

2 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -81

3 -8 4




3 -8 0

4 .0

3 .9

3 .3

4 .0

3 .6

3 .5

3 .7

4 —8 2

1 -8 3

2 -8 3

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

1-8 2

2 -8 2

3 -8 2

4 -8 1

6 .0

6.1

3 .8

3 .7

3 -81

6 .2

3 .8

3 .7

3 .7

2 -8 1

6 .4

2 2 0 .5 8

3 .6

3 .7

4 .3

2 -8 4

5 .1

3 .6

3 .9
3 .9

4 .4

5 .5

3 .6

4 .0
4 .0

4 .8
4 .7

?♦ 7

3 .8

3 .9

5 .0

6 .1

4 .4

3 .8

4 .9

6 .4

2 1 8 .2 1
4 .4

4 .0

3 .8

4 .5

6 .6

2 1 5 .8 9
4 .4

3 .6

4 .0

4 .1

5 .0

1 -8 4

2 1 4 .2 5

2 2 2 .4 0
2 2 4 .4 4

I N I T I A L OUARTER

6Ÿ «W ftÀ l ABE UVE BANK Of ST. LOUIS
NOVEM BER

14

20,

1904

PERSONAL

C O N S U M P T IO N

E X P E N D IT U R E S

IN

CURRENT

DOLLARS

___________ CQWPQUNOEO ANNUAL RATES OP CHANGE_____________
B IL L IO N S O F
D OLLARS

ANNUAL R AT ES

QUARTER
4 - 7 9 .. 1 - 6 0
_ l-e o

6 .2

3 -60

4-80

1 -81

2—81

3-61

4 -81

1 -6 2

2-82

3-62

4 -8 2

1 -63

2 -6 3

3 -6 3

4 -8 3

1 -84

2 -84
1 ,6 2 0 .5

1 1.2

2 -8 0

.2*3.0-

1 ,62 6.4

1,5

1 ,6 8 3 .4

3-60

9 ,0

7,9

14,6

4 -8 0

1 0.4

_ 10,1

1 4,7

1 4,6

1-61

1 1.0

1 0 ,9

1 4 ,3

H ,l_

1 ,7 4 1 .9
13,5

1 ,7 9 7 .9
1 ,8 2 9 .3

2 -8 1

1 0.4

_1Q ,2

1 2,5

11.7

10.3

3 -8 1

1 0 .4

1 0,3

1 2,2

1 1,5

10,5

9 .0

1 0.9

9 .8

8 .6

7 .0

6 .9

3 .1

9 .6

8 .6

7 .4

7 .5

5 .8

8 .6

7 .2

1 , 8 7 7 ¿3
1 ,8 9 1 .8

4 -6 1

9 .5

9 .2

1 0.6

1 -82

9 .4

9 .2

1 0,3

2-62

9 .1

8.8

9 .8

9 .1

8 .2

7.2

7 .2

6 .0

7 .4

6 .3

3 -8 2

9 .0

8.8

9 .7

9 .0

8 ,3

7 .4

7 .5

6 .6

7.8

7 .4

8 .5

4 -8 2

9 .0

8.8

9 ,6

9 ,1

8 .4

7 .7

7 .8

7 .1

8 .2

8 .0

8 .9

1 ,9 3 1 .3
1 ,9 6 0 .9
2 ,0 0 1 .3
2 ,0 4 6 .1

9 .3

2 ,0 7 0 .4

1 -83

8 .7

8,5

9 ,2

8 ,6

8 .0

7 .3

7 .3

6 .7

7 .5

7 .2

7 .5

7 .0

4 .8

2 -8 3

9 .1

9 .0

9 .6

9 ,1

8 .6

8.1

8 .2

7 .8

8 .6

8 .6

9 .2

9 .5

9 .6

1 4.5

8 .9

9 .0

8 .9

1 1 .0

7 .6

2 ,1 4 1 .6

9 .0

8 .9

9 .5

9 ,0

8 .5

8 .0

8.1

7 .8

8 .5

9 .0

8 .9

9 .4

9 .0

8 .6

8 .2

8 .2

8 .0

8 .6

8 .6

9 .0

9 .0

9 .0

1 0 .4

8 .4

9 .3

1 -8 4

9 .0

8 .9

9 .4

9 ,0

8 .6

8 .2

8 .3

8 .0

8 .6

8 .6

8 .9

9 .0

8 .9

8 .5

8 .9

8 .6

2 -8 4

9 .1

8 .9

9 .4

9 .1

8.7

8 .3

8 .4

8 .2

8 .7

8 .8

9.1

9 .2

9 .1

10.0

8 .9

9 .4

9 .4

1 0.2
4 .9

2 -Ö 4

8.7

9 .2

8 .8

8 .4

8 .1

8 .2

7.9

8 .4

8 .4

4 -7 9

1-60

2-60

3 -6 0

4 -8 0

1 -81

2 -81

3 -81

4 -81

o
♦

8 .9

3 -8 4

00

3 -83
4 -83

o
•
o

2 ,1 8 1 .4

8 .5

1 -8 2

¿-8 2

2 ,2 3 0 .2
2 ,2 7 6 .5

8 .6

8 .5

9 .1

8 .1

8 .2

7 .9

7 .5

3—82

4 -8 2

1-83

2 -8 3

3 -6 3

4 -63

1— 84

2 ,3 3 2 .7
2 ,3 6 0 .8

I N I T I A L QUARTER

PERSONAL

CONSUMPTION EXPEND ITU RES I N 1972 DOLLARS
COMpQUHOED ANNUAL RATES OF CHANGE

TE R MI N AL
QUARTER

IN ITIA L
4 -7 9

1 -60

2 -6 0

3—00

4 -80

1-81

2 -81

3 -81

4 -81

B I L L I O N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL R A T ES

QUARTER

1 -8 2

2 -82

3 -82

4 -8 2

1 -83

2 -8 3

3 -63

4 -8 3

1-84

2 -8 4
9 38 .3

1 -6 0

-0 .1

2 -6 0

-4 .0

-7 .7

3 -8 0

-1 ,3

-1 ,9

9 1 9 .6
4 ,3

9 2 9 .4
9 4 0 .0

4 -6 0

0 .1

0 .2

4 .5

1 -61

1 .0

1 .3

4 .5

4 .5

4 .4

2 -6 1

__0,_7

0 ,9

3 .2

2 ,8

1*9

-0 .5

1 .0

1.2

3 .1

2 .8

2 .2

1 ,2

2 ,8

4 -8 1

0 .4

0 .5

2LrO_

1 ,5

0 ,7

-0 ,5

-0 .5

-3 ,7

1 -62

0 .7

o .e

2 .1

1 .7

1,2

0 ,4

0 .6

-0 .4

2 .9

2 -6 2

0 .9

1 ,0

2 ..1

.. 1 . 8

1 .3

0 .7

1 ,0

0 ,4

2 .6

3 -6 2

1.0

1 .1

2 .1

1 .9

1.5

1.0

1,3

0 .9

2 .5

2 .2

2 .2

4 -8 2

1 ,3

1

2 ,4

2 ,2

1 ,9

1 .6

1 .9

1 .7

3 .1

3 .2

3 .7

5 .1

2 ,2

2 .0

1 .7

2 .0

1 .9

3 .0

3 .0

3 .3

3 .8

irftl

..

.

4 ,6

9 5 0 .2
9 4 9 .1

9 55 .7
9 46.8
9 5 3 .7
9 5 8 .9

2 .2

9 6 4 .2
976 .3
9 8 2 .5

2 .6

W .4

it i

2 -6 3

2 .0

2 ,2

3 ,0

2 ,9

2 .8

2 .6

3 .0

3 .0

4 .1

4 .4

4 .9

5 .8

6 .2

1 0 .0

3 -6 3

2 .1

2 .3

3 ,1

3 ,0

2 ,9

2 ,7

3 .1

3 ,1

4 .1

4 .3

4 .7

5 .3

5 .4

6 .9

3 .8

4 -63

2 ,4

2,6__

3 ,4

3 ,3

3 .2

3 .1

3 .4

3 .5

4 .4

4 .6

5 .0

5 .6

5 .7

6 .8

5 .3

6 .6

5 .1

5 .7

L rfii

1 -6 4

2 .5

2 .7

3 ,4

3 ,4

3 ,3

3 ,2

3 ,5

3 .6

4 .4

4 .6

5 .0

5.5

5 .5

1 ,0 0 6 .2

6 .3

1 ,0 1 5 .6
1 ,0 3 2 .4
1 ,04 4.1

4 .6

2 -6 4

2 ,6

3,0_

3 ,7

3 ,7

3 .6

3 .5

3 .9

4 .0

4 .8

5 .0

5 .3

5 .8

5 .9

6 .6

5 .6

6 .4

6 .3

7.9

3 -6 4

2 ,7

2 ,9

3 ,5

3 ,5

3 .4

3 .3

3 .6

3 .7

4 .4

4 .5

4 .8

5 .1

5 .1

5 .6

4 .7

4 .9

4 .3

4 .2

0 .5

4-79

1-60

2 -6 0

3 -6 0

4 -6 0

1 -6 1

2 -6 1

3 -6 1

4—61

1 -8 2

3 -6 2

4 -6 2

1 -6 3

3 -6 3

4 -6 3

1 -6 4

2 -6 4




2 -«

2 -«

I N I T I A L QUARTER

N O V EM B ER

15

20,

1984

1 ,0 6 4 .2
1 ,0 6 5 .6

GROSS

P R ÍV A T E

D O M E S TIC

IN V E S T M B fT

IN

CURRENT DOLLARS

___________ COHPW H PED A fW A l RATES QP £HA»*E_____________
B IL L IO N S
T E R M I N A L ______________________________________________________________________________ _________ I M I T I A L
QUARTER
4 -7 9
1 -M .

_

1 -8 0

2 -6 0

3 -6 0

4 -8 0

2 -9 1

? -«L _

+ * 1 .

...

422 . 0

5*1

,

3 9 4 .3

2 -6 0

-1 0 ,5

-2 3 * 8

3 -8 0

-1 1 * 8

-1 9 .1

-1 4 .2

4 -8 0

.

1 -8 1

-1 * 2

-3 * 2

9*0

38*5

9*7

10*9

25*7

52*1

*1*1

l r f t l

_

3 7 9 .5
4 1 1 .7
4 6 8 ,1

2 -8 1

10tO

1 1 .1

2 2 .0

37*2

3 6 .6

1 1 .6

3 -8 1

11*7

12*8

2 2 .0

3 3 .3

3 1 .6

1 6 .8

2 2 .2

4 -6 1

7*5

7 .9

1 4 .3

2 1 .0

1 7 .0

3 .9

0 .2

1 -8 2
2 -8 2

4 8 1 .1
5 0 5 ;8
-1 7 ,7

4 8 1 .7

2*0

1*7

5*9

9*7

4 .7

-6 .8

-1 2 .2

— 25 . 6

-3 2 ,6

1**

...

OF

W A L T E R _______________________________________ _____________________________________________ D O L L A R S
Af ef cÜA L R A T É S
4 -8 2 -1 —8 3
2—63
1 -6 4
2 -6 2
3 - « .
4 -6 3
2 -8 4
3 -6 3
1 - t t

1*0

4 .6

7 .6

3 .1

—6 . 4

-1 0 .4

-1 9 ,2

-1 9 ,9

4 3 6 .2
-4 ,5

4 3 1 .2

3 -8 2

-0 ,1

-0 * 6

2*4

4*7

0 .6

-7 .6

-1 1 .0

-1 7 ,8

-1 7 ,8

-9 ,1

-1 3 .5

4 -6 2

-3 .4

-4 .1

-1 .9

-0 .4

-4 ,4

-1 1 .7

-1 5 .1

-2 1 .1

-2 1 ,9

-1 7 ,9

-2 3 .9

-3 3 ,1

4 1 5 .9
3 7 6 .2
4 0 5 .0

1 -8 3

-0 * 9

-1 * 4

1*0

2 .6

-0 .7

-7 .0

-9 .4

-1 3 .8

-1 3 ,0

-7 ,2

-8 .0

-5 ,2

3 4 ,3

2 -8 3

2 .2

2*0

4*5

6*4

3 .6

-1 * 8

-3 .3

-6 .5

-4 ,5

2 .5

4 .3

1 0 ,9

4 2 .8

5 1 .9

3 -8 3

4*5

4 .5

7 .0

9 .0

6 .7

2 .0

1 .0

-1 .4

1 ,2

8 ,3

1 1 .1

1 8 ,3

4 3 .0

4 7 .5

4 3 .3

4 -8 3

6 .7

6 .8

9 .4

11*5

9 .5

5 .3

4 .7

3 .0

5 ,9

1 3 ,0

1 6 .2

2 3 ,2

4 3 .5

4 6 .8

4 4 .3

4 5 .2

1 -6 4

10*0

1 0 .3

1 3 .0

15*3

1 3 .6

1 0 .0

9 .9

8 .7

1 2 ,2

1 9 .6

2 3 .5

3 1 ,0

4 9 .9

5 4 .0

5 4 .7

6 0 .8

7 8 .1

2 -8 4

9 .5

9 .8

1 2 .3

1 4 .3

1 2 .8

9 .4

9 .2

8 ,1

1 1 ,1

1 7 .5

2 0 .6

2 6 ,4

4 0 .6

4 1 .9

3 9 .5

3 8 .2

3 4 .8

2 .1

1 2 ,3

1 8 .2

2 1 .0

2 6 ,2

3 8 .2

3 6 .8

3 6 .3

3 4 .6

3 1 .3

1 2 .7

2 4 .5

4 -8 1

1-8 ¿

2 -8 2

3 -8 2

4 -8 2

1 -8 3

2 -8 3

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -5 4

1 0 ,2

1 0 .5

1 3 .0

1 4 .9

1 3 .5

1 0 .4

1 0 .3

4 -7 9

3 -8 4

9 ,4

1 -6 0

2 -8 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -8 1

2 -8 1

3 -8 1

4 4 9 .6
4 9 1 .9
5 4 0 .0
6 2 3 .8
6 2 7 .0
6 6 2 .3

I N IT I A L QUARTER

GROSS

PR IVA TE

D O M ESTIC

IN V ES TM E N T

_______________ C O M PO U N D E D . A N N U A L JRA T E S
T£R M IH A LQUARTER
4 -7 9

1-60

- 1 9_jl3

1972

DOLLARS

C H A N G E _______________
B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS

I I I A 1 -Q U ARTER -

ANNUAL
1 -6 0

2 -6 0

3 -6 Q

4 - 8 0 ____L r f i l ____2 = f t l ____3 - 8 1

4 -8 1

1 -8 2

2 - 8 2 ____4 - « ______________ 3 ^ 3 ,

224.3
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3-gQ -ifr«2 ~22t? -?t5

1 9 7 .4

_____ 7 * 7
1 -8 1

1 .1

2 8 *1

1 .9

1 7 .6

3 4 .0

4 0 ,2

2 2 6 .5
2 3 2 .8

2 -8 1

2 .2

3*0

15*0

24*6

22*9

7 ,7

3 — fl 1

3 .3

4 .2

1 4 .0

2 0 .8

1 8 ,5

8 ,9

1 0 .2

-0 .4

-0 * 2

6 .9

10*5

6*5

-2 * 8

-7 * 7

-2 2 .6

4 -6 1

2 3 0 .5
2 2 3 .7
2 0 4 .7

1 -8 2

-4 .2

-4 .5

0*6

2*5

-2 * 0

-1 0 * 4

-1 5 ,8

-2 6 * 3

-2 9 .9

2 -6 2

-4 .6

-4 .9

-0 * 5

0 .9

-3 * 1

-1 0 * 0

-1 3 .9

-2 0 .7

-1 9 .7

-6 .1

-1 3 .5

-1 8 .5

-1 7 .1

-9 .9

—5 * 2

-5 * 6

-1 * 8

-0 * 8

-4 * 3

-1 0 * 2

2 0 0 .4
-1 1 .6

1 9 4 .3
1 7 7 .6

4 -8 2

-7 * 6

-8 * 1

-5 .1

-4 * 5

-8 * 0

-1 3 * 4

-1 6 ,4

-2 0 .9

I
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3 -6 2

-1 7 .1

-2 1 .3

-2 9 .9

1 -6 3

-4 .9

-5 * 2

-2 .0

-1 .2

-4 ,1

-8 .5

-1 0 .6

-1 3 .7

-1 1 .8

-6 .5

-6 .0

-3 .1

3 4 .0

—6 .4

-3 .3

3 .1

6 ♦1

1 2 .8

4 3 .0

5 2 .5

1 .8

8 .3

1 1 .9

1 8 .7

4 1 .4

4 5 .3

3 8 .4

1 9 1 .3
2 1 2 .6

2 -6 3

-1 * 6

-1 * 6

1 .7

2 .7

0*5

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-4 .4

3 -6 3

0 .6

0*8

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5 .3

3 ,5

0*4

—0 . 4

-1 .7

4 -6 3

2*6

2*9

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7 ,5

5 ,9

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2 .8

2 .0

5 .6

1 2 .0

1 5 .7

2 2 .1

4 0 .3

4 2 .5

3 7 .7

3 7 .0

9*6

1 1 .1

9 ,9

7*7

7 .7

7 .5

1 1 .5

1 8 .1

2 2 .4

2 9 .2

4 6 .1

4 9 .2

4 8 .2

5 3 .3

7 1 .5

1 9 .0

2 4 .2

3 6 .6

3 7 .1

3 3 .5

3 1 .9

2 9 .5

-2 .2

1 -6 4

5*7

RATES

4 ^ 8 3 _________________________1 - 8 4 . 2 - 6 4

-1.8

2 -8 Q

IN

QP

6*2

2 3 0 .6
2 4 9 .5
2 6 5 .5
2 8 3 .9

2 -6 4

5 .3

5 .7

8 ,6

1 0 ,2

9 ,0

6*9

6 .8

6 .5

1 0 .0

1 5 .6

3 -6 4

6*3

6 ,7

9*8

11*1

1 0 ,0

8*2

8 .2

8 .0

1 1 .3

1 6 .6

1 9 .7

2 4 .4

3 5 .0

3 5 .2

3 1 .9

3 0 .4

2 8 .2

1 0 .9

2 5 .7

4 -7 9

1 -8 0

2 -0 0

3— 6 0

4 -6 0

1 -81

2 -6 1

3 -61

4 -8 1

1 -6 2

2 -6 2

3 -6 2

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3 0 0 .6

Pft£*AT®5“ ftY ttö «A L HESÉRVE 6ÄRK OF ST. LOUIT
NOVEM BER

16

20,

1984

G O V E R N M E N T P U R C H A S E S O F G O O D S AND S E R V IC E S IN C U R R E N T D O L L A R S
____________________ C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E ________________________
TE R M IN A L
QUARTER

IN IT IA L
4 -7 9

1 -60

2 -6 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -6 1

2 -8 1

3 -61

4-6 1

QUARTER

1 -62

2 -8 2

3 -6 2

4 -8 2

1 -6 3

2 -6 3

3 -6 3

4 -8 3

1 -8 4

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL R A TES
2 -0 4
5 1 7 .6

1 -8 0

1 7 .1

2 -6 0

1 5 .8

1 4 .6

3 -6 0

1 1 *3

8 .5

2 ,7

4 -6 0

12*3

10*8

9*0

1 -8 1

1 2 .5

11*4

10*4

14*4

13*2

2 -6 1

11*4

10*3

9*3

11*6

9*6

5 3 5 .5
5 3 9 .1
5 5 9 .0

15*6

5 7 6 .6
6 .2

5 8 5 .3
6 0 1 .3

3 -8 1

1 1 .4

10*5

9*7

11*5

10*2

8 .8

1 1 .4

4 -8 1

1 1 .9

11*1

10*6

12*2

11*4

10*8

13*2

1 5 .0

1 -8 2

11*1

10*4

9*8

11*1

10*2

9 .4

10*5

1 0 .1

6 2 2 .7
5 .4

6 3 0 .9
6 3 3 .7

2 -6 2

1 0 .2

9 .4

8*8

9*7

8 .7

7*8

8*3

7*2

3 .6

1 .8

3 -6 2

1 0 .6

1 0 .0

9*5

10*3

9*6

9*0

9*6

9*1

7*3

8 .2

1 5 .0

4 -6 2

1 1 .0

10*5

10*1

10*9

10*4

10*0

1 0 .6

10*5

9*4

1 0 .7

1 5 .5

1 5 .9

7*1

7 .6

9 .6

7 .0

-1 .3

5 .3

0 .4

2 .0

6 5 6 .3
6 8 1 .0
6 7 8 .8

1 -8 3

10*0

9*5

9*0

9*7

9 .0

8*5

8 .8

8 .4

2 -8 3

9 .4

8*9

8*4

8*9

8 .3

7*8

8 .0

7 .5

6 .3

6 .5

7 .7

3 -6 3

9*1

8*6

8*1

8*6

7 .9

7*4

7 .6

7 .1

6 .0

6» 1

7 .0

5 .1

1 .7

3 .3

4*5

8 .0

7 .3

6 .8

6 .9

6 .4

5 .4

5 .4

6 .0

4 .3

1 .5

2 .5

2 .7

0 .9

7 .4

6*9

7 .0

6 .5

5 .6

5 .7

6 .2

4 .8

2 .7

3 .8

4 .4

4 .3

6 8 2 .2
6 8 9 .8
6 9 1 .4

4 -8 3

8*6

8*0

7*6

1 -8 4

8*5

8*0

7*6

7 .9

2 -6 4

9*3

8*9

8*6

9 .0

8 .5

8*1

8 .3

8 .0

7 .4

7*6

8 .3

7 .4

6 .0

7 .6

9 .0

1 0 .6

1 5 .7

2 4 .3

3 -6 4

9 .4

9 .0

8*7

9*0

8 .6

8 .3

8 .5

8 .2

7 .6

7 .8

8 .5

7 .8

6 .6

8 .0

9*3

1 0 .5

1 3 .8

1 7 .0

1 0 .2

4 -7 9

1 —8 0

2 -8 0

3 -0 0

4 -8 0

1 -8 1

2 -8 1

3 -6 1

4 -8 1

1-82

2 -8 2

3 -82

4 -8 2

1 -8 3

2 -8 3

3 -6 3

4 -6 3

1 -8 4

2 -6 4

IN IT IA L

GOVERNMENT

PURCHASES

OF

7 0 4 .4

7 .7

7 4 3 .7
7 6 2 .0

QUARTER

GOOOS

ANO

S E R V IC E S

IN

1972

DOLLARS

____________ CffllPQ i M i E P A m f A k J i A I E S. -OF Ç HAE&E__________________
B ILL IO N S
TE R M IN A L
QUARTER

IN IT IA L
4 -7 9

1 -0 0

4 .0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -8 1

2 -8 1

3 -8 1

4 -8 1

1 -82

2 -8 2

3 -8 2

4 -8 2

1 -8 3

2 -8 3

3 -8 3

4 -6 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4
2 8 4 .0

4 .0

2 -6 0

2 -8 0

1 -8 0

2 8 6 .8

4 .0

2 8 4 .0

3 -6 0

1*3

0*0

-3 .8

4 -6 0

0 .5

-0 ,7

-3 .0

-2 * 1

1 .4

0 .7

-0 .4

1 .4

0 ,9

0 ,3

_ -0 ,6

3 -8 1

1 .3

0 .8

0 .2

1 .2

2*3

1*0

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4 -0 1

1 .5

1 ,1

0 ,6

1 ,6

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_______ 1 - 6 1

OF

DOLLARS
ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

_ 0 _ jl5

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5 .0
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2 8 7 .4
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289 .6
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1 -6 2

1 .4

1 .1

0 .7_

1 .5

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1 ,5

2 .4

2 .0

0*8

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0 .8

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0 ,0

0 ,6

1*1

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0*7

-0 .2

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3 -6 2

1 .5

1 .2

0 .9

1*5

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1*6

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1 .9

1 .5

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8 .3

3 .8

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9 .7

2 6 7 .0
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1 ,9

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1 -6 3

1 .4

1 .2

0 .9

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1*8

1 .4

1*8

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1 .3

1 .4

3 .4

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0 .6

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0 .6

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0 .5

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1 .7

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1 .8

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4 -7 9

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1 1 .1

4—

IN IT IA L

4 -6 2

2 6 0 .0
2 8 9 .5
3 0 2 .1
3 0 6 .8

QUAAfER

W E r a f ô “ ftŸ FETHrlWL RESERVE BANK OF ST* LOUIS
NOVEM BER

17

20»

1W 4

D IS P O S A B L E

TE R M IN A I

PERSONAL

IN C O M E

.____ I N I T I A L

IN

CURRENT

DOLLARS
B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ANNUAL R ATES

QUARTER

QUARTER
4 -7 9

1 -8 0

2 -8 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -8 1

2d31

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1 -82

2 -8 2

4 -8 2

8 .9

3 -8 3

4 -8 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

4 .1

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8 .6

1 ,7 8 9 .8
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1 3 .2

4 -8 0

1 1 4.3

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9 .3

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9 .1

9 .8

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8 .5

7 .4

7 .5

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8 .9

8 .5

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6 .7

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7 .8

7 .8

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1 1 .7

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9 .3

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8 .7

8 .3

8 .4

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4 -7 9

1 -80

2 -8 0

3 -6 0

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IN ITIA L

2 ,4 2 8 .6

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QUARTÈR

D IS P O S A B LE PER SON AL INCOM E IN 1 9 7 2 DO LLA R S
C O M P O U N D E D A N N U A L R A T E S O F C H A N G E __________

TERMINAI

IN IT IA L

B IL L IO N S OF
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ANNUAL RATES

QUARTER

QUARTER
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1 .9

2 -8 3

1 .7

1 .7

2 .3

2 .2

2 .0

3 -6 3

2 .1

2 .1

2 .7

2 .6

2 .5

2 .3

2 .6

2 .1

2 .5

3 .1

3 .6

4 .2

4 .3

5 .5

7 .7

4 -8 3

2 .5

2 .5

3 .1

3 .1

3 .0

2*8

3 .1

2 .7

3 .2

3 .8

4 .3

5 .0

5 .3

6 .4

6 .0

8 .3

8 .2

8 .4

8 .6

1 * 0 8 2 .0
1 * 1 0 2 .2
1 * 1 2 4 .3
1 * 1 4 7 .6

1 -8 4

2 .8

2 .8

3 .4

3 .4

3 .4

3 .3

3 .6

3 .3

3 .8

4 .4

4 .9

5 .6

6 .0

6 .9

2 -8 4

3 .0

3 .0

3 .6

3 .6

3 .6

3 .5

3 .8

3 .6

4 .0

4 .6

5 .1

5 .7

6 .0

6 .8

7 .7

7 .7

7 .4

6 .3

3 -8 4

3*0

3*1

3 .6

3 .7

3 .6

3 .5

3 .8

3 .6

4 .0

4 .5

5 .0

5 .5

5 .7

6 .3

6 .9

6 .7

6 .2

5 .1

3 .9

4 -7 9

1 -8 0

2 -6 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -81

2 -8 1

3 -8 1

4 -8 1

1 -82

2 -8 2

3 -8 2

4 -6 2

1 -6 3

2 -6 3

3 -6 3

4 -6 3

1 -6 4

2 -6 4




IN ITIA L

1 * 1 6 5 .3
1 * 1 7 6 .4

QUARTER

P R Ë R À « ^ 6V PEi>ER ÂE“R ESER VE 6AWK
NOVEM BER

18

20*

1984

OF

S T . LO U IS

C O R P O R A TE P R O F IT S A F T E R T A X E S »
COM POUNDED ANN UAL R A TE S O F C H AN SE
TE R M IN A L
QUARTER

IN IT IA L
2 -8 0

1 -8 0

4 -8 0

1 -81

2 -8 1

3 -8 1

4 -8 1

1 -82

J—82

2 -8 2

<■
*>
CO
1
<M

1 -6 0

1 -8 0

ro
00
1

4 -7 9

B IL L IO N S OF
DOLLARS
ASÏtU ÀL R A T E S

QUARTER
4 -8 2

4 -6 3

3 -8 3

2 -8 4

1 -8 4

1 6 6 .2

2 .9

1 3 9 .4

2 -8 0

-2 8 .6

-5 0 .5

3 -8 0

-1 4 .4

-2 1 .9

2 3 .3

4 -8 0

-1 1 .1

-1 5 .3

1 0 .7

1 4 6 .9
1 4 6 .7

-0 .5

-9 .6

1 0 .5

4 .5

9 .9

-1 5 .1

-2 .9

-1 0 .3

-1 4 .8

-3 4 .0

3 -8 1

-9 .2

-1 1 .1

0 .0

-5 .1

—6 . 6

-1 3 .9

1 2 .4

4 -8 1

-9 .5

-1 1 .2

-2 .1

—6 . 5

-8 .0

-1 3 .3

-0 .6

-1 2 .0

1 -8 2

-1 8 .3

-2 0 .6

-1 5 .1

-2 3 .6

-3 0 .3

-2 9 .0

-4 3 .6

-6 3 .8

2 -8 2

-1 5 .9

-1 7 .8

-1 2 .4

-1 6 .6

-1 9 .0

-2 3 .8

-2 1 .0

-2 9 .8

-3 7 .3

8 .7

-1 4 .6

-1 6 .2

-1 1 .1

-1 4 .7

-1 6 .5

-2 0 .2

-1 7 .2

-2 3 .2

-2 6 .7

4 .4

0 .4

1 3 5 .4
1 3 9 .4
1 3 5 .0
1 0 4 .7
1 0 6 .9
1 0 7 .0
1 0 0 .8

4 -8 2

-1 5 .1

-1 6 .6

-1 2 .2

-1 5 .4

-1 7 .1

-2 0 .4

-1 7 .9

-2 2 .8

-2 5 .3

-4 .9

-1 1 .1

-2 1 .2

1 -8 3

-1 3 .6

-1 4 .9

-1 0 .5

-1 3 .4

-1 4 .7

-1 7 .4

-1 4 .7

-1 8 .5

-1 9 .7

-2 .0

-5 .3

-8 .1

7 .3

2 -8 3

-8 .0

-8 .8

-4 .0

-6 .1

—6 . 7

-8 .4

-4 .5

—6 . 7

-5 .8

1 4 .0

1 5 .4

2 0 .9

4 9 .9

1 0 9 .3

3 -8 3

-3 .8

-4 .3

0 .7

-1 .0

— 1 .0

-2 .1

2 .3

1 .1

3 .2

2 2 .9

2 5 .9

3 3 .3

5 8 .8

9 3 .2

7 8 .3

*
I
00
oj

<M
00
1

-7 .2
-1 2 .3

0
(M
1

1 5 0 .2

1 -8 1
2 -8 1

-3 .8

-4 .3

0 .3

-1 .2

-1 .3

-2 .2

1 .7

0 .5

2 .2

1 8 .6

2 0 .3

2 4 .8

4 0 .0

5 2 .9

3 0 .7

-4 .1

1 -6 4

-2 .1

-2 .4

2 .1

0 .7

0 .8

0 .1

3 .9

3 .1

5 .0

1 9 .9

2 1 .6

2 5 .6

3 7 .9

4 6 .8

3 0 .4

1 1 .5

1 0 2 .6
1 2 3 .4
1 4 2 .6
141 . 1
1 5 0 .6

2 9 .8

1
-2 .4

1 .9

0 .6

0 .7

0 .0

3 .5

2 .8

4. 4

1 7 .4

1 8 .5

2 1 .4

3 0 .5

3 5 .6

2 1 .7

7 .2

1 3 .3

-1 .1

-3 .5

-3 .8

0 .0

-1 .3

-1 .4

-2 .1

0 .9

0 .0

1 .1

1 2 .1

1 2 .5

1 4 .1

2 0 .3

2 2 .6

1 0 .2

-2 .3

-1 .7

-1 4 .4

-2 6 .0

4 -7 9

1 -8 0

2 -8 0

3 -8 0

4 -8 0

l-e i

2 -8 1

J-6 1

4 -8 1

1 -8 2

2 -3 2

3 -8 2

4 -8 2

1— 1 3

2 -8 3

5 -6 3

4 -0 3

1 -8 4

2 -8 4

4

CO
1
<N

-2 .1

3 -8 4

IN I TIA L
* N A T IO N A L INCOM E
P - P H E L IM IN A R Y

B A S IS

H IS T O R IC A L

N ATIO N A L

T h e
a n d

P r o d u c t

T a b le s

N IP A

( S t o c k

n u m b e r

a n d

S U R V EY;

e s t im a t e s

th e

J u l y

SU R V EY.
t h e

1 9 8 3

fro m




t h e

O f f i c e ,

F o r
W e a lth

f o r

PRODUCT

1 9 2 9 -7 6

U n it e d

f o r

a n d

t h e

f o r

p e r io d s

C u r r e n t

S u p e r in t e n d e n t

(B E - 5 4 )

B u re a u
D .C .

o f

o f

in

T h e

N a t io n a l

BANK

in

f o r

t h e

i n

a p p e a r

t h e

i n

T h e s e

D o c u m e n ts,

E s t im a t e s
J u l y

e a r l i e r

a r e

In co m e

y e a r s
J u l y

a r e

i n

1 9 8 4

s u b s e q u e n t

p u b l i c a t i o n s

U .S .

f o r

1 9 8 2

is s u e s
a r e

G o v e rn m e n t

2 0 4 0 2 .

w r i t e

t o

E c o n o m ic

2 0 2 3 0 .

19

OF

S t a t i s t i c a l

5 1 0 .0 0 ) .

a r e

1 9 8 1 -8 3
s i n c e ,

D .C .

i n f o r m a t io n ,

W a s h in g to n ,

p r i c e

B u s in e s s .

RESERVE

DATA

1 9 2 9 - 7 6 :

c o r r e c t i o n s

e s t im a t e s

o f

ACCOUNTS

a r e

y e a r s

BY F t D t K A l
20,
1984

OF

S t a t e s ,

e a r l i e r

W a s h in g to n ,

f u r t h e r

D i v i s i o n

C o m m e rce ,

f o r

t h e

1 9 8 0

f o r

S u r v e y

AND

SOURCES

C R 5 3 - 0 1 O - O 0 1 01 - 1 ,

S U R V EY ;

E s t im a t e s

P r i n t i n g

o f

c o r r e c t i o n s

m o n t h ly

a v a i l a b l e

INCO M E

e s t im a t e s

A c c o u n ts

1 9 / 7 - 7 9

o f

1 3 9 . 3P

QUARTER

PREPARED
NOVEMBER

o f

1 5 0 .2

th e

N a t io n a l

A n a l y s i s ,

In co m e

U .S .

a n d

D e p a rtm e n t

S T.

LO U IS

INVENTORIES COMPARED WITH MONTHLY SALES*
M A N U F A C T U R I N G

AND

T R A D E

. 68

68

.6 4

64

.6 0

60

.5 6

56

.5 2

52

. 48

48

. 44

44

. 40

40

. 36

36

.3 2

32

.2 8

28
24
1970
«RATIOS

1971

1972

1973

1979

I

BASED ON SEASONALLY ADJ USTED DATA.

SHADED AREAS R E P R E S E N T
L ATE ST

1974

DATA PL OTTE D!




P E R I ODS OF B U S I N E S S

I

SOURCEs

1981

1982

1983

1984

U . S . DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

RECESSIONS.

SEPTEMBER P R E L I MI N A R Y

PREPARED BY FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST. LOUIS

20


Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, One Federal Reserve Bank Plaza, St. Louis, MO 63102